#56
Rank
291
Comments
149
Likes Received
139
Likes Given
Phat.
3 hours ago
lol
coinflip
3 hours ago
https://x.com/realTrumpNewsX/status/1844148965593448861 Guess why? Because they wont attack???
Phat.
4 hours ago
Its start Friday 6pm .. You guys need to do some research .. there is still 24 hours window
theone222
4 hours ago
If there is no attack in the next ~8ish hours, it’s safe to call this market free money on No
Phat.
4 hours ago
30, 2024, and October 11, 11:59 PM ET lol You have alot longer than 8 hours
theone222
4 hours ago
If there is no attack in the next ~8ish hours, it’s safe to call this market free money on No
Phat.
4 hours ago
Its still 6 PM in Israel ... The night is still young
Jordang8s
4 hours ago
I mean, it's already night and dark, if they don't do it tonight, it ain't happening...
Phat.
7 hours ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1844335555078983871 they might do it before too
KimJongUn🇰🇵
11 hours ago
Jews don't fly on Yom Kippur ☝️🇮🇷
Phat.
7 hours ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1844335555078983871 They Could've waited after the holidays .. Jews do fly before Yom Kippur :))
Phat.
13 hours ago
No holders being all cute in comments and funny .. Its coming don't you worry
Phat.
1 day ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1844042808669397109 Thats very Rare
Phat.
1 day ago
The call is in Few hours. iykyk
Phat.
1 day ago
Every Market you being a Rat as usual to dump your worthless shiit
Car
1 day ago
damn 90% for OTHER is so overpriced. Dont listen to Justifax
Phat.
5 days ago
Well since they resolved Enter to Yes Soooo this should be Yes too
n/a
5 days ago
So let’s assume Yes wins in the November market, as it’s overwhelmingly doing it right now (currently 91/9). It means there is indeed an invasion with intent of control. Is there any No September defender who can tell us when this invasion started in their view?
Phat.
1 week ago
So the Enter Market should be no too .. You guys just pick and chose
🤺JustKen
1 week ago
Reminder that the crucial piece of information is from the UN, who said on October 1st: "The information [the UN peacekeepers] have and they've received ... is that they've seen sporadic incursions by the IDF," Dujarric said. "They have not witnessed a full-scale invasion."
Phat.
1 week ago
Exclusive video like that usually goes live same day it was taken or max next day for high five points in the MSM. You can argue this was on September 30th or prior but without a time stamp kinda useless
Justifax
1 week ago
This video is referencing 'minutes after the order was given' .. I've been told that this is Sept 30th. https://x.com/TreyYingst/status/1841572129457783149?t=_yF-ffDUmX4-evqMEZaZ5Q&s=19 If anyone has better proof that this is from Sept 30th, I'd appreciate it.
Phat.
1 week ago
Reality is if we were on the other side of that bet we would've supported all the wrong things that happened like swaying votes and celebrated the outcome. Was it fair? not at all but just take the L with grace and move on because PM wont change the outcome and UMA holders voted and done with.
Phat.
1 week ago
No chance GG
n/a
1 week ago
Is there any chance for this market to resolve to no?
Phat.
1 week ago
Apparently its allowed, This guys so obnoxious and thinks hes the shit cuz he has voting powers. Some people cant handle power. None the less its tasteless to act like that even its allowed
zynyz
1 week ago
Here is the vote being rigged, send this to polymarket support: https://i.imgur.com/UckwBzM.png
Phat.
1 week ago
Batu and ken .. They are not small players. but its not against the rules still think its messed up
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
No whale exposed their vote. I believe a small time player did.
Phat.
1 week ago
whales in discord they reaved what they going to vote for withs screenshots pre-reveal lol they call it part of the " game theory" kinda messed up
dav1
1 week ago
Is there a way to know who are the UMA token holders that are voting? Can you identify that a YES vote on Polymarket also voted YES on UMA?
Phat.
1 week ago
Public opinion.. not really, UMA token holders opinion matter more and swayed by positions they holding
n/a
1 week ago
Nice scam from the whales Polymarket is closed to me after this
Phat.
1 week ago
you gotta play the ecosystem and know who holds voting powers and what positions they are in, Truth play little role how these disputed market gets resolved
n/a
1 week ago
Nice scam from the whales Polymarket is closed to me after this
Phat.
1 week ago
99.999%
n/a
1 week ago
its lose?
Phat.
1 week ago
They wont
dav1
1 week ago
If Polymarket overturns the UMA vote, then the UMA voters that voted YES get penalized on the platform and also they lose their YES value on Polymarket. Double lose.... Food for thought whether Polymarket will overturn this
Phat.
1 week ago
It wont happen. I hope it will but I dont see it bro . GG
dav1
1 week ago
So the final UMA vote will be revealed in 15 hours? But can Polymarket dispute this vote and change the outcome? Just asking to understand the whole process. Whether they do it or not here, idk
Phat.
1 week ago
GG , It is what it is holding mine to 0.
Phat.
1 week ago
GG
Car
1 week ago
Maybe next time NO holders!
Phat.
1 week ago
lol its p4 hahah
Phat.
1 week ago
Like wise. GG
n/a
1 week ago
No matter what the result is, it was fun to be a side in this bet. i am proud of no holders who didn't stand back and kept their positions till the end
Phat.
1 week ago
lol copium for exit liquidity
n/a
1 week ago
One hour remains. For any new people holding no, you would be well-advised to sell
Phat.
1 week ago
liesteller folding .. The guy who wanted to buy 50k more lol
Phat.
1 week ago
why do you care of you winning .. no one is getting out
Will143
1 week ago
no has no chance. get out now.
Phat.
1 week ago
No they didnt dont lie .. p4 is the likely outcome here
PinochetsAirplane
1 week ago
You realize most of the whales have already confirmed p2 lol
Phat.
1 week ago
Votes already going on , 3 hours left then reveal
FROZZY01
1 week ago
@Fatman1 How long will the voting last and when will the results be known?
Phat.
1 week ago
no one know what the votes are stop lying this can easily flop. hold your position and close your mouth
PinochetsAirplane
1 week ago
Most of the UMA votes are in so the risk is just about 0 right now
Phat.
1 week ago
Perplexity is not the decider nor influence the how the market will resolve
LostRonzo
1 week ago
“Based on the information provided and the context of the question as to whether Israeli military personnel physically entered Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 18 and September 30, 2024, the market will likely settle to “yes,” despite Hezbollah's denials." Unfortunately Perplexity gave this response, but hope is the last to die...
Phat.
1 week ago
alt account as fuck, holding 5 bucks of NO shares you little 007
n/a
1 week ago
Alright I'll say this once... The No side is not winning this. In the sense that there is 0% chance that this does not go Yes. Don't put any money in No that you can't afford to lose boys
Phat.
1 week ago
Car sold 100 Yes at 97.0¢ ($97) and the unloading begins, Clearly the discord sentiment is no where near p2
Phat.
1 week ago
Impossible this Market is a Yes.
moneysniper
1 week ago
When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth
Phat.
1 week ago
Truth will set you free. This should be resolved to NO. GL to all
Phat.
1 week ago
ImplausibleOutco This isnt a 60/40 odds lol but GL cuz thats a 100% should be resolved to NO sticking to facts , Whales rushed the market bought up and proposed YES too early because of greed and they think they can take easy money. This shouldn't happen period
BuckMySalls
1 week ago
this is simple. all whales and sharp bettors are on the side where an equivalent market already resolved yes, all the community takeover buyers are on the other side and pumping their shares before the expiry date. in the next few hours, they will need to start taking profits or let the shares go to zero because thats how this game works.
Phat.
1 week ago
So when they wrong us it will be well worth it to go public with it , Media would love to hear me out. Or its will resolve to NO and I can say I was top holder in the PM gamestop story
UnclePennybags
1 week ago
I saw you mentioning how unfair the voting process is and I'm really curious why you bought in this "large" knowing the voting system is supposedly fkd
Phat.
1 week ago
You literally at loss lol GL
Master-bettor
1 week ago
NO holders, please buy more NO, literally free money!!!!
Phat.
1 week ago
Betters should not have powers to vote .. UMA token holders are same people who are betting big on the site
Dropper11
1 week ago
how would you make a "fully decentralized fair betting exchange"?
Phat.
1 week ago
Our upside is far greater to take profits, Unlike YES that costed 6 figures to hold when talking about the top holders .. rest assured YES would fold and take loss far earlier than any NO taking profits
BuckMySalls
1 week ago
this is simple. all whales and sharp bettors are on the side where an equivalent market already resolved yes, all the community takeover buyers are on the other side and pumping their shares before the expiry date. in the next few hours, they will need to start taking profits or let the shares go to zero because thats how this game works.
Phat.
1 week ago
Reconnaissance (recon) and intelligence gathering are not generally considered combat operations in the traditional sense.. bare in mind there was no evidence of that too. the real combat started today thats why today there is casualties and the first time it was confirmed the troops croseed
Phat.
1 week ago
Ill be hiring a PR compnay and make sure every single media outlet know how they Manipulated this market if they resolved it to yes
yevh97
1 week ago
Pence and his gang are big scammers and manipulators. I think they have bribed UMA, and the decision will be yes
Phat.
1 week ago
means you get half your shares value -1250
moneysniper
1 week ago
So P3 means they give the money back??
Phat.
1 week ago
96! we on the way to 90 within the hour.. Hold the line boys
Phat.
1 week ago
P1 = resolved to NO P4= Too early they keep it unresolved
iwantam4
1 week ago
What is p1 and p4?
Phat.
1 week ago
Now the YES holders Chasing P4 because they know they are trapped. Easy win for NO holders
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
UMA EVIDENCE CHAT PWOOOPPPPIN' OOFF: https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/1290373405450960968
Phat.
1 week ago
Seems P4 and whales panicking
cyberpotato
1 week ago
Any updates from discord?
Phat.
1 week ago
Where is liestller he said he would buy 50k at 97... nowhere to be found
Phat.
1 week ago
buy more Yes I dare you
Car
1 week ago
Im sweating
Phat.
1 week ago
This look like going to P4 for sure and then P1 NO. GG
Phat.
1 week ago
Simply the truth
n/a
1 week ago
Copy paste this text into any AI model and let it decide: https://pastebin.com/4TkAndtf
Phat.
1 week ago
The market should resolve to "No." According to Hezbollah's media office and multiple sources, no Israeli troops entered Lebanese territory for ground combat between September 18 and September 30, 2024. Although there were claims of aerial and limited ground operations, these either occurred outside the defined timeframe or did not involve Israeli troops physically entering Lebanese soil. Reuters and other reports confirmed no direct ground incursions by Israeli forces into Lebanon during the relevant period. Therefore, based on the market's criteria, it should resolve as "No."​
n/a
1 week ago
Copy paste this text into any AI model and let it decide: https://pastebin.com/4TkAndtf
Phat.
1 week ago
trialseed sold 3,391 Yes at 97.0¢ ($3,289) ... The Truth will set you free
Phat.
1 week ago
Its 100% NO and I'm putting my money where my mouth is ! Truth will prevail
Phat.
1 week ago
one of them will fold eventually .. The risk reward here is literally crazy to hold 6 figures here
zynyz
1 week ago
aenews2 bet his whole PNL on Yes and is now negative on it, what a joke. If one of the other big whales sells be for he does he is done for
Phat.
1 week ago
correct .. Ill clip more soon
zynyz
1 week ago
4 cents away from 50 pence being underwater on his 600k bet thats the only thing holding Yes in place
Phat.
1 week ago
you better of flipping that 5 bucks to no to get a free burger
yourrapist1776
1 week ago
Something about lotto markets draws in the dumbest people from across the globe into one place
Phat.
1 week ago
I would take the rest of the liquid before I get a haircut on it
n/a
1 week ago
I like betting against crypto people. They think that whether something occurred or not is like a shitcoin they can pump by mass buying.
Phat.
1 week ago
yeah its leaked
zynyz
1 week ago
Flood of new accounts buying No is hilarious
Phat.
1 week ago
If they Rig this the whole UMA model will appear bs and PM will look so bad. They wont risk the business to make 50 pence happy
Phat.
1 week ago
not a proof this from the 2nd of October .. Doesn't qualify
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
Proof - https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1841429346407284961
Phat.
1 week ago
Let this be the one .. I will die on that hill
PanosMariolis2001
1 week ago
Whales are too comfortable because they always side with them , one day if not this , they are getting rekt
Phat.
1 week ago
Indeed its the gamestop of PM
Waifu Hunter
1 week ago
gamestop moment whale too greedy
Phat.
1 week ago
dasdqwedfg sold 10 Yes at 97.6¢ ($10) this guy new user buying YES shares just to show up more in the activity as there is an actual Yes Volume lol Whales are in shambles
Phat.
1 week ago
New users creating accounts and heavy buying NO .. The glitch has been leaked , We are about to say a surge and YES liquidating .. Ez clap GG
Phat.
1 week ago
Portably 1 max .. its time for them
n/a
1 week ago
seems there's enough liquidity for 1-2 whale to exit position at the moment
Phat.
1 week ago
Correct thats the first breach thats real and reported with videos .. This Market should be resolved to NO period
n/a
1 week ago
Israeli Army entered Lebanon for the first time today: https://t.co/dFcGKvkg7O
Phat.
1 week ago
Im good .. waiting for you to offload at loss just like the other market .. no rush
Car
1 week ago
Buy more
Phat.
1 week ago
Lets see the whales trying to twist that too .. Sale your YES and take the L
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1841429346407284961
n/a
1 week ago
Link
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1841429346407284961 they crossed on the 2nd of October here is the video by the IDF .. resolve to NO and thank you
Phat.
1 week ago
Videos of IDF emerges of the border crossing happened early hours of October 2nd. Source IDF .. hahah its over guys its a NO 100%
Phat.
1 week ago
typical Diddy behavior. This is a lie there is no proof of that. holding NO shares doent make you a creditable source of information. Post links of your findings
PDIDDY
1 week ago
After a long time researching the exact time of the isrealian entry in the Lebanon territory, they indeed violated the border in the early hours october 1st
Phat.
1 week ago
This exactly how gamestop played out, just Dimond hand your holdings
Waifu Hunter
1 week ago
need lots of people to squeeze whale.. hold no xD like gamestop then they will panic sell because when uma holder check they will assume its true
Phat.
1 week ago
bet what you can afford but im not asking you to buy more just be on the right side
Waifu Hunter
1 week ago
i hope so.. i just dont want to be too optimistic.. i just being a little bit pessimism to protect myself from dissapointment
Phat.
1 week ago
Hell yes .. squeeze The Whales
n/a
1 week ago
did you just say gamestop?
Phat.
1 week ago
The biggest upset of PM will commence in this market, Be on the right side of history. This is your gamstop opportunity for the real truth seekers. Whales will be crushed
Phat.
1 week ago
Bingo
n/a
1 week ago
I am Lebanese and currently living the terror of this war here in Lebanon. One thing I can tell y’all is for sure no troups has entered Lebanon. At some point the IDF announced that they have started their operations in Lebanon, but Hezbollah then denied it because no trace of Israeli soldiers were found crossing the borders. And if they, did there was not any combat operations. I’m definitely buying more NO as this doesn’t makes sense at all
Phat.
1 week ago
where is the sorce for that ? No report of any casualties or combat lol
dav1
1 week ago
Why are people arguing Israel hasn't entered or confirmed entering when they said they had casualities in their army?
Phat.
1 week ago
we will sleep well, I wouldnt sleep if I was a YES holder becasue this can crash any minute in to big whole
LostRonzo
1 week ago
One thing is for sure: tonight he will NOT sleep even without drinking coffee
Phat.
1 week ago
keep lying to people So far there's little that can be confirmed on the ground amid the fog of war. Hezbollah on Tuesday is even denying that Israeli forces have actually crossed into southern Lebanon after the IDF declared "limited" raids were happening. Heavy artillery and Israeli airstrikes are presumably paving the battlespace for a deeper and bigger infantry incursion.
BigMike11
1 week ago
Sources within Hezbollah are also confirming an invasion. “We’ll have to see how the ground invasion unfolds. But – according to a source with ties to Hezbollah – the Israelis did meet fierce resistance in the late hours of last night. It does appear this is not going to be an easy battle for Israel, even if Hezbollah has lost its leader and senior military commanders. That still leaves Hezbollah to be a formidable foe to inflict heavy costs on the Israelis in their ground invasion.” https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/fierce-hezbollah-resistance-ground-israel-says-lebanon-offensive-last-weeks
Phat.
1 week ago
again lying Ali Rizk, a security and political affairs analyst based in Beirut, says Israeli troops attempted to “overwhelm” Hezbollah fighters in southern Lebanon late last night but were repelled and forced to withdraw. “What the Israeli side might be doing is a propaganda war when they speak about successfully entering Lebanese territory. So this might be part of an Israeli psychological war, which wouldn’t be the first time they resort to such tactics,” Rizk told Al Jazeera. “We’ll have to see how the ground invasion unfolds. But – according to a source with ties to Hezbollah – the Israelis did meet fierce resistance in the late hours of last night. It does appear this is not going to be an easy battle for Israel, even if Hezbollah has lost its leader and senior military commanders. That still leaves Hezbollah to be a formidable foe to inflict heavy costs on the Israelis in their ground invasion.”
BigMike11
1 week ago
Sources within Hezbollah are also confirming an invasion. “We’ll have to see how the ground invasion unfolds. But – according to a source with ties to Hezbollah – the Israelis did meet fierce resistance in the late hours of last night. It does appear this is not going to be an easy battle for Israel, even if Hezbollah has lost its leader and senior military commanders. That still leaves Hezbollah to be a formidable foe to inflict heavy costs on the Israelis in their ground invasion.” https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/fierce-hezbollah-resistance-ground-israel-says-lebanon-offensive-last-weeks
Phat.
1 week ago
the P4 Coming soon To smack you in the face
Car
1 week ago
week? this is ending today
Phat.
1 week ago
The usual source : Trust me bro. Little mike will learn his lesson
n/a
1 week ago
My brother in Christ, i can't find a single piece of actual evidence. The most compelling thing for yes I've seen is a big Yes holder saying "
Phat.
1 week ago
Arabic Media says there was no clear signs there was any breach lol .. Lies upon lies .. waiting for the source
BigMike11
1 week ago
Stick a fork in this one bros. Save your money. There is endless evidence from all parties. From Hezbollah. From Arabic media. From the Israeli ground commanders who invaded. There is all kinds of evidence. Hezbollah doesn't say no invasion, they say the invasion was repelled and the IDF will find it very tough.
Phat.
1 week ago
Source saying the " invasion was repelled' from HZB because all the reports I saw saying they didnt cross and there was no combat operations on Lebanon soil. Why lie ?
BigMike11
1 week ago
Stick a fork in this one bros. Save your money. There is endless evidence from all parties. From Hezbollah. From Arabic media. From the Israeli ground commanders who invaded. There is all kinds of evidence. Hezbollah doesn't say no invasion, they say the invasion was repelled and the IDF will find it very tough.
Phat.
1 week ago
We have a long week ahead , We aint rushing
n/a
1 week ago
not most. I needed some free cash. this is still a risk-free bond
Phat.
1 week ago
Righhhhht
n/a
1 week ago
not most. I needed some free cash. this is still a risk-free bond
Phat.
1 week ago
You know we can see that you sold most of your Yes position , right ?
n/a
1 week ago
oh yeah the panic's going to begin any minute now
Phat.
1 week ago
Yeah take it from the liesteller over here. when this flips will see you panicking in the comments. I can go to sleep just fine knowing it will cost me a dinner price to stick to the facts and the truth No biggie.. on the otherhand its costing you 6 figures trying to burry the facts and hide behind whales that has the voting power.
n/a
1 week ago
at this point in the market no one ever ever bails btw
Phat.
1 week ago
Eventually one of The YES holders will bail and see its not worth to risk that much in to the unknown to win MAYBE 1% . Going to be a long week for the whales
Phat.
1 week ago
My position costed pennies I'm not worried
0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48
1 week ago
it's really obvious that you reached your exposure limit, and have taken to SEETHING (fatly) in the comments about how UNFAIR it is that your 50x trade won't print
Phat.
1 week ago
No matter what the liesteller and the Trollkid tells you this market Should resolve to NO in reality , Yeah we might not get that result due to the fact whales staking UMA and voting. There is still BIG chance this will flip No one wants to get stuck with 300k to win few hundreds and wait for a week they will fold
Phat.
1 week ago
The lies teller ... This market will flip sooner or later boy
n/a
1 week ago
I thought YES holders were capitulating but it's at 99c now
Phat.
1 week ago
Ill post public threads everywhere and log out from here forever. This cant be Yes by any means and I will die on that hill
TheFinalWord
1 week ago
if UMA resolves this to yes, I think we should all go to some other website. This is absurd. A scam.
Phat.
1 week ago
On October 30, 2024, there were no confirmed reports of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) officially crossing into Lebanese territory on that specific day​( Crisis24 )​( Middle East Eye ).
Phat.
1 week ago
Again no signs of crossing rather than clearing borders
Phat.
1 week ago
CNN: extent of incursion unclear. "An Israeli security official told reporters on condition of anonymity Tuesday morning that the operation does not amount to an invasion or incursion, describing it instead as “localized raids” that are “very limited in scope and in the area of operation.” The official said there were so far “no clashes” on the ground between the IDF and Hezbollah, but refused to comment on whether Israeli tanks have entered Lebanon and would not elaborate on how deep into Lebanese territory Israeli troops have advanced, saying they were focused on the border areas. “The amount of forces and the type of forces are more appropriate to something of a limited raid, and not, for example, things we’ve seen in Gaza with very, very large forces,” the official added. Hezbollah rejected the claim that Israeli forces had entered southern Lebanon, describing them as “lies,” according to a statement by spokesman Mohamed Afif on Tuesday." https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/01/middleeast/israel-ground-incursion-lebanon-explainer-intl-hnk/index.html
Phat.
1 week ago
CNN: extent of incursion unclear. "An Israeli security official told reporters on condition of anonymity Tuesday morning that the operation does not amount to an invasion or incursion, describing it instead as “localized raids” that are “very limited in scope and in the area of operation.” The official said there were so far “no clashes” on the ground between the IDF and Hezbollah, but refused to comment on whether Israeli tanks have entered Lebanon and would not elaborate on how deep into Lebanese territory Israeli troops have advanced, saying they were focused on the border areas. “The amount of forces and the type of forces are more appropriate to something of a limited raid, and not, for example, things we’ve seen in Gaza with very, very large forces,” the official added. Hezbollah rejected the claim that Israeli forces had entered southern Lebanon, describing them as “lies,” according to a statement by spokesman Mohamed Afif on Tuesday." https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/01/middleeast/israel-ground-incursion-lebanon-explainer-intl-hnk/index.html
Phat.
1 week ago
all of it before its too late
n/a
1 week ago
JD;FLKGJAS;LFKJMAS;LFJSAD;LKFMJASD;LFKMAJSDF;LKJAMSDV;OASH;F;LASKD;MJFLKASFJMSLA;KDFJMALS;KDFMJ;LASKDFJMSLDKFMJS;DLVMJ;SIOADVUNS;AIODFNUASKFNSFLJKGUANSLKFGUNALSO84T7NZOSIGZNUOWAI4TNZSIDFGUAO;SIRGTUO;SIGNLA;SKGA;RMGIALRJG;LAKSFJGM
Phat.
1 week ago
Or " November Market " bs
TheFinalWord
1 week ago
all the P2 folks in the discord's argument boils down to "i dont like polymarket rules, no one else believes you, etc etc" NO EVIDENCE
Phat.
1 week ago
Glad you see it coming from a mile away. get out while you can
1 week ago
road to zero
Phat.
1 week ago
Yes Holders are in Shambles resorting to personal attacks in the comments .. Stick to the Truth. This market should not resolve to Yes because of few whales holding the voting hostage
Phat.
1 week ago
0 Lies .. all facts , This post is a proof that you are hurt and about to lose tons of money to my cheap Victory. GL
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Scamman1 has continuously lied about evidence in these comments and not responded when caught in those lies. He's trying to scam his way into a cheap victory. But the reality is that this is 100% going Yes, and he's causing all of you to burn your own dollars buying more No shares in the process.
Phat.
1 week ago
whales don't win all the time .. eventually they pay the price
1 week ago
Historically No team has lost 100.0% of these fights (not 99%, 100%).
Phat.
1 week ago
Thats a lie, there is no evidence of crossing, The videos were old and dont count. These reports are made based on assumptions
Will143
1 week ago
Look at MTV Lebanon tweets from Sept 28 and Sept 29. Believe Al Jazeera also tweeted about the one on the 28th. The WSJ and CNN both had separate stories about the ground raids on the morning of the 29th which are easily accessible. Yesterday the NYTimes had a story about Biden saying he was well aware of ground operations in Lebanon.
Phat.
1 week ago
They do provide one .. " but November market was resolved " thats the only answer i saw
OhNos
1 week ago
its funny as f to watch the P2 people just say "P2 YES" and provide NO evidence or rationale lol good luck with that one..
Phat.
1 week ago
not really if there is fairness this should be easy no .. if we lose here know that we lost to whales who manipulate facts
iwantam4
1 week ago
I need to be scared guys?
Phat.
1 week ago
no we are not .. dont let lies teller scare you hes in pain
yeezuschrist0
1 week ago
Real shit tho, are we cooked?? Bc the same bs happened for the RFK dropping out market
Phat.
1 week ago
Lying again lol Truth teller my ass
n/a
1 week ago
no one bet 100k to win 200
Phat.
1 week ago
Its really not
n/a
1 week ago
Have any of the big holders posted sources as to their extreme confidence? Can somebody link me to those
Phat.
1 week ago
The only argument is the other market they scammed resolved to yes so this should be yes
n/a
1 week ago
Have any of the big holders posted sources as to their extreme confidence? Can somebody link me to those
Phat.
1 week ago
No they wont lol Thats a total lie
n/a
1 week ago
if uma resolves this as no, polymarket would step in and emergency resolve it to yes and override them
Phat.
1 week ago
lol this because of that .. No other proof as i said .. Keep calling me name .. I know it hurts
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
That's not the only argument. You're lying again. The November market was resolved properly, which is why this one is going to resolve Yes as well.
Phat.
1 week ago
English isn't your first language I guess .. " not even" fwiw
n/a
1 week ago
because it's that much of a bond
Phat.
1 week ago
none
averagejoe
1 week ago
I would like to see the number of killed/wounded troops and lost equipment on the first day of the so-called "ground invasion".
Phat.
1 week ago
I promise you will get that price .. there is over 24 hours left ,,someone will fold
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Can you guys please "squeeze" this market price back down to 96 cents? I'd like to buy another 50k shares. Thx!
Phat.
1 week ago
not even 5% like whats the point of buying 10k to win 50 bucks
0x0067e40e99580bB4f48f377786e1f595557578D4-1722634879022
1 week ago
what amazes me still is the number of people betting their life savings on a disputed market just to gain 5%. I've lived through wallstreetbets but this level of risk/reward illiteracy i've never seen.
Phat.
1 week ago
exactly
averagejoe
1 week ago
"we scammed another market, that's why this market should be scammed too"
Phat.
1 week ago
0 other evidence
Phat.
1 week ago
Just FYI the only argument these whales have on discord that November market was resolved to yes ( prematurely ) so this one should be Yes too .. This isn't a valid argument that can solve this market.
Phat.
1 week ago
Just FYI the only argument these whales have on discord that November market was resolved to yes ( prematurely ) so this one should be Yes too .. This isn't a valid argument that can solve this market.
Phat.
1 week ago
Lol exactly, They wanna berry the truth with money. lets see how this will end
n/a
1 week ago
from world did you mean : 50pence, aenews and you?
Phat.
1 week ago
You have no proof that a single solider crossing .. This will end in teras very fast
Car
1 week ago
its funny to me how the whole world is talking about Israel entering Lebanon to kill Hezbollah terrorists, but somehow only Polymarket gamblers that hold NO know it didnt happen.
Phat.
1 week ago
Im still buying with my OWN money how am i scamming ?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
This is really sad. Scamman1's scamming is only causing other people to throw away their money on false hopes.
Phat.
1 week ago
It wont be funny soon .. Truth will prevail
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Can someone please fill me at 96.0 cents?
Phat.
1 week ago
Honestly bro Sale! save the 60k
Car
1 week ago
insert sweating guy gif
Phat.
1 week ago
There is 0 evidanas and the video they were hanging on PM said wont count
Hugor21
1 week ago
yes guys, genuine question: What makes u convinced they did go in?
Phat.
1 week ago
Holding till its resolved ? We have a very big chance to take it all to be honest don't fold man
n/a
1 week ago
Whales can’t keep the price low for long, they’re out of powder to manipulate.
Phat.
1 week ago
Almost underwater take the 200 and flip to NO
Will143
1 week ago
you morons
Phat.
1 week ago
This would be the biggest Yes/Whales squeeze in the history of PM. do yourself a favor and buy your NOs
Phat.
1 week ago
This should be still a NO, and few of the top holders of YES are underwater eventually they will sale
homeer
1 week ago
any updates?
Phat.
1 week ago
Wrong bet unload while you can
Car
1 week ago
im very angry about the money im about to lose
Phat.
1 week ago
Yes and you are on the right side
HawkTuah
1 week ago
Is this market the mother of all reversals ?
Phat.
1 week ago
My postion costed 1500 and Im up double, yours costed 56k and down lol I would be angry too
Car
1 week ago
:(
Phat.
1 week ago
Yes yes please call me gay .. Ill enjoy taking that cash ..Rat
Car
1 week ago
im not your homeboy, gayboy
Phat.
1 week ago
we meet again, Seems like another loss for you .. sell them while you can homeboy
Car
1 week ago
:(
Phat.
1 week ago
Truth VS Whales .. let poly pick
1 week ago
strength of position is proportional to 1/(number of comments)
Phat.
1 week ago
correct .. No holders should hold till the end on this one . DONT PAPER HAND
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The only people arguing on UMA and Polymarket channels insisting that the answer is Yes undoubtly, are only large holders of Yes shares! Watch and see how they will panic sell!
Phat.
1 week ago
not really its 50/50
Will143
1 week ago
fair price is 95 c imo
Phat.
1 week ago
log out and back in .. glitchy
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
Why didn't my new shares show up in my position after I bought more no?
Phat.
1 week ago
You cant fight facts unless you rig it .. we hoping there is fairness in this story .. it a NO
Will143
1 week ago
FLIP!?!
Phat.
1 week ago
we will flip it because its simply no.
n/a
1 week ago
are we actually flipping this? I don't care about my money anymore. I just want to see whales lose 😂 lets make this the biggest upset in polymarket history
Phat.
1 week ago
discord
n/a
1 week ago
Do you have a link to it?
Phat.
1 week ago
I see the same was about to clip another 1k
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
LFG boys UMA chat is looking like a NO to me...
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/Thaer_Yamani/status/1841152361697362340 the videos were old
Phat.
1 week ago
The videos are not relevant anymore
n/a
1 week ago
The footage is another lie like the ground operation yesterday and the ground operation in Gaza in 2021
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/Thaer_Yamani/status/1841152361697362340
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/AlkhaleejOnline/status/1841152451849736386 This market is A NOOOOO
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/AlkhaleejOnline/status/1841152451849736386
n/a
1 week ago
Source?
Phat.
1 week ago
Jazeera waiting to come up on other sources
n/a
1 week ago
Source?
Phat.
1 week ago
Hizbullah just confirmed its old videos lol Lets the whales fight that too with bs
Hugor21
1 week ago
https://www.naharnet.com/stories/en/308400-israeli-military-releases-footage-of-previous-ground-operations-in-lebanon !!!!! old footage
Phat.
1 week ago
Hizbullah: The photage from the tunnels are old and has nothing to do with the current operation on the border. this is clearly a NO now
Phat.
1 week ago
lol Yeah ok
notinventedhere
1 week ago
i am gonna buy for 100 k if you can make the no for 20 cent
Phat.
1 week ago
will see
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
If any of the top 10 or so Yes holders tried to sell off they'd end up taking a huge loss because their action would move the market. Everyone who bought in large for Yes did so knowing that they were sticking it out until the end.
Phat.
1 week ago
Its a No but we they going to Rig it ... I would go public with this on X because where else someone will listen to you
zynyz
1 week ago
1st market condition fails - Hezbollah officially denied. 2nd market condition fails and is not needed since 1st one is a NO - no credible reporting consensus/photos/videos of forces with combat intent in Lebanon in September. The raids were over the past year, no combat happened in 70 raids, WSJ and other media describes these as clendenstine intelligence ops, no official date of a non-air ground raid / intelligence op in September
Phat.
1 week ago
No proof that there was a breach during the mentioned dates
yevh97
1 week ago
Yes or No? Any proofs?
Phat.
1 week ago
Market says " in " September this could be march or april its definatly not recent giving the weather that shows in the footage
ftor1
1 week ago
so they already spent there 200 nights lol. That means it was already before creation of the market and if we count these operations, the whole point of current market is lost, which makes no sense.
Phat.
1 week ago
you do have a risk and you just standing behind a wall of whales thats all it is
Dropper11
1 week ago
There is no risk, thats the part you guys seem to not understand
Phat.
1 week ago
even tho the whales will squeeze this one out and wont let it to resolve to no
Phat.
1 week ago
I would sale my Yes if im Holding 50k+ that's a lot of risk for something is very obvious its a no
Phat.
1 week ago
I would sale my Yes if im Holding 50k+ that's a lot of risk for something is very obvious its a no
Phat.
1 week ago
its live on all news channel guys ffs you so lazy
Phat.
1 week ago
IDF spokes man live now. We didnt cross the borders we still bombing from across the border. lol PAY UP
Phat.
1 week ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bCgJhh5qoog
Phat.
1 week ago
IDF spokes man live now. We didnt cross the borders we still bombing from across the border. lol PAY UP
Phat.
1 week ago
hes speaking live now
mokachino
1 week ago
where?
Phat.
1 week ago
IDF spokes man live now. We didnt cross the borders we still bombing from across the border. lol PAY UP
Phat.
1 week ago
IDF spokesman live now .. we didn't cross the border
1 week ago
If Hezbollah doesn't make a statement they'll use IDF + consensus of credible media reporting
Phat.
1 week ago
https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/unifil-warns-any-israeli--crossing-into-lebanon--violates-so
Kf0106
1 week ago
UN posted Uma can check that no one entered Lebanon till now . Check online and stop arguing guys
Phat.
1 week ago
The November Market should've never been resolved To Yes. Polymarket need overturn this
Phat.
1 week ago
https://www.barrons.com/news/hezbollah-denies-any-israeli-ground-incursion-into-lebanon-3de0160d
Phat.
1 week ago
Not selling, Either I win it all or leave that site with profits and never come back. because there was no breach
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Don't lie, my man.
Phat.
1 week ago
Yeah thats the pitfall but reality is there was no breach so far. I would stop playing post all screenshots on X and disconnect wallet
0x0067e40e99580bB4f48f377786e1f595557578D4-1722634879022
1 week ago
Just learning about how UMA resolves this: "you can become a voter in UMA’s dispute resolution process by purchasing UMA tokens and holding them in your wallet. The more UMA tokens you hold, the greater your voting power in the dispute resolution process." which means we are probably getting reckt by Yes whales guys
Phat.
1 week ago
No bro Im going for the full price .. not ganna dump for double .. And check Washington post
Phat.
1 week ago
So IDF also now confirming they didnt Breach. It was all false flag along
Phat.
1 week ago
So IDF also now confirming they didnt Breach. It was all false flag along
Phat.
1 week ago
Its just didn't happen tho, They calling it a Media invasion but there was no breach of borders
Waifu Hunter
1 week ago
uma voter holding yes share.. no share need to pump to win votes
Phat.
1 week ago
Interesting def whales will crash the claim. Honestly the reality there was no crossing
n/a
1 week ago
the old saying, [Information is power, especially on the battlefield], facts are crystal clear, if not it just net yet a fact, means percentage. greedy are evail, and whales win all the time, but this time, greedy will win.
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/Makana_Kennedy/status/1841058238327882127 facts coming up, no crossing yet
Phat.
1 week ago
who does the final review ? hope they wont side with whales based on bs
n/a
1 week ago
the old saying, [Information is power, especially on the battlefield], facts are crystal clear, if not it just net yet a fact, means percentage. greedy are evail, and whales win all the time, but this time, greedy will win.
Phat.
1 week ago
no its not done wtf lol
n/a
1 week ago
Based on the information currently available, the market you referenced would likely resolve to "No." The Israeli ground operation into Lebanon, known as "Northern Arrows," commenced during the night of September 30 to October 1, 2024. Reports from Israeli and international media indicate that the ground incursions into southern Lebanon began just after midnight on October 1, 2024, following airstrikes and targeted operations against Hezbollah positions​( RBC Ukraine )​( Middle East Eye ). While Israeli forces were preparing for this operation in late September, the actual ground entry into Lebanon occurred after the specified time window for the market, which was set to end on September 30, 2024. Therefore, since the ground combat operations in Lebanon started outside the defined timeframe, this would lead to a "No" resolution.
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/MTVLebanonNews/status/1841054714307248336
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/iraninarabic_ir/status/1841056371153789115
Phat.
1 week ago
further more hizbullah just confirmed there was 0 crossing by the IDF
n/a
1 week ago
Based on the information currently available, the market you referenced would likely resolve to "No." The Israeli ground operation into Lebanon, known as "Northern Arrows," commenced during the night of September 30 to October 1, 2024. Reports from Israeli and international media indicate that the ground incursions into southern Lebanon began just after midnight on October 1, 2024, following airstrikes and targeted operations against Hezbollah positions​( RBC Ukraine )​( Middle East Eye ). While Israeli forces were preparing for this operation in late September, the actual ground entry into Lebanon occurred after the specified time window for the market, which was set to end on September 30, 2024. Therefore, since the ground combat operations in Lebanon started outside the defined timeframe, this would lead to a "No" resolution.
Phat.
1 week ago
Guys Aljazeera says Hizbullah says there was 0 breach and there not a single boot crossed the border . can someone confirm
Phat.
1 week ago
We going to have to battle the whales. But this market is def should resolve to NO, There was no breach not a single boot crossed
Mr.Damon
1 week ago
easy money
Phat.
1 week ago
So ALjazeera says Hizbullah confirms that the borders was not breach and IDF Did not cross
Phat.
1 week ago
Who votes on the final review ?
Phat.
1 week ago
but didnt cross tho
BenCM
1 week ago
Dated 30th September: https://www.sdpb.org/2024-09-30/israel-launches-a-limited-ground-offensive-in-southern-lebanon
Phat.
1 week ago
IDF will confirm they didn't cross. Free money for No right now
Phat.
1 week ago
Yeah there was no breach, I scanned all news outlets
n/a
1 week ago
https://thecradle.co/articles-id/27087
Phat.
1 week ago
Any videos showing IDF on actual Leanness soil ? Everyone has a camera now we would've seen something, I dont think IDF went in at all at this point. if you have any links to videos please share
Phat.
1 week ago
Al-jazeera reporter near the border: Despite earlier reports the IDF still did not cross the border as they are clearing forward posts and didnt not cross. buying No here is a good value because I dont think this will resolve to yes till we see a video and there is none so far
Phat.
1 week ago
say that to yourself you have been losing on both markets lol stop the bs car and sell those Yes as they didnt cross .. Thanks for dono
Car
1 week ago
Please know when you gamble to much. Know your limits and only bet what you can afford to lose. 🙏
Phat.
1 week ago
Market is not closed yet
n/a
1 week ago
how come you can buy/sell after the market closed?
Phat.
1 week ago
love the handle lol
n/a
1 week ago
so uh whats the outcome
Phat.
1 week ago
So I scanned all the news outlets including Arabic ones, Don't think they entered Lebanese lands .. still clearing borders.
Phat.
1 week ago
lol worst advice ever
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Buy more NO
Phat.
1 week ago
Flairs at the borders.. that's a clear sign of troops crossing
Phat.
1 week ago
legend
50-Pence
1 week ago
Never fade lucky shakshuka lunch
Phat.
1 week ago
cry
Car
1 week ago
they arent even over the border yet, lol.
Phat.
1 week ago
intended, they could lose and pull out and still count yes
abdendriel
1 week ago
Oops I bought yes but forgot to consider the possibility that IDF might not stay
Phat.
1 week ago
Dont pull out now! till resolved
HaterzLoserz
1 week ago
Gentlemen, its been a pleasure.
Phat.
1 week ago
hahhahahahahah selllllllll
Car
1 week ago
I recommend everyone to read the rules very clearly
Phat.
1 week ago
" intended" they can go in and just lose not gain any land but still resolved to yes btw .. not its like going to happen but just sayin
Phat.
1 week ago
telling the US means nothing just like your yapping. its an invasion to establish control for a buffer zone
Car
1 week ago
So how do the Yes people want to resolve this when IDF stated they are only invading to destroy Hezbollah infrastructure? They have told the US its only a limited invasion and they are not gaining any territory.
Phat.
1 week ago
commences a military offensive intended to establish control... " intended" crossing or controlling the border is good enough. dont let car the rat fool you
Phat.
1 week ago
They can get to Beirut in 10 hours .. keep barking
Car
1 week ago
Also guys, they arent even over the border yet. And this market ends in a few hours lol.
Phat.
1 week ago
he sales then say shit to make ppl sale to re buy .. rat
FinallyHappening
1 week ago
Why the fuck are you pumping when you dont even have a position. I know: You regret selling and got the fomo now
Phat.
1 week ago
selling his bag of NOs
n/a
1 week ago
car where are you ???
Phat.
1 week ago
lame scalp ..
Justifax
1 week ago
This is too stressful for me and I find I'm pumping too much. This is invasion without a doubt.
Phat.
1 week ago
Car sold 1,579 No at 35.1¢ ($554) Lmao
Car
1 week ago
quick quick buy more
Phat.
1 week ago
lol i see you choking on that NO bag ..
Car
1 week ago
only gamblers that NGMI hold till it resolves
Phat.
1 week ago
couple of days ... all good we can wait or it can be very obvious and resolve right away lets see
Foreseeable.
1 week ago
This will take for forever LOL :D
Phat.
1 week ago
change the DP to a rat
Car
1 week ago
quick quick buy more
Phat.
1 week ago
who's holding till its resolved ?
Phat.
1 week ago
quick sale more haha you know we can see right ?
Car
1 week ago
quick quick buy more
Phat.
1 week ago
nah waiting for bibi meeting.
BobMenendez
1 week ago
US State briefing over, wonder if they were waiting for that to end
Phat.
1 week ago
oh wait you selling like a bitch haha
Car
1 week ago
lol thanks for the donos guys
Phat.
1 week ago
dare you to hold till resolve
Car
1 week ago
lol thanks for the donos guys
Phat.
1 week ago
Pre firing to move in. Its happening
Phat.
1 week ago
then he goes to trash the other market .. what a little rat
Car
1 week ago
I see alot of people wondering why this is up so much with just a few hours left. That is because it already happened. Be cautious buying NO. You have a higher chance of succeeding in the "invade" market.
Phat.
1 week ago
you keep selling out you little scalper
Justifax
1 week ago
You know you've won when car starts scamming the dispute. That said I sold as I dunno if idf will confirm they've invaded.
Phat.
1 week ago
hahaha
Car
1 week ago
I dont know why you guys are buying this. IDF has announced BEFORE the invasion that the intention is to have a limited invasion
Phat.
1 week ago
done deal
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1840809757759979827
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1840809757759979827
Phat.
1 week ago
if the tanks cross its gg
MaccabeanSoldier
1 week ago
OMFG can someone please clarify what the rules mean?
Phat.
1 week ago
you will know in couple of hours
Car
1 week ago
Why is this even going up lmfao
Phat.
1 week ago
End of business day, holiday coming up
Andy-Beshear
1 week ago
Why must it be today, does Israel have to meet the end-of-fiscal year?
Phat.
1 week ago
it has to be today. its crazy to me this still in question
n/a
1 week ago
Paperhanded to the other side. Seems like it's either today or never
Phat.
1 week ago
L take
OhNos
1 week ago
My Guess is Israel will wait for the newly deployed F-15E, F-16, A-10 and F-22 fighter planes to arrive in the Middle East to help protect US troops before invading, My reasoning for taking NO on this market probably the Only US request Israel will listen too lol , remember they need our weapons if they plan to go to war.
Phat.
1 week ago
He said nothing useful so far.
n/a
1 week ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I2QdCTlsE2M State Department Press Briefing about to begin
Phat.
1 week ago
pay usssssssss
n/a
1 week ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840804707154981224
Phat.
1 week ago
The art of saying nothing
HaterzLoserz
1 week ago
"im comfortable with them stopping" might be the weakest shit ever uttered by a US president lol
Phat.
1 week ago
you folded lol
0x2249D9878161e823e957366beb735bA6333445f1-1720929847242
1 week ago
are we invading or nah
Phat.
1 week ago
if you know history you would know they wont go in and out. they need that buffer zone zone controlled
Foreseeable.
1 week ago
I will go for another 2k with my winnings from the enter market if someone explains to me it does lol :D
Phat.
1 week ago
are we shaking on it ? Im holding to the end anyway
HaterzLoserz
1 week ago
@fatman1 at this stage yes
Phat.
1 week ago
They will not go in and out, they go in establish buffer zone that's limited
Foreseeable.
1 week ago
Even the "enters" market is only at 87% lol! https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727715461629
Phat.
1 week ago
are you going till the market resolve ? asking for a friend
HaterzLoserz
1 week ago
Uma Thurman is my fairy godmother, she has all kinds of magical powers and a functional crystal ball that works specifically on Jewish peoples intentions.
Phat.
1 week ago
yes
0x2249D9878161e823e957366beb735bA6333445f1-1720929847242
1 week ago
are we invading or nah
Phat.
1 week ago
sell your 100 No and go buy a sandwich , support the local deli
Nobody3
1 week ago
Breaking News: CNN: Israel has invaded --- the local Jewish Deli
Phat.
1 week ago
They just wafting for Bibi to finish the meeting. its 100% happening today
Justifax
1 week ago
https://x.com/ABC/status/1840792558265327937
Phat.
1 week ago
They will enter border villages to establish buffer zone .. limited to the north.
FamilyCapital
1 week ago
YES holder, which next few hours gonna happen? could you be more specific. TY.
Phat.
1 week ago
CBS confirms within hours
Phat.
1 week ago
Iran straight up said they will not partake , Brother they sold them
Foreseeable.
1 week ago
You know what will also happen in this escalation within the next 24hs for much more than 3%? Iran hits Israel, as it has in the past as retalliation. https://polymarket.com/event/iran-military-response-before-october/iran-military-response-before-october?tid=1727711343710
Phat.
1 week ago
lol its 12 hours more
FinallyHappening
1 week ago
20 minutes till deadlune
Phat.
1 week ago
Last minute of what ? this market ? lol
Greta-Tunafish
1 week ago
Bibi is such a drama queen, he wants to keep the tension up until the last minute
Phat.
1 week ago
Yes lets believe a blogger
kekkonen
1 week ago
Israeli milbloggers now say the invasion will begin within 72 hours. This market closed in 13. GL all.
Phat.
1 week ago
Germany Evacuating Embassy and asked citizens to leave immediately
Phat.
1 week ago
Exactly RIP NO holders .. cuz indeed looks like today
n/a
1 week ago
not gonna happen today, rip NO holders
Phat.
1 week ago
why rushing ,, its happening with no dispute
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
I guess it depends on your definition of "commences a military offensive". If you ask me, destroying communications, bombing central HQ, killing the top 20 leaders of Hezbollah, seizing the airport to prevent arms imports from Iran, etc., qualifies as a RESOUNDING YES!!! But, that's just me. lol
Phat.
1 week ago
not for this market
chamotherat
1 week ago
According to Maro Nawfal, "Israel carried out special raids inside Lebanese territory near the border, per U.S. officials." Does that count?
Phat.
1 week ago
Start flipping those NOs to Yes before its too late
Phat.
1 week ago
https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1840762079059357941
Phat.
1 week ago
"could start imminently" its going down within hours
Phat.
1 week ago
its fucken on boys
sd2333
1 week ago
Israel is planning a limited ground operation in Lebanon that could start imminently, Israel has told Washington, a U.S. official said. Israel’s planned campaign would be smaller than its last war against Hezbollah in 2006 and would focus on clearing out militant infrastructure along the border to remove the threat to Israeli border communities, the official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss private talks between the two governments. On Monday, Israeli forces carried out limited raids in Lebanon, according to an Israeli familiar with the operation, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive matter. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/
Phat.
1 week ago
exactly late night Isreal time we will get the real juice, Take a nap
1 week ago
I thought this was on Israel Time but's on ET Time. Extra 7 hours for them to move the tanks. I am relaxed now.
Phat.
1 week ago
UK started evacuating.
Phat.
1 week ago
brah
n/a
1 week ago
https://x.com/SuppressedNws/status/1840654077476122675
Phat.
1 week ago
Super underpriced here if you think they will go in . They wont go in to say hi and cross back , They mean business and they will push in to control
Phat.
1 week ago
Big holidays coming up. if anything it would be today. lets see
kekkonen
1 week ago
i believe that an invasion will come. just not today.
Phat.
1 week ago
They go in the dark, Tonight is very possible . This market should be 30/70 by now but lets see
kekkonen
1 week ago
yes but they're not rolling today
Phat.
1 week ago
Can I panic ?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
You have 300 shares bro, relax.
Phat.
1 week ago
Its all about when at this point
LyinCamela
1 week ago
🇮🇱🇱🇧Israeli Defense Minister Galant in a conversation with armored fighters on the northern border: "The elimination of Nasrallah is an important step, but it is not the end - to return the residents of the north we will use all our capabilities, including you." ✍️Galant's words on the northern border with the armored fighters of the 188th Brigade are another clear signal - Israel is on the way to a ground invasion in southern Lebanon
Phat.
1 week ago
Stay safe .. But yeah its coming
Tamsn
1 week ago
Agreed, im in Lebanon and local news reporting offensive activities already
Phat.
1 week ago
Real talk, Its just about When at this point .. next 24 hours very possible
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Bibi called, he said pack your bags extra heavy bc we're taking a trip to lebanon
Phat.
1 week ago
Aint selling less than 0.95
n/a
1 week ago
nobody is buying your shares man
Phat.
1 week ago
From the frontlines https://x.com/EdyCohen/status/1840325895812173840
Phat.
1 week ago
The situation is dynamic at the border, one Rocket can push the IDF to cross over for a buffer zone.
Justifax
1 week ago
For just the scammers: "If the IDF does decide to invade, the current initial plan would be a limited invasion in southern Lebanon or in parts of southern Lebanon."
Phat.
1 week ago
Stop yapping you sold all your shares like a bitch.
Justifax
1 week ago
For just the scammers: "If the IDF does decide to invade, the current initial plan would be a limited invasion in southern Lebanon or in parts of southern Lebanon."
Phat.
1 week ago
No one is reading all of that, but happy for you. or sorry for your loss
n/a
1 week ago
Israel cannot state they’re entering to establish control for obvious diplomatic reasons, and it is highly unlikely Lebanon would declare minor border incursions as Israel “invading to establish control” (acknowledging this would lead to further political and economic instability). Even if a “consensus of credible reporting” was published to contradict these governments, it wouldn’t matter due to the weighting of the resolution sources. Keep in mind this is the best case for “YES”. Israeli troops have a day and a half to conduct a convincing offensive for there to be any chance at all. There’s less than 36 hours until a “NO” resolution can and will be proposed, the best case scenario then will be a “YES” dispute after the fact. Only problem is that the YES disputers will be on the back foot and have to argue a technicially in the wording to UMA, and we’ve all seen countless times that markets don’t resolve on technicalities. (2/2)
Phat.
1 week ago
"intended" is the minute they cross to capture, They could fail and still count.
FamilyCapital
1 week ago
google the meaning of the control in military perspective. Or ask chat GPT.
Phat.
1 week ago
Well this would count 'intended' To establish
MisTKy
1 week ago
Also maybe they will act like Gaza, were they will do a couple of days small incursions, special ops and after enter with troops to establish control so be careful
Phat.
1 week ago
This was an example didnt say thats whats going to happen obviously I think they will invade based on my trade broski
Foreseeable.
1 week ago
If Israel goes over the border, they are obviously going for control. This spread to the other market ("enters" @ 30%) makes zero sense. https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727594306830