Trolloftheswamp
#33
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2674
Comments
468
Likes Received
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Likes Given
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They will form in 100 days pretty fast too like talks are tomorrow again they will
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Poland Presidential Election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It could hurt this guy like doing with the other far right now
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Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This reminds me of the 15-20 and 25-30 and 20-25 when we saw
Poland Presidential Election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Afd gain because of a terror attack but then lost again however it still unlnown when comes again with unpredictability of the
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Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This reminds me of the 15-20 and 25-30 and 20-25 when we saw
Poland Presidential Election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This reminds me of the 15-20 and 25-30 and 20-25 when we saw
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Poland Presidential Election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I know they keep voting for the people who will screw them over or it will be like Poland all over but polymarket full of the alt right look at Germany election people really thought afd had chance lol
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Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
man there a lot of alt right supporters for this poland guy lmfao
Poland Presidential Election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
man there a lot of alt right supporters for this poland guy lmfao
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It won’t make that difficult because green has made not only the cdu pissed off but also the spd as well
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Hasemann
2 months ago
The new coalition might not get the play money they wanted after the Greens said No today, which would make the negotiations more difficult.
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Austria was different again we don’t let’s wait and dre
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Axiswest
2 months ago
Yeah look austria it will take more than 100
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
there huge amount of conflict between the spd and cdu right now it's kinda ugly
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
After today it will happen
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally the bsw won’t make it in end of story won’t you agree with me mcpetrus
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mcpetrus
2 months ago
They want to form a government more quickly than originally planned. They are both of the opinion that things have to go faster because of developments with Ukraine/Trump.
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think it will due to trump behavior affecting cdu and spd they will put their differences aside work to finish strengthen Europe as a while
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They will form it again the spd are ignorant not ducking dumb they will agree to the cdu terms in my opinion if they don’t prepare for a minority government
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True I agree now right members have concerned or four said right now they won’t vote for merz but it will all died down after next week when they meet again in my opinion
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Sub0
2 months ago
Its the last chance for the SPD, if they disagree they are below 10%. The wanted to boykott the first meeting because the CDU wants to audit the support of all NGOs - but the meeting took less than 24h later place.😂
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Let’s be honest it won’t form in 100 days maybe but it will be like 2017 coalition talks in my opinion
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The netting according to reports went well as well cdu seems confident tho
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Sub0
2 months ago
Its the last chance for the SPD, if they disagree they are below 10%. The wanted to boykott the first meeting because the CDU wants to audit the support of all NGOs - but the meeting took less than 24h later place.😂
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But they formed it fast to counter attack what’s going on with Ukraine and Russia
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thares
2 months ago
https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/1280469/umfrage/dauer-der-regierungsbildung-nach-einer-bundestagswahl/ Last SPD-CDU coalition was in 2017 btw. You can expect this to take 70-140 days.
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will take a olinv time but reason I expect it to form is due to Ukraine
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thares
2 months ago
https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/1280469/umfrage/dauer-der-regierungsbildung-nach-einer-bundestagswahl/ Last SPD-CDU coalition was in 2017 btw. You can expect this to take 70-140 days.
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
After what we saw today I have no doubt we will have a coalition in coming days because of Ukraine and trump security of Europe as well that’s why I agree it will happen
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
i think it will happen again this won't take that long in my opinion
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
after what trump pulled today a coalition will form in next 100 days after the bullshit
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
the nos super overvauled only because of the afd fans mad that they lost and can't accpet merz won't worked with them
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
More talks on march sixth
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Keeping yall update and the coalition of the spd and cdu are going well and doing great spd is mad at one person right now
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Reports in Germany has said that the talks have gone very well for the spd and cdu it’s seem that they will form coalition by easter
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Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They coalition talks have seem to go very well right now according to report
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OneT
2 months ago
Now it's likely that it will take less than 100 days due to SPD and CDU being able to coalition just by themselves.
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over the spd and cdu seem to be on pace with each other right now one member tho is annoying a lot them
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Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They are actually going crazy the bsw about the errors and everything saying. That we would’ve gotten in they so delusional I can’t with the bsw they should just concede instead of being stupid right now
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Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t think merz would want to work with the afd at the end of the day they are too radical for him he like a centrist republican
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Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Like it won’t change shit get off the super glue
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Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Now bsw is doubling down on election fraud claims and saying there are irregularities
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Now bsw is doubling down on election fraud claims and saying there are irregularities
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Now they are claiming voter fraud or that they hated them again childish they should just concede
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
For all the conspiracy myths that #BSW and #Wagenknecht are now spreading about their election defeat: The BSW lost the elections in the East. This could have something to do with Wagenknecht's behavior during the coalition negotiations in Saxony, Thuringia and Brandenburg:
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This so much hopium that they would make when they didn’t so stop it and end this market
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yeah the recount was done and nothing showed from the recount bsw didn’t gain at all
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
yeah also the cdu and spd will have a coaliton result are what they are
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athi
2 months ago
In this election, CDU/CSU and AfD have the highest likelihood of forming a coalition government because SPD's policies would increase the government's financial burden, while the Greens have extreme environmental policies. CDU/CSU and AfD share some similarities, particularly regarding free trade and their opposition to expanding the welfare state. If CDU/CSU agrees to adopt anti-immigration policies from AfD, there would be very little difference between them.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
yall yes are sniffing too much hopium and copium it won't happened but hey at least the no's get easy money
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
that's hopium and copium the premliniary results are the final results as it stands
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
nope anyways they won't make recounts happened and they got the same results
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brudi
2 months ago
anyone know a printing agency?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would recommend selling your shares they won't make it at all
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brudi
2 months ago
anyone know a printing agency?
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t again merz said no it’s very likely almost certain grand coalition
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athi
2 months ago
In this election, CDU/CSU and AfD have the highest likelihood of forming a coalition government because SPD's policies would increase the government's financial burden, while the Greens have extreme environmental policies. CDU/CSU and AfD share some similarities, particularly regarding free trade and their opposition to expanding the welfare state. If CDU/CSU agrees to adopt anti-immigration policies from AfD, there would be very little difference between them.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Very unlikely tbh
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athi
2 months ago
LET SEE CDU/CSU & AfD They are right and has same political idea
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They are missing 13,400 ballots that’s almost impossible to make up people betting on them should sell your stock
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Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yes here is way too fucking overhauled they have no shot of making. It in so please sell your yes
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Bsw won’t make it in end of story
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yes here is way too fucking overhauled they have no shot of making. It in so please sell your yes
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Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Doesn’t change anything again results are out bsw won’t make end of story today okay
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2391142069a
2 months ago
The fact that not all eligible voters who wanted to vote were able to vote is mainly due to the early election date in February, a date in March would also have been possible, but this was not politically desired. The Berlin election officer and political scientist Stephan Brochler said: "It will therefore certainly lead to complaints to the election committee of the German Bundestag and will probably end up in Karlsruhe later." Other experts also see constitutional problems here. Constitutional lawyer Ulrich Battis told t-online: "I definitely see the current situation of Germans living abroad as a problem. After all, this could represent a violation of the most important principle of voting: the universality of the vote." Interesting question: How many postal votes did not arrive? It will be interesting to see how the court rules in the event of a lawsuit. And whether the constitutional guardians come to the conclusion that the 13,434 votes that would have helped the BSW over the five percent hurdle actually came from those who were unable to cast their vote from abroad. How many foreign votes could not actually be counted due to the early date because the envelopes with the postal ballots simply arrived too late could also be legally relevant. If it is higher than expected, the Karlsruhe judges could well express concerns about the constitutionality of the ballot. x.com/FabioDeMasi/status/1893910521021132840
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They didn’t boy r they need again I would recommend yall yrs to sell because it’s ovet
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They will but won’t change the result this market should close right now
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not really it will be fast got gramd coalition to form
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KamalaHairy
2 months ago
greens will be cut into the deal, thank me later
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over let’s go official result are published
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Read this you yes people https://www.stern.de/news/sahra-wagenknecht-will-knappes-wahlergebnis-womoeglich-anfechten--35493736.html?utm_medium=posting&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=stern_fanpage
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Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nah it will be the grand coalition your welcome
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KamalaHairy
2 months ago
greens will be cut into the deal, thank me later
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well tomorrow the election gets certified gg to no one here for free money and to the yes just go ahead and sell they wouldn’t think of lawsuits if they had a chance of winning
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over still they wouldn’t be suing if it wasn’t over gg bsw fans are people rooting for merz downfall grand coalition here we come
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Hey what’s up dude I know so many of these proper who think bsw is going to make are delusional as fuck
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rugpuller
2 months ago
Over 250,000 voters were unable to cast their vote 213,000 of them were Germans living abroad, while another 30,000 to 40,000 faced other obstacles. If we do the math, BSW is currently missing 13,000 votes. Five percent of the 250,000 uncounted votes would amount to 12,500 very close to the threshold. This COULD be enough to justify new elections.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It won’t happen there too little ballots left for them to count for the bsw
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TRUMPSTA
2 months ago
So we will have to wait 18 days to get the full profit or sell now and miss out on 2%?
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s going to be the grand coalition
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lavarball
2 months ago
estimates on resolutions?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well the result are the result it’s over for everyone thankngod
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Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Result are out it’s over pookie please consider selling right now
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over people sell your yes and nos official data is out
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Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This so easily grand coalition
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Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Damn you nailed this election well done I’m proud of you for this
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TRUMPSTA
2 months ago
#weiterso
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Why did you sell I want to know
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
He just sold I recommend you do the same for this market
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude he sold his position because he knew that bsw won’t win lmfao
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Why did sell you position hmm
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Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Again one fucking recount won’t change there numbers at all so shut up and remember they won’t make it
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Again they recount all the time to make sure I agree anything a recount can’t make up 13,400 votes in my opinion this market should close by tomorrow
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Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They recount all the time it’s fucking normal it’s what we think but again they super unlikely to get above five tomorrow we will get the final results
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Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Because the preliminary results are staying the same for this election no matter what you do
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would sell
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Again the result are the result we won’t see go above five at all
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Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
yeah as i said, we always count multiple times. the currently known voting result is called a preliminary result, because they recount multiple times just to make sure that its the same vote count every time. that not unusual so far.
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Duelsional
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Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They recount all the time it doesn’t change the results at all it’s normal for them to do recournsc
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yeah my Germany friend is calling you fucking delusional man
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Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They recount all the fucking time just make the result be the most accurate
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Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The hopium and copium on this chat is crazy like bsw won’t win yall need to calm down about these recounts
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They recount all the time it doesn’t change much it’s just to check that the count is accurate it won’t affect the change of this
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Highly unlikely again they recounting because the two candidates are very close together they have to gain over 13,400 to overcome that margin they won’t win so stop doubling down that this recount won’t change much ch for this election
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That’s literally my answer it might help them a little bit but I think he wanted to switch sides anyways
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Okay be my guest about that I doubt it will change anything
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Berlin is very not friendly towards the bsw so no it won’t swing anything agains it’s a recount to help with cdu vs this green candidate so shut up bsw has no chance
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They have to overcome 13,400 bites that’s very hard to make up even with a recount as well for them sell your yes I’m from Germany so I would know
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope I still doubt it they are performing at six percent in Berlin it’s unlikely that they will get the votes they need to win when does this recount start again
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They’ve gotten six percent in Berlin again they don’t have time or anything to over come 13,000 votes sell your yes don’t lose out on free money
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
A recount in Berlin won’t change the result of this election I sell your yes votes right now if I was you
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They got shit in Berlin won’t change anything
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Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
If all aboard voted they would need tho 12.75 percent to get into the government again they failed sell you yes now
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Bsw is over stop betting on hoping for a recount or a lawsuit save them they won’t it’s over for that party maybe Sahra wasn’t dumbass made mistake constantly then she would’ve have gotten over five percent it’s her fault
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BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
You should tbh
0
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Are you going to sell now
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n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
She has conceded her results it’s over sell all your yes votes
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over sell your yes they won’t prevail trust they not making it in at all
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
You’re idiot the election is over bsw didn’t make cry hard livtard
0
Mightsn
2 months ago
The official results will be published today (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2025/termine.html). There won't be any kind of "recount". This is not possible according to German law. If there are any successful complaints against the result, there will be a *NEW* election, not a correction of this election. So no matter what happens, the results of *THIS* election will be fixed today.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Result are now official the bsw has lost this election
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
In the most benevolent view, BSW would have had to more than double its share of votes among Germans living abroad, compared to the usual average. That wasn't why they failed. There were other reasons for that.
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
At least you got on money here tbh good job
0
Mightsn
2 months ago
The official results will be published today (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2025/termine.html). There won't be any kind of "recount". This is not possible according to German law. If there are any successful complaints against the result, there will be a *NEW* election, not a correction of this election. So no matter what happens, the results of *THIS* election will be fixed today.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Truly because let’s be honest the result you see now are the results
0
Mightsn
2 months ago
The official results will be published today (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2025/termine.html). There won't be any kind of "recount". This is not possible according to German law. If there are any successful complaints against the result, there will be a *NEW* election, not a correction of this election. So no matter what happens, the results of *THIS* election will be fixed today.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t understand why people think they have chance when they don’t give up already
0
Mightsn
2 months ago
The official results will be published today (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2025/termine.html). There won't be any kind of "recount". This is not possible according to German law. If there are any successful complaints against the result, there will be a *NEW* election, not a correction of this election. So no matter what happens, the results of *THIS* election will be fixed today.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Official result are out and I was right they didn’t make it in so sad girls bsw is bye bye for good
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
In hour this market will finally see sense and close for good grand coalition here we come
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Please just sell your yes shares nothing willl help the bsw win this election not even a recount they won’t make it end of story election already been certify
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude the election is over the bsw won’t make it at all the result are the result yall need to stop huffing hopium
0
LB1607
2 months ago
They need about 13000 further votes to be over 5%...thats a lot
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They keep doubling down that they can win when they won’t lmfao
0
rugpuller
2 months ago
Over 250,000 voters were unable to cast their vote 213,000 of them were Germans living abroad, while another 30,000 to 40,000 faced other obstacles. If we do the math, BSW is currently missing 13,000 votes. Five percent of the 250,000 uncounted votes would amount to 12,500 very close to the threshold. This COULD be enough to justify new elections.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall need to stop doubling down that they have chance they don’t stop wasting your money and time the elation result are already official dumb bitches
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That’s what I’ve been trying to tell them there no way for bsw to get in to parliment
0
LB1607
2 months ago
They need about 13000 further votes to be over 5%...thats a lot
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not wasting your money and time on this bullshit
0
rugpuller
2 months ago
Over 250,000 voters were unable to cast their vote 213,000 of them were Germans living abroad, while another 30,000 to 40,000 faced other obstacles. If we do the math, BSW is currently missing 13,000 votes. Five percent of the 250,000 uncounted votes would amount to 12,500 very close to the threshold. This COULD be enough to justify new elections.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
There nothing the bsw can do to win this election period yall should be
0
rugpuller
2 months ago
Over 250,000 voters were unable to cast their vote 213,000 of them were Germans living abroad, while another 30,000 to 40,000 faced other obstacles. If we do the math, BSW is currently missing 13,000 votes. Five percent of the 250,000 uncounted votes would amount to 12,500 very close to the threshold. This COULD be enough to justify new elections.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t court you int care again this election is over bsw won’t get in there no way at all
0
rugpuller
2 months ago
Over 250,000 voters were unable to cast their vote 213,000 of them were Germans living abroad, while another 30,000 to 40,000 faced other obstacles. If we do the math, BSW is currently missing 13,000 votes. Five percent of the 250,000 uncounted votes would amount to 12,500 very close to the threshold. This COULD be enough to justify new elections.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They can’t make it up it’s lost cause to buy yes for them to win tbh
0
LB1607
2 months ago
They need about 13000 further votes to be over 5%...thats a lot
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t win they have no shot they need 13,000 votes to have come back and that’s almost impossible
0
LB1607
2 months ago
They need about 13000 further votes to be over 5%...thats a lot
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This obvious it will happen bsw won’t make it in and that’s means spd and cdu will have a coalition
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Final result already out or what we think is which is bsw is fucked won’t make it at all so do sell your yes for this market as it over
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What sore losers the bsw are lmfao they lost and now want involve the courts but they won’t hear this nonsense e
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It couldn’t it likely won’t it’s very hard to find 17,000 votes to get in
0
2391142069a
2 months ago
Article mentions a recount of the BSW vote could be taking place, which could change the equation: https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/news/result-of-german-election-2025/ -- still mail in ballots to count too. in 2002 there was the PDS precedent as well, where a recount adjusted their share from 4.97% to 5.0%.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Therefore the grand coalition is going to be the next government
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
With them like I don’t like the election results dang trump send his regards about this lmfao she so delulu
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The count is now official yall lost doesn’t matter if she wants to challenge it or not it’s fucking over for the bsw things will only go downhill from here for the bsw
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s really unlikely for them to get those margin they need to get above 5 percent again that won’t happen
0
Jhandsome
2 months ago
Recount save
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The count has now been official bsw will not make into budgestag if she challenges it won’t change anything in fact in have huge doubts she will make in at all so good night bsw it funny but your time is up
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The count is now official yall lost doesn’t matter if she wants to challenge it or not it’s fucking over for the bsw things will only go downhill from here for the bsw
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I see she wants to challenge her results as she not happy with I don’t see it where she can prove that they deserve a recount tho
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would keeeo it for now let people be dumb
0
TRUMPSTA
2 months ago
So we will have to wait 18 days to get the full profit or sell now and miss out on 2%?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t why people doubling down the bsw didn’t make it it’s over get over a recount won’t save them at all
0
TRUMPSTA
2 months ago
So we will have to wait 18 days to get the full profit or sell now and miss out on 2%?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude why did but yes they have no shot at winning it’s over they just published the final results
0
sanalid
2 months ago
Guys I m new here. One question to clarify , let’s say I have 100 shares for no , and the results is no on that case for the BSW, do I need to do sth to get the profits , or automatically will get paid when official result will come up? Because if I make cash out know , I m losing money . What is the best solution to close a position
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/plus255511700/BSW-nicht-im-Bundestag-Zwei-fehlende-Haeuserblocks-und-der-Hinweis-auf-rumaenische-Verhaeltnisse.html?wtrid=socialmedia.socialflow....socialflow_twitter
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The results have been finalized it’s over bsw won’t make it in o would sell if I was you
0
brudi
2 months ago
wahlleiterin: final results 14.03. lol
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Oh you just got free money they have no chance making it none at all
0
sanalid
2 months ago
Guys I m new here. One question to clarify , let’s say I have 100 shares for no , and the results is no on that case for the BSW, do I need to do sth to get the profits , or automatically will get paid when official result will come up? Because if I make cash out know , I m losing money . What is the best solution to close a position
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over sell your stock now there will be no recount
0
brudi
2 months ago
wahlleiterin: final results 14.03. lol
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
One thing is certain will the final results in bsw will stay out of budgestag and this election can come to a close bsw will not be in at all
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s not happening sorry dude you lost it’s over they won’t even make at all
0
2391142069a
2 months ago
Article mentions a recount of the BSW vote could be taking place, which could change the equation: https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/news/result-of-german-election-2025/ -- still mail in ballots to count too. in 2002 there was the PDS precedent as well, where a recount adjusted their share from 4.97% to 5.0%.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
https://m.bild.de/politik/inland/vorlaeufiges-amtliches-endergebnis-wagenknecht-raus-merz-atmet-auf-67bbbb725cbd13341d0e4449?utm_source=chatgpt.com&t_ref=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bild.de%2Fpolitik%2Finland%2Fvorlaeufiges-amtliches-endergebnis-wagenknecht-raus-merz-atmet-auf-67bbbb725cbd13341d0e4449%3Futm_source%3Dchatgpt.com
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s grand as the bsw won’t make it in but cdu and spd will have a enough seats to over come the point of winning the district they need to get shit done
0
CalOne1
2 months ago
There could still be a coalition with Green party because SPD + CDU would be a very weak coalition
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over the bsw won’t be in government ata all week all yes now
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They didn’t make it such it bsw fans
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Tomorrow
0
TRUMPSTA
2 months ago
when will the market be settled?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
No they didn’t make its over stop it with that
0
Babatross
2 months ago
Lets buy in
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Can you yes shared just sell they didn’t make it grow up
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It won’t happen stop with the coping
0
Jhandsome
2 months ago
Recount save
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Can yall stop buying yes this market is over next coaliton is grand one
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thank people keep saying bsw has chance to make in but highly doubt that
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
So what coalition is likely after this
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over stop doubling down that bsw will win they won’t be in budgestag at sll
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
So what coalition is likely after this
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t it’s over
0
nickgurr888
2 months ago
what if they have to do a recount?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The next coalition for Germany is a grand coalition
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over the bsw won’t make it
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
A lot it won’t happened
0
feuerr
2 months ago
how much % bsw would mannheim need?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s so over the bsw won’t make it at
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Soon not right now
0
Babatross
2 months ago
When do we know for 100% ?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
No they didn’t at all
1
n/a
2 months ago
did they make it?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Can yall stop lying they didn’t make it at all
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
when does final two post there
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Stop lying we will see I doubt they
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t see that at all
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s so over
0
Klimbo837
2 months ago
4,980% with 2 counties left
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
When does Baden reveal it that the last rheee
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over bsw will not make it
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
No there won’t it’s over thank god
0
duderr
2 months ago
THERE WILL BE A RECOUNT
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over yall lost
0
0xee743273be720ac078d07453b070f1c14bc09964
2 months ago
BSW’s New Percentage of Valid Votes: Percentage = 2,414,707 / 48,229,266 = 5.00515% (calculated to five decimal places)
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s so over for bsw
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
No they won’t it’s over they didn’t make it at all
0
2391142069a
2 months ago
mail in votes still going to skew BWS
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over they won’t make it
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t see it at all yall being delulu
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s role now doubling down that they made it but I doubt it
0
klacy
2 months ago
290/299 BSW 4,987%. Thank god. This was closer than I expected. It's finally over now
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t see it at all we shall see
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over those county are very good for no people
0
Klimbo837
2 months ago
Counties left: 4 (BW) , 1 (SH) , 1 (MV) , 3 (NRW)
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They have to offset the Baden county which is very hard to do
0
caukdC
2 months ago
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern has 1 district left, BSW is 10% there
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over for the bsw fans again they won’t make it at all
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It won’t at all it’s over bsw won’t make it end of storu
0
JPPerformance
2 months ago
The One left in Mecklenburg Vorpommern is 10-11% BSW!
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Won’t offset the other parts like western German which favors hard cdu
0
higermany0202
2 months ago
still mekleburg left
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over for the new coalition will be grand coalition
0
Klimbo837
2 months ago
Official source: 5.007% (284 out of 299 counties)
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope most of the western Germany is very favored timber other party
0
JPPerformance
2 months ago
There‘s also one district in Mecklenburg Vorpommern left, which could offset 5+ in West Germany
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over Baden will ruin this party they won’t make it to budgestag
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude what’s left is Baden rich part of Germany which heavy duty fabrics cdu it’s over bsw won’t make it
0
dommel
2 months ago
still 13 percent outstanding votes in saxony, BSW stronghold
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Let’s see the last district are western Germany which will likely kill the bsw in my opinion
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Most of what’s left for bsw is western Baden which will hurt the bsw by slot
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thank you for that on this math
0
klacy
2 months ago
5,714,161 valid votes counted. Of these, 2,301,746 went to BSW. From now on, only constituencies in West Germany remain. If there are no statistical anomalies, BSW will not be represented in the Bundestag.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Last district are western district it likely the bsw won’t make it
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
There still a lot district left it’s most likely over for bsw
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over I doubt the bsw will make jt
0
Saruman77
2 months ago
I had yes and sold to no. That bottom left region is 3.5-4% BSW and has like 20 of the 25 ridings left...
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True it will be very close we will see
0
Manu888
2 months ago
its a coin-flip will be close as hell either way
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well it’s over bsw won’t make it it’s almost certain as most district are done with this
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thank you
0
feuerr
2 months ago
tbh i see a very very small possibility bsw making it
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What’s left is not friendly toward the bsw at all
0
n/a
2 months ago
The exact value is 5.033235031657971%.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thank you so much for that
0
klacy
2 months ago
BSW 5,033% - 1 East district left (Schwerin - an urban district) - the rest are 24 west districts. BSW wont make it.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This so over bsw won’t make sorry
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I doubt it again cdu will gain more again after all western is left
0
HumanIsPredictable
2 months ago
Don't forget that mainly postal voters are now being counted and that BSW votes are more likely to be among them
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What’s left is western Germany which won’t be friendly to bsw
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But all of eastern Germany is done
0
klacy
2 months ago
Das wars. Noch 30 West-Wahlkreise und 3 Ost-Wahlkreise und BSW sinkt jetzt schon auf 5,01%. Es gibt quasi keinen anderen Weg mehr als noch mehr nach unten.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s at 274 looking like they could make it
0
klacy
2 months ago
Das wars. Noch 30 West-Wahlkreise und 3 Ost-Wahlkreise und BSW sinkt jetzt schon auf 5,01%. Es gibt quasi keinen anderen Weg mehr als noch mehr nach unten.
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over nothing can save them at all
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Most of the counties left are very not friendly towards the bsw at all
0
Chrissistar04
2 months ago
Why not 50 50?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It won’t happen trust me it’s over
0
dommel
2 months ago
Oh mein Gott bei Sachsen fehlen noch am meisten und die waehlen ALLE BSW
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over bsw won’t make it as the west is what left so it’s over for the bsw
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well grand coalition is very likely no because bsw won’t make it in at sll
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s looking more like bsw might not make it In so sad but it is what it id
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
So will bsw make it or no
0
klacy
2 months ago
Das wars. Noch 30 West-Wahlkreise und 3 Ost-Wahlkreise und BSW sinkt jetzt schon auf 5,01%. Es gibt quasi keinen anderen Weg mehr als noch mehr nach unten.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Will merz be chancellor or no
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This going to be super interesting on who going to be chanxelelor
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The grand still likely but since bsw got in now things get conplicated
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True but I think he wi
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The grand still likely but since bsw got in now things get conplicated
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The grand still likely but since bsw got in now things get conplicated
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well there goes the grand coalition
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude it’s over for them
0
dommel
2 months ago
4.989
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
48 district are left and it’s not looking good for the bsw
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will likely not help them
0
0xee743273be720ac078d07453b070f1c14bc09964
2 months ago
DRESDEN STILL HASNT REPORTED - great news for BSW
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What left will hurt the bsw not help but go ahead lose your money
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope what left is bsw unfriendly areas
0
n/a
2 months ago
Is 4,982 enough or has it to be above 5.0?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope it had to be exactly five
0
n/a
2 months ago
Is 4,982 enough or has it to be above 5.0?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s still very unlikely
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s very likely 28-:0
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well this is over again I doubt they will
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Truly but cdu will have coalition with spd that’s for sure
0
Aadler12345
2 months ago
Sure there can be a coalition with greens, CDU and SPD, but then you will see new elections within 1-2 years and AFD at +30%. CDU/Merz knows this, so I wouldnt rule out a CDU+SPD gov that counts on minority support from AFD
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But right now looking like spd and cdu has enough for grand coailitisitoj
0
Aadler12345
2 months ago
Sure there can be a coalition with greens, CDU and SPD, but then you will see new elections within 1-2 years and AFD at +30%. CDU/Merz knows this, so I wouldnt rule out a CDU+SPD gov that counts on minority support from AFD
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I see grand coalition being formed
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
My statement stays correct
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Toss up between 6-8 and 8-10 right now cdu above eight percent
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think late ballots in this however cdu fumbled this election
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think there could be chance
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think there could be chance
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over fdp likely not make it in
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This election is bullshit in my opinion
0
RefJ.
2 months ago
28.4 to 20.4 now
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
6-8 percent is very likely
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Poor coalition that about huge nightmare for the cdu even though they won getting coalition partner will be the biggest headache of there life
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well it’s likely grand now or Kenya government
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I’m confident saying it will be nightmare for cdu come coalition minor covenant
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Fdp won’t make it sorry it’s over for them
1
Aadler12345
2 months ago
4.7% now...arghhh
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Grand coalition is likely one
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
So spd its at 4:9
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
We will have to wait and see
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Are 28.8-20.2
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
28.4-20.1 still above eight percent likely to stay that way
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Still at 8.5
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well 28-30 is so likely
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s going to be German coalition or the grand either one
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Still up by eight point five
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They stroll up by 8.5
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Because of the cdu losing margin still above afd by a lot
0
AUTOTRADER
2 months ago
Why is 8-10% dropping???
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This market is also over
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Let’s see fdp could actually make it in
1
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well it’s now at five percent keep you update
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s a toss up we will seee
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
8-10 is very likely
1
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This will be very close again I don’t it should be fifty fifty
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will be we have to see the result tomorrow
0
0xd306AC3aEEcFBf9fA2082a125f2f39E7EB7dbe42-1737044280712
2 months ago
This is so close
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
We will have to see tomorrow
1
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New zdf five percent congratulation fdp made it good game
2
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
First exit poll 29.5-19.5 it’s over 10-12 is favored
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
https://x.com/ThorntonWa47373/status/1893695156794130807
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Leak exit poll 22.5 however we shall see 32 minutes but the eixotn is over cdu won the shit
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Exit polls have them around eight-nine percent
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Another one showed 21 pedant as wekl
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Leak exit poll 22.5 however we shall see 32 minutes but the eixotn is over cdu won the shit
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Leak exit poll 22.5 however we shall see 32 minutes but the eixotn is over cdu won the shit
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Exit polls in 54 minutes i can’t wait to watch people who betting 22-254 get really upset at there lost while I love it
1
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
We find out in 56 minutes left until then hold on to your horse
0
Winklerbauer
2 months ago
If they get ~22.5 in the first exit polls this will be easy money for anybody. They always go down after that because of libtards not counting their ballots and fake mail-ins from nursing homes for Greens and Left.
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I expect the cdu to do well in this election
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
2 months ago
https://prnt.sc/Hnz_p0D8MGWX sitting in saxony, watching afd go under 22% 👌
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t win they struggle hard in saxony right now I. One hour is the fucking exit poll
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
2 months ago
https://prnt.sc/Hnz_p0D8MGWX sitting in saxony, watching afd go under 22% 👌
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They also vote in paper ballots so it’s even hard for the afd to win also high turnout good for cdu and afd more cdu as well
0
Fredi9999WASP🐝
2 months ago
https://prnt.sc/Hnz_p0D8MGWX sitting in saxony, watching afd go under 22% 👌
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Seeing them double down on 24-26 is so silly they have no chance again even if voter turnout is high the afd will get 20-25 percent let’s wait and see
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True let’s wait and see
1
Fredi9999WASP🐝
2 months ago
https://prnt.sc/Hnz_p0D8MGWX sitting in saxony, watching afd go under 22% 👌
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s going to be around 20-22 we will have to wait see again almost one hour until exit polls
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Cdu will win and afd 20-22 like this market has tbh
2
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Wow 22-24 is too overvalued and highly unlikely but we will see in four hours
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall wait don’t assume we don’t there a lot to this election anyways wish yall luck
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not really wait until exit polls come out until then wait
0
LB1607
2 months ago
CDU will get max. 28%, a lot of CDU voters will prefer the AfD
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thank you mcpetrus
0
maju
2 months ago
I think it is underpriced that the AfD will come out at 26+% and beats all polls (as it happened in Thueringen and Sachsen, and Italy, Sweden, France, Netherlands, Argentina, USA).
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Wow 22-24 is too overvalued and highly unlikely but we will see in four hours
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nah it will be cdu and spd but 22-24 is way too overvalued
0
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Btw 22-24% will win 😊
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Exit polls come out I four hours tbh
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They will next election but this election it will be the grand coalition for sure
1
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Btw 22-24% will win 😊
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Your the moron you don’t understand trump driving voters to vote against the afd Elon is hated but other election had those party up against them beside the Netherlands everyone knew mlilelw was going to win his elicit
0
maju
2 months ago
I think it is underpriced that the AfD will come out at 26+% and beats all polls (as it happened in Thueringen and Sachsen, and Italy, Sweden, France, Netherlands, Argentina, USA).
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Again trump and Germany showing them to be scared for eyes of Europe and voters scared Ukraine to it
0
maju
2 months ago
I think it is underpriced that the AfD will come out at 26+% and beats all polls (as it happened in Thueringen and Sachsen, and Italy, Sweden, France, Netherlands, Argentina, USA).
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That won’t happened Italy sweeen France and Netherlands Argentina and USA all play around the same as what the polls showed in it as well because only one was Netherlands
0
maju
2 months ago
I think it is underpriced that the AfD will come out at 26+% and beats all polls (as it happened in Thueringen and Sachsen, and Italy, Sweden, France, Netherlands, Argentina, USA).
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
High voter turnout this and news for the afd and very good news for the cdu as well
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t win 22-24 very likely 20-21 percent afd won’t be in the government at all
0
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Btw 22-24% will win 😊
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The afd is won’t win I expect the result to be very close if not the same as the ones from allensbach
0
LB1607
2 months ago
sounds strange but nearly anything is possible, no election was so uncertain like this one.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t think so afd and cdu don’t get along at all they will never have a coalition with Bach other at all
0
AoN
2 months ago
Hot take: mutiny of CDU base against their leaders, forcing coalition with AfD. Highly unlikely but maybe worth a hedge. After all, strong bonds in eastern Germany do exist between the two and it's basically free right now..
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Now it’s starting to balance without afd fans coming in here trying to ruin this chat
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Meh I doubtful again cdu typically over performs their polling numbers afd won’t get 24 percent more like 20-21 percent in my opinion
0
LB1607
2 months ago
sounds strange but nearly anything is possible, no election was so uncertain like this one.
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
22-24 and 24-26 super overvalued you alt right Americans don’t know shit about German politics and how their election works at all but hey at least my friends will make money off of you gust
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I lik how it’s alt right in America that doubles down knowing nothing about this election
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I’m so excited tomorrow I can’t wait at eleven my time
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They think of silent afd voter for this election but they don’t understand how accurate German polls are tbh
0
Mr.Fister
2 months ago
I don't understand the pricing in this market compared to the 5% bracket one. The 5 % bracket is really bottom heavy. Polls all are at 21 to 20. Are we betting so much on the silent AfD voter? Other than that I don't understand how this one is 5 cent cheaper
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True bexaue it will bbe mess after this
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will just be the grand colitation all over again so no sweat
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True mcpetrus do you think cdu will still win or no
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will be formed in like couple of days
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will just be the grand colitation all over again so no sweat
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude people buying 22-24 being very unrealistic and the afd typically underperforms in federal election so that being said I think 20-22 is easy money while under 20 seems pretty reasonable as well
1
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I fucking agree
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
20-22 and under 20 or more likely than the others in my opinion
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
We will see soon I expecting 32 as allensbach typically nails cdu margins
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think likely 19-21 is the likely one
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
22-24 is still super unlikely tho 20-22 is very likely I see it happening
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
20-22 and under 20 or more likely than the others in my opinion
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not likely at all it’s most likely 20-22 in my opinion but we will see on Sunday at 11 am my time
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
22-24 is still super unlikely tho 20-22 is very likely I see it happening
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The afd only does good I. Eastern Germany on western Germany they do horrible due to stigma
1
AoN
2 months ago
Hot take: mutiny of CDU base against their leaders, forcing coalition with AfD. Highly unlikely but maybe worth a hedge. After all, strong bonds in eastern Germany do exist between the two and it's basically free right now..
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I’m from Germany and I hate chancellor candidates Alice is dumb habeck is narcasstic Olaf is incompetent Merz is decent but flips flops too much but I think he will be good for Germany
0
AoN
2 months ago
Friendly reminder to all buying CDU-SPD-FDP: SPD literally hates FDP and their strict no-debt policy. This coalition cannot happen. Instead, CDU-SPD-Greens will happen if CDU-SPD won't get majority
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t go afd as they stay stagnant I think they willl but cdu and spd will have the grand coalition in this election
0
AoN
2 months ago
Friendly reminder to all buying CDU-SPD-FDP: SPD literally hates FDP and their strict no-debt policy. This coalition cannot happen. Instead, CDU-SPD-Greens will happen if CDU-SPD won't get majority
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They do it anyways spd and cdu tho is extremely likely in my opinion
1
AoN
2 months ago
Friendly reminder to all buying CDU-SPD-FDP: SPD literally hates FDP and their strict no-debt policy. This coalition cannot happen. Instead, CDU-SPD-Greens will happen if CDU-SPD won't get majority
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I doubt this seem so certain that cdu will win but how much is the uncertain part of this election
0
LB1607
2 months ago
sounds strange but nearly anything is possible, no election was so uncertain like this one.
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I expect around the 8-10 in my opinion
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
22-24 is still super unlikely tho 20-22 is very likely I see it happening
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
8-10 is super likely in this election tbh
0
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will be formed in like couple of days
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Who knows time will tell
0
n/a
2 months ago
folks, FDP lost a series of many Landtagswahlen, here its a bit more prominent, but election works that if they stay below 5, the votes are benefitting all parties, the Left, too. So strategic risk...
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Because of how off insa is which is around two percent for cdu so cdu will win this election but 8-10 seems reasonable as well
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Insa shows a 8.5 lead so 10-12 seems very likely Tho
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Insa shows a 8.5 lead so 10-12 seems very likely Tho
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True but they are typically very accurate
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Last allenbatch 32-20
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Allensbach has them at 4.5 it’s over for the fdp
3
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
22-24 is super unlikely good job dad right for buying it dumbass
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Allenbatch 20 percent allensbach is most accurate
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Last allenbatch 32-20
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Average for cdu is 30.5 means that 28-30 and 30-32 has close race
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Maybe I think it will be at 30.5 percent with grand coalition
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
In my opinion I think the union will hit around 31 percent on Sunday night
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
In my opinion I think the union will hit around 31 percent on Sunday night
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Top two for this market will be 28-30 30-32 which I think cdu will get around 30 percent but that’s my opinion
0
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Last YouGov 29-20 in polls but everyone freaking sout over that awful poll done by zdf
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally this because a lot afd markets full of afd fans
0
A P
2 months ago
Funny how according to Polymarket polls are simultaneously heavily biased against AfD and correct for other parties.
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well so high voter turnout is bad for the afd I didn’t know
0
mcpetrus
2 months ago
Postal voting is very high. Higher than expected. Not good for the AfD. they will end up under 20%. I'm quite sure of that.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Which is so true tho
0
vamnizar
2 months ago
INSA 21 (-1). Every institute sees a downward trend and no institute has them above 21 anymore.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I love it mcpetrus on this
0
mcpetrus
2 months ago
15-20 is severely undervalued. I'm 90% sure they'll end up at 17-19.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Hey mcpetrus I haven’t seen you in while how you doing today
0
mcpetrus
2 months ago
The last Insa poll sees the AfD fall again to 21, the CDU stable at 30. There will be a final poll by the research group today. About 35-40% have already voted by mail.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New insa 30-21 which means 30-35 seem very likely
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Insa 30-21 afd went down again looks like yall were wrong lmfao
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New insa poll 30-21 cdu well afd went down again like I said there no way polls off that much siggi good luck losing bitch
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Do you literally posted a fucking photoshopped poll that I couldn’t even find at all sir the fuck down you stupid bitch
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
You all fcked HAHAHAHA 4 Days Till you all broke you mainstream junkies
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The poll ciruclating right is super photoshop what news channel is it they can’t even list it also why do Germans in media would have it in English
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The poll loooks super photo shop like I could tell by just looking at it
0
Bitcoinipie2
2 months ago
BREAKING: A German television channel just released a Final Poll ahead of Germany’s Election on Sunday, which shows AfD WINNING by 7 points. Please let this happen. Germany needs to be saved!
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Have seen her debate it’s awful she bad and looks stupid compare to merz and even Olaf looks better than she does
0
supermodul
2 months ago
Can I bet on the coalition that will form the next German goverment?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
When in the fuck does a German channel use English that’s how you know it’s photoshop
0
Bitcoinipie2
2 months ago
BREAKING: A German television channel just released a Final Poll ahead of Germany’s Election on Sunday, which shows AfD WINNING by 7 points. Please let this happen. Germany needs to be saved!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Like I follow poll data twitters they haven’t even posted that data at all so the data looks to off for me even
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Because why the fuck does a German channel have fucking English on there
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Also when has German channel use fucking english when does polling that’s clearly photoshopped because everything looks too good to be true
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Why are you citing Twitter as source to the poll data that’s how I know that it’s photoshopped
0
Bitcoinipie2
2 months ago
BREAKING: A German television channel just released a Final Poll ahead of Germany’s Election on Sunday, which shows AfD WINNING by 7 points. Please let this happen. Germany needs to be saved!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Siggi this is photoshop looks to much like afd fanntasy than actual real life polls this probably to feed you afd fans that polls are manipulated
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I fucking agree it looks very photoshopped as well like why do they use tweets to say afd going to win or something
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I can tell that photoshop in that photo bitcoin stop using twitter to defend that your going to win it’s embarrassing
0
Bitcoinipie2
2 months ago
BREAKING: A German television channel just released a Final Poll ahead of Germany’s Election on Sunday, which shows AfD WINNING by 7 points. Please let this happen. Germany needs to be saved!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Do you actually have access to the poll and the data behind it or no
1
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Tbh this market is over people who betting afd have too much copium and hopium it won’t happen love trollsoftheswamp
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Anyways add fucked yup they are calling trump hiwevrr their choice for chancellor is awful Alice doesn’t know how to debate for the life of her
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Election for afd results
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s only downfall from here for afd they are cooked in this elision
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s only downfall from here for afd they are cooked in this elision
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They are on downhill meanwhile cdu getting a lot strong er
0
Flipadelphia
2 months ago
AFD on a clear polling downtrend, CDU on the uptrend. https://dawum.de/Bundestag/
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally people so delulu here I love your commentary flip
0
Flipadelphia
2 months ago
Interesting stat AFD polling average - 20.3% SPD polling average - 15.5% : AFD 25-30% odds 13c. SPD 20-25% odds 1.8c. Both brackets require 5 pt polling overperformance and yet AFD is worth 700% more?? Some delusional mispricing going on here...
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope their too much behind polls for them to win tbh
0
nirvananirvanafan
2 months ago
I hate Afd because they're nazi's but unfortunately a lot of white males are Nazis. Unfortunately I believe AFD is going to win
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Finally two polls will be realse in final two days let’s see in them okay
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Wow afd supporters are doubling down being like oh they definitely going above 30 is biggest lmfao I’ve seen in long time explain to me how bitches
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I like how alt right fan boy change this market lmfao
0
Will Elon be worth $500b before March?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
He at 402 billion he not making it at all
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Why have bet Alice she not getting it
0
supermodul
2 months ago
Can I bet on the coalition that will form the next German goverment?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I highly doubt with Ukraine and other parts now afd finally screwed after union voters extremely mad
0
daddyaddy
2 months ago
let's go
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well Ukraine and other issue are getting worse means gains for union and other parties as well
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Western Germany won’t vote afd most east yes but west
0
ShowBaer
2 months ago
AFD been stigmatized in Western Germany, who d tell how they vote when an "institute" contacts you?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True but with Ukraine and other issue union and spd will gain and afd controversy as well
0
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
With Ukraine union voters are very pissed and so are spd well that willl killed afd movement in my pinion
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They super accurate but union voters are now very pissed off aboutbukraine which strengthen union even more so there that on it
0
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The polling data is not that wrong at all Alice is very weak chancellor compare to Tino who actually is calm doesn’t get mad super fast
0
GoBerlin
2 months ago
AFD 25.1% lets go!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Your afd support but data don’t show that and Alice gets clown on all the fucking time it’s getting really embarrassing
0
GoBerlin
2 months ago
AFD 25.1% lets go!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It going to happen at all
0
GoBerlin
2 months ago
AFD 25.1% lets go!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I like how alt right people are now doubling down on 25-30 and thinking it will happen when it won’t lmfao
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Alt right people like butcoinpie attacks again with big purchases with no explaination why is that can afd win lmffao
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not really they see through Putin trust me
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yeah for Russia to backstab them people are not dumb this is big deal but afd will lose
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Hey do you live in Germany or no
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New gms poll 31-20 it’s over afd please sell
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
So what think Russia done with just Ukraine oh no they won’t stop Putin will be ruthless that’s why now people are scared in Germany for afd because of Russia aggression
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s been like 30-33 for months now they will perform around that average
0
Aadler12345
2 months ago
If they hardly reach 30% in the polls, then the reality is most likely below 30% and a higher share for AfD. In my view the 30-35% "no" is very undervalued
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
About oh poll so wrong they are strong western Germany no they are not stop with this it’s. Getting really embarrassing
0
ShowBaer
2 months ago
AFD been stigmatized in Western Germany, who d tell how they vote when an "institute" contacts you?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They contact people animous so there no danger why do you afd voters double down so fucking much it’s honestly tiring
0
ShowBaer
2 months ago
AFD been stigmatized in Western Germany, who d tell how they vote when an "institute" contacts you?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Like how one person to rise the 25-30 by buying a lot when they don’t have any data to support that is biggest lmfao
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Polls gave gms them 31 and other two comes out tomorrow will impact this as well
0
Aadler12345
2 months ago
If they hardly reach 30% in the polls, then the reality is most likely below 30% and a higher share for AfD. In my view the 30-35% "no" is very undervalued
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Let ask you this what can afd do if they win nothing no party wants to work with them
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well afd voters are now doubling down because this election is over but they never want to admit it tho
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
You are super arrogant lmfao
0
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
People original said oh I can’t vote Merz anymore now voting him after his statement on Ukraine
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
After trump statement today then praising trump all the time that now going fuck them up as we now seeing e
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
25-30 people going hard this time lmfao yall so dumb in my opinion
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They fucked jd Vance is now ruin after this week
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
In polls they don’t ask tell us why they do in good methodology you can’t seem to understand afd is ducked after trump statement today about Ukraine
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Polls are animous so these people proudly say that with no backlash
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude yall so fucking delusional about this a lot people in Germany don’t give a fuck about politics it’s not fucking police state
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope that’s unlikely as polling data is animosity towards the voter again you just came up with a conspiracy theory that has no backing off it at all
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I wouldn’t why you losing just admit it
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well afd voters are now doubling down because this election is over but they never want to admit it tho
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
How do not it won’t happen even though merz losing little bit of voters
0
Rockies
2 months ago
I know nothing about German politics but what if?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would sell if I was you right now
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New gms poll 31-20 it’s over afd please sell
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nopeolls showing what I predicted anyways it’s funny how many alt right doubling down this week
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New gms poll 31-20 it’s over afd please sell
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well afd voters are now doubling down because this election is over but they never want to admit it tho
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That’s not true at all like I said all of you guys now doubling down because you know your going to lose
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New gms poll 31-20 it’s over afd please sell
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True gms m showed a decrease today as well
0
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Actually it can because people too scary of radicalization if the afd
0
Rockies
2 months ago
I know nothing about German politics but what if?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
These reasonable question but polls are not underestimating them by crazy margins
0
MR16
2 months ago
There is literally NO WAY AfD won‘t get at least 20%+. No way.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They actually underperform most polls which in 2021 federal election they underperform the polls by 1-2 percent so no they are not being underestimated
0
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Poll so stable afd will get around 20-22 but we will see
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
31-20 gms it’s over
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New gms poll 31-20 it’s over afd please sell
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Agree but cdu is super stable in polls right now
0
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope cdu will win they are gaining again after what happened last week
0
Rockies
2 months ago
I know nothing about German politics but what if?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New poll GMS 31-20 cdu up by 11 percent this was their last poll so afd going to lose its finally over
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Your afd supporter I get it there controversy with them tho and more to come
0
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Keep offering good odds for AfD under 20%. I want to buy more No's cheap. You have no idea how manipulated the polls showing AfD at 20% are. AfD could easily reach 25% or more in the election. Germany is a banana republic. In German schools, AfD is sometimes at 80%. AfD is the future, and anything under 20% would be election fraud.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t be government at all polls are not mainpualted
0
supermodul
2 months ago
Is there an option to bet on the coaliton that will form the next German government?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Always pull. The card if polls are manipulated schools with 18 left and green are way more favored than the afd so stop it with this bullshit
0
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Keep offering good odds for AfD under 20%. I want to buy more No's cheap. You have no idea how manipulated the polls showing AfD at 20% are. AfD could easily reach 25% or more in the election. Germany is a banana republic. In German schools, AfD is sometimes at 80%. AfD is the future, and anything under 20% would be election fraud.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Wow pulling election fraud card I see you the schools one is bullshit but afd will not be in government or above 25 percent nice try tho
0
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Keep offering good odds for AfD under 20%. I want to buy more No's cheap. You have no idea how manipulated the polls showing AfD at 20% are. AfD could easily reach 25% or more in the election. Germany is a banana republic. In German schools, AfD is sometimes at 80%. AfD is the future, and anything under 20% would be election fraud.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It could happen afd in government is very unlikely
0
MR16
2 months ago
There is literally NO WAY AfD won‘t get at least 20%+. No way.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That’s great but I have feeling you won’t no offense
0
noblesse.oblige
2 months ago
If i win, 50% of profit will go to the victims of terrorist attacks in Germany.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I know but hey that’s not my problem i live in America
1
Daavid2101
2 months ago
She made me pull out my AfD shares :(
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s actually possible we will have to wait and see
0
MR16
2 months ago
There is literally NO WAY AfD won‘t get at least 20%+. No way.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Sell if I was you
0
Daavid2101
2 months ago
She made me pull out my AfD shares :(
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would see
0
Daavid2101
2 months ago
She made me pull out my AfD shares :(
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yup Alice is fucking to tbh
0
Daavid2101
2 months ago
She made me pull out my AfD shares :(
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
To the highest degree
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall fyi buying 25-30 percent is wild due to speculation around how they are going to which is just lmfao th
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall fyi buying 25-30 percent is wild due to speculation around how they are going to which is just lmfao th
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t see afd having a chance at all new scandal is brewing with them right nkw
1
Trumputin
2 months ago
I don't understand why people keep buying FDP, BSW, Greens and SPD. I can imagine AfD have a chance but the others are clear loosers.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Crazy the afd gotten them a scandal that going to be big get ready tbh
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This market getting too ridiculous about afd chances no chance in hell stop buying it
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Like a lot of them alt right people
0
Zorroh
2 months ago
No at 82% on 15-20 is possibly the worst RRR of this site.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It is here like I said this will not be 25-30 percent race at all
0
Zorroh
2 months ago
No at 82% on 15-20 is possibly the worst RRR of this site.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What you are so why are you so confident that cdu will win this election
0
0xBrojack
2 months ago
I'm from Germany. This is so ridiculous :-))) Free money. There is no way CDU not winning. This is not the US.
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
fdp might have chance this time
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Afd is price too high in my opinion we wil see tho
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Listen just like before they could do it hopefully hey also afd market is wild
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Insa saw five for the first time
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally also Christian you expect the cdu to win
0
ChristianHorst
2 months ago
This still being at 95 cts is crazy.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would actually right now just do it they’re no hope for you guys
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Okay sorry we feel for you
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dang cdu decay by like .4-.6 but it will rise agains some afd dan boy had to buy a lot of afd wins
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yeah I would sell you down by eight percent with really no way of coming back
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I’m done having this conserbation no reason to convince you the turbines are good for it it wasn’t taken out of context you should Russia will invade you
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thoughts on it
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Breaking news immigrants are voting spd and other parties a lot more than afd intresting because afd is lowest among immigrant voters
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Oh so now being dismissive because I like to be troll okay afd fan go back to mommy why don’t you
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Hocke and also them wanting tear down all air turbines but also her being pro Russia and hating Ukraine there a lot to the afd for sure
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Looking at data back my claim up most undecide voters going with Cdu or afd most are likely cdu tho
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Polls factoring everything thennrell how come polls were right for four of federal election and three eu elections people own opinions aren’t oppress by polls at all
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/bundestagswahl/bundestagswahl-2025-wie-menschen-mit-migrationshintergrund-waehlen-110294424.html
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Breaking news immigrants are voting spd and other parties a lot more than afd intresting because afd is lowest among immigrant voters
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
No problem it’s not good for afd at all beside their district
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Insa saw five for the first time
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
https://x.com/PrognosUmfragen
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I show it but
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Breaking news immigrants are voting spd and other parties a lot more than afd intresting because afd is lowest among immigrant voters
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dang you are ifnorant
1
0xFancyFox
2 months ago
Who still remembers the 2014 World Cup? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGLdeKb3FrQ&t=897s - Only the AfD can save Germany.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I know trying to knock some common sense into you which lack all of it but hey keep making my friend rich
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I get rid of your investment
0
Daavid2101
2 months ago
I think we might win
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Voting afd is waste of a vote anyways due to them not going to have any power this election
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude super ignorant and arrogant why did delete old comment hmmm seems very sucipsious
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude no afd can’t save Germany they likely make it worse
1
0xFancyFox
2 months ago
Who still remembers the 2014 World Cup? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGLdeKb3FrQ&t=897s - Only the AfD can save Germany.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude agree I would sell my share if I was you
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Fact afd fourth behind cdu in fact because of TikTok with the linke and green dominating
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude according to data most young voters are very linke and green afd doesn’t surge at all
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Stagnant you have no idea your afd supporters you don’t know how politics work or how afd will win there no enough because polls bring in those factors come into play with these polls your ignorant and arrogant
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That won’t change anything I live in Germany and that won’t change afd won’t win stop it you don’t know shit German politics
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall be making excuse to why and how the afd will win but reality cdu going to win there is delusional here for all you guys who loved the afd there no chance at all even if people hated the old party that won’t change this election
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
If the afd was going to lose then why are you betting on it
1
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Still won’t change fucking anything no one cares cdu will win this election
0
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Listen trump vs Hilary tho different than this election so stop comparing them okay I’m tired
0
Saruman77
2 months ago
This would be the biggest upset in recent memory if AFD came first. People say 2016 Trump was a surprise, but betting markets gave him like 20-25%, some more, here AFD is at 4%!!!!!!!!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They want it but huffing too much coping and hoping tbh
1
Mr.TestoBread
2 months ago
Some of you really need to learn keeping your emotions and betting behavior seperate.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will be but cdu will fix it also afd plans is awful for Germany economy as well
0
noblesse.oblige
2 months ago
German voters are so outdated they still live in biden freaking Era.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They care about their country all of you guys are mad or freak out when doesn’t go your way
0
noblesse.oblige
2 months ago
German voters are so outdated they still live in biden freaking Era.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I love how alt right are now starting to double down on 25-30 like they know lts going to happen when it’s not but thanks for helping my friend our
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That not based afd won’t win stop with I think we might win
0
Daavid2101
2 months ago
I think we might win
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Where mcpetrus I haven’t seen you soon long can please answer me
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well fuck you I love trolling her dumbass
0
Exeggut
2 months ago
bumoftheswamp probably some indian guy getting paid by Woke NGOs leftovers to spread FUD.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa 30-20 this market so over
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New forsa poll 30-20 that’s it over for 25-30 I win you lose
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Alt and afd fans boys so easy to predict their behavior tbh what they going to bring as well but I love that for them as they are arrogant and idiot
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall people buying 25-30 are wasting your fucking time and money like stop it it’s not going to happen keep dreaming but all you do post this or that and wow look that then dismiss polling data yall really are so predictable
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I fucking agree like they think oh we going to win or let’s goooi afd but they don’t understand German politics at all
1
t0ur1
2 months ago
Really hope to take some money from you right wing suckers.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think they are cdu will win this election YouGov poll was shot
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
CDU 27, AFD 20 recent YouGov poll
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But you will lose your bet better sell now than be embarrassed
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
We already talked about that one which intresting you knkw
0
Trumputin
2 months ago
CDU 27, AFD 20 recent YouGov poll
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Also why do you want afd to win they can’t do shit if they win no one wants to work with them voting afd to me is a wasteful vote because nothing will get done with them in charge
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not easy win at all highly unlikely but go ahead lose all you money
0
n/a
2 months ago
- Aschaffenburg - Munich - Orban's appearance with Weidel - JD Vance's recommendation - The recommendation of Geert Wilders - Very strong appearances on TV from Chrupalla - Merz's yes to red-green. Easy win for AFD
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I have huge doubts that afd will win they will win in 2029 but not now there not enough tie. For them to win but good luck delusional afd supporters
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I highly doubt it you been saying this for weeks david
0
Daavid2101
2 months ago
I think we might win
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Who knows hoping 5 percent so we can get Germany coalition
1
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally afd voter be pulling everything out of their ass to say afd going to win like yall need stop being delulu on it
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
He is wrong about it but fours year yeah but not this election at all
0
n/a
2 months ago
- Aschaffenburg - Munich - Orban's appearance with Weidel - JD Vance's recommendation - The recommendation of Geert Wilders - Very strong appearances on TV from Chrupalla - Merz's yes to red-green. Easy win for AFD
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
People defending. 25-30 because of what happen last couple of day are delulu and needs help
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The shy voter doesn’t exist no in German
1
0x60c68b6014d495e03A087F78B6a2cB688d2EAA63-1730596346568
2 months ago
SO MANY SHY VOTERS FOR AFD INCOMING JUST LIKE TRUMP 2016 JUST LIKE BREXIT
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This so stupid people being like jd Vance and this and that happened on twitter today so add will surge like crazy when nothing supports that lmfao to a big scale
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall need to know when thing can happen when they can’t 25-30
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Doubt it will happen this is a afd fan after all
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I stillH
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally why are buying so many fucking 25-30 that’s not Likely at all
1
Mr.TestoBread
2 months ago
Some of you really need to learn keeping your emotions and betting behavior seperate.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Above 25 is beyond delusional it’s not going to happen at all keep dreaming boo
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally afd voter be pulling everything out of their ass to say afd going to win like yall need stop being delulu on it
2
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Also pools would shown the affects of the afd but polls stagnant on it
0
n/a
2 months ago
- Aschaffenburg - Munich - Orban's appearance with Weidel - JD Vance's recommendation - The recommendation of Geert Wilders - Very strong appearances on TV from Chrupalla - Merz's yes to red-green. Easy win for AFD
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That doesn’t mean shit cdu equal green has been smear campaign for years polls are stagnant also data shows no changes right now so there that
0
n/a
2 months ago
CDU = Greens
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Also merz didn’t say yes to red and green he said he keeping his options open
0
n/a
2 months ago
- Aschaffenburg - Munich - Orban's appearance with Weidel - JD Vance's recommendation - The recommendation of Geert Wilders - Very strong appearances on TV from Chrupalla - Merz's yes to red-green. Easy win for AFD
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Don’t change shit yall pull so many people they endorse and like oh this and that against those two events according polls this weeks haven’t affect shit according todays and yesterday poll
0
n/a
2 months ago
- Aschaffenburg - Munich - Orban's appearance with Weidel - JD Vance's recommendation - The recommendation of Geert Wilders - Very strong appearances on TV from Chrupalla - Merz's yes to red-green. Easy win for AFD
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But also this won’t affect shit Germans too blind by mainstream media and won’t hurt merz numbers as well
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope this will pass over polls won’t show it like you afd support are so delusional
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Only reason. 26-28 surge was because of YouGov and that fucking trash poll
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Polls have stagnant again im tired of winning
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It does but you telling me nine percent for linke and 27 for cdu seems too low for my opinion
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
YouGov poll 27-20 still went down cdu by two points however afd only got 20 so the vaules here are so overvalued is 25-30
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But linke got nine percent never mind the poll sucks
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
YouGov poll 27-20 still went down cdu by two points however afd only got 20 so the vaules here are so overvalued is 25-30
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
YouGov and INSA 27-30 weee range YouGov one looks bad tho
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It actually is 17-20 spd got 17 but the survey is kinda bad INSA had afd at 22 I think around 20 with cdu getting 30-35
0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
YouGov poll 27-20 still went down cdu by two points however afd only got 20 so the vaules here are so overvalued is 25-30
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
YouGov poll 27-20 still went down cdu by two points however afd only got 20 so the vaules here are so overvalued is 25-30
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Elon and jd talks about it but you alt right afd fans eat it up it won’t hurt any of the parties x is alt right breeding ground full of hate speech and hateful people as well
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Siggi I love you but this controversy has been so overblown like Elon talks a lot afd points no one who follows Elon will already votes afd no one else will that won’t happen you also don’t live German it’s not that bad
0
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Quick question flip how do confident that it will never get there at all
0
n/a
3 months ago
AfD at 22% in todays poll
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What does that mean dlipdelphia
0
n/a
3 months ago
AfD at 22% in todays poll
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall buying a lot of afd 25-30 are alt right fan boys who don’t know shit about German politics
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
If you post Elon or Alt right stuff defending afd on how they’d going school election is delusional and you have no idea of election
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This so beyond delusional afd people find any and everything to defend how they will defy the polls win in landslide it’s not happening at all
0
Stabaily32
3 months ago
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1891501773564543240?t=yWWU5Zm1NeeZ20kRY1ZNoA&s=19
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That proves nothing like at all school election don’t prove Election for Germany why do yall keep posting things that Elon send like obvious he supports afd don’t need to tell us
0
Stabaily32
3 months ago
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1891501773564543240?t=yWWU5Zm1NeeZ20kRY1ZNoA&s=19
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup polls were only off by 1-3 percent in that election where does polls show huge support for the afd none all show cdu leading
0
n/a
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlyN5l61wZ0 ..if this proves true, we are living in a big simulation.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also everyone knew the fpo was going to win and they did polls showed that polls are not showing that in Germany where afd is leading at all so stop with these conspiracies videos form 1-31-25 there was a terror attack yes but polls are still stagnant from them
0
n/a
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlyN5l61wZ0 ..if this proves true, we are living in a big simulation.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This so fucking stupid stop posting videos or clips showing oh we win big look at Austria what happened guess what foo
0
n/a
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlyN5l61wZ0 ..if this proves true, we are living in a big simulation.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It was at 22 in the last one already dummy it was a constant poll
0
n/a
3 months ago
New Insa: AFD 22%
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also yall betting 25-30 or over e30 are beyond deuslional in my opinion nothing changing this election
0
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s because merz said no it staying no matter what
0
TimeTraveler
3 months ago
People seem to have a lot of faith in the Brandmaur.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally so true
0
Commie-Killer
3 months ago
We need a cure for bagholder syndrome.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So to you afd fans polls stagnation but go head said afd is going to win your beyond delusional
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd fans have too much hopium and copium for this election and it’s kinda sad tbh
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls ask people constantly also afd is getting embarrassed and also being d Jedi other factors are inportant but they would show in polls and guess what they are not at all like said we see those factors in polls but we don’t see it forsa after Thursday attack and all others we saw nothing change at all
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So much hooping and copium with afd supporters in here think they have chance when they don’t fyi
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can you help with the 15-20 it’s on the struggle bus right now
0
Mantou11
3 months ago
Safe bond, 4% for one week patience is great!
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude silent majority doesn’t exist in Europe however merz will face backlash for a little bit but he should be fine for this election
0
Costin
3 months ago
Imagine if there's a "silent majority" voting for AfD, with these prices, it would be like winning at lottery if AfD wins the elections!
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will don’t worry
0
kiruwaaaa
3 months ago
cdu wins
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This has been controversial for a couple days still does nothing to German numbers at all there also another one about deportation of people which come after one week after the election to but it won’t change voters minds
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Pathetic https://x.com/Devon_Eriksen_/status/1891493864646582737
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t change much media in Germany too strong to change the minds against cdu plus voting had already started so American people causing drama like Vance and Elon won’t do shit
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Pathetic https://x.com/Devon_Eriksen_/status/1891493864646582737
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They were but honestly they look accurate
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
How I don’t see it at all I agree with Fuentes
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That actually makes a lot. Sense I’m hoping for the fdp to get in tho
0
Cisomate2901
3 months ago
My prediction: CDU 35%, AfD 19%, SPD 15%, Gruene 13%, FDP 5%, Linke 5%, BSW 4%, Others 4%
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It is like they think these scandal will destroy the cdu but it won’t at all
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd Alice can get in without a coalitition you are beyond dumb and saving at this point
0
jonnyhunt
3 months ago
This election will be an intelligent test for Germany.. so only AFD
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
If you think
0
jonnyhunt
3 months ago
This election will be an intelligent test for Germany.. so only AFD
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You seem excited there is controversy with merz when isn’t tho he seem to get drag all the fucking time
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay thank you
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data doesn’t show a chance for the afd to cross over 25 percent or even win tbh but 20-25 super likely
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally like cdu will win
0
poseidongaiafeya
3 months ago
shouldn't this market be already over?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even with the scandal of merz wants black and green coalition merz just said he keeping options open with spd or green doesn’t mean he will do it instantly calm the fuck down
1
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
U think cdu will get around 30-35 but not with all his hit going on this whole week
0
Cisomate2901
3 months ago
My prediction: CDU 35%, AfD 19%, SPD 15%, Gruene 13%, FDP 5%, Linke 5%, BSW 4%, Others 4%
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wouldn’t know
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Feel like grand colitation is the absolute most likely afd will not at sll
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think you close to being right
1
Cisomate2901
3 months ago
My prediction: CDU 35%, AfD 19%, SPD 15%, Gruene 13%, FDP 5%, Linke 5%, BSW 4%, Others 4%
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What do you mean exactly but also I feel like you will start selling soon
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Why afd not going to win data from this weekend showed stagnation even after the terror attack showed nothing at all
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Last polls come out this week fyi
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’ll share it later
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Where is mcpetrus I want to have talk I haven’t seen him since Wednesday
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I would sell if I was you
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd is likely to lose this election
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Western part cdu actually doing little better even if afd is gaining however eastern part afd actually underperforming
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This all of it in general I would sell your position if I was you
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
American politics and European politics. Way different in America trump had 50-50 shot while Germany there a lot different things that could happened so stop it with but trump
0
Sassen
3 months ago
AfD has got this. I think the polls are seriously suppressed
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
German politics at all which gives me lmfao
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s so funny how many people think afd will get 25-30 range really shows me none of them have any idea of
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s so funny how many people think afd will get 25-30 range really shows me none of them have any idea of
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data doesn’t show a chance for the afd to cross over 25 percent or even win tbh but 20-25 super likely
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nope I’m looking at the early voting data shows the opposite
0
Sassen
3 months ago
AfD has got this. I think the polls are seriously suppressed
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
All afd people now doubling down on afd win even early voting data doesn’t show that at all
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
For the afd laughable all you guys now doubling down on afd winning
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That won’t happened according to early voting data it’s 30.5-22
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
AfD victory will be the most hated victory in german history since 1933!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I I’ll untreated however afd voters some of the most stubborn people I’ve met
0
Echelonprt
3 months ago
I would caution being too optimistic about afd chances, Germany is not the us , they have a much higher trust towards legacy media,bureaucracy and overall gov apparatus.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Not af all they just not in m
0
Echelonprt
3 months ago
I would caution being too optimistic about afd chances, Germany is not the us , they have a much higher trust towards legacy media,bureaucracy and overall gov apparatus.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People buying afd are wasting their money and time lmfao like no it won’t happen
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Super true the Germans are not us most of them don’t care about politics at all
0
Echelonprt
3 months ago
I would caution being too optimistic about afd chances, Germany is not the us , they have a much higher trust towards legacy media,bureaucracy and overall gov apparatus.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True people are getting mad at merz like of course merz not revealing who going to have a coalition with just yet
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They said merz wants a coalition with the Green Party I highly doubt that because even clip I saw he didn’t said he wanted now like why do people always after merz throat
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They said merz wants a coalition with the Green Party I highly doubt that because even clip I saw he didn’t said he wanted now like why do people always after merz throat
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu spd if fdp gets in is very likely
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bffr that’s not going to happen
0
n/a
3 months ago
Good luck afd. Germany and Europe need u!
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well after that debate afd will never be government
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate so fucking funny weird but weidel has lost her ways
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Averages are 30-20.4 which seems fair
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alt right on here are too funny thinking they will get over 25-30 or above 30 is beyond delusional
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alt right on here are too funny thinking they will get over 25-30 or above 30 is beyond delusional
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate is too much weidel is getting absolutely shit on like it’s so funny
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Do weidel getting shit on in the debate
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
WTF wrong with Germans, will they ever wake up before it's too late?!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not it’s inaccurate
0
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Get your bag king
0
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
With hockey now so did merz however differ fdp now taking action along with merz about the new plan
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 25-30 is overhauled but 15-20 seems very as afd now’s has controversy on helm right nkw
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This seem my accurate prediction
0
momoracle
3 months ago
CDU/CSU 29.9%, AfD 20.6%, SPD 15.6%, Greens 13.6%, Left 5.6%, BSW 4.6%, FDP 4.1%, Others 6.3% https://x.com/Momoraclecom/status/1891130604864876997
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I feel cdu will gain to 97 percent honestly it’s super likely for cdu to win
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You don’t understand German politics at all and it shows
1
horseshoe-reality
3 months ago
I know that the CDU have ruled out working in a coalition with the AFD, but how much of that is just realpolitik in the run up to the election? Just look at Austria where they also had a "firewall" that fell apart after the FPO won the most seats and became impossible to ignore. How can a coalition between the CDU, SPD and Greens be more likely than one with the two major right wing parties?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally polls are stagnant for weeks
0
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 25-30 is overhauled but 15-20 seems very as afd now’s has controversy on helm right nkw
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Which seems very accurate
2
momoracle
3 months ago
Will the CDU/CDU win the German election? Current Probability: 99.94% https://x.com/Momoraclecom/status/1891141570226721072
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data show you are right keep it up
0
SAITEJA
3 months ago
CDU LFG
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang this free speech by Vance so overblown and merz saying oh he alienated voters or he proved Vance right like shut up he talking about it in a legal contexts
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t at all more and more people are joining afd but not by the numbers yall think also afd now under hug controversy was Russia right now
0
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I see 20-25 more likely than the ones yall think
0
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so early first voting data doesn’t show that at all
0
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Remember yall voting by mail has already started it’s not looking good for the afd
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Murders won’t affected shit so will the affect of trump Elon Vance and TikTok young people don’t vote at all this can be found in data right now if first votes
0
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I doubt it polls in Germany way too fucking accurate also afd is under a another big time controversy as well
0
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmfao trump and jd won’t influence shit in this election
0
SystemSympathizer
3 months ago
They are going towards total war.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We will wait and see highly doubt but we will srr
0
thares
3 months ago
The worst AFD performances of the pollsters during the final 3 weeks leading up to the 4 elections last year (Brandenburg, Sachsen, Thueringen, Germany wide EU election) never, ever, even once, overstated the AFD result. In Brandenburg the AFD overperformed by 2.2%, Sachsen by 0.4%, Thueringen by 3.8%, EU-election by 1.9%. Underperforming the pollsters with the worst AFD guess would be something unpresidented. Since all these elections were from last year and the methodology didn't change, betting on sub 20% is literally begging to lose money. In Saxony, people were most willing to admit they vote AFD, since the AFD has been established there the longest. In the storngly left leaning regions the overperformance of the AFD was generally greater, especially considering Potsdam, Berlin suburbs of Brandenburg, the historically socialist Thuringia and the West German parts of the EU-election. Even if a random pollster suddenly showed up at 19%, which none of the current pollster do, they all state 20-21%, it is highly unlikely considering those divergences that the afd would actually get a result of 19.x% instead of 20.x+%. Conclusion: If you buy anything below 20%, you will lose all your money, lol. Und damit, Alice fuer Deutschland! Cheers.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not being underestimated we know getting first votes with first one where the afd is leading but not by a lot only by one point In one of the district in bahvaira that’s it others first time in east Germany
0
thares
3 months ago
The worst AFD performances of the pollsters during the final 3 weeks leading up to the 4 elections last year (Brandenburg, Sachsen, Thueringen, Germany wide EU election) never, ever, even once, overstated the AFD result. In Brandenburg the AFD overperformed by 2.2%, Sachsen by 0.4%, Thueringen by 3.8%, EU-election by 1.9%. Underperforming the pollsters with the worst AFD guess would be something unpresidented. Since all these elections were from last year and the methodology didn't change, betting on sub 20% is literally begging to lose money. In Saxony, people were most willing to admit they vote AFD, since the AFD has been established there the longest. In the storngly left leaning regions the overperformance of the AFD was generally greater, especially considering Potsdam, Berlin suburbs of Brandenburg, the historically socialist Thuringia and the West German parts of the EU-election. Even if a random pollster suddenly showed up at 19%, which none of the current pollster do, they all state 20-21%, it is highly unlikely considering those divergences that the afd would actually get a result of 19.x% instead of 20.x+%. Conclusion: If you buy anything below 20%, you will lose all your money, lol. Und damit, Alice fuer Deutschland! Cheers.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang this market so bias hey tho cdu will win
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Look at the link above I sent you
0
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah true but most polls shows difference in this election polls in Germany are way more accurate than almost all polls in Europe
1
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Here tho https://x.com/PrognosUmfragen
0
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah I fully agree expected the unknown however this election does seem like very similar to the Belgium elections
0
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We still don’t know we will find out next week
0
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly tho Netherlands election did it tho like three weeks before the election this time seems like one week before
0
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s more like 5-7 percent but overall I agree with you
0
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To lose your money also the controversy of merz has calm down seems like
0
n/a
3 months ago
Easiest. Trade. Ever.
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will negative impact the afd because a lot of their voters are anti America
0
TimeTraveler
3 months ago
On the contrary, the US efforts of pushing the AfD are negatively affecting them.
CDU/CSU margin of victory?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still won’t change much at l
0
Elyotus
3 months ago
Should be much tighter margins. Look at recent events, lots of people will want to see more radical solutions proposed by the AfD. AfD has also been normalized by the US admin and others and hence people who vote for it aren’t considered as extreme as before
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We know that will boost cdu and afd however about 40 percent of people already voted
0
n/a
3 months ago
Another Terror atttack in austria
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So true now merz being attack for what he said about Elon and jd Vance which is just lmfai
0
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
Another knife attack in Austria by a syrian guy. CDU & AFD bout to go ballistic.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Now so many liberal conservatives are mad at merz for criticizing jd Vance and Elon musk for saying their actions will have consequences saying he hated free speech is so lmfao
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll 30-21
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know to be honest
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Do we get a better entry or is this the bottom?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because unfortunately almost most Germany citizen has voted already
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This so sad after deaths too three terror attacks in one month is so fucking crazy however people blind still won’t impact a lot in this election
1
FUENTES
3 months ago
Terror Attack in Austria https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1890828219017834508
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Two in one day is crazy all so sad they care too much of firewall I think cdu is going to change after this
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
Terror Attack in Austria https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1890828219017834508
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Another terror attack in Austria so sad cdu took actions but this will also boost the afd
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I saw that so sad but won’t change German election at all
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
Terror Attack in Austria https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1890828219017834508
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Just found out two year old and 37 year old didn’t make it in the attack
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Where is mcpetrus when you need him
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmao I love it
0
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Terrorist attack could be a game changer.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That won’t impact shit trust me
0
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Terrorist attack could be a game changer.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Finally breaking news over 40 percent of Germans have voted in this election cycle
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t most us will however with Vance Chinese ambasssdor and Elon I doubt afd will gain steam actually think Chinese ambassador will cause controversy
0
Morningcake
3 months ago
Don‘t underestimate the huge count of postal votes, where a few people’s already voted, before the last attack
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I actually think them meeting the Chinese ambassador will ruin their numbers but as for the Vance speech won’t impact shit so will USA nothing will change this election at all
0
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Terrorist attack could be a game changer.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Never mind getting over with like I predicted
0
Parthenope
3 months ago
AfDtards coming to their senses?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know but merz and cdu getting shit stomp on twitter however I doubt it will affected this election that much
0
Parthenope
3 months ago
AfDtards coming to their senses?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh German twitter is shit show after jd Vance speech it’s kinda funny in my opinion
0
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
AfD! https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1890705620208099497
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh even though we seeing huge shit show with jd Vance speech but however I doubt we still be talking about it next week it will blow over again
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After jd Vance visited Germany a lot people taking this opportunity to attack merz and criticizing him by huge mile the reason everyone knows merz is going to be chancellor of Germany it’s common sense
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
All in this eke him
0
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
AfD! https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1890705620208099497
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Boy this proves to me yall you alt right fan boys have no idea about German politics at l
1
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
AfD! https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1890705620208099497
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup
0
Guwop
3 months ago
Troll of the swamp, why are you posting so much on this bet? Are you a top CDU yes holder on another account?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s minor one could astar but only have six dollars of cdh
0
Guwop
3 months ago
Troll of the swamp, why are you posting so much on this bet? Are you a top CDU yes holder on another account?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Kinda I like to troll
0
Guwop
3 months ago
Troll of the swamp, why are you posting so much on this bet? Are you a top CDU yes holder on another account?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Didn’t do shit in Christmas market one won’t this time as well
1
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Terrorist attack could be a game changer.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so we keep hearing this but it won’t change shit
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
One of the principles I've learned in life is to always bet against the scum, even if it means losing money because in the end, you still win dignity. True wealth isn’t just about financial gain; it’s about integrity, standing by your values, and refusing to empower those who operate without honor. A loss in numbers is insignificant compared to a victory of character.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t change shit tbh
1
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Terrorist attack could be a game changer.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Named one party that will side with Alice to make her chancellor I’ll wait
1
Griffiti
3 months ago
So many people are severely underestimating the worldwide conservative revolution thats taking place. After years of unauthorized illegal immigrants, extreme wokeness, and fake mainstream media. Trump's victory is just the beginning... we are about to experience a once in a lifetime revolution.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmfao trolling so funny watch you implode
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Don’t understand why people buying afd think so miracle will happen during this election like no it won’t but good luck on losing money
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Everyone will buy afd 25-30 thinking stuff will change when they don’t realized nothing going to change not even that attack on Thursday
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This cope because they know afd won’t win tbh
2
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
One of the principles I've learned in life is to always bet against the scum, even if it means losing money because in the end, you still win dignity. True wealth isn’t just about financial gain; it’s about integrity, standing by your values, and refusing to empower those who operate without honor. A loss in numbers is insignificant compared to a victory of character.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also one last thing Vance will not affected this election at all not even one bit
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmfao I love your trolling behavior
0
IceT22
3 months ago
34% OF GERMAN VOTES FOR AfD JUST FLEW OVER MY HOUSE!!!!
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
None good luck alt right on losing
4
i0000010
3 months ago
How much USAID $ in this market?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree why don’t donate to the afd
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
One of the principles I've learned in life is to always bet against the scum, even if it means losing money because in the end, you still win dignity. True wealth isn’t just about financial gain; it’s about integrity, standing by your values, and refusing to empower those who operate without honor. A loss in numbers is insignificant compared to a victory of character.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Don’t understand why people buying afd think so miracle will happen during this election like no it won’t but good luck on losing money
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh it’s cdu time to win jd Vance won’t change anything about this election at all
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t change anything in Germany at all
1
Daavid2101
3 months ago
please continue to dump the AfD chart. I would love to get one good entry around 2 cents :D
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To people like oh jd Vance met Alice that’s huge it’s not most of you celebrating that don’t understand German politics at a
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmao because he endorse them is bigger clown show
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
JD VANCE met Alice Weidel. it's game breaker
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Truly but cdu just too much of solid support to over come
0
Flaner
3 months ago
I want AfD as much as the next guy but retarded boomers make up most of Germany, that's just how it is
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They said jd Vance speech and him meeting Alice will be a game changer
0
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
CDU to win the most seats is over 97% on Betfair UK, most statistical models put it close 98/99%+ likelihood. Someone gimme some AFD rationale beyond 'potential migrant attack'', which has consistently shown to have little to no effect already.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They said oh jd Vance and Elon will help afd win but laugh so hadd
0
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
CDU to win the most seats is over 97% on Betfair UK, most statistical models put it close 98/99%+ likelihood. Someone gimme some AFD rationale beyond 'potential migrant attack'', which has consistently shown to have little to no effect already.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s cute but honestly jd Vance and Elon won’t change the European election at all
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
JD VANCE met Alice Weidel. it's game breaker
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That won’t change shit
1
FUENTES
3 months ago
JD VANCE met Alice Weidel. it's game breaker
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Wow so will you be selling you shares or no
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
i'm done. germany is a cowardly people haunted by the mustachioed dictator
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fucking agree there really none for them is to it
0
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
CDU to win the most seats is over 97% on Betfair UK, most statistical models put it close 98/99%+ likelihood. Someone gimme some AFD rationale beyond 'potential migrant attack'', which has consistently shown to have little to no effect already.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Your so right like which was shown in polls already again
0
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
CDU to win the most seats is over 97% on Betfair UK, most statistical models put it close 98/99%+ likelihood. Someone gimme some AFD rationale beyond 'potential migrant attack'', which has consistently shown to have little to no effect already.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll only 17 percent of people said that event influence their choice of voting meaning had really not that big of change like I said would happened
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The attack had no affect on most voter 83 percent said not really and only 17 said yes but that low because most were lean afd to began with
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will elected Merz as the chancellor for Germany
0
robbyd
3 months ago
Just comes down to if Germany still has balls, or if they’ve been neutered for good
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It depends all of people buying them lacking idea afd can over perform polls they typical underperform as well
1
Machaon
3 months ago
19% for under 20% is delulu, even polls say 20+
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well they are going constant at 20 but only two shows 20 plus others not so much stop it with that
0
Machaon
3 months ago
19% for under 20% is delulu, even polls say 20+
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True merz ain’t resigning
0
thares
3 months ago
Genau was ich vermutet habe. Nach der Wahl wird Blackrock Merz anweisen die Brandmauer fallen zu lassen. Mal gucken wie tief die AFD Phobie in der CDU integriert ist.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This speech will have no effect on to voters he was funny to attack the government then praise orban who a dictator
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That speech was so funny because it was good speech but why should cdu and spd consider afd like their voters don’t want to which super fair
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
More like a week before and gap so big that it would take too much to overcome it
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Again jd Vance and America maga movement doesn’t have huge impact on German voters at all
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
https://x.com/Alice_Weidel/status/1890403911091044621
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly it won’t impact much again he can talk about this firewall all he wants won’t change voter minds at all you also citing Alice but nothing will change this election
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
https://x.com/Alice_Weidel/status/1890403911091044621
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s so true same for Germany as well union doing good job but their voters won’t be convinced by jd Vance or Elon at all
0
MR16
3 months ago
Vance just destroyed the globalist leaders at the MSC - that should boost AfD even a little more
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It was good speech I have heard better also intresting he said they need work together but union doing good campaign right now
0
MR16
3 months ago
Vance just destroyed the globalist leaders at the MSC - that should boost AfD even a little more
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They don’t they don’t care either yall overestimate how much jd Vance and Elon has on Germany it’s not a lot at all
0
MR16
3 months ago
Vance just destroyed the globalist leaders at the MSC - that should boost AfD even a little more
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly it doesn’t matter most Germans blinded won’t go to afd this attack kinda proves that doesn’t matter if jd Vance attacks merz or not he won’t have the effect to have afd win
1
n/a
3 months ago
Germany getting what they voted for in munich.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That will have little effect to afd performances as a lot of afd supporters hated America again Vance trump and Elon has no effect in German politics
0
MR16
3 months ago
Vance just destroyed the globalist leaders at the MSC - that should boost AfD even a little more
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Breaking news two year old who everyone thought died is alive but serious conditions however it’s noted action will be taken
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It gets resolved
0
Commie-Killer
3 months ago
What happens when no coalition is formed?
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well we now know who going to be chancellor like so obvious merz
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not that bad compare to America shit show
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They still vote for old party expect cdu to win in this election
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still highly doubt it but hey do you boo I just don’t think polls are that off for afd what happen Munich will be forgotten like the Christmas market and stabbing was a week later
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
If it did why did Vance only visit merz not Alice hmm I don’t think this will ruin cdu
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt maybe one to two points but not to overcome cdu at all
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New election ot minority government
0
Commie-Killer
3 months ago
What happens when no coalition is formed?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You sure because it won’t change the numbers for afd at all
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What I’m saying is so overblown it will died down by end of next week before the election
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well tides seem to be interesting with trump and Vance with this honestly I’m happy for merz stand his ground
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I still expect the cdu to win this election but we will see however I think he will do a minority governing
0
thares
3 months ago
Genau was ich vermutet habe. Nach der Wahl wird Blackrock Merz anweisen die Brandmauer fallen zu lassen. Mal gucken wie tief die AFD Phobie in der CDU integriert ist.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
With that being said this election is over now we must move on today thank you
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We will see honestly we don’t know yet let’s wait time will tell
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
Wird Vance es schaffen Merz aufzufordern, die Brandmauer zu kippen?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s more like 97 percent for them to win only one person died at the attack yesterday others were fine compare to the Christmas one in which more peoooe died
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Will change nothing of this
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not even at 8-10 percent anymore polls this week shows a 12 percent to ten percent gap which was what it was before Christmas terror attack as well however this time cdu has too much advantage to lose this election the terror attack wl
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So this election basically over now with polls staying stagnant and gaining we see in nine days but I don’t think much will change like they down by 11-12 percent in most polls now
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’ve study election for years Afd will win second but not first at all
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Doesn’t change much in this election at all for this time no one an Germany cares about these terror attacks anymore
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree I don’t think really much will change they getting 25-30 it’s almost infeasible to see them doing it
0
Mylo
3 months ago
People that think Afd will get 25-30% or even 30%+ are just one election cycle too early. In 4 years they will have a real shot at majority if nothing changes in the next government.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn it’s literally like polls have stagnant this week
0
mombil
3 months ago
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20% AFD
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well bedtime for me but nothing will change this election more good night
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey flip would you be worried about this election at all or no
0
Machaon
3 months ago
AFD is at 21%, far right is always underestimated in the polls, an attack just happened, 25-30 is undervalued.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah this attack wouldn’t convinced shit for this election at all
0
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Is this sarcasm or no
0
Machaon
3 months ago
AFD is at 21%, far right is always underestimated in the polls, an attack just happened, 25-30 is undervalued.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But what are you thought on my opinion
0
Yoschl84
3 months ago
New survey: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 12.5%, Gruene 12.5%, Linke 6%. Source:https://dawum.de/Bundestag/Wahlkreisprognose_de/
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
25-30 slightly overvauled due to everyone panicked and think of this going to boost the fuck out of afd but that didn’t happened at all so let’s just say this afd will gain but not by much after this attack on it so let’s wait
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Your right we thought afd will surge after the vote on 1/31 but they didn’t I expect this to boost cdu more than afd in my opinion
1
Yoschl84
3 months ago
New survey: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 12.5%, Gruene 12.5%, Linke 6%. Source:https://dawum.de/Bundestag/Wahlkreisprognose_de/
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt it we still don’t how the attack will impact the polls also you saying trump take over Gaza so lmfao but I don’t know I highly doubt those polls are that off also most polls has afd 20-21 with. Slow decline as of now
0
Machaon
3 months ago
AFD is at 21%, far right is always underestimated in the polls, an attack just happened, 25-30 is undervalued.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But the attack today also might hurt cdu and csu but I highly doubt that
1
Yoschl84
3 months ago
New survey: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 12.5%, Gruene 12.5%, Linke 6%. Source:https://dawum.de/Bundestag/Wahlkreisprognose_de/
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What do you mean even if afd win doesn’t mean they be in power kinda what happening in Austria right now
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Everyone buying Alice don’t understand German politics at all
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but multiple surgery has now shown cdu at 32 percent
1
Yoschl84
3 months ago
New survey: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 12.5%, Gruene 12.5%, Linke 6%. Source:https://dawum.de/Bundestag/Wahlkreisprognose_de/
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I saw that but everyone is too focused on attack that happpnef today
1
Yoschl84
3 months ago
New survey: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 12.5%, Gruene 12.5%, Linke 6%. Source:https://dawum.de/Bundestag/Wahlkreisprognose_de/
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang this election is over in my opinion nothing willl change even after that attack
2
How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The people who think over 250 billion are alt right Elon musk fans who has no logic at all
2
How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah but his cuts are going to get strike down
0
Phantom22
3 months ago
Its over https://www.courthousenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/fourteen-state-ags-sue-musk-doge-over-influence.pdf
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly it’s funny seeing afd imploding after being humbled by cdu and csu lmfao
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Attack combined with very strong polling numbers before the election is coming which is accurate places
0
Zorroh
3 months ago
Why the big drop? Polling, debate and attack? Isn’t that overreacting?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Did see the debate Alice fumbled the debate compare to the others
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz seem competent in the debate compare to abysmal performance on Alice like lmfao this was so funny as a debate
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
One last thing after this attack 15-20 still possible but not likely however 20-25 is very likely to this add performance for afd however it won’t make them surge over 5-6 percent most likely 1-2 percent for this tragedy
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
A lot most of them won’t change at all no matter how many terrorist attack there are unfortunately
2
n/a
3 months ago
How much more can the poor germans take
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I did too about this tragedy
0
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
Germany has become so unattractive to live in. Who would like to pay record high taxes, for low public security and selfhating lefties throwing sh*t into your face...
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree Germany is mess right now ten years ago Germany which such good nation I don’t know what happned
0
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
Germany has become so unattractive to live in. Who would like to pay record high taxes, for low public security and selfhating lefties throwing sh*t into your face...
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree however this election so favors cdu and csu like merz did good job in the debate today Alice did oof it was embarrassing to watch her debate
0
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
Germany has become so unattractive to live in. Who would like to pay record high taxes, for low public security and selfhating lefties throwing sh*t into your face...
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz did very well in his debate tbh
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They only went to 2p plus because red and greens are dumbass but honestly the debate shows how unserious the afd really are
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate was so embarrrassing for Alice like she so bad at the debating like she got mad in the crowd lmfao
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate is over and it’s was so embarrassing how other three parties did. Compare to the others one did
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Debate is about over and funny moments were afd fumbled Alice was so fucking clueless didn’t know what she was talking about but merz did decent in the debate tbh
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It is for Alice it’s bad Alice is fumbling in this election right now
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate was so embarrrassing for Alice like she so bad at the debating like she got mad in the crowd lmfao
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz seem competent in the debate compare to abysmal performance on Alice like lmfao this was so funny as a debate
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He said he wants the centre back to fight for the rights for Germany honestly we see
0
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
Just watching the debate. Alice Weidel is doing a pretty bad job transporting her message empathetically. Thank god i bought so cheap 😂.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate was so embarrrassing for Alice like she so bad at the debating like she got mad in the crowd lmfao
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That debate was so embarrassing she awful at debating
0
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
Just watching the debate. Alice Weidel is doing a pretty bad job transporting her message empathetically. Thank god i bought so cheap 😂.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fucking agree I don’t think this favored afd that much as it will favored the cdu and csu as well in this election
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Sooooooo today someone killed multiple people in an islamic attack in Munich 10 days before the election and the AFD Price is 0.2% lower than yesterday? WTF guys? :D
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly we taking this munchin too much let’s calm down we don’t know yet but I have big feeling it won’t do much to the afd support and that much to afd and cdu numbers meaning it won’t change in this election
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We have to wait as we’ll be patient tho it’s unlikely
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Sooooooo today someone killed multiple people in an islamic attack in Munich 10 days before the election and the AFD Price is 0.2% lower than yesterday? WTF guys? :D
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
How close the election is it will impact the afd maybe 1-3 that’s it’s like Christmas market attack didn’t help their numbers that much h
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Sooooooo today someone killed multiple people in an islamic attack in Munich 10 days before the election and the AFD Price is 0.2% lower than yesterday? WTF guys? :D
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t impact shit the guy was also shockingly revealed to be a stanch afd and was a Russian sympathizer
0
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Sooooooo today someone killed multiple people in an islamic attack in Munich 10 days before the election and the AFD Price is 0.2% lower than yesterday? WTF guys? :D
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not going happen Alice will not win at all your delusional again
2
Griffiti
3 months ago
So many people are severely underestimating the worldwide conservative revolution thats taking place. After years of unauthorized illegal immigrants, extreme wokeness, and fake mainstream media. Trump's victory is just the beginning... we are about to experience a once in a lifetime revolution.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
More news the attacker wasn’t a Islam beleiver he was also a stanch afd supporter so this is weird based on his social media
0
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well after these polls afd is over the attack lower spd and green and cdu and afd will down but nothing will change next week
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I will later
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Walk is 32-20
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls now have a huge 12 point gap there no way afd can will this election or gain like five points with ease this election so factors cdu and csu there no chance for afd to have a comeback
2
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree with you mombil if this didn’t happen then 15-20 would be so favored
1
mombil
3 months ago
Wahlkreisprognose AFD 20: https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/trends-im-bund/
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Walk is 32-20
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll walk 30-20 meaning cdu will win around 30-35 in this election
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That means afd 25-30 is overvauled in my opinion right now
0
mombil
3 months ago
Wahlkreisprognose AFD 20: https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/trends-im-bund/
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The cdu will increase after this as well on this
1
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Next polls infratest 32 percent for cdu as well
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After these polls are coming out with bigger leads for cdu it’s pretty hard to imagine afd winning this election
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think that was his goal was to boost the fuck of the afd as well but cdu and csu will still likely win this election
0
Oukej
3 months ago
Could've bought some 15-20 at 17c
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Next polls infratest 32 percent for cdu as well
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but cdu and csu will win this election
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
However this attack was awful it will be forgotten after next week thi
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Leaning towards polls staying a little stagnant and that but cdu and csu will win this election in my opinion
0
mombil
3 months ago
Infratest leider nur 32-21
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Allenbatch 32-20
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This did happen however it’s being overblown it’s won’t change much in this election like Christmas market attack as well
1
Stabaily32
3 months ago
https://www.foxnews.com/world/car-driver-munich-plows-crowd-1-day-before-vance-world-leaders-gather-security-conference
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
However this attack was awful it will be forgotten after next week thi
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After this attack cdu and afd will surge for this
2
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New allenbatch poll was 32-20 but however this attack distracted that’s tho
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
32-20 for the allenbatch poll but hey this attack distracted that but however nothing will change in polls next week
0
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Allenbatch 32 but the fdp finally got the five percent they need
2
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We won’t see shit change at all everyone of afd are overreacting
0
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We s
0
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think it could happen but also thinking about Austria as well
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Germany slow downfall is a sad story
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t change much this matter being way too overblown like big time
0
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think it will change much of this election but afd and cdu will gain
1
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
You have to be a stone cold retard after yet another attack if you still vote for anything other than the AfD. Only the AfD can save Germany.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They don’t this is bad but honestly I don’t think much will change
0
thares
3 months ago
Can we just talk about how bad the new Polymarket UI is? I now have to manually calculate percentages because they are no longer shown. HOW DFQ DID THEY MESS THIS UP:
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Who knows I know it will benefit the cdu and cdu since they tried to pass reasonable migration
0
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This attack will boost afd and cdu as well but I wouldn be weary about how this attack will change the numbers
1
Biasface
3 months ago
Terrible attack in Munich, hoping no one dies
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree I think we over analyze this attack nothing will change honestly voting afd asking for spd green and cdu coalition
0
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They are thinking about leaving it
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Germany slow downfall is a sad story
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But we will see we can’t make speculation right now on this
0
Biasface
3 months ago
Terrible attack in Munich, hoping no one dies
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
None one has but this attack will only gain afd and cdu but spd and green are so done after this
0
Biasface
3 months ago
Terrible attack in Munich, hoping no one dies
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That attack won’t change shit for this election it will boost both cdu and afd as well
0
Griffiti
3 months ago
So many people are severely underestimating the worldwide conservative revolution thats taking place. After years of unauthorized illegal immigrants, extreme wokeness, and fake mainstream media. Trump's victory is just the beginning... we are about to experience a once in a lifetime revolution. Also everyone linking AFD to neo nazis and claiming that the AFD winning would be the rise of the far-right is clueless. Trump was called a nazi, day one dictator and it was all a smear campaign. You have to be gullible to believe what the fake media and polls tell you. Don't forget Trump was projected by "polls" to lose by a wide margin and I suspect the same is happening in Germany and possibly the rest of Europr. People are fed up and you can tell.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Please do not speculate, but wait until the matter has blown over.
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Spd and greens are finish cdu and afd will only gain from this attack
2
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We will see but right now everyone focus on this attack tbh
0
alexmunteanu
3 months ago
15-20% soooon
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think so too but maybe cdu will join afd next coalition
1
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Germany slow downfall is a sad story
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think afd and cdu is going to be next one maybe fdp but spd and Green Party fucked for this election now
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Prediction next colitation will be afd and cdu
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think honestly afd and cdu will be next colitation now
0
sg55
3 months ago
Rally around the flag effect will evaporate as we move forward.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They already are but hey this was gold for afd and cdu in my opinion
0
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
CDU will say: It was the SPD & Greens who didnt want to regulate immigration when it was up for discussion last friday
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Me too I’m as well however it will boost afd and cdu more in this because cdu took action
0
n/a
3 months ago
Another diversity (Terroist) event in munich.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But what do you think of this action of spd and greens will be nedd
0
RainerZufall11
3 months ago
I think this incident was quite good for 20-25. Current polls were at 19-22%. This should bump it up a little but no to much. I actually don't to many people changing their mind because of that. Pretty much just the people that are deciding between CDU and AfD. But most of the current CDU will prob tell themselves that the CDU will fix this.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I finally agree with you for once I think afd and cdu will join force to stop this but this will kill afd after thid
0
degenGambler
3 months ago
The terror attack today, should bump CDU + AfD a bit more. Their voting together on the law limiting immigration and putting immigrants that will need to be deported in prison might have prevented this attack. Even doe the attacker himself might not had to have been send to prison through the law.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This poll was trash honestly I doubts they will get way over 25-39
0
n/a
3 months ago
The German polls are a joke. 20% never. According to them, Harris should also win with over 70%.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
15-20 is dead at this point however 20-25 still very likely after this tbh
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah but after what happened today union and afd will get boost but others won’t at akl
0
Nervenarzt
3 months ago
29% at the moment
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think that it will help merz change his mind of course this happens which when 15-20 start seeming more reasonably this bullshit happens but merz will get boost from this as well
0
RainerZufall11
3 months ago
I think this incident was quite good for 20-25. Current polls were at 19-22%. This should bump it up a little but no to much. I actually don't to many people changing their mind because of that. Pretty much just the people that are deciding between CDU and AfD. But most of the current CDU will prob tell themselves that the CDU will fix this.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will get a minor boost however I doubt it will do major that they gain over three or four percent but who knows yet but 20-25 is very likely one in this election
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
When cdu introduce bill to help migration issue has afd no so cdu will down from this as well
0
n/a
3 months ago
The German polls are a joke. 20% never. According to them, Harris should also win with over 70%.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But they dominated again cdu doing everything they can voting afd just guranteed a red green and black coalition for the next German governing
0
RainerZufall11
3 months ago
I think this incident was quite good for 20-25. Current polls were at 19-22%. This should bump it up a little but no to much. I actually don't to many people changing their mind because of that. Pretty much just the people that are deciding between CDU and AfD. But most of the current CDU will prob tell themselves that the CDU will fix this.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fucking agree with this statement I don’t think 25 will happened but who knows
0
RainerZufall11
3 months ago
I think this incident was quite good for 20-25. Current polls were at 19-22%. This should bump it up a little but no to much. I actually don't to many people changing their mind because of that. Pretty much just the people that are deciding between CDU and AfD. But most of the current CDU will prob tell themselves that the CDU will fix this.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s is however don’t think 25 plus is kinda unlikely but hey maybe afd gets into a big scandal you don’t know
0
zulaboi
3 months ago
Ah shit, 15-20% was looking very probable but now it’s looking like 20%+ is inevitable
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey do think this make afd get over 25 percent or no
0
n/a
3 months ago
The German polls are a joke. 20% never. According to them, Harris should also win with over 70%.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Again this event could boost them little bit but not by a lot either
0
n/a
3 months ago
The German polls are a joke. 20% never. According to them, Harris should also win with over 70%.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They are not that bad again they could who knows but they are importsbt you need to know that
0
n/a
3 months ago
The German polls are a joke. 20% never. According to them, Harris should also win with over 70%.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey where did that guy who comment go
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t see afd change much off this as well because they can’t implement half of what they want
0
Baumfreund
3 months ago
Dead Germans every day and 30% of brainwashed media victims still planning to vote for CDU/CSU. Pathetic
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s was against the afd however I don’t think this will change much of Germany
0
justsomeguy
3 months ago
BREAKING: Afghani asylum seeker drives minivan into right wing AFD-demo https://www.tagesschau.de/newsticker/liveblog-muenchen-102.html
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz will do it so I think cdu will now side with afd after this in my opinion
0
horseshoe-reality
3 months ago
Europe needs to wake up, we need remigration now. In Germany and in Britain.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey yall I think we should wait about this event however I expect more will come after this as well
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think so but I don’t know yet spd and green had chance turn it around but no they played dumb
0
justsomeguy
3 months ago
shit should have gone for 25+% when it was cheap. Who can imagine that fcking 2 Afghanis in the matter of 2 weeks before the elction will commit acts of terror.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally period however I think all of us are overestimating this event right now
0
IceT22
3 months ago
Using a Mini Cooper for a drive-through attack? Pathetic. What's next a PT Cruiser? Step your game up CIA Glowies
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think this attack is horrible however it’s noted that it will boost the afd and cdu in this as well so there that of course for this
1
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This would make cdu strong but also afd one as well this is bullshit for cdu they doing everything to change laws
0
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
Imagine this guy would have been deported if left parties had agreed to the new immigration law on friday.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think cdu will win this election but the attack was horrible but hey cdu could use this day hey we brought up legislation vote us we see change
0
Baumfreund
3 months ago
Dead Germans every day and 30% of brainwashed media victims still planning to vote for CDU/CSU. Pathetic
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well this attack going. Boost the cdu and afd as well on this
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think we need to wait on this because it didn’t boost them on the Christmas market attack at all and other
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree will be on it but we shouldn’t think on it as well we shall see
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It will depend we don’t knwi
0
thares
3 months ago
Ey immer diese australischen Austauschstudenden... Jetzt hat schon wieder einer von denen ein paar Leute ueberfahren.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think we overblown this thing up give it some time and wait until we see result about this okay
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but however it’s gotten blown up for little bit but by next week no one will give shit about it anymore
0
thares
3 months ago
Ey immer diese australischen Austauschstudenden... Jetzt hat schon wieder einer von denen ein paar Leute ueberfahren.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We current freaking out about this stupid car crash but honestly we shouldn’t think it will boost them over 25-30 on this
1
Guwop
3 months ago
I have not heard a single good argument for why people should vote for the CDU.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I telling you guys just wait until polls and other thing come out later on for this on it I think we should wait until next week
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think it will change much but it gain afd but the cdu and csu will win this election for them as well
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think we are over assuming this attack right now and what will do to the afd numbers I think we should wait for a couple of days on this in my opinion
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey what are your thought on this attack we need sensible right now but what do you think
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree but we should wait until further action has been but we will see ugur you thought cdu was going to lose hard after the vote but the polls stayed stagnant I expect the same but let’s see
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We can’t assume the numbers until polls start coming out give it some time with the stabbing did shit to afd numbers so did the other car crash that happened we need to wait until further action is taking place
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We know already however I want to see how others will do it we can assume that afd will win easily just yet give it time okay
0
MR16
3 months ago
Afghan migrant injured 20 people with a car.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
According to reports the 26 year old was a stanch afd supporter so this was two weeks before the election which damn afd numbers will go uo
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey do you think this will highly impact afd numbers or no
0
n/a
3 months ago
https://www.sueddeutsche.de/muenchen/muenchen-auto-menschenmenge-demonstration-stieglmaierplatz-verletzte-li.3201601 it's so Joever for below 25%
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think this was horrible it is over for afd will win around 25-30 percent in my opinion but still think 20-25 is still likely
0
n/a
3 months ago
https://www.sueddeutsche.de/muenchen/muenchen-auto-menschenmenge-demonstration-stieglmaierplatz-verletzte-li.3201601 it's so Joever for below 25%
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We think it was afghan who did but the report says as unconfirmed at the moment we should wait until further investigation confirms who the guy is
0
n/a
3 months ago
Another diversity (Terroist) event in munich.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We don’t know who the guy is
0
n/a
3 months ago
Another diversity (Terroist) event in munich.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wouldn’t say it’s going to make ride hard we saw from the stabbing did shit for their numbers so I would refrain until further notices
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We found out that he is European still very tragic but still don’t have all the details yet
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It was a native German in this case but this is sad tbh
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We don’t know who the perpetrator is could be a native German who knows
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s horrible
0
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
A car just drove into a crows again injuring & killing several people. This time in Munich. Not again people.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Was it a migrat or no
0
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
A car just drove into a crows again injuring & killing several people. This time in Munich. Not again people.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Who was perpetrator
0
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
A car just drove into a crows again injuring & killing several people. This time in Munich. Not again people.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Was this today recently
0
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
A car just drove into a crows again injuring & killing several people. This time in Munich. Not again people.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You so dumb if you think Alice going to be chancellor
1
Griffiti
3 months ago
So many people are severely underestimating the worldwide conservative revolution thats taking place. After years of unauthorized illegal immigrants, extreme wokeness, and fake mainstream media. Trump's victory is just the beginning... we are about to experience a once in a lifetime revolution.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You are sick fucking bastard that’s fucking disgusting
1
ChilliPalmer
3 months ago
Come on islamist, don't stop now with the bombing, knifing, vehicleing in the name of allah! We need afd to rage in the polls...
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude look into the poll show how bad that data really was look into it
0
deplorable99
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Mcpetrus what do think of spd controversy
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I see you are desperate for this to happen but I’m telling you it won’t happen at all
1
ChilliPalmer
3 months ago
Come on islamist, don't stop now with the bombing, knifing, vehicleing in the name of allah! We need afd to rage in the polls...
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well Olaf fuck over his party tbh
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Olaf has whole racism scandal going on right now their numbers are ruin
0
Anyonesone
3 months ago
Scholz saying his Chances of Winning are 60%, and I agree: https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/olaf-scholz-im-spiegel-talk-zur-hofnarr-aussage-gegen-cdu-politiker-joe-chialo-a-d6655878-f6f5-44c8-bd5a-e03e6bd1b422
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
With racism scandal that’s going boost cdu as well
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
I honestly can't say much about this institute "pollytix". I only know that it belongs to the former boss of infratest dimap, which certainly makes it reputable. There are also two new polls from western German states where the AfD has 18%. These are the strongholds where the party was already strongest in the West in the European elections with 15%, and then in Germany as a whole it was 16%. The 18% from the polls fits very well with 19-20 for the whole of Germany. As I said, it will be a close race whether they finish over or under 20. In my opinion, the trend continues to be for under 20.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bffr the idea is that racism claims are funny because it’s going to ruin him
0
Anyonesone
3 months ago
Scholz saying his Chances of Winning are 60%, and I agree: https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/olaf-scholz-im-spiegel-talk-zur-hofnarr-aussage-gegen-cdu-politiker-joe-chialo-a-d6655878-f6f5-44c8-bd5a-e03e6bd1b422
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree we already know cdu will win but afd going be over is intresting
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
I honestly can't say much about this institute "pollytix". I only know that it belongs to the former boss of infratest dimap, which certainly makes it reputable. There are also two new polls from western German states where the AfD has 18%. These are the strongholds where the party was already strongest in the West in the European elections with 15%, and then in Germany as a whole it was 16%. The 18% from the polls fits very well with 19-20 for the whole of Germany. As I said, it will be a close race whether they finish over or under 20. In my opinion, the trend continues to be for under 20.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know they think American politics is same as German which lmfao
0
Oukej
3 months ago
How is this fucking gopfan guy always on the money
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd is getting balance out but far right people buying afd think they have chance is lmfao
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree with you on this
0
Mantou11
3 months ago
Afd now on 19%: https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/weitere-umfragen.htm 4% further decrease possible or not? Maybe, but I will take it for 250 odds
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree with David for once
0
swaglex
3 months ago
What will happen if no government is formed until june 30?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s different market but spd are dead
0
swaglex
3 months ago
What will happen if no government is formed until june 30?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I meant that’s fucking you to decide
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
My western friends and family members are shilling AfD - even tho most of them voted greens before. Thats some solid change! I bet polls underestimate AfD bigtime.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New election
0
swaglex
3 months ago
What will happen if no government is formed until june 30?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know that’s for you to decide I fucking you but however you use a lot of confirmation bias now while I think afd has chance to get 25 very low one I think 20-22 seems fair
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
My western friends and family members are shilling AfD - even tho most of them voted greens before. Thats some solid change! I bet polls underestimate AfD bigtime.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice is so overvauled she should be zero no way she going to be chancellor
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll pollytrix 29-19 ten points. For cdu and csu for this election
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll 29-19 politrix one point down both cdu and afd but still the same cdu will win this election
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls are still very accurate I don’t they be off by eight or ten points
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
David hate this person but you who lived in Germany saying polls underestimating afd are using your confirmation bias polls very accurate in Germany nothing will change afd will not win
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Look at how most accurate polls do it like allenbatch infratest and other ones forgot the name it’s show afd are not gaining at all it’s been constant it’s going to stay constant
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
David hate this person but you who lived in Germany saying polls underestimating afd are using your confirmation bias polls very accurate in Germany nothing will change afd will not win
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree the afd on huge downfall right now along with spd as well
0
Aadler12345
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html Poll by the people that predicted Brexit and 1st Trump presidency correctly: CDU 27%, AFD 25% in their poll.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Did even look deep into poll and how bad the data was this also old news polls that more accurate showing a different story alder
0
Aadler12345
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html Poll by the people that predicted Brexit and 1st Trump presidency correctly: CDU 27%, AFD 25% in their poll.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t hate I want you see reality and show you that you can’t prove they are going to win because no evidence points to that especially that dearchs for afd are lowest since 1-22 so they won’t win
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
David hate this person but you who lived in Germany saying polls underestimating afd are using your confirmation bias polls very accurate in Germany nothing will change afd will not win
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls Germany very accurate polls being off by ten or eight points very hard to believe trust me nothing shows afd going to win this election
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
My western friends and family members are shilling AfD - even tho most of them voted greens before. Thats some solid change! I bet polls underestimate AfD bigtime.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
David hate this person but you who lived in Germany saying polls underestimating afd are using your confirmation bias polls very accurate in Germany nothing will change afd will not win
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
David we get it your a afd supporter but you live in delude land if think afd can win
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
My western friends and family members are shilling AfD - even tho most of them voted greens before. Thats some solid change! I bet polls underestimate AfD bigtime.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude by eight points you thinking oh it’s going to change I don’t think afd will win polls are not underestimating them by eight or ten points
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
My western friends and family members are shilling AfD - even tho most of them voted greens before. Thats some solid change! I bet polls underestimate AfD bigtime.
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Spd is fucked now after what came out today
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Smells good
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New controversy with spd and racism it’s look like spd has ruin their chances cdu and csu will gain more votes now after this
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well Olaf is ruined but merz has now a higher chance of becoming chancellor
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But now you citing a afd supporter but I love you shit posting ugur
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
GOOD MORNING FAM. SORRY I WAS ON VACATION AND COULDN'T SHITPOST. ANYWAY, LET'S SEE IF THERE WILL BE ANOTHER BIG MIGRANT SCANDAL BEFORE THE ELECTION. THE LEFT IS SWEATING. https://x.com/achseostwest/status/1889662755629629842
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New controversy with spd and racism it’s look like spd has ruin their chances cdu and csu will gain more votes now after this
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fucking saw that it’s bad right now cdu is going gain from this
1
Caneish
3 months ago
https://m.focus.de/politik/deutschland/jede-partei-braucht-ihren-hofnarr-cdu-mann-chialo-beleidigt-kanzler-scholz-leistet-sich-rassistischen-aussetzer_id_260715503.html
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I saw that it’s like we predicted right the afd is losing shit Tom of stream now
0
Mantou11
3 months ago
Today lowest interest about AFD on Google Trends since 22nd of January. Meanwhile opposition parties are gaining interest quickly.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
There could be however right now spd is under huge controversy with cdu and csu as well but nice to see you back ugur
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
GOOD MORNING FAM. SORRY I WAS ON VACATION AND COULDN'T SHITPOST. ANYWAY, LET'S SEE IF THERE WILL BE ANOTHER BIG MIGRANT SCANDAL BEFORE THE ELECTION. THE LEFT IS SWEATING. https://x.com/achseostwest/status/1889662755629629842
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So true it’s about it as well
0
Mantou11
3 months ago
Today lowest interest about AFD on Google Trends since 22nd of January. Meanwhile opposition parties are gaining interest quickly.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn spd is in a shit show
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well polls showing huge decrease for afd with them keep going down so afd will not win at all
1
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s over for afd as fpo and ovp has failed in colitation talks
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Breaking news Austria far right party and center right talks have collapsed now fpo will not likely lead their government at all
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Never mind It blow over however good news cdu will likely rule out Green Party
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree it’s downfall for afd from here
0
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
The easy bets are those where you can take from extremists/emotionally involved people. Where do you guys go next after we won this bet?
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yes I fully agree it’s going to be very complicated after this election
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
I still think that only Merz has the chance but until June 30th it will be complicated.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He stil won’t do it at all
0
dbobtschigerillo
3 months ago
CDU/CSU + Green. Merz even complimented Habeck in Berliner Tageszeitung while critizising FDP
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree it’s highly likely that it will never happen
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
CDU/Greens will never Happen.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
How Alice has really zero shot becoming chancellor
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Everyone buying Alice don’t understand German politics at all
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Wow I have seen ugur in a while
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally like it’s bunch of alt right people In America here that think that but it won’t happen
0
Oukej
3 months ago
so youre telling me theres a 20% chance a party polling barely over 20% on average gets 25%+ votes?
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Everyone buying Alice don’t understand German politics at all
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally they are like how can afd win explain I want to know
1
Biasface
3 months ago
AfD holders are living in an alternate reality
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally this like do they not understand it at all like im so confused
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Some people seriously compare the situation to Trump and the fact that people made money betting on him. Yes, guys, but the chances of that happening were at least 50-50... the polls were very close. Several swing states were a tossup or 1% difference but in Germany the "closest" poll is a difference of 8%. Lol! I'm starting to get the impression that some people don't understand the political system in Germany at all.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The afd has a lot of alt right whales who thinks they are going to win easily lmfso
3
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because they care the afd wants to ban same sex marriage cdu wants minor things their not much afd offer but populism rheotiric honestly German election will go to cdu
0
Guwop
3 months ago
What is the best political argument for the CDU?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Deportation tax reforms and also more lgbt friendly than afd are
0
Guwop
3 months ago
What is the best political argument for the CDU?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because they are more serious than smokes and mirrors the afd is pulling right now
0
Guwop
3 months ago
What is the best political argument for the CDU?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polling data and how it’s shows a constant afd has no chance in this election at polls have stay stagnant since December
0
Guwop
3 months ago
What is the best political argument for the CDU?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang he deleted it but I agree with it the afd will not win this election or get above 25-30 at all
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nah trolling is a lot better we just pointing facts about how afd will not win
0
n/a
3 months ago
All these non holders talking shit about the afd but not confident enough to put your money where your mouth is.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude they are down by nine points or ten in polls there no chance for afd to win
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa 29-20 afd has been constant this week projections cdu and csu will win this election
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree over 30 heavy overvalued so is 25-30 this are alt right fan boys
0
Mantou11
3 months ago
Another AFD poll of 20%. https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm 19-22% range very likely.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They can’t be that wrong
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa 29-20 afd has been constant this week projections cdu and csu will win this election
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s polling data tho a
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa 29-20 afd has been constant this week projections cdu and csu will win this election
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Both you dumabss
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New polls by forsa 29-20 the afd will never hit 25 percent
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I will be your mom bed tonight bitch
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New polls by forsa 29-20 the afd will never hit 25 percent
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Citing one poll shows that doesn’t mean shit okay listen up your going to want to hear this polls places you want look out for is Infratest allenbatch and last one I can’t think of this one poll shows cdu and csu will win this election also this article also endorsing the afd as well so the data is skewed
0
YugeBets
3 months ago
AFD recent polling - 25.3%. More silent voters like Trump had will be reflected in the polls. https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-es-sentials/habeck-wallasch-zensur-trump-gaza-wahlwette/
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
According to creditable data the shy voters effect doesn’t exist in Germany at all
0
YugeBets
3 months ago
AFD recent polling - 25.3%. More silent voters like Trump had will be reflected in the polls. https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-es-sentials/habeck-wallasch-zensur-trump-gaza-wahlwette/
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so they won’t due to soder
0
dbobtschigerillo
3 months ago
CDU/CSU + Green. Merz even complimented Habeck in Berliner Tageszeitung while critizising FDP
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Grand colitation is very likely now
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That we will not happened forsa has them at 20-22 for polls it’s matter time for them to hit twenty percent in my opinion
0
YugeBets
3 months ago
AFD recent polling - 25.3%. More silent voters like Trump had will be reflected in the polls. https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-es-sentials/habeck-wallasch-zensur-trump-gaza-wahlwette/
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New polls by forsa 29-20 the afd will never hit 25 percent
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa 29-20 afd has been constant this week projections cdu and csu will win this election
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nothing new merz didn’t offer much however polls are devastating for cdu and csu either Kenya or minority government as well I think merz should do a minority government
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well today governemtn speech’s was lacking Alice is fairy tale land and merz points out how much Germany struggling wrong tone Alice looked dumb as usual nothing new
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well today governemtn speech’s was lacking Alice is fairy tale land and merz points out how much Germany struggling wrong tone Alice looked dumb as usual nothing new
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It means afd is fucked in this election with the high voter turnout that’s going on right now
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The election is already in full swing. In Munich, 400,000 ballot papers requested by letter have already been sent. In the European elections there were only 370,000 in total and there are still two weeks left. So the voter turnout will probably be very high...
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This was basically easy money
0
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What we do know cdu and csu wil be number one
0
emaminek
3 months ago
anything other than afd is simply not happening. Maybe SPD at best
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well higher voter turnout for this election is very bad news for the afd not cdu and csu
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa comes out today
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Weidel did EXCEPTIONALLY well in the ZDF interview this evening!
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s probably very bad for the afd not cdu and csu but for afd
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The election is already in full swing. In Munich, 400,000 ballot papers requested by letter have already been sent. In the European elections there were only 370,000 in total and there are still two weeks left. So the voter turnout will probably be very high...
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think that interview will do shit to the afd numbers at all
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Weidel did EXCEPTIONALLY well in the ZDF interview this evening!
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This is insa we should wait for the other polls next week as well
0
vamnizar
3 months ago
https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article255395438/Insa-Laut-dieser-Umfrage-waere-nach-der-Wahl-nur-eine-Koalition-politisch-moeglich.html Latest Poll. SPD/CDU impossible, so is CDU/Greens. I really dont understand how they are still at 71% combined here when the chance of them even being possible are 50/50 at max
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I hate to be but merz will become chancellor and grand colitation will happened I hated but cdu and csu are doing their thing to solve people issues just red and green they have to deal with not afd tho they should side with afd
0
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Grand colitation is the future for Germany no offense
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu playing good game but after this election Fran colitation is the future I hate it Germans don’t want change
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz will become chancellor however it’s going to be a disaster for cdu and csu I know they want fdp and turn around as well but they can’t risk siding afd or minority government this will be intresting after the election
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What happened dude I thought you said cdu and csu will win this election or still on that cdu and csu will win
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Interesting that Insa now also sees the left in front of the BSW. 3 weeks after everyone else does it. I don't trust this institute, they adapt to the others.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think they can get over 25 they have stagnated for while I expect the same this week as well xD David good luck on moving
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Weidel did EXCEPTIONALLY well in the ZDF interview this evening!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Insa poll shows no change on one they did last week
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still don’t think this interview will do shit to viewer boosting them over 25 percent but hey that’s my tea
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Weidel did EXCEPTIONALLY well in the ZDF interview this evening!
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think she did fine however next week is debate shading all of them
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Weidel did EXCEPTIONALLY well in the ZDF interview this evening!
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz is extremely likely to be chancellor not olaf
0
KlausMUC
3 months ago
First poll after yesterday's TV duel between Merz and Scholz - 30 % CDU/CSU 20 % AfD 15.5 % SPD 13 % Greens 6 % The Left 5.5 % BSW 4% FDP My take: if the FDP fails to reach the five percent hurdle but the Left Party makes it, a government consisting of the SPD, the Greens and the Left Party could be formed and Scholz could be elected chancellor in the third round of voting: What happens if an absolute majority is not achieved? Phase 1: First ballot The Bundestag votes on the proposal of the Federal President. If an absolute majority is not achieved, the proposal is unsuccessful. Phase 2: Second ballot The Bundestag now has fourteen days to elect a chancellor. Several rounds of voting are possible here, but an absolute majority is still required. Phase 3: Third ballot If no chancellor has been elected after fourteen days, an immediate vote takes place. In this third phase, a relative majority is sufficient. This means that whoever receives the most votes is elected.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still no change from last one tho
1
GodfreyofBouillon
3 months ago
New INSA poll puts the AFD at 22%
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
No change from other poll as well
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Constant 30-22 no changes at all
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Insa 30-22 no change constant meaning cdu is favored
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Constant 30-22 no changes at all
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Insa poll comes out today
1
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz easily
2
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
Who do you think win the debate yesterday?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will win this election has been over since last week
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Things looking a lot more fair right now
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly merz won that debate wasn’t even close
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Scholz just came across as more likeable, but that's not a brilliant performance against Merz. But TV rounds won't change the outcome of the election anyway.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd and cdu little overvauled more afd but cdu is fine right now
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well according to Germans 37 said scoltz won that debate and only 34 said merz won but this was run by left wing media however
1
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz won that fucking debate like hardcore he was good in it
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz is strong candidate and is very surprising as we all thought he was weak
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Merz did well. Chapeau to him! Scholz is so delusional...
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Spd voters likely go to cdu now
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well spd is finish the debate proves it merz will be chancellor incoming
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well spd is finish the debate proves it merz will be chancellor incoming
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt anything will change in this election
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Few days full of surprises, let's hope for the best for German brothers to get rid of corrupt scum.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Gg this so over cdu and csu has 100 percent win for this election
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt that it’s too late for afd to win this election at all tbh
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Few days full of surprises, let's hope for the best for German brothers to get rid of corrupt scum.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So you posted that 99.99 percent of cdu and csu to win
0
momoracle
3 months ago
New election model for the German election: CDU/CSU 29.7%, AfD 20.8%, SPD 15.8%, Greens 13.7%, Left 4.8%, BSW 4.7%, FDP 4.0%, Others 6.9% https://x.com/Momoraclecom/status/1888631366998196688
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Basically no change but cdu will get around 30-31 in it
0
momoracle
3 months ago
New election model for the German election: CDU/CSU 29.7%, AfD 20.8%, SPD 15.8%, Greens 13.7%, Left 4.8%, BSW 4.7%, FDP 4.0%, Others 6.9% https://x.com/Momoraclecom/status/1888631366998196688
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
25-30 will just keep going down further we get into honestly I glad cdu and csu will win
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree I think that’s. Most likely scenario
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will win this election I don’t know if afd will get over 25 I highly doubt it
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree it will keep going down
0
Mylo
3 months ago
ok I need 25-30% TO GO UP. like VERY SOON. I cant take this anymore. every minute I am checking polymarket and it is going down, no buyers. every hour, check polymarket, no buyers. I cant take this anymore, it is what it is.i have overinvested, by a lot. but I need 25-30% TO GO UP. can ugur DO SOMETHING?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I love it that alt righters love me
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So in conclusion 25-30 highly unlikely I wouldn’t worry about it happening we thought after cdu was embarrassed last Friday still nothing happpend in the polls I expect the same this week as well
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang calm down 25-30 will not happen at all chill win free money
0
Mylo
3 months ago
ok I need 25-30% TO GO UP. like VERY SOON. I cant take this anymore. every minute I am checking polymarket and it is going down, no buyers. every hour, check polymarket, no buyers. I cant take this anymore, it is what it is.i have overinvested, by a lot. but I need 25-30% TO GO UP. can ugur DO SOMETHING?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So in conclusion 25-30 highly unlikely I wouldn’t worry about it happening we thought after cdu was embarrassed last Friday still nothing happpend in the polls I expect the same this week as well
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Poll was also very skewed I highly doubt afd will get over 25 percent at all
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will win this election I don’t know if afd will get over 25 I highly doubt it
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah that’s one poll other polls shows stagnation none of other polls show them getting above 25 percent tbh
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will win this election I don’t know if afd will get over 25 I highly doubt it
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Protest won’t do anything but strengthen cdu and csu but afd will stagnant for ever
0
Lum
3 months ago
25% might actually be happening 😳 nooo
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Oh protest that were paid yeah that won’t change shit but hey go ahead lose all your money
0
InvestKoest
3 months ago
easy money
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
No it won’t happen if you need hey mcpetrus please respond to this post
0
Lum
3 months ago
25% might actually be happening 😳 nooo
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so nothing will change for the next two weeks at all
0
InvestKoest
3 months ago
easy money
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Don’t panicked 25 percent won’t happen they are gridlock at 20-22 percent in polls nothing will change
0
Lum
3 months ago
25% might actually be happening 😳 nooo
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Had higher chance than 25-30
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Think people overestimating stuff right now polls this week will show stagnation and won’t change much this week or. Ext
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Next week as well 25-30 has low chance of happening while 20-25 I
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Think people overestimating stuff right now polls this week will show stagnation and won’t change much this week or. Ext
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Think people overestimating stuff right now polls this week will show stagnation and won’t change much this week or. Ext
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will win this election I don’t know if afd will get over 25 I highly doubt it
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Oh shut up about oh only afd can save Germany they can’t implement half the shit they want due the law stopping them
0
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
Just filled up 50L of Super 98 (Super Plus) for 133 AED - roughly 35 EUR. In Germany you are already paying 110 EUR for the same amount and in two years it will easily be around 130 EUR++. Good job on getting CO2 neutral LMFAO. Only the AfD can save Germany.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
When it’s been going down for afd in polls right now lmfao
1
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Polling trending towards 25-26%
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Confirmation bias I see
1
Daavid2101
3 months ago
While everyone is telling you that german election polls were historically accurate - keep in mind, that the last time a "ultra right" opposition won was back in 1933. Polls may not be accurate when the actual favourite is the "bad guy". Mainstream / state-media tries to suppress AfD, you can see this in every. frckin. tv-show.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude news attacking cdu and csu like crazy but afd has been guess well in polls in other election
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
While everyone is telling you that german election polls were historically accurate - keep in mind, that the last time a "ultra right" opposition won was back in 1933. Polls may not be accurate when the actual favourite is the "bad guy". Mainstream / state-media tries to suppress AfD, you can see this in every. frckin. tv-show.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Good for you
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Well INSA had the AfD four times in a row at 22 and now at 21. Other polls had them at 19 or 20 and now at 21. That's what I've been saying for a long time. The polls even out at 20-21. But it has been noticeable for a long time that the AfD simply does not go above 22 because its maximum is reached at that point. Market participants are apparently slowly starting to understand this...
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Insa poll 29-21 decrease both cdu and afd but afd going down polls seem to be trend
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Problem polls showing a decline for the afd
0
Venividivici
3 months ago
Good Point to enter 25-30 now?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Gg everyone today wish all of you guys luck
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn 25-30 has fallen really bac
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude we been spamming all day today give it a rest
0
vamnizar
3 months ago
CDU/SPD & CDU/Greens are super overvalued. There isnt even a 72% chance that either of them are possible. If two of the smaller parties enter Bundestag (and Linke seems to be quite safe atm) it has to either be 3-parties coalition or CDU/AfD
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll insa 29-21
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t afd will get 25 percent at all they will get like 20-22
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
BEI KARNEVAL HOERTS BEI MIR UFF. https://www.bild.de/regional/bayern/karneval-angst-vor-anschlaegen-erste-umzuege-abgesagt-67a33c6b0a806301417d16da?t_ref=https%3A%2F%2Ft.co%2F
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
As in article they are scared but I don’t think it will make afd shot so high I. This election
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
BEI KARNEVAL HOERTS BEI MIR UFF. https://www.bild.de/regional/bayern/karneval-angst-vor-anschlaegen-erste-umzuege-abgesagt-67a33c6b0a806301417d16da?t_ref=https%3A%2F%2Ft.co%2F
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t. Think it will change much for this election
1
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
BEI KARNEVAL HOERTS BEI MIR UFF. https://www.bild.de/regional/bayern/karneval-angst-vor-anschlaegen-erste-umzuege-abgesagt-67a33c6b0a806301417d16da?t_ref=https%3A%2F%2Ft.co%2F
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I do t think so
0
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
election interference btw https://youtu.be/1YVByI-5h28
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This also Eastern Europe where they dominated
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
🚨 BIG POLL 🚨 AfD EXPLODING 29% (+4) CDU/CSU in TOTAL COLLAPSE 16% (-3) The old system is FALLING APART, the people are WAKING UP! https://x.com/Wahlen_DE/status/1887934237988303050
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Good luck to afd supporters nice try but this election still favors cdu and csu
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Oops I thought it was
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New allenbatch 35-20 is new report that came out I believe
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice it’s over cdu and csu are I’ll have merz as chancellor
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well this was fun but cdu and csu will own this election how sad afd supportrrs
2
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New allenbatch 35-20 is new report that came out I believe
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so NRW is dominated by the cdu and csu I think the will win 2029 maybe but cdu will win this election
0
Jmal
3 months ago
I wouldnt vote for the AfD myself but living in NRW I can see a lot more support for them. I'm really thinking AfD has a good shot at winning this time.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Ugh Kanye desolusinal as fuck
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
he's just like me https://x.com/kanyewest/status/1887863579577295085
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lose you money Alice will not be chancellor
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well Alice fans it’s over merz willl. Become chancellor for sure and enter in the grand colitation
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think they will form a government with maybe greens helps on it
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well Alice fans it’s over merz willl. Become chancellor for sure and enter in the grand colitation
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So true but cdu and csu will be in the next government
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Why is the cdu so low like duh they will be in this government
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
GMS 30-21 but this poll comes out every month early parts of the month as well
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Stop celebrating a poll that does it a month way also gms actually one of the least accurate polls as well
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
WOW! AfD +3% on the rise BIGLY! People are waking up! Meanwhile, the Union DROPPING FAST! Sad! Weak leadership, bad policies! Germany wants STRONG BORDERS, LAW & ORDER! AfD WINNING like never before! FAKE NEWS won’t like this!!! https://x.com/Wahlen_DE/status/1887845188598390949
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This poll was fucking month ago so don’t celebrate the high three lost from this poll a lot happened in a month also follows in line with what other polls are showing us as welll
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
WOW! AfD +3% on the rise BIGLY! People are waking up! Meanwhile, the Union DROPPING FAST! Sad! Weak leadership, bad policies! Germany wants STRONG BORDERS, LAW & ORDER! AfD WINNING like never before! FAKE NEWS won’t like this!!! https://x.com/Wahlen_DE/status/1887845188598390949
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This poll was a month ago GMA
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
WOW! AfD +3% on the rise BIGLY! People are waking up! Meanwhile, the Union DROPPING FAST! Sad! Weak leadership, bad policies! Germany wants STRONG BORDERS, LAW & ORDER! AfD WINNING like never before! FAKE NEWS won’t like this!!! https://x.com/Wahlen_DE/status/1887845188598390949
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well Alice fans it’s over merz willl. Become chancellor for sure and enter in the grand colitation
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well it’s over cdu and csu will win and all the afd people have lost everything good night
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s a 42-19 which means a blow out against afd that doesn’t mean that afd will get over 25 at all this is a delusional take
1
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Second most populated state inching higher and higher. https://x.com/Wahlrecht_de/status/1887837306859520384 DANCE WITH ME BOIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIS. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZpoDbFHwE4
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Where allenbatch
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You don’t have too most of this market are control by alt right people who think Alice will be chancellor
0
Zorroh
3 months ago
The issue with this market for me is that I am so convinced to be on the right side that it's close to impossible to time the market and do swing trade. Everytime time I sell, I rebuy in the minute because it seems so cheap.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Not for this election at all
0
n/a
3 months ago
Big big suprise incoming most of you are not ready for
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang 25-30 is overvauled again
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t shy voter doesn’t exist in Germany no offense ugur
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The slight effect doesn’t happens in Germany that much also zdf has playing demoing campaign against merz
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
For everyone that keeps saying that it is not "shameful" to voice AfD/right opinions nowadays, i recommend watching the recent "Schlagabtausch". According to polling nearly 55% of the population leans right. Not a single person in the room was clapping when right leaning politicians were speaking. The entire room is erupting when a lefty says something. This is whats happening in modern day germany 24/7. If you vote right, you shut up in public, its that simple. Simply not worth putting yourself in the center of attention of the leftist mob kek. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EsEYGQJV79o&ab_channel=ZDFheuteNachrichten
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I pookie did I not put you to sleep
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People now doubling down on it because of poll today didn’t fit them at all so well it’s over cdu and csu will win this will not be close at all
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
In talking about greens and cdu colitation i dont think it will happened
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Finally mcpetrus would agree with me on this greens and cdu and csu will not happened this has been used by afd and spd now fdp as smear campaign merz doesn’t want to be involve with a second chance campaign
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Fuck you
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I said would you agree with me or no
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Finally mcpetrus would agree with me on this greens and cdu and csu will not happened this has been used by afd and spd now fdp as smear campaign merz doesn’t want to be involve with a second chance campaign
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They wouldn’t either there not enough time for afd to win against cdu and csu like no matter what this election is over
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
FINALLY mcpetrus agreed with Trolloftheswamp on this greens and cdu and csu will not happened this has been used by afd and spd now fdp as smear campaign merz doesn’t want to be involve with a second chance campaign
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
FINALLY mcpetrus agreed with Trolloftheswamp on this greens and cdu and csu will not happened this has been used by afd and spd now fdp as smear campaign merz doesn’t want to be involve with a second chance campaign
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Finally mcpetrus would agree with me on this greens and cdu and csu will not happened this has been used by afd and spd now fdp as smear campaign merz doesn’t want to be involve with a second chance campaign
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But also merz is not siding with greens at all that’s fear mongers
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People now doubling down on it because of poll today didn’t fit them at all so well it’s over cdu and csu will win this will not be close at all
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After that poll the cdu will win around 30-35
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People now doubling down on it because of poll today didn’t fit them at all so well it’s over cdu and csu will win this will not be close at all
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Allenbatch comes out tomorrow and INSA on Saturday but expect the same okay
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
the margin of error of the polls is 3%. the afd is a shameful and anti-system vote. many reasons to hide it like for example to piss off the pollsters so that they have a surprise on election day. we are going to win BY A LOT !!!
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Boy trust me it’s impossible
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Today confirmed the nail in coffin for the afd and they winning this election
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also this polls confirms the death of afd any chance of Winning this elision
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
the margin of error of the polls is 3%. the afd is a shameful and anti-system vote. many reasons to hide it like for example to piss off the pollsters so that they have a surprise on election day. we are going to win BY A LOT !!!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think your right polling data super accurate
0
Zorroh
3 months ago
This market is essentially a bet on German polling institutes’ accuracy. If they are right, I will make some lunch money. If they are wrong, Ugur is a rich man.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s just it’s over for afd there no way to get over 10 percent at all
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Today confirmed the nail in coffin for the afd and they winning this election
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
20-25 is now cleared favored in this election
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t see any of 23 of it at all this election is over
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
23% vor der Wahl und dann Wahlprognosenabweichung a la Thueringen bitte, dankoe. tschoe mit oe.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I dot. Think you will win
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They I mean cdu and csu today polls was nail in the coffin
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Today confirmed the nail in coffin for the afd and they winning this election
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Oh momma. I’ve waited for my mlik
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Siggis is obbesssed with me and mcpetrus so much to try to disapprove us that it’s over for the cdu like for real
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This election is over thank god for merz for win and wish you guys the bedt
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz is now favored no offense this election so over now
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude your obsessed mad we get it
0
Mantou11
3 months ago
Afd numbers are in free fall, today there were 3 polls, and their numbers were 21% or less. Its very possible they will end up in the 10-15 range, as turnout will be high. https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bundestagswahl_2025/Umfragen_und_Prognosen
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Siggis is obbesssed with me and mcpetrus so much to try to disapprove us that it’s over for the cdu like for real
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Today confirmed the nail in coffin for the afd and they winning this election
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn you are obsessed with me I see you
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Virginoftheswamp jerking to polls
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Siggis wants dog style me yall he gay as fuck
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Virginoftheswamp jerking to polls
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The bet cdu doing fine in right now but fdp fucked up bad
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
I wonder why it continues to be around 30% for 25% or more even though there isn't a single poll that shows them at over 22%. The shameful voter does not exist in Germany or the surveys compensate for it very well. So what's behind it?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m making you sad little muffin
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After the poll there no way for afd to win in my opinion that’s it this market is over
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m in your dreams I’m that’s adorable but Australia stabbing won’t do shit
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Brokeoftheswamp
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
In
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Brokeoftheswamp
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Ok are trigger libtard
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
https://www.spiegel.de/panorama/justiz/bremen-messerangriff-auf-bundespolizisten-vor-hauptbahnhof-38-jaehriger-niedergeschossen-a-7da76113-0250-4a6c-bda2-44a343c8228f
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After the poll there no way for afd to win in my opinion that’s it this market is over
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think it will change anything because afd only focus on migrate who are mulish
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
https://www.spiegel.de/panorama/justiz/bremen-messerangriff-auf-bundespolizisten-vor-hauptbahnhof-38-jaehriger-niedergeschossen-a-7da76113-0250-4a6c-bda2-44a343c8228f
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu not fucking up right now everything beign pulled out is old and outdated but cdu will win there not enough time for afd to win so go ahead lose your bet
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
I wonder why it continues to be around 30% for 25% or more even though there isn't a single poll that shows them at over 22%. The shameful voter does not exist in Germany or the surveys compensate for it very well. So what's behind it?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay so spd and cdu will be next colitation
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After that poll came out this now for sure 30-35 is guranteed
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I hard disagree but hey do you boo it’s that afd will lose this election
0
Ofers69
3 months ago
It's looks like USA 2016. The polls are biased for the WOKE. Germans tired from the politically correct talking but they are to polite and afraid... Behind the curtain at the ballot box they will say what they really think - and that is a clear right wing...
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall sorry to the 25-30 but new poll showed a 31-21 which means it’s been decide cdu and csu will win this election
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah ipsos a lot less accurate than others are sorry but idmap saw 31-21 which means cdu will win
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
+2% in IPSOS ! we will win BY A LOT . My fear is that we will exceed 30%
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
With merz saying four percent too much for the fdp
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s the polls it’s been decide cdu and csu will win this election
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
This market will go to at least 100mil liquidity days before the election, it’s going to be a bloodbath.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What do you think about the cdu and csu stabbing the fdp in the back today I want to knkw
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz just shot the fdp down saying four percent too much I kinda understand where merz went tho he had to do what he had to do
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
New Yougov: https://yougov.de/elections/de/2025
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well merz shoot the fdp down now but he had too
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t here tbh
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New polls 31-21 for cdu winning
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New polls 31-21 for cdu winning
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Definitely it’s is
0
klacy
3 months ago
According to latest polls, SPD, Green and Linke are only 6% short of the 42% that they need combined to form a coalition. A CDU formed coalition ist still the most likely outcome, but Olaf Scholz is undervalued.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well the green and red are now literally imploding hardcore in this election bade and habcock have now started to infight each other Merz betrays fdp was kinda smart on his party tho but red and greens are struggling while this will only benefits afd and cdu further
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang merz is getting no break at being attacked at all tbh this just sad now
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Never mind a lot of greens and black colitation slamming now being retracted and they apologize about merz stance and what’s he is doing
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Know sourcing making where merz praising habeck its was intend tho without context to destory merz credibility in this election however the cdu and csu will still win this election tbh
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Know sourcing making where merz praising habeck its was intend tho without context to destory merz credibility in this election however the cdu and csu will still win this election tbh
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s bad for Germany but in France super accurate it has one worst one in Germany but Friday allenbatch comes out
1
Zorroh
3 months ago
Ipsos Ho Ho Ho
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so polls beside forsa and ipsos has stay stagnant for this week probably next week as well
0
Commie-Killer
3 months ago
If CDU does not win, I will transition to a female (take hormones and chop of my dick) thas the degree of certainty I have.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also everyone has been bashing shit out of merz he doing his best also you do know if vote cdu you will get a black and green has been afd campaign in east for years but what do you know you only think the cdu and csu less 20 or 20-25 with afd gettting more than them is biggest lmfao I’ve ever seen
0
Biasface
3 months ago
AfD has trouble with support outside of East Germany and with the CDU pivoting right I don’t think there’s any winning scenario for them
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I get a life fucking alt right loveboy
0
0xLehman
3 months ago
Study Geert Wilders' PVV victory in The Netherlands in 2023. Polls were way off. People are afraid to tell others that they are voting for an anti-immigration party. Exact same scenario as the German election now.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They exploit it if migrant but it wasn’t but also everyone hates merz afd spd greens they all they do keep bashing him I see it all the time
0
n/a
3 months ago
Another mass shooting in sweeden yesterday and another one in belgium these welsh choirboys are getting out of control.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls are going to be stagnate next week as well there going to be no change at all
0
Commie-Killer
3 months ago
If CDU does not win, I will transition to a female (take hormones and chop of my dick) thas the degree of certainty I have.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu voting with afd or having colitation would be sucked for their party but also you think Alice will be chancellor is biggest lmfao that’s almost certain that it won’t happpend but also merz running a good campaign right now
0
Biasface
3 months ago
AfD has trouble with support outside of East Germany and with the CDU pivoting right I don’t think there’s any winning scenario for them
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t have impact afd can’t exploit anti
0
n/a
3 months ago
Another mass shooting in sweeden yesterday and another one in belgium these welsh choirboys are getting out of control.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I doubt it the cdu and csu will win and again he won’t work with the Green Party at all people seeing through bullshit but I’m twitter a lot of them knows merz won’t work with greens at all
0
Biasface
3 months ago
AfD has trouble with support outside of East Germany and with the CDU pivoting right I don’t think there’s any winning scenario for them
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree with don’t think merz will have a colitation with greens at all he said he likes Habeck but I highly doubt he does
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m going to say this but merz and cdu and csu super pissed of theses attacks that they about reject having colitation with greens
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang 25-30 and over 30 super overvalued due to alt right fans that are Elon musk fans
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like 30 percent both of them is crazy and stupid as fuck yall just want to lose money don’t you
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People buying over 30 and 25-30 don’t have any idea of German politics at all they not like in those area at all
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People buying over 30 and 25-30 don’t have any idea of German politics at all they not like in those area at all
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m going to say this but merz and cdu and csu super pissed of theses attacks that they about reject having colitation with greens
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
25-30 super unlikely but 15-20 is kinda likely more than 25-30 the afd are running stupid campaigns right now
1
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will not get second but first
1
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz is easy money in this market
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
For afd also cdu has been now gaining or staying stable not afd they been going down
0
focused
3 months ago
We literally sitting on 25% right now, if you are dumb enough bet against me
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
In one poll compared to 5 polls that have you lower than 25 percent g
0
focused
3 months ago
We literally sitting on 25% right now, if you are dumb enough bet against me
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I have many secrets some stay unanswered
1
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
LGBT poll matters however won’t change much in this election in my opinion
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
LGBT poll matters however won’t change much in this election in my opinion
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
No offense 25-30 way over valued and 15-20 is way undervalued
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah I saw that too but it’s still won’t change much as YouGov saw stabalkyh with 29-22 I suspect cdu and csu will win
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Saw a poll today. AfD is the most popular party among gay voters. Big Gs!
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think we should wait honestly
0
Cisomate2901
3 months ago
Check here how close Allensbach was during the last weeks in 2021... https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/allensbach.htm
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Your delusional as usual
1
GoBerlin
3 months ago
you must be blind and hate money if you do not believe Alice will win...Lets go!
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
If she does win it doesn’t mean chancellor clown
1
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Imagine the win for Alice....There is a massive shift in politics happening right now. Politicians bought and influenced like never before. The US wants ALice. So Alice will be the next chancellor. Against all odds she will win. Too bad I dont have more disposbile income to bet on her.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
U think it will be merz it’s almost certain it will be him
0
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Message to all: click on "Holders" to hide the clowns who did not bet and think they know something :D:D:D
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So violence against cdu and csu now getting out of hand that cdu and csu are enraged today but no word from spd and greens about cdu and csu members getting attack and death threats
2
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
YouGov poll 29-22
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude I read that article the poll was so bad it’s was so good damn funny that Alice is gaining. But not by much as the poll said
0
ELMAPO
3 months ago
https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-es-sentials/us-umfrage-union-27-prozent-afd-25-spd-15-gruene-13/
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree outside of east Europe they will be limited around 17-20 percent
2
Biasface
3 months ago
AfD has trouble with support outside of East Germany and with the CDU pivoting right I don’t think there’s any winning scenario for them
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
These events won’t impact this election for afd to win but cdu and csu will very likely win but violence is getting out of hand
0
n/a
3 months ago
Another mass shooting in sweeden yesterday and another one in belgium these welsh choirboys are getting out of control.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude you have no idea how German politics works at all
1
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Imagine the win for Alice....There is a massive shift in politics happening right now. Politicians bought and influenced like never before. The US wants ALice. So Alice will be the next chancellor. Against all odds she will win. Too bad I dont have more disposbile income to bet on her.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I saw that but however that will have no impact on Germany at all
0
n/a
3 months ago
Another mass shooting in sweeden yesterday and another one in belgium these welsh choirboys are getting out of control.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang one person caused two go down by four points but I think 15-20 will catch up soon
1
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True so does other two do as well
1
Cisomate2901
3 months ago
According to Politico Berlin Playbook Podcast today Allensbach will publish a new poll on Friday. CDU will be probably unchanged or only with marginal adjsutments to last poll (34%). They also state that Allensbach had the closest prediction before the 2021 election
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
YouGov came out today it was 29-22 for cdu and three percent jump for the spd
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup sorry about that
1
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
all i see are trolloftheswamp comments. dude get a life
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Ugur stop get some help
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
She would need absolute majority to become chancellor unlike merz who could become it very easliy
0
toschdev
3 months ago
Shockwaves coming from the US. Alices chances are greater than most expect.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Us doesn’t affect Germany at all Alice has no shot of winning nor does the afd at all
0
toschdev
3 months ago
Shockwaves coming from the US. Alices chances are greater than most expect.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So 25-30 would be surpass by 15-20 in couple of days
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You just love the afd she not winning at all
0
GoBerlin
3 months ago
I see blue everywhere! Landslide win for Weidel! Let's go!
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because the one going to Lead the government is only cdu at all tiems
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz super likely not Alice at all
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus what’s your thought of the two percent decrease from forsa today
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
For the cdu for sure
0
buffalo
3 months ago
easy peasy
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Why 25-30 had fallen hard tbh
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Ugur why did sell all of your ads will win the most seats
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude your super rude about them voting cdu or any other party so I think Germany will be fine
0
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
If you are a German citizen and still refuse to vote for the AfD, then frankly, you deserve to keep paying more for energy than even Switzerland - let that sink in (LOL). How does it feel, knowing that your self inflicted financial suffering is nothing more than a hollow virtue signal against imaginary fascism? You. Deserve. All. This.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think the German colitation will be cdu and spd the cdu will be I this government
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
About them winning 25-30 seems super not logical
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Stop buying 25-30 , troll said the polls are bad!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I doubt it I think cdu will get around 30-35 and they will form a colitation in terms of it like I feel I think Austria is a lot different than Germany is right now
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
A bet on 25-30% is simply a bet on the CDU repeating what they repeated in 2021. Losing a double digit lead 100 meters before the finish line. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/0f/Opinion_polls_Germany_2021.svg/1000px-Opinion_polls_Germany_2021.svg.png
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wouldn’t doubt but highly no in my opinion
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Stop buying 25-30 , troll said the polls are bad!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think that will happened +2 -2 happened because of a immgraint crisis but cdu and csu will likely win this election this pure hopeium
0
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s was the forsa poll seem like 28-20 seem scary or are you not scared about your prediction
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus I’m panicked over that poll of forsa where cdu is down by two points should I worry or no
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmfao the polls super constant I starting highly doubt a armin event willl happened and cdu will be screwed in this election
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Stop buying 25-30 , troll said the polls are bad!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also don’t think cdu and csu will fuck up as bad as they did in 2021 this polls showing us none really movement in the polls
0
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree they can fuck up however polls not showing the trend that happened in 2021 as there only three weeks left and I have feeling merz will still win this election
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
A bet on 25-30% is simply a bet on the CDU repeating what they repeated in 2021. Losing a double digit lead 100 meters before the finish line. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/0f/Opinion_polls_Germany_2021.svg/1000px-Opinion_polls_Germany_2021.svg.png
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market seems very fair and reasonable
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bffr that’s most delusional take ever
0
CreepTools
3 months ago
There is one rule that everyone should take note: You don't bet against Elon Musk!
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey I have question shocked about the colitation
0
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Would you guys be shocked if merz works with green and spd or no
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The delusion of stupid people betting afd is so funny like I’m fucking dead
3
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The delusion here is so bad like it’s so funny tbh
0
ArbitrageTrader33
3 months ago
Interestingly, in a poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 17 percent said they'd vote AfD, but the projection added just 4%, even though AfD voters often hide their preferences due to social stigma, getting to 21. I think that’s too low, they should’ve added 11-14, putting AfD closer to 28-31.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall merz said for colitation partners he was thinking the Green Party or the spd are you guys suprise or no not atll
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Period like really true
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall doubting the polls the one poll was super bad like I read all of it but Brexit and trump victory were predicted in other polls so no afd will not win but the cdu will
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall doubting the polls the one poll was super bad like I read all of it but Brexit and trump victory were predicted in other polls so no afd will not win but the cdu will
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls in Germany very accurate the afd will not win at all trump victory was shocked however the polll yall celebrated ignore a lot of factors
0
0xLehman
3 months ago
Study Geert Wilders' PVV victory in The Netherlands in 2023. Polls were way off. People are afraid to tell others that they are voting for an anti-immigration party. Exact same scenario as the German election now.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I have friends who lives in Germany they will tell you they are way more open on who they want to vote for over everything else’s
0
0xLehman
3 months ago
Study Geert Wilders' PVV victory in The Netherlands in 2023. Polls were way off. People are afraid to tell others that they are voting for an anti-immigration party. Exact same scenario as the German election now.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus I’m panicked over that poll of forsa where cdu is down by two points should I worry or no
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To say oh I vote afd than not nothing will change maybe one-two points that’s it tho
0
0xLehman
3 months ago
Study Geert Wilders' PVV victory in The Netherlands in 2023. Polls were way off. People are afraid to tell others that they are voting for an anti-immigration party. Exact same scenario as the German election now.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fully disagree I think cdu will win the 2023 Netherlands election are way different than German election right now okay there not difference people a lot more open
0
0xLehman
3 months ago
Study Geert Wilders' PVV victory in The Netherlands in 2023. Polls were way off. People are afraid to tell others that they are voting for an anti-immigration party. Exact same scenario as the German election now.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I want to know filpadelphia about is that poll showing us things are getting bad for merz or no we sho up ignore that poll
0
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People saying that the forsa poll showing a huge decline for cdu is this true or no we don’t see that much in other polls
0
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
15-20 and 20-25 are very fair for this market in my opinion
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Already nearing boo they stayed constant this week and last week afd lost support in the walk poll and in insa it stayed the same yougov is tomorrow tho
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Trump hasn't even started pushing for AfD yet, and they're already nearing 25%! Imagine when he does.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 20-25 is very overrated value tbh
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
My prediction holding very well I knew afd would struggle to get above 20 and also cdu will not lose more than 28 mcpetrus i will never doubt you ever again
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nah I’ll call ice on you
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn 25-30 is really overvalued like 25 percent chance is not at all likely
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally this like lmfao polls will not change pretty sure cdu will win this election
0
mombil
3 months ago
Forsa: https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Union-sackt-nach-AfD-Eklat-ab-Gruene-und-Linke-legen-zu-article25537158.html
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn 25-30 is really overvalued like 25 percent chance is not at all likely
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But 25-30 is overvauked due to gammahammer
0
mombil
3 months ago
Forsa: https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Union-sackt-nach-AfD-Eklat-ab-Gruene-und-Linke-legen-zu-article25537158.html
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Not that bad hey afd staying constant im pretty sure they will go up next week in forsa
0
mombil
3 months ago
Forsa: https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Union-sackt-nach-AfD-Eklat-ab-Gruene-und-Linke-legen-zu-article25537158.html
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I starting to really doubt like hardcore because of new polls afd losing or stagnated in them
0
ArbitrageTrader33
3 months ago
AfD can get 25 percent or more, but Hoecke needs to take over. He will wipe the floor and win the election
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz is for sure going to be chancellor
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh 25-30 ocervauled because of skewed poll that everyone cited but no one look into the poll and the data set behind it
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa comes out tomorrow
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Same because the poll they praise kinda sucks not going lie
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like 15-20 and 20-25 gaining finally 25-30 seems to be dying off
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think that will happen
1
BoMarley1029
3 months ago
How do I bet ona CDU minority government?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like 15-20 and 20-25 gaining finally 25-30 seems to be dying off
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nah trolling is better but hey stay delusional
1
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market getting to be a lot fair now than it was before
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market getting to be a lot fair now than it was before
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Thank you so much
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls like insa and allensbatch are very accurate so no matator they are not manipulated
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market so fair right now beside the 25-30 being a little ocervauled
1
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz super likely not Alice at all
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It might afd not winning this election tho it’s like maybe three percent if that
1
Sigfried
3 months ago
will be betting 2$ for the chance of happening the same thing that happend with trump
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
America politics way different than German one is
0
Sigfried
3 months ago
will be betting 2$ for the chance of happening the same thing that happend with trump
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls like insa and allensbatch are very accurate so no matator they are not manipulated
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
How they are not your using confirmation bias by posting people who support the afd
0
Matator23
3 months ago
The official polls are manipulated
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Who said oh official polls are manipulate the polls are very accurate in Germany they are not bias towards the cdy
0
Matator23
3 months ago
https://x.com/wolfdesnordens/status/1886317781987086573?s=46
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They are not manipulated they are very accurate this one is tho
0
Matator23
3 months ago
The official polls are manipulated
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This is very skewed you and people who support the afd using confirmation bias
0
Matator23
3 months ago
https://x.com/wolfdesnordens/status/1886317781987086573?s=46
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The afd voters you guys literally falling into the confirmation bias so no afd will not win this election no matter what you say Germans don’t care about politics
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally they are just keep site the other poll but that poll has for sure skewed
0
GodfreyofBouillon
3 months ago
INSA puts AFD at 22%
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Why is the cdu so low like duh they will be in this government
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That new poll everyone talking about is super skewed like 35 percent said they want Alice oh okay that’s show me how skewed it is
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To people buying 25-30 yall citing a poll that’s super skewed like it’s so oblivious most people buying 25-30 are afd supporters and fans
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You are so dumb don’t know shit about German politics ones buying 25-30 are afd fans
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
ugurmersin selling !
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup I’m right 30-22 is new one
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall super delusional if think afd going to win this election at all
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Top danke fuer die guten Preise
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To you guys think about that new poll it’s super skewed don’t get it twisted
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude one polll seen any of the new polls like ones that being doing it for years the insa one was 30-22 that one seem very off
0
LufM
3 months ago
AfD is not going to win bro. elon is not gonna help
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude check current INSA poll that poll was very skewed
0
n/a
3 months ago
Lies. New poll shows 25% dont listen to the WEF puppets.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Send him the link
0
n/a
3 months ago
Lies. New poll shows 25% dont listen to the WEF puppets.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally so obvious I skewed not even funny
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus read this https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nah someone at there buying a lot of nos
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
ugurmersin selling !
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This “poll” that is floating around the internet and says 35% want Weidel as chancellor has nothing to do with serious opinion research. In the reputable polls of all German institutes it reaches less than 20%. and it's only AfD voters who want Weidel. But the poll says the AfD is at 25%. So that is completely out of the question. It seems to have been created by someone who has a problem with Elon Musk. But no one in Germany talks about Musk anymore. they completely overestimate it. ignore this rubbish. Insa's new survey continues to see an unchanged and clear lead for the CDU.
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally thank you about ruat
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
This “poll” that is floating around the internet and says 35% want Weidel as chancellor has nothing to do with serious opinion research. In the reputable polls of all German institutes it reaches less than 20%. and it's only AfD voters who want Weidel. But the poll says the AfD is at 25%. So that is completely out of the question. It seems to have been created by someone who has a problem with Elon Musk. But no one in Germany talks about Musk anymore. they completely overestimate it. ignore this rubbish. Insa's new survey continues to see an unchanged and clear lead for the CDU.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Now this market seems more reasonable
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Insa has historically been accurate but funny how you guys priasr the poll shows afd at 25 when this is one at 22 like wow cdu has constantly be at 30
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll showed 30-22 no changed so there no change
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
One yalll praised clearly skewed if this what came up today
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll showed 30-22 no changed so there no change
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
One yalll talking about all the time this one showed one point increase for the cdu
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll showed 30-22 no changed so there no change
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll INSA 30-22
2
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But one that posted this morning is serious yet this one is not because why that tell me that poll is skewed
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll showed 30-22 no changed so there no change
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll showed 30-22 no changed so there no change
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so also think cdu
0
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
AfD is going to win an epic victory! I am still waiting for anything even remotely close to this masterpiece from other parties: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75anYqzs3jY
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice having huge leads and Elon having lower disapproval than all other polls had as well
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I love it and also quick question why is afd increasing right now
0
Neil.McCauley
3 months ago
Imagine being @noblesse.oblige and betting 10K on a n*zy party...
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like actually look at data compare to other data sets they don’t align at all which shows me very much this poll very skewed in favor showing Elon musk influence in this election when he has none
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can yall add supporter stop posting. The poll that’s look very skewed look at the data you will see
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know that but this poll just seem extremely off base on other factor in the data doesn’t align with other big and large data sets as well
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Actually look at the data sets it’s very skewed
0
donaldpumper
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html basically its 50:50 ...
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think afd will win at all very high doubts about it
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Save Europe
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude why are so passionate about Alice winning
0
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Blue Wave incoming ! Get ready...
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can yall add supporter stop posting. The poll that’s look very skewed look at the data you will see
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think the will win hey 2029 the afd will win
1
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Save Europe
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Did you look at the data set it’s very skewed not in a good way
0
donaldpumper
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html basically its 50:50 ...
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It got the 2021 election down to the tea and that’s impressive
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s very accurate to tea I don’t think one will be as accurate
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
When in reality I look at the data it’s so weird doesn’t even line up with INSA current poll that did at the same time which to me is strange shows. That could have been skewed for the afd and mainstream media
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Chrikim
3 months ago
Latest Poll (big sample size): 25% AfDhttps://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because that’s massive jump for the afd and Alice when other polls don’t show that which make believe it was made to be skewed to favored mainstream media to talk about how much influence Elon has so boeopek can see how good he has done
0
Chrikim
3 months ago
Latest Poll (big sample size): 25% AfDhttps://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We already talking about it but the poll probably a big time outlier it doesn’t line up with the other polls so there that
0
Chrikim
3 months ago
Latest Poll (big sample size): 25% AfDhttps://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I like insa and forsa also allenbatch way of polling it’s very accurate nothing going to change this election for afd to win so that’s poll weird because massive lead for Alice when other polls shows a different story
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Not really but poll is big time outlier it’s weird because it’s so off compared to others that’s point I’m making
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
About how Elon impacts this election but when Elon got involve didn’t change main polls that strange that the poll had 27-25 because no of the other polls show that
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The one posted seems to off for the others polls like that poll was so off it’s funny because other ones don’t match this feels like one where Harris was up by three in Iowa poll
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Only reason cdu and csu so high is because of alt right fan boys buying them thinking afd going to win base off on poll that was posted today
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The one you posted about that such a big outlier it’s made to serve mainstream media in my opinion
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That poll was such a outlier that im now thinking it was skewed for mainstream media to eat up because a lot accurate polls don’t show the same results at all
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t understand why you praising them so much when they have zero chance of winning
0
GoBerlin
3 months ago
All the way BLUE!
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m now getting a feeling this data was skewed to get mainstream media to eat it up because a lot of other polls show constant rate like insa forsa and others there likely not going to be a change
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
All of them are not in the afd favor at all
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude why are praising the afd so much like Alice not getting in
0
GoBerlin
3 months ago
We LOVE ALICE WEIDEL ! Germany will flourish again
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think that data set was to get mainstream media attention for Elon musk and showed that afd has more support than they actually do I predict afd will win around 19-21 percent of the vote
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I also think they might of skewed this because all the other polls show something else INSA comes out today honestly looking like it’s going to be cdu still favored I don’t see but we will see I also think this polll was skeeeed to get mainstream media attention and afd to celebrate and be like yeah this is one poll with not a lot of creditably I mean even some polls outside USA also predicted brexit as well
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Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This is one poll we can’t tell if they will lose more in coming also this poll was taken from tuesday to Thursday I highly doubt any of the other polls will change
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Beside one poll they are rising but not that fast I expect their numbers to go down after next friday
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD popularity is increasing dramatically
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Only reason cdu and csu so high is because of alt right fan boys buying them thinking afd going to win base off on poll that was posted today
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s down by three percent or one to two I. Others polls as well but I get it your afd supporter you want afd to Win but it’s super unlikely I hate to be this person David
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Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fully agree with you
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Youth of Germany will mostly vote AfD. Wave of change incoming
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Youth of Germany will mostly vote AfD. Wave of change incoming
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus read this https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m scared about that came out today
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what do think of the poll that showed a 27-25 for the cdu I want to know I think it’s just being overhyped I wait for other polls to come out later on
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The one is the institution like the alliance of freedom or something freaking everyone on this market out
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what do think of the poll that showed a 27-25 for the cdu I want to know I think it’s just being overhyped I wait for other polls to come out later on
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 30-35 is very fair for this election in all honesty
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice will not become chancellor even if she won this election yall are delusional
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
She wouldn’t why did gloss over her so much
0
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Alice is the power we need in politics! If there was a LIVE debate between Merz and her, she would destroy him.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also didn’t you said that cdu was going to be lower than 10 percent which found out to be flase
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But however I don’t think Elon will have as much as impact as that poll suggested
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so Alice is for sure money on no she can’t make it
0
GoBerlin
3 months ago
imagine the returns on Alice right now. Bet only the amount you are willing to lose,folks! No one believed Trump would win in 2016. Was one of the few who believed he would. Made 3K back then :)
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Don’t think so polls have stayed constant for the pass few days I think this polls is just a outlier
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But again we will have to wait and see I still think afd will get second not first but second seems fair
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know about that however i think this one can show that there is a shy voter affected on the afd however Weidel at 35 percent is too damn much. But other polls come out next week so wait for those as well
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It is also Germany as well
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True that but again highly doubt the afd will gain as much as that poll showed in my opinion okay
0
thares
3 months ago
50/50. So. 30% Rendite dann egal bei welchem Szenario. Mir jetzt Latte wie Hose ob 24% oder 26%.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But highly do mom
0
thares
3 months ago
50/50. So. 30% Rendite dann egal bei welchem Szenario. Mir jetzt Latte wie Hose ob 24% oder 26%.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It is Allenbatch verian and INSA shockingly
1
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what do think of the poll that showed a 27-25 for the cdu I want to know I think it’s just being overhyped I wait for other polls to come out later on
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But this one poll I have seen you post a lot of polls that clearly favors you and the party you support however I don’t think this poll going to be game changer in this race I think the cdu will still win this election there not enough time at all for afd to win
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey Billy should we worry about this poll or no not really
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Youth don’t vote that much cdu going to win base on the amount of voters that are old
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Youth of Germany will mostly vote AfD. Wave of change incoming
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
When they were done at the same time in polling wise
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tell me this how come INSA showed a way different result than this one did okay I want to know that why INSA this weekend had a different result
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Btw did even read the poll I did it’s odd polls like this from 28-30 when I compared it to the insa ones showed different result INSA was down by four to three and two to three for cdu but however cdu still very favored to win this election daavid2101 this one poll after all there a lot more incoming this next couple of days
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd not winning this election at all you literally thought the cdu lost ten percent of its voter base but also you afd fans will always post thing of numbers that are good for you but however the article felt very wrong and off like it talk about how Elon has a huge impact on this election which I finds as bullshit but whatevr
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also @mcpetrus what do you think about that poll that happen this week
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That polll it was down on 28-30 but honestly wait for other polls as that institution tends to be more conservative than others ones I wait for things like Verian,allenbatch and INSA instead that one that’s floating around afd fans right now
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fucking agree however I think this week polling data will show slight increase for afd but overall decrease for them later on
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nothing changed at all
0
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Today, 150.000 people in Berlin alone took to the streets in protest of the CDU‘s cooperation with the AfD,
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also to afd supported slice super unlikely to become chancellor but go ahead lose all your money
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude I still highly doubt it this week polls are important but also the fact is that new polls from INSA yesterday was very interesting I don’t see afd getting above 25 percent
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Of course I saw that poll today however I would wait until other polls come out as well
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To me 15-20 is underrated I think they could get to that within threee
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To me 15-20 is underrated I think they could get to that within threee
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But also thares why are you betting that cdu will have colitation with afd that’s like a huge no
0
thares
3 months ago
50/50. So. 30% Rendite dann egal bei welchem Szenario. Mir jetzt Latte wie Hose ob 24% oder 26%.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I actually doubt they will reach 25-30 percent et
0
thares
3 months ago
50/50. So. 30% Rendite dann egal bei welchem Szenario. Mir jetzt Latte wie Hose ob 24% oder 26%.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly I agree with you there’s about this as well
0
thares
3 months ago
50/50. So. 30% Rendite dann egal bei welchem Szenario. Mir jetzt Latte wie Hose ob 24% oder 26%.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True Alice very unlikely to become chancellor
0
jonnyhunt
3 months ago
After all the chaos on Friday during the vote on the law, you could see live that only the Afd showed attitude and the other parties just made a theater performance
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey go ahead lose all your money
0
jonnyhunt
3 months ago
After all the chaos on Friday during the vote on the law, you could see live that only the Afd showed attitude and the other parties just made a theater performance
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I doubt it Alice being chancellor is. None but he
0
jonnyhunt
3 months ago
After all the chaos on Friday during the vote on the law, you could see live that only the Afd showed attitude and the other parties just made a theater performance
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But also the margin of error was around two or three percent I still highly doubt they will achieve 25 percent again this poll was done on 28-30
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Not in polll the people afd market talking about on democracy institution about how the afd hit 25 percent but margin of error matters
0
Mantou11
3 months ago
Every single poll put SPD and AFD closer than CDU and AFD, still according to Polymarket it is more likely get close for the first place than for the second place. Either pollsters or bettors are wrong.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This was down on 28-30 not really a recent poll however
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wouldn’t get excited yet it’s only 25 the cdu still leads them over 27 but however still three weeks left and I think their better institution than this poll okay
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
High sound like very
0
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Landslide win for WEIDEL! She going to pull a TRUMP 2016 unexpected win. Screenshot this
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Oh okay so really didn’t matter last week wasn’t that important
0
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls didnt show landslide but just a very tight race
0
P-Detector
3 months ago
Merz lost more credibility than he won AfD-voters. The polls...yeah, its like "Harris will win in a landslide"
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
&toschdev dude Alice will not be chancellor afd way too isolate for her to become chancellor
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
USA politic way different from Germany
0
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Today, 150.000 people in Berlin alone took to the streets in protest of the CDU‘s cooperation with the AfD,
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Only one guy but a lot of Alice even her chance of her becoming chancellor is literally zero like deadass zero
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Period king
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
I am a Polymarket critic who trashes everything but never places a bet. I'm like a backseat driver who knows all the best routes but won't touch the steering wheel, spending my days commenting with the fervor of a sports commentator at a silent chess match. Who am I?
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Could this strength merz in the polls as well after what happened
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
An INSA poll from today says that one in five current AfD voters could still vote for the CDU because of Merz's actions last week. Given the AfD's 20-22% poll numbers, that would be around 4-5%. Recent events have also strengthened their positive opinion of Merz among CDU voters. 50% are now even more convinced to vote for him, only 6% are now doubtful and for the rest nothing has changed.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I literally post that how good of news is this for merz
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
An INSA poll from today says that one in five current AfD voters could still vote for the CDU because of Merz's actions last week. Given the AfD's 20-22% poll numbers, that would be around 4-5%. Recent events have also strengthened their positive opinion of Merz among CDU voters. 50% are now even more convinced to vote for him, only 6% are now doubtful and for the rest nothing has changed.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Why would he call cdu left wing party lnfao
0
gAmBlEr
3 months ago
AFD WILL WIN. ALL OF EUROPE IS WAKING UP TO THE SOCIETAL DAMAGE THAT LEFT WING PARTIES HAVE DONE THE CONTIENT. WHETHER YOU CAN ACCEPT THAT OR NOT, ITS UP TO YOU. DONT CRY OUT YOUR SOY TEARS ON ELECTION DAY
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice super overvalued tbh
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think that going to change much of anything
1
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Today, 150.000 people in Berlin alone took to the streets in protest of the CDU‘s cooperation with the AfD,
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I also highly doubt it as well tbh
0
gAmBlEr
3 months ago
AFD WILL WIN. ALL OF EUROPE IS WAKING UP TO THE SOCIETAL DAMAGE THAT LEFT WING PARTIES HAVE DONE THE CONTIENT. WHETHER YOU CAN ACCEPT THAT OR NOT, ITS UP TO YOU. DONT CRY OUT YOUR SOY TEARS ON ELECTION DAY
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
20% of AfD voters can now imagine voting for the CDU/CSU. 50% of Union voters are even more convinced, only 6% have doubts. 33% of AfD voters now have a better opinion of Friedrich Merz, as do 38% of CDU voters. Take the issues away from them and be credible. THAT is what makes the AfD superfluous, no cheap demonstrations. This is by blid Also mcpertus you should see this as well
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Read the post I posted down below okay
0
gAmBlEr
3 months ago
AFD WILL WIN. ALL OF EUROPE IS WAKING UP TO THE SOCIETAL DAMAGE THAT LEFT WING PARTIES HAVE DONE THE CONTIENT. WHETHER YOU CAN ACCEPT THAT OR NOT, ITS UP TO YOU. DONT CRY OUT YOUR SOY TEARS ON ELECTION DAY
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so I pretty sure merz is going to win this election even tho yall wanted afd to win but polls now aren’t showing that at all
0
Dutchland
3 months ago
@mombil how come you are so certain on 15-20% ?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang because polls showing some hope for cdu with merz as usual but your afd support
0
Dutchland
3 months ago
@mombil how come you are so certain on 15-20% ?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Period dude good for you
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD in a position to win majority
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because I see merz and cdu gaining more popularity than afd is gaining eighth now especially with afd voters according to insa
1
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD popularity is increasing dramatically
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Where the evidence and your sources in this claim
1
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD popularity is increasing dramatically
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude you making everyone in this market hate you
0
Dutchland
3 months ago
@mombil how come you are so certain on 15-20% ?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey quick question are from Germany
0
Dutchland
3 months ago
@mombil how come you are so certain on 15-20% ?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I thought you mean this Friday so polls this week are going to be in 30-35 for cdu
0
Dutchland
3 months ago
@mombil how come you are so certain on 15-20% ?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He me cister how are you doing
0
Mauz
3 months ago
Ugur pls fill @ 48c
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang you seem to do this a lot
0
Mauz
3 months ago
Ugur pls fill @ 48c
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Straight up
0
Mauz
3 months ago
Ugur pls fill @ 48c
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly when go to get off this market take like a three day braak
0
Mauz
3 months ago
Ugur pls fill @ 48c
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Me too bitch as well
0
IceT22
3 months ago
I've learned psychohistory from the finest mathematicians in all Trantor, and the model is clear: high ranking NSDAP officials are about to leave their secret Antartic bunker and announce their support to the AfD - winning the hearts and minds of the German people and totaling a whopping 34.8% for the AfD in the process. 'm 55 and I did all these studies. I assure you they are all very scientific. I knew what I was doing, because I was born into science. Every day of my life I have been living a life of science. Formulas and chemical equations zoom past my eyes when I close them. At night I dream of being an atom, zooming through the universe faster than the speed of light. After years of being in science. I know for a fact, that it has paid off. In raw data, I base my world, a world that is purely of science. For fifty years, I have trekked on the pathway of scientific discoveries, I am science not. And I do my experiments in a way that produces RESULTS. These are the results I got when I experimented with science. I spoke to science and it spoke back. And these are the results. I assure you.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn you don’t have to be that rude
0
Mauz
3 months ago
Ugur pls fill @ 48c
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree but merz seems to be most likely chancellor
1
Howyalldoin
3 months ago
The upcoming series of TV debates between Scholz and Merz promises to be a key moment in the lead-up to the election. On February 9, 2025, ARD and ZDF will air the first debate between the two. Following that, on February 16, RTL and ntv will host another debate, this time with the addition of Robert Habeck and Alice Weidel, which could lead to a four-person round. The next day, February 17, the four candidates will reunite on ARD for a live audience Q&A session. On February 19, a final one-on-one debate between Scholz and Merz will be broadcasted on Welt and Bild. The Round of Top Candidates will take place on February 20 on ARD and ZDF, bringing together the top candidates from all major parties, including Scholz, Merz, Habeck, and Weidel. Finally, on February 22, the Citizen Speed Dating debate on ProSieben and Sat.1 will feature the same four candidates answering questions from citizens. A debate for the smaller parties, featuring candidates from the FDP, CSU, Left, and BSW, is also planned for February 10, 2025.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah I’m right spd and cdu are very likely ugur I’m not stupid
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly merz going to be chancellor coalition will be spd and cdu together
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I love this for you honestly ugur is finally quiet
0
IceT22
3 months ago
I've learned psychohistory from the finest mathematicians in all Trantor, and the model is clear: high ranking NSDAP officials are about to leave their secret Antartic bunker and announce their support to the AfD - winning the hearts and minds of the German people and totaling a whopping 34.8% for the AfD in the process. 'm 55 and I did all these studies. I assure you they are all very scientific. I knew what I was doing, because I was born into science. Every day of my life I have been living a life of science. Formulas and chemical equations zoom past my eyes when I close them. At night I dream of being an atom, zooming through the universe faster than the speed of light. After years of being in science. I know for a fact, that it has paid off. In raw data, I base my world, a world that is purely of science. For fifty years, I have trekked on the pathway of scientific discoveries, I am science not. And I do my experiments in a way that produces RESULTS. These are the results I got when I experimented with science. I spoke to science and it spoke back. And these are the results. I assure you.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I expect it to be good for merz he seem to be at debating
1
Howyalldoin
3 months ago
The upcoming series of TV debates between Scholz and Merz promises to be a key moment in the lead-up to the election. On February 9, 2025, ARD and ZDF will air the first debate between the two. Following that, on February 16, RTL and ntv will host another debate, this time with the addition of Robert Habeck and Alice Weidel, which could lead to a four-person round. The next day, February 17, the four candidates will reunite on ARD for a live audience Q&A session. On February 19, a final one-on-one debate between Scholz and Merz will be broadcasted on Welt and Bild. The Round of Top Candidates will take place on February 20 on ARD and ZDF, bringing together the top candidates from all major parties, including Scholz, Merz, Habeck, and Weidel. Finally, on February 22, the Citizen Speed Dating debate on ProSieben and Sat.1 will feature the same four candidates answering questions from citizens. A debate for the smaller parties, featuring candidates from the FDP, CSU, Left, and BSW, is also planned for February 10, 2025.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly merz going to be chancellor coalition will be spd and cdu together
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market is sort fair beside spd being little under called however cdu and csu will win against afd and spd here my thoughts the protesters are more left wing a lot of them have never voted afd and also fdp most of them will migrate to cdu as well which bring my second point what merz did was smart because he will boost his number as well as spd with green party ultimately grand coalition is for certain so is merz being chancellor
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think the spd will win but cdu and csu will still win
1
0xdegendev
3 months ago
King Olaf habibi easy Money
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
These protest and green helping them will help spd numbers however I think cdu and csu will still win this election as many of merz voters are still loyal to cdu and csu more than that merkel is hated by a lot cdu and csu voters with his decision and a lot people thought it was the rigtt hit move so I think I love the optism but protest is very minir
1
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Full disclosure, I have a somewhat significant interest in an SPD win. Here is my reasoning: Last week, the CDU - Germany conservative party - which had previously been uncontested in preliminary polling, decided for the first time in Germany‘s history since 1945 to cooperate with an openly far-right party. The cooperation, aimed at passing stricter migration measures, triggered massive protests in over one hundred German cities. Even former chancellor Angela Merkel condemned the action (of her own party!). I believe that many traditional CDU voters (Conservative but in a truly Christian sense, ergo support for the poor, support for migrants…) will be appalled by this, which is why a significant share of this traditional voter pool will consider other parties. Greens will consolidate with SPD to try to preserve power. I reckon it will probably be a SPD-Greens coalition, possibly with Die Linken support. Keep in mind that approximately 40 percent of popular vote could be enough to establish a majority, CDU will in no way form a coalition with the AFD.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I hate to be this person It won’t hurt cdu and csu numbers as much you think it will the protester are more left wing than right wing the cdu will probably succeed in this election
1
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Full disclosure, I have a somewhat significant interest in an SPD win. Here is my reasoning: Last week, the CDU - Germany conservative party - which had previously been uncontested in preliminary polling, decided for the first time in Germany‘s history since 1945 to cooperate with an openly far-right party. The cooperation, aimed at passing stricter migration measures, triggered massive protests in over one hundred German cities. Even former chancellor Angela Merkel condemned the action (of her own party!). I believe that many traditional CDU voters (Conservative but in a truly Christian sense, ergo support for the poor, support for migrants…) will be appalled by this, which is why a significant share of this traditional voter pool will consider other parties. Greens will consolidate with SPD to try to preserve power. I reckon it will probably be a SPD-Greens coalition, possibly with Die Linken support. Keep in mind that approximately 40 percent of popular vote could be enough to establish a majority, CDU will in no way form a coalition with the AFD.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lernard do you live in Germany or no
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Easiest bet like it will be cdu and spd if spd gets in then them as well
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I like your betting bro lose it all lmfao
0
focused
3 months ago
the holders chat is nice, no more Antifa retards in the chat
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can stop with the shit talking and stuff
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Imagine seeing my first name, googling it's meaning and betting against me. lmao.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I dot t think at all like agains can you get off polymarket
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But however it’s just there not enough time to really change result that’s why cdu is very likely in my opinion
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu is easy money but second place will be super intresting
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but the afd is very unlikely
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu is easy money but second place will be super intresting
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey @mcpetrus do you have twitter or something I would love to talk to you even more
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They can but they very less likely but you have confirmation bias since your an afd supporter
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That won’t change much again you keep being very dismissive and stating o you know Germany so well I highly doubt that
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu is easy money but second place will be super intresting
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmao
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall this market has become so toxic because of someone who should not be named
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall this market has become so toxic because of someone who should not be named
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah I don’t think the spd will win but hey merz is definitely more likely to win than spd but they could get second over afd in my opinion
0
Howyalldoin
3 months ago
An SPD victory is unlikely but definitely undervalued. As the oldest party, the SPD has shown time and again its ability to make a comeback. Many Germans are uneasy about the AfD’s anti-foreigner rhetoric and Merz’s willingness to collaborate with them. While Scholz has a bad reputation, his calm under pressure, especially in not escalating tensions with Russia, has earned some silent gratitude. Amid fears of rising far-right extremism, the upcoming Scholz vs. Merz TV debate could be pivotal, especially as protests against the AfD and Merz grow. Given all this, anything under 5% for the SPD seems undervalued.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
A car crashed into a Christmas market did shit to the afd numebrs
0
northman
3 months ago
Leute haten on ugur aber homie wird diesen BIG BAG mit nachhause nehmen
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally why are sucking up to him
0
northman
3 months ago
Leute haten on ugur aber homie wird diesen BIG BAG mit nachhause nehmen
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He ignorant and arrogant he can seem to find a reason to stop with this big skewed of the market by him
0
northman
3 months ago
Leute haten on ugur aber homie wird diesen BIG BAG mit nachhause nehmen
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He can suck a divk for I care this market is not the same ever since he ignorant and arrogant ass got herr
0
Mauz
3 months ago
Wer hat eig @trolloftheswamp nach seiner meinung gefragt? 😭😭 kann den mal einer bannen
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He a huge afd supporter and ignorant and arrogant
0
victorianagepervert
3 months ago
Was fuer ein abscheuliches Deutsch hier geschrieben wird, Wahnsinn.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey Jacob what did think of what happened this week
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude your argument comes off dismissive and very arrogant and ignorant like why are you scared of being wrong
0
northman
3 months ago
Ugur wird diese nvidia stockholder & computer science majors im obdachlosenheim abloesen on god😭🙏
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also getting above 25 when they down by six or seven percent and or four seems almost hard to do like I said it’s almost impossible for afd win this election
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally like shut up his afd supporting ass
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market isn’t any fun anymore like super skewed not accurate at all
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Said one who causing chaos in this chat now
0
Mauz
3 months ago
@ugur please fill at 45c thanks
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wish you couldn’t find polymarket at all
0
vamnizar
3 months ago
honestly the comment section here is hilarious. wish you all the best for your crazy bet ugur :)
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wish he becoming super annoying this market used to be a lot more fun
0
vamnizar
3 months ago
honestly the comment section here is hilarious. wish you all the best for your crazy bet ugur :)
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude shut up your super arrogant and coming off as a asshole
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
See you arrogant asshole
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market is only skewed so bad because of you your arrogance and igorance like maybe stop buying for once
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s very unlikely their not enough time for them to gain massive polls last week stay constant likely stay constant this week as well
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Let him be stupid tbh afd is not gaining like he thinks like dumb alt right supporter he is
1
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude going to lose all his money lmfao
1
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You always skewed stuff your buying too much affecting this market it was better with out you luv
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey the afd market so screwed because of ugur
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude your super deolusional and arrogant and ignorant as well like this market only effected by your dumbass
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey are you from Germany by chance or no I want to know
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus do you think the protest or Merkel will destroy the cdu or no not really
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Sorry about the whale in afd chat is trying to get 20-25 under the 25-30 like he ruining the fun
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus do you think the protest or Merkel will destroy the cdu or no not really
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like this market was fine before ugur came along this market feels like his bitch now
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly this so embarrassing like one guy who like almost levitegn changing this market so much like it’s crazy but that’s stupid
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
like straight up facts
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly this so embarrassing like one guy who like almost levitegn changing this market so much like it’s crazy but that’s stupid
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He also a afd fan so wouldn’t worry about it merz going to win this election
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Protester wouldn’t do much to the cdu but also their offices and official being harass but the cdu trying to get away from merkel which won’t do the much harm to cdu or make them lose this election i highly doubt last week would destory the cdu
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus do you think the protest or Merkel will destroy the cdu or no not really
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You assuming things about voter trends but they not easy to predicted at all cdu has very loyal base more than their vparty members do so don’t expect polls again first insa poll showed this 30-22 which showed that cdu didn’t lose that much support
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They haven’t lost party members tho that’s not what I’ve seen from German media cdu won’t lose ten percent in polls they actually might gain from spd and Green Party as well but also you think afd will be in next government lmfao
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude highly doubt anything will change cdu will probably gain from this your a afd supporter most people who protesting are more left leaning than the others ones are
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I know but most of those people are more left leaning and will be voting for Green Party anyways the cdu is going to win this election there not enough time for afd to change that
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so the protester against the cdu are mostly leftist or most of them haven’t vote cdu before anyways so no but also bud this actually good for cdu the protest rather than hurting them tbh afd will not be involved at all i. This government
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What do you mean they lost 10 percent of their members polls show constant right now they didn’t lose ten percent of their party members fact is they only lost around six percent but highly doubt they lost that many tbh
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Go kill yourself
1
dog3
3 months ago
people clueless betting on afd hahah
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey Hans what about people on afd market betting on 25-30 percent for afd
0
dog3
3 months ago
people clueless betting on afd hahah
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Straight up people in the afd market trying to say afd could get over 25-30 percent in like no not really
1
bfip
3 months ago
free money
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey oxymirin I see you on discord but yeah I agree he could it’s unlikely Alice is a for sure no
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay tbh merz super favored for chancellor no else on here could become it not Alice at all
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
34 percent for 25 and over too high but polymarket is full of alt right fan boys of the afd tbh
1
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls don’t even suggest such a rise in the afd
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally cdu Just gain one point back and the afd just stay at a constant 21 percent
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls don’t even suggest such a rise in the afd
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls don’t even suggest such a rise in the afd
2
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh they just gain one back cdu did
0
keribit
3 months ago
It's a pleasure being your counterparty @Porternemertine , if you would like to increase your position just comment and I'm sure we'll all be happy to add more liquidity for you
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This was fun but cdu and csu just gain one point back in polls tbh
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bets on stupid stuff it seem to me
0
LeslieChow
3 months ago
I might be a brokie but im not stupid, THIS MARKET IS ONLY GETTING STARTED !!! YEEEE AHHHHH
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Get the bag king
1
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Some interesting market movements this morning... I thought I'd be paying 90%+ for CDU yes and AFD no but not complaining
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang you two are fighting like crazy
0
Malllory
3 months ago
BussyBraindead busy larping about 10k P/L as his P/L dips below $10k 💀 the absolute state of this moron bro hahahaha
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know but this election clearly favors the cdu and csu I don’t see way whwrrr afd can win
0
AgricultureSecretary
3 months ago
Did some guy just wake up and decide to whale AfD?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s what I want to know because where we were earlier was fine and decently accurate to how this election will go
0
AgricultureSecretary
3 months ago
Did some guy just wake up and decide to whale AfD?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Who knew one account to destory this market who is clearly wrong by a lot
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You can thank a whale for that tbh
0
n/a
3 months ago
Can't load up qs cheaply anymore :(
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This not realistic at all afd has only threee chance to win Germany but cdu and csu has like a 97 or more to win
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Let's flip this shit to be more realistic.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not it’s just stupid being stupid
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
ITS A FLIP
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay this whale is really pissing me off like why are you spending so much on afd they not going win not even a chance
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s like that one guy who buys a lot for 25-30 and overprice the fuck of it like right now
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The market manipulation here is astounding. AfD went from 8 to 18% and back down to 10% within 5 minutes. Is this one person pumping tens of thousands of dollars into this? And what is the motive behind it?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know I have paying attention to German politics and cdu got in to controversy about wine event from Green Party but it died down already
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The market manipulation here is astounding. AfD went from 8 to 18% and back down to 10% within 5 minutes. Is this one person pumping tens of thousands of dollars into this? And what is the motive behind it?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey you knew what I shocked about cdu actually gained after this whole shitshow I’m stunned Merz isn’t changing his way at all staying in place of what he believes in
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The market manipulation here is astounding. AfD went from 8 to 18% and back down to 10% within 5 minutes. Is this one person pumping tens of thousands of dollars into this? And what is the motive behind it?
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Being an alt right fan boy
1
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The market manipulation here is astounding. AfD went from 8 to 18% and back down to 10% within 5 minutes. Is this one person pumping tens of thousands of dollars into this? And what is the motive behind it?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh 25-30 is overhauled by a lot but I know most of it is alt right fan boys
2
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
0eriod king this whale fucked up this mariet
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
Fill me at 81 afd whale
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market too funny none of polls even support what this market shows but hey whale keep wasting your money be my guest alt right fan boy
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I do think cdu will win this election this market is crazy but cdu will go back up to 90 in a moment sokn
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
The youth vote AfD because their future is at stake!
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s so funny that ine person turn this market into complete chaos
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market only getting affected by one person that caused the cdu lose six percent now the whale for cdu have to show up
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s okay market is now fixed
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market only getting affected by one person that caused the cdu lose six percent now the whale for cdu have to show up
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market only getting affected by one person that caused the cdu lose six percent now the whale for cdu have to show up
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll came out showed the same with one percent increase for cdu none for afd it’s almost like last week didn’t impact shit for this election in my opinion
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
https://youtu.be/KrwSDX95wCs
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay tbh merz super favored for chancellor no else on here could become it not Alice at all
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
never underestimate german's proclivity for voting CDU
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You should start buying. More no for add
1
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
never underestimate german's proclivity for voting CDU
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Aka Porternemertine
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I like how this market only bug affected by one guy give in it couple days cdu will go up after this
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I like how this market only bug affected by one guy give in it couple days cdu will go up after this
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Wow one guy changes this market causing the cdu lose to lose two points by his big purchase of nos and yes for the afd alt right fan boys go crazy
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Period king you going to get the bag soon
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
never underestimate german's proclivity for voting CDU
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m going to be honest here by saying we will be getting a spd and cdu government with some help from the Green Party as well
0
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd like trump lmfao I don’t think most Germans care about this vote at all tbh merz still super likely to become chancellor
0
Paulgk
3 months ago
Only 6 points gap between Afd and Cdu, with the immigration Cdu disgrace it will be an easy win for Afd. The recent CDU vote against the immigration law proves to Germans that only Afd can oppose mass immigration. AFD is like Trump in the US
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s not the case here with the cdu and cdu failed bill they don’t care either way cdu and csu still very likely to win merz is going to become chancellor
0
Paulgk
3 months ago
The party with more votes has the prime minister. Afd will have the prime minister in a government with CDU as they opened to an alliance with Afd on immigration
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt it they have a eight point gsp according to recent poll by insa and also cdu and csu thing doesn’t really matter nor did the whole wine party as welll give it two days and they will forget about it
0
Paulgk
3 months ago
Only 6 points gap Afd to Cdu, with Elon Musk financing all the media to support Afd and the immigration CDU disaster it will be an easy win for Afd
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I kinda doubt it after all union seem to be doing well I don’t think a lot of union voters going away because of yesterday event at all most of them supported watt the union did post
0
Conall
3 months ago
think afd will win
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I hate to. Break it to you but cdu and spd very lokrku m
0
Daavid2101
3 months ago
SPD gaining, oh now. Will move to Switzerland or Dubai if we get CDU x SPD
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice surged by omen point
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu super favored to win this election tbh
0
MELANIA
3 months ago
I asked my husband for advice on this market..and even though he strongly supports AfD only he said, unfortunately they won't get above 24,6% 😥
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I mean it’s true tho even with controversy like armin going on won’t do much to afd numbers
0
MELANIA
3 months ago
I asked my husband for advice on this market..and even though he strongly supports AfD only he said, unfortunately they won't get above 24,6% 😥
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also yesterday event and this week event will be forgotten about in about three or four days
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh I hope all yall doing well afd is going to win second place with the cdu and csu winning first but I’m most likely right
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cool bitch I love that for you
0
IceT22
3 months ago
Crazy how one autist double down on commenting about 20-25 percent then tries to tell us that he lives his life according to polls doesn’t show that at all but chances for him to be over 18yo are slim to none but 90-95 he's never had sex and 80-85 he's a basement dweller seems a lot more reasonable than 6-9 his mom
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bitch I talk to afd voters a lot of them are very igonarant but that’s beside that
0
IceT22
3 months ago
Crazy how one autist double down on commenting about 20-25 percent then tries to tell us that he lives his life according to polls doesn’t show that at all but chances for him to be over 18yo are slim to none but 90-95 he's never had sex and 80-85 he's a basement dweller seems a lot more reasonable than 6-9 his mom
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay so tbh 25-30 still very unlikely remember when car ran into a market still did shit to afd numbers so I expect the same with this event as well so agains 25-30 has zero chance none at all
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yes however cdu was very united behind merz issue so their voters were as well so 25-30 is still very unlikely
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Straight up what’s not clicking for these people
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not likely dude ai can’t predict as much as other can I predict they will go up slightly then fall down again
0
Siggi9933
3 months ago
I asked Grok what the likelihood is that the AfD will achieve 25% or more of the votes, and Grok estimates this probability at about 60%. So we are very cheap now.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bitch I gotten more bitches than in your life time
0
IceT22
3 months ago
Crazy how one autist double down on commenting about 20-25 percent then tries to tell us that he lives his life according to polls doesn’t show that at all but chances for him to be over 18yo are slim to none but 90-95 he's never had sex and 80-85 he's a basement dweller seems a lot more reasonable than 6-9 his mom
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You used Elon ai dude it’s not likely at all tbh
1
Siggi9933
3 months ago
I asked Grok what the likelihood is that the AfD will achieve 25% or more of the votes, and Grok estimates this probability at about 60%. So we are very cheap now.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Crazy how one person double down on them getting 25-30 percent then tries to tell us that this poll doesn’t show that at all but chances for 25-30 is slim to none but 20-25 and 15-20 seems a lot more reasonable than 25-30
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I also think you overestimate afd ability gain voters but go ahead lose 400k be my guess
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd does have momentum but not that much as we think they would car crashed in Christmas market didn’t change their numbers I doubt this will as well
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because this situation is way different also weren’t defending afd before this when merz announced it so at least stay true to your beliefs however I don’t think this failed bill will change the numbers that much
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so I’m think the current mood won’t change that much honestly they did months before still only lost by one percent they probably won’t lose that much this yime
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Thank you Fuentes I called ice
0
dog3
3 months ago
make sure to report @Trolloftheswamp . he spams and does not even bet.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The poll stay the same in my opinion but cdu increase by one
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He right but also they very likely to not hit 25-30 in my opinion today will not benefit them at all
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can I get some
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
Chance of 25-30% happening is like 10% max 15%, but still possible.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Ah you think I’m a bot I love it thank you
0
dog3
3 months ago
make sure to report @Trolloftheswamp . he spams and does not even bet.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Period king get the bag
0
0xLehman
3 months ago
Looking to fill a large position on "yes" on AfD. Feel free to dm me if you're looking to take the other side with size.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think should be higher 25-30 should be a lot lower
1
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It was called market wolves
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Does anyone has delta child discord because left it by accident want to rejoin it
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Does anyone has delta child discord because left it by accident want to rejoin it
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also do worry Germany poltics are so fun
0
dog3
3 months ago
make sure to report @Trolloftheswamp . he spams and does not even bet.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Man how Germany going make
0
dog3
3 months ago
make sure to report @Trolloftheswamp . he spams and does not even bet.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Here insa poll which was 30-22 there no chance they can surge over 25-30 no offense
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But very unlikely I predict max 25 for afd but not more than that but cdu will get not less than 27
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
Chance of 25-30% happening is like 10% max 15%, but still possible.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think not likely at all they would need terror attack for that to happened tbh
0
Exeggut
3 months ago
Chance of 25-30% happening is like 10% max 15%, but still possible.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think it won’t be that close meaning I think max afd will get is 23 but cdu will win this election as merz now gaining voters armin was super indecisive and was awful cdu candidate
1
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD is the solution
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But to people who like remember armin sitatution I’m like yeah this is different in my opinion I don’t expect cdu drop by a lot than others
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD is the solution
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nah trolling is better
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD is the solution
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I bet it will be spd and cdu and csu government like market said they would work with cdu
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
This market is more interesting because the deadline is until the end of the year and not June 30th. They are guaranteed to complete any of the options rather than spend a year without a proper government. If it's enough for the CDU and FDP, they will definitely do it. The problem is that 99% of the time it won't be enough. The CDU would have to achieve at least 35% and the FDP 5% but even then it would still be tight.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Of all the candidates merz clearly the favored honestly
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt after that insa poll that afd will win is hard to overcome eight point a even if the migration bill failed
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD is the solution
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s mostly ugur who changing this market with how much he buys all the time but hey polls kinda showing small increase if that even when Wednesday stuff pass polls were constant
0
GodfreyofBouillon
3 months ago
25%+ seems a little steep. Effectively, Germany would need a 2015-style Paris attack before FEB 23 for that to happen.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 30-35 is most favored for this election
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fully fucking agree like 25 is not likely at all tbh this are alt right fans
0
GodfreyofBouillon
3 months ago
25%+ seems a little steep. Effectively, Germany would need a 2015-style Paris attack before FEB 23 for that to happen.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will likely drop by the end of election campaign honestly
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Merz is the only one who has a realistic chance but it is lower than it was a few days ago. Many are wondering how he plans to form a coalition. And the market only runs until June 30th. Chance definitely significantly lower than 90%.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree with you but I expect him to form a colitation in the coming days
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Merz is the only one who has a realistic chance but it is lower than it was a few days ago. Many are wondering how he plans to form a coalition. And the market only runs until June 30th. Chance definitely significantly lower than 90%.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh all of you guys buying 25-:0’aare asking to lose money
0
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey thank you also quick question how do you know environment of Europe so well in Germany and poltics in general
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
@swamp: There won't be any major changes. The CDU voters are almost all “closed-knit” people who think Merz’s way is right. They will not fall lower than 28%. Everything is open up to around 35%. I already wrote to you yesterday that I rate the CDU at 32 and the AfD at just under 20.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey thank you wow you know a lot about German politics
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall the poll are now staying the same while this failed bill gave afd a little bit of a boost it didn’t give them the boost they needed according to the insa post and poll which means it’s likely cdu will stay stable and afd gain a little bit before staying stable again but 20-25 for afd seems very reasonable for this election and 30-35 for cdu and csu will seem reasonable as well
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So true like it’s not likely at all tbh it’s just one guy keeps buying it so that’s why it’s so high
0
InvestKoest
3 months ago
25-30% is very overvalued. Sell that now.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall the poll are now staying the same while this failed bill gave afd a little bit of a boost it didn’t give them the boost they needed according to the insa post and poll which means it’s likely cdu will stay stable and afd gain a little bit before staying stable again but 20-25 for afd seems very reasonable for this election and 30-35 for cdu and csu will seem reasonable as well
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly grand colitation is the right one I don’t think others will happened
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Billy is right also polls this week and probably last week have stay constant I expect the same again for next three weeks until the election happens
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t plus 50 pecejt more like 30-35 percent but not fifty at all
0
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The problem is in polls right now INSA shows only 30-22 cdu gained in that poll which means they will likely win that election ifs hard to overcome a 8 point difference
0
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Failing today why did you said it won’t have major impact on really anything I. Germany this election I want to know like really knowing
0
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I mean the bill fails
0
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup I was right afd only going to gain a little bit from this but not enough to become at 25-30 percent according to today insa poll more polls come out tomorrow as well
2
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey I have question. Why did you said what happened on Friday doesn’t really impact that many voters in Germany
0
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay so Monday it will showed but INSA polls showed no change at all
0
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but hey this was still win for merz and afd not so much because I want your opinion Billy will afd cross over 25 percent or no
0
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Grand colitation is certain for this election in my opinion afd will only gain a little bit but not by much
0
AngeloMerte
3 months ago
Hello everyone, I have analyzed the positions of the individual holders and noticed an inconsistency with @raps. In the "TopHolders" and in his profile it says that he holds over 500,000 YES shares for Merz. In his profile these are even shown with an average price of 0.16. However, there are no purchases of this size or at this price in either his profile or in the ActivityLog. Why is it that he is still shown with 500,000+ shares?
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will get the insa poll today showed that cdu staying stable but afd going gain ground only slightly but won’t go over 25 percent in my opinion
0
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Grand colitation is certainly for Germany this year merz going to be chancellor like hardcore Alice is a lost so is Olaf but merz so likely to be chancellor
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I do too but I feel like he betting wrong tbh 30-22 on INSA today showed usa that afd gain one point but still too behind the cdu both are going to gain ground while spf and greens will keep losing ground
0
Zorroh
3 months ago
I have full respect for Ugur who places true bet and is a true believer. That's a much appreciated change compared to this annoying liquidity bots that are everywhere on German election markets.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
If afd took away their extremist views then cdu would totally worked with them
0
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt it new insa poll shows 30-22 for cdu
0
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also tbh new insa poll came out today it’s bad for afd no change after this shitshow 30-22 but union did gain one point back so i was right that this event actually benefited the union over afd
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You’re right it did the union was increasing like thought after this shit show so their that
0
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They literally are afd is favored to win 2029 election tho
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
I love taking money from far righters. Sorry Germany is going to be a arabic majority nation sweetie. Too bad too sadl dont care. Thanks for the 10%
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree that’s why I said cdu and cdu going to win because of all of this pensionser and legacy media which has shown spd and cdu in good lighting
0
dog3
3 months ago
only non germans think afd will get more than 25%
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To say Elon is normalizing afd is laughable but you and ugur are free to waste all your money on 25-30 which I highly doubt afd will win this elections yesterday event went for a decent win for merz in my opinionn
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also you don’t understand but America going far right is going to scary people into not voting for afd as well tbh that’s saving grace
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly afd is only strong because of Merkel and her dumbass policy
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude your at right fan Boy dude there no path where afd will get over 25 percent maybe big one 23 that’s the max
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nothing going to change in three weeks in polls either don’t expected afd win 25-30 percent at alo
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Voting afd in Germany a lot people even after this shit show still won’t because of stigma behind. Nazisim
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think it’s native said what’s going to make them win was yesterday shitshow even my German friends said everyone knew that bill was going to fail but merz had right thing mind but she said afd won’t gain that much from what happened yesterday in her opinion your just idiot
0
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bruh Elon has bad reputation in Germany only one who likes him are afd fans like you and ugur
1
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The German country is fine in my opinion
0
dog3
3 months ago
only non germans think afd will get more than 25%
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What are you German hans
0
dog3
3 months ago
only non germans think afd will get more than 25%
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus why does this market feel not accurate to how the election is going to play out in my opinion
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You are just so igonarant where you but aren’t you bitch
0
kekkone
3 months ago
ugur bu bir shitcoin degil
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree but there a lot of alt right people buying into afd right now tbh
0
Neil.McCauley
3 months ago
"Wo aber Gefahr ist, wachst das Rettende auch"
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but it’s just o my god this market is only way it is because of him
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can we just ban ugur honestly he making this market so lame and unpredictable with how much he buys stuff
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can we just ban ugur honestly he making this market so lame and unpredictable with how much he buys stuff
0
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m not going to lie 30-35 is so undervalued I think it’s more likely but 25-30 also very fair as well
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Is it so you can have cheaper bets so you can buy more smart tbh
0
Mylo
3 months ago
please push 25-30% even higher
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus do have like instagram or a discord by chance
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally it’s that guy with 363 shares in 25/30
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
You can See in Chart someone tries to manipulate the Market.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like yesterday won’t change much in the polls trust me cdu and csu still very favored to win the election
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus what do you think about 25-30 is it overvalued or no
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
For real I think he just a afd fan boy
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
good morning chads. One of the biggest BTC advocates also speaking out in favor of the AfD and interviewing Weidel today. Enjoy your weekends https://x.com/marcfriedrich7/status/1885498969205162463
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus what do you think about 25-30 is it overvalued or no
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Only reason 25-30 is so high because someone who afd fan keeps buying it like it’s candy Even though their not a lot of evidence to show that afd will win this election even if that bill failed yesterday
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang yall just trying to lose money lmfao
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
good morning chads. One of the biggest BTC advocates also speaking out in favor of the AfD and interviewing Weidel today. Enjoy your weekends https://x.com/marcfriedrich7/status/1885498969205162463
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Think that going to change much this election but go head lose all your money be my guest
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
good morning chads. One of the biggest BTC advocates also speaking out in favor of the AfD and interviewing Weidel today. Enjoy your weekends https://x.com/marcfriedrich7/status/1885498969205162463
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m going to be honest I don’t Gino
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
good morning chads. One of the biggest BTC advocates also speaking out in favor of the AfD and interviewing Weidel today. Enjoy your weekends https://x.com/marcfriedrich7/status/1885498969205162463
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so honestly
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
I love taking money from far righters. Sorry Germany is going to be a arabic majority nation sweetie. Too bad too sadl dont care. Thanks for the 10%
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree I hate afd but yesterday benefits merz as well in like one week afd but two to three weeks merz for sure
0
Foxmeme
3 months ago
#fckafd
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree the union so likely to win this election far right stop this it’s embarrassing
0
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
I love taking money from far righters. Sorry Germany is going to be a arabic majority nation sweetie. Too bad too sadl dont care. Thanks for the 10%
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It depends but it will most likely be this 32-19-18-13 cdu and csu being in favored
1
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
If there any fair poll it must show AfD at 26% at least.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Man fuck you
0
Zorroh
3 months ago
God bless America
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup but I doubt yesterday willl have huge effect on afd numbers
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
If there any fair poll it must show AfD at 26% at least.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
30
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
20-25 is overcharged but also 30-35 is undervalued by a lot I think union will get above 39
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
20-25 is overcharged but also 30-35 is undervalued by a lot I think union will get above 39
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus is alright over 30 percent for 25 and more is very overhauled I highly doubt afd will gain. Big after what happened yesterday
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so but go head lose all your money tbh
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So we will see next week however I highly doubt that afd will get above 25-30 maybe max 27 but most lost voters will go to spd or Green Party instead for the cdu
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The afd gain that much from yesterday like not all if that pollls might show something merz might actually grew as leader respect for that from me
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
If there any fair poll it must show AfD at 26% at least.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t to now highly doubt
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
If there any fair poll it must show AfD at 26% at least.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
No problem let people be stupid in this chat about 25-39 percent
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey to yall betting over 30 and 25-30 are trying to lose money lmfao
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Are you slow Merkel opposing merz is good thing not bad thing I think this week good for afd but also for cdu and csu as well
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what’s your election prediction after this shit show in your opinion
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Money
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey to yall betting over 30 and 25-30 are trying to lose money lmfao
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m just saying hey like you guys wasting your me
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey to yall betting over 30 and 25-30 are trying to lose money lmfao
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay melania we love you husband tbh union will still likely win this election
0
MELANIA
3 months ago
Hi, loves! 💖 If you adore my amazing husband, Donald Trump, as much as I do, I’d be so grateful for a little tip to help me create a special surprise for him as he starts his second term. Even the tiniest amount means so much to me, and I’ll include every donor in my nightly prayers. 🥰💋
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think that will happened spoon actually think what happened yesterday won’t change much about this election
0
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
If there any fair poll it must show AfD at 26% at least.
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After yesterday it might changed but honestly not really since afd will likely not gain that much in polls
0
SpecialBettingOperation
3 months ago
Latest reliable pol (INSA 30.01) putting SPD at 17% and AFD at 22%. This is way underpriced.
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After what gain
0
SpecialBettingOperation
3 months ago
Latest reliable pol (INSA 30.01) putting SPD at 17% and AFD at 22%. This is way underpriced.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so u have German friends they said people are scared of the afd
0
WhyC
3 months ago
A new forecast from Verian says 20%, last election they predicted 11%, the result was 10.3%. 15-20% is undervalued and 25-30% overvalued, but a lot can happen until the election.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I see some people who are but merz is good for this taking action for first time for the cdu
0
Andy-Beshear
3 months ago
People are generally tired of the uncertainty and I think the CDU provides that stability forward.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey to yall betting over 30 and 25-30 are trying to lose money lmfao
1
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also an attack like that happening is not likely at all to me I agree with mcpretrus that very likely that cdu and csu will win this election
0
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After this chancellor merz will be likely or not but spd and grunes will forgive cdu after the election
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
State media is super strong but attack on merz are going to help him so will the springer press as well but some of media I’ve been seen state media seems to praise him for his move as well
0
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But Germans a lot more aware that afd is not safe on this issue
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I have German friend she told me everyone in German knew this bill was going to died but fact merz stuck with she said helps his party rather hurts it she also said Merkel hating him will boost his numbers as well
0
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude stabbing all over England but they don’t give a fuck same with Germany only if migrant do they care otherwise nopr
0
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt that will happen in three weeks tbh merz aboutbgain some voters who Leary to vote afd
0
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus hey what thoughts on today events in your opinions
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still don’t I don’t think this is going to screw then that much
0
Andy-Beshear
3 months ago
People are generally tired of the uncertainty and I think the CDU provides that stability forward.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey thank you so much I have question is Merz actually doing good job as cdu candidate or nk
0
mcpetrus
3 months ago
33% possibility for 25% or more is crazy lol. 0% Chance for that.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The afd could but think what merz did will help gain voters back to cdu as well because of all this tbh afd very unlikely to get over 25 percent in my opinion now
0
Andy-Beshear
3 months ago
People are generally tired of the uncertainty and I think the CDU provides that stability forward.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey do you think about Merkel opposing. Merz in this election as well
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what’s your election prediction after this shit show in your opinion
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey thank you calming me down a lot people on here said today event killed cdu support like it did in 2021 with guy laughing at the flooded village
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what’s your election prediction after this shit show in your opinion
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey but cdu this time took migration serious which helps them wins some voters who don’t want to commit to agd
0
Andy-Beshear
3 months ago
People are generally tired of the uncertainty and I think the CDU provides that stability forward.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So your saying that cdu will still win this election
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So we will see next week however I highly doubt that afd will get above 25-30 maybe max 27 but most lost voters will go to spd or Green Party instead for the cdu
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I disagree I think cdu will win but barely
0
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what’s your election prediction after this shit show in your opinion
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I need answer okay I’m piss off that this failed okay
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So we will see next week however I highly doubt that afd will get above 25-30 maybe max 27 but most lost voters will go to spd or Green Party instead for the cdu
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So you still think cdu will win the election and afd will get second
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So we will see next week however I highly doubt that afd will get above 25-30 maybe max 27 but most lost voters will go to spd or Green Party instead for the cdu
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Me too they are a good party
0
Andy-Beshear
3 months ago
People are generally tired of the uncertainty and I think the CDU provides that stability forward.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Agree with you
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
most favored for this election in my opinoin is 20-25 or 15-20 max 25 tho
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fully fucking she
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
most favored for this election in my opinoin is 20-25 or 15-20 max 25 tho
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I disagree most I think will stick with merz and cdu as showed they cared about the migration isssue a lot recently
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Your so right good for you
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I actually think this week was victory for merz as showed undecided voters who doesn’t want vote afd that cdu is taking it serious with migration and them and fdp are serious about this issue
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So we will see next week however I highly doubt that afd will get above 25-30 maybe max 27 but most lost voters will go to spd or Green Party instead for the cdu
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly today showed me that left hates Germany but cdu and afd cares about Germany merz dis the best he could but lot the gamble however I think cdu will barely win this election
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I disagree I don’t think cdu will fall under but cdu voters will never vote for afd now cdu actually united for the first as all but 12 vote for it which shows merz strength
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree cdu will likely win this election Alice will not be chancellor but afd and cdu could and might be a colitation after this
0
Manow
3 months ago
jebac afd
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so but cdu is still decently likely to win this election
0
Jess041
3 months ago
It seems global western politics is shifting right this year. EZ money
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree merz did great tho cdu will definitely be in involve this government however
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice is a instant lost tbh
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think afd will not be in but spd and cdu will for sure
0
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmao I think it’s easy on cdu with afd very close second
0
Agent005
3 months ago
Easy Money for Olaf Abiiiii
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know but hope cdu will make it. This though this just sucks also to people celebrating honestly I doubt afd will gain abosoukte majority but cdu will likely win this election
0
Zorroh
3 months ago
God bless America
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think your right that they could get around 25-30 I think cdu and csu will stay stable for a while
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I disagree I think it be around 22-27 but cdu will win this election
0
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice is a instant lost tbh
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
One guy is just carrying the 25-30 if he didn’t exist 20-25 is so likely
0
Zorroh
3 months ago
God bless America
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 20-25 is more favorsd
0
Zorroh
3 months ago
God bless America
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think the party will likely replace him by end week next
1
n/a
3 months ago
Merz tried to profile himself on afd issues, but instead proved he cannot deliver on them
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Thanks I do think someone from union will be chancellor tho
0
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Merz really fucked himself today, the polls on Sunday will show a considerable decline in support.
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still think merz is favored but barely afd will be very close second hey voters know afd and union means business tho
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merkel is dumb bitch for killing this legislation today fdp is a dead party cdu will win barely and afd will be a very close second Olaf shouldn’t have killed or greens its was only counter to the afd
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I hate Merkel for that as well but almost his party was for him
1
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Merz really fucked himself today, the polls on Sunday will show a considerable decline in support.
Next Chancellor of Germany?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True I think they might Alice not likely at all
0
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Merz really fucked himself today, the polls on Sunday will show a considerable decline in support.
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It was showed voters he cared however afd will slight to me max 24 for this while cdu will be constant 30-31 percent
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I actually think this week was victory for merz as showed undecided voters who doesn’t want vote afd that cdu is taking it serious with migration and them and fdp are serious about this issue
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He had his whole party who vote for it
0
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang I want to scream this showed merz strong but still failed due to green and spd wanting to implode on each other
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merkel is dumb bitch for killing this legislation today fdp is a dead party cdu will win barely and afd will be a very close second Olaf shouldn’t have killed or greens its was only counter to the afd
1
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude number for me will stay cdu and csu but afd will be close number two
0
Nudelholzninja
3 months ago
I will buy everything under 4 by next Friday if the forecasts have made it clear how people evaluate Merz's failure.
Which coalition will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Fdp is dead after this fucking bullshit week fuck you fdp you messed up
2
AfD % of vote in German Election?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The cdu and csu