Ontario Parliamentary Election Winner

Mike2025

3 months ago

95c is a bargain.

0

moneymaker25

3 months ago

Why is buying yes on progressive conservative so expensive... I feel like maybe 90 cents would be more reasonable?

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

Dumb. You don't understand investing.

0

HaraMC07

3 months ago

Trump family won’t buy 47 mil dollar btc at top, strategic reserve is the work

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

Bitcoin only up 150% in last year. If that's what tanking means, I love it.

1

debased

3 months ago

wonder why crypo prices are tanking while us is about to launch SBR

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

Still 99 days to go. Crypto bulls aren't dumb. They probably made way, way, more money than you.

3

ghostsofbaudrillard

3 months ago

buy the rumor sell the news, my only regret always on this site is to not be more confident in how dumb crypto bulls are...should've bought more

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

Someone knows how to do a pump and dump.

0

ghostsofbaudrillard

3 months ago

nothing concrete leaked (just a draft for SBR congress bill, which wont pass) but it sure smells like someone knows something...

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

Or maybe it's fake so someone can pump and dump. If it was genuine, surely bitcoin would be much, much higher and so would the yes odds here.

0

HaraMC07

3 months ago

It’s over no sayers. May as well buy the yes before it’s too late. The document supporting btc reserve has been leaked. You can just look at the bitcoin chart and tell. Pure insider work. Game over.

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

No link. It's just a rumor. Maybe just a pump and dump. But it doesn't matter. Just buy and hold bitcoin.

0

HaraMC07

3 months ago

It’s over no sayers. May as well buy the yes before it’s too late. The document supporting btc reserve has been leaked. You can just look at the bitcoin chart and tell. Pure insider work. Game over.

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

I wondered why my BTC suddenly jumped. But could be a fake document. Anyway, I hope it happen

0

HaraMC07

3 months ago

It’s over no sayers. May as well buy the yes before it’s too late. The document supporting btc reserve has been leaked. You can just look at the bitcoin chart and tell. Pure insider work. Game over.

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

How isit obvious that it well bet approved by Congress in 100 days. These things usually take longer.

0

doublepauld

4 months ago

This mf launched has a NFT collection, DEFI project and launched shit coin today. This shit is happening week 1

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

I don't th8nk he can though. It has to be passed by Congress. That takes time.

0

xxxkkk

3 months ago

you have to be on some heavy drugs to think he is not doing that especially given 100 days, trump literally created a meme, this guy will do it first week atleast

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

There's a reason every coin is created.

0

SteelTowing

3 months ago

There's a reason TRUMP coin was created...

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

If this resolves as yes, bitcoin will be up more than 122%. So, you still lose betting yes.

0

calcater

3 months ago

No reason to buy yes. If you think he will, just buy Bitcoin.

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

3 months ago

Totally wrong. If you buy yes, you could lose your money. If you buy bitcoin, you won't lose. Betting on this instead of buying bitcoin is dumb.

0

calcater

3 months ago

No reason to buy yes. If you think he will, just buy Bitcoin.

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

4 months ago

It's odd that the price is so low considering their 2nd in the table.

3

zjcsdg

4 months ago

Hello, whale from Nottingham Forest. Please don't limit the price. Nottingham Forest is seriously undervalued. Please restore market vitality.

# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?

Mike2025

4 months ago

No one here claims he'll cut 10%. Too tier is under 7%.

0

Hartal

4 months ago

You guys are delusional if you think daddy Elon is firing 10% of the federal employees, let alone the extra 300k that are hired each year.

Premier League: Which teams will be relegated?

Mike2025

4 months ago

The are likely to get points deducted in Feb, so a good chance of getting relegated.

1

FrancisSP8

4 months ago

Man City lol

Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?

Mike2025

4 months ago

Youtube isn't the media.

0

Aadler12345

4 months ago

I aint saying Weidel will become Chancelor or AFD in government, BUT I do notice AfD is starting to be pushed more positively in the media (for example https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IeYB_Hmsu84). This also happened in Netherlands when Wilders party became the largest. It was strange to observe, almost like someone gave the green light "guys, the tide is shifting, start reporting more friendly on the right-wing, we need to be on the winning side when they take power". So in short: I recon their vote will be a good part higher than what polls say / media is telling us.

Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?

Mike2025

4 months ago

She's not. That was fake news. An old poll from one area not the whole country.

0

BenediktWunsch - 4699

4 months ago

Spd polling @ ~16%, AfD @ ~19%. 2 months of campaigning is a long time, Spd seems like a good value buy @ 15 cents

Romania Presidential Election

Mike2025

4 months ago

It didn't change. He's always been part of others. They just made it clearer.

0

qq13

4 months ago

Anyone had issues with Georgescu category being changed to Georgescu and others? Highly unfair to change the category midway

Romania Presidential Election

Mike2025

4 months ago

Try reading the rules.

0

Flipperinho

4 months ago

So the question was who will win the 2024 elections, and since the elections has been postponed to 2025 the answer should be "no" on each candidate, cause nobody won the 2024 elections.

Germany Parliamentary Election Winner

Mike2025

4 months ago

Great odds but 2 months to get your money. You can make much more betting on events that are a few days away.

0

d2d/6fig

4 months ago

this is possibly the freest money oat if meez doesnt kill anyone its safe that union gets dtrongest partie and 85c is great odds

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?

Mike2025

4 months ago

You have to be retarded to think he woukd underreport what he bought. Mistleading investors that would would be a big deal with the SEC.

0

Pipi2000

4 months ago

I am pretty sure he bought a LOT more than 15k BTC last week. So this 500k BTC bet is absolutely undervalued

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?

Mike2025

4 months ago

It's weird that anyone thinks buying 5k BTC is sad. It's literally fantastic.

0

sMILE

4 months ago

5K BTC purchase? that is just sad

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?

Mike2025

4 months ago

Yes, they are being honest. It's a legal requirement to report purchases and you can go chexk blockchain explorer yourself to see.

0

KaRa

4 months ago

As of now, MicroStrategy (MS) holds 444,262 BTC, just 55,736 short of its 500,000 target. Interestingly, today’s report states they purchased only 5,262 BTC, a number that appears somewhat irregular compared to their last eight reports. This raises the question of whether MS is being entirely transparent or if they genuinely acquired exactly that amount. According to the reports, MS bought a total of 14,880 BTC in November and 42,162 BTC in December. Considering BTC’s price has dropped from its peak back to around $90,000, achieving the 500,000 target within the next month seems more plausible than initially anticipated. However, it’s worth noting that the market conditions in November were vastly different from those now. Furthermore, the surge in BTC during that period was largely driven by retail investor activity following Trump’s election victory and MS’s significant accumulation of BTC.

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?

Mike2025

4 months ago

Only 3 Mondays left. Based in last few weeks, there not much hope of getting there. Maybe 5% chance at best. It's madness to pay if 25c for yes. Just look at the data.

0

KaRa

4 months ago

Short version: The possibility of achieving the 500k target within the next month is much higher than we expect

Germany Parliamentary Election Winner

Mike2025

4 months ago

I don't. I expect the oddsto jump and then I'll cash out. Not everyone bets on who they think the winner will be.

0

folloq

4 months ago

How does anyone expect AfD (18%) to catch up to CDU (36%) in 2 months?Percentages are taken from the "Allensbach" poll.

Germany Parliamentary Election Winner

Mike2025

4 months ago

I don't care. They can lose and I'll still make money. It's about betting on underpriced odds not picking the winner.

0

LeRenard

4 months ago

Majorly bought in at 86-87 for Union "Yes". People trading in AfD "Yes"/Union "No", please continue, I will buy in even more. You are delusional expecting an AfD vote surge to 30+%.

Germany Parliamentary Election Winner

Mike2025

4 months ago

I don't care about them winning. I only care about odds getting to 20c or so. Only takes one poll and the odds will shoot up.

0

Mike2025

4 months ago

AfD 14c now. Any poll showing then gaining a few points might see odds going too 20-25c. You can make money even if you know they will lose. You should be thinking about making miney not who eventual winner is.

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

Mike2025

4 months ago

Putin can't attend. Trump hasn't invited him because Putin would have to say no. So both have agreed not to invite. Their deals are already done in teh background.

0

jsasdg

5 months ago

According to domestic reports from China, Xi Jinping will attend Trump's inauguration, breaking a 150-year tradition. Many world leaders have already accepted the invitation to attend Trump's inauguration, but notably, Putin has not received an invitation. This is an interesting development because, historically, foreign leaders have not been invited to attend U.S. presidential inaugurations. However, due to Trump's unique background and his different approach to foreign policy, he has invited leaders from multiple countries to attend, including Xi Jinping. As for Putin not receiving an invitation, this has drawn significant attention. The relationship between Putin and Trump has been complex. While Trump expressed some level of support for Putin during his campaign, U.S.-Russia relations have remained contentious, likely contributing to the decision not to invite Putin.

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

Mike2025

4 months ago

Can you imagine Xi Jinping sitting outdoors in Washington, D.C., in January at the feet of the podium, surrounded by hawkish members of Congress, gazing up at Donald Trump as he delivers his inaugural address? said Danny Russel, who previously served as assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs. Russel, now vice president for international security and diplomacy at the Asia Society Policy Institute, said Xi would not allow himself to be reduced to the status of a mere guest celebrating the triumph of a foreign leader the U.S. president, no less.

3

wyn

4 months ago

To all Xi no holders, even if you don’t think he will attend inauguration, how can you lay down 95c to win 5 on something where there’s actually a real possibility of him attending. It’s not like he’s never been to the USA. Trump praised him and was speaking very highly of Xi at his most recent press conference… Just warning no holders, take this at your own advice :)

Germany Parliamentary Election Winner

Mike2025

4 months ago

Plenty of money to be made as polling changes. No need to wait for a winner.

0

QuteAnon

5 months ago

Sadly a DOA market barring something completely wild. # of seats or vote share market could be interesting though.

Germany Parliamentary Election Winner

Mike2025

4 months ago

They think AfD vote will rise and make money from that. They may not think they'll win. They may think they'll get from 14c to 25c.

0

i0000010

4 months ago

There's something interesting here. Notice how the volume for AfD is nearly double the volume for every other option. What could be implications of this?

Germany Parliamentary Election Winner

Mike2025

4 months ago

They're not expecting them to win. They're expecting odds to go to maybe 25c and will then cash out.

0

LeRenard

4 months ago

Majorly bought in at 86-87 for Union "Yes". People trading in AfD "Yes"/Union "No", please continue, I will buy in even more. You are delusional expecting an AfD vote surge to 30+%.

Germany Parliamentary Election Winner

Mike2025

4 months ago

AfD 14c now. Any poll showing then gaining a few points might see odds going too 20-25c. You can make money even if you know they will lose. You should be thinking about making miney not who eventual winner is.

0

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?

Mike2025

4 months ago

The new search, set to take place between November 2024 and March 2025

0

polymark

4 months ago

So in the last 10 years since the plane went missing they've found nothing after spending $~250 Million dollars (!). This time it's a private company doing it for free (they only get paid if they find something)) . So they have way less resources and they'll only be a few months into their 18 month search by the time this market closes. But dw, I'm sure this time it'll be different lol

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?

Mike2025

4 months ago

When they eventually find it, it will be different this time.

0

polymark

4 months ago

So in the last 10 years since the plane went missing they've found nothing after spending $~250 Million dollars (!). This time it's a private company doing it for free (they only get paid if they find something)) . So they have way less resources and they'll only be a few months into their 18 month search by the time this market closes. But dw, I'm sure this time it'll be different lol

Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?

Mike2025

4 months ago

It doesn't need to reach it on a specific day. It can reach it before thatand stay above it.

0

dupple

5 months ago

To reach $4T dollar in specific day of January 20, the market will need to increase nearly 5.3% more, which is significant and very unlikely when US stock already top and now are gradually decrease

Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?

Mike2025

4 months ago

Crypto market can do that in one day.

0

dupple

5 months ago

To reach $4T dollar in specific day of January 20, the market will need to increase nearly 5.3% more, which is significant and very unlikely when US stock already top and now are gradually decrease

Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?

Mike2025

5 months ago

3.73% risk-free return in 6 months for betting no is better than HYSA rates. So not that bad.

0

Feligua

5 months ago

Neither bet makes any sense here

Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?

Mike2025

5 months ago

But there are people dumb enough to bet on it.

0

Nancy-Pelosi

5 months ago

this may actually be the dumbest bet on this website

Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Yes, that was pretty dumb.

0

Nancy-Pelosi

5 months ago

this may actually be the dumbest bet on this website

Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?

Mike2025

5 months ago

You don't need to trust it.

3

p0lym334k4t

5 months ago

"by FiveThirtyEight" LOL. Trust the propaganda wing of the Dems? They can't even not lie about grading the pollsters who got it wrong THREE elections in a row A+ and the 3 most accurate ones D. Don't trust some bullshit market.

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?

Mike2025

5 months ago

If they're a danger for bitcoin, they will destroy so many other things first. People will flock to bitcoin for safety.

0

iamhungry

5 months ago

Quantum computers are the biggest danger for Bitcoin, they will speed up the process because it is necessary for the safety of bitcoin. I shouldn't have bought, I'm selling my shares now

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?

Mike2025

5 months ago

It's a cryptographic hash function.

0

hgfjftxhjxfhgt457346346

5 months ago

Firstly, SHA256 isnt an encryption. It is an hashing algorithm which has nothing to do with discrete logarithm problem or prime factorization which QC could do efficiently "in theory". Secondly, we would need millions of qubits to do this in a relevant way. We are so far away, this could take several decades.

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?

Mike2025

5 months ago

The answer is no but no way am I waiting until 31 May to earn a few percent. It's pointless.

4

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Shows how many retards there are on this platform.

0

FrancisSP8

5 months ago

3.5% for getting a pardon from 2 different presidents... can you imagine?

Poland Presidential Election

Mike2025

5 months ago

Trzaskowski should win. Ahead in all polls and ahead against likely 2nd round opponent. But May is a very long way away. Too much can change and it makes no sense to tie up money for so long.

1

Faithless elector in US election?

Mike2025

5 months ago

The US is such a failed democracy. They can't even run a simple presidential properly.

0

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

Mike2025

5 months ago

In a few months. Do 't forget that the US is like a 3rd world country when it comes to elections. They're an embarassment.

2

Arns

5 months ago

bro when will this bloody resolve

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

FUD to lower yes price so whales can buy it. It's a done deal. Parliament being dissolved on 27 December.

1

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Agree. With the war in Ukrain escalating and talk of nukes, we're bound to be closer to a catastrophe.

0

np.random.choice

5 months ago

Reasons for YES: a) Since a few years ago, the clock can move of fractions of minutes (10s in 2023) making it easier for the board to move it further. b) In 2017, 2018, 202, it moved closer for basically no event other than Trump comments on nuclear and climate change and failure of global leaders to address the nuclear threat. Don't you think it can move by just 10s closer with all that has happened this year? c) With respect to 2023, this year we had Russia testing their ballistic and MIRV missiles *on the field*, north korean troops in Ukraine, Israel and Iran exchanging strikes, and the expansion of Israel's war on Lebanon.

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Not if it's a broken clock.

0

MrKangaroo

5 months ago

of course it will, it's a clock

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Trump will more likely make the world a less dangerous place. Fewer wars, etc.

0

Chyk-Chyryk

5 months ago

Several new wars, Trump in America, so likely the clock will move

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Nope. If it stays the same, it won't have moved closer to midnight. So it will resolve as no.

0

Liquidifier

5 months ago

What if it stays the same? 50-50?

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

You're crazy. Date is already set for 27 December. Not sure why you think otherwise.

0

Megajin

5 months ago

Just translate this german article: https://www.das-parlament.de/inland/bundestag/wann-der-bundestag-aufgeloest-werden-kann it is very clear that there is no need to dissolve the Bundestag even if the confidency vote is lost. Holding No.

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Stop pretending you understand German law. You don't. You look stupid.

0

5635f

5 months ago

if its going to dissolve that would be against the law lol why is market at 79/24 lol It can only happen in 2025 lol there is legit no time wtf is going on lol

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Exactly. I don't know why some on here are still denying this. But that's ok. I like taking their money.

3

janonym

5 months ago

https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/deutschland/bundestagswahl-2025-termin-bundestag-ampel-scholz-merz-100.html

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

No affiliate links. I document my trades so that I can look back and learn from any mistakes I make. Others commenting can help me see something I may have missed. I am a writer. I enjoy writing. Not everything needs to be done for money.

0

Mike2025

5 months ago

Why I think this will resolve as yes... https://bettingcafe.substack.com/p/will-bundestag-german-parliament

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

No. It's a free newsletter. Nothing to buy. No ads. Free.

0

Mike2025

5 months ago

Why I think this will resolve as yes... https://bettingcafe.substack.com/p/will-bundestag-german-parliament

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Why I think this will resolve as yes... https://bettingcafe.substack.com/p/will-bundestag-german-parliament

0

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

It's quite clear that parliament will be dissolved on 27 December. Everything has already been agreed. 16 Dec - no confidence vote, 27 Dec - dissolve parliament, 23 Feb - elections. Why are you guys looking up laws?

3

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Because he already said he would.

0

Lissabon

5 months ago

Even if the Chancellor were to lose the vote of confidence on December 16, 2024, dissolving the Bundestag within that year would be practically impossible due to constitutional timelines. According to Article 68 of the German Basic Law, the Federal President has 21 days to decide whether to dissolve the Bundestag following a failed vote of confidence. This 21-day period extends beyond the end of the year, meaning that any decision regarding dissolution would fall into January 2025 at the earliest. As a result, it is not possible for the Bundestag to be dissolved in 2024, even if the vote of confidence is lost.

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

Wny should he? Because he already said he would disolve parliament quickly.

0

Megajin

5 months ago

Just to be clear, the rules state that the Bundestag must be dissolved by 31st December for the question to resolve to "yes." I can tell you that even if the confidence vote fails, the President of Germany can dissolve the Bundestag, but there is no obligation to do so. And even if, formally on paper, they decide to dissolve the Bundestag, there is no way it will happen after 18th December, which is the date when the vote will close. My point is that any dissolution, if it occurs, will only happen in 2025 and not in 2024. There is so much bureaucracy in Germany and so many public holidays in December. I am 90% sure it will not happen.

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

The preident already said he will dissolve parliament quickly. What don't you understand about that? It's pretty clear.

0

n/a

5 months ago

There is one thing that strongly suggests that the Bundestag will not be dissolved until after December 31: In the history of Germany, the question of confidence has been asked several times and has often been answered in the negative. However, in every case the President waited the full 21 days to dissolve the Bundestag. Here, the president would only wait 11 days, which is rather unlikely. What do you think?

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

The president already said he will act quickly to dissolve parliament. There is no majority for any other solution, so parliament will be dissolved. The only time it wouldn't be is if another majority could be formed in parliament. In this case, that can't happen. Stop wasting your money and pretending parliament won't be dissolved.

0

Megajin

5 months ago

Just translate this german article: https://www.das-parlament.de/inland/bundestag/wann-der-bundestag-aufgeloest-werden-kann it is very clear that there is no need to dissolve the Bundestag even if the confidency vote is lost. Holding No.

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

9f course there is time. President already said he will act quickly to dissolve parliament. Everyone wants elections as soon as possible. They don't want an unstable government.

0

5635f

5 months ago

why is this market not at 90 on no lol there is no time it will happen in 2025

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

27th is 11 days after 16th, so is within the 21 day period. Perfectly normal.

0

xprvi

5 months ago

They will push to the max so parties could prepare for elections, what % of people here are from De?

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Mike2025

5 months ago

How is it against the law? Once the vote of confidence is lost on 16 Dec, parliament can be dissolved righ away.

0

5635f

5 months ago

if its going to dissolve that would be against the law lol why is market at 79/24 lol It can only happen in 2025 lol there is legit no time wtf is going on lol

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Mike2025

6 months ago

I have a limit order at 72c. Current odds are too high.

0

starlordgmi

6 months ago

lets gooo gukesh

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Mike2025

6 months ago

Looks like a mistake but it's obvious how it will be settled. You can tell them on teh Discord server if you want it changed.

1

Holy-Fire

6 months ago

The rules say the resolution source is the "2024 US Chess Championship", with the corresponding link. Is this an error? Shouldn't it be the FIDE world championship, rather than US? How will this actually be resolved?

Uruguay Presidential Election

Mike2025

6 months ago

Orsi is ahead in the polls. In these situations, the one ahead usually wins, so that perfectly explains the 80-20 split in the betting. Orsi has 80% chance of winning. That is where the odds should be.

1

Waltergargano

6 months ago

There is a runoff between Orsi and Delgado on November 24th. According to every single poll there is technical tie between the two candidates. Big Debate night this sunday. Not Sure why there is only a 20% chance for Delgado here, when every single poll shows its a neck to neck race. Check the major Uruguayan Newspaper : https://www.montevideo.com.uy/Noticias/Encuesta-Opcion--escenario-altamente-competitivo-con-leve-ventaja-de-Orsi-sobre-Delgado-uc906204

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

6 months ago

Nope. Zero chance.

0

POLYKET

6 months ago

Brentford still has a chance

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

6 months ago

Why can't you?

0

barrenwuffet37

6 months ago

if only i could make a bet coughs

Elon Musk # of tweets Nov 1-8?

Mike2025

6 months ago

331

0

Ender.ak47

6 months ago

What is the count rn???

Megaquake in November?

Mike2025

6 months ago

Magnitude 8 about once every 16 months.

1

GoodLuck

6 months ago

''Major earthquakes, greater than magnitude 7, happen more than once per month. "Great earthquakes", magnitude 8 and higher, occur about once a year''

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

6 months ago

Too vague to bet on.

2

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Mike2025

6 months ago

That is exactly what is. What are you complaining about?

0

SinZX

6 months ago

Why choose Apr 29, 2025 as the end date? It could happen at any point in the first 6-12 months. Shitty rule imo. Should rename it "Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve before Apr 29, 2025"

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Mike2025

6 months ago

I will happily take your money.

1

Intendant-Jean-Talon

6 months ago

After the election I'll bet on Ding, Gukesh farmed on weaker players to win the candidate

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Mike2025

6 months ago

No, it's this one.

0

Yourbestbet

6 months ago

will-ding-liren-play-in-the-world-chess-championship-2024 - is it another championship ?

Who will be inaugurated as President?

Mike2025

6 months ago

How much do you want?

0

Penguinn

6 months ago

Who wants to donate so I can buy Kamala Harris?

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

6 months ago

Liverpool are gonna win. Man City will probably have points deducted in Jan/Feb.

0

Elon Musk # of tweets Nov 1-8?

Mike2025

6 months ago

Pointless betting on this. Odds are way overpriced overall.

0

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Mike2025

6 months ago

Man up. Stop crying.

0

dancer

6 months ago

Once again, the Polyscum have rugged my ability to profit from line movement - the books had these two at 50-50 when Gukesh won the Candidates, but the Polymarket garbage employees simply refused to let people have 50 cent Gukesh. Fuck Polymarket.

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Mike2025

6 months ago

It's lucky you're broke because you'd lose more money if you weren't

0

Jewbru

6 months ago

Ding is way undervalued

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Mike2025

6 months ago

Because he's likely to lose.

1

Jewbru

6 months ago

how are people only giving ding 25%???

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

6 months ago

It's only Labour that sticks with white men. Tory party accepts men, women, and people of color.

4

edrfyftyf

6 months ago

a brown woman leading the conservative party???

Which party wins most seats in in Saskatchewan election?

Mike2025

6 months ago

Where can we follow the results?

0

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

6 months ago

There can't be a tie.

2

DrinkDaddy2020

6 months ago

Juan Da Fuca-Malahat is 20 votes away from flipping to the Cons. This isn't over, guys, especially as given PolyPoll's rules we are looking at seat count (and alphabetically if a tie happens) not forming govt

Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?

Mike2025

6 months ago

You can propose markets on the Discord server.

1

Spartan37

7 months ago

Chess needs more betting markets. This is sad.

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

6 months ago

You've lost over $4k on various events. Nothing is rigged. You just place dumb bets. Gotta be retarded to lose money here.

1

PlebThinker

7 months ago

can the cons still win this? confused why this has not been called yet?

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

6 months ago

What a bad loser. Dumb AF.

1

PlebThinker

7 months ago

can the cons still win this? confused why this has not been called yet?

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

6 months ago

You lost. Accept it and move on.

0

J.Madison

7 months ago

Mail in ballots received before advance polling started have already been counted. Notwithstanding a hand recount, is the first bc election using electronic tabulators meaning these results are likely very accurate. I find it very unlikely cons win juan de fuca knowing nearly all votes have already been counted.

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

6 months ago

You lost. Go to bed. Stop thinking like a pleb.

1

BigDaddyMike

7 months ago

10 ridings have not been called yet. Recounts and mail ins will make or break this election by less than 100 votes. Crazy, but still too big to rig.

Megaquake in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I estimate 2027.

0

AnDragon

7 months ago

We are due! Considering the planetary geometry, I estimate around the 18th of October!

Uruguay Presidential Election

Mike2025

7 months ago

Yes, on 24 November.

0

Sardinianshepherd

7 months ago

is there a second round?

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Mail-in votes may not be counted until 26 Oct.

0

DrinkDaddy2020

7 months ago

Juan de Fuca-Malahat is going to make or break this. 23 vote difference and they haven't counted mail-ins yet.

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Because that's a different type of bet.

0

NateNate60

7 months ago

Not here to start an argument, but does anyone else find it strange that in the event of a tie, this market resolves to the party whose name comes first alphabetically? Why not just 50/50 for the tied parties and everyone else loses?

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Yes, it's odd, but that's how it works. Just take it into account when betting.

0

NateNate60

7 months ago

Not here to start an argument, but does anyone else find it strange that in the event of a tie, this market resolves to the party whose name comes first alphabetically? Why not just 50/50 for the tied parties and everyone else loses?

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Lol.

1

BigDaddyMike

7 months ago

49 seats for cons at 55% ballot reporting. TOO BIG TO RIG!

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I did. They won.

0

Mike2025

7 months ago

NDP wins... https://globalnews.ca/news/10801085/bc-election-results-live-2024-vote/

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

But funny that results are the same as the polls. You're just a sore loser.

0

SCD1986

7 months ago

Trump effect - many people secretly voting Conservative but don't admit it the pollsters because the media has been so denigrating toward them. Province is in shambles after 7 years of NDP

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You sure know how to bet emotionally and lose.

0

PlebThinker

7 months ago

about to put more on cons

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Lol. Here are the results... https://globalnews.ca/news/10801085/bc-election-results-live-2024-vote/

1

BigDaddyMike

7 months ago

49 seats for cons at 55% ballot reporting. TOO BIG TO RIG!

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You're happy that you lost?

1

PlebThinker

7 months ago

YAYYYY

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

NDP wins... https://globalnews.ca/news/10801085/bc-election-results-live-2024-vote/

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Because that's tge way many on here bet. They are too emotional.

0

EdgyUsername

7 months ago

Why are people panic buying 1.0-1.4? Not that I'm complaining? :)

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

What you're missing is that you're adding up all the rounded numbers. You need to add up the original unrounded numbers.

0

Szty1

7 months ago

Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You're adding up the rounded numbers. You need to add up the original numbers (that aren't shown).

0

badatthis

7 months ago

In my calculation the avg should be 1.538. I guess they are biased towards Kamala because inbmy math 1.538 doesn't round up to 1.6!

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

They add up the exact numbers and then average it. They don't round up/down first and then take the average. That wouldn't make any sense.

0

Szty1

7 months ago

1.6

Donald Trump # of tweets Oct 11-18?

Mike2025

7 months ago

He's averaged 5.18 per day. 35 tweets divided by 6.75 days. Only 6 hours left.

0

KaiserAra5

7 months ago

this week he averaged 5.66 tweets a day and today, Oct 18 has done 0 so far.

Donald Trump # of tweets Oct 11-18?

Mike2025

7 months ago

0 is part of the average. He doesn't tweet much on a Friday morning.

0

KaiserAra5

7 months ago

this week he averaged 5.66 tweets a day and today, Oct 18 has done 0 so far.

Elon Musk # of tweets Oct 11-18?

Mike2025

7 months ago

He usually doesn't tweet much in the last few hours. Probably 200-224 will win.

1

Phoenix777

7 months ago

It will be interesting to see what 200-224 Yes guys wil to when the postmaster wakes and starts shooting…

Tesla sells bitcoin in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Others know but you don't. Maybe that's why you're so poor.

0

Mike2025

7 months ago

No way are they selling at the beginning of a bull market.

Tesla sells bitcoin in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

There are numerous ways of knowing. We are clearly in a bull market.

0

Mike2025

7 months ago

No way are they selling at the beginning of a bull market.

Tesla sells bitcoin in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

They haven't sold any.

0

UnclePete

7 months ago

they are selling a lot!

Tesla sells bitcoin in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Calm down. Just moved to different wallets. Happens all the time. Moving to a different wallet doesn't always mean selling.

0

UnclePete

7 months ago

On-chain data shows wallets associated with Elon Musk's electric car company have been emptied.

Donald Trump # of tweets Oct 11-18?

Mike2025

7 months ago

35. You've lost.

0

KaiserAra5

7 months ago

How many tweets has he made so far?

Porto Alegre mayoral election 2024

Mike2025

7 months ago

Melo

0

enroll

7 months ago

and who winners?

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

7 months ago

She's not even in it.

2

Margules

7 months ago

Suella could be an interesting choice, as her position represents a balance between domestic policy and more rigorous foreign relations.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I know, but the polling must still be wrong.

0

Szty1

7 months ago

Are you lost? This market is about where RCP will stand tomorrow.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I don't understand your question. Why do you think you're miassing something.

0

Clausevanderbooben

7 months ago

https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/

Elon Musk # of tweets Oct 11-18?

Mike2025

7 months ago

He doesn't spend all day tweeting. He probably has AI make suggestions and then sets up his tweets in 2 mins.

0

JackBauerPowerHour

7 months ago

How does this mfer have time to run spacex and Tesla when he spends all day tweeting

Elon Musk # of tweets Oct 11-18?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Why waste your money on such crazy predictions?

0

actors

7 months ago

tweet a little more

Tesla sells bitcoin in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

No way are they selling at the beginning of a bull market.

1

Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Because so many bet emotionally. They don't care about odds.

0

hello1234567

7 months ago

How is that 66% NO I don't get it? All legit bookies say there is about 30 to 35/1 chance this happens.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

These polls must be terribly wrong.on this day in 2016, Clinton had a +7 lead and lost the elsection. In 2020, Biden had a +9 lead and only narrowly beat Trump. How hasHarris got any hope of winning with just a +1.6 lead?

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

The answer is in the rules. It's thenumber at the top of this... https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/post/british-columbia-election-daily-tracker-poll-day-21. I suggest you read the rules.

0

Clausevanderbooben

7 months ago

Where are they pulling the polling information to resolve this vote? So many conflicting sources

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You're assuming the +3 poll doesn't get removed. It may or it may not.

0

Szty1

7 months ago

1.8 by my count

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I get 1.6. +5 will be added and I assume +3 will be removed, so that gives 1.6.

0

EdgyUsername

7 months ago

I'm calcultating that the Marist poll would push Kamala up to 2.0. Is anyone else getting different numbers. Of course, that's if RCP deigns to include it.

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I love betting against people that don't understand politics.

4

BigDaddyMike

7 months ago

It is too close to call. But everybody in BC is tired of the socialism and homeless drug den encampments everywhere, this single issue will give the cons a majority.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Depends how many, if any, they knock off the bottom of the list.

0

EdgyUsername

7 months ago

I'm calcultating that the Marist poll would push Kamala up to 2.0. Is anyone else getting different numbers. Of course, that's if RCP deigns to include it.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Look at the bids not the offers. 1.5-1.9 has higher bids. Liquidity is too low to just look at offers.

1

EdgyUsername

7 months ago

Can someone explain to me why 1-1.4 is selling for more than 1.5-1.9 after the Marist poll has her up +5? I'm paranoid I'm missing something obvious. Is there some Atlas poll coming?

Which party wins the most seats in Lithuanian Election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Interesting. Being ahead doesn't mean definitely winning though.

0

Crock95

7 months ago

Lithuania has a mixed system: 70 seats are elected through proportional representation and 71 through single-member constituencies. In the proportional vote, LSDP won with 19.36% (18 seats), while TS-LKD received 17.96% (17 seats). However, in the single-member constituencies, TS-LKD is leading in 27 districts, while LSDP is ahead in only 22. Thus, TS-LKD currently holds 17+27=44 seats, and LSDP has 18+22=40 seats. https://rezultatai.vrk.lt/?srcUrl=/rinkimai/1544/1/2150/rezultatai/lt/rezultataiSuvestine1.html

Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You shouldstop reading and believing the media. Go visit the EU for yourself and stop making stupid comments.

0

Ripp

7 months ago

No way the West will allow this election to lose? There will be lgbt pride festivals in Moldova.

Moldova Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

But you didn't bet on her.

0

Upway

7 months ago

she has no competitors, sir

'Terrifier 3' Opening Weekend Box Office

Mike2025

7 months ago

Stop throwing your money away on insane bets like this.

0

raidthesquare

7 months ago

im homeless

Moldova Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

Sandu very overpriced here.

4

Moldova Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

The liquidity is pretty good for a country this small.

1

Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's about geopolitics. Whether poor or not is irrelevant.

2

lsrael

7 months ago

@Mike2025 thanks didnt know that.. poorest country in the world gonna join eu funny

Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Not really. Under 50% are in favor of joining according to recent polls.

0

moneysniper

7 months ago

NOs are basically praying on russian intervention

Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Of course the EU has a choice. Turkey has been a candidate country for decades but has no hope of joining. Referendum is about amending the constitution. It's not about joining the EU. They are many years away from joining.

3

moneysniper

7 months ago

Yall are dumb AF its not EU or Russias choice, its a referendum. Moldova is already a EU candidate

Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Yes. It's a choice of EU or Russia. There's no way the EU will want them on Russia's side.

1

lsrael

7 months ago

Will eu accept them tho? Hahaha

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Only the top line counts for this event.

1

MarcoRo

7 months ago

There is a problem, the data is not clear. if you looking to the chart they write +2.0, but on the tables +1.9.

WNBA Champion

Mike2025

7 months ago

Liberty all the way.

0

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Yes.

0

CheerfulPessimist

7 months ago

Nice analysis, are you british?

How many swing states will Trump win?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Current odds add up to 114%. Make sure you place limit orders. Don't take market orders at these inflated prices.

3

How many swing states will Trump win?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I have already bet on the dems to win the popular vote.

0

Firedigger

7 months ago

I do agree. On the other hand, one has a similar easy bet to make with democrats winning the popular vote.

How many swing states will Trump win?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You don't understand probabilities.

2

Fred19999

7 months ago

You have to be stupid to bet against the favorite

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's retarded to dispute just because you lost.

0

YeezyBreezy

7 months ago

Wow you bet a lot of money. Are you going to let it go without disputing?

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

CNN shows cat 3 when it hits land. No facts point to cat 4.

0

TheTank

7 months ago

the facts point to cat 4 but all the smartasses in the comments say it's 3

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

So, you know the facts but are too scared to put money on it.

1

TheTank

7 months ago

the facts point to cat 4 but all the smartasses in the comments say it's 3

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I've reported it a few times.

0

BitcoinerRetired

7 months ago

This BirdMilman is sharing a scam website. Dont fall for it.

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Just follow the money. Sensationalist media comments are not facts.

0

TheTank

7 months ago

the facts point to cat 4 but all the smartasses in the comments say it's 3

Elon Musk # of tweets Oct 4-11?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Looks like you managed to pick 6 losing bets.

0

yhtd

7 months ago

400+

Elon Musk # of tweets Oct 4-11?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I wouldn't be totally surprised. He'sabit quieter than usual.

1

gengar32

7 months ago

175-199, mark my words boiz

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

7 months ago

This was my analysis from 9 days ago. https://old.reddit.com/r/PoliticalOdds/comments/1fspk4s/next_uk_leader_of_the_conservatives/

1

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

7 months ago

That was a shock.

0

ohwell

7 months ago

wow, just wow

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Because she beats every candidate head-to-head among members who will be voting.

1

BigLez

7 months ago

Curious why you see her as favourite over Cleverly

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Looks like it. Crazy result.

0

ohwell

7 months ago

there must have been heavy vote lending in the previous rounds

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Looks like a 3. Ignore the noise. Stick to the facts.

0

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

5 is out of the picture. This is likely to be 3 or 4.

0

theone222

7 months ago

Most news sources are now saying Landfall at Cat 4, possibly even strengthening to Cat5 again as it’s only 2mph slower than Cat5. 3 is out of the picture

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Scam.

1

BirdMillman

7 months ago

The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/RealAlphaNews/status/1843987329637331078

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Losers are always looking for others to blame. That's why they always make the same mistakes over and over again.

0

090x

7 months ago

i think that this market will be UMA market in the end

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Don't bet if you think that.

0

090x

7 months ago

i think that this market will be UMA market in the end

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Why do you care? You sound worried.

1

balloooooo

7 months ago

lifting cat 5 is actually braindead

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

What does shear mean in layman's terms?

0

General.William.T.Sherman

7 months ago

Eye has disappeared on satellite. Restructuring in full effect. Next couple hours will be interesting. Shear continues to be lower than projected. Any shifts south helps with shear.

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Kemi's gonna win this. I have no idea why Jenrick was ever the favorite.

1

Which party wins the most seats in Lithuanian Election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

That link shows it's undervalued.

0

brachunok

7 months ago

https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/lithuania/ LSDP feels like it could be overvalued

Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Too close. Not worth betting. Could go either way.

5

How many swing states will Trump win?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Easy money. Bet no for 7. There is no way either side wins all 7.

3

'Terrifier 3' Opening Weekend Box Office

Mike2025

7 months ago

Rules say Nov but should say Oct.

1

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

The Hurcicane Center give forecasts yet you claim it's impossible. Lol. I don't bet on storms.

0

georgiatech

7 months ago

its kinda impossible to anticipate this type of thing

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Great idea to lose and then throw away even more money. Some real retards on here.

0

Secret14thKey

7 months ago

Never disputed a resolution before might give it a try

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's already resolved. Waiting for dispute window to close.

0

MAGAKen

7 months ago

Let's resolve this. the deadline is past, there is no ipsos poll, even if there were an ipsos poll the deadline has passed , Vance won..I'm sick of waiting for what we all know happened.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's already resolved. 28 mins left to dispute.

0

jjwin

7 months ago

How does this get resolved?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's got to be 1.5-2.4. Can't see it moving much from the current 2.0.

1

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Why areyou so confident it will be a 5 when everyone is predicting a 3?

0

General.William.T.Sherman

7 months ago

We’ve gone from projected landfall of 110mph at 7am today to 130mph at 11pm 🤔🤔🤔

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

But still expected to be category 3 when it hits land.

1

Hedgeparrot131110

7 months ago

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2024/10/08/hurricane-milton-florida-live-updates/ Storm upgraded back to Catagory 5 again

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You've had over a week to sell Walz and buy Vance. It baffles me that people like you refuse to see facts that are right in front of you. But it's what makes winning here so easy.

0

🤺JustPunched

7 months ago

Lol what a scam from IPSOS

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

No scam. They never planned a poll. No idea why so many here expect one.

0

🤺JustPunched

7 months ago

Lol what a scam from IPSOS

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You can propose a resolution.

0

BenCM

7 months ago

Resolve

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Exactly.

0

Shayku

7 months ago

CNN predicts landfall as 3. Their incentive is to exaggerate upwards, not downwards.

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's very possible to anticipate the category. Yiu just don't understand how these things work.

0

georgiatech

7 months ago

its kinda impossible to anticipate this type of thing

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

From NBC... Hurricane Milton, currently a Category 4, could make landfall in Florida as either a Category 3 or Category 4 storm, models show

0

Mike2025

7 months ago

From BBC... Milton has weakened slightly from a category five

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

So will be a 3 or 4 when it hits land. I'm no expert though.

0

Mike2025

7 months ago

From BBC... Milton has weakened slightly from a category five

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

From BBC... Milton has weakened slightly from a category five

0

Milton landfall at what category?

Mike2025

7 months ago

News likes to exaggerate to get viewers.

0

khamzatborz

7 months ago

news talking about 4 and 5 why 3 so high %?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Your own fault for not selling. Why hold on when you've obviously lost,

1

Betwick

7 months ago

Very sad

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You've had enough time to sell. Hard to believe people are waiting for a poll that was never promised.

2

aenews2

7 months ago

I can't believe this, I never thought we'd go out this way... cold and alone waiting for the rescue that never came

WNBA: Sun vs. Lynx Game 4

Mike2025

7 months ago

Game 3 had already ended. Your scam didn't work.

1

DragDealer

7 months ago

POLYMARKET CHANGING THE TITLE FROM "GAME 3" into "GAME 4" WHAT A SHAME

WNBA: Sun vs. Lynx Game 4

Mike2025

7 months ago

Market was created after game 3, so pretty obvoius it meant game 4. You just want to scam peolle because of asimple mistake.

1

DragDealer

7 months ago

Previously it was "GAME 3" you changed it on the final review? WHAT A SHAME POLYMARKET, it's your mistakes to make people fall in wrong choice, fack you polymarket

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

They have never said they are releasing a poll so not sure why so many are waiting for one.

0

Secret14thKey

7 months ago

I'm commenting a ground offensive on Ipsos HQ

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You could still sell and cut your losses.

2

HappyAmateur

7 months ago

To be real, after a week of a majority of the media saying vance won, and that yougov poll, I really cant see myself winning this. Would of been different had Ipsos come out with something sooner but alas, no.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

No poll is coming. Why is everyone expecting one. I've never seen any announcement.

0

Sardinianshepherd

7 months ago

Fellow Waltz bros, please tell me this ipsos opinion poll is coming

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

If there release a weekly poll, last one was 3 October, so next would be 10 October. This market will resolve on 8 October.

0

Remontada

7 months ago

Ipsos have released a post debate poll for every single debate going back to the year 2000. Just want to lay that out.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

There is no poll. Ipsos never said there'd be one. No idea why people think there will be one. There's no. Vance has won.

1

yoonmarketenjoyer

7 months ago

Bros are we getting scammed? Where the FUCK is the poll?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

There is no poll. You're waiting in vain. Vance has won.

1

idfkanything

7 months ago

WHERE’S THE POLL?! DID IT FALL BETWEEN THE SOFA CUSHIONS?!

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You'll only win 81 cents. No rush.

2

dav1

7 months ago

Can Oct 8 come already please?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Yes, it'sstill a long time, but if they post the winner is still likely to be Vance. e.

0

m1kko

7 months ago

37 hours is still a long time to go.

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

This is how similar markets work. They rules weren't copied without consideration.

0

BennyS

7 months ago

So remember, these odds are skewed by the chosen rules which were clearly copied over from other markets without much consideration. This rule was used in markets where the chance of tie was extremely low (as to not effect the odds), like in the US Presidential Popular vote market, but in this market it's significant enough to change the odds.

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It shows NDP ahead 48-44.

0

BennyS

7 months ago

polling shows cons are ahead now: https://338canada.com/bc/

Which party wins the most seats in British Columbia election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

That's a common rule to ensure there's a winner. Just take it into account when betting.

0

BennyS

7 months ago

Current seat projection is 46-46-1. This would still resolve to a "Yes" for Conservatives because of the stupid rules: "In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order"

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

7 months ago

People like you throwing money away. Why? He can't become leader if he's already leader of a different party.

1

Ullage

7 months ago

Farage price is steaming....no idea why

São Paulo mayoral election 2024

Mike2025

7 months ago

In the 1st round, 3 candidates were very close. There was under 2% difference separating all 3, so odds moved close together. Then after counting, the top 2 went through to the 2nd round and Nunes is now favorite to win.

0

Rafin

7 months ago

Can someone inform ignorant old me what's going on with this market? Why did the odds get so close to each other a couple of hours ago, just to then surge so much more than before?

Porto Alegre mayoral election 2024

Mike2025

7 months ago

You need to request them in Discord.

2

Podgecaste.com

7 months ago

We need more Brazilian markets on here!

São Paulo mayoral election 2024

Mike2025

7 months ago

He made it up.

1

Eridpnc

7 months ago

where do you see this?

NFL Week 5: The Revenge Tour Parlay

Mike2025

7 months ago

You said no but bet yes.

0

horatio

7 months ago

no

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

If too cheap, buy more.

0

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix

7 months ago

Walz is too cheap here, Ipsos seems to have a heavy left-bias

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Yes, they should correlate but sometimes they don't. That's life.

0

0x3694Cv236asm687309x22BfL120RDle62V8FK09

7 months ago

Doesn't there need to be correlation between the heading and the determining factors here on Polymarket? This was advertised as a market bet on "who will win the VP debate according to polls" (plural)

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

True.

0

Wook-Capital-Fund-I

7 months ago

Lotta idiots in these comments. (1) ipsos pres debate poll was released 5 days later on a Sunday. (2) I personally think Vance won. (3) trump got stomped last debate but 33% ipsos poll said he won. (4) the bet is on the ipsos poll results, not what you think/feel.

Elon Musk # of tweets Oct 4-11?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Yeah, it's weird starting and ending at noon.

0

Matthias

7 months ago

46 posts yesterday. 31 on the first half 15 on the latter. if he tweets like that every day, you will have the other 31 posts at the end of the week

Elon Musk # of tweets Oct 4-11?

Mike2025

7 months ago

See https://www.xtracker.io/.

0

LTF24

7 months ago

how many of his tweets are counted from october 4th?

Megaquake in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I will bet no every month. At these odds I'm sure to win over the long term.

3

Megaquake in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

When all animals and birds disappear, you know one is coming in the next few days.

1

ISHOWMEAT

7 months ago

You need to become 1 with nature and allow nature to speak too you know the answer to this one. How? You may ask, well the answer is simple sit in your garden naked and become one with the grass and let the earth speak to you. You will hear it angry - October the 27th 🥺

Megaquake in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Lol. It doesn't work like that.

2

havingfun

7 months ago

We are overdue for a big one.

Megaquake in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Preparing doesn't mean it will happen. In last 25 years, there's been one every 17 months on average.

1

ZZzzz

7 months ago

I hadn't seen all the preparations that Indonesia is working on and the recent events in Japan :( Thinking about closing this.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Almost out of time for an Ipsos poll.

2

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Ipsos may not release a poll. The odds reflect that possibility.

1

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix

7 months ago

Walz is too cheap here, Ipsos seems to have a heavy left-bias

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You totally misunderstand probabilities. As yougov already said Vance, you have to consider the probability that Ipsos don't release a poll in time. In that case, Vance would win.

1

badatthis

7 months ago

50% even, 25% Vance, 25% Walz. This I give propablities for Ipsos. So this market should be 50-50 distributed

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Only the rules count. That's why you should always read the rules before betting.

0

0x3694Cv236asm687309x22BfL120RDle62V8FK09

7 months ago

Doesn't there need to be correlation between the heading and the determining factors here on Polymarket? This was advertised as a market bet on "who will win the VP debate according to polls" (plural)

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Polls have to reflect what people said. They can't fix the result just because other polls don't agree. That would be dumb.

6

XinJinping

7 months ago

At the end of the day, pools have to reflect real outcome (Vance won). Otherwise, no one will use them as source of trustworthy info later. And the heavy left bias will only reduce the gap between V & W but the verdict should be Vance by margin something like this

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I'm not American. They're not my politicians. Why so angry if you don't care.

0

irdanka

7 months ago

Tell me, why is it not being completed? October 1st has already passed. Do I have to wait for October 15th?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Only 37 mins left.

1

n/a

7 months ago

Its coming probbly today

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Well done 300+ holders.

5

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's a bot tweeting. He's asleep.

0

and

7 months ago

THIS MF DOESNT SLEEP

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Sometimes he doesn't tweet for hours. And he's just gone into a meeting.

0

n/a

7 months ago

3 tweets in 1hr 30mins??? EASY MONEY

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Nope. He's stopped. He's playing with you.

0

Donkov

7 months ago

its over

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Only 3 now. He's on 297. At this rate he's bound to get to 300.

0

Carlossss

7 months ago

how many more are needed?

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I'll be betting 300+ next week for sure.

1

DonaldMusk

7 months ago

300+ for sure

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Doubt it. He tweets a few then stops for a few hours. Looks like he's stopped for now, so not likely to be any in next 2 hours. He has other work to do. But i think he'll tweet over 300 a week from now until the election. Even more if Trump loses.

0

DonaldMusk

7 months ago

300+ for sure

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

What time zone is he in?

0

1mperator17

7 months ago

not enough tweets in the dead of night for him to get there, but a boy can hope

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 27-Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Asthe election gets closer, he'll surely be tweeting more and more.

0

MrCalchas

7 months ago

Calling it a day. Got my money from Trump tweeting more and that's enough for me. keeping a small bet just for fun

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 27-Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Terrible odds.

0

MrCalchas

7 months ago

I don't think that Trump will tweet but 0.07 is entincing enough to get more shares.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You lot are clutching at straws instead of looking at reality.

0

Randomchooser

7 months ago

Reuters and most likely Rasmussen updates will decide it. I expect a few points in Trump's facour that will result in 1.5/1.9 range, expecially if they won't drop any pollsters and do not add any new entries.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Nope.

0

Randomchooser

7 months ago

Reuters and most likely Rasmussen updates will decide it. I expect a few points in Trump's facour that will result in 1.5/1.9 range, expecially if they won't drop any pollsters and do not add any new entries.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You would have still lost.

0

mombil

7 months ago

Another bias: This time RCP takes the "Combined Presidential Vote " for Emerson (only +1 not +2) last time they took the "Select choice" poll which had her up 2 instead of 3 with the combined presidential vote they are using this time, it doesnt get any more biased than this

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It helps increase the loss.

0

Phoenix777

7 months ago

Buy 300+ fast, it helps to earn back the loss..

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Walz holders are either too dumb ot too delusional to do that.

0

Infringe

7 months ago

waltz holders should exit before they're isnt exit liquidity to exit worthless waltz shares

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

If yiu don't know if the debate took place, you must be one of the dumbest people around. Seriously.

0

irdanka

7 months ago

Tell me, why is it not being completed? October 1st has already passed. Do I have to wait for October 15th?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

That's wrong. Read the rules.

0

TrumpoDumpo

7 months ago

Someone please correct me if this is wrong: Let's say the Ipsos poll has a margin of error of 2% and shows that Vance has a 1% lead. A winner cannot be determined because the lead is within the margin of error. It's rare that it happens, but some might think there is a higher probably there than normal.

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Nope. He's in a meeting. No more tweets today. He rarely tweets in the last 8 hours.

0

n/a

7 months ago

300+ actually looks plausible, mans doesn't sleep

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Nope. That's it for today.

0

Donkov

7 months ago

Man, this mfer gonna reach 300

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Wrong.

0

TrumpoDumpo

7 months ago

If the results fall within the margin of error, it will be a tie.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Read the rules.

2

irdanka

7 months ago

Tell me, why is it not being completed? October 1st has already passed. Do I have to wait for October 15th?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Wrong. The odds show that betters here think Vance won.

0

Wasserbrunner

7 months ago

It’s like the people commenting don’t know the entire purpose of this prediction market. The debate happened, and the odds here show that Vance won.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

No. Taking my Vance winning to Harris.

0

WhaleCloud

7 months ago

Anyone taking their Vance winnings straight over to a Trump win😎

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Ipsos poll counts for this event.

0

KovacNationalism

7 months ago

YouGov already posted a CBS poll that shows Vance won.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

That's why you're not betting. Don't you like free money?

0

Immortalghost

7 months ago

We all know Vance won lmao

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Shows your lack of understanding.

2

SolisxMaryKate

7 months ago

How this isn’t 99% Vance winning at this point is beyond me

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

But you only bet 5. Lol.

0

Tester - 39764

7 months ago

All polls show they are 50-50 (i.e. a coin-flip). Ipsos is left-leaning (they published that Harris is currently leading 47%-40%). If I paid you 2-1 odds on a coin-flip, when the person flipping the coin shows tails more often than heads, would you take tails?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Because it's so close that Walz could win.

0

Tac1776

7 months ago

Why is walz rising. Vance is likely to win

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's not clear at all. Yougov poll showed 42-41%. That's hardly convincing.

0

n/a

7 months ago

How is it even a question at this point? It is very clear that Vance won the debate last night.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

No, but they probably will.

0

n/a

7 months ago

Is there even confirmation Ipsos is doing a poll about this?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Good analysis.

1

0x63325293geDetgu4g028d8hh9dDegjAsuneg44

7 months ago

4 polls so far. Yougov show 42-41 to Vance, they're unbias (+0.2% lean towards Trump in Nate Silver house effects). CNN had 51-49 Vance, they tend to be +0.8% Trump (NS h.e.). Focaldata had 50-50, they are unbias (+0.2% Harris NS h.e.). JL have 50-43 Vance, they're Trump simpers (+2.5% Trump NS h.e, MASSIVE bias). So...Ipsos? +1.7% Harris NS h.e., MASSIVE bias. In other words. 3 unbias pollsters show a tie; 1 Trump simp shows Vance winning; and we're waiting for the results from a Harris simp. Hmmm, 90 cents being sold for under 40 cents anyone? Ipsos isn't bias, but they're statistically bias; and we might as well be betting on if Trafalgar or Rasmussen is going to favour Trump vs polling averages; sometimes they surprise and have a good Kamala result; but basically their bias is greater than margin of error. I have bet as much as I'm comfortable with. Good luck all. Fwiw I think the debate performance was a tie ;)

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Good apart from the fact that he's dishonest. Lol.

0

TheGoober

7 months ago

I hope that after Trump loses this election, Vance distances himself from him and runs in 2028. He'd be a strong candidate and I can see him flipping his approval ratings like Kamala did.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Yiugov pollwill be used before then oreven closed 50-50.

0

🤺JustPunched

7 months ago

it should be out by the end of December

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's not looking bad either. Losing a debate doesn't mean people won't vote for you. It'

0

Tac1776

7 months ago

It is not looking good for walz right now

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

If it was so obvious, why didn't yiu bet Vance when odds were around 30c? Why didyiu wait until 65c?

1

donky

7 months ago

Anyone saying Walz won is delusional. This was a professional debater vs a school teacher and the teach got schooled. Not close. Those who bet Walz bet because the thought the media would bail them out are in for a big surprise. Only worse beat down was the recent Trump vs Biden.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Professional debaters sometime lose.

0

donky

7 months ago

Anyone saying Walz won is delusional. This was a professional debater vs a school teacher and the teach got schooled. Not close. Those who bet Walz bet because the thought the media would bail them out are in for a big surprise. Only worse beat down was the recent Trump vs Biden.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

The majority will say th3 side they like won. Only a minority of people are capable of both thinking objectively and telling the truth.

1

AppleADay

7 months ago

did we watch the same debate?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Asidefrom this market, doesthis make any real difference? People wikk vote for Trump or Harris. Will many really switch sides based on the VP pick?

0

PolyRig-Fried

7 months ago

Following the debate, 59% of debate watchers said they had a favorable view of Walz, with just 22% viewing him unfavorably – an improvement from his already positive numbers among the same voters pre-debate (46% favorable, 32% unfavorable). Debate watchers came away with roughly net neutral views of Vance following the debate: 41% rated him favorably and 44% unfavorably. That’s also an improvement from their image of Vance pre-debate, when his ratings among this group were deeply underwater (30% favorable, 52% unfavorable). A 65% majority of debate watchers now say Walz is qualified to serve as vice president if necessary, with 58% saying the same of Vance. Before the debate, 62% thought Walz was qualified to assume the vice presidency if needed, and 50% that Vance was qualified to do so. https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/vance-walz-debate-cbs-10-01-24/index.html

Will Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Not gonna happen. Hype is over.

0

Will Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Nope. Sounds like a rugpull waiting to happen.

1

MAGAhat

7 months ago

Interesting bet! But, if you want to make a BIG profit - The TrumpPros ERC20 Polygon token is the "real deal"! https://x.com/TrumpPros/status/1839587617978917006

Megaquake in October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

There only around 5-6% chance of amegaquake based in data from last 25 years. So betting no at 91% is a winner over the long term.

0

ZZzzz

7 months ago

What do you know that I don't?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Only easy if Ipsos release a poll. If they don't, it will resolve as 50-50.

0

devvvvv

7 months ago

easy

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

But that doesn't count for this event.

0

Tac1776

7 months ago

Politco already declared vance the winner

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Mike2025

7 months ago

If Ipsos doesn't release a poll, yhis will resolve as 50-50, so Vance at 70c is not too crazy. There is a risk that there won't be a poll released by Ipsos.

1

devvvvv

7 months ago

crazy how you can still buy vance at 70c rn

Will Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Hearing rumors Binance will list this week.

0

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office Cont.

Mike2025

7 months ago

Over $66m predicted.

5

Will Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Better than losing.

0

Myh

7 months ago

but you will win 20$ lfg hahahhaha

Will Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

All the yes people gonna lose because they don't know what spot trading is.

0

Will Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Yep, they hype is almost over.

0

qsalz

7 months ago

BUBBLE GONNA BURST

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It will end up 50-50 so why are people betting at 50c? It's pointless.

0

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

Mike2025

7 months ago

If it's $120m, two opions will be correct. Weird.

0

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

Mike2025

7 months ago

Because there's no option for "OVER 105M".

0

FronkCartel

7 months ago

Why would anyone bet on ranges when you can just bet on "OVER 105M"

São Paulo mayoral election 2024

Mike2025

7 months ago

This is why you make a loss.

0

n/a

7 months ago

Pablo Marçal is winning all the polls, 34% Pablo vs 26% Ricardo Nunes. Buying Pablo all day!

São Paulo mayoral election 2024

Mike2025

7 months ago

Big mistake.

0

n/a

7 months ago

Pablo Marçal is winning all the polls, 34% Pablo vs 26% Ricardo Nunes. Buying Pablo all day!

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Why not?

0

7XZK

7 months ago

why

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Slightly different in fact. The closed one asked if MSFT woukd pass AAPL at any time. The current bet is for which is ahead on 30 September. It's important to read the rules carefully. The wording counts. Easy to make a mistake.

0

nicaseedstrader

7 months ago

https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30?tid=1727657443421 Why is this already sorted out, ITS THE SAME THING?? I just lost 30$ for what?

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Not the same thing. MSFT overtook AAPL so the bet ended. Then a new bet started.

0

nicaseedstrader

7 months ago

https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30?tid=1727657443421 Why is this already sorted out, ITS THE SAME THING?? I just lost 30$ for what?

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Probably MSFT overtook it for a few mins. Wouldn't have been newsworthy but you can go check the data.

0

nicaseedstrader

7 months ago

https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30/will-apple-remain-largest-company-through-sep-30?tid=1727657443421 Why is this already sorted out, ITS THE SAME THING?? I just lost 30$ for what?

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

The gobalists got over 70% of the vote. They won.

0

realdeep

7 months ago

freedom of speech has won this election. the globalists have lost. good job austria

Which party wins the most seats in Lithuanian Election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You'll never make money betting the way you do. You're mostly throwing money away.

0

brachunok

7 months ago

https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/lithuania/ LSDP feels like it could be overvalued

Which party wins the most seats in Lithuanian Election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

They're way ahead. I will put more money on them.

0

brachunok

7 months ago

https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/lithuania/ LSDP feels like it could be overvalued

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

FPO have won with prjected 57 seats. OVP 51.

0

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

Liverpool have great odds right now. Arsenal odds are too high.

0

aniferw

7 months ago

i think arsenal win

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

FPO win most votes. No idea if that also means the most seats.

0

EPL: Ipswich Town vs. Aston Villa

Mike2025

7 months ago

That's a big chunk of money to lose.

1

grmka

7 months ago

Ofc aston

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

An animal.

0

darkforce

7 months ago

what is austria?

Kamala Harris 538 odds >60% Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Anyone can suggest them. Even you.

0

viktorurolog16

7 months ago

Who comes up with these bets?

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I meant 10 cents total return not 10cper share.

0

JoebamaBiden

7 months ago

Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday

Faithless elector in US election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Well, you're a retard if you think this and didn't bet.

0

sdiff123

10 months ago

53% of elections since 1948 had at least one faithless elector (2016 had 10). Most states have no laws against faithless electors. This election given the chaos in the dems, strong third party and polarising trump for the gop it should be odds on.

EPL: Ipswich Town vs. Aston Villa

Mike2025

7 months ago

Probably, but a draw is a possibility.

0

grmka

7 months ago

Ofc aston

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You're down $11k. I'm going to just bet the opposite of you.

0

JoebamaBiden

7 months ago

Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I hope this bet reappears for October. I like easy money.

0

JoebamaBiden

7 months ago

Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Nuking the market will mean AAPL and MSFT both drop. Apple will still be ahead. Close you bet. You might get 10c. Better than 0c.

0

JoebamaBiden

7 months ago

Come on Asia, nuke the market and save my bets this Monday

Which party wins most seats in in Saskatchewan election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Thanks for giving us free money by betting on Other.

0

FrankyFourFingers

8 months ago

Saskatchewan party could win this, on the other hand, the NDP could win

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

I have bet on them to win the league. It's possible that Man City will have points deducted in Jan or Feb.

0

DiabloCRO

7 months ago

Liverpool has a nice chance to sit on the top of the leaderboard if they can beat Wolves :))

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

I bet on Liverpool and the bet shows in my history tab. It doesn't show here though, nor in my Positions tab. It might reappear later but is there support that can fix issues like this. It's a bit worrying that bets can just disappear like this.

0

'The Wild Robot' Opening Weekend Box Office

Mike2025

7 months ago

$24-31m has won it.

0

EPL: Newcastle vs. Manchester City

Mike2025

7 months ago

It should be automatic. Simple enough.

0

CryptoBetMarkets

7 months ago

Idk but its always like this in sports. Takes Time too long

EPL: Newcastle vs. Manchester City

Mike2025

7 months ago

Showed as resolved but now disappeared. What happened?

0

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Because he's a criminal. Prison is where criminals often end up.

0

Mandate

8 months ago

why he will be on prison?

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

There are quite a few billionaires in prison.

1

AnonTheGreat

7 months ago

Billionaires don't do jail time lmao

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Read the rules. Wait until November. I assume you can read.

0

xixia1

7 months ago

Why is there no result yet?

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

By betting on no prison time. Sentencing has already been postponed.

0

burden

7 months ago

but how?

Super Bowl Champion 2025

Mike2025

7 months ago

They are here... https://polymarket.com/sports/nfl/games

0

TimeTraveler

7 months ago

Where are all the NFL bets? The bet for tonight's game is gone and also all Sunday games are gone.

Super Bowl Champion 2025

Mike2025

7 months ago

So why don't you bet if so ez?

0

sepdu

7 months ago

chiefs gonna win ez

'The Wild Robot' Opening Weekend Box Office

Mike2025

7 months ago

Do you think it will get to $31m+ like the betting suggests?

0

MeNoDatNutReelMuni

7 months ago

it's starting to pick up traction, im seeing about 50% booked seats

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

No, it's still there. Are you blind?

1

figman

7 months ago

Was the additional context deleted?

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Polymarket is great. The rules are clear. You're too dumb to follow them.

1

McLarry

7 months ago

Polymarket didn't even have the decency to say that there would probably be no more announcements. Pathetic, but this way the Chinese can see straight away what kind of business Polymarket is.

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You think the whole of China bet on this or even cares?

1

WhaleHunter

7 months ago

Polymarket completely ruined the Chinese market by blindly opening a market without confirming whether Huobi would issue an announcement.

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Resolves on 30 Sep. Probably as 50-50.

2

1mperator17

7 months ago

why isnt this resolved yet, and what happen to the clarification

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You've lost. Denial won't help you.

2

n/a

7 months ago

ÖVP will win the electoral vote, FPÖ is not going out as #1.

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Lol. You bet. You accept the risk.

2

YatSen

7 months ago

死人妖和孙炒流量，流量过了就烂尾不管了，polymarket第一个国人盘就这样rug了，毫无信用，无视规则。The first Polymarket for Chinese users got rugged like this—zero credibility and completely ignoring the rules. What a joke!

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Nope. 50-50 is good.

2

Gena🐊

7 months ago

China has rugpulled us

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

See you all next week.

2

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

All over. We lost.

0

addicts

7 months ago

not over yet

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I'm sitting opposite him.

3

Andy0091

7 months ago

How do you know hes in a meeting?

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

All over. He's gone to a meeting. No more tweets.

0

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Need another 3 in the next hour.

0

IONLYBETONX

7 months ago

def doable. coinflip. either way its gonna be tight

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Elon is awake and tweeting. Only 4 more needed i just over an hour. Looking good.

1

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Is Elon awake yet? He needs to post 7 more tweets in 4 hours.

0

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

Mike2025

7 months ago

Why don't you request it?

1

McLarry

7 months ago

can someone request a second market for this with diffrent brackets

Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Never.

0

ReCOn911

7 months ago

when does it end ?

Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You ignored volatility.

0

JohnathanDoe

7 months ago

whaat weent wroong

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Free money right here. 1.83% profit in 37 days.

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You don't have a trade.

0

BrandonThought

7 months ago

lmao what last minutes polls are gonna show up to screw over my trade

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Neither is trash. You just don't understand them.

0

MrNFT

7 months ago

Someone needs to make a new site. 538 is trash but so is RCP

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

0 or 1 more. Tyen stop.

0

PanosMariolis2001

7 months ago

YES SIIIIIIIIIIIIR , TRACKER AT 23 , COME ON BABY , 2 MORE BABY !

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

10c

0

PanosMariolis2001

7 months ago

how much for my shares i hear offers

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

In bed.

0

PanosMariolis2001

7 months ago

where is everyone i need liquidity

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

See the tracker. Almost 9 hours left.

0

PeterParkerP

7 months ago

What timezone are we using here? I mean when does the clock stop ?

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Most ladyboys have surgery to remove it.

0

abdendriel

7 months ago

Where’s the Adam’s Apple?

Megaquake in September?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Only just discovered this market. I'l be betting yes every month if I can get under 2c.

0

Mr.Damon

7 months ago

no holders shaking rn

Megaquake in September?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Not gambling. There is plenty of data that allows you to bet and win. 8+ earthquakes occur around once a year. If you can get odds of 1c or 2c every month, you'll win big time.

1

Rabid

7 months ago

Now THIS is gambling

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

50-50 suits me.

0

figman

7 months ago

POST 1: "Beauty, Huobi will announce it tomorrow night, right? I staked 800USDT" POST 2: "Huobi withdrew midway. They had originally agreed to act as a middleman for Polymarket to be published by Huobi, but now they have withdrawn. If there were no middleman, they might have returned to the original path." POST 3: "does that mean there’s no announcement anymore?" POST 4: "It seems their rule is that there must be a middleman, and now I just can't find anyone to be one. 😂If there isn't one by then, it should be 50/50." https://x.com/Gummybear1771/status/1839197793690464717

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Apple stock is up today. MSFT is down.

0

Fred19999

7 months ago

There is still time for the market to correctly price Apple 📉

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I'll be betting on Apple to be no. 1 at end of Oct, Nov, Dec.

0

Fred19999

7 months ago

There is still time for the market to correctly price Apple 📉

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Some are coming to their senses and realizing this is a man. Why is it so hard for some of you to understand?

1

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

They allow more than is allowed in the US.

0

Donkov

7 months ago

Why would the CCP tolerate such 5th columnists?

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

这个市场指的是草莓软糖（@Gummybear1771）的性别。

0

Volume

7 months ago

who is it?

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

No need to ask. He's a man.

0

Fred19999

7 months ago

Is it against the rules to just DM @Gummybear1771 and ask her the answer?

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's a good point but people knew this was an issue when they placed their bets. Many pointed it out.

2

WhaleHunter

7 months ago

This market is not about predicting gender, but rather about whether Huobi will issue an announcement before September 30th. I believe resolving this as a 50-50 split is inappropriate because it deviates from the market's original intent, is misleading, and could even cause those who guessed correctly to lose money. If Huobi does not issue an announcement, the funds should be returned to the participants.

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Still in denial. So funny.

0

CRAZYQUANT

7 months ago

microcock to the moon

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Obviously not an expert. It's a man. 100%.

0

Gena🐊

7 months ago

Do hormones change the bone structure? No!. This should be at 3c, because there is a small chance we don't get any answer and a small chance we get a wrong answer. She is 100% a girl, I know because I'm an expert of finding and avoiding trans in classified ads

U.S. Recession in 2024?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Zero chance of a recession.

0

unfriended

7 months ago

It's coming and the commercial realestate market is going to crash it.

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

There is still time for the market to double Apple's lead.

0

Fred19999

7 months ago

There is still time for the market to correctly price Apple 📉

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

Mike2025

7 months ago

2 is a barrage?

1

abdendriel

7 months ago

Here comes the tweet barrage

Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?

Mike2025

7 months ago

We need a market for Ding vs. Gukesh. I'll be all in on Gukesh.

6

Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You've lost almost $23k. Who's the idiot?

1

41-17™askDomerWhatImean

8 months ago

Dingus has spent the last 1.5 years losing, idiot.

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Some women also have fake breasts.

0

BlackSky123

7 months ago

fake breasts. man.: https://x.com/Gummybear1771/status/1781677905548071026

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Nope. Buying and selling is matched.

1

BlackSky123

7 months ago

Everyone is selling woman

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

They would be breaking client privacy laws.

0

Jessethecook69

7 months ago

guys, what if they use Huobi KYC to prove that on the ID she is man/woman?

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Not true. You didn't read the rules. Proof isn't needed.

0

yuyang

7 months ago

If there is no proof that it is female, it will eventually go back to 50/50, and if you buy now at 80, you will lose money

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Yes. Everyone in China knows this is a man.

0

Fred19999

7 months ago

Does aenews2 have inside information? 😏

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

No hope of that.

0

Fred19999

7 months ago

Why is everyone focused on Microsoft? It's NVIDIA who will become #1.

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

"This market will resolve according to information from Huobi." It has nothing to do with any evidence. If Huobi say it's a man, that how it will resolve, even if it's really a woman.

0

Justifax

7 months ago

I guess you're betting on two things though, 1- she's a she, and 2- she'll actually produce something that resolves the market. The rules don't say it, tragically, but this will likely go 50/50 if no evidence is produced. Some may even try to dispute poor evidence, but my 2 cents is as long as something halfway credible is produced, just resolve it and move on.

Mozambique Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

That means he's better. I have a friend that had quad bypass over 10 years ago. A bypass fixes things. It doesn't make things worse.

0

Gena🐊

7 months ago

I proposed this market!

Mozambique Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

Eazy money.

0

strimmlarn

7 months ago

nope.

Mozambique Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

Easy to research. Easy money.

0

Gena🐊

7 months ago

I proposed this market!

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Polymarket added this market to give Chinese people an easy way to make money. They all know this is a man. They will make money and be new Polymarket customers. Genius.

1

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

No, not illegal.

0

Jessethecook69

7 months ago

it would illegal for them to put out huobi without confirmation right?

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

My wife took one look and said definitely a man. She was in school, college, and work with many ladyboys. She knows the difference.

0

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Why don't you sell it?

0

Gena🐊

7 months ago

BTW someone buy my 35, all china thinks she is a man

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's not guaranteed though. What if they don't?

1

Jessethecook69

7 months ago

huobi will announce the result on the official twitter, possibly a twitter space?

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

If this is man, it would have been surgically removed. That's what most ladyboys do.

0

abdendriel

7 months ago

Where’s the Adam’s Apple? It’s even more prominent in skinny guys

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Your money will be stuck forever.

0

screwed-up-again

7 months ago

What if Huobi doesn’t announce it?

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

You're probbaly tight but what if no announcement is made?

1

Sinkapoorean

7 months ago

Fun bet. Gonna just throw in some money. Good luck all

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

The bet rules are too vague. What if no announcement is made? I say this is a man but not gonna bet when such unclear rules.

0

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I have bet both, so I win.

0

n/a

7 months ago

The question is will the ÖVP have one more Seat then FPÖ. because if both have the same seats the market will resolve on favor of fpö.

Mozambique Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

So why haven't you bet on it?

0

Gena🐊

7 months ago

I proposed this market!

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Fantastic odds for Kemi. She beats all contenders head-to-head on Conservative Home website. They are the people that will get the final vote.

2

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Maybe removed.

0

abdendriel

7 months ago

Where’s the Adam’s Apple? It’s even more prominent in skinny guys

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Volatile enough for Apple to inceease it's lead.

0

JoebamaBiden

7 months ago

a week is volatile enough that microcock can make it

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

$3.46T vs $3.19T - the gap widens.

0

Mike2025

7 months ago

APPL $3.44T vs MSFT $3.22T. Apple should win this.

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Maybe I'm in profit not loss and know how to win. Yours is so small that you're too scared to even bet.

0

Birth

7 months ago

may be you have microcock

Caroline Ellison prison time?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Not gonna happen.

0

0xBama

7 months ago

Lock her up

Caroline Ellison prison time?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It doesn't matter what we think. All that matters is what the judge sentences her to. We're here to make money.

1

abdendriel

7 months ago

Do you think the emotional stress of being a criminal is sufficient punishment for the crime itself, as long as you can tell the story to the cops?

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Possible but very unlikely. There is nothing special about the next week.

0

JoebamaBiden

7 months ago

a week is volatile enough that microcock can make it

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

APPL $3.44T vs MSFT $3.22T. Apple should win this.

0

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

I'm buying yes to make money. Buying no is not a protest. It's giving your money away. I've never bought an Apple product. That's the real way to protest.

0

Fred19999

7 months ago

Disgusting company. I buy no in protest of Foxconn and Uyghur forced labor. Anyone buying Yes should be ashamed of yourselves

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It can happen but that doesn't mean there's a high probability that it will. The betting shows it's very unlikely. I'm not saying it can't happen.

0

CRAZYQUANT

7 months ago

its the stock market it can easily happen whether or not you believe there is a reason. Especially at the volatile condition the market is at right now

Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

See link in Rules section.

1

viktorurolog16

7 months ago

how can i see on the site where the probability is displayed? tell me

São Paulo mayoral election 2024

Mike2025

7 months ago

All polls show Nunes easily beating all oppents in 2nd round voting.

0

Kamala wins and immediately bans X?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Why would sell no for a loss. There's zero chance of X being banned in the US.

0

Kalags

8 months ago

wha-wha-wha-wha if she doesnt like x and just bans it by hate no reasoning whatsoever will the "No" side lose all investment plz answer someone what do the ryules where to read the rules say on this bhalf if that incident where to happen i sold my No position for good money back huhh..!

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Up 17% in last 7 days. Only needs another 11% move in next 7 days. Definitely possible.

2

Will there be another debate?

Mike2025

7 months ago

There have already been 2 debates. Against Biden and Harris.

0

-nothingburger-

7 months ago

They will find a common point. There were never less than 2 debates in the previous Presidential elections

Will there be another debate?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Damn inflation. Dollars now cost 77 cents.

1

Amok

7 months ago

Look Ma, they're selling dollars for 75 cents

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?

Mike2025

7 months ago

So why is yes only at 11%?

1

MetaPhysicist

7 months ago

To be clear the resolution for this market will be from the subscriber only data in the link given. The method used is very similar to 538 which has Kamala Harris at 62% currently.

NFL Monday

Mike2025

7 months ago

What do the brackets after the team name signify? Above it shows 2-0, 0-2, etc.

1

Which party wins most seats in in Saskatchewan election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

If SK are guaranteed to win, it's not a toss-up. You're contradicting yourslef.

0

Trade

8 months ago

Race hasn’t been this close since 2003 election more of a coin flip than people realize

Polymarket Parlay: NFL Week 3

Mike2025

7 months ago

What's happened so far and what is left to go?

0

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Too small for what?

1

mQto82

7 months ago

austria is a too small country.

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Someone has to propose it. You could have done it.

0

Karlosbarel

7 months ago

Really stupid to still wait, this is not US. Once all votes are counted in Europe, it has to be resolved. All other bookies have it like that, unreasonable to wait any further. Who decides when to evaluate btw? @joebamaBiden can singlehandidly call the shots here?

EPL: Manchester City vs. Arsenal

Mike2025

7 months ago

All options are overpriced. No point betting.

0

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

SPD won 32% to 29%.

0

Car

7 months ago

Does anyone know when the final results r in?

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

SPD won. Just as I predicted. 32% to 29%.

0

Which party wins the most seats in Lithuanian Election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Probably will bet LSDP closer to the time. Don't want to tie up my money for too long when I can be making money with other bets.

0

Which party wins most seats in in Saskatchewan election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

So why bet SK if the odds are so wildly overpriced?

0

Trade

8 months ago

Race hasn’t been this close since 2003 election more of a coin flip than people realize

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

That's my thinking. When it comes to actual voting, people will vote for the party that can stop AfD.

0

TimeTraveler

7 months ago

SPD has been surging in all polls, why? Because people from other parties which aren't going to win are switching to the SPD because they don't want the AfD to win, that's how it works in Germany.

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

SPD got this. Last minute surge.

1

Which party wins the most seats in Lithuanian Election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

That's abig opportunity if you believe that's true.

0

singa

8 months ago

polls in this one are totally unreliable to make any decision based on them...

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

It can happen but I'm betting on probabilities not possibilities.

0

CheerfulPessimist

7 months ago

It already happened at the beginning of the week, for a brief period. If the gap can grow that large in just 5 days it can also be erased just as easily.

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Read the rules. Close of trading on 30 Sep.

0

Kvyss

7 months ago

what if for some moment it doesn't but then it regain the position?would it still count?

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

No idea why some reports are sayinghe has 52% and others say he still has 40%. But opposition conceded already.

0

Mike2025

7 months ago

Another upate a few mins ago says... Dissanayake remains in the lead with about 40 percent of the vote. He is followed by Premadasa, 34 percent, and Wickremesinghe, at 17.5 percent.

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

It's an election for president not government.

1

EdgyUsername

7 months ago

How does Sri Lanka settle it if it's less than 50%. Is there just a runoff or is it some sort of bargaining for a coalition gov't.

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

2nd preference votes will be counted.

1

EdgyUsername

7 months ago

How does Sri Lanka settle it if it's less than 50%. Is there just a runoff or is it some sort of bargaining for a coalition gov't.

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

Another upate a few mins ago says... Dissanayake remains in the lead with about 40 percent of the vote. He is followed by Premadasa, 34 percent, and Wickremesinghe, at 17.5 percent.

0

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

7 months ago

An island just off the southern coast of India.

0

JoebamaBiden

7 months ago

Do I know where the fuck sri lanka is? No. Do i even know what they speak over there? no. will i put money on the line? Yes

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

Agree. If it's a toss up, 30 cents is excellent.

0

StatusQuo

7 months ago

If it is in fact a tossup election then 30 cents for ÖVP is a good deal!

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

7 months ago

No reason for that to happen.

0

hhv201

8 months ago

only 6.5% difference not easy at all lol. All it takes is for MSFT to go up by 4% and APPL to go down 3%.

Which party wins most seats in in Saskatchewan election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

A coin toss is 50-50. This election is a long way from that. More like 85-15.

0

Trade

8 months ago

Race hasn’t been this close since 2003 election more of a coin flip than people realize

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

Mike2025

7 months ago

SPD are gonna win this. Last minute surge incoming.

1

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

8 months ago

Why so upset. I helped you by pointing you to the rules. Not sure what's wrong with that. I won't both next time. You're way too sensitive.

0

EdgyUsername

8 months ago

What if no one gets over 50%? How does the market resolve?

Musk remains richest man through September 30?

Mike2025

8 months ago

I would but I have some better opportunities where I can make more in less time.

0

0xE42c9d2ef

8 months ago

Then buy some?

Women's Chess Olympiad 2024 Winner

Mike2025

8 months ago

India seems a bit overpriced here after losing yesterday.

2

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

8 months ago

APPL $3.48T vs MSFT $3.26T. Easy Apple win.

2

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

Mike2025

8 months ago

SPD rising quickly up the polls. Still way underpriced.

1

Will Biden resign before the election?

Mike2025

8 months ago

It would benefit Trump not Harris.

1

n/a

8 months ago

if Harris is losing in polls vs trump in the last days, would be an amazing strategy for Joe to resign and Kamala assume the presidency. Think in terms of visual persuasion, people would see her as president instead of wondering if she is capable of being president.

Will Biden resign before the election?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Thinking like that is why you lose money.

2

WashableCash

8 months ago

eh ,it's worth a few bucks just in case

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Yes, those odds seem way too high.

2

Car

8 months ago

80% afd is crazy

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 13-20?

Mike2025

8 months ago

250-274 underpriced. On target for 250 at the moment.

1

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 13-20?

Mike2025

8 months ago

He's a horrible person.

0

speed

8 months ago

elon great person

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

8 months ago

But you chose the wrong side.

0

Car

8 months ago

gamblers on Polymarket cant do math and dont understand stocks. Dont worry about it and buy the right side.

Largest company on September 30?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Let's keep checking this daily. I'll bet nearer the end of the month.

0

figman

8 months ago

Microsoft is within 5%... Apple 3.36T and Microsoft 3.20T

Musk remains richest man through September 30?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Easy 3% profit in 11 days.

0

Kamala wins and immediately bans X?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Yes, easy money but not worth it. Abround 1.5% profit in 4.5 months. My HYSA pays me more that. Your money is also tied uo so you're missing better opportunities.

0

motivatedjay

8 months ago

I like these type of bets 😂 Easy Money

Kamala wins and immediately bans X?

Mike2025

8 months ago

He's made over $1k profit. You're too scared to even bet. Loser.

0

nook

8 months ago

but you're a retard who only LOSES and LIES and BEGS for a refund on your Mr Beast shares, MORON! Kill yourself loser

Kamala wins and immediately bans X?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Betting no is like free money.

0

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Terrible odds. The 4 candidates add up to 151c right now.

0

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Agree. FPO only slightly ahead in pollsso OVP looks underpriced.

0

andrepibe

8 months ago

FPO is ahead in polls but they are always overestimated. OVP probably underpriced

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

Mike2025

8 months ago

That was then. Things change. I have no idea though.

0

n/a

8 months ago

Even at the last FOMC meeting a reported asked him about a 50bps cut for september and J Powell responded " thats something thats not even on the table"

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Did you read the rules? They say... For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations.

2

n/a

8 months ago

the mkt doesn't say if tests count

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

8 months ago

Polls are closer than the odds suggest.

1

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

But you still didn't bet on it. Dumb.

1

XiJinPing

8 months ago

nate silver poll leaked, 62% for trump

Caroline Ellison prison time?

Mike2025

8 months ago

I mean it's the sentence the judge gives that counts. If he senteces her to 3 months but she already spent a year in jail, the sentence will be 3 months for this market.

0

TCA

8 months ago

Mike2025 is wrong, I've done prison time in the feds dude. It makes zero difference where you do your time it all counts the same in your sentence. whether you serve it in pre-trial or after sentencing. No matter how much time she gets they're almost certainly going to give her credit for time served. If she gets time served it will resolve to however much time she has already served. She will almost certainly be convicted and if she doesn't get jail time I can almost gaurantee the court will sentence her to time served. They don't get let you off they'll put it on paper that you did prison time if they can if you're guilty.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Lol.

1

TCA

8 months ago

I can't believe they're gonna let that rotten B off, she caused the entire thing, Sam tried to save her dumb ass and he gets a quarter century and the broad gets time served. Makes me sick. The sexism in the country against males is reaching insane levels.

NFL Monday

Mike2025

8 months ago

Time to learn that there's no free money when betting.

1

TCA

8 months ago

I can't believe anyone would take the falcons over the eagles with no points it's insanity. Eagles are going to absolutely CRUSH them. This is free money imo.

NFL Week 2: Highest Scoring Game

Mike2025

8 months ago

One game left to play.

0

whisperrr

8 months ago

why now is 14 september, but we don't see the result?

Fact Check: Suspect registered D or R?

Mike2025

8 months ago

You bbet whixhever side is below 50c because it will end 50-50.

1

EdgyUsername

8 months ago

Is there a way to bet unaffiliated?

Fact Check: Suspect registered D or R?

Mike2025

8 months ago

You haven't bet.

1

babendums

8 months ago

voted trump in 2016, 2A guy, but past 4 years are a mystery, doubtful he is registered dem. Either break even or double my money on this one.

EPL: Tottenham vs. Arsenal

Mike2025

8 months ago

When dispute window closes in 2 hrs.

0

0xD03B1cDe07967dd69940A2Dad9bc0D2B024801d9-1725887715559

8 months ago

when money come?

Which party wins the most seats in Lithuanian Election?

Mike2025

8 months ago

The answer is here but I don't know where the channel is... https://www.reddit.com/r/ethdev/comments/1dnwebl/how_are_prediction_markets_on_polymarket_created/

1

nicoco89

8 months ago

And no bet for austrian election which is sooner ?

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

Mike2025

8 months ago

Why ride out a losing bet? Makes no sense.

0

negativedrip

8 months ago

you bought at 18c, might as well ride it out lol

'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office

Mike2025

8 months ago

Why don't you close your bet instead of waiting to lose more money?

1

sosuke

8 months ago

It's over the best estimates are giving this 70m max, they are selling a dollar for 89 cents

'Speak No Evil' grosses >$13m opening weekend?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Define "easy". Looks like an easy no to me.

5

PapaChito

8 months ago

Easy yes. Projections are lowballed at 12.5 mil on a 15 mil budget. No good/high profile actor thriller or horror movies like this are coming out this year except maybe smile and heritics in mid october

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

8 months ago

Only Man City, Arsenal, Liverpool have a chance. Brighton and Newcastle don't have much chance but 1c may be worth a punt.

1

Arbiter-of-Truth

8 months ago

Only teams with a shot at it are arsenal, lpool, city, Brighton, Newcastle imo. City should be much higher as per opta sims. My only concern is point deduction

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

8 months ago

The points deduction could get them relegated. A reason to avoid this market.

0

Arbiter-of-Truth

8 months ago

Only teams with a shot at it are arsenal, lpool, city, Brighton, Newcastle imo. City should be much higher as per opta sims. My only concern is point deduction

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

8 months ago

Man City likely to have a big points deduction in January. So big that they could be relegated. Something to consider.

0

Which party wins the most seats in Lithuanian Election?

Mike2025

8 months ago

You can request it.

0

nicoco89

8 months ago

And no bet for austrian election which is sooner ?

EPL: Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest

Mike2025

8 months ago

Not sure why you say you can only make 1c. You can make 99c in some cases.

0

ZDOK8000

8 months ago

Are bids still possible after the match starts ?

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 13-20?

Mike2025

8 months ago

On target for 271.

0

DonaldMusk

8 months ago

34 tweet in less than 24 hours, with this speed he can cross 300

EPL: Manchester City vs. Brentford

Mike2025

8 months ago

True, but you should be getting odds of 1c or 2c max.

0

Astronaut

8 months ago

Why are there almost zero orders for Brentford or draw

EPL: Manchester City vs. Brentford

Mike2025

8 months ago

Also, Man City haven't lost at home for 2 years.

0

Astronaut

8 months ago

Why are there almost zero orders for Brentford or draw

EPL: Manchester City vs. Brentford

Mike2025

8 months ago

Everything was set back to zero at start of match. Not enough people to create odds and liquidity.

0

Astronaut

8 months ago

Why are there almost zero orders for Brentford or draw

EPL: Manchester City vs. Brentford

Mike2025

8 months ago

Man City only won 76% of home matches last season. Odds to win look terrible.

0

EPL: Manchester City vs. Brentford

Mike2025

8 months ago

Man City haven't lost at home since 2022.

0

EPL: Manchester City vs. Brentford

Mike2025

8 months ago

There will be plenty of liquidity after the match starts

0

0xE42c9d2ef

8 months ago

after the match starts there is almost no liquidity

EPL: Manchester City vs. Brentford

Mike2025

8 months ago

What's the point? So that we can bet.

0

ZDOK8000

8 months ago

Are bids still possible after the match starts ? If yes what's the point ?

EPL: Southampton vs. Manchester United

Mike2025

8 months ago

Looking good now. 2-0 up.

0

p00p

8 months ago

I'm gonna put all my money down on one fat bet Now I don't know the first thing about football But my instincts tell me this is my windfall It's his lucky day, that's a given

EPL: Southampton vs. Manchester United

Mike2025

8 months ago

A great way to bet on football,

0

DJDanas

8 months ago

idk a draw so i am gonna play save with southampton not winning

EPL: Southampton vs. Manchester United

Mike2025

8 months ago

Last season, Man Utd only won 8 of their 19 away matches.

0

0x75a56deF4e9327168fAFC1dDcD00197dF2f48E6b-1722540539269

8 months ago

What could make Man United not win today?

EPL: Southampton vs. Manchester United

Mike2025

8 months ago

There are always surprises in football. Top teams don't win the easy matches on a fairly regular basis.

0

0x75a56deF4e9327168fAFC1dDcD00197dF2f48E6b-1722540539269

8 months ago

What could make Man United not win today?

EPL: Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest

Mike2025

8 months ago

They usually are, so don't see why this would be any different.

0

ZDOK8000

8 months ago

Are bids still possible after the match starts ?

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 13-20?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Read the rules... For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

1

vkakani03

8 months ago

No instructions on this, does retweeting and replies count as tweets.?

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 13-20?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Waste of money right now. Spreads far too wide.

0

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 6-13?

Mike2025

8 months ago

What to spend my $1 winnings on? Decisions, decisions.

0

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

Mike2025

8 months ago

It's been disputed. You need to wait for the final result. Obviously, it's expected to resolve to yes.

1

ncap

8 months ago

Why is ,,Yes" even on nearly 100%, is the decision already made (real question)?

Caroline Ellison prison time?

Mike2025

8 months ago

The bet is on sentenced not time actually spent in jail. Rule is quite clear.

0

Eridpnc

8 months ago

"sentenced to spend in custody of a jail" is not time served.

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Because if it was 50-50, yes odds wouldn't be 99.9c. They're not going to toss a coin to decide.

0

Phoenix777

8 months ago

there is 50/50 chance to win with NO that doesn't cost almost anything, I do not understand why aren't players buying it fast?

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Trump just logged on. Tweet 20 incoming.

0

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 6-13?

Mike2025

8 months ago

53 mins left. Still on 234.

0

AmorFati

8 months ago

Last 100 mins left.. Will he do something??

Donald Trump # of tweets Sept 6-13?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Looks like you've won.

0

James.M

8 months ago

I don't expect this coming... But insurance save me

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 6-13?

Mike2025

8 months ago

234 tweets with 2hrs 15mins left. 225-249 looks safe.

1

Solana above $130 on September 13?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Agree.

0

larrybtc

8 months ago

No has great risk to reward here

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Because it's not 50-50.

0

Phoenix777

8 months ago

there is 50/50 chance to win with NO that doesn't cost almost anything, I do not understand why aren't players buying it fast?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Buy 2-2.4 while you still have a chance. Thank me later.

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Two more coming, both +5 Harris. That will make lead 2.0.

0

BabyYoda12

8 months ago

Dont think any other poll coming, isnt it?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Yes, 90c seems too high for 1.5-1.9. It could easily end above or below.

0

432

8 months ago

can be everything.They could also take a pro trump poll or one with simply harris +1 and it would also go down to 1.4.Everything is possible at this stage

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Agree, but my point is that 3c is better odds than the actual probability. And that's how you win over the long term.

0

432

8 months ago

can be everything.They could also take a pro trump poll or one with simply harris +1 and it would also go down to 1.4.Everything is possible at this stage

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Last 2 pols are +5 Harris. If we get another 2 like that today and the bottom 2 get dropped, this market will resolve as 2.0-2.4. Maybe worth at bet at 4c

1

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Who is Harry?

1

habit

8 months ago

i don't like harrys

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

He sounds like he has ADHD.

0

BallzToTheWalz

8 months ago

some1 just dumped 5k of 1-1.4 and bought 5k+ of 1.5-1.9 .... wtf do they know that we dont?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

A new poll of +1 Harris will drop this to 1.4. It's currently 1.46, so rounded up to 1.5.

0

ekimika

8 months ago

i believe no removals will change this, only a new trump poll

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

No hope of anyone falling for your obvious scam.

0

Eridpnc

8 months ago

hey indomania, I heard that you earned 5k off of some trading advice that someone else gave you, but you didn't tip any money when we asked you. I guess you thought you would do well on your own. Well, if it ever stops working out, just know that you can get some good advice once you tip!

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

It's currently 1.46, so very easy to drop to 1.4 with one poll of +1. I haven't bet because it's not clear when polls are added and removed.

0

BrandonThought

8 months ago

was not expecting that, 1.5 it is

Will there be another debate?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Harris already agreed to Fox.

0

DerSchwarzeKanal

8 months ago

'Trump Says He's 'Less Inclined' to Debate Harris Again'

U.S. Recession in 2024?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Most don't think that deeply.

0

oiram18

8 months ago

There literally is a market for Q3 decline that gives a 3% chance of GDP reduction and yet this market puts the chance of 2 consecutive negative quarters higher than that…

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

8 months ago

I hope you win the Brighton bet. Would be great to have a different winner.

1

Arbiter-of-Truth

8 months ago

Needs to be a relegation market

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

8 months ago

So why don't you place a bet?

0

DT24

8 months ago

Liverpool will win 20th league title.

Premier League Winner

Mike2025

8 months ago

Not enough liquidity.

0

Arbiter-of-Truth

8 months ago

Needs to be a relegation market

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Yes it's absurd. Should be 0%.

0

CR7SIU

8 months ago

Trump at 6c is absurd. I dont think the polls can salvage kamala this time. Still voting for 😎😎

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Mike2025

8 months ago

If neither poll companyreleases a poll, it will be 50-50. Some risk for those buying 99c.

1

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Mike2025

8 months ago

That's your problem. You're better like a 5 year old that doesn't know whatthey're doing.

0

9rj59j

8 months ago

Forget manipulation, even a 5-year-old could understand that Trump would win.

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Yes, they'll go to zero. The winner always goes to $1.

0

9rj59j

8 months ago

If Kamala becomes 100%, will the Trump shares I bought from 6u be 0 dollars? someone help? my first time bro

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Kamala. Pretty obvious.

0

9rj59j

8 months ago

how to learn who is winner ?

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Mike2025

8 months ago

You lost.

1

iamthemaulik

8 months ago

trump won

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Mike2025

8 months ago

You're such a loser. 6c was awful odds.

0

CR7SIU

8 months ago

Trump at 6c is fucking value. Even if you vote skamala. Kids hedge your bets don’t be retarded like her

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Indeed, that's how they make money.

0

PredictivePidgeon

8 months ago

It’s being pumped by whales rn, 50 pence and other whales bought in early to flip it right now, has nothing to do with debate

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Mike2025

8 months ago

If yiu think that's true, why aren't you taking the free money?

0

Factual

8 months ago

The fact that this is only 62 percent proves how out of touch this site is. Harris is leading every other betting market.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Mike2025

8 months ago

People aren't predicting. They're betting to win money.

0

BasilTheRat

8 months ago

the existence of markets like this destroy any predictive value the election winner market might have

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Too easy to manipulate so I'm staying out of this one.

0

Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?

Mike2025

8 months ago

It's his model, so his call.

0

just.some.guy

8 months ago

He can't make a bad call. The model itself produces the pick and that's a stats based, automated system.

Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?

Mike2025

8 months ago

What does the latest newsletter say? I'm not gonna pay to read it.

2

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Trump is behind. What lead are you talking about?

0

addicts

8 months ago

I think no on trump lead is safe...

How many viewers will the debate get?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Debate has been cancelled so all bets resolve as no.

0

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Nope. Musk owners the biggest media company.

0

Hyrtoi

8 months ago

maybe because all the media belongs to the Kamala team?)))

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Why are you making such a small bet if you're so sure?

0

Goyabean

8 months ago

Must be a lot of "woke" bettors here. How in the world can anyone dream of Kommie kamala wining a debate vs Trump? Shes been trampled by far less, he has ammunition for days because she has literally done not one good thing, even CNN has turned on her because every other word is a lie. There is a reason why she avoids speaking to press at all costs and there is also a reason why they are giving her a desk with notes. Even with the help of biased moderators and questions in advance she will be stuck with that same dumb look Biden had when Trump demolishes her.

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Lol. Farage can't win becuase he can't even be in the race

1

VibesGreaterRules

10 months ago

This is a fake negative risk market. At some point they are likely to add additional options, and possibly an "other" option. This will probably cause prices to generally fall.

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Mike2025

8 months ago

I have a buy order for Cleverly at 8c if anyone wants to match it.

0

2024 September hottest on record?

Mike2025

8 months ago

Why?

0

SusanWarren,HR

8 months ago

These markets honestly just make me depressed.

Most gold medals at 2024 Paralympics?

Mike2025

8 months ago

The point is that you can get free money.

2

sigh

8 months ago

whats the point of this market lmaoo

Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?

Mike2025

9 months ago

If data says 95% and Polymarket shows 96%, the bet is not worth it.

0

Wisdomtime

9 months ago

95% according to latest data -- https://www.carbonbrief.org/state-of-the-climate-2024-now-very-likely-to-be-warmest-year-on-record/

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Twat.

0

n/a

9 months ago

Get REKT Commies

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Yes. I hope it's added here.

1

Punter369

9 months ago

Time to get Paralympics started?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

In 2028, I'm betting everything on China. Look at last few Olympics. US is going down and China is going up. The final embarassment will be China winning on US soil.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

No.

0

rationalpositiveev

9 months ago

We can resolve all the events now?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

You're too scared to bet. Goodbye.

0

0x29c21FD916690b7044f864E782EaEF02Bb64Fb6d-1723389717734

9 months ago

I don't want to play this shit polymarket any more....

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

It's only shit because you're a loser. So easy to make money here but you can't. No use blaming others. It's your fault.

0

Scott8153

9 months ago

USA wins against France and the refs. I made a small gain but fuck gambling and the bullshit that can occur

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China is a capitalist country. Stop listening to American propaganda.

2

BlackSky123

9 months ago

They are about to win in 54.7 seconds. Cry more communist scum.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Looks like US have won it. It was a fun, and profitable, Olympics. Let's do it again.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China will beat US in 2028 on American soil.

0

Polyzi

9 months ago

Ill never believe Chinese can win over US. So I bet US!

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

We couldn't have asked for a more exciting end to the Olympics. Awesome.

2

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

All over for the US. Defeated by France and China.

1

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Come on France, China.

1

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Was

0

tenglamu

9 months ago

If US fall the world with fall with it, US is only true superpower

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China good value for money here.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

It's sad how much you've fallen for silly propaganda. It won't stop the US falling behind.

0

tenglamu

9 months ago

Unfortunately even us win this round us gold medal will only tie to ccp virus

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

You listen to too much propaganda.

1

tenglamu

9 months ago

Oh my god the Wuhan ccp virus is going to win

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Americans starting to realize that they're not so great after all. It's a hard ill to swallow.

1

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

I'm hearing of many heart attacks among Americans that thought they would beat China. The stress is kiling them. Come on France.

4

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

They already are. You're dumb if you don't realize how far ahead of the US China is. Go visit and see for yourself. Don't fall for all the American propaganda.

1

tomn

9 months ago

Chinese people can't think for themselves I wish them luck in becoming the next "superpower"

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Correction: they think they're great. It's a general problem with Americans - they're not as good as they think they are. Even the men almost lost to Serbia.

0

lihpare

9 months ago

US players have great talent but are too lazy and lacks preparation.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Quick, bet on France.

0

diddy

9 months ago

I will have heart attack

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

This is great. Come on France.

0

0x8D698FF2D1E90253CA3227564bAFD2e2ced99dDB-1723230400794

9 months ago

This is insane

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

This is funny. China beating the US. More proof that the decline of the US continues in all areas.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

This is their last chance.

1

TheGuru

9 months ago

The womens basketball is the last event USA can get a gold medal in right?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Lol. There aren't any.

3

BrokenIKey

9 months ago

No. But that's the one many assumed he US would have locked. There still are more competitions with strong Americans.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

If you think that, why are you betting against US?

0

Michael2024

9 months ago

france will tire out

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

France are more up for it. Best time to beat the US. Don't underestimate them.

0

FamilyCapital

9 months ago

France is going to be tired faster than USA, for me is still 90% for USA win

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Better than being too scared to bet. All talk, no action.

0

Factual

9 months ago

Assumptions are like assholes. If you assumed the US would beat France, you are one of many assholes on this site.

Women's Basketball Winner

Mike2025

9 months ago

Yes, I worry it will be boring here after the Olympics.

0

BrokenIKey

9 months ago

both bets gonna win :) using my polymarket hedge scrapes to do that as well. my us shares elsewhere will get transplanted here. hope polymarket stays that fun after the olympics. those election bets are moving way too slowly and it's too us centric despite you us folks heoretically not even being allowed here :D

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Wecome back to the game China.

9

·

Liked by AugustoPin..., tsybka and 7 others

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Glad i sold my US shares earlier. Just placed a small bet on France but limit not met yet.

0

Women's Basketball Winner

Mike2025

9 months ago

Not looking too good for US so far. I might have a cheeky bet on France.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

If gold medal numbers are tied, all medals will be cancelledand Olympics will be replayed starting next weekend. Just for those that keep asking.

4

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Ha ha. Yes.

0

Gena🐊

9 months ago

If they tie someone who is not illiterate will read the rules and decide

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Hindsight.

0

jsoul7654

9 months ago

After watching that with Valente being clearly superior to the field, and with her winning everything the past three years, the pre event odds seem really strange to me

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Sore loser. Only a loser would say that.

1

PolyPredictor

9 months ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if China wins more gold medals than any other country at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". People's Republic of China and Hong Kong, China both seem to fit that bill

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Of course it is. It's now the same event.

0

diddy

9 months ago

Notice how the odds for France vs USA and here are the same, it is in sync

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Sold my US shares. 7 wins out of 7 for me here. Up 17% in my first 2 weeks. What next?

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US down in wrestling so far. It's all on omnium.

1

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

A type of food.

0

SeniorLaghetto

9 months ago

what in omnium?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Wrestling started.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Wrestling and omnium is 2.

0

Michael2024

9 months ago

there is ust one gold possibility, not two

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Yes. If someone will buy them.

0

0x042aC1248456996a05A3C571FF006969ba0365A8-1723372425277

9 months ago

Can I sell my shares before it ends

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

They only need two. So sure because in gold spotin omnium and gold guaranteed in basketball.

0

luyao

9 months ago

why people so sure that US would get three medals...

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Likely not definite. Upsets happen.

0

factman

9 months ago

well, volleyball is definitely an Italian win at this point IMO

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

2 golds is omnium and wrestling. Yes, they'll probably lose volleyball. Irrelevant.

0

Michael2024

9 months ago

theyre losing volleyball

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Why is it false?

0

Michael2024

9 months ago

this is false

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Last bronze medal match before wrestling final. US coulld get 2 golds in next 30 mins.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

90c is excellent oddsconsidering basketball an almost certainty, US ahead after 3/4 of omnium, favorites in wrestling and in volleyball final. It's like free money.

2

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

It's already cheap considering US will get another 2-4 golds.

0

diddy

9 months ago

Chiana gold weightlifting, 40, now please make USA YES cheap

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China wins weighlifting.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Read the rules. US wins.

0

Mark999

9 months ago

What if I bet on yes and both countries end up with the same number of gold medals?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Why are the China betters so quiet?

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

You don't understand odds and probabilities.

0

x.com/polymarketbet

9 months ago

Overpriced at the moment. Valente hasn't even won yet. Even if Valente wins, need to win basketball

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Buttons are not broken. You can't reply when the comment was to a specific person that's not you.

0

factman

9 months ago

can't reply due to reply buttons being broken as always, but what's the difference between the two weightlifting types?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Valente has won unless she falls off her bike.

0

qlemxis

9 months ago

USA 90% means that Valente winning Gold is being priced in as 2 in 3 odds right now (assuming Wrestling 0.50 and Volleyball 0.30 haven't chance)

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Close your bet while you still have a chance.

1

kilo-ftd

9 months ago

li wenwen about to end the USA's whole career

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Who cares?

0

diddy

9 months ago

USA loses weightlifting :(

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

See https://www.eurosport.com/cycling-track/olympic-games-paris-2024/2024/omnium-track-cycling-medal-races-time-date-schedule_sto20018907/story.shtml

0

qlemxis

9 months ago

Valente must be doing well during race 2 and putting it further out of reach? I don't understand the event, but believe the betting action

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Here's a good explanation... https://www.eurosport.com/cycling-track/olympic-games-paris-2024/2024/omnium-track-cycling-medal-races-time-date-schedule_sto20018907/story.shtml

1

factman

9 months ago

for those watching omnium - can you explain please how it works?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US still ahead after 2/4 omnium races. Looking good.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

This is sport not geopolitics. It's clear to everyone except you.

0

0xE42c9d2ef

9 months ago

Polymarket needs to stop writing these trash rules it's really unacceptable that they keep doing this after the Venezuela fiasco.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

What's wrong with the rules for most golds?

2

0xE42c9d2ef

9 months ago

Polymarket needs to stop writing these trash rules it's really unacceptable that they keep doing this after the Venezuela fiasco.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

The scoring is very weird.

0

jsoul7654

9 months ago

Valente won the first race. I have no idea how the scoring works though

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

When things are more certain, US will be 98%.

0

diddy

9 months ago

I am getting ready to buy when things get more certain and clear :) and cheaper

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US going to win omnium and then it's all over.

0

diddy

9 months ago

I am getting ready to buy when things get more certain and clear :) and cheaper

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Exactly the way to calculate it. But US are now in gold position of cycling after first race of 4.

0

Misty-nep

9 months ago

Cycling+Wrestling+Volleyball, 0.7*0.5*0.7=24.5%, lost all three races. The market is reasonable. 

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

I've been US all along but did buy China at 25 and sold at 53. Nice.

0

ThatGuyInTheGlass

9 months ago

AMA: I've switched sides three times (buying the top, selling the bottom - lol) in the last 24 hours. Now I'm all in US Y due to the tie scenario.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US in gold position 8n omnium after first race of 4. Looking good. It's why US is up to 80%.

4

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

It's already started but 8 bouts before the US final.

0

FamilyCapital

9 months ago

when wrestling start?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

I think he means 80% chance of US getting most golds. Betting shows around 75%. Chance if winning wrestling is around 55% according to the betting.

0

diddy

9 months ago

You literally make up numbers, where did you get that 80% from? It's 36%, and do you even know what a landslide victory is?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US is favorite to win though.

0

0xE42c9d2ef

9 months ago

Bias answer, do you even know who her opponent is? Literally the world champion

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Agree. If US win wrestling, it's all over. If they lose, it's 50-50. If they look like losing wrestling, I'll close my bet quickly.

0

FamilyCapital

9 months ago

the CHN buy oportunity is during wrestling, the USA buy opportunity is after CHN get gm one and only if USA lost wrestling, if they win wrestling i see USA 98c, not my type of bet

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Yes, it's after weighlifting. It's also after volleyball. Betting shows US as favorites for wrestling but 2nd fav for omnium.

1

FamilyCapital

9 months ago

for USA real option in my humble opinion is Omnium, which I some how missed to put in my excel for days. Do I understand right, that omnium final stage will be after end of Weightlifting?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

No. They have to win one gold out of 3 and have a 75% probability of doing that.

0

diddy

9 months ago

For USA to win, they have to over-perform at the 3 sports they aren't favourites. This looks good for China. If they lose at first one, this stock will probably go 40-50% on China YES, and continue to climb if they continue to not to win.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

They like to throw money way. It's astounding ho2 much they betted on something that had zero chance of happening.

0

werfukced

9 months ago

can someone explain why do people still have bets on other countries here? tf

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

The US will win the bet if it's a tie.

0

0xd34779ACFD925e6Dc51E2B873D532b0c7659113A-1721535010373

9 months ago

If USA and China tie on gold count, what does it resolve to?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

So, 3 x 30% chances menas US have 65% chance of winning one of them. That's why betting favors the US.

0

Mike2025

9 months ago

If wrestling is only 30% chance, it's thesame as volleyball and omnium

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

If wrestling is only 30% chance, it's thesame as volleyball and omnium

0

FamilyCapital

9 months ago

I do not believe in wrestling of USA, i give no more than 30%... I see many see her as favorite, well than you can vote for JPN in 3d most gold medals

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

He's helping others make money.

2

GoblinMilk

9 months ago

bro why did you sell at 75c when you bought at 94. US will pump a bit right before wrestling

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Lost.

0

qlemxis

9 months ago

Could be a big opportunity for Snyder (the USA M wrestler). Top seed goes down in other Semi -- if he goes through, USA would be odds-on favorite in tomorrow's final? Extra chance to catch China

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Hope he wins but currently losing.

0

qlemxis

9 months ago

Could be a big opportunity for Snyder (the USA M wrestler). Top seed goes down in other Semi -- if he goes through, USA would be odds-on favorite in tomorrow's final? Extra chance to catch China

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Winning gold in the soccer at the moment. Basketball and relays to come later.

0

ColonoGuy

9 months ago

hey USA what are You doing????

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US are favorites, so probably nothing lost.

0

Iamjamesv

9 months ago

A lot of US betters are going to lose money

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

The US is already finished, whoever wins. Neither candidate plans to solve the issues.

0

Culture

9 months ago

I know what the left is and believe me the best option you have is Trump

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Yes, you need to know the rules if you're betting. You bet to win. A tie means US wins the bet.

0

Iamjamesv

9 months ago

The fact that American betters are hoping for a "draw" and no a "win" in gold medals while China could still get a bigger number. Shows all you need to know to bet in this market.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Soccer gold on the way. Watch those odds swing back to the US.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

You're saying US have to win all 22 events left. They only need 6 or 7 golds and most are guaranteed. Basketball and relay is 4 in the bag. Soccer, breaking, voleyball all great chances.

0

diddy

9 months ago

lol people buy USA, for USA to stand a chance at this point, China has to lose every gold competition, and USA win every

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

That's not true at all.

0

diddy

9 months ago

lol people buy USA, for USA to stand a chance at this point, China has to lose every gold competition, and USA win every

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Nice.

0

0xE42c9d2ef

9 months ago

vacation with the polymarket gains

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

What are we all going to do once the Olympics end?

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Yes, China are slight favorites right now but it's far from over.

0

KingofRingx3

9 months ago

37 vs 33 rn, looks like china got this

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Those backing China always forget that US medals come mostly later in the day.

0

KingofRingx3

9 months ago

37 vs 33 rn, looks like china got this

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

And US should get 2 basketball, 2 relay, volleyball, breaking, soccer. That will give them 40

1

PolyPredictor

9 months ago

39 is essentially gaurenteed for China. 40 is very likely and 41+ is on the table with any surprises

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Very close? They're already ahead. No one trusts the US any more.

0

Culture

9 months ago

There is a reality that Americans have not seen because they have been too busy changing genders. The world increasingly prefers Asian hegemony, specifically China. I don't like that because I'm pro pro-American, but I wonder what they will do to regain global hegemony because the Chinese are very, very close to overtaking the Americans.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China already won 3-2 an hour or two ago.

0

FamilyCapital

9 months ago

definitely 3:0, my mom teached me 2 things: 1)don't play with fire, 2) don't play table tennis against chinese

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

The past is over. The future has arrived.

0

0xD11e

9 months ago

America has beaten China many times.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Spot on.

0

Gena🐊

9 months ago

In USA there is even less free market than in China. People getting checks from the state in the mail and a big chunk of the population getting food stamps. The FED printing like there is no tomorrow and protectionism because national industries cannot compete internationally.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US is already more communist than China. You've fallen for the American propaganda. You'd be shocked if you visited a city like Shanghai. Makes the US look 3rd world. Seriously.

1

jXnxnsjakakskxndnsk

9 months ago

The only way for America to beat Communist China is for America to become Communist America wich they never.🇨🇳🇨🇳🇨🇳

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

But China isn't a communist country. It's more capitalist than the US.

0

mango-lassi

9 months ago

As a tribute to China's victory, USA will adopt communism by electing Kamala

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Exactly. Most discount what's coming next.

0

shouldntbhere

9 months ago

USA NO sentiment might top in the next couple of hours, which would give good chance to buy and sell later today when track + basketball golds are "unlocked". buying at ~35c. and selling at 50-55c.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Moat was a mistype but it got submitted before I could correct it.

1

Iamjamesv

9 months ago

China is winning and beating the United States in all fronts at this point, they're even getting to be a bigger world superpower than United States in the political scene as well

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Agree. Most Americans still in denial.

1

Iamjamesv

9 months ago

China is winning and beating the United States in all fronts at this point, they're even getting to be a bigger world superpower than United States in the political scene as well

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Agree. Moat

0

Iamjamesv

9 months ago

China is winning and beating the United States in all fronts at this point, they're even getting to be a bigger world superpower than United States in the political scene as well

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Those big players don't panic. As long as odds are in your favor, you'll win in the long run. They play to win not like most that play based on emotions.

0

ssha5140

9 months ago

Yesterday I saw a USA bag holder who had bought 186k shares. I can't imagine the panic he must be feeling (it must be a he, as only men are stupid enough to gamble this much)

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

It's close but US still has a slight edge beacuse they'll win with a tie.

2

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China about to win Diving gold. That puts them 4 ahead of US. So, US need 2 basketball golds, 2 relay golds to catch up. Add in soccer gold to go 1 up. Then depends on what else US or China can get.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China on the way up. US on the way down. Most Americans still in denial. Not only Olympics.

0

Culture

9 months ago

Damn Chinese I wish an earthquake would make them shit and disappear from the earth always giving trouble to lose but I know they will.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

They are losing 2-1 right now.

0

diddy

9 months ago

Chiana wins against Japan in women table tennis

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Japan leading 2-1. China could lose this. Then US likely get most golds.

0

BrokenIKey

9 months ago

why do ya'll actually think china table tennis is locked? the japanese team is strong as heck

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Well, that's how you make money.

0

ootharju

9 months ago

Lmao USA no and China Yes holders take profit soon before the track events and bball hit

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China also in top spot in Rhythmic Gymnastics. Another gold coming?

1

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

And Women's soccer probably.

1

Pxman1015

9 months ago

The US have four more or less guaranteed medals, 2 basketball finals and 2 4x400m, you could argue the men’s 4x400 could be close, but the women’s one could be chasing the world record.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

I'd say China has 3 guaranteed, golf very close as well.

0

FamilyCapital

9 months ago

china have 2 Gold almost guarantee, and for 2 more they have to fight. USA have 2 guarantee, but 3 to fight for. USA is overpriced in my opinion.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US overpriced because mostly Americans betting here

0

FamilyCapital

9 months ago

china have 2 Gold almost guarantee, and for 2 more they have to fight. USA have 2 guarantee, but 3 to fight for. USA is overpriced in my opinion.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

She's -4, US is +1. As US play more holes they get further behind.

0

Lurker500

9 months ago

I think wrestling was factored in. As for golf, Yin from China appears to have played more holes so far today versus the other competitors near the top. It would stand to reason her score would improve first before the other main rivals (Japan, USA, Swiss)

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Yes. And probably in the golf as well.

0

FamilyCapital

9 months ago

gold for china at men's 102kg?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China wins gold in 102kg weighlifting and is in 2nd place in golf and looks like winning. Tough for US to come back from that with China almost certain to get another 2 golds later. That woukd put them 4 up.

2

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US have an easier path to more medals on last 2 days. Maybe 5-3 or 6-4. Messup 2 of those and US still wins the bet.

0

Pxman1015

9 months ago

China have a very straightforward path to 39, US has to 37, if it’s going to be a draw it’ll be 39-39.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Can't see why they'd do that.

0

GoblinMilk

9 months ago

Europeans are about to wake up and they'll probably pump china

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Your algo is wrong.

0

GoblinMilk

9 months ago

I don't think we'll see the US go up at all from here until the medal events start tomorrow. My algorithim is saying US will drop to sub 78 over the next 5-8 hours

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

They're just scalping short term.

0

GoblinMilk

9 months ago

all of the trades over $1k have been selling Y for US or N for china. If I was a US Y whale i'd be worried.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

My prediction is US 38-39, China 37-38. US have the advantage but could easily mess it up.

1

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Another gold for China. All square at the moment. Will be close but I think US will win it.

1

2024 July hottest on record?

Mike2025

9 months ago

That's a terrible reason to buy.

1

cockbrain

9 months ago

buying no because i really hope not

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

If you think it's so close, China is underpriced. So why not take the bet? Genuinely interested.

0

lihpare

9 months ago

Chances of China reaching 38 is much higher than you think. Despite Shi Zhiyong disappointed the team, he is listed as an upside to 36 baseline estimates. Any good luck will result in 38-39 for CN.

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

Mike2025

9 months ago

He's agreed to ABC. He's weak now so has caved.

0

BrandonThought

9 months ago

they're not going to debate, she wants ABC and he wants FOX. lol

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

You can't lose a sure medal. If they lost, it wasn't sure. No medal is sure.

0

ShowBaer

9 months ago

USA just lost 2 sure medals!

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

You can't lose a certain gold. If they lost, it wasn't certain.

0

TheOneB

9 months ago

china making a absolute comeback and USA losing multiple certain golds, amazing

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Using a random number generator won't work because the results aren't random. Your methodology is seriously flawed.

0

DonaldinhoTrumpito

9 months ago

This morning/afternoon has been kind for China so far, with the US missing on speed climbing and women shot put where they had ~40% chance of gold. However China lost in women taekwondo -57kg, which was a 40% chance as well, and the US is climbing in women's golf. Current situation : out of 1 million simulations, the US wins 978,391 times. I wish I could buy more :(

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

You can't get -1 medals.

0

n/a

9 months ago

-1 USA Women’s shot put. Chase Jackson is gone

Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia

Mike2025

9 months ago

Someone has to win.

1

JKCRYPTO

9 months ago

This is a match with no chance of winning

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

You lost. Accept it. If you don't understand the rules, don't bet.

1

PolyPredictor

9 months ago

Think its a very good point that Hong Kong and others that have China in their names should count as well. Seems pretty clear cut

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Loser excuses. Read the rules properly.

1

PolyPredictor

9 months ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States of America wins more gold medals than any other country at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pretty clear that the country of China's medals would include Taiwan and hong kong

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China should get around 35 golds. Plenty more to go. US should get around 38.

0

Culture

9 months ago

China is already reaching its limit in terms of gold medals, while the United States has a higher projection in terms of gold medals to be won.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Or be grateful you can still get what you think are great odds on China.

0

ssha5140

9 months ago

USA track and field is underperforming. Lyles was awful in the heats, and the US just whiffed the 4x400 and 100m Women's race. This market should be 50/50, only silvers and bronze coming up for US

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Offer 50% on US and I'll take it. Put your money where your mouth is. No money = all talk.

0

ssha5140

9 months ago

USA track and field is underperforming. Lyles was awful in the heats, and the US just whiffed the 4x400 and 100m Women's race. This market should be 50/50, only silvers and bronze coming up for US

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Close the bet if you're sweating.

0

SmartG

9 months ago

US underperform in track & fields, what happened? China still have more free medals to come in table tennis and diving, I'm sweating now

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

16-11 to China but US might win 3 or so more golds today.

1

KingofRingx3

9 months ago

looks like china is winning gold in TENNIS - WOMEN'S SINGLES

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

China 15 - 11 US

3

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Yes, surprises happen but not really in a competition like the Olympics.

0

bali

9 months ago

Hello

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

100K on GB? Really? Might come 4th.

0

bali

9 months ago

Hello

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US now has 10 - just won Skeet Men's Final.

1

jXnxnsjakakskxndnsk

9 months ago

China now leading with 14 gold medals while US has 9.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

US takes gold and silver in Skeet Men's Final.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

The only possible tie is between China and the US. The latter will win that because they have more medals

0

bali

9 months ago

France and Australia are KILLING it. Remember in case of a tie with USA, both wins. In case of a tie with China, Australia wins! In case of a tie between USA and China, China wins! Therefore USA is overpriced!

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

I'd like that as well but most here seem to be Americans. I'm not sure it would work very well.

0

TheGuru

9 months ago

This isn't related to this market but can someone make a market for the English Premier League? Would be cool to predict who would win that

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

It's starting to look bad for the US. They seem over-confident, as do all Americans. They refuse to believe that China is taking over in many areas, not just sport.

1

mango-lassi

9 months ago

China - 11, US - 5

What price will $BTC reach in July?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Why would you bet yes while riding a bike? But a warning message would be useful. I have mine set to limit for all bets.

0

UnofficialDonaldTrump

9 months ago

I was on bike, and with mobile in my hands placed a Yes 75K market order for 32K shares. It finished all order books averaging at 2c. I am broke! I wish there was a warning when executing at Market, I'd have cancelled :(

What price will $BTC reach in July?

Mike2025

9 months ago

No one has disputed it.

0

Zarshka

9 months ago

Why someone disputed no ? Are you retarded sir ?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

But outperporm in BMX to get gold.

0

SmartG

9 months ago

This is crazy, China underperform in swimming and gymnastics, gonna have less than 30 gold

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

@Bali Those yiu mentioned won't be anywherenear the top, apart from China. There's a long way to go .

0

Punter369

9 months ago

China ain't winning most gold anymore... Fumbled artistic gym (M), 100m breast (M&F), 10m mixed pistol, 10m air rifle (W), 100m free (qualification looks bad, gonna see semis tonight), 200m (breast - worrying after 100m breast); if swimming picks up, there might be a shot but closed my position in China. Bearish

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Bookies didn't forget. The people placing bets probably don't even think ahead

0

Punter369

9 months ago

Crazy... bookmakers forgot about US track and field; I did switch camp... China swimming didn't do well too

Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Already hit 70k.

0

Naturalnoob

10 months ago

Market will resolve 50-50. Does it mean if I buy at 0.25, it will settle at 0.5 resulting in me doubling my bet? Thanks.

Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Just hit 70k.

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Can you keep us updated on USA and China medal wins compared to forecasts?

0

Punter369

9 months ago

Predicted Gold by SI: Eli Dershwitz (U.S.); Eventual Winner was Oh Sang-uk (South Korea)... so one down in the gold for Team USA :)

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

It's interesting that some people bet on a certain loss.

0

Baba69

9 months ago

Other

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Betting shows they should get 40.

0

Panzwalizka

9 months ago

USA will get 31 golds

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

Mike2025

9 months ago

My first Polymarket bet was 125 on US.

0

North Carolina Presidential Election Winner

Mike2025

9 months ago

Why not make money from it if it's so obvious?

1

Cismaxxing

1 year ago

This ones in the bag for biden, ridiculous how his odds here are only at 30 percent. Most conservative biased betting site in existence

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Mike2025

9 months ago

That counts according to the rules above.

0

sdiff123

10 months ago

what if someone just tests a nuke in the dessert, like NK

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Should be 1% or lower.

1

MIKEXE

10 months ago

war in the Middle East, war in Ukraine, tension between Cina and Taiwan... 12% if nuclear weapon is detonate? are you kidding me?

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Mike2025

9 months ago

What are you hedging against?

0

Orakel

10 months ago

This is a hedge

Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Could be dead from accident not medical condition. The rules are too vague

0

Wojtek

9 months ago

being dead is the most serious medical condition out there

Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?

Mike2025

9 months ago

Don't bet on them if they're ambiguous.

0

MichaelFowlie

9 months ago

Polymarket really needs to do something about these ambiguous markets.