#1285
Rank
43
Comments
21
Likes Received
13
Likes Given
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
I don’t think there’s a better bet this year.
0
EastBoat
1 year ago
I think this market should be re-voted and resolved as yes, to keep the other markets consistent going into and November, the other two markets. Otherwise it won’t make sense.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
I think this market should be re-voted and resolved as yes, to keep the other markets consistent going into and November, the other two markets. Otherwise it won’t make sense.
4
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
I think ploymarket employees need to pause this market and wait for the Trump administration to resolve it.
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
gg
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
justken failed in this market. https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-response-against-iran-by-sunday/israel-military-response-against-iran-by-sunday
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
To be honest, how did Chad determine that this event happened. Military intelligence is theoretically classified, and my prediction is that it could happen in November. This is already a very advanced prediction.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
I said this is a dangerous lunch unless you have enough uma tokens.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
People with assets of less than 1 million are not recommended to vote.
0
thismaysoundcornybutloveistheanswer
1 year ago
Go vote https://vote.uma.xyz/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
As you can see, even though I didn't bet a lot of money, I made money no matter which side won.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
This is not a smart choice. As I said, this market is not judging past facts, but depends on whether enough uma token holders cast the correct votes. If your assets are less than 1 million, it is best not to think that you are getting a free lunch.
2
niverse
1 year ago
rich or die
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
Based on the November vote, I calculated that there were at least 2,482,092 dishonest uma votes.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
If you lived in Lebanon, would you like to receive intelligence from before September or November? The key is whether there are enough honest uma votes.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
Can the poor acting ever end. Your cards have been revealed.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? Generating... Israel has launched a ground offensive in southern Lebanon, marking a significant escalation in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict. Beginning on October 1, 2024, Israeli troops crossed the border into Lebanon in a series of small-scale raids, targeting Hezbollah's infrastructure and leadership. This operation follows intense airstrikes and the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah on September 27. The Israeli military has declared parts of the northern border as closed military zones, and the Lebanese Armed Forces have withdrawn from the border area. The invasion has resulted in significant civilian casualties and displacement, with over 1,000 Lebanese fatalities and approximately one million people displaced. POWERED BY Perplexity
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
EastBoat
1 year ago
Warning, there are more than 50 votes that may all belong to the same team. Buy the negative hedge and make a profit.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
Obviously, unless you have enough uma tokens, at least you can win at this level.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
It's very simple, a fact that so many people believe, how can it be this price. Just understand me.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
I have long warned that the outcome of this market is clear. But the problem is that there are not enough uma tokens to support yes. My guess is that half of the next votes are from prank whales.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
When investing in this market, you need to consider that many existing uma voters are actually participants in this market. They may engage in unfair and biased voting practices.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
The problem isn't the facts, it's that there aren't enough uma tokens to cast the right votes. Check the total number of votes yourself and calculate the minimum number of uma tokens that may be needed.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
The first yes holder chad is really gigachad.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
EastBoat
1 year ago
lol
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
The problem isn't the facts, it's that no one bought a large amount of uma tokens, probably 20 million, and supports the facts.
2
denizz
1 year ago
With the resolution of the other markets, we’ve established that the Israeli ground operation started September 30, and that it intended to control territory by early October. So, did the operational plans change, or did Israel already intend to control territory on September 30? The argument against intent to control on September 30 originates largely from Israel’s ongoing public claims about the operation, which we have already discounted. Meanwhile, on September 30, Israeli officials told CNN that there would be “no long-term occupation” of Lebanese territory. This suggests that they intended short term control over Lebanese territory. (https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk#cm1pnn1ki000l3b6mbkmq0ye5) Walla’s military correspondent reported on Oct. 1 morning that, per “the decision of the political echelon,” “the purpose of the limited ground maneuver is a high level of operational control in the area.” (https://news.walla.co.il/item/3695334) Thus, early inside reporting demonstrates Israeli intent to control on September 30. Finally, it should be noted that Israel’s national security cabinet approved the plan for the ground operation on September 30, and there have been no amendments since then to their authorization. The weight of evidence points strongly towards operational control being planned from the start of the operation. NO for this market would be anti-empirical and anti-common sense.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
Don't look at me holding yes, I actually hold no insurance. No matter what, I make money.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
Staying safe is the best strategy at the moment
0
Shayku
1 year ago
I'd be curious to hear the No case here. The yes case writes itself. I guess the No case wants to isolate the raids from the invasion? Seems like a heavy lift.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
EastBoat
1 year ago
In November, Uma Whale attempted to make it P4. This is why I say current uma holders are dishonest. Unless 20 million uma whales cast honest votes.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
In November, Uma Whale attempted to make it P4. This is why I say current uma holders are dishonest.
0
Shayku
1 year ago
When the November market hits, this will spike hard. Get your shares while they're cheap!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
Crazy. This market is not discussing facts. It's about whether someone will buy a large amount of uma tokens, around 20 million, and that backs up the facts.
0
Shayku
1 year ago
Presence on Sep 30 has been established. Control after Sep has been established. This hinges on whether the sep 30 raids can be considered as part of an offensive intended to establish control.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
EastBoat
1 year ago
According to the results of the last vote, 20 million UMA tokens may be needed to vote to change the result.Current uma holders have shown clear dishonesty.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
EastBoat
1 year ago
The facts are very clear, the problem is that yes holders do not have enough uma tokens to change the situation.https://vote.uma.xyz/
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
EastBoat
1 year ago
I know how those who hold no bets feel, but I believe that the market should be designed to encourage forecasters to predict yes, not no. From an encouragement standpoint, I think it should be addressed as yes, not no.
3
🤺JustPunched
1 year ago
Reminder that the crucial piece of information is from the UN, who said on October 1st: "The information [the UN peacekeepers] have and they've received ... is that they've seen sporadic incursions by the IDF," Dujarric said. "They have not witnessed a full-scale invasion."
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
EastBoat
1 year ago
。。。
0
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
EastBoat
1 year ago
I was originally not optimistic about Trump's attitude towards the 2025 plan during the debate. This result is in line with expectations.
1
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
EastBoat
1 year ago
gaga
0
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
EastBoat
1 year ago
I have long warned that this is a dangerous market.
2
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
EastBoat
1 year ago
Whales and so on may operate. Brothers. If you don’t have money to buy Trump stocks, it is not recommended to invest heavily in this market. The whale did it last time, but it failed.
0
How many times will Trump tweet by next Friday?
EastBoat
1 year ago
LIVE: President Trump to Hold a Rally in Wilkes-Barre, PA - 8/17/24 https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ZaVdb0VFle8 and free money MAGA https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-saturday-rally
0
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
EastBoat
1 year ago
LIVE: President Trump to Hold a Rally in Wilkes-Barre, PA - 8/17/24 https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ZaVdb0VFle8
0
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
EastBoat
1 year ago
One interesting thing would be if I were the member of Trump's team responsible for the Twitter project. I'm about to post 2 tweets and I'll be a millionaire by buying in beforehand.
1
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
EastBoat
1 year ago
There is another important event today 0 0, please pay attention.https://trumpforce47.com/
1
Trump fires campaign manager in August?
EastBoat
1 year ago
https://www.takungpao.com/news/232111/2024/0801/996621.html The report stated that any individual or group that attempts to falsely claim to have influence over Trump and his campaign team "will not end well." In this way, the campaign manager mocked the director of the 2025 program. In fact, the god behind Plan 2025 was the key to Trump’s victory over Biden. The 2025 plan is only a draft and not a final plan.
0