anon1565 | Polymarket Tracker

#841

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Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

I was a yes holder before the speech with 55,000 shares. However, as the speech concluded, I was 100% certain given the present rules that he had not dropped out While I had been a Yes voter previously, the quote: "I want everyone to know that I am not terminating my campaign. I am simply suspending it and - NOT ENDING IT. My name will remain on the ballot in most states... I encourage you to vote for me! And if enough of you vote for me and neither of the major party candidates wins 270 votes, which is quite possible... I could conceivably still end up in the White House in a contingential election." made it iron tight for me that he was not dropping out. I asked chatgpt and a lawyer friend to confirm what I had heard, and they agreed. I read and re-read the rules over and over again to confirm I was correct. Given I had the information I needed, and after the speech ended, I bought 175,000 No shares. The market agreed with me, trading all the way down to .29c for yes. After I bought these shares, Polymarket posts additional context where they decide the entire speech is invalid, especially the full paragraph I quoted, and instead conjoin 2 inconclusive small quotes. I am positive an unbiased judge, lawyer, llm, uma, or anyone else would rule in Nos favor.

Liked by baal, 432 and 22 others