n/a | Polymarket Tracker

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

plz respond

1

dancer

1 month ago

they lose $200,000 you retard. Please keep betting, you are a resource for fading

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Please stay respectful sir.

1

dancer

1 month ago

kill yourself asshole

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

My sir...i am needed of the answers.

1

dancer

1 month ago

they lose $200,000 you retard. Please keep betting, you are a resource for fading

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

I see the "No" washtrading...but what about on the "Yes" side? Why have all the whales not dumped it yet if this is guaranteed to be a "No"?

0

n/a

1 month ago

What happens if someone market buys $200,000 of "Yes" right now? Asking for a friend.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Kind sir please reply to my questions they are important. I dont understand why you are so upset.

2

dancer

1 month ago

they lose $200,000 you retard. Please keep betting, you are a resource for fading

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

If I buy 1000 yes @ 0.1 cents doesnt that 3x if i then am able to sell at 0.3 cents??????

0

dancer

1 month ago

they lose $200,000 you retard. Please keep betting, you are a resource for fading

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Cant get cheaper than 0.1 cents. Its like free lottery tickets.

0

dancer

1 month ago

they lose $200,000 you retard. Please keep betting, you are a resource for fading

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Also, what happens if someone market sells $200,000 of "No" right now? Really curious tbh.

0

n/a

1 month ago

What happens if someone market buys $200,000 of "Yes" right now? Asking for a friend.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

What happens if someone market buys $200,000 of "Yes" right now? Asking for a friend.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Still waiting. Over 2 hours and not one market sell into 0.1cents???? Not 1 measley share for 0.1 cents??? XD XD XD XD

0

n/a

1 month ago

Just sell everyone. This is obviously a lock for "No". XD XD

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Just sell everyone. This is obviously a lock for "No". XD XD

0

n/a

1 month ago

Why is there $300 worth of buys for "Yes" sitting at 0.1 cents for hours? XD

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Why is there $300 worth of buys for "Yes" sitting at 0.1 cents for hours? XD

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

No. Resolve it to 100% Yes or let the obvious scam stand for all to see.

2

ChromePixel

1 month ago

at least resolve it as 50/50, don't kill innocent people by stealing their fking life savings

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Wikipedia is actually wrong because in both time zones the attack was launched on 30th September.

0

harvastum

1 month ago

The rules clearly specify September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET as cutoff. Wikipedia isn't wrong, because they take local time into account.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

And 30th September U.S. EST. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ At latest, one could argue it was 1 Oct. local time at midnight which is still 30th September US EST.

0

ChromePixel

1 month ago

military offensive intended to establish control, military offensive intended to establish control, military offensive intended to establish control, military offensive intended to establish control, military offensive intended to establish control, military offensive intended to establish control

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Yes. They launched it on 30 September local time. https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776

0

ChromePixel

1 month ago

military offensive intended to establish control, military offensive intended to establish control, military offensive intended to establish control, military offensive intended to establish control, military offensive intended to establish control, military offensive intended to establish control

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Something will be blown up alright. "I need a name, an address, and a few Pepes..." XD

0

Meow.Zedong

1 month ago

That’s stupid. Just blow up the reputations of the people responsible instead.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

*zones

0

n/a

1 month ago

Not to mention that that wiki article doesn't even mention time zomes....

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Not to mention that that wiki article doesn't even mention time zomes....

2

n/a

1 month ago

It says invasion started on 1 October 2024 here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776

0

n/a

1 month ago

It says invasion started on 1 October 2024 here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

lmao @ lawyers. That would take too long....

0

Carlossss

1 month ago

any lawyer in the room?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

I know. They're playing the game of thinking that they're giving idiots what they deserve by scamming.

2

n/a

1 month ago

According to @JustKen it doesn’t matter

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

20 hrs in this market and I STILL haven't heard a single argument for "No" that addresses.... https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776.

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

If this goes through, Poly will be looked at as PURPOSEFULLY enabling them not simply being too naive and shortsighted when they designed this platform. It never ceases to amaze me how some devs are so willing to paint a target on themselves when they could print money by avoiding a quick scam.

0

HaterzLoserz

1 month ago

The way UMA is designed and distributed right now makes for a very toxic system as far as I can see. The main bulk consists of UMA team members who vote with enough tokens to achieve Quorum on all disputes. Then, the main incentive to purchase large amounts of UMA outside of that actually comes from traders + arbers who want to manipulate the dispute mechanism to trade in and out of positions during the dispute or arb the final decision. This makes for a very unhealthy system where the incentive does not always amount to the most objective truth imo. Mechanisms like the reveal period, incentivise Whales not to reveal their side of the vote to supress the price and buy up more tokens for the side they think will win for example. Between the core tokens being held by 2-3 people, and this attraction of actors who seek to profit from the dispute mechanism, lack of transparency and timely visibility on whose voting unless you run a node and can code Dune requests. Its just a terrible look for any new user who gets involved in a dispute like this and encounters the process. Should be very high on Poly's to do list after the election, Polytoken and use it for their own system thats much improved. Just an analysis of the current system and its flaws, i dont necessarily want to revert this decision or anything, it is what it is.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Yeah, this is definitely some of the best i've seen.

0

0x6b07D80f00a65bE25C8FF1bA57063e5e09D85F59-1722856566954

1 month ago

market manipulation at its finest

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Keep the Yes prices low for a few more hours plz. ;)

0

Car

1 month ago

Patiently waiting for the last whales to vote P2 YES

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

At what time?

0

Sacred

1 month ago

they started an attack in october, so NO is 100%

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Y I K E S...

0

PolyRig-Fried

1 month ago

@Chad and the Yes holders: if you need a name and a face, Kevin Chan of UMA voted NO with 32.5% of all shares. I wonder if this constitutes fraud in the US, since he's gaining financial incentive from voting on false outcomes. Interestingly, Pablo Maldonado of UMA voted No, but he has only has 3.3% of all shares. Source: https://dune.com/primo_data/uma-voter-polymarket-disputes?market_tc8b8e=Will+Israel+invade+Lebanon+in+September%3F&time_td376e=1728001850

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Litterally 0 (zero) argument for No. The only question was timezone (local Israeli or U.S. EST) and now THAT isnt even a question anymore. The only question left for everyone is if they are going to get scammed or not and if they do this goes straight to the global press lmao.

2

n/a

1 month ago

"In accordance with the decision of the political echelon, a few hours ago, the IDF began limited, localized, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence against Hezbollah terrorist targets and infrastructure in southern Lebanon. These targets are located in villages close to the border and pose an immediate threat to Israeli communities in northern Israel. The IDF is operating according to a methodical plan set out by the General Staff and the Northern Command which IDF soldiers have trained and prepared for in recent months. The Israeli Air Force and IDF Artillery are supporting the ground forces with precise strikes on military targets in the area. These operations were approved and carried out in accordance with the decision of the political echelon. Operation “Northern Arrows” will continue according to the situational assessment and in parallel to combat in Gaza and in other arenas. The IDF is continuing to operate to achieve the goals of the war and is doing everything necessary to defend the citizens of Israel and return the citizens of northern Israel to their homes."

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

"In accordance with the decision of the political echelon, a few hours ago, the IDF began limited, localized, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence against Hezbollah terrorist targets and infrastructure in southern Lebanon. These targets are located in villages close to the border and pose an immediate threat to Israeli communities in northern Israel. The IDF is operating according to a methodical plan set out by the General Staff and the Northern Command which IDF soldiers have trained and prepared for in recent months. The Israeli Air Force and IDF Artillery are supporting the ground forces with precise strikes on military targets in the area. These operations were approved and carried out in accordance with the decision of the political echelon. Operation “Northern Arrows” will continue according to the situational assessment and in parallel to combat in Gaza and in other arenas. The IDF is continuing to operate to achieve the goals of the war and is doing everything necessary to defend the citizens of Israel and return the citizens of northern Israel to their homes."

0

Tenebrus7

1 month ago

Can't withhold and quote my comment from yesterday ;) : If October would not have happend September would not be N invasion, so how can September by itself be an invasion. We will see shortly, in case No loses people will be quiet - in case yes loses, people gonna spam the comment section how unfair it is.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Its not going to work lmao. At this point buying Yes is a cheap gamble to 30x. Better keep painting those buy and sell walls!

0

dancer

1 month ago

This is an OUTRAGE! The Yes voters have been SCAMMED! I will be complaining to the SUPREME COURT!!!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

They should resolve it to 100% "Yes". There's literally zero argument for "No" at this point.

5

0x6b07D80f00a65bE25C8FF1bA57063e5e09D85F59-1722856566954

1 month ago

They should just resolve to 50-50

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

It could also just end up as a simple "Yes".

0

PokerBrat

1 month ago

Not over yet. It could fail to reach consensus which could be catastrophic

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Votes can be "recommitted".

0

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

1 month ago

sad how uma votes against the facts

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

There's only about $200k between Yes @ 3 cents and Yes at 50 cents.

1

fhantombets

1 month ago

Wow there used to be alot of comments from Y holders because of how much they were going to win, now there's alot of comments from Y holders about how they lost so badly, funny how that works

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 month ago

Yes @ 3cents means $100 turns into $3,000....

0

PBet

1 month ago

No use to make additional arguments on why this market should be YES. The dice are cast, eveenthough its a scam.