#272
Rank
65
Comments
38
Likes Received
14
Likes Given
What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?
McDonalds-Employee
2 hours ago
debate starting in 34 minutes, Good luck and Have Fun 😊
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Because nobody is expecting 50bps besides the FED Watch Tool
7
🤺JustKen
2 weeks ago
Why are you weirdos shuffling to 25bp?
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Fed Watch Tool down now to 53% for 50 bps, I propose a new market "will FED Watch Tool switch in favor for 25bps?" 😆
4
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Also NASDAQ and SP500 is taking a beating the last 3 hours. They would pump if the 50 bps would be real...
2
FishSlut
2 weeks ago
Futures market tried to price in a 50bp cut. Now theyre unraveling and unloading as they know the fed dont give a fuuuuuuuck.
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Odds decreased now to 55% on Fed Watch Tool.... What is happening?!
4
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Jerome himself would never bet, you might be his cousin that gets a 10% cut 😉
0
Lopgft
2 weeks ago
I am Jerome
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
you would win :)
0
n/a
2 weeks ago
imagine if it was a 26bps decrease lol
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
your position would be much larger :)
2
Lopgft
2 weeks ago
It’s true I am Jerome
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
For the first time this week odds of 50 bps cut decreased to 57%, also PolyMarket odds went in favor of 25 bps. Maybe insider trading, what you guys think?
3
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
25 bps comeback LFG 🤠 https://www.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor now at 58%, down from 64%
3
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Bro, 25 bps is now higher on PolyMarket that in the last 5 days, so what dip are you talking about?
0
coinfucius
2 weeks ago
CME back to 61% lmao. Thanks for the dip
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
I believe in the last meetings it was based on the FED Rate monitor, so I am confused why it shows 5.25% now.
0
aldynspeedruns
2 weeks ago
depends what it's based on, if it's based on expert opinion then 5.25% makes sense, if it's based on GME fedwatch then it should be 5.00%. Could be a combination of both or more factors and decides that 5.25% is what it should be
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
4 hours to go and 50 bps odds declined to 59% on the Fed Watch Tool https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
3
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Something really strange just happened, if you got to any economic calendar (investing.com, fxstreet, tradingview etc.) they all show 5.25% as the expected reading. Considering that the odds for 50 bps are higher than 25 bps it should show 5.00%. What you guys think?
1
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
CME Fed Watch Tool just increased from 32 to 39% for 25 bps, let's hope it can extend it's gains 😊
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
finally someone gets it... if the previous unemployment rate would have came in worse than expected, yes there would be a chance for 50 bps, but not after unemployment went down from 4.3 to 4.2%
0
Bastardocane
2 weeks ago
It will start with 25 basis points, if the labor market or economic conditions worsen it will go 50 points. If it gets it wrong and acts fast inflation can come back quickly
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
it's on Tuesday...
0
Justifax
2 weeks ago
probably no real news until retail sales on monday https://www.forexfactory.com/
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
McDonalds-Employee
3 weeks ago
One hard lesson I had to learn on Polymarket is that it's overrun by MAGA, but I don't blame them, Hillary had a much higher lead in the polls than Trump and he still won in 2016. Don't forget that :)
1
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
McDonalds-Employee
3 weeks ago
I know exactly what you are referring to and it seems to play out the same way :)
1
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
I think I've seen this film before and I didn't like the ending
What will Kamala say at the debate?
McDonalds-Employee
3 weeks ago
they are right next to each other, they can still speak and influence each other, although the mic won't pick it up.
1
n/a
0 months ago
Why would she say "Im speaking" when Donalds mic is muted? xD
Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 6?
McDonalds-Employee
0 months ago
If it's so underpriced why don't you buy it?
2
Sit
0 months ago
"Yes" is currently so underpriced in my opinion. Bitcoin has been so volatile, it was at 60k less than 12 hours ago and hit has been dipping under 60k like this for a long time now, I really don't get why people are panic selling, as if it won't recover in two and a half days lol.
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?
McDonalds-Employee
0 months ago
any reason why you are so convinced of that? I am not voting for yes, not worth it at those prices, but both seem to want the debate.
1
CansGonzalez
1 month ago
Yeah this thing isn't happening y'all
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Odds are 95% it will happen so where are the mention markets for the debate?! Will be fun 🤠
0
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
What's wrong with that? He said this a thousand times this year...
0
leveller
1 month ago
border czar? wtf
Pavel Durov released in August?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
I think it was the instagram model who needed a pic of the Eifel tower + Billionaire
0
Justifax
1 month ago
my french is rusty, but I think Pavel was lured to France with an offer to dine on macaroons
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
You bought 14 days ago and sold 12 days ago.... 2 weeks ago this whole incursion started, which was a surprise to everyone, now it's the new normal and Ukraine won't give up territories in Kursk unless they get something back in return.
1
ProgPog
1 month ago
I bought Yes at 42c and already sold, but I'm starting to doubt YES more and more tbh
Pavel Durov released in August?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Durov is public enemy no. 1 for woke governments
5
Justifax
1 month ago
France detains people and releases them quite frequently, epsecially high profile folk. Sarkozy, IMF head, etc.
Pavel Durov released in August?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Exactly, it was just a UAE PR stunt. So all the billionaires won't leave Dubai...
0
n/a
1 month ago
lol UAE ask
Pavel Durov released in August?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Did you actually read it?
1
n/a
1 month ago
The three scariest words in the english language: "Balaji was right." https://x.com/balajis/status/1828302018622234801
Pavel Durov released in August?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
it's his own account...
1
scattering
1 month ago
lol source x… ur probably cooked
Will RFK drop out before November?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
You can endorse someone but still run
0
Will RFK drop out before November?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Guys, he literally said he is not withdrawing his candidacy
3
Will RFK drop out before November?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
He didn't dropped out, he will still be on the Ballot, he even said you can still vote for me, he just stopped putting more money into his campaign
3
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
I followed step 1, 2 and 3 but unfortunately I am just a tourist in America 😕
0
XiJinPing
1 month ago
Can someone sacrafice themselves? Go to Africa, have gay sex, come back, get tested, make $$$$$.
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
I am sorry to inform you, but read the rules of this market. ANY territory in the Kursk region counts, the city of Kurk doesn't matter.
1
n/a
1 month ago
It's unlikely that Ukraine will hold Kursk through August 31. Kursk is a Russian city, and any recent Ukrainian incursions or attacks in the region are temporary and limited in scope. The Russian military is expected to respond swiftly to reclaim any areas that may have been temporarily breached. Given Russia's significant military presence and its strategic interest in maintaining control over its own territory, it's highly probable that Russia will liberate any territory invaded by Ukraine within a short time frame. The geographical proximity to Russian supply lines and the overall strength of Russia's military in the region make it unlikely that Ukraine could sustain control over Kursk or any part of it for an extended period.
How many Fed rate cuts this year?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
That's 100 so why are you betting on 150+ :)
1
ThePope10019
1 month ago
First rate cut September. 50 bps. Second rate cut November. 25 bps. Third rate cut December. 25 bps.
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
You know that a "calm" CPI is a green light for the FED to cut right? The Dual Mandate is 2% inflation and 4% unemployment.
2
n/a
1 month ago
Yes, I sold my shares. CPI will be released next week, probably the next numbers will calm down the market, at the end of the day FED will cut only 25 bps
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Exactly my take as well, Jerome Powell would not risk his legacy for that and at the end of the day this Japanese Monetary intervention only had a small effect on the US economy, not like the pandemic which grinded the economy to a halt, an emergency cut back then was justified in 2020 but not now.
1
n/a
1 month ago
Im still studying what kind of people put money here, I think they're not from wall street
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
UBS is predicting 100 bps cuts by the end of 2024, 50 bps in September and 25 in November and another 25 in December. I have no idea why the CME futures give the 50 bps a 75% probability while Polymarket is at 53 cents. I guess it's the emergency cut conspiracy theories, no way this will happen.
0
n/a
1 month ago
Citi: Fed Rate Cut in Extraordinary Meeting is Possible, but Not the Base Case - Citi does not rule out the possibility of the Federal Reserve (Fed) anticipating a rate cut in an extraordinary meeting, especially if market sell-offs persist, although it does not consider this scenario the most likely. The bank believes that new signs of weakening in the American economy should not only guarantee a 50 basis point cut in the September meeting but also lead officials to project faster monetary easing to bring rates to more neutral conditions. "A new risk asset sell-off could also prompt quicker cuts, as Fed officials would see this as an exogenous tightening of financial conditions," it states.
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Because then Japan would even sell more of their US Government debt
0
EmpirePending
1 month ago
Can you explain why a rate cut would further contribute to the collapse of the carry trade?
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Hi @JustKam welcome to the Yes party, glad to have you 😊
1
Highest grossing movie in 2024?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
thanks for sharing
0
DumbMoney1
2 months ago
@coincado @tomatreides in all seriousness it's Moana 2
Highest grossing movie in 2024?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
@DumbMoney1 Who do you have in mind for "Other"? Alien Romulus?
0
Will Biden speak at the DNC?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
they would put his head into a Jar just like in Futurama 😜
1
EasyMoney2024
2 months ago
This market should be titled "Is Biden dead by the DNC" because that's the only way he's not speaking. He would speak even if he was in hospice.
Biden drops out in July?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
hi anon, at the end it's not really P2P, when Polymarket closes the market with a resolution you will see a claim button, where you see now the "Buy" button. You click on Claim and get your shares at a value of 100c (if you won). Hope that helps! Welcome to the Club
3
anon789
2 months ago
hi, i am new to this. is this kind of regular share market, where every buyer has an seller? what happens if i hold the shares till the end who pays??
Will Biden drop out by Monday?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
Any sources other than "Newsmax"?
1
0xb1189f9918d5f36c83d4e7a098f3a9581460199a
2 months ago
sources saying biden dropping out over weekend
When will Biden drop out?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
Are they actually more sources that reported on that potential drop out on Sunday, besides "Newsmax" and some users on X that retweet every shit they see?
3
Fact Check: Was Trump wearing a bulletproof vest?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
Guys, don't bet on that market, the rules are too vague. Does a Kevlar inlay in his suit count as a bulletproof "vest"? Nobody knows, stay away.
4
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
Other will resolve if another country than those in the list will win the most golden medals.
0
bali
2 months ago
"Other" will resolve if Paris Olympics doesn't happen?
Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
no way Jose 😉
2
Oxae5c67CeB16B4851F169EC1C65F405D7e6308b90
2 months ago
quick someone sell me 18k shares so I can be the top holder lmao
Biden drops out by July 12?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
if you call buying low and selling high a retard move, I am a happy retard 🙂
2
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
2 months ago
Coincado retard losing his mind yet again? 🤡👈🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 what a dumb trader
Republican VP nominee?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
What happened with JD Vance? "Other Man" aka Doug Burgum used to lead the charts
0
Democrats flip a 2020 Trump state?
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
Dear Yes Buyers, which state do you have in mind? Would like to join the party :)
1
Will any player lose all their chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4
McDonalds-Employee
4 months ago
They should have included this in the Rules
0
LinearAirDrop2028
4 months ago
What if they are British and eat them?
Trump Hush Money sentence before election?
McDonalds-Employee
4 months ago
Love your new username, we are in the same boat 😅
0
🤺JustKen
4 months ago
You're running out of money. Please re-deposit.
Republican VP nominee?
McDonalds-Employee
4 months ago
Anyone know why Tim Scott recently pulled ahead? For the last week "Other Man" was leading because of Doug.
1
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?
McDonalds-Employee
4 months ago
Does anyone know if xtracker was specifically made for Polymarket?
1
Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
Love your Motto, "Always buy No" 😆
1
SesameCake
7 months ago
There's plenty of rewards for everyone. Sharing is caring :)
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
You are welcome 😅
0
Dot
7 months ago
Thank you for your service
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
$59,996 that's all you gonna get boys 😊 Now dump it Larry!
0
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
HOLD THE LINE!!!
0
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
I bought 0.4 shares of No, so it won't reach 60k, sorry folks
0
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
😂😂😂
1
Apsalar
7 months ago
i was worried that this would resolve YES for a second, but then I saw redditmoons isn't the top holder on the other side so I know I'm safe.
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
The spread is insane 43 cents 😅
0
Will Daniel Alegre change pfp by April 1?
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
This should be removed... it reeks of market manipulation
1