#323
Rank
83
Comments
38
Likes Received
4
Likes Given
Who will speak more at VP Debate?
TheBoyBilly
1 day ago
by how much time?
0
n/a
1 day ago
first commercial break and Vance is in the lead lets gooo
What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?
TheBoyBilly
1 week ago
I think 2, if 3 already the price should be in 90+
1
Ahilan
1 week ago
can someone confirm for me, there were already 3 magas right??
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
TheBoyBilly
1 week ago
she could die
0
iamhungry
2 weeks ago
There is no way she drops out
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
TheBoyBilly
2 weeks ago
they started this cycle with 25 hikes
0
TOBE
2 weeks ago
I think its the opposite...we have a higher chance of rescession if fed does 25....Powell needs to get rates down fast....hes behind....he will do a 50 beacuse he cant do a 25 then change to a 50...they started with 75 hikes
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
TheBoyBilly
2 weeks ago
should I trust you? so much money at stake
1
99TrillionUSD
2 weeks ago
This will be my last comment until the interest rate is announced. Do not fall for the manipulations and do not sell your positions. We saw all the data, it will be .25 decrease.
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
TheBoyBilly
2 weeks ago
Haha
0
Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?
TheBoyBilly
3 weeks ago
Today the full reward for this market is $10 and I got 6.69, and you say you are here first and this belongs to you, looks like you are good at math just like Harris
0
Car
3 weeks ago
Billy can you stop?
Will Joe Biden endorse Donald Trump?
TheBoyBilly
3 weeks ago
there are a lot of places to get more than 1% in 2 months
4
Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?
TheBoyBilly
3 weeks ago
fake news I am the one who proposed you are just lying like harris, go away
0
Car
3 weeks ago
Billy can you stop?
Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?
TheBoyBilly
3 weeks ago
You guys are doing the same shit why should I stop why don't you stop?
0
Car
3 weeks ago
Billy can you stop?
Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?
TheBoyBilly
3 weeks ago
I have all day to play with you
0
Car
3 weeks ago
Billy can you stop?
Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?
TheBoyBilly
3 weeks ago
never
0
Car
3 weeks ago
Billy can you stop?
What will Trump say during Wisconsin rally?
TheBoyBilly
3 weeks ago
because he normally says it 1-3 times
6
n/a
3 weeks ago
how did people know he wasn't gonna say MAGA 4+ times
Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?
TheBoyBilly
3 weeks ago
if you know who are those idiots in the uma discord you won't risk it to propose
1
caesar
3 weeks ago
Rules are written as if there's only one update a day, but not reason Nate couldn't update it multiple times (he won't). But not worth the risk of a dispute
Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?
TheBoyBilly
3 weeks ago
can not resolve sep 6 has not passed, even very unlikely he might update twice today, anyone who resolve this would be scammed by those UMA idiots and you will lose your 750
0
n/a
3 weeks ago
Someone please resolve
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
TheBoyBilly
0 months ago
if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 4, this market will resolve to "No". So all others no?
1
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
TheBoyBilly
0 months ago
who the fuck disputed?
1
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
TheBoyBilly
0 months ago
Never use market order in a environment that is not enough liquidity
0
Johnjones42
0 months ago
can someone explain what I did wrong
OpenSea blocks US users in 2024?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
Even Poly geoblocks US users, still if you are from US you can use it
0
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
2
Car
1 month ago
maybe dont propose NO yet when market is over: https://x.com/intelFromBrian/status/1830010215875690963
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
Even if you ask Harris voters, I guess 9 out of 10 would answer it wrong
2
n/a
1 month ago
I will ask 10 random people on the street what they can hear. People not familiar with US politicts. They will say the truth. EASY ONE.
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
In the future all that we can hear would be "Let's go Brandon", no matter how you pronounce it
4
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
And it could have been tutor instead of teacher
0
n/a
1 month ago
1:06 "and my wife the English...sh..she told me my grammars not always correct."
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
He just tweet one, the always post rally video when finished, I guess he will post town hall video as well
0
cryptofreedom
1 month ago
30-34 wildly underpriced. He still has to tweet 3 more times this evening basically. Pattern shows he probably won't tweet overnight or before noon tomorrow.
2024 August hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
If you use Copernicus data you will lose, I lost 46K last month
3
Tkromm
1 month ago
From Copernicus' ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) sites.ecmwf.int/data/climatepulse/data/series/era5_daily_series_2t_global.csv 2023 Aug 1-25: 16.8604 2024 Aug 1-25: 16.8624 Either NASA measures sth different(ly) Or this market is very strange
2024 August hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
Thanks aenews will buy more in a few days of the data I got are the ones I like,
1
BennyS
1 month ago
@TheBoyBilly how do you have a P/L of $2.17 with over 7 million in volume? 😂 😂
2024 August hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I lost my 50K winning in last month's weather bet..... that's why
1
BennyS
1 month ago
@TheBoyBilly how do you have a P/L of $2.17 with over 7 million in volume? 😂 😂
Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I missed my 750 USDC
0
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I fucked up
Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I propose to the wrong quest fuck
1
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I fucked up
Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I fucked up
3
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
The main dispute is being whether the live mentions during the rolling call count or not
0
homosexual
1 month ago
Is there actually any question that it was 47 or is Billy just bad at winning?
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
Sorry aenews I don't understand what you mean?
0
Flipp
1 month ago
Trump was mentioned 47 times Billy is going to lose this dispute.
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
please dispute me
1
Flipp
1 month ago
Trump was mentioned 47 times Billy is going to lose this dispute.
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I didn't say main stage, it says stage, each state has it's own stage, and it is audible on the stream
1
Eridpnc
1 month ago
"This market refers to anything said in person on the main stage of the United Center on the second night of the DNC. Programming is currently scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM CT and end at 10:15 PM CT (see: https://demconvention.com/schedule/)."
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
Any live mention on stage which is audible on the stream of the event will count toward this market.
2
Eridpnc
1 month ago
"This market refers to anything said in person on the main stage of the United Center on the second night of the DNC. Programming is currently scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM CT and end at 10:15 PM CT (see: https://demconvention.com/schedule/)."
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
Rules never said Roll don't count, I understand ads/videos don't count, or we will be over 100 already easily
0
0x1EaB07C61989d5E0Fb7f4663a9C4024373e85692-1721588936007
1 month ago
47
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I welcome you to dispute my count I would have win more money
0
iplaythelonggame
1 month ago
47
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
You are welcome to dispute my count
0
iplaythelonggame
1 month ago
47
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
Donald don't count, the rules is clear
0
n/a
1 month ago
If Donald was counted it would be easily 55-60. They used it a bunch and it made me angry each time it happened
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
well you guys are welcome to dispute after I propose
2
0x1EaB07C61989d5E0Fb7f4663a9C4024373e85692-1721588936007
1 month ago
47
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
you count wrong I already have 50 and I might have missed a few
1
iplaythelonggame
1 month ago
47
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I think you counted too much
3
Slaylorswift
1 month ago
We are at 55
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
his speech is extremely short
0
n/a
1 month ago
Come on John, give us some Trumps
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I got 37 so I guess we are just about the same
2
n/a
1 month ago
I got 38 right now... This current girl is giving us some good score lol
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I guess around 2 hours left
0
0x1EaB07C61989d5E0Fb7f4663a9C4024373e85692-1721588936007
1 month ago
Im at 31 so far....
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
33 now
0
0x1EaB07C61989d5E0Fb7f4663a9C4024373e85692-1721588936007
1 month ago
Im at 31 so far....
Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
Videos don't count at least 50 in the videos that played
0
n/a
1 month ago
How many so far?
Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
Not looking good for yes half passed
1
n/a
1 month ago
How many so far?
Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I counted 28 but I might have missed some
1
n/a
1 month ago
How many so far?
Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
oh fuck 4 donald
0
How many times will Trump tweet by next Friday?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
He has always been a good man, he is the only current generation president that has not created any new wars
1
XiJinPing
1 month ago
Crooked Hiliary, Sleepy Joe, or Krazy Kamala definitely wouldn't do this.
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I will go to Beijing next month maybe
1
XiJinPing
1 month ago
congrats all 11-15 hodlers, we survived
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
不过我现在人在广西旅游呢
1
factman
1 month ago
同志们，我刚刚注意到是十四，不是十三。。。
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
我繁体简体都可以的，现在是香港人了，没有政治立场才比较容易赢吧
2
diddy
1 month ago
剩余二十一小时啊，还可以赢，但是我的情绪很不安aaaaaa
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
為何這麼多人講中文？
0
factman
1 month ago
习同志，在这儿吗？
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
This is what I found online, I am not sure if that's correct The World Health Organization (WHO) has not declared a pandemic for HIV/AIDS (human immunodeficiency virus infection and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome), but it has described the pandemic as a global public health issue. The pandemic began in 1981 and is still ongoing. As of July 2023, the WHO estimates that HIV/AIDS has killed about 40.4 million people and infected about 39 million people globally. 65% of those living with HIV are in the WHO African Region, where nearly 1 in 25 adults are infected. please let me know if I made a mistake
0
td.
1 month ago
the math is spot on. I got to a similar conclusion. the price will very likely go up to a minimum of 30%
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
when was AIDS being declared by WHO? I tried to search online but can't find any info, thanks
0
td.
1 month ago
the math is spot on. I got to a similar conclusion. the price will very likely go up to a minimum of 30%
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
sexually transmitted diseases has never been declared pandemics, previously pandemics are only being declared with airborne transmitted ones
0
Wisdomtime
1 month ago
The base rate is 2/7 fromPHEICs to Pandemics = 28%. The 7 includes previous mpox, and this one is more severe. Therefore 2/6 may be closer (33%). Even with some margin of error, the true probability could be closer to 20%
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
confirmed what？
0
Yirmyah
1 month ago
Just confirmed
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I've been scammed by those UMA idiots so I know
2
BlueSky123
1 month ago
Can we go ahead and resolve this, or do we need to wait until the Olympics are officially over in a few hours?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
If this country ties with any other for the greatest number of gold medals won, this market will resolve in favor of the country which won the most medals overall. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the country whose registered name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand at after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market. If you go resolve now those UMA whales will eat your 750, they are evil people
2
BlueSky123
1 month ago
Can we go ahead and resolve this, or do we need to wait until the Olympics are officially over in a few hours?
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
wanna fill my nos at $1?
0
notch
1 month ago
seriously wonder what was going thru the heads of no holders
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
we lost
0
notch
1 month ago
seriously wonder what was going thru the heads of no holders
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
well
0
notch
1 month ago
seriously wonder what was going thru the heads of no holders
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
you became a whale after the newbie period
0
lakki
1 month ago
Yes, very strange, most no holders are losers and the yes holders are winners. And what is also strange: 11/15 accounts of no holders were registered in July/August. Is this normal behavior for newbies on this site? load up 50k and then go all-in on a single market?
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
you are joining the yes camp?
0
n/a
1 month ago
After careful reflection, THE PROBEAVER warns the NO buyers to evaluate their position well, doesn't bet everything, this market will be shock for everybody
Democratic Nominee 2024
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I guess this one takes longer time because the chain is longer? so it needs more time to resolve?
0
muusd
1 month ago
It has resolved to yes for Kamala, but it does not show a way to redeem. How long does it take for it to be redeemable?
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
why would he go to prison?
0
yourrapist1776
1 month ago
Either v-for-vanadium is an insider and you win & he goes to prison or he's just gambling and you got blown out chasing steam
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
Are you still 100% sure we are gonna win?
0
SmartG
1 month ago
plz don't stop buying
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I lost 100k today on stock, now this? wtf.... I think I'm gonna kill myself soon
1
SmartG
1 month ago
don't overleveraged here dude, believe in science
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
if NASA screw me then I have nothing else to say
0
yourrapist1776
1 month ago
I think you are overleveraged here dude
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
What is going on here? seems like we lost the bet?
1
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
I am very scared
1
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
he looks like an insider he bought small on everything else
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
he looks like an insider he bought small on everything else
1
1 month ago
This is not an insider, just someone with lot of money
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
But this one bought yes
0
BM5II5KJN2
1 month ago
NASA employee buying the orders up 🦅👍
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
2 months ago
But even tough it should not change the fact that 2023 is quite a bit hotter than 2024 (like 0.05c)
0
SmartG
2 months ago
I think copernicus data is already adjusted one, like July 22nd was initially 17.22c and later they change it to 17.15c, it's possible that NASA does not change it though
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
2 months ago
If they use copernicus data, and the methodology being the one described in the documentation, it seems very difficult to give out the result that 2024 is higher than 2023 unless cheating, especially since the last few days data coming down a little bit, I still don't understand why the market is trading towards yes maybe they know something we don't know?
1
bendover
2 months ago
Based on Copernicus data, both Air and Sea temperature were higher in July 2023 when compared to July 2024. Air Temp: 16.953 (July 2023) vs 16.907 (July 2024) | Sea Temp: 20.893 (July 2023) vs 20.876 (July 2024).
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
2 months ago
You are a genius, do you know where to find the raw data that NASA use to calculate?
0
bendover
2 months ago
Based on Copernicus data, both Air and Sea temperature were higher in July 2023 when compared to July 2024. Air Temp: 16.953 (July 2023) vs 16.907 (July 2024) | Sea Temp: 20.893 (July 2023) vs 20.876 (July 2024).
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
2 months ago
Where can I download the historical data of NASA?
0
Hussieny
2 months ago
both histroical data are there, go test the two models and then come here ask questions
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
2 months ago
take all the data from copernicus and run the average and you can calculate the difference and you see that in some years (mostly hotter years) they would adjust the data down a little bit and I see that on the NASA site it says using elimination of outliers and homogeneity adjustment and I guess that's why the data is slightly different
2
tomn
2 months ago
How are you seeing / why would NASA eliminate outliers?
2024 July hottest on record?
TheBoyBilly
2 months ago
NASA data using elimination of outliers and homogeneity adjustment, while in 2023 they seems adjusted down for around 0.09c or so if this year they only adjusted down 0.05c it might be end up 0.01c higher than last year, is that possible? otherwise I don't see why no is locked in
1
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
TheBoyBilly
2 months ago
Correct and Biden didn't resign
2
Eclipse
2 months ago
How is this less likely than Kamala president by Friday?
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
TheBoyBilly
2 months ago
He can die or being forced out by 25th amendment
0
Eclipse
2 months ago
How is this less likely than Kamala president by Friday?