#214
Rank
52
Comments
36
Likes Received
64
Likes Given
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
ManL
4 months ago
I think the decision is simply due to the fact that it is the election and people have to be pleased, otherwise Trump will win.
2
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
ManL
4 months ago
Fk Powel LOL. This always should be covered with a long haha
1
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
ManL
4 months ago
The Fed will simply do the obvious, as it always does. And the obvious is -25
1
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
ManL
4 months ago
50bsp would scare the markets. Why would they do it if nothing serious is happening? There is no way
4
GPT-5 released in 2024?
ManL
4 months ago
It's a different model series than GPT4. Literally at the beginning of your link "We've developed a new series of AI models..."
0
Nyuton
4 months ago
GPT5 has been released with a new name: O1 - "for complex reasoning tasks this is a significant advancement and represents a new level of AI capability. Given this, we are resetting the counter back to 1 and naming this series OpenAI o1." https://openai.com/index/introducing-openai-o1-preview/
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
ManL
4 months ago
Paid ad
0
Remontada
4 months ago
I'm in this market 30mins. Can someone tell me the case for No? Is it just that you believe his twitter was hacked?
Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?
ManL
4 months ago
Hahaha, politicians don't "hate" each other, they do the same thing. He will only shake hands if he thinks that will get him more votes than not shaking hands or the risk of losing them by not shaking hands is greater than the risk of losing them by shaking hands.
0
Chen1996
4 months ago
No way trump shakes hands with Kamala, when he hates someone he hates them period. He calls her stupid, pathetic, and the border czar, I’m sure they are lined up to greet each other with a hand shake
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
ManL
4 months ago
He clearly doesn't say it, but you should buy the same thing as 50pence
4
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
ManL
5 months ago
Will UMA have access to DNA tests?
2
;lkhkjgjkb
5 months ago
Read the descritption. Its about biological sex...not gender
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
ManL
5 months ago
Probably it's all just smoke and there are no cases now or ever, but it's worth buying a YES here and buying a NO in the September
0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
ManL
5 months ago
As I understand the rules, microscopic life should be included here. And Mars is gaining points.
7
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
ManL
5 months ago
In politics, things always end up in a mess if the power quotas are not clear. And Kamala's victory is clearly not certain.
0
asdasdasdasdasdasdasd
5 months ago
can anyone explain why this isn't 99+
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
ManL
5 months ago
Not that easy. Power is power
0
How many times will Trump tweet by next Friday?
ManL
5 months ago
Hahaha Those of us who bet 11-15 got away with it last week
2
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
ManL
5 months ago
Claude 1 has a higher mortality rate, is sexually transmitted and is visible to the naked eye. It comes from an area with little contact with the US and other countries. In addition, there are already alert protocols since COVID.
0
NowItsMyTime
5 months ago
Chatgpt is stopped in past, dont have actual information, besides that, is wrong, because Clade II had 30K cases in USA, its a question of time to first, I dont bet here because I feel the time short, but I did in 30 September market. USA is a big nation.
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
ManL
5 months ago
Chat gpt says the probability of a case of Claude1 occurring in the United States is very low
3
Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?
ManL
5 months ago
It seems that Russian defense lines are being established right in front of the nuclear power plant. Its capture is unlikely, however, for the same reason it is possible that Ukraine will take the entire territory up to there, so I expect the YES to increase with the capture of cities like Lgov.
2
Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?
ManL
5 months ago
Yes, but I need to prove that I can win. In a casino I already know that mathematically I will lose.
1
RadLilDude
5 months ago
Some of you forget that this is gambling...
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
The corrupt elite that decides the resolution of the markets
4
Sleijffers
5 months ago
Sorry to ask but can someone explain what UMA is and perhaps link to this?
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
That is opinion and irrelevant. The rules are clear. The primary source for solving the market is the official one.
2
Yeiver
5 months ago
El cne dijo que maduro gano pero no mostro ningun acta que le diera validez a su declaracion, a diferencia de la PUD que mostro todas las actas que tenian y llamo a fraude
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Just search on Google. "Resultado oficial elecciones Venezuela"
1
Yeiver
5 months ago
Cuáles resultados oficiales? XD
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
For breaking the market rules, which clearly states that official information will be taken as the primary source to resolve
0
Mrc4t987
5 months ago
How does this constitutes a loss in credibility for both Polymakret and UMA? for not taking fraudulent sources and making an investigation instead? wow, taht would discourage anyone from ever betting
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
UMA is more corrupt than Maduro. A disgrace
2
juicebox
5 months ago
lmao what is happing here? Maduro is lose? lol why is it not 99?
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
This market is completely corrupt. Maduro had 95% after the OFFICIAL results and the percentage has slowly been falling exclusively because of the fear that UMA would decide to break the market rules and take UNOFFICIAL and secondary information on which THERE IS NO CONSENSUS. SHAME on UMA
10
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Liked by Donkov, AugustoPin... and 8 others
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
That will be decided by the highest court of justice of Venezuela, not you.
0
Sweetness
5 months ago
CNE broke the law. They have to provide the minutes after 48 hours. Required by the constitution.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
The CNE has said that the voting machines declared MADURO the winner.
0
ManL
5 months ago
Who has more votes? Have you counted them? Who will decide and who has the power to impose the decision is the TSJ of Venezuela. That is the only reality that should matter for the resolution of this market. Anything else is political assessments that are irrelevant to what is being decided here.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
By the way, it's funny how people try to justify the winner based on the economic interests they have, curiously like Nicolás Maduro does.
0
ManL
5 months ago
Imagine that Kamala wins the elections and the Trumpists come here to say that the one who "really" won was Trump because I don't know what stories... Who has the power to decide the "truth" in a market related to Venezuela are the Venezuelan institutions. What matters is the OFFICIAL truth. Any accusation of fraud, or assessments outside of the Venezuelan institutions, however real they may be, are irrelevant. The market must decide on who has the power to impose the truth, which is the only truth that can exist, that is, the TSJ of Venezuela
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Imagine that Kamala wins the elections and the Trumpists come here to say that the one who "really" won was Trump because I don't know what stories... Who has the power to decide the "truth" in a market related to Venezuela are the Venezuelan institutions. What matters is the OFFICIAL truth. Any accusation of fraud, or assessments outside of the Venezuelan institutions, however real they may be, are irrelevant. The market must decide on who has the power to impose the truth, which is the only truth that can exist, that is, the TSJ of Venezuela
4
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Who has more votes? Have you counted them? Who will decide and who has the power to impose the decision is the TSJ of Venezuela. That is the only reality that should matter for the resolution of this market. Anything else is political assessments that are irrelevant to what is being decided here.
2
Salveenee
5 months ago
Crazy that people still try to argue that the winner is not the candidate that got most votes. Go on with your "official information from Venezuela", as if the publication of 80% of the official (and real!) minutes wasn't enough.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
That's how it is. The only one that can judge is the Venezuelan court, UMA should not do it. Once the TSJ ratifies that the voting records presented by Maduro are the "true" ones, the market must resolve according to its decision
1
ALMOST
5 months ago
And yes, referring to common sense, law violations, statements from the Carter Center, Blinken, etc., is pointless because this market is not about common sense as seen in the Western world, but about a power struggle in a South American country where the laws are made by those with the most weapons. In Venezuela, the winner of the elections was the one with more weapons and criminal connections, not the one who supposedly received more votes according to unofficial data from the Venezuelan opposition.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Se debe resolver para Maduro. La fuente oficial le da como ganador. No compete a UMA juzgar. Para eso está el TSJ. Los datos de la oposición serán reales, pero quién juzga son las instituciones Venezolanas, para un tema Venezolano. Nadie mas tiene competencias ejecutivas para decidir la OFICIALIDAD de los resultados. Una vez el TSJ ratifique al ganador y cuáles son las actas verdaderas, el mercado debe resolverse según su decisión
0
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
The PRIMARY resolution source will be OFFICIAL information from Venezuela
5
Miau
5 months ago
NO- predictions have rules and for example if in a soccer match it indicates that if after 90 minutes there is no winner it will be decided in a draw, it would not matter if one of the two teams wins on penalties. You must always read the rules in detail.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
The PRIMARY resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela
1
Guacanarys
5 months ago
Credible consensus: European Union, UN Human Rights watch, White House, all refuse to accept Maduro's victory and are calling for transparent vote count (CNE did not provide any ballots by the legal deadline. Opposition did, anyone can audit those ballots now). https://www.dw.com/en/venezuela-eu-calls-for-full-vote-count-in-election-dispute/a-69817017
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Las actas de edmundo, pese a probablemente ser muchísimo más fiables que las del CNE, no importan para la resolución de este mercado. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela"
0
Fierillo
5 months ago
Ahora el equipo de Edmundo permite descargar el .CSV con todos los links a todas las actas. https://static.resultadosconvzla.com/RESULTADOS_2024_CSV_V1.csv
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
"The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela"
4
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
"Official results" It doesn't matter if they later agree on something else. The official results have been exposed.
1
bali
5 months ago
Polymarket rugged bets many times before. Right now Maduro is in its final review so in 1 day it will resolve "Yes" or "No", it cannot get delayed so if in 2 days USA says and Maduro says ok and Gonzalez become president too late bet will already be resolved, making any other candidate impossible to resolve to "Yes".
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Is there any official entity challenging them? Is there any official process challenging them?
2
BigMikeL
5 months ago
how are the results official if they are being challenged? I don’t think you understand what “official” means
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Guys you (and me) could buy No to Maduro at 15¢ because the point of this market were "Official results". This market must resolve Yes
8
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Liked by MrBest...3..., ALMOST and 6 others
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Friends, I have lost money too, I mistakenly believed that a communist could have some dignity. I know, stupid mistake. But this market must close with the Yes to Maduro.Accepting reality as soon as possible will help you recover something
6
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Even if there is a coup, that would not change the outcome of this market.
4
Factual
5 months ago
So far no signs the military or police will support a coup
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Create a "Maduro leaves the presidency before December 31" market to move all these people
8
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Liked by AugustoPin..., Xjack9003 and 6 others
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
If Anybody disputes, but you were right, do you earn his 750$?
0
Apsalar
5 months ago
it will stay open until a user proposes a resolution (to do so you need to put up a $750 bond that you will lose if another user disputes your proposal and then UMA deems your proposal untrue. if nobody disputes your proposal, you will get your bond back along with a $5 reward and the market will close after two hours).
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
Hazte un propose resolution. Aceleras lo inevitable y si alguien la disputa ganas más pasta.
0
ELGRANCASTILLO
5 months ago
De La Plataforma No Hay Nadie Con Quien Uno Pueda Hablar Que Va Suceder Con Esto Estan Trabajando Con Nuestro Dinero Que Apostamos Por Una Opcion X Ya Se Dio El Veredicto No Entiendo Por Que No Liberan Los Activos.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
5 months ago
GG guys. I am against Maduro. I mistakenly thought that a communist would have some dignity. Sorry for the ignorance. But this market must resolve in favor of Maduro
1
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
6 months ago
GG We must learn the lesson that a communist dictatorship can never be trusted to leave power honorably.
5
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
6 months ago
There will be a smooth transition to democracy. Maduro and his allies will pretend that there has always been democracy and after negotiations all illegality will be amnestied
1
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
6 months ago
Bro, in Venezuela those are the life savings
20
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Liked by GenaTheCro..., Eridpnc and 18 others
Nebule
6 months ago
why don't you bet your life savings then ?
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
6 months ago
You can certainly expect anything from a dictator, but I would see 60-40 or even 70-30 as more realistic.
1
Gena🐊
6 months ago
I remember playing Tropico and being unable to rig elections by too much, but Maduro is a pro player, who knows.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
6 months ago
Cada vez más convencido que ni de coña gana esto Maduro. No hay huevos a robar unas elecciones en las que va a arrasar Edmundo. El régimen está débil como para jugársela a iniciar una guerra civil. Maduro ha estado en negociaciones con USA y saldrá del gobierno fingiendo que nunca fue una dictadura y se retirará felizmente en algún país amigo
3
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
6 months ago
There doesn't seem to be any problems with voting, a lot of participation, a calm situation... 83% probability for Maduro seems overrated
6
Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?
ManL
6 months ago
Many people bought at 1 and now sell with x20 profits
0
ThomasAdvisory
6 months ago
Real question for me to understand Polymarket: why the market if falling when Elon’s jet is coming to Nashville? Thank you guys!
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
ManL
6 months ago
There are clear signs that Maduro is negotiating an honourable exit with the US. It will be very difficult to manipulate the elections with so many against him. Maduro's victory is overrated.
2