#79
Rank
239
Comments
122
Likes Received
379
Likes Given
How many Federal employees will accept buyout?
Intuition
1 year ago
All my DC friends just can't wait to work for their new favorite leader! Ready to report into the office sir! Can't wait to start the commute! 7 months pay? And then unemployment if I take it to court?? That's a whole year of income without work, not good for the soul. No handouts for me!
1
Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
Intuition
1 year ago
Terrible data in the resolution source. Whoever maintains it should accept the buyout immediately.
1
GTA VI released in 2025?
Intuition
1 year ago
Every one's a friend on poly market
16
JRMOsp
1 year ago
We got the Polymarket bet on GTA VI before GTA VI
# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?
Intuition
1 year ago
Interesting development
2
Will Trump resign in 2025?
Intuition
1 year ago
Only if he announces it.
1
mcpetrus
1 year ago
I guess if he dies that doesn't count as a resignation.
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
You will pick a fruit and ice cream to eat for dessert, such as an orange with vanilla ice cream.
1
TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP
1 year ago
This is what Sacks will have to fall under if you look at the examples in the rules. The examples do not include "etc" at the end, meaning that those examples are the only things the qualify. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senior_Advisor_to_the_President_of_the_United_States
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
Intuition
1 year ago
Some markets call for close deadlines, others need a little more time. I'm not sure March cuts it.
2
Andrew Tate # of tweets January 24-31?
Intuition
1 year ago
Not useful, not interesting
0
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
1 year ago
He said "hope" not "think"
1
Zar03
1 year ago
i really hope georgescu wins
Will Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March?
Intuition
1 year ago
Ross, fill my no orders and go on buddy. You deserve it.
2
Kamala Harris divorce in 2025?
Intuition
1 year ago
Buy 400 NO
0
debased
1 year ago
whoriss belongs to the streets now
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2025?
Intuition
1 year ago
Greenland-Denmark?
2
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2025?
Intuition
1 year ago
Winnie the Pooh visited the site of the Tiananmen Square Massacre
7
LittlePass
1 year ago
Taiwan is not a country 😡
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
gg
0
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
You're wasting your breath, just chill man
0
GollumGekko
1 year ago
https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/putting-america-first-in-international-environmental-agreements/
Trump ends taxes on tips?
Intuition
1 year ago
No they didn't, and that's a bad analogy. A better one would be could you buy it in California even though it was federally scheduled? Yes. Yes, you could. And that's all people cared about. It's still federally scheduled.
0
SkiLLz
1 year ago
Bunch of liberal sissy boys in this market, good thing they’re good for exit liquidity also might wanna reread the rules all he has to do is perform an executive action and this resolves to yes even if the law dosnt go into effect. His whole campaign was surrounded by this idea and is visiting Nevada due to this winning that state.
Trump ends taxes on tips?
Intuition
1 year ago
It would be moving the goalpost if people still had to pay it, which they didn't. The only substance for taxpayers is whether they have to PAY THE TAX
1
SkiLLz
1 year ago
Bunch of liberal sissy boys in this market, good thing they’re good for exit liquidity also might wanna reread the rules all he has to do is perform an executive action and this resolves to yes even if the law dosnt go into effect. His whole campaign was surrounded by this idea and is visiting Nevada due to this winning that state.
Trump ends taxes on tips?
Intuition
1 year ago
It eliminated enforcement of the tax by allowing citizens to abstain from answering the relevant question on IRS forms without recourse.
1
SkiLLz
1 year ago
Bunch of liberal sissy boys in this market, good thing they’re good for exit liquidity also might wanna reread the rules all he has to do is perform an executive action and this resolves to yes even if the law dosnt go into effect. His whole campaign was surrounded by this idea and is visiting Nevada due to this winning that state.
Trump ends taxes on tips?
Intuition
1 year ago
That happened after the EO which did on 20 Jan 2017
1
SkiLLz
1 year ago
Bunch of liberal sissy boys in this market, good thing they’re good for exit liquidity also might wanna reread the rules all he has to do is perform an executive action and this resolves to yes even if the law dosnt go into effect. His whole campaign was surrounded by this idea and is visiting Nevada due to this winning that state.
Trump ends taxes on tips?
Intuition
1 year ago
Did an EO eliminate health insurance penalty tax? Y/N
1
SkiLLz
1 year ago
Bunch of liberal sissy boys in this market, good thing they’re good for exit liquidity also might wanna reread the rules all he has to do is perform an executive action and this resolves to yes even if the law dosnt go into effect. His whole campaign was surrounded by this idea and is visiting Nevada due to this winning that state.
Romania Presidential Election
Intuition
1 year ago
Only if someone bothers to dispute
0
Ghewu
1 year ago
The election law was officialy published on election dates in May. This should be resolved now: https://www.roaep.ro/legislatie/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/oug_masuri__prezi_loc.pdf
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Roger Stone? What timeline is this?
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Will inquire
0
Car
1 year ago
Now that he pardoned Ross, Roger Ver might be the next one. He is also a Bitcoiner.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
As I stated below, "Right Medication, Right Dose, Right Patient, Right Time, Right Route, Right Reason." are already established principles of medicine. Toothpaste science has also evolved well beyond the capacity of fluoride as a topical aid. The evidence is already there.
0
Trading4Fridge
1 year ago
Look at the rules, please. Kennedy’s administration could influence public opinion or issue advisories similar to those in Florida, where communities have already reconsidered fluoridation. However, federal actions cannot override state mandates, and many states, including Kentucky, California, and Minnesota, require fluoridation by law. Repealing or amending such mandates would take time and legislative effort. Given these logistical and legal barriers, along with the strong institutional and scientific support for fluoridation, it is improbable that the USPHS or CDC would formally eliminate or drastically alter its recommendations within the limited timeframe.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Lol from your main for $66. Weird flex
0
Junruihuang
1 year ago
I bought no on Ross
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
He's a bcasher, but he might pardon him on grounds of "lawfare"
1
Car
1 year ago
Now that he pardoned Ross, Roger Ver might be the next one. He is also a Bitcoiner.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
The rules and title are congruent. Withdrawing a recommendation has nothing to do with states having laws or municipalities keeping their fluoridated water. They are neither logistical nor legal barriers. Scientific support, improbability, and limited timeframe are reasonable arguments. Here's a counter argument: has the administration been doing what they say they will? (Yes). Has RFK Jr said he will? (Yes) Is RFK Jr likely to get the post? (Yes) Are they moving pretty fast on their promises? (Yes)
1
Trading4Fridge
1 year ago
Look at the rules, please. Kennedy’s administration could influence public opinion or issue advisories similar to those in Florida, where communities have already reconsidered fluoridation. However, federal actions cannot override state mandates, and many states, including Kentucky, California, and Minnesota, require fluoridation by law. Repealing or amending such mandates would take time and legislative effort. Given these logistical and legal barriers, along with the strong institutional and scientific support for fluoridation, it is improbable that the USPHS or CDC would formally eliminate or drastically alter its recommendations within the limited timeframe.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
Did... you read the rules bud?
0
Trading4Fridge
1 year ago
Look at the rules, please. Kennedy’s administration could influence public opinion or issue advisories similar to those in Florida, where communities have already reconsidered fluoridation. However, federal actions cannot override state mandates, and many states, including Kentucky, California, and Minnesota, require fluoridation by law. Repealing or amending such mandates would take time and legislative effort. Given these logistical and legal barriers, along with the strong institutional and scientific support for fluoridation, it is improbable that the USPHS or CDC would formally eliminate or drastically alter its recommendations within the limited timeframe.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
For the ver boys too. I switched
0
Hull
1 year ago
It is still a headscratcher for me what the h no buyers were thinking.
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
It's been fun boys.
0
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Ez money
1
$MELANIA FDV on Friday?
Intuition
1 year ago
Lazy
0
taerv534
1 year ago
The copy-pasted Rules for this market still link to $TRUMP, not $MELANIA
$TRUMP FDV on February 1?
Intuition
1 year ago
You're not on trial and volume has it's own meaning.
0
EthIsAScam
1 year ago
I just learnt the diff between FDV and market cap. The total volumn of $TRUMP is 1B, so FDV = Price*1B, e.g. $60 now so it is $60b. Therefore this market is equivalent price of $TRUMP at the deadline * 1B, so we could ignore the "b"s in the market titles and treat them as usual price markets?
Will it snow in D.C. on Inauguration day?
Intuition
1 year ago
Trump will sign an executive order. No snow.
0
$TRUMP FDV on February 1?
Intuition
1 year ago
FDV = The market cap if the max supply was in circulation. Fully-diluted value (FDV) = price * max supply. Nothing to do with volume.
0
EthIsAScam
1 year ago
I just learnt the diff between FDV and market cap. The total volumn of $TRUMP is 1B, so FDV = Price*1B, e.g. $60 now so it is $60b. Therefore this market is equivalent price of $TRUMP at the deadline * 1B, so we could ignore the "b"s in the market titles and treat them as usual price markets?
Will it snow in D.C. on Inauguration day?
Intuition
1 year ago
Thanks for the shares boney.
1
boney
1 year ago
guys check the weather forecast..
Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Intuition
1 year ago
If you're new to polymarket this is not a good introduction.
1
0x5A2939b98B819B64344801F142A4a89Eac287f5C-1734693046482
1 year ago
Considering buying usdc just for this market
How many Jan 6th protestors will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Nah
1
eeeff
1 year ago
It's not protestors but criminals
How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
Intuition
1 year ago
Obama removed 415,607 in 2012, and that was before they could count people removed more than once in a day. Over 250k removals yearly since 2006. https://ohss.dhs.gov/topics/immigration/yearbook/2019/table39
0
# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?
Intuition
1 year ago
The other sites have different timelines
0
Hartal
1 year ago
You guys are delusional if you think daddy Elon is firing 10% of the federal employees, let alone the extra 300k that are hired each year.
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Intuition
1 year ago
Shut up and place a bet
2
Aaronruan
1 year ago
Expect Trump to make crypto great again.
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
For those that don't know, during his first term he began the process the very day the mandatory waiting period ended.
1
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Tried to pump himself a pardon same way he tried to pump bcash
0
BussyBlaster
1 year ago
what's the bull case with Roger Ver? im honestly shocked it's still at 0.82. Do people really think this blatant tax fraud is going to get any attention from Trump in the first 100 days? I guarantee you Trump doesn't know this guy even exists. If anything trump would just tell his DOJ to lay off (he wont) rather than pardon this dude
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
There's no yes case, the yes pumpers are Ver's minions pumping his numbers, they don't participate on this site in any other way.
0
BussyBlaster
1 year ago
what's the bull case with Roger Ver? im honestly shocked it's still at 0.82. Do people really think this blatant tax fraud is going to get any attention from Trump in the first 100 days? I guarantee you Trump doesn't know this guy even exists. If anything trump would just tell his DOJ to lay off (he wont) rather than pardon this dude
Trump Cabinet confirmation on Day 1?
Intuition
1 year ago
Why do you think they need unanimous consent?
0
ronaldk
1 year ago
A single Democratic senator can block unanimous consent that is required for this to happen. Yes is overpriced.
Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Nothing could be worse than the last 4 years, and encouraged people to vote for more of it.
1
FriendlyGuy
1 year ago
Nick Fuentes warned you...
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before midnight?
Intuition
1 year ago
How hard is it to get a dub lol
0
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
ok you're definitely going back
12
Donprispris
1 year ago
chinga tu madre
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Examine the Roger Ver top Yes holders. They don't bet in other markets, they are here to pump Ver. Take the free money.
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Doesn't seem like english is your first language, so not surprising that you don't understand a large portion of his constituency asked for the pardon and is expecting it.
0
Arielllllll
1 year ago
Trump need to think about The people that fight for him not on a guy That’s probably ruin a lot of Life
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?
Intuition
1 year ago
I'm flattered, but I don't swing trade with such grace
0
Car
1 year ago
Did the scam not work out FrankA? Boohoo
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Intuition
1 year ago
liar
0
Petro1
1 year ago
Loooool let’s just keep changing rules as we go along
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?
Intuition
1 year ago
-240
0
Car
1 year ago
Did the scam not work out FrankA? Boohoo
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Intuition
1 year ago
How are you back underwater bro you almost made it out
0
BlackSky123
1 year ago
I need to bet more on stuff like this and less on stuff like war markets with vague rules.
Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu in 2024?
Intuition
1 year ago
Goofball gavin
0
Top AI model on December 31?
Intuition
1 year ago
Gemini was fucking awful, there must have been some major improvements ... or the test sucks.
1
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Intuition
1 year ago
Are these votes public?
0
Faithless elector in US election?
Intuition
1 year ago
It will count as an UMA dispute, have fun!
0
none1195
1 year ago
If an elector attempts to cast a faithless vote and is either forced to change their vote or replaced with someone who doesn't vote unfaithfully does that count as a yes or a no?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
It's just correcting, zoom out
0
soopler
1 year ago
Whats with the increased confidence in Ross lol
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?
Intuition
1 year ago
Bitcoin uses double sha-256 fucking clowns
1
Mystery drones shot down by Friday?
Intuition
1 year ago
"by the US government" gay
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Is that all Roger could pump into this market?
0
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Thanks for reaffirming my point. If engagement went to zero the tiktok engagement didn't matter. So someone bought Russian tiktok engagement and you shut down your election over it like a bunch of clowns. Anyone you don't like, go on telegram and buy russian engagement. gg ez
0
p0lym334k4t
1 year ago
Typical of EU-desperado to not value democracy in a bald-faced manner.
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Seems so.
0
CrankyChicken
1 year ago
What's with the "Total Ballots Counted" column being blank the last few days on election.lab...? Prediction: Due to the high level influence of Polymarket, they are going to keep it blank until December 18, then post a total ballot count number that is higher than last time.
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Intuition
1 year ago
tiananmen square
1
PMIsScam
1 year ago
All in Winnie-the-Pooh
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
It seems to be in the CSV download
0
CrankyChicken
1 year ago
What's with the "Total Ballots Counted" column being blank the last few days on election.lab...? Prediction: Due to the high level influence of Polymarket, they are going to keep it blank until December 18, then post a total ballot count number that is higher than last time.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
1 year ago
I wouldn't be betting on what's a slap in the face dude, UMA's hands are sore.
1
Intuition
1 year ago
I market bought No on the news. Then I re-read the rules and realised there is a 12 hour overlap with Biden's administration and switched to Yes. I sold Yes because people want an UMA conflict already because they can't read rules (and no one who makes the markets can seemingly write them). Why didn't the rules just state "if he leaves during Trump's administration"? These conflicts might bring more attention while Poly is the best place to trade, but in the long run these terribly written markets will be the downfall of this platform.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
1 year ago
I didn't lose money on my Yes shares, only my market No. The small amount I lost I recovered from the volatility.
1
Intuition
1 year ago
I market bought No on the news. Then I re-read the rules and realised there is a 12 hour overlap with Biden's administration and switched to Yes. I sold Yes because people want an UMA conflict already because they can't read rules (and no one who makes the markets can seemingly write them). Why didn't the rules just state "if he leaves during Trump's administration"? These conflicts might bring more attention while Poly is the best place to trade, but in the long run these terribly written markets will be the downfall of this platform.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
1 year ago
There is a very real chance his resignation will state he leaves office as Biden does, then you are at UMA's peril.
1
Intuition
1 year ago
I market bought No on the news. Then I re-read the rules and realised there is a 12 hour overlap with Biden's administration and switched to Yes. I sold Yes because people want an UMA conflict already because they can't read rules (and no one who makes the markets can seemingly write them). Why didn't the rules just state "if he leaves during Trump's administration"? These conflicts might bring more attention while Poly is the best place to trade, but in the long run these terribly written markets will be the downfall of this platform.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
1 year ago
I market bought No on the news. Then I re-read the rules and realised there is a 12 hour overlap with Biden's administration and switched to Yes. I sold Yes because people want an UMA conflict already because they can't read rules (and no one who makes the markets can seemingly write them). Why didn't the rules just state "if he leaves during Trump's administration"? These conflicts might bring more attention while Poly is the best place to trade, but in the long run these terribly written markets will be the downfall of this platform.
9
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?
Intuition
1 year ago
That was added :)
0
Intuition
1 year ago
Add "other" please.
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
Intuition
1 year ago
If it was the self order kiosk then what
0
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?
Intuition
1 year ago
Add "other" please.
2
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
1 year ago
Oh no wyn sold off
0
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
1 year ago
Use a translator bud
1
JackStraw
1 year ago
if state (i.e. to be) was the driver why have the defining moment of cease in the rule?
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
Intuition
1 year ago
Compelling tbh
0
wyn
1 year ago
I switched from no to yes because they arrested the perp from a tip!!!! FBI pays in less than a month.
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
Intuition
1 year ago
I heard he called the 911 not the 1-800-snitch4cash
3
wyn
1 year ago
I switched from no to yes because they arrested the perp from a tip!!!! FBI pays in less than a month.
Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay?
Intuition
1 year ago
ok open a market
0
frosen
1 year ago
so this only resolves to yes if he publicly states he's gay? ... why the fuck would he ever do that, and what's the relevance with the murder?
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
Intuition
1 year ago
Tipper didn't call the hotline
0
wyn
1 year ago
I switched from no to yes because they arrested the perp from a tip!!!! FBI pays in less than a month.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
You raise prices when the demand goes up. And dentists aren't overwhelmed with business
1
OHCANADA
1 year ago
LOL never going to happen, the amount of stress that it will put on dentists will esure it wont happen. So many people dont brush their teeth and all of them will need dentures quite fast.
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
1 year ago
"dey denide my cwaim"
0
Gokhan
1 year ago
He had a manifesto on him. What the hell do you think that manifasto is about?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Very risky, because it's going to happen with the J6 pardons, and the labour is likely already done by staff before he even starts day 1.
0
MaxShorter
1 year ago
I’m struggling to understand how Ross is so low, if anyone can point me to reasons I should be bearish .
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Trump is going to keep the media so busy (because he will actually be busy, because he's a career businessman) that the public won't think very much at all, besides those vehemently expecting it.
0
TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP
1 year ago
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/25/trump-commute-ross-ulbricht-sentence-libertarian-convention-00160025
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
1 year ago
Great video, thanks for sharing.
0
taerv534
1 year ago
Debunking The UnitedHealthcare Assassination Myths: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nIbY6lo0RIw
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
That didn't happen, nice try though
0
TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP
1 year ago
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/25/trump-commute-ross-ulbricht-sentence-libertarian-convention-00160025
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
scammer
0
garydavisgd
1 year ago
Free Roger Ver!
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Why the terminally braindead insist on filling our pockets, I don't know, but I stay grateful.
2
FrancisSP8
1 year ago
3.5% for getting a pardon from 2 different presidents... can you imagine?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
53:58 https://rumble.com/v5o9fit-delivering-the-day-one-agenda-no-more-neocons-plus-interview-with-charlie-k.html but feel free to fill more of my orders.
0
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Nice argument, nice PNL
0
houdiniyomom
1 year ago
what a democracy if they ban candidates?
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
Intuition
1 year ago
-3k thinks the department of education has a pretty name
2
Spartan37
1 year ago
Apparently this would need a 60 vote majority in the Senate in order to pass. That really, really sucks. I thought the president could just end it. Welp. At least he can transform it entirely.
How many Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?
Intuition
1 year ago
Confirmed by the senate, it's the same as the other markets. So, recess appointments don't count.
0
anon783
1 year ago
There is no definition of "confirmed" here, very vague to bet.
How many Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?
Intuition
1 year ago
This market would be far more interesting if each category was "at least" ... i.e. 3+, 4+, 5+
5
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
1 year ago
You can buy "Russian influence" for your enemies on telegram from people who put ")))))" at the end of sentences
3
p0lym334k4t
1 year ago
Typical of EU-desperado to not value democracy in a bald-faced manner.
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
1 year ago
So the best way to get your enemies out of the race is pay some Russian for support?
9
Zar03
1 year ago
so called eu democratics when people vote for a candidate they don't like:
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
1 year ago
There's plenty of liberals left man, don't worry. Check out the Penny markets.
0
SteelMan
1 year ago
Man, I'd bet "No" at 90c. I'm astonished that so many people think he's going to pardon him!
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
1 year ago
You can pardon someone who hasn't been charged, but the optics are going to be terrible.
5
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Unless votes are publicly tied to your identity, you can't "buy votes"
1
houdiniyomom
1 year ago
what a democracy if they ban candidates?
Romania Presidential Election
Intuition
1 year ago
The silence is deafening.
3
Intuition
1 year ago
Romanians, will Georgescu be allowed to run again? Will there be an upset if he is not allowed?
Romania Presidential Election
Intuition
1 year ago
Thank you for the feedback. And as a litmus test, what is your opinion of Trump? No wrong answer.
0
Intuition
1 year ago
Romanians, will Georgescu be allowed to run again? Will there be an upset if he is not allowed?
Romania Presidential Election
Intuition
1 year ago
Romanians, will Georgescu be allowed to run again? Will there be an upset if he is not allowed?
1
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
If you listen to the speech where he said he would, it's pretty obvious he knows who he is. He said he's served enough time.
0
bung
1 year ago
Why wouldn't Trump pardon Ross if he said he would? Easy bet imo.
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Intuition
1 year ago
Every article is just a repeat, sources say sources say
2
Intuition
1 year ago
What rumour is DeSantis based on? Floridians want him as governor and he likely wants the senate position.
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Intuition
1 year ago
What rumour is DeSantis based on? Floridians want him as governor and he likely wants the senate position.
5
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
Florida is already moving that way
1
Lizrael
1 year ago
The science is clear about it since a long time, it's just incompetent do-nothing bureaucrats . We also don't drink suncream. The news articles ramp up a lot already, first towns have stopped it. It will hopefully end
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Intuition
1 year ago
Save her from the firing squad
0
sMILE
1 year ago
pardon of what? being ugly?
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Intuition
1 year ago
It's all just a repeat of the same politico rumour
2
QuasarSSA
1 year ago
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/12/05/white-house-weighs-preemptive-pardons-for-potential-trump-targets/
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Update: he sold.
2
metawin2
1 year ago
Clearly NO
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Intuition
1 year ago
Would be nice to have a well thought out market for once.
0
Intuition
1 year ago
A pardon does not take effect unless it is accepted by the individual (Burdick v. United States). If a pardon is issued but declined, it does not constitute receiving a pardon by the party.
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
1 year ago
https://www.foxnews.com/us/unitedhealthcare-ceo-assassin-believed-have-left-message-scene-bullet-casings-report
0
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Intuition
1 year ago
A pardon does not take effect unless it is accepted by the individual (Burdick v. United States). If a pardon is issued but declined, it does not constitute receiving a pardon by the party.
1
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
1 year ago
Sure, here's something logical: logic and intuition are like yin and yang.
2
Hull
1 year ago
What a horrible market.
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
1 year ago
You must be fun at parties
3
Hull
1 year ago
What a horrible market.
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
1 year ago
By and large they're low effort and poorly thought out.
3
Hull
1 year ago
What a horrible market.
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Intuition
1 year ago
Aren't they all?
3
Hull
1 year ago
What a horrible market.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
I'm sure the dentists are trembling. Why don't you bet?
2
OHCANADA
1 year ago
LOL never going to happen, the amount of stress that it will put on dentists will esure it wont happen. So many people dont brush their teeth and all of them will need dentures quite fast.
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
1 year ago
Make a bit broke ass
0
LUTAOTAO
1 year ago
what crime did Anthony Fauci commit?
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
Intuition
1 year ago
After sentencing.
2
Starchaser
1 year ago
Why is this market not resolved 12 days later?
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
Intuition
1 year ago
Why is this at the top of "ending soon" when this could go on for four+ years? The deadline for appeal is after sentencing.
23
·
Liked by n/a, n/a and 21 others
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Intuition
1 year ago
Not to mention the eyes of Floridians, they're pretty fond of their governor.
1
Mbrace888
1 year ago
Just using common sense, swapping in DeSantis for Hegseth would be a grave mistake in the eyes of Trump supporters. He simply won’t do it.
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Intuition
1 year ago
Yes holders are too scared to buy another 1.5 million shares
0
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Intuition
1 year ago
looks the pidor chickens came home to roost
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
I have limited liquidity, lower the price
0
BigDong
1 year ago
Fill my no orders please
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
You're clueless, his own constituency would rip him apart if he didn't
1
BigDong
1 year ago
Fill my no orders please
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Shouldn't hunter resolve?
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Assange isn't a free man, Shrek is
0
EngiDarius
1 year ago
Have we forgotten Martin Skreli?
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
1 year ago
If the vaccine worked we wouldn't have had to listen to you retards bitch about the unvaxxed
4
goingsocial
1 year ago
I guess he'd have to pardon Trump at the same time for saving the country with a vaccine. Horrible crime, that
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
1 year ago
Go put a mask on and wash your groceries
5
LUTAOTAO
1 year ago
what crime did Anthony Fauci commit?
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Intuition
1 year ago
Gain-of-function violations, perjury, conspiracy to defraud, testing on children, I'm sure among many others.
9
LUTAOTAO
1 year ago
what crime did Anthony Fauci commit?
Will Biden finish his term?
Intuition
1 year ago
oof
1
Sky999
1 year ago
why do you sold @Erasmus? Are you scared?
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Great, buy more
2
metawin2
1 year ago
Clearly NO
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
1 year ago
at 60 cents ... oof
3
Cognit0
1 year ago
He's not going to out himself or his friends. The YES MAGA squad is going to get wrecked by a con man.
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
1 year ago
ok Kamala forecaster
2
Cognit0
1 year ago
He's not going to out himself or his friends. The YES MAGA squad is going to get wrecked by a con man.
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
Chad Chronister market where?
0
Fed Interest Rates: December 2024
Intuition
1 year ago
No, for instance you can drink at bars if you're 21+. It's inclusive.
1
gings
1 year ago
does 75+ decrease means 75 doesn't count right?
Fed Interest Rates: December 2024
Intuition
1 year ago
Pretty unlikely given their (bs) inflation metrics and reasoning behind cuts.
1
Marry
1 year ago
Is there still a possibility for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
You might want to read the rules carefully and put some thought into this.
3
metawin2
1 year ago
Clearly NO
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
It's a clarifying executive order.
3
metawin2
1 year ago
Clearly NO. The likelihood of Donald Trump successfully banning birthright citizenship within his first 100 days in office is extremely low due to significant legal and constitutional barriers
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Intuition
1 year ago
He's profitable, you are not.
0
OVERRIDE
1 year ago
JD Vance... my bet is entirely based upon "too good to be true". My skeptical disposition says "they" would never allow what Trump has stated he is going to do - to be done. I actually support Trump and hope that he does implement what he has planned but something in me won't budge to believe it fully. Ready and willing to lose my $500 investment/bet and change my mind if Trump is inaugurated. Therefore I am putting my money where my mouth is and bet against the hype. Further, astrology I believe plays into JD Vance becoming President. Trump may be inaugurated but shortly after JD Vance may become President.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
1 year ago
Does the Patel nomination not concern you?
1
Car
1 year ago
Fun fact: Christopher Wray got appointed by Trump in his last term.
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Intuition
1 year ago
Does the Kash nomination mean Trump intends to replace Wray immediately?
1
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
1 year ago
His first executive order was effectively an obamacare tax repeal on uninsured.
2
catmania
1 year ago
extremely underpriced given trumps said he would
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
1 year ago
Kash money baby
3
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Intuition
1 year ago
Neither polymarket nor polygon are "risk free" -- but if you're not moving your funds there is "no additional risk"
0
VibesGreaterRules
1 year ago
Better safe bets in other markets... This could take a very long time to resolve (Jan 2025) unless Biden pardons SBF.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Accusation used in sentencing but not in trial. Evidence from after feds had control of site.
2
francoblanco
1 year ago
fuckross 🙏
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Thanks for the black friday sale
3
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Not statistically, and not even for DNM operators after him who allowed fraud
1
not.nigel.farage
1 year ago
Ross Ulbricht was convicted of: engaging in a continuing criminal enterprise, distributing narcotics, distributing narcotics by means of the internet, conspiracy to distribute narcotics, conspiracy to commit money laundering, conspiracy to traffic fraudulent identity documents, and conspiracy to commit computer hacking.
Starmer out as UK prime minister in 2024?
Intuition
1 year ago
I think there is a bug in comment counting.
2
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
https://x.com/FLSurgeonGen/status/1860053758161321995 Florida Surgeon General: "adding fluoride to our communities' water must stop"
1
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Gaetz doesn't need a pardon, pretty stupid betting yes on that.
1
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
He's had four years to plan things. He's a do-er. It's a guarantee he doesn't need to "prioritise" this at all, it's already done.
0
JDoe
1 year ago
he publicly and repeatedly said several times he would pardon Ross on day one.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
I don't think you realise how many voters he picked up with that promise.
0
n/a
1 year ago
lol @ people that that think he's actually going to pardon an international drug dealer. inb4 "he's not a drug dealer he just ran a marketplace". yeah that's gonna go well with the swing voters. do better.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
MAGA is a populist movement, he gathered votes from people who otherwise felt unrepresented. He will go from having gained allies to having loud enemies if he does not.
0
mipiacesniffare
1 year ago
he'll never pardon ross, not enough balls to do it and too much controlled by elite. Trump or Biden are not free.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
That'd be great, then I could stack up
0
Car
1 year ago
I can't wait for Ross market to crash -50% on day 1
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
The tariff is as much a bargaining tool as it is a fiscal one
1
betpro2
1 year ago
Why no ?
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
So he's walking the walk
0
n/a
1 year ago
We will make it
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Intuition
1 year ago
It's not revenge, it's justice, and the people want it
1
Boot
1 year ago
use common sense
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Intuition
1 year ago
No *is* more likely, but 'no' bets here encourage it.
0
Intuition
1 year ago
All the yes holders, thank you on behalf of humanity for your service. All the no holders, learn some game theory.
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Intuition
1 year ago
If enough retards bet no, this becomes increasingly likely
1
fauzan-hn8ZfsszfsSg0iq4mGtNwfjm
1 year ago
kim jong un would just put all his money here and detonate his nuclear on 25th dec as his christmas present
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Intuition
1 year ago
All the yes holders, thank you on behalf of humanity for your service. All the no holders, learn some game theory.
1
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Intuition
1 year ago
True ok the -5k guy said so, better rep than NYT
1
0x243339432434324234
1 year ago
TRUMP CONCEDES GAETZ'S SENATE CONFIRMATION MAY NOT HAPPEN: NYT
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
1 year ago
read the rules
1
Saruman77
1 year ago
Why hasnst this closed for next time I just sold at 99 cents because I didnt understand why so long
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Intuition
1 year ago
any sources that are more trustworthy?
0
0x243339432434324234
1 year ago
TRUMP CONCEDES GAETZ'S SENATE CONFIRMATION MAY NOT HAPPEN: NYT
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
Is trump's memo that said "outside of government" not good enough for you?
0
WALTUH.YTE
1 year ago
guys, listen, DOGE is not gonna be an actual cabinet department. department sounds stronger and elon wanted to call it DOGE. sources: https://youtu.be/DvWUBrcUxCE?si=YB0UHaGx_Qfp5Ylh&t=15 , same video timestamp 4:04 , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grace_Commission
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
The rules clearly state within the government. The memo clearly states "outside of government"
0
wejh69
1 year ago
How is DOGE not an appointment?
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
The rules say "roles within the government", the memo says "outside government". Your guy is 4 points away from Ron Paul and Bannon. Cope.
1
batitombo
1 year ago
I think Elon should resolve 50/50. Not clear enough in the resolution and it has a lot of confusion.
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
"Within" ... funny word choice. Rule states "... roles WITHIN the government such as ...". This role is outside government.
0
MageGold
1 year ago
DOGE doesnot count?
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
Not quite.
0
muusd
1 year ago
Marco should resolve all conditions have been met.
Who will be Trump's Attorney General?
Intuition
1 year ago
He made it up. https://polymarket.com/event/trump-formally-nominates-matt-gaetz-for-attorney-general?tid=1731767704431
0
zizar3
1 year ago
Reports are that Matt will be repudiated by the Trump team tomorrow.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
I think this market's odds should be just short of this one: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-hhs-secretary
0
Intuition
1 year ago
Right Medication, Right Dose, Right Patient, Right Time, Right Route, Right Reason.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
Basic principles of medicine. Furthermore fluoride achieves its reported effects from topical application. Overconsumption of flouride can lead to fluoridosis. Follow the money for why it was added to municipal drinking water.
1
Intuition
1 year ago
Right Medication, Right Dose, Right Patient, Right Time, Right Route, Right Reason.
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
Right Medication, Right Dose, Right Patient, Right Time, Right Route, Right Reason.
3
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
Nothing about this market has anything to do with "banning" it.
2
Piffpaff
1 year ago
Guys, this cannot happen. Unfortunately, bst way would be to filter the water from chemicals. Tech is freely available and cheap
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
Adding fluoride to the water is not intended to clean it.
8
JonathanPorridge
1 year ago
The idea of taking flouride out of drinking water is not a crazy idea in any way. I'm from Canada and the vast majority of municipal water is flouride free. It's really only Ontario that adds it in.
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)
Intuition
1 year ago
Taze them every 15 minutes until the votes are counted
0
Will Trump use a recess appointment for Matt Gaetz?
Intuition
1 year ago
This gives senators the opportunity to fill the bet and help it happen
0
ronaldk
1 year ago
The Senate is unlikely to confirm Gaetz, so this is the way Trump will choose.
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Do provisionals sometimes subtract from previously counted votes? I know people that had someone vote under their name were given provisionals.
0
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
really mix it up, 154.9-155.9
0
sneakySAN1C
1 year ago
The real fun begins when they create a betting market where the outcomes are seperated by single millions
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Intuition
1 year ago
You seem to be confusing equity with equality again
3
princess4trump
1 year ago
I demand equally distributed insults between me and maga chick
Who will replace Marco Rubio as Florida Senator?
Intuition
1 year ago
lol wtf are these markets? rabs???
0
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
I literally said 2017. You want 2024? Tulsi, RFK, DOGE. Cope, it's happening.
0
Pidor🐓
1 year ago
a lot of desperate underwater Ross no holders are still trying to escape their bags. trump's campaign promised to free ulbricht. trump doesn't know ulbricht or anything about him. his campaign does and will fulfill the campaign promise well over 76% of the time. just market dump the bags
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
"outside government" - trump memo
2
MageGold
1 year ago
DOGE doesnot count?
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Good data. Crazy that US elections are so slow to count.
1
SausageRoll
1 year ago
https://i.imgur.com/FL5MIN7.png All data based on UTC which is 5 hours ahead of EST/ET, this chart includes average daily price for both of our contenders on polymarket :))
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
I agree, right now it's only extremely likely she will be officially nominated.
0
taerv534
1 year ago
Okay looking into it further, it seems like the really big ambiguity here, that lots of people are interpreting in either way without even considering the other, is whether *anything* counts before Trump is actually inaugurated (Jan 20, 2025) and officially acting as president, or not.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders/donald-trump/2017
0
Pidor🐓
1 year ago
a lot of desperate underwater Ross no holders are still trying to escape their bags. trump's campaign promised to free ulbricht. trump doesn't know ulbricht or anything about him. his campaign does and will fulfill the campaign promise well over 76% of the time. just market dump the bags
Next Prime Minister of Ireland
Intuition
1 year ago
I have no idea what you're talking about, but @RamblerAndGambler understood the assignment and gave a great answer, so thanks to him for that.
3
Intuition
1 year ago
Can any Irish who bet Trump give me the vibe check on this?
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
Wait what? You're arguing about Tulsi?
1
taerv534
1 year ago
Okay looking into it further, it seems like the really big ambiguity here, that lots of people are interpreting in either way without even considering the other, is whether *anything* counts before Trump is actually inaugurated (Jan 20, 2025) and officially acting as president, or not.
Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?
Intuition
1 year ago
The rules state "cabinet-level," wikipedia states "The director of national intelligence (DNI) is a senior cabinet-level United States government official, required by the Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004"
1
markxc27
1 year ago
While the DNI is not one of the original 15 executive department heads that have traditionally made up the Cabinet, it has been added to the group of Cabinet-level officials that includes positions like the White House Chief of Staff and the U.S. Trade Representative. This reflects the growing importance of intelligence coordination and national security in modern governance. Seems like a dispute waiting to happen
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
It's rabs' cheekiness that leaves me the most uncomfortable about the whole thing
4
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
1 year ago
Thinking this has anything to do with voting may be why you're 2k in the hole
2
sergiusV
1 year ago
I believe in Mr. Scott. He is the central figure to implement Trump's agenda. without him it does not make any sense
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
1 year ago
https://x.com/ChadPergram
0
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
1 year ago
And the people fwiw
4
Slan
1 year ago
Just so that you know once and for all, most GOP Senators HATE Trump.
X and Truth Social merger announced before August?
Intuition
1 year ago
His net worth is back over 300 billion, clearly a moron
1
goingsocial
1 year ago
What's the theory here? Elon's such a moron he overpays for a wildly inflated asset twice? And this time the asset is way crappier?
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Are they counting with their fucking toes or what
0
JDoe
1 year ago
Using this source: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-us-election-results/
Trump signs national abortion ban?
Intuition
1 year ago
Are there bills currently being floated?
1
frosen
1 year ago
Reminder that ANY restrictive change to the abortion law will swing this bet to Yes according to the rules
Trump signs national abortion ban?
Intuition
1 year ago
What promise?
0
J-T-W
1 year ago
He gonna sign it in 30days lol
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water?
Intuition
1 year ago
I'm sick and tired of them putting chemicals in the water turning the frickin frogs gay
41
·
Liked by MEGABASED, n/a and 39 others
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
because he's permanently sealing the identity of party converts to the maga party to secure the next 12 years
0
dudeforkamala
1 year ago
he said he'd free Ross Ulbricht on day 1. Maybe it won't be day 1, but it will be in first 100 days. Libertarians are 100% going to hold him to this
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
-25 lmao
0
PGOATDIDDY
1 year ago
hes not freeing ross lmao, better chance that he frees young thug
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
No time is going to be wasted, the day one EOs are drafted. It's a done deal.
0
qwaszxfg
1 year ago
i can't understand why he should pardon him?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
They took down bcash santa while faketoshi walks free?
0
0x1CFd281179BC9e13E5a41cD92aD3b8780f573d1a-1730928908233
1 year ago
Please add Roger Ver to this market https://brownstone.org/articles/why-roger-ver-deserves-a-presidential-pardon/
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
The day one executive orders are written, it's a done deal. Look at first EO 2017. EO promises kept.
1
Pidor🐓
1 year ago
a lot of desperate underwater Ross no holders are still trying to escape their bags. trump's campaign promised to free ulbricht. trump doesn't know ulbricht or anything about him. his campaign does and will fulfill the campaign promise well over 76% of the time. just market dump the bags
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
Just read Trump's memo slowly, or any of the comments below.
0
Katiee
1 year ago
just because vivek didnt get an official position at DOGE doesnt mean he never will
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
I wish
1
Intuition
1 year ago
Do we trust rabs or the schizo, I hope I picked the right team.
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Do we trust rabs or the schizo, I hope I picked the right team.
2
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
Vivek is a part of DOGE and DOGE is outside the government, not qualifying for this.
0
Katiee
1 year ago
just because vivek didnt get an official position at DOGE doesnt mean he never will
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
He's not creating a department.
0
debased
1 year ago
do we know what exactly doge is
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
"The Department of Government Efficiency will provide advice and guidance from outside of Government"
1
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?
Intuition
1 year ago
Will this resolve to 'no' if BLS is dismantled?
9
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
1 year ago
https://youtu.be/_eT9Lvj-i20
0
baypa
1 year ago
People saying no shot, this goes till April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET...trying to tell the future for 6 months when its about trump LMAO. 6 Months with 13c is a no brainer, the slightes news or mention is enough for a rise and the fact that joe rogan and elon, who bouth talk about eipstein list frequently,are trumps closest allies just proves this
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Intuition
1 year ago
Nothing official from the campaign, just legacy media and rumors
0
DonaldRump
1 year ago
Marco Rubio confirmed
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
1 year ago
Could some leakage happen from those seated nearby?
0
Piffpaff
1 year ago
Trump prefers Scott, it is all over the news
Trump declassifies Epstein list?
Intuition
1 year ago
Says the Kamala forecaster 18k in the hole
0
baypa
1 year ago
People saying no shot, this goes till April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET...trying to tell the future for 6 months when its about trump LMAO. 6 Months with 13c is a no brainer, the slightes news or mention is enough for a rise and the fact that joe rogan and elon, who bouth talk about eipstein list frequently,are trumps closest allies just proves this
Next Prime Minister of Ireland
Intuition
1 year ago
Can any Irish who bet Trump give me the vibe check on this?
6
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
Intuition
1 year ago
If the rules were not so strict you'd have a shot. He probably can't unilaterally meet the conditions for "yes" in the time given.
0
guy-
1 year ago
I mean he said on a space with elon that he will. I still agree its maybe 20 precent but 7 seems low (or is it?)
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
Intuition
1 year ago
The timeline is pretty thin, he can't pull this off with purely executive action.
1
Teuf
1 year ago
today he straight up said he is going to do it
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
Intuition
1 year ago
RINOs
1
PapaFuego
1 year ago
elon just shared this: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1856021616503009296?s=46&t=-pgJAoZfVWLo25J9d2lYcQ
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
In this case, Trump has claimed he is going to pass an executive order limiting birth right citizenship, so that it doesn't apply to children of non-citizens in the country illegally. You are betting on whether he will do what he said he's going to do.
3
Eridpnc
1 year ago
Can we define "limit"
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
"Limit" in this context refers to the concept of bounding or restraining the scope or understanding and application of a legal provision. It implies setting a boundary or a threshold beyond which the law's meaning or application cannot be stretched or expanded.
2
Eridpnc
1 year ago
Can we define "limit"
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Neither of those phrases appear on that source.
0
VinaCapital
1 year ago
As of 1:30pm on Monday, November 11: 155,391,700 votes counted at 63.51% turnout rate. 3,203,196 votes more to go.
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
I think the example press release is pretty straightforward.
1
goingsocial
1 year ago
People on both sides here believe they will win a rules fight because it will take a year to withdraw but the example in the rules is an announcement about beginning to withdraw. This is the kind of market that can take years off your life. No thanks.
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
I hope they buy more so I can get in, it's obviously happening
1
Car
1 year ago
Wait till they find out how many people Trump pardoned in the first 100 days in his first term..
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
Day one
0
SexyEagle
1 year ago
why are people still buying yes 😭
Fed Interest Rates: December 2024
Intuition
1 year ago
project 2025 baby
0
auumimi1
1 year ago
i am gay
AOC pregnant in 2024?
Intuition
1 year ago
looking for baby name ideas
0
IseWise
1 year ago
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1856080026900582646?t=bGXaUgfjTyM-vtW_AQdbzA&s=19
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?
Intuition
1 year ago
Unlikely to happen. One vote over is "yes"
0
p0lym334k4t
1 year ago
Ooh tricky market. Folks, remember it's not about winning the popular vote, but getting 50% of the votes. Trump can be the popular vote winner while not hitting 50% (there are more than 2 candidates on the ballot, duh).
Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump?
Intuition
1 year ago
Yes and no both over 80 cents? Oof.
0
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
The main object of the opening sentence of the Fourteenth Amendment was to settle the question, upon which there had been a difference of opinion throughout the country and in this Court, as to the citizenship of free negroes (Scott v. Sandford, 19 How. 393)
4
SkillzThatKillz
1 year ago
This would be very clearly unconstitutional (14th Amendment). Why would he waste his time doing something that is so clearly illegal?
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Intuition
1 year ago
Scott is the MAGA pick
0
GoblinMilk
1 year ago
RINO Rick Scott is DOA. No way the GOP stabs us in the back by going with him.
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
I'm autistic, can you explain
0
johnveltk
1 year ago
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-day-one-executive-order-ending-citizenship-for-children-of-illegals-and-outlawing-birth-tourism
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
Intuition
1 year ago
"aims to limit or eliminate"
6
johnveltk
1 year ago
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-day-one-executive-order-ending-citizenship-for-children-of-illegals-and-outlawing-birth-tourism
Will Biden resign in 2024?
Intuition
1 year ago
They're obsessed with changing history they could easily want her to be first "black woman" non-christian president
0
PickleRick
1 year ago
A great way to troll Trump if he wins the election is for Biden to resign and let Kamala become president first
Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?
Intuition
1 year ago
To incentivise leaving, you bet "no" to allow the person to fill the bet and then collect by doing the action
1
Flaner
1 year ago
This market is just to bully that person into actually leaving?
Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?
Intuition
1 year ago
Must be an athlete
1
Peteraisen
1 year ago
I can't understand why Elon Musk's daughter needs to move out of the United States?
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
Intuition
1 year ago
US courts drag their feet, so the likelihood of this happening in the timeframe specified is extremely low.
0
Intuition
1 year ago
If enough evidence of fraud for 2020 is found, the court could rule that he gets a 3rd term. Per the rules, that's "Yes", but it's not really a repeal.
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
Intuition
1 year ago
If enough evidence of fraud for 2020 is found, the court could rule that he gets a 3rd term. Per the rules, that's "Yes", but it's not really a repeal.
1
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
i took one back
0
austinwr84
1 year ago
Went through the updated figures that ap news has posted per state. My final number as of now is 159,205,428. Could certainly have a margin of error, but the %'s for no and yes is not close to being accurate. Either side should be closer to 40-60% range.
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Did you switch to the API the other user mentioned with the extra precision? I'm pissed I sold boys, but I'm too scared to buy back in.
0
austinwr84
1 year ago
Went through the updated figures that ap news has posted per state. My final number as of now is 159,205,428. Could certainly have a margin of error, but the %'s for no and yes is not close to being accurate. Either side should be closer to 40-60% range.
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?
Intuition
1 year ago
Conditions are way too vague.
4