#153
Rank
316
Comments
108
Likes Received
159
Likes Given
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Will143
1 month ago
link
0
DEANOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
1 month ago
still under valued. both canadian and mexican governments are convinced tarrifs are incoming after communication with trump
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Will143
2 months ago
Hegseth wrote in his 2024 book that allowing gays to serve openly in the military is part of a Marxist agenda.
0
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Will143
2 months ago
The 4th no is obviously Curtis who isn’t up for re election for six years
0
Regret
2 months ago
bill o'reilly just talked about rfk jr and pete hegseth and said this are the two most unlikely to be confirmed, he said he'll be surprised if marowsky and collins vote for him and on that fact alone brings his odds at about a 51 percent chance and then there is still mitch mconnell who there is strong rumors that he'll be voting no on hegseth (not surprising)
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Will143
2 months ago
the story is based on whistle blower documents compiled years ago that eventually resulted in his termination
0
Regret
2 months ago
bill o'reilly just talked about rfk jr and pete hegseth and said this are the two most unlikely to be confirmed, he said he'll be surprised if marowsky and collins vote for him and on that fact alone brings his odds at about a 51 percent chance and then there is still mitch mconnell who there is strong rumors that he'll be voting no on hegseth (not surprising)
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Will143
2 months ago
MAGAs are seething about an unpublished Propublica article. Make it make sense.
0
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Will143
2 months ago
Propublica went to great lengths to fact check West Point's initial claim that West Point never accepted Hegseth. When Propublica got to the bottom of it, they didn't publish the article.
0
IllegalAlien👽
2 months ago
Pete Hegseth @PeteHegseth We understand that ProPublica (the Left Wing hack group) is planning to publish a knowingly false report that I was not accepted to West Point in 1999. Here’s my letter of acceptance signed by West Point Superintendent, Lieutenant General Daniel Christman, US Army.
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Will143
2 months ago
I guess it was all the sexual assault and public drunkness
0
0xc1eA1F85190623D95c27b649284D579A412a0e52-1724512381518
2 months ago
Odd his odds fell so low
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Will143
2 months ago
k bro
0
Will143
2 months ago
what exactly did this market expect? she already said he should have hearing
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Will143
2 months ago
bro it's AI powered
1
schwitzer
2 months ago
polymarket, let me help you: if dumbstring.contains("just came across this new tool"): BAN()
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Will143
2 months ago
no need to be snippy
0
Will143
2 months ago
what exactly did this market expect? she already said he should have hearing
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Will143
2 months ago
they dont get voted down... the vote doesn't go to the floor. but they get hearing.
0
Will143
2 months ago
what exactly did this market expect? she already said he should have hearing
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Will143
2 months ago
ernst getting re-elected in 2026. she's going to vote for him. others aren't.
1
Will143
2 months ago
what exactly did this market expect? she already said he should have hearing
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Will143
2 months ago
what exactly did this market expect? she already said he should have hearing
0
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
Will143
2 months ago
he can't buy it anyways. it's not for sale. in a spinoff process that will take a year.
0
username3
2 months ago
Elon is now $56 billion poorer https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/02/tesla-ceo-elon-musk-loses-bid-to-get-56-billion-pay-package-reinstated.html Less money to buy News Channels with 👀
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Will143
2 months ago
add Kash
5
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Will143
2 months ago
Thought this market would have more volume
2
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Will143
2 months ago
Someone responded to you with facts. Tariffs hurt everybody. No one in their right mind wants them.
1
IllegalAlien👽
2 months ago
"He said the import duties on Mexico and Canada would only be removed once illegal immigration and drug trafficking to the US had stopped." Immigrants stopped maybe, but does anyone seriously think the seamstress in charge of Mexico now can stop the cartels exporting - on her end? This seems like an impossible mission and guaranteed tariffs. I'm almost tempted to buy yes.
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Will143
2 months ago
Trump doesn't know or care about the facts.
2
IllegalAlien👽
2 months ago
"He said the import duties on Mexico and Canada would only be removed once illegal immigration and drug trafficking to the US had stopped." Immigrants stopped maybe, but does anyone seriously think the seamstress in charge of Mexico now can stop the cartels exporting - on her end? This seems like an impossible mission and guaranteed tariffs. I'm almost tempted to buy yes.
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Will143
2 months ago
that's what he claimed at least. in reality she rebuffed him.
1
Baalim
2 months ago
Trump posted that he talked with the Mexican president and she agreed to stop migration.
How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Will143
2 months ago
1 isn't named
0
ShowBaer
3 months ago
Sara is 19! 2 weeks to go!
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Will143
2 months ago
that makes no sense. It says "confirmed". How could recess appointments be confirmed.
5
thafalseprofit
2 months ago
I am 1000% sure they changed the rules on this. Recess Appointments were initially being counted!
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Will143
2 months ago
Not going to happen.
2
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
she's clearly not in touch with him (per the pod)
0
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
well something like it
0
Will143
3 months ago
Hmm any long comments fail to post.
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
yup
0
Will143
3 months ago
Hmm any long comments fail to post.
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
Hmm any long comments fail to post.
0
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
starting to think they're just not very smart
1
StableGenius420
3 months ago
Look through the YES holders, they seem to go out of their way to randomly devour yes shares of this market. Idk seems like somebody knows something
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
derrr voter fraud
0
Cosmicbets
3 months ago
Ah man she's really running out of time, it's like she doesn't want to pick up any more votes
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
feel like some1 knows something besides the worthless rogan tweet
1
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
Ah shucks it won't let me cross the book
0
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Will143
3 months ago
boring
2
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
not sure they actually said this.
1
Will143
3 months ago
This is a headline: Vice President Kamala Harris will make not an appearance on Joe Rogan's podcast before Election Day, her campaign confirmed Thursday.
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
This is a headline: Vice President Kamala Harris will make not an appearance on Joe Rogan's podcast before Election Day, her campaign confirmed Thursday.
0
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
You literally made that up
1
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
The discussion here is ridiculous; what are you even talking about?!!! She was on Fox. And Joe is no Maga maniac. Ill buy everything below 10% 😄
Colorado Presidential Election Winner
Will143
3 months ago
Colorado the most educated state and surprisingly urban. MAGA thrives on poorly educated rurals.
0
n/a
3 months ago
Venture outside Denver into the suburbs and it’s amazing how many more Trump flags and car stickers you’ll see. Denver and Boulder are dragging the state down into a progressive hell
Colorado Presidential Election Winner
Will143
3 months ago
Douglas and El Paso are mixed rural/subs. Most of Boulder and Jefferson are subs. Douglas went 7 points for Trump in 2020, Jefferson went +18.5 for Biden.
0
n/a
3 months ago
Venture outside Denver into the suburbs and it’s amazing how many more Trump flags and car stickers you’ll see. Denver and Boulder are dragging the state down into a progressive hell
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
some people who won a ton of money on this site are holding yes. so it's not obvious what will happen and it's foolish to think otherwise.
0
Pirates
3 months ago
The fact that there are people who think she'll be on the podcast is absolutely hilarious 😂
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
what's it say
0
Mountainman
3 months ago
Still do not think that it happens but this video Rogan HQ just released will give the crayon eaters some false hope.... https://x.com/joeroganhq/status/1849224052491321853
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
well it obviously does absolutely nothing, at best. meanwhile he's anti covid vaccine.
0
Will143
3 months ago
I wish Joe Rogan hadn't blocked me on X
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
my sole reply was calling his brain health supplement snake oil.
1
Will143
3 months ago
I wish Joe Rogan hadn't blocked me on X
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
I wish Joe Rogan hadn't blocked me on X
0
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
probably all just a coincidence
2
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
Will143
3 months ago
We need a second derivative market: who will be favorite in this market two days before Election Day.
17
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Liked by n/a, n/a and 15 others
Colorado Presidential Election Winner
Will143
3 months ago
the suburbs are blue. the rurals are very red.
1
n/a
3 months ago
Venture outside Denver into the suburbs and it’s amazing how many more Trump flags and car stickers you’ll see. Denver and Boulder are dragging the state down into a progressive hell
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
After the Fox News disaster Kamala has no choice but to go on Rogan
1
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
xijinping plz pump
4
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?
Will143
3 months ago
just hold and stop digging hole.
0
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
Kamala is not great at interviews. Trump is worse.
1
MoMoTheGreat
3 months ago
Betting Trump wins and Kamala is a NOGO on Rogen. She is painful to watch. No way she runs anything
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
3 months ago
yes I do. set default to limit.
0
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I would avoid using market buy and market sell at all costs. I learned that the hard way.
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Will143
4 months ago
for air defense
1
Playerone
4 months ago
Updates from US boots in Israel : https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1846630026097447033
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
It's not the same thing.
0
Reaper01
4 months ago
That's literally how limit order above current ask price works
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
There’s no market buy with limited slippage tolerance right?
0
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
honestly don't think anything happened. just someone blowing fat fingering and never bothering to set limit orders.
0
TimeTraveler
4 months ago
500 No for 14 cent average, thanks fat fingered person I guess.
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
you're making less and less sense
0
getgood
4 months ago
Fox News alleges that Kamala's team showed up 15 minutes late and cut the interview short (but any day now she's going to do multiple hours with Joe Rogan LMFAO) Source: https://x.com/_johnnymaga/status/1846688183125233948
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
then you better sell eh?
3
Clenc
4 months ago
someone knows that the interview is going to take place, that's why the price of NO is falling
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
sorry I'm trying to parse what someone means by what he actually says.
0
getgood
4 months ago
Fox News alleges that Kamala's team showed up 15 minutes late and cut the interview short (but any day now she's going to do multiple hours with Joe Rogan LMFAO) Source: https://x.com/_johnnymaga/status/1846688183125233948
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
ouch that sucks
0
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
The phrase "cut it short" means to end something earlier than planned or expected. It could refer to stopping a conversation, event, or activity prematurely. For example, if a meeting is supposed to last an hour but ends after 30 minutes, you might say it was "cut short."
0
getgood
4 months ago
Fox News alleges that Kamala's team showed up 15 minutes late and cut the interview short (but any day now she's going to do multiple hours with Joe Rogan LMFAO) Source: https://x.com/_johnnymaga/status/1846688183125233948
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
Wut? He said she cut it short. That wasn't true. Instead of admitting it you insult me.
0
getgood
4 months ago
Fox News alleges that Kamala's team showed up 15 minutes late and cut the interview short (but any day now she's going to do multiple hours with Joe Rogan LMFAO) Source: https://x.com/_johnnymaga/status/1846688183125233948
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
He’s lying. He said she was the 1 who cut it short
0
getgood
4 months ago
Fox News alleges that Kamala's team showed up 15 minutes late and cut the interview short (but any day now she's going to do multiple hours with Joe Rogan LMFAO) Source: https://x.com/_johnnymaga/status/1846688183125233948
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
Watch the end of the interview. He was tellinh her over and over again they were out of time
1
getgood
4 months ago
Fox News alleges that Kamala's team showed up 15 minutes late and cut the interview short (but any day now she's going to do multiple hours with Joe Rogan LMFAO) Source: https://x.com/_johnnymaga/status/1846688183125233948
Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?
Will143
4 months ago
What? It's just a really good national poll. It doesn't handpick its results and it's the most notable new poll out there. OFC it's in the model now.
0
Kalags
4 months ago
Like I would like to hear a more nuanced answer of the latest polls. Marist ofc ranks highly in Nates book, (A) but if you found about that on twitter like I did, is it handpicked to be the best, most dem leaning poll as of lately? Also Im not sure if its the national polls that move the model. Its likely polls in swing states.
Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?
Will143
4 months ago
Marist H +5
0
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
many people are saying Israel destroyed Iran's oil refinery
2
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
please deposit more $
2
getgood
4 months ago
not true at all. he explicitly says it won't happen at 3:13 https://x.com/RealAlexJones/status/1846328064575242566?s=19
2024 September hottest on record?
Will143
4 months ago
how long was this up: NCEI products and services are now available. Many data products continue to be updated as a result of the outage caused by Hurricane Helene. We apologize for any inconvenience. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov
1
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
Not sure what will happen but a bunch of brainwashed losers holding 'no'.
1
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
why would the Bet-David guy know
0
sharky🦈🦈🦈
4 months ago
World richest man who is all in on Trump (elon Musk, Trump himself says its happening and today Patrick bet david says its 99% chance of happening.
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
I initially thought they wanted to gauge possible US and especially Iranian responses.
0
Xeropunk
4 months ago
Agreed. I don't really understand it either. It's probably not in Israel's best interest to announce they're going to attack, but they keep doing it...
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
reverse price decay?!
2
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
why 20 minutes
0
Slade366 - 15686
4 months ago
What are some of the shortest interviews Rogan has done? I know he tends to go LONG, sometimes 3+ hours. Obviously, even Trump isn't going to go on for more than 90 minutes. Would Joe be willing to just have Harris on for 20 minutes?
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
... I don't understand the point of these leaks one way or the other.
0
Dnkci
4 months ago
you really think any strategic attack will be announced publicly?
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Will143
4 months ago
can you read?
1
blastard
4 months ago
If T.H.A.A.D. takes a drone out is this yes?
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
Why does Israel keep telling the press they're going to attack.
1
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
UH OH For starters, the betting odds for whether Trump will be a guest on The Joe Rogan Experience before Election Day heavily favor his appearance, with odds set at -600 for "Yes" and +350 for "No." This implies an 86 percent probability that Trump will appear on the show.
0
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
Elon said Trump will be going on before Trump did. Rogan podcast account has been tweeting about all of this.
0
0x83B0fDE17BEA70d61C5584cd1BA7a61ee5F59da7-1728242205320
4 months ago
The evidence for yes is just super flimsy. Nelk Boys have a tiny portion of their podcast where Trump meanders into some bullshit about how “he thinks” he’s going on Rogan, Elon ran with it and ‘confirmed’ it, and Rogan has said nothing about any of this but the media is still running with it. I don’t think Joe is the type to pick up for either side too, tbh, so without a Kamala appearance there won’t be a Trump one, and I don’t think Kamala is going on either
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
plz explain the case for no.
0
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
I had that thought for a second and then I realized a podcast isn't a suitable platform for a debate.
1
junjiito
4 months ago
No holders this might be a good hedge: https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-debate/will-there-be-another-debate?tid=1728956010104 most likely if either were to appear they’d appear at the same time
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
in what sense
0
Eyebrows
4 months ago
Whether this goes yes or not, this turn of events is funny.
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
right but why
0
Glurmo
4 months ago
2 look still very underevaluated look on polysharks.com
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Will143
4 months ago
tick tock
0
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Will143
4 months ago
he obviously doing it
0
JoeBETS
4 months ago
Joe doesn't even support trump LOL, he's more of a lesser of 2 evils type of guy, to insinuate he brings trump on is to insinuate he's a trump supporter. Joe is not showing his hand like that, no fucking way
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
I’d pay good money to understand why people smarter than me are holding 2 debates
0
Glurmo
4 months ago
2 look still very underevaluated look on polysharks.com
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
X is more pro trump than fox news. Its main purpose is electing trump.
0
Matter15
4 months ago
Trump is a narcissist and Kamala likes making a fool out of herself, there will be another debate, more than likely an x spaces debate
Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?
Will143
4 months ago
a good reason to bet "yes" here is if you think (for whatever reason) that her poll numbers are actually slipping. A bad reason would be looking at the number of previous flips in the model and projecting that forward. those flips were caused by something artificial he introduced into the model, which won't be repeated.
0
Shayku
4 months ago
Compare with this market: https://polymarket.com/event/will-harris-reach-60-before-trump-flips-her-on-silver-bulletin/will-harris-reach-60-before-trump-flips-her-on-silver-bulletin?tid=1728701803074 -- Right now they're close to equal at 70-30, but this one is strictly more likely to happen. I think that other one is priced correctly.
Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?
Will143
4 months ago
I'd say the odds are pretty much the same (though that has weird resolution). there's a negligible chance she gets to 60%.
0
Shayku
4 months ago
Compare with this market: https://polymarket.com/event/will-harris-reach-60-before-trump-flips-her-on-silver-bulletin/will-harris-reach-60-before-trump-flips-her-on-silver-bulletin?tid=1728701803074 -- Right now they're close to equal at 70-30, but this one is strictly more likely to happen. I think that other one is priced correctly.
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
It requires more nuance than that. He's a fascist narcissist with angry issues. You can still reasonably predict and parse his intentions and motivations.
0
n/a
4 months ago
Doesn't it bother you that he writes everything in capital letters?
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
He's a fucking lunatic.
0
n/a
4 months ago
Doesn't it bother you that he writes everything in capital letters?
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
I asked Trump campaign senior advisor @LaCivitaC about the letter CNN sent Trump camp asking them to lock in their participation/non-participation for a late October debate by Thurs. Would they change their mind and debate again? "We haven't and we won't," LaCivita says. 3:09 PM · Oct 9, 2024 · 155.2K Views
0
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
“THERE WILL BE NO REMATCH!”
0
Will143
4 months ago
I WILL NOT DO ANOTHER DEBATE. THERE IS NOTHING LEFT TO DEBATE.
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
I WILL NOT DO ANOTHER DEBATE. THERE IS NOTHING LEFT TO DEBATE.
0
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
What will it take to convince you people.
1
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
Trump and his campaign have each refused another debate about 5x and we're getting very close to election, but some people still think he'll change his mind. I genuinely don't understand what they are thinking.
2
Frozencomet
4 months ago
dollars are still only 95c here, wild
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
What could be more surprising than attacking Iran during a holy day.
4
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
BRO, they only proposed
0
Car
4 months ago
they only proposed it bro
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
Bret Baier already said that Trump is the one who is holding back a Fox News debate. This is according to Fox, it's "one final pitch". Trump agreeing to a debate right before the election would be the dumbest thing he's ever done.
0
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
Just trying to arbitrage the other market while maintaining net yes 1 debate position 6,000, though right now I'm doubling down .
0
io9000
4 months ago
Thank you
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
I just try to arbitrage with other market tho right now have large net 1 yes position than usual
0
io9000
4 months ago
Thank you
Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?
Will143
4 months ago
this market still discovering price after a week
3
Milton landfall at what category?
Will143
4 months ago
I'm seeing cat 3 landfall.
0
General.William.T.Sherman
4 months ago
How are you pricing a cat 5 near less than 2 when the NHC is projecting landfall 8mph less than a 5? Yall really think it’s a 90% chance this drops 40 mph at a sub 900 pressure?
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
I think they know if they fired their guns
0
EmploiceMuswashans
4 months ago
they also denied every assassination and other attacks, we'll see.
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
take it back to 43 c plz
1
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
what is it then
0
amitnakesh
4 months ago
its not airstrike just wait before you buy yes trust me
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
bom bomb bomb Iran!
0
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
It's underwhelming
0
SkinnyArman
4 months ago
drop a link or something
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
Who proposed a resolution
1
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
lol, sell half now at 85c if you're freaking out about it. Though seems like a good bet to me.
0
io9000
4 months ago
WERE GOING DOWN WHATS HAPPENING WE USED TO BE AT 85% I SHOULD HAVE SOLD WE WILL LOSE NO PLEASE
10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
Will143
4 months ago
That's the wrong clade. This is for the new-fangled clade 1.
0
Ruztee
5 months ago
The cdc has clearly passed 10 cases based on this page
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?
Will143
4 months ago
alright bring out the November market
0
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
Lol
0
schottchris
4 months ago
i expect 5-6 polls this week with an average of 49-49. will that be enough to knock this average down 2%? hopefully it pushed some of those harris +6from 2 weeks ago
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Will143
4 months ago
I assume "an US missile" means a missile launched by the US.
1
dav1
4 months ago
hmmm, indirectly?
10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
Will143
4 months ago
good point
0
Ruztee
5 months ago
https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/mpox/response/2022/mpx-trends.html
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Will143
4 months ago
@Justifax ok, sure, devastating.
0
Infringe
4 months ago
waltz holders should exit before they're isnt exit liquidity to exit worthless waltz shares
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Will143
4 months ago
activote isn't a scientific poll
1
Justifax
4 months ago
uhhh right
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Will143
4 months ago
ipsos no doubt looking to get out of polling, right? Washington, D.C., October 2, 2024 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-2024-us-national-election-survey-september-2024
0
Justifax
4 months ago
the guy is an idiot
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Will143
4 months ago
wut
0
Justifax
4 months ago
So no ipsos poll so far, maybe the trump +1 swing state freaked them out. Biden was up +4.3 in 2020 Oct 3rd and only won by a slim 0.03 https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states/
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
If you click the second one it’s 98 percent
0
Shayku
4 months ago
It's actually Early requ... 2.36% (16,046.42) Yes 55.20% (375,355.17) unknown/50... 42.44% (288,606.25) ... with still 96% of votes to be revealed
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
There are multiple reso requests
0
Shayku
4 months ago
It's actually Early requ... 2.36% (16,046.42) Yes 55.20% (375,355.17) unknown/50... 42.44% (288,606.25) ... with still 96% of votes to be revealed
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
I can’t imagine a less sympathetic group
1
AppleADay
4 months ago
all these poor p1 holders that bought lotto tickets finding out they lost the house ;(
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
You have no idea what you’re talking about
0
zynyz
4 months ago
Just 1 more week bro easy 1%
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
So why the resolution requests made later being voted as an early request?
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
there's no such rule though
0
zynyz
4 months ago
Yes whales are revealing screenshots of their votes early during the mandatory hidden period breaking the rules of both Polymarket and UMA, message Polymarket support for them to step in
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
lotto would be better place for your $ tho
0
Will143
4 months ago
that's lotto mentality
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
that's lotto mentality
0
bbman1214
4 months ago
I am willing to risk $6 for $500
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
sarcasm
0
io9000
4 months ago
Thats because you have insider knowledge
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Aaron28a. but whatever
0
Phat.
4 months ago
why do you care of you winning .. no one is getting out
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
given him two weeks and I bet he changes his mind
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
no has no chance. get out now.
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
it doesn't matter.
0
PolymaREKT
4 months ago
Just google “ hezbollah deny israel”
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
lol.
0
jemjmee
4 months ago
https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-missile-attack-middle-east-10-02-24-intl-hnk#cm1s0jkww00003b6rij59ajfb “first signs of israel’s anticipation ground invasion” in OCTOBER
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
no holders are just pumping one another
3
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
the announcement was 7 PM ET Sept 30th TECHNICALLY
0
jemjmee
4 months ago
the IDF entered lebanese territory at 3am october 1st 2024 so technically they did not enter in september.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
non combative commandos
0
zynyz
4 months ago
Israeli non combative special ops have been in Lebanon every day for 20 years
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
you mean other than the statements of the army that crossed it and media reports?
1
Myh
4 months ago
any proofs of border crossed ?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
oh no what will I do
0
n/a
4 months ago
This is going P4 and you're going to have to hold your risky position for another 2 days
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
discord joins you
1
n/a
4 months ago
How do we join the discord
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
click the generate market summary lol
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? Generating... Israel has launched a "limited, localized" ground operation in southern Lebanon, targeting the Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah. The operation, which began on September 30, involves Israeli special forces conducting targeted ground raids, supported by aerial bombardments and artillery fire. Despite Hezbollah's denial of Israeli troops entering Lebanon, Israeli officials confirm the initiation of these ground operations, aiming to neutralize immediate threats from Hezbollah near the border. The escalation follows weeks of intense airstrikes and the death of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, resulting in significant casualties and displacement in Lebanon. POWERED BY Perplexity
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
no crash will start a bit sooner
2
Kavim
4 months ago
Guys, In 5hrs we will know the results?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
it's your only hope
2
Kuskooo
4 months ago
Polymarket became more of a "who owns more UMA coins to vote for his resolution wins" than a "truth decides"
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
congrats on being dumb enough to write this
0
zynyz
4 months ago
Yes flood of new account No buyers coming in, congrats on being the first Bond holder in history to be down money on their bond
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
it resolved because there were honest bettors on the other side not the fuckwads who buy at 1c - 2c under the illusion they can steal other people's money with UMA voting
1
zynyz
4 months ago
People arguing Yes because the small November market resolved incorrectly with no disputes means they don't have any arguments related to the actual rules of this market.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
in september
0
Shayku
4 months ago
When did the November market resolve?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
you are the dumbest people on earth
2
yevh97
4 months ago
Pence and his gang are big scammers and manipulators. I think they have bribed UMA, and the decision will be yes
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
Trump himself and the campaign told us countless times he wasn't doing another one but it never seemed to change the price.
0
MalikNabers
4 months ago
Cue a post by Shayku telling us why Don Jr saying Trump won’t debate again is a reason why Trump actually will debate again
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Perplexity much better for facts, though it gets them wrong too. Chagpt tries to minimize web searcges
1
n/a
4 months ago
I trust the robot more than a flock of whales playing for 1%. Unbias atleast.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
https://www.newsweek.com/israeli-troops-ground-offensive-hezbollah-lebanon-1961705
0
n/a
4 months ago
I trust the robot more than a flock of whales playing for 1%. Unbias atleast.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
lol.
0
n/a
4 months ago
That's what CHATgpt says when you ask "What time and date had the idf crossed the border and engaged in combat eastern time"
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Scroll down to yesterday night
0
n/a
4 months ago
Source? The IDF officially crossed the border into Lebanon and began engaging in combat on October 1, 2024, around 2:45 AM Eastern Time. This, has no proof. Just what the IDF has said. No footage, the other 3 i mentioned deny it.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
That’s wrong. Can give it to you a bit later. Idf announced yesterday before midnight et.
0
n/a
4 months ago
Source? The IDF officially crossed the border into Lebanon and began engaging in combat on October 1, 2024, around 2:45 AM Eastern Time. This, has no proof. Just what the IDF has said. No footage, the other 3 i mentioned deny it.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Plus they resolved the other market about entering yes in September
0
n/a
4 months ago
What's the technicality? For a decisive resolution they'd need to say "yes we were invaded by ground troops 30th sept ET time"
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Huh? Israel said that. Hezbollah partially denied it. But extensive media reports confirmed earlier raids
0
n/a
4 months ago
What's the technicality? For a decisive resolution they'd need to say "yes we were invaded by ground troops 30th sept ET time"
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Israel hezbollah and media are mentioned as resolution criteria. Nothing else
0
n/a
4 months ago
I have very closely, a few times.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Read the rules ffs
0
n/a
4 months ago
Can't reply to Will, it's true. If the 3 main sources (Hezbollah, UN and Lebanon) change their mind and say it did happen that means Yes. Which is what should happen if they do. tbc
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
You believe Jews are controlling the world and you can earn 100x betting against something that already happened
0
n/a
4 months ago
@will143 it's a badge of honor.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Even if true it wouldn’t therefore resolve no
0
n/a
4 months ago
The reality is when the Yes proposal was made is there was no evidence. Proof for "Yes" literally does not exist, that's what I'm interested in. Proof. P4 "too early" Israel even stated it hasn't engaged in ground combat. Meanwhile, UN, Lebanese army and Hezbollah say it didn't happen at all. It's either unknowable, no, or market manipulation. Namaste.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Why are so many no holders anti semitic
0
n/a
4 months ago
keep polishing the knob of jewish news outlets.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Will143
4 months ago
Trump sounded like a lunatic though. Vance sounded reasonable.
0
MalikNabers
4 months ago
People realizing slowly that the people polled on this poll voted 40% that Biden won when he literally couldn’t talk lol.
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
Trump probably yelling about it being rigged?
0
io9000
4 months ago
Thats rough guys looks like i was right :(
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Will143
4 months ago
He just skips over the part where he joined the CCP!
0
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Will143
4 months ago
What on earth is Vance talking about
0
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Will143
4 months ago
IF we care about climate change you'll support fracking!
0
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Will143
4 months ago
6 talking heads
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
DO IT!
1
JGabriel
4 months ago
Buying more. Im not fucking leaving.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
They argued that Israeli raids of southern Lebanon were military actions against Iran?
0
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 months ago
Check the UMA Discord history for "Israel military action against Iran by End of 2024". 50 Pence, aenews and Car made the exact same assumptions and claims as in this case. And they lost, because their claims are bogus. This isn’t their first rodeo..
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
There's no extra burden of proof on yes or on no. Also the people betting hundreds of thousands of dollars on this have an extensive knowledge of how UMA disputes operate.
2
Will143
4 months ago
Rules never say both are required for yes. Ya'll just reading that into the rules. "The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel...." That doesn't say what happens in a split. Then the rest of the sentence says, ", however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." Also Hezbollah is just denying an invasion force, not targeted raids.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Rules never say both are required for yes. Ya'll just reading that into the rules. "The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel...." That doesn't say what happens in a split. Then the rest of the sentence says, ", however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." Also Hezbollah is just denying an invasion force, not targeted raids.
3
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
There are also two tweets from MTV Lebanon about Hezbollah attacking israeli troops in southern Lebanon villages
0
Will143
4 months ago
US officials have confirmed that Israeli forces conducted special operations raids in Lebanese territory on Monday morning - CNN: https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk/index.html is the WSJ, the NYT, and all of Twitter evidence enough? https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2024/09/30/israeli-special-forces-reportedly-carry-out-cross-border-raids-into-lebanon-as-air-strikes-continue/ Justifax 8 No 1d ago JPOST - Israeli forces conduct small-scale incursions into Lebanon - report https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-822515 WSJ - Israeli Special Forces Launch Raids Into Lebanon Ahead of Possible Ground Incursion - https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-special-forces-launch-raids-into-lebanon-ahead-of-possible-ground-incursion-bf2fe94d TELEGRAPH: "Israeli special forces cross into Lebanon" https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-hezbollah-hamas-war-gaza-latest-news/ ALJAZAEERA -Israel raids three towns in southern Lebanon Our colleagues on the ground are reporting that the Israeli army launched raids on al-Abbassieh, Harouf and Bedias in southern Lebanon. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/9/30/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israel-expands-strikes-on-beirut-as-105-killed HEZBO, the primary resolution for this market, confirms timing - https://x.com/ajarabic/status/1840407001639301552?s=46
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
US officials have confirmed that Israeli forces conducted special operations raids in Lebanese territory on Monday morning - CNN: https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk/index.html is the WSJ, the NYT, and all of Twitter evidence enough? https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2024/09/30/israeli-special-forces-reportedly-carry-out-cross-border-raids-into-lebanon-as-air-strikes-continue/ Justifax 8 No 1d ago JPOST - Israeli forces conduct small-scale incursions into Lebanon - report https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-822515 WSJ - Israeli Special Forces Launch Raids Into Lebanon Ahead of Possible Ground Incursion - https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-special-forces-launch-raids-into-lebanon-ahead-of-possible-ground-incursion-bf2fe94d TELEGRAPH: "Israeli special forces cross into Lebanon" https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-hezbollah-hamas-war-gaza-latest-news/ ALJAZAEERA -Israel raids three towns in southern Lebanon Our colleagues on the ground are reporting that the Israeli army launched raids on al-Abbassieh, Harouf and Bedias in southern Lebanon. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/9/30/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israel-expands-strikes-on-beirut-as-105-killed HEZBO, the primary resolution for this market, confirms timing - https://x.com/ajarabic/status/1840407001639301552?s=46
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Look at MTV Lebanon tweets from Sept 28 and Sept 29. Believe Al Jazeera also tweeted about the one on the 28th. The WSJ and CNN both had separate stories about the ground raids on the morning of the 29th which are easily accessible. Yesterday the NYTimes had a story about Biden saying he was well aware of ground operations in Lebanon.
0
NotJustKen
4 months ago
FYI : September Invade market is tanked to almost 50%. This market might follow soon.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
that's a lie
0
Reaper01
4 months ago
show a single independent proof not solely linked to IDF statement
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
there were extensive reports of ground raids even before the IDF announced them officially. Also Lebanon media at least twice reported Hezbollah firing at Israeli troops in southern villages.
0
NotJustKen
4 months ago
FYI : September Invade market is tanked to almost 50%. This market might follow soon.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
imagine being able to do basic math or a calculator
0
0x0067e40e99580bB4f48f377786e1f595557578D4-1722634879022
4 months ago
Imagine you bet 100k to get 200$. Just imagine. Now imagine you bet 100k and you get nothing. All imagination huh
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
who votes?
0
ANudeEgg
4 months ago
Votes take place every other day, so it depends where in the cycle your particular dispute happens to land. For this one, I believe that voting will commence this evening and last for 24 hours. Then there will be a 24 hour period where the votes are revealed by the individual voters.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
you morons
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
that would be an even better price
0
Phat.
4 months ago
not really its 50/50
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
fair price is 95 c imo
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
FLIP!?!
2
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
Kellyanne acting like she's trying to suppress her gag reflex.
1
Chen1996
4 months ago
https://x.com/KellyannePolls/status/1840904696057237578
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
shooorrr.
0
Chen1996
4 months ago
Just on Fox News: . @realDonaldTrump previews tomorrow's #VPdebate and cracks open the door on another possible presidential debate with @KamalaHarris .
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
*resolved
0
n/a
4 months ago
Invasion" is this considered military entering lebanon for combat reason
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
the November market about Israeli troops entering Lebanon resolves yes on the idf announcement. Since it's still September this one will as well after the 2 day final review.
0
n/a
4 months ago
Invasion" is this considered military entering lebanon for combat reason
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
big no holders just trying to pump this. other market already resolved yes. there's no reasonable dispute.
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
maybe not a third level reply?
0
ANudeEgg
4 months ago
You cannot reply to a second level reply.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
i thought there was a bug with setting expiration limits but turned out i was just not entering the minute (which is required)
0
tunatyler
4 months ago
site has been buggy last 3/4 days
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
why is the reply button only occasionally present?
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
rather win a small amount of money than lose it.
0
shinigami.3
4 months ago
Bro bought yes @ 0.97
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
I keep expecting price to be at 99.5... then it's not so i dump more money in here.
0
Klein-Bottle-Capital-Management
4 months ago
IDF literally confirmed it on their twitter and No holders still coping lmao
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
lol
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
they're not allowed to report on troop movements
1
n/a
4 months ago
Seeing as the results will be from Isreal ans Hezbollah everyone voting yes should visit thr verfied isreali news channels.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
then why are you holding no
0
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 months ago
BREAKING: Hezbollah says it targeted Israeli troop movements across from Lebanese border towns - Reuters News
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
@abdendriel right i think intelligence gathering by special forces count as combat operations.
0
Will143
4 months ago
Raiding, also known as depredation, is a military tactic or operational warfare "smash and grab" mission which has a specific purpose.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
A raid is a surprise attack against a position or installation for a specific purpose other than seizing and holding the terrain. It is conducted to destroy a position or installation, destroy or capture enemy soldiers or equipment, or free prisoners. A raid patrol retains terrain just long enough to accomplish the intent of the raid. A raid always ends with a withdrawal off the objective and a return to the main body
0
Will143
4 months ago
Raiding, also known as depredation, is a military tactic or operational warfare "smash and grab" mission which has a specific purpose.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Raiding, also known as depredation, is a military tactic or operational warfare "smash and grab" mission which has a specific purpose.
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Or a raid for that matter.
0
Will143
4 months ago
What do you think targeting key sites which have been built across the border zone means?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
What do you think targeting key sites which have been built across the border zone means?
0
severian
4 months ago
Everything revolves around the nature of what 'combat operations' entails. The 'small-scale raids' were aimed at probing, gathering intelligence, identifying key Hezbollah posts, etc. So, reconaissance, intelligence. The question is if that falls under combat operations.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Israel is "currently conducting" limited operations targeting Hezbollah inside neighboring Lebanon, the US State Department said Monday. "This is what they have informed us that they are currently conducting, which are limited operations targeting Hezbollah infrastructure near the border," State Department spokesman Matthew Miller told journalists. https://www.barrons.com/news/israel-currently-conducting-limited-operations-inside-lebanon-us-7b5a3e81
0
severian
4 months ago
Bring the articles...
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
another article said destroying infrastructure..
0
severian
4 months ago
I respect you as you're buying more Yes tbh, but I've not seen an article say that said special forces have been destroying infrastructure, merely gathering intelligence and identifying key infrastructure
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
CNN say they were attacking Hezbollah posts.
0
severian
4 months ago
I respect you as you're buying more Yes tbh, but I've not seen an article say that said special forces have been destroying infrastructure, merely gathering intelligence and identifying key infrastructure
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
They were destroying infrastructure lol
0
severian
4 months ago
'Israeli special forces have been carrying out small, targeted raids into southern Lebanon, gathering intelligence and probing ahead of a possible broader ground incursion that could come as soon as this week, people familiar with the matter said.'
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
reasoning like this why you worship trump
0
n/a
4 months ago
For it to be resolved as “Yes,” Israeli military personnel need to physically enter Lebanese territory specifically for combat operation. Now, “combat operations” means more than just being present—it involves being there with an intent for combat, like setting up a position, advancing into enemy areas, preparing for a potential fight etc. Direct engagement isn’t necessarily required, but the intent must be combat-oriented.On the other hand, intelligence-gathering missions are different. If Israeli troops enter Lebanon purely for reconnaissance or covert information gathering, and there’s no combat objective, that wouldn’t count under the definition of “combat operations” for this market.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
other than the multiple independent reports about special forces operations conducting raids in the past couple of days there's not that much evidence.
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
A recent raid occurred last week, according to officials from the U.S., Lebanon and the United Nations
1
n/a
4 months ago
Even if you do want to state that these "raids" were "combat operations". There is absolutely no credible reporting that states they have happened between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. There have only been vague claims. The Wall Street Journal reported that Israeli forces have carried out cross-border raids in Lebanon "recently, as well as over the past months". Extremely vague, is "recently" a week ago? Two weeks ago? A month ago? No names, no date, no time. You can't resolve a market to "Yes" based off claims like this.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
from same article: A recent raid occurred last week, according to officials from the U.S., Lebanon and the United Nations. The Lebanese army reported to the U.N. the presence of Israeli troops in an area between Hanita on the Israeli side and Alma El Chaab on the Lebanese side, near the Blue Line—a boundary drawn by the U.N. after Israeli forces withdrew from southern Lebanon in 2000.
1
n/a
4 months ago
Even if you do want to state that these "raids" were "combat operations". There is absolutely no credible reporting that states they have happened between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. There have only been vague claims. The Wall Street Journal reported that Israeli forces have carried out cross-border raids in Lebanon "recently, as well as over the past months". Extremely vague, is "recently" a week ago? Two weeks ago? A month ago? No names, no date, no time. You can't resolve a market to "Yes" based off claims like this.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
sraeli special forces have carried out small raids into Lebanese territory in recent days as part of preparations for a potential ground offensive, two sources familiar with the matter said. Israeli commandos infiltrated Lebanese territory, targeting Hezbollah positions near the border to gather intelligence and destroy Hezbollah posts in the area, the sources said, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive military matters.
1
n/a
4 months ago
Even if you do want to state that these "raids" were "combat operations". There is absolutely no credible reporting that states they have happened between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. There have only been vague claims. The Wall Street Journal reported that Israeli forces have carried out cross-border raids in Lebanon "recently, as well as over the past months". Extremely vague, is "recently" a week ago? Two weeks ago? A month ago? No names, no date, no time. You can't resolve a market to "Yes" based off claims like this.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b_mcJ5VkFkI
0
Kavim
4 months ago
NO.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
well chatgpt says scouting is a combat operation
0
RoseCharts
4 months ago
Same AI that reported Hassan Nasralla alive and well
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS
1
NothingEverHappens
4 months ago
NEIN NEIN NEIN NEIN NEIN XDDDDDDDDD
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
Also note his new talking point (shared w/ Fox News) about how she held no press conferences
0
MartinArauz
4 months ago
Trump is playing his cards on social media, he has already had 2 presidential debates and has already publicly said there will NOT be a third one!
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
YES YES YES YES YES
2
Kavim
4 months ago
NO.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
perplexity thinks market conditions are satisfied
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
they are there to scout and destroy outposts
0
Bigiorn
4 months ago
You know that for "combat operations" you don't necessarily have to shoot people right?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
sraeli commandos infiltrated Lebanese territory, targeting Hezbollah positions near the border to gather intelligence and destroy Hezbollah posts in the area, the sources said, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive military matters.
0
Will143
4 months ago
RBvKrsr7ZfRKOne official described those raids to CNN as “very precise, very targeted, very small raids” – of the kind where “you go in, you go out” to specifically target Hezbollah’s capabilities.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
RBvKrsr7ZfRKOne official described those raids to CNN as “very precise, very targeted, very small raids” – of the kind where “you go in, you go out” to specifically target Hezbollah’s capabilities.
0
Tories4Harris
4 months ago
MONTHS: The incursions follow months of similar covert missions in which Israeli special forces briefly crossed the Lebanon border for reconnaissance, but have increased in intensity in recent days as commanders prepared for a wider maneuver, three of the officials said.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
then why did you sell 3k
0
Remontada
4 months ago
It can happen at any time. It is nearly certainly already happening, but behind the fog of war.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
just stop
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Ramyeh is a small Town in Southern Libanon: TheTelegraph, MTV Lebanon (1.6m followers), Hesbollah and multiple other channels have been reporting on this now. Look on Google Maps for yourself: Ramyeh, Lebanon.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
then buy up
0
CometoJesusMoment
4 months ago
Israeli troops are now in villages inside Lebanese territory, but we need an official statement.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
Ricardo
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
is there a way to convert yes and no positions that cancel out?
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
you go from arguably to definitely in an hour.
0
Justifax
4 months ago
The rules say 'any portion'. If Israel starts occupying Lebanon's maritime territory especially for the purpose of controlling who can pass through it - that definitely satisfies both invasion and the rules.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
is that a military offensive?
0
Justifax
4 months ago
"However, if, for example, a ship arrives from Iran - it may be stopped in front of the Lebanese coast" Arguably, any portion includes maritime territory.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Will143
4 months ago
We'll see if a market called "Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" resolve on the basis of Israel stopping ships from Iran.
0
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Will143
4 months ago
Nasrallah was always alive!
0
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% on Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
No one else has lag?
0
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% on Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
I have absolutely no idea what will happen.
0
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% on Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
lag?
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Will143
4 months ago
he's not satisfied with bulldozing businesses and streets in the West Bank.
0
Car
4 months ago
Netanyahu under pressure: In sign that there will bo no ceasefire in Lebanon, Israel’s National Security Minister Ben Gvir threatens PM Netanyahu that his faction will leave the government in such case. As it had been with the talks on hostages deal and a truce in Gaza, Ben Gvir will get what he wants
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Will143
4 months ago
I thought peace prevailed
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Will143
4 months ago
wow.
0
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?
Will143
4 months ago
what sorts of connections
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
After Sweden, MPOX C1 is now also in Kenya, Thailand and India. Its Spreading, and the US has 300m inhabitants with thousands of connections to areas as Congo and Burundi daily. https://x.com/Monkeypoxtally/status/1838307798678982905
2024 September hottest on record?
Will143
4 months ago
the the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index is a list of decreases/increases relative to average temp from 1951 to 1980
2
footure
4 months ago
Sept will likely be hottest on record but this market seems to have duelling clauses for Yes. 1) an increase greater than all other Septembers, but also 2) a Sept record.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Will143
4 months ago
I don't see how Hezbollah can enter a cease fire after the last week.
1
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
anyone know if rewards included in profit/loss stat?
0
100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
Will143
4 months ago
so technically this can't resolve yes
1
MrCalchas
5 months ago
isn't the name MPOX now or something?
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
Will143
4 months ago
poly should limit amount of yes shares bettors can hold.
0
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?
Will143
4 months ago
why are polls still being added with candidate name "convention bounce for Donald Trump"
0
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
psst.... nothing happening
0
Will there be another debate?
Will143
4 months ago
fcking misclicks
1
Women's Chess Olympiad 2024 Winner
Will143
4 months ago
India was always winning this
0
polybetter932
4 months ago
India still needs to win 4 more rounds, not so sure if they should be such a favorite here
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
lol Harris had a bounce BECAUSE of the debate. Therefore he should do another one that he would also surely lose? Or should he just wait a week for poll numbers to improve?
0
Shayku
4 months ago
This one is gonna hit home - https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-tops-trump-two-points
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
debate bumps are temporary and this one will pass soon. The last thing Trump should want is a 2nd debate that would be closer to when people are voting. The only debate he ever 'won' was against the 2024 version of Biden. It'd be a terrible decision to enter another debate. I'm still flummoxed Kamala was trying to lock him into a 2nd and 3rd debate before the 1st one.
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
4 months ago
YOU'RE RUINED!!!
0
bliss3
4 months ago
AAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHH 📉📉📉🔻📉
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
4 months ago
a joke I assume?
0
Will143
4 months ago
what was that thing about 30 day t bills pricing in 95% chance
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
4 months ago
what was that thing about 30 day t bills pricing in 95% chance
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
4 months ago
the rich got richer
1
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
4 months ago
noice
1
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
4 months ago
the set expiration is so buggy
2
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
In fact military leaders who served under you call you a disgrace!
0
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
if they had another debate she should should bait him into talking about black immigrants eating cats and dogs again. he would not be able to resist being called out on it.
0
Kamala wins and immediately bans X?
Will143
4 months ago
dumb
3
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
4 months ago
just 2 out of past 3?
3
MaverickMoves
4 months ago
Since the 1980s, 25 basis point rate cuts have become the Fed's preferred course of action. In fact, only 2 interest rate cut cycles have BEGUN with rate cuts greater than 25 basis points: 1. 2001, during the Dot-com bubble 2. 2007, during the Financial Crisis
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
4 months ago
that makes sense 🙄
1
Shayku
4 months ago
Post-debate polling has started coming is and is looking positive for Harris. By the end of the week, he (small) lead should be confirmed, and at that point the pressure will really be on.
Another Trump x Musk space before October?
Will143
4 months ago
Musk is too busy to have another interview.
0
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
Will143
4 months ago
I'm just trying to free ride off the manipulation of others
2
Ohio Presidential Election Winner
Will143
5 months ago
they both had 8 point margin.
0
Andy-Beshear
5 months ago
If Iowa is only +4 Trump, Ohio is a coin flip.
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
5 months ago
it was clearly a campaign decision to repeatedly announce he wasn't doing another debate. saying he might change his mind depending on his mood in response to reporter questions was obviously just an attempt to pretend like he's not afraid of debating her a second time and I'm surprised anyone interpreted it otherwise.
0
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Will143
5 months ago
what's a 'specific relation'?
1
Will143
5 months ago
these rules are idiotic
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Will143
5 months ago
these rules are idiotic
1
Will Trump visit Aurora in September?
Will143
5 months ago
it's a bit like visiting the UK and expecting Sharia law.
0
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
5 months ago
1 no shares going to be worth 15 c less by Monday.
1
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
Will143
5 months ago
someone should bet a million on this. go to central Africa, get infected, and try to sneak back into the US.
4
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
Will143
5 months ago
perhaps look at the # of shares by top 3 holders
0
EdgyUsername
5 months ago
Why's it 74% when she's only 0.5% ahead on Polymarket?
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Will143
5 months ago
Other than not wanting to lose the election, why wouldn't Trump want a second debate?
1
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Will143
5 months ago
They say the end is coming.
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
5 months ago
Insiders?!
1
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Will143
5 months ago
bro is insane
4
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Will143
5 months ago
what?
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
5 months ago
why wouldn't it be 50 bps
3
2024 September hottest on record?
Will143
5 months ago
how reassuring
1
aenews2
5 months ago
I'm here
2024 September hottest on record?
Will143
5 months ago
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
0
2024 September hottest on record?
Will143
5 months ago
cause reasons
1
epicRNG
5 months ago
Those on the no side, how sure are you and why?
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
5 months ago
der
0
1273not1272
5 months ago
Ed it’s controlled by the Federal Reserve lol. Suggested read: “The Creature From Jeckyl
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Will143
5 months ago
Eager to see if market manipulation can get anywhere close to a flip
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
5 months ago
you're wrong. but go bet on it.
2
mrcool59
5 months ago
I think interest rates are too low and the fed is incompetent or being political. The data shows that inflation will either spike or remain stagnant at its current level for a very long time if they cut.
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Will143
5 months ago
now 39% .50 cut, 61% .25 cut.
0
Foolish
5 months ago
As of Sept 3rd 2024, the market is pricing in a 63% probability of .25 cut and 37% for .50 bps cut. Dunno why the odds aren't reflecting the current market pricing.
2024 September hottest on record?
Will143
5 months ago
argh
0
Will Biden finish his term?
Will143
5 months ago
no
0
Mountainman
5 months ago
Is Biden still currently in office as we speak? I never hear or see from this guy anymore.
Will Brazil unban X before October?