What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

n/a

1 hour ago

Awaiting Donaldinho.

0

What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?

n/a

1 hour ago

I think we will see a combination of targets. I think the narrative that it will just be "oil" or just be "nuclear" or just be "etc" is a diversion.

0

n/a

14 hours ago

How do you see the case for and against? I keep going back to Osirak during the Iran-Iraq War when Israel unilaterally knocked out one of Saddam's reactors.

What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?

n/a

16 hours ago

This one is a head scratcher.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

18 hours ago

I know who you mean. I've only been here a couple of months but I keep my eyes open.

1

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

18 hours ago

Its beyond suspect that the usual cast of characters all started buying NO right before the vote ended after pumping No and arguing for it

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

18 hours ago

The usual cast of characters is a funny way of putting it

0

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

18 hours ago

Its beyond suspect that the usual cast of characters all started buying NO right before the vote ended after pumping No and arguing for it

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

n/a

1 day ago

He made it up. As he usually does

1

kazukun23

1 day ago

info?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

Eh

1

Apsalar

1 day ago

Buying Walz solely because many of the people buying Vance seem to be doing so for very dumb reasons

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

What are you talking about?

0

n/a

1 day ago

Well CNN said he won so… ain’t no sure bet buddy

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

Regarding people saying that Ipsos is biased, and that they said Biden "won" or "barely lost" the debate, have a read of what they actually said yourself. https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/538-ipsos-june-2024-presidential-debate-poll

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

Three in five debate watchers said Trump performed best in the presidential debate, compared to 21% who said the same of Biden. One in five (19%) said they don’t know who performed best.

0

0xDa3Dc3aaAC020017306f1554baFA259539FAc0C6-1723953511745

1 day ago

can you send the link to that? not doubting you but i’m just curious

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

sure here ya go https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/538-ipsos-june-2024-presidential-debate-poll

0

0xDa3Dc3aaAC020017306f1554baFA259539FAc0C6-1723953511745

1 day ago

can you send the link to that? not doubting you but i’m just curious

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

21% said. Let's not lie

2

n/a

1 day ago

People realizing slowly that the people polled on this poll voted 40% that Biden won when he literally couldn’t talk lol.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

Polls specifically ask respondents to be impartial dependent of who they intend to vote for. Respondents often say the guy they intend to vote for performed poor.

0

n/a

1 day ago

Be real, the people engaged enough to watch a VP debate arnt going to change their mind about vance after months of him being demonized. Denying the election at the end just cemented that

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

a while.

0

cody

1 day ago

when does the Ipsos poll come out

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

Halperin thinks he cooked.

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

No.

1

aegi2r3agg

1 day ago

do people rly think the old man won

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

"I've become friends with school shooters"

3

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

Euros are not retarded!

0

n/a

1 day ago

Are you Euros retarded or something. Vance is killing it

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

Ipsos tilts. But it is not this biased.

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

yup

0

n/a

1 day ago

Shouldve picked Shapiro

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

"Steady leadership like you witnessed today"

1

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

He's cooking!

3

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 day ago

hehe

1

GNS

1 day ago

People YouTubed Walz speaking and realized he’s a moron.

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

n/a

1 day ago

I don't think the Israelis play waiting games...

2

Bink_7

1 day ago

Mm

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

n/a

1 day ago

Bink...

0

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

n/a

2 days ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1841187066832400574

0

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

n/a

2 days ago

Senior analysts didn't think Israel would go into Lebanon.

1

0x7b23a5j3j1

2 days ago

0% chance it will take at-least a month top military experts say!

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

n/a

2 days ago

The IDF: We will attack strongly tonight throughout the Middle East.

0

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

n/a

2 days ago

There was no last time. This was unprecedented.

0

n/a

2 days ago

Last time they waited two weeks, I belief, but this time the attack was much more severe.

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

n/a

2 days ago

Israel stands on business.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

2 days ago

Says the guy who bought at 37c, lol

2

n/a

2 days ago

After the long, fierce battle between the YES Holders and NO Holders, it seems we’ve all grown a bit tired of endless arguments and spreadsheets. So, here's the deal: let’s call a truce and split the final price 50/50. Peace at last—because even the gods of M&A are tired of watching this war in the comment section!

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?

n/a

2 days ago

Nice!

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

2 days ago

For that plan you need liquidity. Of which there is piss all

0

fdsasacc

2 days ago

Dude spends $750 to propose resolution. Price shoots up 8%. Money well spent if they have 10k+ shares in the market. Optimal play (for someone with more money than me lol) is to buy 50,000 NO shares, then propose NO. Price tumbles by a couple %. Profit regardless of how it resolves.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

2 days ago

Are the whales asleep? What the hell is happening here, one way or the other...

0

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?

n/a

3 days ago

https://x.com/MenchOsint/status/1840825765220532628 Suggests possible embassy evacuation

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

3 days ago

HaterzLoserz deserves to be a CNN commentator

7

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

3 days ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840827222992830839

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Yup. Only a few hours.

0

Car

3 days ago

Also guys, they arent even over the border yet. And this market ends in a few hours lol.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

tldr

0

Car

3 days ago

Establish control over any portion of Lebanon

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1840812548742135850 key word "Night-vision"

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840812982571270189

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Lol

0

Car

3 days ago

I dont know why you guys are buying this. IDF has announced BEFORE the invasion that the intention is to have a limited invasion

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Faytuk is fast

0

Fatman1

3 days ago

done deal

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

3 days ago

TLDR

6

scottilicious

3 days ago

Ground operation in Lebanon would not be a “solution to the problem," former Israeli prime minister says From CNN’s Zahid Mahmood Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said he does not think that an Israeli ground operation into Lebanon would be a “solution to the problem.” Olmert was prime minister when Israel invaded Lebanon in 2006. He said what is needed in the north of Israel is a joint coordination with the United States, the United Nations and the Lebanese government to move a “weakened” Hezbollah away from the Litani River in southern Lebanon. “This will not resolve all the issue(s), but it will open up for an opportunity to build up the necessary political powers and the military powers within Lebanon, which may change the balance there,” Olmert said The former prime minister also said Israel should stop its war in Gaza. He told CNN he thinks his country has “reached the objectives that we set out that we could achieve” there. “There is nothing more that is worth the cost of fighting in the south, particularly the danger to the lives of the hostages, which are still alive and which we may have brought them back in part of an agreement to ceasefire in the south,” he added.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

He actually did, he has started framing the narrative for Israel's invasion.

0

Fatman1

3 days ago

He said nothing useful so far.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840804707154981224

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I2QdCTlsE2M State Department Press Briefing about to begin

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Telegram

0

n/a

3 days ago

source

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

From Hezbollah a second ago: ⭕ Peace be upon you, We kindly request everyone in all areas of Lebanon to refrain from taking any photos or videos of anything you see in the sky. We have now entered a new phase of the war, and it is religiously prohibited to share any footage. Please refrain from any filming. Thank you.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Drive it down!

0

UncleLouie

3 days ago

Israel will invade when the yes market his 12cents

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Plans approved!

0

sd2333

3 days ago

https://x.com/idfonline/status/1840799109927571716

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Believing the Israeli's was your first mistake...

0

Foreseeable.

3 days ago

I sold and here is why: This market is going crazy given that the rules state that the operation needs to be “intended to ESTABLISH CONTROL over any portion of Lebanon”. Yet, Israel has agreed with the US to only do a LIMITED ground operation that is *NOT* targeted “to establish control”, but ONLY to clear areas at the border from Hisbollah sources to prevent further attacks on Israeli Villages. Even if they attack today (which is still maximum 50/50), its not even clear if it would count. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/?id=114341295&entryId=114355166

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

lol

0

Nobody3

3 days ago

Breaking News: CNN: Israel has invaded --- the local Jewish Deli

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

I have my finger in that pie

0

UncleLouie

3 days ago

Anyone else in on this? https://polymarket.com/event/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-september-30/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-september-30

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

https://x.com/MTVLebanonNews/status/1840780478384603409

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Colour me surprised

2

n/a

3 days ago

We will have a few very surprised faces after seeing the resolution of this market, you really got to read the rules more carefully guys

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

This is vid from a few days ago

0

Foreseeable.

3 days ago

On the ground reporting. https://x.com/Zachonearth/status/1840750644036079654

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

I say this with no disrespect. If you're buying No you need your head examined. Things move very fast now. 8PM and 6AM are the most likely times. This should be 30%+

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

This is happening tonight

0

sd2333

3 days ago

CNN Confirming WASH POST https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk#cm1p3e8ah00053b6maf6m9hf8

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

3 days ago

Don't spend it all in the one shop!

0

n/a

3 days ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840762008141996339

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

3 days ago

B-but, the Jewish holiday!

2

Mr.Wellington

3 days ago

drop some links

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

I planted the seeds of trees I would not sit in the shade of

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

If the stated aim is to make a "buffer zone", clear out border villages etc, would this not meet the criteria?

0

Apsalar

3 days ago

even if "they" do call it an invasion, it not meeting the rule's definition would in face be an issue

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

50-P

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

*too

0

Mr.Damon

3 days ago

Not to late to get out

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

It's psychology. People tried to bond this market. Plus Low Liquidity. Low Volume.

0

Foreseeable.

3 days ago

I am pretty new to Polymarket, so this does not male any sense to me. I post solid evidence, and the market falls to 16%... The *** is going on?! Unfortunately, I am all in already Bankroll wise 😂😂

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Can I also just point out the rules - The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel ... - Hezbollah have said the IDF crossed the border!

2

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Not how it works. It goes to UMA where it gets voted on.

1

ElChad

3 days ago

Cause Poly will resolve this however they want

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

I sold 3k before I seen the Al Jazeera + Telegraph articles.

0

Mr.Damon

3 days ago

its not going to happen mid day or at night. you guys got one more day

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

It can happen at any time. It is nearly certainly already happening, but behind the fog of war.

0

Mr.Damon

3 days ago

its not going to happen mid day or at night. you guys got one more day

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

I've been following this stuff very closely the lasst couple weeks, feed is flooded with arabic and hebrew

1

n/a

3 days ago

So, we have US officials leaking this morning that "limited" cross border incursions may be occuring, and we have Hezbollah declaring they are thwarting such incursions. Remember also, raids are not as newsworthy as "full invasion", "Sa'ar In", "Hezbollah new leader". We have to dig through the noise.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Same thing, but from Al Jazeera@ https://x.com/AJArabic/status/1840407001639301552

0

n/a

3 days ago

https://x.com/MTVLebanonNews/status/1840407830093803892 Hezbollah: We targeted an Israeli force as it entered the Ramya site in southern Lebanon

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

https://x.com/MTVLebanonNews/status/1840407830093803892 Hezbollah: We targeted an Israeli force as it entered the Ramya site in southern Lebanon

0

n/a

3 days ago

So, we have US officials leaking this morning that "limited" cross border incursions may be occuring, and we have Hezbollah declaring they are thwarting such incursions. Remember also, raids are not as newsworthy as "full invasion", "Sa'ar In", "Hezbollah new leader". We have to dig through the noise.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

That clip is no use to us.

1

abdendriel

3 days ago

Anyone can interpret this briefing? https://videoidf.azureedge.net/de0e8cf9-6aa4-4705-bd5d-8783aa71e3a4

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

So, we have US officials leaking this morning that "limited" cross border incursions may be occuring, and we have Hezbollah declaring they are thwarting such incursions. Remember also, raids are not as newsworthy as "full invasion", "Sa'ar In", "Hezbollah new leader". We have to dig through the noise.

2

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

We are betting on ground operations. Not on an invasion. Special forces raiding across the border equals YES

1

n/a

3 days ago

Guess “combat operations” is going to be doing a LOT of work here

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

Two related, but different events.

2

kekkonen

4 days ago

The Hezbollah statement says "In defense of Lebanon and its people, the Islamic Resistance fighters targeted a gathering of enemy soldiers in the Shtula settlement with rocket weapons, achieving confirmed casualties." Shtula is in Israel.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1840399570511007905

2

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

Just a caveat for this market - There is reporting that the IDF "may" have already begun crossing the border in small operations. Officially, the IDF deny this. There's a strong case for UMA to rule too early.

2

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

It's not nearly as relevant as you are suggesting

1

Justifax

4 days ago

@Porcoddio if you know something about the cabinet meeting, please share. It's sort of relevant for this market given the tight timeline.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

4 days ago

XD

1

n/a

4 days ago

I m told that if trump odds flip harris' on polymarket, the tanks will return from the border

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

4 days ago

You're wearing a suit, you must be right!

3

Mr.Wellington

4 days ago

No chance. U.S election coming up... expect the airstrikes to continue but a second front won't be open in the north for Israel. Hezbollah leadership is gone no need to invade and lose Israeli soldiers.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

4 days ago

Any hour.

0

OhNos

4 days ago

seems like any day now https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1840139662402433527

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

5 days ago

Felt it in my bones

0

PanosMariolis2001

5 days ago

border number?

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

5 days ago

My only regret is I didn't buy more...

4

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

5 days ago

BANG

2

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

5 days ago

4

0

PanosMariolis2001

5 days ago

border number?

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

5 days ago

There were reports earlier that Nasrallah was "fatally wounded." Now they're striking the bunker again. Would suggest he's trapped and incapacitated.

0

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

*than

0

n/a

6 days ago

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/hebrew-media-reports-growing-israeli-assessment-nasrallah-killed-in-beirut-strike/ More recent and more reliable that "BBC Pidgin"

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/hebrew-media-reports-growing-israeli-assessment-nasrallah-killed-in-beirut-strike/ More recent and more reliable that "BBC Pidgin"

0

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

Also true

0

Justifax

6 days ago

https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/1839712995116470296 Barak is a credible source

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

true

0

Justifax

6 days ago

Note that sentdefender is useful for gambling off of, but it is *not* a credible source by any stretch.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1839720294958682559

1

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

He is a scammer yes. But he did not fake the crater in Beirut.

1

Justifax

6 days ago

Sort of sad how people come to the site maybe to see what's up and then there is the piece of shit scammer Car and think this is what polymarket is all about that. Anyways, truth is that we are dealing with fog of war. If the market reflected reality, there would be very large spread. Right now it's just degenerate gambling.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

Ah yes. The very reliable IRCG news.

3

n/a

6 days ago

https://x.com/SprinterFamily/status/1839717289777610764?t=6AMI4lWuBXcKr3yG2cC5bw&s=19

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

Always a fun day on Polymarket!

3

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

My risk is hedged in so many ways!

1

Spotifypremium

6 days ago

You all are forgetting the title of this trade... it's now whether he will die or not but if he'll remain hezbollah leader. meaning, if he's badly hurt (which is high likely happened) then someone will replace him.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1839700271561060440

0

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

6 days ago

A) He survived. B) He didn't. C) Hezbollah try to cover it up. - Regardless, he has a life expectancy measured in days at this point

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

6 days ago

Tel Aviv under fire

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

*scammer paws

1

Car

1 week ago

Yeah right and im Santa Claus

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Pretty soon we'll have a "What day will Israel Invade" market.

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Dont worry guys, Biden will de-escalate!

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Thanks for the fill!

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

See that big wall at 61c? Buy that

0

n/a

1 week ago

@HarterzLoserz looking at daily chart "omg cup & handle breakout coming!! technical analysis ftw!!"

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Fill me!

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Let HaterzLoserz cook

1

n/a

1 week ago

Why does the top yes holder keep trying to convince us of his position while market buying every dip? It would surely be easier to stay quiet and build up a position with limit orders idk!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

1 week ago

In Mountainman's defense, if people are losing 100k because of a comment... It was gonna happen sooner or later.

1

Mountainman

1 week ago

Amazing how you would waste your time writing fan fiction about someone on an internet message board. Sad. Nothing you said was true in the slightest. Hungrytoad lost money because he market sold at the absolute bottom. Furthermore, I am still waiting for someone to point out one time I lied or gave fake news. They never do, because it never happened. The truth of the matter is that several of you wanted me to lose, and called me names while saying how eager you were to watch me lose money. You were all so sure and so cocky, but turns out that you lost your ass and I am in heavy profit. Deal with it.

Will there be another debate?

n/a

1 week ago

So glad I sold Yes!

0

Will there be another debate?

n/a

1 week ago

So he has a rally today. Wonder what he'll say.

1

Will there be another debate?

n/a

1 week ago

Glad I sold No!

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Which side. Which side...

0

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 13-20?

n/a

1 week ago

5 to go...

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Pipe down

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

BennyS negative PnL talking shit, then panic sells majority of his shares 😂

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 13-20?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Only 7 away!

1

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 weeks ago

Domer, can we laugh just at ZionLion? Is that okay?

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 weeks ago

Bang

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 weeks ago

Can someone give me an example of the last time the CME got it wrong the day of the rate cut?

2

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 weeks ago

Yes

1

Crapshotz

2 weeks ago

Courage in your convictions gents...

Diddy released from custody by Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

What diddy do

2

Will threadguy interview Trump before October?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Just to put a dampner on all of you. This "dinner" will have loads of others at it. It is possible cameras won't be allowed to be brought in. Trump will probably only be there briefly (he's a grifter).

3

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 weeks ago

What will ZionLion's hourly be when he's right? 0.0001c?

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 weeks ago

Do 25bps holders really believe that their sentiment is sharper than CME?

2

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I'll take the L. On to the next one

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Be kind to yourself today. Take a break, reflect on the beauty of life.

1

Hungrytoad

2 weeks ago

I aped in $60k , tried to sell after it was announced to come out after the election for $45k, clicked the sell button and got robbed due to a glitch , that 45k is now at 8k in my poly balance.. what do i do smn help

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

It wasn't clear what the hell he said imo

0

0x7b23a5j3j1

2 weeks ago

They announced the coin is dropping NOV 4, just now!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Stop

0

0x7b23a5j3j1

2 weeks ago

They announced the coin is dropping NOV 4, just now!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Bad week to quit galaxy gas

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Anyone else need a cigarette after that?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

What now

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I think he kind of tripped over himself as he was speaking, but that's initially how I understood it. Who fucking knows

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

I didn’t hear it but I’m so over this so was half listening

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Can a someone tell me completely straight, did he not say "BY November x th"?

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

WHAT

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

FINALLY

2

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

It's only been 2 hours??

0

RememberAmalek

2 weeks ago

2 hours of this is melting my brain

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I'm so bored

2

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

My goodness, it's as if they're skirting around it on purpose to mess with us

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Feed the toad

1

Hungrytoad

2 weeks ago

Keep buying no shares lol .. if it goes low enough might double my position 😘

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

We're getting in to the details!

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Hopefully

0

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

Are we going to have to listen to Baron too?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Token?

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

So?

1

n/a

2 weeks ago

Lol trump definitely left the livestream. They been talking about him in 3rd person

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

What kind of reverse psychology is this

0

🤺JustKen

2 weeks ago

Coin deployment imminent.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Yessir

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

hold my hand

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 weeks ago

What does that even mean?

0

ColonelChad

2 weeks ago

So many 50bps jeets here

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 weeks ago

Are you straw-manning?

0

Andrewmarch

2 weeks ago

Bro….

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 weeks ago

No need to keep spamming this.

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/fed-rate-cuts-will-not-be-deep-market-expects-says-blackrock-2024-09-16/ why are people so fucking allergic to links

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Johnhan is controlled opposition!

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 weeks ago

Not reading all that.

3

🪦🦁🪦

2 weeks ago

everyone thinking 50bps * 3.... living in a movie. this ain't 2008 on the Jobs side, it's 2000 on the assets side. FED got no reason to go hard & act like it's the end of the world, while spooking markets, and USA won China Markets-Wise by long way so far, so no need to ultra stimulate too hard now right also

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Cope and seethe

0

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

50-peanuts

2

rozi

2 weeks ago

The main market: It's a toss-up! This market: Nahh, kids are just having a little fun.

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

We do a little swing trading.

1

AiBets

2 weeks ago

wow some new huge account going all in on kamala, wonder which way it'l be rigged in favor of!

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Goated

1

ACat

2 weeks ago

No. His diamond hands did not sell a single share in the 80s.

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Have we heard from TheGuru?

2

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

You dont know who I am.

1

AiBets

2 weeks ago

wow some new huge account going all in on kamala, wonder which way it'l be rigged in favor of!

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

He's manipulating it in the dumbest way possible

0

AiBets

2 weeks ago

wow some new huge account going all in on kamala, wonder which way it'l be rigged in favor of!

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Good thing this isn't a market for Predictit!

3

n/a

2 weeks ago

On Betfair KH 52%, Trump 46%, PolyM will see reason by Tuesday ;)

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Costs less to defend a lead

1

n/a

2 weeks ago

whales on the wrong side of this bet..

Trump fires campaign manager?

n/a

2 weeks ago

All my pnl is the result of dreams, bullish

0

S-1REQUIRED

2 weeks ago

I saw it in a dream.

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Ave

0

ACat

2 weeks ago

Our derivatives whale has made his reappearance.

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

https://english.stackexchange.com/questions/66368/whats-the-origin-of-copycat

0

50-Pence

2 weeks ago

Crackhead references crack the drug. Crackshot does not reference the drug.

What will Kamala say during Greensboro rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

He's already dead!

2

n/a

2 weeks ago

So you knew she would repeat, and yet the only bet you made was on a word she didn't say the 1st time. Makes sense.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Wow, free analysis. Very kind

1

Sardinianshepherd

2 weeks ago

There is still the option they launch after the election, at this price it's not worth selling. If they launch before the election, then congrats to mountain — well deserved victory we'll take the L.

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

HAHA

2

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Regardless of context

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

probably .. they sort of mean the same thing, though different context

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Glad I sold Rig!

0

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Congrats. I got out at 40c.

0

Woofofallstreet

2 weeks ago

RIGGED? EZ BOYS

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Careful. He usually says it at the very end

1

Woofofallstreet

2 weeks ago

RIGGED? EZ BOYS

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Whales are washed

0

Car

2 weeks ago

Ask Domer, he has very good arguments for NO!

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

The Annoying Orange

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

And Wojtek, why do you not have a Yes position?

0

Wojtek

2 weeks ago

people who say it is AI fake clearly don't follow the story. here is trump's son talking about the project month ago on X spaces: https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1822015333638525051

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

That's fair. Guess time will tell!

0

icanfixmyself

2 weeks ago

Thats the guess, yes

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I'm in this market 30mins. Can someone tell me the case for No? Is it just that you believe his twitter was hacked?

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I'm learning some guy with 500$ pnl has a substack. Amazing!

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

hehehe

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

have you ever posted a comment that wasn't retarded

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Mountainman is a genius

3

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

SQUEEZE

1

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

They do not know their greed

0

TheGuru

3 weeks ago

Don't give the Trump side too much value, just chill. You could end up sweating if someone puts in a million dollar order on the trump side

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Some poor Trump holder said he was going to double his account tonight. Sad!

7

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

FUD

0

Apsalar

3 weeks ago

kamala seems way overvalued now tbh. time to switch sides.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

And tomorrow CNN will be using her Polymarket odds as puff.

2

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

It's 4am where I am. Hate it and love it

0

ACat

3 weeks ago

I'm going to need a shower after getting this one right.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

It will be remarkably easy. All in the rules

4

Wapoc

3 weeks ago

Feel like this market is going to be hard to resolve

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

There's another 4 hours

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

is it over???

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tK0IDmSYYGk

1

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

read the rules

1

BigDoh

3 weeks ago

I need somebody to explain to me where we are at with the leads and time left and all that

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

You have a point

1

Justifax

3 weeks ago

lulz 50-Pence 50-Pence sold 1,333,333 Yes for Kamala Harris at 49.3¢ ($657,333)

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Nuke

1

Justifax

3 weeks ago

lulz 50-Pence 50-Pence sold 1,333,333 Yes for Kamala Harris at 49.3¢ ($657,333)

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Fair enough

0

COSSACK

3 weeks ago

you can operate infinite amount of accounts pretty easily

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

What would be the point though

0

COSSACK

3 weeks ago

you can operate infinite amount of accounts pretty easily

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

The market would need to be depressed for over 2 hours.

1

n/a

3 weeks ago

100% scares me , thats why i have my finger over the sell button until this market closes

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

What happened in the last derivative market?

1

Apsalar

3 weeks ago

I think I've seen this film before and I didn't like the ending

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

How have I manipulated the market?

2

PredictivePidgeon

3 weeks ago

And you’re totally objective with a 40k Kamala holding right? Btw if anyone wants me to stop commenting tip me $80 no questions asked and I’ll stop;)

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Electoral College. Fundamentals. Does the debate matter that much?

0

KingFer

3 weeks ago

this is sketchy, she wiped the floor with him last night

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Stone cold

0

TheGuru

3 weeks ago

Thanks for the big position, the main presidential market is overestimating Trump currently, the market should adjust soon. If it doesn't I'll make it adjust myself

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I love polymarket

1

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Can we get much higher?

2

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Cool story bro

1

thakattack19

3 weeks ago

maybe robinhood saved my ass today. I was legit gonna dump 3k to buy like 8k shares earlier but couldn't sell my market shares after market to buy usdc and won't let me instant deposit

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Very small studio. Podiums just six feet apart. Hard not to be nice!

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

wtf why is it mooning

Who will win the debate according to polls?

n/a

3 weeks ago

She won that debate

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

When has Harris ever performed well in a presidential debate? She read from notes with Mike Pence. She’s in trouble.

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Those podiums are very close!

1

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I am not trolling! And why can't there be a 20% chance? There's going to be huge volatility in all the election markets over the next couple of days.

0

UncleLouie

3 weeks ago

So this market actually means, which candidate's percentage chance of winning will increase more day over day by tomorrow?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

You're schizo posting. CUTNPASTE may lose, but atleast he understands the rules.

1

UncleLouie

3 weeks ago

So this market actually means, which candidate's percentage chance of winning will increase more day over day by tomorrow?

Who will win the debate according to polls?

n/a

3 weeks ago

And if the coconut gets cracked?

2

n/a

3 weeks ago

easy money, orange is getting SQUEEZED tonight

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Trump!

0

UncleLouie

3 weeks ago

So this market actually means, which candidate's percentage chance of winning will increase more day over day by tomorrow?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Take it from Polymarket's twitter https://twitter.com/Polymarket/status/1833567509829575076

0

UncleLouie

3 weeks ago

So this market actually means, which candidate's percentage chance of winning will increase more day over day by tomorrow?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

"The relevant data points will be those each minute during 9 PM ET to 1 AM ET (i.e. 9:00, 9:01 up to 12:59 AM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."" There is no mention of a starting line. The simple interpretation of this market is that it is whoever is the favourite on each minute candlestick. Whoever has the most candlesticks as favourite wins. TLDR, Trump has to drop (Kamala has to gain) 6 points.

0

UncleLouie

3 weeks ago

So this market actually means, which candidate's percentage chance of winning will increase more day over day by tomorrow?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I do not know how 432 has come to that conclusion. It is not "Who will gain more" it is "Who will be the favourite". Easy to understand.

0

UncleLouie

3 weeks ago

I just tried to re-read the market explanation 3x & ended up selling bc it doesn't look like the market title is what we're actually betting on. The writer clearly sniffed 90mg of Adderall prior to creating this disaster

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

This is how I also understand it. The word "gain" isn't in there, like the RCP RFK market.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

No, it's who will be ahead for a 4 hour window. Even if Kamala gains 5 points post debate if her odds are still lower than trumps she loses.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

It's all in the rules man...

1

UncleLouie

3 weeks ago

So this market actually means, which candidate's percentage chance of winning will increase more day over day by tomorrow?

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Thanks mattyrice, very cool!

1

mattyrice

3 weeks ago

a prosecutor does not shake hands with the defendent

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Think you need to read the rules buddy

0

432

3 weeks ago

read the rules.His current lead is irrelevant

Who will win the debate according to polls?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Buy then!

3

Pogpogpog

3 weeks ago

Reminder: 538 is a far left news source so harris will “win” the debate according to their poll regardless of the debate performance.

iPhone 16 pro under $1000?

n/a

3 weeks ago

367 shares...

0

Car

3 weeks ago

Car asking for exit liquidity, car scamming, blablabla, car pumping, blablabla.

iPhone 16 pro under $1000?

n/a

3 weeks ago

GG

0

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

n/a

0 months ago

It is. And it may.

1

n/a

0 months ago

At this stage any remaining equity in Kamala shares is literally hoping for market manipulation shenanigans

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

I'm so glad I sold this weeks ago

4

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Further to this, for Rasmussen to be greater than 3, they need a differential of 13.5 today. If I'm not mistaken

0

diddy

1 month ago

There actually won’t be these 10 points this time since growth is linear. What is for sure now is that Trump can’t get +4. The way the trend goes makes it Trump +1, it’s neither +2, or +3. It can very much be said that Kamala win is set in stone, literally every pool including Fox News would give points to Kamala as of now.

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Thanks for admitting this

2

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Btw Car here is just trolling yall. Just ignore his rambling of old news

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Have you read the article? Where is the quote that makes you so certain?

1

scattering

1 month ago

If guardian did a mistake I‘ll pay up the 1000$. Confidence: https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/25/telegram-app-founder-pavel-durov-to-appear-in-court-after-arrest-in-paris

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

There's only pre-trial detention if the magistrate brings formal charges! That hasn't happened. Even then, house arrest is a very likely form of detention.

0

theta-thunberg

1 month ago

do u all think after they're done questioning you they have to let you go? no pre-trial detention?

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

What's funny is, custody ends on the 28th, but there's even a chance he gets released from questioning today or tomorrow.

1

n/a

1 month ago

Did you read the part where the custody period ends August 28th or na?

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

https://www.tribunal-de-paris.justice.fr/sites/default/files/2024-08/2024-08-26%20-%20CP%20TELEGRAM%20.pdf Here are all the charges. The investigate was opened on the 8th of July.

0

EmpirePending

1 month ago

They want him on terrorism chargers there’s no way they let him out in 3 days. They won’t get him on bail because he will be a flight risk.

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Same thing happened earlier for Yes

1

n/a

1 month ago

first time here maybe

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

People need to learn about market orders vs limit...

3

Arbiter-of-Truth

1 month ago

ill take that, im out in profit

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Press release from the French Prosecutor. https://www.tribunal-de-paris.justice.fr/sites/default/files/2024-08/2024-08-26%20-%20CP%20TELEGRAM%20.pdf

1

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

“At the heart of the case is the absence of moderation and cooperation on the part of the platform,” Bernigaud said, “especially in the fight against child sex crimes.”

0

n/a

1 month ago

WaPo saying the detention is driven by the lack of moderation of illegal activities on Telegram. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/08/26/pavel-durov-telegram-france-detention/

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

WaPo saying the detention is driven by the lack of moderation of illegal activities on Telegram. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/08/26/pavel-durov-telegram-france-detention/

1

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Do you think it is likely a billionaire CEO will see prison for lack of content moderation?

1

tsybka

1 month ago

The period of detention of Pavel Durov in France expires on August 28

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Let's take a step back. They're holding him accountable for activities that take place on his platform. On basis, does that seem reasonable to you?

1

Car

1 month ago

it does. And then a judge will decide to keep the terrorist, money launderer and child abuser locked up for longer.

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

It's substantive reasoning for his position. Always do your own research of course.

1

n/a

1 month ago

especially a thread of someone holding a large Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

They didn't go to much effort. It was an adhoc arrest. Read tsybka's excellent explanation https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1828077965252403413

2

diddy

1 month ago

Guys you do realize that 4 days is rather a short period of time to get him released. Why would they go through so much effort arresting such a figure only to release him asap, there isn’t any major backlash. I think 36% is insane

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Nice to see someone sharing my opinion

1

tsybka

1 month ago

https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1828077965252403413

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

He's gone into shill mode

0

Car

1 month ago

Because this site is full of dumb people. Take advantage of it as much as you can!

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

https://x.com/mattmfm/status/1827391636227096951?s=46

2

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Ah, I see. That's a good catch.

0

Justifax

1 month ago

fair clarification. so the numbers could theoretically change depending on when / how they update and revise.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

How is it disinfo?

0

Justifax

1 month ago

fair clarification. so the numbers could theoretically change depending on when / how they update and revise.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

If on the 31/08 (day 8), the difference is greater than +1.5, this market will resolve for Harris.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Its 48.4 - 46.9 to Harris. She has a +1.5 difference as of today, 23/08 (day 0).

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Its 48.4 - 46.9 to Harris. She has a +1.5 difference as of today, 23/08 (day 0).

0

Justifax

1 month ago

fair clarification. so the numbers could theoretically change depending on when / how they update and revise.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Poly clarification. They wipe the order book before they add context. (Learned this just today on other RFK markets).

4

n/a

1 month ago

What just happened??

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

Yeah sure, I'm in the Poly discord. Also with a Seinfeld pfp

0

Zeke5044

1 month ago

This could be it! https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/mpox-wayne-county-health-department-confirms-first-case-since-2022

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

My position was massively oversized in relation to my bankroll. I'm diversifying.

1

Zeke5044

1 month ago

This could be it! https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/mpox-wayne-county-health-department-confirms-first-case-since-2022

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

I know. But it is nearly certainly Clade II.

1

Zeke5044

1 month ago

This could be it! https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/mpox-wayne-county-health-department-confirms-first-case-since-2022

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

We were through this...

0

Zeke5044

1 month ago

This could be it! https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/mpox-wayne-county-health-department-confirms-first-case-since-2022

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

nice

0

viltalik

1 month ago

.30 fill !!

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/mpox-wayne-county-health-department-confirms-first-case-since-2022

0

n/a

1 month ago

Source?

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

Scammers on Twitter misreporting the headline that this is the first case of Mpox in the entirety of the USA for two years.

0

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

This market resolves to Clade I. Clade II has been in the USA for years now. A news outlet in Detroit confirmed that a county have had their first case of Mpox since 2022. There is no mention of the strain, but it is almost certainly Clade II.

1

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

Clade II

0

polypocket

1 month ago

out of my no 😰 mpox found in new jersey wastewater

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

Funnest thing I've seen in a long time haha

0

RememberAmalek

1 month ago

That's the kind of half baked thinking I'd expect from a Y buyer

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

Nice pump. You just made up that he travelled from the US.

0

n/a

1 month ago

NEW -- "Clade 1 has been found in Thailand, marking a 2nd international case. That person reportedly traveled to Africa + U.S. before returning to Thailand"

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

Why do you keep swapping sides?

1

n/a

1 month ago

Dont worry china is next

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

Nope. Pakistan and the Philippines had reported cases of Clade 2. I think there's confusion with most people.

1

n/a

1 month ago

has a single country gotten mpox claude 1 after Sweden?

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

n/a

1 month ago

Buy more

1

n/a

1 month ago

The media is absolutely salivating. Every outlet is itching to be the first to report a positive case in the US. The fear machine will be cranked up tomorrow.

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

Just making the normie point

0

n/a

1 month ago

ravid is slow news lol, there's faster sources than him. 30 minutes early.

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

It's because Barak Ravid reported Israel thinks an attack is unlikely tonight.

1

n/a

1 month ago

Why did everyone sell Yes lol?

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

Of course

4

n/a

1 month ago

What if news comes out about strike and someone places a bet immediately? Would that still be valid?

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

Old

0

Doable

1 month ago

found this : https://www.i24news.tv/en/news/middle-east/iran-eastern-states/artc-report-khamenei-agrees-to-postpone-attack-on-israel-us-opens-hotline

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

Source - he made it up

2

moviesera92

1 month ago

Link?

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

It's not the reason people have stock in Yes. That tweet being fake is already priced in.

2

Justifax

1 month ago

The actual attack occurred on April 13th.

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

There is plenty to suggest.

0

n/a

1 month ago

nothing really to suggest it will be tonight ... pure speculation aside from the fact that Iran has probably decided to carry out *an* attack

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

Gonna be a long night guys. Strap in

3

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

If that's what Iran is going for, tonight makes the most sense. No need to worry about the bet not lasting a few more hours.

2

0xD11e

1 month ago

So the Jewish "9th of Av" starts at sundown today and ends at sundown tomorrow. Sundown in Israel was already 1½ hours ago, so we have entered the timeframe. It is unfortunate that this bet ends today, only 8 hours into the timeframe of 24 hours that Iran is believed to attack. I already heard this rumor a week ago on Twitter ( https://x.com/Know_More_News/status/1820507313209500120/ ) but I never took this religious stuff seriously. "The 9th of Av" is of course the "Tisha B'Av" that others here have referenced. Some say it's the traditional Jewish holiday of nothing happening.

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

I agree!

1

n/a

1 month ago

Iran likely won't attack tonight, but there's way more than 10% chance that it does. Closer to at least 25%.

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

Iran has said the ceasefire talks will not sway their attack. IMO, Iran's best bet is to attack, and rely on the US to restrain Israel. Personally, I don't believe the USA will let the Israelis get away with escalation again like they did on July 31st.

0

NothingEverHappens

1 month ago

They are larping in order to have the upper hand during the negociation deal and show the world they were on the edge of delivering a blow but that they restrained and acted rationnaly same for Hamas when they said that they won't attend the meeting it won't change anything as Qatar will plea for them and they will find an agreement as it is in nobody's interests to start up a regional war. They are showing muscles in order to prevail during the negociation phase.

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

If Iran does nothing it's also suicide. It sends a terrible message to their allies. Iran must re-establish deterrence with Israel.

1

NothingEverHappens

1 month ago

Iran won't do shit simple as that. Imagine persians giving a pretext to israel to anhilate their nuclear facilities just because some arab got killed by mossad agents in Tehran. If Iran didn't retaliated for the murder of dozens of his elite nuclear scientist why should they react for such an insignificant loss (houmous puppets are legion).

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

Switched sides?

0

n/a

1 month ago

"Iran will attack tomorrow, I pinky promise" -- people been crying wolf everyday for the past 2 weeks lmao

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

The US and Israel held your opinion last week that Iran was reconsidering. Now, the US and Israel are bracing for an attack in the next 24 hours. I am going off Axios and Reuters reporting, not feels. Last point, Iran gave back-channel notice in April. This was not public reported till after the attacks. Who's to say Iran didn't give a similar back-channel warning over the weekend? Would explain why the US is bracing.

2

NothingEverHappens

1 month ago

two more weeks XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD !!! Iranians have already cucked out and decided to "postpone" their retaliation. The only way out for Iran to save what is left of their credibility is to force houmous to accept the ceasefire. Iranians won't let their nuclear plants being carpet bombed just for the sake of retaliating. Iranians are vicious but not stupid.

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

One more night left in Iran to resolve this market. Axios & Reuters now reporting that Iran is expected to attack before Thursday. US taking it seriously. NOTAM in place in Western Iran between 11th and 14th of August for IRCG "Wargames". Since the outset of the crisis, it was believed Iran with attack on Tisha B'Av. And a reminder, the market resolves at Midnight Eastern Time, or 07:30am Iranian Time Tuesday.

3

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

I pray nothing happens.

0

n/a

1 month ago

correction: "you pray it will happen monday"

Iran military response by Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

Mr. Xi, while he may be down 5k - it does look quite likely now this will happen by Monday night.

1

n/a

1 month ago

youre already down 5k, just give me ur daughter and ill help you out

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

1 month ago

Could happen

1

n/a

1 month ago

Valente has won unless she falls off her bike.

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

n/a

1 month ago

So True!

1

1 month ago

HANS v NEPO final, Nepo will stay true to stereotype and LOSE!

Iran military response by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Nothing ever happens

8

n/a

1 month ago

Could be tonight https://twitter.com/ILRedAlert/status/1821242350091305296 "Iran has warned all global airlines to avoid its airspace, an Egyptian government source tells Al Qahera News."

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

1 month ago

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/pennsylvania-gov-josh-shapiro-support-pushback-harris-before-vp-pick-announcement/ just one example

0

GreenBeanEater

1 month ago

He does not have a 61%+ approval rating. Don’t know where people keep pulling that number from.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

1 month ago

The question is, will she cave to the far left of her party, or will she stick to the guy who helps her the most in the Electoral College.

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Shhh. Let them push Shapiro's price lower

0

pcutz

2 months ago

Philly mayor: https://x.com/PeopleforParker/status/1819436801280389542

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

That Axios Governor fundraising article is not the reason why he is favorite. He is favorite because sources in DC and Philly are saying it is him.

1

Tories4Harris

2 months ago

The only downside is reportedly a governor was being considering due to campaign finance restrictions which is why Josh was the favorite. If Josh wasn't the favorite or the article is wrong I'm just throwing away $40.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

It would indicate they are not expecting to be picked.

1

n/a

2 months ago

Not sure what that indicates at all - those would be negatives against them being picked?

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Per NYTIMES moments ago: "Here’s a potential veepstakes tea leaf: Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota and Gov. Andy Beshear of Kentucky are scheduled to host fund-raisers for the Harris campaign on Monday night, the evening before the deadline that the Harris campaign has suggested it has set to announce its vice-presidential pick. Walz will headline a fund-raiser in Minneapolis, and Beshear will be featured at one in Chicago, according to the invites."

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Literally the opposite.

9

·

Liked by aenews2, Apsalar and 7 others

MurkKellyVP

2 months ago

Shapiro officially out: https://x.com/IsaacDovere/status/1819072316292178267

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

The Hill Story has been out 8 hours. The pump happened 1 hour ago. Let's be real.

1

n/a

2 months ago

No, that is not the reason. It is in fact the Newswire story.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

No, that is not the reason. It is in fact the Newswire story.

2

fluidsuccessfullybad

2 months ago

The reason Beshear is pumping is because of this letter released by Democratic progressives, not the fake NewsWire story: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4800359-kamala-harris-josh-shapiro-andy-beshear-tim-walz/

Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?

n/a

2 months ago

Buy, Sell, Buy, Sell, Buy, Sell

1

Biden nominated before Democratic convention?

n/a

2 months ago

Oh, and also https://apnews.com/article/biden-trump-poll-drop-out-debate-democrats-59eebaca6989985c2bfbf4f72bdfa112

1

n/a

2 months ago

Dems are openly rebelling. Biden's allies have lost ground as they've conceded in holding off till August. The RNC is giving cover to all these woes, but it ends tomorrow. Biden will need to walk on eggshells in the meantime and the media will be back focused on him.

Biden nominated before Democratic convention?

n/a

2 months ago

Dems are openly rebelling. Biden's allies have lost ground as they've conceded in holding off till August. The RNC is giving cover to all these woes, but it ends tomorrow. Biden will need to walk on eggshells in the meantime and the media will be back focused on him.

1

Platinum

2 months ago

Literally every source said that he will do virtual roll call due to ohio being republican biased or something. Convince me why betting yes could be a bad idea?

Biden nominated before Democratic convention?

n/a

2 months ago

We know for a fact Pelosi & Jeffries have not endorsed Biden. House + Senate Democrats have polls forecasting them losing seats with Biden on the ticket. This cohort will be fighting tooth and nail to delay the nomination. ALSO, Biden is back on the campaign trail - which means back in the public eye, every time he steps in front of a camera, there is risk of a gaffe, or a fall. I think YES is overpriced https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/16/pelosi-biden-2024-elections-00168767 His latest speech: https://www.c-span.org/video/?537099-1/president-biden-speaks-economic-summit#:~:text=Rep.%20Steven%20Horsford.-,President%20Biden%20speaks%20at%20the%20Vote%20to%20Live%20Action%20Fund's,summit%20with%20Rep.%20Steven%20Horsford.

0

Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?

n/a

2 months ago

The vibe is off. He will wait till Thursday

1

Car

2 months ago

i mean he could still get up and speak. its 1 more hour left lol

Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?

n/a

2 months ago

It's been confirmed he will be appear on stage tonight. We're betting on whether he stands on stage quietly.

0