#68
Rank
616
Comments
172
Likes Received
217
Likes Given
Mike2025
3 days ago
331
Ender.ak47
3 days ago
What is the count rn???
Mike2025
3 days ago
Magnitude 8 about once every 16 months.
GoodLuck
4 days ago
''Major earthquakes, greater than magnitude 7, happen more than once per month. "Great earthquakes", magnitude 8 and higher, occur about once a year''
Mike2025
3 days ago
Too vague to bet on.
Mike2025
3 days ago
That is exactly what is. What are you complaining about?
SinZX
3 days ago
Why choose Apr 29, 2025 as the end date? It could happen at any point in the first 6-12 months. Shitty rule imo. Should rename it "Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve before Apr 29, 2025"
Mike2025
5 days ago
I will happily take your money.
0xe6a8c937Ed99a5587F6F699833d4a25431A800c7-1730051752976
1 week ago
After the election I'll bet on Ding, Gukesh farmed on weaker players to win the candidate
Mike2025
5 days ago
No, it's this one.
Yourbestbet
1 week ago
will-ding-liren-play-in-the-world-chess-championship-2024 - is it another championship ?
Mike2025
1 week ago
How much do you want?
Penguinn
1 week ago
Who wants to donate so I can buy Kamala Harris?
Mike2025
1 week ago
Liverpool are gonna win. Man City will probably have points deducted in Jan/Feb.
Mike2025
1 week ago
Pointless betting on this. Odds are way overpriced overall.
Mike2025
1 week ago
Man up. Stop crying.
dancer
1 week ago
Once again, the Polyscum have rugged my ability to profit from line movement - the books had these two at 50-50 when Gukesh won the Candidates, but the Polymarket garbage employees simply refused to let people have 50 cent Gukesh. Fuck Polymarket.
Mike2025
1 week ago
It's lucky you're broke because you'd lose more money if you weren't
Jewbru
1 week ago
Ding is way undervalued
Mike2025
1 week ago
Because he's likely to lose.
Jewbru
1 week ago
how are people only giving ding 25%???
Mike2025
1 week ago
It's only Labour that sticks with white men. Tory party accepts men, women, and people of color.
edrfyftyf
2 weeks ago
a brown woman leading the conservative party???
Mike2025
2 weeks ago
Where can we follow the results?
Mike2025
2 weeks ago
There can't be a tie.
DrinkDaddy2020
2 weeks ago
Juan Da Fuca-Malahat is 20 votes away from flipping to the Cons. This isn't over, guys, especially as given PolyPoll's rules we are looking at seat count (and alphabetically if a tie happens) not forming govt
Mike2025
2 weeks ago
You can propose markets on the Discord server.
Spartan37
1 month ago
Chess needs more betting markets. This is sad.
Mike2025
2 weeks ago
You've lost over $4k on various events. Nothing is rigged. You just place dumb bets. Gotta be retarded to lose money here.
PlebThinker
3 weeks ago
can the cons still win this? confused why this has not been called yet?
Mike2025
2 weeks ago
What a bad loser. Dumb AF.
PlebThinker
3 weeks ago
can the cons still win this? confused why this has not been called yet?
Mike2025
2 weeks ago
You lost. Accept it and move on.
fakeplsttrees
3 weeks ago
Mail in ballots received before advance polling started have already been counted. Notwithstanding a hand recount, is the first bc election using electronic tabulators meaning these results are likely very accurate. I find it very unlikely cons win juan de fuca knowing nearly all votes have already been counted.
Mike2025
2 weeks ago
You lost. Go to bed. Stop thinking like a pleb.
BigDaddyMike
3 weeks ago
10 ridings have not been called yet. Recounts and mail ins will make or break this election by less than 100 votes. Crazy, but still too big to rig.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
I estimate 2027.
AnDragon
0 months ago
We are due! Considering the planetary geometry, I estimate around the 18th of October!
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Yes, on 24 November.
Sardinianshepherd
3 weeks ago
is there a second round?
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Mail-in votes may not be counted until 26 Oct.
DrinkDaddy2020
3 weeks ago
Juan de Fuca-Malahat is going to make or break this. 23 vote difference and they haven't counted mail-ins yet.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Because that's a different type of bet.
NateNate60
3 weeks ago
Not here to start an argument, but does anyone else find it strange that in the event of a tie, this market resolves to the party whose name comes first alphabetically? Why not just 50/50 for the tied parties and everyone else loses?
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Yes, it's odd, but that's how it works. Just take it into account when betting.
NateNate60
3 weeks ago
Not here to start an argument, but does anyone else find it strange that in the event of a tie, this market resolves to the party whose name comes first alphabetically? Why not just 50/50 for the tied parties and everyone else loses?
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Lol.
BigDaddyMike
3 weeks ago
49 seats for cons at 55% ballot reporting. TOO BIG TO RIG!
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
I did. They won.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
NDP wins... https://globalnews.ca/news/10801085/bc-election-results-live-2024-vote/
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
But funny that results are the same as the polls. You're just a sore loser.
SCD1986
3 weeks ago
Trump effect - many people secretly voting Conservative but don't admit it the pollsters because the media has been so denigrating toward them. Province is in shambles after 7 years of NDP
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
You sure know how to bet emotionally and lose.
PlebThinker
3 weeks ago
about to put more on cons
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Lol. Here are the results... https://globalnews.ca/news/10801085/bc-election-results-live-2024-vote/
BigDaddyMike
3 weeks ago
49 seats for cons at 55% ballot reporting. TOO BIG TO RIG!
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
You're happy that you lost?
PlebThinker
3 weeks ago
YAYYYY
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
NDP wins... https://globalnews.ca/news/10801085/bc-election-results-live-2024-vote/
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Because that's tge way many on here bet. They are too emotional.
EdgyUsername
3 weeks ago
Why are people panic buying 1.0-1.4? Not that I'm complaining? :)
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
What you're missing is that you're adding up all the rounded numbers. You need to add up the original unrounded numbers.
Szty1
3 weeks ago
Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
You're adding up the rounded numbers. You need to add up the original numbers (that aren't shown).
badatthis
3 weeks ago
In my calculation the avg should be 1.538. I guess they are biased towards Kamala because inbmy math 1.538 doesn't round up to 1.6!
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
They add up the exact numbers and then average it. They don't round up/down first and then take the average. That wouldn't make any sense.
Szty1
3 weeks ago
1.6
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
He's averaged 5.18 per day. 35 tweets divided by 6.75 days. Only 6 hours left.
x.com/KaiserAra5
3 weeks ago
this week he averaged 5.66 tweets a day and today, Oct 18 has done 0 so far.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
0 is part of the average. He doesn't tweet much on a Friday morning.
x.com/KaiserAra5
3 weeks ago
this week he averaged 5.66 tweets a day and today, Oct 18 has done 0 so far.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
He usually doesn't tweet much in the last few hours. Probably 200-224 will win.
Sandy-Waters01
3 weeks ago
It will be interesting to see what 200-224 Yes guys wil to when the postmaster wakes and starts shooting…
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Others know but you don't. Maybe that's why you're so poor.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
No way are they selling at the beginning of a bull market.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
There are numerous ways of knowing. We are clearly in a bull market.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
No way are they selling at the beginning of a bull market.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
They haven't sold any.
UnclePete
3 weeks ago
they are selling a lot!
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Calm down. Just moved to different wallets. Happens all the time. Moving to a different wallet doesn't always mean selling.
UnclePete
3 weeks ago
On-chain data shows wallets associated with Elon Musk's electric car company have been emptied.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
35. You've lost.
x.com/KaiserAra5
3 weeks ago
How many tweets has he made so far?
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Melo
enroll
0 months ago
and who winners?
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
She's not even in it.
Margules
3 weeks ago
Suella could be an interesting choice, as her position represents a balance between domestic policy and more rigorous foreign relations.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
I know, but the polling must still be wrong.
Szty1
3 weeks ago
Are you lost? This market is about where RCP will stand tomorrow.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
I don't understand your question. Why do you think you're miassing something.
Clausevanderbooben
3 weeks ago
https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
He doesn't spend all day tweeting. He probably has AI make suggestions and then sets up his tweets in 2 mins.
JackBauerPowerHour
3 weeks ago
How does this mfer have time to run spacex and Tesla when he spends all day tweeting
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Why waste your money on such crazy predictions?
actors
3 weeks ago
tweet a little more
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
No way are they selling at the beginning of a bull market.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Because so many bet emotionally. They don't care about odds.
hello1234567
3 weeks ago
How is that 66% NO I don't get it? All legit bookies say there is about 30 to 35/1 chance this happens.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
These polls must be terribly wrong.on this day in 2016, Clinton had a +7 lead and lost the elsection. In 2020, Biden had a +9 lead and only narrowly beat Trump. How hasHarris got any hope of winning with just a +1.6 lead?
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
The answer is in the rules. It's thenumber at the top of this... https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/post/british-columbia-election-daily-tracker-poll-day-21. I suggest you read the rules.
Clausevanderbooben
3 weeks ago
Where are they pulling the polling information to resolve this vote? So many conflicting sources
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
You're assuming the +3 poll doesn't get removed. It may or it may not.
Szty1
3 weeks ago
1.8 by my count
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
I get 1.6. +5 will be added and I assume +3 will be removed, so that gives 1.6.
EdgyUsername
3 weeks ago
I'm calcultating that the Marist poll would push Kamala up to 2.0. Is anyone else getting different numbers. Of course, that's if RCP deigns to include it.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
I love betting against people that don't understand politics.
BigDaddyMike
3 weeks ago
It is too close to call. But everybody in BC is tired of the socialism and homeless drug den encampments everywhere, this single issue will give the cons a majority.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Depends how many, if any, they knock off the bottom of the list.
EdgyUsername
3 weeks ago
I'm calcultating that the Marist poll would push Kamala up to 2.0. Is anyone else getting different numbers. Of course, that's if RCP deigns to include it.
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Look at the bids not the offers. 1.5-1.9 has higher bids. Liquidity is too low to just look at offers.
EdgyUsername
3 weeks ago
Can someone explain to me why 1-1.4 is selling for more than 1.5-1.9 after the Marist poll has her up +5? I'm paranoid I'm missing something obvious. Is there some Atlas poll coming?
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Interesting. Being ahead doesn't mean definitely winning though.
Crock95
3 weeks ago
Lithuania has a mixed system: 70 seats are elected through proportional representation and 71 through single-member constituencies. In the proportional vote, LSDP won with 19.36% (18 seats), while TS-LKD received 17.96% (17 seats). However, in the single-member constituencies, TS-LKD is leading in 27 districts, while LSDP is ahead in only 22. Thus, TS-LKD currently holds 17+27=44 seats, and LSDP has 18+22=40 seats. https://rezultatai.vrk.lt/?srcUrl=/rinkimai/1544/1/2150/rezultatai/lt/rezultataiSuvestine1.html
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
You shouldstop reading and believing the media. Go visit the EU for yourself and stop making stupid comments.
Ripp
0 months ago
No way the West will allow this election to lose? There will be lgbt pride festivals in Moldova.
Mike2025
0 months ago
But you didn't bet on her.
Upway
0 months ago
she has no competitors, sir
Mike2025
0 months ago
Stop throwing your money away on insane bets like this.
raidthesquare
1 month ago
im homeless
Mike2025
0 months ago
Sandu very overpriced here.
Mike2025
0 months ago
The liquidity is pretty good for a country this small.
Mike2025
0 months ago
It's about geopolitics. Whether poor or not is irrelevant.
lsrael
0 months ago
@Mike2025 thanks didnt know that.. poorest country in the world gonna join eu funny
Mike2025
0 months ago
Not really. Under 50% are in favor of joining according to recent polls.
moneysniper
0 months ago
NOs are basically praying on russian intervention
Mike2025
0 months ago
Of course the EU has a choice. Turkey has been a candidate country for decades but has no hope of joining. Referendum is about amending the constitution. It's not about joining the EU. They are many years away from joining.
moneysniper
0 months ago
Yall are dumb AF its not EU or Russias choice, its a referendum. Moldova is already a EU candidate
Mike2025
0 months ago
Yes. It's a choice of EU or Russia. There's no way the EU will want them on Russia's side.
lsrael
0 months ago
Will eu accept them tho? Hahaha
Mike2025
1 month ago
Only the top line counts for this event.
MarcoRo
1 month ago
There is a problem, the data is not clear. if you looking to the chart they write +2.0, but on the tables +1.9.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Liberty all the way.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Yes.
CheerfulPessimist
1 month ago
Nice analysis, are you british?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Current odds add up to 114%. Make sure you place limit orders. Don't take market orders at these inflated prices.
Mike2025
1 month ago
I have already bet on the dems to win the popular vote.
Firedigger
1 month ago
I do agree. On the other hand, one has a similar easy bet to make with democrats winning the popular vote.
Mike2025
1 month ago
You don't understand probabilities.
Fred19999
1 month ago
You have to be stupid to bet against the favorite
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's retarded to dispute just because you lost.
YeezyBreezy
1 month ago
Wow you bet a lot of money. Are you going to let it go without disputing?
Mike2025
1 month ago
CNN shows cat 3 when it hits land. No facts point to cat 4.
TheTank
1 month ago
the facts point to cat 4 but all the smartasses in the comments say it's 3
Mike2025
1 month ago
So, you know the facts but are too scared to put money on it.
TheTank
1 month ago
the facts point to cat 4 but all the smartasses in the comments say it's 3
Mike2025
1 month ago
I've reported it a few times.
BitcoinerRetired
1 month ago
This BirdMilman is sharing a scam website. Dont fall for it.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Just follow the money. Sensationalist media comments are not facts.
TheTank
1 month ago
the facts point to cat 4 but all the smartasses in the comments say it's 3
Mike2025
1 month ago
Looks like you managed to pick 6 losing bets.
yhtd
1 month ago
400+
Mike2025
1 month ago
I wouldn't be totally surprised. He'sabit quieter than usual.
n/a
1 month ago
175-199, mark my words boiz
Mike2025
1 month ago
This was my analysis from 9 days ago. https://old.reddit.com/r/PoliticalOdds/comments/1fspk4s/next_uk_leader_of_the_conservatives/
Mike2025
1 month ago
That was a shock.
Merriman07
1 month ago
wow, just wow
Mike2025
1 month ago
Because she beats every candidate head-to-head among members who will be voting.
BigLez
1 month ago
Curious why you see her as favourite over Cleverly
Mike2025
1 month ago
Looks like it. Crazy result.
Merriman07
1 month ago
there must have been heavy vote lending in the previous rounds
Mike2025
1 month ago
Looks like a 3. Ignore the noise. Stick to the facts.
Mike2025
1 month ago
5 is out of the picture. This is likely to be 3 or 4.
theone222
1 month ago
Most news sources are now saying Landfall at Cat 4, possibly even strengthening to Cat5 again as it’s only 2mph slower than Cat5. 3 is out of the picture
Mike2025
1 month ago
Scam.
BirdMillman
1 month ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/RealAlphaNews/status/1843987329637331078
Mike2025
1 month ago
Losers are always looking for others to blame. That's why they always make the same mistakes over and over again.
090x
1 month ago
i think that this market will be UMA market in the end
Mike2025
1 month ago
Don't bet if you think that.
090x
1 month ago
i think that this market will be UMA market in the end
Mike2025
1 month ago
Why do you care? You sound worried.
balloooooo
1 month ago
lifting cat 5 is actually braindead
Mike2025
1 month ago
What does shear mean in layman's terms?
General.William.T.Sherman
1 month ago
Eye has disappeared on satellite. Restructuring in full effect. Next couple hours will be interesting. Shear continues to be lower than projected. Any shifts south helps with shear.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Kemi's gonna win this. I have no idea why Jenrick was ever the favorite.
Mike2025
1 month ago
That link shows it's undervalued.
brachunok
1 month ago
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/lithuania/ LSDP feels like it could be overvalued
Mike2025
1 month ago
Too close. Not worth betting. Could go either way.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Easy money. Bet no for 7. There is no way either side wins all 7.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Rules say Nov but should say Oct.
Mike2025
1 month ago
The Hurcicane Center give forecasts yet you claim it's impossible. Lol. I don't bet on storms.
georgiatech
1 month ago
its kinda impossible to anticipate this type of thing
Mike2025
1 month ago
Great idea to lose and then throw away even more money. Some real retards on here.
Secret14thKey
1 month ago
Never disputed a resolution before might give it a try
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's already resolved. Waiting for dispute window to close.
MAGAKen
1 month ago
Let's resolve this. the deadline is past, there is no ipsos poll, even if there were an ipsos poll the deadline has passed , Vance won..I'm sick of waiting for what we all know happened.
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's already resolved. 28 mins left to dispute.
jjwin
1 month ago
How does this get resolved?
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's got to be 1.5-2.4. Can't see it moving much from the current 2.0.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Why areyou so confident it will be a 5 when everyone is predicting a 3?
General.William.T.Sherman
1 month ago
We’ve gone from projected landfall of 110mph at 7am today to 130mph at 11pm 🤔🤔🤔
Mike2025
1 month ago
But still expected to be category 3 when it hits land.
Hedgemonkey131110
1 month ago
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2024/10/08/hurricane-milton-florida-live-updates/ Storm upgraded back to Catagory 5 again
Mike2025
1 month ago
You've had over a week to sell Walz and buy Vance. It baffles me that people like you refuse to see facts that are right in front of you. But it's what makes winning here so easy.
🤺JustPunched
1 month ago
Lol what a scam from IPSOS
Mike2025
1 month ago
No scam. They never planned a poll. No idea why so many here expect one.
🤺JustPunched
1 month ago
Lol what a scam from IPSOS
Mike2025
1 month ago
You can propose a resolution.
BenCM
1 month ago
Resolve
Mike2025
1 month ago
Exactly.
Shayku
1 month ago
CNN predicts landfall as 3. Their incentive is to exaggerate upwards, not downwards.
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's very possible to anticipate the category. Yiu just don't understand how these things work.
georgiatech
1 month ago
its kinda impossible to anticipate this type of thing
Mike2025
1 month ago
From NBC... Hurricane Milton, currently a Category 4, could make landfall in Florida as either a Category 3 or Category 4 storm, models show
Mike2025
1 month ago
From BBC... Milton has weakened slightly from a category five
Mike2025
1 month ago
So will be a 3 or 4 when it hits land. I'm no expert though.
Mike2025
1 month ago
From BBC... Milton has weakened slightly from a category five
Mike2025
1 month ago
From BBC... Milton has weakened slightly from a category five
Mike2025
1 month ago
News likes to exaggerate to get viewers.
khamzatborz
1 month ago
news talking about 4 and 5 why 3 so high %?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Your own fault for not selling. Why hold on when you've obviously lost,
Betwick
1 month ago
Very sad
Mike2025
1 month ago
You've had enough time to sell. Hard to believe people are waiting for a poll that was never promised.
aenews2
1 month ago
I can't believe this, I never thought we'd go out this way... cold and alone waiting for the rescue that never came
Mike2025
1 month ago
Game 3 had already ended. Your scam didn't work.
DragDealer
1 month ago
POLYMARKET CHANGING THE TITLE FROM "GAME 3" into "GAME 4" WHAT A SHAME
Mike2025
1 month ago
Market was created after game 3, so pretty obvoius it meant game 4. You just want to scam peolle because of asimple mistake.
DragDealer
1 month ago
Previously it was "GAME 3" you changed it on the final review? WHAT A SHAME POLYMARKET, it's your mistakes to make people fall in wrong choice, fack you polymarket
Mike2025
1 month ago
They have never said they are releasing a poll so not sure why so many are waiting for one.
Secret14thKey
1 month ago
I'm commenting a ground offensive on Ipsos HQ
Mike2025
1 month ago
You could still sell and cut your losses.
HappyAmateur
1 month ago
To be real, after a week of a majority of the media saying vance won, and that yougov poll, I really cant see myself winning this. Would of been different had Ipsos come out with something sooner but alas, no.
Mike2025
1 month ago
No poll is coming. Why is everyone expecting one. I've never seen any announcement.
Sardinianshepherd
1 month ago
Fellow Waltz bros, please tell me this ipsos opinion poll is coming
Mike2025
1 month ago
If there release a weekly poll, last one was 3 October, so next would be 10 October. This market will resolve on 8 October.
ArtVandalay
1 month ago
Ipsos have released a post debate poll for every single debate going back to the year 2000. Just want to lay that out.
Mike2025
1 month ago
There is no poll. Ipsos never said there'd be one. No idea why people think there will be one. There's no. Vance has won.
S-1REQUIRED
1 month ago
Bros are we getting scammed? Where the FUCK is the poll?
Mike2025
1 month ago
There is no poll. You're waiting in vain. Vance has won.
idfkanything
1 month ago
WHERE’S THE POLL?! DID IT FALL BETWEEN THE SOFA CUSHIONS?!
Mike2025
1 month ago
You'll only win 81 cents. No rush.
dav1
1 month ago
Can Oct 8 come already please?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Yes, it'sstill a long time, but if they post the winner is still likely to be Vance. e.
m1kko
1 month ago
37 hours is still a long time to go.
Mike2025
1 month ago
This is how similar markets work. They rules weren't copied without consideration.
BennyS
1 month ago
So remember, these odds are skewed by the chosen rules which were clearly copied over from other markets without much consideration. This rule was used in markets where the chance of tie was extremely low (as to not effect the odds), like in the US Presidential Popular vote market, but in this market it's significant enough to change the odds.
Mike2025
1 month ago
It shows NDP ahead 48-44.
BennyS
1 month ago
polling shows cons are ahead now: https://338canada.com/bc/
Mike2025
1 month ago
That's a common rule to ensure there's a winner. Just take it into account when betting.
BennyS
1 month ago
Current seat projection is 46-46-1. This would still resolve to a "Yes" for Conservatives because of the stupid rules: "In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order"
Mike2025
1 month ago
People like you throwing money away. Why? He can't become leader if he's already leader of a different party.
Ullage
1 month ago
Farage price is steaming....no idea why
Mike2025
1 month ago
In the 1st round, 3 candidates were very close. There was under 2% difference separating all 3, so odds moved close together. Then after counting, the top 2 went through to the 2nd round and Nunes is now favorite to win.
Rafin
1 month ago
Can someone inform ignorant old me what's going on with this market? Why did the odds get so close to each other a couple of hours ago, just to then surge so much more than before?
Mike2025
1 month ago
You need to request them in Discord.
Podgecaste.com
1 month ago
We need more Brazilian markets on here!
Mike2025
1 month ago
He made it up.
Eridpnc
1 month ago
where do you see this?
Mike2025
1 month ago
You said no but bet yes.
horatio
1 month ago
no
Mike2025
1 month ago
If too cheap, buy more.
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
1 month ago
Walz is too cheap here, Ipsos seems to have a heavy left-bias
Mike2025
1 month ago
Yes, they should correlate but sometimes they don't. That's life.
PolybiusRex
1 month ago
Doesn't there need to be correlation between the heading and the determining factors here on Polymarket? This was advertised as a market bet on "who will win the VP debate according to polls" (plural)
Mike2025
1 month ago
True.
Wook-Capital-Fund-I
1 month ago
Lotta idiots in these comments. (1) ipsos pres debate poll was released 5 days later on a Sunday. (2) I personally think Vance won. (3) trump got stomped last debate but 33% ipsos poll said he won. (4) the bet is on the ipsos poll results, not what you think/feel.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Yeah, it's weird starting and ending at noon.
Matthias
1 month ago
46 posts yesterday. 31 on the first half 15 on the latter. if he tweets like that every day, you will have the other 31 posts at the end of the week
Mike2025
1 month ago
See https://www.xtracker.io/.
LTF24
1 month ago
how many of his tweets are counted from october 4th?
Mike2025
1 month ago
I will bet no every month. At these odds I'm sure to win over the long term.
Mike2025
1 month ago
When all animals and birds disappear, you know one is coming in the next few days.
nasa22
1 month ago
You need to become 1 with nature and allow nature to speak too you know the answer to this one. How? You may ask, well the answer is simple sit in your garden naked and become one with the grass and let the earth speak to you. You will hear it angry - October the 27th 🥺
Mike2025
1 month ago
Lol. It doesn't work like that.
havingfun
1 month ago
We are overdue for a big one.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Preparing doesn't mean it will happen. In last 25 years, there's been one every 17 months on average.
ZZzzz
1 month ago
I hadn't seen all the preparations that Indonesia is working on and the recent events in Japan :( Thinking about closing this.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Almost out of time for an Ipsos poll.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Ipsos may not release a poll. The odds reflect that possibility.
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
1 month ago
Walz is too cheap here, Ipsos seems to have a heavy left-bias
Mike2025
1 month ago
You totally misunderstand probabilities. As yougov already said Vance, you have to consider the probability that Ipsos don't release a poll in time. In that case, Vance would win.
badatthis
1 month ago
50% even, 25% Vance, 25% Walz. This I give propablities for Ipsos. So this market should be 50-50 distributed
Mike2025
1 month ago
Only the rules count. That's why you should always read the rules before betting.
PolybiusRex
1 month ago
Doesn't there need to be correlation between the heading and the determining factors here on Polymarket? This was advertised as a market bet on "who will win the VP debate according to polls" (plural)
Mike2025
1 month ago
Polls have to reflect what people said. They can't fix the result just because other polls don't agree. That would be dumb.
XinJinping
1 month ago
At the end of the day, pools have to reflect real outcome (Vance won). Otherwise, no one will use them as source of trustworthy info later. And the heavy left bias will only reduce the gap between V & W but the verdict should be Vance by margin something like this
Mike2025
1 month ago
I'm not American. They're not my politicians. Why so angry if you don't care.
irdanka
1 month ago
Tell me, why is it not being completed? October 1st has already passed. Do I have to wait for October 15th?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Only 37 mins left.
n/a
1 month ago
Its coming probbly today
Mike2025
1 month ago
Well done 300+ holders.
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's a bot tweeting. He's asleep.
and
1 month ago
THIS MF DOESNT SLEEP
Mike2025
1 month ago
Sometimes he doesn't tweet for hours. And he's just gone into a meeting.
n/a
1 month ago
3 tweets in 1hr 30mins??? EASY MONEY
Mike2025
1 month ago
Nope. He's stopped. He's playing with you.
Donkov
1 month ago
its over
Mike2025
1 month ago
Only 3 now. He's on 297. At this rate he's bound to get to 300.
Carlossss
1 month ago
how many more are needed?
Mike2025
1 month ago
I'll be betting 300+ next week for sure.
DonaldMusk
1 month ago
300+ for sure
Mike2025
1 month ago
Doubt it. He tweets a few then stops for a few hours. Looks like he's stopped for now, so not likely to be any in next 2 hours. He has other work to do. But i think he'll tweet over 300 a week from now until the election. Even more if Trump loses.
DonaldMusk
1 month ago
300+ for sure
Mike2025
1 month ago
What time zone is he in?
1mperator17
1 month ago
not enough tweets in the dead of night for him to get there, but a boy can hope
Mike2025
1 month ago
Asthe election gets closer, he'll surely be tweeting more and more.
MrCalchas
1 month ago
Calling it a day. Got my money from Trump tweeting more and that's enough for me. keeping a small bet just for fun
Mike2025
1 month ago
Terrible odds.
MrCalchas
1 month ago
I don't think that Trump will tweet but 0.07 is entincing enough to get more shares.
Mike2025
1 month ago
You lot are clutching at straws instead of looking at reality.
Randomchooser
1 month ago
Reuters and most likely Rasmussen updates will decide it. I expect a few points in Trump's facour that will result in 1.5/1.9 range, expecially if they won't drop any pollsters and do not add any new entries.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Nope.
Randomchooser
1 month ago
Reuters and most likely Rasmussen updates will decide it. I expect a few points in Trump's facour that will result in 1.5/1.9 range, expecially if they won't drop any pollsters and do not add any new entries.
Mike2025
1 month ago
You would have still lost.
mombil
1 month ago
Another bias: This time RCP takes the "Combined Presidential Vote " for Emerson (only +1 not +2) last time they took the "Select choice" poll which had her up 2 instead of 3 with the combined presidential vote they are using this time, it doesnt get any more biased than this
Mike2025
1 month ago
It helps increase the loss.
Sandy-Waters01
1 month ago
Buy 300+ fast, it helps to earn back the loss..
Mike2025
1 month ago
Walz holders are either too dumb ot too delusional to do that.
Infringe
1 month ago
waltz holders should exit before they're isnt exit liquidity to exit worthless waltz shares
Mike2025
1 month ago
If yiu don't know if the debate took place, you must be one of the dumbest people around. Seriously.
irdanka
1 month ago
Tell me, why is it not being completed? October 1st has already passed. Do I have to wait for October 15th?
Mike2025
1 month ago
That's wrong. Read the rules.
TrumpoDumpo
1 month ago
Someone please correct me if this is wrong: Let's say the Ipsos poll has a margin of error of 2% and shows that Vance has a 1% lead. A winner cannot be determined because the lead is within the margin of error. It's rare that it happens, but some might think there is a higher probably there than normal.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Nope. He's in a meeting. No more tweets today. He rarely tweets in the last 8 hours.
n/a
1 month ago
300+ actually looks plausible, mans doesn't sleep
Mike2025
1 month ago
Nope. That's it for today.
Donkov
1 month ago
Man, this mfer gonna reach 300
Mike2025
1 month ago
Wrong.
TrumpoDumpo
1 month ago
If the results fall within the margin of error, it will be a tie.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Read the rules.
irdanka
1 month ago
Tell me, why is it not being completed? October 1st has already passed. Do I have to wait for October 15th?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Wrong. The odds show that betters here think Vance won.
Wasserbrunner
1 month ago
It’s like the people commenting don’t know the entire purpose of this prediction market. The debate happened, and the odds here show that Vance won.
Mike2025
1 month ago
No. Taking my Vance winning to Harris.
WhaleCloud
1 month ago
Anyone taking their Vance winnings straight over to a Trump win😎
Mike2025
1 month ago
Ipsos poll counts for this event.
KovacNationalism
1 month ago
YouGov already posted a CBS poll that shows Vance won.
Mike2025
1 month ago
That's why you're not betting. Don't you like free money?
Immortalghost
1 month ago
We all know Vance won lmao
Mike2025
1 month ago
Shows your lack of understanding.
Zeke21
1 month ago
How this isn’t 99% Vance winning at this point is beyond me
Mike2025
1 month ago
But you only bet 5. Lol.
Tester - 39764
1 month ago
All polls show they are 50-50 (i.e. a coin-flip). Ipsos is left-leaning (they published that Harris is currently leading 47%-40%). If I paid you 2-1 odds on a coin-flip, when the person flipping the coin shows tails more often than heads, would you take tails?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Because it's so close that Walz could win.
Tac1776
1 month ago
Why is walz rising. Vance is likely to win
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's not clear at all. Yougov poll showed 42-41%. That's hardly convincing.
n/a
1 month ago
How is it even a question at this point? It is very clear that Vance won the debate last night.
Mike2025
1 month ago
No, but they probably will.
n/a
1 month ago
Is there even confirmation Ipsos is doing a poll about this?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Good analysis.
themantis
1 month ago
4 polls so far. Yougov show 42-41 to Vance, they're unbias (+0.2% lean towards Trump in Nate Silver house effects). CNN had 51-49 Vance, they tend to be +0.8% Trump (NS h.e.). Focaldata had 50-50, they are unbias (+0.2% Harris NS h.e.). JL have 50-43 Vance, they're Trump simpers (+2.5% Trump NS h.e, MASSIVE bias). So...Ipsos? +1.7% Harris NS h.e., MASSIVE bias. In other words. 3 unbias pollsters show a tie; 1 Trump simp shows Vance winning; and we're waiting for the results from a Harris simp. Hmmm, 90 cents being sold for under 40 cents anyone? Ipsos isn't bias, but they're statistically bias; and we might as well be betting on if Trafalgar or Rasmussen is going to favour Trump vs polling averages; sometimes they surprise and have a good Kamala result; but basically their bias is greater than margin of error. I have bet as much as I'm comfortable with. Good luck all. Fwiw I think the debate performance was a tie ;)
Mike2025
1 month ago
Good apart from the fact that he's dishonest. Lol.
TheGoober
1 month ago
I hope that after Trump loses this election, Vance distances himself from him and runs in 2028. He'd be a strong candidate and I can see him flipping his approval ratings like Kamala did.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Yiugov pollwill be used before then oreven closed 50-50.
🤺JustPunched
1 month ago
it should be out by the end of December
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's not looking bad either. Losing a debate doesn't mean people won't vote for you. It'
Tac1776
1 month ago
It is not looking good for walz right now
Mike2025
1 month ago
If it was so obvious, why didn't yiu bet Vance when odds were around 30c? Why didyiu wait until 65c?
donky
1 month ago
Anyone saying Walz won is delusional. This was a professional debater vs a school teacher and the teach got schooled. Not close. Those who bet Walz bet because the thought the media would bail them out are in for a big surprise. Only worse beat down was the recent Trump vs Biden.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Professional debaters sometime lose.
donky
1 month ago
Anyone saying Walz won is delusional. This was a professional debater vs a school teacher and the teach got schooled. Not close. Those who bet Walz bet because the thought the media would bail them out are in for a big surprise. Only worse beat down was the recent Trump vs Biden.
Mike2025
1 month ago
The majority will say th3 side they like won. Only a minority of people are capable of both thinking objectively and telling the truth.
AppleADay
1 month ago
did we watch the same debate?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Asidefrom this market, doesthis make any real difference? People wikk vote for Trump or Harris. Will many really switch sides based on the VP pick?
PolyRig-Fried
1 month ago
Following the debate, 59% of debate watchers said they had a favorable view of Walz, with just 22% viewing him unfavorably – an improvement from his already positive numbers among the same voters pre-debate (46% favorable, 32% unfavorable). Debate watchers came away with roughly net neutral views of Vance following the debate: 41% rated him favorably and 44% unfavorably. That’s also an improvement from their image of Vance pre-debate, when his ratings among this group were deeply underwater (30% favorable, 52% unfavorable). A 65% majority of debate watchers now say Walz is qualified to serve as vice president if necessary, with 58% saying the same of Vance. Before the debate, 62% thought Walz was qualified to assume the vice presidency if needed, and 50% that Vance was qualified to do so. https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/vance-walz-debate-cbs-10-01-24/index.html
Mike2025
1 month ago
Not gonna happen. Hype is over.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Nope. Sounds like a rugpull waiting to happen.
MAGAhat
1 month ago
Interesting bet! But, if you want to make a BIG profit - The TrumpPros ERC20 Polygon token is the "real deal"! https://x.com/TrumpPros/status/1839587617978917006
Mike2025
1 month ago
There only around 5-6% chance of amegaquake based in data from last 25 years. So betting no at 91% is a winner over the long term.
ZZzzz
1 month ago
What do you know that I don't?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Only easy if Ipsos release a poll. If they don't, it will resolve as 50-50.
devvvvv
1 month ago
easy
Mike2025
1 month ago
But that doesn't count for this event.
Tac1776
1 month ago
Politco already declared vance the winner
Mike2025
1 month ago
If Ipsos doesn't release a poll, yhis will resolve as 50-50, so Vance at 70c is not too crazy. There is a risk that there won't be a poll released by Ipsos.
devvvvv
1 month ago
crazy how you can still buy vance at 70c rn
Mike2025
1 month ago
Hearing rumors Binance will list this week.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Over $66m predicted.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Better than losing.
Myh
1 month ago
but you will win 20$ lfg hahahhaha
Mike2025
1 month ago
All the yes people gonna lose because they don't know what spot trading is.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Yep, they hype is almost over.
qsalz
1 month ago
BUBBLE GONNA BURST
Mike2025
1 month ago
It will end up 50-50 so why are people betting at 50c? It's pointless.
Mike2025
1 month ago
If it's $120m, two opions will be correct. Weird.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Because there's no option for "OVER 105M".
FronkCartel
1 month ago
Why would anyone bet on ranges when you can just bet on "OVER 105M"
Mike2025
1 month ago
This is why you make a loss.
n/a
1 month ago
Pablo Marçal is winning all the polls, 34% Pablo vs 26% Ricardo Nunes. Buying Pablo all day!
Mike2025
1 month ago
Big mistake.
n/a
1 month ago
Pablo Marçal is winning all the polls, 34% Pablo vs 26% Ricardo Nunes. Buying Pablo all day!
Mike2025
1 month ago
Why not?
7XZK
1 month ago
why
Mike2025
1 month ago
Slightly different in fact. The closed one asked if MSFT woukd pass AAPL at any time. The current bet is for which is ahead on 30 September. It's important to read the rules carefully. The wording counts. Easy to make a mistake.
nicaseedstrader
1 month ago
https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30?tid=1727657443421 Why is this already sorted out, ITS THE SAME THING?? I just lost 30$ for what?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Not the same thing. MSFT overtook AAPL so the bet ended. Then a new bet started.
nicaseedstrader
1 month ago
https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30?tid=1727657443421 Why is this already sorted out, ITS THE SAME THING?? I just lost 30$ for what?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Probably MSFT overtook it for a few mins. Wouldn't have been newsworthy but you can go check the data.
nicaseedstrader
1 month ago
https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30?tid=1727657443421 Why is this already sorted out, ITS THE SAME THING?? I just lost 30$ for what?
Mike2025
1 month ago
The gobalists got over 70% of the vote. They won.
realdeep
1 month ago
freedom of speech has won this election. the globalists have lost. good job austria
Mike2025
1 month ago
You'll never make money betting the way you do. You're mostly throwing money away.
brachunok
1 month ago
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/lithuania/ LSDP feels like it could be overvalued
Mike2025
1 month ago
They're way ahead. I will put more money on them.
brachunok
1 month ago
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/lithuania/ LSDP feels like it could be overvalued
Mike2025
1 month ago
FPO have won with prjected 57 seats. OVP 51.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Liverpool have great odds right now. Arsenal odds are too high.
aniferw
1 month ago
i think arsenal win
Mike2025
1 month ago
FPO win most votes. No idea if that also means the most seats.
Mike2025
1 month ago
That's a big chunk of money to lose.
grmka
1 month ago
Ofc aston
Mike2025
1 month ago
An animal.
darkforce
1 month ago
what is austria?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Anyone can suggest them. Even you.
viktorurolog16
1 month ago
Who comes up with these bets?
Mike2025
1 month ago
I meant 10 cents total return not 10cper share.
JoebamaBiden
1 month ago
Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday
Mike2025
1 month ago
Well, you're a retard if you think this and didn't bet.
sdiff123
3 months ago
53% of elections since 1948 had at least one faithless elector (2016 had 10). Most states have no laws against faithless electors. This election given the chaos in the dems, strong third party and polarising trump for the gop it should be odds on.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Probably, but a draw is a possibility.
grmka
1 month ago
Ofc aston
Mike2025
1 month ago
You're down $11k. I'm going to just bet the opposite of you.
JoebamaBiden
1 month ago
Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday
Mike2025
1 month ago
I hope this bet reappears for October. I like easy money.
JoebamaBiden
1 month ago
Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday
Mike2025
1 month ago
Nuking the market will mean AAPL and MSFT both drop. Apple will still be ahead. Close you bet. You might get 10c. Better than 0c.
JoebamaBiden
1 month ago
Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday
Mike2025
1 month ago
Thanks for giving us free money by betting on Other.
CharlieTwoKnuckles
1 month ago
Saskatchewan party could win this, on the other hand, the NDP could win
Mike2025
1 month ago
I have bet on them to win the league. It's possible that Man City will have points deducted in Jan or Feb.
DiabloCRO
1 month ago
Liverpool has a nice chance to sit on the top of the leaderboard if they can beat Wolves :))
Mike2025
1 month ago
I bet on Liverpool and the bet shows in my history tab. It doesn't show here though, nor in my Positions tab. It might reappear later but is there support that can fix issues like this. It's a bit worrying that bets can just disappear like this.
Mike2025
1 month ago
$24-31m has won it.
Mike2025
1 month ago
It should be automatic. Simple enough.
CryptoBetMarkets
1 month ago
Idk but its always like this in sports. Takes Time too long
Mike2025
1 month ago
Showed as resolved but now disappeared. What happened?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Because he's a criminal. Prison is where criminals often end up.
Mandate
1 month ago
why he will be on prison?
Mike2025
1 month ago
There are quite a few billionaires in prison.
AnonTheGreat
1 month ago
Billionaires don't do jail time lmao
Mike2025
1 month ago
Read the rules. Wait until November. I assume you can read.
xixia1
1 month ago
Why is there no result yet?
Mike2025
1 month ago
By betting on no prison time. Sentencing has already been postponed.
burden
1 month ago
but how?
Mike2025
1 month ago
They are here... https://polymarket.com/sports/nfl/games
TimeTraveler
1 month ago
Where are all the NFL bets? The bet for tonight's game is gone and also all Sunday games are gone.
Mike2025
1 month ago
So why don't you bet if so ez?
sepdu
1 month ago
chiefs gonna win ez
Mike2025
1 month ago
Do you think it will get to $31m+ like the betting suggests?
MeNoDatNutReelMuni
1 month ago
it's starting to pick up traction, im seeing about 50% booked seats
Mike2025
1 month ago
No, it's still there. Are you blind?
figman
1 month ago
Was the additional context deleted?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Polymarket is great. The rules are clear. You're too dumb to follow them.
SmartMagaMoney
1 month ago
Polymarket didn't even have the decency to say that there would probably be no more announcements. Pathetic, but this way the Chinese can see straight away what kind of business Polymarket is.
Mike2025
1 month ago
You think the whole of China bet on this or even cares?
Slytherin
1 month ago
Polymarket completely ruined the Chinese market by blindly opening a market without confirming whether Huobi would issue an announcement.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Resolves on 30 Sep. Probably as 50-50.
1mperator17
1 month ago
why isnt this resolved yet, and what happen to the clarification
Mike2025
1 month ago
You've lost. Denial won't help you.
n/a
1 month ago
ÖVP will win the electoral vote, FPÖ is not going out as #1.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Lol. You bet. You accept the risk.
YatSen
1 month ago
死人妖和孙炒流量,流量过了就烂尾不管了,polymarket第一个国人盘就这样rug了,毫无信用,无视规则。The first Polymarket for Chinese users got rugged like this—zero credibility and completely ignoring the rules. What a joke!
Mike2025
1 month ago
Nope. 50-50 is good.
AugustoPinochet73
1 month ago
China has rugpulled us
Mike2025
1 month ago
See you all next week.
Mike2025
1 month ago
All over. We lost.
addicts
1 month ago
not over yet
Mike2025
1 month ago
I'm sitting opposite him.
Andy0091
1 month ago
How do you know hes in a meeting?
Mike2025
1 month ago
All over. He's gone to a meeting. No more tweets.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Need another 3 in the next hour.
IONLYBETONX
1 month ago
def doable. coinflip. either way its gonna be tight
Mike2025
1 month ago
Elon is awake and tweeting. Only 4 more needed i just over an hour. Looking good.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Is Elon awake yet? He needs to post 7 more tweets in 4 hours.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Why don't you request it?
SmartMagaMoney
1 month ago
can someone request a second market for this with diffrent brackets
Mike2025
1 month ago
Never.
ReCOn911
1 month ago
when does it end ?
Mike2025
1 month ago
You ignored volatility.
JohnathanDoe
1 month ago
whaat weent wroong
Mike2025
1 month ago
Free money right here. 1.83% profit in 37 days.
Mike2025
1 month ago
You don't have a trade.
BrandonThought
1 month ago
lmao what last minutes polls are gonna show up to screw over my trade
Mike2025
1 month ago
Neither is trash. You just don't understand them.
MrNFT
1 month ago
Someone needs to make a new site. 538 is trash but so is RCP
Mike2025
1 month ago
0 or 1 more. Tyen stop.
PanosMariolis2001
1 month ago
YES SIIIIIIIIIIIIR , TRACKER AT 23 , COME ON BABY , 2 MORE BABY !
Mike2025
1 month ago
10c
PanosMariolis2001
1 month ago
how much for my shares i hear offers
Mike2025
1 month ago
In bed.
PanosMariolis2001
1 month ago
where is everyone i need liquidity
Mike2025
1 month ago
See the tracker. Almost 9 hours left.
PeterParkerP
1 month ago
What timezone are we using here? I mean when does the clock stop ?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Most ladyboys have surgery to remove it.
abdendriel
1 month ago
Where’s the Adam’s Apple?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Only just discovered this market. I'l be betting yes every month if I can get under 2c.
Mr.Damon
1 month ago
no holders shaking rn
Mike2025
1 month ago
Not gambling. There is plenty of data that allows you to bet and win. 8+ earthquakes occur around once a year. If you can get odds of 1c or 2c every month, you'll win big time.
Rabid
1 month ago
Now THIS is gambling
Mike2025
1 month ago
50-50 suits me.
figman
1 month ago
POST 1: "Beauty, Huobi will announce it tomorrow night, right? I staked 800USDT" POST 2: "Huobi withdrew midway. They had originally agreed to act as a middleman for Polymarket to be published by Huobi, but now they have withdrawn. If there were no middleman, they might have returned to the original path." POST 3: "does that mean there’s no announcement anymore?" POST 4: "It seems their rule is that there must be a middleman, and now I just can't find anyone to be one. 😂If there isn't one by then, it should be 50/50." https://x.com/Gummybear1771/status/1839197793690464717
Mike2025
1 month ago
Apple stock is up today. MSFT is down.
Fred19999
1 month ago
There is still time for the market to correctly price Apple 📉
Mike2025
1 month ago
I'll be betting on Apple to be no. 1 at end of Oct, Nov, Dec.
Fred19999
1 month ago
There is still time for the market to correctly price Apple 📉
Mike2025
1 month ago
Some are coming to their senses and realizing this is a man. Why is it so hard for some of you to understand?
Mike2025
1 month ago
They allow more than is allowed in the US.
Donkov
1 month ago
Why would the CCP tolerate such 5th columnists?
Mike2025
1 month ago
这个市场指的是草莓软糖(@Gummybear1771)的性别。
Volume
1 month ago
who is it?
Mike2025
1 month ago
No need to ask. He's a man.
Fred19999
1 month ago
Is it against the rules to just DM @Gummybear1771 and ask her the answer?
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's a good point but people knew this was an issue when they placed their bets. Many pointed it out.
Slytherin
1 month ago
This market is not about predicting gender, but rather about whether Huobi will issue an announcement before September 30th. I believe resolving this as a 50-50 split is inappropriate because it deviates from the market's original intent, is misleading, and could even cause those who guessed correctly to lose money. If Huobi does not issue an announcement, the funds should be returned to the participants.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Still in denial. So funny.
CRAZYQUANT
1 month ago
microcock to the moon
Mike2025
1 month ago
Obviously not an expert. It's a man. 100%.
AugustoPinochet73
1 month ago
Do hormones change the bone structure? No!. This should be at 3c, because there is a small chance we don't get any answer and a small chance we get a wrong answer. She is 100% a girl, I know because I'm an expert of finding and avoiding trans in classified ads
Mike2025
1 month ago
Zero chance of a recession.
unfriended
1 month ago
It's coming and the commercial realestate market is going to crash it.
Mike2025
1 month ago
There is still time for the market to double Apple's lead.
Fred19999
1 month ago
There is still time for the market to correctly price Apple 📉
Mike2025
1 month ago
2 is a barrage?
abdendriel
1 month ago
Here comes the tweet barrage
Mike2025
1 month ago
We need a market for Ding vs. Gukesh. I'll be all in on Gukesh.
Mike2025
1 month ago
You've lost almost $23k. Who's the idiot?
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
2 months ago
Dingus has spent the last 1.5 years losing, idiot.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Some women also have fake breasts.
BlueSky123
1 month ago
fake breasts. man.: https://x.com/Gummybear1771/status/1781677905548071026
Mike2025
1 month ago
Nope. Buying and selling is matched.
BlueSky123
1 month ago
Everyone is selling woman
Mike2025
1 month ago
They would be breaking client privacy laws.
Jessethecook69
1 month ago
guys, what if they use Huobi KYC to prove that on the ID she is man/woman?
Mike2025
1 month ago
Not true. You didn't read the rules. Proof isn't needed.
yuyang
1 month ago
If there is no proof that it is female, it will eventually go back to 50/50, and if you buy now at 80, you will lose money
Mike2025
1 month ago
Yes. Everyone in China knows this is a man.
Fred19999
1 month ago
Does aenews2 have inside information? 😏
Mike2025
1 month ago
No hope of that.
Fred19999
1 month ago
Why is everyone focused on Microsoft? It's NVIDIA who will become #1.
Mike2025
1 month ago
"This market will resolve according to information from Huobi." It has nothing to do with any evidence. If Huobi say it's a man, that how it will resolve, even if it's really a woman.
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
I guess you're betting on two things though, 1- she's a she, and 2- she'll actually produce something that resolves the market. The rules don't say it, tragically, but this will likely go 50/50 if no evidence is produced. Some may even try to dispute poor evidence, but my 2 cents is as long as something halfway credible is produced, just resolve it and move on.
Mike2025
1 month ago
That means he's better. I have a friend that had quad bypass over 10 years ago. A bypass fixes things. It doesn't make things worse.
AugustoPinochet73
1 month ago
I proposed this market!
Mike2025
1 month ago
Eazy money.
strimmlarn
1 month ago
nope.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Easy to research. Easy money.
AugustoPinochet73
1 month ago
I proposed this market!
Mike2025
1 month ago
Polymarket added this market to give Chinese people an easy way to make money. They all know this is a man. They will make money and be new Polymarket customers. Genius.
Mike2025
1 month ago
No, not illegal.
Jessethecook69
1 month ago
it would illegal for them to put out huobi without confirmation right?
Mike2025
1 month ago
My wife took one look and said definitely a man. She was in school, college, and work with many ladyboys. She knows the difference.
Mike2025
1 month ago
Why don't you sell it?
AugustoPinochet73
1 month ago
BTW someone buy my 35, all china thinks she is a man
Mike2025
1 month ago
It's not guaranteed though. What if they don't?