#24
Rank
982
Comments
321
Likes Received
28
Likes Given
VibesGreaterRules
1 week ago
today is the day!
VibesGreaterRules
1 week ago
Timing.
1PrecentRicher
1 week ago
What happened to Eigen ?
VibesGreaterRules
1 week ago
Not sold.
VibesGreaterRules
1 week ago
The Bank of Dave is SOLID.
VibesGreaterRules
1 week ago
The Bank of Dave is SOLID.
VibesGreaterRules
1 week ago
who?
VibesGreaterRules
2 weeks ago
RIGGED
VibesGreaterRules
2 weeks ago
sex is not the same as gender
VibesGreaterRules
2 weeks ago
Chiefs way overpriced
VibesGreaterRules
2 weeks ago
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-jets-vs-patriots?tid=1726785436765
n/a
3 weeks ago
Just checked, I don't tink they have thursday night football game spreads on here
VibesGreaterRules
3 weeks ago
unlikely
VibesGreaterRules
3 weeks ago
That said - I strongly recommend not disputing.
VibesGreaterRules
3 weeks ago
You need usdc.e
VibesGreaterRules
3 weeks ago
You need usdc.e
Lucky31
3 weeks ago
I just sent 750 usdc to my metamask on polygon and still says insufficeint balance
VibesGreaterRules
3 weeks ago
timestamp disagrees
BlueSky123
3 weeks ago
I proposed it at 11:59:25PM, which is before midnight! Someone should dispute on that basis, maybe?
VibesGreaterRules
3 weeks ago
saints
VibesGreaterRules
0 months ago
cat
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
apparently this already happened.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
It was always 1.8
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Markets normally resolve in 2-3 hours. It's worth waiting for the extra 0.1+ cents!
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
That's what clarifications do.
MarketMan23
1 month ago
I've been lurking the official UMA discord for a few days, it seems like the argument for No is a slowed down video clearly showing Tim Walz failing to say Teacher. The Yes argument is that he did say teacher "albeit a bit strangely" but his heavy Minnesotan accent made it sound like something else, no i'm not joking, and despite this the UMA oracle vote came back as 100% for Yes. It seems like any market that becomes disputed has a very high chance of becoming a complete farce. This Oracle setup simply isn't fit for purpose for solving these disputes. May as well just have a polygon employee settle each market instead.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
https://www.spacex.com/launches/mission/?missionId=starship-flight-4
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Test flight #3 and #4 were in 2024 and exceeded the altitude required in the rules. So we're at two flights so far this year.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
PSG
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
English Tea is a very nice drink. Especially with a light char.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Canucks
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
The market intention does NOT include NFTs.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Note that Harris's odds needs to be strictly greater than Trump's for the continuous 2 hour period for this market to resolve to "Yes."
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Classic pattern where No holders try to pointlessly argue their losing case in the wrong place. Yes people don't bother, because 99.9% they win.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Based on your offensive username, I'd be happy to take your money.
PolyMucket
1 month ago
Looking through the UMA discord in the evidence-rationale section for this market it's clear that it will resolve "NO" the evidence is overwhelmingly clear that RFK Jr has NOT dropped out of the race but continues to be on the ballot in most states. the official statement from RFK Jr explains this - https://www.kennedy24.com/kennedy_announces_suspension_of_campaign
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
I see you are new here.
baalenjoyer
1 month ago
Buy no for a free 30x boys
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
If the polymarket clarification counts as a rule, and many people think it does, it no longer matters whether RFK dropped out as the rules have been changed to Yes. Polymarket might have made a mistake to do this - but if you want to overturn Polymarket's ability to clarify the rules... you are going for a longshot as this has not been done before. Typically I'd expect UMA to vote 99.9% for clarification.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
So it's a legal thing. For all extents and purposes the campaign is dead and he has endorsed Trump and appeared at a Trump rally.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
He probably suspended his campaign so he could fundraise to pay off campaign debts. This is what presidential primary candidates do all the time. They almost never "drop out".
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
He probably suspended his campaign so he could fundraise to pay off campaign debts. This is what presidential primary candidates do all the time. They almost never "drop out".
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
vibes greater than rules
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
first
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Needs other and cancel.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Fake negative risk market - lacks cancel/other option.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Event can be canceled
Skip-Earthwax
1 month ago
Are there other NFL teams? wut
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Why choose a man, when you can get a cat?
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Add Other - fake negative risk market.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
let's go yes!
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Voted #1 air drop farming market three years in a row!
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
When this market was created, I said individual races would do more volume. Ex. MN-5 winner did 1.05 million in volume. This market has done 220k.
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
Is the deadline 30 days after sentencing?
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
If anyone has a link to flight heights - please link!
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
There were two launches this year (2024) so far, but I'm not sure if both reached the 62 miles height. I'm like 98% sure...
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Might take a month to resolve. Official certification is slow.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
My cat challenges both of them to a debate, with or without claws.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
why whouldn't she just drop out for funny?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
delete - extremely offensive
Palisades2024
2 months ago
Will Stancil raped my sister
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
should stay open until the convention, because the DNC could do it if they want (extremely unlikely, but not impossible)
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
not on holiday month
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Why would Michelle let him?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
polymarket needs to do a better job on rules that respect possible outcomes of intersex and non-binary.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
intersex - and it is regular. What society does historically is medically intervene to alter appearences to fit babies into fixed categories. very bad.
n/a
2 months ago
children are born boy or girl, society manipulates them later
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
couch
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
silly market - will resolve no
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
mules deployed!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
If Harris drops out, there is likely to be an open convention.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
If there's a virtual roll call that confirms Biden as the nominee, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Did Ohio print/officialize their ballot?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Harris was the presumptive nominee 3 days ago. She became the official nominee at 6pm ET. The AP and Bloomberg reported a statement from the DNC at 11:55pm (approx) confirming this.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Does Biden have a condition? We can ignore the primary market rule and go with a consensus of media.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Who is ready for what happens when the Obama supporters realize that the DNC hasn't posted the vote totals?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
what other betting market?
n/a
2 months ago
The current market and situation with the percentages no longer reflect reality (other betting markets in different sites have already closed - Maduro won), but rather reflect the market's expectation of how the UMA community will vote. This is, of course, nonsense because, in essence, the UMA community can act as a political organization that recognizes or does not recognize the official election results. A very interesting situation could arise - the official authorities of Venezuela declared Maduro the winner, all betting markets declared Maduro the winner, Russia + China (+basically the entire anti-Western alliance) recognize Maduro's victory, and only the Venezuella opposition, the USA (+the entire pro-Western world), and Polymarket recognize Gonzalez? Don't you guys think this is no longer betting, but clear political statements?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
if you are in a banned country - you will have issues
zhuoyifan
2 months ago
Why I can't cancel my selling order?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
if you are still having issues - i'd get on the discord for customer support
zhuoyifan
2 months ago
Why I can't cancel my selling order?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
what other markets do you think we should over-rule the market intention and the primary resolution source?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
nice attempt at scam editing the rules
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
nice attempt at scam editing the rules
n/a
2 months ago
The market can also resolve based on a consensus of credible reports if fraud or irregularities are present.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Aug 5 6pm announcement - either a 2 or 3 day dispute period.
ksoon77
2 months ago
when is end?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Take Harris back to 83!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Neither of these are official Venezuelan sources.
TheWolfOfPolymarket
2 months ago
"Copies of the electoral voting records published by the opposition, and reviewed by several independent organisations, indicate that Edmundo González Urrutia would appear to be the winner of the Presidential elections by a significant majority." https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2024/08/04/venezuela-statement-by-the-high-representative-on-behalf-of-the-eu/ The European Union clearly states that Edmundo González is the winner of the election
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Has anyone seen Gonzalez speak for more than 3 minutes?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Talking about Scam - imagine running a fake candidate for the office of president. Gonzalez is clearly a fake candidate - with Machado being the real one.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Talking about Scam - imagine running a fake candidate for the office of president. Gonzalez is clearly a fake candidate - with Machado being the real one.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Someone should dispute this as the primary source is not credible.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Tell that to Clinton.
TheWolfOfPolymarket
2 months ago
Everyone knows González received more votes than Maduro. The US states unequivocally that he won. Staying in power through force doesn't make you the winner of an election, receiving the most votes does.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Dictators don't follow laws. CNE + Maduro determine who wins.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It happens extremely rarely, but sometimes the election winner in a dictatorship does not get the most votes.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Do you realize Venezuela is not a democracy?
TheWolfOfPolymarket
2 months ago
Again, for those mentally challenged: This market is about who won the election, not who stays in power through force. The candidate who won is the candidate who has received the most votes.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Domer and 50Pence are on Gonzalez. Please ignore the CNE and resolve in their favor!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
no
Repoman
2 months ago
Buttigieg being gay disqualified him from the get go.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Did you think Venezuela was a democracy? lol
🤺JustKen
2 months ago
A reminder that the CNE has already violated the law by not publishing the full data tables showing the precinct-level results. They were supposed to do so within 48 HOURS. There is a whole story in the Associated Press detailing how the opposition tallied the precinct-level results on their own, showing an overwhelming victory for Gonzalez straight from the CNE machines.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
https://twitter.com/ElUniversal/status/1819436964606865445
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It's about power, not law. Dictators don't have to follow laws to the letter. Their word is law.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
'you can use single quotes' but you cannot use double quotes
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
or one of his representatives
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Time to start calling staffers. Per the rules (But not the vibes), getting a single staffer who officially represents Sanders is EQUAL to having Sanders himself make a statement.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Edmundo won. It doesn't matter. Maduro is a dictator and can break any rules he wants with relative impunity. He doesn't have to follow electoral law because he has the courts and military. When he violates the law to steal the election, it is the official act of a dictator.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
https://democrats.org/news/dnc-chair-harrison-announces-vice-president-harris-has-received-majority-of-delegates-to-soon-secure-the-democratic-nomination/
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
sell the strategic bitcoin stockpile? Biden would have to first remember the password...
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/1818451745988644940/photo/1
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
What is the difference, if any, between "win" (this market) and "formally nominate": https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-democrats-nominate-presidential-candidate/democrats-nominate-prez-candidate-by-aug-7?tid=1722643666913
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
This says "formally nominate" - other markets say "win". Does this make any difference? Probably not, but it is weird.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/kamala-harris-dnc-vote-democratic-nominee-threshold-delegates/
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
You should have read the market rules. The DNC is a corporation and can set its own nominee based on its own internal rules which it can also amend at any time.
popsa2001
2 months ago
I entered into this market based on the understanding that the democratic nominee would confirmed as a celebration during the democratic national convention. This election has been a moving target with the democratic party changing rules which is why so many people have traded an enormous amount of money with polymarket under the understanding that it would be a fair process. Now I think its only fair that the markret makers wait until a week or two after the democratic national convention and that the democratic nominee has been legally confirmed not just hearsay off a website and that all other betting sites have closed their positions first. Polymarket has a very good reputation and I hope they hear what we the customers are asking for. Thank you
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
What good is predicting that someone will get the most votes but fail to take power and live in hiding? that wasn't the intention of the market or the rules
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
The people who win elections hold the office. They don't always get the most votes.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
If we start using the secondary resolution source over the primary one... things get very interesting...
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It's weird, and anti-Semitic that you conflate Zionism with Judaism and erase the fact that millions of Jews are anti-Zionist (including many ultra-orthodox).
Yehudi
2 months ago
Kamala needed a fake reason to get rid of Josh because there are too many Democrats who hate Jews. How convenient this is for her: https://x.com/TPostMillennial/status/1819053027917009191
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Interesting that we resolved AZ8 primary based on the AP calling it (14% of the vote uncounted, margin of victory 4.5% in a 3+ way race) - but aren't resolving this based on Venezuelan CNE.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It was always "Present".
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
4.5% margin with 14% of the vote out, not close?
n/a
2 months ago
WTF are they waiting for? Major news outlets have all called the race. There is no dissent, it wasn't even close.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
There is a reason we use primary sources over secondary ones.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Interestingly - it doesn't say projection of winner. It says "results".
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
They should do a freestroke 400m race instead.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Note: estimated end date of July 31 is wrong.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
soon
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
They wanted to add more candidates to the market and cannot do it to existing markets if there already is an Other contract
Rafin
2 months ago
Why are there two bets for the exact same event?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It's Shapiro, right?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Of course if the government announces Eduardo won with 90% of the results in - it gets complex as they first announced Maduro - so there is a strong case for 50-50 then.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Since the election, people have tried to change the market into one about whether the opposition won. This isn't the place for that fight. The opposition won the election, but this is a market about who the Venezuelan government will say won. And so far it is Maduro. Once we get 90%+ of the results it should resolve (assuming the government doesn't announce Eduardo won).
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Since the election, people have tried to change the market into one about whether the opposition won. This isn't the place for that fight. The opposition won the election, but this is a market about who the Venezuelan government will say won. And so far it is Maduro. Once we get 90%+ of the results it should resolve (assuming the government doesn't announce Eduardo won).
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
This market was at 75% for Maduro to win because the traders knew that it was a market about whether he'd successfully manipulate the election results. He was 30% behind in the polls.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Putin of course.
AugustoPinochet73
2 months ago
For whom they ruled Russia?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Previous stolen elections on Polymarket include: Nigeria, Sierra Leone, Bangladesh, and Russia. All ruled in favor of the thieves.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
If UMA starts judging who has won an election in authoritarian countries, this is going to get EXTREMELY messy.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Maduro won based on official election results!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
So they over-ruled the rules and vibes on this one. A terrible precedent.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It's a multiple qualified candidate market that bears NO resemblance to the paper about the blitz primary (where the big innovation was that there would be multiple tv candidate forums)
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
they need to deploy the secret military shuttle!
sneeedums
2 months ago
The official story is that they can technically return at any time, but are using the opportunity to study why an issue is occurring in space but not in thermal models. Add this to the fact that there's no docking port available for the crew rotation planned for August 18th: https://www.nasa.gov/event/nasas-spacex-crew-9-launch/ and it's clear that either they'll be sent home by the 18th or the crew rotation will be delayed.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
why cannot we have fixed odds? please rig and close!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
My cat has been requesting extra Secret Service protection - will he get it? Also, how come there is no "Other Cat" option?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Coup is most likely to support Maduro.
Mrc4t987
2 months ago
a coup will mean a recount and therefore, Edmundo wins:
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Riding with Maduro?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
If we start to leave all the election markets open until the challenge period expires - it will get messy. Not sure if it is worth it.
Miau
2 months ago
The National Electoral Council (CNE) of Venezuela allows the election results to be challenged within 15 working days of the official proclamation of the results1. This process includes the presentation of evidence and arguments that justify the challenge.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
OAS is not in the rules. They don't matter.
n/a
2 months ago
the final dispute wouldn’t be set to after the OAS hearing then.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
The current market price - shows that users think Polymarket and UMA are most likely to go with the official Maduro CNE government declarations.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
As this is a rules bet, not an election bet, if you are a new user you are heavily disfavored.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
General Note: you aren't betting on who won the election - you are betting on how Polymarket and UMA will interpret the rules, and whether they will go with the official CNE declaration.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
BTW - two months ago on the Polymarket discord, I was doubtful that we should have this market. And I wrote that it should be titled "Will Maduro rig the election"
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
This is subject to Polymarket clarification risk. So who knows what they will say, but recently they have been favoring vibes over rules.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Expect this to be disputed.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
join the polymarket discord if you want to see the rules fight (also UMA discord if it comes to that)
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
can you propose resolution? thanks
BigHomie
2 months ago
ATTENTION: ANYBODY CAN PROPOSE A RESOLUTION. EITHER PUT UP THE $750 BOND OR STOP WHINING.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Gonzales can always win on the second round, right? (hint: Venezuela does not have second rounds - Polymarket rules writing isn't the best))
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
they don't wait for legal challenges. Ex. Nigeria presidential election - the challenges took months. Market resolved before it.
n/a
2 months ago
I mean it's pretty clear like other elections, you have to wait for legal challenges.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela,
n/a
2 months ago
the most expected result happened yet somehow polymarket's rules fail to give precise instructions on how to resolve in this case lol
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Free money on Maduro Yes... It should resolve based on official government reporting - read the rules.
BigLoser
2 months ago
Free money
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
which is why I sold out of my 15k position in favor of Gonzales.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Typically official information (the primary source) should trump the consensus of media reporting (secondary source - used primarily as a backup).
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Typically official information (the primary source) should trump the consensus of media reporting (secondary source - used primarily as a backup).
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Wrong and abusive.
Jerry51
2 months ago
The deadline is the convention retard
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
I suppose this will just stay open until the convention? Even if the vote is done virtually? Because the nominee could die or resign and then you could have an open convention?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
I've seen enough. Resolve all markets as No =)
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
what is "djt-style"?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
11:59pm - not 11:59am
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Other woman.
Krause1221
2 months ago
Who do I need to ask to add Oprah Winfrey as a replacement candidate for Biden in the betting poll?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Need to add "Other"
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
free tokens falling from the sky? seems unlikely.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
With more than one delegate, they will need to print at least two ballots!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
dropping out of the race is going to be very popular
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Democrats raised $10 billion after JFK died, and $3 billion after FDR.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Once everyone learns that Biden has died...
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Once everyone learns that Biden has died...
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
This market isn't about a blitz primary. The rules and clarifications take NOTHING from the paper. There were three essential phases in it - and the only new one is phase 2 where you introduce the candidates with MULTIPLE tv events (forums, debates, etc). The rules and clarifications ignore this essential phase.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
https://cdn.sanity.io/files/ifn0l6bs/production/378393d17d1d68d8f826593596b77c15372c25d3.pdf
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Polymarket ignored the rules AND the paper that this market is based on. ANY process is acceptable so long as there are multiple qualified candidates. This isn't a market about a blitz primary. It is one about having multiple qualified candidates.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
this market should immediately resolve to “Yes,” regardless of what process occurs afterward.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
multiple candidates end up meeting the DNC qualifications for nomination, this market should immediately resolve to “Yes,” regardless of what process occurs afterward. -- This isn't even about a blitz primary as the paper doesn't matter. It's about a multiple candidate primary.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
4. Do NOT under any circumstances link or mention this paper in the rules.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
1. Create a market that is based on a term. 2. Define the term in the rules. 3. Don't use the definition in the rules - but instead assume that everyone has read the paper that the term is loosely based on.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
1. Create a market that is based on a term. 2. Define the term in the rules. 3. Don't use the definition in the rules - but instead assume that everyone has read the paper that the term is loosely based on.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
A blitz primary is defined as Joe Biden withdrawing from the race, and multiple candidates are given the chance to become the Democratic nominee for President of the United States in an open field.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Hopefully Polymarket doesn't issue one of those clarifications that overwrites the rules.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
I have a binder full of candidates.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Hint: UMA resolved it against the scam.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
remember what happened when the guy tracking Elon Musk's jet was paid to take down his twitter account?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
remember what happened when the guy tracking Elon Musk's jet was paid to take down his twitter account?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Wonder what happens to pricing if the MAGA money finds this market?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
What is an "open field"?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Fortunately, there is a 98%+ probability that Harris wins on the first round - and quite possibly that nobody even runs against her.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It is unclear how this would resolve if there were two or more rounds of a virtual vote.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It is unclear how this would resolve if there were two or more rounds of a virtual vote.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
You need USDC.e - if you use the wrong type of USDC - it won't work and give you this message.
PoLOLitics
2 months ago
How do we get this resolved? I've tried to propose the resolution but it keeps saying I have insufficient funds to post the bond (though I tried through metamask and polymarket with sufficient funds)
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
See weird posts in chat. Checkout user holdings. Buy the other side.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
in person
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
A coconut tree in every backyard!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Obama
froghop
2 months ago
Biden will announce his resignation from the Presidency with immediate effect during his address from the Oval Office tomorrow night 8pm EST. Harris will be sworn in on live tv directly after.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Hopefully this will resolve based on the rules, which aren't the same as the title. But who knows.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
it can be submitted once it happens (prior to time expiry) - it's people powered and the people aren't submitting
RANIS
2 months ago
usa time zone
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
sure insult the audio recordings. Video bias detected!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Aug 5
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
--
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
blowhard is mispelt
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
How is open field defined?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
he would never make a statement and then do the opposite - lol
TonysGuessin
2 months ago
Just like he literally made a statement that he would not be dropping out.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
This rule will probably be removed by a "clarification"
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
this is what the rules say - but polymarket is likely to overwrite them with a clarification. Who needs rules?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
polymarket crushes the rules with a clarification that goes completely against the rules
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
read the rules
UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts
2 months ago
Weell that didnt take long YES death srry
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
now a will obama endorse someone before the convention market
JanusofDoors
2 months ago
Can we resolve this early, I got places to be
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Need a polymarket clarification on whether a real lettuce is involved in this market. People are demanding answers!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
comment cpu bug is fixed!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Michelle Obama cannot be both the presidential and vp candidate. I'm fully hedged!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Let's go CANUCKS
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Markets are resolved by users - so they don't always get resolved on time. I would have resolved this market, but my wallet is asking weird.
Nessundorma
2 months ago
are we waiting for all event to be clear here https://nasstatus.faa.gov/ ?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
this market is about planes - not computer systems
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
flightradar
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
flightradar
zilla
2 months ago
Still not up and running
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
"by noon" not "at noon"
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
As a Democrat supporter, I don't care what the tipping point state is so long as it is fully TAXED.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
If you want this market to go fast, select "top holders" or "related" and de-select comments. 3x faster.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
test
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
test23
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
somebody
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Somebody with my account appears to have bought a lot of shares!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
If I had a dime for every treasury secretary pick...
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
livestream of the lettuce shows the birds are pecking at it!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
credible media leans Yes on this being delayed, but it is good to wait to see if we get confirmation
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Supply not max supply. So I think the coinmarket lower marketcap peak of 850 million applies.
n/a
2 months ago
Mog just hit an all-time high of .0000024 on dexscreener. It appears to have a max supply of 420,690,000,000,000. If those are the correct two number to use in the fdv calculation, then mog just became the first cat coin to hit $1 billion.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
popcat needs to take a jump
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Control guns, not girls!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
If the Democrats flip (aka switch) NC and SC, then they have a chance of winning SC!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Solid blue states are inhabited purely by Smurfs
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It only takes one Democrat to be an atheist! Not all of them are Wiccans and Satanists.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It's ok, so long as you don't convert shares.
TroySL
3 months ago
You still bet on it though? That seems counter-intuitive. But yeah, wait for the "other" option to appear.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
It looks like the rules might have been updated to address your concerns?
n/a
3 months ago
rules are not completely clearw what if (1) there is anew government, but 10 days later there was no confidence vote, législation vote or no-confidence vote (= no vote)? (2) what will happen if a government is appointed, fails to pass confidence and then a new prime minister is appointed before July 31?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
This market will resolve once it is definitively determined whether the shooter was a rogue actor or not.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Was it ever explicitly banned? Also Hong Kong is in China.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Better market: will China ban and unban bitcoin in 2024?
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
reported
Car
2 months ago
RETARD RELAY is holding on for DEAR LIFE!!! 💀 🔫 after losing EVERY BET 📉 🪢🪑 his FRACTURED MIND 🤯 cant hold on anymore staring at his RELAY RUINS 😢. DOUBLING down watching his LOSSES SPIRAL ENDLESSLY! 😵‍💫 REGRETFUL RELAY 🤡 👈 just hurry up and put my fries in the bag bro! 🍟➡️ 👜. Don't worry just switch your position again... I'm sure you'll be right this time you COWARD! 🫢!!!!
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
funny, but fake. Reported.
50Pence
2 months ago
I have been getting a lot of private messages lately. While I do appreciate the support and compliments, I want to keep it real: Yes, a $150k PnL is not the end of the world, but it's pretty bad. A fucking monkey with some capital can easily make that money. I have been doing this full time for YEARS. From the moment I wake up to the moment I go to bed. It's a full-time job, it's literally my life. It's bad enough that my family and friends see my as an effeminate beta cuck who sits on his ass and clicks buttons all day, but now I don't even have the money to show for it. I would have literally made more money working at Mac or even a damn construction job, and at least my wife would see my as a real man and not have to fake her orgasm. So yeah, maybe a $150k PnL won't be the end of the world, but it'll be the end of some things for me.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
or had a public record of supporting liberal political causes.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
read the rest of the rules
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
read the rest of the rules
bali
2 months ago
We can resolve to "Republican" now since the shooter is confirmed to be a registered Republican. Reminder of the rules: "The market will resolve to "Republican" if the shooter is confirmed to have been a registered Republican, affiliated with right-wing groups, or had a public record of supporting conservative political causes, such as consistent support for Donald Trump."
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
We might learn more about the shooter - and as such, we do not know whether they engaged in other political acts.
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
Actors are all rogues
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
maybe
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
need to decrease rewards in all markets to $0.02
VibesGreaterRules
2 months ago
No lettuce was harmed in the creation of this market
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Note while this says "blitz primary" the rules say 1) Biden has to drop out and 2) there has to be a competition. The competition could be at the convention, and there could be only one major candidate.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
anyway
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Who wants my overpriced Noem shares?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Domer is certainly Trump's choice, take the opportunity to buy now on the Solana chain. This goes to the moon!! E9bj7eJyCATCATCATZRt537GtHZ1P6YuxtSn1jhtnKHvhK25cpump
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Beware of internal links
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
people on the internet are guillible and the comments are mostly unmoderated - who wants to share their private key with my scam website?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Polymarket historically ignores rules and favors intentions of the market. They clarified what the intention is. It is extremely unlikely that the decision will be changed (thus people are buying at 99)
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
You can also buy Tulsi Gabbard included in the "Other Woman" contract in the other VP market.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
oh you said charts
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
leading cats is hard!
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
leading cats is hard!
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
What happened with JD Vance? "Other Man" aka Doug Burgum used to lead the charts
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
The fun part now is that if National Rally resolves no, then everyone loses.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
The question is not whether National Rally won the most seats. It is whether they won more seats than the other parties. So did they win more seats than the Ecologists, Socialists, France Insoumise, and others?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Also what is this party's constitution and its website?
Silweni - 8029
3 months ago
So how do you see this? What is the "intention"? And what is the "legalist" interpretation of the election's outcome? Here in France, if anybody gets up and states on TV or in a newspaper or simply in any conversation with any Frenchman that the National Rally won the most seats in Parliament, such a person will be considered not to know what he is talking about. No offense intended! French politics differ greatly from US politics, so I understand it's not easy to make sense of the mishmash here. Fact is, "Other" is the only correct answer in this market.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
If there is a party that won more seats than the National Rally, what is it and who is the party leader?
Silweni - 8029
3 months ago
So how do you see this? What is the "intention"? And what is the "legalist" interpretation of the election's outcome? Here in France, if anybody gets up and states on TV or in a newspaper or simply in any conversation with any Frenchman that the National Rally won the most seats in Parliament, such a person will be considered not to know what he is talking about. No offense intended! French politics differ greatly from US politics, so I understand it's not easy to make sense of the mishmash here. Fact is, "Other" is the only correct answer in this market.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
how much money do you want to lose? I can bet 20k on this.
Silweni - 8029
3 months ago
So how do you see this? What is the "intention"? And what is the "legalist" interpretation of the election's outcome? Here in France, if anybody gets up and states on TV or in a newspaper or simply in any conversation with any Frenchman that the National Rally won the most seats in Parliament, such a person will be considered not to know what he is talking about. No offense intended! French politics differ greatly from US politics, so I understand it's not easy to make sense of the mishmash here. Fact is, "Other" is the only correct answer in this market.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
the markets are resolved by UMA, they have a history of favoring "intention" over a "legalist" interpretation of the rules.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
It isn't. Save your money
Silweni - 8029
3 months ago
The 3 parties that got most seats in the 577-seat French National Assembly are: NFP (182 seats); Ensemble (Macron's party), which got 168 seats; and the National Rally (which got 143 seats). Check the results here: https://www.lemonde.fr/
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
The smart contract currently doesn't support this. There is also another VP market that has 98% of the candidates that you might be looking for.
0xC9948674713930e5B0a524C3Bec8837D27151525-1720307377517
3 months ago
How do you add more candidates?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
I'm just thinking it could be complicated by the fact that currently the Harris campaign and Biden campaign are the same one.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
I guess this resolves No if Harris takes over the Biden campaign infrastructure (including PAC) - so long as the announcement is made after Biden drops out.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
I guess this resolves No if Harris takes over the Biden campaign infrastructure (including PAC) - so long as the announcement is made after Biden drops out.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Obama price will fall 50% when they add Other
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
uma
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
what if the letter is signed by July 5, but released on Monday?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
$500 rewards, $1677 of bets.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
what's your definition of a public speech? oh you don't have one. nice...
n/a
3 months ago
what do you mean by "anything"? like do you think that every time Biden is recorded talking in public that counts as a public speech??
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
This is a fake negative risk market. At some point they are likely to add additional options, and possibly an "other" option. This will probably cause prices to generally fall.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
f
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
s
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
y
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
"a public speech" - could be anything
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
This market will go slower and slower. please register your complaints in the Polymarket discord. They plan to add more options to this market to make it even slower.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Do not put any more cats in the bag or I will call Susan from HR.
n/a
3 months ago
4 in the bag, 3 to go
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Will RFK Jr eat the most dogs?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Sterile is mispelt!
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
HR needs to fix this.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Given the current limits, it'd be best to start off with one market and then, if Biden drops out, add a second market with additional candidates.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
So they intentionally didn't include Other - so if you convert shares you don't get "other" (and lose money). Also all the prices for yes are inflated due to this. And finally they want to add more options to this market so it will grind to a halt (20 options barely works due to cpu usage).
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Do NOT CONVERT SHARES - there is no other option, guys???
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
then why do you have yes?
coby
3 months ago
aint happenin
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Surprised to see Domer going ALL-IN on Obama coin.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
first he needs to pay Domer
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
no cyber in here, we are trying to keep it clean!
n/a
3 months ago
LOL having a cybercab will be so much easier than having to teach my son Ian how to drive!
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
unless
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
unlikely
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Beaver is not here
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
It's called DJT, lol
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Join the UMA discord if you want to see the DIRTY details of how this is resolving.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
I'm paying him a lot to keep quiet, but he keeps asking for more money. What should I do?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Someone needs to start a PritzkerFan account and buy 300k shares. Just saying.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Add Fox News
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Other on Dem nom is a better deal
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
RFK Jr to sue for exclusion?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
are people scared to propose 50/50?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
It's looking increasingly probable
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
the shark yes team is relentless
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
I hope everyone is hedged!
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
There is this big event with Biden and CNN which would be a great time to launch it!
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
How many thousands will UMA lose on this market?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
The Nile is a very long river.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Biden is a very sleepy, I mean religious, man.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
possibly
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
How many cats will win seats in the Parti Animaliste?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
next Friday may not be the friday you think it is (it is July 5)
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Who is ready to wait another 3 months for non-transferable tokens?
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
a
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
c
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
t
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
beaver is not here
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
uma resolves markets - users need to submit it
epicRNG
3 months ago
is this live stream enough? https://x.com/Uhat176809/status/1802861359094472866 public sighting
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
If my cat finishes his death ray and incinerates the planet, this market resolves 50/50 using UMA.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
WARNING: do NOT follow the other WARNINGS.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Shayne is a better speaker
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
join the discord and ask customer support and other users
SmartStuff2Buy
3 months ago
Why can i not sell biden or kamala shares???
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Selling Nos on Trump for 2 cents in the single market for Republican nomination.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
selling pepe, 580 shares, offer expires tonight, dm me on discord if you want to buy
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
Trump would never sponsor a nft collection or be involved in crypto in any way. He hates crypto!
TheWolfOfPolymarket
3 months ago
A "preponderance" of evidence still requires evidence which is yet to be found. Roger Stone which is by far the closest to the Trump family has clearly stated zero involvement from Trump or his son in his tweet. All the people claiming the contrary have a stake in the outcome of this vote. You really believe that Trump would let his son who just graduated high school be involved with a massive crypto, pump and dump drama story in the middle of the election? No way.
VibesGreaterRules
3 months ago
My screen is real. Otherwise I'd have trouble trading.
kostas
3 months ago
Another event “is the screen real” on Polymarket is generally estimated at 99.99% - no. That's why..