Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?

Meow.Zedong

1 month ago

Wouldn’t you be pleased as your position would be undervalued and you could acquire cheaper shares

1

Car

1 month ago

it is so stupid this is trading so high just because Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire. Ukraine would agree to anything at anytime. What has been a problem is Russia. And it will still be a problem in the coming months.

Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?

Meow.Zedong

1 month ago

Comment section is Polymarket’s skid row. Good luck to all. 🫡

2

Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?

Meow.Zedong

1 month ago

Ladies, if you encounter President28 in the bar, it’s probably painfully obvious, but contrary to instructions - do not buy them a drink

1

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Cat is a yes cat now

0

KnureKnume

2 months ago

Cat comes on here, defends his underwater position, then dumps it. He does this constantly, guy has no shame.

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

It's probably not available, but I would like your username to be Cat now

0

Car

2 months ago

There are no plans yet and other people in Trumps admin will meet first

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

He pleads guilty to state charges. Trump had previously pardoned him for federal charges last term. Perfect opportunity to remind people where and when presidential pardons apply.

1

Guwop

2 months ago

The Times and The Sunday Times: Steve Bannon pleads guilty to fraud in New York

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Well, if like in Adams case, if there is no case and no charges anymore, there isn't a need for any pardon and definitely no need for any commutation or reprieve because those require some sort of criminal penalty or sentencing

0

Ineedhole

2 months ago

Eric Adams charges dropped by DOJ. No pardon coming. Something similar coming for Roger Ver. Probably charges dropped, no pardon coming

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

A reprieve is when the president delays or postpones a sentence ordered by the court

2

Ineedhole

2 months ago

Eric Adams charges dropped by DOJ. No pardon coming. Something similar coming for Roger Ver. Probably charges dropped, no pardon coming

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Well, as you can see this, this is why he is unresolved lol

0

BussyBlaster

2 months ago

how the fuck hasn't Sacks resolved?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I understand that and stated as such in my initial comment. What has changed from my proposal is that David Sacks now yields results on the WH website as one person in dispute noted it did not previously. It's funny you are now requiring an explicit designation of SGE when you previously said they didn't count at all. lol

0

BussyBlaster

2 months ago

how the fuck hasn't Sacks resolved?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

If perhaps that is the argument, as I do recall his search not yielding any results when I proposed, then I would think that there is now much more evidence coming directly from official sources in multiple different communications.

0

BussyBlaster

2 months ago

how the fuck hasn't Sacks resolved?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The white house has confirmed Sacks position as special advisor to AI and crypto during the signing of the EOs when asked by reporters. You can see Trump's response in the transcribed conversation if you search Sacks name on whitehouse.gov

1

BussyBlaster

2 months ago

how the fuck hasn't Sacks resolved?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Yup that was the issue. Poly is bias against the trans.

0

BussyBlaster

2 months ago

how the fuck hasn't Sacks resolved?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I believe the issue with my comments is that when talking about search results for Sacks it is in the form of his name coming up from communication trans cripts

0

BussyBlaster

2 months ago

how the fuck hasn't Sacks resolved?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

My comments keep getting yeeted and it's very annoying. Last try. I submitted after the EOs were signed. We now see Sacks in his role. His name yields search results on the WH web now. Musk was explicitly communicated as SGE by WH whereas I do not believe Sacks has been at this point but was referenced that way by media. Not sure if that would be the discrepancy. Curious what the argument for no would be as some top no holders were top yes holders for Elon. Hope this sticks!

2

BussyBlaster

2 months ago

how the fuck hasn't Sacks resolved?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Feel free to toss $750 into the furnace if you'd like. I went first.

1

BussyBlaster

2 months ago

how the fuck hasn't Sacks resolved?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Its just the category for the UMA vote, it means Too Early and that can be for a variety of reasons, usually for lack of clarity in available information or sometimes if someone submits before the market deadline

1

MegaUltraChicken

2 months ago

whats the argument for elon yes?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

lol yes I just wish PM would have clarified if SGEs qualified. It would have been a fair response but oh well!

0

Slowroasted

2 months ago

david sacks has the same "special govt employee" designation according to bloomberg, but he got P4'ed

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

UMAs P4 vote was largely pending more info and remained unclear if SGEs would clarify despite my burning $750 in hopes of a clarification. With Elon yes it would appear SGEs do qualify but now the game goes on about what types of sources satisfies credibility.

1

MegaUltraChicken

2 months ago

whats the argument for elon yes?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Don’t get me started 🤣 i bailed because it wasn’t worth waiting for ongoing disputes but I think what solidified Musk was the WH confirming SGE status while it’s been reported Sacks is SGE status by “credible sources” the official government channels offers tumbleweeds. I could be wrong

0

Slowroasted

2 months ago

david sacks has the same "special govt employee" designation according to bloomberg, but he got P4'ed

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The 59-year-old GILF, Pam Bondi, if officially the AG of the USA.

3

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I get the point, we should be very very alarmed!!!!! The end is near!!!!!!

0

POA

2 months ago

THE NATIONAL SECURITY PARTY? THE DISMANTLE SECURITY PARTY: "CIA offers buyouts to entire workforce as it seeks to infuse 'renewed energy'"

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The CIA isn't the only agency being offered buyouts. I have only pointed out these two examples as you scream in all caps as if these events are unheard of in American history with such drama about the fall of America. lol

0

POA

2 months ago

THE NATIONAL SECURITY PARTY? THE DISMANTLE SECURITY PARTY: "CIA offers buyouts to entire workforce as it seeks to infuse 'renewed energy'"

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Sounds like exactly what the Clinton administration did with federal buyouts.

0

POA

2 months ago

THE NATIONAL SECURITY PARTY? THE DISMANTLE SECURITY PARTY: "CIA offers buyouts to entire workforce as it seeks to infuse 'renewed energy'"

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I mean, TBF, a couple made that argument about SGE, but that was in no way conclusive or agreed upon decisively. It was voted P4 pending more information.

0

Foxmeme

2 months ago

Honestly Polymarket is crazy, there was more ppl for no - a whale came, bought all Yes and UMA say its a Yes... even he is not an employee...

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Here's a history lesson for you https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2005/12/clinton-s-guantanamo.html

0

POA

2 months ago

AMERICAN CONCENTRATION CAMPS ARE HERE: "Karoline Leavitt announces first migrant flights to Guantanamo Bay officially 'underway'"

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I agree with that assessment. McConnell might be on his own island and he won't give a shit.

0

BitcoinLover69

2 months ago

Rfk no bros coping HARD. Tell me, which 4 repubs are gonna vote against his nomination?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

His bible verse is also about bravery, courage, and enemies. lol

0

Justifax

2 months ago

the thing about rfk is how do dems not vote for the guy. he's like trying to reduce corporate influence over the food supply. something the left have been trying to do forever

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Hehe it's more of collateral for what I just stated and both can be true.

0

garbohydrates

2 months ago

Bill Cassidy might tank RFK. Which is crazy considering lousianas governor and surgeon general endorsed Jr. Literal career suicide.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

That may be where he ends up career wise regardless. It's very hard for me to imagine him throwing away his medical career when his political one is already in jeopardy. Cassidy developed vaccination programs LA. A vote for RFK is contrary to much of what he has dedicated his life/career to. Politics is only a fraction of his reputation.

1

garbohydrates

2 months ago

Bill Cassidy might tank RFK. Which is crazy considering lousianas governor and surgeon general endorsed Jr. Literal career suicide.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Cassidy is already facing a primary challenger in 2026 due to his vote to impeach Trump and will likely have others seeking his seat. I would, however, not be surprised, if Cassidy advances RFK to a floor a vote and proceeds to vote no on floor. Collins is up for re-election as well. If Cassidy is already facing a primary, I think it is even more likely that he will vote no. He holds his medical credentials and prestige in high regard and might be cooked in politics already.

0

garbohydrates

2 months ago

Bill Cassidy might tank RFK. Which is crazy considering lousianas governor and surgeon general endorsed Jr. Literal career suicide.

Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Damn you guys pumped it to 7c. Nice

3

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The holders selection works well for one in particular.

0

jj1970jj

2 months ago

Is there a way to block or mute users so you don't see their stupid posts?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I actually could see both sides, as he does have political influence, and thought he faired very well at his hearing yesterday considering the venom from the Dem party. I only have half a brain though, so that makes sense.

0

StevenBonnell

2 months ago

why did RFK collapse? Any news?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Specifically Cassidy who will likely not put his medical prestige, credentialing, and accountability on the line in lieu of an RFK confirmation.

0

StevenBonnell

2 months ago

why did RFK collapse? Any news?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I just watched the closing the his 2nd hearing. Not good.

0

StevenBonnell

2 months ago

why did RFK collapse? Any news?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Exactly! XD

0

Prot07ype

2 months ago

"[Mommy Tulsi] did not do anything wrong on that trip."

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I think they were pointing out her unawareness was not very intelligent. lol

0

Prot07ype

2 months ago

"[Mommy Tulsi] did not do anything wrong on that trip."

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

At least you derisked half your position

0

wyn

2 months ago

I think she will get through. Will keep buying more yes!!!

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Trump says a lot of things lol

0

garbohydrates

2 months ago

Between Tylsi and RFK, who is the fall guy/sacrificial lamb?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Damn I transitioned to the Trump briefing and came back to check in on Tulsi, should have bought at 35c! lmao WHAT HAPPENED YES

0

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Lol

0

MalikNabers

2 months ago

Looks like Cornyn is a no and Wyden is a yes.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Only 1 GOP senator has to say no to prevent her from advancing out of committee granted all Dems are no.

0

MalikNabers

2 months ago

Looks like Cornyn is a no and Wyden is a yes.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

He was one to watch for.

0

Illuminaughtiboi

2 months ago

why is cornyn being uncomfortable?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Ah thats a good point! I didn't think about him as a backup. I was mostly just aware that he previously served and didn't see anything about this admin. Thank you!

0

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

Just a heads up for anyone new to this market and what is going on with Kari Lake. Kari Lake is very likely going to take the job of Voice of America, which serves as a independent agency outside of the Presidential Executive Office. The President does not appoint the head of Voice of America. Read the rules, the appointment has to be from Trump, the rules state it twice. Even Trump has stated that he will not be the one who appoints Kari Lake. Free money if Kari Lake takes the job. https://x.com/KariLake/status/1867049639800868970

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Any insight on Ben Carson, no seems so undervalued to me. I tried to do a little research and didn't yield much. Just curious if you know :)

0

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

Just a heads up for anyone new to this market and what is going on with Kari Lake. Kari Lake is very likely going to take the job of Voice of America, which serves as a independent agency outside of the Presidential Executive Office. The President does not appoint the head of Voice of America. Read the rules, the appointment has to be from Trump, the rules state it twice. Even Trump has stated that he will not be the one who appoints Kari Lake. Free money if Kari Lake takes the job. https://x.com/KariLake/status/1867049639800868970

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

He was saying that he might vote no back in Decemeber, where you been?

0

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

It pretty much comes down to 1 unknown republican voting no. That's it. Collins, Murkowski, and McConnel will vote no. It going to be Pete Hegseth all over again, but the difference is that Hegseth is a conservative and RFK is far left. RFK is going to lose that 4th republican and its all over. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/29/us/politics/rfk-jr-senate-vote.html

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

And yes I know Nancy is not a senator. I am only teasing. But the Dems don’t seem they will budge the least!

0

Justifax

2 months ago

A sorta problem with the NO case for Gabbard. Nobody takes DNI seriously. So why would Senators spend political capital on voting her down? Flip side: Might be a good show that does little to damage Trump.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Yeah I think after watching libs spew venom at RFK, Tulsi is wholly dependent on GOP votes, perhaps same for RFK. Nancy is pistol whipping Dem senators as we speak 😂

0

Justifax

2 months ago

A sorta problem with the NO case for Gabbard. Nobody takes DNI seriously. So why would Senators spend political capital on voting her down? Flip side: Might be a good show that does little to damage Trump.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I sold no for now just seeing how the market shakes out after this renewed optimism. Maybe get a lower re-entry lol or not at all!

1

Justifax

2 months ago

A sorta problem with the NO case for Gabbard. Nobody takes DNI seriously. So why would Senators spend political capital on voting her down? Flip side: Might be a good show that does little to damage Trump.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The best argument I’ve heard is that she essentially compiles the most pertinent info from numerous agencies and prepares a report for POTUS therefore could have significant influence on what is prioritized and to what degree. So I suppose if you’re very concerned about her creditability and commitment, perhaps you would fear this influence.

1

Justifax

2 months ago

A sorta problem with the NO case for Gabbard. Nobody takes DNI seriously. So why would Senators spend political capital on voting her down? Flip side: Might be a good show that does little to damage Trump.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I see!

0

delta-lesson

2 months ago

gg RFK bros, I believe he will get recommended

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Ohh! That’s good news for him lol they just do a review Q&A then?

0

delta-lesson

2 months ago

gg RFK bros, I believe he will get recommended

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

But you may be right!

0

delta-lesson

2 months ago

gg RFK bros, I believe he will get recommended

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

He still has to get through HELP tomorrow

0

delta-lesson

2 months ago

gg RFK bros, I believe he will get recommended

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Yes, but a pardon would certainly help Gabbard's confirmation XD

1

dealhunter

2 months ago

snowden is still cheap.....were talking a russian spy with a russian wife and 2 russian kids.hahahah

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Second hearing cancelled because we just can't fucking take anymore

0

delta-lesson

2 months ago

I feel like RFK won't be confirmed because his voice is fucking annoying.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Today I learned RFK was considering Aaron Rodgers, Jets QB, for VP?? I did not know. Weird worm moment. Carry on.

1

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Isn't this market months old? Look at the rules "if he wins the election" - I think this has been months long.

2

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

Just a heads up for anyone new to this market and what is going on with Kari Lake. Kari Lake is very likely going to take the job of Voice of America, which serves as a independent agency outside of the Presidential Executive Office. The President does not appoint the head of Voice of America. Read the rules, the appointment has to be from Trump, the rules state it twice. Even Trump has stated that he will not be the one who appoints Kari Lake. Free money if Kari Lake takes the job. https://x.com/KariLake/status/1867049639800868970

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Well, that too, lol

0

TheLunoLion

2 months ago

Looking for some folks who are willing to bring liquidity to a market asking who will vote yes on Kash Patel, because that market is now quite dead..: https://polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel?tid=1738100590178

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

You can split shares and sell them on the both sides, for one example.

0

TheLunoLion

2 months ago

Looking for some folks who are willing to bring liquidity to a market asking who will vote yes on Kash Patel, because that market is now quite dead..: https://polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel?tid=1738100590178

Super Bowl Champion 2025

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Chiefs win. Kelce proposes to Swift after the game. I hate this fucking story but the show will go on. XD

5

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Collins is a woman with balls though. She made it clear she was gonna vote no on Hegseth. She's a notorious Trump foil. I am not sure she is the only reason there's a push for the Intel Committee vote transparency.

1

Justifax

2 months ago

My guess is if Tulsi doesn't make it out of committee, it won't be because of Collins alone.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

LOL :)

1

Justifax

2 months ago

I was trying to think of why and why not Tulsi will be nominated. All issues aside, I think it largely comes down to the Russian question. Tulsi is not in some explicit conspiracy with Russia, I can promise you that, but I think she realizes that the narratives are backing her play as long as she espouses certain view points. And this is quite profitable for her, most likely. Any other read would be gullible. The question really is, will this help segue into peace? Isn't that part of Trump's mandate, to bring peace to the the Ukraine Russian war?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Probably got the worms from the bear. 🐻

0

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

RFK drove around with the bear carcass and then dumped it in Central Park. Makes you think. 🤔

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

RFK drove around with the bear carcass and then dumped it in Central Park. Makes you think. 🤔

0

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I will see if I can find the article again when I am back on laptop!

0

Justifax

2 months ago

https://ajcongress.org/jewishpoliticalguide/senators/tulsi-gabbard/

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Right, and it only takes one to stop her from advancing from committee. Young may oppose. Cornyn could now that he isn't seeking leadership. Also, least recognized, Risch as she has reportedly shit talked him in the past. lol

1

Justifax

2 months ago

https://ajcongress.org/jewishpoliticalguide/senators/tulsi-gabbard/

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Agreed - I also am anticipating some hiccups in her confirmation. You can prep to say the right things but when pressed under oath is a different story. Also, for the sake of America, they should have someone well-poised for that position. It's actually easier to argue Hegseth's qualification for DOD, RFKs for HHS than Tulsi's for DNI.

0

Justifax

2 months ago

https://ajcongress.org/jewishpoliticalguide/senators/tulsi-gabbard/

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

It is! My exchanges here are not trying to convince anyone otherwise. I could very well be wrong. But Hegseth's narrow confirmation ultimately made me switch from yes to no. Sold at a small loss. America's government system is designed to have checks and balances and, while partisanship may take the cake often, practicality remains a staple. It's a good thing senators can exercise free will and I think they might here. I could be wrong!

1

Justifax

2 months ago

https://ajcongress.org/jewishpoliticalguide/senators/tulsi-gabbard/

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I was a former yes man. Hegseth's confirmation made me skeptical and the more I dig into the potential conflicts that could arise in GOP confirmations, the more I think Tulsi is in trouble. I think they want to make Trump happy but I also think (and hope) senators want what's best for America. Tulsi is not really qualified for DNI sec. She has virtually no intelligence or significant managerial experience. She isn't a tried and true republican either. Her confirmation has perhaps far dire consequences than a democrat like RFK to HHS. Trump is absolutely mooning already with his nominations going through compared to his previous term. I am not saying she won't get confirmed absolutely, but objectively, she is perhaps the most consequential and least qualified. I think the trouble here is the political pressure from Trump. No one *wants* to go against his will for fear of reprisal but that never stopped lawmakers from doing so in the past.

1

Justifax

2 months ago

https://ajcongress.org/jewishpoliticalguide/senators/tulsi-gabbard/

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

He certainly has notable level of disdain from his most conservative constituents already XD I don't think a no vote changes that. lol

0

Justifax

2 months ago

https://polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-tulsi-gabbard?tid=1738003141397 Please go on the discord and ask for Todd Young to be added.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

2028 is relatively far away and he is on the record opposing Trump's presidential bid in 2024. He seems like a no nonsense politician, largely focused on policy. He is also quite moderate in comparison with other GOP senators. He's also very anti-Russia, and while I do not for a minute think Gabbard is a "Russian asset", I can see this having influence.

1

Justifax

2 months ago

https://polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-tulsi-gabbard?tid=1738003141397 Please go on the discord and ask for Todd Young to be added.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I was shocked to learn Pam Bondi is 59. The fountain of youth is in florida.

0

Zorroh

2 months ago

I think Tulsi is physically attractive

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Don't even get me started. I was group 1 of the great vaccine experiment. Accepted at my own volition after a year of avoiding my family because I didn't want to risk asymptomatic transmission and I was in contact with infected, critically ill patients daily. Then a booster came out and I no longer had a choice XD Had one of the worst bouts of illness of my life 2 weeks later. The booster didn't work! lol

1

Justifax

2 months ago

What I don't get is why RFK isn't higher. I mean, holy cow. The guy is super health fanatic and the whole anti-vaccine nonsense is totally false. He just wants people to stop knee jerk jumping down everyone's throats when they dare to commit the heresy of questioning the science of vaccines - a super critical step in the scientific process itself.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I can't tell if this is genuine or sarcasm lmao

0

Justifax

2 months ago

What I don't get is why RFK isn't higher. I mean, holy cow. The guy is super health fanatic and the whole anti-vaccine nonsense is totally false. He just wants people to stop knee jerk jumping down everyone's throats when they dare to commit the heresy of questioning the science of vaccines - a super critical step in the scientific process itself.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

FWIW, RFK likely has far better odds than Gabbard and the market reflects that. If they plan to pick only one sacrificial lamb, it isn't RFK.

1

Justifax

2 months ago

What I don't get is why RFK isn't higher. I mean, holy cow. The guy is super health fanatic and the whole anti-vaccine nonsense is totally false. He just wants people to stop knee jerk jumping down everyone's throats when they dare to commit the heresy of questioning the science of vaccines - a super critical step in the scientific process itself.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I'd like to but the complexities of politics are far deeper than a few minutes of an interview clip. Senators have independent will even with primary threats. Trumps nominees are getting through phenomenally if you compare with 2016.

1

kk147

2 months ago

why no holders dont believe vice president

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The lack of Trump 2024 endorsement is what threw me. Perhaps he falls in line like with Hegseth. Thanks,.

0

Justifax

2 months ago

The lessons of incidents such as New Orleans and 911 is that, unfortunately, you need an aggressive DNI. Tulsi Gabbard met with the leaker of the pentagon papers and agreed that it was 'insane' for journalists to be charged for leaking intel. These are reasonable viewpoints, imho, but antithesis to the role she's being confirmed for.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Right, more curious your personal thoughts. I didn't know much about Todd Young until looking up things for this market.

0

Justifax

2 months ago

The lessons of incidents such as New Orleans and 911 is that, unfortunately, you need an aggressive DNI. Tulsi Gabbard met with the leaker of the pentagon papers and agreed that it was 'insane' for journalists to be charged for leaking intel. These are reasonable viewpoints, imho, but antithesis to the role she's being confirmed for.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Question for you, out of curiosity, do you think Todd Young will advance her in committee? Same with Collins?

0

Justifax

2 months ago

The lessons of incidents such as New Orleans and 911 is that, unfortunately, you need an aggressive DNI. Tulsi Gabbard met with the leaker of the pentagon papers and agreed that it was 'insane' for journalists to be charged for leaking intel. These are reasonable viewpoints, imho, but antithesis to the role she's being confirmed for.

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Just a desperate half-exiled Dem politician who has very few options to weasel his way out of some felony convictions while also seeking re-election as NYC mayor with terrible, declining approval ratings. He embodied all the principles Trump rejects up until the point of desperation. He has mocked Trump in the past, staffers called Trump a fascist. Trump seems to tongue-in-cheek say things to the effect of "I guess he really likes me now!" lol

0

BussyBlaster

2 months ago

Ver Nos still cheap. i price them around 0.97 right now given Musk (likely the sole champion of the cause) has confirmed it's not happening

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I was doing due diligence and researching Snowden + pardon and found articles about Trump looking into a Snowden pardon....in 2020 XD

2

its.just.fire

2 months ago

snowden....

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I looked at that yesterday. It has different rules. Read the clarification about who appoints her and how that will resolve to yes.

1

Kutra

2 months ago

Kari Lake trades above 50% for the last three weeks on another site that starts with a k. This is much more consistent with the available information than here.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Lol, I saw that and thought, "Here comes the dispute" :P

0

BitcoinLover69

2 months ago

Theres a typo in the rules. “rejects **her** nomination…”

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Did I finally crack the code?! lol

0

itsfine

2 months ago

Many will be scared to oppose tulsi due to fear of being mysoginist

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I feel like this is a hard market to scam? Are Team No whales US senators?

2

itsfine

2 months ago

Many will be scared to oppose tulsi due to fear of being mysoginist

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

He cannot formally nominate her either though. That is out of purview. He has given a glorified endorsement. This is even clear in credible sources.

0

Kutra

2 months ago

For Kari Lake, the VOA is part of the US Gov therefor the VOA counts as the rules state inclusion criteria "roles within the U.S. federal government." The process for VOA appointment is different as it is the VOA board that makes the appointment rather than the Senate process. Nothing in the rules states it is limited to Senate-affirmed roles. However, the criteria is nomination, so if the VOA officially considers appointing Kari Lake and it is published on official channels then it is a yes.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Sacks also, FWIW, will be operating as a special advisor within the government, and we are even debating him.

0

Kutra

2 months ago

For Kari Lake, the VOA is part of the US Gov therefor the VOA counts as the rules state inclusion criteria "roles within the U.S. federal government." The process for VOA appointment is different as it is the VOA board that makes the appointment rather than the Senate process. Nothing in the rules states it is limited to Senate-affirmed roles. However, the criteria is nomination, so if the VOA officially considers appointing Kari Lake and it is published on official channels then it is a yes.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

He cannot formally appoint her. There are multiple news articles that even point that out. He is giving a strong endorsement but in practice, he will not be the person appointing her. I've played these games enough on PM to know that won't qualify.

0

Kutra

2 months ago

For Kari Lake, the VOA is part of the US Gov therefor the VOA counts as the rules state inclusion criteria "roles within the U.S. federal government." The process for VOA appointment is different as it is the VOA board that makes the appointment rather than the Senate process. Nothing in the rules states it is limited to Senate-affirmed roles. However, the criteria is nomination, so if the VOA officially considers appointing Kari Lake and it is published on official channels then it is a yes.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Well, FWIW, it does says presidential appointments within the US Federal Government. The examples provided could be construed as being executive level only but its unclear to me if that is a definitive list. I think that's where this debate lies.

1

CrayonConnoisseur

2 months ago

Can somebody propose David Sacks YES? --- "The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels."

TikTok sale announced before April?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Isn't the app still off the app store??

0

RomanContee

2 months ago

TikTok sale announced before April? Generating... The White House is engaged in negotiations to facilitate the sale of TikTok, involving Oracle and U.S. investors to take control of the app's global operations. Under the proposed deal, ByteDance would retain a minority stake, while Oracle would oversee TikTok's algorithm, data collection, and software updates. This move is part of efforts to comply with a congressional law requiring TikTok to execute a "qualified divestiture" from ByteDance to continue operating in the U.S.[1][2][3].

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

A clarification would really help in regards to the rules where examples are given as what can qualify. If it's limited to the examples provided, as of now we would be toast, but if that is not an all encompassing list and SGEs can qualify, then we have a chance. I would like Polymarket to do that on behalf of my $750. Moment of silence. RIP.

1

CrayonConnoisseur

2 months ago

Can somebody propose David Sacks YES? --- "The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels."

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The point is that he cannot nominate her. It is not in his purview. Thoretically, the USAGM could select someone else, the board could reject her, and all that besides, this market is about presidential appointments. As I commented previously, if Sacks and Musk are debatable with the presidents appointment, Lake will certainly not qualify. She will not be a presidential appointment.

1

Kutra

2 months ago

For Kari Lake, the VOA is part of the US Gov therefor the VOA counts as the rules state inclusion criteria "roles within the U.S. federal government." The process for VOA appointment is different as it is the VOA board that makes the appointment rather than the Senate process. Nothing in the rules states it is limited to Senate-affirmed roles. However, the criteria is nomination, so if the VOA officially considers appointing Kari Lake and it is published on official channels then it is a yes.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The good news is that the consensus seemed to be P4 initially and not outright no, so there's that. I didn't even look at it since yesterday since that's highly likely the outcome.

2

CrayonConnoisseur

2 months ago

Can somebody propose David Sacks YES? --- "The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels."

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Broski, I did. It was disputed.

1

CrayonConnoisseur

2 months ago

Can somebody propose David Sacks YES? --- "The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels."

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Id caution you and suggest you read the comments about her there though and the timeline regarding confirmation of the person who would appoint her and the removal process of current VOA director to nominate her. No could still be viable if not completed in time.

0

boabossu

2 months ago

People keep doing this but comparing David Sacks situation to Elon Musk is inappropriate. For starters, in Elon musk's appointment announcement, Trump specifically said that Elon will be working outside the government(akin to outside advisor to DOGE). He did no such thing when he announced David Sacks position. In, he did the opposite, he said David Sacks "will be directing the administration policy on AI and crypto". Of course, Trump later clarified that he will be establishing DOGE inside the White House but that also doesn't negate the fact that Elon Musk could still work as an outside advisor to DOGE. Again, take into account the prior announcement of Elon and Vivek. David Sacks does not present the same degree of conflict of interest that Elon Musk presents. David is just a venture capitalist(investor) while Elon is actually running companies that regularly interact with the federal government and that could prevent him from working directly in the government because of the numerous conflict of interest. There are so many reasons why comparing Elon to David Sacks is so wrong and inept. For me, the final hint is the two executive orders on the AI and crypto thing. It should already resolve the issue about David Sacks.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

So it looks like no would be best option here, and yes on k

0

boabossu

2 months ago

People keep doing this but comparing David Sacks situation to Elon Musk is inappropriate. For starters, in Elon musk's appointment announcement, Trump specifically said that Elon will be working outside the government(akin to outside advisor to DOGE). He did no such thing when he announced David Sacks position. In, he did the opposite, he said David Sacks "will be directing the administration policy on AI and crypto". Of course, Trump later clarified that he will be establishing DOGE inside the White House but that also doesn't negate the fact that Elon Musk could still work as an outside advisor to DOGE. Again, take into account the prior announcement of Elon and Vivek. David Sacks does not present the same degree of conflict of interest that Elon Musk presents. David is just a venture capitalist(investor) while Elon is actually running companies that regularly interact with the federal government and that could prevent him from working directly in the government because of the numerous conflict of interest. There are so many reasons why comparing Elon to David Sacks is so wrong and inept. For me, the final hint is the two executive orders on the AI and crypto thing. It should already resolve the issue about David Sacks.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I have zero experience with that platform, but they did issue a clarification: Clarification 12/14/24 3:00AM ET: President-elect Trump recently announced his intent to have Kari Lake to lead Voice of America. This position is properly appointed by the head of the US Agency for Global Media. If she is nominated for that position by that person before the target date (May 1, 2025), then the market will resolve to Yes. - For that market, the appointment does not have to come from Trump it appears.

0

boabossu

2 months ago

People keep doing this but comparing David Sacks situation to Elon Musk is inappropriate. For starters, in Elon musk's appointment announcement, Trump specifically said that Elon will be working outside the government(akin to outside advisor to DOGE). He did no such thing when he announced David Sacks position. In, he did the opposite, he said David Sacks "will be directing the administration policy on AI and crypto". Of course, Trump later clarified that he will be establishing DOGE inside the White House but that also doesn't negate the fact that Elon Musk could still work as an outside advisor to DOGE. Again, take into account the prior announcement of Elon and Vivek. David Sacks does not present the same degree of conflict of interest that Elon Musk presents. David is just a venture capitalist(investor) while Elon is actually running companies that regularly interact with the federal government and that could prevent him from working directly in the government because of the numerous conflict of interest. There are so many reasons why comparing Elon to David Sacks is so wrong and inept. For me, the final hint is the two executive orders on the AI and crypto thing. It should already resolve the issue about David Sacks.

TikTok sale announced before April?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Ah, I see, I saw some activity for no go up around the time people started sharing the articles, even if it was a few days old, so thought that may have triggered some of the rise for no

1

judge

2 months ago

almost wanna ape another bag in here, how its this low is crazy

TikTok sale announced before April?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

No no I am saying that won't happen lol I imagine there will be a sale.

0

judge

2 months ago

almost wanna ape another bag in here, how its this low is crazy

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I think the Four Seasons...Total Landscaping presser was the start of his demise tbh. 😂

2

BalkanDwarf

2 months ago

There is zero chance he pardons rudy giuliani. He already said in speech that he hopes they lock him up?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Assad is a sad rn. :/

0

itsfine

2 months ago

Tulsi nomination at risk due to romantic relations with Putin and Snowden. Makes u think

TikTok sale announced before April?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

A board member said something and a few outlets reported they were looking at options outside of sale and people are running with that even though that is entirely contradictory to the law. If we think Congress is going to amend the law before the app is completely devoid of functionality, I have a bridge to sell you. :)

0

judge

2 months ago

almost wanna ape another bag in here, how its this low is crazy

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

It would be nice though if Polymarket could clarify that the list is all inclusive and not just some examples. I paid some internet rando $750 for a clarification, goddammit! XD lol

1

boabossu

2 months ago

People keep doing this but comparing David Sacks situation to Elon Musk is inappropriate. For starters, in Elon musk's appointment announcement, Trump specifically said that Elon will be working outside the government(akin to outside advisor to DOGE). He did no such thing when he announced David Sacks position. In, he did the opposite, he said David Sacks "will be directing the administration policy on AI and crypto". Of course, Trump later clarified that he will be establishing DOGE inside the White House but that also doesn't negate the fact that Elon Musk could still work as an outside advisor to DOGE. Again, take into account the prior announcement of Elon and Vivek. David Sacks does not present the same degree of conflict of interest that Elon Musk presents. David is just a venture capitalist(investor) while Elon is actually running companies that regularly interact with the federal government and that could prevent him from working directly in the government because of the numerous conflict of interest. There are so many reasons why comparing Elon to David Sacks is so wrong and inept. For me, the final hint is the two executive orders on the AI and crypto thing. It should already resolve the issue about David Sacks.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Yes, I read your arguments and I think you have a spot on interpretation. I guess, and perhaps to my own peril, felt the EOs regarding Musk and Sacks could qualify those positions. If SGEs don't qualify, so be it and I see some people in Musk's dispute saying that perhaps that could resolve yes. But, if we are debating those technicalities, there is virtually no chance Lake qualifies.

1

hulu

2 months ago

If Kari Lake market is determined by whether Trump himself appoints her then what is the meaning of this market? Word game?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I think the comparison is they have both been reported to be Special Government Employees and whether or not that will qualify for this market

0

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Both Musk and Sacks will likely resolve as P4 too early for initial proposals. I think one thing that should be clarified is if a Special Government Employee will qualify as a part of the administration and if the "such as" list is definitive and complete when referring to applicable titles/roles that qualify. It would also help to know if only senior policy advisors will qualify and not others who will take on a general advisory role. In Sacks case, there are 3 executive orders that recognize his title as Special Advisor for AI and Crypto (Digital assets, AI, and PCAST EOs) as a newly created role and the operative function. I can see arguments for both sides as the rules are written. Clarification would help. :)

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Yes, international is a better word choice, but it doesn't change the premise about a presidential appointment and if the market is based on explicit technicalities, her role won't meet the market criteria.

0

hulu

2 months ago

If Kari Lake market is determined by whether Trump himself appoints her then what is the meaning of this market? Word game?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Hey I agree with you, I submitted the proposal request but it will be not be resolved right now from what I can see I’d

0

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Both Musk and Sacks will likely resolve as P4 too early for initial proposals. I think one thing that should be clarified is if a Special Government Employee will qualify as a part of the administration and if the "such as" list is definitive and complete when referring to applicable titles/roles that qualify. It would also help to know if only senior policy advisors will qualify and not others who will take on a general advisory role. In Sacks case, there are 3 executive orders that recognize his title as Special Advisor for AI and Crypto (Digital assets, AI, and PCAST EOs) as a newly created role and the operative function. I can see arguments for both sides as the rules are written. Clarification would help. :)

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Yup, I switched sides, she hasn't even took the time to meet with all the GOP senators.

0

wyn

2 months ago

Majormalfunction just malfunctioned. Sold 6000 shares @29c. Damn should have had more orders in!!! I stand tall by my opinion that Tulsi will get confirmed. I even think there’s a possibility that Mcconnell will vote y for Tulsi!!!

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I think Ronald makes a good argument for no if you read through the comments. Trump saying she will lead is a strong suggestion. VOA is not administration. It's a federally US-funded foreign media outlet. If Musk and Sacks are debatable, Lake has a even far worse odds of being considered.

0

hulu

2 months ago

If Kari Lake market is determined by whether Trump himself appoints her then what is the meaning of this market? Word game?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Trump cannot officially appoint her. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/12/12/media/kari-lake-voa-trump/index.html

0

hulu

2 months ago

If Kari Lake market is determined by whether Trump himself appoints her then what is the meaning of this market? Word game?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Too early to conclude - So, not an outright no, but looking for more information, likely evidence of Musk operatively in the role, to determine outcome.

0

Big.Balls

2 months ago

What is P4?

TikTok sale announced before April?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The value of Tiktok will go up bigly like no one has ever seen in the history of the tech industry. You wouldn't even believe it.

0

dimmas

2 months ago

ByteDance board member ‘optimistic’ TikTok will find non-sale options in US, report says

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Goodbye $750. I am just saying I can see both sides. I didn't realize Elon was in dispute when I made that mistake. Neither market show it was proposed.

0

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Both Musk and Sacks will likely resolve as P4 too early for initial proposals. I think one thing that should be clarified is if a Special Government Employee will qualify as a part of the administration and if the "such as" list is definitive and complete when referring to applicable titles/roles that qualify. It would also help to know if only senior policy advisors will qualify and not others who will take on a general advisory role. In Sacks case, there are 3 executive orders that recognize his title as Special Advisor for AI and Crypto (Digital assets, AI, and PCAST EOs) as a newly created role and the operative function. I can see arguments for both sides as the rules are written. Clarification would help. :)

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I understand your points, but this is Polymarket. These will resolve P4 pending additional information, whether we agree or not. A lot of markets hinge on technicalities. In fairness, I think PM should issue a clarification. I paid for the proposal BTW.

0

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Both Musk and Sacks will likely resolve as P4 too early for initial proposals. I think one thing that should be clarified is if a Special Government Employee will qualify as a part of the administration and if the "such as" list is definitive and complete when referring to applicable titles/roles that qualify. It would also help to know if only senior policy advisors will qualify and not others who will take on a general advisory role. In Sacks case, there are 3 executive orders that recognize his title as Special Advisor for AI and Crypto (Digital assets, AI, and PCAST EOs) as a newly created role and the operative function. I can see arguments for both sides as the rules are written. Clarification would help. :)

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

You are very smart

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

David sacks is solved too. https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/strengthening-american-leadership-in-digital-financial-technology/ The position ocupied by him is senior advisor as sad in the trump document.

TikTok sale announced before April?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

If I must :D

0

judge

2 months ago

any new news or just reg volatility?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

If SGEs won't qualify per rules and intent, then Sacks and Musk will be out. In that case, I am wrong and that's fine. LEMME KNOW POLYMARKET. XD

0

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Both Musk and Sacks will likely resolve as P4 too early for initial proposals. I think one thing that should be clarified is if a Special Government Employee will qualify as a part of the administration and if the "such as" list is definitive and complete when referring to applicable titles/roles that qualify. It would also help to know if only senior policy advisors will qualify and not others who will take on a general advisory role. In Sacks case, there are 3 executive orders that recognize his title as Special Advisor for AI and Crypto (Digital assets, AI, and PCAST EOs) as a newly created role and the operative function. I can see arguments for both sides as the rules are written. Clarification would help. :)

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Both Musk and Sacks will likely resolve as P4 too early for initial proposals. I think one thing that should be clarified is if a Special Government Employee will qualify as a part of the administration and if the "such as" list is definitive and complete when referring to applicable titles/roles that qualify. It would also help to know if only senior policy advisors will qualify and not others who will take on a general advisory role. In Sacks case, there are 3 executive orders that recognize his title as Special Advisor for AI and Crypto (Digital assets, AI, and PCAST EOs) as a newly created role and the operative function. I can see arguments for both sides as the rules are written. Clarification would help. :)

2

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I know you commented on another thread that it makes him an advisor, not a senior advisor, but that EO does state that his position Trump nominated him to is a federal appointment in contrast with the remaining members.

1

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

This is what Sacks will have to fall under if you look at the examples in the rules. The examples do not include "etc" at the end, meaning that those examples are the only things the qualify. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senior_Advisor_to_the_President_of_the_United_States

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

His position is referenced in one of three relevant EOs as a federal appointment as a member of PCAST. As the EO reads, the Special Advisor for AI/Crypto and the APST are federal appointees while the remaining members are non-federal.

1

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

This is what Sacks will have to fall under if you look at the examples in the rules. The examples do not include "etc" at the end, meaning that those examples are the only things the qualify. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senior_Advisor_to_the_President_of_the_United_States

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

You know, what's interesting is I actaully was very much in the Elon no camp until Trump issued an EO, which I imagine fits the Elon yes argument, as that made the appointment a more formal designation. Prior to that, I would have viewed his position as one outside the fed. Perhaps that is how I arrived at my conclusion on Sacks lol

0

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

This is what Sacks will have to fall under if you look at the examples in the rules. The examples do not include "etc" at the end, meaning that those examples are the only things the qualify. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senior_Advisor_to_the_President_of_the_United_States

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Yup, I agree. Fair either way. Don't worry, I won't threaten to sue or call it a scam lmao

1

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

If you look at the examples given, the only thing Sack can fall under is "senior policy advisor," so yes should make that argument, which will be hard because that is an official government position, with a long history.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Perhaps its the special advisor in context that would make this a no. At most, I will prepare my reference page, state my argument and then it is what is lol I might take a couple notes from your neutrality in the interim XD

1

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

If you look at the examples given, the only thing Sack can fall under is "senior policy advisor," so yes should make that argument, which will be hard because that is an official government position, with a long history.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Sriram is the nomination for the science and tech, Sacks is the special advisor for AI and crypto

0

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

If you look at the examples given, the only thing Sack can fall under is "senior policy advisor," so yes should make that argument, which will be hard because that is an official government position, with a long history.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

None of the orders state names, only titles, likely because those indiividuals can change

0

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

If you look at the examples given, the only thing Sack can fall under is "senior policy advisor," so yes should make that argument, which will be hard because that is an official government position, with a long history.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The Assistant to the President for Science and Technology (APST) and the Special Advisor for AI & Crypto shall be members of the PCAST. - From the order, the latter.

0

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

If you look at the examples given, the only thing Sack can fall under is "senior policy advisor," so yes should make that argument, which will be hard because that is an official government position, with a long history.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Right, this executive order was what I thought provided further evidence he was in a formal position as a member of PCAST with remaining members being non-federal members https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/presidents-council-of-advisors-on-science-and-technology/ His position is cited.

0

TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP

2 months ago

If you look at the examples given, the only thing Sack can fall under is "senior policy advisor," so yes should make that argument, which will be hard because that is an official government position, with a long history.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Ooh, I thought that needed to be disputed a second time, why would anyone ever do it twice? lol

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I did not consider the similarities after I viewed the documents and communications but I see the parallels now

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I wont dispute again, I guess Elon can play out and if someone cares enough they can propose. Left lots of goodies for citation in the comments if someone care enough to follow up.

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

So my only option would be to propose again, to likely be disputed again, and then see what UMA says, yes?

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Lol WELP I tried

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Also this https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/presidents-council-of-advisors-on-science-and-technology/ - directly references Sacks position as Special Advisor for AI/Crypto - This EO delineates between federal appointments and non-federal members as part of PCAST and seems Sacks would fall under the former.

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Its all good either way. Thats actually my first proposal ever and I wouldn't have done so if I didn't think I had a fair argument. But, I also know this process can be challenging. The one thing I know deep down is Tiktok was banned. XD Thanks for chatting and relaying to me. I wish I could chat on the discord but maybe better its objective separately from me anyways.

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

It may come down to semantics but I have built a reference list in the interim lol

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Didn't he assemble many of his intended appointments prior to taking office?

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Or serve as the leader, whatever that means XD

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Then I guess my argument would be that he made that position official by executive order

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

December 05, 2024 I am pleased to announce that David O. Sacks will be the "White House A.I. & Crypto Czar." In this important role, David will guide policy for the Administration in Artificial Intelligence and Cryptocurrency, two areas critical to the future of American competitiveness. David will focus on making America the clear global leader in both areas. He will safeguard Free Speech online, and steer us away from Big Tech bias and censorship. He will work on a legal framework so the Crypto industry has the clarity it has been asking for, and can thrive in the U.S. David will also lead the Presidential Council of Advisors for Science and Technology. - He will serve as president per trump, https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/statement-president-elect-donald-j-trump-announcing-the-appointment-david-o-sacks-white

1

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I deleted my comments, because of the conflating articles with one citing he was an advisor and another saying one of two. Welp, its okay either way.

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I want to make sure I am posting accurate info, so I will reframe, isn't he part of the Science and Technology advisors?

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

The last thing I will say is the working group is titled, per EO, Establishment of the President‘s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets. I feel like its hard to argue they aren't part of the admin when the order says its the president's group. LOL

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Yup, we will see. If its a lesson learned, so be it. they should really put his name on the website though lol I did exactly what the commenter said and thought oh no, but the latest articles cite David Sacks as the chair in association with the title in the order.

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I did consider the price, but then I also looked at holders, and its true. No one gives a shit about David Sacks XD

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Well, his role is listed in the EO - not his name - and that is consistent with all the other officials in the EO. It just lists the position, likely because those individuals can change and appointed doesn't necessarily require a formal nomination nor confirmation process. There are numerous articles that discuss his appointment to the position listed in the EO.

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Sorry, want to rephrase - He will be the chair of the working group to advise on policies. The group also includes sec of commerce, sec of treasury, AG, etc. That can be found in the EO summaries.

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I can't comment on there, do I need be an UMA token holder to do so? Here are the two links to the executive order summaries from white house https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/strengthening-american-leadership-in-digital-financial-technology/ and https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/removing-barriers-to-american-leadership-in-artificial-intelligence/. I did try to search David Sacks name on the website and saw there was nothing, but the executive order reference the Special Advisor for AI and Crypto to be the Chair, and that is David Sacks per reporting.

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I will go on discord

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Welp, then I learn my lesson

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

LOL I fail to see why not.

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Oh of course. Duh. I knew that. Is that the only issue?

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Is the whole delay needing 750 in uma tokens and not some nefarious dispute waiting in the wings? lol

0

titimiquito

2 months ago

Nobody gave a shit to solve david sacks, thats the only reason hahahaha

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

I know this seems irrelevant, but he is the exact kind of politician that created a mess for Trump to clean up. I doubt a pardon comes easy. If it does, enjoy my funds :)

1

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Eric Adams wanted to pursue granting illegal immigrants voting rights in NYC. Lol.

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Adams used to be a republican and switched parties in 2001. I am pretty sure he recently said he will remain a Dem in an interview too but maybe said something different with Tucker Carlson. Have not viewed.

0

QQQ9000

2 months ago

With a carefully placed pat on the back and whisper of support at a charity dinner he got the mayor of NYC to completely turn on his base and think about switching parties completely. And you guys think he'll just give up the goods now? You guys must all be liberals thinking Trump is dumber than college bimbo willing to give it up on the first date.

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Eric Adams wanted to pursue granting illegal immigrants voting rights in NYC. Lol.

1

Will TikTok be banned again before May?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Where are my children?

0

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

You guys don’t even understand what ban means

2

maxke

2 months ago

This is so robbed! Ban polymarket

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

They also concluded TikTok was banned, didn’t they? Same market.

2

johnnywin

2 months ago

use (Kal-shi), instead of polymarket.

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

Everyone conflated in effect with enforcement

1

Darktree

2 months ago

The statement is "banned for download", which is true. Not just simply "banned". Also : "On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order delaying the **enforcement** of the TikTok ban by 75 days to allow for further negotiations and potential resolution. Despite this reprieve, TikTok has not been restored to U.S. app stores, and its operational status remains uncertain". It talks about "enforcement". So the YES outcome is technically correct.

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

That’s your interpretation. That’s not how the law interprets it. In effect means the effective date. This was a market of legalities. I tried to warn everyone a million times.

2

Darktree

2 months ago

The statement is "banned for download", which is true. Not just simply "banned". Also : "On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order delaying the **enforcement** of the TikTok ban by 75 days to allow for further negotiations and potential resolution. Despite this reprieve, TikTok has not been restored to U.S. app stores, and its operational status remains uncertain". It talks about "enforcement". So the YES outcome is technically correct.

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Meow.Zedong

2 months ago

that happened to someone else in australia yesterday, new laws or anything?

0

ecstatic

2 months ago

**does anyone know why my account is moved into "closed only mode" need help pls**

Trudeau out in 2025?

Meow.Zedong

3 months ago

lmao

1

pixls

3 months ago

Reading the title, I first assumed it was referring to him coming out as a homosexual which I can confirm is a BIG YES. Always read market rules to avoid mishaps like this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gzbLClVAA3o

Trudeau out in 2025?

Meow.Zedong

3 months ago

Congratulations Canada!

2

Super Bowl Champion 2025

Meow.Zedong

3 months ago

I definitely like them better than the Chiefs. If they exploit their opponents' weakness like they did Vikings tonight, they will be one to watch. I still like Bills but that's probably because they were the only team to defeat both KC and Detroit this season

1

dingus9999999

3 months ago

honestly too easy for the boys in blue

What price will Bitcoin hit by March 31?

Meow.Zedong

3 months ago

Ahh yes but one dump and we're cooked haha

0

TheQuant

3 months ago

90k not happening. Buy those succulent 15c shares.

What price will Bitcoin hit by March 31?

Meow.Zedong

3 months ago

Feel like you gotta be okay with losing it with this bet, but fine. Iam in

0

TheQuant

3 months ago

90k not happening. Buy those succulent 15c shares.

What price will Bitcoin hit by March 31?

Meow.Zedong

3 months ago

Its all bots. Just look at the books lol

0

wefan

3 months ago

Hello anybody here?

U.S. Government shutdown before 2025?

Meow.Zedong

3 months ago

Yes. A handful, literally, of whales decide disputes

0

SSander

3 months ago

Two unknown wallets own 62% of UMA coin btw

U.S. Government shutdown before 2025?

Meow.Zedong

3 months ago

Lol people are still commenting here

3

NFL MVP

Meow.Zedong

3 months ago

Yup, I thought about that yesterday 4th quarter during the game when they took him out 40-0 against the Jets. Less time, less opportunity to drive his stats. They also beat both KC and DL ending their franchise win records. Allen may not be the best on paper, but I think he is the better choice. We shall see!

1

lilsponge

3 months ago

Top 2 passer rating in a season in nfl history, plus potentially 1k rushing yards, 40+ td’s, etc. Avg cost of 5.6% two weeks ago. Holding and have a limit buy open

NFL MVP

Meow.Zedong

3 months ago

Pundits seem to point out that Derrick Henry has a substantial influence on the team as well, whereas Allen seems to carry the team more than Jackson, more of an MVP. It would be wild to give it to Jackson for a third time, though objectively he has better stats.

1

lilsponge

3 months ago

Top 2 passer rating in a season in nfl history, plus potentially 1k rushing yards, 40+ td’s, etc. Avg cost of 5.6% two weeks ago. Holding and have a limit buy open

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

I personally don't think he will drop out all that willingly. However, that sexual assault allegation with supporting medical and police reports, even if no charges were filed, may prove detrimental. I also think there's a lot of apprehension about his experience in such a role despite his extensive military background

1

supertantrum

4 months ago

Are people thinking Hegseth is going to drop out like Gaetz? Wishing I waited a day for these prices smh

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

Mark Levin discussed how absurd Trump's first term was when it came to confirmations. He had the most nominations rejected or delayed in modern history. Perhaps the Senate will operate a little differently this time around, but there are many obstructionist. He may have to resort to recess appts.

2

I.Like.MommyTulsi

4 months ago

If Trump withdraw RFK jr, Tulsi and Hegseth might as well as just let Kamala form her cabinet and Trump concede defeat (it will never happen)

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

I feel like you had to dig to find that but thats fucking hilarious

1

MasterMindful

4 months ago

Why's tulsi crashing that hard

Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

This is how it starts https://x.com/RedWave_Press/status/1860041107020874185

1

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

It been there

0

Lazertuiyope

4 months ago

it's at 1,6 % now. I guess i might win this !!!

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

I was holding both sides. 160k isnt happening

0

SOMON

4 months ago

Do you know why people sell? The trend is still very much in our favor. Only we need +160k net votes for Harris.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

THIS. A constitutional representative democracy is designed to protect the minority from the tyranny of the majority.

0

Justifax

4 months ago

One thing I've realized via this exercise is how dumb PV is. All it takes is some cultish population that is like +80 or something to overpower the vote of say another population that is 20x in size but only +4

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

Will it be as expected as dems winning the popular vote?

0

Astera

4 months ago

Now for the slow grind that will test out the resolve of some to hold onto their positions and to second guess their calculations, but history shows that this is to be expected in that we’ll only be dripped vote counts for some time yet. I’ve been using the pullback as opportunities to top up my position as see it as great value even at this price.

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

Imagine if Trump picked Matt Gaetz knowing how controversial it would be, Gaetz resigns knowing he was duly elected for the 119th congress and legal counsel told him he could resign and still be eligible for his seat. Gaetz pulls himself from the running and suddenly RFK and Gabbard don't seem so extreme. Even Hegseth. That's 4D chess.

3

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

No he wont.

1

zizar3

4 months ago

Why isn't Matt Gaetz resolved?

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

Yup, Pam Bondi

1

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

I am great :D

0

🤺JustPunched

4 months ago

Dang, I really thought Gaetz would get the job

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

You wrote on essay on X about your investigation into Fredi and he won 50 mil and was right about everything. hahahahahahaha

2

🤺JustPunched

4 months ago

Dang, I really thought Gaetz would get the job

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

Clayton is at 100% boys, wrap it up XD

0

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

...the FBI can't come for you. There's no Americans here, remember?

1

Justifax

4 months ago

So, yeah, everything is fine. No scams here. Just ignore the FBI doing a 6am raid on the CEO of poly.

CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

Better off withdrawing my funds and investing it in BTC at this point. The return is faster lol

0

mase03

4 months ago

John Duarte leads Adam Gray by just 227 votes (50.06% to 49.94%) with over 95% of the total vote counted. Most of the uncounted votes are from Merced (93% reported, about 5,475 votes left) and San Joaquin (94% reported, about 852 votes left), both areas where Gray is favored. If the remaining votes follow current trends (+3 in Merced and +7 in San Joaquin), Gray could gain 164 votes from Merced and 60 from San Joaquin, a total of 224 votes. This would leave him just 3 votes behind Duarte. Gray has a very narrow path to victory. To win, he would need to outperform his current margins in either Merced or San Joaquin, or benefit from any underreporting of outstanding votes. However, based on the current numbers, Duarte remains the slight favorite, though any small change in the final counts could shift the outcome.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

The rules here say senate must confirm. So that would resolve no if a recess appt. There is another market that includes recess appts.

3

0xe526841015DED5086Fc240d1A8BF5ACCB27e7637-1731964755491

4 months ago

If Gaetz is recess-appointed will that count as him being confirmed? No, right?

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

Hahah I saw the price and thought of you immediately

2

Mbrace888

4 months ago

Would you look at that. Now converging to 50/50 after bonehead ridiculed the notion below.

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

:D

1

Itxking

5 months ago

Can someone tip me 1 to 2 dollars it will make my day thank you

CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)

Meow.Zedong

4 months ago

Duarte +3 would be quite the setting for a recount lol

1

mase03

4 months ago

John Duarte leads Adam Gray by just 227 votes (50.06% to 49.94%) with over 95% of the total vote counted. Most of the uncounted votes are from Merced (93% reported, about 5,475 votes left) and San Joaquin (94% reported, about 852 votes left), both areas where Gray is favored. If the remaining votes follow current trends (+3 in Merced and +7 in San Joaquin), Gray could gain 164 votes from Merced and 60 from San Joaquin, a total of 224 votes. This would leave him just 3 votes behind Duarte. Gray has a very narrow path to victory. To win, he would need to outperform his current margins in either Merced or San Joaquin, or benefit from any underreporting of outstanding votes. However, based on the current numbers, Duarte remains the slight favorite, though any small change in the final counts could shift the outcome.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

*Thousand - can’t delete comments on my phone. Annoying

0

Mbrace888

5 months ago

I am just seeing things? Votes keep getting counted by the hundreds of thousands, but the needle hardly moves from 1.7%.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

That’s not a few thoughts votes. That’s millions. lol

0

Mbrace888

5 months ago

I am just seeing things? Votes keep getting counted by the hundreds of thousands, but the needle hardly moves from 1.7%.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

I adore Cata Truss

0

Fortuna777

5 months ago

Jesus, Illinois shifted hard to the right this year

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

A lot of it coming from Chicago too. Major migrant concerns

0

Fortuna777

5 months ago

Jesus, Illinois shifted hard to the right this year

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

lol what are you talking about with beyond senate approval. If it will not be a recess appt…

1

NoNoiseKnifeOnly

5 months ago

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/18/us/politics/trump-cabinet.html Gaetz May Not Be Confirmed, Trump Admits. He’s Pushing Him and Others Anyway.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Already there lol Ty

0

top453

5 months ago

11.14, votes 148799256, margin 2.4%; 11.15, votes 152027079, margin 1.9%; 11.16, votes 152841482, margin 1.75%; 11.17, votes 153047394, margin 1.74%; 11.18, votes 153125656, margin 1.74%; 11.19, votes 153423299, margin 1.708%.

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

So 1.4 mil votes from 11.15 to today moved the margin 0.2 and there's maybe 2 mil votes left. Gonna be tight either way.

0

top453

5 months ago

11.14, votes 148799256, margin 2.4%; 11.15, votes 152027079, margin 1.9%; 11.16, votes 152841482, margin 1.75%; 11.17, votes 153047394, margin 1.74%; 11.18, votes 153125656, margin 1.74%; 11.19, votes 153423299, margin 1.708%.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Pretty sure “within the federal govt” qualifies as a fed gov employee. You can GTFOOH now

0

batitombo

5 months ago

I think Elon should resolve 50/50. Not clear enough in the resolution and it has a lot of confusion.

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

XD

0

NoNoiseKnifeOnly

5 months ago

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/18/us/politics/trump-cabinet.html Gaetz May Not Be Confirmed, Trump Admits. He’s Pushing Him and Others Anyway.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Senior advisors as in the context of federal govt employees. Its not that complicated.

0

wejh69

5 months ago

How is DOGE not an appointment?

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Will Elon be employed by the federal govt as a federal govt employee? If the answer is no, thats the answer.

2

batitombo

5 months ago

I think Elon should resolve 50/50. Not clear enough in the resolution and it has a lot of confusion.

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Do not need confirmation per rules

0

Spartan37

5 months ago

Do these individually close? If so, why aren't ones like Rubio closing?

# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

This market is trending in a direction that defies logic and deductive reasoning. But why?

2

CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

4447 vote margin? Def 349 now. But I will say, based on the ap forecasting - Im not seeing the circles signifying the volume of votes remaining. They had to receive mail ins by 7 days out from election so theoretically there should not be an influx of votes. Questioning if anything is even remaining. No update in hours. Steel may have this

0

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

349 patriots holding the line xD everything is fine

CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

349 patriots holding the line xD everything is fine

6

CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Sounds gay

0

UndefeatedElectionForecaster

5 months ago

https://x.com/CATargetBot0001/status/1856502846188847136 tran train LFG

CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Looks like Dems found some ballots! Arghhhh

4

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

A check mark that Elon probably gave himself no less. lol

0

TanOri

5 months ago

The said outside government to avoid legal complications, but obviously trump appointed Elon and doge will be a huge part of his administration and white house

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Okay, so when this goes to UMA your argument will be -I know thats not what they said but I know, obviously, they meant government position- and, for others, noting they have a check mark on X? That sounds ridiculous, thoroughly.

0

TanOri

5 months ago

The said outside government to avoid legal complications, but obviously trump appointed Elon and doge will be a huge part of his administration and white house

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Outside of the government sounds like its not an official govt role

0

prasen5542

5 months ago

Wikipedia says its likely to be a component of office of president or presidential commission- in both cases it qualifies as part of federal government and its also going to be funded by the US federal government (just confirmed by Elon in X)

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

They said, and I quote, -fuck you, Elon

1

0xbe947591e9E5dd48433aa48Bd4A1B79e3f65560B-1728928775354

5 months ago

Never bet against Elon musk and he endorsed Scott the senators will take notice

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Now

0

yourrapist1776

5 months ago

Scott out thune and cornyn advance

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Live news coverage on fox

2

yourrapist1776

5 months ago

Scott out thune and cornyn advance

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

What is the correlation here? The NO argument for Trump coin was a terrible one, notably that Trump wasnt part of the -technical deployment- of the token. The NO holders were writing their own rules not explicitly stated. Similarly, the rules here explicitly state roles -within the US federal gov-. In regards to Elon and Vivek, these consultant type positions Trump created are not federal govt roles and he has explicitly stated they will be outside of the govt.

8

TanOri

5 months ago

Since trump coin resolved yes, doge should likewise, but an argument could be made on both sides. This is why prediction markets suck

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Truth

1

Stavros-Jenkins

5 months ago

The real story is the acronym. Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Yeah but she went on that rage campaign about a stolen election and idk - gives naggy step mother vibes

1

ProudVirgin

5 months ago

Kari Lake got 48.8% of maricopa two years ago, in a maga coattails presidential year she is currently performing worse with 46.9% (69 lol)

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Hope some of you Kamala losers were able to reclaim some of your losses

3

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

lol what? Almost every county in America shifted right

0

Slan

5 months ago

It's really annoying this far left scum gets elected to the Senate in ARIZONA in a RED WAVE year. Fuck. He's basically an open borders Bernie type candidate. That's just ridiculous.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

I agree this is a candidate problem as well

3

Slan

5 months ago

Fucking incompetent Arizona GOP. 2 winnable races lost due to a bad candidate Lake. She should not have ran again this time, losers should not run.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Its been that pretty consistently for the past 24 hours

0

FUENTES

5 months ago

Breaking 🚨 Kari Lake has closed to within (34,361) votes of Ruben Gallego in the Arizona Senate race

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Ruben is rubbish!

1

Jord

5 months ago

Kari sisters..............

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Dear Jord

0

Jord

5 months ago

Kari sisters..............

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

I prefer Heisenbergs

0

FUENTES

5 months ago

Discovering this market is the worst thing that has happened to me, it's so painful to follow

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Oh hes dumping alright

1

FUENTES

5 months ago

Discovering this market is the worst thing that has happened to me, it's so painful to follow

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Sometimes I say fuck it and light my money on fire too

1

FEEND

5 months ago

Coping so hard I wanna buy more

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Constantly shitting your pants?

1

FUENTES

5 months ago

Discovering this market is the worst thing that has happened to me, it's so painful to follow

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

It took Mohave like 18 hours to count 6k votes XD

2

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Where do you guys see the batches of ballots dropping.

1

david689314

5 months ago

FYI, she's falling behind, not getting ahead. https://x.com/datarepublican/status/1855392603786875054?s=46

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Mohave 4% drop?

0

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Yeah I really think she is just not a highly likable character

2

RaphBot

5 months ago

She lost in 2020 with fraud in arizona right ?

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

I thought he meant Dems stealing Kari Lake seat.

0

Comebackkid

5 months ago

Sars, I capitulaed 1.5l shares to hedge with house majority in case the dems pull off a steal

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Ohhh yeah nah brah its Republican 100%

0

Comebackkid

5 months ago

Sars, I capitulaed 1.5l shares to hedge with house majority in case the dems pull off a steal

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

lol I know right. The house has R+3 on its expected 218 seat with 5 more in play beyond that have stayed red during count. Over 50% counted. The house is Republican.

0

Comebackkid

5 months ago

Sars, I capitulaed 1.5l shares to hedge with house majority in case the dems pull off a steal

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

House majority will fail??

0

Comebackkid

5 months ago

Sars, I capitulaed 1.5l shares to hedge with house majority in case the dems pull off a steal

Who will be inaugurated as President?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Liberalism appears to often be accompanied by mental illness and personality disorders. The Democrat mainstream media crew are fucking nuts.

2

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

I am new here since August. Wish I found this sooner!

1

aenews2

5 months ago

Where did all the Lake buyers here come from? Are you MAGA money? Curious. Personally, been here since 2021. How about you?

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

You have been hanging out in the comment section of the AZ Senate Election since 2021? That is dedication.

5

aenews2

5 months ago

Where did all the Lake buyers here come from? Are you MAGA money? Curious. Personally, been here since 2021. How about you?

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

The probability is low.

0

Spartan37

5 months ago

I cannot even imagine being dumb enough to buy Gallego yes at 90% right now. Horrible, horrible odds given the outstanding ballots.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Agree

1

Spartan37

5 months ago

I cannot even imagine being dumb enough to buy Gallego yes at 90% right now. Horrible, horrible odds given the outstanding ballots.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Factual

0

aenews2

5 months ago

If you're still buying Lake here, I suggest you put an end to your suffering and move on.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Is counting a 24 hr operation in AZ? If no, why the fuck not

1

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Ballz to the Walz. Love school shooters

0

aenews2

5 months ago

Trading against MAGAts is like taking candy from a baby

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Where did Reuben shares go???

0

aenews2

5 months ago

I told you so!

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Brah I see your shares lmao

0

mona.lisa

5 months ago

BREAKING: Lake will lose. Remember, I was right about the general election popular vote. Thank me later!

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

You were smug and loud and wrong

2

mona.lisa

5 months ago

BREAKING: Lake will lose. Remember, I was right about the general election popular vote. Thank me later!

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

No you werent. You were wrong. You lost.

2

mona.lisa

5 months ago

BREAKING: Lake will lose. Remember, I was right about the general election popular vote. Thank me later!

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Hahaha I identify with this more

0

Yanoya4sure

5 months ago

Confused, dry, driving on the shoulder, wilting

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Youll be maricoping soooon

1

zero96

5 months ago

https://x.com/nomoresilence80/status/1855053347860185457 52,51% of the remaining vote isnt impossible considering thats pretty much Trump's lead %

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Okay, when I started paying closer attention I thought it was around 35-36 a couple hours ago. I know it was 60 yesterday :)

0

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Has the margin been 35k votes with all of these incremental gains?

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

The most recent ones I means. The last few hours.

0

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Has the margin been 35k votes with all of these incremental gains?

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Has the margin been 35k votes with all of these incremental gains?

0

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Dare I say is misogyny XD I sound like a libbbbb

0

REEEEEEEEEE

5 months ago

Trump winning by over 6 points. I don't see how a Senate candidate can lose with coattails that huge. Anyone think more than 6% of AZ split their ticket? Because that's what Gallego people are betting on.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

I feel like she turned off a lot of voters with her stolen election claims when she ran for governor. I know Trump has made similar claims but I was under the impression this had some effect on favorability

0

REEEEEEEEEE

5 months ago

Trump winning by over 6 points. I don't see how a Senate candidate can lose with coattails that huge. Anyone think more than 6% of AZ split their ticket? Because that's what Gallego people are betting on.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

I still think she has a good chance of winning but I am not surprised she is trailing

0

REEEEEEEEEE

5 months ago

Trump winning by over 6 points. I don't see how a Senate candidate can lose with coattails that huge. Anyone think more than 6% of AZ split their ticket? Because that's what Gallego people are betting on.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Yes, I do. Lake is kind of less popular I think to some degree. Also, I do think some people split tickets to try to neutralize govt so they cant do anything. Most people want govt to do less

0

REEEEEEEEEE

5 months ago

Trump winning by over 6 points. I don't see how a Senate candidate can lose with coattails that huge. Anyone think more than 6% of AZ split their ticket? Because that's what Gallego people are betting on.

Arizona Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

I dunno bro. You said Walz won the debate. Hard to trust your judgment now

6

Supeg

5 months ago

Woah Lake actually gained again in the Pima drop. How is this still 15 cents lol.

Wisconsin Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Bummer!

0

Who will be inaugurated as President?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Has anyone checked on JustScam?

0

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

She is below 60% statewide. For every 10 ballots, 4 are Trumps. It isnt possible

0

HottWeelz

5 months ago

California isn't done counting... only 3M away at 54%

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Same I bought both even though I felt RR was in reach. The RD camp was loud and so so so certain

2

washedaio

5 months ago

This was suppose to be a yolo bet that wasent gunna hit smh

How many swing states will Trump win?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

You too!

1

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Michigan called for Trump. He will win 7

How many swing states will Trump win?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Michigan called for Trump. He will win 7

4

How many swing states will Trump win?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

lol

0

Andre17000

5 months ago

voring no on 7 swing states is free money.

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

A time machine

0

miaumiua

5 months ago

what has to happen that the Dems win the Popularity Vote?

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Lmao

0

ATT

5 months ago

Thanks for free money MAGATS who cant MATH

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Cali will have shifted to the right though. I really think hes got this and I bet on both

0

EnderN

5 months ago

Yeah trump win was a given, but popular vote too? I can't believe I am rooting for Kamala

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Hes been leading popular vote all night

0

JewishGodFatherOfPennies

5 months ago

only 23% of total votes are counted lmaooo this black bitch gonna take popular vote RD is on sale

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

It will, don't worry. Markets been correcting itself this AM

0

JohnLennon

5 months ago

Sold all my RD and bought DD i think kamala takes it

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

#VoteDem for more of this. :)

0

Schmuck909

5 months ago

I will laugh so hard and even make some money for a coffee in California

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Hows a wall at 37 sound

0

Sardinianshepherd

5 months ago

please someone bring down that wall at 0.36 for RRR

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

*Laughs in -17k*

2

LordGB

5 months ago

Keep buying R win both ahahaha

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Eh, I think that’s oversold in the media but obviously to some degree you are correct about wokeness. The woke have managed to piss off many factions of society from parents with school aged kids to people who got booted from employment over a suboptimal mandatory vax to crime vics and their families etc etc. May not be as woke as you think.

1

ContrapunctusFerrum

5 months ago

I fucking sold all my R pres D pop at a loss. I've had a gut feeling from the beginning that Donald's gonna take the popular vote.

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Not to say RR isn’t also overpriced, it is. The DD is slightly undervalued because the other two are inflated.

0

ContrapunctusFerrum

5 months ago

I fucking sold all my R pres D pop at a loss. I've had a gut feeling from the beginning that Donald's gonna take the popular vote.

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Literally an 18% chance if he wins that he doesn’t get the popular vote. The RD is not the most favored outcome and it’s overpriced.

0

ContrapunctusFerrum

5 months ago

I fucking sold all my R pres D pop at a loss. I've had a gut feeling from the beginning that Donald's gonna take the popular vote.

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Isn’t it like an R+3 electorate, with independent lean R+6 as of latest Gallup poll?

0

ContrapunctusFerrum

5 months ago

Dear Lord, Please let millions and millions of illegals flood NY and CA and let them vote in the election

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Your points are spot on. RD is actually overpriced if you rely on 538 analyses to make an argument. People are thinking RD is given, likely assuming a Trump win influenced by 2016, 2020 history. The scatter plot showing the 1000 simulations gives a clear visual that if Trump wins, the majority of the wins include the popular vote, as you’ve pointed out 65% of the time.

0

Regalia

5 months ago

What's going on with R presidency D popular vote? Seems like the most likely option but it also has the lowest % of the reaslitic options?

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Ugh 18 in 100

0

Niklauss

5 months ago

Ill ride the R,D train, I believe this is def undervalued

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

I am not so sure myself now. After reading some comments and reading some analyses, currently Harris has a 1-in-100 chance of winning popular vote but losing electoral college. This would then be largely overpriced, no?

0

Niklauss

5 months ago

Ill ride the R,D train, I believe this is def undervalued

How many swing states will Trump win?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Personally, that’s one of the most guaranteed bets here. He’s going to win at least 1 swing state and probably more. So, IMO betting NO on 0 is a guaranteed return of appx 10%

4

gings

5 months ago

Can someone clarify me the resolution criteria, if trump wins atleast 1 swing state then 0 NO is win right?

How many swing states will Trump win?

Meow.Zedong

5 months ago

Yes. If he wins 1, then he doesn’t win 0, so NO resolves as the win for that bet.

1

gings

5 months ago

Can someone clarify me the resolution criteria, if trump wins atleast 1 swing state then 0 NO is win right?

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Because Rs win both is so high. Although there’s a lot of varying opinions, from impossible to probable, about Rs securing the popular vote. However, some reputable pollsters are predicting R popular vote, R presidency. It is a R+ electorate with an unpopular D candidate who is not doing as well is in deep blue states like NY like Dem candidates typically do.

0

babendums

6 months ago

why is r pres d pop so cheap? if trump is up on the main market, then this should be way higher

Pennsylvania Senate Election Winner

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Casey is touting his support for Trump policies in his latest ads y’all. What does that signal to you?

3

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Could very easily say you’re following the Democratic Party off a cliff but what do I know

1

cheezzydad

6 months ago

Y'all are following the Trump whales off a cliff. even if you want Trump to win, he's no better than a 50% chance and paying more than that just gives people like me free money. i don't mind that but i worry about you

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You seem like pros. Thanks for sharing comments. Been following along. Appreciate it.

1

Szty1

6 months ago

Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Do you guys do this bet every week? Holy hell it’s a complex one!

2

Szty1

6 months ago

Am I missing something? Isn't it 1.46, rounded up to 1.5? They might even remove Pew, which pushes it up even higher.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

*real clear polling realclearpolling

0

Clausevanderbooben

6 months ago

What am I missing ?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

This is based off the real clear politics polling average which averages a variety of polls on a rolling basis. The average is currently 1.5

0

Clausevanderbooben

6 months ago

What am I missing ?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I have been balancing my position in both and small profits either way

2

briccbybricc

6 months ago

has anybody done a hedge position with 1-1.4 and 1.5-1.9. If one of both comes losing money isn't an option.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Where do you gather this info that they are “over correcting”? Do they write a disclaimer like +2 for Trump at the bottom? 😂

1

Caligulas.dog

6 months ago

Because its not 2016 or 2020 anymore. Pollsters have swayed in the other direction and currently are overcorrecting for Trump like the did in the mid terms, where Republicans didn't even come remotely close to their predicted Red Wave.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Previous position. 🙃

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

lol I sold and now I am back at my

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

lol I sold and now I am back at my

0

Frozencomet

6 months ago

damn it feels good to have held when it fell to 1.3

Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

There’s different options on desktop😲

0

Rueben

6 months ago

it does not autocredit the negrisk like pi. However, you can convert no shares and it will give you YES shares in all the other brackets, which you can then limit sell (which is effectively bidding for buy No''s)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

—-fair, efficient, and resolute to you??? With this market specifically, I have to ask, why would anyone make a market about Trump deploying a token himself. The arguments are a reach, especially from a technical standpoint. If that was the market’s intent, it should have never went above 0. So, I do think YES is the answer but I also think the games played in this market are another perfect example of Polymarkets failures to create succinct rules for markets that make this platform enjoyable for everyone. And don’t even get me started on the fact that active share holders settle votes for disputes. That’s atrocious.

0

poly-murderers

6 months ago

fair enough if thta's what you are going for. i thought you were willing to discuss the frauds and act on it. don't you see the ineficiency unfolding in front of you with this market resolution?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Well, at the end of the day, I think this argument of “deployment” is a reach. HOWEVER , the problem here is really not bettors’ issue. Polymarket has numerous markets that leave too many definitions up to wide interpretations that create confusion and uncertainty and misunderstanding between users. Even worse, the dispute process is resolved by UMA and that voting process consists of a few active bettors here who hold the majority of the shares of UMA vote (Hey JustKen, KevinChan) - So, even if you feel you have a logically sound argument here, it actually doesn’t matter because those fuckers decide your fate at the end of the day and they have vested interests. Does that sound fair, efficient.

0

poly-murderers

6 months ago

fair enough if thta's what you are going for. i thought you were willing to discuss the frauds and act on it. don't you see the ineficiency unfolding in front of you with this market resolution?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Ahhh a hopeful September-Lebanon lad

0

MeNoDatNutReelMuni

6 months ago

This will change in 2 days everyone, lots to still do before that time

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Nvm —- I see you replied

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I dunno why there’s no reply either, but what poll was removed?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I dunno why there’s no reply either, but what poll was removed?

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I would like to know others thoughts. I closed the door on 1.5+ this morning. Bought more into 1-1.4 and 0.5-0.9. No other Yes holdings. Care to share? ☕️

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Hey thanks for sharing that!! New info for me actually. Appreciate you

1

badatthis

6 months ago

I'm gladly holdin my 1.5+ with these prices. Most people don't really understand how RCP avg changes, how polls are added and removed. You can see it by reading the comments.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Also, full disclosure, I know people shill their positions all the time. I have zero open orders here right now. That’s not to say I won’t panic but 1.5-1.9 to offset my losses at some point if I’m way wrong 😂 but i just wanted to have a chat since a lot of people seemed open to share a little bit in the comments 😊

1

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I would like to know others thoughts. I closed the door on 1.5+ this morning. Bought more into 1-1.4 and 0.5-0.9. No other Yes holdings. Care to share? ☕️

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Yup! That’s a gamble I was willing to take. I think she could peak back up but don’t think it will hold through Friday personally. Just my estimation. Not advice.

0

badatthis

6 months ago

I'm gladly holdin my 1.5+ with these prices. Most people don't really understand how RCP avg changes, how polls are added and removed. You can see it by reading the comments.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Thank you for sharing. I was going to hold onto my yes but made a split second decision to sell them at market price cause I never wanted them anyways 😂

0

badatthis

6 months ago

I'm gladly holdin my 1.5+ with these prices. Most people don't really understand how RCP avg changes, how polls are added and removed. You can see it by reading the comments.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I should add. My rationale is that is my initial two bets were heavy 1-1.4 and 0.5-0.9 as Trump tends to gain momentum in the polls close the election, she lost a whole 0.5 average from Fri-Friday last week. I figured 1-1.4 was most likely but for good measure bought into 0.5-0.9. Then seeing the majority disagreed with me, I clowned myself into both yes and no 1.5-1.9. I bought both because I was extremely skeptical. I should listen to my gut more :)

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I would like to know others thoughts. I closed the door on 1.5+ this morning. Bought more into 1-1.4 and 0.5-0.9. No other Yes holdings. Care to share? ☕️

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I would like to know others thoughts. I closed the door on 1.5+ this morning. Bought more into 1-1.4 and 0.5-0.9. No other Yes holdings. Care to share? ☕️

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’m embodying the bitter bitch

0

poly-murderers

6 months ago

why is that so?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Rally your troops, dear leader!

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Where is your rallying inspo leader @JustKen?? Did he slowly fade when he realized the kind of attention his fanfare has brought him?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Where is your rallying inspo leader @JustKen?? Did he slowly fade when he realized the kind of attention his fanfare has brought him?

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I have returned and bought shares just to say this to the no holder: FUCK YOU GUYS

2

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Yup tons of promotional campaigning in NY and CA. He has boots on the ground in NY

1

0xb29f0B1c04F2dA9d37eCfECEE5090c4736d8808B-1727316878072

6 months ago

It’s still quite possible and Trump is trying to get it.

Bills vs. Jets

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

On my 1k shares, 77 cents lol

0

TXgoon92

6 months ago

Real question, how much do you make off of buying 99.9c lol

Bills vs. Jets

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’d like to thank the wind

0

Bills vs. Jets

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Yaaaaaaassssssss

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

💨 💨 💨

Bills vs. Jets

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

💨 💨 💨

1

Bills vs. Jets

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The pool is filled with pee

0

DeucePapi

6 months ago

Refs are on jets side tn

Bills vs. Jets

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Let’s sack him again

0

Bills vs. Jets

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Billllieve

0

babendums

6 months ago

im scurred

Bills vs. Jets

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

TheGuru goes hard for Daaa Bills?!

0

TheGuru

6 months ago

Good luck everyone!

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’m deeply invested ☕️

3

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Well I’ll be damned. Top 2 no holder just bought all me shares! Arrrgh 🏴‍☠️

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Yes一定勝利!!!

0

JIYUAN

6 months ago

我們已經知道川普及其家族就虛擬貨幣的行為是真正的行騙，但基於政治的倫理，他無法「部署」（deployment）也無法真正地發行代幣。愛來自台灣，No一定勝利！！！

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Everyone trying to be so demure, so mindful

0

Eyebrows

6 months ago

Nice to see a dramatically up and down market with tons of shit-talking. Takes me to the old days. Lot of markets aren't really like that anymore.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

She dropped 0.5 in 1 week.

0

Speculo

6 months ago

Unpopular opinion: The best predictor of the final bracket is the one whose midpoint is closest to the current RCP average.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Bro you spend so much time writing literal paragraphs about this, why don’t you go start a blog? You can add a donate button to get back all the money you’ll lose here, too. It will be a lose, win, win for you

1

PepeMcPew

6 months ago

They are selling a voting token that you can't tranfer, sell, or do anything with but play on their voting platform. WOW... Sign me up! Let me vote on the direction of a platform that doesn't exist yet, and if it goes the same way their other failed & hacked platform did (Dough Finance) won't ever go anywhere. Why haven't they mentioned Trump's name yet? Weird!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Did you get that from their website 🤥

0

pumpdabrakes

6 months ago

FYI. Apparently in fine print it states that Donald Trump has no affiliation with World Lib Coin.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I feel the same reading your comments 💀

4

🤺JustPunched

6 months ago

Imagine how braindead you have to be to think anything these idiots are saying is important

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Well, well, well if it isn’t a yes man himself 😆

0

aenews2

6 months ago

Good luck holding Y when they say they are launching November 5 or date unknown in the Spaces tomorrow

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Y’all are exhausting

1

PepeMcPew

6 months ago

Last post, on the official Avae threat discussing the proposal, the WLFI team was asked 4 days ago some pretty critical questions about the proposal but they haven't bothered to go back and answer them. The proposal won't get approved (thus they won't launch) without those answers. https://governance.aave.com/t/temp-check-world-liberty-financial-aave-v3-instance-on-ethereum-mainnet-proposal/19383/23

How many swing states will Trump win?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

RCP has him poised to win 6/7 as it stands now.

2

MageGold

6 months ago

All seven swing states are impossible

How many swing states will Trump win?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Even if Trump wins all 7 swing states, the margin is only 86 and that market says 100+. That means flipping blue state in addition to winning all the swing states.

1

ImHereForTheRewards

6 months ago

Why buy 7 at 27 and not Blowout at 13?

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

My guess is this market has far less volume and less fluctuations than with the Trump or Harris market. Also, there are plenty of strategies that people employ that may result in contradictory bets simultaneously. Weird anomalies like this on here often.

1

Sovereign86

6 months ago

i dont get it...how is Trump up by 9 points on the election winner poll but dems are up 14 points here to win both presidency and popular?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Took a play out of your book I guess 😉

1

aenews2

6 months ago

I wonder what it tells us when the most vocal Y guy is downsizing

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Why did you comment and delete and comment again? Foolish dualism

1

busterdouglas

6 months ago

Thanks for the free money, all of this volume from Trumps comment on a NELK podcast lmao. Watch PBD talk to Joe about having trump on, if he was going to he would have by now. Case closed.

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

😂 busted. What a loser

1

busterdouglas

6 months ago

Thanks for the free money, all of this volume from Trumps comment on a NELK podcast lmao. Watch PBD talk to Joe about having trump on, if he was going to he would have by now. Case closed.

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Having a rough day Koba?

1

Fredi9999WASP🐝

6 months ago

I wrote the comment after he bought Mountaingenius

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Irrelevant

0

NIGGA

6 months ago

The milkman woke up from his shitty little cave!

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Bro you’re on the wrong side of every bet whenever I come across you

1

JoeBETS

6 months ago

yall are in for a rude awakening i already see it

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Do you suddenly suffer from Tourette’s when you see a comment section?

0

NIGGA

6 months ago

The milkman woke up from his shitty little cave!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Where’d that sell wall go? 😆

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Too soon

1

Myh

6 months ago

can someone propose resolution ?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Nah but you just poppin off without context so who knows wtf you’re talking about

1

NIGGA

6 months ago

Kinda crazy to give 50% of your supply to some retarded faggot that'll dump on all trump suckers when given the green light!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

What

1

NIGGA

6 months ago

Kinda crazy to give 50% of your supply to some retarded faggot that'll dump on all trump suckers when given the green light!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Very kind

0

aenews2

6 months ago

Alright Y bros, I've got a nice sell wall for you

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Worthless shares

1

TenChuSama

6 months ago

fake news

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

We’re a team now. I’ve decided it.

0

Mountainman

6 months ago

Joe Rogan would never have a controversial guest on his podcast. Literally no chance whatsoever. YES holders are insane!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Ahhh this is def an alt account. Follow the money trails. Read the comments. Discover the truth.

0

Erfank

6 months ago

There is no way Trump advisers let him get involved with such a thing. It is just an advertisement contract he has an he should tweet about it

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Hey where’d your shares and free money go? 💀

0

Goobertron

6 months ago

The one major thing every Yes whale is missing: deployment. Endorsement after release ≠ involved in creation. Thx 4 free money

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Where do you all come up with these intricate details that are nowhere to be found in the rules of the market?

4

Themaninthetower

6 months ago

Still think my position is 30-40% likely. It's an "initial sale" of 20% of the supply given to accredited investors, with a 12 month hold on the tokens. If there is to be a more semi public sale, it's often with these sales that the token only gets deployed after the sale that creates the global market. Might be they launch the token before the election, but I dare to suggest they will take other steps in dividing the supply before minting the actual tokens. Another part that plays into this is the fact that the sale will probably not take place on chain.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Not that much 😆

2

Mountainman

6 months ago

I feel bad for Naturalnoob. He keeps trying to dump the market with buying huge amounts of NO, and then within hours the price of YES shoots higher than it was before he tried to tank the market. It is crazy how much money that guy is lighting on fire. Sad.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I like playing games myself even if it’s at a loss 😉

1

Mountainman

6 months ago

I feel bad for Naturalnoob. He keeps trying to dump the market with buying huge amounts of NO, and then within hours the price of YES shoots higher than it was before he tried to tank the market. It is crazy how much money that guy is lighting on fire. Sad.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

We have surpassed the wall!!!

0

Erasmus

6 months ago

Lebanon-Tier price chart if this goes down again

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Yeah but it’s the nitpicking bullshitting of the motherfuckers on here that discarded headlines and facts in the past that breed uncertainty and hesitation and that’s just sad.

0

Mountainman

6 months ago

The fact that this pumps every time a new article coming out says the same exact things we already know show how dumb the market participants on this site are. They have an actual countdown on their website and have had one for several days. It is happening, just hold on for 2 more days and it goes to a buck :)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Can you please reach out to me on Discord? I never use my account but that seems to be what Polymarket users and UMA use. I’d like to discuss this with you and what I am working on as it’s rather complementary. User meow.zedong.

3

poly-murderers

6 months ago

i am keeping an eye on this market to use as an eventual evidence for the coming lawsuit against polymarket. we are a group taking one due to market manipulation. uma can think they are safe, we are 30 so far. I assume if this market will resolve uncorrectly, we will be a bit more ;)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

“ Donald Trump Set to Launch Cryptocurrency Token Sale This Tuesday” - article headline lol

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Yeah someone here tried to say he had to be a part of the technical development for this to resolve to yes 😂 same idea. No one would every buy yes then

0

badatthis

6 months ago

Deployment ≠ creation. If it was about creation this market would never be over 0.1c

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Hey, I am writing an investigative article about Polymarket mainly focusing on the inconsistencies in dispute resolution, exposing that active share holders are also large volume UMA token holders to settle disputes, etc. I currently gathered data from what happened with the Israel invasion Sept/Nov markets including user activity of betters who settle disputes and the fact denial campaign they employed to create market volatility. I am here gathering info as well. I will soon be posting a way to connect with users here to get more info about what’s been happening with UMA and Polymarket. If this is a serious endeavor, I’d love to connect to discuss the lawsuit. This is strictly confidential and anonymous.

0

poly-murderers

6 months ago

i am keeping an eye on this market to use as an eventual evidence for the coming lawsuit against polymarket. we are a group taking one due to market manipulation. uma can think they are safe, we are 30 so far. I assume if this market will resolve uncorrectly, we will be a bit more ;)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Some of these shareholders are also UMA holders and voters with piss poor arguments about why their side with invested interest should win. They will deny and subvert reality for their own benefit. Pretty easy to not like those fuckers.

3

0xffffffff

6 months ago

wow so much hatred here in comments..

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

He’s so sure that he bought 5 no shares

2

Mountainman

6 months ago

Source: You made it up. Hahahahaha

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’m 111% sure this market is full of fuckery so I’m participating at full capacity

4

hasso422

6 months ago

I am so confused. How can the market ignore Information?? There is a guy buying no shares and yes shares for a combined price of 111ct. I don’t get it

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You do realize this is a market where people buy and sell shares, right?

0

TRUMP2O24

6 months ago

Mountain man continues selling his yes shares such a hypocrite

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Dear perplexity, will Trump launch a coin before the election???

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Can you read

1

TRUMP2O24

6 months ago

Okay for holders yes, I don't want to say this because I need cheap no, but I will help you save money, selling tokens is one thing, but launching a token is completely different)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The rules don’t say anything about technical involvement. lol reachinggg

1

Fredi9999WASP🐝

6 months ago

The deployment of a token is defined as the process of launching it on a blockchain. This includes: Creating a Smart Contract: Writing the code that defines the token's rules and functionalities. Deploying the Contract: Uploading the smart contract to the blockchain, making it live and accessible. Token Distribution: Initiating processes like sales, airdrops, or other mechanisms to distribute the tokens to users.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Where’s it say that bro?

0

Fredi9999WASP🐝

6 months ago

The deployment of a token is defined as the process of launching it on a blockchain. This includes: Creating a Smart Contract: Writing the code that defines the token's rules and functionalities. Deploying the Contract: Uploading the smart contract to the blockchain, making it live and accessible. Token Distribution: Initiating processes like sales, airdrops, or other mechanisms to distribute the tokens to users.

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

That’s what I suspected. Thanks!

0

BiggieChungus

6 months ago

Next datapoint needs to be available as per the rules

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Was this disputed because too early? Waiting for data?

0

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

@sk33625 No is currently winning. She has 55 in 100. Needs 56 for ‘YES’ to win. Major slide in prediction markets today, polls are down trending. She had unfavorable polling come in today and 538 somehow gave her a boost in likelihood to win the election. But they have added commentary that even highlights the stark contrast between prediction markets and the way they are “interpreting things differently”. I presume further polling will be the same or worse and I feel 538 would not risk the scrutiny of raising Harris odds if anything less than favorable is reported tomorrow.

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Morning compost! 😡 🤣

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Or maybe I’m just trying to elevate the buy market to sell you my shares at cost 🤨

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’m taking a gamble. 500 shares at 50 for anyone wanting a midlevel exit. Gimme gimme

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Oops I see in rules it goes out of the N in 100 so it has to be 56 in 100

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Would this mean she needs to be at 560 or greater then right?

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’m taking a gamble. 500 shares at 50 for anyone wanting a midlevel exit. Gimme gimme

0

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Harris +8 kiss my asssss

0

ACat

6 months ago

Man Morning Consult has the opportunity to do the coolest thing ever.

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Morning compost! 😡 🤣

0

ACat

6 months ago

Man Morning Consult has the opportunity to do the coolest thing ever.

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I guess somehow yes

0

ACat

6 months ago

LMFAO did the house effect penalty on the partisan internal polls seriously just make that drop a net positive for Harris?

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Would this mean she needs to be at 560 or greater then right?

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

She’s at 550 now, needs to be at 56% per the rules. Bunch of polls just dropped with swing states red. Wonder if they are included.

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

She’s at 550 now, needs to be at 56% per the rules. Bunch of polls just dropped with swing states red. Wonder if they are included.

0

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The senate is soon out of reach for Dems.

2

Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I think he’s gotta hold NC before he can even dream of MI. Also needs WI before MI if thinking practically.

2

Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

There was also a poll recently that showed his favorability and reelectability at 20%. Voters were also asked if they thought he should resign and responded with a majority yes and majority wanting Hochul to remove him if he did not resign on his own recognizance. Also maybe Andrew Cuomo mayor?! Don’t know whose poll it was offhand but it dropped a week or two ago.

0

Mountainman

6 months ago

I'm out of NO. Adams is looking nervous and it looks like the voters really want him out. Who knows what happens now but I can see him out soon.

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Thanks all. GG. GL to everyone except JustKen. 🕊️ ✌🏼

0

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Bro it’s a great bet if you want to capitalize on an 18% return.

0

Silamoth

6 months ago

Imagine being fed so much fake news that you think "Dem sweep" is a good bet? Lol

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I spy one of JustKen’s alts. 🧐🤪

1

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

lol, so it’s still a cat 3 at the time of this writing? ✍🏼

1

0xc26E37C84509c72b58171bEc9286fa83c73f5366-1719543164274

6 months ago

This is defined as "landfall" by NHC NOAA. Landfall is the "middle" of the storm. The wind is now 115MPH. 5 more MPH drop and its a CAT 2, not 3. Who is ready to dispute?

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Slit my wrists and black my eyes

0

gigidagostino

6 months ago

So who will dispute that it was a cat 2, 4, or 5? :P

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Lmfao. You know what, I personally didn’t see Hurricane Milton make landfall so I’m not even sure it made landfall. P4.

0

Cedarville

6 months ago

But guys, we should have a 5 day debate on the intent of Hurricane Milton. Did it actually make landfall, or merely do an in-and-out maneuver?

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

🥂

0

tunatyler

6 months ago

Cheers

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Bruh news reporting cat 3 landfall

1

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It’s a 3

1

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Shhhh the Governor is speaking

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Shhhh the Governor is speaking

1

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’mHo

0

Milton landfall at what category?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

lol just wait until they start using those weather machines 🤪

0

yourrapist1776

6 months ago

125 mph cat 3 cope and seethe

Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I just circled back around and was like wait no, should be no! lol my bad

0

Asherwow

6 months ago

fuck why the sudden drop in no value??

Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Because I accidentally bought yes 😂

0

Asherwow

6 months ago

fuck why the sudden drop in no value??

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Well I care in the sense that would be a good marketing strategy

0

Mallardshead

6 months ago

Who cares what that fool has to say about anything.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Are claims true that Elon Musk has theorized Szabo is Satoshi? Saw a headline. Curious of

1

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Woof 😅

1

mango-lassi

6 months ago

Stay safe guys, I got scammed

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Buttercoin

0

Luter

6 months ago

so lagy. Who developed this

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It’s been stayed broke for me 😭

0

mona.lisa

6 months ago

trades not working again

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Sure did

0

fhantombets

6 months ago

Holy shit, Car actually made a fake poll to try and scam people? this is a new low

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Aye, aye 🫡 Handled before the dirty delete.

3

Infringe

6 months ago

lets get this Car guy banned for spreading misinformation knowingly to cause financial farm to people, all you have to do is search ipsos pdf file to see how a real pdf file from them looks like. REPORT Car

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Car is trying to not take responsibility for his losses

5

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Scam crew out in force

4

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Nick Szabo broke Polymarket

1

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Booooooo

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Same

0

averageuser

6 months ago

Is it just me or is polymarket down rn? I can't place order and cancel order.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

That’s a taste of a Harris presidency. Cheers. 🥂

1

aenews2

6 months ago

I can't believe this, I never thought we'd go out this way... cold and alone waiting for the rescue that never came

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Again, can’t confront a dead person. Although I read he was cryopreserved, so maybe.

0

BadMan

6 months ago

Hall Finney looks juicy on the upside

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Can’t confront a dead person

0

BadMan

6 months ago

Hall Finney looks juicy on the upside

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

He only started being the favorite after a massive pump earlier today.

0

kent395595

6 months ago

only reason i can think is either polymarket manipulation to get better entry on some memecoins. Or some insider HOllywood or journlalists truly know something we dont

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Why wouldn’t you invest in a Szabo yes? Instead you bought Adam Back No at 86 cent average. lol

1

WinstonChurchil

6 months ago

I've already invested all the money I have available so it's fine to say this. This documentary had hundreds of staff working on it (literally hundreds), and a company outsourced for editing. My sister works for the company editing the documentary. It was done in parts (no one has access to the whole thing so we can't confirm the full narrative) but we can confirm the following: Szabo is a main Satoshi candidate, Hal was involved with Bitcoin early on, and it is not Adam, Len, or Paul. I was surprised that other insiders have not changed the market entirely yet but I guess it's hard to get access to enough capital and hard to use this UI anyway.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Why would Nick Szabo publicly try to create Bit Gold which failed but then hide his identity with successful Bitcoin

2

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Im reading that as other or multiple

0

topblaster

6 months ago

why is others/multiple at 40% when the director said they land on a single specific person? idiots

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Also Satoshi was introduced to Szabo’s work while drafting the white paper.

0

Sacred

6 months ago

Nick LAWYER, Satoshi has always been bad at legal issues regarding Bitcoin

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It’s the CIA

0

n/a

6 months ago

Satoshi = 哲, "intelligent, philosophy, clear", Nakamoto = 中本 'central origin' or '(one who lives) in the middle'. in Japanese the surname is read first so Satoshi Nakamoto = ‘Central Intelligence’.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

See ‘Other’

0

CRYPTU

6 months ago

put Isamu Kaneko up there and i will bet $10000

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

lol - Nate Silver suddenly finds YouGov not high quality.

2

Remontada

6 months ago

Even Nate thinks this is odd! https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1843344158662242761

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Well, she has a 49% unfavorable rating now

1

idfkanything

6 months ago

I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

See it here 😃 https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-trump-harris-race-tightens-after-vance-debate-win-120026568.html

0

Szty1

6 months ago

New YouGov poll: Vance 41 - Walz 32 - Tie 19. (This is the fallback poll if Ipsos doesn't report by tomorrow.)

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-trump-harris-race-tightens-after-vance-debate-win-120026568.html Gonna need a lot more than 1 pt now 😂 Oof

0

aenews2

6 months ago

It's too bad YouGov wasn't 1 point better for Walz

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The YouGov poll adds clarity. People will lean more towards majority consensus the further away from the event.

0

Wook-Capital-Fund-I

6 months ago

Lotta idiots in these comments. (1) ipsos pres debate poll was released 5 days later on a Sunday. (2) I personally think Vance won. (3) trump got stomped last debate but 33% ipsos poll said he won. (4) the bet is on the ipsos poll results, not what you think/feel.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Maybe you should try to convince everyone here that the debate never happened.

2

Secret14thKey

6 months ago

I'm commenting a ground offensive on Ipsos HQ

# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Milton

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

📸

0

Ferguson,Turd

6 months ago

Honest question? Lets say someone has made it their life mission to stop UMA from being a resolution mechanism. This person complains about them once a day, tweets about them, posts about them, makes their user name something about stopping them. Then a hotly contested market comes up that UMA will resolve and this person does nothing but post BIG FACTs and what was very very likely to happen. Should this person be called a RIGGER, or a HERO?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

They are a hypocrite

0

Ferguson,Turd

6 months ago

Honest question? Lets say someone has made it their life mission to stop UMA from being a resolution mechanism. This person complains about them once a day, tweets about them, posts about them, makes their user name something about stopping them. Then a hotly contested market comes up that UMA will resolve and this person does nothing but post BIG FACTs and what was very very likely to happen. Should this person be called a RIGGER, or a HERO?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

📸

0

🤺JustPunched

6 months ago

This is a travesty

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Ha! You don’t know when to quit, do you?

0

🤺JustPunched

6 months ago

This is a travesty

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Lmao just sold off your Yes shares. Get fucked yes bettors!

0

fhantombets

6 months ago

YOU FUCKING STINK

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Bruh you were pumping no when I went to bed last night

0

Phoenix777

6 months ago

seems like we got f..ked by goons

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Bitch, the activity feed shows otherwise

2

carp

6 months ago

I just woke up, what'd I miss?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Proud member of JustKen’s bitch crew

1

fhantombets

6 months ago

GET FUCKED Y BETTORS

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You know who will get fucked here? Polymarket ergo you too.

1

fhantombets

6 months ago

GET FUCKED Y BETTORS

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

No. You’re a succubus.

1

Secret14thKey

6 months ago

Just want you all to know that I actually had no idea how this was going to turn out and just got lucky

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You mean shareholders shouldn’t be able to vote on disputes??? What a concept!

0

HaterzLoserz

6 months ago

Yes actually, in cases like this there is a very good argument they just shouldnt vote

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

That’s stupid. Just blow up the reputations of the people responsible instead.

1

Secret14thKey

6 months ago

just called the CFTC and told them I've lost money betting illegally on an offshore gambling site and want a refund. They said they'd get back to me soon

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

@JustKen Good morning. You’re still a little bitch. I’ll let your words and actions speak for themselves. People can draw their own conclusions. Thanks for all the content the past few days.

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It’s almost like —- insider trading.

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Because Yes is the just and correct answer. You’re such a tool.

0

🤺JustPunched

6 months ago

I feel like I was very clear and consistent and posted quite often that yes was very likely to lose. Before the votes were revealed, yes was trading at $0.60 for hours

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

@JustKen I realized you didn’t deserve a shred of respect when someone encouraged you to buy more ‘No’ shares in the comments and you replied stating something near verbatim to “I don’t like to have any shares during the UMA vote dude’. Then you proceeded to buy 25k more ‘No’ shares. I mean, really. Could you be any more of a bitch?

7

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

lol but you sold all your no.

0

Phoenix777

6 months ago

Nope

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Here to collect your losses from November?

0

Nancy.Pelosi

6 months ago

Lol this market chart looks like an EEG during an epileptic seizure.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

They explicitly say this is to help protect anonymity

1

FamilyCapital

6 months ago

what is the logic behind of having delay on reveal of votes rsult. why not to do that at the same time?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You’ve already proven yourself a super shitty data analyst.

0

mr.ozi

6 months ago

This is going strongly in the direction of No after 7% of votes and 17% voters revealed their votes, with 83% siding with No. And the Yes is still going strong on buying more shares. This is a fascinating case for a psychology paper.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Bro, you’re about to be the face of bad press Polymarket lol

3

🤺JustPunched

6 months ago

Here's the plan, we get the Yes price back to 70c. UMA will be forced to side with us.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You’ll still net negative 😂

0

Fredi9999WASP🐝

6 months ago

Deal I want 99.9c than you can have them.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Bish, you’re walking negative even if NO wins. GG though I guess

0

Fredi9999WASP🐝

6 months ago

People are still buying yes, I can't xd

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It was one more reveal address. That’s it.

1

DT24

6 months ago

No 82.52% (1,007,266.08) Yes 17.48% (213,313.46). 6.9% reported.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Bro doesn’t know what fair is 🤥

0

🤺JustPunched

6 months ago

I don't reveal until the end, otherwise that is unfair.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

That’s the first drop 🥱

0

DT24

6 months ago

No 86.45% (51,386.11) Yes 13.55% (8,053.67)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

He already bought 25k more after last time he said he doesn’t even like to have shares during the vote and told everyone he’s a good guy 🤥

1

Car

6 months ago

good guy domer should buy more NO shares imo

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

We only need 37.5% of the too early votes to vote yes to capture the majority with previous voting data. Also new UMA voters for more votes would help!

0

n/a

6 months ago

https://x.com/Ttvxiunitv/status/1842757896729149782 JUSTKEN CRYING TO THE REFS, THAT'S WHEN YOU KNOW IT'S OVER 🤣 add - astandsforanime for information on how to vote during the final dispute! They could still steal this so it's important you VOTE 💥

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

That’s disturbing.

2

BigMike11

6 months ago

This market is like stepping on baby chickens.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I wonder where car would be if he stopped switching from yes to no at peak prices. 🥴

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

@Shayku - Real cat

1

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The Chairman is in.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The Chairman is in.

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Our Chad who art in cyberspace

2

RizzMuffin

6 months ago

Our lord savior Chad keeps buying. We shall follow

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Justice forces

4

mango-lassi

6 months ago

Who will win: israel forces or market forces

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

This is it. Only reopened because the previous proposal was prior to deadline

0

n/a

6 months ago

I personally haven't been in a market this disputed. Can someone break down how voting works? How many times can this theoretically be disputed?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

JustKen: “I don’t like to have any shares during the UMA vote dude” —- Buys 25k more shares.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

OG 👑

1

HaterzLoserz

6 months ago

Wise man

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Precisely.

0

mr.ozi

6 months ago

Median P&L Top Yes holders: +$19k. Median P&L Top No holders: +$87k. Sincerely, your data analyst.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

NO gang should reconsider their data analyst.

1

Car

6 months ago

YES gang should reconsider their betting strategies

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Surely you wouldn’t be using a median because it’s more favorable than the mean which would be the preferred statistical methodology for “averages”, no?

1

mr.ozi

6 months ago

Median P&L Top Yes holders: +$19k. Median P&L Top No holders: +$87k. Sincerely, your data analyst.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

What’s the mean?

0

mr.ozi

6 months ago

Median P&L Top Yes holders: +$19k. Median P&L Top No holders: +$87k. Sincerely, your data analyst.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Why are you using a median?

0

mr.ozi

6 months ago

Median P&L Top Yes holders: +$19k. Median P&L Top No holders: +$87k. Sincerely, your data analyst.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I imagine he’s just fine.

0

shouldbealright

6 months ago

Imagine having $600k at stake on the semantics of the word "intended" lol. Love you, Chad, but jfc I'm nervous for you too

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

No he didn’t. He proposed p4.

0

Reaper01

6 months ago

he literally proposed P2 Yes for November market in discussion channel. This one is for September and it's clear No

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You don’t like having shares during votes yet you are a Top 10 holder for many? Interesting. What a good guy.

1

🤺JustPunched

6 months ago

Your friendly reminder from good guy Domer that UMA is extremely likely to vote No on this, and that the price continues to be insane.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

This would make for a good program analysis project.

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The denial of truth is a bit maddening. Has Polymarket ever had any published exposure regarding these kind of systemic failures I wonder outside of a complaining Redditor?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The denial of truth is a bit maddening. Has Polymarket ever had any published exposure regarding these kind of systemic failures I wonder outside of a complaining Redditor?

0

RememberAmalek

6 months ago

even if i lose the laughs alone have been worth it this market man the arguments these people will use it's just... it boggles the mind it really does

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Good morning fellow degenerates of Polymarket. I see the battle rages on. 🫡

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The first weren’t at all but it progressively became more yes. There’s still 17 million tokens though lol

0

CheerfulPessimist

6 months ago

only 1.3% of the votes are in, and the first votes aren't usually very representative.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Yes and no go on and on my friend.

2

Darkpsico

6 months ago

So the market will never end ?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Go get your 2 cent shares guys!

6

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Y’all would dump junk no on each other so fast. Best friends. 🤗

1

fhantombets

6 months ago

I believe in the power of friendship

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Thats a bird. Birds aren’t real!

1

denizz

6 months ago

dronestrike incoming

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

October 1st 12:01 EST for convenience

0

TheGoober

6 months ago

Hey No holders, if the invasion didn't start on September 30th then when did it begin? Provide proof too please

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’m ready to FAFO. 🤺🤺🤺🤺🤺

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Still could get fucked with the vote. Know the risk.

1

BibiNetanyahu

6 months ago

As soon as the November market resolves to Yes we have proof that Israel intends or intended to establish control. The invasion started at the lasted on October 1st 2am local time when the IDF announced that they have sent troops into Lebanon. The “intent to establish control” must have been present at that time already, as the Israeli National Security Cabinet approved the "next phase" in its conflict with Hezbollah before that date and there have been no meetings since: Source: https://x.com/AnnaBarskiy/status/1840846261802422415

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Freudian slip - *psychic

3

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Don’t worry, JustKen says we’re approaching confirmation soon. He’s a psycho.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Don’t worry, JustKen says we’re approaching confirmation soon. He’s a psycho.

1

TheGoober

6 months ago

Team No fighting for their LIFE in the evidence rationale thread

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Cope

1

mango-lassi

6 months ago

Price keeps getting better and better, why did I buy earlier :/

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’m gonna need some obituaries in hand and family testimony too.

0

PolyRig-Fried

6 months ago

aye, timestamp videos? it's all gen AI. until a UMA reporter to the UN Security Council has boots on the grounds, nothing is proven.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Let me get in that market please if it exists. I wanna do this again. That sounds like fun!

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Breaking News: US launches airstrikes at Houthi Rebels in Yemen. 1984 Dystopian Team No: “Those were fireworks.” “There’s no evidence of the intent.” “All we know is the US said they fired them and journalists reported it but until I see timestamp videos of blown up Houthi’s on my iPhone, I can’t say for sure.”

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Breaking News: US launches airstrikes at Houthi Rebels in Yemen. 1984 Dystopian Team No: “Those were fireworks.” “There’s no evidence of the intent.” “All we know is the US said they fired them and journalists reported it but until I see timestamp videos of blown up Houthi’s on my iPhone, I can’t say for sure.”

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It was 24 to 15 last I checked but don’t know how much they are individually weighted. Ironically, all the P4 arguments are empty. Such empty vessels.

1

TheGoober

6 months ago

The general consensus in the UMA discord is P2. Very few people are arguing No. I'd get those Yes shares in while they're still this low

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Typical Nancy. Scamming to get Yes holders to panic so she can sell her measly 7 cent shares at 11 cent cost. Get bent.

10

Nancy.Pelosi

6 months ago

Yes holders in this market would behoove themselves to look at the September market

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It’s hard to heard over the incessant screeching of Nos.

0

Ferguson,Turd

6 months ago

Things must be going well for team YES if we are here trying to solicit supporters!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

BIG? Lemme find out and get back to the chat since you really went all out with words and numbers. Bigly!

0

Ferguson,Turd

6 months ago

A dose of reality. There is an incentive for UMA voters to vote w/ the winning outcome, or their tokens are slashed. The last vote was 80% against YES. Pretty suspenseful what will happen.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Anyone can update Wiki. Was it JustKen feeding his AI chat girlfriend more lies?

4

Cedarville

6 months ago

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon Wikipedia has changed the article to definitively call it an invasion starting early hours of October 1 (Sep 30ET). Cited articles for the start of the invasion are all from September 30.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Imma have to just get me some UMA and do a deep dive 😂 I’m more invested in that than this market. No doubt.

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Hmm, curious - what’s that token slashing rate? Thank you for exposing more of the fraudulent dispute settlement process from the oracle of truth.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Hmm, curious - what’s that token slashing rate? Thank you for exposing more of the fraudulent dispute settlement process from the oracle of truth.

1

Ferguson,Turd

6 months ago

A dose of reality. There is an incentive for UMA voters to vote w/ the winning outcome, or their tokens are slashed. The last vote was 80% against YES. Pretty suspenseful what will happen.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Eh, you’re just trapped in the cycle of fear and greed like most are. It just stands out because of volume. You’re in the spotlight 🤨

0

aldynspeedruns

6 months ago

accumulate more shares pussy3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Yes the token holders which unfortunately include betters who have incentive to settle in their favor. But, conversely, there are also UMA stakeholders who are not invested here and could still potentially not be swayed by truth deniers but that is yet to be seen. The previous vote was 80 “too early” to appx 20 “yes” IIRC. In theory, if 30+/80 convert to yes, the majority of the votes will be yes but I believe votes are weighted by how much UMA token the voter holds so could be easily disproportionate. Would have to look into those numbers more if available. Sounds like a starts project. lol

2

TooDumbToWin

6 months ago

Whose decision is it now? The uma token holders who vote, is that it? sorry first time i'm in this situation

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Oh, that’s definitely people wanting to buy their share but there wasn’t a lot of volume on the sell side for Vance but 80s and 90s. I dabbled. Will probably settle back down maybe a little higher than 70/30

0

badatthis

6 months ago

Insiders tanking the market?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Lmao. Refreshing honesty 😝

0

aldynspeedruns

6 months ago

shut up scammer, welcome to the fuckin\ scam side

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

General consensus following an 80pt swing, other polls and pundits

0

badatthis

6 months ago

So why Walz dropping lately? As far as I see nothing has changed since the debate ended

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Drive away Car

3

Car

6 months ago

pack it up YES holders

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

That’s terrible advice 😂

1

Tenebrus7

6 months ago

If it resolves to Yes maybe, if it resolves to: too early at the time of proposal will go to Zero here. The November market can then resolve to YES later still

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I Peter Griffin 3:8 - 12

0

Andy-Beshear

6 months ago

You will catch more flies with honey than with vinegar.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Good job speaking this into fruition 😅

0

aldynspeedruns

6 months ago

im gonna sleep, wen i wake up i hope its at like 30c

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Let’s face it. This market is bipolar 1 abruptly off medication.

0

Phoenix777

6 months ago

Yes is in freefall

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It’s not an invasion. This is just targeted raids. 🤪

0

TimeQuestion

6 months ago

Buy No to stop the invasion!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

We can see the activity just fine. No need for your play by play.

4

FamilyCapital

6 months ago

Kobafix sold 8,602 Yes at 31.9¢ ($2,744)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Is this your first day betting? People make moves to make profits. I am struggling to see how people cannot delineate between normal betting behaviors and coordinated efforts to deny the truth to win.

2

FamilyCapital

6 months ago

Mr.House sold 3,939 Yes at 31.8¢ ($1,252)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

And please, for anyone reading this, do not act like a betting site isn’t filled with people trying to make profits who will take actions to do just that. That’s how it goes! The part that irks me about this is that there’s a lot of truth deniers who are also deciders and that is wrong.

1

DT24

6 months ago

RBvKrsr7ZfRK sold 12,515 Yes at 33.8¢ ($4,231). He scammed the YES buyers. BE AWARE! This is already voted "Too Early" an hour before the deadline. It will 100% be voted NO. Many people bought YES last night at 3c-8c. They are selling it to you at 30c-50c.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

This has to be voted on again. Sure, some Too Early voters will say yes and some no but we don’t know that outcome yet. Just because you want it to be in your favor does not make it so. If it were a guaranteed No, scammers wouldn’t be trying to convince others to believe them like yourself. You’re so obvious.

1

DT24

6 months ago

RBvKrsr7ZfRK sold 12,515 Yes at 33.8¢ ($4,231). He scammed the YES buyers. BE AWARE! This is already voted "Too Early" an hour before the deadline. It will 100% be voted NO. Many people bought YES last night at 3c-8c. They are selling it to you at 30c-50c.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It’s not over. You are being dishonest. That’s part of a scam too by the way.

1

DT24

6 months ago

RBvKrsr7ZfRK sold 12,515 Yes at 33.8¢ ($4,231). He scammed the YES buyers. BE AWARE! This is already voted "Too Early" an hour before the deadline. It will 100% be voted NO. Many people bought YES last night at 3c-8c. They are selling it to you at 30c-50c.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

That’s part of betting. The scam is when people who have large amounts of shares invested are simultaneously on the UMA deciding board and try to subvert truth by denying reality. Don’t get it twisted.

2

DT24

6 months ago

RBvKrsr7ZfRK sold 12,515 Yes at 33.8¢ ($4,231). He scammed the YES buyers. BE AWARE! This is already voted "Too Early" an hour before the deadline. It will 100% be voted NO. Many people bought YES last night at 3c-8c. They are selling it to you at 30c-50c.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

If victorious, perhaps worth investing and staking UMA with winnings. I’m just picturing that meme —- “Look into my eyes - I am UMA now.”

1

Mountainman

6 months ago

I don't have many shares, just bought in support. Would love to see the cheating cabal of UMA insiders lose for once. LET'S GO YES!!!!

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

September was reviewed and voted Too Early and since the proposal was prior to the deadline it was reopened and has to go through the final proposal process again.

0

SureBet745

6 months ago

Why is the final review for this ending before September?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You should be thrilled. You can get so much No at a discount now, kiddo. 😉

0

🤺JustPunched

6 months ago

Man you guys are absolutely nutso

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Breaking News: Team Yes invaded Team No territory and is now controlling the market. Disclaimer: This headline does not constitute supporting evidence for invasion.

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Welcome.

0

aldynspeedruns

6 months ago

im such a polymarcus fish

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I feel like that should be stated explicitly in rules if it applies and it does not. But understand your angle just does not seem to apply IMO.

0

TrumpoDumpo

6 months ago

Someone please correct me if this is wrong: Let's say the Ipsos poll has a margin of error of 2% and shows that Vance has a 1% lead. A winner cannot be determined because the lead is within the margin of error. It's rare that it happens, but some might think there is a higher probably there than normal.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

This is the market that never ends. Yes and no go on and on my friends. Some people started bidding not knowing what a shitshow this was but everyone keeps on bidding just because this is the market that never ends…

4

Forbestake

6 months ago

This roller coaster won’t end haha

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

He’s coconut pilled. Bunch of knuckleheads. Can’t help it.

0

Mountainman

6 months ago

Dude for once can you write like you aren't retarded. Your writing literally gives me a headache.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I just summarized this entire market in one line.

2

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I bet, no wait I don’t. No. No, yes I do.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I bet, no wait I don’t. No. No, yes I do.

1

Rueben

6 months ago

The 50/50 Committee is calling an emergency meeting as we speak.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You sure are holding a lot of yes. Gonna get out bro?

0

tjrick

6 months ago

Yes holders can still merge out and jump to No to bond it.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

That process will be finality.

1

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

No because it was proposed before market deadline. Therefore it will reopen for this process again.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

No because it was proposed before market deadline. Therefore it will reopen for this process again.

1

TheGoober

6 months ago

Current UMA vote: 80.14% Early Request, 0.11% No, 19.75% Yes. Doesn't Early Request mean this market will resolve No since this is the final review?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

P4 is just the choice option for voting that means Too early. Otherwise last I checked around 14% voted yes or P2. The no vote option, P1, had not even 1% of the UMA vote share.

0

betyonko

6 months ago

where can i see the voting?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Still has to be reopened here again though, doesn’t it?

0

ANudeEgg

6 months ago

It was proposed right before the deadline. UMA voters effectively rejected the Yes argument for September with their last P4 vote. This is going No.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

47.8k 👀

0

Fredi9999WASP🐝

6 months ago

Buy more then, why are you sitting at 54k

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Where does it say that Dumpo?

1

TrumpoDumpo

6 months ago

If the results fall within the margin of error, it will be a tie.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Correct

2

Scottisommers

6 months ago

Yougov has already released a poll showing Vance won by one point. So unless Ipsos releases a poll with Walz winning by next Wednesday, the market will resolve in favor of Vance. Or am I missing something?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

51.8k 👀

0

Fredi9999WASP🐝

6 months ago

Buy more then, why are you sitting at 54k

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Wait a minute - is JustKen aka JustScam in the comments I’ve been reading? Lmao. Imagine that being your legacy.

2

Mountainman

6 months ago

All market rules on this site going forward should be as follows: “This market will resolve to "Yes” if JustKen and his group of cronies decide that is what suits them best, if not they will choose No. Objective reality is not relevant”

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Too early to determine outcome

0

dav1

6 months ago

What is ''Early Request'' in the UMA?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

How much you selling for? Did you limit order them already?

0

BreadGet

6 months ago

If anyone wants to buy or sell a big block of shares right now, I’m game

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Hoping before NFL Sunday Funday

0

Glorp

6 months ago

when is this shit coming out

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I can’t help that I’m a knucklehead sometimes. Too much time spent hanging out with my friends the school shooters

2

Private67

6 months ago

Vance clearly one don't be a knucklehead

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Thanks!

0

HaterzLoserz

6 months ago

it reopens here and people can resolve again just like before

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

What happens if consensus is p-4 too early at time of proposal but there is consensus that the invasion has happened post-proposal? We’re talking a matter of hours difference. Curious how UMA resolves “too early” resolutions for markets that still have ample time such as this one?

1

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It’s in the realm of possible but I quite literally wouldn’t bet on it.

1

0x63325293geDetgu4g028d8hh9dDegjAsuneg44

6 months ago

4 polls so far. Yougov show 42-41 to Vance, they're unbias (+0.2% lean towards Trump in Nate Silver house effects). CNN had 51-49 Vance, they tend to be +0.8% Trump (NS h.e. Yes their news is bias, their polls are not, just like Fox News’ polls). Focaldata had 50-50, they are unbias (+0.2% Harris NS h.e.). JL have 50-43 Vance, they're Trump simpers (+2.5% Trump NS h.e, MASSIVE bias). So...Ipsos? +1.7% Harris NS h.e., MASSIVE bias. In other words. 3 unbias pollsters show a tie; 1 Trump simp shows Vance winning; and we're waiting for the results from a Harris simp ;) . Nb ITT a ton of ppl saying “I think Vance won, so I’ll bet on him”. You’re betting on the results of a left leaning pollster’s poll after seeing three tied polls; not “who everyone knows won, c’mon, he totally won”. I don’t mean to make you better bettors, but pls, do better. We’ve already had one unbiased pollster (focaldata) for Politico lose you money if it were Ipsos (money would have been split 50-50)

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Also, depending on when the polling takes place, public perception tends to shift a little bit in the days following a debate. This is why some pollsters gather data with some distance from the event. People have a chance to marinate, discuss with others, if you will. This sometimes will shift data further towards the general consensus as people are somewhat swayed by the majority. The majority here being quite obvious by the markets response that Vance performed better.

0

0x63325293geDetgu4g028d8hh9dDegjAsuneg44

6 months ago

4 polls so far. Yougov show 42-41 to Vance, they're unbias (+0.2% lean towards Trump in Nate Silver house effects). CNN had 51-49 Vance, they tend to be +0.8% Trump (NS h.e. Yes their news is bias, their polls are not, just like Fox News’ polls). Focaldata had 50-50, they are unbias (+0.2% Harris NS h.e.). JL have 50-43 Vance, they're Trump simpers (+2.5% Trump NS h.e, MASSIVE bias). So...Ipsos? +1.7% Harris NS h.e., MASSIVE bias. In other words. 3 unbias pollsters show a tie; 1 Trump simp shows Vance winning; and we're waiting for the results from a Harris simp ;) . Nb ITT a ton of ppl saying “I think Vance won, so I’ll bet on him”. You’re betting on the results of a left leaning pollster’s poll after seeing three tied polls; not “who everyone knows won, c’mon, he totally won”. I don’t mean to make you better bettors, but pls, do better. We’ve already had one unbiased pollster (focaldata) for Politico lose you money if it were Ipsos (money would have been split 50-50)

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I do think you’re right that there is a left leaning bias that going into the debate made Walz seem like a pretty safe bet. However, when this market specifies that it is solely considering polling on debate performance - not specific policy positioning or defense - I think it is clear, based on the debate performance I witnessed and the market’s real-time response, that Vance is the clear winner and there isn’t enough left-leaning bias to discredit that win.

1

0x63325293geDetgu4g028d8hh9dDegjAsuneg44

6 months ago

4 polls so far. Yougov show 42-41 to Vance, they're unbias (+0.2% lean towards Trump in Nate Silver house effects). CNN had 51-49 Vance, they tend to be +0.8% Trump (NS h.e. Yes their news is bias, their polls are not, just like Fox News’ polls). Focaldata had 50-50, they are unbias (+0.2% Harris NS h.e.). JL have 50-43 Vance, they're Trump simpers (+2.5% Trump NS h.e, MASSIVE bias). So...Ipsos? +1.7% Harris NS h.e., MASSIVE bias. In other words. 3 unbias pollsters show a tie; 1 Trump simp shows Vance winning; and we're waiting for the results from a Harris simp ;) . Nb ITT a ton of ppl saying “I think Vance won, so I’ll bet on him”. You’re betting on the results of a left leaning pollster’s poll after seeing three tied polls; not “who everyone knows won, c’mon, he totally won”. I don’t mean to make you better bettors, but pls, do better. We’ve already had one unbiased pollster (focaldata) for Politico lose you money if it were Ipsos (money would have been split 50-50)

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You keep posting this. Reassuring yourself?

4

0x63325293geDetgu4g028d8hh9dDegjAsuneg44

6 months ago

4 polls so far. Yougov show 42-41 to Vance, they're unbias (+0.2% lean towards Trump in Nate Silver house effects). CNN had 51-49 Vance, they tend to be +0.8% Trump (NS h.e. Yes their news is bias, their polls are not, just like Fox News’ polls). Focaldata had 50-50, they are unbias (+0.2% Harris NS h.e.). JL have 50-43 Vance, they're Trump simpers (+2.5% Trump NS h.e, MASSIVE bias). So...Ipsos? +1.7% Harris NS h.e., MASSIVE bias. In other words. 3 unbias pollsters show a tie; 1 Trump simp shows Vance winning; and we're waiting for the results from a Harris simp ;) . Nb ITT a ton of ppl saying “I think Vance won, so I’ll bet on him”. You’re betting on the results of a left leaning pollster’s poll after seeing three tied polls; not “who everyone knows won, c’mon, he totally won”. I don’t mean to make you better bettors, but pls, do better. We’ve already had one unbiased pollster (focaldata) for Politico lose you money if it were Ipsos (money would have been split 50-50)

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’ll only boast since you have plans to laugh if Vance loses. Dose if your medicine if you will.

0

aenews2

6 months ago

And of course the Vance people will boast even if Vance wins by 1%

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

No. This isn’t about policies. This market resolves solely on debate performance.

0

MicR

6 months ago

Walz won on abortion and school shootings (Vance's plan sounded bad on the latter), so it's a matter of what issues you prioritise.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Nah you bro. Less typing. More buying.

0

idfkanything

6 months ago

You should buy more.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

He’s just a big dummy. He no understand words. Big knucklehead. Big debate winner.

1

schottchris

6 months ago

I recognize I may be a little jaded on politics: I don't understand how ANYBODY that watched or listened to that (I have now don both) would think Walz won. Maybe I have a blind spot...maybe.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

That’s why I sold my shares. I do not trust the process laid out here at all.

0

theytookmysnackbar

6 months ago

UMA stakers decide, and some of them certainly bet https://vote.uma.xyz/

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Guess they are hoping bias pollsters will be the voters :)

0

BoeJiden420

6 months ago

Crazy i know lol. But they wont apply this bias to the presidential election

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

No but if they don’t post one, we won

0

PolyRig-Fried

6 months ago

One week for Ipsos to post their poll. The bet isn't primary about YouGov

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Maybe they won’t post one if it shows Vance won 😂

6

n/a

6 months ago

Is there even confirmation Ipsos is doing a poll about this?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Yeah thanks for your contributions

0

idfkanything

6 months ago

uh oh... Vance's biggest holder is dumping. gg.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You keep writing this. Are you feeling desperate?

1

aenews2

6 months ago

Fill me Vancetard 😆

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You seem rather invested in the comments for someone sans investment

1

NoiseC

6 months ago

I’m not watching that garbage, thanks however.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

“you’re 27% there. Wooooahhh-ohhh living on a prayer” 🎶 🎵

1

aenews2

6 months ago

Will laugh at the Vance buyers if they lose this one

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Co-signing this retort to everyone who thinks J6 comments will sway this debate. https://x.com/dschlopesisback/status/1656078002025902081?s=46&t=tX5is6vYXMoMaZmLocHmsA

0

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

No one really cares that much about J6 when they can barely afford daily living.

0

PolyRig-Fried

6 months ago

Vance denied election result. Walz will win by a small margin.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

He is

0

bobby88

6 months ago

carefull kiddies , Ipsos associated with ABC news , a DNC front ABC news, Its biased . . Vance would have to be a real clear winner to overcome the bias

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

He is cooked. So is team Walz. Polymarket is ultra left leaning IMO and even leaning JD now says a lot.

2

n/a

6 months ago

CNN, the most liberal news network in the world is bashing Walz and siding with Vance.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Thanks for your contributions

0

0x829BF077B17B7623Db4733E57bd72A2ad8edA65E-1727042640743

6 months ago

Be real, the people engaged enough to watch a VP debate arnt going to change their mind about vance after months of him being demonized. Denying the election at the end just cemented that

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Why do boys need tampons?

0

n/a

6 months ago

Why is the tampon thing such a sticking point?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

So much joy

2

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

“I became friends with school shooters” what??? 😅

6

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Lmfao 🚘 🦌

0

MacroGuy

6 months ago

Walz dressing up tonight for Halloween as a deer in headlights.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Lmfao 🤣

0

MacroGuy

6 months ago

Walz dressing up tonight for Halloween as a deer in headlights.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

From the Harris playbook “middle class family”

0

ReahPublican

6 months ago

His childhood for some reason

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Yeah, I’m kinda new around here. I’m pretty disappointed in a few of these markets. The ambiguity and arguing really takes the enjoyment out of this and I am not sure I trust this community to be honest. Had enough of this market. Kept buying back in but it’s not worth it IMO.

4

asimov

6 months ago

The spread on "Yes" is an indictment in the lack of trust in the neutrality and accuracy of the resolution process. "Establish control of any part" should not allow for ambiguity being brought up for things like establishing permanent control over Lebanon.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Question - are some shareholders also part of the governing body (UMA?) that vote to settle disputes? I’m trying to understand the process better.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Lmfao those dirty Americans

0

DFK

6 months ago

(in this scenario I assumed you were American. No offense if you're not. It's not because your name is Scott and you say dumb shit that I should jump to conclusions).

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Honestly is the most comprehensive resource yet

3

Ravenholdt

6 months ago

I know I lost this bet but wikipedia bruh really

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

How is that shady? If September is yes, this is as well.

0

HighRoller

6 months ago

There is something very shady happening; some people want to resolve it as 'Yes' because the September invasion is in dispute. So, if it resolves as 'Yes', they can claim November is already a 'Yes'.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Because it is believed this event has already happened.

3

Goobies

6 months ago

Why is there an outcome for this when there is a full month before the bet concludes??

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It is disputed

1

PolyPollUser

6 months ago

If y'all wanna dispute this, bring it on -- I look forward to destroying you on the UMA discord.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Right, I guess I’m asking if that is disputed, doesn’t this event say until November? Would it remain open?

3

Smashtouille

6 months ago

anyone holding 10k+ no's should dispute, price is gonna double

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Wouldn’t there still be 30 more days?

0

Smashtouille

6 months ago

anyone holding 10k+ no's should dispute, price is gonna double

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Mmhmm

1

0xBama

6 months ago

There is no invasion

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

That could just be because there’s money to be made off people who are hellbent it isn’t an invasion. Betting doesn’t equate belief :)

0

DFK

6 months ago

and 50-Pence decided to join the dark side. I'm so shocked. Well I made my bed. Now I'll wait.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I keep dipping my toes back in and going for a swim lol

0

DFK

6 months ago

I see you're going all in ;)

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

@chad tore down the wall

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

I’m honestly curious how September will resolve. It’s rough over there.

2

DFK

6 months ago

why is no-one proposing?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

This is very clearly no. Please buy more.

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Probably will see how September market resolves. Disputed twice. Under final review.

1

KKAJ

6 months ago

https://x.com/suppressednws/status/1841097247687147692?s=46 How can Russia demand this and this market not being resolved yet?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

😂😂😂

2

Donkov

6 months ago

Mr HL, tear down that 89.7 wall

Will Biden visit Asheville by Friday?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

It’s called a telephone! 😂

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Thank you 😊 GG everyone. Btw, invasion FTW!!!

1

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

HaterzLoserz, you pretty much bought me out and we kept the shares ~90¢. I didn’t realize Polymarket was so dramatic! Hahaha 😆 if September goes down as No, I shall return for the dip. Muahahahahaha

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

HaterzLoserz, you pretty much bought me out and we kept the shares ~90¢. I didn’t realize Polymarket was so dramatic! Hahaha 😆 if September goes down as No, I shall return for the dip. Muahahahahaha

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Ahh. The “no Diddy” made me think for sure USA

1

HaterzLoserz

6 months ago

@justlaura not american and retired because of Eth ;) $8 club

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Just a guess. It’s a vibe. 😂

0

HaterzLoserz

6 months ago

Helping Dark Lords is what I do in my free time bro, no biggie/no diddy

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

You’re a dirty American who retired because of BTC aren’t you?

0

HaterzLoserz

6 months ago

Helping Dark Lords is what I do in my free time bro, no biggie/no diddy

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

They are pushing up the border to where it was supposed to be established as a buffer zone 50 years ago. They will effectively control this area to safely return Israelis to their homes in Northern Territory which they fled because of attacks from Hezbollah.

8

David Manheim

6 months ago

"intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" seems critical right now - likely, but still very unclear.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Nah, that Michigan POTUS election winner going to Harris is pretty risky. Atlas and Trafalgar have Trump 3+ and dem internal polling show Trump 3+ also.

1

scottilicious

6 months ago

I'm sticking w/my NO and even added a little. By far the riskiest play in my portfolio however: (1) Language of the Q calls for an invasion meant to establish control vs clearing out a threat (2) Diplomatic solution could still come at any time (3) Netanyahu probably doesn't want to deal with the diplomatic and military headaches of an invasion. Incursions, cross border raids etc etc are very different but they don't count for this market!

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

There’s that “i” word

1

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

https://www.foxnews.com/world/israeli-commandos-utilize-eradicated-hezbollah-tunnels-amid-anticipated-ground-invasion-lebanon-report

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

https://www.foxnews.com/world/israeli-commandos-utilize-eradicated-hezbollah-tunnels-amid-anticipated-ground-invasion-lebanon-report

0

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Fox News - Breaking News: Israel invasion of Lebanon “imminent”

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Fox News - Breaking News: Israel invasion of Lebanon “imminent”

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Is removing something by force exerting control?

1

Mr.Wellington

6 months ago

The key condition for the market to resolve to "Yes" is that Israel must launch a military offensive with the intent to establish control over part of Lebanon. If the stated goal of the operation is a limited incursion, even if ground forces are deployed, and there is no mention of controlling or holding territory, it would not meet the criteria for the market to resolve to "Yes."

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Isn’t the intent to push the border Northward and return Israelis home?

0

scottilicious

6 months ago

Limited ground operation is not an invasion folks.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Sounds like an interesting earthly market

0

HaterzLoserz

6 months ago

@Justifax thats what allows me to put it all together, its the unconscious mind allowing all the moving parts to find their likely resolutions ^ Theres a reason the fabric of reality works the same as a mycelium network ;) Its Rhizomatic in nature. So is your brain. This is not a coincidence. Study Deleuze ;)

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The US election! 🤪

2

Mr.Wellington

6 months ago

drop some links

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Bruh 😵‍💫

0

Justifax

6 months ago

There should be a rule that if you want to actively pump your side, you need to buy like X amount of shares per word first.

Ravens vs. Bills

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Beast

0

babendums

6 months ago

y bills can't stop that dude

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Alright. So we have holidays and the US election deterring Israel. Anything else?

0

Mr.Wellington

6 months ago

3 Jewish Holidays in October. Low chance of them actually going into Lebanon. Media is hyping this up lol

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

The US election is coming up?! Well, gee. That changes everything.

2

Mr.Wellington

6 months ago

No chance. U.S election coming up... expect the airstrikes to continue but a second front won't be open in the north for Israel. Hezbollah leadership is gone no need to invade and lose Israeli soldiers.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

According to the people of Polymarket, somehow, yes 🤷🏻‍♀️

0

abdendriel

6 months ago

Tanks 2 min away from the town, ceasefire off the table, IDF chief declared the air strikes are prep for boots on the ground, angry Bibi speech. Are the odds of this market really similar to those of the US election?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Israel is not backing down regardless of what USA wants. That is what is different than business as usual.

1

latenightdegen

6 months ago

Hezbollah refuses to stop attacking Israel as long as the war in Gaza goes on (and/or that they exist). They're sticking to their position, so it's rational to expect no ceasefire to actually occur, like we've seen over the last 11+ months in Gaza. US can speak to everyone and get them all to agree, but if the extremist terror group decides to keep fighting, not much anyone can/will do (besides Israel)

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

18 years of intelligence and planning will not resolute with ceasefire declaration called for by weak USA

0

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

Meow.Zedong

6 months ago

Nah bruh. People are voting already. Kamala was offered additional debates in August and she declined. Although she categorically won the debate, she didn’t really resonate with voters on key issues. She didn’t offer specific policy platforms. Mostly emotional platitudes and digs at Donald Trump. She needs another debate more than he does. I’m sure his internal polling shows that. People know Trump. They needed to get to know Harris and she didn’t really deliver. Oh well.

1

Chen1996

6 months ago

Vice President Harris has accepted an invitation from CNN for a second presidential debate on October 23 in Atlanta, Georgia at 9 pm ET.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

A bit early mate! 🏴‍☠️

0

Apsalar

7 months ago

my sources are telling me "too early to call". would have preferred a "too close to call", but i'll take it.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Too soon to call

0

Apsalar

7 months ago

my sources are telling me "too early to call". would have preferred a "too close to call", but i'll take it.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

I feel like I’m at a D&B show and I’m waiting for that bass to drop but the song might be over 😂

1

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

This fight is for whales and sea monsters. You are but a plankton floating in the abyss.

1

caiou

7 months ago

when we fight we win

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Torsades de Pointes pendant quatre heures ou Harris Asystole?

0

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Foreshadowing

0

TheGuru

7 months ago

It's always quiet before the storm

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

I mean it almost seems like some of these guys must operate like 4 or 5 accounts right?? Is that possible? I wish I understood markets better. Also JustKam/JustKen must be really good at “just clicking buttons and having fun!!” lol

1

Shayku

7 months ago

50-Pence = TheGuru?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

50-Pence and Waynewest buying up lots of Kamala. Whale watching is interesting.

2

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Uhhh I dunno if it’s the markets that are fake. lol

0

🪦🦁🪦

7 months ago

so your saying markets are all faked ? to max-pain the reasonable, into losing money, to thr Propaganda Manufacturers ? sadly & truly?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

One thing is certain. Trump has a lot of gall. No Dem would agree to the equivalent of that ABC debate. Perhaps to his detriment but seems to make it a wash.

0

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Such drama

0

🪦🦁🪦

7 months ago

trying to sell. this platform doesn't let me. i guess they really wanna MAX PAIN me. like all FAKE USA WAR MACHINE COHESIVE FUCKERS

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

ZionistLion holds 0 Kamala

0

🪦🦁🪦

7 months ago

trying to sell. this platform doesn't let me. i guess they really wanna MAX PAIN me. like all FAKE USA WAR MACHINE COHESIVE FUCKERS

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

I admire your commitment, soldier, but you’re still a comrade.

1

Caligulas.dog

7 months ago

Fuck it, I am going to bed. If waynewest is throwing money at this thing like its barrel of oil in 45 nazi germany, I am holding

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Unless you’re a whale or two

0

Eridpnc

7 months ago

As Trump would say, this lead will be too big to rig.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

There is nothing remotely emotional about my factual statement.

1

MalikNabers

7 months ago

Sounds like hes gonna chicken out

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

He offered her 3 debates when she became the nominee and she declined all but ABC.

2

MalikNabers

7 months ago

Sounds like hes gonna chicken out

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Yup. I keep thinking back to how Trump offered a total of 3 debates with fox being one of them when she first became the nominee and she said no.

1

jl3128776

7 months ago

If trump insists on fox, there is no way Kamala agrees to it

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Anyone interested in doing this one or two or three more times in the next 56 days??? 😅😅😅 This is a one and done!

1

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

When are we gonna remember BLM Kamala? Or nah?

1

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

When has Harris ever performed well in a presidential debate? She read from notes with Mike Pence. She’s in trouble.

0

Eridpnc

7 months ago

I am a democrat and I feel threatened by this MAGA surge!

Will Trump say a slur during the debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

No but Kumala the border czar might be

1

LuckyLam

7 months ago

is 'Border Czar' a slur ?

Will Trump say a slur during the debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

As someone who is certifiably insane, I am offended.

0

RyanBetting

7 months ago

Whoa, whoa. Watch the slurs buddy.

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

I think it’s really funny for anyone to suggest that there is somehow a built in get rich quick scam in Biden issuing Hunter a presidential pardon on Polymarket. lol

1

Mountainman

7 months ago

You do realize that you proved the exact opposite point that you are trying to make? You are essentially saying that if you find a good deal on this site that you should keep it to yourself so only you can profit.... Maybe some of us would like to do the opposite, and actually provide value to others and all make money together...... Not to mention that the true believers have put their money where their mouths are and have bought all that they could.... unlike you :)

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

You are a square.

2

n/a

7 months ago

Lot of people trying real hard to pump up their YES shares. Keep buying more instead of spamming it in the comments. You sound like those get rich quick scammers trying to convince strangers to buy your position

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Muahahahah

0

Caligulas.dog

7 months ago

Trump isnt leading in polls

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

¥¥¥

0

have

7 months ago

???

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Projection, darling. You wear it so well. Divine.

0

BenCM

7 months ago

Harrris will win the debate. Magets will keep the faith, and there is a fair few of them here in polymarket

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Maybe I misunderstand. You say you she has more upwards potential because the expectations for her are even lower than trump

0

CheerfulPessimist

7 months ago

Debates usually don't have much of an impact (with the one obv. exception). Although, I do believe Harris has more upwards potential, expectations for Trump are low, so if he simply can contain himself for 90 minutes and stay on policy, people might say he did better than expected.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

You think Harris is on the upswing? She never got the post DNC bounce in polls that most candidates get. Polls are trending towards Trump. She is a politician who becomes viewed more unfavorably the more time she spends in view of the American people. Check her VP favorability ratings if you don’t believe me. I’m curious how you think

0

CheerfulPessimist

7 months ago

Debates usually don't have much of an impact (with the one obv. exception). Although, I do believe Harris has more upwards potential, expectations for Trump are low, so if he simply can contain himself for 90 minutes and stay on policy, people might say he did better than expected.

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

This is a place to win money, not vote for our personal hopes and dreams.

1

cruickshanktommy

7 months ago

Democrats win both

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Wellll? We’re waiting….???

0

Buddhabutt

8 months ago

time to buy NO shares. Biden never lies. No way he is gonna pardon his son.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Lmao so you can buy Harris shares at 90c?? 😂

0

grappli

7 months ago

Don't unload now Trumpers, I have some capital coming in soon. Can you hold on for a few more hours to keep the price low for me?

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Just to be clear, you sold Harris shares, correct?

0

Remontada

7 months ago

I'm so glad I sold this weeks ago

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

It’s happening

1

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Hmm I am interpreting this differently as the information available appears to be discussing individual polling averages increase/decrease. I suppose it equates to the same thing but when I look at their momentum individually, it is much closer seeming and less clearly Harris to me. :)

0

babendums

7 months ago

simple, Harris was at 1.6 on Aug 23, if the graph shows 1.7 or higher, when we get the graph print for 8/31, this market resolves Harris.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

Okay I’m going to phrase this a different way. Is this market based on each candidates personal polling averages from the specified dates irrespective of candidate position to each other? In essence this is about each candidates own momentum not where they stand.

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Meow.Zedong

7 months ago

lol it does not say the first poll for 8/31

1

TheOneB

7 months ago

Rasmussen polls are 4 days. This market closes as soon as a single poll gets counted for the 31. Rasmussen probably won't be it