endo2

Ecuador Presidential Election

endo2

4 months ago

it's 2025. Luisa and Leonidas and others were already trying to form a coalition for these elections last year. While it didn't work Iza will find a common ground much easier with Gonzalez than with Noboa, to whom he's completely ideologically opposed. Despite Correa related shit show in the past

1

PedroB

4 months ago

The third candidate (5,3%) will endorses Luisa, he is from a left-wing party

Ecuador Presidential Election

endo2

4 months ago

0.2 now, I think she will

0

kwarktaart

4 months ago

0.4% difference now, she might overtake him

Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?

endo2

4 months ago

best you can do Jesus is to bet on the opposite of everything you think

2

CometoJesusMoment

4 months ago

US will never recognize new syrian government because there is a partnership between US and YPG/PYD/SDG

Ecuador Presidential Election

endo2

4 months ago

simplification but not far from

1

TurqMcurkis

4 months ago

this is looking good, all of the remaining votes are from heavily luisa areas

Ecuador Presidential Election

endo2

4 months ago

already now Noboa + Andrea less than Luisa + Leonidas

2

TurqMcurkis

4 months ago

this is looking good, all of the remaining votes are from heavily luisa areas

Ecuador Presidential Election

endo2

4 months ago

Noboa is cooked 😎🔥🐹

2

CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?

endo2

4 months ago

https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/allensbach.htm or wikipedia

1

Cisomate2901

4 months ago

According to Politico Berlin Playbook Podcast today Allensbach will publish a new poll on Friday. CDU will be probably unchanged or only with marginal adjsutments to last poll (34%). They also state that Allensbach had the closest prediction before the 2021 election

CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?

endo2

4 months ago

only issue with new Allensbach is they collect data over a 12 days period...so all new developments might not be reflected best in the results

1

Cisomate2901

4 months ago

According to Politico Berlin Playbook Podcast today Allensbach will publish a new poll on Friday. CDU will be probably unchanged or only with marginal adjsutments to last poll (34%). They also state that Allensbach had the closest prediction before the 2021 election

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by...?

endo2

4 months ago

when clarification comes, all orders get canceled, fairness

1

CompulsiveGambler

4 months ago

Wtf were all my orders cancelled? Did they purge the order book?

Ecuador Presidential Election

endo2

4 months ago

their polling agencies are totally reliable. I trust more we'll see another Villavicencio episode than them

0

homosexual

4 months ago

Jan 30 - 44% Luisa Gonzalez, 35% Daniel Noboa. https://x.com/RComunitariosEc/status/1885194975492661384/photo/4 45% Luisa Gonzalez, 42% Daniel Noboa https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7290920989054406658

Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?

endo2

4 months ago

never got why you sold everything :) with 2 months to go, was a total keeper

0

denizz

4 months ago

Amalek gave up. This just needs to be proposed again by anyone with $750. I'm busy atm.

Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?

endo2

4 months ago

glad you didn't sell german ngga

0

Fledermaus

4 months ago

I don't want to have a disputed resolution. So anyone who thinks that Turkey has not yet recognized the new Syrian government, please state what you think formal diplomatic recognition is and what you think would have to happen for you to admit that it has occurred.

Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?

endo2

4 months ago

rise kebab rise 🥙🐪🕌

5

Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?

endo2

4 months ago

provocation - Canada exists

5

FreeYourMind

4 months ago

As a Canadian, I have full faith that our leader will do something stupid to provoke Trump to increase Tariffs before May... as sad as it is

Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?

endo2

4 months ago

there is currently more than 90 countries in the world (55%) that don't fit either democracy or flawed democracy categories. EU and Turkiye recognize most of them. In other words your statements are completely detached from reality. I would say put some money on your retarded views, but actually don't, you will just bankrupt your poor parents

2

CometoJesusMoment

4 months ago

Neither Turkey nor Europe recognizes a government that is not established in a democracy. Turkey's percentage is being ridiculous

Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?

endo2

4 months ago

what a clown :D not because you're wrong, just because you keep repeating same sentence again and again and again

2

CometoJesusMoment

4 months ago

Neither Turkey nor Europe recognizes a government that is not established in a democracy. Turkey's percentage is being ridiculous

Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?

endo2

4 months ago

+ Egypt and Palestine + EU spokesperson : President al-Sharaa’s speech serve to match aspirations of Syrian people https://sana.sy/en/?p=345740

2

endo2

4 months ago

Official statements from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Oman, Jordan, and Yemen expressed support for Sharaa’s leadership and the restructuring efforts underway in Syria. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/arab-states-congratulate-ahmad-al-sharaa-on-assuming-interim-syrian-presidency/3468002

Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?

endo2

4 months ago

Official statements from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Oman, Jordan, and Yemen expressed support for Sharaa’s leadership and the restructuring efforts underway in Syria. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/arab-states-congratulate-ahmad-al-sharaa-on-assuming-interim-syrian-presidency/3468002

2

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by...?

endo2

4 months ago

just proposed clarification on Discord. Cause mappers might stop updating. Peace could be signed but RU effective control over a city might not come the same day or week or month

1

randomWalkingShrimp

4 months ago

What if Russians gain control over Pokrovsk through peace deal?

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by...?

endo2

4 months ago

the is talking about this I guess https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pokrovsk_offensive but interpreting that as battle for Pokrovsk is beyond uninformed

2

Intendant-Jean-Talon

4 months ago

This battle is on track to be the longest battle on the European continent. Verdun last 10 months and this one is at 6 currently and Russia in not yet in the town and have surrounded about 30%. They are going nowhere

Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?

endo2

4 months ago

that's the first accurate thing you said

3

CometoJesusMoment

4 months ago

erdogan cannot recognize this government without a democratic election. because this government that is now in syria was not a government that erdogan supported. But when HTS went directly to Damascus and overthrew Assad, the government was left to Colani. In the absence of a democratic election, Erdogan cannot officially recognize this government. Turkey will announce that will not recognize the transitional government and Turkey will force to hold elections in the summer. If Turkey recognizes it, Syrian transitional government cannot bring it to the elections.

Who will recognize Syrian Government by March 31?

endo2

4 months ago

dude you're wrong and boring. Erdogan doesn't give a shit about dem elections. He's working with Syria on trade agreements, military, intelligence. Calling them new administration, legitimate partners. Met personally with Syrian Foreign affairs minister. His FA minister went to meet al-Julani. And now SA broke the ice.

4

CometoJesusMoment

4 months ago

erdogan cannot recognize this government without a democratic election. because this government that is now in syria was not a government that erdogan supported. But when HTS went directly to Damascus and overthrew Assad, the government was left to Colani. In the absence of a democratic election, Erdogan cannot officially recognize this government. Turkey will announce that will not recognize the transitional government and Turkey will force to hold elections in the summer. If Turkey recognizes it, Syrian transitional government cannot bring it to the elections.

CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?

endo2

4 months ago

source please?

1

Cisomate2901

4 months ago

According to new INSA poll 66% agree with Merz proposals. Even 56% of SPD voters and 30% of Green voters agree. CDU will gain from both Left and Right voters. Expect them to reach 35%+X in next polls

Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?

endo2

4 months ago

:D

0

muusd

4 months ago

Trump thinks kids born to mother who are not citizens in USA are aliens.

AfD % of vote in German Election?

endo2

5 months ago

large sample longer time span MRI YouGov also came out and placed them on 19,7% No love for nazi lesbo :(

3

Trolloftheswamp

5 months ago

Allenbatch came out 20 for afd only two percent I increase

AfD % of vote in German Election?

endo2

5 months ago

https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/51395-germans-and-britons-disapprove-of-musks-recent-interventions

1

East coast port strike in January?

endo2

5 months ago

gg

2

KMSingMyself

5 months ago

GG

Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?

endo2

5 months ago

They will either announce they implemented it nationwide or test it on a very small percentage of users. There is no scenario where they implement it in 30 US states, covering 40% of the population. Social media platforms (or any big tech apps) just don't work like that.

3

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

endo2

5 months ago

Zelensky knows where he needs to be on 20 January, first row, number one fan

5

dimmas

5 months ago

Ukrainian MP Honcharenko: I have inside information that Zelensky, through Macron's mediation, is trying to arrange a meeting with Trump on inauguration day.

East coast port strike in January?

endo2

5 months ago

I've put up 3k if you're interested

2

PoLOLitics

5 months ago

https://www.worldcargonews.com/news/2024/12/maersk-no-progress-in-ila-usmx-talks/

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

endo2

6 months ago

I believe in you going minus Pnl after this market

0

its.just.fire

6 months ago

do you guys believe in Christmas miracles?

East coast port strike in January?

endo2

6 months ago

https://ibb.co/wYmVWrd

0

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

endo2

6 months ago

might be Israel invasion of Syria :)

0

pawel

6 months ago

deniz why sell?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

endo2

6 months ago

sometimes it's an easy answer, positions minus Pnl - he has at least 35$ of his own money in rn

0

Mari-chan

6 months ago

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/hamas-official-34-hostages-could-be-released-in-first-phase-of-deal-rafah-crossing-would-reopen/

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

endo2

6 months ago

who cares about facts when it's such a nice clickbaity headline

0

WAR.MONITOR

6 months ago

BREAKING: Closure of Russian bases in Syria will be among European conditions to support Damascus https://x.com/arabnews/status/1868581202183254182

Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?

endo2

8 months ago

not gonna die on this hill...but with recent advancements seems like above 50% chance they take it in the next 40 days

2

sigh

8 months ago

Nice trade @endo

Moldova Presidential Election Winner

endo2

8 months ago

for both of us

0

Fav1

8 months ago

Free money

Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?

endo2

8 months ago

exist

1

gun

8 months ago

what the fuck did irak do

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

endo2

8 months ago

There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

endo2

8 months ago

"As of 30 September, an Israeli invasion of Lebanon seemed imminent[19] and on October 1 Israel officially invaded Lebanon." from - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/September_2024_Lebanon_strikes ... "On 1 October 2024, Israel began an invasion of southern Lebanon in an escalation of the ongoing Israel–Hezbollah conflict, a result of the spillover of the Israel–Hamas war." from - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon

0

Justifax

8 months ago

The "Northern Arrows operation" commenced on Sept 30th, ET. This has been broadly reported by every single media outlet. Nobody disputes this - nobody. As to the specific tactics of the operation, sure, who knows exactly what precisely happened. But the rules don't ask for that. You can argue 'control' if you want, but it is very unserious to argue 'commence' when every headline agrees on exactly when this operation started.

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

endo2

8 months ago

Yes crew is really high on greed and delusion...thinking they will resolve the market on 30min technical mistake while situation on the field and all the mappers including ISW show the junction in question is not under Russian control (or ever was - blue)

2

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

endo2

8 months ago

Nothing ever happens

2

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

endo2

8 months ago

If ISW made the whole Kursk red for half an hour by mistake and put it back I wouldn't resolve as Russians recaptured Kursk...because they obviously didn't. And it's the same here

4

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

endo2

8 months ago

ofc it matters, if they made the whole Kursk red for half an hour by mistake and put it back I wouldn't resolve as Russians recaptured Kursk

0

X.x

8 months ago

i know right? people trying to scam again

Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?

endo2

9 months ago

Love this drama tho, far better than any mmo I played so far

2

Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?

endo2

9 months ago

resolved

0

Topgeneral

9 months ago

The IRGC's statement on Saturday came after Britain's Daily Telegraph said Haniyeh was killed by bombs planted in his room by agents of Israel's Mossad intelligence agency

Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?

endo2

9 months ago

I agree, rn I'd buy yes by November. And I expect to see more rapid ru advancement by the end of the month but not enough to get the city center

0

Sardinianshepherd

9 months ago

To the one buying: YES, I mean, we are at one-third of the time, and the Russians have slightly advanced and taken the prison on the outskirts of the city. They still have to enter the city and begin urban fighting while also fending off Ukrainian counterattacks. Yes, it is still overvalued; it should be something like 20/80. I think ultimately Russia will take the city, but not by September

Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October?

endo2

9 months ago

September 30th

2

13th

9 months ago

What is the correct date for the event resolution?

Mass arrests at DNC?

endo2

10 months ago

there is a special place in hell for people who only participate in comment sections. If it's your alt it's much more excusable :)

0

howitworks

10 months ago

Guys, just look at the top holders. Of the Top 10 No holders, only one has a negative P/L, these guys know what they are doing. You have to carefully read and understand the rules. This is gonna feel like a huge rug pull for a lot of people. Don’t say you haven’t been warned!

Mass arrests at DNC?

endo2

10 months ago

haha, didn't open your acc till now

0

howitworks

10 months ago

Guys, just look at the top holders. Of the Top 10 No holders, only one has a negative P/L, these guys know what they are doing. You have to carefully read and understand the rules. This is gonna feel like a huge rug pull for a lot of people. Don’t say you haven’t been warned!

Mass arrests at DNC?

endo2

10 months ago

fair warning tho about shilib uma whales

0

howitworks

10 months ago

Guys, just look at the top holders. Of the Top 10 No holders, only one has a negative P/L, these guys know what they are doing. You have to carefully read and understand the rules. This is gonna feel like a huge rug pull for a lot of people. Don’t say you haven’t been warned!

Mass arrests at DNC?

endo2

10 months ago

cause losers mostly leave this platform or open new accounts. Winners stay on to earn money

1

howitworks

10 months ago

Guys, just look at the top holders. Of the Top 10 No holders, only one has a negative P/L, these guys know what they are doing. You have to carefully read and understand the rules. This is gonna feel like a huge rug pull for a lot of people. Don’t say you haven’t been warned!

Mass arrests at DNC?

endo2

10 months ago

almost all Top 10 Yes buyers also have positive P/L.

1

howitworks

10 months ago

Guys, just look at the top holders. Of the Top 10 No holders, only one has a negative P/L, these guys know what they are doing. You have to carefully read and understand the rules. This is gonna feel like a huge rug pull for a lot of people. Don’t say you haven’t been warned!

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

endo2

10 months ago

Sunak - Sanook & Walz - Waltz sound pretty similarly incorrect to me ... google tim walz pronounce

0

homosexual

10 months ago

"Waltz" and "Joey" are not getting a name wrong lol. It would make sense if he said "Putin" instead of "Zelensky" or something. Y'all are grasping at straws here.

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

endo2

10 months ago

if no one disputes it's resolved to proposed - No ... for dispute you need 750

0

DeucePapi

10 months ago

This is great. Lol who is in charge of resolving this market??

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

endo2

10 months ago

Even the youtube hears it https://ibb.co/p0JbGqG

1