#238
Rank
173
Comments
70
Likes Received
187
Likes Given
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
EZ
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Just close it already ffs
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Ciolacu is a steal.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Imagine losing money on a fucking POS slut.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Not gonna lie, I will miss the Presidency market A LOT.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Only the Rodri leak is fake. Vini leak is legit.
debased
1 year ago
i think it is vini but the leaks are fake
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
The Rodri "leak" is fake. They used different fonts and wrote "Novrège" instead of "Norvège" near Haaland. Also, the Rodri fake leak wrote near Mbappe "Paris Saint-Germain" instead of what should be "Paris Saint-Germain puis Real Madrid" like in the Vini leak. Like it or not, the Vini leak is legit. As for the points - you're totally wrong, the distribution has always been like that.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Results are leaked: 1) Vinicius Junior - 630 points. 2) Rodri - 576 points. 3) Jude Bellingham - 422 points. 4) Kylian Mbappe - 317 points. 5) Harry Kane - 201 points. 6) Erling Haaland - 195 points. 7) Lamine Yamal - 128 points. 8) Phil Foden - 29 points. 9) Dani Olmo - 25 points. 10) Florian Wirtz - 24 points. 11) Dani Carvajal - 17 points. 12) Antonio Rudiger. Link: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-14008729/amp/Ballon-dOr-voting-results-leaked-ahead-Mondays-ceremony-Paris-three-Englishmen-eight-Erling-Haaland-SIXTH.html Enjoy the free money!
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
See you tonight.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Smart guys will collect the free 14% now, and idiots will keep buying other players, like @TimeTraveler does.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
This is why you're up $700 and I'm up 18k over the last 6 months, but it's not reflected here since I made 90% of the money before I joined this site, lol. This is why I permit myself to bet these amounts.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Smart guys will collect the free 14% now, and idiots will keep buying other players, like @TimeTraveler does.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Are you stupid? it's not even updated. Unibet gives it at odds 1.05 now, lol. Get in and see if you can get it at 1.5 odds.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Smart guys will collect the free 14% now, and idiots will keep buying other players, like @TimeTraveler does.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
lmao, it's not 80-20, not even close. More like 90-10, and I'm being generous here.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Smart guys will collect the free 14% now, and idiots will keep buying other players, like @TimeTraveler does.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
You mean, the guy who won $18k on Spain winning the Euro?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Smart guys will collect the free 14% now, and idiots will keep buying other players, like @TimeTraveler does.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Nope, I did it because I had a better bet to do at that time, not because I was not convinced. Now I'm back to collect the free 14%. Thanks for that gift, seriously now, thank you.
TimeTraveler
1 year ago
Just sell your house and go all-in on Vini, it's free money, right? Right???
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Smart guys will collect the free 14% now, and idiots will keep buying other players, like @TimeTraveler does.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
I'm going to laugh so hard at you when Vini wins it tonight. You'll get wrecked.
TimeTraveler
1 year ago
Just sell your house and go all-in on Vini, it's free money, right? Right???
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Results are leaked: 1) Vinicius Junior - 630 points. 2) Rodri - 576 points. 3) Jude Bellingham - 422 points. 4) Kylian Mbappe - 317 points. 5) Harry Kane - 201 points. 6) Erling Haaland - 195 points. 7) Lamine Yamal - 128 points. 8) Phil Foden - 29 points. 9) Dani Olmo - 25 points. 10) Florian Wirtz - 24 points. 11) Dani Carvajal - 17 points. 12) Antonio Rudiger. Link: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-14008729/amp/Ballon-dOr-voting-results-leaked-ahead-Mondays-ceremony-Paris-three-Englishmen-eight-Erling-Haaland-SIXTH.html Enjoy the free money!
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Haha, don't worry, tonight I'm going to be positive again on this site. Not to mention that I won 18k on a betting site. Keep coping, loser.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Of course @TimeTraveler won't prove his statements, because he is here to cope, even when the results are already leaked.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Your only argument is a copium. You can't really dismiss the 900 sources that said that Vini knows that he won, the leaked results, and the fact that not even a single source mentioned Rodri as the winner. Yeah, you're cooked.
TimeTraveler
1 year ago
Just sell your house and go all-in on Vini, it's free money, right? Right???
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
I have other bets in another site. I'm good with an easy $1000 profit though, thank you. Results are leaked and you want to cope that it's fake, I don't know what to tell you.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Of course @TimeTraveler won't prove his statements, because he is here to cope, even when the results are already leaked.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
That's what they say formally, but practically everyone involved in it knows who won it. You sound naive. If that's your only argument, you are really doomed.
TimeTraveler
1 year ago
Fake pictures going around that Vinicius won, fake rumors going around that Rodri won, when the dust settles it will be Bellingham or Haaland for sure, yeah, it's all coming together now.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Of course @TimeTraveler won't prove his statements, because he is here to cope, even when the results are already leaked.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
"fake rumors going around that Rodri won" - nobody said that he won. "Fake pictures going around that Vinicius won" - Why do you think it's fake?
TimeTraveler
1 year ago
Fake pictures going around that Vinicius won, fake rumors going around that Rodri won, when the dust settles it will be Bellingham or Haaland for sure, yeah, it's all coming together now.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Source? It is not fake, unless you can prove.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Results are leaked: 1) Vinicius Junior - 630 points. 2) Rodri - 576 points. 3) Jude Bellingham - 422 points. 4) Kylian Mbappe - 317 points. 5) Harry Kane - 201 points. 6) Erling Haaland - 195 points. 7) Lamine Yamal - 128 points. 8) Phil Foden - 29 points. 9) Dani Olmo - 25 points. 10) Florian Wirtz - 24 points. 11) Dani Carvajal - 17 points. 12) Antonio Rudiger. Link: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-14008729/amp/Ballon-dOr-voting-results-leaked-ahead-Mondays-ceremony-Paris-three-Englishmen-eight-Erling-Haaland-SIXTH.html Enjoy the free money!
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Results are leaked: 1) Vinicius Junior - 630 points. 2) Rodri - 576 points. 3) Jude Bellingham - 422 points. 4) Kylian Mbappe - 317 points. 5) Harry Kane - 201 points. 6) Erling Haaland - 195 points. 7) Lamine Yamal - 128 points. 8) Phil Foden - 29 points. 9) Dani Olmo - 25 points. 10) Florian Wirtz - 24 points. 11) Dani Carvajal - 17 points. 12) Antonio Rudiger. Link: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-14008729/amp/Ballon-dOr-voting-results-leaked-ahead-Mondays-ceremony-Paris-three-Englishmen-eight-Erling-Haaland-SIXTH.html Enjoy the free money!
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
I have no skin this market, but you're right. She looks desperate. At 93.5c it's not worth it.
Mountainman
1 year ago
I have no inside info but if she is shooting vids with SNL alums in character, I think there is a pretty good chance she will pop up on SNL. She is getting so desperate and SNL would welcome her with open arms and make sure she did something funny to redeem herself.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
I mean, Vinicius already knows he is the winner.
BestBet
1 year ago
Messi said Lautaro should be the winner 🔥
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
This comment section seems like some young kids are coping themselves that they can turn their $10 position to thousands by betting on players who stand no chance.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
There is a higher chance that the sun will explode than Lautaro winning the Ballon d'Or.
BestBet
1 year ago
Messi said Lautaro should be the winner 🔥
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
You better don't say trans
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
yea
JackBauerPowerHour
1 year ago
Is he nearly done?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
BYE BYE TRANS YES BUYERS
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Hm, I'm up 18k over the last 5 months, Idgaf losing some 2k on poly lol.
Borgo
1 year ago
thiss is why ur -2k
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
When this rally supposed to end?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
When this is supposed to end? lol
WINNING
1 year ago
always says it at the end unfortunately for u
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Hahahah free x5
Saint-Pepe
1 year ago
YOU BETTER NOT SAY TRANS CHEETO
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
He is not gonna say trans hahaha
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
No Trans?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Yet people here think it won't hit 35 lmao
cam999999999
1 year ago
Count how many border signs are in the background, that's how many will hit today
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Yes, lmao
asdfvergvd
1 year ago
dude keeps saying border lol
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Imagine thinking 35+ Border won't hit in Arizona, when all you see is "secure our border", lol.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Easy money
Viz275
1 year ago
Border 35+ definitely hitting
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
What's the reasoning for Barack Hussein Obama?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
What's the success rate of Border in previous rallies?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Betting on Ballon d'Or was suspended in all betting sites as Vini is confirmed the winner and this market is still at 92c. Polymarket players are such idiots hahaha.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
The fact that you think Yamal/Carvajal/Rodri won it, shows me that you are retarded, and I don't feel the need to provide explanations to a retarded greek kid.
PanosMariolis2001
1 year ago
not at all my friend , but you still haven't answered my question . Why don't you buy more shares ? 7% isn't bad right? Go take a loan if you don't have enough cash , or sell some of your belongings
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Cope more, lmao. Vinicius fully deserved it by the way. You just don't have football knowledge to understand it, apparently.
TimeTraveler
1 year ago
https://x.com/UtdEIIis/status/1843762765225509185 It simply is what it is.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
@PanosMariolis2001 Coping hard right now.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
@PanosMariolis2001 is a kid who probably was born in 2001, and he is gonna lose his small position on Yamal shares lmaoooo
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
All betting sites removed the option to bet on it, you dumbass. Keep buying Yamal shares like the idiot you're, lmaoo.
PanosMariolis2001
1 year ago
dude when will you shut up already? You don't have more info than betting sites , and they give 1.10+ odds , shut up already please.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Unlike other markets, this is LITERALLY free money. Do you think Vinicius doesn't know that he won while Real Madrid prepares for this celebration? If Fabrizio Romano approves it, it's 100% true, not to mention that it makes sense that he should win. Thanks for the free money.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Fabrizio Romano: 🚨✨ Real Madrid are finalising preparations to CELEBRATE Vinicius Jr’s expected Ballon d’Or, reports Relevo in Spain!
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
You don't need google for that, it's known. Although I don't see any value at 89c.
mizu
1 year ago
Google delayed muscle onset sorness to find out what happens next…
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
STFU and stop pumping you bags.
Car
1 year ago
he is waking up in 1 minute
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
LMAOOOO this shit is so funny watching him sleeping.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
LMAO
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
You're a clown who bought 24.3k Lamine Yamal shares, and you call me funny. A little bit self awareness, lol.
PanosMariolis2001
1 year ago
lmao you are so funny
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Seriously, instead of burning your cash, sell these shares or buy Vini shares. It's not too late.
PanosMariolis2001
1 year ago
dude with the knowledge you have you should open your own betting company ! Giving out insane odds , give vinicious 1.001 and 1000 to all the rest ! Trust me the liquidity will be crazy !
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
I get your cynical point, but it doesn't matter the result - everyone and their moms know that Vini won it.
PanosMariolis2001
1 year ago
dude with the knowledge you have you should open your own betting company ! Giving out insane odds , give vinicious 1.001 and 1000 to all the rest ! Trust me the liquidity will be crazy !
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Because I bet here on politics and an ambiguous market. I learned a lesson to only bet on clear cut markets. Anyway, I've already made 18K from Spain winning the Euros, so good luck betting against me when all the senior journalists, including Fabrizio Romano, know that Vinicius wins.
PanosMariolis2001
1 year ago
If it is so easy why are you minus in profits son ?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Please keep filling my orders at 91c. Thanks in advance for an easy 10% gain :)
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Nike to release Ballon d'Or boots for Vinicius Jr (https://www.footyheadlines.com/2024/09/nike-release-ballon-dor-for-vinicius-jr.html).
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
You literally bought Lamine Yamal shares. Just lol.
PanosMariolis2001
1 year ago
go all in , take a loan , sell your house ! Its free money with only 20 days of wait ! Others wait 1-2 years to make 7% profit , go my friend go !
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
lol, you're deulsional if you think he doesn't know he won it already. It comes from a Marca journalist, and it's clear as day that you don't know what Marca is, as they are not alligned with Real Madrid at all. Not only that, Nike will release Ballon d'Or boots for Vini. Plenty credible sources mention that Vini already knows he won. Now, if you want to continue being delusional, it's your only loss. Cope more.
TimeTraveler
1 year ago
Yeah, by a totally trustworthy Real Madrid alligned ''newspaper''.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Vinicius has been already informed that he is the winner of Ballon d'Or 2024. It's a gift at this point. Should be closer to 100c.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
I hope this Car scammer lose it. Rooting for Yes holders.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Hey scammer.
Rueben
1 year ago
@HLB That you Harry Legs?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
This is so manipulated.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
This market will resolve to No because of three main reasons: 1) Raids were not combat operation, they were for gathering information and intelligence. You didn't see them bombing anything or killing anyone in these so called "raids". 2) Even if these raids would count (they shouldn't), not a single source knows when these so called "raids" happened. They mention that Israel did it a few months ago since October 7, but this market does not consider anything before September 18. 3) Troops are still not in Lebanon, which is the main reason why we all placed bets here.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Justice will be made with No buyers.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
The raids were not combat operation, and you don't know exactly when they happened. This market doesn't consider anything before September 18.
n/a
1 year ago
But the raids already happened. And it's been reported that Israeli officers and officials confirmed it. Of course, Israel has not offiicially said it, but that does not change the evidence based on credible reporting. This should resolve "Yes" on the basis of the raids carried out so far.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
I expect No shares to go up significantly after the deadline of the market, assuming there will not be any ground operation in the few hours which left.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
This market will resolve to No because of three main reasons: 1) Raids were not combat operation, they were for gathering information and intelligence. You didn't see them bombing anything or killing anyone in these so called "raids". 2) Even if these raids would count (they shouldn't), not a single source knows when these so called "raids" happened. They mention that Israel did it a few months ago since October 7, but this market does not consider anything before September 18. 3) Troops are still not in Lebanon, which is the main reason for why we all placed bets in this market.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
This is a No outcome, whether they like it or not.
notinventedhere
1 year ago
it s a clear no they are manipulating the ai it s bullshit
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Your reading comprehension sucks, apparently.
Bigiorn
1 year ago
Oh yeah? O love how everyone tells me how supposedly wrong we are, but always give troll answers and fake news, so plz tell me how this is not fulfilling the conditions.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
"A military spokesperson said no ground operation had started and added that the Israel Defense Forces did not comment on special operations." So easy, like seriously.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
"A military spokesperson said no ground operation had started and added that the Israel Defense Forces did not comment on special operations." LOL.
Bigiorn
1 year ago
https://www.ft.com/content/12088330-ef9e-4c69-ba23-db33db2e1df1 "Israel has conducted limited ground incursions into Lebanon and carried out an air strike on central Beirut on Monday for the first time in almost two decades. Three people familiar with the situation said Israeli forces had carried out small-scale operations across the border, as the country expands its offensive against its adversaries in the region." Also clearly distinguishing airstrikes from ground incursions. So again, there have been boots on the ground.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
In September is not enough. This market is from September 18.
fafafafafafafafafafafafafaffafafafa
1 year ago
This market will resolve Yes because of one main reason: 1) israeli forces entered lebanon in September
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
This market will resolve to No because of three main reasons: 1) Raids were not combat operation, they were for gathering information and intelligence. You didn't see them bombing anything or killing anyone in these so called "raids". 2) Even if these raids would count (they shouldn't), Not a single source knows when these so called "raids" happened. They mention that Israel did it a few months ago since October 7. 3) Troops are still not in Lebanon, which is the main reason why we all placed bets here.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Exactly.
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 year ago
I just feel bad for the people who saw a big pump from one single person and bought into this without reading the rules
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
What? this is literally the opposite lmao. Those who bought Yes did it because Pence pumped it.
Somebody2
1 year ago
Those who bought yes did it based on facts, those who bought no are literally operating off of feelings. Amazing
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Not really. It is just manipulated. The outcome is No, most likely (a few hours left).
VaithunPhuSang-Fabric
1 year ago
the market is crazy to predict :)))
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Should have been the opposite by this time. Yes at 87c is ridiculous.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
It really is.
crow
1 year ago
This market looks like the people against the dictator "50 pence scammer"
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
It will flip as soon as people realize this was a scam/manipulation run by Pence. No is the correct outcome.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
They are scared. They know that No is the true outcome and Pence manipulated it.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
If there is any justice, at least one of two things will happen: 1) Market will be resolved as No. 2) People will realize the scam and start bidding No.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
What a shitshow. You realize this should have been the opposite, right? Yes should have been 9c by now.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
There are many reasons why No should win, anyway.
🤺JustPunched
1 year ago
Lol, that's funny but not sure that is very compelling. You don't want a "v" in there at all if you want No to win.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Conclusion: No.
Car
1 year ago
"Israeli special forces have been carrying out small, targeted raids into southern Lebanon, gathering intelligence and probing ahead of a possible broader ground incursion that could come as soon as this week, people familiar with the matter said."
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Yes buyers have no real evidence, while No buyers have everything to prove they are right. This was not combat operation, it was spying for intelligence. Not only that, none of the sources explicitly mention when it has happened, they just say it was a few months ago. Now, do you see any troops in Lebanon? They are literally on the border waiting for a command. In what world this market is a Yes? I will tell you, in the scammer Pence's world.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Yes haha. Look at it, so many No buyers and just one scammer yes buyer.
Gena🐊
1 year ago
50 Pence keeps buying thats why price is not moving, when he is over this will go to 50/50
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
When did they do it? A few months ago. For what? intelligence.
abdendriel
1 year ago
Both WSJ and Telegraph report troop incursions and raids
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Absolutely not.
Illuminaughtiboi
1 year ago
is there any confirmation that the raids occurred AFTER Sept 18th?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Facts. But don't worry, Pence the scammer will pump it again.
HaterzLoserz
1 year ago
Y'all yes holders are WILD for holding out at 94c btw, regardless of how this goes lol
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
This market has a volume of more than $890,000 and the (false) outcome was manipulated by one scammer.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
We should seriously not give up on it. It's literally a scam. It's a shame what's going on now.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Now you will see some Yes buyers spreading bullshit, but even they know that it was a complete scam run by Pence and this market should be resolved as No.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
No buyers should win it. No way this Pence scammer will profit off his scam in front of so many people.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
If there is any justice, No buyers should win it.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
It is a No, no one can convince me otherwise. This is a scam.
🤺JustPunched
1 year ago
I think we have enough reporting around the date to be sufficient, but I kinda agree about combat operations. Seems like there has been no reporting that they were there to conduct combat operations.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
According to what you have just said, it's still a No. Are you that dumb?
abdendriel
1 year ago
The WSJ article says it’s been going on for months as well as recently. The report says the raids are in preparation for the wider invasion. They just said today that the preparation activities for the invasion have now completed.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Not only this was not combat operation, they didn't even mention the EXACT date. Now seriously, is this a joke? Do you see any troops right now in Lebanon? This Pence mfer should pay for his theft.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
LMAOOOOOO what a scam.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
You are an idiot. This market is from September 18, can you prove it has been done in the last 12 days?
Justifax
1 year ago
it's basic english: plural noun: raids a sudden attack on an enemy by troops, aircraft, or other armed forces in warfare. Seriously, don't lose yet more money.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
This market is time framed lmao. They didn't even mention exact date, they just said it was a few months ago.
Justifax
1 year ago
There is no scam here. Trust me, if there was, I'd be screaming along with you. The entire point of this market was for raids and not invasion.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
What a steal. Yes buyers know it.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
I swear if it doesn't resolve as No it's such a scammy platform.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
THIS IS CLEARLY NO. FUCK PENCE.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
You're totally wrong.
BlackSky123
1 year ago
Intelligence would obviously count as a combat operation.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Even if they spied for intelligence, which by itself won't count as combat operation, they didn't mention when exactly it was happened. This market has timeframe. This is clearly a No outcome.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
lol, this market should be resolved as No.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
They entered long ago, and not for combat operations, but for intelligence. You are so stupid.
BlackSky123
1 year ago
Correct. But they did ENTER it. This is not the invasion market.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Are you retarded? They did these spying actions a few months ago, not from September 18, lmao.
Caligulas.dog
1 year ago
"Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count. Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. "
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Hahahaha No literally met the criteria. Yes is a losing outcome by definition.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
LMAOOOOO this will be resolved as No, you all are braindead.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
"The purpose of these operations was to glean information in preparation for a possible invasion"
Amok
1 year ago
https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-822515
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
It's only Pence manipulating the market at this point. Without him, No would spike.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Imagine being so braindead to buy Yes shares at 87c when No clearly meets the criteria.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
If anything, No should have been higher than Yes. What a shitshow lmaooo
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
In what world No is at 16c when it clearly meets the criteria? lmao
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Lol, they are all braindead. It will be resolved as No.
n/a
1 year ago
Rules say "Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count." Since you guys like to reference articles so much the headline of this one says it all https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822290
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
lol, definitely not. Also, can you mention when did it exactly happen?
kekkone
1 year ago
It's been one bloody combat operation over here.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
25c for No when it meets the criteria, what a joke.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
LOL, keep buying Yes at 76c when it didn't meet this market.
X9504
1 year ago
It’s Joever
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
And these actions were not "combat operations".
NotJustKen
1 year ago
1) No confirmation from Israel. 2) No confirmation from Hez. 3) Vague media reports without clear Time/intention. How on earth would it resolve to Yes?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Imagine buying Yes shares only to find out that the latest news don't meet the market, lol.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
And even if there is a confirmation from Israel, it still doesn't satisfy the market since they were spying and the date is not mentioned.
n/a
1 year ago
You guys use every bone in your body to find a random article to try and support your argument, even if it’s based on anonymous sources or vague claims. The reality is, anyone can twist an article to fit their narrative, but until there’s an official confirmation from Israel, it’s not convincing.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
It's simple. 1) Did they do any combat operations? No, they only spied for intelligence. 2) Did this source mention exactly the date? No, and this market is timeframed. 3) Do you see any troops RIGHT NOW in Lebanon? No. I rest my case.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Can't wait for the flipping when Yes tards will realize it's a nothingburger.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Nice manipulation. Combat operations is not intelligence operations, plus it has been done a few months ago and definitely not from September 18.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Nope. If they brought tanks and actually attacked anything, it would count. Also, it was a few months ago, definitely not from September 18, unless you can prove it (you cannot).
Betwick
1 year ago
You're all overthinking this, if special forces enter an enemy country it's a combat operation
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
The reported actions were done long ago and they were for intelligence, they didn't attack anything. Do you understand it?
HsB34sgg
1 year ago
"Combat operations" have been pretty heavy recently. For example, elimination the top 20 Hezbollah leaders in the last week.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
People are delusional, lol.
Car
1 year ago
Are there any articles confirming the time + that it is for “combat operations”? If so, please send them! Im happy to switch to YES if this is the case
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Exactly. And not only that, this market is timeframed. Even if they did some actions, which would not count anyway, they were done a few months ago already.
n/a
1 year ago
The rules explicitly state that the market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli personnel enter Lebanese territory for combat operations. The intent behind these actions matters significantly—if the primary purpose is intelligence gathering or probing, then it doesn’t qualify as a combat operation under the market’s criteria. For those who think intelligence gathering counts as combat operations: the rules are pretty clear. Entering enemy territory just to gather intel or probe isn’t the same as entering for combat. If you’re counting every covert raid as combat, then by that logic, every recon mission would also be a battle, which it clearly isn’t.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
They don't even mention what date exactly they did this lmaoooo. People are probably not aware that this market is timeframed from 18 September. Just lol.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
lmao this is obviously No. Also, it is from 18 September, and these actions were before this date. It was not for combat operations but for intelligence.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
No should be at 95c already, lol. Easy 10%.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
As long as we don't see any troops in Lebanon, this market is definitely No. That's what Polymarket means. Simple.
kekkone
1 year ago
There's a lot of maybes against one definete NO by Jerusalem Post.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
and they continue saying "While Israel has not announced a ground incursion into Lebanon, there have been reports of incidents across the border ever since Hezbollah-led forces began attacking communities and military posts in northern Israel on October 8, purportedly to support Gaza amid the war against Hamas there." Yes people are delusional.
aced
1 year ago
"While Israel has not announced a ground incursion into Lebanon..." you might have a chance for the november market
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Easiest money ever at this point.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Now it's obvious. No is the correct side.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Easiest money ever, lol.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
I know, right?
Sardinianshepherd
1 year ago
best username ever
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
LMAO. I'm genuinely curious, what in my writing makes you think I'm not Israeli? Come on dumbass, I'm waiting for an answer. Also, I said I live these markets as a way to say that I actually live in Israel and therefore watch these news all day. It's actually funny that you didn't understand it, but you're probably just dumb so I'm going to forgive you.
Illuminaughtiboi
1 year ago
Por is not israeli, i can tell by the way he writes. seriously
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
I know that Yes should be way higher. I live these markets any day, unlike you. Now please STFU.
Justifax
1 year ago
@Porcoddio if you know something about the cabinet meeting, please share. It's sort of relevant for this market given the tight timeline.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Can you please stop spamming bullshit statements, you little retard? Some people here are fucking idiots, it's stunning.
Justifax
1 year ago
Porcoddio 2m ago Imagine reading @Justifax nonsense all day and act according to him, just lol. So.... did you lie about the cabinet meeting or not?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Imagine reading @Justifax nonsense all day and act according to him, just lol.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
You are definitely shilling your bags, lmao. I have no position here, you dumbass.
Justifax
1 year ago
@Porcoddio just posted i was shilling my bags and then deleted it. How am I shilling my bags by saying the cabinet meeting was delayed? Lol. Maybe not a scammer, just dumb.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Imagine buying No at 85c, lmao. As an Israeli I know shit is not worth it. Yes should be higher. They are literally on the border waiting for a command that might come tonight after the cabinet meeting.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Iran? lol, why would they confirm it?
Jovenel
1 year ago
Iran confirmation would supplement IDF confirmation.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Iran and Hezbollah can deny, that doesn't mean he is not dead, lol.
Sakuya
1 year ago
when iran, or hezbollah confirm :^)
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Come on, when will it be resolved?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
lol
palisade
1 year ago
tbh i have a feeling hes dead
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Thanks God this mf has gone.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
LOL, free money now.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
It's over. He is dead. Hezbollah can manipulate but it doesn't matter.
Justifax
1 year ago
In any case, unless we get proof of life by Oct 31st, this should go NO regardless of what anyone says.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
LMAO, no. It's over for you.
Justifax
1 year ago
If hezbollah doesn't contradict IDF, this will go NO. even if they contradict and Nasarallah doesn't pop up before oct 31st, this will go NO. However, IDF is not a credible source. It will require a 3rd party for confirmation, such as Iran or Lebanon.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Good riddance. When are they going to resolve it?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Good to see that it's priced correctly now. A few days ago I said that the atmosphere here in Israel is pretty bad and invasion is imminent. If the US elections weren't in November, No would be worthless. The only thing that can stop invasion now is pretty much the US elections factor. I doubt it will.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
As an Israeli, the atmosphere here is definitely that a war declaration is coming in the next few days. However, that doesn't mean that I would buy Yes shares. My point is just that Yes should have been around 50% already, or even slightly higher.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
So EASY.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Lmao, thanks for letting me load up No on Crypto/Bitcoin at 0.85.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
"Israeli delegation leaves Doha with no progress in Gaza cease-fire talks". Easy money.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
People here have the IQ of a room temperature, apparently. Listen dumbfucks, a ceasefire is what all the world's leaders and security officials have been talking about for months, not a humanitarian pause. Do you really think that for a three day humanitarian pause you would get x6 or more on your money? where is your mind? The intention is of course a permanent ceasefire and not a temporary one.
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
A ceasefire is what all the world's leaders and security officials have been talking about for months, not a humanitarian pause. Do you really think that for a three day humanitarian pause you would get 6 times your money? where is your mind? The intention is of course a permanent ceasefire and not a temporary one.
Will143
1 year ago
The rules should have been just a ceasefire agreement defined as a ceasefire agreement, because the specified criteria of a "a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET" might be met. Or this is considered informal or unratified or verbal?
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
You are so stupid, lol.
Bozo
1 year ago
This poly context changing the rules is bullshit
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Lmao, go and learn what a ceasefire is and what a humanitarian pause is. Embarrassing.
Bozo
1 year ago
there is not. They just changed the rules with "additional context"
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
It's not a ceasefire, it's a humanitarian pause. I live in Israel btw, so you can't bullshit me. In June we had a humanitarian pause as well/
Bozo
1 year ago
This poly context changing the rules is bullshit
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Lol, it's not happening. Keep dreaming.
FrankyFourFingers
1 year ago
it's happenming
ThisIsSparta
1 year ago
Of course a humanitarian pause would not count. It's basically over. People who bought YES are delusional, lol.
Car
1 year ago
poly changing rules with clarification once again