#179
Rank
169
Comments
83
Likes Received
121
Likes Given
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?
dreamer
10 months ago
The primary resolution of the market is consensus of credible reporting and NPR is literally quoting russian officials who are saying the drone was shot down before impact, exploded, and the debris set a technical room ablaze
1
dreamer
10 months ago
https://www.npr.org/2024/09/01/g-s1-20509/russia-downed-drones-in-ukrainian-attack#:~:text=Moscow%20Mayor%20Sergei%20Sobyanin%20said,into%20the%20heart%20of%20Russia. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones All the sources here corroborate that the drone was shot down and the fire was caused by the debris.
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?
dreamer
10 months ago
https://www.npr.org/2024/09/01/g-s1-20509/russia-downed-drones-in-ukrainian-attack#:~:text=Moscow%20Mayor%20Sergei%20Sobyanin%20said,into%20the%20heart%20of%20Russia. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones All the sources here corroborate that the drone was shot down and the fire was caused by the debris.
6
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
And the primary resolution of the market is consensus of credible reporting NPR is literally quoting russian officials who are saying the drone was shot down before impact, exploded, and the debris set a technical room ablaze
3
dreamer
10 months ago
There is a literal stipulation in the rules in which the wreckage of a drone or missile that is intercepted that causes damage would not count as a YES.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
There is a literal stipulation in the rules in which the wreckage of a drone or missile that is intercepted that causes damage would not count as a YES.
2
dreamer
10 months ago
https://www.npr.org/2024/09/01/g-s1-20509/russia-downed-drones-in-ukrainian-attack#:~:text=Moscow%20Mayor%20Sergei%20Sobyanin%20said,into%20the%20heart%20of%20Russia. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones All the sources here corroborate that the drone was shot down and the fire was caused by the debris.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
https://www.npr.org/2024/09/01/g-s1-20509/russia-downed-drones-in-ukrainian-attack#:~:text=Moscow%20Mayor%20Sergei%20Sobyanin%20said,into%20the%20heart%20of%20Russia. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones All the sources here corroborate that the drone was shot down and the fire was caused by the debris.
4
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones?embedded-checkout=true
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed. The situation at the Kapotnya refinery in Moscow The Ministry of Defense reported the interception of 158 drones over Russian regions. On the morning of September 1, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin reported the interception of drones and a fire in a technical room on the territory of the Moscow Oil Refinery after the crash of a downed drone. "Another downed drone damaged a separate technical room of the Moscow Oil Refinery as a result of its fall. The local fire is currently being extinguished," Sergei Sobyanin wrote on his Telegram channel. According to the Ministry of Defense, 158 Ukrainian aircraft-type drones were intercepted and destroyed overnight over Russian territory, two of them in Moscow.
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Drone debris caused fires at the Moscow Oil Refinery and at the Konakovo Power Station in the neighbouring Tver region, one of the largest energy producers in central Russia, officials and media said.
0
dreamer
10 months ago
For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said several drones targeted the Moscow refinery and caused a fire at a "separate technical room" at the plant. State news agency TASS later quoted emergency services as saying the blaze had been contained.
0
dreamer
10 months ago
For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
0
Au-gust
10 months ago
I mean theres a pretty clear video of a drone hitting the refinery dead on.. it doesn't matter if people were shooting at it lmao or even if they shot it... it hit its target. Pretty clear this should resolve to Yes.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
so people on the ground associated with the actual event can't be trusted. We can only use those who confirm our position.. right
1
Skifish
10 months ago
No russian media can fall under the category of credible reporting
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-launches-drones-moscow-other-regions-russian-officials-say-2024-08-31/
0
Skifish
10 months ago
No russian media can fall under the category of credible reporting
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Time, location, validity of twitter videos, time of twitter videos taken, specific location of twitter videos because there are tons of refinery strikes by drones available(can it be proven), was the drone downed (there was gunfire before the drone exploded), the emergency service ministry says that the fire was caused by a downed drone.
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
There is literally no proposal I have no idea what you're yapping about
0
Justifax
10 months ago
The only people not scamming this market are those who held it before and those who fast clicked the news. Anyone who comes later is just trying to scam the dispute. This happens everytime.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
That's ridiculous
0
Justifax
10 months ago
Ignore dreamer, he's just scamming. He came in and bought shares with the intent to scam the resolution.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Good luck with your one video that has gunfire shooting at the drone right before it explodes and doesn't damage the refinery at all
0
HsB34sgg
10 months ago
Downed by what??? Rifle shots????
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Back to this again. Your point being we are going to resolve this to YES because we saw a random video on twitter and the other 2 are totally inconclusive to flip the consensus to YES
0
HsB34sgg
10 months ago
Downed by what??? Rifle shots????
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
0
Trumputin
10 months ago
It doesn't matter the refinery was hit before the deadline.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
https://www.rbc.ru/society/01/09/2024/66d41c8f9a7947358b8e1c8c?from=newsfeed
0
dreamer
10 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed.
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?
dreamer
10 months ago
lmfao
0
XiJinPing
10 months ago
you can buy YES in 2 days for 25 cents
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?
dreamer
10 months ago
"Another downed drone damaged a separate technical room of the Moscow Oil Refinery as a result of its fall. The local fire is currently being extinguished," Sergei Sobyanin wrote on his Telegram channel.
0
dreamer
10 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
There is 1 video from who knows when that shows a drone exploding before it hits what seems to be a refinery. Not only that there is gunfire right before it explodes. Do you genuinely think this is enough to turn a YES
0
gpsmatty
10 months ago
there are videos that show the drone flying into the side of the building with munitions intact.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Okay look, you guys pushed the market to 85% over a couple of twitter videos that are inconclusive while the credible reporting came out and said that they had downed all the drones.
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Yep
0
XiJinPing
10 months ago
Even in the video, you can hear gunfire before the drone crashed. Combined with official news, there's not enough evidence here.
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Two of these videos are inconclusive to making a ruling and the only one that is clear you can obviously hear gunfire shooting the drone down
0
pirateshere
10 months ago
https://x.com/echofm_online/status/1830150695112089935/video/2 this video show the truth
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
I'm seeing a lot of accounts here with barely any amount traded going YES I would say to exercise caution on using random videos off twitter as your reasoning to purchase your shares
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
If that video is relevant to the conversation you can hear the gunfire before it gets close to the plant
0
HsB34sgg
10 months ago
Any video of it getting intercepted?
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Not only that, the market has a stipulation for this exact event within the interception clause labeling drones specifically and wreckage causing damage as not sufficient.
0
XiJinPing
10 months ago
Credible consensus requires major news sources. So far, major news like Reuters says it is debris.
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?
dreamer
10 months ago
On the morning of September 1, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin reported the interception of drones and a fire in a technical room on the territory of the Moscow Oil Refinery after the crash of a downed drone.
1
dreamer
10 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?
dreamer
10 months ago
The Ministry of Emergency Situations stated that there is no threat to people or the plant's operations. The fire started after the downed drone crashed
1
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Wow drones downed by gunfire explode, incredible
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
Yeah that's not what the article suggests
0
gpsmatty
10 months ago
BREAKING! Reuters Confirms Ukranian Drone attack on Moscow refinery https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-launches-drones-moscow-other-regions-russian-officials-say-2024-08-31/
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
https://www.rbc.ru/politics/01/09/2024/66d3f6b69a7947f085351e97?from=newsfeed
2
How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
dreamer
10 months ago
Good luck
0
Whome
10 months ago
This is the halfway point on the calendar. The last time there were only 5 storms by the halfway point there were nine total (2009.)
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
dreamer
10 months ago
GG
1
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
dreamer
10 months ago
sirs do the needful
5
Pavel Durov released in August?
dreamer
10 months ago
Billionaire Telegram CEO Pavel Durov was released from police custody Wednesday and transferred to an investigative judge, according to reports.
2
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
dreamer
10 months ago
my account has monkeypox
6
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
dreamer
10 months ago
I just got back from getting a burger and was made aware of everything that happened here. I love crypto.
3
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
lol
0
Natemo
10 months ago
what are people smoking above 100million...........?
2024 Little League World Series Champion
dreamer
10 months ago
rofl
0
MD80PFF
10 months ago
Amazing market. Degeneracy at its max when betting on children
Texas Presidential Election Winner
dreamer
10 months ago
10 bucks a day!
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
dreamer
10 months ago
With all facts considered currently and information from their team that has recently come out it makes 0 sense why this would resolve as Y
4
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
dreamer
10 months ago
damn loder is smart
0
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
dreamer
10 months ago
that was incredible.. Meerschaert looked drunk and still got the dub
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
dreamer
10 months ago
lmao
3
XiJinPing
10 months ago
are you stuipid? read the rules -- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
dreamer
10 months ago
^
2
aenews2
10 months ago
It's not a loose technicality. Bernie Sanders endorsement resolved N due to the formal endorsement clause. So either that misresolved, or this would misresolve. One must be wrong.
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
dreamer
10 months ago
There goes my hero
0
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
dreamer
10 months ago
I can't believe they got ronaldo rfk jr
3
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
dreamer
10 months ago
I can't believe they got ronaldo to be the special guest
3
Will RFK drop out before November?
dreamer
10 months ago
Thank you everyone for playing
0
Will RFK drop out before November?
dreamer
10 months ago
He isn't dropping out, no worries, he said it himself
0
DTZ
10 months ago
this is gonna be a fun resolution, but it might have to resolve 50/50
Will RFK drop out before November?
dreamer
10 months ago
:p
0
sigh
10 months ago
fuck yall im rich
Will RFK drop out before November?
dreamer
10 months ago
I think
0
dreamer
10 months ago
I just made 11 grand
Will RFK drop out before November?
dreamer
10 months ago
I just made 11 grand
0
Texas Presidential Election Winner
dreamer
10 months ago
I think it may have something to do with the rewards offered on this market
0
LaClorox
10 months ago
Can somebody explain why odds of Rep winning are not higher? Especially with RFK planning on endorsing Trump, barring a successful attempt on his life, I would argue that Texas is more likely to secede than vote blue
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
I don't know what's going I just saw a bee emoji and bought no
3
Who will speak at the DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
I don't care lol
0
0xd577Ebcec981a97627f0964772f062C4eC30efcd-1724292086987
10 months ago
You were wrong. Hindsight is 20/20 but would you have thought that at the time?
Who will speak at the DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
surely bill won't show up bros..
1
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
dreamer
10 months ago
make way for big mike
2
BigMike11
10 months ago
RFK to replace Vance.
Mass arrests at DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
The DNC leadership and platform. Not Israeli policy outside the Israeli consulate. Unless you want to make every protest that coincides with this event a part of this bet even if it has nothing to do with the DNC.
0
Iverson
10 months ago
What is this bet about? What are people protesting the DNC protesting about?
Mass arrests at DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
A protest can coincide with an event and not be directed towards said event. The protest railing against Israeli policy at the consulate by pro palestine supporters should not be conflated with what this bet is about.
2
Mass arrests at DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
Personally, I would never consider this a protest of the DNC. We can compare and contrast the turnout for the DNC protest versus the protests that occurred at the Israeli consulate to add to this.
0
dreamer
10 months ago
Another point to add to this fact is that there were two seperate groups that joined together. There was a pro palestine group and a DNC protest group that joined together to protest Israeli policy outside the consulate.
Mass arrests at DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
Another point to add to this fact is that there were two seperate groups that joined together. There was a pro palestine group and a DNC protest group that joined together to protest Israeli policy outside the consulate.
0
🤺JustPunched
10 months ago
I can agree that there are people there to protest the DNC and maybe even that they're "DNC protesters" (I think it's misleading at this point, they seem far more like "pro-Palestine" protesters looking for places to protest). BUT here is the key piece of information -- they left the DNC! They did not protest the DNC last night, and they could have. They physically walked somewhere else and protested there instead. And it's miles away. And it's actually a much more logical place to have a pro-Palestine protest, considering the President advocated for an immediate ceasefire from the DNC floor on Monday night.
Mass arrests at DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
I mean there was a stark contrast in regards to who showed up to protest the DNC vs who showed up to protest the Israeli consulate. I don't understand how this is difficult to grasp.
2
0x067F6C8FA38C71f30fA3d1aA72EE4004c027a821-1718211121352
10 months ago
The whole integrity of the site is in question if this is graded a 'no'. Are the people making this decision already betting this side? The protestors arrested outside the Israeli consulate are only effin there because of the DNC. the protestors arrested outside of the arena on Monday night... Who the hell is to say what they were protesting? Maybe just jackasses caught up larping. The whole point of this market was clearly to bet on mass arrests at the DNC, which is what happened last night.
Mass arrests at DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
The protest yesterday coincided with the DNC but it was not about protesting the DNC. It is a pro Palestinian protest in opposition to Israeli policies outside the Israeli consulate. Clear cut difference.
5
Mass arrests at DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
Sorry I didn't know I was buying NOs for people protesting the Israeli consulate
1
Iverson
10 months ago
The protest group that received permits were for an anti-DNC and anti-Israel protest. It is the same thing. The protest also originated in the area that they received permits for and most of the arrests appear to have been made in areas that the orgs received permits to protest the DNC.
Mass arrests at DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
no
2
BlairMainframe
10 months ago
Will last night's protests count as "protesting the 2024 DNC?? The protest moved some distance to the Consulate General of Israel on Madison Street. And it's unclear that they were "protesting the 2024..." in the rules, but rather protesting Israel's actions towards Gaza/Palestine/Palestinians. We need clarity on if last night's arrests count towards the total, or not (they shouldn't).
Who will speak at the DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
I do
0
0xE42c9d2ef
10 months ago
You must have a hatred for money
Mass arrests at DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
gm
3
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
dreamer
10 months ago
when it hits 50 ser pls..
0
aenews2
10 months ago
Should I buy more?
Kim Dotcom extradited in 2024?
dreamer
10 months ago
interesting
2
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
Thank you
0
1mperator17
10 months ago
as soon as its no longer an estimate than you can propose, usually around monday afternoon
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
What is the typical timeframe on settling / proposing for these
0
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
erm
2
Israel military action against Iran in August?
dreamer
10 months ago
Well, first of all, he wasn't killed in the month of August. Ok that's all.
0
Amok
10 months ago
How does this market resolve if there are covert ops like the recent assassination in Tehran which aren't claimed. It's a use of force, but no one can say for sure who did it, and it was likely done by local agents.
Who will speak at the DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
fanfiction
1
homosexual
10 months ago
lol how did this meme start
Who will speak at the DNC?
dreamer
10 months ago
gl everyone
0
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
I'm so lost at all the people thinking it will be 44-50
3
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?
dreamer
10 months ago
Lmfao
1
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
Pretty sure Friday was 11.5 million projected + Thurs preview @ 6.7
0
Ania-chan
10 months ago
Previews: 6.5m Previews + Friday: 20m+ Saturday: 18m+ Sunday: 12m+ The rate for 50m+ is around 4 to 6% so I deal with 2.8%
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
My favorite is the new Trump tweet one
0
Apsalar
10 months ago
thanks to the person who suggested the brackets this week! best ones we've had in a while i reckon
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
dreamer
10 months ago
we're due
1
Edger
10 months ago
U wrote a 10 paragraph essay for ur 243 long :/
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
If the information given to us is accurate, it seems like the film will have to perform consistently well over the next 2 days post Friday. From what I understand films like this are incredibly front loaded and alien will have to gain well over 10m+ each day after.
0
n/a
10 months ago
Really think it will be below 44m?
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
No I don't have access, thank you for mentioning tho
0
AccountNames
10 months ago
First reports are looking like 18M for Friday. Under 44 is really in play. Wow
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
Where?
0
AccountNames
10 months ago
First reports are looking like 18M for Friday. Under 44 is really in play. Wow
How many times will Trump tweet by next Friday?
dreamer
10 months ago
ah shit here we go again
3
Iran military response by Friday?
dreamer
10 months ago
In the end.. nothing ever happens....
1
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
dreamer
10 months ago
Final review: Nothing ever happens
6
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
dreamer
10 months ago
hi
0
JeffreyBezos
10 months ago
what do you want
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
anyways keep doing it I like arb
0
dreamer
10 months ago
everyone freaking out about 2 day old news that got tweeted out
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
everyone freaking out about 2 day old news that got tweeted out
3
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
dreamer
10 months ago
genius
0
Iran military response by Friday?
dreamer
10 months ago
did anyone see that news with chud opening the curtains...
0
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
Okay I just did
3
AccountNames
10 months ago
Buy more.
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
dreamer
10 months ago
can we all just talk about how horrible alien romulus looks from the final trailer
2
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
dreamer
10 months ago
hello
1
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
dreamer
10 months ago
OH MAAAAAH GADDDD TAMPOOONB
2
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
dreamer
10 months ago
crypto is so due bros!!!
2
Iran military response by Friday?
dreamer
10 months ago
10% by Friday is value. Not a joke
1
Justifax
10 months ago
You guys got to stop acting like this is just a game. This is serious sht and you treat it like some joke or lame attempt at clout grabbing.
Iran military response by Friday?
dreamer
10 months ago
Justifax is off the perc
5
Trump + Elon conversation over 2 hours long?
dreamer
10 months ago
yap sensei
1
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
dreamer
10 months ago
LOLOL
0
Iran military response by Monday?
dreamer
10 months ago
alright i'm here, where's the nothing burger??!
1
DeucePapi
10 months ago
Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment
Beach Volleyball Winner (W)
dreamer
11 months ago
Son of a bitch
0
Maduro out in 2024?
dreamer
11 months ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuela's president, Nicolás Maduro
0
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
dreamer
11 months ago
WOAH!!!!!
1
Men's Basketball Winner
dreamer
11 months ago
that was terrifying
2
$ETH dips below $2,000 by Friday?
dreamer
11 months ago
it's gonna happen.... right bros.....
0
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
dreamer
11 months ago
giga scammed
0
Platinum
11 months ago
just came back to this and holy fucking shit, maduro is toppled????
Maduro out in 2024?
dreamer
11 months ago
this is kind of insulting
2
Fed emergency rate cut in August?
dreamer
11 months ago
It's happening !!!
1
Squee
11 months ago
Why would this happen?
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
dreamer
11 months ago
xD
0
Nicky-Boi
11 months ago
Lol wow I’m glad I didn’t touch the main two contracts here. What a shitshow
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
dreamer
11 months ago
Does the primary source being official information from venezuela mean nothing to you ?
0
Salveenee
11 months ago
the difference with your us example is that here there is overwhelming proof of fraud, literally all the votes published, so the burden of proof has been met.
Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?
dreamer
11 months ago
sell me yes please at 0.6 i am insane!
1
What price will $BTC dip below before September?
dreamer
11 months ago
Our bitcoin is becoming unburdened from what has been
5
What price will $BTC dip below before September?
dreamer
11 months ago
O_O
0
What price will $BTC dip below before September?
dreamer
11 months ago
uh oh...
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Car
11 months ago
Uh oh!!!
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
dreamer
11 months ago
NEW News - IRGC planted bomb allegedly - https://youtu.be/6HPh__9CI5s?si=9BVTTJER59wK21W2
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Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
dreamer
11 months ago
If you are having trouble understanding the distinction between a covert operation and a military action. Please open your handheld portable devices in your pockets, go on ChatGPT and ask the question to the smart robot.
1
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
dreamer
11 months ago
A covert operation is not a military action on another country. Especially if the assumed perpetrator is not claiming the act.
0
Au-gust
11 months ago
It seems that the market should be resolved... "officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. " Can anyone tell me that there is not a consensus of credible reporting?
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
dreamer
11 months ago
Yeah, at best that is a covert operation and getting Israel to claim responsibility is going to be impossible.
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808
11 months ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hamas-chief-ismail-haniyeh-killed-iran-hamas-says-statement-2024-07-31/
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
I did all I could to get this to resolve "Too Early" in UMA, sadly I don't think it really matters but an enlightening experience nonetheless
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Kamala.Harris
11 months ago
The additional context is a subjective judgement made in hindsight from a party with a likely economic interest - it wasn't the terms of the contract.
What price will $BTC reach in July?
dreamer
11 months ago
did it actually hit 70k?
1
What price will $BTC reach in July?
dreamer
11 months ago
number go up down
0
What price will $BTC reach in July?
dreamer
11 months ago
I can't believe i'm here
0
Next French Prime Minister
dreamer
11 months ago
fuck I fat fingered
2
Who will endorse Kamala?
dreamer
11 months ago
:o
0
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
Great point
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MichaelFowlie
11 months ago
hahaha.. my Discord is kinda obviously this account yeah
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
- MichaelFowlie
0
dreamer
11 months ago
IN REFERENCE TO POLYMARKET CONTEXT UPDATE: The logic Polymarket clarifies is flawed. They state because Trump said he would never sell that it is a "reserve". However the whole purpose of a "reserve" is to sell when needed.
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
IN REFERENCE TO POLYMARKET CONTEXT UPDATE: The logic Polymarket clarifies is flawed. They state because Trump said he would never sell that it is a "reserve". However the whole purpose of a "reserve" is to sell when needed.
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Liked by MichaelFow..., ThomasAdvi... and 7 others
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
CREATION of US Strategic Reserve of Bitcoin as being the condition that settles YES. This however, was not the case and he simply referenced the current strategic stockpile within the current capacity that it HOLDS OR ACQUIRES Bitcoin. HE NEVER MENTIONED OR ENDORSED THE CREATION OF SUCH AN AGENCY
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Liked by MichaelFow..., n/a and 11 others
UFC 304
dreamer
11 months ago
heh
1
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
I made this point in the UMA dispute for everyone but then this polymarket context box came up
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MichaelFowlie
11 months ago
Another point that I can't see made is that this market is for a "strategic" reserve. Whereas Trump mentioned a stockpile built from seized bitcoin. These are very different. A "strategic" reserve is built up to a predetermined level that meets the strategic needs of the country. Simply not selling seized bitcoin does not achieve this goal.
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
I gave my argument for us within the dispute discussion.
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Kamala.Harris
11 months ago
Keeping isn't creating: "And so as the final part of my plan today, I am announcing that if I am elected, it will be the policy of my administration, United States of America, to keep 100% of all the bitcoin the U.S. government currently holds or acquires into the future, we'll keep 100%."
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump announces that he will create a US strategic reserve of Bitcoin
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polychamp
11 months ago
Nice win
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
Yup.
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Higgs5
11 months ago
"to keep all the bitcoin the US govt currently holds OR ACQUIRES...this will serve as the strategic national bitcoin stockpile"
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
He does not mention once he is creating a new strategic reserve of bitcoin lol, he eludes to keeping the current stockpile
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dreamer
11 months ago
"This will serve as the core of the strategic national stockpile" Referencing the stockpile the US government currently holds which differs COMPLETELY from a strategic reserve of bitcoin
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
"This will serve as the core of the strategic national stockpile" Referencing the stockpile the US government currently holds which differs COMPLETELY from a strategic reserve of bitcoin
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polychamp
11 months ago
You can rewatch for your enjoyment (or your disappointment) starting at 45:37 -
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
Not only that, the majority of what he was talking about being seized funds as a stockpile
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Munners
11 months ago
Also we literally just had another market settle as "no" for the word "reserve" being said. If the word is not said HOW could he annonce it?
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
yeah I'm hoping the process to judge this takes into account every word said and if that's the case we will win
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ThomasAdvisory
11 months ago
I’ve spend two hours researching this and the more time I spend on it the more I want to buy NO.
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
I'm glad everyone here reached the consensus that when monetary value is involved the "news headlines" remain the arbiter of the truth
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OedipusRex
11 months ago
I don't want to spam any more headlines, but news organizations are widely reporting this as "Trump vows to build U.S. bitcoin reserve" https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20240727306/trump-vows-to-build-us-bitcoin-reserve-crypto-community-is-cheering
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
Yeah if you watch this, https://vxtwitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/1817306835306557688, you will see what you mentioned exactly. So different from a how a strategic reserve operates. This is pretty crazy
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TheGermanGuy
11 months ago
1. He said he wanted to KEEP the stockpile and not CREATE. 2. He didn't say RESERVE but STOCKPILE.
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
Yeah, I'm not sure. I am relatively new to this market but there is a difference between a strategic reserve of bitcoin and a stockpile of bitcoin
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🤺JustPunched
11 months ago
I'm pretty neutral on this one. I think what Lummis proposed is definitely a strategic reserve -- you buy bitcoin and hold it. What Trump proposed -- that they not sell seized Bitcoin and stockpile it -- is definitely not what Lummis is proposing. And what Trump proposed is not how the US currently operates our petroleum strategic reserve (whereas Lummis is proposing something extremely similar to the petroleum strategic reserve). However, given all of that, Polymarket has been throwing out their rules and siding with the "vibes" of a market regardless of whether it is correct or not. And the vibes here is that Trump announced something similar to a reserve, so it's probably unlikely that a dispute would win. It's really unfortunate that Polymarket is going down the path of throwing out the truth in favor of vibes, but that is their decision.
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
Yes a strategic reserve differs from a stockpile of held commodities, I don't know how this is complicated to understand
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Car
11 months ago
Lol google the defenition of a reserve
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
If someone disputes make sure to mention the fact that a strategic reserve implies the strategic accumulation of bitcoin which completely differs to holding a stockpile with no implication of accumulating bitcoin strategically
2
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
It's not a synonym at all as it doesn't imply they are strategically accumulating
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ootharju
11 months ago
Stockpile is a synonym for reserve. This is the intent of the market
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
Good luck regardless
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TheGermanGuy
11 months ago
He just dont say reserve. Stockpile is the same thing just another word.
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
I'm going to say this again, I don't think it constitutes a strategic reserve because saying it's a stockpile is not implying they are strategically accumulating (stockpile)
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TheGermanGuy
11 months ago
He just dont say reserve. Stockpile is the same thing just another word.
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
dreamer
11 months ago
I don't think it constitutes a strategic reserve because saying it's a stockpile is not implying they are strategically accumulating (stockpile)
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Car
11 months ago
He wants to accumulate bitcoins the US already holds, goodluck arguing a stockpile is the same as a strategic bitcoin reserve to UMA
Who will endorse Kamala?
dreamer
11 months ago
I think?
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aenews2
11 months ago
https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1817243928548319732?t=0EJTBLeRyOBoHaT2wchbIQ&s=19
Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?
dreamer
11 months ago
its over
0
Car
11 months ago
Next week
Who will endorse Kamala?
dreamer
11 months ago
we have this in the dispute window!!!!!!!!
0
Who will endorse Kamala?
dreamer
11 months ago
Fight for Barack NOs.. This is our kingdom lads do not let them rout our courage.
2
Who will endorse Kamala?
dreamer
11 months ago
idk I'm buying more lmao
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Pama
11 months ago
how tf obama not endsoring Kamala is so low ? he said right away he doesnt see here winning, order book didnt move an inch
Who will endorse Kamala?
dreamer
11 months ago
Guess no one has any idea that they are running with a virtual roll call for nominee at the beginning of August
2
Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?
dreamer
11 months ago
she's not gonna notice bro..
0
OmegaReborn
11 months ago
I think the one thing us yes and no voters can agree on is that guy should be banned from the platform
Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?
dreamer
11 months ago
I just want to remind you all that.. He is scheduled to land... and the media will see him.... and it will be a public appearance off AF1.....
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