#97
Rank
175
Comments
85
Likes Received
299
Likes Given
Andrew Tate # of tweets January 24-31?
Intuition
2 weeks ago
Not useful, not interesting
0
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
2 weeks ago
He said "hope" not "think"
1
Zar03
3 weeks ago
i really hope georgescu wins
$MELANIA FDV on Friday?
Intuition
3 weeks ago
Lazy
0
taerv534
3 weeks ago
The copy-pasted Rules for this market still link to $TRUMP, not $MELANIA
$TRUMP FDV on February 1?
Intuition
3 weeks ago
You're not on trial and volume has it's own meaning.
0
EthIsAScam
3 weeks ago
I just learnt the diff between FDV and market cap. The total volumn of $TRUMP is 1B, so FDV = Price*1B, e.g. $60 now so it is $60b. Therefore this market is equivalent price of $TRUMP at the deadline * 1B, so we could ignore the "b"s in the market titles and treat them as usual price markets?
Will it snow in D.C. on Inauguration day?
Intuition
3 weeks ago
Trump will sign an executive order. No snow.
0
$TRUMP FDV on February 1?
Intuition
3 weeks ago
FDV = The market cap if the max supply was in circulation. Fully-diluted value (FDV) = price * max supply. Nothing to do with volume.
0
EthIsAScam
3 weeks ago
I just learnt the diff between FDV and market cap. The total volumn of $TRUMP is 1B, so FDV = Price*1B, e.g. $60 now so it is $60b. Therefore this market is equivalent price of $TRUMP at the deadline * 1B, so we could ignore the "b"s in the market titles and treat them as usual price markets?
Will it snow in D.C. on Inauguration day?
Intuition
3 weeks ago
Thanks for the shares boney.
1
boney
3 weeks ago
guys check the weather forecast..
Trump Cabinet confirmation on Day 1?
Intuition
1 month ago
Why do you think they need unanimous consent?
0
ronaldk
2 months ago
A single Democratic senator can block unanimous consent that is required for this to happen. Yes is overpriced.
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before midnight?
Intuition
1 month ago
How hard is it to get a dub lol
0
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Intuition
1 month ago
liar
0
Petro1
1 month ago
Loooool let’s just keep changing rules as we go along
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Intuition
1 month ago
How are you back underwater bro you almost made it out
0
BlackSky123
1 month ago
I need to bet more on stuff like this and less on stuff like war markets with vague rules.
Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu in 2024?
Intuition
1 month ago
Goofball gavin
0
Top AI model on December 31?
Intuition
1 month ago
Gemini was fucking awful, there must have been some major improvements ... or the test sucks.
1
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Intuition
1 month ago
Are these votes public?
0
Faithless elector in US election?
Intuition
2 months ago
It will count as an UMA dispute, have fun!
0
none1195
2 months ago
If an elector attempts to cast a faithless vote and is either forced to change their vote or replaced with someone who doesn't vote unfaithfully does that count as a yes or a no?
Mystery drones shot down by Friday?
Intuition
2 months ago
"by the US government" gay
0
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
2 months ago
Thanks for reaffirming my point. If engagement went to zero the tiktok engagement didn't matter. So someone bought Russian tiktok engagement and you shut down your election over it like a bunch of clowns. Anyone you don't like, go on telegram and buy russian engagement. gg ez
0
p0lym334k4t
2 months ago
Typical of EU-desperado to not value democracy in a bald-faced manner.
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
2 months ago
Seems so.
0
CrankyChicken
2 months ago
What's with the "Total Ballots Counted" column being blank the last few days on election.lab...? Prediction: Due to the high level influence of Polymarket, they are going to keep it blank until December 18, then post a total ballot count number that is higher than last time.
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
2 months ago
It seems to be in the CSV download
0
CrankyChicken
2 months ago
What's with the "Total Ballots Counted" column being blank the last few days on election.lab...? Prediction: Due to the high level influence of Polymarket, they are going to keep it blank until December 18, then post a total ballot count number that is higher than last time.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
2 months ago
I wouldn't be betting on what's a slap in the face dude, UMA's hands are sore.
1
Intuition
2 months ago
I market bought No on the news. Then I re-read the rules and realised there is a 12 hour overlap with Biden's administration and switched to Yes. I sold Yes because people want an UMA conflict already because they can't read rules (and no one who makes the markets can seemingly write them). Why didn't the rules just state "if he leaves during Trump's administration"? These conflicts might bring more attention while Poly is the best place to trade, but in the long run these terribly written markets will be the downfall of this platform.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
2 months ago
I didn't lose money on my Yes shares, only my market No. The small amount I lost I recovered from the volatility.
1
Intuition
2 months ago
I market bought No on the news. Then I re-read the rules and realised there is a 12 hour overlap with Biden's administration and switched to Yes. I sold Yes because people want an UMA conflict already because they can't read rules (and no one who makes the markets can seemingly write them). Why didn't the rules just state "if he leaves during Trump's administration"? These conflicts might bring more attention while Poly is the best place to trade, but in the long run these terribly written markets will be the downfall of this platform.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
2 months ago
There is a very real chance his resignation will state he leaves office as Biden does, then you are at UMA's peril.
1
Intuition
2 months ago
I market bought No on the news. Then I re-read the rules and realised there is a 12 hour overlap with Biden's administration and switched to Yes. I sold Yes because people want an UMA conflict already because they can't read rules (and no one who makes the markets can seemingly write them). Why didn't the rules just state "if he leaves during Trump's administration"? These conflicts might bring more attention while Poly is the best place to trade, but in the long run these terribly written markets will be the downfall of this platform.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
2 months ago
I market bought No on the news. Then I re-read the rules and realised there is a 12 hour overlap with Biden's administration and switched to Yes. I sold Yes because people want an UMA conflict already because they can't read rules (and no one who makes the markets can seemingly write them). Why didn't the rules just state "if he leaves during Trump's administration"? These conflicts might bring more attention while Poly is the best place to trade, but in the long run these terribly written markets will be the downfall of this platform.
8
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?
Intuition
2 months ago
Add "other" please.
0
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
2 months ago
Oh no wyn sold off
0
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
2 months ago
Use a translator bud
1
JackStraw
2 months ago
if state (i.e. to be) was the driver why have the defining moment of cease in the rule?
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
2 months ago
You raise prices when the demand goes up. And dentists aren't overwhelmed with business
0
OHCANADA
2 months ago
LOL never going to happen, the amount of stress that it will put on dentists will esure it wont happen. So many people dont brush their teeth and all of them will need dentures quite fast.
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
2 months ago
"dey denide my cwaim"
0
Gokhan
2 months ago
He had a manifesto on him. What the hell do you think that manifasto is about?
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
2 months ago
Great video, thanks for sharing.
0
taerv534
2 months ago
Debunking The UnitedHealthcare Assassination Myths: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nIbY6lo0RIw
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
Why the terminally braindead insist on filling our pockets, I don't know, but I stay grateful.
1
FrancisSP8
2 months ago
3.5% for getting a pardon from 2 different presidents... can you imagine?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
53:58 https://rumble.com/v5o9fit-delivering-the-day-one-agenda-no-more-neocons-plus-interview-with-charlie-k.html but feel free to fill more of my orders.
0
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
2 months ago
Nice argument, nice PNL
0
houdiniyomom
2 months ago
what a democracy if they ban candidates?
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
Intuition
2 months ago
-3k thinks the department of education has a pretty name
0
Spartan37
3 months ago
Apparently this would need a 60 vote majority in the Senate in order to pass. That really, really sucks. I thought the president could just end it. Welp. At least he can transform it entirely.
How many Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?
Intuition
2 months ago
Confirmed by the senate, it's the same as the other markets. So, recess appointments don't count.
0
anon783
2 months ago
There is no definition of "confirmed" here, very vague to bet.
How many Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?
Intuition
2 months ago
This market would be far more interesting if each category was "at least" ... i.e. 3+, 4+, 5+
5
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
2 months ago
You can buy "Russian influence" for your enemies on telegram from people who put ")))))" at the end of sentences
3
p0lym334k4t
2 months ago
Typical of EU-desperado to not value democracy in a bald-faced manner.
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
2 months ago
So the best way to get your enemies out of the race is pay some Russian for support?
9
Zar03
2 months ago
so called eu democratics when people vote for a candidate they don't like:
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
2 months ago
You can pardon someone who hasn't been charged, but the optics are going to be terrible.
5
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
2 months ago
Unless votes are publicly tied to your identity, you can't "buy votes"
1
houdiniyomom
2 months ago
what a democracy if they ban candidates?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
If you listen to the speech where he said he would, it's pretty obvious he knows who he is. He said he's served enough time.
0
bung
2 months ago
Why wouldn't Trump pardon Ross if he said he would? Easy bet imo.
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Intuition
2 months ago
Every article is just a repeat, sources say sources say
2
Intuition
2 months ago
What rumour is DeSantis based on? Floridians want him as governor and he likely wants the senate position.
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Intuition
2 months ago
What rumour is DeSantis based on? Floridians want him as governor and he likely wants the senate position.
5
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
2 months ago
Florida is already moving that way
0
Lizrael
2 months ago
The science is clear about it since a long time, it's just incompetent do-nothing bureaucrats . We also don't drink suncream. The news articles ramp up a lot already, first towns have stopped it. It will hopefully end
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Intuition
2 months ago
Save her from the firing squad
0
sMILE
2 months ago
pardon of what? being ugly?
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Intuition
2 months ago
It's all just a repeat of the same politico rumour
2
QuasarSSA
2 months ago
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/12/05/white-house-weighs-preemptive-pardons-for-potential-trump-targets/
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
Update: he sold.
1
metawin2
2 months ago
Clearly NO
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Intuition
2 months ago
Would be nice to have a well thought out market for once.
0
Intuition
2 months ago
A pardon does not take effect unless it is accepted by the individual (Burdick v. United States). If a pardon is issued but declined, it does not constitute receiving a pardon by the party.
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
2 months ago
https://www.foxnews.com/us/unitedhealthcare-ceo-assassin-believed-have-left-message-scene-bullet-casings-report
0
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Intuition
2 months ago
A pardon does not take effect unless it is accepted by the individual (Burdick v. United States). If a pardon is issued but declined, it does not constitute receiving a pardon by the party.
1
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
2 months ago
Sure, here's something logical: logic and intuition are like yin and yang.
2
Hull
2 months ago
What a horrible market.
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
2 months ago
You must be fun at parties
3
Hull
2 months ago
What a horrible market.
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
2 months ago
By and large they're low effort and poorly thought out.
3
Hull
2 months ago
What a horrible market.
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
2 months ago
Aren't they all?
3
Hull
2 months ago
What a horrible market.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
2 months ago
I'm sure the dentists are trembling. Why don't you bet?
0
OHCANADA
2 months ago
LOL never going to happen, the amount of stress that it will put on dentists will esure it wont happen. So many people dont brush their teeth and all of them will need dentures quite fast.
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
2 months ago
Make a bit broke ass
0
LUTAOTAO
2 months ago
what crime did Anthony Fauci commit?
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
Intuition
2 months ago
After sentencing.
2
Starchaser
3 months ago
Why is this market not resolved 12 days later?
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
Intuition
2 months ago
Why is this at the top of "ending soon" when this could go on for four+ years? The deadline for appeal is after sentencing.
23
·
Liked by n/a, n/a and 21 others
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Intuition
2 months ago
Not to mention the eyes of Floridians, they're pretty fond of their governor.
1
Mbrace888
2 months ago
Just using common sense, swapping in DeSantis for Hegseth would be a grave mistake in the eyes of Trump supporters. He simply won’t do it.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
I have limited liquidity, lower the price
0
BigDong
2 months ago
Fill my no orders please
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
You're clueless, his own constituency would rip him apart if he didn't
1
BigDong
2 months ago
Fill my no orders please
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
Shouldn't hunter resolve?
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
Assange isn't a free man, Shrek is
0
EngiDarius
2 months ago
Have we forgotten Martin Skreli?
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
2 months ago
If the vaccine worked we wouldn't have had to listen to you retards bitch about the unvaxxed
4
goingsocial
2 months ago
I guess he'd have to pardon Trump at the same time for saving the country with a vaccine. Horrible crime, that
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
2 months ago
Go put a mask on and wash your groceries
5
LUTAOTAO
2 months ago
what crime did Anthony Fauci commit?
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
2 months ago
Gain-of-function violations, perjury, conspiracy to defraud, testing on children, I'm sure among many others.
9
LUTAOTAO
2 months ago
what crime did Anthony Fauci commit?
Will Biden finish his term?
Intuition
2 months ago
oof
1
0x75821898ad35392425896085089629611391d2bf
2 months ago
why do you sold @Erasmus? Are you scared?
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
Great, buy more
1
metawin2
2 months ago
Clearly NO
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
2 months ago
at 60 cents ... oof
3
Cognit0
2 months ago
He's not going to out himself or his friends. The YES MAGA squad is going to get wrecked by a con man.
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
2 months ago
ok Kamala forecaster
2
Cognit0
2 months ago
He's not going to out himself or his friends. The YES MAGA squad is going to get wrecked by a con man.
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
2 months ago
Chad Chronister market where?
0
Fed Interest Rates: December 2024
Intuition
2 months ago
No, for instance you can drink at bars if you're 21+. It's inclusive.
1
gings
2 months ago
does 75+ decrease means 75 doesn't count right?
Fed Interest Rates: December 2024
Intuition
2 months ago
Pretty unlikely given their (bs) inflation metrics and reasoning behind cuts.
1
Marry
2 months ago
Is there still a possibility for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
You might want to read the rules carefully and put some thought into this.
2
metawin2
2 months ago
Clearly NO
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
It's a clarifying executive order.
2
metawin2
2 months ago
Clearly NO. The likelihood of Donald Trump successfully banning birthright citizenship within his first 100 days in office is extremely low due to significant legal and constitutional barriers
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Intuition
2 months ago
He's profitable, you are not.
0
OVERRIDE
2 months ago
JD Vance... my bet is entirely based upon "too good to be true". My skeptical disposition says "they" would never allow what Trump has stated he is going to do - to be done. I actually support Trump and hope that he does implement what he has planned but something in me won't budge to believe it fully. Ready and willing to lose my $500 investment/bet and change my mind if Trump is inaugurated. Therefore I am putting my money where my mouth is and bet against the hype. Further, astrology I believe plays into JD Vance becoming President. Trump may be inaugurated but shortly after JD Vance may become President.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
2 months ago
Does the Patel nomination not concern you?
1
Car
3 months ago
Fun fact: Christopher Wray got appointed by Trump in his last term.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
2 months ago
Does the Kash nomination mean Trump intends to replace Wray immediately?
1
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
2 months ago
His first executive order was effectively an obamacare tax repeal on uninsured.
1
catmania
2 months ago
extremely underpriced given trumps said he would
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
2 months ago
Kash money baby
3
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Intuition
2 months ago
Neither polymarket nor polygon are "risk free" -- but if you're not moving your funds there is "no additional risk"
0
VibesGreaterRules
9 months ago
Better safe bets in other markets... This could take a very long time to resolve (Jan 2025) unless Biden pardons SBF.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
Accusation used in sentencing but not in trial. Evidence from after feds had control of site.
2
francoblanco
2 months ago
fuckross 🙏
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
Thanks for the black friday sale
3
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
Not statistically, and not even for DNM operators after him who allowed fraud
1
not.nigel.farage
2 months ago
Ross Ulbricht was convicted of: engaging in a continuing criminal enterprise, distributing narcotics, distributing narcotics by means of the internet, conspiracy to distribute narcotics, conspiracy to commit money laundering, conspiracy to traffic fraudulent identity documents, and conspiracy to commit computer hacking.
Starmer out as UK prime minister in 2024?
Intuition
2 months ago
I think there is a bug in comment counting.
2
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
2 months ago
https://x.com/FLSurgeonGen/status/1860053758161321995 Florida Surgeon General: "adding fluoride to our communities' water must stop"
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
Gaetz doesn't need a pardon, pretty stupid betting yes on that.
1
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
He's had four years to plan things. He's a do-er. It's a guarantee he doesn't need to "prioritise" this at all, it's already done.
0
JDoe
2 months ago
he publicly and repeatedly said several times he would pardon Ross on day one.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
I don't think you realise how many voters he picked up with that promise.
0
n/a
2 months ago
lol @ people that that think he's actually going to pardon an international drug dealer. inb4 "he's not a drug dealer he just ran a marketplace". yeah that's gonna go well with the swing voters. do better.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
MAGA is a populist movement, he gathered votes from people who otherwise felt unrepresented. He will go from having gained allies to having loud enemies if he does not.
0
mipiacesniffare
2 months ago
he'll never pardon ross, not enough balls to do it and too much controlled by elite. Trump or Biden are not free.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
That'd be great, then I could stack up
0
Car
2 months ago
I can't wait for Ross market to crash -50% on day 1
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
Intuition
2 months ago
The tariff is as much a bargaining tool as it is a fiscal one
1
betpro2
2 months ago
Why no ?
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
2 months ago
So he's walking the walk
0
n/a
2 months ago
We will make it
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Intuition
2 months ago
It's not revenge, it's justice, and the people want it
1
Boot
2 months ago
use common sense
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Intuition
2 months ago
No *is* more likely, but 'no' bets here encourage it.
0
Intuition
2 months ago
All the yes holders, thank you on behalf of humanity for your service. All the no holders, learn some game theory.
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Intuition
2 months ago
If enough retards bet no, this becomes increasingly likely
1
fauzan-hn8ZfsszfsSg0iq4mGtNwfjm
2 months ago
kim jong un would just put all his money here and detonate his nuclear on 25th dec as his christmas present
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Intuition
2 months ago
All the yes holders, thank you on behalf of humanity for your service. All the no holders, learn some game theory.
1
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Intuition
2 months ago
True ok the -5k guy said so, better rep than NYT
1
0x243339432434324234
2 months ago
TRUMP CONCEDES GAETZ'S SENATE CONFIRMATION MAY NOT HAPPEN: NYT
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
2 months ago
read the rules
1
Saruman77
3 months ago
Why hasnst this closed for next time I just sold at 99 cents because I didnt understand why so long
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Intuition
2 months ago
any sources that are more trustworthy?
0
0x243339432434324234
2 months ago
TRUMP CONCEDES GAETZ'S SENATE CONFIRMATION MAY NOT HAPPEN: NYT
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
2 months ago
Is trump's memo that said "outside of government" not good enough for you?
0
WALTUH.YTE
3 months ago
guys, listen, DOGE is not gonna be an actual cabinet department. department sounds stronger and elon wanted to call it DOGE. sources: https://youtu.be/DvWUBrcUxCE?si=YB0UHaGx_Qfp5Ylh&t=15 , same video timestamp 4:04 , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grace_Commission
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
2 months ago
The rules clearly state within the government. The memo clearly states "outside of government"
0
wejh69
2 months ago
How is DOGE not an appointment?
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
2 months ago
The rules say "roles within the government", the memo says "outside government". Your guy is 4 points away from Ron Paul and Bannon. Cope.
1
batitombo
2 months ago
I think Elon should resolve 50/50. Not clear enough in the resolution and it has a lot of confusion.
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
2 months ago
"Within" ... funny word choice. Rule states "... roles WITHIN the government such as ...". This role is outside government.
0
MageGold
3 months ago
DOGE doesnot count?
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
2 months ago
Not quite.
0
muusd
3 months ago
Marco should resolve all conditions have been met.
Who will be Trump's Attorney General?
Intuition
2 months ago
He made it up. https://polymarket.com/event/trump-formally-nominates-matt-gaetz-for-attorney-general?tid=1731767704431
0
zizar3
2 months ago
Reports are that Matt will be repudiated by the Trump team tomorrow.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
2 months ago
I think this market's odds should be just short of this one: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-hhs-secretary
0
Intuition
2 months ago
Right Medication, Right Dose, Right Patient, Right Time, Right Route, Right Reason.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
2 months ago
Basic principles of medicine. Furthermore fluoride achieves its reported effects from topical application. Overconsumption of flouride can lead to fluoridosis. Follow the money for why it was added to municipal drinking water.
1
Intuition
2 months ago
Right Medication, Right Dose, Right Patient, Right Time, Right Route, Right Reason.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
2 months ago
Right Medication, Right Dose, Right Patient, Right Time, Right Route, Right Reason.
2
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
2 months ago
Nothing about this market has anything to do with "banning" it.
1
Piffpaff
3 months ago
Guys, this cannot happen. Unfortunately, bst way would be to filter the water from chemicals. Tech is freely available and cheap
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
2 months ago
Adding fluoride to the water is not intended to clean it.
3
JonathanPorridge
2 months ago
The idea of taking flouride out of drinking water is not a crazy idea in any way. I'm from Canada and the vast majority of municipal water is flouride free. It's really only Ontario that adds it in.
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)
Intuition
2 months ago
Taze them every 15 minutes until the votes are counted
0
Will Trump use a recess appointment for Matt Gaetz?
Intuition
2 months ago
This gives senators the opportunity to fill the bet and help it happen
0
ronaldk
3 months ago
The Senate is unlikely to confirm Gaetz, so this is the way Trump will choose.
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
2 months ago
Do provisionals sometimes subtract from previously counted votes? I know people that had someone vote under their name were given provisionals.
0
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
3 months ago
really mix it up, 154.9-155.9
0
sneakySAN1C
3 months ago
The real fun begins when they create a betting market where the outcomes are seperated by single millions
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Intuition
3 months ago
You seem to be confusing equity with equality again
3
princess4trump
3 months ago
I demand equally distributed insults between me and maga chick
Who will replace Marco Rubio as Florida Senator?
Intuition
3 months ago
lol wtf are these markets? rabs???
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
I literally said 2017. You want 2024? Tulsi, RFK, DOGE. Cope, it's happening.
0
Pidor🐓
3 months ago
a lot of desperate underwater Ross no holders are still trying to escape their bags. trump's campaign promised to free ulbricht. trump doesn't know ulbricht or anything about him. his campaign does and will fulfill the campaign promise well over 76% of the time. just market dump the bags
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
3 months ago
"outside government" - trump memo
2
MageGold
3 months ago
DOGE doesnot count?
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
3 months ago
Good data. Crazy that US elections are so slow to count.
1
SausageRoll
3 months ago
https://i.imgur.com/FL5MIN7.png All data based on UTC which is 5 hours ahead of EST/ET, this chart includes average daily price for both of our contenders on polymarket :))
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
3 months ago
I agree, right now it's only extremely likely she will be officially nominated.
0
taerv534
3 months ago
Okay looking into it further, it seems like the really big ambiguity here, that lots of people are interpreting in either way without even considering the other, is whether *anything* counts before Trump is actually inaugurated (Jan 20, 2025) and officially acting as president, or not.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders/donald-trump/2017
0
Pidor🐓
3 months ago
a lot of desperate underwater Ross no holders are still trying to escape their bags. trump's campaign promised to free ulbricht. trump doesn't know ulbricht or anything about him. his campaign does and will fulfill the campaign promise well over 76% of the time. just market dump the bags
Next Prime Minister of Ireland
Intuition
3 months ago
I have no idea what you're talking about, but @RamblerAndGambler understood the assignment and gave a great answer, so thanks to him for that.
3
Intuition
3 months ago
Can any Irish who bet Trump give me the vibe check on this?
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
3 months ago
Wait what? You're arguing about Tulsi?
1
taerv534
3 months ago
Okay looking into it further, it seems like the really big ambiguity here, that lots of people are interpreting in either way without even considering the other, is whether *anything* counts before Trump is actually inaugurated (Jan 20, 2025) and officially acting as president, or not.
Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?
Intuition
3 months ago
The rules state "cabinet-level," wikipedia states "The director of national intelligence (DNI) is a senior cabinet-level United States government official, required by the Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004"
1
markxc27
3 months ago
While the DNI is not one of the original 15 executive department heads that have traditionally made up the Cabinet, it has been added to the group of Cabinet-level officials that includes positions like the White House Chief of Staff and the U.S. Trade Representative. This reflects the growing importance of intelligence coordination and national security in modern governance. Seems like a dispute waiting to happen
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
3 months ago
It's rabs' cheekiness that leaves me the most uncomfortable about the whole thing
4
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
3 months ago
Thinking this has anything to do with voting may be why you're 2k in the hole
2
sergiusV
3 months ago
I believe in Mr. Scott. He is the central figure to implement Trump's agenda. without him it does not make any sense
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
3 months ago
https://x.com/ChadPergram
0
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
3 months ago
And the people fwiw
4
Slan
3 months ago
Just so that you know once and for all, most GOP Senators HATE Trump.
X and Truth Social merger announced before August?
Intuition
3 months ago
His net worth is back over 300 billion, clearly a moron
1
goingsocial
3 months ago
What's the theory here? Elon's such a moron he overpays for a wildly inflated asset twice? And this time the asset is way crappier?
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
3 months ago
Are they counting with their fucking toes or what
0
JDoe
3 months ago
Using this source: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-us-election-results/
Trump signs national abortion ban?
Intuition
3 months ago
Are there bills currently being floated?
1
frosen
3 months ago
Reminder that ANY restrictive change to the abortion law will swing this bet to Yes according to the rules
Trump signs national abortion ban?
Intuition
3 months ago
What promise?
0
J-T-W
3 months ago
He gonna sign it in 30days lol
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
3 months ago
I'm sick and tired of them putting chemicals in the water turning the frickin frogs gay
38
·
Liked by MEGABASED, n/a and 36 others
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
because he's permanently sealing the identity of party converts to the maga party to secure the next 12 years
0
dudeforkamala
3 months ago
he said he'd free Ross Ulbricht on day 1. Maybe it won't be day 1, but it will be in first 100 days. Libertarians are 100% going to hold him to this
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
-25 lmao
0
PGOATDIDDY
3 months ago
hes not freeing ross lmao, better chance that he frees young thug
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
No time is going to be wasted, the day one EOs are drafted. It's a done deal.
0
qwaszxfg
3 months ago
i can't understand why he should pardon him?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
They took down bcash santa while faketoshi walks free?
0
0x1CFd281179BC9e13E5a41cD92aD3b8780f573d1a-1730928908233
3 months ago
Please add Roger Ver to this market https://brownstone.org/articles/why-roger-ver-deserves-a-presidential-pardon/
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
The day one executive orders are written, it's a done deal. Look at first EO 2017. EO promises kept.
1
Pidor🐓
3 months ago
a lot of desperate underwater Ross no holders are still trying to escape their bags. trump's campaign promised to free ulbricht. trump doesn't know ulbricht or anything about him. his campaign does and will fulfill the campaign promise well over 76% of the time. just market dump the bags
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
3 months ago
Just read Trump's memo slowly, or any of the comments below.
0
Katiee
3 months ago
just because vivek didnt get an official position at DOGE doesnt mean he never will
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
3 months ago
I wish
1
Intuition
3 months ago
Do we trust rabs or the schizo, I hope I picked the right team.
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
3 months ago
Do we trust rabs or the schizo, I hope I picked the right team.
2
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
3 months ago
Vivek is a part of DOGE and DOGE is outside the government, not qualifying for this.
0
Katiee
3 months ago
just because vivek didnt get an official position at DOGE doesnt mean he never will
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
3 months ago
He's not creating a department.
0
debased
3 months ago
do we know what exactly doge is
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
3 months ago
"The Department of Government Efficiency will provide advice and guidance from outside of Government"
1
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?
Intuition
3 months ago
Will this resolve to 'no' if BLS is dismantled?
9
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
3 months ago
https://youtu.be/_eT9Lvj-i20
0
baypa
3 months ago
People saying no shot, this goes till April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET...trying to tell the future for 6 months when its about trump LMAO. 6 Months with 13c is a no brainer, the slightes news or mention is enough for a rise and the fact that joe rogan and elon, who bouth talk about eipstein list frequently,are trumps closest allies just proves this
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
3 months ago
Nothing official from the campaign, just legacy media and rumors
0
DonaldRump
3 months ago
Marco Rubio confirmed
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
3 months ago
Could some leakage happen from those seated nearby?
0
Piffpaff
3 months ago
Trump prefers Scott, it is all over the news
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
3 months ago
Says the Kamala forecaster 18k in the hole
0
baypa
3 months ago
People saying no shot, this goes till April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET...trying to tell the future for 6 months when its about trump LMAO. 6 Months with 13c is a no brainer, the slightes news or mention is enough for a rise and the fact that joe rogan and elon, who bouth talk about eipstein list frequently,are trumps closest allies just proves this
Next Prime Minister of Ireland
Intuition
3 months ago
Can any Irish who bet Trump give me the vibe check on this?
6
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
Intuition
3 months ago
If the rules were not so strict you'd have a shot. He probably can't unilaterally meet the conditions for "yes" in the time given.
0
guy-
3 months ago
I mean he said on a space with elon that he will. I still agree its maybe 20 precent but 7 seems low (or is it?)
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
Intuition
3 months ago
The timeline is pretty thin, he can't pull this off with purely executive action.
0
Teuf
3 months ago
today he straight up said he is going to do it
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
Intuition
3 months ago
RINOs
0
PapaFuego
3 months ago
elon just shared this: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1856021616503009296?s=46&t=-pgJAoZfVWLo25J9d2lYcQ
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
In this case, Trump has claimed he is going to pass an executive order limiting birth right citizenship, so that it doesn't apply to children of non-citizens in the country illegally. You are betting on whether he will do what he said he's going to do.
3
Eridpnc
3 months ago
Can we define "limit"
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
"Limit" in this context refers to the concept of bounding or restraining the scope or understanding and application of a legal provision. It implies setting a boundary or a threshold beyond which the law's meaning or application cannot be stretched or expanded.
2
Eridpnc
3 months ago
Can we define "limit"
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
3 months ago
Neither of those phrases appear on that source.
0
VinaCapital
3 months ago
As of 1:30pm on Monday, November 11: 155,391,700 votes counted at 63.51% turnout rate. 3,203,196 votes more to go.
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
I think the example press release is pretty straightforward.
0
goingsocial
3 months ago
People on both sides here believe they will win a rules fight because it will take a year to withdraw but the example in the rules is an announcement about beginning to withdraw. This is the kind of market that can take years off your life. No thanks.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
I hope they buy more so I can get in, it's obviously happening
1
Car
3 months ago
Wait till they find out how many people Trump pardoned in the first 100 days in his first term..
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
Day one
0
SexyEagle
3 months ago
why are people still buying yes 😭
Fed Interest Rates: December 2024
Intuition
3 months ago
project 2025 baby
0
auumimi1
3 months ago
i am gay
AOC pregnant in 2024?
Intuition
3 months ago
looking for baby name ideas
0
IseWise
3 months ago
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1856080026900582646?t=bGXaUgfjTyM-vtW_AQdbzA&s=19
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?
Intuition
3 months ago
Unlikely to happen. One vote over is "yes"
0
p0lym334k4t
3 months ago
Ooh tricky market. Folks, remember it's not about winning the popular vote, but getting 50% of the votes. Trump can be the popular vote winner while not hitting 50% (there are more than 2 candidates on the ballot, duh).
Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump?
Intuition
3 months ago
Yes and no both over 80 cents? Oof.
0
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
The main object of the opening sentence of the Fourteenth Amendment was to settle the question, upon which there had been a difference of opinion throughout the country and in this Court, as to the citizenship of free negroes (Scott v. Sandford, 19 How. 393)
3
SkillzThatKillz
3 months ago
This would be very clearly unconstitutional (14th Amendment). Why would he waste his time doing something that is so clearly illegal?
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
3 months ago
Scott is the MAGA pick
0
GoblinMilk
3 months ago
RINO Rick Scott is DOA. No way the GOP stabs us in the back by going with him.
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
I'm autistic, can you explain
0
johnveltk
3 months ago
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-day-one-executive-order-ending-citizenship-for-children-of-illegals-and-outlawing-birth-tourism
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
3 months ago
"aims to limit or eliminate"
6
johnveltk
3 months ago
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-day-one-executive-order-ending-citizenship-for-children-of-illegals-and-outlawing-birth-tourism
Will Biden resign in 2024?
Intuition
3 months ago
They're obsessed with changing history they could easily want her to be first "black woman" non-christian president
0
PickleRick
3 months ago
A great way to troll Trump if he wins the election is for Biden to resign and let Kamala become president first
Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?
Intuition
3 months ago
To incentivise leaving, you bet "no" to allow the person to fill the bet and then collect by doing the action
1
Flaner
3 months ago
This market is just to bully that person into actually leaving?
Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?
Intuition
3 months ago
Must be an athlete
1
Peteraisen
3 months ago
I can't understand why Elon Musk's daughter needs to move out of the United States?
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
Intuition
3 months ago
US courts drag their feet, so the likelihood of this happening in the timeframe specified is extremely low.
0
Intuition
3 months ago
If enough evidence of fraud for 2020 is found, the court could rule that he gets a 3rd term. Per the rules, that's "Yes", but it's not really a repeal.
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
Intuition
3 months ago
If enough evidence of fraud for 2020 is found, the court could rule that he gets a 3rd term. Per the rules, that's "Yes", but it's not really a repeal.
1
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
3 months ago
i took one back
0
austinwr84
3 months ago
Went through the updated figures that ap news has posted per state. My final number as of now is 159,205,428. Could certainly have a margin of error, but the %'s for no and yes is not close to being accurate. Either side should be closer to 40-60% range.
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
3 months ago
Did you switch to the API the other user mentioned with the extra precision? I'm pissed I sold boys, but I'm too scared to buy back in.
0
austinwr84
3 months ago
Went through the updated figures that ap news has posted per state. My final number as of now is 159,205,428. Could certainly have a margin of error, but the %'s for no and yes is not close to being accurate. Either side should be closer to 40-60% range.
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?
Intuition
3 months ago
Conditions are way too vague.
4