#24
Rank
1049
Comments
388
Likes Received
423
Likes Given
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?
DeucePapi
4 months ago
The prediction value has shifted to, "How will UMA vote when this market is disputed"?
1
Who will be Trump's Attorney General?
DeucePapi
5 months ago
Why does the additional context say Pam Bondi??
0
DeucePapi
5 months ago
This hasn't happened yet: "A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Attorney General."
Who will be Trump's Attorney General?
DeucePapi
5 months ago
This hasn't happened yet: "A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Attorney General."
6
Who will be Trump's Attorney General?
DeucePapi
5 months ago
Why no Other option?
0
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
5 months ago
The question is: why is 1.5-2.0 "No" cheaper than 1.0-1.5 "Yes"?
1
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
5 months ago
How do you get an iPhone and an internet connection making $4/day?
0
walterbuffett
5 months ago
The numbers continue to roll in. We are now at 1.70% lead flat
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
5 months ago
Haha-i didn't think they'd still be counting ballots 2 weeks after the election. It's still possible now that they're doing a recount and disqualifying ballots that shouldn't have been counted the first go around
0
0x526b28c6143D154C5656E37774916c6EF8051a25-1730556919989
5 months ago
@Deucepapi I thought you said it was going to 2.0-2.5. What happened? 😭🙏
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?
DeucePapi
5 months ago
When is it supposed to land?
1
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
80,000 votes waiting to be counted https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/casey-mccormick-ballot-counting-recount-20241115.html
3
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Yep. It's only gonna get weirder
1
RobinNakamoto
6 months ago
Funny how yesterday there were 25,000 votes remaining and today there's 27,000 😂 (source: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-president-results)
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Bc of the down ballot races
0
GuyWhoTrades
6 months ago
I don't understand why dipshits are sending recount petitions to extent certification in a LANDSLIDE election. When it's j'over it's j'over why delay things?
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Two weeks after the election and these losers still don't have a final count
0
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Yes, for me def
0
walterbuffett
6 months ago
What is going on?? Votes are still coming in, odds are moving. The lead has now shrunk to 1.73%! How on earth is 1.0-1.5 still trading sub 3%??? Absolute joke. https://www.270towin.com/2024-election-results-live/state/pennsylvania
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Kamala about to win Bucks county after it was a lock for Trump. The cheat has begun. Bet accordingly
1
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Dec 16
0
EdoardoC
6 months ago
when this will end and why it says 5 november?
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Look at the official PA feed
0
walterbuffett
6 months ago
t's sitting now at 1.83% lead, a 15K delta in favour of democrats will be enough to turn this into 1.0 - 1.5, Phily and Allegheny still reporting. Tick Tock
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
The problem is that everyone here is betting based on these remaining vote projections by the website they like and every single one of them keeps adding 1% more votes but stays at 99% in. Look at NBCs projections over the past weekhttps://web.archive.org/web/20241111221446/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-president-results
1
walterbuffett
6 months ago
t's sitting now at 1.83% lead, a 15K delta in favour of democrats will be enough to turn this into 1.0 - 1.5, Phily and Allegheny still reporting. Tick Tock
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Where are you getting your data from? That's the first problem
0
walterbuffett
6 months ago
t's sitting now at 1.83% lead, a 15K delta in favour of democrats will be enough to turn this into 1.0 - 1.5, Phily and Allegheny still reporting. Tick Tock
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Allegheny & Philly have 95% of votes in.
0
walterbuffett
6 months ago
t's sitting now at 1.83% lead, a 15K delta in favour of democrats will be enough to turn this into 1.0 - 1.5, Phily and Allegheny still reporting. Tick Tock
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Still 72K uncounted votes from Allegheny & Philly which will give Kamala a 26k vote increase
1
walterbuffett
6 months ago
t's sitting now at 1.83% lead, a 15K delta in favour of democrats will be enough to turn this into 1.0 - 1.5, Phily and Allegheny still reporting. Tick Tock
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Says who?
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Since we make the calculations ourselves, where does it say that .0195 doesn't get rounded to .02?
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
I see you
2
walterbuffett
6 months ago
Free Fucking Money alert.
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Since we make the calculations ourselves, where does it say that .0195 doesn't get rounded to .02?
0
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Ppl are gonna flip their shit when 2-2.5 wins bc of rounding
0
Joris999
6 months ago
just dipped below 2% margin. at 1.998 atm
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
This is the type of thing that could go in either direction of disputed
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
1.5% - 2.0% loses if it's 2.0%. Right now it's almost 2.1%
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
How is the official final number determined? No rounding? Round both variables before subtracting? No rounding of variables but rounding of result? Round variables and result?
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
1.5% - 2.0% loses if it's 2.0%. Right now it's almost 2.1%
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
1.5% - 2.0% loses if it's 2.0%. Right now it's almost 2.1%
1
CFB: Oregon vs. Maryland
DeucePapi
6 months ago
At the top where it says Props
0
gk1
6 months ago
where are the CFB spreads?
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
PA Dept of State Tweeted 100k more to https://x.com/PAStateDept/status/1854647975362068658
0
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
It's 2024 and they can't count 7m votes in 3 full business days.
1
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
This is the one instance where "number don't lie" actually doesn't apply
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
The only question here is how many votes are uncounted in Philadelphia? Is it 22% = 94,000? Kamala has 80% of mail votes in, so it's assumed that she will get 80% of the remaining. So what's the answer?
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
In the 2020 election there were 6,915,283 ppl who voted in PA. There are currently 6,915,776 votes already counted for this election.
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
PA doesn't require ID to vote. Biden won 81% of the total 741k Philly votes in 2020. In the 2020 Philly election there were 350k mail in votes & 340k of them were for Biden (90%)! Kamala currently holds 78.7% of the 705k votes counted in Philly. Please tell me how 90% of the remaining 84.5k votes are not gonna be for her given everything about the votes for this county are identical to the 2020 election so far
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Look at the actual data from the source: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
PA doesn't require ID to vote. Biden won 81% of the total 741k Philly votes in 2020. In the 2020 Philly election there were 350k mail in votes & 340k of them were for Biden (90%)! Kamala currently holds 78.7% of the 705k votes counted in Philly. Please tell me how 90% of the remaining 84.5k votes are not gonna be for her given everything about the votes for this county are identical to the 2020 election so far
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
From the dude that's betting Trump will maintain or outperform Kam on the remaining votes to be counted which are mail ins from Philly -- which she currently received 80% of? RIP to u my friend
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Obama tweeted this for a reason: https://x.com/BarackObama/status/1853904959412338963
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
The only question here is how many votes are uncounted in Philadelphia? Is it 22% = 94,000? Kamala has 80% of mail votes in, so it's assumed that she will get 80% of the remaining. So what's the answer?
0
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Obama tweeted this for a reason: https://x.com/BarackObama/status/1853904959412338963
1
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Ppl are unestimating the amt of cheating that takes place in PA re mail in voting. This is why Biden won every critical state last election w huge vote spikes at the tail end of the count. I don't think she will win PA but it will be much closer than 2%
0
0x5Cc3b8006a376C5d861f0fB9c21CaFc6498423B3-1726170861987
6 months ago
if the ratios stay similar the remaining votes will put the spread at 1.29%
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
PA doesn't require ID to vote. Biden won 81% of the total 741k Philly votes in 2020. In the 2020 Philly election there were 350k mail in votes & 340k of them were for Biden (90%)! Kamala currently holds 78.7% of the 705k votes counted in Philly. Please tell me how 90% of the remaining 84.5k votes are not gonna be for her given everything about the votes for this county are identical to the 2020 election so far
0
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Look at Montgomery County, more votes left to count there than Cambria and Kamala's winning % there is much higher than Trump in Cambria
0
0x526b28c6143D154C5656E37774916c6EF8051a25-1730556919989
6 months ago
DeucePapi - The mathematics you are using is flawed. Use that same mathematics on Cambria and tell me how many votes are remaining in Cambria? Then add that to the 94k votes you are claiming in Philly and see if it exceeds the Est. Remaining votes... It well exceeds it
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Look at the PA state voting reports and look at how many mail in votes + provisional votes Biden got and the ratio to Trump in Philly. Kam is tracking on the same trajectory. ~85% were Biden. This market is not pricing in 85K Kamala votes to 15k Trump votes no matter how many are remaining in other counties w a handful of votes left w slight victories by trump
0
0x526b28c6143D154C5656E37774916c6EF8051a25-1730556919989
6 months ago
DeucePapi - The mathematics you are using is flawed. Use that same mathematics on Cambria and tell me how many votes are remaining in Cambria? Then add that to the 94k votes you are claiming in Philly and see if it exceeds the Est. Remaining votes... It well exceeds it
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
How do you reconcile Philadelphia at 88%? What # of votes left do they need to count?
0
MOA
6 months ago
DuecePapi - The link you showed doesnt show % counted which Philly is at 98%....Every county is at 98%+ except for Cambria at 64% which isn't mail in. It's hand counting from their voting booth issue. With current ratio there's still another 8k delta toward trump coming from that county putting the difference at 2.2% Trump. Also, they won't put more than 98% so most of those counties are at 100%
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Philadelphia, 703,760 counted, which is 88% of all votes received. This means there are ~94k left to count. Look at the NBC page, is says: 99% expected votes in (Est. remaining 98,000), "
0
MOA
6 months ago
DuecePapi - The link you showed doesnt show % counted which Philly is at 98%....Every county is at 98%+ except for Cambria at 64% which isn't mail in. It's hand counting from their voting booth issue. With current ratio there's still another 8k delta toward trump coming from that county putting the difference at 2.2% Trump. Also, they won't put more than 98% so most of those counties are at 100%
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
See for yourself here: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-president-results scroll to Philadelphia it says 88%
0
MOA
6 months ago
DuecePapi - The link you showed doesnt show % counted which Philly is at 98%....Every county is at 98%+ except for Cambria at 64% which isn't mail in. It's hand counting from their voting booth issue. With current ratio there's still another 8k delta toward trump coming from that county putting the difference at 2.2% Trump. Also, they won't put more than 98% so most of those counties are at 100%
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Don't take my word for it. See yourself https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/general/countyresultsvm?officeId=1&districtId=1&ElectionID=105&ElectionType=G&IsActive=1&countyName=PHILADELPHIA&districtName=Statewide
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
The results are gonna shock ppl. 101k votes to count, 84.5k are from Philly. They're counting mail in ballots now, where Kamala has won 87% of them (165,428 to 23,248).
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
The results are gonna shock ppl. 101k votes to count, 84.5k are from Philly. They're counting mail in ballots now, where Kamala has won 87% of them (165,428 to 23,248).
0
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
1.47% will be the final total
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
104k votes to be counted. Philadelphia is 88% in w 84,500 votes to count. Kam is currently winning 78% of all Philadelphia votes.
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
104k votes to be counted. Philadelphia is 88% in w 84,500 votes to count. Kam is currently winning 78% of all Philadelphia votes.
0
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
I got 1.9 from Philly mail ins being 80% for her
0
MOA
6 months ago
Where is everyone seeing this is going to be 1.5-2?
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Chatgpt calculated it as a 2.7% margin of victory for trump. Total votes 6,696,359. Trump=50.8%, Kam=48.1% abs difference= 2.7%
2
What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
So the speech doesn't count and basically hasn't happened yet
6
What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
This wasn't the speech bro
0
What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
This is gonna be a Uma nightmare
0
What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
If the AP does not declare a winner by November 30, 2024 ET, or Donald Trump does not give a speech between the AP declaring a winner and November 30, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to No
1
What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
So we can Buy No for everything and we'll win if AP doesn't call it by the time he finishes?
1
What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
AP has him at 267. Gonna call it for him during the speech
2
What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Wish Corey Comperatore was in here and hope Trump gives him a shout out
0
New Jersey Presidential Election Winner
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Remember Wisconsin in last election? Biden pump in the middle of the night? Nothing is impossible
0
PMURT
6 months ago
If Burlington County Flips red this is a "yes"..... never say never ha ha
New Jersey Presidential Election Winner
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Crazy that NBC still says this is too early to call
0
New Jersey Presidential Election Winner
DeucePapi
6 months ago
4 point race here. This is super close
3
New York Presidential Election Winner
DeucePapi
6 months ago
4 million more votes to count boys
1
DeucePapi
6 months ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/new-york-results
New York Presidential Election Winner
DeucePapi
6 months ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/new-york-results
0
New Jersey Presidential Election Winner
DeucePapi
6 months ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/new-jersey-results
1
New Jersey Presidential Election Winner
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Trump down by 200k votes
1
New York Presidential Election Winner
DeucePapi
6 months ago
All of my Jewish friends in NYC who voted Biden last time are are voting trump this time
2
QQQ111
6 months ago
jewish bloc vote htting the ballot box hard in brooklyn:https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1853259204624003496
New York Presidential Election Winner
DeucePapi
6 months ago
It's happened before https://nypost.com/2024/11/02/us-news/new-york-republicans-coming-out-to-vote-early-in-record-numbers/
0
Golu
6 months ago
Set your sell orders at 99.9 cents.
New York Presidential Election Winner
DeucePapi
6 months ago
The Dems let non US citizens flood NYC and somehow found billions of dollars to pay for their food & housing in hotels. They even gave them gift cards to spend $.. They spat in the face of the poor taxpaying NYCers who voted for them bc they were supposed to be prioritized.
1
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Lorne Michaels went back on his word that no candidate would be making a cameo on SNL this year. She must be struggling
1
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
I lost a ton on a Kanye West album drop when this site first launched. I was set to go and then he lost his mind and record sales
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
The show is taped in front of a live audience on Saturday nights at 8:00PM. The live show is aired live at 11:30PM.
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
I bought them a long time ago when I knew there was no chance Joe would be the candidate. My guess was they would replace him w Hillary bc she almost beat Trump before.
0
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Looking forward to losing $ after No wins and gets shafted in the Dispute system
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Looking forward to losing $ after No wins and gets shafted in the Dispute system
1
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
The show is taped in front of a live audience on Saturday nights at 8:00PM. The live show is aired live at 11:30PM.
0
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris makes an in-person appearance on Saturday Night Live by November 2, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."......The show goes until 1am. If she's on after 12:01am, it resolves to NO
2
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Lorne Michaels is a lying piece of shiatzu
1
Winning candidate also wins popular vote?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
This feels like it only exists as a hedge against the same market that allows you to pick Dem Dem or Rep Rep individually
1
yellow-tor
6 months ago
It’s hard to quickly name a more useless market for ordinary people than this one
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
OSIntdefender is now involved w this? Does he know that this place resolved a market Yes saying Israel attacked Iraq last week?
3
Winning candidate also wins popular vote?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-presidency-popular-vote?tid=1730355840504 is t this the same?
0
ScottClamFinanceMan
6 months ago
This market doesn't make sense. Kamala is projected to win the popular vote and Trump the presidency, should be around 65% NO
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Can you specify examples of consensus of credible reporting? Bc th
1
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Jesus
0
plymarket-user
6 months ago
***BIDDERS BEWARD*** See what happened here: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-iraq-before-november
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
DeucePapi
6 months ago
Replaced by Liz Cheney if anything
0
Matter15
6 months ago
Tim walz drops out by end of week, replaced by Hillary or Michelle, next debate is 1 day before in person voting.
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This market seems like one that has no choice but to be resolved in UMA -- and for this reason I'm out.
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Ground operations" and "withdrawal": The term "cease all ground operations" can be interpreted differently depending on what constitutes a "ground operation." Does it include all military activities on the ground, non-combative, defensive operations, etc or are some ground operations exempt like: IDF neighborhood patrols, IDF security checkpoints within Gaza, and IDFs ongoing participation and ground assistance with facilitating humanitarian aid in Gaza? "Withdraw all ground forces" is ambiguous as Israel will begin w partially withdrawing forces and will leave specific units in place for years to come. What constitutes a full withdrawal?
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
"Intended buffer zones": The definition of "intended buffer zones" is not clear. How is this buffer zone defined, and who determines whether a particular zone qualifies as an intended buffer zone? If it's located on internationally recognized Palestinian territory, does it need further clarification regarding the legitimacy or size of the zone? "Even if that zone is established on internationally recognized Palestinian territory": This clause is subject to interpretation regarding international law and how a buffer zone on Palestinian land is defined. Part of this 100+ year conflict is that various countries will swear with certainly that their definition is compliant w international law. Half of the UN will tell you that Israel is on Palestinian land.
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Ground operations" and "withdrawal": The term "cease all ground operations" can be interpreted differently depending on what constitutes a "ground operation." Does it include all military activities on the ground, non-combative, defensive operations, etc or are some ground operations exempt like: IDF neighborhood patrols, IDF security checkpoints within Gaza, and IDFs ongoing participation and ground assistance with facilitating humanitarian aid in Gaza? "Withdraw all ground forces" is ambiguous as Israel will begin w partially withdrawing forces and will leave specific units in place for years to come. What constitutes a full withdrawal?
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Ground operations" and "withdrawal": The term "cease all ground operations" can be interpreted differently depending on what constitutes a "ground operation." Does it include all military activities on the ground, non-combative, defensive operations, etc or are some ground operations exempt like: IDF neighborhood patrols, IDF security checkpoints within Gaza, and IDFs ongoing participation and ground assistance with facilitating humanitarian aid in Gaza? "Withdraw all ground forces" is ambiguous as Israel will begin w partially withdrawing forces and will leave specific units in place for years to come. What constitutes a full withdrawal?
0
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I apologize for saying you aren't allowed to talk shit. What I meant was you've spent an hour researching this market, buying shares, and writing comments here. Is 1 hour of your time only worth the 85 cents? Bc that's the amount of $ you stand to earn from this market. This is less than sweatshop workers and panhandlers on the sidewalk make in 1 hour
0
dav1
7 months ago
thank you for the spike in price, allowing me to buy more NO
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
15 more hours to go. Currently 4pm in Israel
0
Car
7 months ago
To those buying YES, you know this market ends tomorrow, right?😂
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Pure ignorance. The people who are betting Yes are risking 5 cents on the dollar. We don't expect to win. When were wrong, were wrong small. You're risking 95 cents to make a nickel, which you can get by looking under your couch cushion. https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1847162126441300322
0
dav1
7 months ago
Israel is fighting in Gaza and Lebanon. Do they really want to focus their attention to Iran right now? Is Iran a danger to them right now? No and no. They are creating detterence, scaring Iran, so that Iran dosen't get involved in Lebanon or Gaza... No attacks coming
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Your 17 shares of No does not meet the minimum amount of shares required to talk shit
0
dav1
7 months ago
thank you for the spike in price, allowing me to buy more NO
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Something big is about to go down: https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1847216968769667494
1
NLCS: Mets vs. Dodgers Game 4
DeucePapi
7 months ago
God the Mets are awful
0
NLCS: Mets vs. Dodgers Game 4
DeucePapi
7 months ago
LA is gonna win 8-3 aren't they?
0
loe
7 months ago
Another day another dodgers W
ALCS: Guardians vs. Yankees Game 3
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Holy shit
2
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I don't think Kamala is gonna go outside again before the election after what Brett did to her tonight
5
What will Kamala Harris say during Fox interview?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Yes
0
Chunkymonkey
7 months ago
did she say gun
What will Kamala Harris say during Fox interview?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Is she about to cry?
1
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
If it's not in my picks, you won
1
vikd
7 months ago
Did we win, border No friends?
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He's doing Pocahontas jokes and no Kamalanomics or Bidenomics. Unreal
0
Viz275
7 months ago
The last line of the speach, "we've let bidenomics ruin our economy for the last four years, we cant let kamalanomics ruin the next four"
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Who do I have to suck to get a Kamalanomics?
3
Viz275
7 months ago
Say Kamalanomics mf
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Just one long shot word on the list for the degens who don't have time for 90% markets
2
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
"And he came up to me and said, Sir...do you have any crypto kamalanomics for black men? And I said...you wanna know what I said?"
9
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He loves to listen to himself repeat these names he comes up with. I will be shocked if no
0
LaDribblerLe
7 months ago
If it's not soon it might be never.
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Kamalanomics is due
1
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Inflation is the new border
2
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This guy
0
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
What time is kickoff?
3
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
But these coins aren't for sale to the public
0
HouseAlwaysWins
7 months ago
yes, it will resolve after the public is able to receive these tokens.
Bills vs. Jets
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The refs are controlling the game
0
Bills vs. Jets
DeucePapi
7 months ago
🙏📿🙌
0
Apsalar
7 months ago
maybe just have aaron rodgers throw a hail mary instead of kicking a field goal next time
Bills vs. Jets
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Lol this kicker.
0
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
NFT = Token?
0
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Aside from honest Donald Trump, where else does it say the coin, and not the waitinglist, will be launched tomorrow at 8am EST?
1
Asherwow
7 months ago
tomorrow will be the release of the coin and will be the decider of whether trump was involved in the deployment or not
Bills vs. Jets
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Bills turnover coming up
0
Cryptozoology
7 months ago
lol now we go jets!
Bills vs. Jets
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Come on over to this side. The water is nice and warm
0
babendums
7 months ago
fucking jscam
Bills vs. Jets
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Refs are on jets side tn
0
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
No coin is being launched tomorrow, just a wait-list where interested buyers can fill out an application. You need to be an accredited investor to buy these coins. They're not normal crypto...this is like a lending platform. So they're not going to launch it for lending etc until they qualify enough ppl to supply the loans
0
TanOri
7 months ago
Ok so is this market just a scam, the wording is way to ambiguous
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
But the wait-list is being launched tomorrow, not the actual coin
0
Vulture
7 months ago
Rules are somewhat ambiguous, but the spirit of the bet is satisfied. Trump IS involved in the launch of a cryptocurrency. NO-side may win on technicality, but their arguments are dubious. If the WLFI contract is live, then it's arbitrary to claim that deployment implies buyers receiving their coins. This is not a airdrop market. Claims that Trump must be involved in operational or technical role are even more ridiculous. He has no relevant technical competence and busy with a campaign for the most powerful seat in the world. If this market was about him having operational or technical role, then price action would look very different. YES would never even reach 10%.
Bills vs. Jets
DeucePapi
7 months ago
They'll atleast get close enough where one can dump their shares for no loss
0
TXgoon92
7 months ago
All the bills panic sellers do know that the Bills get it second half right?
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Hence they won't launch the coin until enough ppl complete applications and they have enough commitments for launch
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
"A majority of the WLFI coin will be for accredited investors, with 63 percent of the token supply reserved for this group. That's specifically available to those who have a net worth of $1 million or more or otherwise meet the accredited investor threshold"....the coin isn't launching tomorrow, the waiting list is to see how many millionaire accredited investors are actually interested
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
"A majority of the WLFI coin will be for accredited investors, with 63 percent of the token supply reserved for this group. That's specifically available to those who have a net worth of $1 million or more or otherwise meet the accredited investor threshold"....the coin isn't launching tomorrow, the waiting list is to see how many millionaire accredited investors are actually interested
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Trump will be offering a token for World Liberty Financial (WLFI), which is a decentralized finance platform. The waitlist opens tomorrow at 8 a.m. ET https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-crypto-coin-has-massive-difference-bitcoin-1968782
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Trump will be offering a token for World Liberty Financial (WLFI), which is a decentralized finance platform. The waitlist opens tomorrow at 8 a.m. ET https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-crypto-coin-has-massive-difference-bitcoin-1968782
0
Bills vs. Jets
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Respect if true.
1
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Guru turned off the bot trader to join the common
Bills vs. Jets
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Guru turned off the bot trader to join the common
0
TheGuru
7 months ago
Good luck everyone!
Israel Military response against Iran when?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Absolutely. Tell us about the upcoming cyber attack
0
diligentdude
7 months ago
Am i allowed to bet if i am the military commanders brother?
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
From the WLFI sale, Trump anticipates making $300 million for the company, which would give it an overall business value of $1.5 billion.
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-crypto-coin-has-massive-difference-bitcoin-1968782
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
"Former president and Republican frontrunner Donald Trump is launching a crypto coin tomorrow, but the cryptocurrency is significantly different from many others in the crypto market".
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-crypto-coin-has-massive-difference-bitcoin-1968782
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-crypto-coin-has-massive-difference-bitcoin-1968782
1
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I lose a ton of $ on Polymarket and feel like the force is strong in you
0
Themaninthetower
7 months ago
Trump has promoted my pillow, and he even put the CEO on stage at his rallies. I would not say he was directly involved in the deployment of the pillows 😂
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Baccarat tables closed?
0
HouseAlwaysWins
7 months ago
real question, why is polymarket so popular in China according to google analytics? doesnt this mean we should have more chinese related markets?
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Tik tok...doo-doo-doodoo...Time keeps on slippin into the future: https://youtu.be/6zT4Y-QNdto
1
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He does spend a lot of time in boys locker rooms and in china
0
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
I deserve every last cent from JP1933's net worth
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Rule of cope: whichever side comments the most loses
3
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You just proved Yes. Affiliation=Involvement
2
PepeMcPew
7 months ago
For a coin that claims to have the backing of Trump and the fam, it sure is interesting it's mentioned exactly zero times in their post about revolutionizing finance. This isn't Trump's coin, he's at *best* an affiliate, getting paid to promote the coin, like they clearly say on their homepage. https://medium.com/@wlfi/world-liberty-financial-seeks-to-revolutionize-finance-with-a-defi-protocol-that-will-be-built-for-3ec1f34ae7ac
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Mental gymnastics
1
Meow.Zedong
7 months ago
Where do you all come up with these intricate details that are nowhere to be found in the rules of the market?
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
If this coin was a front to fund terrorism, Donald Trump would be arrested bc he is involved.
3
DeucePapi
7 months ago
His website says: DT Marks DEFI, LLC and its affiliates including Donald J. Trump and his family members has or may receive tokens from World Liberty Financial, and will be entitled to receive significant fees for services provided to World Liberty Financial, which amount cannot yet be determined.
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
DT Marks DEFI, LLC and its affiliates including Donald J. Trump and his family members has or may receive tokens from World Liberty Financial, and will be entitled to receive significant fees for services provided to World Liberty Financial, which amount cannot yet be determined"......it literally names Trump as someone who is being compensated for services he provided for this coin.
0
shshsh0
7 months ago
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive, definitive evidence emerges that Donald Trump was involved". Donald Trump is NOT involved in World Liberty's coin, his sons are.. Read the rules guys..
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
So you're saying that this market never had a chance to resolve Yes bc Trump doesn't have the technical process to launch a token pn the block chain?
1
Fredi9999WASP🐝
7 months ago
The deployment of a token is defined as the process of launching it on a blockchain. This includes: Creating a Smart Contract: Writing the code that defines the token's rules and functionalities. Deploying the Contract: Uploading the smart contract to the blockchain, making it live and accessible. Token Distribution: Initiating processes like sales, airdrops, or other mechanisms to distribute the tokens to users.
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He is literally the only person named on the coin launch page. What kind of mental gymnastics need to take place to convince oneself that he's not invovled
0
Kuato
7 months ago
Donald J. Trump and his family members has or may receive tokens from World Liberty Financial, and will be entitled to receive significant fees for services provided to World Liberty Financial, which amount cannot yet be determined
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://www.worldlibertyfinancial.com/
2
Vulture
7 months ago
WLFI will finalize sales, but not launch before election. Thus NO will prevail. Why? Incentives of course! Interest in the project/coin will tank if Trump loses election so the grift must commence before election. At the same time, launching a coin represents a substantial risk to his campaign, think headlines such as "Trump endorsed cryptocurrency down -50% on the day of launch". So better to delay launch to after election.
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
His website says: DT Marks DEFI, LLC and its affiliates including Donald J. Trump and his family members has or may receive tokens from World Liberty Financial, and will be entitled to receive significant fees for services provided to World Liberty Financial, which amount cannot yet be determined.
9
CFB: BYU vs. Arizona
DeucePapi
7 months ago
These trading bots are so annoying
2
CFB: Utah vs. Arizona State
DeucePapi
7 months ago
@meow11 for real
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Are there any humans trading this game tonight or just computers?
CFB: Utah vs. Arizona State
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Are there any humans trading this game tonight or just computers?
2
What will Trump say during Colorado rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Do the independent counters work for UMA?
0
Eridpnc
7 months ago
What's more likely? 10+ separate, independent counters hallucinate the word "border" or you didn't count one?
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Please lawd
0
cashnweed
7 months ago
time for gambling
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Not sure why you losers keep posting the same scam
2
EmilieEmilyToddHelm
7 months ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not. sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/news_defiant/status/1844068113450762423
49ers vs. Seahawks
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Ramen grinding comes w the 5 figure losses for me
0
TXgoon92
7 months ago
looks like you're going to be eating ramen for a while now
49ers vs. Seahawks
DeucePapi
7 months ago
When did UMA take over NFL officiating?
0
49ers vs. Seahawks
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Typical
0
05brownboy
7 months ago
if the seahawks pull it off that’s wild
49ers vs. Seahawks
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I can't even imagine what it would feel like to get some of my money back from JustKen
1
05brownboy
7 months ago
if the seahawks pull it off that’s wild
49ers vs. Seahawks
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Real nail biter tonight
0
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
UMA really has ppl mindfckd. Definitive evidence = Trump's company launching a coin -- vs -- Martin Shkreli launches Dark MAGA Coin and claims Trump is his partner.
0
Justifax
7 months ago
aenews, car, pence thing the scam will be based on something technical cucky, like trump isn't legally involved. others are betting on common sense reality, like the video he tweeted promoting it. i think common sense will win, and maybe this should be a bit higher, but who knows these days. credibility is at a low point
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
They have before: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yom_Kippur_War
2
Shekel
7 months ago
Jews don't fly on Yom Kippur ☝️🇮🇷
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
They're using CSPAN which is incomplete
0
ANudeEgg
7 months ago
Your voice to text probably doesn't pick it up because he says "Gyna".
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I'm almost done and I have 9 confirmed.
0
ANudeEgg
7 months ago
Should I dispute China No or let someone else do it?
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
And he says Chinese
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He says Asian
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He says Asian
0
Skippy-downunder
7 months ago
Does a stutter count as saying China twice? the 4th time he says chin... chinA!
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Terrorist Attax, Taxi drivers
0
Chunkymonkey
7 months ago
Tax ciunt?
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
9...he should nail #10 in his grand finale rant
1
BadMan
7 months ago
China 10?
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
For those keeping score at home: Bullshit 1, Crypto: 0
0
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
China 9?
1
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Everything is gonna hit. He's ranting until 9 tonight
0
Glover
7 months ago
Border 12 Tax 14 Kamala 22 China 8
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He doesn't like to bash govt agencies by name. Like after he got shot, he only had good things to say about the Secret Service
0
BigDoh
7 months ago
No FEMA is diabolical
Milton landfall at what category?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Fuck off
0
CharlesGalloway
7 months ago
no
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You never know w this guy
0
GlennYoungkin
7 months ago
FEMA dead?
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Y he no call it "liquid crypto"
0
Milton landfall at what category?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This market sounds like UMA hell
5
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Trump pregame music is so based
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
@haterzloserz @car am I wrong?
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Careful guys....the market is about who the documentary identifies as the creator of Bitcoin....not who Satoshi Nakamoto is
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Careful guys....the market is about who the documentary identifies as the creator of Bitcoin....not who Satoshi Nakamoto is
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
6 weeks typically
0
TwistedFate
7 months ago
how long does it usually take for markets to close after UMA settlement?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Cullen is a bitch
3
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
1:11 into the film where Back puts on the cloak at the convention. The only time that Cullen says who he thinks Satoshi is
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It was Adam back though
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Back is the only person who Cullen said he thinks is Satoshi
2
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It was Adam back though
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It was Adam back though
3
KamalaHarris-Realaccount
7 months ago
the swindlers who convinced everyone it was Adam Beck should be ashamed of themselves
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Back!!!
1
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He doesn't need to. Just has to bring it into dispute to scare enough paper hands and fomo ppl to buy into back, which would allow him to sell at a profit
0
Skinfeeler500
7 months ago
He's probably bribing uma?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Yea, but if you bought Back at .003 cents and he goes up to 5 cents bc of the dispute, you win
0
thinkingfast
7 months ago
going down the road of trying to dispute via nitpicking never works bc you have to fight the whales in UMA
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Haterz is gonna rug this entire market. You think he's just buying 4mm Adam Back bc he's emotional?
2
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
So click Resolve
0
yourrapist1777
7 months ago
This is why I love this site. The market has been settled for over an hour now and people still give you free money anyway
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This is when the real trading begins
0
SureBet745
7 months ago
"f the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin." Artistic choices to be considered?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
We'll see what UMA thinks
0
MrNFT
7 months ago
Anyone saying adam back is wasting their time
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You cant
0
PokerBrat
7 months ago
People already skipped to the ending…
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I think this is why Other isn't moving at 99.4cents
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
That he could create another acct to buy Other for $100k, and make $2mm by buying the actual winner for fractions of a penny
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
That he could create another acct to buy Other for $100k, and make $2mm by buying the actual winner for fractions of a penny
1
Helsinki
7 months ago
Damn this guy HL still dumping thousands and thousands in Adam... What does he know?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Lol the train scene on half way through the doc??
1
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
That's what I'm saying. Such loser life
1
trav
7 months ago
RNC had insider info and six figures of capital and made $16k? lol if true. HL is the king this time even though he lost.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Cullen posted "Wen Rug Pull" on Twitter right before the documentary started
0
Ravenholdt
7 months ago
Why is HL still dumping thousands into Adam Back
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Something ain't right for ppl to be holding at 99.1 rn
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
No, ppl dispute everything
0
ANudeEgg
7 months ago
You're assuming that it's going to be an unclear ending when the director has said it's not?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Diamond hands. I learned it from you dad
0
HaterzLoserz
7 months ago
Well, I had my thesis and went big, its what I do. May have been caught out by the signals coming from adam and samson, but we will see how its goes. lots of suspicious stuff with these fortune and forbes links imo, but we will see.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Stop the presses. Wen Rug Pull - Cullen Twitter https://x.com/CullenHoback/status/1843806472477855758
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
On now
0
Myrepatti
7 months ago
Is it out?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Do Other bettors understand what the UMA dispute process is like?
3
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Other 94% before the doc begins is concerning.
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://imgur.com/a/FMrvTCx
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
#1 contrarian
0
goingsocial
7 months ago
HaterzLoserz going for 2 mil
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Billy is done
0
dioretar
7 months ago
https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2024/10/08/who-is-peter-todd-the-man-named-by-hbo-as-bitcoins-mystery-creator-satoshi-nakamoto/
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This was hacked. One of the ppls name is the n-word
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
Oh shit check out the cast on IMDB. Only a few ppl… and Peter Todd at the end. https://m.imdb.com/title/tt33600145/fullcredits/cast?ref_=m_ttfc_2
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Spend like night alone?
0
WinstonChurchil
7 months ago
I'm about to do what's called a pro gamer move.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
HaterzLoserz is gonna pocket 1mm tn and there's no amount of insider bullshit thats gonna stop him
7
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Wouldn't be the first time a journalist has gotten it completely wrong bc of poly market pump propaganda
0
Justifax
7 months ago
It's possible it's not Todd but if so Billy Brambough just took a serious hit to his career.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This feels a lot like that. Where journalists start taking positions based on nonsense poly marketing pump propaganda that they find on twitter
0
Remontada
7 months ago
Crystal clear.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Anyone remember the DNC Beyonce/Taylor Swift performance market?
3
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Other bros get rekt https://www.coindesk.com/business/2024/10/08/former-bitcoin-dev-peter-todd-denies-hes-satoshi-hours-before-hbo-documentary-airs/
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
What does this mean? https://x.com/peterktodd/status/1843769829129629721
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Haterz will submit as Resolved when Adam Becks name is mentioned just wreck all of the paper handed Other holders
0
Remontada
7 months ago
HaterzLoserz, you need to leave some for the insiders!
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
They weren't allowed to use that one bc HBO didn't want liability of making Pete or Back targets of kidnapping, harassment etc
0
Justifax
7 months ago
It's possible the person below screened it, but it's also possible there are multiple endings that were sent out for a/b testing.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Not worth buying this at 80 cents, even w insider, considering the UMA factor
0
XyzBM
7 months ago
People thinking the Peter Todd leaks are fake/bait... take a look at the 2 insider accounts that scooped up all the Others ask liquidity.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I never said I was a math genius. I'm just saying that 4 days ago you could buy as much Other for 10cents as you wanted
0
BibiNetanyahu
7 months ago
25m volume, not total
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The most disappointing thing is that the top 2 insiders only stand to make a 50% return of 60k each in a $25mm market
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Over https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/1843738025198792962
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
What does UMA say?
1
mona.lisa
7 months ago
Cullen said he settled on ONE name, not multiple.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
So Peter Todd is richest man in world?
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Read Back's Twitter. He's discounting the documentary saying ppl shouldn't believe that Satoshi is who the doc says it is
1
Justifax
7 months ago
Other might not be overpriced. It's possible by accusing everyone the director gets away with saying he confronted him.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
What happens if we all ask the Discord chat to add Peter Todd to this list?
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Guys, dont panic buy Other. It will drop to 20 cents after the result gets Disputed
1
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Shonichi!!! Math student that's been compared to Newton level genius
0
Neo11
7 months ago
https://x.com/theblockcitizen/status/1843732566261846387
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You're losing your edge. Justifax isn't even upset by your posts today
1
Car
7 months ago
very real wikipedia article says Wei Dai is the creator: https://imgur.com/eiOeCP4
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This is weak dude, even for you
0
Car
7 months ago
The cast says Vili Lehdonvirta is Satoshi Nakamoto: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt33600145/fullcredits/?ref_=tt_ov_st#cast
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Welcome
1
Insider1
7 months ago
why will be only 1 winner?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The biggest whale position on this market is Craig Wright @ 400k shares.
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Bc Vandalay Industries is buying it all
2
Remontada
7 months ago
You know, Other/Mutliple has been inflating every day. I wonder why.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Samson says the subject of the doc is alive
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
A warning to traders from Samson Mow: I've been leaving a ton of hints about who HBO is probably going to say Satoshi is, but it doesn't seem anyone has clued in. All I can say is most traders on Polymarket are probably going to get rekt. https://x.com/Excellion/status/1843567554180346261
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Smart money wouldn't buy 94 cent No shares on tons of other ppl in addition to a position on Adam Back
0
informed
7 months ago
Smart money is betting on Adam Back against single delusional whale. Look at the holders
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
A warning to traders from Samson Mow: I've been leaving a ton of hints about who HBO is probably going to say Satoshi is, but it doesn't seem anyone has clued in. All I can say is most traders on Polymarket are probably going to get rekt. https://x.com/Excellion/status/1843567554180346261
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Why is @weareallsatoshi dumping?
0
Sit
7 months ago
when does the documentary drop?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
@SwaggyRach I like the diagram you made here https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EyVg59uWgAIjRc5.jpg
0
SwaggyRach
7 months ago
the asnwer is other/multiple if you notice blackrock owns majority shares in HBO and recently they bought shit ton of bitcoin through ETFs its clear it was all planned a 8 month long consolidation was just them accumulating bitcoin before Q4 since retail always enters crypto in Q4 and to match the timing they are releasing a documentary on satoshi just to prove again that satoshi is not any alive person but is indeed dead and his holding worth 60Bil+ $ is locked forever making it a viral news again and providing it a narrative to rally up with retail interest rising
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Too much Adderall for u papi. Keep it simpe
1
SwaggyRach
7 months ago
the asnwer is other/multiple if you notice blackrock owns majority shares in HBO and recently they bought shit ton of bitcoin through ETFs its clear it was all planned a 8 month long consolidation was just them accumulating bitcoin before Q4 since retail always enters crypto in Q4 and to match the timing they are releasing a documentary on satoshi just to prove again that satoshi is not any alive person but is indeed dead and his holding worth 60Bil+ $ is locked forever making it a viral news again and providing it a narrative to rally up with retail interest rising
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Well until the Office of Satoshi's Identity makes a formal statement, I think ppl are going to track w the most convincing narrative
0
HB76
7 months ago
This market is not about who is Satoshi. Its about the theory presented by HBO tonight. The most shockwaves would be created if a non US citizen would be proposed as Satoshi.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I don't know enought about Kleinan, but the fact that there was a court case involving his BTC stash w Craig Wright and the identity of Satoshi seems like a strong documentary case
0
eb..
7 months ago
I've just checked the names on this leak where it says it's david kleiman, and the names are correct, for the producers and many others. typography, layout, songs, are also all on brand. looks more likely than not that it is not a scam. very well done, if it is. but anyway, odds for this can go way higher considering all of this
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
All of the ppl nobody has ever heard of and Elon who is hiding in plain sight
1
entrpy
7 months ago
Which of the available options is a ghost like Satoshi? The answer is obvious. There's only one Wei this market will go...
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
See you at the crossroads
0
ncap
7 months ago
WEI DAI.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Based
0
Ylescaps
7 months ago
surely this is not how it ends https://imgur.com/a/FMrvTCx
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It would still have real world ramifications. Satoshi has 1mm BTC, imagine if someone unknown owned 5% of the NASDAQ
0
tomaz
7 months ago
The main thing is that this is not a betting on who Satoshi is, but a bet on who HBO thinks Satoshi is
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Szabo was at 32% when i posted
0
tomaz
7 months ago
How does 17.9% + 7.4% = ~40%
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
If there was a ~40% chance that Nick Szabo or Adam Back would be revealed as Satoshi today, the price of Bitcoin would have tanked by 50% today.
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
What are the odds that the result will be disputed?
2
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Adam Back
1
Luter
7 months ago
so lagy. Who developed this
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Can't wait to drag the newbie insiders who bet Not Mentioned/Other into UMA hell w disputes. They're gonna be shitting their pants when they realize it ain't easy money
1
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Yea, but they don't know about UMA and that's our insider upper hand
1
mona.lisa
7 months ago
After checking the ‘other’ holders, this looks insider traded
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Lol this is what I'm expecting
0
Maximemeliano
7 months ago
Guys, I watch the movie, and I was shocked. When the director asked Adam Back for the 69th time if he was Satoshi, he smirked mischievously, and that became the main proof
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
People selecting Other/Multiple are gonna get rekt. This market is here as part of HBO's marketing efforts for the documentary. They didn't get the listed names here out of the blue
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He's in the film and we're not. Who he thinking Satoshi is matters bc that's what we're betting on, papi
0
AdamWayBack
7 months ago
Note that Samson Mow probably knows just as much as we do. He confirmed that he does not know the outcome
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Feels like this market is a paid promotion by HBO x Polymarket. How did they come up w this list of names to put on here?
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
If I buy you 1000 shares of other will u stop posting about Isamu Kanamu?
0
CRYPTU
7 months ago
other is shooting up because its gonna be announced on hbo tomorrow that its Isamu Kaneko
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I'm with you. Nothing stopping this dude from making a stupid documentary that claims Craig is the inventor
0
MeVotedTwice
7 months ago
Craig Wright is the King He invent Bitcoin and he win big and me win big when he win!!!!!!!!
Saints vs. Chiefs
DeucePapi
7 months ago
NFL anything can happen
0
Getrich
7 months ago
The vaule for a 5x is crazy
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Reporting this.
0
MarilynMonroe
7 months ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TheDefiantNews/status/1843420090525725128
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Done
0
thares
7 months ago
Just bet on no on everything and call it a day lol.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Does it matter? You're betting on the name they come up with
0
informed
7 months ago
No is only choice. HBO has 0 chance to come with true name
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Sylvester Stallone is back
1
MarilynMonroe
7 months ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TheDefiantNews/status/1843420090525725128
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Missing 80% of the ppl listed here
0
Brainstormy
7 months ago
All the proof you need to know: https://x.com/artcadadesign/status/1843417677999804555?s=46
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It doesn't matter who the real Satoshi is. You're betting on who the director thinks he is
1
AdamWayBack
7 months ago
Satoshi posted on BitcoinTalk forums literally just after Sassaman gave a speech at Black Hat 2010. https://x.com/EleusisDubai/status/1843369783531843942 He cannot be satoshi
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Narrows search down to 2 people. 1 is dead. Confronts live person and eliminates them leaving the dead person as Satoshi
0
AdamWayBack
7 months ago
"In the film director Collen Hoback builds the case for his Satoshi suspect. A person he ulitmately challenges FACE TO FACE" https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid Sell Sassaman
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://x.com/Excellion/status/1842481454091223087 will be an expensive lesson to learn for you
0
topblaster
7 months ago
hes trolling
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Cullen Hoback made a documentary about the identity of Q from Q-Anon and concluded that he was Ron Watkins, one of the participants in the documentary who denied being Q. It doesn't matter who Satoshi really is, what matters is who the documentary says Satoshi is
0
kent395595
7 months ago
how does adam still hold 10% lol, he literally said it's not him - https://x.com/hodlerr0/status/1843354622796410911
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Samson Mow, one of the main dudes in the documentary, believes Satoshi is Chinese. Check his twitter
1
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Better off picking one of the nerds on the list who nobody talks about
0
Bobanoice
7 months ago
he literally FOMO-ed in shitcoins and lost money publicly and still shit posting on Twitter and you mfers think that's Satoshi LMFAOOOOOOOO
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's just another Satoshi documentary fellas. Cullen isn't breaking new info that isn't already out there or hasn't been thought of yet. Many will be disappointed at his choice bc you'll know 1,000 reasons why he's wrong, but it won't matter
0
Car
7 months ago
I can assure you he is not gonna be in the list. To be precise, they are not gonna have 1 satoshi, but multiple. Possibly the US Government.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Imagine the real Satoshi, the richest person in the world who has kept his identity a secret for 15 years, decided to participate in a HBO documentary that aimed on discovering who he is
2
AdamWayBack
7 months ago
Adam Back uses double spaces, went silent with academic publishing during Bitcoins development, said he deleted logs with Satoshi but recently posted them and they contradict with what he said back then, is from the UK (News article in the first bitcoin blog is from a UK newspaper), speaks british english, does his very best to prove he is not Satoshi, even trying to point fingers at other people.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Such a Shinichi Mochizuki thing to say
0
retardiopxwx
7 months ago
"I’ve moved on to other things and probably won’t be around in the future" that's what satoshi wrote in MAY 2011, len died in JULY 2011 if ur voting for someone else ur dumb. https://evanhatch.medium.com/len-sassaman-and-satoshi-e483c85c2b10
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Look at the cast bro https://m.imdb.com/title/tt33600145/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_1
0
justwannalosemoney
7 months ago
he buying it for everyone if you see, check it, dont try to get rate higher, adam is bad choice
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Watch every Cullen Hoback documentary and find one that doesn't have the person of interest in the cast
0
Car
7 months ago
I can assure you he is not gonna be in the list. To be precise, they are not gonna have 1 satoshi, but multiple. Possibly the US Government.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Lol Adam and three other ppl in the documentary make a case for someone else
0
topblaster
7 months ago
leak came out its Adam Back
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Car made someone buy Adam for 60cents
0
justwannalosemoney
7 months ago
can someone explain what are hell was going on?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Adam says it was invented by a Chinese person
0
Car
7 months ago
ADAM
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You must be new here
0
topblaster
7 months ago
why is others/multiple at 40% when the director said they land on a single specific person? idiots
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You can do better
0
Car
7 months ago
This is also a fun bet: https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-satoshis-identity-be-proven?tid=1728315015776
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This sounds like another UMA shit show in the making. Ppl throwing all of their $ into 1 line from the documentary, "I was positive Satoshi was Mike Tyson, or was I?"
5
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
CNN lies tho
0
Donkov
7 months ago
LEAKED Its Sasssaman. Before dying, he was uploaded on the blockchain. With quantum AI they were able to communicate https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid
Israel military response against Iran in October?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Nothing ever happens is the risk-on side in matters involving Israel military action
0
Car
7 months ago
These are some really good odds for the “nothing ever happens” gang
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Dick
0
Car
7 months ago
Yes but small
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
🔥🔥🔥
0
Andy-Beshear
7 months ago
Good job, you’re averaging about a post per share.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Chad, why dont you just buy UMA tokens and vote Yes to make yourself win? Works for the other top dogs
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Chad!!!!! My man
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Aside from justken, who the f buys UMA tokens and participates in these disputes in their free time?
0
Cryptonord
7 months ago
This is the Token Mate :)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This is wrong. UMA Twitter page not only tweets about Poly market, but gives a shout out to @justken https://x.com/UMAprotocol/status/1842942940470968597
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Can someone please tell me Polymarket doesn't use a Dispute Resolution system that sells vote tokens for $2.32/wa? https://coinmarketcap.com/community/coins/uma/top/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Thanks nigga
1
NIGGA
7 months ago
Quite many yes holders got blown the fuck out. Tough luck!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Not sure why the retardo who writes the market isn't responsible for resolving it
2
mona.lisa
7 months ago
I would honestly prefer if Polymarket abolished the UMA system, and just had a team of staff deciding.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Is there anything stopping the conflict of interest of UMA whales participating in the markets?
0
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
"decentralized" "truth" finding machine. but in reality it's just 3 whales.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The thing I learned from this is that of the 300 different places where Disputes are actually resolved, this chat log is not one of them
0
Justifax
7 months ago
Kevin Chan committed his vote yesterday and then a minute later a topholder posted on discord very confidently about the vote. It could be a coincidence of course, but I dunno. Did they communicate? Probably not but because of the 'decentralized' voting machine is so centralized and lacks transparency these issues arise.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Thanks dad
1
qnguyen301
7 months ago
never risk all of your hard-earned money one 1 bet
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
That it's over
0
EdgyUsername
7 months ago
What's the rumor
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Nahhh
0
WhaleHunter
7 months ago
It probably won’t reverse again, right?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This is how the whales end up getting everyones money
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Buy the rumor
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Lol
0
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
we got fucked bro
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Go to the beginning of this market. I was an OG here, holding Yes bags w HaterzLosers up until the very end. You got here 5 minutes ago dude
0
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
dude you bet on something you don't even believe in, for 2 days hundreds of proofs have been sent in the comments and on discord, do your own fucking research idiot
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Send me link that states this pet Israel/Lebanon/UN
0
General.William.T.Sherman
7 months ago
Idiot
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The fact remains that Israel didn't take control of Lebanese land as part of this invasion. I'm betting on UMA being a wrong piece of shit now
1
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
@unclelouie I think you are the worst piece of shit I have seen haha
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You can always look at my P/L
1
dancer
7 months ago
why advertise your ignorance?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I just had a rare change of heart. I didn't realize that UMA has already proven its retardedness on this exact issue
0
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
@unclelouie I think you are the worst piece of shit I have seen haha
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Well I just changed teams. I didn't realize that the November version of this market has already resolved to Yes...https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-enter-lebanon-before-November/will-israel-enter-lebanon-before-November
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
How does their presence in Lebanon equate to them taking control of Lebanese land?
0
General.William.T.Sherman
7 months ago
Hard to argue Israel isn’t holding land when they are clearly advancing as we speak. Only questionable thing that could be argued is whether it commenced before 11:59pm eastern on the 30th and it did.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
If you're getting yes, you're betting on the stupidity of UMA and how it resolves to a vibe instead of what it's supposed to
0
Justifax
7 months ago
One of the reasons I hate the UMA process is the orthogonal insider info that veterans can use to take money away from folks just trying to bet on "did they invade". For example, which UMA voters have a high accuracy rate on disputed markets? What's their connection to the chain for reveals like? Do they know the identity of btl and their potential biases? The list goes on and all of these details are not relevant to the underlying question.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The guy who knows what the next part is doesn't buy 20k Yes shares at 65cents right before the price goes down to 42cents/share
3
Ravenholdt
7 months ago
No holders getting nervous? Refill your popcorn, you'll love this next part.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You don't even need to do this foreboding foot stomping...you want other ppl to buy more Yes but you haven't
0
mona.lisa
7 months ago
Now up to 25% yes on UMA. Whales incoming. It's over for the nos.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Shots fired
2
Meow.Zedong
7 months ago
@JustKen I realized you didn’t deserve a shred of respect when someone encouraged you to buy more ‘No’ shares in the comments and you replied stating something near verbatim to “I don’t like to have any shares during the UMA vote dude’. Then you proceeded to buy 25k more ‘No’ shares. I mean, really. Could you be any more of a bitch?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Is this over in ~8 min?
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
🚨🚨🚨🚨 nerd alert 🚨🚨🚨🚨
1
DFK
7 months ago
people asking if Yes still stands a chance: statistically in an evenly distributed voting right system, the answer would be no. Here Yes hangs on to the possibility (remote?) that a few heavyweight would vote against consensus. What we already have in hands is an idea of the consensus, statistically significant (imagine early results coming like that in the presidential election for example: the outcome would be crystal clear).
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Israel invaded Lebanon on 9/30 to kill Hezbos, but it wasn't, and still isn't, an invasion to take control of land, which is what the definition of invasion is in this market
0
BenCM
7 months ago
So there was an invasion on 30 September which has continued to the present. What's the yes case from here, with the market moving against it.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Bro, being greedy is betting YES on a historical event that didn't happen w the intention of taking advantage of the broken UMA resolution process
0
niverse
7 months ago
Be greedy when others are fearful
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Big boy
0
fhantombets
7 months ago
:boom:
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Polymarket has the most at stake here. Their entire platform will lose credibility if their market resolution system and all it's fail-safes get a historical event completely wrong
0
Phoenix777
7 months ago
I smell YES burning
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Poly is responsible for it and this joke of a semantics-based market resolution process that has nothing to do with actual information
0
Meow.Zedong
7 months ago
Bro, you’re about to be the face of bad press Polymarket lol
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Elon = time traveler
0
addicts
7 months ago
no way ppl actually think elon is satoshi
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Why don't they put the Einsteins who write the markets in charge of resolving them?
0
Justifax
7 months ago
so far 17 p2 voters to 8 p1 voters, but of course share ownership matters. it comes down to 2 voters basically. btl and kevin chan
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This is one of those gaslighting markets like when ppl were betting 80% that FTX Caroline Ellison would get 0 prison time
0
Phoenix777
7 months ago
No
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Just trying to catch up here. Has there been official confirmation from Lebanon, Israel, the UN or a consensus of "credible" media sources saying that Israel entered Lebanon w intent to establish control over their land?
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Chad ftw
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Why did he sell half his position?
0
Phoenix777
7 months ago
Me to
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
So why did you buy YES??
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Atta boy
0
HaterzLoserz
7 months ago
Im back to the 70k shares i had before Sept30th ;)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Should get their jobs slashed
1
Cryptonord
7 months ago
Many UMA People are gonna get their rewards Slashed :/ lol
Jets vs. Vikings
DeucePapi
7 months ago
For sure
1
empires
7 months ago
The Vikings will win for sure
CFB: Miami vs. California
DeucePapi
7 months ago
🙌
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Either way, a huge embarrassment for this platform, who made such a specific market and can't seem to resolve it several days after the fact despite everyone knowing exactly what happened. The fact that ppl are betting both sides is a testament to how unreliable the resolution mechanism is
6
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
Whichever side has a higher price will win
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Stahp
0
nnimrodd
7 months ago
New video guide to Polymarket https://x.com/nnimrodd/status/1841767556551491914
What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
We got it.....on every market available
1
nnimrodd
7 months ago
Shot this guide to Polymarket https://youtu.be/1vj7jnA2Pyg
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
JD 2028
1
WhaleCloud
7 months ago
Idk why he’s been claimed as weird or unliked. He’s one of my favorite people to listen to. Even when I disagree, he articulates his points so I understand why we disagree. He’s the best.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
100%
0
RoAsc
7 months ago
i wonder if vacne kept saying "i grew up in a middle class family" intentionally as a troll to kamala. kek.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The same ppl who said Biden/Trump debate was a draw are also saying this debate was a draw...
3
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
All functionality on this site started to suck majorly over the past 4 days
0
nola72324
7 months ago
Can we all agree that the Polymarket comment functionality fucking sucks? And is going to completely break down on Election Day?
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
"Kamala brings politics of joy". Who wants that?
0
RRR1989
7 months ago
wow Walz going down lol
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Further proving No is correct
0
McLarry
7 months ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I think the idea is that Walz would win the debate in the polls even if he didn't show up for the debate
0
n/a
7 months ago
How is anyone watching this and buying walz
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Tim 2028
2
What will JD Vance say during the VP Debate?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Def not
0
Bryan1316
7 months ago
No way he said Kamala 30+ times… right?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
If you think you'll win bc some whale pushed the Resolve Yes button early, you've got something else coming
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's scary how many Yes people still can understand that this market only resolves to Yes if the intention of the IDF entering Lebanon is to take control of real estate - like they did in Gaza - the type of maneuver where they plant an Israeli flag in the ground if successful.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Read up on Land Warfare Strategies - particularly Territorial Acquisition
0
x3x3
7 months ago
Shit. Totally overlooked the part with the flag in the rules.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's scary how many Yes people still can understand that this market only resolves to Yes if the intention of the IDF entering Lebanon is to take control of real estate - like they did in Gaza - the type of maneuver where they plant an Israeli flag in the ground if successful.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Such a small peepee move
0
PBet
7 months ago
Who is the lowlife that constantly adjusts to offer .1 more than the highest bid?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Exactly, the difference between the two markets is everything. Why create two distinct markets that deal with IDF entering Lebanon if you're not going to bother distinguishing them at resolution?
1
SimonFafe
7 months ago
The interpretation is pretty clear here because there is another market that covers any Israeli military personel entering Lebanon, and therefore does not excludes special operations like the one that happened yesterday.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Are you retarded? The market is whether or not the troops are there to capture real estate
1
McLarry
7 months ago
Just to be clear, and so there's no flip afterward, if there are Israeli troops in Lebanon right now, then this market is a yes, right Ken? Not that you're looking for another narrative change later
Diddy released from custody before November?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He will get released
0
MuchAdo2BRN2B
8 months ago
i.e., what if he dies while in custody? How will this be resolved?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Over/under side bets on how many times I'll get logged out before midnight
2
FalC0N
7 months ago
any side bets on whether it hits 50 before or after midnight ET?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It Ain’t What You Don’t Know That Gets You Into Trouble. It’s What You Know for Sure That Just Ain’t So
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Their intention
0
Polygon-RogerRabbit
7 months ago
If IDF entered and their forces were shot and killed what is the difference? RIP
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
How do you consistently look at facts and interpret the exact opposite of what's in front of you?
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The smart money is slowly switching to Yes.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Chatgpt I think
0
Adrimarket
7 months ago
what's the next step ? im new to this who is gonna decide
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
☝️ what he said
0
YatSen
7 months ago
this market lacks liquidity and can easily flip
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Whales are waiting for ppl to dump, pick up cheap No and dispute
0
Coram_Deo
7 months ago
Somebody must dispute Yes in 1 h 30 min
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
YatSen in the house....on the No side
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
• The Israeli military says it has begun “a limited ground operation” in southern Lebanon targeting Hezbollah. There will be “no long-term occupation” of Lebanon, Israeli officials said, but declined to provide a timeline. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk/index.html
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He disputed himself?
0
aLaT
7 months ago
its the same guy that proposing before
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Where does it talk about them seizing Lebanese real estate?
0
Cedarville
7 months ago
https://www.meforum.org/israel-launches-extensive-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon "However, the scale and intensity of the operation suggest a more extensive campaign than initially indicated. The Commanding Officer of the IDF Northern Command, Major General Ori Gordin, has met with the commanders of the 98th, 91st, and 36th Divisions to approve plans for an expansion of fighting in the North, indicating a well-coordinated and potentially prolonged operation."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Hezbollah = targets .... Hezbollah = People
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Read what you're posting" Israel has launched its expected ground incursion into Lebanon on early Tuesday, with "limited" raids against Hezbollah targets in the border area, the Israeli military said."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Read what you're posting" Israel has launched its expected ground incursion into Lebanon on early Tuesday, with "limited" raids against Hezbollah targets in the border area, the Israeli military said."
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
No, no they didn't
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Nope
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The IDF has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Uh ohhh
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The IDF has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Go away herb
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
On what grounds? Any attempt to dispute what are now confirmed facts by Israel, the IDF, and a massive consensus of credible reporting would simply be an attempt to market fix--a serious criminal offense.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
What county? We're all in London, mate
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Thinking of attempting to engage in market fixing? You do know that's a serious criminal offence punishable by several years in jail, right?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Nah
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel has now confirmed!!! See below!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The Israeli military says it has begun “targeted ground raids” on villages in southern Lebanon......bro, you're gonna get rekt if you aren't objective about what's going on here
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
The country of Israel has now CONFIRMED!!! It's Yes! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Lol nope!
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israeli military has now confirmed! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Even Haterzlosers is starting to dump
0
duckduck
7 months ago
Ima be eating good off yesser moneeey
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
See what you did there at the end with the parentheses. (You're drawing your own inference that isn't there).
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Both! As clearly stated by Netanyahu in concert with the entire Israeli cabinet, as well as the US State Department, Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's pretty simple fellas. Look at any article you share and ask the question, "are they going after people or real estate"?
4
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
They're going after people in villages, not the real estate
0
McLarry
7 months ago
The establishment of the military exclusion zone, which is enforced with the use of ground troops, fulfills the rules of this market
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Pence just eating up the yes game
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Have faith in the poly market resolution system that it always produces the right resolution and fairly evaluates disputes
0
Moondog
7 months ago
NBC News says the Israeli ground operation in Lebanon "appears to have begun" according to two U.S. officials -- NBC says the officials don't have independent confirmation "but the timing tracks with what the Israelis notified the U.S. it had planned."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's about whether or not bag holders can survive another 5 hours
0
bbman1214
7 months ago
Like honestly this market isnt even about if they go into lebanon only if they commence an operation to go in
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The question isn't whether or not it's happened yet. We all know it's happened. The issue at hand is how long is it going to take for official media to report and how much of a pain in the ass will the resolution process be
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Invasion confirmed once again! https://dawnmena.org/dawn-statements-in-response-to-israels-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
IDF spokesman asks media not to report. https://x.com/IDFSpokesperson/status/1840844151803330708
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The IDF urges against 'spread of irresponsible rumors' regarding movements of troops along the Israeli-Lebanese border "In recent hours there have been many reports and rumors about IDF activity on the Lebanese border. We ask not to transmit reports about the activities of the forces, due to the security of our forces. Stick to the official reports only and do not spread irresponsible rumors."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The IDF urges against 'spread of irresponsible rumors' regarding movements of troops along the Israeli-Lebanese border "In recent hours there have been many reports and rumors about IDF activity on the Lebanese border. We ask not to transmit reports about the activities of the forces, due to the security of our forces. Stick to the official reports only and do not spread irresponsible rumors."
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I wonder if the ground invasion story was disinformation aimed to find out who the leak in the white house is
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You don't need to help the No ppl anymore. Let them sell us shares for cheap
1
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Limited ground invasion vs entire region invasion papi
0
DT24
7 months ago
exactly. limited ground operation. not gaining control over territory.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
We know we have 7 hrs and 20 mins to dump yes before it's $0. How much time do you have to dump No?
1
DT24
7 months ago
Sell quickly. It's not too late.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
8 more hours no bros. Hodl
0
EPL: Bournemouth vs. Southampton
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Wtf
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
🚗 ⚰️💀
0
Car
7 months ago
I recommend everyone to read the rules very clearly
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Mazel tov
2
HaterzLoserz
7 months ago
Gentlemen, its been a pleasure.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Just the Jihadists
2
NothingEverHappens
7 months ago
Jews are gonna turn the arabs to past tense.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's already been resolved. Just waiting for the news to report it
0
Phat.
7 months ago
who's holding till its resolved ?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
9:15pm Israel time. Just 9 hours and 45 mins to go and Israel never starts their attacks until midnight
0
Car
7 months ago
quick quick buy more
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Just 10 short hours left No bros. Hang in there
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It seems unlikely that Israel is going to squander this incredible window of opportunity that it has spent the past month blowing up the entire Middle East for
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It seems unlikely that Israel is going to squander this incredible window of opportunity that it has spent the past month blowing up the entire Middle East for
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Wowwo
0
Remontada
7 months ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840812982571270189
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
That a war market 90% isn't the same as other market's 90% bc of volatility
1
n/a
7 months ago
what does that mean?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You have a long 10 hours ahead of you, sir
1
Car
7 months ago
🚗🚗🚗 they have said they are entering to destroy infrastructure. Not to controll the area. Do yall even read the rules? lol
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Typical 🚗 sewing seeds of doubt as he lays a bread crumb trail of the shares he bought up to ridic prices
0
Car
7 months ago
I dont know why you guys are buying this. IDF has announced BEFORE the invasion that the intention is to have a limited invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This market should be at least 50/50 now.
1
Phat.
7 months ago
pay usssssssss
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Media in Israel is reporting that the Israeli Invasion of Southern Lebanon is set to begin as soon as it receives Final Approval tonight from the Israeli Security Cabinet, which is currently meeting in Tel Aviv.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Bro trying to call for a ceasefire after not saying one thing to hezbo about firing rockets nonstop into Israel for the past year.
2
HaterzLoserz
7 months ago
"im comfortable with them stopping" might be the weakest shit ever uttered by a US president lol
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is currently meeting with Members of the Security Cabinet, where discussions will be had about the Situation along the Northern Front; following the Meeting, Netanyahu will then hold Consultations with Senior Military and Defense Leaders. (Translation: it started 3 hours ago)
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Bc they have 7 guys left
0
Remontada
7 months ago
From Hezbollah a second ago: ⭕ Peace be upon you, We kindly request everyone in all areas of Lebanon to refrain from taking any photos or videos of anything you see in the sky. We have now entered a new phase of the war, and it is religiously prohibited to share any footage. Please refrain from any filming. Thank you.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Israel will invade when the yes market his 12cents
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Israel will not have a better opportunity to do this if they're gonna do it
0
0x2249D9878161e823e957366beb735bA6333445f1-1720929847242
7 months ago
are we invading or nah
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
US is guaranteed to leak anything Israel tells them. No wonder why they keep the Biden clowns in the dark
0
Justifax
7 months ago
https://x.com/ABC/status/1840792558265327937
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
1/2 sandwich soon
2
Phat.
7 months ago
sell your 100 No and go buy a sandwich , support the local deli
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Biden administration has done it 6x in 4 years...prob more than any president in history.
0
Aquati
7 months ago
Full evacuation it's very very hard
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Anyone else in on this? https://polymarket.com/event/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-september-30/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-september-30
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Hezbollah just launched short range ballistic missile, first time it's used this, which is exactly what the invasion is going to prevent
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
11 hrs 34 mins
0
FamilyCapital
7 months ago
YES holder, which next few hours gonna happen? could you be more specific. TY.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Iran cant do anything. They don't want the world to see Israel call their bluff.
0
Foreseeable.
7 months ago
You know what will also happen in this escalation within the next 24hs for much more than 3%? Iran hits Israel, as it has in the past as retalliation. https://polymarket.com/event/iran-military-response-before-october/iran-military-response-before-october?tid=1727711343710
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Me too...used to do watching shifts w my sister waiting for the Welcome to the Jungle video to come on
0
UndefeatedElectionForecaster
7 months ago
i remember when mtv was about music
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Good day for you
2
HaterzLoserz
7 months ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840780453541773514
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Nobody arguing w you
2
Mr.Wellington
7 months ago
The key condition for the market to resolve to "Yes" is that Israel must launch a military offensive with the intent to establish control over part of Lebanon. If the stated goal of the operation is a limited incursion, even if ground forces are deployed, and there is no mention of controlling or holding territory, it would not meet the criteria for the market to resolve to "Yes."
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Holy f. Pence is all in
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Israel’s Ground Invasion of Southern Lebanon, which is expected to begin as early as tonight, will be Preceded by a Significant Wave of Strikes by the Israeli Air Force, Navy, as well as Artillery stationed in the Border in an attempt to “Soften” Hezbollah Positions.
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Local time Israel: 6:45pm. Just 12 hrs and 15 min more No bros and my $ is yours
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This is a market that tries to handicap the IDF so it does make sense that 87% of ppl think Israel wouldn't do something that it just did
0
Hamurabi
7 months ago
The Yes went from 13c to 95c in one hour and then straight for resolution and the Yes guys want to convince us that this is perfectly normal and and just happened because it's true 🤣🤣🤣
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
U okay bro?
0
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
see you guys in 17 hours
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
No holders trapped
0
sd2333
7 months ago
https://x.com/Liz_Friden/status/1840772760873619721 FOX NOW
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
No ppl have major balls here to stick this out hoping that the media doesn't call this an invasion.
3
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
So many No ppl on here got rekt fading IDF --- the one army that will only make moves when everyone is 90% sure they won't
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Thanks for the insight
1
CometoJesusMoment
7 months ago
not invaded yet, but entered now.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
@Fatman1 now is not the time to panic. That comes later. It's not even 4pm in Israel. We have a lot of time left
0
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
see you guys in 17 hours
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
DYOR
0
Caligulas.dog
7 months ago
Which credible reporting? Care to link some sources
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You have 300 shares bro, relax.
1
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
see you guys in 17 hours
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Huh?
0
Car
7 months ago
So, no time mentioned in all articles + no clear reason why they explored the tunnels. So far not enough to resolve to Y
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Don't be nervous bro
0
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
beating a dead horse
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
‘Within hours’: Ground invasion fears as Israel pounds Lebanon https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/world/israel-begins-new-air-raids-on-dozens-of-hezbollah-targets/news-story/6887c5c1ed847085afefa1e7e26f1ac7
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2024/09/28/reports-israel-sends-small-commando-missions-into-lebanon/
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Major attack happening in Beirut now. 1am Israel time. This could be the night
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Imagine risking $8.5k for a $500 return and being wrong. The difference is that if Israel bettors are wrong, they lose small. If they're right they win big.
0
MyLossIsYourGain
7 months ago
imagine not going for 1000% APR.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
These 24 hours include 2 nights in in Lebanon, when Israel loves to strike
2
Car
7 months ago
24 hours and a 7% ROI. Ill take that.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I do very well. I have hundreds in the bank
0
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
can you afford that
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Bibi called, he said pack your bags extra heavy bc we're taking a trip to lebanon
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It happens quickly. Anyone who fades Israel is playing w fire
0
Prophet👻
7 months ago
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822290 Rumors so far are false. But 'yes' holders shouldn't loose hope yet.
CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Use incognito mode
0
jtcoloma
7 months ago
Is anyone else having difficulty selling shares?? They are not showing up in my available balance.
CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Carson Beck is 5-of-15 for 44 yards, 2 INTs and a safety.
1
CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It wouldn't surprise me to find out tomorrow that he was on LSD for this game
3
AiBets
7 months ago
Is carson beck mentally ill
CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama
DeucePapi
7 months ago
They need to put his ass on the bench already
0
AiBets
7 months ago
Is Carson Beck the worst player in NCAAF
CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama
DeucePapi
7 months ago
GA QB is a ritard
1
CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The GA QB threw one of the cleanest picks I have ever seen.
0
MrNFT
7 months ago
Georgia is so cooked
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Metallica makes me want to rip lines backstage w Don Jr
0
Anti-ScamLawyer
7 months ago
Haha yeah who is picking his music
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Jams are 🔥🔥🔥 tn
0
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Like a WWE match
0
bulborb
7 months ago
Lol interesting song choice
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
They also took out all 18 topdogs in the Hezbo squad in under a week.
0
Pidor🐓
7 months ago
guys the most elite army in the world blew a neighborhood to smithereens targeting this guy and there's a month on the clock. get off twitter and rub your temples really hard
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
So many happenings w.israel right now.
0
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Mossad Commentary pinned it to the top of his page. He's never confirmed info that turned out to be false and has ~500k followers. Do you tho https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839727363380146374
0
Car
7 months ago
a random telegram channel..?
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Please keep fading Israel. I like $15k away from breaking even and need ur help
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Need to finish the job
0
Prophet👻
7 months ago
Israel got what it wanted, a crippled enemy - there won't be any ground action. Highly unlikely.
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's over https://x.com/JewsAreTheGOAT/status/1839752778916475329
0
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
No, he's under 60 feet of rubble stretching 3 miles wide. It's gonna take them a few mins to find him
0
Car
7 months ago
regretting buying NO yet , NO holders?
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You need to buy 1 share to be taken somewhat seriously here
0
n/a
7 months ago
Nasrollah is alive
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Sewing seeds of doubt. Look at this explosion in Beirut. Israel doesn't drop bombs like this 5 blocks away from the US embassy unless they know what they're doing. https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839699230710988966
0
Car
7 months ago
yall pricing it like you guys are senior hezbollah officers lmao. how are you guys so sure?
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The US is the only one who pretends its leader is in charge and isn't dead.
0
Car
7 months ago
in the end, hezbollah decides about who is in charge and who is dead. not IDF.
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839736591302176772
0
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
CNN is not a credible news source
2
sd2333
7 months ago
https://x.com/FirasMaksad/status/1839723859333009905 CNN ANALYST Nasrallah is dead, targeted with #Iran commander for #Lebanon and #Syria according to a reliable source. Today is a major escalatory inflection point in #Israel’s campaign, irrespective if this proves true or not. cnni
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
How do you scam here? Teach me
0
Justifax
7 months ago
Sort of sad how people come to the site maybe to see what's up and then there is the piece of shit scammer Car and think this is what polymarket is all about that. Anyways, truth is that we are dealing with fog of war. If the market reflected reality, there would be very large spread. Right now it's just degenerate gambling.
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
They don't want ppl to know the head of the snake has been cut off
1
Remontada
7 months ago
Ah yes. The very reliable IRCG news.
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Video of bombing https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839699230710988966
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Have you seen videos of the bombs that Israel drops on its targets? He's not gonna crawl out of there w some light scratches
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Have you seen videos of the bombs that Israel drops on its targets? He's not gonna crawl out of there w some light scratches
0
sd2333
7 months ago
I have a stubborn source from within the system who has been claiming for an hour and a half that Nasrallah is gone, the top of Hezbollah is gone. He knows that if it is not true, he will be fired. And he insists. ISRAELI JOURNALIST 400k FOllowers https://x.com/BenCaspit/status/1839711406620365111
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Zing
0
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
In the event of Nasrallah's passing, the next in line to lead Hezbollah is Rashida Tlaib.
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Nasrallah is dead
0
Car
7 months ago
JustKen, buying YES after 40,000 TONS of explosions got dropped on Nasrallahs head. Such a smart trader!
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah was reportedly the target of the Israeli strike on the central headquarters of Hezbollah, located under a residence in Dahiyeh, Beirut.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The White House is pushing so hard for a ceasefire bc they don't want this October surprise to get Trump elected
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
Bibi just got $8.7B. Will he wait for Hezbollah to re-appoint the eliminated commanders, man the tunnels, reload missiles and set traps all over the border villages?
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
And now we know what the October surprise is.
0
Justifax
7 months ago
Absolutely, the strategy all along was to spent 100s of billions on bombing and iron domes so that Hez could re-establish its presence in south lebanon. 40D chess!!
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Here we go again. Ceasefire back on the table
0
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Such a tired ass argument. The $ that the U.S. gives Israel is like 0.00001% of U.S. federal spending. As your boyfriend Biden said, "were there not an Israel, the United States of America would have to invent an Israel to protect her interest in the Middle East". Iran & the Muslim Brotherhood want to topple the US as much as they do Israel... check out the US Embassy Beirut bombing in 82. Hezbollah my dude. Common enemies.
0
bakayo33 - 9934
7 months ago
But they know they aren't going it alone! Just got another 8.7 billion from the US, should be enough til the end of the year.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
By launching the ground invasion, Israel has the chance to eliminate Hezbollah, return the 100k displaced citizens to their home, and help get pro Israel Trump elected by scaring the shit out of America into not voting for Kamala bc nobody wants her at the negotiating table. This is your October Surprise. https://www.theepochtimes.com/world/israeli-military-chief-orders-forces-to-prepare-for-possible-ground-assault-into-lebanon-5729892 Hopefully it starts in Sept.
0
Will Biden finish his term?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Kamala replacing him is gonna be the October surprise to give her a boost when she starts sinking in the polls
1
Giants vs. Cowboys
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I've only looked at his NFL picks. His card from Sunday was godlike. I think he went something like 9-2 on all dogs.
2
TheGuru
7 months ago
If helloworld12 has bet on the cowboys that's not a good sign. Every time I bet against him he wins lol
Giants vs. Cowboys
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Quite the profound take here. Feels like you see the markets as either trading opportunities or bets....where I see them as opportunities to lose bets.
0
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
Let's bet on this shit!!!!
Giants vs. Cowboys
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Dude loves the underdogs too which says a lot about his pick tonight
0
TheGuru
7 months ago
If helloworld12 has bet on the cowboys that's not a good sign. Every time I bet against him he wins lol
Europa League: Braga vs. Maccabi TLV
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Holy fuck
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Gaza is a different animal. Hamas is holding hostages. Hezbollah is firing rockets....hence both Israel and Lebanon can agree to stop bombing each other
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
If Israel had an appetite for ceasefire, where’s the Gaza one?
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The opposite of ceasefire isn't invasion
0
ActDrew
7 months ago
It was only yesterday they activated 2 brigades and moved them to the northern border...
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The happening is israel bombing Lebanon to fuck. A deal to stop this isnt
0
MicR
7 months ago
toplel, typical with such "news". Nothing ever happens.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
What reality do you live in? Hezbollah has been firing thousands of rockets into Israel for the past year and displaced 100k ppl in the north. This is why Israel is fighting back.
1
CometoJesusMoment
7 months ago
no ceasefire. this is a policy, the US cannot openly support Israeli aggression, we will see in the next few hours that nobody will comply with this declaration, what happens on the ground and what is on paper are different in the Middle East.
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Market should resolve Deez Nuts; https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/09/25/joint-statement-by-the-united-states-australia-canada-european-union-france-germany-italy-japan-saudi-arabia-united-arab-emirates-qatar/
0
Republican
7 months ago
"temporary pause in the Israel-Hezbollah military conflict, must pertain to all theaters of military conflict between the two COUNTRIES"........ ah yes, my favorite country, HEZBOLLAH. Since Israel is not making peace with another country, market should resolve No.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Hezbollah has been firing rockets indiscriminately into Israeli residential neighborhoods for the past 11 mo & now biden wants to call for a ceasefire bc Israel is fighting back. So typical
1
Mr-Yolos
7 months ago
new whitehouse statement!! https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/09/25/joint-statement-by-the-united-states-australia-canada-european-union-france-germany-italy-japan-saudi-arabia-united-arab-emirates-qatar/
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Drink deez nuts https://news.sky.com/story/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-gaza-war-latest-sky-news-live-blog-12978800
1
bakayo33 - 9934
7 months ago
You can lead a horse to water, but you can not make them drink.
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Reporters? Dudes on Twitter have connects in the army and break stories
0
Justifax
7 months ago
LOL... you honestly think there are reporters at the border car? Are you really that stupid or scamming again?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839057125978550308
0
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Hezbollah infiltrators killed
1
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It sounds like Hezbollah dudes blitzed Israel to get hostages
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Some newsworthy shit about Hezbollah entering Israel feels like it's happening
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Some newsworthy shit about Hezbollah entering Israel feels like it's happening
0
FilthyAnimal
7 months ago
multiple incidents apparently
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Wow this is the most intense we've seen it
1
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1839057760496824553
1
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I think we have to wait for Israel and/or Hamas to formally acknowledge the event.
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
How do we submit this for resolution?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1839053656118751510
0
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
How do we submit this for resolution?
0
FilthyAnimal
7 months ago
Well this just happened
WNBA: Aces vs. Storm Game 2
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Aces were killing it in Q1 and lost Q2, Q3 looking exhausted
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
WNBA is straight up chaos.
What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Look at these words. Is Tim Walz in 5th grade?
7
WNBA: Aces vs. Storm Game 2
DeucePapi
7 months ago
WNBA is straight up chaos.
0
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Love that 🥷
0
Car
7 months ago
Judge Kaplan never disappoints.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
We made it bro
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
The possibility of no prison time is so surprising that it made news
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You fucks really gaslit me. I believed I was retarded for thinking she would go to prison.
5
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Not worth the stress
0
Justifax
7 months ago
congrats unclelouie
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
So this is what it feels like
6
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
24 mo!!!
1
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
18 mo son
0
eb..
7 months ago
people are pretending. but no one knows. anything can happen now. any kind of sentence. this judge has his own way of thinking
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Let's get this over w. Ken, take my money
1
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
No time dropping like a rock
0
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Wtf
0
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Judge trying to smahs
2
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He said 110 years. Wouldn't have said that if he was gonna give her 0
2
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I actually know
0
eb..
7 months ago
no one knows at this point
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I didn't hear no bell
0
MeNoDatNutReelMuni
7 months ago
congrats to the YES
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Can't be max of 111 years or min of 0 years
0
-nothingburger-
7 months ago
Kaplan continues to talk about how, under the guidelines, he is allowed to show leniency to a defendant who provides “substantial assistance to the government.”
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Kaplan 18 mo classic please
1
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
And writing a math book for kids
0
0xc26E37C84509c72b58171bEc9286fa83c73f5366-1719543164274
7 months ago
"The human brain is truly bad at understanding big numbers" - Caroline Ellison (who has a degree in mathmatics) LOL
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
She said "lenient sentence"..
0
mona.lisa
7 months ago
Assistant US Attorney Danielle Sassoon is addressing the court now. She talks about Ellison deserving “leniency” right off the bat.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's a charade. They promised her they'd do it if she helped them make xla career defining case
3
mona.lisa
7 months ago
Assistant US Attorney Danielle Sassoon is addressing the court now. She talks about Ellison deserving “leniency” right off the bat.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The judge knows she's only sorry bc she got caught
0
fdsasacc
7 months ago
Literally no new information has come out, but this market is moving dramatically?
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Judge on TV: understand these numbers....
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The human brain is truly bad at understanding big numbers,” she said while sniffling.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The human brain is truly bad at understanding big numbers,” she said while sniffling.
2
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Bet against me and you'll get there
0
MeNoDatNutReelMuni
7 months ago
I wish i could help steal billions and get no jail time
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Judge considering that she has to go through life looking like Caroline Ellison
6
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Like this post if you're more nervous than Caroline rn
6
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It does matter what we think bc the justice system is setup to deter crime.
0
Mike2025
7 months ago
It doesn't matter what we think. All that matters is what the judge sentences her to. We're here to make money.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I've read a bunch of Kaplan's past rulings and couldn't find a case where he gave a white collar criminal 0 days in jail. His beliefs, especially in high profile cases, are that jail sentences should serve as a deterrent for others.
3
MeNoDatNutReelMuni
7 months ago
I can't see how the judge can give one person 25 years and the other 0 as a co-conspirator even though you testified. Best she can hope for is 2 years
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This ruling will set a benchmark for Nishad Singh and Gary Wang who he's scheduled to sentence next month...
2
DeucePapi
7 months ago
If No jail time wins, I'm done w poly. I have such a difficult time betting on the outcome that makes no sense to me just bc it's a high %
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
If No jail time wins, I'm done w poly. I have such a difficult time betting on the outcome that makes no sense to me just bc it's a high %
5
MeNoDatNutReelMuni
7 months ago
I can't see how the judge can give one person 25 years and the other 0 as a co-conspirator even though you testified. Best she can hope for is 2 years
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Group think. Aside from what fake news tells you, can anyone explain why a tough on financial crime judge will give 0 days jail time to a girl who was the CEO of a $10b fraud co, pleaded guilty to all charges, & didn't get an immunity agreement prior?
1
0xc26E37C84509c72b58171bEc9286fa83c73f5366-1719543164274
7 months ago
Scroll down through the comments or just internet search Caroline Ellison and you will find recent articles that have attorneys saying they think she will get no prison time. At least that's why I think no prison time is so high odds.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Frank DiPascali – Sentenced to 125 years, though he passed away before serving time. Daniel Bonventre – Sentenced to 10 years in prison. Annette Bongiorno – Sentenced to 6 years in prison. JoAnn Crupi – Sentenced to 6 years in prison. Jerome O'Hara – Sentenced to 2 ½ years in prison. George Perez – Sentenced to 2 years in prison.
0
Justifax
7 months ago
cooperators in bernie madoff didn't get time. I think they will let her go to send a message to other financial folks - cooperate!
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
In the 1997 case, Judge Kaplan reduced the sentence of Solomon Sprei due to the potential impact on his children and his significant community contributions, despite the large-scale fraud involved. This suggests that Judge Kaplan may consider personal and mitigating factors in Ellison's case, especially given her cooperation with prosecutors and early acceptance of responsibility. However, he is also conscious of the severity of financial crimes, as seen in his insistence that Sprei still serve prison time. For Ellison, while her cooperation is a strong mitigating factor that will likely lead to a more lenient sentence, Judge Kaplan is likely to balance this against the magnitude of the fraud she was involved in. A sentence reduction is probable, but complete avoidance of prison time seems unlikely given Kaplan’s history of recognizing the need for penalties in significant financial fraud cases.
0
XiJinPing
7 months ago
Caroline Ellison willl face no jail time for role in FTX collapse -- https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/24/caroline-ellison-could-face-no-jail-time-for-role-in-ftx-collapse.html?taid=66f28e9ca1c2d10001861709&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter%7Cmain
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Check this out...article about how the Judge view's sentencing. "Judge Kaplan said the fraud was too great to allow Mr. Sprei to walk out of court a free man, but he said, ''the period of incarceration ought to be related to the ages of the children, whose interests play such an important role in my thinking.'' https://www.nytimes.com/1997/09/14/nyregion/judge-has-his-own-take-on-sentencing-formulas.html
0
XiJinPing
7 months ago
Caroline Ellison willl face no jail time for role in FTX collapse -- https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/24/caroline-ellison-could-face-no-jail-time-for-role-in-ftx-collapse.html?taid=66f28e9ca1c2d10001861709&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter%7Cmain
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
She's heading to a sentencing where the crimes she plead guilty to amount for 110 years in the clink. If she can make that # go to 0 it will be truly incredible.
0
XiJinPing
7 months ago
Caroline Ellison willl face no jail time for role in FTX collapse -- https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/24/caroline-ellison-could-face-no-jail-time-for-role-in-ftx-collapse.html?taid=66f28e9ca1c2d10001861709&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter%7Cmain
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
That's not true at all.
0
Justifax
7 months ago
cooperators in bernie madoff didn't get time. I think they will let her go to send a message to other financial folks - cooperate!
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
You're conflating "sentencing" (which happens today) w when the sentencing begins, which nobody cares about
1
Platinum
7 months ago
Most of you YES voter do not realize that the biggest problem here is not her not serving jail time but that the sentence are postponed into 2025. This is the actual reason why people are buying NO, your argrument are not heard because its a different reason altogether
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Why did Ryan Salame of FTX get 7.5 yrs of prison?
1
abdendriel
7 months ago
Kaplan still has to sentence Gary Wang and Nishad Singh who also cooperated. Ellison’s sentence is going to be a precedent for the other two. All 3 remaining accomplices are likely to get varying jail terms depending on their culpability.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
That's what my day job is for
0
dontworryicarry
7 months ago
bro you need to learn how to hedge risk.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Her greatest scam just may be making a 110 year jail sentence disappear
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Same judge papi
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Fuckin' Carl
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
“Her sentence will likely be about two-years in the slammer for her role in the failed crypto exchange FTX, says Carl Volz, a Chicago-based securities attorney who has defended crypto clients.“
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Read it: https://fm.cnbc.com/applications/cnbc.com/resources/editorialfiles/2022/12/21/1671676065196-Caroline_Ellison_Plea_Agreement.pdf
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
From the actual plea deal: “It is understood that the sentence to be imposed upon the defendant is within the sole discretion of the Court, This Office cannot, and does not, make any promise of representation as to what sentence the defendant will receive, and will not recommend any specific sentence to the Court.” The deal was if she pleaded guilty to 7 felonies, they wouldn’t charge her for more, except tax fraud.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
So what's your argument that she won't get any prison time? You made a pretty strong case for her to gl
0
abdendriel
7 months ago
Exactly. The plea deal itself explicitly states that they can’t promise any sentence or even recommendation of sentence. They only promised not to charge her for the 7 she admitted to. And how can she ask for time served if she was never in custody?
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
@TJK papi, she already plead guilty to everything: 2 counts of wire fraud, 2 counts of conspiracy to commit wire fraud, conspiracy to commit commodities fraud, conspiracy to commit securities fraud, & conspiracy to commit money laundering = ~110 years in jail. We're betting on how much of this, if any, the judge sentences her to
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://www.nytimes.com/1997/09/14/nyregion/judge-has-his-own-take-on-sentencing-formulas.html
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Imagine the headline: CEO of FTX Gets No Prison Time
3
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Same judge papi
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://www.nytimes.com/1997/09/14/nyregion/judge-has-his-own-take-on-sentencing-formulas.html
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Article is about Judge Kaplan. It cites a case where there were compelling reasons for the defendant to not get any jail time. Kaplan said the crime was too severe and jail time must be served - 18 months.
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://www.nytimes.com/1997/09/14/nyregion/judge-has-his-own-take-on-sentencing-formulas.html
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://www.nytimes.com/1997/09/14/nyregion/judge-has-his-own-take-on-sentencing-formulas.html
0
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Fick
0
iLoseUSDC
7 months ago
Does "transition" count as trans?
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's still going??
0
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
That sounds like something he would say
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Is he gonna say troon?
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Is he gonna say troon?
0
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
But he didn't say it yet
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's weird looking at the shit so low and feeling like you don't know something everyone else does
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's weird looking at the shit so low and feeling like you don't know something everyone else does
0
n/a
7 months ago
Did he say trans or no?
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Not yet. I got a grip of em
0
skenez
7 months ago
Trans at 27 cents?
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Take it
0
skenez
7 months ago
Trans at 27 cents?
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He could bust it out 3x any second
0
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Comrade Kamala no takers are insane
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Comrade Kamala no takers are insane
0
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Is it almost over?
0
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Trans
0
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Comrade Kamala spam me
0
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Go back to 4chan nerd
3
Milktoast
7 months ago
all the NGOs flooding western countries with browns are jevvish-funded but they're our greatest allies
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
For someone who has never been to one rally, 'm way too familiar w his pregame soundtrack. Enter Sandman coming up
2
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Caroline ruined my life and help SBF steal 300k from me. She deserves at least 1 day in prison
1
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Who here knows the difference between jail sentences and actual time served in the US justice system?
0
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Bro, she made millions of dollars working for SBF. The only reason she's sorry is bc she got caught. They were ready to take over the universe
1
abdendriel
7 months ago
Poor girl. Teacher’s pet is going to get a wake-up call. University admissions tactics like volunteering and writing novellas aren’t going to excuse you from a felony sentence in the grown-up judicial system.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
She was involved in the theft of over $1bb and made millions herself. You steal over $1000 in the USA it's called Grand Theft and you go to jail for 16mo to 3 years.
1
WindWalk2
7 months ago
Prosecution asked for 33 months in this case and presentencing report was likely not far off. Presentencing report for Caroline asking for 0 time. Also, with this guy, he did this fraud full time and continued even after the FBI interviewed him for an entire year.. clearly 0 remorse.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Who here knows what the prison sentence in the USA is for using a stolen credit card for over $1000?
1
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It will be around 2 years
0
Barfly
7 months ago
Well, I'm all in. Let's hope she gets 24 months.
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Of course they're asking for no prison time. How else do you think the prosecutors got her to talk?
0
jayminho
7 months ago
A lot of people claiming “ohh the prosecutors asked for leniency” lol. Pal. That’s like bargaining a car.. it’s advertised for 10k, you bring down to 8k , seller will get pissed , will not do it, however you can , maybe, deal 9k.. that’s it. Her defense team asking leniency it’s to bring down and try negotiate a 60 months sentence to a 48 months.. that’s it. That’s all. Standard move.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Doesn't 53 No = 47 Yes?
3
HaterzLoserz
7 months ago
Lying about stuff like this, after shit talking for days + then panic selling is pathetic. I filled zero orders above 50cent. Loserz
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Prime Minister Netanyahu: We are not taking our foot off the gas
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Goddammit
1
XiJinPing
7 months ago
Sold 90% of my NO shares... shit is going down... Israel just said Litani river is their northern border, and that river is 80 miles inside Lebanon...
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Israel making special announcement in a few mins. maybe about this
0
XiJinPing
7 months ago
RIP, most likely dead, tons of airstrikes near his hideout
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Correcto. The judge will not want to set a precedent here for corporate criminals who steal millions and can not be held accountable by snitching on their co-conspirators.
0
NIGGA
7 months ago
You don’t testify without some guarantee that you’re going to get what you ask for, she must be sentenced for a short while just to prove that one cannot do these illegal things without any consequences
NFL Sunday
DeucePapi
7 months ago
It's driving me nuts
1
babendums
7 months ago
whats going on with falcons portfolio numbers?
NFL Sunday
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Anyone else see the Falcons value on their positions page is $0?
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
To their credit, they invaded Gaza 72 hours after the 10/7 attack.
0
XiJinPing
7 months ago
no dont, they're definitely invading next week... dont miss out by selling right before
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
By 10/7 more likely
0
Car
7 months ago
im sure by Oct 31 they will find out if he is dead or not.
NFL Sunday
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Me too. At least one of us will have salvation today
0
DonaldEnjoyer
7 months ago
i need this win so bad
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
If the smaller towns are AFD, and the smaller towns consist of the most uncounted votes, isn't it a bit early to call it?
0
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Smaller areas have more uncounted votes than the larger ones
0
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Afd hanging on
0
Ferdinand19
7 months ago
https://wahlergebnisse.brandenburg.de/12/500/20240922/landtagswahl_land/ergebnisse.html
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Stop the steal!!
0
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This reminds me of the 2016 USA election when everyone was afraid to say they voted for Trump when he was against Hillary
1
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
this isnt like burger elections, German exit polls are very accurate
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
I will sell all my shares if this market is still at 92% by 3am Israel time.
0
XiJinPing
7 months ago
oh fuck, someone buy my NO shares please, i want out!!!
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
What else needs to happen before they pull the trigger as a precaution? https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/2024-09-22/ty-article/.premium/u-s-officials-prepping-for-worst-amid-fear-of-all-out-war-between-israel-and-hezbollah/00000192-191c-dc8b-a7b6-5f7f9ce00000
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/2024-09-22/ty-article/.premium/u-s-officials-prepping-for-worst-amid-fear-of-all-out-war-between-israel-and-hezbollah/00000192-191c-dc8b-a7b6-5f7f9ce00000
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
What did Netanyahu mean by, "We have only just begun, we are going to change the Middle East"?
2
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
This is very cool. But I feel like the stat of him never saying crypto once except for 75 times at the BTC conference isn't right
0
Sardinianshepherd
7 months ago
analysis of how many time this words hit in the past: https://ariverwhale.substack.com/p/what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Days are like weeks in this market. If anyone culd predict what Israel is gonna do with 90% certainty, they'd be working for the CIA
0
MrKangaroo
7 months ago
time decay ❤️
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
+ more tanks and reservists brought to the border + US embassy in Beirut telling all Americans to GTFO for the first time in a long long time indicating they know something is about to go down
0
MisTKy
7 months ago
And from Aljazeera headlines (mind that this news outlet is pro Hezbollah):More people leaving southern Lebanon as conflict with Israel intensifies/Hospitals in northern Israel instructed to shift to war footing
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Thanks chatgpt
0
n/a
7 months ago
If Israel launches a ground invasion of Lebanon, it would likely lead to an immediate escalation with Hezbollah, causing heavy military clashes and casualties. Iran could increase its support for Hezbollah, while the conflict might spill over into neighboring countries like Syria. International condemnation would likely be swift, with calls for a ceasefire and potential sanctions on Israel. Lebanon, already in crisis, would face a severe humanitarian disaster with civilian displacement and damage to infrastructure. The conflict could lead to prolonged regional instability, similar to the 2006 war, making a peaceful resolution more difficult.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
What made you buy back in?
0
XiJinPing
7 months ago
sold 90% of my NO, they are escalating way too much, this is very scary
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
https://x.com/usembassybeirut/status/1837607083920818502
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
The war has already begun
1
XiJinPing
7 months ago
these people are playing a very dangerous game of chicken, and no one is backing down... jesus christ, there's actually going to be a war
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Sounds like they're trying to secure the north and return the 100k displaced back to their homes before 10/7
3
BiggestBidenFan
7 months ago
🇮🇱🇱🇧⚡️Israeli Channel 13, citing the IDF, reports that the army is ready for a full-scale war in Lebanon to ensure the security of the northern territories.
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He really needs to keep doing these rallys forever
3
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
1 Mars, 0 Crypto
1
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Where's my marky mark backdoor cover
0
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Fucker
0
thakattack19
7 months ago
yes he did, and he skipped over the black nazi
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Did he give shout outs to the local politicians yet?
0
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Pretty much every way you can say comrade and Kamala without saying them together....about 20x
0
WhiteKing69
7 months ago
Wait i cant listen in, he's saying comrade Harris but not comrade kamala?
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He's trolling the Comrade Kamala ppl at this point
3
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Where my marky mark bros
0
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Maga spam?
0
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Marky mark robinson
1
Will there be another debate?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
And we know trump never lies
0
Arbiter-of-Truth
7 months ago
he said at rally he will not do another debate
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Border rant coming
1
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He's not done yet
1
thakattack19
7 months ago
lmaoo
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
Fox news
0
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
Does anyone have a link please?
Will there be another debate?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
He has nothing to lose at this point
0
Mountainman
7 months ago
Hahaha. Your bet is over. I know you try to manipulate people on here but I don't think the Donald cares much about you calling him a pussy. Dump your bags while you still can.
Caroline Ellison prison time?
DeucePapi
7 months ago
She helped SBF steal billions and made millions herself doing it. If she gets no jail time for rolling on SBF, there is no justice served. This would encourage everyone to do illegal shit w/out fear as long as they cooperate w law enforcement
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Bc they need to tale control of the area where the rockets are launched from, which will allow the 60k displaced Israeli residents to return to their homes
0
Car
8 months ago
They will just keep sending rockets from far away to easily kill hezbollah terrorists and destruct their buildings. Why risk sending personell there?
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
60K Israeli residents in the north have been displaced from their homes for 11 mo bc of hezbollah rockets. Israel wants them back in their homes bc if they can't live there, the land might as well belong to Lebanon.
0
Car
8 months ago
Hezbollah commander Ibrahim Aqil targeted in rocket attack. Their military operations are only to destory the terrorists, not to establish control over any portion of Lebanon. Idk why yall think Israel wants some parts of that desert
What will Trump say during North Carolina rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Superfecta Market Suggestions: Terrific, Beautiful, Wonderful, Fantastic, Incredible, Spectacular, Horrible, Disgusting, Terrible
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Or buy the idea that Israel won't do something to their enemy for the 3rd time this week that nobody expected
1
kekkone
8 months ago
Sure, go ahead and buy the rocket impact tweets.
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
The bump from her special w Oprah last night hasn't hit the polls yet. Standfast.
0
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Welcome to Pm
0
BrandonThought
8 months ago
this is kind of bullshit - i bet on this specifically because of the rules and the way they are. You can't just choose to have your own interpretation of how the market is supposed to work and dispute that.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Search for a breaking news story and scroll down to see the accounts that post it long before everyone else
0
andrepibe
8 months ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1836881783855497464 A rare emergency security meeting is set to take place in the israeli government within the next few minutes.
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Oprah wants to suck off Kamala so badly
1
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Sous chef making the word salad
2
ProteinProsecco
8 months ago
this is just an hour of oprah talking to her guests. why is kamala even here.
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Takes me 30 mins to dig through the bowels of YouTube to find a shite Livestream of a trump rally....type in "Opr" in YouTube...50 4K HD Livestream options for this program appear
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Who wants to tell him?
0
MrKangaroo
8 months ago
Willing to buy a huge quantity of no at 80c, msg me on discord if interested (mrkangaroo6353)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I know....I meant that if they cross, the odds of them not establishing control are less than 1%.
0
XiJinPing
8 months ago
this market is for "invasion to establish control"... they created a separate new market for "enter".
What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
No markets are dominating. We forgot that they don't want to let kamala talk
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Love sentdefenders X acct. This guy is always half a day ahead of the MSM
2
andrepibe
8 months ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1836881783855497464 A rare emergency security meeting is set to take place in the israeli government within the next few minutes.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
If Israel crosses into Lebanon, it won't even matter what the wording is. The only reason why they'd invade Lebanon is to occupy land used as a rocket launch point by Hezbollah and convert it into a buffer zone
2
Amok
8 months ago
The wording of this market is a disaster. "Invade" means entering the territory, which would include ground incursions to kill terrorists. "Intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" on the other hand is open to interpretation. To establish an occupational force? To establish a buffer zone? Or to temporarily clean out terror cells without any intent to establish long term control? (the latter seems more likely). Clarification needed
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
@MrKangaroo your profit/loss to volume traded is -4%.....mine is -1%....if you traded as much as me, you'd be down over $40k by now big guy.
0
MrKangaroo
8 months ago
They could definitely attack Hezbollah further but "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" is absolutely insane, really high yield for a bond maturing in 11 days
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
60,000+ ppl in northern Israel have been displaced from their homes for the past 11 MO bc Hezbollah keeps firing rockets at them. Israel needs to neutralize the threat so these ppl can go back to their homes/lives
0
kingsirpredictionconnoisseur
8 months ago
What would they even gain from invading. Just makes them more vulnerable to outside attacks
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I always delete my comments.
0
MrKangaroo
8 months ago
They could definitely attack Hezbollah further but "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" is absolutely insane, really high yield for a bond maturing in 11 days
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Speed is the essence of war. Take advantage of the enemy's unpreparedness. - Sun Tzu The Art of War
0
DeucePapi
8 months ago
You don't take out your enemies communications systems and send thousands of foot soldiers and tanks to the border unless you're ready for war.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
You don't take out your enemies communications systems and send thousands of foot soldiers and tanks to the border unless you're ready for war.
0
MrKangaroo
8 months ago
They could definitely attack Hezbollah further but "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" is absolutely insane, really high yield for a bond maturing in 11 days
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://x.com/MOSSADil/status/1836446914256024029 Israel pulling 98th battalion from Gaza, moving them to the northern border. They don't roll out the no limit tank unless they're making moves
0
XiJinPing
8 months ago
the pagers were forced to trigger early bc it was discovered. they didnt plan on doing it this early. there's fear panic articles like this everytime, whether iran or ukraine
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://x.com/WeTheCharlie/status/1836633301785940415 this one too
0
XiJinPing
8 months ago
the pagers were forced to trigger early bc it was discovered. they didnt plan on doing it this early. there's fear panic articles like this everytime, whether iran or ukraine
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Check out this X account. Dude breaks all of the middle east news half a day early. He says they're making major moves in the northhttps://x.com/MOSSADil
0
XiJinPing
8 months ago
the pagers were forced to trigger early bc it was discovered. they didnt plan on doing it this early. there's fear panic articles like this everytime, whether iran or ukraine
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/pentagon-worries-israel-is-close-to-launching-ground-war-in-lebanon-33683bf4
0
XiJinPing
8 months ago
i feel bad seeing your portfolio drop everytime i check it. you should honestly sell while you can
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://www.timesofisrael.com/while-still-in-gaza-israel-has-no-good-options-in-lebanon-but-it-may-invade-anyway/
0
MrKangaroo
8 months ago
You might want to trim down your position if that's the basis of your argument, i'd suggest doing a little research into the previous occupation of Southern Lebanon as well as the real motives of the current Israeli administration
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
You're def right. I need to scale it back
1
XiJinPing
8 months ago
i feel bad seeing your portfolio drop everytime i check it. you should honestly sell while you can
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Israel needs to go in there to stop Hezbollah from firing rockets bc 60k ppl living in northern Israel have been displaced for the last 8 months bc of hezbollah rocket fire.
0
MrKangaroo
8 months ago
They could definitely attack Hezbollah further but "military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" is absolutely insane, really high yield for a bond maturing in 11 days
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This has to be the Day 3 surprise for Hezbollah
0
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Many a skilled golfer have walked these fairways
0
n/a
8 months ago
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I think golfer is kosher. Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
0
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Make America black jobs again?
4
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Compound words will count as long as "golf" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a game played on a large open-air course, in which a small hard ball is struck with a club into a series of small holes in the ground, the object being to use the fewest possible strokes to complete the course.
0
gkg
8 months ago
golfer?
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Israel ftw
1
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Israel coming
2
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Israel coming in from non sequitur
0
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
When does the border oral diarrhea come?
1
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Golf me
2
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Win or lose, he should never stop doing these rallys
0
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
And he launched his crypto trading platform yesterday so he's def going to tout it
1
BibiNetanCocksucker
8 months ago
for everyone wondering why hes gonna crypto/bitcoin my nigga paid for his bar tab using bitcoin.... this is it boyshttps://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-new-york-rally/will-donald-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-during-his-uniondale-rally?tid=1726696132927
What will Trump say during New York rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Israel just used hezbollahs weapons against them in an unprecedented precision attack that spared the lives of innocent's. Hezbollah has fired rockets at Israel indiscriminately and killed tons of innocent civilians
0
TheDiddler
8 months ago
Idk but he's pro Israel so I don't think he will bring them up after the pager attack allegations
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
We don't support the Washington Post streaming channel here, sir.
0
efren1983
8 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-zWD4ZgjbL0
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Wait, I thought we were betting on any trump family member to mention the words
0
BidenSucks
8 months ago
The clarity here about "trump says" doesnt define which Trump family member says it
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
But he didn't say comrade kamala
3
eb..
8 months ago
if anyone has 750, propose comrade kamala. big gap and opportunity there. it's the same as when he only says elon. it also counts. so, for comrade kamala or kamala comrade, both counts. the adjective is still being applied to the name kamala.
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Is the kid who interviewed him 11 years old?
7
thakattack19
8 months ago
that was dumb af
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
So weird to hear him say Bitcoin after 90 speeches
0
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
He'll go off on Bitcoin once he starts talking about the reserve. He'll say it 15x
0
thakattack19
8 months ago
how about btc?
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
DJT about to drop
1
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This interviewer is so giddy and weak
1
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
The interviewer sounds like he has djts d in his mouth
2
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
The host is fishing for comrada Kamala now
0
R13
8 months ago
All the last editions secret service , ak47, golf etc got done so quickly definitely insider trading
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Lol ak
1
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Is this working for anyone?
0
What will Trump say during X space?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
That's what he calls the ABC guy who shits on him all the time
0
Platinum
8 months ago
Slopadopoulos? wtf is this shit. If its a yes then it really is some insider shit
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Crypto cockteaser.
1
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
🆒
0
BasicStock
8 months ago
Dumped my China shares for great profit PEACE
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
What the fuck is this guy's problem w not saying crypto.
0
0x480D013bf6665fb174FB7Ec6ea677cFC8140f219-1724707979154
8 months ago
Crypto!
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Motherfucker
0
BrandonThought
8 months ago
ok now fake news is 3
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I bought as much as I could for .4
0
regard
8 months ago
fr whys it already under review
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
So someone paid $750 to say Fake News hit 3x?
0
thakattack19
8 months ago
you have to pay 750 to submit for resolution. I believe you lose the 750 if it 's found false.
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Fake News only was said 2x. Can anyone just click Resolve? Will this outcome change if nobody Disputes it?
1
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Why did fake news resolve for 2x???
0
BrandonThought
8 months ago
Guys he only said fake news twice
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This 🥷 better say Bitcoin or I'm gonna lose my 💩.
2
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Wtf fake news just 2x back to back
0
BlitzDaTweetGod
8 months ago
fvck
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
He's so proud of the Comrade Kamala nickname.
2
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I will get there the night before
0
thakattack19
8 months ago
some of these clowns show up the morning of to get front row seats
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
He's a different person today vs. xanny barred out version yesterday
2
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
If he doesn't say Bitcoin, I'm going to the next rally and screaming Bitcoin until he says it
6
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Would be the most based thing ever if Trump took the stage to "Enter Sandman"
2
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Adolf used to arrive late to rallies, deliberately keeping his audience waiting to heighten the sense of expectation. Many of his speeches began with a series of questions or challenges, delivered quietly, and calmly
0
thakattack19
8 months ago
wow Kamala wasn't kidding, it's already past 10pm meaning he should be coming out any second, and I just saw a group of 5 MAGAts get up and leave 🤣
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
PBS news hour on YouTube is great
3
thakattack19
8 months ago
RSBN is so fucking annoying. sponsor every 3 minutes about stupid shit like "free trump book" "ivermectin emergency supply" these magas are so gullible
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Nothing makes me feel better than positions being down 20% before the guy even gets on stage
5
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
It just needs to hit once
1
PlsPlsPls
8 months ago
Enjoy my donation for crypto/Bitcoin Y, please.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Here we go
0
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Does this mean he'll say crypto today?
1
Curlyarchitect2024
8 months ago
Hey did you hear the one about how the MAGA freaks believe we should abolish the FBI and CIA....getthis...because they believe the FBI/CIA is BEHIND all the school shootings? Yep. They believe the CIA is killing our school children in an elaborate plot to have the "government" attempt a strong arm maneuver ultimately to try to "take away all our guns". Talk about nutso.
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I'm saying it's easy money
0
NotJustKen
8 months ago
Not saying it's easy money. But the odds are good.
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Can we get odds on Taylor Swift and Border 30+ times?
2
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://bitcoinmagazine.com/politics/nevada-welcomes-bitcoin-and-crypto-day-two-of-the-america-loves-crypto-tour
1
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Today is the day for the crypto team
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Today is the day for the crypto team
5
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Bc we bet that the mics would not be muted. And Kamala used the live mic to interrupt Trump who replied, "Excuse me, I'm talking".
2
sharks
8 months ago
Why is anyone on No here lmao
NFL Thursday
DeucePapi
8 months ago
God they're terrible.
0
Conk45
8 months ago
uhhh
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I'm done w this shit
1
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Where's the sauce son
0
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
He sounds barred out rn
0
Boggy
8 months ago
he just tweeted about launching a coin 1h ago and yall fr don't think he's gonna mention it?
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Wish Taylor Swift was an option to bet on here
0
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I can't lose. Already up in the cup o noodles game
1
BibiNetanCocksucker
8 months ago
SAVE ME DONALD TRUMP!!!!
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Rigged debate, crooked moderators, and a shot at ABC like Always Be Communist
0
thakattack19
8 months ago
should be "rigged moderators" to hit both on here!
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I can already hear him saying "crooked moderators"
1
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Facts, I love facts, fact checking, alternative facts by fake news
0
JackBauerPowerHour
8 months ago
Unless he does the old “they’re calling it a fact check, well I never heard of a fact check that”… etc etc
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Shout out to @0x6d4185c8205c517b41be2eafc6a29627dedc0684 biggest holder of Crypto today and literally the only market he's ever traded. I like these vibes
2
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Easiest bet to get rekt on
1
Dokwhart
8 months ago
Trump saying "Crypto" has to be the easiest bet after he tweeted his new project
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Today is the day crypto bros
5
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
If this doesn't get flipped I will never bet a market under 80 cents again
2
xyz12Three
8 months ago
from the start of this bet, I was going for some kind of upset! I'm not selling out for $1, all or nothing, baby!
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
BTC has become the roulette wheel number that finally hits when you walk away from the table
0
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
The best way to look at this is by substituting a variable -- let's use blindfold for muted mic. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the candidates are blindfolded specifically while the other candidate is speaking. So if at any point during the debate, the candidates are not blindfolded specifically while the other candidate is speaking, the market must resolve to "No" bc the absence of the blindfold while the other candidate is speaking is exactly what disqualifies the market from satisfying the criteria required for it resolve "Yes".
3
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
If at any point during the debate the microphones unmuted while the other candidate was speaking, the market must resolve to "No" as the criteria for it resolving to Yes
0
thinkingfast
8 months ago
X not occuring once during Y does not imply that X only occuring specifically during Y is false
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I'm gonna be okay w th 313 shares I bought for 8cents. I worry about you hanging around here without even placing a bet. Don't you have better things to do w yourself?
0
caiou
8 months ago
cope
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Im a degen and am not trying to be taken seriously
0
Drumpf
8 months ago
but you bet on it? lol
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Does anyone from Polymarket speak about why a market like this even exists on a platform that wants its prediction markets to be respected?
1
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the microphones of the candidates are muted specifically while the other candidate is speaking during the ABC-hosted presidential debate, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."".....there is no mention of the policy guiding the resolution of this market and its an embarrassment that the Dispute system produced Additional Context referencing debate rules - which were still being negotiated up until the start of the debate. This needs to be looked at immediately
7
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Rekt
1
0xE42c9d2ef
8 months ago
They are busy with the article, good night: https://www.nielsen.com/news-center/2024/over-67-million-viewers-tune-in-for-abc-news-harris-trump-debate/
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I didn't mean to say 57.5mm....I meant to say over 65m. -Johnny Nielsen
1
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
57,500,000×1.04=59,800,000
0
YIMBYcaucus🏡
8 months ago
@slewmoney if it goes up by 4 it will be 61.5M
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This is a bad data sourcr
0
0x5526E12bA0A72909A77A030aCe314C28922a5F5c-1726003670005
8 months ago
Hedge your bets now (65-70m, 70-75m, 75m+): https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/trump-harris-debate-draws-big-tv-audience-of-65-million-viewers/
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Bro you have everything
0
Eyebrows
8 months ago
This is it. Now, we just wait for death
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
It went up by 7% last time from the initial estimate. If it goes up by 4% it will be under 60mm
1
BlitzschnellCapitalAdvisorsLLP
8 months ago
57.5 easy money
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
PREVIOUSLY: The early results are in, and CNN appeared to be the biggest winner from Thursday’s train wreck of a presidential debate. According to the news cabler’s report of Nielsen Fast National data, a combined 47.9 million total viewers watched the CNN Presidential Debate on TV across all networks, including its competitors ---- The all in total of the Biden Trump Debate was 51.3mm. This is gonna be a close one. Prob 61mm
0
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I have no idea. If 460,000 network = 3.3m
0
NoNoiseKnifeOnly
8 months ago
a comparison is the final figures added 3.3m viewers from the initial Live+Same Day data for the BidenvTrump debate. betting on 55-65 seems like free money
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
How many ppl watched on: Telemundo, Univision, Fox Business, Headline News, & BET?
0
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
How many people will watch it on: BET, Telemundo, Fox Business, and Bloomberg? Last debate 250k ppl watched it on Fox Business.
0
NoNoiseKnifeOnly
8 months ago
a comparison is the final figures added 3.3m viewers from the initial Live+Same Day data for the BidenvTrump debate. betting on 55-65 seems like free money
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
57.5m here too
3
9flare
8 months ago
https://variety.com/2024/tv/news/harris-trump-debate-ratings-viewers-1236141034/
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://www.indiewire.com/news/breaking-news/presidential-debate-ratings-viewers-trump-harris-1235045690/
1
MrNFT
8 months ago
The debate was watched by an estimated 57.7 million viewers across eight networks, according to Nielsen figures released by Fox News. That is higher even than the early numbers for June’s CNN-hosted event, which drew an estimated 51.3 million viewers across 16 networks. Final figures will be available later today.
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I think these numbers are going to be offset by streaming views which aren't included. HBO Max and Disney+ both streamed the debate last night and that must've taken a nice bite out of the TV figures
2
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
So basically hes predicting it could be any of them
2
MrNFT
8 months ago
https://x.com/mulvihill79/status/1833899148803981475?s=46 TLDR: 65 mil +- 10 mil. Not a record breaker but not under 50
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
You guys ever seen the movie 25th Hour? This reminds me of the trader scene. https://youtu.be/YVHY9nIPo6s?feature=shared
0
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
@0x6E21170C2EB2a51Caf6D24bA0A159a054A3f4d75-1724278416461 Nielsen only measures US audience viewership for the debate
0
Eyebrows
8 months ago
Negative risk literally on the board...
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Leslie Nielson
2
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Sounds about right. My guess is 65-66m
0
AppleADay
8 months ago
The current estimate just posted by ABC is 63.6m
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Thanks for sharing
0
nnimrodd
8 months ago
I wrote a polymarket guide https://nnimrodd.medium.com/polymarket-playbook-5f53a2dd8ee3
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Why do they even have a dispute button?
2
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
Yawn. Prediction market resolves a market to "vibes" again.
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Kamala interrupted Trump while he was speaking and he said, "Excuse me, I am speaking". What more do you need?
0
thinkingfast
8 months ago
Yes holders are not disputing that hot mics happened. The rules explain that if mics are "muted specifically while the other candidate is speaking, it resolves to yes. The mics were only muted specifically whenever the other candidate was speaking. It doesn't matter if it wasn't always muted, because it was only ever muted specifically when the other candidate was speaking.
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
There's really no point in taking any bets here except for those that are 90+. If you happen to win the long shot market, you will never actually win as the dispute system is broken and built to dismiss the very long shot exceptions that it's tasked to thoroughly examine
3
DeucePapi
8 months ago
The resolution is retarded. It has nothing to do w the policy. If that was the case, the market would've closed before the debate began
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
The resolution is retarded. It has nothing to do w the policy. If that was the case, the market would've closed before the debate began
5
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I bought more. This is beyond clear to anyone who takes the time to properly review it
0
Chen1996
8 months ago
Then buy more lmao
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I agree. A lot of these are written by full reerees. They could even use ChatGPT to help them clearly communicate what they're trying to say
1
0x83A5D6E94e3Cec7b6ee8570F0b06B9F43a8240Ce-1720411004722
8 months ago
I dont know who writes the wordings for these, but if they want to have a clear outcome, they could have clearer wording. What is clear is that the conditions for this market to resolve to yes were not satisfied during the debate.
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I would if the dispute process was trustworthy. I am skeptical of how this actually gets resolved as I've been burned a few times doing just this
2
Chen1996
8 months ago
Then buy more lmao
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://x.com/EspeciallyInGA/status/1833707793439739967 proof of hot mics from debate
5
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
You can dispute the proposed resolution
0
idkwhatimdoing
8 months ago
New to this platform and just curious, if something is unclear/ambiguous is it possible to get our money back and no resolution to happen? or will it always resolve to something?
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Lol "Excuse me, I'm talking now. Sound familiar"?
2
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
her mic was 10000% unmuted there lol
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
How did Kamala just interrupt him at full volume?
3
What will Trump say at the debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
McDonalds 2/2 inbound
0
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I was completely wrong. @432 was right. This is all about which candidate can pump more from 9pm to 1am tomorrow night (Sept 11). This has nothing to do w tonight.
0
Remontada
8 months ago
I am not trolling! And why can't there be a 20% chance? There's going to be huge volatility in all the election markets over the next couple of days.
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
"The relevant data points will be those each minute during 9 PM ET to 1 AM ET (i.e. 9:00, 9:01 up to 12:59 AM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."". Why are they examining 240 data points from 9pm-1am, using the 6hr chart w decimals on? Can't they just open the main market page and see which candidate is ahead?
0
Justifax
8 months ago
This is some serious wild shit right here .. 22c and trump is at +7 in potus. wtf
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Why is Disney+ streaming the debate?
0
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I see you. It's very cheap to be wrong
1
Eyebrows
8 months ago
Negative risk literally on the board...
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
👆 most overlooked comment
0
432
8 months ago
re read the rules.You will get rekkt like majority who doesn't understand the rules
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
You're clearly trolling. There is not a 20% chance that Kamala is going to close a 6 point lead overnight. The main market would be fluctuating all over the place if there was a 20% chance Kamala would be ahead of Trump tomorrow
0
Remontada
8 months ago
You're schizo posting. CUTNPASTE may lose, but atleast he understands the rules.
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Ok bubb. Here's what it looks like. https://imgur.com/a/z6cwHWm
1
Qualitative
8 months ago
I can see why you are down 8.5k, glad I'm on the opposite side for this one
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other during this period. Ie. The market is measuring which candidate has the bigger increase during the period bw 9pm-1am. This is why they put the 6 hour window and decimal inclusion
0
Remontada
8 months ago
Trump!
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This is self referential nonsense. If it's currently 46%K vs 52%T, and at 1am it's 46.1%K vs 52%T, who wins?
0
Remontada
8 months ago
Take it from Polymarket's twitter https://twitter.com/Polymarket/status/1833567509829575076
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
If it's currently 46%K vs 52%T, and at 1am it's 46.1%K vs 52%T, who wins??
0
Remontada
8 months ago
"The relevant data points will be those each minute during 9 PM ET to 1 AM ET (i.e. 9:00, 9:01 up to 12:59 AM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."" There is no mention of a starting line. The simple interpretation of this market is that it is whoever is the favourite on each minute candlestick. Whoever has the most candlesticks as favourite wins. TLDR, Trump has to drop (Kamala has to gain) 6 points.
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
But what does this actually mean. Please decipher this codex in a conscise, 1 sentence answer
0
Remontada
8 months ago
"The relevant data points will be those each minute during 9 PM ET to 1 AM ET (i.e. 9:00, 9:01 up to 12:59 AM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."" There is no mention of a starting line. The simple interpretation of this market is that it is whoever is the favourite on each minute candlestick. Whoever has the most candlesticks as favourite wins. TLDR, Trump has to drop (Kamala has to gain) 6 points.
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Drama because this is worded so poorly and it seems like Kamala will lose unless Trump drops 3pts and she gains 4, making it 49%T to 51%K
0
Shayku
8 months ago
What drama do you expect? There's not enough money on it right now to warrant rocking the main market.
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
No, man. Right now it's T52% to K46%. If you think whichever is greater is the winner, you should sell
0
PokerBrat
8 months ago
It’s just who is ahead man
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
It looks like they tracking points gained from 9pm-1am and the starting line is the same for both
0
Qualitative
8 months ago
No, it's who will be ahead for a 4 hour window. Even if Kamala gains 5 points post debate if her odds are still lower than trumps she loses.
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
So if Trump stays the same and Kamala goes up by .01%, Kamala wins this market
0
432
8 months ago
they just need to pump more than trump will pump.they don't need to overcome trump. . a raise of harris for 0.5% is more than a raise of trump of 0.4%.the current 7% diffrence doesn't count .read the rules
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
So this market actually means, which candidate's percentage chance of winning will increase more day over day by tomorrow?
0
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Both were before viewers could stream the debates, which isn't part of the Nielsen 2+ persons stat and accounts for 37% of views
2
Eyebrows
8 months ago
Only 2 debates in history have gone over 75: Trump / Hillary first debate when Trump was fresh and exciting and new, and Reagan vs. Carter.
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Don't forget: We live in a 🤡 🌎 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/three-five-americans-are-likely-watch-biden-trump-debate
0
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
@pinochetsairplane Biden/Trump 2024 debate had 53mm viewers. The new standard is fewer TV viewers as Nielsen calculated there were an additional 30mm viewers on YouTube & other streaming services that weren't included in this number. For 1.5 cents a share, this seems like a reasonable risk
0
Fred19999
8 months ago
No one is going to want to watch this. They have better things to do with their time
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
30m people watched Biden/Trump 2024 on YouTube, which isn't included. Times have changed https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/06/28/over-51-million-watched-trump-biden-debate-on-tv-way-down-from-2020/
0
negativedrip
8 months ago
just for reference: the first biden vs trump debate back in 2020 (so during full blown covid) was 73m
Will Tyreek Hill sue the cops?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
0% chance.
0
SaulGoodmanEsq
8 months ago
Of course he'll file a civil rights lawsuit for the moral grandstanding, even if it's completely unfounded
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
And the most recent debate bw Biden & Trump in 2024?
0
negativedrip
8 months ago
just for reference: the first biden vs trump debate back in 2020 (so during full blown covid) was 73m
Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
He's like 6'4 and she's 5 nothing.
0
sosuke
8 months ago
MSNBC's Jen Psaki has suggested that Harris should make an effort to shake Trump's hand, emphasizing the importance of appearing civil and appealing to a broad audience. Harris's team is preparing for various scenarios, including the possibility of a handshake, but the decision is likely to be made at the moment.
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
@PinochetsAirplane taking everything but 75m+ was 50% odds yesterday
0
Fred19999
8 months ago
No one is going to want to watch this. They have better things to do with their time
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I just tried to re-read the market explanation 3x & ended up selling bc it doesn't look like the market title is what we're actually betting on. The writer clearly sniffed 90mg of Adderall prior to creating this disaster
0
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
"This market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other during this period". Who writes this? Polymarket, can you hire someone who knows how to write in English?
2
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Probably the only reason why Kamala isn't at 10%
0
sharky🦈🦈🦈
8 months ago
Big Brain Pence is here. Watch out!
NFL Monday
DeucePapi
8 months ago
There's something you don't see everyday
1
NFL Monday
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Jets are due for a turnover
0
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
One of your ironic one-liners has to land eventually
1
Fred19999
8 months ago
No one is going to want to watch this. They have better things to do with their time
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Clean shot. I lost everything on a Kanye West album drop a few years ago when he went AWOL out of nowhere. I'll be back in the high life again
0
Whome
8 months ago
Looking at your record, I'm happy to be on the other side of this bet from you - but disappointed we both have the 49ers tonight.
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Look at Kamala's twitter and all of her marketing --- no mention of the debate whatsoever. She doesn't want ppl to watch this
2
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
The Biden/trump debate just 4 months ago had 53m viewers. Where are the ~20m additional viewers coming from?
0
Justifax
8 months ago
first debate in 2020 was 73m, but i dunno. i think most people have made up their minds here. we all know trump is going to lie and kamala is going to give a bunch of memorized answers.
How many viewers will the debate get?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Ya'll are crazy. The last debate had 53mm viewers per Nielsen, the standard used in this market
0
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
*Pop culture education not included
0
Panzwalizka
9 months ago
who is Swift?
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
1) Travis is a Trumper so they're both staying publicly neutral 2)following has exponentially grown and it's a liability for her to do anything to alienate half of her audience
0
X9504
8 months ago
A lot has changed since 2020
Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Trump signature "yank and pull handshake". No way Kamala is stepping into this trap. https://fb.watch/uu0wOurutE/?mibextid=z4kJoQ
2
Kamala positive favorability by Sunday?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
It's even worse now
0
kekkone
8 months ago
It’s not OVER over. They still might update today’s data point. Only after we get the next one we know for sure.
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritz
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Yeah, still have him. I bought fritz for like 7 cents to hedge
0
negativedrip
8 months ago
weren't you holding sinner like 5 minutes ago? what's the play?
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Grandmasta
0
0xE42c9d2ef
8 months ago
Magnus getting too comfortable
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritz
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Sinner in 4 sets
1
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritz
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Priced in
0
Phoenix777
8 months ago
Fritz is the underdog who will surprise us all😉
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritz
DeucePapi
8 months ago
My man Riprcp. Thanks for being here
0
diddy
8 months ago
94 Fritz, yeah makes sense
US Open Final: Sabalenka vs. Pegula
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Thank you Riprcp.
0
diddy
8 months ago
RIP Viking woman
US Open Final: Sabalenka vs. Pegula
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Lol you're my good luck charm. How soon until you switch to Saba?
0
diddy
8 months ago
RIP Viking woman
US Open Final: Sabalenka vs. Pegula
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Pegula can't wait for this to be over
0
US Open Final: Sabalenka vs. Pegula
DeucePapi
8 months ago
6-2 set inbound. She broke pegulas mentals
0
Scoobs
8 months ago
It’s over. Saba gonna crush this set.
US Open Final: Sabalenka vs. Pegula
DeucePapi
8 months ago
3-0 saba
0
TimeQuestion
8 months ago
Everyone needs to buy PEGULACOIN on dexscreener. You know the drill!
What will Trump say at the debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
He sppke about the apartment complex in Colorado and called them Venezuelan criminals, this time he said gang in the same reference
0
L114
8 months ago
because the townhall was 30 mins
What will Trump say at the debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I can't believe he said Venezuelan gangs now and not in the Town Hall
0
What will Trump say during Wisconsin rally?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I heard 1 China
0
FyouMoneyOTW
8 months ago
How many china and border so far???
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I wouldn't be surprised if he loses this set 6-0. He looks like he can't wait to get off of the court
0
BrokenIKey
8 months ago
Indeed. Suddenly he's made 11 points less when they were just on par 5 minutes ago. :D
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe
DeucePapi
8 months ago
There are very few professional athletes who can execute a perfect choke the way Tiafoe does
3
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This is when Foe falls apart. 4th set Fritz 6-2
2
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I've lost so much $ on Foe in the past. Now I just use his leads as a discount to buy his opponents shares
0
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Lol you sold foe and bought fritz
0
diddy
8 months ago
RIP to my Fritzers, NY is Tiafoes place
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This is when Riprcp starts sweating
0
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Foe hasn't beat fritz in 10 years. Chill
0
diddy
8 months ago
Condolences to everyone who bought Fritz
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoe
DeucePapi
8 months ago
For chokes
0
diddy
8 months ago
RIP to my Fritzers, NY is Tiafoes place
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://seekingalpha.com/news/4147807-goldman-sees-fed-base-case-for-25bp-rate-cut-in-speeches-by-bank-leaders-waller-williams
0
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
"you do know the results were leaked and people went to the event, and filmed it live partly. Most of your words are not said"
0
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
I see you sold your gang "yes" shares.
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Watch and see for yourself.
0
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
you do know the results were leaked and people went to the event, and filmed it live partly. Most of your words are not said
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
When I had Biden we had the same discussion. And I let him talk I'm gonna let her talk because there are those who say that Biden is smarter than she is. If that's the case, we got a problem. But debating is an interesting thing, I've been in many debates. I think I probably won because of debating maybe. We had a lot of debates with the Republicans, then we had Crooked Hillary. We had a lot of different people we had to debate. And we had some great debates. You do remember the Rosie O'Donnell debate. Rosie O'Donnell! She's a real great one. Isn't she a great one? But debate is interesting because you can go in with all the strategy you want, but you have to sort it out as the debate is taking place. I've seen it. You go in there, you have a strategy, Mike Tyson made the statement, "Everybody has a plan until you get punched in the face". It's a real statement. So I could tell Sean my strategy, but things change. It depends a lot on ABC. Will they be fair or not? If they're not gonna be fair I'll be a bit different than if they are.
0
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Remember this,we don't have a woke military. We have some guys at the top who you couldn't convince to be woke if you were screaming at them for 5 weeks. We took out 100% of the ISIS caliphate in 4 weeks, it was supposed to take 5 years. And I got to meet the real generals and they were unbelievable. Our military is un-believe-able. You go out, you get your degree and you work hard, we're going to see a different country. We have to get elected. If we don't get elected, I don't know what's going to happen to our country. I just don't know.
0
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Are all trades on polymarket available in the activity tab or just the ones made on the front end?
0
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
He says Mike Tyson, Woke, Mitt Romney, Crooked Hillary
0
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
@bluesky123 I don't want to get booted in case that violates the ToS
0
OmenOfLord
8 months ago
I'm down to spill my leaks. Just don't take them for face value 100%, I wasn't there. I have 2 different sources who were I found them after the fact and verified they were there. Otherwise it's all insiders trampling everyone.
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Correct
0
mango-lassi
8 months ago
I take no responsibility but sources say: Communism Y Afghanistan Y Mail-in N Gang N Crypto N Bitcoin N
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Why did you buy No for McDonalds, Israel, and Hamas?
0
OmenOfLord
8 months ago
I maxed out my account. I quite literally couldn't put any more down. Sorry about your losses. I spent over an hour finding sources, and still others had sources inside from the get go.
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Everyone has a plan: until they get punched in the face” – Mike Tyson
0
OmenOfLord
8 months ago
I'm down to spill my leaks. Just don't take them for face value 100%, I wasn't there. I have 2 different sources who were I found them after the fact and verified they were there. Otherwise it's all insiders trampling everyone.
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I have the video of the QA
1
OmenOfLord
8 months ago
I'm down to spill my leaks. Just don't take them for face value 100%, I wasn't there. I have 2 different sources who were I found them after the fact and verified they were there. Otherwise it's all insiders trampling everyone.
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
What's the deal w the QA part of the show airing tomorrow?
1
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I wish I had a ringer in the audience
0
jl3128776
8 months ago
Truly appalling that McDonald’s hit because an audience member shouted it at Hannity
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
McDonald's son!
1
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Hamas ftw
1
US Open Winner (M)
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Pretty much!
0
diddy
8 months ago
You’re cooked brah
US Open: Sinner vs. Paul
DeucePapi
8 months ago
2nd set, Tommy Gunners 6-4
0
US Open: Sinner vs. Paul
DeucePapi
8 months ago
2nd set Paul. Crowd is going bananas for Paul. They'll carry him through the match
0
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
didnt happen
US Open Winner (M)
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Crowd loves Tommy Guns
0
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I read that too. Be careful with the 91 markets bro. You'll end up -$8k like me before you know what hit u
0
XiJinPing
8 months ago
Trump on TruthSocial: "Rules will be exact same as last debate"
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Baby is nonbinary
0
What will Trump say during Arizona speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Feels like Trump looked at this market
1
What will Trump say during Arizona speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Tim Walz bathroom laws
1
minji
8 months ago
Why did he say tampon lmao
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Dude lost $50k on Ukraine and ceasefire
0
DJD22
8 months ago
anon1565 def an insider
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
We are def over 100 by now. https://x.com/UR_Ninja/status/1826831603923845419
0
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://x.com/ACatWithNews/status/1826832417232949372?
1
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://x.com/ChaudharyParvez/status/1826832818649137333
1
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Who is counting all of the arrests made today? https://x.com/ChicagoMWeather/status/1826830181069152738
1
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1826826331369136210
1
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
#BREAKING: Clashes are underway between Chicago law enforcement and pro-Palestine protesters, along with other activists, as they attempt to make their way toward the United Center, where the final day of the Democratic National Convention is taking place. Multiple objects have been thrown at police officers
1
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Needed to give my daily donation to JustKam
0
homosexual
8 months ago
It's over bud
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Thursday evening, The Hollywood Reporter reported that a representative for the pop superstar said she was never scheduled to attend. Beyoncé's longtime publicist Yvette Noel-Schure confirmed the report on Instagram.
0
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Pretty awesome
0
homosexual
8 months ago
2,400% gain on this lol. If only I had put more than a dollar on it
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Still 30 mins left on the program slot.
0
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Queen 🐝 coming??
0
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
StevenBonnell 4.6K 30-45 min 2h ago CNN and other networks just confirmed the speech will be around an hour long (45 min). It's over less than 30 min betters, I tried to warn you
0
StevenBonnell
8 months ago
30 MIN MARK. told you less than 30 minute bros. its over now, you can rest
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Would be so tight if yes ppl woke up w a win
1
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
You bought $4k 45-60min so not that easy bub
1
StevenBonnell
8 months ago
it's just so easy
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Beyonce and TMZ are ded2me
3
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Is Beyonce coming out to rek ppl
1
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I hear beyonxe
0
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Fuxk
0
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Beyonce please
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
🥁🥁🥁 inflation....
2
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Ceasefire rekt
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I thought I couldnt hate this woman any more than I do
9
·
Liked by MrNFT, tomxeth and 7 others
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Are we just under 24 mins now?
0
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
"Fellow Americans is the end
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I got rekt with oakland
0
tomxeth
8 months ago
People still buying no project 2025 lol
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
“We know what a second Trump term would look like. It’s all laid out in ‘Project 2025.’ … In many ways, Donald Trump is an unserious man. But the consequences of putting Donald Trump back in the White House are extremely serious… Consider the power he will have—especially after the United States Supreme Court just ruled he would be immune from criminal prosecution. … “We know a strong middle class has always been critical to America’s success. And building that middle class will be a defining goal of my presidency. This is personal for me. The middle class is where I come from. … “Fellow Americans, I love our country with all my heart. Everywhere I go —in everyone I meet—I see a nation ready to move forward. Ready for the next step, in the incredible journey that is America. “I see an America where we hold fast to the fearless belief that built our nation. That inspired the world. That here, in this country, anything is possible. Nothing is out of reach.”
2
DeucePapi
8 months ago
know there are people of various political views watching tonight. And I want you to know: I promise to be a President for all Americans. … “I will be a President who unites us around our highest aspirations. A President who leads — and listens. Who is realistic. Practical. And has common sense. And always fights for the American people. From the courthouse to the White House, that has been my life’s work. …
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
know there are people of various political views watching tonight. And I want you to know: I promise to be a President for all Americans. … “I will be a President who unites us around our highest aspirations. A President who leads — and listens. Who is realistic. Practical. And has common sense. And always fights for the American people. From the courthouse to the White House, that has been my life’s work. …
2
DeucePapi
8 months ago
With this election, our nation has a precious, fleeting opportunity to move past the bitterness, cynicism, and divisive battles of the past. A chance to chart a New Way Forward. Not as members of any one party or faction, but as Americans
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
With this election, our nation has a precious, fleeting opportunity to move past the bitterness, cynicism, and divisive battles of the past. A chance to chart a New Way Forward. Not as members of any one party or faction, but as Americans
3
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Meanwhile this is spot on: https://bluevirginia.us/2024/08/excerpts-of-vice-president-kamala-harris-acceptance-speech
2
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Exactly, my bet is that this is gonna be shockingly short and Beyonce will come on to close as a distraction
0
RB-79K_BALL
8 months ago
bro 8 mins in and shes still in her history
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
On a side note, this is the least Presidential speech ever given. It sounds like something a 6 grader wrote for student government elections
3
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
When I was 6 and 1/2 I played kickball with my Uncle Robbie, who is a great uncle.
1
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
And when I was 6 years old I ate macaroni for the first time. Delicious macaroni
1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Bc she's going to speak in generalities
0
SusanWarren,HR
8 months ago
Why no ceasefire?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://bluevirginia.us/2024/08/excerpts-of-vice-president-kamala-harris-acceptance-speech
1
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Buy more
1
StevenBonnell
8 months ago
CNN and other networks just confirmed the speech will be around an hour long (45 min). It's over less than 30 min betters, I tried to warn you
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Sad day for America when ppl can ask Kamala for anything they want in exchange for their vote and they give it to her for nothing bc Beyonce played 3 songs on TV for her
1
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Lied to the American ppl about Biden's mental health so they'd support his re-election campaign. Biden wins nomination by population vote. Biden forced to drop out. Kamala becomes self appointed nominee. Kamala refuses to release her platform or conduct a single softball interview even 4 weeks after the Biden coup. Kamala makes speech to entire nation accepting something that was never given to her. Wtf is she gonna talk about for 45 mins + 20 mins for applause?
0
Justifax
8 months ago
"never won a single election in their entire career" .. now you know where all the free money comes from.
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Telling millions of American ppl that democracy faces an existential threat this election, and that she is the protector of democracy who gladly accepts the nomination for winning a race she didn't participate in.
0
hillary2win
8 months ago
"According to inside sources acceptance speech is being rewritten at the last minute for unknown reasons."
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
How is she going to talk for a long time when she hasn't shared a single position that voters can evaluate to see if they want to vote for her. She's accepting a nomination for a position that voters selected for Biden, not her, largely bc she lied about his mental fitness and tricked them into thinking it was a job he was suited for
0
PlanetMan
9 months ago
A speech that is overly long can lead to negative consequences, leaving audiences feeling exhausted. I trust her team will advise her to keep her content concise and powerful.
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I would be shocked if you hit the 90+. The Dem strategy has been to fear monger Trump so ppl vote for their person as the only alternative. Biden killed their strategy by opening his mouth. I would be shocked if they're willing to risk losing w Harris by putting her out there for 1 minutes longer than they need to
1
Car
8 months ago
time to write history!
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Correcto - if I was running her, id go w: "Keep it short, simple, and sincere".
0
Anonbushdid911
9 months ago
never has a candidate had such a clear negative correlation between time-speaking and poll numbers. Entire campaign strategy is to keep her hidden away and not talking more than absolutely necessary -- same as they ran with Biden.
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Never in the history of the DNC has an acceptance speech been made by someone who was appointed as a candidate without receiving a single vote from the American public. How is the worst public speaking politician, who has never won a single election in their entire career, going to speak for over 30 mins to the country about accepting what millions of Americans never offer her?
3
How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
I think he was asking if the 5 minutes of applause in the beginning counts
1
Car
9 months ago
Obviously
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
The troublemakers don't start until latenight
1
aenews2
8 months ago
I don't see much news for tonight other than the couple posted
Tim Walz DNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
How is Walz gonna take the stage before 11p Chicago time?
0
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Performance: John Legend, American singer-songwriter, and Sheila E., American singer and drummer Remarks: The Honorable Amy Klobuchar, United States Senator, Minnesota Remarks: Benjamin C. Ingman, Former student of Governor Tim Walz Remarks: The Honorable Tim Walz, Governor of Minnesota Benediction: William Emmanuel Hall, Lead Pastor of St. James Church in Chicago
Tim Walz DNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Performance: John Legend, American singer-songwriter, and Sheila E., American singer and drummer Remarks: The Honorable Amy Klobuchar, United States Senator, Minnesota Remarks: Benjamin C. Ingman, Former student of Governor Tim Walz Remarks: The Honorable Tim Walz, Governor of Minnesota Benediction: William Emmanuel Hall, Lead Pastor of St. James Church in Chicago
0
DoughJones
8 months ago
they are running out of time. how is he going to take 30 min?
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
How many arrests were made that qualify per your imaginary idea of the market?
0
aenews2
8 months ago
Can't wait for Team Y to get sweaty hands after realizing they bonded a market that is fairly likely to resolve the other way
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Reading the stupid posts here, I'm dying to know what No people thought they were betting on
0
DiversifyYoBonds
8 months ago
Obviously none of these arrests count. If someone has a logical reason for policy that they want then they are protesting POLICY, not the DNC, duhh!
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
What counts as a legit arrest? Someone holding a notarized letter saying they were arrested while protesting for XYZ rights at the DNC?
2
n/a
8 months ago
yeah but those won't count towards the count... read the rules lol
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Arrests happening https://x.com/NeverFringe62/status/1826429509723398610
3
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
So by your definition, the mass arrests were a DNC protest. The article quotes these arrested protestors saying, "Make the DNC feel what Gaza feels". https://nypost.com/2024/08/20/us-news/anti-israel-protesters-clash-with-chicago-police-outside-of-israeli-consulate-during-dnc/
0
Car
8 months ago
Its simple as this: Rules say the arrested protestors need to be protesting the DNC. If they got arrested for looting or something like assaulting an officer during their Pro-Palestina riots, it does not count.
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
“Make them feel what Gaza feels!” a speaker shouted into a microphone. “Make the DNC feel what Gaza feels! This f–king empire needs to burn to the ground!” - Quote from protestors who were part of mass arrest https://nypost.com/2024/08/20/us-news/anti-israel-protesters-clash-with-chicago-police-outside-of-israeli-consulate-during-dnc/
3
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This had nothing to do with the DNC bc the bomb threats were called into hotels. Any arrests made for this should not be counted https://nypost.com/2024/08/20/us-news/bomb-threats-called-into-4-chicago-hotels-used-for-dnc-report/
1
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
CHICAGO - An investigation is underway after a group of protesters allegedly slipped maggots into food that was served during a Democratic National Convention breakfast. The incident happened at 6:45 a.m. Wednesday in the 200 block of N Columbus Drive, at the Fairmont Chicago hotel.
1
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/investigation-launched-after-maggots-found-in-food-at-dnc-breakfast
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/investigation-launched-after-maggots-found-in-food-at-dnc-breakfast
1
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This story bridges the gap between the protesters type and expression of disobedience related to their DNC protests, and how proximity to the United Center has no bearing on the argument
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This story bridges the gap between the protesters type and expression of disobedience related to their DNC protests, and how proximity to the United Center has no bearing on the argument
2
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Every single link and article associates the arrests w the DNC protests.
0
Iverson
8 months ago
Great find. Clearly showing the intention of protestors were against the DNC
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
You are missing the entire point of this market.
1
Car
8 months ago
Its simple as this: Rules say the arrested protestors need to be protesting the DNC. If they got arrested for looting or something like assaulting an officer during their Pro-Palestina riots, it does not count.
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Are we really arguing whether or not the mass protestor arrests are related to the DNC? These protestors go to politicians hotels miles away and try to harass them in their rooms and get arrested. It's all part of the same thing
4
Sardinianshepherd
8 months ago
The gathering point of Behind enemy lines' yestarday protest named "Stand with Palestine – Shut down the DNC for Gaza Protest!" was 500 W Madison, Chicago, that is the address of isreali ambassy: it is crealy a an anti-DNC protest https://behind-enemy-lines.org/protest-shut-down-the-dnc-for-gaza/
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Poly gets annoying when ppl try to make these tedious arguments that go against the spirit of the Market. "The ppl were protesting across the street from the DNC, so they weren't DNC protestors"
2
Mommy
8 months ago
The main group behind the protests at the israeli consolate is called 'behind enemy lines'. They explicitly stated they want to 'shut down the dnc for gaza' and 'make it great like 68' (referring to 1968 dnc protests). Another is samidoun, who were carrying "shut down the dnc for gaza" banners. Some of you guys are lying through your teeth here. these were clear protests against the dnc.
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Oh God. ABC News got it wrong too! https://abc7chicago.com/post/chicago-protests-today-pro-palestinian-anti-dnc-rally-planned-outside-israeli-consulate-will-affect-metra-riders/15209951/
0
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
NBC News gets it wrong too. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/dnc-protest-ends-arrests-demonstrators-refuse-disperse-rcna167487
0
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
🤡
1
abee-Capital-Management
8 months ago
They were not protesting DNC, they were protesting Israel occupation. Done, no reason to discuss
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Listen to the police chief talk in one of the links
0
X9504
8 months ago
This is about to be a shitshow, there will not be a specific account of who was arrested “protesting the DNC” or “protesting something else”. If the media reports any sort of 100+ figure, regardless of what exactly they were protesting, you guys are toast
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Police Announce Charges In First Mass Arrest Of DNC After Protesters, Officers Clash In West Loop - https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/dnc-protest-chicago-palestine-israel-consulate
1
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Nobody was protesting at the DNC then. Bc none of them were let in the United Center
1
abee-Capital-Management
8 months ago
They were not protesting DNC, they were protesting Israel occupation. Done, no reason to discuss
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
What constitutes a DNC protestor? None of them were allowed in and the pro Palestine DNC protestors literally got permits to protest all over the city to disrupt the DNC.
0
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
I can agree that there are people there to protest the DNC and maybe even that they're "DNC protesters" (I think it's misleading at this point, they seem far more like "pro-Palestine" protesters looking for places to protest). BUT here is the key piece of information -- they left the DNC! They did not protest the DNC last night, and they could have. They physically walked somewhere else and protested there instead. And it's miles away. And it's actually a much more logical place to have a pro-Palestine protest, considering the President advocated for an immediate ceasefire from the DNC floor on Monday night.
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
These mental gymnastics ppl are trying to use make no sense
2
Iverson
8 months ago
What does "protesting DNC" mean? Doesn't it mean their support of Israel?
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
It says DNC tho https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/chicago-protest-israeli-consulate-dnc-72-arrests
0
Car
8 months ago
the title literally says pro palestine and pro israel demonstration.
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Lol buy more no shares then
1
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Chicago Police Chief confirms 75+ mass arrested Day 2 https://youtu.be/MG4FnXjlFUk
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Mass arrested 72 ppl at DNC Day 2. Fox news confirms https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/chicago-protest-israeli-consulate-dnc-72-arrests
0
aenews2
8 months ago
Huh? He said 55-60, what you smoking?
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
Chicago Police Chief confirms 75+ mass arrested Day 2 https://youtu.be/MG4FnXjlFUk
1
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
13 Arrests Day 1 of DNC https://fb.watch/u644rLoNTF/?mibextid=z4kJoQ
1
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
https://blockclubchicago.org/2024/08/21/72-people-arrested-during-protest-outside-israeli-consulate/
0
Mass arrests at DNC?
DeucePapi
8 months ago
72 arrested https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/2024-election/pro-israel-pro-palestinian-demonstrations-seen-dnc/
0
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I got 47 as well
0
homosexual
9 months ago
Is there actually any question that it was 47 or is Billy just bad at winning?
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
He may drop it at the end. Jews, blacks, whites, Muslims, Asians, Christians etc
0
0xb52544Dd37b58B27FF41a8E9DCc9a4222aCce29B-1722449653810
9 months ago
MUSLIM
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Mosques was the closest
0
0xb52544Dd37b58B27FF41a8E9DCc9a4222aCce29B-1722449653810
9 months ago
MUSLIM
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Muslims are their entire voter base in Michigan who they've been pandering to. I don't see how they'll be left out here
0
SaulGoodmanEsq
9 months ago
Muslim is way undervalued here
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Dems let 500 ppl nobody has ever heard of speak before Obama. Half of America is sleeping & Obama hasn't come on yet
1
Obama DNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Look at the length of Obama's speeches in front of national audiences over the years. The dude likes to hear himself talk for longer and longer with every passing year
0
0x302c87f715c0626a1abD02ACa830A6622523549d-1721352015306
9 months ago
This is a pretty misleading way of wording things! In 2008 and 2012 he was...the nominee. The nominee always gives a long speech. In 2016, he was the sitting president. And in 2020, as you noted, he didn't speak in front of a crowd. 2024 is our first experience of what a post-presidency Obama convention speech looks like. A good model to look at would be Bill Clinton. In 2000 (his version of Obama's 2016) his speech was 48 minutes. In 2004 and 2008, his speeches were 22 and 25 minutes long.
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Here's the other Waltz that the YouTube also correctly interprets the misspelling of: https://ibb.co/p2RSGFv
1
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
This is great. Lol who is in charge of resolving this market??
0
endo2
9 months ago
Even the youtube hears it https://ibb.co/p0JbGqG
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
So put up $750 for someone to review a video that they clearly didn't bother to review the first time?
0
Apsalar
9 months ago
@slewmoney correct
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
What he says don't rhyme with the words: malls, falls, crawls, or dolls? Bc Walz does and Waltz doesn't.
0
BlackSky123
9 months ago
Niether of those clearly sound like "waltz" to me, but both of us are financially motivated of course.
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Listen for yourself: Tim "Waltz" @ 18:28, Tim & Gwen "Waltz" @ 58:13 https://www.youtube.com/live/33ePGy1G0kQ
1
BlackSky123
9 months ago
Maybe he didn't say waltz
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Walz rhymes with balls. Waltz doesn't rhyme with shit. We bet that Biden would say a name wrong. What am I missing here?
3
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
You think the market wasn't, "Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?"
0
Flipp
9 months ago
he definitely said waltz
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I need $750 to post as a bond to dispute it?
0
Apsalar
9 months ago
@slewmoney https://oracle.uma.xyz/?project=Polymarket&transactionHash=0xd833100ce0217008d0868d04085c08dcd28d6c6c042078428cf47f2158458151&eventIndex=17
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
How do you dispute it?
0
Apsalar
9 months ago
so buy yes and dispute it
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Tim "Waltz" @ 18:28, Tim & Gwen "Waltz" @ 58:13 https://www.youtube.com/live/33ePGy1G0kQ
0
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
He literally didnt say Walls correct one time
1
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
Didn't hear any mispronunciations, I am shocked. He said like 80 names lol.
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
100% listen at the 17:19 mark https://www.youtube.com/live/33ePGy1G0kQ
1
0x40943c3dd52E984
9 months ago
Did he actually say "Waltz"
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
when Biden referred to Rishi Sunak as ‘Mr. Sanook’ this would qualify for a “Yes”
1
bbman1214
9 months ago
Yeah I know but I feel like we are really pulling on straws. Just waiting for something more obvious
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Name is Walz=Walls not Waltz like the dance.
1
bbman1214
9 months ago
I heard that as well but am not sure
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Tim "Waltz" any mispronunciation that significantly alters the intended name
2
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
It may not happen tonight, but I think the Dems see Joe as disposable now & will have him resign if it means giving Kamala the boost she needs to win
0
NixonTapes - 10263
9 months ago
Sell your shares ASAP while you are up
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
https://nypost.com/2024/08/19/us-news/biden-to-pass-the-baton-to-kamala-harris-at-convention-then-jet-off-to-california/
3
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Seems kind of odd that the DNC is starting off w a speech by Biden w Kamala on stage w him.
0
Will Biden resign before the election?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Happening tomorrow night?
1
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
If mpox was found in the sewer water that means ppl in the USA have it & haven't gone to the Doc or don't have symptoms, right?
2
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
1 share required to talk shit
1
-nothingburger-
9 months ago
says who bought 74 shares
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
National Constitution Center in Philly is venue. Has ~60 seats for audience members if they choose to have a live audience. Pic of venue: https://imgur.com/a/8mz74Gk
0
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
https://deadline.com/2024/08/abc-news-debate-philadelphia-trump-harris-1236042119/
0
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
@aaron28a Trump & Vance are demanding an audience. Kamala is practicing at the Howard U auditorium so maybe she'll give him a black university crowd
0
n/a
9 months ago
I think @Xi is right here. "Trump has 0 leverage. He's down in polls. The only way he comes back is if he beats Kamala in debate. He's desperate to debate, so he will agree to Kamala's request of no live audience"
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Here's a vid of her leaving the auditorium: https://www.tiktok.com/@msnbc/video/7403022415602765099
0
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Kamala doing debate prep in the auditorium @ Howard University. But she's def going to do the real debate in a closed studio w no audience right Bros? https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/15/us/politics/harris-howard-university-debate-prep.html
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Kamala doing debate prep in the auditorium @ Howard University. But she's def going to do the real debate in a closed studio w no audience right Bros? https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/15/us/politics/harris-howard-university-debate-prep.html
0
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Trump's best debate was vs. Biden w no audience. ABC as host gives him the opportunity to reach Kamala's base and sway Kamala voters. I wou wouldn't be surprised if she agrees to let him have the audience in exchange for whatever she wants
0
n/a
9 months ago
I think @Xi is right here. "Trump has 0 leverage. He's down in polls. The only way he comes back is if he beats Kamala in debate. He's desperate to debate, so he will agree to Kamala's request of no live audience"
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Pew has them tied: https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/08/14/harris-energizes-democrats-in-transformed-presidential-race/pp_2024-8-14_harris-trump_0-01/
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Sept 10th debate was agreed at the same time as the Biden debate, with exact same terms of No Live Audience + Push Button to Speak rules.
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
538 has Harris up 3pts on Trump...not that significant considering Trump was up by 3 pts on Biden in 2020.https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/.
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Sept 10th debate was agreed at the same time as the Biden debate, with exact same terms of No Live Audience + Push Button to Speak rules.
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
If the No Live Audience + Push Button Speaking was transferrable from Biden to Harris, why is there even a market for this? Please share a link so I can liquidate my position if I'm missing something
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Sept 10th debate was agreed at the same time as the Biden debate, with exact same terms of No Live Audience + Push Button to Speak rules.
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Vance is holding the line w Trump, "we're not going to do one of these fake debates w no audience..." https://x.com/gagirlpolitics/status/1823864768828203081
0
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Trump said “minor details” were still being worked out, including audience and locations https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/08/politics/trump-debate-harris-september/index.html
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Trump said “minor details” were still being worked out, including audience and locations https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/08/politics/trump-debate-harris-september/index.html
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Sept 10th debate was agreed at the same time as the Biden debate, with exact same terms of No Live Audience + Push Button to Speak rules.
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
A gentleman never tells
0
EdgyUsername
9 months ago
I have a question: when you said "Trump never lies" were you joking or serious?
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Check out Biden's Soul of the Nation speech at Independence Hall from 2022. It was outdoors, huge audience. You should go back to picking 95cent markets bruv
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
you literally play 9D chess aganist yourself to find a way to convince yourself a losing position is good
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The most recent debate bw Trump and Biden was the first presidential debate in 64 years to not have a live audience. Please tell me why this next one won't have a live audience as per usual
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
you literally play 9D chess aganist yourself to find a way to convince yourself a losing position is good
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
You're probably right
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
you literally play 9D chess aganist yourself to find a way to convince yourself a losing position is good
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Declaration of Independence was signed there in front of an audience. The room is small which means they'll probably have 30-40 ppl in the audience, which will make Kamala feel comfortable. https://imgur.com/a/z9wKTrv
0
EdgyUsername
9 months ago
I don't understand. How does this play into whether or not it's live?
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The market is whether or not there will be audience members there or if it will be in a closed off venue with just cameras and no audience members
0
EdgyUsername
9 months ago
I don't understand. How does this play into whether or not it's live?
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The market is whether or not there will be a live audience, which to Trump is like home field advantage. Same reason why Biden insisted on a closed studio debate w no audience.
2
Scrounge
9 months ago
Why wouldn’t they have a live debate?
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Event calendar shows Sept 9, 10, 11 are the only dates blocked off at Independence Hall in Philly. Https://www.nps.gov/inde/planyourvisit/calendar.htm
0
Will the US confirm SSN hack in August?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The wording of this market sucks. Does it matter if the stolen data is encrypted?
0
Iran military response by Friday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
If Iran was gonna attack, they would've done it by now
3
Iran military response by Friday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Iran shat the bed and missed the opportunity. They allowed all defense positions to be secured and gave everyone the time to plan responses based on hypothetical attacks they may launch.
2
OP2024
9 months ago
This market has peaked at 61%, now is at 16%. Friday night it will be a 0%. It's as simple as that.
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
God damn. I hope you win. That amount of shares makes me nervous
0
JishWa
9 months ago
Only a twat says San Fran.
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Not quite....only 5% of the votes are in
0
n/a
9 months ago
iihan omar won!
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Lol 5% of votes are in...Omar up by ~180 votes....99% chance of winning
0
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
https://www.sanfranchronicle.com/samuels-takes-the-lead-in-exit-polls-cvgtje
1
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Thank you for the insight
0
Nlfwerw
10 months ago
Everyone has their own choice
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Omar may win but there is no chance in hell that there is a 96% chance. Samuels is gonna have a lot of ppl panic selling at a minimum
0
LouisMarquis
9 months ago
Careful now. 2 years ago she won by 2%. And this was before the whole Israel situation
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The confidence level in Ilhan winning is insanely high. Its like what you'd expect from a candidate that was universally loved by their constituents
0
X9504
9 months ago
They're selling dollars for 0.1 cents
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I read that AIPAC didn't get involved bc it only takes 5,000 republican voters to unseat her
0
bidendropoutnow
9 months ago
This isn't an AIPAC thing going on. Ilhan has outspent Samuels by 450%.
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Isn't Minnesota an open primary where Republicans can vote in Democrat races?
3
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
12
3
plant
9 months ago
How many has he tweets so far during this market?
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Once he starts, it's like a stream of consciousness.
0
X9504
9 months ago
If he makes one more Tweet every day shilling his interview, we still win
Iran military response by Friday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Let's be real...Biden has no idea what's going on.
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Biden said he saw some linkage between the ceasefire effort in Gaza and Iran’s threat to retaliate. “It’s getting harder,” Biden said when asked if a ceasefire deal was becoming a more distant possibility. “I’m not giving up. We’ll see what Iran does. We’ll see what happens"
Iran military response by Friday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Iran attacks before Friday & they ruin all chances for a ceasefire during Thursday's talk. They said a ceasefire is the only thing that would stop them from attacking so explain to me how a Yes will happen before Fri?
2
diddy
9 months ago
Here we go boiz, we have good signs that an attack may happen. It's not like I wish for attack but, money would come in handy :)
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
22 mins until Iran's favorite time of attack
1
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
7am is broad daylight
0
factman
9 months ago
nah. this one goes 7 am in Israel
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Why do ppl comment here who don't own any shares?
0
Justifax
9 months ago
Here's the tweet - https://x.com/iraninarabic_ir/status/1778168830998479321 The attack could happen tonight, but I wouldn't put too much stock in this source.
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Buy some fuckin shares guy
1
Justifax
9 months ago
I understand that you are terribly stressed by this Iranian user, so take into account that on April 11 he posted a similar tweet. As you know, nothing happened in the end. I have no idea what will happen tonight, but don't fall for this psychological warfare https://x.com/Pearl_Alon/status/1823079184232829111
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
This account has 550k followers.
0
Moses
9 months ago
https://x.com/iraninarabic_ir/status/1823063410709557514?s=46
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
50Pence and Bama are the top holders on both sides. Should be interesting
2
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Of course it isn't.
1
factman
9 months ago
OSINTdefender: "This is not an Official Account of the Iranian Government, and also doesn’t appear to be linked to any Senior Iranian Officials or Media." https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1823072662278504679
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Average share price = 13 cents.
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
you sold YES at 10 cents yesterday and bought back today at 15 cents. LMAOO. Buy high sell low.
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I made $ on the attack before Friday bub
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
sold at 95 cents for 2k profit, smart money is flexible
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
https://x.com/iraninarabic_ir/status/1823063410709557514
0
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Fox News reporting that an Iranian news outlet posted a 2 hour countdown timer
0
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
2 more hours until we enter the defcon 2 zone
1
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
https://imgur.com/a/50c835L
0
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Get in here - Put on Fox news. They're reporting that Israel is prepping for Iran to attack at any moment
3
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Hezbollah is launching strikes against Israel now. The general consensus is that Iran will attack alongside its proxy's in attempt to overwhelm iron dome.
0
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I24 Reporting that Iran to attack Israel before Thursdays talks
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Tonight, Tuesday Night, Wed Night (33% chance it's tonight)
0
0xD11e
9 months ago
Well, that won't help us.
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
https://imgur.com/a/IBmknJe
0
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I24 Reporting that Iran to attack Israel before Thursdays talks
Iran military response by Friday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I24 Reporting that Iran to Attack Israel Before Thursdays Talks
0
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I24 Reporting that Iran to attack Israel before Thursdays talks
0
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Iran attacked last time at 3am, which is 6 hours from now. Market ends in 10 hours from now
1
0xD11e
9 months ago
So the Jewish "9th of Av" starts at sundown today and ends at sundown tomorrow. Sundown in Israel was already 1½ hours ago, so we have entered the timeframe. It is unfortunate that this bet ends today, only 8 hours into the timeframe of 24 hours that Iran is believed to attack. I already heard this rumor a week ago on Twitter ( https://x.com/Know_More_News/status/1820507313209500120/ ) but I never took this religious stuff seriously. "The 9th of Av" is of course the "Tisha B'Av" that others here have referenced. Some say it's the traditional Jewish holiday of nothing happening.
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Good idea
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
btw im selling YES later too
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Hagari speaking on I24 now
2
5to5000
9 months ago
"There are more and more indications that an Iranian attack on Israel is truely imminent. We didn't see much of these reports [I.e. military movement, high alert] before today." https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1823044294950703328
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
You googled "tisha b'av" didn't you
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
seeing your dumbass comments make me want to sell my 5 cent YES
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Whoa whoa whoa when did you switch to yes?
1
XiJinPing
9 months ago
seeing your dumbass comments make me want to sell my 5 cent YES
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Likely = 51%
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Iran likely won't attack tonight, but there's way more than 10% chance that it does. Closer to at least 25%.
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I'm watching I24, the Israeli news channel live and there's a correspondent w a helmet & vest on reporting. Seems like they're on high alert
1
Donkov
9 months ago
Bro, they have been pumping such news every day for a week straight.
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
https://www.foxnews.com/world/iran-could-attack-israel-less-than-24-hours-sources-say-western-powers-issue-tehran-warning
3
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I also have 4000 shares in for 8 cents. Either way it should be interesting by this time tomorrow
0
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Not panic. I'm going to buy more when price goes down to 3 cents bc the attack is happening tomorrow night
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Not panic. I'm going to buy more when price goes down to 3 cents bc the attack is happening tomorrow night
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
"Iran will attack tomorrow, I pinky promise" -- people been crying wolf everyday for the past 2 weeks lmao
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
It's just $ so don't rope yourself when you open polymarket and you No shares are selling for .2 cents
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
"Iran will attack tomorrow, I pinky promise" -- people been crying wolf everyday for the past 2 weeks lmao
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
This is a betting site where ppl put $ on what they think. The polling site is nextdoor
0
0x7D871aCF19120b233198290A1Ac05D9D72aFA383-1723418104009
9 months ago
As an Iranian i say the irgc commanders doesn't have the balls to do it
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Do yourself a favor and Google "tisha b'av". All Intel sources say if it doesn't happen tonight, it will happen after midnight Israel time tomorrow
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
correction: "you pray it will happen monday"
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I lost it all on a Kanye West album bet. This will redeem me. It's 2:10am in Israel now. Iran likes to launch at 3am. Not too late to dump your No shares.
1
XiJinPing
9 months ago
youre already down 5k, just give me ur daughter and ill help you out
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Israeli Air Force and Military Intelligence Directorate placed on high alert after noticing signs in Iran indicating an imminent attack against Israel. Time to liquidate my son's college fund
2
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
You can thank Joe Biden soft ass for this win
1
Darkpsico
9 months ago
its coming
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
This is gonna be a nail biter https://m.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-814292
1
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
😂
0
JacobAgi
9 months ago
It feels 50/50 at this point
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Bro, it's 9pm in New York. It's 6pm in California. There is nowhere on this side of the earth where ppl are waking up now
2
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
Americans are about to wake up so if you're planning on buying China wait an hour or two for it to go down
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
It's not too late to delete your comment
4
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
Americans are about to wake up so if you're planning on buying China wait an hour or two for it to go down
Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Finkle is Einhorn
2
Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
What is research
0
Gdubb47
9 months ago
Ummmm people who did actual research are taking positions lol
Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
They'll never let Imane win.
2
Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Wtf is happening w.Yang?
1
Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
My bet is that Yang Liu is quicker, like Manny Pacquiao, and lands more punches for points FTW. At the end of the fight everyone will be sure s/he lost but it's all about the points.
0
RUSTIC
9 months ago
Should I bet on Yang Liu. Research tells me she is IBA 2023 Welterweight champion https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_medalists_at_the_IBA_Women%27s_World_Boxing_Championships.
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I'll tell you one thing. If he doesn't lose his job for lying about military experience, I'm gonna check that box on every single form I fill out that asks if I served
1
haluk
9 months ago
2 words. STOLEN VALOR
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
f he gets a Congressional subpoena, he's toast.They're gonna get him to answer questions amitting his entire political career was built on a foundation of lies about his military rank & real world experience bc he knew that he would have no future in politics if he told the truth about himself
0
Iran military response by Friday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Last time, Iran launched attack at 3am Israel time, which gives is gonna make this a photo finish if it happens
2
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Samuels is going to win. Lots of money being spent on getting at least 5,000 Republicans to register Dem & vote for him, which would lock in the win for him
0
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The holiday starts the eve of the 12th actually
0
n/a
9 months ago
This is 1 day before Tisha B'Av (the saddest day in Jewish calendar).
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
This is ridiculous. Look at the explanation saying ABC is a platform. The venue or Platform agreement means that they need to agree to do it in a studio, like Biden demanded, or in front of an audience like trump wants.
0
Laura
9 months ago
No, the 'and' portion is: "...about that date and a set host...". The date is September 10 and the host is ABC News, per their tweet.
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
ABC is not a platform, it's a broadcasting company or a host at best. Debates take place in venues, like the Kennedy Center, or on a platform like Zoom. This is a terrible resolution.
0
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
They haven't agreed on a venue/platform which is critical. Kamala prob wants a closed set studio and Trump will want a live audience. This is far from over
1
Stavros-Jenkins
9 months ago
I've re-read the rules 20 times and I would still bet "no" on this at this point in time.
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
What is the venue/platform? In a studio like when he debated Biden? A live audience? Where?
0
multibettor
9 months ago
Who knows what will happen? Trump is so volatile
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
ABC is a "host". An ex of a platform/venue would be: Auditorium at Harvard w live audience, ABC studios closed set...
0
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Only an agreement between both candidates about that date and a set host will resolve this market to "Yes". SO WHO IS THE HOST?
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The market will resolve to "Yes" only if both candidates agree on the date, venue/platform, and host for the debate. Agreement on just the date, venue/platform, or host alone is not sufficient.
1
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
What is the agreed upon venue/platform?
0
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Only an agreement between both candidates about that date and a set host will resolve this market to "Yes". SO WHO IS THE HOST?
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Only an agreement between both candidates about that date and a set host will resolve this market to "Yes". SO WHO IS THE HOST?
2
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
3 requirements must be satisfied for the market to resolve "yes". 1) An agreed upon date 2) an agreed upon venue 3) a confirmed host for the debate
1
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I am shocked that you're a human. How do you make over 1000 trades a day, sir?
4
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
I don't know what to make of this market, I am very biased now, but as far as I am aware this is the state of play: Kamala wants to do September 10th. Trump agreed to 3 at once, including September 10th. ABC announces both sides agreed, but didn't post any details (location, venue, etc.). Then Kamala announces she will only agree to 1 debate. So will Trump now renege on his original 3 debate agreement before a location/venue is finalized?
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I said "no upside"..5 days ago you actually said "Near certain" and posted an axios article 🤡
2
martingale
9 months ago
Yeah there’s no chance, imo you should bet a bit more
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
There is no upside for Iran to attack. If attack gets intercepted again, they look weak. If attack is successful, they will get pummeled by Israel, possibly the US, & will look to Russia for support who will leave them hanging.
2
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Hezbollah is launching the retaliatory strike now
0
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The USS Roosevelt has arrived at the Straits of Hormuz opposite Iran.
1
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Lol dude you have 159 shares. You ain't slapping 20k on shit
0
FRENCHG4NGSTA
9 months ago
this is free money, i wish it was more liquid or i'd slap 20k on it
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Exactly this. Everyone is on high alert now which reduces the chances of success. Killers move in silence
1
0x2c8029f2Bea882Ef928e22Ba6C394109A6Eda651-1722677145246
9 months ago
From a strategic standpoint I think it makes sense to wait to strike. Let complacency set in then make a move. That would be the wisest decision because any large scale attack will likely be stopped before it happens from Israeli or US air assets. Whatever their next move is it will need to be very calculated.
Iran military response by Sunday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
You should dump this garbage before it's worth nothing
1
zyncet
9 months ago
I think its starting, Iranian TV Channels broadcasting of an imminent attack. https://live.irib.ir/
Will Kamala announce VP pick by Aug 7?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Dems don't follow rules clearly
0
abdendriel
9 months ago
Rules of the democrats roll call require a VP to be picked by Aug 7. She’s got plenty of time and options to get everything in order to qualify.
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Iran is gonna wait until the Jewish holiday on August 13 to strike. It's free money for the No bettors. Sorry pal
1
FRENCHG4NGSTA
9 months ago
this is free money, i wish it was more liquid or i'd slap 20k on it
Iran military response by Sunday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The night of August 12/13.
1
ALEJOCARC
9 months ago
Iran attack in the night
Iran military response by Monday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The bet is on whether or not Iran initiates an attack. What happens to the weapons after they're launched is inconsequential
3
no.nickname
9 months ago
Still not clear: What will happen if all Iranian weapons are intercepted in the air? Is that considered a yes or a no?
Iran military response by Sunday?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Easy money here.
4
Will Biden resign during his speech today?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Did anyone understand a word he said?
1
Will Biden finish his term?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
I can't understand what he's saying.
2
Will Biden resign during his speech today?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
It's happening
0
Will Biden resign during his speech today?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Biden has no future in the White House. Kamala does. If making her president helps her get elected, Joe will do it
2
Will Biden resign during his speech today?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
If it's gonna happen, it will happen tonight
0
Will Biden finish his term?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
That doesn't make a lot of sense. Joe has no future in the White House. Kamala does. There is no upside for allowing Joe to finish his term
0
GameMingGear
9 months ago
No, that wouldn't be good for Kamala's elections. Biden is doing very well and it's in their interest that he finish his term. In fact, he's doing very well: Skynews: https://news.sky.com/video/joe-biden-says-hes-feeling-well-as-he-boards-a-plane-to-washington-ahead-of-speech-13183943
Will Biden finish his term?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Joe will resign so Kamala goes into the election as President
2
Will Biden finish his term?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
The stroke he just had will
1
mmmpieee
9 months ago
Agreed
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
People finally hearing the news
0
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Biden now delegating his presidential authorities. https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2024/07/22/memorandum-on-the-delegation-of-certain-functions-and-authorities-under-the-rebuilding-economic-prosperity-and-opportunity-for-ukrainians-act/
0
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
Gets worse everyday
1
Biden deletes "I'm sick" tweet by tonight?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
Tell me what you really think
0
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
10 months ago
You're an idiot with bad taste
Biden deletes "I'm sick" tweet by tonight?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
Pretty stupid tweet for a guy who is trying to reassure the country that he's not a feeble senior with one foot in the grave
4
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
It doesn't matter if Biden is happy w her. This lady is responsible for the security of our country's leaders & may be compromised.
0
Car
10 months ago
It really shows how many republicans are on this site. Biden stated he is happy with the Secret Service and Kimberly Cheatle stated she will not resign. If she didnt resign after the event she is defenilty not resigning weeks later lol.
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
She's a threat to national security at this point. They need to determine that she hasn't been compromised and isn't a national security threat
1
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
Biden just tweeted, "I'm sick"
0
aki
10 months ago
Biden saying he’d consider dropping out if a ‘medical condition’ emerged is a clear indicator he is preparing to drop out before DNC convention in August. Probably before July 31st.
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
She's toast. This was the most unsophisticated assassination attempt imaginable & luck is what saved Trump's life.
2
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
Sloped roof excuse. Easy money here
2
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
Breaking: Local counter-sniper team was inside building where Trump shooter climbed on the roof and opened fire. https://nypost.com/2024/07/15/us-news/counter-sniper-team-was-inside-building-where-thomas-crooks-opened-fire/
0
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
They should've whisked him off stage immediately after they were made aware of the threat. Standard operating procedure. No chance she makes it through this
0
Car
10 months ago
because the Secret Service did everything right actually. You can not just randomly shoot a person, just because he is laying on a roof.
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
How did the most elite security team in the world let trump keep speaking after the shooter was spotted?
1
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
How can she possibly keep her job after the biggest debacle in Presidential security since JFK, having policies as protocol bc of JFK
2
Will Biden finish his term?
DeucePapi
10 months ago
Kamala needs some experience before taking over. Makes sense
0