n/a | Polymarket Tracker

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Its been a coin flip the whole time. Vance at 35 or less was obvious buy prior to debate, then selling for profit and buying Walz when he was cheap at 35 or less.

3

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Vance +2 in CNN closest in recent history. Previous CNN VP debate instant poll results: 2020: Harris +21 2016: Pence +6 2012: Ryan +4 2008: Biden +15

3

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

coinflip for the ipsos poll

4

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

the 1 pt gap shows vance overpriced. shows this is a coinflip in the Ipsos poll

0

Chancey4

1 week ago

This CBS snap poll is about to take a lot of Europoor Walz money 💀 Literally every focus group and snap poll has Vance as the winner

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Vance 42% Walz 41% CBS snap poll

4

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Polymarket is far right

1

Meow.Zedong

1 week ago

He is cooked. So is team Walz. Polymarket is ultra left leaning IMO and even leaning JD now says a lot.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Walz is the clear buy now

1

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Walz is a slight favorite, but Vance better value below 40

0

n/a

1 week ago

"Who do you think will win the debate" Tim Walz: 33% JD Vance: 28% Unsure: 39% YouGov / Oct 1, 2024 / n=3062

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

"Who do you think will win the debate" Tim Walz: 33% JD Vance: 28% Unsure: 39% YouGov / Oct 1, 2024 / n=3062

2

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

The poll on this will be tight. Most will just back whoever they are voting for. I dislike JD but good value for the price

1

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

that doesnt count 😂 the kid said it

0

IONLYBETONX

2 weeks ago

3 maga

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

what time this retard speaking at

1

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

2 weeks ago

She going to drop Joy right at the end 🤞

0

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

2 weeks ago

She will prob speak in the last 5 minutes and knock off like 5 things on the list 😂

1

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Kamala never speaks

0

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

2 weeks ago

concept should have been an option

0

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Border 100x bonus

0

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Oprah keeps setting it up but no joy

1

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

There actually was a dissent in the FOMC vote

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

JPow GOAT

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

LETS GOOOOOO

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

J Pow on his way https://x.com/Benzinga/status/1836463561041690805

1

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

37.5 should actually resolve to 50/50 between 25 and 50 holders. 😎

3

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

25ers getting rugged

1

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

yes its 50+ explicitly. the 25 is exactly 25

1

leebickmtu

3 weeks ago

The "Additional context" block in the Rules as of right now states - "the 50 bps decrease bracket only resolves to “Yes” if the Fed cuts rates by exactly 50 bps" - This seems very incorrect.

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

You mean the largest Interest Rate Futures market in the world. Where banks and hedge funds place multi million dollar trades. They are nobody

4

McDonalds-Employee

3 weeks ago

Because nobody is expecting 50bps besides the FED Watch Tool

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

unraveleling to a 55% 50 bps cut

0

FishSlut

3 weeks ago

Futures market tried to price in a 50bp cut. Now theyre unraveling and unloading as they know the fed dont give a fuuuuuuuck.

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

BTFD

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

he has, thats why he is going 50

0

AnEggplant

3 weeks ago

You should tell JPow that, I'm sure he hasn't thought of that

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

The level of rates is too restrictive now, 25 too small to make a difference, need at least 50 to ease the restrictiveness of current policy

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

Pelosi made huge $ here betting on Biden to drop out 😂

0

eBuBu018

3 weeks ago

This anonymous betting service must be the holy grail for insiders. Gonna need to employ myself in the FED and just bet on news... Like Nancy Pelosi and her stocks..

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

JPow you are the best Chair ever. Going 50 will cement your legacy. 👍

1

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

Manifesting 50

0

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Need a line. Harris-2 to make it interesting

0

BlueSky123

3 weeks ago

Polymarket, can we please get another one of these every week until the election? They're fun :)

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

selling dollars for 50 cents

1

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Trump may never lead the main market again

1

BlueSky123

3 weeks ago

I doubt Harris will lose or even tie with Trump for a single minute on this market, honestly.

Will Nikki Haley endorse Kamala Harris by tomorrow?

n/a

3 weeks ago

The loomer thing prob true. Just not provable

1

n/a

3 weeks ago

This week's trusted headlines: Loomer had sex with Trump. Nikki Haley to endorse Kamala. Trump wannabe assassin turns out be Chinese agent.

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

n/a

3 weeks ago

I know nothing except Ranil is the incumbant and the media is on his side.

0

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Lets Go. I love the sound of crying MAGAs in the morning

5

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Harris is favored on other big markets like Betfair. Pushing her down more here creates arb opportunities that boost her back up

3

n/a

3 weeks ago

This is a game of chicken played by whales. The winner is whoever deploys the bigger bankroll for four hours tomorrow. Johnhan and 0x033... seem to have made a more concerted effort to build the pot, and taken the odds to ridiculous levels (Kamala 63% favourite when Trump is 0.1% favourite in main market) so I'll go $12 with them ;)

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

obviously Blackrock talking their book

2

Justifax

3 weeks ago

Obviously Blackrock forgot to consult poly before commenting.

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

Degens on the CME have it at 67%. JPow going big

2

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

3 weeks ago

Inflation at 2.5% Rates 5.25% He will go 50bps

0

Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?

n/a

1 month ago

the bottom for DJT is 0

13

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Liked by n/a, n/a and 11 others

Car

1 month ago

imagine bottom selling. what a noob trader!

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

n/a

1 month ago

6 Presidential Election Forecasts (9/6) https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1832118787522412923

1

X banned in Brazil before October?

n/a

1 month ago

obrigado Moraes 😁

1

X banned in Brazil before October?

n/a

1 month ago

Lula tweets all his other social media accounts ahead of the X ban https://x.com/LulaOficial/status/1829248098922574033

3

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

old news. he transfered custody to the court.

0

elixiroflife

1 month ago

The investigating judge “ended police custody” of Pavel Durov and he will be tried without arrest, the Paris prosecutor's office said in a statement.

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

its not messy. Police transfered him to court. awaiting Judge decision on charges

1

jayminho

1 month ago

so.. what's the resolution here ? is this guy under custody ? what does "under custody" means to polymarket ?? what's the interpretation here ?? its all very messy.

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

No way they are releasing this guy. He is a national security risk

0

North Carolina Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

NEW: The electoral votes of three states — including North Carolina — move toward Democrats as the party's base comes home. North Carolina: Lean R to Toss Up https://x.com/CookPolitical/status/1828538168947200051

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Its obvious he endorsed. RFK interview https://x.com/TuckerCarlson/status/1828190970795745447?t=42

2

Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?

n/a

1 month ago

Trump too scared to debate. Big coward

1

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

obviously

0

CleverHans

1 month ago

Tsss Then the odds would be different

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

They just need rules that are not so vauge. They need to define Terms clearly with examples in the rules for markets like this. Until that stupid to bet on these markets with subjective criteria

2

n/a

1 month ago

Just a quick thought... instead of having the current resolution mechanism, could Polymarket not implement something like: if a market stays at 99.9% (or something close to 1) for more than X time, it resolves to Yes? If after a given time, the market hasn't resolved to Yes or No, it resolves to the last state it was in (e.g. 72-28). Wouldn't that be the best decentralized authority? Would that be susceptible to manipulation? If so, would it be worse than the current system?

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

If they used any polling average but RCP, this market would be good. RCP by far the most arbitrary with no clear rules about which polls included.

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

People have the right to trade until settlement. Many may want to exit their position at a slight discount to avoid risk and some want to take a long shot on the other side. Locking the market down would be horrible

0

Justifax

1 month ago

If you decided to complain to officials after you lose everything in this market, don't forget to mention that PolyMarket was paying rewards to people to scam it.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

literlly says RFK endorses Trump on that clip

0

vote.fun

1 month ago

P4 (Too early) RFK CONFIRMS IN NEW FOX INTERVIEW HE HAS NOT ENDORSED TRUMP (TIMESTAMP 1:05): Reporter: Have you talked about a cabinet position or another position in exchange for your endorsement? RFK: NO, THERE HAVE BEEN NO COMMITMENTS, we spoke with trump and made a general commitment we were going to work together. https://x.com/robertkennedyjr/status/1827749244918522023

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Seems RFK confirmed he dropped out with this post. Where he doesnt contradict the chyron saying he dropped out. https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1827713904581161147

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

thats reasonable

0

Edski

1 month ago

actually, it should be settled 20/80, because he withdrew in ~20% of the states

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Could they rule he endorsed him in some States and didnt in others and settle 50/50?

1

Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

n/a

1 month ago

no. Harris is a clear favorite in all polling, all election models and with all betting sites except polymarket. Trump was only ahead on MAGA delusion that RFK matters at all

2

Spartan37

1 month ago

This seems like market manipulation to me.

Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

n/a

1 month ago

frediii dumping a $1 million more on Trump today to keep him in the lead

1

Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

n/a

1 month ago

She will soon and Trump will keep sinking, Race is over. Trump is done

3

-Rocambole-

1 month ago

Harris won't flip the champ

Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This might happen today and Trump will never be favorite again

5

North Carolina Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

#NEW @SurveyUSA North Carolina Poll: Harris 🔵46% (+1) Trump🔴 45% https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1826678723657036062

5

Arizona Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

Dems won it in 2020

0

JohnWilkinson

1 month ago

OK, so it looks like AZ is going to tip away from the GOP as abortion is now on the ballot.

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 16?

n/a

1 month ago

no refunds for you loser

1

sdiff123

1 month ago

the CHADS at RCP just updated their polling average with a D +3 Morning Consult Poll, replacing the earlier D +4 one, moving the RCP average further down into the 0.1-0.5 bracket, from 0.5 to 0.4. NO REFUNDS!

North Carolina Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

NC now a toss up

10

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Liked by aenews2, coconutPil... and 8 others

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 months ago

Does DT jr count. Rules say DT involved in new token, not his family

0

Master-bettor

2 months ago

Yes at 30c is extremely underpriced.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

lol. disputed. Shapirocels are the biggest losers around

11

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Liked by n/a, BigMike202... and 9 others

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

whats your problem. Vaya con dios amigo

0

HaterAde

2 months ago

No one cares you fuck stick.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

See you guys in 4 years. By then I will be expert in all kinds of SUVs and dominate the VP markets

4

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

maybe he is opening a car dealership

5

Repoman

2 months ago

CNN: Walz started the morning with 4 SUVS in his parking lot. Now up to 8

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Its Happening

1

winbet

2 months ago

I am now the top holder

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

The fact she hasnt made a decison is interesting. Disproves basically every leak. It could be anyone.

2

Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner

n/a

2 months ago

may god have mercy on your soul. vaya con dios

1

TheFinalWord

2 months ago

you're a fucking retard. go learn to read you degenerate swine fucker. don't have children, they will somehow be dumber than you. stupid fucking fuck.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Pelosi not backing down. Pushing for Walz https://x.com/jacobkornbluh/status/1820599002758607307

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Market pricing in the Harris coin flip thesis

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Thats a lot of cars for a Governor

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

all markets are "predictive markets", stocks, futures (literally) etc. They represent sentiment, these markets exactly the same

0

n/a

2 months ago

Prediction markets are fun, but they were more useful when it wasn't as big of a thing, and online gambling hadn't proliferated. If you studied the issue now, you'd prolly find they're far less predictive.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Sources: Harris has decided to flip a coin to decide the pick

4

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

i would think virtual roll call, as that is when officially becomes nominee

1

GrannyWeatherwax

2 months ago

Does this resolve tomorrow when she makes her announcement, after the roll call or after the convention?

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

shapiro cuck loser with zero bets.

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

2 months ago

Walz has a speaking event tn that has not been canceled

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

why would he cancel. Tuesday is the rally in PA. Monday night he has fundraiser, just like Andy does in Chicago tonight

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

2 months ago

Walz has a speaking event tn that has not been canceled

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

you a pussy

1

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

2 months ago

Chad from Brooklyn on Twitter?

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

predictit has big fees and trade limits

0

TomTurbo

2 months ago

Does anybody have an idea why there are such huge price discrepancies betweet predictit and polymarket? Looks like a perfect arbitrage market...

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Beashear had a union tweet today also https://x.com/GovAndyBeshear/status/1820468419839598947

1

n/a

2 months ago

The Union tweet...https://x.com/VP/status/1820508709396549928

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Shapiro bid gone

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Article says a decision made. were 4 finalists, Shapiro, Walz, Beshear and Pete https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/kamala-harris-vp-nominees-choice-running-mate-has-accepted-per-source

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Rumurs she has made a decision. VP motorcade exited observatory 25 mins ago. https://x.com/HowardMortman/status/1820512035798692131

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

still not confirmed. Sources have agendas

4

HouseSlytherin

2 months ago

"BREAKING: 05 Aug 2024 12:19:44 PM - HARRIS VICE PRESIDENT POOL NARROWS TO SHAPIRO, WALZ - SOURCES" - @@nanditab1 https://x.com/nanditab1/status/1820495543145255085

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Fake News

0

HouseSlytherin

2 months ago

"BREAKING: 05 Aug 2024 12:19:44 PM - HARRIS VICE PRESIDENT POOL NARROWS TO SHAPIRO, WALZ - SOURCES" - @@nanditab1 https://x.com/nanditab1/status/1820495543145255085

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

if she is still undecided, seems she was not sold on Shapiro, the pick the donors, lobbyists and insiders are pushing.

1

advil0

2 months ago

Still anyone's ball game... https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/kamala-harris-trump-election-08-05-24#h_52b22c614c010930a781d702c2482b1d

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

They lied for at least a year about Bidens mental incapacity. Made it so no primary was alowed and when caught, had to threaten Biden to get the egomaniac to not run for reelction. But a mental invalid is still President while the markets tank and war brews. A disaster.

1

TallBill

2 months ago

Well, they had some choice. They voted for a Biden-Harris ticket in 2020 and in the 2024 primary. While it's not automatic that a VP would take over the top slot when vacated, I think there is a sense that that's the role of the VP ... to step in should the POTUS candidate withdraw. In my view, the Democrats made the best of a far-less-than-ideal situation.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Beashear still thinks he may have a shot. Promoting himself on x. https://x.com/GovAndyBeshear/status/1820468419839598947

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

What is crazy is the US people had zero choice in who the Dem Pres and VP nom are. Crazy way to run a "democracy", especially from a party that claims to "save democracy".

3

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Beshear Bros waiting patiently, sipping our Kentucky bourbon. No worries, because its always been Andy.

7

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Biden advocating for a nap

4

xxxxMan

2 months ago

Biden advocates for Shapiro. Harris husband advocates for Shapiro. The math on electoral college already indicates PA is a must win state. Shapiro and Harris friendship over 20 years and all. Everything points to Shapiro being the pick

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

probably. MSNBC shwed the first tweet on air. Then Kelly team deleated and replaced with the new one to deny he was out

1

nuhuh

2 months ago

Interesting, dunno if either tweet really has much to read into though. Seems like just a boilerplate tweet for engagement that a staffer posted and realized it was weird to say Arizonans atm

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Kelly trolling

2

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/CaptMarkKelly/status/1820231332284490222 New tweet from Kelly

2

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/joeygarrison/status/1820228229422108766

5

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Could be his staff.

0

50-Pence

2 months ago

Breshear in the house, er observatory... https://twitter.com/howardmortman/status/1820208740483690620?s=61&t=MuvRTnHmV56Xnhbo5lyQXw

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

I think his price way undervalued. He has no opponents in the party unlike the others, got UAW endorsement today also. If they dont go with Shapiro, I think he has a good shot, much better than 5%

1

Angath

2 months ago

Why Dyu think it’s beshear and not the others

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Its going to be wild when she picks Clooney

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Beshear posting about Baseball, Church and Dogs. No controversy Andy looking good. https://x.com/AndyBeshearKY/status/1820126066620678311 https://x.com/GovAndyBeshear/status/1820168449982599396

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

how are wiki edits good? shows he has a lot to hide

0

jilm

2 months ago

The flurry of comments against Shapiro this weekend confirm it's him. Lots of Wiki edits - none for alternatives. Thanks for the cheap shares!

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

about to tell Josh the bad news

4

0x87250973131222DdF2c7Fb5E293BD96f945466E8-1722308323158

2 months ago

A 2 car motorcade with PA plates pulled up according to MSNBC

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

"F you, if you dont think this is the best Joe Biden ever"

1

HouseSlytherin

2 months ago

its always a great sign when the weepy crybabies come out https://x.com/JoeNBC/status/1820072594663448888?t=qlGNR1TMqYC7rwZnDewnFQ&s=19

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

although Nate today thinks Beshear is undervalued on this market. https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1820129994187866343

0

OedipusRex

2 months ago

pEr NaTe SiLvEr

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

i was fooled by that but others are still in contention. https://x.com/weijia/status/1820124610580591060

1

smallppbigdreams

2 months ago

Butti and Beshear bros. It's Joever https://x.com/kylegriffin1/status/1820140167052578909

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Interesting also. UAW all in on Beshear today. https://x.com/isaiah_km/status/1820111068846280865

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Maybe Beshear actually is still in. https://x.com/weijia/status/1820124610580591060

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

That is huge

5

GreenBeanEater

2 months ago

John Fetterman, senator from PA, tells Harris to NOT pick Shapiro: https://disq.us/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com%2Fnews%2F2024%2F08%2F03%2Ffetterman-shapiro-harris-vp-00172557%3AtBqRoNauBLghxYPyM27uyR5hZsY&cuid=2886049

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Obama was rumored to be backing Kelly, so its possible they go with him

0

SomeDude69

2 months ago

Honestly she should pick Kelly he is super strong when it comes to immigration which is Trumps main talking point.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

The Kellynauts are back

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Trump wins easily if she picks Shapiro

3

farigami64

2 months ago

Harris understands that if she doesn't pick Shapiro at this point, she's going to get hammered for caving to the leftists. It will literally be the only thing people talk about when talking about her VP.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Beshear is the great unifier

0

n/a

2 months ago

My issue with Waltz is he's the progressive choice, and Harris wants to get away from that label.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

The Shapiro crash is going to be epic

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Even the NY Times releasing the dirt on Shapiro. https://x.com/nytimes/status/1819831885893153204

4

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

"Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to meet with her vetting team today for a series of in-depth presentations on each of the finalists to be her running mate." "The presentations Saturday may result in reducing the number of candidates whom Harris will invite for final interviews scheduled to take place Sunday." Seems some candidates may be eliminated today. Clearly no final decision has been made. https://x.com/yashar/status/1819795300279894400

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Shapiro worked for the Israeli Embassy in DC in 1996 https://x.com/MarcACaputo/status/1819794823278182866

6

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

The capaign has to realize that his pick will instantly lose the the momemtum they have built up. Every day more skeletons are unearthed on him

2

midastouch

2 months ago

The decision hasn't been made yet. Kamala's receiving "a series of in-depth presentations on each of the finalists". Shapiro is definitely too high. https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/03/politics/harris-vp-vetting-team-finalists/index.html

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Dude said "she fell on a knife" obvious cover up

2

Repoman

2 months ago

The 911 call of the murder Josh Shapiro covered up has been leaked: https://x.com/vegemitetoast_/status/1819036239607341147?s=46

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Everyone piling on Shapiro. The fake Obama. https://nypost.com/2024/08/03/us-news/potential-harris-vp-pick-josh-shapiro-raising-eyebrows-for-shockingly-similar-cadence-to-obama/

2

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

keep betting on murder boy. Good luck

1

ootharju

2 months ago

Keep dreaming

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

The Shapiro murder coverup is insane https://x.com/mucha_carlos/status/1819612942540644773

3

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Cant wait till Monday and Beshear is named. He has been the pick all along. If you know you know

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

youre going to feel shitty when Beshear is picked. He is far from boring.

0

Bobby-Highwater

2 months ago

I just sold my Beshear shares for a small loss. I hadn't watched him speak, found a YouTube vid to watch and oh god he is a bore. Warning: do your due diligence

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

the extra 12.5% over 100% is the bookies vig. Thats why the odds so much better here

0

ImOutBaby

2 months ago

The implied probabilities are:Shapiro: 80%Beshear: 12.5%Walz: 11.1%Kelly: 9.1%

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Bet online odds. Shapiro -400 Beshear +700 Walz +800 Kelly +1000

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Beshear has the memes https://x.com/ettingermentum/status/1819481784666493124

2

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/_waleedshahid/status/1819472932466270280

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/yashar/status/1819484285843484689

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Nope. https://x.com/MrErnestOwens/status/1819472229698023715

0

n/a

2 months ago

He's a super credible, award-winning journalist not just some random twitter rumor-monger. This is a wrap.

Olympic Boxing: Imane Khelif (ALG) vs Luca Hamori (HUN)

n/a

2 months ago

Men vs Women Boxing. What a sick world these degenerates have created

1

Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Should I bet on the man. What a fucking disgrace.

5

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Leaking the PA rally news was a trial ballon for Shapiro, to see the reaction. And the reaction has not been good insde the Dem party. Major opposition to him rising.

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

so is he an Israeli citizen? That seems problematic for a VP

0

KenLydo

2 months ago

as long as Shapiro didn't kill anyone while on IDF duty ..................

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

credible sources, they are not credible.

0

n/a

2 months ago

China and Russia say otherwise. No consensus

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Broke Venezualan chavistas going to lose the last USD they have. lol

1

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/jeannasmialek/status/1819400269127733598

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Shapiro will lose Michigan https://x.com/ettingermentum/status/1819398847317111043

2

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

You sound like an israeli. Go back to genociding kids, you sicko

0

Yehudi

2 months ago

As it now stands, $1 for Josh gets you $1.47 in return, whereas $1 for Pete gets you $18.18. So $0.10 for Pete outperforms $1 for Josh. IDK, guys, I sure hope Trump will win, but I don't see the Democrats rallying behind this guy. They're too hateful for that.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Seriousness of prediction markets? We're here to gamble bro

3

n/a

2 months ago

It may very well be Shapiro, but this market feels like a real emperor has no clothes moments for the seriousness of prediction markets. I could see Shapiro has high as 35-40, but 65 is insane.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Dont listen to these liars pumping pete. Obvious pump and dump beong sold by 2 known liars

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

MSM loves corporate shills like pete

0

Yehudi

2 months ago

MSM is drooling over the guy.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Sounds like Andy

0

GenericUser1234

2 months ago

Lots of nuggest here. My main takeaway is that nothing is decided in Harris' mind. This is the key sentence in the article, make your own assumptions as you see fit as to who best fits the bill: "Harris has told aides that she wants someone, ideally, with some sort of executive experience and with whom she has a good rapport. One of the people familiar with the process said Harris is 'looking for a governing partner above all else.' "

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Back on the Andy train. Maybe it is Shapiro, but I aint risking my coin on that weirdo shapiro

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Very suspicious

0

n/a

2 months ago

This doesnt seem like a done deal. If it was Shapiro would be at 95 not 705

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

This doesnt seem like a done deal. If it was Shapiro would be at 95 not 705

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

He is a better pick but they went for the candidate the million $ donors wanted. US politics dominated by money and very corrupt

1

RadLilDude

2 months ago

None of you know me but my autistic brother who is obsessed with politics told me Beshear is who the dems need right now. He’s never been wrong with his picks.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

This makes sense

0

Yanoya4sure

2 months ago

His father was in a car accident yesterday, might be why

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Shapiro confirmed

3

MurkKellyVP

2 months ago

Shapiro officially out: https://x.com/IsaacDovere/status/1819072316292178267

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Kelly to the Moon :)

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

UAW and labor are backing Beshear and oppose Kelly. The Rust Belt is where this election will be won or lost

0

trumbleford

2 months ago

6. Kamala is going to get KILLED for being the "border czar" under Biden. Kelly, from Arizona, helps blunt this destructive narrative. 7. Andy Beshear is very popular, but unknown outside KY and untested. The main directive in picking a VP is "do no harm". Just look at Quayle, Palin and JD Vance. Andy is just too much of a question mark to be the VP pick right now. He's also off-putting on TV at first. There's not enough time for the country to get to know him beyond his awkward TV presence. 8. Trump's base relies on "macho" white men. Biden succeeded in peeling just enough of these guys off to win in 2020, what with the aviators and all. Who do you think does the best appealing to these guys this time? Is it Shapiro/Beshear or the guy who rode a rocket into space 4 times and has logged 50 days orbiting the gd planet?

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Shapiro is the most controversal pick of the contenders within the party factions. Beshear seems like the candidate without any one in the party opposing him.

2

n/a

2 months ago

The National Women's Defense League (NWDL) is demanding answers from Governor Josh Shapiro, who has emerged as a top contender for Vice President Kamala Harris' running mate, about an alleged sexual harassment coverup. https://www.newsweek.com/womens-group-demands-answers-kamala-harris-vp-contender-josh-shapiro-sexual-harassment-settlement-1932784

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Almost every nation in Latin America, including Brasil and Mexico, the EU, USA, Spain, Portugal and Italy have come out against the fraud.

3

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

fuck you puto

1

FetalNeatness

2 months ago

Be quiet Zero

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

It was an obvious landslide for Gonzalez. Should pay out on him clearly. All international observers say this

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Zero evidence it is Shapiro. Most likely he is not the choice.

3

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Kentucky not in play. 2020 Trump won 62 - 36

3

n/a

2 months ago

Beshear is the only one that puts Kentucky and Georgia in play. It makes too much sense.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

its true but it is not anything new. he was already in suburban Atlanta yesterday speaking at a rally

0

0x87250973131222DdF2c7Fb5E293BD96f945466E8-1722308323158

2 months ago

There’s no proof of this

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

crazy market today

3

Pennsylvania Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

I think itis because if she picks shapiro she will prob be fav in PA

2

n/a

2 months ago

Trump was up like 4, 5 points against biden? Seems crazy that dems are favored... I guess everyone is kamala pilled?

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

if maduro is dead in a week, he is not the winner

0

n/a

2 months ago

You're betting on the election winner based on "official information from Venezuela", not the legitimate winner. Sorry to bearer of bad news.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

puto

0

ELGRANCASTILLO

2 months ago

Pero No Se Como Se Hace Esto Todo Sale En Ingles Tengo Que Estar Traduciendo No Entiendo Por Que Esta Plataforma Es Asi Se Supone Que Son Casas De Apuestas y Tienen Como Responder Ellos Viven De Nuestro Dinero Piensen En Grande Resuelvan. La Casa Pierde y Se Rie.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

puto communista

0

ELGRANCASTILLO

2 months ago

De La Plataforma No Hay Nadie Con Quien Uno Pueda Hablar Que Va Suceder Con Esto Estan Trabajando Con Nuestro Dinero Que Apostamos Por Una Opcion X Ya Se Dio El Veredicto No Entiendo Por Que No Liberan Los Activos.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Lose more money retard

0

n/a

2 months ago

cry harder fascist scum

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Venezuela wanted Edmundo. CIA should be in venezuela but they all incompetant DEI trannys

0

Factual

2 months ago

The CIA wanted Edmundo.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

If the US sent the Marines to liberate Venezuela, Russia cant do shit

0

n/a

2 months ago

Folks, Venezuela's democracy is very limited. Polling might have pointed toward González, but it doesn't matter in an illiberal democracy. "The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela...." The only way he wouldn't win is by US military intervention or some fucked up shit, which allies of Venezuela aren't going to let happen.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Trump will liberate Venezuela from the commies

0

yaya5463

2 months ago

usa future unter trump will be like this.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Fuck you commie

0

n/a

2 months ago

fuck blinken, fuck the Americans who are banned from Polymarket, and fuck you LOL

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Rigged election. If Trump wins hopefully he ends Maduro and his communist dictatorship.

5

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

I think Walz would be better electorally in the upper midwest and with labor and more rural voters. I think the donors and insiders back Shapiro whose views align most with him. I dont see how he helps electorally besides in PA of course.

2

spacebike

2 months ago

Kelly will trigger a Senate special election, which would be particularly high stakes given that the Senate is likely to be tied and special elections typically go against the party in power. /// Shapiro's home state bonus is worth far less than people would think (see Nate Silver: https://www.natesilver.net/p/could-josh-shapiro-win-kamala-harris) and even if it would be helpful in PA, it would not necessarily help with MI, WI, NV, or NE-2. At the same time, his vocal stances against teachers' unions and pro-Palestinian protestors could sap donor/volunteer energy. There are lots of other reasons to be bullish on Shapiro, but I think he's way overpriced relative to Walz. /// Walz is a great communicator who could easily break through to the entire rust belt and NE-2. He's gotten a lot done as governor despite having a bare legislative majority, so could be a very helpful governing partner. I'm not sure he'd be selected over Shapiro in the end, but I think he is very underpriced. He should *at least* be trading for $0.30.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Still not good as the CoS is someone Shapiro personally hired for a very powerful position, not some state employee he never met

1

PolyPredictor

2 months ago

Its a good thing that the chief of staff isn't running. Taxpayer-funded settlements aren’t new to Pennsylvania.. State officials paid at least $3.2 million in taxpayer funds between 2010 and 2019 to resolve more than two dozen sexual harassment complaints against government and public employees.

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

2 months ago

doesnt have to be before the election. Biden could resign in the period afer election until Jan 20

0

graboy

2 months ago

Kamala taking presidency before being elected by the people hurts her. The general principle is that in order to be in power people need to want you there, and like showing up to a party you weren't invited to, taking presidency without approval backfires for the swing voters who aren't sure yet. Political strategists know this calculus, it would be a complete mistake.