Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

2 days ago

domer says it was not scam

3

Phrank

2 days ago

Did a bit of digging and looks like the second and third largest voters (1.5 million uma each) are anonymous wallets that have only one transaction and were just recently funded by the Risk Labs main wallet (0x8180D59b7175d4064bDFA8138A58e9baBFFdA44a)… which means half of all NO votes were basically Kevin Chan and the Uma team. Crazy market manipulation, definitely illegal, and they didn’t even hide it that well haha

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

Greta-Tunafish

2 days ago

glückwunsch zum gewinn

0

Kobafix

2 days ago

your brother

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

Greta-Tunafish

2 days ago

Who is the dirtiest son of a whore on this site here?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Imagine you come here after you've already scammed your way through and still have to justify yourself. take the money and shut up - uma voted yes. Kevin and a fat boy from anatolia voted no

6

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Putting rozi against the wall would not be a loss - quite the opposite.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

30-40kg more on the ribs and they could be twins

2

PolyRig-Fried

3 days ago

Does this guy look like SBF? And why is he based in NYC? https://x.com/shayne_coplan

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Smart thought, should be pursued, I'll see if I can figure it out

0

zynyz

3 days ago

What dates did Kevin Chan cast his votes Yes on the November market during the 3 disputes?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

yes, that is right. most UMA users are honest people

1

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

If Polymarkt has the courage, then Y can still win (yes, I know I'm using the meme wrong)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

btw did you know most uma voters voted yes? https://x.com/primo_data/status/1843284148649406842

3

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

If Polymarkt has the courage, then Y can still win (yes, I know I'm using the meme wrong)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

If Polymarkt has the courage, then Y can still win (yes, I know I'm using the meme wrong)

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

A fraudster and scammer, because otherwise this person would have explained in advance why it would be a no and not hide behind pseudo-arguments. You chose to benefit from UMA.

2

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

3 days ago

Honest question? Lets say someone has made it their life mission to stop UMA from being a resolution mechanism. This person complains about them once a day, tweets about them, posts about them, makes their user name something about stopping them. Then a hotly contested market comes up that UMA will resolve and this person does nothing but post BIG FACTs and what was very very likely to happen. Should this person be called a RIGGER, or a HERO?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

https://x.com/primo_data/status/1843284148649406842 pressing the like button and retweet button takes less than a second. do it

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

thanks mate

0

n/a

3 days ago

More voters for "Yes", but a couple outpower them all (data included): https://x.com/primo_data/status/1843284148649406842

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

such a meaningless and unintelligent creature

0

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Imagine you are the user fhantombets and a proud fraudster. Haha

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Imagine you are the user fhantombets and a proud fraudster. Haha

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

That's it. The biggest scam in the poly market history has come to an end. Domer is now officially a known bad actor

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

I would like to thank all UMA users who honestly voted yes, despite the financial disadvantages

1

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

But wait for Domer to come and explain why no, it's still right, and Batuhan and Kevin are just big brains

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

But wait for Domer to come and explain why no, it's still right, and Batuhan and Kevin are just big brains

0

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

The majority of the people, by the way, still voted yes; the distribution of the tokens is what leads to the no. So there is a media consensus, a market consensus, and a UMA user consensus, but the result is no

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

The majority of the people, by the way, still voted yes; the distribution of the tokens is what leads to the no. So there is a media consensus, a market consensus, and a UMA user consensus, but the result is no

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Yes, there are no ways to give anonymous tips, and if you tell them that you lost $10 on an unlicensed betting site, the handcuffs will click immediately

0

RaidsAreNotInvasions

3 days ago

just called the CFTC and told them I've lost money betting illegally on an offshore gambling site and want a refund. They said they'd get back to me soon

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Guys, this is a mass confusion. UMA is not optimal, but they made the right decision here. The invasion began on October 2nd; here is my evidence: Ø

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Since Kevin Chan is somewhat of a public figure, let him know what you think about his expertise on the Middle East and that he largely carried the vote. He also couldn't have voted

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Car calls it a fair system, so it must be true, because Car is a fair person, LOL

1

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

It's so funny! Everyone who hears about UMA for the first time immediately thinks, 'LOL, what if a few whales just control everything while making some nice money?' And that's exactly it! LOL. It's actually not that sophisticated when you think about it

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

It's so funny! Everyone who hears about UMA for the first time immediately thinks, 'LOL, what if a few whales just control everything while making some nice money?' And that's exactly it! LOL. It's actually not that sophisticated when you think about it

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

The DOJ took PokerStars and Full Tilt offline back then, and much more fraudulent things are happening here.

3

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix

3 days ago

"Will PolyMarket be shutdown by the FBI before December?"

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

You are a scammer who does not want to identify as such

0

🤺JustKen

3 days ago

I feel like I was very clear and consistent and posted quite often that yes was very likely to lose. Before the votes were revealed, yes was trading at $0.60 for hours

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

100%. UMA is designed in such a way that it causes maximum damage to beginners who are not familiar with it

9

HaterzLoserz

3 days ago

The way UMA is designed and distributed right now makes for a very toxic system as far as I can see. The main bulk consists of UMA team members who vote with enough tokens to achieve Quorum on all disputes. Then, the main incentive to purchase large amounts of UMA outside of that actually comes from traders + arbers who want to manipulate the dispute mechanism to trade in and out of positions during the dispute or arb the final decision. This makes for a very unhealthy system where the incentive does not always amount to the most objective truth imo. Mechanisms like the reveal period, incentivise Whales not to reveal their side of the vote to supress the price and buy up more tokens for the side they think will win for example. Between the core tokens being held by 2-3 people, and this attraction of actors who seek to profit from the dispute mechanism, lack of transparency and timely visibility on whose voting unless you run a node and can code Dune requests. Its just a terrible look for any new user who gets involved in a dispute like this and encounters the process. Should be very high on Poly's to do list after the election, Polytoken and use it for their own system thats much improved. Just an analysis of the current system and its flaws, i dont necessarily want to revert this decision or anything, it is what it is.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Next time, please make a tweet or podcast explaining exactly how the UMA process works. Instead of just reading from their marketing materials, provide a detailed explanation of who holds how many tokens, what the practices are, and who Batu is. It would be really cool of you, as there hasn't been anything from you on this topic

0

🤺JustKen

3 days ago

I feel like I was very clear and consistent and posted quite often that yes was very likely to lose. Before the votes were revealed, yes was trading at $0.60 for hours

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

A UMA whale who encourages others to vote just like him. It is a sophisticated scam that is not immediately obvious to beginners.

0

n/a

3 days ago

Who is Batu?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

What? Don't you believe, you tin foil hat, that UMA is a decentralized truth machine? Get lost from here

2

n/a

3 days ago

I only just learned Kevin Chan owns 32% of the UMA votes. I don't think I'll take PolyMarket seriously now.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Picture yourself being exploited by someone named Kevin. It was a catastrophic embarrassment

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

So this is the first market that was brought down from 70 cents to 0 by UMA and Batu. Strong performance, that has to be acknowledged. A new level of power

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

We did it again, Batu, another day and another pile of cash from rookies. Look at how they keep posting evidence as if it has any relevance, how cute!

6

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

:D

1

dancer

3 days ago

Imagine not selling for 70 because you thought this wasn't rigged. PSYCHOS!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

you should die in ukraine

1

tsybka

3 days ago

YES holders - redeposit, please

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

"Decentralized truth machine" is probably the biggest euphemism for two crypto bros deciding what happens to your money.

8

Global Heat Increase 2024

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Has she made enough money here and is she quitting her job?

0

Dr.ChristmasJones

5 days ago

Dr. Sato is Retiring: https://x.com/MakikoSato6/status/1842646087967900027

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Guilty as charged

0

Cedarville

3 days ago

your name is a big clue on one of them

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

So this is the place where all the scum and filth from the internet gathers. The fact that I ended up here might make me reconsider one or two decisions from the past

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Is there anyone on this site who doesn't scam? wtf

2

Justifax

3 days ago

This could resolve NO. Honestly, and this is not financial advice, I think the odds around 50/50 right now. I'd say keep an eye on aenews (he's well versed in all of this) but he could wash trade scam you.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Domer, since you love being a part of podcasts, how about the idea of getting interviewed by Coffeezilla? It could be a fantastic opportunity to share your insights and experiences with a wider audience

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

fhantombets, what does it feel like to be in a pressure cooker?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

The number 1000 actually has 4 digits.

0

n/a

3 days ago

I need funding for my startup, how can I get in touch with chad

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

... that's $1000 more from honest betting than you made. Not bad, right? What do you think?"

1

n/a

3 days ago

I need funding for my startup, how can I get in touch with chad

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

You could help a few elderly people by removing viruses from their computers for $500 in Amazon gift cards. Do good and receive good in return.

0

n/a

3 days ago

I need funding for my startup, how can I get in touch with chad

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Hey, you meant that Domer is an obese Nazi, can you give me a few sources? Social media profile or something? I would like to continue humiliating him in the future, and information is always helpful.

0

dancer

3 days ago

Wow, the side with the FRAUDULENT FRENCH DROOLER who can only BULLY CHILDREN instead of teaching them math (INNUMERATE FUQTARD WILLOU) couldn't convince anybody who wasn't subject to detention to vote for his fraud? LOL, who knew?!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

I am rather curious about the Batu logic

0

rozi

3 days ago

For those who are curious about the No logic. We know of 70+ in-and-out raids between Oct 1, 2023 and Oct 1, 2024. That counts toward "entry." And we know that regular IDF troops first entered Lebanon on Oct 2, 2024, hence the "invasion" began only in Oct. What follows: Yes for September entry market --- No for October invasion market --- Yes for November invasion market.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

in scammer who wants to make me feel bad. i can't take it anymore, this site is gold

0

rozi

3 days ago

At least I don't go around offending everyone that doesn't agree with my perspective.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Rozi, worthless fraud, calls himself a statistician just because he knows what a median is, LOL. How about some real mathematics?

6

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

*Shayne Coplan

0

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

chad= Shame cope lan. emergency resolve incoming

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

chad= Shame cope lan. emergency resolve incoming

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

In a perfect world, you're in jail. Where did 20k shares go?

3

🤺JustKen

3 days ago

Chad needs to be drug-tested before he makes any bets

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

The poker community is, in comparison to this community, a place full of angels and good souls, and that says something.

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

You have no conscience and are a bad person, but you probably don't care about these words

0

n/a

3 days ago

u have ur own choice where to bet bruh if someone influenced u that’s completely ur fault

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

sorry, i've only been to disocord a few times and he was big on anti-racism and justice.

1

RememberAmalek

3 days ago

he doesn't act like a good person at all what are u talking about

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

It's funny how fhantombets always acts like a good person in Discord. At the same time, he takes money from newcomers who don't know batuy. and the UMA system. The man is not intelligent enough to make real predictions.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

I believe that in the regulated stock market, a similar action would land you in jail, but here we are comfortably navigating crypto without KYC

1

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Why is Domer/JustKen so convinced that it will be P1? Certainly not because of any compelling arguments. As you scroll through the Evidence-Rational thread, you’ll notice the user "batuy." He has only posted about P1; why would someone spam just P1? Well, because "batuy." is not an insignificant user. P1 serves as a signal to follow him, so there’s no need for justification for P1; it just needs to be visible to everyone. This is something the honorable gentlemen Domer, Decap, fhantombets, and others seem to have forgotten to tell you.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

Why is Domer/JustKen so convinced that it will be P1? Certainly not because of any compelling arguments. As you scroll through the Evidence-Rational thread, you’ll notice the user "batuy." He has only posted about P1; why would someone spam just P1? Well, because "batuy." is not an insignificant user. P1 serves as a signal to follow him, so there’s no need for justification for P1; it just needs to be visible to everyone. This is something the honorable gentlemen Domer, Decap, fhantombets, and others seem to have forgotten to tell you.

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

You may find it hard to believe, but in Israel they don't use American time zones.

2

dancer

4 days ago

sounds like a NO to me, unless you have the Illiteracy skills of DECRAPP

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

He's right, why don't you try it yourself? Press the generate button

2

n/a

4 days ago

No AIslop pls

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

Your evidence has been refuted exactly the same number of times and strangely enough, you have not been able to answer HaterzLoserz in the Discord. You ignored the arguments for yes in your Twitter post and reduced them to a few headlines. But I'm sure you'll explain yourself later

2

🤺JustKen

4 days ago

I've only posted my evidence a zillion times that the UN peacekeepers (a neutral party with no incentive to lie) said there had not been an invasion yet on October 1st. This is in addition to Lebanon, the IDF, and the US State Department. And it would be in line with a vote that ALREADY HAPPENED in UMA court. The price is at 63c right now. If Yes loses (and I don't think its a guarantee that it does!), then there is nobody to blame but your own stubbornness.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

Domer has the problem that if No were to win, that would massively damage Polymarkt's reputation, apart from his own. This will be heard here for months to come, especially if the last fool sees the commencement of the invasion as such in retrospect. He would prefer the price to collapse now because people have supposedly come to the realization that no is right.

6

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

Being the Commander-in-Chief of a scam and calling yourself a do-gooder is crazy

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

90% for an event that nobody disputed for the November market. 10% risk margin, shows the desolate state of polymarket

3

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

The November market traded for 90c until shortly before the vote. It's the fear of being rugged.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

The November market traded for 90c until shortly before the vote. It's the fear of being rugged.

4

n/a

4 days ago

this is an obvious YES, why is 67%???

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

https://pastebin.com/3cvbT1eY

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

Justifacts

1

Justifax

4 days ago

Car and his fanboy NIGGA. Car is buying NO at resistance points, pumping very hard any BS he can imagine, and then selling. He is the worst low life imaginable.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

This bet represents 100% of his portfolio. More than 100% is only possible in a world in w hich no invasion took place on September 30

0

n/a

4 days ago

Why are posting instead of buying more - same question.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

https://imgur.com/a/zh8PQXL

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

"using sources after deadline to describe events before the deadline is perfectly fine" - JustKen/Domer

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

look how desperate he is spaming his lies.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

Domer's latest take is that Chad is single-handedly carrying the market and is essentially a confused loner. His emergency tweet at the beginning of the vote. This man is hardly surpassable in terms of embarrassment.

10

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

Chad first bought for 80c, but somehow he's supposed to be responsible for the “high” price!? huh?

9

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

The Discord name should perhaps be reposted from time to time if there are too many comments here.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

@Hl very good one :D

1

aldynspeedruns

4 days ago

u shud get 300k shares and stand with batman

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

If Car loses 20k in this scam attempt, I will distribute baklava on the street for a day

7

Car

4 days ago

If you stand for the truth and want to help us ge the vote for NO done, add me on Discord: meowmemowmwow

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

The case for the emergency solve is getting stronger by the hour. This is the biggest rug attempt Polymarket has ever seen

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

Currently, Y is trading significantly higher than N. Y was traded at nearly 90 cents on September 30/October 1. It was only UMA that caused the price drop. This means that, in addition to the media consensus, there was also a market consensus. And now UMA is supposed to override this market and media consensus? That cannot be right

16

·

Liked by n/a, n/a and 14 others

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

I asked for an example, and you didn't answer my question. And the shares that Chad bought during that time were also bought by realbatman, so once again, nonsense from you

3

🤺JustKen

4 days ago

Are you joking or being serious? This market was trading at $0.75 for yes, pumped up by Chad, when UMA voted against Yess

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

I don't know, Y was significantly more expensive until UMA P4 said

0

BibiNetanyahu

4 days ago

dont forget we were the cheapest side up until yesterday

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

one example?

2

Car

4 days ago

Yes happens alot

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

4 days ago

Serious question (this time really): Has there ever been a dispute where the significantly more expensive side lost? In the disputes I've seen so far, it has always been the case that people bought extremely cheap shares and wanted to push their investment 20x, 50x, or even higher

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

The truth will prevail!

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

yes, it's a repost. I just wanted to make sure he read it too

1

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Did you know that Car spends all day pissing in bottles and sitting at his computer waiting for news pop-ups to buy up outdated limit orders? Otherwise he has creative bets like “will bitcoin reach 250k”, which bring him a whole 8% apy. Cynics would say he might as well leave it alone and put his money in the S&P500, but what do they know.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Did you know that Car spends all day pissing in bottles and sitting at his computer waiting for news pop-ups to buy up outdated limit orders? Otherwise he has creative bets like “will bitcoin reach 250k”, which bring him a whole 8% apy. Cynics would say he might as well leave it alone and put his money in the S&P500, but what do they know.

9

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

He is afraid that the truth could rig the UMA vote.

1

Gauth

5 days ago

what's happening Car you feel the wind changing and you prefer to sell 6.3k at a loss before falling to 0?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

they can overturn the uma vote, if they want

0

denizz

5 days ago

What is "polymarket emergency"?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

I think the likelihood of UMA solving to yes is 75 maybe slightly worse because of the extreme pressure that Domer, Decap etc build up. But there is also the chance that Polymarket emergency resolves this. After all, yes is the objective reality

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

i love how you start your post with actually for the meme

2

rozi

5 days ago

Actually, the word "invade" is even more relevant than "intent" here, given that the No crowd argues that raids are not enough to constitute an invasion. Also the word "sources" is also more important here than "intent," with that the primary sources from the rules say no invasion before the deadline.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

This is how normies, the media and also experts interpret what happened on the night of the 30th on the 1st

0

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

On 1 October 2024, Israel began an invasion of southern Lebanon in an escalation of the ongoing Israel–Hezbollah conflict, a result of the spillover of the Israel–Hamas war. It followed a series of major attacks on Hezbollah in September that degraded its capabilities[31][32] and devastated its leadership;[33][34] beginning with the explosions of its communication devices,[35][36] followed by an Israeli aerial bombing campaign targeting Hezbollah throughout Lebanon,[37] and culminating in the 27 September assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.[38][39]

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

wikipedia. remember time zones

0

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

On 1 October 2024, Israel began an invasion of southern Lebanon in an escalation of the ongoing Israel–Hezbollah conflict, a result of the spillover of the Israel–Hamas war. It followed a series of major attacks on Hezbollah in September that degraded its capabilities[31][32] and devastated its leadership;[33][34] beginning with the explosions of its communication devices,[35][36] followed by an Israeli aerial bombing campaign targeting Hezbollah throughout Lebanon,[37] and culminating in the 27 September assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.[38][39]

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

On 1 October 2024, Israel began an invasion of southern Lebanon in an escalation of the ongoing Israel–Hezbollah conflict, a result of the spillover of the Israel–Hamas war. It followed a series of major attacks on Hezbollah in September that degraded its capabilities[31][32] and devastated its leadership;[33][34] beginning with the explosions of its communication devices,[35][36] followed by an Israeli aerial bombing campaign targeting Hezbollah throughout Lebanon,[37] and culminating in the 27 September assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.[38][39]

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

so they invaded according to you. so it should resolve to yes???

1

Car

5 days ago

I think UMA voters will use common sense and resolve September to NO and November to YES. Everyone who is here for a bit longer knows that deadlines exist for a reason and we cant use event past deadline to resolve a market. We use those events to resolve the NEXT market, which is November market in this case

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

and btw isnt ur whole argument that hezbollah said the enxt day there was no invasion? cant use that too then

0

Car

5 days ago

I think UMA voters will use common sense and resolve September to NO and November to YES. Everyone who is here for a bit longer knows that deadlines exist for a reason and we cant use event past deadline to resolve a market. We use those events to resolve the NEXT market, which is November market in this case

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

"using sources from after the deadline to describe events before the deadline is perfectly okay" - Domer/JustKen

2

Car

5 days ago

I think UMA voters will use common sense and resolve September to NO and November to YES. Everyone who is here for a bit longer knows that deadlines exist for a reason and we cant use event past deadline to resolve a market. We use those events to resolve the NEXT market, which is November market in this case

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

I'd like to have viedo proof of returning soldiers (bullshit I know, but I'll adapt to you)

0

rozi

5 days ago

Because in September we had only in-and-out raids, and proper troops invaded only on Oct 2. That's why. As per information from the IDF, the United Nations, the United States, Lebanon, and Hezbollah.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Is there a source that the soldiers returned to Israel?

0

rozi

5 days ago

Because in September we had only in-and-out raids, and proper troops invaded only on Oct 2. That's why. As per information from the IDF, the United Nations, the United States, Lebanon, and Hezbollah.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

u did not answer my question. domer did he said 2nd but did not have any source for this

0

Car

5 days ago

No its not.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

The invasion was on October 2 with 0 sources confirming this of course

0

Phrank

5 days ago

If the “Will Israel Enter Lebanon in September?” and the “Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?” both resolve to YES I don’t logically see how this market could be anything other than YES

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Did the invasion take place on the 1st or 2nd? You need to be able to answer this question because you are betting 'no' here, and the November market was a 'yes'.

0

Car

5 days ago

different rules.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Shayne can explain that to Peter Thiel.

1

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Keep the price up. It has to become a major scandal for Polymarket and a big embarrassment.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Keep the price up. It has to become a major scandal for Polymarket and a big embarrassment.

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

By the way, this market is now a bet on whether Domer's emotional manipulation against UMA will succeed. The actual question of the market has already been answered

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Polymarket is the only place that advocates the thesis raids on September 30th invasion on October 1st hypothesis. I have yet to hear anyone in the media or in real life put forth this twisted thesis.

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

media consensus for thee but not for me

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Yes, exactly, and Maduro proclaimed himself the winner the very next day. Strangely enough, the market was not resolved but was open for a long time and then Domer said we now have enough proof that Edmundo won the election. Thanks for your Y support.

0

FamilyCapital

5 days ago

CNE: "Venezuela election, Maduro received most votes" | | UMA: "Edmundo received most votes".

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

That is why they have submitted the complaints to the UN. On October 4, yes, but they say it started on September 30. So they obviously admit it

0

FamilyCapital

5 days ago

Lebanon on 1 October: Israel did not cross the border. || UMA: Israel did invade Lebanon.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

When was the market proposed? On the 2nd, right? So the invasion was on the 30th, 1st, or 2nd. Now we just have to draw a logical conclusion. On which of these days did we receive crucial information?

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

you have not bought in 20 hours, stop the cheap talk. what is the problem mate? just log off and enjoy your winnings in 3 days

1

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

5 days ago

Do people realize we already voted on this or nah? I mean IM OK with more cheap NO dont let me stop you but I am genuinely curious

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Also: once again the classic price reference from you. Very typical, just hot air.

0

🤺JustKen

5 days ago

If Chad wasn't distorting the price, where would this be trading, 8c?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

I don't know, but I know that if UMA and you didn't distort the price, then the price for Y would be 99.9

4

🤺JustKen

5 days ago

If Chad wasn't distorting the price, where would this be trading, 8c?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Isn't it strange that all the N holders are desperately defending themselves against the accusations of being scammers, yet they stand side by side with Car?

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

If it is P4, Polymarkt must intervene. Perhaps that would even be bullish for September, because then they would have to make a decision there as well

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

If Chad tells his therapist that he lost all his money because he bet that Israel would invade Lebanon, will he be treated for gambling addiction or for a psychosis? Serious question

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Oops, someone seems to have taken a joke a bit too seriously. Of course, you couldn't say negative PnL, so it became shitty PnL instead. I wish you continued fun copying Domer's bets and cheating in the UMA Discord. Ciao!

1

n/a

5 days ago

dm me, i'm real chad

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

And the king of scammers is JustKen, a man of mediocre intelligence. He makes a point of not wanting to be called a scammer and points to other supposed bad actors like aenews, LOL

3

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Chad thinks he's going to make big bucks because he's betting on an event that has de facto happened. What a naive guy, he's here on an anonymous crypto scam site

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

Chad thinks he's going to make big bucks because he's betting on an event that has de facto happened. What a naive guy, he's here on an anonymous crypto scam site

16

·

Liked by n/a, n/a and 14 others

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

But why does Decap have a guilty conscience, he's not doing anything wrong or is he?

0

Decap

5 days ago

Chad I just wanna talk

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

I really think that India should only have intranet

2

n/a

5 days ago

dm me, i'm real chad

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

I can already tell you what he wants to say to you: Reality doesn't matter because Decap and co know how the UMA game works, and Decap has a bad conscience.

2

Decap

5 days ago

Chad I just wanna talk

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

5 days ago

What the No bros want to hide: https://nournews.ir/en/news/192343/Lebanon-files-formal-complaint-with-UN-over-Israeli-invasion

0

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

5 days ago

Just checked in on the discord server and boy the YES team is struggling in there. Quick send in reinforcements team YES

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

i think you have to verify yourself with the bot. write to donkov_1 and ask him, he will certainly help

0

denizz

6 days ago

feel free to post the argument i just wrote out for me. Seems I can't comment because my discord is less than 10 days old.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

You see, that's where the root of the problem lies: you have a weak reading comprehension. The rules also say nothing about occupation

2

Car

6 days ago

Im still waiting for proof that IDF invaded before the market end time with the intention to "establish control over any regions of Lebanon". It goes to NO otherwise

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

When was this article last posted? I don't know https://nournews.ir/en/news/192343/Lebanon-files-formal-complaint-with-UN-over-Israeli-invasion

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

ou are waiting for your evidence just as a flat-earther waits for their evidence.

0

Car

6 days ago

Im still waiting for proof that IDF invaded before the market end time with the intention to "establish control over any regions of Lebanon". It goes to NO otherwise

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

Don't buy Y without also presenting your position on Y in Discord, otherwise you're just burning money

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

Now go to the September market and make your argument there

1

Tentaclecracy

6 days ago

The Lebanese government itself has filed a complaint with the United Nations saying that the invasion began on the 1st of October. As per the rules, this market should resolve to YES. https://nournews.ir/en/news/192343/Lebanon-files-formal-complaint-with-UN-over-Israeli-invasion

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

wow, you know that at 2 a.m. in israel on October 1, it was still September 30 in the U.S.?

1

Tentaclecracy

6 days ago

The Lebanese government itself has filed a complaint with the United Nations saying that the invasion began on the 1st of October. As per the rules, this market should resolve to YES. https://nournews.ir/en/news/192343/Lebanon-files-formal-complaint-with-UN-over-Israeli-invasion

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

Fuck the media consensus. The media are lying through their teeth. Fake news media!!!!

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

THE MEDIA IS LYING

1

FamilyCapital

6 days ago

On the concept of "control," a lot of people impose their own meaning on the term, and the mass media might misuse it as well.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

There will be another vote, right? But in discord it doesn't look so good, where is the yes army?

0

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

6 days ago

This has been voted on already, Now some scumbags trying to scam others to buy their dead bags. This is not good and sad

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

Domer also stumbles badly with his reasoning when ChatGPT starts bitching

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

When things get unpleasant, Domer is like Hezbollah and fucks off

1

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

By the way, you can invade Discord and start a war.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

By the way, you can invade Discord and start a war.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

"Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" First, I'd like to clarify two misconceptions: 1. Occupation is not a condition for this market; it only speaks of control. 2. Yes, there is still the market "Will Forces enter Israel Lebanon in September?" and many claim that because this market exists, the invasion market must be resolved as "no". However, the opposite is true; the two markets should almost always end with the same resolution. This is also nicely reflected in the price, as the "Forces enter Lebanon" market often traded only a few cents above the invasion market. The "Forces enter Lebanon" market has already been resolved as "yes". Now we need to clarify whether these are raids or an invasion. We should not follow the wording of the IDF here, which understandably wants to downplay the situation as much as possible. According to witnesses, tanks were already in Lebanon on the night of September 30 to October 1, and there was also artillery fire. Many media outlets correctly called it an invasion on October 1. There were even several media sources that mocked the IDF's wording. UMA should clearly recognize the reality here and vote "yes". There is a broad media consensus. Following the convoluted individual opinion of a well-known influencer would lead to a lose-lose-lose situation for everyone. It would damage the reputation of Polymarket, UMA, and the bettors would also suffer as a result.

0

ftor1

6 days ago

that's the whole point for creating different ENTER markets rather than current invasion.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

Thank you Bibi, I had almost forgotten this comment

1

BibiNetanyahu

6 days ago

(Just FYI this is extremely, extremely likely to go Yes, barring explosive new information, and you should not trade based off people in the comments trying to pump their bags)

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

CLARIFY THE RULES NOW POLYMARKT

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

And Rozi- the stupid dog- says that the invasion took place today. I want to see the evidence

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

"I'm on P4 for this one, but it seems like we might be getting close to P2. We have more info in October, but I have still not seen an invading force or the IDF trying to control territory." Domer, if you're going to tarnish your reputation, you might as well do it right instead of in a half-hearted and vague way. Hmmm, yes... it could possibly be an invasion... but who really knows?

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

Imagine you call yourself "UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts" while simultaneously placing your full trust in UMA.

8

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

agree

0

RememberAmalek

6 days ago

Nobody dispute yet, the more time we give November to resolve the better it is for us!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

Yes, the line of reasoning when the November market is resolved with yes and forces enter lebanon market also with yes must look rather absurd.

0

RememberAmalek

6 days ago

Nobody dispute yet, the more time we give November to resolve the better it is for us!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

"UMA voted for 'too early', now they would logically have to vote 'no'." While this reasoning often holds true, it's not the case in this situation. At the time of the proposal, it was difficult to discern what was happening on the night of September 30th. Now that the situation has become clearer, it's evidently an invasion. By this, I don't mean the events that occurred after September 30th, but rather that the interpretation of the September 30th events is now unambiguous. In the past, Domer/JustKen argued in the Venezuela market that it was prudent to wait a few days for the situation to become clearer. This approach is reasonable, and by now, the invasion that began on September 30th is undisputed.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

P2- Yes "Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" First, I'd like to clarify two misconceptions: 1. Occupation is not a condition for this market; it only speaks of control. 2. Yes, there is still the market "Will Forces enter Israel Lebanon in September?" and many claim that because this market exists, the invasion market must be resolved as "no". However, the opposite is true; the two markets should almost always end with the same resolution. This is also nicely reflected in the price, as the "Forces enter Lebanon" market often traded only a few cents above the invasion market. The "Forces enter Lebanon" market has already been resolved as "yes". Now we need to clarify whether these are raids or an invasion. We should not follow the wording of the IDF here, which understandably wants to downplay the situation as much as possible. According to witnesses, tanks were already in Lebanon on the night of September 30 to October 1, and there was also artillery fire. Many media outlets correctly called it an invasion on October 1. There were even several media sources that mocked the IDF's wording. UMA should clearly recognize the reality here and vote "yes". There is a broad media consensus. Following the convoluted individual opinion of a well-known influencer would lead to a lose-lose-lose situation for everyone. It would damage the reputation of Polymarket, UMA, and the bettors would also suffer as a result.

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

6 days ago

getting nervous? a little raid with tanks. the classic

3

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

6 days ago

Just found out a few important things. And wow is it important! Turns out Israel, Lebanon, and the UN all said that these were raids not an invasion. Also after looking through polymarket I found an entirely separate market which was intended for these raids and incursions. Wild! Turns out this market was a NO all along. Would have been helpful if anyone mentioned this earlier and repeatedly

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Yes, but the fear is that those who voted for P4 will then vote no because, despite overwhelming media reports, there has not been enough evidence for them so far. lol

0

n/a

1 week ago

What happens if this market stays at P4 "Early request" Does it go to another vote?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Because Israel has explicitly asked its own people not to share any information and the Lebanese were previously called upon to leave the south.

0

FamilyCapital

1 week ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8N_yehAI5IQ Proof of an Israel invasion into Lebanon? Oh wait, this is about Russia invading Ukraine. But Ukraine has a lower population density and about 50 times a larger border with Russia and Belarus combined than Israel has with Lebanon. So how is it possible that we have no proof of an actual invasion of Israel into Lebanon on September 30th?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

All headlines from October 1st

0

MisTKy

1 week ago

I will try to explain for people so they understand....the Isrealis are doing raids, they are doing this to clear the way for armored vehicles and troops so they can "establish control". So you need to wait a little, about the holidays that's a funny and sad argument. You do realize we talk about war ? And about the September market... it s complicated, the argument for YES on that ,market would be that even if they are doing only raids, they are still part of the bigger military campaign (but then also airstrikes would be )

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

https://imgur.com/a/LHDxBHs

0

MisTKy

1 week ago

I will try to explain for people so they understand....the Isrealis are doing raids, they are doing this to clear the way for armored vehicles and troops so they can "establish control". So you need to wait a little, about the holidays that's a funny and sad argument. You do realize we talk about war ? And about the September market... it s complicated, the argument for YES on that ,market would be that even if they are doing only raids, they are still part of the bigger military campaign (but then also airstrikes would be )

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

There are literally witnesses who reported tanks on Lebanese soil on September 30th. Also, the rules clearly say "commences", so if the invasion did not begin on the 30th, then it is not an invasion now. There is no invasion. These are all limited ground operations

1

MisTKy

1 week ago

I will try to explain for people so they understand....the Isrealis are doing raids, they are doing this to clear the way for armored vehicles and troops so they can "establish control". So you need to wait a little, about the holidays that's a funny and sad argument. You do realize we talk about war ? And about the September market... it s complicated, the argument for YES on that ,market would be that even if they are doing only raids, they are still part of the bigger military campaign (but then also airstrikes would be )

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

“Let's wait 1-2 days and look back” and ‘let's use a media consensus’ only works if the domer wants that in the Venezuela market. Here, of course, the IDf and UN are used, calling it a limited ground offensive. LOL

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

It's more about his ego and reputation than the money, although more money certainly doesn't hurt.

2

FamilyCapital

1 week ago

You are saying that the guy who have in profit almost 3 kk, is panicking bc of position less than 1% from his profit on this site?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Yes, I was very inactive in the comments here, as anyone can testify.

1

FamilyCapital

1 week ago

When YES shares were trading above 80 cents, I didn't notice the same level of activity from YES holders posting 'proofs' like they did on September 30th. Now that YES shares are at 20 cents, it seems like their activity has reactivated. For those who are investing here as a simple bet and not playing pump-and-dump schemes, be cautious. The YES holders were the first to sell when the price hit 80 cents. Their renewed presence in the comments section likely suggests they want to repeat their previous success.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Now that you've answered me and stopped ignoring me, tell me, you never thought Israel would invade on foot, did you? What a lucky coincidence for you, that the market is still going no. More luck than sense, or was there some help here?

0

🤺JustKen

1 week ago

(Just FYI this is extremely, extremely likely to go No, barring explosive new information, and you should not trade based off people in the comments trying to pump their bags)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

september 30 of course. And I think the beginning of the invasion on the 30th is now very clear, even for people who have problems interpreting political events and communication from rulers such as Domer.

1

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

There was already plenty of information before the end of the market that an invasion was taking place and many media outlets called it that directly. Several media outlets even made fun of the term “limited ground offensive” by Israel. Domer argued in the venezuela market that it was okay to wait and see. That's okay here too and by now at the latest everyone should see the invasion (which every intelligent person already saw on October 30th)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

There was already plenty of information before the end of the market that an invasion was taking place and many media outlets called it that directly. Several media outlets even made fun of the term “limited ground offensive” by Israel. Domer argued in the venezuela market that it was okay to wait and see. That's okay here too and by now at the latest everyone should see the invasion (which every intelligent person already saw on October 30th)

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used

5

🤺JustKen

1 week ago

Reminder that the crucial piece of information is from the UN, who said on October 1st: "The information [the UN peacekeepers] have and they've received ... is that they've seen sporadic incursions by the IDF," Dujarric said. "They have not witnessed a full-scale invasion."

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

So you're not an opera singer because you can't sing (except here in the comments, you sing a lot), you luckily binked 8th place in the WSOP and act like consistently beating MTTS/CGs isn't significantly more challenging and now you're focusing on ripping off little people who put a few dollars on bets and are stupid enough to think they'll get paid out when the event happens. INTERESTING

0

🤺JustKen

1 week ago

(Just FYI this is extremely, extremely likely to go No, barring explosive new information, and you should not trade based off people in the comments trying to pump their bags)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

chill "NIGGA"

0

NIGGA

1 week ago

may God bless you

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

hey guys, take a look at my funny picture. Markets are the best reflection of reality and UMA is a truth machine!! https://imgur.com/a/LHDxBHs

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

By the way, Domer never comments on such markets which are dominated by screaming bunnies, and certainly not with a serious, unironic post. Perhaps he is still a little afraid that someone will decide to end this psyop at the last moment?

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

grüße aus schleswig holstein bruder glgl

1

Foreseeable.

1 week ago

sooooo you are german? Best from Berlin! :D

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Psychoanalysis is considered a pseudo-science these days, but I can't help but believe that projection is a true concept after all.

1

🤺JustKen

1 week ago

(Just FYI this is extremely, extremely likely to go No, barring explosive new information, and you should not trade based off people in the comments trying to pump their bags)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

hey guys, take a look at my funny picture. Markets are the best reflection of reality and UMA is a truth machine https://imgur.com/a/LHDxBHs

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

This market should be traded just a few cents higher than the September market; maybe Israel will invade Lebanon, you never know, but it's probably not likely, right??

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

What do you mean? They have previously said that they want to restore the UN resolution, how are their actions any different from the previous statement?

0

h00r11z11n2003

1 week ago

erm. no. because it wasn't clear by september 30th that israel's military operations in lebanon were intended to establish control. in the days since, and in the days to come, it has become and will become clearer. not rocket science

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

It must be proposed again and voted on again.

0

duckduck

1 week ago

When tf will this resolve?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

domer musst be a muslim, because he loves Taqiyya too

0

HsB34sgg

1 week ago

Hassan Nasrallah is hiding out with Elvis. The Israelis lie all the time! Taqiyya!!!

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

So it's like, we're just going in for a few raids and then oops, now it's become an invasion, nobody could have known?

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

If the September market is no, shouldn't this market also be resolved to no? If not, what is the reasoning? the rules clearly state “if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control”, are you telling me that they are now suddenly stumbling into the invasion?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

If the September market is no, shouldn't this market also be resolved to no? If not, what is the reasoning? the rules clearly state “if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control”, are you telling me that they are now suddenly stumbling into the invasion?

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

what do they have to lose now? You have 92c/unit to lose

2

Smashtouille

1 week ago

yess holders holding on to nothing lmao

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

"Buy Market icon Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? Yes 8¢ 4,879 shares $365.89 6 minutes ago"

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

....or the scammers have been on the cheap side as usual. but that can't be, you're on the cheap side too hahaha

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

@JustScam: usually the screamers are always on the side that is cheaper for maximum gains. The flip has only recently taken place. The tin foil hats were on the expensive side this time.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

@JustScam: usually the screamers are always on the side that is cheaper for maximum gains. The flip has only recently taken place. The tin foil hats were on the expensive side this time.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Such a pathetic attempt to categorize this market here as: the screamers again, who can't accept that they lost the bet regularly. Let's just ignore the fact that many intelligent people here previously bet on yes and certainly didn't change their minds because they suddenly realized that Israel didn't invade Lebanon. They realized something else.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

One must be funny and not want to be

0

ItCantBeTrollBoy

1 week ago

Market manipulation.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

But JustScam, would you like to reveal your thought process now or is that too embarrassing? But in the end it doesn't matter, you won the bet fair and square, don't let me spoil it for you.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

This joke works to some extent because, as with the Democrats, UMA whales have a lot of votes.

1

MyLossIsYourGain

1 week ago

Mail-in votes are being dumped

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

The joke doesn't work here because it implies that no is the actual correct resolution, which is not the case.

1

🤺JustKen

1 week ago

STOP THE COUNT!!!!!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

There is a 45% chance that Israel invaded Lebanon on September 30th! I'm a big believer in prediction markets

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

du bsit zu dumm umzuverstehen, dass ich das schon verstanden habe. nicht umsonst habe einiges verkauft. schade um deine weggesoffenen hirnzellen, die kommen im Gegensatz zu meinem Geld nicht wiederrein :/

0

Kobafix

1 week ago

Wir haben dich tausend mal gewarnt aber dein gigantisches ego wollte einfach Recht behalten. Wenn du nicht verstehst wie der Markt verstehst halte dich einfach fern.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Look at all these disgusting vultures. All the notorious cheaters are here, stunning.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

I think the saying has never been more appropriate: You either die a hero, or you live long enough to see yourself become the villain.

1

n/a

1 week ago

Domer used to be a legendary bettor who got the hardest bets right. Now, his only source of profit is liquidity rewards, early execution, and scam resolutions through his Twitter cult. He knows the first two sources will die soon as bots take over. So he is fully focusing on the third -- i.e., scamming resolutions. What a sad fall!

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

JustScam, now that you've ripped me off like a hooker rips off her john, would you care to explain why you bet no? You can't seriously have ignored all the signs of war, thinking it was a bluff by Israel? Who should have folded to the bluff after they killed the whole leadership of Hezbollah? The prime minister of Lebanon? They know he has no control over his own place. And don't pretend you're not reading this.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

50% is still overvalued. There are basically only 2 Uma whales that need to be convinced by JustScam. Reality has de facto no relevance here, it is 100% a bet on the outcome of the Uma vote.

2

n/a

1 week ago

This at 50% is insane

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

I see myself a bit like the captain of the Titanic. It's an honor to go down with my Yes Shares. Better than winning without decency.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

The truth here is uninteresting, JustScam has lost several major bets recently, financially he is still doing well but his ego is so bruised that he now has to cheat this market.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

How high is your current blood alcohol level?

0

Kobafix

1 week ago

Don't pretend like we warned you several times that chad was inflating the price of yes. Deal with it.

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office Cont.

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Who likes musicals? Lady gaga's peak was 10 years ago

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

And some son of a bitch still calls that having integrity LOL

1

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Israel prepares for war for almost two weeks, calls up reservists, moves tanks and other weapons of war to the border with Lebanon. No-holders: lol nothing ever happens, they can't do that. Israel invades Lebanon. No-holders: Fuck off we won the bet

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Israel prepares for war for almost two weeks, calls up reservists, moves tanks and other weapons of war to the border with Lebanon. No-holders: lol nothing ever happens, they can't do that. Israel invades Lebanon. No-holders: Fuck off we won the bet

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Israel prepares for war for almost two weeks, calls up reservists, moves tanks and other weapons of war to the border with Lebanon. No-holders: lol nothing ever happens, they can't do that. Israel invades Lebanon. No-holder: Fuck off we won the bet

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

He's less sleazy than you. He at least admits that what's happening here is wrong.

0

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

1 week ago

Yep welcome to polymarket this guy is a scumbag of the highest order

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

at least we can agree on something

0

n/a

1 week ago

This market fixation just shows how much there's to improve on polymarket's side. These unclear market Enter/Invade are too poorly defined. It's not a market about information anymore but about semantic. Depending on semantic, each side can win

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Shayne Coplan belongs in prison. With his feminine face, he will also enjoy a lot of sex in prison

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

I recommend that you do a lot of sports and eat greens. This way, you may not become smarter, but you will preserve what you have a little longer, and you need it urgently

0

duckduck

1 week ago

Paying for reading comprehension lessons for YEs buyers

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

When two people decide whether you will see your money again or not, then that is not an investment but stupidity. You worthless scum

0

semi

1 week ago

bro you gotta invest more than this with this many comments

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Brother, stop wasting your money here. One of us is a fool, and it’s not me

0

duckduck

1 week ago

Hilarious. Just showing them you dont know how to read

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

You're 40k in the red and just talking garbage. Pay out and never visit the site again, that's how you'll make the most money,

0

NorTrader

1 week ago

Markets like this is the ultimate test for whether or not Polymarket will be the go-to provider for event betting going forward. This one is obviously one of the toughest to grade.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

i'm looking on the bright side. i don't have much money left in this bet. if i lose here, i'll make a collage of all the invasion headlines and the result no here. if anyone ever asks about polymarkt i'll show them this funny collage

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

I'll give you a case of beer after I slip over your mom.

1

Kobafix

1 week ago

I'll give him 400$ off my profit if he shuts it

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

halt die fresse du wertloser alki

0

Kobafix

1 week ago

wohhw wohhw woohw look how sold

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Yes, and how is that an argument now? I kept some shares on principle and didn't buy “no”. But I know that I will most likely lose the bet now. Not because Israel didn't invade Lebanon on the 30th, but because in a Discord backroom 2 Uma Wale have been besieged for so long that it's now a no.

0

n/a

1 week ago

bro sold most his 'Yes' shares after all the smack he was talking to 'No' holders loolo

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Fraudsters often feel superior to their victims, otherwise the victims would not have become their victims, in their logic. But the question is, if the fraudster is so smart, why does he have to make money from fraud?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Rozi, how much money did you make with scam markets? 90% of your profits like car? We both know you're not smart.

0

rozi

1 week ago

Why would anyone buy No in this market? Because Israel doesn't want to establish control - is that the argument? They are already controlling areas near Maroun Al Ras el for example. Just curious 🤔🙂

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Es sieht so aus als ob in einem Discord Hinterzimmer eine Entscheidung gefällt wurde. 50Pence ist der letzte hier mit kleiner ja position alle anderen sind nicht mehr auf ja. was für ein betrug

0

x3x3

1 week ago

"The IDF says another division is being deployed to southern Lebanon for ground operations against Hezbollah. The 36th Division is now joining the 98th Division, which had entered Lebanon on Monday night."

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Garbage in garbage out

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

You are incredibly stupid. You can also already see the bias in the reply by your stupid prompt. It looks like no wins, but EVERYONE here knows that's not right. But anonymous on the internet you have no shame

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Are you interested in an IQ test?

1

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

1 week ago

After reading through every single comment on this market I can announce that idiots own all the Yes. Also All idiots on the No side. congrats everyone we are all morans!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Rozi, how much money did you make with scam markets? 90% of your profits like car?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

You are incredibly stupid. You can also already see the bias in the reply by your stupid prompt. It looks like no wins, but EVERYONE here knows that's not right. But anonymous on the internet you have no shame

1

Kobafix

1 week ago

look what ChatGPT is telling me : Yes, I'm 100% confident that the Polymarket should resolve as "No." Even though Israel conducted ground operations in Lebanon and Israeli soldiers lost their lives, the official statements from Israel confirm that these operations were solely aimed at neutralizing Hezbollah's military infrastructure, not at occupying or controlling territory. Israel’s military actions were defensive, targeting Hezbollah’s tunnels and weapons caches to counter ongoing threats, without any intention of territorial control​(The Times of Israel )​(Jewish Press )​(The Times of Israel ). The Polymarket's criteria require evidence of an intent to establish control over parts of Lebanon, which is clearly not the case here. Thus, the market should resolve to "No."

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

He is in the red here, don't think too much about his words, after all he doesn't think before he writes or bets.

0

Erfank

1 week ago

what do u mean?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Isn't it funny that all events are already in the past? This market is effectively a market, whether UMA swallows the lie of JustScam or whether the two UMA whales have decency.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

I don't know, but the intruder might call it a limited robbery.

1

BitcoinerRetired

1 week ago

Lol, they have video recording of soldiers inside Lebanon. It isn't a invasion? If someone enter your home without you inviting him, it isn't a invasion?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Bro, I could have switched sides a long time ago. As a no holder you can win even more, but no is simply a lie.

1

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Your recognition of your own guilt does not free you from it. But at least you still have some residual decency.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Your recognition of your own guilt does not free you from it. But at least you still have some residual decency.

0

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

1 week ago

Imma say it one time. this uma process is idiotic and many people will lose money even after their fate is sealed. if you dont know what happens do not trade, this is my disclaimer to provide moral cover for what happens next.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Because of course we both know that in real life you call it an invasion and not limited raids. But in real life you also have a reputation to lose and lying won't get you any money. Integrity *cough* *cough*

0

rozi

1 week ago

OK, OK doglover69.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

You say that, contrary to an overwhelming media consensus, there was no invasion and I'm the conspiracy theorist? I think that's called projection. And now that we've established that you're projecting, I also think your accusation of lacking integrity backfires on you.

0

rozi

1 week ago

No man, this market is a Yes. September market is a No. Don't create conspiracy theories just to suit yourself.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Denial is also a very typical behavior of alcoholics

0

Kobafix

1 week ago

Im Just a casual lecker Bierchen enjoyer and not an alcoholic

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

no

0

Kobafix

1 week ago

can you be my friend please ? :(

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

It is very typical behavior of alcoholics to look down on others who are supposedly still below them. You've been through a lot of shame and humiliation, go to rehab and heal.

0

Kobafix

1 week ago

Can someone please propose a bet on discord if HsB34sgg is on crack or meth?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Alcoholics rarely have friends, it's never too late to get your life on a better track

0

Kobafix

1 week ago

Im telling my dogs that Israel did in fact not invade

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Just out of curiosity, dear No holders, when you talk to friends or family about the war, do you also say: um, actually Israel didn't invade Lebanon or do you drop the bullshit?

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

And it's the same scam every time: buy the cheaper side and come up with dubious and convoluted arguments to support your point of view. It doesn't have to work often, if his UMA buddies only wave him through every fourth time, that's enough to print money.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

JustScam is a mangy shyster who has licked blood from the Venezuela market he rigged and now tries his scam on every market.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

u lost 3k on this site, Freud would call this "projection"

0

Kobafix

1 week ago

Bro you sold all your shares just to get in again. Get your gambling addiction under control

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

shut up fuckface

0

n/a

1 week ago

will you shut the hell up, you're just spamming and you've literally been at it for almost 48 hours

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Just because the event had to take place in the period up to October 1 does not mean that the evidence must also come from this period. The Venezuelan election was also resolved long after Maduro was crowned the winner. There was already enough evidence on October 1, but it is now very clear.

0

rozi

1 week ago

Because that would mean that the voters felt that there was not enough evidence for Yes by the time of the resolution being proposed. Given that no more new information in favor of Yes came in that little time window between the resolution proposal and midnight of Sep 30, P4 means that in the next vote we will see a No. In other words, P4 is a formality that needs to be done before we get a No. To sum up, Yes is a Yes, and Too Early (P4) will be followed by a No.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Writing drunk reduces the likelihood of anything meaningful coming out of it.

0

Kobafix

1 week ago

The decision will 100% be P4 to early, as it should.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

"AP says they didn't see any troops cross the border"

0

Master-bettor

1 week ago

he said right afterwards they were small targeted raids.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

That was a spontaneous action, on the 30th it was just small raids with 14000 men and now it has escalated unforeseeably

0

x3x3

1 week ago

"The IDF says another division is being deployed to southern Lebanon for ground operations against Hezbollah. The 36th Division is now joining the 98th Division, which had entered Lebanon on Monday night."

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Although he's holding “YES” here, I don't want to withhold JustScam's argument for your side, dear No Holders: "Have I lost my mind? What is the evidence they invaded? IDF says no invasion, AP says they didn't see any troops cross the border, and Hezbollah says they didn't invade.

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

All no-holders should know that all whales are well connected in Discord with the Uma whales. They know each other, they appreciate each other and they help each other.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

if you have reading comprehension - yes

5

NUTZILLA

1 week ago

does it say anything about IDF's intention to control any portion of Lebanon?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

yes and all the media are calling it an invasion, nationally and internationally. must be a conspiracy against the no bros

0

addicts

1 week ago

they really changed the Wikipedia title from "ground operation" to "invasion"

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

yes, he does not want to say it

0

Cedarville

1 week ago

oh my god bro just say the word abortion more. literally every synonym except abortion

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

youre coping, he has literally only 1 share

0

n/a

1 week ago

no psyop just facts , you're coping

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

@duckduck yes

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

All the media outlets call it an invasion

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

I'm also not arguing flat earthlings about whether the earth is flat or round. Again, all the media have called it an invasion.

1

n/a

1 week ago

and the attack from Iran adds another crazy wrinkle..

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

No, of course it can no longer go in both directions. The invasion has already happened. So much for the truth

4

n/a

1 week ago

Truth is this could still go either way, esp. with this from CNN a few hours ago "an Israeli security official told reporters on condition of anonymity Tuesday morning that the operation does not amount to an invasion or incursion, describing it instead as “localized raids” that are “very limited in scope and in the area of operation.” https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/01/middleeast/israel-ground-incursion-lebanon-explainer-intl-hnk/index.html

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

All the media outlets call it an invasion

0

n/a

1 week ago

I was watching like a hawk, I think it's a no obviously, though by some arguments could be 50/50 and no way in hell it's a clear yes given the latest info from CNN, WSJ, UN, Lebanese army etc etc

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Reality doesn't change because you lie. There was a big consensus in the media that it's an invasion

0

n/a

1 week ago

This contention is not logical because things can happen in October that didn't occur in September. As of right now, neither Sept or Nov are obvious yeses, quite the contrary more and more mainstream sources are pointing at limited incursions vs invasion.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

No, there was no intention to control Ukrainian territory. Putin wanted to defeat the Nazis and liberate the independent republics, read the articles from back then again. I also recommend reading the definitions of control and occupation, they are different things.

0

n/a

1 week ago

There was the clear intention to control part of the Ukraine. Not all violent incursions are invasions.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Just out of curiosity, how was the Russia-Ukraine market solved back then, if there was one? After all, there was never an invasion, it was just a special operation.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

"some media" like... almost all of them!?

2

n/a

1 week ago

Way too early for all the Yeses to declare victory on this, the Israelis and some media are calling it a limited incursion with specific goals. Some media are using the word "invasion" but are not sufficiently backing it up. And Lebanese army and UN are saying they don't see invasion. Establish control, invasion are not met IMO

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Limited incursion with only 14000 men. suuuureeeeee

4

n/a

1 week ago

Way too early for all the Yeses to declare victory on this, the Israelis and some media are calling it a limited incursion with specific goals. Some media are using the word "invasion" but are not sufficiently backing it up. And Lebanese army and UN are saying they don't see invasion. Establish control, invasion are not met IMO

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

“But there are two markets, one for invasion and one for entry!” Yes, and both can be solved with yes, since they are not logically mutually exclusive, genius. On the contrary, they are strongly correlated and you need to make very good arguments that one should be solved with yes and the other with no

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

beware antisemtic german media: If you consult the dictionary, we speak of an invasion when enemy military units advance on foreign territory. So far, so clear. When asked what distinguishes an invasion from a “localized ground attack”, there are two answers: “a lot” is one answer, and “nothing at all” is the other. After weeks of bloody escalation and despite loud warnings from all over the world, the Israeli military has now launched such “localized and targeted ground attacks” in southern Lebanon. The armed forces' statement went on to say that these attacks were based on precise intelligence information about Hezbollah's infrastructure and targeted villages near the border. Can “ground attack” simply be used as a synonym for “invasion”? This is not the first time in recent wars that a phrase has been used to whitewash or disguise the actual (or symbolic, cross-border) scale of the actions or the motives of the actor involved. But when synonyms disguise and trivialize, they are no longer synonyms. Then they are euphemisms.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

“But there are two markets, one for invasion and one for entry!” Yes, and both can be solved with yes, since they are not logically mutually exclusive, genius. On the contrary, they are strongly correlated and you need to make very good arguments that one should be solved with yes and the other with no

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Yes, and both can be solved with yes, since they are not logically mutually exclusive, genius. On the contrary, they are strongly correlated and you need to make very good arguments that one should be solved with yes and the other with no

0

n/a

1 week ago

israel entering lebanon and israel invading lebanon are two different markets for a reason

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

https://www.nytimes.com/article/israel-lebanon-invasion-map.html

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

https://www.sueddeutsche.de/meinung/israel-libanon-invasion-bodenangriffe-lexikon-lux.KXyNhfepMF34wABdvp35pT

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

https://www.sueddeutsche.de/meinung/israel-libanon-invasion-bodenangriffe-lexikon-lux.KXyNhfepMF34wABdvp35pT

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Why are all media organizations talking about an invasion? The “Süddeutsche Zeitung” even takes it to the extreme and mocks the Israeli euphemisms for the invasion.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Why are all media organizations talking about an invasion? The “Süddeutsche Zeitung” even takes it to the extreme and mocks the Israeli euphemisms for the invasion.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

"Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon

0

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

1 week ago

You didnt bet on whether troops would enter lebanon. That is another market that is currently at 99%. This market is for an invasion. Your friend will understand

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

“JustKen” moves the markets single-handedly. If he bets on one side, many others follow, such as Car. In this respect, something has changed, everyone now trusts him to push it through.

0

n/a

1 week ago

I seriously dont get why the market drops. The facts are clear and the dispute over the interpretation of the requirements has stayed the same since yesterday. What new evidence drives the market movement?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

I was talking to a friend the other day about whether Israel would go into Lebanon and told him that I had bet on it. Next time I see him I'll have to tell him that I lost the bet because, contrary to media reports, Israel didn't go into Lebanon. LOL

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

michi, consensus of credible reporting, i wont use google for you, do it yourself

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

The existence of a secondary market does not matter for the interpretation. 'Car' wanted it and got it. The 'Forces enter Lebanon' market should have been resolved to 'Yes' already on the morning of the 30th. It is a fake argument

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

It is also not about making Israel bigger or occupying parts of Lebanon. You show very nicely that the No side is factually wrong.

0

eaglioneth

1 week ago

1. If invasion and entering was same, we had only one predication page about it, there is literally 2 seperated page for it, one for invasion, another for entering. 2. Some yes holders say IDF goal is to create a buffer zone, ok, I’m agree with you, but did they create it before September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET? No 3. Even buffer zone is not as same as invasion, Israel doesn’t want to make Israel bigger by invading Lebanon, they want to remove Lebanon from Hezbollah, there was a video that lebanon army let IDF to enter lebanon, because both sides know their enemy is hezbollah. where is hezbollah? south of lebanon, where Israel want to create buffer zone, to make a safe zone between Israel borders and Litani river.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

The existence of a secondary market does not matter for the interpretation. 'Car' wanted it and got it. The 'Forces enter Lebanon' market should have been resolved to 'Yes' already on the morning of the 30th. It is a fake argument

1

eaglioneth

1 week ago

1. If invasion and entering was same, we had only one predication page about it, there is literally 2 seperated page for it, one for invasion, another for entering. 2. Some yes holders say IDF goal is to create a buffer zone, ok, I’m agree with you, but did they create it before September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET? No 3. Even buffer zone is not as same as invasion, Israel doesn’t want to make Israel bigger by invading Lebanon, they want to remove Lebanon from Hezbollah, there was a video that lebanon army let IDF to enter lebanon, because both sides know their enemy is hezbollah. where is hezbollah? south of lebanon, where Israel want to create buffer zone, to make a safe zone between Israel borders and Litani river.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

"arguments"

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

That wasn't a rhetorical question, are there any more arguments?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

That wasn't a rhetorical question, are there any more arguments?

0

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

So the only argument is that the Gaza market would also be dissolved like that back then? Yes, it is currently being traded at 60 because Domer does not understand the difference between the situation in Gaza and Lebanon? Aside from the Gaza market, yes, it is factually correct, and it is only a matter of requesting a supposed consistency (which is based on ignorance).

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

So the only argument is that the Gaza market would also be dissolved like that back then? Yes, it is currently being traded at 60 because Domer does not understand the difference between the situation in Gaza and Lebanon? Aside from the Gaza market, yes, it is factually correct, and it is only a matter of requesting a supposed consistency (which is based on ignorance).

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

What kind of stupid question is that? Why isn't the market at 1C? After all, nothing has happened

1

n/a

1 week ago

why isn’t the market at 99 then?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

What Car actually wanted to say is that the whole world is talking about the ground invasion to drive Hezbollah out of the area. Very strangely expressed by him.

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

This is the great wealth redistribution that AOC always dreams of.

2

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

This is Armageddon for Poly Wales. This is your gamestop, all your wealth will be burned in this market, dear whales.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

This is Armageddon for Poly Wales. This is your gamestop, all your wealth will be burned in this market, dear whales.

8

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

buy more. if 10c is the fair price you should buy way more

0

rozi

1 week ago

This market would trade 5-15 for a Yes if it wasn't for Chad. I'm not taking more risks here, but i do think it's a great opportunity for potential money from Mr Chad.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

that wouldn't surprise anyone, but for once you're right

0

Car

1 week ago

should I sell

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

When I said that there were still cheap nos in this market, it was a joke. What is going on here, please?

0

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

nothing ever happens!?

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Yes, do it. Collect evidence and present it. What's happening here is ridiculous

0

n/a

1 week ago

If y'all wanna dispute this, bring it on -- I look forward to destroying you on the UMA discord.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Does it read like gaining control, don't you think?

0

n/a

1 week ago

That is, if the first market is about the fact that Israeli troops entered Lebanon, and the second one is about the control of some territories, we need confirmation of this fact from a reliable source. Otherwise there is no difference in these markets, if we simply take as “control” the fact that the foot of an Israeli soldier stands on the land of Lebanon, then he controls a part of it. It can't be so.