#94
Rank
197
Comments
119
Likes Received
266
Likes Given
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
just.some.guy
1 week ago
sweet, thanks
0
just.some.guy
1 week ago
Anybody know when the committee's voting on Tulsi?
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
just.some.guy
1 week ago
That's a true fact. My primary assumption for the election was that it would be incredibly close, so, yeah, not so much.
0
just.some.guy
1 week ago
Anybody know when the committee's voting on Tulsi?
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
just.some.guy
1 week ago
Thanks, dude. I owe you one. Also, congrats on your lightning jump to your very shiny PnL!
0
just.some.guy
1 week ago
Anybody know when the committee's voting on Tulsi?
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
just.some.guy
1 week ago
Anybody know when the committee's voting on Tulsi?
0
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31?
just.some.guy
2 weeks ago
Your posts are excellent, thanks.
1
username3
2 weeks ago
BREAKING: Justice Dept. Is Said to Discuss Dropping Case Against Eric Adams. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/29/us/politics/justice-department-trump-charges-eric-adams.html
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
in my PnL?
0
just.some.guy
3 months ago
I'm selling my positions across the board, but this market is so stupidly priced that I just can't do it. You guys get that this is a Buy at 75, right?
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
I'm selling my positions across the board, but this market is so stupidly priced that I just can't do it. You guys get that this is a Buy at 75, right?
3
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
This is the second day in a row I've woken up and not understood the price moves in this market. Is there some news source on RFK that I'm not picking up or something?
1
Next Senate Majority Leader?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
heh, solid post
3
❖libi💚🤍
3 months ago
"rick scott" in octal is 162 151 143 153 40 163 143 157 164 164, sum 1440, the year Johannes Gutenberg invented the printing press, the fundamental beginning of mass biosemiotics and memetic propagation.
Next Senate Majority Leader?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
if you're on shrooms, proper etiquette is to share. just sayin'.
1
❖libi💚🤍
3 months ago
we are all Threads of information existing in shared collective focus. the singularity will Happen in our lifetime if we let it. it is right there. you just have to reach out and grab it.
Next Senate Majority Leader?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
"Senator Coach Tommy Tuberville". He clings to that word the way you'd grip a life raft in the ocean.
1
TruthSearUm
3 months ago
https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1856524692808708507
Next Senate Majority Leader?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
I like you; you're fun.
1
❖libi💚🤍
3 months ago
the flesh of humanity is it's larval form. we are the flatworms of the universe waiting to blossom in the final chrysalis that will bring us closer to God as he made us in his image. rick scott just announced the Matrioshka Project will begin construction in Florida
Next Senate Majority Leader?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
You don't ask for a delay when you think you're going to win. You ask for a delay when you think you're going to lose.
10
Jacob44
3 months ago
Promising news for Scott holders https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1856400926937846131
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
I'm not so sure about DOD, but also on your side are HHS and FDA, the two posts I fear the most.
1
millticketmar
3 months ago
About the President's Cabinet: These Cabinets include: Department of Agriculture (USDA) Department of Commerce. Department of Defense.
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
It feels like somebody knows the answer's no.
1
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Why is this market still open? Trump won by 13%; it's not like we have to wait for the overseas ballots or something.
2
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
What happened overnight?
0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Heh, I see I'm not the only one selling. I'd bet our motivation is the same: money out of poly and into crypto.
1
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
It's really, really hard to resist crypto FOMO these days. There's some alts that are just calling out to me.....
2
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Very cool. I'll tell you this much, if I lose this bet watching Ross walk free will be a huge silver lining.
1
SydneySweeney
3 months ago
appreciate yall for making Ross so cheap time to bid again
Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Is anyone else having trouble Converting No shares to Yes shares (neg risk)? Usually the Convert button is under the "position" tab, but I don't see it for this mkt.
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
But just to be clear, I consider Ross Ulbricht to be a hero who absolutely deserves commutation. The reason for my position is I'm not sure Trump will follow through on his promise.
4
SydneySweeney
3 months ago
appreciate yall for making Ross so cheap time to bid again
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
I put up a 5k bid for you at 71.
0
SydneySweeney
3 months ago
appreciate yall for making Ross so cheap time to bid again
Who will Trump pick for Education Secretary?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Well, if Tim Apple runs Apple then surely Betsy Justice should run DOJ?
0
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Wars are really easy to end. That's why they always end so quickly.
16
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
I'm not sure 29 bucks qualifies as huge cash.
5
Liviaxx98
3 months ago
Hey guys, can I get a tip please?. I lost huge cash on other markets, Thank you so much! :)
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Who doesn't?
2
UndefeatedElectionForecaster
3 months ago
Trump famously loves drug dealers
Iowa Margin of Victory
just.some.guy
3 months ago
I actually literally laughed out loud at this
0
Eridpnc
3 months ago
Love the bracket sizing, but it's a bit small for my liking. What if I am really sure Trump will win by 9.34% and want those odds? Not much value on 9.35% so such big brackets are a total waste to me!!
Iowa Margin of Victory
just.some.guy
3 months ago
lol
0
Eridpnc
3 months ago
Love the bracket sizing, but it's a bit small for my liking. What if I am really sure Trump will win by 9.34% and want those odds? Not much value on 9.35% so such big brackets are a total waste to me!!
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Cuz the Iranians need to drill, baby, drill too! Howdy, Betwick.
2
Betwick
3 months ago
Leave the liquid gold out of this!
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
How did my ride or die adventure end? Well, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbL2pHsPaxw
1
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Me, I'm ride or die on this one (at least until it's confirmed we've lost), but you gotta do whatever's best for you.
0
trav
3 months ago
what do i do...
# of Republican Senate seats after Election?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
They're trading into 'negative risk' positions. This is when you buy the no side of two or more brackets, then click "convert" in your positions tab. Google it for details, but it's a convenient way to save capital.
1
SafeBets
3 months ago
Sorry but how is it possible that in the 50 event there are only 4 holders with a total of ...250 shares?
Who will win San Francisco Mayor Election?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Two new polls out today: https://www.kqed.org/news/12010336/new-polls-san-francisco-mayors-race-peskin-lurie-surging
0
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Also, Glory to Glorzo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gjYOTdnTf4c
1
PepeGambler
3 months ago
GLORY TO UKRAINE!
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
This dude: https://polymarket.com/profile/0x531096028a3e1f8aa4ed50a774453c6ae40ba500?tab=activity He's gonna be pissed when he sobers up.
3
kingsirpredictionconnoisseur
3 months ago
What happened tonight?
Diddy sex tape released before November?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
heh, solid screen name
1
jingyu3
3 months ago
我需要购买USDT
Diddy sex tape released before November?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
Replying to your above post, I use Google Translate, but yeah.
1
jingyu3
3 months ago
我需要购买USDT
Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
I fold.
0
Diddy sex tape released before November?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
USDT is Tether, which works fine here, although they prefer USDC (another stablecoin) on the Polygon blockchain. If any of that seems like a foreign language you can ask any question on the General board of Polymarket's discord. GL!
2
jingyu3
3 months ago
My telegram account is @YYmm3 I need to buy USDT
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
2 weeks ago I lost $25k on the ground forces into Lebanon market. Take it from me, nothing about Israeli markets is ever easy money.
11
Mgmsx
4 months ago
Easy money for who understands 😉
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Obviously, I really like your position in this market, but if losing the entire total is keeping you up at night, you might consider selling, say, half the position. That'd do two things: cut your potential loss in half and lock in some profits that would help offset that half-loss in a worst case scenario. Good luck.
2
io9000
4 months ago
I am extremely scared to lose money
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Never risk more than you should. Obviously, that standard's very subjective and different for everyone, but when a loss hurts and bugs you afterwards, maybe decrease your bet amount, at least until you're more used to everything. Good luck!
1
io9000
4 months ago
How do you personally deal with losing money? I am extremely inexperienced at it.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
I think that's right: https://vote.uma.xyz/?_gl=1*19u5fl6*_ga*MTUzNjQ4NjgxNy4xNzI4MDI1NTkw*_ga_FMK5W8B58D*MTcyODAyNTU5MC4xLjEuMTcyODAyNzU3OS42MC4wLjA.
0
denizz
4 months ago
What's the current voting schedule and procedure? There was already a vote that ended in "too early", right?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Yeah, that's the most egregious of UMA's many shortcomings.
2
Scoobs
4 months ago
Also it has come to my attention that people with financial incentive in this market are the ones who get to vote on the outcome of said market.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Hear, hear. Solid plan. I'm actually off to take in a first round MLB playoff series, myself. And remember, this thing's a marathon, not a sprint. Have a good one!
1
NotJustKen
4 months ago
Fuck this. Going on vacation for few days. Won't open it till then. Fuck the truth as well. My only hope is Pence manipulating the market. Jerusalem Post cleared it that it was to "gain information" not to engage in combat. I don't know how it will resolve to Yes.. Peace out.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Hey AP, I think I owe you an apology. I'll send it at Discord.
1
Gena🐊
4 months ago
Both sides have great arguments! But this will be decided by influence over UMA. THE TRUE DOESNT MATTER.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
I knew that today I'd be making one of two posts: either "Whew" or "Rekt". I sure wish it could've been the other one.
5
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Is it just me or does that order book look weird to anyone else?
2
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Nothing ever happens. Oh, wait...
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
The "nothing ever happens" brigade needs to start playing Israeli markets.
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
He just told the UN they're a "contemptuous farce" to their faces. Say what you will, the man's got balls.
2
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
I wish the world would stop saying those words. Bring it up often enough and one of these days Poly's going to respond with, "You're right, so we're reducing our market offerings by 90%."
0
Bidensupporter123
4 months ago
Say it with me: Nothing. Ever. Happens
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
This is what attorneys call a statement against interest, but my reading is only the announcement's required.
2
SusanWarren,HR
4 months ago
Another poorly-worded market. Is the October 15 deadline for when the debate will occur, or for the announcement?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Good thing that phrase hasn't caused any controversy in rules interpretation.
0
Swiftie89
4 months ago
"however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice"
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Am I nervous betting against Mossad? Absolutely.
1
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
You gotta love a market whose 'primary resolution source' is Hezbollah. Polymarket forever!
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Thanks very much. That means a lot coming from you.
1
HaterzLoserz
4 months ago
https://i.chzbgr.com/full/9303007232/hDB0D547F/photo-caption-me-after-every-terror-attack-isit-time-for-the-crusade-yet-memegeneratornet
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Respect.
1
HaterzLoserz
4 months ago
https://i.chzbgr.com/full/9303007232/hDB0D547F/photo-caption-me-after-every-terror-attack-isit-time-for-the-crusade-yet-memegeneratornet
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
You were right yesterday. I was an idiot.
0
Car
4 months ago
Peace always prevails.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
I've traded this market like a patzer. One of the multiple aspects of my trading I need to work on is fear control. But, live and learn (and lose some money you shouldn't have), I suppose.
4
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Plus, paper hands
0
just.some.guy
4 months ago
The language has been pretty tough from the top of the IDF. I had to hedge my 30k No position on Sept. markets.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
The language has been pretty tough from the top of the IDF. I had to hedge my 30k No position on Sept. markets.
0
Car
4 months ago
just.some.guy, might aswel just market buy YES, bro
Mozambique Presidential Election Winner
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Are Mozambique elections crooked?
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
It doesn't matter for this market, but for the two Sept ending "Israel into Lebanon" mkts, one reason I like no is that on Tuesday, Netanyahu is (currently) scheduled to come to the USA, staying until the 28th. My guess is he'll be asking for permission / acquiescence to widen the war, possibly including a ground operation to the Lithani river in Lebanon, but I'd also guess nothing will start until at least he's back in Israel. Plus, Netanyahu's changing Defense Ministers right now and Hezbollah's initial response to the pager thing was proportional (so far, anyway), instead of overreaching and allowing Israel to say, "see, Hez started this war; it's Oct 7th all over again." Anyway, I owe you cosmic karma, so I figured I'd at least mention it.
2
HaterzLoserz
4 months ago
Full Disclosure: I watched the harris/trump debates on magic mushrooms and blew $60k on mention markets in one evening. Just so you all know who you are dealing with here.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Hi, H&L: Being new to market style betting, I’m trying to learn what I can from the brightest traders here. At the risk of sounding like a fanboy, it was your "stick and move" trading style that first got me thinking about the question of WHEN a price will go up instead of just IF a price would go up. My trading’s still a work in progress, but I just wanted to thank you for helping me see something I hadn’t before. You rock.
1
HaterzLoserz
4 months ago
Full Disclosure: I watched the harris/trump debates on magic mushrooms and blew $60k on mention markets in one evening. Just so you all know who you are dealing with here.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
I like your style! (He said, buzzing from the heroic amount of Adderall he's taken to get through football this weekend).
1
HaterzLoserz
4 months ago
Full Disclosure: I watched the harris/trump debates on magic mushrooms and blew $60k on mention markets in one evening. Just so you all know who you are dealing with here.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Most you-know-whats cover more than one device. If yours does, you could trade f/ your phone.
1
MrKangaroo
4 months ago
i agree, great value, i can't sell because my computers not working but if it was i'd buy a ton of yes
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Wuss. Kidding, I'm totally kidding. It's getting pretty hairy up there.
1
XiJinPing
4 months ago
sold 90% of my NO, they are escalating way too much, this is very scary
Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Looks like it's greenlit. See ya there
2
Gena🐊
4 months ago
Fellow third world election bettors. I proposed on Polymarket "market-submissions" discord channel the Mozambique presidential elections. If anyone can green check it / thumbs up it will be helpfull.
Will Trump visit Springfield in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Amen, brother. You'd think wealth would mellow a guy....
0
Car
4 months ago
I love taking money from people who believe in rumors
Polymarket Parlay: NFL Week 3
just.some.guy
4 months ago
thanks, poly. these are fun.
4
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
I have little confidence in UMA, so this doesn't matter, but my reading was that for Yes to win, the rule writers meant to require the Israelis not just to cross the border (say on a raid or something), but to cross the border, take some real estate, then stay there and defend it (I dk: dig in, establish a defensive perimeter, basically turn and fight on the defensive). Anyway, that's my two cents on the intention of the rules. Unfortunately, UMA doesn't care what the rules intend; or rather, sometimes they do and sometimes they don't and good luck knowing which kind of market you're currently trading in.
1
FamilyCapital
4 months ago
English is my 3rd language, can someone explain me, how we & UMA gonna know their intention of military offensive?
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
lolz
0
mr.ozi
4 months ago
Much comradeship, such plan. But wow, no comrades. So lonely. Many disappoint, such betray.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
thanks, dude. i def owe you one now and i'm a person who doesn't forget a favor. i'm not sure if you're a discord person but if so, friend me there. thks again
1
XiJinPing
4 months ago
September is so free -- "U.S. officials stressed that they haven’t yet seen any indicators such as calling up reserves to indicate an imminent invasion. Even once a decision is made, it could take weeks before Israeli forces are in position to launch a major offensive."
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
howdy, xi. good find, could you link me to the source? thanks
1
XiJinPing
4 months ago
September is so free -- "U.S. officials stressed that they haven’t yet seen any indicators such as calling up reserves to indicate an imminent invasion. Even once a decision is made, it could take weeks before Israeli forces are in position to launch a major offensive."
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Dare we describe it as...foreseeable?
2
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
And so it begins: https://x.com/IDF/status/1836769873042538964
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Good post, thanks.
0
NoNoiseKnifeOnly
4 months ago
https://twitter.com/JuddLegum/status/1836923190016114987 NCGOP is sticking with Robinson.
What will Kamala say during Wisconsin rally?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
The Ukrainians droned a target west of Moscow tonight, so I'm wondering if the prices of no side 'Ukrainians drone Moscow' and/or 'kinetic hit on Kerch bridge' might become more affordable (with only 12 days till mkts close). Idk, just a thought.
1
mr.ozi
4 months ago
Oh, and the same thing with the audience happened in Georgia in August, and she also referred to the 'ceasefire' but did not mention 'Palestine'. Funnily enough, in that sense, betting 'Yes' on 'ceasefire' is largely a bet on the chances of audience's interference, which is around 25% ;)
What will Kamala say during Wisconsin rally?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Damn, that is some seriously great intel; thank you, my friend. After this I definitely owe you, so if you need to know anything about anything I might know, I'm happy to share. Yeah, dude, let's be allies. I don't really know anybody at poly and it'd be nice to!
1
mr.ozi
4 months ago
Oh, and the same thing with the audience happened in Georgia in August, and she also referred to the 'ceasefire' but did not mention 'Palestine'. Funnily enough, in that sense, betting 'Yes' on 'ceasefire' is largely a bet on the chances of audience's interference, which is around 25% ;)
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
"A guy comes up to me -- a big guy, tears in his eyes -- and he says, "Sir, Sir, how are you so great at evacuating embassies?"
7
Gena🐊
4 months ago
THE U.S. IS NUMBER ONE! NO QUESTION ABOUT IT. When it comes to evacuating embassies, WE DO IT FASTER THAN ANYONE. Gold medal performance, folks! Other countries can’t keep up, they’re SLOW, they’re WEAK. We get our people out QUICK, we’re the BEST at it—believe me! Nobody does it like the United States. We lead, others follow. AMERICA FIRST!
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
They hit them again. Holy fuck, Mossad is good.
1
What will Kamala say during Wisconsin rally?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Hey rozi, I was hoping we'd get a chance to meet. You're a sharp player; I've noticed us on the same side of a number of markets lately. Heh, and I appreciate the advice -- I've put in a sell order. Anyway, good to meet you and I hope to see you around some more. Good luck, my new friend!
0
mr.ozi
4 months ago
If you sell your Palestine shares, you'll increase your chances of not sucking at it this time 😉
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
I think Gallant is toast. Actuallly, they should make a market on that.
2
BennyS
4 months ago
Gallant will stay on. If not, we can expect a campaign in South Lebanon, but Gallant will stay on anyway.
Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Lolz. You and I seem to be walking in the same circles tonight. FWIW, I just saw a BBC report that also suggested Dissanayake is the front runner, but I can't find any actual polling. Which is fine, because when my favorite Chilean fascist owns shares in a Marxist backed by an astrologist, there's only one thing I can say -- I'm in!
1
Gena🐊
4 months ago
Guys Dissanayake is basically free money. My source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4OnWK2d5icE&ab_channel=KTAstro
Will Tua Tagovailoa retire by September 30?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
I'll like you more
1
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
if i stick my wiener into a jar of peanut butter, will you guys still like me?
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Anytime, my friend, anytime.
2
XiJinPing
4 months ago
oh i see, thanks for your reply
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Scottilicious bought me out: scottilicious bought 26,936 No at 91.0¢ ($24,512) 10d ago
1
XiJinPing
4 months ago
i actually respect your opinion, why do you think Yes? the pager activation wasnt planned, they were forced to do it bc it got discovered.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
I don't; I'm here to sell. I switched sides from no (i owned 27k shares of no 2 weeks ago) to yes when the agitation for a ground war in the north started. Now I'm taking profits and I'd guess I'll be back on your side soon.
2
XiJinPing
4 months ago
i actually respect your opinion, why do you think Yes? the pager activation wasnt planned, they were forced to do it bc it got discovered.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
This is the most active I've ever seen an Israeli market's comments section. Good work; it's always nice to hear other folks' points of view.
2
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
hmm, seems like i've arrived late to the new bunch of Israeli markets.
0
Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
I think you're thinking of the Hezbollah commander they offed in southern Beirut. Israel did take responsibility for that.
0
Amok
4 months ago
They did with that one Iran strike.
Will Trump do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Heh, fun market
0
What will Kamala say during Wisconsin rally?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
It's time I just admitted this: I suck at mention markets.
0
Will Trump visit Springfield in September?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Last time I saw a post of yours, your tagline was "Domah fan." Domah replied to that post calling you a clown. I'm glad to see you've changed that tagline.
3
Car
4 months ago
I love taking money from people who believe in rumors
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Good post, thanks
0
sd2333
4 months ago
https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/1835827562657792509 Axios reporter just now
Another Trump x Musk space before October?
just.some.guy
4 months ago
Why didn't we lose this bet?
0
CompulsiveGambler
4 months ago
Cannot believe some lucky bastard got filled for NO at 5c and i've been holding these 85c No all week like a chump
Maduro out in 2024?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
heh, heh, heh. solid point.
2
Gena🐊
6 months ago
In Venezuela there are a lot of blackouts because Socialism. Because that JustScam could claim Maduro technically lost power
Maduro out in 2024?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
A market on whether or not the CIA was involved would be fun. Too bad there's no way to decide it except through UMA's corrupt hands. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/czxgl2zjgzzo
2
Will Trump visit Aurora in September?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Susan after Dark seems way more fun than Susan, Head of HR.
3
SusanWarren,HR
5 months ago
I had the best sex of my life in Colorado
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Heh, solid screen name / av combo.
2
BuckMySalls
5 months ago
It's unlikely to be Fox but there is a good chance this trades in the 40s at some point based on rumors alone
Who will gain more in polls after the debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
That wasn't a post debate poll, but I suspect you knew that.
2
sdiff123
5 months ago
New Economist poll conducted post debate: Trump 45%, Harris 45%. A 2 point swing towards Trump.
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
You might be interested in this market, as well: https://polymarket.com/event/fox-news-hosts-debate-between-trump-harris/fox-news-hosts-debate-between-trump-harris?tid=1726189109272
0
Bettensor
5 months ago
lmao you fool
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Not to mention the fact the entire right is screaming "rigged debate!" Obviously, the Harris campaign would be insanely worried that Fox News would rig a debate back, in the name of "fairness".
2
mr.ozi
5 months ago
I personally think she has a lot to gain from calling him a coward for not wanting to do a debate at all, and if he says 'only Fox', laughing at him that he only feels safe with his cronies. And she has a lot to lose by going to Fox, and having the entire setup against her, including unfavorable questions, etc. I don't see it, really. Anyway, we will know within a month :)
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Trump: "There will not be another debate." This market: Eh, Trump says a lot of stuff.
8
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
@AugustsoPinochet73, Amen on the JustScam point. I remember you from the Maduro boards. If memory serves, we got our asses kicked together there. Oh well, at least our misery had company. Good luck to you in the future, my friend!
3
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
If I were arguing the yes side, I'd just quote Trump from this morning: "Are we going to do a rematch? I just don't know. I'd do NBC and I'd do Fox, too."
4
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Solid point. Although in practice for this market, agreement between the parties and announcement by Fox would probably all happen within hours.
0
Shayku
5 months ago
And by the way, the wording on the 'number of debates' market is better, and you should adopt standard wording to minimize confusion. Like game rules, or text on Magic cards. Standard vocabulary, standard syntax, etc.
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Not to mention JustKen's position (Domah/JustKam/Domer). I, for one, would never, ever take him on at UMA. He's the guy who orchestrated the UMA vote "confirming" Gonzalez won the Venezuela election over Maduro. At least 5 other prediction markets / sportsbooks ran lines on that election; all of them closed with Maduro as the winner. Directly or indirectly or through persuasion or whatever, the dude runs that place.
6
Fav1
5 months ago
Time to buy No again? Google the Moscow municipality boundaries pls
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
With the main market basically 50/50 the opportunities for manipulation and counter manipulation during the 4 hour window are mind boggling. Will be wild!
0
Cops who arrested Tyreek Hill fired?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Cops have great unions.
2
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
....she said, knowing I'd be the one putting up the $750. It's just so EASY to risk someone else's money.
0
tsybka
5 months ago
go ahead and propose result.
How many viewers will the debate get?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Is that the whisper number? Nuts, I bet UN 75M across multiple sportsbooks.
0
CookedAlligator
5 months ago
this might actually hit 75M +
How many viewers will the debate get?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
For super bowls the Nielsen numbers don't come out until Monday, so tomorrow(?)
0
J.D.K
5 months ago
When will this market be resolved?
Who will gain more in polls after the debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Is that still your view?
0
sdiff123
5 months ago
This market has little to do with the debate
What will Kamala and Trump both say at the debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Bold Prediction: "tip" cashes yes after Trump says -- as I used to in high school -- "just the tip".
1
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
I see we both joined Poly in June. Beyond that it's hard to find any other similarities between our accounts.
0
tsybka
5 months ago
🤡
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Fellow No holders, I've just finished some map work and it looks like we dodged a bullet tonight, but we'll still probably have to fight for it. I'm happy to put up our side's $750 to take this to UMA, so if anyone sees a Proposal go up, please notify me immediately by replying to this message. Thanks, guys; team effort, and all that.
2
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
I've now had time to do some map work and you're right: that's not Moscow. I'm happy to put up our side's $750 to take this to UMA, so if someone proposes please let me know right away. Thanks, my friend!
1
Fav1
5 months ago
All targets were outside Moscow
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Crap, if that reporting's correct and the Ukrainians killed a 9 year old kid, Russia's incentives reverse and instead of covering it up, they'll use RT and whoever to spread the story as widely as possible. Bonus bad news for me: the closer to civilian, downtown Moscow they can make it sound, the better the propaganda value for them.
0
Tories4Harris
5 months ago
Watch this to see the moment the drone hit the apartment building in moscow. https://x.com/ajit4g/status/1833335785010991155. up 2/3rd on the screen coming from left to right.
Who is asked the first debate question?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
PS: I see since then he's deleted all the posts that were part of the scam. So yeah, he's a scumbag.
0
betless
5 months ago
which users are scammers?
Who is asked the first debate question?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
XiJinPeng is notorious for them. I found that out the hard way last week in this very market. He ran a pretty sophisticated scam between his acct and an alt he runs called JCooper. I won't bore you w/ the details, but I'm ashamed to admit I fell for it and it cost me about $70. Afterwards, I asked around about him and learned that scams are pretty much all he does under a bunch of accts.
1
betless
5 months ago
which users are scammers?
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Feels like this mkt might be on it's way to the tender care of UMA and, hey, who doesn't love that transparent, incorruptible and eminently fair organization?
0
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
ah, thks
0
tsybka
5 months ago
Domer: "if i have less than 10k shares i am not even really making a bet, just having fun"
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
No idea if it's true, but the Mayor of Moscow says the drone launched towards Moscow was shot down en route. Fog of war: https://kelo.com/2024/09/09/russia-destroys-ukraine-launched-drone-flying-towards-moscow-mayor-says/
1
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
For fuck sake. I'll tell ya one thing: count me out for Oct market
1
Crock95
5 months ago
You're always right on time, lol!
Who is asked the first debate question?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Tails never fails
1
DonaldinhoTrumpito
5 months ago
Thanks ! Yeah I got a good feeling about this one... and if not, we can still win the coin toss :D
Who is asked the first debate question?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
As a Kamala holder, I'm reassured to see Donaldihno Trumpito on our side. First, cuz it's a great screen name but also, dude's one of the brightest traders at Poly.
1
Who is asked the first debate question?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Kamala holders have an alternative theory of the case to Trump holders' view that this will be determined by coin flip tomorrow. Tbh, I don't know for sure we're right, but I also couldn't find any absolute proof that we're wrong. Weird little market.
0
AllForOne
5 months ago
Why Kamala price’s so high. I D’ont understand
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
My guess is a lot of JustKam's positions are either decoys or shares 'accidentally' bought when seeking Rewards. Outside of that account's biggest positions I wouldn't trust anything I see.
0
BiggestBidenFan
5 months ago
JustKam has entered the chat (check Holders)
Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Habit.
0
no.nickname
5 months ago
So why did you buy more?
Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
I've been sitting around this poker table for a while now, but I can't spot the sucker.
1
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
just.some.guy
5 months ago
I try to keep an eye on Poly's brightest minds to learn what I can and you, Sir, made this market your bitch. I'm somewhere between impressed and amazed.
1
aenews2
5 months ago
because the film was a big success
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
The yes win in the August market ate me for lunch, but what the hell, I'm back for more.
0
Polymarket Parlay - NFL Week 1
just.some.guy
5 months ago
At a minimum, I'll swing by between each leg; maybe we can help add to the volume numbers a bit. Win, lose or draw, this is a fun, well written parlay.
3
Polymarket Parlay - NFL Week 1
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Amen
1
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
Poly, we need a lot more of these this nfl season
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
I like your screen name.
0
Justsomeguy
5 months ago
This one is a lock. Kamala has literally voiced support for a bill that taxes unrealized gains
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
I like pronouncing his last name: M-nuch-in
0
Steven-Mnuchin
5 months ago
New: Kamala Harris campaign has just accepted in a letter to ABC News the rules of next week's debate against Donald trump, including mics being muted when it's not a candidate's turn to speak, per person familiar with debate negotiations. https://x.com/mj_lee/status/1831439574134063171?s=46&t=T4NQlMZZsyqNZOX--BeTkw
Who is asked the first debate question?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
I've lived my entire life by a single axiom: Tails never fails.
3
NFL Kickoff: Chiefs vs. Ravens
just.some.guy
5 months ago
They've got everyone for 1st TD, if int: https://polymarket.com/event/chiefs-vs-ravens-first-td-scorer?tid=1725564911045
0
Surebets.bet
5 months ago
More TD scorers?
NFL Kickoff: Chiefs vs. Ravens
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Thanks for adding some props. Maybe some RB or WR ov/un's next? Thanks, you guys rock.
1
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Every time I promise myself, "I'm going to stop making stupid mistakes....."
0
Netanyahu out by October 31?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
I'm not a big fan of Netanyahu, but I admit he's a great politician.
1
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Unfortunately, the answer is No. Disputes over rules happen all the time and they're decided by a very non impartial organization called the UMA. Best place to get more info is Poly's Discord channel; there you'll get replies some of which might even be right.
0
Champ
5 months ago
I'm new here. Is there a way to ask the resolvers a clarification question about what counts as a prison sentence?
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
You're right, the first debate of 2020 was hosted by Chris Wallace, but on Fox network, not Fox News; and since then the eminently fair Chris Wallace has left for CNN. Also, you mention Fox News has held many primary debates of both parties. I don't know of a single democratic primary debate Fox News has hosted; can you link me? Thanks
3
Shayku
5 months ago
If Kamala does well, she may still need to secure some republican voters and will have built the confidence to show up on Fox. If she doesn't do so well, she'll need another chance, and Trump will have some leeway to impose the conditions he wants.
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
And you expect she'd choose Fox News? Would Trump ever do a debate hosted by MSNBC? Ever wonder why that is?
1
0xNabs
5 months ago
Getting ready for the bottom price on this one on the 4th and load up - chances are she will need more debates after her polls start tanking…!
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
you're sure? the pricing suggests 5
0
DAT
5 months ago
still 4 aliens
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
nice work. also, great screen name
0
TrialSizeDoveBar
5 months ago
holy moly
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
"Acclimented"
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Why do some posters attack holders of the other side? You'd change positions if you thought the percentages had changed, right? Plus, it's just an unkind, uncool thing to do.
2
Diegley
5 months ago
You fearmongering retards should have listened
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Absolutely, yes. I'm very bad at Polymarket.
0
ThisIsSparta
5 months ago
Of course a humanitarian pause would not count. It's basically over. People who bought YES are delusional, lol.
What will Kamala say during CNN interview?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
one error: joyful was actually 894 times. easy mistake to make
0
LMNOP
5 months ago
UPDATED to include "Joy". Here is a summary of her word counts from her DNC acceptance speech. She spoke for 35 minutes. Abortion 4; Artificial Intelligence 1; Beyonce 0; Border 7; Ceasefire 1; Crypto/Bitcoin 0; DEI 0; Democracy 2; Inflation 0; JD Vance 0; Joy 849; Oakland 1; Palestine/Palestinian 1; Project 2025 1; Prosecutor 3; San Francisco 0; Tips 0; Wall 0; Weird 0; Someone please feel free to check my homework, probably a small mistake there or two.
Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% in August?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
he said, tempting fate...
1
0xb27d8B9Ef5935a763aFdE9737204934888e5Fc9c-1720902678412
5 months ago
Just hit 39.9, looking like Yes is in the bag.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
The stuff you're posting about happens pretty much every day.
0
MD80PFF
5 months ago
Netanyahu to convene security cabinet shortly The Israeli prime minister will convene his security cabinet at 7:00am local time (04:00GMT), according to Israeli media. The Times of Israel reported that Netanyahu and Gallant were earlier at the Israeli military’s headquarters in Tel Aviv “managing the incident” in the north.
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
He can't make a bad call. The model itself produces the pick and that's a stats based, automated system.
0
Fred19999
5 months ago
What's stopping Nate buying No, and making a bad call?
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Even if the Harris campaign thought Brett Baier and Martha MacCallum could be fair moderators -- which they don't -- they'd still never accept a debate on Fox due to the risk there'd be 10 questions on immigration/border and zero on abortion.
1
tomatreides
5 months ago
Decent chance he uses the "backing out on ABC" as leverage to get a FOX debate.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
i'm cooked.
4
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
probably nbc on sept 25th.
0
mr.ozi
5 months ago
It ain't happening, now or by the deadline on Oct 15. They will likely make a second debate on CNN/CNBC/etc.
Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
I traded this market like a total dipshit. I'm firing myself and walking away.
0
What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
his voice, his grating voice
2
What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
RFK announced his Trump endorsement in a PA court filing: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/rfk-jr-endorses-trump/index.html
1
What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
2pm eastern time
2
rugbet
5 months ago
wen he speak
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
joyful's not a compound word. joy-maker would be.
0
ejgejg
5 months ago
She said “joyful”, which is literally a compound word and counts per the rules. How is that not 99% already lol
Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
heh, solid screen name / tagline.
1
MyLossIsYourGain
5 months ago
Trump is desperate to have even 1 percentage of edge against Kamala, even if the quid pro quo deal looks bad for the optics.
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Rewards are currently 120.
2
0x34a42279AD
5 months ago
The depth in this market has increased like crazy over the past 10hr. Why is that? It increased by about a factor of 50 or so!
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Sweet, nice to have an mpox researcher on our side. Do you like no in the Sept 30 market as well?
1
0x34a42279AD
5 months ago
I'm actually studying mpox. Like for real, I'm a scientist. First time I can make money simply by what I know about a disease.
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
So this market's being decided through an obscure, non-transparent voting system that insiders understand, but the rest of us don't. Annoying, that.
2
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
thanks
0
aenews2
5 months ago
They didn't vote for No. They voted that it was too early to close, punting decision to future.
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Clades and "sexual networks", I'm learning a lot from this market.
7
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
Front loaded, so even more per day for the next week or so.
0
MichaelBurryd
5 months ago
Fair decay value is 3-4% a day from here. That's 3-4 pennies a day! Lays where are them orders at?
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
just.some.guy
5 months ago
heh, solid thought
0
XiJinPing
5 months ago
Can someone sacrafice themselves? Go to Africa, have gay sex, come back, get tested, make $$$$$.
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
I thought the Maduro vote was BS, but since this mkt could also get closed using that as precedent, I think I'm gonna bail.
0
just.some.guy
6 months ago
Heck, we don't even know for certain what the "military action" was: a bomb, an airstrike as Iran believes, a drone attack or some other, as yet unknown method. Without knowing for sure what the military action was, how can UMA voters even begin to analyze whether it qualifies as a "military action" under the rules? But since the same reasoning UMA used in the Maduro election dispute could also be used here, namely that main source for determining the market is silent, a "consensus of credible reporting" can be substituted.
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
Heck, we don't even know for certain what the "military action" was: a bomb, an airstrike as Iran believes, a drone attack or some other, as yet unknown method. Without knowing for sure what the military action was, how can UMA voters even begin to analyze whether it qualifies as a "military action" under the rules? But since the same reasoning UMA used in the Maduro election dispute could also be used here, namely that main source for determining the market is silent, a "consensus of credible reporting" can be substituted.
0
crow
6 months ago
There is no conclusive proof that the killing of Haniyeh was done by Israel. Iran has blamed Israel but Israel has denied the allegations and no one has provided any conclusive evidence to support this allegation
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
It was, but that was the first proposal. I think UMA voted against closing the mkt by about 70-30. I guess since a closure's been proposed again there'll be another vote? Since nothing's changed re: Haniyeh since the first vote, why would this vote come out differently? Thanks for any info; I'm new and this is my first disputed mkt
0
CouchWhale
6 months ago
I think it was proposed after the Ismail Haniyeh assassination.
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
By 'nothing ever happens', do you mean the disputes never work and the markets generally close? And if so, shouldn't you and I be dumping all our no shares? Thanks
1
dreamer
6 months ago
Final review: Nothing ever happens
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
I'm new; could some kind soul help me out on how disputes work? Cuz I thought 'UMA' already voted on whether Haniyeh met the criteria to close the mkt and they voted for no like 70-30, or something. Since nothing's changed since the first vote, how could the second vote go the other way? I mean, it's the same voters, isn't it? Thanks for any info.
1
Iran military response by Friday?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
heh, solid post. is your screen name a phone number? i ask because i'm originally from that area code.
0
7153649820
6 months ago
As a centrist, I think all sides are good and totally justified in their actions. I just hope all sides have fun doing whatever they are going to do.
Maduro out in 2024?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
Domah, apparently.
1
TimeQuestion
6 months ago
Who defines who is President of Venezuela?
Fantasy Football: Top QB 2024
just.some.guy
6 months ago
There's an Other category
0
0x31662eeD092861Bc5B133c707f4564010E2937A9-1723517015878
6 months ago
Penix?
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
Or was it an airstrike? Who knows. One thing's for sure: we can't discuss whether a qualifying "military action" as defined in the Rules has taken place until we know what that action was.
3
Justifax
6 months ago
It wasn't an air strike, though quite a few outlets reported that.
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
Only 3 hours old: A Hamas official in Iran refutes reports that the explosion that killed the Palestinian terror group leader Ismail Haniyeh this week was set off by a bomb in his room at a Tehran guesthouse, according to an Arab media report. A report in the London-based news outlet Al-Araby Al-Jadeed quotes Khaled Qaddoumi as saying it was “clear from the appearance of the place after the attack and what happened to it, and from the body of the martyr leader Ismail Haniyeh, that the targeting was carried out by an airborne projectile, whether it was a missile or a shell.”
1
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
Nobody even knows what happened, much less who did it:
1
Maduro out before September?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
Pinochet would never let that happen. Today's dictators are weak
0
Justifax
6 months ago
That should resolve as NO and is a new market.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
Haniyeh’s assassination, without consultation or warning to the Americans, shows the modern dynamic in American-Israeli relations: the tail wags the dog.
2
Will Biden finish his term?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
just out of curiosity, how?
0
Car
6 months ago
Biden can also die without kamala becoming the president
Will Biden finish his term?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
It sounds like there's 4 or 5 guys in the same boat. If anybody solves it, post and let the others know how.
0
TestMeNow
6 months ago
I bought no, but I cant sell it, and it doesnt show in portfolio and my balance went down lol
Will Biden finish his term?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
good luck w/ the deposit. just a friendly head's up: you can also play the Biden health angle in the DNC speech market. It's a little more expensive, but you'd get paid in a month instead of in 6. If interested: https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-speak-at-the-dnc?tid=1721721988867
0
infinitiphantom
6 months ago
Why is my USDC deposit not hitting…. I did two transfers here both from exchange one after the other and second one hit and first one didn’t… but contract says successful. Anyone ever have this issue? Trying to lock in this bet….
Will Biden finish his term?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
they've got a live chat on the deposit page; i'd start there.
0
infinitiphantom
6 months ago
Why is my USDC deposit not hitting…. I did two transfers here both from exchange one after the other and second one hit and first one didn’t… but contract says successful. Anyone ever have this issue? Trying to lock in this bet….
Will Biden finish his term?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
i think that's true, but would he when isolating from covid?
1
KevinW23
6 months ago
Unconfirmed, but supposedly Biden's has no meetings this week which would be very odd: https://x.com/RealMattCouch/status/1815607823608295824
Will Biden finish his term?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
i assume it's health, but it doesn't make sense the biden speaks at the DNC market's not crashing too.
0
just.some.guy
6 months ago
this, i guess? https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/where-is-joe-biden-us-president-has-not-been-seen-publicly-since-drop-out-announcement/ar-BB1qqF7F?ocid=BingNewsSerp&cvid=5e0ab15b85634a8d8ed5ba1b94046e72&ei=16
Will Biden finish his term?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
this, i guess? https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/where-is-joe-biden-us-president-has-not-been-seen-publicly-since-drop-out-announcement/ar-BB1qqF7F?ocid=BingNewsSerp&cvid=5e0ab15b85634a8d8ed5ba1b94046e72&ei=16
0
Apsalar
6 months ago
what the fuck is happening here
DNC open convention?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
yeah and i'm guessing the virtual roll call for biden = no will transfer into a virtual roll call for harris = no, too, but rules cucking is always on the board.
0
discsDontLie
6 months ago
"If a nominee is selected on the first ballot, this market will resolve to "No."" So even if there are multiple serious candidates running during the convention, if a candidate gets over 50% of the vote on the first ballot this market resolves to No??
When will Democratic Nominee be chosen?
just.some.guy
6 months ago
y, mike dewine. he's a great governor
0
GgJ
6 months ago
The Gov there made a ruling to extend till August 31. He is Republican by the way
Democratic Nominee 2024
just.some.guy
6 months ago
FWIW, he was on CNN earlier tonight and said he wasn't running.
1
Dunning-Kruger
6 months ago
Dean Philiips came in second after Biden in the Primary so choosing him would be the most democratic process. He was among the first to openly express concerns about Bidens age and declining health while Harris kept quiet about it and comes across as very insincere and is polling even worse than Biden. In elections white male candidates have generally appealed to a wider audience potentially helping secure swing states and crucial electoral votes. They could keep Kamala as Vice President. Also Dean Phillips has a reputation for working across party lines and could help bridge divides possibly even attracting voters who lean towards Trump. At 54 years old he offers a nice youthfull contrast to Biden.
Republican VP nominee?
just.some.guy
7 months ago
I don't post much, but I saw on Twitter that Domah made $430k on Vance. Respect. Render unto Ceasar, and all that.
1
Democratic Nominee 2024
just.some.guy
7 months ago
michelle obama. there's a fake vid of a CNN analyst calling her that.
1
buweeo
7 months ago
who tf is “Big Mike”
Democratic Nominee 2024
just.some.guy
7 months ago
Hi, I'm new. Does Domer = Domah = RevengeTour19B4? Thanks
2
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
7 months ago
14.3 million primary votes! 🥳🥳🥳 Joe Biden is the best to ever do it!