#249
Rank
119
Comments
51
Likes Received
271
Likes Given
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Just no need and enough reason for UMA to clearly vote YES or No at this stage
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Quite likely to be voted P4, too early now. Imagine Trump going to Joe Rogan being asked about his involvement then stating he is not involved and just gets a commission like for any other deal he does.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Quite likely to be voted P4, too early now. Imagine Trump going to Joe Rogan being asked about his involvement then stating he is not involved and just gets a commission like for any other deal he does.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Plus CNN had subtitles saying teacher already live.
Randomchooser
1 month ago
In the same situation one month ago UMA voted YES for Walz "tch" saying he was clearly meant "teacher" which it wasn't, why this time should be different with a word spoken clearer? Facts, not opinions.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Nice someone market bought No, did mind to get out.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
What happened to your 70k Yes position in that market? If I recall correctly oo? I am always on the wrong side of volatility in this market oo
aenews2
1 month ago
Can we go back to 45c for old time's sake?
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Good thing with a lower price for now here is that makes it more likely for whales to enter here and try to push the main market on the day above 50%. But quite capital heavy, waiting for Yatsen etc to join the game or 50pence to buy more. Come on guys good time to get into the market here :)
BuckMySalls
1 month ago
this market is just asking for trouble. i realize i'm up against it now with fredi doing qe on trump shares but all it takes is a week of +2 polls for kamala in the rust belt and she'll be right back up there. they're subbing in obama to start campaigning for her in the fourth quarter. gl maga moonbois
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Can't withhold and quote my comment from yesterday ;) : If October would not have happend September would not be N invasion, so how can September by itself be an invasion. We will see shortly, in case No loses people will be quiet - in case yes loses, people gonna spam the comment section how unfair it is.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
It is not the same amount of people, tanks, forces, they enteted, retreated and invaded
TooDumbToWin
1 month ago
the question of entry into the territory was resolved quickly, if UMA then said "early request" for the invasion it is simply because it was too early to know if we could talk about invasion or not, they were waiting to know more, people think that this will turn into no, but by saying "early request" it does not mean that they want to say NO just that it was too early, now the invasion has been determined so entry into the territory is indeed an invasion
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
If October would not have happend September would not be N invasion, so how can September by itself be an invasion. We will see shortly, in case No loses people will be quiet - in case yes loses, people gonna spam the comment section how unfair it is.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Yes some of US actions resulted invasion like here but timelime is important, not the first men send could be called invasion. Like here the invasion is clear but the timeline and actions matter. It is definitely debatable.
BibiNetanyahu
1 month ago
As someone who lived in northern Israel and has now been evacuated, I'll share my perspective, having experienced it firsthand. From the beginning, on October 8th, it was clear the intention was to capture southern Lebanon (up to the Litani River) and establish a buffer zone between us and Hezbollah terrorists. This was obvious from the start, but we couldn’t achieve it because most of our main forces were focused on Gaza. Now that Hamas is 90% dealt with, the focus has shifted to the northern front. And yet, some privileged person is trying to claim that Israel is there for fun? What a joke.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
No one claims they are there for fun if it would only be about intentions the market would not exist or would be at 100% yes from start. Still the small raids in empty areas after air strikes can't be classified as invasion yes. In how many countries did US send troops, did they Invade all, nope
BibiNetanyahu
1 month ago
As someone who lived in northern Israel and has now been evacuated, I'll share my perspective, having experienced it firsthand. From the beginning, on October 8th, it was clear the intention was to capture southern Lebanon (up to the Litani River) and establish a buffer zone between us and Hezbollah terrorists. This was obvious from the start, but we couldn’t achieve it because most of our main forces were focused on Gaza. Now that Hamas is 90% dealt with, the focus has shifted to the northern front. And yet, some privileged person is trying to claim that Israel is there for fun? What a joke.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
All in on any bet is stupid, simple bank roll management
BibiNetanyahu
1 month ago
Food for thought: If JustKen/Doomer is so confident about his position and that this market will end up as 'NO (P1)', why is he trying to convince people in Discord, Polymarket, and on Twitter? If I were him, I would just stay quiet and enjoy buying the cheap 'NO' shares.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Why are posting instead of buying more - same question.
BibiNetanyahu
1 month ago
Food for thought: If JustKen/Doomer is so confident about his position and that this market will end up as 'NO (P1)', why is he trying to convince people in Discord, Polymarket, and on Twitter? If I were him, I would just stay quiet and enjoy buying the cheap 'NO' shares.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Mission Northern Arrow and the IDF speech does not contradict that first ground raids started without a goal to establish control then invasion happening later. Mission Northern Arrow was ongoing for a long time including the air strikes before
BigMike11
1 month ago
Look. If we find a video of Trump saying "mog" a month ago, nobody would hesitate to use it to resolve the "Has Trump said mog?" market simply because it came before the the last P4 vote.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Only the following actions in October made it true, if stopped at the deadline by end of September no invasion would have commenced.
BigMike11
1 month ago
Did you see this point-blank eye-witness testimony from an Israeli commander on September 30th that the invasion had commenced? https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-821158
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
The comment section is not for the process and if hold enough UMA token to make an impact on the vote lfmao.
PolyRig-Fried
1 month ago
Dude, stop it. Vote with your UMA shares, you only reshuffle chairs on the Titanic. UMA votes is all that counts in the end. Actually you posting here, make me think you don't understand the process and your 7.6k NOs are rightfully taken from you.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
We will see, arguments for both sides, feels like 50:50 now.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Thoughts of a No Holder: in isolation the September actions could only me counted as entered and limited raids, all sources of wester media with headline invasion quoting that as source. Only due to subsequent October 2nd actions there is even a question of September Invasion. In a parallel world were October actions would not have followed September would already be at No. Thoughts of a Yes holder: but November resolved to YES...
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Thoughts of a No Holder: in isolation the September actions could only me counted as entered and limited raids, all sources of wester media with headline invasion quoting that as source. Only due to subsequent October 2nd actions there is even a question of September Invasion. In a parallel world were October actions would not have followed September would already be at No. Thoughts of a Yes holder: but November resolved to YES...
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
November market money inflow - take the 40% equity which should be at 70%+ , ty all.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Israel has also launched small special forces operations into southern Lebanon ahead of a potential ground offensive, an Israeli official told NBC News. Yoav Gallant, Israel's defense minister, said the “next phase in the war against Hezbollah will begin soon.”
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Are you able to read beyond headlines?:
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Are you able to read beyond headlines?:
HsB34sgg
1 month ago
NBC confirmed Yes! https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/israel-hezbollah-live-updates-hamas-leader-lebanon-killed-strike-hits-rcna173218
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-september-30-2024
Phrank
1 month ago
If the “Will Israel Enter Lebanon in September?” and the “Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?” both resolve to YES I don’t logically see how this market could be anything other than YES
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
How has more experience with UMA votes and similar cases you or them. And who has made more money you or the guy losing 2.5MM and still able to bet 1MM. Tough question
NUTZILLA
1 month ago
therealbatman -$3m Profit/loss
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
So much looking forward seeing the YES betters that bought after Oct first complaining how rigged the site and the system is and how unfair the world is.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Check evidence provided by Domer on UMA,
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Just the UN on October 1st
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Just the UN on October 1st
SelzerLiedKamBrosDied
1 month ago
Polymarket is the only place that advocates the thesis raids on September 30th invasion on October 1st hypothesis. I have yet to hear anyone in the media or in real life put forth this twisted thesis.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Difference of small raids in the night of 30th, vs intent to establish control on the 2nd of Oct
yourrapist1776
1 month ago
So your aguing the november invasion market should have settled no, when it already settled yes. So if UMA decided the invasion took place already, why are you so stubborn in thinking that they will now vote for the complete opposite in this market?
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Why did the market then drop on the 1st of October to 6ct after ruled too early? If it was so clear in the media it was an invasion by the 30th?
yourrapist1776
1 month ago
September enter yes (already settled), october invade yes (already settled), september invade no is an impossible scenario unless JustCuck and his goons send blacked out escalades to UMA whales oceanfront homes in a forced persuasion operation
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Imagine posting an article from 4th of October for a September market....
HsB34sgg
1 month ago
Results speak for themselves. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Plus the only thing that changed in the last 24 hours is November market closing and price goes from 20ct to 60ct, hence literally the YES holders don't believe the evidence the provide until November closed
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Only confidence YES holders have, a November resolved and Chad bought so let's buy more.
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Look at the evidence in UMA, has closed Too early P4, First time - no new evidence in the hours from the first vote till deadline besides raids, hence logical consequences for Sept is NO :https://vote.uma.xyz/
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
1 month ago
Give me evidence for No and I'll switch sides
Tenebrus7
1 month ago
Only confidence YES holders have, a November resolved and Chad bought so let's buy more.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
You still don't get it, or you are just try to scam others. NO was not an option as it was too early to close on NO.
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
Be aware that this has been voted on, it went P4, with P2 and 3.2M shares on YES and 0.1% on NO. Early requ... 81.15% (14,063,467.91) No 0.10% (17,280.03) Yes 18.75% (3,249,840.66) unknown/50... 0.00% (106.42) https://vote.uma.xyz/
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
So true the amount of YES posts correlate with people buying post 30th of September and the price drop after the ruling
Ferguson,Turd
2 months ago
This has been voted on already, Now some scumbags trying to scam others to buy their dead bags. This is not good and sad
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
All YES holders provide are articles that claim in the headline Invade then you read the only source is the quote on IDF raids and pictures of an air strike
Scoobs
2 months ago
All of the P2 votes provide sources, articles, information. The P4 voters just say “it feels too soon”. Really shows you how credible this whole process is.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Buy then the free 5% then in the other market, if you read discord and Uma there arguments for both too early and yes. This market here was at close to 90yes then voted too early and moved to 5ct. The yes holders panicked once and now pump for X return
Shayku
2 months ago
It should spike, since it will confirm a foundational argument for Yes.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
If it resolves to Yes maybe, if it resolves to: too early at the time of proposal will go to Zero here. The November market can then resolve to YES later still
Scoobs
2 months ago
When the November market resolves Yes later today, What will that mean for this market?
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Spending so much time for 346 yes shares, must be a sad life, the time put in could easily make you more working stocking shelves:D
HsB34sgg
2 months ago
"The top Jordanian diplomat stressed the need for the international community to immediately act to reach a cease-fire and implement UN Resolution 1701. Passed in 2006, the resolution calls for a complete cessation of hostilities between Lebanon and Israel and the establishment of a demilitarized zone between the Blue Line (the de facto boundary between Lebanon and Israel) and the Litani River, allowing only the Lebanese army and the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) to possess weapons and military equipment in the area." https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/jordan-reiterates-support-to-lebanon-in-face-of-israeli-attacks/3346858 The international community FAILED to act to reach a cease-fire and implement UN Resolution 1701. Hezbollah stayed to antagonize Israel. When Hezbollah attacked Israel on October 8th, 2023, Israel had enough! If no one else will do it, Israel will do it themselves, once and for all!
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Small raids don't equal : intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon
Scoobs
2 months ago
The rules here don't even require military forces moving in - just a "military offensive".
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
We have (1) IDF saying targeted raids, (2) we have Hizbollah saying nothing at all (3) some western media where no one was there, quoting IDF raids ( and some give for klick baiting the headline "Invade".
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Other market for "entered" was exactly for that use case created and that resolved correctly YES
Pidor🐓
2 months ago
i fed chatgpt this and it said the market resolves yes https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ https://www.axios.com/2024/09/30/israel-ground-invasion-lebanon https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czxgyzq7z2ro.amp
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
People only buying on the klick bait headlines, UMA voters will read all: The Israeli military said it had launched “limited, localized and targeted raids” against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon overnight Monday
Pidor🐓
2 months ago
i fed chatgpt this and it said the market resolves yes https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/ https://www.axios.com/2024/09/30/israel-ground-invasion-lebanon https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czxgyzq7z2ro.amp
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
World leader.. lfmao
Donkov
2 months ago
Heres how world leaders interpret the special military raids https://x.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1841095817408532823
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Agree, let them pump and dream to get rich like in the entered market. Will buy more if it goes up further.
mr.ozi
2 months ago
Voting No is logically wrong, because the resolution was proposed a few hours before the deadline, so in principle Israel could've invaded between the proposal before the deadline. The Too Early votes can essentially be seen as No votes for the next round.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Wait and see what happens once US traders wake up and once money is freed up from the enter market, will trade at 95 NO at 4PM CET - time to double your shares and get out still ;)
Donkov
2 months ago
But its a done deal
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
If Yes would be a viable solution for too early wouldn't have dropped so much but rather like the Maduro market to 80 first and then slowly going down with more evidence. All the yes holders hope for is another pump and dump in the 30s
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Pump und dump is over, it has been ruled too early. Which other new evidence do Yes holders think we find now X days later that the small raids in September were an invasion. If ruled too early now, will be ruled NO in 15 hours.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Why would I if I can get No at 87
Donkov
2 months ago
Can you please fill me at 10.9?
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Pump und dump is over, it has been ruled too early. Which other new evidence do Yes holders think we find now X days later that the small raids in September were an invasion. If ruled too early now, will be ruled NO in 15 hours.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
So fun to see all these NO holders dreaming to get rich quickly on this one .
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Haha exactly, this market only resolves to Yes: September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. ET is New York time zone or in 6 am their time zone on October 1st.
PDIDDY
2 months ago
After a long time researching the exact time of the isrealian entry in the Lebanon territory, they indeed violated the border in the early hours october 1st
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
You are a fun guy :), still unsure when you are joking vs when you are not (e.i. the other comment about you being a very early crypto bro and being retired and this is just play money :).
HaterzLoserz
2 months ago
Hey there good looking fella, I like you a lot, youre a smart guy. Ive been told many times im the most knowledgeable, they say to me "wow, how'd you become so knowledgeable" and I say "I dont know I was just born with it, its in the Trump family I guess, the Trump name, great name, great genes, the best genes."
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Check Activity YES holders, the most knowledgeable Yes holder HaterLozer sold all his Yes shares at 70-80ct. Still one to get out
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Small raids and a picture of the tanks from yesterday at the border, much news....
abdendriel
2 months ago
https://amp.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/sep/30/israel-attacks-live-blog-lebanon-yemen-hamas-hezbollah-news-updates-middle-east-crisis
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
9:15 hours, but agree
Car
2 months ago
Also guys, they arent even over the border yet. And this market ends in a few hours lol.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
So a closed military zone im Israel= equal invasion, sure ....
Phat.
2 months ago
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1840809757759979827
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Funny how liquidity bots fill the large spread and every YES holder pushing like it would be necessary for the so visible Tanks to rush at night now. No surprise needed here at all, the can form, take their time and march in the next days.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Damn, someone market sold just his yes shares fine to exit no at 70ct, should have put higher. Watching from the sidelines from now :)
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Thought I can get more Conrad even cheaper, but still got some. It is Pennsylvania he will talk about what Conrad Kamala will do to ban fracking:https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113185000999885454
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.timesofisrael.com/while-still-in-gaza-israel-has-no-good-options-in-lebanon-but-it-may-invade-anyway/amp/
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Instead of pumping Twitter posts a good article that summarizes the current situation, for me in summary main arguments for No are: (1) moving forces in the north would weaken the south vs Gaza/Hamas and (2) just a short attack to create a buffer zone has not worked in the past. Air strikes most likely from my pov, still Oct 7/8 will be interesting :
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Instead of pumping Twitter posts a good article that summarizes the current situation, for me in summary main arguments for No are: (1) moving forces in the north would weaken the south vs Gaza/Hamas and (2) just a short attack to create a buffer zone has not worked in the past. Air strikes most likely from my pov, still Oct 7/8 will be interesting :
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Off topic and did not have time to participate much in this market but: mehr Deutsche hier als gedacht;)
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Haha 😅, I saw your other bet as well, still I found it viable to defend the no price already just in case and for a little amusement as well :), as said earlier I like your approach, just not when I am on the other side
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
In before Car pushes his yes shares with a link to X when an airstrike hits ;): For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
In before Car pushes his yes shares with a link to X when an airstrike hits ;): For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Then buy some NO, in case you are being sarcastic tell me why :). The location Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum fits 15000 people. And how many of those random people will be interested in crypto oO
Car
2 months ago
good take
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
It's one thing to engage on crypto with people in the crypto bubble another to talk in a rally about it where 95% of the audience has no clue about it.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
182 Billions in Market cap ahead for apple, iPhone 16 pre sales started Friday, 20th of September official sale which can push the apple stock further. It can happen for sure, but no exit liquidity for the No holders that are counting the days and trying to push the price down to sell.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
RugRadio: from our side, it's an interview. Trump will buzzword again 10 times crypto and Bitcoin and will talk about not creating a federal reserve but stockpile,l and even if he says WLFI will launch a coin it will be in the future.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Even if they announce on Monday the launch of a coin it needs to be fully deployed before election to resolve to YES: Network Activation: The coin must be active on the blockchain network. And: Operational Status: The coin should be functional and operable, meaning transactions can be executed, and its smart contract is properly interacting with the blockchain as intended.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Ofc your post and approach is very valid to your trading strategy, I like it actually, just putting into $ perspective.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
214 Billions difference in Market cap.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
One 6.7% sounds small, but if one looks at the total money that need to be moved to achieve that which in this case is the 214 Billions it's a lot
Car
2 months ago
what does it matter when MSFT is closing the gap with about 1% per day? :)
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
214 Billions difference in Market cap.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Official Telegram Channel of WLFI empty, nothing about it. They would let their core group know about it, Car get the best of this AI post. Mountainman sleeping and only coming back when prices are further again oo
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Not a single post in the Telegram group of WLFI - looks really strange. Will hold on to it. Anyhow can't come back here seeing Mountainmain celebrating himself.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Tik Tok, tik Tok everyday going down till 0 mountain my friend.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Share the actual white paper, just upload it to a Sharedrive and post it. Oh you can't whoops it is no where to be found. All sites only claim that coin base received fragments of it and then for click baiting writes about trump. Just go ahead don't link to any site, Google it upload the PDF for everyone to read. Oh wait you can't.
Mountainman
2 months ago
Does the “NO” crowd understand that once Donald becomes President, that being part of the launch as an active U.S President becomes extremely dangerous for him legally, as U.S presidents can’t behave like private citizens. If you want to do the research yourself you can check out the following things that will restrict his involvement once he is in office: The Emoluments Clause (U.S. Constitution), Conflict of Interest Laws, and Presidential Ethics Agreements. After you do that, then get back to me and answer me one simple question….. Why the hell would he wait to launch until after he is President and deal with all of that bullshit, when he can just launch now???
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
And even if he would be named in it and even if he becomes president, it is not like he cares about the law so much..
Mountainman
2 months ago
Does the “NO” crowd understand that once Donald becomes President, that being part of the launch as an active U.S President becomes extremely dangerous for him legally, as U.S presidents can’t behave like private citizens. If you want to do the research yourself you can check out the following things that will restrict his involvement once he is in office: The Emoluments Clause (U.S. Constitution), Conflict of Interest Laws, and Presidential Ethics Agreements. After you do that, then get back to me and answer me one simple question….. Why the hell would he wait to launch until after he is President and deal with all of that bullshit, when he can just launch now???
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Share the white paper that states that he is involved. Oh wait, don't you have it. If he is not in it, WLFI can launch regardless of the election outcome.
Mountainman
2 months ago
Does the “NO” crowd understand that once Donald becomes President, that being part of the launch as an active U.S President becomes extremely dangerous for him legally, as U.S presidents can’t behave like private citizens. If you want to do the research yourself you can check out the following things that will restrict his involvement once he is in office: The Emoluments Clause (U.S. Constitution), Conflict of Interest Laws, and Presidential Ethics Agreements. After you do that, then get back to me and answer me one simple question….. Why the hell would he wait to launch until after he is President and deal with all of that bullshit, when he can just launch now???
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
So desperately looking for exit liquidity:D
Mountainman
2 months ago
The BIG week is here!!!! Major announcements confirmed to be coming this week. 99% sure a launch date will be revealed, lining up perfectly for a historically amazing month for crypto- October. As soon as that tweet drops all of the big money dogs on here are going to flood into this market within seconds and Market Buy “YES” leaving "NO" in the single digits in the snap of a finger, exactly like what happened a few days ago with the Trump Sentencing markets. Coming here and watching all of the shit talkers scrambling for a new excuse, and begging others to dispute. Oh boy will it be entertaining!!!
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Scheduled as planned, released by ABC news : https://abc.com/news/5e38600c-4732-4cd2-a99c-3dedfa81beb0/category/1138628
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Potentially someone trying out an API to trade
NeverEver🇺🇦
2 months ago
Can some one explain me why guys are buying YES and selling in immediately for a loss? They are making the wash trades but why?
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Love it!
Naturalnoob
2 months ago
I place this bet base on my comprehension of the rules of this market. Knowing that nft doesn’t count. With conviction of multiple reasonings I have so much so that I don’t have to rant it out all day to get validation. Toxic arguements hoping to sway the price so that some of you could sell early is not my style. I will hold this till resolution day and quietly realize full equity of my bet.
Tenebrus7
2 months ago
Link
Mountainman
2 months ago
White. paper was released to the media 2 days ago, that explicitly listed him as being part of the project. Therefore the pump.
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
No, that's exactly the point - no where to be found. And all trump himself ever did was just reposted the X handle once the WLFI with a video totally unrelated. Even if they ever launch a token not enough for involvement. Same as he would repost about Bitcoin. Was he involved in the creation of Bitcoin. Nope
Donkov
3 months ago
Anyone got source on the white papers?
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Btw still think your trading strategy is good and pushing prices is just part of the game of making a profit, just on the other side here ;)
Car
3 months ago
Donald Trump his name is in the white paper listed as Crypto Advocate. The "he is not involved" argument doesnt stand anymore. RIP! now we play the waiting game. (NFA, not pumping , this is my opinion)
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
The actual leaked white paper, can't find it anywhere. Just many many sites copying from each other claiming there is one leaked.
Car
3 months ago
Donald Trump his name is in the white paper listed as Crypto Advocate. The "he is not involved" argument doesnt stand anymore. RIP! now we play the waiting game. (NFA, not pumping , this is my opinion)
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Post the link/pdf
Car
3 months ago
Donald Trump his name is in the white paper listed as Crypto Advocate. The "he is not involved" argument doesnt stand anymore. RIP! now we play the waiting game. (NFA, not pumping , this is my opinion)
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
After the scam - trump will not want to be associated with it anytime soon. Even if a token launches, it will be his son's.
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Downed drone, too much equity already in this market to buy more, waiting for prices to adjust again now: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-01/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-as-russia-downs-158-ukrainian-drones?embedded-checkout=true
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Nice exit Car at 97, well still waiting at credible reporting, all states yet shot down drone
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Instead of posting the same video again and again, rather buy the No limit orders waiting, poor guy.
n/a
3 months ago
https://x.com/JimmySecUK/status/1830141465109885419 This is the best vid of refinery attack. Super clear hit, definitely not a crash.
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Even if legit, clearly shot down.
Loverboy
3 months ago
there is a video of a direct hit by a drone on an oil refinery in Moscow https://x.com/toprankcapital/status/1830119827048124548
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Indeed
XiJinPing
3 months ago
you can buy YES in 2 days for 25 cents
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Exactly, will not be sufficient to resolve to yes. Indeed, if so sure, propose, will be disputed as too early. Have you ever seen a drone hit - the plant would be gone. And now as many drones are gone, not so likely they will hit again soon. Need to accept with my No bet the price will stay bad after this attempt for a while now. But clearly no hit confirmed.
Vaskor
3 months ago
even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
It is about credible reporting, Reuter citing: drone debris. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-launches-drones-moscow-other-regions-russian-officials-say-2024-08-31/
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
My DJI drone if shot down makes a bigger blast - lol. Well plaid CAR again pushing the market, but does not count according to rules
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Damn sold the 4ct yes shares at 8 ct ;(
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Agree, just Car doing his thing well and pushing the No price up.
DoughJones
3 months ago
As of now AAPL dropped 0,4% of its cap comparing to yesterday, and nvda gained 0,5%, which is 1% difference roughly in total, but in polymarket yes prices dropped 8%. What's the logic?
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Make it happen! @ Oatmeal, pushing all day the Yes story but now You sold oO
basedd
3 months ago
Fuck elon. Lulo is standing with the Supreme Court's decision to ban. https://x.com/LulaOficial/status/1829487863920009248
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Such great odds now, will still happen 1 out 10 times for sure.
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
As expected
sd2333
3 months ago
5 MIN AGO WALLA Reporter #BREAKING A senior official in the Palestinian factions said that the talks in Qatar have failed and that the negotiations are about to collapse due to Israel's refusal to the mediators proposal: Al Mayadeen https://x.com/guyelster/status/1829511101140398250
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
More background on Johnstown: https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/donald-trump-johnstown-rally-voters-steel-20240829.html
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Drill Baby Drill - for sure, expresses the support for drilling gas/oil. Johnstown is working class city, Trump said before there:This is the place where generations of tough, strong Pennsylvania workers mine the coal, work the railroads, and forge the steel,”
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Drill Baby Drill - for sure, expresses the support for drilling gas/oil. Johnstown is working class city, Trump said before there:This is the place where generations of tough, strong Pennsylvania workers mine the coal, work the railroads, and forge the steel,”
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
It will take time, a lot :)
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Says the guy who had 25k no shares oo
Rueben
3 months ago
goddamn some of you idiots bet a lot on this
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
50 pence big on the NO side makes me confident:)
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Read the rules ofc transport does not count as released. You need to get transported to court and get you are not released ;)
BzhkSrg
3 months ago
So, technically, Durov has been released from police custody, no? https://x.com/MoscowTimes/status/1828781770872950984
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
One the most fun markets lately with up and downs, short time frame to end, and fun comment section :)
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Love the involvement for 57 shares ;)
Sit
3 months ago
Money will be made today boys
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
They are not just going to release him now today like whoops we made a mistake, will get charged. The international attention rather makes a charge even more likely.
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Agree on all of the above of your replies (even if Car is as usually commenting to push the market to sell an buy again, which I don't judge - that's part of the game, truly). Was more interested about the discussion itself and if the market would react at all regarding the post:).
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Sold my No shares for now again -maybe a bit paranoid, but as I was screwed once by insider knowledge here, don't know. Top Yes holder only signed up for this market on poly and keeps buying yes. Either just a Telegram/Pavlov fanboy who is optimistic or buying Yes with knowledge (but for that 20k is not much oo). Sus or not sus? On the other hand on the market will Biden resign a whale came in the day of the press conference blew 500k, buying the entire market empty and lost it all. Sometimes hard to tell if Fish or Insider :D
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
True, consider it unlikely but still a bit strange to just sign up for one market to poly.
EmpirePending
3 months ago
Insider buying for this market is insanely riskier than for the bieber baby market which is what I assume you’re talking about. Only people that know what will happen (if anyone) is those very high up in the French police and maybe a handful of lawyers. Neither of those fit the bill if somebody who would be betting 20k on Polymarket.
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Sold my No shares for now again -maybe a bit paranoid, but as I was screwed once by insider knowledge here, don't know. Top Yes holder only signed up for this market on poly and keeps buying yes. Either just a Telegram/Pavlov fanboy who is optimistic or buying Yes with knowledge (but for that 20k is not much oo). Sus or not sus? On the other hand on the market will Biden resign a whale came in the day of the press conference blew 500k, buying the entire market empty and lost it all. Sometimes hard to tell if Fish or Insider :D
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Did not see that market coming, did not expect a high overlap of polymarket betters and Ethan followers :D
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Good example for "No" actually. Trump was not even thinking about it, hence no offline conversations happening in the background. He would not endorse for sth in return, hence even if he does will take a while. Nice multi conditional bet (1) offline alignment between the two party needs to happen (2) endorsement needs to happen (3) Trump needs to ein (50 equity atm) and (4) RFK needs to get that position. Have already quite some exposure otherwise would bely more. Fair value around 90ct No imo.
jenkins
3 months ago
https://x.com/sheislaurenlee/status/1826265945871880632
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Thanks for resolving it correctly!
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any athlete other than Benson Kipruto (KEN), Victor Kiplangat (UGA), Tamirat Tola (ETH), Eliud Kipchoge (KEN), Deresa Geleta (ETH), Alexander Mutiso (KEN), Kenenisa Bekele (ETH), or Abdi Nageeye (NED) wins a Gold medal in the Men’s Marathon at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Other disputed now, it should clearly resolve to No.
Tenebrus7
3 months ago
Agree, the Others Yes betters clearly have not read the rules, just looked if Tani rat Tola is listed separately. This need to resolve to No on other!
n/a
3 months ago
Other should resolve to "No" per the rules, Tamirat Tola is specifically listed as one of the eight athletes in the exception list.