Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 hour ago

Now I'm seeing 1.8, I kept refreshing, but it didn't show at first.

0

Tonkatime

2 hours ago

Pew pew pew

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 hour ago

Thanks, it's still 2.0 though or is there some other shoe to drop?

0

Tonkatime

2 hours ago

Pew pew pew

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 hour ago

What just happened? Which poll dropped?

0

Tonkatime

2 hours ago

Pew pew pew

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?

n/a

17 hours ago

It's not an average, bro

0

schottchris

6 days ago

i expect 5-6 polls this week with an average of 49-49. will that be enough to knock this average down 2%? hopefully it pushed some of those harris +6from 2 weeks ago

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

19 hours ago

also, if you look at the sentence, the phrase "directly" depicting is not modifying "video." It is modifying "sexual acts."

0

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix

1 day ago

Rules are specific there needs to be visible genitlia, any outlet that gets a hand on a tape would censor it.

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

19 hours ago

If it's blurred out, that obviously means the video depicts it. Otherwise, why would it be blurred out?

0

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix

1 day ago

Rules are specific there needs to be visible genitlia, any outlet that gets a hand on a tape would censor it.

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

19 hours ago

Yes, the video depicts them even if it's blurred out. How are you reading they can't be blurred?

0

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix

1 day ago

Rules are specific there needs to be visible genitlia, any outlet that gets a hand on a tape would censor it.

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 day ago

it says "directly depicting." If it's censored the video was obviously depicting it.

0

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix

1 day ago

Rules are specific there needs to be visible genitlia, any outlet that gets a hand on a tape would censor it.

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 day ago

Show me where on the rules it says that.

0

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix

1 day ago

Rules are specific there needs to be visible genitlia, any outlet that gets a hand on a tape would censor it.

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 day ago

Ask Jeffrey Epstein

0

UpriverRealist

1 week ago

Why would a mail prostitute release it publicly as opposed to ransom it to every wealthy person in it who doesn't want it exposed?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 day ago

That must be rough; you had the special insight how to get rich, but don't have the balls to make a bet, what a tragedy.

0

andrewmarch

1 week ago

theres allot of dumb money in polymarket sense lib tards discovered it, I see great opportunities to make money

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 day ago

How is this relevant? Do a bunch of degenerate gamblers (myself included) have special collective insight? How many electoral votes can Trump win from here?

0

thomas2006

2 days ago

Trump is up 8 on Poly, Harris is sliding.

Will Elon do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl before election?

n/a

2 days ago

Elon is Trump's Hawk Tuak Girl.

7

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

2 days ago

What makes you so sure it will be easy? There might be hundreds or thousands of tapes.

0

DrAss

2 days ago

Very easy money for no at these odds

Texas Senate Election Winner

n/a

2 days ago

Senate seats are every six years, bro

0

Tac1776

5 days ago

If the seat didnt flip in 2020 and 2022 why would it flip now

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 days ago

How come?

0

thomas2006

2 days ago

Trump is up 8 on Poly, Harris is sliding.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 days ago

Actually Siena was released on the 19th last month. Have we heard anything indicating it might be released by the 11th?

0

n/a

3 days ago

True, that's because there is a Siena College (usually bad for Harris) and a bad Rasmussen for sure in the pipe.

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

3 days ago

They never answer me when I ask why they are certain it won't release. One guy did actually, but he kept making the strawman argument of an A lister would kill to keep it quiet. It doesn't need to be an A lister.

0

Mountainman

1 week ago

100% chance a tape is released, only question is if it drops in time.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

If he'd been buying tokens instead of brass balled 30k purchases, he'd be rich. Not that Im to judge, just sayin

0

n/a

3 days ago

Chad, buy tokens not shares if you want to win this

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Is the dude buying tokens?

0

n/a

3 days ago

CHAD is a chance for all YES holders to turn it around

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

This is crazier than RCP

0

Justifax

3 days ago

It is what it is. The result shouldn't be surprising. The DVM is a flawed mechanism and the second biggest topholder on NO dislikes it as much as everyone else. We should all advocate for Polymarket to drop UMA at the earliest time possible.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

agree

1

Justifax

3 days ago

It is what it is. The result shouldn't be surprising. The DVM is a flawed mechanism and the second biggest topholder on NO dislikes it as much as everyone else. We should all advocate for Polymarket to drop UMA at the earliest time possible.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Chad, buy tokens not shares if you want to win this

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

tokens or shares?

0

RaidsAreNotInvasions

3 days ago

CHAD IS BUYING, IT'S NOT OVER

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

How much is a ton?

0

n/a

3 days ago

Whooaa CHA boy just bought a ton of YES

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

What's the rumor

0

UMAisGarbage

3 days ago

Buy the rumor

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Even though I traded no, I don't think the process was fair. I feel more morally uneasy about this trade than my diddy sex tape position.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Come on guys, we don't need to all call him out

1

Nancy.Pelosi

3 days ago

RIP chad

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

How long does it take for the returns to come in?

0

Justifax

3 days ago

Gas prices are kinda lowest right now, so in theory we should be seeing some reveals. But they remain low for the next few hours

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

https://polymarket.com/profile/0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1?tab=activity

0

n/a

3 days ago

I did. Show me what I'm misisng. Last two days almost all buys:

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

@Mg95, sure was, and I think in terms of facts yes is right, but that doesn't matter, the UMA count matters. Losing 75-25, if I see new facts, I change, what do you do?

0

TheGoober

3 days ago

Chad is selling and buying Yes to profit off the uncertainty. He still has most of his Yes shares.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

@gauthhttps://polymarket.com/profile/0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1?tab=activity

0

n/a

3 days ago

Chad is selling!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

@werty1 Show me where in the last two days I'm lying

0

n/a

3 days ago

Chad is selling!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

I did. Show me what I'm misisng. Last two days almost all buys:

0

Werty1

3 days ago

Ok do not believe, but look at chads activity tab, he has used the sell action. Not saying that he will sell his position again, but you should check his profile after a big move in the order book.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Finding a sell in the last few days is like finding Waldo. It may be in there, but I'm tired of squinting:

0

TheGoober

3 days ago

Chad is selling and buying Yes to profit off the uncertainty. He still has most of his Yes shares.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Yeah but when's hte last time he has

0

n/a

3 days ago

Chad is selling!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Chad sold 3000 yes at 46.8

1

n/a

3 days ago

Chad is selling!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Look at "activity" 10 minutes ago

0

Gauth

3 days ago

Nop

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Yes he is

0

Gauth

3 days ago

Nop

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Chad is selling!

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Should we infer that is JustKen and Chad or JustKen and maybe UMAmustbe

0

Justifax

3 days ago

Wallet count, 31 Y 19 N. 65% N 35% Y Again, just *two* wallets count for ~42% of all the ~17.6M tokens committed in this vote.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Oh duh got it. I was using the oracle link, thanks!

0

Justifax

3 days ago

Reinis_FRP, UMA revealed 72K for P2. He was P2 last vote as well. There are no named UMA voters that have gone p1 yet, but the dune query might not capture them.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

I know the link, but how do I find it on there

0

Justifax

3 days ago

Reinis_FRP, UMA revealed 72K for P2. He was P2 last vote as well. There are no named UMA voters that have gone p1 yet, but the dune query might not capture them.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

What % of votes are in

0

Justifax

3 days ago

Reinis_FRP, UMA revealed 72K for P2. He was P2 last vote as well. There are no named UMA voters that have gone p1 yet, but the dune query might not capture them.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

meaning?

0

Cedarville

3 days ago

your name is a big clue on one of them

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Thanks! What % of the vote is in

0

Cedarville

3 days ago

Another 80k Yes votes rolling in... 65/35 and dropping for No's... where will you be this side of tomorrow?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

What's that mean?

0

Darkpsico

3 days ago

Chad is CR7

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Can someone show a Noob how to vote and how to see the vote totals. Yes, I have the linik but have no idea what to do

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

I have the link, but how do I see it from the link?

0

Justifax

3 days ago

Wallet count is now 29 YES and 15 NO.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

No, I'm asking how many tokens he bought, not how many shares.

0

Gauth

3 days ago

And Chad is back

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Thanks, how do you see the total votes from the link?

0

n/a

3 days ago

Is he buying a lot of tokens though?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Is he buying a lot of tokens though?

0

Gauth

3 days ago

And Chad is back

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Is Chad buying tokens with the same aggressiveness that he is buying shares?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Your mom has twice the liquidity and better odds.

1

SylvesterStallone

3 days ago

Mhhh, the exact same bet has twice аs much liquidity and has different odds, I'm not sure but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TreeAphaNews/status/1842579398282871238.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

What's the vote count? I went to the link, but couldn't figure out how to get t the count

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

What's the vote count?

0

n/a

4 days ago

We dont need luck just FACTS !

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

On here or UMA?

0

HsB34sgg

4 days ago

Guys!!! The Yes is going down. Stop scamming!!!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

Are they winning?

0

Gauth

4 days ago

Does anyone know what happens if the early request vote wins again? Do we start again with a new proposal?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

How do we track the voting? I am wanting to buy shares but i want to see the count first. I know the link but how to find the vote count from there?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

How do you see the vote count once you are here: https://oracle.uma.xyz/

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

How do you get to the part where it shows the current vote count and how many voted. I went here: https://oracle.uma.xyz/

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Is he also buying tokens, enough to deter the other side?

0

RizzMuffin

5 days ago

Our lord savior Chad keeps buying. We shall follow

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

You are a great soldier and leader. You were literally an inspiration.

0

RememberAmalek

5 days ago

what abt me man i'm the foot soldier in all of this chad is just getting the rake

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

I'm worried, couldn't a whale still buy enough tokens to force a No?

0

Shayku

5 days ago

I'd be curious to hear the No case here. The yes case writes itself. I guess the No case wants to isolate the raids from the invasion? Seems like a heavy lift.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Leads for November or for September?

0

n/a

5 days ago

YES vote currently leads, but is not enough for a resolution.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

5 days ago

He seems to be pretty smart about risk management. He didn't have that much of his portfolio writing on this. I think it's best if some of the posters refrain from insulting him. The only reason he'd have to worry about this is if it got personal. I don't remember his cost basis, but 53k shares, while huge to someone like me, is a drop in the bucket I'm thinking

0

-DFK-

5 days ago

based on his contribution to the UMA discussion, I'd say he is pretty laconic. "I have still not seen an invading force" did he deign enlighten us in his rock solid 3 lines argumentation.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

That's good advice.

0

HaterzLoserz

5 days ago

Reason is telling me to stay out, emotions are telling me to buy yes for the lulz, better judgement has prevailed for now, but this may change at any moment. Dont get too excited though, and dont risk what you cant afford to lose (chad)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Here's to your health; that's smart

0

-DFK-

5 days ago

this market is seriously a roller coaster. I'm so glad I'm on the sidelines. My health first.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

5 days ago

I'm stil newer to this process, what's the vote count?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

You don't like the simulation we are living in?

2

Darkpsico

5 days ago

So the market will never end ?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

We'll do our best, sir.

3

FamilyCapital

5 days ago

Like I said before, I expect from them to reach 60c for YES, tonight. Don't disappoint me.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

He has 2 million tokens?

0

Cedarville

6 days ago

He did, he’s already got 2m shares

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Does it look like they will succeed?

0

n/a

5 days ago

In November, Uma Whale attempted to make it P4. This is why I say current uma holders are dishonest.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

of UMA or these shares?

0

Cedarville

6 days ago

He did, he’s already got 2m shares

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Thank you

1

xvzxcvasdfadsfqqwer

6 days ago

chad stop buying yes here and buy UMA

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

are we in trouble?

0

Decap

6 days ago

Chad pls come to discord

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

6 days ago

Maybe his wife won't let him.

1

Frozencomet

6 days ago

as they say in my homeland, put up or shut up

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

6 days ago

Wow, how'd they manage that

0

n/a

6 days ago

They figured out a way to drop the atlas intel poll without shifting the average. I’m actually impressed.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Thomas Jefferson-- during his gamer years...

1

50-Pence

6 days ago

The Tree of Liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of Noobs.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

I can live with that, given my current cost basis.

1

50-Pence

6 days ago

As Honorary Chairman of the 50/50 Committee, i hereby declare this market 50/50

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

@njjjbobtheVIII, let's avoid ad hominem attacks on people, agree with @Art Vandalay.

0

🤺JustKen

6 days ago

It's really embarrassing that someone would exclude the title, and exclude the key piece of information. As you can see, when ChatGPT is given the title and the key piece of information, it immediately switches to No: https://chatgpt.com/share/66ff7c2a-8450-8012-95d6-abd707566ead

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

6 days ago

Lol sounds fun but could be entrapment

0

Car

2 weeks ago

"or filmed at a property he owns" Wtf is this lmao

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

6 days ago

Plus you get to have sex...

1

PolyRig-Fried

1 week ago

true, but for $32,034 Vol. ?

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

6 days ago

@upriverrealist You're forgetting that probably most of his "freak offs" weren't with A list celebs but with sex workers, gorupies, etc. He didn't have 1,000 bottles of baby oil just for Jennifer Lopez and company. This was something he did on a compulsive basis with who was available. In this case, it could be something far more legal than the R Kelly tape. It could even be sex between consenting adults who aren't famous (other than Diddy). What's to stop that tape from getting out? You're conflating some of his guests as being all of his guests.

0

n/a

1 week ago

How could it not? Ever heard of the R Kelly tape?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

You are doing the Lord's work!

0

RememberAmalek

6 days ago

Already done, go ahead :)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

have they shown the vote count? Sorry, I'm newer to this.

0

BibiNetanyahu

6 days ago

tbf this market should be even. until the result is shown.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

What's the count?

0

BibiNetanyahu

6 days ago

tbf this market should be even. until the result is shown.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

You are here to spread FUD

0

NUTZILLA

6 days ago

takes time to update

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

No it does not, when the window starts it is

0

NUTZILLA

6 days ago

takes time to update

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

This is a lie

0

Otter-KING

6 days ago

Looks like someone proposed no

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Look at RememberAmalek's account. She is telling you the truth. Then look at "Nutzilla" you chooe who you want to believe

1

RememberAmalek

6 days ago

Nobody dispute yet, the more time we give November to resolve the better it is for us!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

This is misinformation. Your account only has this trade and you know full well they post it on erhe

1

NUTZILLA

6 days ago

you have 1.5h to dispute "No"

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

If it was submitted, it would be o here

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Show me where, screenshot

0

NUTZILLA

6 days ago

"No" has being proposed. No disputes so far

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

What's the count

0

abdendriel

6 days ago

Some Too Early voters now have the info needed to vote yes. No is unchanged

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Did I walk through some time portal and end up in 1938? What's with all the all the Jew bashing?

2

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

6 days ago

He asks a good quesiton, why don't you own the libs and make a bunch of money. That way, we can't fund use it to fund ANTIFA or turn your kids trans.

2

andrewmarch

1 week ago

theres allot of dumb money in polymarket sense lib tards discovered it, I see great opportunities to make money

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

6 days ago

I agree. The Supreme Court says you can make them have a debate (it'll be past the deadline though)

0

io9000

1 week ago

You should be president

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

6 days ago

You okay, bro?

1

io9000

1 week ago

Please stop

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

n/a

6 days ago

I thought he might have said it after the debate. Maybe he's retiring Tampon Tim.

0

midastouch

1 week ago

No Tampon Tim…. Ffs

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

n/a

1 week ago

Whenever I see someone with those shares for half a second my brain thinks you have 2.8 million or 2.8 billion shars lol.

0

rozi

1 week ago

Border x23, Million x14. I have no more cash, so I give you the numbers ;)

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

n/a

1 week ago

I just came in to look (I sat this one out).He said almost everything. How l'ong was the speech?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

It's possible JustKen might be wanting to hedge with some cheap yes shares.

0

BibiNetanyahu

1 week ago

clear manipulation by "NO" Holders, the fact that "JustKen" is buying YES shares proves my point.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

Besides Rasmussen, what other polls do you think we might get before the deadline, if any?

0

mombil

1 week ago

Another bias: This time RCP takes the "Combined Presidential Vote " for Emerson (only +1 not +2) last time they took the "Select choice" poll which had her up 2 instead of 3 with the combined presidential vote they are using this time, it doesnt get any more biased than this

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

I would say it increases the odds. Plus, it's well-know Iran is working on a nuke and is probably getting close, according to some sources. They might figure it's better to thrown down now rather than later. Also, Iran hasn't really displayed a significant amount of "shock and awe" to deter the Israelis, IMO.

0

h00r11z11n2003

1 week ago

Wondering whether Iranian attack on Israel just now increases or decreases odds of full invasion. If anything, I'd argue increases: Israel has a greater argument for establishing its own defense by force and can argue it would expect Hezbollah attacks in event of a war with Iran which now seems likely. Yesers, don't give up hope. What we're seeing right now from Israel is not the full invasion but shaping operations for a larger movement that will involve more troops and mechanized forces. And yes, they will have to establish temporary control over parts of Southern Lebanon to accomplish this. Remember, this isn't the invasion in September market. Don't count your chickens, but don't think we have egg on our face either. It's going to be a long month.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

@abdendriel - As a fellow yes holder, I think that's taking "major offensive" out of context. The condition isn't just a military offensive it has to be one "intended to establish control over part of Lebanese territory (paraphrasing a bit)." I think a good analogy for this could be the US bombing campaign that occured before troops were sent into liberate Kuwait. The round the clock bombing of Saddam's command and control facilities were not an invasion. That didn't happen until later on (I think it was weeks after) in a separate phase. That's what makes things more ambiguous than a lot of Yes holders realize.

0

🤺JustKen

1 week ago

This video shows a small raid. If you have video of a major offensive (or anything close to that) designed to control parts of Lebanon on September 30th, I think that would be very pertinent information to bring forward.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

I apologize. I mistyped (flashback to an earlier week) if I said 1.0-1.4, I meant 1.5-1.9

0

mombil

1 week ago

depends on what polls RCP randomly leaves up and which get dropped after just 1 week...

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

I never understood that either. It's like that also with the electoral odds. Dems 155+ is significauly cheaper than 105+. Why?

0

n/a

1 week ago

How can 1-1.4 be cheaper than 0-0.9 lol ? To get to 0-0.9 you need to go through 1-1.4.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

But here's a challenge to anyone: name a Vice Presidential debate that significantly changed or altered the course of a Presidential campaign. I don't think anyone can. The biggest debate disaster was Bentsen vs Quayle in the '88 debates. It didn't stop Dukakis from losing in an electoral landslide even though Quayle never completely recovered from it.

0

genghisbrain

1 week ago

Harris over 2.5 would be higher than she's ever been. After Walz's disastrous performance, the hurricane crisis, and Iran-Israel escalating, I don't see how there's any chance she reaches these levels in a week. I'll sell at 99.9% No.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

I'm not saying it's priced in. I'm saying there's usually a lag time of at least a week before it shows up in the polls.

0

genghisbrain

1 week ago

Harris over 2.5 would be higher than she's ever been. After Walz's disastrous performance, the hurricane crisis, and Iran-Israel escalating, I don't see how there's any chance she reaches these levels in a week. I'll sell at 99.9% No.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

exactly, advantage to Vance, but nothing that's a game changer.

0

Caligulas.dog

1 week ago

You have a very low definition of "disaster". Polls basically showed them being tied.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

Oh yeah, learned that the hard way.

0

n/a

1 week ago

In this market you will quickly learn to never say never ;)

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

His buddy?

0

Nobody3

1 week ago

It's a forking Scam from JustScam and his buddy if this is NO.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KgtfEX2Pka0

0

n/a

1 week ago

Yeah, but it won't affect this week, and VP debates don't usually matter. Here's an oldie but goodie (one of the most famous debate moments when Dukakis's running mate, slammed Dan Quayle, but Bush still won):

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

Yeah, but it won't affect this week, and VP debates don't usually matter. Here's an oldie but goodie (one of the most famous debate moments when Dukakis's running mate, slammed Dan Quayle, but Bush still won):

0

n/a

1 week ago

JD winning this debate

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

I haven't checked Rasmussen today. I guess I'll do that in a bit. Guess you always have to budget for the fact that they want it to go closer to 1.5-1.9 vs the fact that the momentum is with Harris.

0

Randomchooser

1 week ago

Reuters and most likely Rasmussen updates will decide it. I expect a few points in Trump's facour that will result in 1.5/1.9 range, expecially if they won't drop any pollsters and do not add any new entries.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

So much harder now. I used to work on the assumption that they'd have enough shame to kick all polls off that started on the same day.

0

mombil

1 week ago

If they drop the Atlas Intel it will update to exactly 2.5 👀 But they may keep that poll forever

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

anyone know what's up?

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Control would be less proven by tactics and more by what happens after the attack. For example, Japan's raid on Pearl Harbor would not have qualified if they just bombed our base and headed home, as they did. However, when they occupied the Phillipines, Wake Island, etc. That was an invasion. Probably will have to see if they start garrisoning these towns, just a guess, I coudl be way off

0

abdendriel

1 week ago

Pearl Harbour was a military offensive. Before the planes entered US airspace, the offensive had been launched. Americans did not witness the launch from Japan.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

They'll build a little shrine to their little Atlas Shrugged poll

0

mombil

1 week ago

If they drop the Atlas Intel it will update to exactly 2.5 👀 But they may keep that poll forever

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

What are the factors you're expecting

0

Randomchooser

1 week ago

Reuters and most likely Rasmussen updates will decide it. I expect a few points in Trump's facour that will result in 1.5/1.9 range, expecially if they won't drop any pollsters and do not add any new entries.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Given the volatile situation, I don't see it as too much of a stretch. Iran's involvement can escalate things and give the Israeli's a pretext for even more aggressive action.

0

sleepyjoesleeper

1 week ago

The spread between this market and the November market is completely out of line. Fact: Israel entered Lebanon before Oct. Unclear: Intent to occupy any part of territory. The only way the November market can resolve Yes and this market resolves No is if it can be shown that their intent has changed, or Israel exit and reenter with new intentions, both of which are a stretch

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

That's why I asked :)

0

Mountainman

1 week ago

The whales decide everything. They can say Israel invaded Russia if they want to. It's mostly a scam, you just have to figure out how to be on the right side of it.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

n/a

1 week ago

Are there any better polls you'd recommend that are out or coming up?

0

LouisMarquis

1 week ago

Be aware that all 9 polls so far have been Osborn-sponsored (or Osborn adjacent). Just be aware.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

It's more complicated than that, as you said. This one is more about intent. If Israel seizes a town as part of a raid or search and destroy mission that's not considered the same as taking territory for the purposes of annexing it or brining it under Israel's suzerainty.

0

Mr. House

1 week ago

Can some one explain me this that I mation before about "I just don't get how is posible to be resolve as NO if another market is about Israeli forces entering libano with the same dead line and is resolved as YES"

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

I was just joking, but now I'll give a serious answer. In my opinion, and not everyone is honest enough to admit this. Both sides have some credible arguments. Obviously it's possible the Israelis do intend to establish control in part of Lebanon. On the other hand, it's possible they don't or, another scenario that could be a No: it's found that it didn't escalate until later. Also, there will likely be a dispute about the outcome, which, per UMA resolution, will be settled by voting via staked tokens. So why am I long? Because it's a 50-50 shot, and yes is offering us 8-1 odds. I can think of no better argument.

2

n/a

1 week ago

We have fun people like Hexphil. :)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

I don't get your meaning. How would there not have been contact wihen Napoleon invaded?

0

abdendriel

1 week ago

When a rocket is launched from one country to another, the launch time refers to the rocket starting the journey, even if it’s still within the origin country’s airspace.

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Say it ain't so, Oprah.

0

Mountainman

1 week ago

Tape being shopped around with another famous A Lister. https://x.com/theprovince/status/1841553239285616672

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

We have fun people like Hexphil. :)

1

PolyRig-Fried

1 week ago

The best argument to buy yes with a source?

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

n/a

1 week ago

Is there a defense industry plant that benefits from it there? Why Michigan?

0

By-The-River

1 week ago

Because the rally takes place in Michigan.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

We're a big tent.

0

coconutPilled

1 week ago

oh no the actual dumbest user on the site is on my side .. what did i overlook

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Sounds good, but how do you figure we can't get worse?

0

n/a

1 week ago

For real, at worst this should go to 50/50. People were buying as if the voting was resolving 90% NO.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Thanks

0

n/a

1 week ago

They can vote however they like on the next review.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

If someone is a whale, can they change their UMA vote? Sorry, newer to the process

0

What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

but the Friday thing makes me nervous

1

n/a

1 week ago

How do you see the case for and against? I keep going back to Osirak during the Iran-Iraq War when Israel unilaterally knocked out one of Saddam's reactors.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

Also VP debate losses are rarely decisive. The greatest VP debate victory was Dukakis's VP did this (spoiler alert: Bush still won):

0

genghisbrain

1 week ago

Harris over 2.5 would be higher than she's ever been. After Walz's disastrous performance, the hurricane crisis, and Iran-Israel escalating, I don't see how there's any chance she reaches these levels in a week. I'll sell at 99.9% No.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

I'm not so partisan as to say JD Vance didn't win, but I don't think it was a disaster.

1

genghisbrain

1 week ago

Harris over 2.5 would be higher than she's ever been. After Walz's disastrous performance, the hurricane crisis, and Iran-Israel escalating, I don't see how there's any chance she reaches these levels in a week. I'll sell at 99.9% No.

What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

How do you see the case for and against? I keep going back to Osirak during the Iran-Iraq War when Israel unilaterally knocked out one of Saddam's reactors.

1

ArtVandalay

1 week ago

This one is a head scratcher.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

on P4?

1

MyLossIsYourGain

1 week ago

concensus reached

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Dude, I'm on your side now

0

HsB34sgg

1 week ago

The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an INVASION! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Care to explain your reasoning?

0

0x7b23a5j3j1

1 week ago

Not even 1% chance, Happy to buy 10,000 @ .70 NO!

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

It's not opening for me.

0

n/a

1 week ago

https://x.com/mjtruthultra/status/1841636377282154855?s=46

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Yesterday's October, brah

0

HsB34sgg

1 week ago

The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an INVASION! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

That could happen. Hezbollah could retaliate or Iran could do something, so Israel will respond in kind by escalating.

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

So it's like, we're just going in for a few raids and then oops, now it's become an invasion, nobody could have known?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

It'll be our little secret.

0

HsB34sgg

1 week ago

Don't let the frontline Hezbollah troops know that I'm dead!!!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

win

0

n/a

1 week ago

Is that what it would take for yes to iwn

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Is that what it would take for yes to iwn

0

MyLossIsYourGain

1 week ago

chad should buy more since there is a possibility of next 56% all voting for P2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Wasn't he in no all along? Sorry, a bit new to this

0

jayminho

1 week ago

Ohhhh madder frolikz. @justken is in NO…. Ooooohhh noooo

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Can someone explain what's going on. I'm new to this process, sorry.

0

Kobafix

1 week ago

Shit I saw Chad going form +4k to -130k XDDDD

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Me too

0

GoogleHomeMini

1 week ago

Can you elaborate on whats happening? Bit out of the loop

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Why would they not be revealed (newer to this)?

0

Shayku

1 week ago

It's actually Early requ... 2.36% (16,046.42) Yes 55.20% (375,355.17) unknown/50... 42.44% (288,606.25) ... with still 96% of votes to be revealed

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

Which time zone is it showing on yours. I hovered over the beginning and it is 1:07 Eastern Time October 1

0

willo2

1 week ago

the chart literally does show trading before the deadline.

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/eigenlayer

0

n/a

1 week ago

If it traded before the deadline why does the chart not show trading until after? Because the aforementioned transactions were not public:

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

If it traded before the deadline why does the chart not show trading until after? Because the aforementioned transactions were not public:

2

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

@Fatman1 How would P4 affect the price action in the short-term?

0

n/a

1 week ago

UMA will most likely vote P4. There is no where near enough information yet to determine that IDF soldiers stepped foot on Lebanese soil. P4 will cause the 'Yes' holders to panic. This is going to be interesting.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Who's that?

0

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

1 week ago

fatduck bought 58,851 No at 34.9¢ ($20,512)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

What caused the sudden spike?

0

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/1236008538791477349/1236015032077389937

0

n/a

1 week ago

From the Friend.Tech UMA dispute on Discord, which dealt with the same issue:

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

From the Friend.Tech UMA dispute on Discord, which dealt with the same issue:

1

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

What?

0

qur1l

1 week ago

fuck

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

Yeah, exactly the "it" is some trial transactions that were neither annoounced nor open to the general public.

0

Chrome

1 week ago

but... but... its on the blockchain!

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

Do the rules say they have to announce it by September 30? Yes or No?

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

I'm on it, but it says I don't have permission to participate in the evidence-rationale discussion. How does one get permission?

0

n/a

1 week ago

Google UMA Discord

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

So for UMA, can a side just vote whatever they want and get their way regardless of the rules?

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

But wouldn't that favor the Yes side since they have more money committed to this? How's it bullish for us.

0

0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858

1 week ago

What are the odds this $UMA price spike in the past day is related to these markets. That would be hella bullish for NO right?

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

Do the rules say they have to announce it by September 30? Yes or No?

2

happyfriend

1 week ago

nuclear-grade cope coming from this guy

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

How is it cope? Why do you shit all over your position? You say that any time someone makes a valid point.

1

happyfriend

1 week ago

nuclear-grade cope coming from this guy

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Why's that? Sorry, I'm newer to this.

0

0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858

1 week ago

What are the odds this $UMA price spike in the past day is related to these markets. That would be hella bullish for NO right?

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

And how come whenever I or anyone else asks, we never get an answer? Can someone tell me something about htat

0

tony77

1 week ago

https://dashboard.tenderly.co/tx/mainnet/0x30aedb6aea00fb027c72be5f471c8e96915ff6b87bf295f2d9f1085142aba905?trace=0.1.7.0.0.2

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

Yes, the fact that they opened it up for transfers between certain parties is irrelevant to the rules as stated. Were these open to the public or to certain individuals?

1

tony77

1 week ago

disableTransferRestrictions called before midnight

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

How does one know if they are a libtard cuck or a lib cucktard? Asking for a friend...

2

andrewmarch

1 week ago

theres allot of dumb money in polymarket sense lib tards discovered it, I see great opportunities to make money

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

How did your friend do that?

0

0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48

1 week ago

my friend "TiceNits" turned $5 into a third of a million dollars on this website. You will never replicate his success if you burn the last of your very scant dollars in this market!

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Trump got him for less than that :)

0

BoeJiden420

1 week ago

Just happy i got vance at like 27 cents lol

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

If there is a definitive sign that Israel intends to establish de facto or de jure control over part of Lebanon, please show it to us.

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Just out of curiosity, how was the Russia-Ukraine market solved back then, if there was one? After all, there was never an invasion, it was just a special operation.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

@doglover69 Actually, no, the Russians said that, but it was obvious that a Russian victory would have involved A) Ukranian territory being annexed, B) Russia extending control over part of the Ukraine, such as the Donbass region.

0

n/a

1 week ago

There was the clear intention to control part of the Ukraine. Not all violent incursions are invasions.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Thank you!

0

1mperator17

1 week ago

didnt you learn in school not to use wikipedia as a source

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Why is Wikipedia being touted as a reputable source?

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

There was the clear intention to control part of the Ukraine. Not all violent incursions are invasions.

4

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Just out of curiosity, how was the Russia-Ukraine market solved back then, if there was one? After all, there was never an invasion, it was just a special operation.

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

I miss Kamala, she knows how to stay on message.

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Get to China

0

n/a

1 week ago

Cmon man get to the border rant

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

I don't know, my brain literally left my body and wrote me a letter saying, "Fuck you for making me listen to this,"

0

n/a

1 week ago

did million hit?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

I'm so done betting on Trump speeches. They're so erratic and unpredictable

3

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

It's a shame you couldn't be here today, President Trump.

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Can we talk about trade? Like China...

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

I never have called Trump boring, but I am bored. I'm usually outraged, annoyed, yet mildly amused.

6

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

LOL

1

n/a

1 week ago

the edibles are hittin hard

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

They should approve this as an over-the-counter sleep aid. I might literally use this if I can't sleep.

0

n/a

1 week ago

Dawg I'm falling asleep to this shit

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

True, but I can't sell sometimes when I want

0

n/a

1 week ago

Website is glitching don’t worry it’s there

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Wasn't this speech supposed to be about the "inflation and agriculture"?

1

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

What's worse is it isn't letting me sell when I want because it doesn't show me as having them

0

ElDorado

1 week ago

bought TRANS but it does not show in my position only in history. WTF

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

I'm having that problem with several of my trades.

0

ElDorado

1 week ago

bought TRANS but it does not show in my position only in history. WTF

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

This is the dullest speech I've ever heard him give. This is like ASMR.

4

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Lol, let me know if you figure it out

1

TheGoober

1 week ago

what is bro talking about?? 😭

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

I arrived late, has he said China, and if so, how many times?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Oh wow, no way!

0

n/a

1 week ago

LMAO @HsB34sgg got scared and sold everything

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

JustKen is on our side, last I checked.

0

NUTZILLA

1 week ago

he lost so many times you simps won't believe

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

It's not an accident that there are two different bets: 1. Israel ENTERS Lebanon by the end of September. 2. Ours

0

0xf555BBccF9549fA2Fb513140744dFBE0f057b2D5-1720199302797

1 week ago

Yes, you lost your mind. Official statement from IDF that they entered 3 villages in Lebanon. Meiss El Jabal, Kfarkela and Ayt Al Shaab.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

No, that's not what the rules say. Not all shooting and ground combat is a invasion. There's a difference between an invasion and a raid.

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Just to be clear, and so there's no flip afterward, if there are Israeli troops in Lebanon right now, then this market is a yes, right Ken? Not that you're looking for another narrative change later

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Also, they have a guy named Chad on their side, so there's that.

0

LyinCamela

1 week ago

Those are not official sources. Peepeepoopoo420 in chat said they invaded and he's more trustworthy

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

As soon as I finish with your mom

0

Forklifter

1 week ago

just put the fries in the bag bro

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Why would someone dump then pump after?

0

HsB34sgg

1 week ago

, DUDE, I made $1,000 bucks today calling the invasion WAY in advance. I would have made way more if I didn't place 2/3 of my stack in the November market. Anyway, I hedged. Whatever. Good luck dumping 'n pumping. lol What a way to live a life. Wow!

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

https://bitcoinworld.co.in/polymarket-yes-bettors-to-lose-on-eigen-airdrop/

0

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

Why are you yes now?

0

BlueSky123

1 week ago

First transfer was after midnight: https://etherscan.io/tx/0xec7fc31cb60731e753a322d05935ba275b474b1128888b412ea9460ff4c35c70

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

@Scout: It says, "Oops! An invalid Txn hash has been entered: 0x0c8d2d2bdc428144a83989257cf3f42827cbd83b52ec40076e11d24983

0

donny

1 week ago

it's NO for eigen. Congrats!!!

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

As of October 1, 2024, several crypto airdrops that were anticipated to occur by September 30 have seen significant developments. The Eigenlayer Foundation's EIGEN token unlock occurred at 9:00 p.m. Pacific Time on September 30, just one minute past the settlement deadline, resulting in losses for Polymarket bettors who wagered on the token unlocking before the deadline. Hamster Kombat's token, which was airdropped on September 26, has plummeted nearly 60% since its listing, with users expressing dissatisfaction over token allocations and community engagement declining sharply. Other projects, such as MemeFi, X Empire, and TapSwap, are gearing up for their airdrops in October, with specific eligibility criteria and token distribution plans in place. These airdrops are expected to attract significant attention and participation in the coming weeks.

0

n/a

1 week ago

Not sure if you noticed this. @Donny posted it:

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

Thanks, you have the link?

0

donny

1 week ago

it's NO for eigen. Congrats!!!

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

Not sure if this will help you at all, but here it its @Donny originally posted:

0

Axios

1 week ago

Hey guys, check this out. "On chain" transactions from 100 DAYS AGO. Why didn't this resolve earlier? Because it wasn't live for trading or swapping. Or unlocked. https://etherscan.io/txs?a=0xec53bf9167f50cdeb3ae105f56099aaab9061f83&p=2000

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

courtesy of @donny

0

n/a

1 week ago

As of October 1, 2024, several crypto airdrops that were anticipated to occur by September 30 have seen significant developments. The Eigenlayer Foundation's EIGEN token unlock occurred at 9:00 p.m. Pacific Time on September 30, just one minute past the settlement deadline, resulting in losses for Polymarket bettors who wagered on the token unlocking before the deadline. Hamster Kombat's token, which was airdropped on September 26, has plummeted nearly 60% since its listing, with users expressing dissatisfaction over token allocations and community engagement declining sharply. Other projects, such as MemeFi, X Empire, and TapSwap, are gearing up for their airdrops in October, with specific eligibility criteria and token distribution plans in place. These airdrops are expected to attract significant attention and participation in the coming weeks.

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

Not sure if you noticed this. @Donny posted it:

0

Apsalar

1 week ago

imagine betting against YatSen. shouldn't be me

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

That looks less dramatic than when America bombs a foreign country. In the late 90's America bombed Iraq all the time. It wasn't an invasion (until years lateR).

0

HsB34sgg

1 week ago

Oh WOWOW!!! Some interesting opening scenes here. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

He was asking a question. Also, you misspelled "allude." "Elude" means "to escape." as in, "How does one elude you in the comment section?"

6

HsB34sgg

1 week ago

You just eluded to market fixing! That's a criminal offence! Screenshot taken!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Can we get Israel to control your mouth?

4

HsB34sgg

1 week ago

It currently costs about $47,630.44 to get to 99cents YES, and $396,932.05 to get to 99cents NO. Time to study the facts fast and sell all NO, and buy all YES to save your money. If you are a NO holder, the verifiable facts are not on your side.

Airdrops by September 30?

n/a

1 week ago

I don't think so. He didn't say it in some recent speeches. Maybe if the speech were closer to there I'd bet differently

0

n/a

1 week ago

hey will trump say Helene tomorrow

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

This happened to me on another market

0

FamilyCapital

1 week ago

only me can not sell shares in this market?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

I found it, my gosh you are right. That's the first time I heard it though, but I sold my no position given that the VP debate is the same day, thanks.

0

MasterMindful

1 week ago

He said Tim Walz yesterday 5min into his rally, but again could or not happen , best of luck

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

As in which location?

0

MasterMindful

1 week ago

He said Tim Walz yesterday 5min into his rally, but again could or not happen , best of luck

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Which rally was that?

0

MasterMindful

1 week ago

He said Tim Walz yesterday 5min into his rally, but again could or not happen , best of luck

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

1 week ago

Heck with Trump and Harris; I can watch the debate you are having with yourself. I think this "you" is winning.

0

io9000

1 week ago

Anyone who doesnt think there will be another debate is mentally retarded

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

1 week ago

@Will143 judging by her career, I'd say she's pretty good at it

1

Chen1996

1 week ago

Just on Fox News: . @realDonaldTrump previews tomorrow's #VPdebate and cracks open the door on another possible presidential debate with @KamalaHarris .

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

1 week ago

Also, if Vance wins, Trump will feel even more insecure. Men like Trump don't like to look inferior to those under them.

0

Chen1996

1 week ago

Just on Fox News: . @realDonaldTrump previews tomorrow's #VPdebate and cracks open the door on another possible presidential debate with @KamalaHarris .

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

1 week ago

If Vance blows this, the door will swing wide open.

0

Chen1996

1 week ago

Just on Fox News: . @realDonaldTrump previews tomorrow's #VPdebate and cracks open the door on another possible presidential debate with @KamalaHarris .

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

1 week ago

Oh yes

0

Chen1996

1 week ago

Just on Fox News: . @realDonaldTrump previews tomorrow's #VPdebate and cracks open the door on another possible presidential debate with @KamalaHarris .

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

1 week ago

@io9000 Trump doesn't need to worry about you. He needs to worry about independents. You won't think he looks weak no matter what he does. Not everyone thinks like you; not everyone thinks like me.

0

io9000

1 week ago

He wont give vance the last wordt because he will be live commenting on the debate. What a genius move now he doesn’t have to care about another debate: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113227471530921481

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

At the risk of sounding inappropriate, the attorney is really hot.

0

n/a

1 week ago

https://www.the-sun.com/entertainment/12565342/high-profile-person-pornographic-video-diddy/

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

How could it not? Ever heard of the R Kelly tape?

2

FIP

1 week ago

Don't be fooled. How could such a video ever be released?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

Not sure I agree about how entertaining it is, but welcome back to you too!

1

Randomchooser

1 week ago

Welcome back to all the degens that love RCP heartbreaking polls! One of the funniest market ever, just one month left so it's time to have the greatest entertainment ever! GL everybody!

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

Wow, 1-1.4, hmm you're often right about where this is going. Mind if I ask what makes you think her lead will shrink next week?

0

mombil

1 week ago

depends on what polls RCP randomly leaves up and which get dropped after just 1 week...

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

n/a

1 week ago

Oh, sorry, I wasn't thinking of the name of it.

0

n/a

1 week ago

the hurricane

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

n/a

1 week ago

What's the context of Helene?

0

What will JD Vance say during the VP Debate?

n/a

1 week ago

Why is "Stolen Valor" so low?

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

I don't think Walz is that easy to anger.

0

n/a

1 week ago

Tough call. Vance has the charisma of a wet dish napkin, but he is well-spoken and good at pushing people's buttons. Walz is kinda the opposite. Charismatic, but Vance might be able to make him lose his temper while keeping a cool head. It'll be interesting for sure.

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

n/a

1 week ago

She's 3 minutes late. We wait way longer for Trump

0

cointuah

1 week ago

She speaking yet wtf

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Why not?

0

Master-bettor

2 weeks ago

Dear yes holders, please don't sneak in and film a sex tape at his mansion. thanks

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

That's why the R Kelly tape was never released because it showed him with an under... oh, wait a minute.

0

BlueSky123

1 week ago

This is quite a wild market, considering the primary resolution source would likely be horrendously illegal and immoral to own.

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Why is middle class so low?

0

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Well I hope no one interprets my Yes bet as an insinuation that at anything untoward was happening at Diddy's parties,,.

0

BlueSky123

1 week ago

This is quite a wild market, considering the primary resolution source would likely be horrendously illegal and immoral to own.

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Why the sudden drop?

0

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

It just will be less hot, I'm afraid...

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

what if there are no nut shots

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Explain

0

Eyebrows

2 weeks ago

Cursed market

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

I was watching a documentary the other night that said that men like him always love to record. That's not to say it will be released by November, but I'm quite sure they exist.

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Any diddy victims in chat? Did he record, should we buy YES?

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

1 week ago

still counts

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

what if there are no nut shots

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

I don't remember seeing Palestinian in the other markets the last week or so (I could be wrong on that). Any special reason it's in Wisconsin?

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Trump has a way of getting people to forget their self-interest. Farmers have historically been against tariffs, for example.

0

LucyCross

1 week ago

Speech is in farm country and farmers NEED illegals to stay afloat...

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

Don't do it bro, not worth the risk, take it from someone who's learned the hard way.

0

Yzreeg

1 week ago

If he says trans I'm transitioning

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

For which?

0

n/a

1 week ago

YES is collapsing

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

Why are you going all in? Maybe it's less likely he says it, but it's hardly a lock.

0

Yzreeg

1 week ago

If he says trans I'm transitioning

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

Singer is hot though

5

n/a

1 week ago

As far as national anthems go this is not a very good one

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

Whyis Elon Musk so high?

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 week ago

Nice to see you too, lol

1

n/a

1 week ago

Welcome back to the degens who vowed to never bet on RCP again

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Yeah, at town halls people ask about real issues, like inflation or jobs, and they don't worry about what trans people choose to do with their bodies.

2

n/a

1 week ago

Tomorrow it’s a town hall not a rally that trans line is a 100% one of the finishing lines when he ends the rally but in town halls it’s not certain people ask questions there are moderators so some time he says it some times not

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

n/a

1 week ago

or photoshopped

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

that can be removed during surgery.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

What difference would that make?

0

Volume

2 weeks ago

when we can bet with polymarket token?

Will Trump be Speaker by October 1?

n/a

2 weeks ago

If you can't trush Dinesh D'Souza, then who can you, oh nevermind lol

0

speed

3 weeks ago

i beware external links

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

But what's the date. We all have been watching this thing like a hawk. I'd like it if you were right, and there was some consistency to this. But some times they drop it after three weeks. The big question, or what we thought was the big question is, are they going to drop the Sept 3-5 polls. Then suddenly they drop everything up to 9/11, which was, at the time, 12-13 days ago. Yet, other times it's been over three weeks and they haven't dropped anything. These guys are as stable and predictable as my ex-gf.

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

they do seem to have a rule where they don't selectively drop polls, just up to some date.

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I was doing fine until the last 10 minutes he said it like 10 times in a row one of the last questions

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Its a town hall he says border less at some of them.

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I bet against border at a town hall event and I won't again.

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Its a town hall he says border less at some of them.

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Because it's a town hall, so he won't be precisely following his stump speech. It kind of depends on what people ask

2

n/a

2 weeks ago

Can someone explain why Trans is so low here? 🙈 he said it almost every time.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Realclearpolitics That's the site that has a poll average that this is based on

0

Luxury

2 weeks ago

what's rcp?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Real C*** Punters

0

Luxury

2 weeks ago

what's rcp?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

LOVE it

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Real Credibility Problems

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

You're forgetting these people are in the tank for Trump.

0

Ahilan

2 weeks ago

The confusing fact that ~28% of the money is on Harris losing popularity is making my bet free. They're really selling 1$ for 72 cents LOL

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

That they have the balls to use the phrase "Real Clear" in their name astounds me.

8

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Ikr, the fact that the media uses them is a joke.

2

JustinFromPI

2 weeks ago

Ok, this is unplayable and rcp should be investigated at this point

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

It's like every week they try to outho themselves. This is erratic even for them.

0

RobinhoodOO7

2 weeks ago

Wtf is happening

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I'm sure the fact that it said Kamala was up +4 had nothing to do with it...

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Why did they drop TIPP 9/13 when there are other polls ending on 9/13 in the results (and a 9/12)? lol fuck rcp.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

You knew RCP was going to drop that many polls today?

0

PrinceHal

2 weeks ago

literalyl can't believe the market didn't see that coming

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Exactly, I spent hours trying to look at the history of past drops to no avail.

0

mombil

2 weeks ago

I dont think anyone can see those completely random poll drops coming, there is no logic or system behind it...

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I think they are keeping the Emerson and Marist ones bc they are expecting the new ones out soon. If they are just replacing the old poll, maybe the numbers won't look as good for Harris. Just speculation, does that sound possible?

0

mombil

2 weeks ago

Harvard-Harris 9/4 - 9/5 in the trash now which makes it 2.3 - but they still keep the Emerson and NPR which are just as old

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

You have such a way with words...

2

illyriansheepdog

2 weeks ago

harris is sinking like a turd in a toilet and thats on jah

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

2 weeks ago

@mountainman, You read the OP and you are saying "Huh?" to me? Ok...

1

io9000

2 weeks ago

You guys are simply dumb gamblers. Weeks ago i said kash patel said trump would do one debate and no one cared to verify or check. Degenerates.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

2 weeks ago

But if he's continues to slip in the polls, what does he have to lose. He would have to do something to get back in the game.

0

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

The reason there won't be another debate is because neither party wants one. Kamala did as good as she could ever hope for, legit makes zero sense for her to do it again. Trump knows that it will be heavily biased just like last time and can only hurt him at this point.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Embedded in your statement is the assumption that any of us give two shits and a popsicle what Kash Patel says. That's like me saying, "You degenerates. I said Rachel Maddow predicted there would be two debates, and you c***punters couldn'dt even check."

3

io9000

2 weeks ago

You guys are simply dumb gamblers. Weeks ago i said kash patel said trump would do one debate and no one cared to verify or check. Degenerates.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Is it just me or do they not consistently have a time limit for when they drop old polls?

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

RCP really clenching onto those three old 9/3-9/4 polls lol

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 weeks ago

what % voted for Wick?

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

AKD 39.52, Premadasa 34.28, Wickremensignhe 17.41 . So, if Wick people picked Premadasa as second he can still win. This is closer than the price suggests here? Or am I misunderstanding something

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 weeks ago

I don't get it, why's Anura slipping in the betting odds?

0

Mike2025

2 weeks ago

No idea why some reports are sayinghe has 52% and others say he still has 40%. But opposition conceded already.

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 weeks ago

How does Sri Lanka settle it if it's less than 50%. Is there just a runoff or is it some sort of bargaining for a coalition gov't.

0

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Been there with Trump mention. Which did you bet on?

0

BlueSky123

2 weeks ago

Nah, just needed funds to play in the Trump mention market. Unfortunately lost about $300 there lol but I'm buying here again. Fill me at 2 cents if you want to be my counterparty.

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I mean, what's to panic over? what's the flaw he discovered?

0

coconutPilled

2 weeks ago

bluesky thought he was bonding and is now panic selling!!!

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Why, what happened?

0

coconutPilled

2 weeks ago

bluesky thought he was bonding and is now panic selling!!!

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Why's 1.5-1.9 crashing?

0

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Lol, you think you're the one who spotted something that we're missing. What you say has already been rejected by UMA. Read the rules more carefully and read the commments earlier. Someone already tried to declare based on that and UMA rejected them.

0

NateNate60

2 weeks ago

Everyone arguing over today's rating is missing the fact that 538's website already shows 17th September's rating as Favourable +0.1

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

awesome

0

UMAisGarbage

2 weeks ago

I didn't hear no bell

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Tell us more about that.

1

Drizzt

2 weeks ago

Enjoying you're 99c yes shares? Refill your popcorn, you'll love this next part. *50/50 resolution*

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

he could say that anytime, he USED to say it constantly

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Surprised not more people are buying no on “tampon” - easy money

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Yeah, trust me. I got burned on trans last time

0

Gregorius

3 weeks ago

he literally said "transgender" in every single rally, what would make him not say it this time?

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Are you fudding it bc you need to buy more tampon?

0

LegitBruh

3 weeks ago

Trump wont say tampon this rally, bet on it. first bet, shit is easy

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Good question

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Whyd you bet yes then?

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I picked the wrong decade to quit drinking. lol

6

n/a

2 weeks ago

"Let me tell you folks, the border, the BORDER is a disaster—I've said it many times, and we need to fix that BORDER, it's a joke. Comrade Kamala, she’s done nothing at the BORDER, and we all know China, CHINA is laughing at us because of it. Springfield knows, the great people of Springfield, they’re tired of this rigged system, they see what’s happening at the BORDER, just like China. Millions, millions of people pouring across our BORDER while we’re stuck with rigged elections, rigged moderators, and the Fake News. Bitcoin? It’s big, very big. MAGA, MAGA, MAGA—no one does it better. China can’t compete. Mark Robinson is doing incredible work—amazing guy, total patriot—and you won’t hear that from the Fake News, but you’ll hear about tampons and trans this and that. They talk about Nazis and Loomer, but they don’t care about our millions suffering at the BORDER. Haitians coming across, millions! And don’t let the Fake News tell you otherwise. Millions of people are affected, millions! Salt and Border, folks, we’re going to build it bigger, better, stronger, believe me—MAGA!"

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

@efren, don't I still have PTSD from it lol

0

Drizzt

2 weeks ago

How many times does this dude say "million"???

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

2 weeks ago

True, but if he didn't know he was losing, why would he be lashing out and, acting like someone who's losing?

0

Highboard

3 weeks ago

What people are not considering about why he can't agree to another debate, even if he postures that he will, is that the outcome of the last debate wasn't a fluke. He doesn't even have Biden's defense of being sick. Instead he just knows that he is outmatched, and every time he steps on a stage with her, he will only continue to be dismantled further and further in from of 10s of millions of poeple.

Will there be another debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

true take

0

Car

0 months ago

Kamala pushing for a 2nd debate and Trump refusing to debate her again will make Trump look like a big pussy. lets be real