RBvKrsr7ZfRK
#28
Rank
278
Comments
168
Likes Received
11
Likes Given
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
3 days ago
sad how uma votes against the facts
8
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
3 days ago
Yes, you can recommit.
0
niverse
3 days ago
I have a question. After I vote, can I change my vote before the voting ends?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
3 days ago
Biggest No holder: Profit/loss -$2,520,617.81
4
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
3 days ago
his bat signal is broken: Profit/loss -$2,520,617.81
3
n/a
3 days ago
Realbatman is always right. never bet against him.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
3 days ago
last chance to sell your no shares
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
3 days ago
fake news
1
FinallyHappening
3 days ago
Another big NO REVEAL
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
3 days ago
Domer trying to get an exit without losses. Sorry, it’s going P2.
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
3 days ago
Total tokens that revealed 3.3%581,206.09
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
spam by a desperate no holder who cant afford his loss
6
Car
4 days ago
Voting P4 1 hour before deadline, then voting P2 YES 6 days after deadline, using information from after the deadline, is something UMA has never done before.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
get rekt
1
Kobafix
4 days ago
Of course it does and actually even support our opinion, as seen in first votes of November and september market :)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
enjoy your negative pnl
2
Kobafix
4 days ago
What people are forgeting is that uma Vote 34% for yes in the november market and 18% yes in september market at first Dispute. And September marked was voted AFTER november market, so even with more information available uma voted for no in september market. This shows that indeed uma is the same opinion that september raids DO NOT count as an Invasion.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
you fucking moron look at the november market
4
tsybka
4 days ago
UMA never changes its decisions, regardless of reality. If that were truly the case, they wouldn’t have voted for the "Early request." YES holders, don’t cry about it later.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
i love you even tho you tried to rig it
3
🤺JustKen
4 days ago
The calm before the storm. Our time in this market is drawing to a close, and I am glad that everyone has remained cordial and friends.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
The november market already resolved to Yes. There is no doubt that this market is going Yes.
4
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
There are scammers spreading lies like "UMA already voted No". It's categorically false information. UMA voted "Too Early".
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
Chad it’s your call whether you want to take free money from justScam and his commies
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
If it wasn’t for Domer running a fake news campaign this market would already be at 99%.
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
chad is basically collecting free money from you plebs
4
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
obvious junk bond, this is at 99% in 24h
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 days ago
well said!
0
50-Pence
4 days ago
Good Evening Frens. Lots of disagreement and fighting. Lets just remember, no matter what happens, these truths we hold to be self-evident: if your side loses this was rigged and if your side wins you are a scammer.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
Domer and his scam squad are actively trying to pretend the November market isn’t about to resolve to YES. Don’t believe anything this guy says.
16
·
Liked by n/a, n/a and 14 others
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
ALERT: therealbatman: Profit/loss -$2,558,090.55
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
therealbatman: Profit/loss -$2,558,090.55
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
Car bought 1,000 No at 41.0¢ ($410)
5
Car
5 days ago
Dont be so silly, YES holders. You really think UMA falls for your little games?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
That’s not evidence, that's yapping.
1
n/a
5 days ago
Only confidence YES holders have, a November resolved and Chad bought so let's buy more.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
he does
0
0x36F72D43e1e4Adaa92D928C029a9486771a79b0a-1723737025744
5 days ago
If UMA is not biased, it should be consistent with its previous P4 result. If it’s rigged, the main additional yes buyer is Chad, who obviously didn’t have enough votes in UMA
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
ur a scammer buddy
6
Car
5 days ago
UMA is not voting in favor of scams. Because that would make UMA itself a scam.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
LMAO
0
Clever-Voyage
5 days ago
The no argument now is that the ground offensive which began on the night of September 30th (also called an invasion in real time) is totally different from the ground offensive that continued on the morning of October 1st. They do not cite a single source for this claim.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
your momz pussy must be destroyed at all costs ;)
1
RaidsAreNotInvasions
5 days ago
Chad Must Be Destroyed At All Costs
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
chadchadchad
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
manipulation from desperate no holders
2
n/a
5 days ago
I’m very new at this but see this as a pretty sure bet considering November is resolving yes. Was is the argument for those holding no?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
where are the plebs
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
alright give it another hour then
0
n/a
5 days ago
Waiting on Nov vote to conclude https://vote.uma.xyz/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
how many more hours until this market is fully bonded?
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
Israel did want to control some land of Lebanon on Sep 30th. But Israel failed because Lebanon fought back.
0
Phrank
5 days ago
How are they defending NO in the discord?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
Early requ... 2.33% (24,100.56) No 0.16% (1,683.86) Yes 97.51% (1,008,531.01)
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
you just sold your No shares on the november market like a total fool
0
jeterl
5 days ago
We made it boys, looks like UMA is voting yes on the November market.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
well you aren’t right now you’re just yapping
0
UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts
5 days ago
Remember friends whether you WIN (red shares) or LOSE (green shares). We can all agree on how terrible this process is
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
get cucked
2
UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts
5 days ago
Remember friends whether you WIN (red shares) or LOSE (green shares). We can all agree on how terrible this process is
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
who is we? are you uma?
1
UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts
5 days ago
Do people realize we already voted on this or nah? I mean IM OK with more cheap NO dont let me stop you but I am genuinely curious
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
domer getting doomed and its glorious
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
5 days ago
i would be worried about the feds if i was you
2
Car
5 days ago
I would be worried if I was a YES holder and saw Justifax on YES
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
(Just FYI this is extremely, extremely likely to go YES, barring explosive new information, and you should not trade based off people in the comments trying to pump their bags)
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
dis about to go parabolic
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
your scamming is crazy
6
🤺JustKen
6 days ago
This price is crazy, man 😂
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
this is obivously going to yes i just want a bigger bet
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
its funny some retard pretends i sold. i’m just compounding and buying back in bigger
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
There is currently a fake news campaign pretending Israel would’t have invaded. LOL. Just open the New York Times and spot the headline. It’s simple.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Are you speaking on behalf of the UMA voters or are you making this up?
1
DT24
6 days ago
The second YES resolution was proposed about an hour before the deadline. It was immediately disputed. Then around 80% of voters voted "Too Early" while only about 20% voted YES. It was not lofical to vote "NO" because the resolution was proposed before the deadline. Therefore, people who voted "Too Early" believed that the resolution shouldn't be YES at that time. Also, during that one hour from when the resolution was proposed and the deadline nothing happened. This proves that those voters who voted "Too Early" will vote NO this time. Be aware of scammers. many people bought YES at 3c-8c last night and are selling it to you at 40c-50c. They have 10x-ed their money by scamming you.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
is the real life identity of domer known? asking for a friend.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
there is a coordinated effort on discord by domer to try swaying the votes. but it doesn’t matter, the invasion happened lol
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
does mom allow you to stay up that late
1
🤺JustKen
6 days ago
Man you guys are absolutely nutso
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
please ask chatgpt for copium
6
🤺JustKen
6 days ago
Man you guys are absolutely nutso
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
chad can you send us to 60%
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
not gonna sell before 99.9%, its so clearly yes
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
you can DM domer he will send you his doomed chatgpt shit
4
n/a
6 days ago
DM me for copium No bettors.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
security council gave the yes before the tweet already!
1
abdendriel
6 days ago
We were all there, waiting for the cabinet to approve it’s commencement on 30 Sep when finally the IDF tweet came out to announce it’s commencement.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
our marriage
0
HsB34sgg
6 days ago
Can anybody tell me what Operation “Northern Arrows” is??? WHAT IS IT???? https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
People were aping into a NO bet based on P4... but didn’t understand the meaning. Time to get out before you sell junk bonds!
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
you need more yes shares
0
50-Pence
6 days ago
As Honorary Chairman of the 50/50 Committee, i hereby declare this market 50/50
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Domer is domed!
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
ChatGPT != UMA voters
3
🤺JustKen
6 days ago
It's really embarrassing that someone would exclude the title, and exclude the key piece of information. As you can see, when ChatGPT is given the title and the key piece of information, it immediately switches to No: https://chatgpt.com/share/66ff7c2a-8450-8012-95d6-abd707566ead
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Israel's military has reportedly added ground units to its operation against the Iranian-backed militant group Hezbollah. The IDF's stated goal is to restore a demilitarized buffer zone in southern Lebanon to ensure the safe return of some 60,000 Israeli residents to homes in northern Israel.
9
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
no need to PMS
0
Mountainman
6 days ago
You're part of the scam in this market and many others. 0 Respect. Robbing people on rigged bets. Disgusting thief.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
send it brother
1
50-Pence
6 days ago
Im told Polymarket and Uma have decided to resolve this to the side that reaches 99.9c first.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
I pledge allegiance with the IDF and nobody but the IDF!
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Israel appears to be expanding a military invasion of Lebanon it initially said would be “limited,” launching hundreds of airstrikes on targets throughout the country, and engaging in ground combat in the country’s south.
1
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Israel has invaded Lebanon. Here’s what could come next.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Israel has invaded Lebanon. Here’s what could come next.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
you are hilarious buddy. sorry for your loss
1
duckduck
6 days ago
someone waste their money on dispute so I can buy No at even cheaper bahaha
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
next wave of buying. this is a junk bond
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
lol just wait for the dispute to come in. it’s going to shoot up with a big dildo
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
sock puppet
0
xdbrhzdfxcbzdtn
6 days ago
This is JustKen on a podcast. I thought he was a bot, apparently he's kind of a big deal
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
seems like people think antisemitic rhetoric helps their position
2
n/a
6 days ago
Did I walk through some time portal and end up in 1938? What's with all the all the Jew bashing?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
another junk bond
0
East coast port strike ends by next Friday?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
The clock is ticking. You are welcome to dispute, but makes no sense obviously.
0
East coast port strike ends by next Friday?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Let him cope :)
0
n/a
6 days ago
Again. Put on your where’s Waldo hat and find the word “suspended” in this statement https://ilaunion.org/joint-statement-regarding-master-contract/
East coast port strike ends by next Friday?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
you lost buddy, https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/03/port-strike-ends-as-workers-agree-to-tentative-deal-on-wages-and-contract-extension.html
0
n/a
6 days ago
“Suspended” and not ended. Let’s hope the lawyers at polymatket grasp that.
East coast port strike ends by next Friday?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Port strike ends as workers agree to tentative deal on wages and contract extension Published Thu, Oct 3 20246:43 PM EDTUpdated 1 Min Ago
0
East coast port strike ends by next Friday?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Workers are returning to work on Friday. So yes, the strike ended.
1
n/a
6 days ago
Strike not ended. Strike is “suspended” and continued on Jan 15. Let’s see what Polymarket makes of an obvious no.
East coast port strike ends by next Friday?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Someone propose the Y resolution
0
East coast port strike ends by next Friday?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
BREAKING: International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) and the United States Maritime Alliance have reached a tentative agreement on wages, to return to work on Friday, wages go up by 62%.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
6 days ago
Are you fucking blind? Read the IDF announcement, it clearly satisfies the requirements of this market.
4
Naak
6 days ago
All these yes holders who cant be bothered to read the about section and keep sharing unrelated news articles are funny.
Israel military response against Iran today?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
its a junk bond
0
n/a
1 week ago
Who paid .98 and .89 for yes Lmfao.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon
6
🤺JustKen
1 week ago
Reminder that the crucial piece of information is from the UN, who said on October 1st: "The information [the UN peacekeepers] have and they've received ... is that they've seen sporadic incursions by the IDF," Dujarric said. "They have not witnessed a full-scale invasion."
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
You need patience.
0
n/a
1 week ago
scam site! 100% scam
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Early requ... 15.04% (1,338,838.21)
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Car sold 333 Yes at 98.8¢ ($329)
2
Car
1 week ago
Your NO shares are going to expire worthless in a few hours
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
wait for the mail in ballots buddy
1
PinochetsAirplane
1 week ago
what is this 100k order lmfao
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Big dump incoming in 30 minutes
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
fatduck bought 58,851 No at 34.9¢ ($20,512)
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
RememberAmalek sold 40,602 Yes at 69.8¢ ($28,330)
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
She will leave you and marry VisionaryTiresias
0
HawkTuah
1 week ago
Am I taking the mrs to McDonald or Michelin star this weekend gents?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
FINAL PUBLIC NOTICE: I banged your mommy
5
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
FINAL PUBLIC NOTICE: To all engaged in market fixing. Market fixing is a SERIOUS criminal act.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The $5 stake is speaking
3
n/a
1 week ago
Alright I'll say this once... The No side is not winning this. In the sense that there is 0% chance that this does not go Yes. Don't put any money in No that you can't afford to lose boys
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Yes holders get REKT
1
HawkTuah
1 week ago
Which way ?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Go outside and touch some grass kiddo
0
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
I'm not here to help you any further. You have been notified. That's enough. Forensics will do the rest.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
October 2nd: The Lebanese army says Israeli forces breached approximately 400 meters (yards) into Lebanese territory on Wednesday and then withdrew “after a short period.” The statement was the first official acknowledgement from Beirut that Israeli forces have carried out a ground incursion into Lebanon.
0
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Y’all delusional, that’s it. Lebanon has not confirmed anything in September, because it simply didn’t happen. Where’s your proof? Where’s your footage? Where’s more than IDF propaganda?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
https://apnews.com/live/israel-lebanon-ground-operation-updates
0
x3x3
1 week ago
Where's more than Hezbollah propaganda?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
85c and he will panic exit.
0
Waifu Hunter
1 week ago
try to guess the liquidation price for yes holder
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Liquidate the sucker
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
50-Pence bought 3,562 Yes at 97.8¢ ($3,483) - this guy is still buying because he is bragging that he can rig the UMA vote
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
You switched sides lmao
2
Justifax
1 week ago
You know, the whales have been super greedy here. It would be nice if you could let some of us smaller fish have a shot at this free money.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Y’all delusional, that’s it. Lebanon has not confirmed anything in September, because it simply didn’t happen. Where’s your proof? Where’s your footage? Where’s more than IDF propaganda?
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The Lebanese army says Israeli forces breached approximately 400 meters (yards) into Lebanese territory on Wednesday and then withdrew “after a short period.” The statement was the first official acknowledgement from Beirut that Israeli forces have carried out a ground incursion into Lebanon.
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Get ready for the big sell-off yourrapist1776 sold 11,608 Yes at 98.0¢ ($11,376)
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Israeli troops entered in October, not September: It all started on 2nd October, not 30th September: https://x.com/sahouraxo/status/1841350998729597122
8
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
It all started on 2nd October, not 30th September: https://x.com/sahouraxo/status/1841350998729597122
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
So fun see all those YES holders trying to make $100 based on faulty, inaccurate reporting that falls short of the requirements in the rules.
3
n/a
1 week ago
So fun to see all these NO holders dreaming to get rich quickly on this one .
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
You want P4
1
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
It can resolve to "No" in a new proposal after P4
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
It can resolve to "No" in a new proposal after P4
1
moneysniper
1 week ago
what are the consequences of p4
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Force the whales to sell. Pick up those cheap NO shares. I’m continuing to scale in
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
It was reported that the first actual encounter between Hezbollah and Israeli forces on Lebanese ground was on 2nd October. So, clearly, with the lack of evidence, this market just can’t resolve to YES.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
You're twisting words, the IDF only acknowledged raids, not an invasion/incursion.
3
BigMike11
1 week ago
"The IDF's invasion of southern Lebanon late Monday night was led by Division 98 and its commander..." https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-821158
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Does he not know the definition of "precede"? It is not specified whether those raids preceding an invasion were ground raids.
0
n/a
1 week ago
I've read that. That's not what it says.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
On 1 October, IDF troops officially crossed the border into Lebanon in a series of small scale raids intended to precede a broader ground invasion.
0
n/a
1 week ago
I've read that. That's not what it says.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
That’s 3 US based newspapers. And the US is literally funding this war. And not a single newspaper shares evidence or anything else that would give the story any credibility.
0
MalgoMarc
1 week ago
Even wikipedia has references [68][69][70] that IDF troops crossed the border on September 30th ET time. There isn't even a question about this. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The people holding YES shares can’t actually exit because there’s no liquidity. So they’re trapped in a position and now have to troll on UMA Discord to change the outcome of the vote. But the vote will be P4
0
n/a
1 week ago
On October 1, 2024, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) officially crossed into southern Lebanon early in the morning to conduct ground operations targeting Hezbollah infrastructure. Reports indicate that this operation began around 5:30 AM UTC, which translates to 1:30 AM Eastern Time (ET) So, No. Also DENIED by UN peacekeepers, Lebanese army or Hezbollah.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The situation may not meet the criteria for the betting market to resolve to "Yes." If there are no confirmed border crossings, no evidence of combat operations, and Hezbollah has denied that Israeli forces entered Lebanese territory, this strongly suggests that Israeli military personnel have not physically entered Lebanon for combat operations as defined by the market. The lack of official confirmation or credible evidence supporting the claim of ground troops engaged in combat would likely lead the market to resolve to "No," especially considering that resolution sources emphasize the need for confirmation from either party or credible reporting.
1
n/a
1 week ago
On October 1, 2024, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) officially crossed into southern Lebanon early in the morning to conduct ground operations targeting Hezbollah infrastructure. Reports indicate that this operation began around 5:30 AM UTC, which translates to 1:30 AM Eastern Time (ET) So, No. Also DENIED by UN peacekeepers, Lebanese army or Hezbollah.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Is this financial advice?
1
Justifax
1 week ago
If I were you I'd sell NO here and buy it in November - much cheaper! Everything commenced on sept 30th, EST. If you say otherwise, you're a scammer or an idiot. Unless you think they're suddenly going to magically change their goals in november, I guess....
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Check the UMA Discord history for "Israel military action against Iran by End of 2024". 50 Pence, aenews and Car made the exact same assumptions and claims as in this case. And they lost, because their claims are bogus. This isn’t their first rodeo..
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Check the UMA Discord history for "Israel military action against Iran by End of 2024". 50 Pence, aenews and Car made the exact same assumptions and claims as in this case. And they lost, because their claims are bogus. This isn’t their first rodeo.
17
·
Liked by n/a, n/a and 15 others
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Sunk cost fallacy
5
n/a
1 week ago
they keep buying more tho
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Whales holding YES would get out but there’s no exit liquidity. That’s their biggest issue. They’re trapped now and have to troll on Discord to try rigging the vote.
8
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
It looks like probability theory is hard for you
0
n/a
1 week ago
Math is hard for team No.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Just another manipulation attempt like the Pence dude on the other market
0
LyinCamela
1 week ago
Chad found some more cash to (waste) buy
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I have contacts at Coindesk and wouldn’t really hesitate to have them shed some light on this
4
Phat.
1 week ago
Ill post public threads everywhere and log out from here forever. This cant be Yes by any means and I will die on that hill
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
You are right, but there’s a major mob that will lie and lie until you think you are wrong.
0
n/a
1 week ago
This contention is not logical because things can happen in October that didn't occur in September. As of right now, neither Sept or Nov are obvious yeses, quite the contrary more and more mainstream sources are pointing at limited incursions vs invasion.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Debate in Discord is heated. There is no clear consensus that this market would be a YES..
6
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Debate in Discord is heated. There is no clear consensus that this market would be a YES.
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
!!!PSA: If you are stating an opinion at #evidence-rationale on UMA Discord on ANY of the Israel enters/invades Lebanon markets, you CAN NOT argue for P1 because the proposals were contested before the markets expired
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
PSA: If you are stating an opinion at #evidence-rationale on UMA Discord on ANY of the Israel enters/invades Lebanon markets, you CAN NOT argue for P1 because the proposals were contested before the markets expired
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
UMA statement: If the proposal was made before deadline and you think it didn’t happen, argue p4
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
PSA: if you have any statements on the "Israeli forces enters Lebanon" market, P1 is not a possible outcome of the dispute, it can only resolve to P2 (Yes) or P4 (Too Early). You need to act now and switch to P4 so that the market can later resolve to P1 (No).
7
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
LIES
0
n/a
1 week ago
if uma resolves this as no, polymarket would step in and emergency resolve it to yes and override them
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
He would need around $30m... unlikely
0
n/a
1 week ago
How does UMA work? Can just the guy with the biggest bag buy a shitload of voting power and decide whatever he likes?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The elephant in the room: information after the dispute in this market does not count (UMA said so). Since this market was disputed yesterday morning already, any new information does not consider. So the only question is, does "intelligence gathering" imply "forces entering Lebanese soil for combat operations"? Definitely not.
17
·
Liked by n/a, n/a and 15 others
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
No new information after the dispute will apply. So as far as the information is concerned, there clearly was no invasion.
0
homeer
1 week ago
any updates?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Your potential reward on the No side is infinitely higher
1
Car
1 week ago
im very angry about the money im about to lose
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Yes, because it is a bubble
1
HawkTuah
1 week ago
Is this market the mother of all reversals ?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
@Car be a good boy and switch to No - and be on the winner side! No point to stick to 50 Pence looser.
4
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
This market has a bigger chance to resolve to NO - UMA has clarified that only evidence before the dispute counts. Therefore, only evidence before Mon, 30 Sep 2024 12:10:43 GMT applies!
7
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I read your wildly hostile and delusional commentary on UMA Discord. Just unfortunate you don’t have any evidence so you might as well sell now.
0
n/a
1 week ago
If y'all wanna dispute this, bring it on -- I look forward to destroying you on the UMA discord.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The only people arguing on UMA and Polymarket channels insisting that the answer is Yes undoubtly, are only large holders of Yes shares! Watch and see how they will panic sell!
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Quick update: still no evidence/confirmation that the reports by the IDF are true. Also, the IDF clearly iterated that this is neither an incursion nor an invasion. Going to pick up a lot more No shares shortly.
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Quick update: still no evidence/confirmation that the reports by the IDF are true. At this point, it’s still reasonable to assume that no ”combat operations” were carried out during the timeframe in the rules. Going to pick up a lot more No shares shortly.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Tanks are parked on Israeli soil
1
abdendriel
1 week ago
There’s a military offensive and prior to that, plenty of reports of officials talking about the need for a buffer zone. Anyway, they are in control of the ola e where the tanks have parked
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
you make me laugh too hard
0
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
Market fixing is a criminal offence in London, too. Your online activities are prosecutable locally.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
you can sugg my harrybolz
1
2024AD
1 week ago
You’re going to lose another 700$ to dispute. It is very obvious yes
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I will dispute it last minute if nobody else does.
1
Wapoc
1 week ago
I guess no one is gonna propose. GG's. Yes wins!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
It’s disputed now.
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
AHAHAHAHAH
0
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
On what grounds? Any attempt to dispute what are now confirmed facts by Israel, the IDF, and a massive consensus of credible reporting would simply be an attempt to market fix--a serious criminal offense.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Yes
1
n/a
1 week ago
What we doing boys? Why is it proposed as Yes
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
DISPUTE ON UMA: https://oracle.uma.xyz/?project=Polymarket
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
You seem mentally deranged, that’s not true
0
RememberAmalek
1 week ago
We don't need evidence anymore this market already resolved.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
ASK ON THE DISCORD THEN
0
RememberAmalek
1 week ago
You're a moron @RBvKrsr7ZfRK I'm not misleading anyone I'm stating what WILL happen.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
you should be banned for intentionally misleading everyone
0
RememberAmalek
1 week ago
I don't understand how you've been on the site as long as this and you think you have even a .000001% chance here, are you just trying to flip a profit and dump bags on some unsuspecting idiot?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
NO the markets are not related.
0
RememberAmalek
1 week ago
You N buyers really need to consider what I'm saying, I'm trying to help you not give people high volume high return bonds, the November market which had the same but worse (timeline) ruleset has resolved, by extension this market WILL resolve Yes there's not some chance, some scenario, it's 0. it's over.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Actually the November one is another market and not relevant for the outcome.
0
RememberAmalek
1 week ago
This is 100% going yes, if you wanted to fight it you needed to dispute November, this isn't like maybe it'll go Y this is 100% going Y, I'm not attacking you but trying to help.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
xdddddddddddd
0
FinallyHappening
1 week ago
Netanyahu Statement: "I have seen the market on poly it should resolve to No"
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I have read your wildly hostile and defamatory statements so I realize your intent of this communication
0
Sakuya
1 week ago
Israeli ground invasion begins in southern Lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I don't understand your angst or why you have the obsession you do. But normal people look at this and just shake their head.
3
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
We have a major "consensus of credible reporting" folks!!! The Yes holders win!!! GG
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Irrelevant actually, every market is unrelated and standalone
0
n/a
1 week ago
lol another market is not a credible source
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Tip: check border webcam livestreams (YouTube). Nothing happening!
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
True. This market resolution will be a surprise for everyone ;)
0
n/a
1 week ago
This market resolves when hezbollah and IDF confirms. Right now neither have confirmed breaking the border
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Please dispute it: https://oracle.uma.xyz/?project=Polymarket&transactionHash=0xb90486134f6e747fb93e20ddd309b39ac006e243c6ebac66c4546368c463f1de&eventIndex=1101
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
لبنان: مراسل الميادين في الجنوب: ليس هناك أي توغل برّي إسرائيلي حتى الآن عند الحدود مع فلسطين المحتلة
0
zynyz
1 week ago
https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-before-november/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-before-november How is this one resolving arleady?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Dispute it
0
zynyz
1 week ago
https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-before-november/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-before-november How is this one resolving arleady?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
hello boys
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
There is no statement that Israeli soliders actually crossed the border
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Another fake news headline lol
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
See you on the flip side in 5 hours
3
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
This entire comments section is like 5 desperate No holders trying to bend reality.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
It’s pretty likely Israel got cooked on the border and all the world leaders are busy cooking up a story
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Source?
0
BenCM
1 week ago
Israeli military personnel have physically entered Lebanese territory for combat operations during this period, with Israeli commandos conducting raids inside southern Lebanon as part of targeted military operations. These raids are ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil, which satisfy the conditions outlined in the market's rules.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
9 minutes ago - The announcement comes as Israel continues to fire artillery into Lebanon ahead of a potential ground incursion.
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
If there is one thing that is certain, then it’s that nothing is certain. And this market is unbalanced
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
This whole market is a bubble he operates lmao
1
n/a
1 week ago
Pence bout to lose a lot of moneys
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I want to see what happens if everyone with YES in profit just sells... what will PENCE do without exit liquidity? He knows this is a No
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
7 AM is expiry of this market
0
Tji22
1 week ago
Sun rises at 6:45
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
There is not. Border is intact. They did not cross
2
GamblerXi
1 week ago
Is there any source on Israeli troops on Lebanese soil? I can’t find any
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Fake news
0
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
Time to gobble up cheap shares!! Yum, yum!!
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
People are panic dumping https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The whole order book is fake. Buy $100 of NO bets and the liquidity fades quickly
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
someone is spoofing on the order book
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Concurrently, Lebanon's Al-Jadeed channel stated that Israeli forces have not yet approached the Blue Line, the official boreer. Lebanese media outlets have refuted claims of Israeli attempts to advance beyond the border, asserting that the border remains intact.
0
JustDefend89
1 week ago
The war in northern Israel: The Israeli political-security cabinet ministers officially approved during the meeting the next phase of the operation in Lebanon, the IDF officially entered the ground.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
OK
0
yevh97
1 week ago
Buy more bro
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
It’s not on Lebanese soil ?
0
Will143
1 week ago
then why are you holding no
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
BREAKING: Hezbollah says it targeted Israeli troop movements across from Lebanese border towns - Reuters News
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
There is one guy who owns 70% of all YES.. manipulation
0
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
What does this even mean
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
BS
1
abdendriel
1 week ago
Don’t confuse this market with the invasion market. It’s now clear that IDF jumped the gun and conducted raids before today
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
LIQUIDATE PENCE AT ALL COSTS
4
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
men you have 142 shares
0
n/a
1 week ago
hahaha agent provocateur. I love it. Keep on going! It looks like you own a lot, but it's just 3k usd. The real whales spent 200k+ on this
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Your aunt said I should relay her wishes to you ;)
1
n/a
1 week ago
But did I entered your mom tho?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
You’re the moron
0
n/a
1 week ago
like a toddler, hiding their eyes from reality. Mate, you went all-in and you lost. (I suspect you are a false flag operation baiting the morons:D)
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
They still DID NOT cross the border.
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Israeli artillery units are firing into southern Lebanon every few minutes, sending one percussive boom after another reverberating through the valley near the Lebanese border.
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
nobody cares about your fake news
2
abdendriel
1 week ago
I wonder if I need to keep repeating myself for 2 whole days about WSJ, CNN, and a host of credible reports of raids intensifying over recent days in preparation for the invasion. Don’t confuse this with the other invasion market
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Still imminent, did not start.
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
"We’re terrified," Lebanese border resident says amid fears of imminent Israeli incursion
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Spokesman for the Israel Defense Force, Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari, “In recent hours there have been many reports and rumors about IDF activity on the Lebanese border. We ask not to transmit reports about the activities of the forces, due to the security of our forces. Stick to the official reports only and do not spread irresponsible rumors.”
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Yes, this is in 7 hours 30 minutes.
1
0x0067e40e99580bB4f48f377786e1f595557578D4-1722634879022
1 week ago
What happened to September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Unfortunately that article states zero combat operations
2
Car
1 week ago
They already invaded earlier today
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
you intentionally spread false information
3
Car
1 week ago
They already invaded earlier today
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The harsh truh is... if there’s no announcement within the next 7h30 that Israel did cross the border and launch a combat operation, this resolves to No.
3
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Which is not combat
0
abdendriel
1 week ago
The intent of them being there during raids is reported as preparation for the invasion.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Buy more NO
1
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
How can I help influence outcome?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
No clashes = no combat
2
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
There were no reports of direct clashes between Israeli troops and Hezbollah militants, who last engaged in ground combat on Lebanese soil during a monthlong war in 2006.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
There were no reports of direct clashes between Israeli troops and Hezbollah militants, who last engaged in ground combat on Lebanese soil during a monthlong war in 2006.
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Do the rules say "This market resolves to Yes if there are intelligence-gathering raids"? No!
0
abdendriel
1 week ago
They already have been doing raids
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Lebanon incursion awaiting cabinet approval, IDF operates in West Bank
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
SQUEEZE 50 PENCE
5
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Everyone sharing one and the same fake pic
1
itsari👻
1 week ago
https://x.com/Osint613/status/1840836386502635879
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
yes
0
Besh24
1 week ago
They are going in in the morning, by that time market has finished
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
dam dam dam
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
COPE
0
n/a
1 week ago
yes please. i already sold at 99, i need some people to lower the price
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I’m buying more
5
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
⚡️In contrast to the reports being circulated, Israel did not breach the borders between Lebanon and occupied Palestine. [Al-Manar]
7
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
On the Invasion market
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
50-Pence bought 1,000 No at 23.0¢ ($230)
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Source
0
0xd46BE610A32E5C6eE094977E3CaF9aB89C525DaB-1721880533746
1 week ago
Troops are already in Lebanon
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
As of September 30, 2024, Israeli forces have not yet conducted a ground invasion into Lebanese territory, but preparations and intelligence-gathering operations are underway. Israeli special forces have carried out cross-border raids in southern Lebanon to gather intelligence on Hezbollah's tunnels and military infrastructure, which could precede a limited ground operation. Despite the mobilization of Israeli troops along the northern border and indications of readiness for a ground incursion, ***no ground combat operations have been reported***. The U.S. is monitoring the situation closely and has dispatched additional forces to the region to bolster air defense capabilities, particularly wary of potential retaliatory actions from Iran and its allies. Hezbollah has vowed to resist any ground invasion, and international efforts to broker a ceasefire have been unsuccessful thus far.
6
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Lies
1
Car
1 week ago
They have already invaded
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Manipulation
3
Car
1 week ago
I see alot of people wondering why this is up so much with just a few hours left. That is because it already happened. Be cautious buying NO. You have a higher chance of succeeding in the "invade" market.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
You meant to say "is only at 35%"
1
Foreseeable.
1 week ago
You guys realize the market for an actual invasion is at 35% already?! :D https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727715745370
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
They have no crossed into Lebanon with the intent to engage in combat, YET. Once they do, this market resolves to Yes. Right now, still No.
0
abdendriel
1 week ago
Their intent is to invade. The operations are reported as part of a wider invasion to degrade Hezbollah
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
nup
0
abdendriel
1 week ago
Reconnaissance in preparation for an invasion is. Also destroying outposts
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
You’re delusional lol
1
abdendriel
1 week ago
Many authoritative sources of what’s included in Combat Operations below. USMC combat operations includes working with a laptop, let alone raids to destroy outposts
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
That does not qualify under the rules
0
abdendriel
1 week ago
But they say they’ve done the comps at operations with the intention of preparing for the invasion
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Given that military officials have stated that no decision has been made about a major ground operation, it reinforces your earlier points about the current situation. Until there is a clear commitment from Israel to launch a significant ground offensive that involves crossing into Lebanon with the intent to engage in combat, the raids you've described would likely not fulfill the criteria for the market to resolve to "Yes."
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
These raids were specified to be mainly for intelligence gathering rathern than start of active combat
0
n/a
1 week ago
US confirms earlier Arab media reports of Israeli raids. Enjoy your 5 No to bei 0$ https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk#cm1p0tx1b00003b6mp84lj4hj
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
It’s all about what their intent is
0
n/a
1 week ago
You know that for "combat operations" you don't necessarily have to shoot people right?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
For the market to resolve to "Yes," there would need to be a clear indication of Israeli troops engaging in combat within Lebanese territory. Given the current reports, these operations appear to fall short of that threshold, suggesting that they may not meet the criteria for the market.
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The enemy did not enter by ground yet, so the market resolves to NO
5
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
■ The Deputy Secretary General of Hezbollah, Naim Qassem, said "if the enemy enters by ground, our fighters are ready to resist them," in his first statement since the killing of Nasrallah.
3
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
■ A U.S. official told the Washington Post that Israel is planning a limited ground operation in Lebanon that could start imminently, as has informed the U.S.
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Will get overturned anyway, it’s disputed
1
3,3
1 week ago
How amusing these attempts are to present articles from the NYTimes/WSJ/other American media as truth, instead of waiting for official statements from Israel/Lebanon.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
LOL
1
abdendriel
1 week ago
Legally combat operations includes even includes cyber https://www.lawinsider.com/dictionary/combat-operations
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
According to the whale glorifiers here, yes
0
n/a
1 week ago
I guess if I fly over to China and start spying on CCP members, I am engaging in combat operations?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
IRRELEVANT
0
abdendriel
1 week ago
USAF: “ The Combat Operations Division (COD) executes and monitors the Combined Force Air Component Commander’s daily Air Tasking Order (ATO), a document that directs daily air operations with respect to aircraft sorties, weapons loads and operational tasks. As one of five divisions within the Combined Air Operations Center (CAOC), the COD enables the CAOC to meet its mission as the primary command and control facility for Coalition air operations in the U.S. Central Command’s (USCENTCOM) Area of Responsibility (AOR). The COD serves as the CAOC’s dynamic around-the-clock operations floor.” https://www.afcent.af.mil/About/Fact-Sheets/Display/Article/217807/
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Anyone can publish their own definition of "combat operations". What matters, is the dictionary definition. Combat = fighting between two armed forces. Operations = everything that happens in a war (bombing, strikes, etc). These combat operations carried out by Israeli troops on Lebanese soil is a requirement by the rules. There is not a single Israeli tank on Lebanese soil.
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Probably wants to play it safe
1
Car
1 week ago
JustKen sold all his NOs
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
The smallest stakes are always loudest
4
Justifax
1 week ago
it'd be a funny experiment if all the YES buyers completely pulled their orders and we watched the NO holders fight to sell first.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I am the one who disputed the proposals so I will hold it out most likely. I am pretty confident in the No
1
n/a
1 week ago
Asking the No buyers, will you likely sell shortly before the time ends on a good price or keep it until the market is resolved?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I just feel bad for the people who saw a big pump from one single person and bought into this without reading the rules
5
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
yes, I am actually willing to do it, I make enough profit from my No positions.
2
BlueSky123
1 week ago
Can the disputer pls give me $500 back??? I don't even need the full $750 just the $500 pls :((((
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Definition of ”combat”: fighting between armed forces
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
There is no mention of "combat"
0
sd2333
1 week ago
https://x.com/tradernewsai/status/1840748091927863790
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
So far, there was only preparation for combat operations. It’s not yet decided whether there will be a combat operation at all, it could change any minute, however.
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Air raids
1
🤺JustKen
1 week ago
To me, this is now fairly conclusive that the special forces are in there for recond, so then it becomes a question of whether recon counts as "combat operations." It seems 50 Pence has an extremely strong opinion on this question!
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Raids were air raids, anyways
0
🤺JustKen
1 week ago
Lol, that's funny but not sure that is very compelling. You don't want a "v" in there at all if you want No to win.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
PM has been mostly fair. I’m sure ”No” is the answer at this time. Of coures, this can still change
0
AugustoPinochet73
1 week ago
He is, but PM may clarify and UMA won't vote against PM
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
People are saying a solider would have been killed. Sorry to disappoint, it wasn’t combat operations, it was a drone strike. "The Lebanese army said on Monday that a soldier had been killed by an Israeli drone strike while driving through an army checkpoint in southern Lebanon.". Source: NYT
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
We’ll see
1
Car
1 week ago
Yes its possible, but the issue is, you dont have a million
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I have no issue staking a million in UMA and voting on the dispute. Is that possible? Need to look into it.
4
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I think the truth is that both sides want to be right. But the truth also is that the whole market was moved up by a single actor on the Yes side. So clearly, there is some reality distortion here.
3
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Realistically, even if Israel intends to invade, they won’t do it before countries like the UK evacuated. So while they may start actual combat operations on Lebanese soil in October, it’s highly unlikely in September.
6
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Obviously
1
BlueSky123
1 week ago
Disputed again!
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I think people will realize pretty quickly it’s still No and just manipulated.
4
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Based on the rules, it’s still a No
5
Car
1 week ago
such a smart strategy
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Will just dispute again until the time runs out
5
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
As of September 30, 2024, Israeli forces have not yet conducted ground operations in Lebanon, despite intense aerial bombardments. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have carried out extensive airstrikes targeting Hezbollah positions across Lebanon, resulting in significant casualties and infrastructure damage. While there are preparations and mobilizations of Israeli troops along the northern border, indicating a potential for a ground incursion, no ground operations involving Israeli troops on Lebanese soil have been reported.
0
Justifax
1 week ago
This market has nothing to do with Pence. That was unfortunate that so many people donated to him. It has to do with the truth: JPOST - Israeli forces conduct small-scale incursions into Lebanon - report https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-822515 WSJ - Israeli Special Forces Launch Raids Into Lebanon Ahead of Possible Ground Incursion - https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-special-forces-launch-raids-into-lebanon-ahead-of-possible-ground-incursion-bf2fe94d TELEGRAPH: "Israeli special forces cross into Lebanon" https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-hezbollah-hamas-war-gaza-latest-news/ ALJAZAEERA -Israel raids three towns in southern Lebanon Our colleagues on the ground are reporting that the Israeli army launched raids on al-Abbassieh, Harouf and Bedias in southern Lebanon. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/9/30/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israel-expands-strikes-on-beirut-as-105-killed HEZBO, the primary resolution for this market, confirms timing - https://x.com/ajarabic/status/1840407001639301552?s=46
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
You’re welcome
7
Kavim
1 week ago
Thank you who Disputed you are the king!
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Done. Thanks for the free money moron.
5
BlueSky123
1 week ago
Hey no-bros. I was the one who proposed, LOL! If you want to dispute, click this wacky link and select early proposal. Make sure to have $750 USDC.e in your account, which you can get by withdrawing from Polymarket and making sure to check the USDC.e button. It won't be checked by default.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
LOL no
2
BlueSky123
1 week ago
Intelligence would obviously count as a combat operation.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Send the link where to dispute your proposal
0
BlueSky123
1 week ago
Okay, so first of all you need $750 in USDC.e. You can get USDC.e by withdrawing that amount from your Polymarket account, and MAKE SURE to check the USDC.e checkmark, because it won't be checked by default. Then click the dispute button, the rest should be obvious. If you win the dispute, you will have $1000 credited back to your account, meaning that you will win $250.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
As of September 30, 2024, there has been no confirmed report of Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory for combat operations. Despite heightened tensions and ongoing cross-border violence, the exchanges have been limited to aerial and rocket attacks. Israeli airstrikes have continued to target various areas in Lebanon, resulting in significant casualties, but there is no official confirmation of Israeli troops on Lebanese soil.
5
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
I will dispute
0
BlueSky123
1 week ago
I proposed yes. If anyone disagrees with my proposal, they ought to dispute it.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
A big nothing burger. No military personnel entered Lebanese territory for combat operations so far.
0
n/a
1 week ago
"The purpose of these operations was to glean information in preparation for a possible invasion." Clear as day not for "combat operations".
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
From the rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel **physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations** between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
6
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Based on the rules, "raid" resolves to No
0
abdendriel
1 week ago
This is not a Mossad undercover mission in Beirut. Special Forces targeted raids launched into Lebanon is the consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
lol no
0
Foreseeable.
1 week ago
Pretty sure a raid is a combat operation. And if a raid is only 1/3 of a combat operation, 3 raids are one.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
"Israel is yet undecided whether to conduct ground operation"
0
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
OVP 26,3%, FPO 29,2% - 1,4% deviation. FPO is guaranteed to be #1
1
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
And I won
1
li4m20
1 week ago
Lol, you placed a bet on the Nazis
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Agreed
0
IWillReturn
1 week ago
Free money if you read the rules
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Shut the fuck up
1
StatusQuo
1 week ago
Fucking Nazis I hope the other parties don't let them get to power
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Erste Wahltrend-Prognose: FPÖ: 26-28 % ÖVP: 24-26 % SPÖ: 20-22 % Neos: 9-11 % Grüne: 8-10 %
0