Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

They've got him on the good drugs tonight

3

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

That’s good enough for me! Bake him away, toys.

5

Flipp

1 month ago

Biden mentally has already dropped out. This market should resolve "No"

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

You have forgotten the face of your father.

1

Car

1 month ago

Stop trying to pump your NO shares

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Refresh the page

0

n/a

1 month ago

Q from someone who is still a bit of a noob: how do you make a bid in decimals (like 99.9) when the price split is 1/99 - PM won't let me enter 99.9 as a bid right now for No on Ukraine for example, 99 is as high as I can go - all whole numbers.

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Smh 😔

0

Paganheat

1 month ago

Sry I led you astray!

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Wow only one went off. What a great market

1

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Mr Bonnelli!

0

StevenBonnell

1 month ago

Abortion NO voters are gonna get fucked. This is your normal rally in a state she has not been in a lot. She is going to hammer the abortion issue since a shit ton of ppl care about that.

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

Bernie was pretty guaranteed, but this is a straight up gamble. I think 16-20 is more likely than the odds provided, though

0

homosexual

1 month ago

you pulled through on the Bernie endorsement, convince me to buy yes 16-20

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

I don't know how likely it is but it's exactly what he did yesterday when people weren't expecting him to

1

n/a

1 month ago

I've never wanted Trump to tweet before, but just two more times please Mr Donald Trump 🙏

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

But that's exactly what Trump did yesterday lol

0

diddy

1 month ago

My dear comrades, it looks like we will win 11-15. It is unlikely for someone to do 2 posts in 6 waking hours.

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

I disagree, but this isn't the place to discuss such matters

4

speaking-cat

1 month ago

meow

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

Someone start making a bunch of AI videos for him to possibly share

1

n/a

1 month ago

I've never wanted Trump to tweet before, but just two more times please Mr Donald Trump 🙏

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

I've never wanted Trump to tweet before, but just two more times please Mr Donald Trump 🙏

2

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

You tricked me 😢 Not sure why you switched to no. She said it at her Vegas rally

0

Paganheat

1 month ago

Abortion is guaranteed imo

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

👎

0

Eridpnc

1 month ago

Hello guys I am a time traveller but for some reason I can only see the market a day before it happens. On January 2, 2025, Biden resigns. 10 days later he dies of a heart attack. A market is created for Kamala's speech at the funeral. The word "abortion" is present. Yes trades for 67 cents. One commentor says "She’s said “abortion” in every campaign speech she’s done but yeah fuck it, 66¢." I wonder how this ends guys what a cool story.

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Alright, thanks! I picked up these 'weird' at 30c lol

0

Paganheat

1 month ago

Abortion

What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Alright, Paganheat, what are your hot tips for this market?

1

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

I've done both 😎

0

diddy

1 month ago

Now be ready for the 16-20 market price to slowly go down if Trump doesn't tweet sometime after the conference.

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

My fake news went off too :D

1

Paganheat

1 month ago

Wow! YESes for the win

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

Congrats!

1

Paganheat

1 month ago

Wow! YESes for the win

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

🫡

0

n/a

1 month ago

RIP my 100 shares of N on a few brackets, long live my 550 shares of tampon

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

My goodness

0

Donkov

1 month ago

I will never recover financially from this

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

AI LETS GO

1

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

Ayy fake news!

2

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

MANY THINGS TO TALK ABOUT

0

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

PLENTY OF TIME BOYS

1

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

If I win on the conference market I might carry some of it over onto 11-15 no tbh

0

diddy

1 month ago

Now be ready for the 16-20 market price to slowly go down if Trump doesn't tweet sometime after the conference.

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

I think AI is a bit undervalued, considering what's been happening with the latest Grok release and Trump making a rare tweet of an AI generated video

0

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

Nevermind, fhantombets just bought some 'no' so I'm pretty happy with our position now

2

Paganheat

1 month ago

1 hr to go….

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

JustKam

0

Paganheat

1 month ago

1 hr to go….

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

I just want to point out that Domer is on the other side of us as well, which is usually never a good sign 🥲

1

Paganheat

1 month ago

1 hr to go….

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

Starting to feel pretty good about cashing out with 'only' 3x profit

3

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

I’m holding you personally responsible for Trump saying China btw lol

1

Paganheat

1 month ago

1 hr to go….

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

Even funnier if he cancels the press conference and it doesn't get rescheduled.

1

leveller

1 month ago

It will be funny if I lose all positions

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

Rumour is that Trump bought a sweet new fine china set, and wants to brag about it

5

n/a

1 month ago

rumour going around that trump might fire his campaign manger, which could be a question asked

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

I admit that I was just going by memory vs data. But you have the data, and China is a much better bet.

0

Paganheat

1 month ago

Read his last press conf. He doesn’t

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

Alright, Paganheat, I put my faith in your call of China. Let's go!

1

Paganheat

1 month ago

Read his last press conf. He doesn’t

What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?

n/a

1 month ago

Does Trump ever NOT say "fake news"? Did I really just buy these at 42c? 🤯

2

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

Really? I've never heard him mention that before

3

n/a

1 month ago

im the 3rd or 4th investor

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

You should buy some Uber shares

2

n/a

1 month ago

damn lucky! i would buy at 30 cents if i could... but im in the U.S. and can't trade

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

idk what ur saying i just click buttons and win money its easy lmao

1

plant

1 month ago

Would be cool if PolyMarket had a calculator for finding theta on timed markets, like this one. :) obv would be a rough estimate

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

(But not on this market)

1

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

1 month ago

NEED A TWET

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

They count if you’re a true American patriot!!

0

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

1 month ago

NEED A TWET

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

Best I can do is 50 Truths

2

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

1 month ago

NEED A TWET

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

It's my workplace because I make bad bets 😭😭

4

n/a

1 month ago

Trump posting every 30 minutes on Truth Social. So far only 1 pinned interview tweet on Twitter.

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

Imagine impersonating anyone and choosing @jason 😭😭

0

n/a

1 month ago

Trump posting every 30 minutes on Truth Social. So far only 1 pinned interview tweet on Twitter.

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

Priced in

0

n/a

1 month ago

donald just tweeted

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

He was coming on the platform for the conversation anyway so he shilled his stuff and now he's moved on again. Of course I think it will end there (see my position)

0

0xE42c9d2ef

1 month ago

I find it strange Trump is letting the momentum on Twitter die out. His posts easily get 50x more exposure compared to truth social. He needs it to reach a broader audience and stay relevant

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

He did the same thing with his mugshot a year ago

0

0xE42c9d2ef

1 month ago

I find it strange Trump is letting the momentum on Twitter die out. His posts easily get 50x more exposure compared to truth social. He needs it to reach a broader audience and stay relevant

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

Not going to happen while he owns a competing platform, and definitely not this week lol

0

0xE42c9d2ef

1 month ago

I find it strange Trump is letting the momentum on Twitter die out. His posts easily get 50x more exposure compared to truth social. He needs it to reach a broader audience and stay relevant

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

Nah I just check the notifications from time to time. This market wasn't as much getting in early as it was it dawning on people after his 20th Truth Social post today that he wasn't coming back this week.

0

sartre1

1 month ago

do you have any bot for new listings on poly?

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

I had the highest bid at 18c but they weren't getting filled. Free money is free money though

1

Paganheat

1 month ago

He’s been posting non stop on truth social. Wish I got in earlier.

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

Can’t believe I picked these up at less than 30c. He did the exact same thing with the mugshot lol. 😑

3

538 favorite when forecast is turned on?

n/a

1 month ago

I've made a huge mistake.

2

Will Trump post on X again before election?

n/a

1 month ago

Yeah! I want my $30 profit NOW so I can buy me a Baconator combo with a triple berry Frostie! 😤😠

9

·

Liked by NeverForge..., BeatingThe... and 7 others

Car

1 month ago

Who the FUCK disputed this locking up my money

Will Trump post on X again before election?

n/a

1 month ago

The heading of the recent Trump tweets says 'Post'. Whether is shows up on the timeline isn't part of the rules.

4

Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?

n/a

1 month ago

Nah this is a shot in the dark. I think there's a decent chance he resigns but I'm not counting on it

0

IWillReturn

1 month ago

What happens if he becomes incapacitated to the point where Harris takes over?

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

n/a

1 month ago

No, the 'and' portion is: "...about that date and a set host...". The date is September 10 and the host is ABC News, per their tweet.

0

td.

1 month ago

about the "additional context": it's "and" not "or". they have to agree on a venue "and" a platform. that's what is explicitely stated on the rules. just the complete opposite of what was written in this additional context. I had to read it 3 times to believe that that is what was written. it's the complete opposite

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

n/a

1 month ago

ABC will host them on their ABC platform.

0

UncleLouie

1 month ago

ABC is a "host". An ex of a platform/venue would be: Auditorium at Harvard w live audience, ABC studios closed set...

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

n/a

1 month ago

Yep. Look stupid firing Vance and maybe avoid jail or lose the election and then go to jail.

4

Chen1996

1 month ago

I said the same thing. He will go to jail if he loses, he needs to think strategically

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

n/a

1 month ago

I think it might be dawning on Trump that if he doesn’t win this election then he’s probably going to jail.

6

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

n/a

1 month ago

Yeah he can articulate how quickly he's sinking a campaign that was an overwhelming favourite to win.

4

beyondbets

1 month ago

Vance is actually a top pick, he can articulate himself very well in contrast to trump

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

n/a

1 month ago

Vance kinda seems really unhinged in contrast to Walz. Vance is alienating women while Walz is giving free lunches to school kids. Pretty disastrous optically. Still doubt Trump will replace him, but if he doesn't I think he's cooked. What a wild turn of events.

9

·

Liked by aaron28a, Chen1996 and 7 others

Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?

n/a

1 month ago

Depends on the type of incapacitation. If he's incapacitated though, and can still resign, he will most likely resign.

0

IWillReturn

1 month ago

What happens if he becomes incapacitated to the point where Harris takes over?

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

n/a

1 month ago

I'm with Domer. He definitely should be replaced, but doing so will make Trump look stupid, so he won't be.

0

Chen1996

1 month ago

This is a longshot by far, definitely undervalued, but whether it be a coup against Biden, an Assassination attempt against Trump, all within 3 weeks, then really this is a no brainer

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

n/a

1 month ago

🥲

3

yourrapist1776

1 month ago

retards had this at 15c last week

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

End date is Jan 20. Won't take that long

0

CrossfireHurricane

1 month ago

I'm averaging in. I appreciate your boldness to jump in at 22c, but i don't have the same conviction. I'm working my way up to 5k. See you here Nov 6th! ;)

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

Ayy welcome to the club! 😎🤝

0

CrossfireHurricane

1 month ago

It's a risky strategy, Cotton. I'd put money on him not speaking at the DNC, followed by other high-return bets. 20% over 4 months isn't something I want to wait for.

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

This was always my plan. Bernie was a pleasant distraction.

0

CrossfireHurricane

1 month ago

So this is where your Bernie money went.....

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

What about now?

0

Bink

2 months ago

Laura rebought lower, totally exonerated

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Congratulations, everyone! 🥳🥳🥳 What a wild ride

6

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Quite the contrary. Now is your opportunity to dispute the proposed resolution, otherwise your shares will go to 0. 🤗

3

Colorguesser

1 month ago

NOs start to panic

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

The UMA Discord server. Check out their official Twitter for the link.

2

Truthy

1 month ago

Where do you go to see this chatter?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

The comments in the UMA server are a bit detached from reality, but to their credit, they’re allowing traders the opportunity to dispute. So, if you believe he has in fact formally endorsed her, now is the time to put your money where your mouth is. Good luck!

2

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Yeah I thought I heard the chair say they would announce it following, but I guess I didn't consider that 'following' meant the next day. Alright, I'm going to bed lol.

2

spacebike

1 month ago

I re-read the original press release about how results would be released, and they mention a state-by-state breakdown. Makes me think they want to put together a package to get a bunch of press before the VP announcement. If so, it'd make sense for them to wait until tomorrow morning. 🤷🏻‍♂️

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Ok well, it looks like they're not even going to bother putting out a statement telling us what everyone knows to be true, so tomorrow it is. I JUST WANT THIS TO BE OVER OMG 😭😭😭

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

You tried but they're still buying 🥲

0

spacebike

1 month ago

to the new "yes" holders – there are weeks of discussion below litigating whether sanders has endorsed harris. just this morning, he pointedly declined to endorse her in an interview with jake sherman. he is supporting her while intentionally withholding a full endorsement in order to get her to commit to more progressive policy ideas – and he's explicitly said that's what he's doing. i'm explaining all of this so you can still save yourself some heartache and sell before you're completely wiped out! (i initially bought a bunch of "yes" before learning the deep sanders-non-endorsement lore and converting.)

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Nah it's just uninformed people thinking they've found an amazing trade

0

Wook-Capital-Fund-I

1 month ago

@Laura - Ok, makes sense. Just starting to panic as the price dips and DNC doesn't announce anything.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1817243928548319732

0

Wook-Capital-Fund-I

1 month ago

Do you think this counts as a formal endorsement: https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1820614296784499017?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

He's said the same thing many times and has confirmed it's not a formal endorsement.

1

Wook-Capital-Fund-I

1 month ago

Do you think this counts as a formal endorsement: https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1820614296784499017?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

1 like = 1 amen 🙏

3

n/a

1 month ago

Shoutout to the yes buyers who have just joined the party 🫡

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Shoutout to the yes buyers who have just joined the party 🫡

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Any Bernie event is relevant, but it's not like he's going to go from trashing Dems all day to suddenly flipping at night lol

1

homosexual

1 month ago

Why is this relevant?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Btw, if Walz does end up being the pick, who Bernie supported, he's not going to endorse until it's been publicly announced (even if he already knows). He's also made it clear he cares about policies, not VP picks or big donations, etc

1

n/a

1 month ago

It's kind of odd that they haven't put out a press release yet, given that they knew exactly who had won and exactly what the deadline was. Saying that, Bernie made it clear today he obviously isn't endorsing any time soon, so no sweat, but it is annoying having to wait even further. I still think they'll announce something tonight

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

A lot of stuff happening in the Middle East now so maybe Harris is being delayed a bit. 🤷‍♀️

0

n/a

1 month ago

It's kind of odd that they haven't put out a press release yet, given that they knew exactly who had won and exactly what the deadline was. Saying that, Bernie made it clear today he obviously isn't endorsing any time soon, so no sweat, but it is annoying having to wait even further. I still think they'll announce something tonight

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

It's kind of odd that they haven't put out a press release yet, given that they knew exactly who had won and exactly what the deadline was. Saying that, Bernie made it clear today he obviously isn't endorsing any time soon, so no sweat, but it is annoying having to wait even further. I still think they'll announce something tonight

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

No, but they said they'd announce it the same day. Hopefully soon

0

homosexual

1 month ago

Do you know when the results are publicly announced?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Nah they will very likely have a livestream tonight with Kamala attending

1

Paganheat

1 month ago

Same. I was so pissed and skeptical, and then I realized Laura’s analysis was spot on.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

There probably is. But the process is fairly simple. Just click the propose resolution button, connect your wallet, choose the resolution from the drop down, and submit your USDC.e bond

1

CrossfireHurricane

1 month ago

Is there a good spot wher you can go to learn how to propose a resolution?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

At ease, soldier. 🫡🤝

1

kdubhotsauce

1 month ago

I bet so hard against Laura, cursing them in my head. At some point, I had to switch sides. Take us to the promise land. 🫡

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Smh our money has literally been set on fire. 😔 How did we not see this coming?

1

n/a

1 month ago

Still no announcement though? Maybe she lost afterall. I would be fine losing my bet if that was the case

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

⚠️⚠️⚠️ ** Voting is closed! ** ⚠️⚠️⚠️

2

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

If you want to risk your bond to rush it through, you're welcome to lol. Anyway, good luck with that one. I've already got my next big brain move lined up. This damned market was supposed to be a side bet!

1

n/a

1 month ago

Let's get this closed so we can parlay our winnings into the VP pick before Kamal picks one

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

😎🍸

0

mag

1 month ago

Alright Laura, I'll admit. I was unfamiliar with your game

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

It will take a lot longer if it's disputed. There's enough liquidity to cash out now at a small discount, if you were in a hurry.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Let's get this closed so we can parlay our winnings into the VP pick before Kamal picks one

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Yeah, I tend to agree. But I want to make sure to do this as cleanly and fairly as possible, so just seeking opinions

0

fundamentalmisunderstanding

1 month ago

I'm kind of new to the platform as well so I'm not sure. But it seems like all the conditions for N would be met after the official nomination regardless of 'acceptance', which doesn't really mean anything.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

It has thoroughly been discussed in the comments, which you obviously haven't bothered to read.

0

0xE42c9d2ef

1 month ago

What is a definition of a 'formal endorsement' because it is not stated in the rules. I have been feeding ChatGPT articles about Bernie statements and speeches, it said that he formally endorsed her

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Yes is a bargain then. If you can't be bothered to read the comments here, then I recommend you buy as much 'yes' as you can afford

1

0xE42c9d2ef

1 month ago

What is a definition of a 'formal endorsement' because it is not stated in the rules. I have been feeding ChatGPT articles about Bernie statements and speeches, it said that he formally endorsed her

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Alright guys, I'm quite happy to put through the proposal once the DNC announces they've officially nominated her. Do we want to wait until she accepts the nomination (I'm assuming the same day)? Either way, it will all be time stamped so no need to be reckless in rushing it through.

4

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Congrats on riding it out even longer!

1

vote.fun

1 month ago

Wow what a ride guys, any one have a better ave than 7c?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

"Sold 3729 No at 0.3¢ ($11.19) 9d ago" 😅 Do you remember that?

2

vote.fun

1 month ago

Wow what a ride guys, any one have a better ave than 7c?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

😎🍻

2

homosexual

1 month ago

LOL just when I thought about selling because I was unsure, he publishes an entire article about why he isn't endorsing Kamala right now lol. GG folks

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

It's not over yet in the same way that Harris isn't the official nominee yet

1

n/a

1 month ago

Not over yet

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Ty. I'm glad you didn't lose it all!

5

n/a

1 month ago

Congrats to no holders. Lost a few hundred in this market. Y’all played it well. Gg

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

I think the top yes holder's account is inactive with an order left over. Doesn't make sense otherwise

3

Colorguesser

1 month ago

Reds pumping and dumping!

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/aug/05/bernie-sanders-election-democrats More very public pressure put on Democrats by Sanders just 6 hours before voting ends and Harris is officially nominated.

5

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Like the official nomination process, now all we need to do is wait out the clock.

0

n/a

1 month ago

https://punchbowl.news/article/election-2024/sanders-pushes-harris-on-progressive-agenda/

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Bernie himself shared this article the day of official nomination. It confirms he has not formally endorsed her. This is guaranteed 100%. Thanks for playing.

4

n/a

1 month ago

https://punchbowl.news/article/election-2024/sanders-pushes-harris-on-progressive-agenda/

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

https://punchbowl.news/article/election-2024/sanders-pushes-harris-on-progressive-agenda/

7

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Nah I’m pretty excited 🤠

1

n/a

1 month ago

do u ever stop typing

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

It’s your money 🫡

1

n/a

1 month ago

I refuse to flip and be on the same side as you

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

BREAKING: aenews2 begins the sell off! (Although it’s never too late to flip!)

4

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Given that money markets are crashing around the world today, I would absolutely NOT formally endorse today given it would get completely drowned out. Anyway, 13 hours to go!

1

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

I had my order for 75c filled like a CHUMP! Obviously I should have placed it for 25c 🤦‍♀️

0

Truthy

1 month ago

Market order for yes up to 88c ouch

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Haha indeed. Thanks

0

Eridpnc

1 month ago

*formerly. Grammar police out.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Libratrack, formally the top yes holder, has joined many others and has FLIPPED to no! Welcome to the winning side 😉🍸

1

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

There’s people that make my 14k shares look like chump change. It’s all relative. We got this 😎

1

n/a

1 month ago

Haha I’m 7.7 shares in and I am on my toes can’t imagine what 14.4 k feels like. I bought at 7c tho, so for me it’s the excitement if I will make 1k% profit

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Honestly I wouldn’t buy yes for 5c at this stage. 24 hours left, still no specific policies, still no VP announcement, no events planned, and he didn’t formally endorse Clinton until after she won the nomination.

1

n/a

1 month ago

Just put in another limit order. Seems to be a pretty remote chance Bernie formally endorses her in the next 24 hours. This should be closer to 5% Yes now.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

25 hours to go and this will most likely resolve NO 🥳 I’m staying strong for BERNIE 💪

4

Democratic Nominee 2024

n/a

1 month ago

Less than a 1% chance of all of that combined.

0

Rafin

2 months ago

She might be assassinated. Or have a random stroke. Or someone might nuke the US. You never know.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

6pm ET Monday

0

n/a

2 months ago

The votes finalize at 5pm right?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

What if we’ve been arguing all this time over semantics and he formally endorses at the final hour 😱😱😱

1

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Well you have also said you’re not done buying but stopped buying, so that added to my confusion as well. But I agree with everything you said

0

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

Basically aenews2 is the only person who seems to have put in the time to understand everything to really believe in Y. Many bettors read the comments, did some research, and switched to N. Basically no reputable reporter thinks it's a formal endorsement and told Bernie this to his face to no resistance. If all of the sudden you're on an island with colorguessr, maybe you should be questioning your position.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

You’re right. Any other market would have yes around 5c or lower at this stage, so I’m really confused as to what’s going on given aenews is a profitable trader.

0

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

My real disagreement with aenews is his opinion that Bernie will formally endorse in the next 30 hours. I just don't see any signs of that at all unless Kamala publicly declares Walz as her VP. She's not going to list out her policies in the next 30 hours and even if she did, probably not gonna be what Bernie wants to see. I'd price this at another 2%. So maybe 4% altogether. Him buying at 25% is wild to me, but at the end of the day it's not much money so it's not really showing much conviction on his part.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I'm fundamentally here trying to predict the truth and be rewarded by that. I'm not playing any games

0

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

At the end of the day, betting markets require adversarial positions so we should be thankful that there's people on the other side. I don't think aenews2 is a bad faith actor. We just disagree on the price of this market and that disagreement is what creates the profits/losses. If anything, me and you are the true adversaries cuz we're trying to buy his shares lol

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yeah I suppose. I just struggle to understand the rationale of the current prices, but perhaps I'm overthinking it and it's not rational

1

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

At the end of the day, betting markets require adversarial positions so we should be thankful that there's people on the other side. I don't think aenews2 is a bad faith actor. We just disagree on the price of this market and that disagreement is what creates the profits/losses. If anything, me and you are the true adversaries cuz we're trying to buy his shares lol

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It's very odd behaviour to be buying yes shares at 25-35c two days before the deadline with no events planned imo

0

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

RNC was after the resolution of the Haley market so that CNN article doesn't matter. But the language for this bet was obviously affected by that Haley market. 'Explicit endorsement' isn't really a common political term and much more ambiguous than 'formal endorsement'. I think the spirit of that bet was 'Will she explicitly support Trump?', which she did. Polymarket was a bit smarter here and used a political term 'formal endorsement' for this market. So the spirit of the bet is now 'Did Bernie Sanders make a clear and unambiguous endorsement for Kamala?" The burden of proof is on the Y side to argue it is clear an unambiguous. That there is any dissension AT ALL, let alone live interviewers ALL declaring Bernie has not formally endorse, shows that there has not been a formal endorsement. I'm not sweating a dispute at all lol..

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Rest up, sweet prince.🤴 😴

6

n/a

2 months ago

He has a nap scheduled at 4

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Is anyone aware of any Bernie events today? I’m only aware of his Progressives for Harris appearance which is set for 8pm ET Monday.

0

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I didn’t see that, thanks. In that case, yes was clearly the correct resolution.

0

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/16/politics/nikki-haley-trump-rnc-speech/index.html “I’ll start by making one thing perfectly clear: Donald Trump has my strong endorsement, period,” Haley said Tuesday.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I reviewed the Nikki Haley market, and while I can see arguments for both sides on that, we have the luxury in this market of having it directly asserted to Bernie that he has not formally endorsed her, to which he did not disagree with or contradict in any way, forming implicit agreement. If the angle for yes holders was to have this clarified or disputed, their best opportunity to seek such a resolution has closed since that unambiguous evidence. Their best hope now is that he formally endorses within the next 34 hours without any ambiguity.

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

36 hours.

0

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Sorry, Iverson*

0

n/a

2 months ago

Iversin, what’s frustrating is that that’s not even what’s relevant here. We can’t even agree on the facts, let alone what will actually resolve this market. We need to be prepared to fight for our case, which I believe has overwhelmingly evidence from the source himself. But it’s disappointing to have to go through that process unnecessarily.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Iversin, what’s frustrating is that that’s not even what’s relevant here. We can’t even agree on the facts, let alone what will actually resolve this market. We need to be prepared to fight for our case, which I believe has overwhelmingly evidence from the source himself. But it’s disappointing to have to go through that process unnecessarily.

1

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

Support doesn't equal formal endorsement. Bernie has made that clear himself many times over.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

By not correcting such a serious misrepresentation, he’s agreeing with the premise.

2

n/a

2 months ago

He definitely endorsed (See Haley). He definitely explicitly endorsed. But formal endorsement is arguable, higher bar that may or may not have been met. I think AOC resolved with a statement fairly similar to Bernie's. So I'm not sure what we are considering "formal endorsement". We won't have a prolonged fight over this anyways. Bernie likely will just endorse more strongly before official nomination, or if not, then Polymarket will clarify when disputed and save us time disagreeing.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Bob Kinzel: Senator, I wonder if you could clarify something for me. As you mentioned, last week, and you were campaigning in New Hampshire and Maine, you told the crowds that you supported Harris, but this was not a formal endorsement.

2

n/a

2 months ago

He definitely endorsed (See Haley). He definitely explicitly endorsed. But formal endorsement is arguable, higher bar that may or may not have been met. I think AOC resolved with a statement fairly similar to Bernie's. So I'm not sure what we are considering "formal endorsement". We won't have a prolonged fight over this anyways. Bernie likely will just endorse more strongly before official nomination, or if not, then Polymarket will clarify when disputed and save us time disagreeing.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

We don’t have to decide what a formal endorsement is, Bernie does. It’s been put to him a couple of days ago that he hasn’t formally endorsed her, and he didn’t disagree, which is an implicit agreement. You don’t formally endorse someone and then let someone suggest you haven’t without correcting them. What are we even doing here?

3

n/a

2 months ago

He definitely endorsed (See Haley). He definitely explicitly endorsed. But formal endorsement is arguable, higher bar that may or may not have been met. I think AOC resolved with a statement fairly similar to Bernie's. So I'm not sure what we are considering "formal endorsement". We won't have a prolonged fight over this anyways. Bernie likely will just endorse more strongly before official nomination, or if not, then Polymarket will clarify when disputed and save us time disagreeing.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I am not saying that aenews will try to scam us, to be clear. I am simply saying to be cautious.

3

vote.fun

2 months ago

yeah really hard to disagree. bernie has been so obvious about his stance. Sad ae is like this. People will try to scam wherever they can

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

If they say to him “you haven’t formally endorsed her yet”, wouldn’t he say “well wait a minute, I certainly have and do endorse her”? Of course he would. But he doesn’t correct them over something that’s rather serious so he is implicitly agreeing.

4

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

Yea. Why would every single news anchor keep asking him if he's ready to formally endorse harris if he's already done so? He has not endorsed her, and has said he's still looking for specific policy guarantees

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The resolution source for this market is Bernie or his reps, so if he’s implicitly agreeing every time he’s asked with the preposition that he has not endorsed her, then this can only resolve to no. Bernie is the source, and not once has he corrected any reporters for misrepresenting what he’s said.

3

spacebike

2 months ago

FWIW, I was a "yes" holder who looked at the links people shared and realized I was wrong. I sold at a loss and then bought a bunch of "no." These markets only work if we're honest with each other. The links people have shared below show that Bernie has been asked point blank on a regular basis whether he formally endorses Harris. He has repeatedly declined to do so, and then suggested things that might change to earn his formal endorsement. (Such as Harris picking Walz as VP.) Even if folks can point to random definitions of "formal endorsement" that encompass the type of support Sanders is offering to Harris, it has to mean something that he's explicitly refusing to offer what he considers to be a "formal endorsement."

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Search “aenews” on the Polymarket Discord server. Not a good look

0

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

It's just dishonest at this point. He's intentionally avoiding saying he's formally endorsing her like his life depends on it

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yes, but aenews picked them up and has already said they will dispute. I would advise caution when dealing with aenews.

0

vote.fun

2 months ago

libtrack selling yes oh no

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

(Make sure the link is on the official UMA website)

0

n/a

2 months ago

For the no holders, I predict that this will be disputed even without a formal endorsement by Bernie. Please take some time to familiarise yourself with the dispute process and join us on the UMA Discord server. Just search Google for the link.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

For the no holders, I predict that this will be disputed even without a formal endorsement by Bernie. Please take some time to familiarise yourself with the dispute process and join us on the UMA Discord server. Just search Google for the link.

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It’s very fickle

0

LinearAirDrop2028

2 months ago

'you can use single quotes' but you cannot use double quotes

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Less than 48 hours to go 🥳🥳

2

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I literally just bought another 1000 shares

2

Colorguesser

2 months ago

No holders start to dump their positions. They know they wont win this one

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The yes holders in the comments repeatedly warping reality have made me somewhat resentful and bitter, but I'm starting to feel better suddenly 🤗

1

n/a

2 months ago

Why are you sweating so badly…relax if your No is guaranteed. Nobody thinks you’re kind.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Dear yes holders: https://i.insider.com/61088095c31de7001849e5ea?width=1000&format=jpeg&auto=webp

2

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Partially because the bid price for 'no' is still relatively low. I've tied up pretty much as much as I'm willing to lose, but I did rebuy a few thousand over the past few days as I gained conviction as the clock ticks down. Not many other no holders doing the same, though

2

zyncet

2 months ago

I just don't get it why the Yes is still so high...

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

🥳🥳🥳 WE GOT THIS NO! This market is now officially: Will Bernie Sanders FORMALLY ENDORSE Kamala Harris within the next 52 hours? Answer: NO!

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

MINNESOTA: Bernie Sanders MAINTAINS his messaging that Trump MUST be defeated, that we must ELECT Kamala Harris, but he is WORRIED, CONCERNED, about WORKING AMERICANS being left behind. Still NO FORMAL ENDORSEMENT.

4

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It cuts out now 😭

0

zyncet

2 months ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4C8KNgEkQc

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I agree. Yes should be proposed.

1

vote.fun

2 months ago

spacebike literally bought 5 mins ago and is claiming yes should be proposed lmfaoooo

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

You say it's free money yet you aren't buying any of said free money. Curious.

2

Astoria

2 months ago

why is this so low??? free money??? obviously he’s going to endorse

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

☺️🤐

0

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

Oh so you're saying the quote already exists but no one posted it here?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I agree but there is still a particular quote that is the strongest case that he hasn’t formally endorsed her.

0

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

he gets asked point blank in over 7 interviews I've linked if he endorses her, and hasn't said yes once. It's clear and obvious

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

For the ‘no’ holders: I still haven’t seen any of you post the quote that is the smoking gun to put this ‘debate’ to rest. I’m saving it for evidence if disputed ☺️

0

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It's quite telling that people are switching from 'yes' to 'no' but no one is switching from 'no' to 'yes'.

1

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

In one interview Bernie says the VP pick will impact if he endorses. Kamala isn't releasing the pick until after she accepts the official nom on monday. This couldn't be more over

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

They're delusional. Absolutely unhinged.

1

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx5f0wvZvqg He only got asked about 15 times if he is endorsing kamala, which he avoided every single time. if your argument is he already endorsed, you are [redacted]

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I, too, came from that opinion. I started out as a yes holder from the Portland rally. But, like yourself and many others, I came to realise that his support hasn't met the rules criteria of a formal endorsement, which has been clarified many times.

0

Truthy

2 months ago

Considering Bernie will make an announcement directly AFTER the official nomination, the chances of him endorsing before then should only be about 1-3%, I was a yes holder before. But there is still a chance to cut your losses and make it back by switching to no. https://x.com/Progs4Harris/status/1819479936886833657

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It's their money but I've seen some pretty wild mental gymnastics performed by some people in these comments.

0

n/a

2 months ago

Thank you for the advice

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Some of them would rather have their shares go to zero than to admit they were wrong.

0

Truthy

2 months ago

Considering Bernie will make an announcement directly AFTER the official nomination, the chances of him endorsing before then should only be about 1-3%, I was a yes holder before. But there is still a chance to cut your losses and make it back by switching to no. https://x.com/Progs4Harris/status/1819479936886833657

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yes holders in the comments: 😡😡😡 | Yes holders when it comes to proposing a resolution: 😇😇🙅‍♀️🙅‍♀️

0

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

No holders literally cannot stop yes holders from proposing a resolution. It can be proposed yes by anyone at any time.

0

Justifax

2 months ago

What a scam. Bernie Sanders says the difference between supporting and endorsing is a 'media creation'. Bob Kinzel: So is there a difference between supporting her and endorsing her? Bernie Sanders: You know, this is, I think, a media creation here. https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-08-01/bernie-sanders-supports-vice-president-kamala-harris-presidential-bid

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Lol it's a politician answering strategically. He knows full well what constitutes a formal endorsement, as he formally endorsed Clinton and Biden in 2016 and 2020 respectively, and he's gone to great lengths to avoid saying he endorses her.

1

n/a

2 months ago

“ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I would be very surprised if someone actually disputed a 'no' resolution come Monday. It's just posturing. Bernie has been asked many times about a lack of a formal endorsement and each time he said he's waiting to see her policies. But I will be happy to take half of the disputers bond if they do actually challenge it. 😌

0

n/a

2 months ago

“ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Congrats to those who picked up the cheap ‘no’ shares, including ‘yes’ champion aenews2, who now appears to be flipping? 😯

0

n/a

2 months ago

“ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Once again, Bernie staying strong and consistent on his messaging of support without formally endorsing. 🤭

0

n/a

2 months ago

“ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

“ Let me thank the 600 people in Mankato, MN who attended our town meeting. There was great energy as we work together to defeat Trump, elect Kamala Harris, and create a government that represents all Americans, not just the few. Tomorrow, we’re in Minneapolis with Ilhan Omar.”

0

n/a

2 months ago

“ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

“ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️

1

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

You need to be able to connect a wallet. Press the “propose resolution” button, connect your wallet on the UMA site, choose the proposed resolution, and submit your $750 bond. If it’s not disputed, it will resolve how you selected. If it is disputed, the loser of the dispute will lose their bond and the winner will take half of the loser’s bond.

2

Colorguesser

2 months ago

is there a guide on how to propose a resolution? Can i propose it with my Polymarket wallet or is a 2nd wallet required?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It’s fine. If it’s disputed, taking half of their bond is the cherry on top.

1

vote.fun

2 months ago

if you think hes endorsed already, youve lost all credibility to argue yes by not proposing it yet.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Nah I think he's set himself up really well to support her in defeating Trump while not associating himself with the big donor class influencing the DNC, drowning out the working American.

2

n/a

2 months ago

I still think Bernie will issue another stronger endorsement before Harris becomes the nominee.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Propose your resolution or shut up.

1

Colorguesser

2 months ago

We have a clear formal of Harris by Sanders. ---- 1. The Rules do not require that Sanders uses the word "endorsemen" they require that he endorses the candidate. Which he has done and which is described and depicted in the comments in detail. ---- 2. He has clearly stated that he is supporting her to the fullest and will do anything he can to get her elected. ---- 3. He clarified that he does not accept any distinction between his support and a formal endorsement and especially the term "endorsement". Therefore, since he rejects any difference, he is, in fact, endorsing her. ---- 4. This clearly constitutes an endorsement according to the Cambridge dictionary, as well as a "political endorsement" according to the Quarterly Journal of Political Science.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It's different wording on that market to this one. I feel like 'yes' holders got screwed over by 'formal endorsement' and 'no' holders got screwed over by 'officially nominates' lol. There's only 76 hours to go though and then we can win this cleanly

1

n/a

2 months ago

The official position: https://x.com/TheDemocrats/status/1819427216201019854

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I have the money but I don't really know how strong an argument that is.

0

n/a

2 months ago

"Kamala Harris officially secures Democratic nomination for president" She secured the nomination. On Monday she ACCEPTS it.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The bond is 3k for that one, not 100k lol

0

n/a

2 months ago

Woah! Big news, man. Now try taking 100K to propose the nominee markets. Looks like free money!

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

My best interpretation of that part for the 'no' side is that the voting is the process of officially nominating the candidate, and through that process she has received enough votes to become the official candidate.

0

n/a

2 months ago

I believe this is now resolved. The Democratic Party has officially through its delegate polling nominated Kamala. On Monday she will officially ACCEPT the nomination. The Democratic Party though has already officially nominated her.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I thought that too but I'm really not too sure. You could propose a 'no' resolution now but I imagine it would be disputed

0

n/a

2 months ago

I believe this is now resolved. The Democratic Party has officially through its delegate polling nominated Kamala. On Monday she will officially ACCEPT the nomination. The Democratic Party though has already officially nominated her.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Sad. Oh well. Just 4 more days. She still hasn't released policies or announced a VP pick. Bernie will stay strong.

0

n/a

2 months ago

The official position: https://x.com/TheDemocrats/status/1819427216201019854

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The official position: https://x.com/TheDemocrats/status/1819427216201019854

1

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

A girl can dream

0

n/a

2 months ago

Well yes, which was always the case lol

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yep, fair is fair we have to wait per the rules. Are you still convinced he's going to suddenly flip and formally endorse?

1

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/kylegriffin1/status/1819424186797846726

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The DNC chair worded it a bit differently. Let's await more confirmations.

0

n/a

2 months ago

This says she is the official nominee now? https://twitter.com/HarrisWarRoom/status/1819422054439137314

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Voting to close. They could change their stance

0

n/a

2 months ago

why? what are they waiting for?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Bleh. She's secured the votes, but the DNC chair has said she won't officially be the nominee until next week.

1

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It's not aimed at you.

0

n/a

2 months ago

Dude I was agreeing with you below lol get yourself together.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Just to confirm: you do understand you can sell your shares before they’re worthless, right? You don’t have to go down with the ship.

0

Colorguesser

2 months ago

Because you guys are holding the majority of the bets volume and are stubborn

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

BREAKING: DELUSIONAL ’yes’ holders start to PANIC as their shares become increasingly worthless by the minute. - Reported by WMTW news.

4

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The voting is the process in which they officially nominate their candidate. If she has secured enough votes then she is officially the candidate.

0

DementiaDonald

2 months ago

when everyone is sure that he is not going to endorse her and the percentage is still at 43% you know you have some big fish insiders that know he is posting soon... Same thing happenend with Obama

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I’ve never seen a market so resistant to reality.

2

n/a

2 months ago

Why is 'yes' still trading at 43c? lmao It's so fucking over.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Why is 'yes' still trading at 43c? lmao It's so fucking over.

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

And to add, the only outlets reporting he formally endorsed her are relying on his tweet and Portland rally. They did not interview him themselves. EVERY outlet, from national to local, that interviewed him themselves, asked him regarding his formal endorsement and each time he explained why he hasn't provided it. He's had every opportunity to clarify that he has, in fact, FORMALLY ENDORSED her, but at no point has that been the case.

2

vote.fun

2 months ago

he as asked about this twice YESTERDAY AGAIN. BERNIE HIMSELF says his support is not an endorsement not once but TWO times https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-08-01/bernie-sanders-supports-vice-president-kamala-harris-presidential-bid

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

If they announce she's secured enough votes to become the official candidate, then this can resolve immediately.

2

n/a

2 months ago

News reporting that Kamala already has enough delegates for the nomination. Will announce nomination today rather than Monday.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I have argued that those markets should not have resolved to ‘yes’. However, I had no stake in those markets, and a very small amount was bet, with a disproportionately small amount bet on the ‘no’ side. This particular market however has over $300,000 bet, and is appropriately being taken seriously.

0

n/a

2 months ago

For all the holders, thank you for your comments because I am new to the platform and regardless this has been useful for me to understand the nuances to resolution here. As I’ve said I don’t have anything substantial at stake so it’s not a big deal for me either way, but it has been a surprise to me how down to the letter these forecasts can be. So honestly thanks for the discussion. I do think that Bernie has endorsed her at this stage given his latest statements, but I appreciate why people would claim this isn’t ‘formal’ enough. So, let’s see what happens!

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It’s clear that many yes holders are displaying a… fundamental misunderstanding of the rules. Heh heh

2

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

I actually agree you don't have to use the words "endorse". I think before these interviews, "No" was in a worse position (but probably still right). But after the interviews where it shows that 2 informed reporters did not think he formally endorsed and Bernie implicitly agreed by not rejecting that position, it's clear he has not formally endorsed yet.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yep. You can go to a dinner or you can go to a formal dinner. You’ll be eating dinner in both scenarios so they’re the same thing, right?

1

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

I actually agree you don't have to use the words "endorse". I think before these interviews, "No" was in a worse position (but probably still right). But after the interviews where it shows that 2 informed reporters did not think he formally endorsed and Bernie implicitly agreed by not rejecting that position, it's clear he has not formally endorsed yet.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I feel the rules for this market are sufficiently clear. If he said the word “endorse” in regards to his support for Harris’ campaign, I would most likely accept that. I think the issue here is that many yes holders didn’t bother reading the rules or have purposely misinterpreted them as it becomes clearer and clearer that he will not be formally endorsing her before the deadline.

0

rozi

2 months ago

In fact, I believe the rules on Polymarket should be in general made bullet-proof clear. It creates unnecssary ambiguity. It would be easier if the rule stated that he needs to say the worse "endorse" or respond with a 'Yes' to a question whether he endorses her. There are many bets around where people argue what outcome is the correct one.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

For no holders, I know that Kamala is the official candidate. You know she is. Everyone knows she will be the official candidate. There’s no contenders. She has full support from her delegates. So we should resolve this as ‘no’ now, right? Well, no, because we have to await the formal, official process in order to meet the criteria the rules require.

5

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

To do things formally is to do them a certain way. To formally endorse someone, you must use the word endorse, as Bernie did in 2016 and 2020. Beyond that, as has been pointed out, he has been asked explicitly about the lack of a formal endorsement and at no point has he corrected them saying that he has.

0

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

I actually agree you don't have to use the words "endorse". I think before these interviews, "No" was in a worse position (but probably still right). But after the interviews where it shows that 2 informed reporters did not think he formally endorsed and Bernie implicitly agreed by not rejecting that position, it's clear he has not formally endorsed yet.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The requirements are a formal endorsement. Put up your bond money to propose a resolution! 😃

2

Colorguesser

2 months ago

Officially pledging an active effort to get someone elected is an endorsement in any metric. Close the market

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yes holders are cooked!

0

n/a

2 months ago

How many times does he need to be asked why he hasn’t formally endorsed Harris, while continuing to NOT formally endorse her, before it sinks in for yes holders that he is nowhere close to formally endorsing her. In fact, he’s acting like this is a “media creation”.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

How many times does he need to be asked why he hasn’t formally endorsed Harris, while continuing to NOT formally endorse her, before it sinks in for yes holders that he is nowhere close to formally endorsing her. In fact, he’s acting like this is a “media creation”.

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Hahahaha no!!! It’s the opposite! In his mind, he’s pledge to support VP Harris however he can. As I’ve been saying, you can’t formally endorse someone and then turn around and criticise them. You won’t find any examples of this happening from someone who has endorsed Harris. This way, Bernie can give her his support while being freed up to push for more progressive policies. He’s probably not going to endorse her at any point now.

3

n/a

2 months ago

From https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-08-01/bernie-sanders-supports-vice-president-kamala-harris-presidential-bid Bob Kinzel: So is there a difference between supporting her and endorsing her? Bernie Sanders: You know, this is, I think, a media creation here. I'm doing everything I can to see that she gets elected. But I think it's very important for this country that we start focusing on the issues that are impacting the working class." If Bernie Sanders himself says that the difference between supporting a candidate and 'formally' endorsing a candidate is a quote 'media creation', then he is by extension saying that by "doing everything [I] can to get her elected" he is endorsing her.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Additionally, can you provide me a single criticism of Kamala Harris or her campaign from a single person or group since they've endorsed her? I'll wait.

1

n/a

2 months ago

Yes you can. endorsements don’t mean ‘I have exactly the same beliefs as this person’

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

An endorsement is approval or support. Harris is taking money from billionaires, will not seek to ban fracking, and she no longer supports a single-payer health care system. These are all things Bernie supports and approves of, and he'll never stop fighting for the interests of working class Americans!

3

n/a

2 months ago

Yes you can. endorsements don’t mean ‘I have exactly the same beliefs as this person’

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I think we’ve got this, guys. You can’t endorse someone while simultaneously voicing concerns about their donors. That’s not how endorsements work.

4

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Kamala has Bernie saying do not fire Lina Khan and I will give you my endorsement. At the same time, BILLIONAIRE Reid Hoffman is giving her COLD HARD CASH and telling her to fire Lina Khan. What will win - the single ENDORSEMENT (has already secured support) or the COLD HARD CASH 🤑🤑🤑

4

vote.fun

2 months ago

no chance he formally endorses let go!

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1819107252168740967 Bernie Sanders CONDEMNS the Democrats for taking BILLIONAIRE big donations.

5

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Securing profits at a slight discount 🤑💰

1

Colorguesser

2 months ago

This market will stay open untill voting is closed and untill the official announcement is placed thereafter.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Either way, I think it's a pretty bad sign for yes holders that he hasn't endorsed before voting opened.

2

Colorguesser

2 months ago

This market will stay open untill voting is closed and untill the official announcement is placed thereafter.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It's just until "...before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election.". So if they make an announcement saying she's their official candidate (e.g. announcing she has secured enough votes to officially be the candidate), it would meet the criteria. But we might have to wait until Monday.

1

Colorguesser

2 months ago

This market will stay open untill voting is closed and untill the official announcement is placed thereafter.

Democratic Nominee 2024

n/a

2 months ago

Matt Damon

0

zecwuguto

2 months ago

Kamala Harris

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

⏰⏰⏰ It's 9am ET - VOTING HAS STARTED! I wonder which candidate will win!? 🤔🤔🤔 Bernie at this time HAS NOT endorsed Kamala Harris for president. 🙅‍♂️🙅‍♂️🙅‍♂️

5

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Even if it does, the fact that he hasn't endorsed her before voting begins suggests he's probably not going to any time soon. He's said all along he's seeking assurances, and Harris hasn't put out any policies or picked a VP yet.

3

vote.fun

2 months ago

people still think it will actually take until the 5th to end

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

You can get an LLM to agree or disagree with anything you say depending on how you word things.

3

n/a

2 months ago

Just asked perplexity AI or Chatgpt - answer: Yes, Bernie Sanders officially endorsed Kamala Harris as the Democratic presidential nominee. On Saturday, July 27, 2024, Sanders announced his endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris at a rally in Portland, Maine.

Democratic Nominee 2024

n/a

2 months ago

That's how we make money.

5

JebBushForPres

2 months ago

97.4 is a crazy steal. She is legitimately the only eligible party, and will become the nominee tomorrow.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I'm not sure. But an interim announcement from the DNC saying Kamala has secured the votes will probably meet the criteria

2

GeneralDavidPatraeus.eth

2 months ago

Do we think it will start and end on the 1st? Looking at this: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/dnc-virtual-roll-call-2024-how-it-works/ "Party leaders announced Tuesday night that delegates will be able to vote electronically beginning at 9 a.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 1. The voting will conclude at 6 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 5."

Democratic Nominee 2024

n/a

2 months ago

Lol yep

2

JebBushForPres

2 months ago

97.4 is a crazy steal. She is legitimately the only eligible party, and will become the nominee tomorrow.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It’s 6pm ET/Bernie time and still no formal endorsement 😢 Voting commences at 9am ET tomorrow. It will all be over soon.

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Ayyyyy!

0

Nostradumbass

2 months ago

I’ve finally come around lol

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/JulieNBCNews/status/1818058826836296003

1

homosexual

2 months ago

What's the most recent communication? Planning to repurchase shares after another market closes

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

lol sorry for pumping the price 😅 The odds of this market have really defied reason, though

1

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

This whole discussion is against my interest too because unlike Laura, I'm not hedging and I'm not done buying.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I'm concerned that he might come out of nowhere with an endorsement at the last minute, but I think it's unlikely. This market has been really stressful for me lol, so I wanted to make sure I got something out of it.

1

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

me too lol. to the point where I can do a decent Bernie impression now

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

And by the way, I've laid out all my reasoning on here for anyone to pick apart. And yet I have not seen a single 'yes' argument that I've believed to be credible whatsoever. I held yes. I lost money on it. I held no. I lost a lot of money on it. It took me an embarrassing amount of time to get where I am currently, but it has served me very well. I am also pleased that I not only was able to save some yes holders money, but make them a profit as well, as they self-described that they ended up agreeing with me and 'flipped'.

2

n/a

2 months ago

I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

No one on here is being unfair. No one is stopping you from proposing a resolution. However, if you do prematurely propose a resolution, I am saying that I will submit that (and more) evidence in my own dispute.

1

n/a

2 months ago

I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Here he is again endorsing Biden in 2020 as reported by NBC News: "Today I am asking all Americans, I'm asking every Democrat, I'm asking every independent, I'm asking a lot of Republicans to come together in this campaign to support your candidacy, which I endorse," Sanders said, "to make certain that we defeat somebody who I believe, and I'm speaking just for myself, now is the most dangerous president in the modern history of this country." Source: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/bernie-sanders-endorses-joe-biden-president-we-need-you-white-n1182861

1

n/a

2 months ago

I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Here is Bernie endorsing Clinton in 2016 reported by CNN: “I have come here to make it as clear as possible why I am endorsing Hillary Clinton and why she must become our next president,” Sanders said at a joint rally here. “Secretary Clinton has won the Democratic nomination and I congratulate her for that.” Source: https://edition.cnn.com/2016/07/11/politics/hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders/index.html

1

n/a

2 months ago

I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Note that that interview was 8 days ago. When he went onto MSNBC 4 days ago (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx5f0wvZvqg), Ali Velshi spends pretty much the entire interview trying to get out of Bernie what it would take to get his endorsement. Bernie's messaging is consistent the whole time, as it is up until the most recent brief NBC News interview where he once again remains consistent in why he has yet to endorse her.

1

n/a

2 months ago

I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.

6

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Bernie just tweeted 🫣 …that he’s fed up with working class families being exploited over their medical bills! But still no endorsement for Harris, who is beholden to her FAT CAT Democrat BIG DONORS.

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I’ve said that I will propose ‘no’ as soon as the conditions are met. I wholeheartedly encourage any party who disagrees to lodge a dispute, as I will do the same if I disagree with the proposed resolution. Have some conviction in what you say.

1

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/ABC/status/1817274758590853549

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yes holders have every incentive to resolve this as yes it they truly believe the conditions have been met! It’s very clear to me that yes holders aren’t thinking clearly, with their judgment clouded by large losses.

1

muusd

2 months ago

I agree with this. It is logical to resolve this to a yes but what I have leant is that Polymarket resolutions are not very reliable.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yeah I investigated Newsom and I disagree it should have been resolved. However, only $5k was bet, and the only no buy I saw was for $30. But if you think you have a genuine case for resolving it, I encourage you to propose a resolution. 😌

1

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/ABC/status/1817274758590853549

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Congratulations! You’re the 7th lucky yes holder who has ignored all the previous conversations. 🥳🥳🥳 Here is your prize for not paying attention: 📉

1

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/ABC/status/1817274758590853549

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

In about 21 hours from now, voting opens up to officially nominate Harris as the UNCONTESTED Democrat presidential candidate!

6

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It's 8am Bernie time - do you know what that means? It means another day fighting for working class Americans, and withholding your endorsement until you get reassurances! Keep fighting the good fight, Bernie! 🫡💪

5

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Doesn’t sound like someone who is going to endorse her today or tomorrow.

2

n/a

2 months ago

Proof that Bernie hasn't endorsed Harris yet https://x.com/JulieNBCNews/status/1818058826836296003

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Another thing to consider: Bernie has said he's withholding his endorsement until he can get certain assurances. As of today, Harris hasn't announced a full list of policies for her presidency campaign, largely due to how recently she became the new presumptive nominee. It's much more likely he will endorse her (if he does at all) after she announces her policies.

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I've been reading the responses on social media of him supporting her and many Sanders and Harris supporters are quite pleased with his support. No one is pressing him further for a formal endorsement - at least online.

2

homosexual

2 months ago

At this point, he still has more of a spine than like 99% of Washington (low bar albeit). I thought he was going to endorse before nomination, but I've come to realize Kamala is likely getting nominated on Aug 1, and Aug 7 at the latest. I don't see him giving a formal endorsement right now if he's very clearly clarifying that he needs concessions before an actual endorsement, with the word "endorse." Kamala doesn't care at all about the issues Bernie ran on in 2016 and 2020, so if she makes any concessions, it will take at least a couple weeks. Bernie's endorsement also only matters for the general election, not the primary like this one is based on.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Bernie was a big deal in 2016 and 2020 because he was the runner up both times. He's definitely not a nobody in 2024, but his endorsement means a great deal less, and Kamala is already the golden child of the Democrat party right now. Bernie can safely offer his support without going as far as a formal endorsement while fighting for what he believes in. There's no downside for Kamala for not getting his endorsement, and there's no downside for Bernie.

2

homosexual

2 months ago

At this point, he still has more of a spine than like 99% of Washington (low bar albeit). I thought he was going to endorse before nomination, but I've come to realize Kamala is likely getting nominated on Aug 1, and Aug 7 at the latest. I don't see him giving a formal endorsement right now if he's very clearly clarifying that he needs concessions before an actual endorsement, with the word "endorse." Kamala doesn't care at all about the issues Bernie ran on in 2016 and 2020, so if she makes any concessions, it will take at least a couple weeks. Bernie's endorsement also only matters for the general election, not the primary like this one is based on.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

To be honest, I feel like I'm a bit crazy when I look at the current prices. There's less than 2 days until Kamala is officially the candidate and yes is still at 61c? Ok... 🤪

2

Paganheat

2 months ago

I only flipped when I saw his email yesterday combined with my limit order going through, minimizing losses on my Yes positions

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Don't worry, homosexual. I first bought yes in reaction to his Portland rally, got confused and bought no, then panic sold when he put out his tweet. It wasn't until a day later when I carefully examined the rules and the situation broadly before I settled on my current position.

1

homosexual

2 months ago

you know what Laura, I doubted you, but I think you're right. Should have read the rules when I bought it LMAO

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1818398596540084370 Bernie is standing up against corporate interests, which is why he hasn't endorsed Kamala Harris. The Democrat party is filled with ELITES taking BIG MONEY from BIG CORPORATIONS

2

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Better to sell now than wait 'til they're worthless, I suppose.

2

muusd

2 months ago

https://vtdigger.org/2024/07/29/bernie-sanders-urges-kamala-harris-to-adopt-progressive-agenda/

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

"Over the weekend, Sanders held town halls in Maine to champion platforms for his progressive base and expressed support for Harris, stopping short of endorsing her but asking his supporters to vote for her."

0

Jettt

2 months ago

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060&ved=2ahUKEwjLn-PDzc-HAxXBFVkFHUcGE0sQvOMEKAB6BAgcEAE&usg=AOvVaw2ikHp-j20HysBWqgqiSXQj

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Read and understand what the rules say, and not what you think they say.

0

n/a

2 months ago

People would do very well the very CAREFULLY read the rules for this market before making their predictions.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

People would do very well the very CAREFULLY read the rules for this market before making their predictions.

1

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

🤦‍♀️They're referring to his Portland rally and tweet, which are not considered formal endorsements, and it was clarified by Sanders himself by NBC News yesterday. Dig up as many random news outlets interpretations of what he said all you like, but it's not what the rules of this market are based on.

1

muusd

2 months ago

https://vtdigger.org/2024/07/29/bernie-sanders-urges-kamala-harris-to-adopt-progressive-agenda/

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Also note that this was AFTER she won the nomination. 😉

1

Jettt

2 months ago

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

This is what a clear, unambiguous endorsement sounds like, from Bernie himself: “I have come here to make it as clear as possible why I am endorsing Hillary Clinton and why she must become our next president,” Sanders said at a joint rally here. “Secretary Clinton has won the Democratic nomination and I congratulate her for that.”

1

Jettt

2 months ago

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

That sounds like support to me, and not an endorsement. If he made a formal endorsement there would be no doubt.

1

Jettt

2 months ago

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

In addition to what wetard said, the source of resolution isn't local news outlets, it's Bernie Sanders and/or his representatives. Sanders' endorsement is national news, and no major outlet is reporting it, because it hasn't happened. The two local news outlets reporting it have made the same mistake as many 'yes' holders have.

1

Jettt

2 months ago

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Lol the WMTW article again. Someone working at WMTW probably bought 'yes' shares.

1

Jettt

2 months ago

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060&ved=2ahUKEwjLn-PDzc-HAxXBFVkFHUcGE0sQvOMEKAB6BAgcEAE&usg=AOvVaw2ikHp-j20HysBWqgqiSXQj

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I will try to be the first person to propose the no resolution as soon as there is confirmation Harris is the nominee. I doubt this will be disputed because no one has proposed yes, despite the comments saying he has. In the event that my proposal does get disputed, I am not at all concerned it won't resolve to 'no'.

3

muusd

2 months ago

See how the bitcoin reserve market is getting resolved. What he has said qualifies as an endorsement. This will resolve to Yes if someone proposes it

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Whatever takes place at the DNC is cerimonial. The official nomination takes place from Aug 1.

2

Jettt

2 months ago

Laura it ends august 22. Not in 48 hours...

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It ends when he hasn't formally endorsed her "before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election." Voting starts on Thursday, and will likely conclude then as well.

0

Jettt

2 months ago

Laura it ends august 22. Not in 48 hours...

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I've been saying that for the past few days and no one has proposed 'yes' - because they know it hasn't happened.

0

muusd

2 months ago

That will get disputed. He has already endorsed Kamala

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

If a resolution hasn't been proposed then no one is going to dispute it. If people think he has formally endorsed her then they can literally propose a 'yes' resolution right now.

0

muusd

2 months ago

That will get disputed. He has already endorsed Kamala

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

No one is calling for Sanders' endorsement for Harris, seemingly content with the strong support he's shown. In about 48 hours from now, Harris will be the official candidate and this market will resolve 'NO'.

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Every time Bernie tweets, my heart skips a beat 😅 But he hasn't let me down yet. Keep fighting for working class Americans, Bernie! 🫡💪

5

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It will be Aug 1. Even Marianne ended her campaign yesterday.

3

vote.fun

2 months ago

Rollcall is the 1st, will be the 3rd if kamala has a challenger step up in the next day(no chance)... https://www.cbsnews.com/news/dnc-virtual-roll-call-2024-how-it-works/

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

There are no challengers.

3

vote.fun

2 months ago

Rollcall is the 1st, will be the 3rd if kamala has a challenger step up in the next day(no chance)... https://www.cbsnews.com/news/dnc-virtual-roll-call-2024-how-it-works/

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Bernie is an independent though, so there isn't the same kind of pressure to endorse. There's also a handful of Dem house members who have yet to offer their endorsement, so this kind of thing isn't unusual at this stage.

1

Nostradumbass

2 months ago

Y’all are forgetting how politics works. He already gave support to Harris against Trump in the general. What does he have to leverage except his endorsement before the nomination?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yeah sure but his endorsement at this stage doesn't change anything. She's going to be the official candidate with or without his endorsement, and she already has his support

1

Nostradumbass

2 months ago

Y’all are forgetting how politics works. He already gave support to Harris against Trump in the general. What does he have to leverage except his endorsement before the nomination?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Sanders' endorsement is a 'nice to have' but that's about it. He's already strongly supported her so he really has no pressure to offer his endorsement

1

Nostradumbass

2 months ago

Y’all are forgetting how politics works. He already gave support to Harris against Trump in the general. What does he have to leverage except his endorsement before the nomination?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Harris has been killing it, polling equal or better than Trump, raising record amounts of money. Sanders was a top contender in 2016 and 2020 but this time he didn't run, so his endorsement means less. Basically, he doesn't really have any leverage and Harris is going great with or without his endorsement.

1

Nostradumbass

2 months ago

Y’all are forgetting how politics works. He already gave support to Harris against Trump in the general. What does he have to leverage except his endorsement before the nomination?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

She might like it, of course, but she's the presumptive nominee with no other contenders. Her securing the candidacy is a formality at this point, and will be resolved by Thursday. I'm sure he will endorse her, but he doesn't seem to be in a rush to do so.

0

BennyS

2 months ago

Those who are claiming that Kamala will be nominated on Thursday are wrong. The nomination will be in between Aug1 to Aug7. Slow down guys- Bernie has plenty of time to formally endorse Kamala

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

But even if it goes to Aug 7, there's just no reason to think Bernie is going to come out with his formal endorsement before he gets the reassurances he has repeatedly stated he's seeking.

1

BennyS

2 months ago

Those who are claiming that Kamala will be nominated on Thursday are wrong. The nomination will be in between Aug1 to Aug7. Slow down guys- Bernie has plenty of time to formally endorse Kamala

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Technically you're correct but they're rushing her through, so I would be surprised if voting wasn't completed on Aug 1.

1

BennyS

2 months ago

Those who are claiming that Kamala will be nominated on Thursday are wrong. The nomination will be in between Aug1 to Aug7. Slow down guys- Bernie has plenty of time to formally endorse Kamala

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I wanna hear what Ja Rule has to say

0

fundamentalmisunderstanding

2 months ago

That's only nbc news though. We need to hear what WMTW has to say

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

lol I didn't either but wish I did. But I'm less adverse to buying higher now that it's almost a done deal. Kinda surprising to me that yes isn't a long shot at this point

2

vote.fun

2 months ago

fck @Laura has passed me, why didnt i have bids when that yes guy market bought :(

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Definitely doesn't sound like he's going to suddenly endorse her before Thursday.

0

semi

2 months ago

sorry guys this is going no https://x.com/JulieNBCNews/status/1818058826836296003

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Shoutout to Julie Tsirkin for putting this debate to rest!

1

semi

2 months ago

sorry guys this is going no https://x.com/JulieNBCNews/status/1818058826836296003

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I'm Bernie Sanders and I approve this message.

1

vote.fun

2 months ago

tick tock tick tock

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

When you think about it there is great significance to the passage of time. ⏱️⏱️⏱️You think you just fell out of a coconut tree? 🥥🌴🥥 You exist in the context of all in which you live and what came before you.

1

vote.fun

2 months ago

tick tock tick tock

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The newsletter message lines up with everything else he's been saying. Virtually no chance he formally endorses by Thursday.

0

Paganheat

2 months ago

Alright, well, with such limited time left, I have indeed cashed out at .90 - and switched over to the No.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Ayyy welcome!

1

Paganheat

2 months ago

Alright, well, with such limited time left, I have indeed cashed out at .90 - and switched over to the No.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Alright, it's 5pm Bernie time, still no formal endorsement. Only Tuesday, Wednesday, and part of Thursday to go. Good luck! 😁

1

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I'm probably going to load up more on Thursday

0

vote.fun

2 months ago

hey stop trying to pass me in bag size

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Of course I will dispute (as I imagine other no holders would), but it's not me who gets to determine who is right or wrong.

0

n/a

2 months ago

Yes holders: He's formally endorsed her! Also yes holders: Don't propose resolution to back up their claims

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

So what are you waiting for?

0

n/a

2 months ago

Yes holders: He's formally endorsed her! Also yes holders: Don't propose resolution to back up their claims

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yes voters can propose a resolution as soon as he formally endorses Harris. No voters have to wait until Harris is the official candidate

0

n/a

2 months ago

Yes holders: He's formally endorsed her! Also yes holders: Don't propose resolution to back up their claims

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yeah he followed up with an interview and in that interview they reported he hasn't formally endorsed her but continued to say the supportive things he's been saying the past week.

0

n/a

2 months ago

Yea he endorsed her in Portland during a speech, which he then followed up with an interview and a tweet, but the trolls here keep obfuscating.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

This is a good illustration of the difference between informally making a claim (commenting) vs formally making a claim (putting up a bond to propose resolution) 😂

1

n/a

2 months ago

Yes holders: He's formally endorsed her! Also yes holders: Don't propose resolution to back up their claims

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Yes holders: He's formally endorsed her! Also yes holders: Don't propose resolution to back up their claims

0

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

If you think it's settled then propose the resolution! I want the opportunity to take your bond.

0

n/a

2 months ago

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/