What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

n/a

1 day ago

This market is for the Reading rally not Scranton fyi

5

samuraimyth

1 day ago

This is Scranton PA he ain’t gonna talk about BORDERS 30 times!

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

n/a

1 day ago

1683!

1

rozi

2 days ago

Thanks for a great price on Green New Scam :) He didn't say it in 3/7 last rallies (Butler, Walker, Mint Hill).

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

n/a

1 day ago

You are welcome :)

4

rozi

2 days ago

Thanks for a great price on Green New Scam :) He didn't say it in 3/7 last rallies (Butler, Walker, Mint Hill).

What will Trump say at Wisconsin rally?

n/a

4 days ago

Polymarket should resolve these markets faster otherwise people are getting scammed by pumpers in the comments

1

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Analysis checked out

0

0XCB964APFRIP5CC

2 weeks ago

Not usually a gloater but I finally scored big

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Am looking at the same data 🤝

1

0XCB964APFRIP5CC

2 weeks ago

Energy 10+ has only had about a one in three chance of hitting during the last three months NC 16 Uniondale NY 5 LV 4 Arizona 9 Wisconsin 14 Asheboro NC 8 Grand Rapids 11 Florida 11 Virginia 4 Philadelphia 5 Racine Wisconsin 4 Nevada 6

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Hear, hear

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

We desperately need plain Comrade over/under market, instead of Comrade Kamala. Trump is trolling us

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Nice one

1

rohitram43

2 weeks ago

I am out. Thank you (again), Mr. Trump!

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

October 2nd

1

thakattack19

2 weeks ago

when is it?

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Can we get the VP debate mention market?

0

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Feel like he is more likely to double down, as JD has. But can see where you are coming from. All the best

1

BuckMySalls

3 weeks ago

point isn't that he won't attack migrants but that he will not (hopefully) single out a group again, especially after the cat story was debunked ten times over

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

He called them illegal immigrants last rally, which has even more bad press as they are there legally, think they will revert back to saying Haitian.

0

BuckMySalls

3 weeks ago

there's also not much point in warming up the Haitian attacks that have brought him nothing but bad press in the last week. Should really be trading 15:85 not 35:65.

What will Trump say during X space?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Have you spotted any shady accounts?

4

thakattack19

3 weeks ago

Give liquidity to this market wisely guys. The bitcoin bros are insider trading this market

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Nice one chad

0

Woofofallstreet

3 weeks ago

RIGGED? EZ BOYS

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

0 months ago

Lol, don't think I have heard him say oil rig, but that would be a tough one

0

midastouch

0 months ago

i bet on him making up his mind and sticking to saying that he "won the debate" instead of saying that it was rigged against him. it is foolish and contradictory to say both, but trump is quite unique

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

0 months ago

yeah, I have the same thinking, from the hannity interview post debate he doubled down that he won the debate

0

midastouch

0 months ago

i bet on him making up his mind and sticking to saying that he "won the debate" instead of saying that it was rigged against him. it is foolish and contradictory to say both, but trump is quite unique

What will Kamala say at the debate?

n/a

1 month ago

4 of them were said by trump about bidens son

4

td.

1 month ago

convicted felon was said 5 times in the last debate. now with a prosecutor, it should be said even more times. the odds are very undervalued now

What will Kamala say at the debate?

n/a

1 month ago

Cheers, good luck

2

n/a

1 month ago

Good Luck y'all

What will Kamala say at the debate?

n/a

1 month ago

If she pins it on him in the debate that would be a strategic mistake as he can set the record straight, would think they will try to avoid this

1

n/a

1 month ago

I sort of agree, but still thinks she brings it up. She's been trying to pin it to him for so long, don't see how it doesn't slip out atleast once. Don't know though.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

Ok cheers

0

n/a

1 month ago

Border count currently is 10 right?

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

Border count currently is 10 right?

1

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

So assuming the Q and A is as long as part 1. There is still a lot that can happen here?

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

All right thanks

0

rozi

1 month ago

Yes, but there is no footage of the Q&A yet. It comes later today.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

Has this finished?

3

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

https://x.com/CarsonJSwick/status/1831451829118677313 I think people are trading off this thread

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

At least the situation is more ambiguous than when kingfisher started buying everything out last time...

1

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

Good luck rozi

1

rozi

1 month ago

All right, I am ready! I hope he doesn't say 'illegal immigration' or 'Israel', but I hope he says 'McDonald's' - he likes to talk about it the last few days. If neither is true, I'll get a short end of the stick here ;) May the gods throw the dice in a favorable way!

What will Trump say during Lex Fridman interview?

n/a

1 month ago

Did he get it early?

0

HaterzLoserz

1 month ago

Well played Mr Fisher, Well Played

What will Trump say during Lex Fridman interview?

n/a

1 month ago

So he clearly knew early.

0

rozi

1 month ago

This is extremely likely to be rigged. I am out of this with some profit. See you guys. I'll watch how Kingfisher's positions behave after we see the interview.

What will Trump say during Lex Fridman interview?

n/a

1 month ago

What do you mean?

0

rozi

1 month ago

This is extremely likely to be rigged. I am out of this with some profit. See you guys. I'll watch how Kingfisher's positions behave after we see the interview.

What will Trump say during Lex Fridman interview?

n/a

1 month ago

What is going on? @Kingfisher

0

What will Trump say during Lex Fridman interview?

n/a

1 month ago

not on youtube, but looks like somone knows something?

0

Werty1

1 month ago

did it come out already?

What will Trump say during Lex Fridman interview?

n/a

1 month ago

Some big No buying going on

0

rozi

1 month ago

Did Kinkfisher watch the interview? Why are they buying AI and Illegal immigrants at 0.89?

What will Trump say during Lex Fridman interview?

n/a

1 month ago

Yes I agree with this analysis

0

HaterzLoserz

1 month ago

But lets make sure everyone has fun with your bitcoins and your polymarkets and everything else you are playing with

What will Trump say during Lex Fridman interview?

n/a

1 month ago

Why is everybody so confident crypto/bitcoin is going to hit?

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

He just needs one more of those "border czars" combos

0

BuckMySalls

1 month ago

12

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

Thanks

0

BuckMySalls

1 month ago

12

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

Whats the count on border?

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

Cheers best of luck

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Best luck to all!

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

He calls illegals immigrants, illegal aliens

0

n/a

1 month ago

why aliens ?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

no, but this rally is in Pennsylvania ..

1

n/a

1 month ago

He didnt say drill baby drill last night, right?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

You want to get in on the no side 😉

0

Car

1 month ago

for what its worth, he said inflation 8 times in his last CNN townhall, which was around 1 hour

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

Classic car pumping his positions

0

Car

1 month ago

for what its worth, he said inflation 8 times in his last CNN townhall, which was around 1 hour

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

The fact that it will be partisan, suggests to me that Trump won't have the chance to say his usual slogans. That's just my impression.

0

BuckMySalls

1 month ago

Quite funny that you guys look at CNN townhalls and think this isn't going to be partisan. Finally some value odds.

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

The fact that it will be partisan, suggests that Trump won't have the chance to say his usual slogans. That's just my impression after watching his responses to strong questioning.

0

BuckMySalls

1 month ago

Quite funny that you guys look at CNN townhalls and think this isn't going to be partisan. Finally some value odds.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I can see that polymarket has acknowledged their mistake by making the tulsi gabbard endorses market rules more specific. Will this market's participants be refunded as they made bets on the rules set out in this market?

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I can see that polymarket has acknowledged their mistake by making the tulsi gabbard endorses market rules more specific. Will this markets’ participants be refunded as they made bets on the rules set out in this market?

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I think no holders should ask for clarification from Shayne Coplan via twitter dms, to show evidence of a "formal endorsement" and explain how it meets the rules set out in this market in light of the evidence, or atleast justify what has unravelled here, e.g technicalities don't matter in rule sets.

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I think polymarket should issue a statement addressing the points raised by No, explaining how the additional context makes sense, and whether the precedent now is to put up additional context on the rules AFTER everyone has made bets reading the original rules whenever there is ambigouity.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

🤝

1

hillary2win

1 month ago

A good captain goes down with the ship. And in this case i was a good captain

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Thanks for the info

0

432

1 month ago

there are 3 big whales which each has 2-4 million tokens

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I think if you just bought some No's at these prices, you would feel alot better about yourself, and hopefully stop spamming on here

0

Justifax

1 month ago

I've seen a lot of early results get reversed. Don't get too excited.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Bro you were debating, in bad faith, against no yesterday

3

Car

1 month ago

interesting start for NO

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Nice

2

XiJinPing

1 month ago

100% P4 SO FAR -- TOO EARLY TO DECIDE (HAHAHHA)

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Yes, the market resolution becomes arbitrary

5

hillary2win

1 month ago

If polymarket can't resolve a market properly than it can't tell the truth for any market.

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

n/a

1 month ago

Hahaha yeah, was scrolling this thread and thought the exact same thing when I saw Car here

0

AugustoPinochet73

1 month ago

Car I've been following you in different markets plus discord and you are one of the biggest scammers here.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Gradually then suddenly.

0

n/a

1 month ago

The fact that people aren’t unloading YES…

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/rfk-jr-blames-censorship-failed-campaign-gives-details-talks-trump.amp

0

n/a

1 month ago

Link please, that’s pretty damning

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Add this to discord

2

n/a

1 month ago

https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/ayotte-tries-supporting-trump-without-endorsing-him-msna844471

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Despite actions that could be interpreted as supportive, the evidence indicates that resolving the market now would be premature. The requirement for a "formal endorsement" has not been unambiguously met, and official sources and actions activeley contradict this.This ambiguity was present in the market before additional context was give as seen by the huge volatility in percentages: the market was clearly undecided. To quote Polymarket "The most important thing to us is truth," "People are incredibly conditioned to only believe media that confirms their biases and desired outcomes, Polymarket tells people the true odds regardless of what anyone wants to happen" https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2024/07/31/election-uncertainty-in-venezuela-turns-polymarket-into-an-oracle/.

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Yes was pretty big when this dropped

1

EmpirePending

1 month ago

This is the biggest piece of evidence and nobody here has posted it. A CNN report detailing the exact court filings RFK’s lawyers filed which originally stated it was an endorsement and was later retracted and edited to make it clear it was not a formal endorsement. This is the single biggest piece of evidence and this market must be resolved as no!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

So are you saying that poly market can make a clarification, that is contradictory to its original rules, and get away It. How is that a fair market, let alone decentralised and on a mission find the truth

4

TimeQuestion

1 month ago

One of the problems of using UMA and Polymarket clarifications is that new users think this market will resolve based on the original rules. It likely won't. It is more likely to resolve based on the clarification, even if the clarification is completely wrong.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This would make UMA redundant as well?

5

Justifax

1 month ago

UMA has never resolved against a poly clarification. To resolve against a clarification would make clarifications useless and destroy their relationship with Polymarket.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Then vote yes

5

Justifax

1 month ago

When UMA votes YES, just remember it wasn't poly or uma that scammed you. It was the pumper and dumpers that sold at a profit that conned you into giving them your money.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

We just got hard evidence for our case

5

Pogpogpog

1 month ago

No holders STILL coping?? LMAO!!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Lol what are you talking about

5

Pogpogpog

1 month ago

No holders STILL coping?? LMAO!!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Why don't you respond to any point?

3

Car

1 month ago

cant wait to see your NO sell order

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

But he hasnt said he'd vote for trump. In fact, in california he is still running, he will ote for himself

3

Justifax

1 month ago

What scammers like aenews didn't tell you becuase it woud ruin their pump and dump scheme, is that this market only requires that rfk had to say he'd vote for trump. Bill Bar who hates trumps guts says he will vote for trump. It was obvious that this market had a very low bar of support required. This is much lower bar than the bernie or even the nikki market that went yes.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

They literally delete the word endorsement from the first filing

3

AG1234

1 month ago

"EKEN SMUCKER : NOTICE Respondents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Nicole Shanahan as the We The People candidates for President and Vice President of the United States, as a result of today’s endorsement of Donald Trump" - August 23rd https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/read-rfk-jr-pennsylvania-court-filing/index.html

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Have you scrolled down?

3

AG1234

1 month ago

"EKEN SMUCKER : NOTICE Respondents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Nicole Shanahan as the We The People candidates for President and Vice President of the United States, as a result of today’s endorsement of Donald Trump" - August 23rd https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/read-rfk-jr-pennsylvania-court-filing/index.html

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/read-rfk-jr-pennsylvania-court-filing/index.html Have a look here, original note, and then the amended

0

n/a

1 month ago

They never endorsed, actually... Certainly not formally anyway.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

why would you buy yes if they literally editted out the word endorcement, from an official document?

1

Car

1 month ago

WOW THIS IS CRAZY! buying more yes.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This amended note, is the clearest piece of document stating that the campaign clearly changed from endorcement to no endorcement of trump. I am baffled that Yes is still arguing?

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

lol..

4

n/a

1 month ago

It’s over: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/read-rfk-jr-pennsylvania-court-filing/index.html

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Official document: MENDED NOTICE Respondents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Nicole Shanahan as the We The People candidates for President and Vice President of the United States respectfully withdraw their opposition to the Petition to Set Aside filed by Alexander Reber and Janneken Smucker. Counsel unintentionally misstated the reason and the facts underlying the withdrawal in the original Notice filed this afternoon owing to a misunderstanding of the underlying facts giving rise to our instant Notice. Respondents hereby withdraw their opposition to the Petition of Alexander Reber and Janneken Smucker." misunderstanding of the underlying facts here is a reference to the fact that a lawyer mistakenly filed stating that the reason was because of endorcment to trump. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/read-rfk-jr-pennsylvania-court-filing/index.html

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This literally proves our case. Thanks for sending, I will update the discord post

6

n/a

1 month ago

It’s over: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/read-rfk-jr-pennsylvania-court-filing/index.html

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Later Friday, Kennedy’s attorneys filed an amended notice of his withdrawal from the challenge in the state. “Counsel unintentionally misstated the reason and the facts underlying the withdrawal in the original Notice filed this afternoon owing to a misunderstanding of the underlying facts giving rise to our instant Notice,” the filing stated.

6

n/a

1 month ago

It’s over: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/read-rfk-jr-pennsylvania-court-filing/index.html

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This proves our point. did you even read the article "While the filing stated that Kennedy was withdrawing the challenge “as a result of today’s endorsement” of the former president, a Kennedy campaign spokesperson said he had not done so and the attorney-made filing had not been “reviewed by the campaign.”

5

n/a

1 month ago

It’s over: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/read-rfk-jr-pennsylvania-court-filing/index.html

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I dont know why yes is having such bad faith rhetoric/not responding to any of the points put forward by no.

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

"The most important thing to us is truth," the Polymarket team explained to me in an interview. "People are incredibly conditioned to only believe media that confirms their biases and desired outcomes, and algorithms end up only serving people information they agree with. Polymarket tells people the true odds regardless of what anyone wants to happen", they detailed.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This doesn't say anything. You are still missing the point RFK/campaign have still not endoresed. In fact, they have avoided the term/explicitly gone against it.

2

coconutPilled

1 month ago

doesn't seem relevant. how about this tho? https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Look this is up to UMA. All indication shows that RFK and the campaign have been avoiding a formal endorsment so far. I think this makes sense politically, as they want to show support but want some political power to have sway on things they disagree on with Trump's campaign and still push that agenda, hence no formal endorcement. Makes complete sense how they have clearly avoided the term, especially how the VP said she does not endorse any person and pinned that post. The messaging is clear to me, each to their own. Do your own research.

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Are you saying there is no difference between support and formally endorse?

1

Car

1 month ago

this seals the deal. these are his own word:

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I don't want to hold animosity to Car, as i think yes holders have been screwed by the additional context. However, thank you Car for the research.

3

homosexual

1 month ago

A huge thank you to Polymarket user "Car" for supporting (but not endorsing) the NO case by providing a tweet that confirms what NO holders have been saying the whole time!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

He is specifically avoiding the word endorse. Don't you think he would have said endorse by now?

3

Car

1 month ago

this seals the deal. these are his own word:

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Also clearly different set of rules in that market

1

bluejay

1 month ago

https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-during-friday-address

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

No one is pumping, literally stating the rules. Yes holders also got screwed imo with the additional context clarification

8

BlueSky123

1 month ago

Pump that no price higher boys, I know you have it in you.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

If the rules stated media like it did in the Endorse by Friday market, then your argument would hold, in the rules set out in this market “credible reporting” has not been specified.

1

Car

1 month ago

Main Stream Media, Social Media, Trump himself, RFKs family all say he endorsed Trump. They all say that while he actually didn't mean it as an endorsement. But you polymarket gamblers know for sure he didnt endorse him. LOL.Crazy!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Ditto wolofpolymarket, polymarket was created also with the idea that media is not a verified source to seek truth

1

TheWolfOfPolymarket

1 month ago

Remember the DJT token "Was Barron Trump involved in it's creation?" Polymarket came out with a statement that it believed Barron was involved all along after the market was resolved No. The Yes holders were refunded. We are in the same situation. The conned Yes holders will likely be refunded and this market will resolve based on the truth, which is no formal endorsement as confirmed by his campaign and potentially Nicole Shanahan herself.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

You have not named a resolution source. P4

0

n/a

1 month ago

No one has verified what Nicole supposedly told one person on twitter. The entire media and 5 of his family members have publicized/commented on his endorcement

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Surely you can see how this warrents P4 - too early resolution.

1

n/a

1 month ago

A screenshot posted on twitter has no validity at all. It contradicts EVERY single media publication. No journalist has verified or even acknowledged what is in that screenshot. Until it is verified by the Journalistic Community and the dozens of articles about his endorsement are redacted that holds no weight. I highly doubt Nicole would claim every single media outlet is publicizing false information and only correct one single person on X

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Media consensus is not the metric by which this market is resolved, if it would be the metric it would be clearly stated like it does in this market "The resolution source for this market will be live footage of the address or official information from RFK Jr. and his campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-during-friday-address?tid=1724521095485 There is no clause here that says credible reporting is used to resolve this market, only rfk jr or official campaign spokesperson, where so far we have clear indication that they are disputing formal endorcement. Regardless lets wait and vote for P4 so that we get more clarity as you are suggesting yourself

1

n/a

1 month ago

A screenshot posted on twitter has no validity at all. It contradicts EVERY single media publication. No journalist has verified or even acknowledged what is in that screenshot. Until it is verified by the Journalistic Community and the dozens of articles about his endorsement are redacted that holds no weight. I highly doubt Nicole would claim every single media outlet is publicizing false information and only correct one single person on X

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Media consensus is not the metric by which this market is resolved, if it would be the metric it would be clearly stated like it does in this market "The resolution source for this market will be live footage of the address or official information from RFK Jr. and his campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-during-friday-address?tid=1724521095485 There is no clause here that says credible reporting is used to resolve this market, only rfk jr or official campaign spokesperson, where so far we have clear indication that they are disputing formal endorcement. Regardless lets wait and vote for P4 so that we get more clarity as you are suggesting yourself

1

n/a

1 month ago

Just to clarify PolyMarket does not care about technicalities with verbiage. If you No sayers were right then China would of won the most gold medals prediction. The IOC recognizes Hong Kong as part of China and list them as so. That prediction clearly worded things by Country and not team. Polymarket did not pay out based on how the rules were written but based off of how the western media publicized things. The media has confirmed and multiple sources have published his endorsement. If that is not true then have them redact that.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

@coconut you are not making sense

3

JohnPork

1 month ago

if this gets overturned but I lost my money on saying No to RFK officially endorsing in Friday address…. 😕

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I don’t think that’s an analogous example

3

n/a

1 month ago

Just to clarify PolyMarket does not care about technicalities with verbiage. If you No sayers were right then China would of won the most gold medals prediction. The IOC recognizes Hong Kong as part of China and list them as so. That prediction clearly worded things by Country and not team. Polymarket did not pay out based on how the rules were written but based off of how the western media publicized things. The media has confirmed and multiple sources have published his endorsement. If that is not true then have them redact that.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I think that market wasn’t as specific, it had only endorsement without “formal” like this market states

3

JohnPork

1 month ago

if this gets overturned but I lost my money on saying No to RFK officially endorsing in Friday address…. 😕

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I think many people are reaching this conclusion as we speak…

4

n/a

1 month ago

According to the criteria set by Polymarket, this is a definite no. I initially bet yet but switched against it as Kennedy's declarations are not formal endorsements (in fact, some of his stated support is every begrudging) and he has not said he will vote for Trump.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Shanahan (VP of RFK) https://x.com/NicoleShanahan -, official campaign memeber, pinned post on twitter "I’m not a Kamala Democrat. I’m not a Trump Republican I’m an INDEPENDENT American who is endorsing ideas, not a person or a party. I will continue working to give a voice to the voiceless and bring power back to the people". Clearly not a formal endorsement from official campaign member. If anything clear opposite to formal endorcement.

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Shanahan pinned post on twitter "I’m not a Kamala Democrat. I’m not a Trump Republican I’m an INDEPENDENT American who is endorsing ideas, not a person or a party. I will continue working to give a voice to the voiceless and bring power back to the people". Clearly not a formal endorsement from official campaign member. If anything clear opposite to formal endorcement.

0

XiJinPing

1 month ago

RFK VP's DM's are open https://x.com/NicoleShanahan -- just ask her to clarify!!!

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Jewish was explicitly specified, hopeful was not. On many acccounts hopeful is a compound

1

BlueSky123

1 month ago

There is actually no way to get around the fact that Jewish not counting for Jew but Joyful somehow counting for Joy is a completely retarded notion. The rest is all coping, I really hope the yes bagholders buy more. I love seeing retarded scammers flail around and lose hundreds or thousands of dollars to people who have more than two brain cells. It's very hilarious.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. What do you mean?

1

0x2620669F32f402372c66FF1BB2Ca995Bb8F4D644-1724510924126

1 month ago

But it doesn’t say “Formal Endorsement” all it mentions is if he will “endorse” Trump. If it said does he give a “Formal Endorsement” you’d be correct, but it doesn’t

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

If that is the case that should have been stated in the proposition. How he is "acting" is up to personal interpretation. The rules for the proposition are clear. "Formal endorcement" from RFK JR or Campaign. Which has not happened, neither is the fact that he is voting for Trump, as he will be voting for himself in California.

0

n/a

1 month ago

My point is that RFK has formally endorsed Trump because he acts like it, despite what he may say. Actions are more important that words

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Support does not mean formal endorcement. RFK Jr.'s spokesperson, Stefanie Spear, has officially stated: "Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump."

4

n/a

1 month ago

Seems like some people expect formal to include a tuxedo and evening gown. Nobody in the planet doubts that RFK has stopped pursing the presidency, wants Trump to win, and critically, has taken actions to help Trump win. This his Kennedy officially supporting Trump, which is an endorsement. RFK is an idiot and may say whatever, just as Trump denies paying Stormy. Actions speak louder than words

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

I think if this resolved as yes, the no’s would not be disputing, and that is telling. In fact there is evidence of this happening with the Obama precedent, when yes just accepted the resolution and didn’t send to UMA.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Seeing a lot of people sell their yes and buy no’s

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/964000735073284127/threads/1276725391146618941

1

n/a

1 month ago

https://discord.com/invite/uma Under evidence-rationale

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

https://discord.com/invite/uma Under evidence-rationale

1

n/a

1 month ago

May someone please give me the link for Discord?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Tbh I think that Polymarket screwed both yes and no holders here due to their ambiguity. Either way this resolves will be disaster for them

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Yeah I also think this happened, huge polymarket mess up

2

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The added context is totally wrong. The context is right for the Friday market but they add it to this market and the November market too without realising the wording of the rules is different. Some polymarket employee mistakenly didn’t read the rules for each market he was adding context to.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Boom

1

n/a

1 month ago

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/692379-rfk-jr-says-he-is-suspending-not-ending-his-campaign-his-campaign-says-he-has-not-endorsed-trump/

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

No buy incoming..

2

IAmHarold

1 month ago

truthteller sold 43,190 Yes at 97.1¢ ($41,932) 2m ago

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Explicitly formal, concerning paperwork on endorsement!

5

n/a

1 month ago

With all this ambiguity why would we not rely on the formal question and answer posed to the campaign in regards to an endorsement? The campaign answered that RFK was NOT endorsing and a lawyer had made a mistake, that's a very clear response to a direct question which is central to this market.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Good point

1

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Another way to look at how support does not equal formal endorsement. The US have sent $700m in aid to “support” Palestine during the war. But you sure as hell can agree that the US don’t endorse Palestine or hamas

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

What’s even the steel man case for the Yes camp? How do they respond to formal endorsement?

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

“However, he made clear that he wasn’t formally ending his bid and said his supporters could continue to back him in the majority of states where they are unlikely to sway the outcome. Kennedy took steps to withdraw his candidacy in at least two states late this week, Arizona and Pennsylvania, but in the battlegrounds of Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin, election officials said it’s too late for him to take his name off the ballot even if he wants to do so.” AP news

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

The bottom line is people are making bets here based on the rules, if the rules are arbitrary, then there is no real market.

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

“Shortly before his speech in Phoenix, his campaign had said in a Pennsylvania court filing Friday that he would be endorsing Trump for president. However, a spokesperson for Kennedy said the court filing had been made in error and the lawyer who wrote it said he’d correct it.” AP news

6

aenews2

1 month ago

None exists. In fact, his team actually retracted a legal filing today that would have indicated endorsement.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

The discussion is about the explicit rules set out by polymarket for this market

4

n/a

1 month ago

Not like he literally said he's joining the trump campaign or anything, or just went on stage at a trump rally where trump announced he would be the head of a new government agency. But no, all the credible sources are wrong, RFK himself is wrong, he never endorsed trump and doesn't back him in any way

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Have you not being following the discussion at all!?

4

n/a

1 month ago

Not like he literally said he's joining the trump campaign or anything, or just went on stage at a trump rally where trump announced he would be the head of a new government agency. But no, all the credible sources are wrong, RFK himself is wrong, he never endorsed trump and doesn't back him in any way

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

News is not the resolution clause in this market lad

4

coconutPilled

1 month ago

desperate poors trying to manipualte after losing their tiny net worths. hilarious. reuters decided this for you guys https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

The resolution here states FORMAl: rfk himself or campaign

1

coconutPilled

1 month ago

well, your lucky run is over and it's back to the fryer. gg https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Let alone someone who formally endorses someone

2

XiJinPing

1 month ago

ive never seen someone who supposedly "endorses" someone, without ever saying they "endorse" them, or the word at all

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This market has a stronger case. In that market the resolution states credible reporting as a source, and a lot of the news is saying he effectively dropped out. Here in this market it is clear that formal means formal, especially as the spokesperson from the campaign disputed the formal endorsement.

4

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Polymarket fucked up bad today. They also resolved “will RFK drop out by Friday” market to yes even though he clearly hasn’t dropped out.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

You cannot have faith in any market if there is no precedence, otherwise we are just at the behest of polymarket arbitrary decisions. Especially as here there explanation doesn’t explain anything as to what they themselves specified “Formal Endorsement”.

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This is an important detail. As “formal enforcement” even though it is wasn’t, is slightly ambiguous as to what it clearly means, voting is not Ambiguous and he is clearly not voting.

1

n/a

1 month ago

Kennedy is from a safe state, California, and he said that his supporters who live in safe states should still vote for him. Thus, Kennedy himself won't even vote for Trump. This is not an endorsement

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

“ Throwing his support to President Trump and joining the Trump campaign suffices as an endorsement, hence this market should resolve to "Yes."” this explanation doesn’t even make sense, as the rules first state “vote or Formal endorsement”, here in the added context it just says endorsement, and clearly he is didn’t say voting

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

are you going for that big sweep

0

hillary2win

1 month ago

i know

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I think this market is set clear with "Formally". Compared to the other market today that was on "endorse trump by friday address", they have no specific claim in the rules about "formally endorse" which this market does"

1

hillary2win

1 month ago

i know

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

“Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump,” said spokesperson Stefanie Spear. “The filing was made by an attorney and not reviewed by the campaign.” She said the filing would be updated."

0

XiJinPing

1 month ago

Rules: 1, "announce he will vote for trump" (didnt say that), 2, "formally endorse" (didn't formally endorse)

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Bingo

1

XiJinPing

1 month ago

Rules: 1, "announce he will vote for trump" (didnt say that), 2, "formally endorse" (didn't formally endorse)

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

https://apnews.com/article/rfk-jr-trump-speech-arizona-a2638f89ddcb5de03edbe4574ca17d45"Before the speech, his campaign had said in a Pennsylvania court filing Friday that he would be endorsing Trump for president. However, a spokesperson for Kennedy said the court filing had been made in error. “Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump,” said spokesperson Stefanie Spear. “The filing was made by an attorney and not reviewed by the campaign.” She said the filing would be updated."

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This is crazy

1

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Yes this needs clarification

0

ALevinson

1 month ago

The rules on the “Donald Trump” market are unclear. It’s says “resolve to yes if she says “Donald” or Trump” 5+ times. So if she says “Donald Trump, Donald Trump, Trump” is that 5?

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Around what time is the speech?

0

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Agree

0

ScooterMcGavinShooter

1 month ago

She never says "Abortion", it's always, "Women's reproductive rights". Easy value there

What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Gg fellas, onto next

0

What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Iran 3+, national security event , once he starts talking about isreal, iran comes up hot.

0

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Agreed 🤝

0

BuckMySalls

1 month ago

Correct, reproductive rights is the euphemism that puts lipstick on the pig. She could well say 'we reject the Trump abortion ban' but abortion bros are overconfident about this.

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

I think Kamala is more likely to say female reproductive rights than abortion

2

What will Trump say during Saturday rally?

n/a

1 month ago

Yo, how is everyone doing, odds are pretty high on everything compared to the last one. Interesting

1

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

When can you withdraw?

0

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

Nice.

0