What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 day ago

It doesn't matter he doesn't play any part in resolutions it's just his opinion

0

Hexagon

1 day ago

Shane the ceo even said that he heard “tax to pay”

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

2 days ago

Appreciate it Domer!

0

🤺JustKen

2 days ago

I heard debate, played it for other people who all heard debate.

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

n/a

3 days ago

*My wife the english Tsh

1

JohnathanDoe

3 days ago

My wife the english teacher

Will Joe Biden endorse Donald Trump?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Is this a Bernie type endorsement or a RFK type endorsement?

0

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Just throw a nuke at them

2

🤺JustKen

0 months ago

Global warming is fake and so are hurricanes

What will Trump say during Wisconsin rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Gavin Newscum is a good one

1

0xE42c9d2ef

3 weeks ago

Gavin Newscum please

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

n/a

1 month ago

Not you obviously 🤠

0

ImplausibleOutcome

1 month ago

What UMA whales are you talking about?

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

n/a

1 month ago

What are the odds that UMA whales buy a huge amount of No shares and resolve it to No.. You could make almost a couple of millions that way. Is there anything to prevent this from happening? Obviously it should resolve to Yes but it still makes me pause before buying Yes at 99.9

1

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

n/a

1 month ago

We're going to get scammed on this bro. I bought No at 99c after the interview was over

0

Parz1val

1 month ago

Market dynamic tells nothing about the result. Market was at 98ct on both sides so on both side shares got bought cheap to get flipped quickly. Source for the resolution is still the rulebook.

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

n/a

1 month ago

He skipped over the entire word. Nobody got it from the live interview which is the resolution source. Another scam is about to go down

2

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

n/a

1 month ago

Nobody understood "Teacher" because he mispronounced it so badly that the market traded at 99c for No after the END of the interview. Don't be stupid people

1

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

n/a

1 month ago

For once I agree with you car

0

n/a

1 month ago

What wallz said: …. What polymarket degens heard: “teacher”

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

n/a

1 month ago

No one heard it when it was" pronounced" on the live video. He did not articulate it AT ALL.

0

n/a

1 month ago

So they missed the word? If he cut out, but CNN released a full interview where he says the word it would still count

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

n/a

1 month ago

https://x.com/BuffettCloner/status/1829343405220016267 He did NOT say the word Teacher! The market was trading at 99c for NO AFTER the end of the interview! He did not pronounce it correctly.

1

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Just work with us for a refund bro, we have a good chance to make it happen and it might not even cost Poly that much. They refunded a much bigger amount on a Barron DJT token market before

1

hillary2win

1 month ago

All NO holders, please do NOT dispose of your shares in this market if you want to participate in lawsuits against UMA, UMA voters and Polymarket. You will need to keep the shares and records of the trades.

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Don't be too quick to dismiss it, it was done before on the DJT market. Very possible here and I will advocate for it

3

baal

1 month ago

The potential billion dollar company in the future would rather keep their insider whale circle jerk

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

No holders are genuinely entitled to a refund, in my opinion. That clarification is clearly wrong and people don't deserve to lose money, even in small amounts, from this unfortunate event.

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Let's work a refund for the No holders, shall we? We are at least entitled to this after having been robbed.

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Thank you for your leadership

6

hillary2win

1 month ago

A good captain goes down with the ship. And in this case i was a good captain

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I'm happy to die on the right side of history. I would do it all over again. (With inconsequential amounts)

12

·

Liked by LMNOP, hillary2wi... and 10 others

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

post a link in the comments

1

markxc27

1 month ago

I just got a response directly from the campaign - “ we did not drop out but the campaign is suspended, we are still on the ballot in 40 states and Bobby asked us to vote for him in those states.”

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Let's go

1

🤺JustKen

1 month ago

Good guys winning (so far).

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

If we win, we should do a massive party with all No holders, financed in part by the windfall we rightly deserve

10

·

Liked by XiJinPing, LMNOP and 8 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Never too late to join the right side

4

n/a

1 month ago

interesting start for NO

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

We'll see if the UMA whales will rig the outcome for the popular accounts that have bought Yes shares in droves. No holders have always been on the side of truth!

7

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

"We are staying on the ballot in 30 States. I encourage people to vote for me in those states" Resolving this to Yes is a complete travesty.

10

·

Liked by LMNOP, LostMemori... and 8 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Thank you for having common sense

9

·

Liked by EmpirePend..., JanSobiesk... and 7 others

yeamon

1 month ago

RFK's statement today on how voters should vote: "We're going to stay on the ballot in 30 states and I'm encouraging people to vote for me in those states." In no universe would any good faith reasonable person conclude that an explicit call for voters to NOT vote for Trump for president satisfies an endorsement of Trump for president. RFK has clearly stated his support for Trump while also clearly stating the endorsement of his own presidential bid. This is not complicated. I don't endorse drinking your own pee but I support anyone who wants to drink their pee if that makes them happy. I endorse drinking water. Words matter, rules matter, and Poly/UMA need to do the right thing and P4 this or refund everyone. "Yes" is clear cut THEFT.

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

If you make a mistake once or twice, you don't have to make it a third time.

2

n/a

1 month ago

September and November already resolved yes, inconsistent resolutions and defying Polymarket's interpretation of their own rules would be horrible.

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

This is mind blowing that a poly recommendation turns people into brainwashed zombies who can't think for themselves. The guy said himself that he wants everyone to know that he is NOT terminating his campaign, simply suspending it and NOT ending it.

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

If you've bought at less than 2 cents, you can't blame others for doubling or tripling their money. Many are not selling.

3

Justifax

1 month ago

Except your fellow scammers are dumping!! it was all a scam and chumps like you are holding the bags of sht

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

For those talking about a pump and dump, the campaign has explicitly stated no endorsement and even corrected a court filing to remove the word "endorsement". The resolution source is RFK Jr. and his campaign. It's not more complicated than that.

8

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

It's not because you made a mistake once that you have to repeat it. This is going to a vote and we bring arguments to the table.

6

bluejay

1 month ago

https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-during-friday-address

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

AP Headline: " RFK Jr. says he is suspending, not ending his campaign. His campaign says he ‘has not endorsed Trump’" https://apnews.com/article/trump-harris-vance-walz-election-dnc-93dc79917053d8c97db4bb9cd6b0130d

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Absolutely, you're totally correct

5

n/a

1 month ago

If you're on the UMA Discord server, please copy and paste the sources I linked below. RFK's campaign is exceedingly clear about this. You don't always get such clear answers! “Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump,”

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

His campaign is already updating a court filing to remove he word "endorsement" which was wrongly filed. Media does not matter as a resolution source, they don't care about the truth they just want to grab people's attention.

0

n/a

1 month ago

No one has verified what Nicole supposedly told one person on twitter. The entire media and 5 of his family members have publicized/commented on his endorcement

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Remember the DJT token "Was Barron Trump involved in it's creation?" Polymarket came out with a statement that it believed Barron was involved all along after the market was resolved No. The Yes holders were refunded. We are in the same situation. The conned Yes holders will likely be refunded and this market will resolve based on the truth, which is no formal endorsement as confirmed by his campaign and potentially Nicole Shanahan herself.

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Read the rules. The media reports what it wants to report, Kennedy has not formally endorsed him and is still encouraging people to vote for him. Only RFK and his campaign count as a source for resolution and they haven't mentioned the word endorsement ONCE.

5

n/a

1 month ago

Don't be scammed. There is no proof of this just a vague screenshot. The ENTIRE media is reporting an edorcement. If Nicole or RFK really believed this they would correct the media. NOT A SINGLE JOURNALIST HAS AKNOWLEDGE THIS!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Or simply a mistake? You will likely get refunded so no need to make a big deal about it.

6

nola72324

1 month ago

I understand that the No holders are pumping, but you all do realize that this resolving No after Polymarket says it will be Yes would be an existential disaster for them.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

You understand that "Polymarket said so" is not an argument that bears any relation to the factual situation that there was no endorsement. The source for resolution is Kennedy and his campaign, not a consensus of media sources or wrongful clarifications.

4

n/a

1 month ago

Polymarket already said Yes twice. The chance of not saying again os 0%. this comment section is full os scammers

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Like the media has not constantly twisted RFK Jr.'s words beyond recognition? It's business as usual for them. He purposefully avoided the word endorsement and he is still in the race.

2

n/a

1 month ago

A screenshot posted on twitter has no validity at all. It contradicts EVERY single media publication. No journalist has verified or even acknowledged what is in that screenshot. Until it is verified by the Journalistic Community and the dozens of articles about his endorsement are redacted that holds no weight. I highly doubt Nicole would claim every single media outlet is publicizing false information and only correct one single person on X

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

To be fair, it's what he said yesterday during his address. I'd like to have confirmation on the VP email confirming no endorsement, this one is huge.

1

XiJinPing

1 month ago

VIDEO PROOF IS REAL -- https://x.com/GiggityTitties/status/1827400121748767128

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Why don't you take a very small loss and join the right side. Life is so much easier here when you're right. You won't have to spend all day glued to your screen and panic at every price movement.

2

n/a

1 month ago

fake no walls panicking. plz just sell me ?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Wrongful clarification, it happens. Maybe the Yes holders will be refunded.

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Is this real? Oh my god

3

XiJinPing

1 month ago

RFK's own VP confirmed they are not officially endorsing Trump -- https://x.com/GiggityTitties/status/1827388701481299983

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

It was a rushed clarification, clearly inappropriate for this market. Polymarket can make mistakes, they are not superhuman. Humans make mistakes all the time. UMA will decide.

5

basedd

1 month ago

I want to know which market is more certain than a clarified one

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Do not be reckless and buy Yes at the risk of losing your entire stake for 3 cents. It's not worth it. Plenty of more certain markets to do that on, even though it's foolish in many cases.

9

·

Liked by EmpirePend..., LMNOP and 7 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

The campaign is already updating a court filing to remove the word "Endorsement" we already know the answer

5

XiJinPing

1 month ago

RFK VP's DM's are open https://x.com/NicoleShanahan -- just ask her to clarify!!!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Look at how weak the P2 arguments are on UMA compared to P4, there is a real chance we win this, much higher than 3%.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

There might be generational wealth on the table, for those who want to join as fellow No holders. Don't be fooled by the clarification, Polymarket can get it wrong. They are not the ones who have the final vote.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Everyone go to UMA and let the truth be known.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

"The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives." No one is even talking about a consensus of sources for resolution! His campaign said NO ENDORSEMENT.

16

·

Liked by XiJinPing, n/a and 14 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

@Polymarket take off your bad clarification, there's still plenty of time. What if he comes out and says he's not endorsing Trump yet?

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

A white knight must come in and dispute this

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

"The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives." Read the rules, reuters doesn't matter

0

n/a

1 month ago

did reuters report that no won?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Wow, I feel sorry for the big No holders who got robbed. Thank god I didn't bet much on this.

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

The rules here specifically state a formal endorsement, unlike the other market which talks about support. This is clear no.

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Before the speech, his campaign had said in a Pennsylvania court filing Friday that he would be endorsing Trump for president. However, a spokesperson for Kennedy said the court filing had been made in error. “Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump,” said spokesperson Stefanie Spear. “The filing was made by an attorney and not reviewed by the campaign.” She said the filing would be updated.

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

If you resolve Bernie "No", this is a no as well. He said he supported Kamala many times, but it fell short of a formal endorsement.

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?

n/a

1 month ago

I agree with that. The august one is a clear no, this one is tougher

0

0xE42c9d2ef

1 month ago

the difference is that the market needs an endorsement to resolve for yes and not a formal endorsement, there's a difference between them

RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?

n/a

1 month ago

Before the speech, his campaign had said in a Pennsylvania court filing Friday that he would be endorsing Trump for president. However, a spokesperson for Kennedy said the court filing had been made in error. “Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump,” said spokesperson Stefanie Spear. “The filing was made by an attorney and not reviewed by the campaign.” She said the filing would be updated.

6

What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

n/a

1 month ago

W @professorx Thank you

1

What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

n/a

1 month ago

@Medusa why don't you buy FDA please

1

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

"I am not ending my campaign" He said

1

What will Tim Walz say during DNC speech?

n/a

1 month ago

I meant past not passive

0

n/a

1 month ago

Coached is the passive form, not possessive or plural. It DOESN'T count.

What will Tim Walz say during DNC speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Coached is the passive form, not possessive or plural. It DOESN'T count.

1

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

@privatenm I have no idea

0

n/a

1 month ago

Congratulations

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Buy "Yes" if you want to bet yes, buy "No" if you want to bet no

0

antonio77

1 month ago

how do uou bet is quite complecated

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Congratulations

1

zachlol

1 month ago

just bought 82 shares of No

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

It means if you bet 70$ you get 100$ if you're right

0

bitterebb

1 month ago

what does the 70c mean what is that

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Totally legit

0

0xdae86A9566f17c9cE1763925AF23a1971B78Eb65-1724277729442

1 month ago

Is this app legit

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

You got nothing in bro, we can see your positions

2

moneymakerXE

1 month ago

$25.5K in

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

True, but you must be right on your initial bet and very often these things change quickly and your reward money can vanish in no time when the odds move, I'm probably just bad and need to learn more

0

n/a

1 month ago

i guess you have to be commited to one side and bid there, once you get some offer them for higher. If price drops you still have your bet, that you were willing to take.

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

He pulled up the market on stream right now https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat

0

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Yeah I bailed out, I don't know how people farm rewards profitably without being glued to their screen 24/7

1

n/a

1 month ago

already down to 750, will probably be going down further

Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

1000 Reward? We are eating good today!

0

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

n/a

1 month ago

I'm not sitting through the entire DNC, watching one speech is already painful enough!

1

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

@professorx If you see this let's split the reward pool 50/50 each. We're leaving money on the table

0

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

No idea

0

n/a

1 month ago

where did he lose?

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

@professorx You're down 14k you won't get it back by chasing $0.02 for 5 bucks an hour

1

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

You're the best domer

0

🤺JustKen

1 month ago

I accidentally slept through this and a lot of people got free money. Nonetheless, looks like I made around $1k on this market. Lol. Maybe that's the key.

Will Trump post on X again before election?

n/a

1 month ago

I wish I had proposed, you get a cut when the disputer is wrong if I'm not mistaken! Free money

4

Lonfo

1 month ago

He actually disputed twice so that's 1500 dollars lost for no reason. Weird.

Will Trump post on X again before election?

n/a

1 month ago

What idiot disputed this? You're gonna lose your 750

6

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

Exactly, that's what I've been saying all along

1

GoodTimesRoll

1 month ago

No idea why people are upset. The bet is on the elections' winner, not on who holds power. You can lose the elections and still retain power if you just choose to ignore, that doesn't change the result of the vote.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

Common sense prevails

5

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

EU says it does not recognize Venezuela’s election result https://www.politico.eu/article/european-union-not-recognize-venezuela-election-result-nicolas-maduro/

1

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

You're literally betting on Gonzalez by 300 shares, MrBest

0

n/a

1 month ago

that's right, they are better than you.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

Maduro yes betters be like: Let's rubber stamp that fraud and move on, Maduro alone decides the result of the election!

1

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

Let's rubber stamp that fraud, that has to be the right thing to do

0

n/a

1 month ago

The current market and situation with the percentages no longer reflect reality (other betting markets in different sites have already closed - Maduro won), but rather reflect the market's expectation of how the UMA community will vote. This is, of course, nonsense because, in essence, the UMA community can act as a political organization that recognizes or does not recognize the official election results. A very interesting situation could arise - the official authorities of Venezuela declared Maduro the winner, all betting markets declared Maduro the winner, Russia + China (+basically the entire anti-Western alliance) recognize Maduro's victory, and only the Venezuella opposition, the USA (+the entire pro-Western world), and Polymarket recognize Gonzalez? Don't you guys think this is no longer betting, but clear political statements?

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

"Copies of the electoral voting records published by the opposition, and reviewed by several independent organisations, indicate that Edmundo González Urrutia would appear to be the winner of the Presidential elections by a significant majority." https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2024/08/04/venezuela-statement-by-the-high-representative-on-behalf-of-the-eu/ The European Union clearly states that Edmundo González is the winner of the election

4

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

Everyone knows González received more votes than Maduro. The US states unequivocally that he won. Staying in power through force doesn't make you the winner of an election, receiving the most votes does.

8

·

Liked by Susan-afte..., Flipp and 6 others

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Again, for those mentally challenged: This market is about who won the election, not who stays in power through force. The candidate who won is the candidate who has received the most votes.

4

What will Trump say in August?

n/a

2 months ago

Hannibal lecter said during today's rally https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nGevyx3NKP4&ab_channel=RightSideBroadcastingNetwork

2

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

The US recognizes opposition candidate González as the winner of Venezuela’s presidential election. It doesn't get more clear than this. You trust the US with the real numbers or a dictator with fake numbers. The market is called who is the presidential election winner, not who will rule by force. Big difference.

2

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

The people who get the most votes win the election

0

LinearAirDrop2028

2 months ago

The people who win elections hold the office. They don't always get the most votes.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Welcome to the club

1

n/a

2 months ago

Lets go boys!!!

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

@Flipp We're in this together, let's win it

1

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

You could buy more now that the US officially recognized Gonzalez as the winner

0

🤺JustKen

2 months ago

Good guys winning, bad guys losing, etc.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Source?

0

n/a

2 months ago

The US recognized Gonzalez as the winner today btw

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Ask yourself: Is this market "Who faked the election results and gets away with it" or "Who is the Venezuela Presidential Election Winner"?

4

What will Biden say during drop out speech?

n/a

2 months ago

Very nice win

0

Trump vs. Biden: Who raised more in June?

n/a

2 months ago

"Trump’s total includes $111.8 million that the campaign says it raised in June. That sum is less than the $127 million Biden reported raising last month". This was reported on July 2nd by AP News. Can someone explain to me why the numbers are so different in "Total Receipts"?

0

How many seats will New Popular Front coalition win in French Election?

n/a

2 months ago

Final results https://www.lemonde.fr/resultats-elections/ 182 seats New Popular Front

0

What will Biden say during Immunity Speech today?

n/a

3 months ago

What's 41-17? I don't want to offend Domer by asking him

2

41-17™askDomerWhatImean

3 months ago

What does this demented scumbag have against alley cats?

Biden senile during the debate?

n/a

3 months ago

inability to follow the debate format 1.5/3 ? He followed the format perfectly

0

0xf46

3 months ago

persistent incoherence 1/1, confusion: 1.5/2, inability to follow the debate format 1.5/3, prolonged periods of non-responsiveness: 1.5/4… so no

Biden senile during the debate?

n/a

3 months ago

I didn't say the first half, I said he was coherent for at least half of the debate, probably a bit more than that. People only focus on the moments of gaffes and confusions, there was plenty of that, but there was plenty of "normal but weak sounding" talk as well. I think that's a fair assessment

1

lollololol

3 months ago

I disagree with the argument that he only struggled during the first half.

Biden senile during the debate?

n/a

3 months ago

"showing poor mental ability because of old age, especially being unable to think clearly and make decisions:" According to this definition he is senile. According to the rules of this market "persistent incoherence, confusion, inability to follow the debate format, or prolonged periods of non-responsiveness." I don't think those standards are met. There was incoherence, but not persistent as he was coherent for at least half of the debate (still a terrible performance), he wasn't really confused, just slow or very slow, he followed the debate format, and he wasn't really unresponsive for prolonged periods of time. So it's a close call but it weighs more towards "No" according to the specific rules laid out, in my opionion (I have no stake).

5

Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate?

n/a

3 months ago

Congrats fellow no holder

2

LesterSmith

3 months ago

YESSS

Was Barron involved in $DJT?

n/a

3 months ago

From what I can see is it really 100% to 0% for no?

4

WickJohn

3 months ago

Currently resolving to NO

Was Barron involved in $DJT?

n/a

3 months ago

This bet is finished https://fortune.com/crypto/2024/06/20/djt-token-shkreli-barron-trump/

5

Was Barron involved in $DJT?

n/a

3 months ago

A "preponderance" of evidence still requires evidence which is yet to be found. Roger Stone which is by far the closest to the Trump family has clearly stated zero involvement from Trump or his son in his tweet. All the people claiming the contrary have a stake in the outcome of this vote. You really believe that Trump would let his son who just graduated high school be involved with a massive crypto, pump and dump drama story in the middle of the election? No way.

4