#1052
Rank
32
Comments
22
Likes Received
2
Likes Given
Nebule
9 months ago
"The Al-Akhbar newspaper, close to Hezbollah, reports from security sources that the countries' embassies in Beirut have begun to implement evacuation plans that they prepared at the beginning of the war. The plan includes monitoring roads, military airports and ports, so that they can be used to exit the country once the international airport in Beirut is closed."
Nebule
9 months ago
and it's up to the CNE to decide who gets the most votes. It's very simple.
Jjjjjjjj
9 months ago
The winner of an election is the one that gets more votes. It's really simple
Nebule
9 months ago
This market is "who will win the election", not "who will win the election without cheating". And the CNE is the official source. That was the game, and we all knew it. Now take your loss as I did.
Nebule
9 months ago
GPS jamming & spoofing above Beirut's airport right now.
Nebule
9 months ago
Annnnd here we are: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/smotrich-says-reoccupation-of-south-lebanon-is-only-way-to-end-hezbollah-attacks/
Nebule
9 months ago
Maduron won.
Nebule
9 months ago
Whatever the result, fuck the CNE.
Nebule
9 months ago
We're still waiting for the results.
Nebule
9 months ago
It's 50/50. Luka is backed by Putin, so nobody can touch him. For Maduro, it's different, because all his neighbors + the USA want to kick him.
Crock95
9 months ago
I saw all of this in Belarus in 2020. There, the exit polls showed 55 to 40 in favor of Tikhanovskaya. The same joyful videos on Twitter, from the center of Minsk, where Tikhanovskaya got 900 votes, and the dictator got 80 votes. But Lukashenko ignored the results and simply declared that he had 80%, and Tikhanovskaya had 10%. (All the polling station results were destroyed; they weren't even compiled together.) Then there were very massive protests, which unfortunately were suppressed. When Tikhanovskaya came to the Central Election Commission, a special operation was carried out: she was simply captured, threatened, and thrown out of the country. After that, the European Union, the USA, and other countries did not recognize Lukashenko as president, and he became a complete outcast... I hope I am wrong, and maybe the Venezuelan people will be fine...
Nebule
9 months ago
The army and the CNE are two distinct institutions.
Factual
9 months ago
Maduro not going anywhere, military is going to keep him in power
Nebule
9 months ago
We don't care of what happens after. Only the result matters.
Factual
9 months ago
Maduro not going anywhere, military is going to keep him in power
Nebule
9 months ago
If Edmundo wins, our shares will automatically be sold at 100%. What people do now will have no impact on the value of our shares after the results.
0xA999465D778f463E0AA4979c88107b780329868f-1722080210306
9 months ago
Could you please explain more clearly how it works? please. it could be posible things like that ? i mean if Edmundo wins it not affect my final profit right?
Nebule
9 months ago
I mean Edmundo dropped from $50 to $15, wtf
HeyImhere
9 months ago
I'm not a whale but I needed to exit haha
Nebule
9 months ago
The army is talking right now oh oh...
Nebule
9 months ago
Lmao, whales selling all at once in market mode.
Nebule
9 months ago
Corruption works both ways. It would be easy for the U.S. to bribe the right people and make Edmundo win. This market is a coin toss.
HeyImhere
9 months ago
Do I have to say this? Don't believe a single poll pre-results. Corruption will occur 100%
Nebule
9 months ago
This one got community noted lol https://x.com/ZuritaCarpio/status/1817634376324460607
Nebule
9 months ago
There are even more polls here: https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anexo:Encuestas_y_sondeos_de_intenci%C3%B3n_de_voto_para_las_elecciones_presidenciales_de_Venezuela_de_2024
factman
9 months ago
If we consider the polling, it should be a Gonzalez win. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Venezuelan_presidential_election
Nebule
9 months ago
why don't you bet your life savings then ?
tuyuyo
9 months ago
easy money! 🙂
Nebule
9 months ago
There will be a dispute if Maduro wins. The opposition will probably have a few weeks to contest the results through an official body. After that, Maduro will win definitively.
dberwegerCH
9 months ago
But what if that information changes? Like it shows Maduro won and a week later he admits he lost?
Nebule
9 months ago
If Maduro wins (even by cheating) and then is forced to step down, we still lose. That's the game, and that's why Edmundo is only at 20% despite the fact that every polls all the polls have him winning.
n/a
9 months ago
What if the the results show Maduro lost but he does not recognize the result and just nullifies it?
Nebule
9 months ago
the answer is in your question. Only the CNE result will count.
n/a
9 months ago
What if the the results show Maduro lost but he does not recognize the result and just nullifies it?
Nebule
9 months ago
wer liquidity ?
Nebule
9 months ago
The price of oil is too high in the USA. How many CIA agents are trying to manipulate the results right now?
Nebule
9 months ago
Or he loses the elections and stays in power thanks to the army. This scenario has happened many times before, so I'd say it's 50/50. Let's not forget that his neighbors are already threatening him. The USA and Brazil could also use their power & money to change the results in Edmundo's favor.
Richardant
9 months ago
probability of fraud is greater than 80%, Edmundo has lots of ppl, but Maduro has the CNE
Nebule
9 months ago
https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anexo:Encuestas_y_sondeos_de_intenci%C3%B3n_de_voto_para_las_elecciones_presidenciales_de_Venezuela_de_2024
Nebule
9 months ago
Many silent whales are buying Maduro. 95% of comments are against him, all the polls show he's going to lose, yet he's still at 85%.
Nebule
9 months ago
"Stealing the election" does not necessarily mean that the results will be in maduro's favor. He can contest the results and use the army to stay in power.
Nebule
9 months ago
https://x.com/DNewsOK/status/1811099658443182527
Nebule
9 months ago
Meganalisis, Delphos and ORC Consultores. https://www.as-coa.org/articles/poll-tracker-venezuelas-2024-presidential-election
AKAxyz
9 months ago
I see people linking news articles mentioning "some" polls showing Edmundo Gonzalez leading but no indication whatsoever about which organisation has conducted them. can anyone send a link or something which is more specific?Are there even any entities dedicated to public opinion polling in Venezuela nowadays?
Nebule
9 months ago
https://www.as-coa.org/articles/poll-tracker-venezuelas-2024-presidential-election The opposition will win easily, but Maduro might change the result.
Nebule
9 months ago
Spain got silver in 2008, 2012, and bronze in 2016. France came closest to beating the USA (5 pts difference in 2020), and they're playing at home this time.