#1442
Rank
23
Comments
12
Likes Received
99
Likes Given
n/a
1 year ago
didn't move the pres market at all though unlike the first debate
Glencoco
1 year ago
JD just won this election for Trump
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1 year ago
Trump pushed for 3 debates but tapped out after 1. hahaha
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1 year ago
guy is trying to find an exit lol
PaulA
1 year ago
x.com/polymarketbet is spamming now because he posted a fake NC poll and got called out for it. Then he just accuses anyone who is posting legitimate stuff as a Russian bot. Sad
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1 year ago
Poll taken before Harris announced she was running for president, nice try
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1 year ago
Now we know why Kamala is defending NH so late and Trump commented on how Biden got rid of their primary delegates at the 2024 DNC after he finished 5th in NH in 2020. LOL - there's no Biden or Harris love here. It was all Trump/RFK Jr. on Jul 20 when Corey Lewandowski made the prediction of exactly how today is for the states she's defending with visits (MN, NH, VA esp). I'm crying it's so funny. https://x.com/StankoniaCap/status/1833338716846170167
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1 year ago
Trump's going to use his brilliant strategy "the weave". Bet accordingly
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1 year ago
A top Trump volunteer in Massachusetts “will no longer have any involvement” in the campaign after he sent an email Sunday evening raising alarm about the Republican ticket’s chances in neighboring New Hampshire. Tom Mountain, who had served as one of several vice chairs for the former president’s effort in Massachusetts, wrote in an email to Trump volunteers in the state that “the campaign has determined that New Hampshire is no longer a battleground state,” and advised supporters to instead direct their attention to Pennsylvania. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/09/02/nation/new-hampshire-battleground-2024-harris-trump/
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1 year ago
no shot. 41% of NH are college graduates. Trump has lost ground with that voting block after 2016
SkySurfer
1 year ago
Is there a chance for a turnaround?
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1 year ago
They didn't let Trump "find 11780 votes" last time. The results are going to get certified.
AreCon
1 year ago
(Sorry if this is duplicate) Question: What are the criteria for a 'win'? EG: What if Harris gets more votes in GA but MAGA election workers prevent the vote from being certified??
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1 year ago
Before 2022 Kentucky had more registered Democrats than Republicans. It's a closed party primary state. Trump carried the state by 30pts and 26pts in 2016/2020.
ForeverTrump24
1 year ago
Based on registration trends, PA is trending towards the right
n/a
1 year ago
Republicans made huge registry gains leading up to the 2022 midterms and lost the senate seat D+5. It's a lagging indicator for how partisan the state is
ForeverTrump24
1 year ago
Based on registration trends, PA is trending towards the right
n/a
1 year ago
The Republican governor of Virginia mandated all paper ballots, among other ballot security measures. I have full confidence in their vote counting process
AHN
1 year ago
If there is no election fraud , I think Trump will be win by 3~4%. And this time, it's not easy to rig the election with mass mail-in voting. Moreover, Harris is likely to lose because the votes of illegal immigrants and non-citizens are disallowed. What do you think?
n/a
1 year ago
When you put it like that, huge value
Shayku
1 year ago
This market is still underpriced. It's basically a Georgia market right now.
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1 year ago
It's always been illegal for noncitizens to even register to vote. Those that do are usually legal immigrants who had not become citizens before casting the ballot. Maybe 100 or less of these cases in a state where 4 million+ votes cast
AHN
1 year ago
If there is no election fraud , I think Trump will be win by 3~4%. And this time, it's not easy to rig the election with mass mail-in voting. Moreover, Harris is likely to lose because the votes of illegal immigrants and non-citizens are disallowed. What do you think?
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1 year ago
If RFK Jr drops out today, this is basically a "do you think Harris gets a polling bump from the DNC" market
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1 year ago
surprise guest is beyonce, swift stocks in shambles
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1 year ago
manipulating the Pres election market doesn't translate to a win in the state markets. Trump should be worried about his chances to hold NC. Down 2 points with the most accurate pollster from the 2022 midterms Siena/NYT
Brokie
1 year ago
Trump is pumping, so should this
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1 year ago
LMAO
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1 year ago
Culinary Union endorses Kamala Harris for president in Nevada, represents around 60,000 workers, big get out the vote operation https://m.culinaryunion226.org/news/press/statement-endorsement-of-kamala-harris-for-president-and-tim-walz-for-vice-president
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1 year ago
should have specified 2022 Wisconsin Senate + Governers race dems overperformed
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1 year ago
Today in history: Aug 7th 2020, Biden leads +7.5 on 538. He won by 0.7%. Keep this in mind.
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1 year ago
I'm from Texas, the national environment isn't good for a huge Democrat shift this cycle. If the election were today it would likely be a similar margin to 2020. Only a Trump campaign collapse would it be possible
AlexJaymin
1 year ago
There's a real possibility of Texas going blue this year (combo of new voters + general 4-year trend to left + dead former voters) so this is underpriced. Should be at 0.25-0.35.
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1 year ago
Pollsters overcorrected for 2022, Dems outperformed polling. Polls this far out from election day are just all vibes. You can see trends forming early though.
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1 year ago
Today in history: Aug 7th 2020, Biden leads +7.5 on 538. He won by 0.7%. Keep this in mind.
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1 year ago
If Georgia is in play for Democrats, North Carolina will be close
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1 year ago
https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1818310284437561822 Harris up before VP pick, DNC, or debates have even happened yet.