Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I know this is coming from a NO holder, but you can suck my dick from the back

7

Master-bettor

9 months ago

I know this is coming from a YES holder but sell your shares!! This market is over. You can still currently liquidate for 0.1c NO. So even if you bought at 1-2c you can a least recover 5-10% of your initial investment. I gain nothing from this I can claim 100c and you can claim 0c NO at 8pm ET.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

They said it was 3 days ago. Prolly.

1

informed

9 months ago

is Yes risk free?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

There was $69m ish revealed in the yes vote. We cooked bro

0

BibiNetanCocksucker

9 months ago

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon#:~:text=On%201%20October%202024%2C%20Israel,capabilities%20and%20devastated%20its%20leadership.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

No sir, one headline reworded from the worlds most deceptive military is enough to fairly feed the locals.

1

zynyz

9 months ago

Polymarket needs to at the very least reset the vote and issue a clarification on "market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel" to state what happens if one source confirms and the other denies, it should be 50/50 at the bare minimum if you change the "and" to an "or"

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society.

1

informed

9 months ago

Well if you value fairness above all, then do not participate on Proof of Stake networks. Bitcoin is for you

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

The bet is over. I can't help but feel like i just witnessed the most insane thing I've seen in the crypto space for years. For these guys i guess they're used to it but feels awfully dangerous. I won't be back and i won't be missed but wtf is going on here. As a law abiding, God fearing man. I can not participate.

4

Phat.

9 months ago

Reality is if we were on the other side of that bet we would've supported all the wrong things that happened like swaying votes and celebrated the outcome. Was it fair? not at all but just take the L with grace and move on because PM wont change the outcome and UMA holders voted and done with.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I stumbled here myself, used my own brain, made my own bet. My lesson.

0

Justifax

9 months ago

If you want to look for a scam by whales, I suggest you analyze which whale bought 'NO' and encouraged others to do the same. These whales know how poly and uma resolve. Ask yourself - why did they do that?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

In the last five years, there have been several notable incidents involving misleading statements by the Israel Defense Forces. This is why i thought "Hezbollah and Israel" confirmation was necessary.

2

Justifax

9 months ago

Poly and UMA can't resolve based on ad hoc judgements per market. They need a consistent framework that works for all markets. Resolving on headlines from the credible outlets (when they occur) in the world is the way to do that. I do know there was the hezbollah one from reuters, but hezbollah also said Nasarallah was alive and also said they were shooting at troops inside lebanon.. They are disorganized and not credible.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I'd rather we look at the amount of capital risked for 1% gain and then the UMA tokens backing them but sure

0

Justifax

9 months ago

If you want to look for a scam by whales, I suggest you analyze which whale bought 'NO' and encouraged others to do the same. These whales know how poly and uma resolve. Ask yourself - why did they do that?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

The rules specifically state "official confirmation from hezbollah and israel" which was released. Not WSJ

0

Justifax

9 months ago

I am honest and sincere as they come and I'll tell you this. Both poly and uma very very consistently resolve on headlines from top outlets. Headlines are a best effort summary of truth. If wsj headlines says special forces are launching raids in lebanon, then that is enough to go YES. They are *very* consistent about this. It's not a scam.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Hezbollah denying it happened is what created a buzz on this market

1

Justifax

9 months ago

wsj is considered one of the most credible newsrooms in the world (not so much the opinion side): https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-special-forces-launch-raids-into-lebanon-ahead-of-possible-ground-incursion-bf2fe94d "Israeli Special Forces Launch Raids Into Lebanon Ahead of Expected Ground Incursion"

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

You voting large positions on Yes and No and winning both has made my day. Well played good sir

0

ANudeEgg

9 months ago

You can’t do it technically unless they expose themselves because it’s all on chain. But many people have been participating in disputes for a long time and there’s no evidence that anything like that is happening, at least for the UMA whales who really matter.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

As of the end of September 2024, Hezbollah has denied that Israeli military personnel have entered Lebanese territory for ground combat operations. Despite claims from the Israeli Defense Forces of conducting "limited" ground operations, Hezbollah stated that Israeli troops had not crossed the border during this time. Therefore, based on the conditions of the market you provided, it would resolve to "No" given the denial from Hezbollah and the absence of credible reports confirming Israeli troop incursions.

3

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

That's the joke

0

Jackherb9

9 months ago

I do not understand what is the decision, if yall chose yes its a total scam this whole website

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

First confirmed combat operation was on October 2nd (10 miles inside lebanon)

0

m1kko

9 months ago

There's a big difference with "military personnel physically entering a country for combat operations" and "a military offensive intended to establish control"

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

It was Yes. UMA token holders vote on the outcome. They decided it was yes. That's how this works.

0

Jackherb9

9 months ago

I do not understand what is the decision, if yall chose yes its a total scam this whole website

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Because i truly believed i was right. You earned it.

0

Master-bettor

9 months ago

why dont you sell and get $60 back?? serious question.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Between impressed and disgusted all i know is this is not a game i wish to play. Live long and prosper, all.

3

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

A generous king

0

aenews2

9 months ago

Last chance to sell for 0.1c guys. I'm pulling my sell order in an hour.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

So 1.5% of the entire uma supply is tied up in this already. What % is the reveal at?

0

aenews2

9 months ago

Yes 99.18% (1,946,401.8) vs. Early Request 0.82% (16,097.04)

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

ITT: We over positioned on false news and now have to blatantly manipulate the outcome to survive our bad decision. $7m doesn't just get to walk off btw

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Heading uptown to re-up (Re-up) Back with a couple keys (Keys) Corner block's on fire (Fire) Undercovers dressed as fiends (Fiends) Making so much money (Money) Product's moving fast (Fast!) Put away the stash As I sold the last bag Fucked around and got locked up

0

aenews2

9 months ago

97.6% P2 Yes

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

UMA - U MUST ASSIMILATE

0

emilio369x

9 months ago

What’s the point in voting if whales are just gonna buy the voting process

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Lotto tickets (objective truth)

0

AppleADay

9 months ago

all these poor p1 holders that bought lotto tickets finding out they lost the house ;(

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Can you pay me a visit? (They won't let me out) Send me some magazines? (They won't let me out) Send me some money orders? (They won't let me out) (No!) Pay me a visit, baby (They won't let me out) ‘Cause I'm locked up (They won't let me out) Where's my lawyer? (They won't let me out) I'm locked up (They won't let me out) (No!) Get me out of here (They won't let me out)

0

aenews2

9 months ago

Seriously? Dump your bags now. Stop holding worthless shares.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Engaging in syndicate scams or fraudulent schemes on any platform, including Polymarket, is illegal and punishable by law. Penalties would depend on the nature and scale of the fraud.

0

JumpingJackFlash

9 months ago

"Insider trading (upto 20 years) Market manipulation (upto 20 years) syndicate scams (5-20) don't blame anyone else, it's all on the blockchain." . It is true. Think about it carefully, dear YES holders, because then you spend the million and a half on lawyers, in case someone a little pissed off ever happens...

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Insider trading (upto 20 years) Market manipulation (upto 20 years) syndicate scams (5-20) don't blame anyone else, it's on the blockchain.

4

Car

9 months ago

Just sell your NO shares already and save a little bit of your money guys

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Im steady tryna find the motive (Motive) Why I do what I do? Freedom ain't getting no closer (Closer) No matter how far I go My car is stolen (Stolen) No registration (-Tration) Cops patrollin' (Patrollin') Now they done stop me and I get locked up [Chorus] They won't let me out They won't let me out I'm locked up They won't let me out (No!) They won't let me out

0

aenews2

9 months ago

Gg

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Madness

0

Shayku

9 months ago

Yes is now leading by a tiny margin

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I had faith couldn't blatantly manipulate the truth here. Thanks for the integrity voters. Would be sad if a small group of people were running a scam here. ((If p4 is true))

3

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Yes. They literally don't have proof it had to be "too early" if they can con their exit i hope the feds sweep. Large scale insider trading etc is not taken lightly

2

n/a

9 months ago

If The Yes wins, Polymarket is scam.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

inb4 jail. Aenews already doxxed in 2022. Sure the case is juicy.

1

proxycodone

9 months ago

Write in support if YES wins. The cheating whales must not win.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

The only way this is a lotto is if the whales and UMA are committing multimillion dollar fraud.

0

Will143

9 months ago

that's lotto mentality

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I have a very large following on soc med

0

Phat.

9 months ago

Ill be hiring a PR compnay and make sure every single media outlet know how they Manipulated this market if they resolved it to yes

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I dont think that should be said outloud

1

McLarry

9 months ago

All no-holders should know that all whales are well connected in Discord with the Uma whales. They know each other, they appreciate each other and they help each other.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Clever i guess. How does it play out here, though?

0

averagejoe

9 months ago

AENEWS2 is a well known scam artist. Thread: https://x.com/Domahhhh/status/1555575884475662336

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Thats when this news dropped. About the same time you sold your bags (on this acc)

0

yourrapist1776

9 months ago

No way this nigga is charting on polymarket 😭

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

That's literally the argument for both sides

0

fafafafafafafafafafafafafaffafafafa

9 months ago

I like betting against crypto people. They think that whether something occurred or not is like a shitcoin they can pump by mass buying.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Yes, a few of them have made that clear. Ego ruins good things.

0

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

9 months ago

50-Pence bought 3,562 Yes at 97.8¢ ($3,483) - this guy is still buying because he is bragging that he can rig the UMA vote

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I deserve a succulent chinese dinner

2

informed

9 months ago

Funniest outcome is the most likely

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

That's a 3 hour walk for a solider. 15 minutes in a tank.

0

n778l337

9 months ago

Of course they entered before 1 Oct. They had to to get to their targets by the 2nd

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Odaisseh is 10 miles from the border. Walked 10 miles in 2 days for the first confirmed engagement? You sure?

0

n778l337

9 months ago

Of course they entered before 1 Oct. They had to to get to their targets by the 2nd

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Link

0

Phat.

9 months ago

Videos of IDF emerges of the border crossing happened early hours of October 2nd. Source IDF .. hahah its over guys its a NO 100%

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Currently No isn't an option. I think it resets and takes in information collected after the first Yes proposal. They paused it there. They need proof israel entered before that moment or it's p4

1

moneysniper

9 months ago

what are the consequences of p4

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

They entered, walked around for 2 days. Then got into a fight at the border. Sounds legit.

0

PDIDDY

9 months ago

hey entered in october 1st in the early hours in Israel time which means september 30 in ET time

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Israel isn't just walking around Lebanon for 2 days. They engage at the borders.

0

n/a

9 months ago

Why would Hezbollah deny having not engaged with Israel til the 2nd? What is the benefit in lying about this. Honestly, doesn't make sense.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Why would Hezbollah deny having not engaged with Israel til the 2nd? What is the benefit in lying about this. Honestly, doesn't make sense.

3

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I'd prefer the truth established and paid accordingly. Escrow aslong as you need.

1

JumpingJackFlash

9 months ago

Let's do 50/50, for me it would be ok lol

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Perfect! Glad it's solved. Send the video or an article of Hezbollah saying they engaged in combat. ((these borders are heavily guarded btw))

0

PDIDDY

9 months ago

After a long time researching the exact time of the isrealian entry in the Lebanon territory, they indeed violated the border in the early hours october 1st

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

5.5m volume is no joke

0

n/a

9 months ago

I don't think the feds like that behaviour when it's so blatant

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I don't think the feds like that behaviour when it's so blatant

0

Kavim

9 months ago

Yes whales got rekt, they dont have any exit liquidity right now, the only thing they can do it try to steal the results with their funds

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

They're literally shooting rockets at eachother

0

dav1

9 months ago

Why are people arguing Israel hasn't entered or confirmed entering when they said they had casualities in their army?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Wikipedia listing it as 1st of October. ((Eastern time as was the main argument 24 hours ago))

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

The second link you posted is good, not proof though. This one is new ((so not evidence)) hezbollah saying the combat was on Wednesday that they pushed them back. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-says-it-has-finished-attack-israel-amid-fears-spreading-conflict-2024-10-02/

0

BigMike11

9 months ago

Sources within Hezbollah are also confirming an invasion. “We’ll have to see how the ground invasion unfolds. But – according to a source with ties to Hezbollah – the Israelis did meet fierce resistance in the late hours of last night. It does appear this is not going to be an easy battle for Israel, even if Hezbollah has lost its leader and senior military commanders. That still leaves Hezbollah to be a formidable foe to inflict heavy costs on the Israelis in their ground invasion.” https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/fierce-hezbollah-resistance-ground-israel-says-lebanon-offensive-last-weeks

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Can you link

1

homeer

9 months ago

Hezbullah just published that there were no invade as they said, it's was a fake news to see our locations

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

How is Lebanon supposed to have a video of a not invasion?? If they say it didn't happen and there's 0 tangible proof it did. Get actual proof. Btw Hezbollah, UN and lebanon army aren't vested in this outcome so literally why would they lie

1

n/a

9 months ago

Literally just need a video and it's case closed. Yes win, easy clap gg. Where is it???

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Literally just need a video and it's case closed. Yes win, easy clap gg. Where is it???

1

BigMike11

9 months ago

Stick a fork in this one bros. Save your money. There is endless evidence from all parties. From Hezbollah. From Arabic media. From the Israeli ground commanders who invaded. There is all kinds of evidence. Hezbollah doesn't say no invasion, they say the invasion was repelled and the IDF will find it very tough.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

It's not the whales that rig the market. It is the small group of UMA token holders who don't know how to properly resolve markets. Over time you learn this, and you bet based on how they typically act" yeah we goose em a little

1

BigMike11

9 months ago

Stick a fork in this one bros. Save your money. There is endless evidence from all parties. From Hezbollah. From Arabic media. From the Israeli ground commanders who invaded. There is all kinds of evidence. Hezbollah doesn't say no invasion, they say the invasion was repelled and the IDF will find it very tough.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

My brother in Christ, i can't find a single piece of actual evidence. The most compelling thing for yes I've seen is a big Yes holder saying "

2

BigMike11

9 months ago

Stick a fork in this one bros. Save your money. There is endless evidence from all parties. From Hezbollah. From Arabic media. From the Israeli ground commanders who invaded. There is all kinds of evidence. Hezbollah doesn't say no invasion, they say the invasion was repelled and the IDF will find it very tough.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I've read that. That's not what it says.

0

MalgoMarc

9 months ago

Even wikipedia has references [68][69][70] that IDF troops crossed the border on September 30th ET time. There isn't even a question about this. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I'm perplexed by the confidence of "the market makers" as unbias as possible.. i just can't see what they see unless they control the voting system idk how it works. Was here for a factual bet.

0

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

9 months ago

The situation may not meet the criteria for the betting market to resolve to "Yes." If there are no confirmed border crossings, no evidence of combat operations, and Hezbollah has denied that Israeli forces entered Lebanese territory, this strongly suggests that Israeli military personnel have not physically entered Lebanon for combat operations as defined by the market. The lack of official confirmation or credible evidence supporting the claim of ground troops engaged in combat would likely lead the market to resolve to "No," especially considering that resolution sources emphasize the need for confirmation from either party or credible reporting.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

It's on the wiki. IDF said start of the operation time was 2am local time. The borders would be guarded btw you just dont walk in..

0

watever345

9 months ago

post those and link as evidence on uma's discord

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

On October 1, 2024, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) officially crossed into southern Lebanon early in the morning to conduct ground operations targeting Hezbollah infrastructure. Reports indicate that this operation began around 5:30 AM UTC, which translates to 1:30 AM Eastern Time (ET) So, No. Also DENIED by UN peacekeepers, Lebanese army or Hezbollah.

2

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I trust the robot more than a flock of whales playing for 1%. Unbias atleast.

0

0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48

9 months ago

Remember, when you bet against reality for 1-3 cents per share, and then inevitably lose, you are a VICTIM! You were WRONGED! It's all a SCAM that you didn't get to 50x!

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

That's what CHATgpt says when you ask "What time and date had the idf crossed the border and engaged in combat eastern time"

0

0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48

9 months ago

Remember, when you bet against reality for 1-3 cents per share, and then inevitably lose, you are a VICTIM! You were WRONGED! It's all a SCAM that you didn't get to 50x!

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Source? The IDF officially crossed the border into Lebanon and began engaging in combat on October 1, 2024, around 2:45 AM Eastern Time. This, has no proof. Just what the IDF has said. No footage, the other 3 i mentioned deny it.

0

0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48

9 months ago

Remember, when you bet against reality for 1-3 cents per share, and then inevitably lose, you are a VICTIM! You were WRONGED! It's all a SCAM that you didn't get to 50x!

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

What's the technicality? For a decisive resolution they'd need to say "yes we were invaded by ground troops 30th sept ET time"

0

0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48

9 months ago

Remember, when you bet against reality for 1-3 cents per share, and then inevitably lose, you are a VICTIM! You were WRONGED! It's all a SCAM that you didn't get to 50x!

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I have very closely, a few times.

1

0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48

9 months ago

Remember, when you bet against reality for 1-3 cents per share, and then inevitably lose, you are a VICTIM! You were WRONGED! It's all a SCAM that you didn't get to 50x!

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Can't reply to Will, it's true. If the 3 main sources (Hezbollah, UN and Lebanon) change their mind and say it did happen that means Yes. Which is what should happen if they do. tbc

0

0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48

9 months ago

Remember, when you bet against reality for 1-3 cents per share, and then inevitably lose, you are a VICTIM! You were WRONGED! It's all a SCAM that you didn't get to 50x!

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

The reality is when the Yes proposal was made is there was no evidence. Proof for "Yes" literally does not exist, that's what I'm interested in. Proof. P4 "too early" Israel even stated it hasn't engaged in ground combat. Meanwhile, UN, Lebanese army and Hezbollah say it didn't happen at all. It's either unknowable, no, or market manipulation. Namaste.

2

0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48

9 months ago

Remember, when you bet against reality for 1-3 cents per share, and then inevitably lose, you are a VICTIM! You were WRONGED! It's all a SCAM that you didn't get to 50x!

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Join the discord, verify account, go to evidence-rationale - find the thread

0

n/a

9 months ago

how do you do this

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I'm in the discord but unsure how to vote p4.

0

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

9 months ago

!!!PSA: If you are stating an opinion at #evidence-rationale on UMA Discord on ANY of the Israel enters/invades Lebanon markets, you CAN NOT argue for P1 because the proposals were contested before the markets expired

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Hezbollah said it didn't happen lol. Tf is this nonsense

2

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

9 months ago

PSA: if you have any statements on the "Israeli forces enters Lebanon" market, P1 is not a possible outcome of the dispute, it can only resolve to P2 (Yes) or P4 (Too Early). You need to act now and switch to P4 so that the market can later resolve to P1 (No).

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

This is a historical event. How has this situation occured before?

0

TimeQuestion

9 months ago

Historically No team has lost 100.0% of these fights (not 99%, 100%).

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Theyre the actual verifiers. Look forward to seeing this on the news in the next few months

0

OhNos

9 months ago

its funny as f to watch the P2 people just say "P2 YES" and provide NO evidence or rationale lol good luck with that one..

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

nah fr i just wanna know what they know to risk so much capital for 1%. I guess its conclusive? Just haven't been able to find it.

1

Phat.

9 months ago

The only argument is the other market they scammed resolved to yes so this should be yes

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Have any of the big holders posted sources as to their extreme confidence? Can somebody link me to those

2

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

What does that mean?!? your name is truthteller, shouldnt outcomes be reliant on truth, not "how polymarket works"

0

truthteller

9 months ago

only degens and ppl who don't know how polymarket works are stacking no

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

The best reasoning i see in the chat is "but the november one closed" Well, this is the September one with clearly stating "official confirmation from hezbollah" which exists btw. So its either No, or 50/50. What is the argument? Your friend is rich so you win?

2

Car

9 months ago

its funny to me how the whole world is talking about Israel entering Lebanon to kill Hezbollah terrorists, but somehow only Polymarket gamblers that hold NO know it didnt happen.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Hedge to minimise damage sir. Goodluck either way. Someones gotta lose.

2

Car

9 months ago

im very angry about the money im about to lose

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Strength of position proportional to irrefutable facts. Goodluck sir

0

TimeQuestion

9 months ago

strength of position is proportional to 1/(number of comments)

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

There is more PROOF it's a no but I'd be happy with a 50/50. Yes arguement is "the november market closed" well.. that's not even slightly relevant

0

NotJustKen

9 months ago

Selling my Litecoin position to enter more No. UMC chat is leaning towards NO.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

syndicate prolly

0

Caligulas.dog

9 months ago

Okay but why in the hell would you bet 200k for 400 dollar in profit? Thats legtimatly insane.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Whales exposing their game for 1% profits is the funniest thing ive seen in years. Talk about a squeeze. Spotlight is on boys

3

informed

9 months ago

very interesting issue here with what is considered truth.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Say hi to diddy for me

1

TimeQuestion

9 months ago

Classic case of the losing side dominating the comments and wasting their time on a losing fight.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

There were no reported direct clashes between Israeli forces and Hezbollah during these operations. Defined as "limited raids" i suggest we wait for the IDF to clarify on their side because everyone else is saying no and afaik no official from israel has said yes.

0

BigMike11

9 months ago

Looks to me like Israel invaded, and there is lots of evidence. "broader ground incursion, which began Monday night" https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-sends-troops-into-lebanon-escalating-fight-against-hezbollah-1dbcee03

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

We're about to witness something very interesting. The blatant mockery, i love getting the last life. Truth and justice above all.

0

zynyz

9 months ago

Polymarket needs to change all the rules to final outcome will be decided based on how our whales vote

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I dont think it would be so obvious? The feds will eat them. In good faith id say they couldnt be that stupid.. it is crypto however

0

yevh97

9 months ago

ye, it’s fraud I think

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Whales: Yes Hezbollah: No

10

mokachino

9 months ago

so YES or NO ?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

IDF live right now. Tune in

0

TimeQuestion

9 months ago

Israel, Lebanon telling ‘their versions of truth’ about ground offensive Ori Goldberg, an Israeli political commentator and lecturer at Reichman University, says he doesn’t believe that Israel is lying about sending ground troops into Lebanon despite Hezbollah’s denial. “It’s a grey area,” he told Al Jazeera from Tel Aviv. “This isn’t an invasion force. This isn’t an expeditionary force. There are no tanks. There are no infantry troops. These are mostly commando units.” Goldberg said it is possible that Israeli forces are likely focusing on known Hezbollah installations or similar targets. “So, in that sense, if Hezbollah was expecting an invasion, then Hezbollah’s statements are correct. Israel, however, has been exactly saying that this is what the force is,” he said. “So both sides are telling their version of the truth.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

I have only a couple eggs in this race so im for whatever the truth is tbh. Concept of this site is cool, would hate it to be a shitcoin in disguise.

0

ANudeEgg

9 months ago

@Wilmaco Because regardless of what Hezbollah says, there is credible reporting that it happened. This is why the November market resolved without any dispute. And since the November market resolved Yes, this one will as well. It's not a rigged game -- there are just semi-scammers trying to convince people of something that isn't true. The ONLY debate at this point is whether what Isreal has done constitutes an "invasion" (for other market purposes).

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Can you explain why its over? Are you implying the game's rigged or the facts of reality are clearly established?

3

RememberAmalek

9 months ago

Oh my lord you people need to give it up, this market is already over.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

!!!!!!

0

Kf0106

9 months ago

Unifil just posted : there has been no Israeli ground incursion into Lebanon so far lol on their website

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

First day on this site. So the consensus mechanism is ruled by whales regardless of news? Guess i won't be returning if this is true lol

1

RememberAmalek

9 months ago

You've literally donated 16k to some of the highest portfolio value users on the site, you have zero chance of winning the dispute.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

As of today, October 1, 2024, Israeli forces began their ground invasion into southern Lebanon in the early hours of the morning. The exact time reported for the commencement of this operation was 6:00 AM Lebanon time (3:00 AM UTC)

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

9 months ago

Peace to all.

1