#31
Rank
997
Comments
376
Likes Received
312
Likes Given
diddy
7 months ago
For my boys and me
uxzi
7 months ago
was the baby oil yours?
diddy
8 months ago
Imagine buying NO at 99.9 when Pence was buying YES at $22k. Someone could have gotten dirty rich here
diddy
8 months ago
No
diddy
8 months ago
I am escaping to canada
diddy
8 months ago
What death?
MuchAdo2BRN2B
8 months ago
What if he is released via death? Does this resolve Yes or No?
diddy
8 months ago
old polls are a risk for 2.5 and new polls need to be fabulous for 2.5. I don't think Kamala had any incentives for a huge boost for next week relative to this, anyone got ideas
diddy
8 months ago
MOTHERFUCKER WHOEVER IS DOING THIS SHIT
diddy
8 months ago
RCP are terrorists
diddy
8 months ago
What the hell
diddy
8 months ago
Breaking news: 784 dildos have been seized from Diddy’s house
diddy
8 months ago
We are cursed if one bad poll drops out of nowhere on the last day, I’ll take my chances
mombil
8 months ago
Well everything is possible today it seems... i hope not
diddy
8 months ago
In 24 hours it’s impossible
MalikNabers
8 months ago
Barring something completely unforeseen. 2.0 is going to need a new poll +1 Kamala or worse
diddy
8 months ago
Mitchell also said it’s +2 Trump again
mombil
8 months ago
Rasmussen just now: There has been no change in the race for the White House as former President Donald Trump maintains a narrow ead over Vice President Kamala Harris. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. Two percent (2%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
diddy
8 months ago
I guess that’s over then
mombil
8 months ago
Rasmussen just now: There has been no change in the race for the White House as former President Donald Trump maintains a narrow ead over Vice President Kamala Harris. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. Two percent (2%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
diddy
8 months ago
Someone reached out to them it looks like
diddy
8 months ago
It’s up 2.1, corrected
diddy
8 months ago
It’s up 2.1, corrected
diddy
8 months ago
I think he’s gone mad these past 3 years
Bumba
8 months ago
he's a maverick
diddy
8 months ago
He won’t tweet tomorrow, all we need is 1 tweet today like yesterday
BrokenIKey
8 months ago
Trump decides. :D
diddy
8 months ago
He tweets at 3:30am, wtf
diddy
8 months ago
I will always remember our night
SusanWarren,HR
8 months ago
Hey I know it's kind of off-topic, but I just wanted to issue a general apology to everyone for my behavior this past week.
diddy
8 months ago
So it would need to be reversed
MalikNabers
8 months ago
People think there are “rules” and they made a “mistake”
diddy
8 months ago
Can someone explain logic for 2.1 mass buy NYT makes it worse for this range
diddy
8 months ago
It makes it lower for Kam dude
mombil
8 months ago
Fresh NYT/Siena Poll: Post-Debate – Harris vs. Trump Tied Nationally, 47-47%
diddy
8 months ago
Yeah, only
Remontada
8 months ago
Only 7 away!
diddy
8 months ago
He didn’t post Lex and Hanity interview, only days after, isn’t guarantee
Dick Cheney
8 months ago
1 more tonight with his interview
diddy
8 months ago
Rally tweet is here, tomorrow one more and we good
diddy
8 months ago
Fox +2 Kamala from +1 Trump
diddy
8 months ago
For first option to win all he has to do is the same as before Tuesday, for two days, won’t tweet Friday before deadline
diddy
8 months ago
Agreed
DonaldMusk
8 months ago
175- 200 seems to be best bet
diddy
8 months ago
200 years just for looks
jayminho
8 months ago
No she won’t due to cooperation.. but she will serve 12 to 60 months
diddy
8 months ago
She is going in prison forever, they lose billions of other people’s money, admit it, and now people think a random black guy who stole $10 is going to be in prison longer than her??
diddy
8 months ago
RIP
diddy
8 months ago
Trump realized the worth of Trump Media and its stock downfall. He hadn’t tweeted since then, this is his team
diddy
8 months ago
Just wait for Elon to wake up and document his Space walk & Trump tirade like a whazzo
diddy
8 months ago
That man is weird af
0xE42c9d2ef
8 months ago
It’s a miracle he can still function when he sleeps at 2am for 4 hours and then run all his companies as CEO
diddy
8 months ago
Likely stays under 250, 2am in Austin where he’s at, Fridays he may do some leisure Diablo play, may very much stay stable
diddy
8 months ago
This guy prefers tweeting instead of sleeping, what a weirdo
diddy
8 months ago
He referred to Biden ‘kicked him out like a dog’ Biden has disabilities, therefore this market should conclude to Yes
diddy
8 months ago
That crowd is no.1 enemy
diddy
8 months ago
You’re wrong, Hikaru underperformed
OmenOfLord
8 months ago
Magnus played amazingly, Alireza definitely underperformed I think he had a lot more time troubles than normal and got tilted in the 5-1 and from there it was over. GGS
diddy
8 months ago
You’re a proud Indian boy :) glad to hear, stay proud!
X.x
8 months ago
wheres the nook bot now?
diddy
8 months ago
He cleans streets of people shitting in India
X.x
8 months ago
wheres the nook bot now?
diddy
8 months ago
Whenever Car arrives in a chat, it’s a sign that some disaster is coming
diddy
8 months ago
I clearly advocated for Magnus, you listen to bot nook
BallzToTheWalz
8 months ago
i had 10k shares on carlson and the comments talked me into switching. fml dude im done, im just done
diddy
8 months ago
Yo welcome
DeucePapi
8 months ago
My man Riprcp. Thanks for being here
diddy
8 months ago
This one is for nook
diddy
8 months ago
94 Fritz, yeah makes sense
diddy
8 months ago
All donations accepted, even $1!
PokerBrat
8 months ago
mfs really see a 3 point lead for magnus fucking carlsen and think: yeah imma buy firouzja here
diddy
8 months ago
Game over lol, performed beyond expectations
diddy
8 months ago
He is RIP mate after 3 points Magnus lead, 5-10% win chance
PokerBrat
8 months ago
is firouzja adopting magnus in bullet priced in?
diddy
8 months ago
Someone should make a market to what song Magnus is singing
diddy
8 months ago
lol hahaha
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
8 months ago
Was busy acquiring Magnus lol
diddy
8 months ago
Where is that spamming bot nook?
diddy
8 months ago
Alireza can win, sure, but he needs to wait for Magnus to retire
PokerBrat
8 months ago
5 time world champion vs nepos candidates victim
diddy
8 months ago
Stfu moronic spamming bot, get onto your real account if you have one, disgrace of a human
nook
8 months ago
lol, the 86 cent Alireza No retard is DESPERATE for exit liquidity LMFAOOOOOOOOOO
diddy
8 months ago
You’re random Indian bot, go do something with your life when you don’t bet
nook
8 months ago
no, they are literally betting on Alireza, an extremely talented player, you deranged loon
diddy
8 months ago
People betting on Alireza literally bet on luck
diddy
8 months ago
The hype for Alireza is unfounded, Hikaru had some bad luck, it doesn’t happen twice, and to say in a row, against the best
diddy
8 months ago
RIP your manay
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Lol you're my good luck charm. How soon until you switch to Saba?
diddy
8 months ago
RIP Viking woman
diddy
8 months ago
Chance to lose yeah
Phoenix777
8 months ago
Pegula has a real chance here
diddy
8 months ago
Condolences to everyone who bought Fritz
diddy
8 months ago
RIP to my Fritzers, NY is Tiafoes place
diddy
8 months ago
Francis cooks just watch
diddy
8 months ago
Suck you Drapers
diddy
8 months ago
All in donations
nnimrodd
8 months ago
All in for the underdog
diddy
8 months ago
Just wait for Kamala whales to pump this last minute
diddy
8 months ago
Alireza cooks
diddy
8 months ago
Yes they are!
BrokenIKey
8 months ago
Slavs are no Vikings lol.
diddy
8 months ago
Tiafoe gonna violate diz boi
diddy
8 months ago
I think I have better luck on flipping a coin than this
diddy
8 months ago
Viking woman wins here
diddy
8 months ago
Here we go again
diddy
8 months ago
I know that feel…
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
its the end for me. I accidentally bought all in on muchova instead of selling.... I wanted to sell but bought. Your all welcome for the liquidity.
diddy
8 months ago
Lesson no.1 never bet women sports. I lost the biggest on women basketball and I still didn’t learn anything
diddy
8 months ago
Bro I bought Muchova at 94%…then she started losing
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
its the end for me. I accidentally bought all in on muchova instead of selling.... I wanted to sell but bought. Your all welcome for the liquidity.
diddy
8 months ago
Fycking women sport
diddy
8 months ago
What the hell is Pechuga doing so bad
diddy
8 months ago
Yes I know
MalikNabers
8 months ago
Not the best math I’ve ever seen. It replaces the other Rass poll.
diddy
8 months ago
Guys I made a calculation previously, I don’t think this will be +2 Kamala, don’t take my word for it but let’s see
diddy
8 months ago
29
ed146
8 months ago
whats the total count so far?
diddy
8 months ago
Scam, don’t delete my comment
Garni
8 months ago
Trump win will be real comeback https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5UCQOc0Zo8
diddy
8 months ago
Let’s hope not, I would like my nice bonus
IONLYBETONX
8 months ago
yeah... one or two more reposts today.
diddy
8 months ago
Alert, Donnie is back, but another repost of an interview!
diddy
8 months ago
Cheers bro
Randomchooser
8 months ago
Anyway GL to everybody, it will be so close till the deadline like last week, so tons of fun anyway
diddy
8 months ago
Bro, just tell me Hawaii or Madagascar?
JJo
8 months ago
29 still undervalued
diddy
8 months ago
Ofc no, why would it drop
Justifax
8 months ago
Anyone know when pew drops off the list?
diddy
8 months ago
Sorry babe
Justifax
8 months ago
If pew and fox drop off, this is around 2.2 .. not sure when that happens though. I think it's around 3 weeks for expiry? Or maybe a set number of polls.
diddy
8 months ago
Fox won’t drop this week 100%. Either way we are advantageous
Randomchooser
8 months ago
dropping them off the list sound like the last hope for 2+
diddy
8 months ago
Actually you’re wrong, if PEW drops, Kamala loses
Justifax
8 months ago
If pew and fox drop off, this is around 2.2 .. not sure when that happens though. I think it's around 3 weeks for expiry? Or maybe a set number of polls.
diddy
8 months ago
I’m trolling him lol
Justifax
8 months ago
If pew and fox drop off, this is around 2.2 .. not sure when that happens though. I think it's around 3 weeks for expiry? Or maybe a set number of polls.
diddy
8 months ago
Wherever you comment, you give misinformation troll’ vibes
Justifax
8 months ago
If pew and fox drop off, this is around 2.2 .. not sure when that happens though. I think it's around 3 weeks for expiry? Or maybe a set number of polls.
diddy
8 months ago
According to their previous poll, likely next week Or not at all
Justifax
8 months ago
Anyone know when pew drops off the list?
diddy
8 months ago
Exactly, that’s the trend. Old polls have dropped during RFK, DNC week, who’s got the budget for irrelevant week’ national polls?
Speculo
8 months ago
I think that most medias have understand that national polls are totally irrelevant to check the state of the race, so there are not polling very much. What matters now are swing state polls.
diddy
8 months ago
It’s a random estimation, there really shouldn’t be any changes in 28hr
Randomchooser
8 months ago
deadline is tomorrow, if there will be updates, they will be in slightly trump favour thats why i asked , its surprisingly high the 2-2.4 range, i quote your %
diddy
8 months ago
Even if poll benefiting Kamala releases, which is very low chance, it would probably take days to update on RCP. Morning Consult will drop her. I think one person is pumping this , I would give 2-2.4 max 10-20% chance
Randomchooser
8 months ago
don't understand why they are pumping the 2-2.4 , i buy more 1.5-1.9 tho
diddy
8 months ago
Rasmussen coming out soon, appears to leave Kamala at 1.9 or might lower her to 1.8, depending on dominant decimals of RCP
diddy
8 months ago
You’re right, he/she/it/they is doing so
SusanWarren,HR
8 months ago
One *person* - could be man, woman, or nonbinary individual.
diddy
8 months ago
There’s literally one guy pumping these prices up and down delusionally
diddy
8 months ago
Sometimes he/team want to leave a message behind purposely, and it is one of signs there won’t be many tweets coming. He usually does it at the end of tweeting many times.
idfkanything
8 months ago
I never noticed the correlation of his pinned tweets and his posting pause. I’ll have to keep an eye out for that behavior in the future. Cheers!
diddy
8 months ago
Yeah this won’t go beyond 34, he just pinned the tweet, he leaves it like that for a day, and on Friday he won’t tweet before 12 PM
diddy
8 months ago
That’s weekend for Donnie
Dick Cheney
8 months ago
Would be epic if he retweeted 20 in succession like the good old days
diddy
8 months ago
He had lots of things but no tweets lol
Dropper11
8 months ago
He still has his townhall retweet for today. If he retweets his podcast with Lex its probably over but if he doesnt 25-29 actually has a shot
diddy
8 months ago
Need to calculate after u see poll, depends on their %
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
I forget how it affects the average if it's the first time they release a post-RFK head to head poll. So if she's up 2 in the first head-to-head would that change it from 1.9?
diddy
8 months ago
It’s hype, so real, 25-29 might win, my fingers are tingling
diddy
8 months ago
That’s 5-way poll, not national…
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
@riprcp sorry, my fault, it was a Yougov pollhttps://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_HIwtch9.pdf so the differentail wouldn't be the same.
diddy
8 months ago
You just gave a false information and made me buy 2-2.4 stock, what the hell man????
diddy
8 months ago
It’s over for 2-2.4, https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1831295199185662460?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
There isn’t any CNN national poll, misinformation
diddy
8 months ago
It’s over for 2-2.4, https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1831295199185662460?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
I only see battleground and favorability CNN polls, is this the national poll you’re referring to? Reference? I don’t see it on RCP while other CNN polls updated
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
CNN's poll has her at +2 and she was at -2 last time. Wouldn't that supercede it?
diddy
8 months ago
Bro you would go bankrupt
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
imagine
diddy
8 months ago
1 time today, one tomorrow and we win
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
imagine
diddy
8 months ago
If he doesn’t, me and you are rich :)
Dick Cheney
8 months ago
Bought some 1c lottos. What if he never posts again?
diddy
8 months ago
Is my Deadpool boi bout to become no.1?
diddy
8 months ago
Not daily, average is updated, Kamala may go 1.6-1.8, depending on tomorrow results
Speculo
8 months ago
if this updated daily on the RCP?
diddy
8 months ago
This releases Friday and gets automatically updated, unlike other polls
Speculo
8 months ago
if this updated daily on the RCP?
diddy
8 months ago
Watch this end 30-34 like last week
diddy
8 months ago
2 days, 13 tweets….hmmmm unlikely, he would need 2 golden family moments :)
diddy
8 months ago
2 days, 13 tweets….hmmmm unlikely, he would need 2 golden family moments :)
diddy
8 months ago
It’s over for 2-2.4, https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1831295199185662460?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
+70 eazy manay
diddy
8 months ago
Just wait for Elon to take a break playing Diablo all day
diddy
8 months ago
Sinner vs Tiafoe finals Rebirth
diddy
8 months ago
Why put so much on +2.5, even 538 gives her a steep decline
PrinceHal
8 months ago
cool story bro
diddy
8 months ago
She might lose point there
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
I think we'll get morning consult also.
diddy
8 months ago
Good luck bro :)
PrinceHal
8 months ago
cool story bro
diddy
8 months ago
Yes
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
What do you mean "to take a lead"? You mean to get to 2.0?
diddy
8 months ago
God bless for the donation
HorsInCrypto
8 months ago
looks terrible for 40+ squad...
diddy
8 months ago
Beware that Kamala needs Rasmussen on Tie to take a lead, and it’s questionable we get it to drop on time. Other polls are unlikely to boost her/drop.
diddy
8 months ago
Hahaha no more RCP, goood!!! F RCP and their lazy ass developers for waiting days to update graphs and add polls!
diddy
8 months ago
Wow can you calculate how many times Elon will tweet
AppleADay
8 months ago
I have recalculated and arrived at 41 tweets. thanks. - pinochet
diddy
8 months ago
XiJinPing has joined the +40 NO, the fate is sealed
diddy
8 months ago
I got 43 :)
AppleADay
8 months ago
based on my calculations he will tweet 42 times
diddy
8 months ago
Oh my
TheGuru
8 months ago
Fun fact, I decided to grab some strawberries at the end of a game. I left some orders in. I wash them and come back with Zverev getting crushed and now I'm stuck with this massive position lmao
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala 1.9 as I said :)
diddy
8 months ago
I would put that at 10-15% chance rather
BrokenIKey
8 months ago
Because he's got 3 and a half days for 14 posts. And he might always pull out a package of posts (like those 8 videos on the weekend).
diddy
8 months ago
Bro just do what I do, I win Trump tweets every time
Dick Cheney
8 months ago
Honestly funny how little he posts on X now. It’s a much bigger communication platform than TS but I guess money talks.
diddy
8 months ago
Haha he made same tweet
diddy
8 months ago
All it takes is one Kamala-hating poll with 30,31 day with her losing by quite a margin
diddy
8 months ago
Yeah, I agree, Trump will win definitely, 1-1.4 all in!
432
8 months ago
+4 will be also added for Trump as it has not been added yet
diddy
8 months ago
One day was skipped as I mentioned, opinions could have changed, let’s see if this continues, should drop 5th or 6th Sept
432
8 months ago
a 5 point jump on rassmussen in a single day is no trend reversal
diddy
8 months ago
Who knows, let’s see
432
8 months ago
a 5 point jump on rassmussen in a single day is no trend reversal
diddy
8 months ago
That was 29th, 30th is skipped, trend shows decline, Trump is at net loss -1 as of now
432
8 months ago
but before +4 for trump so still more points for trump than currently
diddy
8 months ago
What…, why make this?
diddy
8 months ago
Sinner finals guarantee
diddy
8 months ago
Yes of course, he has 100 kids, who’s gonna feed them?
HorsInCrypto
8 months ago
you really think that Elon wants to make money on Polymarket? Lol.... this is the funniest thing I've heard in a while.
diddy
8 months ago
Medvedev is so cooked
diddy
8 months ago
Sinner ain’t Alcaraz & Djokovic!!!
diddy
8 months ago
RIP Other, Tiafoe and Zverev win too
diddy
8 months ago
At this pace, this is heading 25-29, and consider, he won’t tweet Friday
diddy
8 months ago
That’s good news for 2-2.5!
BrandonThought
8 months ago
Rasmussen +1 for Harris D: (previous +2 for Trump)
diddy
8 months ago
Overpriced, what if Elon bet here and wanted to pump to earn money but tomorrow he realizes that he already has the money and stops tweeting??
diddy
8 months ago
Close one thou, I lost $300 on Djokovic and Alcaraz already
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Crowd loves Tommy Guns
diddy
8 months ago
You’re cooked brah
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Crowd loves Tommy Guns
diddy
8 months ago
Dark lord has won…
diddy
8 months ago
I live in India, I am gonna feed the whole island
IONLYBETONX
8 months ago
yes that 500 bucks sure is gonna feed the whole village
diddy
8 months ago
When someone asks, tell them I got rich through Trump and Elon tweets
diddy
8 months ago
Come on Elon, go play some Diablo and let us rest for a while
diddy
8 months ago
https://nnimrodd.medium.com/polymarket-playbook-5f53a2dd8ee3
Panzwalizka
8 months ago
can you provide the link to the guide? I will eat it :)
diddy
8 months ago
Elon musk tweeted in 3 minutes as much as Trump will in 5 days
diddy
8 months ago
He fcking tweeted 20 times in 3 minutes WTF
diddy
8 months ago
Elon is going mad, there’s no comeback from this. GG X
diddy
8 months ago
Elon is going mad, there’s no comeback from this. GG X
diddy
8 months ago
I just read a guide to polymarket betting, one of rules was not to bet on Elon, it’s true af
Panzwalizka
8 months ago
They are making discount I will buy more
diddy
8 months ago
I was outside with a landlord, gave her my phone to speak with my gf, then when Elon tweeted 20 times she was like..someone is messaging you, then I was like 20 tweets under 5 minutes what the hell..panic selling
diddy
8 months ago
He’s a madman!
diddy
8 months ago
I calculated considering they round numbers at dominant decimal, but Trump loses 0.1 point here while Kam gains 0.09
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala August 30 at 1.9 shortly
diddy
8 months ago
New poll +3 Kam puts Kam at 48.09, Trump at 46.2
wyn
8 months ago
Why do you say that.. trump is leading by almost +4 on polymarket as of recently, hence, the recent polls are potentially likely to reflect that
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala August 30 at 1.9 shortly
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala +1.9 shortly
diddy
8 months ago
Come on Trumpito make me rich again
diddy
8 months ago
There is a thing called probability, and seeing % sometimes +90% before crashing is insane
DonaldMusk
8 months ago
Past not always repeat itself that's why predication market exist
diddy
8 months ago
Israel is in re as l mess right now with protests, this will make a ceasefire push
diddy
8 months ago
Same with Trump, this is called pumping, so
Borgo
8 months ago
elon tweets past weeks count: 147, 103, 155, 85, 166, 86, and 172. Why so many betting on 180+? Like i get his pace is for 224 but it was really high in the start of last week too but still ended 174. Whats the reason he will break 180 this week?
diddy
8 months ago
I sold my NO again, the agreement may be reached end of this week
diddy
8 months ago
Elon can tweet 70 times just any day…
diddy
8 months ago
If Sinner loses this I’ll commit seppuku
diddy
8 months ago
If Kamala says coconut this week, I will buy all yes and all no shares
diddy
8 months ago
4 days remaining, I can’t wait to get rich when Trump tweets 39.9 times
diddy
8 months ago
I donees shares to get rich when Rasmussen drops
diddy
8 months ago
If Rasmussen drops 29, 30, Kamala is so dead, https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1829906619733602353?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
I am Brazilian too
ElonMuskin
8 months ago
I am brazilian. Brazilians represent 7% of X users and way more in daily usage. Elon is very pragmatic, all he needs to do is appoint a representative in Brazil and it will go back online.
diddy
8 months ago
I can’t wait to get rich when Rasmussen drops…
diddy
8 months ago
If Rasmussen drops 29, 30, Kamala is so dead, https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1829906619733602353?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
If Rasmussen drops 29, 30, Kamala is so dead, https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1829906619733602353?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
Good
432
8 months ago
3 points divided by 11 = 2.77 which means down from 1.8 to 1.5 :D
diddy
8 months ago
Like Carl Ghosm he will be tucked-in in some crate and shipped off
diddy
8 months ago
She will go for sure, CNN mapped out a path for her towards November 5, it included SNL. Liberal media pressure demands SNL, and this is her chance to show herself to liberals since CNN didn’t work out so well
diddy
8 months ago
Every time since Trump came back on X, people think he is goin +40 tweets which he never ends up doing lol
diddy
8 months ago
Oh wait I’m a YES buyer too
diddy
8 months ago
This doesn’t look good for YES buyers…
diddy
8 months ago
They got the wrong city omg
Fred19999
8 months ago
The oil refinery that was struck with debris is actually in Yaroslavsky 🤔
diddy
8 months ago
This doesn’t look good for YES buyers…
diddy
8 months ago
Ma boiz you have to propose one more solution, the first one ain’t doing it :)
diddy
8 months ago
When ma boiz gonna get rekt soon on UMA by JustKam
diddy
8 months ago
He sold me wrong house
diddy
8 months ago
Car is the biggest scammer, he scammed me
diddy
8 months ago
This is a crime, Trump didn’t tweet anything yet!
diddy
8 months ago
He can still buy a house
n/a
8 months ago
If its 50/50 Fredi is still down 80k lol
diddy
8 months ago
This is not over! When a poll drops that gives bad points to Kamala to bring 30/8 to 1.6, it’s 50/50. One sweet poll is needed for Fredi to enjoy a long vacation on Bahamas
diddy
8 months ago
Car is the biggest scammer, he scammed me
diddy
8 months ago
If there was a hit, this should have resolved buuuuut…there appears to be insufficient/non-credible evidence. YES holders, go gather your evidence and let’s end this market.
diddy
8 months ago
JustKam is 10 people who never sleep
Donkov
8 months ago
JustKam is sleeping on this one. Pence took his shekels
diddy
8 months ago
Don’t worry about Pence, JustKam is on our side, eazy UMA win
diddy
8 months ago
I agree, this should resolve to NO and I should go to jail
Car
8 months ago
You cant resolve a market like this to yes with Telegram videos and Twitter posts. The rule “credible reporting” has been added for a reason because these markets are highly sensitive.
diddy
8 months ago
I believe this should resolve to YES and I believe Car should go to jail
diddy
8 months ago
This is the fight between Lord Voldemort and Elon Potter. I am on the side of the dark lord.
diddy
8 months ago
I agree, Kamala will get huge boost soon
Speculo
8 months ago
2.5 - 2.9 is cheap... A few good polls and she moves to 2.1, and there everything become possible. s possible. She is in the middle of the post-DNC bounce. Other polling average (Nate Silver, The Economist) are higher and closer to 3 - 4. Worth a 10-1 bet...
diddy
8 months ago
15 tweets incoming from his usual Sundays
diddy
8 months ago
good night sleep helps
negativedrip
8 months ago
whatever helps you sleep at night man
diddy
8 months ago
ABC poll kills Kamala 23-27 days
diddy
8 months ago
I agree
Xplayer
8 months ago
The Joker has a good chance of winning, just watch the trailer
diddy
8 months ago
RIP Inside Out 2, about to be replaced by Other
diddy
8 months ago
Ma boi Elon will run out of ideas and will tweet between 120-140
diddy
8 months ago
Let’s go NO buyers, we risk it, Voldemort is on our side!
diddy
8 months ago
RIP +40 holders
diddy
8 months ago
Just wait
Dropper11
8 months ago
its over now
diddy
8 months ago
7 more incoming
diddy
8 months ago
Hahaha killed
diddy
8 months ago
Nate Silver gave bad numbers on Kamala these last days, polls may go very wrong for her & CNN made it worse
babendums
8 months ago
Kamalas getting impatient lol. This one should be easy win guys. Nothings changed in the past few days
diddy
8 months ago
You can buy a cheeseburger when you cash it out :)
MrNFT
8 months ago
Waiting to cashout my kamala mcdonalds and max loading trump. 90% of you don't understand what this market is even about lol
diddy
8 months ago
There’s CBS poll dropping Monday that will include the last days, should conclude Kamala win
diddy
8 months ago
If Labor Day miracle happens it could give good one to Deadpool
diddy
8 months ago
I wouldn’t agree, search up how long bans were implemented, and what was the case
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Long road ahead! ""Unlike other social media and technology platforms, we will not comply in secret with illegal orders," the company said in a statement." https://www.axios.com/2024/08/30/brazil-x-twitter-elon-musk
diddy
8 months ago
But because there’s a larger quantity of polls now, you have to divide the new number with more, which lowers point gain, and 1.8 takes a shot from 1, even 2 points should lower it
MrNFT
8 months ago
I think it will lose, since the last poll is still harris +1. We either need a Trump +1, or 3 polls straight of harris +1 or less (to wipe out the +4).
diddy
8 months ago
If any poll that drops like Quinnipac gives Kamala +1, this is 50/50 then right? +1 point should drop it to 1.6
diddy
8 months ago
You should know never to bet on one player, I already lost on Djokovic and Alcaraz
nnimrodd
8 months ago
I never watch tennis
diddy
8 months ago
I sold my 3k NO, this is a pressure game from gov, not real ban, look at their app-banning hist
HsB34sgg
8 months ago
Long road ahead! ""Unlike other social media and technology platforms, we will not comply in secret with illegal orders," the company said in a statement." https://www.axios.com/2024/08/30/brazil-x-twitter-elon-musk
diddy
8 months ago
This may go +300 just because of Brazil issue
diddy
8 months ago
If he does his usual 15 tweets this Sunday and brag about Kamala pre-debate, this may very well go +50
diddy
8 months ago
It’s a mistake to bet against aenews, that’s the true weather forecast-er
diddy
8 months ago
That’s all he had to do, which he did and didn’t work
ElonMuskin
8 months ago
8% of X users are brazilians. All Elon needs to do is appoint someone in Brazil. He will do it with a lot of laywers. The chance of X staying off in Brazil for over 60 days is really low.
diddy
8 months ago
Nope, not coming back under this admin
diddy
8 months ago
August 23 is 1.6 not 1.7
jl3128776
8 months ago
Note that we haven’t gotten RCP-included polls ending today. In this case, when the batch including 8/31 and beyond does get included eventually, that will trigger the market to go into review. And given that any polls ending 8/31 are only added to the 8/31 and not the 8/30 numbers, 8/30 will remain identical to right now. And that’s 1.8.
diddy
8 months ago
Me too bro, me too…
Tenebrus7
8 months ago
Damn sold the 4ct yes shares at 8 ct ;(
diddy
8 months ago
If it comes to a dispute, it’s gonna be funny one because Kamala’s position has ‘Improved’ and ofc Trump voters will lose, but I don’t think there exist a good enough argument for the dispute to even pass when it’s all facts
diddy
8 months ago
My friend, what’s the basis of graphs? It’s data. Basics of statistics. Graphs are the visual representation of the ‘Facts’.
diddy
8 months ago
It’s Djokovic again
diddy
8 months ago
My friend, what’s the basis of graphs? It’s data. Basics of statistics. Graphs are the visual representation of the ‘Facts’.
Justifax
8 months ago
This market is about the graph. The additional context is very clear about that. You are of course free to pony up $750 if you disagree, but if you're wrong, you will lose it all.
diddy
8 months ago
Clarification: This market isn’t about polls. It is about whose position improves or decreases, comparing Day 0 relative to day 7. At Day 0, Kamala was at 48.5 vs 46.9 Trump. At Day 7 Kamala is at 48.2 vs 46.4 Trump. Kamala lost 0.2 points, Trump lost 0.5 points. Position of Kamala has improved over the 8-day period. This is how market concludes with current numbers. Graphs are just visual representation of data.
diddy
8 months ago
No I don’t, they have a trigger for graph update, but it’s irrelevant to the results, I don’t know what makes it update but when it updates it’s gonna show 1.8 for the day
n/a
8 months ago
Really... do you see it?
diddy
8 months ago
You don’t see it because web developers aren’t doing an amazing job, I’m one so I know
n/a
8 months ago
I dont see a 1.8 number for August 30th... Last update on the graph I see is 1.8 for August 29th... Do you see something different
diddy
8 months ago
Analyse graph and rules, it’s tricky but obvious. Day 7, 30 August right now has 1.8, if it goes to midnight with this number, Kamala wins, ignore graph, it doesn’t matter when it updates.
n/a
8 months ago
How sure are you about this?
diddy
8 months ago
Yes, we have to wait to claim rewards, but results will conclude soon for Day 7, last day
n/a
8 months ago
No lol.... We need to wait until there is a poll release for Aug 30 and Aug 31st
diddy
8 months ago
He’s a scam, that’s how he earns big bucks, guys like him keep quiet if things go their way
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
I agree with @unamustbestopped on this. This is why I pared down my position. I have no idea if we're starting from 1.6 or 1.7 for Day 0. If it were 1.6 I'd be in big.
diddy
8 months ago
Effectively, 3-5 more hours and this ends. It’s Friday, who publishes polls after 17:00
diddy
8 months ago
This should end in 11 hours. When does the graph appear or it puts Trump in lead is irrelevant to the results.
diddy
8 months ago
Rules: ‘ Those numbers on the graph will be compared once data for Day 8 (Aug 31) is first released on the graph.’ . ‘Those’ refers to Day 0-7. Where does it say data from Day 8 (August 31) will be compared.
diddy
8 months ago
Rules: ‘ Those numbers on the graph will be compared once data for Day 8 (Aug 31) is first released on the graph.’ . ‘Those’ refers to Day 0-7. Where does it say data from Day 8 (August 31) will be compared.
Justifax
8 months ago
Afaict, this market will not resolve until you can scroll over and see Aug 31st on the graph - ie. : "once data for Day 8 (Aug 31) is first released on the graph." I don't believe this happens until RCP sees a poll that covers Aug 31st.
diddy
8 months ago
It doesn’t say that, there may be an attempt to manipulate the outcome for someone to say data from Day 8 should be considered (31st August). I don’t think this will pass though
n/a
8 months ago
I think there needs to be a new poll before the result "updates"
diddy
8 months ago
This graph update is so random it’s insane. I don’t know why isn’ it showing today’s day yet. Still, this shouldn’t matter because it says data from Day 0 and Day 7 will be compared.
n/a
8 months ago
If we follow last month's logic, Daily Kos/Civiqs should release their poll tomorrow and Kamala is projected to be between 5+ and 6+, which would bring her lead to 2.0 or 2.1 :)
diddy
8 months ago
I am pretty sure data on the graph will update between August 31 00:00-06:00 am, which means that the market ends as soon as that happens. No one published polls at 3 am. If we don’t get polls in the next 6-9 hours, there won’t be anymore.
n/a
8 months ago
If we follow last month's logic, Daily Kos/Civiqs should release their poll tomorrow and Kamala is projected to be between 5+ and 6+, which would bring her lead to 2.0 or 2.1 :)
diddy
8 months ago
No, it states in the rules that data is compared between Day 0 and 7, Day 8 is just deadline
n/a
8 months ago
If we follow last month's logic, Daily Kos/Civiqs should release their poll tomorrow and Kamala is projected to be between 5+ and 6+, which would bring her lead to 2.0 or 2.1 :)
diddy
8 months ago
Rules state that numbers will be compared ‘first’, the data is released for RCP, which is beginning of August 31, it will just inherit previous day’s data on the graph automatically, it says nowhere that the data will be taken by the end of day or once polls for 31 release.
n/a
8 months ago
If we follow last month's logic, Daily Kos/Civiqs should release their poll tomorrow and Kamala is projected to be between 5+ and 6+, which would bring her lead to 2.0 or 2.1 :)
diddy
8 months ago
Isn’t this supposed to end asap RCP website updates to day August 31, which is midnight, 13 hours? Per rules?
n/a
8 months ago
If we follow last month's logic, Daily Kos/Civiqs should release their poll tomorrow and Kamala is projected to be between 5+ and 6+, which would bring her lead to 2.0 or 2.1 :)
diddy
8 months ago
Fuckkkkkkkk how is it 1.6…….
Ferguson,Turd
8 months ago
lol what are u guys doing wheres muh 1.8?
diddy
8 months ago
Every old July poll like WSJ will give Kamala good boost because of her poll spike July-August, let’s hope to see more of them
diddy
8 months ago
Yes, they made direct comparison to the poll in July, it reflects
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Are both head to head. It appeared to be, but I've missed something more than once on this trade.
diddy
8 months ago
It’s exactly the same as Yahoo so it should
n/a
8 months ago
Are we sure it will count lol?
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala back to 1.8 with latest WSJ, like Yahoo, it’s July, old poll, should be updated within an hour hopefully
diddy
8 months ago
https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/1829256523186614613?s=61
diddy
8 months ago
I pray this will be considered, gives Kamala points, it’s RCP
diddy
8 months ago
I pray this will be considered, gives Kamala points, it’s RCP
diddy
8 months ago
It is 1.6, my graph was showing 1.7, I’m not sure if it was only for me
n/a
8 months ago
But is it 1.6 or 1.7 right now?
diddy
8 months ago
Exactly!!! Someone write to these damn RCP staff, this is +4 Kamala, they need to put it asap, I wrote email no response
emoney
8 months ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-widens-lead-over-trump-with-boost-women-hispanics-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-08-29/
diddy
8 months ago
My graph didn’t update..showing 1.7..so I deleted not to spread it further
mango-lassi
8 months ago
Fuck this truck guy, fucking manipulator
diddy
8 months ago
I saw it going down, I thought she was losing until I took a close look, so when I realised I sold Trump at 30, and not 50
mango-lassi
8 months ago
Fuck this truck guy, fucking manipulator
diddy
8 months ago
I didn’t start this mess, I tried to calm down situation, help those who panic, how the hell im manipulating?
mango-lassi
8 months ago
Fuck this truck guy, fucking manipulator
diddy
8 months ago
Fuck graph didn’t update for me, still Kamala should win
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala on day 0 was 1.6, now she is 1.7, all it takes is to get the same poll results or Kamala lead and Kamala wins, approx 27-33 hours left.
diddy
8 months ago
Read rules, graph is taken into consideration not average it’s 1.7, not 1.6
diddy
8 months ago
Graph is taken into consideration not average, it is 1.7
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala on day 0 was 1.6, now she is 1.7, all it takes is to get the same poll results or Kamala lead and Kamala wins, approx 27-33 hours left.
diddy
8 months ago
I don’t know, they didn’t publish Reuters and USA Today which would guarantee her a win
n/a
8 months ago
Any more polls favoring Kamala coming up on RCP?
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala on day 0 was 1.6, now she is 1.7, all it takes is to get the same poll results or Kamala lead and Kamala wins, approx 27-33 hours left.
diddy
8 months ago
23
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
What is our day 0 starting point?
diddy
8 months ago
Guys don’t panic, this is baiting attempt, Kamala still has much higher winning chance than Trump
diddy
8 months ago
If I lose all my money at least I can say I bet with honor
diddy
8 months ago
I swear they hate Kamala to the bone
UncleSmurf
8 months ago
Lesson learned: don’t bet on markets with RCP averages :(
diddy
8 months ago
I don’t know how smart was all that mass buying
retard2
8 months ago
Someone who is smarter than me explain what happened
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala is at risk, she can’t get shit poll points anymore
retard2
8 months ago
Someone who is smarter than me explain what happened
diddy
8 months ago
I don’t know they didn’t include 2 polls only this shit one
Whome
8 months ago
Any more polls coming out tomorrow AM?
diddy
8 months ago
I legit think RCP is rigged and hates Kamala, they don’t want to include advantageous polls for her
diddy
8 months ago
And where the fuck is Reuters, I just lost $1000 because they don’t want to put it…
diddy
8 months ago
How they massacred my Kamala…they don’t want to drop Reuters, instead they dropped this Quinnipiac
diddy
8 months ago
She got only 1, which reduced her from 1.8 to 1.6, this is rigged, it was expected +10 lol
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
I don't understand. She is up by 3 points from the last Quinnipiac poll.
diddy
8 months ago
I did it too, they are doing nasty to Kamala this RCP organization, I still think she will win but anyways
n/a
8 months ago
Why is everyone buying TRUMP?
diddy
8 months ago
How they massacred my Kamala…they don’t want to drop Reuters, instead they dropped this Quinnipiac
diddy
8 months ago
Good luck to you mate :)
Chen1996
8 months ago
Lol good luck when you realize tomorrow it’s still at 1.7
diddy
8 months ago
They will update Reuters today, I just checked how they did updates of them in the past of publishing polls, same day
diddy
8 months ago
At 97, To bet on other things, who’s gonna wait 2 days
diddy
8 months ago
JustKam sold 25k shares and turned against Kamala, fishy, I think this is not real Kamala’s profile!
diddy
8 months ago
Math will add up with crazy polls incoming, it’s at 2.1 soon
Au-gust
8 months ago
Have any of the 2.5s done the math?
diddy
8 months ago
JustKam sold 25k shares and turned against Kamala, fishy, I think this is not real Kamala’s profile!
diddy
8 months ago
My boiz there working hard day and night making sure we get all polls!
UncleSmurf
8 months ago
We have a tiring election cycle upcoming. I think we all agree the RCP team should take a nice long weekend vacation and come back refreshed on Tuesday. No need to update the model today.
diddy
8 months ago
+5 Kamala or more if drops guaranteed
diddy
8 months ago
Potentially one more poll incoming, just announced, https://x.com/quinnipiacpoll/status/1829174018089603113?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
Hard labor friend, join our Comrade and become one of us
raspberry17
8 months ago
Where do you all get info on those Reuters and Rasmussen polls that RCP hasn't accounted for yet?
diddy
8 months ago
Potentially one more poll incoming, just announced, https://x.com/quinnipiacpoll/status/1829174018089603113?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
Soon Rasmussen, https://x.com/maga_ga1/status/1829124006923874444?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
Because it was anticipated last night, announced
SkillzThatKillz
8 months ago
Well now the only hope for 1.5-1.9 is that RCP doesn’t update.
diddy
8 months ago
Nah, there’s no liquidity for big gains here for insiders
Randomchooser
8 months ago
I still see 1.7 on the referenced table linked in the rules
diddy
8 months ago
Yahoo updated by night, same will happen here, RCP loves polls
SkillzThatKillz
8 months ago
Well now the only hope for 1.5-1.9 is that RCP doesn’t update.
diddy
8 months ago
Reuters is a valid RCP poll, yes it will drop
Randomchooser
8 months ago
I still see 1.7 on the referenced table linked in the rules
diddy
8 months ago
Rasmussen drops point for Kamala soon and Reuters update, it will be 2.1, and possibly more polls favoring Kamala
Randomchooser
8 months ago
I still see 1.7 on the referenced table linked in the rules
diddy
8 months ago
Buy me a drink brah
SlavaUkraini
8 months ago
"RFK" was a 70 year sociological experiment conducted by Harvard University. This experiment has now concluded. Thank you for your participation.
diddy
8 months ago
$70,000 earnings, congrats
SlavaUkraini
8 months ago
"RFK" was a 70 year sociological experiment conducted by Harvard University. This experiment has now concluded. Thank you for your participation.
diddy
8 months ago
Hmmmm I’ll calculate
MalikNabers
8 months ago
**panic as all the confident traders realize the +5 will not be tallied in the head to head**
diddy
8 months ago
Don’t talk bad about our Comrade, this is Kamala gang
BayAreaVibes
8 months ago
Is it impossible for Trump to take the lead? That's too pessimistic, isn't it?
diddy
8 months ago
Yes, your NO is at huge risk, not a smart move if old poll drops
MalikNabers
8 months ago
**panic as all the confident traders realize the +5 will not be tallied in the head to head**
diddy
8 months ago
Tbh, I don’t care which way it goes, I have both shares, it gets or doesn’t get added, it’s the same to me
MalikNabers
8 months ago
**panic as all the confident traders realize the +5 will not be tallied in the head to head**
diddy
8 months ago
They haven’t added it yet same with Yahoo, it went first to 5 way race
MalikNabers
8 months ago
**panic as all the confident traders realize the +5 will not be tallied in the head to head**
diddy
8 months ago
Mate, RCP will include USA Today because they are needy for all post-DNC polls, I sent them an e-mail
SkillzThatKillz
8 months ago
USA Today is already included in the 5-way race, but not included in head-to-head. I do think they’ll include Reuters, which will put Kamala up +1.88.
diddy
8 months ago
Especially to our comrade Fredi who sacrificed $300,000 for a good cause
diddy
8 months ago
Minute of silence for all who sold at low price…
diddy
8 months ago
Yes!
Mr-Yolos
8 months ago
this was nice!
diddy
8 months ago
Minute of silence for all who sold at low price…
diddy
8 months ago
Sorry man…I figured out you did
MalikNabers
8 months ago
Oh shit I was looking at Trump Biden!!! I’m fucked
diddy
8 months ago
I think you’re looking at Trump vs Biden polls…
MalikNabers
8 months ago
Deciding whether to say something or let you geniuses figure it out yourselves
diddy
8 months ago
You will see 2.1 when it’s added :)
MalikNabers
8 months ago
Deciding whether to say something or let you geniuses figure it out yourselves
diddy
8 months ago
Mate, there’s no USA Today yet :)
MalikNabers
8 months ago
Deciding whether to say something or let you geniuses figure it out yourselves
diddy
8 months ago
I think you’re a genius for buying 9.3 k NO shares at 80, at 2.5. Mate, you just lost bunch of money.
MalikNabers
8 months ago
Deciding whether to say something or let you geniuses figure it out yourselves
diddy
8 months ago
I sent them an email, although not necessary lol, they will do it asap
L114
8 months ago
At this point it's just waiting for RCP to wake up, add Reuters and USA Today, and itll be at 98 cents. Then tonight Rasmussen as well, and its over.
diddy
8 months ago
Founder of Rasmussen responded with a tweet saying it will be +2 (confidential)
diddy
8 months ago
Guys, it is 100% 1.9 Kamala lead tomorrow. Trump lost all his chances. One more poll and Kamala is at +2 lead. https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1828824866352676974?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
I have a friendly gesture and I warn people ahead of time in comments
Randomchooser
8 months ago
no way
diddy
8 months ago
We also have another RCP poll, Reuters, +4 Kamala, she obliterates Trump
diddy
8 months ago
I feel so bad not buying 10k shares…
TheOneB
8 months ago
+4 Reuters, +5 USA Today, likely to gain a point from the previous Rasmussen poll and looking to potentially tie or be up a point on Fox News poll... the +2.5 dream is real
diddy
8 months ago
Exactly!!
TheOneB
8 months ago
+4 Reuters, +5 USA Today, likely to gain a point from the previous Rasmussen poll and looking to potentially tie or be up a point on Fox News poll... the +2.5 dream is real
diddy
8 months ago
https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/1829123361756139782?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
USA Today is RCP poll, will take few hours to update, this makes Kamala 2.7, Rasmussen will give +0.2, goes 2.9
diddy
8 months ago
USA Today is RCP poll, will take few hours to update, this makes Kamala 2.7, Rasmussen will give +0.2, goes 2.9
diddy
8 months ago
Loool USA Today +5 Kamala RIP this goes looong
diddy
8 months ago
USA Today is RCP poll, will take few hours to update, this makes Kamala 2.7, Rasmussen will give +0.2, goes 2.7!
diddy
8 months ago
Loool USA Today +5 Kamala RIP this goes looong
diddy
8 months ago
Loool USA Today +5 Kamala RIP this goes looong
diddy
8 months ago
Rasmussen +2 happens on Trump +1 but it was confirmed it won’t happen
diddy
8 months ago
Guys, it is 100% 1.9 Kamala lead tomorrow. Trump lost all his chances. One more poll and Kamala is at +2 lead. https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1828824866352676974?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
She might even be +2.5, let’s see if they accept USA Today on RCP, or if other polls drop. As of now, any poll drop benefits Harris. Rasmussen will take her to 1.9, and other will just add on it.
Whome
8 months ago
What about the other thread where you say Kamala might be 2.0?
diddy
8 months ago
To be honest, whatever happens I can guarantee Kamala win
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
But remember, they stopped using USA today as of last December for Biden, so I'm not so sure they'll use it here.
diddy
8 months ago
It calculates average in August based on sum of total, take a look at Yahoo, it doesn’t matter if poll is new or old
n/a
8 months ago
Whys that @truck
diddy
8 months ago
Oh yes, they are similar to Rasmussen
TheOneB
8 months ago
Fox News might give her a bump as well since she has gotten a bump on their battleground states poll
diddy
8 months ago
Morning Consult gives higher points to Trump than Biden, historically, contrary to USA Today. Morning Consult is at +4 Kamala. USA Today may as well give her +5, I think this may be an unexpected shocker
diddy
8 months ago
Dude, when was the last time You have seen a poll favoring Republican?? After DNC?? Rasmussen gives Kamala points, what the hell makes you think that democratic biased polls will pump Trump lool??
432
8 months ago
because she can depending which Polls RCP will publish on august 30
diddy
8 months ago
Scared chicks, I spend damn 5 days analyzing this, I put it 98% Kamala win chance, literally Rasmussen was Trumps last and final hope
n/a
8 months ago
Why is the share price still only at 75c with all the information pointing to the fact that Kamala can’t virtually lose this market?
diddy
8 months ago
No man, this added her points since there was no baseline to measure against/first poll
n/a
8 months ago
Wouldn’t a +1 for Kamala bring her average down as its currently above that?
diddy
8 months ago
They got after debate 2 point Trump lead
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Wait a minute. It looks like the last time they used it was with Biden in December 2023. Maybe they dropped it.
diddy
8 months ago
Excellent considering what poll they gave to Biden vs Trump lol, they will pump Kamala af
n/a
8 months ago
Good or bad for kamala?
diddy
8 months ago
If this happens Kamala gets 1-3 points at minimum
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
USA Today, an RCP average component is releasing it's first poll since Kamala entered the race.
diddy
8 months ago
Oh man this will explode Kamala looool
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
USA Today, an RCP average component is releasing it's first poll since Kamala entered the race.
diddy
8 months ago
This is August 30, 12 PM E.T., what 31, I have no idea what are you talking about mate
diddy
8 months ago
Guys, it is 100% 1.9 Kamala lead tomorrow. Trump lost all his chances. One more poll and Kamala is at +2 lead. https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1828824866352676974?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
Ok conventional polls and frequent ones won’t drop. The only ones that may drop are older polls which were again, old. Older polls concluded Kamala at lower lead. If you look at the poll rise of Kamala, you will notice an upward slope which is quit significant. The only case scenario which may play out here is for her to get more and more points.
lemurrumel
8 months ago
How do you know there are no more expected polls? Isn't it possible HarrisX drops a Trump+1 tomorrow? That would drop Kamala below 1.5. Probably unlikely but possible.
diddy
8 months ago
No mate, Trump is at +3 on Rasmussen currently, tomorrow that +3 will be ‘Replaced’ with +2 which means Trump loses a point.
diddy
8 months ago
Guys, it is 100% 1.9 Kamala lead tomorrow. Trump lost all his chances. One more poll and Kamala is at +2 lead. https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1828824866352676974?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
I feel like yore spreading misinformation so I’ll write a paragraph. Rule is based on graph 23-30, compared to August 22 which was 1.5. So Kamala is already on 0.1 increase. If it stays this way she wins, but, Rasmussen will bring her to 1.8, and it will conclude to 1.5-1.8 rise for Kamala on August 31.
432
8 months ago
What a nonsense people write here.Diffrence was on August 23 1.6 points today its 1.7 points so a lousy 0.1 point
diddy
8 months ago
Dude, you clearly don’t know what you’re talking about, it’s 23-28, 5 day average not 7
432
8 months ago
the average counts from 23rd till 30 and not from before 23rd
diddy
8 months ago
432 you clearly don’t understand what you’re talking about
432
8 months ago
What a nonsense people write here.Diffrence was on August 23 1.6 points today its 1.7 points so a lousy 0.1 point
diddy
8 months ago
Trump gets +2 tomorrow, +1 Kamala point = 1.9
SkillzThatKillz
8 months ago
What’s your math for 1.9 Kamala?
diddy
8 months ago
Rasmussen is actually auto updated since it’s in August category like Morning Consult
Chen1996
8 months ago
That’s assuming they update which they may or may not
diddy
8 months ago
Change it then :)
432
8 months ago
What a nonsense people write here.Diffrence was on August 23 1.6 points today its 1.7 points so a lousy 0.1 point
diddy
8 months ago
Win is a win buddy, you’re in losers camp
432
8 months ago
What a nonsense people write here.Diffrence was on August 23 1.6 points today its 1.7 points so a lousy 0.1 point
diddy
8 months ago
Tomorrow I think
n/a
8 months ago
And is Rasmussen releasing today or tomorrow??
diddy
8 months ago
Exactly
n/a
8 months ago
So just Rasmussen?
diddy
8 months ago
None are expected, but the old ones if they come out, from July, are expected to favor Kamala because of huge poll differences of her from July to August
n/a
8 months ago
How many more polls supposed to come out before this market ends?
diddy
8 months ago
Guys, it is 100% 1.9 Kamala lead tomorrow. Trump lost all his chances. One more poll and Kamala is at +2 lead. https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1828824866352676974?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
For Trump to take a lead, he would need to have 12 point margin over Kamala, Today; yesterday it was 2. Good luck Trump holders, Thanks Fredi, ref. Rasmussen
diddy
8 months ago
Ok so literally, even if Trump has 6-point margin today over Kamala, magically, it is still +2 Trump points ‘ https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1828824866352676974?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q’
L114
8 months ago
https://x.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1828846135714197900
diddy
8 months ago
That gives us a win, I just made calculations of different Rasmussen possibilities, it can’t go +3, which is still good. We are at peace now.
L114
8 months ago
https://x.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1828846135714197900
diddy
8 months ago
There actually won’t be these 10 points this time since growth is linear. What is for sure now is that Trump can’t get +4. The way the trend goes makes it Trump +1, it’s neither +2, or +3. It can very much be said that Kamala win is set in stone, literally every pool including Fox News would give points to Kamala as of now.
diddy
8 months ago
Some more good news, I think Kamala may actually gain point from Rasmussen, https://x.com/mark_r_mitchell/status/1828625548085481791?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
You’re fried bro
aVexB
8 months ago
we may be cooked
diddy
8 months ago
Also, https://x.com/mark_r_mitchell/status/1828614609428738195?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
Some more good news, I think Kamala may actually gain point from Rasmussen, https://x.com/mark_r_mitchell/status/1828625548085481791?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
Actually 2 points from Rasmussen loool, ok; this is very likely to end Trump +1, giving Kamala 2 additional points, averaging to 2.1
diddy
8 months ago
Some more good news, I think Kamala may actually gain point from Rasmussen, https://x.com/mark_r_mitchell/status/1828625548085481791?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
Some more good news, I think Kamala may actually gain point from Rasmussen, https://x.com/mark_r_mitchell/status/1828625548085481791?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
That would be even greater Kamala boost if it drops
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
But what about the Harvard-Harris poll? That still worries me.
diddy
8 months ago
Exactly, and chances for that are silly low thanks to DNC
NX143
8 months ago
Only most recent Rasmussen poll gets counted. It would have to be more than +3 to help trump and a +2 trump would increase the Harris number.
diddy
8 months ago
Yes!
TheOneB
8 months ago
Updated to +1.7. If Rassmussen stays +3 tomorrow.. its gg folks, Kamala wins
diddy
8 months ago
Even if Rasmussen gives Trump points tomorrow, 1.5-1.9 wins here guys :)
diddy
8 months ago
Actually, this is a guarantee Kamala win because of CBS poll which will count for August 30, 31, and give her more points. So to say if other polls don’t buff her up bad.
TheOneB
8 months ago
Updated to +1.7. If Rassmussen stays +3 tomorrow.. its gg folks, Kamala wins
diddy
8 months ago
All other polls will help Kamala, Rasmussen is Trump’s only hope but it will stay +3
SaulG
8 months ago
Missing other polls
diddy
8 months ago
Chances of it staying are 80-90% according to the early Rasmussen version
TheOneB
8 months ago
Updated to +1.7. If Rassmussen stays +3 tomorrow.. its gg folks, Kamala wins
diddy
8 months ago
As you mentioned, yes, it is 1.6 if not 1.7 but I think 1.7 will pass
TheOneB
8 months ago
RCP has it as 1.6 on day 0, not 1.7
diddy
8 months ago
If you have doubts, I wish you the very best winning UMA votes :)
PolyPollUser
8 months ago
But but DNC bounce??? bruh, convention bounce used to take place because it resparked momentum in a candidate. There is no resparkling on someone appointed a month ago
diddy
8 months ago
No defiance you’re mistaken there, the poll perfectly fits the timeframe, other dates are inside and valid
PolyPollUser
8 months ago
But but DNC bounce??? bruh, convention bounce used to take place because it resparked momentum in a candidate. There is no resparkling on someone appointed a month ago
diddy
8 months ago
I don’t think Trump can win YES at all now, he can’t get +5 and it’s very hard to get +4. And don’t forget more polls will release which all favor Kamala
PolyPollUser
8 months ago
But but DNC bounce??? bruh, convention bounce used to take place because it resparked momentum in a candidate. There is no resparkling on someone appointed a month ago
diddy
8 months ago
Rasmussen poll is calculated by difference (diff) within 7 day timeframe, for Trump to get 16 and more he would need huge lead. 3 number is received from average of 25 August being up instead of previous dates
GenericUser1234
8 months ago
Truck, where do you see that Rasmussen poll early read with +3?
diddy
8 months ago
There was no bounce at all. Let’s say an old poll from July saved our asses
PolyPollUser
8 months ago
But but DNC bounce??? bruh, convention bounce used to take place because it resparked momentum in a candidate. There is no resparkling on someone appointed a month ago
diddy
8 months ago
I made analysis trough AI data analytics
jl3128776
8 months ago
I don’t see that data in your tweet link?
diddy
8 months ago
If it stays positive that is +3 Trump, no changes, Kamala wins here 100%. If it goes +4 Trump which is unlikely it will give Kamala maybe 80% win chance. But with this Kamala can’t lose anymore.
diddy
8 months ago
Rasmussen will average tomorrow again at +3 according to dates already published by Mitchell
diddy
8 months ago
https://x.com/mark_r_mitchell/status/1828161217526939802?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
Rasmussen will average tomorrow again at +3 according to dates already published by Mitchell
diddy
8 months ago
Rasmussen will average tomorrow again at +3 according to dates already published by Mitchell
diddy
8 months ago
RCP is 1.7!!!! Kamala lead
diddy
8 months ago
It is +1 point added, what isn’t mathing?
SaulG
8 months ago
Your math isn't mathing
diddy
8 months ago
https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/1828553147586846854?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
diddy
8 months ago
Guys, Yahoo poll dropped today which is on RCP. It was tie on July but today it gave Kamala a point bringing her value from 1.5 to 1.7. RCP will take time to update, likely a day, but be sure that Kamala is in the lead :)
diddy
8 months ago
Guys, Yahoo poll dropped today which is on RCP. It was tie on July but today it gave Kamala a point bringing her value from 1.5 to 1.7. RCP will take time to update, likely a day, but be sure that Kamala is in the lead :)
diddy
8 months ago
JustScam is on our side, Fredi will be the one to get scammed :D
diddy
8 months ago
Best bet here is 1-1.4 to at least not end up with losses. Market rules there are so messy. MorningConsult was counted but it didn’t change at all. Rasmussen will bring Trump points tomorrow too so wait for price drop
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
I'm temporarily exiting RFK trade. I can't figure out why Morning consult wasn't counted but Rasmussen was. I thought it was poll to poll comparison, but that doesn't make sense either. I plan to maybe get back in, but I can't have this much tied up in some damn Rasumussen poll. I think maybe it's the grey bars that count and the white ones that don't on there.
diddy
8 months ago
Don’t fall for market pump 2-2.4 this guy made a mistake buying
diddy
8 months ago
When someone buys on market without clearly thinking, bought up from 23 up to 60% averaging at 41%
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Net negative? What do you mean? Sorry, I'm relatively new here.
diddy
8 months ago
He mass-bought 2-2.4 at net negative
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Is there something I should know? lol
diddy
8 months ago
UndisclosedPerson
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
who?
diddy
8 months ago
lol this guy deserves a trophy
diddy
8 months ago
It’s definite they will give Kamala a bump, biased and opinionated pollsters, this should result in win but in September I guess
TheOneB
8 months ago
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/2024-harris-trump-polling-michigan-wisconsin-arizona-nevada-north-carolina/ Kamala +5 on a battleground states poll. Bodes very well for a big Kamala jump in CBS nationwide poll
diddy
8 months ago
I lose what bet? It’s $200 risk proof investment, I wink 1.3 k or 1.8 k, what do I lose exactly?
Dreaded
8 months ago
If the next 3 polls are Harris +3.5 then the average will be above +2. The oldest polls in the average were +1, -2 and +3 for Harris
diddy
8 months ago
Rasmussen drops tomorrow buddy, it either goes 1.27 or stays 1.5, no worries I’m not on a decrease
Dreaded
8 months ago
If the next 3 polls are Harris +3.5 then the average will be above +2. The oldest polls in the average were +1, -2 and +3 for Harris
diddy
8 months ago
Just like the last time, there will be a poll any moment, yeah right
Dreaded
8 months ago
If the next 3 polls are Harris +3.5 then the average will be above +2. The oldest polls in the average were +1, -2 and +3 for Harris
diddy
8 months ago
Whoever thinks there will be a bunch of polls in 2 days and 22 hours is welcome to buy Kamala 2+ and make other options cheaper
Dreaded
8 months ago
If the next 3 polls are Harris +3.5 then the average will be above +2. The oldest polls in the average were +1, -2 and +3 for Harris
diddy
8 months ago
So it is an assumption that there will be some random polls in the next 3 days and that they will give a good boost to Kamala, not persuasive enough
Dreaded
8 months ago
If the next 3 polls are Harris +3.5 then the average will be above +2. The oldest polls in the average were +1, -2 and +3 for Harris
diddy
8 months ago
Morning Consult should have given Kamala a bump, the only two Kamala bump potentials are ABC and CBS which won’t drop during this timeframe, which polls are you referring to?
Dreaded
8 months ago
If the next 3 polls are Harris +3.5 then the average will be above +2. The oldest polls in the average were +1, -2 and +3 for Harris
diddy
8 months ago
What 3 next polls, I know only about Rasmussen dropping, what other 2?
Dreaded
8 months ago
If the next 3 polls are Harris +3.5 then the average will be above +2. The oldest polls in the average were +1, -2 and +3 for Harris
diddy
8 months ago
I agree comrade
n/a
8 months ago
Yes on 35-39 is the play ;)
diddy
8 months ago
Free money 20-24, +40
diddy
8 months ago
I agree with with you, we need more people to buy Trump and YES should be lower
Justifax
8 months ago
Problem is this could be driven purely by poll mix. A harvard-harris at the wrong time and Freddi is 200K richer.
diddy
8 months ago
Deadpool 3 is out of cinemas next week. It will take it years to catch up to Inside Out 2 then
diddy
8 months ago
Gooo Trumpito
diddy
8 months ago
He is full with events this week he may kill it tweeting and now he also retweets RFK
0xE42c9d2ef
8 months ago
Yeah, three days left so def happening. Hope he gets one more so i can put my money elsewhere
diddy
8 months ago
4 days actually
0xE42c9d2ef
8 months ago
Yeah, three days left so def happening. Hope he gets one more so i can put my money elsewhere
diddy
8 months ago
Free money at 15-19, 20-24 NO, Thanks
diddy
8 months ago
I regret what I said, Donnie will tweet 100 times
diddy
8 months ago
I’ll give up a secret. 40+ NO is free money, it’s very questionable at this point if Trump will even go over 30+ :)
diddy
8 months ago
I think it will be released just day after this ends unfortunately
TheOneB
8 months ago
Last ABC poll was on the 13, pretty likely they do one for the end of the month
diddy
8 months ago
Speculation, I think they reflect events the best out of all polls, either RFK or bounce will win in their case
L114
8 months ago
Morning Consult didn't have a change, what makes you think Rasmussen will have a positive one?
diddy
8 months ago
We have Rasmussen dropping on 28th. ABC & CBS would both likely give Kamala a lead but they won’t drop during this timeframe, anyone got other ideas which other RCP poll may drop?
diddy
8 months ago
Morning Consult should have given her bump, I don’t think Rasmussen will
TheOneB
8 months ago
RCP has updated for August 23, baseline is confirmed to be +1.5. Easy win here :)
diddy
8 months ago
This definitely won’t end up 50%50, we will see minimum 2 more polls
diddy
8 months ago
Baseline was already 1.5, that was the latest average before 23 Aug. it is 50%50 as of now, Kamala needs lead
TheOneB
8 months ago
RCP has updated for August 23, baseline is confirmed to be +1.5. Easy win here :)
diddy
8 months ago
Let’s all hope Rasmussen doesn’t give Trump +4
diddy
8 months ago
Crossed fingers!!!
TheOneB
8 months ago
Kaplan Strategies , a right wing pollster just published a Kamala +7 poll lmao (doesn't affect RCP's average, but still)
diddy
8 months ago
For those who want to minimize risks at cheap price, go vote at 10% Harris1-1.4 lead, 1.5 is baseline before this market.
diddy
8 months ago
Some polls didn’t see Harris as favorable where other did
n/a
8 months ago
Why are people panic selling Harris... Am I missing something?
diddy
8 months ago
He is ready to rampage tweet, quickly buy 40+
diddy
8 months ago
Eohioooo
Slaylorswift
8 months ago
He’s ALIVE
diddy
8 months ago
His arrest is about Russia and Ukraine and it comes from EU, why would they arrest him in the first place just to release him lol
diddy
8 months ago
Why isn’t this story of the news then? Why trust you as credible source?
tsybka
8 months ago
The period of detention of Pavel Durov in France expires on August 28
diddy
8 months ago
YES is being pumped as if he will be released any moment, guys it’s 17:45 in France, no release today even if he was supposed to
diddy
8 months ago
You’re car I’m truck, we are unstoppable
Car
8 months ago
keep them market YES buys coming guys
diddy
8 months ago
There are major predictions from the best in that Alcaraz has very high chances of winning this, ofc if he can get over Djokovic
diddy
8 months ago
This basically explains that he should have been released 1-2 days ago??
Remontada
8 months ago
They didn't go to much effort. It was an adhoc arrest. Read tsybka's excellent explanation https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1828077965252403413
diddy
8 months ago
Guys you do realize that 4 days is rather a short period of time to get him released. Why would they go through so much effort arresting such a figure only to release him asap, there isn’t any major backlash. I think 36% is insane
diddy
8 months ago
It was Sunday and Kamala made X tweets supporting her DNC highlights, Donnie mainly refuted her
Arbiter-of-Truth
8 months ago
I expect 4-5 tweets today. I think he'll highlight that neither Kamala or Biden honored troops today, which he did (see his youtube channel, he has already uploaded some stuff on Afgh.). I dont think he will average 6.5 tweets over the next four days, but we'll have a much better idea 1-2 days from now
diddy
8 months ago
I think Don did his best punch lines and now is taking a break, a slight ad and a leg kick will suffice but I don’t think he will go crazy
diddy
8 months ago
Embrace Donald as your personal lord and savior
moneysniper
8 months ago
Donald Trump if you can hear us, PLEASE Donald Trump PLEASE SAVE ME, PLEASE IM ASKING YOU. PLEASE GET THESE PEOPLE AWAY FROM ME
diddy
8 months ago
This is all against Fredi deathmatch
diddy
8 months ago
YES Holders are thugs and bullies
diddy
8 months ago
Do some magic JustKam
diddy
8 months ago
This ends 50-50 gg to YES holders, sell now to save
diddy
8 months ago
Omg looool this will actually end up 50-50, YES holders sell now or you go 50% value
diddy
8 months ago
Let’s go Donnie feed me money
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
the madman won't stop!
diddy
8 months ago
He just stopped
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
the madman won't stop!
diddy
8 months ago
Hahaha
0xE42c9d2ef
8 months ago
this feels like 2016 again. he is so back
diddy
8 months ago
Omg Donnie, 3 tweets under a minute
diddy
8 months ago
Rip 10-14
diddy
8 months ago
I want to be one of them
n/a
9 months ago
Her career depends on a steady supply of ex-boyfriends
diddy
8 months ago
Elon is the new Trump of Twitter lol
diddy
8 months ago
‘ https://www.natesilver.net/p/we-removed-rfk-jr-from-our-model’
diddy
8 months ago
It looks like that RFK endorsement gave Trump 0.3 net gain, and didn’t hurt Kamala, and this is before bounce even happened. ‘
diddy
8 months ago
It looks like that RFK endorsement gave Trump 0.3 net gain, and didn’t hurt Kamala, and this is before bounce even happened. ‘
diddy
8 months ago
You deserve to lose the money, and rightfully you will
2caf
8 months ago
Maybe this isn't the place for you then?
diddy
8 months ago
Look at the growth difference between her DNC speech August 22 and today. Here and on other major betting websites the growth averages at 5%. Her polling growth may just as well skyrocket
diddy
8 months ago
Guys, now it is totally game over. Kamala is on 50%, her rise on betting odds directly correlates with the polling growth, last week she was stuck at 1.5 and lost 5% lead over Trump but since DNC she has risen by 4% without even polls dropping out as of yet. Fredi999 aka Trump insider put millions into Trump trying to slow down her momentum but he probably ran out of budget lol.
diddy
8 months ago
Guys, now it is totally game over. Kamala is on 50%, her rise on betting odds directly correlates with the polling growth, last week she was stuck at 1.5 and lost 5% lead over Trump but since DNC she has risen by 4% without even polls dropping out as of yet. Fredi999 aka Trump insider put millions into Trump trying to slow down her momentum but he probably ran out of budget lol.
diddy
8 months ago
So according to reports, polling organizations have to Kamala’s luck, started surveying and interviewing potential voters after Kamala’s Thursday DNC speech. This will reflect on bounce for sure now. We may expect polling results next week.
diddy
8 months ago
This may as well as go 2-3 points up according to Trump pollsters
diddy
8 months ago
It’s really sad people betting for virus to come. I still feel bad when I bet that Biden is dead. Find better betts, YES holders.
diddy
8 months ago
I spent all day analyzing possibilities, and I sold all my bets on Trump after I have realized that there’s no possibility of Trump having a lead over Kamala over next 10 days. RFK impact will not impact existing voter pool because of his impact on certain states.
Gerdii
8 months ago
Bro your model literally says Trump up 1.1 Harris up .8
diddy
8 months ago
I mean look at this dude. This doesn’t look normal, the timing is perfect, and he pumped Trump on presidential bid by millions to prevent Kamala’s momentum. This guy is Trump insider 100%. Look at his volume for this week
GenericUser1234
8 months ago
I dont think i’ve ever seen such a lopsided market. Fredi is like 99% of the No market. If the polls dont go his way in the coming days, he won’t even be able to sell. It’ll move to 90+ Yes relatively quickly and stay there. Such a crazy risky bet on his part
diddy
8 months ago
Nevertheless this looks like free money after a deep analysis tbh…whichever way, Kamala should win, I am surprised this isn’t at 90% by now
diddy
8 months ago
Trump campaign confirmation for Kamala honeymoon in polls is real, this vote is gg ‘ https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-harris-election-08-24-24#h_67934a06e85b90565772498194d350c1’
diddy
8 months ago
Let’s hope it happens even for a day it would be good
BallzToTheWalz
8 months ago
Since 1964 they have tracked polling average bumps for candidates the week after their convention. Only twice in history has the candidate declined post convention - 2004 John Kerry, 2012 Mitt Romney. Only other sub-1 point gain was Biden 2020, but he still gained. She's currently at 1.5 and the convention went great - there's almost no chance she breaks historical precedent and see's a decline. She gained .8 the week of Aug 10 and which was her best week, if she matches that she'd be 2-2.5. Because of how averages are calculated a 1+ pt gain is almost impossible in a week. Very safe bets in the 1.5-2.4 range.
diddy
8 months ago
2-3 point boost is totally crazy, but according to Trump pollsters, this is likely the probability
diddy
8 months ago
Trump campaign confirmation for Kamala honeymoon in polls is real, this vote is gg ‘ https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-harris-election-08-24-24#h_67934a06e85b90565772498194d350c1’
diddy
8 months ago
Trump campaign confirmation for Kamala honeymoon in polls is real, this vote is gg ‘ https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-harris-election-08-24-24#h_67934a06e85b90565772498194d350c1’
diddy
8 months ago
RFK happened, and the DNC bounce isn’t long-lasting, this is largely ambiguous until we see if bounce is even real
BallzToTheWalz
8 months ago
Since 1964 they have tracked polling average bumps for candidates the week after their convention. Only twice in history has the candidate declined post convention - 2004 John Kerry, 2012 Mitt Romney. Only other sub-1 point gain was Biden 2020, but he still gained. She's currently at 1.5 and the convention went great - there's almost no chance she breaks historical precedent and see's a decline. She gained .8 the week of Aug 10 and which was her best week, if she matches that she'd be 2-2.5. Because of how averages are calculated a 1+ pt gain is almost impossible in a week. Very safe bets in the 1.5-2.4 range.
diddy
8 months ago
These markets are a complete steal. The market creator did not specify properly the rules then later attempted to readjust them asap in form of self-guilt feeling. It is obvious that if rules and only rules are followed, the endorsement did not happen. Twisting the story can produce a valid evidence that the endorsement had actually occurred, but it goes against the rules. This ‘additional context’ interference is unfair. Market is rigged.
diddy
8 months ago
The real question here is whose side has UMA voting advantage
diddy
8 months ago
The real question here is whose has more UMA voter advantage
diddy
8 months ago
Why isn’t Fredi pumping this market anymore, he did $150k in the last 24hrs on presidential bid
diddy
8 months ago
what the hell did I just look at lol
TheOneB
8 months ago
Also, please check the top holders for each side. Trump chances are being entirely held up by a whale who is 200k in the red. If you took away his shares this would be a 90/10 market in favor of Kamala
diddy
8 months ago
I have searched on interactive polling, and I only see polls favoring Kamala. To what are you referring to exactly?
0x979ed008e1128B4580333b9E672b33c51bB0c2a2-1723397206012
8 months ago
You guys do know that there was already a poll showing 68% going to Trump and 20% going to Harris?
diddy
8 months ago
There has been an attempt to curb down the post DNC democratic-favoured bubble, immediate RFK endorsement and potentially betting offs surge in Trump’s favour. But historically, the winning odds favour Kamala in every way, I don’t think polls can favour Trump at this point; dems never sleep
diddy
8 months ago
Reference?
0x979ed008e1128B4580333b9E672b33c51bB0c2a2-1723397206012
8 months ago
You guys do know that there was already a poll showing 68% going to Trump and 20% going to Harris?
diddy
8 months ago
Coming to think of it, it may be some buddy of Trump since Trump does care about betting odds being in his favour. Since DNC he wouldn’t like his lead over Kamala to drop so this may be an attempt to influence the public opinion & odds. His betting time on Trump is perfect; this is my speculation though
sigh
8 months ago
Fredi gave up HAHAHAHAHAH
diddy
8 months ago
This Fredi guy pumped Trump here and on Presidential election winner. This momentum is fading, Kamala is back on tracks
diddy
8 months ago
I think it is 1.5 for today, and the baseline is also 1.5
L114
8 months ago
I don't even see a daily average anywhere. Is the baseline +1.5 ? How do you clarify without posting the official baseline lol
diddy
8 months ago
Polls will boost her amd she will go 51
diddy
8 months ago
left wing media were instructed to censor RFK speech about Democrats
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Censored? What happened?
diddy
8 months ago
The way they censored RFK today, the polls may go back to Hillary urgency mode towards bias
diddy
8 months ago
That’s good news, thx
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Also, I hope you're sitting down for this, Trump exaggerated. He was up 3 which was bad news for him since that was significantly less than previous Rasmussen polls.
diddy
8 months ago
Trump mentioned he’s got Rasmussen 5 point lead, is this troubling? That’s 2 point increase from yesterday
diddy
8 months ago
I can’t believe I bought NO I feel stupid lol
diddy
8 months ago
I’ll give you a nice tip guys, go bet on 1-1.4 polling on Harris while it’s cheap. Figure out the math, she has averaged 1.5 this week, if she performs better then she this market on Kamala wins, if she loses, 1-1.4 market on Kamala polling will win. It’s a win-win at approx 60-65% bet, 35-40% profit
diddy
8 months ago
Oh man, 30k at 98..
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Yes was proposed yesterday, no one did it after he suspend the campaign today
diddy
8 months ago
Propose it then, comments on UMA say it’s too early
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Yes was proposed yesterday, no one did it after he suspend the campaign today
diddy
8 months ago
If someone has an argument, propose a solution. As of now, the proposed YES solution was rejected. Kennedy needs to do way more for demons YES solution, otherwise UMA voters will settle it to NO
diddy
8 months ago
Tell that to UMA voters. Take a close look at who voted NO
JonJonesMMA
8 months ago
The fact that RFK dropping out was at 99% leading up to his speech clearly shows that the majority of the market interpreted the rules to mean that even if he stays on the ballot in some states (which he can't even change at this point, it's always been like this in history..), it would still resolve in favor of "Yes" if he declared his campaign to be ended. It feels disingenuous to now argue that because he's still on the ballot and only "suspending" his campaign it should resolve to "No", when this scenario was always baked into the odds from beginning (99%!!!).
diddy
8 months ago
He doesn’t withdraw, he needs to stay in order for dems to have hard time in non-battleground states. People here discuss the concept rather than facts. He conceptually exited the presidential bid but in this case the UMA voters care about facts. The fact is that he only withdraws from battleground states.
diddy
8 months ago
I can't wait for climax
snipereagle8
8 months ago
He is getting there. This is the foreplay.
diddy
8 months ago
GET REKT
diddy
8 months ago
Oh no...save me from temptations...
diddy
8 months ago
Long fight but we prevail
XiJinPing
8 months ago
we win again boys, glad it's finally over... see yall back here next week lol
diddy
8 months ago
Wow 30-39 is so cheap, so is 40-49, good buy!
diddy
8 months ago
I have never been stressed out in poker or betting anything as much as Trump tweets, never doing this shit again
Slaylorswift
8 months ago
Zero shot he tweets 6 more times in 10 hours lol
diddy
8 months ago
We are good if it is his team as long as they keep the damn phone off his hands
Slaylorswift
8 months ago
Zero shot he tweets 6 more times in 10 hours lol
diddy
8 months ago
That old hag has to damn fucking go to sleep already
Slaylorswift
8 months ago
Zero shot he tweets 6 more times in 10 hours lol
diddy
8 months ago
I am definitely sure, 99% chance
CouchWhale
8 months ago
I heard a rumor that it’s going to be Beyoncé.
diddy
8 months ago
If beyonce is heard it's same as her showing up so this market is YES, thank you all, have a nice day
diddy
8 months ago
its still cheap buy
asr
8 months ago
obama free af
diddy
8 months ago
get rekt
diddy
8 months ago
Nope bros she is showing up :)
diddy
8 months ago
I give it 99% chance of her showing up. She has extreme benefits as well as Kamala just for showing up, and looking historically, she always shows up
diddy
8 months ago
9 more to go, 13 hours, he can do it!
idfkanything
8 months ago
21
diddy
8 months ago
When was the last time Trump had a sane tweet tbh
Pidor🐓
8 months ago
did you folks even read his latest tweet? 1 of these things is not like the others 😏 insanity at the wheel "At the Democrat Convention, they said, “We’ve got 70 days to act right…After 70 days, we can go back to acting crazy!” What they mean is that they want to get Elected, and then destroy our Country with Radical Left, Marxist/Socialist Policies. We can’t let this happen and, if it does, we won’t have a Country any longer. The U.S.A. will be reduced to ashes. #MAGA2024!"
diddy
8 months ago
Fck I knew she would come and I didn't keep my share ayyy
diddy
8 months ago
At the end it looks like Trump keeps personal opinions for Truth Social, while occasionally rambling on X, and mainly posting promotional material. This may be a new form of an agreement reached with his platform's investors.
diddy
8 months ago
This makhnochina guy pumps weird selections in markets lol, she aint coming its a false flag
diddy
8 months ago
nah we are safe here, Trump got Truth Social events
yoyo.
8 months ago
We're cooked
diddy
8 months ago
20, nah man it isn't going 30, some people are hyping it up but 10 is crazy
Edemil
8 months ago
how much is it now?
diddy
8 months ago
yo man you should have sold omg
lotsoflove69
8 months ago
Pls dont challenge him 😭
diddy
8 months ago
Nah no fucking way he tweets 10 more times in 10 hours while he is awake
diddy
8 months ago
Quite interesting what could be the reason, Trump Media stock experienced bump in gain, maybe Trump wants to keep the momentum going, it is quite hard to tell, but I don't believe he will go beyond 2 tweets
Eyebrows
8 months ago
Not a single Tweet on the Tweet markets today. Man alive...
diddy
8 months ago
I won on 10-14 Trump tweets like this, but now he has to tweet 2 times which is somehow advantageous, but Trump is unpredictable AF
Slaylorswift
8 months ago
He’s not tweeting on x 10-19 🔒
diddy
8 months ago
Trump tweeted on Truth social to be doing a live play, it may be in a conflict of interest for him to tweet on X during this time 'https://x.com/trumpdailyposts/status/1826641396104921110?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q'
diddy
8 months ago
Turn of events, Trump decides to take a break from his phone & tweets 2 times max :)
diddy
8 months ago
good win comrade
XiJinPing
8 months ago
youre literlly broke AF, stfu
diddy
8 months ago
bro u got rekt
0xE42c9d2ef
8 months ago
XiJinPing is trying to pump the market with false information and when I confront him he deletes out of shame. Embarrassing!
diddy
8 months ago
I honestly see this either below 1.4 or 1.9, no way it goes above 2, Trump has better momentum, even Polymarket shifted winning odds
SkillzThatKillz
8 months ago
2+ Ys are going to start selling like crazy tomorrow once they realize they only have 24 hours left. This ends at noon ET on Friday. If RCP doesn’t update their margin tomorrow they probably won’t hit 2 by Friday
diddy
8 months ago
I think they are legit bad at this lol
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
i don't know anything about this, but it seems like they're pretending to be mad and failing on purpose in order for $$$
diddy
8 months ago
rip
diddy
8 months ago
lool
diddy
9 months ago
Guys, Clade 1 is ebola level disease, that stuff isn’t making it to US from Africa, no way
diddy
9 months ago
I lost like that $4000 profit on women basketball gold I know feelz
RememberAmalek
9 months ago
Sharky bro this market isn't for you look at your trading LOL
diddy
9 months ago
I feel bad tbh
RememberAmalek
9 months ago
Sharky bro this market isn't for you look at your trading LOL
diddy
9 months ago
Sameee I was looking like wtf why is NO so high
XiJinPing
9 months ago
why arent the asks dropping bro... let me buy the dip!!
diddy
9 months ago
RIP to unfortunate ones
diddy
9 months ago
lost it all on women basketball :D
Natemo
9 months ago
dude your -$200 in the hole not sure people will take your advice based on your bets here.
diddy
9 months ago
Boiz, this is gonna heat up, tonight it's Tim Walz, tomorrow it's comrade Kamala, Trump is gonna be burning hot
diddy
9 months ago
:(
DiversifyYoBonds
9 months ago
New meaning to "degenerative heart disease"
diddy
9 months ago
If doc asks me why I had heart attack, how can I explain to him it's because Trump didn't tweet too many times?
diddy
9 months ago
Now just because you wrote that, Trump will not tweet anything in the next 2 days
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
WE'RE BACK.
diddy
9 months ago
Trump boi is back in action, just woke up, expecting 15 tweets
diddy
9 months ago
Highly, highly unlikely, EU would be having mass infection were that a case by now. Who has more restrictions to Congo and African countries?
Foreseeable.
9 months ago
and you have *NO* idea if there is a process as you describe going for two weeks 👀
diddy
9 months ago
Let's clarify some things. In case someone got the virus, there would be +5 days until symptoms start showing. Next, the person would need to be admitted to hospital after which, if confirmed to be Clade 1 variant, it would need to be reported to official bodies such as CDC, WHO, which could take another 1-2 days. The processes of just going through confirmation is strenuous, I don't want to kill hope of YES fellas, but you're just wasting your money in this case. Voting YES is literally high-stake gambling at this point
diddy
9 months ago
lol
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
NOT ENOUGH
diddy
9 months ago
Can someone make zombie apocalypse end October market?
diddy
9 months ago
Her supporters would demolish and hate her for that. She would never in a million years offer it lol
n/a
9 months ago
Trump might have used the debate date 4th sep to weazel out of the debates altogether, when she doesn't accept the first debate on Foxnews. Has he confirmed the debate 10th sept after she has declined the 4th yet? i could see her even offering the 2nd debate on Foxnews.
diddy
9 months ago
Why is no one mentioning Pelosi? Woman is older than oceans
diddy
9 months ago
Moment of silence for 'Yes we can' YES voters
diddy
9 months ago
Finally climate change Obama, you had me scared there for a moment
diddy
9 months ago
The only certain thing in these 'What he/she is gonna say' is Trump saying Tampons, everything else is a gamble
diddy
9 months ago
Yes we can recked lol
diddy
9 months ago
Truly powerful woman tbh, she could easily dominate any candidate and dominate Trump
factman
9 months ago
She speaks really well, and in some ways her speaking manner reminds of her husband. I really do see why some people thought she could be THE presidential candidate if she wanted to now.
diddy
9 months ago
no one would have guessed its direction, I was hesitant betting at all until recently
XiJinPing
9 months ago
also 1.5k NO 100+ and 4k NO 50-99
diddy
9 months ago
I knew so bad it would crash, that's why I didn't vote +10 tweets even though it was obvious. Trump is oblivious of himself until someone redirects him to reality
DiversifyYoBonds
9 months ago
Now it all makes sense my fellow 100+ bros:
diddy
9 months ago
I swear Trump is worse than Naruto, impossible to guess what's his next move
IONLYBETONX
9 months ago
yeah boi, cant believe i got 500 for 40 bucks
diddy
9 months ago
hahahaha comrade kamala, Trump is a born comedian, pure talent omg
diddy
9 months ago
We got it boiz, 10-19 for the win!
diddy
9 months ago
It is game over boiz, Fox isn't happening
diddy
9 months ago
My dear comrade, that's why I stopped short of betting on Trump tweets. Even though we have graduated this market, we still have issues predicting our friend Donald
XiJinPing
9 months ago
could have bought 1500 10-19 YES for $100... but I hesitated too long... and only 400 shares went through
diddy
9 months ago
August 19th shows 1.5, in 3 days it may average out at 1.7
diddy
9 months ago
10 days of silence for our comrades still praying for the deadly virus to attack our beloved USA patriots
diddy
9 months ago
This won't round up to 1, Kamala accepted 3, 2 presidential (Sept, Oct) and 1 VP (Sept). Trump wants 3. It is very unpresidential for them to end up on one, there is no way this ends at 1.
diddy
9 months ago
His buddy was dethroned, although he supports Kamala, why the hell would he chant Yes We Can on her when he didn't for Joe?
ACat
9 months ago
He said it in his 2016 speech. It’s also something he’s said back to the crowd after they start chanting, and we’re talking the DNC crowd here.
diddy
9 months ago
nah, I don't believe it, there aren't controversial figures before Kamala speech
franklutz69
9 months ago
Will this happen? No idea. Will it pump to 80 again? Absolutely
diddy
9 months ago
It's a valuable slogan, if he wants to use it, he will mention it the way he usually does, but it didn't happen before, I don't see the reason for it happening now, 2020 was way more critical for him to use that wording and he didn't
diddy
9 months ago
He said Yes We Can last time in 2008, what makes people think he will say it now?
diddy
9 months ago
He said Yes We Can last time in 2008, what makes people think he will say it now?
diddy
9 months ago
She will appear before Kamala, in 3 days, her song was used. Free promotions, both are black & women
diddy
9 months ago
60-75 minutes for DNC speaking? lol that never happened in history, and it’s at 16%, and for Kamala, lol?
diddy
9 months ago
This may turn around since Trump dragged her through the mud with fake endorsements. Either side is risky af. What if she now makes unexpected appearance?
diddy
9 months ago
Yeah it was so unlucky they were put against each other, this is easy win
Dooby
9 months ago
Real final was vs. Zverev Tiafoe never had a shot
diddy
9 months ago
I would put Sinner at a comfortable 85-90%
diddy
9 months ago
Because I like to donate to the poor
Plutos
9 months ago
why u buy no tho?
diddy
9 months ago
This is Ebola level thing, you do understand that right? Not some Flu
MichaelBurryd
9 months ago
comparing mpox with covid. Yeah - that's not how it works. Unless you're into (US) politics.., maybe?
diddy
9 months ago
It is confirmed, virus coming on Friday to U.S., good chance to buy YES and become rich
diddy
9 months ago
What is wrong with people, you guys think that there will really be 100 cases? That’s COVID apocalypse stuff you’re betting at, for 40% chance?
diddy
9 months ago
I like Filipinas :)
MichaelBurryd
9 months ago
Philippines case still unconfirmed if it was clade 1, apart from the No bros working in lab there ofcourse. They already know its a nothingburger since 2hrs
diddy
9 months ago
Oh no, insider, better sell my NO before it’s too late…
SaulGoodmanEsq
9 months ago
Joe Biden just got off the phone with the CEOs of Moderna and Pfizer, it's been decided. Switch sides no-bros before it's too late.
diddy
9 months ago
Guyyyyysss NO is still expensive, make it 55 and I’ll drop 1k NO ok ok
diddy
9 months ago
My communist comrade contains eternal luck, it never depletes
SaulGoodmanEsq
9 months ago
The media is absolutely salivating. Every outlet is itching to be the first to report a positive case in the US. The fear machine will be cranked up tomorrow.
diddy
9 months ago
This debate is on reporting, not if someone had it which is still extremely unlikely in 10 days
diddy
9 months ago
Capitalist comrade, sorry to say but you don’t understand Clade 1 well enough, neither do you understand that it needs to be reported before August 31. Someone may knowingly or unknowingly have it, but it needs to be reported asap
diddy
9 months ago
Capitalist comrade, sorry to say but you don’t understand Clade 1 well enough, neither do you understand that it needs to be reported before August 31. Someone may knowingly or unknowingly have it, but it needs to be reported asap
SaulGoodmanEsq
9 months ago
The media is absolutely salivating. Every outlet is itching to be the first to report a positive case in the US. The fear machine will be cranked up tomorrow.
diddy
9 months ago
How to report this scambag
0x3e49759f09e368eD35C1585aa56fa95f050FA88d-1724024549875
9 months ago
A Huge Opportunity: ZCR, a public blockchain project, has secured a massive investment from the ALBY Foundation and the acquisition process is currently underway. This blockchain features a built-in native cross-chain bridge and is poised to upgrade to a professional public chain. Upon completion of the acquisition, the ZCR token is expected to experience a substantial surge in value! Currently, ZCR can be purchased on the BSC, and ZCR tokens on the BSC can be exchanged 1:1 with the mainnet. The current market cap is only $100,000! Once officially launched, the market cap is projected to easily surpass $100 million! Seize the opportunity! BSC Contract Address: 0x0e8fe6eed5342ea9189d9268d088821f0532fb74 For more information, please refer to CoinMarketCap. The official ZCR Twitter contains a link to the announcement by the ALby Foundation. https://x.com/ZCoreCrypto/status/1824237527919726929?t=1fP3frnYaXW7UoD4V4VIZA&s=19
diddy
9 months ago
Ma booze doing a great job at making NO cheap again. I thank you with grace. God bless
diddy
9 months ago
Justin often comes here to see what gender his child will be
diddy
9 months ago
My YES patriots, you will forever be remembered for your selfless sacrifice and goodwill donation. God bless.
diddy
9 months ago
But more, make NO cheaper please 🥺
ManL
9 months ago
Probably it's all just smoke and there are no cases now or ever, but it's worth buying a YES here and buying a NO in the September
diddy
9 months ago
Why do people vote Other category lol, they think some magical movie, Avengers type of movie will appear 4 months before new year?
diddy
9 months ago
JustScam votes big Deadpool 3, it means it goes big, she knows it, that's the real rich
diddy
9 months ago
Deadpool 3 to the moon boiz? Let's go !
diddy
9 months ago
Deadpool 3 to the moon boiz? Let's go !
diddy
9 months ago
Scame
0x7d9F5EC1F3e61F6e2bA16A82962D1e160860De68-1723907408607
9 months ago
A Huge Opportunity: ZCR, a public blockchain project, has secured a massive investment from the ALBY Foundation and the acquisition process is currently underway. This blockchain features a built-in native cross-chain bridge and is poised to upgrade to a professional public chain. Upon completion of the acquisition, the ZCR token is expected to experience a substantial surge in value! Currently, ZCR can be purchased on the BSC, and ZCR tokens on the BSC can be exchanged 1:1 with the mainnet. The current market cap is only $100,000! Once officially launched, the market cap is projected to easily surpass $100 million! Seize the opportunity! BSC Contract Address: 0x0e8fe6eed5342ea9189d9268d088821f0532fb74 For more information, please refer to CoinMarketCap. The official ZCR Twitter contains a link to the announcement by the ALby Foundation. https://x.com/ZCoreCrypto/status/1824237527919726929?t=1fP3frnYaXW7UoD4V4VIZA&s=19
diddy
9 months ago
Incoming airplane from Congo, delivers free Clade 1, who wants to buy?
diddy
9 months ago
Scam
0x7d9F5EC1F3e61F6e2bA16A82962D1e160860De68-1723907408607
9 months ago
A Huge Opportunity: ZCR, a public blockchain project, has secured a massive investment from the ALBY Foundation and the acquisition process is currently underway. This blockchain features a built-in native cross-chain bridge and is poised to upgrade to a professional public chain. Upon completion of the acquisition, the ZCR token is expected to experience a substantial surge in value! Currently, ZCR can be purchased on the BSC, and ZCR tokens on the BSC can be exchanged 1:1 with the mainnet. The current market cap is only $100,000! Once officially launched, the market cap is projected to easily surpass $100 million! Seize the opportunity! BSC Contract Address: 0x0e8fe6eed5342ea9189d9268d088821f0532fb74 For more information, please refer to CoinMarketCap. The official ZCR Twitter contains a link to the announcement by the ALby Foundation. https://x.com/ZCoreCrypto/status/1824237527919726929?t=1fP3frnYaXW7UoD4V4VIZA&s=19
diddy
9 months ago
That day is not today! Remember that!
MichaelBurryd
9 months ago
I think I'll wake up to 98% some day and this will free 200K to roll over to the next markets
diddy
9 months ago
I think this market will increase to YES every day and eventually become 99% on August 31! Better and better chance to buy NO every day.
diddy
9 months ago
Our good comrade Nemo0 just donated $3k! Appreciation buddy, but we need more! Vote YES
diddy
9 months ago
Vote YES my capitalist comrades, we need to make NO Cheaper Again. Make NO Cheaper Again!
diddy
9 months ago
My Comrade, are we ready to win this one too?
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Can someone sacrafice themselves? Go to Africa, have gay sex, come back, get tested, make $$$$$.
diddy
9 months ago
Trump is full on depression it seems
diddy
9 months ago
True to be honest, he may rant up 20 tweets at least
Rahket
9 months ago
I guess Trump is teaming up with anybody he can at this point, which includes Musk. It should have been 0 or 10+, he eitehr tweets like he used to and tank his stock or not at all
diddy
9 months ago
‘ https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/shares-trumps-media-firm-near-record-low-following-his-return-x-2024-08-14/’
diddy
9 months ago
Trump will literally screw his company stock this week. He seems to be aware
diddy
9 months ago
Trump will literally screw his company stock this week. He seems to be aware
diddy
9 months ago
Nvm he is all in lol
diddy
9 months ago
Guys it’s insane spending so much money on +10, he can’t put up so many ads and overshadowed the previous good punch lines
diddy
9 months ago
I call it 6-8, there are 6 days left on which he has to make 9 tweets more
diddy
9 months ago
These are ads he tweets. No way he will teeet +10 times in a week, that’s a tweet per day
diddy
9 months ago
Lol, this debate won't happen 10000%, YES holders save your money until you lose all
diddy
9 months ago
Oh no no, not again
diddy
9 months ago
me and XiJinPing since beginning
Sanity
9 months ago
im out, lost money. anyone has a good other bet on here?
diddy
9 months ago
hahaha, you owe me beers
XiJinPing
9 months ago
congrats all 11-15 hodlers, we survived
diddy
9 months ago
but he lost in the end if he sold omg
XiJinPing
9 months ago
i think he sold lol
diddy
9 months ago
where's our third guy, the one who spent $10k on 95% YES then it dropped 60% lol
XiJinPing
9 months ago
degen life comrade
diddy
9 months ago
at least we get rich
XiJinPing
9 months ago
degen life comrade
diddy
9 months ago
This is quite embarrassing tbh, being frustrated for 3 days over Trump tweets lol..life is weird af
diddy
9 months ago
yeah, I feel bad I sold on that market lol
Donkov
9 months ago
lil donnie still not tweeting?
diddy
9 months ago
nah he is game over, no promotional material for today
Donkov
9 months ago
lil donnie still not tweeting?
diddy
9 months ago
3 hours of silence for those who think that Trump will tweet 2 times.
diddy
9 months ago
We finally made it...
XiJinPing
9 months ago
pretty sure Trump is golfing right now, he's at his golf club in New Jersey. He has a rally tomorrow, nothing planned today, so he is golfing and chilling today.
diddy
9 months ago
Trump isn't even tweeting on Truth Social, obv he is taking a break.
diddy
9 months ago
14
Doable
9 months ago
Whats the count?
diddy
9 months ago
Wrote 12am, it's pm
diddy
9 months ago
My boiz hoping hard that Trump will tweet not once, but two times in the morning before 12am. High expectations, good luck, 6 hours left :)
diddy
9 months ago
My boiz hoping hard that Trump will tweet not once, but two times in the morning before 12am. High expectations, good luck, 6 hours left :)
diddy
9 months ago
His team, had an ad he wanted to post, famous AI video, and it happened before and after 12pm. There has to be something important for him to post twice before 12pm this morning I guess.
Laura
9 months ago
I don't know how likely it is but it's exactly what he did yesterday when people weren't expecting him to
diddy
9 months ago
Unlikely, Trump posting 2 posts before 12pm is unlikely, I think if he does, he will create a pause for a second post
Laura
9 months ago
Someone start making a bunch of AI videos for him to possibly share
diddy
9 months ago
My dear comrades, it looks like we will win 11-15. It is unlikely for someone to do 2 posts in 6 waking hours.
diddy
9 months ago
Guys, however this ends, we can all claim to be Trump tweeting veterans, even put it on our CVs. Every day we learn something new.
diddy
9 months ago
Trump already posted all the conference highlights on Truth social, and not on X it seems
diddy
9 months ago
He already does 50 tweets, but on a competitor platform, his Truth media
Lewycz
9 months ago
If trump will start tweet he can easly hit 20 per day iof you see how much he post in 2021. Risky to bet 11-15 But GL.
diddy
9 months ago
17 total hours, and approx 8 wake hours left to make 1 tweet max, and 11-15 wins!
diddy
9 months ago
Literally, that would be a stupid move, he doesn't tweet, his team does, and they seem to tweed ads. Exception would be this conference, but there isn't any tweet concerning it as of now
EmpirePending
9 months ago
He could easily bang out 7/8 tweets within 20 minutes and shit on everybody here
diddy
9 months ago
No tweets before and after the conference !!! We are on a good path 11-15 gang !
diddy
9 months ago
Let's pray !!!
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Preferably at 11:55am tomorrow
diddy
9 months ago
Can I bring my laptop
factman
9 months ago
embrace taking your phone to the bathroom, comrade.
diddy
9 months ago
Yes, I am selling, I lost $4000 profit because I didn't sell on damn women playing basketball
n/a
9 months ago
why do you need to be at the computer? are you going to sell if he tweets? you don't lose even if he tweets
diddy
9 months ago
The worst thing about this is that I really wanna go to bathroom, but man....money is at risk here
diddy
9 months ago
KalagsFin bro, you predicted that he will tweet that ad, what's your next prediction?
Laura
9 months ago
Starting to feel pretty good about cashing out with 'only' 3x profit
diddy
9 months ago
Better carry it to 16-20, it's cheaper, there's no way there will be +6 tweets in ±10 waking hours.
Laura
9 months ago
If I win on the conference market I might carry some of it over onto 11-15 no tbh
diddy
9 months ago
We deserve 20 beers after all this stress
Laura
9 months ago
Starting to feel pretty good about cashing out with 'only' 3x profit
diddy
9 months ago
Now be ready for the 16-20 market price to slowly go down if Trump doesn't tweet sometime after the conference.
diddy
9 months ago
This market determines whether Trump will become my arch nemesis.
Laura
9 months ago
Starting to feel pretty good about cashing out with 'only' 3x profit
diddy
9 months ago
My bro and me are gonna win. I am legit sure! That ad is good, they have to post something of higher importance to be worth of getting it out the sight!
Kevysama
9 months ago
Your 11-15 bag heavy
diddy
9 months ago
不会!!有周末可以睡觉
factman
9 months ago
同志们,你们会睡觉吗
diddy
9 months ago
20 hours - 8 sleep, approx 10 wake hours, not to tweet anything, we can do it !!
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
All it takes is one more tweet tomorrow and 11-15 is in shambles
diddy
9 months ago
1 tweet is good, let's hope it's not two of them
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
All it takes is one more tweet tomorrow and 11-15 is in shambles
diddy
9 months ago
Come on boiz, hold the line, don't let 11-15 fall. Stay strong!!
diddy
9 months ago
香港人是例外啊,真的好 :D
factman
9 months ago
习同志,在这儿吗?
diddy
9 months ago
If a tweet has to come, let it be one, from conference. Trump bro, spare us
diddy
9 months ago
你来自哪里啊,繁体中文,不是共产主义者吗?
ExhaustedBoyBilly
9 months ago
為何這麼多人講中文?
diddy
9 months ago
billy
ExhaustedBoyBilly
9 months ago
為何這麼多人講中文?
diddy
9 months ago
If Trump loses the election, at least he will have his Truth company. I think he will limit X, indefinitely, only for specific content instead of him tweeting
ShowBaer
9 months ago
His reach is manifold here than on Truth! Not sure how smart trumps personell really is though!!
diddy
9 months ago
剩余二十一小时啊,还可以赢,但是我的情绪很不安aaaaaa
factman
9 months ago
习同志,在这儿吗?
diddy
9 months ago
Capitalist or not, we are both voting Kamala, so we are brothers in arms
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
im sorry to say but he is a capitalist pig in disguise. hes done it a few times already
diddy
9 months ago
真的不知道 :(
factman
9 months ago
习同志,在这儿吗?
diddy
9 months ago
I believe that me and my communist comrade will prevail
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
Thinking how he can pump up the price to create exit liquidity
diddy
9 months ago
Where's my XiJinPing bro, we are together in this like Titanic
diddy
9 months ago
I am CISSP certified senior risk consultant, it doesn't help
yoonmarketenjoyer
9 months ago
I can send you a book on risk management if you want
diddy
9 months ago
Ok, let's think logically. That repost was just an ad. Trump Team spends millions on ads just to be seen by public. If Trump Team chooses to tweet out something random, the ad may lose its viewership. So, smart thing would be not to post anything, hopefully.
diddy
9 months ago
11-15 will win if it is from his team, unless they release some new magical ad, and something crazy popular
iforgot
9 months ago
no, we're not. None of these new tweets were posted by him, I'm pretty sure. It's all from his team. That's why I am feeling pretty confidend about my position.
diddy
9 months ago
I feel so bad when I bet that Biden is dead and now that Trump will hold his urges. My life is doing great
bbman1214
9 months ago
You are betting if a man with no impulse control has impulse control?
diddy
9 months ago
We are literally betting whether Trump can hold out a bit, and prevent his hands from going on X for like 19 fckin hours
diddy
9 months ago
By the way...LUCKILY, the repost Trump made is an ad which he posted on Truth 17 hours ago. This may indicate that he only posts promotional & significant material, rather than casual tweeting.
diddy
9 months ago
I think I will forever hate Trump because of this lol
diddy
9 months ago
There are two uncertainties in this world, one is women's basketball, other is Trump tweets
diddy
9 months ago
23-8, 15 hours, our guy has to sleep
XiJinPing
9 months ago
random shit? he posted on Twitter (owne by Elon), a video of him and Elon danicng. The same post Elon pinned on his own profile. Surely this will happen 3 more times in 23 hours.
diddy
9 months ago
You're right, they should all buy 16-20 :)
yoonmarketenjoyer
9 months ago
psychopaths buying 88c shares
diddy
9 months ago
Why didn't you sell man, you could have earned 7x times profit?
Kalags
9 months ago
Literally free money at "Yes" They just handing it to people these days smh
diddy
9 months ago
At the time of his tweet, stock lost ~$1 value. The fears of him coming back to X would see the volume of Trump Media crash, I think he is being very careful.
Kalags
9 months ago
He posted nice advertisement video again which I think will be on X soon ;))
diddy
9 months ago
A steep decline, the lowest in 4 months
Kalags
9 months ago
He posted nice advertisement video again which I think will be on X soon ;))
diddy
9 months ago
13
Coram_Deo
9 months ago
How many did he tweet to this day
diddy
9 months ago
Take a look at what happens at his media company’s stock when he tweets on X
Kalags
9 months ago
He posted nice advertisement video again which I think will be on X soon ;))
diddy
9 months ago
On right time, now is the time to sell, it will go 3% prob in a few hours
debased
9 months ago
I should have more panic bought
diddy
9 months ago
Minute of silence for panic buying 16-20 holders
diddy
9 months ago
I think he wants to get views on video now and wait deliberately in case he wanted to tweet. This may take 1-2 days at least. I think 11-15 gang is safe
diddy
9 months ago
JustKam quickly bought 16-20 shares within the seconds on tweet and now sells them overpriced lol. No wonder how he/she got so much $$
diddy
9 months ago
He just retweeted what was trending, I don't think there would be anymore tweets, but 2 more are secure option tbh.
yoonmarketenjoyer
9 months ago
HOW CAN HE TWEET?
diddy
9 months ago
This should be all he tweets hopefully lol, 27hr more
diddy
9 months ago
Maga at 78% is absurd
diddy
9 months ago
He won’t be tweeting because of ads, they get nice views as of now.
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Tweets since Monday = 1... TruthSocial posts since Monday = 56
diddy
9 months ago
48 hours to go
diddy
9 months ago
Shooting rockets at civilians ain’t fun
7153649820
9 months ago
As a centrist, I think all sides are good and totally justified in their actions. I just hope all sides have fun doing whatever they are going to do.
diddy
9 months ago
not worth playing around here tbh
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Nothing is getting past that huge wall at 81 cents lol... stalemate, well played anon.
diddy
9 months ago
Watch Logan Paul, Impaulsive, interview with Trump, and you will see how he promotes his Truth Social media. Trump tweeting on X would be a self-sabotage an bear damage to his net worth. The only moments when Trump may post on X at this point would be when there's something significant or a new AD. Him tweeting casually on X are the days of the past. If he wanted to do it, he would have done it long time ago, no reason for him to start now.
diddy
9 months ago
You are a bot like other accounts in chat, causing panic to earn NO share value on trading.
n/a
9 months ago
yes holders can't sleep lol, too risky for yes holders
diddy
9 months ago
He won't be tweeting, the only thing he could tweet is an ad, and it would be one ad at maximum, but still, even that is unlikely.
XiJinPing
9 months ago
FUCK, TRUMP JUST POSTED ANOTHER TWEET
diddy
9 months ago
No he didn't lol
XiJinPing
9 months ago
FUCK, TRUMP JUST POSTED ANOTHER TWEET
diddy
9 months ago
Trump tweets +30 times on average & truth social. He posted on X the main attack ads of Kamala & promotion material. The chances of him overshadowing it, considering that he lost so much money attacking Biden by now, him making a streak of posts is highly unlikely.
diddy
9 months ago
Yeah, good luck with that :)
n/a
9 months ago
Really good odds to bet NO 11-15 here. Still 3 days left, that's only 5% per day for huge potential return.
diddy
9 months ago
Here we go boiz, we have good signs that an attack may happen. It's not like I wish for attack but, money would come in handy :)
diddy
9 months ago
I hope so
Donkov
9 months ago
Is it happening?
diddy
9 months ago
YES to the moon wohoooo
diddy
9 months ago
The graph will be on a rollercoaster this week
diddy
9 months ago
What's coming, where's the reference to Blinken postponed arrival
diddy
9 months ago
IDF and USA intelligence believe otherwise, 'IDF says civilian guidelines unchanged as reports say Tehran will possibly strike by Thursday; US announces it’s sending guided missile submarine, expediting strike group’s arrival' Ref.: Timesofisrael
Justifax
9 months ago
Or it could come after, when the negotiations fail. Get real.
diddy
9 months ago
'The new intelligence suggests an attack could come before the Gaza hostage and ceasefire deal talks planned for Thursday, which could put the indirect negotiations between Israel and Hamas at risk.' References: axios
Justifax
9 months ago
Huh?
diddy
9 months ago
I think realistically, the deadline for this is before Thursday, so let's see what happens then. If they choose to attack, that time would be in their best interest.
diddy
9 months ago
The only realistic choice here would be D prez, R senate, D house, sweeps aren't happening for sure.
diddy
9 months ago
hahaha, I hope it doesn't sink :D
ootharju
9 months ago
HOLD THE LINE YES HOLDERS
diddy
9 months ago
Quite frankly, Iran is at disadvantage if they attack, it would be stupid move because they have international pressure to sue for peace. On the other hand comes the 'pride' of Iranian people/honour and that stuff. Still, it is very unlikely if they would attack, that it would happen in the next 3 days.
diddy
9 months ago
Never bet on 1 option, that's gambling, bet on multiple to ensure secure profits
Kalags
9 months ago
Damn he has to win alot of game in a row to win though. Mathematically maybe a bad bet.
diddy
9 months ago
It was...horrifying, I was more shocked at how bad they play than my profits flying all over the place
XiJinPing
9 months ago
wouldnt blame u, that womens basketball game was more crimes than Israel in Palestine
diddy
9 months ago
Harsh reality, I made a mistake when I sold YES France 2000 shares at 4%..just after that they started winning, a big failure, never trust numbers, 4% or 2% or 50%, they are deceitful.
ootharju
9 months ago
Yikes that's brutal we cant win em all😔
diddy
9 months ago
Women playing basketball fucked me, I screwed up
ootharju
9 months ago
what happened to ur profit my man u were doing so good in the olympics markets esp the gold medals one
diddy
9 months ago
It's a NO in the end
diddy
9 months ago
This won't start for just anyone, only a selected number of people would attend it live, we normal folk get the recording.
diddy
9 months ago
how to get in, did you find the hole?
Slaylorswift
9 months ago
Got in and it’s just music lol
diddy
9 months ago
Yeah, some random guy just out of fun, hacked Microsoft and Trump. What did he gain? And how come is he so good to hide from FBI
JonathanG
9 months ago
I suggest you look in Langley, VA or 1600 Pennsylvania Ave for the suspect(s).
diddy
9 months ago
Just try to explain, who else has the red teaming resources and such technical expertise, to out of nowhere, hack into Microsoft? This takes years or months, and why would anyone else do this than gov-sponsored operatives?
JonathanG
9 months ago
Two entities you NEVER believe. The FBI and CNN.
diddy
9 months ago
'https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/12/politics/suspected-iranian-hackers-breached-personal-email-account-of-someone-associated-with-trump-campaign-investigators-believe/index.html'
diddy
9 months ago
Guys it's legit, Iran hacked Trump
diddy
9 months ago
Guys it's legit, Iran hacked Trump
diddy
9 months ago
In whose interest would it to be to hack Trump other than Iran?
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962
9 months ago
You really think this attack that has been planned for weeks is going to be launched to coincide with an interview that was announced only a couple of days ago? And there’s no evidence it was Iran who hacked Trump.
diddy
9 months ago
The attack is very much possible actually, Trump is having an interview in 1.30 hr, and its 1:24am in Iran, it would be ideal for them to attack @3-5am. And in addition, they also recently hacked Trump's campaign.
diddy
9 months ago
Account reporting Iran strikes was fake
martingale
9 months ago
Why did everyone sell Yes lol?
diddy
9 months ago
You are unaware that we are talking about Trump here right?
skrtttttttttt
9 months ago
can someone give me a argument on trump saying trans, you are telling me the presidential candidate losing by 4-6 points to kamala is going to go on a trans rant infront of elon musk whos kid is trans and is trying to expose him for being a bad person lmao
diddy
9 months ago
You should sell Civil War because EU issued warning to Musk about recent UK events. Civil war associates with that, Trump will likely be notified ahead not to mention it.
X9504
9 months ago
He literally just said it at his press conference
diddy
9 months ago
This topic may come up because of recent California laws. This makes for a good dispute to bash Newsom with his trans nonsenses.
skrtttttttttt
9 months ago
can someone give me a argument on trump saying trans, you are telling me the presidential candidate losing by 4-6 points to kamala is going to go on a trans rant infront of elon musk whos kid is trans and is trying to expose him for being a bad person lmao
diddy
9 months ago
Deadpool will have a re-run during the holidays, they will highly likely make commercials again. I would say Deadpool stands a very good chance to surpass Inside Out 2.
diddy
9 months ago
He will forget to say MAGA, why would he say MAGA with Elon 1v1, in what case does Trump say MAGA when he talks to one person..
diddy
9 months ago
He might reference it as such, 'These people call me weird, look at them..' or for trans ideology etc. Trans may be used to connect other topics here.
n/a
9 months ago
Weird has been the anti trump campaign with Vance for the last two weeks. Elon loves to say weird. They are gonna say weird lol.
diddy
9 months ago
I will have heart attack
diddy
9 months ago
France is op lol
diddy
9 months ago
等什么
YatSen
9 months ago
just wait ....
diddy
9 months ago
Basketball is at 98% on betting sites
shouldntbhere
9 months ago
Before gm events today odds for China were 3 to 1 and now they are 9 to 1. When they were 3 to 1 China had to win their 1/1 chance + USA had to win 2/4 medals. Now, USA has to win for sure their bball game, because they “choked” on 2 events, yet market pricing 3 times more likely that USA will win this market compared to today before the events Not making much sense.
diddy
9 months ago
Why do you still have USA NO shares, sell it asap, when match starts there will be no liquidation
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
Bama still holding China shares, they must know something
diddy
9 months ago
bama124 definitely forgot he invested here lol, but he was damn close...I must say USA got really lucky
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
Bama still holding China shares, they must know something
diddy
9 months ago
USA wins
spacino
9 months ago
what if both get 40 medals?
diddy
9 months ago
Like 2008 Beijing olympics and the low quantity of sports
Timewalker102
9 months ago
The big problem with China is that they keep minmaxxing sports. The US invests in everything which means they always have random pickup opportunities. Don't put all your eggs in one basket etc etc
diddy
9 months ago
France wins, go bet France now
diddy
9 months ago
basketball, upcoming match odds
Sit
9 months ago
what do you mean
diddy
9 months ago
I hope it's tasty
diddy
9 months ago
France wins here
diddy
9 months ago
Notice how the odds for France vs USA and here are the same, it is in sync
diddy
9 months ago
94% is a little too much, they don't have Curry
diddy
9 months ago
France wins here
diddy
9 months ago
France wins here
diddy
9 months ago
Lets go FRANCE !!
diddy
9 months ago
Like Curry, they saved out $$
Misty-nep
9 months ago
Jennifer Valente is Captain America right now
diddy
9 months ago
GG all, sorry China losers
diddy
9 months ago
Game over, USA wins gold!
diddy
9 months ago
Yes, never bet like here, always do trading on +10 markets at the same time
Firefucks
9 months ago
Hey guys , anyone knows a good and safe way to earn on polymarket
diddy
9 months ago
USA YES holders, go vote France YES to balance out the losses while it's still cheap
diddy
9 months ago
I gave you warnings to not fall for short sellers
diddy
9 months ago
I feel sorry for my Chinese friends
diddy
9 months ago
I feel sorry for my Chinese friends
diddy
9 months ago
Valente winning now 100%
diddy
9 months ago
Go vote YES France to balance out the losses
diddy
9 months ago
They still have approx 95% chance to win
Chrissistar04
9 months ago
Without volleyball, the usa has no chance of winning, right?
diddy
9 months ago
She's no.1 lol
Michael2024
9 months ago
valente losing
diddy
9 months ago
Guys, I will give you a tip, go on USA vs France and vote YES France, it's 6%, in case USA doesn't win basket, you will still win huge money
diddy
9 months ago
No its not lol, USA has +95% chance for 2 gold medals
Michael2024
9 months ago
its over for the us, lost 20k
diddy
9 months ago
yep, both wins almost guarantee, +95%
-nothingburger-
9 months ago
basket + valente then?
diddy
9 months ago
She wins for sure
werfukced
9 months ago
valente decides will i have dinner today or nah
diddy
9 months ago
Here we go boiz Blades is on the roll for wrestling gold!
diddy
9 months ago
No more golds from China sorry
ActDrew
9 months ago
KAM ON CHYNA SCORE SUM FAKKIN GOLDS
diddy
9 months ago
USA
Jayys
9 months ago
Which will win when USA and China draw?
diddy
9 months ago
Big shareholders do short selling, I feel bad for those who fall for it
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Whats happening? AGHHHHHH
diddy
9 months ago
not three, 2, Basketball 98% chance, omnium +90%
luyao
9 months ago
why people so sure that US would get three medals...
diddy
9 months ago
Oh, shortselling, my mistake
factman
9 months ago
what is shortening
diddy
9 months ago
What people are doing with China YES and USA NO is called shortening. Don't fall for it.
diddy
9 months ago
There's also wrestling, and she won't lose it
Michael2024
9 months ago
if australia wins omnium its over for the US
diddy
9 months ago
Nice, make the USA even cheaper please :)
diddy
9 months ago
Chiana gold weightlifting, 40, now please make USA YES cheap
diddy
9 months ago
I want to have strong kids
diddy
9 months ago
I will marry the one that wins
diddy
9 months ago
I will marry the one that wins
X9504
9 months ago
Those weightlifting ladies are thiccccccc
diddy
9 months ago
If that's the case, USA wins
Mark999
9 months ago
What if I bet on yes and both countries end up with the same number of gold medals?
diddy
9 months ago
There's wrestling, volleyball, basketball; basketball chances are +95%
Michael2024
9 months ago
USA will lose volleyball and basketball
diddy
9 months ago
Now it is approx 98% USA win chance according to market odds, and prob 99% according to Polymarket
diddy
9 months ago
Glad I bet USA, now I will force all family to vote Kamala
Iverson
9 months ago
Can someone submit this market as resolved now?
diddy
9 months ago
WIN
diddy
9 months ago
I WILL bet 100k if she wins now
diddy
9 months ago
GO USAAAA !!!!
diddy
9 months ago
French Valentine lol
Timewalker102
9 months ago
Valente eliminated
diddy
9 months ago
France is good at basketball and they are hyped, I agree
X9504
9 months ago
Gonna be tough for Americans to win basketball
diddy
9 months ago
Oh fuck...USA LOSES THIS OMG FUCK ME
diddy
9 months ago
Yes, I am voting Kamala, I wish for USA to convert Chinese too
Gena🐊
9 months ago
I was Chinese too, but now I wish Long Life to the General Secretary of the DNC and leader of America.
diddy
9 months ago
If USA fucks me over now, I'll convert to Chinese!!!
diddy
9 months ago
China gold in weightlifting very soon
diddy
9 months ago
Watch USA drop on boxing lol
diddy
9 months ago
USA loses weightlifting :(
diddy
9 months ago
I am getting ready to buy when things get more certain and clear :) and cheaper
diddy
9 months ago
You literally make up numbers, where did you get that 80% from? It's 36%, and do you even know what a landslide victory is?
x.com/polymarketbet
9 months ago
Kennedy Blades will bring another gold medal and together with basketball it will be a landslide victory for USA. In addition, there is also Volleyball, where the USA can also win. 80% chance for USA now
diddy
9 months ago
That's also incorrect, you're delusional thinking it's a guarantee win, the only favourites are in basketball
diddy
9 months ago
A loss in wrestling makes it 50%50, lets go boiz, communists assemble!
diddy
9 months ago
Wrong, no it hasn't China will guarantee win 1 more, weightlifting
x.com/polymarketbet
9 months ago
China has finished all performances, even if the USA receives 1 medal - in basketball or volleyball, they are compared with China and win (according to market conditions, if there is an equal number of gold medals, the one with the larger total wins.
diddy
9 months ago
A loss in wrestling makes it 50%50, lets go boiz, communists assemble!
diddy
9 months ago
read the Rules
0xd34779ACFD925e6Dc51E2B873D532b0c7659113A-1721535010373
9 months ago
If USA and China tie on gold count, what does it resolve to?
diddy
9 months ago
Let's see, if they lose wrestling, they are in deep trouble
comon
9 months ago
CCP will win
diddy
9 months ago
Japan 50%, USA 57%, 7% doesn't look like favourite, it's a flip, which means there is 50% chance for the stock value to also flip
0x8D698FF2D1E90253CA3227564bAFD2e2ced99dDB-1723230400794
9 months ago
USA are favourites in the wrestling.
diddy
9 months ago
I am ready for them to lose at one of them then my share would essentially double, I sold USA because that's risky as fuck
diddy
9 months ago
For USA to win, they have to over-perform at the 3 sports they aren't favourites. This looks good for China. If they lose at first one, this stock will probably go 40-50% on China YES, and continue to climb if they continue to not to win.
diddy
9 months ago
Which means they have to win one of three matches to tie
ledong
9 months ago
USA just needs to tie to win.
diddy
9 months ago
For USA to win, they have to over-perform at the 3 sports they aren't favourites. This looks good for China. If they lose at first one, this stock will probably go 40-50% on China YES, and continue to climb if they continue to not to win.
diddy
9 months ago
Ok boiz, I am Chinese again, let's win this!
diddy
9 months ago
This bama124 guy is cookin something. I have followed his insane bets, he just bets and leaves as it is and always wins. He bet on China, does he know something we don't hmmmm....
diddy
9 months ago
It is good you weren't here today, because you would have had heart attack seeing your USA bet at 33%
DonaldinhoTrumpito
9 months ago
Sorry I wasn't there to comment and give odds these last 2 days, I know some of you appreciated it. Also to avoid making a huge wall of text, I will reply to myself in separate messages, I hope Poly doesn't mind and it they do, they should allow us to make paragraphs. Anyway this was one hell of a rollercoaster and I won't be able to recap it all. The thing that's great about medal bets is that they make you follow all sports with great intensity, especially with the US and China having athletes everywhere. The highlights of today included a surprising China run in golf from someone who was 3% to win to start the day, a unreal choke from both Ukraine and Bulgaria in artistic gymnastics gifting China another gold, two insane close 2nd place for the US, 0,01s behind Canada in canoe and a few points behind in climbing (this one was kind of miraculous, the Slovenian climber was 92% to win before the start, but the US climber did very well in the 1st part and the Slovenian girl appeared to injure her finger... but in the end, she barely prevailed).
diddy
9 months ago
those betts are bullshit, real bets start when the game starts
qlemxis
9 months ago
A tie is already priced in as USA winning this market... the only scenario where China wins outright (by 1 gold) is if US loses all 3 of Volleyball (0.70), cycling (0.75), wresting (0.5): 0.70 * 0.75 * 0.5 = 26%
diddy
9 months ago
This market shouldn't be priced 27% China. In the rules there is a condition on a 'tie', which makes things extremely different, which means all online odds of USA winning are enhanced significantly in this case. The market should stand at 10-15% China.
diddy
9 months ago
MVP with Jokic
ootharju
9 months ago
Curry wtf those last 3s
diddy
9 months ago
bro donate me a dollar pliz
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
9 months ago
Remember, if you don't take it to 80, did Curry even win?
diddy
9 months ago
Curry is Messi of basketball
diddy
9 months ago
Vote YES China please, make USA cheap for me :)
diddy
9 months ago
Guys, look at the previous olympics. You will see that China had +5 lead in gold medals and USA still won because USA gold sports come in late. The same scenario will play out. Furthermore, USA wins on a tie.
diddy
9 months ago
Serbia with Jokic couldn't defeat USA, France doesn't stand a chance
diddy
9 months ago
Sorry boiz, US wins basketball & also wins if it ties with china on gold medals
diddy
9 months ago
USA should have 38+ gold medals by tonight right?
diddy
9 months ago
Thank you Bread for making the price normal, now lets get it to 90% boiz
diddy
9 months ago
Someone please buy something, this price isn't good for me, I don't know where to bet
diddy
9 months ago
Look at 2020 Tokyo Olympics, China was leading USA by 7 points, and they won with late medals..same as now
HaterAde
9 months ago
I just don’t see a path for US to win here.
diddy
9 months ago
guys, sell China, save yourselves, gold from USA incoming
diddy
9 months ago
Come my ex-communist fellas, dump your money on China, I need to sell my China shares for double price
diddy
9 months ago
Man you will bankrupt me...
ThatGuyInTheGlass
9 months ago
CN just rocked the technical section of artistic swimming. free section coming up soon. fellow commies, unite.
diddy
9 months ago
Not like Maduro
diddy
9 months ago
I must admit that as an ex-communist, I am joining the USA gang again
diddy
9 months ago
Kamala is a good communist
diddy
9 months ago
I must admit that as an ex-communist, I am joining the USA gang again
diddy
9 months ago
I will vote Kamala
diddy
9 months ago
I must admit that as an ex-communist, I am joining the USA gang again
diddy
9 months ago
I must admit that as an ex-communist, I am joining the USA gang again
diddy
9 months ago
This guy just sold 25,000 YES China shares lol
diddy
9 months ago
It will be like 2020 Tokyo Olympics, USA would lead by a point
diddy
9 months ago
why didn't you sell man
Cardinal
9 months ago
Why did I try to swing.
diddy
9 months ago
It's game over now boiz :c, it will be a tie
diddy
9 months ago
Noooo China :(((((
diddy
9 months ago
Ok its game over, I switched sides ayyy
diddy
9 months ago
Wohoooo USA wrestler goes to final, now please buy USA
diddy
9 months ago
Come on guys, make China cheaper for me, load some cash into USA pliz
diddy
9 months ago
I will go back to my original reason for betting, wherever this bama124 guy votes, it's a WIN. He knows shit, he just does...
diddy
9 months ago
Guys...you really think this goal is gonna impact something, even if USA wins, they have to really outperform in so many things
diddy
9 months ago
Watch USA spike now lol
diddy
9 months ago
I think majorly this bet is about whether USA is 100% prepared and trained to win, but on the other side is China, for who we know for certain, that is at its maximum potential
diddy
9 months ago
USA underperformed and sucked until now compared to expectations, that may very much continue
comon
9 months ago
I think the worst thing is the French defeating the Americans,Blessings to the French team
diddy
9 months ago
Watch what happens when Brasil deals a goal
comon
9 months ago
USA still has chance
diddy
9 months ago
Brasil plays pretty well, I think USA is in deep trouble
diddy
9 months ago
Give me your truth
Mike2025
9 months ago
That's not true at all.
diddy
9 months ago
I think market is deeply rigged based & based on historical data
diddy
9 months ago
lol people buy USA, for USA to stand a chance at this point, China has to lose every gold competition, and USA win every
diddy
9 months ago
lol people buy USA, for USA to stand a chance at this point, China has to lose every gold competition, and USA win every
diddy
9 months ago
Oh my...USA will likely lose vs Brasil lol
diddy
9 months ago
Nope, 3 more guaranteed
Culture
9 months ago
And the 37th medal was apparently the last one for China.
diddy
9 months ago
Wrestling, almost hockey, almost boxing in women...they are amazing
pcutz
9 months ago
17 of china’s 36 medals are in either diving, shooting, or ping pong lol
diddy
9 months ago
Minute of silence for those who had a beautiful dream then saw their profits erased by polymarket
diddy
9 months ago
Someone wake up this HatersLozers guy, my bro is gonna lose all his money
diddy
9 months ago
Look at the market shifting lol. Guys its going 5% or less USA by the end of the night
diddy
9 months ago
hahah he just sold all of his NO China
HaterAde
9 months ago
Cuccyboy???????
diddy
9 months ago
Can I vote for Chinese president Xi in November?
diddy
9 months ago
its 2 - 0 for china in matches and China just did 1-1 in last match, so its China victory 90%
DFHY
9 months ago
what is the result after the table-tennis match?
diddy
9 months ago
China 37 gold medals in 1 minute !!!
diddy
9 months ago
Imagine waking up and seeing your USA 90% 100k bet going to 10k
epicRNG
9 months ago
:D
diddy
9 months ago
someone just woke up?
epicRNG
9 months ago
:D
diddy
9 months ago
That's why I will vote and bet on Kamala
mango-lassi
9 months ago
As a tribute to China's victory, USA will adopt communism by electing Kamala
diddy
9 months ago
That's the first and last win unfortunately, Chinese player is TOP 3 in the world
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
Japan wins the first round of table tennis
diddy
9 months ago
Bernie is a communist
jXnxnsjakakskxndnsk
9 months ago
The only way for America to beat Communist China is for America to become Communist America wich they never.🇨🇳🇨🇳🇨🇳
diddy
9 months ago
You're not looking straight hahaa
BrokenIKey
9 months ago
No look at Japan turning the table around and Hina bagging her first ever win against Yingsha. :D
diddy
9 months ago
China has to basically underperform to lose medals at this point righT?
FamilyCapital
9 months ago
summary: CHN is going to fight with real chances for another 4 gm, 3 of which are pretty guarantee. USA is fighting for another 5 gm, 3 of which are almost guarantee to get.
diddy
9 months ago
this makes China 40 and USA at maximum 38?
FamilyCapital
9 months ago
summary: CHN is going to fight with real chances for another 4 gm, 3 of which are pretty guarantee. USA is fighting for another 5 gm, 3 of which are almost guarantee to get.
diddy
9 months ago
Exactly, like RFK in USA, the peaceful and anti-conflict people always win in the end
Culture
9 months ago
The Olympics are a game but they show the spirit of a country I don't like at all the hard resistance that the Chinese have put up ,in normal times China would have already been crushed by the USA but now USA is sweating too much to win and not only in the Olympics but in the world economy this can get ugly. the Chinese are controlling more and more things.
diddy
9 months ago
Always buy both YES and NO for two teams and follow closely so that you don't miss out next time
ssha5140
9 months ago
My only regret was not buying a ton of shares when China was 9c
diddy
9 months ago
Boiz, last time, this bama124 is a prophet of gambling, this is enough guarantee for me
diddy
9 months ago
there won't be a tie
Mike2025
9 months ago
It's close but US still has a slight edge beacuse they'll win with a tie.
diddy
9 months ago
USA will be laughed at!!!
ShowBaer
9 months ago
France has home advantage...and it served them in Volleyball against Poland!
diddy
9 months ago
next time I'll bet my cat here
FamilyCapital
9 months ago
I said 2 hours ago, that in 5 hours USA share gonna cost under 50c... sorry for bad prediction :)
diddy
9 months ago
France will be hyped up lol, I'll bet on France after this
qlemxis
9 months ago
China is an overwhelming favorite for 40 golds (4 more: Weightlifting, table tennis, artistic swimming, boxing). To catch up: USA has to sweep 2 x basketball, 2 x relays, soccer (to make 38). Then win 2 of these last 6 events they have any realistic shot at: M Breaking, M Wrestling, W Wrestling, W 100m hurdles, W Volleyball, W Omnium cycle. In all of these “maybe” events, they underdogs/not favored against the field. If you need to win 2 of 6 events in which you are only 30% odds in each, so that aggregates to 50/50 odds. Market is exactly where it should be
diddy
9 months ago
Imagine USA losing vs France lol, the question here is whether can USA even get 35
qlemxis
9 months ago
China is an overwhelming favorite for 40 golds (4 more: Weightlifting, table tennis, artistic swimming, boxing). To catch up: USA has to sweep 2 x basketball, 2 x relays, soccer (to make 38). Then win 2 of these last 6 events they have any realistic shot at: M Breaking, M Wrestling, W Wrestling, W 100m hurdles, W Volleyball, W Omnium cycle. In all of these “maybe” events, they underdogs/not favored against the field. If you need to win 2 of 6 events in which you are only 30% odds in each, so that aggregates to 50/50 odds. Market is exactly where it should be
diddy
9 months ago
Soon another gold for China, this will go 30% USA soon highly likely
diddy
9 months ago
This is interactive gambling based on facts, those other markets are pure bets based on luck
BrokenIKey
9 months ago
do people actually listen to the fud here? it's the only market where china has flipped the us haha
diddy
9 months ago
China won again at table tennis, its gold for 漂亮的中国人
diddy
9 months ago
I am so excited I feel like I will start speaking Chinese
diddy
9 months ago
你真的是中国人吗哈哈?
YatSen
9 months ago
完了,跳水也要金牌了
diddy
9 months ago
hahahahaha
FamilyCapital
9 months ago
50c guy, where is he, is he buying?
diddy
9 months ago
exactly!!!
FamilyCapital
9 months ago
let's drink a beer after this, without our support CHN wouldn't have any chance to win JPN
diddy
9 months ago
It's so corrupted right? China was 10% for so long and those guys had run some fake emulators showing china losing +95% of time
Bank.
9 months ago
Anyone that follows Olympics or follows sports at all had easy money here. Funny to see the people trying to hop on China so late in the game when it was so clear the odds have always been in their favour.
diddy
9 months ago
China 90 gold medals by tonight
diddy
9 months ago
CHINA WONNN
diddy
9 months ago
Wait for it, market flips in 1 minute
diddy
9 months ago
Can someone make Chinacoin, I will invest my net worth there
diddy
9 months ago
China has evened it out with Japan in table tennis, now they win!
diddy
9 months ago
my kids will be gold medalists in olympics
diddy
9 months ago
Soon I will move to China and marry China women and have china kids
diddy
9 months ago
Soon I will move to China and marry China women and have china kids
diddy
9 months ago
bama124 doesn't trade, he buys and predicts
FamilyCapital
9 months ago
put all my family saving bc of bama124
diddy
9 months ago
I made 3 mistakes in life, 1st I didn't bet on bama124 bet, 2nd I didn't bet again and again
FamilyCapital
9 months ago
put all my family saving bc of bama124
diddy
9 months ago
China wins 3 round, and over Japan
qlemxis
9 months ago
Japan is giving China a fight, technically ahead in 1st match of the best-of-5. This is like Serbia being up 5-10 pts against USA in Quarter 1
diddy
9 months ago
Trust bama124 guys, he's a prophet in gambling
diddy
9 months ago
Chiana wins anyways
Mike2025
9 months ago
They are losing 2-1 right now.
diddy
9 months ago
buy all USA
Mike2025
9 months ago
Japan leading 2-1. China could lose this. Then US likely get most golds.
diddy
9 months ago
Chiana wins against Japan in women table tennis
diddy
9 months ago
Australian golfer is Chinese so we can say China won
Xplayer
9 months ago
what are China's chances in golf?
diddy
9 months ago
USA bolis were too busy shooting each other while China didn't sleep preparing for dizz
diddy
9 months ago
rhytmpic gymnastics?
qlemxis
9 months ago
Market flips if China wins Gymnastics. Only reason it hasn't already is because Ukraine had a better score for Rd 2 score in qualifying (so still a toss-up despite China's slim lead)
diddy
9 months ago
God bless united communist china
jXnxnsjakakskxndnsk
9 months ago
China will become the greatest country in the world. All Hail CCP! 🇨🇳🇨🇳🇨🇳
diddy
9 months ago
Minute of silence for USA YES holders please...
diddy
9 months ago
Hi Great Britain
ootharju
9 months ago
Lmao USA no and China Yes holders take profit soon before the track events and bball hit
diddy
9 months ago
hahahahhaha
FamilyCapital
9 months ago
where is that guy, with simulation like : USA win in 29 9xx from 30 000
diddy
9 months ago
I feel sorry for those who buy USA now, it will be 55% at least by tonight
diddy
9 months ago
I will eat some nice steak tonight
KingofRingx3
9 months ago
By eend of today i easily see china more expensive than us
diddy
9 months ago
Vote Kamala and it happens!
jXnxnsjakakskxndnsk
9 months ago
The only way for America to defeat Communist China is for America to become Communist America. 🇨🇳🇨🇳🇨🇳
diddy
9 months ago
bye bye USA
diddy
9 months ago
USA did Serbia bad, Jokic and his team nailed it, Curry got Lucky af
yoonmarketenjoyer
9 months ago
Have a feeling one of the basketball teams will lose to France
diddy
9 months ago
Guys, just trust this bama124 guy, he has prediction powers
diddy
9 months ago
In China we believe!
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
China has 4 more golds essentially guaranteed (diving, table tenis, weightlifting and artistic swimming). They also are the favorite in boxing. 38 gold is locked, 39 is likely and 40 is on the table with golf and a few other potential ones.
diddy
9 months ago
Chinese people came so well prepared its incredible though
TheGuru
9 months ago
I hope China wins more so to shut up all the racists who've been yapping the whole olympics than the 200k I'd win lol
diddy
9 months ago
What's the situation guys?
diddy
9 months ago
USA for the streets
diddy
9 months ago
Whoever bet against Jokic deserves a slap
diddy
9 months ago
Remember when China used to have 4%...good old days
diddy
9 months ago
I don't think voting here YES is the right choice. It should be ±15. Kamala would destroy her presidential bid by just appearing on Fox. She's at an extreme disadvantage. Right now she's on a lead on pools. Out of all presidential bids, historically, why would she be the one to accept this roast bid.
diddy
9 months ago
Deadpool earnings Aug 7th: 9.8, Aug 8th: 9.1
Chrome
9 months ago
rip deadpool liq
diddy
9 months ago
Three debates aren't happening lol, first, there's no time, second, there's no platform. Kamala won't go on Fox. At maximum 2 debates.
diddy
9 months ago
I love Khelife, evil people bullied these days so bad :(
diddy
9 months ago
Ok, time to sell China so that I don't get screwed up
diddy
9 months ago
China goes home
diddy
9 months ago
nah they lose here
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
china winning in boxing
diddy
9 months ago
I would marry Khelif tbh
diddy
9 months ago
Here we go, fasten your seats boiz!!!
diddy
9 months ago
My mom
5to5000
9 months ago
@KingofRingx3 who are you rooting for? I know you are just betting for the market but whos in your heart
diddy
9 months ago
I have bets YES NO on both China and USA, may god help me
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
Honestly great day for China all things considered. Still a shot to pick up one more. Not sure how I am feeling currently
diddy
9 months ago
France woke up on wrong leg, they 4th highly likely
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
Which country will finish 3rd in gold?
diddy
9 months ago
That's why I bet against USA
5to5000
9 months ago
Liu has better odds than most give. It's not like the Algerian is unbeatable at all.
diddy
9 months ago
Australia 100%
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
Which country will finish 3rd in gold?
diddy
9 months ago
I am the master of trades
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
Honestly great day for China all things considered. Still a shot to pick up one more. Not sure how I am feeling currently
diddy
9 months ago
Money doesn't matter
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
Honestly great day for China all things considered. Still a shot to pick up one more. Not sure how I am feeling currently
diddy
9 months ago
Ma boi iz France loyalist
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
Honestly great day for China all things considered. Still a shot to pick up one more. Not sure how I am feeling currently
diddy
9 months ago
Bad day for YES USA boiz like me
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
Honestly great day for China all things considered. Still a shot to pick up one more. Not sure how I am feeling currently
diddy
9 months ago
Polymarket is smart, those bets are nuts
0xCb9cF4773A232Ac612E656dF7733e659E1eEf515-1722999050018
9 months ago
Polymarket doesn't make sense at all... it's +250 on sportsbook for China which means 28.5%
diddy
9 months ago
If China doesn't lose boxing now ill commit harakiri
Culture
9 months ago
Chinese 9 centimeter fucking penises lose fast motherfuckers
diddy
9 months ago
Ok, USA will win Basketball & Football gold, what else is remaining?
diddy
9 months ago
Boiz, its cheaper to buy USA NO than China Yes
diddy
9 months ago
I want to marry Chinese women
0x54A598106e0467DaCc1A4cEd3909582f72aAEe3D-1723093936269
9 months ago
Hey everyone, bet on China. Firstly, the US is overpriced. Secondly, I’ve been to China, and it's a much greater place now, whereas the US is in a mess. Bet on China and take some money home.
diddy
9 months ago
no man that Chinese woman is also a man
cockbrain
9 months ago
bout to watch a chinese woman beat an algerian man 🔥🔥🔥
diddy
9 months ago
I'm black Chinese...
0xCb9cF4773A232Ac612E656dF7733e659E1eEf515-1722999050018
9 months ago
Funny how white folks are so weak! Just blacks and asians.... white folks can't do shit
diddy
9 months ago
same channel hbo max?
0x8D698FF2D1E90253CA3227564bAFD2e2ced99dDB-1723230400794
9 months ago
Another womens boxing final coming up now, China v Algeria. Algeria are big favourite.
diddy
9 months ago
Whites colonised whole world
0xCb9cF4773A232Ac612E656dF7733e659E1eEf515-1722999050018
9 months ago
Funny how white folks are so weak! Just blacks and asians.... white folks can't do shit
diddy
9 months ago
What & when is next China/USA match
diddy
9 months ago
is that bad or good for Usa?
Slaylorswift
9 months ago
FanDuel has USA -850 lol
diddy
9 months ago
I swear that is a boy
diddy
9 months ago
I believe in aliens
MalikNabers
9 months ago
If you actually believe this you should be shoving all your money in this market right now.
diddy
9 months ago
it was expected
0x8D698FF2D1E90253CA3227564bAFD2e2ced99dDB-1723230400794
9 months ago
China about to win the first womens boxing gold of the night, an unexpected gold
diddy
9 months ago
ok, so if China wins this boxing match they beat USA?
qlemxis
9 months ago
Gold medal “locks” for USA: M 4x400m (34), W 4x400m (35), M Bball (36), W Bball (37) Gold medal favorites for USA: W Soccer (38) Other realistic chances: W 200m Canoe (39), W Volleyball (40), ?? Other wrestling (41) Gold medal “locks” for China: W Team Table tennis (33), W 81kg Weightlifting (34), M 102kg Weightlifting (35) Gold medal favorites for China: M Platform diving (36), W Swimming Duet (37), W Middleweight boxing (38) Other realistic chances: W Flyweight boxing (39), W Welterweight boxing (40). The "modal outcome" is a 38-38 tie, unless China wins at least one of the two boxing bouts coming up today
diddy
9 months ago
Make USA share cheap for me
diddy
9 months ago
Omg China will 100% win this boxing match, go bet China Boiz
diddy
9 months ago
Omg China will 100% win this boxing match, go bet China Boiz
diddy
9 months ago
This Chinese boy beat Turkish woman :(
diddy
9 months ago
This Chinese boy beat Turkish woman :(
diddy
9 months ago
But I won
diddy
9 months ago
I also bet on China
diddy
9 months ago
I also bet on China
shouldntbhere
9 months ago
rip china bettors :/
diddy
9 months ago
Chinese woman is also a boy
KingofRingx3
9 months ago
china is unfavored in both tho. Let's see if the chinese woman can beat a boy, i doubt it
diddy
9 months ago
Damn I thought they were men
0x8D698FF2D1E90253CA3227564bAFD2e2ced99dDB-1723230400794
9 months ago
2 womens boxing finals coming upnnow for China. They need to win at least one of them.
diddy
9 months ago
nah man, I speak and know Chinese/China, they are good people just a little weird (too much weird)
0x54A598106e0467DaCc1A4cEd3909582f72aAEe3D-1723093936269
9 months ago
China, great job! An almost win in hockey against one of the greatest teams shows how much effort you've put into this series of tournaments. It's already a win in my eyes.
diddy
9 months ago
Man its a loss for your wallet
0x54A598106e0467DaCc1A4cEd3909582f72aAEe3D-1723093936269
9 months ago
China, great job! An almost win in hockey against one of the greatest teams shows how much effort you've put into this series of tournaments. It's already a win in my eyes.
diddy
9 months ago
Nope haha, Other is much worse than Deadpool
almerianconyrinil
9 months ago
Other
diddy
9 months ago
USA got bunch of low quality bronzes lol
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
If United States and China tie on Gold, I'd honestly consider it a failure on the United States.
diddy
9 months ago
Rather success for Chinese, I mean look at other medals they got, they either go gold or go home
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
If United States and China tie on Gold, I'd honestly consider it a failure on the United States.
diddy
9 months ago
Imagine USA losing vs France in basketball lol
diddy
9 months ago
Any other match to watch next to gockey
diddy
9 months ago
Ok boiz, someone do some calculation, I wanna know who wins the gold so I go all in
diddy
9 months ago
And so it was, China lost its chance for Golden medal dominance
diddy
9 months ago
This gold medal market became hockey tournament
diddy
9 months ago
My hamster has more energy than these players
diddy
9 months ago
Go CHINAAAA...oh I bet on USA
diddy
9 months ago
Well at least they are beautiful :D
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
Why is Netherlands good at Field Hockey but trash at actual hockey? Netherlands has snow I'm pretty sure.
diddy
9 months ago
They aren't trash, Chinese trained just too hard lol
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
Why is Netherlands good at Field Hockey but trash at actual hockey? Netherlands has snow I'm pretty sure.
diddy
9 months ago
I wish Serbia won USA damn it...
diddy
9 months ago
Well, Avatar 3 was supposed to be one of them for example, now there aren't any movies in other cat that can compete.
Platinum
9 months ago
Okay, what is "Others"? Honestly didn't see any other movie that can break the highest gross this late in the year. I might be interested in "no"-ing this one after my deadpool order is sold
diddy
9 months ago
China is amazing tbh, they are knocking out the best hockey team in the world
diddy
9 months ago
I have hard time with Chinese women
Culture
9 months ago
The damn yellow Chinese motherfuckers put up too much resistance to have such a small cock
diddy
9 months ago
Hi there my friend
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Say, can you see // By the dusk's early stars // What so proudly we hailed // At the social credit APP? // Whose janky lifts and exploding cars // Through the perilous bats // O'er the wall we watched // Who so gallantly fought, yeah, Mongols? // And the rockets' red glare // The plastic toys bursting in air // Gave proof through the world // That our flag was still red // O say, does that gold-starred banner yet wave // O'er the land of the rice and the home of the dragon
diddy
9 months ago
Ser cuccyboy should I buy USA
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
yea bro nice -$800 P&L go buy yourself something nice
diddy
9 months ago
As I heard, I am following the HERD? It's better to follow whales than the herd, this is a good lesson.
diddy
9 months ago
What's up NO voting guys?
diddy
9 months ago
fuck me
diddy
9 months ago
WUHUUU
PolyToni
9 months ago
China will win it! Next Gold incominh
diddy
9 months ago
Here is my guess. The official results will be proposed, if the results match NO bet, then there will be a dispute. After the dispute, a vote will be cast through UMA by whales. This will conclude to YES. I don't see a way where these whales, that actually win on bets, would just dump so much money on assumptions.
KanyeTruther
9 months ago
no @shouldntbhere dont worry, its really as straightforward as the rules make it out to be, theres no rule cuck here
diddy
9 months ago
In this case, it’s US against the whales. Whales have their own way of pulling out the results through UMA and disputes. Something is going to twist at the end results.
sx23296
9 months ago
@truck I've seen some pretty big losses of whales here.
diddy
9 months ago
To bet what, €400?, there are people betting millions here. They have profit for a reason.
TheDrachma
9 months ago
What are you even talking about man? I am processing the actual data that goes into the final estimate that decides the outcome.
diddy
9 months ago
I am legit sure that logic doesn’t matter here. Take a look at who bets. There’s something we don’t know and that’s for sure.
TheDrachma
9 months ago
Anyone that wants to see evidence in favor of NO, based on the actual data used to calculate the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index head to the #science channel on the Polymarket discord
diddy
9 months ago
Fingers crossed ayyyyy
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Don't listen to that fag WeirdMonkey. Always bet your rent money, as long as Cuccyboy is on the same side.
diddy
9 months ago
Also, I have seen Gonzalez win the election instead of Maduro here. I think there is alternative reality going on at the moment.
diddy
9 months ago
I am betting my rent money because this bama124 guy bet huge money on Tim Walz Yes, and Shapiro No. Who the fuck does that? He has some prediction abilities, I'll tell you that.
diddy
9 months ago
Guys, it’s Inside Out 2. There has to be MCU Avengers Endgame 2 asap to take over no.1; Deadpool is R rated, it won’t get over $500mil. No other movie this year can win, Avatar 3 could but it is 2025.
diddy
9 months ago
Brah you lost $20,000,000 voting on no :( donate me a dollar bro ;)
TheGuru
9 months ago
Well, that was a shame haha
diddy
9 months ago
Put your hands in the air, give energy to Jokic
diddy
9 months ago
you bring bad luck
SmartG
9 months ago
oh no serbia choking after I bought them
diddy
9 months ago
fuck you brah
tomn
9 months ago
cmon boys fuck serbia
diddy
9 months ago
you mean cookin
5to5000
9 months ago
serbie choking
diddy
9 months ago
Curry shoots in reverse lol
diddy
9 months ago
I swear this is so depressive
diddy
9 months ago
I LOVE SERBIA
TheOneB
9 months ago
second quarter over, usa still down by 12
diddy
9 months ago
You don't even eat lunch
mnbnd
9 months ago
thanks for the lunch money
diddy
9 months ago
USA just lost lol
diddy
9 months ago
Watch July game, it was 88-88 until Jokic went bench
MOA
9 months ago
Jokic just tweaked his calf
diddy
9 months ago
He has the ability to carry the whole team literally
MOA
9 months ago
Jokic just tweaked his calf
diddy
9 months ago
If Jokic stays in game and not in bench, Serbia can definitely win this
diddy
9 months ago
No no, boiz, Kamala aint coming on Fox, go bet on ABC, that's a guarantee
diddy
9 months ago
LETS GO SOME MIRACLE !! SPARKLINGS
diddy
9 months ago
ok now if china doesnt win ill be angry I swear
diddy
9 months ago
Bet on France against USA, big returns
diddy
9 months ago
I'll make a better team
diddy
9 months ago
WORLD CHAMPION MY ASS
diddy
9 months ago
LETS GOOO
diddy
9 months ago
ask Germany
GottaGOFast
9 months ago
Literally Free Money. Anyone who buys serbia is a bozo
diddy
9 months ago
Upcoming next: Serbia beats USA
diddy
9 months ago
I'll dream Germany bad tonight
grappli
9 months ago
So glad I dumped Germany and bought France
diddy
9 months ago
Congratz! Good money
ootharju
9 months ago
Wowww wtf france on another level lessgo
diddy
9 months ago
its so fcked up how tables have turned, Germany had such a lead then went sleeping
diddy
9 months ago
yeah man fuck this shit
diddy
9 months ago
fucking terrible
ewanoh
9 months ago
how the fuck are germany favorites before the game? they are so fucking bad
diddy
9 months ago
Ok, Germany screws me up, GO FRANCE!
diddy
9 months ago
that pass in the face though
diddy
9 months ago
boost what, it is ultimately up to a better team play which Germany has
ootharju
9 months ago
Nah watch the crowd boost france lol
diddy
9 months ago
Germany got this easy lol
diddy
9 months ago
I have had AI run data of previous years, and reports from third-party sources, the confirmation is that it is likely that according the reports, the probability of this year July being hotter is at 25%, according NASAA analysis of previous months, the chances are at 75%. This should round up this bet at 50%.
diddy
9 months ago
Boys, you better save your ass asap, reports incoming.
diddy
9 months ago
Untrue, Trump is bluffing he wants only Fox. He is coming to her.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
they're not going to debate, she wants ABC and he wants FOX. lol
diddy
9 months ago
I think time restraint is the issue. Debate here will happen here 100%. Trump will definitely agree.
NowItsMyTime
9 months ago
Why people believe Trump Harris debate will not happen but Vance Walz yes? What is the logic behind? LOL, completely different prices. I already betted in Debate markets.
diddy
9 months ago
Fox debate is a literal suicide for Kamala. Trump was pissed of with money he spent doing ads vs Biden, that’s why he turned Fox, but he will accept ABC as he is way too confident.
mr.ozi
9 months ago
And what? 🙂 He'll be saying the same about her and the Fox debate.
diddy
9 months ago
Now imagine this debate unfolding in front of Fox audience. What can Kamala prove there?
Kapii
9 months ago
There is no easier task than successfully debating this idiot, with his always repetitive remarks and insults (except you are already half-dead). And on top of that, going to Fox News would be considered brave.
diddy
9 months ago
Idiot or not, why would Kamala accept Fox debate? She is doing well. Trump laid out his conditions. It would be a slaughter if Kamala went on Fox at this point. Trump wants and needs the debate, not her, he will be visiting her on ABC.
diddy
9 months ago
Deadpool 3 is out, R rated movie although with strong opening weeks, can’t uphold the strong growth.
diddy
9 months ago
This is what makes Trump who he is, battling in hostile environment and winning regardless. I can't see any democrat doing the same.
n/a
9 months ago
Even Newsmax is asking why he's not debating on ABC: https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820860437891559592
diddy
9 months ago
Trump wants to debate, he mentioned that there should be a debate in any presidential election. Kamala is not going on Fox because she knows she is gonna get roasted. The only compromise here is if Trump agrees for ABC debate, which after all, would benefit him since he knows he would win a debate. The only question is when will they agree.
diddy
9 months ago
Guys, save your last buck, the dispute in Maduro's favour had already been cast, and was unsuccessful due to insuffieicent evidence.
diddy
9 months ago
People should learn to distinguish Presidential Election winner vs Presidency winner next time when taking high-money, gambling risks
dberwegerCH
9 months ago
Isn’t the right answer N/A?
diddy
9 months ago
Can someone please donate 'Yes' Maduro, a few handful dollars :)
diddy
9 months ago
That’s unfortunately not how Venezuelan Electoral system work. In U.S.A. Presidential Election is decided by Electoral College and not votes by law. In Venezuela, there is no law which says that dictators can win Presidential Elections without winning the required majority vote. Your just referred to ‘Power usurping’ and not the Presidential Election.
YatSen
9 months ago
In 2016, Trump had fewer votes but won through the Electoral College system. This time, Maduro (even if he has fewer votes, which isn't certain yet) wins through a dictatorship system. Isn't it the same logic? Can someone contact Polymarket to freeze this market, or it will be stolen!
diddy
9 months ago
The trade establishes the foundation for presenting factual evidence. Decisions are made based on concrete proof rather than the status quo or hypotheses. This proof is provided through 'Outcome Proposals' or 'Disputes.' Ultimately, the best outcome proposal wins. The best 'Yes' Maduro proposal is already out of story I believe.
diddy
9 months ago
It is not stated anywhere that the number of votes a candidate receives is irrelevant; in fact, it is fundamental to the Venezuelan election process. For comparison, consider the U.S. electoral system: Donald Trump could not win the presidency merely by declaring himself the winner without securing electoral votes. Similarly, in Venezuelan elections, the candidate with the most votes is declared the winner. The core principle is that the outcome of the presidential election is determined by the number of votes each candidate receives.
YatSen
9 months ago
In other words, the number of votes someone receives is irrelevant according to the rules; the key is who the officials declare as the winner. Even if Gonzalez gets the most votes, it doesn't matter for this market. This market is a bet on who the officials announce as the winner, not on who gets the most votes!
diddy
9 months ago
Man..why do you invest so much money in such an uncertain market. The first dispute was official. If it was rejected, it means there is a need for another proposal. Either craft the proposal or save yourself.
YatSen
9 months ago
This market is based on official information and has nothing to do with votes; the rules do not mention voting at all. Don't give up! Don't paper hand! Prevent them from stealing! Can anyone contact Polymarket officials?
diddy
9 months ago
Can someone mass buy 'Yes' on Maduro please, as a gesture of donating money :)
diddy
9 months ago
Exactly, furthermore, UMA is the most credible source for data validation at hand. 96% is a high number.
PokerBrat
9 months ago
The Vote for Gonzalez win / Maduro loss is at 96% for Gonzalez. Since UMA votes work by people having to commit to the side with more vote to keep their tokens this is almost certainly over...
diddy
9 months ago
The first rule condition 'official information from Venezuela' had been disputed and rejected, the second rule will run in a short while. The ultimate result will be 'No' for all cases.
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Thanks truck, didn't know that, nobody knew, we haven't been last 2 weeks discussing the rules.
diddy
9 months ago
Guys, save what you have, in the 'Rules' section, you can read the following at the end, 'The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.'
diddy
9 months ago
No, by definition, the Presidential Election Winner is the one who satisfies the winning requirement, which in this case, the majority vote, after which comes the presidency. I think this was the reason this went on dragging is because the majority vote for Maduro never contained any credibility.
dberwegerCH
9 months ago
Isn't Presidential Election Winner the one who wins the presidency?
diddy
9 months ago
The trade was very tricky and unambigous and highly debatable, but as it is now, this will definitely resolve to 'No' on Maduro, so better save what you have left.
n/a
9 months ago
notice how this time no one is even angry at Polymarket for the rules being ambiguous. The rules are clear and it is straight up being stolen.
diddy
9 months ago
In this form of government, such as under Maduro's administration, the official winner is only recognized if the results favor him. Otherwise, the results are published by the government-controlled National Electoral Council (CNE) under the guise of being 'official'. In contrast to the U.S. Electoral College system, where the winner is determined by electoral votes, a 'Presidential Election Winner', in Venezuelan case, is defined as the candidate who receives the most votes. Every hypothesis needs evidence. In this case, the Venezuelan government did not provide a fair-vote proof, whereas the opposition attempted to offer evidence. Therefore, the authenticity of the 'Majority Votes Winner' should be subject to debate.
Gena🐊
9 months ago
No, it's the official winner.
diddy
9 months ago
This trade is about 'Presidential Election Winner', not who won the presidency. I think there is a misconception
diddy
9 months ago
Confirmed by Trump on Adin Ross