#677
Rank
51
Comments
25
Likes Received
193
Likes Given
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Cetus
1 year ago
Time to buy folks! This is the lowest it's going to be. Who wouldn't want to 5x their money?
2
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Cetus
1 year ago
General Election poll - Swing States Arizona - 🔵 Harris +3 Georgia - 🟡 Tie N. Carolina - 🔵 Harris +2 Nevada - 🔵 Harris +7 Michigan - 🔵 Harris +3 Pennsylvania - 🔵 Harris +5 Wisconsin - 🔵 Harris +3 Morning Consult
0
Cetus
1 year ago
Kamala Harris Holds Razor-Thin Lead Across Swing States in Tight 2024 Race https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024?leadSource=uverify%20wall
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Cetus
1 year ago
Kamala Harris Holds Razor-Thin Lead Across Swing States in Tight 2024 Race https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024?leadSource=uverify%20wall
0
Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?
Cetus
1 year ago
Time to sell Donald
1
Cetus
1 year ago
Trump Media shareholder UAV dumped more than 7.5 million shares https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/26/trump-media-shareholder-dumped-more-than-7point5-million-shares.html
Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?
Cetus
1 year ago
Trump Media shareholder UAV dumped more than 7.5 million shares https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/26/trump-media-shareholder-dumped-more-than-7point5-million-shares.html
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What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
Tampon for the win. One of his most universally loved achievements. He'd be a fool not to bank on it and make people realize how dumb the Republicans were for calling him tampon Tim. Instant win for him and for me.
3
Will George W. Bush endorse Kamala Harris?
Cetus
1 year ago
If Dick Cheney of all people was able to endorse her, then surely Bush can as well.
1
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
Cetus
1 year ago
According to Russian channels, all regions up to Moscow, and north of Bryansk, Kursk, Belgorod, and Voronezh regions, are on alert for drones. https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1835057990082183343?t=jnzFnb9ZkOyzVitCgaYsvQ&s=19
0
Gena🐊
1 year ago
Да! they just said it in the weather channel, 40% chances of drones. Go fuck yourself liar
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
Cetus
1 year ago
Moscow on alert for drones right now as per Russian channels
0
Balance of Power: 2024 Election
Cetus
1 year ago
Broken guy
0
elder
1 year ago
broken link
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
Good thing polymarket doesn't decide because they hold no power over the actual contract resolved by UMA.
0
sharks
1 year ago
You're pissing away your money lmao. Such a clown. PM already announced how it will resolve.
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
How much profit will you have made when this is resolved 50/50?
0
Will Mitt Romney endorse Kamala?
Cetus
1 year ago
This guy put his dog on top of his car for a roadtrip. Maybe he will make the announcement in Springfield.
3
Will George W. Bush endorse Kamala Harris?
Cetus
1 year ago
GOP insider predicts major Republican figure to endorse Kamala Harris in 2 to 4 weeks https://www.rawstory.com/kamala-harris-gop-endorsement/
0
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
Seems likely they resolve to 50/50
2
NateNate60
1 year ago
I don't what the hell is going on, but this position only cost me thirty cents to play. Maybe I'm throwing money down a hole, IDC, I'm here to gamble
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Cetus
1 year ago
Whistleblower warned Harris that she would be debating a dementia patient.
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Liked by EricTheGre..., coconutPil... and 7 others
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Cetus
1 year ago
If you go by the snake graph, it implies all states are tied together and winning the least likely of the swing states wins you the rest of them. So you have to go by the probability of winning the least likely one. On the snake graph, that's Arizona which is at 46% Harris. So the odds here should be 46%.
0
sigh
1 year ago
some of yall are really going either 1) omg there's no way she can win them all, I multiplied the probabilities and it's less than 5% or 2) it's literally just a georgia market, have you seen the 538 snake graph??
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Cetus
1 year ago
Don't complain if you're not even participating. The rules are clear. It's not about your opinion of the debate, it's about predicting a specific poll. If you're good at predicting this specific poll, you will make money.
4
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Cetus
1 year ago
Wasn't Trump fired four years ago?
5
Glencoco
1 year ago
When somebody does a bad job, we fire them. Bye Kamala
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Cetus
1 year ago
Copelord
1
a7mmmed
1 year ago
he debating 3 ppl
What will Kamala say at the debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
Do you hate money?
0
n/a
1 year ago
Free money, Kamala doesn't know what AI is
What will Kamala say at the debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
"Compound words will count as long as "wall" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a physical, vertical structure dividing the border of the United States and Mexico.
0
Justifax
1 year ago
For those betting no on wall - "Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market." So wall street counts.
What will Kamala say at the debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
Yep! Read the rules folks. It's for "AI", "Artificial intelligence" or any derivative of AI, like "AI-generated". Trump has been using AI-generated media to create fake images of Kamala. Surely this will be addressed. And if not, then she will certainly talk about AI and investing in it or controlling it somehow. There may even be a question on AI directly.
0
bfip
1 year ago
This one is easy.
What will Kamala say at the debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
Read the rules, "wall" has to refer to the southern border to count
0
Glorp
1 year ago
she just has to mention Wall Street
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
Cetus
1 year ago
How the fuck can polymarket change the rules like that? They can't just choose to add "municipality" to make it more strict. When you offer a contract and are vague, you have to allow the most generous option because you literally made no effort to make it specific. That's fraud from UMA/polymarket.
2
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?
Cetus
1 year ago
Scholz urges speedier efforts to end Russia's war on Ukraine https://kyivindependent.com/scholz-urges-speedier-efforts-to-end-russias-war-on-ukraine/
0
What will Kamala say at the debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
AI is still way underpriced. It's an almost certainty that she'll use the word. Biden's matin economic achievement was the chips act. That's directly related to AI. They'll surely talk about the impact of AI on jobs and the economy. Guaranteed there's a question about it.
0
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
Cetus
1 year ago
A railway depot in Zelenograd, near Moscow, is burning intensely, with the fire illuminating the entire area. https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1832136457357566447?t=tZUlJhkVA4jN368uEZ-r1g&s=19
1
What will Kamala say at the debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
Read the rules "AI" counts as well as any compound words that refer to AI like AI-generated
0
redeyeknight
1 year ago
does "AI" count, or does it have to be literally Artificial Int..?
What will Kamala say at the debate?
Cetus
1 year ago
AI is a no brainer. She's going to brag about the chips act and jobs. Also she'll call out Trump for using fake AI-generated media.
6
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
Cetus
1 year ago
Gap is 0.5% now. As older polls lose weight and new ones show her consistently above, she will get net favorable really soon.
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Cetus
1 year ago
RFK Jr. withdraws presidential bid in Arizona, state secretary says https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-withdraws-presidential-bid-arizona-state-secretary-says-2024-08-23/
1
Venezuela intervention by August 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
https://x.com/anneapplebaum/status/1819459697797484845?t=nX2-IL9VootP3HjKBDxDgA&s=19
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Venezuela intervention by August 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
https://www.intellinews.com/russian-wagner-mercenaries-spotted-amid-venezuela-election-protests-336763/
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Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
This guy hates making money.
0
n/a
1 year ago
that's a fake news. They are already liberating all the areas
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
If he wants it back by October, then for sure he won't get it back by September lmao. This is free money.
0
Cetus
1 year ago
Putin orders Ukrainian forces to be pushed out of Kursk region by October 1. https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/putin-orders-ukrainian-forces-to-be-pushed-1724143578.html
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
Putin orders Ukrainian forces to be pushed out of Kursk region by October 1. https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/putin-orders-ukrainian-forces-to-be-pushed-1724143578.html
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Cetus
1 year ago
Kennedy’s Running Mate Suggests They May Drop Out of the Presidential Race and Endorse Trump https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/20/us/politics/robert-kennedy-campaign-future.html
1
Venezuela intervention by August 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
Russian Wagner mercenaries spotted amid Venezuela election protests. https://www.intellinews.com/russian-wagner-mercenaries-spotted-amid-venezuela-election-protests-336763/
0
What will Kamala Harris say in August?
Cetus
1 year ago
I guarantee you that in one of the sit down interviews, she will say Venn diagram. Very under priced
3
Democratic VP nominee?
Cetus
1 year ago
Jewish lawmakers groan at "Genocide Josh" campaign https://www.axios.com/2024/08/01/josh-shapiro-israel-gaza-harris-jewish
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Democratic VP nominee?
Cetus
1 year ago
UAW President Fain wants Kentucy's Beshear or Minnesota's Walz on Harris ticket. https://www.wxyz.com/news/national-politics/uaw-president-fain-wants-kentucys-beshear-or-minnesotas-walz-on-harris-ticket
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Democratic VP nominee?
Cetus
1 year ago
The National Women's Defense League (NWDL) is demanding answers from Governor Josh Shapiro, who has emerged as a top contender for Vice President Kamala Harris' running mate, about an alleged sexual harassment coverup. https://www.newsweek.com/womens-group-demands-answers-kamala-harris-vp-contender-josh-shapiro-sexual-harassment-settlement-1932784
5
Venezuela intervention by August 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
Russian Wagner troops in Venezuela
1
Venezuela intervention by August 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
https://x.com/OlgaNYC1211/status/1818797153386369390?t=h0nkarLTCc9Yh05CJqXBuA&s=19
1
Democratic VP nominee?
Cetus
1 year ago
Progressives sound alarm as Shapiro VP stock rises. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4804417-shapiro-vice-president-progressives-harris/
4
Venezuela intervention by August 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
Key opposition figure arrested in Venezuela after disputed election, party says. https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20240730-venezuela-s-ruling-party-opposition-rally-supporters-after-disputed-maduro-election-victory
0
Venezuela intervention by August 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
Peru became the first country to name Edmundo González as the president-elect of Venezuela. In response, Venezuela announced its intention to cut off diplomatic relations "for ignoring the will of the Venezuelans and the constitution." https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1818600271267709092?t=tv5pvB3-cqKUzyhYyI3Wvg&s=19
0
Venezuela intervention by August 31?
Cetus
1 year ago
US Senator Marco Rubio on Twitter. Very serious situation developing in multiple cities in #Venezuela tonight. Regime security forces and the criminal “colectivos”street gangs sent to suppress anti-Maduro protests are coming under fire from groups of armed civilians. https://x.com/marcorubio/status/1818510819262406842?t=T9_rKwr95rGJrfW0AycmVg&s=19
0
Who will endorse Kamala?
Cetus
1 year ago
Why do people say it ends on the 1st when the contract says it ends on the 22nd?
2
Democratic VP nominee?
Cetus
1 year ago
Harris will not choose Shapiro because of his stance on Israel. They need to convince college students to vote in Michigan and this pick would cost them Michigan. Kelly is the safest choice. He will convince right leaning swing voters and win them Arizona.
1