#675
Rank
69
Comments
26
Likes Received
280
Likes Given
poly-murderers
8 months ago
i got you UmaLumpaDolphin
Ferguson,Turd
8 months ago
10 minute reminder the vote has been rigged and if your shares are red u have lost
poly-murderers
8 months ago
yes too
Axaos
8 months ago
No is an answer
poly-murderers
8 months ago
what's your UMA wallet?
Ferguson,Turd
8 months ago
Not only did me and the boyz rig this vote we are openly telling you it is rigged
poly-murderers
8 months ago
@Vulture damn you really are not the sharpest knife in the drawer. can't believe you put CEO and SEC in the same sentence
Ferguson,Turd
8 months ago
Rememebr if you own NO shares to NOT redeem your shares and to prepare class action lawsuits, CFTC complaints, and better business bureau filings
poly-murderers
8 months ago
ahahah, exploit the market inefficiency, do it. The more you Yes guys clearly state like you do that the UMA voting system is rigged, the more you harm the hand that feeds you. This isn;t twitter big boy, this is real shit with real consequences. we talk about potnetial jail time for polymarket's officials
debased
8 months ago
no folks for capital effiency you can send your money directly to our accounts. promise we will pay back if uma resolves this to no
poly-murderers
8 months ago
and what if your joke is read by a dude who knows someone working at the SEC? just imagine..
Ferguson,Turd
8 months ago
Rememebr if you own NO shares to NOT redeem your shares and to prepare class action lawsuits, CFTC complaints, and better business bureau filings
poly-murderers
8 months ago
strange that all the people who made money (above hundred k's) on Polymarket are somehow noticed on controversial markets resolution.. we will witness a "generational money" transfer. what's your IP adress? i just want to verify something concerning market manipulation
Ferguson,Turd
8 months ago
Fun fact the top 10 NO holders on this position have never made money gambling on poly lmfao.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
bro said "use common sense" and proceeds to write down the comment he wrote
CryptoBetMarkets
8 months ago
https://www.worldlibertyfinancial.com/intl/token-sale
poly-murderers
8 months ago
do you want to be a part of a major attack case towards PM's fraud?
Butterpickledhead
8 months ago
The market in Polymarket is structured in a way where big money rules, and this creates a feeling that the odds are not always fair. If that's the case, I feel it might be less worth my investment. If it's all based on who has more money, it sounds like a scam in the guise of an open betting market
poly-murderers
8 months ago
based on what arguments? you deep-Yes guys only make jokes. you're not resting any case. you are just using a market inefficiency at your own will thinking that the SEC is just some bullshit regulation that never acts on "small investors". Keep on making jokes, no worries, as an institutional trader i'm already laughing about what's coming PM's asses and the other big whales that think acting like you didn't know you were doing market manipulation. Unlike general court of law, when a trade suspected of fraud and insider trading, you are not "unfaulty until proven otherwise", it's another deontology that applies here
Skip-Earthwax
8 months ago
I'm scared. Let's call it 50/50 p3
poly-murderers
8 months ago
you're right, make some jokes and don't even try to justify anything about your positions in each manipulated markets. your record is automatically saved. it just takes us a click on a run button on VSC to do so. you'll hear back from that if you're patient enough
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
FYI to No holders, there is an alternate and easier way to bet No on this. So let's say you have $100 that you want to put on No, instead of buying the shares in this market, what you have to do is turn off your phone and computer, take the $100 from your wallet, and put it directly into the trash.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
yes, hence why we are gathering all evidences to take PM to court for fraud and blatant market manipulation.
ciderpunk
8 months ago
The only chance to get rekt on "NO" bet is to get rugged by whoever making decisions on proposed outcomes. It`s not the bet on "coin launched by trump b4 election or not", its the bet that shows either Polymarket is decentralized structure or not.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
are you implying that Polymarket is fraudulous and will not consider the resolution dispute and stick to their first decision they made? that all that is just glitters and sparkles for the SEC's eyes, or you think they are trying to improve a little bit more their decentralized resolution process because years of jail time awaits for them if it keeps going this way? Ah yeah.. i am trying to change the mind of someone putting 10k at 99c... whatever i say your confirmation bias will answer back to me
tsybka
8 months ago
No HODLERS - Imagine you're insane and just throwing money out the window.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
report this dude guys
JohnDeere
8 months ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doablle https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1846009714892529933
poly-murderers
8 months ago
fair enough. people gets older, don't grow up. Poor kids of yours, a father figure like that is a real challenge to start your life with
Mountainman
8 months ago
I ran this market up 3 times. Every single time the "NO" holders were dumber than before... but this groups exceeds the last batches by a very large margin. You guys deserve to lose all of your money. Single digit IQ arguments.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
let's goooo
poly-murderers
8 months ago
fair enough if thta's what you are going for. i thought you were willing to discuss the frauds and act on it. don't you see the ineficiency unfolding in front of you with this market resolution?
Meow.Zedong
8 months ago
I have returned and bought shares just to say this to the no holder: FUCK YOU GUYS
poly-murderers
8 months ago
why is that so?
Meow.Zedong
8 months ago
I have returned and bought shares just to say this to the no holder: FUCK YOU GUYS
poly-murderers
8 months ago
you can do it as well
Sombie
8 months ago
someone open ticket to polymarket discord to explain, this is bad logic
poly-murderers
8 months ago
Then you go on #evidence-rationale and click on the thread started by Brandon about this exact market
poly-murderers
8 months ago
If you want to bring your view on the situation, whatever your reading of it: https://discord.gg/uma
poly-murderers
8 months ago
If you want to bring your view on the situation, whatever your reading of it: https://discord.gg/uma
poly-murderers
8 months ago
which means? we wait till the election? 50/50? No?
0x5Cc3b8006a376C5d861f0fB9c21CaFc6498423B3-1726170861987
8 months ago
no, the outcome would have to be 'too early'
poly-murderers
8 months ago
well if the outocme i sno it's based on the fact that Trump is purely used as a brand name, and not really really involved in the deployment of the token. So actually, even if the coin deploys, it is a matter of Trump's position in the coin. And this is what is being discussed rn i think
stanley911
8 months ago
if the final outcome is no, will the market continue till November 4th?
poly-murderers
8 months ago
https://www.ft.com/content/32e979f0-0551-4ad4-955e-abce1528e658?shareType=nongift
poly-murderers
8 months ago
it is not too late. i would advise you to buy Yes if you want to get a positive return from it ;)
.samir
8 months ago
Is it too late to buy? Or should I do it?
poly-murderers
8 months ago
yuuupppppp, funny UMA whales have all interests in going to hell after they die. not much will stop them.. besides a nice lawsuit coming their asses
Mountainman
8 months ago
You are going to make a windfall, and you held the whole time, without trading like a madman like me. Much deserved win. With that being said they are doing a call the day before launch, and the team is aware of this market. I still think we resolve YES but I wouldn't be suprised with some last second fuckery/FUD.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
it does seem unreasonable to publish and make it after the election. business is business
junjiito
8 months ago
https://jrelibrary.com/upcoming-guests/ seems trump hasn't made it onto the upcoming guestlist yet and a lot of people already are. think it'll be pretty close re: if trump will be able to get onto the podcast before the election (esp. since joe only uploads tuesdays through fridays, and it will take some days to edit the episode), even if it is confirmed to happen eventually.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
i am keeping an eye on this market to use as an eventual evidence for the coming lawsuit against polymarket. we are a group taking one due to market manipulation. uma can think they are safe, we are 30 so far. I assume if this market will resolve uncorrectly, we will be a bit more ;)
poly-murderers
8 months ago
even though the data feed stopped yesterday at 00, so the dice are thrown
Shihouse
8 months ago
when this shit updatin
poly-murderers
8 months ago
tuesday i think, when the billboard hot100 officially drops
Shihouse
8 months ago
when this shit updatin
poly-murderers
8 months ago
how come the prices are so low?
poly-murderers
8 months ago
dont overthink it you're fine
MrCalchas
8 months ago
I'm not sure I understand what the "additional context" means. so it's not this past week chart but the next?
poly-murderers
8 months ago
yeah was an easy call
BIGFUCKING8TM
8 months ago
I called these EXACT new odds on my twitter (@thefucking8tm) thought some people might want to know. this was too easy of a beat when you really break it down.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
yeah, im just regretting being too lazy to put more money on my account few days ago..
Car
8 months ago
It already has more streams on Spotify than some artists that are at place 70-90.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
just for the last statement you should give your profit to charity
figman
8 months ago
It's been the #1 trending song on Youtube all week... it's over. My only regret? Not buying more YES. KSI the best rapper ever.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
ahaha, fair enough
fhantombets
8 months ago
Won too much this week, had to give some back to the people
poly-murderers
8 months ago
XD
Car
8 months ago
Whats worse? Fhantoms trade in this market or this song?👇
poly-murderers
8 months ago
can you justify your buying of 1k No, i'm interested :)
Secret14thKey
8 months ago
btw i heard billboard also uses polymarket data so you should buy more yes
poly-murderers
8 months ago
https://www.officialcharts.com/songs/ksi-ft-trippie-redd-thick-of-it/
poly-murderers
8 months ago
you guys know that spotify blocks the stream counts after few plays in a row? same for apple music and youtbe music and Tidal and so on..?
poly-murderers
8 months ago
yep, even if there's money, it's just a game of information
fhantombets
8 months ago
Good luck all
poly-murderers
8 months ago
and this is just talking about yesterday
0xDa3Dc3aaAC020017306f1554baFA259539FAc0C6-1723953511745
8 months ago
https://x.com/talkofthecharts/status/1844435804099313752?s=46
poly-murderers
8 months ago
braindead comment
Apsalar
8 months ago
New.Jeans and fhantombets as the top holders for NO... good luck, babe!
poly-murderers
8 months ago
https://www.instagram.com/p/DA5MZlNRa1G/
poly-murderers
8 months ago
imagine this youtubeur song does not have a single swear words in it, is super catchy and is definetely a young teenager type of song parents would love to let their kids listen to in a car trip.. you did not think about checking the radio publishing data, riiiight.....? :) i did
BlitzschnellCapitalAdvisorsLLP
8 months ago
Please read how billboard streams are calculated. Each spotify "stream" is only counted as .3 plays. Same with youtube views. Those are counted as .25 of a "play". Radio and purchases are 1 to 1. So he needs A LOT more streams to even get close. Think about it; otherwise youtube views would completely take over the Billboard charts.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
what matters is to compare things with the comparable. If i compare the streams of A and the streams of B. I dont give a shit that they divide by 3, it's an increasing monotonous operation, so the comparison still holds. use some basic math knowledge to understand that you're not eating with this comment
BlitzschnellCapitalAdvisorsLLP
8 months ago
Please read how billboard streams are calculated. Each spotify "stream" is only counted as .3 plays. Same with youtube views. Those are counted as .25 of a "play". Radio and purchases are 1 to 1. So he needs A LOT more streams to even get close. Think about it; otherwise youtube views would completely take over the Billboard charts.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
yeah they don't right ;). Billboard counts plays like that: top 100 amount of streams of the week (combined youtube, youtube music, spotify, apple music, deezer, covers, X, Facebook and so on.. and also the videos/audios that takes the original audio of the song). So we are clearly beyond 20M stream by tomorrow. I do believe (no shit that's my position) that the Yes should be much higher, beyond 0.5. Simply due to the fact that there is no bad advertising. Now my boy, you just go make an analysis with the average top 100 of bilboard debuts, and you will see that even if we stopped two days ago, it would match the historical trend. Now, of course, nothing is certain as there are other drops, it could turn out that ksi's song is ejected from the top 100. But so far, the performance he had done are within the 95% confidence interval of the billboard 100 since the update of their stream rules. You're welcome.
BlitzschnellCapitalAdvisorsLLP
8 months ago
Nah bro we're good they don't understand how billboard actually counts plays
poly-murderers
8 months ago
7 to 10h
khamzatborz
8 months ago
how many hours till landfall?
poly-murderers
8 months ago
why is it a once in a century storm when you've had category 3 storm hitting florida few times during that century? you're not the sharpest knife in the drawer mate. it's not because you use "physics" in your answer that it makes you a smarty pants
MisterDogTits
8 months ago
Have you taken physics? clearly not. The energy from X [wind] speed doesn't scale linearly at all. They evacuate the tampa bay region because its a flood zone and florida is a swamp not meant to withstand storms that are "once-a-century." Miami beach is sinking already from rising sea levels as is,
poly-murderers
8 months ago
https://zoom.earth/storms/milton-2024/
MisterDogTits
8 months ago
Buying cat4/5 STILL is insane. Are you not aware that all the news outlets just poorly paraphrase the daily advisories from the NHC? Max wind speed near eye AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST (not landfall) is cat 3 speeds. It's a tie between cat2/3 lmfao
poly-murderers
8 months ago
top 100 amount of streams of the week (combined youtube, youtube music, spotify, apple music, deezer, covers, X, Facebook and so on.. and also the videos/audios that takes the original audio of the song). So we are clearly beyond 20M stream by tomorrow. I do believe (no shit that's my position) that the Yes should be much higher, beyond 0.5. Simply due to the fact that there is no bad advertising
Ania-chan
8 months ago
Condition for top 100 BB is?
poly-murderers
8 months ago
of course, the amount of reaction videos on youtube is insane
Melle.ellem
8 months ago
Also does not really matter if people like it. with all this controversy it is probably getting streamed more.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
it says "debuts" so i assume it's first week has to be in the hot100 billboard
n/a
8 months ago
It doesn't specify when, right?
poly-murderers
8 months ago
? does not make sense
MrCalchas
8 months ago
maybe it's KSI who is pumping this... or at least trying.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
i'm not sure no, because the song dropped last friday, which means it will need to be the next weeks publication (as they gather information of streams from friday to thursday, i.e. from the 4th till the 10th and then publish it on Monday 14th)
BlitzschnellCapitalAdvisorsLLP
8 months ago
New charts drop in the next hour or so. Current date on top 100 is Oct 5 so we will know soon
poly-murderers
8 months ago
when is the new chart dropping? next monday?
poly-murderers
8 months ago
this is the end.. scandalous
poly-murderers
8 months ago
who's primo?
PolyRig-Fried
8 months ago
Keep spreading the gospel and never stop. Either 100% yes or PR nightmare. Primo is on a roll. Bet he's coding some analysis tool designed for this case. the votes_v_most() seems to be a product of today.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
factzzz
danieelvaz
8 months ago
Quem comprou boulos eh bom ir pagando noisssssss
poly-murderers
8 months ago
fair
McLarry
8 months ago
i'm looking on the bright side. i don't have much money left in this bet. if i lose here, i'll make a collage of all the invasion headlines and the result no here. if anyone ever asks about polymarkt i'll show them this funny collage
poly-murderers
8 months ago
This market fixation just shows how much there's to improve on polymarket's side. These unclear market Enter/Invade are too poorly defined. It's not a market about information anymore but about semantic. Depending on semantic, each side can win
poly-murderers
8 months ago
rare win from you on this market big dawg
McLarry
8 months ago
You are incredibly stupid. You can also already see the bias in the reply by your stupid prompt. It looks like no wins, but EVERYONE here knows that's not right. But anonymous on the internet you have no shame
poly-murderers
8 months ago
yeah, ill remember this market resolution
Ferguson,Turd
8 months ago
After reading through every single comment on this market I can announce that idiots own all the Yes. Also All idiots on the No side. congrats everyone we are all morans!
poly-murderers
8 months ago
yeah, or an irrational strong belief
nicoco89
8 months ago
market manipulation
poly-murderers
8 months ago
confirming what? they literally call the current operation - to this day - an "incursion"
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
CNN confirming!!! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk The Times of Israel confirmed, too!!!! https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-september-30-2024/ The Independent confirmed! https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion-war-leaders-iran-live-updates-b2621409.html The Telegraph confirmed!!! https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-inavsion-latest-news/ Forbes CONFIRMED!!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/09/30/israel-begins-ground-raids-in-southern-lebanon/ NPR confirmed!!! https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5133463/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-invasion Reuters confirmed!!!! https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/ Ground invasion: https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/ Why the ground invasion? https://inews.co.uk/news/world/israel-southern-lebanon-ground-operation-explained-3302508 They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
poly-murderers
8 months ago
you're being sarcastic right? or you truly think you are making a point here?
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Non-combative? Then where did all the top Hezbollah leaders disappear to? DisneyLand?
poly-murderers
8 months ago
It became an invasion because the military incursion did not go as well as they had planned. Plus, the preparation for it was very different. Israel didn’t spend weeks gathering the equipment and resources needed for a long-term operation. Russia did. What Israel is doing right now appears more like a blitz incursion to eliminate what they see as an immediate threat, rather than aiming to control Lebanon’s territory. From this point onward, it’s history, and it's not the topic of this market. It’s too early to categorize this specific incursion as an invasion because the preparation didn’t resemble one. Maybe in the coming days, Israel will deploy more troops and begin to establish itself in Lebanese territory, or perhaps Israel will achieve its objective (which likely involves a percentage of Hezbollah’s destruction) and withdraw shortly after.
McLarry
8 months ago
Just out of curiosity, how was the Russia-Ukraine market solved back then, if there was one? After all, there was never an invasion, it was just a special operation.
poly-murderers
8 months ago
you have several countries talking about a "special operation" in Ukraine. This is not surprising that some media could also call these raids invasion in the meaning of intrusion, entrance. This is not really in our hands anymore, UMA will decide and present their own arguments. This is not only a prediction market, it is first and foremost an information market!
McLarry
8 months ago
Why are all media organizations talking about an invasion? The “Süddeutsche Zeitung” even takes it to the extreme and mocks the Israeli euphemisms for the invasion.
poly-murderers
11 months ago
"For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn into or behind intended buffer zones, even if that zone is established on internationally recognized Palestinian territory." quite shady I admit it. people might be betting on the sentence uncertainty more than the title of the market
KiwiBetMan
1 year ago
Even with a ceasefire they're leaving some ground forces in some parts of Gaza - I don't see how this could possibly resolve yes.