#433
Rank
31
Comments
15
Likes Received
160
Likes Given
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
https://discord.gg/Sx4Bw8Aa
Gold-Mansacks
1 month ago
what's the discord link?
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Yeah, as a wise man once said, do not redeem. I won't be claiming anything
Bigdog666
1 month ago
Be sure to not claim your NO shares. If this resolved to YES. Also take screenshots of your Purchase logs, I dont need them but you will. For yourself.
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Polymarket's founded by westerners, you lick their boots relentlessly because you're a contemptible slave to power
BlueSky123
1 month ago
i don't listen to western imperialist scum
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Then why do you keep responding to me then bootlicker
BlueSky123
1 month ago
i don't listen to western imperialist scum
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Have you done any research or did you just randomly stumble in here? Notice that it dumped nearly to zero while he was speaking or nah?
ghostyloxx
1 month ago
Don't know why everyone's bitching, clearly a yes. are you blind?
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
You have zero integrity, that's what that gaping hole you feel in your soul is
BlueSky123
1 month ago
xi will destroy america
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
BlueSky is very against having integrity and not mindlessly sucking up to the powerful (he's a pathetic bootlicker)
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Nah, congrats on being a bootlicker and sucking up to the powerful though. Whatever makes you money, right?
Car
1 month ago
Gg wp gl next time
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Shameful, Polymarket thinks they know better than the market participants who actually listened to RFK's speech when it happened and immediately sent the price to the abyss
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Yeah, they're not even trying to have integrity
NancyPelosi
1 month ago
If you check most of the UMA yes comments it says resolved yes because of the context. Complete bullshit
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Reminder for the clueless polymarket bootlickers: Before the bullshit context was posted the market correctly interpreted RFK's comments in the press conference. Everyone involved in this market had an immediate intuition about what the right answer was and sold massively. If this isn't an indication that Poly's clarification is subjective and not based on anything, then nothing is
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Before the bullshit context was posted the market correctly interpreted RFK's comments in the press conference. Everyone involved in this market had an immediate intuition about what the right answer was and sold massively. If this isn't an indication that Poly's clarification is subjective and not based on anything, then nothing is
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Delusional 😂
Car
1 month ago
bought more YES
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Therefore, this market should resolve to “Yes.” Does it say therefore this market WILL resolve to yes? No, because poly is clearly trying to just push their agenda as hard as possible rather than unilaterally deciding at this stage. And their agenda is wrong
truthteller
1 month ago
because the market has literally already been decided. read the clarification ffs
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
And then they will whine and say that polymarket should be sued, when if they put aside their biases for 2 seconds and analysed the case they would have come to the right conclusion 😂
Bigdog666
1 month ago
You are basically holding for a HOPE. that you make a few %, when your about to lose it all.
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
I need to learn how to use UMA, I'm really new to this lol. Only been around for a month
Bigdog666
1 month ago
be sure to vote in the UMA.
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Lol so in a 269-269 electoral count, we could see RFK lobbying for the Presidency using his voting power, based on what he said in his remarks. So we could have a situation where this market declared he "dropped out" in August but he is actively lobbying for the Presidency in November? What a joke
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Lol some retard on the UMA discord posted a entire, multiple page google doc explaining why yes is correct. Can't blame him though, these are the kind of mental gymnastics you're forced to resort to when faced with the simple truth that people can literally still vote for rfk in most states 😂
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
Lol yeah I just read it, he's braindead/completely self interested
baal
1 month ago
50 pence voting for kamala makes sense, beta cucked libtard that has no idea how to digest media. 100% inherited all his money
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
You have to literally be retarded to interpret his statement as dropping out. How is it dropping out if he encouraged people to vote for him in certain states? Any argument more complicated than this is pure obfuscation
baal
1 month ago
50 pence voting for kamala makes sense, beta cucked libtard that has no idea how to digest media. 100% inherited all his money
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
I thought I was heading for sure, last-minute victory after the pump, but it just had to miss by 100 bucks didn't it
NixonTapes - 10263
1 month ago
What is the catalyst?
BakktIsLive
1 month ago
The catalyst will be us markets opening green, at least that's my cope
NixonTapes - 10263
1 month ago
What is the catalyst?
BakktIsLive
2 months ago
Only if your brain is about as active as Chris Christie
Jerry51
2 months ago
Good opportunity to buy some Big Mikes
BakktIsLive
2 months ago
Great analysis, even though I'm a Shapiro shill I can't refute many of your arguments. It's why I think even though she will choose Shapiro because of electoral math, current odds are grossly overinflated relative to the information we actually have
trumbleford
2 months ago
6. Kamala is going to get KILLED for being the "border czar" under Biden. Kelly, from Arizona, helps blunt this destructive narrative. 7. Andy Beshear is very popular, but unknown outside KY and untested. The main directive in picking a VP is "do no harm". Just look at Quayle, Palin and JD Vance. Andy is just too much of a question mark to be the VP pick right now. He's also off-putting on TV at first. There's not enough time for the country to get to know him beyond his awkward TV presence. 8. Trump's base relies on "macho" white men. Biden succeeded in peeling just enough of these guys off to win in 2020, what with the aviators and all. Who do you think does the best appealing to these guys this time? Is it Shapiro/Beshear or the guy who rode a rocket into space 4 times and has logged 50 days orbiting the gd planet?
BakktIsLive
2 months ago
Agree that his odds are unjustifiably high but you also have to consider that Mark Kelly's decline due to various reports (see Axios) has fed substantially into it
n/a
2 months ago
Honest question, why are we pricing Shapiro higher off a rally in his state than we priced Vance after getting picked up by SS?
BakktIsLive
2 months ago
Roger stone, the guy who said Michelle obama would be the democratic nominee
Rocketboy
2 months ago
Start watching at 26:50 its going to be Walz https://x.com/jackposobiec/status/1818355739796369467?s=46&t=2ldGeYpZmUAeNNkeWxYF8Q
BakktIsLive
2 months ago
Not one of the vps you mentioned was from a state considered a swing state at the time of the election though. The clear trend you've shown is that announcements tend to be in swing states, or the home state of the presidential candidate. So none of that proves anything about Shapiro.
n/a
2 months ago
VP announcement locations: Vance: Wisconsin Harris: Delaware Pence: New York Kaine: Florida Ryan: Virginia Biden: Illinois Palin: Ohio Edwards: Pennsylvania Cheney: Texas Lieberman: Tennessee NONE were in the VP pick's home state
BakktIsLive
2 months ago
Philly announcement could just be strategic on Harris' part to test out reactions to a potential Shapiro vp
BakktIsLive
2 months ago
Most likely within the next week, it seems likely that Harris formalises her vp pick before the roll call nomination that is scheduled to occur within a week at the latest.
Yehudi
2 months ago
When do you think you guys will hear the news?
BakktIsLive
2 months ago
Why not bet on other then. If its not kamala surely swing state Whitmer has a much better chance than Gavin of being elevated
2 months ago
I completely expect to lose my entire position. But these prices are crazy. There's no way Kamala has a 97% chance right now. Nobody even likes her.
BakktIsLive
2 months ago
Agree with this, fair value for this market is probably something around 95% Kamala, 4% other, 1% gavin (michelle 0)
2 months ago
Kamala is polling awfully, and there is no mandate for her to be the nominee. She didn't win the primary. She was deeply unpopular in the 2000 primary. I think it's likely she is the nominee but she is overpriced here.