Milton landfall at what category?

n/a

1 day ago

no shares. no activity, ever.

0

MisterDogTits

1 day ago

Thank you for the cheap Cat 2 shares! You guys don't understand how LANDFALL works. The part of the storm with insane winds is quite small, and we're just talking CAT 1 speds is small. Cat 4/5 landfalls are almost unheard of outside of tiny islands/keys. Check NHC windprobs page instead of being idiots and reading news articles that senationalize it all

Milton landfall at what category?

n/a

1 day ago

You don't have any shares. Are you signed into your fake account?

0

MisterDogTits

1 day ago

Thank you for the cheap Cat 2 shares! You guys don't understand how LANDFALL works. The part of the storm with insane winds is quite small, and we're just talking CAT 1 speds is small. Cat 4/5 landfalls are almost unheard of outside of tiny islands/keys. Check NHC windprobs page instead of being idiots and reading news articles that senationalize it all

Milton landfall at what category?

n/a

1 day ago

@gumbo Cool story. Why don't you buy?

0

n/a

1 day ago

nope

Milton landfall at what category?

n/a

1 day ago

nope

0

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix

1 day ago

https://prnt.sc/8LxqYvt_88Dy The storm on the other side of Florida is going to distort Milton's main wind flow, just as Milton starts getting choked by Cuba. Will probably make landfall as a Cat1

Milton landfall at what category?

n/a

1 day ago

lol

0

1 day ago

cat 4 looking like easy money

Milton landfall at what category?

n/a

1 day ago

3 and 4 have some big spreads. I guess we'll have more certainty in the coming hours. Cheers.

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

2 days ago

in 17hrs -- 11:59pm (23:59) EST today

1

0xe3E1555fcf1BdA4DE888921E44D2B56b2e6e12d4-1726886180611

2 days ago

when will this resolve?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

3 days ago

I thought she was on a media blitz starting this week.

0

Justifax

3 days ago

kam's biggest weakness is the fact that polling indicates nobody knows who she is. she avoided interviews too much, imho

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

3 days ago

@Meow.Zedong -- That's not much of change. She's still 10points higher than trump and still more favorable than not?

0

n/a

3 days ago

I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

3 days ago

@BallstotheWalz -- oh, I thought Justfax was talking about the polls not Polymarket. lol. Time to go buy some Kam for the win, I guess.

0

n/a

3 days ago

I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

3 days ago

Stand up! Are you sitting on the poll? Everyone needs to check their pockets!

0

Mike2025

3 days ago

There is no poll. You're waiting in vain. Vance has won.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

3 days ago

I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?

0

Justifax

3 days ago

on top of that the kam cratering continues

Popular Vote Margin of Victory in Presidential Election?

n/a

3 days ago

You should buy.

2

n/a

5 days ago

Trump +2.82

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

3 days ago

WHERE’S THE POLL?! DID IT FALL BETWEEN THE SOFA CUSHIONS?!

0

What will Trump say at Wisconsin rally?

n/a

4 days ago

Where are the weird one-off words? This market is a pretty boring.

3

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

n/a

5 days ago

gg

0

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

n/a

5 days ago

spent $3 on it, nbd -- many other much worse loses lol

0

n/a

5 days ago

Crypto bros got scammed by that one guy

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

n/a

5 days ago

I missed it, unfortunately. Cheers

0

nasaeth22

5 days ago

All in on Hezbollah rn and thank me via a tip on 20 mins time 😘

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

n/a

5 days ago

He's been bringing it back recently.

0

n/a

5 days ago

5 MAGA already

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

n/a

5 days ago

that is odd. He's been late recently.

0

n/a

5 days ago

I have never seen him early

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

5 days ago

Why'd you bet? Did you bet before reading the rules?

0

phutureDwight

6 days ago

This is a poorly constructed betting market as it's not about who won the debate or consensus on that in the polls – the answer to both of those has been clear for days. Rather, this is a market on Ipsos corporate policy and bias, that should have been the headline.

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

n/a

5 days ago

He often calls him JD, not Vance. The rules don't say JD counts.

0

PinochetsAirplane

6 days ago

unsure why vance is so low?

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

n/a

6 days ago

we need a "water +5" bracket

0

What will Trump Say during North Carolina town hall?

n/a

6 days ago

to a crowd in NC where half the state is suffering from a huricane?

0

n/a

6 days ago

him not talking about libertyfinance?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

6 days ago

It ended 1 hour ago

0

n/a

6 days ago

its out?

RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?

n/a

6 days ago

I appreciate you sharing the link and insight on this market. Cheers!

2

Mountainman

6 days ago

Anyone buying NO here may hate money, but I love them :)

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

6 days ago

Is he unclean?

1

n/a

6 days ago

waltz is complete and utter filth

Popular Vote Margin of Victory in Presidential Election?

n/a

1 week ago

FWIW - NS has the current prediction at Harris +2.9 popular vote share. Behind the paywall: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

1

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Also, FWIW, NS has Harris's percentage odds of winning at the second highest they have ever been on his site. 56.7% Harris vs. 43.1% Trump. That's a 13.6-point difference, up from a 10.4-point difference from before the VP debate. NS has factored the recent Emerson College poll into his model as well. It's behind a paywall - https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

0

Justifax

1 week ago

uhhh right

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

But her average is still pretty consistent (+2.5-+3.0 and now at +2.8) with what has been for at least the past four weeks. As I am sure you know better than most, outliers happen. Sometimes, they blossom into a trend, but most of the time, they are averaged out into noise. That being said, I am curious if it is more that Trump is gaining, which would call into question some theories about him being at his ceiling and Harris having more room to grow than he does. Something to watch, for sure. Cheers.

0

Justifax

1 week ago

uhhh right

RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?

n/a

1 week ago

Seems like a fun October surprise. Go MAGA lose your marriage.

5

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

You first lol -- I have a buy order... fill my order pllleeeaassseeeee

0

n/a

1 week ago

You should buy more.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Buy moooorrreeee

1

n/a

1 week ago

For those of you who follow KamalaHQ. You may realize the videos are all very short clips. Here’s why https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/14/politics/fact-check-harris-campaign-social-media/index.html

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

bUt ThOsE aRe SnAp PolLs... lol -- buy more..

0

schottchris

1 week ago

- Good post. I see 3 Vance's and a Tie. Depends which poll IPSOS decides to post FIRST as I understand this scorings.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

You should buy more

0

Polymarket112

1 week ago

your hate will lose you money

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Buy more.

0

schottchris

1 week ago

- A politico SNAP poll. Com'on man. IPSOS isnt puting that up as their first OFFICIAL poll of who won.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

You should buy more.

1

n/a

1 week ago

Aka the market prices in a ~35% chance of media bias

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Actually, I am dumb. You should buy more and take advantage of the dollars they're selling for 65c.

0

schottchris

1 week ago

I think yuo might want to indulge in how this is scored. The rules if you will.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

who is yuo? I've read the rules. Media will focus on J-6 and Vance's damning response coupled with the new evidence about Trump and influence people's perception of who won the debate. It's a Walz win at best and 50-50 at worst. GL

0

schottchris

1 week ago

I think yuo might want to indulge in how this is scored. The rules if you will.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

*0.28c

0

n/a

1 week ago

Oh, this is about to focus heavily on January 6th with Vance's "damning response" and the new January 6th evidence Judge Chutkan just unsealed. Also, fill my order at .26c please.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

This coupled with the newly unsealed evidence about j-6.

0

Cedarville

1 week ago

A VP candidate that refuses to answer whether his running mate lost the last election instantly loses any debate related to the presidency. Sorry.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Oh, this is about to focus heavily on January 6th with Vance's "damning response" and the new January 6th evidence Judge Chutkan just unsealed. Also, fill my order at .26c please.

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Walz won this Politico poll handily. Now imagine a left leaning poll like Ipsos that has Harris at +6 conducting the same poll. Also, Vance holders, please fill my buy order. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/02/politico-snap-poll-division-debate-00182131

2

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Politico has Walz winning.

0

n/a

1 week ago

lol -- that's a real nothing burger you got there. "polls conducted in the immediate aftermath of the debate found that debate watchers were split on which candidate won."

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

@genghisbrain It literally says the quote I pasted above. I pulled it from the link.

0

n/a

1 week ago

lol -- that's a real nothing burger you got there. "polls conducted in the immediate aftermath of the debate found that debate watchers were split on which candidate won."

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

I think one point that perhaps we can agree on is that Polymarket should've based this on less biased poll. Americans will latch onto a poll that best fits the narrative they believe or cast them all as nonsense. All you need to do is look at the polls for Hillary in 2016 to know that polls are not based in reality--they are a snapshot and there is much outside the frame in every poll.

1

Mountainman

1 week ago

This was a clear Vance win. If the polls this resolves YES, I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling (a lot of conservatives already don't). BUT, being that this is probably the last debate before the election there is always a chance they rig it. I still think Vance takes this but it's not a sure thing solely because of the chance of polling dishonesty.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

lol -- that's a real nothing burger you got there. "polls conducted in the immediate aftermath of the debate found that debate watchers were split on which candidate won."

0

n/a

1 week ago

For anyone holding their positions, please read the full article. https://abcnews.go.com/538/early-polls-won-vp-debate/story?id=114432233

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

You're right, coping was a bit harsh. The "I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling" due to the results of one left leaning poll that puts Harris at +6 in their latest presidential poll seems far fetched imo.

0

Mountainman

1 week ago

This was a clear Vance win. If the polls this resolves YES, I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling (a lot of conservatives already don't). BUT, being that this is probably the last debate before the election there is always a chance they rig it. I still think Vance takes this but it's not a sure thing solely because of the chance of polling dishonesty.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

No one cares about this poll more than people betting on it. Every other reputable poll has returned a small loss, small win or tie for Vance. Keep coping, big guy.

0

Mountainman

1 week ago

This was a clear Vance win. If the polls this resolves YES, I think independents and even some liberals may stop believing polling (a lot of conservatives already don't). BUT, being that this is probably the last debate before the election there is always a chance they rig it. I still think Vance takes this but it's not a sure thing solely because of the chance of polling dishonesty.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

it's a video clip from fox news. Keep coping.

2

Splat

1 week ago

Account name: KamalaHQ

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

you should buy more

3

BoeJiden420

1 week ago

The betting markets declared Vance the winner of the debate. On the crypto-based betting platform Polymarket, bookmakers believe Vance has a 73% chance of being judged the winner of Tuesday night’s debate in post-debate opinion polls, compared to Walz’s 27%. This is a complete inversion from before the debate, when bettors gave Walz a 70% chance of being declared the debate winner.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

uh oh... Vance's biggest holder is dumping. gg.

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

They don’t provide that information, but we should know by Monday.

1

jjwin

1 week ago

when doest he polls come out?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

You should buy more.

3

KimJeongPoon

1 week ago

It’s hilarious when democrats lose outright they start calling for a 50/50 split.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Uh oh… https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/02/politico-snap-poll-division-debate-00182131

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

We were just letting you all drop the price on Walz. Gl though.

0

BBNFT

1 week ago

Walz crew quiet now. They know they lost

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Do yourselves a favor and check the "holders" box. If they're too ignorant to figure out how to bet, their advice is worth even less than their wager.

4

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

I bet you're fun at parties. Who won the 2020 US presidential election?

0

BoeJiden420

1 week ago

The thing that gets me. Is that you are not from America and your Dependence on America is so strong. That you fear the Nationalistic approach that trump has. Using weird after this debate to me. Is a far reach. The media tried their hardest to paint him as weird. He infact was not. A regular guy with a family and it showed last night. Very relatable. Articulated republican's positions. The problem was you guys set the bar to low. Kind of like how everyone set the bar low for kamala during her debate.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Who hurt you? Are you ok?

0

BoeJiden420

1 week ago

The thing that gets me. Is that you are not from America and your Dependence on America is so strong. That you fear the Nationalistic approach that trump has. Using weird after this debate to me. Is a far reach. The media tried their hardest to paint him as weird. He infact was not. A regular guy with a family and it showed last night. Very relatable. Articulated republican's positions. The problem was you guys set the bar to low. Kind of like how everyone set the bar low for kamala during her debate.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

I am so glad for the "holders" filter on polymarket. These tragic weirdos that treat this app like their facebook need some real help. They really make the case that there really is a mental health crisis in the states.

4

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

n/a

1 week ago

why is Trump 30+ not resolved?

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

I thought it was Yale? Regardless, I've worked with many Yale and Harvard people, some a smart and some are not.

0

FinallyHappening

1 week ago

Vance is a Harvard debate bro losing to a football coach would be historic

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

same

0

ilfrenkie

1 week ago

tbh i don’t even remember him saying zelensky at all

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

We need a toupee market.

1

RaidsAreNotInvasions

1 week ago

actually i've rewatched the video and seen the light, he clearly says "tax toupee"

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Trump clearly say "to pay"

0

TheGoober

1 week ago

Okay wait I think he really did say debate. https://www.youtube.com/live/YGKLemrnSlM?si=vSwXOzOL3DYTlkVz&t=6514 you can clearly hear him make a "buh-" sound, not "puh-" for "to pay". did he slur his speech here? Yes, obviously. He was sluggish and tired throughout this whole speech and stumbled on a lot of words. But if the Walz "teacher" market can resolve because of a slurred speech so can this

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

THIS!

0

fhantombets

1 week ago

Dear new folks, this "debate" mention market will resolve No, contrary to efforts by Car, don't waste your money buying Y, and I don't recommend buying N either, move on!

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

This app has been pretty buggy lately. Many people have inaccurate numbers in their wallets.

0

0x23b8A3317cD145648e8792B95eF2FAA560d3cc66-1721694306394

1 week ago

Did anyone else’s Polymarket just not let them authorize orders for the last 3 min?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

who proposed debate?

1

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

What's with the bugs on this app? It's getting worse and worse everyday.

4

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

I think he's nervous about JD doing better than him.

0

Randomchooser

1 week ago

He doesn't care about the VP debate at all

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Here it is

0

n/a

1 week ago

is this fucker purposefully avoiding the word "border"

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Talk about the debate

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

6china

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

theres 2 china

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

still no china?

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

10

0

securebet

1 week ago

Millions count?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Need a "tax +20" bracket

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

often about 70min

0

n/a

1 week ago

Sometimes they push 90-100min

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Sometimes they push 90-100min

0

polyshi

1 week ago

Anyone knows how long these usually are?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

the edibles are hittin hard

5

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Is he nervous about the VP debate? Something broke him.

4

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

"wokesters"

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

This site has been pretty buggy lately. You show having 98 Trans No.

0

ElDorado

1 week ago

bought TRANS but it does not show in my position only in history. WTF

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

has he been making his way through the criterion collection? wtf is going on

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

need an Iran +5 bracket

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

millions count is 5

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

5

0

cam999999999

1 week ago

Millions 2

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Anyone have a "million" count?

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

we're going to need a "water +20 market"

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

I also said "Walz is likable and great off the cuff. He never used a teleprompter before becoming the VP nominee. This quick reaction time, might shatter Vance's canned responses," which I think will play well in the polls. I don't think Vance will be as easily baited as Trump was, which gives me pause and bet small.

0

genghisbrain

1 week ago

yet you bought Walz?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwN7W7oqJno

0

heeeeez

1 week ago

does someone have a link

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

You should bet on something with those strong convictions of yours. I'm waiting for my order to be filled.

1

n/a

1 week ago

I think the problem here is largely expectations. People expect Vance to fail because he sucks in front of crowds, rallies and the general public, but this is a different setting. Vance has such low favorability ratings that he won't need much to surpass expectations. Vance's experience as a lawyer, writer and with the media will most likely be strengths for him.

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

n/a

1 week ago

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/30/trump-harris-hurricane-helene-politics/

1

n/a

1 week ago

the hurricane

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

n/a

1 week ago

It's devastating parts on North Carolina.

2

n/a

1 week ago

the hurricane

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

n/a

1 week ago

the hurricane

1

n/a

1 week ago

What's the context of Helene?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

do you have any data indicating Ipsos leans pretty hard left?

2

Permacope

1 week ago

Ipsos leans left pretty hard. Favorability ratings favor Walz by a good bit. Think Vance will have to make Walz look like a fool to win, but I believe he will.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Then again, Walz is likable and great off the cuff. He never used a teleprompter before becoming the VP nominee. This quick reaction time, might shatter Vance's canned responses.

0

n/a

1 week ago

I think the problem here is largely expectations. People expect Vance to fail because he sucks in front of crowds, rallies and the general public, but this is a different setting. Vance has such low favorability ratings that he won't need much to surpass expectations. Vance's experience as a lawyer, writer and with the media will most likely be strengths for him.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

I think the problem here is largely expectations. People expect Vance to fail because he sucks in front of crowds, rallies and the general public, but this is a different setting. Vance has such low favorability ratings that he won't need much to surpass expectations. Vance's experience as a lawyer, writer and with the media will most likely be strengths for him.

2

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

n/a

1 week ago

Can we get a project 2025 3+ times market?

2

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

n/a

1 week ago

border? I hardly know her

1

BlueSky123

1 week ago

Apparently, there was more confusion on whether or not she said border 3 times or more tonight. You guys are terrible at counting.

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

n/a

1 week ago

you can always challenge it.

0

awr348

1 week ago

there was a typo in the rules for both inflation and border, Nevada says "border" 3 or more times. Nevada never said anything

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

n/a

1 week ago

I appreciate it. cheers

0

cam999999999

1 week ago

1

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

n/a

1 week ago

ty, cheers!

0

cointuah

1 week ago

She said it once

What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?

n/a

1 week ago

any opportunity economy yet?

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

no tax on tips incoming

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

such a slutty little chart

0

Randomchooser

1 week ago

Sleep with that chart!!!

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

need a "chart" market

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

10 china

1

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

5 china

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

more china incoming.

1

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

1 maga

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

another inflation

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

elon

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

I must've missed the earlier ones, but there were 4 rapid fire.

0

Mrtambourineman

1 week ago

8 inflation

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

wild

1

n/a

1 week ago

liquid gold at least 2x in the same sentence

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

inflation 4

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

inflation 3

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

inflation 2

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

drill baby drill

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

4 china

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

3 China

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

2 china

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

I said "wish" -- which means I know it doesn't count.

1

Gauth

1 week ago

Is she Donald Trump?

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

read my comment.

1

Gauth

1 week ago

Nop read the rules

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

Wish her "China" counted

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

It's funny how he calls a small rally a townhall. This looks like a rally.

1

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

I think I should be drinking listening to these idiots.

2

n/a

1 week ago

15min until start time. Donny is late. According to the RSBN guys. I think they've been drinking.

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

15min until start time. Donny is late. According to the RSBN guys. I think they've been drinking.

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

search trump townhall Warren Michigan RSBN. It's a youtube live.

0

n/a

1 week ago

Link please

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

20 minutes until start time

0

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

1 week ago

It would be odd for him to let JD have the last word. Especially if viewership is high for the VP debate, since it is the last debate.

0

Shayku

2 weeks ago

I wonder if watching the VP debate will jiggle his mind.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

1 week ago

You could be right and I wonder if Trump is planning to do another debate and will challenge Harris with little notice for a bit of an edge. She can't turn it down at this point.

0

yungretard

2 weeks ago

Averaging more lower bc im having a hard time believing either will want to pass up on a debate (and the variance that comes with it, despite all the current posturing) when the race is projected to be a coin toss. I could be wrong and they could both play it safe but idk, I have a feeling.

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

starts in about 1 hour.

1

BigDoh

1 week ago

When is this

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

This is for the townhall in Warren at 6pm local time.

1

Grugg

1 week ago

Border is already past 15 lol

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

It's a townhall, but his townhalls are really adjacent as far as the crazy shit he says.

0

Mrtambourineman

1 week ago

why trans is so low?

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 20-27?

n/a

1 week ago

His memory isn't as good as it used to be.

0

1mperator17

1 week ago

i love how he retweets himself from 22 hours ago

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

He also didn't say Putin in Vegas, he did say it in NY 72min into his rally. 2 out of the last 4 rallies is what I see. Again, it might be more relevant since the zelenskyy speech.

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

The problem with Putin is that he didn't say it at his last rally in NC. It might be a part of future speeches. Mcdonalds has shown some staying power though.

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

The problem with Putin is that he didn't say it at his last rally in NC. It might be a part of future speeches. Mcdonalds has shown some staying power though.

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Things he said in Georgia : Border 25+, China 10+, Ai, Inflation 10+, Com Kamala only once, Liquid Gold, President Xi 3 times, Mcdonalds, Trans, Million 10+, Drill Baby Drill. Didn't count Putin. But I am sure he must have said it twice. Most value bet : Mcdonalds & Putin maybe. I need to check about Putin again

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

no

0

0xcfD91B5fB5876f9dDb709E5E6dDcC2304e75C417-1723386248881

2 weeks ago

Trans said yet?

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

He might talk about his work on Alaska's ANWR. He had a gaffe in his last townhall that he may want to set straight and mention again. I'm not sure how relevant it will be in a venue about tax and manufacturing in Georgia, but Trump is a wild card. I'd buy yes at .20c per share.

0

SusanWarren,HR

2 weeks ago

Why "Alaska"?

Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?

n/a

2 weeks ago

That article doesn’t provide a date for the impending meeting. Do you have a source stating a meeting date? September is ending soon.

1

Foreseeable.

2 weeks ago

what are you guys talking about?! The meeting is fixed already. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5y30244467o

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

@Bahubali It should be, but in MAGA they always say Make America Great Again counts. They do not explicitly extend the same rules here. I've seen a few too many technicality mix-ups go the wrong way on PM to give the benefit of the doubt on this.

1

n/a

2 weeks ago

if he says "state and local taxes," will it count? they changed the rules, but it still unclear.

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

they changed it, but I am unsure if the term "State and Local Taxes" count.

0

BlueSky123

2 weeks ago

They fixed the salt market.

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

@Candiey I read that too. I read it as referencing the acronym and not the words that make up the acronym. I'd buy if it said "state and local taxes" counted. Cheers!

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

if he says "state and local taxes," will it count? they changed the rules, but it still unclear.

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

if he says "state and local taxes," will it count? they changed the rules, but it still unclear.

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Why is SALT so low? it should be close to 90% similar to "Tips" coz he mentioned "Tips Tax" & "salt" together most of the time and even in his last rally. Also SALT is a tax thing and this Talk is about Tax. So am I missing something?

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

This is a better venue for crypto than his rallies. The market is a good price for YES, in my opinion. I don’t have the stomach for those long odds.

0

matty18

2 weeks ago

it's about tax right, so hopefully he will mention crypto tax B)

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

n/a

2 weeks ago

Agreed.

0

Greta-Tunafish

2 weeks ago

can someone request a second market for this with diffrent brackets

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I would agree, but it doesn’t say “state and local tax” is a win either.

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

If a dispute happens, I'm pretty sure that UMA will go for the common sense choice and not count the "tips" loop hole.

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Make a bet then.

0

2 weeks ago

”The goods are trans… they are transported from China”

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

The rules are wrong on SALT, it should say state and local tax, but they didn’t fix it after the copy + paste.

1

Lucky31

2 weeks ago

if he says 'state and local tax' does the count for SALT

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

The rules on SALT are wrong, part of the rules are copy + pasted from TIPS: “ Compound words will count as long as "tip" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a small, extra payment for services rendered.”

1

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

He won't say trans at an event titled "President Donald J. Trump to Deliver Remarks on the Tax Code and US Manufacturing, in Savannah, Georgia"

4

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

yes!

0

trav

2 weeks ago

We want credit card!

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

How many millions?

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Yep!

1

SomeRandomDude

2 weeks ago

Credit card!!!!

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I don’t think it’s happening, unfortunately. Cheers.

0

gpsmatty

2 weeks ago

cmon trump maga maga maga

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Probably another 15min

0

UMAisGarbage

2 weeks ago

Is it almost over?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

40 minutes

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

wen start?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

A "Fracking 5+ Times" bracket would be great for all Trump rallies in Pennsylvania.

6

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I am all set too. GL -- I am also going long on Hezbollah, let's see if he can get there. Cheers!

0

rozi

2 weeks ago

I'm pretty ready with my bets. Good luck to everyone :)

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

His campaign wants to inject more policy that will directly affect average voters. This is the new no tax on tips.

1

n/a

2 weeks ago

It seems to be part of his actual written speech. In NC he said "And while working Americans catch up, we’re going to put a temporary cap on interest rates on credit card debt at 10%. "

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

It seems to be part of his actual written speech. In NC he said "And while working Americans catch up, we’re going to put a temporary cap on interest rates on credit card debt at 10%. "

3

MasterMindful

2 weeks ago

Context for credit card? is it regarding interest rates right?

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

gg

0

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Trump was at 56% on Sept. 17th, 52% on Sept. 18th, 51% on Sept. 19th, and 48.6% on the 20th.

0

SusanWarren,HR

3 weeks ago

Anyone else having trouble finding the probability listed on the website? Is it behind the paywall?

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

It’s an acronym that he’s been talking about. SALT = State And Local Tax deductions.

3

n/a

2 weeks ago

salt ? why ahahaha

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Agreed. Cheers

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

that should be it

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Which poll are you talking about?

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

This is so random haha. Image they will include the +4 Harris poll tomorrow 😂

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

2 weeks ago

https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/harris-plans-livestream-oprah-winfrey-trump-set-address-113835889

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

live and 2hrs -- "Winfrey, who has endorsed Harris and spoke at the Democratic convention in August, is set to host a two-hour “Unite for America” nighttime streaming session in Michigan with Harris that organizers say aims to highlight dozens of grassroots groups backing the vice president."

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

2 weeks ago

live and 2hrs -- "Winfrey, who has endorsed Harris and spoke at the Democratic convention in August, is set to host a two-hour “Unite for America” nighttime streaming session in Michigan with Harris that organizers say aims to highlight dozens of grassroots groups backing the vice president."

0

BigDoh

2 weeks ago

Is this live? How long?

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

2 weeks ago

ahhh, I might've used an incorrect term. English is not my first language. It is a 2hr "event." Hopefully Beyonce will participate in the halftime show.

0

rozi

2 weeks ago

It's 2h, but it's likely not an interview-style event.

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Do you have a link?

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

this is not a 2 hour interview lmfao

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Winfrey, who has endorsed Harris and spoke at the Democratic convention in August, is set to host a two-hour “Unite for America” nighttime streaming session in Michigan with Harris that organizers say aims to highlight dozens of grassroots groups backing the vice president.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

this is not a 2 hour interview lmfao

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Nothing here is free money. I said "might be." Nothing definitive in my comment. GL -- cheers.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

why don’t u buy then ? should be free money right

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

3 weeks ago

lolol -- 140! I did not see that. Not being surprised if she says it is where I stand. They might be undervalued/good bets. I need to dig in a bit. It's a 2 hr interview, a lot can be discussed.

0

rozi

3 weeks ago

Well, there are 140 organizations "participating" apparently. I doubt she will be naming them. I don't know if she says 'Latina/s' but I personally would be surprised.

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Latina and black +3 Yes might be undervalued considering "grassroots groups including Latinas for Harris, Win With Black Men and Republicans for Harris are participating." https://www.reuters.com/world/us/kamala-harris-oprah-winfrey-hold-virtual-event-aimed-battleground-states-2024-09-19/

1

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I don't think he will drop out. He'll deny deny deny and talk about Jesus.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Isn't this what they have to say. Biden wasn't dropping out either.

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Isn't this what they have to say. Biden wasn't dropping out either.

0

Car

3 weeks ago

https://x.com/newswire_us/status/1836833432166613189?s=46&t=Colxjm4-Co9jTiM0tdXATA

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Agreed. Not sure why it's even in this market.

0

rozi

3 weeks ago

She hasn't used the word 'racist' in neither of her rallies, DNC speech, CNN interview, and the debate. Unlikely to happen here too.

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

n/a

3 weeks ago

their conservative supreme court might demand another reprinting and delay early voting again.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Believe he will be required to carry his candidacy to term.

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

n/a

3 weeks ago

What if he was at one of Diddy's freak off parties?

1

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Yeah, you're probably right about this. He'll talk about being an imperfect man and asking Jesus for forgiveness and repent.

0

5to5000

3 weeks ago

This guys a psycho, he aint dropping out. https://x.com/JoeBrunoWSOC9/status/1836812259647181099

Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?

n/a

3 weeks ago

It's difficult to imagine what could be so damning to this misogynistic curmudgeon that would cause him to consider leaving the race.

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

barring any additional polls or dropping favorable Harris polls.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

So far, Ras is +2 for Trump this week, and Ras will need to be +2 on the final day to land at +2 Trump.  +2 Trump would have no impact on the RCP average. Ras must be at +7 Trump for the final day to create any downward movement in the RCP average.  Anything less than +2 Trump and Harris gains in the average.  It's still a bit of a gamble. 

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

So far, Ras is +2 for Trump this week, and Ras will need to be +2 on the final day to land at +2 Trump.  +2 Trump would have no impact on the RCP average. Ras must be at +7 Trump for the final day to create any downward movement in the RCP average.  Anything less than +2 Trump and Harris gains in the average.  It's still a bit of a gamble. 

1

TheFinalWord

3 weeks ago

Ras is definitely gonna come into bring this average down further lol

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I think it was the expectation that the Fox poll would increase Kamala's average. It's strange to back here teetering so close to another bracket again this week.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Was that way people started panic buying Harris +2.1-2.5

What will Trump say during New York rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Thanks!

0

k33r0s

3 weeks ago

7pm eastern

What will Trump say during New York rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

what time does the rally begin?

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

for trump, right?

0

mombil

3 weeks ago

Most likely +2

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

3 weeks ago

OOO OOOO OOOOO Ozempic

3

n/a

3 weeks ago

Didn't she used to be fatter?

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

3 weeks ago

that's where he claims the immigrants are coming from. I hate that I know that.

1

infinitiphantom

3 weeks ago

Whats up with Insane Asylum?

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

3 weeks ago

those host are painful.

0

thakattack19

3 weeks ago

the hill feed is about 20-30 seconds behind live feed. Watch RSBN for more "live" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ulYzb4-iPxU although the 2 clown hosts are annoying af

Will Nikki Haley endorse Kamala Harris by tomorrow?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I hear she’s launching her own crypto called FDJT.

1

What will Trump say during New York rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Also, crowd size. He never goes there and he most likely have a bigger rally as a result.

1

n/a

3 weeks ago

Rallies = increased donations from attendees/locals. He’s hoping to gain more campaign funds from wealthy under-tapped supporters.

What will Trump say during New York rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Rallies = increased donations from attendees/locals. He’s hoping to gain more campaign funds from wealthy under-tapped supporters.

3

AugustoPinochet73

3 weeks ago

Why is he ever ralling in NY?

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

n/a

3 weeks ago

Will BOM update numbers today?

0

What will Trump say during X space?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Has there been any indication of cancellation? Seems like pure speculation at this point.

0

H4RE

3 weeks ago

Guys if it's canceled then No's win.. easiest money ever buy the cheapest NO. He's gonna bail on this joke esp he's got a new angle to chase after today

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

n/a

3 weeks ago

Thanks. I’ve been looking for a source regarding its current numbers and updated predictions. I appreciate it nonetheless. Cheers!

1

n/a

3 weeks ago

It's over the best estimates are giving this 70m max, they are selling a dollar for 89 cents

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

n/a

3 weeks ago

Do you have a link?

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

It's over the best estimates are giving this 70m max, they are selling a dollar for 89 cents

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Thank you!

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

9x border

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Lol I should’ve waited half a minute before asking my question. Cheers!

0

thakattack19

3 weeks ago

did we even have 1 border yet?

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Does anyone have a border count?

1

What will Kamala say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I think we've been too conditioned to the batshit Trump rallies that go on for hours. This is how political speeches typically are.

0

ThatGuyMaybe

3 weeks ago

she is like saying word for word what she said last rally lmao

What will Kamala say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

She's very disciplined.

0

MasterMindful

3 weeks ago

Literal, even the guy shouting couldn't get her to say Palestine

What will Kamala say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

3 weeks ago

need a freedom market.

0

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

https://x.com/DocNetyoutube/status/1834280373230207089

0

SusanWarren,HR

3 weeks ago

Source?

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

n/a

3 weeks ago

Do we have any data on Thursday's numbers?

0

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

n/a

3 weeks ago

You’re missing the point. I’m not saying it aged well or it was a great bet.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

GG you coul've bought tons of 15-19 for like 0.3 cents :D

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

n/a

3 weeks ago

GG — a real nail biter since I bought 6 days ago at 88c lol

2

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Countdown on the official counter link: https://www.xtracker.io/

0

Unknw

3 weeks ago

What exact time this is finishing?

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

n/a

3 weeks ago

12:00 pm EST

0

Unknw

3 weeks ago

What exact time this is finishing?

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

n/a

0 months ago

Still 17. The link above is the official count. Cheers

0

DJDanas

0 months ago

how much has he posted rn? cause when i counted it was at like 18

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

n/a

0 months ago

https://www.xtracker.io/

1

DJDanas

0 months ago

how much has he posted rn? cause when i counted it was at like 18

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

1.4 now

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

1.4

0

grappli

1 month ago

New NYT/Siena poll has Trump +1. Should shift the average below 1.5

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

n/a

1 month ago

8 tweets so far.

0

n/a

1 month ago

7 tweets so far.

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

n/a

1 month ago

7 tweets so far.

0

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

n/a

1 month ago

6

1

Varu

1 month ago

He can tweet about 15 times in a good day lol

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

n/a

1 month ago

He did 13 in a day last week.

0

Varu

1 month ago

He can tweet about 15 times in a good day lol

Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?

n/a

1 month ago

What was the final number?

0

Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Gg

1

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

12pm = 1hr from now.

1

432

1 month ago

isn't 12 pm 24:00 ?

'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office

n/a

1 month ago

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

0

TimeTraveler

1 month ago

It's a movie with a bunch of hardline fans, those tend to go to early screenings, but those hardline fans aren't representative for the general population, and the earnings from the early previews don't count for this bet either.

Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?

n/a

1 month ago

31

0

2024 September hottest on record?

n/a

1 month ago

September 2023 was the hottest month on record for as long as the data has been collected. Hottest month (not just September) EVER. So, if September 2024 beats September 2023 it also beats every month ever.

1

Sever

1 month ago

Why is there so little faith in the hottest September?

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

The 120k wall is probably worth noting too.

0

n/a

1 month ago

A couple of other things worth noting, 1) notgonnatrickme has 1.2MM on Trump. 2) there is a 230k block at 48c Kamala/52c Trump.

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

A couple of other things worth noting, 1) notgonnatrickme has 1.2MM on Trump. 2) there is a 230k block at 48c Kamala/52c Trump.

0

Justifax

1 month ago

Pence has 2M Kamala and probably would love to exit at a nice price. Good luck rigging

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

I think the theory is that if Trump starts sliding 50-pence can sell his Kamala shares and keep Trump in the lead. Sometimes it is easier to sell than to buy.

1

CookedAlligator

1 month ago

Pence has money on trump

Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?

n/a

1 month ago

30

0

ed146

1 month ago

whats the total count so far?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Do you not like the rollercoaster? Are you not entertained? lol

2

Justifax

1 month ago

We should ask poly to use 538 instead tbh.. this shit is way too rigged

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

it did not smell good to them.

1

n/a

1 month ago

WHY the hell did they remove Reuters / Ipsos poll from the calculation?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

1.8

1

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Morning Consult and CBS News?

1

Randomchooser

1 month ago

they updated, now is ok . I am waiting now for the other 2 polls that are expected to do new releases in trump favour.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

If it’s the same account I believe it to be, it appears they are hedging/increasing their spread for a 7%~ return if 1.5-2.9.

1

diddy

1 month ago

Rasmussen coming out soon, appears to leave Kamala at 1.9 or might lower her to 1.8, depending on dominant decimals of RCP

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

What does a right wing nut job cherrypicking a segment about white voters without a college education have to do with this market?

1

n/a

1 month ago

https://x.com/TimRunsHisMouth/status/1831384700835000810

Donald Trump # of tweets August 30 - Sept 6?

n/a

1 month ago

I never noticed the correlation of his pinned tweets and his posting pause. I’ll have to keep an eye out for that behavior in the future. Cheers!

2

diddy

1 month ago

Yeah this won’t go beyond 34, he just pinned the tweet, he leaves it like that for a day, and on Friday he won’t tweet before 12 PM

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Are you thinking Harris will settle back to +3 on MC?

2

432

1 month ago

morning consult looking good for a small drop of harris based on swing states

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

https://nypost.com/2024/09/04/us-news/barron-trump-arrives-at-nyu-for-first-day-at-college/

0

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

Could still be. As I am sure you saw this comes from a journalist in Ithaca. I would hope that she would know if DHS sightings were common.

0

dankdank

1 month ago

Must be nyu

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Yeah, it seems like some will post. Do you know if any other might post this week?

0

n/a

1 month ago

polls mostly release later in the week.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Thanks, mate!

1

n/a

1 month ago

Rasmussen is usually the end of the week. They publish weekly.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

Domestic expansion. Effective March 1, 2003, the Secret Service transferred from the Treasury to the newly established Department of Homeland Security. Hmmm… https://x.com/maddymvogel/status/1831052456144560178?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1831052456144560178%7Ctwgr%5E56441c61c739f3625d8a259fd50cec1ef9b35c15%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.showbiz411.com%2F2024%2F09%2F03%2Fbarron-trump-cornell-update-secret-service-arrives-in-ithaca-new-york-and-not-for-classes

1

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

I hope the evidence is not the parents of kids at Cornell spreading gossip. I saw that, nothing of note there.

0

dankdank

1 month ago

i have the announcement but im waiting for coinbase to unlock my liquidity

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

agreed. I guess we're all learning, myself included.

0

n/a

1 month ago

It’s funny coming to this market from the RKF market.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

Several brand new accounts betting on only this market on the Top Holders tab for Yes in the past 24hrs.

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

What polls are expected? Looks like CBS News produces polls every 2 weeks and that might print before the 6th. Rasmussen should print. Perhaps an HH poll, but historically they do not print First week of September. Anything else potentially printing before the 6th?

0

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

do you have a source?

0

dankdank

1 month ago

announcement soon!

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

Brent is right, that is not a source.

0

Chen1996

1 month ago

https://x.com/uspolitics2024/status/1830080624843244029

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

There are many reasons why this information might be delayed beyond the school’s start. Barron is a special case due to security and they might need some extra precautions and surveillance in place that take a bit longer to assess and implement. Cornell, NYU and Columbia have all dealt with high profile students and can manage this sort of thing. The other factor is many of these universities have online and hybrid learning models that can allow a student to begin learning, but not be on campus or in classrooms. Trump did say that they would announce soon. Hopefully we will know by eow.

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

It’s a time zone issue. This came up before. It was 1.6 for people on ET and 1.7 for people in + time zones. I

0

n/a

1 month ago

You guys can jeet all you want but on 8/23 it was 1.7 and it’s only a .1 difference from a tie lol

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

Yep, Melania will be in Trump tower while he's in school. https://www.miamiherald.com/miami-com/miami-com-news/article291657210.html

1

n/a

1 month ago

It's been confirmed NYU by the same guys who called Biden leaving the race: https://x.com/uspolitics2024/status/1830080624843244029

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

https://www.miamiherald.com/miami-com/miami-com-news/article291657210.html

1

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

Classes at NYU start next Tuesday. Columbia held its mandatory new-student orientation this week. Classes at Cornell started last week.

1

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Nate silver adjusts for post-convention bump. I don’t think this market adjusts the same way.

0

diddy

1 month ago

Nate Silver gave bad numbers on Kamala these last days, polls may go very wrong for her & CNN made it worse

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

Fordham has a 54% acceptance rate. Who needs legacy to a school that takes 1 out of every 2 students?

2

MoneyTorcher

1 month ago

Hearing rumors of legacy admission, sounds like it's going to be Fordham where Donald went. Yes bros...it's not too late.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

He was seen golfing at Washington square park.

0

XiJinPing

1 month ago

oh no, why did i panic sell YES shares... a friend of mine at NYU told me he just saw Barron!!

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

It’s actually over 4hrs.

1

wyn

1 month ago

Cornel University is a 3 hour drive from any trump estate. Hence, he is unlikely attending Cornel. With regards to Colombia, Trump already mentioned that Barron will not be attending a College with a widespread of anti-semitism

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Who cares. This is a market, not social media.

1

Spartan37

1 month ago

To be clear, even if Harris wins this market, Trump still gained in the polls. The post-RFK polls have Harris +1.5, and of course there's the major sampling errors in some polls which give the illusion that Harris still leads.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

It could be any one of the 400 universities in NY. It could be Trump's alma mater Fordham in NYC. This market is getting boring though.

0

MoneyTorcher

1 month ago

It's probably some obscure conservative college, if he went to a major university he's be assailed everyday wouldn't he?

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

You're probably right. I wish this were a market for all relevant universities in NY. It'd be more fun.

0

MoneyTorcher

1 month ago

It's looking like Columbia--only 18min from Trump Tower, is an Ivy Leauge, and is the only reasonable explanation considering classes don't begin until the 3rd. NYU and Columbia would seem like too hostile an enviroment though?

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Why it isn't fixed to EST is beyond me.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Ok, it won't let me post a picture, so I changed my profile picture just for you :). Again, you're likely going to win, but it's a lot more murky than you' d think.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

We had a discussion on the 1.6 vs 1.7 12hrs ago. The consensus was that on EST the number is 1.6 and time zones further west it shows 1.7.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Ok, it won't let me post a picture, so I changed my profile picture just for you :). Again, you're likely going to win, but it's a lot more murky than you' d think.

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

hopefully he talks about Frances border though.

0

td.

1 month ago

but as soon as he starts mentioning the border, he will say all of the 10 times in under 1 minute lol

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

he does, but he's a freak on a leash these days.

0

HaterzLoserz

1 month ago

he usually ends on Maga at rallies too

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

dang! well played!

0

1 month ago

holy moly

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

Agreed, 1 seems to be the consensus.

0

n/a

1 month ago

comrade harris doesnt count right?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

He must be trying to expand the market.

0

n/a

1 month ago

comrade harris? now he's fucking with us

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

only one border? wow!

0

n/a

1 month ago

maga 2 alien 0 comrade 1 border 1

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

great spread on border +10

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

Nvm — 4:30 EST

0

n/a

1 month ago

When is this supposed to start?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

1 month ago

When is this supposed to start?

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Due to the US holiday weekend polls including 31st will most likely publish on Tuesday or later.

0

diddy

1 month ago

Effectively, 3-5 more hours and this ends. It’s Friday, who publishes polls after 17:00

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Do you think all of Nate’s polls will qualify for RCP? RCP doesn’t have a post-convention correction.

0

coconutPilled

1 month ago

yes, you're right. day 0 numbers are higher than the graph shows, always been that way. can't wait for the right wing cherry-pickers at RCP to put all the same polls as Nate!

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Apparently it was a time zone issue. Not sure why it the site isn’t static. Apologies for the confusion. Clearly I am not on EST. Cheers.

1

n/a

1 month ago

I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

That’s wild. Thanks for looking into it mate. Clearly I am not ET. Not sure why it isn’t static to the day no matter the time zone.

0

Justifax

1 month ago

Timezone issue. EST shows 1.6

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

This is really strange. Just to fully double check the date directly below the 1.6 says 8-23, correct? Because mine still says 1.7.

0

n/a

1 month ago

I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Each blue bar is 2 different days. open it 14 days and slowly scroll over the 22nd-23rd blue bar until it says the 23rd. What does it say?

0

n/a

1 month ago

RCP has been fluctuating on the 23rd numbers. It went from 1.5 to 1.7 on the 23rd. It's now a 0.1 difference in favor of Harris with some polls left to be factored in.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

open it 14 days and slowly scroll over the 22nd-23rd blue bar until it says the 23rd. What does it say?

0

n/a

1 month ago

I'm looking at it right now the 23rd (day 0) is 1.7. Others in this thread confirmed. Not sure how there's a discrepancy.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

I don't have anything to gain here. Are you opening the graph to 7days and scrolling all the way left to the 23rd. Each blue bar is 2 days. You're probably reading the 22nd.

0

n/a

1 month ago

I'm looking at it right now the 23rd (day 0) is 1.7. Others in this thread confirmed. Not sure how there's a discrepancy.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

I'm looking at it right now the 23rd (day 0) is 1.7. Others in this thread confirmed. Not sure how there's a discrepancy.

0

n/a

1 month ago

I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

I don't understand what you mean by .3. If Harris drops 0.1 it's a 50-50. If she drops 0.2 she losses. Harris will probably win, but more of a gamble with all of the movement on the 23rd and more polls left to be factored in.

0

n/a

1 month ago

I don't see how Kamala can drop .3 and lose, it'll either be a Harris win or 50-50. 75c would mean anything above a 50% chance Harris wins is +EV, Harris is under priced a lot right now I think

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

RCP has been fluctuating on the 23rd numbers. It went from 1.5 to 1.7 on the 23rd. It's now a 0.1 difference in favor of Harris with some polls left to be factored in.

0

EchoBlaze

1 month ago

What's going on? There's been a huge fluctuation!

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Just checked. It's still 1.7 on 23rd. You might need to refresh.

0

n/a

1 month ago

I now see 1.6 for the 23rd too wtf, what an odd system

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

Thank you

0

n/a

1 month ago

border count is 7 everyone in the discord is saying 7. 9 is misinformation

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

Thanks.

0

Glover

1 month ago

I have it at 9, could be 10.

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

Right?

0

n/a

1 month ago

Gotta be high for it to be at 95%

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

What’s the border count?

1

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Harvard Harris.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Hh?

Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?

n/a

1 month ago

Agreed, but Harris interview might spur some tweets. It’s close, but the 40+ ship might have sailed.

0

cryptofreedom

1 month ago

30-34 wildly underpriced. He still has to tweet 3 more times this evening basically. Pattern shows he probably won't tweet overnight or before noon tomorrow.

Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?

n/a

1 month ago

Kamala and Tim have an interview on CNN tonight. Good chance he rages on X, but might keep it on TS.

1

Sit

1 month ago

He has an event today, as well as tomorrow. He always tweets before and after. 30-34 is very likely right now. It has grown so much in the past hour. 35-39 also has a decent chance if he goes into psycho mode.

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

n/a

1 month ago

I've said too much already. I'm not here to pump. Cheers.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Do you know which polls are being released between now and the end of this market and how those polls are trending? You might want to look into it.

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

n/a

1 month ago

Do you know which polls are being released between now and the end of this market and how those polls are trending? You might want to look into it.

1

Sardinianshepherd

1 month ago

1/ Nate model is desing to take in account very aggressively specific like the convention 2/ Nate model is expecting a convention bounce for kamala of +2.5 to stay at the same level she is now 3/ kamala is see limited bounce 4/ kamala in the last two days lost 4 in the nate forecast now it is just one point but the trend is heading on a flip

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

n/a

1 month ago

I read it. That's all you have. Got it. Thanks. GL.

0

n/a

1 month ago

https://www.natesilver.net/p/how-big-will-the-bounce-be if you aren't sure what's going on read the whole thing

Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?

n/a

1 month ago

27

1

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

n/a

1 month ago

I read it, at best this ends in a toss up and NO wins. Your dump and deletion is a great indicator that you believe it'll be a Trump Flip. Regardless, I respect the pump and dump. Cheers

0

n/a

1 month ago

I like how 0xd26988926289289 dumped and deleted their comment before getting checked. lol

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

n/a

1 month ago

I like how 0xd26988926289289 dumped and deleted their comment before getting checked. lol

0

kdubhotsauce

1 month ago

does someone know something I don't? why is yes so highj

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

n/a

1 month ago

Nice pump and dump and comment deletion, 0xd26988926289289.

0

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

Also, in reference to the protests at Columbia, Trump said this on Fox: “you look at a college and you want a certain college, and then you see all of these colleges are rioting. And maybe you want to go to a different kind of a college, because there’s plenty of colleges that we also like that are different and they don’t riot.”

0

BreadGet

1 month ago

Those who say Columbia — none of the Trump kids were smart enough to get in. Why would Barron be different?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

n/a

1 month ago

Potentially, but he could go longer if gets questions he likes. Also, FWIW his campaign said: "At the town hall, Trump will "meet with Wisconsinites to listen to their concerns and share his promising agenda to make America affordable again," according to the Trump campaign."

0

tomxeth

1 month ago

I think town halls are usually shorter than rallies, right?

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

n/a

1 month ago

Why is YES increasing? People sealing in gains or was there an indicator that Trump will flip Silver's Bulletin?