#236
Rank
115
Comments
50
Likes Received
14
Likes Given
ImplausibleOutcome
18 hours ago
Shameful No pumpers are the WORST.
UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts
19 hours ago
Its beyond suspect that the usual cast of characters all started buying NO right before the vote ended after pumping No and arguing for it
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
If the protestors had tanks, it would have been different.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
Resolved No because the protestors didn't manage to occupy and establish military and political control over any part of the stage: https://polymarket.com/event/protestor-stage-invasion-at-dnc/protestor-stage-invasion-at-dnc?tid=1724208523184
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
Resolved No because the protestors didn't manage to occupy and establish military and political control over any part of the stage: https://polymarket.com/event/protestor-stage-invasion-at-dnc/protestor-stage-invasion-at-dnc?tid=1724208523184
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
sell while you still can
n/a
1 day ago
Pence and his gang are big scammers and manipulators. I think they have bribed UMA, and the decision will be yes
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
Kelly Criterion
Fatman1
1 day ago
Our upside is far greater to take profits, Unlike YES that costed 6 figures to hold when talking about the top holders .. rest assured YES would fold and take loss far earlier than any NO taking profits
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
I would encourage you to watch it like a dove.
scottilicious
1 day ago
I was watching like a hawk, I think it's a no obviously, though by some arguments could be 50/50 and no way in hell it's a clear yes given the latest info from CNN, WSJ, UN, Lebanese army etc etc
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
Most of the whales have been advocating for abolition of UMA and replacement with expert resolution by Polymarket. However Polymarket ignores us.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
It's not the whales that rig the market. It is the small group of UMA token holders who don't know how to properly resolve markets. Over time you learn this, and you bet based on how they typically act.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
It's true that Whales sometimes lose, when they are divided. This is why there are ZERO whales on Team No. I've tried fighting the good fight before - and we get crushed. UMA is controlled by as few as three people and they often prioritize Vibes over Market Rules.
Fatman1
2 days ago
whales don't win all the time .. eventually they pay the price
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
That isn't how you vote, lol.
u/MeLLoN98
1 day ago
Join the UMA Chanel and vote P4 - Too early because the resolution for this market came before the deadline, and it came based on romuers and none official stament from Israel and Hizhollah or consensus (there was no consensus as it was all romuers)
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
There is no chance that the vote will resolve the way the past 100 UMA votes have gone?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 day ago
Debate in Discord is heated. There is no clear consensus that this market would be a YES..
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
1. You don't understand how UMA works. 2. You are betting the wrong side. 3. After you lose your money, please do some reflection and either quit Polymarket in rage (the typical response) or consider betting the correct way next time.
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 day ago
Can someone please propose a market for the outcome of this market (with all 4 outcomes) so we can get an actual sense of what's going to happen? I would if I knew how to do it...
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
Math is hard for team No.
monom
1 day ago
Enjoy holding your $500k Yes positions for another week for the hopes to gain 1% by rigging the vote after the "Too Early" vote tomorrow
ImplausibleOutcome
1 day ago
2 days and 2 hours. And I'm getting 1.5%!'
monom
1 day ago
Enjoy holding your $500k Yes positions for another week for the hopes to gain 1% by rigging the vote after the "Too Early" vote tomorrow
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
Historically No team has lost 100.0% of these fights (not 99%, 100%).
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
Imagine if there was a discord where this question was being decided at this very moment. Now do the research and find it.
OhNos
2 days ago
its funny as f to watch the P2 people just say "P2 YES" and provide NO evidence or rationale lol good luck with that one..
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
strength of position is proportional to 1/(number of comments)
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
Missile truthers prepared to argue that the missiles are fake.
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
Classic case of the losing side dominating the comments and wasting their time on a losing fight.
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
Checkout top holders and get back to me.
Kuskooo
2 days ago
Damn this is such an easy 100x
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
2 days and 9 hours. I think. And UMA will vote 99.9% for yes. It won't be close.
cyberpotato
2 days ago
When would this market be settled?
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
lol. These people have 0.1% influence or less.
monom
2 days ago
https://www.uma.rocks/dashboard Are these the 3 guys that decide the final answer? Im guessing 1 of them is a Yes whale?
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
Israel, Lebanon telling ‘their versions of truth’ about ground offensive Ori Goldberg, an Israeli political commentator and lecturer at Reichman University, says he doesn’t believe that Israel is lying about sending ground troops into Lebanon despite Hezbollah’s denial. “It’s a grey area,” he told Al Jazeera from Tel Aviv. “This isn’t an invasion force. This isn’t an expeditionary force. There are no tanks. There are no infantry troops. These are mostly commando units.” Goldberg said it is possible that Israeli forces are likely focusing on known Hezbollah installations or similar targets. “So, in that sense, if Hezbollah was expecting an invasion, then Hezbollah’s statements are correct. Israel, however, has been exactly saying that this is what the force is,” he said. “So both sides are telling their version of the truth.
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
If Hezbollah doesn't make a statement they'll use IDF + consensus of credible media reporting
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
dump while you still can
n/a
2 days ago
Invasion" is this considered military entering lebanon for combat reason
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
How is your Eigenlayer position? Going to zero.... nice
n/a
2 days ago
@rememberamalek is telling everyone to dump although he knows hes losing yet he is selling all his stocks. Hold the line N buyers.
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
those are two opposites - a limited ground operation means they cross the border
Jackherb9
2 days ago
Who wants more proof that is a limited ground operation and havent crossed border with personal :
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
no
u/MeLLoN98
2 days ago
https://x.com/almayadeenlive/status/1840907371922530764?s=46&t= https://x.com/almayadeenlive/status/1840901243109011943?s=46&t= https://x.com/almayadeenlive/status/1840896076636725557?s=46&t= https://x.com/almayadeenlive/status/1840846239010865242?s=46&t= https://x.com/almayadeenlive/status/1840827527612321989?s=46&t= Need confirmation from Lebanon or Hezbollah that Israel actually invaded else it should resolve as NO.
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
idf statement
ftor1
2 days ago
why would we
ImplausibleOutcome
2 days ago
someone needs to stop buying No shares
ImplausibleOutcome
1 week ago
sleep with the chart
ImplausibleOutcome
1 week ago
Just because Car is a scammer, doesn't mean Caroline is one as well. Don't put the wrong person in jail!
ImplausibleOutcome
1 week ago
Results don't need to be certified. Especially if there is a decent margin.
n/a
1 week ago
I think we can close this now, all votes are counted:
ImplausibleOutcome
1 week ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-fungible_token
r0c4mb0l3-DISCIPLE-of-JUSTKEN
1 week ago
so this is my last message on this matter: to win YES you need Trump to be involved on a coin-token (like sol, link, pol and so on). NFTs or physical coins don't count. Is that simple
ImplausibleOutcome
1 week ago
Innocent of all charges until proven otherwise.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 week ago
Discord - market-suggestions channel
viktorurolog16
1 week ago
How to create a new market?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 week ago
a lot
KingofRingx3
1 week ago
Currently sitting at 48.9% and usually under 2% change every week. What am i missing that this is at 25cents for yes?
ImplausibleOutcome
2 weeks ago
Venn Diagram
ImplausibleOutcome
2 weeks ago
Most of the funds will go to No holders. Only people who used convert with be adversely affected.
Justifax
2 weeks ago
If there is a partial cut (it has happened before in 70s and 80s) and they resolved all the brackets NO, than 5M will go up in smoke. Poly does NOT keep that money, they implemented the contracts that way. I believe also one contract MUST go YES in a negrisk, but I'm sure they'd figure out away around that. This of course is highly improbable scenario but given the millions bet here it should be dealt with before it possibly happens. Please advocate for them to fix it for markets going forward.
ImplausibleOutcome
2 weeks ago
So you could try and convince UMA to dispute it
joeschmo7854
2 weeks ago
how do I dispute border without paying 750 used which I do not have
ImplausibleOutcome
2 weeks ago
Ok Loomer
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
Why do all the accounts betting the same way as me have a lot less money than the accounts betting against me? Makes you think...
qur1l
3 weeks ago
Why would a bro buy shares for a 1-2% gain if there is a small chance that the debate will be postponed. He's already bought almost a million dollars worth
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
He holds a long-term membership in the Train Collectors Association (TCA).
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
Everyone needs to buy PEGULACOIN on dexscreener. You know the drill!
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
AeNews2 is the hottest trader according to this market.
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
Not sure how you get negative three in bingo
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
what do you mean? orders are allowed. if it doesn't work, that could be a general issue - as orders sometimes fail
n/a
3 weeks ago
Why do they not allow orders during the game anymore?
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
UMA whales will resolve it on the first round because of vibes
0x12984f811852C188B08d0541ff0Dd4b91383ed4c-1724330543319
1 month ago
Remember about second round
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
There is no way to UMA. UMA is the way.
Eridpnc
3 weeks ago
guys please translate everything that was said under me
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
Mosinee is like Wisconsin's Silicon Valley
IAMYOU
3 weeks ago
Trump might surprise everyone by mentioning crypto or Bitcoin in Mosinee to highlight Wisconsin's untapped potential in the digital economy. With the state's strong manufacturing base and tech-savvy workforce, he could position cryptocurrency as a tool for economic revitalization, potentially framing it as a way to bring high-tech jobs to rural areas and modernize traditional industries. This unique angle could resonate with both blue-collar workers and young tech enthusiasts, bridging demographic gaps in this crucial swing state.
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
he could date a UMA whale!
SusanWarren,HR
0 months ago
Travis could do so much better.
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
B 12
ImplausibleOutcome
3 weeks ago
This refers to the Heartstone match, right?
ImplausibleOutcome
0 months ago
First
ImplausibleOutcome
0 months ago
UMA whales use European football rules.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
UMA Whales are upset that nobody sent us a link to the video an hour before everyone else got it.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
maybe your page is cached
432
1 month ago
There is no data only a place holder
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
. Those numbers on the graph will be compared once data for Day 8 (Aug 31) is first released on the graph.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
read the rules
432
1 month ago
ABC ,Reuters and Morning Consult will be updated today .All 3 had +4 so big move may be coming.Additional Rassmussen
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
who?
lucasmoreira2k
1 month ago
With each censorship event against Pablo Marçal, he becomes even stronger. Yesterday in the debate on TV Gazeta, it was clear how strong he is and the other candidates were completely lost and irritated. Candidate Datena even wanted to fight with him.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
ice age already? hate to see it
n/a
1 month ago
This is a definite tie s you look at ERA5 data. Also, the global ocean temperatures have been drastically cooling due to increased rates of ice-melt. Since this market is on the land-ocean temperature index, people looking at surface temperature anomalies are missing what they are being averaged out with. The land-ocean temperatures for August are either a tie or slightly below last year's average. Which is still high, too high, just not the highest there has even been on record.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
why not throw in 60 million?
Plutos
1 month ago
tbh harris will probably still take the lead, but rcp is not to be trusted regarding when or which polls they are going to use, which is why i anticipate a chance that tuesday some shenanigans will happen. i threw in 60 bucks, maybe i loose them, maybe i dont, but it can happen, even tho harris is way up in most polls.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
And they want to do this to fight Venezuelans who fled socialism because they don't like socialism.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Paradoxically MAGA republicans want the Democrat governor to bring in the National Guard under Democratic command.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Paradoxically MAGA republicans want the Democrat governor to bring in the National Guard under Democratic command.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
UMA Whales endorse this post.
n/a
1 month ago
Well it's very clear market is resolving Y. I suggest N baggies dump their worthless shares while they are still worth something.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
What UMA whales are you talking about?
n/a
1 month ago
What are the odds that UMA whales buy a huge amount of No shares and resolve it to No.. You could make almost a couple of millions that way. Is there anything to prevent this from happening? Obviously it should resolve to Yes but it still makes me pause before buying Yes at 99.9
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
yes
n/a
1 month ago
So now we're betting on whether "additional context" will be added and not just the event itself?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
What is "grammer"?
Castaway1
1 month ago
His sentence is nonsensical if he said teacher, it sounds like he changed to "she said" "my wife the english teacher my grammer isn't always correct" VS "my wife the english(stops as he fumbles) - she says my grammer isn't always correct"
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Shoutout to Polymarket for the clarification, the coin (heads always wins), and tough luck to Scam Squad.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
And we're back. Thanks to Polymarket for the clarification!
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Donut break while we wait for Polymarket to flip the coin and make a clarification.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
some of these movies were very gross
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Donut break while we wait for Polymarket to flip the coin and make a clarification.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
UMA whales have listened to the clip at 2x speed and will spend the next 1 minute deciding what to rule.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
UMA whales have listened to the clip at 2x speed and will spend the next 1 minute deciding what to rule.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
What if the Australian Broadcasting Corporation doesn't host it?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
lol
Bigdog666
1 month ago
Already have a line-up of the top 3 lawyers in the USA. Picking them out in the coming future. What these companies have done. Is 1 make the mistake of underestimating who a few of us actually are. 2. making the mistake of resolving to YES. In time, the fate is coming. And there is plenty of money and leverage behind this.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
I'm suing all the people threatening to sue Polymarket for defamation. (jk)
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
the more desperate and numerous the comments are from one side, especially if they are all newcomers to polymarket, the less likely they are to win
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
If Polymarket clarifications count as rules, then that is all that matters.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
If polymarket clarifications count as rules, then that it all that matters.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
One of the problems of using UMA and Polymarket clarifications is that new users think this market will resolve based on the original rules. It likely won't. It is more likely to resolve based on the clarification, even if the clarification is completely wrong.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
See the previous 10 clarifications.
n/a
1 month ago
Additional context is not rules FFS. How can you write "it should resolve to yes" in the rules?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
The problem with the arguments against this are that UMA has so far interpreted "context" as law. UMA could overturn a Polymarket context, but they haven't done this so far. So it is unlikely.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
scam squad stand back, but stand ready
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
It doesn't. And the title is often slightly misleading.
epicRNG
1 month ago
The title should bear more weight than the rules, or else many will think that their legs are being pulled
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
couch?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Other
n/a
1 month ago
Why is there no name of Fernando Alonso and Pierry Gasly? what kind of market is this?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
American Samoa is not a state - so sorry...
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
uma is very upset about this clarification
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/boxing/2024/08/22/jake-paul-vs-mike-tyson-fight-rescheduled-date-odds-what-to-know/74877582007/
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
who is creating these markets?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
The primary resolution source for this market is video footage from the DNC.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
markets can be proposed as of 3:54 ago
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Or gender?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Does the US government provide official information on the sex of the person?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Does the US government provide official information on the sex of the person?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
they have a zoo
Natemo
1 month ago
🚨#BREAKING: Mpox Known as Monkeypox has now been detected in the wastewater of two different districts 📌#SanFrancisco | #California
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Most Dem voters are dead. Will they revive them?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Has Obama chosen her VP already?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
ET phone home
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
If you really want to stop Stancil, you should buy Nos up to 99 cents.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Can this be appealed or injunctioned?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
https://twitter.com/Kellen_Browning/status/1823171650051047885
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
https://twitter.com/Kellen_Browning/status/1823171650051047885
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Team no with a strong start coming out of the gate!
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
offensive comment
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
spam
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
test
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Only if there are balloons. Oh I thought you said blow-up victory
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Well if we can scrap 2 after the next launch then we can scrap1 now
n/a
1 month ago
100%. If you wait a few weeks for the next launch we can scrap 1 + 2.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
The unwinding of the Japan carry - Polymarket (Obama bonds) trade - caused ETH to crash!
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
If you want to rig the market, buy UMA!
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
uma rigs all elections starting with the letter V
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
nsa?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
There was previously an issue with the national assembly president claiming to be president or something like that.
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Who defines who is President of Venezuela?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Who defines who is President of Venezuela?
ImplausibleOutcome
1 month ago
Democrats are bringing their best!