#159
Rank
165
Comments
73
Likes Received
368
Likes Given
nicekitty
2 days ago
right
TanOri
2 days ago
6% doesnt reach space is too high, more like 6c failed catch
nicekitty
4 days ago
stop posting
WOODYNL
4 days ago
arizona is a flip toss... 7 states is to expensive for the current chances..
nicekitty
4 days ago
Happens to the best of us @Thunderchild
nicekitty
5 days ago
as are you
schimaere
5 days ago
just split money between DD and RD or am I missing something?
nicekitty
5 days ago
gg
nicekitty
6 days ago
Rather, I think the bad orange man has it
nicekitty
6 days ago
21.9% ROI in 2 days you say
nicekitty
6 days ago
21.9% ROI in 2 days you say
nicekitty
1 week ago
So much for theta decay
nicekitty
1 week ago
sir, I believe you misread the question, this is an Israel market
Car
1 week ago
Nothing ever happens
nicekitty
1 week ago
yeah 5+ falcon 9 lauches
Doctorsol
1 week ago
my dad is the ceo of spacex and he said 100% 5+ launches this year
nicekitty
1 week ago
but….but there was a 24% chance of a ceasefire in November...
Car
1 week ago
the ceasefire talks failed again. (who wouldve thought)
nicekitty
2 weeks ago
It’s alright you’re pretty well on the money there, @Sushiboi was just running a pump & dump but unfortunately for them they forgot to dump their No 4 shares at the 54c high & then sold them back in the 30’s. That’s what you get I guess
LeM0
2 weeks ago
No idea what the person bellow is yapping about. Booster 13 already completed static fire testing and SpaceX officialy planning for flight 6 (4) for mid november. Static fire test: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qxLAYSRJTiw . + Ship 31 for flight 6 already completed cryogenic and static fire tests earlier this year. The only roadblock for spacex is FAA however the flight plan for flight 6 was approved together with flight 5, so all they need is finish booster tests and get launch license. However based on spacex past and musks comments its completely likely that they would launch even without getting the license and just pay the fine to the FAA.
nicekitty
2 weeks ago
it really is at this point
Dada2024
2 weeks ago
eassyyyyyyy money!!!!!
nicekitty
2 weeks ago
Recovery mode after that L on the Israel attack in October 😅
Donkov
2 weeks ago
wrap it up https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/oct/26/middle-east-crisis-live-israel-airstrikes-iran-lebanon-gaza-hamas-hezbollah-latest-updates
nicekitty
2 weeks ago
keep posting
Sushiboi
2 weeks ago
It's unlikely that IFT-6 will launch in 2024 due to several compounding factors. Historically, SpaceX takes 2-3 months between test flights, and with IFT-5 having launched in mid-October, that already sets a tight window for IFT-6. Adding to this, Starbase is currently facing overcrowding, with too many boosters being stacked simultaneously, which slows down production and assembly timelines. The Orbital Launch Mount (OLM), crucial for static fire tests, also requires significant repairs due to damage sustained in IFT-5, including rusting pipes and damaged Booster Quick Disconnect components. On top of that, the holiday season is approaching, which traditionally slows operations further. Even if SpaceX manages to complete repairs, conduct the necessary cryogenic and static fire tests, and resolve any unexpected issues, the likelihood of launching before 2025 remains slim given these logistical and technical issues
nicekitty
2 weeks ago
he’s just hustling people, but I kinda respect what he did here, being able to single-handedly push the price of 4 launches down 15c. Should sell before SpaceX updates us all with the November date they’re targeting for the next launch tho
Sushiboi
2 weeks ago
As of now, booster 13 has already been fully stacked, but has not had its engines installed. After engine installation, it will need to undergo 2 critical tests before becoming flight ready: 1) Cryogenic test 2) Static fire test. After these 2 tests are completed, the launch will take place 4-6 weeks later, this means that all critical tests need to be done in 40 days. For reference, the shortest interval between 2 test flights was 84 days between IFT 3 and IFT 4. IFT 5 launched on 13 Oct, 2025 comes 80 days later.
nicekitty
2 weeks ago
tldr; because the last 4 roulette spins were red, the 5th one will be too
Sushiboi
2 weeks ago
As of now, booster 13 has already been fully stacked, but has not had its engines installed. After engine installation, it will need to undergo 2 critical tests before becoming flight ready: 1) Cryogenic test 2) Static fire test. After these 2 tests are completed, the launch will take place 4-6 weeks later, this means that all critical tests need to be done in 40 days. For reference, the shortest interval between 2 test flights was 84 days between IFT 3 and IFT 4. IFT 5 launched on 13 Oct, 2025 comes 80 days later.
nicekitty
3 weeks ago
We have a friend keeping No shares below 80c it seems...
nicekitty
3 weeks ago
also https://orbitaltoday.com/2024/10/15/starship-flight-6-what-we-know-so-far/ most likely next month, possibly pushed into early December
Bobbidy
3 weeks ago
Catching the ship requires a full orbit, but they are required to test inflight restart of Raptor engine before actually reaching orbit. So another suborbital test flight will likely happen by the end of this year.
nicekitty
3 weeks ago
I love how the timeframe has passed but no one feels sure enough about the outcome to resolve it lmao
nicekitty
3 weeks ago
Already lost $1k, just here for the controversial resolution
nicekitty
3 weeks ago
Top up time
nicekitty
3 weeks ago
Lowkey it’s Grok 3 f*cking with us & gonna stop the next launch
FrreeMOney
3 weeks ago
Yea seems like JustKen has no fucking clue what he's doing with this one
nicekitty
3 weeks ago
Thanks for the 5+ yes shares brother Ken, might need a hedge if this next launch happens early in November
nicekitty
0 months ago
dyslexia, every time he thinks he hit sell he actually buys more yes
MartyMcFly
0 months ago
why holding the ,,Yes“ shares then?
nicekitty
0 months ago
I’m not seeing evidence that they’ve entered the Bint Jbeil municipality (still 3.5 days to go and they seem to be very close, granted). Change my mind
nicekitty
0 months ago
Huge for the 4 launch holders out there; https://x.com/BCCarCounters/status/1845153328210018448
nicekitty
0 months ago
preach.
thismaysoundcornybutloveistheanswer
1 month ago
It’s time for this market to wake up from its slumber
nicekitty
1 month ago
Background info on Sunday’s launch https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pAPt5vbr-YU&ab_channel=EverydayAstronaut
nicekitty
1 month ago
yolo
Upway
1 month ago
Betting on Israel is a casino
nicekitty
1 month ago
I suppose we’re about to find out my friend
jowrex
1 month ago
Hahahahahahhha you have no adea
nicekitty
1 month ago
more imminent than at any moment that’s been, but not as imminent as any moment that will be - K.H
Darkpsico
1 month ago
Attack is imminent
nicekitty
1 month ago
It seems the positive publicity around SpaceX/Starlink deliveries to disaster areas of Hurricane Helene are helping the bureaucratic cogs to turn at the FAA. More good news; https://www.tbsnews.net/worldbiz/usa/us-faa-could-approve-spacex-starship-5-licence-month-source-962351
nicekitty
1 month ago
Impressive find my friend.
Ylescaps
1 month ago
3rd launch , 5th test flight
nicekitty
1 month ago
https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/en/2024/8-october-16-israeli-warplanes-raid-the-city-of-bint-jbeil 200-250m to go
nicekitty
1 month ago
very
Darkpsico
1 month ago
Attack is imminent
nicekitty
1 month ago
Sulaiman is a Hezbollah stooge, if you want relevant counter-information I suggest reading through @Cedarville’s link above
nicekitty
1 month ago
Yes, we can all see that you sold your Yes shares and bought No shares, and are trying to pump your new position now.
nicekitty
1 month ago
Yes, we can all see that you sold your Yes shares and bought No shares, and are trying to pump your new position now.
Fredi9999WASP🐝
1 month ago
https://x.com/ShaykhSulaiman/status/1843685869557035116
nicekitty
1 month ago
small fish in a big pond my friend
Foreseeable.
1 month ago
Thank god for NiceKitty!
nicekitty
1 month ago
It means more when you haven’t sold your yes shares
General.William.T.Sherman
1 month ago
Satellite images reveal that new roads have been constructed by the Israeli military in the Lebanese villages of Yaroun and Maroun al-Ras, which are under Israeli occupation. It indicates that Israel does not plan to withdraw from these areas in a short period of time.
nicekitty
1 month ago
good assessment, I’ve had my fair share of L’s from greed/panic trading as well. Good luck out there
denizz
1 month ago
thanks for the advice. i'm still new to this (trading, not the middle east). very frustrating that meticulously accumulated gains can get wiped out in a moment of panic. basically i guess i've been learning **not to trade tired** and not to skip any steps just to try to beat other folks to the sell button...
nicekitty
1 month ago
fake news
mio
1 month ago
It started: https://x.com/spectatorindex/status/1843424887387656203
nicekitty
1 month ago
nope
mio
1 month ago
did they really attack https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1843426151521484850
nicekitty
1 month ago
tbc
Bobbidy
1 month ago
Third launch of the year Oct 13: https://www.spacex.com/launches/mission/?missionId=starship-flight-5
nicekitty
1 month ago
save your P/L brother we’re not doing it till next week Herzi just told us himself
HaterzLoserz
1 month ago
I am commander of the IDF
nicekitty
1 month ago
@denizz my friend, if you let this be a learning opportunity it might just be worth the L of the past 20 minutes, don’t buy/sell with your emotions. Cold, hard logic. This is the way brother
nicekitty
1 month ago
People need to take a breather from X I think, the misinformation out there is real
nicekitty
1 month ago
lmao tell that to the 91st
Sardinianshepherd
1 month ago
they must have stopped for coffee along the road
nicekitty
1 month ago
or settler-style hardcore Judaism 😅 #launchthosenukes
Shekel
1 month ago
That's what the Holy Quran do 🤗
nicekitty
1 month ago
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2024/10/05/leader-of-idf-northern-command-tours-southern-lebanon-looks-back-at-israel/
nicekitty
1 month ago
Geez why the drop/jump anyone care to loop me in
nicekitty
1 month ago
oops
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
The attack won't happen until the price is below 5c. So if we keep it above 5c, then we protect the world from catastrophic nuclear war.
nicekitty
1 month ago
sir, this is an Israel market
TheGuy27
1 month ago
Nothing ever happens
nicekitty
1 month ago
I suspect what’s happening right now + what will happen in the nextt +/-40 hours may resolve this one in the affirmative. I don’t know what @justken's MO is or who controls the UMA but evidence or a lack thereof is hopefully all that decides the outcome
Cedarville
1 month ago
Gonna resolve to "too early" then re-vote as "yes"
nicekitty
1 month ago
ask the UMA I’m not the mafia boss, and I also am finding it harder to believe anyone rational & unbiased can think what’s happening right now doesn’t count. The 36th division & co. aren’t moving in for falafel & kebabs, they’re going in to assert control over the border ares incl. 20+ villages, allbeit they’re presently only in 3 from what I can tell
bbman1214
1 month ago
How can you deny an invasion when a hostile force crosses your border with tanks
nicekitty
1 month ago
https://k13news.com/israel-sends-more-tanks-cross-border-into-lebanon more evidence tilting this toward a yes now
nicekitty
1 month ago
Dude they’re probably writing from a Russian troll farm lmao
Cedarville
1 month ago
So you're ok with the nation suffering economic trouble as long as your political opponents get bad cred. Very patriotic of you.
nicekitty
1 month ago
Almost ready to propose now, attempting to gain control of over 20 Lebanese border towns should count as “a military offensive intended to establish control” CHANGE MY MIND
nicekitty
1 month ago
looks like he got your P/L into positive territory 😂 that’s incredible
MisTKy
1 month ago
Let's hope it dose not destabilize the zone to the point of no return. Thank you HatezLosers you put in the comments some very good sources. For those who made money on this next time you see a refugee or someone who is affected by the war, maybe you lend a helping hand.
nicekitty
1 month ago
you were cooked until you switched to the yes camp.
crim
1 month ago
I said I was cooked 7 hours ago. Managed to save my position. God bless polymarket.
nicekitty
1 month ago
related; 'IDF tanks have entered villages in the border area’ https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/breaking-israel-invades-lebanon-live-33789701
nicekitty
1 month ago
Tuesday morning in Israel, wonder if this question still exists in 12 hours. My 🍿 bucket’s empty from yesterday but fortunately Prime does same-day delivery & Israel entering Lebanon resulted in a new popcorn machine being 2 hours away. Here’s to peace in the middle east
nicekitty
1 month ago
Tuesday morning in Israel, wonder if this question still exists in 12 hours. My 🍿 bucket’s empty from yesterday but fortunately Prime does same-day delivery & Israel entering Lebanon resulted in a new popcorn machine being 2 hours away. Here’s to peace in the middle east
nicekitty
1 month ago
sir, I believe you’re in the wrong place. This is an Israel market
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
What's interesting to me, and this is alpha for noobs, is that the price in this market is very high considering the ramifications of such an action.
nicekitty
1 month ago
read the back half of that sentence
Au-gust
1 month ago
Must be confirmed by Israel per rules
nicekitty
1 month ago
Has it happened since Sept. 26th though
Hedged
1 month ago
Reports Israel have been conducting raids in Lebanon https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-special-forces-launch-raids-into-lebanon-ahead-of-possible-ground-incursion-bf2fe94d?mod=hp_lead_pos1
nicekitty
1 month ago
https://www.thetimes.com/world/israel-hamas-war/article/israeli-tanks-mass-on-lebanese-border-as-fears-rise-of-ground-invasion-93gdqrg5r#Echobox=1727673669-1
NotJustKen
1 month ago
If I wanted to attack someone I wouldn't announce it to the world. I will strike in silent to catch them off guard. Even if Israel wants to invade, this is the worst possible time to do that. Don't forget how much difficulty they had in Gaza, an area that they control and knows everything about. Compare that to invading into an unknown territory with hills & tunnels against a larger and more prepared force. It won't look good for israel
nicekitty
1 month ago
It’s Monday morning in Israel, get your popcorn ready
nicekitty
1 month ago
anyone buying 5 shares to comment as often as you is a red herring
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
Very clueful post - https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822290
nicekitty
1 month ago
ok
fakeplsttrees
1 month ago
it makes zero sense for israel to launch a ground assault
nicekitty
1 month ago
Care to share your source?
JonathanG
1 month ago
Put no on this. Russians have been telling the Iranians to sit on their hands until the time is right.
nicekitty
1 month ago
got me too on another market my friend, lesson learned.
bakayo33 - 9934
1 month ago
Fuck I caved. Won't ever do that again. https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/netanyahu-says-reports-of-imminent-ceasefire-are-false-denies-toning-down-lebanon-strikes/
nicekitty
1 month ago
so you're saying it's 50-50
HaterzLoserz
1 month ago
Current situation is basically Israel stated today "Hezb must withdraw North of the Litani, the Lebanon govt must accept this and the UN sends in peace keeping troops to secure southern lebanon, or we will do it ourselves, you have 3 days.
nicekitty
1 month ago
check again
denizz
1 month ago
No rocket fire from Lebanon in nearly 18 hours. No Israeli airstrikes so far this morning after reports of over 150 strikes in Beqaa region overnight, @ynetalerts says.
nicekitty
1 month ago
until it does
Mr.Damon
1 month ago
To quote the great car. Nothing ever happens
nicekitty
1 month ago
The next 40 might be a nervous wait for you my friend
Car
1 month ago
Another day, another day without invasion
nicekitty
1 month ago
nice profile pic
CarToGuantanamo
1 month ago
i cant wait for netenyahus october surprise
nicekitty
1 month ago
I give it 6 hours
just.some.guy
1 month ago
I think Gallant is toast. Actuallly, they should make a market on that.
nicekitty
1 month ago
yep.
johnnysgoski
1 month ago
piastri really undervalued right now, he will be top 3 very likely
nicekitty
1 month ago
Anyone check their calendar for September 31st
nicekitty
2 months ago
buy more, I have 2 orders in the low 80c's 👍
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/09/10/mpox-outbreak-congo-africa/
nicekitty
2 months ago
yessir. 4-1 in the 4th
n/a
2 months ago
did dimitrov retire?
nicekitty
2 months ago
now if we map the areas where sewage tested positive for monkeypox onto an electoral map of the bluest areas of America...
Scoobs
2 months ago
I wonder which clade they're testing for
nicekitty
2 months ago
Juuuust for clarity's sake, buying 'no' shares on 'No Ceasefire in 2024' is betting there will be a ceasefire in 2024, yes?
nicekitty
2 months ago
Truce vs Libratrack + nvdacrypto. Loading game...
nicekitty
2 months ago
baaldeborn
nedeshevka
2 months ago
Confirmed case of baal
nicekitty
2 months ago
doesn't look like you are
AmericansCantBetHere
2 months ago
are we not gonna count that one guy who recently traveled to Spain and did stupid stuff?
nicekitty
2 months ago
In other news: The CDC has just confirmed that no cases of clade I mpox have been reported in the United States at this time. CDC keeps Mpox risk as “low” due to the limited number of travellers and no direct commercial flights from the DRC or its neighbouring countries to the United States. Cheers @Monkeypoxtally
nicekitty
2 months ago
don't be that guy
mangoslice
2 months ago
Some of the new cases are Clade 1b. Will those count toward a "yes" resolution? Or does it have to be strictly Clade 1, not Clade 1b?
nicekitty
2 months ago
tf how much are you spending on flights bro
Nashlesh
2 months ago
Bet 1 million on yes, fly to africa get mpox clade1 fly back to the us, and 10x your money lol
nicekitty
2 months ago
if they were goats on the other hand...
Donkov
2 months ago
As a YES holder, I must admit, that I doubt Israel would invade over a shot up chicken coop.
nicekitty
2 months ago
One noble American to rule them all
fate
2 months ago
All it takes is one bug chaser...
nicekitty
2 months ago
sell before your -$219 becomes -$426 champ, lead down to +$5.4M but it's the weekday's ahead that are going to truly kill D&W
P0lyhedr0n-
2 months ago
After getting alien 👽 punched this past week, D&W has a great weekend. 💀 Pool is soo back!
nicekitty
2 months ago
information spin like this is why mainstream news exists.
DoughJones
2 months ago
last Friday through today (3 days) DP is still ahead 5,4mln in total. IO after 31 day was $571,806,237 while DP is $577, 203. That's as of now. How fast will DP lose in the future days - faster than IO did or slower - who knows, but today it's ahead and is sold for 6 cents?
nicekitty
2 months ago
good time to be holding yes shares
Isucku4currency
2 months ago
Whos ready to make some $???!?!
nicekitty
2 months ago
go to Jesus
CometoJesusMoment
2 months ago
This market will be resolved to YES!
nicekitty
2 months ago
$7M
maku
2 months ago
YES for Deadpool 3 is free money... Look at daily grossing, 2-3 weeks and it catches up to io2
nicekitty
2 months ago
3-17/7-14 day incubation period, those yes shares will be sweatin' bullets
GoblinMilk
2 months ago
just landed in uganda. give me a little more time
nicekitty
2 months ago
*Thai
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
Would you think there is more thailandish or more american people hanging around in african mpox areas? Thailand confirms Asia’s first known case of new deadlier mpox variant 1B https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/23/thailand-mpox-clade-1b-strain-new-variant-case
nicekitty
2 months ago
Here's a stat for you; after OW Deadpool was $57M ahead of IO2, Monday morning it was $12M ahead, Thursday morning just $8M. What do you think happens next week around say, Wednesday?
maku
2 months ago
YES for Deadpool 3 is free money... Look at daily grossing, 2-3 weeks and it catches up to io2
nicekitty
2 months ago
https://tribune.com.pk/story/2490206/second-global-case-of-mpox-clade-1b-outside-africa-confirmed-in-thailand this is accurate as of 22/8/24
nicekitty
2 months ago
Whether accidental or disingenuous, your link conflates clade 1 and 2 cases as clade 1. For clarity, Clade 1 cases have been confirmed in Sweden (1x) and now Thailand (1x), other than that it's still only in Africa.
nicekitty
2 months ago
Whether accidental or disingenuous, your link conflates clade 1 and 2 cases as clade 1. For clarity, Clade 1 cases have been confirmed in Sweden (1x) and now Thailand (1x), other than that it's still only in Africa.
NowItsMyTime
2 months ago
Fist case in USA since 2023 confirmed. Is claude I? https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Od65U/2/
nicekitty
2 months ago
If I had a dollar for every... 'free money'...
maku
2 months ago
YES for Deadpool 3 is free money... Look at daily grossing, 2-3 weeks and it catches up to io2
nicekitty
2 months ago
https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-tiptoes-toward-starship-fifth-test-flight/
nicekitty
2 months ago
buy more yes
NowItsMyTime
2 months ago
How? We have a new Mpox case in USA already lol, to know if is claude I or II.
nicekitty
2 months ago
Shoulda listened to Cudi
Flipp
2 months ago
My cousin in the US just got the monkeypox virus
nicekitty
2 months ago
beat me to that family of 78's
Slytherin
2 months ago
👀
nicekitty
2 months ago
Gracias
XiJinPing
2 months ago
Philippines confirmed Clade 2... meaning so far Sweden still only non-African country w 1 case of Clade 1
nicekitty
2 months ago
source
XiJinPing
2 months ago
Philippines confirmed Clade 2... meaning so far Sweden still only non-African country w 1 case of Clade 1
nicekitty
2 months ago
this is the way
DumbMoney1
2 months ago
Starting to think I may have gone overboard.
nicekitty
2 months ago
I accept you sending me a free pizza, doesn't mean much without Hamas coming to the table
SaltyPizza
2 months ago
US secretary state says Israel accepts proposal for cease-fire in Gaza.
nicekitty
2 months ago
So we’re all on the same page, Phillipines variant remains undetermined, Pakistan case is Clade 2 variant
nicekitty
2 months ago
Pakistan variant confirmed, not Clade 1. https://www.voanews.com/a/officials-pakistan-mpox-strain-is-different-from-drc-strain/7749214.html
nicekitty
2 months ago
yes
Alphabet
2 months ago
How will this work with the wording of "Clade 1" when they're already calling the Swedish variant Clade 1b? Does that count as Clade 1?
nicekitty
2 months ago
great deduction skills
GodofGamblers24
2 months ago
Last night I went to watch Alien: romulus. The light and sound effects were great. I haven't seen such an exciting movie in a public theater for a long time, so I placed my bets on others.
nicekitty
2 months ago
why
SlaylorGiftFromGod
2 months ago
This is why you don’t bet on vague markets with multiple resolution sources
nicekitty
2 months ago
definitely
humblePie
2 months ago
will be between deadpool and joker
nicekitty
2 months ago
Chill, his/her/their/ze comment is funny and I'm sure those people aren't trolling pm like you. Besides, the array of countries who will shoot down missiles/drones en route to Israel + the ID + ...lasers(?) will be more than enough to take care of Iranian missiles/drones. Not to mention likely US involvement, particularly if things actually started getting out of hand
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
STFU you MF idiot. You do realize that there are terrified people in Israel right now?
nicekitty
2 months ago
Chill his comment is funny and I'm sure those people aren't trolling pm like you,
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
STFU you MF idiot. You do realize that there are terrified people in Israel right now?
nicekitty
2 months ago
surely it's Freddy or C-3P0
XiJinPing
2 months ago
Nothing is getting past that huge wall at 81 cents lol... stalemate, well played anon.
nicekitty
2 months ago
can you give us your full name while you're at it
just.some.guy
2 months ago
heh, solid post. is your screen name a phone number? i ask because i'm originally from that area code.
nicekitty
2 months ago
not if investing in a yes outcome here is just a hedge for your peace-oriented investment outcomes elsewhere
Tester - 39764
2 months ago
Einstein said "Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results." In the past two weeks, how much have you lost betting that Iran will bomb Israel? You will be really pissed when Israel is bombed by a proxy (like Lebanon), and not by Iran.
nicekitty
2 months ago
take a psychology course
Solipnihil
2 months ago
Is there any way to open polymarkets charts on tradingview or any other chart analysis software that allows us to to graphical analysis, place indicators, draw lines, etc? Either that or any other graphical analysis sites that allows us to make technical analysis on prediction markets?
nicekitty
3 months ago
I'm in the high 5's / low 6's club for D&W, with a friend @tomatreides owing me $10 if/when it goes past $550M, around $650M total for IO2 so still very unlikely D&W can match it as the weeks roll by but let's see I guess
KentaviusCaldwellPope
3 months ago
I don't understand how people are concluding this is a done deal. IO2 has $636m domestic with a pace that looks like it maybe gets to $646 over the next 2 weeks? Deadpool is about on pace with Black Panther and is going to be at ~$500m by EOD...
nicekitty
3 months ago
It's the pace/trend my friend, the gap is down to $25M now, and exceedingly likely to flip either later this week or more likely on a weekday next week.. fwiw I loved D&W and would promptly flip my investment if the outlook changes!
KentaviusCaldwellPope
3 months ago
I don't understand how people are concluding this is a done deal. IO2 has $636m domestic with a pace that looks like it maybe gets to $646 over the next 2 weeks? Deadpool is about on pace with Black Panther and is going to be at ~$500m by EOD...
nicekitty
3 months ago
Time to lose a lot of money in a short timeframe 👏
nicekitty
3 months ago
then why are you betting everything on Moana 2?
JKGGK
3 months ago
Shit, INSIDE OUT 2 is basically guaranteed at this point!
nicekitty
3 months ago
100%. If you wait a few weeks for the next launch we can scrap 1 + 2.
Apsalar
3 months ago
how sure are we that 1 can be proposed?
nicekitty
3 months ago
Alright sir, however let's check in again next weekend to see how your $480-$520M call is faring. I'll owe you $10 if it doesn't go past $520M, return the favour if it goes past $550M
tomatreides
3 months ago
Waiting for you all to capitulate that I've been right all along.
nicekitty
3 months ago
don't gloat when you're $4k in the hole champ, also your $480-520M prediction will almost certainly be proven wrong mid-late next week. $550-$610M broadly speaking is the likeliest destination
tomatreides
3 months ago
Waiting for you all to capitulate that I've been right all along.
nicekitty
3 months ago
My guy, I jumped off the D&W train and onto the IO2 train because even though D&W is going exceptionally well, it's fallen beneath my pathway to $640M+, and I prefer making money rather than losing it. That being said, if you genuinely think D&W is doing less than $550M + you work in film, please don't touch any of the franchises I like, work with any directors I respect, or even talk to them for that matter. The likelihood that it goes past $550M, let alone $520M is sitting around 91-94%. $600M is not far off a coin-toss at present
tomatreides
3 months ago
okay lol. sure... pump my bags lol. It's gonna do 480-520. Incredible success, but it's not catching IO2. You all live in a weird bubble, and clearly don't actually work in the film industry.
nicekitty
3 months ago
sooo $255M vs $299M, you're saying buy Deadpool?
Platinum
3 months ago
inside out is $618,789,769. Deadpool is $280,529,906. We all know that box office is mostly dictated by its first week, and first week has passed. Literally free 10% this one
nicekitty
3 months ago
I don't disagree, but see you on Friday at 9c
Snooty
3 months ago
I’m not a movie expert, but for a film which is greatly surpassing IO2’s initial metrics, 12-13c seems like a hell of a deal. If anybody disagrees, fill my buy order at 12.
nicekitty
3 months ago
got that one wrong
Au-gust
3 months ago
"Hezbollah leadership claim's attack failed to kill any senior leadership" https://x.com/IntelDoge/status/1818337347400089626
nicekitty
3 months ago
he's waiting for IO2 to tank this weekend 👀
tomatreides
3 months ago
54k on other is wild... unless you're just playing the swing when DeadPool drops
nicekitty
3 months ago
the lack of D&W/IO2 shares in your possession suggests a popcorn bucket instead to enjoy proceedings
DumbMoney1
3 months ago
Love the discussion here
nicekitty
3 months ago
https://x.com/EmpireCityBO/status/1818101260890882479 Looking better with each passing day. $23M Monday is a hell of a start towards $70M+ Mon-Thurs and a $100M+ 2nd weekend. Who's got $400M+ DOM by Sunday night on their bingo card?
nicekitty
3 months ago
True, which is significant. I will caveat what I've said above with the reality that this Mon-Thurs is huge for forecasting what the total run will be
FilmBuff
3 months ago
Something that I think works in Deadpool's favour is there's almost no competition for the next three weeks. It will have IMAX and other premium screens locked up until Alien Romulus on 8/16 by which time it could have done $700m.
nicekitty
3 months ago
@singa, 1 in 9 base rate of coming in under $620M, puts it around 88.9% of over $620M. I'll take those odds when y'all have them at 18% of going past IO2's $630-640M haul
nicekitty
3 months ago
Black Panther; $202M OW, $700M total DOM. Knocking off $20M for it's President's Day Monday bump and another $30-50M for intrigue, lands us in the $630-650M range. If Mon-Thurs' is $70M+ (BP's $90M-$20M bump for PD), and this weekend coming is around $100M (BP:$111M) we are very much in a coin toss situation between D&W and IO2. gl
nicekitty
3 months ago
@tomatreides you mean it could go higher?
nicekitty
3 months ago
Black Panther; $202M OW, $700M total DOM. Knocking off $20M for it's President's Day Monday bump and another $30-50M for intrigue, lands us in the $630-650M range. If Mon-Thurs' is $70M+ (BP's $90M-$20M bump for PD), and this weekend coming is around $100M (BP:$111M) we are very much in a coin toss situation between D&W and IO2. gl
nicekitty
3 months ago
oh and fun fact; D&W is the ninth film ever to go past $200M OW DOM, none of the $200+ million openers failed to reach $600 million. Star Wars: The Last Jedi is the lowest grosser in that group with $620M
nicekitty
3 months ago
Black Panther; $202M OW, $700M total DOM. Knocking off $20M for it's President's Day Monday bump and another $30-50M for intrigue, lands us in the $630-650M range. If Mon-Thurs' is $70M+ (BP's $90M-$20M bump for PD), and this weekend coming is around $100M (BP:$111M) we are very much in a coin toss situation between D&W and IO2. gl
nicekitty
3 months ago
Black Panther; $202M OW, $700M total DOM. Knocking off $20M for it's President's Day Monday bump and another $30-50M for intrigue, lands us in the $630-650M range. If Mon-Thurs' is $70M+ (BP's $90M-$20M bump for PD), and this weekend coming is around $100M (BP:$111M) we are very much in a coin toss situation between D&W and IO2. gl
nicekitty
3 months ago
I'll pay that
Apsalar
3 months ago
let's see if betting the opposite of anything anyone calls "free money" remains undefeated
nicekitty
3 months ago
y'all are hilarious
Dontclick
3 months ago
This is definitely exagerated, black panther did 180 million opening weekend, Dark Knight did 160 million, captain america civil war a similair crossover with characters who are far more popular when marvel was it its peak did 179 million. Deadpool 2 only did 125 million opening weekend and Logan did 88 million. Additionally rated R movies dont do anywhere near as well as non rated R I mean Deadpool 2 which did 125 million opening weekend did 785 million gross and that is the number 3 rated R movie.
nicekitty
3 months ago
Gg https://fandomwire.com/deadpool-wolverine-is-better-than-avengers-endgame-ryan-reynolds-and-hugh-jackmans-first-mcu-movie-creates-history-with-its-rotten-tomatoes-audience-rating/
nicekitty
3 months ago
You're in the wrong field champ. Seriously, stick to paper-betting for your own good
TopGunOnTheRun
3 months ago
I dont see a "greater than $1 Billion" market
nicekitty
3 months ago
18% is crazytown if this goes over $200M OW, and yes, I have a dog in the fight
nicekitty
3 months ago
cool bro. Your opinion is objective right? smh
Wisdomtime
3 months ago
Okay, the 170m is super overpriced. a more likely range should be around 50%
nicekitty
3 months ago
too bad you didn't invest anything into that outcome
Parasite
3 months ago
This movie will hit +200 millions easy
nicekitty
3 months ago
no
smallbet6
3 months ago
Is this real
nicekitty
3 months ago
top comment with that holding
Genio
3 months ago
How much trouble am I in tho
nicekitty
3 months ago
gg https://thedirect.com/article/deadpool-and-wolverine-reviews
nicekitty
4 months ago
cool bro
masterbetter
4 months ago
This movie looks so lame
nicekitty
4 months ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/10/israeli-military-says-it-hit-hezbollah-site-in-central-lebanon gg
nicekitty
4 months ago
double or nothing
Parasite
4 months ago
I can do both
nicekitty
4 months ago
For those putting their hard-earned money into No 170m+ here, save yourself the L and consider putting it into No 200m+ here, https://polymarket.com/event/will-deadpool-wolverine-gross-more-than-200m-opening-weekend?tid=1720514561910 just a thought
nicekitty
4 months ago
When's the next by-election again
ASOFE
4 months ago
I think you might have to wait a while
nicekitty
4 months ago
4 in the bag, 3 to go
nicekitty
4 months ago
3 in the bag, 4 to go
nicekitty
4 months ago
https://thequorum.com/film/?filmID=411 7/1 update. Looking good, ridiculously underpriced at 16c. If I had more cash I'd snap these up, not investment advice.
NigelFarage
4 months ago
https://thequorum.com/
nicekitty
4 months ago
NGL, looking forward to July 26th
raj
4 months ago
NGL, I bought IO2 to sell them at profit before DP3 opens. But guess it will end up as #1
nicekitty
4 months ago
FAA bud, they have almost total control over go/no-go's with their launch authorisations
MasterMind21
5 months ago
Surely has a higher than 50% chance of getting 5 to space. We just need 3 more lunches. Elon has said he wants to ramp up launch cadence more and more for the rest of the year. I would say at minimum we get 4 more launches. Even if one of those fails and doesn’t reaches space (which seems unlikely) still 5 will have reached space by the end of the year.
nicekitty
4 months ago
I nearly burnt it
mattbr
4 months ago
nice work lifting my 10%
nicekitty
4 months ago
Wow indeed