#1391
Rank
24
Comments
14
Likes Received
38
Likes Given
Gastrader
8 months ago
I never ever stop out
Gastrader
8 months ago
Sounds very escalatory!
scottilicious
8 months ago
CNN: "n a statement released Thursday night, the prime minister’s office said that “Israel shares the aims of the U.S.-led initiative of enabling people along our northern border to return safely and securely to their homes.” “Israel appreciates the US efforts,” the statement said, and promised that discussions would continue “in the coming days.”
Gastrader
9 months ago
Haha, well this will teach me betting on something i dont know much about
gb_mg
9 months ago
Any updates?
Gastrader
9 months ago
Wow sounds incredibly dumb hedging your bet in a cheaper market.. what a clown
Justifax
9 months ago
lol Car is betting on invasion here - https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727187579318 With like 5 days left an Bibi going to NY that will very likely not payout. Really dumb trading.
Gastrader
9 months ago
One thing I've learned in these types of markets: the guys who are 24/7 on Twitter looking for clues or news are always overestimating the chances of war.
Gastrader
9 months ago
100% agreed, actually JPOW called me just now saying he will do just that
DogEaterOhio
9 months ago
BAWSAQ just predicted a payroll of 80k in sep. a 75 cut is the sane move.
Gastrader
9 months ago
Agreed. This website needs to be more strict in general with certain markets - or it won't survive.
Car
9 months ago
Israel could invade, blow the whole country up and kill people and this market wont resolve to YES. That one sentence fucks up the whole market. That is why I requested a new market with better rules:
Gastrader
9 months ago
BOFA predicts 75bps cut
Gastrader
9 months ago
This is why I dont trade toss ups :D... Good I got out
Gastrader
9 months ago
Yes this means they will invade Lebanon
sd2333
9 months ago
Missed this from earlier in the morning The Israel Defense Forces' 98th Division will be deployed to the northern part of the country close to the border with Lebanon, a source familiar with the matter confirmed to ABC News.
Gastrader
9 months ago
I am seriously questioning my position if @ZionLion is on my team...
Gastrader
9 months ago
Are you OK man?
🪦🦁🪦
9 months ago
you will all pay for this forced cut with markets downturns. THERE IS NO FREE LAUNCHES.
Gastrader
9 months ago
The Feds unlikely to cut 50bps given that consensus is a soft landing. Consider this a warning
Gastrader
9 months ago
Markets are weird. 25bps was overvalued at 90% not so long ago, now its undervalued at 50%. Fed people clearly indicated 25bps most likely decision. What exactly has changed to see such a big increase in 50bps cut probability??
Gastrader
9 months ago
GS sees 25% cut
Gastrader
9 months ago
True. Contrarian, I like it
angleA
9 months ago
If we raise interest rates, it would be unbelievable
Gastrader
9 months ago
Haha this is a joke
Gastrader
9 months ago
11% chance for crypto and 15% chance for Mcdonalds?
Gastrader
10 months ago
Lots of money will be lost here. Cant wait to bathe in the tears of arrogant yessers.
Gastrader
10 months ago
How is 50+ bps at these odds? Would be very unlikely in my opinion.
Gastrader
10 months ago
Id say the important thing is who makes money
Lyapunov
10 months ago
The important thing is that No was the probabilistically correct choice ever since July 31th, when all data was available and the price was always below 80c. Even in the unlikely (20%) event that this turn to be a Yes, Yes was never the right choice.
Gastrader
10 months ago
Arrogant whale trying to corner a market. Thanks for the improved odds.
Gastrader
11 months ago
Sea surface temperature isn't warm enough
Gastrader
11 months ago
White house spokeswoman said the idea that Biden should resign is "ridiculous"