#52
Rank
203
Comments
153
Likes Received
32
Likes Given
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
According to Reuters, Russian President Vladimir Putin is likely to reject the proposed 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine by the United States. Russian sources indicate that any agreement must consider Russia's battlefield achievements and strategic interests.
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Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
Russia will not agree to a 30-day ceasefire because it will just enable Ukraine to regroup and rearm - Russian MP Viktor Sobolev.
7
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
he's just the aliexpress car but we all know car is the og pump n dumper, cant have two of them
2
Car
2 months ago
ceasefire tomorrow guys! lmao
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
russia's trade with the us is marginal, trump isn't going to put his bud vladimir through actual pain (secondary sanctions on oil exports)
3
MAGA-King
2 months ago
The major stumbling block is that T actually doesn't understand the details of what each side wants. He sees the Ukrainian army as being on the verge of collapse, and thinks Putin would happily agree to returns large chunks of the territory he's taken, so long as Zelensky agree to an immediate election, an opportunity to sow discord and try to bribe his way to a different gov't. Given these beliefs, T thinks he just needs to get Ukraine to agree to come ot the table to get much of their land back, and doesn't understand that Putin will only sign a peace deal that is equivalent to surrender.
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
Russia “categorically” opposes any deal that allows European troops to act as peacekeepers in Ukraine, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said. “We see no room for compromise,” Lavrov told reporters Thursday at a news conference in Moscow. The presence of European forces in Ukraine would mean the “undisguised involvement of NATO countries in a war against the Russian Federation. It’s impossible to allow this,” he said. my entire edge in this market is weighing the words of Lavrov (an adult) higher than that of Trump (a manchild)
6
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
will start supplying liquidity from the other side now. do with this information what you will
3
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
dont mind me just farming rewards ova here
5
Zorroh
2 months ago
Whose 208k wall is this?
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
already rejected by russia but correct, yestards are much better off in the longer markets which are much more realistic to hit
1
drac0nian
2 months ago
so, if only the first one counts - then, if it's sea+air ceasefire only - Yes loses, right?
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
"President Emmanuel Macron is running around with some ideas, just like Keir Starmer," he said. Lavrov noted that Western politicians are preparing "so many thousands of peacekeepers" and will provide air cover for them. "This is impudence," the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry emphasized. At the same time, US President Donald Trump, according to Lavrov, is behaving correctly. "He said that it is too early to say when there will be a settlement: 'You can discuss this issue, but the consent of the parties will be needed,'" the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry said.
0
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
idk who's market-making the no bids but be careful buddy, i almost dumped 200k into your bid today. i saw this coming but imo it makes no difference so i decided to hodl. don't think you can farm rewards with no risk.
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
idk who's market-making the no bids but be careful buddy, i almost dumped 200k into your bid today. i saw this coming but imo it makes no difference so i decided to hodl. don't think you can farm rewards with no risk.
2
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
will put up 100k more if you guys send it to 70, say thank you!
6
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
🚨🚨 High-level Trump sources tell me the White House is now uncertain if they can get the Russians and Ukrainians to stop fighting because this episode with @ZelenskyyUa raised questions about whether he can move forward toward a peace deal. It also raises questions about whether US will pause aid to Ukraine. But Trump is NOT seeking regime change in Ukraine. No discussions about who in Ukraine might be a better leader than Zelenskyy.
0
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
"Ceasefire’s around the corner, I give it until next week. American strength is resonating."
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Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
russia: there will be no ceasefire. ukraine: there will be no ceasefire. polymarket: CEASEFIRE INCOMING
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Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
"The US position stands out, it has been stated consistently, it does not call for immediate peace, leaving the line of contact, and then thinking about what to do. We have always emphasized that this option does not suit us. This option was already tried in April 2022 in Istanbul," the minister said. He recalled: "The President clearly said that we are ready to negotiate with both Ukraine and Europe, with any representatives who in a spirit of good will wanted to help achieve peace, but we will stop military actions only when these negotiations produce a firm, sustainable result that suits Russia." Lavrov stressed that "realities on the ground must be taken into account." "In accordance with the Russian Constitution, this choice has acquired an international legal status. And respect for all these realities is, of course, mandatory. Just as Ukraine's categorical non-entry into NATO is mandatory - there must be a clear, ironclad agreement on this," the Russian minister said.
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Which coalition will form the next German government?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
bsw out means cdu+spd is a lock, it all depends on whether sarah gets enough votes
1
Which coalition will form the next German government?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
i'll admit i was feeling better about this two weeks ago but i wouldn't exclude the austrian solution in case there's no majority for a groko. it would be the first-ever minority government in germany but depending on how negotiations go, that may become more appealing over time. i think the bigger parties will be wary of another three-way solution, especially if that would leave fringe parties in opposition. this market could become very interesting after sunday.
2
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
*taps pnl*
2
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
"Ceasefire’s around the corner, I give it until next week. American strength is resonating."
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
trump just mooned Z's approval rating but you wouldnt bullieve it
3
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
"Ceasefire’s around the corner, I give it until next week. American strength is resonating."
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
"It’s like taking money from the blind, almost feels criminal."
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Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
no one is immune to selling the bottom, unfotunately
3
Betwick
2 months ago
Welcome back BuckMySalls, good to see ya
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
Details of the meeting and the list of attendees are still being worked out, but people briefed on the plans said the group is likely to comprise national security advisers. The aim is to lock in a date before the holy month of Ramadan starts in March, a person said. -- they will lock in a date before ramadan, this date does not necessarily mean it will be this month.
2
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
the way i see it is that my pnl is $381,000 more profitable than yours
5
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
are yestards already bleeding? it's been 3 days guys, ethereum sustains better pumps than this
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
i will put up 100k more shares, but those are rookie prices, you gotta pump those prices up
1
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
are yestards already bleeding? it's been 3 days guys, ethereum sustains better pumps than this
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
are yestards already bleeding? it's been 3 days guys, ethereum sustains better pumps than this
9
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory in 2025?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
25k shares more, take them champ
0
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
preliminary 10k wall at 69c, take that down first yestards before i bring in the cavalry
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory in 2025?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
preliminary 10k wall at 69c, take that down first yestards before i bring in the cavalry
2
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
Merz said it will be a confrontational speech that could shock europoors, wouldn't be surprised if price dumps more
1
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
i will buy more no after vance's speech in munich tomorrow, expect the price to go to 55-60
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
i will buy more no after vance's speech in munich tomorrow, expect the price to go to 55-60
5
Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
market needs to be extended through victory day to have juice
2
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
doubt this will happen, as i said i can come up with 100k right now. just need an escrow
1
coquimalo
2 months ago
It’s like taking money from the blind, almost feels criminal. Ceasefire’s around the corner, I give it until next week. American strength is resonating. This war should’ve never happened. Rest in peace to those who have perished.
CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
32 in Allensbach and Infratest
1
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
how do I get in on this
2
coquimalo
2 months ago
It’s like taking money from the blind, almost feels criminal. Ceasefire’s around the corner, I give it until next week. American strength is resonating. This war should’ve never happened. Rest in peace to those who have perished.
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
I'll chip in up to 100k
5
coquimalo
2 months ago
It’s like taking money from the blind, almost feels criminal. Ceasefire’s around the corner, I give it until next week. American strength is resonating. This war should’ve never happened. Rest in peace to those who have perished.
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
PREPARATION FOR PUTIN-TRUMP TALKS MAY TAKE WEEKS OR SEVERAL MONTHS - IFAX
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AfD % of vote in German Election?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
you're not wrong, just early
1
bobtschigerillo999
2 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
AfD % of vote in German Election?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
the state funds attacks to depose its own establishment parties?
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bobtschigerillo999
2 months ago
T-10 Days. Expecting more of these (most likely state funded hybrid warfare) closer to the election date. https://x.com/niusde_/status/1889999973913391548 all of which going to play into the fear of people. the impact will only really be felt on election day ;)
AfD % of vote in German Election?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
you're not wrong just early
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FUENTES
2 months ago
https://x.com/officer_Lew/status/1889978746859561446 Reality is making the far right rise everywhere in Europe
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
i didnt hear no bell yestards
4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
honestly feel sorry for you lol
2
Joe-Biden
2 months ago
It looks like I might be screwed 😰
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
BuckMySalls
2 months ago
short quick wins, long elaborate backroom deals
0
AfD % of vote in German Election?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
this is my counterparty
3
FUENTES
3 months ago
🚨 BIG POLL 🚨 AfD EXPLODING 29% (+4) CDU/CSU in TOTAL COLLAPSE 16% (-3) The old system is FALLING APART, the people are WAKING UP! https://x.com/Wahlen_DE/status/1887934237988303050
Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
i didn't hear no bell afd bros
4
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
not in this anymore but surprised to see so many sharps on no - care to elaborate? trump seems very eager to meet and i don't think historical timelines apply here. was waiting for lower on yes but now it might not come anymore.
4
AfD % of vote in German Election?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
you actually draw all the right inferences but your final conclusion is (imo) wrong, the shift won't be cdu to afd but rather vice versa. the stigma to not vote right will still hold this time in germany. you're basically betting on the fu vote being underestimated but imo it's more likely the just not the nazis vote will prevail at least one more time. barring another terror incident, cdu will now pivot to the economy because that's where they can pin down the governing parties and claw back what they lost with their gambit. afd won't benefit from this.
1
Flipadelphia
3 months ago
Another day another poll with AFD at 20%. Yawn, this German polling is too predictable and reliable, give me an Selzer poll already
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
no but you'll know how to find me on x
0
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
btc is going to be in the sovereign wealth fund, not to be held by the treasury. thank me later
AfD % of vote in German Election?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
commence the 25+ fake poll cope
2
mombil
3 months ago
Forsa: https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Union-sackt-nach-AfD-Eklat-ab-Gruene-und-Linke-legen-zu-article25537158.html
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
btc is going to be in the sovereign wealth fund, not to be held by the treasury. thank me later
2
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
never in doubt, tp'd at the bottom. don't fade the orange man, moves markets for fun
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
20k shares at 67c and i'll put up more, let's see who's right
2
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
AfD % of vote in German Election?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
moreover, the fact there's a month to go works rather in favor of merz if someone can get it through his thick skull that he should pivot away from migration and towards the economy, which is his actual strength. there is no guarantee migration and brandmauer stay front and center and cdu will now realize they have to break this dynamic of talking only about those topics.
2
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
AfD % of vote in German Election?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
the voter migration you are betting on are disgruntled conservatives voting further to the right. but they have no reason to abandon the cdu, if anything merz' pivot is trying to siphon off afd voters who can vote for border closures from the center-right. the voters they may or may not lose with their gambit are centrists from the merkel wing and those would go red or green but not blue.
1
bobtschigerillo999
3 months ago
70% of Germans want the borders to be closed: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/befragte-fordern-einlenken-der-spd-umfrage-zeigt-deutliche-mehrheit-fur-im-bundestag-beschlossenen-cdu-migrationsplan-13121941.html Today showed that this will not be done by the Greens. The majority of the SPD voters want the borders to be closed. The SPD politicians voted to NOT close the borders today. The FDP & CDU had people within their own ranks vote against closing the border today, showing that even the parties that initially passed the motion first on wednesday cannot actually bring the change that 70% of people want. Today showed, very drastically, that there literally is only one solution to the problem. 4 years ago we already saw how quickly public perception can change if you work actively against what the majority of people want. From August 2021 until the election in September of 2021 the CDU managed to lose 6% points from 28% to 22%. In the same span the SPD went from 16% to 25%. We're 23 days away and all parties except a single one proved today, that they're not willing to give the majority of Germans what they want: Closed borders. Even the saving grace "CDU" who set out to beat the AfD and close the borders imploded today, with backstabbing within their own ranks in mere 3 days. Have fun watching this clusterf*ck burn in front of our eyes :D
Which coalition will form the next German government?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
surprised there's support for the cdu,spd,greens coalition. i'd consider that highly unlikely because it likely leaves no real democratic opposition. if that gov didn't deliver, it would torpedo the center in german. nevermind the fact that a threesome is harder to arrange than a fling.
2
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
if dems say aha you're flipflopper, that's easy to deflect because intel is all about flipflopping. new information = updated beliefs. oops i guess i was wrong, my bad, well good thing i at least recognized that right guys
2
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.), a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said he was “surprised” that Director of National Intelligence nominee Tulsi Gabbard refused to call former NSA contractor Edward Snowden a “traitor” after being repeatedly pressed on the question at a Thursday hearing. “I was surprised because that doesn’t seem like a hard question on that. It wasn’t intended to be a trick question by any means,” Lankford said.
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
she should have denounced his actions and disavow a placeholder: according to all the facts at my disposal today, i believe mr snowden acted in violation of the constitution of the us and thus did not abide by the oath he swore to protect and defend yada yada. i am committed to reforming the odni such that whistleblowing is possible without violating the oath you take yada yada. you admit he's a traitor without saying it. not sidestep the question entirely.
2
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.), a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said he was “surprised” that Director of National Intelligence nominee Tulsi Gabbard refused to call former NSA contractor Edward Snowden a “traitor” after being repeatedly pressed on the question at a Thursday hearing. “I was surprised because that doesn’t seem like a hard question on that. It wasn’t intended to be a trick question by any means,” Lankford said.
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.), a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said he was “surprised” that Director of National Intelligence nominee Tulsi Gabbard refused to call former NSA contractor Edward Snowden a “traitor” after being repeatedly pressed on the question at a Thursday hearing. “I was surprised because that doesn’t seem like a hard question on that. It wasn’t intended to be a trick question by any means,” Lankford said.
3
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
curtis is a key swing vote because he's new and considered a moderate that has voiced concerns about tulsi. all dems are a no, including fetterman. the gop hawks would only vote yes to not upset the capo but actually they all want to vote no because they hate snowden and she does not.
1
EdmondDantes14
3 months ago
With Tulsi Gabbard, given that it'll be an anonymous ballot, I've counted 43 R-Senators definitely voting for her. I've got a definite no for Mitch McConnell, Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins, and have question marks next to: Todd Young, Bill Cassidy, Thom Tillis, Lindsey Graham, John Thune, John Cornyn, John Curtis and John Fetterman. I don't think she'll pass. How is everyone else weighing this up? Why am I wrong or not?
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
her answer to syria was the only good one because she grew up hating islam. that was the only answer that wasn't gpt generated.
1
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
can't disavow snowden, can't answer on china. intel deep state hates both. wonder how this ends. questions for plato
2
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
snowden disavows tulsi not calling him a traitor but polypoll thinks she is hot and reads gpt answers with a calm voice.
0
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
gillibrand is exposing that she doesn't know anything and has only gpt answers. doesn't shout over her like the others but dismantles her with actual facts. go ahead, just keep buying yes.
2
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
yestards do not realize she's an answerbot, if she doesn't submit to the groupthink that snowden bad, she is not getting the recommendation. she had 5 opportunities to do it, they didn't even ask her hardball questions about russia or her qualifications.
2
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
you deserve every single dollar we're going to win on this bet
0
vocifer
3 months ago
vocifer tip: You can use ublock origin to hide every justifax comment
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
rfk to get through because fat and unhealthy americans are a business. tulsi to get smacked down because going against the intel community makes you a traitor. its as simple as that folks.
3
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
tulsi bros are one susan collins thumbs down away from losing it all
4
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
mitch voted no on hegseth, prepare the lube tulsi bros
2
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
who do you think put up that wall at 70c?
0
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
tulsi bros keep yapping or buying? i didn't hear no bell
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
tulsi bros keep yapping or buying? i didn't hear no bell
2
What will Trump say during inauguration speech?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
that was the bell, crypto bros
4
What will Trump say during inauguration speech?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
i didnt hear no bell
4
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
3 months ago
https://www.economist.com/podcasts/2025/01/16/can-israel-and-hamas-make-a-ceasefire-work dems will eat this up in the hearing, strap in
1
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
BuckMySalls
4 months ago
can Yestards keep the price at 1c until J19? i'll jam in 200k then
1
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
BuckMySalls
4 months ago
well 2023 would have been Yes if UA had accepted since it's the announcement that counts. anyway, real odds are probably close to fair now yes, should be below 1c but there's a liquidity premium. it's most definitely not 30% (lol lmao even). i sold to free up capital at this price. main market is also being knocked back closer to fair price as well but still has some way to go.
1
American-American
4 months ago
Chance of Christmas truce is pretty high and would satisfy the resolution criteria of this market. Chance is maybe 30%, definitely not 1% ;-)
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
BuckMySalls
4 months ago
-18 pnl comments on +171k pnl thats up 12k on this market. theres a reason you guys are poor. it's because you're stone cold morons. retar dio.
0
BuckMySalls
4 months ago
let me get this straight. a dude with the geopolitical credibility of andrew tate put out fake news and some of you were folly enough to still buy after a few cunning snipers pumped the price to 3c? never change polymarket. never change
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
BuckMySalls
4 months ago
let me get this straight. a dude with the geopolitical credibility of andrew tate put out fake news and some of you were folly enough to still buy after a few cunning snipers pumped the price to 3c? never change polymarket. never change
3
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
4 months ago
Eight Republican senators are unsure about supporting former Democratic member of congress Tulsi Gabbard to become America’s top spy, according to a Trump transition source and a second source with knowledge of the issue, increasing doubts about whether her nomination will secure Senate confirmation. A Trump associate in close contact with the team trying to push the president-elect's nominees through the Senate also said there was serious pessimism about whether Gabbard could secure the votes she needs to become director of national intelligence.
5
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
4 months ago
Nearly a half dozen sources, including senators and individuals close to the situation, indicated that Gabbard is having trouble during meetings with lawmakers, with one source familiar describing the sit-downs as “not going well.” “She was proving to be a little shallow, like a House member talking at a hearing and not someone who needs to provide the president’s daily intelligence briefing,” the source familiar said. “I’ve heard that she’s not very well prepared,” the Senate GOP member said, describing them as “BS sessions.” “I’ve heard not great things.” The second Senate Republican added there have been “a lot of eyerolls” from members who have sat down with the former Democratic Hawaii congresswoman early on. A Senate GOP aide whose member has met with Gabbard said the poor meetings she’s had “don’t make it easy” for her to win votes,” adding, “she’s got some work to do if she wants the job. The more she meets with serious people, the more they’ll see there’s a competency deficit.”
1
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
5 months ago
not saying she won't get confirmed but it'll be a bumpy road
0
BuckMySalls
5 months ago
Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.), a member of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, said the Senate is “still working” to gain confidence that Gabbard does not share Putin’s view of the world. Following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Gabbard echoed Putin’s claims that Ukraine and NATO posed a security threat to Russia. She declined to answer questions posed by The Hill about whether she views Putin as a trustworthy partner or a primary adversary, and what she would say to U.S. allies concerned about sharing intelligence given her positions on meeting with Assad and sympathies toward the Russian leader.
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
5 months ago
Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.), a member of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, said the Senate is “still working” to gain confidence that Gabbard does not share Putin’s view of the world. Following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Gabbard echoed Putin’s claims that Ukraine and NATO posed a security threat to Russia. She declined to answer questions posed by The Hill about whether she views Putin as a trustworthy partner or a primary adversary, and what she would say to U.S. allies concerned about sharing intelligence given her positions on meeting with Assad and sympathies toward the Russian leader.
0
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
BuckMySalls
5 months ago
Hungary has called for a Christmas truce between Ukraine and Russia, as well as the large-scale prisoner swap in honor of the holiday. However, both proposals were "clearly rejected and ruled out" by Zelensky. "We did what we could," Orban concluded.
6
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
BuckMySalls
5 months ago
short term would mea 24-48h tops. given that trust is in short supply and customs are different (ua celebrates xmas in dec, ru in jan), i'd put it at under 5%. but there is a chance. if nothing is announced by jan 6, the market will trend to 99c fast.
2
BuckMySalls
5 months ago
this market is very simple and has only one way to resolve yes - a short-term ceasefire agreed upon by both sides as a sign of goodwill. in 23 russia announced a one-sided ceasefire and ukraine accused it of shelling regardless. so in 24 there was no ceasefire at all. is it going to happen this time? that's the price of yes here. any 'real' ceasefire pre-inauguration is delusional glue-huffing hopium. but the ny ceasefire is a tail risk that has a price. even though imo it's lower than current market price.
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
BuckMySalls
5 months ago
this market is very simple and has only one way to resolve yes - a short-term ceasefire agreed upon by both sides as a sign of goodwill. in 23 russia announced a one-sided ceasefire and ukraine accused it of shelling regardless. so in 24 there was no ceasefire at all. is it going to happen this time? that's the price of yes here. any 'real' ceasefire pre-inauguration is delusional glue-huffing hopium. but the ny ceasefire is a tail risk that has a price. even though imo it's lower than current market price.
2
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
BuckMySalls
5 months ago
surprised Tulsi is favored, she has no relevant managerial experience for this job, she's been parrotting propaganda a lot of republicans will be loathe to, she's a former dem so easier to sacrifice if need be. media is focused on hegseth right now and he's got his hands full but at least he has trump's backing now, i wonder what happens when they come after tulsi and her browser history of russian fan fiction.
5
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
5 months ago
i hope the price stays like this because i'll buy more once my bonds redeem. yes buyers do understand the us is not the only country supporting ukraine? even if trump pulled out (he won't, he'll just change t&c), europeans pick up the tabs because the alternative is worse: https://x.com/Mij_Europe/status/1856960343018176830
7
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
BuckMySalls
6 months ago
y'all are wildly overrating Trump's 'art of the deal' and Putin's willingness to stop fighting - he'll stop any day, as soon as Ukraine complies with the same maximalist demands they made in 2022
7
Ballon d'Or Winner
BuckMySalls
6 months ago
preview of what's coming for Trump bros, prepare yourselves
3
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
BuckMySalls
6 months ago
kamala will go and overperform. jr is not the confrontative type and she has been improving with every interview. magatards stay mad but believe it or not, when you practice something, you get better at it.
2
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
i'm not saying trump shouldn't be fav, by all means it's looking good for him now. i'm quite nervous as a kamala bull but i think trump is topping here with his pre-election numbers. could he get outstanding votes to break for him on ED? sure, but for the purposes of this market alone, polls are the biggest catalyst and there's still four weeks worth left
0
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
this market is just asking for trouble. i realize i'm up against it now with fredi doing qe on trump shares but all it takes is a week of +2 polls for kamala in the rust belt and she'll be right back up there. they're subbing in obama to start campaigning for her in the fourth quarter. gl maga moonbois
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
i don't think it's equally like at all, in fact, i think it's highly unlikely trump improves his polls from here. he's never polled above 48%, his battleground average now. nationally he's at 47.2, his ceiling. there's a good chance polls go sideways from here till nov 5 and with the buyers of last resort in the main market, there's a good chance it comes in. but nothing can go wrong for the next 4 weeks for trumpers to be buying 70+
3
TheGuru
7 months ago
You're right, but consider it's equally as likely the polls will shift 2% more to Trump and it's game over. Also of course polls could remain steady from here and Trump can still be around 53% to win
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
this market is just asking for trouble. i realize i'm up against it now with fredi doing qe on trump shares but all it takes is a week of +2 polls for kamala in the rust belt and she'll be right back up there. they're subbing in obama to start campaigning for her in the fourth quarter. gl maga moonbois
6
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
this is simple. all whales and sharp bettors are on the side where an equivalent market already resolved yes, all the community takeover buyers are on the other side and pumping their shares before the expiry date. in the next few hours, they will need to start taking profits or let the shares go to zero because thats how this game works.
5
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
i'd be more comfy with dumping at 50c but i'll ride out this coinflip with my +ev odds. final argument to pump the market: ipsos has the biggest left lean per NS (+1.9). yougov, the backup pollster, is rated 0.0. yougov found vance winning by +1. should vance be a 69-31 fav in this scenario? questions for plato
5
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
i'll freely admit i will dump on y'all when this is at 50c as it should be: "Asked who won Tuesday’s debate, voters were split 50-50 over whether it was JD Vance or Tim Walz, according to a POLITICO/Focaldata snap poll of likely voters conducted just after the two faced off in a studio in New York City." https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/02/politico-snap-poll-division-debate-00182131
6
Will there be another debate?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
wonderful analysis, problem is Trump isn't a rational actor but a nutcase
5
MartinArauz
7 months ago
After the Walz-Vance debate, I think it's clear that there won't be another debate: the Trump-Vance ticket ends with a moderate victory in a debate. The campaign is left with rallies and social media. Trump has nothing to gain from another debate with Kamala. Alea iacta est.
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
i'm a kamala bull but i don't understand why this isn't at least at 5050 after trump flipped her on betfair and is about to do the same on polymarket+will get a short-term sugar high from the vp debate
3
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
cnn and cbs polls have them tied, you guys sure you want to pay 70c to bet against a left-leaning pollster?
9
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
i've no horse in this but as always, if you're sitting on a phat debate profit, you just pay the polymarket exit scam tax and move on, simple as. thats part and parcel of this site. fwiw, imo he said tax to pay and not debate. Trump isnt British, he pronounces consonants
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
this is very simple. there is one experienced whale vs a bunch of shouting birdshit accounts. the whale has become a whale for a reason, he's a sharp trader and doesn't waste time whining and complaining in comment sections. thus, taking the whale's side is generally +ev and in this specific case may be +ev as well since theres 10% more upside to go. the rationale for cashing out here is not investing emotionally+opportunity cost from locked up capital, not No being a good bet.
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
I'm outta this, dispute is guaranteed here, thanks but no thanks
5
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
this market is practically guaranteed to get disputed either way, which is why I kept stakes low
3
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
border bros had it coming
2
What will Kamala say during Nevada speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
for Kamala they should put on blockchain, would get more interesting
2
What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
chyna hit easily, he said chinese several times as well
0
What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
cant believe I won a border under
2
What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
biggest tax cuts since Reagan
0
MeNoDatNutReelMuni
7 months ago
Why is Reagan a thing?
What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
one more rant and it hits, if he talks about something else it'll fail
2
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
border will be a close call
What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
border will be a close call
2
What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
'people don't know the AI it's a big thing'
0
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
this is longer than a normal rally, he must have more energy around noon
4
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
*returns to prompter after 30min ramble on the border and assassination attempts*
2
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
'remarks on car and horse racing'
2
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
'remarks on US manufacturing'
8
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
he's obsessed with it, think I'm done with betting No unless he arrives late for a TV event
2
NotJustKen
7 months ago
Wow. He eats sleep and breath border lol
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
ok nevermind here comes more
0
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
same thing like at the townhall, he basically didn't talk about the border but the two times he mentions it he wordsalads in 7 8 borders and covers, at one point he'll not cover because 80c isn't value in these events
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
same thing like at the townhall, he basically didn't talk about the border but the two times he mentions it he wordsalads in 7 8 borders and covers, at one point he'll not cover because 80c isn't value in these events
0
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
lmao it had to be
1
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
if this guy wins, polymarket will drop a token and become a top10 coin at levels you wouldn't believe
0
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
elon endorsed him at a level you wouldn't believe
2
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
well, it was worth a try lol here we go
0
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
lol he actually knows unrealized cap gains, thats a new one
0
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
idk, tuned in late 3 or 4 imo
0
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
he's actually talking about the economy and manufacturing but he's still obsessed with borders lol
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
chyna should've had a 15 line, would have been more interesting to bet
0
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
he's actually talking about the economy and manufacturing but he's still obsessed with borders lol
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
he's actually talking about the economy and manufacturing but he's still obsessed with borders lol
0
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
fwiw I too expect it to go over but free money this is not and it should also not be 80+ imo so I punted No
0
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
I found 4 economics-themed remarks from Trump, he covered the line easily in 2, one barely (16) and went under at the economic club in NY. if you wanna buy border at 80+ be my guest, thats what there's a market for. if the price hits what I consider a fair line, I'll dump, otherwise I'm perfectly happy holding this into the speech because the market won't know how to price it inplay because it probably doesn't follow the usual rally pattern
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
I found 4 economics-themed remarks from Trump, he covered the line easily in 2, one barely (16) and went under at the economic club in NY. if you wanna buy border at 80+ be my guest, thats what there's a market for. if the price hits what I consider a fair line, I'll dump, otherwise I'm perfectly happy holding this into the speech because the market won't know how to price it inplay because it probably doesn't follow the usual rally pattern
0
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
if it was a townhall that'd be even more bearish, at the least townhall the line was going under until like 5mins before the end and 'one more thing about the border.' plus there's no moderator announced so likely wrong label from the event page, clearly says remarks on his site
0
georgejetson
7 months ago
border is free money, don’t know why it says “speech”, the event is just a town hall: https://www.savannahcivic.com/events/donald-trump-town-hall and he dropped like 20 borders at the last town hall. the man loves to say border border borderrr
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
correct, in Michigan he did 16: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6nNibmHt6w&pp=ygUVdHJ1bXAgcmVtYXJrcyBlY29ub215 should go over 15 but it's not free money, it depends on how close he sticks to the prompter
0
georgejetson
7 months ago
these numbers are wrong btw, the second link is not the full event, he said it 27 times not 16. this event is basically the same genre as the second event you posted
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
Trump addresses the economic club: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=leomt_FY_zw&pp=ygUVdHJ1bXAgcmVtYXJrcyBlY29ub215 11x Border Trump delivers remarks on economic policy: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_HZOI61BNA&pp=ygUVdHJ1bXAgcmVtYXJrcyBlY29ub215 16x Border
3
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
just saw chyna is on, should have a higher line because 5 is guaranteed but Hyundai has an EV facility there, I'd be astonished if he doesn't ramble about Chyna and windmills again
3
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
this isn't a rally but 'remarks' and if you actually google the venue, it's a theater, so there's good reason to believe Trump won't bust out his usual greatest hits but stay a lot closer to the prompter and ramble much more about tax, chyna (should be added) and other economic stuff
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
this isn't a rally but 'remarks' and if you actually google the venue, it's a theater, so there's good reason to believe Trump won't bust out his usual greatest hits but stay a lot closer to the prompter and ramble much more about tax, chyna (should be added) and other economic stuff
3
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
i'm traumatized after the last Comrade failure so he'll probably blast it out a bunch of times today, especially after talking about chyna earlier in the day
3
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
your lifetime ROI tells me I know a lot more about risk-adjusted returns than you do, so keep those takes coming
4
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
BuckMySalls is such a german political expert he bought SPD shares at 93c today instead of 29c yesterday
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
the amazing thing about this website is you can literally tell people how you will take their money and they won't believe it until it happened, it's truly like magic
5
CheerfulPessimist
7 months ago
it was more like the US election 2020, first votes heavily favored afd, but when the bigger precincts report the tide turns.
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
amazing that people infer something from a US presidential election 8 years ago to psyop themselves into a terrible bet on a German state election, it's like watching the NBA finals and then thinking you'll see the same pattern in a women's high school final
6
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
rofl indeed
0
432
7 months ago
rofl
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
like taking candy from a baby, just ethical - thanks for playing
1
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
I look forward to doing this exact same maneuver to gullible rightoids in November again
2
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
for the sake of our current and future bags, I suggest no more such posts about German elections
0
Car
7 months ago
1.5% difference left and omly 75% counted. Will end eactly like the TV forecasts predict
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
this isnt like burger elections, German exit polls are very accurate
2
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
was a good bet we got cucked by his brain shortcircuiting because he said it 5 times
1
yoyo.
7 months ago
im in pain
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
amazing, 5 comrades but 0 comrade Kamala he's taking the piss
0
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
impressive they got him off Comrade, I wonder how long it lasts
1
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
if he doesnt say it on the economy he won't say it at all its Joeover
0
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
Comrade Kamala pretty obvious value here because there is no reason it should be 30c today and 50c in PA. The reason is ofc limp-wristed 25c buyers dumping. Not me though because I plan to just claim profits
2
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113170359492831150 Comrade Kamala is back
1
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
point isn't that he won't attack migrants but that he will not (hopefully) single out a group again, especially after the cat story was debunked ten times over
0
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
Trump didn't say Comrade or Haitian yesterday, his campaign managers may have told him to shut down the personal attacks.
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
there's also not much point in warming up the Haitian attacks that have brought him nothing but bad press in the last week. Should really be trading 15:85 not 35:65.
0
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
Trump didn't say Comrade or Haitian yesterday, his campaign managers may have told him to shut down the personal attacks.
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
Trump didn't say Comrade or Haitian yesterday, his campaign managers may have told him to shut down the personal attacks.
4
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
he said border 3 times in a 2h space
0
jcooper3123212321
7 months ago
Lol he said border 19 times in the space
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
Trump at his last RALLY in Michigan: 11 borders. Gl border bros, you're gonna need it.
0
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
Let's see how this goes: "The Trump campaign said in a news release on Thursday that Trump would hold a town hall and "meet with Michiganders to listen to their concerns and share his vision to make America affordable again" at Dort Financial Center on Lapeer Road in Flint beginning at 7 p.m. Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who served as White House press secretary for Trump when he was president, will serve as the moderator at the town hall meeting. Republicans, including Trump, have been hammering at high levels of inflation seen in the U.S. following the COVID-19 pandemic and blaming the Biden administration."
0
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
thanks for your input mr whale trader
1
Donkov
7 months ago
Stop whining and enjoy the volatility
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
just too close for comfort for me to hold a bigger position with the main market being so tight. on other platforms kamala pulled ahead as she should have with a post-debate poll bounce but the magatards are strong on this one and I won't bet against someone with an agenda messing with the main market tomorrow
10
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Liked by 0x4d61007d..., 0xc24f9d3e... and 8 others
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
border will probably hit again but NV isn't a border state so it doesn't make sense the odds are lower than yesterday
1
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
It's unlikely to be Fox but there is a good chance this trades in the 40s at some point based on rumors alone
1
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Gotta make em too big to rig folks
3
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
going to have to check that play by play because that must be a border all-time high
1
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
poor fools thinking the border salvo wasn't coming in ARIZONA
1
Will there be another debate?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
I'm sure whatever Trump says on Truth Social is the truth, nothing but the truth and will remain the truth from now until Nov 5. Good luck betting 75c+ off an angry Trump tweet kiddo, you're gonna need it
1
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Fed cuts trading like shitcoins, an influenza writes a shill post in the WSJ and price doubles
5
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
He says debunked and corrected, not fact check. That's a big word and Trump doesn't use big words, especially without a run-up. He sticks to what he knows and he used those at Fox and Friends.
0
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
His rebuttal is as credible as the 92-8 poll he cites. He just wants to negotiate more favorable terms and once the polls bump her up, he'll become more flexible on the conditions.
1
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
never in doubt folks
0
Will Trump say a slur during the debate?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
need notifications alerting me to buy the CTO when this gets disputed
0
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
ngl he's got great energy for being 78
3
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
12
0
JanSobieski3
8 months ago
Whats the count on border?
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
he's got an open tab with me for cutting the townhall short, so he'll stay on till the border over is in
0
SaulGoodmanEsq
8 months ago
Border 10+ was selling for 16c at one point LOL
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
11
3
pleiteadler
8 months ago
lost my border count :D
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
lmao when he does Border Czar he does it with style
3
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Need weave next time on the mentions
1
How long will Harris/Walz interview be?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
sounds like it, I doubt we'll squeeze the extra minutes in though
0
raspberry17
8 months ago
Should resolution wait to see if a full interview is released? This market will resolve based on the first full interview release made available. If no full interview is released by September 5, 2024, this market will resolve based on the length of all released footage
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
I love how you all shat yourselves by reading the word townhall. "Trump plans to make his case to voters while discussing the Harris-Walz ticket. He’s also expected to outline his agenda for “Making America Affordable Again.” [...] Doors for the event will open at 3 p.m. with Trump expected to deliver remarks at 6 p.m." Good luck No virgins, you're gonna need it.
1
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Quite funny that you guys look at CNN townhalls and think this isn't going to be partisan. Finally some value odds.
2
Pavel Durov released in August?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Polymarket disputes are the new shitcoin community takeovers
4
Pavel Durov released in August?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Yes has won but as is custom on Polymarket, there will be a week of disputing it so the smart move is just to dump at 99c.
1
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Wisconsin is next to Minnesota. You know who's from Minnesota? Right. Study maps.
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
I sold but this is a clear yes, he said support and join campaign several times, obviously it's an endorsement.
6
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
bro is enjoying his 45mins of MSM coverage, he'll make sure to stretch this one as much as possible
4
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
He'll still say it, it's Joeover
2
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
If he ends now, get ready for WW3 in the resolution.
0
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Must have been the easiest money in weeks here, didn't expect it to hit so fast.
3
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
thank you for your opinion zero volume chimp
1
Chimp1
8 months ago
I mean yea maybe but this isn't really the usage of "joy" that y'all thought you were looking for when you bought yes anyways.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Well this is obviously going to lose after the clarification. But let's be real, Joy holders are losing on a stupid technicality, not because we were wrong. Compare these two sentences: "My early memories of our parents together are very joyful ones." [sentence said, wrong] "My early memories of our parents together are full of joy." [hypothetical sentence, right] Do you see any difference in those? No, they both convey 99.9% the same meaning. So this is stupid and semantics, I accept the loss but is it making me less likely to bet on other mentions markets? Absolutely it is..
1
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
or No holders could just lose their money which would most definitely count
1
sharky🦈🦈🦈
8 months ago
She could also just do a speech which I dont think will count
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
nevermind that Dems have been going out of their way to hammer the happy/joyful patriots narrative. If you don't take it from me, you'll take it from the horse's mouth tonight.
1
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
"Harris will focus on three points, the official said: 1. Her story: Harris will tell her story of being raised by a working mother in a middle-class neighborhood. She'll say that background means she knows the everyday joys and challenges experienced by middle-class families, and shares those values." Should Kamala also brush your teeth and wipe your diaper? Literally telling you what she will say.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
"Harris will focus on three points, the official said: 1. Her story: Harris will tell her story of being raised by a working mother in a middle-class neighborhood. She'll say that background means she knows the everyday joys and challenges experienced by middle-class families, and shares those values." Should Kamala also brush your teeth and wipe your diaper? Literally telling you what she will say.
1
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Her operation is more professional and focused, and it’s really allowing for her inner joy to come through that we just didn’t see at that time. [...] She’s trying to bring joy and energy and enthusiasm to politics and, oh my God, the package is there: She’s got everything else you may need — the intelligence, the smarts, the tactics.” Joy will start at 80c and there is nothing you can do to prevent it.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Her operation is more professional and focused, and it’s really allowing for her inner joy to come through that we just didn’t see at that time. [...] She’s trying to bring joy and energy and enthusiasm to politics and, oh my God, the package is there: She’s got everything else you may need — the intelligence, the smarts, the tactics.” Joy will start at 80c and there is nothing you can do to prevent it.
4
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
weirdbros completely misreading the room
0
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
When Harris speaks Thursday, she will speak about how her “values and her life's work have led to this point,” Harris campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillion said at the CNN-POLITICO Grill. She will be able to tell the audience "the kind of individual leader she's going to be moving forward.”
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
When Harris speaks Thursday, she will speak about how her “values and her life's work have led to this point,” Harris campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillion said at the CNN-POLITICO Grill. She will be able to tell the audience "the kind of individual leader she's going to be moving forward.”
0
Solana ETF approved in 2024?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
fools who will soon be parted with their money
1
ThatOtherGuy
8 months ago
who is still on the "yes" side?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Correct, reproductive rights is the euphemism that puts lipstick on the pig. She could well say 'we reject the Trump abortion ban' but abortion bros are overconfident about this.
2
JanSobieski3
8 months ago
I think Kamala is more likely to say female reproductive rights than abortion
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Democracy came up a good dozen times in 2020 and we all know how much disdain Obama has for Trump. One man's dollar is another man's 80c.
1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
The ceasefire is a Biden topic since foreign policy is what he prides himself on. For all we know, it might already be in place by November. She will focus on her own agenda and grand arc, not on the nitty gritty of the current administration she is already a part of.
5
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Climate change bros sure are confident about a topic that has been absent from public perception ever since Trump pulled out of the Paris accords. Streaks always hold until they don't.
2
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Rally is in PA, obviously Trump will bring up energy and fracking. Drill baby drill should be 90+.
3
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Not going back bros got bailed out by the crowd there. She was not going to say that.
0
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Yea he said it a few times around fossil fuels. But it was worth fudding the market, pvp
1
Squee
8 months ago
He said broke it with hammers and with fire..... Just read the transcrtipt. He said it 3 times.
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
He said fired up, not referring to the act of dismissing an employee. It was referring to being animated, can't remember the context in this ramblemageddon. But according to the rules, this is a No.
3
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
there was no reference to dismissing an employee yea, this is not a clear Yes.
0
700to700k
8 months ago
The resolution market for fire/fired states “compound words will count as long as fire/fired” is part of the compound word and references the meaning WHICH REFERS TO THE ACT OF DISMISSING AN EMPLOYEE”
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
Compound words will count as long as "Fire" or "Fired" is part of the compound word !! and references the meaning which refers to the act of dismissing an employee.!!
0
700to700k
8 months ago
The resolution market for fire/fired states “compound words will count as long as fire/fired” is part of the compound word and references the meaning WHICH REFERS TO THE ACT OF DISMISSING AN EMPLOYEE”
What will Putin say during his interview with Tucker?
BuckMySalls
1 year ago
agree
2
Apsalar
1 year ago
normally these markets are for live debates/interviews. this one is still interesting, but i would suggest that polymarket do that thing it does with some sports games where it clears all orders (or at least gives us the option to) once the game starts. in this case, cancel all open orders the moment the interview drops.