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UMAisGarbage
0x3168a74556b9b552267cfc9995183491c90c6734
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#20
Rank
900
Comments
331
Likes Received
374
Likes Given
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
UMAisGarbage
9 hours ago
They have before: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yom_Kippur_War
KimJongUn🇰🇵
12 hours ago
Jews don't fly on Yom Kippur ☝️🇮🇷
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
17 hours ago
They're using CSPAN which is incomplete
ItCantBeTrollBoy
18 hours ago
Your voice to text probably doesn't pick it up because he says "Gyna".
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
17 hours ago
I'm almost done and I have 9 confirmed.
ItCantBeTrollBoy
18 hours ago
Should I dispute China No or let someone else do it?
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
18 hours ago
And he says Chinese
UMAisGarbage
18 hours ago
He says Asian
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
18 hours ago
He says Asian
Skippy-downunder
18 hours ago
Does a stutter count as saying China twice? the 4th time he says chin... chinA!
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
20 hours ago
Terrorist Attax, Taxi drivers
Chunkymonkey
20 hours ago
Tax ciunt?
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
20 hours ago
9...he should nail #10 in his grand finale rant
EYG
20 hours ago
China 10?
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
20 hours ago
For those keeping score at home: Bullshit 1, Crypto: 0
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
20 hours ago
China 9?
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
20 hours ago
Everything is gonna hit. He's ranting until 9 tonight
Glover
20 hours ago
Border 12 Tax 14 Kamala 22 China 8
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
20 hours ago
He doesn't like to bash govt agencies by name. Like after he got shot, he only had good things to say about the Secret Service
BigDoh
20 hours ago
No FEMA is diabolical
Milton landfall at what category?
UMAisGarbage
20 hours ago
Fuck off
CharlesGalloway
21 hours ago
no
Milton landfall at what category?
UMAisGarbage
20 hours ago
Yes
OrangeCat
21 hours ago
Votix is scam? right?
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
20 hours ago
You never know w this guy
GlennYoungkin
20 hours ago
FEMA dead?
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
21 hours ago
Y he no call it "liquid crypto"
Milton landfall at what category?
UMAisGarbage
21 hours ago
This market sounds like UMA hell
What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)
UMAisGarbage
21 hours ago
Trump pregame music is so based
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
@haterzloserz @car am I wrong?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Careful guys....the market is about who the documentary identifies as the creator of Bitcoin....not who Satoshi Nakamoto is
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Careful guys....the market is about who the documentary identifies as the creator of Bitcoin....not who Satoshi Nakamoto is
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
6 weeks typically
arthurito
1 day ago
how long does it usually take for markets to close after UMA settlement?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Cullen is a bitch
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
1:11 into the film where Back puts on the cloak at the convention. The only time that Cullen says who he thinks Satoshi is
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
It was Adam back though
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Back is the only person who Cullen said he thinks is Satoshi
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
It was Adam back though
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
It was Adam back though
KamalaHarris-Realaccount
1 day ago
the swindlers who convinced everyone it was Adam Beck should be ashamed of themselves
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Back!!!
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
He doesn't need to. Just has to bring it into dispute to scare enough paper hands and fomo ppl to buy into back, which would allow him to sell at a profit
Skinfeeler500
1 day ago
He's probably bribing uma?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Yea, but if you bought Back at .003 cents and he goes up to 5 cents bc of the dispute, you win
betless
1 day ago
going down the road of trying to dispute via nitpicking never works bc you have to fight the whales in UMA
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Haterz is gonna rug this entire market. You think he's just buying 4mm Adam Back bc he's emotional?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
So click Resolve
n/a
1 day ago
This is why I love this site. The market has been settled for over an hour now and people still give you free money anyway
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
This is when the real trading begins
n/a
1 day ago
"f the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin." Artistic choices to be considered?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
We'll see what UMA thinks
MrNFT
1 day ago
Anyone saying adam back is wasting their time
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
You cant
FinallyHappening
1 day ago
People already skipped to the ending…
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
I think this is why Other isn't moving at 99.4cents
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
That he could create another acct to buy Other for $100k, and make $2mm by buying the actual winner for fractions of a penny
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
That he could create another acct to buy Other for $100k, and make $2mm by buying the actual winner for fractions of a penny
0xfb508f0986aEe351eaE36081ba809844d2c22721-1728431121483
1 day ago
Damn this guy HL still dumping thousands and thousands in Adam... What does he know?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Lol the train scene on half way through the doc??
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
That's what I'm saying. Such loser life
trav
1 day ago
RNC had insider info and six figures of capital and made $16k? lol if true. HL is the king this time even though he lost.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Cullen posted "Wen Rug Pull" on Twitter right before the documentary started
Drizzt
1 day ago
Why is HL still dumping thousands into Adam Back
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Something ain't right for ppl to be holding at 99.1 rn
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
No, ppl dispute everything
ItCantBeTrollBoy
1 day ago
You're assuming that it's going to be an unclear ending when the director has said it's not?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Diamond hands. I learned it from you dad
HaterzLoserz
1 day ago
Well, I had my thesis and went big, its what I do. May have been caught out by the signals coming from adam and samson, but we will see how its goes. lots of suspicious stuff with these fortune and forbes links imo, but we will see.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Stop the presses. Wen Rug Pull - Cullen Twitter https://x.com/CullenHoback/status/1843806472477855758
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
On now
Myrepatti
1 day ago
Is it out?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Do Other bettors understand what the UMA dispute process is like?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Other 94% before the doc begins is concerning.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
https://imgur.com/a/FMrvTCx
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
#1 contrarian
goingsocial
1 day ago
HaterzLoserz going for 2 mil
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Billy is done
n/a
1 day ago
https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2024/10/08/who-is-peter-todd-the-man-named-by-hbo-as-bitcoins-mystery-creator-satoshi-nakamoto/
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
This was hacked. One of the ppls name is the n-word
abdendriel
1 day ago
Oh shit check out the cast on IMDB. Only a few ppl… and Peter Todd at the end. https://m.imdb.com/title/tt33600145/fullcredits/cast?ref_=m_ttfc_2
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Spend like night alone?
RoemerNewsCapital
1 day ago
I'm about to do what's called a pro gamer move.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
HaterzLoserz is gonna pocket 1mm tn and there's no amount of insider bullshit thats gonna stop him
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Wouldn't be the first time a journalist has gotten it completely wrong bc of poly market pump propaganda
Justifax
1 day ago
It's possible it's not Todd but if so Billy Brambough just took a serious hit to his career.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
This feels a lot like that. Where journalists start taking positions based on nonsense poly marketing pump propaganda that they find on twitter
ArtVandalay
1 day ago
Crystal clear.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Anyone remember the DNC Beyonce/Taylor Swift performance market?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Other bros get rekt https://www.coindesk.com/business/2024/10/08/former-bitcoin-dev-peter-todd-denies-hes-satoshi-hours-before-hbo-documentary-airs/
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
What does this mean? https://x.com/peterktodd/status/1843769829129629721
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
Haterz will submit as Resolved when Adam Becks name is mentioned just wreck all of the paper handed Other holders
ArtVandalay
1 day ago
HaterzLoserz, you need to leave some for the insiders!
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
1 day ago
They weren't allowed to use that one bc HBO didn't want liability of making Pete or Back targets of kidnapping, harassment etc
Justifax
1 day ago
It's possible the person below screened it, but it's also possible there are multiple endings that were sent out for a/b testing.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Not worth buying this at 80 cents, even w insider, considering the UMA factor
XyzBM
2 days ago
People thinking the Peter Todd leaks are fake/bait... take a look at the 2 insider accounts that scooped up all the Others ask liquidity.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
I never said I was a math genius. I'm just saying that 4 days ago you could buy as much Other for 10cents as you wanted
BibiNetanyahu
2 days ago
25m volume, not total
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
The most disappointing thing is that the top 2 insiders only stand to make a 50% return of 60k each in a $25mm market
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Over https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/1843738025198792962
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
What does UMA say?
n/a
2 days ago
Cullen said he settled on ONE name, not multiple.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
So Peter Todd is richest man in world?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Read Back's Twitter. He's discounting the documentary saying ppl shouldn't believe that Satoshi is who the doc says it is
Justifax
2 days ago
Other might not be overpriced. It's possible by accusing everyone the director gets away with saying he confronted him.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
What happens if we all ask the Discord chat to add Peter Todd to this list?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Guys, dont panic buy Other. It will drop to 20 cents after the result gets Disputed
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Shonichi!!! Math student that's been compared to Newton level genius
Neo11
2 days ago
https://x.com/theblockcitizen/status/1843732566261846387
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
You're losing your edge. Justifax isn't even upset by your posts today
Car
2 days ago
very real wikipedia article says Wei Dai is the creator: https://imgur.com/eiOeCP4
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
This is weak dude, even for you
Car
2 days ago
The cast says Vili Lehdonvirta is Satoshi Nakamoto: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt33600145/fullcredits/?ref_=tt_ov_st#cast
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Welcome
Insider1
2 days ago
why will be only 1 winner?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
The biggest whale position on this market is Craig Wright @ 400k shares.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Bc Vandalay Industries is buying it all
ArtVandalay
2 days ago
You know, Other/Mutliple has been inflating every day. I wonder why.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Samson says the subject of the doc is alive
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
A warning to traders from Samson Mow: I've been leaving a ton of hints about who HBO is probably going to say Satoshi is, but it doesn't seem anyone has clued in. All I can say is most traders on Polymarket are probably going to get rekt. https://x.com/Excellion/status/1843567554180346261
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Smart money wouldn't buy 94 cent No shares on tons of other ppl in addition to a position on Adam Back
informed
2 days ago
Smart money is betting on Adam Back against single delusional whale. Look at the holders
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
A warning to traders from Samson Mow: I've been leaving a ton of hints about who HBO is probably going to say Satoshi is, but it doesn't seem anyone has clued in. All I can say is most traders on Polymarket are probably going to get rekt. https://x.com/Excellion/status/1843567554180346261
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Why is @weareallsatoshi dumping?
Sit
2 days ago
when does the documentary drop?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
@SwaggyRach I like the diagram you made here https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EyVg59uWgAIjRc5.jpg
SwaggyRach
2 days ago
the asnwer is other/multiple if you notice blackrock owns majority shares in HBO and recently they bought shit ton of bitcoin through ETFs its clear it was all planned a 8 month long consolidation was just them accumulating bitcoin before Q4 since retail always enters crypto in Q4 and to match the timing they are releasing a documentary on satoshi just to prove again that satoshi is not any alive person but is indeed dead and his holding worth 60Bil+ $ is locked forever making it a viral news again and providing it a narrative to rally up with retail interest rising
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Too much Adderall for u papi. Keep it simpe
SwaggyRach
2 days ago
the asnwer is other/multiple if you notice blackrock owns majority shares in HBO and recently they bought shit ton of bitcoin through ETFs its clear it was all planned a 8 month long consolidation was just them accumulating bitcoin before Q4 since retail always enters crypto in Q4 and to match the timing they are releasing a documentary on satoshi just to prove again that satoshi is not any alive person but is indeed dead and his holding worth 60Bil+ $ is locked forever making it a viral news again and providing it a narrative to rally up with retail interest rising
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Well until the Office of Satoshi's Identity makes a formal statement, I think ppl are going to track w the most convincing narrative
HB76
2 days ago
This market is not about who is Satoshi. Its about the theory presented by HBO tonight. The most shockwaves would be created if a non US citizen would be proposed as Satoshi.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
I don't know enought about Kleinan, but the fact that there was a court case involving his BTC stash w Craig Wright and the identity of Satoshi seems like a strong documentary case
td.
2 days ago
I've just checked the names on this leak where it says it's david kleiman, and the names are correct, for the producers and many others. typography, layout, songs, are also all on brand. looks more likely than not that it is not a scam. very well done, if it is. but anyway, odds for this can go way higher considering all of this
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
All of the ppl nobody has ever heard of and Elon who is hiding in plain sight
entrpy
2 days ago
Which of the available options is a ghost like Satoshi? The answer is obvious. There's only one Wei this market will go...
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
See you at the crossroads
coinflip
2 days ago
WEI DAI.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Based
Ylescaps
2 days ago
surely this is not how it ends https://imgur.com/a/FMrvTCx
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
It would still have real world ramifications. Satoshi has 1mm BTC, imagine if someone unknown owned 5% of the NASDAQ
tomaz
2 days ago
The main thing is that this is not a betting on who Satoshi is, but a bet on who HBO thinks Satoshi is
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Szabo was at 32% when i posted
tomaz
2 days ago
How does 17.9% + 7.4% = ~40%
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
If there was a ~40% chance that Nick Szabo or Adam Back would be revealed as Satoshi today, the price of Bitcoin would have tanked by 50% today.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
What are the odds that the result will be disputed?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Adam Back
Luter
2 days ago
so lagy. Who developed this
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Can't wait to drag the newbie insiders who bet Not Mentioned/Other into UMA hell w disputes. They're gonna be shitting their pants when they realize it ain't easy money
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Yea, but they don't know about UMA and that's our insider upper hand
n/a
2 days ago
After checking the ‘other’ holders, this looks insider traded
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Lol this is what I'm expecting
Maximemeliano
2 days ago
Guys, I watch the movie, and I was shocked. When the director asked Adam Back for the 69th time if he was Satoshi, he smirked mischievously, and that became the main proof
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
People selecting Other/Multiple are gonna get rekt. This market is here as part of HBO's marketing efforts for the documentary. They didn't get the listed names here out of the blue
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
He's in the film and we're not. Who he thinking Satoshi is matters bc that's what we're betting on, papi
n/a
2 days ago
Note that Samson Mow probably knows just as much as we do. He confirmed that he does not know the outcome
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Feels like this market is a paid promotion by HBO x Polymarket. How did they come up w this list of names to put on here?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
If I buy you 1000 shares of other will u stop posting about Isamu Kanamu?
CRYPTU
2 days ago
other is shooting up because its gonna be announced on hbo tomorrow that its Isamu Kaneko
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
I'm with you. Nothing stopping this dude from making a stupid documentary that claims Craig is the inventor
n/a
2 days ago
Craig Wright is the King He invent Bitcoin and he win big and me win big when he win!!!!!!!!
Saints vs. Chiefs
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
NFL anything can happen
Getrich
2 days ago
The vaule for a 5x is crazy
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Reporting this.
MarilynMonroe
2 days ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TheDefiantNews/status/1843420090525725128
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Done
n/a
2 days ago
Just bet on no on everything and call it a day lol.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Does it matter? You're betting on the name they come up with
informed
2 days ago
No is only choice. HBO has 0 chance to come with true name
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Sylvester Stallone is back
MarilynMonroe
2 days ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TheDefiantNews/status/1843420090525725128
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
2 days ago
Missing 80% of the ppl listed here
Brainstormy
2 days ago
All the proof you need to know: https://x.com/artcadadesign/status/1843417677999804555?s=46
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
It doesn't matter who the real Satoshi is. You're betting on who the director thinks he is
n/a
3 days ago
Satoshi posted on BitcoinTalk forums literally just after Sassaman gave a speech at Black Hat 2010. https://x.com/EleusisDubai/status/1843369783531843942 He cannot be satoshi
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Narrows search down to 2 people. 1 is dead. Confronts live person and eliminates them leaving the dead person as Satoshi
n/a
3 days ago
"In the film director Collen Hoback builds the case for his Satoshi suspect. A person he ulitmately challenges FACE TO FACE" https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid Sell Sassaman
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
https://x.com/Excellion/status/1842481454091223087 will be an expensive lesson to learn for you
topblaster
3 days ago
hes trolling
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Cullen Hoback made a documentary about the identity of Q from Q-Anon and concluded that he was Ron Watkins, one of the participants in the documentary who denied being Q. It doesn't matter who Satoshi really is, what matters is who the documentary says Satoshi is
kent395595
3 days ago
how does adam still hold 10% lol, he literally said it's not him - https://x.com/hodlerr0/status/1843354622796410911
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Samson Mow, one of the main dudes in the documentary, believes Satoshi is Chinese. Check his twitter
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Better off picking one of the nerds on the list who nobody talks about
Bobanoice
3 days ago
he literally FOMO-ed in shitcoins and lost money publicly and still shit posting on Twitter and you mfers think that's Satoshi LMFAOOOOOOOO
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
It's just another Satoshi documentary fellas. Cullen isn't breaking new info that isn't already out there or hasn't been thought of yet. Many will be disappointed at his choice bc you'll know 1,000 reasons why he's wrong, but it won't matter
Car
3 days ago
I can assure you he is not gonna be in the list. To be precise, they are not gonna have 1 satoshi, but multiple. Possibly the US Government.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Imagine the real Satoshi, the richest person in the world who has kept his identity a secret for 15 years, decided to participate in a HBO documentary that aimed on discovering who he is
n/a
3 days ago
Adam Back uses double spaces, went silent with academic publishing during Bitcoins development, said he deleted logs with Satoshi but recently posted them and they contradict with what he said back then, is from the UK (News article in the first bitcoin blog is from a UK newspaper), speaks british english, does his very best to prove he is not Satoshi, even trying to point fingers at other people.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Such a Shinichi Mochizuki thing to say
retardiopxwx
3 days ago
"I’ve moved on to other things and probably won’t be around in the future" that's what satoshi wrote in MAY 2011, len died in JULY 2011 if ur voting for someone else ur dumb. https://evanhatch.medium.com/len-sassaman-and-satoshi-e483c85c2b10
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Look at the cast bro https://m.imdb.com/title/tt33600145/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_1
0x1084De2FD183fdB398c0bA310beC92c8F2900daD-1728312342780
3 days ago
he buying it for everyone if you see, check it, dont try to get rate higher, adam is bad choice
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Watch every Cullen Hoback documentary and find one that doesn't have the person of interest in the cast
Car
3 days ago
I can assure you he is not gonna be in the list. To be precise, they are not gonna have 1 satoshi, but multiple. Possibly the US Government.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Lol Adam and three other ppl in the documentary make a case for someone else
topblaster
3 days ago
leak came out its Adam Back
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Car made someone buy Adam for 60cents
0x1084De2FD183fdB398c0bA310beC92c8F2900daD-1728312342780
3 days ago
can someone explain what are hell was going on?
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Adam says it was invented by a Chinese person
Car
3 days ago
ADAM
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
You must be new here
topblaster
3 days ago
why is others/multiple at 40% when the director said they land on a single specific person? idiots
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
You can do better
Car
3 days ago
This is also a fun bet: https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-satoshis-identity-be-proven?tid=1728315015776
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
This sounds like another UMA shit show in the making. Ppl throwing all of their $ into 1 line from the documentary, "I was positive Satoshi was Mike Tyson, or was I?"
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
CNN lies tho
n/a
3 days ago
LEAKED Its Sasssaman. Before dying, he was uploaded on the blockchain. With quantum AI they were able to communicate https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid
Israel military response against Iran in October?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Nothing ever happens is the risk-on side in matters involving Israel military action
Car
3 days ago
These are some really good odds for the “nothing ever happens” gang
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Dick
Car
3 days ago
Yes but small
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
🔥🔥🔥
Andy-Beshear
3 days ago
Good job, you’re averaging about a post per share.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Chad, why dont you just buy UMA tokens and vote Yes to make yourself win? Works for the other top dogs
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Chad!!!!! My man
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Aside from justken, who the f buys UMA tokens and participates in these disputes in their free time?
Cryptonord
3 days ago
This is the Token Mate :)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
This is wrong. UMA Twitter page not only tweets about Poly market, but gives a shout out to @justken https://x.com/UMAprotocol/status/1842942940470968597
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Can someone please tell me Polymarket doesn't use a Dispute Resolution system that sells vote tokens for $2.32/wa? https://coinmarketcap.com/community/coins/uma/top/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Thanks nigga
NIGGA
3 days ago
Quite many yes holders got blown the fuck out. Tough luck!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Not sure why the retardo who writes the market isn't responsible for resolving it
n/a
3 days ago
I would honestly prefer if Polymarket abolished the UMA system, and just had a team of staff deciding.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Is there anything stopping the conflict of interest of UMA whales participating in the markets?
PolyRig-Fried
3 days ago
"decentralized" "truth" finding machine. but in reality it's just 3 whales.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
The thing I learned from this is that of the 300 different places where Disputes are actually resolved, this chat log is not one of them
Justifax
3 days ago
Kevin Chan committed his vote yesterday and then a minute later a topholder posted on discord very confidently about the vote. It could be a coincidence of course, but I dunno. Did they communicate? Probably not but because of the 'decentralized' voting machine is so centralized and lacks transparency these issues arise.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Thanks dad
qnguyen301
3 days ago
never risk all of your hard-earned money one 1 bet
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
That it's over
n/a
3 days ago
What's the rumor
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Nahhh
Slytherin
3 days ago
It probably won’t reverse again, right?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
This is how the whales end up getting everyones money
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Buy the rumor
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Lol
Gauth
3 days ago
we got fucked bro
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Go to the beginning of this market. I was an OG here, holding Yes bags w HaterzLosers up until the very end. You got here 5 minutes ago dude
Gauth
3 days ago
dude you bet on something you don't even believe in, for 2 days hundreds of proofs have been sent in the comments and on discord, do your own fucking research idiot
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Send me link that states this pet Israel/Lebanon/UN
General.William.T.Sherman
3 days ago
Idiot
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
The fact remains that Israel didn't take control of Lebanese land as part of this invasion. I'm betting on UMA being a wrong piece of shit now
Gauth
3 days ago
@unclelouie I think you are the worst piece of shit I have seen haha
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
You can always look at my P/L
dancer
3 days ago
why advertise your ignorance?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
I just had a rare change of heart. I didn't realize that UMA has already proven its retardedness on this exact issue
Gauth
3 days ago
@unclelouie I think you are the worst piece of shit I have seen haha
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Well I just changed teams. I didn't realize that the November version of this market has already resolved to Yes...https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-enter-lebanon-before-November/will-israel-enter-lebanon-before-November
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
How does their presence in Lebanon equate to them taking control of Lebanese land?
General.William.T.Sherman
3 days ago
Hard to argue Israel isn’t holding land when they are clearly advancing as we speak. Only questionable thing that could be argued is whether it commenced before 11:59pm eastern on the 30th and it did.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
If you're getting yes, you're betting on the stupidity of UMA and how it resolves to a vibe instead of what it's supposed to
Justifax
3 days ago
One of the reasons I hate the UMA process is the orthogonal insider info that veterans can use to take money away from folks just trying to bet on "did they invade". For example, which UMA voters have a high accuracy rate on disputed markets? What's their connection to the chain for reveals like? Do they know the identity of btl and their potential biases? The list goes on and all of these details are not relevant to the underlying question.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
The guy who knows what the next part is doesn't buy 20k Yes shares at 65cents right before the price goes down to 42cents/share
Drizzt
3 days ago
No holders getting nervous? Refill your popcorn, you'll love this next part.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
You don't even need to do this foreboding foot stomping...you want other ppl to buy more Yes but you haven't
n/a
3 days ago
Now up to 25% yes on UMA. Whales incoming. It's over for the nos.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Shots fired
Meow.Zedong
3 days ago
@JustKen I realized you didn’t deserve a shred of respect when someone encouraged you to buy more ‘No’ shares in the comments and you replied stating something near verbatim to “I don’t like to have any shares during the UMA vote dude’. Then you proceeded to buy 25k more ‘No’ shares. I mean, really. Could you be any more of a bitch?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Is this over in ~8 min?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
🚨🚨🚨🚨 nerd alert 🚨🚨🚨🚨
-DFK-
3 days ago
people asking if Yes still stands a chance: statistically in an evenly distributed voting right system, the answer would be no. Here Yes hangs on to the possibility (remote?) that a few heavyweight would vote against consensus. What we already have in hands is an idea of the consensus, statistically significant (imagine early results coming like that in the presidential election for example: the outcome would be crystal clear).
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Israel invaded Lebanon on 9/30 to kill Hezbos, but it wasn't, and still isn't, an invasion to take control of land, which is what the definition of invasion is in this market
BenCM
3 days ago
So there was an invasion on 30 September which has continued to the present. What's the yes case from here, with the market moving against it.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Bro, being greedy is betting YES on a historical event that didn't happen w the intention of taking advantage of the broken UMA resolution process
niverse
3 days ago
Be greedy when others are fearful
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Big boy
fhantombets
3 days ago
:boom:
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Polymarket has the most at stake here. Their entire platform will lose credibility if their market resolution system and all it's fail-safes get a historical event completely wrong
n/a
3 days ago
I smell YES burning
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Poly is responsible for it and this joke of a semantics-based market resolution process that has nothing to do with actual information
Meow.Zedong
3 days ago
Bro, you’re about to be the face of bad press Polymarket lol
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Elon = time traveler
addicts
3 days ago
no way ppl actually think elon is satoshi
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Why don't they put the Einsteins who write the markets in charge of resolving them?
Justifax
3 days ago
so far 17 p2 voters to 8 p1 voters, but of course share ownership matters. it comes down to 2 voters basically. btl and kevin chan
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
This is one of those gaslighting markets like when ppl were betting 80% that FTX Caroline Ellison would get 0 prison time
n/a
3 days ago
No
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Just trying to catch up here. Has there been official confirmation from Lebanon, Israel, the UN or a consensus of "credible" media sources saying that Israel entered Lebanon w intent to establish control over their land?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Chad ftw
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
3 days ago
Why did he sell half his position?
n/a
3 days ago
Me to
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
4 days ago
So why did you buy YES??
HsB34sgg
4 days ago
Dear PM, FIX THE PROBLEM!!! "Polymarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" THE POLYMARKET PROMISE (See, top of page): You know, some people hold the belief that prediction markets are a better reflection of real-world events than the news? Imagine sitting in your home when special ops units backed up by tanks roll by your yard and get engaged by enemy fire. FFS!!! What the market fixers did here disputing reality with such malignant and maniacal scorn is so morally wrong on so many levels, it makes me want to cry. The fact that there are people out there who are willing to do such a thing for a few bucks is disgusting. The people here who engaged in criminal market fixing are absolute scum, and should be ashamed!!! They make a mockery of the PolyMarket promise at the very top of this page. Imagine you’re in a crisis situation, and were led to believe that prediction markets were a more reliable source of information than local, or regional reporting. Market fixers are a public danger. This might be a game to some, but it could be life or death to others. Maybe now, people can see another reason why I’ve been fighting the market fixers here so vociferously. Burn. https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-ground-invasion-might-cause-lebanon-to-completely-collapse-13822174.html Might I suggest the employ of geopolitical experts for the resolution of such markets in the future? Buy the way, thanks for taking 0 fees on this market Polymarket!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
4 days ago
Atta boy
HaterzLoserz
4 days ago
Im back to the 70k shares i had before Sept30th ;)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
4 days ago
Should get their jobs slashed
Cryptonord
4 days ago
Many UMA People are gonna get their rewards Slashed :/ lol
Jets vs. Vikings
UMAisGarbage
4 days ago
For sure
empires
5 days ago
The Vikings will win for sure
CFB: Miami vs. California
UMAisGarbage
4 days ago
🙌
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
4 days ago
Either way, a huge embarrassment for this platform, who made such a specific market and can't seem to resolve it several days after the fact despite everyone knowing exactly what happened. The fact that ppl are betting both sides is a testament to how unreliable the resolution mechanism is
UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts
4 days ago
Whichever side has a higher price will win
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Stahp
nnimrodd
1 week ago
New video guide to Polymarket https://x.com/nnimrodd/status/1841767556551491914
What will Israel target in Iran by Friday?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
We got it.....on every market available
nnimrodd
1 week ago
Shot this guide to Polymarket https://youtu.be/1vj7jnA2Pyg
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
JD 2028
n/a
1 week ago
Idk why he’s been claimed as weird or unliked. He’s one of my favorite people to listen to. Even when I disagree, he articulates his points so I understand why we disagree. He’s the best.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
100%
RoAsc
1 week ago
i wonder if vacne kept saying "i grew up in a middle class family" intentionally as a troll to kamala. kek.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
The same ppl who said Biden/Trump debate was a draw are also saying this debate was a draw...
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
All functionality on this site started to suck majorly over the past 4 days
nola72324
1 week ago
Can we all agree that the Polymarket comment functionality fucking sucks? And is going to completely break down on Election Day?
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
"Kamala brings politics of joy". Who wants that?
RRR1989
1 week ago
wow Walz going down lol
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Further proving No is correct
Greta-Tunafish
1 week ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
I think the idea is that Walz would win the debate in the polls even if he didn't show up for the debate
n/a
1 week ago
How is anyone watching this and buying walz
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Tim 2028
What will JD Vance say during the VP Debate?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Def not
Bryan1316
1 week ago
No way he said Kamala 30+ times… right?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
If you think you'll win bc some whale pushed the Resolve Yes button early, you've got something else coming
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
It's scary how many Yes people still can understand that this market only resolves to Yes if the intention of the IDF entering Lebanon is to take control of real estate - like they did in Gaza - the type of maneuver where they plant an Israeli flag in the ground if successful.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Read up on Land Warfare Strategies - particularly Territorial Acquisition
x3x3
1 week ago
Shit. Totally overlooked the part with the flag in the rules.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
It's scary how many Yes people still can understand that this market only resolves to Yes if the intention of the IDF entering Lebanon is to take control of real estate - like they did in Gaza - the type of maneuver where they plant an Israeli flag in the ground if successful.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Such a small peepee move
n/a
1 week ago
Who is the lowlife that constantly adjusts to offer .1 more than the highest bid?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Exactly, the difference between the two markets is everything. Why create two distinct markets that deal with IDF entering Lebanon if you're not going to bother distinguishing them at resolution?
SimonFafe
1 week ago
The interpretation is pretty clear here because there is another market that covers any Israeli military personel entering Lebanon, and therefore does not excludes special operations like the one that happened yesterday.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Are you retarded? The market is whether or not the troops are there to capture real estate
Greta-Tunafish
1 week ago
Just to be clear, and so there's no flip afterward, if there are Israeli troops in Lebanon right now, then this market is a yes, right Ken? Not that you're looking for another narrative change later
Diddy released from custody before November?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
He will get released
MuchAdo2BRN2B
3 weeks ago
i.e., what if he dies while in custody? How will this be resolved?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Over/under side bets on how many times I'll get logged out before midnight
n/a
1 week ago
any side bets on whether it hits 50 before or after midnight ET?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
It Ain’t What You Don’t Know That Gets You Into Trouble. It’s What You Know for Sure That Just Ain’t So
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Their intention
Polygon-RogerRabbit
1 week ago
If IDF entered and their forces were shot and killed what is the difference? RIP
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
How do you consistently look at facts and interpret the exact opposite of what's in front of you?
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
The smart money is slowly switching to Yes.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Chatgpt I think
Adrimarket
1 week ago
what's the next step ? im new to this who is gonna decide
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
☝️ what he said
YatSen
1 week ago
this market lacks liquidity and can easily flip
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Whales are waiting for ppl to dump, pick up cheap No and dispute
n/a
1 week ago
Somebody must dispute Yes in 1 h 30 min
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
YatSen in the house....on the No side
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
• The Israeli military says it has begun “a limited ground operation” in southern Lebanon targeting Hezbollah. There will be “no long-term occupation” of Lebanon, Israeli officials said, but declined to provide a timeline. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk/index.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
He disputed himself?
0x429aff1255d8bCABe0AD46f610f8B03034E68070-1711892138111
1 week ago
its the same guy that proposing before
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Where does it talk about them seizing Lebanese real estate?
Cedarville
1 week ago
https://www.meforum.org/israel-launches-extensive-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon "However, the scale and intensity of the operation suggest a more extensive campaign than initially indicated. The Commanding Officer of the IDF Northern Command, Major General Ori Gordin, has met with the commanders of the 98th, 91st, and 36th Divisions to approve plans for an expansion of fighting in the North, indicating a well-coordinated and potentially prolonged operation."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Hezbollah = targets .... Hezbollah = People
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Read what you're posting" Israel has launched its expected ground incursion into Lebanon on early Tuesday, with "limited" raids against Hezbollah targets in the border area, the Israeli military said."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Read what you're posting" Israel has launched its expected ground incursion into Lebanon on early Tuesday, with "limited" raids against Hezbollah targets in the border area, the Israeli military said."
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
No, no they didn't
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
They even confirmed it in Dubai! https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/international/israel-launches-ground-invasion-of-lebanon/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Nope
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
The IDF has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Uh ohhh
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
The IDF has now CONFIRMED!!! https://www.smh.com.au/world/idf-confirms-ground-invasion-underway-in-lebanon-20241001-p5kesd.html
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Go away herb
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
On what grounds? Any attempt to dispute what are now confirmed facts by Israel, the IDF, and a massive consensus of credible reporting would simply be an attempt to market fix--a serious criminal offense.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
What county? We're all in London, mate
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
Thinking of attempting to engage in market fixing? You do know that's a serious criminal offence punishable by several years in jail, right?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Nah
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
Israel has now confirmed!!! See below!
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
The Israeli military says it has begun “targeted ground raids” on villages in southern Lebanon......bro, you're gonna get rekt if you aren't objective about what's going on here
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
The country of Israel has now CONFIRMED!!! It's Yes! https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/israel-says-has-started-targeted-ground-raids-in-lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Lol nope!
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
Israeli military has now confirmed! https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/30/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Even Haterzlosers is starting to dump
duckduck
1 week ago
Ima be eating good off yesser moneeey
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
See what you did there at the end with the parentheses. (You're drawing your own inference that isn't there).
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
Both! As clearly stated by Netanyahu in concert with the entire Israeli cabinet, as well as the US State Department, Israel commenced a military offensive to reestablish the UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. (i.e., to establish control over a portion of Lebanon.)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
It's pretty simple fellas. Look at any article you share and ask the question, "are they going after people or real estate"?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
They're going after people in villages, not the real estate
Greta-Tunafish
1 week ago
The establishment of the military exclusion zone, which is enforced with the use of ground troops, fulfills the rules of this market
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Pence just eating up the yes game
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Have faith in the poly market resolution system that it always produces the right resolution and fairly evaluates disputes
Moondog
1 week ago
NBC News says the Israeli ground operation in Lebanon "appears to have begun" according to two U.S. officials -- NBC says the officials don't have independent confirmation "but the timing tracks with what the Israelis notified the U.S. it had planned."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
It's about whether or not bag holders can survive another 5 hours
n/a
1 week ago
Like honestly this market isnt even about if they go into lebanon only if they commence an operation to go in
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
The question isn't whether or not it's happened yet. We all know it's happened. The issue at hand is how long is it going to take for official media to report and how much of a pain in the ass will the resolution process be
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
Invasion confirmed once again! https://dawnmena.org/dawn-statements-in-response-to-israels-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
IDF spokesman asks media not to report. https://x.com/IDFSpokesperson/status/1840844151803330708
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
The IDF urges against 'spread of irresponsible rumors' regarding movements of troops along the Israeli-Lebanese border "In recent hours there have been many reports and rumors about IDF activity on the Lebanese border. We ask not to transmit reports about the activities of the forces, due to the security of our forces. Stick to the official reports only and do not spread irresponsible rumors."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
The IDF urges against 'spread of irresponsible rumors' regarding movements of troops along the Israeli-Lebanese border "In recent hours there have been many reports and rumors about IDF activity on the Lebanese border. We ask not to transmit reports about the activities of the forces, due to the security of our forces. Stick to the official reports only and do not spread irresponsible rumors."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
I wonder if the ground invasion story was disinformation aimed to find out who the leak in the white house is
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
You don't need to help the No ppl anymore. Let them sell us shares for cheap
HsB34sgg
1 week ago
Israel has already commenced a military offensive, with the expressed goal of restoring UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which obligated Hezbollah to remain north of the Litani River. This is currently being done by establishing control over southern Lebanon.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Limited ground invasion vs entire region invasion papi
DT24
1 week ago
exactly. limited ground operation. not gaining control over territory.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
We know we have 7 hrs and 20 mins to dump yes before it's $0. How much time do you have to dump No?
DT24
1 week ago
Sell quickly. It's not too late.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
8 more hours no bros. Hodl
EPL: Bournemouth vs. Southampton
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Wtf
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
🚗 ⚰️💀
Car
1 week ago
I recommend everyone to read the rules very clearly
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Mazel tov
HaterzLoserz
1 week ago
Gentlemen, its been a pleasure.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Just the Jihadists
NothingEverHappens
1 week ago
Jews are gonna turn the arabs to past tense.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
It's already been resolved. Just waiting for the news to report it
Phat.
1 week ago
who's holding till its resolved ?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
9:15pm Israel time. Just 9 hours and 45 mins to go and Israel never starts their attacks until midnight
Car
1 week ago
quick quick buy more
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Just 10 short hours left No bros. Hang in there
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
It seems unlikely that Israel is going to squander this incredible window of opportunity that it has spent the past month blowing up the entire Middle East for
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
It seems unlikely that Israel is going to squander this incredible window of opportunity that it has spent the past month blowing up the entire Middle East for
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Wowwo
ArtVandalay
1 week ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840812982571270189
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
That a war market 90% isn't the same as other market's 90% bc of volatility
n/a
1 week ago
what does that mean?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
You have a long 10 hours ahead of you, sir
Car
1 week ago
🚗🚗🚗 they have said they are entering to destroy infrastructure. Not to controll the area. Do yall even read the rules? lol
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Typical 🚗 sewing seeds of doubt as he lays a bread crumb trail of the shares he bought up to ridic prices
Car
1 week ago
I dont know why you guys are buying this. IDF has announced BEFORE the invasion that the intention is to have a limited invasion
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
This market should be at least 50/50 now.
Phat.
1 week ago
pay usssssssss
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Media in Israel is reporting that the Israeli Invasion of Southern Lebanon is set to begin as soon as it receives Final Approval tonight from the Israeli Security Cabinet, which is currently meeting in Tel Aviv.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Bro trying to call for a ceasefire after not saying one thing to hezbo about firing rockets nonstop into Israel for the past year.
HaterzLoserz
1 week ago
"im comfortable with them stopping" might be the weakest shit ever uttered by a US president lol
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is currently meeting with Members of the Security Cabinet, where discussions will be had about the Situation along the Northern Front; following the Meeting, Netanyahu will then hold Consultations with Senior Military and Defense Leaders. (Translation: it started 3 hours ago)
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Bc they have 7 guys left
ArtVandalay
1 week ago
From Hezbollah a second ago: ⭕ Peace be upon you, We kindly request everyone in all areas of Lebanon to refrain from taking any photos or videos of anything you see in the sky. We have now entered a new phase of the war, and it is religiously prohibited to share any footage. Please refrain from any filming. Thank you.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Israel will invade when the yes market his 12cents
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Israel will not have a better opportunity to do this if they're gonna do it
0x2249D9878161e823e957366beb735bA6333445f1-1720929847242
1 week ago
are we invading or nah
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
US is guaranteed to leak anything Israel tells them. No wonder why they keep the Biden clowns in the dark
Justifax
1 week ago
https://x.com/ABC/status/1840792558265327937
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
1/2 sandwich soon
Phat.
1 week ago
sell your 100 No and go buy a sandwich , support the local deli
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Biden administration has done it 6x in 4 years...prob more than any president in history.
Aquati
1 week ago
Full evacuation it's very very hard
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Anyone else in on this? https://polymarket.com/event/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-september-30/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-september-30
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Hezbollah just launched short range ballistic missile, first time it's used this, which is exactly what the invasion is going to prevent
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
11 hrs 34 mins
FamilyCapital
1 week ago
YES holder, which next few hours gonna happen? could you be more specific. TY.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Iran cant do anything. They don't want the world to see Israel call their bluff.
Foreseeable.
1 week ago
You know what will also happen in this escalation within the next 24hs for much more than 3%? Iran hits Israel, as it has in the past as retalliation. https://polymarket.com/event/iran-military-response-before-october/iran-military-response-before-october?tid=1727711343710
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Me too...used to do watching shifts w my sister waiting for the Welcome to the Jungle video to come on
xvzxcvasdfadsfqqwer
1 week ago
i remember when mtv was about music
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Good day for you
HaterzLoserz
1 week ago
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1840780453541773514
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Nobody arguing w you
Mr.Wellington
1 week ago
The key condition for the market to resolve to "Yes" is that Israel must launch a military offensive with the intent to establish control over part of Lebanon. If the stated goal of the operation is a limited incursion, even if ground forces are deployed, and there is no mention of controlling or holding territory, it would not meet the criteria for the market to resolve to "Yes."
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Holy f. Pence is all in
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Israel’s Ground Invasion of Southern Lebanon, which is expected to begin as early as tonight, will be Preceded by a Significant Wave of Strikes by the Israeli Air Force, Navy, as well as Artillery stationed in the Border in an attempt to “Soften” Hezbollah Positions.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Local time Israel: 6:45pm. Just 12 hrs and 15 min more No bros and my $ is yours
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
This is a market that tries to handicap the IDF so it does make sense that 87% of ppl think Israel wouldn't do something that it just did
Hamurabi
1 week ago
The Yes went from 13c to 95c in one hour and then straight for resolution and the Yes guys want to convince us that this is perfectly normal and and just happened because it's true 🤣🤣🤣
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
U okay bro?
n/a
1 week ago
see you guys in 17 hours
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
No holders trapped
sd2333
1 week ago
https://x.com/Liz_Friden/status/1840772760873619721 FOX NOW
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
No ppl have major balls here to stick this out hoping that the media doesn't call this an invasion.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
So many No ppl on here got rekt fading IDF --- the one army that will only make moves when everyone is 90% sure they won't
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Thanks for the insight
CometoJesusMoment
1 week ago
not invaded yet, but entered now.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
@Fatman1 now is not the time to panic. That comes later. It's not even 4pm in Israel. We have a lot of time left
n/a
1 week ago
see you guys in 17 hours
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
DYOR
Caligulas.dog
1 week ago
Which credible reporting? Care to link some sources
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
You have 300 shares bro, relax.
n/a
1 week ago
see you guys in 17 hours
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Huh?
Car
1 week ago
So, no time mentioned in all articles + no clear reason why they explored the tunnels. So far not enough to resolve to Y
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Don't be nervous bro
n/a
1 week ago
beating a dead horse
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
‘Within hours’: Ground invasion fears as Israel pounds Lebanon https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/world/israel-begins-new-air-raids-on-dozens-of-hezbollah-targets/news-story/6887c5c1ed847085afefa1e7e26f1ac7
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2024/09/28/reports-israel-sends-small-commando-missions-into-lebanon/
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Major attack happening in Beirut now. 1am Israel time. This could be the night
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Imagine risking $8.5k for a $500 return and being wrong. The difference is that if Israel bettors are wrong, they lose small. If they're right they win big.
MyLossIsYourGain
1 week ago
imagine not going for 1000% APR.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
These 24 hours include 2 nights in in Lebanon, when Israel loves to strike
Car
1 week ago
24 hours and a 7% ROI. Ill take that.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
I do very well. I have hundreds in the bank
n/a
1 week ago
can you afford that
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Bibi called, he said pack your bags extra heavy bc we're taking a trip to lebanon
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
It happens quickly. Anyone who fades Israel is playing w fire
itsari👻
1 week ago
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822290 Rumors so far are false. But 'yes' holders shouldn't loose hope yet.
CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Use incognito mode
jtcoloma
1 week ago
Is anyone else having difficulty selling shares?? They are not showing up in my available balance.
CFB: Georgia vs. Alabama
UMAisGarbage
1 week ago
Carson Beck is 5-of-15 for 44 yards, 2 INTs and a safety.