#53
Rank
1090
Comments
220
Likes Received
1505
Likes Given
EdgyUsername
2 months ago
What just happened?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Where were you able to watch online (inferring since you said you watched part of it and fell asleep)? Let me know if you have the link
Predicto123
3 months ago
We might be cooked fam 💀
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
He's like the go to movie box office predictor for this group.
90210
3 months ago
Jatinder predicting 55m
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Thanks! What time does he usually do them?
TimeTraveler
3 months ago
Still no Jatinder estimate, should we start to worry?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Does he usually do them on Friday?
TimeTraveler
3 months ago
Still no Jatinder estimate, should we start to worry?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
It includes Indians. I believe it includes Pacific Islanders (Filipinos, for example) as well
Fred19999
3 months ago
Does this include Indians?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Nor did you even apologize or remove take responsibility for that.
SAMURAICAT
3 months ago
In case for accusation of manipulation, just for reference :)
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
The last one you posted was a parody account. This is just some random right-winger with 5,000 followers.
SAMURAICAT
3 months ago
In case for accusation of manipulation, just for reference :)
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Care to share your research with the other Yes's
Secret14thKey
3 months ago
I've done some more research and am ready to declare this market a RARE CERTIFIED TRIPLE LOCK 🔒🔒🔒
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
There's nowhere else saying she said that. It's misinformation.
SAMURAICAT
3 months ago
https://x.com/PGATUOR/status/1848859892276465900
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
For 20 million listeners, she'd better make time
NoiseC
3 months ago
Does she really have time to hear about elk meat and cold plunges?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
But it was all at once, theta is over time, right?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Why the sudden drop?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Why the sudden drop?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Black don't crack
XiJinPing
3 months ago
how is Trump decaying so much, but Kamala is still the same price lol?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Yes, Joseph Roganson continues to elude both candidates...
JohnathanDoe
3 months ago
Kamballa will not participate in a Joesph Roganson podcast interview.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I thought it has to be on Iranian soil. Am I wrong?
NYDenizen
3 months ago
US sending one of its most sophisticated anti-ballistic missile batteries + 100 soldiers to man it. Report is that will take about a week to get in place. Will Israel wait?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Fair enough, thanks for your answer.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm curious what the case for yes is. Trump has improved his standing with certain minority groups, such as blacks, latinos, and even Arab-Americans. However, has anyone seen evidence that he's made similar progress with Asian-Americans?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Thanks for this. Which polling firm did this?
TanOri
3 months ago
Party identification: • 42% identify as Democrats (down from 44% in 2020). • 22% identify as Republicans (down from 23% in 2020). • 31% identify as Independent (up from 25% in 2020).
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm curious what the case for yes is. Trump has improved his standing with certain minority groups, such as blacks, latinos, and even Arab-Americans. However, has anyone seen evidence that he's made similar progress with Asian-Americans?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Good point, I wonder what his contract with Spotfiy says about creative control and who has the final say so on guests.
Speculo
3 months ago
Lol people are finally realizing... It's not up to Joe to decide, it's up to Spotify. And guess what? They want both presidential candidates on their platform. She's wants too, because she is bleeding voters, smthing has to be done.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Just curious, why free money? It's looking like she's doing better with Asians than Biden did. Wondering if I'm missing something
i0000010
3 months ago
Free money on yes here
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@just.some.guy thank you
jingyu3
3 months ago
我需要购买USDT
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Good question, I think they'll both go, but I already have too much invested in this, that I don't want to increase my exposure in case Rogan decides its a no go.
Eyebrows
3 months ago
Why are hardly any of y'all on the Trump goes on Rogan market. Makes no sense
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm torn between no, hell no, and fuck no.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@badatthis yeah I had the same problem when I used to do it. Nothing's ever easy with those people.
Szty1
3 months ago
1.6
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
God Bless you for saying that
Frostbite
4 months ago
Mariners good
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Thanks @Rayse and @aenews2
Rayse
3 months ago
Fischer released another lack luster internal poll. A plus 7 partisan poll lead is embarrassing. We really need a non partisan poll though.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I mean, not to be a Debbie Downer, but +7 isn't horrific for an internal poll.
Rayse
3 months ago
Fischer released another lack luster internal poll. A plus 7 partisan poll lead is embarrassing. We really need a non partisan poll though.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I used to think you round after you calculate hte difference. But you round before because that's what Jesus woudl do or something]
badatthis
3 months ago
In my calculation the avg should be 1.538. I guess they are biased towards Kamala because inbmy math 1.538 doesn't round up to 1.6!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
You are rounding before you calculate the gap, right?
badatthis
3 months ago
In my calculation the avg should be 1.538. I guess they are biased towards Kamala because inbmy math 1.538 doesn't round up to 1.6!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Hmm, I was double checking my math a few times, but been at this nonstop
badatthis
3 months ago
In my calculation the avg should be 1.538. I guess they are biased towards Kamala because inbmy math 1.538 doesn't round up to 1.6!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
So we are sure (barring any shenanigans) that TIPP and Rasmussen's update completely cancel each other out?
Szty1
3 months ago
Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I mean the market seems undecided if it's going to be 1.5-1.9 or 1.0-1.4
Lman
3 months ago
What uncertainty?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I guess I''m remembering suddenly; there's still uncertainty that's why it's not at it's usual Friday morning 85/15 dynamic
Szty1
3 months ago
Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
您睡中国人吗?
PleaseBeStupid
3 months ago
You seem like pros. Thanks for sharing comments. Been following along. Appreciate it.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Yeah, our little discussion group is alot more positive than on somoe of the other political ones. I apprecaite it.
PleaseBeStupid
3 months ago
You seem like pros. Thanks for sharing comments. Been following along. Appreciate it.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Yes, and every week we hate ourselves for it
PleaseBeStupid
3 months ago
Do you guys do this bet every week? Holy hell it’s a complex one!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
But maybe I'm wrong too. Wouldn't be the first time
Szty1
3 months ago
Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I t hink you nailed it
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
You aren't. I was worried too.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
You aren't. I was worried too.
Szty1
3 months ago
Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
refreshing their site but nothing
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@szty1 Where is it posted? Thanks, btw
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@szty1 Where is it posted? Thanks, btw
mombil
3 months ago
TIPP down to 49-47
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
What did her past internal polls say (for comparison's sake)?
Rayse
3 months ago
Fischer released another lack luster internal poll. A plus 7 partisan poll lead is embarrassing. We really need a non partisan poll though.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Wait, will Emerson drop in time to count?
mombil
3 months ago
TIPP down to 49-47
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
So it's only 1.5 if it's Kamala +1? Is that correct?
mombil
3 months ago
TIPP down to 49-47
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@jingyu 您可以用微信翻译,对吗?
just.some.guy
3 months ago
USDT is Tether, which works fine here, although they prefer USDC (another stablecoin) on the Polygon blockchain. If any of that seems like a foreign language you can ask any question on the General board of Polymarket's discord. GL!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
But you might have had the right idea being late. The last two weeks I was early, and I was badly positioned for when public opinion started to shift. Yeah, I'm just doing what I do before every Thurs. At least I haev a good option this time. I'm debating whether to take the money and run (I have a cost basis of $.18 for 1-1.4. I could maybe sell for a decent profit in the early 20's. I have nothing left in 1.5-1.9. I also took the money and run on that one. Feel like either way I'm going to choose the wrong one with this market.
mombil
3 months ago
Tipp down to +3 which makes it 1.5
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
There's also the possibility of the Atlas poll, but we don't know if it will be this week or not. Don't know why these people can't ever publish a schedule.
SaulG
3 months ago
What the hell with these prices lol
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Hi, ProBeaver
TheNoobBeaver
3 months ago
Hello guys, The proBeaver is again here , in the movie markets
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Wait, do they use RMG?
Szty1
3 months ago
Two Trump friendly polls (Emerson and RMG) dropping this morning.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Those are always my two stages of participation in most of these markets: 1. Here we go 2. Fuck...
PickleRick
3 months ago
well fuck
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
小心,你不知道如果他们是scammers
jingyu3
3 months ago
我需要购买USDT
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0WyNnHmvWmc
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I am NOT saying this fulfills the conditions or not. I just came across it. Make of it what you will:
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I am NOT saying this fulfills the conditions or not. I just came across it. Make of it what you will:
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@mombil thanks! If you don't mind me asking, why mainly 1-1.4. I feel like I'm missing something that you have thought of. Is it in anticipation of changes due to tomorrow's Rasmussen update?
mombil
3 months ago
Tipp down to +3 which makes it 1.5
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I always hedge though.
briccbybricc
3 months ago
has anybody done a hedge position with 1-1.4 and 1.5-1.9. If one of both comes losing money isn't an option.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Done that before, but sometimes there will be a surprise poll in weeks past that will shift it in another direction.
briccbybricc
3 months ago
has anybody done a hedge position with 1-1.4 and 1.5-1.9. If one of both comes losing money isn't an option.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@Thecoconut have they changed how they include rasmussen (see @thecoconut's remarks)
mombil
3 months ago
Tipp down to +3 which makes it 1.5
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
It's in the article
HelloWorld12
3 months ago
about 37% for Kamala 77% for Trump
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm talking about what they are offering in Vegas, not Polymarket.
HelloWorld12
3 months ago
about 37% for Kamala 77% for Trump
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
So it's still 1.6. How are they fucking us?
mombil
3 months ago
Tipp down to +3 which makes it 1.5
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
"Rasmussen Reports 10/10 - 10/15 -- Trump +1"
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@TheCoconut They've been doing daily polls for awhile now. They just aggregate the data using a moving average int oa weekly poll. Actually, ras dropped already and it's in there as weekly data still:
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@TheCoconut They've been doing daily polls for awhile now. They just aggregate the data using a moving average int oa weekly poll. Actually, ras dropped already and it's in there as weekly data still:
mombil
3 months ago
Tipp down to +3 which makes it 1.5
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
https://www.mmamania.com/2024/10/16/24271303/will-donald-trump-be-guest-joe-rogan-podcast-bookies-lay-odds-maga-kamala-harris-experience-ufc
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Bookies in America are giving the following odds: 62% for Kamala on Rogan for 85% for Trump. Bet accordingly if you wish:
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Bookies in America are giving the following odds: 62% for Kamala on Rogan for 85% for Trump. Bet accordingly if you wish:
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@the coconut, they won't remove rasmussen because it's weekly. They'll simply replace it with the new Rasmussen as they do every week
TheCoconut
3 months ago
+ if they remove Pew and / or Rasmussen is +2 Trump it'll go lower
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@szty1 possible they will but not likely for the reasons you mentioend
mombil
3 months ago
Tipp down to +3 which makes it 1.5
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I would avoid using market buy and market sell at all costs. I learned that the hard way.
Will143
3 months ago
There’s no market buy with limited slippage tolerance right?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Yeah, that was my plan at the start of the week too.
mombil
3 months ago
Tipp down to +3 which makes it 1.5
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
How far away is Trump lead from the current number. I think it's 1.7 away. That position was .9 away. Not sure if my position seems more wrong because you disagree with it ideologically or what
GNS
3 months ago
2.5-2.9 Are you delusional?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
So what other polls are you expecting, besides Rasmussen. I hear talk (some of it my own) about Atlas.
mombil
3 months ago
Tipp down to +3 which makes it 1.5
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
The Republicans might win, but why are you so sure it's a lock. It looks like it could go either way. You might have thought of something I haven't, however.
aenews2
3 months ago
This is a lock, free money
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@xiJinPing You're heavily yes on Trump doing Rogan. Part of Rogan's schtick is that he's independent. 50% of his audience didn't vote for Trump last time. This is a big chance to expand his brand and make history. Why would he only interview Trump and then not interview Harris?
paulyd7-
3 months ago
Just playing no leak but still see her going on. Either Rogan having them both on at same time for debate, or both on in general, or neither. He’s not going to pick one candidate over the other… so it’s definitely happening. Do what you will with that info
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@speculo, which dude?
paulyd7-
3 months ago
Just playing no leak but still see her going on. Either Rogan having them both on at same time for debate, or both on in general, or neither. He’s not going to pick one candidate over the other… so it’s definitely happening. Do what you will with that info
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Nice to see you again. Any other polls we're likely to see besides Ras. I hear maybe Atlas.
mombil
3 months ago
Tipp down to +3 which makes it 1.5
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
good point
getgood
3 months ago
better off betting NO on Trump because Rogan will either have both or neither. he's said so numerous times and has shut down Trump previously this election cycle and in 2020
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That's not info, just your opinion. I agree with it, but just post it. You don't come on and say you read an article. Who the hell raised you?
paulyd7-
3 months ago
Just playing no leak but still see her going on. Either Rogan having them both on at same time for debate, or both on in general, or neither. He’s not going to pick one candidate over the other… so it’s definitely happening. Do what you will with that info
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
reported you
paulyd7-
3 months ago
Just playing no leak but still see her going on. Either Rogan having them both on at same time for debate, or both on in general, or neither. He’s not going to pick one candidate over the other… so it’s definitely happening. Do what you will with that info
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
You're a fucking asshole
paulyd7-
3 months ago
Just playing no leak but still see her going on. Either Rogan having them both on at same time for debate, or both on in general, or neither. He’s not going to pick one candidate over the other… so it’s definitely happening. Do what you will with that info
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Link, bro
phantom7-
3 months ago
Just saw a leak that Kamala is going on the podcast this week!!!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Awesome, link?
phantom7-
3 months ago
Just saw a leak that Kamala is going on the podcast this week!!!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I have no idea, but this thing just took off. It's been tightly range-bound for awhile, so something is up. Suddenly the resistance went away at 35 and 36. I went online and haven't found anything yet.
XiJinPing
3 months ago
what happened?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That's right. I mean it's free money. If you don't like free money, you're a communist.
Nosensei
3 months ago
Why don't you bet more on No then. Go big or go home :D
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Lol, I'm not betting on this for Alex Jones. Kamala needs to do this. She needs to fight for everyone's vote. She can't stay on MSNBC and CNN.
Al100x
3 months ago
I’m new to this game. But I’m 1000% sure this is free money. No way Kamala will go on JRE podcast. Think rationally, without Alex Jones’s comment on it would you still bet on YES?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Take us home, Mamala.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Welcome!
getgood
3 months ago
fuck it. I'm Kamala's biggest hater but I'm betting YES on Kamala and NO on Trump. Rationale: Rogan won't have only Trump and Kamala won't go on Rogan so if Kamala flakes on Rogan, Rogan flakes on Trump. If Trump goes, Kamala goes (or at least conjecture that she will after)
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm pro-Harris and I'm voting Yes. I think she should do this. She is being too cautious. Why don't you have some faith in her? You don't win elections by preaching to the choir at MSNBC; she needs to reach young men. There's no better game in town than Mr. Joe Rogan. Also, what makes you so sure he wants to destroy her. Half of his listeners didn't vote for Trump in 2020? I also don't think it will kill the Democrats downballot if Joe Rogan gets the better of her on some gotcha questions.
Slade366 - 15686
3 months ago
I've noticed only Harris haters are buying Yes. Harris lovers are buying NO because they want Democrats to not lose any more support in downballot house and Senate races
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
You mean constantly interrupt her? I think Joe Rogan is more of a gentleman than that.
DeucePapi
3 months ago
I don't think Kamala is gonna go outside again before the election after what Brett did to her tonight
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
The 9/30-10/15 is after the fact. That's not any sort of guideline. You don't need to tell me obvious stuff like of course they will replace a poll to eliminate duplication. The fact is you can't give any rationale because none exists .It's their world; we just live in it, but you can't fault us for being delusional when you can't explain it either.
badatthis
3 months ago
There is a ton of confirmation bias which you guys use to build your theory. Most of if not all is about it. First, yes they are somewhat flexible with the range of days polls need to have been conducted but they still tell about it (atm it's at 9/30-10/15). Second they consistently include only one poll from a same polling company even if there are several one published by different medias. They do this to eliminate duplication. But hey, why I enlighten you with the real world, I'm just hurting my propability edge for zero benefits to myself. :D
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Bro, I bought them like a week and a half ago. I wouldn't use the D word Mr. "Trump Lead."
GNS
3 months ago
2.5-2.9 Are you delusional?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@badatthis, okay, so if you are correct, how long do they keep polls for? Two weeks? Three weekS?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I have Fox taking them to 1.3 then. Does that track with what others have? This is not yet factoring in Rasmussen.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Why do they hate her?
Memosin
3 months ago
Deb Fischer in her own polls lost 14 points of lead to Osborn using the same pollster. And this is the only poll since the beginning of September that shows her in the lead. Nebraska, despite being deep red, really, REALLY hates Deb Fischer.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Guessing but bc of the Kamala Harris interview on Fox. Supposedly she'll make some pro-crypto remarks
ryzenshyne
3 months ago
news?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
but if you'd asked me three months ago if Kamala would go on Joe Rogan, I'd have said "no"
MikhaRlin
3 months ago
Truly bizarre if it does happen
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
My definition of bizarre has become a lot looser with each election cycle
MikhaRlin
3 months ago
Truly bizarre if it does happen
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Totally agree, and with all the buzz surrounding this, it wouldn't behoove either candidate to turn down the opportunity. There's no reason for Joe Rogan to not want to interview both. This is a huge coup for him, not that he needed it.
Eyebrows
3 months ago
The answer is likely yes on both or no on both. Rogan doesn't seem like the kinda guy who would only go for one of them. Inconsistent with his brand.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I have Fox taking them to 1.3 then. Does that track with what others have? This is not yet factoring in Rasmussen.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Thanks! Wow, I''m surprised she fell by that much. She was at +2 last time.
Szty1
3 months ago
Fox Trump +2 poll dropped.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
What's the dick part though?
papasmurf
3 months ago
kinda a dick move there ngl
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
What's that bring us to then?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Why are people panic buying 1.0-1.4? Not that I'm complaining? :)
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
wow
Szty1
3 months ago
Fox Trump +2 poll dropped.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
What'd they do now?
papasmurf
3 months ago
kinda a dick move there ngl
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
No worries. I've made that sort of mistake so many times. Why is no one mentioning Atlas anymore?
papasmurf
3 months ago
so if tipp or ras go a single point towards kamala (which theyve both trended in the last couple days) we are in B2.0
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Why are people panic buying 1.0-1.4? Not that I'm complaining? :)
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm conused. TIPP posted earlier today, right?
papasmurf
3 months ago
so if tipp or ras go a single point towards kamala (which theyve both trended in the last couple days) we are in B2.0
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm with you on this. Buy more 1.0-1.4!
badatthis
3 months ago
You guys moan about RCP supposed bias but still bet like there was no bias. Shouldn't you buy 1.0-1.4
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Does anyone know if that means any changes we should factor in?
enderone
3 months ago
Interesting - we've switched to the-numbers for resolution after the mojo issues.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I already own 4590 shares of 1.0-1.4.
badatthis
3 months ago
You guys moan about RCP supposed bias but still bet like there was no bias. Shouldn't you buy 1.0-1.4
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I was no until about a minute ago. I'm getting out before the vote.
Anonymous231
3 months ago
2 hours till what?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
till the vote
Anonymous231
3 months ago
2 hours till what?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
What's the connection to Russia? Is that who sponsored this coin/token?
Le-King
3 months ago
Only 10k to get to 10c for No boys, come on Russian Oligarchs, show us your balls
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
What?
Barboss
3 months ago
Oh no…
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Also how does "they make polls for many medias" affect if they are dropped.
badatthis
3 months ago
You guys are so keen into your RCP conspiracy theory lol. They have included Marist poll before and will do that in the future too. If they don't include something that has been previously included or drop something by suprise it's because there are some companies that make polls for many medias. Like Ipsos and TIPP. But it's fine, keep believing, I can gain edge by buying according to the truth.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That's not what we mean, bro. We mean they randomly drop polls from the average. I don't mean they remove them; I mean they will decide a certain poll is old after two weeks, but then another time they'll keep a poll for almost a month. I defy you to show me how it follows any set rule or pattern. It's just whatever they feel like. Also correlates with whether that poll makes Kamala harris look good. There are plenty who have observed this that aren't libs like me. A lot of right-wingers have noticed this too. If there's a pattern, what is it?
badatthis
3 months ago
You guys are so keen into your RCP conspiracy theory lol. They have included Marist poll before and will do that in the future too. If they don't include something that has been previously included or drop something by suprise it's because there are some companies that make polls for many medias. Like Ipsos and TIPP. But it's fine, keep believing, I can gain edge by buying according to the truth.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
sure
actors
3 months ago
who wanna advice?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That was pretty good; I've gotta admit.
yourrapist1776
3 months ago
"I will study your crashout" no you should study my balls in your mouth
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
yes
Szty1
3 months ago
TIPP tracking poll ticked up to +4 Harris. Will they replace the old I&I/TIPP with this?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
You've said this on six forums today. Profit off your insights and buy a share, honey. My best to you and Travis.
SWIFTTT
3 months ago
YES will crash to 20c in 2-3 days. There's no new info on this at all. YES already peaked in value.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
You also deployed it
Pirates
3 months ago
Just told my buddy about a pizza place, I guess that means I launched the restaurant
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Maybe "she" is a bot. She says the same shit on other markets, literally.
KaiserAra5
3 months ago
why don’t you buy no? it’s free money
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/muRW9cTIPxw
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Just kidding, me and no sleep and autocorrect had plenty of gems also :)
Dzhi
3 months ago
chad is about to perform sudoku if this resolves fairly
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Sorry, couldn't resist
FSTB
3 months ago
There's just no liquidity bro. Small buys move the market.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'll tell you who always had enough liquidity: P Diddy
FSTB
3 months ago
There's just no liquidity bro. Small buys move the market.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
It just opened today. Don't Swifttt Boat us.
SWIFTTT
3 months ago
YES will crash to 20c in 2-3 days. There's no new info on this at all. YES already peaked in value.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Sudoku or Seppuku?
Dzhi
3 months ago
chad is about to perform sudoku if this resolves fairly
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
https://docs.uma.xyz/using-uma/voting-walkthrough
giajvia
3 months ago
i dont know how to do it
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Because it's her only hope of getting a lot of young male voters between now and election day. She has to see that the only explanation for her fall in the polls is that she's playing it too safe.
getgood
3 months ago
How delusional are the "Yes" holders? Kamala did 2 hours with CNN and then her team was mad when CNN put out 27 mins of it. They wanted to edit it down to 18 mins. Even the "tough" 60 Minutes interview was multiple hours over the course of multiple weeks edited down to less than 20 minutes. In what world does she decide to do 2+ hours with Joe Rogan? If she wouldn't allow CNN or CBS to put out an unedited interview, why would she let Joe Rogan?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That's right. She needs a game changer. I also think he will be reasonable. People are acting like he's Sean Hannity. Joe Rogan's brand is (even though I think it's not totally real) "Ahh shucks I'm just an indpendent who is asking questions" If he gives him an Elon Musk-style Hawk Tuaha and then grills Kamala, he'll look like a partisan hack. CNN said that 50% of his listeners didn't vote for Trump last time. He doesn't get out of bed in the morning thinking "How can I get Trump in the White House?"
Speculo
3 months ago
This is an ongoing situation, so it’s essential for everyone to remain humble. Why should she consider accepting Joe's request? Because she's falling behind in every swing state. She’s already at a disadvantage, and while she may not be the most charismatic or clever politician, she is clear-headed. To turn things around, she needs to appeal to male voters, especially those who tune into Joe's podcast.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That makes sense, you mean the TIPP +3?
Mike2025
3 months ago
I get 1.6. +5 will be added and I assume +3 will be removed, so that gives 1.6.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That's always the wild card with those people.
Mike2025
3 months ago
Depends how many, if any, they knock off the bottom of the list.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
When I wrote that 1.5-1.9 was higher in both though, not the case anymore.
Mike2025
3 months ago
Look at the bids not the offers. 1.5-1.9 has higher bids. Liquidity is too low to just look at offers.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Yes, now this is something he deployed as well.
Mountainman
3 months ago
SHIT!!! YES HOLDERS SELL QUICK!!!! "NO" holders may actually have a chance here!!! https://x.com/Dannyjokes/status/1844434684014719439
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Thanks, which dip, there were so many today?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Good job!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Good job!
Frozencomet
3 months ago
damn it feels good to have held when it fell to 1.3
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@getgood it's your first month and you ain't making money either. Also, I'm not claiming to be a business genius. But if you're going to trade based on Alex Jones pronouncements, I think you, Trump, and I would all be better off in index funds, yes.
TrumpPundit
3 months ago
Trump is really a marketing genius💡, he's shown it time and time again. Thats how he built his empire of course but him now venturing into a crypto token is super smart. I'm not sure how deeply Trump is involved tho but he's got it pinned on X. They got quite an interesting roadmap — https://x.com/Official_WIFL/status/1846405917941588467
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I agree. I learned the hard way how accurate and "real clear" their methods are. lol
Szty1
3 months ago
Funny how 1-1.4 is still the favorit when the average is 1.5 and that doesn't even include the Marist +5 :D
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
He built his empire with his father's money. He declared bankruptcy six times and Forbes Magazine (hardly a left-wing rag) said that Trump would have had more money if he had put his dad's money in an index fund. I'll agree with you that the token is a super smart way to cash in on his notoriety.
TrumpPundit
3 months ago
Trump is really a marketing genius💡, he's shown it time and time again. Thats how he built his empire of course but him now venturing into a crypto token is super smart. I'm not sure how deeply Trump is involved tho but he's got it pinned on X. They got quite an interesting roadmap — https://x.com/Official_WIFL/status/1846405917941588467
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
true, it took me a bit to adjust last month to Kamala not surging
Szty1
3 months ago
I think it's two things: 1. People are asleep in the US, 2. MAGA folks bought into the idea that Trump is surging and can't change course.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Can someone explain to me why 1-1.4 is selling for more than 1.5-1.9 after the Marist poll has her up +5? I'm paranoid I'm missing something obvious. Is there some Atlas poll coming?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm a bit tired, so I may have made a mistake. How are you getting 1.8. Am I forgetting how they round?
Szty1
3 months ago
1.8 by my count
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm calcultating that the Marist poll would push Kamala up to 2.0. Is anyone else getting different numbers. Of course, that's if RCP deigns to include it.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I know right? I'm grateful for it. I'm buying 1.5-1.9 with both hands. I already overbought 2.0 1 week and a half ago when things looked far brighter for Kamala.
Szty1
3 months ago
Funny how 1-1.4 is still the favorit when the average is 1.5 and that doesn't even include the Marist +5 :D
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Link?
io9000
3 months ago
Anonymous sources from within the trump campaign say he will do another debate i why isnt everyone buying 2 debates rn
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
It's probably the same way for blue states. Because it's a red state, there isn't as much demand because people make certain assumptions about who will win.
Rayse
3 months ago
Why is it that there is barely any polling on the senate races in red states? I can understand somewhat for Nebraska, but there is also very little for Montana, Florida, and Texas.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
He was drunk or high I forget. I think she'll do better than THAT. lol
singa
3 months ago
If she does it would be like the Congressman Russo radio interview from House of Cards that ends the campaign
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
He was drunk.
singa
3 months ago
If she does it would be like the Congressman Russo radio interview from House of Cards that ends the campaign
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Disagree, I think Harris is slumping because she has been too cautious and hasn't made herself available.
Slade366 - 15686
3 months ago
Pretty much every poll has showcased the less voters actually have heard from Harris, the more they supported her. And Joe Rogan isn't going to give her nothing but softballs. So no, I definitely don't see this helping her.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I think it most likely will. It will expose her to the exact audience she is struggling to reach, and I think she can be charming and direct in a way that will be endearing. She also gains credibilit for having the guts to do it. It has a Nixon going to China kind of feel.
Wojtek
3 months ago
If this happens do you think it will help her? I can't imagine her performing well in this kind of setting.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Thanks
Keni
3 months ago
https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-joe-rogan-what-we-know-1969003
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
He has like 20 mil listeners; they can make time.
MageGold
3 months ago
Do they still have time to do this?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I don't think Rogan is totally in the tank for Trump. He has a right wing bias, but I think he'd rather get publicity and not appear too partisan.
Katrakila
3 months ago
there is absolutely no way that Rogan will invite Kamala
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I think he has more to gain by being reasonably fair. It would also bring in a new audience for him as well.
HouseAlwaysWins
3 months ago
yeah I agree, Joe would have her on just due to the massive publicity. It's just that Joe rogan wants her on so he can ask hard questions, in which case Kamala will decline. Or it's kamala wants to go on in which case she will try to control the questions asked, which of course Rogan will disagree and he can make more viral clips talking about how her team tried to coerce him.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I feel like if one does it the other will, and it would look bad if Trump agreed and Kamala didn't.
PBet
3 months ago
Joe would definitely have her. That would be insane publicity and would force trump to also come on the show. Imagine the hype
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Trump's not an antivaxxer either. I also don't think he intends to tear her apart. It won't be easy though.
Amok
3 months ago
Kamala going on antivaxxer Joe Rogan's podcast, risking an epic humiliation or confrontation and being torn apart on social media afterwards? lol hell no.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Agree, I mean, there is a potential downside, but she's got to do something to improve her stnading with young male voters.
Speculo
3 months ago
She is going. Because she's already losing. There is no downside, she's losing in all swings. So if she does nothing: she loses. If she goes to Joe. Maybe she will convince a couple of independent voters. That's my humble take.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Totally
joshlover
3 months ago
It would be smart imo. I bet she will and Rogan will try to appear bipartisan by having them both
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
It's not a debate.
PBet
3 months ago
she definitely wont do a debate against trump without a host helping her and going there 1 on 1 with rogan seems to bring little value and a huge risk to get memed all over the internet
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
She has to take a risk. She's been too cautious, and it's costing her. She's not going to cost Dems the House and lose 33/67, no interview ever hurt a Presidential nominee to that extent
Slade366 - 15686
3 months ago
I don't think it's that binary between Harris win/lose in terms of her starting to take risky moves. Her and Democrats still are deeply concerned about house and Senate races. She's not going to do a Hail Mary just because she's down to Trump, she and Democrats still don't want to risk losing the house which is 50/50 if she's trailing 33%/67%
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm happy to be enlightened on RCP's methodology for removing polls.
badatthis
3 months ago
I'm gladly holdin my 1.5+ with these prices. Most people don't really understand how RCP avg changes, how polls are added and removed. You can see it by reading the comments.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Knowing how guys are, I'd say the smart money would be on dick.
tanka.jahari
3 months ago
do we need to see dick and balls for yes? or would a blur suffice?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
This changed my mind. If Kamala might go on too, then he'd have to interview Trump.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVTlsSrXg_c&t=301s
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVTlsSrXg_c&t=301s
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
The way I'm reading it, a blur would suffice as long as it's obvious that it's covering that up. Also, it could be two lesbians, but the same conditions apply.
tanka.jahari
3 months ago
do we need to see dick and balls for yes? or would a blur suffice?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
This reminds me of dealing with RealClearPolitics on the weekly bolling bets.
aenews2
3 months ago
Lol Mojo site changed the domestic number from $18,893,642 to $14,117,291, removed international, and global is now the previous domestic. Not that it matters, of course. Dumb site...
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I think it was like a coiled spring. We were behind a sell wall forever
addicts
3 months ago
this uptick made me realize how illiquid this market is
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That's what she said.
MichaelBurryd
3 months ago
coming in hot
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I keep asking too. I am kind of on the fence, so I ask out of genuine curiosity.
XiJinPing
3 months ago
YES holders... what are you expecting to happen tomorrow that will resolve this market?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
So if it is only accredited investors, would that count?
HouseAlwaysWins
3 months ago
yes, it will resolve after the public is able to receive these tokens.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Why doesn't the yes side propose a resolution if they're saying it's settled?
Justifax
3 months ago
Big, if true: de5nuts 1.8K No 9h ago As a former top Yes holder and someone who's traded this market for a few months Yes holders should just be aware that the WLFI team is aware of the market and are prone to shenanigans. I don't think the volatility is over, if you hold size be careful but I'm still in spirit with the Yes team.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I heard they had to wait months. Did he get them?
duckduck
3 months ago
hey man my bud paid 200 for trump sneakers
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
So at what stage. would the yes side propose a resolution? What needs to happen first?
Vulture
3 months ago
Rules are somewhat ambiguous, but the spirit of the bet is satisfied. Trump IS involved in the launch of a cryptocurrency. NO-side may win on technicality, but their arguments are dubious. If the WLFI contract is live, then it's arbitrary to claim that deployment implies buyers receiving their coins. This is not a airdrop market. Claims that Trump must be involved in operational or technical role are even more ridiculous. He has no relevant technical competence and busy with a campaign for the most powerful seat in the world. If this market was about him having operational or technical role, then price action would look very different. YES would never even reach 10%.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
So what has to happen for someone to propose a resolution then?
Yeueu
3 months ago
It's so over for no bros
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@enderone thank you!
Secret14thKey
3 months ago
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2221441025/weekend/?ref_=bo_rl_tab#tabs domestic weekend $14,117,291 😱😱😱
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That's not fair. He was also doing it to sell trading cards and worthless shares of stock.
Justifax
3 months ago
Let's face it folks, Trump's 2024 run was just an elaborate scam to rug a poly shitcoin market.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
But there is some sort of catch? 16-19 is still at 96%
Secret14thKey
3 months ago
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2221441025/weekend/?ref_=bo_rl_tab#tabs domestic weekend $14,117,291 😱😱😱
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Whaaat....
Secret14thKey
3 months ago
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2221441025/weekend/?ref_=bo_rl_tab#tabs domestic weekend $14,117,291 😱😱😱
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@mountainman thanks!
PleaseBeStupid
3 months ago
Well I’ll be damned. Top 2 no holder just bought all me shares! Arrrgh 🏴‍☠️
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I think the book is called "The Art of the Deal." lol
NIGGA
3 months ago
The guide to say ABSOLUTELY NOTHING while speaking incessantly.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
totally
🤺JustPunched
3 months ago
Imagine how braindead you have to be to think anything these idiots are saying is important
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Can someone explain the purpose of that? Why would they not just sell some of their "No" shares to reduce their risk. I mean I get it if the shares are super cheap, but they weren't.
PleaseBeStupid
3 months ago
Well I’ll be damned. Top 2 no holder just bought all me shares! Arrrgh 🏴‍☠️
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I would love a market about projecting Chinese GDP growth.
HouseAlwaysWins
3 months ago
real question, why is polymarket so popular in China according to google analytics? doesnt this mean we should have more chinese related markets?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That's a good idea
HouseAlwaysWins
3 months ago
real question, why is polymarket so popular in China according to google analytics? doesnt this mean we should have more chinese related markets?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
我也觉得
JIYUAN
3 months ago
我們已經知道川普及其家族就虛擬貨幣的行為是真正的行騙,但基於政治的倫理,他無法「部署」(deployment)也無法真正地發行代幣。愛來自台灣,No一定勝利!!!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
天呢
我喜欢你哦
3 months ago
we got away with murder
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Does anyone know how far into the video it was?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
link? lol
TwistedFate
3 months ago
terrifier 3 ends with a now confirmed 18 999 999 gross during the opening weekend, congrats!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
correction the "how do you figure" waas for @Jagermaisterpl
aenews2
3 months ago
Well Mojo updated with 18.3M weekend (est). Nice try, guys.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
how do you figure?
Duck777
3 months ago
There is still hope with final
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I agree
NIGGA
3 months ago
Cant we all just be friends
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Good question, I'd like to know more about that as well
SusanWarren,HR
3 months ago
What is the difference between the sale of a token and the "deployment" of a token?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Tell me about it...
addicts
3 months ago
I like the odds for yes here, but nothing ever happens.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Has anyone heard from him? I'm genuinely worried about him.
Fredi9999WASP🐝
3 months ago
I'm missing chad though :'(
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
yeah, this is going to get even uglier in that respect for this particular market.
0xffffffff
3 months ago
wow so much hatred here in comments..
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@mrkangaroo, thanks nice t have a backup in case my notifications don't work.
YoungGriff
3 months ago
NOTHING EVER HAPPENS
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
In that case, he's selling.
asdfvergvd
3 months ago
@untilquick-wittedsag joe rogan is here guys
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That's right!
YoungGriff
3 months ago
NOTHING EVER HAPPENS
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Ikr, did everyone suddenly come to their senses?
Frozencomet
3 months ago
comment section kinda dead this week huh
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Is there any other kind?
TheNoobBeaver
3 months ago
Dark maga ?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@tsybka, if that is what it takes to make you happy, then you're a sad little man. Pleasure meeting you
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Don't know, but makes me feel a bit better
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
But he is afraid to debate a
sharky🦈🦈🦈
3 months ago
no way. It would be ant-climatic for after the election. Trump is a guy who goes big and isn't a soyboy!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@tsybka@tsybka, also I tend to notice that the people who pnl shame others when they are doing well, are often not doing well later on. Maybe it's karma, or maybe it's their ego. We'll see how you do. Seeing as how you have well over 90% of your account on one high-risk bet, I'm sure that won't apply to you.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Don't know, but makes me feel a bit better
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@tsybkaWow, ad hominem attacks. Let's go back to reading class, shall we? "Makes me feel better" is different from saying "I only focus on whether 50-Pence buys." See "only" means I don't focus on anything else, but if that was the case, why would I own yes shares already?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Don't know, but makes me feel a bit better
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
lol. me too
MAGA-TRUMP-MAGA
3 months ago
I have done that more than once
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Don't know, but makes me feel a bit better
0x190d87b2a265fbC712036E798AD504AA2AB76A43-1728775884213
3 months ago
50 pence you buy now 10,000$ of yes? What did you know?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
It's Terrifier 3, no one's expecting this to win Best Picture
PickleRick
3 months ago
This is opening to $17.4M. Heard it here first
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm not sure what you mean? You're saying you're basing it on where Clinton and Biden were at in mid-October?
SDfasadsfadsfads
3 months ago
In the last two presidential elections, on RCP he gained +1 (Clinton) and 1.3 (Biden). If you bet on this historical trend 0.5-0.9 is your bet.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
No
Sadio
3 months ago
am i winning?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Your mom has twice the liquidity, better odds, and is certainly doable
WillSmith
3 months ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/Defiant_Update/status/1844068113450762423
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I'm sure they go antiquing together every Sunday.
Glepp
3 months ago
Joe Roagan and Elon Musk are close friends, and they probably have a close connection to DJT aswell. I dont see any reason why JRE episode with Trump wont happen.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Good point
Donkov
3 months ago
I think one of the reasons its more unlikely to happen is because Rogan is not interested in shallow 1 hour conversations. Just look at the Lex borefest with Trump.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
and then he sometimes raises the prices on them
H4RE
3 months ago
Yup one tweet from Elon swinging this is wild, there's hundreds of people that put $50,000 deposits down on Tesla roadsters waiting 7 years now lmao
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Which totally won't explode in a flood
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Exactly, I can reply safely now because I'm operating my self-driving car.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Exactly, I can reply safely now because I'm operating my self-driving car.
Secret14thKey
3 months ago
it's confirmed guys. elon is never wrong about a deadline
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That's what she said
Eyebrows
3 months ago
Is the pump over yet
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Sorry, that dialogue gave me a flashback to my wedding night...
dioretar
3 months ago
“I don’t know, maybe,” responded Rogan with a somewhat sheepish look, to which Bet-David responded, “Looks like you got something…” “Maybe,” repeated Rogan, adding, “At a certain point in time.”
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Is there market manipulation for this market, or are you just speaking in general?
0x6b07D80f00a65bE25C8FF1bA57063e5e09D85F59-1722856566954
3 months ago
Join the discord against market manipulation on Polymarket here: https://discord.gg/sVhhfgQF. Let's report them to the CFTC and make them take action against UMA and Kevin Chan
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Agree, if betfair is not crypto-based, I think it's bc crypto bros are +10-+15 in favor of Trump
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
i'm a kamala bull but i don't understand why this isn't at least at 5050 after trump flipped her on betfair and is about to do the same on polymarket+will get a short-term sugar high from the vp debate
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
He's selling
betyonko
3 months ago
@Scorn4Sega are you an insider? A 30K YES order? Really? And account created today? Very fishy.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
He's selling though.
Milktoast
3 months ago
I'm not gonna post it because I want to protect his privacy, but Scorn4Sega, the biggest yes holder does live in Washington D.C. I was fairly certain he wasn't an insider because he's a rich techbro but the more i saw of his instagram left me with questions. He has multiple pics/vids at the white house, one at the white house bowling alley, which only white house staff are allowed to reserve, and one meeting Obama on the white house lawn directly after the presidential helicopter landed. still holding a little no because $11k is peanuts to this guy but idk, i reduced size but still fairly confident on no.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/18/joe-rogan-podcast-kamala-trump/75276328007/
satori
3 months ago
lmaooo source?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I agree, but what's the doge reference?
betyonko
3 months ago
This could be a DOGE thing. Don't be so sure it will happen.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdvHSwQswoI
Jpp30
3 months ago
yo where can i watch?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Now I'm seeing 1.8, I kept refreshing, but it didn't show at first.
papasmurf
3 months ago
Pew pew pew
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Thanks, it's still 2.0 though or is there some other shoe to drop?
papasmurf
3 months ago
Pew pew pew
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
What just happened? Which poll dropped?
papasmurf
3 months ago
Pew pew pew
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
It's not an average, bro
schottchris
3 months ago
i expect 5-6 polls this week with an average of 49-49. will that be enough to knock this average down 2%? hopefully it pushed some of those harris +6from 2 weeks ago
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
also, if you look at the sentence, the phrase "directly" depicting is not modifying "video." It is modifying "sexual acts."
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
3 months ago
Rules are specific there needs to be visible genitlia, any outlet that gets a hand on a tape would censor it.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
If it's blurred out, that obviously means the video depicts it. Otherwise, why would it be blurred out?
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
3 months ago
Rules are specific there needs to be visible genitlia, any outlet that gets a hand on a tape would censor it.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Yes, the video depicts them even if it's blurred out. How are you reading they can't be blurred?
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
3 months ago
Rules are specific there needs to be visible genitlia, any outlet that gets a hand on a tape would censor it.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
it says "directly depicting." If it's censored the video was obviously depicting it.
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
3 months ago
Rules are specific there needs to be visible genitlia, any outlet that gets a hand on a tape would censor it.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Show me where on the rules it says that.
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
3 months ago
Rules are specific there needs to be visible genitlia, any outlet that gets a hand on a tape would censor it.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Ask Jeffrey Epstein
SpeedTracer
3 months ago
Why would a mail prostitute release it publicly as opposed to ransom it to every wealthy person in it who doesn't want it exposed?
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
That must be rough; you had the special insight how to get rich, but don't have the balls to make a bet, what a tragedy.
andrewmarch
3 months ago
theres allot of dumb money in polymarket sense lib tards discovered it, I see great opportunities to make money
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
How is this relevant? Do a bunch of degenerate gamblers (myself included) have special collective insight? How many electoral votes can Trump win from here?
thomas2006
3 months ago
Trump is up 8 on Poly, Harris is sliding.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Elon is Trump's Hawk Tuak Girl.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
What makes you so sure it will be easy? There might be hundreds or thousands of tapes.
DrAss
3 months ago
Very easy money for no at these odds
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Senate seats are every six years, bro
Tac1776
3 months ago
If the seat didnt flip in 2020 and 2022 why would it flip now
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
How come?
thomas2006
3 months ago
Trump is up 8 on Poly, Harris is sliding.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Actually Siena was released on the 19th last month. Have we heard anything indicating it might be released by the 11th?
Speculo
3 months ago
True, that's because there is a Siena College (usually bad for Harris) and a bad Rasmussen for sure in the pipe.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
They never answer me when I ask why they are certain it won't release. One guy did actually, but he kept making the strawman argument of an A lister would kill to keep it quiet. It doesn't need to be an A lister.
Mountainman
3 months ago
100% chance a tape is released, only question is if it drops in time.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
If he'd been buying tokens instead of brass balled 30k purchases, he'd be rich. Not that Im to judge, just sayin
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Chad, buy tokens not shares if you want to win this
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Is the dude buying tokens?
Phoenix777
3 months ago
CHAD is a chance for all YES holders to turn it around
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
This is crazier than RCP
Justifax
3 months ago
It is what it is. The result shouldn't be surprising. The DVM is a flawed mechanism and the second biggest topholder on NO dislikes it as much as everyone else. We should all advocate for Polymarket to drop UMA at the earliest time possible.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
agree
Justifax
3 months ago
It is what it is. The result shouldn't be surprising. The DVM is a flawed mechanism and the second biggest topholder on NO dislikes it as much as everyone else. We should all advocate for Polymarket to drop UMA at the earliest time possible.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Chad, buy tokens not shares if you want to win this
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
tokens or shares?
Secret14thKey
3 months ago
CHAD IS BUYING, IT'S NOT OVER
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
How much is a ton?
Phoenix777
3 months ago
Whooaa CHA boy just bought a ton of YES
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
What's the rumor
DeucePapi
3 months ago
Buy the rumor
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Even though I traded no, I don't think the process was fair. I feel more morally uneasy about this trade than my diddy sex tape position.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Come on guys, we don't need to all call him out
Nancy.Pelosi
3 months ago
RIP chad
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
How long does it take for the returns to come in?
Justifax
3 months ago
Gas prices are kinda lowest right now, so in theory we should be seeing some reveals. But they remain low for the next few hours
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
https://polymarket.com/profile/0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1?tab=activity
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I did. Show me what I'm misisng. Last two days almost all buys:
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@Mg95, sure was, and I think in terms of facts yes is right, but that doesn't matter, the UMA count matters. Losing 75-25, if I see new facts, I change, what do you do?
TheGoober
3 months ago
Chad is selling and buying Yes to profit off the uncertainty. He still has most of his Yes shares.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@gauthhttps://polymarket.com/profile/0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1?tab=activity
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Chad is selling!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
@werty1 Show me where in the last two days I'm lying
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Chad is selling!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I did. Show me what I'm misisng. Last two days almost all buys:
FindingNemo
3 months ago
Ok do not believe, but look at chads activity tab, he has used the sell action. Not saying that he will sell his position again, but you should check his profile after a big move in the order book.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Finding a sell in the last few days is like finding Waldo. It may be in there, but I'm tired of squinting:
TheGoober
3 months ago
Chad is selling and buying Yes to profit off the uncertainty. He still has most of his Yes shares.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Yeah but when's hte last time he has
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Chad is selling!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Chad sold 3000 yes at 46.8
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Chad is selling!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Look at "activity" 10 minutes ago
TooDumbToWin
3 months ago
Nop
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Yes he is
TooDumbToWin
3 months ago
Nop
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Chad is selling!
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Should we infer that is JustKen and Chad or JustKen and maybe UMAmustbe
Justifax
3 months ago
Wallet count, 31 Y 19 N. 65% N 35% Y Again, just *two* wallets count for ~42% of all the ~17.6M tokens committed in this vote.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Oh duh got it. I was using the oracle link, thanks!
Justifax
3 months ago
Reinis_FRP, UMA revealed 72K for P2. He was P2 last vote as well. There are no named UMA voters that have gone p1 yet, but the dune query might not capture them.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
I know the link, but how do I find it on there