#33
Rank
2674
Comments
468
Likes Received
1918
Likes Given
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They will form in 100 days pretty fast too like talks are tomorrow again they will
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It could hurt this guy like doing with the other far right now
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This reminds me of the 15-20 and 25-30 and 20-25 when we saw
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Afd gain because of a terror attack but then lost again however it still unlnown when comes again with unpredictability of the
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This reminds me of the 15-20 and 25-30 and 20-25 when we saw
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This reminds me of the 15-20 and 25-30 and 20-25 when we saw
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I know they keep voting for the people who will screw them over or it will be like Poland all over but polymarket full of the alt right look at Germany election people really thought afd had chance lol
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
man there a lot of alt right supporters for this poland guy lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
man there a lot of alt right supporters for this poland guy lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It won’t make that difficult because green has made not only the cdu pissed off but also the spd as well
Hasemann
2 months ago
The new coalition might not get the play money they wanted after the Greens said No today, which would make the negotiations more difficult.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Austria was different again we don’t let’s wait and dre
Axiswest
2 months ago
Yeah look austria it will take more than 100
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
there huge amount of conflict between the spd and cdu right now it's kinda ugly
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
After today it will happen
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally the bsw won’t make it in end of story won’t you agree with me mcpetrus
mcpetrus
2 months ago
They want to form a government more quickly than originally planned. They are both of the opinion that things have to go faster because of developments with Ukraine/Trump.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think it will due to trump behavior affecting cdu and spd they will put their differences aside work to finish strengthen Europe as a while
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They will form it again the spd are ignorant not ducking dumb they will agree to the cdu terms in my opinion if they don’t prepare for a minority government
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True I agree now right members have concerned or four said right now they won’t vote for merz but it will all died down after next week when they meet again in my opinion
Sub0
2 months ago
Its the last chance for the SPD, if they disagree they are below 10%. The wanted to boykott the first meeting because the CDU wants to audit the support of all NGOs - but the meeting took less than 24h later place.😂
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Let’s be honest it won’t form in 100 days maybe but it will be like 2017 coalition talks in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The netting according to reports went well as well cdu seems confident tho
Sub0
2 months ago
Its the last chance for the SPD, if they disagree they are below 10%. The wanted to boykott the first meeting because the CDU wants to audit the support of all NGOs - but the meeting took less than 24h later place.😂
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But they formed it fast to counter attack what’s going on with Ukraine and Russia
thares
2 months ago
https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/1280469/umfrage/dauer-der-regierungsbildung-nach-einer-bundestagswahl/ Last SPD-CDU coalition was in 2017 btw. You can expect this to take 70-140 days.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will take a olinv time but reason I expect it to form is due to Ukraine
thares
2 months ago
https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/1280469/umfrage/dauer-der-regierungsbildung-nach-einer-bundestagswahl/ Last SPD-CDU coalition was in 2017 btw. You can expect this to take 70-140 days.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
After what we saw today I have no doubt we will have a coalition in coming days because of Ukraine and trump security of Europe as well that’s why I agree it will happen
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
i think it will happen again this won't take that long in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
after what trump pulled today a coalition will form in next 100 days after the bullshit
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
the nos super overvauled only because of the afd fans mad that they lost and can't accpet merz won't worked with them
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
More talks on march sixth
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Keeping yall update and the coalition of the spd and cdu are going well and doing great spd is mad at one person right now
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Reports in Germany has said that the talks have gone very well for the spd and cdu it’s seem that they will form coalition by easter
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They coalition talks have seem to go very well right now according to report
OneT
2 months ago
Now it's likely that it will take less than 100 days due to SPD and CDU being able to coalition just by themselves.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over the spd and cdu seem to be on pace with each other right now one member tho is annoying a lot them
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They are actually going crazy the bsw about the errors and everything saying. That we would’ve gotten in they so delusional I can’t with the bsw they should just concede instead of being stupid right now
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t think merz would want to work with the afd at the end of the day they are too radical for him he like a centrist republican
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Like it won’t change shit get off the super glue
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Now bsw is doubling down on election fraud claims and saying there are irregularities
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Now bsw is doubling down on election fraud claims and saying there are irregularities
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Now they are claiming voter fraud or that they hated them again childish they should just concede
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
For all the conspiracy myths that #BSW and #Wagenknecht are now spreading about their election defeat: The BSW lost the elections in the East. This could have something to do with Wagenknecht's behavior during the coalition negotiations in Saxony, Thuringia and Brandenburg:
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This so much hopium that they would make when they didn’t so stop it and end this market
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yeah the recount was done and nothing showed from the recount bsw didn’t gain at all
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
yeah also the cdu and spd will have a coaliton result are what they are
athi
2 months ago
In this election, CDU/CSU and AfD have the highest likelihood of forming a coalition government because SPD's policies would increase the government's financial burden, while the Greens have extreme environmental policies. CDU/CSU and AfD share some similarities, particularly regarding free trade and their opposition to expanding the welfare state. If CDU/CSU agrees to adopt anti-immigration policies from AfD, there would be very little difference between them.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
yall yes are sniffing too much hopium and copium it won't happened but hey at least the no's get easy money
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
that's hopium and copium the premliniary results are the final results as it stands
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
nope anyways they won't make recounts happened and they got the same results
brudi
2 months ago
anyone know a printing agency?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would recommend selling your shares they won't make it at all
brudi
2 months ago
anyone know a printing agency?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t again merz said no it’s very likely almost certain grand coalition
athi
2 months ago
In this election, CDU/CSU and AfD have the highest likelihood of forming a coalition government because SPD's policies would increase the government's financial burden, while the Greens have extreme environmental policies. CDU/CSU and AfD share some similarities, particularly regarding free trade and their opposition to expanding the welfare state. If CDU/CSU agrees to adopt anti-immigration policies from AfD, there would be very little difference between them.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Very unlikely tbh
athi
2 months ago
LET SEE CDU/CSU & AfD They are right and has same political idea
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They are missing 13,400 ballots that’s almost impossible to make up people betting on them should sell your stock
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yes here is way too fucking overhauled they have no shot of making. It in so please sell your yes
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Bsw won’t make it in end of story
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yes here is way too fucking overhauled they have no shot of making. It in so please sell your yes
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Doesn’t change anything again results are out bsw won’t make end of story today okay
2391142069a
2 months ago
The fact that not all eligible voters who wanted to vote were able to vote is mainly due to the early election date in February, a date in March would also have been possible, but this was not politically desired. The Berlin election officer and political scientist Stephan Brochler said: "It will therefore certainly lead to complaints to the election committee of the German Bundestag and will probably end up in Karlsruhe later." Other experts also see constitutional problems here. Constitutional lawyer Ulrich Battis told t-online: "I definitely see the current situation of Germans living abroad as a problem. After all, this could represent a violation of the most important principle of voting: the universality of the vote." Interesting question: How many postal votes did not arrive? It will be interesting to see how the court rules in the event of a lawsuit. And whether the constitutional guardians come to the conclusion that the 13,434 votes that would have helped the BSW over the five percent hurdle actually came from those who were unable to cast their vote from abroad. How many foreign votes could not actually be counted due to the early date because the envelopes with the postal ballots simply arrived too late could also be legally relevant. If it is higher than expected, the Karlsruhe judges could well express concerns about the constitutionality of the ballot. x.com/FabioDeMasi/status/1893910521021132840
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They didn’t boy r they need again I would recommend yall yrs to sell because it’s ovet
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They will but won’t change the result this market should close right now
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not really it will be fast got gramd coalition to form
KamalaHairy
2 months ago
greens will be cut into the deal, thank me later
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over let’s go official result are published
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Read this you yes people https://www.stern.de/news/sahra-wagenknecht-will-knappes-wahlergebnis-womoeglich-anfechten--35493736.html?utm_medium=posting&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=stern_fanpage
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nah it will be the grand coalition your welcome
KamalaHairy
2 months ago
greens will be cut into the deal, thank me later
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well tomorrow the election gets certified gg to no one here for free money and to the yes just go ahead and sell they wouldn’t think of lawsuits if they had a chance of winning
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over still they wouldn’t be suing if it wasn’t over gg bsw fans are people rooting for merz downfall grand coalition here we come
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Hey what’s up dude I know so many of these proper who think bsw is going to make are delusional as fuck
rugpuller
2 months ago
Over 250,000 voters were unable to cast their vote 213,000 of them were Germans living abroad, while another 30,000 to 40,000 faced other obstacles. If we do the math, BSW is currently missing 13,000 votes. Five percent of the 250,000 uncounted votes would amount to 12,500 very close to the threshold. This COULD be enough to justify new elections.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It won’t happen there too little ballots left for them to count for the bsw
TRUMPSTA
2 months ago
So we will have to wait 18 days to get the full profit or sell now and miss out on 2%?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s going to be the grand coalition
lavarball
2 months ago
estimates on resolutions?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well the result are the result it’s over for everyone thankngod
Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Result are out it’s over pookie please consider selling right now
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over people sell your yes and nos official data is out
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This so easily grand coalition
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Damn you nailed this election well done I’m proud of you for this
TRUMPSTA
2 months ago
#weiterso
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Why did you sell I want to know
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
He just sold I recommend you do the same for this market
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude he sold his position because he knew that bsw won’t win lmfao
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Why did sell you position hmm
Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Again one fucking recount won’t change there numbers at all so shut up and remember they won’t make it
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Again they recount all the time to make sure I agree anything a recount can’t make up 13,400 votes in my opinion this market should close by tomorrow
Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They recount all the time it’s fucking normal it’s what we think but again they super unlikely to get above five tomorrow we will get the final results
Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Because the preliminary results are staying the same for this election no matter what you do
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would sell
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Again the result are the result we won’t see go above five at all
Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
yeah as i said, we always count multiple times. the currently known voting result is called a preliminary result, because they recount multiple times just to make sure that its the same vote count every time. that not unusual so far.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Duelsional
Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They recount all the time it doesn’t change the results at all it’s normal for them to do recournsc
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yeah my Germany friend is calling you fucking delusional man
Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They recount all the fucking time just make the result be the most accurate
Mightsn
2 months ago
In any case, there won't be a final result today since the recount only happens tomorrow.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The hopium and copium on this chat is crazy like bsw won’t win yall need to calm down about these recounts
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They recount all the time it doesn’t change much it’s just to check that the count is accurate it won’t affect the change of this
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Highly unlikely again they recounting because the two candidates are very close together they have to gain over 13,400 to overcome that margin they won’t win so stop doubling down that this recount won’t change much ch for this election
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That’s literally my answer it might help them a little bit but I think he wanted to switch sides anyways
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Okay be my guest about that I doubt it will change anything
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Berlin is very not friendly towards the bsw so no it won’t swing anything agains it’s a recount to help with cdu vs this green candidate so shut up bsw has no chance
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They have to overcome 13,400 bites that’s very hard to make up even with a recount as well for them sell your yes I’m from Germany so I would know
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope I still doubt it they are performing at six percent in Berlin it’s unlikely that they will get the votes they need to win when does this recount start again
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They’ve gotten six percent in Berlin again they don’t have time or anything to over come 13,000 votes sell your yes don’t lose out on free money
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
A recount in Berlin won’t change the result of this election I sell your yes votes right now if I was you
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They got shit in Berlin won’t change anything
Mightsn
2 months ago
Ok, apparently there is a recount in Berlin: https://www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/bundestagswahl-neu-auszaehlen 😅
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
If all aboard voted they would need tho 12.75 percent to get into the government again they failed sell you yes now
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Bsw is over stop betting on hoping for a recount or a lawsuit save them they won’t it’s over for that party maybe Sahra wasn’t dumbass made mistake constantly then she would’ve have gotten over five percent it’s her fault
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
You should tbh
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Are you going to sell now
n/a
2 months ago
Man, f*ck Mannheim and their weak @ss counter attack.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
She has conceded her results it’s over sell all your yes votes
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over sell your yes they won’t prevail trust they not making it in at all
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
You’re idiot the election is over bsw didn’t make cry hard livtard
Mightsn
2 months ago
The official results will be published today (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2025/termine.html). There won't be any kind of "recount". This is not possible according to German law. If there are any successful complaints against the result, there will be a *NEW* election, not a correction of this election. So no matter what happens, the results of *THIS* election will be fixed today.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Result are now official the bsw has lost this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
In the most benevolent view, BSW would have had to more than double its share of votes among Germans living abroad, compared to the usual average. That wasn't why they failed. There were other reasons for that.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
At least you got on money here tbh good job
Mightsn
2 months ago
The official results will be published today (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2025/termine.html). There won't be any kind of "recount". This is not possible according to German law. If there are any successful complaints against the result, there will be a *NEW* election, not a correction of this election. So no matter what happens, the results of *THIS* election will be fixed today.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Truly because let’s be honest the result you see now are the results
Mightsn
2 months ago
The official results will be published today (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2025/termine.html). There won't be any kind of "recount". This is not possible according to German law. If there are any successful complaints against the result, there will be a *NEW* election, not a correction of this election. So no matter what happens, the results of *THIS* election will be fixed today.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t understand why people think they have chance when they don’t give up already
Mightsn
2 months ago
The official results will be published today (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2025/termine.html). There won't be any kind of "recount". This is not possible according to German law. If there are any successful complaints against the result, there will be a *NEW* election, not a correction of this election. So no matter what happens, the results of *THIS* election will be fixed today.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Official result are out and I was right they didn’t make it in so sad girls bsw is bye bye for good
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
In hour this market will finally see sense and close for good grand coalition here we come
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Please just sell your yes shares nothing willl help the bsw win this election not even a recount they won’t make it end of story election already been certify
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude the election is over the bsw won’t make it at all the result are the result yall need to stop huffing hopium
LB1607
2 months ago
They need about 13000 further votes to be over 5%...thats a lot
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They keep doubling down that they can win when they won’t lmfao
rugpuller
2 months ago
Over 250,000 voters were unable to cast their vote 213,000 of them were Germans living abroad, while another 30,000 to 40,000 faced other obstacles. If we do the math, BSW is currently missing 13,000 votes. Five percent of the 250,000 uncounted votes would amount to 12,500 very close to the threshold. This COULD be enough to justify new elections.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall need to stop doubling down that they have chance they don’t stop wasting your money and time the elation result are already official dumb bitches
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That’s what I’ve been trying to tell them there no way for bsw to get in to parliment
LB1607
2 months ago
They need about 13000 further votes to be over 5%...thats a lot
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not wasting your money and time on this bullshit
rugpuller
2 months ago
Over 250,000 voters were unable to cast their vote 213,000 of them were Germans living abroad, while another 30,000 to 40,000 faced other obstacles. If we do the math, BSW is currently missing 13,000 votes. Five percent of the 250,000 uncounted votes would amount to 12,500 very close to the threshold. This COULD be enough to justify new elections.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
There nothing the bsw can do to win this election period yall should be
rugpuller
2 months ago
Over 250,000 voters were unable to cast their vote 213,000 of them were Germans living abroad, while another 30,000 to 40,000 faced other obstacles. If we do the math, BSW is currently missing 13,000 votes. Five percent of the 250,000 uncounted votes would amount to 12,500 very close to the threshold. This COULD be enough to justify new elections.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t court you int care again this election is over bsw won’t get in there no way at all
rugpuller
2 months ago
Over 250,000 voters were unable to cast their vote 213,000 of them were Germans living abroad, while another 30,000 to 40,000 faced other obstacles. If we do the math, BSW is currently missing 13,000 votes. Five percent of the 250,000 uncounted votes would amount to 12,500 very close to the threshold. This COULD be enough to justify new elections.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They can’t make it up it’s lost cause to buy yes for them to win tbh
LB1607
2 months ago
They need about 13000 further votes to be over 5%...thats a lot
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t win they have no shot they need 13,000 votes to have come back and that’s almost impossible
LB1607
2 months ago
They need about 13000 further votes to be over 5%...thats a lot
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This obvious it will happen bsw won’t make it in and that’s means spd and cdu will have a coalition
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Final result already out or what we think is which is bsw is fucked won’t make it at all so do sell your yes for this market as it over
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What sore losers the bsw are lmfao they lost and now want involve the courts but they won’t hear this nonsense e
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It couldn’t it likely won’t it’s very hard to find 17,000 votes to get in
2391142069a
2 months ago
Article mentions a recount of the BSW vote could be taking place, which could change the equation: https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/news/result-of-german-election-2025/ -- still mail in ballots to count too. in 2002 there was the PDS precedent as well, where a recount adjusted their share from 4.97% to 5.0%.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Therefore the grand coalition is going to be the next government
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
With them like I don’t like the election results dang trump send his regards about this lmfao she so delulu
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The count is now official yall lost doesn’t matter if she wants to challenge it or not it’s fucking over for the bsw things will only go downhill from here for the bsw
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s really unlikely for them to get those margin they need to get above 5 percent again that won’t happen
Jhandsome
2 months ago
Recount save
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The count has now been official bsw will not make into budgestag if she challenges it won’t change anything in fact in have huge doubts she will make in at all so good night bsw it funny but your time is up
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The count is now official yall lost doesn’t matter if she wants to challenge it or not it’s fucking over for the bsw things will only go downhill from here for the bsw
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I see she wants to challenge her results as she not happy with I don’t see it where she can prove that they deserve a recount tho
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would keeeo it for now let people be dumb
TRUMPSTA
2 months ago
So we will have to wait 18 days to get the full profit or sell now and miss out on 2%?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t why people doubling down the bsw didn’t make it it’s over get over a recount won’t save them at all
TRUMPSTA
2 months ago
So we will have to wait 18 days to get the full profit or sell now and miss out on 2%?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude why did but yes they have no shot at winning it’s over they just published the final results
sanalid
2 months ago
Guys I m new here. One question to clarify , let’s say I have 100 shares for no , and the results is no on that case for the BSW, do I need to do sth to get the profits , or automatically will get paid when official result will come up? Because if I make cash out know , I m losing money . What is the best solution to close a position
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/plus255511700/BSW-nicht-im-Bundestag-Zwei-fehlende-Haeuserblocks-und-der-Hinweis-auf-rumaenische-Verhaeltnisse.html?wtrid=socialmedia.socialflow....socialflow_twitter
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The results have been finalized it’s over bsw won’t make it in o would sell if I was you
brudi
2 months ago
wahlleiterin: final results 14.03. lol
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Oh you just got free money they have no chance making it none at all
sanalid
2 months ago
Guys I m new here. One question to clarify , let’s say I have 100 shares for no , and the results is no on that case for the BSW, do I need to do sth to get the profits , or automatically will get paid when official result will come up? Because if I make cash out know , I m losing money . What is the best solution to close a position
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over sell your stock now there will be no recount
brudi
2 months ago
wahlleiterin: final results 14.03. lol
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
One thing is certain will the final results in bsw will stay out of budgestag and this election can come to a close bsw will not be in at all
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s not happening sorry dude you lost it’s over they won’t even make at all
2391142069a
2 months ago
Article mentions a recount of the BSW vote could be taking place, which could change the equation: https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/news/result-of-german-election-2025/ -- still mail in ballots to count too. in 2002 there was the PDS precedent as well, where a recount adjusted their share from 4.97% to 5.0%.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
https://m.bild.de/politik/inland/vorlaeufiges-amtliches-endergebnis-wagenknecht-raus-merz-atmet-auf-67bbbb725cbd13341d0e4449?utm_source=chatgpt.com&t_ref=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bild.de%2Fpolitik%2Finland%2Fvorlaeufiges-amtliches-endergebnis-wagenknecht-raus-merz-atmet-auf-67bbbb725cbd13341d0e4449%3Futm_source%3Dchatgpt.com
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s grand as the bsw won’t make it in but cdu and spd will have a enough seats to over come the point of winning the district they need to get shit done
CalOne1
2 months ago
There could still be a coalition with Green party because SPD + CDU would be a very weak coalition
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over the bsw won’t be in government ata all week all yes now
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They didn’t make it such it bsw fans
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Tomorrow
TRUMPSTA
2 months ago
when will the market be settled?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
No they didn’t make its over stop it with that
Babatross
2 months ago
Lets buy in
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Can you yes shared just sell they didn’t make it grow up
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It won’t happen stop with the coping
Jhandsome
2 months ago
Recount save
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Can yall stop buying yes this market is over next coaliton is grand one
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thank people keep saying bsw has chance to make in but highly doubt that
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
So what coalition is likely after this
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over stop doubling down that bsw will win they won’t be in budgestag at sll
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
So what coalition is likely after this
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t it’s over
nickgurr888
2 months ago
what if they have to do a recount?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The next coalition for Germany is a grand coalition
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over the bsw won’t make it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
A lot it won’t happened
feuerr
2 months ago
how much % bsw would mannheim need?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s so over the bsw won’t make it at
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Soon not right now
Babatross
2 months ago
When do we know for 100% ?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
No they didn’t at all
n/a
2 months ago
did they make it?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Can yall stop lying they didn’t make it at all
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
when does final two post there
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Stop lying we will see I doubt they
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t see that at all
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s so over
Klimbo837
2 months ago
4,980% with 2 counties left
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
When does Baden reveal it that the last rheee
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over bsw will not make it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
No there won’t it’s over thank god
duderr
2 months ago
THERE WILL BE A RECOUNT
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over yall lost
0xee743273be720ac078d07453b070f1c14bc09964
2 months ago
BSW’s New Percentage of Valid Votes: Percentage = 2,414,707 / 48,229,266 = 5.00515% (calculated to five decimal places)
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s so over for bsw
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
No they won’t it’s over they didn’t make it at all
2391142069a
2 months ago
mail in votes still going to skew BWS
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over they won’t make it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t see it at all yall being delulu
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s role now doubling down that they made it but I doubt it
klacy
2 months ago
290/299 BSW 4,987%. Thank god. This was closer than I expected. It's finally over now
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t see it at all we shall see
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over those county are very good for no people
Klimbo837
2 months ago
Counties left: 4 (BW) , 1 (SH) , 1 (MV) , 3 (NRW)
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They have to offset the Baden county which is very hard to do
caukdC
2 months ago
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern has 1 district left, BSW is 10% there
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over for the bsw fans again they won’t make it at all
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It won’t at all it’s over bsw won’t make it end of storu
JPPerformance
2 months ago
The One left in Mecklenburg Vorpommern is 10-11% BSW!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Won’t offset the other parts like western German which favors hard cdu
higermany0202
2 months ago
still mekleburg left
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over for the new coalition will be grand coalition
Klimbo837
2 months ago
Official source: 5.007% (284 out of 299 counties)
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope most of the western Germany is very favored timber other party
JPPerformance
2 months ago
There‘s also one district in Mecklenburg Vorpommern left, which could offset 5+ in West Germany
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over Baden will ruin this party they won’t make it to budgestag
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude what’s left is Baden rich part of Germany which heavy duty fabrics cdu it’s over bsw won’t make it
dommel
2 months ago
still 13 percent outstanding votes in saxony, BSW stronghold
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Let’s see the last district are western Germany which will likely kill the bsw in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Most of what’s left for bsw is western Baden which will hurt the bsw by slot
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thank you for that on this math
klacy
2 months ago
5,714,161 valid votes counted. Of these, 2,301,746 went to BSW. From now on, only constituencies in West Germany remain. If there are no statistical anomalies, BSW will not be represented in the Bundestag.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Last district are western district it likely the bsw won’t make it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
There still a lot district left it’s most likely over for bsw
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over I doubt the bsw will make jt
Saruman77
2 months ago
I had yes and sold to no. That bottom left region is 3.5-4% BSW and has like 20 of the 25 ridings left...
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True it will be very close we will see
Manu888
2 months ago
its a coin-flip will be close as hell either way
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well it’s over bsw won’t make it it’s almost certain as most district are done with this
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thank you
feuerr
2 months ago
tbh i see a very very small possibility bsw making it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What’s left is not friendly toward the bsw at all
n/a
2 months ago
The exact value is 5.033235031657971%.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thank you so much for that
klacy
2 months ago
BSW 5,033% - 1 East district left (Schwerin - an urban district) - the rest are 24 west districts. BSW wont make it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This so over bsw won’t make sorry
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I doubt it again cdu will gain more again after all western is left
HumanIsPredictable
2 months ago
Don't forget that mainly postal voters are now being counted and that BSW votes are more likely to be among them
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What’s left is western Germany which won’t be friendly to bsw
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But all of eastern Germany is done
klacy
2 months ago
Das wars. Noch 30 West-Wahlkreise und 3 Ost-Wahlkreise und BSW sinkt jetzt schon auf 5,01%. Es gibt quasi keinen anderen Weg mehr als noch mehr nach unten.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s at 274 looking like they could make it
klacy
2 months ago
Das wars. Noch 30 West-Wahlkreise und 3 Ost-Wahlkreise und BSW sinkt jetzt schon auf 5,01%. Es gibt quasi keinen anderen Weg mehr als noch mehr nach unten.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over nothing can save them at all
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Most of the counties left are very not friendly towards the bsw at all
Chrissistar04
2 months ago
Why not 50 50?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It won’t happen trust me it’s over
dommel
2 months ago
Oh mein Gott bei Sachsen fehlen noch am meisten und die waehlen ALLE BSW
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over bsw won’t make it as the west is what left so it’s over for the bsw
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well grand coalition is very likely no because bsw won’t make it in at sll
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s looking more like bsw might not make it In so sad but it is what it id
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
So will bsw make it or no
klacy
2 months ago
Das wars. Noch 30 West-Wahlkreise und 3 Ost-Wahlkreise und BSW sinkt jetzt schon auf 5,01%. Es gibt quasi keinen anderen Weg mehr als noch mehr nach unten.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Will merz be chancellor or no
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This going to be super interesting on who going to be chanxelelor
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The grand still likely but since bsw got in now things get conplicated
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True but I think he wi
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The grand still likely but since bsw got in now things get conplicated
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The grand still likely but since bsw got in now things get conplicated
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well there goes the grand coalition
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude it’s over for them
dommel
2 months ago
4.989
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
48 district are left and it’s not looking good for the bsw
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will likely not help them
0xee743273be720ac078d07453b070f1c14bc09964
2 months ago
DRESDEN STILL HASNT REPORTED - great news for BSW
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What left will hurt the bsw not help but go ahead lose your money
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope what left is bsw unfriendly areas
n/a
2 months ago
Is 4,982 enough or has it to be above 5.0?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope it had to be exactly five
n/a
2 months ago
Is 4,982 enough or has it to be above 5.0?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s still very unlikely
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s very likely 28-:0
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well this is over again I doubt they will
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Truly but cdu will have coalition with spd that’s for sure
Aadler12345
2 months ago
Sure there can be a coalition with greens, CDU and SPD, but then you will see new elections within 1-2 years and AFD at +30%. CDU/Merz knows this, so I wouldnt rule out a CDU+SPD gov that counts on minority support from AFD
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But right now looking like spd and cdu has enough for grand coailitisitoj
Aadler12345
2 months ago
Sure there can be a coalition with greens, CDU and SPD, but then you will see new elections within 1-2 years and AFD at +30%. CDU/Merz knows this, so I wouldnt rule out a CDU+SPD gov that counts on minority support from AFD
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I see grand coalition being formed
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
My statement stays correct
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Toss up between 6-8 and 8-10 right now cdu above eight percent
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think late ballots in this however cdu fumbled this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think there could be chance
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think there could be chance
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s over fdp likely not make it in
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This election is bullshit in my opinion
RefJ.
2 months ago
28.4 to 20.4 now
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
6-8 percent is very likely
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Poor coalition that about huge nightmare for the cdu even though they won getting coalition partner will be the biggest headache of there life
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well it’s likely grand now or Kenya government
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I’m confident saying it will be nightmare for cdu come coalition minor covenant
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Fdp won’t make it sorry it’s over for them
Aadler12345
2 months ago
4.7% now...arghhh
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Grand coalition is likely one
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
So spd its at 4:9
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
We will have to wait and see
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Are 28.8-20.2
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
28.4-20.1 still above eight percent likely to stay that way
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Still at 8.5
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well 28-30 is so likely
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s going to be German coalition or the grand either one
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Still up by eight point five
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They stroll up by 8.5
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Because of the cdu losing margin still above afd by a lot
AUTOTRADER
2 months ago
Why is 8-10% dropping???
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This market is also over
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Let’s see fdp could actually make it in
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well it’s now at five percent keep you update
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s a toss up we will seee
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
8-10 is very likely
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This will be very close again I don’t it should be fifty fifty
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will be we have to see the result tomorrow
0xd306AC3aEEcFBf9fA2082a125f2f39E7EB7dbe42-1737044280712
2 months ago
This is so close
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
We will have to see tomorrow
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New zdf five percent congratulation fdp made it good game
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
First exit poll 29.5-19.5 it’s over 10-12 is favored
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
https://x.com/ThorntonWa47373/status/1893695156794130807
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Leak exit poll 22.5 however we shall see 32 minutes but the eixotn is over cdu won the shit
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Exit polls have them around eight-nine percent
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Another one showed 21 pedant as wekl
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Leak exit poll 22.5 however we shall see 32 minutes but the eixotn is over cdu won the shit
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Leak exit poll 22.5 however we shall see 32 minutes but the eixotn is over cdu won the shit
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Exit polls in 54 minutes i can’t wait to watch people who betting 22-254 get really upset at there lost while I love it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
We find out in 56 minutes left until then hold on to your horse
Winklerbauer
2 months ago
If they get ~22.5 in the first exit polls this will be easy money for anybody. They always go down after that because of libtards not counting their ballots and fake mail-ins from nursing homes for Greens and Left.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I expect the cdu to do well in this election
Fredi9999WASP🐝
2 months ago
https://prnt.sc/Hnz_p0D8MGWX sitting in saxony, watching afd go under 22% 👌
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t win they struggle hard in saxony right now I. One hour is the fucking exit poll
Fredi9999WASP🐝
2 months ago
https://prnt.sc/Hnz_p0D8MGWX sitting in saxony, watching afd go under 22% 👌
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They also vote in paper ballots so it’s even hard for the afd to win also high turnout good for cdu and afd more cdu as well
Fredi9999WASP🐝
2 months ago
https://prnt.sc/Hnz_p0D8MGWX sitting in saxony, watching afd go under 22% 👌
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Seeing them double down on 24-26 is so silly they have no chance again even if voter turnout is high the afd will get 20-25 percent let’s wait and see
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True let’s wait and see
Fredi9999WASP🐝
2 months ago
https://prnt.sc/Hnz_p0D8MGWX sitting in saxony, watching afd go under 22% 👌
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s going to be around 20-22 we will have to wait see again almost one hour until exit polls
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Cdu will win and afd 20-22 like this market has tbh
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Wow 22-24 is too overvalued and highly unlikely but we will see in four hours
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall wait don’t assume we don’t there a lot to this election anyways wish yall luck
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not really wait until exit polls come out until then wait
LB1607
2 months ago
CDU will get max. 28%, a lot of CDU voters will prefer the AfD
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thank you mcpetrus
maju
2 months ago
I think it is underpriced that the AfD will come out at 26+% and beats all polls (as it happened in Thueringen and Sachsen, and Italy, Sweden, France, Netherlands, Argentina, USA).
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Wow 22-24 is too overvalued and highly unlikely but we will see in four hours
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nah it will be cdu and spd but 22-24 is way too overvalued
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Btw 22-24% will win 😊
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Exit polls come out I four hours tbh
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They will next election but this election it will be the grand coalition for sure
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Btw 22-24% will win 😊
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Your the moron you don’t understand trump driving voters to vote against the afd Elon is hated but other election had those party up against them beside the Netherlands everyone knew mlilelw was going to win his elicit
maju
2 months ago
I think it is underpriced that the AfD will come out at 26+% and beats all polls (as it happened in Thueringen and Sachsen, and Italy, Sweden, France, Netherlands, Argentina, USA).
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Again trump and Germany showing them to be scared for eyes of Europe and voters scared Ukraine to it
maju
2 months ago
I think it is underpriced that the AfD will come out at 26+% and beats all polls (as it happened in Thueringen and Sachsen, and Italy, Sweden, France, Netherlands, Argentina, USA).
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That won’t happened Italy sweeen France and Netherlands Argentina and USA all play around the same as what the polls showed in it as well because only one was Netherlands
maju
2 months ago
I think it is underpriced that the AfD will come out at 26+% and beats all polls (as it happened in Thueringen and Sachsen, and Italy, Sweden, France, Netherlands, Argentina, USA).
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
High voter turnout this and news for the afd and very good news for the cdu as well
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t win 22-24 very likely 20-21 percent afd won’t be in the government at all
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Btw 22-24% will win 😊
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The afd is won’t win I expect the result to be very close if not the same as the ones from allensbach
LB1607
2 months ago
sounds strange but nearly anything is possible, no election was so uncertain like this one.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t think so afd and cdu don’t get along at all they will never have a coalition with Bach other at all
AoN
2 months ago
Hot take: mutiny of CDU base against their leaders, forcing coalition with AfD. Highly unlikely but maybe worth a hedge. After all, strong bonds in eastern Germany do exist between the two and it's basically free right now..
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Now it’s starting to balance without afd fans coming in here trying to ruin this chat
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Meh I doubtful again cdu typically over performs their polling numbers afd won’t get 24 percent more like 20-21 percent in my opinion
LB1607
2 months ago
sounds strange but nearly anything is possible, no election was so uncertain like this one.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
22-24 and 24-26 super overvalued you alt right Americans don’t know shit about German politics and how their election works at all but hey at least my friends will make money off of you gust
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I lik how it’s alt right in America that doubles down knowing nothing about this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I’m so excited tomorrow I can’t wait at eleven my time
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They think of silent afd voter for this election but they don’t understand how accurate German polls are tbh
Mr.Fister
2 months ago
I don't understand the pricing in this market compared to the 5% bracket one. The 5 % bracket is really bottom heavy. Polls all are at 21 to 20. Are we betting so much on the silent AfD voter? Other than that I don't understand how this one is 5 cent cheaper
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True bexaue it will bbe mess after this
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will just be the grand colitation all over again so no sweat
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True mcpetrus do you think cdu will still win or no
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will be formed in like couple of days
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will just be the grand colitation all over again so no sweat
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude people buying 22-24 being very unrealistic and the afd typically underperforms in federal election so that being said I think 20-22 is easy money while under 20 seems pretty reasonable as well
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I fucking agree
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
20-22 and under 20 or more likely than the others in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
We will see soon I expecting 32 as allensbach typically nails cdu margins
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think likely 19-21 is the likely one
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
22-24 is still super unlikely tho 20-22 is very likely I see it happening
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
20-22 and under 20 or more likely than the others in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not likely at all it’s most likely 20-22 in my opinion but we will see on Sunday at 11 am my time
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
22-24 is still super unlikely tho 20-22 is very likely I see it happening
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The afd only does good I. Eastern Germany on western Germany they do horrible due to stigma
AoN
2 months ago
Hot take: mutiny of CDU base against their leaders, forcing coalition with AfD. Highly unlikely but maybe worth a hedge. After all, strong bonds in eastern Germany do exist between the two and it's basically free right now..
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I’m from Germany and I hate chancellor candidates Alice is dumb habeck is narcasstic Olaf is incompetent Merz is decent but flips flops too much but I think he will be good for Germany
AoN
2 months ago
Friendly reminder to all buying CDU-SPD-FDP: SPD literally hates FDP and their strict no-debt policy. This coalition cannot happen. Instead, CDU-SPD-Greens will happen if CDU-SPD won't get majority
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t go afd as they stay stagnant I think they willl but cdu and spd will have the grand coalition in this election
AoN
2 months ago
Friendly reminder to all buying CDU-SPD-FDP: SPD literally hates FDP and their strict no-debt policy. This coalition cannot happen. Instead, CDU-SPD-Greens will happen if CDU-SPD won't get majority
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They do it anyways spd and cdu tho is extremely likely in my opinion
AoN
2 months ago
Friendly reminder to all buying CDU-SPD-FDP: SPD literally hates FDP and their strict no-debt policy. This coalition cannot happen. Instead, CDU-SPD-Greens will happen if CDU-SPD won't get majority
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I doubt this seem so certain that cdu will win but how much is the uncertain part of this election
LB1607
2 months ago
sounds strange but nearly anything is possible, no election was so uncertain like this one.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I expect around the 8-10 in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
22-24 is still super unlikely tho 20-22 is very likely I see it happening
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
8-10 is super likely in this election tbh
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will be formed in like couple of days
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Who knows time will tell
n/a
2 months ago
folks, FDP lost a series of many Landtagswahlen, here its a bit more prominent, but election works that if they stay below 5, the votes are benefitting all parties, the Left, too. So strategic risk...
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Because of how off insa is which is around two percent for cdu so cdu will win this election but 8-10 seems reasonable as well
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Insa shows a 8.5 lead so 10-12 seems very likely Tho
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Insa shows a 8.5 lead so 10-12 seems very likely Tho
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True but they are typically very accurate
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Last allenbatch 32-20
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Allensbach has them at 4.5 it’s over for the fdp
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
22-24 is super unlikely good job dad right for buying it dumbass
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Allenbatch 20 percent allensbach is most accurate
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Last allenbatch 32-20
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Average for cdu is 30.5 means that 28-30 and 30-32 has close race
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Maybe I think it will be at 30.5 percent with grand coalition
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
In my opinion I think the union will hit around 31 percent on Sunday night
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
In my opinion I think the union will hit around 31 percent on Sunday night
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Top two for this market will be 28-30 30-32 which I think cdu will get around 30 percent but that’s my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Last YouGov 29-20 in polls but everyone freaking sout over that awful poll done by zdf
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally this because a lot afd markets full of afd fans
A P
2 months ago
Funny how according to Polymarket polls are simultaneously heavily biased against AfD and correct for other parties.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well so high voter turnout is bad for the afd I didn’t know
mcpetrus
2 months ago
Postal voting is very high. Higher than expected. Not good for the AfD. they will end up under 20%. I'm quite sure of that.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Which is so true tho
vamnizar
2 months ago
INSA 21 (-1). Every institute sees a downward trend and no institute has them above 21 anymore.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I love it mcpetrus on this
mcpetrus
2 months ago
15-20 is severely undervalued. I'm 90% sure they'll end up at 17-19.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Hey mcpetrus I haven’t seen you in while how you doing today
mcpetrus
2 months ago
The last Insa poll sees the AfD fall again to 21, the CDU stable at 30. There will be a final poll by the research group today. About 35-40% have already voted by mail.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New insa 30-21 which means 30-35 seem very likely
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Insa 30-21 afd went down again looks like yall were wrong lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New insa poll 30-21 cdu well afd went down again like I said there no way polls off that much siggi good luck losing bitch
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Do you literally posted a fucking photoshopped poll that I couldn’t even find at all sir the fuck down you stupid bitch
Siggi9933
2 months ago
You all fcked HAHAHAHA 4 Days Till you all broke you mainstream junkies
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The poll ciruclating right is super photoshop what news channel is it they can’t even list it also why do Germans in media would have it in English
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The poll loooks super photo shop like I could tell by just looking at it
Bitcoinipie2
2 months ago
BREAKING: A German television channel just released a Final Poll ahead of Germany’s Election on Sunday, which shows AfD WINNING by 7 points. Please let this happen. Germany needs to be saved!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Have seen her debate it’s awful she bad and looks stupid compare to merz and even Olaf looks better than she does
supermodul
2 months ago
Can I bet on the coalition that will form the next German goverment?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
When in the fuck does a German channel use English that’s how you know it’s photoshop
Bitcoinipie2
2 months ago
BREAKING: A German television channel just released a Final Poll ahead of Germany’s Election on Sunday, which shows AfD WINNING by 7 points. Please let this happen. Germany needs to be saved!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Like I follow poll data twitters they haven’t even posted that data at all so the data looks to off for me even
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Because why the fuck does a German channel have fucking English on there
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Also when has German channel use fucking english when does polling that’s clearly photoshopped because everything looks too good to be true
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Why are you citing Twitter as source to the poll data that’s how I know that it’s photoshopped
Bitcoinipie2
2 months ago
BREAKING: A German television channel just released a Final Poll ahead of Germany’s Election on Sunday, which shows AfD WINNING by 7 points. Please let this happen. Germany needs to be saved!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Siggi this is photoshop looks to much like afd fanntasy than actual real life polls this probably to feed you afd fans that polls are manipulated
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I fucking agree it looks very photoshopped as well like why do they use tweets to say afd going to win or something
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I can tell that photoshop in that photo bitcoin stop using twitter to defend that your going to win it’s embarrassing
Bitcoinipie2
2 months ago
BREAKING: A German television channel just released a Final Poll ahead of Germany’s Election on Sunday, which shows AfD WINNING by 7 points. Please let this happen. Germany needs to be saved!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Do you actually have access to the poll and the data behind it or no
Siggi9933
2 months ago
32% not manipulated polls :) https://x.com/basil_tgmd/status/1892321210660253771?s=46
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Tbh this market is over people who betting afd have too much copium and hopium it won’t happen love trollsoftheswamp
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Anyways add fucked yup they are calling trump hiwevrr their choice for chancellor is awful Alice doesn’t know how to debate for the life of her
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Election for afd results
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s only downfall from here for afd they are cooked in this elision
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s only downfall from here for afd they are cooked in this elision
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They are on downhill meanwhile cdu getting a lot strong er
Flipadelphia
2 months ago
AFD on a clear polling downtrend, CDU on the uptrend. https://dawum.de/Bundestag/
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally people so delulu here I love your commentary flip
Flipadelphia
2 months ago
Interesting stat AFD polling average - 20.3% SPD polling average - 15.5% : AFD 25-30% odds 13c. SPD 20-25% odds 1.8c. Both brackets require 5 pt polling overperformance and yet AFD is worth 700% more?? Some delusional mispricing going on here...
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope their too much behind polls for them to win tbh
nirvananirvanafan
2 months ago
I hate Afd because they're nazi's but unfortunately a lot of white males are Nazis. Unfortunately I believe AFD is going to win
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Finally two polls will be realse in final two days let’s see in them okay
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Wow afd supporters are doubling down being like oh they definitely going above 30 is biggest lmfao I’ve seen in long time explain to me how bitches
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I like how alt right fan boy change this market lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
He at 402 billion he not making it at all
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Why have bet Alice she not getting it
supermodul
2 months ago
Can I bet on the coalition that will form the next German goverment?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I highly doubt with Ukraine and other parts now afd finally screwed after union voters extremely mad
daddyaddy
2 months ago
let's go
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well Ukraine and other issue are getting worse means gains for union and other parties as well
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Western Germany won’t vote afd most east yes but west
ShowBaer
2 months ago
AFD been stigmatized in Western Germany, who d tell how they vote when an "institute" contacts you?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True but with Ukraine and other issue union and spd will gain and afd controversy as well
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
With Ukraine union voters are very pissed and so are spd well that willl killed afd movement in my pinion
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They super accurate but union voters are now very pissed off aboutbukraine which strengthen union even more so there that on it
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The polling data is not that wrong at all Alice is very weak chancellor compare to Tino who actually is calm doesn’t get mad super fast
GoBerlin
2 months ago
AFD 25.1% lets go!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Your afd support but data don’t show that and Alice gets clown on all the fucking time it’s getting really embarrassing
GoBerlin
2 months ago
AFD 25.1% lets go!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It going to happen at all
GoBerlin
2 months ago
AFD 25.1% lets go!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I like how alt right people are now doubling down on 25-30 and thinking it will happen when it won’t lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Alt right people like butcoinpie attacks again with big purchases with no explaination why is that can afd win lmffao
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not really they see through Putin trust me
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yeah for Russia to backstab them people are not dumb this is big deal but afd will lose
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Hey do you live in Germany or no
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New gms poll 31-20 it’s over afd please sell
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
So what think Russia done with just Ukraine oh no they won’t stop Putin will be ruthless that’s why now people are scared in Germany for afd because of Russia aggression
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s been like 30-33 for months now they will perform around that average
Aadler12345
2 months ago
If they hardly reach 30% in the polls, then the reality is most likely below 30% and a higher share for AfD. In my view the 30-35% "no" is very undervalued
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
About oh poll so wrong they are strong western Germany no they are not stop with this it’s. Getting really embarrassing
ShowBaer
2 months ago
AFD been stigmatized in Western Germany, who d tell how they vote when an "institute" contacts you?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They contact people animous so there no danger why do you afd voters double down so fucking much it’s honestly tiring
ShowBaer
2 months ago
AFD been stigmatized in Western Germany, who d tell how they vote when an "institute" contacts you?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Like how one person to rise the 25-30 by buying a lot when they don’t have any data to support that is biggest lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Polls gave gms them 31 and other two comes out tomorrow will impact this as well
Aadler12345
2 months ago
If they hardly reach 30% in the polls, then the reality is most likely below 30% and a higher share for AfD. In my view the 30-35% "no" is very undervalued
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Let ask you this what can afd do if they win nothing no party wants to work with them
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well afd voters are now doubling down because this election is over but they never want to admit it tho
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
You are super arrogant lmfao
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
People original said oh I can’t vote Merz anymore now voting him after his statement on Ukraine
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
After trump statement today then praising trump all the time that now going fuck them up as we now seeing e
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
25-30 people going hard this time lmfao yall so dumb in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They fucked jd Vance is now ruin after this week
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
In polls they don’t ask tell us why they do in good methodology you can’t seem to understand afd is ducked after trump statement today about Ukraine
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Polls are animous so these people proudly say that with no backlash
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude yall so fucking delusional about this a lot people in Germany don’t give a fuck about politics it’s not fucking police state
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope that’s unlikely as polling data is animosity towards the voter again you just came up with a conspiracy theory that has no backing off it at all
Trumputin
2 months ago
It might be that AfD voters are instructed to say they vote CDU on purpose to fool the polls. But on election day they vote AfD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I wouldn’t why you losing just admit it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well afd voters are now doubling down because this election is over but they never want to admit it tho
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
How do not it won’t happen even though merz losing little bit of voters
Rockies
2 months ago
I know nothing about German politics but what if?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would sell if I was you right now
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New gms poll 31-20 it’s over afd please sell
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nopeolls showing what I predicted anyways it’s funny how many alt right doubling down this week
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New gms poll 31-20 it’s over afd please sell
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well afd voters are now doubling down because this election is over but they never want to admit it tho
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That’s not true at all like I said all of you guys now doubling down because you know your going to lose
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New gms poll 31-20 it’s over afd please sell
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
True gms m showed a decrease today as well
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Actually it can because people too scary of radicalization if the afd
Rockies
2 months ago
I know nothing about German politics but what if?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
These reasonable question but polls are not underestimating them by crazy margins
MR16
2 months ago
There is literally NO WAY AfD won‘t get at least 20%+. No way.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They actually underperform most polls which in 2021 federal election they underperform the polls by 1-2 percent so no they are not being underestimated
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Poll so stable afd will get around 20-22 but we will see
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
31-20 gms it’s over
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New gms poll 31-20 it’s over afd please sell
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Agree but cdu is super stable in polls right now
mombil
2 months ago
Right now 6/8 polls show 20% for them https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm - but what is more important than %s is the direction the polls are moving. Anyone would prefer to have movement from 18 to 20 rather than 22 to 20 before any election. They could very well land above 20% - but below 20 is more than a 1 in 5 chance.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope cdu will win they are gaining again after what happened last week
Rockies
2 months ago
I know nothing about German politics but what if?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New poll GMS 31-20 cdu up by 11 percent this was their last poll so afd going to lose its finally over
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Your afd supporter I get it there controversy with them tho and more to come
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Keep offering good odds for AfD under 20%. I want to buy more No's cheap. You have no idea how manipulated the polls showing AfD at 20% are. AfD could easily reach 25% or more in the election. Germany is a banana republic. In German schools, AfD is sometimes at 80%. AfD is the future, and anything under 20% would be election fraud.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They won’t be government at all polls are not mainpualted
supermodul
2 months ago
Is there an option to bet on the coaliton that will form the next German government?
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Always pull. The card if polls are manipulated schools with 18 left and green are way more favored than the afd so stop it with this bullshit
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Keep offering good odds for AfD under 20%. I want to buy more No's cheap. You have no idea how manipulated the polls showing AfD at 20% are. AfD could easily reach 25% or more in the election. Germany is a banana republic. In German schools, AfD is sometimes at 80%. AfD is the future, and anything under 20% would be election fraud.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Wow pulling election fraud card I see you the schools one is bullshit but afd will not be in government or above 25 percent nice try tho
AFDinGovernment
2 months ago
Keep offering good odds for AfD under 20%. I want to buy more No's cheap. You have no idea how manipulated the polls showing AfD at 20% are. AfD could easily reach 25% or more in the election. Germany is a banana republic. In German schools, AfD is sometimes at 80%. AfD is the future, and anything under 20% would be election fraud.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It could happen afd in government is very unlikely
MR16
2 months ago
There is literally NO WAY AfD won‘t get at least 20%+. No way.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That’s great but I have feeling you won’t no offense
noblesse.oblige
2 months ago
If i win, 50% of profit will go to the victims of terrorist attacks in Germany.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I know but hey that’s not my problem i live in America
Daavid2101
2 months ago
She made me pull out my AfD shares :(
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It’s actually possible we will have to wait and see
MR16
2 months ago
There is literally NO WAY AfD won‘t get at least 20%+. No way.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Sell if I was you
Daavid2101
2 months ago
She made me pull out my AfD shares :(
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would see
Daavid2101
2 months ago
She made me pull out my AfD shares :(
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yup Alice is fucking to tbh
Daavid2101
2 months ago
She made me pull out my AfD shares :(
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
To the highest degree
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall fyi buying 25-30 percent is wild due to speculation around how they are going to which is just lmfao th
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall fyi buying 25-30 percent is wild due to speculation around how they are going to which is just lmfao th
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I don’t see afd having a chance at all new scandal is brewing with them right nkw
Trumputin
2 months ago
I don't understand why people keep buying FDP, BSW, Greens and SPD. I can imagine AfD have a chance but the others are clear loosers.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Crazy the afd gotten them a scandal that going to be big get ready tbh
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This market getting too ridiculous about afd chances no chance in hell stop buying it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Like a lot of them alt right people
Zorroh
2 months ago
No at 82% on 15-20 is possibly the worst RRR of this site.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It is here like I said this will not be 25-30 percent race at all
Zorroh
2 months ago
No at 82% on 15-20 is possibly the worst RRR of this site.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What you are so why are you so confident that cdu will win this election
0xBrojack
2 months ago
I'm from Germany. This is so ridiculous :-))) Free money. There is no way CDU not winning. This is not the US.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
fdp might have chance this time
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Afd is price too high in my opinion we wil see tho
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Listen just like before they could do it hopefully hey also afd market is wild
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Insa saw five for the first time
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally also Christian you expect the cdu to win
ChristianHorst
2 months ago
This still being at 95 cts is crazy.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I would actually right now just do it they’re no hope for you guys
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Okay sorry we feel for you
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dang cdu decay by like .4-.6 but it will rise agains some afd dan boy had to buy a lot of afd wins
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yeah I would sell you down by eight percent with really no way of coming back
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I’m done having this conserbation no reason to convince you the turbines are good for it it wasn’t taken out of context you should Russia will invade you
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Thoughts on it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Breaking news immigrants are voting spd and other parties a lot more than afd intresting because afd is lowest among immigrant voters
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Oh so now being dismissive because I like to be troll okay afd fan go back to mommy why don’t you
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Hocke and also them wanting tear down all air turbines but also her being pro Russia and hating Ukraine there a lot to the afd for sure
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Looking at data back my claim up most undecide voters going with Cdu or afd most are likely cdu tho
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Polls factoring everything thennrell how come polls were right for four of federal election and three eu elections people own opinions aren’t oppress by polls at all
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/bundestagswahl/bundestagswahl-2025-wie-menschen-mit-migrationshintergrund-waehlen-110294424.html
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Breaking news immigrants are voting spd and other parties a lot more than afd intresting because afd is lowest among immigrant voters
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
No problem it’s not good for afd at all beside their district
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Insa saw five for the first time
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
https://x.com/PrognosUmfragen
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I show it but
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Breaking news immigrants are voting spd and other parties a lot more than afd intresting because afd is lowest among immigrant voters
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dang you are ifnorant
0xFancyFox
2 months ago
Who still remembers the 2014 World Cup? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGLdeKb3FrQ&t=897s - Only the AfD can save Germany.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I know trying to knock some common sense into you which lack all of it but hey keep making my friend rich
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa poll 30-20 like I said afd will lose this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I get rid of your investment
Daavid2101
2 months ago
I think we might win
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Voting afd is waste of a vote anyways due to them not going to have any power this election
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude super ignorant and arrogant why did delete old comment hmmm seems very sucipsious
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude no afd can’t save Germany they likely make it worse
0xFancyFox
2 months ago
Who still remembers the 2014 World Cup? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGLdeKb3FrQ&t=897s - Only the AfD can save Germany.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude agree I would sell my share if I was you
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Fact afd fourth behind cdu in fact because of TikTok with the linke and green dominating
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Dude according to data most young voters are very linke and green afd doesn’t surge at all
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Stagnant you have no idea your afd supporters you don’t know how politics work or how afd will win there no enough because polls bring in those factors come into play with these polls your ignorant and arrogant
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That won’t change anything I live in Germany and that won’t change afd won’t win stop it you don’t know shit German politics
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall be making excuse to why and how the afd will win but reality cdu going to win there is delusional here for all you guys who loved the afd there no chance at all even if people hated the old party that won’t change this election
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
If the afd was going to lose then why are you betting on it
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Still won’t change fucking anything no one cares cdu will win this election
VoiVei
2 months ago
AfD will lose. No question about it.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Listen trump vs Hilary tho different than this election so stop comparing them okay I’m tired
Saruman77
2 months ago
This would be the biggest upset in recent memory if AFD came first. People say 2016 Trump was a surprise, but betting markets gave him like 20-25%, some more, here AFD is at 4%!!!!!!!!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They want it but huffing too much coping and hoping tbh
Mr.TestoBread
2 months ago
Some of you really need to learn keeping your emotions and betting behavior seperate.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It will be but cdu will fix it also afd plans is awful for Germany economy as well
noblesse.oblige
2 months ago
German voters are so outdated they still live in biden freaking Era.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
They care about their country all of you guys are mad or freak out when doesn’t go your way
noblesse.oblige
2 months ago
German voters are so outdated they still live in biden freaking Era.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I love how alt right are now starting to double down on 25-30 like they know lts going to happen when it’s not but thanks for helping my friend our
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That not based afd won’t win stop with I think we might win
Daavid2101
2 months ago
I think we might win
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Where mcpetrus I haven’t seen you soon long can please answer me
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Well fuck you I love trolling her dumbass
Exeggut
2 months ago
bumoftheswamp probably some indian guy getting paid by Woke NGOs leftovers to spread FUD.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Forsa 30-20 this market so over
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
New forsa poll 30-20 that’s it over for 25-30 I win you lose
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Alt and afd fans boys so easy to predict their behavior tbh what they going to bring as well but I love that for them as they are arrogant and idiot
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall people buying 25-30 are wasting your fucking time and money like stop it it’s not going to happen keep dreaming but all you do post this or that and wow look that then dismiss polling data yall really are so predictable
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I fucking agree like they think oh we going to win or let’s goooi afd but they don’t understand German politics at all
t0ur1
2 months ago
Really hope to take some money from you right wing suckers.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I think they are cdu will win this election YouGov poll was shot
Trumputin
2 months ago
CDU 27, AFD 20 recent YouGov poll
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But you will lose your bet better sell now than be embarrassed
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
We already talked about that one which intresting you knkw
Trumputin
2 months ago
CDU 27, AFD 20 recent YouGov poll
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Also why do you want afd to win they can’t do shit if they win no one wants to work with them voting afd to me is a wasteful vote because nothing will get done with them in charge
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Not easy win at all highly unlikely but go ahead lose all you money
n/a
2 months ago
- Aschaffenburg - Munich - Orban's appearance with Weidel - JD Vance's recommendation - The recommendation of Geert Wilders - Very strong appearances on TV from Chrupalla - Merz's yes to red-green. Easy win for AFD
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I have huge doubts that afd will win they will win in 2029 but not now there not enough tie. For them to win but good luck delusional afd supporters
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I highly doubt it you been saying this for weeks david
Daavid2101
2 months ago
I think we might win
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Who knows hoping 5 percent so we can get Germany coalition
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally afd voter be pulling everything out of their ass to say afd going to win like yall need stop being delulu on it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
He is wrong about it but fours year yeah but not this election at all
n/a
2 months ago
- Aschaffenburg - Munich - Orban's appearance with Weidel - JD Vance's recommendation - The recommendation of Geert Wilders - Very strong appearances on TV from Chrupalla - Merz's yes to red-green. Easy win for AFD
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
People defending. 25-30 because of what happen last couple of day are delulu and needs help
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
The shy voter doesn’t exist no in German
0x60c68b6014d495e03A087F78B6a2cB688d2EAA63-1730596346568
2 months ago
SO MANY SHY VOTERS FOR AFD INCOMING JUST LIKE TRUMP 2016 JUST LIKE BREXIT
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
This so stupid people being like jd Vance and this and that happened on twitter today so add will surge like crazy when nothing supports that lmfao to a big scale
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Yall need to know when thing can happen when they can’t 25-30
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Doubt it will happen this is a afd fan after all
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
I stillH
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally why are buying so many fucking 25-30 that’s not Likely at all
Mr.TestoBread
2 months ago
Some of you really need to learn keeping your emotions and betting behavior seperate.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Above 25 is beyond delusional it’s not going to happen at all keep dreaming boo
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Literally afd voter be pulling everything out of their ass to say afd going to win like yall need stop being delulu on it
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Also pools would shown the affects of the afd but polls stagnant on it
n/a
2 months ago
- Aschaffenburg - Munich - Orban's appearance with Weidel - JD Vance's recommendation - The recommendation of Geert Wilders - Very strong appearances on TV from Chrupalla - Merz's yes to red-green. Easy win for AFD
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
That doesn’t mean shit cdu equal green has been smear campaign for years polls are stagnant also data shows no changes right now so there that
n/a
2 months ago
CDU = Greens
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Also merz didn’t say yes to red and green he said he keeping his options open
n/a
2 months ago
- Aschaffenburg - Munich - Orban's appearance with Weidel - JD Vance's recommendation - The recommendation of Geert Wilders - Very strong appearances on TV from Chrupalla - Merz's yes to red-green. Easy win for AFD
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Don’t change shit yall pull so many people they endorse and like oh this and that against those two events according polls this weeks haven’t affect shit according todays and yesterday poll
n/a
2 months ago
- Aschaffenburg - Munich - Orban's appearance with Weidel - JD Vance's recommendation - The recommendation of Geert Wilders - Very strong appearances on TV from Chrupalla - Merz's yes to red-green. Easy win for AFD
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But also this won’t affect shit Germans too blind by mainstream media and won’t hurt merz numbers as well
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Nope this will pass over polls won’t show it like you afd support are so delusional
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Only reason. 26-28 surge was because of YouGov and that fucking trash poll
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Polls have stagnant again im tired of winning
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It does but you telling me nine percent for linke and 27 for cdu seems too low for my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
YouGov poll 27-20 still went down cdu by two points however afd only got 20 so the vaules here are so overvalued is 25-30
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
But linke got nine percent never mind the poll sucks
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
YouGov poll 27-20 still went down cdu by two points however afd only got 20 so the vaules here are so overvalued is 25-30
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
YouGov and INSA 27-30 weee range YouGov one looks bad tho
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
It actually is 17-20 spd got 17 but the survey is kinda bad INSA had afd at 22 I think around 20 with cdu getting 30-35
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
YouGov poll 27-20 still went down cdu by two points however afd only got 20 so the vaules here are so overvalued is 25-30
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
YouGov poll 27-20 still went down cdu by two points however afd only got 20 so the vaules here are so overvalued is 25-30
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Elon and jd talks about it but you alt right afd fans eat it up it won’t hurt any of the parties x is alt right breeding ground full of hate speech and hateful people as well
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Siggi I love you but this controversy has been so overblown like Elon talks a lot afd points no one who follows Elon will already votes afd no one else will that won’t happen you also don’t live German it’s not that bad
Siggi9933
2 months ago
We are living in hell here in Germany, thank you x thank you elon for the help. Germany submits the highest number of legal demands for user data to X within the European Union, with ~87% of these requests targeting speech-related offenses. X believes that these legal demands for user data are unlawful and has taken cases in both German federal and state courts challenging the lawfulness of the government's overreach into our users’ privacy and freedom of expression.
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
Quick question flip how do confident that it will never get there at all
n/a
3 months ago
AfD at 22% in todays poll
Trolloftheswamp
2 months ago
What does that mean dlipdelphia
n/a
3 months ago
AfD at 22% in todays poll
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall buying a lot of afd 25-30 are alt right fan boys who don’t know shit about German politics
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
If you post Elon or Alt right stuff defending afd on how they’d going school election is delusional and you have no idea of election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This so beyond delusional afd people find any and everything to defend how they will defy the polls win in landslide it’s not happening at all
Stabaily32
3 months ago
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1891501773564543240?t=yWWU5Zm1NeeZ20kRY1ZNoA&s=19
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That proves nothing like at all school election don’t prove Election for Germany why do yall keep posting things that Elon send like obvious he supports afd don’t need to tell us
Stabaily32
3 months ago
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1891501773564543240?t=yWWU5Zm1NeeZ20kRY1ZNoA&s=19
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup polls were only off by 1-3 percent in that election where does polls show huge support for the afd none all show cdu leading
n/a
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlyN5l61wZ0 ..if this proves true, we are living in a big simulation.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also everyone knew the fpo was going to win and they did polls showed that polls are not showing that in Germany where afd is leading at all so stop with these conspiracies videos form 1-31-25 there was a terror attack yes but polls are still stagnant from them
n/a
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlyN5l61wZ0 ..if this proves true, we are living in a big simulation.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This so fucking stupid stop posting videos or clips showing oh we win big look at Austria what happened guess what foo
n/a
3 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlyN5l61wZ0 ..if this proves true, we are living in a big simulation.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It was at 22 in the last one already dummy it was a constant poll
n/a
3 months ago
New Insa: AFD 22%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also yall betting 25-30 or over e30 are beyond deuslional in my opinion nothing changing this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s because merz said no it staying no matter what
TimeTraveler
3 months ago
People seem to have a lot of faith in the Brandmaur.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally so true
Commie-Killer
3 months ago
We need a cure for bagholder syndrome.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So to you afd fans polls stagnation but go head said afd is going to win your beyond delusional
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd fans have too much hopium and copium for this election and it’s kinda sad tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls ask people constantly also afd is getting embarrassed and also being d Jedi other factors are inportant but they would show in polls and guess what they are not at all like said we see those factors in polls but we don’t see it forsa after Thursday attack and all others we saw nothing change at all
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So much hooping and copium with afd supporters in here think they have chance when they don’t fyi
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can you help with the 15-20 it’s on the struggle bus right now
Mantou11
3 months ago
Safe bond, 4% for one week patience is great!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude silent majority doesn’t exist in Europe however merz will face backlash for a little bit but he should be fine for this election
Costin
3 months ago
Imagine if there's a "silent majority" voting for AfD, with these prices, it would be like winning at lottery if AfD wins the elections!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will don’t worry
kiruwaaaa
3 months ago
cdu wins
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This has been controversial for a couple days still does nothing to German numbers at all there also another one about deportation of people which come after one week after the election to but it won’t change voters minds
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Pathetic https://x.com/Devon_Eriksen_/status/1891493864646582737
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t change much media in Germany too strong to change the minds against cdu plus voting had already started so American people causing drama like Vance and Elon won’t do shit
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Pathetic https://x.com/Devon_Eriksen_/status/1891493864646582737
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They were but honestly they look accurate
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
How I don’t see it at all I agree with Fuentes
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That actually makes a lot. Sense I’m hoping for the fdp to get in tho
Cisomate2901
3 months ago
My prediction: CDU 35%, AfD 19%, SPD 15%, Gruene 13%, FDP 5%, Linke 5%, BSW 4%, Others 4%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It is like they think these scandal will destroy the cdu but it won’t at all
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd Alice can get in without a coalitition you are beyond dumb and saving at this point
jonnyhunt
3 months ago
This election will be an intelligent test for Germany.. so only AFD
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
If you think
jonnyhunt
3 months ago
This election will be an intelligent test for Germany.. so only AFD
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You seem excited there is controversy with merz when isn’t tho he seem to get drag all the fucking time
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Final week, Lets goooo AfD!!!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay thank you
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data doesn’t show a chance for the afd to cross over 25 percent or even win tbh but 20-25 super likely
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally like cdu will win
poseidongaiafeya
3 months ago
shouldn't this market be already over?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even with the scandal of merz wants black and green coalition merz just said he keeping options open with spd or green doesn’t mean he will do it instantly calm the fuck down
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
U think cdu will get around 30-35 but not with all his hit going on this whole week
Cisomate2901
3 months ago
My prediction: CDU 35%, AfD 19%, SPD 15%, Gruene 13%, FDP 5%, Linke 5%, BSW 4%, Others 4%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wouldn’t know
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Feel like grand colitation is the absolute most likely afd will not at sll
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think you close to being right
Cisomate2901
3 months ago
My prediction: CDU 35%, AfD 19%, SPD 15%, Gruene 13%, FDP 5%, Linke 5%, BSW 4%, Others 4%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What do you mean exactly but also I feel like you will start selling soon
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Why afd not going to win data from this weekend showed stagnation even after the terror attack showed nothing at all
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Last polls come out this week fyi
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’ll share it later
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Where is mcpetrus I want to have talk I haven’t seen him since Wednesday
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I would sell if I was you
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd is likely to lose this election
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Western part cdu actually doing little better even if afd is gaining however eastern part afd actually underperforming
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This all of it in general I would sell your position if I was you
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
American politics and European politics. Way different in America trump had 50-50 shot while Germany there a lot different things that could happened so stop it with but trump
Sassen
3 months ago
AfD has got this. I think the polls are seriously suppressed
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
German politics at all which gives me lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s so funny how many people think afd will get 25-30 range really shows me none of them have any idea of
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s so funny how many people think afd will get 25-30 range really shows me none of them have any idea of
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data doesn’t show a chance for the afd to cross over 25 percent or even win tbh but 20-25 super likely
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nope I’m looking at the early voting data shows the opposite
Sassen
3 months ago
AfD has got this. I think the polls are seriously suppressed
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
All afd people now doubling down on afd win even early voting data doesn’t show that at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
For the afd laughable all you guys now doubling down on afd winning
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
In new Germany failed police state, even votes counts can be rigged unless they're very high in numbers. The margin has to be too big to be faked.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data today 30.5-22 for the cdu two points according to the data were gain however this still one week left
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That won’t happened according to early voting data it’s 30.5-22
Daavid2101
3 months ago
AfD victory will be the most hated victory in german history since 1933!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I I’ll untreated however afd voters some of the most stubborn people I’ve met
Echelonprt
3 months ago
I would caution being too optimistic about afd chances, Germany is not the us , they have a much higher trust towards legacy media,bureaucracy and overall gov apparatus.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Not af all they just not in m
Echelonprt
3 months ago
I would caution being too optimistic about afd chances, Germany is not the us , they have a much higher trust towards legacy media,bureaucracy and overall gov apparatus.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People buying afd are wasting their money and time lmfao like no it won’t happen
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Super true the Germans are not us most of them don’t care about politics at all
Echelonprt
3 months ago
I would caution being too optimistic about afd chances, Germany is not the us , they have a much higher trust towards legacy media,bureaucracy and overall gov apparatus.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True people are getting mad at merz like of course merz not revealing who going to have a coalition with just yet
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They said merz wants a coalition with the Green Party I highly doubt that because even clip I saw he didn’t said he wanted now like why do people always after merz throat
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They said merz wants a coalition with the Green Party I highly doubt that because even clip I saw he didn’t said he wanted now like why do people always after merz throat
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu spd if fdp gets in is very likely
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bffr that’s not going to happen
n/a
3 months ago
Good luck afd. Germany and Europe need u!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well after that debate afd will never be government
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate so fucking funny weird but weidel has lost her ways
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Averages are 30-20.4 which seems fair
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alt right on here are too funny thinking they will get over 25-30 or above 30 is beyond delusional
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alt right on here are too funny thinking they will get over 25-30 or above 30 is beyond delusional
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate is too much weidel is getting absolutely shit on like it’s so funny
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Do weidel getting shit on in the debate
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
WTF wrong with Germans, will they ever wake up before it's too late?!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not it’s inaccurate
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Get your bag king
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
With hockey now so did merz however differ fdp now taking action along with merz about the new plan
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 25-30 is overhauled but 15-20 seems very as afd now’s has controversy on helm right nkw
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This seem my accurate prediction
momoracle
3 months ago
CDU/CSU 29.9%, AfD 20.6%, SPD 15.6%, Greens 13.6%, Left 5.6%, BSW 4.6%, FDP 4.1%, Others 6.3% https://x.com/Momoraclecom/status/1891130604864876997
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I feel cdu will gain to 97 percent honestly it’s super likely for cdu to win
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You don’t understand German politics at all and it shows
horseshoe-reality
3 months ago
I know that the CDU have ruled out working in a coalition with the AFD, but how much of that is just realpolitik in the run up to the election? Just look at Austria where they also had a "firewall" that fell apart after the FPO won the most seats and became impossible to ignore. How can a coalition between the CDU, SPD and Greens be more likely than one with the two major right wing parties?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally polls are stagnant for weeks
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 25-30 is overhauled but 15-20 seems very as afd now’s has controversy on helm right nkw
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Which seems very accurate
momoracle
3 months ago
Will the CDU/CDU win the German election? Current Probability: 99.94% https://x.com/Momoraclecom/status/1891141570226721072
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Early voting data show you are right keep it up
SAITEJA
3 months ago
CDU LFG
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang this free speech by Vance so overblown and merz saying oh he alienated voters or he proved Vance right like shut up he talking about it in a legal contexts
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t at all more and more people are joining afd but not by the numbers yall think also afd now under hug controversy was Russia right now
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I see 20-25 more likely than the ones yall think
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so early first voting data doesn’t show that at all
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Remember yall voting by mail has already started it’s not looking good for the afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Murders won’t affected shit so will the affect of trump Elon Vance and TikTok young people don’t vote at all this can be found in data right now if first votes
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I doubt it polls in Germany way too fucking accurate also afd is under a another big time controversy as well
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmfao trump and jd won’t influence shit in this election
SystemSympathizer
3 months ago
They are going towards total war.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We will wait and see highly doubt but we will srr
thares
3 months ago
The worst AFD performances of the pollsters during the final 3 weeks leading up to the 4 elections last year (Brandenburg, Sachsen, Thueringen, Germany wide EU election) never, ever, even once, overstated the AFD result. In Brandenburg the AFD overperformed by 2.2%, Sachsen by 0.4%, Thueringen by 3.8%, EU-election by 1.9%. Underperforming the pollsters with the worst AFD guess would be something unpresidented. Since all these elections were from last year and the methodology didn't change, betting on sub 20% is literally begging to lose money. In Saxony, people were most willing to admit they vote AFD, since the AFD has been established there the longest. In the storngly left leaning regions the overperformance of the AFD was generally greater, especially considering Potsdam, Berlin suburbs of Brandenburg, the historically socialist Thuringia and the West German parts of the EU-election. Even if a random pollster suddenly showed up at 19%, which none of the current pollster do, they all state 20-21%, it is highly unlikely considering those divergences that the afd would actually get a result of 19.x% instead of 20.x+%. Conclusion: If you buy anything below 20%, you will lose all your money, lol. Und damit, Alice fuer Deutschland! Cheers.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not being underestimated we know getting first votes with first one where the afd is leading but not by a lot only by one point In one of the district in bahvaira that’s it others first time in east Germany
thares
3 months ago
The worst AFD performances of the pollsters during the final 3 weeks leading up to the 4 elections last year (Brandenburg, Sachsen, Thueringen, Germany wide EU election) never, ever, even once, overstated the AFD result. In Brandenburg the AFD overperformed by 2.2%, Sachsen by 0.4%, Thueringen by 3.8%, EU-election by 1.9%. Underperforming the pollsters with the worst AFD guess would be something unpresidented. Since all these elections were from last year and the methodology didn't change, betting on sub 20% is literally begging to lose money. In Saxony, people were most willing to admit they vote AFD, since the AFD has been established there the longest. In the storngly left leaning regions the overperformance of the AFD was generally greater, especially considering Potsdam, Berlin suburbs of Brandenburg, the historically socialist Thuringia and the West German parts of the EU-election. Even if a random pollster suddenly showed up at 19%, which none of the current pollster do, they all state 20-21%, it is highly unlikely considering those divergences that the afd would actually get a result of 19.x% instead of 20.x+%. Conclusion: If you buy anything below 20%, you will lose all your money, lol. Und damit, Alice fuer Deutschland! Cheers.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang this market so bias hey tho cdu will win
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Look at the link above I sent you
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah true but most polls shows difference in this election polls in Germany are way more accurate than almost all polls in Europe
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Here tho https://x.com/PrognosUmfragen
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah I fully agree expected the unknown however this election does seem like very similar to the Belgium elections
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We still don’t know we will find out next week
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly tho Netherlands election did it tho like three weeks before the election this time seems like one week before
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s more like 5-7 percent but overall I agree with you
CalOne1
3 months ago
To all the non Germans here... There won't even be coalition talks between AfD and CDU after the election. There is no chance that they form a government.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To lose your money also the controversy of merz has calm down seems like
n/a
3 months ago
Easiest. Trade. Ever.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will negative impact the afd because a lot of their voters are anti America
TimeTraveler
3 months ago
On the contrary, the US efforts of pushing the AfD are negatively affecting them.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still won’t change much at l
Elyotus
3 months ago
Should be much tighter margins. Look at recent events, lots of people will want to see more radical solutions proposed by the AfD. AfD has also been normalized by the US admin and others and hence people who vote for it aren’t considered as extreme as before
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We know that will boost cdu and afd however about 40 percent of people already voted
n/a
3 months ago
Another Terror atttack in austria
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So true now merz being attack for what he said about Elon and jd Vance which is just lmfai
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
Another knife attack in Austria by a syrian guy. CDU & AFD bout to go ballistic.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Now so many liberal conservatives are mad at merz for criticizing jd Vance and Elon musk for saying their actions will have consequences saying he hated free speech is so lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll 30-21
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know to be honest
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Do we get a better entry or is this the bottom?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because unfortunately almost most Germany citizen has voted already
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This so sad after deaths too three terror attacks in one month is so fucking crazy however people blind still won’t impact a lot in this election
FUENTES
3 months ago
Terror Attack in Austria https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1890828219017834508
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Two in one day is crazy all so sad they care too much of firewall I think cdu is going to change after this
FUENTES
3 months ago
Terror Attack in Austria https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1890828219017834508
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Another terror attack in Austria so sad cdu took actions but this will also boost the afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I saw that so sad but won’t change German election at all
FUENTES
3 months ago
Terror Attack in Austria https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1890828219017834508
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Just found out two year old and 37 year old didn’t make it in the attack
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Where is mcpetrus when you need him
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmao I love it
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Terrorist attack could be a game changer.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That won’t impact shit trust me
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Terrorist attack could be a game changer.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Finally breaking news over 40 percent of Germans have voted in this election cycle
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t most us will however with Vance Chinese ambasssdor and Elon I doubt afd will gain steam actually think Chinese ambassador will cause controversy
Morningcake
3 months ago
Don‘t underestimate the huge count of postal votes, where a few people’s already voted, before the last attack
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I actually think them meeting the Chinese ambassador will ruin their numbers but as for the Vance speech won’t impact shit so will USA nothing will change this election at all
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Terrorist attack could be a game changer.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Never mind getting over with like I predicted
Parthenope
3 months ago
AfDtards coming to their senses?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know but merz and cdu getting shit stomp on twitter however I doubt it will affected this election that much
Parthenope
3 months ago
AfDtards coming to their senses?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh German twitter is shit show after jd Vance speech it’s kinda funny in my opinion
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
AfD! https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1890705620208099497
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh even though we seeing huge shit show with jd Vance speech but however I doubt we still be talking about it next week it will blow over again
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After jd Vance visited Germany a lot people taking this opportunity to attack merz and criticizing him by huge mile the reason everyone knows merz is going to be chancellor of Germany it’s common sense
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
All in this eke him
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
AfD! https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1890705620208099497
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Boy this proves to me yall you alt right fan boys have no idea about German politics at l
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
AfD! https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1890705620208099497
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup
Guwop
3 months ago
Troll of the swamp, why are you posting so much on this bet? Are you a top CDU yes holder on another account?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s minor one could astar but only have six dollars of cdh
Guwop
3 months ago
Troll of the swamp, why are you posting so much on this bet? Are you a top CDU yes holder on another account?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Kinda I like to troll
Guwop
3 months ago
Troll of the swamp, why are you posting so much on this bet? Are you a top CDU yes holder on another account?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Didn’t do shit in Christmas market one won’t this time as well
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Terrorist attack could be a game changer.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so we keep hearing this but it won’t change shit
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
One of the principles I've learned in life is to always bet against the scum, even if it means losing money because in the end, you still win dignity. True wealth isn’t just about financial gain; it’s about integrity, standing by your values, and refusing to empower those who operate without honor. A loss in numbers is insignificant compared to a victory of character.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t change shit tbh
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Terrorist attack could be a game changer.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Named one party that will side with Alice to make her chancellor I’ll wait
Griffiti
3 months ago
So many people are severely underestimating the worldwide conservative revolution thats taking place. After years of unauthorized illegal immigrants, extreme wokeness, and fake mainstream media. Trump's victory is just the beginning... we are about to experience a once in a lifetime revolution.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmfao trolling so funny watch you implode
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Don’t understand why people buying afd think so miracle will happen during this election like no it won’t but good luck on losing money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Everyone will buy afd 25-30 thinking stuff will change when they don’t realized nothing going to change not even that attack on Thursday
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This cope because they know afd won’t win tbh
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
One of the principles I've learned in life is to always bet against the scum, even if it means losing money because in the end, you still win dignity. True wealth isn’t just about financial gain; it’s about integrity, standing by your values, and refusing to empower those who operate without honor. A loss in numbers is insignificant compared to a victory of character.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also one last thing Vance will not affected this election at all not even one bit
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmfao I love your trolling behavior
IceT22
3 months ago
34% OF GERMAN VOTES FOR AfD JUST FLEW OVER MY HOUSE!!!!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
None good luck alt right on losing
i0000010
3 months ago
How much USAID $ in this market?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree why don’t donate to the afd
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
One of the principles I've learned in life is to always bet against the scum, even if it means losing money because in the end, you still win dignity. True wealth isn’t just about financial gain; it’s about integrity, standing by your values, and refusing to empower those who operate without honor. A loss in numbers is insignificant compared to a victory of character.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Don’t understand why people buying afd think so miracle will happen during this election like no it won’t but good luck on losing money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh it’s cdu time to win jd Vance won’t change anything about this election at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t change anything in Germany at all
Daavid2101
3 months ago
please continue to dump the AfD chart. I would love to get one good entry around 2 cents :D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To people like oh jd Vance met Alice that’s huge it’s not most of you celebrating that don’t understand German politics at a
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmao because he endorse them is bigger clown show
FUENTES
3 months ago
JD VANCE met Alice Weidel. it's game breaker
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Truly but cdu just too much of solid support to over come
Flaner
3 months ago
I want AfD as much as the next guy but retarded boomers make up most of Germany, that's just how it is
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They said jd Vance speech and him meeting Alice will be a game changer
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
CDU to win the most seats is over 97% on Betfair UK, most statistical models put it close 98/99%+ likelihood. Someone gimme some AFD rationale beyond 'potential migrant attack'', which has consistently shown to have little to no effect already.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They said oh jd Vance and Elon will help afd win but laugh so hadd
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
CDU to win the most seats is over 97% on Betfair UK, most statistical models put it close 98/99%+ likelihood. Someone gimme some AFD rationale beyond 'potential migrant attack'', which has consistently shown to have little to no effect already.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s cute but honestly jd Vance and Elon won’t change the European election at all
FUENTES
3 months ago
JD VANCE met Alice Weidel. it's game breaker
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That won’t change shit
FUENTES
3 months ago
JD VANCE met Alice Weidel. it's game breaker
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Wow so will you be selling you shares or no
FUENTES
3 months ago
i'm done. germany is a cowardly people haunted by the mustachioed dictator
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fucking agree there really none for them is to it
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
CDU to win the most seats is over 97% on Betfair UK, most statistical models put it close 98/99%+ likelihood. Someone gimme some AFD rationale beyond 'potential migrant attack'', which has consistently shown to have little to no effect already.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Your so right like which was shown in polls already again
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
CDU to win the most seats is over 97% on Betfair UK, most statistical models put it close 98/99%+ likelihood. Someone gimme some AFD rationale beyond 'potential migrant attack'', which has consistently shown to have little to no effect already.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll only 17 percent of people said that event influence their choice of voting meaning had really not that big of change like I said would happened
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The attack had no affect on most voter 83 percent said not really and only 17 said yes but that low because most were lean afd to began with
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will elected Merz as the chancellor for Germany
robbyd
3 months ago
Just comes down to if Germany still has balls, or if they’ve been neutered for good
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It depends all of people buying them lacking idea afd can over perform polls they typical underperform as well
Machaon
3 months ago
19% for under 20% is delulu, even polls say 20+
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well they are going constant at 20 but only two shows 20 plus others not so much stop it with that
Machaon
3 months ago
19% for under 20% is delulu, even polls say 20+
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True merz ain’t resigning
thares
3 months ago
Genau was ich vermutet habe. Nach der Wahl wird Blackrock Merz anweisen die Brandmauer fallen zu lassen. Mal gucken wie tief die AFD Phobie in der CDU integriert ist.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This speech will have no effect on to voters he was funny to attack the government then praise orban who a dictator
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That speech was so funny because it was good speech but why should cdu and spd consider afd like their voters don’t want to which super fair
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
More like a week before and gap so big that it would take too much to overcome it
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Again jd Vance and America maga movement doesn’t have huge impact on German voters at all
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
https://x.com/Alice_Weidel/status/1890403911091044621
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly it won’t impact much again he can talk about this firewall all he wants won’t change voter minds at all you also citing Alice but nothing will change this election
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
https://x.com/Alice_Weidel/status/1890403911091044621
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s so true same for Germany as well union doing good job but their voters won’t be convinced by jd Vance or Elon at all
MR16
3 months ago
Vance just destroyed the globalist leaders at the MSC - that should boost AfD even a little more
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It was good speech I have heard better also intresting he said they need work together but union doing good campaign right now
MR16
3 months ago
Vance just destroyed the globalist leaders at the MSC - that should boost AfD even a little more
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They don’t they don’t care either yall overestimate how much jd Vance and Elon has on Germany it’s not a lot at all
MR16
3 months ago
Vance just destroyed the globalist leaders at the MSC - that should boost AfD even a little more
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly it doesn’t matter most Germans blinded won’t go to afd this attack kinda proves that doesn’t matter if jd Vance attacks merz or not he won’t have the effect to have afd win
n/a
3 months ago
Germany getting what they voted for in munich.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That will have little effect to afd performances as a lot of afd supporters hated America again Vance trump and Elon has no effect in German politics
MR16
3 months ago
Vance just destroyed the globalist leaders at the MSC - that should boost AfD even a little more
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Breaking news two year old who everyone thought died is alive but serious conditions however it’s noted action will be taken
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It gets resolved
Commie-Killer
3 months ago
What happens when no coalition is formed?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well we now know who going to be chancellor like so obvious merz
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not that bad compare to America shit show
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They still vote for old party expect cdu to win in this election
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still highly doubt it but hey do you boo I just don’t think polls are that off for afd what happen Munich will be forgotten like the Christmas market and stabbing was a week later
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
If it did why did Vance only visit merz not Alice hmm I don’t think this will ruin cdu
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt maybe one to two points but not to overcome cdu at all
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New election ot minority government
Commie-Killer
3 months ago
What happens when no coalition is formed?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You sure because it won’t change the numbers for afd at all
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
What happened in Munich is fked up. Germany WAKE UP
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What I’m saying is so overblown it will died down by end of next week before the election
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well tides seem to be interesting with trump and Vance with this honestly I’m happy for merz stand his ground
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I still expect the cdu to win this election but we will see however I think he will do a minority governing
thares
3 months ago
Genau was ich vermutet habe. Nach der Wahl wird Blackrock Merz anweisen die Brandmauer fallen zu lassen. Mal gucken wie tief die AFD Phobie in der CDU integriert ist.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
With that being said this election is over now we must move on today thank you
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We will see honestly we don’t know yet let’s wait time will tell
Exeggut
3 months ago
Wird Vance es schaffen Merz aufzufordern, die Brandmauer zu kippen?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s more like 97 percent for them to win only one person died at the attack yesterday others were fine compare to the Christmas one in which more peoooe died
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Will change nothing of this
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not even at 8-10 percent anymore polls this week shows a 12 percent to ten percent gap which was what it was before Christmas terror attack as well however this time cdu has too much advantage to lose this election the terror attack wl
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So this election basically over now with polls staying stagnant and gaining we see in nine days but I don’t think much will change like they down by 11-12 percent in most polls now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’ve study election for years Afd will win second but not first at all
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Doesn’t change much in this election at all for this time no one an Germany cares about these terror attacks anymore
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
So looking at the prices it basically hurt the anti-migration party of germany that there was a terror attack in munich yesterday, right?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree I don’t think really much will change they getting 25-30 it’s almost infeasible to see them doing it
Mylo
3 months ago
People that think Afd will get 25-30% or even 30%+ are just one election cycle too early. In 4 years they will have a real shot at majority if nothing changes in the next government.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn it’s literally like polls have stagnant this week
mombil
3 months ago
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20% AFD
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well bedtime for me but nothing will change this election more good night
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey flip would you be worried about this election at all or no
Machaon
3 months ago
AFD is at 21%, far right is always underestimated in the polls, an attack just happened, 25-30 is undervalued.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah this attack wouldn’t convinced shit for this election at all
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Is this sarcasm or no
Machaon
3 months ago
AFD is at 21%, far right is always underestimated in the polls, an attack just happened, 25-30 is undervalued.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But what are you thought on my opinion
Yoschl84
3 months ago
New survey: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 12.5%, Gruene 12.5%, Linke 6%. Source:https://dawum.de/Bundestag/Wahlkreisprognose_de/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
25-30 slightly overvauled due to everyone panicked and think of this going to boost the fuck out of afd but that didn’t happened at all so let’s just say this afd will gain but not by much after this attack on it so let’s wait
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Your right we thought afd will surge after the vote on 1/31 but they didn’t I expect this to boost cdu more than afd in my opinion
Yoschl84
3 months ago
New survey: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 12.5%, Gruene 12.5%, Linke 6%. Source:https://dawum.de/Bundestag/Wahlkreisprognose_de/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt it we still don’t how the attack will impact the polls also you saying trump take over Gaza so lmfao but I don’t know I highly doubt those polls are that off also most polls has afd 20-21 with. Slow decline as of now
Machaon
3 months ago
AFD is at 21%, far right is always underestimated in the polls, an attack just happened, 25-30 is undervalued.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But the attack today also might hurt cdu and csu but I highly doubt that
Yoschl84
3 months ago
New survey: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 12.5%, Gruene 12.5%, Linke 6%. Source:https://dawum.de/Bundestag/Wahlkreisprognose_de/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What do you mean even if afd win doesn’t mean they be in power kinda what happening in Austria right now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Everyone buying Alice don’t understand German politics at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but multiple surgery has now shown cdu at 32 percent
Yoschl84
3 months ago
New survey: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 12.5%, Gruene 12.5%, Linke 6%. Source:https://dawum.de/Bundestag/Wahlkreisprognose_de/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I saw that but everyone is too focused on attack that happpnef today
Yoschl84
3 months ago
New survey: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 12.5%, Gruene 12.5%, Linke 6%. Source:https://dawum.de/Bundestag/Wahlkreisprognose_de/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang this election is over in my opinion nothing willl change even after that attack
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The people who think over 250 billion are alt right Elon musk fans who has no logic at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah but his cuts are going to get strike down
Phantom22
3 months ago
Its over https://www.courthousenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/fourteen-state-ags-sue-musk-doge-over-influence.pdf
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly it’s funny seeing afd imploding after being humbled by cdu and csu lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Attack combined with very strong polling numbers before the election is coming which is accurate places
Zorroh
3 months ago
Why the big drop? Polling, debate and attack? Isn’t that overreacting?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Did see the debate Alice fumbled the debate compare to the others
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz seem competent in the debate compare to abysmal performance on Alice like lmfao this was so funny as a debate
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
One last thing after this attack 15-20 still possible but not likely however 20-25 is very likely to this add performance for afd however it won’t make them surge over 5-6 percent most likely 1-2 percent for this tragedy
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
A lot most of them won’t change at all no matter how many terrorist attack there are unfortunately
n/a
3 months ago
How much more can the poor germans take
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I did too about this tragedy
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
Germany has become so unattractive to live in. Who would like to pay record high taxes, for low public security and selfhating lefties throwing sh*t into your face...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree Germany is mess right now ten years ago Germany which such good nation I don’t know what happned
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
Germany has become so unattractive to live in. Who would like to pay record high taxes, for low public security and selfhating lefties throwing sh*t into your face...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree however this election so favors cdu and csu like merz did good job in the debate today Alice did oof it was embarrassing to watch her debate
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
Germany has become so unattractive to live in. Who would like to pay record high taxes, for low public security and selfhating lefties throwing sh*t into your face...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz did very well in his debate tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They only went to 2p plus because red and greens are dumbass but honestly the debate shows how unserious the afd really are
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate was so embarrrassing for Alice like she so bad at the debating like she got mad in the crowd lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate is over and it’s was so embarrassing how other three parties did. Compare to the others one did
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Debate is about over and funny moments were afd fumbled Alice was so fucking clueless didn’t know what she was talking about but merz did decent in the debate tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It is for Alice it’s bad Alice is fumbling in this election right now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate was so embarrrassing for Alice like she so bad at the debating like she got mad in the crowd lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz seem competent in the debate compare to abysmal performance on Alice like lmfao this was so funny as a debate
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He said he wants the centre back to fight for the rights for Germany honestly we see
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
Just watching the debate. Alice Weidel is doing a pretty bad job transporting her message empathetically. Thank god i bought so cheap 😂.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The debate was so embarrrassing for Alice like she so bad at the debating like she got mad in the crowd lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That debate was so embarrassing she awful at debating
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
Just watching the debate. Alice Weidel is doing a pretty bad job transporting her message empathetically. Thank god i bought so cheap 😂.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fucking agree I don’t think this favored afd that much as it will favored the cdu and csu as well in this election
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Sooooooo today someone killed multiple people in an islamic attack in Munich 10 days before the election and the AFD Price is 0.2% lower than yesterday? WTF guys? :D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly we taking this munchin too much let’s calm down we don’t know yet but I have big feeling it won’t do much to the afd support and that much to afd and cdu numbers meaning it won’t change in this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We have to wait as we’ll be patient tho it’s unlikely
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Sooooooo today someone killed multiple people in an islamic attack in Munich 10 days before the election and the AFD Price is 0.2% lower than yesterday? WTF guys? :D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
How close the election is it will impact the afd maybe 1-3 that’s it’s like Christmas market attack didn’t help their numbers that much h
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Sooooooo today someone killed multiple people in an islamic attack in Munich 10 days before the election and the AFD Price is 0.2% lower than yesterday? WTF guys? :D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t impact shit the guy was also shockingly revealed to be a stanch afd and was a Russian sympathizer
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
Sooooooo today someone killed multiple people in an islamic attack in Munich 10 days before the election and the AFD Price is 0.2% lower than yesterday? WTF guys? :D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not going happen Alice will not win at all your delusional again
Griffiti
3 months ago
So many people are severely underestimating the worldwide conservative revolution thats taking place. After years of unauthorized illegal immigrants, extreme wokeness, and fake mainstream media. Trump's victory is just the beginning... we are about to experience a once in a lifetime revolution.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
More news the attacker wasn’t a Islam beleiver he was also a stanch afd supporter so this is weird based on his social media
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well after these polls afd is over the attack lower spd and green and cdu and afd will down but nothing will change next week
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I will later
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Walk is 32-20
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls now have a huge 12 point gap there no way afd can will this election or gain like five points with ease this election so factors cdu and csu there no chance for afd to have a comeback
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree with you mombil if this didn’t happen then 15-20 would be so favored
mombil
3 months ago
Wahlkreisprognose AFD 20: https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/trends-im-bund/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Walk is 32-20
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll walk 30-20 meaning cdu will win around 30-35 in this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That means afd 25-30 is overvauled in my opinion right now
mombil
3 months ago
Wahlkreisprognose AFD 20: https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/trends-im-bund/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The cdu will increase after this as well on this
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Next polls infratest 32 percent for cdu as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After these polls are coming out with bigger leads for cdu it’s pretty hard to imagine afd winning this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think that was his goal was to boost the fuck of the afd as well but cdu and csu will still likely win this election
Oukej
3 months ago
Could've bought some 15-20 at 17c
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Next polls infratest 32 percent for cdu as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but cdu and csu will win this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
However this attack was awful it will be forgotten after next week thi
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Leaning towards polls staying a little stagnant and that but cdu and csu will win this election in my opinion
mombil
3 months ago
Infratest leider nur 32-21
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Allenbatch 32-20
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This did happen however it’s being overblown it’s won’t change much in this election like Christmas market attack as well
Stabaily32
3 months ago
https://www.foxnews.com/world/car-driver-munich-plows-crowd-1-day-before-vance-world-leaders-gather-security-conference
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
However this attack was awful it will be forgotten after next week thi
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After this attack cdu and afd will surge for this
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New allenbatch poll was 32-20 but however this attack distracted that’s tho
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
32-20 for the allenbatch poll but hey this attack distracted that but however nothing will change in polls next week
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Allenbatch 32 but the fdp finally got the five percent they need
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We won’t see shit change at all everyone of afd are overreacting
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We s
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think it could happen but also thinking about Austria as well
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Germany slow downfall is a sad story
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t change much this matter being way too overblown like big time
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think it will change much of this election but afd and cdu will gain
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
You have to be a stone cold retard after yet another attack if you still vote for anything other than the AfD. Only the AfD can save Germany.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They don’t this is bad but honestly I don’t think much will change
thares
3 months ago
Can we just talk about how bad the new Polymarket UI is? I now have to manually calculate percentages because they are no longer shown. HOW DFQ DID THEY MESS THIS UP:
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Who knows I know it will benefit the cdu and cdu since they tried to pass reasonable migration
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This attack will boost afd and cdu as well but I wouldn be weary about how this attack will change the numbers
Biasface
3 months ago
Terrible attack in Munich, hoping no one dies
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree I think we over analyze this attack nothing will change honestly voting afd asking for spd green and cdu coalition
yoyo753
3 months ago
Thinking this attack will change anything is delusional. I Wish I had more money to buy no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They are thinking about leaving it
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Germany slow downfall is a sad story
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But we will see we can’t make speculation right now on this
Biasface
3 months ago
Terrible attack in Munich, hoping no one dies
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
None one has but this attack will only gain afd and cdu but spd and green are so done after this
Biasface
3 months ago
Terrible attack in Munich, hoping no one dies
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That attack won’t change shit for this election it will boost both cdu and afd as well
Griffiti
3 months ago
So many people are severely underestimating the worldwide conservative revolution thats taking place. After years of unauthorized illegal immigrants, extreme wokeness, and fake mainstream media. Trump's victory is just the beginning... we are about to experience a once in a lifetime revolution. Also everyone linking AFD to neo nazis and claiming that the AFD winning would be the rise of the far-right is clueless. Trump was called a nazi, day one dictator and it was all a smear campaign. You have to be gullible to believe what the fake media and polls tell you. Don't forget Trump was projected by "polls" to lose by a wide margin and I suspect the same is happening in Germany and possibly the rest of Europr. People are fed up and you can tell.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Please do not speculate, but wait until the matter has blown over.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Spd and greens are finish cdu and afd will only gain from this attack
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We will see but right now everyone focus on this attack tbh
alexmunteanu
3 months ago
15-20% soooon
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think so too but maybe cdu will join afd next coalition
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Germany slow downfall is a sad story
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think afd and cdu is going to be next one maybe fdp but spd and Green Party fucked for this election now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Prediction next colitation will be afd and cdu
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think honestly afd and cdu will be next colitation now
sg55
3 months ago
Rally around the flag effect will evaporate as we move forward.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They already are but hey this was gold for afd and cdu in my opinion
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
CDU will say: It was the SPD & Greens who didnt want to regulate immigration when it was up for discussion last friday
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Me too I’m as well however it will boost afd and cdu more in this because cdu took action
n/a
3 months ago
Another diversity (Terroist) event in munich.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But what do you think of this action of spd and greens will be nedd
RainerZufall11
3 months ago
I think this incident was quite good for 20-25. Current polls were at 19-22%. This should bump it up a little but no to much. I actually don't to many people changing their mind because of that. Pretty much just the people that are deciding between CDU and AfD. But most of the current CDU will prob tell themselves that the CDU will fix this.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I finally agree with you for once I think afd and cdu will join force to stop this but this will kill afd after thid
degenGambler
3 months ago
The terror attack today, should bump CDU + AfD a bit more. Their voting together on the law limiting immigration and putting immigrants that will need to be deported in prison might have prevented this attack. Even doe the attacker himself might not had to have been send to prison through the law.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This poll was trash honestly I doubts they will get way over 25-39
n/a
3 months ago
The German polls are a joke. 20% never. According to them, Harris should also win with over 70%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
15-20 is dead at this point however 20-25 still very likely after this tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah but after what happened today union and afd will get boost but others won’t at akl
Nervenarzt
3 months ago
29% at the moment
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think that it will help merz change his mind of course this happens which when 15-20 start seeming more reasonably this bullshit happens but merz will get boost from this as well
RainerZufall11
3 months ago
I think this incident was quite good for 20-25. Current polls were at 19-22%. This should bump it up a little but no to much. I actually don't to many people changing their mind because of that. Pretty much just the people that are deciding between CDU and AfD. But most of the current CDU will prob tell themselves that the CDU will fix this.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will get a minor boost however I doubt it will do major that they gain over three or four percent but who knows yet but 20-25 is very likely one in this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
When cdu introduce bill to help migration issue has afd no so cdu will down from this as well
n/a
3 months ago
The German polls are a joke. 20% never. According to them, Harris should also win with over 70%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But they dominated again cdu doing everything they can voting afd just guranteed a red green and black coalition for the next German governing
RainerZufall11
3 months ago
I think this incident was quite good for 20-25. Current polls were at 19-22%. This should bump it up a little but no to much. I actually don't to many people changing their mind because of that. Pretty much just the people that are deciding between CDU and AfD. But most of the current CDU will prob tell themselves that the CDU will fix this.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fucking agree with this statement I don’t think 25 will happened but who knows
RainerZufall11
3 months ago
I think this incident was quite good for 20-25. Current polls were at 19-22%. This should bump it up a little but no to much. I actually don't to many people changing their mind because of that. Pretty much just the people that are deciding between CDU and AfD. But most of the current CDU will prob tell themselves that the CDU will fix this.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s is however don’t think 25 plus is kinda unlikely but hey maybe afd gets into a big scandal you don’t know
zulaboi
3 months ago
Ah shit, 15-20% was looking very probable but now it’s looking like 20%+ is inevitable
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey do think this make afd get over 25 percent or no
n/a
3 months ago
The German polls are a joke. 20% never. According to them, Harris should also win with over 70%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Again this event could boost them little bit but not by a lot either
n/a
3 months ago
The German polls are a joke. 20% never. According to them, Harris should also win with over 70%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They are not that bad again they could who knows but they are importsbt you need to know that
n/a
3 months ago
The German polls are a joke. 20% never. According to them, Harris should also win with over 70%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey where did that guy who comment go
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t see afd change much off this as well because they can’t implement half of what they want
Baumfreund
3 months ago
Dead Germans every day and 30% of brainwashed media victims still planning to vote for CDU/CSU. Pathetic
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s was against the afd however I don’t think this will change much of Germany
justsomeguy
3 months ago
BREAKING: Afghani asylum seeker drives minivan into right wing AFD-demo https://www.tagesschau.de/newsticker/liveblog-muenchen-102.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz will do it so I think cdu will now side with afd after this in my opinion
horseshoe-reality
3 months ago
Europe needs to wake up, we need remigration now. In Germany and in Britain.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey yall I think we should wait about this event however I expect more will come after this as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think so but I don’t know yet spd and green had chance turn it around but no they played dumb
justsomeguy
3 months ago
shit should have gone for 25+% when it was cheap. Who can imagine that fcking 2 Afghanis in the matter of 2 weeks before the elction will commit acts of terror.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally period however I think all of us are overestimating this event right now
IceT22
3 months ago
Using a Mini Cooper for a drive-through attack? Pathetic. What's next a PT Cruiser? Step your game up CIA Glowies
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think this attack is horrible however it’s noted that it will boost the afd and cdu in this as well so there that of course for this
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This would make cdu strong but also afd one as well this is bullshit for cdu they doing everything to change laws
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
Imagine this guy would have been deported if left parties had agreed to the new immigration law on friday.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think cdu will win this election but the attack was horrible but hey cdu could use this day hey we brought up legislation vote us we see change
Baumfreund
3 months ago
Dead Germans every day and 30% of brainwashed media victims still planning to vote for CDU/CSU. Pathetic
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well this attack going. Boost the cdu and afd as well on this
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think we need to wait on this because it didn’t boost them on the Christmas market attack at all and other
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree will be on it but we shouldn’t think on it as well we shall see
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It will depend we don’t knwi
thares
3 months ago
Ey immer diese australischen Austauschstudenden... Jetzt hat schon wieder einer von denen ein paar Leute ueberfahren.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think we overblown this thing up give it some time and wait until we see result about this okay
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but however it’s gotten blown up for little bit but by next week no one will give shit about it anymore
thares
3 months ago
Ey immer diese australischen Austauschstudenden... Jetzt hat schon wieder einer von denen ein paar Leute ueberfahren.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We current freaking out about this stupid car crash but honestly we shouldn’t think it will boost them over 25-30 on this
Guwop
3 months ago
I have not heard a single good argument for why people should vote for the CDU.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I telling you guys just wait until polls and other thing come out later on for this on it I think we should wait until next week
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think it will change much but it gain afd but the cdu and csu will win this election for them as well
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think we are over assuming this attack right now and what will do to the afd numbers I think we should wait for a couple of days on this in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey what are your thought on this attack we need sensible right now but what do you think
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree but we should wait until further action has been but we will see ugur you thought cdu was going to lose hard after the vote but the polls stayed stagnant I expect the same but let’s see
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We can’t assume the numbers until polls start coming out give it some time with the stabbing did shit to afd numbers so did the other car crash that happened we need to wait until further action is taking place
FUENTES
3 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We know already however I want to see how others will do it we can assume that afd will win easily just yet give it time okay
MR16
3 months ago
Afghan migrant injured 20 people with a car.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
According to reports the 26 year old was a stanch afd supporter so this was two weeks before the election which damn afd numbers will go uo
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey do you think this will highly impact afd numbers or no
n/a
3 months ago
https://www.sueddeutsche.de/muenchen/muenchen-auto-menschenmenge-demonstration-stieglmaierplatz-verletzte-li.3201601 it's so Joever for below 25%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think this was horrible it is over for afd will win around 25-30 percent in my opinion but still think 20-25 is still likely
n/a
3 months ago
https://www.sueddeutsche.de/muenchen/muenchen-auto-menschenmenge-demonstration-stieglmaierplatz-verletzte-li.3201601 it's so Joever for below 25%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We think it was afghan who did but the report says as unconfirmed at the moment we should wait until further investigation confirms who the guy is
n/a
3 months ago
Another diversity (Terroist) event in munich.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We don’t know who the guy is
n/a
3 months ago
Another diversity (Terroist) event in munich.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wouldn’t say it’s going to make ride hard we saw from the stabbing did shit for their numbers so I would refrain until further notices
FUENTES
3 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We found out that he is European still very tragic but still don’t have all the details yet
FUENTES
3 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It was a native German in this case but this is sad tbh
FUENTES
3 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We don’t know who the perpetrator is could be a native German who knows
FUENTES
3 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s horrible
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
A car just drove into a crows again injuring & killing several people. This time in Munich. Not again people.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Was it a migrat or no
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
A car just drove into a crows again injuring & killing several people. This time in Munich. Not again people.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Who was perpetrator
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
A car just drove into a crows again injuring & killing several people. This time in Munich. Not again people.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Was this today recently
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
A car just drove into a crows again injuring & killing several people. This time in Munich. Not again people.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You so dumb if you think Alice going to be chancellor
Griffiti
3 months ago
So many people are severely underestimating the worldwide conservative revolution thats taking place. After years of unauthorized illegal immigrants, extreme wokeness, and fake mainstream media. Trump's victory is just the beginning... we are about to experience a once in a lifetime revolution.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You are sick fucking bastard that’s fucking disgusting
ChilliPalmer
3 months ago
Come on islamist, don't stop now with the bombing, knifing, vehicleing in the name of allah! We need afd to rage in the polls...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude look into the poll show how bad that data really was look into it
deplorable99
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Mcpetrus what do think of spd controversy
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I see you are desperate for this to happen but I’m telling you it won’t happen at all
ChilliPalmer
3 months ago
Come on islamist, don't stop now with the bombing, knifing, vehicleing in the name of allah! We need afd to rage in the polls...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well Olaf fuck over his party tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Olaf has whole racism scandal going on right now their numbers are ruin
Anyonesone
3 months ago
Scholz saying his Chances of Winning are 60%, and I agree: https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/olaf-scholz-im-spiegel-talk-zur-hofnarr-aussage-gegen-cdu-politiker-joe-chialo-a-d6655878-f6f5-44c8-bd5a-e03e6bd1b422
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
With racism scandal that’s going boost cdu as well
mcpetrus
3 months ago
I honestly can't say much about this institute "pollytix". I only know that it belongs to the former boss of infratest dimap, which certainly makes it reputable. There are also two new polls from western German states where the AfD has 18%. These are the strongholds where the party was already strongest in the West in the European elections with 15%, and then in Germany as a whole it was 16%. The 18% from the polls fits very well with 19-20 for the whole of Germany. As I said, it will be a close race whether they finish over or under 20. In my opinion, the trend continues to be for under 20.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bffr the idea is that racism claims are funny because it’s going to ruin him
Anyonesone
3 months ago
Scholz saying his Chances of Winning are 60%, and I agree: https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/olaf-scholz-im-spiegel-talk-zur-hofnarr-aussage-gegen-cdu-politiker-joe-chialo-a-d6655878-f6f5-44c8-bd5a-e03e6bd1b422
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree we already know cdu will win but afd going be over is intresting
mcpetrus
3 months ago
I honestly can't say much about this institute "pollytix". I only know that it belongs to the former boss of infratest dimap, which certainly makes it reputable. There are also two new polls from western German states where the AfD has 18%. These are the strongholds where the party was already strongest in the West in the European elections with 15%, and then in Germany as a whole it was 16%. The 18% from the polls fits very well with 19-20 for the whole of Germany. As I said, it will be a close race whether they finish over or under 20. In my opinion, the trend continues to be for under 20.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know they think American politics is same as German which lmfao
Oukej
3 months ago
How is this fucking gopfan guy always on the money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd is getting balance out but far right people buying afd think they have chance is lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree with you on this
Mantou11
3 months ago
Afd now on 19%: https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/weitere-umfragen.htm 4% further decrease possible or not? Maybe, but I will take it for 250 odds
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree with David for once
swaglex
3 months ago
What will happen if no government is formed until june 30?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s different market but spd are dead
swaglex
3 months ago
What will happen if no government is formed until june 30?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I meant that’s fucking you to decide
Daavid2101
3 months ago
My western friends and family members are shilling AfD - even tho most of them voted greens before. Thats some solid change! I bet polls underestimate AfD bigtime.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New election
swaglex
3 months ago
What will happen if no government is formed until june 30?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know that’s for you to decide I fucking you but however you use a lot of confirmation bias now while I think afd has chance to get 25 very low one I think 20-22 seems fair
Daavid2101
3 months ago
My western friends and family members are shilling AfD - even tho most of them voted greens before. Thats some solid change! I bet polls underestimate AfD bigtime.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice is so overvauled she should be zero no way she going to be chancellor
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll pollytrix 29-19 ten points. For cdu and csu for this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll 29-19 politrix one point down both cdu and afd but still the same cdu will win this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls are still very accurate I don’t they be off by eight or ten points
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
David hate this person but you who lived in Germany saying polls underestimating afd are using your confirmation bias polls very accurate in Germany nothing will change afd will not win
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Look at how most accurate polls do it like allenbatch infratest and other ones forgot the name it’s show afd are not gaining at all it’s been constant it’s going to stay constant
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
David hate this person but you who lived in Germany saying polls underestimating afd are using your confirmation bias polls very accurate in Germany nothing will change afd will not win
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree the afd on huge downfall right now along with spd as well
Aadler12345
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html Poll by the people that predicted Brexit and 1st Trump presidency correctly: CDU 27%, AFD 25% in their poll.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Did even look deep into poll and how bad the data was this also old news polls that more accurate showing a different story alder
Aadler12345
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html Poll by the people that predicted Brexit and 1st Trump presidency correctly: CDU 27%, AFD 25% in their poll.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t hate I want you see reality and show you that you can’t prove they are going to win because no evidence points to that especially that dearchs for afd are lowest since 1-22 so they won’t win
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
David hate this person but you who lived in Germany saying polls underestimating afd are using your confirmation bias polls very accurate in Germany nothing will change afd will not win
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls Germany very accurate polls being off by ten or eight points very hard to believe trust me nothing shows afd going to win this election
Daavid2101
3 months ago
My western friends and family members are shilling AfD - even tho most of them voted greens before. Thats some solid change! I bet polls underestimate AfD bigtime.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
David hate this person but you who lived in Germany saying polls underestimating afd are using your confirmation bias polls very accurate in Germany nothing will change afd will not win
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
David we get it your a afd supporter but you live in delude land if think afd can win
Daavid2101
3 months ago
My western friends and family members are shilling AfD - even tho most of them voted greens before. Thats some solid change! I bet polls underestimate AfD bigtime.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude by eight points you thinking oh it’s going to change I don’t think afd will win polls are not underestimating them by eight or ten points
Daavid2101
3 months ago
My western friends and family members are shilling AfD - even tho most of them voted greens before. Thats some solid change! I bet polls underestimate AfD bigtime.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Spd is fucked now after what came out today
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Smells good
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New controversy with spd and racism it’s look like spd has ruin their chances cdu and csu will gain more votes now after this
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well Olaf is ruined but merz has now a higher chance of becoming chancellor
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But now you citing a afd supporter but I love you shit posting ugur
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
GOOD MORNING FAM. SORRY I WAS ON VACATION AND COULDN'T SHITPOST. ANYWAY, LET'S SEE IF THERE WILL BE ANOTHER BIG MIGRANT SCANDAL BEFORE THE ELECTION. THE LEFT IS SWEATING. https://x.com/achseostwest/status/1889662755629629842
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New controversy with spd and racism it’s look like spd has ruin their chances cdu and csu will gain more votes now after this
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fucking saw that it’s bad right now cdu is going gain from this
Caneish
3 months ago
https://m.focus.de/politik/deutschland/jede-partei-braucht-ihren-hofnarr-cdu-mann-chialo-beleidigt-kanzler-scholz-leistet-sich-rassistischen-aussetzer_id_260715503.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I saw that it’s like we predicted right the afd is losing shit Tom of stream now
Mantou11
3 months ago
Today lowest interest about AFD on Google Trends since 22nd of January. Meanwhile opposition parties are gaining interest quickly.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
There could be however right now spd is under huge controversy with cdu and csu as well but nice to see you back ugur
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
GOOD MORNING FAM. SORRY I WAS ON VACATION AND COULDN'T SHITPOST. ANYWAY, LET'S SEE IF THERE WILL BE ANOTHER BIG MIGRANT SCANDAL BEFORE THE ELECTION. THE LEFT IS SWEATING. https://x.com/achseostwest/status/1889662755629629842
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So true it’s about it as well
Mantou11
3 months ago
Today lowest interest about AFD on Google Trends since 22nd of January. Meanwhile opposition parties are gaining interest quickly.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn spd is in a shit show
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well polls showing huge decrease for afd with them keep going down so afd will not win at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s over for afd as fpo and ovp has failed in colitation talks
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Breaking news Austria far right party and center right talks have collapsed now fpo will not likely lead their government at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Never mind It blow over however good news cdu will likely rule out Green Party
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree it’s downfall for afd from here
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
The easy bets are those where you can take from extremists/emotionally involved people. Where do you guys go next after we won this bet?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yes I fully agree it’s going to be very complicated after this election
mcpetrus
3 months ago
I still think that only Merz has the chance but until June 30th it will be complicated.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He stil won’t do it at all
dbobtschigerillo
3 months ago
CDU/CSU + Green. Merz even complimented Habeck in Berliner Tageszeitung while critizising FDP
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree it’s highly likely that it will never happen
mcpetrus
3 months ago
CDU/Greens will never Happen.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
How Alice has really zero shot becoming chancellor
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Everyone buying Alice don’t understand German politics at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Wow I have seen ugur in a while
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally like it’s bunch of alt right people In America here that think that but it won’t happen
Oukej
3 months ago
so youre telling me theres a 20% chance a party polling barely over 20% on average gets 25%+ votes?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Everyone buying Alice don’t understand German politics at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally they are like how can afd win explain I want to know
Biasface
3 months ago
AfD holders are living in an alternate reality
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally this like do they not understand it at all like im so confused
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Some people seriously compare the situation to Trump and the fact that people made money betting on him. Yes, guys, but the chances of that happening were at least 50-50... the polls were very close. Several swing states were a tossup or 1% difference but in Germany the "closest" poll is a difference of 8%. Lol! I'm starting to get the impression that some people don't understand the political system in Germany at all.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The afd has a lot of alt right whales who thinks they are going to win easily lmfso
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because they care the afd wants to ban same sex marriage cdu wants minor things their not much afd offer but populism rheotiric honestly German election will go to cdu
Guwop
3 months ago
What is the best political argument for the CDU?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Deportation tax reforms and also more lgbt friendly than afd are
Guwop
3 months ago
What is the best political argument for the CDU?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because they are more serious than smokes and mirrors the afd is pulling right now
Guwop
3 months ago
What is the best political argument for the CDU?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polling data and how it’s shows a constant afd has no chance in this election at polls have stay stagnant since December
Guwop
3 months ago
What is the best political argument for the CDU?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang he deleted it but I agree with it the afd will not win this election or get above 25-30 at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nah trolling is a lot better we just pointing facts about how afd will not win
n/a
3 months ago
All these non holders talking shit about the afd but not confident enough to put your money where your mouth is.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude they are down by nine points or ten in polls there no chance for afd to win
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa 29-20 afd has been constant this week projections cdu and csu will win this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree over 30 heavy overvalued so is 25-30 this are alt right fan boys
Mantou11
3 months ago
Another AFD poll of 20%. https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm 19-22% range very likely.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They can’t be that wrong
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa 29-20 afd has been constant this week projections cdu and csu will win this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s polling data tho a
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa 29-20 afd has been constant this week projections cdu and csu will win this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Both you dumabss
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New polls by forsa 29-20 the afd will never hit 25 percent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I will be your mom bed tonight bitch
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New polls by forsa 29-20 the afd will never hit 25 percent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Citing one poll shows that doesn’t mean shit okay listen up your going to want to hear this polls places you want look out for is Infratest allenbatch and last one I can’t think of this one poll shows cdu and csu will win this election also this article also endorsing the afd as well so the data is skewed
YugeBets
3 months ago
AFD recent polling - 25.3%. More silent voters like Trump had will be reflected in the polls. https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-es-sentials/habeck-wallasch-zensur-trump-gaza-wahlwette/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
According to creditable data the shy voters effect doesn’t exist in Germany at all
YugeBets
3 months ago
AFD recent polling - 25.3%. More silent voters like Trump had will be reflected in the polls. https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-es-sentials/habeck-wallasch-zensur-trump-gaza-wahlwette/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so they won’t due to soder
dbobtschigerillo
3 months ago
CDU/CSU + Green. Merz even complimented Habeck in Berliner Tageszeitung while critizising FDP
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Grand colitation is very likely now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That we will not happened forsa has them at 20-22 for polls it’s matter time for them to hit twenty percent in my opinion
YugeBets
3 months ago
AFD recent polling - 25.3%. More silent voters like Trump had will be reflected in the polls. https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-es-sentials/habeck-wallasch-zensur-trump-gaza-wahlwette/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New polls by forsa 29-20 the afd will never hit 25 percent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa 29-20 afd has been constant this week projections cdu and csu will win this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nothing new merz didn’t offer much however polls are devastating for cdu and csu either Kenya or minority government as well I think merz should do a minority government
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well today governemtn speech’s was lacking Alice is fairy tale land and merz points out how much Germany struggling wrong tone Alice looked dumb as usual nothing new
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well today governemtn speech’s was lacking Alice is fairy tale land and merz points out how much Germany struggling wrong tone Alice looked dumb as usual nothing new
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It means afd is fucked in this election with the high voter turnout that’s going on right now
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The election is already in full swing. In Munich, 400,000 ballot papers requested by letter have already been sent. In the European elections there were only 370,000 in total and there are still two weeks left. So the voter turnout will probably be very high...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This was basically easy money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What we do know cdu and csu wil be number one
emaminek
3 months ago
anything other than afd is simply not happening. Maybe SPD at best
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well higher voter turnout for this election is very bad news for the afd not cdu and csu
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa comes out today
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Weidel did EXCEPTIONALLY well in the ZDF interview this evening!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s probably very bad for the afd not cdu and csu but for afd
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The election is already in full swing. In Munich, 400,000 ballot papers requested by letter have already been sent. In the European elections there were only 370,000 in total and there are still two weeks left. So the voter turnout will probably be very high...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think that interview will do shit to the afd numbers at all
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Weidel did EXCEPTIONALLY well in the ZDF interview this evening!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This is insa we should wait for the other polls next week as well
vamnizar
3 months ago
https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article255395438/Insa-Laut-dieser-Umfrage-waere-nach-der-Wahl-nur-eine-Koalition-politisch-moeglich.html Latest Poll. SPD/CDU impossible, so is CDU/Greens. I really dont understand how they are still at 71% combined here when the chance of them even being possible are 50/50 at max
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I hate to be but merz will become chancellor and grand colitation will happened I hated but cdu and csu are doing their thing to solve people issues just red and green they have to deal with not afd tho they should side with afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Grand colitation is the future for Germany no offense
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu playing good game but after this election Fran colitation is the future I hate it Germans don’t want change
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz will become chancellor however it’s going to be a disaster for cdu and csu I know they want fdp and turn around as well but they can’t risk siding afd or minority government this will be intresting after the election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What happened dude I thought you said cdu and csu will win this election or still on that cdu and csu will win
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Interesting that Insa now also sees the left in front of the BSW. 3 weeks after everyone else does it. I don't trust this institute, they adapt to the others.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think they can get over 25 they have stagnated for while I expect the same this week as well xD David good luck on moving
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Weidel did EXCEPTIONALLY well in the ZDF interview this evening!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Insa poll shows no change on one they did last week
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still don’t think this interview will do shit to viewer boosting them over 25 percent but hey that’s my tea
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Weidel did EXCEPTIONALLY well in the ZDF interview this evening!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think she did fine however next week is debate shading all of them
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Weidel did EXCEPTIONALLY well in the ZDF interview this evening!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz is extremely likely to be chancellor not olaf
KlausMUC
3 months ago
First poll after yesterday's TV duel between Merz and Scholz - 30 % CDU/CSU 20 % AfD 15.5 % SPD 13 % Greens 6 % The Left 5.5 % BSW 4% FDP My take: if the FDP fails to reach the five percent hurdle but the Left Party makes it, a government consisting of the SPD, the Greens and the Left Party could be formed and Scholz could be elected chancellor in the third round of voting: What happens if an absolute majority is not achieved? Phase 1: First ballot The Bundestag votes on the proposal of the Federal President. If an absolute majority is not achieved, the proposal is unsuccessful. Phase 2: Second ballot The Bundestag now has fourteen days to elect a chancellor. Several rounds of voting are possible here, but an absolute majority is still required. Phase 3: Third ballot If no chancellor has been elected after fourteen days, an immediate vote takes place. In this third phase, a relative majority is sufficient. This means that whoever receives the most votes is elected.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still no change from last one tho
GodfreyofBouillon
3 months ago
New INSA poll puts the AFD at 22%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
No change from other poll as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Constant 30-22 no changes at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Insa 30-22 no change constant meaning cdu is favored
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Constant 30-22 no changes at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Insa poll comes out today
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz easily
ChristianHorst
3 months ago
Who do you think win the debate yesterday?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will win this election has been over since last week
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Things looking a lot more fair right now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly merz won that debate wasn’t even close
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Scholz just came across as more likeable, but that's not a brilliant performance against Merz. But TV rounds won't change the outcome of the election anyway.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd and cdu little overvauled more afd but cdu is fine right now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well according to Germans 37 said scoltz won that debate and only 34 said merz won but this was run by left wing media however
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz won that fucking debate like hardcore he was good in it
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz is strong candidate and is very surprising as we all thought he was weak
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Merz did well. Chapeau to him! Scholz is so delusional...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Spd voters likely go to cdu now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well spd is finish the debate proves it merz will be chancellor incoming
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well spd is finish the debate proves it merz will be chancellor incoming
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt anything will change in this election
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Few days full of surprises, let's hope for the best for German brothers to get rid of corrupt scum.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Gg this so over cdu and csu has 100 percent win for this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt that it’s too late for afd to win this election at all tbh
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Few days full of surprises, let's hope for the best for German brothers to get rid of corrupt scum.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So you posted that 99.99 percent of cdu and csu to win
momoracle
3 months ago
New election model for the German election: CDU/CSU 29.7%, AfD 20.8%, SPD 15.8%, Greens 13.7%, Left 4.8%, BSW 4.7%, FDP 4.0%, Others 6.9% https://x.com/Momoraclecom/status/1888631366998196688
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Basically no change but cdu will get around 30-31 in it
momoracle
3 months ago
New election model for the German election: CDU/CSU 29.7%, AfD 20.8%, SPD 15.8%, Greens 13.7%, Left 4.8%, BSW 4.7%, FDP 4.0%, Others 6.9% https://x.com/Momoraclecom/status/1888631366998196688
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
25-30 will just keep going down further we get into honestly I glad cdu and csu will win
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree I think that’s. Most likely scenario
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will win this election I don’t know if afd will get over 25 I highly doubt it
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree it will keep going down
Mylo
3 months ago
ok I need 25-30% TO GO UP. like VERY SOON. I cant take this anymore. every minute I am checking polymarket and it is going down, no buyers. every hour, check polymarket, no buyers. I cant take this anymore, it is what it is.i have overinvested, by a lot. but I need 25-30% TO GO UP. can ugur DO SOMETHING?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I love it that alt righters love me
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So in conclusion 25-30 highly unlikely I wouldn’t worry about it happening we thought after cdu was embarrassed last Friday still nothing happpend in the polls I expect the same this week as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang calm down 25-30 will not happen at all chill win free money
Mylo
3 months ago
ok I need 25-30% TO GO UP. like VERY SOON. I cant take this anymore. every minute I am checking polymarket and it is going down, no buyers. every hour, check polymarket, no buyers. I cant take this anymore, it is what it is.i have overinvested, by a lot. but I need 25-30% TO GO UP. can ugur DO SOMETHING?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So in conclusion 25-30 highly unlikely I wouldn’t worry about it happening we thought after cdu was embarrassed last Friday still nothing happpend in the polls I expect the same this week as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Poll was also very skewed I highly doubt afd will get over 25 percent at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will win this election I don’t know if afd will get over 25 I highly doubt it
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah that’s one poll other polls shows stagnation none of other polls show them getting above 25 percent tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will win this election I don’t know if afd will get over 25 I highly doubt it
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Protest won’t do anything but strengthen cdu and csu but afd will stagnant for ever
Lum
3 months ago
25% might actually be happening 😳 nooo
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Oh protest that were paid yeah that won’t change shit but hey go ahead lose all your money
InvestKoest
3 months ago
easy money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
No it won’t happen if you need hey mcpetrus please respond to this post
Lum
3 months ago
25% might actually be happening 😳 nooo
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so nothing will change for the next two weeks at all
InvestKoest
3 months ago
easy money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Don’t panicked 25 percent won’t happen they are gridlock at 20-22 percent in polls nothing will change
Lum
3 months ago
25% might actually be happening 😳 nooo
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Had higher chance than 25-30
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Think people overestimating stuff right now polls this week will show stagnation and won’t change much this week or. Ext
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Next week as well 25-30 has low chance of happening while 20-25 I
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Think people overestimating stuff right now polls this week will show stagnation and won’t change much this week or. Ext
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Think people overestimating stuff right now polls this week will show stagnation and won’t change much this week or. Ext
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will win this election I don’t know if afd will get over 25 I highly doubt it
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Oh shut up about oh only afd can save Germany they can’t implement half the shit they want due the law stopping them
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
Just filled up 50L of Super 98 (Super Plus) for 133 AED - roughly 35 EUR. In Germany you are already paying 110 EUR for the same amount and in two years it will easily be around 130 EUR++. Good job on getting CO2 neutral LMFAO. Only the AfD can save Germany.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
When it’s been going down for afd in polls right now lmfao
P0lyhedr0n-
3 months ago
Polling trending towards 25-26%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Confirmation bias I see
Daavid2101
3 months ago
While everyone is telling you that german election polls were historically accurate - keep in mind, that the last time a "ultra right" opposition won was back in 1933. Polls may not be accurate when the actual favourite is the "bad guy". Mainstream / state-media tries to suppress AfD, you can see this in every. frckin. tv-show.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude news attacking cdu and csu like crazy but afd has been guess well in polls in other election
Daavid2101
3 months ago
While everyone is telling you that german election polls were historically accurate - keep in mind, that the last time a "ultra right" opposition won was back in 1933. Polls may not be accurate when the actual favourite is the "bad guy". Mainstream / state-media tries to suppress AfD, you can see this in every. frckin. tv-show.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Good for you
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Well INSA had the AfD four times in a row at 22 and now at 21. Other polls had them at 19 or 20 and now at 21. That's what I've been saying for a long time. The polls even out at 20-21. But it has been noticeable for a long time that the AfD simply does not go above 22 because its maximum is reached at that point. Market participants are apparently slowly starting to understand this...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Insa poll 29-21 decrease both cdu and afd but afd going down polls seem to be trend
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Problem polls showing a decline for the afd
Venividivici
3 months ago
Good Point to enter 25-30 now?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Gg everyone today wish all of you guys luck
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn 25-30 has fallen really bac
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude we been spamming all day today give it a rest
vamnizar
3 months ago
CDU/SPD & CDU/Greens are super overvalued. There isnt even a 72% chance that either of them are possible. If two of the smaller parties enter Bundestag (and Linke seems to be quite safe atm) it has to either be 3-parties coalition or CDU/AfD
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll insa 29-21
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t afd will get 25 percent at all they will get like 20-22
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
BEI KARNEVAL HOERTS BEI MIR UFF. https://www.bild.de/regional/bayern/karneval-angst-vor-anschlaegen-erste-umzuege-abgesagt-67a33c6b0a806301417d16da?t_ref=https%3A%2F%2Ft.co%2F
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
As in article they are scared but I don’t think it will make afd shot so high I. This election
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
BEI KARNEVAL HOERTS BEI MIR UFF. https://www.bild.de/regional/bayern/karneval-angst-vor-anschlaegen-erste-umzuege-abgesagt-67a33c6b0a806301417d16da?t_ref=https%3A%2F%2Ft.co%2F
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t. Think it will change much for this election
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
BEI KARNEVAL HOERTS BEI MIR UFF. https://www.bild.de/regional/bayern/karneval-angst-vor-anschlaegen-erste-umzuege-abgesagt-67a33c6b0a806301417d16da?t_ref=https%3A%2F%2Ft.co%2F
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I do t think so
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
election interference btw https://youtu.be/1YVByI-5h28
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This also Eastern Europe where they dominated
FUENTES
3 months ago
🚨 BIG POLL 🚨 AfD EXPLODING 29% (+4) CDU/CSU in TOTAL COLLAPSE 16% (-3) The old system is FALLING APART, the people are WAKING UP! https://x.com/Wahlen_DE/status/1887934237988303050
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Good luck to afd supporters nice try but this election still favors cdu and csu
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Oops I thought it was
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New allenbatch 35-20 is new report that came out I believe
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice it’s over cdu and csu are I’ll have merz as chancellor
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well this was fun but cdu and csu will own this election how sad afd supportrrs
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New allenbatch 35-20 is new report that came out I believe
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so NRW is dominated by the cdu and csu I think the will win 2029 maybe but cdu will win this election
Jmal
3 months ago
I wouldnt vote for the AfD myself but living in NRW I can see a lot more support for them. I'm really thinking AfD has a good shot at winning this time.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Ugh Kanye desolusinal as fuck
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
he's just like me https://x.com/kanyewest/status/1887863579577295085
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lose you money Alice will not be chancellor
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well Alice fans it’s over merz willl. Become chancellor for sure and enter in the grand colitation
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think they will form a government with maybe greens helps on it
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well Alice fans it’s over merz willl. Become chancellor for sure and enter in the grand colitation
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So true but cdu and csu will be in the next government
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Why is the cdu so low like duh they will be in this government
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
GMS 30-21 but this poll comes out every month early parts of the month as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Stop celebrating a poll that does it a month way also gms actually one of the least accurate polls as well
FUENTES
3 months ago
WOW! AfD +3% on the rise BIGLY! People are waking up! Meanwhile, the Union DROPPING FAST! Sad! Weak leadership, bad policies! Germany wants STRONG BORDERS, LAW & ORDER! AfD WINNING like never before! FAKE NEWS won’t like this!!! https://x.com/Wahlen_DE/status/1887845188598390949
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This poll was fucking month ago so don’t celebrate the high three lost from this poll a lot happened in a month also follows in line with what other polls are showing us as welll
FUENTES
3 months ago
WOW! AfD +3% on the rise BIGLY! People are waking up! Meanwhile, the Union DROPPING FAST! Sad! Weak leadership, bad policies! Germany wants STRONG BORDERS, LAW & ORDER! AfD WINNING like never before! FAKE NEWS won’t like this!!! https://x.com/Wahlen_DE/status/1887845188598390949
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This poll was a month ago GMA
FUENTES
3 months ago
WOW! AfD +3% on the rise BIGLY! People are waking up! Meanwhile, the Union DROPPING FAST! Sad! Weak leadership, bad policies! Germany wants STRONG BORDERS, LAW & ORDER! AfD WINNING like never before! FAKE NEWS won’t like this!!! https://x.com/Wahlen_DE/status/1887845188598390949
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well Alice fans it’s over merz willl. Become chancellor for sure and enter in the grand colitation
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well it’s over cdu and csu will win and all the afd people have lost everything good night
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s a 42-19 which means a blow out against afd that doesn’t mean that afd will get over 25 at all this is a delusional take
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Second most populated state inching higher and higher. https://x.com/Wahlrecht_de/status/1887837306859520384 DANCE WITH ME BOIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIS. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZpoDbFHwE4
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Where allenbatch
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You don’t have too most of this market are control by alt right people who think Alice will be chancellor
Zorroh
3 months ago
The issue with this market for me is that I am so convinced to be on the right side that it's close to impossible to time the market and do swing trade. Everytime time I sell, I rebuy in the minute because it seems so cheap.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Not for this election at all
n/a
3 months ago
Big big suprise incoming most of you are not ready for
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang 25-30 is overvauled again
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t shy voter doesn’t exist in Germany no offense ugur
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The slight effect doesn’t happens in Germany that much also zdf has playing demoing campaign against merz
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
For everyone that keeps saying that it is not "shameful" to voice AfD/right opinions nowadays, i recommend watching the recent "Schlagabtausch". According to polling nearly 55% of the population leans right. Not a single person in the room was clapping when right leaning politicians were speaking. The entire room is erupting when a lefty says something. This is whats happening in modern day germany 24/7. If you vote right, you shut up in public, its that simple. Simply not worth putting yourself in the center of attention of the leftist mob kek. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EsEYGQJV79o&ab_channel=ZDFheuteNachrichten
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I pookie did I not put you to sleep
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People now doubling down on it because of poll today didn’t fit them at all so well it’s over cdu and csu will win this will not be close at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
In talking about greens and cdu colitation i dont think it will happened
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Finally mcpetrus would agree with me on this greens and cdu and csu will not happened this has been used by afd and spd now fdp as smear campaign merz doesn’t want to be involve with a second chance campaign
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Fuck you
mcpetrus
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I said would you agree with me or no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Finally mcpetrus would agree with me on this greens and cdu and csu will not happened this has been used by afd and spd now fdp as smear campaign merz doesn’t want to be involve with a second chance campaign
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They wouldn’t either there not enough time for afd to win against cdu and csu like no matter what this election is over
Daavid2101
3 months ago
FINALLY mcpetrus agreed with Trolloftheswamp on this greens and cdu and csu will not happened this has been used by afd and spd now fdp as smear campaign merz doesn’t want to be involve with a second chance campaign
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think
Daavid2101
3 months ago
FINALLY mcpetrus agreed with Trolloftheswamp on this greens and cdu and csu will not happened this has been used by afd and spd now fdp as smear campaign merz doesn’t want to be involve with a second chance campaign
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Finally mcpetrus would agree with me on this greens and cdu and csu will not happened this has been used by afd and spd now fdp as smear campaign merz doesn’t want to be involve with a second chance campaign
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But also merz is not siding with greens at all that’s fear mongers
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People now doubling down on it because of poll today didn’t fit them at all so well it’s over cdu and csu will win this will not be close at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After that poll the cdu will win around 30-35
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People now doubling down on it because of poll today didn’t fit them at all so well it’s over cdu and csu will win this will not be close at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Allenbatch comes out tomorrow and INSA on Saturday but expect the same okay
FUENTES
3 months ago
the margin of error of the polls is 3%. the afd is a shameful and anti-system vote. many reasons to hide it like for example to piss off the pollsters so that they have a surprise on election day. we are going to win BY A LOT !!!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Boy trust me it’s impossible
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Today confirmed the nail in coffin for the afd and they winning this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also this polls confirms the death of afd any chance of Winning this elision
FUENTES
3 months ago
the margin of error of the polls is 3%. the afd is a shameful and anti-system vote. many reasons to hide it like for example to piss off the pollsters so that they have a surprise on election day. we are going to win BY A LOT !!!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think your right polling data super accurate
Zorroh
3 months ago
This market is essentially a bet on German polling institutes’ accuracy. If they are right, I will make some lunch money. If they are wrong, Ugur is a rich man.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s just it’s over for afd there no way to get over 10 percent at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Today confirmed the nail in coffin for the afd and they winning this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
20-25 is now cleared favored in this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t see any of 23 of it at all this election is over
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
23% vor der Wahl und dann Wahlprognosenabweichung a la Thueringen bitte, dankoe. tschoe mit oe.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I dot. Think you will win
mcpetrus
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They I mean cdu and csu today polls was nail in the coffin
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Today confirmed the nail in coffin for the afd and they winning this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Oh momma. I’ve waited for my mlik
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Siggis is obbesssed with me and mcpetrus so much to try to disapprove us that it’s over for the cdu like for real
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This election is over thank god for merz for win and wish you guys the bedt
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz is now favored no offense this election so over now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude your obsessed mad we get it
Mantou11
3 months ago
Afd numbers are in free fall, today there were 3 polls, and their numbers were 21% or less. Its very possible they will end up in the 10-15 range, as turnout will be high. https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bundestagswahl_2025/Umfragen_und_Prognosen
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Siggis is obbesssed with me and mcpetrus so much to try to disapprove us that it’s over for the cdu like for real
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Today confirmed the nail in coffin for the afd and they winning this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn you are obsessed with me I see you
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Virginoftheswamp jerking to polls
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Siggis wants dog style me yall he gay as fuck
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Virginoftheswamp jerking to polls
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The bet cdu doing fine in right now but fdp fucked up bad
mcpetrus
3 months ago
I wonder why it continues to be around 30% for 25% or more even though there isn't a single poll that shows them at over 22%. The shameful voter does not exist in Germany or the surveys compensate for it very well. So what's behind it?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m making you sad little muffin
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After the poll there no way for afd to win in my opinion that’s it this market is over
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m in your dreams I’m that’s adorable but Australia stabbing won’t do shit
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Brokeoftheswamp
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
In
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Brokeoftheswamp
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Ok are trigger libtard
Exeggut
3 months ago
https://www.spiegel.de/panorama/justiz/bremen-messerangriff-auf-bundespolizisten-vor-hauptbahnhof-38-jaehriger-niedergeschossen-a-7da76113-0250-4a6c-bda2-44a343c8228f
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After the poll there no way for afd to win in my opinion that’s it this market is over
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think it will change anything because afd only focus on migrate who are mulish
Exeggut
3 months ago
https://www.spiegel.de/panorama/justiz/bremen-messerangriff-auf-bundespolizisten-vor-hauptbahnhof-38-jaehriger-niedergeschossen-a-7da76113-0250-4a6c-bda2-44a343c8228f
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu not fucking up right now everything beign pulled out is old and outdated but cdu will win there not enough time for afd to win so go ahead lose your bet
mcpetrus
3 months ago
I wonder why it continues to be around 30% for 25% or more even though there isn't a single poll that shows them at over 22%. The shameful voter does not exist in Germany or the surveys compensate for it very well. So what's behind it?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay so spd and cdu will be next colitation
mcpetrus
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After that poll came out this now for sure 30-35 is guranteed
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I hard disagree but hey do you boo it’s that afd will lose this election
Ofers69
3 months ago
It's looks like USA 2016. The polls are biased for the WOKE. Germans tired from the politically correct talking but they are to polite and afraid... Behind the curtain at the ballot box they will say what they really think - and that is a clear right wing...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall sorry to the 25-30 but new poll showed a 31-21 which means it’s been decide cdu and csu will win this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah ipsos a lot less accurate than others are sorry but idmap saw 31-21 which means cdu will win
FUENTES
3 months ago
+2% in IPSOS ! we will win BY A LOT . My fear is that we will exceed 30%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
With merz saying four percent too much for the fdp
mcpetrus
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s the polls it’s been decide cdu and csu will win this election
Exeggut
3 months ago
This market will go to at least 100mil liquidity days before the election, it’s going to be a bloodbath.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What do you think about the cdu and csu stabbing the fdp in the back today I want to knkw
mcpetrus
3 months ago
infratest sees cdu/csu at 31% and 10% ahead of the AfD. It is very clear and actually already decided. CDU/CSU will win this election.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz just shot the fdp down saying four percent too much I kinda understand where merz went tho he had to do what he had to do
mcpetrus
3 months ago
New Yougov: https://yougov.de/elections/de/2025
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well merz shoot the fdp down now but he had too
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t here tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New polls 31-21 for cdu winning
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New polls 31-21 for cdu winning
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Definitely it’s is
klacy
3 months ago
According to latest polls, SPD, Green and Linke are only 6% short of the 42% that they need combined to form a coalition. A CDU formed coalition ist still the most likely outcome, but Olaf Scholz is undervalued.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Well the green and red are now literally imploding hardcore in this election bade and habcock have now started to infight each other Merz betrays fdp was kinda smart on his party tho but red and greens are struggling while this will only benefits afd and cdu further
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang merz is getting no break at being attacked at all tbh this just sad now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Never mind a lot of greens and black colitation slamming now being retracted and they apologize about merz stance and what’s he is doing
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Know sourcing making where merz praising habeck its was intend tho without context to destory merz credibility in this election however the cdu and csu will still win this election tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Know sourcing making where merz praising habeck its was intend tho without context to destory merz credibility in this election however the cdu and csu will still win this election tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s bad for Germany but in France super accurate it has one worst one in Germany but Friday allenbatch comes out
Zorroh
3 months ago
Ipsos Ho Ho Ho
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so polls beside forsa and ipsos has stay stagnant for this week probably next week as well
Commie-Killer
3 months ago
If CDU does not win, I will transition to a female (take hormones and chop of my dick) thas the degree of certainty I have.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also everyone has been bashing shit out of merz he doing his best also you do know if vote cdu you will get a black and green has been afd campaign in east for years but what do you know you only think the cdu and csu less 20 or 20-25 with afd gettting more than them is biggest lmfao I’ve ever seen
Biasface
3 months ago
AfD has trouble with support outside of East Germany and with the CDU pivoting right I don’t think there’s any winning scenario for them
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I get a life fucking alt right loveboy
0xLehman
3 months ago
Study Geert Wilders' PVV victory in The Netherlands in 2023. Polls were way off. People are afraid to tell others that they are voting for an anti-immigration party. Exact same scenario as the German election now.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They exploit it if migrant but it wasn’t but also everyone hates merz afd spd greens they all they do keep bashing him I see it all the time
n/a
3 months ago
Another mass shooting in sweeden yesterday and another one in belgium these welsh choirboys are getting out of control.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls are going to be stagnate next week as well there going to be no change at all
Commie-Killer
3 months ago
If CDU does not win, I will transition to a female (take hormones and chop of my dick) thas the degree of certainty I have.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu voting with afd or having colitation would be sucked for their party but also you think Alice will be chancellor is biggest lmfao that’s almost certain that it won’t happpend but also merz running a good campaign right now
Biasface
3 months ago
AfD has trouble with support outside of East Germany and with the CDU pivoting right I don’t think there’s any winning scenario for them
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It won’t have impact afd can’t exploit anti
n/a
3 months ago
Another mass shooting in sweeden yesterday and another one in belgium these welsh choirboys are getting out of control.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I doubt it the cdu and csu will win and again he won’t work with the Green Party at all people seeing through bullshit but I’m twitter a lot of them knows merz won’t work with greens at all
Biasface
3 months ago
AfD has trouble with support outside of East Germany and with the CDU pivoting right I don’t think there’s any winning scenario for them
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree with don’t think merz will have a colitation with greens at all he said he likes Habeck but I highly doubt he does
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m going to say this but merz and cdu and csu super pissed of theses attacks that they about reject having colitation with greens
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang 25-30 and over 30 super overvalued due to alt right fans that are Elon musk fans
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like 30 percent both of them is crazy and stupid as fuck yall just want to lose money don’t you
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People buying over 30 and 25-30 don’t have any idea of German politics at all they not like in those area at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People buying over 30 and 25-30 don’t have any idea of German politics at all they not like in those area at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m going to say this but merz and cdu and csu super pissed of theses attacks that they about reject having colitation with greens
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
25-30 super unlikely but 15-20 is kinda likely more than 25-30 the afd are running stupid campaigns right now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu will not get second but first
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz is easy money in this market
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
For afd also cdu has been now gaining or staying stable not afd they been going down
focused
3 months ago
We literally sitting on 25% right now, if you are dumb enough bet against me
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
In one poll compared to 5 polls that have you lower than 25 percent g
focused
3 months ago
We literally sitting on 25% right now, if you are dumb enough bet against me
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I have many secrets some stay unanswered
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
LGBT poll matters however won’t change much in this election in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
LGBT poll matters however won’t change much in this election in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
No offense 25-30 way over valued and 15-20 is way undervalued
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah I saw that too but it’s still won’t change much as YouGov saw stabalkyh with 29-22 I suspect cdu and csu will win
Daavid2101
3 months ago
Saw a poll today. AfD is the most popular party among gay voters. Big Gs!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think we should wait honestly
Cisomate2901
3 months ago
Check here how close Allensbach was during the last weeks in 2021... https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/allensbach.htm
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Your delusional as usual
GoBerlin
3 months ago
you must be blind and hate money if you do not believe Alice will win...Lets go!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
If she does win it doesn’t mean chancellor clown
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Imagine the win for Alice....There is a massive shift in politics happening right now. Politicians bought and influenced like never before. The US wants ALice. So Alice will be the next chancellor. Against all odds she will win. Too bad I dont have more disposbile income to bet on her.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
U think it will be merz it’s almost certain it will be him
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Message to all: click on "Holders" to hide the clowns who did not bet and think they know something :D:D:D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So violence against cdu and csu now getting out of hand that cdu and csu are enraged today but no word from spd and greens about cdu and csu members getting attack and death threats
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
YouGov poll 29-22
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude I read that article the poll was so bad it’s was so good damn funny that Alice is gaining. But not by much as the poll said
ELMAPO
3 months ago
https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-es-sentials/us-umfrage-union-27-prozent-afd-25-spd-15-gruene-13/
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree outside of east Europe they will be limited around 17-20 percent
Biasface
3 months ago
AfD has trouble with support outside of East Germany and with the CDU pivoting right I don’t think there’s any winning scenario for them
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
These events won’t impact this election for afd to win but cdu and csu will very likely win but violence is getting out of hand
n/a
3 months ago
Another mass shooting in sweeden yesterday and another one in belgium these welsh choirboys are getting out of control.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude you have no idea how German politics works at all
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Imagine the win for Alice....There is a massive shift in politics happening right now. Politicians bought and influenced like never before. The US wants ALice. So Alice will be the next chancellor. Against all odds she will win. Too bad I dont have more disposbile income to bet on her.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I saw that but however that will have no impact on Germany at all
n/a
3 months ago
Another mass shooting in sweeden yesterday and another one in belgium these welsh choirboys are getting out of control.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang one person caused two go down by four points but I think 15-20 will catch up soon
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True so does other two do as well
Cisomate2901
3 months ago
According to Politico Berlin Playbook Podcast today Allensbach will publish a new poll on Friday. CDU will be probably unchanged or only with marginal adjsutments to last poll (34%). They also state that Allensbach had the closest prediction before the 2021 election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
YouGov came out today it was 29-22 for cdu and three percent jump for the spd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup sorry about that
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
all i see are trolloftheswamp comments. dude get a life
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Ugur stop get some help
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
She would need absolute majority to become chancellor unlike merz who could become it very easliy
toschdev
3 months ago
Shockwaves coming from the US. Alices chances are greater than most expect.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Us doesn’t affect Germany at all Alice has no shot of winning nor does the afd at all
toschdev
3 months ago
Shockwaves coming from the US. Alices chances are greater than most expect.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So 25-30 would be surpass by 15-20 in couple of days
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You just love the afd she not winning at all
GoBerlin
3 months ago
I see blue everywhere! Landslide win for Weidel! Let's go!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because the one going to Lead the government is only cdu at all tiems
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz super likely not Alice at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus what’s your thought of the two percent decrease from forsa today
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
For the cdu for sure
buffalo
3 months ago
easy peasy
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Why 25-30 had fallen hard tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Ugur why did sell all of your ads will win the most seats
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude your super rude about them voting cdu or any other party so I think Germany will be fine
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
If you are a German citizen and still refuse to vote for the AfD, then frankly, you deserve to keep paying more for energy than even Switzerland - let that sink in (LOL). How does it feel, knowing that your self inflicted financial suffering is nothing more than a hollow virtue signal against imaginary fascism? You. Deserve. All. This.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think the German colitation will be cdu and spd the cdu will be I this government
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
About them winning 25-30 seems super not logical
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Stop buying 25-30 , troll said the polls are bad!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I doubt it I think cdu will get around 30-35 and they will form a colitation in terms of it like I feel I think Austria is a lot different than Germany is right now
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
A bet on 25-30% is simply a bet on the CDU repeating what they repeated in 2021. Losing a double digit lead 100 meters before the finish line. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/0f/Opinion_polls_Germany_2021.svg/1000px-Opinion_polls_Germany_2021.svg.png
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wouldn’t doubt but highly no in my opinion
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Stop buying 25-30 , troll said the polls are bad!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think that will happened +2 -2 happened because of a immgraint crisis but cdu and csu will likely win this election this pure hopeium
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s was the forsa poll seem like 28-20 seem scary or are you not scared about your prediction
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus I’m panicked over that poll of forsa where cdu is down by two points should I worry or no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmfao the polls super constant I starting highly doubt a armin event willl happened and cdu will be screwed in this election
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Stop buying 25-30 , troll said the polls are bad!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also don’t think cdu and csu will fuck up as bad as they did in 2021 this polls showing us none really movement in the polls
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree they can fuck up however polls not showing the trend that happened in 2021 as there only three weeks left and I have feeling merz will still win this election
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
A bet on 25-30% is simply a bet on the CDU repeating what they repeated in 2021. Losing a double digit lead 100 meters before the finish line. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/0f/Opinion_polls_Germany_2021.svg/1000px-Opinion_polls_Germany_2021.svg.png
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market seems very fair and reasonable
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bffr that’s most delusional take ever
CreepTools
3 months ago
There is one rule that everyone should take note: You don't bet against Elon Musk!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey I have question shocked about the colitation
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Would you guys be shocked if merz works with green and spd or no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The delusion of stupid people betting afd is so funny like I’m fucking dead
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The delusion here is so bad like it’s so funny tbh
ArbitrageTrader33
3 months ago
Interestingly, in a poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 17 percent said they'd vote AfD, but the projection added just 4%, even though AfD voters often hide their preferences due to social stigma, getting to 21. I think that’s too low, they should’ve added 11-14, putting AfD closer to 28-31.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall merz said for colitation partners he was thinking the Green Party or the spd are you guys suprise or no not atll
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Period like really true
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall doubting the polls the one poll was super bad like I read all of it but Brexit and trump victory were predicted in other polls so no afd will not win but the cdu will
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall doubting the polls the one poll was super bad like I read all of it but Brexit and trump victory were predicted in other polls so no afd will not win but the cdu will
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls in Germany very accurate the afd will not win at all trump victory was shocked however the polll yall celebrated ignore a lot of factors
0xLehman
3 months ago
Study Geert Wilders' PVV victory in The Netherlands in 2023. Polls were way off. People are afraid to tell others that they are voting for an anti-immigration party. Exact same scenario as the German election now.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I have friends who lives in Germany they will tell you they are way more open on who they want to vote for over everything else’s
0xLehman
3 months ago
Study Geert Wilders' PVV victory in The Netherlands in 2023. Polls were way off. People are afraid to tell others that they are voting for an anti-immigration party. Exact same scenario as the German election now.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus I’m panicked over that poll of forsa where cdu is down by two points should I worry or no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To say oh I vote afd than not nothing will change maybe one-two points that’s it tho
0xLehman
3 months ago
Study Geert Wilders' PVV victory in The Netherlands in 2023. Polls were way off. People are afraid to tell others that they are voting for an anti-immigration party. Exact same scenario as the German election now.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fully disagree I think cdu will win the 2023 Netherlands election are way different than German election right now okay there not difference people a lot more open
0xLehman
3 months ago
Study Geert Wilders' PVV victory in The Netherlands in 2023. Polls were way off. People are afraid to tell others that they are voting for an anti-immigration party. Exact same scenario as the German election now.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I want to know filpadelphia about is that poll showing us things are getting bad for merz or no we sho up ignore that poll
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
People saying that the forsa poll showing a huge decline for cdu is this true or no we don’t see that much in other polls
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
15-20 and 20-25 are very fair for this market in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Already nearing boo they stayed constant this week and last week afd lost support in the walk poll and in insa it stayed the same yougov is tomorrow tho
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Trump hasn't even started pushing for AfD yet, and they're already nearing 25%! Imagine when he does.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 20-25 is very overrated value tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
My prediction holding very well I knew afd would struggle to get above 20 and also cdu will not lose more than 28 mcpetrus i will never doubt you ever again
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nah I’ll call ice on you
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn 25-30 is really overvalued like 25 percent chance is not at all likely
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally this like lmfao polls will not change pretty sure cdu will win this election
mombil
3 months ago
Forsa: https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Union-sackt-nach-AfD-Eklat-ab-Gruene-und-Linke-legen-zu-article25537158.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn 25-30 is really overvalued like 25 percent chance is not at all likely
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But 25-30 is overvauked due to gammahammer
mombil
3 months ago
Forsa: https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Union-sackt-nach-AfD-Eklat-ab-Gruene-und-Linke-legen-zu-article25537158.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Not that bad hey afd staying constant im pretty sure they will go up next week in forsa
mombil
3 months ago
Forsa: https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Union-sackt-nach-AfD-Eklat-ab-Gruene-und-Linke-legen-zu-article25537158.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I starting to really doubt like hardcore because of new polls afd losing or stagnated in them
ArbitrageTrader33
3 months ago
AfD can get 25 percent or more, but Hoecke needs to take over. He will wipe the floor and win the election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz is for sure going to be chancellor
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh 25-30 ocervauled because of skewed poll that everyone cited but no one look into the poll and the data set behind it
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Forsa comes out tomorrow
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Same because the poll they praise kinda sucks not going lie
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like 15-20 and 20-25 gaining finally 25-30 seems to be dying off
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think that will happen
BoMarley1029
3 months ago
How do I bet ona CDU minority government?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like 15-20 and 20-25 gaining finally 25-30 seems to be dying off
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nah trolling is better but hey stay delusional
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market getting to be a lot fair now than it was before
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market getting to be a lot fair now than it was before
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Thank you so much
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls like insa and allensbatch are very accurate so no matator they are not manipulated
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market so fair right now beside the 25-30 being a little ocervauled
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merz super likely not Alice at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It might afd not winning this election tho it’s like maybe three percent if that
Sigfried
3 months ago
will be betting 2$ for the chance of happening the same thing that happend with trump
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
America politics way different than German one is
Sigfried
3 months ago
will be betting 2$ for the chance of happening the same thing that happend with trump
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls like insa and allensbatch are very accurate so no matator they are not manipulated
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
How they are not your using confirmation bias by posting people who support the afd
Matator23
3 months ago
The official polls are manipulated
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Who said oh official polls are manipulate the polls are very accurate in Germany they are not bias towards the cdy
Matator23
3 months ago
https://x.com/wolfdesnordens/status/1886317781987086573?s=46
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They are not manipulated they are very accurate this one is tho
Matator23
3 months ago
The official polls are manipulated
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This is very skewed you and people who support the afd using confirmation bias
Matator23
3 months ago
https://x.com/wolfdesnordens/status/1886317781987086573?s=46
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The afd voters you guys literally falling into the confirmation bias so no afd will not win this election no matter what you say Germans don’t care about politics
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally they are just keep site the other poll but that poll has for sure skewed
GodfreyofBouillon
3 months ago
INSA puts AFD at 22%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Why is the cdu so low like duh they will be in this government
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That new poll everyone talking about is super skewed like 35 percent said they want Alice oh okay that’s show me how skewed it is
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To people buying 25-30 yall citing a poll that’s super skewed like it’s so oblivious most people buying 25-30 are afd supporters and fans
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You are so dumb don’t know shit about German politics ones buying 25-30 are afd fans
FUENTES
3 months ago
ugurmersin selling !
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup I’m right 30-22 is new one
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall super delusional if think afd going to win this election at all
Siggi9933
3 months ago
Top danke fuer die guten Preise
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To you guys think about that new poll it’s super skewed don’t get it twisted
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude one polll seen any of the new polls like ones that being doing it for years the insa one was 30-22 that one seem very off
LufM
3 months ago
AfD is not going to win bro. elon is not gonna help
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude check current INSA poll that poll was very skewed
n/a
3 months ago
Lies. New poll shows 25% dont listen to the WEF puppets.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Send him the link
n/a
3 months ago
Lies. New poll shows 25% dont listen to the WEF puppets.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally so obvious I skewed not even funny
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus read this https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nah someone at there buying a lot of nos
FUENTES
3 months ago
ugurmersin selling !
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This “poll” that is floating around the internet and says 35% want Weidel as chancellor has nothing to do with serious opinion research. In the reputable polls of all German institutes it reaches less than 20%. and it's only AfD voters who want Weidel. But the poll says the AfD is at 25%. So that is completely out of the question. It seems to have been created by someone who has a problem with Elon Musk. But no one in Germany talks about Musk anymore. they completely overestimate it. ignore this rubbish. Insa's new survey continues to see an unchanged and clear lead for the CDU.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally thank you about ruat
mcpetrus
3 months ago
This “poll” that is floating around the internet and says 35% want Weidel as chancellor has nothing to do with serious opinion research. In the reputable polls of all German institutes it reaches less than 20%. and it's only AfD voters who want Weidel. But the poll says the AfD is at 25%. So that is completely out of the question. It seems to have been created by someone who has a problem with Elon Musk. But no one in Germany talks about Musk anymore. they completely overestimate it. ignore this rubbish. Insa's new survey continues to see an unchanged and clear lead for the CDU.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Now this market seems more reasonable
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Insa has historically been accurate but funny how you guys priasr the poll shows afd at 25 when this is one at 22 like wow cdu has constantly be at 30
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll showed 30-22 no changed so there no change
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
One yalll praised clearly skewed if this what came up today
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll showed 30-22 no changed so there no change
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
One yalll talking about all the time this one showed one point increase for the cdu
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll showed 30-22 no changed so there no change
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll INSA 30-22
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But one that posted this morning is serious yet this one is not because why that tell me that poll is skewed
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll showed 30-22 no changed so there no change
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New insa poll showed 30-22 no changed so there no change
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so also think cdu
0xFancyFox
3 months ago
AfD is going to win an epic victory! I am still waiting for anything even remotely close to this masterpiece from other parties: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75anYqzs3jY
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice having huge leads and Elon having lower disapproval than all other polls had as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I love it and also quick question why is afd increasing right now
Neil.McCauley
3 months ago
Imagine being @noblesse.oblige and betting 10K on a n*zy party...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like actually look at data compare to other data sets they don’t align at all which shows me very much this poll very skewed in favor showing Elon musk influence in this election when he has none
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can yall add supporter stop posting. The poll that’s look very skewed look at the data you will see
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know that but this poll just seem extremely off base on other factor in the data doesn’t align with other big and large data sets as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Actually look at the data sets it’s very skewed
donaldpumper
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html basically its 50:50 ...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think afd will win at all very high doubts about it
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Save Europe
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude why are so passionate about Alice winning
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Blue Wave incoming ! Get ready...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can yall add supporter stop posting. The poll that’s look very skewed look at the data you will see
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think the will win hey 2029 the afd will win
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Save Europe
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Did you look at the data set it’s very skewed not in a good way
donaldpumper
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html basically its 50:50 ...
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It got the 2021 election down to the tea and that’s impressive
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s very accurate to tea I don’t think one will be as accurate
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
When in reality I look at the data it’s so weird doesn’t even line up with INSA current poll that did at the same time which to me is strange shows. That could have been skewed for the afd and mainstream media
Chrikim
3 months ago
Latest Poll (big sample size): 25% AfDhttps://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because that’s massive jump for the afd and Alice when other polls don’t show that which make believe it was made to be skewed to favored mainstream media to talk about how much influence Elon has so boeopek can see how good he has done
Chrikim
3 months ago
Latest Poll (big sample size): 25% AfDhttps://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
We already talking about it but the poll probably a big time outlier it doesn’t line up with the other polls so there that
Chrikim
3 months ago
Latest Poll (big sample size): 25% AfDhttps://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I like insa and forsa also allenbatch way of polling it’s very accurate nothing going to change this election for afd to win so that’s poll weird because massive lead for Alice when other polls shows a different story
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Not really but poll is big time outlier it’s weird because it’s so off compared to others that’s point I’m making
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
About how Elon impacts this election but when Elon got involve didn’t change main polls that strange that the poll had 27-25 because no of the other polls show that
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The one posted seems to off for the others polls like that poll was so off it’s funny because other ones don’t match this feels like one where Harris was up by three in Iowa poll
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Only reason cdu and csu so high is because of alt right fan boys buying them thinking afd going to win base off on poll that was posted today
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The one you posted about that such a big outlier it’s made to serve mainstream media in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That poll was such a outlier that im now thinking it was skewed for mainstream media to eat up because a lot accurate polls don’t show the same results at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t understand why you praising them so much when they have zero chance of winning
GoBerlin
3 months ago
All the way BLUE!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m now getting a feeling this data was skewed to get mainstream media to eat it up because a lot of other polls show constant rate like insa forsa and others there likely not going to be a change
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
All of them are not in the afd favor at all
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude why are praising the afd so much like Alice not getting in
GoBerlin
3 months ago
We LOVE ALICE WEIDEL ! Germany will flourish again
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think that data set was to get mainstream media attention for Elon musk and showed that afd has more support than they actually do I predict afd will win around 19-21 percent of the vote
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I also think they might of skewed this because all the other polls show something else INSA comes out today honestly looking like it’s going to be cdu still favored I don’t see but we will see I also think this polll was skeeeed to get mainstream media attention and afd to celebrate and be like yeah this is one poll with not a lot of creditably I mean even some polls outside USA also predicted brexit as well
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This is one poll we can’t tell if they will lose more in coming also this poll was taken from tuesday to Thursday I highly doubt any of the other polls will change
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Beside one poll they are rising but not that fast I expect their numbers to go down after next friday
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD popularity is increasing dramatically
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Only reason cdu and csu so high is because of alt right fan boys buying them thinking afd going to win base off on poll that was posted today
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s down by three percent or one to two I. Others polls as well but I get it your afd supporter you want afd to Win but it’s super unlikely I hate to be this person David
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Even though that came out today afd supporters are celebrating I have to say also insa comes out might not be in afd favor as well tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fully agree with you
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Youth of Germany will mostly vote AfD. Wave of change incoming
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Youth of Germany will mostly vote AfD. Wave of change incoming
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus read this https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m scared about that came out today
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what do think of the poll that showed a 27-25 for the cdu I want to know I think it’s just being overhyped I wait for other polls to come out later on
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The one is the institution like the alliance of freedom or something freaking everyone on this market out
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what do think of the poll that showed a 27-25 for the cdu I want to know I think it’s just being overhyped I wait for other polls to come out later on
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 30-35 is very fair for this election in all honesty
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice will not become chancellor even if she won this election yall are delusional
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
She wouldn’t why did gloss over her so much
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Alice is the power we need in politics! If there was a LIVE debate between Merz and her, she would destroy him.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also didn’t you said that cdu was going to be lower than 10 percent which found out to be flase
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But however I don’t think Elon will have as much as impact as that poll suggested
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so Alice is for sure money on no she can’t make it
GoBerlin
3 months ago
imagine the returns on Alice right now. Bet only the amount you are willing to lose,folks! No one believed Trump would win in 2016. Was one of the few who believed he would. Made 3K back then :)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Don’t think so polls have stayed constant for the pass few days I think this polls is just a outlier
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But again we will have to wait and see I still think afd will get second not first but second seems fair
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know about that however i think this one can show that there is a shy voter affected on the afd however Weidel at 35 percent is too damn much. But other polls come out next week so wait for those as well
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/afd-elon-musk-germany-election-poll-b2690389.html
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It is also Germany as well
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True that but again highly doubt the afd will gain as much as that poll showed in my opinion okay
thares
3 months ago
50/50. So. 30% Rendite dann egal bei welchem Szenario. Mir jetzt Latte wie Hose ob 24% oder 26%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But highly do mom
thares
3 months ago
50/50. So. 30% Rendite dann egal bei welchem Szenario. Mir jetzt Latte wie Hose ob 24% oder 26%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It is Allenbatch verian and INSA shockingly
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what do think of the poll that showed a 27-25 for the cdu I want to know I think it’s just being overhyped I wait for other polls to come out later on
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But this one poll I have seen you post a lot of polls that clearly favors you and the party you support however I don’t think this poll going to be game changer in this race I think the cdu will still win this election there not enough time at all for afd to win
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey Billy should we worry about this poll or no not really
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Youth don’t vote that much cdu going to win base on the amount of voters that are old
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Youth of Germany will mostly vote AfD. Wave of change incoming
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
When they were done at the same time in polling wise
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tell me this how come INSA showed a way different result than this one did okay I want to know that why INSA this weekend had a different result
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Btw did even read the poll I did it’s odd polls like this from 28-30 when I compared it to the insa ones showed different result INSA was down by four to three and two to three for cdu but however cdu still very favored to win this election daavid2101 this one poll after all there a lot more incoming this next couple of days
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd not winning this election at all you literally thought the cdu lost ten percent of its voter base but also you afd fans will always post thing of numbers that are good for you but however the article felt very wrong and off like it talk about how Elon has a huge impact on this election which I finds as bullshit but whatevr
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also @mcpetrus what do you think about that poll that happen this week
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That polll it was down on 28-30 but honestly wait for other polls as that institution tends to be more conservative than others ones I wait for things like Verian,allenbatch and INSA instead that one that’s floating around afd fans right now
Daavid2101
3 months ago
27 vs 25 NOW WE TALKIN
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fucking agree however I think this week polling data will show slight increase for afd but overall decrease for them later on
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nothing changed at all
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Today, 150.000 people in Berlin alone took to the streets in protest of the CDU‘s cooperation with the AfD,
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also to afd supported slice super unlikely to become chancellor but go ahead lose all your money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude I still highly doubt it this week polls are important but also the fact is that new polls from INSA yesterday was very interesting I don’t see afd getting above 25 percent
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Of course I saw that poll today however I would wait until other polls come out as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To me 15-20 is underrated I think they could get to that within threee
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To me 15-20 is underrated I think they could get to that within threee
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But also thares why are you betting that cdu will have colitation with afd that’s like a huge no
thares
3 months ago
50/50. So. 30% Rendite dann egal bei welchem Szenario. Mir jetzt Latte wie Hose ob 24% oder 26%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I actually doubt they will reach 25-30 percent et
thares
3 months ago
50/50. So. 30% Rendite dann egal bei welchem Szenario. Mir jetzt Latte wie Hose ob 24% oder 26%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly I agree with you there’s about this as well
thares
3 months ago
50/50. So. 30% Rendite dann egal bei welchem Szenario. Mir jetzt Latte wie Hose ob 24% oder 26%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True Alice very unlikely to become chancellor
jonnyhunt
3 months ago
After all the chaos on Friday during the vote on the law, you could see live that only the Afd showed attitude and the other parties just made a theater performance
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey go ahead lose all your money
jonnyhunt
3 months ago
After all the chaos on Friday during the vote on the law, you could see live that only the Afd showed attitude and the other parties just made a theater performance
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I doubt it Alice being chancellor is. None but he
jonnyhunt
3 months ago
After all the chaos on Friday during the vote on the law, you could see live that only the Afd showed attitude and the other parties just made a theater performance
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But also the margin of error was around two or three percent I still highly doubt they will achieve 25 percent again this poll was done on 28-30
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Not in polll the people afd market talking about on democracy institution about how the afd hit 25 percent but margin of error matters
Mantou11
3 months ago
Every single poll put SPD and AFD closer than CDU and AFD, still according to Polymarket it is more likely get close for the first place than for the second place. Either pollsters or bettors are wrong.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This was down on 28-30 not really a recent poll however
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wouldn’t get excited yet it’s only 25 the cdu still leads them over 27 but however still three weeks left and I think their better institution than this poll okay
Siggi9933
3 months ago
https://www.freilich-magazin.com/politik/umfrage-hammer-afd-in-neuer-umfrage-bei-25-prozent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
High sound like very
GoBerlin
3 months ago
Landslide win for WEIDEL! She going to pull a TRUMP 2016 unexpected win. Screenshot this
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Oh okay so really didn’t matter last week wasn’t that important
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls didnt show landslide but just a very tight race
P-Detector
3 months ago
Merz lost more credibility than he won AfD-voters. The polls...yeah, its like "Harris will win in a landslide"
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
&toschdev dude Alice will not be chancellor afd way too isolate for her to become chancellor
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
USA politic way different from Germany
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Today, 150.000 people in Berlin alone took to the streets in protest of the CDU‘s cooperation with the AfD,
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Only one guy but a lot of Alice even her chance of her becoming chancellor is literally zero like deadass zero
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Period king
Siggi9933
3 months ago
I am a Polymarket critic who trashes everything but never places a bet. I'm like a backseat driver who knows all the best routes but won't touch the steering wheel, spending my days commenting with the fervor of a sports commentator at a silent chess match. Who am I?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Could this strength merz in the polls as well after what happened
mcpetrus
3 months ago
An INSA poll from today says that one in five current AfD voters could still vote for the CDU because of Merz's actions last week. Given the AfD's 20-22% poll numbers, that would be around 4-5%. Recent events have also strengthened their positive opinion of Merz among CDU voters. 50% are now even more convinced to vote for him, only 6% are now doubtful and for the rest nothing has changed.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I literally post that how good of news is this for merz
mcpetrus
3 months ago
An INSA poll from today says that one in five current AfD voters could still vote for the CDU because of Merz's actions last week. Given the AfD's 20-22% poll numbers, that would be around 4-5%. Recent events have also strengthened their positive opinion of Merz among CDU voters. 50% are now even more convinced to vote for him, only 6% are now doubtful and for the rest nothing has changed.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Why would he call cdu left wing party lnfao
gAmBlEr
3 months ago
AFD WILL WIN. ALL OF EUROPE IS WAKING UP TO THE SOCIETAL DAMAGE THAT LEFT WING PARTIES HAVE DONE THE CONTIENT. WHETHER YOU CAN ACCEPT THAT OR NOT, ITS UP TO YOU. DONT CRY OUT YOUR SOY TEARS ON ELECTION DAY
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice super overvalued tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think that going to change much of anything
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Today, 150.000 people in Berlin alone took to the streets in protest of the CDU‘s cooperation with the AfD,
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I also highly doubt it as well tbh
gAmBlEr
3 months ago
AFD WILL WIN. ALL OF EUROPE IS WAKING UP TO THE SOCIETAL DAMAGE THAT LEFT WING PARTIES HAVE DONE THE CONTIENT. WHETHER YOU CAN ACCEPT THAT OR NOT, ITS UP TO YOU. DONT CRY OUT YOUR SOY TEARS ON ELECTION DAY
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
20% of AfD voters can now imagine voting for the CDU/CSU. 50% of Union voters are even more convinced, only 6% have doubts. 33% of AfD voters now have a better opinion of Friedrich Merz, as do 38% of CDU voters. Take the issues away from them and be credible. THAT is what makes the AfD superfluous, no cheap demonstrations. This is by blid Also mcpertus you should see this as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Read the post I posted down below okay
gAmBlEr
3 months ago
AFD WILL WIN. ALL OF EUROPE IS WAKING UP TO THE SOCIETAL DAMAGE THAT LEFT WING PARTIES HAVE DONE THE CONTIENT. WHETHER YOU CAN ACCEPT THAT OR NOT, ITS UP TO YOU. DONT CRY OUT YOUR SOY TEARS ON ELECTION DAY
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so I pretty sure merz is going to win this election even tho yall wanted afd to win but polls now aren’t showing that at all
Dutchland
3 months ago
@mombil how come you are so certain on 15-20% ?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang because polls showing some hope for cdu with merz as usual but your afd support
Dutchland
3 months ago
@mombil how come you are so certain on 15-20% ?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Period dude good for you
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD in a position to win majority
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because I see merz and cdu gaining more popularity than afd is gaining eighth now especially with afd voters according to insa
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD popularity is increasing dramatically
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Where the evidence and your sources in this claim
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD popularity is increasing dramatically
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude you making everyone in this market hate you
Dutchland
3 months ago
@mombil how come you are so certain on 15-20% ?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey quick question are from Germany
Dutchland
3 months ago
@mombil how come you are so certain on 15-20% ?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I thought you mean this Friday so polls this week are going to be in 30-35 for cdu
Dutchland
3 months ago
@mombil how come you are so certain on 15-20% ?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He me cister how are you doing
Mauz
3 months ago
Ugur pls fill @ 48c
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang you seem to do this a lot
Mauz
3 months ago
Ugur pls fill @ 48c
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Straight up
Mauz
3 months ago
Ugur pls fill @ 48c
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly when go to get off this market take like a three day braak
Mauz
3 months ago
Ugur pls fill @ 48c
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Me too bitch as well
IceT22
3 months ago
I've learned psychohistory from the finest mathematicians in all Trantor, and the model is clear: high ranking NSDAP officials are about to leave their secret Antartic bunker and announce their support to the AfD - winning the hearts and minds of the German people and totaling a whopping 34.8% for the AfD in the process. 'm 55 and I did all these studies. I assure you they are all very scientific. I knew what I was doing, because I was born into science. Every day of my life I have been living a life of science. Formulas and chemical equations zoom past my eyes when I close them. At night I dream of being an atom, zooming through the universe faster than the speed of light. After years of being in science. I know for a fact, that it has paid off. In raw data, I base my world, a world that is purely of science. For fifty years, I have trekked on the pathway of scientific discoveries, I am science not. And I do my experiments in a way that produces RESULTS. These are the results I got when I experimented with science. I spoke to science and it spoke back. And these are the results. I assure you.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Damn you don’t have to be that rude
Mauz
3 months ago
Ugur pls fill @ 48c
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree but merz seems to be most likely chancellor
Howyalldoin
3 months ago
The upcoming series of TV debates between Scholz and Merz promises to be a key moment in the lead-up to the election. On February 9, 2025, ARD and ZDF will air the first debate between the two. Following that, on February 16, RTL and ntv will host another debate, this time with the addition of Robert Habeck and Alice Weidel, which could lead to a four-person round. The next day, February 17, the four candidates will reunite on ARD for a live audience Q&A session. On February 19, a final one-on-one debate between Scholz and Merz will be broadcasted on Welt and Bild. The Round of Top Candidates will take place on February 20 on ARD and ZDF, bringing together the top candidates from all major parties, including Scholz, Merz, Habeck, and Weidel. Finally, on February 22, the Citizen Speed Dating debate on ProSieben and Sat.1 will feature the same four candidates answering questions from citizens. A debate for the smaller parties, featuring candidates from the FDP, CSU, Left, and BSW, is also planned for February 10, 2025.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah I’m right spd and cdu are very likely ugur I’m not stupid
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly merz going to be chancellor coalition will be spd and cdu together
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I love this for you honestly ugur is finally quiet
IceT22
3 months ago
I've learned psychohistory from the finest mathematicians in all Trantor, and the model is clear: high ranking NSDAP officials are about to leave their secret Antartic bunker and announce their support to the AfD - winning the hearts and minds of the German people and totaling a whopping 34.8% for the AfD in the process. 'm 55 and I did all these studies. I assure you they are all very scientific. I knew what I was doing, because I was born into science. Every day of my life I have been living a life of science. Formulas and chemical equations zoom past my eyes when I close them. At night I dream of being an atom, zooming through the universe faster than the speed of light. After years of being in science. I know for a fact, that it has paid off. In raw data, I base my world, a world that is purely of science. For fifty years, I have trekked on the pathway of scientific discoveries, I am science not. And I do my experiments in a way that produces RESULTS. These are the results I got when I experimented with science. I spoke to science and it spoke back. And these are the results. I assure you.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I expect it to be good for merz he seem to be at debating
Howyalldoin
3 months ago
The upcoming series of TV debates between Scholz and Merz promises to be a key moment in the lead-up to the election. On February 9, 2025, ARD and ZDF will air the first debate between the two. Following that, on February 16, RTL and ntv will host another debate, this time with the addition of Robert Habeck and Alice Weidel, which could lead to a four-person round. The next day, February 17, the four candidates will reunite on ARD for a live audience Q&A session. On February 19, a final one-on-one debate between Scholz and Merz will be broadcasted on Welt and Bild. The Round of Top Candidates will take place on February 20 on ARD and ZDF, bringing together the top candidates from all major parties, including Scholz, Merz, Habeck, and Weidel. Finally, on February 22, the Citizen Speed Dating debate on ProSieben and Sat.1 will feature the same four candidates answering questions from citizens. A debate for the smaller parties, featuring candidates from the FDP, CSU, Left, and BSW, is also planned for February 10, 2025.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly merz going to be chancellor coalition will be spd and cdu together
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market is sort fair beside spd being little under called however cdu and csu will win against afd and spd here my thoughts the protesters are more left wing a lot of them have never voted afd and also fdp most of them will migrate to cdu as well which bring my second point what merz did was smart because he will boost his number as well as spd with green party ultimately grand coalition is for certain so is merz being chancellor
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think the spd will win but cdu and csu will still win
0xdegendev
3 months ago
King Olaf habibi easy Money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
These protest and green helping them will help spd numbers however I think cdu and csu will still win this election as many of merz voters are still loyal to cdu and csu more than that merkel is hated by a lot cdu and csu voters with his decision and a lot people thought it was the rigtt hit move so I think I love the optism but protest is very minir
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Full disclosure, I have a somewhat significant interest in an SPD win. Here is my reasoning: Last week, the CDU - Germany conservative party - which had previously been uncontested in preliminary polling, decided for the first time in Germany‘s history since 1945 to cooperate with an openly far-right party. The cooperation, aimed at passing stricter migration measures, triggered massive protests in over one hundred German cities. Even former chancellor Angela Merkel condemned the action (of her own party!). I believe that many traditional CDU voters (Conservative but in a truly Christian sense, ergo support for the poor, support for migrants…) will be appalled by this, which is why a significant share of this traditional voter pool will consider other parties. Greens will consolidate with SPD to try to preserve power. I reckon it will probably be a SPD-Greens coalition, possibly with Die Linken support. Keep in mind that approximately 40 percent of popular vote could be enough to establish a majority, CDU will in no way form a coalition with the AFD.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I hate to be this person It won’t hurt cdu and csu numbers as much you think it will the protester are more left wing than right wing the cdu will probably succeed in this election
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Full disclosure, I have a somewhat significant interest in an SPD win. Here is my reasoning: Last week, the CDU - Germany conservative party - which had previously been uncontested in preliminary polling, decided for the first time in Germany‘s history since 1945 to cooperate with an openly far-right party. The cooperation, aimed at passing stricter migration measures, triggered massive protests in over one hundred German cities. Even former chancellor Angela Merkel condemned the action (of her own party!). I believe that many traditional CDU voters (Conservative but in a truly Christian sense, ergo support for the poor, support for migrants…) will be appalled by this, which is why a significant share of this traditional voter pool will consider other parties. Greens will consolidate with SPD to try to preserve power. I reckon it will probably be a SPD-Greens coalition, possibly with Die Linken support. Keep in mind that approximately 40 percent of popular vote could be enough to establish a majority, CDU will in no way form a coalition with the AFD.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lernard do you live in Germany or no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Easiest bet like it will be cdu and spd if spd gets in then them as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I like your betting bro lose it all lmfao
focused
3 months ago
the holders chat is nice, no more Antifa retards in the chat
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can stop with the shit talking and stuff
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Imagine seeing my first name, googling it's meaning and betting against me. lmao.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I dot t think at all like agains can you get off polymarket
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But however it’s just there not enough time to really change result that’s why cdu is very likely in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu is easy money but second place will be super intresting
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but the afd is very unlikely
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu is easy money but second place will be super intresting
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey @mcpetrus do you have twitter or something I would love to talk to you even more
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They can but they very less likely but you have confirmation bias since your an afd supporter
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That won’t change much again you keep being very dismissive and stating o you know Germany so well I highly doubt that
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu is easy money but second place will be super intresting
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall this market has become so toxic because of someone who should not be named
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall this market has become so toxic because of someone who should not be named
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yeah I don’t think the spd will win but hey merz is definitely more likely to win than spd but they could get second over afd in my opinion
Howyalldoin
3 months ago
An SPD victory is unlikely but definitely undervalued. As the oldest party, the SPD has shown time and again its ability to make a comeback. Many Germans are uneasy about the AfD’s anti-foreigner rhetoric and Merz’s willingness to collaborate with them. While Scholz has a bad reputation, his calm under pressure, especially in not escalating tensions with Russia, has earned some silent gratitude. Amid fears of rising far-right extremism, the upcoming Scholz vs. Merz TV debate could be pivotal, especially as protests against the AfD and Merz grow. Given all this, anything under 5% for the SPD seems undervalued.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
A car crashed into a Christmas market did shit to the afd numebrs
northman
3 months ago
Leute haten on ugur aber homie wird diesen BIG BAG mit nachhause nehmen
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally why are sucking up to him
northman
3 months ago
Leute haten on ugur aber homie wird diesen BIG BAG mit nachhause nehmen
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He ignorant and arrogant he can seem to find a reason to stop with this big skewed of the market by him
northman
3 months ago
Leute haten on ugur aber homie wird diesen BIG BAG mit nachhause nehmen
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He can suck a divk for I care this market is not the same ever since he ignorant and arrogant ass got herr
Mauz
3 months ago
Wer hat eig @trolloftheswamp nach seiner meinung gefragt? 😭😭 kann den mal einer bannen
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He a huge afd supporter and ignorant and arrogant
victorianagepervert
3 months ago
Was fuer ein abscheuliches Deutsch hier geschrieben wird, Wahnsinn.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey Jacob what did think of what happened this week
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude your argument comes off dismissive and very arrogant and ignorant like why are you scared of being wrong
northman
3 months ago
Ugur wird diese nvidia stockholder & computer science majors im obdachlosenheim abloesen on god😭🙏
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also getting above 25 when they down by six or seven percent and or four seems almost hard to do like I said it’s almost impossible for afd win this election
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally like shut up his afd supporting ass
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market isn’t any fun anymore like super skewed not accurate at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Said one who causing chaos in this chat now
Mauz
3 months ago
@ugur please fill at 45c thanks
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wish you couldn’t find polymarket at all
vamnizar
3 months ago
honestly the comment section here is hilarious. wish you all the best for your crazy bet ugur :)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I wish he becoming super annoying this market used to be a lot more fun
vamnizar
3 months ago
honestly the comment section here is hilarious. wish you all the best for your crazy bet ugur :)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude shut up your super arrogant and coming off as a asshole
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
See you arrogant asshole
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market is only skewed so bad because of you your arrogance and igorance like maybe stop buying for once
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s very unlikely their not enough time for them to gain massive polls last week stay constant likely stay constant this week as well
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Let him be stupid tbh afd is not gaining like he thinks like dumb alt right supporter he is
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude going to lose all his money lmfao
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You always skewed stuff your buying too much affecting this market it was better with out you luv
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey the afd market so screwed because of ugur
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude your super deolusional and arrogant and ignorant as well like this market only effected by your dumbass
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
Bunch of pussies in the comments here. If any of them had any balls and if my bets are "not representing reality" they would take the other side of the bet and take my free money. Them bitching instead of bidding tells you everything you need to know. Markets are efficient and IF my bets would be DELUSIONAL, you'd see the entire market coming in and taking my money from me. Who doesn't love free money? Nobody is bidding because they're scared that i'm right. 😂 Enjoy your sundays my loves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey are you from Germany by chance or no I want to know
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus do you think the protest or Merkel will destroy the cdu or no not really
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Sorry about the whale in afd chat is trying to get 20-25 under the 25-30 like he ruining the fun
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus do you think the protest or Merkel will destroy the cdu or no not really
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like this market was fine before ugur came along this market feels like his bitch now
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly this so embarrassing like one guy who like almost levitegn changing this market so much like it’s crazy but that’s stupid
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
like straight up facts
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly this so embarrassing like one guy who like almost levitegn changing this market so much like it’s crazy but that’s stupid
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He also a afd fan so wouldn’t worry about it merz going to win this election
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Protester wouldn’t do much to the cdu but also their offices and official being harass but the cdu trying to get away from merkel which won’t do the much harm to cdu or make them lose this election i highly doubt last week would destory the cdu
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus do you think the protest or Merkel will destroy the cdu or no not really
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You assuming things about voter trends but they not easy to predicted at all cdu has very loyal base more than their vparty members do so don’t expect polls again first insa poll showed this 30-22 which showed that cdu didn’t lose that much support
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They haven’t lost party members tho that’s not what I’ve seen from German media cdu won’t lose ten percent in polls they actually might gain from spd and Green Party as well but also you think afd will be in next government lmfao
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude highly doubt anything will change cdu will probably gain from this your a afd supporter most people who protesting are more left leaning than the others ones are
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I know but most of those people are more left leaning and will be voting for Green Party anyways the cdu is going to win this election there not enough time for afd to change that
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so the protester against the cdu are mostly leftist or most of them haven’t vote cdu before anyways so no but also bud this actually good for cdu the protest rather than hurting them tbh afd will not be involved at all i. This government
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What do you mean they lost 10 percent of their members polls show constant right now they didn’t lose ten percent of their party members fact is they only lost around six percent but highly doubt they lost that many tbh
Daavid2101
3 months ago
CDU lost 10% of their party members this weekend. If they lose 10% of their members, they will for sure lose way more than 10% of their voters. Assuming equal voter migration to SPD, Greens and perhabs FPD, it is LFG for AfD :) Polls in one week will be fire and may already show a new leader
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Go kill yourself
dog3
3 months ago
people clueless betting on afd hahah
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey Hans what about people on afd market betting on 25-30 percent for afd
dog3
3 months ago
people clueless betting on afd hahah
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Straight up people in the afd market trying to say afd could get over 25-30 percent in like no not really
bfip
3 months ago
free money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey oxymirin I see you on discord but yeah I agree he could it’s unlikely Alice is a for sure no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay tbh merz super favored for chancellor no else on here could become it not Alice at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
34 percent for 25 and over too high but polymarket is full of alt right fan boys of the afd tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls don’t even suggest such a rise in the afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally cdu Just gain one point back and the afd just stay at a constant 21 percent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls don’t even suggest such a rise in the afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Polls don’t even suggest such a rise in the afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh they just gain one back cdu did
keribit
3 months ago
It's a pleasure being your counterparty @Porternemertine , if you would like to increase your position just comment and I'm sure we'll all be happy to add more liquidity for you
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This was fun but cdu and csu just gain one point back in polls tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bets on stupid stuff it seem to me
LeslieChow
3 months ago
I might be a brokie but im not stupid, THIS MARKET IS ONLY GETTING STARTED !!! YEEEE AHHHHH
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Get the bag king
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Some interesting market movements this morning... I thought I'd be paying 90%+ for CDU yes and AFD no but not complaining
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang you two are fighting like crazy
Malllory
3 months ago
BussyBraindead busy larping about 10k P/L as his P/L dips below $10k 💀 the absolute state of this moron bro hahahaha
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know but this election clearly favors the cdu and csu I don’t see way whwrrr afd can win
AgricultureSecretary
3 months ago
Did some guy just wake up and decide to whale AfD?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s what I want to know because where we were earlier was fine and decently accurate to how this election will go
AgricultureSecretary
3 months ago
Did some guy just wake up and decide to whale AfD?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Who knew one account to destory this market who is clearly wrong by a lot
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You can thank a whale for that tbh
n/a
3 months ago
Can't load up qs cheaply anymore :(
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This not realistic at all afd has only threee chance to win Germany but cdu and csu has like a 97 or more to win
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
Let's flip this shit to be more realistic.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not it’s just stupid being stupid
FUENTES
3 months ago
ITS A FLIP
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay this whale is really pissing me off like why are you spending so much on afd they not going win not even a chance
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s like that one guy who buys a lot for 25-30 and overprice the fuck of it like right now
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The market manipulation here is astounding. AfD went from 8 to 18% and back down to 10% within 5 minutes. Is this one person pumping tens of thousands of dollars into this? And what is the motive behind it?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know I have paying attention to German politics and cdu got in to controversy about wine event from Green Party but it died down already
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The market manipulation here is astounding. AfD went from 8 to 18% and back down to 10% within 5 minutes. Is this one person pumping tens of thousands of dollars into this? And what is the motive behind it?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey you knew what I shocked about cdu actually gained after this whole shitshow I’m stunned Merz isn’t changing his way at all staying in place of what he believes in
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The market manipulation here is astounding. AfD went from 8 to 18% and back down to 10% within 5 minutes. Is this one person pumping tens of thousands of dollars into this? And what is the motive behind it?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Being an alt right fan boy
mcpetrus
3 months ago
The market manipulation here is astounding. AfD went from 8 to 18% and back down to 10% within 5 minutes. Is this one person pumping tens of thousands of dollars into this? And what is the motive behind it?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh 25-30 is overhauled by a lot but I know most of it is alt right fan boys
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
0eriod king this whale fucked up this mariet
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
Fill me at 81 afd whale
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market too funny none of polls even support what this market shows but hey whale keep wasting your money be my guest alt right fan boy
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I do think cdu will win this election this market is crazy but cdu will go back up to 90 in a moment sokn
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
The youth vote AfD because their future is at stake!
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s so funny that ine person turn this market into complete chaos
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market only getting affected by one person that caused the cdu lose six percent now the whale for cdu have to show up
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s okay market is now fixed
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market only getting affected by one person that caused the cdu lose six percent now the whale for cdu have to show up
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
This market only getting affected by one person that caused the cdu lose six percent now the whale for cdu have to show up
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
New poll came out showed the same with one percent increase for cdu none for afd it’s almost like last week didn’t impact shit for this election in my opinion
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
https://youtu.be/KrwSDX95wCs
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay tbh merz super favored for chancellor no else on here could become it not Alice at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
never underestimate german's proclivity for voting CDU
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You should start buying. More no for add
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
never underestimate german's proclivity for voting CDU
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Aka Porternemertine
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I like how this market only bug affected by one guy give in it couple days cdu will go up after this
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I like how this market only bug affected by one guy give in it couple days cdu will go up after this
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Wow one guy changes this market causing the cdu lose to lose two points by his big purchase of nos and yes for the afd alt right fan boys go crazy
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Period king you going to get the bag soon
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
never underestimate german's proclivity for voting CDU
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m going to be honest here by saying we will be getting a spd and cdu government with some help from the Green Party as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd like trump lmfao I don’t think most Germans care about this vote at all tbh merz still super likely to become chancellor
Paulgk
3 months ago
Only 6 points gap between Afd and Cdu, with the immigration Cdu disgrace it will be an easy win for Afd. The recent CDU vote against the immigration law proves to Germans that only Afd can oppose mass immigration. AFD is like Trump in the US
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
That’s not the case here with the cdu and cdu failed bill they don’t care either way cdu and csu still very likely to win merz is going to become chancellor
Paulgk
3 months ago
The party with more votes has the prime minister. Afd will have the prime minister in a government with CDU as they opened to an alliance with Afd on immigration
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt it they have a eight point gsp according to recent poll by insa and also cdu and csu thing doesn’t really matter nor did the whole wine party as welll give it two days and they will forget about it
Paulgk
3 months ago
Only 6 points gap Afd to Cdu, with Elon Musk financing all the media to support Afd and the immigration CDU disaster it will be an easy win for Afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I kinda doubt it after all union seem to be doing well I don’t think a lot of union voters going away because of yesterday event at all most of them supported watt the union did post
Conall
3 months ago
think afd will win
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I hate to. Break it to you but cdu and spd very lokrku m
Daavid2101
3 months ago
SPD gaining, oh now. Will move to Switzerland or Dubai if we get CDU x SPD
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice surged by omen point
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cdu and csu super favored to win this election tbh
MELANIA
3 months ago
I asked my husband for advice on this market..and even though he strongly supports AfD only he said, unfortunately they won't get above 24,6% 😥
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I mean it’s true tho even with controversy like armin going on won’t do much to afd numbers
MELANIA
3 months ago
I asked my husband for advice on this market..and even though he strongly supports AfD only he said, unfortunately they won't get above 24,6% 😥
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also yesterday event and this week event will be forgotten about in about three or four days
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh I hope all yall doing well afd is going to win second place with the cdu and csu winning first but I’m most likely right
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Cool bitch I love that for you
IceT22
3 months ago
Crazy how one autist double down on commenting about 20-25 percent then tries to tell us that he lives his life according to polls doesn’t show that at all but chances for him to be over 18yo are slim to none but 90-95 he's never had sex and 80-85 he's a basement dweller seems a lot more reasonable than 6-9 his mom
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bitch I talk to afd voters a lot of them are very igonarant but that’s beside that
IceT22
3 months ago
Crazy how one autist double down on commenting about 20-25 percent then tries to tell us that he lives his life according to polls doesn’t show that at all but chances for him to be over 18yo are slim to none but 90-95 he's never had sex and 80-85 he's a basement dweller seems a lot more reasonable than 6-9 his mom
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay so tbh 25-30 still very unlikely remember when car ran into a market still did shit to afd numbers so I expect the same with this event as well so agains 25-30 has zero chance none at all
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yes however cdu was very united behind merz issue so their voters were as well so 25-30 is still very unlikely
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Straight up what’s not clicking for these people
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s not likely dude ai can’t predict as much as other can I predict they will go up slightly then fall down again
Siggi9933
3 months ago
I asked Grok what the likelihood is that the AfD will achieve 25% or more of the votes, and Grok estimates this probability at about 60%. So we are very cheap now.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bitch I gotten more bitches than in your life time
IceT22
3 months ago
Crazy how one autist double down on commenting about 20-25 percent then tries to tell us that he lives his life according to polls doesn’t show that at all but chances for him to be over 18yo are slim to none but 90-95 he's never had sex and 80-85 he's a basement dweller seems a lot more reasonable than 6-9 his mom
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You used Elon ai dude it’s not likely at all tbh
Siggi9933
3 months ago
I asked Grok what the likelihood is that the AfD will achieve 25% or more of the votes, and Grok estimates this probability at about 60%. So we are very cheap now.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Crazy how one person double down on them getting 25-30 percent then tries to tell us that this poll doesn’t show that at all but chances for 25-30 is slim to none but 20-25 and 15-20 seems a lot more reasonable than 25-30
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I also think you overestimate afd ability gain voters but go ahead lose 400k be my guess
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Afd does have momentum but not that much as we think they would car crashed in Christmas market didn’t change their numbers I doubt this will as well
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Because this situation is way different also weren’t defending afd before this when merz announced it so at least stay true to your beliefs however I don’t think this failed bill will change the numbers that much
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so I’m think the current mood won’t change that much honestly they did months before still only lost by one percent they probably won’t lose that much this yime
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Thank you Fuentes I called ice
dog3
3 months ago
make sure to report @Trolloftheswamp . he spams and does not even bet.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The poll stay the same in my opinion but cdu increase by one
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He right but also they very likely to not hit 25-30 in my opinion today will not benefit them at all
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can I get some
Exeggut
3 months ago
Chance of 25-30% happening is like 10% max 15%, but still possible.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Ah you think I’m a bot I love it thank you
dog3
3 months ago
make sure to report @Trolloftheswamp . he spams and does not even bet.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Period king get the bag
0xLehman
3 months ago
Looking to fill a large position on "yes" on AfD. Feel free to dm me if you're looking to take the other side with size.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think should be higher 25-30 should be a lot lower
Exeggut
3 months ago
True odds should be 15-20 around 25%, 20-25 at 60% and 25-30 at 15% if the current polls stay the same.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It was called market wolves
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Does anyone has delta child discord because left it by accident want to rejoin it
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Does anyone has delta child discord because left it by accident want to rejoin it
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also do worry Germany poltics are so fun
dog3
3 months ago
make sure to report @Trolloftheswamp . he spams and does not even bet.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Man how Germany going make
dog3
3 months ago
make sure to report @Trolloftheswamp . he spams and does not even bet.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Here insa poll which was 30-22 there no chance they can surge over 25-30 no offense
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But very unlikely I predict max 25 for afd but not more than that but cdu will get not less than 27
Exeggut
3 months ago
Chance of 25-30% happening is like 10% max 15%, but still possible.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think not likely at all they would need terror attack for that to happened tbh
Exeggut
3 months ago
Chance of 25-30% happening is like 10% max 15%, but still possible.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think it won’t be that close meaning I think max afd will get is 23 but cdu will win this election as merz now gaining voters armin was super indecisive and was awful cdu candidate
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD is the solution
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But to people who like remember armin sitatution I’m like yeah this is different in my opinion I don’t expect cdu drop by a lot than others
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD is the solution
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nah trolling is better
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD is the solution
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I bet it will be spd and cdu and csu government like market said they would work with cdu
mcpetrus
3 months ago
This market is more interesting because the deadline is until the end of the year and not June 30th. They are guaranteed to complete any of the options rather than spend a year without a proper government. If it's enough for the CDU and FDP, they will definitely do it. The problem is that 99% of the time it won't be enough. The CDU would have to achieve at least 35% and the FDP 5% but even then it would still be tight.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Of all the candidates merz clearly the favored honestly
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt after that insa poll that afd will win is hard to overcome eight point a even if the migration bill failed
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
AfD is the solution
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It’s mostly ugur who changing this market with how much he buys all the time but hey polls kinda showing small increase if that even when Wednesday stuff pass polls were constant
GodfreyofBouillon
3 months ago
25%+ seems a little steep. Effectively, Germany would need a 2015-style Paris attack before FEB 23 for that to happen.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 30-35 is most favored for this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fully fucking agree like 25 is not likely at all tbh this are alt right fans
GodfreyofBouillon
3 months ago
25%+ seems a little steep. Effectively, Germany would need a 2015-style Paris attack before FEB 23 for that to happen.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will likely drop by the end of election campaign honestly
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Merz is the only one who has a realistic chance but it is lower than it was a few days ago. Many are wondering how he plans to form a coalition. And the market only runs until June 30th. Chance definitely significantly lower than 90%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree with you but I expect him to form a colitation in the coming days
mcpetrus
3 months ago
Merz is the only one who has a realistic chance but it is lower than it was a few days ago. Many are wondering how he plans to form a coalition. And the market only runs until June 30th. Chance definitely significantly lower than 90%.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Tbh all of you guys buying 25-:0’aare asking to lose money
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey thank you also quick question how do you know environment of Europe so well in Germany and poltics in general
mcpetrus
3 months ago
@swamp: There won't be any major changes. The CDU voters are almost all “closed-knit” people who think Merz’s way is right. They will not fall lower than 28%. Everything is open up to around 35%. I already wrote to you yesterday that I rate the CDU at 32 and the AfD at just under 20.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey thank you wow you know a lot about German politics
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall the poll are now staying the same while this failed bill gave afd a little bit of a boost it didn’t give them the boost they needed according to the insa post and poll which means it’s likely cdu will stay stable and afd gain a little bit before staying stable again but 20-25 for afd seems very reasonable for this election and 30-35 for cdu and csu will seem reasonable as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So true like it’s not likely at all tbh it’s just one guy keeps buying it so that’s why it’s so high
InvestKoest
3 months ago
25-30% is very overvalued. Sell that now.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yall the poll are now staying the same while this failed bill gave afd a little bit of a boost it didn’t give them the boost they needed according to the insa post and poll which means it’s likely cdu will stay stable and afd gain a little bit before staying stable again but 20-25 for afd seems very reasonable for this election and 30-35 for cdu and csu will seem reasonable as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly grand colitation is the right one I don’t think others will happened
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Billy is right also polls this week and probably last week have stay constant I expect the same again for next three weeks until the election happens
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t plus 50 pecejt more like 30-35 percent but not fifty at all
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The problem is in polls right now INSA shows only 30-22 cdu gained in that poll which means they will likely win that election ifs hard to overcome a 8 point difference
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Failing today why did you said it won’t have major impact on really anything I. Germany this election I want to know like really knowing
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I mean the bill fails
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup I was right afd only going to gain a little bit from this but not enough to become at 25-30 percent according to today insa poll more polls come out tomorrow as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey I have question. Why did you said what happened on Friday doesn’t really impact that many voters in Germany
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay so Monday it will showed but INSA polls showed no change at all
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but hey this was still win for merz and afd not so much because I want your opinion Billy will afd cross over 25 percent or no
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Grand colitation is certain for this election in my opinion afd will only gain a little bit but not by much
AngeloMerte
3 months ago
Hello everyone, I have analyzed the positions of the individual holders and noticed an inconsistency with @raps. In the "TopHolders" and in his profile it says that he holds over 500,000 YES shares for Merz. In his profile these are even shown with an average price of 0.16. However, there are no purchases of this size or at this price in either his profile or in the ActivityLog. Why is it that he is still shown with 500,000+ shares?
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They will get the insa poll today showed that cdu staying stable but afd going gain ground only slightly but won’t go over 25 percent in my opinion
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Grand colitation is certainly for Germany this year merz going to be chancellor like hardcore Alice is a lost so is Olaf but merz so likely to be chancellor
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I do too but I feel like he betting wrong tbh 30-22 on INSA today showed usa that afd gain one point but still too behind the cdu both are going to gain ground while spf and greens will keep losing ground
Zorroh
3 months ago
I have full respect for Ugur who places true bet and is a true believer. That's a much appreciated change compared to this annoying liquidity bots that are everywhere on German election markets.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
If afd took away their extremist views then cdu would totally worked with them
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt it new insa poll shows 30-22 for cdu
JackOfSpades
3 months ago
I secretly hope that the 25-30% guys are right.... would be good for Germany
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also tbh new insa poll came out today it’s bad for afd no change after this shitshow 30-22 but union did gain one point back so i was right that this event actually benefited the union over afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You’re right it did the union was increasing like thought after this shit show so their that
SportBilly
3 months ago
Latest INSA 30-31 Jan 2025 - Union 30 (+1)
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
They literally are afd is favored to win 2029 election tho
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
I love taking money from far righters. Sorry Germany is going to be a arabic majority nation sweetie. Too bad too sadl dont care. Thanks for the 10%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree that’s why I said cdu and cdu going to win because of all of this pensionser and legacy media which has shown spd and cdu in good lighting
dog3
3 months ago
only non germans think afd will get more than 25%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
To say Elon is normalizing afd is laughable but you and ugur are free to waste all your money on 25-30 which I highly doubt afd will win this elections yesterday event went for a decent win for merz in my opinionn
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also you don’t understand but America going far right is going to scary people into not voting for afd as well tbh that’s saving grace
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly afd is only strong because of Merkel and her dumbass policy
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude your at right fan Boy dude there no path where afd will get over 25 percent maybe big one 23 that’s the max
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Nothing going to change in three weeks in polls either don’t expected afd win 25-30 percent at alo
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Voting afd in Germany a lot people even after this shit show still won’t because of stigma behind. Nazisim
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think it’s native said what’s going to make them win was yesterday shitshow even my German friends said everyone knew that bill was going to fail but merz had right thing mind but she said afd won’t gain that much from what happened yesterday in her opinion your just idiot
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Bruh Elon has bad reputation in Germany only one who likes him are afd fans like you and ugur
FUENTES
3 months ago
Musk has changed everything. The fact that this man calls for voting for the AFD makes this party normal for many Germans.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The German country is fine in my opinion
dog3
3 months ago
only non germans think afd will get more than 25%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
What are you German hans
dog3
3 months ago
only non germans think afd will get more than 25%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus why does this market feel not accurate to how the election is going to play out in my opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
You are just so igonarant where you but aren’t you bitch
kekkone
3 months ago
ugur bu bir shitcoin degil
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree but there a lot of alt right people buying into afd right now tbh
Neil.McCauley
3 months ago
"Wo aber Gefahr ist, wachst das Rettende auch"
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True but it’s just o my god this market is only way it is because of him
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can we just ban ugur honestly he making this market so lame and unpredictable with how much he buys stuff
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Can we just ban ugur honestly he making this market so lame and unpredictable with how much he buys stuff
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m not going to lie 30-35 is so undervalued I think it’s more likely but 25-30 also very fair as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Is it so you can have cheaper bets so you can buy more smart tbh
Mylo
3 months ago
please push 25-30% even higher
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus do have like instagram or a discord by chance
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Literally it’s that guy with 363 shares in 25/30
mcpetrus
3 months ago
You can See in Chart someone tries to manipulate the Market.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Like yesterday won’t change much in the polls trust me cdu and csu still very favored to win the election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus what do you think about 25-30 is it overvalued or no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
For real I think he just a afd fan boy
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
good morning chads. One of the biggest BTC advocates also speaking out in favor of the AfD and interviewing Weidel today. Enjoy your weekends https://x.com/marcfriedrich7/status/1885498969205162463
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey mcpetrus what do you think about 25-30 is it overvalued or no
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Only reason 25-30 is so high because someone who afd fan keeps buying it like it’s candy Even though their not a lot of evidence to show that afd will win this election even if that bill failed yesterday
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang yall just trying to lose money lmfao
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
good morning chads. One of the biggest BTC advocates also speaking out in favor of the AfD and interviewing Weidel today. Enjoy your weekends https://x.com/marcfriedrich7/status/1885498969205162463
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Think that going to change much this election but go head lose all your money be my guest
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
good morning chads. One of the biggest BTC advocates also speaking out in favor of the AfD and interviewing Weidel today. Enjoy your weekends https://x.com/marcfriedrich7/status/1885498969205162463
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m going to be honest I don’t Gino
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
good morning chads. One of the biggest BTC advocates also speaking out in favor of the AfD and interviewing Weidel today. Enjoy your weekends https://x.com/marcfriedrich7/status/1885498969205162463
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so honestly
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
I love taking money from far righters. Sorry Germany is going to be a arabic majority nation sweetie. Too bad too sadl dont care. Thanks for the 10%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree I hate afd but yesterday benefits merz as well in like one week afd but two to three weeks merz for sure
Foxmeme
3 months ago
#fckafd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree the union so likely to win this election far right stop this it’s embarrassing
BussyBlaster
3 months ago
I love taking money from far righters. Sorry Germany is going to be a arabic majority nation sweetie. Too bad too sadl dont care. Thanks for the 10%
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It depends but it will most likely be this 32-19-18-13 cdu and csu being in favored
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
If there any fair poll it must show AfD at 26% at least.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Man fuck you
Zorroh
3 months ago
God bless America
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Yup but I doubt yesterday willl have huge effect on afd numbers
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
If there any fair poll it must show AfD at 26% at least.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
30
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
20-25 is overcharged but also 30-35 is undervalued by a lot I think union will get above 39
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
20-25 is overcharged but also 30-35 is undervalued by a lot I think union will get above 39
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus is alright over 30 percent for 25 and more is very overhauled I highly doubt afd will gain. Big after what happened yesterday
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so but go head lose all your money tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So we will see next week however I highly doubt that afd will get above 25-30 maybe max 27 but most lost voters will go to spd or Green Party instead for the cdu
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The afd gain that much from yesterday like not all if that pollls might show something merz might actually grew as leader respect for that from me
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
If there any fair poll it must show AfD at 26% at least.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t to now highly doubt
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
If there any fair poll it must show AfD at 26% at least.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
No problem let people be stupid in this chat about 25-39 percent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey to yall betting over 30 and 25-30 are trying to lose money lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Are you slow Merkel opposing merz is good thing not bad thing I think this week good for afd but also for cdu and csu as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what’s your election prediction after this shit show in your opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey to yall betting over 30 and 25-30 are trying to lose money lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I’m just saying hey like you guys wasting your me
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey to yall betting over 30 and 25-30 are trying to lose money lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Okay melania we love you husband tbh union will still likely win this election
MELANIA
3 months ago
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Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think that will happened spoon actually think what happened yesterday won’t change much about this election
noblesse.oblige
3 months ago
If there any fair poll it must show AfD at 26% at least.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After yesterday it might changed but honestly not really since afd will likely not gain that much in polls
SpecialBettingOperation
3 months ago
Latest reliable pol (INSA 30.01) putting SPD at 17% and AFD at 22%. This is way underpriced.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After what gain
SpecialBettingOperation
3 months ago
Latest reliable pol (INSA 30.01) putting SPD at 17% and AFD at 22%. This is way underpriced.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so u have German friends they said people are scared of the afd
WhyC
3 months ago
A new forecast from Verian says 20%, last election they predicted 11%, the result was 10.3%. 15-20% is undervalued and 25-30% overvalued, but a lot can happen until the election.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I see some people who are but merz is good for this taking action for first time for the cdu
Andy-Beshear
3 months ago
People are generally tired of the uncertainty and I think the CDU provides that stability forward.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey to yall betting over 30 and 25-30 are trying to lose money lmfao
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Also an attack like that happening is not likely at all to me I agree with mcpretrus that very likely that cdu and csu will win this election
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
After this chancellor merz will be likely or not but spd and grunes will forgive cdu after the election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
State media is super strong but attack on merz are going to help him so will the springer press as well but some of media I’ve been seen state media seems to praise him for his move as well
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
But Germans a lot more aware that afd is not safe on this issue
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I have German friend she told me everyone in German knew this bill was going to died but fact merz stuck with she said helps his party rather hurts it she also said Merkel hating him will boost his numbers as well
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude stabbing all over England but they don’t give a fuck same with Germany only if migrant do they care otherwise nopr
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I highly doubt that will happen in three weeks tbh merz aboutbgain some voters who Leary to vote afd
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus hey what thoughts on today events in your opinions
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still don’t I don’t think this is going to screw then that much
Andy-Beshear
3 months ago
People are generally tired of the uncertainty and I think the CDU provides that stability forward.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey thank you so much I have question is Merz actually doing good job as cdu candidate or nk
mcpetrus
3 months ago
33% possibility for 25% or more is crazy lol. 0% Chance for that.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The afd could but think what merz did will help gain voters back to cdu as well because of all this tbh afd very unlikely to get over 25 percent in my opinion now
Andy-Beshear
3 months ago
People are generally tired of the uncertainty and I think the CDU provides that stability forward.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey do you think about Merkel opposing. Merz in this election as well
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what’s your election prediction after this shit show in your opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey thank you calming me down a lot people on here said today event killed cdu support like it did in 2021 with guy laughing at the flooded village
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what’s your election prediction after this shit show in your opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Hey but cdu this time took migration serious which helps them wins some voters who don’t want to commit to agd
Andy-Beshear
3 months ago
People are generally tired of the uncertainty and I think the CDU provides that stability forward.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So your saying that cdu will still win this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So we will see next week however I highly doubt that afd will get above 25-30 maybe max 27 but most lost voters will go to spd or Green Party instead for the cdu
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I disagree I think cdu will win but barely
Bossii1394
3 months ago
Afd will win,
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
@mcpetrus what’s your election prediction after this shit show in your opinion
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I need answer okay I’m piss off that this failed okay
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So we will see next week however I highly doubt that afd will get above 25-30 maybe max 27 but most lost voters will go to spd or Green Party instead for the cdu
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So you still think cdu will win the election and afd will get second
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So we will see next week however I highly doubt that afd will get above 25-30 maybe max 27 but most lost voters will go to spd or Green Party instead for the cdu
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Me too they are a good party
Andy-Beshear
3 months ago
People are generally tired of the uncertainty and I think the CDU provides that stability forward.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Agree with you
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
most favored for this election in my opinoin is 20-25 or 15-20 max 25 tho
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I fully fucking she
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
most favored for this election in my opinoin is 20-25 or 15-20 max 25 tho
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I disagree most I think will stick with merz and cdu as showed they cared about the migration isssue a lot recently
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Your so right good for you
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I actually think this week was victory for merz as showed undecided voters who doesn’t want vote afd that cdu is taking it serious with migration and them and fdp are serious about this issue
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
So we will see next week however I highly doubt that afd will get above 25-30 maybe max 27 but most lost voters will go to spd or Green Party instead for the cdu
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Honestly today showed me that left hates Germany but cdu and afd cares about Germany merz dis the best he could but lot the gamble however I think cdu will barely win this election
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I disagree I don’t think cdu will fall under but cdu voters will never vote for afd now cdu actually united for the first as all but 12 vote for it which shows merz strength
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree cdu will likely win this election Alice will not be chancellor but afd and cdu could and might be a colitation after this
Manow
3 months ago
jebac afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t think so but cdu is still decently likely to win this election
Jess041
3 months ago
It seems global western politics is shifting right this year. EZ money
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I agree merz did great tho cdu will definitely be in involve this government however
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice is a instant lost tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think afd will not be in but spd and cdu will for sure
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Lmao I think it’s easy on cdu with afd very close second
Agent005
3 months ago
Easy Money for Olaf Abiiiii
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I don’t know but hope cdu will make it. This though this just sucks also to people celebrating honestly I doubt afd will gain abosoukte majority but cdu will likely win this election
Zorroh
3 months ago
God bless America
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think your right that they could get around 25-30 I think cdu and csu will stay stable for a while
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I disagree I think it be around 22-27 but cdu will win this election
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Alice is a instant lost tbh
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
One guy is just carrying the 25-30 if he didn’t exist 20-25 is so likely
Zorroh
3 months ago
God bless America
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think 20-25 is more favorsd
Zorroh
3 months ago
God bless America
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I think the party will likely replace him by end week next
n/a
3 months ago
Merz tried to profile himself on afd issues, but instead proved he cannot deliver on them
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Thanks I do think someone from union will be chancellor tho
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Merz really fucked himself today, the polls on Sunday will show a considerable decline in support.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Still think merz is favored but barely afd will be very close second hey voters know afd and union means business tho
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merkel is dumb bitch for killing this legislation today fdp is a dead party cdu will win barely and afd will be a very close second Olaf shouldn’t have killed or greens its was only counter to the afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I hate Merkel for that as well but almost his party was for him
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Merz really fucked himself today, the polls on Sunday will show a considerable decline in support.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
True I think they might Alice not likely at all
MartyMcFly2003
3 months ago
Merz really fucked himself today, the polls on Sunday will show a considerable decline in support.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
It was showed voters he cared however afd will slight to me max 24 for this while cdu will be constant 30-31 percent
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
I actually think this week was victory for merz as showed undecided voters who doesn’t want vote afd that cdu is taking it serious with migration and them and fdp are serious about this issue
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
He had his whole party who vote for it
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dang I want to scream this showed merz strong but still failed due to green and spd wanting to implode on each other
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Merkel is dumb bitch for killing this legislation today fdp is a dead party cdu will win barely and afd will be a very close second Olaf shouldn’t have killed or greens its was only counter to the afd
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Dude number for me will stay cdu and csu but afd will be close number two
Nudelholzninja
3 months ago
I will buy everything under 4 by next Friday if the forecasts have made it clear how people evaluate Merz's failure.
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
Fdp is dead after this fucking bullshit week fuck you fdp you messed up
Trolloftheswamp
3 months ago
The cdu and csu