#204
Rank
229
Comments
105
Likes Received
112
Likes Given
05brownboy
1 year ago
ye gg 🔥
Semperi995
1 year ago
This is essentially over now, NDP will have the most seats
05brownboy
1 year ago
why don’t u propose the resolution? then market resolved
bgosling
1 year ago
Can we just resolve this?
05brownboy
1 year ago
no won 😞
Axios
1 year ago
What is going on? Help I'm nervous and can't sell without a massive loss
05brownboy
1 year ago
fr
Apsalar
1 year ago
maybe just have aaron rodgers throw a hail mary instead of kicking a field goal next time
05brownboy
1 year ago
switched sides 🤔😞
Apsalar
1 year ago
Bad luck to everyone who's rooting for the Bills!
05brownboy
1 year ago
thank you decap
Apsalar
1 year ago
everybody say thank you to decap for making the brackets interesting this week
05brownboy
1 year ago
wtf is this game bruh
05brownboy
1 year ago
that’s funny bro 💀💀
Pidor🐓
1 year ago
we are only a few hours before the Yes truthers say to join UMAcord and make your voice heard. good job disputor thx for $1500
05brownboy
1 year ago
giants offense is too ass to take it
Paulieb
1 year ago
Giants gonna take it by surprise
05brownboy
1 year ago
RIP 🙏
aenews2
1 year ago
We cooked?
05brownboy
1 year ago
maybe it’s a sign?
MG95
1 year ago
It won't let me buy 😢
05brownboy
1 year ago
did u think
MG95
1 year ago
It won't let me buy 😢
05brownboy
1 year ago
border scammers lose once again
05brownboy
1 year ago
u dumb bro
wagabazajr
1 year ago
You scammers do realize uma will jump in and buy the cheap no shares and rule in our favor right?
05brownboy
1 year ago
colorado is big on oil bro
genghisbrain
1 year ago
"Listen up, everyone, in Aurora, Colorado, we've got real trouble, the worst kind of trouble with these gangs, and then you've got these idiots, these absolute morons on Polymarket, thinking I'm heading there to chat about fracking. Can you believe it? They must think Aurora's the new Pennsylvania. What a bunch of losers! They're betting on the wrong horse, folks, because I'm dealing with criminals, not setting up a fracking carnival!"
05brownboy
1 year ago
nah he’s always on time 💀
asdfvergvd
1 year ago
is he always this late?
05brownboy
1 year ago
he’s garbage
n/a
1 year ago
GENO!!!
05brownboy
1 year ago
the only reason i wanna win 💀
DeucePapi
1 year ago
I can't even imagine what it would feel like to get some of my money back from JustKen
05brownboy
1 year ago
if the seahawks pull it off that’s wild
05brownboy
1 year ago
except the storm is too spread out which kills it so it will be a cat 3
theone222
1 year ago
4 is seriously underpriced. Storm trackers are saying it will be 130mph during landfall. That’s literally low cat 4, high cat 3. It’s basically 50/50
05brownboy
1 year ago
i really hope u make a million today bro 🙏🙏
HaterzLoserz
1 year ago
https://x.com/Excellion/status/1843809547997327801
05brownboy
1 year ago
adam back shall be
Remontada
1 year ago
All on Back
05brownboy
1 year ago
i thought u said u ran out of money ? 🤔
WinstonChurchil
1 year ago
I'm about to do what's called a pro gamer move.
05brownboy
1 year ago
i doubt this market will be anything like that but if they actually say it’s todd that would be very dumb
DeucePapi
1 year ago
Anyone remember the DNC Beyonce/Taylor Swift performance market?
05brownboy
1 year ago
i don’t think adam makes sense if we are talking about the real satoshi but this documentary doesn’t seem to be that so adam could very well be a real possibility
HaterzLoserz
1 year ago
I wonder is Samson is being honest with his framing here, of if hes actually just playing everyone despite being aware of these markets and how it would effect his reputation if he fucked around. The only alternative to Adam i see is "We are all Satoshi" as an ending, which sucks ass, and the director already said they arrive at a specific name, so if its not Adam, as far as I can tell either Samson or the Director have straight up lied about the facts after they were aware of this market. Cant see it, hence ive taken the position.
05brownboy
1 year ago
director said they have landed on a name but if that’s bullshit then it’s a rug fr
mona.lisa
1 year ago
HBO is gonna end it with “we are all Satoshi”
05brownboy
1 year ago
stop scamming bro
BadMan
1 year ago
The insider is still buying Hal I guess, first trades in 2 months wtf
05brownboy
1 year ago
i think u good bro anyone can make a fake video
HaterzLoserz
1 year ago
Kleiman had no price action on here before the Leak, whoever had the info would have bought before hand if it was real. You dont drop the leak first without buying big time. the big buys on kleiman came in after the leak, which makes it seem like a setup to dupe unwise. If I lose $150k betting that the person Craig Wright said helped him with bitcoin, actually didnt invent bitcoin and this is just a bunch of cultists doing their thing
05brownboy
1 year ago
lol someone bought yes and pumped their bags it’s called a classic pump and dump
topblaster
1 year ago
kleiman leak is fake retards who even is that
05brownboy
1 year ago
totally 😂
AdamWayBack
1 year ago
Adam super cheap. Tweets are all indicating it's him. 📈
05brownboy
1 year ago
i can confirm
Ferguson,Turd
1 year ago
i have studied this for at least 10 minutes and it was Len
05brownboy
1 year ago
flip the market!
n/a
1 year ago
Apparently Polymarket is reviewing this market in light of the bogus UMA voting to resolve it in a way that is fair to the customers and according to the fine print of the market and based on the events that actually happened in an unbiased way. Protect your customer Polymarket, and resolve this market in a unbiased and fair way!
05brownboy
1 year ago
there’s always hope! 😀
aenews2
1 year ago
Balz against the Walz rn, hucker down team
05brownboy
1 year ago
i’m only a gambler
lordvoldemort
1 year ago
bro you are literally a scammer, what are you talking about?
05brownboy
1 year ago
anyone that lost money don’t feel bad take it as a lesson and build from it best wishes for everyone!
05brownboy
1 year ago
change the voting system!
YatSen
1 year ago
UMA is a joke hahhh
05brownboy
1 year ago
gg guys
05brownboy
1 year ago
when the votes are revealed
Besh24
1 year ago
Any idea when the final result is?
05brownboy
1 year ago
they called the market a scam first now they’re calling uma a scam
DFK
1 year ago
so basically, what everybody seems to agree upon, is that it can be 90% going one way, and boom just like that it could reverse because 1 or 2 people have more voting rights than everybody else put together? Am I getting this right?
05brownboy
1 year ago
just inflate the market to 99 cents and win
🤺JustPunched
1 year ago
Here's the plan, we get the Yes price back to 70c. UMA will be forced to side with us.
05brownboy
1 year ago
chad fill my limit order please
05brownboy
1 year ago
yes it is definitely going p2
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 year ago
Domer trying to get an exit without losses. Sorry, it’s going P2.
05brownboy
1 year ago
u have ur own choice where to bet bruh if someone influenced u that’s completely ur fault
McLarry
1 year ago
It's funny how fhantombets always acts like a good person in Discord. At the same time, he takes money from newcomers who don't know batuy. and the UMA system. The man is not intelligent enough to make real predictions.
05brownboy
1 year ago
hahaha
Remontada
1 year ago
There's going to be so much winning, you're going to say pleeeease sir, no more winning!
05brownboy
1 year ago
chad brotha u good ?
05brownboy
1 year ago
the scammer himself what makes ur argument so little this time ?
HsB34sgg
1 year ago
I hope this goes right but UMA always changes it. Maybe 65% chance No outcome? That's why only small bet with my small account, not big one.
05brownboy
1 year ago
yeah this market was one of the best the only one that will probably be as fun is the election one
HaterzLoserz
1 year ago
Its been a pleasure folks, hope noone bet more than they can afford to lose. Im gonna go down with the ship if we lose anyway. If nothing else, use this as a learning experience about the dispute process and who the intelligent + good faith debaters you saw on both sides are. Will come in use for future on the platform. After DDing the process more, seems like Kev and btl will try resolve fairly and consistently and that should be enough to seal it in that direction. Regardless, this market is now polymarket history and will be referenced for many many years. GG
05brownboy
1 year ago
someone will win today and someone will lose only time will tell but it’s been fun
HaterzLoserz
1 year ago
Its been a pleasure folks, hope noone bet more than they can afford to lose. Im gonna go down with the ship if we lose anyway. If nothing else, use this as a learning experience about the dispute process and who the intelligent + good faith debaters you saw on both sides are. Will come in use for future on the platform. After DDing the process more, seems like Kev and btl will try resolve fairly and consistently and that should be enough to seal it in that direction. Regardless, this market is now polymarket history and will be referenced for many many years. GG
05brownboy
1 year ago
yes to 0 cents after 5pm?
Secret14thKey
1 year ago
Y to 50c by 5pm?
05brownboy
1 year ago
this is wrong chances of a tie are unlikely very unlikely
badatthis
1 year ago
50% even, 25% Vance, 25% Walz. This I give propablities for Ipsos. So this market should be 50-50 distributed
05brownboy
1 year ago
let’s see what they end up doing thanks for the info 👍
Remontada
1 year ago
Ipsos have released a post debate poll for every single debate going back to the year 2000. Just want to lay that out.
05brownboy
1 year ago
i thought they would release it today but nothing yet they better release that shit before the deadline even if they have vance as the winner
Remontada
1 year ago
Ipsos have released a post debate poll for every single debate going back to the year 2000. Just want to lay that out.
05brownboy
1 year ago
don’t post misinformation
MrNFT
1 year ago
Ipsos slated to release 9:00 AM EST Monday. Same exact thoughts as wook capital below
05brownboy
1 year ago
where u get that from ?
MrNFT
1 year ago
Ipsos slated to release 9:00 AM EST Monday. Same exact thoughts as wook capital below
05brownboy
1 year ago
bro buy yes i don’t like being on the same side as u
Fredi9999WASP🐝
1 year ago
The fun Part ist they will Scream "SCAAAM" once uma voted for no
05brownboy
1 year ago
vance won didn’t he 😞😞🙏
Secret14thKey
1 year ago
Just got a quick peek at the Ipsos numbers before release and, uh, I'll let you DRAW your own conclusions
05brownboy
1 year ago
https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/abc-news-ipsos-september-post-debate-2024
05brownboy
1 year ago
i would expect them to release this poll tomorrow the harris trump poll was released on sept 15th 5 days after the debate which took place on sept 10th that poll was also released on sunday
05brownboy
1 year ago
i would expect them to release this poll tomorrow the harris trump poll was released on sept 15th 5 days after the debate which took place on sept 10th that poll was also released on sunday
05brownboy
1 year ago
nah the rules are clear and can not be changed you should bet after reading the rules
TrumpoDumpo
1 year ago
The term "tie" in the rules is ambiguous, and should be interpreted to incorporate the margin of error, as statistical uncertainty makes it unreasonable to declare a winner based on a minor lead within that margin. Interpreting the rules this way aligns with fairness, the intent to determine the true winner, and common practices in polling and election standards.
05brownboy
1 year ago
don’t cap bro u sold and bought in cheap good play tho
RememberAmalek
1 year ago
what abt me man i'm the foot soldier in all of this chad is just getting the rake
05brownboy
1 year ago
bro pulled up info from 4 days ago and thought he had something 💀
abdendriel
1 year ago
IDF saved us by announcing the commencement of their offensive on twitter with a timestamp https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776?s=46
05brownboy
1 year ago
yeah i agree
Apsalar
1 year ago
if you think it's possible for him to tie in the poll, then you have to think it's possible for him to win the poll, or you just don't know how polling/probability works.
05brownboy
1 year ago
don’t buy yes bro that’s gonna pump it even more and i will get an even worse entry
HaterzLoserz
1 year ago
Reason is telling me to stay out, emotions are telling me to buy yes for the lulz, better judgement has prevailed for now, but this may change at any moment. Dont get too excited though, and dont risk what you cant afford to lose (chad)
05brownboy
1 year ago
yes
KanyeTruther
1 year ago
Chad pls come to discord
05brownboy
1 year ago
you didn’t last very long on polymarket now we know why
PolyRig-Fried
1 year ago
All talk no show. Sell your weak positions and go all in. Until then, you are just a talking head.
05brownboy
1 year ago
like u did 💀
BibiNetanyahu
1 year ago
sell all of your positions and buy NO
05brownboy
1 year ago
it’s a no i can’t believe people still buying yes 😂
Ferguson,Turd
1 year ago
Just checked in on the discord server and boy the YES team is struggling in there. Quick send in reinforcements team YES
05brownboy
1 year ago
vance won fair and square yes and he made walz look like a fool i agree
Balls2theWalz
1 year ago
All the retards long Walz, you do realize there is zero chance in hell Ipsos / Reuters is dumb enough to release a poll showing Walz won. The overwhelming consensus is that Vance won. Among left, right, educated, non-educated. The absolutely best case scenario is 50-50, but Ipsos isn’t dumb enough to torch its credibility for that.
05brownboy
1 year ago
simple if they say vance w then vance win if they say walz w then walz win if they say tie then tie
TrumpoDumpo
1 year ago
Someone please correct me if this is wrong: Let's say the Ipsos poll has a margin of error of 2% and shows that Vance has a 1% lead. A winner cannot be determined because the lead is within the margin of error. It's rare that it happens, but some might think there is a higher probably there than normal.
05brownboy
1 year ago
let’s see what happens no need to be negative either way this market has been good
Balls2theWalz
1 year ago
All the retards long Walz, you do realize there is zero chance in hell Ipsos / Reuters is dumb enough to release a poll showing Walz won. The overwhelming consensus is that Vance won. Among left, right, educated, non-educated. The absolutely best case scenario is 50-50, but Ipsos isn’t dumb enough to torch its credibility for that.
05brownboy
1 year ago
never trade off emotions bro and the less money you have the cheaper it will be to learn polymarket
n/a
1 year ago
youve got to be fucking me. i had 500 falcons and panicked sold at bought buccaneers with what money was left over
05brownboy
1 year ago
LFG FALCONS
05brownboy
1 year ago
no there’s no such thing as a 50/50 invasion
Mr. House
1 year ago
This market can be close as 50/50?
05brownboy
1 year ago
i cannot believe the market was so high for so long people were not using their brain
Ferguson,Turd
1 year ago
Just found out a few important things. And wow is it important! Turns out Israel, Lebanon, and the UN all said that these were raids not an invasion. Also after looking through polymarket I found an entirely separate market which was intended for these raids and incursions. Wild! Turns out this market was a NO all along. Would have been helpful if anyone mentioned this earlier and repeatedly
05brownboy
1 year ago
@ch5 ur right bro do u use discord?
Infringe
1 year ago
waltz holders should exit before they're isnt exit liquidity to exit worthless waltz shares
05brownboy
1 year ago
negative pnl lol
Infringe
1 year ago
waltz holders should exit before they're isnt exit liquidity to exit worthless waltz shares
05brownboy
1 year ago
u only buy 5 shares so people see ur comments no one wants ur opinion bro
Justifax
1 year ago
So no ipsos poll so far, maybe the trump +1 swing state freaked them out. Biden was up +4.3 in 2020 Oct 3rd and only won by a slim 0.03 https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states/
05brownboy
1 year ago
they just comment scammers bro
duckduck
1 year ago
New copium dropped
05brownboy
1 year ago
first time i seen you comment damn ur bets are usually very good
n/a
1 year ago
Looking at your active holdings I don't think you should lecture other people on becoming "better bettors" brodie
05brownboy
1 year ago
brother you have made a complete clown of urself take the L and i recommend changing ur personality and making a new account start off fresh
HsB34sgg
1 year ago
The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an INVASION! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end
05brownboy
1 year ago
lmao who’s gonna tell him
bbman1214
1 year ago
So what happens now that it is a early request
05brownboy
1 year ago
it’s technically not over til it resolves or u sell
MyLossIsYourGain
1 year ago
I went from +5000 to -2000 to +5000 in three days. This is the most stressful $700 I earned so far.
05brownboy
1 year ago
it’s not a no til the market is resolved don’t get excited too early
Amok
1 year ago
Told you this was gonna go NO. There was a separate market for Israeli forces entering Lebanon. The key wording here is "establish control". The limited special forces / scouting raids in the early morning of Oct 1 don't qualify, because they never established control. Those forces pulled back out.
05brownboy
1 year ago
nice dump
05brownboy
1 year ago
damn
05brownboy
1 year ago
opinions don’t matter
weeeee
1 year ago
it goes without question that vance did better
05brownboy
1 year ago
omg vance is only 60 cents you can buy dollars with 60 cents sell everything and buy as much vance as u can
KovacNationalism
1 year ago
YouGov already posted a CBS poll that shows Vance won.
05brownboy
1 year ago
this market isn’t based off of what we think anyone with a brain knows vance won it’s about what the left leaning ipsos poll will say
donky
1 year ago
Anyone saying Walz won is delusional. This was a professional debater vs a school teacher and the teach got schooled. Not close. Those who bet Walz bet because the thought the media would bail them out are in for a big surprise. Only worse beat down was the recent Trump vs Biden.
05brownboy
1 year ago
for vance in this market vance was the clear winner it’s just a matter if the poll will admit to it
MicR
1 year ago
YouGov poll says 42% thought Vance won and 41% thought Walz won. I might have gotten too cocky, but assuming a similar bias that makes the Ipsos one practically a tossup. If my side was above 50% here I'd sell my shares, but since the odds are too low for a tossup it's not worth selling.
05brownboy
1 year ago
yougov is a little more center than ipsos and if they only have vance up slightly that’s not a very good sign
MicR
1 year ago
YouGov poll says 42% thought Vance won and 41% thought Walz won. I might have gotten too cocky, but assuming a similar bias that makes the Ipsos one practically a tossup. If my side was above 50% here I'd sell my shares, but since the odds are too low for a tossup it's not worth selling.
05brownboy
1 year ago
that is wikipedia and a request was made to change the title it’s meaningless
McLarry
1 year ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon
05brownboy
1 year ago
million 9 😀
JohannesWalterReich
1 year ago
Million 11
05brownboy
1 year ago
million is only 9 😀
JohannesWalterReich
1 year ago
Per rules, pluralization of MILLION counts
05brownboy
1 year ago
israel entering lebanon and israel invading lebanon are two different markets for a reason
McLarry
1 year ago
I was talking to a friend the other day about whether Israel would go into Lebanon and told him that I had bet on it. Next time I see him I'll have to tell him that I lost the bet because, contrary to media reports, Israel didn't go into Lebanon. LOL
05brownboy
1 year ago
why isn’t the market at 99 then?
BigMike11
1 year ago
FYI, Israel has invaded. Sure, they are downplaying it "localized, targeted, and limited", but none of those words mean no invasion. All invasions are localized, targeted, and limited. Hezbollah says they were invaded, but the invaders were crushed. That is still an invasion No bros.
05brownboy
1 year ago
the november market got proposed so it will resolve in the next 3 days it doesn’t give it the opportunity to get to november
Ferguson,Turd
1 year ago
nov market has 30 minutes for a dispute
05brownboy
1 year ago
whoever proposed that market screwed it up because that makes both these markets the same that one should’ve stayed unproposed til more evidence came out
Ferguson,Turd
1 year ago
nov market has 30 minutes for a dispute
05brownboy
1 year ago
they should honor the rules to resolve the market correctly but i don’t think they will
Axios
1 year ago
Feels like people are trying to win on technicality. Yes, there exists transactions before midnight but it's likely testing and or senior staff. Official announcements and members of the discord staff state the release was October 1st at 12:00 AM.
05brownboy
1 year ago
1 minute is wild
EdgyUsername
1 year ago
https://bitcoinworld.co.in/polymarket-yes-bettors-to-lose-on-eigen-airdrop/
05brownboy
1 year ago
yatsen is always right
Apsalar
1 year ago
imagine betting against YatSen. shouldn't be me
05brownboy
1 year ago
if that’s the case yes should be at 99.9
HsB34sgg
1 year ago
The Telegraph now confirming!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/
05brownboy
1 year ago
why are you doing this 😞
HaterzLoserz
1 year ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yCto3PCn8wo
05brownboy
1 year ago
a ground operation doesn’t mean invasion an invasion is a type of ground operation but not all ground operations are invasions
theytookmysnackbar
1 year ago
Any ground operation qualifies as an invasion, as it requires controlling territory before advancing. Only actions like spec ops or air strikes, which don't involve holding ground would not count
05brownboy
1 year ago
in that case market should be at 100 but the market isn’t smart it’s only at 70 good for u tho because u can buy dollar bills for 70 cents
HsB34sgg
1 year ago
Hey, wow! Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more, have ALL confirmed! It's a Yes resolution!
05brownboy
1 year ago
bills are cooked damn
05brownboy
1 year ago
good reply basic common sense
0xE42c9d2ef
1 year ago
Because she doesn’t say any of the words, how is someone supposed to say 50% of a word?
05brownboy
1 year ago
gg
05brownboy
1 year ago
old news says “monday” and both are not on good terms meeting looks unlikely market is priced fairly at 40% tho
Foreseeable.
1 year ago
Mr. Zelensky plans to meet Thursday with Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate for president. He then hopes to meet Thursday or Friday with Mr. Trump, who has said that he will “probably” meet with the Ukrainian president. Posted 25 minutes ago. How should Trump get a peace deal without talking to Zelensky? https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/24/world/zelensky-general-assembly-ukraine-war.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb
05brownboy
1 year ago
https://x.com/marquardta/status/1838627489632940353?s=46
Car
1 year ago
according to this CNN reporter there is still no scheduled meeting: https://x.com/KristenhCNN/status/1838588549953695824
05brownboy
1 year ago
this market is about him meeting in september
tsybka
1 year ago
To believe Trump's words is to not respect oneself. If he doesn't meet with Zelensky, it means he has no real plan to end the war, and it's all just empty talk in hopes of reclaiming the presidency.
05brownboy
1 year ago
💀💀💀
idfkanything
1 year ago
He won't say trans at an event titled "President Donald J. Trump to Deliver Remarks on the Tax Code and US Manufacturing, in Savannah, Georgia"
05brownboy
1 year ago
no
TortugaGorda
1 year ago
Suggested terms ... "Israel," "Ukraine," "McDonalds", "Putin", "Pocahontas," "Secret Service", "Golf", "AK-47", "Weird"
05brownboy
1 year ago
why don’t u buy then ? should be free money right
idfkanything
1 year ago
Latina and black +3 Yes might be undervalued considering "grassroots groups including Latinas for Harris, Win With Black Men and Republicans for Harris are participating." https://www.reuters.com/world/us/kamala-harris-oprah-winfrey-hold-virtual-event-aimed-battleground-states-2024-09-19/
05brownboy
1 year ago
both sides the prices are too high
DiversifyYoBonds
1 year ago
If the prices are wrong the bet the other side? Its literally 0 sum
05brownboy
1 year ago
shouldn’t u be buying yes then?
0xE42c9d2ef
1 year ago
Pager?
05brownboy
1 year ago
buy no it’s free money it’s literally a bond
0xE42c9d2ef
1 year ago
Pager?
05brownboy
1 year ago
those weren’t town halls buddy he’s only had two town halls recently one with tulsi and one with hannity and in both he didn’t say border 15+
SkillzThatKillz
1 year ago
In his last 3 town halls he said “Border” 28, 17, and 9 times. But the time with 9 is the oldest one.
05brownboy
1 year ago
fr throwing money in the trash
0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D82
1 year ago
Falcons ML is just burning money. Atleast take the + spread it you want falcons
05brownboy
1 year ago
keep lying to urself bro maybe buy more yes
jcooper3123212321
1 year ago
Lol he said border 19 times in the space
05brownboy
1 year ago
u should buy more yes
eb..
1 year ago
if anyone has 750, propose comrade kamala. big gap and opportunity there. it's the same as when he only says elon. it also counts. so, for comrade kamala or kamala comrade, both counts. the adjective is still being applied to the name kamala.
05brownboy
1 year ago
don’t think he would be talking about the federal reserve in this 💀
0xC798F14bFfeB3E19eD52Be9441860f7FfC0879b7-1720722924271
1 year ago
Reserve was under valued. Federal reserve, dollars as global reserve currency, Bitcoin reserve, any other mention of reserve.
05brownboy
1 year ago
u must be new
vikd
1 year ago
He said border about 40 times during his most recent event in Tucson, Arizona.
05brownboy
1 year ago
gg bro big w
Betwick
1 year ago
I'm pretty sure he hasn't said Comrade Kamala 3+ in any Town Hall or Interview type setting so far....
05brownboy
1 year ago
why u steal all the shares bro 😞
Betwick
1 year ago
I'm pretty sure he hasn't said Comrade Kamala 3+ in any Town Hall or Interview type setting so far....
05brownboy
1 year ago
as of now no reports suggesting it will be canceled all speculation
Apsalar
1 year ago
if you can't imagine it happening then why are you holding YES in everything else, and why not buy more NO?
05brownboy
1 year ago
yep u read the rules right
CometoJesusMoment
1 year ago
WTF is that "If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". "
05brownboy
1 year ago
49ers choking
05brownboy
1 year ago
that’s wild
Apsalar
1 year ago
does he not know the word "moderator"?? what the fuck
05brownboy
1 year ago
u just bought at a bad price
Liero
1 year ago
What just happened on tampon
05brownboy
1 year ago
that’s a big bet bro 💀
Lopgft
1 year ago
Comrade Kamala will hit
05brownboy
1 year ago
that was a rally this is a speech focused on the local economy in that specific area
gpsmatty
1 year ago
The last time trump said Abdul was at a Rally in Arizona, this event is in Arizona 🤞🏿
05brownboy
1 year ago
in a speech his focus is more on local issues it’s a more formal event than a rally although things like border 15+ will still hit that’s still an issue for them
mangoslice
1 year ago
This is a speech, not a rally. Not sure what the difference is, but it might mean that it will be shorter and he might not wander off topic as much.
05brownboy
1 year ago
why would he say “fact check” 💀
StevenBonnell
1 year ago
why the fuck is fact check so low?
05brownboy
1 year ago
scam
Sardinianshepherd
1 year ago
i did a quick analysis of the previus trump mention markets: https://ariverwhale.substack.com/p/polymarket-mention-markets-introduction
05brownboy
1 year ago
trusting u lil bro 🙏🙏
Lopgft
1 year ago
It will hit this time trust
05brownboy
1 year ago
2 hours not 1 hour
midastouch
1 year ago
how long is the average trump rally?
05brownboy
1 year ago
the moderaters from the debate which was unfair towards trump
addicts
1 year ago
Could anyone help me understand why trump would say "moderator"?
05brownboy
1 year ago
yeah in 1 rally 60 times
Car
1 year ago
lol 60 times in 1 rally?
05brownboy
1 year ago
in arizona
05brownboy
1 year ago
border 15+ is a lock 60 times at the last rally
05brownboy
1 year ago
border 15+ is a lock 60 times at the last rally
05brownboy
1 year ago
last time he said border like 60 times at his rally in arizona lol
05brownboy
1 year ago
the market starts at 9pm eastern time and ends at 1am eastern time who ever is ahead longer between this time the market will resolve to that person if kamala is ahead long during that time she will win here
n/a
1 year ago
Trump was literally up by 1% for hours now. Its done
05brownboy
1 year ago
between Sep 11, 9 PM ET and 1 AM ET. This market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other during this period.
n/a
1 year ago
Trump was literally up by 1% for hours now. Its done
05brownboy
1 year ago
read the rules
n/a
1 year ago
Trump was literally up by 1% for hours now. Its done
05brownboy
1 year ago
let’s see what happens
Kermit
1 year ago
The governor's gonna call any minute now! Oh yeah, it's all coming together. Gallows humor, anyone?
05brownboy
1 year ago
u only find out after
bfip
1 year ago
i am confident i have really good bets
05brownboy
1 year ago
still a chance she can pull out last minute
05brownboy
1 year ago
https://x.com/kamalaharris/status/1833465968086962265?s=46&t=zSbK9-JT5DlC_aQWM0O12g she says she’s going to be there will be fun to watch ig gg guys
05brownboy
1 year ago
https://x.com/kamalaharris/status/1833465968086962265?s=46&t=zSbK9-JT5DlC_aQWM0O12g she says she’s going to be there will be fun to watch ig gg guys
05brownboy
1 year ago
we could get both if it just gets postponed instead of canceled
Kermit
1 year ago
We'll all either be very entertained and have meme material for years, or we'll make a little money. Either way it's a win-win. Can't decide which I'd rather have. Debate would be better for the States and essentially the whole world, but who doesn't like winning a bet? If only we could have both.
05brownboy
1 year ago
thank u kermit bro 👍
ZakGlove
1 year ago
She was all bundled up today with a jacket and scarf while going on a walk with Doug, everyone else was wearing T shirts. She was mouth breathing and her nose looked red as well. She's gonna say she is sick in the morning and postpone.
05brownboy
1 year ago
he’s done it before ? 💀
alonl88
1 year ago
McDonald's is way overvalued at 19%. Why would he attack her over working or not working at McD's? Lame attack.
05brownboy
1 year ago
let’s see what happens!
NotJustKen
1 year ago
He started his last few tweets with "Comrade Kamala"
05brownboy
1 year ago
do you have a video?
ZakGlove
1 year ago
She was all bundled up today with a jacket and scarf while going on a walk with Doug, everyone else was wearing T shirts. She was mouth breathing and her nose looked red as well. She's gonna say she is sick in the morning and postpone.
05brownboy
1 year ago
a tweet is different from a debate setting
NotJustKen
1 year ago
He started his last few tweets with "Comrade Kamala"
05brownboy
1 year ago
looking at this there is a chance he will bring up whats happening in springfield ohio
05brownboy
1 year ago
President Trump signed the Preventing Animal Cruelty and Torture (PACT) Act into law on **November 25, 2019**. This legislation made certain acts of animal cruelty a federal felony.
05brownboy
1 year ago
President Trump signed the Preventing Animal Cruelty and Torture (PACT) Act into law on **November 25, 2019**. This legislation made certain acts of animal cruelty a federal felony.
05brownboy
1 year ago
we weren’t in a pandemic two months ago either when they said biden caught covid and pulled him out of the debate
debased
1 year ago
we are not in a pandemic now unless you are thinking they will be the patient zero for monkeypox in the us
05brownboy
1 year ago
donald trump declined it when he was asked about a virtual debate
05brownboy
1 year ago
most recently a debate in 2020 a presidential debate was cancelled it was scheduled for october 15th 2020 and the reason was due to donald trump catching covid this is still a realistic scenario if it occurs kamala might be given an opportunity to hold a virtual debate which she will clearly decline
05brownboy
1 year ago
most recently a debate in 2020 a presidential debate was cancelled it was scheduled for october 15th 2020 and the reason was due to donald trump catching covid this is still a realistic scenario if it occurs kamala might be given an opportunity to hold a virtual debate which she will clearly decline
05brownboy
1 year ago
looking at the 2020 debate between kamala and pence it was going horrible for kamala she’s just saying a whole lot of nothing if the democrats were smart they would think of a way to pull her out and postpone this 5 days is definitely not enough for her
05brownboy
1 year ago
to add this is probably a topic they will go back and forth on
05brownboy
1 year ago
he loves talking about the border it’s on an edge because he will only have approximately 40 minutes of speaking time i think it will still be over 15 100% but that’s probably why it’s lower
05brownboy
1 year ago
he loves talking about the border it’s on an edge because he will only have approximately 40 minutes of speaking time i think it will still be over 15 100% but that’s probably why it’s lower
SaulGoodmanEsq
1 year ago
How is border not 75% here? He said it 25 times last debate, and he's going to punch Harris even more because she's the border czar.
05brownboy
1 year ago
damn u actually right why would she be shopping for spices while preparing for the debate
CansGonzalez
1 year ago
https://x.com/nicksortor/status/1832473304894185610
05brownboy
1 year ago
bro 💀💀💀
Phantom007
1 year ago
Crypto/Bitcoin is underrated this year
05brownboy
1 year ago
it will still count as yes but if they start it i’m pretty sure they finish it. if they reschedule or cancel the debate then the market will resolve no
FilthyAnimal
1 year ago
What happens if the debate is cancelled midway due to unforeseen circumstances and doesn’t complete? What if one of them walks off the set? What if they decide to finish/restart at a later date, I would imagine it should resolve as No as the definition/rule refers to September 10th specifically.
05brownboy
1 year ago
she’s locked up in the hotel preparing let’s see what happens i will only believe she will show up when i see her walking out
bowtra
1 year ago
kamala will never be ready for a debate with anyone! hope she pospones
05brownboy
1 year ago
totally
jcooper3123212321
1 year ago
Market manipulators keep on manipulatin’
05brownboy
1 year ago
the updated estimate of $41M would be more accurate than an estimate from the morning
eb..
1 year ago
gosh, an estimate made on saturday, only 10 hours ago, is not " old", lol that's not how it works. after deadline makes a call, they are really precise. they almost never miss it by more than 3 million, especially when it's already saturday
05brownboy
1 year ago
i’m
eb..
1 year ago
gosh, an estimate made on saturday, only 10 hours ago, is not " old", lol that's not how it works. after deadline makes a call, they are really precise. they almost never miss it by more than 3 million, especially when it's already saturday
05brownboy
1 year ago
the problem with that is nfl is more geared towards men and this movie is more geared towards women
GW Tycoon
1 year ago
Shave off a million in sales from California blackouts and another 2-3 million from NFL and sunny weather in all major markets. And you get to sub 95
05brownboy
1 year ago
small problem is that estimate for $36M was from this morning
eb..
1 year ago
deadline is still calling this 95 to 100. and even if you see huge walk ins or another surprise, or good numbers for saturday, it is still between 95-100-105. since they are always very close. plus, numbers for saturday are being reported as 36, not 41. strange how the price here fluctuaded, it will very likely go back to the price of 50 to 70 again for 95-105.
05brownboy
1 year ago
momentum seems to be there $41M is the estimate for saturday as of now meaning it would only need $22.5M on sunday to surpass $105M did not think something like this could happen but ig it did
05brownboy
1 year ago
gg saturday was too good
aenews2
1 year ago
Gg... Again?
05brownboy
1 year ago
numbers changing as we speak look for more info soon $34-$35M as we speak
n/a
1 year ago
Where did you get 33m saturday from?
05brownboy
1 year ago
haha
aenews2
1 year ago
I'm praying for my bags. Please lord forgive me for my greed. Please let the Beetlejuice lovers swarm the theatres with glee, for the lols and for my pocketbook.
05brownboy
1 year ago
friday at $41.5M saturday $33M (could be wrong) $95-105M looking the most likely $105M+ out of question and sunday should be around $21-25M placing final estimate at $95.5M-$99.5M ($95.5M worst case) ($99.5M best case)
05brownboy
1 year ago
it’s earlier in the day maybe tickets will sell further into the day as the evening is the most important time the accuracy of my personal data can’t be 100% and i haven’t looked deep into other areas we will have to wait for a more accurate estimate
n/a
1 year ago
Only performing a “bit” better than yesterday? Even if today is no school/work?
05brownboy
1 year ago
looks good today but nothing above $33M
Tom.Cruise
1 year ago
Think today could hit $40m but it’s lookin dicy
05brownboy
1 year ago
we shall see what happens!
aenews2
1 year ago
Did I bond the wrong bracket? Or wagmi?
05brownboy
1 year ago
numbers don’t lie aenews but hey i’m probably not as smart as you gg
aenews2
1 year ago
Doubt it
05brownboy
1 year ago
not yet looking at ticket sales across my local area looks to be preforming a bit better than yesterday i’m not gonna lie it will be a close one
n/a
1 year ago
Did you get early Saturday data?
05brownboy
1 year ago
there was just to much optimism movie is underperforming the estimates
aenews2
1 year ago
Did I bond the wrong bracket? Or wagmi?
05brownboy
1 year ago
with yesterdays numbers at $41.5M lower than the $44M this should land anywhere in between $90-$100M saturday numbers need to be above $30M for a chance above $95M it’s a coin flip at the moment $105M out of the question
05brownboy
1 year ago
source?
qur1l
1 year ago
JUST IN: Kamala Harris appears to be trying to back out of the September 10 debate after her dismal CNN interview. The revelation comes just after ABC News rejected her demands, saying they would adopt the same rules as the CNN debate. In a post this morning, Harris once again demanded that the mics be unmuted at all times. "Donald Trump is surrendering to his advisors who won't allow him to debate with a live microphone. If his own team doesn't have confidence in him, the American people definitely can't," she said. "We are running for President of the United States. Let's debate in a transparent way, with the microphones on the whole time." Some reports claim Harris also wanted to be seated and have a "cheat sheet"
05brownboy
1 year ago
delete this bro let everyone do their own research
5to5000
1 year ago
From the last debate: Abortion 3 times, Border Czar 0 times, Fake news 0 times, Drill baby drill 0 times, Comrade Kamala 0 times, Elon 0 times, Epstein 0 times, MAGA 2 times, Alien 0 times, Border 27 times, Tampon 0 times, Fraud 1 time, crypto/btc 0 times, Israel 5 times, Marxist 0 times, China 11 times, McDonald's 0 times
05brownboy
1 year ago
looking like it
n/a
1 year ago
Jatinder, top box office analyst is projecting $105m-$112m... Def going over $105m
05brownboy
1 year ago
with $44m being estimated for friday it looks strong but it still needs the momentum to continue $100M-$105M its too much of a gamble i’m out
05brownboy
1 year ago
do ur own research bro anyone can lie
MasterMindful
1 year ago
Anyone can provide statistics on previous rallies / town halls ? hard to get data tbh
05brownboy
1 year ago
lol he said it three times in a row today at a campaign event “china china china”
ElonMuskin
1 year ago
5 times is a lot for china. He will say once maybe twice and move on
05brownboy
1 year ago
no we will get them tomorrow morning probably just an estimate but they tend to be accurate
n/a
1 year ago
Do we have early numbers for Friday?
05brownboy
1 year ago
reviews look bad friday numbers need to be above $45M to have any shot at $105M
05brownboy
1 year ago
i wouldn’t say it will surpass $105M it would definitely need the general public fans alone will not do it but when we get a friday estimate it will be clear
05brownboy
1 year ago
it is definitely a gamble but since it doesn’t have mainstream appeal compared to a movie like “it”
05brownboy
1 year ago
it is definitely a gamble but since it doesn’t have mainstream appeal compared to a movie like “it”
sosuke
1 year ago
Time to get out, 13m previews is insane, 87% certified fresh on rotten too, way too much of a gamble, this can easily overshoots, weekend with no other competition too
05brownboy
1 year ago
i just see september isn’t the best month for movies especially for the general public and this really does need the general public to push above $105M i just looked at the numbers and compared similar movies i just don’t see as much hype around it compared to similar movies
n/a
1 year ago
Same, $95-105M how did you calculate / assess?
05brownboy
1 year ago
chatgpt then it told me it lied to me but i’m looking at the numbers and it all depends on word of mouth i still think it will be $95-105M i just don’t see a lot of non movie fans watching this
n/a
1 year ago
Yeah lol who told u that?
05brownboy
1 year ago
nevermind i think i was lied to i can only find $11M for Thursday i can’t find a reputable source for wednesdays numbers
n/a
1 year ago
Source for $18.7m?
05brownboy
1 year ago
wonder woman did a combined $18.7M on wednesday and thursday $103M on opening weekend this sits at $12-13M im thinking around $95-$105M still a gamble
05brownboy
1 year ago
bro pegula choked so hard i lost all hope 💀💀
diddy
1 year ago
What the hell is Pechuga doing so bad
05brownboy
1 year ago
at a rally not a town hall
gpsmatty
1 year ago
I'm going to be so annoyed if there are no Comrade Kamala's, it's his best catch phrase
05brownboy
1 year ago
i got it for cheap that’s the only reason there still a chance of it being below $105M but it’s a 70/30
X9504
1 year ago
Brown boy then why are you No on greater than 105m?
05brownboy
1 year ago
agreed between $100M-$115M
aenews2
1 year ago
That is definitely wrong
05brownboy
1 year ago
take it as a lesson bro happens to everyone
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
well this is fucked lol
05brownboy
1 year ago
yeah we’ll only find out when it’s out 👍 good luck to you and respect for doing some homework
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
In the past year there has been 1 single video under 90 minutes and it was with Mark Zuckerberg, not in person. 2.3% as a percentage. 0% if you include the fact Zuckerberg was not present in real life. The last interview in person under 90 minutes as an in person interview was in April 2022.
05brownboy
1 year ago
ur the one down like $600 💀👍
tsybka
1 year ago
clown
05brownboy
1 year ago
and only 1 trump interview has been over 2 hours recently and trump was trying to wrap things up a lot earlier you should buy more yes tho while it’s cheap
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
In the past 4 years there since episode 108 where Lex began doing longer form podcasts 15 have been under 90 minutes. A percentage would be .045 as decimal or 4.5% as a percentage. So anything over 5% for a No is basically one single photo of a timer. That's the entire betting line I suppose. I laid out all my evidence otherwise.
05brownboy
1 year ago
nah bro trump doesn’t have a schedule people can interview him as long as they’d like not like he’s a busy guy or something
Mr-Yolos
1 year ago
When Logan Paul did a podcast with Trump it was only 53minutes hmm
05brownboy
1 year ago
ur not very bright i see https://youtu.be/2ImLPM63DbQ?si=kIPCLc_FCgO2f1zi as i said before august 27th 2024 this interview was exactly 59 minutes
PunishedCK
1 year ago
Two hours https://youtu.be/KkBkgqt_mT0?si=tXCH39haHwhMqfns
05brownboy
1 year ago
the adin ross interview was exactly 1 hour 17 minutes and they were pushing the time
PunishedCK
1 year ago
Dr Phil is two hours. Nelk Boys was with jd. Adin Ross was a whole day thing
05brownboy
1 year ago
dr phil interview was exactly 59 minutes it happened on august 27th 2024
PunishedCK
1 year ago
Dr Phil is two hours. Nelk Boys was with jd. Adin Ross was a whole day thing
05brownboy
1 year ago
nelk boy’s interview under 90 minutes logan paul interview under 90 minutes adin ross interview under 90 minutes dr phil interview under 90 minutes and even the last town hall got cut and was only 30 minutes maybe because trump has a schedule? y’all look at lexs interviews but not trumps buy more yes 👍
05brownboy
1 year ago
something in the picture directly tied to the interview not “something in the comments”
tsybka
1 year ago
If you're placing bets just because someone wrote something in the comments, you're idiots.
05brownboy
1 year ago
ur a scammer but what would a 1 minute timer do have trump answer the question in a minute or less? please use some common sense
AutismCapital
1 year ago
MDarble is insecure lol... conspiracy theory at a 1 minute default timer
05brownboy
1 year ago
yeah they definitely stop the timer at exactly 1 hour so they can take a picture maybe they didn’t want to take a picture before they started the interview
PunishedCK
1 year ago
I think they just stopped the interview at the one hour mark to take a picture. Lex asked for questions a couple days ago and he has enough questions to ask for hours.
05brownboy
1 year ago
brother the whole point of a timer is to count down this isn’t new information
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
That counter does not count up, it counts down. Just an FYI. I used google lens to find out which type of timer it was most similar to, it's a normal kitchen counter. Meaning that the interview was at least 60 minutes. It does not mean that there is any proof that this thing counter up to 1:00:00, because it's not a stopwatch, it has no feature of one.
05brownboy
1 year ago
that’s a great example of a “sit down” interview
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
did you see the elon interview? 2 hours 5 mins, jsut a few weeks ago
05brownboy
1 year ago
yes he does actually under 90 minutes and under 60 minutes
X9504
1 year ago
Does he even have a single podcast below 3 hours? Good thing Trump doesn’t like to ramble or anything
05brownboy
1 year ago
he says when he talks about china sending drugs
n/a
1 year ago
in what context would he say fentanyl lol?
05brownboy
1 year ago
if she says donald trump in 1 phrases i think it will only count as once but it is unclear that’s just what i think
ALevinson
1 year ago
The rules on the “Donald Trump” market are unclear. It’s says “resolve to yes if she says “Donald” or Trump” 5+ times. So if she says “Donald Trump, Donald Trump, Trump” is that 5?
05brownboy
1 year ago
it is possible he does but more than likely he won’t in my opinion
SaulGoodmanEsq
1 year ago
In what scenario does he say debate?
05brownboy
1 year ago
it’s the first option
CharlieSheenForPrez
1 year ago
lol tampon is a option!!
05brownboy
1 year ago
bro 😭😭😭
0x61e316B5e7024693b3dD9d96d17279afA30d39cF-1723610183174
1 year ago
i'm so retarded
05brownboy
1 year ago
i agree i think there’s a higher chance of him not saying it because it’s so specific but you never know with trump
0xE42c9d2ef
1 year ago
Green New Scam is way overpriced, the word order is very specific escpecially if you heard JD Vance's speech
05brownboy
1 year ago
debate is undervalued fr
homosexual
1 year ago
Why would he not say debate?