Milton landfall at what category?

idfkanything

1 year ago

no shares. no activity, ever.

0

MisterDogTits

1 year ago

Thank you for the cheap Cat 2 shares! You guys don't understand how LANDFALL works. The part of the storm with insane winds is quite small, and we're just talking CAT 1 speds is small. Cat 4/5 landfalls are almost unheard of outside of tiny islands/keys. Check NHC windprobs page instead of being idiots and reading news articles that senationalize it all

Milton landfall at what category?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You don't have any shares. Are you signed into your fake account?

0

MisterDogTits

1 year ago

Thank you for the cheap Cat 2 shares! You guys don't understand how LANDFALL works. The part of the storm with insane winds is quite small, and we're just talking CAT 1 speds is small. Cat 4/5 landfalls are almost unheard of outside of tiny islands/keys. Check NHC windprobs page instead of being idiots and reading news articles that senationalize it all

Milton landfall at what category?

idfkanything

1 year ago

@gumbo Cool story. Why don't you buy?

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

nope

Milton landfall at what category?

idfkanything

1 year ago

nope

0

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix

1 year ago

https://prnt.sc/8LxqYvt_88Dy The storm on the other side of Florida is going to distort Milton's main wind flow, just as Milton starts getting choked by Cuba. Will probably make landfall as a Cat1

Milton landfall at what category?

idfkanything

1 year ago

lol

0

horatio

1 year ago

cat 4 looking like easy money

Milton landfall at what category?

idfkanything

1 year ago

3 and 4 have some big spreads. I guess we'll have more certainty in the coming hours. Cheers.

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

in 17hrs -- 11:59pm (23:59) EST today

1

0xe3E1555fcf1BdA4DE888921E44D2B56b2e6e12d4-1726886180611

1 year ago

when will this resolve?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I thought she was on a media blitz starting this week.

0

Justifax

1 year ago

kam's biggest weakness is the fact that polling indicates nobody knows who she is. she avoided interviews too much, imho

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

@Meow.Zedong -- That's not much of change. She's still 10points higher than trump and still more favorable than not?

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

@BallstotheWalz -- oh, I thought Justfax was talking about the polls not Polymarket. lol. Time to go buy some Kam for the win, I guess.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Stand up! Are you sitting on the poll? Everyone needs to check their pockets!

0

Mike2025

1 year ago

There is no poll. You're waiting in vain. Vance has won.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?

0

Justifax

1 year ago

on top of that the kam cratering continues

Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You should buy.

3

PunishedCK

1 year ago

Trump +2.82

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

WHERE’S THE POLL?! DID IT FALL BETWEEN THE SOFA CUSHIONS?!

0

What will Trump say at Wisconsin rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Where are the weird one-off words? This market is a pretty boring.

3

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

gg

0

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

spent $3 on it, nbd -- many other much worse loses lol

0

MrNFT

1 year ago

Crypto bros got scammed by that one guy

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I missed it, unfortunately. Cheers

0

ISHOWMEAT

1 year ago

All in on Hezbollah rn and thank me via a tip on 20 mins time 😘

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He's been bringing it back recently.

0

Lets.Go

1 year ago

5 MAGA already

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

that is odd. He's been late recently.

0

R13

1 year ago

I have never seen him early

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Why'd you bet? Did you bet before reading the rules?

0

0x3694Cv236asm687309x22BfL120RDle62V8FK09

1 year ago

This is a poorly constructed betting market as it's not about who won the debate or consensus on that in the polls – the answer to both of those has been clear for days. Rather, this is a market on Ipsos corporate policy and bias, that should have been the headline.

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He often calls him JD, not Vance. The rules don't say JD counts.

0

AppleADay

1 year ago

unsure why vance is so low?

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

we need a "water +5" bracket

0

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

to a crowd in NC where half the state is suffering from a huricane?

0

n/a

1 year ago

him not talking about libertyfinance?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It ended 1 hour ago

0

Carlossss

1 year ago

its out?

RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I appreciate you sharing the link and insight on this market. Cheers!

2

Mountainman

1 year ago

Anyone buying NO here may hate money, but I love them :)

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Is he unclean?

1

truthteller

1 year ago

waltz is complete and utter filth

Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

idfkanything

1 year ago

FWIW - NS has the current prediction at Harris +2.9 popular vote share. Behind the paywall: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

1

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Also, FWIW, NS has Harris's percentage odds of winning at the second highest they have ever been on his site. 56.7% Harris vs. 43.1% Trump. That's a 13.6-point difference, up from a 10.4-point difference from before the VP debate. NS has factored the recent Emerson College poll into his model as well. It's behind a paywall - https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

0

Justifax

1 year ago

uhhh right

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

But her average is still pretty consistent (+2.5-+3.0 and now at +2.8) with what has been for at least the past four weeks. As I am sure you know better than most, outliers happen. Sometimes, they blossom into a trend, but most of the time, they are averaged out into noise. That being said, I am curious if it is more that Trump is gaining, which would call into question some theories about him being at his ceiling and Harris having more room to grow than he does. Something to watch, for sure. Cheers.

0

Justifax

1 year ago

uhhh right

RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Seems like a fun October surprise. Go MAGA lose your marriage.

6

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You first lol -- I have a buy order... fill my order pllleeeaassseeeee

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

You should buy more.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Buy moooorrreeee

1

WhaleCloud

1 year ago

For those of you who follow KamalaHQ. You may realize the videos are all very short clips. Here’s why https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/14/politics/fact-check-harris-campaign-social-media/index.html

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

bUt ThOsE aRe SnAp PolLs... lol -- buy more..

0

schottchris

1 year ago

- Good post. I see 3 Vance's and a Tie. Depends which poll IPSOS decides to post FIRST as I understand this scorings.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You should buy more

0

Polymarket112

1 year ago

your hate will lose you money

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Buy more.

0

schottchris

1 year ago

- A politico SNAP poll. Com'on man. IPSOS isnt puting that up as their first OFFICIAL poll of who won.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You should buy more.

1

handiggity

1 year ago

Aka the market prices in a ~35% chance of media bias

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Actually, I am dumb. You should buy more and take advantage of the dollars they're selling for 65c.

0

schottchris

1 year ago

I think yuo might want to indulge in how this is scored. The rules if you will.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

who is yuo? I've read the rules. Media will focus on J-6 and Vance's damning response coupled with the new evidence about Trump and influence people's perception of who won the debate. It's a Walz win at best and 50-50 at worst. GL

0

schottchris

1 year ago

I think yuo might want to indulge in how this is scored. The rules if you will.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

*0.28c

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

Oh, this is about to focus heavily on January 6th with Vance's "damning response" and the new January 6th evidence Judge Chutkan just unsealed. Also, fill my order at .26c please.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

This coupled with the newly unsealed evidence about j-6.

0

Cedarville

1 year ago

A VP candidate that refuses to answer whether his running mate lost the last election instantly loses any debate related to the presidency. Sorry.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Oh, this is about to focus heavily on January 6th with Vance's "damning response" and the new January 6th evidence Judge Chutkan just unsealed. Also, fill my order at .26c please.

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Walz won this Politico poll handily. Now imagine a left leaning poll like Ipsos that has Harris at +6 conducting the same poll. Also, Vance holders, please fill my buy order. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/02/politico-snap-poll-division-debate-00182131

2

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Politico has Walz winning.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

lol -- that's a real nothing burger you got there. "polls conducted in the immediate aftermath of the debate found that debate watchers were split on which candidate won."

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

@genghisbrain It literally says the quote I pasted above. I pulled it from the link.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

lol -- that's a real nothing burger you got there. "polls conducted in the immediate aftermath of the debate found that debate watchers were split on which candidate won."

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think one point that perhaps we can agree on is that Polymarket should've based this on less biased poll. Americans will latch onto a poll that best fits the narrative they believe or cast them all as nonsense. All you need to do is look at the polls for Hillary in 2016 to know that polls are not based in reality--they are a snapshot and there is much outside the frame in every poll.

1

Mountainman

1 year ago

This was a clear Vance win. If the polls this resolves YES, I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling (a lot of conservatives already don't). BUT, being that this is probably the last debate before the election there is always a chance they rig it. I still think Vance takes this but it's not a sure thing solely because of the chance of polling dishonesty.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

lol -- that's a real nothing burger you got there. "polls conducted in the immediate aftermath of the debate found that debate watchers were split on which candidate won."

0

WhaleCloud

1 year ago

For anyone holding their positions, please read the full article. https://abcnews.go.com/538/early-polls-won-vp-debate/story?id=114432233

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You're right, coping was a bit harsh. The "I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling" due to the results of one left leaning poll that puts Harris at +6 in their latest presidential poll seems far fetched imo.

0

Mountainman

1 year ago

This was a clear Vance win. If the polls this resolves YES, I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling (a lot of conservatives already don't). BUT, being that this is probably the last debate before the election there is always a chance they rig it. I still think Vance takes this but it's not a sure thing solely because of the chance of polling dishonesty.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

No one cares about this poll more than people betting on it. Every other reputable poll has returned a small loss, small win or tie for Vance. Keep coping, big guy.

0

Mountainman

1 year ago

This was a clear Vance win. If the polls this resolves YES, I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling (a lot of conservatives already don't). BUT, being that this is probably the last debate before the election there is always a chance they rig it. I still think Vance takes this but it's not a sure thing solely because of the chance of polling dishonesty.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

it's a video clip from fox news. Keep coping.

2

Splat

1 year ago

Account name: KamalaHQ

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

you should buy more

3

BoeJiden420

1 year ago

The betting markets declared Vance the winner of the debate. On the crypto-based betting platform Polymarket, bookmakers believe Vance has a 73% chance of being judged the winner of Tuesday night’s debate in post-debate opinion polls, compared to Walz’s 27%. This is a complete inversion from before the debate, when bettors gave Walz a 70% chance of being declared the debate winner.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

uh oh... Vance's biggest holder is dumping. gg.

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

They don’t provide that information, but we should know by Monday.

1

jjwin

1 year ago

when doest he polls come out?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You should buy more.

3

KimJeongPoon

1 year ago

It’s hilarious when democrats lose outright they start calling for a 50/50 split.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Uh oh… https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/02/politico-snap-poll-division-debate-00182131

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

We were just letting you all drop the price on Walz. Gl though.

0

BBNFT

1 year ago

Walz crew quiet now. They know they lost

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Do yourselves a favor and check the "holders" box. If they're too ignorant to figure out how to bet, their advice is worth even less than their wager.

4

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I bet you're fun at parties. Who won the 2020 US presidential election?

0

BoeJiden420

1 year ago

The thing that gets me. Is that you are not from America and your Dependence on America is so strong. That you fear the Nationalistic approach that trump has. Using weird after this debate to me. Is a far reach. The media tried their hardest to paint him as weird. He infact was not. A regular guy with a family and it showed last night. Very relatable. Articulated republican's positions. The problem was you guys set the bar to low. Kind of like how everyone set the bar low for kamala during her debate.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Who hurt you? Are you ok?

0

BoeJiden420

1 year ago

The thing that gets me. Is that you are not from America and your Dependence on America is so strong. That you fear the Nationalistic approach that trump has. Using weird after this debate to me. Is a far reach. The media tried their hardest to paint him as weird. He infact was not. A regular guy with a family and it showed last night. Very relatable. Articulated republican's positions. The problem was you guys set the bar to low. Kind of like how everyone set the bar low for kamala during her debate.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I am so glad for the "holders" filter on polymarket. These tragic weirdos that treat this app like their facebook need some real help. They really make the case that there really is a mental health crisis in the states.

4

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

idfkanything

1 year ago

why is Trump 30+ not resolved?

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I thought it was Yale? Regardless, I've worked with many Yale and Harvard people, some a smart and some are not.

0

PokerBrat

1 year ago

Vance is a Harvard debate bro losing to a football coach would be historic

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

same

0

ilfrenkie

1 year ago

tbh i don’t even remember him saying zelensky at all

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

We need a toupee market.

1

Secret14thKey

1 year ago

actually i've rewatched the video and seen the light, he clearly says "tax toupee"

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Trump clearly say "to pay"

0

TheGoober

1 year ago

Okay wait I think he really did say debate. https://www.youtube.com/live/YGKLemrnSlM?si=vSwXOzOL3DYTlkVz&t=6514 you can clearly hear him make a "buh-" sound, not "puh-" for "to pay". did he slur his speech here? Yes, obviously. He was sluggish and tired throughout this whole speech and stumbled on a lot of words. But if the Walz "teacher" market can resolve because of a slurred speech so can this

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

THIS!

0

fhantombets

1 year ago

Dear new folks, this "debate" mention market will resolve No, contrary to efforts by Car, don't waste your money buying Y, and I don't recommend buying N either, move on!

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

This app has been pretty buggy lately. Many people have inaccurate numbers in their wallets.

0

0x23b8A3317cD145648e8792B95eF2FAA560d3cc66-1721694306394

1 year ago

Did anyone else’s Polymarket just not let them authorize orders for the last 3 min?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

who proposed debate?

1

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

What's with the bugs on this app? It's getting worse and worse everyday.

4

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think he's nervous about JD doing better than him.

0

Randomchooser

1 year ago

He doesn't care about the VP debate at all

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Here it is

0

Apsalar

1 year ago

is this fucker purposefully avoiding the word "border"

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Talk about the debate

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

6china

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

theres 2 china

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

still no china?

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

10

0

securebet

1 year ago

Millions count?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Need a "tax +20" bracket

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

often about 70min

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

Sometimes they push 90-100min

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Sometimes they push 90-100min

0

0xcdc5d6513b0f720660f962bf4b36036ae545584

1 year ago

Anyone knows how long these usually are?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

the edibles are hittin hard

5

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Is he nervous about the VP debate? Something broke him.

4

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

"wokesters"

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

This site has been pretty buggy lately. You show having 98 Trans No.

0

ElDorado

1 year ago

bought TRANS but it does not show in my position only in history. WTF

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

has he been making his way through the criterion collection? wtf is going on

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

need an Iran +5 bracket

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

millions count is 5

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

5

0

cam999999999

1 year ago

Millions 2

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Anyone have a "million" count?

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

we're going to need a "water +20 market"

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I also said "Walz is likable and great off the cuff. He never used a teleprompter before becoming the VP nominee. This quick reaction time, might shatter Vance's canned responses," which I think will play well in the polls. I don't think Vance will be as easily baited as Trump was, which gives me pause and bet small.

0

genghisbrain

1 year ago

yet you bought Walz?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwN7W7oqJno

0

heeeeez

1 year ago

does someone have a link

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You should bet on something with those strong convictions of yours. I'm waiting for my order to be filled.

1

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think the problem here is largely expectations. People expect Vance to fail because he sucks in front of crowds, rallies and the general public, but this is a different setting. Vance has such low favorability ratings that he won't need much to surpass expectations. Vance's experience as a lawyer, writer and with the media will most likely be strengths for him.

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/30/trump-harris-hurricane-helene-politics/

1

idfkanything

1 year ago

the hurricane

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It's devastating parts on North Carolina.

2

idfkanything

1 year ago

the hurricane

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

idfkanything

1 year ago

the hurricane

1

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

What's the context of Helene?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

do you have any data indicating Ipsos leans pretty hard left?

2

Permacope

1 year ago

Ipsos leans left pretty hard. Favorability ratings favor Walz by a good bit. Think Vance will have to make Walz look like a fool to win, but I believe he will.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Then again, Walz is likable and great off the cuff. He never used a teleprompter before becoming the VP nominee. This quick reaction time, might shatter Vance's canned responses.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think the problem here is largely expectations. People expect Vance to fail because he sucks in front of crowds, rallies and the general public, but this is a different setting. Vance has such low favorability ratings that he won't need much to surpass expectations. Vance's experience as a lawyer, writer and with the media will most likely be strengths for him.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think the problem here is largely expectations. People expect Vance to fail because he sucks in front of crowds, rallies and the general public, but this is a different setting. Vance has such low favorability ratings that he won't need much to surpass expectations. Vance's experience as a lawyer, writer and with the media will most likely be strengths for him.

2

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Can we get a project 2025 3+ times market?

2

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

border? I hardly know her

1

BlackSky123

1 year ago

Apparently, there was more confusion on whether or not she said border 3 times or more tonight. You guys are terrible at counting.

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

you can always challenge it.

0

awr348

1 year ago

there was a typo in the rules for both inflation and border, Nevada says "border" 3 or more times. Nevada never said anything

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I appreciate it. cheers

0

cam999999999

1 year ago

1

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

ty, cheers!

0

cointuah

1 year ago

She said it once

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

any opportunity economy yet?

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

no tax on tips incoming

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

such a slutty little chart

0

Randomchooser

1 year ago

Sleep with that chart!!!

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

need a "chart" market

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

10 china

1

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

5 china

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

more china incoming.

1

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

1 maga

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

another inflation

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

elon

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I must've missed the earlier ones, but there were 4 rapid fire.

0

Mrtambourineman

1 year ago

8 inflation

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

wild

1

n/a

1 year ago

liquid gold at least 2x in the same sentence

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

inflation 4

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

inflation 3

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

inflation 2

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

drill baby drill

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

4 china

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

3 China

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

2 china

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I said "wish" -- which means I know it doesn't count.

1

TooDumbToWin

1 year ago

Is she Donald Trump?

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

read my comment.

1

TooDumbToWin

1 year ago

Nop read the rules

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Wish her "China" counted

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It's funny how he calls a small rally a townhall. This looks like a rally.

1

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think I should be drinking listening to these idiots.

2

idfkanything

1 year ago

15min until start time. Donny is late. According to the RSBN guys. I think they've been drinking.

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

15min until start time. Donny is late. According to the RSBN guys. I think they've been drinking.

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

search trump townhall Warren Michigan RSBN. It's a youtube live.

0

ASim

1 year ago

Link please

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

20 minutes until start time

0

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It would be odd for him to let JD have the last word. Especially if viewership is high for the VP debate, since it is the last debate.

0

Shayku

1 year ago

I wonder if watching the VP debate will jiggle his mind.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You could be right and I wonder if Trump is planning to do another debate and will challenge Harris with little notice for a bit of an edge. She can't turn it down at this point.

0

yungretard

1 year ago

Averaging more lower bc im having a hard time believing either will want to pass up on a debate (and the variance that comes with it, despite all the current posturing) when the race is projected to be a coin toss. I could be wrong and they could both play it safe but idk, I have a feeling.

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

starts in about 1 hour.

1

BigDoh

1 year ago

When is this

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

This is for the townhall in Warren at 6pm local time.

1

Grugg

1 year ago

Border is already past 15 lol

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It's a townhall, but his townhalls are really adjacent as far as the crazy shit he says.

0

Mrtambourineman

1 year ago

why trans is so low?

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 20-27?

idfkanything

1 year ago

His memory isn't as good as it used to be.

0

1mperator17

1 year ago

i love how he retweets himself from 22 hours ago

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He also didn't say Putin in Vegas, he did say it in NY 72min into his rally. 2 out of the last 4 rallies is what I see. Again, it might be more relevant since the zelenskyy speech.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

The problem with Putin is that he didn't say it at his last rally in NC. It might be a part of future speeches. Mcdonalds has shown some staying power though.

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The problem with Putin is that he didn't say it at his last rally in NC. It might be a part of future speeches. Mcdonalds has shown some staying power though.

0

NotJustKen

1 year ago

Things he said in Georgia : Border 25+, China 10+, Ai, Inflation 10+, Com Kamala only once, Liquid Gold, President Xi 3 times, Mcdonalds, Trans, Million 10+, Drill Baby Drill. Didn't count Putin. But I am sure he must have said it twice. Most value bet : Mcdonalds & Putin maybe. I need to check about Putin again

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

no

0

0xcfD91B5fB5876f9dDb709E5E6dDcC2304e75C417-1723386248881

1 year ago

Trans said yet?

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He might talk about his work on Alaska's ANWR. He had a gaffe in his last townhall that he may want to set straight and mention again. I'm not sure how relevant it will be in a venue about tax and manufacturing in Georgia, but Trump is a wild card. I'd buy yes at .20c per share.

0

SusanWarrenHR

1 year ago

Why "Alaska"?

Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?

idfkanything

1 year ago

That article doesn’t provide a date for the impending meeting. Do you have a source stating a meeting date? September is ending soon.

1

Foreseeable.

1 year ago

what are you guys talking about?! The meeting is fixed already. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5y30244467o

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

@Bahubali It should be, but in MAGA they always say Make America Great Again counts. They do not explicitly extend the same rules here. I've seen a few too many technicality mix-ups go the wrong way on PM to give the benefit of the doubt on this.

1

idfkanything

1 year ago

if he says "state and local taxes," will it count? they changed the rules, but it still unclear.

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

they changed it, but I am unsure if the term "State and Local Taxes" count.

0

BlackSky123

1 year ago

They fixed the salt market.

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

@Candiey I read that too. I read it as referencing the acronym and not the words that make up the acronym. I'd buy if it said "state and local taxes" counted. Cheers!

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

if he says "state and local taxes," will it count? they changed the rules, but it still unclear.

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

if he says "state and local taxes," will it count? they changed the rules, but it still unclear.

0

NotJustKen

1 year ago

Why is SALT so low? it should be close to 90% similar to "Tips" coz he mentioned "Tips Tax" & "salt" together most of the time and even in his last rally. Also SALT is a tax thing and this Talk is about Tax. So am I missing something?

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

This is a better venue for crypto than his rallies. The market is a good price for YES, in my opinion. I don’t have the stomach for those long odds.

0

matty18

1 year ago

it's about tax right, so hopefully he will mention crypto tax B)

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed.

0

McLarry

1 year ago

can someone request a second market for this with diffrent brackets

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I would agree, but it doesn’t say “state and local tax” is a win either.

0

JoebamaBiden

1 year ago

If a dispute happens, I'm pretty sure that UMA will go for the common sense choice and not count the "tips" loop hole.

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Make a bet then.

0

kekkone

1 year ago

”The goods are trans… they are transported from China”

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The rules are wrong on SALT, it should say state and local tax, but they didn’t fix it after the copy + paste.

1

Lucky31

1 year ago

if he says 'state and local tax' does the count for SALT

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The rules on SALT are wrong, part of the rules are copy + pasted from TIPS: “ Compound words will count as long as "tip" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a small, extra payment for services rendered.”

1

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He won't say trans at an event titled "President Donald J. Trump to Deliver Remarks on the Tax Code and US Manufacturing, in Savannah, Georgia"

4

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

yes!

0

trav

1 year ago

We want credit card!

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

How many millions?

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Yep!

1

MaverickMoves

1 year ago

Credit card!!!!

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I don’t think it’s happening, unfortunately. Cheers.

0

gpsmatty

1 year ago

cmon trump maga maga maga

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Probably another 15min

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is it almost over?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

40 minutes

0

Panzwalizka

1 year ago

wen start?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

A "Fracking 5+ Times" bracket would be great for all Trump rallies in Pennsylvania.

6

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I am all set too. GL -- I am also going long on Hezbollah, let's see if he can get there. Cheers!

0

mr.ozi

1 year ago

I'm pretty ready with my bets. Good luck to everyone :)

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

His campaign wants to inject more policy that will directly affect average voters. This is the new no tax on tips.

1

idfkanything

1 year ago

It seems to be part of his actual written speech. In NC he said "And while working Americans catch up, we’re going to put a temporary cap on interest rates on credit card debt at 10%. "

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It seems to be part of his actual written speech. In NC he said "And while working Americans catch up, we’re going to put a temporary cap on interest rates on credit card debt at 10%. "

3

MasterMindful

1 year ago

Context for credit card? is it regarding interest rates right?

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

gg

0

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Trump was at 56% on Sept. 17th, 52% on Sept. 18th, 51% on Sept. 19th, and 48.6% on the 20th.

0

SusanWarrenHR

1 year ago

Anyone else having trouble finding the probability listed on the website? Is it behind the paywall?

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It’s an acronym that he’s been talking about. SALT = State And Local Tax deductions.

3

nicoco89

1 year ago

salt ? why ahahaha

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed. Cheers

0

MrNFT

1 year ago

that should be it

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Which poll are you talking about?

0

CalOne1

1 year ago

This is so random haha. Image they will include the +4 Harris poll tomorrow 😂

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/harris-plans-livestream-oprah-winfrey-trump-set-address-113835889

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

live and 2hrs -- "Winfrey, who has endorsed Harris and spoke at the Democratic convention in August, is set to host a two-hour “Unite for America” nighttime streaming session in Michigan with Harris that organizers say aims to highlight dozens of grassroots groups backing the vice president."

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

idfkanything

1 year ago

live and 2hrs -- "Winfrey, who has endorsed Harris and spoke at the Democratic convention in August, is set to host a two-hour “Unite for America” nighttime streaming session in Michigan with Harris that organizers say aims to highlight dozens of grassroots groups backing the vice president."

0

BigDoh

1 year ago

Is this live? How long?

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

idfkanything

1 year ago

ahhh, I might've used an incorrect term. English is not my first language. It is a 2hr "event." Hopefully Beyonce will participate in the halftime show.

0

mr.ozi

1 year ago

It's 2h, but it's likely not an interview-style event.

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Do you have a link?

0

NoNoiseKnifeOnly

1 year ago

this is not a 2 hour interview lmfao

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Winfrey, who has endorsed Harris and spoke at the Democratic convention in August, is set to host a two-hour “Unite for America” nighttime streaming session in Michigan with Harris that organizers say aims to highlight dozens of grassroots groups backing the vice president.

0

NoNoiseKnifeOnly

1 year ago

this is not a 2 hour interview lmfao

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Nothing here is free money. I said "might be." Nothing definitive in my comment. GL -- cheers.

0

05brownboy

1 year ago

why don’t u buy then ? should be free money right

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

idfkanything

1 year ago

lolol -- 140! I did not see that. Not being surprised if she says it is where I stand. They might be undervalued/good bets. I need to dig in a bit. It's a 2 hr interview, a lot can be discussed.

0

mr.ozi

1 year ago

Well, there are 140 organizations "participating" apparently. I doubt she will be naming them. I don't know if she says 'Latina/s' but I personally would be surprised.

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Latina and black +3 Yes might be undervalued considering "grassroots groups including Latinas for Harris, Win With Black Men and Republicans for Harris are participating." https://www.reuters.com/world/us/kamala-harris-oprah-winfrey-hold-virtual-event-aimed-battleground-states-2024-09-19/

1

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I don't think he will drop out. He'll deny deny deny and talk about Jesus.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

Isn't this what they have to say. Biden wasn't dropping out either.

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Isn't this what they have to say. Biden wasn't dropping out either.

0

Car

1 year ago

https://x.com/newswire_us/status/1836833432166613189?s=46&t=Colxjm4-Co9jTiM0tdXATA

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed. Not sure why it's even in this market.

0

mr.ozi

1 year ago

She hasn't used the word 'racist' in neither of her rallies, DNC speech, CNN interview, and the debate. Unlikely to happen here too.

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

idfkanything

1 year ago

their conservative supreme court might demand another reprinting and delay early voting again.

0

0x243339432434324234

1 year ago

Believe he will be required to carry his candidacy to term.

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

idfkanything

1 year ago

What if he was at one of Diddy's freak off parties?

1

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Yeah, you're probably right about this. He'll talk about being an imperfect man and asking Jesus for forgiveness and repent.

0

5to5000

1 year ago

This guys a psycho, he aint dropping out. https://x.com/JoeBrunoWSOC9/status/1836812259647181099

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It's difficult to imagine what could be so damning to this misogynistic curmudgeon that would cause him to consider leaving the race.

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

barring any additional polls or dropping favorable Harris polls.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

So far, Ras is +2 for Trump this week, and Ras will need to be +2 on the final day to land at +2 Trump.  +2 Trump would have no impact on the RCP average. Ras must be at +7 Trump for the final day to create any downward movement in the RCP average.  Anything less than +2 Trump and Harris gains in the average.  It's still a bit of a gamble. 

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

So far, Ras is +2 for Trump this week, and Ras will need to be +2 on the final day to land at +2 Trump.  +2 Trump would have no impact on the RCP average. Ras must be at +7 Trump for the final day to create any downward movement in the RCP average.  Anything less than +2 Trump and Harris gains in the average.  It's still a bit of a gamble. 

1

BrandonThought

1 year ago

Ras is definitely gonna come into bring this average down further lol

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think it was the expectation that the Fox poll would increase Kamala's average. It's strange to back here teetering so close to another bracket again this week.

0

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

Was that way people started panic buying Harris +2.1-2.5

What will Trump say during New York rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Thanks!

0

k33r0s

1 year ago

7pm eastern

What will Trump say during New York rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

what time does the rally begin?

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

for trump, right?

0

mombil

1 year ago

Most likely +2

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

OOO OOOO OOOOO Ozempic

3

n/a

1 year ago

Didn't she used to be fatter?

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

that's where he claims the immigrants are coming from. I hate that I know that.

1

infinitiphantom

1 year ago

Whats up with Insane Asylum?

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

those host are painful.

0

thakattack19

1 year ago

the hill feed is about 20-30 seconds behind live feed. Watch RSBN for more "live" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ulYzb4-iPxU although the 2 clown hosts are annoying af

Will Nikki Haley endorse Kamala Harris by tomorrow?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I hear she’s launching her own crypto called FDJT.

1

What will Trump say during New York rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Also, crowd size. He never goes there and he most likely have a bigger rally as a result.

1

idfkanything

1 year ago

Rallies = increased donations from attendees/locals. He’s hoping to gain more campaign funds from wealthy under-tapped supporters.

What will Trump say during New York rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Rallies = increased donations from attendees/locals. He’s hoping to gain more campaign funds from wealthy under-tapped supporters.

3

Gena🐊

1 year ago

Why is he ever ralling in NY?

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

idfkanything

1 year ago

Will BOM update numbers today?

0

What will Trump say during X space?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Has there been any indication of cancellation? Seems like pure speculation at this point.

0

H4RE

1 year ago

Guys if it's canceled then No's win.. easiest money ever buy the cheapest NO. He's gonna bail on this joke esp he's got a new angle to chase after today

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

idfkanything

1 year ago

Thanks. I’ve been looking for a source regarding its current numbers and updated predictions. I appreciate it nonetheless. Cheers!

1

sosuke

1 year ago

It's over the best estimates are giving this 70m max, they are selling a dollar for 89 cents

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

idfkanything

1 year ago

Do you have a link?

0

sosuke

1 year ago

It's over the best estimates are giving this 70m max, they are selling a dollar for 89 cents

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Thank you!

0

MrNFT

1 year ago

9x border

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Lol I should’ve waited half a minute before asking my question. Cheers!

0

thakattack19

1 year ago

did we even have 1 border yet?

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Does anyone have a border count?

1

What will Kamala say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think we've been too conditioned to the batshit Trump rallies that go on for hours. This is how political speeches typically are.

0

Borgo

1 year ago

she is like saying word for word what she said last rally lmao

What will Kamala say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

She's very disciplined.

0

MasterMindful

1 year ago

Literal, even the guy shouting couldn't get her to say Palestine

What will Kamala say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

need a freedom market.

0

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://x.com/DocNetyoutube/status/1834280373230207089

0

SusanWarrenHR

1 year ago

Source?

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

idfkanything

1 year ago

Do we have any data on Thursday's numbers?

0

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You’re missing the point. I’m not saying it aged well or it was a great bet.

0

BrokenIKey

1 year ago

GG you coul've bought tons of 15-19 for like 0.3 cents :D

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

idfkanything

1 year ago

GG — a real nail biter since I bought 6 days ago at 88c lol

2

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Countdown on the official counter link: https://www.xtracker.io/

0

Unknw

1 year ago

What exact time this is finishing?

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

idfkanything

1 year ago

12:00 pm EST

0

Unknw

1 year ago

What exact time this is finishing?

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Still 17. The link above is the official count. Cheers

0

DJDanas

1 year ago

how much has he posted rn? cause when i counted it was at like 18

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://www.xtracker.io/

1

DJDanas

1 year ago

how much has he posted rn? cause when i counted it was at like 18

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

1.4 now

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

1.4

0

grappli

1 year ago

New NYT/Siena poll has Trump +1. Should shift the average below 1.5

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

idfkanything

1 year ago

8 tweets so far.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

7 tweets so far.

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

idfkanything

1 year ago

7 tweets so far.

0

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

idfkanything

1 year ago

6

1

Varu

1 year ago

He can tweet about 15 times in a good day lol

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He did 13 in a day last week.

0

Varu

1 year ago

He can tweet about 15 times in a good day lol

Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

What was the final number?

0

Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Gg

1

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

12pm = 1hr from now.

1

432

1 year ago

isn't 12 pm 24:00 ?

'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office

idfkanything

1 year ago

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

0

TimeTraveler

1 year ago

It's a movie with a bunch of hardline fans, those tend to go to early screenings, but those hardline fans aren't representative for the general population, and the earnings from the early previews don't count for this bet either.

Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

31

0

2024 September hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

September 2023 was the hottest month on record for as long as the data has been collected. Hottest month (not just September) EVER. So, if September 2024 beats September 2023 it also beats every month ever.

1

Sever

1 year ago

Why is there so little faith in the hottest September?

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The 120k wall is probably worth noting too.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

A couple of other things worth noting, 1) notgonnatrickme has 1.2MM on Trump. 2) there is a 230k block at 48c Kamala/52c Trump.

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

A couple of other things worth noting, 1) notgonnatrickme has 1.2MM on Trump. 2) there is a 230k block at 48c Kamala/52c Trump.

0

Justifax

1 year ago

Pence has 2M Kamala and probably would love to exit at a nice price. Good luck rigging

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think the theory is that if Trump starts sliding 50-pence can sell his Kamala shares and keep Trump in the lead. Sometimes it is easier to sell than to buy.

1

CookedAlligator

1 year ago

Pence has money on trump

Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

30

0

ed146

1 year ago

whats the total count so far?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Do you not like the rollercoaster? Are you not entertained? lol

2

Justifax

1 year ago

We should ask poly to use 538 instead tbh.. this shit is way too rigged

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

it did not smell good to them.

1

n/a

1 year ago

WHY the hell did they remove Reuters / Ipsos poll from the calculation?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

1.8

1

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Morning Consult and CBS News?

1

Randomchooser

1 year ago

they updated, now is ok . I am waiting now for the other 2 polls that are expected to do new releases in trump favour.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

If it’s the same account I believe it to be, it appears they are hedging/increasing their spread for a 7%~ return if 1.5-2.9.

1

diddy

1 year ago

Rasmussen coming out soon, appears to leave Kamala at 1.9 or might lower her to 1.8, depending on dominant decimals of RCP

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

What does a right wing nut job cherrypicking a segment about white voters without a college education have to do with this market?

1

efren1983

1 year ago

https://x.com/TimRunsHisMouth/status/1831384700835000810

Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I never noticed the correlation of his pinned tweets and his posting pause. I’ll have to keep an eye out for that behavior in the future. Cheers!

2

diddy

1 year ago

Yeah this won’t go beyond 34, he just pinned the tweet, he leaves it like that for a day, and on Friday he won’t tweet before 12 PM

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Are you thinking Harris will settle back to +3 on MC?

2

432

1 year ago

morning consult looking good for a small drop of harris based on swing states

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://nypost.com/2024/09/04/us-news/barron-trump-arrives-at-nyu-for-first-day-at-college/

0

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Could still be. As I am sure you saw this comes from a journalist in Ithaca. I would hope that she would know if DHS sightings were common.

0

dankdank

1 year ago

Must be nyu

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Yeah, it seems like some will post. Do you know if any other might post this week?

0

NoNoiseKnifeOnly

1 year ago

polls mostly release later in the week.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Thanks, mate!

1

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

Rasmussen is usually the end of the week. They publish weekly.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Domestic expansion. Effective March 1, 2003, the Secret Service transferred from the Treasury to the newly established Department of Homeland Security. Hmmm… https://x.com/maddymvogel/status/1831052456144560178?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1831052456144560178%7Ctwgr%5E56441c61c739f3625d8a259fd50cec1ef9b35c15%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.showbiz411.com%2F2024%2F09%2F03%2Fbarron-trump-cornell-update-secret-service-arrives-in-ithaca-new-york-and-not-for-classes

1

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I hope the evidence is not the parents of kids at Cornell spreading gossip. I saw that, nothing of note there.

0

dankdank

1 year ago

i have the announcement but im waiting for coinbase to unlock my liquidity

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

agreed. I guess we're all learning, myself included.

0

UncleSmurf

1 year ago

It’s funny coming to this market from the RKF market.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Several brand new accounts betting on only this market on the Top Holders tab for Yes in the past 24hrs.

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

idfkanything

1 year ago

What polls are expected? Looks like CBS News produces polls every 2 weeks and that might print before the 6th. Rasmussen should print. Perhaps an HH poll, but historically they do not print First week of September. Anything else potentially printing before the 6th?

0

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

do you have a source?

0

dankdank

1 year ago

announcement soon!

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Brent is right, that is not a source.

0

Chen1996

1 year ago

https://x.com/uspolitics2024/status/1830080624843244029

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

There are many reasons why this information might be delayed beyond the school’s start. Barron is a special case due to security and they might need some extra precautions and surveillance in place that take a bit longer to assess and implement. Cornell, NYU and Columbia have all dealt with high profile students and can manage this sort of thing. The other factor is many of these universities have online and hybrid learning models that can allow a student to begin learning, but not be on campus or in classrooms. Trump did say that they would announce soon. Hopefully we will know by eow.

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It’s a time zone issue. This came up before. It was 1.6 for people on ET and 1.7 for people in + time zones. I

0

MrNFT

1 year ago

You guys can jeet all you want but on 8/23 it was 1.7 and it’s only a .1 difference from a tie lol

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Yep, Melania will be in Trump tower while he's in school. https://www.miamiherald.com/miami-com/miami-com-news/article291657210.html

1

DonaldRump

1 year ago

It's been confirmed NYU by the same guys who called Biden leaving the race: https://x.com/uspolitics2024/status/1830080624843244029

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://www.miamiherald.com/miami-com/miami-com-news/article291657210.html

1

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Classes at NYU start next Tuesday. Columbia held its mandatory new-student orientation this week. Classes at Cornell started last week.

1

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Nate silver adjusts for post-convention bump. I don’t think this market adjusts the same way.

0

diddy

1 year ago

Nate Silver gave bad numbers on Kamala these last days, polls may go very wrong for her & CNN made it worse

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Fordham has a 54% acceptance rate. Who needs legacy to a school that takes 1 out of every 2 students?

2

SaulGoodmanEsq

1 year ago

Hearing rumors of legacy admission, sounds like it's going to be Fordham where Donald went. Yes bros...it's not too late.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He was seen golfing at Washington square park.

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

oh no, why did i panic sell YES shares... a friend of mine at NYU told me he just saw Barron!!

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It’s actually over 4hrs.

1

wyn

1 year ago

Cornel University is a 3 hour drive from any trump estate. Hence, he is unlikely attending Cornel. With regards to Colombia, Trump already mentioned that Barron will not be attending a College with a widespread of anti-semitism

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Who cares. This is a market, not social media.

1

Spartan37

1 year ago

To be clear, even if Harris wins this market, Trump still gained in the polls. The post-RFK polls have Harris +1.5, and of course there's the major sampling errors in some polls which give the illusion that Harris still leads.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It could be any one of the 400 universities in NY. It could be Trump's alma mater Fordham in NYC. This market is getting boring though.

0

SaulGoodmanEsq

1 year ago

It's probably some obscure conservative college, if he went to a major university he's be assailed everyday wouldn't he?

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You're probably right. I wish this were a market for all relevant universities in NY. It'd be more fun.

0

SaulGoodmanEsq

1 year ago

It's looking like Columbia--only 18min from Trump Tower, is an Ivy Leauge, and is the only reasonable explanation considering classes don't begin until the 3rd. NYU and Columbia would seem like too hostile an enviroment though?

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Why it isn't fixed to EST is beyond me.

0

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

Ok, it won't let me post a picture, so I changed my profile picture just for you :). Again, you're likely going to win, but it's a lot more murky than you' d think.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

We had a discussion on the 1.6 vs 1.7 12hrs ago. The consensus was that on EST the number is 1.6 and time zones further west it shows 1.7.

0

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

Ok, it won't let me post a picture, so I changed my profile picture just for you :). Again, you're likely going to win, but it's a lot more murky than you' d think.

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

hopefully he talks about Frances border though.

0

eb..

1 year ago

but as soon as he starts mentioning the border, he will say all of the 10 times in under 1 minute lol

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

he does, but he's a freak on a leash these days.

0

HaterzLoserz

1 year ago

he usually ends on Maga at rallies too

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

dang! well played!

0

SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment

1 year ago

holy moly

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed, 1 seems to be the consensus.

0

n/a

1 year ago

comrade harris doesnt count right?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He must be trying to expand the market.

0

raandyy

1 year ago

comrade harris? now he's fucking with us

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

only one border? wow!

0

1276

1 year ago

maga 2 alien 0 comrade 1 border 1

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

great spread on border +10

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Nvm — 4:30 EST

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

When is this supposed to start?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

When is this supposed to start?

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Due to the US holiday weekend polls including 31st will most likely publish on Tuesday or later.

0

diddy

1 year ago

Effectively, 3-5 more hours and this ends. It’s Friday, who publishes polls after 17:00

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Do you think all of Nate’s polls will qualify for RCP? RCP doesn’t have a post-convention correction.

0

Pidor🐓

1 year ago

yes, you're right. day 0 numbers are higher than the graph shows, always been that way. can't wait for the right wing cherry-pickers at RCP to put all the same polls as Nate!

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Apparently it was a time zone issue. Not sure why it the site isn’t static. Apologies for the confusion. Clearly I am not on EST. Cheers.

1

n/a

1 year ago

I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

That’s wild. Thanks for looking into it mate. Clearly I am not ET. Not sure why it isn’t static to the day no matter the time zone.

0

Justifax

1 year ago

Timezone issue. EST shows 1.6

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

This is really strange. Just to fully double check the date directly below the 1.6 says 8-23, correct? Because mine still says 1.7.

0

n/a

1 year ago

I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Each blue bar is 2 different days. open it 14 days and slowly scroll over the 22nd-23rd blue bar until it says the 23rd. What does it say?

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

RCP has been fluctuating on the 23rd numbers. It went from 1.5 to 1.7 on the 23rd. It's now a 0.1 difference in favor of Harris with some polls left to be factored in.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

open it 14 days and slowly scroll over the 22nd-23rd blue bar until it says the 23rd. What does it say?

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

I'm looking at it right now the 23rd (day 0) is 1.7. Others in this thread confirmed. Not sure how there's a discrepancy.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I don't have anything to gain here. Are you opening the graph to 7days and scrolling all the way left to the 23rd. Each blue bar is 2 days. You're probably reading the 22nd.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

I'm looking at it right now the 23rd (day 0) is 1.7. Others in this thread confirmed. Not sure how there's a discrepancy.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I'm looking at it right now the 23rd (day 0) is 1.7. Others in this thread confirmed. Not sure how there's a discrepancy.

0

n/a

1 year ago

I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I don't understand what you mean by .3. If Harris drops 0.1 it's a 50-50. If she drops 0.2 she losses. Harris will probably win, but more of a gamble with all of the movement on the 23rd and more polls left to be factored in.

0

Mr-Yolos

1 year ago

I don't see how Kamala can drop .3 and lose, it'll either be a Harris win or 50-50. 75c would mean anything above a 50% chance Harris wins is +EV, Harris is under priced a lot right now I think

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

RCP has been fluctuating on the 23rd numbers. It went from 1.5 to 1.7 on the 23rd. It's now a 0.1 difference in favor of Harris with some polls left to be factored in.

0

EchoBlaze

1 year ago

What's going on? There's been a huge fluctuation!

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Just checked. It's still 1.7 on 23rd. You might need to refresh.

0

n/a

1 year ago

I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Thank you

0

1276

1 year ago

border count is 7 everyone in the discord is saying 7. 9 is misinformation

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Thanks.

0

Glover

1 year ago

I have it at 9, could be 10.

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Right?

0

DiversifyYoBonds

1 year ago

Gotta be high for it to be at 95%

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

What’s the border count?

1

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Harvard Harris.

0

n/a

1 year ago

Hh?

Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed, but Harris interview might spur some tweets. It’s close, but the 40+ ship might have sailed.

0

cryptofreedom

1 year ago

30-34 wildly underpriced. He still has to tweet 3 more times this evening basically. Pattern shows he probably won't tweet overnight or before noon tomorrow.

Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Kamala and Tim have an interview on CNN tonight. Good chance he rages on X, but might keep it on TS.

1

Sit

1 year ago

He has an event today, as well as tomorrow. He always tweets before and after. 30-34 is very likely right now. It has grown so much in the past hour. 35-39 also has a decent chance if he goes into psycho mode.

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I've said too much already. I'm not here to pump. Cheers.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

Do you know which polls are being released between now and the end of this market and how those polls are trending? You might want to look into it.

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Do you know which polls are being released between now and the end of this market and how those polls are trending? You might want to look into it.

1

Sardinianshepherd

1 year ago

1/ Nate model is desing to take in account very aggressively specific like the convention 2/ Nate model is expecting a convention bounce for kamala of +2.5 to stay at the same level she is now 3/ kamala is see limited bounce 4/ kamala in the last two days lost 4 in the nate forecast now it is just one point but the trend is heading on a flip

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I read it. That's all you have. Got it. Thanks. GL.

0

0xd5234y2a907c097436749G021105bg3820f02k3

1 year ago

https://www.natesilver.net/p/how-big-will-the-bounce-be if you aren't sure what's going on read the whole thing

Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?

idfkanything

1 year ago

27

1

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I read it, at best this ends in a toss up and NO wins. Your dump and deletion is a great indicator that you believe it'll be a Trump Flip. Regardless, I respect the pump and dump. Cheers

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

I like how 0xd26988926289289 dumped and deleted their comment before getting checked. lol

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I like how 0xd26988926289289 dumped and deleted their comment before getting checked. lol

0

kdubhotsauce

1 year ago

does someone know something I don't? why is yes so highj

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Nice pump and dump and comment deletion, 0xd26988926289289.

0

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Also, in reference to the protests at Columbia, Trump said this on Fox: “you look at a college and you want a certain college, and then you see all of these colleges are rioting. And maybe you want to go to a different kind of a college, because there’s plenty of colleges that we also like that are different and they don’t riot.”

0

BreadGet

1 year ago

Those who say Columbia — none of the Trump kids were smart enough to get in. Why would Barron be different?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Potentially, but he could go longer if gets questions he likes. Also, FWIW his campaign said: "At the town hall, Trump will "meet with Wisconsinites to listen to their concerns and share his promising agenda to make America affordable again," according to the Trump campaign."

0

tomxeth

1 year ago

I think town halls are usually shorter than rallies, right?

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Why is YES increasing? People sealing in gains or was there an indicator that Trump will flip Silver's Bulletin?

0

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The best ketchup too!

0

LMNOP

1 year ago

I hear they have Trump steaks in the cafeteria. The best steaks, believe me. You wouldn't believe how good these steaks are.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Not only would there be sightings, but I think Donald would announce before the start of classes. Trump also mentioned that Barron's decision was influenced by the campus protests like the ones at Columbia. NYU is close to Trump tower, where Melania and Barron would most likely live.

0

sandimashighschoolfootballrules

1 year ago

FWIW, I know people are thinking Cornell, but Cornell is already in session - first classes were yesterday. If he was there, I’m fairly certain we would have evidence. Doesn’t mean there isn’t some exception - just noting.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

For me, I bet 70c per share. So in my head I am gambling with the 20c over the 50c, because I think it'll most likely be a the same spread or better. 60/40 seems more appropriate odds given the lack of polls and their inconsistent posting schedule.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

Correct. If She remains at a 1.5 lead the market is 50/50. I think part of the initial push on this market was when it was less than 50c for Harris.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Correct. If She remains at a 1.5 lead the market is 50/50. I think part of the initial push on this market was when it was less than 50c for Harris.

0

BoMarley1029

1 year ago

Am I missing something? People are acting like Harris has this in the bag, but if I understand the rules correct, it's about who will benefit more, eg: Trump will still win if Harris leads by the end of the week as long as her lead has decreased slightly.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Why do you think NYU is more liberal than Columbia? Did you see the protests at Columbia? Also the Paulsons donated 50mil to trump and are big donors to NYU.

0

LMNOP

1 year ago

Good catch. Columbia would be my bet as it caters to the very wealthy and elite. Classes start September 3rd.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He’s going to Trump university, obviously.

5

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed, but they’d have to edit the list. There are 400 universities in NY.

0

BreadGet

1 year ago

This market would be a lot more fun if Polymarket added every school in NY

August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

idfkanything

1 year ago

it's so hot the bots are malfunctioning.

3

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It appears that many people are using Nate Silver’s analysis, the fact that polls are delayed, and Harris will have a post-DNC bump as a way to justify the odds.

0

Au-gust

1 year ago

Argument?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The argument does seem stronger here. Do the systems that determine a resolution often change their outcome after confirming the resolution twice?

0

FyouMoneyOTW

1 year ago

The difference between this market/“before october” market and the “by friday market is “formal endorsement” instead of just “endorsement” in the rules, many of us took into consideration our past experience with the market called “who will endorse kamala” in which all of them turned to yes except for burnie sanders because he did not “formally endorse” kamala, he supported her and said he’d help her win. This one is more clear given that he is still on the ballot in 40 states in wish he’d prefer you vote for him instead of formally/fully endorsing Trump.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

That’s not the reasoning for the resolution though. The added context is.

1

LMNOP

1 year ago

"a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." which is not present here

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

In his video address on Friday, RFK stated the following "Three great causes drove me to enter this race in the first place, primarily, and these are the principal causes that persuaded me to leave the Democratic Party and run as an independent, and now to throw my support to President Trump" and "...My joining the Trump campaign will be a difficult sacrifice for my wife and children..." Throwing his support to President Trump and joining the Trump campaign suffices as an endorsement, hence this market should resolve to "Yes."

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-during-friday-address

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-during-friday-address

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

How is this different from the already settled RFK endorsement on Friday market? The resolved reasoning is the same.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

How is this different from the already settled RFK endorsement on Friday market? The resolved reasoning is the same.

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The additional context says that his words count as an endorsement. Will the additional context change? If so, is that a change in the rules? I’m just curious and do not intend to bet on this market.

0

Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

is that what the r stands for?

1

dreamer

1 year ago

I can't believe they got ronaldo rfk jr

Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I can't believe people are still buying NO.

0

Steven-Mnuchin

1 year ago

https://x.com/KMGGaryde/status/1827121481894998474

Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

she was announced as being here, there are many speakers. cheers!

0

X9504

1 year ago

Kari Lake is the special guest for sure

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25060815-no-386-md-2024

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

It seems as though RFK jr thought it was official: "espondents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Nicole Shanahan as the We The People candidates for President and Vice President of the United States, as a result of today’s endorsement of Donald Trump for the office of President of the United States hereby withdraw their opposition to the Petition of Alexander Reber and Janneken Smucker’s. Jr. and Nicole Shanahan"

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It seems as though RFK jr thought it was official: "espondents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Nicole Shanahan as the We The People candidates for President and Vice President of the United States, as a result of today’s endorsement of Donald Trump for the office of President of the United States hereby withdraw their opposition to the Petition of Alexander Reber and Janneken Smucker’s. Jr. and Nicole Shanahan"

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I didn't say it was. Seems pretty likely though. Might be later at Trumps rally. This seems to be his place to plead a case and explain why he is making the decision. We'll know soon.

0

X9504

1 year ago

Donald Trump Jr. isn't a reliable source

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Does the PA filing count as formal? Seems pretty formal. But we have 8 days until this market closes, we'll know soon enough.

0

fafafafafafafafafafafafafaffafafafa

1 year ago

not really a formal endorsement given that he isn't even dropping out

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1827059690225959089

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?

idfkanything

1 year ago

here we go

0

Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Check again.

0

YIMBYcaucus🏡

1 year ago

if the endorsement market has tanked, idk why this one hasnt followed

Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Who and when was it?

0

Car

1 year ago

The last time we betted on a special guest, it didnt end well!😂

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Why wouldn’t he wait to drop out after his announcement?

1

idfkanything

1 year ago

AZ is different. Highest concentration of independent voters of all swing states. His endorsement would go a long way. AZ was one of RFKs highest polling states. Why would he drop out of that state first?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

AZ is different. Highest concentration of independent voters of all swing states. His endorsement would go a long way. AZ was one of RFKs highest polling states. Why would he drop out of that state first?

2

X9504

1 year ago

All his voters will vote Trump anyway, the endorsement wont do much

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

https://x.com/CherylHines/status/1485819513849274369

0

asdf4

1 year ago

Yeah I don't think so either, but that's what he said, essentially: https://x.com/ronfilipkowski/status/1826721756419424742?s=46

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

She respects their differences, but we’ll find out soon enough.

0

asdf4

1 year ago

Yeah I don't think so either, but that's what he said, essentially: https://x.com/ronfilipkowski/status/1826721756419424742?s=46

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed. https://x.com/CherylHines/status/1485819513849274369

0

0xc82CDDbfD073be01AE8DF2968827aa82269B4c85-1717120400943

1 year ago

She is only pretending to be upset to keep herself in the good graces of Hollywood

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He’s getting a cabinet position to further his ideology and not fade into obscurity.

0

asdf4

1 year ago

Wow, so he is really risking a divorce for an endorsement, huh?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The silhouette of Trumps special guest looks a lot like RFK jr. https://www.instagram.com/stories/realdonaldtrump/3440582378874727123?utm_source=ig_story_item_share&igsh=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Perhaps it’s just self-preservation and retribution . He’s pissed that the Dems have tried to fight him at every turn and he doesn’t have much of a political future after losing. AZ is one of his best polling states and one that Harris’s numbers are gaining. It’s a little conspiratorial, but there is quite a bit of evidence that RFK is dropping out and endorsing Trump. Also, his wife seems to partition their relationship from his ideals.

0

PolyMucket

1 year ago

RFK wouldn't drop out becuase that would fuck the chance for the independent party movement. I think he will drop off some ballots so he can run the race till the end because he needs to garner 5% so he can start up a new Party called "We The People" for 2028

RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Correction: 89c for YES on the RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? market.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

The “ RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?” Market is at .90c for yes and covers you in case this address is just his withdrawal from the race. RFK has filed paperwork to withdraw from the Arizona ballot, which is the state he had the most traction in. Cheers!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The “ RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?” Market is at .90c for yes and covers you in case this address is just his withdrawal from the race. RFK has filed paperwork to withdraw from the Arizona ballot, which is the state he had the most traction in. Cheers!

0

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

idfkanything

1 year ago

They bought the correct spread. They’re up 20%. A win is a win.

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You bought $4k 45-60min so not that easy bub

Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

If you think this is an endorsement, you’ll find slightly better odds on “ RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?” market. Cheers

1

Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?

idfkanything

1 year ago

RFK’s announcement might cause Trumps Twitter fingers to twitch. Unfortunately or fortunately, this market will be closed by the time that announcement happens. RFK will announce at 11am MST, that’s 1 hour after this market closes. Cheers!

1

Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

And Taylor Swift.

1

CouchWhale

1 year ago

I heard a rumor that it’s going to be Beyoncé.

Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

That coupled with RFK withdrawing from the AZ ballot and all the leaks make it almost certain.

2

idfkanything

1 year ago

RFK’s 11am rally is 20min from Trump’s 4pm rally.

Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

RFK’s 11am rally is 20min from Trump’s 4pm rally.

2

PaeniscusKyu

1 year ago

Both in the same state, imminent endorsement coming and Shanahan has hinted Friday will be a big moment. Hard to pass on Yes.

Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Also he just filed paperwork to withdraw from the Arizona ballot. https://www.axios.com/2024/08/23/kennedy-shanahan-withdraw-candidacy-arizona-election-2024

1

Slaylorswift

1 year ago

https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/21/politics/rfk-jr-speech-friday/index.html

Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Who proposed no on 20-29? And why? Official counter is at 21.

3

Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?

idfkanything

1 year ago

21

0

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I let go of my NO shares for what I paid. It's too likely to be challenged. Cheers!

0

ANudeEgg

1 year ago

You can't be serious.

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Stranger interpretations of rules have been adopted. The wording on the rules is unclear, at best.

0

ANudeEgg

1 year ago

You can't be serious.

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

You could also argue that they counted separately, one “Donald Trump” = 1 donald and 1 trump, but they’re not added together. It could be that either donald or trump needs to be mentioned 5 times.

0

EmpirePending

1 year ago

Yea like does “Donald Trump” count as 2?

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

do Donald and Trump count to 5 separately? Does it have to be 5 Trump or 5 Donald or can either Donald or Trump count towards the same 5?

1

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I read it as 5 Donalds or 5 Trumps and they are not grouped into a singular count.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

Also, do Donald and Trump count to 5 separately? Does it have to be 5 Trump or 5 Donald or can either Donald or Trump count towards the same 5?

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Also, do Donald and Trump count to 5 separately? Does it have to be 5 Trump or 5 Donald or can either Donald or Trump count towards the same 5?

0

ALevinson

1 year ago

The rules on the “Donald Trump” market are unclear. It’s says “resolve to yes if she says “Donald” or Trump” 5+ times. So if she says “Donald Trump, Donald Trump, Trump” is that 5?

What will Trump say during Saturday rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

here it comes

0

What will Trump say during Saturday rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon" or "Musk"

1

BigDoh

1 year ago

Elon on its own works right?

What will Trump say during Saturday rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Elon is next

2

What will Trump say during Saturday rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

We only have 4 more hours of this, right?

1

What will Trump say during Saturday rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

5+ is a warm up for him most of the time. He said it 7 times in NC and 11 times in Michigan.

0

Eridpnc

1 year ago

He will show up 1 hour late, say MAGA MAGA MAGA MAGA MAGA tampon iran musk drill baby drill fake news and leave.

What will Trump say during Saturday rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

In Iran

2

MonoScot

1 year ago

"I like buying that crypto, you know, Bitcoin whilst sitting on my couch by the fire"

What will Trump say during Saturday rally?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed. The rally is in PA, they are all about fracking.

2

Loaf

1 year ago

Drill Baby Drill is a 100% lock

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

and Middle Class

1

42O

1 year ago

Should've made an Opportunity market...

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It should be price control and price fixing.

0

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Mike D!

0

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

She says it in conversation. Unfortunately for the Y, this is a speech on the US economy, not a conversation or interview.

0

StevenBonnell

1 year ago

why are people betting context? I looked at her past 10 speeches and rallies, she says context in NONE of them...

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

"Not Going Back" is her MAGA.

1

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

yep

0

Car

1 year ago

The speech is literally about the economy. Just buy YES on all economy related words and NO on other words

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed, this is also not a rally, it's a speech on economics to help share her positions before the DNC. Her big NC rally is happening later on in the month. The tin-foil hat folks don't know how insane it would be to keep a secret in cahoots with the media.

0

TheCoconut

1 year ago

It's party members who know the details privately to ensure people turn up and security issues. It's no secret people attending the rallies are Dem members / supporters. Don't fall for the fake AI b.s

What will Kamala Harris say in August?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Well, I fat-fingered buying Y couch instead of NO couch at .70c. Soooo now I’m just riding it out and hoping for miracle lol

0

mmiranda

1 year ago

I can't believe I didn't make money on Venn Diagram because I put an open order.

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

"get our trucks fired up" is not hyphonated.

0

Timmy121

1 year ago

if the 'fire-up our plants' was the only mention then "no" wins. Any other mention?

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Here it comes again...

0

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I'm on your side ding dong

0

Retshcal

1 year ago

LMFAOOOO keep coping, he said "fire our plants", fired up came later you fool

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

It's not fired up in the context used.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

"Fired up" is one of those phrases that is hyphenated when it is used as a modifier preceding whatever it is modifying, but not hyphenated when it is used as a predicate adjective. For example, if you say "Everyone was fired up about the new project", "fired up" is a predicate adjective and not hyphenated. However, if you refer to someone's "fired-up speech", "fired-up" is a modifier that precedes "speech" and is therefore hyphenated. Using "fired up" as a predicate adjective is more common.

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

"Fired up" is one of those phrases that is hyphenated when it is used as a modifier preceding whatever it is modifying, but not hyphenated when it is used as a predicate adjective. For example, if you say "Everyone was fired up about the new project", "fired up" is a predicate adjective and not hyphenated. However, if you refer to someone's "fired-up speech", "fired-up" is a modifier that precedes "speech" and is therefore hyphenated. Using "fired up" as a predicate adjective is more common.

1

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He said it twice too. Why don't they dispute it instead of trying to scam the market.

1

🤺JustPunched

1 year ago

Please do not be pulled in by the fire scam: "Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market." The other rule only applies to compound words to prevent something like "firestorm" counting. He said "fire."

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

you're missing "and." It's not narrowly defined, it's broadly defined. But, go ahead and dispute it if you want more risk.

0

700to700k

1 year ago

The resolution market for fire/fired states “compound words will count as long as fire/fired” is part of the compound word and references the meaning WHICH REFERS TO THE ACT OF DISMISSING AN EMPLOYEE”

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

WTF are these stupid questions?! Is he only taking questions from OAN?

2

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

bought a couple in support of you lisp guys. cheers!

0

lopsey

1 year ago

here we go lisp boys stay focused

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

you're probably right. It was worth the 6c I paid though.

1

n/a

1 year ago

nah he only speaks cryto on sponsored bitcoin event

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

"Fired up again"

0

Hseidyo

1 year ago

Said fire or fired up?

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

unless speaking with one counts. lol

1

idfkanything

1 year ago

no

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Bitcoin is up next

1

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Fired again!

0

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

idfkanything

1 year ago

yes!'

0

IONLYBETONX

1 year ago

FIRE IS DONE: YES MEN REJOICe

RFK Jr. popular vote share?

idfkanything

1 year ago

What happens if he drops out? Would it resolve to less than 1% or 50/50? Or would it remain unresolved in the event that people would write him in?

2

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

He made an honest loveseat out of that couch.

3

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

Hey, he made love to that couch, and was just letting it do its duty as a premenopausal receptacle.

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I don’t want a debate. I want a top chef style cook off.

2

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed. The Fox debate was proposed to be in an arena with people screaming and cheering. Pretty ridiculous departure from a typical debate.

0

ANudeEgg

1 year ago

Nah, the reason why she won't commit to the FoxNews debate is because she knows that once Trump gets that one, he won't show up for any ohters. They want him to follow through with the original agreement.

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Considering Trump refused to participate in primary debates, I think it’s more than a 5% chance he backs out of the presidential debates.

1

abdendriel

1 year ago

Both parties agreed. Backing out would look worse than poor performance. Question now is how many debates

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

idfkanything

1 year ago

They bought at 0.95 and sold at 0.92. They lost 28.85. I’ve lost plenty in the last week too, no judgement here just clarifying.

0

X9504

1 year ago

Congrats on your USD 28.85

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Zero Y is the best value. They both need the debates, Trump needs them more that Harris. Harris could check the debate box with a couple big townhalls and not give Trump any oxygen. Trump needs the debate, he needs to get Harris caught up in a word salad to put into ads and sound bites, but I think the word salad risk is diminishing. The Harris team is tightening its message and has momentum.

0

n/a

1 year ago

i think 0 is actually a reasonable chance. Since he put the Foxnews debate first. it seems she won't agree to do it before the agreed date for ABC on 10th. i think Trump will use this to get out of debates altogether. i'm pretty sure Kamala is willing take the Foxnews challenge, the only chance to present herself to folks in the rightwing media bubble.

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

That makes some sense. Didn’t realize Rubio was considered that high on the list.

0

ANudeEgg

1 year ago

No, it was Trump's background vetting of Rubio, Vance, et al. who were being considered for the VP slot.

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Trump loves firing people. He had a whole show about it lol

0

Laura

1 year ago

I think it might be dawning on Trump that if he doesn’t win this election then he’s probably going to jail.

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Is he considered a replacement?

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

Why did they find research on Marco Rubio in the documents?

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Why did they find research on Marco Rubio in the documents?

0

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The media seems to be slow rolling info and there’s no telling how much more hasn’t been released.

1

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

Was something found in the hacked file?

Will Trump drop out of presidential race?

idfkanything

1 year ago

6% seems really high. Don’t people start early voting soon? When are the ballots finalized and printed? I know service members overseas vote extremely early. It seems like the realistic timeline is rapidly approaching.

0

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Trump campaign hacked by Iran. Wonder what personal communications and documents they took. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/10/trump-campaign-hack-00173503

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Read the rules

0

bettingnba1

1 year ago

if they tie bet no will win because not will be the most

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

idfkanything

1 year ago

"If this country ties with any other for the greatest number of gold medals won, this market will resolve in favor of the country which won the most medals overall."

1

idfkanything

1 year ago

A tie means US wins. Many paths to Y US/.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

idfkanything

1 year ago

A tie means US wins. Many paths to Y US/.

4

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I appreciate your analysis and I am curious if your odds have changed?

0

DonaldinhoTrumpito

1 year ago

A good day for China that could have been legendary. The athletics session turned out fine for the USA, who traded a 75% 200m gold for a 25% long jump medal. But on other fields, things looked dire for a bit with the basketball team in huge trouble and the women waterpolo getting a surprising loss. Unfortunately for China, they didn't really capitalize, losing a 40% chance in taekwondo and a 30% chance in weightlifting that should have been 95% after the first lift. Shi Zhiyong had cleared a 165kg bar, 10kg more than the next competitor, but he aimed too high for the 2nd part of the contest and failed 3 times trying 191kg instead of making sure to get a lift on the board. An unforced blunder that could prove very costly in the end. https://olympics.com/fr/paris-2024/resultats/halterophilie/73-kg---hommes/fnl-000100-- Meanwhile the USA basketball team pulled off a great comeback and are now very likely (95%) to finish the job against France. And the last minute boxing medal keeps China alive in the race. Current situation : out of 1 million simulations, the US wins 942,461 times. USA Yes is a bit underpriced but at my current level of risk I would not want more, even if I had the cash available.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

idfkanything

1 year ago

so is gambling.

2

Bigiron

1 year ago

The Olympics is a satanic ritual

2024 July hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Wild ride. Chalking the $20 loss up to a learning experience. I’ve paid more for coffee. Appreciate the mostly cordial and candid back and forth. Looking forward to august. Cheers!

4

2024 July hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

no, it says "copernicus"

0

dcue86

1 year ago

https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/08/climate/climate-global-heat-streak-ends-copernicus-intl/index.html

2024 July hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Is this why you flipped?

0

BennyS

1 year ago

Saw this.

2024 July hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

To be fair, the NO holders would also like to exit at 89c.

0

Observing

1 year ago

So while the 'no' holders are comfortable holding even though the current odds are against them, the 'yes' holders are holding their breath, can't sleep at night, and waiting on 89c to exit? Maybe that tells you something.

2024 July hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Again, there is some real Lois Einhorn and Ray Finkle energy in here.

0

n/a

1 year ago

Yes, very strange, most no holders are losers and the yes holders are winners. And what is also strange: 11/15 accounts of no holders were registered in July/August. Is this normal behavior for newbies on this site? load up 50k and then go all-in on a single market?

2024 July hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

There’s some real Lois Einhorn and Ray Finkle energy in here.

0

What will Trump say during Elon interview?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Bet he fires JD during the interview.

3

2024 July hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

how can you prove you're not a shill account?

1

Superque

1 year ago

This link was shared in a forum where groups from various universities are analyzing the impact of temperature along with the distance of the orbits. I'm here to shed some light since I see that everyone is looking out for their own interests depending on what they have invested. I'm going to provide objective data. On August 4th, we already had the GISS data available, as usual, these are not final data and have been changing as the beacons have been synthesized and grouped, which is why many models take a few days to provide their final data along with their reports. The data we are currently handling in the research groups range between 117 and 119, very close, almost identical to those of Era5 (other times there are small differences). This range of numbers is due to what I mentioned earlier. The first 14 days of July were colder than those of July 2023, which has significantly influenced the results, even though some parts of the Earth have exceeded their maximum temperatures. In water temperature, we found a deviation of 0.38. I hope that this discussion has excited or sparked curiosity about the world of meteorology, and we hope to see you in some forum where we will be happy to support you. Best regards.

2024 July hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

NASA says the 14th, but it might be sooner than that.

1

Inverse-Bet-Wins

1 year ago

Are the results coming out tomorrow?

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Trump loves a headline and firing people. JD is gone if Trump lags in the polls in a meaningful way.

0

Chen1996

1 year ago

This is a longshot by far, definitely undervalued, but whether it be a coup against Biden, an Assassination attempt against Trump, all within 3 weeks, then really this is a no brainer

2024 July hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

8/14

0

Sleijffers

1 year ago

When is the index expected to post?

Joe Biden reinstated as Dem Nominee at DNC?

idfkanything

1 year ago

LOLOL - was that a real market? JFC

0

Car

1 year ago

Worst market after the Biden pooping pants market

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Agreed. Also, Trump loves to fire people and he's more likely to cut bait with the prospect of potential prison time, fees, and fines he might have to deal with.

0

n/a

1 year ago

i'm really in a conondrum on this one, to bet some more. Kamala hasn't announced her VP yet, and it's probably going to be a very strong one, Josh Shapiro is my guess. The odds are turning. Trump may really be forced to switch bet. As for as long shots go, this one is in my opinion undervalued.

Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

This one says "August 5, 2024 ET" aka eastern standard time. It can take a few hours to resolve and be paid out sometimes.

0

Makaveli

1 year ago

does anyone know what time zone polymarket uses? will this end on EST or pacific time?

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I heard she's flying in on hot air balloon.

0

n/a

1 year ago

source?

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

The guy is filming in his mom's basement and didn't say anything new. Do people watch this clown?I want my 90 seconds back lol

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

1 year ago

The guy is right wing. What do you expect.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

hmmm... do you think she's getting ahead of backlash for picking Josh?

0

RBanister

1 year ago

The Union tweet...https://x.com/VP/status/1820508709396549928

Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I am happy to buy more N at .75, but the Harris team is leaking for the hype and headlines. All you have to do is look at the Obama playbook to see how guarded this pick will be. Her team is writing speeches for multiple candidates and printing material for all of them. Harris is notorious for having a tight core team.

1

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Reports say it'll be social media.

0

barubas

1 year ago

where will the official announcement occur?

Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

this aged well.

0

ootharju

1 year ago

Old news that came 5hrs ago - priced in already

Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?

idfkanything

1 year ago

From CNN: "The campaign plans to officially announce the choice through an online message to supporters before a rally in Philadelphia on Tuesday, where she’s expected to make her first appearance with her pick. Harris hopes to keep it under wraps “until as close to then as possible,” a person familiar with the search told CNN." https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/05/politics/harris-vice-presidential-search-2024/index.html

0

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

So it might be Pete and this weekend is just a formality. Who knows.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

@innocuous Pete isn't a bad choice, but I don't think he's the best choice. The only reason Pete wasn't interviewed this weekend is because he and Harris know each other well enough already. Gen Z would love Pete. I think she gets Pete without making him VP though.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

@innocuous Pete isn't a bad choice, but I don't think he's the best choice. The only reason Pete wasn't interviewed this weekend is because he and Harris know each other well enough already. Gen Z would love Pete. I think she gets Pete without making him VP though.

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

1 year ago

Walz would really be a bad pick. He invoked the word “socialism” and was endorsed by Bernie Sanders. The Trump campaign is already painting Kamala Harris as radical.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

@innocuous He's the same age as Harris. His kids are gen z. Have you seen his tik-tok? The youth love him. He's also more experienced than Harris, Trump and Vance combined.

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

1 year ago

Walz would really be a bad pick. He invoked the word “socialism” and was endorsed by Bernie Sanders. The Trump campaign is already painting Kamala Harris as radical.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Honestly, I regret debating. I hope Walz gets cheaper, I'll buy more YES at 10cents.

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

1 year ago

He also got a DUI and did a poor job w managing the protests in 2020. I can imagine Trump will have a lot of fun running ads about that.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

so what? Many people in Pennsylvania actively dislike Shapiro including a pro-Israel Senator (Fetterman) that has known and worked with Shapiro for years in state politics. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/03/fetterman-shapiro-harris-vp-00172557

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

1 year ago

Walz would really be a bad pick. He invoked the word “socialism” and was endorsed by Bernie Sanders. The Trump campaign is already painting Kamala Harris as radical.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Government officials coming out against your buddy doesn't mean the media doesn't like him, it means they're reporting on what people are saying.

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

1 year ago

He also got a DUI and did a poor job w managing the protests in 2020. I can imagine Trump will have a lot of fun running ads about that.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Latest polls have her winning or tied in all blue wall states. He'd help deliver the midwest blue wall in spades.

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

1 year ago

Walz would really be a bad pick. He invoked the word “socialism” and was endorsed by Bernie Sanders. The Trump campaign is already painting Kamala Harris as radical.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Why don't you buy some share under this account? Shapiro has been governor for a year. Harris has said she is looking for an experienced governing partner; Walz is far and away the most experienced and liked.

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

1 year ago

He also got a DUI and did a poor job w managing the protests in 2020. I can imagine Trump will have a lot of fun running ads about that.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

you're a shill account. No one cares about a DUI 30 yrs ago. Trump was found guilty of 34 felonies a few minutes ago.

1

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

1 year ago

He also got a DUI and did a poor job w managing the protests in 2020. I can imagine Trump will have a lot of fun running ads about that.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

lol -- he has Pelosi's endorsement and many state republicans have said good things about him. Free school lunch = pro family and kids. He's a uniter.

0

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

1 year ago

Walz would really be a bad pick. He invoked the word “socialism” and was endorsed by Bernie Sanders. The Trump campaign is already painting Kamala Harris as radical.

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

With regards to the Philly Mayor's video on social media.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

"But a member of the mayor’s staff clarified that it was not an announcement. The mayor intended only to express support for Shapiro, whom she hopes Harris will select." https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/08/02/us/harris-trump-election/4c210a6f-91d8-5fce-8aca-9bd68207badf?smid=url-share

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

"But a member of the mayor’s staff clarified that it was not an announcement. The mayor intended only to express support for Shapiro, whom she hopes Harris will select." https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/08/02/us/harris-trump-election/4c210a6f-91d8-5fce-8aca-9bd68207badf?smid=url-share

3

When will Kamala announce VP pick?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Just give her a call and ask. Let me know what she says.

2

7153649820

1 year ago

HOW AM I SUPPOSED TO KNOW WHEN

When will Kamala announce VP pick?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think it'll be Tuesday. They're rushing a process that usually takes months into a couple of weeks, they'll need all the time they have. Also there are fundraising constraints if she picks a governor, which she most likely will. So, more time is also more money. It's been reported that she is personally meeting with the shortlist this weekend.

0

JustFarmingCoin

1 year ago

HOW AM I SUPPOSED TO KNOW WHEN

Democratic VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Walz already had the weekend free because he's living his best life.

2

GreenBeanEater

1 year ago

He cancelled his weekend plans and everyone thought it was confirmed that it was him. Now that Beshear and Pete have cancelled their weekend plans too, it’s pretty obvious it’s just the interviews, but the Shapiro price stuck. Also, people still think the Philly rally means anything about the VP pick. Kind of stupid.

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

I think it's more likely that JD is "convinced" to step down than Trump firing him.

0

idfkanything

1 year ago

Trump doesn't think the VP matters, he doesn't think anyone below him matters. He believes everything is won because of his work and his brand. He listened to people last time and got Pence, who he hated. JD is a lapdog that is currently shitting in the house.

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Trump doesn't think the VP matters, he doesn't think anyone below him matters. He believes everything is won because of his work and his brand. He listened to people last time and got Pence, who he hated. JD is a lapdog that is currently shitting in the house.

2

0x62F950c99676f044D6AEBaD3c9dE17256e9Dc3b7-1722042343484

1 year ago

When asked if Vance was ready to serve Trump said "VP has no impact on the election". So clearly Trump isn't happy with JD, but does he actually believe VP doesn't matter?

2024 July hottest on record?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Why is there a 5 cent disparity between the buy and sell price? I'm holding, but I am new to polymarket and was curious why the gap is so big.

1

Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?

idfkanything

1 year ago

Wrong - https://www.reuters.com/fact-check/convicted-anti-trump-protester-falsely-identified-shooter-2024-07-15/

1

hiiiii

1 year ago

The plot thickens...the 'shooter' appears not to be T. Crooks, but rather Matthew Yearick, a well-known Antifa radical... AKA Democrat https://x.com/StevenAthena_/status/1817766828027834670