#31
Rank
513
Comments
216
Likes Received
19
Likes Given
ItCantBeTrollBoy
7 hours ago
WTH are you talking about? Cabal...LOL
Mountainman
21 hours ago
So funny watching members of the scamming cabal desperately trying to suppress price. One tweet away from their positions going to zero. It's going to be a party in this comment section. Can not wait. Tik Tok!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
16 hours ago
Is anyone going to dispute this? The clock is about to run out. Getting nervous.
JakeAirdropFarm
17 hours ago
i will post the 750 USDC bond for china if someone gives me timestamps, I'm trying to transcribe the video but no luck
ItCantBeTrollBoy
16 hours ago
Nice. Less than 30 min left to dispute.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
Should I dispute China No or let someone else do it?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
16 hours ago
Your voice to text probably doesn't pick it up because he says "Gyna".
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
Should I dispute China No or let someone else do it?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
I would, but I'm on the road and can't access my external wallet from here. Not sure I can make it back home in time.
BlueSky123
17 hours ago
Do it yourself.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
Should I dispute China No or let someone else do it?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
You must be using different feeds.
JakeAirdropFarm
17 hours ago
i will post the 750 USDC bond for china if someone gives me timestamps, I'm trying to transcribe the video but no luck
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
That was your computer skipping.
BlueSky123
17 hours ago
I got China 172x, it was crazy, he started saying it over and over and over as quickly as possible, I think he did too many drugs!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
C'mon. Nobody has 12.
RaidsAreNotInvasions
17 hours ago
I got China 12x idk about you guys
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
Huh? Nobody has 8x. It's either 9 or 10 (I've seen one 11).
rozi
17 hours ago
Kamala x31, China x8, Border x11. Good night!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
I didn't notate the timestamps unfortunately. I just wanted to make sure my count was correct.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
I have China 10x
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
Just counted again.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
I have China 10x
ItCantBeTrollBoy
17 hours ago
I have China 10x
ItCantBeTrollBoy
18 hours ago
China No has been proposed if anyone wants to dispute it.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
18 hours ago
Why aren't you doing it?
BlueSky123
18 hours ago
If anyone wants a free $250, propose China no. You will get the dispute money when that inevitably happens.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
18 hours ago
I'm not looking to scam anything. I'm simply betting on them running out of time. Maybe I'm wrong. That's what makes this stuff so fun!
Mountainman
21 hours ago
So funny watching members of the scamming cabal desperately trying to suppress price. One tweet away from their positions going to zero. It's going to be a party in this comment section. Can not wait. Tik Tok!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
21 hours ago
If the token drops prior to election, then so be it and good game.
Mountainman
21 hours ago
So funny watching members of the scamming cabal desperately trying to suppress price. One tweet away from their positions going to zero. It's going to be a party in this comment section. Can not wait. Tik Tok!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
21 hours ago
LOL. That's why I asked because you commented after I bought No. You have no idea what you're talking about. I was high on Yes earlier. I'm not trying to suppress anyting. I'm buying where I think the value is.
Mountainman
21 hours ago
So funny watching members of the scamming cabal desperately trying to suppress price. One tweet away from their positions going to zero. It's going to be a party in this comment section. Can not wait. Tik Tok!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
21 hours ago
Which users is the scamming cabal comprised of?
Mountainman
21 hours ago
So funny watching members of the scamming cabal desperately trying to suppress price. One tweet away from their positions going to zero. It's going to be a party in this comment section. Can not wait. Tik Tok!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
How about some crystal meth for the home stretch?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Somebody get this man some ephedrine.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Sorry
n/a
1 day ago
who put up a 100k share limit order. chill
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
A backwards roll should count
UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts
1 day ago
Seems hard to do a backflip if you can’t jump.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
I’m at the gym right now.
XiJinPing
1 day ago
yes holders never worked out once in their lives
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Always read the rules.
n/a
1 day ago
i still dont really get it. is it whether he reaches the amount on his counter or if guiness accepts his run?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
"The primary resolution source for this market will be official video from IShowSpeed"
n/a
1 day ago
i still dont really get it. is it whether he reaches the amount on his counter or if guiness accepts his run?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
You got Len No right.
n/a
1 day ago
can't believe my strategy of copy trading people who seem like insiders failed me
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
You're assuming that it's going to be an unclear ending when the director has said it's not?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Do Other bettors understand what the UMA dispute process is like?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Dude, my radar was going off on this too. Earlier I posted screenshots of my coments from yesterday saying it might circle back around to Adam at the end. Oh well.
HaterzLoserz
1 day ago
Well, I had my thesis and went big, its what I do. May have been caught out by the signals coming from adam and samson, but we will see how its goes. lots of suspicious stuff with these fortune and forbes links imo, but we will see.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
But Multiple is also Other...
Bepper
1 day ago
Since Cullen said it's not going to be multiple whoever loaded up 1 MIL on multiple is mana from heaven. Thanks who ever you are!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
No
n/a
1 day ago
Is the documentary out already?!!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Okay, but we aren't betting on who Satoshi actually is here.
Hank11
1 day ago
Go and read nicks blog, the post from years ago. The language is near identical to that of the btc whitepaper.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
@blasemerch Peter Todd doesn't have to admit to it in order for him to resolve Yes.
Justifax
1 day ago
Though, it'd be super super fitting if the teaser to this doc was a hilarious and massive rug fueled by a fake forbes article. Performance art, let's call it..
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
That means nothing. There are obviously many more than that in the doc. They haven't put a full cast list on IMDB yet. This is probably from a user.
abdendriel
1 day ago
Oh shit check out the cast on IMDB. Only a few ppl… and Peter Todd at the end. https://m.imdb.com/title/tt33600145/fullcredits/cast?ref_=m_ttfc_2
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Wouldn't he be the insider bullshit in that scenario?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
HaterzLoserz is gonna pocket 1mm tn and there's no amount of insider bullshit thats gonna stop him
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
No one involved with the documentary says that the suspect takes credit for being Satoshi. They only say that they confront him.
blasemerch
1 day ago
Nobody living would take credit for being satoshi. He's been anonymous all this time and is a literal trillionaire, he would not be safe if people knew.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
People won't remember some guy named Billy B anyways
Justifax
1 day ago
It's possible it's not Todd but if so Billy Brambough just took a serious hit to his career.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Why? They always bet huge on random shit.
popobet
1 day ago
So someone has the movie, but only 2 short clips leak? Sus, tho I admit @Anon1565 activity is more convincing
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
It could be controversial in the sense that the film starts off under the assumption that it isn't him and they're just sitting down for some background with him.
Justifax
1 day ago
The one problem is the 'controversial' clue. Would Adam really be 'controversial'?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Where did the director say THAT?
MaxShorter
1 day ago
BRB adding more funds to wallet, adam short is so easy. Director said its not him and everyone seem to be ignoring that
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Anyone here interested in doing a side bet on Peter Todd? I'd like to fade him.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Well, the purpose of screen testing is to see if they need to change anything basesd on audience feedback, so it's possible that they changed the ending to make it more conclusive.
Skippy-downunder
1 day ago
I screen tested this on behalf of Sircuit, contracted through HBO. The documentary filmmaker goes through an long list of possibilities and doesn't settle on anyone in partiuclar. However says it is most likely Zsabo in closing statements. I think 'other/multiple' wins technically, because it's not conclusive, but if there is ever gonna be a disputed market on Polymarket, it's this one. Might as well have a punt on the😄 mayhem that awaits
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
Just watched a screener DVD of this documentary. They point the finger at Donald Trump.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
I do expect them to say or at least heavily imply that someone is Satoshi. What I was saying was that the subject doesn't necessarily have to admit it.
arthurito
2 days ago
yea like do people really actually expect HBO to say "szabo is satoshi"? wouldn't that legit be a major risk of getting sued? it can potentially harm szabo a lot if they call him out satoshi like that
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
SCAM
MarilynMonroe
2 days ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TheDefiantNews/status/1843420090525725128
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
You're not necessarily bettig on who Satoshi actually is. You're betting on the story this documentary is going to tell.
Brainstormy
2 days ago
Nick szabo 33% lmao we live in a meme, there are plain facts that hes not satoshi how dumb yall are
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
He didn't say he knows it's Szabo, only that he's a main character so it's a possibility.
arthurito
2 days ago
if that was true why wouldn't you bet Yes on szabo?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
Curious, why didn't you put your money on something with a lower share price? For example, you say it's not Len, and his No shares are a lot cheaper then Adam's.
RoemerNewsCapital
2 days ago
I've already invested all the money I have available so it's fine to say this. This documentary had hundreds of staff working on it (literally hundreds), and a company outsourced for editing. My sister works for the company editing the documentary. It was done in parts (no one has access to the whole thing so we can't confirm the full narrative) but we can confirm the following: Szabo is a main Satoshi candidate, Hal was involved with Bitcoin early on, and it is not Adam, Len, or Paul. I was surprised that other insiders have not changed the market entirely yet but I guess it's hard to get access to enough capital and hard to use this UI anyway.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
Nobody said that the person he interviewed **admitted** to being Satoshi.
robottu
2 days ago
Nick Szabo has already denied creating Bitcoin several times, so why retract?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
Sorry, I can't lie and mislead people. That was obviously a joke. PolyMarket is not overturning this decision.
fhantombets
2 days ago
Its 8:05, why has the polymarket not resolevd?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
@mona.lisa Not unusual at all. Resolution on PolyMarket is always delayed by about an hour after UMA.
n/a
2 days ago
Apparently Polymarket is reviewing this market in light of the bogus UMA voting to resolve it in a way that is fair to the customers and according to the fine print of the market and based on the events that actually happened in an unbiased way. Protect your customer Polymarket, and resolve this market in a unbiased and fair way!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
Who told you this? PolyMarket hasn't communicated this on any public channel AFIAK. Don't get people's hopes up. They won't be overturning a decision which went through the agreed upon arbitration process and voted on twice.
n/a
2 days ago
Apparently Polymarket is reviewing this market in light of the bogus UMA voting to resolve it in a way that is fair to the customers and according to the fine print of the market and based on the events that actually happened in an unbiased way. Protect your customer Polymarket, and resolve this market in a unbiased and fair way!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
I heard they're overturning the decision.
fhantombets
2 days ago
Its 8:05, why has the polymarket not resolevd?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
He's already up there.
CRYPTU
2 days ago
put Isamu Kaneko up there
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
He's already in the list. Literally everyone in the world is already in the list. Look again.
CRYPTU
2 days ago
do i have to write to polymarket to get Isamu kaneko up there or how does one do that?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
This is wrong. (1) Two people could absolutely pose as one person, and (2) the documentary could equally present 2 different people as potential candidates.
Wacher
2 days ago
"Multiple" can't be valid result. Bitcoin creators can be more people than one, but Satoshi should be one. (His wallets are dorming)
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 days ago
He's already up there (Other bracket). It's a neg risk market, so they can't just add new brackets without breaking things.
CRYPTU
2 days ago
put Isamu Kaneko up there and i will bet $10000 on him please polymarket
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 days ago
Literally everyone is in this list.
AksV
3 days ago
The bitcoin creator is not even mentioned in above list. How can I add to the list?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 days ago
What a sore loser.
zynyz
3 days ago
https://forms.cftc.gov/Forms/Complaint/Screen1 1 min to fill out copy this: https://i.imgur.com/AJcz0UY.png The issue concerns how Polymarket resolves all of its markets, which are largely manipulated by UMA in ways that appear to favor profitability over fairness or accuracy. UMA's resolution process often leads to outcomes that do not reflect reality, with markets being resolved incorrectly. Polymarket is aware of this, as they have had to step in on several occasions to overturn resolutions or 50/50 refund markets due to widespread dissatisfaction and apparent manipulation. Polymarket is actively working on changing their protocols because they recognize that UMA's resolution process is a major issue that has led to customers being misled or scammed. This is not an isolated incident but a systemic problem, and despite their efforts to address it, many users are still being negatively impacted by the unreliable market resolutions.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 days ago
No, that is not possible. A No resolution has been clinched. "No" holders will be able to redeem their shares later this evening.
n/a
3 days ago
its imposible to redispute the result?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 days ago
Life savings? Who are you talking about? People should only be gambling with what they can afford to lose. That's not PolyMarket's problem.
ChromePixel
3 days ago
at least resolve it as 50/50, don't kill innocent people by stealing their fking life savings
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 days ago
They do it themselves when they have time. That's why it's a 24 hour window.
crow
3 days ago
do token holders choose when to reveal addresses or its randomly?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 days ago
Definitely No. They can re-commit during the previous commit phase.
n/a
3 days ago
Can token holders re-commit to a different side before revealing?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
6 days ago
Huh? You’re holding Yes shares. 50Pence supported Yes.
Mountainman
6 days ago
You're part of the scam in this market and many others. 0 Respect. Robbing people on rigged bets. Disgusting thief.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
6 days ago
@Kobafix Think about how the UMA voting process works with Schelling point. What you suggest has almost no chance of happening because each individual voter knows that the vast majority of their peers already voted down Yes for September.
shouldbealright
1 week ago
In the next 5 hours, the largest No whales are going to start offloading their positions. They will try to do so without moving the market too much, but once it starts and they realize what the other No holders are doing, it will go faster and faster
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
@TheGoober Because the proposal happened just before the dealine. "Too Early" means they didn't buy the Yes argument but couldn't vote No because there was a small amount of time remaining. The individual voters aren't going to change their votes to Yes because they know their peers already voted against Yes.
shouldbealright
1 week ago
In the next 5 hours, the largest No whales are going to start offloading their positions. They will try to do so without moving the market too much, but once it starts and they realize what the other No holders are doing, it will go faster and faster
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Yes, but "too early" in this case meant No because it was proposed just before the market deadline.
UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts
1 week ago
JFC give it up. Thhe decision has ben determined. If you lost its not too late to accept the reality that some of us were actually arguing the right answer.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I got into this market starting at like 25c and bought a lot more when UMA voted P4 (because that is effectively a No vote).
shouldbealright
1 week ago
In the next 5 hours, the largest No whales are going to start offloading their positions. They will try to do so without moving the market too much, but once it starts and they realize what the other No holders are doing, it will go faster and faster
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Just as Yes went to 100 in that market, No is going to 100 in this one.
shouldbealright
1 week ago
In the next 5 hours, the largest No whales are going to start offloading their positions. They will try to do so without moving the market too much, but once it starts and they realize what the other No holders are doing, it will go faster and faster
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Yes, exactly. It sounds like you think you have a "gotcha" on me here. Very confusing.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You guys said the same thing about the Enter Yes market but it never happened. Nice FUD.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Well, the voters have spoken and they disagree with you.
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
It was NOT proposed early. A consensus of mulit-billion dollar international news gathering and dissemination outlets, each with their own in-house research departments, reported the invasion before the Sept. 30th market deadline.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
In this situation, P4 votes are effectively No votes because the market was proposed right before the deadline. A No vote was not possible.
Meow.Zedong
1 week ago
P4 is just the choice option for voting that means Too early. Otherwise last I checked around 14% voted yes or P2. The no vote option, P1, had not even 1% of the UMA vote share.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You guys said the same thing about the Enter Yes market but it never happened. Nice FUD.
shouldbealright
1 week ago
In the next 5 hours, the largest No whales are going to start offloading their positions. They will try to do so without moving the market too much, but once it starts and they realize what the other No holders are doing, it will go faster and faster
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You understand what market makers do, right?
BibiNetanyahu
1 week ago
clear manipulation by "NO" Holders, the fact that "JustKen" is buying YES shares proves my point.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
It’s not possible. He’s buying both sides and maintaining a strong No position the entire time, if you pay attention to his history.
BibiNetanyahu
1 week ago
clear manipulation by "NO" Holders, the fact that "JustKen" is buying YES shares proves my point.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
It was proposed right before the deadline. UMA voters effectively rejected the Yes argument for September with their last P4 vote. This is going No.
figman
1 week ago
I get the argument that this market was proposed YES too early... but why should it resolve no?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You’re showing your ignorance.
BibiNetanyahu
1 week ago
clear manipulation by "NO" Holders, the fact that "JustKen" is buying YES shares proves my point.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Of course he’s buying Yes (and No). He’s a market maker. Is he significantly selling out of his position? No.
BibiNetanyahu
1 week ago
clear manipulation by "NO" Holders, the fact that "JustKen" is buying YES shares proves my point.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Batu is a small player for sure. Ken is not a voter.
dav1
1 week ago
Is there a way to know who are the UMA token holders that are voting? Can you identify that a YES vote on Polymarket also voted YES on UMA?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
No whale exposed their vote. I believe a small time player did.
dav1
1 week ago
Is there a way to know who are the UMA token holders that are voting? Can you identify that a YES vote on Polymarket also voted YES on UMA?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
But Yes votes revealed so far have clinched the win.
dav1
1 week ago
If UMA said yes, why hasn't it been resolved so far? What is polymarket waiting for?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
That’s crazy conspiracy talk.
n/a
1 week ago
Hi everyone, I'm new here and trying to understand... Polymarket politics betting is not based off of reality... it's based off of what people want (vote) reality to be?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
How are they buying anything?
n/a
1 week ago
Hi everyone, I'm new here and trying to understand... Polymarket politics betting is not based off of reality... it's based off of what people want (vote) reality to be?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
@thb That’s wrong. UMA is the decider here. The votes are still being revealed over the next 14.5 hours. Then the market will resolve on the PolyMarket site an hour or so after that.
dav1
1 week ago
If UMA said yes, why hasn't it been resolved so far? What is polymarket waiting for?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
No, what I’m telling you is that your opinion of what the evidence points to is not the most popular opinion.
n/a
1 week ago
Hi everyone, I'm new here and trying to understand... Polymarket politics betting is not based off of reality... it's based off of what people want (vote) reality to be?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
It’s over. PolyMarker will not overturn this decision. Whoever told you that was a possibility was leading you on.
dav1
1 week ago
So the final UMA vote will be revealed in 15 hours? But can Polymarket dispute this vote and change the outcome? Just asking to understand the whole process. Whether they do it or not here, idk
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
People disagree with your opinion that the overwhelming evidence points to that. If No had won, Yes holders would be saying the same thing.
n/a
1 week ago
Hi everyone, I'm new here and trying to understand... Polymarket politics betting is not based off of reality... it's based off of what people want (vote) reality to be?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
There was a dispute because people disagreed on the correct answer. One side is always going to think that they were screwed, no matter which way the vote goes
n/a
1 week ago
Hi everyone, I'm new here and trying to understand... Polymarket politics betting is not based off of reality... it's based off of what people want (vote) reality to be?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You’re asking how an arbitration process which you implicitly agreed to by using the website is legal?
n/a
1 week ago
Hi everyone, I'm new here and trying to understand... Polymarket politics betting is not based off of reality... it's based off of what people want (vote) reality to be?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You can’t do it technically unless they expose themselves because it’s all on chain. But many people have been participating in disputes for a long time and there’s no evidence that anything like that is happening, at least for the UMA whales who really matter.
dav1
1 week ago
Is there a way to know who are the UMA token holders that are voting? Can you identify that a YES vote on Polymarket also voted YES on UMA?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Other polls are coming out pretty close.
Balls2theWalz
1 week ago
Why would anyone in their right mind bet on Walz. We all know he lost.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You’re betting on what the poll will say. Not everyone thinks Vance won, so the question is how many?
Balls2theWalz
1 week ago
Why would anyone in their right mind bet on Walz. We all know he lost.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
So you’re asking them to do the same vote.
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
And UMA voters didn’t buy that argument for September.
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
They don't think it constituted an invasion, in September at least.
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Your $757 of total volume won't be missed. Players who understand that Yes is a very reasonable outcom, even if they don't agree with it, will stay and play and enjoy the site.
n/a
1 week ago
bye f ever guys
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
In about 20 hours the market will resolve on the PolyMarket site.
Jackherb9
1 week ago
When will the market close?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
What do you mean by "if"? Yes won.
balaji
1 week ago
Will lose complete faith in Polymarket if the Yes win. It is a straight NO. Even the Perplexity engine if you Generate the Market Summary above states "The operation, described as "limited, localized, and targeted ground raids," began on October 1". Huh ?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You had a consensus of credible reporting, as the rules required. It's really very simple.
Jackherb9
1 week ago
I do not understand what is the decision, if yall chose yes its a total scam this whole website
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Because this vote meanst he UMA voters don't buy the Yes argument. So the next market proposal will resolve No.
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You lost a bet, fair and square. Quit crying about it.
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
The vote result was (P4) Early Request, just as JustKen/Domer signaled to all his market fixers, despite an overwhelming consensus of timely media reports citing "invasion", and official government statements. Market fixing is a serious criminal offence. To anyone who sold early and lost money, screenshot everything, collect evidence, and contact me on Discord @katiasantos6330 Share how many shares you held, why you sold, and how much you lost. Best of luck everyone.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I hope you crap close to your toilet.
n/a
1 week ago
When I take a crap, pretty close to my toilet 🚽
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
@bbman1214 Because this P4 vote is the UMA voters telling everyone that they think they answer is No. So you'd be a fool throwing your money away if you disputed.
n/a
1 week ago
So what happens now that it is a early request
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Assuming P4 does eventually clinch, the dispute ends and somoene can re-propose. Most likely, somone will propose P1 (No), and someone would have to be a fool to dispute it.
n/a
1 week ago
So what happens now that it is a early request
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
That would be insane at this point.
n/a
1 week ago
guess it's over unless polymarket steps in and clarifies
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
They are not stakeholders in the decision. What are you talking about?
Deppockets
1 week ago
Who on earth designed a system where an objective decision is made by stakeholders in the decision??
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
LOL
zynyz
1 week ago
No holders: message Polymarket support now, vote needs to be redone regardless of outcome - Send support this proof: https://i.imgur.com/8zb4ofV.png The commit-reveal scheme is designed to keep votes confidential during the commit phase to prevent influence or manipulation by other participants. Sharing your vote publicly and writing "just follow me u will be fine" before the reveal phase undermines this confidentiality and compromise the integrity of the voting process.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I've seen enough.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Market manipulation.
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
STRANGE! JustKen is not a top share holder here, https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Dude. These people have jobs and families and live in time zones around the globe. There’s a reason why the reveal phase is 24 hours long.
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
Why aren't more people revealing? Is this just more manipulation going on?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Not one Yes whale has shed any shares this entire time. We don't care.
Waifu Hunter
1 week ago
yes people are scaring no holder because they cant exit the only thing they can do is lie.. they cant share link
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Ah, yes. The Donald Trump Sore Loser Stolen Election approach.
n/a
1 week ago
Simply if yes it’s scam, the fact is no!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
It has barely begun. Most votes on P4 so far but it’s insignificant amount. The UMA whales will decide this.
Covid69
1 week ago
What was the vote reveal for?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
The EV for Walz at 20c would be amazing,
schottchris
1 week ago
- The MARKET sets the price. Your observations are just people disagreeing about who won. The price context is not how HARD we believe something, rather how cheaply we can buy our opinion. I would buy now at 80% Vance is that was the price...but its not. I would also buy more Vance if I had more money.....but I dont. 4 polls showing Vance winning, 1 showing it a tie. Easy Vance money my man
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Attention everyone. I really need you No supporters to dig deep into those wallets and couch cushions. Buy more No and fight this appalling price movement.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
It’s going to happen any minute now (you’ve been saying for 24+ hours).
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Big dump incoming in 30 minutes
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Sorry but im not going to take advice from someone who thinks 50/50 is even possible here. You obviously don’t know what you’re talking about.
LostRonzo
1 week ago
Last warning to YES: sell that shit you have before it runs out 50-50 or worse, Then don't say you weren't warned.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
There’s no way you’ve been around here since May and are seriously saying that it’s only going to be revealed NOW.
n/a
1 week ago
The UMA system is about to be revealed as totally flawed at best.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
All the No’s got trolled by their own selective reading of the rules.
n/a
1 week ago
All the yes got trolled by IDF
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Come on No holders. Don’t give up now. Please buy more!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
What do you mean? P4 is what you are hoping for as a No holder. P1 (No) is an illogical answer because the proposal was made before market end date.
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
Wait if P3 happens (50/50) do I make 35k and pence loses half his shit? eeek!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Everyone is strongly advocating for their own side (P4 or P2) because they don't want to show any weakness in their arguments. Therefore, no UMA voter is going to risk getting slashed by voting for P3 - something absolutely nobody is advocating for.
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
Wait if P3 happens (50/50) do I make 35k and pence loses half his shit? eeek!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
If you understood how the process worked, you'd know that 50/50 is virtually impossible here.
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
Wait if P3 happens (50/50) do I make 35k and pence loses half his shit? eeek!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
The misplaced confidence is so hilarious.
n/a
1 week ago
yes holders you have 4 hours to sell
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
It's an echo chamber feedback loop.
Will143
1 week ago
no holders are just pumping one another
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
50/50 cannot happen here.
LostRonzo
1 week ago
Best is 50 50 lol
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
All I hear is "We want to scam our way into 100X profits."
Talophex
1 week ago
Y’all sure yap an awful lot for having nothing to say
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Nah. UMA sides with reality here.
PanosMariolis2001
1 week ago
Even if uma is fair , polymarket sides with the whales for obvious reasons like liquidity, fees etc.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Even if you were correct (which you're not), that isn't the sunk cost fallacy.
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
Whales holding YES would get out but there’s no exit liquidity. That’s their biggest issue. They’re trapped now and have to troll on Discord to try rigging the vote.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I'm going to queue up some shares at 4c for you. What a steal!
n/a
1 week ago
Hezbollah publicly declared the claims from the Israelis false.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
But even events happening on October 1st could count for this market since the rules are based in Eastern Time, not whatever Lebanon is.
Master-bettor
1 week ago
click on the source wikipedia is basing the first paragraph on, then look at the date
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Or you can sell at any time.
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
Do we have to wait for the full final review period to elapse?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Funds will be released to winners in about 50 hours.
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
Do we have to wait for the full final review period to elapse?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Have you figured it out yet? (Hint: You're thinking about the wrong time zone)
n/a
1 week ago
"The IDF announced the start of the operation at 2:00 AM local time, following earlier reports of Israeli incursions, which had been denied by the IDF.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I had no idea you were flipping to Yes!
n/a
1 week ago
It's just objectively true that they didn't cross the border until October 1st
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
And it's objectively true that that is within the time boundary of this market! Woohoo!
n/a
1 week ago
It's just objectively true that they didn't cross the border until October 1st
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Thank you for providing crystal clear evidence in support of Yes! (Read the rules again, this time very carefully)
n/a
1 week ago
"The IDF announced the start of the operation at 2:00 AM local time, following earlier reports of Israeli incursions, which had been denied by the IDF.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Scamman1 has continuously lied about evidence in these comments and not responded when caught in those lies. He's trying to scam his way into a cheap victory. But the reality is that this is 100% going Yes, and he's causing all of you to burn your own dollars buying more No shares in the process.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
The only real debate going on is whether Israel's actions constitute an "invasion" (for the purpose of the other markets, not this one). Nobody is seriously considering this market going No.
iwantam4
1 week ago
I need to be scared guys?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Yes. Very.
iwantam4
1 week ago
I need to be scared guys?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Okay, you understand expected value (good) but you severely underestimate the win probability of Yes here (bad).
0x0067e40e99580bB4f48f377786e1f595557578D4-1722634879022
1 week ago
what amazes me still is the number of people betting their life savings on a disputed market just to gain 5%. I've lived through wallstreetbets but this level of risk/reward illiteracy i've never seen.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
That's not the only argument. You're lying again. The November market was resolved properly, which is why this one is going to resolve Yes as well.
Phat.
1 week ago
Just FYI the only argument these whales have on discord that November market was resolved to yes ( prematurely ) so this one should be Yes too .. This isn't a valid argument that can solve this market.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You should research "expected value". A 1% return in 2 days with almost no risk is amazing. Try getting that with another type of financial instrument.
0x0067e40e99580bB4f48f377786e1f595557578D4-1722634879022
1 week ago
what amazes me still is the number of people betting their life savings on a disputed market just to gain 5%. I've lived through wallstreetbets but this level of risk/reward illiteracy i've never seen.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Votes take place every other day, so it depends where in the cycle your particular dispute happens to land. For this one, I believe that voting will commence this evening and last for 24 hours. Then there will be a 24 hour period where the votes are revealed by the individual voters.
mokachino
1 week ago
How long does a UMA last on average? when will there be a decision?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Can you guys please "squeeze" this market price back down to 96 cents? I'd like to buy another 50k shares. Thx!
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I guess none of you No holders can read, huh? Or are you purposely leaving out the parts of the rules you don't like?
TheFinalWord
1 week ago
there needs to be confirmation from Hezbollah and Israel, both of which have DENIED this.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Can someone please fill me at 96.0 cents?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
This is really sad. Scamman1's scamming is only causing other people to throw away their money on false hopes.
Phat.
1 week ago
This would be the biggest Yes/Whales squeeze in the history of PM. do yourself a favor and buy your NOs
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I'd genuinely like to hear @Leot290 or @trav's rationale.
Leot290
1 week ago
Free money on racist
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I'm curious, why do you think it's free? What circumstances will lead to him saying it?
Leot290
1 week ago
Free money on racist
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
If any of the top 10 or so Yes holders tried to sell off they'd end up taking a huge loss because their action would move the market. Everyone who bought in large for Yes did so knowing that they were sticking it out until the end.
Phat.
1 week ago
I would sale my Yes if im Holding 50k+ that's a lot of risk for something is very obvious its a no
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
@averagejoe No, he's saying all of the big Yes holders have made a lot of money on this site because they know what they're doing. No holders are buying dirt cheap shares and trying to work an angle to wealth. One of the loudest No holders here continuously lies about his evidence.
Kuskooo
1 week ago
Damn this is such an easy 100x
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Once again, I ask you to quote the part where the UN says there was no border crossing. You can't.
0xdf4fF22066eE3e3EA15E719De5C522E1B7c29a4F-1727720283250
1 week ago
https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-10-01-2024-eb175dff6e46906caea8b9e43dfbd3da Hazbollah and UN peacekeeping group both say that Israeli forces have yet to cross border
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
If you're going to plagiarize JustKen (Domer), at least copy the part which destroys your argument. LOL. "I'm using Gaza as my guidepost. There, the IDF clearly invaded with a large occupying force. Here, it's very unclear what is happening, and all reporting indicating they are entering, doing a raid, and leaving again."
crow
1 week ago
What is the evidence they invaded? IDF says no invasion, AP says they didn't see any troops cross the border, and Hezbollah says they didn't invade.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I did. Quote the denial part. Either: (a) you won't be able to, or (b) you'll quote something which can be laughed at because of your inability to read English correctly.
0xdf4fF22066eE3e3EA15E719De5C522E1B7c29a4F-1727720283250
1 week ago
https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-10-01-2024-eb175dff6e46906caea8b9e43dfbd3da Hazbollah and UN peacekeeping group both say that Israeli forces have yet to cross border
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
LOL. There's video.
Besh24
1 week ago
Raids they mention are air raids to prepare for a ground operation. Ground raids are incoming. The yes market bullies unfortunately need some reality check
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Once again, you are misrepresenting what the UN is saying here. The have not denied anything. Jesus, people need to learn how to read.
0xdf4fF22066eE3e3EA15E719De5C522E1B7c29a4F-1727720283250
1 week ago
https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-10-01-2024-eb175dff6e46906caea8b9e43dfbd3da Hazbollah and UN peacekeeping group both say that Israeli forces have yet to cross border
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You didn't read the report I take it. The raids were on the ground.
Besh24
1 week ago
Raids they mention are air raids to prepare for a ground operation. Ground raids are incoming. The yes market bullies unfortunately need some reality check
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Since you misrepresented what the U.N. said in your other link, I'm just going to assume more shenanigans here from a dishonest poster.
Phat.
1 week ago
its live on all news channel guys ffs you so lazy
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
My Arabic speaking friend watched your link and found no such statement.
Phat.
1 week ago
its live on all news channel guys ffs you so lazy
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
That's nice. The WSJ is a little more specific and claims that the raids were done recently.
zynyz
1 week ago
https://x.com/ELINTNews/status/1841089759898149203 Here is a video of the Raids which have no dates but have happened "since the beginning of the year"
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Okay, just so we are clear, nowhere in your link does it say that Isreal had not already conducted raids in Lebanon as the WSJ and Times of Israel suggest. Thank you.
Phat.
1 week ago
https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/unifil-warns-any-israeli--crossing-into-lebanon--violates-so
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
@diogofmaciel My dude, you have a consensus of credible reporting + the USA + Israel confirming. It doesn't matter what you think. The rules say the reporting can be relied upon. Poly/UMA also threw out Russia's lies about not being stuck in Moscow by Ukraine. Should we deny reality because of wartime propoganda?
Demented.Drumpf
1 week ago
Hezbollah already denied it. As per the conditions of this market, this is already a "No". Now it remains to be seen if Polymarket cares more about its reputation or the whales
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Read carefully. I didn't say November resolved incorrectly. I said it resolved correctly because of credible reporting. @monom, here is your source you asked for. https://www.timesofisrael.com/troops-said-to-enter-hezbollah-tunnels-with-pre-invasion-forays-into-lebanon/
Demented.Drumpf
1 week ago
Hezbollah already denied it. As per the conditions of this market, this is already a "No". Now it remains to be seen if Polymarket cares more about its reputation or the whales
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Similarly, Russia denied that Ukrainian drones struck Moscow, but we know that they did.
Demented.Drumpf
1 week ago
Hezbollah already denied it. As per the conditions of this market, this is already a "No". Now it remains to be seen if Polymarket cares more about its reputation or the whales
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
@Wilmaco Because regardless of what Hezbollah says, there is credible reporting that it happened. This is why the November market resolved without any dispute. And since the November market resolved Yes, this one will as well. It's not a rigged game -- there are just semi-scammers trying to convince people of something that isn't true. The ONLY debate at this point is whether what Isreal has done constitutes an "invasion" (for other market purposes).
Demented.Drumpf
1 week ago
Hezbollah already denied it. As per the conditions of this market, this is already a "No". Now it remains to be seen if Polymarket cares more about its reputation or the whales
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You're going to have to explain this relationship between PolyMarket share buys and UMA token price. LOL. What a WILD theory.
n/a
1 week ago
No point arguing. 50pence & aenews2 bought $800k worth of shares in Israel enter lebanon market, and UMA token price rose by 12% in last 24hrs . So I guess this is rigged. Whales can buy whatever they want and vote as per thier choice by stocking the UMA tokens. truth doesnt really matters
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Only if you ignore the second half of the last sentence.
zynyz
1 week ago
This 1 article means that there is 0% change the market can resolve to Yes per its terms: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hezbollah-media-chief-says-no-israeli-troops-have-entered-lebanon-2024-10-01/
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
There are only 3 UMA whales. None of the PolyMarket whales are UMA whales. They actually tend to hate UMA and only participate in its dispute process out of necessity.
0x0067e40e99580bB4f48f377786e1f595557578D4-1722634879022
1 week ago
Just learning about how UMA resolves this: "you can become a voter in UMA’s dispute resolution process by purchasing UMA tokens and holding them in your wallet. The more UMA tokens you hold, the greater your voting power in the dispute resolution process." which means we are probably getting reckt by Yes whales guys
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Don't lie, my man.
Phat.
1 week ago
So IDF also now confirming they didnt Breach. It was all false flag along
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
People are still buying No? LOL
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Any events which occur after midnight don’t count towards the resolution, but there is no resolution yet so people can still trade.
n/a
1 week ago
how come you can buy/sell after the market closed?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Scam
NalanMertz
1 week ago
On this bet, PrognostiX [markets-prognostix.com] offers twice the liquidity and distinct odds, creating a solid arbitrage opportunity across these markets.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I just took a quick jog down the Israel/Lebanon border and I didn’t see any IDF troops.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
UMA UMA UMA!
Adrimarket
1 week ago
what's the next step ? im new to this who is gonna decide
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You left out the best part.
n/a
1 week ago
Do we have confirmation from at least one of the sources cited?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Apparently, you didn't finish reading the rules.
n/a
1 week ago
The rules are the rules.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Someone screen shot him calling people stupid for this.
Mountainman
1 week ago
How is "Hillbilly" still so cheap? This is the first time the left and independents are going to see J.D Vance unedited, and he has a movie with A list talent, that's based on his life available on Netflix right now.... The title "Hillbilly Elegy". I can not see how he doesn't bring this up. Adds loads of legitimacy to the crowd that he is looking to impress.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Can you check the rules and let us know?
mcan1776
1 week ago
Does it count if he says Chinese?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
There really is no discrepancy yet. Look at the spreads. Markets haven't reached a consensus yet.
n/a
1 week ago
Interesting discrepancy between Walz and Vance on "Helene".
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You cannot reply to a second level reply.
Will143
1 week ago
why is the reply button only occasionally present?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
This entire comments section is like 5 desperate No holders trying to bend reality.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
50Pence long ago entered territory where he couldn’t rug without harming himself. He is married to his position.
Tji22
1 week ago
You bought your first yes calls at 97c lol your about to get rugged by pence and arnews bud
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
You're missing a huge factor in that EV calculation of yours: win probability.
ftor1
1 week ago
what's great in that? Your risk reward is 20:1, mine is 1:50.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Great deal!
ftor1
1 week ago
see in the morning how you rected 20k for 1k
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Because it was disputed.
0x429aff1255d8bCABe0AD46f610f8B03034E68070-1711892138111
1 week ago
so why the market didnt resolve?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
I love betting on past history.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Forget it. He's rolling.
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
What does this even mean
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Hear, hear!
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 week ago
LIQUIDATE PENCE AT ALL COSTS
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
It wasn't proposed by an insider. It was proposed by someone who didn't know that she was already married.
AugustoPinochet73
1 week ago
The bitch is no longer of child bearing age. Yes she could get pregnant but highly unlikelly. So this would be a bond, unless some insider has proposed this market, that's highly possible because seems too random, like the Beaber's son market
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
@teddykgb Look, I don’t really care since I’m a No holder. Your interpretation just means more outs for me. But your interpretation is crazy IMO. It’s a compound word and the “-dog” refers to dogs in dogfighting. Pretty clear to me.
midastouch
1 week ago
‘Underdog’ counts, right?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
Can you Google it and let us know?
n/a
1 week ago
what times is this event
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
ChatGPT is simply wrong then. This isn't difficult to figure out. "Underdog" clearly satisfies the rules, and I'm a Dog No shareholder.
n/a
1 week ago
ChatGPT says no, but the etimology refers to dogfighting where a 'dog' would be the underdog so Im not so sure
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
That is very clear.
MasterMindful
1 week ago
ONE THING NOT CLEAR: Trans would count for Trans line but should it count for transgender? Why scumala joyful wouldn't count when joy is the word then
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 week ago
It should, yes. It's a compound word and the "-dog" refers to the animal.
midastouch
1 week ago
‘Underdog’ counts, right?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
Funds being returned is not technically possible. This is resolving one way or another.
Slytherin
2 weeks ago
This market is not about predicting gender, but rather about whether Huobi will issue an announcement before September 30th. I believe resolving this as a 50-50 split is inappropriate because it deviates from the market's original intent, is misleading, and could even cause those who guessed correctly to lose money. If Huobi does not issue an announcement, the funds should be returned to the participants.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
In any case, I was merely commenting on your 6 cell phone logic. It doesn't necessarily hold.
n/a
2 weeks ago
Why would one need 6 cell phones if they are acting alone?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
I fail to see the relevance of your question. The indictment against Routh was just released yesterday and it was not a talking indictment, so you have no idea what this guy knew and when.
n/a
2 weeks ago
Why would one need 6 cell phones if they are acting alone?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
Right. All that matters is what they announce.
Mike2025
2 weeks ago
Not true. You didn't read the rules. Proof isn't needed.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
That was their chance.
Scoobs
2 weeks ago
Blockchain - so close crypto bros
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
As long as there's an announcement, the market will resolve to whatever they announce. There's nothing in the rules which calls for substantive proof. "This market will resolve according to information from Huobi. The announcement from Huobi is scheduled for Friday September 27, 8:00 PM (UTC+8)."
Justifax
2 weeks ago
I guess you're betting on two things though, 1- she's a she, and 2- she'll actually produce something that resolves the market. The rules don't say it, tragically, but this will likely go 50/50 if no evidence is produced. Some may even try to dispute poor evidence, but my 2 cents is as long as something halfway credible is produced, just resolve it and move on.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
I have 6 cell phones and I am not conspiring with anyone. This guy was a looney tunes conspriacy nut. Multiple phones is not surprising.
n/a
2 weeks ago
Why would one need 6 cell phones if they are acting alone?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
That is not what that filing says.
n/a
2 weeks ago
They've already said in court filings that there were other people involved. https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.flsd.675056/gov.uscourts.flsd.675056.2.0.pdf
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
The end date doesn’t have any weight. It’s an estimate and is used by the site for sorting purposes. Someone simply put a bad date on there, but it doesn’t matter because only the rules count. As for the proposal and dispute, someone accidentally proposed it early and it was disputed.
wagabazajr
1 month ago
Anyone know why the end date is showing June 30? Also why was their a proposal for no and a dispute?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
I don't think they can show that on television.
td.
2 weeks ago
Oprah will turn this into a happy ending
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
This is sad and pathetic.
HsB34sgg
2 weeks ago
The ONLY word in the English language that, "references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." is "joyful". It is the EXACT definition of the word. ChatGPT is NOT a reliable source to resolve any potential dispute in this matter. ChatGPT does NOT source from scholarly articles, and is prone to hallucinations. Remember the AI generated photo of multiracial NAZIs? Only traditional authoritative sources like Merriam-Webster, which specifically specifies the suffix 'ful' as a compound element, should be used. The definition of words like, "joyride" and "killjoy" DO NOT "reference the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." Please learn the implication of the word "AND".
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
Kamala isn't even on yet.
J.D.K
2 weeks ago
Did she say joy?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
Be like Kamala and turn the page. Don't be like Trump and cry about a contest you lost fair and square being rigged.
HsB34sgg
2 weeks ago
The ONLY word in the English language that, "references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." is "joyful". It is the EXACT definition of the word. ChatGPT is NOT a reliable source to resolve any potential dispute in this matter. ChatGPT does NOT source from scholarly articles, and is prone to hallucinations. Remember the AI generated photo of multiracial NAZIs? Only traditional authoritative sources like Merriam-Webster, which specifically specifies the suffix 'ful' as a compound element, should be used.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
First, give it up. Second, you're wrong: "joyride".
HsB34sgg
2 weeks ago
The ONLY word in the English language that, "references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness." is "joyful". It is the EXACT definition of the word. ChatGPT is NOT a reliable source to resolve any potential dispute in this matter. ChatGPT does NOT source from scholarly articles, and is prone to hallucinations. Remember the AI generated photo of multiracial NAZIs? Only traditional authoritative sources like Merriam-Webster, which specifically specifies the suffix 'ful' as a compound element, should be used.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
Verbose =/= quality. The argument by No supporters is much more powerful and persuasive.
Mountainman
3 weeks ago
Reading through all the votes on the UMA voting page, there is no way that this would resolve "NO" if this is a legitimate market. Today we find out the answer to that question.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
No one is going to be refunded. PolyMarket already told us what the answer is.
MykolaUA
3 weeks ago
Most likely, everyone will just get their money back
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
He can drop out of the race later. He'll just remain on the ballot.
mattyrice
3 weeks ago
dont know why the deadline for this market is Sept 30 when the deadline to drop is tonight
ItCantBeTrollBoy
2 weeks ago
You did Nazi it coming? Is that the joke?
n/a
3 weeks ago
Wow. Did not see this one coming.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
That sounds like a paid vacation to me.
n/a
3 weeks ago
Cop at Center of Tyreek Hill Case Has History of Excessive Use of Force | Newsweek https://www.newsweek.com/tyreek-hill-body-cam-incident-florida-cop-history-1954713
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
You have 9 dirt cheap shares of Yes. Be a big boy and chalk this loss up to a learning experience. Your interpretation of the original rules would have allowed for scammers to fix the market, so it's nonsensical. If you instead decide to blame anyone but yourself, I don't think your $20 will be missed.
Lux001
3 weeks ago
This is going to cause me not to vote on this site anymore if it's not yes or if the money isn't returned and bet cancelled.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
No cutters are either insane or degen gamblers.
🤺JustKen
3 weeks ago
gl guys, nobody is allowed to laugh at either side that loses (except for the No Cut losers)
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
He's sold 20 shares in the last hour. LOL
n/a
3 weeks ago
Justken is selling off his 50bps clip and fudding 25 bps at the same time. Take that as you will 50 bps bros.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
But it didn't happen because we don't know if it's a real whistleblower or just made up.
donky
3 weeks ago
The bet was originally listed as "Will the whistle blower release the affidavit by Sunday". This happened. The bet was not Will the affidavit be released by Sunday and proven to be authentic. If it was listed that was I would have never bet. This came after.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
What the heck were you reading which made you think it was No? “ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" and/or "make America great again" 5 or more times…”
Rhombus
3 weeks ago
So does "Make America Great Again" count as MAGA?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Just read the rules my friend.
RAY1233
3 weeks ago
If she says AI instead of Artifical Intellegence will that work too
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
What do the rules say?
Rhombus
3 weeks ago
So does "Make America Great Again" count as MAGA?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
@GNS You want me to name a false story, but I'm not allowed to name the most relevant false story. LOL. You really are gullible, aren't you? They must see you coming a mile away.
Mountainman
3 weeks ago
JD Vance is literally talking about it now as well. This is full blown insanity that this is even being considered settling as a "NO"
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
We already know how it will shake out. UMA will vote No in a landslide, and that will be that.
donky
3 weeks ago
There are many news outlets like Megan Kelly and Valuetainment to name 2 that are leading with this. The bet was will the affadavit be leaked by Sunday which it was. The fact that this person can also release recordings and everything found to be legit and the yes voters including myself loose this wager is a total sham and leaves polymarket with as much credibility as ABC.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
They hypothetical is important. And we don't even know if it's that off base here. The affidavit in question could also be a fake (and likely is). The point is, we must have confirmation or the market is a sham. Everyone should have realized that even before the clarification came out.
donky
3 weeks ago
There are many news outlets like Megan Kelly and Valuetainment to name 2 that are leading with this. The bet was will the affadavit be leaked by Sunday which it was. The fact that this person can also release recordings and everything found to be legit and the yes voters including myself loose this wager is a total sham and leaves polymarket with as much credibility as ABC.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
@Mountainman The clarification was sound and already obvious to anyone with a couple brain cells. Without it, I could print up an affidavit on my printer, say it's from an ABC whistleblower, and that would count for Yes. You can't honestly believe that that should be how this market resolves, right?
donky
3 weeks ago
There are many news outlets like Megan Kelly and Valuetainment to name 2 that are leading with this. The bet was will the affadavit be leaked by Sunday which it was. The fact that this person can also release recordings and everything found to be legit and the yes voters including myself loose this wager is a total sham and leaves polymarket with as much credibility as ABC.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
@Mountainman, I'm not sure how long you've been at Poly, but it appears that you don't understand how things work around here. The deadline has passed, so this will be resolving No. There is no indefinite time allowance for one side to try to gather more evidence after the market end date.
donky
3 weeks ago
There are many news outlets like Megan Kelly and Valuetainment to name 2 that are leading with this. The bet was will the affadavit be leaked by Sunday which it was. The fact that this person can also release recordings and everything found to be legit and the yes voters including myself loose this wager is a total sham and leaves polymarket with as much credibility as ABC.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Are you retarded? The key difference in DJT is that PolyMarket disagreed with the outcome. Here, we know what PolyMarket thinks already. They aren't refunding anyone, unless UMA votes Yes (which they won't).
Mountainman
3 weeks ago
Why has no one mentioned that Polymarket refunded those who bet on the DJT coin after they found out that they got it wrong? Very interesting.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
I didn't say that. But it needs to be confirmed by a credible source, which that tweeter is definitely not.
Mountainman
3 weeks ago
JD Vance is literally talking about it now as well. This is full blown insanity that this is even being considered settling as a "NO"
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
No affidavit confirmed to be affiliated with someone from ABC has been released. I'm sorry that people are lying to you.
donky
3 weeks ago
There are many news outlets like Megan Kelly and Valuetainment to name 2 that are leading with this. The bet was will the affadavit be leaked by Sunday which it was. The fact that this person can also release recordings and everything found to be legit and the yes voters including myself loose this wager is a total sham and leaves polymarket with as much credibility as ABC.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
You mean the guy who recently admitted to spreading false stories to get attention is talking about it? No way! LOL
Mountainman
3 weeks ago
JD Vance is literally talking about it now as well. This is full blown insanity that this is even being considered settling as a "NO"
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
@SimpleJack You're not making any sense. We have no verification of the author's identity. The twitter account could have drafted the affidavit themselves. That's why I say that it's akin to allowing a 10-year old to create the affidavit and counting that as Yes.
n/a
3 weeks ago
It's pretty ridiculous anyone thinks it's appropriate to ask a question of whether an affidavit will be released, then add an additional condition that it must also be verified by the initial deadline. It is what it is, but just reflects incredibly poorly on the people who run this website.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
He's a market maker. His buys/sells often have no signifigance at all.
FyouMoneyOTW
3 weeks ago
Go vote P2 if you haven’t yet https://discord.gg/uma dohmer justken just bought yes btw
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Do you seriously not understand how this works? PolyMarket applied their rules to the known facts and determined it's a No. There is no way that UMA will overturn this very reasonable ruling.
Mountainman
3 weeks ago
People seem to be confident in "NO" because it seems like a group of them are in on the scam. If you read what we are betting on "YES" should already win. This is going to become the biggest story in media within days and if they go "NO" it just shows this site is a scam and when big dogs buy up at these crazy high prices, it is built for them not to lose no matter what.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Looks like he was aware: https://x.com/CarolLeonnig/status/1835781018441122226
AugustoPinochet73
3 weeks ago
The funniest thing about those markets is that the President is playing Golf totally uaware of the dangers around him
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Nobody took the money. But, yes, you accidentally gave it to them. You sold your shares to them for 8 cents when they were worth more.
Hungrytoad
3 weeks ago
I aped in $60k , tried to sell after it was announced to come out after the election for $45k, clicked the sell button and got robbed due to a glitch , that 45k is now at 8k in my poly balance.. what do i do smn help
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
@Amok Limit orders do not carry risk if you are using them to place market buys.
Hungrytoad
3 weeks ago
I aped in $60k , tried to sell after it was announced to come out after the election for $45k, clicked the sell button and got robbed due to a glitch , that 45k is now at 8k in my poly balance.. what do i do smn help
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Is what hopeless? Your money is gone, if that's what you're asking. You filled someone else's orders in the order book.
Hungrytoad
3 weeks ago
I aped in $60k , tried to sell after it was announced to come out after the election for $45k, clicked the sell button and got robbed due to a glitch , that 45k is now at 8k in my poly balance.. what do i do smn help
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Sorry man.
Hungrytoad
3 weeks ago
I aped in $60k , tried to sell after it was announced to come out after the election for $45k, clicked the sell button and got robbed due to a glitch , that 45k is now at 8k in my poly balance.. what do i do smn help
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Never use Market orders.
Hungrytoad
3 weeks ago
I aped in $60k , tried to sell after it was announced to come out after the election for $45k, clicked the sell button and got robbed due to a glitch , that 45k is now at 8k in my poly balance.. what do i do smn help
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Well, what you heard was wrong then. They refunded people because they disagreed with the UMA decision. That obviously isn't going to happen here, since PolyMarket already said this should be a No.
Mountainman
3 weeks ago
Why has no one mentioned that Polymarket refunded those who bet on the DJT coin after they found out that they got it wrong? Very interesting.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
It's not an additional condition. It's a clarification which makes the market sensible. Without it, my 10-year old cousin could release an affidavit he typed up himself, and it would count.
n/a
3 weeks ago
It's pretty ridiculous anyone thinks it's appropriate to ask a question of whether an affidavit will be released, then add an additional condition that it must also be verified by the initial deadline. It is what it is, but just reflects incredibly poorly on the people who run this website.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
That's not what the rules say, and it's not what people were buying Yes on.
n/a
3 weeks ago
UMA is going to have a field day with this market. But ultimately, this market was always about Donald Trump releasing a memecoin or his own crypto coin. Meaning it would have been open to the public, not some governance token only available to insiders on a project by his sons and his golf partner.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Everyone who will eventually be ripped off by this scam.
Mountainman
3 weeks ago
Who the hell is listening to this that is not in this market?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Too bad it's almost certainly a scam.
n/a
3 weeks ago
In theory, I even kinda like what they're peddling. A lending alternative to big banks via private online investment. Could be interesting to do that via a blockchain platform. Others have tried it before, but it never took off. I highly doubt this project will crack the formula.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Don Jr. snorts all the coke. The guy can't shut up.
n/a
3 weeks ago
the trump family is so weird.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
I'll agree to resolve the market 50/50 if you can make this stop.
n/a
3 weeks ago
Yes and no UNITED in wanting this misery to end
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
I am getting dumber by the minute listening to these guys vomit their bullshit.
n/a
3 weeks ago
It's incredible the amount of words they can string together just to say absolutely nothing of substance.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
That scam should work /s
Wande
3 weeks ago
The rules are quite Clear- if Trump says bitcoin 5x, its a yes. It doesnt say which trump in that sentance.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
The interviewer also said that Trump was in a rush to leave so they could only ask a few questions.
0x68d467ef930999l5eae4d9d5caa655f1edd0af2f
3 weeks ago
"Your father left", should be enough for you guys to understand he's not coming back... Lol.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
$9,000 here. See you at the club. Getting bottle service.
IONLYBETONX
3 weeks ago
made 300 bucks what we eating tonight boys
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
It's not the same as Elon at all. The rules allow for "Elon" alone to count. The rules do not allow for your twisted view.
td.
3 weeks ago
if anyone has 750, propose comrade kamala. big gap and opportunity there. it's the same as when he only says elon. it also counts. so, for comrade kamala or kamala comrade, both counts. the adjective is still being applied to the name kamala.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
You're not even getting the rule correct. LOL. "Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count."
td.
3 weeks ago
he said kamala... comrade... obviously meaning comrade kamala, with comrade as the adjective to the name kamala. this has happened before, it falls under the category of other forms of the usage of the words which also counts
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
LOL nice try doh
td.
3 weeks ago
he said kamala... comrade... obviously meaning comrade kamala, with comrade as the adjective to the name kamala. this has happened before, it falls under the category of other forms of the usage of the words which also counts
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Never use market trade. Always use limit buy/sell.
n/a
3 weeks ago
Ok, you FYI you submit a market trade at one price, it will buy at another price if market changes instantly. Stupid.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Someone is out to get us. Is someone out to get you?
n/a
3 weeks ago
this interviewer fucking sucks
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
That's not what happened. Completely different situation.
Mountainman
3 weeks ago
Why has no one mentioned that Polymarket refunded those who bet on the DJT coin after they found out that they got it wrong? Very interesting.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
He says "border" in his sleep.
Sit
3 weeks ago
Why would he address the border in a conversation about his crypto endeavours
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
"any of the" literally the 3 words before your quoted portion.
mipiacesniffare
3 weeks ago
"cops involved in the September 8 detainment of Tyreek Hill" which one?
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Cope. Deadline has passed and we do not have an affidavit confirmed by credible sources. Sorry.
Mountainman
3 weeks ago
The argument for resolving this market to "YES" is that the key condition—releasing an affidavit by a whistleblower—was met by the deadline. While mainstream sources haven't confirmed it yet, the credibility of the outlets reporting it is subject to interpretation. If these sources turn out to have provided credible information, they would inherently meet the definition of "credible sources," regardless of personal opinions. This is based on the objective meaning of credibility, which would not be disputable if their information is proven accurate. The only fair course of action at this point is to wait for a definitive answer on the credibility of these sources before resolving the market.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Oh, I jumped the gun I guess.
BlueSky123
3 weeks ago
I don't see a second dispute.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
3 weeks ago
Some Yes holders just burned $1,500 on 2 disputes which have no chance of winning. UMA will honor the market end date. Full stop. The vote won't even be close.