Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

OmenOfLord

1 day ago

https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-satoshis-identity-be-proven/will-satoshi-nakamotos-identity-be-proven-in-q4-2024?tid=1728446499732 Another Satoshi Market, good odds and good returns

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

OmenOfLord

1 day ago

a few hours

0

arthurito

1 day ago

how long does it usually take for markets to close after UMA settlement?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

OmenOfLord

1 day ago

https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-satoshis-identity-be-proven/will-satoshi-nakamotos-identity-be-proven-in-q4-2024?tid=1728437453665 Easily not proven. Just another market to make money in

2

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

OmenOfLord

2 days ago

We know, it is a singular name. We know they are alive. We know that this information was given to journalists prior to the release, so there are likely insiders. It's a bit strange Len and Hal are even above 1%. My educated guesses in order is Adam, Other, then Nick.

2

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

OmenOfLord

2 days ago

Because I traded them earlier. I bought them on bids

0

n/a

2 days ago

Why do you have so much more Adam than Nick then?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

OmenOfLord

2 days ago

They aren't new. They are someone who is buying both sides. Check the wallets. :)

0

Woofofallstreet

2 days ago

some new accounts buying huge $$$ of yes for other/multiple, not going to bet against it

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

OmenOfLord

2 days ago

https://x.com/CullenHoback/status/1842286135319691745 It is not multiple, it's either on the list, or not on the list at all.

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

OmenOfLord

2 days ago

Nick Szabo created BitGold, He created smart contracts, he was 15 years ahead of Bitcoin, to think that he couldn't have been the one to make Bitcoin seems strange. He is definitely my most likely canidate, he is also alive. I believe he would deny being Satoshi, and Satoshi if an individual would likely have burned the keys to access the crytpo. He also has 20+ papers on Bitcoin that he's published.

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

OmenOfLord

2 days ago

he's dead

0

CRYPTU

2 days ago

other is shooting up because people think its Isamu Kaneko

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

2 weeks ago

trans so cheap has he not said it?

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

death, taxes, and border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

2 weeks ago

usually 1 hour

1

KingofRingx3

2 weeks ago

How long is he expected to speak for btw?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

Tokens launched prior to the start date of this market will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

UMA is going to have a field day with this market. But ultimately, this market was always about Donald Trump releasing a memecoin or his own crypto coin. Meaning it would have been open to the public, not some governance token only available to insiders on a project by his sons and his golf partner.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

There will be a token, Trump is involved. Now we have to wonder if it will be launched before the election. Literally the final question, considering the whitepaper and financial incentive I assume it will be. GLTA.

4

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

ggs

0

What will Trump say during X space?

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

Yeah I guess all of these 1% are super cheap then? Like 1$ of each lol

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

He could come back but he almost certainly won't.

What will Trump say during X space?

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

Is Trump still going to talk or did he leave the chat? I see him in there but he doesn't seem to be speaking...

0

Candiey

3 weeks ago

its been over

What will Trump say during X space?

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

Is this over ?

1

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

Additional Context is always resolved how they say. They're just giving time to get out of positions. Same thing happened with Tim Walz Teacher.

0

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

Best to sell now before PM resolves thos.

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

Best to sell now before PM resolves thos.

0

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

Hey wait until 12:01 so you don't get too earlied by UMA. I'm a UMA voter and it happens all the time.

0

BlueSky123

3 weeks ago

Will propose this at 11:59 eastern time on the dot if possible. Hopefully someone doesn't beat me by a few seconds, UMA can be slow.

Fact Check: Suspect registered D or R?

OmenOfLord

3 weeks ago

That means a 50/50 split

0

7153649820

3 weeks ago

"Voter records indicate that he was an unaffiliated voter but did vote in the Democratic primary in Guilford County". Source: https://www.newsnationnow.com/crime/trump-florida-suspect-ryan-wesley-routh/

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

OmenOfLord

0 months ago

https://polymarket.com/event/favorite-to-win-on-polymarket-one-week-after-debate/favorite-to-win-on-polymarket-one-week-after-debate?tid=1726111852665

1

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Magnus played amazingly, Alireza definitely underperformed I think he had a lot more time troubles than normal and got tilted in the 5-1 and from there it was over. GGS

2

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Guys magnus has this. Come on :(

1

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Gy

0

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I know he's very but his Blitz rating is much higher right now. I'm specifically referring to him vs Magnus, not overall world. As Magnus ages he may very well become world #1 but he won't be Magnus' level, not in classical.

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Same Alireza is +EV value. Magnus is favored, but not 2/3 favored. They are literally only a few blitz points off one another, I also believe Alireza wants this more than Magnus ever could. There to me is an undeterminable value to wanting something so badly. It's hard to feel Magnus is pushing as hard for this as Canidates, but Alireza classical is weaker, his career is largely shorter formats. He wants to prove himself.

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Same Alireza is +EV value. Magnus is favored, but not 2/3 favored. They are literally only a few blitz points off one another, I also believe Alireza wants this more than Magnus ever could. There to me is an undeterminable value to wanting something so badly. It's hard to feel Magnus is pushing as hard for this as Canidates, but Alireza classical is weaker, his career is largely shorter formats. He wants to prove himself.

1

grappli

1 month ago

I predict Magnus will win, but went with Alireza here because it has the better value. It's gonna be a close one

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

The elo suggests Magnus would win 54% of their matches. I weighted the ELO as 70% FIDE Blitz (where Magnus has a bigger edge) 10% Chess.com Blitz, and 20% Rapid FIDE (Where again magnus has edge). Comes out to expected 54% for Magnus.

0

Grrrenouille

1 month ago

It isn't the expected score that is interesting but the probability of winning. Also you should bear in mind that the results of the different games are not independent.

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Carlson had less over hans than Hikaru had. Also you have to weight recent performance higher.

1

TheGuru

1 month ago

If you assume they play 30 games and Carlson has an elo rating of 72 points higher than Alireza the average expected score is 18-12 to Carlson

Brandon Aiyuk next team?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I can resolve later today if not finished by 9pm. I usually resolve and link wallet ask for tip. I assume no one wants to resolve due to dispute risk idk

0

Chrome

1 month ago

can this resolve lol

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Goodluck everyone

1

Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

that's my wallet ID on PM here if you want to send tip. Hope you guys made money!

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

0x4987eA1F1Cdfeeb2df6ce1D2d4E680eDf3cB804b

Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

0x4987eA1F1Cdfeeb2df6ce1D2d4E680eDf3cB804b

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Just proposed yes for hikaru

Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Just proposed yes for hikaru

0

Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I'm about to

0

BlueSky123

1 month ago

Can this be proposed for Hikaru YES or is it too soon?

Who is asked the first debate question?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I'm not saying that it will be either. I'm saying they are going to flip a coin to determine first question. It's still 50/50.

3

taizong

1 month ago

https://time.com/7018380/harris-trump-debate-rules-microphones-abc-2024/ If coin flip decides who speaks first, they would have enumerated that the same way they specified for "Who speaks last" here in the rules.

Who is asked the first debate question?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

In the past 40, and 20 years I compared all these stats from every non-town hall debate, from which there were, and we're not coin tosses. With everything I had it said Trump should get a first question 49% or 51% of the time dependent on 20/40 years ago. As well as ABC giving first question to the coin flip winner in 1980, who chose closing statements, is the only ABC debate. This is as 50/50 as it can be.

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Dude I spent like 7 hours researching. Podium Position, Party, Incumbent, who hosted the debate, David Muhr and the Co-Chair. If consecutive debates did the same party get asked first question, all these things relative to who won coin toss for Podium Position, etc. etc. There is nothing I don't know. Also this is definitely not getting insider traded with 40k bet.

Who is asked the first debate question?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Dude I spent like 7 hours researching. Podium Position, Party, Incumbent, who hosted the debate, David Muhr and the Co-Chair. If consecutive debates did the same party get asked first question, all these things relative to who won coin toss for Podium Position, etc. etc. There is nothing I don't know. Also this is definitely not getting insider traded with 40k bet.

1

taizong

1 month ago

Honestly @OmenOfLord what you're saying makes a lot of sense but 1. This market is definitely getting inside traded and 2. it is noteworthy that of the past 6 debates Trump has been in, the Democratic candidate has gone first 5 times (2024Biden#1, 2020Biden#2, all 3 Clinton Debates). Also noteworthy is ABC explicitly said they only did a coin flip for closing statements + podium position. They did not say the same for opening question.

What will Trump say at the debate?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

This isn't a rally by the way. His campaign advisors know their audience. He's going to be as civil as he can be while still bragging and talking about how good the economy was, and immigration, under him.

0

What will Kamala say at the debate?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Unrealized has to be Kamalas #1 most controversial plan. It has large media attention, and definitely will be question because it's by far the biggest economic policy she's launched. Even if Trump gets asked about his tax cuts, she will get a counter question about her Unrealized Tax Plan. It's 70/30 easy. But it's 100% a question.

3

Who is asked the first debate question?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

In 1980 Reagan won the coin flip, chose to deliver the closing statement, and was asked the first question. This was the only event hosted by ABC news.

0

Who is asked the first debate question?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Coin flip to determine first question leaked. Ggs

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I believe a cut is 100% certain. Bond markets will tell. Fedwatch is a reliable tool. There is also next weeks, data, and the revision down 86k jobs June/July. 50bps cut is basically a 50/50 right now. Bond markets trading with billions daily. I don't think 50bps is panic either, we are at restrictive Fed policy for quite a while now

1

n/a

1 month ago

Fed gonna panic cut 50bps w inflation still above target and unemployment 4.2%, lol ok

Who is asked the first debate question?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Basically, anything over 50% you get an expected loss, and anything below 50% is an expected gain. It's literally your house edge. These are all ABC debates, all coin toss.

2

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

2016 Presidential Debates: ABC, in collaboration with other networks, followed standard procedures such as a coin toss to decide who received the first question. For example, in the debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, a coin toss determined who answered first. 2012 Presidential Debates: Similarly, the first question in debates moderated by ABC was often determined by a coin toss. In one debate, Mitt Romney and Barack Obama had the order decided through this impartial method. 2008 Presidential Debates: During debates between John McCain and Barack Obama, ABC also relied on a coin toss to determine the first question. This practice ensures that neither candidate has an unfair advantage. 2004 Presidential Debates: In the debates between George W. Bush and John Kerry, ABC and other networks conducted coin tosses to determine the order of questions and who got the first question. This was common practice during the debates sponsored by the Commission on Presidential Debates​( DGE Press )​( ABC10 ). 2020 Presidential Debate: For the 2020 debates between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, including one hosted by ABC, the coin toss determined who would answer the first question, a standard that has been consistent for many years​( ABC10 ).

Who is asked the first debate question?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

2016 Presidential Debates: ABC, in collaboration with other networks, followed standard procedures such as a coin toss to decide who received the first question. For example, in the debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, a coin toss determined who answered first. 2012 Presidential Debates: Similarly, the first question in debates moderated by ABC was often determined by a coin toss. In one debate, Mitt Romney and Barack Obama had the order decided through this impartial method. 2008 Presidential Debates: During debates between John McCain and Barack Obama, ABC also relied on a coin toss to determine the first question. This practice ensures that neither candidate has an unfair advantage. 2004 Presidential Debates: In the debates between George W. Bush and John Kerry, ABC and other networks conducted coin tosses to determine the order of questions and who got the first question. This was common practice during the debates sponsored by the Commission on Presidential Debates​( DGE Press )​( ABC10 ). 2020 Presidential Debate: For the 2020 debates between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, including one hosted by ABC, the coin toss determined who would answer the first question, a standard that has been consistent for many years​( ABC10 ).

2

Who is asked the first debate question?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Coin flips have been used in most of the debates since 2012. Also the order of closing statements, or position of where they are standing have never been determinant of the first question. It's a 50/50 through hours of research I've done.

2

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

50/50 is the only answer

Who is asked the first debate question?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

50/50 is the only answer

2

What will Trump say during Wisconsin rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Good luck guys :D

1

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

goodluck everyone!

0

Highest grossing movie in 2024?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

You have 209k other my guy. You're burning money

2

DumbMoney1

1 month ago

Is this chatgpt. If so never do that again

Highest grossing movie in 2024?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I'm not sure who will win but ~20% chance of Deadpool 3. I tried to predict but it's very tough right now because both films are performing very well. I did look at many other films to predict. Deadpool 3 may win out, it's out performing every rated R film, previous Marvel films, and Oppenheimer/Joker. Most films rated R never make it this far, in this many theatres. Inside Out should gross 4-6 million more before ending, on average.

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

If you prefer a more conservative estimate, placing the chances of "Deadpool 3" surpassing "Inside Out 2" at around 20-25% is reasonable when accounting for the significant family appeal and global success of the "Inside Out" franchise. Despite "Deadpool 3" performing exceptionally well with its core audience, family-oriented films like "Inside Out 2" have historically maintained longer box office longevity and wider demographic reach. Thus, "Inside Out 2" could outperform "Deadpool 3" in overall gross

Highest grossing movie in 2024?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

If you prefer a more conservative estimate, placing the chances of "Deadpool 3" surpassing "Inside Out 2" at around 20-25% is reasonable when accounting for the significant family appeal and global success of the "Inside Out" franchise. Despite "Deadpool 3" performing exceptionally well with its core audience, family-oriented films like "Inside Out 2" have historically maintained longer box office longevity and wider demographic reach. Thus, "Inside Out 2" could outperform "Deadpool 3" in overall gross

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

insiders probably

0

n/a

1 month ago

I'm confused, did it air?

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Yes but think about which had the highest chance of success, of him directly speaking the words. I think Mcdonald's has the highest chance. I don't believe they had to be betting, but from what I've heard several insiders were approached before they ever recorded the episode. People had insiders before it even went live. I'd say 30% chance she's at least told to try to get him to bring it up, probably offered some money without even knowing the intention. I feel like since it was in the news so much it would be easy to trick the supporter into saying it

0

n/a

1 month ago

I'd be willing to sidebet with anyone credible that the person who shouted mcdonalds was not an insider nor trading on polymarket

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

To think that they just yell out, the only person at the crowd to do so, and it just happens to be something he didn't bring up on his own, it just seems suspicious, at the very least I think we can agree on that?

1

n/a

1 month ago

I'd be willing to sidebet with anyone credible that the person who shouted mcdonalds was not an insider nor trading on polymarket

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

definitely hurts more now eh

0

n/a

1 month ago

Congrats to whoever bought my Afganistan shares for .01

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I maxed out my account. I quite literally couldn't put any more down. Sorry about your losses. I spent over an hour finding sources, and still others had sources inside from the get go.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Hey guys I have serious insider information that I could just bet on to make a lot of money but instead I will share it with you for free because I am such a generous person. I am totally not pumping my shares.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I think I pissed off every insider with information. Funny how everything went to .99 right after, they definitely wouldn't use their information to take advantage. invite me to your private discords and I won't leak my confidential info next time. I'm here to make money

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

To think that the McDonald's people didn't have insiders yell that, everyone smart here has insiders for betting. They have discords dedicated to it. All the big players

0

7153649820

1 month ago

trump said mail-in, gang, crypto, bitcoin, and maga 3+ times. He didn't say afghanistan or communism. Source: trust me bro

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I specifically asked about only the Q and A from both my sources, because everything else was irrelevant. I assume everyone will do their own research as you say. As second hand evidence, is not always best as everyone should know and take with a grain of salt.

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I was told by a source on Twitter that he mentioned Communism in the Q and A directly. I don't want to give out handles, as he said he's already been contacted 10+ times just from being there

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I was told by a source on Twitter that he mentioned Communism in the Q and A directly. I don't want to give out handles, as he said he's already been contacted 10+ times just from being there

0

n/a

1 month ago

I’ve asked many people from X who were actually at the recording, and they told me that Trump didn’t mention "communism/communist" during the pre-recorded segment, although a man asked something related in Q&A. Now, I can't say this with 100% certainty since I wasn’t there myself, but it’s what they’ve shared with me. Just something to keep in mind if you're betting on this, definitely dyor to confirm!

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

The podcast was leaked on an untitled video and everyone that knew about it made tons of money.

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

For those wondering I would share this, I was burned on a bet ~1300$ on how long the podcast with Trump would be with Lex Fridman, and I don't want others taken advantage of like I was. The big guys already have enough discord followers and power.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

For those wondering I would share this, I was burned on a bet ~1300$ on how long the podcast with Trump would be with Lex Fridman, and I don't want others taken advantage of like I was. The big guys already have enough discord followers and power.

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I'm down to spill my leaks. Just don't take them for face value 100%, I wasn't there. I have 2 different sources who were I found them after the fact and verified they were there. Otherwise it's all insiders trampling everyone.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

That's the leak, from two sources I verified were there in person, from Twitter, I am going to continue to find more sources tomorrow before this aires, but if you are wondering about why convictions are so high it's because people had people on the inside, or talked to them after. It's not a fair market, and I put my money where my mouth is, I am hoping this helps everyone out. My 2 sources could be wrong, but I'm taking them at face value having verfied they were there. The Q and A was not nearly as long as the 1 hour segment, lasting under 15 minutes.

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

From my sources, he stayed for 5 questions, pretty softballs ones. He SUPPOSEDLY mentioned Afghanistan and Communism, he did not meet the Border 15+, he did not speak of crypto or bitcoin, he did not talk about gangs, mail in, or meet the 3+ Comrade Kamala limit.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

From my sources, he stayed for 5 questions, pretty softballs ones. He SUPPOSEDLY mentioned Afghanistan and Communism, he did not meet the Border 15+, he did not speak of crypto or bitcoin, he did not talk about gangs, mail in, or meet the 3+ Comrade Kamala limit.

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I'm down to spill my leaks. Just don't take them for face value 100%, I wasn't there. I have 2 different sources who were I found them after the fact and verified they were there. Otherwise it's all insiders trampling everyone.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I'm down to spill my leaks. Just don't take them for face value 100%, I wasn't there. I have 2 different sources who were I found them after the fact and verified they were there. Otherwise it's all insiders trampling everyone.

2

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Guys it's leaked. The part 2 questions are leaked, there are insiders on Twitter leaked for us. Don't bet unless you have insiders please

1

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

we don't know that lol

0

isobelllle

1 month ago

two shows, means next one is another 1 hrs pre recorded QA

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

50/50 would make every no holder very poor lol

1

Pupa

1 month ago

Propose 50/50 at least for unresolved. In the rules it talks about the event not how it will be aired. Event wasn't delayed

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

It shouldn't be considered. The 1 hour town hall, should not be considered with a seperate Q and A aired later. You're totally up to buy the yes votes, but I wouldn't suggest it

0

Tories4Harris

1 month ago

Doesn't matter Poly will probably not consider it.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I don't think most people here agree with that. The Town Hall is different from the Q and A.

0

Castaway1

1 month ago

if its all pre-recorded and they've just split the event into two parts (but it was all filmed on the same day) then its all part of the same town hall event.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

All others, resolve no. Delayed beyond September 4th. Pretty clear.

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

The town hall, as aired was 9-10pm. I don't think a seperate Q and A, aired a different day is what were we betting on/

0

Chen1996

1 month ago

Dispute incoming

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I doubt that counts. From what I understand this is the airing.

0

rozi

1 month ago

If they are airing the Q&A tomorrow, we have to wait with all the 'No's until then I guess.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

the count is 8...

0

n/a

1 month ago

the count is 3

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

best luck to all

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

did Trump already say some of these things?

0

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Tomorrow we get jobless claims and a lot more data. 25 or 50 will be moving much closer to 80-100% certainty. Today's data moved 50bps from 25 to 45%.

3

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

There are maybe 1 in 10,000 chance or something but nowhere close to 2%.

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Also no rate change is 0.00% Free money for anyone who'd want to vote no on that.

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Also no rate change is 0.00% Free money for anyone who'd want to vote no on that.

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

CME GROUP Fedwatch odds are 45% for 50. 55% for 25. These are based on rate markets and anything deviating from these rates is cheaper/more expensive.

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

CME GROUP Fedwatch odds are 45% for 50. 55% for 25. These are based on rate markets and anything deviating from these rates is cheaper/more expensive.

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

If I could propose no right now I would. That's the difference I suppose.

1

Mountainman

1 month ago

Imagine having to argue that this is “NO” after someone proposes “YES”. You are going to have to argue that the Non-Fungible TOKEN he launched last week is not a TOKEN, and that the Fungible TOKEN he is launching now is not his even though he is listed as part of the team in the whitepaper and is promoting it on his official Socials. Someone better wake up Johnnie Cochran because he is the only one that has a chance of winning that case!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

You're pretty demeaning for someone who's right. If you're right just propose it and let me lose my money. I'm not trying to be rude or hateful, just do it right now. It's quite literally in your best interest.

1

Mountainman

1 month ago

Imagine having to argue that this is “NO” after someone proposes “YES”. You are going to have to argue that the Non-Fungible TOKEN he launched last week is not a TOKEN, and that the Fungible TOKEN he is launching now is not his even though he is listed as part of the team in the whitepaper and is promoting it on his official Socials. Someone better wake up Johnnie Cochran because he is the only one that has a chance of winning that case!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Why don't you propose it dude. You're beating the horse

4

Mountainman

1 month ago

Imagine having to argue that this is “NO” after someone proposes “YES”. You are going to have to argue that the Non-Fungible TOKEN he launched last week is not a TOKEN, and that the Fungible TOKEN he is launching now is not his even though he is listed as part of the team in the whitepaper and is promoting it on his official Socials. Someone better wake up Johnnie Cochran because he is the only one that has a chance of winning that case!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Car is back out, time to see the swap back to no just in time lmao

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I put my thesis in, but to Mountaiman, I certainly could hide from it. It's very easy to make another wallet and be holding different positions, I could also delete comments or change my username. I'll let you guys' pump for a while though.

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Yes. I didn't claim I was smart. I also don't hide from my choices or past mistakes. Although I did not lose all my money. I have no ill will towards anyone, best of luck to all. Perhaps I'm wrong again, time will tell.

1

XiJinPing

1 month ago

"omg i have $800 profit", "i am so smart", then proceeds to lose his entire account lmao

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Well you ought to sell the rest of your shares and buy some yes votes before the price shoots to 100c

0

Mountainman

1 month ago

No one is reading that, hahaha.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

ChatGPT is a pretty easy tool to use. Eric Trump officially announced the World Liberty Financial project in August 2024. While the exact day varies slightly across sources, it is most commonly cited as early to mid-August, coinciding with social media posts and public statements. Mid-August this was trading around .13 at low and .28 at peak, and I don't have time decay on my shares.

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

The earliest mention of World Liberty Financial (WLFI) by Donald Trump came in May 2024 during a Mar-a-Lago event, where he discussed his support for cryptocurrency and hinted at a new DeFi project aimed at disrupting traditional financial institutions. Trump later expanded on his pro-crypto stance at a Bitcoin conference in Nashville in July, where he emphasized his vision for the U.S. to become a leader in the blockchain space​( Cointelegraph , POLITICO ). Eric Trump officially unveiled the project publicly in August 2024, positioning World Liberty Financial as a decentralized finance platform focused on cutting out traditional intermediaries and offering users more control over their financial assets​( Arabian Post ). Both Trump and Eric highlighted their plans to integrate advanced blockchain technologies to provide secure and efficient financial services​( Cointelegraph ).

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

The earliest mention of World Liberty Financial (WLFI) by Donald Trump came in May 2024 during a Mar-a-Lago event, where he discussed his support for cryptocurrency and hinted at a new DeFi project aimed at disrupting traditional financial institutions. Trump later expanded on his pro-crypto stance at a Bitcoin conference in Nashville in July, where he emphasized his vision for the U.S. to become a leader in the blockchain space​( Cointelegraph , POLITICO ). Eric Trump officially unveiled the project publicly in August 2024, positioning World Liberty Financial as a decentralized finance platform focused on cutting out traditional intermediaries and offering users more control over their financial assets​( Arabian Post ). Both Trump and Eric highlighted their plans to integrate advanced blockchain technologies to provide secure and efficient financial services​( Cointelegraph ).

2

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

The conviction should not jump from .20 average to .40 because of a hack. We can agree to disagree though.

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Ah yes, the old, stop begging us to resolve, as you say it's already definitely able to be resolved. Then complaining when someone asks that you do so, at least I'm sure who you're voting for.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Ah yes, the old, stop begging us to resolve, as you say it's already definitely able to be resolved. Then complaining when someone asks that you do so, at least I'm sure who you're voting for.

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Also, it's an odd thing to buy yes now at pumped prices, when you had months to buy at .10-.20, with so much conviction I would hope you would sell your portfolio to guarantee this 2.5x return

2

Car

1 month ago

The development team already launched multiple test tokens on Ethereum. Funnily enough, thats enough to resolve this market to YES. lol.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Well resolve it then

2

Car

1 month ago

The development team already launched multiple test tokens on Ethereum. Funnily enough, thats enough to resolve this market to YES. lol.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

DJT is down like 90% calls are dirt cheap, and it'll be connected.

1

Mountainman

1 month ago

Donald Trump is in the white paper. Project has been announced. Official Twitter Bio implies that token is coming. NFT already released last week on top of all of this. We have 2 Months for one tweet to say "We are Live" and all the "NO"'s go to zero in seconds. Not to mention that one guy has a majority of the "NO" supply, his buys single handily pumped the market and will be dumping it soon. As soon as this goes live we sky rocket and everyone that is gloating now, will delete their comments. :)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Better off just investing in DJT calls if you've so much conviction.

4

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

60 days.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

60 days.

3

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

If there is already conclusive, definitive evidence that Donald Trump was involved in the deployment of a new token, the Propose a resolution. I get sick of the grifting

3

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

It's important to consider how many people are going to wake up selling their stakes down 50%. Anyone who bought during the pump are probably not the type of people to invest. If there were insiders they would have been buying at .10, not .40+

3

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

You're most of the reason we're able to profit off this exchange, so we appreciate you. You have 61 days, so you're going to decay 1.65% of your value each day. This is heavily in "no" favor. Best of luck though, I don't hold any grudges.

0

Mountainman

1 month ago

More negative PNL buyers flocking in! Let's go!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Also there's time decay to consider. There is only 2 months before this is resolved "no".

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I don't think Trump would ever launch his own coin, he will support Bitcoin like he has in the past. The chances he launches his own coin are closer to 90/10 than 50/50. This is still way pumped high from earlier, should trend down to .10-.20

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I don't think Trump would ever launch his own coin, he will support Bitcoin like he has in the past. The chances he launches his own coin are closer to 90/10 than 50/50. This is still way pumped high from earlier, should trend down to .10-.20

1

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

So we bet against Niemann, got it

1

Grrrenouille

1 month ago

I ran some simulations with a mix of FIDE and chesscom elos (with a slight bonus for Firouzja cause he looks in good shape) and some gaussian variations of elo with sigma=30 to represent tournament shape. My results are quite close to the pricings. Carlsen : 54%, Nakamura : 29%, Firouzja : 15%, Niemann : 1%

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I don't blame anyone. I'm not a hateful person :) Congratulations, again. Let's try staying kind to one another eh?

0

Car

1 month ago

The losers blame everything and everyone except their own incompetence.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Good job dude, grats!

0

Car

1 month ago

Told ya, see you at 99ct!

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Would love the link lmao. I like to make money

0

JamesBond

1 month ago

This was known in the private telegram for the last 8 hours. Found the model of the timer and it didn't have clock functionality.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

true

0

n/a

1 month ago

The clock photo was right all along lol

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

well this is fucked lol

0

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

why?

0

RememberAmalek

1 month ago

other side

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Amerek still has 5k shares

0

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

It did not leak. Someone dumped all their shares, thousands for a huge loss, and people are excited about the clock again.

1

rozi

1 month ago

Did it leak, or what's happening?

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

It's stil about the photo of the clock. Nothing changes, we didn't need an upscaler to find out the time. Jesus christ

2

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Plus I have my hedges in place, I'm almost guarnteed to make some money

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

anything under 50/50 odds is crazy cheap, my average started at .64 cents I worked for hours to bring it down to .52 and just bought up shares at 14 cents each. .33 average... insane

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

anything under 50/50 odds is crazy cheap, my average started at .64 cents I worked for hours to bring it down to .52 and just bought up shares at 14 cents each. .33 average... insane

1

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

RememberAmalek RememberAmalek sold 3,701 Yes at 26.1¢ ($967) He sold all his shares.

0

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

They either have insider info, or aren't confident/switched sides due to the clock. Regardless, nothing changed unless they know lex. I even subbed to Pateron just in case.

1

Ilyassbk

1 month ago

is the video out ?

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Dumping shares, illiquid market.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Wait what actually happened lol

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

no the biggest holders are dumping shares without any liquidity and taking big losses

1

Ilyassbk

1 month ago

is the video out ?

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://multilaw.com/Multilaw/Multilaw/Multilaw_News/Jurisdiction_News/The_first_crypto_insider_trading_case_the_SEC%E2%80%99s_charge_against_ex_Coinbase_manager.aspx

0

n/a

1 month ago

Also insider trading only counts to registered securities

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Also not true, but we can agree to disagree.

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Regardless, Insider Trading is very illegal, and Lex wouldn't be so stupid to use his name when he could be anonymous. It's obviously not him.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Regardless, Insider Trading is very illegal, and Lex wouldn't be so stupid to use his name when he could be anonymous. It's obviously not him.

0

LexFridman

1 month ago

I got you guys

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Yeah because the guy who made the video would be on here lmfao. Obviously someone manipulating the price, even if it was him, he's breaking the law so openly by being on here in the US and he is insider trading. Use your heads gusy

0

LexFridman

1 month ago

I got you guys

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I think most things tend to lean 50/50 when no context is involved. Take the Election for example.

1

sigh

1 month ago

We know for sure the timer is owned and operated by Lex, not Trump or a member of his staff. We know for sure that Trump made no posts on Twitter or Truth Social in the 6 hour block when he was being interviewed. We know for sure that 96 percent of Lex's interviews are longer than 90 minutes. Why isn't this at 90/10?

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

If your tolerance is too high you should probably hedge your position like I did with what he'll mention. I don't think Putin is an 85% mention. If the timer is to be believed than we have ways of mitigating our risk pretty easily, don't die friend. I want to make money together in the future :)

0

sigh

1 month ago

"Trump's other interviews were shorter" - These were by news organisations and influencers. In both cases, their product had to be short for their viewers' short attention spans. News interviews can't be long- they're made for TV. And influencers' audiences fall asleep once the hosts run out of dirty jokes to make. Lex on the other hand has consistently created podcasts over 2 hours, because his audience is engaged, analytical people with a long attention span. That's what makes him successful- he goes places other interviewers don't. 96 percent of his last 200 interviews were longer than 90 mins. To argue that this interview is in the 4 percent that aren't you need a mountain of evidence.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

That being said, I don't believe he cuts his interviews

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I would die laughing if he cut his arguably most important interview to 1:29:59.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I would die laughing if he cut his arguably most important interview to 1:29:59.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Posting in 4 hours

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

He actually moves the timer in that video as well

0

sigh

1 month ago

Lex uses the timer to ensure interviews aren't too short. Here's the timer in a 4 hour interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwN8u6HFH8U (at 2:02:48)

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I mean let's be honest, outside of the timer this would be like a sub 10% chance. It's the only argument holding it up. I've been bringing my average down all day, I'm almost even L

0

sigh

1 month ago

Lex's guests from Jeff Bezos (130 mins) to Tucker Carlson (184 mins) to RFK (148 mins) are happy to talk and talk and talk. This is because of Lex's comprehensive interview style.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I hedged my bet, I bet that Trump wouldn't say some thing in the interview that had a high chance and bet yes on this, so I'm covered either way. There's a small chance I get screwed but I think less than normal 1 sided betting

0

sigh

1 month ago

Trump is always happy to yap. And the one thing Lex will do is probe him on questions about every topic- he does this in every interview

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

He was in person, in Israel. Not quite the same when a foreign leader invites you to Israel for an interview.

1

Sardinianshepherd

1 month ago

lol no way that trump stays in interview for more than an hour, a good benchmark is Lex with netanyahu that was about 1h

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Virtual. Last in person to be less than 90 minutes was April 2022.

1

Sardinianshepherd

1 month ago

lol no way that trump stays in interview for more than an hour, a good benchmark is Lex with netanyahu that was about 1h

What will Trump say during Lex Fridman interview?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I hedged my bet. If this is a 63 minute interview I'm covered and if it's not, then I may get lucky, but as long as it's over 90 I'm covered. I suggest everyone does the same.

0

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I trade it. I bought and sold it several times and made over 800$. When I originally bought I hit the ask, and bought more off the bid. This question I get asked constantly. I only buy and sell the side I'm confident in, as you can see, I did not buy any Yes outcomes ever. Check my activity.

0

Heddgged

1 month ago

Why pump & dump then?

August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I was wrong, I forgot this doesn't include any revision windows. It's the 10th Caesar is right.

0

Kys

1 month ago

when resolve?

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Best of luck, I don't hold ill will against anyone. Certainly, one of us is wrong and we'll find out tomorrow. We're both basing our bets on two different modal interpretations of the data.

0

Car

1 month ago

if the timer says 1hr, it is 1hr. see you at 100ct!

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I have been buying more yes. It's been 161 episodes since in an person interview was under 90 minutes, on a day Trump was already in Texas, with a completely clear schedule and no public appearances, tweets or truth social posts for 7h. I'm saying absent the clock, this should be 95/5. I mean we're all going to find out. Best of luck

1

n/a

1 month ago

and only 1 trump interview has been over 2 hours recently and trump was trying to wrap things up a lot earlier you should buy more yes tho while it’s cheap

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

In the past year there has been 1 single video under 90 minutes and it was with Mark Zuckerberg, not in person. 2.3% as a percentage. 0% if you include the fact Zuckerberg was not present in real life. The last interview in person under 90 minutes as an in person interview was in April 2022.

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

In the past 4 years there since episode 108 where Lex began doing longer form podcasts 15 have been under 90 minutes. A percentage would be .045 as decimal or 4.5% as a percentage. So anything over 5% for a No is basically one single photo of a timer. That's the entire betting line I suppose. I laid out all my evidence otherwise.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

In the past 4 years there since episode 108 where Lex began doing longer form podcasts 15 have been under 90 minutes. A percentage would be .045 as decimal or 4.5% as a percentage. So anything over 5% for a No is basically one single photo of a timer. That's the entire betting line I suppose. I laid out all my evidence otherwise.

0

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0m3hGZvD-0s Lex Fridman uses a 4 hour deep work schedule multiple times a day, I assume this is why his episodes are longer.

0

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I'll stop giving my reasonings now.

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I check Trump's flight logs, he flew to Florida 3 days ago, his private jet was not used to go to Arlington. So he would in theory still be in Texas the past 3 days, plenty of time to drive to Austin 3 hours away for the interview. Also, I want this burden of proof here when I'm right.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I check Trump's flight logs, he flew to Florida 3 days ago, his private jet was not used to go to Arlington. So he would in theory still be in Texas the past 3 days, plenty of time to drive to Austin 3 hours away for the interview. Also, I want this burden of proof here when I'm right.

0

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Lex does long interviews. Ivanka's interview was 3 hours. He also did one with Elon and Dr Phil in the past 2 weeks both went over 2 hours. He had a free day and was still in Texas where Lex was from, he didn't post on Truth Social or Twitter for 7 hours and he was already in Texas at Arlington Cemetary a couple days before. Since the interview he has had no public appearances as well, giving light to the idea that it may have lasted quite a while.

1

n/a

1 month ago

Theo Von podcast with Donald Trump only 57minutes idk seems cheap

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

this corrborates that he was in Texas, on a free day, where Lex lives, where he had no other public events scheduled. This is pretty much all my data against an alarm clock. I'm holding my position

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

He visited Arlington national cemetary as well, this

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

He visited Arlington national cemetary as well, this

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

If you check Twitter, Truth Social for Lex and Donald Trump you'll see both have a 12h post ago, and a 5h post ago. Assuming the interview ended after the 5H post it's safe to assume there's a 7 hour window possible for Trump to interview with Lex.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

He cleared his schedule for Monday entirely. If this took place Monday he just randomly didn't get on Truth social or tweet for 7 hours, at the same time Lex didn't, on a day he had a completely free schedule and had no other public appearances.

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

: The former president and his running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, had no scheduled events Monday. Trump, in an interview that aired Sunday, said he had “every right to” interfere with a presidential election, as he faces an updated indictment in the federal election interference case against him.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

: The former president and his running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, had no scheduled events Monday. Trump, in an interview that aired Sunday, said he had “every right to” interfere with a presidential election, as he faces an updated indictment in the federal election interference case against him.

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

If you check Twitter, Truth Social for Lex and Donald Trump you'll see both have a 12h post ago, and a 5h post ago. Assuming the interview ended after the 5H post it's safe to assume there's a 7 hour window possible for Trump to interview with Lex.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

If you check Twitter, Truth Social for Lex and Donald Trump you'll see both have a 12h post ago, and a 5h post ago. Assuming the interview ended after the 5H post it's safe to assume there's a 7 hour window possible for Trump to interview with Lex.

2

Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

August drone strike bet already hit. Weird to think otherwise

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

between August 27 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

between August 27 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

0

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Honestly if the timer is the difference maker here I respect you guys for doing what I can't reminds me a lot of August 31st Ukraine drone strike on Moscow though or CNN teacher, that's the vibes.

0

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I'll go no if this goes near 90-10. Other than that, the risk reward is not worth it. Lex is known for long interviews

0

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Like I said, I'm up 850$ today without taking a position. But I only trade the side I agree with, unless I'm hedging a long term bet. If I get stuck with something, it has to be something I believe in, similar to how I invest in my retirement accounts

0

n/a

1 month ago

Good to know you’re back in the game. I thought you tried to play tricks on us.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

It was one of the only videos I could find the timer visible

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Timer was also used in this video. 4 hours long https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwN8u6HFH8U

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Timer was also used in this video. 4 hours long https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwN8u6HFH8U

0

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I found more info on this to prove my point but I need my bid to get my shares back before I share.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Since this timer can count both ways, if you assume there was a set time limit Trump would be in the podcast, it would make sense to use count down instead of count up. This would mean that the minimum amount of time this interview will take is 1 hour.

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I accidently sold my stake and made 800$ but I need you to hit the ask so I get filled on my no bids

0

n/a

1 month ago

nom nom

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

can you buy more really quick

0

n/a

1 month ago

nom nom

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Well I made 24$ but ended up selling all my yes, so hopefully it comes back down.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Might end up being the easiest money if what omenoflord says is true, which honestly makes sense as a kitchen timer only counts down.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

That counter does not count up, it counts down. Just an FYI. I used google lens to find out which type of timer it was most similar to, it's a normal kitchen counter. Meaning that the interview was at least 60 minutes. It does not mean that there is any proof that this thing counter up to 1:00:00, because it's not a stopwatch, it has no feature of one.

0

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I'm just loading up as time goes. Depositing another 2000 once bank is open in the morning.

0

0x2aB890a2d9e0DA3502a3D84807c0D1b5429D4441-1725290836240

1 month ago

Welcome back @omenoflord. Don't get shaken out this time. Hold Till Reveal.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

The interview with the brain chip guy from Tesla was over 1.5 hours for part one alone, in a 3 part series. That video was over 5 hours. You have to bet on who is giving the interview. This isn't impaulsive or Nelk. Lex typically runs over 3 hours on average.

2

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I keep buying more and more. Yum yum! I wonder how many of the yes votes went out of their way to speak to climate scientists before placing bets. The same people who bet on July only got lucky because of the way NOAA tests artic. Other agenices say July was the first month that wasn't another high. While yes land temps may tie, La nina has cooled the sea as well as the Artic being colder than 23' August or July 24'. I did my part. I can explain it's basically 50/50. 70/30 if you dont include ties.

2

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Ivanka's interview was over 3 hours by the way. Just want to put that information out there.

4

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I would like you to know this is not my account. I just want to put that I'm a pretty civil person, regardless of seperate views.

1

n/a

1 month ago

who are you

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I don't think Lex would do that. Pretty bad for Youtube algorithm. Also he's not really known to do that, but in that case I assume it would be contested and all video parts would count.

1

n/a

1 month ago

What if it’s released in parts?

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

He literally was sitting the entire time on his phone; this needs to be 90. Elon was 125. Just saying. Also Lex interviewed other poltiicans, all over 90 minutes, none as important as trump.

1

MoneyTorcher

1 month ago

Has Trump ever done a 90+ minute sit-down interview? Longest I can find is 80.

Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

did you see the elon interview? 2 hours 5 mins, jsut a few weeks ago

1

MoneyTorcher

1 month ago

Has Trump ever done a 90+ minute sit-down interview? Longest I can find is 80.

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Your risk tolerance being wrong does not determine much for me, I assume you bet on July as well, which only passed because of the way NOAA weights the arctics. I'm surprised you're so convinced that this must be more. Perhaps if it were just land it would make sense, but it is not. Best of luck to you though.

0

n/a

1 month ago

🔥🔥🔥

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://x.com/EliotJacobson/status/1830623631757762652/photo/1

2

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

It needs to beat July 23' and August 23'. Data right now is coming in tied, and there is evidence to support a weaker El Nino and transition to La Nina have cooled ocean temps, also the Arctic which is a large part of NOAA reporting is believed to have no sudden stratospheric warming over Antarctica like we did in July 24'. Remember that NOAA was the only agency to report the hottest July 24' and that almost was entirely due to their Artic readings being more important of a data set than Copernicus and JMA. Your risk tolerance does not support a 168k yes vote, you'd be much wiser to vote against September 2024 as El' Nina is in effect, plus the returns are 10x higher.

1

n/a

1 month ago

Data is coming in pretty hot

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Also, during July there were abnormal Antarctic readings due to Stratospheric heat over Antartica which is a large reason why NOAA reported higher temps, while JMA and ECCCS did not. In August that subsided, as well as less Ice being melted than usual. All is publicly available from those three sources, and NOAA's direct reports of their predictions are available as well. We only need it to be basically .02 Celcius colder than July 24' or the same as August 24. Like I said, 70/30 is my assumption based on lots of research, El Nina contributions and speaking to some reliable individuals. I'm not trying to persuade, I intend to hold a rather large position into Sept 10th release.

4

siim

1 month ago

what's your source on this?

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Copernicus Climate Changer Service, as well as https://wmo.int/media/update/global-seasonal-climate-update-august-september-october-2024-0 I can post sources individually. After much research I presume that the odds are closer to 70/30 in favor of August 24' beating August 23'. NOAA was the only agency to say July 24' was hottest, as both JMA and ECCCS did not. NOAA did show ice melting in July was less than previous years, which supports August 2024 may be cooler than 23'.

5

siim

1 month ago

what's your source on this?

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

For August 2024, preliminary reports suggest that temperatures remain high but are slightly lower than those of August 2023. There has been a slight decrease in the intensity of marine heatwaves, and some regions experienced near-normal temperatures, which could contribute to this slight dip. However, the ongoing El Niño is still contributing to elevated temperatures globally, keeping August 2024 among the hottest months on record, even if it doesn't exceed the previous year's levels. Both NOAA and other global agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and the European Copernicus Climate Change Service are closely monitoring these trends. The final data for August 2024 will provide more clarity, but the current indications suggest that while it will be close, August 2024 might tie or be slightly cooler than August 2023

6

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

This is a pretty large deviation from what the true odds are, though he warned against betting real money.

4

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Also, it's very important to note that the transition away from El Nino may have begun already. This means the Ocean Temps should come in lower than in 2023, as El Nina's are cooler. I did switch my position entirely on this, so I have a large confidence. I also spoke to Eliot Jacobson and he confirmed that

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Also, it's very important to note that the transition away from El Nino may have begun already. This means the Ocean Temps should come in lower than in 2023, as El Nina's are cooler. I did switch my position entirely on this, so I have a large confidence. I also spoke to Eliot Jacobson and he confirmed that

4

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

We basically have good enough data to say this is going to be slightly lower or a tie. There's maybe a maybe 15% chance it comes in higher now that we have data sources. Definitely worth the risk/reward

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

We basically have good enough data to say this is going to be slightly lower or a tie. There's maybe a maybe 15% chance it comes in higher now that we have data sources. Definitely worth the risk/reward

6

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/record-temperatures-scorch-us-west-143402916.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAALpHWWHNryUJ7ZJlPHsvr-TyxqkNB1dyuSirhZCKmGnbH0Oj5Mktg5hIeaI3fn6VeYvTOXm7O0eVhvKsmQe2m3zyECY6N9guIsbnEMnR9IsYNvNCC363scyINVigDZSvp2QCMzlM2YxeTxSYh2LjyQpcjjLrEm2kdQFiXkXjRk78

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/midlands-news/uk-set-38c-september-heatwave-29850365

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/midlands-news/uk-set-38c-september-heatwave-29850365

0

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/historic-heatwave-heat-dome-september-2024-europe-mk/

0

August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

September 15th

0

Kys

1 month ago

when resolve?

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/2024-may-be-hottest-year-record-noaa-rcna166759

2

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

NOAA is expecting above-average temperatures for almost all of the continental U.S. in September, except for parts of the California coast and the Pacific Northwest.

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

NOAA is expecting above-average temperatures for almost all of the continental U.S. in September, except for parts of the California coast and the Pacific Northwest.

4

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I've done some research on this quite a bit the past few hours. I think certainly his advisors will ask that he goes easy on her. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ex-trump-official-s-warning-to-donald-ahead-of-kamala-harris-debate/ar-AA1pOmaI?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=c5d6350ed5ec4b58abb5be1569e772d2&ei=10

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I watched the past 4 debates. The only time Trump shook hands was with Hillary Clinton during their first debate in 2016. I believe Trump's advisors will ask that he does it this time. The size comparison is good for Trump and I believe that his advisors are asking him to be kind to get the women vote higher, if he can do that he'll win the election for sure.

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I watched the past 4 debates. The only time Trump shook hands was with Hillary Clinton during their first debate in 2016. I believe Trump's advisors will ask that he does it this time. The size comparison is good for Trump and I believe that his advisors are asking him to be kind to get the women vote higher, if he can do that he'll win the election for sure.

1

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://www.weather.gov/media/mbrfc/climate/Climate_Outlook.pdf

2

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

In September 2023, the US only recorded it's 7th highest September, so we have less of a burden to overpass it. This September seems to be hot, and a slow start to La Nina' meaning Ocean temps are still high

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

In September 2023, the US only recorded it's 7th highest September, so we have less of a burden to overpass it. This September seems to be hot, and a slow start to La Nina' meaning Ocean temps are still high

2

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

There will be heat waves in Europe and Brazil/South America for the first 2 weeks of September, while El Nino is still in effect as well but in transition to El Nina. Australia is also set to experience heat waves. The 2023 September reading was mainly decided from South America and the oceans.

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

There will be heat waves in Europe and Brazil/South America for the first 2 weeks of September, while El Nino is still in effect as well but in transition to El Nina. Australia is also set to experience heat waves. The 2023 September reading was mainly decided from South America and the oceans.

3

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://brazilian.report/liveblog/politics-insider/2024/08/30/intense-september-heat-wave/

2

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/fxus05.html

2

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=12

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=12

2

2024 August hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

The earth is huge, Antarctic has been hot, Europe and US, as well as many oceans and Africa. Sure cold fronts exist, this doesn't deny the fact that the average global temperature was hotter than any other many previous.

0

FreeThePeople

1 month ago

Is it just me or did it feel colder than normal? I was in the Caribbean a lot of the summer and barely broke a sweat.

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Yes, it was a record. Like every month for the past 15 months. So far it's record temperatures in Europe still, also very hot over the oceans, another part of testing for NASA.

1

n/a

1 month ago

Seems September 2023 was exceptionally higher than the norm; I'll probably follow but will see how the first few days of the month are

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

July would mark 15 record months in a row. Every single month last year was "particularly hot".

2

figman

1 month ago

Looks like September was particularly hot last year? I'm avoiding this market

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Also not listed as a student at Cornell, though I doubt someone so public would be allowed to be shown given secret service.

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

When asked if his son would attend NYU this fall, the former president smiled and said he would not confirm which college his son had chosen until an official announcement was issued, Fox News reported on Tuesday.

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

When asked if his son would attend NYU this fall, the former president smiled and said he would not confirm which college his son had chosen until an official announcement was issued, Fox News reported on Tuesday.

0

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

NYU is a huge school. You have to think top schools, as Trump said. Which only really include 3 schools.

0

jumbojim

1 month ago

Hes not gonna go there are 120+ schools in NYC! should be "YES" 2c NO "98"

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

When August becomes the hottest Month, I assume September will soon follow. This at .30 makes no sense. We've had the hottest months over and over the past 14 months in a row. So the chance is more like 90%+, especially if August breaks records.

5

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

There are only 4 schools in the state. He has a pretty high probability of NYU if you look at top 3 universities its ~65% of students go to NYU. If you take Cornell out since it's not in New York City (where Baron Lived for part of his life) It's more like 80-20. So either bren has insider info, or is straight gambling like the rest of us. This is my research on why yes makes sense.

1

Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

so the other one is only about the timing?

0

Qtyu

1 month ago

There is no doubt the Moscow oil refinery was struck last night.

Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

This is 100% disputed no? Why would August 31 be disputed and not this?

1

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I made 1.89, I can't wait to deposit my crypto once it clears, so annoying.

0

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

why did you sell?

2

Car

1 month ago

Please elaborate how the mayor saying they shot down drones (before market end time), is proof that a drone hit the oil refinery before the end time?

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Car sold 1,183 No at 22.4¢ ($265)

3

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Nothing confirms the drones actually hit. I assume mainstream media will pick the story up today if it's credible. This would be a pretty big development.

0

x4839F00491B7b5E0Ad83c28A3BeDd0aFCB9A6D20

1 month ago

I tried every google search i could think of, I can't find any "credible reporting" of when the drone impacted.

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Is that still ongoing though? Or finished, also yes, I can see how that may be against the rules. This may be different as we have some sources and confusion vs just a guess at best

0

Justifax

1 month ago

Car did exactly the same thing in the Pavel Durove market. He spammed incessantly about his book and than sold when he got the price high enough. Don't fall for it.

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

If it goes to UMA voting I assume this will suffice.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Wont let me post telegram links.

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I don't understand, what would be the benefit of him to comment? It seems contested. I'm sorry if this seems against anyone, I'm neutral.

0

Justifax

1 month ago

Go on the Poly discord and let staff know what Car is doing. They have banned some other folks, hopefully they'll give a warning to Car here.

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I mean I think if it's contested UMA votes yes, that's the main issue. I don't trust UMA/

2

Car

1 month ago

Your top holder is selling YES shares, btw.

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I watched this, but I'm unsure if this is within time and credible reporting. I assumed mainstream media would pick up if there was a drone attack on the capital of Russia.

0

Kirrilos

1 month ago

https://x.com/VyshnyaOstap/status/1830092157404807299

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Well, this is definitely getting contested, what is credible reporting? I'm not sure if random twitter users count. Certainly the September 94% is much better bet

2

'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through September 2 (inclusive).

0

ThatGuyMaybe

1 month ago

its sure to pass 600 mill but hasnt yet. Probablly will on labour day but might not.

'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/deadpool-wolverine-box-office-reagan-1235988739/

0

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Deadpool & Wolverine is the biggest headline of the four-day weekend as it stays No. 1 in its sixth outing and crosses $600 million domestically, becoming only the 16th film in history to do so, not adjusted for inflation.14 hours ago

'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Deadpool & Wolverine is the biggest headline of the four-day weekend as it stays No. 1 in its sixth outing and crosses $600 million domestically, becoming only the 16th film in history to do so, not adjusted for inflation.14 hours ago

0

'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I put a position for yes. I have 2500 I can't yet add. So my position is very small.

0

Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

This is probably 60-40. Not the best, but it's a gamble.

0

'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I can't transfer my crypto yet so I started with 3.59. Also I don't really want my money locked up as I like trading the spreads

0

Car

1 month ago

Damn all this nerd talk and 0 shares

'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I asked Chat GPT and it said it would be yes, with like 99% chance. I took the previous 3 movies of the past 3 labor days and it guessed it would be between 604m and 610m. I used data from the site being used. Also I check local theatres and it shows Deadpool and Wolverine is still the top movie in all theatres

0

Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

until sept 15th, then it's yes. As long as we have evidence he is no longer in France. The consenus on whether he left France will be determined by news, so if they say he left, it's yes, flee, removal of the travel bond, or UAE deal, it resolves yes.

2

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

The title is irrelevant, every single bid should be looking at the proposal before submitting. If he leaves the country, until the

Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

The title is irrelevant, every single bid should be looking at the proposal before submitting. If he leaves the country, until the

1

Grrrenouille

1 month ago

But if he's allowed to leave France it resolves to yes, does it? So the title is inaccurate

2024 September hottest on record?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

This isn't measuring that it's the hottest month, but rather the hottest September on NASA's data.

2

BennyS

1 month ago

September is usually colder than August, but we will see.

Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Article https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/08/30/here-s-what-to-expect-from-france-s-case-against-telegram-and-pavel-durov

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

While it might be more difficult for a famous person like Pavel Durov to slip out unnoticed, Litvinsky thinks there’s a good chance that defense attorneys or even state prosecutors will soon request a review of the pretrial measures imposed this week. “I think the travel ban from France is, to some extent, a transitional measure necessary for the French justice system to save face,” Litvinsky told Meduza. “If everything goes well for Durov, this measure will likely be lifted.” France’s investigation could last years, though any talk of a timeline now is essentially guesswork. If Durov were released from the restrictions keeping him in France, he would be free to leave the country and required to reappear in court only when the investigation is done. Any trial would take at least six months, and France customarily schedules court hearings for quite distant dates, says Litvinsky.

Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

While it might be more difficult for a famous person like Pavel Durov to slip out unnoticed, Litvinsky thinks there’s a good chance that defense attorneys or even state prosecutors will soon request a review of the pretrial measures imposed this week. “I think the travel ban from France is, to some extent, a transitional measure necessary for the French justice system to save face,” Litvinsky told Meduza. “If everything goes well for Durov, this measure will likely be lifted.” France’s investigation could last years, though any talk of a timeline now is essentially guesswork. If Durov were released from the restrictions keeping him in France, he would be free to leave the country and required to reappear in court only when the investigation is done. Any trial would take at least six months, and France customarily schedules court hearings for quite distant dates, says Litvinsky.

3

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Because there are short term bonds yielding 5%, if you price those in this makes it a bit more clear. There's also some risk involved, whereas bonds are risk free, absent total economic collapse.

0

PinochetsAirplane

1 month ago

Is this not like 95% kamala, why is the market still priced like this

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

dealers, not users.

3

HaterzLoserz

1 month ago

Death Penalty for Drug Dealers, cant wait to execute 80% of the university population next year

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

congrats

0

Jaded85

1 month ago

Fk yeah Colorado

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

He has not mentioned border once yet, even when talking about Colorado. I wonder why he hasn't

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

later today. He's in Pennsylvania though, even if it's a flight he still has to work with his security to fly there and get to the event. I'm not sure there's a definite time established.

0

negativedrip

1 month ago

when's the event in dc?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

I wonder if him coming out later, and having another DC event later if the rally will be cut short, making the Border X times less likely to hit.

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Best luck to all!

2

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

He addresses moms for liberty in DC after the rally after too, so I presume with that fact, and the fact of Pennsylvania makeup. You're in a lot more than me, so I hope haha.

0

jagajaga

1 month ago

I hope

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

He said “I guarantee if Jesus came down and was the vote counter, I would win California,” clarifying that he merely meant that “if we had an honest vote counter, a really honest vote counter,” just two days ago. He has also addressed Jesus on inflation, and this is the first rally to Pennsylvania since the assassination attempt. I think it's 50/50, especially given the fact his rhetoric has changed since the assassination attempt. Could be wrong, but Pennsylvania is 68% christian and probably the most pivotal state to win, abortion and his assasination attempt will be key I believe. Indoor format allows for crowds to chant and join in more freely.

2

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

He did interviews speaking about Jesus and fake votes 2 days ago. He also mentioned Jesus when talking about inflation. There are many paths when he brings up Jesus, Pennsylvania also has a lot of Christians 68%. I think there's at least a 50% chance.

1

1 month ago

Yes but in interviews I never heard him say Jesus he only said God (for me Jesus is Lord but the rules on this site says no)

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Trump was nearly assasinated in Pennsylvania, my guess is he will almost certainly bring up Jesus and God with bullet missing him.

1