#83
Rank
243
Comments
106
Likes Received
264
Likes Given
MrKangaroo
1 month ago
breaking news: putin offers to mediate a peace deal between zelenskyy and trump
MrKangaroo
1 month ago
maybe if you study for hours a day, not that simple
BussyBlaster
1 month ago
fuck crypto. im out more than 50G in the last 40 hours. no winning on PM is going to make up for it.
MrKangaroo
1 month ago
it appears someone else bought it from me
MrKangaroo
1 month ago
i may have purchased an expired lottery ticket
MrKangaroo
1 month ago
i may have purchased an expired lottery ticket
MrKangaroo
1 month ago
an even better market where you're not filling car https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-fire-in-first-100-days
Car
1 month ago
Heres a better market at just 76ct cheap shares https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-out-as-head-of-doge-in-2025/elon-musk-out-as-head-of-doge-in-2025?tid=1739870911929
MrKangaroo
1 month ago
anything for knock
MrKangaroo
1 month ago
is this where i buy dogecoin
MrKangaroo
1 month ago
is this where i buy dogecoin
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
source: my sell orders at 57c
Car
2 months ago
Meeting end of February or Start of March according to Trumps plan
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
huge pay for no, worth the risk
CC7
2 months ago
Huge pay for yes, worth the risk
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
i saw them in a cafe
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
i hope this doesn't happen
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
how old are you
Aneurysm
2 months ago
The obsession kids have with Minecraft is insane. It is a lock.
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
the orderbook is thin, it will just take one courageous individual to turn the tides
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
WASHINGTON, January 26. /TASS/. TACC has lost $50
TACC
2 months ago
WASHINGTON, January 26. /TASS/. U.S. President Donald Trump once again stated that he expects to speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin soon. His words are quoted in a statement issued by White House press pool journalists. :- "He wants to talk, and we will talk soon," Trump said. :- On Thursday, Trump claimed that "Russia should strive for an agreement" to resolve the Ukrainian crisis. "Maybe they want to make a deal. I think, from what I’ve heard, Putin would like to meet with me, meet as soon as we can. I would meet immediately," Trump said.
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
inverse comments
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
I'm MrKangaroo, crazy kangaroo on poly.
MrKangaroo
2 months ago
am just a nigga with a rocket launcher
NIGGA
2 months ago
We extend our condolences to Mr. XiJing
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
thank you for your input bitcoinlover69
BitcoinLover69
3 months ago
Crypto yes is literally free money now, gg bondtards
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
selling expired lottery tickets
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
i love polymarket
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
tf you mean it's "unlikely he'll say this"
0x0C97A81d0Aa036EA6B46131a2fE4aF77dAadFd1d-1730773970410
3 months ago
Imagine he goes on stage in front of 30M people and says this to start off the address: Because Kamala put America First, she's now out of a job and needs to probably work at McDonald's. I thank God, you thank God, she thanks God, we all thank God. I also thank God for something else, Crypto. I am making a Dogecoin reserve effective immediately to combat the rigged crypto ecosystem. Too many trans illegal immigrants have Dogecoin, and that is going to cause the middle class to suffer. But with the help of Elon and I, we can prevent this carnage that Biden started, by not only mining more Dogecoin, but by drilling. Drill Baby Drill. I know, it's a wonderful phrase.
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
seriousabout is an insider
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
obvs an alt
dividends
3 months ago
Never seen someone so desperate to pump up one share before lol
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
lol you suggested correlation
QuteAnon
3 months ago
Everyone on cable news pronounces D.O.G.E. as "Doge" and there's only a 13% chance Trump does?
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
"everyone on cable news" does not equal short formal prewritten inaugural address
QuteAnon
3 months ago
Everyone on cable news pronounces D.O.G.E. as "Doge" and there's only a 13% chance Trump does?
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
putin and xi jinping might actually come per the recent brics press release https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ&ab
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
keep in mind that with inaugural addresses, the president is encouraged to make jokes and have a lively debate with the audience, this could go for hours and who even knows what questions he will be asked
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
i love you filthy animal
MrKangaroo
4 months ago
let me paint you a picture, you wake up on a sunday afternoon and watch all 46 trump rallies, he doesn't say crypto or bitcoin once. you decide he won’t say it at a 1.5 hour rally, he’s saving it for his 20m inauguration speech, so you pull the trigger. surprisingly, the 78 year old man with several other priorities doesn’t say it in his pre-written speech, you wonder if you made a bad bet. you’re new here, but you remember a comment from MrKangaroo and you realise, you indeed have.
MrKangaroo
4 months ago
thank god i sold
MrKangaroo
4 months ago
flying cars they said
MrKangaroo
4 months ago
BREAKING NEWS: Humanitarian pause announced by Israel
MrKangaroo
4 months ago
thank you crypto/kamala bros
MrKangaroo
4 months ago
i too had that dream
Fortuna777
4 months ago
He will say “Kamala you’re fired” And the crowd will ROAAAAAAAAAAAR
MrKangaroo
4 months ago
of course it will, it's a clock
MrKangaroo
4 months ago
sure, bet on an election cycle memecoin
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
$PNUT has no utility and is based on a story about a dead hamster from two weeks ago, binance listed it five days ago therefore it should be listed on coinbase?
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
down to 1.4b but you never know!
JohnathanDoe
5 months ago
First urge was yes. But now thinking about it, When has coinbase ever listed a memecoin this fast??
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
the inauguration speech is definitely the one
Donkov
5 months ago
One last time crypto bros?
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
get it back to 85c
kaneways
5 months ago
I don't think they will just yet but they will be sorry.
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
$PNUT has no utility and is based on a story about a dead hamster from two weeks ago, binance listed it five days ago therefore it should be listed on coinbase?
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
bruh, how are people still buying yes, the only reason this isn't at NO 99.9c is because of the resolve date, don't listen to the scammers in the comments
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
your contribution is even punier my november friend
n/a
5 months ago
Looking at the results of 2023 proxy voting, there was not a single shareholder proposal that was even close to pass. The closest one being at 33% for. https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/investor/corporate-governance/votingresults Also, the justification of the board concerning the proposal is quite convincing, saying that they are already evaluating many options including crypto when allocating their assets and that an assessment is unwarranted.
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
for all the new people here buying yes, please stop it's not a gamble, you're literally burning money (unless you're arbing)
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
he's got a good point here, i don't know what the point is but i'm sure its a good one
covid18
5 months ago
https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/cabinet/
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
yes but not for you
Goy
5 months ago
free money
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
gg
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
Lie
Sardinianshepherd
5 months ago
you guys know that Gavin Newsom middle name is Rabs?
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
might want to do a little research my october friend
0x3709ea1a8A93f741F28a522f7cd2C954166D3d7E-1730184833906
5 months ago
Instersting https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1855828970807406610?s=46&t=2poVgEfngXhJ0l8QSSyZQg
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
thanks for the donation brother
0x3709ea1a8A93f741F28a522f7cd2C954166D3d7E-1730184833906
5 months ago
Has anyone seen Elons Tweet yet? This Free Money Gonna Be So Good https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1856056009480937855?s=46&t=2poVgEfngXhJ0l8QSSyZQg
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
"blackrock put this to a vote"
DilaTrades
5 months ago
BTC would be a great investment for Microsoft. Will definitely vote yes!
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
i found it funny
RonaldPaulson
5 months ago
🌊 I BELIEVE THAT SHE WILL WIN 🌊Selzer poll just came out Lake is up by 3+ 🌊
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
should have bonded harder :(
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
i can see a ceasefire happening soon, they both really want it
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
very scary
XiJinPing
5 months ago
BREAKING: Donald Trump To Appoint Elon Musk As 'Secretary of Cost-Cutting'
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
oh it most certainly is
Junel
5 months ago
this gotta be a cash giveaway bro
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
welcome to polymarket my october friends
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
"thank you to Pennsylvania the bellwether state" really could be yes here
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
can't argue with that
n/a
5 months ago
im betting green cuz i make more mony
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
gl guys
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
gotta be missing something here
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
i'm not very familiar with the matter, this could go either way
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
you're a little cutie
Stoop
5 months ago
Oct 31st PCE will be big for this
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
by trying to pump no here you're more of a scammer than car ever was
0x4444Fc34bd252890cF24a10ce161e2ae9380C4FB-1729774461789
5 months ago
car back at it again but on the side of the coin
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
israel attacks iraq? aren't they friends
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
what about 74m? thoughts
sosuke
5 months ago
could go either way 45-53m or 53-61m anyone betting on either of these is just gambling at the moment, even experts can't tell, what makes you think you can, 91c on 45-53m is only because the market's illiquid, keep aping !
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
thank you my friend, i appreciate it
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
fuck yeah got in at 87c, thanks crypto bros
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
my final guess is 74m
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
why dump before pump?
TRiUMPh
5 months ago
Seriously, dump and pump basing one one tweet
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
is it "we" already?
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
before you bet, look at my p/l
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
fuck yeah got in at 87c, thanks crypto bros
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
it's 8:25am ET on the first day, doubt any on the 'forecasts' have enough objective information to go off
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
I'm a Floridian, it's a Straightforward Yes. Our 2 Key Issues: Economy & Safety. In 2020, Floridians were upset at Trump for his anti-Florida statements and felt it led to anti-Florida hate crimes. By 2024, we got to see how the Democratic Party and their Attorney-Generals are the ones letting anti-Florida hate attackers go scott-free, while putting Floridians defending themselves from gunshots in jail for years. We got 4 years of seeing the Democratic Party deny the main demographic of anti-Floridian hate (Blacks). So all the previous misgivings we had against Trump for the stateism in 2020 is gone compared to the current danger from the Democrats.
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
i'm thinking florida here
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
it's going to be 69m, i work at amc and have the pre-order data
AK02
5 months ago
The year is 2018. Venom is tracked to underperform with a $50m debut. The movie opens to $80m+ The year is 2021. Venom 2 is tracked to underperform with a $50m debut. The movie opens to $90m+ The year is 2024. Venom 3 is tracked to underperform with a $50m debut...
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
i'm thinking florida here
MrKangaroo
5 months ago
before you bet, look at my p/l
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
what the hell man you stole my comment
sotadev1
6 months ago
I don’t trade on volatility and I’m holding to expiry, but I just wanted to give my take. The markets have made a huge move from a single article, regurgitated on a number of other websites/platforms. Bloomberg’s ONLY citations in the article are as follows: “the people, who asked not to be identified discussing private information.” as well as “the person said”. The only reference to Apple in the article is “Apple Inc., are likely to get access”. Apple do not make these kinds of investments and are famous for not making high profile investments, they opt to integrate smaller companies into their business, this fact is widely reported and has been reiterated by Tim Cook and other higher ups if you’ve followed Apple over the past decade, however you can simply have a look at their history of mergers and acqusitions: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mergers_and_acquisitions_by_Apple (Apple has already acquired an AI company this year). No Apple or Microsoft insiders would leak that the investment round is oversubscribed, it’s not in their interest as potential investors in this round. OpenAI however would happily namedrop Apple to entice other investors, given credibility thanks to their recent partnership with the company. I live in Australia so I’ll be asleep when the real news drops. I could be right, but I could be wrong, good luck to both yes and no holders :) I’ll be asleep when the real news drops. I could
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
hell yes
MageGold
6 months ago
Hell no
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
wait trump and elon also confirmed?
XiJinPing
6 months ago
Trump confirmed... Elon confirmed... Alex Jones even leaked it too by saying "get popcorn ready"
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i'm starting to think he might launch a coin
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
logic is sound always trust xi
XiJinPing
6 months ago
Kamala losing in polls everywhere... she gotta throw a hail mary and try Rogan's peepee out
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i like what you're doing but you can't be saying "no one thought i was going to be where am at now" with a 1k p/l
nnimrodd
6 months ago
New film about polymarket https://x.com/nnimrodd/status/1841767556551491914
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
JoeDONATES.com
JoeBETS
6 months ago
if No is even at 50c by the end of the week i’m slamming 10 extra bands on it 💰 gn
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
this you Eyebrows sold 2,000 No at 21.0¢ ($421) 2h ago
Eyebrows
6 months ago
Welp, so far, no holders haven't really been flinching and neither have the yes holders. Any moment Joe might say there is no podcast, or even that there is on but it's after the election. At every moment, we are in potential peril. Imminent danger. Every moment, a precipice.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
thanks for keeping us updated
JoeBETS
6 months ago
watching the full send pod now
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
don't listen to the haters, when this is all over you'll have made a staggering 50 cents
SpaceNewsDotTech
6 months ago
Australia news confirmed it
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i'd look at elon's tweet again if i were you
0xZo
6 months ago
NEITHER said before the election NEITHER confirmed a date 🤷🏽‍♂️
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
brother, there are three other sources you could have cited (https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1844565090206416920, https://x.com/nelkboys/status/1845292385850540122, https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1844554604060795226) yet you choose a fan account
UnofficialDonaldTrump
6 months ago
Joe Rogan asks his audience, https://x.com/joeroganhq/status/1845231515090944049
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
got to agree with my counterparty here
squarestylepizza
6 months ago
The volume on this market is insane.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
guess that's factually correct?..
moneysniper
6 months ago
If trump goes to the podcast there will be a podcast
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1844565090206416920
Rigatonii
6 months ago
https://x.com/C_Kavanagh/status/1554991574827687936
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
have you factored in an announcement from joe into your theta decay calculation
XiJinPing
6 months ago
Trump hasnt even recorded the podcast yet... it'll be at least 2 more weeks lol. GJ holding YES for 2 weeks decaying 50%
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
https://x.com/nelkboys/status/1845292385850540122
INK
6 months ago
https://www.newsweek.com/joe-rogan-donald-trump-podcast-politics-joe-rogan-experience-lex-fridman-1721657
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
idk what to say man https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1844565090206416920 you either haven't seen this or you're lying, this is the best exit liquidity you'll get, wish you the best
Tekangu
6 months ago
It is not happening. Joe has said multiple times he won't have him on, and both Trump and Elon are massively coping. Joe doesn't want the political attention and his family is likely strongly against it
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
aaron28a sold 2,554 No at 17.0¢ ($434)
EdgyUsername
6 months ago
That's right!
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
lol we'll see my friend
Infringe
6 months ago
I know the Yes holders are just gonna say that Trump didnt have enough time for the podcast when they loss to cope with their losses.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
brother, all of the trump supporters didn't come out of hiding at once, the price change is simply based on confirmed news from now a second source
JoeBETS
6 months ago
I'm starting to realize a lot of this unwavering confidence from Yes people is coming from their unwavering support for Trump himself. They don't fully understand the probability of this happening but it's fun to bet on something you support like your favorite basketball team. There might be a rude awakening for you all, if we leave out November there's only 18 days Yes people so if you're making a profit already just consider what I'm saying. I'm not selling regardless of the price because I have to follow my heart.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i'll go ahead and save some time, sorry for taking your money
Infringe
6 months ago
Yes holders are gonna owe the biggest apology in polymarket history just watch and see...
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
gg's
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
45m
Panzwalizka
6 months ago
wen?
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
1/10 scam, embarrassing
WillSmith
6 months ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/Defiant_Update/status/1844068113450762423
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
why tf was this at 22c
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
anyone know why maga 4+ is at 68%? if you go through all the old markets, he's never said it four times before (three has been done though)
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
polling average is +8, Trump vs Biden was +10, ranked choice voting will make no significant difference, I can see where you're coming from but this is definitely priced correctly
gaut6375
6 months ago
people forget that this is the first year Alaska will be using ranked choice voting. also, the state has consistently shifted closer and closer to the center. trump has not even paid lip service to the state. they elected murkowski as an independent write in and then a democrat for the house at-large seat. trump will win, but will be less than 6 point
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
bond city
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
drill baby drill in california lol
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
why on earth would he say dark maga
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
its me i am the frontrunner
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i am the frontrunner
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
bond alert
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
if you're buying yes due to rate cuts, good luck
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
too big to rig!
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
why "too big to win"
Zeke12345
6 months ago
I’d say it’s usually around 80%. He didn’t say 20 the last rally though but the previous one he got 30+ so it’s hard to gauge. At the bare minimum he says 15 per rally.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i love lactic acid buildup
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
you need help
doriannakamoto
6 months ago
thx
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i was always on the yes side
Car
6 months ago
Its time ladies and gentlemen!
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
there's no way you actually bought elon musk
Car
6 months ago
They said the findings: “ will shock the world, even the US election”. The only person on this list thats political affiliated with Trump is Elon Musk. Not only that, but Musk has experience with payment systems like PayPal. Worth the gamble at these odds !
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
“In the film, director cullen hoback for his satoshi suspect, a person he ultimately challenges face to face” - CNN “we confront satoshi, who- I -we make a strong case for in this film- um -with that case and I think their reaction is in some ways more telling than even the evidence itself” - Hoback https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid “but I will confirm—we land on a specific name.” - Hoback https://x.com/CullenHoback/status/1842286135319691745 As Adam appears in the interview with specific reference to “I think their reaction is in some ways more telling than even the evidence itself”, I think it’s ridiculously undervalued. Based on the evidence available, Adam is horifically undervalued (remember this is just one journalist/directors opinion and he can’t actually out satoshi).
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
huh
Phoenix777
6 months ago
CHAD is a chance for all YES holders to turn it around
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
come on man
Secret14thKey
6 months ago
more yes vote just dropped 👀 gap narrowing
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
why is there 400k volume on elon
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
HAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i love you
NIGGA
6 months ago
forgot to add car, smh
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i never doubted you for a second
Car
6 months ago
Who told you Apple wouldnt invest?
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
fuck
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
illegal aliens just got edged
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
illegal aliens just got edged
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
he's not going to say anything
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i miss your old profile picture
NIGGA
6 months ago
Time to reveal your own argumentation instead of throwing shade at him
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
guess who is still the frontrunner
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i am still the frontrunner
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
Your portfolio is crazy, wrong side of joy, jfk and this
HsB34sgg
6 months ago
The world's premiere foreign affairs journal has called it an INVASION! "Yesterday, it took the next step—a ground invasion into Lebanon that unleashed a full-scale assault on Hezbollah—all while facing new direct retaliation from Iran, with nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched at Israel this week." https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/where-will-israels-multifront-war-end
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
one letter
TheGuy27
6 months ago
I HATE RIGGERS
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
you're a genius, now you're only 4k down
HsB34sgg
6 months ago
, DUDE, I made $1,000 bucks today calling the invasion WAY in advance. I would have made way more if I didn't place 2/3 of my stack in the November market. Anyway, I hedged. Whatever. Good luck dumping 'n pumping. lol What a way to live a life. Wow!
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
@HsB34sgg you would have made more money working a minimum wage job for the time you spent writing yes comments
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
lying isn't good for you
HsB34sgg
6 months ago
By 8:59 PM ET, September 30th, Reuters, The Guardian, Forbes, The Telegraph, NPR, the Independent, the BBC, The Times of Israel, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Fox News, New York Post, Daily Mail, Al Jazeera, and many more ALL confirmed the invasion. Both Israel, and the IDF then confirmed the invasion within the timeframe specified in the rules.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
you have to go to sleep at some point
HsB34sgg
6 months ago
Netanyahu spells out his intent in this short, yet informative video. You can hear Netanyahu's intent straight from his lips! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9EK2bddG_Y
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
heh heh heh
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
good luck yes spammers, half a day to pump and exit
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
see you guys in 14 hours
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
you sure
Car
6 months ago
Nobody is gonna dispute this with the current evidence we have. Sorry NO holders, but its a YES
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
allahu akbar
ahmadkhalif3
6 months ago
وسبق أن دخلت إسرائيل إلى لبنان سراً ليلاً
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
the invasion is imminent
Baronf
6 months ago
https://x.com/SuppressedNws/status/1840654077476122675
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
see you guys in 17 hours
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
lmao 5.2k yes shares at 11c, who's trying to sell off their position
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
beating a dead horse
DeucePapi
6 months ago
‘Within hours’: Ground invasion fears as Israel pounds Lebanon https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/world/israel-begins-new-air-raids-on-dozens-of-hezbollah-targets/news-story/6887c5c1ed847085afefa1e7e26f1ac7
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i am still the frontrunner
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i am the frontrunner
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
can you afford that
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Bibi called, he said pack your bags extra heavy bc we're taking a trip to lebanon
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i can confirm he's a very soft person, he's not trying get cheaper no shares, he just bets with his heart
FamilyCapital
6 months ago
I think there is a real chance that they gonna start it in the next 24 hours. There were too many incidents made by Israel, to not act after them. I'm NO holder with 80c per shares, even so, I believe the probability is like 30 to 70.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
let him have this
denizz
6 months ago
It's talking about at unspecified times in the last 18 years
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i respect your perseverance
Foreseeable.
6 months ago
This is literally a confirmation. " Israeli commandos have penetrated 'deep into the country' for 'sensitive intelligence missions" https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/nyt-israel-has-sent-undercover-commandos-deep-into-lebanon-for-sensitive-intelligence-missions/
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
nobody is buying your shares man
Phat.
6 months ago
From the frontlines https://x.com/EdyCohen/status/1840325895812173840
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
"Rumors IDF are conducting ground op. in Lebanon are false", "Israel has not yet decided to invade Lebanon as part of the ongoing conflict with Hezbollah", "No final decision on ground operations", "Israel prefers to see whether the new Hezbollah leader, as yet unannounced, will take a more pragmatic approach to ending the current conflict", "It is also hoped that holding off an invasion to give some more potential time to diplomacy will assuage US anger at Israel for killing Nasrallah and achieve more "slack" with the US when and if an invasion is necessary", "While no invasion decision is necessarily imminent, if the IDF invades, there is pressure to start the invasion within weeks" - https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822290
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822290
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
Israel cannot state they’re entering to establish control for obvious diplomatic reasons, and it is highly unlikely Lebanon would declare minor border incursions as Israel “invading to establish control” (acknowledging this would lead to further political and economic instability). Even if a “consensus of credible reporting” was published to contradict these governments, it wouldn’t matter due to the weighting of the resolution sources. Keep in mind this is the best case for “YES”. Israeli troops have a day and a half to conduct a convincing offensive for there to be any chance at all. There’s less than 36 hours until a “NO” resolution can and will be proposed, the best case scenario then will be a “YES” dispute after the fact. Only problem is that the YES disputers will be on the back foot and have to argue a technicially in the wording to UMA, and we’ve all seen countless times that markets don’t resolve on technicalities. (2/2)
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
If you look at the profiles of the comments below, you’ll see half of them are selling their position. There’s a seperate market for “Israeli forces enters Lebanon before November”, which obviously means that for this market, simply entering won’t count as a resolution. This market has made a huge move from a single article, regurgitated on a number of other websites/platforms. ABC’s only two citations in this article contradict each other: “Small-scale operations into Lebanon to take out Hezbollah positions have begun or are about to” and “Israel does not yet appear to have fully decided whether to launch a ground operation but is prepared for one, the officials said”. The first quote doesn’t even suggest anything about controlling territory, but only to “take out Hezbollah positions”. Let’s assume troops enter Lebanon within the next 36 hours. Per this market’s rules, there must be an offensive “intended to establish control”. If they do enter, intent will be hard to prove and therefore would need to have somewhat unanimous agreement between the resolution sources: Lebanon, Israel, United Nations, UN Security Council. (1/2)
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
If you look at the profiles of the comments below, you’ll see half of them are selling their position. There’s a seperate market for “Israeli forces enters Lebanon before November”, which obviously means that for this market, simply entering won’t count as a resolution. This market has made a huge move from a single article, regurgitated on a number of other websites/platforms. ABC’s only two citations in this article contradict each other: “Small-scale operations into Lebanon to take out Hezbollah positions have begun or are about to” and “Israel does not yet appear to have fully decided whether to launch a ground operation but is prepared for one, the officials said”. The first quote doesn’t even suggest anything about controlling territory, but only to “take out Hezbollah positions”. Let’s assume troops enter Lebanon within the next 36 hours. Per this market’s rules, there must be an offensive “intended to establish control”. If they do enter, intent will be hard to prove and therefore would need to have somewhat unanimous agreement between the resolution sources: Lebanon, Israel, United Nations, UN Security Council. (1/2)
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
true, the media have never engaged in fear mongering
Justifax
6 months ago
No confirmation for ABC report, though it would be odd for them to carelessly scare the entire middle east, and potentially the world.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i did, why didn't you
Moondog
6 months ago
You should buy more
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
same article that says "Israel does not yet appear to have fully decided whether to launch a ground operation but is prepared for one, the officials said."
Justifax
6 months ago
The rules are 'any portion'. They are taking control of the border outposts. The border outposts count as 'any portion'.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
surely making up stories to sell off your $33 position isn't worth the time
Gena🐊
6 months ago
Land invasion has just started, I know how this pesky jews think, in 15 minutes news will start to come in.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
friendly reminder that this market resolves in 41 hours and 39 minutes
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
no it didn’t
AKAxyz
6 months ago
this didn't age well
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
44.5 hours to both invade and establish control, please fill me
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i threw a rock at my neighbour, now i have control of his house
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i am the frontrunner
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
rare polymarket L
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
yes you can't do that, they will find out
Fred19999
6 months ago
Is it against the rules to just DM @Gummybear1771 and ask her the answer?
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i just tipped you 1c, don't spend it all in one place
HighwaytoHeavn
6 months ago
can someone please tip me i am out of moneyt
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
lmao
Clickyleaks
6 months ago
ChatGpt see's the chance of Isreali ground action in September at 60-70%
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
beautiful poem nigga
NIGGA
6 months ago
You pour out your heart, let your kindness flow, But without return, the balance sinks low. A giving soul can lose its glow, When all you receive is a silent “no.”
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
another middle east bond
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
50 pence and domer on the yes side, interesting
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i love spreading misinformation
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
big day should be tomorrow! good luck all
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i'd like to play you in a game of poker
PolymarketUser
6 months ago
What if isreal does its thing and say "No this is not a military operation we just bombed Lebanon out of charity" and then all the mainstream media goes with it to say and then all "consensus reporting" end up agreeing with Isreal's propaganda to say there is no military offence.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
walz talks too quickly, easy bet if you've watched them both speak
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
then buy more
Moondog
6 months ago
"Senior Officials are ready to launch a ground operation in Lebanon," -Walla, Israeli media.
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
really
Paganheat
7 months ago
https://www.ft.com/content/a8f9bd05-0999-415d-af86-c73e79ad5733
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
calm down man
BiggestBidenFan
6 months ago
NOW - Violent Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon. UNIFIL command, the UN force in Lebanon, orders all of its civilian employees to leave with their families to safe areas north of the Litani River, JPost reports. Lebanon's health ministry told hospitals in the country's south and east to stop all non-urgent surgery to handle the wounded. @disclosetv
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
big day should be tomorrow! good luck all
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
come on moondog you’re better than that
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
time decay ❤️
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
really don’t think this is a time for either country to be celebrating
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
time decay ❤️
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
time decay ❤️
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
and i suppose you don't
Paganheat
6 months ago
You have sunk cost bias bro. Get out while you still can
MrKangaroo
6 months ago
i agree, great value, i can't sell because my computers not working but if it was i'd buy a ton of yes
XiJinPing
6 months ago
sold 90% of my NO, they are escalating way too much, this is very scary
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
I don’t trade on volatility and I’m holding to expiry, but I just wanted to give my take. The markets have made a huge move from a single article, regurgitated on a number of other websites/platforms. Bloomberg’s ONLY citations in the article are as follows: “the people, who asked not to be identified discussing private information.” as well as “the person said”. The only reference to Apple in the article is “Apple Inc., are likely to get access”. Apple do not make these kinds of investments and are famous for not making high profile investments, they opt to integrate smaller companies into their business, this fact is widely reported and has been reiterated by Tim Cook and other higher ups if you’ve followed Apple over the past decade, however you can simply have a look at their history of mergers and acqusitions: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mergers_and_acquisitions_by_Apple (Apple has already acquired an AI company this year). No Apple or Microsoft insiders would leak that the investment round is oversubscribed, it’s not in their interest as potential investors in this round. OpenAI however would happily namedrop Apple to entice other investors, given credibility thanks to their recent partnership with the company. I live in Australia so I’ll be asleep when the real news drops. I could be right, but I could be wrong, good luck to both yes and no holders :)
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
I'll admit, it's true that the news came out that apple's an investor, good luck to all yes holders! looks like we'll find out tomorrow (please place yes bids closer to the spread, i have a gambling problem)
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
how dare you, car is a respected investor that always holds shares to maturity
Tenebrus7
7 months ago
In before Car pushes his yes shares with a link to X when an airstrike hits ;): For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
you're probably right, you know with your history of making correct predictions
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I know....I meant that if they cross, the odds of them not establishing control are less than 1%.
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
Willing to buy a huge quantity of no at 80c, msg me on discord if interested (mrkangaroo6353)
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
This ones obviously a no, but I wouldn't touch the other one with a 10 foot pole https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1726792623333
XiJinPing
7 months ago
this market is for "invasion to establish control"... they created a separate new market for "enter".
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
pretty decent pump nice work
Car
7 months ago
https://x.com/JoeTruzman/status/1836776217846153392
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
deleting comments, down 12k, quoting the art of war, for your sake i actually hope you win this one
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You don't take out your enemies communications systems and send thousands of foot soldiers and tanks to the border unless you're ready for war.
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
it's always the same story with apple, purchase small company and keep r&d in house, them being shut off from acquisitions is simply not true "Apple Inc. has acquired Canadian artificial intelligence startup DarwinAI, adding technology to its arsenal ahead of a big push into generative AI in 2024. The iPhone maker purchased the business earlier this year, and dozens of DarwinAI’s employees have joined Apple’s artificial intelligence division, according to people with knowledge of the matter, who asked not to be identified because the deal hasn’t been announced."
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
they still might break precedent and invest in a high profile company, you never know
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
You might want to trim down your position if that's the basis of your argument, i'd suggest doing a little research into the previous occupation of Southern Lebanon as well as the real motives of the current Israeli administration
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
They could definitely attack Hezbollah further but "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" is absolutely insane, really high yield for a bond maturing in 11 days
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
They could definitely attack Hezbollah further but "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" is absolutely insane, really high yield for a bond maturing in 11 days
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
kangaroo wins
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
let me have this
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
apologies to whoever filled my order, it's not personal
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
pretty sure its positive ev if there's 10 trading days, 0.83% difference, and a $60b buyback just announced
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
to be fair, positive news for both companies and apple leads by ~1%, im holding to expiry but it should be closer to a 50/50
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
apologies to whoever filled my order, it's not personal
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
they still might break precedent and invest in a high profile company, you never know
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
stfu im trying to get my order filled
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
to be fair, positive news for both companies and apple leads by ~1%, im holding to expiry but it should be closer to a 50/50
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
if you look at the CBOE market for both companies, you'll find msft overtaking appl at all in the next 9 trading days has an incredibly low chance even with a 2.58% pre-market difference
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
to be fair, positive news for both companies and apple leads by ~1%, im holding to expiry but it should be closer to a 50/50
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
to be fair, positive news for both companies and apple leads by ~1%, im holding to expiry but it should be closer to a 50/50
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
hedging polymarket with a short is crazy
MicR
7 months ago
I screwed up, I should probably dump my Yes while it's worth something. Good thing I'm also short AAPL.
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
was going to sell once it reflected actual options on the stocks but msft is far more protected with this rate cut, no is actually more likely now
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
1 x maga and 3 x make america great again
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
4
GavinBets1
7 months ago
How many china were on
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
china number 5
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
"make america great ag-" 2.5
KPB
7 months ago
We at 3 or 4 MAGAs?
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
give it a few hours
CheerfulPessimist
7 months ago
And somehow the price for No still tanked, lol.
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
what if she says "border border border border realized ethereum unconvicted truth, kfc"
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
"2nd token will be launches"
Tenebrus7
7 months ago
Tik Tok, tik Tok everyday going down till 0 mountain my friend.
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
im genuinely concerned about you
Mountainman
7 months ago
You guys literally lie about everything and are insanely obsessed with me. I could not tell one "NO" holder from another. All just anonymous tards to me. Trump team said announcements this week.This week still has more 2 HUGE days left. Hold onto your underpants... Smart money has been market buying, we know what's coming ;) but you guys spend more time on here day dreaming about me than doing research. Tik Tok. Tik Tok.
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
Justifax 207 Yes 10h ago
Justifax
7 months ago
Car 355 No 2d ago
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
my bad you were right
Car
7 months ago
Apple just got hit with a fine of 13B$. Quite a big amount if you only have 61B on hand and what to invest in OpenAI! Maybe time to invest another time when the cash position is stronger?
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
there is a problem with this analysis, it doesn't take into account apple's history, they're literally famous for never making investments like this, they would have to break precedent for your yes shares to pay
Justifax
7 months ago
Here's another biz periodical saying the deal makes sense - https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-nvidia-openai-d2cccfa3 It's just analysis though.
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
"just got hit" fine is from 2016, obviously we're on the same side of this trade and based on apple's investment history "no" should be 80%-90%, but there's no need to lie
Car
7 months ago
Apple just got hit with a fine of 13B$. Quite a big amount if you only have 61B on hand and what to invest in OpenAI! Maybe time to invest another time when the cash position is stronger?
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
Obviously an alt, interest rates are at a five year high, quantitative tightening has continued from 2022, the NFT's that trump released are completely different (regulation wise) than a cryptocurrency
polymark
7 months ago
Pushing back on 2 points of FUD that have been brought up: 1. "Crypto is in a bear market right now" Ironically, the same forces (fed policy) that will create a pre-election bull market for Kamala will benefit Trump. Every Crypto bull market correlates with fed policy (QE + Low Rates), this time will be no different, expect a bull market sometime in October and certainly by early Nov 2. "He won't release it pre-election because of SEC or Legal Issues"-- Trump released NFTs with no issues. Crypto is so new (relative to traditional finance) that the regulations around it tend to not keep up with the technology. This gives their legal team plenty of loopholes to exploit & leeway to release the project in a compliant manner. It will be controversial as it will fall in a legal gray area and dems will be upset ofc, but that's not a showstopper & controversy and legal issues are not exactly anathema to Trump lol
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
if you're so sure this will go the way you think, why do you feel the need to keep commenting?
Mountainman
7 months ago
The BIG week is here!!!! Major announcements confirmed to be coming this week. 99% sure a launch date will be revealed, lining up perfectly for a historically amazing month for crypto- October. As soon as that tweet drops all of the big money dogs on here are going to flood into this market within seconds and Market Buy “YES” leaving "NO" in the single digits in the snap of a finger, exactly like what happened a few days ago with the Trump Sentencing markets. Coming here and watching all of the shit talkers scrambling for a new excuse, and begging others to dispute. Oh boy will it be entertaining!!!
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
I understand the yes holders here, but keep in mind these markets will only resolve if WLF release a cryptocurrency within 59 days. Trump’s got a lot more to lose with a coin launch than to gain and winning the election is far more profitable for him than any other business venture. Trump and his family have a major stake in the project, therefore his campaign staff (300-500 full-time employees) would most definitely advise on a post-election launch. As far as the NFT argument goes, markets don’t resolve on technicalities.
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
for anyone new here, look at car's activity and you will see he's bought both yes and no, he's famous for trading on volatility and successfully pumping shares with comments here and on discord, take everything he says with a grain of salt regardless of which side you’re buying :)
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
thanks to you, we won't be negative for long
Mountainman
7 months ago
More negative PNL buyers flocking in! Let's go!
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
I'd like to hear your side, how would it not be political suicide for Trump to be directly involved in a cryptocurrency ICO before an election?
Mountainman
7 months ago
Yes spiked before that, then spiked more after that, and now things are trading under the level of when the actual news came out. Wild day.
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
so the yes shares spiked because trump's sons wife got hacked on twitter? gotta be missing something here
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
hahahahaha
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
skill issue
Justifax
7 months ago
Timezone issue. EST shows 1.6
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
drill baby drill
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
thank you fredi chain
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
i respect the conviction
MalikNabers
7 months ago
Oh shit I was looking at Trump Biden!!! I’m fucked
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
your balls are to the berlin wall
MalikNabers
7 months ago
Deciding whether to say something or let you geniuses figure it out yourselves
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
fredi 2.0
MalikNabers
7 months ago
Deciding whether to say something or let you geniuses figure it out yourselves
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
link?
Sit
7 months ago
"French judges are set to decide whether to proceed with a case against Telegram CEO Pavel Durov following his arrest over the weekend. If he is considered a flight risk, they may extend his detention until the trial begins."
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
i know my position will likely be wrong but how could you think trump wins, rasmussen and fox would both need to show a 6+ trump
0x23D185eB0ae8Fc4ad8131b6f662153037223d302-1724753956851
7 months ago
Trump lead
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
bit dramatic but he's an asset to the us and allies at the moment, can't see him being released
X9504
7 months ago
I wonder if they will release the internationally wanted political prisoner with ties to a country that declared war on Europe and who’s also accused of facilitating terrorism and CSAM
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
a poll from rasmussen or fox couldn't flip this with their 3 moe, free money thanks
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
"This Day In History: August 26, 2020: Biden +7.1 | August 26, 2016: Clinton +6.0" https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
take freddi down
Au-gust
7 months ago
Argument?
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
FUCK YEAH CEASEFIRE
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
Left leaning pollsters have a history of manipulating odds to favor their candidate, happened in 2016 (https://morningconsult.com/2016/07/31/presidential-poll-hillary-clinton-donald-trump/) and in 2020 (https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/23/politics/biden-poll-bounce-post-election/index.html), the hype around the dem candidate will be at its peak after she speaks as the party tries to convince the public that she did a great job, polls will likely influence polymarket for a short period, she's already flipped trump before in August, 54c seems super low for it to happen again
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
"Despite her clear momentum, she continues to struggle in the key swing state of Michigan, where “Uncommitted” voters are demanding a Gaza ceasefire paired with an arms embargo on Israel. Agreeing to such a demand should be a moral, geopolitical, and – for the Democrats – electoral no-brainer." - https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/aug/19/kamala-harris-biden-gaza-ceasefire-arms-embargo. There's a pretty large group of liberal voters that are pro palestine, the only way the democrats can appease both israel supporters and palestine supporters is by calling for a ceasefire, it would be so easy for her to simply mention it, I can't see a scenario where her team doesn't mention the gaza situation in her speech and it's very unlikely she'll bring it up without using the word ceasefire
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
"Ilhan Omar Takes Swipe at AOC for Praising Kamala Harris’s Gaza Ceasefire Push" - https://theintercept.com/2024/08/21/dnc-aoc-ilhan-omar-kamala-harris-gaza/
MrKangaroo
8 months ago
why is ceasefire only at 55c