#74
Rank
658
Comments
183
Likes Received
231
Likes Given
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's odd that the price is so low considering their 2nd in the table.
n/a
1 month ago
Hello, whale from Nottingham Forest. Please don't limit the price. Nottingham Forest is seriously undervalued. Please restore market vitality.
Mike2025
1 month ago
The are likely to get points deducted in Feb, so a good chance of getting relegated.
FrancisSP8
1 month ago
Man City lol
Mike2025
1 month ago
You have to be retarded to think he woukd underreport what he bought. Mistleading investors that would would be a big deal with the SEC.
Pipi2000
1 month ago
I am pretty sure he bought a LOT more than 15k BTC last week. So this 500k BTC bet is absolutely undervalued
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's weird that anyone thinks buying 5k BTC is sad. It's literally fantastic.
sMILE
1 month ago
5K BTC purchase? that is just sad
Mike2025
1 month ago
Yes, they are being honest. It's a legal requirement to report purchases and you can go chexk blockchain explorer yourself to see.
KaRa
1 month ago
As of now, MicroStrategy (MS) holds 444,262 BTC, just 55,736 short of its 500,000 target. Interestingly, today’s report states they purchased only 5,262 BTC, a number that appears somewhat irregular compared to their last eight reports. This raises the question of whether MS is being entirely transparent or if they genuinely acquired exactly that amount. According to the reports, MS bought a total of 14,880 BTC in November and 42,162 BTC in December. Considering BTC’s price has dropped from its peak back to around $90,000, achieving the 500,000 target within the next month seems more plausible than initially anticipated. However, it’s worth noting that the market conditions in November were vastly different from those now. Furthermore, the surge in BTC during that period was largely driven by retail investor activity following Trump’s election victory and MS’s significant accumulation of BTC.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Only 3 Mondays left. Based in last few weeks, there not much hope of getting there. Maybe 5% chance at best. It's madness to pay if 25c for yes. Just look at the data.
KaRa
1 month ago
Short version: The possibility of achieving the 500k target within the next month is much higher than we expect
Mike2025
1 month ago
The new search, set to take place between November 2024 and March 2025
polymark
1 month ago
So in the last 10 years since the plane went missing they've found nothing after spending $~250 Million dollars (!). This time it's a private company doing it for free (they only get paid if they find something)) . So they have way less resources and they'll only be a few months into their 18 month search by the time this market closes. But dw, I'm sure this time it'll be different lol
Mike2025
1 month ago
When they eventually find it, it will be different this time.
polymark
1 month ago
So in the last 10 years since the plane went missing they've found nothing after spending $~250 Million dollars (!). This time it's a private company doing it for free (they only get paid if they find something)) . So they have way less resources and they'll only be a few months into their 18 month search by the time this market closes. But dw, I'm sure this time it'll be different lol
Mike2025
1 month ago
It doesn't need to reach it on a specific day. It can reach it before thatand stay above it.
dupple
1 month ago
To reach $4T dollar in specific day of January 20, the market will need to increase nearly 5.3% more, which is significant and very unlikely when US stock already top and now are gradually decrease
Mike2025
1 month ago
Crypto market can do that in one day.
dupple
1 month ago
To reach $4T dollar in specific day of January 20, the market will need to increase nearly 5.3% more, which is significant and very unlikely when US stock already top and now are gradually decrease
Mike2025
1 month ago
3.73% risk-free return in 6 months for betting no is better than HYSA rates. So not that bad.
Feligua
1 month ago
Neither bet makes any sense here
Mike2025
1 month ago
But there are people dumb enough to bet on it.
Nancy-Pelosi
1 month ago
this may actually be the dumbest bet on this website
Mike2025
1 month ago
Yes, that was pretty dumb.
Nancy-Pelosi
1 month ago
this may actually be the dumbest bet on this website
Mike2025
1 month ago
You don't need to trust it.
p0lym334k4t
1 month ago
"by FiveThirtyEight" LOL. Trust the propaganda wing of the Dems? They can't even not lie about grading the pollsters who got it wrong THREE elections in a row A+ and the 3 most accurate ones D. Don't trust some bullshit market.
Mike2025
2 months ago
Shows how many retards there are on this platform.
FrancisSP8
2 months ago
3.5% for getting a pardon from 2 different presidents... can you imagine?
Mike2025
2 months ago
Trzaskowski should win. Ahead in all polls and ahead against likely 2nd round opponent. But May is a very long way away. Too much can change and it makes no sense to tie up money for so long.
Mike2025
2 months ago
The US is such a failed democracy. They can't even run a simple presidential properly.
Mike2025
2 months ago
In a few months. Do 't forget that the US is like a 3rd world country when it comes to elections. They're an embarassment.
Arns
2 months ago
bro when will this bloody resolve
Mike2025
2 months ago
FUD to lower yes price so whales can buy it. It's a done deal. Parliament being dissolved on 27 December.
Mike2025
2 months ago
Agree. With the war in Ukrain escalating and talk of nukes, we're bound to be closer to a catastrophe.
np.random.choice
2 months ago
Reasons for YES: a) Since a few years ago, the clock can move of fractions of minutes (10s in 2023) making it easier for the board to move it further. b) In 2017, 2018, 202, it moved closer for basically no event other than Trump comments on nuclear and climate change and failure of global leaders to address the nuclear threat. Don't you think it can move by just 10s closer with all that has happened this year? c) With respect to 2023, this year we had Russia testing their ballistic and MIRV missiles *on the field*, north korean troops in Ukraine, Israel and Iran exchanging strikes, and the expansion of Israel's war on Lebanon.
Mike2025
2 months ago
Not if it's a broken clock.
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
of course it will, it's a clock
Mike2025
2 months ago
Trump will more likely make the world a less dangerous place. Fewer wars, etc.
Chyk-Chyryk
2 months ago
Several new wars, Trump in America, so likely the clock will move
Mike2025
2 months ago
Nope. If it stays the same, it won't have moved closer to midnight. So it will resolve as no.
Liquidifier
2 months ago
What if it stays the same? 50-50?
Mike2025
2 months ago
You're crazy. Date is already set for 27 December. Not sure why you think otherwise.
Megajin
2 months ago
Just translate this german article: https://www.das-parlament.de/inland/bundestag/wann-der-bundestag-aufgeloest-werden-kann it is very clear that there is no need to dissolve the Bundestag even if the confidency vote is lost. Holding No.
Mike2025
2 months ago
Stop pretending you understand German law. You don't. You look stupid.
5635f
2 months ago
if its going to dissolve that would be against the law lol why is market at 79/24 lol It can only happen in 2025 lol there is legit no time wtf is going on lol
Mike2025
2 months ago
Exactly. I don't know why some on here are still denying this. But that's ok. I like taking their money.
janonym
2 months ago
https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/deutschland/bundestagswahl-2025-termin-bundestag-ampel-scholz-merz-100.html
Mike2025
2 months ago
No affiliate links. I document my trades so that I can look back and learn from any mistakes I make. Others commenting can help me see something I may have missed. I am a writer. I enjoy writing. Not everything needs to be done for money.
Mike2025
2 months ago
Why I think this will resolve as yes... https://bettingcafe.substack.com/p/will-bundestag-german-parliament
Mike2025
2 months ago
No. It's a free newsletter. Nothing to buy. No ads. Free.
Mike2025
2 months ago
Why I think this will resolve as yes... https://bettingcafe.substack.com/p/will-bundestag-german-parliament
Mike2025
2 months ago
Why I think this will resolve as yes... https://bettingcafe.substack.com/p/will-bundestag-german-parliament
Mike2025
2 months ago
It's quite clear that parliament will be dissolved on 27 December. Everything has already been agreed. 16 Dec - no confidence vote, 27 Dec - dissolve parliament, 23 Feb - elections. Why are you guys looking up laws?
Mike2025
2 months ago
Because he already said he would.
Lissabon
2 months ago
Even if the Chancellor were to lose the vote of confidence on December 16, 2024, dissolving the Bundestag within that year would be practically impossible due to constitutional timelines. According to Article 68 of the German Basic Law, the Federal President has 21 days to decide whether to dissolve the Bundestag following a failed vote of confidence. This 21-day period extends beyond the end of the year, meaning that any decision regarding dissolution would fall into January 2025 at the earliest. As a result, it is not possible for the Bundestag to be dissolved in 2024, even if the vote of confidence is lost.
Mike2025
2 months ago
Wny should he? Because he already said he would disolve parliament quickly.
Megajin
2 months ago
Just to be clear, the rules state that the Bundestag must be dissolved by 31st December for the question to resolve to "yes." I can tell you that even if the confidence vote fails, the President of Germany can dissolve the Bundestag, but there is no obligation to do so. And even if, formally on paper, they decide to dissolve the Bundestag, there is no way it will happen after 18th December, which is the date when the vote will close. My point is that any dissolution, if it occurs, will only happen in 2025 and not in 2024. There is so much bureaucracy in Germany and so many public holidays in December. I am 90% sure it will not happen.
Mike2025
2 months ago
The preident already said he will dissolve parliament quickly. What don't you understand about that? It's pretty clear.
n/a
2 months ago
There is one thing that strongly suggests that the Bundestag will not be dissolved until after December 31: In the history of Germany, the question of confidence has been asked several times and has often been answered in the negative. However, in every case the President waited the full 21 days to dissolve the Bundestag. Here, the president would only wait 11 days, which is rather unlikely. What do you think?
Mike2025
2 months ago
The president already said he will act quickly to dissolve parliament. There is no majority for any other solution, so parliament will be dissolved. The only time it wouldn't be is if another majority could be formed in parliament. In this case, that can't happen. Stop wasting your money and pretending parliament won't be dissolved.
Megajin
2 months ago
Just translate this german article: https://www.das-parlament.de/inland/bundestag/wann-der-bundestag-aufgeloest-werden-kann it is very clear that there is no need to dissolve the Bundestag even if the confidency vote is lost. Holding No.
Mike2025
2 months ago
9f course there is time. President already said he will act quickly to dissolve parliament. Everyone wants elections as soon as possible. They don't want an unstable government.
5635f
2 months ago
why is this market not at 90 on no lol there is no time it will happen in 2025
Mike2025
2 months ago
27th is 11 days after 16th, so is within the 21 day period. Perfectly normal.
xprvi
2 months ago
They will push to the max so parties could prepare for elections, what % of people here are from De?
Mike2025
2 months ago
How is it against the law? Once the vote of confidence is lost on 16 Dec, parliament can be dissolved righ away.
5635f
2 months ago
if its going to dissolve that would be against the law lol why is market at 79/24 lol It can only happen in 2025 lol there is legit no time wtf is going on lol
Mike2025
3 months ago
I have a limit order at 72c. Current odds are too high.
starlordgmi
3 months ago
lets gooo gukesh
Mike2025
3 months ago
Looks like a mistake but it's obvious how it will be settled. You can tell them on teh Discord server if you want it changed.
Holy-Fire
3 months ago
The rules say the resolution source is the "2024 US Chess Championship", with the corresponding link. Is this an error? Shouldn't it be the FIDE world championship, rather than US? How will this actually be resolved?
Mike2025
3 months ago
Orsi is ahead in the polls. In these situations, the one ahead usually wins, so that perfectly explains the 80-20 split in the betting. Orsi has 80% chance of winning. That is where the odds should be.
Waltergargano
3 months ago
There is a runoff between Orsi and Delgado on November 24th. According to every single poll there is technical tie between the two candidates. Big Debate night this sunday. Not Sure why there is only a 20% chance for Delgado here, when every single poll shows its a neck to neck race. Check the major Uruguayan Newspaper : https://www.montevideo.com.uy/Noticias/Encuesta-Opcion--escenario-altamente-competitivo-con-leve-ventaja-de-Orsi-sobre-Delgado-uc906204
Mike2025
3 months ago
Nope. Zero chance.
POLYKET
3 months ago
Brentford still has a chance
Mike2025
3 months ago
Why can't you?
barrenwuffet37
3 months ago
if only i could make a bet coughs
Mike2025
3 months ago
331
Ender.ak47
3 months ago
What is the count rn???
Mike2025
3 months ago
Magnitude 8 about once every 16 months.
GoodLuck
3 months ago
''Major earthquakes, greater than magnitude 7, happen more than once per month. "Great earthquakes", magnitude 8 and higher, occur about once a year''
Mike2025
3 months ago
Too vague to bet on.
Mike2025
3 months ago
That is exactly what is. What are you complaining about?
SinZX
3 months ago
Why choose Apr 29, 2025 as the end date? It could happen at any point in the first 6-12 months. Shitty rule imo. Should rename it "Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve before Apr 29, 2025"
Mike2025
3 months ago
I will happily take your money.
Intendant-Jean-Talon
3 months ago
After the election I'll bet on Ding, Gukesh farmed on weaker players to win the candidate
Mike2025
3 months ago
No, it's this one.
Yourbestbet
3 months ago
will-ding-liren-play-in-the-world-chess-championship-2024 - is it another championship ?
Mike2025
3 months ago
How much do you want?
Penguinn
3 months ago
Who wants to donate so I can buy Kamala Harris?
Mike2025
3 months ago
Liverpool are gonna win. Man City will probably have points deducted in Jan/Feb.
Mike2025
3 months ago
Pointless betting on this. Odds are way overpriced overall.
Mike2025
3 months ago
Man up. Stop crying.
dancer
3 months ago
Once again, the Polyscum have rugged my ability to profit from line movement - the books had these two at 50-50 when Gukesh won the Candidates, but the Polymarket garbage employees simply refused to let people have 50 cent Gukesh. Fuck Polymarket.
Mike2025
3 months ago
It's lucky you're broke because you'd lose more money if you weren't
Jewbru
3 months ago
Ding is way undervalued
Mike2025
3 months ago
Because he's likely to lose.
Jewbru
3 months ago
how are people only giving ding 25%???
Mike2025
3 months ago
It's only Labour that sticks with white men. Tory party accepts men, women, and people of color.
edrfyftyf
3 months ago
a brown woman leading the conservative party???
Mike2025
3 months ago
Where can we follow the results?
Mike2025
3 months ago
There can't be a tie.
DrinkDaddy2020
3 months ago
Juan Da Fuca-Malahat is 20 votes away from flipping to the Cons. This isn't over, guys, especially as given PolyPoll's rules we are looking at seat count (and alphabetically if a tie happens) not forming govt
Mike2025
3 months ago
You can propose markets on the Discord server.
Spartan37
4 months ago
Chess needs more betting markets. This is sad.
Mike2025
3 months ago
You've lost over $4k on various events. Nothing is rigged. You just place dumb bets. Gotta be retarded to lose money here.
PlebThinker
3 months ago
can the cons still win this? confused why this has not been called yet?
Mike2025
3 months ago
What a bad loser. Dumb AF.
PlebThinker
3 months ago
can the cons still win this? confused why this has not been called yet?
Mike2025
3 months ago
You lost. Accept it and move on.
fpt
3 months ago
Mail in ballots received before advance polling started have already been counted. Notwithstanding a hand recount, is the first bc election using electronic tabulators meaning these results are likely very accurate. I find it very unlikely cons win juan de fuca knowing nearly all votes have already been counted.
Mike2025
3 months ago
You lost. Go to bed. Stop thinking like a pleb.
BigDaddyMike
3 months ago
10 ridings have not been called yet. Recounts and mail ins will make or break this election by less than 100 votes. Crazy, but still too big to rig.
Mike2025
3 months ago
I estimate 2027.
AnDragon
4 months ago
We are due! Considering the planetary geometry, I estimate around the 18th of October!
Mike2025
3 months ago
Yes, on 24 November.
Sardinianshepherd
3 months ago
is there a second round?
Mike2025
3 months ago
Mail-in votes may not be counted until 26 Oct.
DrinkDaddy2020
3 months ago
Juan de Fuca-Malahat is going to make or break this. 23 vote difference and they haven't counted mail-ins yet.
Mike2025
3 months ago
Because that's a different type of bet.
NateNate60
3 months ago
Not here to start an argument, but does anyone else find it strange that in the event of a tie, this market resolves to the party whose name comes first alphabetically? Why not just 50/50 for the tied parties and everyone else loses?
Mike2025
3 months ago
Yes, it's odd, but that's how it works. Just take it into account when betting.
NateNate60
3 months ago
Not here to start an argument, but does anyone else find it strange that in the event of a tie, this market resolves to the party whose name comes first alphabetically? Why not just 50/50 for the tied parties and everyone else loses?
Mike2025
3 months ago
Lol.
BigDaddyMike
3 months ago
49 seats for cons at 55% ballot reporting. TOO BIG TO RIG!
Mike2025
3 months ago
I did. They won.
Mike2025
3 months ago
NDP wins... https://globalnews.ca/news/10801085/bc-election-results-live-2024-vote/
Mike2025
3 months ago
But funny that results are the same as the polls. You're just a sore loser.
SCD1986
3 months ago
Trump effect - many people secretly voting Conservative but don't admit it the pollsters because the media has been so denigrating toward them. Province is in shambles after 7 years of NDP
Mike2025
3 months ago
You sure know how to bet emotionally and lose.
PlebThinker
3 months ago
about to put more on cons
Mike2025
3 months ago
Lol. Here are the results... https://globalnews.ca/news/10801085/bc-election-results-live-2024-vote/
BigDaddyMike
3 months ago
49 seats for cons at 55% ballot reporting. TOO BIG TO RIG!
Mike2025
3 months ago
You're happy that you lost?
PlebThinker
3 months ago
YAYYYY
Mike2025
3 months ago
NDP wins... https://globalnews.ca/news/10801085/bc-election-results-live-2024-vote/
Mike2025
3 months ago
Because that's tge way many on here bet. They are too emotional.
EdgyUsername
3 months ago
Why are people panic buying 1.0-1.4? Not that I'm complaining? :)
Mike2025
3 months ago
What you're missing is that you're adding up all the rounded numbers. You need to add up the original unrounded numbers.
Szty1
3 months ago
Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.
Mike2025
3 months ago
You're adding up the rounded numbers. You need to add up the original numbers (that aren't shown).
badatthis
3 months ago
In my calculation the avg should be 1.538. I guess they are biased towards Kamala because inbmy math 1.538 doesn't round up to 1.6!
Mike2025
3 months ago
They add up the exact numbers and then average it. They don't round up/down first and then take the average. That wouldn't make any sense.
Szty1
3 months ago
1.6
Mike2025
3 months ago
He's averaged 5.18 per day. 35 tweets divided by 6.75 days. Only 6 hours left.
KaiserAra5
3 months ago
this week he averaged 5.66 tweets a day and today, Oct 18 has done 0 so far.
Mike2025
3 months ago
0 is part of the average. He doesn't tweet much on a Friday morning.
KaiserAra5
3 months ago
this week he averaged 5.66 tweets a day and today, Oct 18 has done 0 so far.
Mike2025
3 months ago
He usually doesn't tweet much in the last few hours. Probably 200-224 will win.
Phoenix777
3 months ago
It will be interesting to see what 200-224 Yes guys wil to when the postmaster wakes and starts shooting…
Mike2025
3 months ago
Others know but you don't. Maybe that's why you're so poor.
Mike2025
3 months ago
No way are they selling at the beginning of a bull market.
Mike2025
3 months ago
There are numerous ways of knowing. We are clearly in a bull market.
Mike2025
3 months ago
No way are they selling at the beginning of a bull market.
Mike2025
3 months ago
They haven't sold any.
UnclePete
3 months ago
they are selling a lot!
Mike2025
3 months ago
Calm down. Just moved to different wallets. Happens all the time. Moving to a different wallet doesn't always mean selling.
UnclePete
3 months ago
On-chain data shows wallets associated with Elon Musk's electric car company have been emptied.
Mike2025
3 months ago
35. You've lost.
KaiserAra5
3 months ago
How many tweets has he made so far?
Mike2025
3 months ago
Melo
enroll
4 months ago
and who winners?
Mike2025
3 months ago
She's not even in it.
Margules
4 months ago
Suella could be an interesting choice, as her position represents a balance between domestic policy and more rigorous foreign relations.
Mike2025
3 months ago
I know, but the polling must still be wrong.
Szty1
3 months ago
Are you lost? This market is about where RCP will stand tomorrow.
Mike2025
3 months ago
I don't understand your question. Why do you think you're miassing something.
Clausevanderbooben
3 months ago
https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/
Mike2025
3 months ago
He doesn't spend all day tweeting. He probably has AI make suggestions and then sets up his tweets in 2 mins.
JackBauerPowerHour
4 months ago
How does this mfer have time to run spacex and Tesla when he spends all day tweeting
Mike2025
3 months ago
Why waste your money on such crazy predictions?
actors
4 months ago
tweet a little more
Mike2025
3 months ago
No way are they selling at the beginning of a bull market.
Mike2025
3 months ago
Because so many bet emotionally. They don't care about odds.
hello1234567
3 months ago
How is that 66% NO I don't get it? All legit bookies say there is about 30 to 35/1 chance this happens.
Mike2025
3 months ago
These polls must be terribly wrong.on this day in 2016, Clinton had a +7 lead and lost the elsection. In 2020, Biden had a +9 lead and only narrowly beat Trump. How hasHarris got any hope of winning with just a +1.6 lead?
Mike2025
4 months ago
The answer is in the rules. It's thenumber at the top of this... https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/post/british-columbia-election-daily-tracker-poll-day-21. I suggest you read the rules.
Clausevanderbooben
4 months ago
Where are they pulling the polling information to resolve this vote? So many conflicting sources
Mike2025
4 months ago
You're assuming the +3 poll doesn't get removed. It may or it may not.
Szty1
4 months ago
1.8 by my count
Mike2025
4 months ago
I get 1.6. +5 will be added and I assume +3 will be removed, so that gives 1.6.
EdgyUsername
4 months ago
I'm calcultating that the Marist poll would push Kamala up to 2.0. Is anyone else getting different numbers. Of course, that's if RCP deigns to include it.
Mike2025
4 months ago
I love betting against people that don't understand politics.
BigDaddyMike
4 months ago
It is too close to call. But everybody in BC is tired of the socialism and homeless drug den encampments everywhere, this single issue will give the cons a majority.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Depends how many, if any, they knock off the bottom of the list.
EdgyUsername
4 months ago
I'm calcultating that the Marist poll would push Kamala up to 2.0. Is anyone else getting different numbers. Of course, that's if RCP deigns to include it.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Look at the bids not the offers. 1.5-1.9 has higher bids. Liquidity is too low to just look at offers.
EdgyUsername
4 months ago
Can someone explain to me why 1-1.4 is selling for more than 1.5-1.9 after the Marist poll has her up +5? I'm paranoid I'm missing something obvious. Is there some Atlas poll coming?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Interesting. Being ahead doesn't mean definitely winning though.
Crock95
4 months ago
Lithuania has a mixed system: 70 seats are elected through proportional representation and 71 through single-member constituencies. In the proportional vote, LSDP won with 19.36% (18 seats), while TS-LKD received 17.96% (17 seats). However, in the single-member constituencies, TS-LKD is leading in 27 districts, while LSDP is ahead in only 22. Thus, TS-LKD currently holds 17+27=44 seats, and LSDP has 18+22=40 seats. https://rezultatai.vrk.lt/?srcUrl=/rinkimai/1544/1/2150/rezultatai/lt/rezultataiSuvestine1.html
Mike2025
4 months ago
You shouldstop reading and believing the media. Go visit the EU for yourself and stop making stupid comments.
Ripp
4 months ago
No way the West will allow this election to lose? There will be lgbt pride festivals in Moldova.
Mike2025
4 months ago
But you didn't bet on her.
Upway
4 months ago
she has no competitors, sir
Mike2025
4 months ago
Stop throwing your money away on insane bets like this.
raidthesquare
4 months ago
im homeless
Mike2025
4 months ago
Sandu very overpriced here.
Mike2025
4 months ago
The liquidity is pretty good for a country this small.
Mike2025
4 months ago
It's about geopolitics. Whether poor or not is irrelevant.
lsrael
4 months ago
@Mike2025 thanks didnt know that.. poorest country in the world gonna join eu funny
Mike2025
4 months ago
Not really. Under 50% are in favor of joining according to recent polls.
moneysniper
4 months ago
NOs are basically praying on russian intervention
Mike2025
4 months ago
Of course the EU has a choice. Turkey has been a candidate country for decades but has no hope of joining. Referendum is about amending the constitution. It's not about joining the EU. They are many years away from joining.
moneysniper
4 months ago
Yall are dumb AF its not EU or Russias choice, its a referendum. Moldova is already a EU candidate
Mike2025
4 months ago
Yes. It's a choice of EU or Russia. There's no way the EU will want them on Russia's side.
lsrael
4 months ago
Will eu accept them tho? Hahaha
Mike2025
4 months ago
Only the top line counts for this event.
MarcoRo
4 months ago
There is a problem, the data is not clear. if you looking to the chart they write +2.0, but on the tables +1.9.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Liberty all the way.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Yes.
CheerfulPessimist
4 months ago
Nice analysis, are you british?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Current odds add up to 114%. Make sure you place limit orders. Don't take market orders at these inflated prices.
Mike2025
4 months ago
I have already bet on the dems to win the popular vote.
Firedigger
4 months ago
I do agree. On the other hand, one has a similar easy bet to make with democrats winning the popular vote.
Mike2025
4 months ago
You don't understand probabilities.
Fred19999
4 months ago
You have to be stupid to bet against the favorite
Mike2025
4 months ago
It's retarded to dispute just because you lost.
YeezyBreezy
4 months ago
Wow you bet a lot of money. Are you going to let it go without disputing?
Mike2025
4 months ago
CNN shows cat 3 when it hits land. No facts point to cat 4.
TheTank
4 months ago
the facts point to cat 4 but all the smartasses in the comments say it's 3
Mike2025
4 months ago
So, you know the facts but are too scared to put money on it.
TheTank
4 months ago
the facts point to cat 4 but all the smartasses in the comments say it's 3
Mike2025
4 months ago
I've reported it a few times.
BitcoinerRetired
4 months ago
This BirdMilman is sharing a scam website. Dont fall for it.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Just follow the money. Sensationalist media comments are not facts.
TheTank
4 months ago
the facts point to cat 4 but all the smartasses in the comments say it's 3
Mike2025
4 months ago
Looks like you managed to pick 6 losing bets.
yhtd
4 months ago
400+
Mike2025
4 months ago
I wouldn't be totally surprised. He'sabit quieter than usual.
gengar32
4 months ago
175-199, mark my words boiz
Mike2025
4 months ago
This was my analysis from 9 days ago. https://old.reddit.com/r/PoliticalOdds/comments/1fspk4s/next_uk_leader_of_the_conservatives/
Mike2025
4 months ago
That was a shock.
Merriman07
4 months ago
wow, just wow
Mike2025
4 months ago
Because she beats every candidate head-to-head among members who will be voting.
BigLez
4 months ago
Curious why you see her as favourite over Cleverly
Mike2025
4 months ago
Looks like it. Crazy result.
Merriman07
4 months ago
there must have been heavy vote lending in the previous rounds
Mike2025
4 months ago
Looks like a 3. Ignore the noise. Stick to the facts.
Mike2025
4 months ago
5 is out of the picture. This is likely to be 3 or 4.
theone222
4 months ago
Most news sources are now saying Landfall at Cat 4, possibly even strengthening to Cat5 again as it’s only 2mph slower than Cat5. 3 is out of the picture
Mike2025
4 months ago
Scam.
BirdMillman
4 months ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/RealAlphaNews/status/1843987329637331078
Mike2025
4 months ago
Losers are always looking for others to blame. That's why they always make the same mistakes over and over again.
090x
4 months ago
i think that this market will be UMA market in the end
Mike2025
4 months ago
Don't bet if you think that.
090x
4 months ago
i think that this market will be UMA market in the end
Mike2025
4 months ago
Why do you care? You sound worried.
balloooooo
4 months ago
lifting cat 5 is actually braindead
Mike2025
4 months ago
What does shear mean in layman's terms?
General.William.T.Sherman
4 months ago
Eye has disappeared on satellite. Restructuring in full effect. Next couple hours will be interesting. Shear continues to be lower than projected. Any shifts south helps with shear.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Kemi's gonna win this. I have no idea why Jenrick was ever the favorite.
Mike2025
4 months ago
That link shows it's undervalued.
brachunok
4 months ago
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/lithuania/ LSDP feels like it could be overvalued
Mike2025
4 months ago
Too close. Not worth betting. Could go either way.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Easy money. Bet no for 7. There is no way either side wins all 7.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Rules say Nov but should say Oct.
Mike2025
4 months ago
The Hurcicane Center give forecasts yet you claim it's impossible. Lol. I don't bet on storms.
georgiatech
4 months ago
its kinda impossible to anticipate this type of thing
Mike2025
4 months ago
Great idea to lose and then throw away even more money. Some real retards on here.
Secret14thKey
4 months ago
Never disputed a resolution before might give it a try
Mike2025
4 months ago
It's already resolved. Waiting for dispute window to close.
MAGAKen
4 months ago
Let's resolve this. the deadline is past, there is no ipsos poll, even if there were an ipsos poll the deadline has passed , Vance won..I'm sick of waiting for what we all know happened.
Mike2025
4 months ago
It's already resolved. 28 mins left to dispute.
jjwin
4 months ago
How does this get resolved?
Mike2025
4 months ago
It's got to be 1.5-2.4. Can't see it moving much from the current 2.0.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Why areyou so confident it will be a 5 when everyone is predicting a 3?
General.William.T.Sherman
4 months ago
We’ve gone from projected landfall of 110mph at 7am today to 130mph at 11pm 🤔🤔🤔
Mike2025
4 months ago
But still expected to be category 3 when it hits land.
Hedgeparrot131110
4 months ago
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2024/10/08/hurricane-milton-florida-live-updates/ Storm upgraded back to Catagory 5 again
Mike2025
4 months ago
You've had over a week to sell Walz and buy Vance. It baffles me that people like you refuse to see facts that are right in front of you. But it's what makes winning here so easy.
🤺JustPunched
4 months ago
Lol what a scam from IPSOS
Mike2025
4 months ago
No scam. They never planned a poll. No idea why so many here expect one.
🤺JustPunched
4 months ago
Lol what a scam from IPSOS
Mike2025
4 months ago
You can propose a resolution.
BenCM
4 months ago
Resolve
Mike2025
4 months ago
Exactly.
Shayku
4 months ago
CNN predicts landfall as 3. Their incentive is to exaggerate upwards, not downwards.
Mike2025
4 months ago
It's very possible to anticipate the category. Yiu just don't understand how these things work.
georgiatech
4 months ago
its kinda impossible to anticipate this type of thing
Mike2025
4 months ago
From NBC... Hurricane Milton, currently a Category 4, could make landfall in Florida as either a Category 3 or Category 4 storm, models show
Mike2025
4 months ago
From BBC... Milton has weakened slightly from a category five
Mike2025
4 months ago
So will be a 3 or 4 when it hits land. I'm no expert though.
Mike2025
4 months ago
From BBC... Milton has weakened slightly from a category five
Mike2025
4 months ago
From BBC... Milton has weakened slightly from a category five
Mike2025
4 months ago
News likes to exaggerate to get viewers.
khamzatborz
4 months ago
news talking about 4 and 5 why 3 so high %?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Your own fault for not selling. Why hold on when you've obviously lost,
Betwick
4 months ago
Very sad
Mike2025
4 months ago
You've had enough time to sell. Hard to believe people are waiting for a poll that was never promised.
aenews2
4 months ago
I can't believe this, I never thought we'd go out this way... cold and alone waiting for the rescue that never came
Mike2025
4 months ago
Game 3 had already ended. Your scam didn't work.
DragDealer
4 months ago
POLYMARKET CHANGING THE TITLE FROM "GAME 3" into "GAME 4" WHAT A SHAME
Mike2025
4 months ago
Market was created after game 3, so pretty obvoius it meant game 4. You just want to scam peolle because of asimple mistake.
DragDealer
4 months ago
Previously it was "GAME 3" you changed it on the final review? WHAT A SHAME POLYMARKET, it's your mistakes to make people fall in wrong choice, fack you polymarket
Mike2025
4 months ago
They have never said they are releasing a poll so not sure why so many are waiting for one.
Secret14thKey
4 months ago
I'm commenting a ground offensive on Ipsos HQ
Mike2025
4 months ago
You could still sell and cut your losses.
HappyAmateur
4 months ago
To be real, after a week of a majority of the media saying vance won, and that yougov poll, I really cant see myself winning this. Would of been different had Ipsos come out with something sooner but alas, no.
Mike2025
4 months ago
No poll is coming. Why is everyone expecting one. I've never seen any announcement.
Sardinianshepherd
4 months ago
Fellow Waltz bros, please tell me this ipsos opinion poll is coming
Mike2025
4 months ago
If there release a weekly poll, last one was 3 October, so next would be 10 October. This market will resolve on 8 October.
Remontada
4 months ago
Ipsos have released a post debate poll for every single debate going back to the year 2000. Just want to lay that out.
Mike2025
4 months ago
There is no poll. Ipsos never said there'd be one. No idea why people think there will be one. There's no. Vance has won.
DAAN
4 months ago
Bros are we getting scammed? Where the FUCK is the poll?
Mike2025
4 months ago
There is no poll. You're waiting in vain. Vance has won.
idfkanything
4 months ago
WHERE’S THE POLL?! DID IT FALL BETWEEN THE SOFA CUSHIONS?!
Mike2025
4 months ago
You'll only win 81 cents. No rush.
dav1
4 months ago
Can Oct 8 come already please?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Yes, it'sstill a long time, but if they post the winner is still likely to be Vance. e.
m1kko
4 months ago
37 hours is still a long time to go.
Mike2025
4 months ago
This is how similar markets work. They rules weren't copied without consideration.
BennyS
4 months ago
So remember, these odds are skewed by the chosen rules which were clearly copied over from other markets without much consideration. This rule was used in markets where the chance of tie was extremely low (as to not effect the odds), like in the US Presidential Popular vote market, but in this market it's significant enough to change the odds.
Mike2025
4 months ago
It shows NDP ahead 48-44.
BennyS
4 months ago
polling shows cons are ahead now: https://338canada.com/bc/
Mike2025
4 months ago
That's a common rule to ensure there's a winner. Just take it into account when betting.
BennyS
4 months ago
Current seat projection is 46-46-1. This would still resolve to a "Yes" for Conservatives because of the stupid rules: "In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order"
Mike2025
4 months ago
People like you throwing money away. Why? He can't become leader if he's already leader of a different party.
Ullage
4 months ago
Farage price is steaming....no idea why
Mike2025
4 months ago
In the 1st round, 3 candidates were very close. There was under 2% difference separating all 3, so odds moved close together. Then after counting, the top 2 went through to the 2nd round and Nunes is now favorite to win.
Rafin
4 months ago
Can someone inform ignorant old me what's going on with this market? Why did the odds get so close to each other a couple of hours ago, just to then surge so much more than before?
Mike2025
4 months ago
You need to request them in Discord.
Podgecaste.com
4 months ago
We need more Brazilian markets on here!
Mike2025
4 months ago
He made it up.
Eridpnc
4 months ago
where do you see this?
Mike2025
4 months ago
You said no but bet yes.
horatio
4 months ago
no
Mike2025
4 months ago
If too cheap, buy more.
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
4 months ago
Walz is too cheap here, Ipsos seems to have a heavy left-bias
Mike2025
4 months ago
Yes, they should correlate but sometimes they don't. That's life.
0x3694Cv236asm687309x22BfL120RDle62V8FK09
4 months ago
Doesn't there need to be correlation between the heading and the determining factors here on Polymarket? This was advertised as a market bet on "who will win the VP debate according to polls" (plural)
Mike2025
4 months ago
True.
Wook-Capital-Fund-I
4 months ago
Lotta idiots in these comments. (1) ipsos pres debate poll was released 5 days later on a Sunday. (2) I personally think Vance won. (3) trump got stomped last debate but 33% ipsos poll said he won. (4) the bet is on the ipsos poll results, not what you think/feel.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Yeah, it's weird starting and ending at noon.
Matthias
4 months ago
46 posts yesterday. 31 on the first half 15 on the latter. if he tweets like that every day, you will have the other 31 posts at the end of the week
Mike2025
4 months ago
See https://www.xtracker.io/.
LTF24
4 months ago
how many of his tweets are counted from october 4th?
Mike2025
4 months ago
I will bet no every month. At these odds I'm sure to win over the long term.
Mike2025
4 months ago
When all animals and birds disappear, you know one is coming in the next few days.
nasa22
4 months ago
You need to become 1 with nature and allow nature to speak too you know the answer to this one. How? You may ask, well the answer is simple sit in your garden naked and become one with the grass and let the earth speak to you. You will hear it angry - October the 27th 🥺
Mike2025
4 months ago
Lol. It doesn't work like that.
havingfun
4 months ago
We are overdue for a big one.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Preparing doesn't mean it will happen. In last 25 years, there's been one every 17 months on average.
ZZzzz
4 months ago
I hadn't seen all the preparations that Indonesia is working on and the recent events in Japan :( Thinking about closing this.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Almost out of time for an Ipsos poll.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Ipsos may not release a poll. The odds reflect that possibility.
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
4 months ago
Walz is too cheap here, Ipsos seems to have a heavy left-bias
Mike2025
4 months ago
You totally misunderstand probabilities. As yougov already said Vance, you have to consider the probability that Ipsos don't release a poll in time. In that case, Vance would win.
badatthis
4 months ago
50% even, 25% Vance, 25% Walz. This I give propablities for Ipsos. So this market should be 50-50 distributed
Mike2025
4 months ago
Only the rules count. That's why you should always read the rules before betting.
0x3694Cv236asm687309x22BfL120RDle62V8FK09
4 months ago
Doesn't there need to be correlation between the heading and the determining factors here on Polymarket? This was advertised as a market bet on "who will win the VP debate according to polls" (plural)
Mike2025
4 months ago
Polls have to reflect what people said. They can't fix the result just because other polls don't agree. That would be dumb.
XinJinping
4 months ago
At the end of the day, pools have to reflect real outcome (Vance won). Otherwise, no one will use them as source of trustworthy info later. And the heavy left bias will only reduce the gap between V & W but the verdict should be Vance by margin something like this
Mike2025
4 months ago
I'm not American. They're not my politicians. Why so angry if you don't care.
irdanka
4 months ago
Tell me, why is it not being completed? October 1st has already passed. Do I have to wait for October 15th?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Only 37 mins left.
n/a
4 months ago
Its coming probbly today
Mike2025
4 months ago
Well done 300+ holders.
Mike2025
4 months ago
It's a bot tweeting. He's asleep.
and
4 months ago
THIS MF DOESNT SLEEP
Mike2025
4 months ago
Sometimes he doesn't tweet for hours. And he's just gone into a meeting.
n/a
4 months ago
3 tweets in 1hr 30mins??? EASY MONEY
Mike2025
4 months ago
Nope. He's stopped. He's playing with you.
Donkov
4 months ago
its over
Mike2025
4 months ago
Only 3 now. He's on 297. At this rate he's bound to get to 300.
Carlossss
4 months ago
how many more are needed?
Mike2025
4 months ago
I'll be betting 300+ next week for sure.
DonaldMusk
4 months ago
300+ for sure
Mike2025
4 months ago
Doubt it. He tweets a few then stops for a few hours. Looks like he's stopped for now, so not likely to be any in next 2 hours. He has other work to do. But i think he'll tweet over 300 a week from now until the election. Even more if Trump loses.
DonaldMusk
4 months ago
300+ for sure
Mike2025
4 months ago
What time zone is he in?
1mperator17
4 months ago
not enough tweets in the dead of night for him to get there, but a boy can hope
Mike2025
4 months ago
Asthe election gets closer, he'll surely be tweeting more and more.
MrCalchas
4 months ago
Calling it a day. Got my money from Trump tweeting more and that's enough for me. keeping a small bet just for fun
Mike2025
4 months ago
Terrible odds.
MrCalchas
4 months ago
I don't think that Trump will tweet but 0.07 is entincing enough to get more shares.
Mike2025
4 months ago
You lot are clutching at straws instead of looking at reality.
Randomchooser
4 months ago
Reuters and most likely Rasmussen updates will decide it. I expect a few points in Trump's facour that will result in 1.5/1.9 range, expecially if they won't drop any pollsters and do not add any new entries.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Nope.
Randomchooser
4 months ago
Reuters and most likely Rasmussen updates will decide it. I expect a few points in Trump's facour that will result in 1.5/1.9 range, expecially if they won't drop any pollsters and do not add any new entries.
Mike2025
4 months ago
You would have still lost.
mombil
4 months ago
Another bias: This time RCP takes the "Combined Presidential Vote " for Emerson (only +1 not +2) last time they took the "Select choice" poll which had her up 2 instead of 3 with the combined presidential vote they are using this time, it doesnt get any more biased than this
Mike2025
4 months ago
It helps increase the loss.
Phoenix777
4 months ago
Buy 300+ fast, it helps to earn back the loss..
Mike2025
4 months ago
Walz holders are either too dumb ot too delusional to do that.
Infringe
4 months ago
waltz holders should exit before they're isnt exit liquidity to exit worthless waltz shares
Mike2025
4 months ago
If yiu don't know if the debate took place, you must be one of the dumbest people around. Seriously.
irdanka
4 months ago
Tell me, why is it not being completed? October 1st has already passed. Do I have to wait for October 15th?
Mike2025
4 months ago
That's wrong. Read the rules.
TrumpoDumpo
4 months ago
Someone please correct me if this is wrong: Let's say the Ipsos poll has a margin of error of 2% and shows that Vance has a 1% lead. A winner cannot be determined because the lead is within the margin of error. It's rare that it happens, but some might think there is a higher probably there than normal.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Nope. He's in a meeting. No more tweets today. He rarely tweets in the last 8 hours.
n/a
4 months ago
300+ actually looks plausible, mans doesn't sleep
Mike2025
4 months ago
Nope. That's it for today.
Donkov
4 months ago
Man, this mfer gonna reach 300
Mike2025
4 months ago
Wrong.
TrumpoDumpo
4 months ago
If the results fall within the margin of error, it will be a tie.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Read the rules.
irdanka
4 months ago
Tell me, why is it not being completed? October 1st has already passed. Do I have to wait for October 15th?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Wrong. The odds show that betters here think Vance won.
Wasserbrunner
4 months ago
It’s like the people commenting don’t know the entire purpose of this prediction market. The debate happened, and the odds here show that Vance won.
Mike2025
4 months ago
No. Taking my Vance winning to Harris.
WhaleCloud
4 months ago
Anyone taking their Vance winnings straight over to a Trump win😎
Mike2025
4 months ago
Ipsos poll counts for this event.
KovacNationalism
4 months ago
YouGov already posted a CBS poll that shows Vance won.
Mike2025
4 months ago
That's why you're not betting. Don't you like free money?
Immortalghost
4 months ago
We all know Vance won lmao
Mike2025
4 months ago
Shows your lack of understanding.
Zeke21
4 months ago
How this isn’t 99% Vance winning at this point is beyond me
Mike2025
4 months ago
But you only bet 5. Lol.
Tester - 39764
4 months ago
All polls show they are 50-50 (i.e. a coin-flip). Ipsos is left-leaning (they published that Harris is currently leading 47%-40%). If I paid you 2-1 odds on a coin-flip, when the person flipping the coin shows tails more often than heads, would you take tails?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Because it's so close that Walz could win.
Tac1776
4 months ago
Why is walz rising. Vance is likely to win
Mike2025
4 months ago
It's not clear at all. Yougov poll showed 42-41%. That's hardly convincing.
n/a
4 months ago
How is it even a question at this point? It is very clear that Vance won the debate last night.
Mike2025
4 months ago
No, but they probably will.
n/a
4 months ago
Is there even confirmation Ipsos is doing a poll about this?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Good analysis.
0x63325293geDetgu4g028d8hh9dDegjAsuneg44
4 months ago
4 polls so far. Yougov show 42-41 to Vance, they're unbias (+0.2% lean towards Trump in Nate Silver house effects). CNN had 51-49 Vance, they tend to be +0.8% Trump (NS h.e.). Focaldata had 50-50, they are unbias (+0.2% Harris NS h.e.). JL have 50-43 Vance, they're Trump simpers (+2.5% Trump NS h.e, MASSIVE bias). So...Ipsos? +1.7% Harris NS h.e., MASSIVE bias. In other words. 3 unbias pollsters show a tie; 1 Trump simp shows Vance winning; and we're waiting for the results from a Harris simp. Hmmm, 90 cents being sold for under 40 cents anyone? Ipsos isn't bias, but they're statistically bias; and we might as well be betting on if Trafalgar or Rasmussen is going to favour Trump vs polling averages; sometimes they surprise and have a good Kamala result; but basically their bias is greater than margin of error. I have bet as much as I'm comfortable with. Good luck all. Fwiw I think the debate performance was a tie ;)
Mike2025
4 months ago
Good apart from the fact that he's dishonest. Lol.
TheGoober
4 months ago
I hope that after Trump loses this election, Vance distances himself from him and runs in 2028. He'd be a strong candidate and I can see him flipping his approval ratings like Kamala did.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Yiugov pollwill be used before then oreven closed 50-50.
🤺JustPunched
4 months ago
it should be out by the end of December
Mike2025
4 months ago
It's not looking bad either. Losing a debate doesn't mean people won't vote for you. It'
Tac1776
4 months ago
It is not looking good for walz right now
Mike2025
4 months ago
If it was so obvious, why didn't yiu bet Vance when odds were around 30c? Why didyiu wait until 65c?
donky
4 months ago
Anyone saying Walz won is delusional. This was a professional debater vs a school teacher and the teach got schooled. Not close. Those who bet Walz bet because the thought the media would bail them out are in for a big surprise. Only worse beat down was the recent Trump vs Biden.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Professional debaters sometime lose.
donky
4 months ago
Anyone saying Walz won is delusional. This was a professional debater vs a school teacher and the teach got schooled. Not close. Those who bet Walz bet because the thought the media would bail them out are in for a big surprise. Only worse beat down was the recent Trump vs Biden.
Mike2025
4 months ago
The majority will say th3 side they like won. Only a minority of people are capable of both thinking objectively and telling the truth.
AppleADay
4 months ago
did we watch the same debate?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Asidefrom this market, doesthis make any real difference? People wikk vote for Trump or Harris. Will many really switch sides based on the VP pick?
PolyRig-Fried
4 months ago
Following the debate, 59% of debate watchers said they had a favorable view of Walz, with just 22% viewing him unfavorably – an improvement from his already positive numbers among the same voters pre-debate (46% favorable, 32% unfavorable). Debate watchers came away with roughly net neutral views of Vance following the debate: 41% rated him favorably and 44% unfavorably. That’s also an improvement from their image of Vance pre-debate, when his ratings among this group were deeply underwater (30% favorable, 52% unfavorable). A 65% majority of debate watchers now say Walz is qualified to serve as vice president if necessary, with 58% saying the same of Vance. Before the debate, 62% thought Walz was qualified to assume the vice presidency if needed, and 50% that Vance was qualified to do so. https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/vance-walz-debate-cbs-10-01-24/index.html
Mike2025
4 months ago
Not gonna happen. Hype is over.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Nope. Sounds like a rugpull waiting to happen.
MAGAhat
4 months ago
Interesting bet! But, if you want to make a BIG profit - The TrumpPros ERC20 Polygon token is the "real deal"! https://x.com/TrumpPros/status/1839587617978917006
Mike2025
4 months ago
There only around 5-6% chance of amegaquake based in data from last 25 years. So betting no at 91% is a winner over the long term.
ZZzzz
4 months ago
What do you know that I don't?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Only easy if Ipsos release a poll. If they don't, it will resolve as 50-50.
devvvvv
4 months ago
easy
Mike2025
4 months ago
But that doesn't count for this event.
Tac1776
4 months ago
Politco already declared vance the winner
Mike2025
4 months ago
If Ipsos doesn't release a poll, yhis will resolve as 50-50, so Vance at 70c is not too crazy. There is a risk that there won't be a poll released by Ipsos.
devvvvv
4 months ago
crazy how you can still buy vance at 70c rn
Mike2025
4 months ago
Hearing rumors Binance will list this week.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Over $66m predicted.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Better than losing.
Myh
4 months ago
but you will win 20$ lfg hahahhaha
Mike2025
4 months ago
All the yes people gonna lose because they don't know what spot trading is.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Yep, they hype is almost over.
qsalz
4 months ago
BUBBLE GONNA BURST
Mike2025
4 months ago
It will end up 50-50 so why are people betting at 50c? It's pointless.
Mike2025
4 months ago
If it's $120m, two opions will be correct. Weird.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Because there's no option for "OVER 105M".
FronkCartel
4 months ago
Why would anyone bet on ranges when you can just bet on "OVER 105M"
Mike2025
4 months ago
This is why you make a loss.
n/a
4 months ago
Pablo Marçal is winning all the polls, 34% Pablo vs 26% Ricardo Nunes. Buying Pablo all day!
Mike2025
4 months ago
Big mistake.
n/a
4 months ago
Pablo Marçal is winning all the polls, 34% Pablo vs 26% Ricardo Nunes. Buying Pablo all day!
Mike2025
4 months ago
Why not?
7XZK
4 months ago
why
Mike2025
4 months ago
Slightly different in fact. The closed one asked if MSFT woukd pass AAPL at any time. The current bet is for which is ahead on 30 September. It's important to read the rules carefully. The wording counts. Easy to make a mistake.
nicaseedstrader
4 months ago
https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30?tid=1727657443421 Why is this already sorted out, ITS THE SAME THING?? I just lost 30$ for what?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Not the same thing. MSFT overtook AAPL so the bet ended. Then a new bet started.
nicaseedstrader
4 months ago
https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30?tid=1727657443421 Why is this already sorted out, ITS THE SAME THING?? I just lost 30$ for what?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Probably MSFT overtook it for a few mins. Wouldn't have been newsworthy but you can go check the data.
nicaseedstrader
4 months ago
https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30?tid=1727657443421 Why is this already sorted out, ITS THE SAME THING?? I just lost 30$ for what?
Mike2025
4 months ago
The gobalists got over 70% of the vote. They won.
realdeep
4 months ago
freedom of speech has won this election. the globalists have lost. good job austria
Mike2025
4 months ago
You'll never make money betting the way you do. You're mostly throwing money away.
brachunok
4 months ago
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/lithuania/ LSDP feels like it could be overvalued
Mike2025
4 months ago
They're way ahead. I will put more money on them.
brachunok
4 months ago
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/lithuania/ LSDP feels like it could be overvalued
Mike2025
4 months ago
FPO have won with prjected 57 seats. OVP 51.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Liverpool have great odds right now. Arsenal odds are too high.
aniferw
4 months ago
i think arsenal win
Mike2025
4 months ago
FPO win most votes. No idea if that also means the most seats.
Mike2025
4 months ago
That's a big chunk of money to lose.
grmka
4 months ago
Ofc aston
Mike2025
4 months ago
An animal.
darkforce
4 months ago
what is austria?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Anyone can suggest them. Even you.
viktorurolog16
4 months ago
Who comes up with these bets?
Mike2025
4 months ago
I meant 10 cents total return not 10cper share.
JoebamaBiden
4 months ago
Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday
Mike2025
4 months ago
Well, you're a retard if you think this and didn't bet.
sdiff123
6 months ago
53% of elections since 1948 had at least one faithless elector (2016 had 10). Most states have no laws against faithless electors. This election given the chaos in the dems, strong third party and polarising trump for the gop it should be odds on.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Probably, but a draw is a possibility.
grmka
4 months ago
Ofc aston
Mike2025
4 months ago
You're down $11k. I'm going to just bet the opposite of you.
JoebamaBiden
4 months ago
Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday
Mike2025
4 months ago
I hope this bet reappears for October. I like easy money.
JoebamaBiden
4 months ago
Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday
Mike2025
4 months ago
Nuking the market will mean AAPL and MSFT both drop. Apple will still be ahead. Close you bet. You might get 10c. Better than 0c.
JoebamaBiden
4 months ago
Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday
Mike2025
4 months ago
Thanks for giving us free money by betting on Other.
PamBondiStan
4 months ago
Saskatchewan party could win this, on the other hand, the NDP could win
Mike2025
4 months ago
I have bet on them to win the league. It's possible that Man City will have points deducted in Jan or Feb.
DiabloCRO
4 months ago
Liverpool has a nice chance to sit on the top of the leaderboard if they can beat Wolves :))
Mike2025
4 months ago
I bet on Liverpool and the bet shows in my history tab. It doesn't show here though, nor in my Positions tab. It might reappear later but is there support that can fix issues like this. It's a bit worrying that bets can just disappear like this.
Mike2025
4 months ago
$24-31m has won it.
Mike2025
4 months ago
It should be automatic. Simple enough.
CryptoBetMarkets
4 months ago
Idk but its always like this in sports. Takes Time too long
Mike2025
4 months ago
Showed as resolved but now disappeared. What happened?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Because he's a criminal. Prison is where criminals often end up.
Mandate
4 months ago
why he will be on prison?
Mike2025
4 months ago
There are quite a few billionaires in prison.
AnonTheGreat
4 months ago
Billionaires don't do jail time lmao
Mike2025
4 months ago
Read the rules. Wait until November. I assume you can read.
xixia1
4 months ago
Why is there no result yet?
Mike2025
4 months ago
By betting on no prison time. Sentencing has already been postponed.
burden
4 months ago
but how?
Mike2025
4 months ago
They are here... https://polymarket.com/sports/nfl/games
TimeTraveler
4 months ago
Where are all the NFL bets? The bet for tonight's game is gone and also all Sunday games are gone.
Mike2025
4 months ago
So why don't you bet if so ez?
sepdu
4 months ago
chiefs gonna win ez
Mike2025
4 months ago
Do you think it will get to $31m+ like the betting suggests?
MeNoDatNutReelMuni
4 months ago
it's starting to pick up traction, im seeing about 50% booked seats
Mike2025
4 months ago
No, it's still there. Are you blind?
figman
4 months ago
Was the additional context deleted?
Mike2025
4 months ago
Polymarket is great. The rules are clear. You're too dumb to follow them.
McLarry
4 months ago
Polymarket didn't even have the decency to say that there would probably be no more announcements. Pathetic, but this way the Chinese can see straight away what kind of business Polymarket is.
Mike2025
4 months ago
You think the whole of China bet on this or even cares?
ShadowKing
4 months ago
Polymarket completely ruined the Chinese market by blindly opening a market without confirming whether Huobi would issue an announcement.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Resolves on 30 Sep. Probably as 50-50.
1mperator17
4 months ago
why isnt this resolved yet, and what happen to the clarification
Mike2025
4 months ago
You've lost. Denial won't help you.
n/a
4 months ago
ÖVP will win the electoral vote, FPÖ is not going out as #1.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Lol. You bet. You accept the risk.
YatSen
4 months ago
死人妖和孙炒流量,流量过了就烂尾不管了,polymarket第一个国人盘就这样rug了,毫无信用,无视规则。The first Polymarket for Chinese users got rugged like this—zero credibility and completely ignoring the rules. What a joke!
Mike2025
4 months ago
Nope. 50-50 is good.
Gena🐊
4 months ago
China has rugpulled us
Mike2025
4 months ago
See you all next week.
Mike2025
4 months ago
All over. We lost.
addicts
4 months ago
not over yet
Mike2025
4 months ago
I'm sitting opposite him.
Andy0091
4 months ago
How do you know hes in a meeting?
Mike2025
4 months ago
All over. He's gone to a meeting. No more tweets.
Mike2025
4 months ago
Need another 3 in the next hour.
IONLYBETONX
4 months ago
def doable. coinflip. either way its gonna be tight