Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

The 59-year-old GILF, Pam Bondi, if officially the AG of the USA.

3

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

I get the point, we should be very very alarmed!!!!! The end is near!!!!!!

0

POA

1 week ago

THE NATIONAL SECURITY PARTY? THE DISMANTLE SECURITY PARTY: "CIA offers buyouts to entire workforce as it seeks to infuse 'renewed energy'"

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

The CIA isn't the only agency being offered buyouts. I have only pointed out these two examples as you scream in all caps as if these events are unheard of in American history with such drama about the fall of America. lol

0

POA

1 week ago

THE NATIONAL SECURITY PARTY? THE DISMANTLE SECURITY PARTY: "CIA offers buyouts to entire workforce as it seeks to infuse 'renewed energy'"

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Sounds like exactly what the Clinton administration did with federal buyouts.

0

POA

1 week ago

THE NATIONAL SECURITY PARTY? THE DISMANTLE SECURITY PARTY: "CIA offers buyouts to entire workforce as it seeks to infuse 'renewed energy'"

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Here's a history lesson for you https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2005/12/clinton-s-guantanamo.html

0

POA

1 week ago

AMERICAN CONCENTRATION CAMPS ARE HERE: "Karoline Leavitt announces first migrant flights to Guantanamo Bay officially 'underway'"

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

I agree with that assessment. McConnell might be on his own island and he won't give a shit.

0

BitcoinLover69

1 week ago

Rfk no bros coping HARD. Tell me, which 4 repubs are gonna vote against his nomination?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

His bible verse is also about bravery, courage, and enemies. lol

0

Justifax

1 week ago

the thing about rfk is how do dems not vote for the guy. he's like trying to reduce corporate influence over the food supply. something the left have been trying to do forever

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Hehe it's more of collateral for what I just stated and both can be true.

0

garbohydrates

1 week ago

Bill Cassidy might tank RFK. Which is crazy considering lousianas governor and surgeon general endorsed Jr. Literal career suicide.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

That may be where he ends up career wise regardless. It's very hard for me to imagine him throwing away his medical career when his political one is already in jeopardy. Cassidy developed vaccination programs LA. A vote for RFK is contrary to much of what he has dedicated his life/career to. Politics is only a fraction of his reputation.

1

garbohydrates

1 week ago

Bill Cassidy might tank RFK. Which is crazy considering lousianas governor and surgeon general endorsed Jr. Literal career suicide.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Cassidy is already facing a primary challenger in 2026 due to his vote to impeach Trump and will likely have others seeking his seat. I would, however, not be surprised, if Cassidy advances RFK to a floor a vote and proceeds to vote no on floor. Collins is up for re-election as well. If Cassidy is already facing a primary, I think it is even more likely that he will vote no. He holds his medical credentials and prestige in high regard and might be cooked in politics already.

0

garbohydrates

1 week ago

Bill Cassidy might tank RFK. Which is crazy considering lousianas governor and surgeon general endorsed Jr. Literal career suicide.

Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Damn you guys pumped it to 7c. Nice

3

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

The holders selection works well for one in particular.

0

jj1970jj

1 week ago

Is there a way to block or mute users so you don't see their stupid posts?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

I actually could see both sides, as he does have political influence, and thought he faired very well at his hearing yesterday considering the venom from the Dem party. I only have half a brain though, so that makes sense.

0

StevenBonnell

1 week ago

why did RFK collapse? Any news?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Specifically Cassidy who will likely not put his medical prestige, credentialing, and accountability on the line in lieu of an RFK confirmation.

0

StevenBonnell

1 week ago

why did RFK collapse? Any news?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

I just watched the closing the his 2nd hearing. Not good.

0

StevenBonnell

1 week ago

why did RFK collapse? Any news?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Exactly! XD

0

Prot07ype

1 week ago

"[Mommy Tulsi] did not do anything wrong on that trip."

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

I think they were pointing out her unawareness was not very intelligent. lol

0

Prot07ype

1 week ago

"[Mommy Tulsi] did not do anything wrong on that trip."

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

At least you derisked half your position

0

wyn

1 week ago

I think she will get through. Will keep buying more yes!!!

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Trump says a lot of things lol

0

garbohydrates

1 week ago

Between Tylsi and RFK, who is the fall guy/sacrificial lamb?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Damn I transitioned to the Trump briefing and came back to check in on Tulsi, should have bought at 35c! lmao WHAT HAPPENED YES

0

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Lol

0

MalikNabers

1 week ago

Looks like Cornyn is a no and Wyden is a yes.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

Only 1 GOP senator has to say no to prevent her from advancing out of committee granted all Dems are no.

0

MalikNabers

1 week ago

Looks like Cornyn is a no and Wyden is a yes.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

1 week ago

He was one to watch for.

0

Illuminaughtiboi

1 week ago

why is cornyn being uncomfortable?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

He was saying that he might vote no back in Decemeber, where you been?

0

RonaldKJ

2 weeks ago

It pretty much comes down to 1 unknown republican voting no. That's it. Collins, Murkowski, and McConnel will vote no. It going to be Pete Hegseth all over again, but the difference is that Hegseth is a conservative and RFK is far left. RFK is going to lose that 4th republican and its all over. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/29/us/politics/rfk-jr-senate-vote.html

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

And yes I know Nancy is not a senator. I am only teasing. But the Dems don’t seem they will budge the least!

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

A sorta problem with the NO case for Gabbard. Nobody takes DNI seriously. So why would Senators spend political capital on voting her down? Flip side: Might be a good show that does little to damage Trump.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Yeah I think after watching libs spew venom at RFK, Tulsi is wholly dependent on GOP votes, perhaps same for RFK. Nancy is pistol whipping Dem senators as we speak 😂

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

A sorta problem with the NO case for Gabbard. Nobody takes DNI seriously. So why would Senators spend political capital on voting her down? Flip side: Might be a good show that does little to damage Trump.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

I sold no for now just seeing how the market shakes out after this renewed optimism. Maybe get a lower re-entry lol or not at all!

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

A sorta problem with the NO case for Gabbard. Nobody takes DNI seriously. So why would Senators spend political capital on voting her down? Flip side: Might be a good show that does little to damage Trump.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

The best argument I’ve heard is that she essentially compiles the most pertinent info from numerous agencies and prepares a report for POTUS therefore could have significant influence on what is prioritized and to what degree. So I suppose if you’re very concerned about her creditability and commitment, perhaps you would fear this influence.

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

A sorta problem with the NO case for Gabbard. Nobody takes DNI seriously. So why would Senators spend political capital on voting her down? Flip side: Might be a good show that does little to damage Trump.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

I see!

0

trumptoshi

2 weeks ago

gg RFK bros, I believe he will get recommended

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Ohh! That’s good news for him lol they just do a review Q&A then?

0

trumptoshi

2 weeks ago

gg RFK bros, I believe he will get recommended

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

But you may be right!

0

trumptoshi

2 weeks ago

gg RFK bros, I believe he will get recommended

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

He still has to get through HELP tomorrow

0

trumptoshi

2 weeks ago

gg RFK bros, I believe he will get recommended

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Second hearing cancelled because we just can't fucking take anymore

0

trumptoshi

2 weeks ago

I feel like RFK won't be confirmed because his voice is fucking annoying.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Today I learned RFK was considering Aaron Rodgers, Jets QB, for VP?? I did not know. Weird worm moment. Carry on.

1

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Well, that too, lol

0

TheLunoLion

2 weeks ago

Looking for some folks who are willing to bring liquidity to a market asking who will vote yes on Kash Patel, because that market is now quite dead..: https://polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel?tid=1738100590178

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

You can split shares and sell them on the both sides, for one example.

0

TheLunoLion

2 weeks ago

Looking for some folks who are willing to bring liquidity to a market asking who will vote yes on Kash Patel, because that market is now quite dead..: https://polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel?tid=1738100590178

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Collins is a woman with balls though. She made it clear she was gonna vote no on Hegseth. She's a notorious Trump foil. I am not sure she is the only reason there's a push for the Intel Committee vote transparency.

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

My guess is if Tulsi doesn't make it out of committee, it won't be because of Collins alone.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

LOL :)

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

I was trying to think of why and why not Tulsi will be nominated. All issues aside, I think it largely comes down to the Russian question. Tulsi is not in some explicit conspiracy with Russia, I can promise you that, but I think she realizes that the narratives are backing her play as long as she espouses certain view points. And this is quite profitable for her, most likely. Any other read would be gullible. The question really is, will this help segue into peace? Isn't that part of Trump's mandate, to bring peace to the the Ukraine Russian war?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Probably got the worms from the bear. 🐻

0

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

RFK drove around with the bear carcass and then dumped it in Central Park. Makes you think. 🤔

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

RFK drove around with the bear carcass and then dumped it in Central Park. Makes you think. 🤔

0

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

I will see if I can find the article again when I am back on laptop!

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

https://ajcongress.org/jewishpoliticalguide/senators/tulsi-gabbard/

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Right, and it only takes one to stop her from advancing from committee. Young may oppose. Cornyn could now that he isn't seeking leadership. Also, least recognized, Risch as she has reportedly shit talked him in the past. lol

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

https://ajcongress.org/jewishpoliticalguide/senators/tulsi-gabbard/

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Agreed - I also am anticipating some hiccups in her confirmation. You can prep to say the right things but when pressed under oath is a different story. Also, for the sake of America, they should have someone well-poised for that position. It's actually easier to argue Hegseth's qualification for DOD, RFKs for HHS than Tulsi's for DNI.

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

https://ajcongress.org/jewishpoliticalguide/senators/tulsi-gabbard/

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

It is! My exchanges here are not trying to convince anyone otherwise. I could very well be wrong. But Hegseth's narrow confirmation ultimately made me switch from yes to no. Sold at a small loss. America's government system is designed to have checks and balances and, while partisanship may take the cake often, practicality remains a staple. It's a good thing senators can exercise free will and I think they might here. I could be wrong!

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

https://ajcongress.org/jewishpoliticalguide/senators/tulsi-gabbard/

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

I was a former yes man. Hegseth's confirmation made me skeptical and the more I dig into the potential conflicts that could arise in GOP confirmations, the more I think Tulsi is in trouble. I think they want to make Trump happy but I also think (and hope) senators want what's best for America. Tulsi is not really qualified for DNI sec. She has virtually no intelligence or significant managerial experience. She isn't a tried and true republican either. Her confirmation has perhaps far dire consequences than a democrat like RFK to HHS. Trump is absolutely mooning already with his nominations going through compared to his previous term. I am not saying she won't get confirmed absolutely, but objectively, she is perhaps the most consequential and least qualified. I think the trouble here is the political pressure from Trump. No one *wants* to go against his will for fear of reprisal but that never stopped lawmakers from doing so in the past.

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

https://ajcongress.org/jewishpoliticalguide/senators/tulsi-gabbard/

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

He certainly has notable level of disdain from his most conservative constituents already XD I don't think a no vote changes that. lol

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

https://polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-tulsi-gabbard?tid=1738003141397 Please go on the discord and ask for Todd Young to be added.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

2028 is relatively far away and he is on the record opposing Trump's presidential bid in 2024. He seems like a no nonsense politician, largely focused on policy. He is also quite moderate in comparison with other GOP senators. He's also very anti-Russia, and while I do not for a minute think Gabbard is a "Russian asset", I can see this having influence.

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

https://polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-tulsi-gabbard?tid=1738003141397 Please go on the discord and ask for Todd Young to be added.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

I was shocked to learn Pam Bondi is 59. The fountain of youth is in florida.

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

I think Tulsi is physically attractive

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Don't even get me started. I was group 1 of the great vaccine experiment. Accepted at my own volition after a year of avoiding my family because I didn't want to risk asymptomatic transmission and I was in contact with infected, critically ill patients daily. Then a booster came out and I no longer had a choice XD Had one of the worst bouts of illness of my life 2 weeks later. The booster didn't work! lol

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

What I don't get is why RFK isn't higher. I mean, holy cow. The guy is super health fanatic and the whole anti-vaccine nonsense is totally false. He just wants people to stop knee jerk jumping down everyone's throats when they dare to commit the heresy of questioning the science of vaccines - a super critical step in the scientific process itself.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

I can't tell if this is genuine or sarcasm lmao

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

What I don't get is why RFK isn't higher. I mean, holy cow. The guy is super health fanatic and the whole anti-vaccine nonsense is totally false. He just wants people to stop knee jerk jumping down everyone's throats when they dare to commit the heresy of questioning the science of vaccines - a super critical step in the scientific process itself.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

FWIW, RFK likely has far better odds than Gabbard and the market reflects that. If they plan to pick only one sacrificial lamb, it isn't RFK.

1

Justifax

2 weeks ago

What I don't get is why RFK isn't higher. I mean, holy cow. The guy is super health fanatic and the whole anti-vaccine nonsense is totally false. He just wants people to stop knee jerk jumping down everyone's throats when they dare to commit the heresy of questioning the science of vaccines - a super critical step in the scientific process itself.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

I'd like to but the complexities of politics are far deeper than a few minutes of an interview clip. Senators have independent will even with primary threats. Trumps nominees are getting through phenomenally if you compare with 2016.

1

kk147

2 weeks ago

why no holders dont believe vice president

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

The lack of Trump 2024 endorsement is what threw me. Perhaps he falls in line like with Hegseth. Thanks,.

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

The lessons of incidents such as New Orleans and 911 is that, unfortunately, you need an aggressive DNI. Tulsi Gabbard met with the leaker of the pentagon papers and agreed that it was 'insane' for journalists to be charged for leaking intel. These are reasonable viewpoints, imho, but antithesis to the role she's being confirmed for.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Right, more curious your personal thoughts. I didn't know much about Todd Young until looking up things for this market.

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

The lessons of incidents such as New Orleans and 911 is that, unfortunately, you need an aggressive DNI. Tulsi Gabbard met with the leaker of the pentagon papers and agreed that it was 'insane' for journalists to be charged for leaking intel. These are reasonable viewpoints, imho, but antithesis to the role she's being confirmed for.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Question for you, out of curiosity, do you think Todd Young will advance her in committee? Same with Collins?

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

The lessons of incidents such as New Orleans and 911 is that, unfortunately, you need an aggressive DNI. Tulsi Gabbard met with the leaker of the pentagon papers and agreed that it was 'insane' for journalists to be charged for leaking intel. These are reasonable viewpoints, imho, but antithesis to the role she's being confirmed for.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Lol, I saw that and thought, "Here comes the dispute" :P

0

BitcoinLover69

2 weeks ago

Theres a typo in the rules. “rejects **her** nomination…”

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Did I finally crack the code?! lol

0

itsfine

2 weeks ago

Many will be scared to oppose tulsi due to fear of being mysoginist

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

I feel like this is a hard market to scam? Are Team No whales US senators?

2

itsfine

2 weeks ago

Many will be scared to oppose tulsi due to fear of being mysoginist

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Assad is a sad rn. :/

0

itsfine

2 weeks ago

Tulsi nomination at risk due to romantic relations with Putin and Snowden. Makes u think

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 weeks ago

Yup, I switched sides, she hasn't even took the time to meet with all the GOP senators.

0

wyn

2 weeks ago

Majormalfunction just malfunctioned. Sold 6000 shares @29c. Damn should have had more orders in!!! I stand tall by my opinion that Tulsi will get confirmed. I even think there’s a possibility that Mcconnell will vote y for Tulsi!!!

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

PleaseBeStupid

3 weeks ago

You guys don’t even understand what ban means

2

maxke

3 weeks ago

This is so robbed! Ban polymarket

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

PleaseBeStupid

3 weeks ago

They also concluded TikTok was banned, didn’t they? Same market.

2

johnnywin

3 weeks ago

use (Kal-shi), instead of polymarket.

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

PleaseBeStupid

3 weeks ago

Everyone conflated in effect with enforcement

1

Darktree

3 weeks ago

The statement is "banned for download", which is true. Not just simply "banned". Also : "On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order delaying the **enforcement** of the TikTok ban by 75 days to allow for further negotiations and potential resolution. Despite this reprieve, TikTok has not been restored to U.S. app stores, and its operational status remains uncertain". It talks about "enforcement". So the YES outcome is technically correct.

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

PleaseBeStupid

3 weeks ago

That’s your interpretation. That’s not how the law interprets it. In effect means the effective date. This was a market of legalities. I tried to warn everyone a million times.

2

Darktree

3 weeks ago

The statement is "banned for download", which is true. Not just simply "banned". Also : "On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order delaying the **enforcement** of the TikTok ban by 75 days to allow for further negotiations and potential resolution. Despite this reprieve, TikTok has not been restored to U.S. app stores, and its operational status remains uncertain". It talks about "enforcement". So the YES outcome is technically correct.

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

PleaseBeStupid

3 weeks ago

that happened to someone else in australia yesterday, new laws or anything?

0

ecstatic

3 weeks ago

**does anyone know why my account is moved into "closed only mode" need help pls**

Super Bowl Champion 2025

PleaseBeStupid

1 month ago

I definitely like them better than the Chiefs. If they exploit their opponents' weakness like they did Vikings tonight, they will be one to watch. I still like Bills but that's probably because they were the only team to defeat both KC and Detroit this season

1

dingus9999999

1 month ago

honestly too easy for the boys in blue

U.S. Government shutdown before 2025?

PleaseBeStupid

1 month ago

Yes. A handful, literally, of whales decide disputes

0

SSander

1 month ago

Two unknown wallets own 62% of UMA coin btw

U.S. Government shutdown before 2025?

PleaseBeStupid

1 month ago

Lol people are still commenting here

3

NFL MVP

PleaseBeStupid

1 month ago

Yup, I thought about that yesterday 4th quarter during the game when they took him out 40-0 against the Jets. Less time, less opportunity to drive his stats. They also beat both KC and DL ending their franchise win records. Allen may not be the best on paper, but I think he is the better choice. We shall see!

1

lilsponge

1 month ago

Top 2 passer rating in a season in nfl history, plus potentially 1k rushing yards, 40+ td’s, etc. Avg cost of 5.6% two weeks ago. Holding and have a limit buy open

NFL MVP

PleaseBeStupid

1 month ago

Pundits seem to point out that Derrick Henry has a substantial influence on the team as well, whereas Allen seems to carry the team more than Jackson, more of an MVP. It would be wild to give it to Jackson for a third time, though objectively he has better stats.

1

lilsponge

1 month ago

Top 2 passer rating in a season in nfl history, plus potentially 1k rushing yards, 40+ td’s, etc. Avg cost of 5.6% two weeks ago. Holding and have a limit buy open

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

I personally don't think he will drop out all that willingly. However, that sexual assault allegation with supporting medical and police reports, even if no charges were filed, may prove detrimental. I also think there's a lot of apprehension about his experience in such a role despite his extensive military background

1

supertantrum

2 months ago

Are people thinking Hegseth is going to drop out like Gaetz? Wishing I waited a day for these prices smh

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Mark Levin discussed how absurd Trump's first term was when it came to confirmations. He had the most nominations rejected or delayed in modern history. Perhaps the Senate will operate a little differently this time around, but there are many obstructionist. He may have to resort to recess appts.

2

n/a

2 months ago

If Trump withdraw RFK jr, Tulsi and Hegseth might as well as just let Kamala form her cabinet and Trump concede defeat (it will never happen)

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

I feel like you had to dig to find that but thats fucking hilarious

1

FromTheTrenches

2 months ago

Why's tulsi crashing that hard

Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

This is how it starts https://x.com/RedWave_Press/status/1860041107020874185

1

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

It been there

0

Lazertuiyope

2 months ago

it's at 1,6 % now. I guess i might win this !!!

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

I was holding both sides. 160k isnt happening

0

SOMON

2 months ago

Do you know why people sell? The trend is still very much in our favor. Only we need +160k net votes for Harris.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

THIS. A constitutional representative democracy is designed to protect the minority from the tyranny of the majority.

0

Justifax

2 months ago

One thing I've realized via this exercise is how dumb PV is. All it takes is some cultish population that is like +80 or something to overpower the vote of say another population that is 20x in size but only +4

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Will it be as expected as dems winning the popular vote?

0

Astera

2 months ago

Now for the slow grind that will test out the resolve of some to hold onto their positions and to second guess their calculations, but history shows that this is to be expected in that we’ll only be dripped vote counts for some time yet. I’ve been using the pullback as opportunities to top up my position as see it as great value even at this price.

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Imagine if Trump picked Matt Gaetz knowing how controversial it would be, Gaetz resigns knowing he was duly elected for the 119th congress and legal counsel told him he could resign and still be eligible for his seat. Gaetz pulls himself from the running and suddenly RFK and Gabbard don't seem so extreme. Even Hegseth. That's 4D chess.

3

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

No he wont.

1

zizar3

2 months ago

Why isn't Matt Gaetz resolved?

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Yup, Pam Bondi

1

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

I am great :D

0

🤺JustPunched

2 months ago

Dang, I really thought Gaetz would get the job

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

You wrote on essay on X about your investigation into Fredi and he won 50 mil and was right about everything. hahahahahahaha

2

🤺JustPunched

2 months ago

Dang, I really thought Gaetz would get the job

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Clayton is at 100% boys, wrap it up XD

0

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

...the FBI can't come for you. There's no Americans here, remember?

1

Justifax

2 months ago

So, yeah, everything is fine. No scams here. Just ignore the FBI doing a 6am raid on the CEO of poly.

CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Better off withdrawing my funds and investing it in BTC at this point. The return is faster lol

0

mase03

2 months ago

John Duarte leads Adam Gray by just 227 votes (50.06% to 49.94%) with over 95% of the total vote counted. Most of the uncounted votes are from Merced (93% reported, about 5,475 votes left) and San Joaquin (94% reported, about 852 votes left), both areas where Gray is favored. If the remaining votes follow current trends (+3 in Merced and +7 in San Joaquin), Gray could gain 164 votes from Merced and 60 from San Joaquin, a total of 224 votes. This would leave him just 3 votes behind Duarte. Gray has a very narrow path to victory. To win, he would need to outperform his current margins in either Merced or San Joaquin, or benefit from any underreporting of outstanding votes. However, based on the current numbers, Duarte remains the slight favorite, though any small change in the final counts could shift the outcome.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

The rules here say senate must confirm. So that would resolve no if a recess appt. There is another market that includes recess appts.

3

0xe526841015DED5086Fc240d1A8BF5ACCB27e7637-1731964755491

2 months ago

If Gaetz is recess-appointed will that count as him being confirmed? No, right?

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Hahah I saw the price and thought of you immediately

2

Mbrace888

2 months ago

Would you look at that. Now converging to 50/50 after bonehead ridiculed the notion below.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

:D

1

Itxking

2 months ago

Can someone tip me 1 to 2 dollars it will make my day thank you

CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Duarte +3 would be quite the setting for a recount lol

1

mase03

2 months ago

John Duarte leads Adam Gray by just 227 votes (50.06% to 49.94%) with over 95% of the total vote counted. Most of the uncounted votes are from Merced (93% reported, about 5,475 votes left) and San Joaquin (94% reported, about 852 votes left), both areas where Gray is favored. If the remaining votes follow current trends (+3 in Merced and +7 in San Joaquin), Gray could gain 164 votes from Merced and 60 from San Joaquin, a total of 224 votes. This would leave him just 3 votes behind Duarte. Gray has a very narrow path to victory. To win, he would need to outperform his current margins in either Merced or San Joaquin, or benefit from any underreporting of outstanding votes. However, based on the current numbers, Duarte remains the slight favorite, though any small change in the final counts could shift the outcome.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

*Thousand - can’t delete comments on my phone. Annoying

0

Mbrace888

2 months ago

I am just seeing things? Votes keep getting counted by the hundreds of thousands, but the needle hardly moves from 1.7%.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

That’s not a few thoughts votes. That’s millions. lol

0

Mbrace888

2 months ago

I am just seeing things? Votes keep getting counted by the hundreds of thousands, but the needle hardly moves from 1.7%.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

I adore Cata Truss

0

Fortuna777

2 months ago

Jesus, Illinois shifted hard to the right this year

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

A lot of it coming from Chicago too. Major migrant concerns

0

Fortuna777

2 months ago

Jesus, Illinois shifted hard to the right this year

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

lol what are you talking about with beyond senate approval. If it will not be a recess appt…

1

NoNoiseKnifeOnly

2 months ago

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/18/us/politics/trump-cabinet.html Gaetz May Not Be Confirmed, Trump Admits. He’s Pushing Him and Others Anyway.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Already there lol Ty

0

top453

2 months ago

11.14, votes 148799256, margin 2.4%; 11.15, votes 152027079, margin 1.9%; 11.16, votes 152841482, margin 1.75%; 11.17, votes 153047394, margin 1.74%; 11.18, votes 153125656, margin 1.74%; 11.19, votes 153423299, margin 1.708%.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

So 1.4 mil votes from 11.15 to today moved the margin 0.2 and there's maybe 2 mil votes left. Gonna be tight either way.

0

top453

2 months ago

11.14, votes 148799256, margin 2.4%; 11.15, votes 152027079, margin 1.9%; 11.16, votes 152841482, margin 1.75%; 11.17, votes 153047394, margin 1.74%; 11.18, votes 153125656, margin 1.74%; 11.19, votes 153423299, margin 1.708%.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Pretty sure “within the federal govt” qualifies as a fed gov employee. You can GTFOOH now

0

batitombo

2 months ago

I think Elon should resolve 50/50. Not clear enough in the resolution and it has a lot of confusion.

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

XD

0

NoNoiseKnifeOnly

2 months ago

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/18/us/politics/trump-cabinet.html Gaetz May Not Be Confirmed, Trump Admits. He’s Pushing Him and Others Anyway.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Senior advisors as in the context of federal govt employees. Its not that complicated.

0

wejh69

2 months ago

How is DOGE not an appointment?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Will Elon be employed by the federal govt as a federal govt employee? If the answer is no, thats the answer.

2

batitombo

2 months ago

I think Elon should resolve 50/50. Not clear enough in the resolution and it has a lot of confusion.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

PleaseBeStupid

2 months ago

Do not need confirmation per rules

0

Spartan37

3 months ago

Do these individually close? If so, why aren't ones like Rubio closing?

# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

This market is trending in a direction that defies logic and deductive reasoning. But why?

2

CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

4447 vote margin? Def 349 now. But I will say, based on the ap forecasting - Im not seeing the circles signifying the volume of votes remaining. They had to receive mail ins by 7 days out from election so theoretically there should not be an influx of votes. Questioning if anything is even remaining. No update in hours. Steel may have this

0

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

349 patriots holding the line xD everything is fine

CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

349 patriots holding the line xD everything is fine

6

CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Sounds gay

0

UndefeatedElectionForecaster

3 months ago

https://x.com/CATargetBot0001/status/1856502846188847136 tran train LFG

CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Looks like Dems found some ballots! Arghhhh

4

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

A check mark that Elon probably gave himself no less. lol

0

TanOri

3 months ago

The said outside government to avoid legal complications, but obviously trump appointed Elon and doge will be a huge part of his administration and white house

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Okay, so when this goes to UMA your argument will be -I know thats not what they said but I know, obviously, they meant government position- and, for others, noting they have a check mark on X? That sounds ridiculous, thoroughly.

0

TanOri

3 months ago

The said outside government to avoid legal complications, but obviously trump appointed Elon and doge will be a huge part of his administration and white house

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Outside of the government sounds like its not an official govt role

0

prasen5542

3 months ago

Wikipedia says its likely to be a component of office of president or presidential commission- in both cases it qualifies as part of federal government and its also going to be funded by the US federal government (just confirmed by Elon in X)

Next Senate Majority Leader?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

They said, and I quote, -fuck you, Elon

1

0xbe947591e9E5dd48433aa48Bd4A1B79e3f65560B-1728928775354

3 months ago

Never bet against Elon musk and he endorsed Scott the senators will take notice

Next Senate Majority Leader?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Now

0

yourrapist1776

3 months ago

Scott out thune and cornyn advance

Next Senate Majority Leader?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Live news coverage on fox

2

yourrapist1776

3 months ago

Scott out thune and cornyn advance

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

What is the correlation here? The NO argument for Trump coin was a terrible one, notably that Trump wasnt part of the -technical deployment- of the token. The NO holders were writing their own rules not explicitly stated. Similarly, the rules here explicitly state roles -within the US federal gov-. In regards to Elon and Vivek, these consultant type positions Trump created are not federal govt roles and he has explicitly stated they will be outside of the govt.

8

TanOri

3 months ago

Since trump coin resolved yes, doge should likewise, but an argument could be made on both sides. This is why prediction markets suck

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Truth

1

Stavros-Jenkins

3 months ago

The real story is the acronym. Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Yeah but she went on that rage campaign about a stolen election and idk - gives naggy step mother vibes

1

ProudVirgin

3 months ago

Kari Lake got 48.8% of maricopa two years ago, in a maga coattails presidential year she is currently performing worse with 46.9% (69 lol)

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Hope some of you Kamala losers were able to reclaim some of your losses

3

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

lol what? Almost every county in America shifted right

0

Slan

3 months ago

It's really annoying this far left scum gets elected to the Senate in ARIZONA in a RED WAVE year. Fuck. He's basically an open borders Bernie type candidate. That's just ridiculous.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

I agree this is a candidate problem as well

3

Slan

3 months ago

Fucking incompetent Arizona GOP. 2 winnable races lost due to a bad candidate Lake. She should not have ran again this time, losers should not run.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Its been that pretty consistently for the past 24 hours

0

FUENTES

3 months ago

Breaking 🚨 Kari Lake has closed to within (34,361) votes of Ruben Gallego in the Arizona Senate race

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Ruben is rubbish!

1

Jord

3 months ago

Kari sisters..............

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Dear Jord

0

Jord

3 months ago

Kari sisters..............

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

I prefer Heisenbergs

0

FUENTES

3 months ago

Discovering this market is the worst thing that has happened to me, it's so painful to follow

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Oh hes dumping alright

1

FUENTES

3 months ago

Discovering this market is the worst thing that has happened to me, it's so painful to follow

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Sometimes I say fuck it and light my money on fire too

1

FEEND

3 months ago

Coping so hard I wanna buy more

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Constantly shitting your pants?

1

FUENTES

3 months ago

Discovering this market is the worst thing that has happened to me, it's so painful to follow

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

It took Mohave like 18 hours to count 6k votes XD

2

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Where do you guys see the batches of ballots dropping.

1

david689314

3 months ago

FYI, she's falling behind, not getting ahead. https://x.com/datarepublican/status/1855392603786875054?s=46

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Mohave 4% drop?

0

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Yeah I really think she is just not a highly likable character

2

RaphBot

3 months ago

She lost in 2020 with fraud in arizona right ?

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

I thought he meant Dems stealing Kari Lake seat.

0

Comebackkid

3 months ago

Sars, I capitulaed 1.5l shares to hedge with house majority in case the dems pull off a steal

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Ohhh yeah nah brah its Republican 100%

0

Comebackkid

3 months ago

Sars, I capitulaed 1.5l shares to hedge with house majority in case the dems pull off a steal

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

lol I know right. The house has R+3 on its expected 218 seat with 5 more in play beyond that have stayed red during count. Over 50% counted. The house is Republican.

0

Comebackkid

3 months ago

Sars, I capitulaed 1.5l shares to hedge with house majority in case the dems pull off a steal

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

House majority will fail??

0

Comebackkid

3 months ago

Sars, I capitulaed 1.5l shares to hedge with house majority in case the dems pull off a steal

Who will be inaugurated as President?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Liberalism appears to often be accompanied by mental illness and personality disorders. The Democrat mainstream media crew are fucking nuts.

2

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

I am new here since August. Wish I found this sooner!

1

aenews2

3 months ago

Where did all the Lake buyers here come from? Are you MAGA money? Curious. Personally, been here since 2021. How about you?

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

You have been hanging out in the comment section of the AZ Senate Election since 2021? That is dedication.

5

aenews2

3 months ago

Where did all the Lake buyers here come from? Are you MAGA money? Curious. Personally, been here since 2021. How about you?

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

The probability is low.

0

Spartan37

3 months ago

I cannot even imagine being dumb enough to buy Gallego yes at 90% right now. Horrible, horrible odds given the outstanding ballots.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Agree

1

Spartan37

3 months ago

I cannot even imagine being dumb enough to buy Gallego yes at 90% right now. Horrible, horrible odds given the outstanding ballots.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Factual

0

aenews2

3 months ago

If you're still buying Lake here, I suggest you put an end to your suffering and move on.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Is counting a 24 hr operation in AZ? If no, why the fuck not

1

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Ballz to the Walz. Love school shooters

0

aenews2

3 months ago

Trading against MAGAts is like taking candy from a baby

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Where did Reuben shares go???

0

aenews2

3 months ago

I told you so!

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Brah I see your shares lmao

0

mona.lisa

3 months ago

BREAKING: Lake will lose. Remember, I was right about the general election popular vote. Thank me later!

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

You were smug and loud and wrong

2

mona.lisa

3 months ago

BREAKING: Lake will lose. Remember, I was right about the general election popular vote. Thank me later!

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

No you werent. You were wrong. You lost.

2

mona.lisa

3 months ago

BREAKING: Lake will lose. Remember, I was right about the general election popular vote. Thank me later!

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Hahaha I identify with this more

0

Yanoya4sure

3 months ago

Confused, dry, driving on the shoulder, wilting

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Youll be maricoping soooon

1

zero96

3 months ago

https://x.com/nomoresilence80/status/1855053347860185457 52,51% of the remaining vote isnt impossible considering thats pretty much Trump's lead %

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Okay, when I started paying closer attention I thought it was around 35-36 a couple hours ago. I know it was 60 yesterday :)

0

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Has the margin been 35k votes with all of these incremental gains?

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

The most recent ones I means. The last few hours.

0

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Has the margin been 35k votes with all of these incremental gains?

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Has the margin been 35k votes with all of these incremental gains?

0

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Dare I say is misogyny XD I sound like a libbbbb

0

REEEEEEEEEE

3 months ago

Trump winning by over 6 points. I don't see how a Senate candidate can lose with coattails that huge. Anyone think more than 6% of AZ split their ticket? Because that's what Gallego people are betting on.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

I feel like she turned off a lot of voters with her stolen election claims when she ran for governor. I know Trump has made similar claims but I was under the impression this had some effect on favorability

0

REEEEEEEEEE

3 months ago

Trump winning by over 6 points. I don't see how a Senate candidate can lose with coattails that huge. Anyone think more than 6% of AZ split their ticket? Because that's what Gallego people are betting on.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

I still think she has a good chance of winning but I am not surprised she is trailing

0

REEEEEEEEEE

3 months ago

Trump winning by over 6 points. I don't see how a Senate candidate can lose with coattails that huge. Anyone think more than 6% of AZ split their ticket? Because that's what Gallego people are betting on.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Yes, I do. Lake is kind of less popular I think to some degree. Also, I do think some people split tickets to try to neutralize govt so they cant do anything. Most people want govt to do less

0

REEEEEEEEEE

3 months ago

Trump winning by over 6 points. I don't see how a Senate candidate can lose with coattails that huge. Anyone think more than 6% of AZ split their ticket? Because that's what Gallego people are betting on.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

I dunno bro. You said Walz won the debate. Hard to trust your judgment now

6

Supeg

3 months ago

Woah Lake actually gained again in the Pima drop. How is this still 15 cents lol.

Wisconsin Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Bummer!

0

Who will be inaugurated as President?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Has anyone checked on JustScam?

0

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

She is below 60% statewide. For every 10 ballots, 4 are Trumps. It isnt possible

0

HottWeelz

3 months ago

California isn't done counting... only 3M away at 54%

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Same I bought both even though I felt RR was in reach. The RD camp was loud and so so so certain

2

washedaio

3 months ago

This was suppose to be a yolo bet that wasent gunna hit smh

How many swing states will Trump win?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

You too!

1

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Michigan called for Trump. He will win 7

How many swing states will Trump win?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Michigan called for Trump. He will win 7

4

How many swing states will Trump win?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

lol

0

Andre17000

3 months ago

voring no on 7 swing states is free money.

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

A time machine

0

miaumiua

3 months ago

what has to happen that the Dems win the Popularity Vote?

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Lmao

0

ATT

3 months ago

Thanks for free money MAGATS who cant MATH

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Cali will have shifted to the right though. I really think hes got this and I bet on both

0

EnderN

3 months ago

Yeah trump win was a given, but popular vote too? I can't believe I am rooting for Kamala

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Hes been leading popular vote all night

0

JewishGodFatherOfPennies

3 months ago

only 23% of total votes are counted lmaooo this black bitch gonna take popular vote RD is on sale

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

It will, don't worry. Markets been correcting itself this AM

0

JohnLennon

3 months ago

Sold all my RD and bought DD i think kamala takes it

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

#VoteDem for more of this. :)

0

Schmuck909

3 months ago

I will laugh so hard and even make some money for a coffee in California

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Hows a wall at 37 sound

0

Sardinianshepherd

3 months ago

please someone bring down that wall at 0.36 for RRR

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

*Laughs in -17k*

2

LordGB

3 months ago

Keep buying R win both ahahaha

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Eh, I think that’s oversold in the media but obviously to some degree you are correct about wokeness. The woke have managed to piss off many factions of society from parents with school aged kids to people who got booted from employment over a suboptimal mandatory vax to crime vics and their families etc etc. May not be as woke as you think.

1

ContrapunctusFerrum

3 months ago

I fucking sold all my R pres D pop at a loss. I've had a gut feeling from the beginning that Donald's gonna take the popular vote.

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Not to say RR isn’t also overpriced, it is. The DD is slightly undervalued because the other two are inflated.

0

ContrapunctusFerrum

3 months ago

I fucking sold all my R pres D pop at a loss. I've had a gut feeling from the beginning that Donald's gonna take the popular vote.

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Literally an 18% chance if he wins that he doesn’t get the popular vote. The RD is not the most favored outcome and it’s overpriced.

0

ContrapunctusFerrum

3 months ago

I fucking sold all my R pres D pop at a loss. I've had a gut feeling from the beginning that Donald's gonna take the popular vote.

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Isn’t it like an R+3 electorate, with independent lean R+6 as of latest Gallup poll?

0

ContrapunctusFerrum

3 months ago

Dear Lord, Please let millions and millions of illegals flood NY and CA and let them vote in the election

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Your points are spot on. RD is actually overpriced if you rely on 538 analyses to make an argument. People are thinking RD is given, likely assuming a Trump win influenced by 2016, 2020 history. The scatter plot showing the 1000 simulations gives a clear visual that if Trump wins, the majority of the wins include the popular vote, as you’ve pointed out 65% of the time.

0

Regalia

3 months ago

What's going on with R presidency D popular vote? Seems like the most likely option but it also has the lowest % of the reaslitic options?

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Ugh 18 in 100

0

Niklauss

3 months ago

Ill ride the R,D train, I believe this is def undervalued

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

I am not so sure myself now. After reading some comments and reading some analyses, currently Harris has a 1-in-100 chance of winning popular vote but losing electoral college. This would then be largely overpriced, no?

0

Niklauss

3 months ago

Ill ride the R,D train, I believe this is def undervalued

How many swing states will Trump win?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Personally, that’s one of the most guaranteed bets here. He’s going to win at least 1 swing state and probably more. So, IMO betting NO on 0 is a guaranteed return of appx 10%

4

gings

3 months ago

Can someone clarify me the resolution criteria, if trump wins atleast 1 swing state then 0 NO is win right?

How many swing states will Trump win?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Yes. If he wins 1, then he doesn’t win 0, so NO resolves as the win for that bet.

1

gings

3 months ago

Can someone clarify me the resolution criteria, if trump wins atleast 1 swing state then 0 NO is win right?

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Because Rs win both is so high. Although there’s a lot of varying opinions, from impossible to probable, about Rs securing the popular vote. However, some reputable pollsters are predicting R popular vote, R presidency. It is a R+ electorate with an unpopular D candidate who is not doing as well is in deep blue states like NY like Dem candidates typically do.

0

babendums

3 months ago

why is r pres d pop so cheap? if trump is up on the main market, then this should be way higher

Pennsylvania Senate Election Winner

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Casey is touting his support for Trump policies in his latest ads y’all. What does that signal to you?

3

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Could very easily say you’re following the Democratic Party off a cliff but what do I know

1

cheezzydad

3 months ago

Y'all are following the Trump whales off a cliff. even if you want Trump to win, he's no better than a 50% chance and paying more than that just gives people like me free money. i don't mind that but i worry about you

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

You seem like pros. Thanks for sharing comments. Been following along. Appreciate it.

1

Szty1

3 months ago

Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Do you guys do this bet every week? Holy hell it’s a complex one!

2

Szty1

3 months ago

Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

*real clear polling realclearpolling

0

Clausevanderbooben

3 months ago

What am I missing ?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

This is based off the real clear politics polling average which averages a variety of polls on a rolling basis. The average is currently 1.5

0

Clausevanderbooben

3 months ago

What am I missing ?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

I have been balancing my position in both and small profits either way

2

briccbybricc

3 months ago

has anybody done a hedge position with 1-1.4 and 1.5-1.9. If one of both comes losing money isn't an option.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

3 months ago

Where do you gather this info that they are “over correcting”? Do they write a disclaimer like +2 for Trump at the bottom? 😂

1

Caligulas.dog

3 months ago

Because its not 2016 or 2020 anymore. Pollsters have swayed in the other direction and currently are overcorrecting for Trump like the did in the mid terms, where Republicans didn't even come remotely close to their predicted Red Wave.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Previous position. 🙃

0

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

lol I sold and now I am back at my

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

lol I sold and now I am back at my

0

Frozencomet

4 months ago

damn it feels good to have held when it fell to 1.3

Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

There’s different options on desktop😲

0

Rueben

4 months ago

it does not autocredit the negrisk like pi. However, you can convert no shares and it will give you YES shares in all the other brackets, which you can then limit sell (which is effectively bidding for buy No''s)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

—-fair, efficient, and resolute to you??? With this market specifically, I have to ask, why would anyone make a market about Trump deploying a token himself. The arguments are a reach, especially from a technical standpoint. If that was the market’s intent, it should have never went above 0. So, I do think YES is the answer but I also think the games played in this market are another perfect example of Polymarkets failures to create succinct rules for markets that make this platform enjoyable for everyone. And don’t even get me started on the fact that active share holders settle votes for disputes. That’s atrocious.

0

poly-murderers

4 months ago

fair enough if thta's what you are going for. i thought you were willing to discuss the frauds and act on it. don't you see the ineficiency unfolding in front of you with this market resolution?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Well, at the end of the day, I think this argument of “deployment” is a reach. HOWEVER , the problem here is really not bettors’ issue. Polymarket has numerous markets that leave too many definitions up to wide interpretations that create confusion and uncertainty and misunderstanding between users. Even worse, the dispute process is resolved by UMA and that voting process consists of a few active bettors here who hold the majority of the shares of UMA vote (Hey JustKen, KevinChan) - So, even if you feel you have a logically sound argument here, it actually doesn’t matter because those fuckers decide your fate at the end of the day and they have vested interests. Does that sound fair, efficient.

0

poly-murderers

4 months ago

fair enough if thta's what you are going for. i thought you were willing to discuss the frauds and act on it. don't you see the ineficiency unfolding in front of you with this market resolution?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Ahhh a hopeful September-Lebanon lad

0

MeNoDatNutReelMuni

4 months ago

This will change in 2 days everyone, lots to still do before that time

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Nvm —- I see you replied

0

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I dunno why there’s no reply either, but what poll was removed?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I dunno why there’s no reply either, but what poll was removed?

0

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I would like to know others thoughts. I closed the door on 1.5+ this morning. Bought more into 1-1.4 and 0.5-0.9. No other Yes holdings. Care to share? ☕️

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Hey thanks for sharing that!! New info for me actually. Appreciate you

1

badatthis

4 months ago

I'm gladly holdin my 1.5+ with these prices. Most people don't really understand how RCP avg changes, how polls are added and removed. You can see it by reading the comments.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Also, full disclosure, I know people shill their positions all the time. I have zero open orders here right now. That’s not to say I won’t panic but 1.5-1.9 to offset my losses at some point if I’m way wrong 😂 but i just wanted to have a chat since a lot of people seemed open to share a little bit in the comments 😊

1

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I would like to know others thoughts. I closed the door on 1.5+ this morning. Bought more into 1-1.4 and 0.5-0.9. No other Yes holdings. Care to share? ☕️

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Yup! That’s a gamble I was willing to take. I think she could peak back up but don’t think it will hold through Friday personally. Just my estimation. Not advice.

0

badatthis

4 months ago

I'm gladly holdin my 1.5+ with these prices. Most people don't really understand how RCP avg changes, how polls are added and removed. You can see it by reading the comments.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Thank you for sharing. I was going to hold onto my yes but made a split second decision to sell them at market price cause I never wanted them anyways 😂

0

badatthis

4 months ago

I'm gladly holdin my 1.5+ with these prices. Most people don't really understand how RCP avg changes, how polls are added and removed. You can see it by reading the comments.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I should add. My rationale is that is my initial two bets were heavy 1-1.4 and 0.5-0.9 as Trump tends to gain momentum in the polls close the election, she lost a whole 0.5 average from Fri-Friday last week. I figured 1-1.4 was most likely but for good measure bought into 0.5-0.9. Then seeing the majority disagreed with me, I clowned myself into both yes and no 1.5-1.9. I bought both because I was extremely skeptical. I should listen to my gut more :)

0

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I would like to know others thoughts. I closed the door on 1.5+ this morning. Bought more into 1-1.4 and 0.5-0.9. No other Yes holdings. Care to share? ☕️

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I would like to know others thoughts. I closed the door on 1.5+ this morning. Bought more into 1-1.4 and 0.5-0.9. No other Yes holdings. Care to share? ☕️

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I’m embodying the bitter bitch

0

poly-murderers

4 months ago

why is that so?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Rally your troops, dear leader!

0

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Where is your rallying inspo leader @JustKen?? Did he slowly fade when he realized the kind of attention his fanfare has brought him?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Where is your rallying inspo leader @JustKen?? Did he slowly fade when he realized the kind of attention his fanfare has brought him?

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I have returned and bought shares just to say this to the no holder: FUCK YOU GUYS

2

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Yup tons of promotional campaigning in NY and CA. He has boots on the ground in NY

1

0xb29f0B1c04F2dA9d37eCfECEE5090c4736d8808B-1727316878072

4 months ago

It’s still quite possible and Trump is trying to get it.

Bills vs. Jets

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

On my 1k shares, 77 cents lol

0

TXgoon92

4 months ago

Real question, how much do you make off of buying 99.9c lol

Bills vs. Jets

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I’d like to thank the wind

0

Bills vs. Jets

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Yaaaaaaassssssss

0

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

💨 💨 💨

Bills vs. Jets

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

💨 💨 💨

1

Bills vs. Jets

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

The pool is filled with pee

0

DeucePapi

4 months ago

Refs are on jets side tn

Bills vs. Jets

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Let’s sack him again

0

Bills vs. Jets

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Billllieve

0

babendums

4 months ago

im scurred

Bills vs. Jets

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

TheGuru goes hard for Daaa Bills?!

0

TheGuru

4 months ago

Good luck everyone!

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I’m deeply invested ☕️

3

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Well I’ll be damned. Top 2 no holder just bought all me shares! Arrrgh 🏴‍☠️

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Yes一定勝利!!!

0

JIYUAN

4 months ago

我們已經知道川普及其家族就虛擬貨幣的行為是真正的行騙，但基於政治的倫理，他無法「部署」（deployment）也無法真正地發行代幣。愛來自台灣，No一定勝利！！！

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Everyone trying to be so demure, so mindful

0

Eyebrows

4 months ago

Nice to see a dramatically up and down market with tons of shit-talking. Takes me to the old days. Lot of markets aren't really like that anymore.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

She dropped 0.5 in 1 week.

0

Speculo

4 months ago

Unpopular opinion: The best predictor of the final bracket is the one whose midpoint is closest to the current RCP average.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Bro you spend so much time writing literal paragraphs about this, why don’t you go start a blog? You can add a donate button to get back all the money you’ll lose here, too. It will be a lose, win, win for you

1

PepeMcPew

4 months ago

They are selling a voting token that you can't tranfer, sell, or do anything with but play on their voting platform. WOW... Sign me up! Let me vote on the direction of a platform that doesn't exist yet, and if it goes the same way their other failed & hacked platform did (Dough Finance) won't ever go anywhere. Why haven't they mentioned Trump's name yet? Weird!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Did you get that from their website 🤥

0

pumpdabrakes

4 months ago

FYI. Apparently in fine print it states that Donald Trump has no affiliation with World Lib Coin.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I feel the same reading your comments 💀

4

🤺JustPunched

4 months ago

Imagine how braindead you have to be to think anything these idiots are saying is important

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Well, well, well if it isn’t a yes man himself 😆

0

aenews2

4 months ago

Good luck holding Y when they say they are launching November 5 or date unknown in the Spaces tomorrow

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Y’all are exhausting

1

PepeMcPew

4 months ago

Last post, on the official Avae threat discussing the proposal, the WLFI team was asked 4 days ago some pretty critical questions about the proposal but they haven't bothered to go back and answer them. The proposal won't get approved (thus they won't launch) without those answers. https://governance.aave.com/t/temp-check-world-liberty-financial-aave-v3-instance-on-ethereum-mainnet-proposal/19383/23

How many swing states will Trump win?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

RCP has him poised to win 6/7 as it stands now.

2

MageGold

4 months ago

All seven swing states are impossible

How many swing states will Trump win?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Even if Trump wins all 7 swing states, the margin is only 86 and that market says 100+. That means flipping blue state in addition to winning all the swing states.

1

SafeBets

4 months ago

Why buy 7 at 27 and not Blowout at 13?

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

My guess is this market has far less volume and less fluctuations than with the Trump or Harris market. Also, there are plenty of strategies that people employ that may result in contradictory bets simultaneously. Weird anomalies like this on here often.

1

Sovereign86

4 months ago

i dont get it...how is Trump up by 9 points on the election winner poll but dems are up 14 points here to win both presidency and popular?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Took a play out of your book I guess 😉

1

aenews2

4 months ago

I wonder what it tells us when the most vocal Y guy is downsizing

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Why did you comment and delete and comment again? Foolish dualism

1

busterdouglas

4 months ago

Thanks for the free money, all of this volume from Trumps comment on a NELK podcast lmao. Watch PBD talk to Joe about having trump on, if he was going to he would have by now. Case closed.

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

😂 busted. What a loser

1

busterdouglas

4 months ago

Thanks for the free money, all of this volume from Trumps comment on a NELK podcast lmao. Watch PBD talk to Joe about having trump on, if he was going to he would have by now. Case closed.

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Having a rough day Koba?

1

Fredi9999WASP🐝

4 months ago

I wrote the comment after he bought Mountaingenius

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Irrelevant

0

NIGGA

4 months ago

The milkman woke up from his shitty little cave!

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Bro you’re on the wrong side of every bet whenever I come across you

1

JoeBETS

4 months ago

yall are in for a rude awakening i already see it

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Do you suddenly suffer from Tourette’s when you see a comment section?

0

NIGGA

4 months ago

The milkman woke up from his shitty little cave!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Where’d that sell wall go? 😆

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Too soon

1

Myh

4 months ago

can someone propose resolution ?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Nah but you just poppin off without context so who knows wtf you’re talking about

1

NIGGA

4 months ago

Kinda crazy to give 50% of your supply to some retarded faggot that'll dump on all trump suckers when given the green light!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

What

1

NIGGA

4 months ago

Kinda crazy to give 50% of your supply to some retarded faggot that'll dump on all trump suckers when given the green light!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Very kind

0

aenews2

4 months ago

Alright Y bros, I've got a nice sell wall for you

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Worthless shares

1

TenChuSama

4 months ago

fake news

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

We’re a team now. I’ve decided it.

0

Mountainman

4 months ago

Joe Rogan would never have a controversial guest on his podcast. Literally no chance whatsoever. YES holders are insane!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Ahhh this is def an alt account. Follow the money trails. Read the comments. Discover the truth.

0

Erfank

4 months ago

There is no way Trump advisers let him get involved with such a thing. It is just an advertisement contract he has an he should tweet about it

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Hey where’d your shares and free money go? 💀

0

Goobertron

4 months ago

The one major thing every Yes whale is missing: deployment. Endorsement after release ≠ involved in creation. Thx 4 free money

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Where do you all come up with these intricate details that are nowhere to be found in the rules of the market?

4

Themaninthetower

4 months ago

Still think my position is 30-40% likely. It's an "initial sale" of 20% of the supply given to accredited investors, with a 12 month hold on the tokens. If there is to be a more semi public sale, it's often with these sales that the token only gets deployed after the sale that creates the global market. Might be they launch the token before the election, but I dare to suggest they will take other steps in dividing the supply before minting the actual tokens. Another part that plays into this is the fact that the sale will probably not take place on chain.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Not that much 😆

2

Mountainman

4 months ago

I feel bad for Naturalnoob. He keeps trying to dump the market with buying huge amounts of NO, and then within hours the price of YES shoots higher than it was before he tried to tank the market. It is crazy how much money that guy is lighting on fire. Sad.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I like playing games myself even if it’s at a loss 😉

1

Mountainman

4 months ago

I feel bad for Naturalnoob. He keeps trying to dump the market with buying huge amounts of NO, and then within hours the price of YES shoots higher than it was before he tried to tank the market. It is crazy how much money that guy is lighting on fire. Sad.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

We have surpassed the wall!!!

0

Erasmus

4 months ago

Lebanon-Tier price chart if this goes down again

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Yeah but it’s the nitpicking bullshitting of the motherfuckers on here that discarded headlines and facts in the past that breed uncertainty and hesitation and that’s just sad.

0

Mountainman

4 months ago

The fact that this pumps every time a new article coming out says the same exact things we already know show how dumb the market participants on this site are. They have an actual countdown on their website and have had one for several days. It is happening, just hold on for 2 more days and it goes to a buck :)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Can you please reach out to me on Discord? I never use my account but that seems to be what Polymarket users and UMA use. I’d like to discuss this with you and what I am working on as it’s rather complementary. User meow.zedong.

3

poly-murderers

4 months ago

i am keeping an eye on this market to use as an eventual evidence for the coming lawsuit against polymarket. we are a group taking one due to market manipulation. uma can think they are safe, we are 30 so far. I assume if this market will resolve uncorrectly, we will be a bit more ;)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

“ Donald Trump Set to Launch Cryptocurrency Token Sale This Tuesday” - article headline lol

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Yeah someone here tried to say he had to be a part of the technical development for this to resolve to yes 😂 same idea. No one would every buy yes then

0

badatthis

4 months ago

Deployment ≠ creation. If it was about creation this market would never be over 0.1c

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Hey, I am writing an investigative article about Polymarket mainly focusing on the inconsistencies in dispute resolution, exposing that active share holders are also large volume UMA token holders to settle disputes, etc. I currently gathered data from what happened with the Israel invasion Sept/Nov markets including user activity of betters who settle disputes and the fact denial campaign they employed to create market volatility. I am here gathering info as well. I will soon be posting a way to connect with users here to get more info about what’s been happening with UMA and Polymarket. If this is a serious endeavor, I’d love to connect to discuss the lawsuit. This is strictly confidential and anonymous.

0

poly-murderers

4 months ago

i am keeping an eye on this market to use as an eventual evidence for the coming lawsuit against polymarket. we are a group taking one due to market manipulation. uma can think they are safe, we are 30 so far. I assume if this market will resolve uncorrectly, we will be a bit more ;)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Some of these shareholders are also UMA holders and voters with piss poor arguments about why their side with invested interest should win. They will deny and subvert reality for their own benefit. Pretty easy to not like those fuckers.

3

0xffffffff

4 months ago

wow so much hatred here in comments..

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

He’s so sure that he bought 5 no shares

2

Mountainman

4 months ago

Source: You made it up. Hahahahaha

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

I’m 111% sure this market is full of fuckery so I’m participating at full capacity

4

hasso422

4 months ago

I am so confused. How can the market ignore Information?? There is a guy buying no shares and yes shares for a combined price of 111ct. I don’t get it

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

You do realize this is a market where people buy and sell shares, right?

0

TRUMP2O24

4 months ago

Mountain man continues selling his yes shares such a hypocrite

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Dear perplexity, will Trump launch a coin before the election???

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Can you read

1

TRUMP2O24

4 months ago

Okay for holders yes, I don't want to say this because I need cheap no, but I will help you save money, selling tokens is one thing, but launching a token is completely different)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

The rules don’t say anything about technical involvement. lol reachinggg

1

Fredi9999WASP🐝

4 months ago

The deployment of a token is defined as the process of launching it on a blockchain. This includes: Creating a Smart Contract: Writing the code that defines the token's rules and functionalities. Deploying the Contract: Uploading the smart contract to the blockchain, making it live and accessible. Token Distribution: Initiating processes like sales, airdrops, or other mechanisms to distribute the tokens to users.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Where’s it say that bro?

0

Fredi9999WASP🐝

4 months ago

The deployment of a token is defined as the process of launching it on a blockchain. This includes: Creating a Smart Contract: Writing the code that defines the token's rules and functionalities. Deploying the Contract: Uploading the smart contract to the blockchain, making it live and accessible. Token Distribution: Initiating processes like sales, airdrops, or other mechanisms to distribute the tokens to users.

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

That’s what I suspected. Thanks!

0

BiggieChungus

4 months ago

Next datapoint needs to be available as per the rules

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Was this disputed because too early? Waiting for data?

0

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

@sk33625 No is currently winning. She has 55 in 100. Needs 56 for ‘YES’ to win. Major slide in prediction markets today, polls are down trending. She had unfavorable polling come in today and 538 somehow gave her a boost in likelihood to win the election. But they have added commentary that even highlights the stark contrast between prediction markets and the way they are “interpreting things differently”. I presume further polling will be the same or worse and I feel 538 would not risk the scrutiny of raising Harris odds if anything less than favorable is reported tomorrow.

0

PleaseBeStupid

4 months ago

Morning compost! 😡 🤣