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idfkanything
0x7e909581cca92847ebabb126cd0fb2ae41417680
View on
#141
Rank
460
Comments
137
Likes Received
726
Likes Given
Milton landfall at what category?
idfkanything
8 months ago
no shares. no activity, ever.
MisterDogTits
8 months ago
Thank you for the cheap Cat 2 shares! You guys don't understand how LANDFALL works. The part of the storm with insane winds is quite small, and we're just talking CAT 1 speds is small. Cat 4/5 landfalls are almost unheard of outside of tiny islands/keys. Check NHC windprobs page instead of being idiots and reading news articles that senationalize it all
Milton landfall at what category?
idfkanything
8 months ago
You don't have any shares. Are you signed into your fake account?
MisterDogTits
8 months ago
Thank you for the cheap Cat 2 shares! You guys don't understand how LANDFALL works. The part of the storm with insane winds is quite small, and we're just talking CAT 1 speds is small. Cat 4/5 landfalls are almost unheard of outside of tiny islands/keys. Check NHC windprobs page instead of being idiots and reading news articles that senationalize it all
Milton landfall at what category?
idfkanything
8 months ago
@gumbo Cool story. Why don't you buy?
idfkanything
8 months ago
nope
Milton landfall at what category?
idfkanything
8 months ago
nope
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
8 months ago
https://prnt.sc/8LxqYvt_88Dy The storm on the other side of Florida is going to distort Milton's main wind flow, just as Milton starts getting choked by Cuba. Will probably make landfall as a Cat1
Milton landfall at what category?
idfkanything
8 months ago
lol
horatio
8 months ago
cat 4 looking like easy money
Milton landfall at what category?
idfkanything
8 months ago
3 and 4 have some big spreads. I guess we'll have more certainty in the coming hours. Cheers.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
in 17hrs -- 11:59pm (23:59) EST today
0xe3E1555fcf1BdA4DE888921E44D2B56b2e6e12d4-1726886180611
8 months ago
when will this resolve?
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I thought she was on a media blitz starting this week.
Justifax
8 months ago
kam's biggest weakness is the fact that polling indicates nobody knows who she is. she avoided interviews too much, imho
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
@Meow.Zedong -- That's not much of change. She's still 10points higher than trump and still more favorable than not?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
@BallstotheWalz -- oh, I thought Justfax was talking about the polls not Polymarket. lol. Time to go buy some Kam for the win, I guess.
idfkanything
8 months ago
I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Stand up! Are you sitting on the poll? Everyone needs to check their pockets!
Mike2025
8 months ago
There is no poll. You're waiting in vain. Vance has won.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?
Justifax
8 months ago
on top of that the kam cratering continues
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
idfkanything
8 months ago
You should buy.
PunishedCK
8 months ago
Trump +2.82
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
WHERE’S THE POLL?! DID IT FALL BETWEEN THE SOFA CUSHIONS?!
What will Trump say at Wisconsin rally?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Where are the weird one-off words? This market is a pretty boring.
What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
gg
What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
spent $3 on it, nbd -- many other much worse loses lol
MrNFT
8 months ago
Crypto bros got scammed by that one guy
What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I missed it, unfortunately. Cheers
ISHOWMEAT
8 months ago
All in on Hezbollah rn and thank me via a tip on 20 mins time 😘
What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
He's been bringing it back recently.
Lets.Go
8 months ago
5 MAGA already
What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
that is odd. He's been late recently.
R13
8 months ago
I have never seen him early
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Why'd you bet? Did you bet before reading the rules?
0x3694Cv236asm687309x22BfL120RDle62V8FK09
8 months ago
This is a poorly constructed betting market as it's not about who won the debate or consensus on that in the polls – the answer to both of those has been clear for days. Rather, this is a market on Ipsos corporate policy and bias, that should have been the headline.
What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
He often calls him JD, not Vance. The rules don't say JD counts.
AppleADay
8 months ago
unsure why vance is so low?
What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
we need a "water +5" bracket
What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
to a crowd in NC where half the state is suffering from a huricane?
n/a
8 months ago
him not talking about libertyfinance?
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
idfkanything
8 months ago
It ended 1 hour ago
Carlossss
8 months ago
its out?
RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I appreciate you sharing the link and insight on this market. Cheers!
Mountainman
8 months ago
Anyone buying NO here may hate money, but I love them :)
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Is he unclean?
truthteller
8 months ago
waltz is complete and utter filth
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
idfkanything
8 months ago
FWIW - NS has the current prediction at Harris +2.9 popular vote share. Behind the paywall: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Also, FWIW, NS has Harris's percentage odds of winning at the second highest they have ever been on his site. 56.7% Harris vs. 43.1% Trump. That's a 13.6-point difference, up from a 10.4-point difference from before the VP debate. NS has factored the recent Emerson College poll into his model as well. It's behind a paywall - https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
Justifax
8 months ago
uhhh right
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
But her average is still pretty consistent (+2.5-+3.0 and now at +2.8) with what has been for at least the past four weeks. As I am sure you know better than most, outliers happen. Sometimes, they blossom into a trend, but most of the time, they are averaged out into noise. That being said, I am curious if it is more that Trump is gaining, which would call into question some theories about him being at his ceiling and Harris having more room to grow than he does. Something to watch, for sure. Cheers.
Justifax
8 months ago
uhhh right
RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Seems like a fun October surprise. Go MAGA lose your marriage.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
You first lol -- I have a buy order... fill my order pllleeeaassseeeee
idfkanything
8 months ago
You should buy more.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Buy moooorrreeee
WhaleCloud
8 months ago
For those of you who follow KamalaHQ. You may realize the videos are all very short clips. Here’s why https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/14/politics/fact-check-harris-campaign-social-media/index.html
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
bUt ThOsE aRe SnAp PolLs... lol -- buy more..
schottchris
8 months ago
- Good post. I see 3 Vance's and a Tie. Depends which poll IPSOS decides to post FIRST as I understand this scorings.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
You should buy more
Polymarket112
8 months ago
your hate will lose you money
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Buy more.
schottchris
8 months ago
- A politico SNAP poll. Com'on man. IPSOS isnt puting that up as their first OFFICIAL poll of who won.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
You should buy more.
handiggity
8 months ago
Aka the market prices in a ~35% chance of media bias
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Actually, I am dumb. You should buy more and take advantage of the dollars they're selling for 65c.
schottchris
8 months ago
I think yuo might want to indulge in how this is scored. The rules if you will.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
who is yuo? I've read the rules. Media will focus on J-6 and Vance's damning response coupled with the new evidence about Trump and influence people's perception of who won the debate. It's a Walz win at best and 50-50 at worst. GL
schottchris
8 months ago
I think yuo might want to indulge in how this is scored. The rules if you will.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
*0.28c
idfkanything
8 months ago
Oh, this is about to focus heavily on January 6th with Vance's "damning response" and the new January 6th evidence Judge Chutkan just unsealed. Also, fill my order at .26c please.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
This coupled with the newly unsealed evidence about j-6.
Cedarville
8 months ago
A VP candidate that refuses to answer whether his running mate lost the last election instantly loses any debate related to the presidency. Sorry.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Oh, this is about to focus heavily on January 6th with Vance's "damning response" and the new January 6th evidence Judge Chutkan just unsealed. Also, fill my order at .26c please.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Walz won this Politico poll handily. Now imagine a left leaning poll like Ipsos that has Harris at +6 conducting the same poll. Also, Vance holders, please fill my buy order. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/02/politico-snap-poll-division-debate-00182131
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Politico has Walz winning.
idfkanything
8 months ago
lol -- that's a real nothing burger you got there. "polls conducted in the immediate aftermath of the debate found that debate watchers were split on which candidate won."
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
@genghisbrain It literally says the quote I pasted above. I pulled it from the link.
idfkanything
8 months ago
lol -- that's a real nothing burger you got there. "polls conducted in the immediate aftermath of the debate found that debate watchers were split on which candidate won."
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I think one point that perhaps we can agree on is that Polymarket should've based this on less biased poll. Americans will latch onto a poll that best fits the narrative they believe or cast them all as nonsense. All you need to do is look at the polls for Hillary in 2016 to know that polls are not based in reality--they are a snapshot and there is much outside the frame in every poll.
Mountainman
8 months ago
This was a clear Vance win. If the polls this resolves YES, I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling (a lot of conservatives already don't). BUT, being that this is probably the last debate before the election there is always a chance they rig it. I still think Vance takes this but it's not a sure thing solely because of the chance of polling dishonesty.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
lol -- that's a real nothing burger you got there. "polls conducted in the immediate aftermath of the debate found that debate watchers were split on which candidate won."
WhaleCloud
8 months ago
For anyone holding their positions, please read the full article. https://abcnews.go.com/538/early-polls-won-vp-debate/story?id=114432233
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
You're right, coping was a bit harsh. The "I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling" due to the results of one left leaning poll that puts Harris at +6 in their latest presidential poll seems far fetched imo.
Mountainman
8 months ago
This was a clear Vance win. If the polls this resolves YES, I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling (a lot of conservatives already don't). BUT, being that this is probably the last debate before the election there is always a chance they rig it. I still think Vance takes this but it's not a sure thing solely because of the chance of polling dishonesty.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
No one cares about this poll more than people betting on it. Every other reputable poll has returned a small loss, small win or tie for Vance. Keep coping, big guy.
Mountainman
8 months ago
This was a clear Vance win. If the polls this resolves YES, I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling (a lot of conservatives already don't). BUT, being that this is probably the last debate before the election there is always a chance they rig it. I still think Vance takes this but it's not a sure thing solely because of the chance of polling dishonesty.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
it's a video clip from fox news. Keep coping.
Splat
8 months ago
Account name: KamalaHQ
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
you should buy more
BoeJiden420
8 months ago
The betting markets declared Vance the winner of the debate. On the crypto-based betting platform Polymarket, bookmakers believe Vance has a 73% chance of being judged the winner of Tuesday night’s debate in post-debate opinion polls, compared to Walz’s 27%. This is a complete inversion from before the debate, when bettors gave Walz a 70% chance of being declared the debate winner.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
uh oh... Vance's biggest holder is dumping. gg.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
They don’t provide that information, but we should know by Monday.
jjwin
8 months ago
when doest he polls come out?
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
You should buy more.
KimJeongPoon
8 months ago
It’s hilarious when democrats lose outright they start calling for a 50/50 split.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Uh oh… https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/02/politico-snap-poll-division-debate-00182131
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
We were just letting you all drop the price on Walz. Gl though.
BBNFT
8 months ago
Walz crew quiet now. They know they lost
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Do yourselves a favor and check the "holders" box. If they're too ignorant to figure out how to bet, their advice is worth even less than their wager.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I bet you're fun at parties. Who won the 2020 US presidential election?
BoeJiden420
8 months ago
The thing that gets me. Is that you are not from America and your Dependence on America is so strong. That you fear the Nationalistic approach that trump has. Using weird after this debate to me. Is a far reach. The media tried their hardest to paint him as weird. He infact was not. A regular guy with a family and it showed last night. Very relatable. Articulated republican's positions. The problem was you guys set the bar to low. Kind of like how everyone set the bar low for kamala during her debate.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Who hurt you? Are you ok?
BoeJiden420
8 months ago
The thing that gets me. Is that you are not from America and your Dependence on America is so strong. That you fear the Nationalistic approach that trump has. Using weird after this debate to me. Is a far reach. The media tried their hardest to paint him as weird. He infact was not. A regular guy with a family and it showed last night. Very relatable. Articulated republican's positions. The problem was you guys set the bar to low. Kind of like how everyone set the bar low for kamala during her debate.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I am so glad for the "holders" filter on polymarket. These tragic weirdos that treat this app like their facebook need some real help. They really make the case that there really is a mental health crisis in the states.
What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?
idfkanything
8 months ago
why is Trump 30+ not resolved?
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I thought it was Yale? Regardless, I've worked with many Yale and Harvard people, some a smart and some are not.
PokerBrat
8 months ago
Vance is a Harvard debate bro losing to a football coach would be historic
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
same
ilfrenkie
8 months ago
tbh i don’t even remember him saying zelensky at all
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
We need a toupee market.
Secret14thKey
8 months ago
actually i've rewatched the video and seen the light, he clearly says "tax toupee"
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Trump clearly say "to pay"
TheGoober
8 months ago
Okay wait I think he really did say debate. https://www.youtube.com/live/YGKLemrnSlM?si=vSwXOzOL3DYTlkVz&t=6514 you can clearly hear him make a "buh-" sound, not "puh-" for "to pay". did he slur his speech here? Yes, obviously. He was sluggish and tired throughout this whole speech and stumbled on a lot of words. But if the Walz "teacher" market can resolve because of a slurred speech so can this
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
THIS!
fhantombets
8 months ago
Dear new folks, this "debate" mention market will resolve No, contrary to efforts by Car, don't waste your money buying Y, and I don't recommend buying N either, move on!
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
This app has been pretty buggy lately. Many people have inaccurate numbers in their wallets.
0x23b8A3317cD145648e8792B95eF2FAA560d3cc66-1721694306394
8 months ago
Did anyone else’s Polymarket just not let them authorize orders for the last 3 min?
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
who proposed debate?
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
What's with the bugs on this app? It's getting worse and worse everyday.
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I think he's nervous about JD doing better than him.
Randomchooser
8 months ago
He doesn't care about the VP debate at all
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Here it is
Apsalar
8 months ago
is this fucker purposefully avoiding the word "border"
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Talk about the debate
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
6china
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
theres 2 china
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
still no china?
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
10
securebet
8 months ago
Millions count?
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Need a "tax +20" bracket
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
often about 70min
idfkanything
8 months ago
Sometimes they push 90-100min
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Sometimes they push 90-100min
0xcdc5d6513b0f720660f962bf4b36036ae545584
8 months ago
Anyone knows how long these usually are?
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
the edibles are hittin hard
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Is he nervous about the VP debate? Something broke him.
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
"wokesters"
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
This site has been pretty buggy lately. You show having 98 Trans No.
ElDorado
8 months ago
bought TRANS but it does not show in my position only in history. WTF
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
has he been making his way through the criterion collection? wtf is going on
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
need an Iran +5 bracket
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
millions count is 5
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
5
cam999999999
8 months ago
Millions 2
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Anyone have a "million" count?
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
we're going to need a "water +20 market"
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I also said "Walz is likable and great off the cuff. He never used a teleprompter before becoming the VP nominee. This quick reaction time, might shatter Vance's canned responses," which I think will play well in the polls. I don't think Vance will be as easily baited as Trump was, which gives me pause and bet small.
genghisbrain
8 months ago
yet you bought Walz?
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwN7W7oqJno
heeeeez
8 months ago
does someone have a link
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
You should bet on something with those strong convictions of yours. I'm waiting for my order to be filled.
idfkanything
8 months ago
I think the problem here is largely expectations. People expect Vance to fail because he sucks in front of crowds, rallies and the general public, but this is a different setting. Vance has such low favorability ratings that he won't need much to surpass expectations. Vance's experience as a lawyer, writer and with the media will most likely be strengths for him.
What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?
idfkanything
8 months ago
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/30/trump-harris-hurricane-helene-politics/
idfkanything
8 months ago
the hurricane
What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?
idfkanything
8 months ago
It's devastating parts on North Carolina.
idfkanything
8 months ago
the hurricane
What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?
idfkanything
8 months ago
the hurricane
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
What's the context of Helene?
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
do you have any data indicating Ipsos leans pretty hard left?
Permacope
8 months ago
Ipsos leans left pretty hard. Favorability ratings favor Walz by a good bit. Think Vance will have to make Walz look like a fool to win, but I believe he will.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Then again, Walz is likable and great off the cuff. He never used a teleprompter before becoming the VP nominee. This quick reaction time, might shatter Vance's canned responses.
idfkanything
8 months ago
I think the problem here is largely expectations. People expect Vance to fail because he sucks in front of crowds, rallies and the general public, but this is a different setting. Vance has such low favorability ratings that he won't need much to surpass expectations. Vance's experience as a lawyer, writer and with the media will most likely be strengths for him.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I think the problem here is largely expectations. People expect Vance to fail because he sucks in front of crowds, rallies and the general public, but this is a different setting. Vance has such low favorability ratings that he won't need much to surpass expectations. Vance's experience as a lawyer, writer and with the media will most likely be strengths for him.
What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Can we get a project 2025 3+ times market?
What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
border? I hardly know her
BlackSky123
8 months ago
Apparently, there was more confusion on whether or not she said border 3 times or more tonight. You guys are terrible at counting.
What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
you can always challenge it.
awr348
8 months ago
there was a typo in the rules for both inflation and border, Nevada says "border" 3 or more times. Nevada never said anything
What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I appreciate it. cheers
cam999999999
8 months ago
1
What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
ty, cheers!
cointuah
8 months ago
She said it once
What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?
idfkanything
8 months ago
any opportunity economy yet?
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
no tax on tips incoming
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
such a slutty little chart
Randomchooser
8 months ago
Sleep with that chart!!!
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
need a "chart" market
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
10 china
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
5 china
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
more china incoming.
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
1 maga
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
another inflation
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
elon
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I must've missed the earlier ones, but there were 4 rapid fire.
Mrtambourineman
8 months ago
8 inflation
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
wild
n/a
8 months ago
liquid gold at least 2x in the same sentence
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
inflation 4
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
inflation 3
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
inflation 2
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
drill baby drill
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
4 china
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
3 China
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
2 china
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I said "wish" -- which means I know it doesn't count.
TooDumbToWin
8 months ago
Is she Donald Trump?
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
read my comment.
TooDumbToWin
8 months ago
Nop read the rules
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
Wish her "China" counted
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
It's funny how he calls a small rally a townhall. This looks like a rally.
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
I think I should be drinking listening to these idiots.
idfkanything
8 months ago
15min until start time. Donny is late. According to the RSBN guys. I think they've been drinking.
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
15min until start time. Donny is late. According to the RSBN guys. I think they've been drinking.
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
search trump townhall Warren Michigan RSBN. It's a youtube live.
ASim
8 months ago
Link please
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
20 minutes until start time
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
idfkanything
8 months ago
It would be odd for him to let JD have the last word. Especially if viewership is high for the VP debate, since it is the last debate.
Shayku
9 months ago
I wonder if watching the VP debate will jiggle his mind.
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
idfkanything
8 months ago
You could be right and I wonder if Trump is planning to do another debate and will challenge Harris with little notice for a bit of an edge. She can't turn it down at this point.
yungretard
9 months ago
Averaging more lower bc im having a hard time believing either will want to pass up on a debate (and the variance that comes with it, despite all the current posturing) when the race is projected to be a coin toss. I could be wrong and they could both play it safe but idk, I have a feeling.
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
starts in about 1 hour.
BigDoh
8 months ago
When is this
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
This is for the townhall in Warren at 6pm local time.
Grugg
8 months ago
Border is already past 15 lol
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
8 months ago
It's a townhall, but his townhalls are really adjacent as far as the crazy shit he says.
Mrtambourineman
8 months ago
why trans is so low?
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 20-27?
idfkanything
8 months ago
His memory isn't as good as it used to be.
1mperator17
8 months ago
i love how he retweets himself from 22 hours ago
What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
He also didn't say Putin in Vegas, he did say it in NY 72min into his rally. 2 out of the last 4 rallies is what I see. Again, it might be more relevant since the zelenskyy speech.
idfkanything
9 months ago
The problem with Putin is that he didn't say it at his last rally in NC. It might be a part of future speeches. Mcdonalds has shown some staying power though.
What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
The problem with Putin is that he didn't say it at his last rally in NC. It might be a part of future speeches. Mcdonalds has shown some staying power though.
NotJustKen
9 months ago
Things he said in Georgia : Border 25+, China 10+, Ai, Inflation 10+, Com Kamala only once, Liquid Gold, President Xi 3 times, Mcdonalds, Trans, Million 10+, Drill Baby Drill. Didn't count Putin. But I am sure he must have said it twice. Most value bet : Mcdonalds & Putin maybe. I need to check about Putin again
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
no
0xcfD91B5fB5876f9dDb709E5E6dDcC2304e75C417-1723386248881
9 months ago
Trans said yet?
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
He might talk about his work on Alaska's ANWR. He had a gaffe in his last townhall that he may want to set straight and mention again. I'm not sure how relevant it will be in a venue about tax and manufacturing in Georgia, but Trump is a wild card. I'd buy yes at .20c per share.
SusanWarren,HR
9 months ago
Why "Alaska"?
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?
idfkanything
9 months ago
That article doesn’t provide a date for the impending meeting. Do you have a source stating a meeting date? September is ending soon.
Foreseeable.
9 months ago
what are you guys talking about?! The meeting is fixed already. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5y30244467o
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
@Bahubali It should be, but in MAGA they always say Make America Great Again counts. They do not explicitly extend the same rules here. I've seen a few too many technicality mix-ups go the wrong way on PM to give the benefit of the doubt on this.
idfkanything
9 months ago
if he says "state and local taxes," will it count? they changed the rules, but it still unclear.
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
they changed it, but I am unsure if the term "State and Local Taxes" count.
BlackSky123
9 months ago
They fixed the salt market.
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
@Candiey I read that too. I read it as referencing the acronym and not the words that make up the acronym. I'd buy if it said "state and local taxes" counted. Cheers!
idfkanything
9 months ago
if he says "state and local taxes," will it count? they changed the rules, but it still unclear.
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
if he says "state and local taxes," will it count? they changed the rules, but it still unclear.
NotJustKen
9 months ago
Why is SALT so low? it should be close to 90% similar to "Tips" coz he mentioned "Tips Tax" & "salt" together most of the time and even in his last rally. Also SALT is a tax thing and this Talk is about Tax. So am I missing something?
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
This is a better venue for crypto than his rallies. The market is a good price for YES, in my opinion. I don’t have the stomach for those long odds.
matty18
9 months ago
it's about tax right, so hopefully he will mention crypto tax B)
'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office
idfkanything
9 months ago
Agreed.
McLarry
9 months ago
can someone request a second market for this with diffrent brackets
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I would agree, but it doesn’t say “state and local tax” is a win either.
JoebamaBiden
9 months ago
If a dispute happens, I'm pretty sure that UMA will go for the common sense choice and not count the "tips" loop hole.
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Make a bet then.
kekkone
9 months ago
”The goods are trans… they are transported from China”
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
The rules are wrong on SALT, it should say state and local tax, but they didn’t fix it after the copy + paste.
Lucky31
9 months ago
if he says 'state and local tax' does the count for SALT
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
The rules on SALT are wrong, part of the rules are copy + pasted from TIPS: “ Compound words will count as long as "tip" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a small, extra payment for services rendered.”
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
He won't say trans at an event titled "President Donald J. Trump to Deliver Remarks on the Tax Code and US Manufacturing, in Savannah, Georgia"
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
idfkanything
9 months ago
yes!
trav
9 months ago
We want credit card!
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
How many millions?
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Yep!
MaverickMoves
9 months ago
Credit card!!!!
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I don’t think it’s happening, unfortunately. Cheers.
gpsmatty
9 months ago
cmon trump maga maga maga
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Probably another 15min
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Is it almost over?
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
40 minutes
Panzwalizka
9 months ago
wen start?
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
A "Fracking 5+ Times" bracket would be great for all Trump rallies in Pennsylvania.
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I am all set too. GL -- I am also going long on Hezbollah, let's see if he can get there. Cheers!
mr.ozi
9 months ago
I'm pretty ready with my bets. Good luck to everyone :)
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
His campaign wants to inject more policy that will directly affect average voters. This is the new no tax on tips.
idfkanything
9 months ago
It seems to be part of his actual written speech. In NC he said "And while working Americans catch up, we’re going to put a temporary cap on interest rates on credit card debt at 10%. "
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
It seems to be part of his actual written speech. In NC he said "And while working Americans catch up, we’re going to put a temporary cap on interest rates on credit card debt at 10%. "
MasterMindful
9 months ago
Context for credit card? is it regarding interest rates right?
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
gg
Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Trump was at 56% on Sept. 17th, 52% on Sept. 18th, 51% on Sept. 19th, and 48.6% on the 20th.
SusanWarren,HR
9 months ago
Anyone else having trouble finding the probability listed on the website? Is it behind the paywall?
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
It’s an acronym that he’s been talking about. SALT = State And Local Tax deductions.
nicoco89
9 months ago
salt ? why ahahaha
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Agreed. Cheers
MrNFT
9 months ago
that should be it
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Which poll are you talking about?
CalOne1
9 months ago
This is so random haha. Image they will include the +4 Harris poll tomorrow 😂
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
idfkanything
9 months ago
https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/harris-plans-livestream-oprah-winfrey-trump-set-address-113835889
idfkanything
9 months ago
live and 2hrs -- "Winfrey, who has endorsed Harris and spoke at the Democratic convention in August, is set to host a two-hour “Unite for America” nighttime streaming session in Michigan with Harris that organizers say aims to highlight dozens of grassroots groups backing the vice president."
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
idfkanything
9 months ago
live and 2hrs -- "Winfrey, who has endorsed Harris and spoke at the Democratic convention in August, is set to host a two-hour “Unite for America” nighttime streaming session in Michigan with Harris that organizers say aims to highlight dozens of grassroots groups backing the vice president."
BigDoh
9 months ago
Is this live? How long?
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
idfkanything
9 months ago
ahhh, I might've used an incorrect term. English is not my first language. It is a 2hr "event." Hopefully Beyonce will participate in the halftime show.
mr.ozi
9 months ago
It's 2h, but it's likely not an interview-style event.
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Do you have a link?
NoNoiseKnifeOnly
9 months ago
this is not a 2 hour interview lmfao
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Winfrey, who has endorsed Harris and spoke at the Democratic convention in August, is set to host a two-hour “Unite for America” nighttime streaming session in Michigan with Harris that organizers say aims to highlight dozens of grassroots groups backing the vice president.
NoNoiseKnifeOnly
9 months ago
this is not a 2 hour interview lmfao
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Nothing here is free money. I said "might be." Nothing definitive in my comment. GL -- cheers.
05brownboy
9 months ago
why don’t u buy then ? should be free money right
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
idfkanything
9 months ago
lolol -- 140! I did not see that. Not being surprised if she says it is where I stand. They might be undervalued/good bets. I need to dig in a bit. It's a 2 hr interview, a lot can be discussed.
mr.ozi
9 months ago
Well, there are 140 organizations "participating" apparently. I doubt she will be naming them. I don't know if she says 'Latina/s' but I personally would be surprised.
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Latina and black +3 Yes might be undervalued considering "grassroots groups including Latinas for Harris, Win With Black Men and Republicans for Harris are participating." https://www.reuters.com/world/us/kamala-harris-oprah-winfrey-hold-virtual-event-aimed-battleground-states-2024-09-19/
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I don't think he will drop out. He'll deny deny deny and talk about Jesus.
idfkanything
9 months ago
Isn't this what they have to say. Biden wasn't dropping out either.
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Isn't this what they have to say. Biden wasn't dropping out either.
Car
9 months ago
https://x.com/newswire_us/status/1836833432166613189?s=46&t=Colxjm4-Co9jTiM0tdXATA
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Agreed. Not sure why it's even in this market.
mr.ozi
9 months ago
She hasn't used the word 'racist' in neither of her rallies, DNC speech, CNN interview, and the debate. Unlikely to happen here too.
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
idfkanything
9 months ago
their conservative supreme court might demand another reprinting and delay early voting again.
0x243339432434324234
9 months ago
Believe he will be required to carry his candidacy to term.
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
idfkanything
9 months ago
What if he was at one of Diddy's freak off parties?
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Yeah, you're probably right about this. He'll talk about being an imperfect man and asking Jesus for forgiveness and repent.
5to5000
9 months ago
This guys a psycho, he aint dropping out. https://x.com/JoeBrunoWSOC9/status/1836812259647181099
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
idfkanything
9 months ago
It's difficult to imagine what could be so damning to this misogynistic curmudgeon that would cause him to consider leaving the race.
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
barring any additional polls or dropping favorable Harris polls.
idfkanything
9 months ago
So far, Ras is +2 for Trump this week, and Ras will need to be +2 on the final day to land at +2 Trump.  +2 Trump would have no impact on the RCP average. Ras must be at +7 Trump for the final day to create any downward movement in the RCP average.  Anything less than +2 Trump and Harris gains in the average.  It's still a bit of a gamble. 
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
So far, Ras is +2 for Trump this week, and Ras will need to be +2 on the final day to land at +2 Trump.  +2 Trump would have no impact on the RCP average. Ras must be at +7 Trump for the final day to create any downward movement in the RCP average.  Anything less than +2 Trump and Harris gains in the average.  It's still a bit of a gamble. 
BrandonThought
9 months ago
Ras is definitely gonna come into bring this average down further lol
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I think it was the expectation that the Fox poll would increase Kamala's average. It's strange to back here teetering so close to another bracket again this week.
EdgyUsername
9 months ago
Was that way people started panic buying Harris +2.1-2.5
What will Trump say during New York rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Thanks!
k33r0s
9 months ago
7pm eastern
What will Trump say during New York rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
what time does the rally begin?
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
for trump, right?
mombil
9 months ago
Most likely +2
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
9 months ago
OOO OOOO OOOOO Ozempic
n/a
9 months ago
Didn't she used to be fatter?
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
9 months ago
that's where he claims the immigrants are coming from. I hate that I know that.
infinitiphantom
9 months ago
Whats up with Insane Asylum?
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
idfkanything
9 months ago
those host are painful.
thakattack19
9 months ago
the hill feed is about 20-30 seconds behind live feed. Watch RSBN for more "live" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ulYzb4-iPxU although the 2 clown hosts are annoying af
Will Nikki Haley endorse Kamala Harris by tomorrow?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I hear she’s launching her own crypto called FDJT.
What will Trump say during New York rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Also, crowd size. He never goes there and he most likely have a bigger rally as a result.
idfkanything
9 months ago
Rallies = increased donations from attendees/locals. He’s hoping to gain more campaign funds from wealthy under-tapped supporters.
What will Trump say during New York rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Rallies = increased donations from attendees/locals. He’s hoping to gain more campaign funds from wealthy under-tapped supporters.
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Why is he ever ralling in NY?
'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office
idfkanything
9 months ago
Will BOM update numbers today?
What will Trump say during X space?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Has there been any indication of cancellation? Seems like pure speculation at this point.
H4RE
9 months ago
Guys if it's canceled then No's win.. easiest money ever buy the cheapest NO. He's gonna bail on this joke esp he's got a new angle to chase after today
'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office
idfkanything
9 months ago
Thanks. I’ve been looking for a source regarding its current numbers and updated predictions. I appreciate it nonetheless. Cheers!
sosuke
9 months ago
It's over the best estimates are giving this 70m max, they are selling a dollar for 89 cents
'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office
idfkanything
9 months ago
Do you have a link?
sosuke
9 months ago
It's over the best estimates are giving this 70m max, they are selling a dollar for 89 cents
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Thank you!
MrNFT
9 months ago
9x border
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Lol I should’ve waited half a minute before asking my question. Cheers!
thakattack19
9 months ago
did we even have 1 border yet?
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Does anyone have a border count?
What will Kamala say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I think we've been too conditioned to the batshit Trump rallies that go on for hours. This is how political speeches typically are.
Borgo
9 months ago
she is like saying word for word what she said last rally lmao
What will Kamala say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
She's very disciplined.
MasterMindful
9 months ago
Literal, even the guy shouting couldn't get her to say Palestine
What will Kamala say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
need a freedom market.
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
https://x.com/DocNetyoutube/status/1834280373230207089
SusanWarren,HR
9 months ago
Source?
'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office
idfkanything
9 months ago
Do we have any data on Thursday's numbers?
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?
idfkanything
9 months ago
You’re missing the point. I’m not saying it aged well or it was a great bet.
BrokenIKey
9 months ago
GG you coul've bought tons of 15-19 for like 0.3 cents :D
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?
idfkanything
9 months ago
GG — a real nail biter since I bought 6 days ago at 88c lol
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Countdown on the official counter link: https://www.xtracker.io/
Unknw
9 months ago
What exact time this is finishing?
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?
idfkanything
9 months ago
12:00 pm EST
Unknw
9 months ago
What exact time this is finishing?
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Still 17. The link above is the official count. Cheers
DJDanas
9 months ago
how much has he posted rn? cause when i counted it was at like 18
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?
idfkanything
9 months ago
https://www.xtracker.io/
DJDanas
9 months ago
how much has he posted rn? cause when i counted it was at like 18
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
1.4 now
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
1.4
grappli
9 months ago
New NYT/Siena poll has Trump +1. Should shift the average below 1.5
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?
idfkanything
9 months ago
8 tweets so far.
idfkanything
9 months ago
7 tweets so far.
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?
idfkanything
9 months ago
7 tweets so far.
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?
idfkanything
9 months ago
6
Varu
9 months ago
He can tweet about 15 times in a good day lol
Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?
idfkanything
9 months ago
He did 13 in a day last week.
Varu
9 months ago
He can tweet about 15 times in a good day lol
Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
What was the final number?
Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Gg
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
12pm = 1hr from now.
432
9 months ago
isn't 12 pm 24:00 ?
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
idfkanything
9 months ago
Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
TimeTraveler
9 months ago
It's a movie with a bunch of hardline fans, those tend to go to early screenings, but those hardline fans aren't representative for the general population, and the earnings from the early previews don't count for this bet either.
Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
31
2024 September hottest on record?
idfkanything
9 months ago
September 2023 was the hottest month on record for as long as the data has been collected. Hottest month (not just September) EVER. So, if September 2024 beats September 2023 it also beats every month ever.
Sever
9 months ago
Why is there so little faith in the hottest September?
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
The 120k wall is probably worth noting too.
idfkanything
9 months ago
A couple of other things worth noting, 1) notgonnatrickme has 1.2MM on Trump. 2) there is a 230k block at 48c Kamala/52c Trump.
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
A couple of other things worth noting, 1) notgonnatrickme has 1.2MM on Trump. 2) there is a 230k block at 48c Kamala/52c Trump.
Justifax
9 months ago
Pence has 2M Kamala and probably would love to exit at a nice price. Good luck rigging
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I think the theory is that if Trump starts sliding 50-pence can sell his Kamala shares and keep Trump in the lead. Sometimes it is easier to sell than to buy.
CookedAlligator
9 months ago
Pence has money on trump
Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
30
ed146
9 months ago
whats the total count so far?
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Do you not like the rollercoaster? Are you not entertained? lol
Justifax
9 months ago
We should ask poly to use 538 instead tbh.. this shit is way too rigged
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
it did not smell good to them.
n/a
9 months ago
WHY the hell did they remove Reuters / Ipsos poll from the calculation?
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
1.8
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Morning Consult and CBS News?
Randomchooser
9 months ago
they updated, now is ok . I am waiting now for the other 2 polls that are expected to do new releases in trump favour.
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
If it’s the same account I believe it to be, it appears they are hedging/increasing their spread for a 7%~ return if 1.5-2.9.
diddy
9 months ago
Rasmussen coming out soon, appears to leave Kamala at 1.9 or might lower her to 1.8, depending on dominant decimals of RCP
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
What does a right wing nut job cherrypicking a segment about white voters without a college education have to do with this market?
efren1983
9 months ago
https://x.com/TimRunsHisMouth/status/1831384700835000810
Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I never noticed the correlation of his pinned tweets and his posting pause. I’ll have to keep an eye out for that behavior in the future. Cheers!
diddy
9 months ago
Yeah this won’t go beyond 34, he just pinned the tweet, he leaves it like that for a day, and on Friday he won’t tweet before 12 PM
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Are you thinking Harris will settle back to +3 on MC?
432
9 months ago
morning consult looking good for a small drop of harris based on swing states
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
https://nypost.com/2024/09/04/us-news/barron-trump-arrives-at-nyu-for-first-day-at-college/
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Could still be. As I am sure you saw this comes from a journalist in Ithaca. I would hope that she would know if DHS sightings were common.
dankdank
9 months ago
Must be nyu
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Yeah, it seems like some will post. Do you know if any other might post this week?
NoNoiseKnifeOnly
9 months ago
polls mostly release later in the week.
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Thanks, mate!
EdgyUsername
9 months ago
Rasmussen is usually the end of the week. They publish weekly.
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Domestic expansion. Effective March 1, 2003, the Secret Service transferred from the Treasury to the newly established Department of Homeland Security. Hmmm… https://x.com/maddymvogel/status/1831052456144560178?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1831052456144560178%7Ctwgr%5E56441c61c739f3625d8a259fd50cec1ef9b35c15%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.showbiz411.com%2F2024%2F09%2F03%2Fbarron-trump-cornell-update-secret-service-arrives-in-ithaca-new-york-and-not-for-classes
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I hope the evidence is not the parents of kids at Cornell spreading gossip. I saw that, nothing of note there.
dankdank
9 months ago
i have the announcement but im waiting for coinbase to unlock my liquidity
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
agreed. I guess we're all learning, myself included.
UncleSmurf
9 months ago
It’s funny coming to this market from the RKF market.
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Several brand new accounts betting on only this market on the Top Holders tab for Yes in the past 24hrs.
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
idfkanything
9 months ago
What polls are expected? Looks like CBS News produces polls every 2 weeks and that might print before the 6th. Rasmussen should print. Perhaps an HH poll, but historically they do not print First week of September. Anything else potentially printing before the 6th?
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
do you have a source?
dankdank
9 months ago
announcement soon!
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Brent is right, that is not a source.
Chen1996
9 months ago
https://x.com/uspolitics2024/status/1830080624843244029
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
There are many reasons why this information might be delayed beyond the school’s start. Barron is a special case due to security and they might need some extra precautions and surveillance in place that take a bit longer to assess and implement. Cornell, NYU and Columbia have all dealt with high profile students and can manage this sort of thing. The other factor is many of these universities have online and hybrid learning models that can allow a student to begin learning, but not be on campus or in classrooms. Trump did say that they would announce soon. Hopefully we will know by eow.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
It’s a time zone issue. This came up before. It was 1.6 for people on ET and 1.7 for people in + time zones. I
MrNFT
9 months ago
You guys can jeet all you want but on 8/23 it was 1.7 and it’s only a .1 difference from a tie lol
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Yep, Melania will be in Trump tower while he's in school. https://www.miamiherald.com/miami-com/miami-com-news/article291657210.html
DonaldRump
9 months ago
It's been confirmed NYU by the same guys who called Biden leaving the race: https://x.com/uspolitics2024/status/1830080624843244029
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
https://www.miamiherald.com/miami-com/miami-com-news/article291657210.html
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Classes at NYU start next Tuesday. Columbia held its mandatory new-student orientation this week. Classes at Cornell started last week.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Nate silver adjusts for post-convention bump. I don’t think this market adjusts the same way.
diddy
9 months ago
Nate Silver gave bad numbers on Kamala these last days, polls may go very wrong for her & CNN made it worse
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Fordham has a 54% acceptance rate. Who needs legacy to a school that takes 1 out of every 2 students?
SaulGoodmanEsq
9 months ago
Hearing rumors of legacy admission, sounds like it's going to be Fordham where Donald went. Yes bros...it's not too late.
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
He was seen golfing at Washington square park.
XiJinPing
9 months ago
oh no, why did i panic sell YES shares... a friend of mine at NYU told me he just saw Barron!!
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
It’s actually over 4hrs.
wyn
9 months ago
Cornel University is a 3 hour drive from any trump estate. Hence, he is unlikely attending Cornel. With regards to Colombia, Trump already mentioned that Barron will not be attending a College with a widespread of anti-semitism
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Who cares. This is a market, not social media.
Spartan37
9 months ago
To be clear, even if Harris wins this market, Trump still gained in the polls. The post-RFK polls have Harris +1.5, and of course there's the major sampling errors in some polls which give the illusion that Harris still leads.
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
It could be any one of the 400 universities in NY. It could be Trump's alma mater Fordham in NYC. This market is getting boring though.
SaulGoodmanEsq
9 months ago
It's probably some obscure conservative college, if he went to a major university he's be assailed everyday wouldn't he?
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
9 months ago
You're probably right. I wish this were a market for all relevant universities in NY. It'd be more fun.
SaulGoodmanEsq
9 months ago
It's looking like Columbia--only 18min from Trump Tower, is an Ivy Leauge, and is the only reasonable explanation considering classes don't begin until the 3rd. NYU and Columbia would seem like too hostile an enviroment though?
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Why it isn't fixed to EST is beyond me.
EdgyUsername
9 months ago
Ok, it won't let me post a picture, so I changed my profile picture just for you :). Again, you're likely going to win, but it's a lot more murky than you' d think.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
We had a discussion on the 1.6 vs 1.7 12hrs ago. The consensus was that on EST the number is 1.6 and time zones further west it shows 1.7.
EdgyUsername
9 months ago
Ok, it won't let me post a picture, so I changed my profile picture just for you :). Again, you're likely going to win, but it's a lot more murky than you' d think.
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
hopefully he talks about Frances border though.
eb..
9 months ago
but as soon as he starts mentioning the border, he will say all of the 10 times in under 1 minute lol
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
he does, but he's a freak on a leash these days.
HaterzLoserz
9 months ago
he usually ends on Maga at rallies too
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
dang! well played!
SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment
9 months ago
holy moly
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Agreed, 1 seems to be the consensus.
n/a
9 months ago
comrade harris doesnt count right?
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
He must be trying to expand the market.
raandyy
9 months ago
comrade harris? now he's fucking with us
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
only one border? wow!
1276
9 months ago
maga 2 alien 0 comrade 1 border 1
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
great spread on border +10
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Nvm — 4:30 EST
idfkanything
9 months ago
When is this supposed to start?
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
idfkanything
9 months ago
When is this supposed to start?
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Due to the US holiday weekend polls including 31st will most likely publish on Tuesday or later.
diddy
9 months ago
Effectively, 3-5 more hours and this ends. It’s Friday, who publishes polls after 17:00
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Do you think all of Nate’s polls will qualify for RCP? RCP doesn’t have a post-convention correction.
Pidor🐓
9 months ago
yes, you're right. day 0 numbers are higher than the graph shows, always been that way. can't wait for the right wing cherry-pickers at RCP to put all the same polls as Nate!
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Apparently it was a time zone issue. Not sure why it the site isn’t static. Apologies for the confusion. Clearly I am not on EST. Cheers.
n/a
9 months ago
I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
That’s wild. Thanks for looking into it mate. Clearly I am not ET. Not sure why it isn’t static to the day no matter the time zone.
Justifax
9 months ago
Timezone issue. EST shows 1.6
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
This is really strange. Just to fully double check the date directly below the 1.6 says 8-23, correct? Because mine still says 1.7.
n/a
9 months ago
I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Each blue bar is 2 different days. open it 14 days and slowly scroll over the 22nd-23rd blue bar until it says the 23rd. What does it say?
idfkanything
9 months ago
RCP has been fluctuating on the 23rd numbers. It went from 1.5 to 1.7 on the 23rd. It's now a 0.1 difference in favor of Harris with some polls left to be factored in.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
open it 14 days and slowly scroll over the 22nd-23rd blue bar until it says the 23rd. What does it say?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I'm looking at it right now the 23rd (day 0) is 1.7. Others in this thread confirmed. Not sure how there's a discrepancy.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I don't have anything to gain here. Are you opening the graph to 7days and scrolling all the way left to the 23rd. Each blue bar is 2 days. You're probably reading the 22nd.
idfkanything
9 months ago
I'm looking at it right now the 23rd (day 0) is 1.7. Others in this thread confirmed. Not sure how there's a discrepancy.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I'm looking at it right now the 23rd (day 0) is 1.7. Others in this thread confirmed. Not sure how there's a discrepancy.
n/a
9 months ago
I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I don't understand what you mean by .3. If Harris drops 0.1 it's a 50-50. If she drops 0.2 she losses. Harris will probably win, but more of a gamble with all of the movement on the 23rd and more polls left to be factored in.
Mr-Yolos
9 months ago
I don't see how Kamala can drop .3 and lose, it'll either be a Harris win or 50-50. 75c would mean anything above a 50% chance Harris wins is +EV, Harris is under priced a lot right now I think
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
RCP has been fluctuating on the 23rd numbers. It went from 1.5 to 1.7 on the 23rd. It's now a 0.1 difference in favor of Harris with some polls left to be factored in.
EchoBlaze
9 months ago
What's going on? There's been a huge fluctuation!
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Just checked. It's still 1.7 on 23rd. You might need to refresh.
n/a
9 months ago
I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Thank you
1276
9 months ago
border count is 7 everyone in the discord is saying 7. 9 is misinformation
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Thanks.
Glover
9 months ago
I have it at 9, could be 10.
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Right?
DiversifyYoBonds
9 months ago
Gotta be high for it to be at 95%
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
idfkanything
9 months ago
What’s the border count?
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Harvard Harris.
n/a
9 months ago
Hh?
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Agreed, but Harris interview might spur some tweets. It’s close, but the 40+ ship might have sailed.
cryptofreedom
9 months ago
30-34 wildly underpriced. He still has to tweet 3 more times this evening basically. Pattern shows he probably won't tweet overnight or before noon tomorrow.
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Kamala and Tim have an interview on CNN tonight. Good chance he rages on X, but might keep it on TS.
Sit
9 months ago
He has an event today, as well as tomorrow. He always tweets before and after. 30-34 is very likely right now. It has grown so much in the past hour. 35-39 also has a decent chance if he goes into psycho mode.
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I've said too much already. I'm not here to pump. Cheers.
idfkanything
9 months ago
Do you know which polls are being released between now and the end of this market and how those polls are trending? You might want to look into it.
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Do you know which polls are being released between now and the end of this market and how those polls are trending? You might want to look into it.
Sardinianshepherd
9 months ago
1/ Nate model is desing to take in account very aggressively specific like the convention 2/ Nate model is expecting a convention bounce for kamala of +2.5 to stay at the same level she is now 3/ kamala is see limited bounce 4/ kamala in the last two days lost 4 in the nate forecast now it is just one point but the trend is heading on a flip
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I read it. That's all you have. Got it. Thanks. GL.
0xd5234y2a907c097436749G021105bg3820f02k3
9 months ago
https://www.natesilver.net/p/how-big-will-the-bounce-be if you aren't sure what's going on read the whole thing
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
idfkanything
9 months ago
27
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I read it, at best this ends in a toss up and NO wins. Your dump and deletion is a great indicator that you believe it'll be a Trump Flip. Regardless, I respect the pump and dump. Cheers
idfkanything
9 months ago
I like how 0xd26988926289289 dumped and deleted their comment before getting checked. lol
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
idfkanything
9 months ago
I like how 0xd26988926289289 dumped and deleted their comment before getting checked. lol
kdubhotsauce
9 months ago
does someone know something I don't? why is yes so highj
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
idfkanything
9 months ago
Nice pump and dump and comment deletion, 0xd26988926289289.
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Also, in reference to the protests at Columbia, Trump said this on Fox: “you look at a college and you want a certain college, and then you see all of these colleges are rioting. And maybe you want to go to a different kind of a college, because there’s plenty of colleges that we also like that are different and they don’t riot.”
BreadGet
10 months ago
Those who say Columbia — none of the Trump kids were smart enough to get in. Why would Barron be different?
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Potentially, but he could go longer if gets questions he likes. Also, FWIW his campaign said: "At the town hall, Trump will "meet with Wisconsinites to listen to their concerns and share his promising agenda to make America affordable again," according to the Trump campaign."
tomxeth
10 months ago
I think town halls are usually shorter than rallies, right?
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Why is YES increasing? People sealing in gains or was there an indicator that Trump will flip Silver's Bulletin?
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
10 months ago
The best ketchup too!
LMNOP
10 months ago
I hear they have Trump steaks in the cafeteria. The best steaks, believe me. You wouldn't believe how good these steaks are.
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Not only would there be sightings, but I think Donald would announce before the start of classes. Trump also mentioned that Barron's decision was influenced by the campus protests like the ones at Columbia. NYU is close to Trump tower, where Melania and Barron would most likely live.
sandimashighschoolfootballrules
10 months ago
FWIW, I know people are thinking Cornell, but Cornell is already in session - first classes were yesterday. If he was there, I’m fairly certain we would have evidence. Doesn’t mean there isn’t some exception - just noting.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
10 months ago
For me, I bet 70c per share. So in my head I am gambling with the 20c over the 50c, because I think it'll most likely be a the same spread or better. 60/40 seems more appropriate odds given the lack of polls and their inconsistent posting schedule.
idfkanything
10 months ago
Correct. If She remains at a 1.5 lead the market is 50/50. I think part of the initial push on this market was when it was less than 50c for Harris.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Correct. If She remains at a 1.5 lead the market is 50/50. I think part of the initial push on this market was when it was less than 50c for Harris.
BoMarley1029
10 months ago
Am I missing something? People are acting like Harris has this in the bag, but if I understand the rules correct, it's about who will benefit more, eg: Trump will still win if Harris leads by the end of the week as long as her lead has decreased slightly.
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Why do you think NYU is more liberal than Columbia? Did you see the protests at Columbia? Also the Paulsons donated 50mil to trump and are big donors to NYU.
LMNOP
10 months ago
Good catch. Columbia would be my bet as it caters to the very wealthy and elite. Classes start September 3rd.
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
10 months ago
He’s going to Trump university, obviously.
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Agreed, but they’d have to edit the list. There are 400 universities in NY.
BreadGet
10 months ago
This market would be a lot more fun if Polymarket added every school in NY
August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
idfkanything
10 months ago
it's so hot the bots are malfunctioning.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
idfkanything
10 months ago
It appears that many people are using Nate Silver’s analysis, the fact that polls are delayed, and Harris will have a post-DNC bump as a way to justify the odds.
Au-gust
10 months ago
Argument?
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
The argument does seem stronger here. Do the systems that determine a resolution often change their outcome after confirming the resolution twice?
FyouMoneyOTW
10 months ago
The difference between this market/“before october” market and the “by friday market is “formal endorsement” instead of just “endorsement” in the rules, many of us took into consideration our past experience with the market called “who will endorse kamala” in which all of them turned to yes except for burnie sanders because he did not “formally endorse” kamala, he supported her and said he’d help her win. This one is more clear given that he is still on the ballot in 40 states in wish he’d prefer you vote for him instead of formally/fully endorsing Trump.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
That’s not the reasoning for the resolution though. The added context is.
LMNOP
10 months ago
"a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." which is not present here
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
In his video address on Friday, RFK stated the following "Three great causes drove me to enter this race in the first place, primarily, and these are the principal causes that persuaded me to leave the Democratic Party and run as an independent, and now to throw my support to President Trump" and "...My joining the Trump campaign will be a difficult sacrifice for my wife and children..." Throwing his support to President Trump and joining the Trump campaign suffices as an endorsement, hence this market should resolve to "Yes."
idfkanything
10 months ago
https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-during-friday-address
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-during-friday-address
idfkanything
10 months ago
How is this different from the already settled RFK endorsement on Friday market? The resolved reasoning is the same.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
How is this different from the already settled RFK endorsement on Friday market? The resolved reasoning is the same.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
The additional context says that his words count as an endorsement. Will the additional context change? If so, is that a change in the rules? I’m just curious and do not intend to bet on this market.
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
is that what the r stands for?
dreamer
10 months ago
I can't believe they got ronaldo rfk jr
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I can't believe people are still buying NO.
Steven-Mnuchin
10 months ago
https://x.com/KMGGaryde/status/1827121481894998474
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
she was announced as being here, there are many speakers. cheers!
X9504
10 months ago
Kari Lake is the special guest for sure
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25060815-no-386-md-2024
idfkanything
10 months ago
It seems as though RFK jr thought it was official: "espondents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Nicole Shanahan as the We The People candidates for President and Vice President of the United States, as a result of today’s endorsement of Donald Trump for the office of President of the United States hereby withdraw their opposition to the Petition of Alexander Reber and Janneken Smucker’s. Jr. and Nicole Shanahan"
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
It seems as though RFK jr thought it was official: "espondents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Nicole Shanahan as the We The People candidates for President and Vice President of the United States, as a result of today’s endorsement of Donald Trump for the office of President of the United States hereby withdraw their opposition to the Petition of Alexander Reber and Janneken Smucker’s. Jr. and Nicole Shanahan"
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I didn't say it was. Seems pretty likely though. Might be later at Trumps rally. This seems to be his place to plead a case and explain why he is making the decision. We'll know soon.
X9504
10 months ago
Donald Trump Jr. isn't a reliable source
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Does the PA filing count as formal? Seems pretty formal. But we have 8 days until this market closes, we'll know soon enough.
fafafafafafafafafafafafafaffafafafa
10 months ago
not really a formal endorsement given that he isn't even dropping out
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1827059690225959089
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
idfkanything
10 months ago
here we go
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Check again.
YIMBYcaucus🏡
10 months ago
if the endorsement market has tanked, idk why this one hasnt followed
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Who and when was it?
Car
10 months ago
The last time we betted on a special guest, it didnt end well!😂
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Why wouldn’t he wait to drop out after his announcement?
idfkanything
10 months ago
AZ is different. Highest concentration of independent voters of all swing states. His endorsement would go a long way. AZ was one of RFKs highest polling states. Why would he drop out of that state first?
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
AZ is different. Highest concentration of independent voters of all swing states. His endorsement would go a long way. AZ was one of RFKs highest polling states. Why would he drop out of that state first?
X9504
10 months ago
All his voters will vote Trump anyway, the endorsement wont do much
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
https://x.com/CherylHines/status/1485819513849274369
asdf4
10 months ago
Yeah I don't think so either, but that's what he said, essentially: https://x.com/ronfilipkowski/status/1826721756419424742?s=46
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
She respects their differences, but we’ll find out soon enough.
asdf4
10 months ago
Yeah I don't think so either, but that's what he said, essentially: https://x.com/ronfilipkowski/status/1826721756419424742?s=46
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Agreed. https://x.com/CherylHines/status/1485819513849274369
0xc82CDDbfD073be01AE8DF2968827aa82269B4c85-1717120400943
10 months ago
She is only pretending to be upset to keep herself in the good graces of Hollywood
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
He’s getting a cabinet position to further his ideology and not fade into obscurity.
asdf4
10 months ago
Wow, so he is really risking a divorce for an endorsement, huh?
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
The silhouette of Trumps special guest looks a lot like RFK jr. https://www.instagram.com/stories/realdonaldtrump/3440582378874727123?utm_source=ig_story_item_share&igsh=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Perhaps it’s just self-preservation and retribution . He’s pissed that the Dems have tried to fight him at every turn and he doesn’t have much of a political future after losing. AZ is one of his best polling states and one that Harris’s numbers are gaining. It’s a little conspiratorial, but there is quite a bit of evidence that RFK is dropping out and endorsing Trump. Also, his wife seems to partition their relationship from his ideals.
PolyMucket
10 months ago
RFK wouldn't drop out becuase that would fuck the chance for the independent party movement. I think he will drop off some ballots so he can run the race till the end because he needs to garner 5% so he can start up a new Party called "We The People" for 2028
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Correction: 89c for YES on the RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? market.
idfkanything
10 months ago
The “ RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?” Market is at .90c for yes and covers you in case this address is just his withdrawal from the race. RFK has filed paperwork to withdraw from the Arizona ballot, which is the state he had the most traction in. Cheers!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
idfkanything
10 months ago
The “ RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?” Market is at .90c for yes and covers you in case this address is just his withdrawal from the race. RFK has filed paperwork to withdraw from the Arizona ballot, which is the state he had the most traction in. Cheers!
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
idfkanything
10 months ago
They bought the correct spread. They’re up 20%. A win is a win.
DeucePapi
10 months ago
You bought $4k 45-60min so not that easy bub
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
If you think this is an endorsement, you’ll find slightly better odds on “ RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?” market. Cheers
Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?
idfkanything
10 months ago
RFK’s announcement might cause Trumps Twitter fingers to twitch. Unfortunately or fortunately, this market will be closed by the time that announcement happens. RFK will announce at 11am MST, that’s 1 hour after this market closes. Cheers!
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
And Taylor Swift.
CouchWhale
10 months ago
I heard a rumor that it’s going to be Beyoncé.
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
That coupled with RFK withdrawing from the AZ ballot and all the leaks make it almost certain.
idfkanything
10 months ago
RFK’s 11am rally is 20min from Trump’s 4pm rally.
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
RFK’s 11am rally is 20min from Trump’s 4pm rally.
PaeniscusKyu
10 months ago
Both in the same state, imminent endorsement coming and Shanahan has hinted Friday will be a big moment. Hard to pass on Yes.
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Also he just filed paperwork to withdraw from the Arizona ballot. https://www.axios.com/2024/08/23/kennedy-shanahan-withdraw-candidacy-arizona-election-2024
Slaylorswift
10 months ago
https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/21/politics/rfk-jr-speech-friday/index.html
Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Who proposed no on 20-29? And why? Official counter is at 21.
Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?
idfkanything
10 months ago
21
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I let go of my NO shares for what I paid. It's too likely to be challenged. Cheers!
ANudeEgg
10 months ago
You can't be serious.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Stranger interpretations of rules have been adopted. The wording on the rules is unclear, at best.
ANudeEgg
10 months ago
You can't be serious.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
You could also argue that they counted separately, one “Donald Trump” = 1 donald and 1 trump, but they’re not added together. It could be that either donald or trump needs to be mentioned 5 times.
EmpirePending
10 months ago
Yea like does “Donald Trump” count as 2?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
do Donald and Trump count to 5 separately? Does it have to be 5 Trump or 5 Donald or can either Donald or Trump count towards the same 5?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I read it as 5 Donalds or 5 Trumps and they are not grouped into a singular count.
idfkanything
10 months ago
Also, do Donald and Trump count to 5 separately? Does it have to be 5 Trump or 5 Donald or can either Donald or Trump count towards the same 5?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Also, do Donald and Trump count to 5 separately? Does it have to be 5 Trump or 5 Donald or can either Donald or Trump count towards the same 5?
ALevinson
10 months ago
The rules on the “Donald Trump” market are unclear. It’s says “resolve to yes if she says “Donald” or Trump” 5+ times. So if she says “Donald Trump, Donald Trump, Trump” is that 5?
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
here it comes
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon" or "Musk"
BigDoh
10 months ago
Elon on its own works right?
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Elon is next
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
We only have 4 more hours of this, right?
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
5+ is a warm up for him most of the time. He said it 7 times in NC and 11 times in Michigan.
Eridpnc
10 months ago
He will show up 1 hour late, say MAGA MAGA MAGA MAGA MAGA tampon iran musk drill baby drill fake news and leave.
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
In Iran
MonoScot
10 months ago
"I like buying that crypto, you know, Bitcoin whilst sitting on my couch by the fire"
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Agreed. The rally is in PA, they are all about fracking.
Loaf
10 months ago
Drill Baby Drill is a 100% lock
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
and Middle Class
42O
10 months ago
Should've made an Opportunity market...
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
It should be price control and price fixing.
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Mike D!
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
She says it in conversation. Unfortunately for the Y, this is a speech on the US economy, not a conversation or interview.
StevenBonnell
10 months ago
why are people betting context? I looked at her past 10 speeches and rallies, she says context in NONE of them...
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
"Not Going Back" is her MAGA.
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
yep
Car
10 months ago
The speech is literally about the economy. Just buy YES on all economy related words and NO on other words
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Agreed, this is also not a rally, it's a speech on economics to help share her positions before the DNC. Her big NC rally is happening later on in the month. The tin-foil hat folks don't know how insane it would be to keep a secret in cahoots with the media.
TheCoconut
10 months ago
It's party members who know the details privately to ensure people turn up and security issues. It's no secret people attending the rallies are Dem members / supporters. Don't fall for the fake AI b.s
What will Kamala Harris say in August?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Well, I fat-fingered buying Y couch instead of NO couch at .70c. Soooo now I’m just riding it out and hoping for miracle lol
mmiranda
10 months ago
I can't believe I didn't make money on Venn Diagram because I put an open order.
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
"get our trucks fired up" is not hyphonated.
Timmy121
10 months ago
if the 'fire-up our plants' was the only mention then "no" wins. Any other mention?
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Here it comes again...
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I'm on your side ding dong
Retshcal
10 months ago
LMFAOOOO keep coping, he said "fire our plants", fired up came later you fool
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
It's not fired up in the context used.
idfkanything
10 months ago
"Fired up" is one of those phrases that is hyphenated when it is used as a modifier preceding whatever it is modifying, but not hyphenated when it is used as a predicate adjective. For example, if you say "Everyone was fired up about the new project", "fired up" is a predicate adjective and not hyphenated. However, if you refer to someone's "fired-up speech", "fired-up" is a modifier that precedes "speech" and is therefore hyphenated. Using "fired up" as a predicate adjective is more common.
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
"Fired up" is one of those phrases that is hyphenated when it is used as a modifier preceding whatever it is modifying, but not hyphenated when it is used as a predicate adjective. For example, if you say "Everyone was fired up about the new project", "fired up" is a predicate adjective and not hyphenated. However, if you refer to someone's "fired-up speech", "fired-up" is a modifier that precedes "speech" and is therefore hyphenated. Using "fired up" as a predicate adjective is more common.
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
He said it twice too. Why don't they dispute it instead of trying to scam the market.
🤺JustPunched
10 months ago
Please do not be pulled in by the fire scam: "Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market." The other rule only applies to compound words to prevent something like "firestorm" counting. He said "fire."
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
you're missing "and." It's not narrowly defined, it's broadly defined. But, go ahead and dispute it if you want more risk.
700to700k
10 months ago
The resolution market for fire/fired states “compound words will count as long as fire/fired” is part of the compound word and references the meaning WHICH REFERS TO THE ACT OF DISMISSING AN EMPLOYEE”
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
WTF are these stupid questions?! Is he only taking questions from OAN?
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
bought a couple in support of you lisp guys. cheers!
lopsey
10 months ago
here we go lisp boys stay focused
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
you're probably right. It was worth the 6c I paid though.
n/a
10 months ago
nah he only speaks cryto on sponsored bitcoin event
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
"Fired up again"
Hseidyo
10 months ago
Said fire or fired up?
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
unless speaking with one counts. lol
idfkanything
10 months ago
no
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Bitcoin is up next
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Fired again!
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
idfkanything
10 months ago
yes!'
IONLYBETONX
10 months ago
FIRE IS DONE: YES MEN REJOICe
RFK Jr. popular vote share?
idfkanything
10 months ago
What happens if he drops out? Would it resolve to less than 1% or 50/50? Or would it remain unresolved in the event that people would write him in?
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
He made an honest loveseat out of that couch.
EdgyUsername
10 months ago
Hey, he made love to that couch, and was just letting it do its duty as a premenopausal receptacle.
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I don’t want a debate. I want a top chef style cook off.
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Agreed. The Fox debate was proposed to be in an arena with people screaming and cheering. Pretty ridiculous departure from a typical debate.
ANudeEgg
10 months ago
Nah, the reason why she won't commit to the FoxNews debate is because she knows that once Trump gets that one, he won't show up for any ohters. They want him to follow through with the original agreement.
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Considering Trump refused to participate in primary debates, I think it’s more than a 5% chance he backs out of the presidential debates.
abdendriel
10 months ago
Both parties agreed. Backing out would look worse than poor performance. Question now is how many debates
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
idfkanything
10 months ago
They bought at 0.95 and sold at 0.92. They lost 28.85. I’ve lost plenty in the last week too, no judgement here just clarifying.
X9504
10 months ago
Congrats on your USD 28.85
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Zero Y is the best value. They both need the debates, Trump needs them more that Harris. Harris could check the debate box with a couple big townhalls and not give Trump any oxygen. Trump needs the debate, he needs to get Harris caught up in a word salad to put into ads and sound bites, but I think the word salad risk is diminishing. The Harris team is tightening its message and has momentum.
n/a
10 months ago
i think 0 is actually a reasonable chance. Since he put the Foxnews debate first. it seems she won't agree to do it before the agreed date for ABC on 10th. i think Trump will use this to get out of debates altogether. i'm pretty sure Kamala is willing take the Foxnews challenge, the only chance to present herself to folks in the rightwing media bubble.
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
That makes some sense. Didn’t realize Rubio was considered that high on the list.
ANudeEgg
10 months ago
No, it was Trump's background vetting of Rubio, Vance, et al. who were being considered for the VP slot.
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Trump loves firing people. He had a whole show about it lol
Laura
10 months ago
I think it might be dawning on Trump that if he doesn’t win this election then he’s probably going to jail.
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Is he considered a replacement?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Why did they find research on Marco Rubio in the documents?
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Why did they find research on Marco Rubio in the documents?
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
The media seems to be slow rolling info and there’s no telling how much more hasn’t been released.
EdgyUsername
10 months ago
Was something found in the hacked file?
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
idfkanything
10 months ago
6% seems really high. Don’t people start early voting soon? When are the ballots finalized and printed? I know service members overseas vote extremely early. It seems like the realistic timeline is rapidly approaching.
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Trump campaign hacked by Iran. Wonder what personal communications and documents they took. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/10/trump-campaign-hack-00173503
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Read the rules
bettingnba1
10 months ago
if they tie bet no will win because not will be the most
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
idfkanything
10 months ago
"If this country ties with any other for the greatest number of gold medals won, this market will resolve in favor of the country which won the most medals overall."
idfkanything
10 months ago
A tie means US wins. Many paths to Y US/.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
idfkanything
10 months ago
A tie means US wins. Many paths to Y US/.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I appreciate your analysis and I am curious if your odds have changed?
DonaldinhoTrumpito
10 months ago
A good day for China that could have been legendary. The athletics session turned out fine for the USA, who traded a 75% 200m gold for a 25% long jump medal. But on other fields, things looked dire for a bit with the basketball team in huge trouble and the women waterpolo getting a surprising loss. Unfortunately for China, they didn't really capitalize, losing a 40% chance in taekwondo and a 30% chance in weightlifting that should have been 95% after the first lift. Shi Zhiyong had cleared a 165kg bar, 10kg more than the next competitor, but he aimed too high for the 2nd part of the contest and failed 3 times trying 191kg instead of making sure to get a lift on the board. An unforced blunder that could prove very costly in the end. https://olympics.com/fr/paris-2024/resultats/halterophilie/73-kg---hommes/fnl-000100-- Meanwhile the USA basketball team pulled off a great comeback and are now very likely (95%) to finish the job against France. And the last minute boxing medal keeps China alive in the race. Current situation : out of 1 million simulations, the US wins 942,461 times. USA Yes is a bit underpriced but at my current level of risk I would not want more, even if I had the cash available.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
idfkanything
10 months ago
so is gambling.
Bigiron
10 months ago
The Olympics is a satanic ritual
2024 July hottest on record?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Wild ride. Chalking the $20 loss up to a learning experience. I’ve paid more for coffee. Appreciate the mostly cordial and candid back and forth. Looking forward to august. Cheers!
2024 July hottest on record?
idfkanything
10 months ago
no, it says "copernicus"
dcue86
10 months ago
https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/08/climate/climate-global-heat-streak-ends-copernicus-intl/index.html
2024 July hottest on record?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Is this why you flipped?
BennyS
10 months ago
Saw this.
2024 July hottest on record?
idfkanything
10 months ago
To be fair, the NO holders would also like to exit at 89c.
Observing
10 months ago
So while the 'no' holders are comfortable holding even though the current odds are against them, the 'yes' holders are holding their breath, can't sleep at night, and waiting on 89c to exit? Maybe that tells you something.
2024 July hottest on record?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Again, there is some real Lois Einhorn and Ray Finkle energy in here.
n/a
10 months ago
Yes, very strange, most no holders are losers and the yes holders are winners. And what is also strange: 11/15 accounts of no holders were registered in July/August. Is this normal behavior for newbies on this site? load up 50k and then go all-in on a single market?
2024 July hottest on record?
idfkanything
10 months ago
There’s some real Lois Einhorn and Ray Finkle energy in here.
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Bet he fires JD during the interview.
2024 July hottest on record?
idfkanything
10 months ago
how can you prove you're not a shill account?
Superque
10 months ago
This link was shared in a forum where groups from various universities are analyzing the impact of temperature along with the distance of the orbits. I'm here to shed some light since I see that everyone is looking out for their own interests depending on what they have invested. I'm going to provide objective data. On August 4th, we already had the GISS data available, as usual, these are not final data and have been changing as the beacons have been synthesized and grouped, which is why many models take a few days to provide their final data along with their reports. The data we are currently handling in the research groups range between 117 and 119, very close, almost identical to those of Era5 (other times there are small differences). This range of numbers is due to what I mentioned earlier. The first 14 days of July were colder than those of July 2023, which has significantly influenced the results, even though some parts of the Earth have exceeded their maximum temperatures. In water temperature, we found a deviation of 0.38. I hope that this discussion has excited or sparked curiosity about the world of meteorology, and we hope to see you in some forum where we will be happy to support you. Best regards.
2024 July hottest on record?
idfkanything
10 months ago
NASA says the 14th, but it might be sooner than that.
Inverse-Bet-Wins
10 months ago
Are the results coming out tomorrow?
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Trump loves a headline and firing people. JD is gone if Trump lags in the polls in a meaningful way.
Chen1996
10 months ago
This is a longshot by far, definitely undervalued, but whether it be a coup against Biden, an Assassination attempt against Trump, all within 3 weeks, then really this is a no brainer
2024 July hottest on record?
idfkanything
10 months ago
8/14
Sleijffers
10 months ago
When is the index expected to post?
Joe Biden reinstated as Dem Nominee at DNC?
idfkanything
10 months ago
LOLOL - was that a real market? JFC
Car
10 months ago
Worst market after the Biden pooping pants market
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Agreed. Also, Trump loves to fire people and he's more likely to cut bait with the prospect of potential prison time, fees, and fines he might have to deal with.
n/a
10 months ago
i'm really in a conondrum on this one, to bet some more. Kamala hasn't announced her VP yet, and it's probably going to be a very strong one, Josh Shapiro is my guess. The odds are turning. Trump may really be forced to switch bet. As for as long shots go, this one is in my opinion undervalued.
Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?
idfkanything
10 months ago
This one says "August 5, 2024 ET" aka eastern standard time. It can take a few hours to resolve and be paid out sometimes.
Makaveli
10 months ago
does anyone know what time zone polymarket uses? will this end on EST or pacific time?
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I heard she's flying in on hot air balloon.
n/a
10 months ago
source?
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
The guy is filming in his mom's basement and didn't say anything new. Do people watch this clown?I want my 90 seconds back lol
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
10 months ago
The guy is right wing. What do you expect.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
hmmm... do you think she's getting ahead of backlash for picking Josh?
RBanister
10 months ago
The Union tweet...https://x.com/VP/status/1820508709396549928
Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I am happy to buy more N at .75, but the Harris team is leaking for the hype and headlines. All you have to do is look at the Obama playbook to see how guarded this pick will be. Her team is writing speeches for multiple candidates and printing material for all of them. Harris is notorious for having a tight core team.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Reports say it'll be social media.
barubas
10 months ago
where will the official announcement occur?
Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?
idfkanything
10 months ago
this aged well.
ootharju
10 months ago
Old news that came 5hrs ago - priced in already
Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?
idfkanything
10 months ago
From CNN: "The campaign plans to officially announce the choice through an online message to supporters before a rally in Philadelphia on Tuesday, where she’s expected to make her first appearance with her pick. Harris hopes to keep it under wraps “until as close to then as possible,” a person familiar with the search told CNN." https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/05/politics/harris-vice-presidential-search-2024/index.html
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
So it might be Pete and this weekend is just a formality. Who knows.
idfkanything
10 months ago
@innocuous Pete isn't a bad choice, but I don't think he's the best choice. The only reason Pete wasn't interviewed this weekend is because he and Harris know each other well enough already. Gen Z would love Pete. I think she gets Pete without making him VP though.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
@innocuous Pete isn't a bad choice, but I don't think he's the best choice. The only reason Pete wasn't interviewed this weekend is because he and Harris know each other well enough already. Gen Z would love Pete. I think she gets Pete without making him VP though.
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
10 months ago
Walz would really be a bad pick. He invoked the word “socialism” and was endorsed by Bernie Sanders. The Trump campaign is already painting Kamala Harris as radical.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
@innocuous He's the same age as Harris. His kids are gen z. Have you seen his tik-tok? The youth love him. He's also more experienced than Harris, Trump and Vance combined.
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
10 months ago
Walz would really be a bad pick. He invoked the word “socialism” and was endorsed by Bernie Sanders. The Trump campaign is already painting Kamala Harris as radical.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Honestly, I regret debating. I hope Walz gets cheaper, I'll buy more YES at 10cents.
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
10 months ago
He also got a DUI and did a poor job w managing the protests in 2020. I can imagine Trump will have a lot of fun running ads about that.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
so what? Many people in Pennsylvania actively dislike Shapiro including a pro-Israel Senator (Fetterman) that has known and worked with Shapiro for years in state politics. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/03/fetterman-shapiro-harris-vp-00172557
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
10 months ago
Walz would really be a bad pick. He invoked the word “socialism” and was endorsed by Bernie Sanders. The Trump campaign is already painting Kamala Harris as radical.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Government officials coming out against your buddy doesn't mean the media doesn't like him, it means they're reporting on what people are saying.
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
10 months ago
He also got a DUI and did a poor job w managing the protests in 2020. I can imagine Trump will have a lot of fun running ads about that.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Latest polls have her winning or tied in all blue wall states. He'd help deliver the midwest blue wall in spades.
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
10 months ago
Walz would really be a bad pick. He invoked the word “socialism” and was endorsed by Bernie Sanders. The Trump campaign is already painting Kamala Harris as radical.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Why don't you buy some share under this account? Shapiro has been governor for a year. Harris has said she is looking for an experienced governing partner; Walz is far and away the most experienced and liked.
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
10 months ago
He also got a DUI and did a poor job w managing the protests in 2020. I can imagine Trump will have a lot of fun running ads about that.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
you're a shill account. No one cares about a DUI 30 yrs ago. Trump was found guilty of 34 felonies a few minutes ago.
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
10 months ago
He also got a DUI and did a poor job w managing the protests in 2020. I can imagine Trump will have a lot of fun running ads about that.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
lol -- he has Pelosi's endorsement and many state republicans have said good things about him. Free school lunch = pro family and kids. He's a uniter.
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
10 months ago
Walz would really be a bad pick. He invoked the word “socialism” and was endorsed by Bernie Sanders. The Trump campaign is already painting Kamala Harris as radical.
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
With regards to the Philly Mayor's video on social media.
idfkanything
10 months ago
"But a member of the mayor’s staff clarified that it was not an announcement. The mayor intended only to express support for Shapiro, whom she hopes Harris will select." https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/08/02/us/harris-trump-election/4c210a6f-91d8-5fce-8aca-9bd68207badf?smid=url-share
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
"But a member of the mayor’s staff clarified that it was not an announcement. The mayor intended only to express support for Shapiro, whom she hopes Harris will select." https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/08/02/us/harris-trump-election/4c210a6f-91d8-5fce-8aca-9bd68207badf?smid=url-share
When will Kamala announce VP pick?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Just give her a call and ask. Let me know what she says.
7153649820
10 months ago
HOW AM I SUPPOSED TO KNOW WHEN
When will Kamala announce VP pick?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I think it'll be Tuesday. They're rushing a process that usually takes months into a couple of weeks, they'll need all the time they have. Also there are fundraising constraints if she picks a governor, which she most likely will. So, more time is also more money. It's been reported that she is personally meeting with the shortlist this weekend.
JustFarmingCoin
10 months ago
HOW AM I SUPPOSED TO KNOW WHEN
Democratic VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Walz already had the weekend free because he's living his best life.
GreenBeanEater
10 months ago
He cancelled his weekend plans and everyone thought it was confirmed that it was him. Now that Beshear and Pete have cancelled their weekend plans too, it’s pretty obvious it’s just the interviews, but the Shapiro price stuck. Also, people still think the Philly rally means anything about the VP pick. Kind of stupid.
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
I think it's more likely that JD is "convinced" to step down than Trump firing him.
idfkanything
10 months ago
Trump doesn't think the VP matters, he doesn't think anyone below him matters. He believes everything is won because of his work and his brand. He listened to people last time and got Pence, who he hated. JD is a lapdog that is currently shitting in the house.
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Trump doesn't think the VP matters, he doesn't think anyone below him matters. He believes everything is won because of his work and his brand. He listened to people last time and got Pence, who he hated. JD is a lapdog that is currently shitting in the house.
0x62F950c99676f044D6AEBaD3c9dE17256e9Dc3b7-1722042343484
10 months ago
When asked if Vance was ready to serve Trump said "VP has no impact on the election". So clearly Trump isn't happy with JD, but does he actually believe VP doesn't matter?
2024 July hottest on record?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Why is there a 5 cent disparity between the buy and sell price? I'm holding, but I am new to polymarket and was curious why the gap is so big.
Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?
idfkanything
10 months ago
Wrong - https://www.reuters.com/fact-check/convicted-anti-trump-protester-falsely-identified-shooter-2024-07-15/
hiiiii
10 months ago
The plot thickens...the 'shooter' appears not to be T. Crooks, but rather Matthew Yearick, a well-known Antifa radical... AKA Democrat https://x.com/StevenAthena_/status/1817766828027834670
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