#30
Rank
991
Comments
334
Likes Received
159
Likes Given
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dude, relax and read up on UN Security Council Resolution 1701. The ENTIRE world has known about for roughly 18 years. Kevin at UMA is a moron playing with an Easy Bake oven. Whoever created this market is as numb as those who fixed the September Invade market. https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september
0
NothingEverHappens
7 months ago
The jews can't cuck out if else they will become an eternal laughing stock among all of the armies arround the world. The only way out for Israel is to escalate and drag USA into a war against the shiite axis (Iran included).
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hey, you're mean. I'm just paraphrasing what master Domer/JustsKam said to fix yet another market using sKamGPT and his influence over at UMA!
0
Upway
7 months ago
why would they withdraw their troops, lol
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Why.., it was just a quick "in and out" in the first place. Just ask Domer/JustsKam. All you have to do is search the entire internet for "in and out". It's a synonym for "limited incursion" don’t you know! It would most certainly never be indicative of the commencement of a military offensive. Besides, in state warfare, it’s the kids with boots who call the shots, not the president or prime minister. PM Domer/JustsKam clownworld.
0
Upway
7 months ago
why would they withdraw their troops, lol
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Whoever created this market is as numb as those who fixed the September Invade market. https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Please reach out @katiasantos6330
0
mona.lisa
7 months ago
https://x.com/primo_data/status/1843284148649406842?s=46&t=sEhIeX3cwuO-BwyUSt3igA Kevin chan fixed the outcome
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels its criminal. They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. Please contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Do NOT claim worthless tokens. PRESERVE THE RECORD!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
How about, "Do Jews rule Congress?"
2
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
New market: Are Kevin Chan and Shayne Coplan philantropists? Wonder what the UMA outcome will be :P
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels its criminal. They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. Please contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Do NOT claim worthless tokens. PRESERVE THE RECORD! Anyone who scares you into silence... think.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
For access to more data, join the discussion @katiasantos6330
2
n/a
7 months ago
Polymarket HAS to take action. This was a clearly manipulated voting, any unbiased arbitrator would resolve this to Yes or to 50/50 in the worst case. The group of 2-5 people that control most of the votes at UMA colluded to vote No and then continually sold Yes in the market. This goes against everything that Polymarket should stand for. I will not remained with my arms crossed and will take it to the last consequences legally and publicly with the media. Polymarket needs to step up and defend its good faith customers that where blatantly scammed. Even the No holders mock saying they bought because they know how rigged was the market, not because there was any proof backing that position. Polymarket needs to intervene or this will have long term consequences, do what is right! That’s how you build a trusted and successful company!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Do not claim worthless tokens. Preserve the record.
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Sincerely, please hit me up on Discord @katiasantos6330
0
Cryptonord
7 months ago
@shayne_coplan Tweet out to him
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Please hit me up on Discord @katiasantos6330
0
Phoenix777
7 months ago
this just isn't right!!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hit me up on Discord @katiasantos6330
0
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
@YES gang, all you need to know, report the riggers: https://trustpilot.com/review/polymarket.com - https://dump.li/image/get/6f2fe16696f52436.png - https://dune.com/primo_data/uma-voter-polymarket-disputes?market_tc8b8e=Will+Israel+invade+Lebanon+in+September%3F&time_td376e=1728001850 - https://x.com/kevinchan2020/status/1839522928565912048 - https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22 - https://forms.cftc.gov/Forms/Complaint/Screen1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hmm... By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Where are you getting this "more forcefully" theory? SKamGPT?
0
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
The UN peacekeepers, one of the neutral parties in this conflict, said on October 1st that they had not seen an invasion, and then on Wednesday October 2nd, they indicated that they had seen one.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I'm sure UN peacekeepers were camping out in the bushes watching the invasion point. lol
0
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
The UN peacekeepers, one of the neutral parties in this conflict, said on October 1st that they had not seen an invasion, and then on Wednesday October 2nd, they indicated that they had seen one.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
And the commencement happened before that. Troops don't move without the sayso of the upper brass.
0
zynyz
7 months ago
"Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" Resolved Yes
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's just a public safety issue during crises when PM promises that it can be better than the news. It's a public danger. (Read promise top of page.)
0
McLarry
7 months ago
It's so funny! Everyone who hears about UMA for the first time immediately thinks, 'LOL, what if a few whales just control everything while making some nice money?' And that's exactly it! LOL. It's actually not that sophisticated when you think about it
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Can boots on the ground commence a military offensive whenever they want, or are military chains of command tight?
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
In a modern democracy, who has the power to commence a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any country? Is it the president, the prime minister, the secretary of state, the security council, or the soldiers on the ground? https://english.news.cn/20241001/e1be7740b8b94511af387a22a5e12e4c/c.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
In a modern democracy, who has the power to commence a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any country? Is it the president, the prime minister, the secretary of state, the security council, or the soldiers on the ground? https://english.news.cn/20241001/e1be7740b8b94511af387a22a5e12e4c/c.html
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels its criminal. They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger.
1
HaterzLoserz
7 months ago
The way UMA is designed and distributed right now makes for a very toxic system as far as I can see. The main bulk consists of UMA team members who vote with enough tokens to achieve Quorum on all disputes. Then, the main incentive to purchase large amounts of UMA outside of that actually comes from traders + arbers who want to manipulate the dispute mechanism to trade in and out of positions during the dispute or arb the final decision. This makes for a very unhealthy system where the incentive does not always amount to the most objective truth imo. Mechanisms like the reveal period, incentivise Whales not to reveal their side of the vote to supress the price and buy up more tokens for the side they think will win for example. Between the core tokens being held by 2-3 people, and this attraction of actors who seek to profit from the dispute mechanism, lack of transparency and timely visibility on whose voting unless you run a node and can code Dune requests. Its just a terrible look for any new user who gets involved in a dispute like this and encounters the process. Should be very high on Poly's to do list after the election, Polytoken and use it for their own system thats much improved. Just an analysis of the current system and its flaws, i dont necessarily want to revert this decision or anything, it is what it is.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Guys, hit me up on Discord @katiasantos6330
0
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
@Chad and the Yes holders: if you need a name and a face, Kevin Chan of UMA voted NO with 32.5% of all shares. I wonder if this constitutes fraud in the US, since he's gaining financial incentive from voting on false outcomes. Interestingly, Pablo Maldonado of UMA voted No, but he has only has 3.3% of all shares. Source: https://dune.com/primo_data/uma-voter-polymarket-disputes?market_tc8b8e=Will+Israel+invade+Lebanon+in+September%3F&time_td376e=1728001850
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
A good angle for that article is the failure of prediction markets (read top of market page Re: Polym based
0
n/a
7 months ago
"In accordance with the decision of the political echelon, a few hours ago, the IDF began limited, localized, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence against Hezbollah terrorist targets and infrastructure in southern Lebanon. These targets are located in villages close to the border and pose an immediate threat to Israeli communities in northern Israel. The IDF is operating according to a methodical plan set out by the General Staff and the Northern Command which IDF soldiers have trained and prepared for in recent months. The Israeli Air Force and IDF Artillery are supporting the ground forces with precise strikes on military targets in the area. These operations were approved and carried out in accordance with the decision of the political echelon. Operation “Northern Arrows” will continue according to the situational assessment and in parallel to combat in Gaza and in other arenas. The IDF is continuing to operate to achieve the goals of the war and is doing everything necessary to defend the citizens of Israel and return the citizens of northern Israel to their homes."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
0
n/a
7 months ago
"In accordance with the decision of the political echelon, a few hours ago, the IDF began limited, localized, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence against Hezbollah terrorist targets and infrastructure in southern Lebanon. These targets are located in villages close to the border and pose an immediate threat to Israeli communities in northern Israel. The IDF is operating according to a methodical plan set out by the General Staff and the Northern Command which IDF soldiers have trained and prepared for in recent months. The Israeli Air Force and IDF Artillery are supporting the ground forces with precise strikes on military targets in the area. These operations were approved and carried out in accordance with the decision of the political echelon. Operation “Northern Arrows” will continue according to the situational assessment and in parallel to combat in Gaza and in other arenas. The IDF is continuing to operate to achieve the goals of the war and is doing everything necessary to defend the citizens of Israel and return the citizens of northern Israel to their homes."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Actual boots on the ground would follow those order then, right?
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
In a modern democracy, who has the power to commence a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any country? Is it the president, the prime minister, the secretary of state, the security council, or the soldiers on the ground? https://english.news.cn/20241001/e1be7740b8b94511af387a22a5e12e4c/c.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hey Domer, maybe you can do a cursory Google search to verify it's not AI generated.
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The new song I call the Domer song, and not AI generated. Brought to you by human search intelligence, ME, right down to the fishing and florescence. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The new song I call the Domer song, and not AI generated. Brought to you by human search intelligence, ME, right down to the fishing and florescence. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The new song I call the Domer song, and not AI generated. Brought to you by human search intelligence, ME, right down to the fishing and florescence. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket! https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You can find a version of the above message that corresponds to the timestamp way down below in this PM feed reporting news report, after news report, in real-time.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Isn't it nice for the world to have UMA who only takes a week to prove that all the major news networks, the Israeli government, and the IDF are all liars? By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Isn't it nice for the world to have UMA who only takes a week to prove that all the major news networks, the Israeli government, and the IDF are all liars? By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You offend everyone.
0
mr.ozi
7 months ago
At least I don't go around offending everyone that doesn't agree with my perspective.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Last time the chart went up it just came down. Chart experts draw a line from the two bottom points to now.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I hope this goes right but UMA always changes it. Maybe 65% chance No outcome? That's why only small bet with my small account, not big one.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
All the P1 No voters that argue "We know in happened Oct. 1, so nothing happened Sept. 30th" are from those in advanced time zones ahead of ET. So, for them it did happed on Oct. 1, only they forgot to convert to ET. Oopsie!!!
0
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
You know, it just might be Domer's FUD. 62% of the market agree with the semantics. Only UMA can twist the semantics.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I'm going to call this the Domer song from now on! Down to the fluorescence, and not AI generated! Human search intelligence!!! MINE!!!! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Scroll ALL the way down this PM feed to the relative time stamped in the message above. You'll find a matching version.
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
And they kept going house to house and holding ground, in and in. https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
0
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
What do you guys think about Hart Lambur & Kevin Chan from UMA if they find out that domah will manipulate the market? Happy or unhappy? Let them know on X: https://x.com/kevinchan2020 and https://x.com/hal2001/status/1793752920799990092
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dear Kobafix, you're really not helping your case either. Noted.
0
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
What do you guys think about Hart Lambur & Kevin Chan from UMA if they find out that domah will manipulate the market? Happy or unhappy? Let them know on X: https://x.com/kevinchan2020 and https://x.com/hal2001/status/1793752920799990092
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Public danger! Read PolyMarket's promise top of this market page. If someone in future is unknowingly in imminent danger, and checks to find something similar as what happened here through market manipulation and tricks, people could get hurt.
0
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
What do you guys think about Hart Lambur & Kevin Chan from UMA if they find out that domah will manipulate the market? Happy or unhappy? Let them know on X: https://x.com/kevinchan2020 and https://x.com/hal2001/status/1793752920799990092
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
UMA banned me and deleted ALL my posts from 8/28 onward. I kinda wonder at who's request, even tangentially.
0
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
What do you guys think about Hart Lambur & Kevin Chan from UMA if they find out that domah will manipulate the market? Happy or unhappy? Let them know on X: https://x.com/kevinchan2020 and https://x.com/hal2001/status/1793752920799990092
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
This one's for our little buddy Domer. We know what you did. We all saw it. Bad Domer! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/
0
Carlossss
7 months ago
https://www.un.org/en/lebanon-crisis-un-launches-426-million-aid-appeal-%E2%80%98limited%E2%80%99-israeli-ground-incursion-underway
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
But of course, that was then. These days, they signal elite divisions to penetrate deeper, and deeper, and deeper until the rat holes are obliterated? So, I ask you which you prefer? Modern and tactical, or Biblical for all time?
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
until the cliff comes at 02:00AM
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Will that be a light lunch same as last night? Or, pizza delivery? I'm not sure which one I prefer at the moment. At least I know from old stories that the riders come at dawn to disinfect. You know what they say about sunlight!
1
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
until the cliff comes at 02:00AM
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Your manipulations of the facts to force your own personal desired outcomes don't work on sophisticated people. You're like a child trying to teach his father about history.
1
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
I've only posted my evidence a zillion times that the UN peacekeepers (a neutral party with no incentive to lie) said there had not been an invasion yet on October 1st. This is in addition to Lebanon, the IDF, and the US State Department. And it would be in line with a vote that ALREADY HAPPENED in UMA court. The price is at 63c right now. If Yes loses (and I don't think its a guarantee that it does!), then there is nobody to blame but your own stubbornness.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I think people need to understand. Israel has no reason to lie to their own people, ESPECIALLY DURING WAR. Israel's main concern is for the safety of it's own people, but they also let wounded enemy fighters into their hospitals to see the best doctors. The Jewish people are very good at medicine. https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yodelayheehoo!!! Time for a nice relaxing hike up the mountain.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I'll buy you a cupcake, Cupcake.
1
Reaper01
7 months ago
Yes guys, would you buy me groceries for my donation?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's pathological. So much so, he thinks that just showing up to say hello will move the market. His reputation is toasl!
0
McLarry
7 months ago
Being the Commander-in-Chief of a scam and calling yourself a do-gooder is crazy
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Read the PolyMarket promise top of page.
0
Carlossss
7 months ago
this is an obvious YES, why is 67%???
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
@doglover69 Right!? A week to resolve an earth shaking event starting Sept. 30th. This has real-world public safety implications.
0
Carlossss
7 months ago
this is an obvious YES, why is 67%???
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The riders come at dawn... To disinfect!
0
carp
7 months ago
We live in a twilight world, and there are no friends at dusk.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Wake up!!! Nobody here believes your garbage "research". See why I put research in quotations?
0
LangdonBonaparte
7 months ago
In the history books the start of invasions are always marked as when large conventional forces enter the territory. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im Small raids by special forces never count towards that. There were no clashes between Israeli forces and Hezbollah in September ET time and there were never any large conventional forces in Lebanon in September ET time.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
@Cheerful... What?
0
Donkov
7 months ago
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive ..." Keyword commences. November resolving to YES and IDF saying Sept 30 is the start of the ground offensive of Northern arrows op makes it a pretty clear YES. https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
@ Donkov OKAY, let's compare. Israel sent in Division 98 into Gaza first. How's Gaza looking now?
1
LangdonBonaparte
7 months ago
Almost always before an invasion there are operations by small special forces, they do not count towards the start of the invasion! Look of a few examples. Iraq, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im . The invasion of Lebanon 2024 started on October 2th. This is not a market on whether israeli forces invades Lebanon. It's if they did it before October.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
And many more, division after division, followed IN and IN afterwards once the elite Division 98 cleared the way. Stop inventing stuff in your silly little mind.
0
LangdonBonaparte
7 months ago
Almost always before an invasion there are operations by small special forces, they do not count towards the start of the invasion! Look of a few examples. Iraq, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im . The invasion of Lebanon 2024 started on October 2th. This is not a market on whether israeli forces invades Lebanon. It's if they did it before October.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
How about we look at the CURRENT example in reality! Israel sent in one of their most elite strike forces! IDF 98th Division https://israelradar.com/idf-98th-division-israels-primary-strike-force/
1
LangdonBonaparte
7 months ago
Almost always before an invasion there are operations by small special forces, they do not count towards the start of the invasion! Look of a few examples. Iraq, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im . The invasion of Lebanon 2024 started on October 2th. This is not a market on whether israeli forces invades Lebanon. It's if they did it before October.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Please tell me in what war in history did they go in and out, and in and out on day one.
1
Tenebrus7
7 months ago
If October would not have happend September would not be N invasion, so how can September by itself be an invasion. We will see shortly, in case No loses people will be quiet - in case yes loses, people gonna spam the comment section how unfair it is.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Where are you getting this "in and out" BS? They go house to house clearing threats inwards, onwards, and forwards. Whoever told you "in and out" was lying to you so you stupidly buy shares. Oopsie!!!
0
Tenebrus7
7 months ago
If October would not have happend September would not be N invasion, so how can September by itself be an invasion. We will see shortly, in case No loses people will be quiet - in case yes loses, people gonna spam the comment section how unfair it is.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Gauth is correct. The difference is that Israel wasn't invited in by Lebanon. When someone goes into a home uninvited, they invade. When someone comes to close too you unwantedly, they invade your space. Stop the bullshit.
3
LangdonBonaparte
7 months ago
A very good comparison for this market is the D-Day invasion. On the night before the invasion thousands of paratroopers were dropped over France. They are not counted as the first invasion force nor is D-Day referred to have started on June 5th, even though there were special operations taking place throughout Normandy on that date. Special operations, BEFORE the conventional forces, are never part of the invasion force and the invasion force marks the start of the invasion. This is simple! Same with German special ops into Poland at the start of WW2, a false flag operation. They do not mark the start of the invasion. Nothing has changed here. I can't possible see how UMA goes from P4 to P2. Sorry. Best case scenario for Yes-holders is a 50-50, which I see as more likely.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I'll invite the IDF girls to watch.
0
Donkov
7 months ago
Tie me to a missile and fire it at UMA. I am ready
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
:)
0
HaterzLoserz
7 months ago
Im back to the 70k shares i had before Sept30th ;)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
6
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You don't sayyyyy... Hahahaha!
0
tsybka
7 months ago
i'm a tsybka and i say it will resolve no
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
@Brokie You misspelled "smartass". Car is a dumper. He's trying to sell you NOs.
3
Car
7 months ago
i'm a jew and i say it will resolve no
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Listen to the Jewish experts here guys and save your money. Don't be fooled by people trying to trick you to buy the No side.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It already is!
0
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
don't waste your time, in a few hours the truth should be reestablished
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yodelayheehoo!!!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Why isn't the chart going up? Why we can't go higher? It's gonna fall?
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Read and learn scammers!!! They had to make a meeting so Israel did "targeted raids" on Sept. 30! https://unifil.unmissions.org/unifil-statement-1-october-2024
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
DON'T EVEN TRY!!!!
2
fafafafafafafafafafafafafaffafafafa
7 months ago
How many more times can we flip the market? I think we should aim for 5 or 6 total flips. We can do it!!!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Guys!!! The Yes is going down. Stop scamming!!!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
But they have proof Oct 1.
0
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
in the history books it will be written that the invasion began on the night of the 30th to the 1st (so the 30th at the time indicated by the market) to say that the invasion did not arrive at that time is now completely absurd! People talk about scam if the market resolves with YES but that is what happened! so continuing to advocate no without any logic hoping for a scam on your side is rejecting the entire integrity of this site on which you bet thousands of euros for some! it is distressing
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You've got to be kidding me! WHAT THE HELL!!!! I went to place a limit order, but it automatically switched to a market buy for 91 NO, so I tried to flip it, and it happened again. FINALLY, I was able to fix the problem an ended up with 48. I'm exhausted from all of this! I'm out!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Pathetic! DUHmer.
0
McLarry
7 months ago
Domer's latest take is that Chad is single-handedly carrying the market and is essentially a confused loner. His emergency tweet at the beginning of the vote. This man is hardly surpassable in terms of embarrassment.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You've got to be kidding me! WHAT THE HELL!!!! I went to place a limit order, but it automatically switched to a market buy for 91 NO, so I tried to flip it, and it happened again. FINALLY, I was able to fix the problem an ended up with 48. I'm exhausted from all of this! I'm out! Good luck ya/nos!!! I'll be back to watch the resolution. That's it.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
They might take this down to 55. Guys!!! Please!!!
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I have ABSOLUTELY no idea what's going to happen at UMA. They say majority was P4, so that means it has to go P1 No now. WTH!!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I have ABSOLUTELY no idea what's going to happen at UMA. They say majority was P4, so that means it has to go P1 No now. WTH!!!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Where's my Subzero at? I got banned by UMA, so Katia can't defend from the scammers any more. They're going to take control over the chat now! Some of them are saying we know it happened on Oct. 1, so Sept. 30 nothing happened. Is that true? Is that what they are saying?
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
WHAT THE HELL!!!! I went to place a limit order, but it automatically switched to a market buy for 91 NO, so I tried to flip it, and it happened again. FINALLY, I was able to fix the problem an ended up with 48 shares. I'm exhausted from all of this! I'm out! Good luck ya/nos!!! I'll be back to watch the resolution. That's it.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Exactly!
1
sol44
7 months ago
he will win , because izrael did not invade , its october , we knew what happened in september
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Isn't beautiful? So exotic!
0
DFK
7 months ago
I can almost hear the accent.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's a Jewish holiday, so no invasion.
0
sol44
7 months ago
today we have october , so we know that izrael did not invade to lebanon in september, so how come is possible still betting on NO option and grab free money ?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Love, love, love!
1
TheGoober
7 months ago
chad is such a beautiful man no homo
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
THIS IS SPARTA!!!!!!!!
1
Meow.Zedong
7 months ago
Justice forces
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I salute you!
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Last vote was majority P4 "wait and see" (manipulate), so logically it has to resolve to P1 No, like every other time everyone is used to, right? lol BURN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
0
Besh24
7 months ago
Hang in ur telling me nov market is 100%… but the invasion happened in Sep… and we arnt at 100% here
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Fill in the blanks? Was it a "happening"?
0
Besh24
7 months ago
Hang in ur telling me nov market is 100%… but the invasion happened in Sep… and we arnt at 100% here
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
4
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
He's clearly one of the main culprits in this dispute.
2
Meow.Zedong
7 months ago
JustKen: “I don’t like to have any shares during the UMA vote dude” —- Buys 25k more shares.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
What on earth could possibly be your point?
6
Car
7 months ago
this market is about SEPTEMBER. duh
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
o.01% NO
0
BibiNetanCocksucker
7 months ago
november voting is over no?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
93.71% YES
0
BibiNetanCocksucker
7 months ago
november voting is over no?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
82.1% reporting.
0
BibiNetanCocksucker
7 months ago
november voting is over no?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's a close one!!!!
0
BibiNetanCocksucker
7 months ago
november voting is over no?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people who engaged in criminal market fixing here are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people who engaged in criminal market fixing here are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people who engaged in criminal market fixing here are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
In fact, it's disgusting. The reason why you see the terms "incursion", "limited", "operation" often in quotations is because they are euphemisms to calm the wider audience, so we don't have a stampede on our hands and a greater humanitarian disaster. MY GOD!!!! You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world event. Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tank roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The fact this market was even disputed in the first place is disgraceful!!! We're talking about a large scale event of international proportions on the world stage. It happened. Israel invaded Lebanon on Sept. 30th. Using semantical arguments to manipulate this market page and chart is preposterous!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Luckily, I am a geopolitical expert, and can see through their ridiculous semantical manipulations with X-ray glasses.
0
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
no evidence is provided to support the no supporters (we only see "I think" "I find" as if they were geopolitical experts) while many are for the yes but I have the impression that more people in favor of the no are expressing their opinions, I hope that this will not hide the truth
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The fact this market was even disputed in the first place is disgraceful!!! We're talking about a large scale event of international proportions on the world stage. It happened. Israel invaded Lebanon on Sept. 30th. Using semantical arguments to manipulate this market page and chart is preposterous!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's quite concise, well written, and based on facts supported by relevant sources. I'm actually quite impressed!
0
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
50pence1826 2024-10-04, 4:14 PM P2 Yes A consensus of reporting is referring to the larger operation as an invasion. The market states it will resolve "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive. " Commence" does not require the full deployment of a massive force; it simply requires the beginning of a military operation. The operation to invade Lebanon began the night of the 30th after it was authorized by the cabinet and the 1st troops entered Lebanon. https://x.com/nytimes/status/1841027784530911493 https://x.com/Reuters/status/1840938872055697838 https://x.com/washingtonpost/status/1840895921464226061 https://x.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1841025054609469507 https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/1840857676781080600 https://x.com/FoxNews/status/1840780792089235835
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Gotta click the "Read Full Story" button here, https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/flashpoints-of-lebanon-invasion-israel-hezbollah-un-drawn-border-river-violated-buffer-zone-2609602-2024-10-01
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Sept. 30th, local confirmations from inside Lebanon of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” were blowing up. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032 Bombed https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840758553016942887
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
IDF https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776 IDF Raid https://x.com/ELINTNews/status/1841089759898149203 IDF https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776 IDF https://x.com/idf/status/1841506768364466419 IDF https://x.com/idf/status/1841093834253480321 IDF https://x.com/IDF/status/1841205620709503051
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an invasion! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Man, you come up with some good stuff! I'm here with stull like, Car's analyst, "YOU'RE FIRED"! lol
1
McLarry
7 months ago
Did you know that Car spends all day pissing in bottles and sitting at his computer waiting for news pop-ups to buy up outdated limit orders? Otherwise he has creative bets like “will bitcoin reach 250k”, which bring him a whole 8% apy. Cynics would say he might as well leave it alone and put his money in the S&P500, but what do they know.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Sept. 30th, local confirmations from inside Lebanon of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” were blowing up. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
THIS IS SPARTA!!!!!!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
DUH DATA ANALYST!!! YOU'RE FIRED!!!!
0
Car
7 months ago
YES gang should reconsider their betting strategies
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
OMG!!! The above article may have been borne out by the current facts. I hate reading about the loss of human life. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/1/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israelis-launch-ground-operation-in-lebanon "“It is not what the Israelis are telling us. From open source [intelligence], we understand that the Israelis have prepared at least 18 brigades. So we are talking about between 70,000 and 100,000 soldiers,” Magnier told Al Jazeera."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/1/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israelis-launch-ground-operation-in-lebanon "“It is not what the Israelis are telling us. From open source [intelligence], we understand that the Israelis have prepared at least 18 brigades. So we are talking about between 70,000 and 100,000 soldiers,” Magnier told Al Jazeera."
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
At this stage, it's looking more and more criminal, in fact.
1
BigMike11
7 months ago
Look, pumping the No price rather than making sound arguments is a strategy. But, maybe not the best one?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Nice try DUH, DUHMER (JustsKam), and DUHMERER crew. You're all unsophisticated.
0
Car
7 months ago
YES gang should reconsider their betting strategies
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
0
Wook-Capital-Fund-I
7 months ago
I don’t understand the No argument. 1. Nov resolve to Yes. 2. Dozens reports say it started Sept. 3. Criteria is “intend to establish control”.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
BECAUSE THIS!!! Enter Sept. UNANIOUS YES!!!
0
Wook-Capital-Fund-I
7 months ago
I don’t understand the No argument. 1. Nov resolve to Yes. 2. Dozens reports say it started Sept. 3. Criteria is “intend to establish control”.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel sent in one of their most elite strike forces! IDF 98th Division https://israelradar.com/idf-98th-division-israels-primary-strike-force/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
@rizi, Still pumping the old quick "in and out" fantasy? lol
0
McLarry
7 months ago
On 1 October 2024, Israel began an invasion of southern Lebanon in an escalation of the ongoing Israel–Hezbollah conflict, a result of the spillover of the Israel–Hamas war. It followed a series of major attacks on Hezbollah in September that degraded its capabilities[31][32] and devastated its leadership;[33][34] beginning with the explosions of its communication devices,[35][36] followed by an Israeli aerial bombing campaign targeting Hezbollah throughout Lebanon,[37] and culminating in the 27 September assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.[38][39]
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
WIKIPEDIA!!! The #2 best friend of criminal con men market fixing manipulators after ChatGPT!!!!
0
McLarry
7 months ago
On 1 October 2024, Israel began an invasion of southern Lebanon in an escalation of the ongoing Israel–Hezbollah conflict, a result of the spillover of the Israel–Hamas war. It followed a series of major attacks on Hezbollah in September that degraded its capabilities[31][32] and devastated its leadership;[33][34] beginning with the explosions of its communication devices,[35][36] followed by an Israeli aerial bombing campaign targeting Hezbollah throughout Lebanon,[37] and culminating in the 27 September assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.[38][39]
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Sept. 30th
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dump half your bags already??? Go easier on youself and make it quick.
0
Car
7 months ago
I think UMA voters will use common sense and resolve September to NO and November to YES. Everyone who is here for a bit longer knows that deadlines exist for a reason and we cant use event past deadline to resolve a market. We use those events to resolve the NEXT market, which is November market in this case
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html
1
Car
7 months ago
"Enter" and "Invade" are 2 markets with completely different rules. The rules for this "Invade" market were not satisfied at the time of the proposal before the deadline. That is why it went to P4. Whatever happens after the deadline, should obviously not be considered. Even if you want to consider the new evidence from October, there is still no "Intent to establish control over any portion of Lebanon".
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It kinda shoots a head sized hole through the old tried and tired "limited", just a quick "in and out" argument.
3
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Results speak for themselves. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Where is Dometurd? I've got a new song for him. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
1
sigh
7 months ago
Interesting market. Will Domer's Schelling point hold against the self-fulfilling YES push?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Results speak for themselves. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
How can you tell??? Hahahaha!!!
1
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
Car bought 1,000 No at 41.0¢ ($410)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
EXACTLY!!!!
0
cooker
7 months ago
Don't trust - verify it happened
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Also see here, https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Sept. 30th, local confirmations from inside Lebanon of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” were blowing up. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hasn't Car scammed like this on 100 different markets? Makes arguments so he can dump his losing hand?
6
Car
7 months ago
UMA is not voting in favor of scams. Because that would make UMA itself a scam.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Maybe they can have a look at the UMA evidence-rationale section for this market for reference. https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
1
DonaldinhoTrumpito
7 months ago
So let’s assume Yes wins in the November market, as it’s overwhelmingly doing it right now (currently 91/9). It means there is indeed an invasion with intent of control. Is there any No September defender who can tell us when this invasion started in their view?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
THIS IS SPARTA!!!!!
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Why are you selling???????????????????
1
Secret14thKey
7 months ago
here
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Just some fun light reading here, https://www.choosingtherapy.com/malignant-narcissist/
2
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
If Chad wasn't distorting the price, where would this be trading, 8c?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
But then Domer switched to his old faithful market fixing tool, ChatGPT! Hahaha!!!
0
Justifax
7 months ago
Domer said it best: if and when ISRAEL INVADES LEBANON, it will be one of the biggest world events and will be covered extensively https://imgur.com/a/Sx0aROP https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/817444472009785366/1214070542458560562
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The world is watching the biggest news of the year!
0
zynyz
7 months ago
Your right but not relevant to how the market will resolve, its a scam
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
JustKen JustSold 7,000 shares without telling his friends.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an invasion! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." Notice the word "Yesterday". People here can do math, right? https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
This information, plus all the actual corresponding links can be found there. Everyone has had days to do their own research. Ignorance is no longer an excuse.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Scroll down in this PM chat to that exact relevant time. You will find the above message there, too. Everything was known then, as it is now. This market is 100% Yes.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Scroll down in this PM chat to that exact relevant time. You will find the above message there, too. Everything was known then, as it is now. This market is 100% Yes.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I'm a little suspicious, but I'm kinda leaning towards clown.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Are you from the UN Security Council, the world's #1 authority on international wars in the known UNIVERSE??? Or, just an unsophisticated, uneducated clown?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Are you from the UN Security Council, the world's #1 authority on international wars in the known UNIVERSE??? Or, just an unsophisticated, uneducated clown?
3
bigbetsbigwins
7 months ago
No 100%
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The humiliating truth about UMA is that it's not the first time UMA's claim of having designed a "Decentralized Truth Oracle" has been b-slapped by greedy smarmy money driven criminal market fixer(s). If I was UMA, I would be embarrassed!
4
zynyz
7 months ago
Ground truth is 100% irrelevant. UMA "truth oracle" self acknowledge method of resolving markets is by playing a liars strategy game and trying to scam each other and polymarkets new users https://i.imgur.com/ohtkV6N.png https://i.imgur.com/ohtkV6N.png
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
All of the WORLD'S #1 SOURCES ALL AGREE %100 that Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over a portion of Lebanon on September 30th. This market is 100% YES!!!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The WORLD'S #1 SOURCES ALL AGREE %100
0
ncap
7 months ago
,,YES" will win, so many sources point in this direction!!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
FP (Foreign Policy) clearly explains Israel’s INTENT for commencing a military offensive to control an area of Lebanon—UN Security Council 1701! The ENTIRE WORLD has known about it for YEARS!!! https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/02/un-resolution-1701-israel-lebanon-iran-conflict/
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
If you bet on wars, you should understand context.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
If you bet on wars, you should understand context.
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! FP (Foreign Policy) clearly explains Israel’s INTENT for commencing a military offensive to control an area of Lebanon—UN Security Council 1701! The ENTIRE WORLD has known about it for YEARS!!! https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/02/un-resolution-1701-israel-lebanon-iran-conflict/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! FP (Foreign Policy) clearly explains Israel’s INTENT for commencing a military offensive to control an area of Lebanon—UN Security Council 1701! The ENTIRE WORLD has known about it for YEARS!!! https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/02/un-resolution-1701-israel-lebanon-iran-conflict/
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Keep talking. :)
0
Tenebrus7
7 months ago
Spending so much time for 346 yes shares, must be a sad life, the time put in could easily make you more working stocking shelves:D
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
What is the ZONE Israel INTENDS to empty of Hezbollah??? There are pictures in here! https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/flashpoints-of-lebanon-invasion-israel-hezbollah-un-drawn-border-river-violated-buffer-zone-2609602-2024-10-01
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/jordan-reiterates-support-to-lebanon-in-face-of-israeli-attacks/3346858
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"The top Jordanian diplomat stressed the need for the international community to immediately act to reach a cease-fire and implement UN Resolution 1701. Passed in 2006, the resolution calls for a complete cessation of hostilities between Lebanon and Israel and the establishment of a demilitarized zone between the Blue Line (the de facto boundary between Lebanon and Israel) and the Litani River, allowing only the Lebanese army and the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) to possess weapons and military equipment in the area." https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/jordan-reiterates-support-to-lebanon-in-face-of-israeli-attacks/3346858 The international community FAILED to act to reach a cease-fire and implement UN Resolution 1701. Hezbollah stayed to antagonize Israel. When Hezbollah attacked Israel on October 8th, 2023, Israel had enough! If no one else will do it, Israel will do it themselves, once and for all!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"The top Jordanian diplomat stressed the need for the international community to immediately act to reach a cease-fire and implement UN Resolution 1701. Passed in 2006, the resolution calls for a complete cessation of hostilities between Lebanon and Israel and the establishment of a demilitarized zone between the Blue Line (the de facto boundary between Lebanon and Israel) and the Litani River, allowing only the Lebanese army and the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) to possess weapons and military equipment in the area." https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/jordan-reiterates-support-to-lebanon-in-face-of-israeli-attacks/3346858 The international community FAILED to act to reach a cease-fire and implement UN Resolution 1701. Hezbollah stayed to antagonize Israel. When Hezbollah attacked Israel on October 8th, 2023, Israel had enough! If no one else will do it, Israel will do it themselves, once and for all!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The "Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" RESOLVED YES with near UNNANIMOUS votes. The proof is overwhelming!!! https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Oh, I've been tracking everything. Screengrab everything you see.
0
Meow.Zedong
7 months ago
Is this your first day betting? People make moves to make profits. I am struggling to see how people cannot delineate between normal betting behaviors and coordinated efforts to deny the truth to win.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Local confirmations from inside Lebanon of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” were blowing up. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The Enter and Invade September and November markets were proposed Yes roughly at the same time based on a consensus of credible reporting, and official statements like this on September 30th. You can scroll down to September 30th in all three markets to verify the truth. https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776
0
Car
7 months ago
nobody agreed it happened on september 30th. Otherwise the vote wouldnt have gone to P4
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The PURPOSE of the current invasion into the south of Lebanon that began on Sept. 30th is called AREA ACCESS DENIAL, a fundamental military strategy to establish control over a strategically important zone. In this case, pushing Hezbollah back 5KM to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Hezbollah has been in contravention of the Resolution ever since it was passed. Israel is intent on rectifying that problem by force, and once and for all! They started with the ground invasion on Sept. 30th. This operation will continue until the stated objectives are achieved.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
For years, the international community feared Hezbollah, their stockpile of armaments, their numbers, and the threat they posed to Israel. I have to say, Israel's ongoing operations to clear Hezbollah out of the south of Lebanon has been nothing short of amazing! They are currently demonstrating to the world one of the most epic war strategies in history. They used air power to destroy Hezbollah's rocket launchers and launch sites. They then targeted their weapons stockpiles. They killed key command leaders, and destroyed command and control centers, including Hezbollah HQ with the #1 dude still inside using something like 18+ massive bunker busters. At the same time, they even blew up pagers in one of the craziest long-term covert operations ever. Mental! They essentially eliminated Hezbollah's entire leadership several levels down, so now the low-level guys have zero leadership. Now, they've moved into the south of Lebanon to surgically remove Hezbollah from the south forever, so they may never threaten Israel again. Absolutely awesome!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
According to my desired military strategy, Israeli troops should have smiled for the camera before entering Lebanon in front of a group of Hezbollah fighters. That's how it's done folks. Trust me. I used my dome, and ChatGPT.
0
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
With such unanimous coverage, some videos of this invasion should be readily available. Thus far we've seen a Fox News guy talk about hiking through the woods, and then leaving again back to Israel.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hmm... Why would they impose a media blackout? Let's use our own domes for once. It wouldn't be so that people wouldn't give away precise Israeli troop locations on the net for Hezbollah to look up?
0
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
With such unanimous coverage, some videos of this invasion should be readily available. Thus far we've seen a Fox News guy talk about hiking through the woods, and then leaving again back to Israel.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hahahahaha!!! Did you ask ChatGPT to teach you that??? HAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!! Lazy, lazy, lazy!
1
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
With such unanimous coverage, some videos of this invasion should be readily available. Thus far we've seen a Fox News guy talk about hiking through the woods, and then leaving again back to Israel.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
For years, the international community feared Hezbollah, their stockpile of armaments, their numbers, and the threat they posed to Israel. I have to say, Israel's ongoing operations to clear Hezbollah out of the south of Lebanon has been nothing short of amazing! They are currently demonstrating to the world one of the most epic war strategies in history. They used air power to destroy Hezbollah's rocket launchers and launch sites. They then targeted their weapons stockpiles. They killed key command leaders, and destroyed command and control centers, including Hezbollah HQ with the #1 dude still inside using something like 18+ massive bunker busters. At the same time, they even blew up pagers in one of the craziest long-term covert operations ever. Mental! They essentially eliminated Hezbollah's entire leadership several levels down, so now the low-level guys have zero leadership. Now, they've moved into the south of Lebanon to surgically remove Hezbollah from the south forever, so they may never threaten Israel again. Absolutely awesome!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Can anybody tell me what Operation “Northern Arrows” is??? WHAT IS IT???? https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032 Bombed https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840758553016942887
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I can't find any reputable person who would use ChatGPT to report on REALWORLD events. lol You get kicked out of school for that being a degenerate. ChatGPT, the #1 friend of smarmy, duchy market fixers.
0
Anon5215
7 months ago
Can't you find articles from reputable sources that would flip ChatGPT back to yes? I think it's possible. Very contentious
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Market rules for both the September and November Invade markets have been completely satisfied by Israel’s invasion into Lebanon. It's called AREA ACCESS DENIAL, a fundamental military strategy to establish control over a strategically important zone. In this case, pushing Hezbollah back 5KM to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Hezbollah has been in contravention of the Resolution ever since it was passed. Israel is intent on rectifying that problem by force, and once and for all! They started with the ground invasion on September 30th. This operation will continue until the openly stated and widely publicized stated objectives are achieved.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Have you ever seen a chart like this? https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I like this image, too! https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727987007294
0
McLarry
7 months ago
hey guys, take a look at my funny picture. Markets are the best reflection of reality and UMA is a truth machine!! https://imgur.com/a/LHDxBHs
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Well, Iranian bombs aren't raining down on them. That might be a clue.
0
Justifax
7 months ago
Repost: This video is referencing 'minutes after the order was given' .. I've been told that this is Sept 30th. https://x.com/TreyYingst/status/1841572129457783149?t=_yF-ffDUmX4-evqMEZaZ5Q&s=19 If anyone has better proof that this is from Sept 30th, I'd appreciate it.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Bingo!
0
sharky🦈🦈🦈
7 months ago
The object of the superior man is truth.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
REALTY confirmed Israel invaded Lebanon 9/30.
1
BibiNetanyahu
7 months ago
uma confirmed israel entered lebanon 9/30
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
No, it should peg 100% Yes.
0
BibiNetanyahu
7 months ago
tbf this market should be even. until the result is shown.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It started within the timeframe specified in the rules to this market. It's no one else's fault you didn't read them carefully, and then read the news.
0
TimeQuestion
7 months ago
Did the invasion start with the first Israeli raids in 2023? Or did it start on Oct 1?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Furthermore, By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I've seen a massive amount of people now understand reality and flip to yes. It's crazy!
0
BibiNetanyahu
7 months ago
some1 beat us to it and proposed no but it got disputed, YES will be the victor. trust the process
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Le Monde (A.K.A. Le Monde Diplomatique's little sister), France’s TOP international news organization confirmed the invasion before the market deadline, too. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/01/israel-conducts-ground-operations-in-southern-lebanon_6727867_4.html
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yes, that's the humiliating truth about UMA. It's not the first time UMA's claim of having designed a "Decentralized Truth Oracle" has been b-slapped by greedy smarmy money driven criminal market fixer(s). If I was UMA, I would be embarrassed!
0
McLarry
7 months ago
P2- Yes "Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" First, I'd like to clarify two misconceptions: 1. Occupation is not a condition for this market; it only speaks of control. 2. Yes, there is still the market "Will Forces enter Israel Lebanon in September?" and many claim that because this market exists, the invasion market must be resolved as "no". However, the opposite is true; the two markets should almost always end with the same resolution. This is also nicely reflected in the price, as the "Forces enter Lebanon" market often traded only a few cents above the invasion market. The "Forces enter Lebanon" market has already been resolved as "yes". Now we need to clarify whether these are raids or an invasion. We should not follow the wording of the IDF here, which understandably wants to downplay the situation as much as possible. According to witnesses, tanks were already in Lebanon on the night of September 30 to October 1, and there was also artillery fire. Many media outlets correctly called it an invasion on October 1. There were even several media sources that mocked the IDF's wording. UMA should clearly recognize the reality here and vote "yes". There is a broad media consensus. Following the convoluted individual opinion of a well-known influencer would lead to a lose-lose-lose situation for everyone. It would damage the reputation of Polymarket, UMA, and the bettors would also suffer as a result.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://news.sky.com/story/tanks-gather-near-israeli-lebanon-border-as-defence-minister-hold-talks-over-expansion-of-idf-activity-13224353
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Le Monde, France’s TOP international news organization confirmed the invasion before the market deadline, too. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/01/israel-conducts-ground-operations-in-southern-lebanon_6727867_4.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Le Monde, France’s TOP international news organization confirmed the invasion before the market deadline, too. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/01/israel-conducts-ground-operations-in-southern-lebanon_6727867_4.html
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
@rozi... You should sign up for the School For Children Who Can't Read Good.
1
shouldbealright
7 months ago
Wikipedia updated 3 min ago and now says:"On 30 September 2024, Israel announced they would begin limited ground incursions into southern Lebanon.[66] In the evening of 30 September 2024, IDF with 45,000 men invaded southern Lebanon with tanks, armored vehicles and aircraft to hit Hezbollah bases. It followed intense artillery bombardment from tanks and aircraft."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
There was a massive amount to resolve to Yes at the very begging, There was a massive consensus of credible reporting then, and heaps more now.
0
Erasmus
7 months ago
The vibes for team no seem pretty strong, my honest advice is that yes holders should sell now while they can. It's not pretty but that's the system.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Google United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701, you donkey.
0
NUTZILLA
7 months ago
to destroy the infrastructure and weapons but not to control the territory
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
What gives you those vibes?
0
Erasmus
7 months ago
The vibes for team no seem pretty strong, my honest advice is that yes holders should sell now while they can. It's not pretty but that's the system.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Ground invasion: https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/ Why the ground invasion? https://inews.co.uk/news/world/israel-southern-lebanon-ground-operation-explained-3302508 They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/ The FP (Foreign Policy) was on the ball, too! https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/01/israel-invasion-lebanon-hezbollah-2006-war-lessons-learned/ Le Monde, France’s TOP international news organization confirmed the invasion before the market deadline, too. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/01/israel-conducts-ground-operations-in-southern-lebanon_6727867_4.html The country of Israel CONFIRMED!!! Israel has no reason to lie. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon Daily Mail confirmed!!! https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13909477/Israel-goes-IDF-confirms-boots-ground-southern-Lebanon-bombs-rain-sky-day-ratcheting-tensions.html Fox News confirmed!! https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-launches-limited-ground-operations-lebanon-war-hezbollah-terrorist-groups-continue
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
CNN confirmed!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel confirmed, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ The Independent confirmed! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph confirmed!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/ NPR confirmed!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion Reuters confirmed!!!! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon Daily Mail confirmed!!! https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13909477/Israel-goes-IDF-confirms-boots-ground-southern-Lebanon-bombs-rain-sky-day-ratcheting-tensions.html Fox News confirmed!! https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-launches-limited-ground-operations-lebanon-war-hezbollah-terrorist-groups-continue
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon Daily Mail confirmed!!! https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13909477/Israel-goes-IDF-confirms-boots-ground-southern-Lebanon-bombs-rain-sky-day-ratcheting-tensions.html Fox News confirmed!! https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-launches-limited-ground-operations-lebanon-war-hezbollah-terrorist-groups-continue
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I think it's most likely they crossed the border into Lebanon where Hezbollah could see them, so they could wave hello. They then stopped at McDonald's for a coffee. They all paid 5 bucks entry at the Lebanon Disney tunnels because they wanted to check their Facebook posts, because the WIFI is the best underground. There they could edit the video footage. But, they waited to send it, because they took the day off to watch the beautiful fireworks show Iran was generous enough to donate on their day off.
2
BibiNetanCocksucker
7 months ago
So did yes bettors get cooked? that’s bullshit if the israel enters market hits lmao what the fuck did the enter for? Tea and to find spare change? it’s obviously to invade
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yes, that's the humiliating truth about UMA. It's not the first time UMA's claim of having designed a "Decentralized Truth Oracle" has been b-slapped by greedy smarmy money driven criminal market fixer. If I was UMA, I would be embarrassed!
0
securebet
7 months ago
what does it mean early request??
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yes, that's the humiliating truth about UMA. It's not the first time UMA's claim of having designed a "Decentralized Truth Oracle" has been b-slapped by greedy smarmy money driven criminal market fixers. If I was UMA, I would be embarrassed!
0
TheGoober
7 months ago
It seems pretty clear from the headlines that Israel did indeed invade Lebanon, but something still seems fishy. Can't the whales just pump No in the next review? Feels like only the whales get to decide how the market resolves
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
They were using a consensus of credible reporting. By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
0
05brownboy
7 months ago
i cannot believe the market was so high for so long people were not using their brain
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It means no immediate resolution, so reset to square one.
0
securebet
7 months ago
what does it mean early request??
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's called AREA ACCESS DENIAL, a fundamental military strategy to establish control over a strategically important zone. In this case, pushing Hezbollah back 5KM to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Hezbollah has been in contravention of the Resolution ever since it was passed. Israel is intent on rectifying that problem by force, and once and for all! They started with the ground invasion on Sept. 30th. This operation will continue until the stated objectives are achieved, as frequently stated by Israel, Netanyahu, and the IDF.
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
Im not saying that. Credible resources are classifying this as an Invasion. Im Just saying its not even necessary by the rules that has to be classfied as an Invasion.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
That's exactly what Israel said in 2006 when they invaded Lebanon the last time, and they stayed for 18 years, culminating in the UN Security Council Resolution 1701. Hezbollah refused to recognize UNSC1701 and has been in contravention UNTIL NOW! Israel's open public declarations in the lead up to this current invasion is to RESTORE UN Security Council Resolution 1701. It's called UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and the world has known about it for almost 20 F***ING YEARS, Bozo!!! Learn some history, Idiot!!! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Nations_Security_Council_Resolution_1701
2
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
Just found out a few important things. And wow is it important! Turns out Israel, Lebanon, and the UN all said that these were raids not an invasion. Also after looking through polymarket I found an entirely separate market which was intended for these raids and incursions. Wild! Turns out this market was a NO all along. Would have been helpful if anyone mentioned this earlier and repeatedly
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Why don't you trust the UMA process?
0
Foreseeable.
7 months ago
Sounds like an invasion "intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" to me... “We are very determined to destroy this infrastructure and eliminate anyone present there. We will not allow Hezbollah to establish itself in these places,” the military chief said. https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-attack-war-lebanon-10-03-24-intl-hnk/index.html?t=1727985197086
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
This was an EASY YES prediction market. https://news.sky.com/story/tanks-gather-near-israeli-lebanon-border-as-defence-minister-hold-talks-over-expansion-of-idf-activity-13224353
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The "Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" market resolved to YES correctly. By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The "Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" market resolved to YES correctly. By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The FP (Foreign Policy) was on the ball, too! https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/01/israel-invasion-lebanon-hezbollah-2006-war-lessons-learned/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The news was pretty clear before Sept. 30th! Hahaha!!! https://news.sky.com/story/tanks-gather-near-israeli-lebanon-border-as-defence-minister-hold-talks-over-expansion-of-idf-activity-13224353
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It was also announced in real-time at that exact moment further down in this very PM chat feed. What we have here is an iron clad case of market fixing.
0
figman
7 months ago
I get the argument that this market was proposed YES too early... but why should it resolve no?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
0
figman
7 months ago
I get the argument that this market was proposed YES too early... but why should it resolve no?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It was NOT proposed early. A consensus of mulit-billion dollar international news gathering and dissemination outlets, each with their own in-house research departments, reported the invasion before the Sept. 30th market deadline.
0
figman
7 months ago
I get the argument that this market was proposed YES too early... but why should it resolve no?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Go to https://vote.uma.xyz/ Then click the red arrow on the right of the appropriate market dispute. After that, click "Result" in the upper tab to watch the vote reveal. Early Request (P4) result means a reset. Game goes on.
3
betyonko
7 months ago
where can i see the voting?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://x.com/idf/status/1841093834253480321
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
To an educated person, it was obvious on September 30th, too.
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
Thats why the dispute was voted P4, as wee needed more Infos if Israel is actually trying to get control over areas in Lebanon, which is very obv. now.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dude, you write the most illiterate and uneducated posts of ALL!
0
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
They don't read; they just share. Because if they actually read, they would understand that the context in the post they shared doesn't meet the criteria described in the rules of this market.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
To an educated person, the intentions were openly declared by Israel in the weeks and months leading up to the invasion--UN Security Council Resolution 1701. The UN Security Council knew about it. The US knew about it. Hezbollah knew about it and ignored it's dictates all this time. Israel knew about it. The WORLD knew about!!!
0
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8N_yehAI5IQ Proof of an Israel invasion into Lebanon? Oh wait, this is about Russia invading Ukraine. But Ukraine has a lower population density and about 50 times a larger border with Russia and Belarus combined than Israel has with Lebanon. So how is it possible that we have no proof of an actual invasion of Israel into Lebanon on September 30th?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You are a pathetic liar! 2 tanks??? 2 tanks??? You're a scammer! https://time.com/7026649/israel-tanks-lebanon-border-hezbollah/
1
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8N_yehAI5IQ Proof of an Israel invasion into Lebanon? Oh wait, this is about Russia invading Ukraine. But Ukraine has a lower population density and about 50 times a larger border with Russia and Belarus combined than Israel has with Lebanon. So how is it possible that we have no proof of an actual invasion of Israel into Lebanon on September 30th?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dear _lenroc (Discord), Israel military strategy is not BRUTE FORCE like Russia. Every country has different military strategies. It shows you're not looking. There was wide reporting of a large number of tanks and troops being transported to the northern Israeli border. Israel is surgical because they've come under international criticism since 1948, moron.
0
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8N_yehAI5IQ Proof of an Israel invasion into Lebanon? Oh wait, this is about Russia invading Ukraine. But Ukraine has a lower population density and about 50 times a larger border with Russia and Belarus combined than Israel has with Lebanon. So how is it possible that we have no proof of an actual invasion of Israel into Lebanon on September 30th?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
What part of the rules are they misunderstanding? Please explain.
0
Naak
7 months ago
All these yes holder who cant even read simple rules sharing unrelated news posts while selling their shares is funny.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Someone is showing intelligence. It's Israel's regional grand strategy.
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
Bibi at the UN: “ This is the map I presented here last year. It’s a map of a blessing. It shows Israel and its Arab partners forming a land bridge connecting Asia and Europe. Between the Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea, across this bridge, we will lay rail lines..”
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Reset to conditions before "Outcome proposed".
0
FyouMoneyOTW
7 months ago
Can someone please explain what happens when something is ruled too early?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Some bozo keeps saying ALL these INTENATIONAL news and information gathering networks only ever use ONE source to confirm their reporting... the IDF! Hahahahaha!!!
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Link?
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
The Hezbollah militia said it had destroyed three Israeli battle tanks that had advanced on the Lebanese town of Marun al-Ras.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Are you talking before, or after this market deadline?
0
Dropper11
7 months ago
He later told reporters at a briefing that U.N. peacekeepers in Lebanon, known as UNIFIL, had seen sporadic incursions by the Israeli military. "The information they have and they've received ... is that they've seen sporadic incursions by the IDF," Dujarric said. "They have not witnessed a full-scale invasion."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Nope! What's your proof of "small" and "in and out"?
0
Dropper11
7 months ago
No, it didn't. As I said, they were conducting small raids (getting in and out). Now they are invading, going for villages and fighting the Lebanese army
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I think it's most likely they crossed the border into Lebanon where Hezbollah could see them, so they could wave hello. They then stopped at McDonald's for a coffee. They all paid 5 bucks entry at the Lebanon Disney tunnels because they wanted to check their Facebook posts, because the WIFI is the best underground. There they could edit the video footage. But, they waited to send it, because they took the day off to watch the beautiful fireworks show Iran was generous enough to donate on their day off. Sadly, that day had to end. So they left the tunnels and sent their footage home where people at their desks had to check all the footage, and edit it into a story. They were kinda slow, too, because everyone was hung over from the previous day's fireworks show.
0
Phat.
7 months ago
Exclusive video like that usually goes live same day it was taken or max next day for high five points in the MSM. You can argue this was on September 30th or prior but without a time stamp kinda useless
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Nasrallah is hiding out on a desert island with Elvis. The Israelis lie all the time! Don't let the frontline Hezbollah troops know that I'm dead! Taqiyya!!!
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hassan Nasrallah is hiding out with Elvis. The Israelis lie all the time! Don't let the frontline Hezbollah troops know that I'm dead!!!Taqiyya!!!
0
n/a
7 months ago
As of the end of September 2024, Hezbollah has denied that Israeli military personnel have entered Lebanese territory for ground combat operations. Despite claims from the Israeli Defense Forces of conducting "limited" ground operations, Hezbollah stated that Israeli troops had not crossed the border during this time. Therefore, based on the conditions of the market you provided, it would resolve to "No" given the denial from Hezbollah and the absence of credible reports confirming Israeli troop incursions.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
But a CONSENSUS of credible media reports called it an invasion. Why are they ignoring the rules?
0
ANudeEgg
7 months ago
They don't think it constituted an invasion, in September at least.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hassan Nasrallah is alive and well with Elvis on a desert island. Israel ALWAYS lies! They have every reason to lie!!! Taqiyya!!! Just don't tell the brave Hezbollah fighters fleeing the frontline I'm dead!!!
0
n/a
7 months ago
As of the end of September 2024, Hezbollah has denied that Israeli military personnel have entered Lebanese territory for ground combat operations. Despite claims from the Israeli Defense Forces of conducting "limited" ground operations, Hezbollah stated that Israeli troops had not crossed the border during this time. Therefore, based on the conditions of the market you provided, it would resolve to "No" given the denial from Hezbollah and the absence of credible reports confirming Israeli troop incursions.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
How does voting work?
0
Secret14thKey
7 months ago
now this is just mean to the noobs who dont know how voting works
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Why don't they buy the Yes argument?
0
ANudeEgg
7 months ago
Because this vote meanst he UMA voters don't buy the Yes argument. So the next market proposal will resolve No.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The UMA vote result was (P4) Early Request just as JustKen(PM)/Domer(Discord, UMA) signaled. How is it a No? The current UMA vote results are Early request 92.14% (11,041,902.3), No 0.00% (356.55), Yes 7.85% (941,118.92), and unknown/50-50 0.00% (106.42) with 69.1% of the votes revealed.
0
ANudeEgg
7 months ago
You lost a bet, fair and square. Quit crying about it.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032 “During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/
0
Donkov
7 months ago
Israel holding ground in Oct destroys the NO argument of raids intentions. They tried in Sept, but could not establish a beachhead.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an INVASION! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
0
EdgyUsername
7 months ago
Yesterday's October, brah
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Watching
0
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
Your portfolio is crazy, wrong side of joy, jfk and this
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an INVASION! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Don't let the frontline Hezbollah troops know that I'm dead!!!
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hassan Nasrallah is hiding out with Elvis. The Israelis lie all the time! Taqiyya!!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hassan Nasrallah is hiding out with Elvis. The Israelis lie all the time! Taqiyya!!!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon..." Define occupation. AREA ACCESS DENIAL = control
0
Amok
7 months ago
when about a week ago the other market was opened (will israeli troops enter lebanon) it became very clear that this market here had a much stricter requirement of the extent of an occupation to resolve to Yes.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
JustKen (PM) = Domer (Discord, UMA), right?
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
STRANGE! JustKen is not a top share holder here, https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
No, can't be! That's criminally illegal!
0
ANudeEgg
7 months ago
Market manipulation.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
STRANGE! JustKen is not a top share holder here, https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
First, can you read? Ask that!
0
Covid69
7 months ago
Did I have to stake to see the vote?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Go to https://vote.uma.xyz/ Then click the red arrow on the right of the appropriate market dispute. After that, click "Result" in the upper tab to watch the vote reveal.
1
Erfank
7 months ago
can soemone explain to me what is exactly happening? Any link to see the votes please?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hahahahaha!!!
0
jayminho
7 months ago
We are now predicting the past. Martin Mcfly wouldn’t ever dream this big. Hail technology
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
If "Enter" market is Yes, This market is Yes. Israeli Forces ENTER Lebanon in September Market at 99c Yes. https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727916297038
0
Covid69
7 months ago
Why is it swinging so much, am i missing something?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
No vote scammers getting set up?
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israeli Forces ENTER Lebanon in September Market at 99c Yes. https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727916297038
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israeli Forces ENTER Lebanon in September Market at 99c Yes. https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727916297038
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Go to https://vote.uma.xyz/ Then click the red arrow on the right of the appropriate market dispute. After that, click "Result" in the upper tab.
0
Covid69
7 months ago
How do I see the votes, do I have to have uma
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The world is watching!
0
McLarry
7 months ago
I see myself a bit like the captain of the Titanic. It's an honor to go down with my Yes Shares. Better than winning without decency.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
“During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/ More confirmation of Israeli military boots on the ground before the deadline!!! https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
What is a RAID? “During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
“During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/
0
semi
7 months ago
Al mayadeen confirmed there was no ground offensive on october 1st.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You watch too much Braveheart. It's 2024. ""Yes" if Israel commences a MILITARY OFFENSIVE intended to establish control over any portion of Lebano..."n
0
semi
7 months ago
Al mayadeen confirmed there was no ground offensive on october 1st.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The Council on Foreign Relations calling it an INVASION! https://www.cfr.org/
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
CNN confirming!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel confirmed, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ The Independent confirmed! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph confirmed!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/ NPR confirmed!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion Reuters confirmed!!!! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/ Ground invasion: https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/ Why the ground invasion? https://inews.co.uk/news/world/israel-southern-lebanon-ground-operation-explained-3302508 They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
2
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 ABC News confirmed, too!!! Yes is the resolution to this market. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/ New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 ABC News confirmed, too!!! Yes is the resolution to this market. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/ New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The rules stipulate, “the COMMENCEMENT of a MILITARY OFFENSIVE”. Multiple reports on the Lebanese side confirm this BEFORE the market deadline. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of “the COMMENCEMENT of a MILITARY OFFENSIVE” BEFORE the deadline. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032 “During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
And why, https://x.com/idf/status/1841093834253480321
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1841429346407284961
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1841429346407284961
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The world is watching...
0
Sardinianshepherd
7 months ago
The whales seems are taking the no side
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The Council on Foreign Relations calling it an INVASION! https://www.cfr.org/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Explain!
0
duckduck
7 months ago
Paying for reading comprehension lessons for YEs buyers
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Why? I'm collecting valuable information on criminal market fixers, and proving their intent and brazenness.
0
semi
7 months ago
bro you gotta invest more than this with this many comments
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Confirming you're a moron! RULES: ""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over ANY PORTION of Lebanon..." Arab run organizations started spreading hyperbolic fear that Israel wants to control all of Lebanon. To calm fears, Israel clarified that its intention is to push Hezbollah 5KM back to the north of the Litani River, preventing them from assaulting northern Israeli settlements ever again. This way the Israeli refugees can safely return home.
0
poly-murderers
7 months ago
confirming what? they literally call the current operation - to this day - an "incursion"
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
To all the criminal market fixers, smile for the camera! You are on world TV!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
CONTROL Regarding CONTROL, The rules are clear. Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) It’s called AREA ACCESS DENIAL for all the pathetic duchy scammers out there. Netanyahu in the days, weeks, and months leading up to this invasion. You can hear is from his lips in this short video. This is a long-term project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y The US State Department press secretary REPEATEDLY explained Israel’s intent, and defended Israel’s stance, referring, again and again, to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and Israel's right to defend itself through a military offensive. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9-ZzFY5I4
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
CNN confirming!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel confirmed, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ The Independent confirmed! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph confirmed!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/ NPR confirmed!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion Reuters confirmed!!!! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/ Ground invasion: https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/ Why the ground invasion? https://inews.co.uk/news/world/israel-southern-lebanon-ground-operation-explained-3302508 They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 ABC News confirmed, too!!! Yes is the resolution to this market. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/ New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
People, this isn’t Braveheart the movie anymore where they send in the infantry en masse first. Raids, airstrikes, whatever!!! The rules stipulate, “the COMMENCEMENT of a MILITARY OFFENSIVE”. Multiple reports on the Lebanese side confirm this BEFORE the market deadline. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of “the COMMENCEMENT of a MILITARY OFFENSIVE” BEFORE the deadline. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032 “During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Criminal market fixers use ChatGPT because you can generate any response. ChatGPT is very easy to manipulate. That's why ChatGPT is NEVER used as a credible reporting source.
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
look what ChatGPT is telling me : Yes, I'm 100% confident that the Polymarket should resolve as "No." Even though Israel conducted ground operations in Lebanon and Israeli soldiers lost their lives, the official statements from Israel confirm that these operations were solely aimed at neutralizing Hezbollah's military infrastructure, not at occupying or controlling territory. Israel’s military actions were defensive, targeting Hezbollah’s tunnels and weapons caches to counter ongoing threats, without any intention of territorial control(The Times of Israel )(Jewish Press )(The Times of Israel ). The Polymarket's criteria require evidence of an intent to establish control over parts of Lebanon, which is clearly not the case here. Thus, the market should resolve to "No."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's Yes. Massive evidence.
1
n/a
7 months ago
Can anyone link me to the discord for UMA? What happens since it’s P4?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You mean Domer?
0
jayminho
7 months ago
Where is @justken when we most need him ?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yes they did on both counts. Please read very carefully below in the chat.
1
OP2024
7 months ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control... Since Israel did not do that, the market resolves to No. It's as simple as that.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
These types of CYA's don't protect. It's actions that are important to watch.
1
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
Imma say it one time. this uma process is idiotic and many people will lose money even after their fate is sealed. if you dont know what happens do not trade, this is my disclaimer to provide moral cover for what happens next.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
FINAL PUBLIC NOTICE: To all engaged in market fixing. Market fixing is a SERIOUS criminal act.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Pretty cocky. Good. Thanks!
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
Can someone please propose a bet on discord if HsB34sgg is on crack or meth?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I'm not here to help you any further. You have been notified. That's enough. Forensics will do the rest.
0
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
Why people holding YES shares spread links and comments without actually meaning, or meaning which actually support position of NO holders.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Keep asking stupid questions. That will surely help you. lol
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
Bigger fight in comments than in lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Not at all. You have been notified. Many eyes on PM now after previous scandals and market fixing. You have been warned.
0
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
Why people holding YES shares spread links and comments without actually meaning, or meaning which actually support position of NO holders.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Why are puppet accounts engaged in illegal market fixing activities here in the face of a MASSIVE consensus of media reports before the deadline??? No media source has made any retraction!
0
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
Why people holding YES shares spread links and comments without actually meaning, or meaning which actually support position of NO holders.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Market fixing is an illegal act.
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
Dont be s loud, let Chad Pump in more, we needs lower prices
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
This isn’t Braveheart the movie anymore where they send in the infantry en masse first. Raids, airstrikes, whatever!!! The rules stipulate, “the commencement of a military offensive”. Multiple reports on the Lebanese side confirm this BEFORE the market deadline.
0
zynyz
7 months ago
CNN 1 hour ago: The fighting on Lebanese territory was a major development, the FIRST signs of Israel’s anticipated ground invasion of the southern part of the country. Lebanon’s army has said that Israeli troops forced breached the border on Wednesday, advancing around 400 meters (around 440 yards) before withdrawing.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Many, many eyes are watching PM now after previous scandals. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence.
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
Bigger fight in comments than in lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Many, many eyes are watching PM now after previous scandals. I'm trying to help you avoid jail.
0
BiggestBidenFan
7 months ago
HsB is very convincing I sure hope people buy Yes because he convinced them
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
What makes you convincing? Your market fixing activities? That's a criminal offense!
0
BiggestBidenFan
7 months ago
HsB is very convincing I sure hope people buy Yes because he convinced them
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Non-combative? Then where did all the top Hezbollah leaders disappear to? DisneyLand?
1
zynyz
7 months ago
the non-combative special forces raids have been ongoing since january: https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-782338
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The rules are clear. Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) It’s called AREA ACCESS DENIAL for all the pathetic duchy scammers out there.
0
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
control mean more than just occupation, they even did not occupied. Invasion is less than occupation, occupation is less than control. You have first to occupy, holding for a while with intention for control or not.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Netanyahu himself makes his intent clear in this short video. This is a long-term project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
control mean more than just occupation, they even did not occupied. Invasion is less than occupation, occupation is less than control. You have first to occupy, holding for a while with intention for control or not.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Will you do actual research instead of bullying??? Moron!
0
n/a
7 months ago
will you shut the hell up, you're just spamming and you've literally been at it for almost 48 hours
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
@semi, How do you translate, MILITARY OFFENSIVE???? HAHAHAHAHA!!!!
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
One schmuck is not a CONSENSUS of credible media. The rules state, "COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE". That fact is clearly confirmed by a consensus of media reports.
0
zynyz
7 months ago
https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840967407671631955 sucks to be debunked by your own source
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
NPR confirmed!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion Reuters confirmed!!!! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/ Israeli military confirmed the invasion yesterday! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The country of Israel also CONFIRMED!!! It's Yes! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon The IDF has CONFIRMED ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html Ground invasion: https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon Daily Mail confirmed!!! https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13909477/Israel-goes-IDF-confirms-boots-ground-southern-Lebanon-bombs-rain-sky-day-ratcheting-tensions.html Fox News confirmed!! https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-launches-limited-ground-operations-lebanon-war-hezbollah-terrorist-groups-continue CNN confirming!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel confirmed, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ The Independent confirmed! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph confirmed!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon Daily Mail confirmed!!! https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13909477/Israel-goes-IDF-confirms-boots-ground-southern-Lebanon-bombs-rain-sky-day-ratcheting-tensions.html Fox News confirmed!! https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-launches-limited-ground-operations-lebanon-war-hezbollah-terrorist-groups-continue CNN confirming!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel confirmed, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ The Independent confirmed! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph confirmed!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel commenced the military offensive within the allotted timeframe stipulated in the rules. Multiple credible news organizations confirmed. We have a CONSENSUS OF MEDIA REPORTING! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The country of Israel also CONFIRMED!!! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon Netanyahu himself makes his intent clear in this short video. This is a long-term project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 ABC News confirmed, too!!! Yes is the resolution to this market. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/ New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel commenced the military offensive within the allotted timeframe stipulated in the rules. Multiple credible news organizations confirmed. We have a CONSENSUS OF MEDIA REPORTING! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The country of Israel also CONFIRMED!!! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon Netanyahu himself makes his intent clear in this short video. This is a long-term project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 ABC News confirmed, too!!! Yes is the resolution to this market. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/ New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
If any doubts, please see this exact post below in this PM chat feed at the exact same time below, plus all the media links.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dear morons and idiot No voters, By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dear morons and idiot No voters, By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
MORE AGAIN!!!!!! WOWOWOWOWOW!!!! TOTAL CONFIRMATION OF THE "COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE"!!!! https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Here's MORE confirmation! https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032
0
semi
7 months ago
google translate is not helping you bro, this is about an AIR raid.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's called AREA ACCESS DINIAL!!! Why are they destroying Hezbollah in the south of Lebanon???
0
zynyz
7 months ago
"intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" You mind-read their intent how?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Also this, https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
And this, https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
This, too. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Wow! What a lazy bunch of people... the UN.
0
RMupOnly
7 months ago
https://unifil.unmissions.org/unifil-statement-1-october-2024
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Ever since Hezbollah attacked Israel on October 8th of last yeah, Israel wanted to eliminate the threat from Hezbollah. DUH! Meaning, clear out Hezbollah from the south of Lebanon through military force, and prevent them from occupying that zone ever again! It's called AREA ACCESS DENIAL!
2
OP2024
7 months ago
The rules for this market are ambivalent. The keyword is "intention". How can anybody judge the "intention" of a military action? The intention of a military action is, in many cases, secret. Even if the IDF would communicate its intention, it is still questionable if that is the true intenion and not, in fact, just a tactical lie. I would ask Polymarket to close this market 50:50 and never use such ambivalent wording again.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Netanyahu CLEARLY stated Israel's INTENTIONS in the weeks and days leading up to the current INVASION! Watch ANY of Netanyahu's public statement leading up to the invasion.
0
OP2024
7 months ago
The rules for this market are ambivalent. The keyword is "intention". How can anybody judge the "intention" of a military action? The intention of a military action is, in many cases, secret. Even if the IDF would communicate its intention, it is still questionable if that is the true intenion and not, in fact, just a tactical lie. I would ask Polymarket to close this market 50:50 and never use such ambivalent wording again.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
A CONSENSUS of credible reporting!!! By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
0
zynyz
7 months ago
"commences a military offensive" is not the same as "announce a commencment of a military offensive" What date/time did the "invasion" happen? What part of Lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
When did Israel inform the UN???
0
RMupOnly
7 months ago
very simple evidance that israeli troops havent invaded or entered lebanon: https://unifil.unmissions.org/unifil-statement-1-october-2024
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's part of an Israeli grand strategy. DUH!
0
RMupOnly
7 months ago
"Yesterday, the IDF notified UNIFIL of their intention to undertake limited ground incursions into Lebanon."(sep 30)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
""Yes" if Israel COMMENCES a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon..."
3
x3x3
7 months ago
"The IDF says another division is being deployed to southern Lebanon for ground operations against Hezbollah. The 36th Division is now joining the 98th Division, which had entered Lebanon on Monday night."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
MORE proof - https://x.com/idf/status/1841093834253480321
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Proof - https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1841429346407284961
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
@aaron28a, Perhaps bash 'n pump is more accurate a term, but I find dump 'n pump better sounding.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
, DUDE, I made $1,000 bucks today calling the invasion WAY in advance. I would have made way more if I didn't place 2/3 of my stack in the November market. Anyway, I hedged. Whatever. Good luck dumping 'n pumping. lol What a way to live a life. Wow!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yeah, I took a trip to the roulette style mention markets and dumped. So what? I won't be down for long. I'm not worried about it. I hit 6x today. More will happen.
0
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
@HsB34sgg you would have made more money working a minimum wage job for the time you spent writing yes comments
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
, DUDE, I made $1,000 bucks today calling the invasion WAY in advance. I would have made way more if I didn't place 2/3 of my stack in the November market. Anyway, I hedged. Whatever. Good luck dumping 'n pumping. lol What a way to live a life. Wow!
1
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
@HsB34sgg you would have made more money working a minimum wage job for the time you spent writing yes comments
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yes. In the box on the right of the screen, click "Sell" then select if you want to make a "Market" or "Limit" order, set your price, then sell. Easy enough.
1
Poseidon.gmb
7 months ago
could the shares be sold at this moment?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Who knows, I might be back in a bit after you guys take the price down. Then I can join you in the pump, because we all know truth is on the Yes side. That's where I stand.
0
Adamg01
7 months ago
@HsB34sgg, please stop, and I say this as a yes better
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
If you think I'm going to bed holding any position while you dump 'n pumpers take charge, you're crazier and more pathetic than I thought. I actually did about 6x across the three Israel invade Lebanon markets today. I called it WAY in advance, fool. Making a little comeback after dumping on the roulette wheel style mention markets. Gonna stick to what I know best from now on. See you soon! I see you!
0
Adamg01
7 months ago
@HsB34sgg, please stop, and I say this as a yes better
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Aw, shucks! But, I was having so much fun licking my teeth, and collecting valuable data on the scary dump 'n pumpers.
0
Adamg01
7 months ago
@HsB34sgg, please stop, and I say this as a yes better
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hahaha!
0
n/a
7 months ago
Does Bibi realise the confusion he’s causing here
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Sleep? I'm collecting valuable data on the dump 'n pumpers.
0
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
you have to go to sleep at some point
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's called AREA ACCESS DENIAL, a fundamental military strategy to establish control over a strategically important zone. In this case, pushing Hezbollah back 5KM to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Hezbollah has been in contravention of the Resolution ever since it was passed. Israel is intent on rectifying that problem by force, and once and for all! They started with the ground invasion yesterday, but decapitated the Hezbollah leadership in the lead up to yesterday's invasion. This operation will continue until the stated objectives are achieved.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Nope. It's not spamming. It's responding to each dump 'n pump meathead comment as they come.
0
addicts
7 months ago
Debating could be HsB34's profession, if it isn't already.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Do you find pagers blowing up in Hezbollah fighters' pockets dramatic? Or, what about destroying countless munitions dumps? What about killing the top 20+ Hezbollah leaders in the lead up to the ground invasion? Not dramatic enough?
0
Coram_Deo
7 months ago
Look at the news or even x. No real reaction no confrontation not even combat. It is more like a border skirmish right now and that is the focus right now
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
That's the soft sell. Arab run organizations started spreading hyperbolic fear that Israel wants to control all of Lebanon. To calm fears, Israel clarified that its intention is to push Hezbollah 5KM back to the north of the Litani River, preventing them from assaulting northern Israeli settlements ever again. This way the Israeli refugees can safely return home.
0
Foreseeable.
7 months ago
I sold and here is why: This market is going crazy given that the rules state that the operation needs to be “intended to ESTABLISH CONTROL over any portion of Lebanon”. Yet, Israel has agreed with the US to only do a LIMITED ground operation that is *NOT* targeted “to establish control”, but ONLY to clear areas at the border from Hisbollah sources to prevent further attacks on Israeli Villages. Even if they attack today (which is still maximum 50/50), its not even clear if it would count. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/?id=114341295&entryId=114355166
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Netanyahu spells out his intent in this short, yet informative video. You can hear Netanyahu's intent straight from his lips! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Is dump 'n pumping your profession? Ha! I got it right again!
0
addicts
7 months ago
Debating could be HsB34's profession, if it isn't already.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It currently costs about $48,834.73 to get to 99cents YES, and $398,712.90 to get to 99cents NO. Time to study the facts fast and sell all NO, and buy all YES to save your money. If you are a NO holder, the verifiable facts are not on your side.
0
addicts
7 months ago
Debating could be HsB34's profession, if it isn't already.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Haha! Actually, they did say. They've been saying it for a year ever since Hezbollah launched an unprovoked attack on Israel on October 8th last year. We found one folks!!! Every village has one, I guess!!! lol
0
TJtrades
7 months ago
This one is maybe impossible to tell. Definition of "invade": "enter (a country or region) so as to subjugate or occupy it". We know Israeli forces crossed the border, but only on a very limited scale. Also Israel did not say if they only wanted to scare off Hezbollah or if they want to occupy that land for the indefinite future.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You can hear Netanyahu's intent straight from his lips! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Market rules completely satisfied with yesterday's invasion by Israel into Lebanon. It's called AREA ACCESS DENIAL, a fundamental military strategy to establish control over a strategically important zone. In this case, pushing Hezbollah back 5KM to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Hezbollah has been in contravention of the Resolution ever since it was passed. Israel is intent on rectifying that problem by force, and once and for all! They started with the ground invasion yesterday, but decapitated the Hezbollah leadership in the lead up to yesterday's invasion. This operation will continue until the stated objectives are achieved.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Market rules completely satisfied with yesterday's invasion by Israel into Lebanon. It's called AREA ACCESS DENIAL, a fundamental military strategy to establish control over a strategically important zone. In this case, pushing Hezbollah back 5KM to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Hezbollah has been in contravention of the Resolution ever since it was passed. Israel is intent on rectifying that problem by force, and once and for all! They started with the ground invasion yesterday, but decapitated the Hezbollah leadership in the lead up to yesterday's invasion. This operation will continue until the stated objectives are achieved.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
LyinCamela just made it up out of thin air. That's what pathetic dump 'n pumpers do. What a life direction! lol At least LyinCamela is true to her name, which is more than I can say for the other pathetic dump 'n pumpers hanging around. Throw morals and life purpose out the window for a few bucks. lol
0
Adamg01
7 months ago
the IDF has literally stated the goal is to enforce UN resolutin 1701 forcing hezbollah out of southern lebanon, how do you think that will be done. I'll trust the spokesman of the IDF over some probably anonymous officials
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yesterday, the US State Department press secretary REPEATEDLY explained Israel’s intent, and defended Israel’s stance, referring, again and again, to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and Israel's right to defend itself through a military offensive. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9-ZzFY5I4 Both the entire Israeli cabinet, and the US State Department have openly declared support for this initiative. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This offensive military operation is now happening to establish control over southern Lebanon.
0
BiggestBidenFan
7 months ago
Two Israeli officials said the cabinet decision emphasized that the operation is targeted and limited in time and scope and is not intended to occupy southern Lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Oh WOWOW!!! Some interesting opening scenes here. Plus, you can hear Netanyahu's intent straight from his lips! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
GoogleHomeMini
7 months ago
I don't think a lot of people are reading the fine print on this bet, Israel hasn't launched a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon, they've launched a military offensive as a "targeted ground operation". There's a big difference. Targeted ground operation likely means they're in and out, and there hasn't been any reports up to Sept 30th that they're there to establish control over any area
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!! Arab run organizations started spreading hyperbolic fear that Israel wants to control all of Lebanon. To calm fears, Israel clarified that its intention is to push Hezbollah 5KM back to the north of the Litani River, preventing them to assault norther Israeli settlements any further. This way the Israeli refugees can safely return home.
0
GoogleHomeMini
7 months ago
I don't think a lot of people are reading the fine print on this bet, Israel hasn't launched a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon, they've launched a military offensive as a "targeted ground operation". There's a big difference. Targeted ground operation likely means they're in and out, and there hasn't been any reports up to Sept 30th that they're there to establish control over any area
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It currently costs about $51,283.63 to get to 99cents YES, and $399,084.22 to get to 99cents NO. Time to study the facts fast and sell all NO, and buy all YES to save your money. If you are a NO holder, the verifiable facts are not on your side.
0
n/a
7 months ago
UMA whales, calm, diamond hands "No" holders or angry, desperate, whining "Yes" holders. Which way western man?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israeli military confirmed the invasion yesterday! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The country of Israel also CONFIRMED!!! It's Yes! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon Netanyahu himself makes his intent clear in this short video. This is a long-term project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yesterday, the US State Department press secretary REPEATEDLY explained Israel’s intent, and defended Israel’s stance, referring, again and again, to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and Israel's right to defend itself through a military offensive. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9-ZzFY5I4
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
, I stand corrected aaron28a. Good catch. So, why are you holding No shares? You seem to be the only one here on the No side with a bit of wherewithal.
0
BiggestBidenFan
7 months ago
Which way will you go? "Yes" with the nutty spammer or "No" with UMA whales?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You just eluded to market fixing! That's a criminal offence! Screenshot taken!
0
BiggestBidenFan
7 months ago
Which way will you go? "Yes" with the nutty spammer or "No" with UMA whales?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's called AREA ACCESS DENIAL, a fundamental military strategy to establish control over a strategically important zone. In this case, pushing Hezbollah back 5KM to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Hezbollah has been in contravention of the Resolution ever since it was passed. Israel in intent on rectifying that problem by force. They started with the ground invasion yesterday, but decapitated the Hezbollah leadership in the lead up to yesterday's invasion. This operation will continue until the stated objectives are achieved.
0
Car
7 months ago
According to the sources, the emphasis this time is really on eliminating the threat to Israel
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It currently costs about $47,630.44 to get to 99cents YES, and $396,932.05 to get to 99cents NO. Time to study the facts fast and sell all NO, and buy all YES to save your money. If you are a NO holder, the verifiable facts are not on your side.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Oh WOWOW!!! Some interesting opening scenes here. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
Coram_Deo
7 months ago
Look at the news or even x. No real reaction no confrontation not even combat. It is more like a border skirmish right now and that is the focus right now
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon"
0
Coram_Deo
7 months ago
Look at the news or even x. No real reaction no confrontation not even combat. It is more like a border skirmish right now and that is the focus right now
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I can't wait for the UMA process, so I can download all the data and metrics, and analyze who gets in bed with who to engage in market fixing activity. It should be very revealing to cross-reference that data with past markets, and point point. I'm licking my teeth!
0
Drunken-Mentat
7 months ago
This was once a market about a possible invasion and occupation of Lebanon. Now it is a market about the probability of UMA resolving one way or another... and that's a totally different gamble ;)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Thanks for the reveal!
0
Car
7 months ago
Thanks for the math lesson
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
There are better bets out there now. PM is a prediction market. In a perfect world prediction markets are based on truth, where the truth is rewarded. Those who knowingly disrespect that are walking a fine line.
0
YatSen
7 months ago
good bet!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Both the entire Israeli cabinet, and the US State Department have openly declared support for this initiative. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This offensive military operation is now happening to establish control over southern Lebanon.
0
BiggestBidenFan
7 months ago
Two Israeli officials said the cabinet decision emphasized that the operation is targeted and limited in time and scope and is not intended to occupy southern Lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!! Arab run organizations started spreading hyperbolic fear that Israel wants to control all of Lebanon. To calm fears, Israel clarified that its intention is to push Hezbollah 5KM back to the north of the Litani River, preventing them to assault norther Israeli settlements any further. This way the Israeli refugees can safely return home.
0
BiggestBidenFan
7 months ago
Two Israeli officials said the cabinet decision emphasized that the operation is targeted and limited in time and scope and is not intended to occupy southern Lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Ohhh!!! The old good cop, bad cop routine. Nice! lol
0
gamblergod69
7 months ago
I'm team "Yes" but looking at this loser HsB34sg spamming these shit is making me want to kms
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Good luck with that! lol You do know that market fixing is a serious criminal offence punishable by several years in prison in the jurisdiction in which you reside and access the internet, right? You know that, right???
0
Drunken-Mentat
7 months ago
This was once a market about a possible invasion and occupation of Lebanon. Now it is a market about the probability of UMA resolving one way or another... and that's a totally different gamble ;)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
They are establishing a 5KM buffer zone so that Hezbollah cannot enter and fire rockets into Israel ever again. It's called area access denial, a fundamental long-term military strategy of area control.
0
Car
7 months ago
Israeli officials have repeatedly said that the invasion is to eliminate Hezbollah infrastructure. They are not occupying the areas.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Actually, yes they did and they will. It is their expressed intent. Anyone who has been following the news for the past year knows that.
0
denizz
7 months ago
incorrect, they explicitly didn't invade to create a buffer zone by force.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Wow!!! The internet is AMAZING! You can hear Netanyahu's intent directly from his own lips!!! This is a long-term project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It’s nice watching the immediate effects on the metrics as soon as you guys (Car, denizz, Fishingaround, and YatSen) showed back up to do your little pump and dumps. You guys have brought in about 24grand in liquidity. Good to know. It currently costs about $42,192.23 to get to 99cents YES, and $409,200.05 to get to 99cents NO. Time to study the facts fast and sell all NO, and buy all YES to save your money. If you are a NO holder, the verifiable facts are not on your side.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's called area access denial, a fundamental military strategy.
0
kingsirpredictionconnoisseur
7 months ago
I'd say control is part of occupation but occupation doesn't have to be part of control. They invaded Lebanon, over ground, to take over the border region to create a buffer. I'd say that falls safely within the rules. If this isn't asserting control, then i don't know what is
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You're hilarious! Israel has been planning this ever since Hezbollah launched an unprovoked attack on Israel on October 8th of last year. Israel has been biding its time. They will clear out Hezbollah from the south of Lebanon. They already decapitated the leadership, killing 20+ of the top leaders, including #1. They also disrupted communications. This is the invasion phase now.
0
Car
7 months ago
4 hr 13 min ago Israeli officials say there will be "no long-term occupation" of Lebanon, but decline to provide timeline
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Netanyahu is INTENT on establishing peace by permanently clearing out Hezbollah. Maybe watching a quick video will be easier for you since you can't read good. This is a long-term project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
denizz
7 months ago
All indications are that Israel launched *raids* last night. Troops will return to the safety of the Israeli side after their missions, without establishing forward operating bases.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.meforum.org/israel-launches-extensive-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon "However, the scale and intensity of the operation suggest a more extensive campaign than initially indicated. The Commanding Officer of the IDF Northern Command, Major General Ori Gordin, has met with the commanders of the 98th, 91st, and 36th Divisions to approve plans for an expansion of fighting in the North, indicating a well-coordinated and potentially prolonged operation."
0
denizz
7 months ago
All indications are that Israel launched *raids* last night. Troops will return to the safety of the Israeli side after their missions, without establishing forward operating bases.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
WRONG! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/1/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israelis-launch-ground-operation-in-lebanon "“It is not what the Israelis are telling us. From open source [intelligence], we understand that the Israelis have prepared at least 18 brigades. So we are talking about between 70,000 and 100,000 soldiers,” Magnier told Al Jazeera."
0
denizz
7 months ago
All indications are that Israel launched *raids* last night. Troops will return to the safety of the Israeli side after their missions, without establishing forward operating bases.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Intent, https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-general-said-pushing-for-ground-incursion-to-create-south-lebanon-buffer-zone/amp/
0
Car
7 months ago
4 hr 13 min ago Israeli officials say there will be "no long-term occupation" of Lebanon, but decline to provide timeline
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel is establishing command and control, and area access denial (a fundamental military strategy) to deny Hezbollah access to southern Lebanon so they may no longer launch rockets into Israel ever again. This is clear intent. Watch ANY recent Netanyahu speech for further clarity.
0
Car
7 months ago
This market is about the intent of the invasion. The intent is not establish control. This can be seen here: https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk#cm1pnn1ki000l3b6mbkmq0ye5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
And, chad entered DOUBLING HaterLozer's holdings! Yay!
0
Tenebrus7
7 months ago
Check Activity YES holders, the most knowledgeable Yes holder HaterLozer sold all his Yes shares at 70-80ct. Still one to get out
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hear it from the leader of Israel himself! Maybe watching a quick video will be easier for you since you can't read good. This is a long-term project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
Makerrr
7 months ago
No official source confirmed intent of establishing control over any portion of Lebanon between the given dates.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Sell your baseless garbage and bounce, bro.
0
n/a
7 months ago
stop spamming jesus christ
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israeli military confirmed the invasion yesterday! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The country of Israel also CONFIRMED!!! It's Yes! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon
0
Makerrr
7 months ago
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It currently costs about $20,661.49 to get to 99cents YES, and $406,362.05 to get to 99cents NO. Time to study the facts fast and sell all NO, and buy all YES to save your money. If you are a NO holder, the verifiable facts are not on your side.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel is establishing command and control, and area access denial (a fundamental military strategy) to deny Hezbollah access to southern Lebanon so they may no longer launch rockets into Israel ever again.
0
denizz
7 months ago
Still no reporting showing that Israel intends to control Lebanese territory. As we get further after the deadline, any new reporting will be too late to reliably establish intent retroactively.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
YES! Israel commenced a military offensive intended to establish control over a southern portion of Lebanon to permanently remove the threat of Hezbollah launching rockets into Israel any longer. Case closed!
0
OP2024
7 months ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between September 17, 2024 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Bro, all I share is pertinent factual evidence from widely recognized credible sources. Ignore the facts at your own peril.
0
1mperator17
7 months ago
my boy chad absolutely sending it on yes right now
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
How about an official statement from the leader of Israel? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
denizz
7 months ago
That CNN piece is the best evidence for yes so far. However, no, it just means they're not promising not to engage in a short term occupation. That's somewhat different than saying you will engage in a short term occupation. Perhaps more importantly, that is one source citing anonymous officials. Not an official Israeli statement and not enough for a consensus of reliable sources.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Maybe watching a quick video will be easier for you since you can't read good. This is a long-term project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
0
denizz
7 months ago
Still no reporting showing that Israel intends to control Lebanese territory. As we get further after the deadline, any new reporting will be too late to reliably establish intent retroactively.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It currently costs about $24,430.46 to get to 99cents YES, and $406,375.83 to get to 99cents NO. Time to study the facts fast and sell all NO, and buy all YES to save your money. If you are a NO holder, the verifiable facts are not on your side.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The intent is to establish the long-term security of the Israeli settlements in the north by permanently pushing Hezbollah 5KM back north of the Litani River to the UN Security Council Resolution 1701 zone, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. Hezbollah refused all this time, then attacked Israel on October 8th of last year. This invasion has been long in the making and planning. Israel's intent is to solve the Hezbollah problem. The world understands. But, for some strange reason, you don't. lol
0
Loveisasimple
7 months ago
there is no any news about invading I see. Can you show me yours?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The IDF has CONFIRMED ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html Ground invasion: https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
0
Loveisasimple
7 months ago
there is no any news about invading I see. Can you show me yours?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y, https://thenightly.com.au/world/lebanon-israel-commences-ground-invasion--c-16237510, https://www.arabnews.pk/node/2573438/middle-east, https://www.observerbd.com/news/492816, https://x.com/Frances_Coppola/status/1840966652092981709,
0
Loveisasimple
7 months ago
there is no any news about invading I see. Can you show me yours?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It currently costs about $27,000 to get to 99cents YES, and about $400,000 to get to 99cents NO. Time to study the facts fast and sell all NO, and buy all YES to save your money. The verifiable facts are not on your side. Judging by your post, you lack a lot of key information.
0
jve0i
7 months ago
The IDF is conducting targeted raids into Lebanese territory. This is an extension of Operation Northern Arrow. There is no intent to establish control over any part of Lebanese territory, as there was/is in Gaza. That would be a new Operation with a different objective. One that Lebanon would take issue with by the way.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
WRONG! The intent is to establish the long-term security of the Israeli settlements in the north by permanently pushing Hezbollah 5KM back north of the Litani River to the UN Security Council Resolution 1701 zone, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. Hezbollah refused all this time, then attacked Israel on October 8th of last year. This invasion has been long in the making and planning. Israel's intent is to solve the Hezbollah problem. The world understands. But, for some strange reason, you don't. lol
0
jve0i
7 months ago
The IDF is conducting targeted raids into Lebanese territory. This is an extension of Operation Northern Arrow. There is no intent to establish control over any part of Lebanese territory, as there was/is in Gaza. That would be a new Operation with a different objective. One that Lebanon would take issue with by the way.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Getting to 99cents NO keeps getting more expensive! Now at $401,740.26
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It now costs $36,838.24 to get to 99cents YES, and $400,407.87 to get to 99cents NO.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
OMG!!! Now only $18,268.71 to get to 99cents YES.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
As time goes by, it gets progressively cheaper to get to 99cents YES compared to NO.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
WOW!!! Now only $29,191.66 to get to 99cents YES.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
As time goes by, it gets progressively cheaper to get to 99cents YES compared to NO.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
As time goes by, it gets progressively cheaper to get to 99cents YES compared to NO.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It now costs $36,838.24 to get to 99cents YES, and $400,407.87 to get to 99cents NO.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
More confirmations just keep piling in! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y, https://thenightly.com.au/world/lebanon-israel-commences-ground-invasion--c-16237510, https://www.arabnews.pk/node/2573438/middle-east, https://www.observerbd.com/news/492816, https://x.com/Frances_Coppola/status/1840966652092981709
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It now costs $36,838.24 to get to 99cents YES, and $400,407.87 to get to 99cents NO.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Smart! It's the side with ALL the verifiable facts and consensus reporting, as well as, confirmation from Israel, the IDF, and the support of the US State Department whose press secretary repeatedly explained Israel's rational and right to defend itself from Hezbollah now, and well into the future! Watch and learn, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9-ZzFY5I4
0
1mperator17
7 months ago
my boy chad absolutely sending it on yes right now
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
lol
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
There’s no evidence IDF are not permitting Hezbollah militants from walking through the tanks, enjoying the tunnels, and walking right up to the blue line as long alas they’re in Lebanese territory.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Actually, Arab run organizations started spreading hyperbolic fears that Israel wants to control all of Lebanon. To calm fears, Israel clarified that its intention is to push Hezbollah 5KM back to the north of the Litani River, preventing them from assaulting northern Israeli settlements any longer. This way the Israeli refugees can safely return home. Sounds like a well planned long-term strategy ever since Hezbollah attacked Israel unprovoked on Oct. 8th of last year.
0
cooker
7 months ago
"There will be no long-term occupation" means the territory is already under control
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Arab run organizations started spreading hyperbolic fears that Israel wants to control all of Lebanon. To calm fears, Israel clarified that its intention is to push Hezbollah 5KM back to the north of the Litani River, preventing them from assaulting northern Israeli settlements any longer. This way the Israeli refugees can safely return home. Sounds like a well planned long-term strategy ever since Hezbollah attacked Israel unprovoked on Oct. 8th of last year.
0
X9504
7 months ago
It’s not an invasion, it’s a special limited ground operation
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Interesting. It costs about $40,000 to get to 99cents YES, and about $404,000 to get to 99cents NO. Good luck No holders! Time is ticking to switch to Yes and save your portfolio.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Your logic is faulty. Israel's intent has been made public for weeks!!!
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
100 tanks sitting in Lebanon. But they’re not controlling the area where they’re parked. Villagers are for sure hanging their laundry on the turrets
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Here's the intent, https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-general-said-pushing-for-ground-incursion-to-create-south-lebanon-buffer-zone/amp/
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
100 tanks sitting in Lebanon. But they’re not controlling the area where they’re parked. Villagers are for sure hanging their laundry on the turrets
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Bingo! It's clearly a Yes!
0
theytookmysnackbar
7 months ago
'Yes' if Israeli forces establish any form of control over Lebanese territory, even briefly. 'Control' implies maintaining a presence in an area, not just passing through or conducting strikes
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Why??? Here's the intent, https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-general-said-pushing-for-ground-incursion-to-create-south-lebanon-buffer-zone/amp/
0
n/a
7 months ago
you are a scammer, stop it
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between September 17, 2024 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET." Israel sure as shit commenced a military offensive!!! Bingo!!! YES!!!
0
n/a
7 months ago
you are a scammer, stop it
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Actually, all the links above were retrieved several hours before the market deadline.
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
CNN now confirming!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel now confirming, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ Now, the Independent confirming! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph now confirming!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/ NPR confirming!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion Reuters now confirming!!!! We have a massive "consensus of credible reporting"!!! Resolution of this market? YES, YES, YES! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/ Israeli military has now confirmed! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The country of Israel has now CONFIRMED!!! It's Yes! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon The IDF has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
CNN now confirming!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel now confirming, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ Now, the Independent confirming! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph now confirming!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/ NPR confirming!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion Reuters now confirming!!!! We have a massive "consensus of credible reporting"!!! Resolution of this market? YES, YES, YES! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/ Israeli military has now confirmed! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The country of Israel has now CONFIRMED!!! It's Yes! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon The IDF has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Best advice is to switch to Yes bro to save your position.
0
X9504
7 months ago
It’s not an invasion, it’s a special limited ground operation
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Did you count the number of troops and tanks??? Obviously not. Duh! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/1/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israelis-launch-ground-operation-in-lebanon "“It is not what the Israelis are telling us. From open source [intelligence], we understand that the Israelis have prepared at least 18 brigades. So we are talking about between 70,000 and 100,000 soldiers,” Magnier told Al Jazeera."
0
X9504
7 months ago
It’s not an invasion, it’s a special limited ground operation
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hahahahahahaha!!!! So silly!!! There was a US State Department press briefing just after the Israeli war cabinet approved the invasion.
0
Cedarville
7 months ago
I don't believe there's consensus on the intent of the incursion, and there's not enough information about current troops' movement/activities.. Switched to "no"
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Both the entire Israeli cabinet, and the US State Department have openly declared support for this initiative. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This offensive military operation is now happening to establish control over southern Lebanon. The US State Department press briefing earlier in the day REPEATEDLY refers to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and Israel's right to defend itself through a military offensive. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9-ZzFY5I4
0
N3kro
7 months ago
Title: US shifts position to support for Israel’s ground operation in Lebanon: "The only official statement that we have at the moment is the army statement that announces the start of what they are saying is a limited and targeted ground operation aimed at dismantling Hezbollah infrastructure from along the border." https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/1/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israelis-launch-ground-operation-in-lebanon ~ Stefanie Dekker Reporting from Amman, Jordan
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Quit lying! Israel already eliminated Hezbollah's top 20+ leaders, disrupted its communications, and "commenced a military offensive intended to establish control over a portion of Lebanon". Case closed! Yes holders win. Sell and buy Yes like everyone else.
0
X9504
7 months ago
It’s not an invasion, it’s a special limited ground operation
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The country of Israel has now CONFIRMED!!! It's Yes! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The IDF has CONFIRMED!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Perfect time to switch to Yes and save your money.
0
DT24
7 months ago
GG everyone.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
We have a major "consensus of credible reporting" folks!!! The Yes holders win!!! GG
0
publius2024
7 months ago
can you add to the dispute?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
NBC confirms Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218
0
X9504
7 months ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
New York Post now confirms, too! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/
0
X9504
7 months ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The Telegraph now confirming!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/
0
X9504
7 months ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
NPR confirming!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion
0
X9504
7 months ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Reuters now confirming!!!! We have a massive "consensus of credible reporting"!!! Resolution of this market? YES, YES, YES! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/
0
X9504
7 months ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The IDF has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html
0
X9504
7 months ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
0
X9504
7 months ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
chad entered DOUBLING HaterzLoserz's position.
1
n/a
7 months ago
BREAKING: HaterzLoserz has completey exited his position.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Most media are calling it an invasion.
0
X9504
7 months ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
More news reports out today about what happened before the deadline do matter, and do count.
0
Coram_Deo
7 months ago
Time is up. Now it is the 1. October (read rule time) Everything what happens today does not matter for the result
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Intent: https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-general-said-pushing-for-ground-incursion-to-create-south-lebanon-buffer-zone/amp/
0
n/a
7 months ago
Israel isnt going to admit to seizing terrority. Lebanon or UN will have to show Israel controlling Lebanese land. Too late I think.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
In Gaza, Israel said precision bombing. They are assuming control. Israel's openly stated objective in Lebanon is to push Hezbollah back 5KM north of the Litani River to eliminate the threat of rockets launching into the norther Israeli settlements in Israel. This has been officially stated by Israel and the US State Department.
0
n/a
7 months ago
"limited, localized operations" i.e., not territorial control
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The rules are clear. Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.)
1
Secret14thKey
7 months ago
so far the reporting suggests raids into lebanon to destroy attack infrastructure e.g. launchers and ammo stores, not to control territory. but i'm not buying more because i don't trust UMA
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The US State Department press briefing earlier in the day REPEATEDLY refers to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and Israel's right to defend itself through a military offensive. Both the entire Israeli cabinet, and the US State Department have openly declared support for this initiative. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This offensive military operation is now happening to establish control over southern Lebanon. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9-ZzFY5I4
1
denizz
7 months ago
There's been no reporting so far that shows that the Israeli incursions aim to establish territorial control, i.e.are more than transient raids.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The rules are clear. Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Both the entire Israeli cabinet, and the US State Department have openly declared support for this initiative. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This offensive military operation is now happening to establish control over southern Lebanon. The US State Department press briefing earlier in the day REPEATEDLY refers to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and Israel's right to defend itself through a military offensive. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9-ZzFY5I4
0
DT24
7 months ago
They only provided proof for this market: https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727755063455
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
This market resolves to Yes no matter what you call it. "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon"
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The rules are clear. Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Both the entire Israeli cabinet, and the US State Department have openly declared support for this initiative. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This offensive military operation is now happening to establish control over southern Lebanon. The US State Department press briefing earlier in the day REPEATEDLY refers to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and Israel's right to defend itself through a military offensive. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9-ZzFY5I4 Arab run organizations started spreading hyperbolic fear that Israel wants to control all of Lebanon. To calm fears, Israel clarified that its intention is to push Hezbollah 5KM back to the north of the Litani River, preventing them to assault norther Israeli settlements any further. This way the Israeli refugees can safely return home.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
That's how invasions start. They already disrupted Hezbollah communications, and eliminated its top 20+ leaders. Now it's entering Lebanon by force. = invasion.
0
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
n accordance with the decision of the political echelon, a few hours ago, the IDF began limited, localized, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence against Hezbollah terrorist targets and infrastructure in southern Lebanon. These targets are located in villages close to the border and pose an immediate threat to Israeli communities in northern Israel. The IDF is operating according to a methodical plan set out by the General Staff and the Northern Command which IDF soldiers have trained and prepared for in recent months. The Israeli Air Force and IDF Artillery are supporting the ground forces with precise strikes on military targets in the area. These operations were approved and carried out in accordance with the decision of the political echelon. Operation “Northern Arrows” will continue according to the situational assessment and in parallel to combat in Gaza and in other arenas. The IDF is continuing to operate to achieve the goals of the war and is doing everything necessary to defend the citizens of Israel and return the citizens of northern Israel to their homes.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Invasion in entering a foriegn territory by force. Every major news outlet is calling it an invasion.
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
Sources of intention are in past news, not breaking news. That’s where you’re not looking: https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-general-said-pushing-for-ground-incursion-to-create-south-lebanon-buffer-zone/amp/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Market fixing is a criminal offence. What's your evidence for No?
0
YatSen
7 months ago
this market lacks liquidity and can easily flip
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The use of force to eliminate threats = the establishment of control.
0
aLaT
7 months ago
this is an "operation" you can't come and claim that thay going to establish control . thats just assumption
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"The invasion is being supported by the Israeli air force and artillery, the Israel Defense Forces said. " Nice! It's a clear Yes resolution.
0
FalC0N
7 months ago
The Israeli military said it had launched “limited, localized and targeted raids” against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon overnight Monday. The invasion is being supported by the Israeli air force and artillery, the Israel Defense Forces said. Earlier in the day, Israel told Washington that its planned ground operation would be smaller than its last war against Hezbollah in 2006 and would focus on clearing out militant infrastructure along the border to remove the threat to Israeli border communities, a U.S. official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss private talks between the two governments.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yup
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Lol nope!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Market fixing is a criminal offence in London, too. Your online activities are prosecutable locally.
0
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
DISPUTE ON UMA: https://oracle.uma.xyz/?project=Polymarket
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
False!
0
Republican
7 months ago
According to the White House: "the Israelis will be conducting limited operations to destroy Hezbollah infrastructure." Per the White House, what is ongoing isn't an attempt to establish control over any area. Market should be resolved NO. https://twitter.com/IsraelWarRoom/status/1840950491150483882
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The smart money is slowly switching to Yes.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Arab run news outlets and NGOs are screaming that Israel intends to take over all of Lebanon. In order to calm the region, Israel is calming fears of a greater invasion than their publicly stated mission to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) The Israeli "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon..." has already begun, according to Israel, The IDF, and a major consensus of credible reporting.
0
salameezy
7 months ago
The Israeli military said it had launched “limited, localized and targeted raids” against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon overnight Monday. The invasion is being supported by the Israeli air force and artillery, the Israel Defense Forces said. Earlier in the day, Israel told Washington that its planned ground operation would be smaller than its last war against Hezbollah in 2006 and would focus on clearing out militant infrastructure along the border to remove the threat to Israeli border communities, a U.S. official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss private talks between the two governments. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
To all No holders, there's still time to switch to Yes and earn back some of your position.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Go back to grade 4.
0
eaglioneth
7 months ago
invasion: A military action where a country or army uses force to take control of another country or region. Invasions are often part of a war or conflict. if they enter and invade then yes voters win, if they enter (they have entered) but don't invade, no voters will win
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive..."
0
Forbestake
7 months ago
So for a “yes” we need for it to be properly referenced as an invasion not a military action?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
, It's over! IDF has confirmed!!! https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon/vi-AA1rv0zU
1
duckduck
7 months ago
God be over already
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
IDF has confirmed!!! https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon/vi-AA1rv0zU
0
JoeBETS
7 months ago
I’ll swallow my pride and admit we lost. if they truly are in the lebanon villages..
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Please use your words and make rational arguments.
0
n/a
7 months ago
stfu take that scammer with you
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Nope
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-prepares-lebanon-invasion-hezbollah/
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Nope
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You still have time to wind down your positions at a reasonable price. That's probably your best option now. The truth is the truth. Facts are facts. That's the entire point of prediction markets. Don't bet what you are unable to lose, and don't bet on markets you have little awareness of.
0
Smashtouille
7 months ago
can one of the big guys propose a dispute?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
On what grounds? Any attempt to dispute what are now confirmed facts by Israel, the IDF, and a massive consensus of credible reporting would simply be an attempt to market fix--a serious criminal offense.
0
Smashtouille
7 months ago
can one of the big guys propose a dispute?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Jooba, the declared mission isn't to eliminate one guy. They've already eliminated 20+ of the top Hezbollah leadership. Gosh!
0
n/a
7 months ago
They have entered, but not invaded, it's a NO!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The US State Department press briefing earlier in the day REPEATEDLY refers to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and Israel's right to defend itself through a military offensive. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9-ZzFY5I4
0
n/a
7 months ago
They have entered, but not invaded, it's a NO!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israeli military forces have entered Lebanon, a territory they do not govern by law. They have entered by force to assume control.
0
n/a
7 months ago
They have entered, but not invaded, it's a NO!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Don't waste your money. If you dispute, you will lose 750 more.
0
n/a
7 months ago
how do we dispute it?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
That's what you call an invasion. It's when foreign troops enter another territory they do not govern de jure.
1
n/a
7 months ago
They have entered, but not invaded, it's a NO!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel has now confirmed!!! See below!
0
n/a
7 months ago
The main resolution source is official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council but its okay guys none of that matters because we can just bail ourselves out with a cOnSeNsUs oF cReDiBlE rEpOrTiNg.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Thinking of attempting to engage in market fixing? You do know that's a serious criminal offence punishable by several years in jail, right?
0
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
DISPUTE ON UMA: https://oracle.uma.xyz/?project=Polymarket
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israeli military has now confirmed! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hey, wow! Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more, have ALL confirmed! It's a Yes resolution!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Well, they are in the middle of conducting a war, as we speak. Any UN press release on Israel killing Nabil Qaouk?
0
n/a
7 months ago
Consensus of credible reporting always comes to the rescue!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more, have ALL confirmed!
0
AllForOne
7 months ago
Do we have confirmation from at least one of the sources cited?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
0
AllForOne
7 months ago
Do we have confirmation from at least one of the sources cited?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Both! As clearly stated by Netanyahu in concert with the entire Israeli cabinet, as well as the US State Department, Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.)
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's pretty simple fellas. Look at any article you share and ask the question, "are they going after people or real estate"?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel commenced the military offensive within the allotted timeframe stipulated in the rules.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The rules are clear. Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The rules are clear. Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.)
0
HeHeardANoise
7 months ago
I sold a few of my "no's" just in case. But this absoltutly should not be a guessing game at this point.Terribly worded market.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
So, yes, Israel is NOT intending to assume control over all of Lebanon--only the zone prescribed by the UN Security Council, the zone Hezbollah refused to concede for the establishment of a longer lasting peace.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
A lot of the Arab funded and operated outlets are stoking people's fears that Israel's true intentions are to take over control of the entire country, then the next. So, in order to assuage fears, Israel decided to call it limited because its actual intentions are to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
A lot of the Arab funded and operated outlets are stoking people's fears that Israel's true intentions are to take over control of the entire country, then the next. So, in order to assuage fears, Israel decided to call it limited because its actual intentions are to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River.
0
Cedarville
7 months ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/1/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israelis-launch-ground-operation-in-lebanon --- "What we will see now is what happens when the Israelis cross the border and try to occupy parts of south Lebanon and the Hezbollah response." AlJazeera is implying Israel will try to occupy these areas. "Israelis say they are launching what they call limited, targeted raids into Lebanese territory. But this is still an invasion into a sovereign country."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's actually quite clear. Both the entire Israeli cabinet, and the US State Department have openly declared support for this initiative. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.
0
ErrantSloth
7 months ago
The market hinges on whether Israel's military actions are *intended* to establish control over Lebanon. Even if Israel publicly states their goal is limited, the true intentions of decision-makers may remain unknown for an extended period. This raises the question: Is the market based on declared intentions or actual motives? If, months later, Israel annexes the land and the market has already closed as "No," people could argue that the initial invasion had a different intention than publicly stated, leading to a botched UMA ruling. The listed resolution sources are Lebanon, Israel, the UN, or credible reporting consensus. If Israel denies annexation plans but Lebanon, the UN, or media outlets suggest otherwise, there’s ambiguity on how to adjudicate. This market might not be resolvable until the intent behind the offensive is fully known (which may not be ever btw). If annexation happens later (or doesn't), how would we determine whether that was the original intent or Israel's mind changed? All I know for sure is this market should trade at the same level as the November invasion market because today's offensive is the start of their military offensive, regardless of whether it ultimately leads to annexation.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Both the entire Israeli cabinet, and the US State Department have openly declared support for this initiative. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.
0
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
Yep they certainly need to weigh in here. Cant let the nasty filthy Umans decide this
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yup, it's an invasion. They used to invade on horseback in my days.
0
HeHeardANoise
7 months ago
"Limited ground raids" is no an invasion buddy
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
With or without handcuffs?
0
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
Barak Ravid, one of the best sourced Israel reporters in the entire world. "The ground operation was approved at the Israeli security cabinet meeting on Monday evening local time. Two Israeli officials said the cabinet decision emphasized that the operation is targeted and limited in time and scope and is not intended to occupy southern Lebanon."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's currently 8:59 PM ET, September 30th.
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, have ALL confirmed! More coming!!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, have ALL confirmed! More coming!!!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Sorry for your loss. Better luck next time.
0
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
I don't understand your angst or why you have the obsession you do. But normal people look at this and just shake their head.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
We have a major "consensus of credible reporting" folks!!! The Yes holders win!!! GG
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
How exactly does and invasion start. Please answer in detail? Over 12 major news outlets are calling it an invasion.
0
Jooba
7 months ago
How can you possibly think “limited ground operations” targeting Hezbollah inside southern Lebanon, US and other officials said late on Monday." count as invasion?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Please tell me, how exactly does an invasion start? Please write in detail. About 12 major news outlets are calling it an invasion.
0
Jooba
7 months ago
dont buy more man. You are already down a lot on this site. A raid is not an invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Reuters now confirming!!!! We have a massive "consensus of credible reporting"!!! Resolution of this market? YES, YES, YES! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The Guardian now confirming!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You must be a very slow learner. Both the entire Israeli cabinet, and the US State Department have openly declared support for this initiative. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.
0
bosshog
7 months ago
do you see anything that says israel is intending to establish control over a portion of lebanon with these raids lol?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Multiple credible news sources are calling it an invasion. More sources forthcoming!!!
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Forbes has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yup, it sure is! The "commencement of a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" has begun!!! It's a Yes resolution!
0
Jooba
7 months ago
raids aren't an invasion. Sell while you can
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
lol This market resolves to Yes no matter what you call it. "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon"
0
CYQ
7 months ago
Its a special operation
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Forbes has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Now, the Independent confirming! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The IDF does not take orders from Biden.
2
DT24
7 months ago
President Joe Biden called on the IDF not to launch a ground campaign into southern Lebanon to route out the Iranian proxy group Hezbollah as tensions appeared to escalate between the two staunch allies.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It most certainly is an invasion by definition.
1
HeHeardANoise
7 months ago
We shall see. But this does in fact resolve to "No" if they go by their rules. This is not a ground invasion. But of course, it all depends on how PM interprets the news.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The Times of Israel now confirming, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
CNN now confirming!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-821158
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
More reputable and credible news outlets reporting!!! It's a resounding Yes resolution to this market!!! Already, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail! More incoming!!!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
They are not going in to handcuff Hezbollah. lol
0
salameezy
7 months ago
“Earlier we reported that the Israeli cabinet approved this next stage of the military operation after a meeting on Monday evening chaired by prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Officials speaking to Axios reporter Barak Ravid said that the cabinet decision “emphasized that the operation is targeted and limited in time and scope and is not intended to occupy southern Lebanon”
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" YEEEEEEEEEEEEEEESSSSSSS!!!!!
0
salameezy
7 months ago
“Earlier we reported that the Israeli cabinet approved this next stage of the military operation after a meeting on Monday evening chaired by prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Officials speaking to Axios reporter Barak Ravid said that the cabinet decision “emphasized that the operation is targeted and limited in time and scope and is not intended to occupy southern Lebanon”
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Just give me more yummy cheap shares!!! Yum yum!!!
0
n/a
7 months ago
Be careful, there are people shilling in the comments while dumping positions.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Fox News confirming!! https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-launches-limited-ground-operations-lebanon-war-hezbollah-terrorist-groups-continue
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Daily Mail confirms!!! https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13909477/Israel-goes-IDF-confirms-boots-ground-southern-Lebanon-bombs-rain-sky-day-ratcheting-tensions.html
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
ABC News now confirming, too!!! Yes is the resolution to this market. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The Washington Post confirms, too!!! "Live updates: Israel launches ground operation in southern Lebanon, Israeli military says". Now that's NBC and WP!!! Also, Canadian news reporting, too.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
ChatGPT is the worst possible source. It's filled with multiracial Nazis.
0
JohnWhyNot
7 months ago
From GPT: "While the IDF's actions involve ground raids into Lebanon, the phrase "limited, localized, and targeted" suggests that these operations are tactical in nature and likely fall short of what the market defines as a "military offensive intended to establish control" over part of Lebanon. These actions seem more defensive and limited in scope, aimed at neutralizing specific threats rather than achieving territorial control."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
lol Nice try.
0
PokerBrat
7 months ago
Israel has clarified this is NOT an Invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The officially expressed intension is to restore the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.
0
BiggestBidenFan
7 months ago
Two Israeli officials said the cabinet decision emphasized that the operation is targeted and limited in time and scope and is not intended to occupy southern Lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yeah, that's the soft sell. Doesn't matter though. Use of force, and threat elimination = the establishment of control. You think the troops need to handcuff Hezbollah fighters as they go? lol
0
BiggestBidenFan
7 months ago
Two Israeli officials said the cabinet decision emphasized that the operation is targeted and limited in time and scope and is not intended to occupy southern Lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You're silly.
0
Tentaclecracy
7 months ago
Not to mention that an actual ground invasion would put USA in a situation impossible to support since the situation would be essentially the same as Ukraine
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Confirmed YES! ""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon..."
0
Tentaclecracy
7 months ago
So the Israeli army says this is a limited raid operation: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/9/30/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israel-expands-strikes-on-beirut-as-105-killed?update=3212708
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon..."
0
Sakuya
7 months ago
if they intend to hold land south of the litani, a limited operation is still an invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yes is yes. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.
0
Adrimarket
7 months ago
" No, the Israeli military operation in southern Lebanon is not considered an attempt to establish control over any part of Lebanon. The stated goal of the operation is to target and neutralize Hezbollah terrorist infrastructure and threats near the border, which pose an immediate danger to Israeli communities. The focus is on counterterrorism and defensive actions, not on territorial expansion or establishing long-term control over Lebanese territory. Israel's actions are framed as a response to security threats, aiming to protect its civilian population rather than pursuing any form of territorial gain."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
NBC Confirmation!!! Yes it is!!! GG No holders! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hahaha!!! Israel does not dance to the US's beat. Sorry to tell you.
0
debased
7 months ago
The way the Statement from the Israeli Defense Force was worded, this appears to be exactly what U.S. Officials were saying it would be, a Limited Operation. There likely won’t be any Goal yet of Territory Control or Capture, with it possible that Israeli Forces will have already Withdrawn by Tuesday Morning.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Right? How'd that work out. Israel is always urged to soften their rhetoric.
0
General.William.T.Sherman
7 months ago
Remember when Gaza was a “limited operation” lmaoooo. Buckle up
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Exactly!!! It's a clear Yes!
1
General.William.T.Sherman
7 months ago
I can make a very good argument this is already over. “Commence” is the key word which has happened with the approval of the cabinet. Intentions are clear—push back to UN resolution lines.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Use of force, and threat elimination = establishing control
1
PBet
7 months ago
the rules state it is about establishing control. An invasion is certain, there are israeli boots on lebanese soil.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Yet more confirmation. https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/2/8/532741/World/Region/LIVE-Israel-starts-invading-south-Lebanon.aspx
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Invasion confirmed once again! https://dawnmena.org/dawn-statements-in-response-to-israels-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
First phase already done, dude! ""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon". https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822632
0
n/a
7 months ago
Media blackout… for who? There’s a bunch of international media in Lebanon and Hizbollah doesn’t care what Israel wants. If tanks are rolling in we will know.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
You're missing one very important point. Here, https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1840847320973214122
0
Republican
7 months ago
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1840878909455258095 "Ground operations WILL be significant" FUTURE TENSE... What does that tell you, yes bros?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Cheap shares are delicious!
0
Republican
7 months ago
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1840878909455258095 "Ground operations WILL be significant" FUTURE TENSE... What does that tell you, yes bros?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
YES!!! It has commenced!!! ""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon".
1
Republican
7 months ago
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1840878909455258095 "Ground operations WILL be significant" FUTURE TENSE... What does that tell you, yes bros?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
More confirmations incoming... Just wait and watch.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's like a buffet!
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Time to gobble up cheap shares!! Yum, yum!!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Time to gobble up cheap shares!! Yum, yum!!
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Ground invasion is on folks. It's a YES. https://eadaily.com/en/news/2024/09/30/israel-has-launched-a-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-the-jerusalem-post
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Ground invasion is on folks. It's a YES. https://eadaily.com/en/news/2024/09/30/israel-has-launched-a-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-the-jerusalem-post
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/reports-suggest-israel-has-begun-ground-invasion-in-lebanon/ar-AA1rujPb
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Invasion has begun. https://adc.org/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
0
Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Next phase underway here, https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's actually happening.
0
semi
7 months ago
journalistic telephone. read carefully and track down the source!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon... Check! It's a resounding Yes!
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
IDF soldiers entered southern Lebanon as part of a ground assault on Monday night as the conflict with Hezbollah continues to escalate, AFP reported.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
IDF soldiers entered southern Lebanon as part of a ground assault on Monday night as the conflict with Hezbollah continues to escalate, AFP reported.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel has clearly commenced a military offensive.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701. It has commenced.
1
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
Really makes you wonder why there is an invasion market and a separate market for if troops enter lebanon. Hmmmm
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"IDF soldiers entered southern Lebanon as part of a ground assault on Monday night as the conflict with Hezbollah continues to escalate, AFP reported. Shortly thereafter, Arabic media such as Al-Jazeera and MTV Lebanon claimed that IDF tanks had entered multiple villages in southern Lebanon."
0
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
(Wall Street Journal) -- Israeli special forces have been carrying out small, targeted raids into southern Lebanon, gathering intelligence and probing ahead of a possible broader ground incursion that could come as soon as this week, people familiar with the matter said. The raids, which have included entering Hezbollah's tunnels located along the border, have occurred recently as well as over the past months, part of the broader effort by Israel to degrade Hezbollah's capabilities along the border dividing Israel and Lebanon, the people said. The timing of any ground action could change, the people said. The Biden administration expects an imminent Israeli invasion of Lebanon, U.S. officials said.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Old news. Here's the update, https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-821158
0
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
(Wall Street Journal) -- Israeli special forces have been carrying out small, targeted raids into southern Lebanon, gathering intelligence and probing ahead of a possible broader ground incursion that could come as soon as this week, people familiar with the matter said. The raids, which have included entering Hezbollah's tunnels located along the border, have occurred recently as well as over the past months, part of the broader effort by Israel to degrade Hezbollah's capabilities along the border dividing Israel and Lebanon, the people said. The timing of any ground action could change, the people said. The Biden administration expects an imminent Israeli invasion of Lebanon, U.S. officials said.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.
0
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
Why is Yes at 85%?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-821158 "IDF soldiers entered southern Lebanon as part of a ground assault on Monday night as the conflict with Hezbollah continues to escalate, AFP reported. Shortly thereafter, Arabic media such as Al-Jazeera and MTV Lebanon claimed that IDF tanks had entered multiple villages in southern Lebanon."
0
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
Why is Yes at 85%?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Check here, https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-821158
0
PokerBrat
7 months ago
not convinced it is an invasion yet
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Bingo! Yes it is. Thanks for playing.
0
BobMenendez
7 months ago
https://x.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1840851183654568138 this is pretty clear
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel has already commenced a military offensive. Phase 1 complete! "Israel’s defense minister, Yoav Gallant, said that “next phase of the war against Hezbollah will begin soon”, in comments that further indicate that Israel plants to mount a ground invasion of Lebanon. Gallant earlier on Monday told troops in the north of the country that “we will use all of our capabilities – including you”."
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
lol. Actually, it is gaining control over territory.
0
DT24
7 months ago
exactly. limited ground operation. not gaining control over territory.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Switch browsers
1
Phoenix777
7 months ago
Bought my shares 30min ago, but when i try to sell, the poly shows zero shares, am i the onlyone haveing this problem?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Tanks already rolled in. That's several level above the rules requirement. https://x.com/Intel_Slava/status/1840835858393698389
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Old news. Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.
1
dccronin2
7 months ago
"Israel has launched small, precision raids across the border in Lebanon and a larger ground operation is being planned, AP is reporting, citing two officials. It was not clear if Israel had made a final decision on a broader operation, the news agency reported." read the rules of the market.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
With the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.
0
Tenebrus7
7 months ago
Small raids and a picture of the tanks from yesterday at the border, much news....
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel commenced a military offensive!
0
Tenebrus7
7 months ago
Small raids and a picture of the tanks from yesterday at the border, much news....
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
How did you dump 4800 No shares so quick?
0
Car
7 months ago
uh
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"Raids across Lebanon border come amid fears of larger ground operation; Israel’s defence minister says ‘next phase’ of war will ‘begin soon’". Next phase, therefore Phase 1 already complete. "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between September 17, 2024 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET."
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
https://amp.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/sep/30/israel-attacks-live-blog-lebanon-yemen-hamas-hezbollah-news-updates-middle-east-crisis
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's a clear Yes. Free money folks!
1
n/a
7 months ago
IDF soldiers enter southern Lebanon in a ground offensive for the first time since 2006 following a series of escalations with Iran-backed Hezbollah. https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-821158
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Bingo! You are 100% correct, as stated by Israel and the US State Department today.
1
Meow.Zedong
7 months ago
They are pushing up the border to where it was supposed to be established as a buffer zone 50 years ago. They will effectively control this area to safely return Israelis to their homes in Northern Territory which they fled because of attacks from Hezbollah.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Bingo! You are 100% correct Adam.
0
General.William.T.Sherman
7 months ago
Have the following been met? Commence ✅ Intention to change area ✅ by definition this is green lmao. Even if they pull back they just commenced an operation with the sole goal to change what is happening in the area. Thereby controlling it.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Bingo! It's a Yes, with the support of the US State Depatment.
0
Adamg01
7 months ago
the IDF has stated the goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain North of the Litani River. This has to be done by estyablishing control over southern lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Free Yes money now!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The rules are quite clear, "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between September 17, 2024 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. " It's a Yes!
1
DT24
7 months ago
Wish I had more money to buy more NO. People don't read the rules. They just read the title.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel have clearly stated their intentions on several occasions now.
0
DT24
7 months ago
U.S. Officials have confirmed that Israeli Forces have now crossed into Southern Lebanon, and are beginning Limited-Ground Operations against Hezbollah Positions near the Border. ----- Limited ground operations is NOTTTTT intend to gain control over territory.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The moment when you watch Car's No position drop by half.
2
Car
7 months ago
That moment when you read the title but not the rules 😳
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Actually, it very much is Israeli intention exert control over the southern region so that Hezbollah will be denied the freedom to launch any more rockets from the south of Lebanon. Gosh!
0
DT24
7 months ago
Can someone explain the difference between this market and this one https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727721910792
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Game over. https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/sep/30/israel-attacks-live-blog-lebanon-yemen-hamas-hezbollah-news-updates-middle-east-crisis
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's over! https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/sep/30/israel-attacks-live-blog-lebanon-yemen-hamas-hezbollah-news-updates-middle-east-crisis
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/sep/30/israel-attacks-live-blog-lebanon-yemen-hamas-hezbollah-news-updates-middle-east-crisis
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840827222992830839
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://x.com/EuropeInvasionn/status/1840827511703245042
0
Car
7 months ago
they arent even over the border yet, lol.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Use of force and threat neutralization = the establishment of control
0
Dudidu
7 months ago
The question is whether they intend to "establish control over any portion of Lebanon". This market is terribly worded.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Y....E...S... We have a bingo!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
GG No holders. YES holders win this time. Better luck next time.
0
PokerBrat
7 months ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840827222992830839
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Use of force operations have already begun. GG
0
Car
7 months ago
So how do the Yes people want to resolve this when IDF stated they are only invading to destroy Hezbollah infrastructure? They have told the US its only a limited invasion and they are not gaining any territory.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Use of force = the establishment of control
0
Car
7 months ago
So how do the Yes people want to resolve this when IDF stated they are only invading to destroy Hezbollah infrastructure? They have told the US its only a limited invasion and they are not gaining any territory.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Learn to read, and use your words.
0
CYQ
7 months ago
sorry you little Bitaches . Not day
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Bingo! GG No holders. It's over!
0
Phat.
7 months ago
commences a military offensive intended to establish control... " intended" crossing or controlling the border is good enough. dont let car the rat fool you
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israeli forces already crossed the border. https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/sep/30/israel-attacks-live-blog-lebanon-yemen-hamas-hezbollah-news-updates-middle-east-crisis
0
Car
7 months ago
Also guys, they arent even over the border yet. And this market ends in a few hours lol.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel already commenced a military offensive to establish control in Lebanon. Game over! https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/sep/30/israel-attacks-live-blog-lebanon-yemen-hamas-hezbollah-news-updates-middle-east-crisis
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Time is money.
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It seems unlikely that Israel is going to squander this incredible window of opportunity that it has spent the past month blowing up the entire Middle East for
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://x.com/AJABreaking/status/1840812182633648436
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
US State Department is currently vigorously arguing for, and defending Israel's case. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I2QdCTlsE2M
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Nice try.
0
Car
7 months ago
I dont know why you guys are buying this. IDF has announced BEFORE the invasion that the intention is to have a limited invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Use of force to clear zones = the establishment of control.
1
MaccabeanSoldier
7 months ago
OMFG can someone please clarify what the rules mean?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
1, 2, 3, or 4.
0
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
YES holder, which next few hours gonna happen? could you be more specific. TY.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Hahahaha!!!! Clearing out offensive Hezbollah infrastructure in southern Lebanon is the very definition of establishing control. My god!
2
Mr.Wellington
7 months ago
The key condition for the market to resolve to "Yes" is that Israel must launch a military offensive with the intent to establish control over part of Lebanon. If the stated goal of the operation is a limited incursion, even if ground forces are deployed, and there is no mention of controlling or holding territory, it would not meet the criteria for the market to resolve to "Yes."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Not this time. Hezbollah is on its own. The world gets it.
0
Foreseeable.
7 months ago
You know what will also happen in this escalation within the next 24hs for much more than 3%? Iran hits Israel, as it has in the past as retalliation. https://polymarket.com/event/iran-military-response-before-october/iran-military-response-before-october?tid=1727711343710
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Thanks again Joe!
0
PokerBrat
7 months ago
within 20 minutes is the question
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Thanks Joe!
0
PokerBrat
7 months ago
20 minutes till deadlune
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I think you mean 11 hours and 20 minutes.
0
PokerBrat
7 months ago
20 minutes till deadlune
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Invading, then clearing out Hezbollah infrastructure so they can no long assault northern Israel is VERY MUCH the establishment of control.
0
kingsirpredictionconnoisseur
7 months ago
If they shortly enter Libanon to attack a target but retreat back after it won't count as an invasion. The rules state it should be with the intent to take control. Will be an interesting one
Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Stop your bickering folks. https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk#cm1p3e8ah00053b6maf6m9hf8
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israeli Defense Minister Gallant traveled to the border to double check readiness and speek with the troops. Top ministers don't travel to the frontlines for fun. This is a major signal! Israel is ready now!
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
I guess it depends on your definition of "commences a military offensive". If you ask me, destroying communications, bombing central HQ, killing the top 20 leaders of Hezbollah, seizing the airport to prevent arms imports from Iran, etc., qualifies as a RESOUNDING YES!!! But, that's just me. lol
0
chamotherat
7 months ago
According to Maro Nawfal, "Israel carried out special raids inside Lebanese territory near the border, per U.S. officials." Does that count?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Invasion imminent! https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840762008141996339
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Military offensive has commenced. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israeli-troops-cross-into-lebanon-for-targeted-operations/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/en/2024/30-september-a-lebanese-army-soldier-was-killed-due-to-his
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Case closed! It's a YES.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
JPOST - Israeli forces conduct small-scale incursions into Lebanon - report https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-822515 WSJ - Israeli Special Forces Launch Raids Into Lebanon Ahead of Possible Ground Incursion - https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-special-forces-launch-raids-into-lebanon-ahead-of-possible-ground-incursion-bf2fe94d TELEGRAPH: "Israeli special forces cross into Lebanon" https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-hezbollah-hamas-war-gaza-latest-news/ ALJAZAEERA -Israel raids three towns in southern Lebanon Our colleagues on the ground are reporting that the Israeli army launched raids on al-Abbassieh, Harouf and Bedias in southern Lebanon. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/9/30/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israel-expands-strikes-on-beirut-as-105-killed HEZBO, the primary resolution for this market, confirms timing - https://x.com/ajarabic/status/1840407001639301552?s=46
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between September 17, 2024 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The military offensive has already commenced. Hezbollah command and control bombed and in disarray. Communications disrupted. Hezbollah leadership decapitated.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Special forces crossed INTO Lebanon! CONFIRMED! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-hezbollah-hamas-war-gaza-latest-news/
3
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
WHAT!?? No precision bombing happened?
0
ThisIsSparta
7 months ago
lol, definitely not. Also, can you mention when did it exactly happen?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
It's almost like it's been raining bombs in Lebanon at random! Meanwhile in the real world, precision bombing requires advanced commandos lighting up buildings with lasers. That means, inside Lebanon.
0
n/a
7 months ago
It would be a complete joke for this to resolve to "Yes".
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Commandos targeting Hezbollah buildings for precision bombing is VERY MUCH part and parcel of combat operations.
0
NotJustKen
7 months ago
1) No confirmation from Israel. 2) No confirmation from Hez. 3) Vague media reports without clear Time/intention. How on earth would it resolve to Yes?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Commandos entered to light up Hezbollah buildings for precision bombing.
0
kekkone
7 months ago
we've gone through this already
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The reasons are quite clear! Destroy Hezbollah command and control, eliminate future threats to northern Israeli settlements, secure a safe buffer zone within Lebanon, and see the return of the Israeli northerners to their homes in peace and security. That much is WIDELY reported.
0
Car
7 months ago
So, no time mentioned in all articles + no clear reason why they explored the tunnels. So far not enough to resolve to Y
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Massive bombing by Israel in Lebanon to eliminate Hezbollah leadership, thus assuming control over Hezbollah controlled zones in Lebanon happening.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Commandos entered.
1
Prophet👻
7 months ago
Report: IDF special forces entered Hezbollah tunnels during Lebanon cross-border ops - times of Israel
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Commandos enter to light up buildings with lasers for precision bombing. A lot of that happened in the past few days.
0
Besh24
7 months ago
Took them about 2months of levelling gaza before entering. Israel wont just move in after a few targets destroyed. And ground ops will need to be validated by israel themsleves.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Why are you misquoting the rules??? "The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."
0
n/a
7 months ago
Furthermore, the rules require official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel. This pump is completely based on nothing.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
HAHAHAHAHA!!! Have you missed all the bombs dropping on Hezbollah installations and infrastructure this week???
0
n/a
7 months ago
The WSJ article and all articles based on this did not indicate a timeframe
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Think, JOINT COMMAND!
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"Combat operations" have been pretty heavy recently. For example, elimination the top 20 Hezbollah leaders in the last week.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"Combat operations" have been pretty heavy recently. For example, elimination the top 20 Hezbollah leaders in the last week.
1
Car
7 months ago
Are there any articles confirming the time + that it is for “combat operations”? If so, please send them! Im happy to switch to YES if this is the case
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
An Israeli official told the Telegraph that elite troops were targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, including weapons sites and command and control centres, in a bid to push the militants away from the Israeli border.
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"Israeli special forces cross into Lebanon" https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-hezbollah-hamas-war-gaza-latest-news/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"Israeli special forces cross into Lebanon" https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-hezbollah-hamas-war-gaza-latest-news/
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
From the Telegraph link below, this appears to qualify, "elite troops were targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, including weapons sites and command and control centres..."
0
n/a
7 months ago
The rules explicitly state that the market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli personnel enter Lebanese territory for combat operations. The intent behind these actions matters significantly—if the primary purpose is intelligence gathering or probing, then it doesn’t qualify as a combat operation under the market’s criteria. For those who think intelligence gathering counts as combat operations: the rules are pretty clear. Entering enemy territory just to gather intel or probe isn’t the same as entering for combat. If you’re counting every covert raid as combat, then by that logic, every recon mission would also be a battle, which it clearly isn’t.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Rest assured, there's been massive targeting inside Lebanon within the applicable timeframe.
0
ThisIsSparta
7 months ago
lmao this is obviously No. Also, it is from 18 September, and these actions were before this date. It was not for combat operations but for intelligence.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
HAHAHAHAHA!!!! Who knew combat operations were done in information vacuums.
0
ThisIsSparta
7 months ago
lmao this is obviously No. Also, it is from 18 September, and these actions were before this date. It was not for combat operations but for intelligence.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-special-forces-launch-raids-into-lebanon-ahead-of-possible-ground-incursion-bf2fe94d
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-may-have-already-begun-small-raids-on-hezbollah-in-south-lebanon-reports/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://x.com/IsraelNews23/status/1840330453829496876
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/nyt-israel-has-sent-undercover-commandos-deep-into-lebanon-for-sensitive-intelligence-missions/
3
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
""a 28-mile trip," "a 10-pound weight," "a nine-pound baby"" These are also considered compounds.
0
Eridpnc
7 months ago
"ful" is not.
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
"Prefixed, Suffixed, and Combining Form Compounds Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)." https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
0
Eridpnc
7 months ago
"ful" is not.
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
A synonym for "compound" is glue. From the most authoritative source, "A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts that work together as a unit to express a specific concept. "
0
Eridpnc
7 months ago
"ful" is not.
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Smart people understand that, in English, there are certain exceptions to general rules. In fact, "joyful" is considered a compound word.
0
Eridpnc
7 months ago
"ful" is not.
Will Brazil unban X before October?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Article from 1 hour ago. X is now in full compliance! https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/musks-x-asks-to-be-reinstated-in-brazil-after-complying-with-judges-orders-source-tells-ap
0
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Trump just announced on Twitter X the launch of an official silver coin. lol
0
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Crazy world when a coin isn't a coin. https://www.cryptopolitan.com/trump-officially-introduces-his-own-coins/
0
Which party wins most seats in New Brunswick election?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
PC leader has lowest approval anywhere in Canada. https://www.richmond-news.com/atlantic-news/nb-elxn-tory-leader-blaine-higgs-has-lowest-approval-among-canadas-premiers-9548992
0
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Why? Facts are facts.
0
ANudeEgg
8 months ago
This is sad and pathetic.
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
If you were a victim of the last dispute regarding "joyful", please DM me on Discord @katiasantos6330
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The ONLY word in the English language that, "references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." is "joyful". It is the EXACT definition of the word. ChatGPT is NOT a reliable source to resolve any potential dispute in this matter. ChatGPT does NOT source from scholarly articles, and is prone to hallucinations. Remember the AI generated photo of multiracial NAZIs? Only traditional authoritative sources like Merriam-Webster, which specifically specifies the suffix 'ful' as a compound element, should be used. The definition of words like, "joyride" and "killjoy" DO NOT "reference the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." Please learn the implication of the word "AND".
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The ONLY word in the English language that, "references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." is "joyful". It is the EXACT definition of the word. ChatGPT is NOT a reliable source to resolve any potential dispute in this matter. ChatGPT does NOT source from scholarly articles, and is prone to hallucinations. Remember the AI generated photo of multiracial NAZIs? Only traditional authoritative sources like Merriam-Webster, which specifically specifies the suffix 'ful' as a compound element, should be used. The definition of words like, "joyride" and "killjoy" DO NOT "reference the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." Please learn the implication of the word "AND".
0
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The definition of "joyride" DOES NOT "reference the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." Please learn the implication of the word "AND". Tip: The answer is IN the computer.
0
ANudeEgg
8 months ago
Be like Kamala and turn the page. Don't be like Trump and cry about a contest you lost fair and square being rigged.
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It was cheap. I hedged with other stuff, so if it hits it's gravy.
0
thakattack19
8 months ago
bro whyd you put 3.3k on dei lol
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The ONLY word in the English language that, "references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." is "joyful". It is the EXACT definition of the word. ChatGPT is NOT a reliable source to resolve any potential dispute in this matter. ChatGPT does NOT source from scholarly articles, and is prone to hallucinations. Remember the AI generated photo of multiracial NAZIs? Only traditional authoritative sources like Merriam-Webster, which specifically specifies the suffix 'ful' as a compound element, should be used.
1
Who will the Teamsters endorse?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The union released a national electronic poll of its 1.3 million members, which found that rank-and-file members favored Mr. Trump over Ms. Harris by a 59.6% to 34% margin.
2
Who will the Teamsters endorse?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Majority endorses Republican
0
Who will the Teamsters endorse?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
https://x.com/Travis_4_Trump/status/1836504908906008690/photo/1
0
Who will the Teamsters endorse?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
See the 10:35 minute mark here, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yGEdNod_wEo
0
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Just cash out immediately by buying/selling.
0
AppleADay
8 months ago
when will this resolve
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
кота надо продать как можно скорее
0
Gena🐊
8 months ago
закончила пока-пока кот
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Last chance to sell.
0
Car
8 months ago
Please elaborate how the mayor saying they shot down drones (before market end time), is proof that a drone hit the oil refinery before the end time?
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It's brilliant he dumps before Dezere. Smart move!
0
OmenOfLord
8 months ago
Car sold 1,183 No at 22.4¢ ($265)
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It most certainly is credible in a war zone, unless you prefer to disseminate Russian disinformation.
0
x4839F00491B7b5E0Ad83c28A3BeDd0aFCB9A6D20
8 months ago
that is not the definition of credible reporting
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It's smart for Car to dump before Dezere!
0
Gena🐊
8 months ago
CAR IS DUMPING!!! Dont let him do it cheap, lets punish him
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It appears you have been disseminating Russian disinformation.
0
Car
8 months ago
UMA is not resolving to Y when the reports of the strike that supposedly hit before 23:59 are coming from TG channels and Twitter accounts, when Polymarket added the rule: The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Here is clear video of it hitting the refinery. https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1830189436077760722 This tweet was before the deadline showing the refinery was hit. https://x.com/VyshnyaOstap/status/1830092157404807299
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Ничего страшного
0
Gena🐊
8 months ago
жаль
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Shucks! My vacation home was beside that refinery. Now I have to move to the nuclear power plant.
1
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-updates-moscow-refinery-hit-in-massive-drone-attack/live-70103593
1
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1830189436077760722 See here. Rifle fire did not shoot down the little drone. Someone is spreading Russian disinformation saying there was no fire.
2
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1830189436077760722
0
XiJinPing
8 months ago
Google translate -- Official Telegram of Mayor of Moscow say 6:30AM (11:30 PM EST) -- Около 6:30 мск Собянин сообщил об уничтожении в районе Московского НПЗ другого беспилотника. Предприятие повреждено не было, угрозы его работе не возникло. Всего за ночь власти сообщили об 11 дронах, пытавшихся атаковать Москву
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Little drone HITS its intended target. But, but, but, guys were shooting at it with rifles. Haha!
0
Car
8 months ago
At about 6:30 Moscow time, Sobyanin reported the destruction of another drone near the Moscow Oil Refinery. The plant was not damaged and there was no threat to its operations. In total, the authorities reported 11 drones attempting to attack Moscow overnight.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
More than 160 drones attacked Russian territory overnight. The main thing about the large-scale attack on the Russian Federation: - Seven drones flew to the Moscow region. There is no way Russia was prepared for this, like Israel is with its Iron Dome. Simple riffle fire doesn't constitute a military air defense. A flotilla of little drones. The intention was to stoke fear. Russian propaganda is quelling fears. Stop simping and scamming. A little drone hit causing fire. Official reports are claiming no fire--a clear lie. A little drone hit its intended target. Rifle fire tried to down it unsuccessfully. In a war, the most credible reporting comes from boots on the ground. Media will report whatever the military complex demands it report if it desires to continue a relationship with the military complex. Boots on the ground, and real-time video are most credible.
1
Car
8 months ago
the official reporting literally says the drone did not hit a target and was destroyed lol. XiJinPing trying to pump his bags like usual
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1830189436077760722 Refinery HIT!!! It was within the time deadline for this market. https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-updates-moscow-refinery-hit-in-massive-drone-attack/live-70103593
4
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Refinery HIT!!! It was within the time deadline for this market. https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-updates-moscow-refinery-hit-in-massive-drone-attack/live-70103593
1
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1830189436077760722 CHECK IT OUT!
1
Car
8 months ago
Where are the credible reports that report the time these attacks happened?
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Refinery HIT!!! https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-updates-moscow-refinery-hit-in-massive-drone-attack/live-70103593
0
Car
8 months ago
Where are the credible reports that report the time these attacks happened?
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It's timestamped (Moscow time). https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1830189436077760722
1
TrumpCouch2024
8 months ago
I think the reporting on whether a drone actually struck a target within Moscow is unclear. Im finding some sources saying "reportedly hit", while others are claiming debrief from the shot down drones caused the fire at the Oil refinery. Tbh this is a bit of a punt
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
DHS looks into those spreading Russian disinformation.
0
dreamer
8 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed. The situation at the Kapotnya refinery in Moscow The Ministry of Defense reported the interception of 158 drones over Russian regions. On the morning of September 1, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin reported the interception of drones and a fire in a technical room on the territory of the Moscow Oil Refinery after the crash of a downed drone. "Another downed drone damaged a separate technical room of the Moscow Oil Refinery as a result of its fall. The local fire is currently being extinguished," Sergei Sobyanin wrote on his Telegram channel. According to the Ministry of Defense, 158 Ukrainian aircraft-type drones were intercepted and destroyed overnight over Russian territory, two of them in Moscow.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
More than 160 drones were launched. One hit the refinery in Moscow territory.
3
dreamer
8 months ago
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones?embedded-checkout=true
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Sounds like Car supports Russian propaganda.
0
Car
8 months ago
Published after market end time
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Are you an arm of Russian propaganda?
0
dreamer
8 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed. The situation at the Kapotnya refinery in Moscow The Ministry of Defense reported the interception of 158 drones over Russian regions. On the morning of September 1, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin reported the interception of drones and a fire in a technical room on the territory of the Moscow Oil Refinery after the crash of a downed drone. "Another downed drone damaged a separate technical room of the Moscow Oil Refinery as a result of its fall. The local fire is currently being extinguished," Sergei Sobyanin wrote on his Telegram channel. According to the Ministry of Defense, 158 Ukrainian aircraft-type drones were intercepted and destroyed overnight over Russian territory, two of them in Moscow.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
You want PM to be an arm of Russian propaganda????
0
dreamer
8 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed. The situation at the Kapotnya refinery in Moscow The Ministry of Defense reported the interception of 158 drones over Russian regions. On the morning of September 1, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin reported the interception of drones and a fire in a technical room on the territory of the Moscow Oil Refinery after the crash of a downed drone. "Another downed drone damaged a separate technical room of the Moscow Oil Refinery as a result of its fall. The local fire is currently being extinguished," Sergei Sobyanin wrote on his Telegram channel. According to the Ministry of Defense, 158 Ukrainian aircraft-type drones were intercepted and destroyed overnight over Russian territory, two of them in Moscow.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Looks like some people want PM to be an arm of Russian propaganda.
0
tsybka
8 months ago
and so, who will offer the market solution?
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
More than 160 drones attacked Russian territory overnight. The main thing about the large-scale attack on the Russian Federation: - Seven drones flew to the Moscow region. There is no way Russia was prepared for this, like Israel is with its Iron Dome. Simple riffle fire doesn't constitute a military air defense. A flotilla of little drones. The intention was to stoke fear. Russian propaganda is quelling fears. Stop simping and scamming. A little drone hit causing fire. Official reports are claiming no fire--a clear lie. A little drone hit its intended target. Rifle fire tried to down it unsuccessfully. In a war, the most credible reporting comes from boots on the ground. Media will report whatever the military complex demands it report if it desires to continue a relationship with the military complex. Boots on the ground, and real-time video are most credible.
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
This is another reason why the powers that be want to destroy Telegram, and the like. Even the Ukranians killed US reporter Gonzalo Lira for reporting the truth on the ground.
0
Skifish
8 months ago
No russian media can fall under the category of credible reporting
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It would take an Olympic sheet shooter. Then again, the little drone HIT its intended target. The media is reporting NO FIRE--a clear lie.
0
Justifax
8 months ago
The fundamental problem with this market is there is specific language "wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage" .. which is exactly how these suicide drones work. All media in the war zones is subject to serious censorship and it's unlikely they are going to admit to "a drone successfully penetrated our defenses and hit its target". I mean, for real, not sure what the rule writers were thinking.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
In a war, the most credible reporting comes from boots on the ground. Media will report whatever the military complex demands it report if it desires to continue a relationship with the military complex. Boots on the ground, and real-time video is most credible.
1
dreamer
8 months ago
Time, location, validity of twitter videos, time of twitter videos taken, specific location of twitter videos because there are tons of refinery strikes by drones available(can it be proven), was the drone downed (there was gunfire before the drone exploded), the emergency service ministry says that the fire was caused by a downed drone.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
In a war, the most credible reporting comes from boots on the ground. Media will report whatever the military complex demands it report if it desires to continue a relationship with the military complex. Boots on the ground, and real-time video is most credible.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
A flotilla of little drones. The intention was to stoke fear. Russian propaganda is quelling fears. Stop simping and scamming. A little drone hit causing fire. Official reports are claiming no fire--a clear lie. A little drone hit its intended target. Rifle fire tried to down it unsuccessfully.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The rifle fire did not produce an explosion in the sky before impact.
0
Justifax
8 months ago
The fundamental problem with this market is there is specific language "wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage" .. which is exactly how these suicide drones work. All media in the war zones is subject to serious censorship and it's unlikely they are going to admit to "a drone successfully penetrated our defenses and hit its target". I mean, for real, not sure what the rule writers were thinking.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Rifle fire. They shot at it with rifles! The little drone HIT its intended target.
1
Justifax
8 months ago
The fundamental problem with this market is there is specific language "wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage" .. which is exactly how these suicide drones work. All media in the war zones is subject to serious censorship and it's unlikely they are going to admit to "a drone successfully penetrated our defenses and hit its target". I mean, for real, not sure what the rule writers were thinking.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Firing simple rifles unsuccessfully at a little drone which HIT its intended target is not an interception. .
1
yOdOte
8 months ago
More than 160 drones attacked Russian territory overnight. The main thing about the large-scale attack on the Russian Federation: - Seven drones flew to the Moscow region. According to the Ministry of Defence, 2 were intercepted over Moscow, 5 - over the territory of the Moscow region. One of the drones fell on a shed near a private house in the village of Durnikha. - One of the downed drones as a result of the fall damaged a freestanding technical room of the Moscow Oil Refinery, there started a fire. This was reported by Sergei Sobyanin. To the fire wanted to attract aviation, but, according to the "Base", it was not needed and was withdrawn due to the lowering of the level of complexity of the fire. - Kashirskaya GRES was also under threat. The territory of the plant was attacked by three UAVs. "There are no casualties and destruction, no fire followed," said Kashira's head Mikhail Shuvalov.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Simple riffle fire doesn't constitute a military air defense.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
A flotilla of little drones. The intention was to stoke fear. Russian propaganda is quelling fears. Stop simping and scamming. A little drone hit causing fire. Official reports are claiming no fire--a clear lie. A little drone hit its intended target. Rifle fire tried to down it unsuccessfully.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
There is no way Russia was prepared for this, like Israel is with its Iron Dome.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
A flotilla of little drones. The intention was to stoke fear. Russian propaganda is quelling fears. Stop simping and scamming. A little drone hit causing fire. Official reports are claiming no fire--a clear lie. A little drone hit its intended target. Rifle fire tried to down it unsuccessfully.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
More than 160 drones attacked Russian territory overnight. The main thing about the large-scale attack on the Russian Federation: - Seven drones flew to the Moscow region.
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
A flotilla of little drones. The intention was to stoke fear. Russian propaganda is quelling fears. Stop simping and scamming. A little drone hit causing fire. Official reports are claiming no fire--a clear lie. A little drone hit its intended target. Rifle fire tried to down it unsuccessfully.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
A flotilla of little drones. The intention was to stoke fear. Russian propaganda is quelling fears. Stop simping and scamming. A little drone hit causing fire. Official reports are claiming no fire--a clear lie. A little drone hit its intended target. Rifle fire tried to down it unsuccessfully.
1
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
A flotilla of little drones. The intention was to stoke fear. Russian propaganda is quelling fears. Stop simping and scamming. A little drone hit causing fire. Official reports are claiming no fire--a clear lie.
0
dreamer
8 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
No fire followed??? Fake news.
1
yOdOte
8 months ago
More than 160 drones attacked Russian territory overnight. The main thing about the large-scale attack on the Russian Federation: - Seven drones flew to the Moscow region. According to the Ministry of Defence, 2 were intercepted over Moscow, 5 - over the territory of the Moscow region. One of the drones fell on a shed near a private house in the village of Durnikha. - One of the downed drones as a result of the fall damaged a freestanding technical room of the Moscow Oil Refinery, there started a fire. This was reported by Sergei Sobyanin. To the fire wanted to attract aviation, but, according to the "Base", it was not needed and was withdrawn due to the lowering of the level of complexity of the fire. - Kashirskaya GRES was also under threat. The territory of the plant was attacked by three UAVs. "There are no casualties and destruction, no fire followed," said Kashira's head Mikhail Shuvalov.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Credible reporting, or credible propaganda designed to calm public sentiment. Remember, Hunter's laptop was Russian propaganda.
0
dreamer
8 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Downed by what??? Rifle shots????
0
dreamer
8 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Little drone hits its target. But, but, but, guys were shooting at it with rifles. Haha!
0
dreamer
8 months ago
Okay look, you guys pushed the market to 85% over a couple of twitter videos that are inconclusive while the credible reporting came out and said that they had downed all the drones.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Propaganda is not credible reporting.
0
dreamer
8 months ago
Okay look, you guys pushed the market to 85% over a couple of twitter videos that are inconclusive while the credible reporting came out and said that they had downed all the drones.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Simple rifle fire is not a military air defense response. Intended taget hit.
1
dreamer
8 months ago
Two of these videos are inconclusive to making a ruling and the only one that is clear you can obviously hear gunfire shooting the drone down
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
No fire is false propaganda. The quote is clearly not credible.
0
n/a
8 months ago
Reuters: "Ukraine also attempted to strike the Kashira Power Plant in the Moscow region with three drones, Mikhail Shuvalov, head of the Kashira city district said on Telegram. There was no fire, damage or casualties as a result of the attack, he said." – even if we can literally see a fire at this plant, Russia is never going to admit it, meaning reporting is probably inconclusive. The reality is most likely Yes, but the bet is on whether or not the market resolves that way.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Simple rifles do not comprise some sort of military air defense response. The drone hit its intended target.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
"an unknown drone flies unhindered towards the destination and Russians try to shot the drone down with simple rifles."
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
"an unknown drone flies unhindered towards the destination and Russians try to shot the drone down with simple rifles."
0
XiJinPing
8 months ago
Even in the video, you can hear gunfire before the drone crashed. Combined with official news, there's not enough evidence here.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Can you see an explosion in the sky? Intended target hit.
0
dreamer
8 months ago
Two of these videos are inconclusive to making a ruling and the only one that is clear you can obviously hear gunfire shooting the drone down
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Videos not random. They are of the exact event.
0
dreamer
8 months ago
I'm seeing a lot of accounts here with barely any amount traded going YES I would say to exercise caution on using random videos off twitter as your reasoning to purchase your shares
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Any video of an explosion in the sky?
0
dreamer
8 months ago
Wow drones downed by gunfire explode, incredible
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Any video of it getting intercepted?
0
XiJinPing
8 months ago
Credible consensus requires major news sources. So far, major news like Reuters says it is debris.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
What evidence is there that the drone was intercepted before striking its intended target?
0
dreamer
8 months ago
"Another downed drone damaged a separate technical room of the Moscow Oil Refinery as a result of its fall. The local fire is currently being extinguished," Sergei Sobyanin wrote on his Telegram channel.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Shot down implies munition doesn't reach it's target. Konakovo Power Plant reportedly targeted. It was hit.
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Konakovo Power Plant reportedly targeted. It was hit.
0
Gena🐊
8 months ago
Ok sold all my bags. Guys this will go to UMA. What's important here is if we have contradictory information to side with the victim and not with the aggresor. That's what being civilized means. That's why we should give more value to the news comming from Russia
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Target hit
0
Gena🐊
8 months ago
wheres your argument? lol
Will Brazil unban X before October?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
How many of those were competing in the automotive industry?
0
diddy
8 months ago
I wouldn’t agree, search up how long bans were implemented, and what was the case
Will Brazil unban X before October?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Bad blood between Moraes and Musk. No capitulation on either side. Very soon after Lula got in, they announced a big Chinese auto plant. The future looks bright for BYD, not Tesla, in Brazil. Big picture.
0
diddy
8 months ago
I sold my 3k NO, this is a pressure game from gov, not real ban, look at their app-banning hist
Will Brazil unban X before October?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Moraes will not budge, either.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Long road ahead! ""Unlike other social media and technology platforms, we will not comply in secret with illegal orders," the company said in a statement." https://www.axios.com/2024/08/30/brazil-x-twitter-elon-musk
Will Brazil unban X before October?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Long road ahead! ""Unlike other social media and technology platforms, we will not comply in secret with illegal orders," the company said in a statement." https://www.axios.com/2024/08/30/brazil-x-twitter-elon-musk
0
Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
He doesn't seem very stable. And, now, he's getting hammered in the press, and the public are calling him Two Tier Keir for his judicial double standards. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/feb/17/keir-starmer-reportedly-wanted-to-quit-after-2021-byelection-defeat
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I love Kitboga! However, in this instance, BlueSky123 is the techsupport scammer, since your tokens are currently valued at zero. Just hold on to your 100% correct, but currently worthless positions. They shouldn't be worth nothing according to the rules.
1
BlackSky123
8 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cade_xTZeog
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
REMEMBER: ALL "YES" VOTERS, DO NOT CLAIM!
1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Case closed. Lawsuit time! Judges understand the meaning of words. This is open and shut. DM me, @katiasantos6330 on Discord.
0
bogged
8 months ago
fellas I hoped YES would win too, sure i bought late but I love making $. Future markets should always include compound and derived, I think it went against the spirit of the bet to not count something as close as joyful, a word that has an origin not from deriving but from compounding joy and full. That being said the lawsuit thing is purely ridiculous. If you're from the USA you're not even supposed to be using this website, so suing polymarket in the USA is just silly and being a sore loser. I'd be pissed too if I bet large, but just like shitcoin plays there are scams, lies, bias, and unexpected circumstances that make you lose your investment. Maybe avoid betting on words in the future; personally I saw a chance for big gains at low risk and I took it.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
There is no other compound word in English that fits.
0
bogged
8 months ago
fellas I hoped YES would win too, sure i bought late but I love making $. Future markets should always include compound and derived, I think it went against the spirit of the bet to not count something as close as joyful, a word that has an origin not from deriving but from compounding joy and full. That being said the lawsuit thing is purely ridiculous. If you're from the USA you're not even supposed to be using this website, so suing polymarket in the USA is just silly and being a sore loser. I'd be pissed too if I bet large, but just like shitcoin plays there are scams, lies, bias, and unexpected circumstances that make you lose your investment. Maybe avoid betting on words in the future; personally I saw a chance for big gains at low risk and I took it.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The official Polymarket rules state, “Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness.”
0
bogged
8 months ago
fellas I hoped YES would win too, sure i bought late but I love making $. Future markets should always include compound and derived, I think it went against the spirit of the bet to not count something as close as joyful, a word that has an origin not from deriving but from compounding joy and full. That being said the lawsuit thing is purely ridiculous. If you're from the USA you're not even supposed to be using this website, so suing polymarket in the USA is just silly and being a sore loser. I'd be pissed too if I bet large, but just like shitcoin plays there are scams, lies, bias, and unexpected circumstances that make you lose your investment. Maybe avoid betting on words in the future; personally I saw a chance for big gains at low risk and I took it.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
You are correct that "joyful" originates NOT from deriving, but from compounding "joy" and "ful(l)" In terms of etymology, “-ful” mean “full”. In “joyful”, or “joyful(l)” it means full of joy, as in feeling great pleasure and happiness. Joyful, or joyful(l) is defined as “feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness.”
0
bogged
8 months ago
fellas I hoped YES would win too, sure i bought late but I love making $. Future markets should always include compound and derived, I think it went against the spirit of the bet to not count something as close as joyful, a word that has an origin not from deriving but from compounding joy and full. That being said the lawsuit thing is purely ridiculous. If you're from the USA you're not even supposed to be using this website, so suing polymarket in the USA is just silly and being a sore loser. I'd be pissed too if I bet large, but just like shitcoin plays there are scams, lies, bias, and unexpected circumstances that make you lose your investment. Maybe avoid betting on words in the future; personally I saw a chance for big gains at low risk and I took it.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
EVERYONE DO NOT CLAIM YOUR TOKENS!!! Also take screenshots of your purchase orders. Compile all your evidence for a potential law suit. DM me on Discord @katiasantos6330, and provide me with a screenshot of your YES position to be added to the “Joyful” chat where everyone is.
4
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
EVERYONE DO NOT CLAIM YOUR TOKENS!!! Also take screenshots of your purchase orders. Compile all your evidence for a potential law suit. DM me on Discord @katiasantos6330, and provide me with your YES position to be added to the “Joyful” chat where everyone is.
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
If you want to collaborate on writing a letter to the NY attorney general let me know.
1
RaIsTheSunGod
8 months ago
Someone asked when I requested Joyful. If you look at the bottom of this thread you should see where I requested Joyful. Shortly after I requested Joyful. Joy appeared with the caveat that compounds would be accepted,. That is why I bought it because they obviously in my mind added Joy to simplify my request to add Joyful. I am new to this site and it was obvious to me that they added Joy to simplify things and I bet on it because I did not think poly market would intentionally set a trap after I requested the word Joyful
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It is quite clear and explicit from a gold standard source, recommended by Harvard University to all their students in its official style guide, that both "joyful" and “joyless” are compound words. "Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."... (Merriam-Webster) https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
2
Whome
8 months ago
Dear lexigraphers: Please explain one of the two following statements to me. I don't get it. (1) Why is joyless not a compound word? - or - (2) Why are joyful and joyless treated differently? Sincerely, Someone who failed fifth grade.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
"CRO in-house style uses the Chicago Manual of Style for many of its editorial decisions. When in doubt, look it up and defer to Chicago. Our reference dictionary is Merriam-Webster." https://web.archive.org/web/20220519092526/https://wiki.harvard.edu/confluence/display/HSG/CRO+Style+Guide+Home
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Harvard University defers to Merriam-Webster in its style guide. If you don't know, style guides are the authoritative reference source for writing proper academic papers.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
"Check out Merriam-Webster or the CRO Word List for acceptable usage." https://web.archive.org/web/20220519092522/https://wiki.harvard.edu/confluence/display/HSG/Compound+Words
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Harvard University defers to Merriam-Webster in its style guide. If you don't know, style guides are the authoritative reference source for writing proper academic papers.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Harvard University defers to Merriam-Webster in its style guide. If you don't know, style guides are the authoritative reference source for writing proper academic papers.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The APPLICABLE original rules state: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of the compound word "joy-filled" is, "to be filled with joy: to be extremely happy, content; to be delighted" The definition of the compound word "joyful" is, "to be full of joy: feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness" THE DEFINITION OF "JOYFUL" IS CLOSEST TO THE DESCRIPTION IN THE FULL RULES! IN FACT, IT'S EXACT! There is no other compound word in the English language that has a definition that perfecly matches the one in the original rules. Furthermore, the origin of the suffix "-ful" is the word "full". Google it! Search, "-ful etymology". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. By adding the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", you get "joyfully"--most clearly a compound word. Figure it out! Merriam-Webster EXPLICITLY specifies that "-ful" forms compound words. The word "Joyful" was the initial request when creating this market. Polymarket reduced it to "Joy", adding the compound word inclusion with a definition that PERFECTLY MATCHES the definition of the compound word, "Joyful". Kamala said "Joy". It's 100% YES! This is not a buy recommendation. The structural/internal issues forced an incorrect result here. LAWSUIT!!!
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I'm preparing a formal letter to the NY state Attorney General as we speak.
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The APPLICABLE original rules state: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of the compound word "joy-filled" is, "to be filled with joy: to be extremely happy, content; to be delighted" The definition of the compound word "joyful" is, "to be full of joy: feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness" THE DEFINITION OF "JOYFUL" IS CLOSEST TO THE DESCRIPTION IN THE FULL RULES! IN FACT, IT'S EXACT! There is no other compound word in the English language that has a definition that perfecly matches the one in the original rules. Furthermore, the origin of the suffix "-ful" is the word "full". Google it! Search, "-ful etymology". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. By adding the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", you get "joyfully"--most clearly a compound word. Figure it out! Merriam-Webster EXPLICITLY specifies that "-ful" forms compound words. The word "Joyful" was the initial request when creating this market. Polymarket reduced it to "Joy", adding the compound word inclusion with a definition that PERFECTLY MATCHES the definition of the compound word, "Joyful". Kamala said "Joy". It's 100% YES! This is not a buy recommendation. The structural/internal issues forced an incorrect result here. LAWSUIT!!!
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The APPLICABLE original rules state: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of the compound word "joy-filled" is, "to be filled with joy: to be extremely happy, content; to be delighted" The definition of the compound word "joyful" is, "to be full of joy: feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness" THE DEFINITION OF "JOYFUL" IS CLOSEST TO THE DESCRIPTION IN THE FULL RULES! IN FACT, IT'S EXACT! There is no other compound word in the English language that has a definition that perfecly matches the one in the original rules. Furthermore, the origin of the suffix "-ful" is the word "full". Google it! Search, "-ful etymology". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. By adding the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", you get "joyfully"--most clearly a compound word. Figure it out! Merriam-Webster EXPLICITLY specifies that "-ful" forms compound words. The word "Joyful" was the initial request when creating this market. Polymarket reduced it to "Joy", adding the compound word inclusion with a definition that PERFECTLY MATCHES the definition of the compound word, "Joyful". Kamala said "Joy". It's 100% YES! This is not a buy recommendation. The structural/internal issues forced an incorrect result here. LAWSUIT!!!
1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I don't recommend buying into this market due to the faulty structural verification issues with the Polymarket and UMA partnership. The UMA token holders vote has already resulted in an incorrect result. A correction, at this point, requires an internal Polymarket review and hard override.
3
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The APPLICABLE original rules state: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of the compound word "joy-filled" is, "to be filled with joy: to be extremely happy, content; to be delighted" The definition of the compound word "joyful" is, "to be full of joy: feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness" THE DEFINITION OF "JOYFUL" IS CLOSEST TO THE DESCRIPTION IN THE FULL RULES! IN FACT, IT'S EXACT! There is no other compound word in the English language that has a definition that perfecly matches the one in the original rules. Furthermore, the origin of the suffix "-ful" is the word "full". Google it! Search, "-ful etymology". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. By adding the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", you get "joyfully"--most clearly a compound word. Figure it out! Merriam-Webster EXPLICITLY specifies that "-ful" forms compound words. The word "Joyful" was the initial request when creating this market. Polymarket reduced it to "Joy", adding the compound word inclusion with a definition that PERFECTLY MATCHES the definition of the compound word, "Joyful". Kamala said "Joy". It's 100% YES! LAWSUIT!!!
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The APPLICABLE original rules state: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of the compound word "joy-filled" is, "to be filled with joy: to be extremely happy, content; to be delighted" The definition of the compound word "joyful" is, "to be full of joy: feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness" THE DEFINITION OF "JOYFUL" IS CLOSEST TO THE DESCRIPTION IN THE FULL RULES! IN FACT, IT'S EXACT! There is no other compound word in the English language that has a definition that perfecly matches the one in the original rules. Furthermore, the origin of the suffix "-ful" is the word "full". Google it! Search, "-ful etymology". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. By adding the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", you get "joyfully"--most clearly a compound word. Figure it out! Merriam-Webster EXPLICITLY specifies that "-ful" forms compound words. The word "Joyful" was the initial request when creating this market. Polymarket reduced it to "Joy", adding the compound word inclusion with a definition that PERFECTLY MATCHES the definition of the compound word, "Joyful". Kamala said "Joy". It's 100% YES! LAWSUIT!!!
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
BREAKING NEWS!!! No endorsement! https://apnews.com/article/trump-harris-vance-walz-election-dnc-93dc79917053d8c97db4bb9cd6b0130d
2
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It is quite clear and explicit that "joyful" is a compound word. "Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."... (Merriam-Webster)
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The UMA token holders vote has already resulted in an incorrect result. A correction, at this point, requires an internal Polymarket review and hard override.
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Rules: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of "joyful" according to Cambridge is "having or causing great happiness" There is no other compound word in the English language that matches so closely!
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I don't recommend buying due to the faulty structural verification issues with the Polymarket and UMA partnership.
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Rules: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of "joyful" according to Cambridge is "having or causing great happiness" There is no other compound word in the English language that matches so closely!
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Rules: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of "joyful" according to Cambridge is "having or causing great happiness" There is no other compound word in the English language that matches so closely!
1
MrJohnsonSmith
8 months ago
Joyful is a compound word of Joy and Full where the last l was dropped over time for efficiency. https://www.etymonline.com/word/joyful
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It is quite clear and explicit that "joyful" is a compound word. "Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."... (Merriam-Webster)
1
MrJohnsonSmith
8 months ago
Joyful is a compound word of Joy and Full where the last l was dropped over time for efficiency. https://www.etymonline.com/word/joyful
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Precisely! Google "-ful etymology". -ful is derived from full. The last “L” was dropped over time for economy. Add the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", and you get "joyfully". "Joyful" is a compound word. In some cases, prefixes and suffixes form compound words. This is precisely one such case. I fully endorse this message.
1
MrJohnsonSmith
8 months ago
Joyful is a compound word of Joy and Full where the last l was dropped over time for efficiency. https://www.etymonline.com/word/joyful
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The UMA token holders vote has already resulted in an incorrect result. A correction, at this point, requires an internal Polymarket review and hard override.
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I don't recommend buying due to the faulty structural verification issues with the Polymarket and UMA partnership.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I don't recommend buying due to the faulty structural verification issues with the Polymarket and UMA partnership.
1
zeko
8 months ago
bought more lfg ez win
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Rules: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of "joyful" according to Cambridge is "having or causing great happiness" There is no other compound word in the English language that matches so closely!
0
ANudeEgg
8 months ago
@HsB34sgg Joy-filled is a hyphenated compound word. Joyfully is deceiving. It might look like a compound word made up of Joy + fully, but really it’s just the adverb form of “joyful” with an -ly suffix attached,
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Full of joy: "joyful" is in fact a compound word (Merriam-Webster, Harvard, Cambridge, Oxford, the U.S. Government and the Canadian Government) which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness.
0
ANudeEgg
8 months ago
@HsB34sgg Joy-filled is a hyphenated compound word. Joyfully is deceiving. It might look like a compound word made up of Joy + fully, but really it’s just the adverb form of “joyful” with an -ly suffix attached,
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Google "-ful etymology". -ful is derived from full. The last “L” was dropped over time for economy. Add the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", and you get "joyfully". "Joyful" is a compound word. In some cases, prefixes and suffixes form compound words. This is precisely one such case. I fully endorse this message.
0
ANudeEgg
8 months ago
@HsB34sgg Joy-filled is a hyphenated compound word. Joyfully is deceiving. It might look like a compound word made up of Joy + fully, but really it’s just the adverb form of “joyful” with an -ly suffix attached,
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The meatheads wouldn't have a leg to stand on in a court of law.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Did RFK Jr.'s team file legal paperwork, then issue a public clarification when those papers were retracted, clarified, and reissued? The meatheads had ample time to do their own research, figure out the verifiable facts, and trade out of their positions that were not supported by verifiable facts. (Actually, they still can at this time (12 hours), since this market is still live. Not a recommendation given the structural risks). Instead, they bulldozed through knowing they could trip the faulty "decentralized truth machine" at UMA. I fully endorse this message joyfully, and with a joyful heart. You could even say I'm joy-filled. But, joyful is the exact match by definition. ❤️ I couldn't say what I just said without saying "joy". “This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives.”
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Did RFK Jr.'s team file legal paperwork, then issue a public clarification when those papers were retracted, clarified, and reissued? The meatheads had ample time to do their own research, figure out the verifiable facts, and trade out of their positions that were not supported by verifiable facts. (Actually, they still can at this time (12 hours), since this market is still live. Not a recommendation given the structural risks). Instead, they bulldozed through knowing they could trip the faulty "decentralized truth machine" at UMA. I fully endorse this message joyfully, and with a joyful heart. You could even say I'm joy-filled. But, joyful is the exact match by definition. ❤️ I couldn't say what I just said without saying "joy". “This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives.”
1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The meatheads wouldn't have a leg to stand on in a court of law.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The meatheads had ample time to do their own research, figure out the verifiable facts, and trade out of their positions that were not supported by verifiable facts. Instead, they bulldozed through knowing they could trip the faulty "decentralized truth machine" at UMA. I fully endorse this message joyfully, and with a joyful heart. You could even say I'm joy-filled. But, joyful is the exact match by definition. ❤️ I couldn't say what I just said without saying "joy".
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The meatheads had ample time to do their own research, figure out the verifiable facts, and trade out of their positions that were not supported by verifiable facts. Instead, they bulldozed through knowing they could trip the faulty "decentralized truth machine" at UMA. I fully endorse this message joyfully, and with a joyful heart. You could even say I'm joy-filled. But, joyful is the exact match by definition. ❤️ I couldn't say what I just said without saying "joy".
1
prismspecs1
8 months ago
Maybe the people who run Polymarket should consult some native English speakers?
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Did RFK Jr.'s team file legal paperwork, then issue a public clarification when those papers were retracted, clarified, and reissued? The meatheads had ample time to do their own research, figure out the verifiable facts, and trade out of their positions that were not supported by verifiable facts. Instead, they bulldozed through knowing they could trip the faulty "decentralized truth machine" at UMA. I fully endorse this message joyfully, and with a joyful heart. You could even say I'm joy-filled. But, joyful is the exact match by definition. ❤️ I couldn't say what I just said without saying "joy". “This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives.”
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
What are "joy-filled", and "joyfully"? I fully want to know fully.
0
ANudeEgg
8 months ago
Nobody is arguing that a compound word must have a hyphen. But Joyful is still not a compound word. Joyride is a compound word.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
You're great at ad hominems, but empty of substance. You probably don't even know what ad hominem means. lol
1
BlackSky123
8 months ago
You lost because you are stupid, cry more about it.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The APPLICABLE original rules state: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of the compound word "joy-filled" is, "to be filled with joy: to be extremely happy, content; to be delighted" The definition of the compound word "joyful" is, "to be full of joy: feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness" THE DEFINITION OF "JOYFUL" IS CLOSEST TO THE DESCRIPTION IN THE FULL RULES! IN FACT, IT'S EXACT! There is no other compound word in the English language that has a definition that perfecly matches the one in the original rules. Furthermore, the origin of the suffix "-ful" is the word "full". Google it! Search, "-ful etymology". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. By adding the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", you get "joyfully"--most clearly a compound word. Figure it out! Merriam-Webster EXPLICITLY specifies that "-ful" forms compound words. The word "Joyful" was the initial request when creating this market. Polymarket reduced it to "Joy", adding the compound word inclusion with a definition that PERFECTLY MATCHES the definition of the compound word, "Joyful". Kamala said "Joy". It's 100% YES! LAWSUIT!!!
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Have you ever heard of the concept of subsidiarity? The US government is based on the idea. Main candidates have to submit a formal written filing to an FEC judge for certification. You're playing with the big boys now. RFK Jr. has legal commitments to campaign funds, etc.
0
LMNOP
8 months ago
No sir. That is specific to SSFs, not individuals.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The APPLICABLE original rules state: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of the compound word "joy-filled" is, "to be filled with joy: to be extremely happy, content; to be delighted" The definition of the compound word "joyful" is, " to be full of joy: feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness" THE DEFINITION OF "JOYFUL" IS CLOSEST TO THE DESCRIPTION IN THE FULL RULES! Furthermore, the origin of the suffix "-ful" is the word "full". Google it! Search, "-ful etymology". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. By adding the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", you get "joyfully"--most clearly a compound word. Figure it out! Merriam-Webster EXPLICITLY specifies that "-ful" forms compound words. The word "Joyful" was the initial request when creating this market. Polymarket reduced it to "Joy", adding the compound word inclusion with a definition that PERFECTLY MATCHES the definition of the compound word, "Joyful". Kamala said "Joy". It's 100% YES!
0
Randomchooser
8 months ago
Merriam-Webster Dictionary: a compound word is "a word consisting of components that are words." Compound words combine the meanings of their parts to create a new concept. Sadly, Joyful isn't a compound word, anyway i encourage to simplify rules : do no allow any other forms , (i.e. if we bet on Joy, only Joy will count) not because the rules aren't clear enough but because people can't understand them completely.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
In a more recent public address, didn't RFK Jr. say to his supporters that if the election ends in a tie with both Harris and Trump getting less than 270 electoral college votes, he would still have a path to victory in a run off election? He's still in the race with an agreement to form a unity party.
1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Only the most widely recognized and authoritative sources should govern for Polymarket to maintain a wide appeal and a good reputation.
0
MrNFT
8 months ago
Longshot here
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The "-ful" affixation is EXPLICITLY specified by Merriam-Webster in the formation of compound words. The origin of the suffix "-ful" is the word "full". Google it! Search, "-ful etymology". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. By adding the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", you get "joyfully"--most clearly a compound word. Figure it out! "A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts that work together as a unit to express a specific concept."..."Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy) (Merriam-Webster) No sources have been provided against Merriam's definition of compound word, which specifically mentions -ful as a compound element. https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
1
MrNFT
8 months ago
I do understand the argument for affixation instead of being compound though
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
You have no rational arguments.
1
BlackSky123
8 months ago
Seeing yestards seethe makes me very joyful.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Possible nefarious activity will be suspected if official sources and widely recognized authoritative sources are NOT used as references in the resolution of these markets, respectively. These markets are open to wide appeal, therefore ONLY widely recognized official and authoritative sources should be used! Additionally, only the full original rules should be considered, since the bogus and corrupt "Additional context" boxes are clearly written by a dyslexic, in both the RFK Jr. markets and this market, and were written AFTER people had already placed bets. Polymarket's reputation is at stake.
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The APPLICABLE original rules state: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of the compound word "joy-filled" is, "to be filled with joy: to be extremely happy, content; to be delighted" The definition of the compound word "joyful" is, " to be full of joy: feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness" THE DEFINITION OF "JOYFUL" IS CLOSEST TO THE DESCRIPTION IN THE FULL RULES! Furthermore, the origin of the suffix "-ful" is the word "full". Google it! Search, "-ful etymology". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. By adding the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", you get "joyfully"--most clearly a compound word. Figure it out! Merriam-Webster EXPLICITLY specifies that "-ful" forms compound words. The word "Joyful" was the initial request when creating this market. Polymarket reduced it to "Joy", adding the compound word inclusion with a definition that PERFECTLY MATCHES the definition of the compound word, "Joyful". Kamala said "Joy". It's 100% YES!
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Thousands and thousands of qualified academic scholars have been employed by Merriam-Webster, Cambridge, and Oxford, over the years, to curate their gold standard reference books and official webpages. All agree "joyful" is a compound word that perfectly conforms to the stipulation regarding compound words in the full original rules, and the spirit of that section!
2
Randomchooser
8 months ago
i also found this explanation: Merriam-Webster considers words formed with suffixes, such as "-ful," as compound words because a suffix like "-ful" can act as an element that modifies the root word, similar to how two full words combine in other compounds. When suffixes like "-ful" are attached, they can create words that are conceptually similar to compound words even if they are treated slightly differently grammatically. The flexibility in how compound words are classified allows for this inclusion, as English compounds can range from simple pairings of standalone words to more complex structures involving prefixes, suffixes, and hyphens. This approach highlights the dynamic nature of language and its adaptability. This seems to clarify why M-W includes joyful as a compound word. It's going to Yes as u guys said before, it seems. What a semantics lesson!
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Only the most widely recognized and authoritative sources should govern for Polymarket to maintain wide appeal, otherwise it will fall in reputation and be increasingly viewed as a den of thieves, the very kind of place law enforcement likes to poke into and take a peek.
2
Randomchooser
8 months ago
i also found this explanation: Merriam-Webster considers words formed with suffixes, such as "-ful," as compound words because a suffix like "-ful" can act as an element that modifies the root word, similar to how two full words combine in other compounds. When suffixes like "-ful" are attached, they can create words that are conceptually similar to compound words even if they are treated slightly differently grammatically. The flexibility in how compound words are classified allows for this inclusion, as English compounds can range from simple pairings of standalone words to more complex structures involving prefixes, suffixes, and hyphens. This approach highlights the dynamic nature of language and its adaptability. This seems to clarify why M-W includes joyful as a compound word. It's going to Yes as u guys said before, it seems. What a semantics lesson!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The Federal Election Committee actually has a page on how to endorse a political candidate. Writen formal endorsements are required by the big players since top politics is a big money game. An FEC judge must certify a filed endorsement letter. https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/making-disbursements-ssf-or-connected-organization/endorsement-examples/
4
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
When the reporter ask about endorsement, RFK Jr.'s answer was, "No. There have been no commitments."
1
DeboBets
8 months ago
Fox News Interview with RFK where it clearly says he “endorses” Trump and RFK Jr Tweeted it — https://x.com/robertkennedyjr/status/1827749244918522023
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The APPLICABLE original rules state: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The definition of the compound word "joy-filled" is, "to be filled with joy: to be extremely happy, content; to be delighted" The definition of the compound word "joyful" is, " to be full of joy: feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness" THE DEFINITION OF "JOYFUL" IS CLOSEST TO THE DESCRIPTION IN THE FULL RULES! Furthermore, the origin of the suffix "-ful" is the word "full". Google it! Search, "-ful etymology". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. By adding the morpheme "-y" to "joyful", you get "joyfully"--most clearly a compound word. Figure it out! Merriam-Webster EXPLICITLY specifies that "-ful" forms compound words. The word "Joyful" was the initial request when creating this market. Polymarket reduced it to "Joy", adding the compound word inclusion with a definition that PERFECTLY MATCHES the definition of the compound word, "Joyful". Kamala said "Joy". It's 100% YES!
3
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
"Joyful" is a compound word, as per Merriam-Webster. Joyful means full of joy with the full meaning of the word full. The antonym of joyful is "joyless", another compound word. "A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts that work together as a unit to express a specific concept."..."Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."..."Compounds formed by adding a suffix to a word are usually written solid (yellowish, characterless)..." (Merriam-Webster)
0
Randomchooser
8 months ago
Merriam-Webster Dictionary: a compound word is "a word consisting of components that are words." Compound words combine the meanings of their parts to create a new concept. Sadly, Joyful isn't a compound word, anyway i encourage to simplify rules : do no allow any other forms , (i.e. if we bet on Joy, only Joy will count) not because the rules aren't clear enough but because people can't understand them completely.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Singh (1996), claims that there is no difference between derivation and compounding. "Joyful" is a compound word according to the information on the official Merriam-Webster website. Thousands and thousands of qualified academic scholars have been employed by Merriam-Webster, Cambridge, and Oxford, over the years, to curate their gold standard reference books and official webpages. All agree "joyful" is a compound word that perfectly conforms to the stipulation regarding compound words in the full original rules, and the spirit of that section!
0
isaidway
8 months ago
No skin in the game here. Could anyone tell me what other FORMS there are besides pluralization, possessive and compounding?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Scamala2024, Google search "-ful" + "etymology". "-ful" comes from the English word "full". Over time, the last "L" was dropped for economy. In some cases, prefixes and suffixes form compound words. This is precisely one such case.
2
WoW
8 months ago
According to the provided rules, "joyful" is a form of the word "joy" and relates to the feeling of great pleasure and happiness. The rules state that any form of the word, including compound words containing "joy" and referring to the feeling of joy and happiness, will count. Since Kamala Harris used the word "joyful" in her speech, this counts as using the word "joy" in the appropriate context. Therefore, the market should resolve to "Yes," as the use of "joyful" meets the conditions for a "Yes" resolution.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Additionally, you would be best to avoid citing Wikipedia, Reddit, and the like in a research paper.
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
This is embarrassing for Polymarket! Whoever wrote the "Additional context" section needs to go back to school. Whoever you are, remember, the answer is in the computer. Meanwhile, we'll be over here trying to educate the pupils at the Center For Kids Who Can't Read Good. Joyful, and joyless are varying degrees of the same word, JOY. As per the APPLICABLE Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. The definition of "joyful" according to Cambridge is "having or causing great happiness" Case closed. It's a YES! 100%
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Very good question!
4
basedrock
8 months ago
I wonder why they didn't add "formal endorsement" in the additional context but only endorsement.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
ChatGPT is NOT a legitimate source. In fact, it's usage related to academic papers can get you kicked out of school.
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
This is embarrassing for Polymarket! Whoever wrote the "Additional context" section needs to go back to school. Whoever you are, remember, the answer is in the computer. Meanwhile, we'll be over here trying to educate the pupils at the Center For Kids Who Can't Read Good. Joyful, and joyless are varying degrees of the same word, JOY. As per the APPLICABLE Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. The definition of "joyful" according to Cambridge is "having or causing great happiness" Case closed. It's a YES! 100%
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
But we can't trust your intellectual discernment. You're claiming this Joy/Joyful market is the same as the Jew/Jewish market. Hahahaha!!! If you say, "Jew custom" instead of "Jewish custom", you sound like a racist antisemite. On the other hand, joyful is a greater level of the same joy. Joyful is a compound word which PERFECTLY satisfies the section related to compound words in the full original rules.
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
No holders are attractive, intelligent, and productive. Yes holders are ugly, stupid, and lazy.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Yes, compound words are formed by connecting two preexisting words. But that's not all! Ask any grade 9 English teacher. They will also tell you that certain prefixes and suffixes can also form compound words. Also, see Merriam-Webster, a longstanding global authority on English words which EXPLICITLY describes "-ful" as a word part that DOES form compound words! Harvard, Cambridge, Oxford, the US Government, and the Canadian Government AGREE!!!
4
BlackSky123
8 months ago
RelayThief: "dumb bitches here really do be crying "OH NO, MY 100x PLAY ISN'T CASHING, NEVER GONNA USE POLY AGAIN!" as if we didn't tell your dumb asses you were lighting money on fire, you halfwits, you imbeciles, you drooling CRETINS!"
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Singh (1996), claims that there is no difference between derivation and compounding. "Joyful" is a compound word according to the information on the official Merriam-Webster website. Thousands and thousands of qualified academic scholars have been employed by Merriam-Webster, Cambridge, and Oxford, over the years, to curate their gold standard reference books and official webpages. All agree "joyful" is a compound word that perfectly conforms to the stipulation regarding compound words in the full original rules, and the spirit of that section!
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
This is embarrassing for Polymarket! Whoever wrote the "Additional context" section needs to go back to school. Whoever you are, remember, the answer is in the computer. Meanwhile, we'll be over here trying to educate the pupils at the Center For Kids Who Can't Read Good. Joyful, and joyless are varying degrees of the same word, JOY. As per the APPLICABLE Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. The definition of "joyful" according to Cambridge is "having or causing great happiness" Case closed. It's a YES! 100%
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I just called your grade 9 English teacher. She told me to tell you it's high time you enroll at the Center For Kids Who Can't Read Good. Jew/Jewish and Joy/Joyful can not logically be compared. These markets are mutually exclusive. It's inappropriate to compare the two. A Jew, and Jewish are different words and convey different meanings, as in a Jewish custom. If you say, "Jew custom" instead of "Jewish custom" you sound like a racist antisemite. On the other hand, Joy and Joyful are the same, with one more exuberant than the other. Joyful is a compound word which means full of joy. THE SAME JOY, JOST MORE OF IT! The answer is in the computer. Stop listening to the trumpets playing, and PUT A SHIRT ON!!!
4
BlackSky123
8 months ago
RelayThief: "dumb bitches here really do be crying "OH NO, MY 100x PLAY ISN'T CASHING, NEVER GONNA USE POLY AGAIN!" as if we didn't tell your dumb asses you were lighting money on fire, you halfwits, you imbeciles, you drooling CRETINS!"
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
They shouldn't if they are written by unqualified dyslexics who don't understand the laws of the land.
6
TimeQuestion
8 months ago
If Polymarket clarifications count as rules, then that is all that matters.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
This is embarrassing for Polymarket! Whoever wrote the "Additional context" section needs to go back to school. Whoever you are, remember, the answer is in the computer. Meanwhile, we'll be over here trying to educate the pupils at the Center For Kids Who Can't Read Good. Joyful, and joyless are varying degrees of the same word, JOY. As per the APPLICABLE Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. The definition of "joyful" according to Cambridge is "having or causing great happiness" Case closed. It's a YES! 100%
10
·
Liked by babendums, JanSobiesk... and 8 others
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Hahahaha!!! You crack me up! Singh (1996), claims that there is no difference between derivation and compounding. "Joyful" is a compound word according to the information on the official Merriam-Webster website. Thousands and thousands of qualified academic scholars have been employed by Merriam-Webster, Cambridge, and Oxford, over the years, to curate their gold standard reference books and official webpages. All agree "joyful" is a compound word that perfectly conforms to the stipulation regarding compound words in the full original rules, and the spirit of that section!
0
gary22
8 months ago
I am not a yes or no holder for this market, but I did some research and Joyful seems to be not a compound word for joy as "-ful" can't be used on its own. Compound words are "Notebook, Sunflower, Moonlight etc."
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Wait! Didn't you say the Jew/Jewish market was the same as this market??? Hahaha!!!
8
BlackSky123
8 months ago
RelayThief: "dumb bitches here really do be crying "OH NO, MY 100x PLAY ISN'T CASHING, NEVER GONNA USE POLY AGAIN!" as if we didn't tell your dumb asses you were lighting money on fire, you halfwits, you imbeciles, you drooling CRETINS!"
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Merriam-Webster, Harvard, Cambridge, Oxford, the US government, the Canadian government, and even your grade 9 English teacher all agree that "joyful" is a compound word.
6
Fav
8 months ago
A 50/50 resolution here might be viable. Putting my bias aside it's clear it could be interpreted both ways.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Using ChatGPT will get you kicked out of school. You fail!
1
n/a
8 months ago
Yes, "joyful" is a derivative of the word "joy", but it's not a compound word. A compound word is a word that's made up of two or more separate words that are combined to form a new word, like "bookshelf" or "toothbrush". "Joyful", on the other hand, is a derived word, which means it's formed by adding a suffix (-ful) to the root word "joy". This suffix changes the meaning of the word to convey a sense of feeling or fullness of joy. Other examples of derived words from "joy" include "joyless", "joyous", and "joyfulness".
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Not all prefixes and suffixes attached to words form compound words, but some do! Again, I refer you to your grade 9 English teacher, as well as, Merriam-Webster, Harvard, Cambridge, Oxford, the US government, and the Canadian government. IT'S BASIC COMMON KNOWLEDGE!!!
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
JOYLESS RelayThief thinks Joyful is a compound word! That Nepal education system really failed him!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
On the other hand, joyful is, in fact, a compound word!
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
JOYLESS RelayThief thinks Joyful is a compound word! That Nepal education system really failed him!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
If you say a Jew custom, instead of a Jewish custom, you sound like a racist antisemite.
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
JOYLESS RelayThief thinks Joyful is a compound word! That Nepal education system really failed him!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I just called your grade 9 English teacher. She told me to tell you Jew/Jewish and Joy/Joyful can not logically be compared. These markets are mutually exclusive. It's inappropriate to compare the two. A Jew, and Jewish are different words and convey different meanings, as in a Jewish custom. On the other hand, Joy and Joyful are the same, with one more exuberant than the other. Joyful is a compound word which means full of joy. THE SAME JOY, JOST MORE OF IT! Stop listening to the trumpets playing, and PUT A SHIRT ON!!!
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
JOYLESS RelayThief thinks Joyful is a compound word! That Nepal education system really failed him!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
This is actually embarrassing for Polymarket. Does a group of you have dyslexia? Trust me, if you just try a little bit, you'll find, the answer is in the computer.
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
JOYLESS RelayThief thinks Joyful is a compound word! That Nepal education system really failed him!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Merriam-Webster is a longstanding global authority on WORDS, including compound words! A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts...(Merriam-Webster). A compound word is comprised of parts, not necessarily two words glued together.
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
JOYLESS RelayThief thinks Joyful is a compound word! That Nepal education system really failed him!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I think you need to try to go! It is quite clear and explicit that "joyful" is a compound word. "Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."... https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
JOYLESS RelayThief thinks Joyful is a compound word! That Nepal education system really failed him!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Your grade 9 teacher knows that joyful is a compound word. It's widely accepted common knowledge, even over at the Center For Kids Who Can't Read Good.
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
JOYLESS RelayThief thinks Joyful is a compound word! That Nepal education system really failed him!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
That would be erroneous. Polymarket should be held accountable. They open themselves up for lawsuits.
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
Would be crazy if Polymarket said something like: "Throwing his support to President Trump and joining the Trump campaign suffices as an endorsement, hence this market should resolve to "Yes."" That would be really cool.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
RFK Jr. didn't say, "I formally endorse Trump.", and file the required legal letter to be certified by an FEC judge. This DID NOT happen yet. It MAY happen before August 31st, but it hasn't happened yet!
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
FK Jr. didn't say, "I formally endorse Trump.", and file the required legal letter to be certified by an FEC judge. This DID NOT happen yet. It MAY happen before August 31st, but it hasn't happened yet!
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Read the rules. He didn't say he was voting for Trump. The Federal Election Committee actually has a page on how to endorse a political candidate here, https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/making-disbursements-ssf-or-connected-organization/endorsement-examples/ According to the Federal Election Committee, an ENDORSEMENT is done by letter. The RFK Jr. spokesperson said a letter was filed (in official writing) in error and retracted. This appears to be a formal, legally binding process to be certified by an FEC judge before it becomes legally binding. There is a formal process. Where is the RFK Jr. FEC letter saying that he officially endorses Trump? At this time, none exists!
1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Gary, you're hilarious!!! You did some research, eh??? lol Just read the quote above copy/pasted from a longstanding gold standard authoritative source--Merriam-Webster. Only widely recognized authoritative sources should govern in order to maintain Polymarket reputation and mass appeal.
0
gary22
8 months ago
I am not a yes or no holder for this market, but I did some research and Joyful seems to be not a compound word for joy as "-ful" can't be used on its own. Compound words are "Notebook, Sunflower, Moonlight etc."
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Wait a second! Read the rules. These are the exact rules to this market, correct? "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives." He didn't say he was voting for Trump, right? So, what does that leave? The rules imply mainstream news sources don't count. The Federal Election Committee actually has a page on how to endorse a political candidate here, https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/making-disbursements-ssf-or-connected-organization/endorsement-examples/ According to the Federal Election Committee, an ENDORSEMENT is done by letter. The RFK Jr. spokesperson said a letter was filed (in official writing) in error and retracted. This appears to be a formal, legally binding process to be certified by an FEC judge before it becomes legally binding. There is a formal process. Where is the RFK Jr. FEC letter saying that he officially endorses Trump? At this time, none exists!
3
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Joyful, and joyless are varying degrees of the same word, JOY. As per the APPLICABLE Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. The definition of "joyful" according to Cambridge is "having or causing great happiness". Case closed. It's a YES! 100%
1
Eridpnc
8 months ago
The bet specified that only "joy" and compound words with joy in it would count.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
There may also be collusion between whales and the person who wrote the bogus and corrupt "Additional context" section on this market, as well as, the one relating to the RFK Jr. Endorsement. Whoever wrote those sections should be investigated. Since Polymarket HQ is located in New York, the FBI may be interested in a possible racketeering scheme at foot.
1
xdbrhzdfxcbzdtn
8 months ago
I'm new to this, what is actually going on during this ~23 remaining hours of "final review"? Are there a bunch of people sitting in a room debating the academic merits of the arguments? Have the powers that be already decided the verdict and the final review period was set when the dispute was registered?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Hahahaha! Merriam-Webster is a longstanding global authority on WORDS, including compound words! A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts...(Merriam-Webster). A compound word is comprised of parts, not necessarily two words glued together. It doesn't matter how previous markets were resolved. It's now time for Polymarket to get it right in this specific market! It is quite clear and explicit that "joyful" is a compound word. "Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."... https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
1
gary22
8 months ago
I am not a yes or no holder for this market, but I did some research and Joyful seems to be not a compound word for joy as "-ful" can't be used on its own. Compound words are "Notebook, Sunflower, Moonlight etc."
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Reddit!!! Hahaha!!! It's best for Polymarket to refer exclusively to the most universally recognized and respected authoritative sources in order to maintain wide appeal and an image of objective impartiality, rather than refer to a cast of random characters on a Reddit thread responding to a prompt that only contains a partial section of the full original rules. Give me a break! The Reddit thread is corrupt from the start.
5
fafafafafafafafafafafafafaffafafafa
8 months ago
you can find sources in this thread posted by people familiar with the linguistics literature. As you know, of course, since you posted in the thread, but you again choose to lie and claim that there are no sources disagreeing with you https://www.reddit.com/r/asklinguistics/comments/1ezrv5m/is_joyful_a_compound_word/
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The clarification is clearly false, just like the one over at the RFK Jr. Endorse market that is currently causing a firestorm of controversy. I'm assuming the author of these bogus "Additional context" boxes is either dyslexic, having a bad day, on meth, or deliberately trying to sabotage the reputation of Polymarket.
0
ANudeEgg
8 months ago
The price will not approach 50/50. It won't even approach 90c. This outcome is clear cut. PolyMarket issued a clarification and UMA will not overturn it.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I think he's referring to the open vote in the # evidence-rational section.
1
babendums
8 months ago
Its already been disputed
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The additional context box should be deleted on the basis that it is factually incorrect, and points to the incorrect section of the full rules. And, UMA should rule based on the most widely recognized and authoritative sources, in all fairness, and in order to maintain an image of objective impartiality.
3
IAmHarold
8 months ago
if you believe the additional context box is incorrect then you must join the UMA discord to speak your mind. Unfortunately nothing you write here will matter as UMA are the people making the final decision. discord.com/invite/UMA
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Merriam-Webster, Harvard, Cambridge, Oxford, the US government, the Canadian government, and even your local grade 9 English teacher all agree "joyful" is a compound word! The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This definition perfectly satisfies the requirement regarding compound words in the full text of the original rules.
5
Radix
8 months ago
ADDITIONAL CONTEXT: As per the rules, "Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count." Joyful is another form of "Joy", and is not considered a compound word, thus this market should resolve to "No."
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
That's precisely how someone with dyslexia would read and interpret the full original rules. They would just read the first part of the original rules, get tired, and fail to read and interpret the last and most important part pertaining to COMPOUND WORDS!!!
6
Radix
8 months ago
ADDITIONAL CONTEXT: As per the rules, "Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count." Joyful is another form of "Joy", and is not considered a compound word, thus this market should resolve to "No."
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
If the resolution of this market is NOT based on widely recognized authoritative sources, then someone might have to refer Polymarket and the UMA administrators to the FBI for an investigation into racketeering. If official sources are not used in the resolution of this market, then it appears "whales" are putting their thumbs on the scales. A bogus Additional context box was written by someone with dyslexia. "Joyful" is a compound word (Merriam-Webster) which satisfies the specification in the full original rules. Merriam-Webster is the longstanding authoritative source approved by Harvard, and both the US and Canadian governments. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This definition perfectly satisfies the requirement regarding compound words in the full text of the original rules. Cambridge is the Alma mater of the current Royal Family in Britain. Only official authoritative sources should govern. Otherwise, we may looking at racketeering activity. REMEMBER: Merriam-Webster is RECOGNIZED by the US GOVERNMENT.
5
PocketShibe
8 months ago
its very clearly a compound word, polymarket better not scam
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I wonder what will happen if the FBI Google's "Polymarket location". Oh, wow! Headquarters Regions Greater New York Area, East Coast, Northeastern US
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Does someone have to refer Polymarket and the UMA administrators to the FBI for an investigation into racketeering? If official sources are not used in the resolution of this market, then it appears "whales" are putting their thumbs on the scales. A bogus Additional context box was written by someone with dyslexia. "Joyful" is a compound word (Merriam-Webster) which satisfies the specification in the full original rules. Merriam-Webster is the longstanding authoritative source approved by Harvard, and both the US and Canadian governments. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This definition satisfies the requirement regarding compound words in the full text of the original rules. Cambridge is the Alma mater of the current Royal Family in Britain. A similar controversy is underway over at the "RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?" market. Only official authoritative sources should govern. Otherwise, we may be looking at racketeering activity. REMEMBER: Merriam-Webster is RECOGNIZED by the US GOVERNMENT.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
ChatGPT is, by no means, an authoritative source. In fact, ChatGPT is currently frowned upon in academia, and can actually get you expelled from school.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word (Merriam-Webster, Harvard, Oxford, Cambridge, the U.S. Government, and the Canadian Government) which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. No one has yet to provide an authoritative source to the contrary. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This is in exact conformity with the section pertaining to compound words in the full original rules. The "Additional context" section is false, erroneous, and points to the incorrect stipulation in the full original rules for this specific market.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Conversely, the antonym of "Joyful" is "Joyless", or having less joy. Therefore, you can have more or less joy. It's the same joy, just in varying degrees--a concept which conforms perfectly to the spirt of the full original rules pertaining to compound words.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word (Merriam-Webster, Harvard, Oxford, Cambridge, the U.S. Government, and the Canadian Government) which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. No one has yet to provide an authoritative source to the contrary. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This is in exact conformity with the section pertaining to compound words in the full original rules. The "Additional context" section is false, erroneous, and points to the incorrect stipulation in the full original rules for this specific market.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It is quite clear and explicit that "joyful" is a compound word. "Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."... https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word (Merriam-Webster, Harvard, Oxford, Cambridge, the U.S. Government, and the Canadian Government) which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. No one has yet to provide an authoritative source to the contrary. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This is in exact conformity with the section pertaining to compound words in the full original rules. The "Additional context" section is false, erroneous, and points to the incorrect stipulation in the full original rules for this specific market.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
To maintain reputation, integrity, and wide appeal, ONLY WIDELY RECOGNIZED AUTHORITATIVE SOURCES SHOULD BE CONSIDERED IN RESOLUTIONS.
5
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word (Merriam-Webster, Harvard, Oxford, Cambridge, the U.S. Government, and the Canadian Government) which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. No one has yet to provide an authoritative source to the contrary. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This is in exact conformity with the section pertaining to compound words in the full original rules. The "Additional context" section is false, erroneous, and points to the incorrect stipulation in the full original rules for this specific market.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
"Read the updated court filing below." Haha!
3
ElonMuskin
8 months ago
It’s over: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/read-rfk-jr-pennsylvania-court-filing/index.html
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word (Merriam-Webster, Harvard, Oxford, Cambridge, the U.S. Government, and the Canadian Government) which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. No one has yet to provide an authoritative source to the contrary. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This is in exact conformity with the section pertaining to compound words in the full original rules. The "Additional context" section is false, erroneous, and points to the incorrect stipulation in the full original rules for this specific market.
11
·
Liked by n/a, n/a and 9 others
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Only longstanding reputable and wildly recognized authoritative sources should be considered in order to maintain mass appeal and a good reputation, in all fairness. Merriam-Webster fits the bill and is the default reference specified in Harvard's style guide. Merriam-Webster is also a recognized authority by the US and Canadian governments. It's a no-brainer really. Merriam-Webster clearly states "joyful" is a compound word. You can be full of joy. You can have less joy.
2
ekimika
8 months ago
This depends on the definition of compound words. Some sources like Webster would indeed consider words with “-ful” suffix compound. There’s a slurry of other definitions that are very easy to google that wouldn’t list joyful as compound. Idk if it’s possible for this to resolve 50-50 but that’s probably the honest thing to do
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
To maintain reputation and wide appeal, ONLY WIDELY RECOGNIZED AUTHORITATIVE SOURCES SHOULD BE CONSIDERED IN RESOLUTIONS.
1
heywewq
8 months ago
Someone made a reddit thread and the consensus is "no" These are people with no stake in it and is the most fair. I expect posting this might cause people here to spam it so here is the archived version before any manipulation. https://archive.ph/95Fov
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
You also referred to the incorrect section of the original rules pertaining to compound nouns. That is a very tricky and conniving tactic! Shame!
1
heywewq
8 months ago
Someone made a reddit thread and the consensus is "no" These are people with no stake in it and is the most fair. I expect posting this might cause people here to spam it so here is the archived version before any manipulation. https://archive.ph/95Fov
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
From Obama's speech, "Our fellow citizens deserve the same grace we hope they’ll extend to us. That’s how we can build a true Democratic majority, one that can get things done."
1
n/a
8 months ago
Late to this discussion. Just curious how is JOY different than HOPE (which resolved to yes) for Obama? https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech?tid=1724527475790
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Can you have more or less help? The meanings change. You can however have more or less joy. Work it out! Help me!!! Helpful me!!! Helpless me!!! You see, it doesn't work. However, a group can have more or less joy. Joyful complies exactly to the section of the original rules pertaining to compound nouns. Joyful conveys great happiness! Bingo!!! It's a factual YES!!!
1
Drahacik
8 months ago
I certainly would not resolve "helpful" to "help", for example. This should resolved to "No" because it's not possessive or plural.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
No. These markets are mutually exclusive. It's inappropriate to compare the two. A Jew, and Jewish are different words and convey different meanings, as in a Jewish custom. On the other hand, Joy and Joyful are the same, with one more exuberant than the other. Joyful is a compound word which means full of joy. Full of joy: "JOYFUL" IS A COMPOUND WORD which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness stipulated in the full original rules. No one has yet to provide an authoritative source to the contrary. By the way, Joyless is the antonym of Joyful, and means less joy. It is also a compound word. Either you can have more or less Joy. Therefore, Joyful conforms perfectly to the spirt of the original rules pertaining to compound words. As far as Judaism is concerned, you're either a Jew, or your not!
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
There is actually no way to get around the fact that Jewish not counting for Jew but Joyful somehow counting for Joy is a completely retarded notion. The rest is all coping, I really hope the yes bagholders buy more. I love seeing retarded scammers flail around and lose hundreds or thousands of dollars to people who have more than two brain cells. It's very hilarious.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
ChatGPT is not a recognized authoritative source. ChatGPT is currently frowned upon in academia when writing papers that rely on style guides. Harvard's style guide points to Merriam-Webster as the default reference in these matters. Merriam-Webster says "joyful" is a compound word.
7
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
ChatGPT is NOT a recognized source fellas! lol
0
ohkeh
8 months ago
In this instance, a morphological derivation is more logical to be included than a compound word. The rules need more work put into them.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
An FBI investigation into racketeering will unveil those users who ARE in the USA.
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Does someone have to refer Polymarket and the UMA administrators to the FBI for an investigation into racketeering? If official sources are not used in the resolution of this market, then it appears "whales" are putting their thumbs on the scales. A bogus Additional context box was written by someone with dyslexia. "Joyful" is a compound word (Merriam-Webster) which satisfies the specification in the full original rules. Merriam-Webster is the longstanding authoritative source approved by Harvard, and both the US and Canadian governments. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This definition satisfies the requirement regarding compound words in the full text of the original rules. Cambridge is the Alma mater of the current Royal Family in Britain. A similar controversy is underway over at the "RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?" market. Only official authoritative sources should govern. Otherwise, we may be looking at racketeering activity. REMEMBER: Merriam-Webster is RECOGNIZED by the US GOVERNMENT.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Does someone have to refer Polymarket and the UMA administrators to the FBI for an investigation into racketeering? If official sources are not used in the resolution of this market, then it appears "whales" are putting their thumbs on the scales. A bogus Additional context box was written by someone with dyslexia. "Joyful" is a compound word (Merriam-Webster) which satisfies the specification in the full original rules. Merriam-Webster is the longstanding authoritative source approved by Harvard, and both the US and Canadian governments. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This definition satisfies the requirement regarding compound words in the full text of the original rules. Cambridge is the Alma mater of the current Royal Family in Britain. A similar controversy is underway over at the "RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?" market. Only official authoritative sources should govern. Otherwise, we may be looking at racketeering activity. REMEMBER: Merriam-Webster is RECOGNIZED by the US GOVERNMENT.
5
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Who can contact Robert Barnes to look at this?
2
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Thousands and thousands of qualified academic scholars have been employed by Merriam-Webster, Cambridge, and Oxford, over the years, to curate their gold standard reference books and official webpages.
0
n/a
8 months ago
The Merian Webster link is a link to an article. Not an authoritative dictionary. The true meaning of a compound word is a lexeme with one or more stem. A suffix, is not a stem of a Lexeme, it’s a affix morpheme, when you add a suffix to a stem it’s what’s called morphological derivation - this is different to a compound word.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Merriam-Webster, Cambridge, and Oxford have employed thousands and thousands of academic scholars over the years to curate their gold standard reference books and official webpages.
2
n/a
8 months ago
It’s all of linguistics phd papers and books, versus one article on Merriam Webster. Not an official definition.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Singh (1996), claims that there is no difference between derivation and compounding.
0
n/a
8 months ago
It’s all of linguistics phd papers and books, versus one article on Merriam Webster. Not an official definition.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Singh (1996), claims that there is no difference between derivation and compounding. "Joyful" is a compound word according to the information on the official Merriam-Webster website.
0
n/a
8 months ago
The Merian Webster link is a link to an article. Not an authoritative dictionary. The true meaning of a compound word is a lexeme with one or more stem. A suffix, is not a stem of a Lexeme, it’s a affix morpheme, when you add a suffix to a stem it’s what’s called morphological derivation - this is different to a compound word.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I wonder what Robert Barnes has to say about this. Who wants to contact him to ask?
0
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Does someone have to refer Polymarket and the UMA administrators to the FBI for an investigation into racketeering? If official sources are not used in the resolution of this market, then it appears "whales" are putting their thumbs on the scales. A similar controversy is underway over at the "Will Kamala say "Joy" at the DNC" market. There, a bogus Additional context box was written by someone with dyslexia. "Joyful" is a compound word (Merriam-Webster) which satisfies the specification in the full original rules. Merriam-Webster is the longstanding authoritative source approved by Harvard, and both the US and Canadian governments. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This definition satisfies the requirement regarding compound words in the full text of the original rules. Cambridge is the Alma mater of the current Royal Family in Britain. Only official authoritative sources should govern. Otherwise, we may looking at racketeering activity.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Does someone have to refer Polymarket and the UMA administrators to the FBI for an investigation into racketeering? If official sources are not used in the resolution of this market, then it appears "whales" are putting their thumbs on the scales. A similar controversy is underway over at the "Will Kamala say "Joy" at the DNC" market. There, a bogus Additional context box was written by someone with dyslexia. "Joyful" is a compound word (Merriam-Webster) which satisfies the specification in the full original rules. Merriam-Webster is the longstanding authoritative source approved by Harvard, and both the US and Canadian governments. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness". This definition satisfies the requirement regarding compound words in the full text of the original rules. Cambridge is the Alma mater of the current Royal Family in Britain. Only official authoritative sources should govern. Otherwise, we may looking at racketeering activity.
5
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Does someone have to refer Polymarket and the UMA administrators to the FBI for an investigation into racketeering? If official sources are not used in the resolution of this market, then it appears "whales" are putting their thumbs on the scales. A similar controversy is underway over at the "Will Kamala say "Joy" at the DNC" market. There, a bogus Additional context box was written by someone with dyslexia. "Joyful" is a compound word (Merriam-Webster) which satisfies the specification in the full original rules. Merriam-Webster is the longstanding authoritative source approved by Harvard, and both the US and Canadian governments. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness" Cambridge is the Alma mater of the current Royal Family in Britain. Only official authoritative sources should govern. Otherwise, we may be looking at racketeering activity.
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/964000735073284127 Go here, verify yourself, then send a message to "evidence-rationale" channel voting "P2" with as much evidence as you can.
0
JP5
8 months ago
Not going to pretend I'm not biased here, but I am genuinely unclear why the Joy market is so low right now. I get that Merriam-Webster is not the only possible authority on compound words, but is there any evidence specifically point it *not* being a compound word? Because in the absence of that evidence, the Merriam-Webster link does seem fairly clear on this.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Get the Discord app, log in, follow the verification process and find the applicable thread. Find the 2nd red hyperlink here, https://docs.uma.xyz/protocol-overview/dvm-2.0-faq
0
JP5
8 months ago
Not going to pretend I'm not biased here, but I am genuinely unclear why the Joy market is so low right now. I get that Merriam-Webster is not the only possible authority on compound words, but is there any evidence specifically point it *not* being a compound word? Because in the absence of that evidence, the Merriam-Webster link does seem fairly clear on this.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Style guides are the authoritative source for writing proper academic papers.
1
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Merriam's definition is endorsed by Harvard's style guide: "Check out Merriam-Webster or the CRO Word List for acceptable usage." https://web.archive.org/web/20220519092522/https://wiki.harvard.edu/confluence/display/HSG/Compound+Words "CRO in-house style uses the Chicago Manual of Style for many of its editorial decisions. When in doubt, look it up and defer to Chicago. Our reference dictionary is Merriam-Webster." https://web.archive.org/web/20220519092526/https://wiki.harvard.edu/confluence/display/HSG/CRO+Style+Guide+Home
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Merriam's definition is endorsed by Harvard's style guide: "Check out Merriam-Webster or the CRO Word List for acceptable usage." https://web.archive.org/web/20220519092522/https://wiki.harvard.edu/confluence/display/HSG/Compound+Words "CRO in-house style uses the Chicago Manual of Style for many of its editorial decisions. When in doubt, look it up and defer to Chicago. Our reference dictionary is Merriam-Webster." https://web.archive.org/web/20220519092526/https://wiki.harvard.edu/confluence/display/HSG/CRO+Style+Guide+Home
2
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I have a Master's degree in Education, and teach English at a University. What qualifications does the person have who wrote the FACTUALLY INCORRECT "Additional context" section, which points to the wrong part of the full and original rules? "Joyful" IS A COMPOUND WORD! Whoever wrote the additional context section is dyslexic. Ask any grade 9 English teacher. Prefixes and suffixes also form compound words. Also, see Merriam-Webster, a longstanding global authority on English words! Harvard, the US Government, and the Canadian Government AGREE!!! As per the Polymarket APPLICABLE rules: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness" Cambridge is the Alma mater of the current Royal family in Britain. Full of joy: "JOYFUL" IS A COMPOUND WORD which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness stipulated in the full original rules. No one has yet to provide an authoritative source to the contrary.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I have a Master's degree in Education, and teach English at a University. What qualifications does the person have who wrote the FACTUALLY INCORRECT "Additional context" section, which points to the wrong part of the full and original rules? "Joyful" IS A COMPOUND WORD! Whoever wrote the additional context section is dyslexic. Ask any grade 9 English teacher. Prefixes and suffixes also form compound words. Also, see Merriam-Webster, a longstanding global authority on English words! Harvard, the US Government, and the Canadian Government AGREE!!! As per the Polymarket APPLICABLE rules: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness" Cambridge is the Alma mater of the current Royal family in Britain. Full of joy: "JOYFUL" IS A COMPOUND WORD which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness stipulated in the full original rules. No one has yet to provide an authoritative source to the contrary.
7
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Apparently, people at Polymarket are dyslexic, or don't know what words mean. There is a similar controversy over at the "Kamala Harris said "Joy"" market, too. People don't read the rules carefully and correctly.
1
0xb27d8B9Ef5935a763aFdE9737204934888e5Fc9c-1720902678412
8 months ago
Great point, surprised this hadn't come up earlier. Appreciate your research.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Where is the EXACT "RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?" UMA voting thread???
0
0xb27d8B9Ef5935a763aFdE9737204934888e5Fc9c-1720902678412
8 months ago
Great point, surprised this hadn't come up earlier. Appreciate your research.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Where is the RFK Jr. FEC letter saying that he officially endorses Trump? At this time, none exists!
2
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Wait a second! These are the exact rules to this market, correct? "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives." He didn't say he was voting for Trump, right? So, what does that leave? The rules imply mainstream news sources don't count. The Federal Election Committee actually has a page on how to endorse a political candidate here, https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/making-disbursements-ssf-or-connected-organization/endorsement-examples/ According to the Federal Election Committee, an ENDORSEMENT is done by letter. The RFK Jr. spokesperson said a letter was filed (in official writing) in error and retracted. This appears to be a formal, legally binding process to be certified by an FEC judge before it becomes legally binding. There is a formal process.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Wait a second! These are the exact rules to this market, correct? "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives." He didn't say he was voting for Trump, right? So, what does that leave? The rules imply mainstream news sources don't count. The Federal Election Committee actually has a page on how to endorse a political candidate here, https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/making-disbursements-ssf-or-connected-organization/endorsement-examples/ According to the Federal Election Committee, an ENDORSEMENT is done by letter. The RFK Jr. spokesperson said a letter was filed (in official writing) in error and retracted. This appears to be a formal, legally binding process to be certified by an FEC judge before it becomes legally binding. There is a formal process.
4
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
According to the Federal Election Committee, an ENDORSEMENT is done by letter. The RFK Jr. spokesperson said a letter was issued in error and retracted.
2
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The Federal Election Committee actually has a page on how to endorse a political candidate here, https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/making-disbursements-ssf-or-connected-organization/endorsement-examples/
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The Federal Election Committee actually has a page on how to endorse a political candidate here, https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/making-disbursements-ssf-or-connected-organization/endorsement-examples/
2
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Wait a second! These are the exact rules to this market, correct? "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives." He didn't say he was voting for Trump, right? So, what does that leave? The rules imply mainstream news sources don't count.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Wait a second! These are the exact rules to this market, correct? "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives." He didn't say he was voting for Trump, right? So, what does that leave? The rules imply mainstream news sources don't count.
6
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Add a comment with evidence here, https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/964000735073284127
0
babendums
8 months ago
Who added that bs anyways?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
How about Merriam-Webster, Harvard, the U.S. Government, and the Canadian Government??? Oh, and your local grade 9 English teacher. "Joyful" is a compound word that conveys the meaning stipulated in the original rules.
1
heywewq
8 months ago
your idiocy is astounding. Citing Brainly... You might as well cite your own brain
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
I assume someone who struggled in grade 9 English class. Ask any grade 9 English teacher. Prefixes and suffixes also form compound words.
0
babendums
8 months ago
Who added that bs anyways?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
https://discord.com/invite/uma
0
babendums
8 months ago
ChatGPT: The broader view of compound words includes any word formed by combining elements to create a new meaning, not just those formed by combining two standalone words. In this broader context, compound words can also include: Words formed by combining a base word with prefixes and suffixes: For example, “wonderful” (wonder + -ful) or “joyful” (joy + -ful). Here, the base word and suffix together create a new meaning. Words formed by combining parts of words that might not be standalone words themselves: For instance, “fearful” (fear + -ful) or “respectful” (respect + -ful). In this view, a compound word doesn’t have to be a straightforward combination of two independent words (like "sun" and "flower" in "sunflower") but can also involve the addition of affixes (prefixes or suffixes) to existing words to form new meanings.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Ask any grade 9 English teacher. Prefixes and suffixes form compound words.
0
babendums
8 months ago
MW: Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy). Prefixes and suffixes are usually attached to existing words; combining forms are usually combined to form new words (photomicrograph).
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The "Additional context" clarification is factually incorrect, and refers to the incorrect section of the rules pertaining to compound words, instead it points to "Pluralization/possessive", which is deceptive. "Joyous" is another form of "Joy". The "Additional context" is a corrupt addendum to the original rules. As per the original and APPLICABLE Polymarket rules: "Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word (Merriam-Webster, Harvard, U.S. Government and Canadian Government) which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. No one has yet to provide an authoritative source to the contrary. The Cambridge definition of "joyful" is "having or causing great happiness"
5
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Who writes these corrupt "Additional context" sections?
0
Topgeneral
8 months ago
Just got scammed with the rfk endorsement despite a literal statement from the spokesperson. Expect this to be rigged too despite evidence.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Did you try posting on the 2nd Kamala vote thread? Make sure to add "P2 Yes" at the start.
0
babendums
8 months ago
the vote comments are starting to go in the right direction, the "Nos" all have zero evidence other than previous market resolutions, and the yeses have tons of evidence. I mean how do you argue with MW..
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Merriam-Webster, Harvard, U.S. Government and Canadian Government all agree with the widely known fact that "joyful" is a compound word. The "Additional context" section is corrupt. It is factually false, and points to the wrong section in the original rules.
1
babendums
8 months ago
the vote comments are starting to go in the right direction, the "Nos" all have zero evidence other than previous market resolutions, and the yeses have tons of evidence. I mean how do you argue with MW..
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Yes! It's standard common knowledge.
3
babendums
8 months ago
The english language is tricky, but this is clear cut. pre fixes and suffixes added to the word are compound words
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Get the Discord app, log in, follow the verification process and find the applicable thread. Find the 2nd red hyperlink here, https://docs.uma.xyz/protocol-overview/dvm-2.0-faq
0
babendums
8 months ago
ChatGPT: The broader view of compound words includes any word formed by combining elements to create a new meaning, not just those formed by combining two standalone words. In this broader context, compound words can also include: Words formed by combining a base word with prefixes and suffixes: For example, “wonderful” (wonder + -ful) or “joyful” (joy + -ful). Here, the base word and suffix together create a new meaning. Words formed by combining parts of words that might not be standalone words themselves: For instance, “fearful” (fear + -ful) or “respectful” (respect + -ful). In this view, a compound word doesn’t have to be a straightforward combination of two independent words (like "sun" and "flower" in "sunflower") but can also involve the addition of affixes (prefixes or suffixes) to existing words to form new meanings.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Find the 2nd red hyperlink here, https://docs.uma.xyz/protocol-overview/dvm-2.0-faq
0
babendums
8 months ago
how do i dispute this, this is BS, joyful is a compound word, bing copilot, Merrium Webster, Brainly all showing it is a compound word. I can't speak to previous markets and how they resolved, only this one and the proof from authorative sources.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Get the Discord app, log in, follow the verification process and find the applicable thread.
0
babendums
8 months ago
how do i dispute this, this is BS, joyful is a compound word, bing copilot, Merrium Webster, Brainly all showing it is a compound word. I can't speak to previous markets and how they resolved, only this one and the proof from authorative sources.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Simply false. Joyful is actually a compound word according to Merriam-Webster, a longstanding global authority.
1
heywewq
8 months ago
The reason to argue for NO is because Joyful is not a compound word. If you "Google" it as you say, you would not find a credible source making such an absurd argument
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Singh (1996), claims that there is no difference between derivation and compounding.
1
heywewq
8 months ago
Morphological derivation ≠ compound word https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morphological_derivation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_(linguistics) "The meaning of compounds may not always be transparent from their components, necessitating familiarity with usage and context. The addition of affix morphemes to words (such as suffixes or prefixes, as in employ → employment) should not be confused with nominal composition, as this is actually morphological derivation."
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It's from the OFFICIAL website!
1
heywewq
8 months ago
FACT: "Joyful" is not a compound word! Please read this: https://ecampusontario.pressbooks.pub/greeklatinroots/chapter/%C2%A791-what-is-a-compound-word/#:~:text=In%20correct%20linguistic%20use%2C%20the,a%20compound%20have%20that%20capacity Someone with a large holding for "Yes" is desperately trying to find a source and is manipulating the meaning from some random blog post from Merriam Webster.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Please learn to understand English, and refer to authoritative sources. "Joyful" qualifies 100% according to the applicable Polymarket rules specific to this market.
6
BlackSky123
8 months ago
Only a moron would think Jewish would not count for Jew, but Joyful would count for Joy. I hope you retards vote YES on the UMA vote and get even more of your money eaten by the whales.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Says you??? Who are you to say??? It most certainly is according to Merriam-Webster, a longstanding global authority on English words, including compound words. "Joyful" is a compound word that conforms to the applicable Polymarket rules.
2
heywewq
8 months ago
Joyful is not a compound word
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It most certainly is according to Merriam-Webster, a longstanding global authority on English words, including compound words. "Joyful" is a compound word that conforms to the applicable Polymarket rules.
2
heywewq
8 months ago
Joyful is not a compound word.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Merriam-Webster is quite clear and is a longstanding globally recognized authority on English words, including compound words. "Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."..."Compounds formed by adding a suffix to a word are usually written solid (yellowish, characterless)..." (Merriam-Webster) https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
1
heywewq
8 months ago
Morphological derivation ≠ compound word https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morphological_derivation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_(linguistics) "The meaning of compounds may not always be transparent from their components, necessitating familiarity with usage and context. The addition of affix morphemes to words (such as suffixes or prefixes, as in employ → employment) should not be confused with nominal composition, as this is actually morphological derivation."
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Obscure sources do not hold the same weight as Merriam-Webster, a longstanding global authority on English words, including compound words, from their official website. "Joyful" is a compound word that qualifies under the APPLICABLE rules regarding compound words in the full rules relative to this specific market.
1
heywewq
8 months ago
FACT: "Joyful" is not a compound word! Please read this: https://ecampusontario.pressbooks.pub/greeklatinroots/chapter/%C2%A791-what-is-a-compound-word/#:~:text=In%20correct%20linguistic%20use%2C%20the,a%20compound%20have%20that%20capacity Someone with a large holding for "Yes" is desperately trying to find a source and is manipulating the meaning from some random blog post from Merriam Webster.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Merriam-Webster is a longstanding global authority on WORDS, including compound words! A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts...(Merriam-Webster). A compound word is comprised of parts, not necessarily two words glued together. It doesn't matter how previous markets were resolved. It's now time for Polymarket to get it right! It is quite clear and explicit that "joyful" is a compound word. "Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."..."Compounds formed by adding a suffix to a word are usually written solid (yellowish, characterless)..." (Merriam-Webster) https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
2
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
As per the APPLICABLE Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Kamala Harris said the compound word "joyful" in her speech. The definition of "joyful" according to Cambridge is "having or causing great happiness" The words "Jew", and "Jewish" are different, and do not conform to the rules above, as was incorrectly proposed by another comment in the Polymarket thread. https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
2
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
As per the APPLICABLE Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Kamala Harris said the compound word "joyful" in her speech.
0
JoyJoyJoyful
8 months ago
She did technically say joy.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Joyful is a compound word which conveys the meaning specified in the rules regarding compound words. Joyful is a compound word. It qualifies 100%.
3
epicRNG
8 months ago
She did not say "Joy", keep it simple. Joy and Joyful are two different words. You can make a market for Joyful and another one for Joyfully and another one for enjoy and so on.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
This market is simple. Joyful is a compound word that qualifies according to the section of the rules pertaining to compound words.
2
epicRNG
8 months ago
Fellas, ladies, let's keep these markets simple to what the majority of people expect form the title of the market. Sneaky rules that contradict the title of the market tun me off and causes many to feel scammed. Let's keep it simple and clear to the main point of the title of the market.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
@aenews2, You are incorrect.
0
Justifax
8 months ago
The point of mention markets is so people can trade them very fast and with very high confidence with little chance of dispute. If joyful was considered a valid word, it would open up dispute potential for pretty much everyword going forward. I mean, is pumpkin a compound word? Is operate? according to the govt it is.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
@BozoDubbedOver, high jump is a different word than either high and jump, respectively. What's your point? According to Merriam-Webster, a longstanding global authority on English words, including compound words, clearly states that "joyful" is, in FACT, a compound word.
0
JoyJoyJoyful
8 months ago
She did technically say joy.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
@BlueSky123, you're the one who hasn't carefully read the rules. "Joyful" qualifies as a compound word which conveys the meaning stipulated in the rule regarding compound words.
2
ohkeh
8 months ago
Intent is required to secure a conviction in Criminal Law. The logic is that punishment should not be passed on those who are associated without choice. Kamala chose to say joyful, with the intention of conveying its emotion and meaning. The technicalities and precedent that are being leaned on to justify a "no" are both illogical. Human error in establishing logical rules is the root to this dispute
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Read the rules. Compound words count. "Joyful" is a compound word according to Merriam-Webster, a longstanding global authority on English words, including compound words. global
4
epicRNG
8 months ago
Only Joy should count
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
That additional context box is factually incorrect, and points to the incorrect section of the rules.
0
Kaito
8 months ago
Polymarket added that additional context box so this market 99.9% resolve NO. I bought a dollar worth of YES tho lol
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
That's not true. Please learn to read English. From Merriam-Webster, "Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."
2
BlackSky123
8 months ago
According to your Merriam Webster definition, Jewish would count, you retard.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The "Additional context" clarification is clearly factually incorrect. Furthermore, it references the incorrect section of the rules pertaining to compound words, instead it points to the section pertaining to "Pluralization/possessive", which is deceptive. In regards to the clarification, "Joyous" is another form of "Joy". On the other hand, "Joyful" is a compound word, as per Merriam-Webster, a world authority on English words, including compound words. No one has yet to provide an authoritative source to the contrary. As per the applicable Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Kamala Harris said the compound word "joyful" in her speech. The words "Jew", and "Jewish" are different, and do not conform to the rules above, as was incorrectly proposed by another comment in the Polymarket thread. https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/spelling-using-compound-words-guide
6
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Correct! The About "Additional context" updated August 23, is actually false. The clarification is clearly factually incorrect. Furthermore, it references the incorrect section of the rules pertaining to compound words, instead it points to the section pertaining to "Pluralization/possessive", which is deceptive. In regards to the clarification, "Joyous" is another form of "Joy". On the other hand, "Joyful" is a compound word, as per Merriam-Webster, a world authority on English words, including compound words. As per the Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Kamala Harris said the compound word "joyful" in her speech.
1
JoyJoyJoyful
8 months ago
She did technically say joy.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
As per the Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Kamala Harris said the compound word "joyful" in her speech. The words "Jew" and "Jewish" are different.
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
Anyone contending that Joyful should be counted, while not reading that "Jewish" was specifically pointed out as a word that would not count for "Jew," and ignoring any standard definition for a compound word, as well as ignoring the precedent for the Obama hopeful market, deserves to lose all their money they put into buying yes or voting yes at UMA. The Merriam Webster definition they cite does not even refer to those words as "compound words," it just talks about how "compounds" can be formed. If they disagree, they should buy more YES, so us sane people can get some cheap no shares. I've sold here to make money on RFK, but this market truly tells you how stupid some people are. They will lose all their money, and they will deserve it.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Glad to see you finally making reference to Merriam-Webster. Now, all you have to do is read and figure it out.
0
BlackSky123
8 months ago
Anyone contending that Joyful should be counted, while not reading that "Jewish" was specifically pointed out as a word that would not count for "Jew," and ignoring any standard definition for a compound word, as well as ignoring the precedent for the Obama hopeful market, deserves to lose all their money they put into buying yes or voting yes at UMA. The Merriam Webster definition they cite does not even refer to those words as "compound words," it just talks about how "compounds" can be formed. If they disagree, they should buy more YES, so us sane people can get some cheap no shares. I've sold here to make money on RFK, but this market truly tells you how stupid some people are. They will lose all their money, and they will deserve it.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
It is quite clear and explicit that "joyful" is a compound word. "Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."..."Compounds formed by adding a suffix to a word are usually written solid (yellowish, characterless)..." (Mirriam-Webster)
1
BlackSky123
8 months ago
Anyone contending that Joyful should be counted, while not reading that "Jewish" was specifically pointed out as a word that would not count for "Jew," and ignoring any standard definition for a compound word, as well as ignoring the precedent for the Obama hopeful market, deserves to lose all their money they put into buying yes or voting yes at UMA. The Merriam Webster definition they cite does not even refer to those words as "compound words," it just talks about how "compounds" can be formed. If they disagree, they should buy more YES, so us sane people can get some cheap no shares. I've sold here to make money on RFK, but this market truly tells you how stupid some people are. They will lose all their money, and they will deserve it.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Chance??? Joyful is a compound word according to Mirriam-Webster, a world authority on English words, including compound words.
0
Sponge-Gatorade-Zyn
8 months ago
so you're saying theres a chance
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Mirriam-Webster is an authority on WORDS, including compound words! A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts...(Mirriam-Webster). A compound word is comprised of parts, not necessarily two words glued together. It doesn't matter how previous markets were resolved. It's now time for Polymarket to get it right!
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts...(Mirriam-Webster). Mirriam-Webster is an authority on WORDS, including compound words. A compound word is comprised of parts, not necessarily words.
0
Car
8 months ago
I get it now. Joyful isnt a compound word
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The information on UMA is false without any authoritative reference to what comprises a compound word. Mirriam-Webster is an authoritative source for words, including compound words. According to Mirriam-Webster "joyful" is a compound word, like "joyless".
0
factman
8 months ago
why do you all keep buying shares in this market? I am seriously perplexed by this
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Maybe because "Joyful" is a compound word, as per Mirriam-Webster. Joyful means full of joy with the full meaning of the word full. The antonym of joyful is "joyless", another compound word. "A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts that work together as a unit to express a specific concept."..."Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."..."Compounds formed by adding a suffix to a word are usually written solid (yellowish, characterless)..." (Mirriam-Webster) As per the Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness.
1
factman
8 months ago
why do you all keep buying shares in this market? I am seriously perplexed by this
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts... (Mirriam-Webster)
0
factman
8 months ago
Pumpkin kind of makes sense at least, both pump and kin are words. "ful" isn't however.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Strawman arguments are not authoritative, however Mirriam-Webster is. Was it you who wrote the false August 23rd "Additional context"? The clarification is clearly factually incorrect. Furthermore, it references the incorrect section of the rules pertaining to compound words.
1
Justifax
8 months ago
The point of mention markets is so people can trade them very fast and with very high confidence with little chance of dispute. If joyful was considered a valid word, it would open up dispute potential for pretty much everyword going forward. I mean, is pumpkin a compound word? Is operate? according to the govt it is.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The clarification is clearly factually incorrect. Furthermore, it references the incorrect section of the rules pertaining to compound words.
0
ANudeEgg
8 months ago
The clarification is perfectly fine. Weren't you just saying that the English language is not your strength? And yet you're somehow able to determine which side's argument is correct?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The About "Additional context" updated August 23, is actually false. "Joyous" is another form of "Joy". On the other hand, "Joyful" is a compound word, as per Mirriam-Webster. Joyful means full of joy with the full meaning of the word full. The antonym of joyful is "joyless", another compound word. "A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts that work together as a unit to express a specific concept."..."Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."..."Compounds formed by adding a suffix to a word are usually written solid (yellowish, characterless)..." (Mirriam-Webster) As per the Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness.
3
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Mirriam-Webster is authoritative.
1
ben291
8 months ago
Research paper from a random journal in 2016 vs Merriam Webster with Harvard Style Guide supporting, US govt style guide etc. More than enough credible sources to say that joyful IS a compound word
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The About "Additional context" updated August 23, is actually false. "Joyous" is another form of "Joy". On the other hand, "Joyful" is a compound word, as per Mirriam-Webster. Joyful means full of joy with the full meaning of the word full. The antonym of joyful is "joyless", another compound word. "A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts that work together as a unit to express a specific concept."..."Compounds—new, permanent, and temporary—are formed by adding word elements to existing words or by combining word elements. In English, there are three basic word elements: the prefix (such as anti-, non-, pre-, post-, re-, super-), the suffix (as -er, -ism, -ist, -less, -ful, -ness), and the combining form (mini-, macro-, pseudo-, -graphy, -logy)."..."Compounds formed by adding a suffix to a word are usually written solid (yellowish, characterless)..." (Mirriam-Webster) As per the Polymarket rules: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. Full of joy: "Joyful" is in fact a compound word which references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness.
2
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
The antonym of joyful is joyless--another compound word.
1
Car
8 months ago
I get it now. Joyful isnt a compound word
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Actually, it is.
2
Car
8 months ago
I get it now. Joyful isnt a compound word
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
From Mirriam-Webster: "A compound is a word or word group that consists of two or more parts that work together as a unit to express a specific concept. Examples are double-check, cost-effective, around-the-clock, hand-to-hand, forward-thinking, eyeliner, and iced tea. They might also be formed from prefixes or suffixes, as in ex-president, supermicro, presorted, shirtless, or unforgivable."
1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Full of joy: Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness.
1
2024 July hottest on record?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
I also bet Tim Walz Yes, and Shapiro No.
2
diddy
9 months ago
I am betting my rent money because this bama124 guy bet huge money on Tim Walz Yes, and Shapiro No. Who the fuck does that? He has some prediction abilities, I'll tell you that.
Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
Wasn't the Russia hoax also confirmed by the FBI?
0
rodentry105
9 months ago
maybe the PA voter registration where he's literally listed as a republican voter, confirmed by the FBI? lol
Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
The fact that the democrat mainstream media is silent on this means what???
1
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
What dirty trickster proposed a false outcome in the middle of the night while everyone who could rationally dispute was asleep??? What kind of dishonest person does that???
Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
What dirty trickster proposed a false outcome in the middle of the night while everyone who could rationally dispute was asleep??? What kind of dishonest person does that???
3
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
Once created, it will forever be referred to as a strategic Bitcoin stockpile, and strategic Bitcoin reserve interchangeably.
2
Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
His most recent action was that he shot to kill the leading Republican. That would pretty much demonstrate that he is not in support of the Republican cause or its best interests.
4
raspberry17
9 months ago
I bought a few shares just to see how this plays out. I am baffled by the logic behind many comments here. The rules say the most recent action is decisive. That seems to be to register as republican. Whatever he did before then should be irrelevant. 50/50 makes no sense, the rules mention that outcome if there is no relevant info, which is clearly not the case
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
A strategic stockpile of oil is litterally a strategic oil reserve.
0
GrannyWeatherwax
9 months ago
there is nothing in this speech that hints at any kind of STRATEGIC reserve, like the strategic oil reserve. this should resolve to a no.
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
US strategic reserve is NOT in quotations. A stockpile is a reserve.
0
temporaryname
9 months ago
He did not mention the word reserve. The rules clearly state "will create a US strategic reserve of Bitcoin". Keyword : Reserve. He said stockpile.
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
Newsflash! "Piers Morgan Urges Biden to Resign on Fox, Says US Looks Like ‘Most Politically Dysfunctional Country in the World’ with ‘Two Presidents’"
0
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
It's about inscibing the first female black president into the history books. Kamala was looking overly happy and overly presidential at her rally.
1
ErrantSloth
9 months ago
Biden looking pretty spry - ya really think he's resigning within a week? No chance https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFYMp-sZ_G4
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle said she wouldn't resign... and then she resigned. Biden is directly implicated in denying RFK secret service protection.
1
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
Didn't Biden say if he got sick he would resign?
0
Zetax
9 months ago
You will find out he died or was in a coma, after the election. As it will completely demoralize the left.
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
Also, the move would avoid what all agree will be a disaster at the upcoming convention. The odds here are great!
0
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
The Atlantic, the voice of the big international bosses, has called for Biden to resign. And now The Hill has published a piece encouraging the same. Major pressure is now on for Biden to resign. It could come any time now!!! Besides, it's the best strategic move the Dems could ever make to promote the 1st black female president in history! This way, they secure the black vote for generations to come.
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
HsB34sgg
9 months ago
The Atlantic, the voice of the big international bosses, has called for Biden to resign. And now The Hill has published a piece encouraging the same. Major pressure is now on for Biden to resign. It could come any time now!!! Besides, it's the best strategic move the Dems could ever make to promote the 1st black female president in history! This way, they secure the black vote for generations to come.
0
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
HsB34sgg
10 months ago
1ST BLACK FEMALE PRESIDENT!!!! HERE WE GOOOOOOOOOO!!!
0
Donkov
10 months ago
His campaign cited polling data as the reason. Its obvious because he is senile but dropping from the run is enough humiliation for both him and his party. Dems know they lose the presidency this cycle. This is about the House and Senate.
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
HsB34sgg
10 months ago
Not at all! The Dems need something big to beat or disrupt Trump and the Republicans after the attempt.
3
Master-bettor
10 months ago
delusional
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
HsB34sgg
10 months ago
Should Biden resign, making Harris President now, it would be the greatest thing the Democrats could do to solidify the black vote in perpetuity!
5
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
HsB34sgg
10 months ago
Perfect time for the Dems to push biden to resign, under threat of 25th Amendment, to make Kamala the 1st black female president in history.
1