#328
Rank
92
Comments
49
Likes Received
96
Likes Given
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
NoiseC
4 months ago
"total loss of reality and facts" That's why it's profitable.
1
ETDisclosure
4 months ago
used this site one week, what i found mayor scam activity, total loss of reality and facts, many crazy people, much whale 0/10 would not bet again
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
NoiseC
4 months ago
That's a feature, not a bug.
1
Nami-Swann
4 months ago
The leaked peace proposal is completely retarded. No nato, no us involvement on the ground, and above all RECOGNITION OF OCCUPIED LANDS. And people bidding this ?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
4 months ago
He’s flying to Istanbul.
2
Zorroh
4 months ago
Why is Eric Adams going up?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
5 months ago
Oh I'm sorry were we only supposed to bet on happy outcomes? Sounds like a great way to lose money...
0
UndefeatedElectionForecaster
5 months ago
this is when the fun starts
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
6 months ago
What is that in English?
0
NoiseC
6 months ago
Number one tell for a rube bettor: "But Trump said..."
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
6 months ago
Number one tell for a rube bettor: "But Trump said..."
1
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
6 months ago
lol
0
GhostTouch
6 months ago
Himself ? is that allowed by law ?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
6 months ago
No, Trump could still pardon him.
0
Intuition
6 months ago
Shouldn't hunter resolve?
Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?
NoiseC
6 months ago
You wasted my time, so I deserve a tip.
11
OrangutanMan
6 months ago
Insane value on "No", here's why: 1: Every single person who has been nominated to the cabinet has explicitly requested to be on the cabinet, no one, including Matt Gaetz, had a change of heart about apply to their position. The only reason Gaetz resigned was because there was litterally so much controversy around him that that was all anyone was talking about in the news. This has not happened anywhere close to anyone else nominated, and that it what it takes to make someone withdraw. My estimate for fair value would be 95% No chance. If you made it this far, please consider a tip amount for me if i helped you decide, any amount is appreciated.
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
NoiseC
6 months ago
Ah yes, not solving the very easy and uncomplicated cartel problem is merely due to motivation. The world is a very simple place.
1
IllegalAlien👽
6 months ago
"He said the import duties on Mexico and Canada would only be removed once illegal immigration and drug trafficking to the US had stopped." Immigrants stopped maybe, but does anyone seriously think the seamstress in charge of Mexico now can stop the cartels exporting - on her end? This seems like an impossible mission and guaranteed tariffs. I'm almost tempted to buy yes.
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
NoiseC
6 months ago
There are profitable markets all over this site, and all you have to do is take Trump at his word to make the easy money. Good luck!
2
IllegalAlien👽
6 months ago
"He said the import duties on Mexico and Canada would only be removed once illegal immigration and drug trafficking to the US had stopped." Immigrants stopped maybe, but does anyone seriously think the seamstress in charge of Mexico now can stop the cartels exporting - on her end? This seems like an impossible mission and guaranteed tariffs. I'm almost tempted to buy yes.
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
NoiseC
7 months ago
For instance, Elon. Wait, what?
0
schizo420
7 months ago
Putin has lived in poverty since childhood. He has achieved unprecedented heights. I think the war will continue until Putin dies, or until they invent a pill of immortality and Putin will live forever. It's a shame when you have achieved a lot, but in the end you still die. And for now, Putin watches young guys who have their whole lives ahead of them die, and his soul feels better.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
7 months ago
You have to keep in mind that a trump supporter thinks trump has never lied to them.
7
GoblinMilk
7 months ago
People really saw Trump throw the entire non-interventionist wing under the bus and go "yeah trump will totally keep his promise he made to a room of 14 balding incel libertarians"
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
The problem is trump won before and then did it again.
0
JohnnyDeep
7 months ago
Imagine Lake makes a comeback one day like Trump
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
OK can we have an arizona senate confirmation market now please? Need more free money...
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
7 months ago
Because some in the maga cult think trump is a totally different person than he actually is.
2
SexyEagle
7 months ago
why is Julian Assange so high?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
7 months ago
So people can bet on it.
3
joerogan123
7 months ago
why the hell is hunter biden an option
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
You can't reason with them. That's why it's so easy to take their money.
3
TartarianRetard
7 months ago
110k more votes then Kamala both 92% counted in Arizona
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
I certainly cannot shape their behavior in any way.
0
NoiseC
7 months ago
Alrighty you nutjobs, do your thing so I can buy back in and make more money. No excuses.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
It stands for cope.
0
NoiseC
7 months ago
For the love of god, poly needs to make a certification market for this race, but only after this one pays out.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Alrighty you nutjobs, do your thing so I can buy back in and make more money. No excuses.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Oh well if you "had it confirmed," that's all anyone needs to know...
0
NoiseC
7 months ago
For the love of god, poly needs to make a certification market for this race, but only after this one pays out.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
For the love of god, poly needs to make a certification market for this race, but only after this one pays out.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
I love betting markets.
0
bidentheiceceramdestroyer
7 months ago
This is definitely one of the most infiguration-inflating bets. I'm not even an American and still know that a senator can't get a higher vote than a president
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
The "more than registered voters" thing is always so easily debunkable.
2
Comebackkid
7 months ago
Gallego got 127k more votes than there are registered dems in AZ. They will now try to avoid a recount
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
7 months ago
It's all relative.
1
RoadToZero
7 months ago
I'm just putting more and more on no. I struggle to find reasons on why trump would do such a thing, it'd give democrats such a great way to attack on him on his "tough on drugs and crime policy" + he also tried to murder people.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
A great way to "stop the steal" is to bet against it and lose money.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Better to lose a lot than to win a little.
1
Andy-Beshear
7 months ago
This race will be called today.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Is this where voting happens?
1
NoiseC
7 months ago
We need more lectures in here from the losers about how stupid the winners are.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
We need more lectures in here from the losers about how stupid the winners are.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Step one, lose money. Step two, angrily lecture the winners about how stupid they are. Step 3, ???. Step 4, profit.
1
Andy-Beshear
7 months ago
This race will be called today.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Now that's the spirit!
0
Andy-Beshear
7 months ago
This race will be called today.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Please teach us more about your winning strategies.
1
Andy-Beshear
7 months ago
This race will be called today.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
I would hope they would close it according to the rules.
0
Andy-Beshear
7 months ago
This race will be called today.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
STOP THE COUNT! (oh wait she's behind) COUNT THE VOTES!
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Simultaneously believing that elections keep getting stolen, and then betting against them getting stolen, is hilarious to me.
1
Comebackkid
7 months ago
bad idea betting on us elections after the 2020 scam,I hedged on Kamala knowing it was rigged and I was leveraged to the tits on altcoins, then saw Trump for the win and aped Kari, bad choice going against the deep state, never again.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Once this market resolves from press calls, we need another market based on certification.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Sir this is a Wendy's.
0
TheFiddler
7 months ago
I personally would like to thank all the MAGA supporters here. Your dedication and loyalty to Kari Lake made this market great again.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
What a dumb thing to bet on, then.
1
TheFiddler
7 months ago
I personally would like to thank all the MAGA supporters here. Your dedication and loyalty to Kari Lake made this market great again.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Oh, I'm no genius. And yeah, 30 bucks is nothing. I'm talking about trump bettors that think they are geniuses now.
0
NoiseC
7 months ago
Trump winning is a blessing for gambling markets. Newly anointed geniuses with money.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
The senate is a structural advantage for Republicans though. All the weird-state senate dems are gone to never return. There just aren't enough states where dems can win senate seats.
0
Slan
7 months ago
With the last race called (Gallego/Lake), outside of Trump winning (a historic realignment, most latinos ever won by a Rep., most blacks in 48 years, NJ, NY, IL all much closer than Texas), the election was a near disaster for Republicans. There was an R+4 electorate! When was the last time that happened? If the GOP couldn't win the majority of possible Senate and House seat pickups then, they will be destroyed in the 26 midterms. An R+4 electorate is a once in a lifetime opportunity with a Presidential candidate racking up an EC rout and popular vote win. I fear what will happen in 2026 and beyond.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Scoreboard.
0
biggamefish
7 months ago
If you think the 6-3 SC, Trump or the R Senate & House is going to let this slide you are mistaken haha
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Trump winning is a blessing for gambling markets. Newly anointed geniuses with money.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Is anyone literate in here? I guess it's awesome that the answer is no...
0
biggamefish
7 months ago
If you think the 6-3 SC, Trump or the R Senate & House is going to let this slide you are mistaken haha
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Cool, but that's not relevant to this market.
0
biggamefish
7 months ago
If you think the 6-3 SC, Trump or the R Senate & House is going to let this slide you are mistaken haha
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
You seem to be able to write, so you should probably be able to read the rules.
1
Znfinger - 24898
7 months ago
What would happen to this market if it came to light that the election was fixed?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Please redeposit.
0
biggamefish
7 months ago
Arizona's Pima and Yuma counties appear to have added 22,816 votes following Election Day. A US appeals court just ruled that counting ballots AFTER the election is ILLEGAL.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
Go do a Jan 6.
0
biggamefish
7 months ago
Arizona's Pima and Yuma counties appear to have added 22,816 votes following Election Day. A US appeals court just ruled that counting ballots AFTER the election is ILLEGAL.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
NoiseC
7 months ago
I don't know Ross Ulbricht. Maybe he said very nice things about me.
4
Which states will pass amendments protecting abortion?
NoiseC
7 months ago
Right in the middle.
0
LR1
8 months ago
where is nebraska
Iowa Presidential Election Winner
NoiseC
7 months ago
That this is a live market is hilarious. Not a good sign for trumpy boy.
1
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
NoiseC
7 months ago
LOL
0
MarketManager
7 months ago
fuck, i broke it
Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?
NoiseC
7 months ago
Ann Selzer owns this market.
6
Who will win white women?
NoiseC
7 months ago
That does not show certainty!
0
NoiseC
7 months ago
Maga, you must defend white women by betting on Trump here.
Who will win white women?
NoiseC
7 months ago
Maga, you must defend white women by betting on Trump here.
5
Who will win white women?
NoiseC
7 months ago
Someone needs to tell maga about this market.
4
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?
NoiseC
8 months ago
It's what losing prediction market players always say.
2
adikoriginal
8 months ago
Just wait...
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?
NoiseC
8 months ago
Think it through...
2
Keer
8 months ago
Why isn’t this 100 yet
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
NoiseC
8 months ago
They are kind of bad at this…not the argument you think it is.
1
Secret14thKey
8 months ago
Kamala's team definitely leaked to Reuters that they were talking to Rogan just to look like fools by not showing up btw. They're just really bad at this
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
NoiseC
8 months ago
Does she really have time to hear about elk meat and cold plunges?
3
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
NoiseC
8 months ago
There are a lot of things she could have done to improve her chances that she hasn't done.
0
Clenc
8 months ago
Kamala needs to do this interview if she wants a chance to win
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
NoiseC
8 months ago
They are two different people?
6
XiJinPing
8 months ago
how is Trump decaying so much, but Kamala is still the same price lol?
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
NoiseC
8 months ago
Because we want to bet on "Harris goes on Rogan."
0
Eyebrows
8 months ago
Why are hardly any of y'all on the Trump goes on Rogan market. Makes no sense
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
NoiseC
8 months ago
"I 100% trust Alex Jones." Fascinating!
1
goingsocial
8 months ago
Either they both go on or the logistics are too hard to do in time and neither do. Seems like a gift that you can bet Y here and N on the other and win in either situation. I hope the ideologues don't leave the site after the election.
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
NoiseC
8 months ago
Winning half is a tiny polling error from winning them all. But now I’m talking about math and stuff.
1
Jagoe
8 months ago
wait... you rainbow hair retards actually think shes winning them all?? lmao she will be lucky if she gets half
2024 September hottest on record?
NoiseC
8 months ago
Oh, the irony…
5
CultArtist
8 months ago
This is gonna take a long time to settle. The GISTEMP monthly update's primary source of input data is the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information data center located in Asheville, which is currently devistated from Hurricane Helene
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
The ones whose results you don’t like are fake, obviously.
0
0xc82CDDbfD073be01AE8DF2968827aa82269B4c85-1717120400943
8 months ago
We will learn a lot about how skewed polling is today. Vance won, it isn't up for debate, so if polls don't show that we will start to get an idea of what polls are fake and which are more accurate.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
So if this ultimately resolves to Walz it means Walz won?
0
Wasserbrunner
8 months ago
It’s like the people commenting don’t know the entire purpose of this prediction market. The debate happened, and the odds here show that Vance won.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
Congrats!
0
Wasserbrunner
8 months ago
There’s no better source in the world for who won that debate than this market.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
Yup, that’s it! It has nothing to with a poll that will be released. It’s just using money to vote on who won!
1
Wasserbrunner
8 months ago
It’s like the people commenting don’t know the entire purpose of this prediction market. The debate happened, and the odds here show that Vance won.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
I've been in and out of it. Will the comment police allow that?
0
Meow.Zedong
8 months ago
Co-signing this retort to everyone who thinks J6 comments will sway this debate. https://x.com/dschlopesisback/status/1656078002025902081?s=46&t=tX5is6vYXMoMaZmLocHmsA
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
I’m not watching that garbage, thanks however.
0
Meow.Zedong
8 months ago
Co-signing this retort to everyone who thinks J6 comments will sway this debate. https://x.com/dschlopesisback/status/1656078002025902081?s=46&t=tX5is6vYXMoMaZmLocHmsA
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
A prediction market has never been wrong.
2
donky
8 months ago
There is no better judge of who won the debate then the money. Walz 70 to 30 pre and Vance 70 to 30 post. 80 point swing. It's so obvious. Will see shorty.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
Some people, and I know some of them are former Trump voters because they’ve spoken about it, don’t think that denying Trump’s defeat in 2020 is normal.
0
0x63325293geDetgu4g028d8hh9dDegjAsuneg44
8 months ago
That's what two normies debating looked like, wow, it feels like it's been a while. Good tone throughout, good performance by both; no surprise both their favorability scores went up massively and polls suggesting a tie, probably split on party lines. Guessing the Ipsos Yougov results will be 50 50 with the margin of error deciding the winner here.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
They have to rig it.
2
danclarkie
8 months ago
Why is the poll taking so long?
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
🙈
0
Chimp1
8 months ago
def more than 22% view Walz unfavorably
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
I like how you’ve memory-holed Trump v. Harris.
0
donky
8 months ago
Anyone saying Walz won is delusional. This was a professional debater vs a school teacher and the teach got schooled. Not close. Those who bet Walz bet because the thought the media would bail them out are in for a big surprise. Only worse beat down was the recent Trump vs Biden.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
NoiseC
8 months ago
Can we do “don’t trust the Israelis,” please?
1
shinguang
8 months ago
my fellow broke ass niggas. don’t trust the jews. thank you.
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
NoiseC
8 months ago
Someone needs to put those plastic outlet protectors in this guy’s house, and maybe put a helmet on him for the next 72 hours.
1
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
You lost me at Walz losing his temper. He may say something crazy, but I don’t think it will be out of anger.
1
n/a
8 months ago
Tough call. Vance has the charisma of a wet dish napkin, but he is well-spoken and good at pushing people's buttons. Walz is kinda the opposite. Charismatic, but Vance might be able to make him lose his temper while keeping a cool head. It'll be interesting for sure.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
NoiseC
8 months ago
It doesn’t sound like anyone is putting weight on pre-debate favorables, but I think that should be a fairly large factor. People will tend to say the guy they find likeable won, no?
5
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
NoiseC
9 months ago
I deserve to get paid for having to read what he wrote on nude africa.
10
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
NoiseC
9 months ago
Would they really want to telegraph it like this?
0
bolle
9 months ago
CAIRO — Israel said Wednesday it was readying troops for a potential ground incursion into Lebanon, telling soldiers to prepare to “enter enemy territory” as it called up more reservists and sent world leaders scrambling to prevent a full-scale war with Hezbollah militants. “We are preparing the process of a maneuver,” the Israeli military chief, Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi, told troops at an exercise along the northern border, “which means your military boots ... will enter enemy territory.” “You will go in, destroy the enemy there and decisively destroy their infrastructure,” he said, adding that the operation would allow Israeli residents, displaced for months by Hezbollah rocket fire, to “safely” return home.
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
NoiseC
9 months ago
Take profits or hang out five days for another 5¢, hmm…
0
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
NoiseC
9 months ago
Thank you for confirming I’m on the correct side of this bet.
5
MichaelBurryd
9 months ago
he's just really into trannies, like every democrat
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
NoiseC
9 months ago
https://x.com/jack_burkman/status/1837999854699643258?s=46
0
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
NoiseC
9 months ago
It also makes it easier for him to claim he was persecuted. Dropping out could be read as an admission of guilt.
2
ACat
9 months ago
It’s sort of hard to tell the story as to why this man doesn’t just sit in his office and continue to exist as a zombie campaign. They can’t replace him, and NC requires write-in candidates to turn in a petition with signatures 90 days in advance, which nobody did, so there’s no even a write-in option for governor on NC ballots.
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
NoiseC
9 months ago
Well, I mean his whole staff just quit but does he even need a staff?
0
EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG
9 months ago
I've been weighing this too. There was far more incentive for both the party and Robinson to drop out before the deadline. Now, that incentive is gone. If Robinson drops out now, his name is still on the ballot unless the courts do something extraordinary. Surprised to see 'Yes' appreciating as the deadline nears when the upside for him dropping out is much less.
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
NoiseC
9 months ago
Earnest question: What’s his incentive for dropping out, and why would that incentive not have already been offered by those urging him to do so?
1
Will Nebraska switch to winner-take-all?
NoiseC
9 months ago
So you don’t think it complicates the election to make a last-minute change that blatantly helps one candidate? Sure…
2
YIMBYcaucus🏡
9 months ago
Of course they’ll change this. It’s Nebraska and when you ask a regular person in America about this issue people don’t want more complicated elections
Will Nebraska switch to winner-take-all?
NoiseC
9 months ago
Let’s just go with the national popular vote then. “No, not like that!”
2
YIMBYcaucus🏡
9 months ago
Of course they’ll change this. It’s Nebraska and when you ask a regular person in America about this issue people don’t want more complicated elections