#29
Rank
991
Comments
334
Likes Received
159
Likes Given
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Dude, relax and read up on UN Security Council Resolution 1701. The ENTIRE world has known about for roughly 18 years. Kevin at UMA is a moron playing with an Easy Bake oven. Whoever created this market is as numb as those who fixed the September Invade market. https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september
NothingEverHappens
4 months ago
The jews can't cuck out if else they will become an eternal laughing stock among all of the armies arround the world. The only way out for Israel is to escalate and drag USA into a war against the shiite axis (Iran included).
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hey, you're mean. I'm just paraphrasing what master Domer/JustsKam said to fix yet another market using sKamGPT and his influence over at UMA!
Upway
4 months ago
why would they withdraw their troops, lol
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Why.., it was just a quick "in and out" in the first place. Just ask Domer/JustsKam. All you have to do is search the entire internet for "in and out". It's a synonym for "limited incursion" don’t you know! It would most certainly never be indicative of the commencement of a military offensive. Besides, in state warfare, it’s the kids with boots who call the shots, not the president or prime minister. PM Domer/JustsKam clownworld.
Upway
4 months ago
why would they withdraw their troops, lol
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Whoever created this market is as numb as those who fixed the September Invade market. https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Please reach out @katiasantos6330
mona.lisa
4 months ago
https://x.com/primo_data/status/1843284148649406842?s=46&t=sEhIeX3cwuO-BwyUSt3igA Kevin chan fixed the outcome
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels its criminal. They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. Please contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Do NOT claim worthless tokens. PRESERVE THE RECORD!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
How about, "Do Jews rule Congress?"
PolyRig-Fried
4 months ago
New market: Are Kevin Chan and Shayne Coplan philantropists? Wonder what the UMA outcome will be :P
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels its criminal. They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. Please contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Do NOT claim worthless tokens. PRESERVE THE RECORD! Anyone who scares you into silence... think.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
For access to more data, join the discussion @katiasantos6330
n/a
4 months ago
Polymarket HAS to take action. This was a clearly manipulated voting, any unbiased arbitrator would resolve this to Yes or to 50/50 in the worst case. The group of 2-5 people that control most of the votes at UMA colluded to vote No and then continually sold Yes in the market. This goes against everything that Polymarket should stand for. I will not remained with my arms crossed and will take it to the last consequences legally and publicly with the media. Polymarket needs to step up and defend its good faith customers that where blatantly scammed. Even the No holders mock saying they bought because they know how rigged was the market, not because there was any proof backing that position. Polymarket needs to intervene or this will have long term consequences, do what is right! That’s how you build a trusted and successful company!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Do not claim worthless tokens. Preserve the record.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Sincerely, please hit me up on Discord @katiasantos6330
Cryptonord
4 months ago
@shayne_coplan Tweet out to him
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Please hit me up on Discord @katiasantos6330
Phoenix777
4 months ago
this just isn't right!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hit me up on Discord @katiasantos6330
PolyRig-Fried
4 months ago
@YES gang, all you need to know, report the riggers: https://trustpilot.com/review/polymarket.com - https://dump.li/image/get/6f2fe16696f52436.png - https://dune.com/primo_data/uma-voter-polymarket-disputes?market_tc8b8e=Will+Israel+invade+Lebanon+in+September%3F&time_td376e=1728001850 - https://x.com/kevinchan2020/status/1839522928565912048 - https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22 - https://forms.cftc.gov/Forms/Complaint/Screen1
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hmm... By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Where are you getting this "more forcefully" theory? SKamGPT?
🤺JustPunched
4 months ago
The UN peacekeepers, one of the neutral parties in this conflict, said on October 1st that they had not seen an invasion, and then on Wednesday October 2nd, they indicated that they had seen one.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I'm sure UN peacekeepers were camping out in the bushes watching the invasion point. lol
🤺JustPunched
4 months ago
The UN peacekeepers, one of the neutral parties in this conflict, said on October 1st that they had not seen an invasion, and then on Wednesday October 2nd, they indicated that they had seen one.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
And the commencement happened before that. Troops don't move without the sayso of the upper brass.
zynyz
4 months ago
"Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" Resolved Yes
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It's just a public safety issue during crises when PM promises that it can be better than the news. It's a public danger. (Read promise top of page.)
McLarry
4 months ago
It's so funny! Everyone who hears about UMA for the first time immediately thinks, 'LOL, what if a few whales just control everything while making some nice money?' And that's exactly it! LOL. It's actually not that sophisticated when you think about it
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Can boots on the ground commence a military offensive whenever they want, or are military chains of command tight?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
In a modern democracy, who has the power to commence a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any country? Is it the president, the prime minister, the secretary of state, the security council, or the soldiers on the ground? https://english.news.cn/20241001/e1be7740b8b94511af387a22a5e12e4c/c.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
In a modern democracy, who has the power to commence a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any country? Is it the president, the prime minister, the secretary of state, the security council, or the soldiers on the ground? https://english.news.cn/20241001/e1be7740b8b94511af387a22a5e12e4c/c.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels its criminal. They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger.
HaterzLoserz
4 months ago
The way UMA is designed and distributed right now makes for a very toxic system as far as I can see. The main bulk consists of UMA team members who vote with enough tokens to achieve Quorum on all disputes. Then, the main incentive to purchase large amounts of UMA outside of that actually comes from traders + arbers who want to manipulate the dispute mechanism to trade in and out of positions during the dispute or arb the final decision. This makes for a very unhealthy system where the incentive does not always amount to the most objective truth imo. Mechanisms like the reveal period, incentivise Whales not to reveal their side of the vote to supress the price and buy up more tokens for the side they think will win for example. Between the core tokens being held by 2-3 people, and this attraction of actors who seek to profit from the dispute mechanism, lack of transparency and timely visibility on whose voting unless you run a node and can code Dune requests. Its just a terrible look for any new user who gets involved in a dispute like this and encounters the process. Should be very high on Poly's to do list after the election, Polytoken and use it for their own system thats much improved. Just an analysis of the current system and its flaws, i dont necessarily want to revert this decision or anything, it is what it is.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Guys, hit me up on Discord @katiasantos6330
PolyRig-Fried
4 months ago
@Chad and the Yes holders: if you need a name and a face, Kevin Chan of UMA voted NO with 32.5% of all shares. I wonder if this constitutes fraud in the US, since he's gaining financial incentive from voting on false outcomes. Interestingly, Pablo Maldonado of UMA voted No, but he has only has 3.3% of all shares. Source: https://dune.com/primo_data/uma-voter-polymarket-disputes?market_tc8b8e=Will+Israel+invade+Lebanon+in+September%3F&time_td376e=1728001850
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
A good angle for that article is the failure of prediction markets (read top of market page Re: Polym based
n/a
4 months ago
"In accordance with the decision of the political echelon, a few hours ago, the IDF began limited, localized, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence against Hezbollah terrorist targets and infrastructure in southern Lebanon. These targets are located in villages close to the border and pose an immediate threat to Israeli communities in northern Israel. The IDF is operating according to a methodical plan set out by the General Staff and the Northern Command which IDF soldiers have trained and prepared for in recent months. The Israeli Air Force and IDF Artillery are supporting the ground forces with precise strikes on military targets in the area. These operations were approved and carried out in accordance with the decision of the political echelon. Operation “Northern Arrows” will continue according to the situational assessment and in parallel to combat in Gaza and in other arenas. The IDF is continuing to operate to achieve the goals of the war and is doing everything necessary to defend the citizens of Israel and return the citizens of northern Israel to their homes."
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
n/a
4 months ago
"In accordance with the decision of the political echelon, a few hours ago, the IDF began limited, localized, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence against Hezbollah terrorist targets and infrastructure in southern Lebanon. These targets are located in villages close to the border and pose an immediate threat to Israeli communities in northern Israel. The IDF is operating according to a methodical plan set out by the General Staff and the Northern Command which IDF soldiers have trained and prepared for in recent months. The Israeli Air Force and IDF Artillery are supporting the ground forces with precise strikes on military targets in the area. These operations were approved and carried out in accordance with the decision of the political echelon. Operation “Northern Arrows” will continue according to the situational assessment and in parallel to combat in Gaza and in other arenas. The IDF is continuing to operate to achieve the goals of the war and is doing everything necessary to defend the citizens of Israel and return the citizens of northern Israel to their homes."
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Actual boots on the ground would follow those order then, right?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
In a modern democracy, who has the power to commence a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any country? Is it the president, the prime minister, the secretary of state, the security council, or the soldiers on the ground? https://english.news.cn/20241001/e1be7740b8b94511af387a22a5e12e4c/c.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hey Domer, maybe you can do a cursory Google search to verify it's not AI generated.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The new song I call the Domer song, and not AI generated. Brought to you by human search intelligence, ME, right down to the fishing and florescence. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The new song I call the Domer song, and not AI generated. Brought to you by human search intelligence, ME, right down to the fishing and florescence. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The new song I call the Domer song, and not AI generated. Brought to you by human search intelligence, ME, right down to the fishing and florescence. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket! https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You can find a version of the above message that corresponds to the timestamp way down below in this PM feed reporting news report, after news report, in real-time.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Isn't it nice for the world to have UMA who only takes a week to prove that all the major news networks, the Israeli government, and the IDF are all liars? By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Isn't it nice for the world to have UMA who only takes a week to prove that all the major news networks, the Israeli government, and the IDF are all liars? By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You offend everyone.
mr.ozi
4 months ago
At least I don't go around offending everyone that doesn't agree with my perspective.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Last time the chart went up it just came down. Chart experts draw a line from the two bottom points to now.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I hope this goes right but UMA always changes it. Maybe 65% chance No outcome? That's why only small bet with my small account, not big one.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
All the P1 No voters that argue "We know in happened Oct. 1, so nothing happened Sept. 30th" are from those in advanced time zones ahead of ET. So, for them it did happed on Oct. 1, only they forgot to convert to ET. Oopsie!!!
PolyRig-Fried
4 months ago
You know, it just might be Domer's FUD. 62% of the market agree with the semantics. Only UMA can twist the semantics.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I'm going to call this the Domer song from now on! Down to the fluorescence, and not AI generated! Human search intelligence!!! MINE!!!! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Scroll ALL the way down this PM feed to the relative time stamped in the message above. You'll find a matching version.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
And they kept going house to house and holding ground, in and in. https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
PolyRig-Fried
4 months ago
What do you guys think about Hart Lambur & Kevin Chan from UMA if they find out that domah will manipulate the market? Happy or unhappy? Let them know on X: https://x.com/kevinchan2020 and https://x.com/hal2001/status/1793752920799990092
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Dear Kobafix, you're really not helping your case either. Noted.
PolyRig-Fried
4 months ago
What do you guys think about Hart Lambur & Kevin Chan from UMA if they find out that domah will manipulate the market? Happy or unhappy? Let them know on X: https://x.com/kevinchan2020 and https://x.com/hal2001/status/1793752920799990092
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Public danger! Read PolyMarket's promise top of this market page. If someone in future is unknowingly in imminent danger, and checks to find something similar as what happened here through market manipulation and tricks, people could get hurt.
PolyRig-Fried
4 months ago
What do you guys think about Hart Lambur & Kevin Chan from UMA if they find out that domah will manipulate the market? Happy or unhappy? Let them know on X: https://x.com/kevinchan2020 and https://x.com/hal2001/status/1793752920799990092
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
UMA banned me and deleted ALL my posts from 8/28 onward. I kinda wonder at who's request, even tangentially.
PolyRig-Fried
4 months ago
What do you guys think about Hart Lambur & Kevin Chan from UMA if they find out that domah will manipulate the market? Happy or unhappy? Let them know on X: https://x.com/kevinchan2020 and https://x.com/hal2001/status/1793752920799990092
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
This one's for our little buddy Domer. We know what you did. We all saw it. Bad Domer! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/
Carlossss
4 months ago
https://www.un.org/en/lebanon-crisis-un-launches-426-million-aid-appeal-%E2%80%98limited%E2%80%99-israeli-ground-incursion-underway
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
But of course, that was then. These days, they signal elite divisions to penetrate deeper, and deeper, and deeper until the rat holes are obliterated? So, I ask you which you prefer? Modern and tactical, or Biblical for all time?
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
until the cliff comes at 02:00AM
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Will that be a light lunch same as last night? Or, pizza delivery? I'm not sure which one I prefer at the moment. At least I know from old stories that the riders come at dawn to disinfect. You know what they say about sunlight!
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
until the cliff comes at 02:00AM
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Your manipulations of the facts to force your own personal desired outcomes don't work on sophisticated people. You're like a child trying to teach his father about history.
🤺JustPunched
4 months ago
I've only posted my evidence a zillion times that the UN peacekeepers (a neutral party with no incentive to lie) said there had not been an invasion yet on October 1st. This is in addition to Lebanon, the IDF, and the US State Department. And it would be in line with a vote that ALREADY HAPPENED in UMA court. The price is at 63c right now. If Yes loses (and I don't think its a guarantee that it does!), then there is nobody to blame but your own stubbornness.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I think people need to understand. Israel has no reason to lie to their own people, ESPECIALLY DURING WAR. Israel's main concern is for the safety of it's own people, but they also let wounded enemy fighters into their hospitals to see the best doctors. The Jewish people are very good at medicine. https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Yodelayheehoo!!! Time for a nice relaxing hike up the mountain.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I'll buy you a cupcake, Cupcake.
Reaper01
4 months ago
Yes guys, would you buy me groceries for my donation?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It's pathological. So much so, he thinks that just showing up to say hello will move the market. His reputation is toasl!
McLarry
4 months ago
Being the Commander-in-Chief of a scam and calling yourself a do-gooder is crazy
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Read the PolyMarket promise top of page.
Carlossss
4 months ago
this is an obvious YES, why is 67%???
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
@doglover69 Right!? A week to resolve an earth shaking event starting Sept. 30th. This has real-world public safety implications.
Carlossss
4 months ago
this is an obvious YES, why is 67%???
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The riders come at dawn... To disinfect!
carp
4 months ago
We live in a twilight world, and there are no friends at dusk.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Wake up!!! Nobody here believes your garbage "research". See why I put research in quotations?
LangdonBonaparte
4 months ago
In the history books the start of invasions are always marked as when large conventional forces enter the territory. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im Small raids by special forces never count towards that. There were no clashes between Israeli forces and Hezbollah in September ET time and there were never any large conventional forces in Lebanon in September ET time.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
@Cheerful... What?
Donkov
4 months ago
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive ..." Keyword commences. November resolving to YES and IDF saying Sept 30 is the start of the ground offensive of Northern arrows op makes it a pretty clear YES. https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
@ Donkov OKAY, let's compare. Israel sent in Division 98 into Gaza first. How's Gaza looking now?
LangdonBonaparte
4 months ago
Almost always before an invasion there are operations by small special forces, they do not count towards the start of the invasion! Look of a few examples. Iraq, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im . The invasion of Lebanon 2024 started on October 2th. This is not a market on whether israeli forces invades Lebanon. It's if they did it before October.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
And many more, division after division, followed IN and IN afterwards once the elite Division 98 cleared the way. Stop inventing stuff in your silly little mind.
LangdonBonaparte
4 months ago
Almost always before an invasion there are operations by small special forces, they do not count towards the start of the invasion! Look of a few examples. Iraq, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im . The invasion of Lebanon 2024 started on October 2th. This is not a market on whether israeli forces invades Lebanon. It's if they did it before October.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
How about we look at the CURRENT example in reality! Israel sent in one of their most elite strike forces! IDF 98th Division https://israelradar.com/idf-98th-division-israels-primary-strike-force/
LangdonBonaparte
4 months ago
Almost always before an invasion there are operations by small special forces, they do not count towards the start of the invasion! Look of a few examples. Iraq, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im . The invasion of Lebanon 2024 started on October 2th. This is not a market on whether israeli forces invades Lebanon. It's if they did it before October.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Please tell me in what war in history did they go in and out, and in and out on day one.
Tenebrus7
4 months ago
If October would not have happend September would not be N invasion, so how can September by itself be an invasion. We will see shortly, in case No loses people will be quiet - in case yes loses, people gonna spam the comment section how unfair it is.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Where are you getting this "in and out" BS? They go house to house clearing threats inwards, onwards, and forwards. Whoever told you "in and out" was lying to you so you stupidly buy shares. Oopsie!!!
Tenebrus7
4 months ago
If October would not have happend September would not be N invasion, so how can September by itself be an invasion. We will see shortly, in case No loses people will be quiet - in case yes loses, people gonna spam the comment section how unfair it is.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Gauth is correct. The difference is that Israel wasn't invited in by Lebanon. When someone goes into a home uninvited, they invade. When someone comes to close too you unwantedly, they invade your space. Stop the bullshit.
LangdonBonaparte
4 months ago
A very good comparison for this market is the D-Day invasion. On the night before the invasion thousands of paratroopers were dropped over France. They are not counted as the first invasion force nor is D-Day referred to have started on June 5th, even though there were special operations taking place throughout Normandy on that date. Special operations, BEFORE the conventional forces, are never part of the invasion force and the invasion force marks the start of the invasion. This is simple! Same with German special ops into Poland at the start of WW2, a false flag operation. They do not mark the start of the invasion. Nothing has changed here. I can't possible see how UMA goes from P4 to P2. Sorry. Best case scenario for Yes-holders is a 50-50, which I see as more likely.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I'll invite the IDF girls to watch.
Donkov
4 months ago
Tie me to a missile and fire it at UMA. I am ready
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
:)
HaterzLoserz
4 months ago
Im back to the 70k shares i had before Sept30th ;)
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You don't sayyyyy... Hahahaha!
tsybka
4 months ago
i'm a tsybka and i say it will resolve no
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
@Brokie You misspelled "smartass". Car is a dumper. He's trying to sell you NOs.
Car
4 months ago
i'm a jew and i say it will resolve no
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Listen to the Jewish experts here guys and save your money. Don't be fooled by people trying to trick you to buy the No side.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It already is!
TooDumbToWin
4 months ago
don't waste your time, in a few hours the truth should be reestablished
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Yodelayheehoo!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Why isn't the chart going up? Why we can't go higher? It's gonna fall?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Read and learn scammers!!! They had to make a meeting so Israel did "targeted raids" on Sept. 30! https://unifil.unmissions.org/unifil-statement-1-october-2024
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
DON'T EVEN TRY!!!!
fafafafafafafafafafafafafaffafafafa
4 months ago
How many more times can we flip the market? I think we should aim for 5 or 6 total flips. We can do it!!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Guys!!! The Yes is going down. Stop scamming!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
But they have proof Oct 1.
TooDumbToWin
4 months ago
in the history books it will be written that the invasion began on the night of the 30th to the 1st (so the 30th at the time indicated by the market) to say that the invasion did not arrive at that time is now completely absurd! People talk about scam if the market resolves with YES but that is what happened! so continuing to advocate no without any logic hoping for a scam on your side is rejecting the entire integrity of this site on which you bet thousands of euros for some! it is distressing
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You've got to be kidding me! WHAT THE HELL!!!! I went to place a limit order, but it automatically switched to a market buy for 91 NO, so I tried to flip it, and it happened again. FINALLY, I was able to fix the problem an ended up with 48. I'm exhausted from all of this! I'm out!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Pathetic! DUHmer.
McLarry
4 months ago
Domer's latest take is that Chad is single-handedly carrying the market and is essentially a confused loner. His emergency tweet at the beginning of the vote. This man is hardly surpassable in terms of embarrassment.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You've got to be kidding me! WHAT THE HELL!!!! I went to place a limit order, but it automatically switched to a market buy for 91 NO, so I tried to flip it, and it happened again. FINALLY, I was able to fix the problem an ended up with 48. I'm exhausted from all of this! I'm out! Good luck ya/nos!!! I'll be back to watch the resolution. That's it.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
They might take this down to 55. Guys!!! Please!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I have ABSOLUTELY no idea what's going to happen at UMA. They say majority was P4, so that means it has to go P1 No now. WTH!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I have ABSOLUTELY no idea what's going to happen at UMA. They say majority was P4, so that means it has to go P1 No now. WTH!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Where's my Subzero at? I got banned by UMA, so Katia can't defend from the scammers any more. They're going to take control over the chat now! Some of them are saying we know it happened on Oct. 1, so Sept. 30 nothing happened. Is that true? Is that what they are saying?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
WHAT THE HELL!!!! I went to place a limit order, but it automatically switched to a market buy for 91 NO, so I tried to flip it, and it happened again. FINALLY, I was able to fix the problem an ended up with 48 shares. I'm exhausted from all of this! I'm out! Good luck ya/nos!!! I'll be back to watch the resolution. That's it.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Exactly!
sol44
4 months ago
he will win , because izrael did not invade , its october , we knew what happened in september
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Isn't beautiful? So exotic!
DFK
4 months ago
I can almost hear the accent.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It's a Jewish holiday, so no invasion.
sol44
4 months ago
today we have october , so we know that izrael did not invade to lebanon in september, so how come is possible still betting on NO option and grab free money ?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Love, love, love!
TheGoober
4 months ago
chad is such a beautiful man no homo
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
THIS IS SPARTA!!!!!!!!
PleaseBeStupid
4 months ago
Justice forces
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I salute you!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Last vote was majority P4 "wait and see" (manipulate), so logically it has to resolve to P1 No, like every other time everyone is used to, right? lol BURN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Besh24
4 months ago
Hang in ur telling me nov market is 100%… but the invasion happened in Sep… and we arnt at 100% here
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Fill in the blanks? Was it a "happening"?
Besh24
4 months ago
Hang in ur telling me nov market is 100%… but the invasion happened in Sep… and we arnt at 100% here
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
He's clearly one of the main culprits in this dispute.
PleaseBeStupid
4 months ago
JustKen: “I don’t like to have any shares during the UMA vote dude” —- Buys 25k more shares.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
What on earth could possibly be your point?
Car
4 months ago
this market is about SEPTEMBER. duh
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
o.01% NO
BibiNetanCocksucker
4 months ago
november voting is over no?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
93.71% YES
BibiNetanCocksucker
4 months ago
november voting is over no?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
82.1% reporting.
BibiNetanCocksucker
4 months ago
november voting is over no?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It's a close one!!!!
BibiNetanCocksucker
4 months ago
november voting is over no?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people who engaged in criminal market fixing here are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people who engaged in criminal market fixing here are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people who engaged in criminal market fixing here are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. UNLEASH THE HOUNDS!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
In fact, it's disgusting. The reason why you see the terms "incursion", "limited", "operation" often in quotations is because they are euphemisms to calm the wider audience, so we don't have a stampede on our hands and a greater humanitarian disaster. MY GOD!!!! You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world event. Imagine sitting in your home while special ops units backed up by tank roll by your yard, and get engaged by enemy fire.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The fact this market was even disputed in the first place is disgraceful!!! We're talking about a large scale event of international proportions on the world stage. It happened. Israel invaded Lebanon on Sept. 30th. Using semantical arguments to manipulate this market page and chart is preposterous!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Luckily, I am a geopolitical expert, and can see through their ridiculous semantical manipulations with X-ray glasses.
TooDumbToWin
4 months ago
no evidence is provided to support the no supporters (we only see "I think" "I find" as if they were geopolitical experts) while many are for the yes but I have the impression that more people in favor of the no are expressing their opinions, I hope that this will not hide the truth
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The fact this market was even disputed in the first place is disgraceful!!! We're talking about a large scale event of international proportions on the world stage. It happened. Israel invaded Lebanon on Sept. 30th. Using semantical arguments to manipulate this market page and chart is preposterous!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It's quite concise, well written, and based on facts supported by relevant sources. I'm actually quite impressed!
PolyRig-Fried
4 months ago
50pence1826 2024-10-04, 4:14 PM P2 Yes A consensus of reporting is referring to the larger operation as an invasion. The market states it will resolve "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive. " Commence" does not require the full deployment of a massive force; it simply requires the beginning of a military operation. The operation to invade Lebanon began the night of the 30th after it was authorized by the cabinet and the 1st troops entered Lebanon. https://x.com/nytimes/status/1841027784530911493 https://x.com/Reuters/status/1840938872055697838 https://x.com/washingtonpost/status/1840895921464226061 https://x.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1841025054609469507 https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/1840857676781080600 https://x.com/FoxNews/status/1840780792089235835
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Gotta click the "Read Full Story" button here, https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/flashpoints-of-lebanon-invasion-israel-hezbollah-un-drawn-border-river-violated-buffer-zone-2609602-2024-10-01
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Sept. 30th, local confirmations from inside Lebanon of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” were blowing up. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032 Bombed https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840758553016942887
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
IDF https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776 IDF Raid https://x.com/ELINTNews/status/1841089759898149203 IDF https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776 IDF https://x.com/idf/status/1841506768364466419 IDF https://x.com/idf/status/1841093834253480321 IDF https://x.com/IDF/status/1841205620709503051
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an invasion! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Man, you come up with some good stuff! I'm here with stull like, Car's analyst, "YOU'RE FIRED"! lol
McLarry
4 months ago
Did you know that Car spends all day pissing in bottles and sitting at his computer waiting for news pop-ups to buy up outdated limit orders? Otherwise he has creative bets like “will bitcoin reach 250k”, which bring him a whole 8% apy. Cynics would say he might as well leave it alone and put his money in the S&P500, but what do they know.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Sept. 30th, local confirmations from inside Lebanon of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” were blowing up. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
THIS IS SPARTA!!!!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
DUH DATA ANALYST!!! YOU'RE FIRED!!!!
Car
4 months ago
YES gang should reconsider their betting strategies
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
OMG!!! The above article may have been borne out by the current facts. I hate reading about the loss of human life. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/1/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israelis-launch-ground-operation-in-lebanon "“It is not what the Israelis are telling us. From open source [intelligence], we understand that the Israelis have prepared at least 18 brigades. So we are talking about between 70,000 and 100,000 soldiers,” Magnier told Al Jazeera."
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/1/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israelis-launch-ground-operation-in-lebanon "“It is not what the Israelis are telling us. From open source [intelligence], we understand that the Israelis have prepared at least 18 brigades. So we are talking about between 70,000 and 100,000 soldiers,” Magnier told Al Jazeera."
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
At this stage, it's looking more and more criminal, in fact.
BigMike11
4 months ago
Look, pumping the No price rather than making sound arguments is a strategy. But, maybe not the best one?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Nice try DUH, DUHMER (JustsKam), and DUHMERER crew. You're all unsophisticated.
Car
4 months ago
YES gang should reconsider their betting strategies
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
Wook-Capital-Fund-I
4 months ago
I don’t understand the No argument. 1. Nov resolve to Yes. 2. Dozens reports say it started Sept. 3. Criteria is “intend to establish control”.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
BECAUSE THIS!!! Enter Sept. UNANIOUS YES!!!
Wook-Capital-Fund-I
4 months ago
I don’t understand the No argument. 1. Nov resolve to Yes. 2. Dozens reports say it started Sept. 3. Criteria is “intend to establish control”.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Israel sent in one of their most elite strike forces! IDF 98th Division https://israelradar.com/idf-98th-division-israels-primary-strike-force/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
@rizi, Still pumping the old quick "in and out" fantasy? lol
McLarry
4 months ago
On 1 October 2024, Israel began an invasion of southern Lebanon in an escalation of the ongoing Israel–Hezbollah conflict, a result of the spillover of the Israel–Hamas war. It followed a series of major attacks on Hezbollah in September that degraded its capabilities[31][32] and devastated its leadership;[33][34] beginning with the explosions of its communication devices,[35][36] followed by an Israeli aerial bombing campaign targeting Hezbollah throughout Lebanon,[37] and culminating in the 27 September assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.[38][39]
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
WIKIPEDIA!!! The #2 best friend of criminal con men market fixing manipulators after ChatGPT!!!!
McLarry
4 months ago
On 1 October 2024, Israel began an invasion of southern Lebanon in an escalation of the ongoing Israel–Hezbollah conflict, a result of the spillover of the Israel–Hamas war. It followed a series of major attacks on Hezbollah in September that degraded its capabilities[31][32] and devastated its leadership;[33][34] beginning with the explosions of its communication devices,[35][36] followed by an Israeli aerial bombing campaign targeting Hezbollah throughout Lebanon,[37] and culminating in the 27 September assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.[38][39]
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Sept. 30th
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Dump half your bags already??? Go easier on youself and make it quick.
Car
4 months ago
I think UMA voters will use common sense and resolve September to NO and November to YES. Everyone who is here for a bit longer knows that deadlines exist for a reason and we cant use event past deadline to resolve a market. We use those events to resolve the NEXT market, which is November market in this case
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html
Car
4 months ago
"Enter" and "Invade" are 2 markets with completely different rules. The rules for this "Invade" market were not satisfied at the time of the proposal before the deadline. That is why it went to P4. Whatever happens after the deadline, should obviously not be considered. Even if you want to consider the new evidence from October, there is still no "Intent to establish control over any portion of Lebanon".
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It kinda shoots a head sized hole through the old tried and tired "limited", just a quick "in and out" argument.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Results speak for themselves. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Where is Dometurd? I've got a new song for him. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSEhgxihjm4
sigh
4 months ago
Interesting market. Will Domer's Schelling point hold against the self-fulfilling YES push?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Results speak for themselves. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
How can you tell??? Hahahaha!!!
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 months ago
Car bought 1,000 No at 41.0¢ ($410)
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
EXACTLY!!!!
cooker
4 months ago
Don't trust - verify it happened
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Also see here, https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Sept. 30th, local confirmations from inside Lebanon of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” were blowing up. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hasn't Car scammed like this on 100 different markets? Makes arguments so he can dump his losing hand?
Car
4 months ago
UMA is not voting in favor of scams. Because that would make UMA itself a scam.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Maybe they can have a look at the UMA evidence-rationale section for this market for reference. https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
DonaldinhoTrumpito
4 months ago
So let’s assume Yes wins in the November market, as it’s overwhelmingly doing it right now (currently 91/9). It means there is indeed an invasion with intent of control. Is there any No September defender who can tell us when this invasion started in their view?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
THIS IS SPARTA!!!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Why are you selling???????????????????
Secret14thKey
4 months ago
here
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Just some fun light reading here, https://www.choosingtherapy.com/malignant-narcissist/
🤺JustPunched
4 months ago
If Chad wasn't distorting the price, where would this be trading, 8c?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
But then Domer switched to his old faithful market fixing tool, ChatGPT! Hahaha!!!
Justifax
4 months ago
Domer said it best: if and when ISRAEL INVADES LEBANON, it will be one of the biggest world events and will be covered extensively https://imgur.com/a/Sx0aROP https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/817444472009785366/1214070542458560562
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The world is watching the biggest news of the year!
zynyz
4 months ago
Your right but not relevant to how the market will resolve, its a scam
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
JustKen JustSold 7,000 shares without telling his friends.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an invasion! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." Notice the word "Yesterday". People here can do math, right? https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
This information, plus all the actual corresponding links can be found there. Everyone has had days to do their own research. Ignorance is no longer an excuse.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Scroll down in this PM chat to that exact relevant time. You will find the above message there, too. Everything was known then, as it is now. This market is 100% Yes.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Scroll down in this PM chat to that exact relevant time. You will find the above message there, too. Everything was known then, as it is now. This market is 100% Yes.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I'm a little suspicious, but I'm kinda leaning towards clown.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Are you from the UN Security Council, the world's #1 authority on international wars in the known UNIVERSE??? Or, just an unsophisticated, uneducated clown?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Are you from the UN Security Council, the world's #1 authority on international wars in the known UNIVERSE??? Or, just an unsophisticated, uneducated clown?
bigbetsbigwins
4 months ago
No 100%
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The humiliating truth about UMA is that it's not the first time UMA's claim of having designed a "Decentralized Truth Oracle" has been b-slapped by greedy smarmy money driven criminal market fixer(s). If I was UMA, I would be embarrassed!
zynyz
4 months ago
Ground truth is 100% irrelevant. UMA "truth oracle" self acknowledge method of resolving markets is by playing a liars strategy game and trying to scam each other and polymarkets new users https://i.imgur.com/ohtkV6N.png https://i.imgur.com/ohtkV6N.png
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
All of the WORLD'S #1 SOURCES ALL AGREE %100 that Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over a portion of Lebanon on September 30th. This market is 100% YES!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The WORLD'S #1 SOURCES ALL AGREE %100
ncap
4 months ago
,,YES" will win, so many sources point in this direction!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
FP (Foreign Policy) clearly explains Israel’s INTENT for commencing a military offensive to control an area of Lebanon—UN Security Council 1701! The ENTIRE WORLD has known about it for YEARS!!! https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/02/un-resolution-1701-israel-lebanon-iran-conflict/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
If you bet on wars, you should understand context.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
If you bet on wars, you should understand context.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! FP (Foreign Policy) clearly explains Israel’s INTENT for commencing a military offensive to control an area of Lebanon—UN Security Council 1701! The ENTIRE WORLD has known about it for YEARS!!! https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/02/un-resolution-1701-israel-lebanon-iran-conflict/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! FP (Foreign Policy) clearly explains Israel’s INTENT for commencing a military offensive to control an area of Lebanon—UN Security Council 1701! The ENTIRE WORLD has known about it for YEARS!!! https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/02/un-resolution-1701-israel-lebanon-iran-conflict/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Keep talking. :)
Tenebrus7
4 months ago
Spending so much time for 346 yes shares, must be a sad life, the time put in could easily make you more working stocking shelves:D
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
What is the ZONE Israel INTENDS to empty of Hezbollah??? There are pictures in here! https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/flashpoints-of-lebanon-invasion-israel-hezbollah-un-drawn-border-river-violated-buffer-zone-2609602-2024-10-01
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/jordan-reiterates-support-to-lebanon-in-face-of-israeli-attacks/3346858
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
"The top Jordanian diplomat stressed the need for the international community to immediately act to reach a cease-fire and implement UN Resolution 1701. Passed in 2006, the resolution calls for a complete cessation of hostilities between Lebanon and Israel and the establishment of a demilitarized zone between the Blue Line (the de facto boundary between Lebanon and Israel) and the Litani River, allowing only the Lebanese army and the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) to possess weapons and military equipment in the area." https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/jordan-reiterates-support-to-lebanon-in-face-of-israeli-attacks/3346858 The international community FAILED to act to reach a cease-fire and implement UN Resolution 1701. Hezbollah stayed to antagonize Israel. When Hezbollah attacked Israel on October 8th, 2023, Israel had enough! If no one else will do it, Israel will do it themselves, once and for all!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
"The top Jordanian diplomat stressed the need for the international community to immediately act to reach a cease-fire and implement UN Resolution 1701. Passed in 2006, the resolution calls for a complete cessation of hostilities between Lebanon and Israel and the establishment of a demilitarized zone between the Blue Line (the de facto boundary between Lebanon and Israel) and the Litani River, allowing only the Lebanese army and the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) to possess weapons and military equipment in the area." https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/jordan-reiterates-support-to-lebanon-in-face-of-israeli-attacks/3346858 The international community FAILED to act to reach a cease-fire and implement UN Resolution 1701. Hezbollah stayed to antagonize Israel. When Hezbollah attacked Israel on October 8th, 2023, Israel had enough! If no one else will do it, Israel will do it themselves, once and for all!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The "Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" RESOLVED YES with near UNNANIMOUS votes. The proof is overwhelming!!! https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Oh, I've been tracking everything. Screengrab everything you see.
PleaseBeStupid
4 months ago
Is this your first day betting? People make moves to make profits. I am struggling to see how people cannot delineate between normal betting behaviors and coordinated efforts to deny the truth to win.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Local confirmations from inside Lebanon of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” were blowing up. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The Enter and Invade September and November markets were proposed Yes roughly at the same time based on a consensus of credible reporting, and official statements like this on September 30th. You can scroll down to September 30th in all three markets to verify the truth. https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776
Car
4 months ago
nobody agreed it happened on september 30th. Otherwise the vote wouldnt have gone to P4
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The PURPOSE of the current invasion into the south of Lebanon that began on Sept. 30th is called AREA ACCESS DENIAL, a fundamental military strategy to establish control over a strategically important zone. In this case, pushing Hezbollah back 5KM to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Hezbollah has been in contravention of the Resolution ever since it was passed. Israel is intent on rectifying that problem by force, and once and for all! They started with the ground invasion on Sept. 30th. This operation will continue until the stated objectives are achieved.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
For years, the international community feared Hezbollah, their stockpile of armaments, their numbers, and the threat they posed to Israel. I have to say, Israel's ongoing operations to clear Hezbollah out of the south of Lebanon has been nothing short of amazing! They are currently demonstrating to the world one of the most epic war strategies in history. They used air power to destroy Hezbollah's rocket launchers and launch sites. They then targeted their weapons stockpiles. They killed key command leaders, and destroyed command and control centers, including Hezbollah HQ with the #1 dude still inside using something like 18+ massive bunker busters. At the same time, they even blew up pagers in one of the craziest long-term covert operations ever. Mental! They essentially eliminated Hezbollah's entire leadership several levels down, so now the low-level guys have zero leadership. Now, they've moved into the south of Lebanon to surgically remove Hezbollah from the south forever, so they may never threaten Israel again. Absolutely awesome!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
According to my desired military strategy, Israeli troops should have smiled for the camera before entering Lebanon in front of a group of Hezbollah fighters. That's how it's done folks. Trust me. I used my dome, and ChatGPT.
🤺JustPunched
4 months ago
With such unanimous coverage, some videos of this invasion should be readily available. Thus far we've seen a Fox News guy talk about hiking through the woods, and then leaving again back to Israel.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hmm... Why would they impose a media blackout? Let's use our own domes for once. It wouldn't be so that people wouldn't give away precise Israeli troop locations on the net for Hezbollah to look up?
🤺JustPunched
4 months ago
With such unanimous coverage, some videos of this invasion should be readily available. Thus far we've seen a Fox News guy talk about hiking through the woods, and then leaving again back to Israel.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hahahahaha!!! Did you ask ChatGPT to teach you that??? HAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!! Lazy, lazy, lazy!
🤺JustPunched
4 months ago
With such unanimous coverage, some videos of this invasion should be readily available. Thus far we've seen a Fox News guy talk about hiking through the woods, and then leaving again back to Israel.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
For years, the international community feared Hezbollah, their stockpile of armaments, their numbers, and the threat they posed to Israel. I have to say, Israel's ongoing operations to clear Hezbollah out of the south of Lebanon has been nothing short of amazing! They are currently demonstrating to the world one of the most epic war strategies in history. They used air power to destroy Hezbollah's rocket launchers and launch sites. They then targeted their weapons stockpiles. They killed key command leaders, and destroyed command and control centers, including Hezbollah HQ with the #1 dude still inside using something like 18+ massive bunker busters. At the same time, they even blew up pagers in one of the craziest long-term covert operations ever. Mental! They essentially eliminated Hezbollah's entire leadership several levels down, so now the low-level guys have zero leadership. Now, they've moved into the south of Lebanon to surgically remove Hezbollah from the south forever, so they may never threaten Israel again. Absolutely awesome!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Can anybody tell me what Operation “Northern Arrows” is??? WHAT IS IT???? https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032 Bombed https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840758553016942887
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I can't find any reputable person who would use ChatGPT to report on REALWORLD events. lol You get kicked out of school for that being a degenerate. ChatGPT, the #1 friend of smarmy, duchy market fixers.
Anon5215
4 months ago
Can't you find articles from reputable sources that would flip ChatGPT back to yes? I think it's possible. Very contentious
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Market rules for both the September and November Invade markets have been completely satisfied by Israel’s invasion into Lebanon. It's called AREA ACCESS DENIAL, a fundamental military strategy to establish control over a strategically important zone. In this case, pushing Hezbollah back 5KM to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Hezbollah has been in contravention of the Resolution ever since it was passed. Israel is intent on rectifying that problem by force, and once and for all! They started with the ground invasion on September 30th. This operation will continue until the openly stated and widely publicized stated objectives are achieved.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Have you ever seen a chart like this? https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I like this image, too! https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727987007294
McLarry
4 months ago
hey guys, take a look at my funny picture. Markets are the best reflection of reality and UMA is a truth machine!! https://imgur.com/a/LHDxBHs
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Well, Iranian bombs aren't raining down on them. That might be a clue.
Justifax
4 months ago
Repost: This video is referencing 'minutes after the order was given' .. I've been told that this is Sept 30th. https://x.com/TreyYingst/status/1841572129457783149?t=_yF-ffDUmX4-evqMEZaZ5Q&s=19 If anyone has better proof that this is from Sept 30th, I'd appreciate it.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Bingo!
sharky🦈🦈🦈
4 months ago
The object of the superior man is truth.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
REALTY confirmed Israel invaded Lebanon 9/30.
BibiNetanyahu
4 months ago
uma confirmed israel entered lebanon 9/30
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
No, it should peg 100% Yes.
BibiNetanyahu
4 months ago
tbf this market should be even. until the result is shown.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It started within the timeframe specified in the rules to this market. It's no one else's fault you didn't read them carefully, and then read the news.
TimeQuestion
4 months ago
Did the invasion start with the first Israeli raids in 2023? Or did it start on Oct 1?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Furthermore, By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I've seen a massive amount of people now understand reality and flip to yes. It's crazy!
BibiNetanyahu
4 months ago
some1 beat us to it and proposed no but it got disputed, YES will be the victor. trust the process
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Le Monde (A.K.A. Le Monde Diplomatique's little sister), France’s TOP international news organization confirmed the invasion before the market deadline, too. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/01/israel-conducts-ground-operations-in-southern-lebanon_6727867_4.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Yes, that's the humiliating truth about UMA. It's not the first time UMA's claim of having designed a "Decentralized Truth Oracle" has been b-slapped by greedy smarmy money driven criminal market fixer(s). If I was UMA, I would be embarrassed!
McLarry
4 months ago
P2- Yes "Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" First, I'd like to clarify two misconceptions: 1. Occupation is not a condition for this market; it only speaks of control. 2. Yes, there is still the market "Will Forces enter Israel Lebanon in September?" and many claim that because this market exists, the invasion market must be resolved as "no". However, the opposite is true; the two markets should almost always end with the same resolution. This is also nicely reflected in the price, as the "Forces enter Lebanon" market often traded only a few cents above the invasion market. The "Forces enter Lebanon" market has already been resolved as "yes". Now we need to clarify whether these are raids or an invasion. We should not follow the wording of the IDF here, which understandably wants to downplay the situation as much as possible. According to witnesses, tanks were already in Lebanon on the night of September 30 to October 1, and there was also artillery fire. Many media outlets correctly called it an invasion on October 1. There were even several media sources that mocked the IDF's wording. UMA should clearly recognize the reality here and vote "yes". There is a broad media consensus. Following the convoluted individual opinion of a well-known influencer would lead to a lose-lose-lose situation for everyone. It would damage the reputation of Polymarket, UMA, and the bettors would also suffer as a result.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://news.sky.com/story/tanks-gather-near-israeli-lebanon-border-as-defence-minister-hold-talks-over-expansion-of-idf-activity-13224353
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Le Monde, France’s TOP international news organization confirmed the invasion before the market deadline, too. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/01/israel-conducts-ground-operations-in-southern-lebanon_6727867_4.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Le Monde, France’s TOP international news organization confirmed the invasion before the market deadline, too. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/01/israel-conducts-ground-operations-in-southern-lebanon_6727867_4.html
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
@rozi... You should sign up for the School For Children Who Can't Read Good.
shouldbealright
4 months ago
Wikipedia updated 3 min ago and now says:"On 30 September 2024, Israel announced they would begin limited ground incursions into southern Lebanon.[66] In the evening of 30 September 2024, IDF with 45,000 men invaded southern Lebanon with tanks, armored vehicles and aircraft to hit Hezbollah bases. It followed intense artillery bombardment from tanks and aircraft."
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
There was a massive amount to resolve to Yes at the very begging, There was a massive consensus of credible reporting then, and heaps more now.
Erasmus
4 months ago
The vibes for team no seem pretty strong, my honest advice is that yes holders should sell now while they can. It's not pretty but that's the system.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Google United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701, you donkey.
NUTZILLA
4 months ago
to destroy the infrastructure and weapons but not to control the territory
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
What gives you those vibes?
Erasmus
4 months ago
The vibes for team no seem pretty strong, my honest advice is that yes holders should sell now while they can. It's not pretty but that's the system.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Ground invasion: https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/ Why the ground invasion? https://inews.co.uk/news/world/israel-southern-lebanon-ground-operation-explained-3302508 They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/ The FP (Foreign Policy) was on the ball, too! https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/01/israel-invasion-lebanon-hezbollah-2006-war-lessons-learned/ Le Monde, France’s TOP international news organization confirmed the invasion before the market deadline, too. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/01/israel-conducts-ground-operations-in-southern-lebanon_6727867_4.html The country of Israel CONFIRMED!!! Israel has no reason to lie. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon Daily Mail confirmed!!! https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13909477/Israel-goes-IDF-confirms-boots-ground-southern-Lebanon-bombs-rain-sky-day-ratcheting-tensions.html Fox News confirmed!! https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-launches-limited-ground-operations-lebanon-war-hezbollah-terrorist-groups-continue
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
CNN confirmed!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel confirmed, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ The Independent confirmed! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph confirmed!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/ NPR confirmed!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion Reuters confirmed!!!! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon Daily Mail confirmed!!! https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13909477/Israel-goes-IDF-confirms-boots-ground-southern-Lebanon-bombs-rain-sky-day-ratcheting-tensions.html Fox News confirmed!! https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-launches-limited-ground-operations-lebanon-war-hezbollah-terrorist-groups-continue
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon Daily Mail confirmed!!! https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13909477/Israel-goes-IDF-confirms-boots-ground-southern-Lebanon-bombs-rain-sky-day-ratcheting-tensions.html Fox News confirmed!! https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-launches-limited-ground-operations-lebanon-war-hezbollah-terrorist-groups-continue
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I think it's most likely they crossed the border into Lebanon where Hezbollah could see them, so they could wave hello. They then stopped at McDonald's for a coffee. They all paid 5 bucks entry at the Lebanon Disney tunnels because they wanted to check their Facebook posts, because the WIFI is the best underground. There they could edit the video footage. But, they waited to send it, because they took the day off to watch the beautiful fireworks show Iran was generous enough to donate on their day off.
BibiNetanCocksucker
4 months ago
So did yes bettors get cooked? that’s bullshit if the israel enters market hits lmao what the fuck did the enter for? Tea and to find spare change? it’s obviously to invade
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Yes, that's the humiliating truth about UMA. It's not the first time UMA's claim of having designed a "Decentralized Truth Oracle" has been b-slapped by greedy smarmy money driven criminal market fixer. If I was UMA, I would be embarrassed!
securebet
4 months ago
what does it mean early request??
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Yes, that's the humiliating truth about UMA. It's not the first time UMA's claim of having designed a "Decentralized Truth Oracle" has been b-slapped by greedy smarmy money driven criminal market fixers. If I was UMA, I would be embarrassed!
TheGoober
4 months ago
It seems pretty clear from the headlines that Israel did indeed invade Lebanon, but something still seems fishy. Can't the whales just pump No in the next review? Feels like only the whales get to decide how the market resolves
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
They were using a consensus of credible reporting. By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
05brownboy
4 months ago
i cannot believe the market was so high for so long people were not using their brain
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It means no immediate resolution, so reset to square one.
securebet
4 months ago
what does it mean early request??
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It's called AREA ACCESS DENIAL, a fundamental military strategy to establish control over a strategically important zone. In this case, pushing Hezbollah back 5KM to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) Hezbollah has been in contravention of the Resolution ever since it was passed. Israel is intent on rectifying that problem by force, and once and for all! They started with the ground invasion on Sept. 30th. This operation will continue until the stated objectives are achieved, as frequently stated by Israel, Netanyahu, and the IDF.
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
Im not saying that. Credible resources are classifying this as an Invasion. Im Just saying its not even necessary by the rules that has to be classfied as an Invasion.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
That's exactly what Israel said in 2006 when they invaded Lebanon the last time, and they stayed for 18 years, culminating in the UN Security Council Resolution 1701. Hezbollah refused to recognize UNSC1701 and has been in contravention UNTIL NOW! Israel's open public declarations in the lead up to this current invasion is to RESTORE UN Security Council Resolution 1701. It's called UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and the world has known about it for almost 20 F***ING YEARS, Bozo!!! Learn some history, Idiot!!! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Nations_Security_Council_Resolution_1701
Ferguson,Turd
4 months ago
Just found out a few important things. And wow is it important! Turns out Israel, Lebanon, and the UN all said that these were raids not an invasion. Also after looking through polymarket I found an entirely separate market which was intended for these raids and incursions. Wild! Turns out this market was a NO all along. Would have been helpful if anyone mentioned this earlier and repeatedly
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Why don't you trust the UMA process?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Sounds like an invasion "intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" to me... “We are very determined to destroy this infrastructure and eliminate anyone present there. We will not allow Hezbollah to establish itself in these places,” the military chief said. https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-attack-war-lebanon-10-03-24-intl-hnk/index.html?t=1727985197086
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
This was an EASY YES prediction market. https://news.sky.com/story/tanks-gather-near-israeli-lebanon-border-as-defence-minister-hold-talks-over-expansion-of-idf-activity-13224353
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The "Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" market resolved to YES correctly. By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The "Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" market resolved to YES correctly. By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The FP (Foreign Policy) was on the ball, too! https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/01/israel-invasion-lebanon-hezbollah-2006-war-lessons-learned/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The news was pretty clear before Sept. 30th! Hahaha!!! https://news.sky.com/story/tanks-gather-near-israeli-lebanon-border-as-defence-minister-hold-talks-over-expansion-of-idf-activity-13224353
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It was also announced in real-time at that exact moment further down in this very PM chat feed. What we have here is an iron clad case of market fixing.
figman
4 months ago
I get the argument that this market was proposed YES too early... but why should it resolve no?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
figman
4 months ago
I get the argument that this market was proposed YES too early... but why should it resolve no?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It was NOT proposed early. A consensus of mulit-billion dollar international news gathering and dissemination outlets, each with their own in-house research departments, reported the invasion before the Sept. 30th market deadline.
figman
4 months ago
I get the argument that this market was proposed YES too early... but why should it resolve no?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Go to https://vote.uma.xyz/ Then click the red arrow on the right of the appropriate market dispute. After that, click "Result" in the upper tab to watch the vote reveal. Early Request (P4) result means a reset. Game goes on.
betyonko
4 months ago
where can i see the voting?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://x.com/idf/status/1841093834253480321
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
To an educated person, it was obvious on September 30th, too.
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
Thats why the dispute was voted P4, as wee needed more Infos if Israel is actually trying to get control over areas in Lebanon, which is very obv. now.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Dude, you write the most illiterate and uneducated posts of ALL!
FamilyCapital
4 months ago
They don't read; they just share. Because if they actually read, they would understand that the context in the post they shared doesn't meet the criteria described in the rules of this market.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
To an educated person, the intentions were openly declared by Israel in the weeks and months leading up to the invasion--UN Security Council Resolution 1701. The UN Security Council knew about it. The US knew about it. Hezbollah knew about it and ignored it's dictates all this time. Israel knew about it. The WORLD knew about!!!
FamilyCapital
4 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8N_yehAI5IQ Proof of an Israel invasion into Lebanon? Oh wait, this is about Russia invading Ukraine. But Ukraine has a lower population density and about 50 times a larger border with Russia and Belarus combined than Israel has with Lebanon. So how is it possible that we have no proof of an actual invasion of Israel into Lebanon on September 30th?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You are a pathetic liar! 2 tanks??? 2 tanks??? You're a scammer! https://time.com/7026649/israel-tanks-lebanon-border-hezbollah/
FamilyCapital
4 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8N_yehAI5IQ Proof of an Israel invasion into Lebanon? Oh wait, this is about Russia invading Ukraine. But Ukraine has a lower population density and about 50 times a larger border with Russia and Belarus combined than Israel has with Lebanon. So how is it possible that we have no proof of an actual invasion of Israel into Lebanon on September 30th?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Dear _lenroc (Discord), Israel military strategy is not BRUTE FORCE like Russia. Every country has different military strategies. It shows you're not looking. There was wide reporting of a large number of tanks and troops being transported to the northern Israeli border. Israel is surgical because they've come under international criticism since 1948, moron.
FamilyCapital
4 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8N_yehAI5IQ Proof of an Israel invasion into Lebanon? Oh wait, this is about Russia invading Ukraine. But Ukraine has a lower population density and about 50 times a larger border with Russia and Belarus combined than Israel has with Lebanon. So how is it possible that we have no proof of an actual invasion of Israel into Lebanon on September 30th?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
What part of the rules are they misunderstanding? Please explain.
Naak
4 months ago
All these yes holder who cant even read simple rules sharing unrelated news posts while selling their shares is funny.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Someone is showing intelligence. It's Israel's regional grand strategy.
abdendriel
4 months ago
Bibi at the UN: “ This is the map I presented here last year. It’s a map of a blessing. It shows Israel and its Arab partners forming a land bridge connecting Asia and Europe. Between the Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea, across this bridge, we will lay rail lines..”
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Reset to conditions before "Outcome proposed".
FyouMoneyOTW
4 months ago
Can someone please explain what happens when something is ruled too early?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Some bozo keeps saying ALL these INTENATIONAL news and information gathering networks only ever use ONE source to confirm their reporting... the IDF! Hahahahaha!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Link?
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
The Hezbollah militia said it had destroyed three Israeli battle tanks that had advanced on the Lebanese town of Marun al-Ras.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Are you talking before, or after this market deadline?
Dropper11
4 months ago
He later told reporters at a briefing that U.N. peacekeepers in Lebanon, known as UNIFIL, had seen sporadic incursions by the Israeli military. "The information they have and they've received ... is that they've seen sporadic incursions by the IDF," Dujarric said. "They have not witnessed a full-scale invasion."
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Nope! What's your proof of "small" and "in and out"?
Dropper11
4 months ago
No, it didn't. As I said, they were conducting small raids (getting in and out). Now they are invading, going for villages and fighting the Lebanese army
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
I think it's most likely they crossed the border into Lebanon where Hezbollah could see them, so they could wave hello. They then stopped at McDonald's for a coffee. They all paid 5 bucks entry at the Lebanon Disney tunnels because they wanted to check their Facebook posts, because the WIFI is the best underground. There they could edit the video footage. But, they waited to send it, because they took the day off to watch the beautiful fireworks show Iran was generous enough to donate on their day off. Sadly, that day had to end. So they left the tunnels and sent their footage home where people at their desks had to check all the footage, and edit it into a story. They were kinda slow, too, because everyone was hung over from the previous day's fireworks show.
Phat.
4 months ago
Exclusive video like that usually goes live same day it was taken or max next day for high five points in the MSM. You can argue this was on September 30th or prior but without a time stamp kinda useless
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Nasrallah is hiding out on a desert island with Elvis. The Israelis lie all the time! Don't let the frontline Hezbollah troops know that I'm dead! Taqiyya!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hassan Nasrallah is hiding out with Elvis. The Israelis lie all the time! Don't let the frontline Hezbollah troops know that I'm dead!!!Taqiyya!!!
n/a
4 months ago
As of the end of September 2024, Hezbollah has denied that Israeli military personnel have entered Lebanese territory for ground combat operations. Despite claims from the Israeli Defense Forces of conducting "limited" ground operations, Hezbollah stated that Israeli troops had not crossed the border during this time. Therefore, based on the conditions of the market you provided, it would resolve to "No" given the denial from Hezbollah and the absence of credible reports confirming Israeli troop incursions.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
But a CONSENSUS of credible media reports called it an invasion. Why are they ignoring the rules?
ANudeEgg
4 months ago
They don't think it constituted an invasion, in September at least.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hassan Nasrallah is alive and well with Elvis on a desert island. Israel ALWAYS lies! They have every reason to lie!!! Taqiyya!!! Just don't tell the brave Hezbollah fighters fleeing the frontline I'm dead!!!
n/a
4 months ago
As of the end of September 2024, Hezbollah has denied that Israeli military personnel have entered Lebanese territory for ground combat operations. Despite claims from the Israeli Defense Forces of conducting "limited" ground operations, Hezbollah stated that Israeli troops had not crossed the border during this time. Therefore, based on the conditions of the market you provided, it would resolve to "No" given the denial from Hezbollah and the absence of credible reports confirming Israeli troop incursions.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
How does voting work?
Secret14thKey
4 months ago
now this is just mean to the noobs who dont know how voting works
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Why don't they buy the Yes argument?
ANudeEgg
4 months ago
Because this vote meanst he UMA voters don't buy the Yes argument. So the next market proposal will resolve No.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The UMA vote result was (P4) Early Request just as JustKen(PM)/Domer(Discord, UMA) signaled. How is it a No? The current UMA vote results are Early request 92.14% (11,041,902.3), No 0.00% (356.55), Yes 7.85% (941,118.92), and unknown/50-50 0.00% (106.42) with 69.1% of the votes revealed.
ANudeEgg
4 months ago
You lost a bet, fair and square. Quit crying about it.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032 “During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/
Donkov
4 months ago
Israel holding ground in Oct destroys the NO argument of raids intentions. They tried in Sept, but could not establish a beachhead.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Timely confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” as per the rules. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially asked for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an INVASION! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
More Confirmation of the “COMMENCEMENT OF A MILITARY OFFENSIVE” in the September market BEFORE THE DEADLINE. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414
EdgyUsername
4 months ago
Yesterday's October, brah
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Watching
MrKangaroo
4 months ago
Your portfolio is crazy, wrong side of joy, jfk and this
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an INVASION! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Don't let the frontline Hezbollah troops know that I'm dead!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hassan Nasrallah is hiding out with Elvis. The Israelis lie all the time! Taqiyya!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hassan Nasrallah is hiding out with Elvis. The Israelis lie all the time! Taqiyya!!!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon..." Define occupation. AREA ACCESS DENIAL = control
Amok
4 months ago
when about a week ago the other market was opened (will israeli troops enter lebanon) it became very clear that this market here had a much stricter requirement of the extent of an occupation to resolve to Yes.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
JustKen (PM) = Domer (Discord, UMA), right?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
STRANGE! JustKen is not a top share holder here, https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
No, can't be! That's criminally illegal!
ANudeEgg
4 months ago
Market manipulation.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
STRANGE! JustKen is not a top share holder here, https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
First, can you read? Ask that!
Covid69
4 months ago
Did I have to stake to see the vote?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Go to https://vote.uma.xyz/ Then click the red arrow on the right of the appropriate market dispute. After that, click "Result" in the upper tab to watch the vote reveal.
Erfank
4 months ago
can soemone explain to me what is exactly happening? Any link to see the votes please?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Hahahahaha!!!
jayminho
4 months ago
We are now predicting the past. Martin Mcfly wouldn’t ever dream this big. Hail technology
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
If "Enter" market is Yes, This market is Yes. Israeli Forces ENTER Lebanon in September Market at 99c Yes. https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727916297038
Covid69
4 months ago
Why is it swinging so much, am i missing something?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
No vote scammers getting set up?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Israeli Forces ENTER Lebanon in September Market at 99c Yes. https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727916297038
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Israeli Forces ENTER Lebanon in September Market at 99c Yes. https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727916297038
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Go to https://vote.uma.xyz/ Then click the red arrow on the right of the appropriate market dispute. After that, click "Result" in the upper tab.
Covid69
4 months ago
How do I see the votes, do I have to have uma
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The world is watching!
McLarry
4 months ago
I see myself a bit like the captain of the Titanic. It's an honor to go down with my Yes Shares. Better than winning without decency.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
“During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/ More confirmation of Israeli military boots on the ground before the deadline!!! https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
What is a RAID? “During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
“During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/
semi
4 months ago
Al mayadeen confirmed there was no ground offensive on october 1st.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You watch too much Braveheart. It's 2024. ""Yes" if Israel commences a MILITARY OFFENSIVE intended to establish control over any portion of Lebano..."n
semi
4 months ago
Al mayadeen confirmed there was no ground offensive on october 1st.
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The Council on Foreign Relations calling it an INVASION! https://www.cfr.org/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
CNN confirming!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel confirmed, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ The Independent confirmed! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph confirmed!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/ NPR confirmed!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion Reuters confirmed!!!! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/ Ground invasion: https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/ Why the ground invasion? https://inews.co.uk/news/world/israel-southern-lebanon-ground-operation-explained-3302508 They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 ABC News confirmed, too!!! Yes is the resolution to this market. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/ New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 ABC News confirmed, too!!! Yes is the resolution to this market. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/ New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The rules stipulate, “the COMMENCEMENT of a MILITARY OFFENSIVE”. Multiple reports on the Lebanese side confirm this BEFORE the market deadline. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of “the COMMENCEMENT of a MILITARY OFFENSIVE” BEFORE the deadline. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032 “During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
And why, https://x.com/idf/status/1841093834253480321
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1841429346407284961
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1841429346407284961
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The world is watching...
Sardinianshepherd
4 months ago
The whales seems are taking the no side
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
The Council on Foreign Relations calling it an INVASION! https://www.cfr.org/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Explain!
duckduck
4 months ago
Paying for reading comprehension lessons for YEs buyers
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Why? I'm collecting valuable information on criminal market fixers, and proving their intent and brazenness.
semi
4 months ago
bro you gotta invest more than this with this many comments
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Confirming you're a moron! RULES: ""Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over ANY PORTION of Lebanon..." Arab run organizations started spreading hyperbolic fear that Israel wants to control all of Lebanon. To calm fears, Israel clarified that its intention is to push Hezbollah 5KM back to the north of the Litani River, preventing them from assaulting northern Israeli settlements ever again. This way the Israeli refugees can safely return home.
poly-murderers
4 months ago
confirming what? they literally call the current operation - to this day - an "incursion"
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
To all the criminal market fixers, smile for the camera! You are on world TV!
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
CONTROL Regarding CONTROL, The rules are clear. Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.) It’s called AREA ACCESS DENIAL for all the pathetic duchy scammers out there. Netanyahu in the days, weeks, and months leading up to this invasion. You can hear is from his lips in this short video. This is a long-term project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y The US State Department press secretary REPEATEDLY explained Israel’s intent, and defended Israel’s stance, referring, again and again, to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, and Israel's right to defend itself through a military offensive. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9-ZzFY5I4
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
CNN confirming!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel confirmed, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ The Independent confirmed! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph confirmed!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/ NPR confirmed!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion Reuters confirmed!!!! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/ Ground invasion: https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/ Why the ground invasion? https://inews.co.uk/news/world/israel-southern-lebanon-ground-operation-explained-3302508 They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules. Israel had initially ask for a media blackout, but had to confirm given the flood of media reports. THERE HAVE BEEN ZERO RETRACTIONS! Israeli military confirmed the invasion! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ The IDF CONFIRMED the ground invasion!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218 ABC News confirmed, too!!! Yes is the resolution to this market. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/ New York Post confirmed! https://nypost.com/2024/09/30/world-news/israel-begins-ground-invasion-of-lebanon-against-hezbollah/ The Guardian confirmed!!!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-hezbollah-in-lebanon
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
People, this isn’t Braveheart the movie anymore where they send in the infantry en masse first. Raids, airstrikes, whatever!!! The rules stipulate, “the COMMENCEMENT of a MILITARY OFFENSIVE”. Multiple reports on the Lebanese side confirm this BEFORE the market deadline. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 More Confirmation of “the COMMENCEMENT of a MILITARY OFFENSIVE” BEFORE the deadline. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840759133512888729 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772769501331888 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840772824715173931 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780061948944504 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780093762699637 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780198683242905 https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840780570378248414 Google translates raids as raids, and airstrikes as airstrikes. https://x.com/AlMayadeenLive/status/1840719580060070032 “During the operation, the troops conducted a targeted raid…” https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/briefings-by-idf-spokesperson-rear-admiral-daniel-hagari/october-24-press-briefings/press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-october-1-18-50-pm-2024/
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
Criminal market fixers use ChatGPT because you can generate any response. ChatGPT is very easy to manipulate. That's why ChatGPT is NEVER used as a credible reporting source.
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
look what ChatGPT is telling me : Yes, I'm 100% confident that the Polymarket should resolve as "No." Even though Israel conducted ground operations in Lebanon and Israeli soldiers lost their lives, the official statements from Israel confirm that these operations were solely aimed at neutralizing Hezbollah's military infrastructure, not at occupying or controlling territory. Israel’s military actions were defensive, targeting Hezbollah’s tunnels and weapons caches to counter ongoing threats, without any intention of territorial control​(The Times of Israel )​(Jewish Press )​(The Times of Israel ). The Polymarket's criteria require evidence of an intent to establish control over parts of Lebanon, which is clearly not the case here. Thus, the market should resolve to "No."
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
It's Yes. Massive evidence.
n/a
4 months ago
Can anyone link me to the discord for UMA? What happens since it’s P4?
HsB34sgg
4 months ago
You mean Domer?
jayminho