#69
Rank
408
Comments
180
Likes Received
309
Likes Given
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Foreseeable.
2 weeks ago
Glad to know you are 1/50 sure lol :D
0
BitcoinLover69
2 weeks ago
Rfk no bros coping HARD. Tell me, which 4 repubs are gonna vote against his nomination?
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Foreseeable.
2 weeks ago
RFK only cleared a "Major hurdle", lads. There is still the Senate Vote later NEXT week lol :D https://www.statnews.com/2025/02/04/rfk-jr-confirmation-vote-finance-committee-republican-senator-bill-cassidy-key-player/
2
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Foreseeable.
2 weeks ago
Wait a second - there is still the senate vote after the senate committee vote, right?! I am not saying this is supposed to be 50/50, but 2% seems a no brainer?
0
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Foreseeable.
2 weeks ago
New to the Elon discussion - im still pretty sure he is *NOT* "officially nominated or appointed"?! :D
3
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Foreseeable.
2 weeks ago
Only if the dispute gets accepted, right?
0
ruh
2 weeks ago
Who proposed this early? Why didn't you wait for the result? That's $750 burned
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Foreseeable.
2 weeks ago
Because its not January anymore.
0
ruh
2 weeks ago
Who proposed this early? Why didn't you wait for the result? That's $750 burned
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Foreseeable.
2 weeks ago
When does the vote take place?
0
Romania Presidential Election
Foreseeable.
2 weeks ago
🚀🚀🚀 TEAR DOWN THAT 96.0% WALL!!! 🚀🚀🚀
2
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Foreseeable.
2 weeks ago
https://www.newsweek.com/republican-worried-own-colleagues-wont-confirm-tulsi-gabbard-2023978
1
Stanley Cup Champion 2025
Foreseeable.
3 weeks ago
Any reasons these markets are XX% rather than XX.X%? I find it super tilting :D
0
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
despite them being in washington at the time
0
lranon
0 months ago
https://x.com/Caitlyn_Jenner/status/1881167292471672924
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
Look at the other markets. A lot of people closed as "No"
0
lranon
0 months ago
https://x.com/Caitlyn_Jenner/status/1881167292471672924
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
No doubt she was at the inauguration events. There is photos. But she was *NOT* at the ceremony. Hardly anyone was.
0
lranon
0 months ago
https://x.com/Caitlyn_Jenner/status/1881167292471672924
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
dude its the party, not the ceremony. We have been through this in the chat already. There were a thousand cameras in the ceremony room, no spotting of Jenner.
0
lranon
0 months ago
https://x.com/Caitlyn_Jenner/status/1881167292471672924
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
you can close for 19
0
Bertapotamous
0 months ago
Can we close Garlinghouse
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
how do we know only the afternoon event counts?
0
RhadThebigBad
0 months ago
Question for “yes” holders- if Jenner was attending the midday ceremony, why would she say “see you all TONIGHT”?
Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
"Trump declares national emergency at border in first speech to nation" https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwyjqgl2erzo
0
Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
"Donald Trump has said he will declare an emergency at the US-Mexico border as one of a host of executive orders the incoming president will sign on Monday and in the coming days." https://news.sky.com/story/donald-trump-inauguration-trump-to-declare-national-emergency-at-us-mexico-border-in-blitz-of-executive-orders-13293054
0
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
You guys realize that Dana White and Joe Rogan are colleagues, and look alike? Joe was in the church and will attend the party, but he is OBVIOUSLY not in the rotundra where only 700 people fit in LOL. Look at this picture! You guys saw Dana White, NOT Joe! :D https://mmajunkie.usatoday.com/2025/01/donald-trump-inauguration-updates-dana-white-joe-rogan-ufc
5
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
So what parts of the ceremony can you think of? Cause it says "parts", right?
0
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
Even if the church service was not to count (of course it counts to the schedule you fools :D) - do you really think the people flying in will just go home after the inauguration itself? lol
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
Even if the church service was not to count (of course it counts to the schedule you fools :D) - do you really think the people flying in will just go home after the inauguration itself? lol
0
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
0 months ago
#JoeRogan? Found him! https://x.com/iAnonPatriot/status/1881352921973178824/photo/1
2
US inauguration on January 20?
Foreseeable.
1 month ago
What are the 7 "Buying 1.7 shared per 8 seconds" bots think they are doing?
0
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Foreseeable.
1 month ago
There is zero chance zuckerberg is attending this now with only 100 people attending lol
2
Trump ends Gaza war by first 100 days?
Foreseeable.
1 month ago
"Israeli strikes killed 77 Palestinians after the ceasefire was declared." Does it still count?! https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-hamas-gaza-ceasefire-hostages-01-16-24
2
Trump ends Gaza war by first 100 days?
Foreseeable.
1 month ago
Back in the comment section I mean. You were in BintJbeil I recall? ;)
1
nicekitty
1 month ago
'To count toward the resolution of this market, a ceasefire... must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hamas military conflict [and] must pertain to the entirety of Gaza, and be declared through official channels by both parties.’ Just waiting for Netanyahu/Sinwar to issue statements and we’re done here. Thank you someone at 2c for the free Benjamin
Trump ends Gaza war by first 100 days?
Foreseeable.
1 month ago
People who made more money than you was rather the claim.
0
h00r11z11n2003
1 month ago
Everytime I get in one of these markets I seriously wonder how many of you people actually read the news. This has been a pretty obvious call as far back as October or even earlier. Was made more likely by Trump win but probably would have happened anyway. If you bought no, please reach out next time to someone like me before you place a similar bet in the future. Love
Trump ends Gaza war by first 100 days?
Foreseeable.
1 month ago
good to see you again!
0
nicekitty
1 month ago
'To count toward the resolution of this market, a ceasefire... must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hamas military conflict [and] must pertain to the entirety of Gaza, and be declared through official channels by both parties.’ Just waiting for Netanyahu/Sinwar to issue statements and we’re done here. Thank you someone at 2c for the free Benjamin
Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?
Foreseeable.
1 month ago
dont tell. dont ask.
0
Oxymirin
1 month ago
🚨 WARNING 🚨: For people coming from the other market: Don’t YOLO in or fall for scammers saying this market is competitive. It's not. Betting on this event happening before February 28th is an extremely speculative gamble. Lily Phillips did an interview with E! News on January 14th. In it, she explicitly confirmed that her planned 300 men event - originally scheduled for December as preparation for the 1000 men record attempt - was postponed due to problems with the organiser. Then she confirs this 300 person event is rescheduled for March 2nd. Watch the interview yourself at E! News (relevant piece is at 1:25) https://www.eonline.com/news/1412151/how-much-money-lily-phillips-makes-on-onlyfans. Youtube link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AtCdtWdqiqA. This market is a 1.5-month bond, being negotiated over low exit volume. Don't bet your money without being aware of the risk.
Romania Presidential Election
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
Guys this market adds up to 92% wtf are you doing?
0
Romania Presidential Election
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
Other markets are not.
0
Justifax
2 months ago
Deposit risk is why market is under 100%. You can go on poly and ask them to add a feature where we can merge yes in all the brackets to 1 usdc though. That would be cool and would immediately get rid of the underpricing.
Romania Presidential Election
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
Guys, let's look at this. From this list, you can tell that all candidates summed up are only 95,5%. And its not the spread. :D
0
Romania Presidential Election
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
its not.
2
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
so we are going to ignore the fact that this market adds up to 93% right now?
Romania Presidential Election
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
which would make it 94%, if he were not included in the 93%.
0
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
so we are going to ignore the fact that this market adds up to 93% right now?
Romania Presidential Election
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
so we are going to ignore the fact that this market adds up to 93% right now?
1
F1 2024 Drivers Champion
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
Soooo no one is resolving this?
3
F1 Constructors Champion
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Fanduell has McLaren on 87%, wtf are you guys doing?!
1
Brazlian Grand Prix Winner
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
!!!! HUGE OPPORTUNITY: UNIBET has odds already: McLaren 1.22, Ferrari 4. This equals to 80% McLaren / 20% Ferrari. Im already 3k deep intimo McLaren so cant do any more. Someone keeps on selling McLaren for 65% You are welcome! 😄 https://polymarket.com/event/f1-constructors-championship-winner/will-mclaren-win-the-2024-f1-constructors-cup?tid=1730502517966
0
F1 Constructors Champion
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
!!!! HUGE OPPORTUNITY: UNIBET has odds already: McLaren 1.22, Ferrari 4. This equals to 80% McLaren / 20% Ferrari. Im already 3k deep intimo McLaren so cant do any more. You are welcome! 😄 https://www.unibet.com/betting/sports/filter/formula_1/all/competitions
2
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
lol no rules no nothing? 😂
0
MrKangaroo
3 months ago
gotta be missing something here
AFC South Winner
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Worst missclick of my life. Jags Yes for 91% lol. Have fun with my money.
1
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
🦊 Kamala has been to FOX. She is NOT afraid of having a discussion during a podcast for sure. Added, During the Podcast with Trump, Joe said that "I could imagine her doing this show. She was supposed to do it, she might still do it and I hope she does. I would talk to her like a human being. I would try to have a conversation with her... I think we'd have a fine conversation." I am very happy buying below 10%. 📈 https://www.sportskeeda.com/mma/news-joe-rogan-says-kamala-harris-might-still-appear-jre-podcast-donald-trump-predicts-outcome-she-laying-floor-comatose
3
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Joe needs to get his twitter channel under control. Its ridiculous.
1
poolvade
3 months ago
https://x.com/joeroganhq/status/1849227794284429723?s=46&t=OQQiNqbJEpVBe0Xkfp2UAA
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
She was on fox lol
0
JpY
3 months ago
No teleprompters on podcasts, they aren't townhalls
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
She was on Fox you absolute maniacs, the fuck are you talking about?!
1
LastChanceSaloon
3 months ago
I have had a bunch of doubts and second thoughts all day. I don't know why she has not announced. But maybe it's a security thing or she wants a big surprise. I have no inside info. She may not go. But I think it would be terrible strategy not to go
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
The discussion here is ridiculous; what are you even talking about?!!! She was on Fox. And Joe is no Maga maniac. Ill buy everything below 10% 😄
4
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
She was on Fox. And Joe is no MAGA guy.
0
Speculo
3 months ago
GUYS, this is so sad for me, but I admit defeat... If she doesn't go to Rogan on Friday, while she's in Texas, that's over. She's not coming back. As an Harris supporter, I think this is a major blow to prefer to go to some no name podcast to discuss abortion rights again, like for the thousands time in the last 4 years, instead of going to the most popular show in the US, to talk the the young guys she needs to win the swings states. This is beyond stupidness. Yes Mountainman, I have listened to her, and while she's definitely no Obama, I think she's able to handle some laidback discussion with a nice dude like Joe... At least she should be. I can’t believe it.
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
🦧🦠: SOME CALCULATIONS The Virus already appeared in European 🇪🇺 countries TWICE (Sweden 🇸🇪 & Germany 🇩🇪) in the last 2 month, despite them being much, much smaller and far less connected to the Congo compared to the US. 🧮 Lets assume the chance of the Virus coming to the US in the same timeframe is approximately 80%+, making it 10% per week. 📈 Clearly, the likelihood of Mpox occurring FORE THE FIRST TIME is higher the coming week compared to any other, so the probability for next week is approximatelz 13%. 💸 With the market lasting for another 10 days, the fair value for a YES outcome is roughly 16%!
1
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
🦠🇩🇪 BREAKING: MPOX 1B IN GERMANY!!!! 🇩🇪🦠 https://www.dw.com/en/germany-detects-first-mpox-variant-ib-case/a-70565943
0
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
F you.
0
JohnDeere
4 months ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doablle https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1846009714892529933.
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
oh man this is so annoying.
1
TrumpPundit
4 months ago
Trump is really a marketing genius, he's shown it again and again. Thats how he built his empire of course but him now venturing into a crypto token is super smart. Trump 🇺🇸 is involved and he's got it pinned on X — https://x.com/WorldLiberty/status/1846523584136495522
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Did Justin Bieber ever "launch" Calvin Klein Underwear? Or was he involved in its deployment?
4
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This picture of geoconfirmed (https://geoconfirmed.org/israel/8ea2df95-65c2-4ede-ae84-08dce576cadc) shows perfectly that the IDF has taken control of the strategically incredible important hill just above BintJbeil 5 days ago: https://geoconfirmed.org/israel/8ea2df95-65c2-4ede-ae84-08dce576cadc
5
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"Shortly after 10 a.m. on Sunday, Hezbollah announced that it had fired shells at Israeli soldiers on Lebanese territory, in the border village of Maroun al-Ras, in the Bint Jbeil district." THE ISRAELIS HAVE THE HIGH GROUND OF MAROUN EL RAS; CONTROLLING BINT JEBEIL FROM THERE: CONFIRMED BY HISBOLLAH. https://today.lorientlejour.com/article/1431095/hezbollah-fires-shells-at-israeli-soldiers-in-maroun-al-ras-lebanese-territory.html
3
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Heavy Fighting between Maround El Ras and BintJbeil: https://x.com/ThetiMapping/status/1845488436691501548
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"Shortly after 10 a.m. on Sunday, Hezbollah announced that it had fired shells at Israeli soldiers on Lebanese territory, in the border village of Maroun al-Ras, in the Bint Jbeil district." THE ISRAELIS HAVE TO HIGH GROUND OF MAROUN EL RAS; CONTROLLING BINT JEBEIL FROM THERE: CONFIRMED BY HISBOLLAH. https://today.lorientlejour.com/article/1431095/hezbollah-fires-shells-at-israeli-soldiers-in-maroun-al-ras-lebanese-territory.html
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Heavy Fighting between Maround El Ras and BintJbeil: https://x.com/ThetiMapping/status/1845488436691501548
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Heavy Fighting between Maround El Ras and BintJbeil: https://x.com/ThetiMapping/status/1845488436691501548
4
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/10/13/israel-iran-conflict-hamas-hezbollah-lebanon-latest-news/
3
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, on Sunday called on the UN chief to “immediately” remove UN peacekeepers deployed in southern Lebanon out of “harm’s way”. ---- here we go again!
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, on Sunday called on the UN chief to “immediately” remove UN peacekeepers deployed in southern Lebanon out of “harm’s way”. ---- here we go again!
3
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Israel surrounding BintJbeil right now according to RedCrossJournalist of the Year McCarthy: https://x.com/hannahmc_carthy/status/1845157398060716417?s=46
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
They dont need to enter. Stepping inside the muncipality is involving the very outskirts of BintJbeil. And they are already there. See comments.
0
Rentaswag
4 months ago
There is little value in entering the city. The last thing the Israel Gov wants is to run into a Hezballoah trap and feed the opposition of the war.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Right?
1
poly-murderers
4 months ago
how come the prices are so low?
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
...and yes, I am by far overinvested - because I am pretty sure the evidence is super clear, and can not understand how people see this market at 25% :D
0
FreemanR
4 months ago
Purely ground based, ok.. this does not mean infantry only though.. go to wikipedia bro. They have armour units and artillery units within the 36th, which are what likely assisted.. you gotta be too deep in to be constantly spreading bullcrap man lol
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Just a geolocation nerd with a new hobby, sorry! 😅
0
FreemanR
4 months ago
Purely ground based, ok.. this does not mean infantry only though.. go to wikipedia bro. They have armour units and artillery units within the 36th, which are what likely assisted.. you gotta be too deep in to be constantly spreading bullcrap man lol
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
im sorry you feel that way. 🥲
0
FreemanR
4 months ago
I am buying more, but you are a dumbass, first rate bro..
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This is early reporting, obviously, but we got another few days: "The only direct clashes between the two national armies were on Oct 3, when Israeli tank fire hit a Lebanese army position in the area of Bint Jbeil" https://www.business-standard.com/external-affairs-defence-security/news/hezbollah-israel-battle-on-border-as-lebanon-s-army-watches-from-sidelines-124101200059_1.html
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Just a little reminder that this market is a $800$ bet away from being at $82 again, and there is solid evidence by IDF (https://x.com/idfonline/status/1841748183426179565?s=46) and LiveMapUA that its already done. (https://lebanon.liveuamap.com/en/2024/12-october-10-israeli-army-urges-residents-of-southern-lebanon)
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Just a little reminder that this market is a $800$ bet away from being at $82 again, and there is solid evidence by IDF (https://x.com/idfonline/status/1841748183426179565?s=46) and LiveMapUA that its already done. (https://lebanon.liveuamap.com/en/2024/12-october-10-israeli-army-urges-residents-of-southern-lebanon)
2
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Bulldozer Killing the Nasrallah Statue on top of maroun al ras hill: https://x.com/HamasAtrocities/status/1844297417619013705
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Here is a post confirming Israel jas already conquered the village on the hill just before BintJbeil called MarounElRas: https://x.com/osint613/status/1843646229479338364?s=46
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Here is a post confirming Israel jas already conquered the village on the hill just before BintJbeil called MarounElRas: https://x.com/osint613/status/1843646229479338364?s=46
1
Rentaswag
4 months ago
There is little value in entering the city. The last thing the Israel Gov wants is to run into a Hezballoah trap and feed the opposition of the war.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
here you go: https://imgur.com/a/PvXMVFl
2
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
They don't need to enter the city center, but the outskirts of the muncipality. And there is multiple evidence they already did, e.g. on this map that has been used to clear Polymarkets about Ukraine: https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/en/2024/12-october-10-israeli-army-urges-residents-of-southern-lebanon
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You realise there is video of Tanks in the Park of MarounElRas? So they are up the hill already. Its an advantage, if anything.
3
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
They don't need to enter the city center, but the outskirts of the muncipality. And there is multiple evidence they already did, e.g. on this map that has been used to clear Polymarkets about Ukraine: https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/en/2024/12-october-10-israeli-army-urges-residents-of-southern-lebanon
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
What are you talking about? Just google MarounElRas and BintJbeil on Google Maps. There is neither a ridge nor a deep plain between the two. There was one between the Blue Zone and MarounElRas; and its Video Confirmed they passed that.
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
They don't need to enter the city center, but the outskirts of the muncipality. And there is multiple evidence they already did, e.g. on this map that has been used to clear Polymarkets about Ukraine: https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/en/2024/12-october-10-israeli-army-urges-residents-of-southern-lebanon
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
They don't need to enter the city center, but the outskirts of the muncipality. And there is multiple evidence they already did, e.g. on this map that has been used to clear Polymarkets about Ukraine: https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/en/2024/12-october-10-israeli-army-urges-residents-of-southern-lebanon
2
Rentaswag
4 months ago
There is little value in entering the city. The last thing the Israel Gov wants is to run into a Hezballoah trap and feed the opposition of the war.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Here is the original post of the IDF claiming that bombing BintJbeil was done "in cooperation with the 36th Division". Its a regular, purely ground based army division of the IDF. YES! https://x.com/idfonline/status/1841748183426179565?s=46
4
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You heard about the "Invade Lebanon" dispute, right?
0
Sardinianshepherd
4 months ago
99% of the time "too early" is used when it proposed before the deadline, not after
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"too early to call"
0
Sardinianshepherd
4 months ago
Polymarkert and UMA resolve markets based on the info available at the end of the market this case next 3 days. They do not wait a long time
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You ever heard about disputes?
0
Sardinianshepherd
4 months ago
Polymarkert and UMA resolve markets based on the info available at the end of the market this case next 3 days. They do not wait a long time
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
The 36th is already in BintJbeil. It's still classified though. This market might take a long time to resolve, but one thing is for sure: Israeli Boots have entered the muncipality of BintJbeil days ago. https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-823968
4
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"What I saw in southern Lebanon on Thursday was complete IDF supremacy on the ground – and in record time.The very fact that the IDF felt it was safe to bring reporters in, and only 11 days since the invasion began, was itself a stunning result that could not have been foreseen in advance – a show of IDF dominance and confidence." https://x.com/jerusalem_post/status/1844423230402203992?s=46
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Why did I went all in at 33ct? This is such a juicy price 😭
0
Aquati
4 months ago
BREAKING: YnetNews: About a week ago, Golani fighters arrived in Maroun al-Ras, a location that became a symbol during the Second Lebanon War, even in Israel. The IDF achieved relatively swift operational control in the village, allowing for convenient movement in the hostile village at the ridge's peak, extending to the nearby town of Bint Jbeil https://www.ynetnews.com/business/article/hj91wmv11x#autoplay
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You guys seem to be very confused about what a muncipality is: "The Ponce City Hall, in the city of Ponce, Puerto Rico, is the seat of the government for both the city and the surrounding barrios making up the municipality." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Municipality
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"The Ponce City Hall, in the city of Ponce, Puerto Rico, is the seat of the government for both the city and the surrounding barrios making up the municipality." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Municipality
0
FreemanR
4 months ago
Brother a municipality is the town/ciry, NOT province, which is what the article you linked describes..
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Google what a muncipality is. It is *NOT* the city. Look at LiveUAmap, you will see the borders (and that the IDF is already there) there.
0
FreemanR
4 months ago
You wrong again brother, read more carefully.. also understand that the province and city have the same name, though we are only betting on the city here...
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
What are you talking about?! This is a direct quote from the linked article LOL "The only direct clash between the two national armies occurred on Oct. 3, when Israeli tank fire hit a Lebanese army post also in the area of Bint Jbeil, killing a soldier and prompting Lebanese soldiers to return fire."
0
jowrex
4 months ago
I did read and it sais airstrike . Not in bent jbeil
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Another incident. Read the article. ABCNews is a huge american news outlet. This is reliable.
3
jowrex
4 months ago
It wasnt a tank . It was an airstrike that killed 2 lebanon army
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
WE GOT PROOF!!! "The only direct clash between the two national armies occurred on Oct. 3, when Israeli tank fire hit a Lebanese army post also in the area of Bint Jbeil, killing a soldier and prompting Lebanese soldiers to return fire." https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/israels-deadliest-strike-central-beirut-leaves-lebanese-stunned-114712851
3
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
$358 left! 😁
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
It only costs $850 to get this market to $81 again; i might feel lucky tomorrow 💰 📈
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"On Thursday, the IDF for the first time brought Israeli journalists into a village in southern Lebanon, a clear indication that it feels it has asserted operational control over the area. Other signs of the new reality abound. Israel has cut a series of openings into the border fence for IDF vehicles to cross into Lebanon, and the gaps are now entirely unguarded. It brought the journalists into enemy territory in open Hummers, with no fear of snipers or mines" https://www.timesofisrael.com/finally-on-the-offensive-idfs-91st-division-slices-through-hezbollahs-front-lines/amp/
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
It only costs $850 to get this market to $81 again; i might feel lucky tomorrow 💰 📈
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
And if you still think the Israelis have a hard time conquering the border villages, look at this legend casually strolling around lebanese territory. BinJbeil is only 2 miles from the blue zone! https://youtu.be/-aJQGmatsfA?si=OMysI2K0v29SAnT2
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Finally, this map - that has been used to solve other markets (Ukrain war etc.) before - shows Israeli Control Zones touching BintJbeil since 2 days, despite lagging behind a few days for OpSec reasons. No Holders must be tripping buying at 70%?! https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
They went north. See comment above. "No" lol 😄
0
Sardinianshepherd
4 months ago
A UNIFIL spokesperson told me that the Israeli army had withdrawn from its position in the southern Lebanon town of Maroun al-Ras, where it had earlier raised an Israeli flag. "We can’t independently verify where they moved to," UNIFIL said. Source is a pretty reliable lebanese journalist: https://x.com/MaucourantNada/status/1843687131732160917
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Holding Yes in this market is basically saying we have something close to a world war 3 within the next 3 month. 40% for that?! Seriously?!
3
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
The "IDF retreats/withdraws" from UNIFIL positions myth is already debunked. The IDF moved its tanks "north": Check you maps where north of Maroun El Ras is lol https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1k7gkd0r3zo
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
The "retreat" myth is already debunked. The IDF moved its tanks "north": Check you maps where north of Maroun El Ras is lol https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1k7gkd0r3zo
0
dav1
4 months ago
or they retreated...
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You guys realize this market is about "Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality", not about conquering the city centre, right? And there needs to be evidence "this happened before October 16th 06:49am" local time? Report about a single raid in BintJbeils Suburbs will be enough. And this will be disputed till October 20th+ if necessary to be clear what actually happened. Im giving it 90%+, and there is a reason this market was already there.
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I cant buy anymore for Bankroll Management reasons, probably too conservative. But you No buyers at 75% are completely insane: "Hezbollah is continuing to avoid decisive engagements with the IDF as the IDF expands the breadth of ground operations in southern Lebanon." reports the Institute for the study of war. https://x.com/thestudyofwar/status/1844186506736361545?s=46
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"Raids deep into southern lebanon" reports the biggest arabian News Outlet with 16M followers: Israeli raids on border towns and deep in southern Lebanon resume after a relatively quiet night." https://x.com/alarabiya/status/1844347145047970003?s=46
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"as Israel expands its ground incursion into Lebanon" https://x.com/washtimes/status/1844139366337196404?s=46
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
What the hell is going on? All im reading is very much in the "definitely in BJ already, just no reporting yet?! (Which is normal as the IDF always reports with a time lag! ""Israeli sources have reported that Hezbollah forces will withdraw shortly after making contact with the IDF. The IDF 36th Division commander similarly noted that some Hezbollah militants withdraw deeper into Lebanon while others flee outright." https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1844356671742640230
1
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
ISRAELI SECURITY CABINET EXPECTED TO APPROVE ISRAEL’S RESPONSE PLAN TO IRAN https://x.com/deitaone/status/1844402802467967363?s=46
0
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Its a scam.
0
PolymarketApp
4 months ago
Have you seen that guys? https://x.com/polymarket_news/status/1844119366717370865
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Its a scam. dont do it.
0
CharlesGalloway
4 months ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/DefiantNews_io/status/1844068113450762423
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Its not about if they attack, its about what they attack. and they will know that tonight. https://x.com/DeItaone/status/1844359114392207676
0
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Security Council to meet tonight. Last time they met, the attack happened within 24hs. https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-824052
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
fuck.
0
Sardinianshepherd
4 months ago
https://x.com/MaucourantNada/status/1843687131732160917
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I sold 1.5k YES: Though im pretty sure there will be boots in BintJbeil before October 16th, I very much doubt that the IDF will report so before having significant success. BintJbeil was a disaster for the IDF in 2006. They need to win the media war. No reporting before they own Bint. Good luck to all yes holders though; theoretically, you are right.
2
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
?
0
Cedarville
4 months ago
@Foreseeable. godspeed
AFC South Winner
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Who are the Jaguar Maniacs betting higher than in any Sportsbook despite rake?! 😂
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
BREAKING Aljazeera publishing a video of a tank grinding through the tiny village (40 buildings) just in front of BintJbeil. This video has just been relreased an hour ago. https://x.com/reportnewsgaza/status/1843978036905177318?s=46
2
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
YNET is one of the mayor israeli newspapers. This piece describes how they are already building roads for further operations towards BintJbeil within lebanese territory! https://www.ynetnews.com/article/hygjzdmyje
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
The reporting that Israel "retreated" from Maroun El Ras (right on the border to BintJbeil) is false - they only moved their troops away from the UN Forces (parking there with 50+ vehicles was kind of a geopolitical scandal)! They wanted the UN to leave, taking their base as a forward position. The UN refused. Then they moved on TOWARDS THE CITY: https://www.limerickleader.ie/news/socialsharing-limericklive/1625571/situation-becomes-relatively-calm-for-irish-peacekeepers-as-idf-withdraw-from-irish-un-post.html
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
The most relevant war mapping provider LIVEUAMAP already shows parts of BintJbeil being an Israeli Control zone since 3 days - this alone could be enough for a yes if we dont get further evidence in the next 6 days: https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/en/2024/9-october-06-hezbollah-we-bombed-a-gathering-of-israeli-soldiers
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Israelis are now moving forward north of BintJbeil aswell according to Hezbollah. https://x.com/AJArabic/status/1843961782689575345
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Israelis are now moving forward north of BintJbeil aswell according to Hezbollah. https://x.com/AJArabic/status/1843961782689575345
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
See the 450 at 63ct? Thats me! Reasoning in the replies:
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
See the 450 at 63ct? Thats me! Reasoning in the replies:
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
fuck. Where do you get the UN Spokesman story from_
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
I don't think the map on https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/ is correct. They apparently set up the Flag in the Maroun El Ras Park (geolocated), which is literally just 300m from the border and just the beginning of the village Maroun El Ras. Then someone tweeted about an UN Spokesman telling them that they even retreaded from there 3h ago. The last part could also be fake news, but I see more value on No right now.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
WTF happened Kobafix? :(
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Fuck!
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
It most definetely is not. :D
0
Cedarville
4 months ago
Isn’t Marion Al-Ras in the district of Bint Jbeil? Isn’t this already resolved?
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
But how will we see "credible reporting"? As in "There has been small arms fighting around BinJbeil - would that be enough? Not really, right?
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
"however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." I don't think there will anyone be anyone dumb enough to dispute a yes decision here and risk 750 dollars.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
damn. :D
0
CheerfulPessimist
4 months ago
I feared the same, that's why I sold all my shares. Good luck to you though!
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
How does confirmation work? The Israelis dont post anything as far as I know. How do we prevent a situation where they obviously are in BJ, but there is no to little reporting? Dont appreciate another "Invade Lebanon" fight over my money :D
3
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
who is bro who did not understand this? :D
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
Bro you should have learned from Invasion market that prices mean nothing, especially in this Low liquidity market
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
(no pun intended :D )
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
🐁 leaving the sinking ship.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
🐁 leaving the sinking ship.
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
$500 will push this market to 95% now lol :D Congrats guys! I love poly :)
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Of course they did. You dont casually park your tanks somewhere if the frontline is 300m away.
1
Adrimarket
4 months ago
agreed, they might even have already entered bint jbeil
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
oh man. i wanted to be the one finding this post first :D
0
Adrimarket
4 months ago
https://x.com/Osint613/status/1843646229479338364 Maroun al-ras is under israel control (look at where bint jbeil is)
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Just a quick reminder to the no folks: This is *not* a market for conquering the City Center of BintJbeil, it *is* about ENTERING the larger area around Bint Jbeli. If they build a fort in the neighboring village and casually park their tanks there, you can deduct its most probably not the frontline anymore :D
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
are you on discord? Same Nickname!
0
nicekitty
4 months ago
small fish in a big pond my friend
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Thank god for NiceKitty!
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Just look how close the israeli ZONE OF CONTROL already is. https://x.com/Nrg8000/status/1843525291433758759/photo/1
2
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Sattelite Imagery of the israeli base right at the border to Bint Jbeil, just casually parking "on the frontline" (that actually runs through BintJbeil already). https://x.com/Nrg8000/status/1843519820832354368 This one even shows they have secured the main street to BintJbeil 3 days ago. Its like 500m from the Muncipality border there. https://x.com/Nrg8000/status/1843511753969459403/photo/1 They are even building roads there LOL :D
3
Super Bowl Champion 2025
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
AFC South Market: Jags are at 5% on Fanduell Sportsbook, even lower than the Titans. Im too deep already, so go for it! :D Fanduell Market: https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/nfl?tab=divisions Poly: https://polymarket.com/event/afc-south/will-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-afc-south?tid=1728378929048
0
AFC South Winner
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Jags are at 5% on Fanduell Sportsbook, even lower than the Titans. Im too deep already, so go for it! :D https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/nfl?tab=divisions
0
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This market not moving at all LOL https://polymarket.com/event/israel-strikes-iranian-oil-in-october/israel-strikes-iranian-oil-in-october?tid=1728341108968
1
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Guys?! https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1843426151521484850
1
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
https://x.com/CWBOCA/status/1843424850620330012
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Initial Reports of Explosions heard near the Cities of Isfahan and Tehran in Iran.
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1843424005312663579
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"Nuke facility in Isfahan"
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Initial Reports of Explosions heard near the Cities of Isfahan and Tehran in Iran.
0
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"Nuke facility in Isfahan"
0
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You guys are slow. https://x.com/adam7867862/status/1843423092506517622
2
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Ask yourself why you bet the same bs! :D
0
denizz
4 months ago
conspiratard spotted
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
me?
0
cashy
4 months ago
hey man - please respond on Twitter
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Where do you got that "going around" story from?
0
General.William.T.Sherman
4 months ago
Bint Jbeil It’s very important to clamping down the arms movement of Hezbollah. The idea they are going to skip it and go around is laughable
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
They might in fact not conquer the complete city first and only then move on, but surpassing it without any engagement to control for ambushes from behind? But not touching the muncipality?! Never!
1
General.William.T.Sherman
4 months ago
Bint Jbeil It’s very important to clamping down the arms movement of Hezbollah. The idea they are going to skip it and go around is laughable
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Go to Google Maps. Look at Bint Jbeil. And then tell me again that you think it is a "city". If you further google it, you will find that its considered the "Hezbollah Stronghold" in the Lebanese South. You really think the Israelis will not enter its Muncipality?! :D
0
Sardinianshepherd
4 months ago
IDF: "are not going to Beirut. We’re not going to the cities in southern Lebanon. We are focusing on the area of those villages, the area next to our border. We will do in this area what is necessary to dismantle and demolish Hezbollah’s infrastructure" Bint Jbeil population: 30k not really a village
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
How can you read this article, and then look at the LiveuaMap of lebanon, and then decide to bet "No" at 69%? lol "Although Israel has insisted its week-long ground operation was to be “limited” and “targeted”, elements of three divisions are now involved in the fighting after the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said in a statement that its 91st Division had joined the ground incursion overnight." https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/07/israeli-troop-reinforcements-cast-doubt-over-limited-lebanon-invasion
2
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I am super new to this site and knees deep into the market, so I will not invest another $750. The more lucrative way would be to buy the market till 99ct anyway :D But can you elaborate why you hold NO despite reasonable evidence that they are already there, and 7 days to go until the market closes? (It can even go "too early" for a couple of days as we learned from the Israel Invades Lebanon market lol)
0
Sardinianshepherd
4 months ago
you are free to propose and see what UMA decide
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Little further hint: Liveuamap has been used to solve markets before for the War in Ukraine.
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
LiveuMap Screenshot: https://imgur.com/a/aHneBen
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Evidence for Israeli troops in the muncipality: https://lebanon.liveuamap.com/en/2024/7-october-hezbollah-announces-targeting-a-gathering-of-israeli
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
LiveuMap Screenshot: https://imgur.com/a/aHneBen
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
LiveuMap Screenshot: https://imgur.com/a/aHneBen
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This market is not about conquering BINT JBEIL, but about " Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality". Liveupmap already proofs that they are, and we got another 8 (!!!) days for further evidence. Im already knees deep invested, but this market at 68% is just bonkers :D
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This market is not about conquering BINT JBEIL, but about " Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality". Liveupmap already proofs that they are, and we got another 8 (!!!) days for further evidence. Im already knees deep invested, but this market at 68% is just bonkers :D
2
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
How is israel supposed to cross the 200 mittens?! like ever?! thats why I sold.
0
Scrungey
4 months ago
200 kittens 🐱 miaow
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
@forseeable_pm
0
General.William.T.Sherman
4 months ago
If anything has been proven, it is clear Israel continues to push into Lebanon. The October 7th is here. Should be interesting.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
add me on twitter dude :D
0
General.William.T.Sherman
4 months ago
If anything has been proven, it is clear Israel continues to push into Lebanon. The October 7th is here. Should be interesting.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You dont think they will enter the Muncipality in the next 10 days despite livemap saying they already did_
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
I dont think they will do it but not gonna bet
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Im 99% sure this is a scam.
1
SylvesterStallone
4 months ago
Mhhh, the exact same bet has twice аs much liquidity and has different odds, I'm not sure but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/AlphaNews_io/status/1842579398282871238
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
i will not invest another $750 in this lol :D
0
Sardinianshepherd
4 months ago
you can propose if you are so sure :)
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
and another geolocated source: https://x.com/Stinky915846091/status/1842988819446112612/photo/1
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Read the rules and release me - its enough for them to "enter the MUNCIPALITY of Bint Jbeil" - and they did that. I was never 1.5k deep into a position, sweating blood here :D
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
And here you can see that they are also entering BintJbeil from the west: https://x.com/JCGRELET/status/1843027015055610109
0
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
BREAKING NEWS of Bint Jbeil: (Im aready all in, sweating blood LOL). You can see here: https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/ That the Israelis are already here: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israeli-troops-enter-bint-jbeil-by-october-15/will-israeli-troops-enter-bint-jbeil-by-october-15?tid=1728246547108
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Stop fighting about this market. Better invest in the BREAKING NEWS of Bint Jbeil: (Im aready all in, sweating blood LOL). You can see here: https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/ That the Israelis are already here: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israeli-troops-enter-bint-jbeil-by-october-15/will-israeli-troops-enter-bint-jbeil-by-october-15?tid=1728246547108
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Look at this map - they are in already! https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/
2
AFC South Winner
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
They listened to you LOL
0
fate
6 months ago
Jags - 26% chance to make the playoffs, 1.1% chance to win the SB -- IT SEEMS LIKE THE JAGS ARE MASSIVELY UNDERVALUED
AFC Champion
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
https://www.pinnacle.com/en/football/futures/
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Lol guys there is something far off in the Market "AFC South Winner" - Jags are at 14%, though Pinnacle et al see them at 5% at best. Im 3k in and cant invest anymore for Bankrollmanagement reasons. You are welcome! https://polymarket.com/event/afc-south?tid=1728229321417
AFC North Winner
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
SOMETHING FAR OFF in the market “AFC South Winner” – The Jags are at 14%, though pinnacle and ALL sportbetters have them at like 5%. Im 3k in, cant do anymore. Cheers! :D https://polymarket.com/event/afc-south?tid=1728229321417
0
AFC West Winner
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
SOMETHING FAR OFF in the market “AFC South Winner” – The Jags are at 14%, though pinnacle and ALL sportbetters have them at like 5%. Im 3k in, cant do anymore. Cheers! :D https://polymarket.com/event/afc-south?tid=1728229321417
0
NFC East Winner
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
SOMETHING FAR OFF in the market “AFC South Winner” – The Jags are at 14%, though pinnacle and ALL sportbetters have them at like 5%. Im 3k in, cant do anymore. Cheers! :D https://polymarket.com/event/afc-south?tid=1728229321417
0
AFC East Winner
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Lol guys there is something far off in the Market "AFC South Winner" - Jags are at 14%, though Pinnacle et al see them at 5% at best. Im 3k in and cant invest anymore for Bankrollmanagement reasons. You are welcome! https://polymarket.com/event/afc-south?tid=1728229321417
0
Super Bowl Champion 2025
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Lol guys there is something far off in the Market "AFC South Winner": Jags are at 14%, though Pinnacle et al see them at 5% at best. Im 3k in and cant invest anymore for Bankrollmanagement reasons. You are welcome! https://polymarket.com/event/afc-south?tid=1728229321417
0
AFC South Winner
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Lol guys there is something far off in the Market "AFC South Winner": Jags are at 14%, though Pinnacle et al see them at 5% at best. Im 3k in and cant invest anymore for Bankrollmanagement reasons. You are welcome! :D https://polymarket.com/event/afc-south?tid=1728229321417
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
what?
0
Shayku
4 months ago
He wasn't claimed the Nov market yet...
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Does anyone know anything about CHAD? Without him, this market would be dead since days! Does he know Whales? Will he be able to push Poly for a veto on UMA votes? Why would he bet a million against all the most successfull guys in the business?
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
https://imgur.com/a/JvLPmM4
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This Map is obviously lacking behind. But they are already making significant progress. Reporting of fighting inside the 50-houses "Maroun al Ras" just in front of Bint Jbeil. Its like 1km to the edge of "the MUNCIPALITY (!!!) of Bint Jbeil"!! Picture attached! https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This Map is obviously lacking behind. But they are already making significant progress. Reporting of fighting inside the 50-houses "Maroun al Ras" just in front of Bint Jbeil. Its like 1km to the edge of "the MUNCIPALITY (!!!) of Bint Jbeil"!! Picture attached! https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
The IDF has killed "More than 250 Hezbollah operatives" during Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon since troops began a ground offensive" according to Times of Israel. You guys are telling me they dont make 3miles of progress on the most significant town of this war? (https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-says-over-250-hezbollah-operatives-killed-in-southern-lebanon-ground-offensive/
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Chad is the only one ruling this kingdom. Yes would be dead without him.
2
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
The Wiki Article on the battle of Jint Jbeil is acutally super interesting. It is considered the Hezbollah Stronghold in the south of Lebanon, and the military focus is on winning the lost battle of 2006 this time./
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Maroun al Raz is literally a small village with 40 houses, and the only thing on the mile between the IDF and Bint Jbeil.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Maroun al Raz is literally a small village with 40 houses, and the only thing on the mile between the IDF and Bint Jbeil.
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I cant go any deeper for bankroll management reasoning, but 50% is craaaaazy - I assume you guys have not done your homework? Its another 10 days LOL
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
There is boots on the ground reported already not even 1km away from the edge of the e municipality of Bint Jbeil?! https://imgur.com/a/HxJt3HV
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
There is boots on the ground reported already not even 1km away from the edge of the e municipality of Bint Jbeil?! https://imgur.com/a/HxJt3HV
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I cant go any deeper for bankroll management reasoning, but 50% is craaaaazy :D
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I assume you guys have not done your homework to know that there is boots on the ground reported already not even 1km away from the edge of the e municipality of Bint Jbeil?! https://imgur.com/a/HxJt3HV
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I assume you guys have not done your homework to know that there is boots on the ground reported already not even 1km away from the edge of the e municipality of Bint Jbeil?! https://imgur.com/a/HxJt3HV
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Get a real job, MasterQueef!! :D
0
Will Elon Musk speak at Trump's Pennsylvania rally Saturday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
What the F does "give a speech" mean? If he says hello to everyone and f*s of, is that a speech?
0
Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Hit me up on twitter, I guess you repaired it? Sorry man :D
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I wonder what these bombardements are for? https://x.com/RichardHardigan/status/1842515152874176551
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
The fuck is happening?! Any news?
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
@Art WHAT DO YOU KNOW MATE?
0
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Its an honor meeting you, sir. Glad you always invade 3hs before the end of the month! 😂
1
BibiNetanyahu
4 months ago
ez money?
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
shoul have bet more i guess xD 2% seems incredibly low to me
0
BibiNetanyahu
4 months ago
ez money?
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
If they go for the nuclear sites, we have other problems than Poly... https://x.com/DougAMacgregor/status/1842319067455144234
1
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
HOLY SHIT IS IT HAPPENING?!?
0
Israel military action against Yemen before November?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
https://x.com/HuntersOfNazis/status/1842231435412828555
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This market was at 62% YES, and since then the US/Brits hit the Huthis in Yemen. There is absolutely no reason why this market should not go back to 62%, if not lower: While the US would NEVER attack Iran/Hisbollah directly, they are totally capable of dealing with the houthies for Israel, who can focus on South-lebanon and Iran. Give me more shares. Im Buying.
Israel military action against Yemen before November?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This market was at 62% YES, and since then the US/Brits hit the Huthis in Yemen. There is absolutely no reason why this market should not go back to 62%, if not lower: While the US would NEVER attack Iran/Hisbollah directly, they are totally capable of dealing with the houthies for Israel, who can focus on South-lebanon and Iran. Give me more shares. Im Buying.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Regarding the whole "Military action to take control"; lets have a look at a standard literature about the war in lebanon in 2006: "Initially, Israel had no intention of capturing Bint Jbeil. Rather, the IDF sought to CONTROL the city from outside." Its from a academic journal: Kober, Avi (2008). The Israel Defense Forces in the Second Lebanon War: Why the Poor Performance?. The Journal of Strategic Studies Vol. 31, No. 1, 3 – 40, p 28 Find it here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Bint_Jbeil
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
If you like, just bet and HODL till the end with what you think is right. no reason to trade too much.
0
FamilyCapital
4 months ago
I guess this website is more about trade on news or activity in comment section, and not about betting.
What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
50pence about to nuke teherani nuclear reactors on his own.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I used to have a lot of yes, now I am out because I dront trust the process. :(
1
ncap
4 months ago
hahahahha why did you had ,,No" shares 2min ago
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Sounds like an invasion "intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" to me... “We are very determined to destroy this infrastructure and eliminate anyone present there. We will not allow Hezbollah to establish itself in these places,” the military chief said. https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-attack-war-lebanon-10-03-24-intl-hnk/index.html?t=1727985197086
3
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
i dont understand this sale at all. yesterday was Jewish new year, it was completely clear to me that if they attack, they will do it tonight. Thougt people would appreciate that with their 50% evaluation, apparently they did not. Important: This is until 06:59am of 4th of October due to different time zone. Im Hyped.
0
mr.ozi
4 months ago
How did I miss such a sale? Damn.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
LINK
0
Butterpickledhead
4 months ago
The IDF spokesman officially announces the entry of troops into bint jbeil
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
2 soldiers died while defending Bint Jbeil; the icon on livemap is AK47, symbol for ground fighting?! https://imgur.com/a/m2K4mYl
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Lebanese army says another soldier killed by the "Israeli enemy" targeting an ARMY BASE IN BINT JBEIL!!!! x.com/The_NewArab/status/1841827582573965714
1
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Lebanese army says another soldier killed by the "Israeli enemy" targeting an army base in Bint Jbeil areahttps://x.com/The_NewArab/status/1841827582573965714
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
https://x.com/forseeable_pm ;)
0
McLarry
4 months ago
hey guys, take a look at my funny picture. Markets are the best reflection of reality and UMA is a truth machine https://imgur.com/a/LHDxBHs
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
sooooo you are german? Best from Berlin! :D
3
McLarry
4 months ago
hey guys, take a look at my funny picture. Markets are the best reflection of reality and UMA is a truth machine https://imgur.com/a/LHDxBHs
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Remember when right after the raid of bin laden america moved in on the border with pakistan to take control of the border area because killing bin laden was just the first step of an invasion? Me neither. Because its a completely different case.
0
Amok
4 months ago
To those who don't understand the difference between a raid and an invasion: Remember when the US killed Osama Bin Laden in Pakistan in 2011? US soldiers entered Pakistan, attacked Bin Laden's hideout, killed him, then pulled back out. Does that mean the US invaded Pakistan, let alone tried to "establish control" oder Pakistan? Of course not. Same with the Israeli raids into Lebanon during the night of Sep 30 / Oct 1. They went in an pulled their troops back out. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-missile-attack-middle-east-10-02-24-intl-hnk#cm1s9u0t8001n3b6r3ezzd52c This market is about Israel attacking with intent to either annex or occupy a part of Lebanon to establish a "buffer zone". The IDF has not laid out such plans yet. Therefore this can only resolve NO
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Not sure if you are genuinely nice,
0
mr.ozi
4 months ago
Hey friends. Given the P4 vote on the current proposal, it's extremely likely we are seeing this market resolving to P2 (No) in the next round. I don't mean to get into the argument about the substance of this market, I just feel some care towards your money, in case you're putting them in because you believe in the criteria being met for a Yes. This market will be resolved by UMA token holders, and they will vote No, given they voted P4 at first. The P4 means that they judged that there was not enough evidence for a Yes at the time, and we got no new game-changing evidence in the meantime. So, save yourself some money, the voters have spoken, and we're soon going into a No. That's why we're trading at 0.85+ for a No.
What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
To Oil and Gas people buying at 34%: You realise there is a market of Israel attacking *ANYTHING* in the same timeframe at 38% right now?! You will win this one if Israel just attacks some random Military Airport (as it has done in the past), and loose your Oil and Gas bet! https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-response-against-iran-by-friday/israel-military-response-against-iran-by-friday
2
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Can the General Link the inital source of his screenshot? :D
0
General.William.T.Sherman
4 months ago
Just need Israel to cross this green line if I’m reading the rules right. I was earlier thinking it couldn’t happen but seeing how much they have pushed in I could see them looping around into the municipality https://imgur.com/a/msD6uei
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
That was not exactly the question. But where? xD
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
4 months ago
You can buy them
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Sooooo who has got the UMA tokens exactly? :D
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
If the evacuation & medic point is only 2km away from the area, you can very much assume that the fighting is already going on there.
0
Sakuya
4 months ago
It doesn't, as those are separate towns.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This dudes reporting is based on geolocated Telegram Videos et al. - they are already there fighting, as the frontline (where they do raids from) is super close. Please look at the rules; they dont need to be at the city center, but "physically enter the MUNCIPALITY of Bint Jbeil", which is including the surroundings. https://x.com/ThetiMapping/status/1841496571659071513/photo/2
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
They have a medical evacuation station 2.5km from Bint Jbeil! https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1841435182420684871
0
What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"Israel said mulling attacks on Iran oil rigs, nuclear sites in response to missile attack" https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-said-mulling-attacks-on-iran-oil-rigs-nuclear-sites-in-response-to-missile-attack/
2
What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
The Gap between Oil and Nuclear research facilities seems bonkers to me. They attacked them in the past already.
0
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You convinced me with this one! cheers!
2
DFK
4 months ago
I'm new here, so Hello. Here is my take. Not going to happen (obviously), but 79c 4 months away is probably not the best we can get. I think this kind of market gets juicy towards the end of Biden's term, when the cray-cray think it will happen. So: safe now, but I'd bet on a better entry point when some news hits, about Hunter's sentencing or about Biden's sanity.
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
where did u get these coordinates from?
0
Aquati
4 months ago
33.11442, 35.44490 are the coordinades of the municipality border between Bint Jbeil and Maroun al-Ras
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
" The 36th Armored Division has crossed the border into Lebanon, probably north of the 2nd closed military zone that was introduced last night. It's a ~50km^2 area just 2km south of Bint Jbeil."
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Another 2km to go seems preeeeeety close to me https://x.com/thetimapping/status/1841445787563155848?s=46
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Another 2km to go seems preeeeeety close to me https://x.com/thetimapping/status/1841445787563155848?s=46
0
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
From Avivim Israel to BintJbeil Lebanon its a 82 minutes WALK of less than 4 miles lol
0
General.William.T.Sherman
4 months ago
Look at a map. There are plenty of villages before Bint Jbeil. We have questionable news Israel has crossed the border. If they have it cannot be too far in as we have little to no evidence.
Who will speak more at VP Debate?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
So its Walz with 40:42 vs 38:51 Vance, where do I propose? https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/01/politics/speaking-times-vance-walz-debate-dg/index.html
0
Israel military response against Iran today?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Give more info pls.
0
semi
4 months ago
Free alpha alert: this is a very bad translation. Look for the full statement.
Israel military response against Iran today?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
what do you mean?
0
Bink_7
4 months ago
Context is in way of which they’ve been doing for months
Israel military response against Iran today?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Are you guys even reading the news? "Israeli media report Israel military will conduct 'powerful strikes' tonight throughout the Middle East" https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-media-report-israel-military-will-conduct-powerful-strikes-tonight-2024-10-01/
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
i dont understand what this means.
2
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
4 months ago
PSA: If you are stating an opinion at #evidence-rationale on UMA Discord on ANY of the Israel enters/invades Lebanon markets, you CAN NOT argue for P1 because the proposals were contested before the markets expired
Iran strike on Israel today?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I would be all over this YES market, but all the geniusses are on NO, so im afraid.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Where does the article proof your "Control"?
0
McLarry
4 months ago
https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-announces-launch-of-limited-ground-raids-of-hezbollah-sites-across-lebanon-border/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Who is chad?
0
Will Israeli troops enter Beirut by October 31?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You guys read the rules, right? "Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count." This is *NEVER* happening.
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
The "Israel enters Beirut this month (Special Forces Excluded in rules) is even better: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-troops-enter-beirut-by-october-31/will-israel-troops-enter-beirut-by-october-31
0
McLarry
4 months ago
Anyone who believes that there are no troops in Lebanon at all can still buy very cheap no-shares in the “Will Forces enter Lebanon market”. Have fun and good luck
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
As some guys here still think that Israel has not entered anything ever at all: There is a Market for "Israeli regular troops enter Beirut by end of the month". Rules explicitly state that "Special forces" dont count. Follow this Link for a Statement by IDF that they dont aim for Beirut: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/idf-spokesman-israeli-troops-are-not-going-to-beirut-ground-op-will-be-as-short-as-we-can/ The Beirut Market with free 10% is here: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-troops-enter-beirut-by-october-31/will-israel-troops-enter-beirut-by-october-31
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
As some guys here still think that Israel has not entered anything ever at all: There is a Market for "Israeli regular troops enter Beirut by end of the month". Rules explicitly state that "Special forces" dont count. Follow this Link for a Statement by IDF that they dont aim for Beirut: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/idf-spokesman-israeli-troops-are-not-going-to-beirut-ground-op-will-be-as-short-as-we-can/ The Beirut Market with free 10% is here: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-troops-enter-beirut-by-october-31/will-israel-troops-enter-beirut-by-october-31
0
Will Israeli troops enter Beirut by October 31?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Right now, people are even debating wether there is an invasion going on. lol
3
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"Israel launches ground incursion into South Lebanon, says it is not going to Beirut" https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/
Will Israeli troops enter Beirut by October 31?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"Israel launches ground incursion into South Lebanon, says it is not going to Beirut" https://www.reuters.com/world/lebanon-israel-live-updates-hezbollah-hamas-yemen-port-hit-by-airstrikes-2024-09-30/
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
THE RULES OF THE MARKET WILL BE OFFICIAL CONFIRMATION BY ISRAEL - So lets ask them:"We are continuing to operate to dismantle Hamas's capabilities to ensure they can never again carry out a massacre against us. And, we are intensively operating against the Hezbollah terrorist organization in Lebanon in order to enable the residents of northern Israel to return home in safety and security. These are our missions and we are determined to fulfil them." How on earth could you not read this as "taking control of the border region to prevent Hisbollah from operating in the future?" https://www.idf.il/235337
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This does not say there were no crossings. It just says "stop doing it"
0
Dr.ChristmasJones
4 months ago
https://unifil.unmissions.org/unifil-statement-1-october-2024
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
So far, there isnt even proof of this being an invasion. So it might be quite a NO.
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Do we need proof this happened by october 15th, or will this be disputed to see wether there is solid proof for them having entered before October 15th?
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Do we need proof this happened by october 15th, or will this be disputed to see wether there is solid proof for them having entered before October 15th?
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
As you are a trustworthy person and great musician, i sold.
0
PDIDDY
4 months ago
you will lose buddy
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
As you are a trustworthy person, i just sold.
0
PDIDDY
4 months ago
you will lose buddy
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Will this dispute last for 1d 13hs? I need the money. :D
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
50-50, one might say
0
Drunken-Mentat
4 months ago
This was once a market about a possible invasion and occupation of Lebanon. Now it is a market about the probability of UMA resolving one way or another... and that's a totally different gamble ;)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I sold and here is why: This market is going crazy given that the rules state that the operation needs to be “intended to ESTABLISH CONTROL over any portion of Lebanon”. Yet, Israel has agreed with the US to only do a LIMITED ground operation that is *NOT* targeted “to establish control”, but ONLY to clear areas at the border from Hisbollah sources to prevent further attacks on Israeli Villages. Even if they attack today (which is still maximum 50/50), its not even clear if it would count. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/?id=114341295&entryId=114355166
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This will be disputed. And new evidence will come up the next 48hs while it is. Easy.
1
x3x3
4 months ago
Also 6 hours left to get more confirmations
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Restart the browser, delete the cache, log out and in again.
2
Phoenix777
4 months ago
Bought my shares 30min ago, but when i try to sell, the poly shows zero shares, am i the onlyone haveing this problem?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Israel has agreed with the US to only do a LIMITED ground operation that is *NOT* targeted “to establish control”, but ONLY to clear areas at the border from Hisbollah sources to prevent further attacks on Israeli Villages. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/?id=114341295&entryId=114355166
0
Car
4 months ago
Establish control over any portion of Lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This market is going crazy: “intended to ESTABLISH CONTROL over any portion of Lebanon”. Yet, Israel has agreed with the US to only do a LIMITED ground operation that is *NOT* targeted “to establish control”, but ONLY to clear areas at the border from Hisbollah sources to prevent further attacks on Israeli Villages. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/?id=114341295&entryId=114355166
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"It was not to establish control"
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This will take for forever LOL :D
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
This will take for forever LOL :D
0
Phat.
4 months ago
who's holding till its resolved ?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You guys realize the market for an actual invasion is at 35% already?! :D https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727715745370
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
“I’m more aware than you might know, and I’m comfortable with them stopping. We should have a cease-fire, now,” Biden said. -- Is Bibbi that much of a badass? https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I will go for another 2k with my winnings from the enter market if someone explains to me it does lol :D
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"After operations into Lebanese villages along the border – known as the Blue Line - the Israeli troops are expected to pull back into Israel." This does not sound like "to establish control" to me, does it? https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk/index.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"After operations into Lebanese villages along the border – known as the Blue Line - the Israeli troops are expected to pull back into Israel." This does not sound like "to establish control" to me, does it? https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk/index.html
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
"Biden urges Israel to stop raids in Lebanon" https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk/index.html
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Even the "enters" market is only at 87% lol! https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727715461629
1
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
I sold and here is why: This market is going crazy given that the rules state that the operation needs to be “intended to ESTABLISH CONTROL over any portion of Lebanon”. Yet, Israel has agreed with the US to only do a LIMITED ground operation that is *NOT* targeted “to establish control”, but ONLY to clear areas at the border from Hisbollah sources to prevent further attacks on Israeli Villages. Even if they attack today (which is still maximum 50/50), its not even clear if it would count. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/?id=114341295&entryId=114355166
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
If this keeps on falling the "will invade today" market will be higher than the "enters" market :D https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727712058733
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
You know what will also happen in this escalation within the next 24hs for much more than 3%? Iran hits Israel, as it has in the past as retalliation. https://polymarket.com/event/iran-military-response-before-october/iran-military-response-before-october?tid=1727711343710
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Source?
0
kekkone
4 months ago
Israeli milbloggers now say the invasion will begin within 72 hours. This market closed in 13. GL all.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
On the ground reporting. https://x.com/Zachonearth/status/1840750644036079654
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
New Information, new recommendations! Car is a quick learner. Be like Car!
0
Justifax
4 months ago
car pumping YES after telling everyone to buy the 8% bond on NO takes the fucking cake
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Will they INVADE till tomorrow 07:00am? I have a clear thought about this honestly :D https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Stop arguing about this. Its ridiculous. Switch to the other market, which will be the next boom :D https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Stop arguing about this. Its ridiculous. Switch to the other market, which will be the next boom :D https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
There is another market to lose money on! https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727695472876
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-822515
0
NotJustKen
4 months ago
Fuck this. Going on vacation for few days. Won't open it till then. Fuck the truth as well. My only hope is Pence manipulating the market. Jerusalem Post cleared it that it was to "gain information" not to engage in combat. I don't know how it will resolve to Yes.. Peace out.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
On another note: Do you guys have issues with the servers aswell? Sometimes my positions disappear and i got a heart attack because it says my portfolio shrunk by 2k :D Also, stock amount is sometimes off, or it doesnt show activity? Happens for me in multiple networks, from multiple devices etc.
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Welcome Back! :D
1
Apsalar
4 months ago
Whew
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
Why would you sell everything at once? doesnt that massively destroy equity? :D
0
HaterzLoserz
4 months ago
I did in fact sell, price was too good considering the dispute and level of reporting around the special ops. If you compare price here to november invasion market, it just doesnt really make sense for an extra few % to push it for a day, rather than a month of window. if you can get out at a decent price, consider the move to november market is my advice. But idk shit :P
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
lol
0
BiggestBidenFan
4 months ago
Wrong location dude
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
JustSomeGuy just sold his NO for 85. He obviously doesnt know about the fake dump, i guess? :D
0
n/a
4 months ago
HatersLozers just sold his entire position, 50-Pence and aenews is next. GET OUT WHILE YOU CAN.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
It must be so hard to have bought at 90% No feeling all smart.
2
n/a
4 months ago
This market got manipulated to hell. 50-Pence, aenews and the rest of the whales will dump on all of you before this gets resolved. Don't say I didn't warn you.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
49 minutes ago: Israeli ground operation very much on the table. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/9/30/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israel-expands-strikes-on-beirut-as-105-killed
0
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
If you want to earn further money, here is another market on "Israel is totally not using the 5000 tanks on the border within the next 24hs despite saying so" https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727694319936
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Foreseeable.
4 months ago
If you want to earn further money, here is another market on "Israel is totally not using the 5000 tanks on the border within the next 24hs despite saying so" https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727694319936
0