Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The prediction value has shifted to, "How will UMA vote when this market is disputed"?

1

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why does the additional context say Pam Bondi??

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This hasn't happened yet: "A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Attorney General."

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This hasn't happened yet: "A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Attorney General."

6

Who will be Trump's Attorney General?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why no Other option?

0

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The question is: why is 1.5-2.0 "No" cheaper than 1.0-1.5 "Yes"?

1

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How do you get an iPhone and an internet connection making $4/day?

0

walterbuffett

1 year ago

The numbers continue to roll in. We are now at 1.70% lead flat

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Haha-i didn't think they'd still be counting ballots 2 weeks after the election. It's still possible now that they're doing a recount and disqualifying ballots that shouldn't have been counted the first go around

0

0x526b28c6143D154C5656E37774916c6EF8051a25-1730556919989

1 year ago

@Deucepapi I thought you said it was going to 2.0-2.5. What happened? 😭🙏

Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

When is it supposed to land?

1

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

80,000 votes waiting to be counted https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/casey-mccormick-ballot-counting-recount-20241115.html

3

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Yep. It's only gonna get weirder

1

RobinNakamoto

1 year ago

Funny how yesterday there were 25,000 votes remaining and today there's 27,000 😂 (source: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-president-results)

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bc of the down ballot races

0

GuyWhoTrades

1 year ago

I don't understand why dipshits are sending recount petitions to extent certification in a LANDSLIDE election. When it's j'over it's j'over why delay things?

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Two weeks after the election and these losers still don't have a final count

0

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Yes, for me def

0

walterbuffett

1 year ago

What is going on?? Votes are still coming in, odds are moving. The lead has now shrunk to 1.73%! How on earth is 1.0-1.5 still trading sub 3%??? Absolute joke. https://www.270towin.com/2024-election-results-live/state/pennsylvania

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Kamala about to win Bucks county after it was a lock for Trump. The cheat has begun. Bet accordingly

1

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Dec 16

0

EdoardoC

1 year ago

when this will end and why it says 5 november?

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Look at the official PA feed

0

walterbuffett

1 year ago

t's sitting now at 1.83% lead, a 15K delta in favour of democrats will be enough to turn this into 1.0 - 1.5, Phily and Allegheny still reporting. Tick Tock

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The problem is that everyone here is betting based on these remaining vote projections by the website they like and every single one of them keeps adding 1% more votes but stays at 99% in. Look at NBCs projections over the past weekhttps://web.archive.org/web/20241111221446/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-president-results

1

walterbuffett

1 year ago

t's sitting now at 1.83% lead, a 15K delta in favour of democrats will be enough to turn this into 1.0 - 1.5, Phily and Allegheny still reporting. Tick Tock

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Where are you getting your data from? That's the first problem

0

walterbuffett

1 year ago

t's sitting now at 1.83% lead, a 15K delta in favour of democrats will be enough to turn this into 1.0 - 1.5, Phily and Allegheny still reporting. Tick Tock

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Allegheny & Philly have 95% of votes in.

0

walterbuffett

1 year ago

t's sitting now at 1.83% lead, a 15K delta in favour of democrats will be enough to turn this into 1.0 - 1.5, Phily and Allegheny still reporting. Tick Tock

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Still 72K uncounted votes from Allegheny & Philly which will give Kamala a 26k vote increase

1

walterbuffett

1 year ago

t's sitting now at 1.83% lead, a 15K delta in favour of democrats will be enough to turn this into 1.0 - 1.5, Phily and Allegheny still reporting. Tick Tock

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Says who?

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Since we make the calculations ourselves, where does it say that .0195 doesn't get rounded to .02?

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I see you

2

walterbuffett

1 year ago

Free Fucking Money alert.

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Since we make the calculations ourselves, where does it say that .0195 doesn't get rounded to .02?

0

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Ppl are gonna flip their shit when 2-2.5 wins bc of rounding

0

Joris999

1 year ago

just dipped below 2% margin. at 1.998 atm

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is the type of thing that could go in either direction of disputed

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

1.5% - 2.0% loses if it's 2.0%. Right now it's almost 2.1%

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How is the official final number determined? No rounding? Round both variables before subtracting? No rounding of variables but rounding of result? Round variables and result?

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

1.5% - 2.0% loses if it's 2.0%. Right now it's almost 2.1%

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

1.5% - 2.0% loses if it's 2.0%. Right now it's almost 2.1%

1

CFB: Oregon vs. Maryland

DeucePapi

1 year ago

At the top where it says Props

0

gk1

1 year ago

where are the CFB spreads?

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

PA Dept of State Tweeted 100k more to https://x.com/PAStateDept/status/1854647975362068658

0

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's 2024 and they can't count 7m votes in 3 full business days.

1

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is the one instance where "number don't lie" actually doesn't apply

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The only question here is how many votes are uncounted in Philadelphia? Is it 22% = 94,000? Kamala has 80% of mail votes in, so it's assumed that she will get 80% of the remaining. So what's the answer?

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

In the 2020 election there were 6,915,283 ppl who voted in PA. There are currently 6,915,776 votes already counted for this election.

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

PA doesn't require ID to vote. Biden won 81% of the total 741k Philly votes in 2020. In the 2020 Philly election there were 350k mail in votes & 340k of them were for Biden (90%)! Kamala currently holds 78.7% of the 705k votes counted in Philly. Please tell me how 90% of the remaining 84.5k votes are not gonna be for her given everything about the votes for this county are identical to the 2020 election so far

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Look at the actual data from the source: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

PA doesn't require ID to vote. Biden won 81% of the total 741k Philly votes in 2020. In the 2020 Philly election there were 350k mail in votes & 340k of them were for Biden (90%)! Kamala currently holds 78.7% of the 705k votes counted in Philly. Please tell me how 90% of the remaining 84.5k votes are not gonna be for her given everything about the votes for this county are identical to the 2020 election so far

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

From the dude that's betting Trump will maintain or outperform Kam on the remaining votes to be counted which are mail ins from Philly -- which she currently received 80% of? RIP to u my friend

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Obama tweeted this for a reason: https://x.com/BarackObama/status/1853904959412338963

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The only question here is how many votes are uncounted in Philadelphia? Is it 22% = 94,000? Kamala has 80% of mail votes in, so it's assumed that she will get 80% of the remaining. So what's the answer?

0

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Obama tweeted this for a reason: https://x.com/BarackObama/status/1853904959412338963

1

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Ppl are unestimating the amt of cheating that takes place in PA re mail in voting. This is why Biden won every critical state last election w huge vote spikes at the tail end of the count. I don't think she will win PA but it will be much closer than 2%

0

0x5Cc3b8006a376C5d861f0fB9c21CaFc6498423B3-1726170861987

1 year ago

if the ratios stay similar the remaining votes will put the spread at 1.29%

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

PA doesn't require ID to vote. Biden won 81% of the total 741k Philly votes in 2020. In the 2020 Philly election there were 350k mail in votes & 340k of them were for Biden (90%)! Kamala currently holds 78.7% of the 705k votes counted in Philly. Please tell me how 90% of the remaining 84.5k votes are not gonna be for her given everything about the votes for this county are identical to the 2020 election so far

0

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Look at Montgomery County, more votes left to count there than Cambria and Kamala's winning % there is much higher than Trump in Cambria

0

0x526b28c6143D154C5656E37774916c6EF8051a25-1730556919989

1 year ago

DeucePapi - The mathematics you are using is flawed. Use that same mathematics on Cambria and tell me how many votes are remaining in Cambria? Then add that to the 94k votes you are claiming in Philly and see if it exceeds the Est. Remaining votes... It well exceeds it

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Look at the PA state voting reports and look at how many mail in votes + provisional votes Biden got and the ratio to Trump in Philly. Kam is tracking on the same trajectory. ~85% were Biden. This market is not pricing in 85K Kamala votes to 15k Trump votes no matter how many are remaining in other counties w a handful of votes left w slight victories by trump

0

0x526b28c6143D154C5656E37774916c6EF8051a25-1730556919989

1 year ago

DeucePapi - The mathematics you are using is flawed. Use that same mathematics on Cambria and tell me how many votes are remaining in Cambria? Then add that to the 94k votes you are claiming in Philly and see if it exceeds the Est. Remaining votes... It well exceeds it

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How do you reconcile Philadelphia at 88%? What # of votes left do they need to count?

0

MOA

1 year ago

DuecePapi - The link you showed doesnt show % counted which Philly is at 98%....Every county is at 98%+ except for Cambria at 64% which isn't mail in. It's hand counting from their voting booth issue. With current ratio there's still another 8k delta toward trump coming from that county putting the difference at 2.2% Trump. Also, they won't put more than 98% so most of those counties are at 100%

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Philadelphia, 703,760 counted, which is 88% of all votes received. This means there are ~94k left to count. Look at the NBC page, is says: 99% expected votes in (Est. remaining 98,000), "

0

MOA

1 year ago

DuecePapi - The link you showed doesnt show % counted which Philly is at 98%....Every county is at 98%+ except for Cambria at 64% which isn't mail in. It's hand counting from their voting booth issue. With current ratio there's still another 8k delta toward trump coming from that county putting the difference at 2.2% Trump. Also, they won't put more than 98% so most of those counties are at 100%

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

See for yourself here: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-president-results scroll to Philadelphia it says 88%

0

MOA

1 year ago

DuecePapi - The link you showed doesnt show % counted which Philly is at 98%....Every county is at 98%+ except for Cambria at 64% which isn't mail in. It's hand counting from their voting booth issue. With current ratio there's still another 8k delta toward trump coming from that county putting the difference at 2.2% Trump. Also, they won't put more than 98% so most of those counties are at 100%

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Don't take my word for it. See yourself https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/general/countyresultsvm?officeId=1&districtId=1&ElectionID=105&ElectionType=G&IsActive=1&countyName=PHILADELPHIA&districtName=Statewide

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The results are gonna shock ppl. 101k votes to count, 84.5k are from Philly. They're counting mail in ballots now, where Kamala has won 87% of them (165,428 to 23,248).

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The results are gonna shock ppl. 101k votes to count, 84.5k are from Philly. They're counting mail in ballots now, where Kamala has won 87% of them (165,428 to 23,248).

0

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

1.47% will be the final total

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

104k votes to be counted. Philadelphia is 88% in w 84,500 votes to count. Kam is currently winning 78% of all Philadelphia votes.

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

104k votes to be counted. Philadelphia is 88% in w 84,500 votes to count. Kam is currently winning 78% of all Philadelphia votes.

0

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I got 1.9 from Philly mail ins being 80% for her

0

MOA

1 year ago

Where is everyone seeing this is going to be 1.5-2?

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Chatgpt calculated it as a 2.7% margin of victory for trump. Total votes 6,696,359. Trump=50.8%, Kam=48.1% abs difference= 2.7%

2

What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So the speech doesn't count and basically hasn't happened yet

6

What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This wasn't the speech bro

0

What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is gonna be a Uma nightmare

0

What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If the AP does not declare a winner by November 30, 2024 ET, or Donald Trump does not give a speech between the AP declaring a winner and November 30, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to No

1

What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So we can Buy No for everything and we'll win if AP doesn't call it by the time he finishes?

1

What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

AP has him at 267. Gonna call it for him during the speech

2

What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Wish Corey Comperatore was in here and hope Trump gives him a shout out

0

New Jersey Presidential Election Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Remember Wisconsin in last election? Biden pump in the middle of the night? Nothing is impossible

0

PMURT

1 year ago

If Burlington County Flips red this is a "yes"..... never say never ha ha

New Jersey Presidential Election Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Crazy that NBC still says this is too early to call

0

New Jersey Presidential Election Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

4 point race here. This is super close

3

New York Presidential Election Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

4 million more votes to count boys

1

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/new-york-results

New York Presidential Election Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/new-york-results

0

New Jersey Presidential Election Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/new-jersey-results

1

New Jersey Presidential Election Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Trump down by 200k votes

1

New York Presidential Election Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

All of my Jewish friends in NYC who voted Biden last time are are voting trump this time

2

QQQ111

1 year ago

jewish bloc vote htting the ballot box hard in brooklyn:https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1853259204624003496

New York Presidential Election Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's happened before https://nypost.com/2024/11/02/us-news/new-york-republicans-coming-out-to-vote-early-in-record-numbers/

0

Golu

1 year ago

Set your sell orders at 99.9 cents.

New York Presidential Election Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The Dems let non US citizens flood NYC and somehow found billions of dollars to pay for their food & housing in hotels. They even gave them gift cards to spend $.. They spat in the face of the poor taxpaying NYCers who voted for them bc they were supposed to be prioritized.

1

Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lorne Michaels went back on his word that no candidate would be making a cameo on SNL this year. She must be struggling

1

Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I lost a ton on a Kanye West album drop when this site first launched. I was set to go and then he lost his mind and record sales

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The show is taped in front of a live audience on Saturday nights at 8:00PM. The live show is aired live at 11:30PM.

Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I bought them a long time ago when I knew there was no chance Joe would be the candidate. My guess was they would replace him w Hillary bc she almost beat Trump before.

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Looking forward to losing $ after No wins and gets shafted in the Dispute system

Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Looking forward to losing $ after No wins and gets shafted in the Dispute system

1

Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The show is taped in front of a live audience on Saturday nights at 8:00PM. The live show is aired live at 11:30PM.

0

Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris makes an in-person appearance on Saturday Night Live by November 2, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."......The show goes until 1am. If she's on after 12:01am, it resolves to NO

2

Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lorne Michaels is a lying piece of shiatzu

1

Winning candidate also wins popular vote?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This feels like it only exists as a hedge against the same market that allows you to pick Dem Dem or Rep Rep individually

1

yellow-tor

1 year ago

It’s hard to quickly name a more useless market for ordinary people than this one

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

OSIntdefender is now involved w this? Does he know that this place resolved a market Yes saying Israel attacked Iraq last week?

3

Winning candidate also wins popular vote?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-presidency-popular-vote?tid=1730355840504 is t this the same?

0

ScottClamFinanceMan

1 year ago

This market doesn't make sense. Kamala is projected to win the popular vote and Trump the presidency, should be around 65% NO

U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Can you specify examples of consensus of credible reporting? Bc th

1

Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Jesus

0

plymarket-user

1 year ago

***BIDDERS BEWARD*** See what happened here: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-iraq-before-november

Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Replaced by Liz Cheney if anything

0

Matter15

1 year ago

Tim walz drops out by end of week, replaced by Hillary or Michelle, next debate is 1 day before in person voting.

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This market seems like one that has no choice but to be resolved in UMA -- and for this reason I'm out.

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Ground operations" and "withdrawal": The term "cease all ground operations" can be interpreted differently depending on what constitutes a "ground operation." Does it include all military activities on the ground, non-combative, defensive operations, etc or are some ground operations exempt like: IDF neighborhood patrols, IDF security checkpoints within Gaza, and IDFs ongoing participation and ground assistance with facilitating humanitarian aid in Gaza? "Withdraw all ground forces" is ambiguous as Israel will begin w partially withdrawing forces and will leave specific units in place for years to come. What constitutes a full withdrawal?

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"Intended buffer zones": The definition of "intended buffer zones" is not clear. How is this buffer zone defined, and who determines whether a particular zone qualifies as an intended buffer zone? If it's located on internationally recognized Palestinian territory, does it need further clarification regarding the legitimacy or size of the zone? "Even if that zone is established on internationally recognized Palestinian territory": This clause is subject to interpretation regarding international law and how a buffer zone on Palestinian land is defined. Part of this 100+ year conflict is that various countries will swear with certainly that their definition is compliant w international law. Half of the UN will tell you that Israel is on Palestinian land.

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Ground operations" and "withdrawal": The term "cease all ground operations" can be interpreted differently depending on what constitutes a "ground operation." Does it include all military activities on the ground, non-combative, defensive operations, etc or are some ground operations exempt like: IDF neighborhood patrols, IDF security checkpoints within Gaza, and IDFs ongoing participation and ground assistance with facilitating humanitarian aid in Gaza? "Withdraw all ground forces" is ambiguous as Israel will begin w partially withdrawing forces and will leave specific units in place for years to come. What constitutes a full withdrawal?

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Ground operations" and "withdrawal": The term "cease all ground operations" can be interpreted differently depending on what constitutes a "ground operation." Does it include all military activities on the ground, non-combative, defensive operations, etc or are some ground operations exempt like: IDF neighborhood patrols, IDF security checkpoints within Gaza, and IDFs ongoing participation and ground assistance with facilitating humanitarian aid in Gaza? "Withdraw all ground forces" is ambiguous as Israel will begin w partially withdrawing forces and will leave specific units in place for years to come. What constitutes a full withdrawal?

0

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I apologize for saying you aren't allowed to talk shit. What I meant was you've spent an hour researching this market, buying shares, and writing comments here. Is 1 hour of your time only worth the 85 cents? Bc that's the amount of $ you stand to earn from this market. This is less than sweatshop workers and panhandlers on the sidewalk make in 1 hour

0

dav1

1 year ago

thank you for the spike in price, allowing me to buy more NO

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

15 more hours to go. Currently 4pm in Israel

0

Car

1 year ago

To those buying YES, you know this market ends tomorrow, right?😂

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Pure ignorance. The people who are betting Yes are risking 5 cents on the dollar. We don't expect to win. When were wrong, were wrong small. You're risking 95 cents to make a nickel, which you can get by looking under your couch cushion. https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1847162126441300322

0

dav1

1 year ago

Israel is fighting in Gaza and Lebanon. Do they really want to focus their attention to Iran right now? Is Iran a danger to them right now? No and no. They are creating detterence, scaring Iran, so that Iran dosen't get involved in Lebanon or Gaza... No attacks coming

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Your 17 shares of No does not meet the minimum amount of shares required to talk shit

0

dav1

1 year ago

thank you for the spike in price, allowing me to buy more NO

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Something big is about to go down: https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1847216968769667494

1

NLCS: Mets vs. Dodgers Game 4

DeucePapi

1 year ago

God the Mets are awful

0

NLCS: Mets vs. Dodgers Game 4

DeucePapi

1 year ago

LA is gonna win 8-3 aren't they?

0

loe

1 year ago

Another day another dodgers W

ALCS: Guardians vs. Yankees Game 3

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Holy shit

2

Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I don't think Kamala is gonna go outside again before the election after what Brett did to her tonight

5

What will Kamala Harris say during Fox interview?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Yes

0

Chunkymonkey

1 year ago

did she say gun

What will Kamala Harris say during Fox interview?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is she about to cry?

1

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If it's not in my picks, you won

1

vikd

1 year ago

Did we win, border No friends?

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He's doing Pocahontas jokes and no Kamalanomics or Bidenomics. Unreal

0

Viz275

1 year ago

The last line of the speach, "we've let bidenomics ruin our economy for the last four years, we cant let kamalanomics ruin the next four"

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Who do I have to suck to get a Kamalanomics?

3

Viz275

1 year ago

Say Kamalanomics mf

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Just one long shot word on the list for the degens who don't have time for 90% markets

2

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"And he came up to me and said, Sir...do you have any crypto kamalanomics for black men? And I said...you wanna know what I said?"

9

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He loves to listen to himself repeat these names he comes up with. I will be shocked if no

0

LaDribblerLe

1 year ago

If it's not soon it might be never.

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Kamalanomics is due

1

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Inflation is the new border

2

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This guy

0

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What time is kickoff?

3

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

But these coins aren't for sale to the public

0

HouseAlwaysWins

1 year ago

yes, it will resolve after the public is able to receive these tokens.

Bills vs. Jets

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The refs are controlling the game

0

Bills vs. Jets

DeucePapi

1 year ago

🙏📿🙌

0

Apsalar

1 year ago

maybe just have aaron rodgers throw a hail mary instead of kicking a field goal next time

Bills vs. Jets

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol this kicker.

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

NFT = Token?

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Aside from honest Donald Trump, where else does it say the coin, and not the waitinglist, will be launched tomorrow at 8am EST?

1

Asherwow

1 year ago

tomorrow will be the release of the coin and will be the decider of whether trump was involved in the deployment or not

Bills vs. Jets

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bills turnover coming up

0

Cryptozoology

1 year ago

lol now we go jets!

Bills vs. Jets

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Come on over to this side. The water is nice and warm

0

babendums

1 year ago

fucking jscam

Bills vs. Jets

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Refs are on jets side tn

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

No coin is being launched tomorrow, just a wait-list where interested buyers can fill out an application. You need to be an accredited investor to buy these coins. They're not normal crypto...this is like a lending platform. So they're not going to launch it for lending etc until they qualify enough ppl to supply the loans

0

TanOri

1 year ago

Ok so is this market just a scam, the wording is way to ambiguous

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

But the wait-list is being launched tomorrow, not the actual coin

0

Vulture

1 year ago

Rules are somewhat ambiguous, but the spirit of the bet is satisfied. Trump IS involved in the launch of a cryptocurrency. NO-side may win on technicality, but their arguments are dubious. If the WLFI contract is live, then it's arbitrary to claim that deployment implies buyers receiving their coins. This is not a airdrop market. Claims that Trump must be involved in operational or technical role are even more ridiculous. He has no relevant technical competence and busy with a campaign for the most powerful seat in the world. If this market was about him having operational or technical role, then price action would look very different. YES would never even reach 10%.

Bills vs. Jets

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They'll atleast get close enough where one can dump their shares for no loss

0

TXgoon92

1 year ago

All the bills panic sellers do know that the Bills get it second half right?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Hence they won't launch the coin until enough ppl complete applications and they have enough commitments for launch

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"A majority of the WLFI coin will be for accredited investors, with 63 percent of the token supply reserved for this group. That's specifically available to those who have a net worth of $1 million or more or otherwise meet the accredited investor threshold"....the coin isn't launching tomorrow, the waiting list is to see how many millionaire accredited investors are actually interested

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"A majority of the WLFI coin will be for accredited investors, with 63 percent of the token supply reserved for this group. That's specifically available to those who have a net worth of $1 million or more or otherwise meet the accredited investor threshold"....the coin isn't launching tomorrow, the waiting list is to see how many millionaire accredited investors are actually interested

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Trump will be offering a token for World Liberty Financial (WLFI), which is a decentralized finance platform. The waitlist opens tomorrow at 8 a.m. ET https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-crypto-coin-has-massive-difference-bitcoin-1968782

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Trump will be offering a token for World Liberty Financial (WLFI), which is a decentralized finance platform. The waitlist opens tomorrow at 8 a.m. ET https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-crypto-coin-has-massive-difference-bitcoin-1968782

0

Bills vs. Jets

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Respect if true.

1

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Guru turned off the bot trader to join the common

Bills vs. Jets

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Guru turned off the bot trader to join the common

0

TheGuru

1 year ago

Good luck everyone!

Israel Military response against Iran when?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Absolutely. Tell us about the upcoming cyber attack

0

diligentdude

1 year ago

Am i allowed to bet if i am the military commanders brother?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

From the WLFI sale, Trump anticipates making $300 million for the company, which would give it an overall business value of $1.5 billion.

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-crypto-coin-has-massive-difference-bitcoin-1968782

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"Former president and Republican frontrunner Donald Trump is launching a crypto coin tomorrow, but the cryptocurrency is significantly different from many others in the crypto market".

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-crypto-coin-has-massive-difference-bitcoin-1968782

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-crypto-coin-has-massive-difference-bitcoin-1968782

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I lose a ton of $ on Polymarket and feel like the force is strong in you

0

Themaninthetower

1 year ago

Trump has promoted my pillow, and he even put the CEO on stage at his rallies. I would not say he was directly involved in the deployment of the pillows 😂

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Baccarat tables closed?

0

HouseAlwaysWins

1 year ago

real question, why is polymarket so popular in China according to google analytics? doesnt this mean we should have more chinese related markets?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Tik tok...doo-doo-doodoo...Time keeps on slippin into the future: https://youtu.be/6zT4Y-QNdto

1

Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He does spend a lot of time in boys locker rooms and in china

0

yourrapist1776

1 year ago

I deserve every last cent from JP1933's net worth

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Rule of cope: whichever side comments the most loses

3

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You just proved Yes. Affiliation=Involvement

2

PepeMcPew

1 year ago

For a coin that claims to have the backing of Trump and the fam, it sure is interesting it's mentioned exactly zero times in their post about revolutionizing finance. This isn't Trump's coin, he's at *best* an affiliate, getting paid to promote the coin, like they clearly say on their homepage. https://medium.com/@wlfi/world-liberty-financial-seeks-to-revolutionize-finance-with-a-defi-protocol-that-will-be-built-for-3ec1f34ae7ac

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Mental gymnastics

1

Meow.Zedong

1 year ago

Where do you all come up with these intricate details that are nowhere to be found in the rules of the market?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If this coin was a front to fund terrorism, Donald Trump would be arrested bc he is involved.

3

DeucePapi

1 year ago

His website says: DT Marks DEFI, LLC and its affiliates including Donald J. Trump and his family members has or may receive tokens from World Liberty Financial, and will be entitled to receive significant fees for services provided to World Liberty Financial, which amount cannot yet be determined.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

DT Marks DEFI, LLC and its affiliates including Donald J. Trump and his family members has or may receive tokens from World Liberty Financial, and will be entitled to receive significant fees for services provided to World Liberty Financial, which amount cannot yet be determined"......it literally names Trump as someone who is being compensated for services he provided for this coin.

0

shshsh0

1 year ago

"This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive, definitive evidence emerges that Donald Trump was involved". Donald Trump is NOT involved in World Liberty's coin, his sons are.. Read the rules guys..

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So you're saying that this market never had a chance to resolve Yes bc Trump doesn't have the technical process to launch a token pn the block chain?

1

Fredi9999WASP🐝

1 year ago

The deployment of a token is defined as the process of launching it on a blockchain. This includes: Creating a Smart Contract: Writing the code that defines the token's rules and functionalities. Deploying the Contract: Uploading the smart contract to the blockchain, making it live and accessible. Token Distribution: Initiating processes like sales, airdrops, or other mechanisms to distribute the tokens to users.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He is literally the only person named on the coin launch page. What kind of mental gymnastics need to take place to convince oneself that he's not invovled

0

Kuato

1 year ago

Donald J. Trump and his family members has or may receive tokens from World Liberty Financial, and will be entitled to receive significant fees for services provided to World Liberty Financial, which amount cannot yet be determined

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.worldlibertyfinancial.com/

2

Vulture

1 year ago

WLFI will finalize sales, but not launch before election. Thus NO will prevail. Why? Incentives of course! Interest in the project/coin will tank if Trump loses election so the grift must commence before election. At the same time, launching a coin represents a substantial risk to his campaign, think headlines such as "Trump endorsed cryptocurrency down -50% on the day of launch". So better to delay launch to after election.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

His website says: DT Marks DEFI, LLC and its affiliates including Donald J. Trump and his family members has or may receive tokens from World Liberty Financial, and will be entitled to receive significant fees for services provided to World Liberty Financial, which amount cannot yet be determined.

9

CFB: BYU vs. Arizona

DeucePapi

1 year ago

These trading bots are so annoying

2

CFB: Utah vs. Arizona State

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@meow11 for real

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Are there any humans trading this game tonight or just computers?

CFB: Utah vs. Arizona State

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Are there any humans trading this game tonight or just computers?

2

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Do the independent counters work for UMA?

0

Eridpnc

1 year ago

What's more likely? 10+ separate, independent counters hallucinate the word "border" or you didn't count one?

Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Please lawd

0

cashnweed

1 year ago

time for gambling

Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Not sure why you losers keep posting the same scam

2

EmilieEmilyToddHelm

1 year ago

The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not. sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/news_defiant/status/1844068113450762423

49ers vs. Seahawks

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Ramen grinding comes w the 5 figure losses for me

0

TXgoon92

1 year ago

looks like you're going to be eating ramen for a while now

49ers vs. Seahawks

DeucePapi

1 year ago

When did UMA take over NFL officiating?

0

49ers vs. Seahawks

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Typical

0

05brownboy

1 year ago

if the seahawks pull it off that’s wild

49ers vs. Seahawks

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I can't even imagine what it would feel like to get some of my money back from JustKen

1

05brownboy

1 year ago

if the seahawks pull it off that’s wild

49ers vs. Seahawks

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Real nail biter tonight

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

UMA really has ppl mindfckd. Definitive evidence = Trump's company launching a coin -- vs -- Martin Shkreli launches Dark MAGA Coin and claims Trump is his partner.

0

Justifax

1 year ago

aenews, car, pence thing the scam will be based on something technical cucky, like trump isn't legally involved. others are betting on common sense reality, like the video he tweeted promoting it. i think common sense will win, and maybe this should be a bit higher, but who knows these days. credibility is at a low point

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They have before: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yom_Kippur_War

2

Shekel

1 year ago

Jews don't fly on Yom Kippur ☝️🇮🇷

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They're using CSPAN which is incomplete

0

ANudeEgg

1 year ago

Your voice to text probably doesn't pick it up because he says "Gyna".

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I'm almost done and I have 9 confirmed.

0

ANudeEgg

1 year ago

Should I dispute China No or let someone else do it?

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

And he says Chinese

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He says Asian

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He says Asian

0

Skippy-downunder

1 year ago

Does a stutter count as saying China twice? the 4th time he says chin... chinA!

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Terrorist Attax, Taxi drivers

0

Chunkymonkey

1 year ago

Tax ciunt?

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

9...he should nail #10 in his grand finale rant

1

BadMan

1 year ago

China 10?

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

For those keeping score at home: Bullshit 1, Crypto: 0

0

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

China 9?

1

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Everything is gonna hit. He's ranting until 9 tonight

0

Glover

1 year ago

Border 12 Tax 14 Kamala 22 China 8

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He doesn't like to bash govt agencies by name. Like after he got shot, he only had good things to say about the Secret Service

0

BigDoh

1 year ago

No FEMA is diabolical

Milton landfall at what category?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Fuck off

0

CharlesGalloway

1 year ago

no

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You never know w this guy

0

GlennYoungkin

1 year ago

FEMA dead?

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Y he no call it "liquid crypto"

0

Milton landfall at what category?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This market sounds like UMA hell

5

What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Trump pregame music is so based

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@haterzloserz @car am I wrong?

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Careful guys....the market is about who the documentary identifies as the creator of Bitcoin....not who Satoshi Nakamoto is

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Careful guys....the market is about who the documentary identifies as the creator of Bitcoin....not who Satoshi Nakamoto is

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

6 weeks typically

0

TwistedFate

1 year ago

how long does it usually take for markets to close after UMA settlement?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Cullen is a bitch

3

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

1:11 into the film where Back puts on the cloak at the convention. The only time that Cullen says who he thinks Satoshi is

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It was Adam back though

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Back is the only person who Cullen said he thinks is Satoshi

2

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It was Adam back though

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It was Adam back though

3

KamalaHarris-Realaccount

1 year ago

the swindlers who convinced everyone it was Adam Beck should be ashamed of themselves

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Back!!!

1

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He doesn't need to. Just has to bring it into dispute to scare enough paper hands and fomo ppl to buy into back, which would allow him to sell at a profit

0

Skinfeeler500

1 year ago

He's probably bribing uma?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Yea, but if you bought Back at .003 cents and he goes up to 5 cents bc of the dispute, you win

0

thinkingfast

1 year ago

going down the road of trying to dispute via nitpicking never works bc you have to fight the whales in UMA

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Haterz is gonna rug this entire market. You think he's just buying 4mm Adam Back bc he's emotional?

2

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So click Resolve

0

yourrapist1777

1 year ago

This is why I love this site. The market has been settled for over an hour now and people still give you free money anyway

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is when the real trading begins

0

SureBet745

1 year ago

"f the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin." Artistic choices to be considered?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

We'll see what UMA thinks

0

MrNFT

1 year ago

Anyone saying adam back is wasting their time

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You cant

0

PokerBrat

1 year ago

People already skipped to the ending…

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I think this is why Other isn't moving at 99.4cents

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

That he could create another acct to buy Other for $100k, and make $2mm by buying the actual winner for fractions of a penny

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

That he could create another acct to buy Other for $100k, and make $2mm by buying the actual winner for fractions of a penny

1

Helsinki

1 year ago

Damn this guy HL still dumping thousands and thousands in Adam... What does he know?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol the train scene on half way through the doc??

1

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

That's what I'm saying. Such loser life

1

trav

1 year ago

RNC had insider info and six figures of capital and made $16k? lol if true. HL is the king this time even though he lost.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Cullen posted "Wen Rug Pull" on Twitter right before the documentary started

0

Ravenholdt

1 year ago

Why is HL still dumping thousands into Adam Back

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Something ain't right for ppl to be holding at 99.1 rn

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

No, ppl dispute everything

0

ANudeEgg

1 year ago

You're assuming that it's going to be an unclear ending when the director has said it's not?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Diamond hands. I learned it from you dad

0

HaterzLoserz

1 year ago

Well, I had my thesis and went big, its what I do. May have been caught out by the signals coming from adam and samson, but we will see how its goes. lots of suspicious stuff with these fortune and forbes links imo, but we will see.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Stop the presses. Wen Rug Pull - Cullen Twitter https://x.com/CullenHoback/status/1843806472477855758

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

On now

0

Myrepatti

1 year ago

Is it out?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Do Other bettors understand what the UMA dispute process is like?

3

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Other 94% before the doc begins is concerning.

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://imgur.com/a/FMrvTCx

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

#1 contrarian

0

goingsocial

1 year ago

HaterzLoserz going for 2 mil

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Billy is done

0

dioretar

1 year ago

https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2024/10/08/who-is-peter-todd-the-man-named-by-hbo-as-bitcoins-mystery-creator-satoshi-nakamoto/

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This was hacked. One of the ppls name is the n-word

0

abdendriel

1 year ago

Oh shit check out the cast on IMDB. Only a few ppl… and Peter Todd at the end. https://m.imdb.com/title/tt33600145/fullcredits/cast?ref_=m_ttfc_2

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Spend like night alone?

0

WinstonChurchil

1 year ago

I'm about to do what's called a pro gamer move.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

HaterzLoserz is gonna pocket 1mm tn and there's no amount of insider bullshit thats gonna stop him

7

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Wouldn't be the first time a journalist has gotten it completely wrong bc of poly market pump propaganda

0

Justifax

1 year ago

It's possible it's not Todd but if so Billy Brambough just took a serious hit to his career.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This feels a lot like that. Where journalists start taking positions based on nonsense poly marketing pump propaganda that they find on twitter

0

Remontada

1 year ago

Crystal clear.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Anyone remember the DNC Beyonce/Taylor Swift performance market?

3

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Other bros get rekt https://www.coindesk.com/business/2024/10/08/former-bitcoin-dev-peter-todd-denies-hes-satoshi-hours-before-hbo-documentary-airs/

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What does this mean? https://x.com/peterktodd/status/1843769829129629721

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Haterz will submit as Resolved when Adam Becks name is mentioned just wreck all of the paper handed Other holders

0

Remontada

1 year ago

HaterzLoserz, you need to leave some for the insiders!

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They weren't allowed to use that one bc HBO didn't want liability of making Pete or Back targets of kidnapping, harassment etc

0

Justifax

1 year ago

It's possible the person below screened it, but it's also possible there are multiple endings that were sent out for a/b testing.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Not worth buying this at 80 cents, even w insider, considering the UMA factor

0

XyzBM

1 year ago

People thinking the Peter Todd leaks are fake/bait... take a look at the 2 insider accounts that scooped up all the Others ask liquidity.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I never said I was a math genius. I'm just saying that 4 days ago you could buy as much Other for 10cents as you wanted

0

BibiNetanyahu

1 year ago

25m volume, not total

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The most disappointing thing is that the top 2 insiders only stand to make a 50% return of 60k each in a $25mm market

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Over https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/1843738025198792962

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What does UMA say?

1

mona.lisa

1 year ago

Cullen said he settled on ONE name, not multiple.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So Peter Todd is richest man in world?

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Read Back's Twitter. He's discounting the documentary saying ppl shouldn't believe that Satoshi is who the doc says it is

1

Justifax

1 year ago

Other might not be overpriced. It's possible by accusing everyone the director gets away with saying he confronted him.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What happens if we all ask the Discord chat to add Peter Todd to this list?

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Guys, dont panic buy Other. It will drop to 20 cents after the result gets Disputed

1

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Shonichi!!! Math student that's been compared to Newton level genius

0

Neo11

1 year ago

https://x.com/theblockcitizen/status/1843732566261846387

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You're losing your edge. Justifax isn't even upset by your posts today

1

Car

1 year ago

very real wikipedia article says Wei Dai is the creator: https://imgur.com/eiOeCP4

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is weak dude, even for you

0

Car

1 year ago

The cast says Vili Lehdonvirta is Satoshi Nakamoto: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt33600145/fullcredits/?ref_=tt_ov_st#cast

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Welcome

1

Insider1

1 year ago

why will be only 1 winner?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The biggest whale position on this market is Craig Wright @ 400k shares.

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bc Vandalay Industries is buying it all

2

Remontada

1 year ago

You know, Other/Mutliple has been inflating every day. I wonder why.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Samson says the subject of the doc is alive

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

A warning to traders from Samson Mow: I've been leaving a ton of hints about who HBO is probably going to say Satoshi is, but it doesn't seem anyone has clued in. All I can say is most traders on Polymarket are probably going to get rekt. https://x.com/Excellion/status/1843567554180346261

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Smart money wouldn't buy 94 cent No shares on tons of other ppl in addition to a position on Adam Back

0

informed

1 year ago

Smart money is betting on Adam Back against single delusional whale. Look at the holders

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

A warning to traders from Samson Mow: I've been leaving a ton of hints about who HBO is probably going to say Satoshi is, but it doesn't seem anyone has clued in. All I can say is most traders on Polymarket are probably going to get rekt. https://x.com/Excellion/status/1843567554180346261

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why is @weareallsatoshi dumping?

0

Sit

1 year ago

when does the documentary drop?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@SwaggyRach I like the diagram you made here https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EyVg59uWgAIjRc5.jpg

0

SwaggyRach

1 year ago

the asnwer is other/multiple if you notice blackrock owns majority shares in HBO and recently they bought shit ton of bitcoin through ETFs its clear it was all planned a 8 month long consolidation was just them accumulating bitcoin before Q4 since retail always enters crypto in Q4 and to match the timing they are releasing a documentary on satoshi just to prove again that satoshi is not any alive person but is indeed dead and his holding worth 60Bil+ $ is locked forever making it a viral news again and providing it a narrative to rally up with retail interest rising

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Too much Adderall for u papi. Keep it simpe

1

SwaggyRach

1 year ago

the asnwer is other/multiple if you notice blackrock owns majority shares in HBO and recently they bought shit ton of bitcoin through ETFs its clear it was all planned a 8 month long consolidation was just them accumulating bitcoin before Q4 since retail always enters crypto in Q4 and to match the timing they are releasing a documentary on satoshi just to prove again that satoshi is not any alive person but is indeed dead and his holding worth 60Bil+ $ is locked forever making it a viral news again and providing it a narrative to rally up with retail interest rising

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Well until the Office of Satoshi's Identity makes a formal statement, I think ppl are going to track w the most convincing narrative

0

HB76

1 year ago

This market is not about who is Satoshi. Its about the theory presented by HBO tonight. The most shockwaves would be created if a non US citizen would be proposed as Satoshi.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I don't know enought about Kleinan, but the fact that there was a court case involving his BTC stash w Craig Wright and the identity of Satoshi seems like a strong documentary case

0

eb..

1 year ago

I've just checked the names on this leak where it says it's david kleiman, and the names are correct, for the producers and many others. typography, layout, songs, are also all on brand. looks more likely than not that it is not a scam. very well done, if it is. but anyway, odds for this can go way higher considering all of this

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

All of the ppl nobody has ever heard of and Elon who is hiding in plain sight

1

entrpy

1 year ago

Which of the available options is a ghost like Satoshi? The answer is obvious. There's only one Wei this market will go...

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

See you at the crossroads

0

ncap

1 year ago

WEI DAI.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Based

0

Ylescaps

1 year ago

surely this is not how it ends https://imgur.com/a/FMrvTCx

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It would still have real world ramifications. Satoshi has 1mm BTC, imagine if someone unknown owned 5% of the NASDAQ

0

tomaz

1 year ago

The main thing is that this is not a betting on who Satoshi is, but a bet on who HBO thinks Satoshi is

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Szabo was at 32% when i posted

0

tomaz

1 year ago

How does 17.9% + 7.4% = ~40%

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If there was a ~40% chance that Nick Szabo or Adam Back would be revealed as Satoshi today, the price of Bitcoin would have tanked by 50% today.

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What are the odds that the result will be disputed?

2

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Adam Back

1

Luter

1 year ago

so lagy. Who developed this

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Can't wait to drag the newbie insiders who bet Not Mentioned/Other into UMA hell w disputes. They're gonna be shitting their pants when they realize it ain't easy money

1

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Yea, but they don't know about UMA and that's our insider upper hand

1

mona.lisa

1 year ago

After checking the ‘other’ holders, this looks insider traded

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol this is what I'm expecting

0

Maximemeliano

1 year ago

Guys, I watch the movie, and I was shocked. When the director asked Adam Back for the 69th time if he was Satoshi, he smirked mischievously, and that became the main proof

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

People selecting Other/Multiple are gonna get rekt. This market is here as part of HBO's marketing efforts for the documentary. They didn't get the listed names here out of the blue

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He's in the film and we're not. Who he thinking Satoshi is matters bc that's what we're betting on, papi

0

AdamWayBack

1 year ago

Note that Samson Mow probably knows just as much as we do. He confirmed that he does not know the outcome

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Feels like this market is a paid promotion by HBO x Polymarket. How did they come up w this list of names to put on here?

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If I buy you 1000 shares of other will u stop posting about Isamu Kanamu?

0

CRYPTU

1 year ago

other is shooting up because its gonna be announced on hbo tomorrow that its Isamu Kaneko

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I'm with you. Nothing stopping this dude from making a stupid documentary that claims Craig is the inventor

0

MeVotedTwice

1 year ago

Craig Wright is the King He invent Bitcoin and he win big and me win big when he win!!!!!!!!

Saints vs. Chiefs

DeucePapi

1 year ago

NFL anything can happen

0

Getrich

1 year ago

The vaule for a 5x is crazy

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Reporting this.

0

MarilynMonroe

1 year ago

The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TheDefiantNews/status/1843420090525725128

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Done

0

thares

1 year ago

Just bet on no on everything and call it a day lol.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Does it matter? You're betting on the name they come up with

0

informed

1 year ago

No is only choice. HBO has 0 chance to come with true name

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Sylvester Stallone is back

1

MarilynMonroe

1 year ago

The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TheDefiantNews/status/1843420090525725128

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Missing 80% of the ppl listed here

0

Brainstormy

1 year ago

All the proof you need to know: https://x.com/artcadadesign/status/1843417677999804555?s=46

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It doesn't matter who the real Satoshi is. You're betting on who the director thinks he is

1

AdamWayBack

1 year ago

Satoshi posted on BitcoinTalk forums literally just after Sassaman gave a speech at Black Hat 2010. https://x.com/EleusisDubai/status/1843369783531843942 He cannot be satoshi

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Narrows search down to 2 people. 1 is dead. Confronts live person and eliminates them leaving the dead person as Satoshi

0

AdamWayBack

1 year ago

"In the film director Collen Hoback builds the case for his Satoshi suspect. A person he ulitmately challenges FACE TO FACE" https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid Sell Sassaman

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/Excellion/status/1842481454091223087 will be an expensive lesson to learn for you

0

topblaster

1 year ago

hes trolling

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Cullen Hoback made a documentary about the identity of Q from Q-Anon and concluded that he was Ron Watkins, one of the participants in the documentary who denied being Q. It doesn't matter who Satoshi really is, what matters is who the documentary says Satoshi is

0

kent395595

1 year ago

how does adam still hold 10% lol, he literally said it's not him - https://x.com/hodlerr0/status/1843354622796410911

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Samson Mow, one of the main dudes in the documentary, believes Satoshi is Chinese. Check his twitter

1

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Better off picking one of the nerds on the list who nobody talks about

0

Bobanoice

1 year ago

he literally FOMO-ed in shitcoins and lost money publicly and still shit posting on Twitter and you mfers think that's Satoshi LMFAOOOOOOOO

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's just another Satoshi documentary fellas. Cullen isn't breaking new info that isn't already out there or hasn't been thought of yet. Many will be disappointed at his choice bc you'll know 1,000 reasons why he's wrong, but it won't matter

0

Car

1 year ago

I can assure you he is not gonna be in the list. To be precise, they are not gonna have 1 satoshi, but multiple. Possibly the US Government.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Imagine the real Satoshi, the richest person in the world who has kept his identity a secret for 15 years, decided to participate in a HBO documentary that aimed on discovering who he is

2

AdamWayBack

1 year ago

Adam Back uses double spaces, went silent with academic publishing during Bitcoins development, said he deleted logs with Satoshi but recently posted them and they contradict with what he said back then, is from the UK (News article in the first bitcoin blog is from a UK newspaper), speaks british english, does his very best to prove he is not Satoshi, even trying to point fingers at other people.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Such a Shinichi Mochizuki thing to say

0

retardiopxwx

1 year ago

"I’ve moved on to other things and probably won’t be around in the future" that's what satoshi wrote in MAY 2011, len died in JULY 2011 if ur voting for someone else ur dumb. https://evanhatch.medium.com/len-sassaman-and-satoshi-e483c85c2b10

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Look at the cast bro https://m.imdb.com/title/tt33600145/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_1

0

justwannalosemoney

1 year ago

he buying it for everyone if you see, check it, dont try to get rate higher, adam is bad choice

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Watch every Cullen Hoback documentary and find one that doesn't have the person of interest in the cast

0

Car

1 year ago

I can assure you he is not gonna be in the list. To be precise, they are not gonna have 1 satoshi, but multiple. Possibly the US Government.

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol Adam and three other ppl in the documentary make a case for someone else

0

topblaster

1 year ago

leak came out its Adam Back

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Car made someone buy Adam for 60cents

0

justwannalosemoney

1 year ago

can someone explain what are hell was going on?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Adam says it was invented by a Chinese person

0

Car

1 year ago

ADAM

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You must be new here

0

topblaster

1 year ago

why is others/multiple at 40% when the director said they land on a single specific person? idiots

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You can do better

0

Car

1 year ago

This is also a fun bet: https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-satoshis-identity-be-proven?tid=1728315015776

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This sounds like another UMA shit show in the making. Ppl throwing all of their $ into 1 line from the documentary, "I was positive Satoshi was Mike Tyson, or was I?"

5

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

CNN lies tho

0

Donkov

1 year ago

LEAKED Its Sasssaman. Before dying, he was uploaded on the blockchain. With quantum AI they were able to communicate https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid

Israel military response against Iran in October?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Nothing ever happens is the risk-on side in matters involving Israel military action

0

Car

1 year ago

These are some really good odds for the “nothing ever happens” gang

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Dick

0

Car

1 year ago

Yes but small

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

🔥🔥🔥

0

Andy-Beshear

1 year ago

Good job, you’re averaging about a post per share.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Chad, why dont you just buy UMA tokens and vote Yes to make yourself win? Works for the other top dogs

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Chad!!!!! My man

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Aside from justken, who the f buys UMA tokens and participates in these disputes in their free time?

0

Cryptonord

1 year ago

This is the Token Mate :)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is wrong. UMA Twitter page not only tweets about Poly market, but gives a shout out to @justken https://x.com/UMAprotocol/status/1842942940470968597

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Can someone please tell me Polymarket doesn't use a Dispute Resolution system that sells vote tokens for $2.32/wa? https://coinmarketcap.com/community/coins/uma/top/

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Thanks nigga

1

NIGGA

1 year ago

Quite many yes holders got blown the fuck out. Tough luck!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Not sure why the retardo who writes the market isn't responsible for resolving it

2

mona.lisa

1 year ago

I would honestly prefer if Polymarket abolished the UMA system, and just had a team of staff deciding.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is there anything stopping the conflict of interest of UMA whales participating in the markets?

0

PolyRig-Fried

1 year ago

"decentralized" "truth" finding machine. but in reality it's just 3 whales.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The thing I learned from this is that of the 300 different places where Disputes are actually resolved, this chat log is not one of them

0

Justifax

1 year ago

Kevin Chan committed his vote yesterday and then a minute later a topholder posted on discord very confidently about the vote. It could be a coincidence of course, but I dunno. Did they communicate? Probably not but because of the 'decentralized' voting machine is so centralized and lacks transparency these issues arise.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Thanks dad

1

qnguyen301

1 year ago

never risk all of your hard-earned money one 1 bet

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

That it's over

0

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

What's the rumor

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Nahhh

0

WhaleHunter

1 year ago

It probably won’t reverse again, right?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is how the whales end up getting everyones money

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Buy the rumor

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol

0

TooDumbToWin

1 year ago

we got fucked bro

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Go to the beginning of this market. I was an OG here, holding Yes bags w HaterzLosers up until the very end. You got here 5 minutes ago dude

0

TooDumbToWin

1 year ago

dude you bet on something you don't even believe in, for 2 days hundreds of proofs have been sent in the comments and on discord, do your own fucking research idiot

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Send me link that states this pet Israel/Lebanon/UN

0

General.William.T.Sherman

1 year ago

Idiot

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The fact remains that Israel didn't take control of Lebanese land as part of this invasion. I'm betting on UMA being a wrong piece of shit now

1

TooDumbToWin

1 year ago

@unclelouie I think you are the worst piece of shit I have seen haha

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You can always look at my P/L

1

dancer

1 year ago

why advertise your ignorance?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I just had a rare change of heart. I didn't realize that UMA has already proven its retardedness on this exact issue

0

TooDumbToWin

1 year ago

@unclelouie I think you are the worst piece of shit I have seen haha

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Well I just changed teams. I didn't realize that the November version of this market has already resolved to Yes...https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-enter-lebanon-before-November/will-israel-enter-lebanon-before-November

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How does their presence in Lebanon equate to them taking control of Lebanese land?

0

General.William.T.Sherman

1 year ago

Hard to argue Israel isn’t holding land when they are clearly advancing as we speak. Only questionable thing that could be argued is whether it commenced before 11:59pm eastern on the 30th and it did.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If you're getting yes, you're betting on the stupidity of UMA and how it resolves to a vibe instead of what it's supposed to

0

Justifax

1 year ago

One of the reasons I hate the UMA process is the orthogonal insider info that veterans can use to take money away from folks just trying to bet on "did they invade". For example, which UMA voters have a high accuracy rate on disputed markets? What's their connection to the chain for reveals like? Do they know the identity of btl and their potential biases? The list goes on and all of these details are not relevant to the underlying question.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The guy who knows what the next part is doesn't buy 20k Yes shares at 65cents right before the price goes down to 42cents/share

3

Ravenholdt

1 year ago

No holders getting nervous? Refill your popcorn, you'll love this next part.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You don't even need to do this foreboding foot stomping...you want other ppl to buy more Yes but you haven't

0

mona.lisa

1 year ago

Now up to 25% yes on UMA. Whales incoming. It's over for the nos.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Shots fired

2

Meow.Zedong

1 year ago

@JustKen I realized you didn’t deserve a shred of respect when someone encouraged you to buy more ‘No’ shares in the comments and you replied stating something near verbatim to “I don’t like to have any shares during the UMA vote dude’. Then you proceeded to buy 25k more ‘No’ shares. I mean, really. Could you be any more of a bitch?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is this over in ~8 min?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

🚨🚨🚨🚨 nerd alert 🚨🚨🚨🚨

1

DFK

1 year ago

people asking if Yes still stands a chance: statistically in an evenly distributed voting right system, the answer would be no. Here Yes hangs on to the possibility (remote?) that a few heavyweight would vote against consensus. What we already have in hands is an idea of the consensus, statistically significant (imagine early results coming like that in the presidential election for example: the outcome would be crystal clear).

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israel invaded Lebanon on 9/30 to kill Hezbos, but it wasn't, and still isn't, an invasion to take control of land, which is what the definition of invasion is in this market

0

BenCM

1 year ago

So there was an invasion on 30 September which has continued to the present. What's the yes case from here, with the market moving against it.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bro, being greedy is betting YES on a historical event that didn't happen w the intention of taking advantage of the broken UMA resolution process

0

niverse

1 year ago

Be greedy when others are fearful

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Big boy

0

fhantombets

1 year ago

:boom:

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Polymarket has the most at stake here. Their entire platform will lose credibility if their market resolution system and all it's fail-safes get a historical event completely wrong

0

Phoenix777

1 year ago

I smell YES burning

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Poly is responsible for it and this joke of a semantics-based market resolution process that has nothing to do with actual information

0

Meow.Zedong

1 year ago

Bro, you’re about to be the face of bad press Polymarket lol

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Elon = time traveler

0

addicts

1 year ago

no way ppl actually think elon is satoshi

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why don't they put the Einsteins who write the markets in charge of resolving them?

0

Justifax

1 year ago

so far 17 p2 voters to 8 p1 voters, but of course share ownership matters. it comes down to 2 voters basically. btl and kevin chan

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is one of those gaslighting markets like when ppl were betting 80% that FTX Caroline Ellison would get 0 prison time

0

Phoenix777

1 year ago

No

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Just trying to catch up here. Has there been official confirmation from Lebanon, Israel, the UN or a consensus of "credible" media sources saying that Israel entered Lebanon w intent to establish control over their land?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Chad ftw

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why did he sell half his position?

0

Phoenix777

1 year ago

Me to

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So why did you buy YES??

0

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Atta boy

0

HaterzLoserz

1 year ago

Im back to the 70k shares i had before Sept30th ;)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Should get their jobs slashed

1

Cryptonord

1 year ago

Many UMA People are gonna get their rewards Slashed :/ lol

Jets vs. Vikings

DeucePapi

1 year ago

For sure

1

empires

1 year ago

The Vikings will win for sure

CFB: Miami vs. California

DeucePapi

1 year ago

🙌

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Either way, a huge embarrassment for this platform, who made such a specific market and can't seem to resolve it several days after the fact despite everyone knowing exactly what happened. The fact that ppl are betting both sides is a testament to how unreliable the resolution mechanism is

6

Ferguson,Turd

1 year ago

Whichever side has a higher price will win

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Stahp

0

nnimrodd

1 year ago

New video guide to Polymarket https://x.com/nnimrodd/status/1841767556551491914

What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

We got it.....on every market available

1

nnimrodd

1 year ago

Shot this guide to Polymarket https://youtu.be/1vj7jnA2Pyg

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

JD 2028

1

WhaleCloud

1 year ago

Idk why he’s been claimed as weird or unliked. He’s one of my favorite people to listen to. Even when I disagree, he articulates his points so I understand why we disagree. He’s the best.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

100%

0

RoAsc

1 year ago

i wonder if vacne kept saying "i grew up in a middle class family" intentionally as a troll to kamala. kek.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The same ppl who said Biden/Trump debate was a draw are also saying this debate was a draw...

3

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

All functionality on this site started to suck majorly over the past 4 days

0

nola72324

1 year ago

Can we all agree that the Polymarket comment functionality fucking sucks? And is going to completely break down on Election Day?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"Kamala brings politics of joy". Who wants that?

0

RRR1989

1 year ago

wow Walz going down lol

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Further proving No is correct

0

McLarry

1 year ago

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I think the idea is that Walz would win the debate in the polls even if he didn't show up for the debate

0

n/a

1 year ago

How is anyone watching this and buying walz

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Tim 2028

2

What will JD Vance say during the VP Debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Def not

0

Bryan1316

1 year ago

No way he said Kamala 30+ times… right?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If you think you'll win bc some whale pushed the Resolve Yes button early, you've got something else coming

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's scary how many Yes people still can understand that this market only resolves to Yes if the intention of the IDF entering Lebanon is to take control of real estate - like they did in Gaza - the type of maneuver where they plant an Israeli flag in the ground if successful.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Read up on Land Warfare Strategies - particularly Territorial Acquisition

0

x3x3

1 year ago

Shit. Totally overlooked the part with the flag in the rules.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's scary how many Yes people still can understand that this market only resolves to Yes if the intention of the IDF entering Lebanon is to take control of real estate - like they did in Gaza - the type of maneuver where they plant an Israeli flag in the ground if successful.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Such a small peepee move

0

PBet

1 year ago

Who is the lowlife that constantly adjusts to offer .1 more than the highest bid?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Exactly, the difference between the two markets is everything. Why create two distinct markets that deal with IDF entering Lebanon if you're not going to bother distinguishing them at resolution?

1

SimonFafe

1 year ago

The interpretation is pretty clear here because there is another market that covers any Israeli military personel entering Lebanon, and therefore does not excludes special operations like the one that happened yesterday.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Are you retarded? The market is whether or not the troops are there to capture real estate

1

McLarry

1 year ago

Just to be clear, and so there's no flip afterward, if there are Israeli troops in Lebanon right now, then this market is a yes, right Ken? Not that you're looking for another narrative change later

Diddy released from custody before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He will get released

0

MuchAdo2BRN2B

1 year ago

i.e., what if he dies while in custody? How will this be resolved?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Over/under side bets on how many times I'll get logged out before midnight

2

FalC0N

1 year ago

any side bets on whether it hits 50 before or after midnight ET?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It Ain’t What You Don’t Know That Gets You Into Trouble. It’s What You Know for Sure That Just Ain’t So

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Their intention

0

Polygon-RogerRabbit

1 year ago

If IDF entered and their forces were shot and killed what is the difference? RIP

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How do you consistently look at facts and interpret the exact opposite of what's in front of you?

1

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

The smart money is slowly switching to Yes.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Chatgpt I think

0

Adrimarket

1 year ago

what's the next step ? im new to this who is gonna decide

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

☝️ what he said

0

YatSen

1 year ago

this market lacks liquidity and can easily flip

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Whales are waiting for ppl to dump, pick up cheap No and dispute

0

Coram_Deo

1 year ago

Somebody must dispute Yes in 1 h 30 min

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

YatSen in the house....on the No side

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

• The Israeli military says it has begun “a limited ground operation” in southern Lebanon targeting Hezbollah. There will be “no long-term occupation” of Lebanon, Israeli officials said, but declined to provide a timeline. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk/index.html

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He disputed himself?

0

aLaT

1 year ago

its the same guy that proposing before

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Where does it talk about them seizing Lebanese real estate?

0

Cedarville

1 year ago

https://www.meforum.org/israel-launches-extensive-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon "However, the scale and intensity of the operation suggest a more extensive campaign than initially indicated. The Commanding Officer of the IDF Northern Command, Major General Ori Gordin, has met with the commanders of the 98th, 91st, and 36th Divisions to approve plans for an expansion of fighting in the North, indicating a well-coordinated and potentially prolonged operation."

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Hezbollah = targets .... Hezbollah = People

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Read what you're posting" Israel has launched its expected ground incursion into Lebanon on early Tuesday, with "limited" raids against Hezbollah targets in the border area, the Israeli military said."

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Read what you're posting" Israel has launched its expected ground incursion into Lebanon on early Tuesday, with "limited" raids against Hezbollah targets in the border area, the Israeli military said."

0

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

No, no they didn't

0

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Nope

0

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

The IDF has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Uh ohhh

0

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

The IDF has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Go away herb

1

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

On what grounds? Any attempt to dispute what are now confirmed facts by Israel, the IDF, and a massive consensus of credible reporting would simply be an attempt to market fix--a serious criminal offense.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What county? We're all in London, mate

0

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

Thinking of attempting to engage in market fixing? You do know that's a serious criminal offence punishable by several years in jail, right?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Nah

0

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

Israel has now confirmed!!! See below!

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The Israeli military says it has begun “targeted ground raids” on villages in southern Lebanon......bro, you're gonna get rekt if you aren't objective about what's going on here

1

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

The country of Israel has now CONFIRMED!!! It's Yes! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol nope!

0

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

Israeli military has now confirmed! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Even Haterzlosers is starting to dump

0

duckduck

1 year ago

Ima be eating good off yesser moneeey

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

See what you did there at the end with the parentheses. (You're drawing your own inference that isn't there).

1

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

Both! As clearly stated by Netanyahu in concert with the entire Israeli cabinet, as well as the US State Department, Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's pretty simple fellas. Look at any article you share and ask the question, "are they going after people or real estate"?

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They're going after people in villages, not the real estate

0

McLarry

1 year ago

The establishment of the military exclusion zone, which is enforced with the use of ground troops, fulfills the rules of this market

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Pence just eating up the yes game

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Have faith in the poly market resolution system that it always produces the right resolution and fairly evaluates disputes

0

Moondog

1 year ago

NBC News says the Israeli ground operation in Lebanon "appears to have begun" according to two U.S. officials -- NBC says the officials don't have independent confirmation "but the timing tracks with what the Israelis notified the U.S. it had planned."

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's about whether or not bag holders can survive another 5 hours

0

bbman1214

1 year ago

Like honestly this market isnt even about if they go into lebanon only if they commence an operation to go in

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The question isn't whether or not it's happened yet. We all know it's happened. The issue at hand is how long is it going to take for official media to report and how much of a pain in the ass will the resolution process be

0

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

Invasion confirmed once again! https://dawnmena.org/dawn-statements-in-response-to-israels-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon/

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

IDF spokesman asks media not to report. https://x.com/IDFSpokesperson/status/1840844151803330708

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The IDF urges against 'spread of irresponsible rumors' regarding movements of troops along the Israeli-Lebanese border "In recent hours there have been many reports and rumors about IDF activity on the Lebanese border. We ask not to transmit reports about the activities of the forces, due to the security of our forces. Stick to the official reports only and do not spread irresponsible rumors."

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The IDF urges against 'spread of irresponsible rumors' regarding movements of troops along the Israeli-Lebanese border "In recent hours there have been many reports and rumors about IDF activity on the Lebanese border. We ask not to transmit reports about the activities of the forces, due to the security of our forces. Stick to the official reports only and do not spread irresponsible rumors."

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I wonder if the ground invasion story was disinformation aimed to find out who the leak in the white house is

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You don't need to help the No ppl anymore. Let them sell us shares for cheap

1

HsB34sgg

1 year ago

Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Limited ground invasion vs entire region invasion papi

0

DT24

1 year ago

exactly. limited ground operation. not gaining control over territory.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

We know we have 7 hrs and 20 mins to dump yes before it's $0. How much time do you have to dump No?

1

DT24

1 year ago

Sell quickly. It's not too late.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

8 more hours no bros. Hodl

0

EPL: Bournemouth vs. Southampton

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Wtf

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

🚗 ⚰️💀

0

Car

1 year ago

I recommend everyone to read the rules very clearly

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Mazel tov

2

HaterzLoserz

1 year ago

Gentlemen, its been a pleasure.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Just the Jihadists

2

NothingEverHappens

1 year ago

Jews are gonna turn the arabs to past tense.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's already been resolved. Just waiting for the news to report it

0

Phat.

1 year ago

who's holding till its resolved ?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

9:15pm Israel time. Just 9 hours and 45 mins to go and Israel never starts their attacks until midnight

0

Car

1 year ago

quick quick buy more

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Just 10 short hours left No bros. Hang in there

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It seems unlikely that Israel is going to squander this incredible window of opportunity that it has spent the past month blowing up the entire Middle East for

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It seems unlikely that Israel is going to squander this incredible window of opportunity that it has spent the past month blowing up the entire Middle East for

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Wowwo

0

Remontada

1 year ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840812982571270189

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

That a war market 90% isn't the same as other market's 90% bc of volatility

1

n/a

1 year ago

what does that mean?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You have a long 10 hours ahead of you, sir

1

Car

1 year ago

🚗🚗🚗 they have said they are entering to destroy infrastructure. Not to controll the area. Do yall even read the rules? lol

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Typical 🚗 sewing seeds of doubt as he lays a bread crumb trail of the shares he bought up to ridic prices

0

Car

1 year ago

I dont know why you guys are buying this. IDF has announced BEFORE the invasion that the intention is to have a limited invasion

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This market should be at least 50/50 now.

1

Phat.

1 year ago

pay usssssssss

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Media in Israel is reporting that the Israeli Invasion of Southern Lebanon is set to begin as soon as it receives Final Approval tonight from the Israeli Security Cabinet, which is currently meeting in Tel Aviv.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bro trying to call for a ceasefire after not saying one thing to hezbo about firing rockets nonstop into Israel for the past year.

2

HaterzLoserz

1 year ago

"im comfortable with them stopping" might be the weakest shit ever uttered by a US president lol

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is currently meeting with Members of the Security Cabinet, where discussions will be had about the Situation along the Northern Front; following the Meeting, Netanyahu will then hold Consultations with Senior Military and Defense Leaders. (Translation: it started 3 hours ago)

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bc they have 7 guys left

0

Remontada

1 year ago

From Hezbollah a second ago: ⭕ Peace be upon you, We kindly request everyone in all areas of Lebanon to refrain from taking any photos or videos of anything you see in the sky. We have now entered a new phase of the war, and it is religiously prohibited to share any footage. Please refrain from any filming. Thank you.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israel will invade when the yes market his 12cents

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israel will not have a better opportunity to do this if they're gonna do it

0

0x2249D9878161e823e957366beb735bA6333445f1-1720929847242

1 year ago

are we invading or nah

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

US is guaranteed to leak anything Israel tells them. No wonder why they keep the Biden clowns in the dark

0

Justifax

1 year ago

https://x.com/ABC/status/1840792558265327937

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

1/2 sandwich soon

2

Phat.

1 year ago

sell your 100 No and go buy a sandwich , support the local deli

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Biden administration has done it 6x in 4 years...prob more than any president in history.

0

Aquati

1 year ago

Full evacuation it's very very hard

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Anyone else in on this? https://polymarket.com/event/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-september-30/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-september-30

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Hezbollah just launched short range ballistic missile, first time it's used this, which is exactly what the invasion is going to prevent

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

11 hrs 34 mins

0

FamilyCapital

1 year ago

YES holder, which next few hours gonna happen? could you be more specific. TY.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Iran cant do anything. They don't want the world to see Israel call their bluff.

0

Foreseeable.

1 year ago

You know what will also happen in this escalation within the next 24hs for much more than 3%? Iran hits Israel, as it has in the past as retalliation. https://polymarket.com/event/iran-military-response-before-october/iran-military-response-before-october?tid=1727711343710

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Me too...used to do watching shifts w my sister waiting for the Welcome to the Jungle video to come on

0

UndefeatedElectionForecaster

1 year ago

i remember when mtv was about music

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Good day for you

2

HaterzLoserz

1 year ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840780453541773514

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Nobody arguing w you

2

Mr.Wellington

1 year ago

The key condition for the market to resolve to "Yes" is that Israel must launch a military offensive with the intent to establish control over part of Lebanon. If the stated goal of the operation is a limited incursion, even if ground forces are deployed, and there is no mention of controlling or holding territory, it would not meet the criteria for the market to resolve to "Yes."

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Holy f. Pence is all in

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israel’s Ground Invasion of Southern Lebanon, which is expected to begin as early as tonight, will be Preceded by a Significant Wave of Strikes by the Israeli Air Force, Navy, as well as Artillery stationed in the Border in an attempt to “Soften” Hezbollah Positions.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Local time Israel: 6:45pm. Just 12 hrs and 15 min more No bros and my $ is yours

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is a market that tries to handicap the IDF so it does make sense that 87% of ppl think Israel wouldn't do something that it just did

0

Hamurabi

1 year ago

The Yes went from 13c to 95c in one hour and then straight for resolution and the Yes guys want to convince us that this is perfectly normal and and just happened because it's true 🤣🤣🤣

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

U okay bro?

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

see you guys in 17 hours

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

No holders trapped

0

sd2333

1 year ago

https://x.com/Liz_Friden/status/1840772760873619721 FOX NOW

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

No ppl have major balls here to stick this out hoping that the media doesn't call this an invasion.

3

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So many No ppl on here got rekt fading IDF --- the one army that will only make moves when everyone is 90% sure they won't

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Thanks for the insight

1

CometoJesusMoment

1 year ago

not invaded yet, but entered now.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@Fatman1 now is not the time to panic. That comes later. It's not even 4pm in Israel. We have a lot of time left

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

see you guys in 17 hours

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

DYOR

0

Caligulas.dog

1 year ago

Which credible reporting? Care to link some sources

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You have 300 shares bro, relax.

1

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

see you guys in 17 hours

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Huh?

0

Car

1 year ago

So, no time mentioned in all articles + no clear reason why they explored the tunnels. So far not enough to resolve to Y

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Don't be nervous bro

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

beating a dead horse

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

‘Within hours’: Ground invasion fears as Israel pounds Lebanon https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/world/israel-begins-new-air-raids-on-dozens-of-hezbollah-targets/news-story/6887c5c1ed847085afefa1e7e26f1ac7

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2024/09/28/reports-israel-sends-small-commando-missions-into-lebanon/

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Major attack happening in Beirut now. 1am Israel time. This could be the night

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Imagine risking $8.5k for a $500 return and being wrong. The difference is that if Israel bettors are wrong, they lose small. If they're right they win big.

0

MyLossIsYourGain

1 year ago

imagine not going for 1000% APR.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

These 24 hours include 2 nights in in Lebanon, when Israel loves to strike

2

Car

1 year ago

24 hours and a 7% ROI. Ill take that.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I do very well. I have hundreds in the bank

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

can you afford that

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bibi called, he said pack your bags extra heavy bc we're taking a trip to lebanon

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It happens quickly. Anyone who fades Israel is playing w fire

0

Prophet👻

1 year ago

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822290 Rumors so far are false. But 'yes' holders shouldn't loose hope yet.

CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Use incognito mode

0

jtcoloma

1 year ago

Is anyone else having difficulty selling shares?? They are not showing up in my available balance.

CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Carson Beck is 5-of-15 for 44 yards, 2 INTs and a safety.

1

CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It wouldn't surprise me to find out tomorrow that he was on LSD for this game

3

AiBets

1 year ago

Is carson beck mentally ill

CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They need to put his ass on the bench already

0

AiBets

1 year ago

Is Carson Beck the worst player in NCAAF

CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama

DeucePapi

1 year ago

GA QB is a ritard

1

CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The GA QB threw one of the cleanest picks I have ever seen.

0

MrNFT

1 year ago

Georgia is so cooked

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Metallica makes me want to rip lines backstage w Don Jr

0

Anti-ScamLawyer

1 year ago

Haha yeah who is picking his music

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Jams are 🔥🔥🔥 tn

0

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Like a WWE match

0

bulborb

1 year ago

Lol interesting song choice

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They also took out all 18 topdogs in the Hezbo squad in under a week.

0

Pidor🐓

1 year ago

guys the most elite army in the world blew a neighborhood to smithereens targeting this guy and there's a month on the clock. get off twitter and rub your temples really hard

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So many happenings w.israel right now.

0

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Mossad Commentary pinned it to the top of his page. He's never confirmed info that turned out to be false and has ~500k followers. Do you tho https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839727363380146374

0

Car

1 year ago

a random telegram channel..?

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Please keep fading Israel. I like $15k away from breaking even and need ur help

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Need to finish the job

0

Prophet👻

1 year ago

Israel got what it wanted, a crippled enemy - there won't be any ground action. Highly unlikely.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's over https://x.com/JewsAreTheGOAT/status/1839752778916475329

0

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

No, he's under 60 feet of rubble stretching 3 miles wide. It's gonna take them a few mins to find him

0

Car

1 year ago

regretting buying NO yet , NO holders?

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You need to buy 1 share to be taken somewhat seriously here

0

n/a

1 year ago

Nasrollah is alive

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Sewing seeds of doubt. Look at this explosion in Beirut. Israel doesn't drop bombs like this 5 blocks away from the US embassy unless they know what they're doing. https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839699230710988966

0

Car

1 year ago

yall pricing it like you guys are senior hezbollah officers lmao. how are you guys so sure?

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The US is the only one who pretends its leader is in charge and isn't dead.

0

Car

1 year ago

in the end, hezbollah decides about who is in charge and who is dead. not IDF.

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839736591302176772

0

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

CNN is not a credible news source

2

sd2333

1 year ago

https://x.com/FirasMaksad/status/1839723859333009905 CNN ANALYST Nasrallah is dead, targeted with #Iran commander for #Lebanon and #Syria according to a reliable source. Today is a major escalatory inflection point in #Israel’s campaign, irrespective if this proves true or not. cnni

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How do you scam here? Teach me

0

Justifax

1 year ago

Sort of sad how people come to the site maybe to see what's up and then there is the piece of shit scammer Car and think this is what polymarket is all about that. Anyways, truth is that we are dealing with fog of war. If the market reflected reality, there would be very large spread. Right now it's just degenerate gambling.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They don't want ppl to know the head of the snake has been cut off

1

Remontada

1 year ago

Ah yes. The very reliable IRCG news.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Video of bombing https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839699230710988966

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Have you seen videos of the bombs that Israel drops on its targets? He's not gonna crawl out of there w some light scratches

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Have you seen videos of the bombs that Israel drops on its targets? He's not gonna crawl out of there w some light scratches

0

sd2333

1 year ago

I have a stubborn source from within the system who has been claiming for an hour and a half that Nasrallah is gone, the top of Hezbollah is gone. He knows that if it is not true, he will be fired. And he insists. ISRAELI JOURNALIST 400k FOllowers https://x.com/BenCaspit/status/1839711406620365111

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Zing

0

🤺JustPunched

1 year ago

In the event of Nasrallah's passing, the next in line to lead Hezbollah is Rashida Tlaib.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Nasrallah is dead

0

Car

1 year ago

JustKen, buying YES after 40,000 TONS of explosions got dropped on Nasrallahs head. Such a smart trader!

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah was reportedly the target of the Israeli strike on the central headquarters of Hezbollah, located under a residence in Dahiyeh, Beirut.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The White House is pushing so hard for a ceasefire bc they don't want this October surprise to get Trump elected

0

abdendriel

1 year ago

Bibi just got $8.7B. Will he wait for Hezbollah to re-appoint the eliminated commanders, man the tunnels, reload missiles and set traps all over the border villages?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

And now we know what the October surprise is.

0

Justifax

1 year ago

Absolutely, the strategy all along was to spent 100s of billions on bombing and iron domes so that Hez could re-establish its presence in south lebanon. 40D chess!!

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Here we go again. Ceasefire back on the table

0

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Such a tired ass argument. The $ that the U.S. gives Israel is like 0.00001% of U.S. federal spending. As your boyfriend Biden said, "were there not an Israel, the United States of America would have to invent an Israel to protect her interest in the Middle East". Iran & the Muslim Brotherhood want to topple the US as much as they do Israel... check out the US Embassy Beirut bombing in 82. Hezbollah my dude. Common enemies.

0

bakayo33 - 9934

1 year ago

But they know they aren't going it alone! Just got another 8.7 billion from the US, should be enough til the end of the year.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

By launching the ground invasion, Israel has the chance to eliminate Hezbollah, return the 100k displaced citizens to their home, and help get pro Israel Trump elected by scaring the shit out of America into not voting for Kamala bc nobody wants her at the negotiating table. This is your October Surprise. https://www.theepochtimes.com/world/israeli-military-chief-orders-forces-to-prepare-for-possible-ground-assault-into-lebanon-5729892 Hopefully it starts in Sept.

0

Will Biden finish his term?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Kamala replacing him is gonna be the October surprise to give her a boost when she starts sinking in the polls

1

Giants vs. Cowboys

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I've only looked at his NFL picks. His card from Sunday was godlike. I think he went something like 9-2 on all dogs.

2

TheGuru

1 year ago

If helloworld12 has bet on the cowboys that's not a good sign. Every time I bet against him he wins lol

Giants vs. Cowboys

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Quite the profound take here. Feels like you see the markets as either trading opportunities or bets....where I see them as opportunities to lose bets.

0

🤺JustPunched

1 year ago

Let's bet on this shit!!!!

Giants vs. Cowboys

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Dude loves the underdogs too which says a lot about his pick tonight

0

TheGuru

1 year ago

If helloworld12 has bet on the cowboys that's not a good sign. Every time I bet against him he wins lol

Europa League: Braga vs. Maccabi TLV

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Holy fuck

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Gaza is a different animal. Hamas is holding hostages. Hezbollah is firing rockets....hence both Israel and Lebanon can agree to stop bombing each other

0

abdendriel

1 year ago

If Israel had an appetite for ceasefire, where’s the Gaza one?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The opposite of ceasefire isn't invasion

0

ActDrew

1 year ago

It was only yesterday they activated 2 brigades and moved them to the northern border...

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The happening is israel bombing Lebanon to fuck. A deal to stop this isnt

0

MicR

1 year ago

toplel, typical with such "news". Nothing ever happens.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What reality do you live in? Hezbollah has been firing thousands of rockets into Israel for the past year and displaced 100k ppl in the north. This is why Israel is fighting back.

1

CometoJesusMoment

1 year ago

no ceasefire. this is a policy, the US cannot openly support Israeli aggression, we will see in the next few hours that nobody will comply with this declaration, what happens on the ground and what is on paper are different in the Middle East.

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Market should resolve Deez Nuts; https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/09/25/joint-statement-by-the-united-states-australia-canada-european-union-france-germany-italy-japan-saudi-arabia-united-arab-emirates-qatar/

0

Republican

1 year ago

"temporary pause in the Israel-Hezbollah military conflict, must pertain to all theaters of military conflict between the two COUNTRIES"........ ah yes, my favorite country, HEZBOLLAH. Since Israel is not making peace with another country, market should resolve No.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Hezbollah has been firing rockets indiscriminately into Israeli residential neighborhoods for the past 11 mo & now biden wants to call for a ceasefire bc Israel is fighting back. So typical

1

Mr-Yolos

1 year ago

new whitehouse statement!! https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/09/25/joint-statement-by-the-united-states-australia-canada-european-union-france-germany-italy-japan-saudi-arabia-united-arab-emirates-qatar/

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Drink deez nuts https://news.sky.com/story/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-gaza-war-latest-sky-news-live-blog-12978800

1

bakayo33 - 9934

1 year ago

You can lead a horse to water, but you can not make them drink.

Hezbollah enters Israel in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Reporters? Dudes on Twitter have connects in the army and break stories

0

Justifax

1 year ago

LOL... you honestly think there are reporters at the border car? Are you really that stupid or scamming again?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839057125978550308

0

Hezbollah enters Israel in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Hezbollah infiltrators killed

1

Hezbollah enters Israel in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It sounds like Hezbollah dudes blitzed Israel to get hostages

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Some newsworthy shit about Hezbollah entering Israel feels like it's happening

Hezbollah enters Israel in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Some newsworthy shit about Hezbollah entering Israel feels like it's happening

0

FilthyAnimal

1 year ago

multiple incidents apparently

Hezbollah enters Israel in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Wow this is the most intense we've seen it

1

Hezbollah enters Israel in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1839057760496824553

1

Hezbollah enters Israel in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I think we have to wait for Israel and/or Hamas to formally acknowledge the event.

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How do we submit this for resolution?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839053656118751510

0

Hezbollah enters Israel in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How do we submit this for resolution?

0

FilthyAnimal

1 year ago

Well this just happened

WNBA: Aces vs. Storm Game 2

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Aces were killing it in Q1 and lost Q2, Q3 looking exhausted

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

WNBA is straight up chaos.

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Look at these words. Is Tim Walz in 5th grade?

7

WNBA: Aces vs. Storm Game 2

DeucePapi

1 year ago

WNBA is straight up chaos.

0

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Love that 🥷

0

Car

1 year ago

Judge Kaplan never disappoints.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

We made it bro

0

abdendriel

1 year ago

The possibility of no prison time is so surprising that it made news

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You fucks really gaslit me. I believed I was retarded for thinking she would go to prison.

5

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Not worth the stress

0

Justifax

1 year ago

congrats unclelouie

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So this is what it feels like

6

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

24 mo!!!

1

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

18 mo son

0

eb..

1 year ago

people are pretending. but no one knows. anything can happen now. any kind of sentence. this judge has his own way of thinking

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Let's get this over w. Ken, take my money

1

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

No time dropping like a rock

0

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Wtf

0

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Judge trying to smahs

2

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He said 110 years. Wouldn't have said that if he was gonna give her 0

2

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I actually know

0

eb..

1 year ago

no one knows at this point

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I didn't hear no bell

0

MeNoDatNutReelMuni

1 year ago

congrats to the YES

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Can't be max of 111 years or min of 0 years

0

-nothingburger-

1 year ago

Kaplan continues to talk about how, under the guidelines, he is allowed to show leniency to a defendant who provides “substantial assistance to the government.”

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Kaplan 18 mo classic please

1

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

And writing a math book for kids

0

0xc26E37C84509c72b58171bEc9286fa83c73f5366-1719543164274

1 year ago

"The human brain is truly bad at understanding big numbers" - Caroline Ellison (who has a degree in mathmatics) LOL

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

She said "lenient sentence"..

0

mona.lisa

1 year ago

Assistant US Attorney Danielle Sassoon is addressing the court now. She talks about Ellison deserving “leniency” right off the bat.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's a charade. They promised her they'd do it if she helped them make xla career defining case

3

mona.lisa

1 year ago

Assistant US Attorney Danielle Sassoon is addressing the court now. She talks about Ellison deserving “leniency” right off the bat.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The judge knows she's only sorry bc she got caught

0

fdsasacc

1 year ago

Literally no new information has come out, but this market is moving dramatically?

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Judge on TV: understand these numbers....

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The human brain is truly bad at understanding big numbers,” she said while sniffling.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The human brain is truly bad at understanding big numbers,” she said while sniffling.

2

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bet against me and you'll get there

0

MeNoDatNutReelMuni

1 year ago

I wish i could help steal billions and get no jail time

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Judge considering that she has to go through life looking like Caroline Ellison

6

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Like this post if you're more nervous than Caroline rn

6

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It does matter what we think bc the justice system is setup to deter crime.

0

Mike2025

1 year ago

It doesn't matter what we think. All that matters is what the judge sentences her to. We're here to make money.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I've read a bunch of Kaplan's past rulings and couldn't find a case where he gave a white collar criminal 0 days in jail. His beliefs, especially in high profile cases, are that jail sentences should serve as a deterrent for others.

3

MeNoDatNutReelMuni

1 year ago

I can't see how the judge can give one person 25 years and the other 0 as a co-conspirator even though you testified. Best she can hope for is 2 years

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This ruling will set a benchmark for Nishad Singh and Gary Wang who he's scheduled to sentence next month...

2

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If No jail time wins, I'm done w poly. I have such a difficult time betting on the outcome that makes no sense to me just bc it's a high %

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If No jail time wins, I'm done w poly. I have such a difficult time betting on the outcome that makes no sense to me just bc it's a high %

5

MeNoDatNutReelMuni

1 year ago

I can't see how the judge can give one person 25 years and the other 0 as a co-conspirator even though you testified. Best she can hope for is 2 years

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Group think. Aside from what fake news tells you, can anyone explain why a tough on financial crime judge will give 0 days jail time to a girl who was the CEO of a $10b fraud co, pleaded guilty to all charges, & didn't get an immunity agreement prior?

1

0xc26E37C84509c72b58171bEc9286fa83c73f5366-1719543164274

1 year ago

Scroll down through the comments or just internet search Caroline Ellison and you will find recent articles that have attorneys saying they think she will get no prison time. At least that's why I think no prison time is so high odds.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Frank DiPascali – Sentenced to 125 years, though he passed away before serving time. Daniel Bonventre – Sentenced to 10 years in prison. Annette Bongiorno – Sentenced to 6 years in prison. JoAnn Crupi – Sentenced to 6 years in prison. Jerome O'Hara – Sentenced to 2 ½ years in prison. George Perez – Sentenced to 2 years in prison.

0

Justifax

1 year ago

cooperators in bernie madoff didn't get time. I think they will let her go to send a message to other financial folks - cooperate!

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

In the 1997 case, Judge Kaplan reduced the sentence of Solomon Sprei due to the potential impact on his children and his significant community contributions, despite the large-scale fraud involved. This suggests that Judge Kaplan may consider personal and mitigating factors in Ellison's case, especially given her cooperation with prosecutors and early acceptance of responsibility. However, he is also conscious of the severity of financial crimes, as seen in his insistence that Sprei still serve prison time. For Ellison, while her cooperation is a strong mitigating factor that will likely lead to a more lenient sentence, Judge Kaplan is likely to balance this against the magnitude of the fraud she was involved in. A sentence reduction is probable, but complete avoidance of prison time seems unlikely given Kaplan’s history of recognizing the need for penalties in significant financial fraud cases.

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Caroline Ellison willl face no jail time for role in FTX collapse -- https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/24/caroline-ellison-could-face-no-jail-time-for-role-in-ftx-collapse.html?taid=66f28e9ca1c2d10001861709&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter%7Cmain

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Check this out...article about how the Judge view's sentencing. "Judge Kaplan said the fraud was too great to allow Mr. Sprei to walk out of court a free man, but he said, ''the period of incarceration ought to be related to the ages of the children, whose interests play such an important role in my thinking.'' https://www.nytimes.com/1997/09/14/nyregion/judge-has-his-own-take-on-sentencing-formulas.html

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Caroline Ellison willl face no jail time for role in FTX collapse -- https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/24/caroline-ellison-could-face-no-jail-time-for-role-in-ftx-collapse.html?taid=66f28e9ca1c2d10001861709&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter%7Cmain

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

She's heading to a sentencing where the crimes she plead guilty to amount for 110 years in the clink. If she can make that # go to 0 it will be truly incredible.

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Caroline Ellison willl face no jail time for role in FTX collapse -- https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/24/caroline-ellison-could-face-no-jail-time-for-role-in-ftx-collapse.html?taid=66f28e9ca1c2d10001861709&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter%7Cmain

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

That's not true at all.

0

Justifax

1 year ago

cooperators in bernie madoff didn't get time. I think they will let her go to send a message to other financial folks - cooperate!

Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You're conflating "sentencing" (which happens today) w when the sentencing begins, which nobody cares about

1

Platinum

1 year ago

Most of you YES voter do not realize that the biggest problem here is not her not serving jail time but that the sentence are postponed into 2025. This is the actual reason why people are buying NO, your argrument are not heard because its a different reason altogether

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why did Ryan Salame of FTX get 7.5 yrs of prison?

1

abdendriel

1 year ago

Kaplan still has to sentence Gary Wang and Nishad Singh who also cooperated. Ellison’s sentence is going to be a precedent for the other two. All 3 remaining accomplices are likely to get varying jail terms depending on their culpability.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

That's what my day job is for

0

dontworryicarry

1 year ago

bro you need to learn how to hedge risk.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Her greatest scam just may be making a 110 year jail sentence disappear

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Same judge papi

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Fuckin' Carl

0

abdendriel

1 year ago

“Her sentence will likely be about two-years in the slammer for her role in the failed crypto exchange FTX, says Carl Volz, a Chicago-based securities attorney who has defended crypto clients.“

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Read it: https://fm.cnbc.com/applications/cnbc.com/resources/editorialfiles/2022/12/21/1671676065196-Caroline_Ellison_Plea_Agreement.pdf

0

abdendriel

1 year ago

From the actual plea deal: “It is understood that the sentence to be imposed upon the defendant is within the sole discretion of the Court, This Office cannot, and does not, make any promise of representation as to what sentence the defendant will receive, and will not recommend any specific sentence to the Court.” The deal was if she pleaded guilty to 7 felonies, they wouldn’t charge her for more, except tax fraud.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So what's your argument that she won't get any prison time? You made a pretty strong case for her to gl

0

abdendriel

1 year ago

Exactly. The plea deal itself explicitly states that they can’t promise any sentence or even recommendation of sentence. They only promised not to charge her for the 7 she admitted to. And how can she ask for time served if she was never in custody?

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@TJK papi, she already plead guilty to everything: 2 counts of wire fraud, 2 counts of conspiracy to commit wire fraud, conspiracy to commit commodities fraud, conspiracy to commit securities fraud, & conspiracy to commit money laundering = ~110 years in jail. We're betting on how much of this, if any, the judge sentences her to

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.nytimes.com/1997/09/14/nyregion/judge-has-his-own-take-on-sentencing-formulas.html

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Imagine the headline: CEO of FTX Gets No Prison Time

3

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Same judge papi

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.nytimes.com/1997/09/14/nyregion/judge-has-his-own-take-on-sentencing-formulas.html

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Article is about Judge Kaplan. It cites a case where there were compelling reasons for the defendant to not get any jail time. Kaplan said the crime was too severe and jail time must be served - 18 months.

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.nytimes.com/1997/09/14/nyregion/judge-has-his-own-take-on-sentencing-formulas.html

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.nytimes.com/1997/09/14/nyregion/judge-has-his-own-take-on-sentencing-formulas.html

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Fick

0

iLoseUSDC

1 year ago

Does "transition" count as trans?

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's still going??

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

That sounds like something he would say

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is he gonna say troon?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is he gonna say troon?

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

But he didn't say it yet

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's weird looking at the shit so low and feeling like you don't know something everyone else does

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's weird looking at the shit so low and feeling like you don't know something everyone else does

0

n/a

1 year ago

Did he say trans or no?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Not yet. I got a grip of em

0

skenez

1 year ago

Trans at 27 cents?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Take it

0

skenez

1 year ago

Trans at 27 cents?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He could bust it out 3x any second

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Comrade Kamala no takers are insane

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Comrade Kamala no takers are insane

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is it almost over?

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Trans

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Comrade Kamala spam me

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Go back to 4chan nerd

3

Milktoast

1 year ago

all the NGOs flooding western countries with browns are jevvish-funded but they're our greatest allies

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

For someone who has never been to one rally, 'm way too familiar w his pregame soundtrack. Enter Sandman coming up

2

Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Caroline ruined my life and help SBF steal 300k from me. She deserves at least 1 day in prison

1

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Who here knows the difference between jail sentences and actual time served in the US justice system?

0

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bro, she made millions of dollars working for SBF. The only reason she's sorry is bc she got caught. They were ready to take over the universe

1

abdendriel

1 year ago

Poor girl. Teacher’s pet is going to get a wake-up call. University admissions tactics like volunteering and writing novellas aren’t going to excuse you from a felony sentence in the grown-up judicial system.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

She was involved in the theft of over $1bb and made millions herself. You steal over $1000 in the USA it's called Grand Theft and you go to jail for 16mo to 3 years.

1

WindWalk2

1 year ago

Prosecution asked for 33 months in this case and presentencing report was likely not far off. Presentencing report for Caroline asking for 0 time. Also, with this guy, he did this fraud full time and continued even after the FBI interviewed him for an entire year.. clearly 0 remorse.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Who here knows what the prison sentence in the USA is for using a stolen credit card for over $1000?

1

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It will be around 2 years

0

Barfly

1 year ago

Well, I'm all in. Let's hope she gets 24 months.

Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Of course they're asking for no prison time. How else do you think the prosecutors got her to talk?

0

jayminho

1 year ago

A lot of people claiming “ohh the prosecutors asked for leniency” lol. Pal. That’s like bargaining a car.. it’s advertised for 10k, you bring down to 8k , seller will get pissed , will not do it, however you can , maybe, deal 9k.. that’s it. Her defense team asking leniency it’s to bring down and try negotiate a 60 months sentence to a 48 months.. that’s it. That’s all. Standard move.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Doesn't 53 No = 47 Yes?

3

HaterzLoserz

1 year ago

Lying about stuff like this, after shit talking for days + then panic selling is pathetic. I filled zero orders above 50cent. Loserz

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Prime Minister Netanyahu: We are not taking our foot off the gas

2

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Goddammit

1

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Sold 90% of my NO shares... shit is going down... Israel just said Litani river is their northern border, and that river is 80 miles inside Lebanon...

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israel making special announcement in a few mins. maybe about this

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

RIP, most likely dead, tons of airstrikes near his hideout

Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Correcto. The judge will not want to set a precedent here for corporate criminals who steal millions and can not be held accountable by snitching on their co-conspirators.

0

NIGGA

1 year ago

You don’t testify without some guarantee that you’re going to get what you ask for, she must be sentenced for a short while just to prove that one cannot do these illegal things without any consequences

NFL Sunday

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's driving me nuts

1

babendums

1 year ago

whats going on with falcons portfolio numbers?

NFL Sunday

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Anyone else see the Falcons value on their positions page is $0?

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

To their credit, they invaded Gaza 72 hours after the 10/7 attack.

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

no dont, they're definitely invading next week... dont miss out by selling right before

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

By 10/7 more likely

0

Car

1 year ago

im sure by Oct 31 they will find out if he is dead or not.

NFL Sunday

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Me too. At least one of us will have salvation today

0

DonaldEnjoyer

1 year ago

i need this win so bad

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If the smaller towns are AFD, and the smaller towns consist of the most uncounted votes, isn't it a bit early to call it?

0

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Smaller areas have more uncounted votes than the larger ones

0

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Afd hanging on

0

Ferdinand19

1 year ago

https://wahlergebnisse.brandenburg.de/12/500/20240922/landtagswahl_land/ergebnisse.html

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Stop the steal!!

0

Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This reminds me of the 2016 USA election when everyone was afraid to say they voted for Trump when he was against Hillary

1

BuckMySalls

1 year ago

this isnt like burger elections, German exit polls are very accurate

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I will sell all my shares if this market is still at 92% by 3am Israel time.

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

oh fuck, someone buy my NO shares please, i want out!!!

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What else needs to happen before they pull the trigger as a precaution? https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/2024-09-22/ty-article/.premium/u-s-officials-prepping-for-worst-amid-fear-of-all-out-war-between-israel-and-hezbollah/00000192-191c-dc8b-a7b6-5f7f9ce00000

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/2024-09-22/ty-article/.premium/u-s-officials-prepping-for-worst-amid-fear-of-all-out-war-between-israel-and-hezbollah/00000192-191c-dc8b-a7b6-5f7f9ce00000

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What did Netanyahu mean by, "We have only just begun, we are going to change the Middle East"?

2

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is very cool. But I feel like the stat of him never saying crypto once except for 75 times at the BTC conference isn't right

0

Sardinianshepherd

1 year ago

analysis of how many time this words hit in the past: https://ariverwhale.substack.com/p/what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Days are like weeks in this market. If anyone culd predict what Israel is gonna do with 90% certainty, they'd be working for the CIA

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

time decay ❤️

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

+ more tanks and reservists brought to the border + US embassy in Beirut telling all Americans to GTFO for the first time in a long long time indicating they know something is about to go down

0

MisTKy

1 year ago

And from Aljazeera headlines (mind that this news outlet is pro Hezbollah):More people leaving southern Lebanon as conflict with Israel intensifies/Hospitals in northern Israel instructed to shift to war footing

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Thanks chatgpt

0

n/a

1 year ago

If Israel launches a ground invasion of Lebanon, it would likely lead to an immediate escalation with Hezbollah, causing heavy military clashes and casualties. Iran could increase its support for Hezbollah, while the conflict might spill over into neighboring countries like Syria. International condemnation would likely be swift, with calls for a ceasefire and potential sanctions on Israel. Lebanon, already in crisis, would face a severe humanitarian disaster with civilian displacement and damage to infrastructure. The conflict could lead to prolonged regional instability, similar to the 2006 war, making a peaceful resolution more difficult.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What made you buy back in?

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

sold 90% of my NO, they are escalating way too much, this is very scary

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/usembassybeirut/status/1837607083920818502

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The war has already begun

1

XiJinPing

1 year ago

these people are playing a very dangerous game of chicken, and no one is backing down... jesus christ, there's actually going to be a war

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Sounds like they're trying to secure the north and return the 100k displaced back to their homes before 10/7

3

BiggestBidenFan

1 year ago

🇮🇱🇱🇧⚡️Israeli Channel 13, citing the IDF, reports that the army is ready for a full-scale war in Lebanon to ensure the security of the northern territories.

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He really needs to keep doing these rallys forever

3

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

1 Mars, 0 Crypto

1

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Where's my marky mark backdoor cover

0

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Fucker

0

thakattack19

1 year ago

yes he did, and he skipped over the black nazi

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Did he give shout outs to the local politicians yet?

0

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Pretty much every way you can say comrade and Kamala without saying them together....about 20x

0

WhiteKing69

1 year ago

Wait i cant listen in, he's saying comrade Harris but not comrade kamala?

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He's trolling the Comrade Kamala ppl at this point

3

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Where my marky mark bros

0

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Maga spam?

0

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Marky mark robinson

1

Will there be another debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

And we know trump never lies

0

Arbiter-of-Truth

1 year ago

he said at rally he will not do another debate

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Border rant coming

1

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He's not done yet

1

thakattack19

1 year ago

lmaoo

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Fox news

0

TooDumbToWin

1 year ago

Does anyone have a link please?

Will there be another debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He has nothing to lose at this point

0

Mountainman

1 year ago

Hahaha. Your bet is over. I know you try to manipulate people on here but I don't think the Donald cares much about you calling him a pussy. Dump your bags while you still can.

Caroline Ellison prison time?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

She helped SBF steal billions and made millions herself doing it. If she gets no jail time for rolling on SBF, there is no justice served. This would encourage everyone to do illegal shit w/out fear as long as they cooperate w law enforcement

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bc they need to tale control of the area where the rockets are launched from, which will allow the 60k displaced Israeli residents to return to their homes

0

Car

1 year ago

They will just keep sending rockets from far away to easily kill hezbollah terrorists and destruct their buildings. Why risk sending personell there?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

60K Israeli residents in the north have been displaced from their homes for 11 mo bc of hezbollah rockets. Israel wants them back in their homes bc if they can't live there, the land might as well belong to Lebanon.

0

Car

1 year ago

Hezbollah commander Ibrahim Aqil targeted in rocket attack. Their military operations are only to destory the terrorists, not to establish control over any portion of Lebanon. Idk why yall think Israel wants some parts of that desert

What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Superfecta Market Suggestions: Terrific, Beautiful, Wonderful, Fantastic, Incredible, Spectacular, Horrible, Disgusting, Terrible

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Or buy the idea that Israel won't do something to their enemy for the 3rd time this week that nobody expected

1

kekkone

1 year ago

Sure, go ahead and buy the rocket impact tweets.

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The bump from her special w Oprah last night hasn't hit the polls yet. Standfast.

0

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Welcome to Pm

0

BrandonThought

1 year ago

this is kind of bullshit - i bet on this specifically because of the rules and the way they are. You can't just choose to have your own interpretation of how the market is supposed to work and dispute that.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Search for a breaking news story and scroll down to see the accounts that post it long before everyone else

0

andrepibe

1 year ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1836881783855497464 A rare emergency security meeting is set to take place in the israeli government within the next few minutes.

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Oprah wants to suck off Kamala so badly

1

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Sous chef making the word salad

2

ProteinProsecco

1 year ago

this is just an hour of oprah talking to her guests. why is kamala even here.

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Takes me 30 mins to dig through the bowels of YouTube to find a shite Livestream of a trump rally....type in "Opr" in YouTube...50 4K HD Livestream options for this program appear

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Who wants to tell him?

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

Willing to buy a huge quantity of no at 80c, msg me on discord if interested (mrkangaroo6353)

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I know....I meant that if they cross, the odds of them not establishing control are less than 1%.

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

this market is for "invasion to establish control"... they created a separate new market for "enter".

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

No markets are dominating. We forgot that they don't want to let kamala talk

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Love sentdefenders X acct. This guy is always half a day ahead of the MSM

2

andrepibe

1 year ago

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1836881783855497464 A rare emergency security meeting is set to take place in the israeli government within the next few minutes.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If Israel crosses into Lebanon, it won't even matter what the wording is. The only reason why they'd invade Lebanon is to occupy land used as a rocket launch point by Hezbollah and convert it into a buffer zone

2

Amok

1 year ago

The wording of this market is a disaster. "Invade" means entering the territory, which would include ground incursions to kill terrorists. "Intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" on the other hand is open to interpretation. To establish an occupational force? To establish a buffer zone? Or to temporarily clean out terror cells without any intent to establish long term control? (the latter seems more likely). Clarification needed

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@MrKangaroo your profit/loss to volume traded is -4%.....mine is -1%....if you traded as much as me, you'd be down over $40k by now big guy.

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

They could definitely attack Hezbollah further but "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" is absolutely insane, really high yield for a bond maturing in 11 days

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

60,000+ ppl in northern Israel have been displaced from their homes for the past 11 MO bc Hezbollah keeps firing rockets at them. Israel needs to neutralize the threat so these ppl can go back to their homes/lives

0

kingsirpredictionconnoisseur

1 year ago

What would they even gain from invading. Just makes them more vulnerable to outside attacks

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I always delete my comments.

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

They could definitely attack Hezbollah further but "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" is absolutely insane, really high yield for a bond maturing in 11 days

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Speed is the essence of war. Take advantage of the enemy's unpreparedness. - Sun Tzu The Art of War

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You don't take out your enemies communications systems and send thousands of foot soldiers and tanks to the border unless you're ready for war.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You don't take out your enemies communications systems and send thousands of foot soldiers and tanks to the border unless you're ready for war.

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

They could definitely attack Hezbollah further but "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" is absolutely insane, really high yield for a bond maturing in 11 days

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1836446914256024029 Israel pulling 98th battalion from Gaza, moving them to the northern border. They don't roll out the no limit tank unless they're making moves

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

the pagers were forced to trigger early bc it was discovered. they didnt plan on doing it this early. there's fear panic articles like this everytime, whether iran or ukraine

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/WeTheCharlie/status/1836633301785940415 this one too

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

the pagers were forced to trigger early bc it was discovered. they didnt plan on doing it this early. there's fear panic articles like this everytime, whether iran or ukraine

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Check out this X account. Dude breaks all of the middle east news half a day early. He says they're making major moves in the northhttps://x.com/MOSSADil

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

the pagers were forced to trigger early bc it was discovered. they didnt plan on doing it this early. there's fear panic articles like this everytime, whether iran or ukraine

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/pentagon-worries-israel-is-close-to-launching-ground-war-in-lebanon-33683bf4

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

i feel bad seeing your portfolio drop everytime i check it. you should honestly sell while you can

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.timesofisrael.com/while-still-in-gaza-israel-has-no-good-options-in-lebanon-but-it-may-invade-anyway/

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

You might want to trim down your position if that's the basis of your argument, i'd suggest doing a little research into the previous occupation of Southern Lebanon as well as the real motives of the current Israeli administration

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You're def right. I need to scale it back

1

XiJinPing

1 year ago

i feel bad seeing your portfolio drop everytime i check it. you should honestly sell while you can

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israel needs to go in there to stop Hezbollah from firing rockets bc 60k ppl living in northern Israel have been displaced for the last 8 months bc of hezbollah rocket fire.

0

MrKangaroo

1 year ago

They could definitely attack Hezbollah further but "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" is absolutely insane, really high yield for a bond maturing in 11 days

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This has to be the Day 3 surprise for Hezbollah

0

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Many a skilled golfer have walked these fairways

0

n/a

1 year ago

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I think golfer is kosher. Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

0

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Make America black jobs again?

4

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Compound words will count as long as "golf" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a game played on a large open-air course, in which a small hard ball is struck with a club into a series of small holes in the ground, the object being to use the fewest possible strokes to complete the course.

0

gkg

1 year ago

golfer?

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israel ftw

1

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israel coming

2

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israel coming in from non sequitur

0

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

When does the border oral diarrhea come?

1

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Golf me

2

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Win or lose, he should never stop doing these rallys

0

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

And he launched his crypto trading platform yesterday so he's def going to tout it

1

BibiNetanCocksucker

1 year ago

for everyone wondering why hes gonna crypto/bitcoin my nigga paid for his bar tab using bitcoin.... this is it boyshttps://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-new-york-rally/will-donald-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-during-his-uniondale-rally?tid=1726696132927

What will Trump say during New York rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israel just used hezbollahs weapons against them in an unprecedented precision attack that spared the lives of innocent's. Hezbollah has fired rockets at Israel indiscriminately and killed tons of innocent civilians

0

TheDiddler

1 year ago

Idk but he's pro Israel so I don't think he will bring them up after the pager attack allegations

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

We don't support the Washington Post streaming channel here, sir.

0

efren1983

1 year ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-zWD4ZgjbL0

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Wait, I thought we were betting on any trump family member to mention the words

0

BidenSucks

1 year ago

The clarity here about "trump says" doesnt define which Trump family member says it

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

But he didn't say comrade kamala

3

eb..

1 year ago

if anyone has 750, propose comrade kamala. big gap and opportunity there. it's the same as when he only says elon. it also counts. so, for comrade kamala or kamala comrade, both counts. the adjective is still being applied to the name kamala.

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is the kid who interviewed him 11 years old?

7

thakattack19

1 year ago

that was dumb af

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So weird to hear him say Bitcoin after 90 speeches

0

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He'll go off on Bitcoin once he starts talking about the reserve. He'll say it 15x

0

thakattack19

1 year ago

how about btc?

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

DJT about to drop

1

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This interviewer is so giddy and weak

1

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The interviewer sounds like he has djts d in his mouth

2

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The host is fishing for comrada Kamala now

0

R13

1 year ago

All the last editions secret service , ak47, golf etc got done so quickly definitely insider trading

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol ak

1

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is this working for anyone?

0

What will Trump say during X space?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

That's what he calls the ABC guy who shits on him all the time

0

Platinum

1 year ago

Slopadopoulos? wtf is this shit. If its a yes then it really is some insider shit

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Crypto cockteaser.

1

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

🆒

0

BasicStock

1 year ago

Dumped my China shares for great profit PEACE

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What the fuck is this guy's problem w not saying crypto.

0

0x480D013bf6665fb174FB7Ec6ea677cFC8140f219-1724707979154

1 year ago

Crypto!

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Motherfucker

0

BrandonThought

1 year ago

ok now fake news is 3

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I bought as much as I could for .4

0

regard

1 year ago

fr whys it already under review

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So someone paid $750 to say Fake News hit 3x?

0

thakattack19

1 year ago

you have to pay 750 to submit for resolution. I believe you lose the 750 if it 's found false.

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Fake News only was said 2x. Can anyone just click Resolve? Will this outcome change if nobody Disputes it?

1

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why did fake news resolve for 2x???

0

BrandonThought

1 year ago

Guys he only said fake news twice

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This 🥷 better say Bitcoin or I'm gonna lose my 💩.

2

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Wtf fake news just 2x back to back

0

BlitzDaTweetGod

1 year ago

fvck

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He's so proud of the Comrade Kamala nickname.

2

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I will get there the night before

0

thakattack19

1 year ago

some of these clowns show up the morning of to get front row seats

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He's a different person today vs. xanny barred out version yesterday

2

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If he doesn't say Bitcoin, I'm going to the next rally and screaming Bitcoin until he says it

6

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Would be the most based thing ever if Trump took the stage to "Enter Sandman"

2

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Adolf used to arrive late to rallies, deliberately keeping his audience waiting to heighten the sense of expectation. Many of his speeches began with a series of questions or challenges, delivered quietly, and calmly

0

thakattack19

1 year ago

wow Kamala wasn't kidding, it's already past 10pm meaning he should be coming out any second, and I just saw a group of 5 MAGAts get up and leave 🤣

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

PBS news hour on YouTube is great

3

thakattack19

1 year ago

RSBN is so fucking annoying. sponsor every 3 minutes about stupid shit like "free trump book" "ivermectin emergency supply" these magas are so gullible

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Nothing makes me feel better than positions being down 20% before the guy even gets on stage

5

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It just needs to hit once

1

PlsPlsPls

1 year ago

Enjoy my donation for crypto/Bitcoin Y, please.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Here we go

0

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Does this mean he'll say crypto today?

1

Curlyarchitect2024

1 year ago

Hey did you hear the one about how the MAGA freaks believe we should abolish the FBI and CIA....getthis...because they believe the FBI/CIA is BEHIND all the school shootings? Yep. They believe the CIA is killing our school children in an elaborate plot to have the "government" attempt a strong arm maneuver ultimately to try to "take away all our guns". Talk about nutso.

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I'm saying it's easy money

0

NotJustKen

1 year ago

Not saying it's easy money. But the odds are good.

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Can we get odds on Taylor Swift and Border 30+ times?

2

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/politics/nevada-welcomes-bitcoin-and-crypto-day-two-of-the-america-loves-crypto-tour

1

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Today is the day for the crypto team

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Today is the day for the crypto team

5

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bc we bet that the mics would not be muted. And Kamala used the live mic to interrupt Trump who replied, "Excuse me, I'm talking".

2

sharks

1 year ago

Why is anyone on No here lmao

NFL Thursday

DeucePapi

1 year ago

God they're terrible.

0

Conk45

1 year ago

uhhh

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I'm done w this shit

1

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Where's the sauce son

0

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He sounds barred out rn

0

Boggy

1 year ago

he just tweeted about launching a coin 1h ago and yall fr don't think he's gonna mention it?

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Wish Taylor Swift was an option to bet on here

0

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I can't lose. Already up in the cup o noodles game

1

BibiNetanCocksucker

1 year ago

SAVE ME DONALD TRUMP!!!!

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Rigged debate, crooked moderators, and a shot at ABC like Always Be Communist

0

thakattack19

1 year ago

should be "rigged moderators" to hit both on here!

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I can already hear him saying "crooked moderators"

1

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Facts, I love facts, fact checking, alternative facts by fake news

0

JackBauerPowerHour

1 year ago

Unless he does the old “they’re calling it a fact check, well I never heard of a fact check that”… etc etc

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Shout out to @0x6d4185c8205c517b41be2eafc6a29627dedc0684 biggest holder of Crypto today and literally the only market he's ever traded. I like these vibes

2

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Easiest bet to get rekt on

1

Dokwhart

1 year ago

Trump saying "Crypto" has to be the easiest bet after he tweeted his new project

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Today is the day crypto bros

5

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If this doesn't get flipped I will never bet a market under 80 cents again

2

xyz12Three

1 year ago

from the start of this bet, I was going for some kind of upset! I'm not selling out for $1, all or nothing, baby!

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

BTC has become the roulette wheel number that finally hits when you walk away from the table

0

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The best way to look at this is by substituting a variable -- let's use blindfold for muted mic. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the candidates are blindfolded specifically while the other candidate is speaking. So if at any point during the debate, the candidates are not blindfolded specifically while the other candidate is speaking, the market must resolve to "No" bc the absence of the blindfold while the other candidate is speaking is exactly what disqualifies the market from satisfying the criteria required for it resolve "Yes".

3

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If at any point during the debate the microphones unmuted while the other candidate was speaking, the market must resolve to "No" as the criteria for it resolving to Yes

0

thinkingfast

1 year ago

X not occuring once during Y does not imply that X only occuring specifically during Y is false

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I'm gonna be okay w th 313 shares I bought for 8cents. I worry about you hanging around here without even placing a bet. Don't you have better things to do w yourself?

0

caiou

1 year ago

cope

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Im a degen and am not trying to be taken seriously

0

Drumpf

1 year ago

but you bet on it? lol

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Does anyone from Polymarket speak about why a market like this even exists on a platform that wants its prediction markets to be respected?

1

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the microphones of the candidates are muted specifically while the other candidate is speaking during the ABC-hosted presidential debate, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."".....there is no mention of the policy guiding the resolution of this market and its an embarrassment that the Dispute system produced Additional Context referencing debate rules - which were still being negotiated up until the start of the debate. This needs to be looked at immediately

7

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Rekt

1

0xE42c9d2ef

1 year ago

They are busy with the article, good night: https://www.nielsen.com/news-center/2024/over-67-million-viewers-tune-in-for-abc-news-harris-trump-debate/

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I didn't mean to say 57.5mm....I meant to say over 65m. -Johnny Nielsen

1

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

57,500,000×1.04=59,800,000

0

YIMBYcaucus🏡

1 year ago

@slewmoney if it goes up by 4 it will be 61.5M

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is a bad data sourcr

0

0x5526E12bA0A72909A77A030aCe314C28922a5F5c-1726003670005

1 year ago

Hedge your bets now (65-70m, 70-75m, 75m+): https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/trump-harris-debate-draws-big-tv-audience-of-65-million-viewers/

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bro you have everything

0

Eyebrows

1 year ago

This is it. Now, we just wait for death

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It went up by 7% last time from the initial estimate. If it goes up by 4% it will be under 60mm

1

BlitzschnellCapitalAdvisorsLLP

1 year ago

57.5 easy money

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

PREVIOUSLY: The early results are in, and CNN appeared to be the biggest winner from Thursday’s train wreck of a presidential debate. According to the news cabler’s report of Nielsen Fast National data, a combined 47.9 million total viewers watched the CNN Presidential Debate on TV across all networks, including its competitors ---- The all in total of the Biden Trump Debate was 51.3mm. This is gonna be a close one. Prob 61mm

0

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I have no idea. If 460,000 network = 3.3m

0

NoNoiseKnifeOnly

1 year ago

a comparison is the final figures added 3.3m viewers from the initial Live+Same Day data for the BidenvTrump debate. betting on 55-65 seems like free money

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How many ppl watched on: Telemundo, Univision, Fox Business, Headline News, & BET?

0

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How many people will watch it on: BET, Telemundo, Fox Business, and Bloomberg? Last debate 250k ppl watched it on Fox Business.

0

NoNoiseKnifeOnly

1 year ago

a comparison is the final figures added 3.3m viewers from the initial Live+Same Day data for the BidenvTrump debate. betting on 55-65 seems like free money

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

57.5m here too

3

9flare

1 year ago

https://variety.com/2024/tv/news/harris-trump-debate-ratings-viewers-1236141034/

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.indiewire.com/news/breaking-news/presidential-debate-ratings-viewers-trump-harris-1235045690/

1

MrNFT

1 year ago

The debate was watched by an estimated 57.7 million viewers across eight networks, according to Nielsen figures released by Fox News. That is higher even than the early numbers for June’s CNN-hosted event, which drew an estimated 51.3 million viewers across 16 networks. Final figures will be available later today.

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I think these numbers are going to be offset by streaming views which aren't included. HBO Max and Disney+ both streamed the debate last night and that must've taken a nice bite out of the TV figures

2

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So basically hes predicting it could be any of them

2

MrNFT

1 year ago

https://x.com/mulvihill79/status/1833899148803981475?s=46 TLDR: 65 mil +- 10 mil. Not a record breaker but not under 50

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You guys ever seen the movie 25th Hour? This reminds me of the trader scene. https://youtu.be/YVHY9nIPo6s?feature=shared

0

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@0x6E21170C2EB2a51Caf6D24bA0A159a054A3f4d75-1724278416461 Nielsen only measures US audience viewership for the debate

0

Eyebrows

1 year ago

Negative risk literally on the board...

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Leslie Nielson

2

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Sounds about right. My guess is 65-66m

0

AppleADay

1 year ago

The current estimate just posted by ABC is 63.6m

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Thanks for sharing

0

nnimrodd

1 year ago

I wrote a polymarket guide https://nnimrodd.medium.com/polymarket-playbook-5f53a2dd8ee3

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why do they even have a dispute button?

2

🤺JustPunched

1 year ago

Yawn. Prediction market resolves a market to "vibes" again.

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Kamala interrupted Trump while he was speaking and he said, "Excuse me, I am speaking". What more do you need?

0

thinkingfast

1 year ago

Yes holders are not disputing that hot mics happened. The rules explain that if mics are "muted specifically while the other candidate is speaking, it resolves to yes. The mics were only muted specifically whenever the other candidate was speaking. It doesn't matter if it wasn't always muted, because it was only ever muted specifically when the other candidate was speaking.

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

There's really no point in taking any bets here except for those that are 90+. If you happen to win the long shot market, you will never actually win as the dispute system is broken and built to dismiss the very long shot exceptions that it's tasked to thoroughly examine

3

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The resolution is retarded. It has nothing to do w the policy. If that was the case, the market would've closed before the debate began

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The resolution is retarded. It has nothing to do w the policy. If that was the case, the market would've closed before the debate began

5

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I bought more. This is beyond clear to anyone who takes the time to properly review it

0

Chen1996

1 year ago

Then buy more lmao

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I agree. A lot of these are written by full reerees. They could even use ChatGPT to help them clearly communicate what they're trying to say

1

0x83A5D6E94e3Cec7b6ee8570F0b06B9F43a8240Ce-1720411004722

1 year ago

I dont know who writes the wordings for these, but if they want to have a clear outcome, they could have clearer wording. What is clear is that the conditions for this market to resolve to yes were not satisfied during the debate.

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I would if the dispute process was trustworthy. I am skeptical of how this actually gets resolved as I've been burned a few times doing just this

2

Chen1996

1 year ago

Then buy more lmao

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/EspeciallyInGA/status/1833707793439739967 proof of hot mics from debate

5

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You can dispute the proposed resolution

0

idkwhatimdoing

1 year ago

New to this platform and just curious, if something is unclear/ambiguous is it possible to get our money back and no resolution to happen? or will it always resolve to something?

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol "Excuse me, I'm talking now. Sound familiar"?

2

🤺JustPunched

1 year ago

her mic was 10000% unmuted there lol

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How did Kamala just interrupt him at full volume?

3

What will Trump say at the debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

McDonalds 2/2 inbound

0

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I was completely wrong. @432 was right. This is all about which candidate can pump more from 9pm to 1am tomorrow night (Sept 11). This has nothing to do w tonight.

0

Remontada

1 year ago

I am not trolling! And why can't there be a 20% chance? There's going to be huge volatility in all the election markets over the next couple of days.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"The relevant data points will be those each minute during 9 PM ET to 1 AM ET (i.e. 9:00, 9:01 up to 12:59 AM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."". Why are they examining 240 data points from 9pm-1am, using the 6hr chart w decimals on? Can't they just open the main market page and see which candidate is ahead?

0

Justifax

1 year ago

This is some serious wild shit right here .. 22c and trump is at +7 in potus. wtf

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why is Disney+ streaming the debate?

0

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I see you. It's very cheap to be wrong

1

Eyebrows

1 year ago

Negative risk literally on the board...

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

👆 most overlooked comment

0

432

1 year ago

re read the rules.You will get rekkt like majority who doesn't understand the rules

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You're clearly trolling. There is not a 20% chance that Kamala is going to close a 6 point lead overnight. The main market would be fluctuating all over the place if there was a 20% chance Kamala would be ahead of Trump tomorrow

0

Remontada

1 year ago

You're schizo posting. CUTNPASTE may lose, but atleast he understands the rules.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Ok bubb. Here's what it looks like. https://imgur.com/a/z6cwHWm

1

Qualitative

1 year ago

I can see why you are down 8.5k, glad I'm on the opposite side for this one

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other during this period. Ie. The market is measuring which candidate has the bigger increase during the period bw 9pm-1am. This is why they put the 6 hour window and decimal inclusion

0

Remontada

1 year ago

Trump!

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is self referential nonsense. If it's currently 46%K vs 52%T, and at 1am it's 46.1%K vs 52%T, who wins?

0

Remontada

1 year ago

Take it from Polymarket's twitter https://twitter.com/Polymarket/status/1833567509829575076

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If it's currently 46%K vs 52%T, and at 1am it's 46.1%K vs 52%T, who wins??

0

Remontada

1 year ago

"The relevant data points will be those each minute during 9 PM ET to 1 AM ET (i.e. 9:00, 9:01 up to 12:59 AM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."" There is no mention of a starting line. The simple interpretation of this market is that it is whoever is the favourite on each minute candlestick. Whoever has the most candlesticks as favourite wins. TLDR, Trump has to drop (Kamala has to gain) 6 points.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

But what does this actually mean. Please decipher this codex in a conscise, 1 sentence answer

0

Remontada

1 year ago

"The relevant data points will be those each minute during 9 PM ET to 1 AM ET (i.e. 9:00, 9:01 up to 12:59 AM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."" There is no mention of a starting line. The simple interpretation of this market is that it is whoever is the favourite on each minute candlestick. Whoever has the most candlesticks as favourite wins. TLDR, Trump has to drop (Kamala has to gain) 6 points.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Drama because this is worded so poorly and it seems like Kamala will lose unless Trump drops 3pts and she gains 4, making it 49%T to 51%K

0

Shayku

1 year ago

What drama do you expect? There's not enough money on it right now to warrant rocking the main market.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

No, man. Right now it's T52% to K46%. If you think whichever is greater is the winner, you should sell

0

PokerBrat

1 year ago

It’s just who is ahead man

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It looks like they tracking points gained from 9pm-1am and the starting line is the same for both

0

Qualitative

1 year ago

No, it's who will be ahead for a 4 hour window. Even if Kamala gains 5 points post debate if her odds are still lower than trumps she loses.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So if Trump stays the same and Kamala goes up by .01%, Kamala wins this market

0

432

1 year ago

they just need to pump more than trump will pump.they don't need to overcome trump. . a raise of harris for 0.5% is more than a raise of trump of 0.4%.the current 7% diffrence doesn't count .read the rules

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So this market actually means, which candidate's percentage chance of winning will increase more day over day by tomorrow?

0

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Both were before viewers could stream the debates, which isn't part of the Nielsen 2+ persons stat and accounts for 37% of views

2

Eyebrows

1 year ago

Only 2 debates in history have gone over 75: Trump / Hillary first debate when Trump was fresh and exciting and new, and Reagan vs. Carter.

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Don't forget: We live in a 🤡 🌎 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/three-five-americans-are-likely-watch-biden-trump-debate

0

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@pinochetsairplane Biden/Trump 2024 debate had 53mm viewers. The new standard is fewer TV viewers as Nielsen calculated there were an additional 30mm viewers on YouTube & other streaming services that weren't included in this number. For 1.5 cents a share, this seems like a reasonable risk

0

Fred19999

1 year ago

No one is going to want to watch this. They have better things to do with their time

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

30m people watched Biden/Trump 2024 on YouTube, which isn't included. Times have changed https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/06/28/over-51-million-watched-trump-biden-debate-on-tv-way-down-from-2020/

0

negativedrip

1 year ago

just for reference: the first biden vs trump debate back in 2020 (so during full blown covid) was 73m

Will Tyreek Hill sue the cops?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

0% chance.

0

SaulGoodmanEsq

1 year ago

Of course he'll file a civil rights lawsuit for the moral grandstanding, even if it's completely unfounded

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

And the most recent debate bw Biden & Trump in 2024?

0

negativedrip

1 year ago

just for reference: the first biden vs trump debate back in 2020 (so during full blown covid) was 73m

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He's like 6'4 and she's 5 nothing.

0

sosuke

1 year ago

MSNBC's Jen Psaki has suggested that Harris should make an effort to shake Trump's hand, emphasizing the importance of appearing civil and appealing to a broad audience. Harris's team is preparing for various scenarios, including the possibility of a handshake, but the decision is likely to be made at the moment.

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@PinochetsAirplane taking everything but 75m+ was 50% odds yesterday

0

Fred19999

1 year ago

No one is going to want to watch this. They have better things to do with their time

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I just tried to re-read the market explanation 3x & ended up selling bc it doesn't look like the market title is what we're actually betting on. The writer clearly sniffed 90mg of Adderall prior to creating this disaster

0

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"This market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other during this period". Who writes this? Polymarket, can you hire someone who knows how to write in English?

2

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Probably the only reason why Kamala isn't at 10%

0

sharky🦈🦈🦈

1 year ago

Big Brain Pence is here. Watch out!

NFL Monday

DeucePapi

1 year ago

There's something you don't see everyday

1

NFL Monday

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Jets are due for a turnover

0

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

One of your ironic one-liners has to land eventually

1

Fred19999

1 year ago

No one is going to want to watch this. They have better things to do with their time

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Clean shot. I lost everything on a Kanye West album drop a few years ago when he went AWOL out of nowhere. I'll be back in the high life again

0

Whome

1 year ago

Looking at your record, I'm happy to be on the other side of this bet from you - but disappointed we both have the 49ers tonight.

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Look at Kamala's twitter and all of her marketing --- no mention of the debate whatsoever. She doesn't want ppl to watch this

2

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The Biden/trump debate just 4 months ago had 53m viewers. Where are the ~20m additional viewers coming from?

0

Justifax

1 year ago

first debate in 2020 was 73m, but i dunno. i think most people have made up their minds here. we all know trump is going to lie and kamala is going to give a bunch of memorized answers.

How many viewers will the debate get?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Ya'll are crazy. The last debate had 53mm viewers per Nielsen, the standard used in this market

0

Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

*Pop culture education not included

0

Panzwalizka

1 year ago

who is Swift?

Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

1) Travis is a Trumper so they're both staying publicly neutral 2)following has exponentially grown and it's a liability for her to do anything to alienate half of her audience

0

X9504

1 year ago

A lot has changed since 2020

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Trump signature "yank and pull handshake". No way Kamala is stepping into this trap. https://fb.watch/uu0wOurutE/?mibextid=z4kJoQ

2

Kamala positive favorability by Sunday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's even worse now

0

kekkone

1 year ago

It’s not OVER over. They still might update today’s data point. Only after we get the next one we know for sure.

US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritz

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Yeah, still have him. I bought fritz for like 7 cents to hedge

0

negativedrip

1 year ago

weren't you holding sinner like 5 minutes ago? what's the play?

Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Grandmasta

0

0xE42c9d2ef

1 year ago

Magnus getting too comfortable

US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritz

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Sinner in 4 sets

1

US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritz

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Priced in

0

Phoenix777

1 year ago

Fritz is the underdog who will surprise us all😉

US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritz

DeucePapi

1 year ago

My man Riprcp. Thanks for being here

0

diddy

1 year ago

94 Fritz, yeah makes sense

US Open Final: Sabalenka vs. Pegula

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Thank you Riprcp.

0

diddy

1 year ago

RIP Viking woman

US Open Final: Sabalenka vs. Pegula

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol you're my good luck charm. How soon until you switch to Saba?

0

diddy

1 year ago

RIP Viking woman

US Open Final: Sabalenka vs. Pegula

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Pegula can't wait for this to be over

0

US Open Final: Sabalenka vs. Pegula

DeucePapi

1 year ago

6-2 set inbound. She broke pegulas mentals

0

Scoobs

1 year ago

It’s over. Saba gonna crush this set.

US Open Final: Sabalenka vs. Pegula

DeucePapi

1 year ago

3-0 saba

0

TimeQuestion

1 year ago

Everyone needs to buy PEGULACOIN on dexscreener. You know the drill!

What will Trump say at the debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He sppke about the apartment complex in Colorado and called them Venezuelan criminals, this time he said gang in the same reference

0

L114

1 year ago

because the townhall was 30 mins

What will Trump say at the debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I can't believe he said Venezuelan gangs now and not in the Town Hall

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin rally?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I heard 1 China

0

FyouMoneyOTW

1 year ago

How many china and border so far???

US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I wouldn't be surprised if he loses this set 6-0. He looks like he can't wait to get off of the court

0

BrokenIKey

1 year ago

Indeed. Suddenly he's made 11 points less when they were just on par 5 minutes ago. :D

US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe

DeucePapi

1 year ago

There are very few professional athletes who can execute a perfect choke the way Tiafoe does

3

US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is when Foe falls apart. 4th set Fritz 6-2

2

US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I've lost so much $ on Foe in the past. Now I just use his leads as a discount to buy his opponents shares

0

US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol you sold foe and bought fritz

0

diddy

1 year ago

RIP to my Fritzers, NY is Tiafoes place

US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is when Riprcp starts sweating

0

US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Foe hasn't beat fritz in 10 years. Chill

0

diddy

1 year ago

Condolences to everyone who bought Fritz

US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe

DeucePapi

1 year ago

For chokes

0

diddy

1 year ago

RIP to my Fritzers, NY is Tiafoes place

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://seekingalpha.com/news/4147807-goldman-sees-fed-base-case-for-25bp-rate-cut-in-speeches-by-bank-leaders-waller-williams

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"you do know the results were leaked and people went to the event, and filmed it live partly. Most of your words are not said"

0

CookedAlligator

1 year ago

I see you sold your gang "yes" shares.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Watch and see for yourself.

0

CookedAlligator

1 year ago

you do know the results were leaked and people went to the event, and filmed it live partly. Most of your words are not said

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

When I had Biden we had the same discussion. And I let him talk I'm gonna let her talk because there are those who say that Biden is smarter than she is. If that's the case, we got a problem. But debating is an interesting thing, I've been in many debates. I think I probably won because of debating maybe. We had a lot of debates with the Republicans, then we had Crooked Hillary. We had a lot of different people we had to debate. And we had some great debates. You do remember the Rosie O'Donnell debate. Rosie O'Donnell! She's a real great one. Isn't she a great one? But debate is interesting because you can go in with all the strategy you want, but you have to sort it out as the debate is taking place. I've seen it. You go in there, you have a strategy, Mike Tyson made the statement, "Everybody has a plan until you get punched in the face". It's a real statement. So I could tell Sean my strategy, but things change. It depends a lot on ABC. Will they be fair or not? If they're not gonna be fair I'll be a bit different than if they are.

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Remember this,we don't have a woke military. We have some guys at the top who you couldn't convince to be woke if you were screaming at them for 5 weeks. We took out 100% of the ISIS caliphate in 4 weeks, it was supposed to take 5 years. And I got to meet the real generals and they were unbelievable. Our military is un-believe-able. You go out, you get your degree and you work hard, we're going to see a different country. We have to get elected. If we don't get elected, I don't know what's going to happen to our country. I just don't know.

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Are all trades on polymarket available in the activity tab or just the ones made on the front end?

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He says Mike Tyson, Woke, Mitt Romney, Crooked Hillary

0

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@bluesky123 I don't want to get booted in case that violates the ToS

0

OmenOfLord

1 year ago

I'm down to spill my leaks. Just don't take them for face value 100%, I wasn't there. I have 2 different sources who were I found them after the fact and verified they were there. Otherwise it's all insiders trampling everyone.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Correct

0

mango-lassi

1 year ago

I take no responsibility but sources say: Communism Y Afghanistan Y Mail-in N Gang N Crypto N Bitcoin N

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why did you buy No for McDonalds, Israel, and Hamas?

0

OmenOfLord

1 year ago

I maxed out my account. I quite literally couldn't put any more down. Sorry about your losses. I spent over an hour finding sources, and still others had sources inside from the get go.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Everyone has a plan: until they get punched in the face” – Mike Tyson

0

OmenOfLord

1 year ago

I'm down to spill my leaks. Just don't take them for face value 100%, I wasn't there. I have 2 different sources who were I found them after the fact and verified they were there. Otherwise it's all insiders trampling everyone.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I have the video of the QA

1

OmenOfLord

1 year ago

I'm down to spill my leaks. Just don't take them for face value 100%, I wasn't there. I have 2 different sources who were I found them after the fact and verified they were there. Otherwise it's all insiders trampling everyone.

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What's the deal w the QA part of the show airing tomorrow?

1

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I wish I had a ringer in the audience

0

jl3128776

1 year ago

Truly appalling that McDonald’s hit because an audience member shouted it at Hannity

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

McDonald's son!

1

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Hamas ftw

1

US Open Winner (M)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Pretty much!

0

diddy

1 year ago

You’re cooked brah

US Open: Sinner vs. Paul

DeucePapi

1 year ago

2nd set, Tommy Gunners 6-4

0

US Open: Sinner vs. Paul

DeucePapi

1 year ago

2nd set Paul. Crowd is going bananas for Paul. They'll carry him through the match

0

CookedAlligator

1 year ago

didnt happen

US Open Winner (M)

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Crowd loves Tommy Guns

0

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I read that too. Be careful with the 91 markets bro. You'll end up -$8k like me before you know what hit u

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Trump on TruthSocial: "Rules will be exact same as last debate"

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Baby is nonbinary

0

What will Trump say during Arizona speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Feels like Trump looked at this market

1

What will Trump say during Arizona speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Tim Walz bathroom laws

1

minji

1 year ago

Why did he say tampon lmao

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Dude lost $50k on Ukraine and ceasefire

0

DJD22

1 year ago

anon1565 def an insider

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

We are def over 100 by now. https://x.com/UR_Ninja/status/1826831603923845419

0

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/ACatWithNews/status/1826832417232949372?

1

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/ChaudharyParvez/status/1826832818649137333

1

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Who is counting all of the arrests made today? https://x.com/ChicagoMWeather/status/1826830181069152738

1

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1826826331369136210

1

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

#BREAKING: Clashes are underway between Chicago law enforcement and pro-Palestine protesters, along with other activists, as they attempt to make their way toward the United Center, where the final day of the Democratic National Convention is taking place. Multiple objects have been thrown at police officers

1

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Needed to give my daily donation to JustKam

0

homosexual

1 year ago

It's over bud

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Thursday evening, The Hollywood Reporter reported that a representative for the pop superstar said she was never scheduled to attend. Beyoncé's longtime publicist Yvette Noel-Schure confirmed the report on Instagram.

0

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Pretty awesome

0

homosexual

1 year ago

2,400% gain on this lol. If only I had put more than a dollar on it

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Still 30 mins left on the program slot.

0

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Queen 🐝 coming??

0

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

StevenBonnell 4.6K 30-45 min 2h ago CNN and other networks just confirmed the speech will be around an hour long (45 min). It's over less than 30 min betters, I tried to warn you

0

StevenBonnell

1 year ago

30 MIN MARK. told you less than 30 minute bros. its over now, you can rest

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Would be so tight if yes ppl woke up w a win

1

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You bought $4k 45-60min so not that easy bub

1

StevenBonnell

1 year ago

it's just so easy

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Beyonce and TMZ are ded2me

3

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is Beyonce coming out to rek ppl

1

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I hear beyonxe

0

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Fuxk

0

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Beyonce please

0

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

🥁🥁🥁 inflation....

2

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Ceasefire rekt

0

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I thought I couldnt hate this woman any more than I do

9

·

Liked by MrNFT, tomxeth and 7 others

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Are we just under 24 mins now?

0

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

"Fellow Americans is the end

0

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I got rekt with oakland

0

tomxeth

1 year ago

People still buying no project 2025 lol

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

“We know what a second Trump term would look like. It’s all laid out in ‘Project 2025.’ … In many ways, Donald Trump is an unserious man. But the consequences of putting Donald Trump back in the White House are extremely serious… Consider the power he will have—especially after the United States Supreme Court just ruled he would be immune from criminal prosecution. … “We know a strong middle class has always been critical to America’s success. And building that middle class will be a defining goal of my presidency. This is personal for me. The middle class is where I come from. … “Fellow Americans, I love our country with all my heart. Everywhere I go —in everyone I meet—I see a nation ready to move forward. Ready for the next step, in the incredible journey that is America. “I see an America where we hold fast to the fearless belief that built our nation. That inspired the world. That here, in this country, anything is possible. Nothing is out of reach.”

2

DeucePapi

1 year ago

know there are people of various political views watching tonight. And I want you to know: I promise to be a President for all Americans. … “I will be a President who unites us around our highest aspirations. A President who leads — and listens. Who is realistic. Practical. And has common sense. And always fights for the American people. From the courthouse to the White House, that has been my life’s work. …

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

know there are people of various political views watching tonight. And I want you to know: I promise to be a President for all Americans. … “I will be a President who unites us around our highest aspirations. A President who leads — and listens. Who is realistic. Practical. And has common sense. And always fights for the American people. From the courthouse to the White House, that has been my life’s work. …

2

DeucePapi

1 year ago

With this election, our nation has a precious, fleeting opportunity to move past the bitterness, cynicism, and divisive battles of the past. A chance to chart a New Way Forward. Not as members of any one party or faction, but as Americans

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

With this election, our nation has a precious, fleeting opportunity to move past the bitterness, cynicism, and divisive battles of the past. A chance to chart a New Way Forward. Not as members of any one party or faction, but as Americans

3

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Meanwhile this is spot on: https://bluevirginia.us/2024/08/excerpts-of-vice-president-kamala-harris-acceptance-speech

2

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Exactly, my bet is that this is gonna be shockingly short and Beyonce will come on to close as a distraction

0

RB-79K_BALL

1 year ago

bro 8 mins in and shes still in her history

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

On a side note, this is the least Presidential speech ever given. It sounds like something a 6 grader wrote for student government elections

3

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

When I was 6 and 1/2 I played kickball with my Uncle Robbie, who is a great uncle.

1

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

And when I was 6 years old I ate macaroni for the first time. Delicious macaroni

1

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bc she's going to speak in generalities

0

SusanWarrenHR

1 year ago

Why no ceasefire?

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://bluevirginia.us/2024/08/excerpts-of-vice-president-kamala-harris-acceptance-speech

1

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Buy more

1

StevenBonnell

1 year ago

CNN and other networks just confirmed the speech will be around an hour long (45 min). It's over less than 30 min betters, I tried to warn you

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Sad day for America when ppl can ask Kamala for anything they want in exchange for their vote and they give it to her for nothing bc Beyonce played 3 songs on TV for her

1

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lied to the American ppl about Biden's mental health so they'd support his re-election campaign. Biden wins nomination by population vote. Biden forced to drop out. Kamala becomes self appointed nominee. Kamala refuses to release her platform or conduct a single softball interview even 4 weeks after the Biden coup. Kamala makes speech to entire nation accepting something that was never given to her. Wtf is she gonna talk about for 45 mins + 20 mins for applause?

0

Justifax

1 year ago

"never won a single election in their entire career" .. now you know where all the free money comes from.

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Telling millions of American ppl that democracy faces an existential threat this election, and that she is the protector of democracy who gladly accepts the nomination for winning a race she didn't participate in.

0

hillary2win

1 year ago

"According to inside sources acceptance speech is being rewritten at the last minute for unknown reasons."

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How is she going to talk for a long time when she hasn't shared a single position that voters can evaluate to see if they want to vote for her. She's accepting a nomination for a position that voters selected for Biden, not her, largely bc she lied about his mental fitness and tricked them into thinking it was a job he was suited for

0

PlanetMan

1 year ago

A speech that is overly long can lead to negative consequences, leaving audiences feeling exhausted. I trust her team will advise her to keep her content concise and powerful.

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I would be shocked if you hit the 90+. The Dem strategy has been to fear monger Trump so ppl vote for their person as the only alternative. Biden killed their strategy by opening his mouth. I would be shocked if they're willing to risk losing w Harris by putting her out there for 1 minutes longer than they need to

1

Car

1 year ago

time to write history!

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Correcto - if I was running her, id go w: "Keep it short, simple, and sincere".

0

Anonbushdid911

1 year ago

never has a candidate had such a clear negative correlation between time-speaking and poll numbers. Entire campaign strategy is to keep her hidden away and not talking more than absolutely necessary -- same as they ran with Biden.

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Never in the history of the DNC has an acceptance speech been made by someone who was appointed as a candidate without receiving a single vote from the American public. How is the worst public speaking politician, who has never won a single election in their entire career, going to speak for over 30 mins to the country about accepting what millions of Americans never offer her?

3

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I think he was asking if the 5 minutes of applause in the beginning counts

1

Car

1 year ago

Obviously

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The troublemakers don't start until latenight

1

aenews2

1 year ago

I don't see much news for tonight other than the couple posted

Tim Walz DNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How is Walz gonna take the stage before 11p Chicago time?

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Performance: John Legend, American singer-songwriter, and Sheila E., American singer and drummer Remarks: The Honorable Amy Klobuchar, United States Senator, Minnesota Remarks: Benjamin C. Ingman, Former student of Governor Tim Walz Remarks: The Honorable Tim Walz, Governor of Minnesota Benediction: William Emmanuel Hall, Lead Pastor of St. James Church in Chicago

Tim Walz DNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Performance: John Legend, American singer-songwriter, and Sheila E., American singer and drummer Remarks: The Honorable Amy Klobuchar, United States Senator, Minnesota Remarks: Benjamin C. Ingman, Former student of Governor Tim Walz Remarks: The Honorable Tim Walz, Governor of Minnesota Benediction: William Emmanuel Hall, Lead Pastor of St. James Church in Chicago

0

DoughJones

1 year ago

they are running out of time. how is he going to take 30 min?

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How many arrests were made that qualify per your imaginary idea of the market?

0

aenews2

1 year ago

Can't wait for Team Y to get sweaty hands after realizing they bonded a market that is fairly likely to resolve the other way

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Reading the stupid posts here, I'm dying to know what No people thought they were betting on

0

DiversifyYoBonds

1 year ago

Obviously none of these arrests count. If someone has a logical reason for policy that they want then they are protesting POLICY, not the DNC, duhh!

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What counts as a legit arrest? Someone holding a notarized letter saying they were arrested while protesting for XYZ rights at the DNC?

2

n/a

1 year ago

yeah but those won't count towards the count... read the rules lol

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Arrests happening https://x.com/NeverFringe62/status/1826429509723398610

3

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So by your definition, the mass arrests were a DNC protest. The article quotes these arrested protestors saying, "Make the DNC feel what Gaza feels". https://nypost.com/2024/08/20/us-news/anti-israel-protesters-clash-with-chicago-police-outside-of-israeli-consulate-during-dnc/

0

Car

1 year ago

Its simple as this: Rules say the arrested protestors need to be protesting the DNC. If they got arrested for looting or something like assaulting an officer during their Pro-Palestina riots, it does not count.

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

“Make them feel what Gaza feels!” a speaker shouted into a microphone. “Make the DNC feel what Gaza feels! This f–king empire needs to burn to the ground!” - Quote from protestors who were part of mass arrest https://nypost.com/2024/08/20/us-news/anti-israel-protesters-clash-with-chicago-police-outside-of-israeli-consulate-during-dnc/

3

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This had nothing to do with the DNC bc the bomb threats were called into hotels. Any arrests made for this should not be counted https://nypost.com/2024/08/20/us-news/bomb-threats-called-into-4-chicago-hotels-used-for-dnc-report/

1

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

CHICAGO - An investigation is underway after a group of protesters allegedly slipped maggots into food that was served during a Democratic National Convention breakfast. The incident happened at 6:45 a.m. Wednesday in the 200 block of N Columbus Drive, at the Fairmont Chicago hotel.

1

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/investigation-launched-after-maggots-found-in-food-at-dnc-breakfast

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/investigation-launched-after-maggots-found-in-food-at-dnc-breakfast

1

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This story bridges the gap between the protesters type and expression of disobedience related to their DNC protests, and how proximity to the United Center has no bearing on the argument

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This story bridges the gap between the protesters type and expression of disobedience related to their DNC protests, and how proximity to the United Center has no bearing on the argument

2

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Every single link and article associates the arrests w the DNC protests.

0

Iverson

1 year ago

Great find. Clearly showing the intention of protestors were against the DNC

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You are missing the entire point of this market.

1

Car

1 year ago

Its simple as this: Rules say the arrested protestors need to be protesting the DNC. If they got arrested for looting or something like assaulting an officer during their Pro-Palestina riots, it does not count.

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Are we really arguing whether or not the mass protestor arrests are related to the DNC? These protestors go to politicians hotels miles away and try to harass them in their rooms and get arrested. It's all part of the same thing

4

Sardinianshepherd

1 year ago

The gathering point of Behind enemy lines' yestarday protest named "Stand with Palestine – Shut down the DNC for Gaza Protest!" was 500 W Madison, Chicago, that is the address of isreali ambassy: it is crealy a an anti-DNC protest https://behind-enemy-lines.org/protest-shut-down-the-dnc-for-gaza/

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Poly gets annoying when ppl try to make these tedious arguments that go against the spirit of the Market. "The ppl were protesting across the street from the DNC, so they weren't DNC protestors"

2

Mommy

1 year ago

The main group behind the protests at the israeli consolate is called 'behind enemy lines'. They explicitly stated they want to 'shut down the dnc for gaza' and 'make it great like 68' (referring to 1968 dnc protests). Another is samidoun, who were carrying "shut down the dnc for gaza" banners. Some of you guys are lying through your teeth here. these were clear protests against the dnc.

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Oh God. ABC News got it wrong too! https://abc7chicago.com/post/chicago-protests-today-pro-palestinian-anti-dnc-rally-planned-outside-israeli-consulate-will-affect-metra-riders/15209951/

0

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

NBC News gets it wrong too. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/dnc-protest-ends-arrests-demonstrators-refuse-disperse-rcna167487

0

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

🤡

1

abee-Capital-Management

1 year ago

They were not protesting DNC, they were protesting Israel occupation. Done, no reason to discuss

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Listen to the police chief talk in one of the links

0

X9504

1 year ago

This is about to be a shitshow, there will not be a specific account of who was arrested “protesting the DNC” or “protesting something else”. If the media reports any sort of 100+ figure, regardless of what exactly they were protesting, you guys are toast

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Police Announce Charges In First Mass Arrest Of DNC After Protesters, Officers Clash In West Loop - https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/dnc-protest-chicago-palestine-israel-consulate

1

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Nobody was protesting at the DNC then. Bc none of them were let in the United Center

1

abee-Capital-Management

1 year ago

They were not protesting DNC, they were protesting Israel occupation. Done, no reason to discuss

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What constitutes a DNC protestor? None of them were allowed in and the pro Palestine DNC protestors literally got permits to protest all over the city to disrupt the DNC.

0

🤺JustPunched

1 year ago

I can agree that there are people there to protest the DNC and maybe even that they're "DNC protesters" (I think it's misleading at this point, they seem far more like "pro-Palestine" protesters looking for places to protest). BUT here is the key piece of information -- they left the DNC! They did not protest the DNC last night, and they could have. They physically walked somewhere else and protested there instead. And it's miles away. And it's actually a much more logical place to have a pro-Palestine protest, considering the President advocated for an immediate ceasefire from the DNC floor on Monday night.

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

These mental gymnastics ppl are trying to use make no sense

2

Iverson

1 year ago

What does "protesting DNC" mean? Doesn't it mean their support of Israel?

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It says DNC tho https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/chicago-protest-israeli-consulate-dnc-72-arrests

0

Car

1 year ago

the title literally says pro palestine and pro israel demonstration.

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol buy more no shares then

1

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Chicago Police Chief confirms 75+ mass arrested Day 2 https://youtu.be/MG4FnXjlFUk

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Mass arrested 72 ppl at DNC Day 2. Fox news confirms https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/chicago-protest-israeli-consulate-dnc-72-arrests

0

aenews2

1 year ago

Huh? He said 55-60, what you smoking?

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Chicago Police Chief confirms 75+ mass arrested Day 2 https://youtu.be/MG4FnXjlFUk

1

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

13 Arrests Day 1 of DNC https://fb.watch/u644rLoNTF/?mibextid=z4kJoQ

1

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://blockclubchicago.org/2024/08/21/72-people-arrested-during-protest-outside-israeli-consulate/

0

Mass arrests at DNC?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

72 arrested https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/2024-election/pro-israel-pro-palestinian-demonstrations-seen-dnc/

0

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I got 47 as well

0

homosexual

1 year ago

Is there actually any question that it was 47 or is Billy just bad at winning?

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He may drop it at the end. Jews, blacks, whites, Muslims, Asians, Christians etc

0

0xb52544Dd37b58B27FF41a8E9DCc9a4222aCce29B-1722449653810

1 year ago

MUSLIM

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Mosques was the closest

0

0xb52544Dd37b58B27FF41a8E9DCc9a4222aCce29B-1722449653810

1 year ago

MUSLIM

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Muslims are their entire voter base in Michigan who they've been pandering to. I don't see how they'll be left out here

0

SaulGoodmanEsq

1 year ago

Muslim is way undervalued here

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Dems let 500 ppl nobody has ever heard of speak before Obama. Half of America is sleeping & Obama hasn't come on yet

1

Obama DNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Look at the length of Obama's speeches in front of national audiences over the years. The dude likes to hear himself talk for longer and longer with every passing year

0

0x302c87f715c0626a1abD02ACa830A6622523549d-1721352015306

1 year ago

This is a pretty misleading way of wording things! In 2008 and 2012 he was...the nominee. The nominee always gives a long speech. In 2016, he was the sitting president. And in 2020, as you noted, he didn't speak in front of a crowd. 2024 is our first experience of what a post-presidency Obama convention speech looks like. A good model to look at would be Bill Clinton. In 2000 (his version of Obama's 2016) his speech was 48 minutes. In 2004 and 2008, his speeches were 22 and 25 minutes long.

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Here's the other Waltz that the YouTube also correctly interprets the misspelling of: https://ibb.co/p2RSGFv

1

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is great. Lol who is in charge of resolving this market??

0

endo2

1 year ago

Even the youtube hears it https://ibb.co/p0JbGqG

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

So put up $750 for someone to review a video that they clearly didn't bother to review the first time?

0

Apsalar

1 year ago

@slewmoney correct

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What he says don't rhyme with the words: malls, falls, crawls, or dolls? Bc Walz does and Waltz doesn't.

0

BlackSky123

1 year ago

Niether of those clearly sound like "waltz" to me, but both of us are financially motivated of course.

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Listen for yourself: Tim "Waltz" @ 18:28, Tim & Gwen "Waltz" @ 58:13 https://www.youtube.com/live/33ePGy1G0kQ

1

BlackSky123

1 year ago

Maybe he didn't say waltz

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Walz rhymes with balls. Waltz doesn't rhyme with shit. We bet that Biden would say a name wrong. What am I missing here?

3

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You think the market wasn't, "Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?"

0

Flipp

1 year ago

he definitely said waltz

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I need $750 to post as a bond to dispute it?

0

Apsalar

1 year ago

@slewmoney https://oracle.uma.xyz/?project=Polymarket&transactionHash=0xd833100ce0217008d0868d04085c08dcd28d6c6c042078428cf47f2158458151&eventIndex=17

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How do you dispute it?

0

Apsalar

1 year ago

so buy yes and dispute it

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Tim "Waltz" @ 18:28, Tim & Gwen "Waltz" @ 58:13 https://www.youtube.com/live/33ePGy1G0kQ

0

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

He literally didnt say Walls correct one time

1

🤺JustPunched

1 year ago

Didn't hear any mispronunciations, I am shocked. He said like 80 names lol.

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

100% listen at the 17:19 mark https://www.youtube.com/live/33ePGy1G0kQ

1

0x40943c3dd52E984

1 year ago

Did he actually say "Waltz"

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

when Biden referred to Rishi Sunak as ‘Mr. Sanook’ this would qualify for a “Yes”

1

bbman1214

1 year ago

Yeah I know but I feel like we are really pulling on straws. Just waiting for something more obvious

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Name is Walz=Walls not Waltz like the dance.

1

bbman1214

1 year ago

I heard that as well but am not sure

Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Tim "Waltz" any mispronunciation that significantly alters the intended name

2

Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It may not happen tonight, but I think the Dems see Joe as disposable now & will have him resign if it means giving Kamala the boost she needs to win

0

NixonTapes - 10263

1 year ago

Sell your shares ASAP while you are up

Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://nypost.com/2024/08/19/us-news/biden-to-pass-the-baton-to-kamala-harris-at-convention-then-jet-off-to-california/

3

Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Seems kind of odd that the DNC is starting off w a speech by Biden w Kamala on stage w him.

0

Will Biden resign before the election?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Happening tomorrow night?

1

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If mpox was found in the sewer water that means ppl in the USA have it & haven't gone to the Doc or don't have symptoms, right?

2

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

1 share required to talk shit

1

-nothingburger-

1 year ago

says who bought 74 shares

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

National Constitution Center in Philly is venue. Has ~60 seats for audience members if they choose to have a live audience. Pic of venue: https://imgur.com/a/8mz74Gk

0

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://deadline.com/2024/08/abc-news-debate-philadelphia-trump-harris-1236042119/

0

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

@aaron28a Trump & Vance are demanding an audience. Kamala is practicing at the Howard U auditorium so maybe she'll give him a black university crowd

0

n/a

1 year ago

I think @Xi is right here. "Trump has 0 leverage. He's down in polls. The only way he comes back is if he beats Kamala in debate. He's desperate to debate, so he will agree to Kamala's request of no live audience"

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Here's a vid of her leaving the auditorium: https://www.tiktok.com/@msnbc/video/7403022415602765099

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Kamala doing debate prep in the auditorium @ Howard University. But she's def going to do the real debate in a closed studio w no audience right Bros? https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/15/us/politics/harris-howard-university-debate-prep.html

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Kamala doing debate prep in the auditorium @ Howard University. But she's def going to do the real debate in a closed studio w no audience right Bros? https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/15/us/politics/harris-howard-university-debate-prep.html

0

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Trump's best debate was vs. Biden w no audience. ABC as host gives him the opportunity to reach Kamala's base and sway Kamala voters. I wou wouldn't be surprised if she agrees to let him have the audience in exchange for whatever she wants

0

n/a

1 year ago

I think @Xi is right here. "Trump has 0 leverage. He's down in polls. The only way he comes back is if he beats Kamala in debate. He's desperate to debate, so he will agree to Kamala's request of no live audience"

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Pew has them tied: https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/08/14/harris-energizes-democrats-in-transformed-presidential-race/pp_2024-8-14_harris-trump_0-01/

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Sept 10th debate was agreed at the same time as the Biden debate, with exact same terms of No Live Audience + Push Button to Speak rules.

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

538 has Harris up 3pts on Trump...not that significant considering Trump was up by 3 pts on Biden in 2020.https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/.

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Sept 10th debate was agreed at the same time as the Biden debate, with exact same terms of No Live Audience + Push Button to Speak rules.

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If the No Live Audience + Push Button Speaking was transferrable from Biden to Harris, why is there even a market for this? Please share a link so I can liquidate my position if I'm missing something

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Sept 10th debate was agreed at the same time as the Biden debate, with exact same terms of No Live Audience + Push Button to Speak rules.

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Vance is holding the line w Trump, "we're not going to do one of these fake debates w no audience..." https://x.com/gagirlpolitics/status/1823864768828203081

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Trump said “minor details” were still being worked out, including audience and locations https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/08/politics/trump-debate-harris-september/index.html

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Trump said “minor details” were still being worked out, including audience and locations https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/08/politics/trump-debate-harris-september/index.html

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Sept 10th debate was agreed at the same time as the Biden debate, with exact same terms of No Live Audience + Push Button to Speak rules.

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

A gentleman never tells

0

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

I have a question: when you said "Trump never lies" were you joking or serious?

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Check out Biden's Soul of the Nation speech at Independence Hall from 2022. It was outdoors, huge audience. You should go back to picking 95cent markets bruv

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

you literally play 9D chess aganist yourself to find a way to convince yourself a losing position is good

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The most recent debate bw Trump and Biden was the first presidential debate in 64 years to not have a live audience. Please tell me why this next one won't have a live audience as per usual

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

you literally play 9D chess aganist yourself to find a way to convince yourself a losing position is good

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You're probably right

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

you literally play 9D chess aganist yourself to find a way to convince yourself a losing position is good

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Declaration of Independence was signed there in front of an audience. The room is small which means they'll probably have 30-40 ppl in the audience, which will make Kamala feel comfortable. https://imgur.com/a/z9wKTrv

0

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

I don't understand. How does this play into whether or not it's live?

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The market is whether or not there will be audience members there or if it will be in a closed off venue with just cameras and no audience members

0

EdgyUsername

1 year ago

I don't understand. How does this play into whether or not it's live?

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The market is whether or not there will be a live audience, which to Trump is like home field advantage. Same reason why Biden insisted on a closed studio debate w no audience.

2

Scrounge

1 year ago

Why wouldn’t they have a live debate?

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Event calendar shows Sept 9, 10, 11 are the only dates blocked off at Independence Hall in Philly. Https://www.nps.gov/inde/planyourvisit/calendar.htm

0

Will the US confirm SSN hack in August?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The wording of this market sucks. Does it matter if the stolen data is encrypted?

0

Iran military response by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If Iran was gonna attack, they would've done it by now

3

Iran military response by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Iran shat the bed and missed the opportunity. They allowed all defense positions to be secured and gave everyone the time to plan responses based on hypothetical attacks they may launch.

2

OP2024

1 year ago

This market has peaked at 61%, now is at 16%. Friday night it will be a 0%. It's as simple as that.

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

God damn. I hope you win. That amount of shares makes me nervous

0

JishWa

1 year ago

Only a twat says San Fran.

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Not quite....only 5% of the votes are in

0

n/a

1 year ago

iihan omar won!

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol 5% of votes are in...Omar up by ~180 votes....99% chance of winning

0

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.sanfranchronicle.com/samuels-takes-the-lead-in-exit-polls-cvgtje

1

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Thank you for the insight

0

Nlfwerw

1 year ago

Everyone has their own choice

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Omar may win but there is no chance in hell that there is a 96% chance. Samuels is gonna have a lot of ppl panic selling at a minimum

0

LouisMarquis

1 year ago

Careful now. 2 years ago she won by 2%. And this was before the whole Israel situation

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The confidence level in Ilhan winning is insanely high. Its like what you'd expect from a candidate that was universally loved by their constituents

0

X9504

1 year ago

They're selling dollars for 0.1 cents

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I read that AIPAC didn't get involved bc it only takes 5,000 republican voters to unseat her

0

bidendropoutnow

1 year ago

This isn't an AIPAC thing going on. Ilhan has outspent Samuels by 450%.

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Isn't Minnesota an open primary where Republicans can vote in Democrat races?

3

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

12

3

plant

1 year ago

How many has he tweets so far during this market?

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Once he starts, it's like a stream of consciousness.

0

X9504

1 year ago

If he makes one more Tweet every day shilling his interview, we still win

Iran military response by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Let's be real...Biden has no idea what's going on.

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Biden said he saw some linkage between the ceasefire effort in Gaza and Iran’s threat to retaliate. “It’s getting harder,” Biden said when asked if a ceasefire deal was becoming a more distant possibility. “I’m not giving up. We’ll see what Iran does. We’ll see what happens"

Iran military response by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Iran attacks before Friday & they ruin all chances for a ceasefire during Thursday's talk. They said a ceasefire is the only thing that would stop them from attacking so explain to me how a Yes will happen before Fri?

2

diddy

1 year ago

Here we go boiz, we have good signs that an attack may happen. It's not like I wish for attack but, money would come in handy :)

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

22 mins until Iran's favorite time of attack

1

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

7am is broad daylight

0

factman

1 year ago

nah. this one goes 7 am in Israel

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Why do ppl comment here who don't own any shares?

0

Justifax

1 year ago

Here's the tweet - https://x.com/iraninarabic_ir/status/1778168830998479321 The attack could happen tonight, but I wouldn't put too much stock in this source.

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Buy some fuckin shares guy

1

Justifax

1 year ago

I understand that you are terribly stressed by this Iranian user, so take into account that on April 11 he posted a similar tweet. As you know, nothing happened in the end. I have no idea what will happen tonight, but don't fall for this psychological warfare https://x.com/Pearl_Alon/status/1823079184232829111

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This account has 550k followers.

0

Moses

1 year ago

https://x.com/iraninarabic_ir/status/1823063410709557514?s=46

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

50Pence and Bama are the top holders on both sides. Should be interesting

2

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Of course it isn't.

1

factman

1 year ago

OSINTdefender: "This is not an Official Account of the Iranian Government, and also doesn’t appear to be linked to any Senior Iranian Officials or Media." https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1823072662278504679

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Average share price = 13 cents.

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

you sold YES at 10 cents yesterday and bought back today at 15 cents. LMAOO. Buy high sell low.

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I made $ on the attack before Friday bub

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

sold at 95 cents for 2k profit, smart money is flexible

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://x.com/iraninarabic_ir/status/1823063410709557514

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Fox News reporting that an Iranian news outlet posted a 2 hour countdown timer

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

2 more hours until we enter the defcon 2 zone

1

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://imgur.com/a/50c835L

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment

3

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Hezbollah is launching strikes against Israel now. The general consensus is that Iran will attack alongside its proxy's in attempt to overwhelm iron dome.

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I24 Reporting that Iran to attack Israel before Thursdays talks

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Tonight, Tuesday Night, Wed Night (33% chance it's tonight)

0

0xD11e

1 year ago

Well, that won't help us.

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://imgur.com/a/IBmknJe

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I24 Reporting that Iran to attack Israel before Thursdays talks

Iran military response by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I24 Reporting that Iran to Attack Israel Before Thursdays Talks

0

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I24 Reporting that Iran to attack Israel before Thursdays talks

0

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Iran attacked last time at 3am, which is 6 hours from now. Market ends in 10 hours from now

1

0xD11e

1 year ago

So the Jewish "9th of Av" starts at sundown today and ends at sundown tomorrow. Sundown in Israel was already 1½ hours ago, so we have entered the timeframe. It is unfortunate that this bet ends today, only 8 hours into the timeframe of 24 hours that Iran is believed to attack. I already heard this rumor a week ago on Twitter ( https://x.com/Know_More_News/status/1820507313209500120/ ) but I never took this religious stuff seriously. "The 9th of Av" is of course the "Tisha B'Av" that others here have referenced. Some say it's the traditional Jewish holiday of nothing happening.

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Good idea

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

btw im selling YES later too

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Hagari speaking on I24 now

2

5to5000

1 year ago

"There are more and more indications that an Iranian attack on Israel is truely imminent. We didn't see much of these reports [I.e. military movement, high alert] before today." https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1823044294950703328

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You googled "tisha b'av" didn't you

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

seeing your dumbass comments make me want to sell my 5 cent YES

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Whoa whoa whoa when did you switch to yes?

1

XiJinPing

1 year ago

seeing your dumbass comments make me want to sell my 5 cent YES

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Likely = 51%

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

Iran likely won't attack tonight, but there's way more than 10% chance that it does. Closer to at least 25%.

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I'm watching I24, the Israeli news channel live and there's a correspondent w a helmet & vest on reporting. Seems like they're on high alert

1

Donkov

1 year ago

Bro, they have been pumping such news every day for a week straight.

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

https://www.foxnews.com/world/iran-could-attack-israel-less-than-24-hours-sources-say-western-powers-issue-tehran-warning

3

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I also have 4000 shares in for 8 cents. Either way it should be interesting by this time tomorrow

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Not panic. I'm going to buy more when price goes down to 3 cents bc the attack is happening tomorrow night

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Not panic. I'm going to buy more when price goes down to 3 cents bc the attack is happening tomorrow night

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

"Iran will attack tomorrow, I pinky promise" -- people been crying wolf everyday for the past 2 weeks lmao

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's just $ so don't rope yourself when you open polymarket and you No shares are selling for .2 cents

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

"Iran will attack tomorrow, I pinky promise" -- people been crying wolf everyday for the past 2 weeks lmao

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is a betting site where ppl put $ on what they think. The polling site is nextdoor

0

0x7D871aCF19120b233198290A1Ac05D9D72aFA383-1723418104009

1 year ago

As an Iranian i say the irgc commanders doesn't have the balls to do it

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Do yourself a favor and Google "tisha b'av". All Intel sources say if it doesn't happen tonight, it will happen after midnight Israel time tomorrow

0

XiJinPing

1 year ago

correction: "you pray it will happen monday"

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I lost it all on a Kanye West album bet. This will redeem me. It's 2:10am in Israel now. Iran likes to launch at 3am. Not too late to dump your No shares.

1

XiJinPing

1 year ago

youre already down 5k, just give me ur daughter and ill help you out

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Israeli Air Force and Military Intelligence Directorate placed on high alert after noticing signs in Iran indicating an imminent attack against Israel. Time to liquidate my son's college fund

2

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You can thank Joe Biden soft ass for this win

1

Darkpsico

1 year ago

its coming

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is gonna be a nail biter https://m.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-814292

1

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

😂

0

JacobAgi

1 year ago

It feels 50/50 at this point

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Bro, it's 9pm in New York. It's 6pm in California. There is nowhere on this side of the earth where ppl are waking up now

2

GoblinMilk

1 year ago

Americans are about to wake up so if you're planning on buying China wait an hour or two for it to go down

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's not too late to delete your comment

4

GoblinMilk

1 year ago

Americans are about to wake up so if you're planning on buying China wait an hour or two for it to go down

Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Finkle is Einhorn

2

Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What is research

0

Gdubb47

1 year ago

Ummmm people who did actual research are taking positions lol

Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They'll never let Imane win.

2

Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Wtf is happening w.Yang?

1

Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

My bet is that Yang Liu is quicker, like Manny Pacquiao, and lands more punches for points FTW. At the end of the fight everyone will be sure s/he lost but it's all about the points.

0

RUSTIC

1 year ago

Should I bet on Yang Liu. Research tells me she is IBA 2023 Welterweight champion https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_medalists_at_the_IBA_Women%27s_World_Boxing_Championships.

Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I'll tell you one thing. If he doesn't lose his job for lying about military experience, I'm gonna check that box on every single form I fill out that asks if I served

1

haluk

1 year ago

2 words. STOLEN VALOR

Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

f he gets a Congressional subpoena, he's toast.They're gonna get him to answer questions amitting his entire political career was built on a foundation of lies about his military rank & real world experience bc he knew that he would have no future in politics if he told the truth about himself

0

Iran military response by Friday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Last time, Iran launched attack at 3am Israel time, which gives is gonna make this a photo finish if it happens

2

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Samuels is going to win. Lots of money being spent on getting at least 5,000 Republicans to register Dem & vote for him, which would lock in the win for him

0

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The holiday starts the eve of the 12th actually

0

n/a

1 year ago

This is 1 day before Tisha B'Av (the saddest day in Jewish calendar).

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

This is ridiculous. Look at the explanation saying ABC is a platform. The venue or Platform agreement means that they need to agree to do it in a studio, like Biden demanded, or in front of an audience like trump wants.

0

Laura

1 year ago

No, the 'and' portion is: "...about that date and a set host...". The date is September 10 and the host is ABC News, per their tweet.

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

ABC is not a platform, it's a broadcasting company or a host at best. Debates take place in venues, like the Kennedy Center, or on a platform like Zoom. This is a terrible resolution.

0

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They haven't agreed on a venue/platform which is critical. Kamala prob wants a closed set studio and Trump will want a live audience. This is far from over

1

Stavros-Jenkins

1 year ago

I've re-read the rules 20 times and I would still bet "no" on this at this point in time.

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What is the venue/platform? In a studio like when he debated Biden? A live audience? Where?

0

multibettor

1 year ago

Who knows what will happen? Trump is so volatile

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

ABC is a "host". An ex of a platform/venue would be: Auditorium at Harvard w live audience, ABC studios closed set...

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Only an agreement between both candidates about that date and a set host will resolve this market to "Yes". SO WHO IS THE HOST?

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The market will resolve to "Yes" only if both candidates agree on the date, venue/platform, and host for the debate. Agreement on just the date, venue/platform, or host alone is not sufficient.

1

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

What is the agreed upon venue/platform?

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Only an agreement between both candidates about that date and a set host will resolve this market to "Yes". SO WHO IS THE HOST?

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Only an agreement between both candidates about that date and a set host will resolve this market to "Yes". SO WHO IS THE HOST?

2

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

3 requirements must be satisfied for the market to resolve "yes". 1) An agreed upon date 2) an agreed upon venue 3) a confirmed host for the debate

1

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I am shocked that you're a human. How do you make over 1000 trades a day, sir?

4

🤺JustPunched

1 year ago

I don't know what to make of this market, I am very biased now, but as far as I am aware this is the state of play: Kamala wants to do September 10th. Trump agreed to 3 at once, including September 10th. ABC announces both sides agreed, but didn't post any details (location, venue, etc.). Then Kamala announces she will only agree to 1 debate. So will Trump now renege on his original 3 debate agreement before a location/venue is finalized?

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I said "no upside"..5 days ago you actually said "Near certain" and posted an axios article 🤡

2

martingale

1 year ago

Yeah there’s no chance, imo you should bet a bit more

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

There is no upside for Iran to attack. If attack gets intercepted again, they look weak. If attack is successful, they will get pummeled by Israel, possibly the US, & will look to Russia for support who will leave them hanging.

2

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Hezbollah is launching the retaliatory strike now

0

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The USS Roosevelt has arrived at the Straits of Hormuz opposite Iran.

1

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Lol dude you have 159 shares. You ain't slapping 20k on shit

0

FRENCHG4NGSTA

1 year ago

this is free money, i wish it was more liquid or i'd slap 20k on it

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Exactly this. Everyone is on high alert now which reduces the chances of success. Killers move in silence

1

0x2c8029f2Bea882Ef928e22Ba6C394109A6Eda651-1722677145246

1 year ago

From a strategic standpoint I think it makes sense to wait to strike. Let complacency set in then make a move. That would be the wisest decision because any large scale attack will likely be stopped before it happens from Israeli or US air assets. Whatever their next move is it will need to be very calculated.

Iran military response by Sunday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

You should dump this garbage before it's worth nothing

1

zyncet

1 year ago

I think its starting, Iranian TV Channels broadcasting of an imminent attack. https://live.irib.ir/

Will Kamala announce VP pick by Aug 7?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Dems don't follow rules clearly

0

abdendriel

1 year ago

Rules of the democrats roll call require a VP to be picked by Aug 7. She’s got plenty of time and options to get everything in order to qualify.

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Iran is gonna wait until the Jewish holiday on August 13 to strike. It's free money for the No bettors. Sorry pal

1

FRENCHG4NGSTA

1 year ago

this is free money, i wish it was more liquid or i'd slap 20k on it

Iran military response by Sunday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The night of August 12/13.

1

ALEJOCARC

1 year ago

Iran attack in the night

Iran military response by Monday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The bet is on whether or not Iran initiates an attack. What happens to the weapons after they're launched is inconsequential

3

no.nickname

1 year ago

Still not clear: What will happen if all Iranian weapons are intercepted in the air? Is that considered a yes or a no?

Iran military response by Sunday?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Easy money here.

4

Will Biden resign during his speech today?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Did anyone understand a word he said?

1

Will Biden finish his term?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

I can't understand what he's saying.

2

Will Biden resign during his speech today?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It's happening

0

Will Biden resign during his speech today?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Biden has no future in the White House. Kamala does. If making her president helps her get elected, Joe will do it

2

Will Biden resign during his speech today?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

If it's gonna happen, it will happen tonight

0

Will Biden finish his term?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

That doesn't make a lot of sense. Joe has no future in the White House. Kamala does. There is no upside for allowing Joe to finish his term

0

GameMingGear

1 year ago

No, that wouldn't be good for Kamala's elections. Biden is doing very well and it's in their interest that he finish his term. In fact, he's doing very well: Skynews: https://news.sky.com/video/joe-biden-says-hes-feeling-well-as-he-boards-a-plane-to-washington-ahead-of-speech-13183943

Will Biden finish his term?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Joe will resign so Kamala goes into the election as President

2

Will Biden finish his term?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

The stroke he just had will

1

mmmpieee

1 year ago

Agreed

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

People finally hearing the news

0

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Biden now delegating his presidential authorities. https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2024/07/22/memorandum-on-the-delegation-of-certain-functions-and-authorities-under-the-rebuilding-economic-prosperity-and-opportunity-for-ukrainians-act/

0

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Gets worse everyday

1

Biden deletes "I'm sick" tweet by tonight?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Tell me what you really think

0

41-17™askDomerWhatImean

1 year ago

You're an idiot with bad taste

Biden deletes "I'm sick" tweet by tonight?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Pretty stupid tweet for a guy who is trying to reassure the country that he's not a feeble senior with one foot in the grave

4

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

It doesn't matter if Biden is happy w her. This lady is responsible for the security of our country's leaders & may be compromised.

0

Car

1 year ago

It really shows how many republicans are on this site. Biden stated he is happy with the Secret Service and Kimberly Cheatle stated she will not resign. If she didnt resign after the event she is defenilty not resigning weeks later lol.

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

She's a threat to national security at this point. They need to determine that she hasn't been compromised and isn't a national security threat

1

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Biden just tweeted, "I'm sick"

0

aki

1 year ago

Biden saying he’d consider dropping out if a ‘medical condition’ emerged is a clear indicator he is preparing to drop out before DNC convention in August. Probably before July 31st.

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

She's toast. This was the most unsophisticated assassination attempt imaginable & luck is what saved Trump's life.

2

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Sloped roof excuse. Easy money here

2

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Breaking: Local counter-sniper team was inside building where Trump shooter climbed on the roof and opened fire. https://nypost.com/2024/07/15/us-news/counter-sniper-team-was-inside-building-where-thomas-crooks-opened-fire/

0

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

They should've whisked him off stage immediately after they were made aware of the threat. Standard operating procedure. No chance she makes it through this

0

Car

1 year ago

because the Secret Service did everything right actually. You can not just randomly shoot a person, just because he is laying on a roof.

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How did the most elite security team in the world let trump keep speaking after the shooter was spotted?

1

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

How can she possibly keep her job after the biggest debacle in Presidential security since JFK, having policies as protocol bc of JFK

2

Will Biden finish his term?

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Kamala needs some experience before taking over. Makes sense

0