#36
Rank
419
Comments
267
Likes Received
219
Likes Given
Laura
9 months ago
They've got him on the good drugs tonight
Laura
9 months ago
That’s good enough for me! Bake him away, toys.
Flipp
9 months ago
Biden mentally has already dropped out. This market should resolve "No"
Laura
9 months ago
You have forgotten the face of your father.
Car
9 months ago
Stop trying to pump your NO shares
Laura
9 months ago
Refresh the page
Nicky-Boi
9 months ago
Q from someone who is still a bit of a noob: how do you make a bid in decimals (like 99.9) when the price split is 1/99 - PM won't let me enter 99.9 as a bid right now for No on Ukraine for example, 99 is as high as I can go - all whole numbers.
Laura
9 months ago
Smh πŸ˜”
Paganheat
9 months ago
Sry I led you astray!
Laura
9 months ago
Wow only one went off. What a great market
Laura
9 months ago
Mr Bonnelli!
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
Abortion NO voters are gonna get fucked. This is your normal rally in a state she has not been in a lot. She is going to hammer the abortion issue since a shit ton of ppl care about that.
Laura
9 months ago
Bernie was pretty guaranteed, but this is a straight up gamble. I think 16-20 is more likely than the odds provided, though
homosexual
9 months ago
you pulled through on the Bernie endorsement, convince me to buy yes 16-20
Laura
9 months ago
I don't know how likely it is but it's exactly what he did yesterday when people weren't expecting him to
Laura
9 months ago
I've never wanted Trump to tweet before, but just two more times please Mr Donald Trump πŸ™
Laura
9 months ago
But that's exactly what Trump did yesterday lol
diddy
9 months ago
My dear comrades, it looks like we will win 11-15. It is unlikely for someone to do 2 posts in 6 waking hours.
Laura
9 months ago
I disagree, but this isn't the place to discuss such matters
speaking-cat
9 months ago
meow
Laura
9 months ago
Someone start making a bunch of AI videos for him to possibly share
Laura
9 months ago
I've never wanted Trump to tweet before, but just two more times please Mr Donald Trump πŸ™
Laura
9 months ago
I've never wanted Trump to tweet before, but just two more times please Mr Donald Trump πŸ™
Laura
9 months ago
You tricked me 😒 Not sure why you switched to no. She said it at her Vegas rally
Paganheat
9 months ago
Abortion is guaranteed imo
Laura
9 months ago
πŸ‘Ž
Eridpnc
9 months ago
Hello guys I am a time traveller but for some reason I can only see the market a day before it happens. On January 2, 2025, Biden resigns. 10 days later he dies of a heart attack. A market is created for Kamala's speech at the funeral. The word "abortion" is present. Yes trades for 67 cents. One commentor says "She’s said β€œabortion” in every campaign speech she’s done but yeah fuck it, 66Β’." I wonder how this ends guys what a cool story.
Laura
9 months ago
Alright, thanks! I picked up these 'weird' at 30c lol
Paganheat
9 months ago
Abortion
Laura
9 months ago
Alright, Paganheat, what are your hot tips for this market?
Laura
9 months ago
I've done both 😎
diddy
9 months ago
Now be ready for the 16-20 market price to slowly go down if Trump doesn't tweet sometime after the conference.
Laura
9 months ago
My fake news went off too :D
Paganheat
9 months ago
Wow! YESes for the win
Laura
9 months ago
Congrats!
Paganheat
9 months ago
Wow! YESes for the win
Laura
9 months ago
🫑
aenews2
9 months ago
RIP my 100 shares of N on a few brackets, long live my 550 shares of tampon
Laura
9 months ago
My goodness
Donkov
9 months ago
I will never recover financially from this
Laura
9 months ago
AI LETS GO
Laura
9 months ago
Ayy fake news!
Laura
9 months ago
MANY THINGS TO TALK ABOUT
Laura
9 months ago
PLENTY OF TIME BOYS
Laura
9 months ago
If I win on the conference market I might carry some of it over onto 11-15 no tbh
diddy
9 months ago
Now be ready for the 16-20 market price to slowly go down if Trump doesn't tweet sometime after the conference.
Laura
9 months ago
I think AI is a bit undervalued, considering what's been happening with the latest Grok release and Trump making a rare tweet of an AI generated video
Laura
9 months ago
Nevermind, fhantombets just bought some 'no' so I'm pretty happy with our position now
Paganheat
9 months ago
1 hr to go….
Laura
9 months ago
JustKam
Paganheat
9 months ago
1 hr to go….
Laura
9 months ago
I just want to point out that Domer is on the other side of us as well, which is usually never a good sign πŸ₯²
Paganheat
9 months ago
1 hr to go….
Laura
9 months ago
Starting to feel pretty good about cashing out with 'only' 3x profit
Laura
9 months ago
I’m holding you personally responsible for Trump saying China btw lol
Paganheat
9 months ago
1 hr to go….
Laura
9 months ago
Even funnier if he cancels the press conference and it doesn't get rescheduled.
leveller
9 months ago
It will be funny if I lose all positions
Laura
9 months ago
Rumour is that Trump bought a sweet new fine china set, and wants to brag about it
sharky🦈🦈🦈
9 months ago
rumour going around that trump might fire his campaign manger, which could be a question asked
Laura
9 months ago
I admit that I was just going by memory vs data. But you have the data, and China is a much better bet.
Paganheat
9 months ago
Read his last press conf. He doesn’t
Laura
9 months ago
Alright, Paganheat, I put my faith in your call of China. Let's go!
Paganheat
9 months ago
Read his last press conf. He doesn’t
Laura
9 months ago
Does Trump ever NOT say "fake news"? Did I really just buy these at 42c? 🀯
Laura
9 months ago
Really? I've never heard him mention that before
n/a
9 months ago
im the 3rd or 4th investor
Laura
9 months ago
You should buy some Uber shares
n/a
9 months ago
damn lucky! i would buy at 30 cents if i could... but im in the U.S. and can't trade
Laura
9 months ago
idk what ur saying i just click buttons and win money its easy lmao
plant
9 months ago
Would be cool if PolyMarket had a calculator for finding theta on timed markets, like this one. :) obv would be a rough estimate
Laura
9 months ago
(But not on this market)
Ferguson,Turd
9 months ago
NEED A TWET
Laura
9 months ago
They count if you’re a true American patriot!!
Ferguson,Turd
9 months ago
NEED A TWET
Laura
9 months ago
Best I can do is 50 Truths
Ferguson,Turd
9 months ago
NEED A TWET
Laura
9 months ago
It's my workplace because I make bad bets 😭😭
n/a
9 months ago
Trump posting every 30 minutes on Truth Social. So far only 1 pinned interview tweet on Twitter.
Laura
9 months ago
Imagine impersonating anyone and choosing @jason 😭😭
n/a
9 months ago
Trump posting every 30 minutes on Truth Social. So far only 1 pinned interview tweet on Twitter.
Laura
9 months ago
Priced in
sosuke
9 months ago
donald just tweeted
Laura
9 months ago
He was coming on the platform for the conversation anyway so he shilled his stuff and now he's moved on again. Of course I think it will end there (see my position)
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
I find it strange Trump is letting the momentum on Twitter die out. His posts easily get 50x more exposure compared to truth social. He needs it to reach a broader audience and stay relevant
Laura
9 months ago
He did the same thing with his mugshot a year ago
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
I find it strange Trump is letting the momentum on Twitter die out. His posts easily get 50x more exposure compared to truth social. He needs it to reach a broader audience and stay relevant
Laura
9 months ago
Not going to happen while he owns a competing platform, and definitely not this week lol
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
I find it strange Trump is letting the momentum on Twitter die out. His posts easily get 50x more exposure compared to truth social. He needs it to reach a broader audience and stay relevant
Laura
9 months ago
Nah I just check the notifications from time to time. This market wasn't as much getting in early as it was it dawning on people after his 20th Truth Social post today that he wasn't coming back this week.
sartre1
9 months ago
do you have any bot for new listings on poly?
Laura
9 months ago
I had the highest bid at 18c but they weren't getting filled. Free money is free money though
Paganheat
9 months ago
He’s been posting non stop on truth social. Wish I got in earlier.
Laura
9 months ago
Can’t believe I picked these up at less than 30c. He did the exact same thing with the mugshot lol. πŸ˜‘
Laura
9 months ago
I've made a huge mistake.
Laura
9 months ago
Yeah! I want my $30 profit NOW so I can buy me a Baconator combo with a triple berry Frostie! 😀😠
Car
9 months ago
Who the FUCK disputed this locking up my money
Laura
9 months ago
The heading of the recent Trump tweets says 'Post'. Whether is shows up on the timeline isn't part of the rules.
Laura
9 months ago
Nah this is a shot in the dark. I think there's a decent chance he resigns but I'm not counting on it
X9504
9 months ago
What happens if he becomes incapacitated to the point where Harris takes over?
Laura
9 months ago
No, the 'and' portion is: "...about that date and a set host...". The date is September 10 and the host is ABC News, per their tweet.
eb..
9 months ago
about the "additional context": it's "and" not "or". they have to agree on a venue "and" a platform. that's what is explicitely stated on the rules. just the complete opposite of what was written in this additional context. I had to read it 3 times to believe that that is what was written. it's the complete opposite
Laura
9 months ago
ABC will host them on their ABC platform.
DeucePapi
9 months ago
ABC is a "host". An ex of a platform/venue would be: Auditorium at Harvard w live audience, ABC studios closed set...
Laura
9 months ago
Yep. Look stupid firing Vance and maybe avoid jail or lose the election and then go to jail.
Chen1996
9 months ago
I said the same thing. He will go to jail if he loses, he needs to think strategically
Laura
9 months ago
I think it might be dawning on Trump that if he doesn’t win this election then he’s probably going to jail.
Laura
9 months ago
Yeah he can articulate how quickly he's sinking a campaign that was an overwhelming favourite to win.
beyondbets
9 months ago
Vance is actually a top pick, he can articulate himself very well in contrast to trump
Laura
9 months ago
Vance kinda seems really unhinged in contrast to Walz. Vance is alienating women while Walz is giving free lunches to school kids. Pretty disastrous optically. Still doubt Trump will replace him, but if he doesn't I think he's cooked. What a wild turn of events.
Laura
9 months ago
Depends on the type of incapacitation. If he's incapacitated though, and can still resign, he will most likely resign.
X9504
9 months ago
What happens if he becomes incapacitated to the point where Harris takes over?
Laura
9 months ago
I'm with Domer. He definitely should be replaced, but doing so will make Trump look stupid, so he won't be.
Chen1996
9 months ago
This is a longshot by far, definitely undervalued, but whether it be a coup against Biden, an Assassination attempt against Trump, all within 3 weeks, then really this is a no brainer
Laura
9 months ago
πŸ₯²
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
retards had this at 15c last week
Laura
9 months ago
End date is Jan 20. Won't take that long
Whome
9 months ago
I'm averaging in. I appreciate your boldness to jump in at 22c, but i don't have the same conviction. I'm working my way up to 5k. See you here Nov 6th! ;)
Laura
9 months ago
Ayy welcome to the club! 😎🀝
Whome
9 months ago
It's a risky strategy, Cotton. I'd put money on him not speaking at the DNC, followed by other high-return bets. 20% over 4 months isn't something I want to wait for.
Laura
9 months ago
This was always my plan. Bernie was a pleasant distraction.
Whome
9 months ago
So this is where your Bernie money went.....
Laura
9 months ago
What about now?
Bink
10 months ago
Laura rebought lower, totally exonerated
Laura
9 months ago
All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.
Laura
9 months ago
Congratulations, everyone! πŸ₯³πŸ₯³πŸ₯³ What a wild ride
Laura
9 months ago
Quite the contrary. Now is your opportunity to dispute the proposed resolution, otherwise your shares will go to 0. πŸ€—
Colorguesser
9 months ago
NOs start to panic
Laura
9 months ago
The UMA Discord server. Check out their official Twitter for the link.
Truthy
9 months ago
Where do you go to see this chatter?
Laura
9 months ago
The comments in the UMA server are a bit detached from reality, but to their credit, they’re allowing traders the opportunity to dispute. So, if you believe he has in fact formally endorsed her, now is the time to put your money where your mouth is. Good luck!
Laura
9 months ago
Yeah I thought I heard the chair say they would announce it following, but I guess I didn't consider that 'following' meant the next day. Alright, I'm going to bed lol.
spacebike
9 months ago
I re-read the original press release about how results would be released, and they mention a state-by-state breakdown. Makes me think they want to put together a package to get a bunch of press before the VP announcement. If so, it'd make sense for them to wait until tomorrow morning. πŸ€·πŸ»β€β™‚οΈ
Laura
9 months ago
Ok well, it looks like they're not even going to bother putting out a statement telling us what everyone knows to be true, so tomorrow it is. I JUST WANT THIS TO BE OVER OMG 😭😭😭
Laura
9 months ago
You tried but they're still buying πŸ₯²
spacebike
9 months ago
to the new "yes" holders – there are weeks of discussion below litigating whether sanders has endorsed harris. just this morning, he pointedly declined to endorse her in an interview with jake sherman. he is supporting her while intentionally withholding a full endorsement in order to get her to commit to more progressive policy ideas – and he's explicitly said that's what he's doing. i'm explaining all of this so you can still save yourself some heartache and sell before you're completely wiped out! (i initially bought a bunch of "yes" before learning the deep sanders-non-endorsement lore and converting.)
Laura
9 months ago
Nah it's just uninformed people thinking they've found an amazing trade
Wook-Capital-Fund-I
9 months ago
@Laura - Ok, makes sense. Just starting to panic as the price dips and DNC doesn't announce anything.
Laura
9 months ago
https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1817243928548319732
Wook-Capital-Fund-I
9 months ago
Do you think this counts as a formal endorsement: https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1820614296784499017?
Laura
9 months ago
He's said the same thing many times and has confirmed it's not a formal endorsement.
Wook-Capital-Fund-I
9 months ago
Do you think this counts as a formal endorsement: https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1820614296784499017?
Laura
9 months ago
1 like = 1 amen πŸ™
Laura
9 months ago
Shoutout to the yes buyers who have just joined the party 🫑
Laura
9 months ago
Shoutout to the yes buyers who have just joined the party 🫑
Laura
9 months ago
Any Bernie event is relevant, but it's not like he's going to go from trashing Dems all day to suddenly flipping at night lol
homosexual
9 months ago
Why is this relevant?
Laura
9 months ago
Btw, if Walz does end up being the pick, who Bernie supported, he's not going to endorse until it's been publicly announced (even if he already knows). He's also made it clear he cares about policies, not VP picks or big donations, etc
Laura
9 months ago
It's kind of odd that they haven't put out a press release yet, given that they knew exactly who had won and exactly what the deadline was. Saying that, Bernie made it clear today he obviously isn't endorsing any time soon, so no sweat, but it is annoying having to wait even further. I still think they'll announce something tonight
Laura
9 months ago
A lot of stuff happening in the Middle East now so maybe Harris is being delayed a bit. πŸ€·β€β™€οΈ
Laura
9 months ago
It's kind of odd that they haven't put out a press release yet, given that they knew exactly who had won and exactly what the deadline was. Saying that, Bernie made it clear today he obviously isn't endorsing any time soon, so no sweat, but it is annoying having to wait even further. I still think they'll announce something tonight
Laura
9 months ago
It's kind of odd that they haven't put out a press release yet, given that they knew exactly who had won and exactly what the deadline was. Saying that, Bernie made it clear today he obviously isn't endorsing any time soon, so no sweat, but it is annoying having to wait even further. I still think they'll announce something tonight
Laura
9 months ago
No, but they said they'd announce it the same day. Hopefully soon
homosexual
9 months ago
Do you know when the results are publicly announced?
Laura
9 months ago
Nah they will very likely have a livestream tonight with Kamala attending
Paganheat
9 months ago
Same. I was so pissed and skeptical, and then I realized Laura’s analysis was spot on.
Laura
9 months ago
There probably is. But the process is fairly simple. Just click the propose resolution button, connect your wallet, choose the resolution from the drop down, and submit your USDC.e bond
Whome
9 months ago
Is there a good spot wher you can go to learn how to propose a resolution?
Laura
9 months ago
At ease, soldier. 🫑🀝
kdubhotsauce
9 months ago
I bet so hard against Laura, cursing them in my head. At some point, I had to switch sides. Take us to the promise land. 🫑
Laura
9 months ago
Smh our money has literally been set on fire. πŸ˜” How did we not see this coming?
Iverson
9 months ago
Still no announcement though? Maybe she lost afterall. I would be fine losing my bet if that was the case
Laura
9 months ago
⚠️⚠️⚠️ ** Voting is closed! ** ⚠️⚠️⚠️
Laura
9 months ago
If you want to risk your bond to rush it through, you're welcome to lol. Anyway, good luck with that one. I've already got my next big brain move lined up. This damned market was supposed to be a side bet!
Iverson
9 months ago
Let's get this closed so we can parlay our winnings into the VP pick before Kamal picks one
Laura
9 months ago
😎🍸
mag
9 months ago
Alright Laura, I'll admit. I was unfamiliar with your game
Laura
9 months ago
It will take a lot longer if it's disputed. There's enough liquidity to cash out now at a small discount, if you were in a hurry.
Iverson
9 months ago
Let's get this closed so we can parlay our winnings into the VP pick before Kamal picks one
Laura
9 months ago
Yeah, I tend to agree. But I want to make sure to do this as cleanly and fairly as possible, so just seeking opinions
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
I'm kind of new to the platform as well so I'm not sure. But it seems like all the conditions for N would be met after the official nomination regardless of 'acceptance', which doesn't really mean anything.
Laura
9 months ago
It has thoroughly been discussed in the comments, which you obviously haven't bothered to read.
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
What is a definition of a 'formal endorsement' because it is not stated in the rules. I have been feeding ChatGPT articles about Bernie statements and speeches, it said that he formally endorsed her
Laura
9 months ago
Yes is a bargain then. If you can't be bothered to read the comments here, then I recommend you buy as much 'yes' as you can afford
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
What is a definition of a 'formal endorsement' because it is not stated in the rules. I have been feeding ChatGPT articles about Bernie statements and speeches, it said that he formally endorsed her
Laura
9 months ago
Alright guys, I'm quite happy to put through the proposal once the DNC announces they've officially nominated her. Do we want to wait until she accepts the nomination (I'm assuming the same day)? Either way, it will all be time stamped so no need to be reckless in rushing it through.
Laura
9 months ago
Congrats on riding it out even longer!
vote.fun
9 months ago
Wow what a ride guys, any one have a better ave than 7c?
Laura
9 months ago
"Sold 3729 No at 0.3Β’ ($11.19) 9d ago" πŸ˜… Do you remember that?
vote.fun
9 months ago
Wow what a ride guys, any one have a better ave than 7c?
Laura
9 months ago
😎🍻
homosexual
9 months ago
LOL just when I thought about selling because I was unsure, he publishes an entire article about why he isn't endorsing Kamala right now lol. GG folks
Laura
9 months ago
It's not over yet in the same way that Harris isn't the official nominee yet
aenews2
9 months ago
Not over yet
Laura
9 months ago
Ty. I'm glad you didn't lose it all!
MalikNabers
9 months ago
Congrats to no holders. Lost a few hundred in this market. Y’all played it well. Gg
Laura
9 months ago
I think the top yes holder's account is inactive with an order left over. Doesn't make sense otherwise
Colorguesser
9 months ago
Reds pumping and dumping!
Laura
9 months ago
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/aug/05/bernie-sanders-election-democrats More very public pressure put on Democrats by Sanders just 6 hours before voting ends and Harris is officially nominated.
Laura
9 months ago
Like the official nomination process, now all we need to do is wait out the clock.
Laura
9 months ago
https://punchbowl.news/article/election-2024/sanders-pushes-harris-on-progressive-agenda/
Laura
9 months ago
Bernie himself shared this article the day of official nomination. It confirms he has not formally endorsed her. This is guaranteed 100%. Thanks for playing.
Laura
9 months ago
https://punchbowl.news/article/election-2024/sanders-pushes-harris-on-progressive-agenda/
Laura
9 months ago
https://punchbowl.news/article/election-2024/sanders-pushes-harris-on-progressive-agenda/
Laura
9 months ago
Nah I’m pretty excited 🀠
KanyeTruther
9 months ago
do u ever stop typing
Laura
9 months ago
It’s your money 🫑
aenews2
9 months ago
I refuse to flip and be on the same side as you
Laura
9 months ago
BREAKING: aenews2 begins the sell off! (Although it’s never too late to flip!)
Laura
9 months ago
Given that money markets are crashing around the world today, I would absolutely NOT formally endorse today given it would get completely drowned out. Anyway, 13 hours to go!
Laura
9 months ago
I had my order for 75c filled like a CHUMP! Obviously I should have placed it for 25c πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
Truthy
9 months ago
Market order for yes up to 88c ouch
Laura
9 months ago
Haha indeed. Thanks
Eridpnc
9 months ago
*formerly. Grammar police out.
Laura
9 months ago
Libratrack, formally the top yes holder, has joined many others and has FLIPPED to no! Welcome to the winning side πŸ˜‰πŸΈ
Laura
9 months ago
There’s people that make my 14k shares look like chump change. It’s all relative. We got this 😎
larnzius.schmarnzius
9 months ago
Haha I’m 7.7 shares in and I am on my toes can’t imagine what 14.4 k feels like. I bought at 7c tho, so for me it’s the excitement if I will make 1k% profit
Laura
9 months ago
Honestly I wouldn’t buy yes for 5c at this stage. 24 hours left, still no specific policies, still no VP announcement, no events planned, and he didn’t formally endorse Clinton until after she won the nomination.
Iverson
9 months ago
Just put in another limit order. Seems to be a pretty remote chance Bernie formally endorses her in the next 24 hours. This should be closer to 5% Yes now.
Laura
9 months ago
25 hours to go and this will most likely resolve NO πŸ₯³ I’m staying strong for BERNIE πŸ’ͺ
Laura
9 months ago
Less than a 1% chance of all of that combined.
Rafin
9 months ago
She might be assassinated. Or have a random stroke. Or someone might nuke the US. You never know.
Laura
9 months ago
6pm ET Monday
larnzius.schmarnzius
9 months ago
The votes finalize at 5pm right?
Laura
9 months ago
What if we’ve been arguing all this time over semantics and he formally endorses at the final hour 😱😱😱
Laura
9 months ago
Well you have also said you’re not done buying but stopped buying, so that added to my confusion as well. But I agree with everything you said
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
Basically aenews2 is the only person who seems to have put in the time to understand everything to really believe in Y. Many bettors read the comments, did some research, and switched to N. Basically no reputable reporter thinks it's a formal endorsement and told Bernie this to his face to no resistance. If all of the sudden you're on an island with colorguessr, maybe you should be questioning your position.
Laura
9 months ago
You’re right. Any other market would have yes around 5c or lower at this stage, so I’m really confused as to what’s going on given aenews is a profitable trader.
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
My real disagreement with aenews is his opinion that Bernie will formally endorse in the next 30 hours. I just don't see any signs of that at all unless Kamala publicly declares Walz as her VP. She's not going to list out her policies in the next 30 hours and even if she did, probably not gonna be what Bernie wants to see. I'd price this at another 2%. So maybe 4% altogether. Him buying at 25% is wild to me, but at the end of the day it's not much money so it's not really showing much conviction on his part.
Laura
9 months ago
I'm fundamentally here trying to predict the truth and be rewarded by that. I'm not playing any games
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
At the end of the day, betting markets require adversarial positions so we should be thankful that there's people on the other side. I don't think aenews2 is a bad faith actor. We just disagree on the price of this market and that disagreement is what creates the profits/losses. If anything, me and you are the true adversaries cuz we're trying to buy his shares lol
Laura
9 months ago
Yeah I suppose. I just struggle to understand the rationale of the current prices, but perhaps I'm overthinking it and it's not rational
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
At the end of the day, betting markets require adversarial positions so we should be thankful that there's people on the other side. I don't think aenews2 is a bad faith actor. We just disagree on the price of this market and that disagreement is what creates the profits/losses. If anything, me and you are the true adversaries cuz we're trying to buy his shares lol
Laura
9 months ago
It's very odd behaviour to be buying yes shares at 25-35c two days before the deadline with no events planned imo
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
RNC was after the resolution of the Haley market so that CNN article doesn't matter. But the language for this bet was obviously affected by that Haley market. 'Explicit endorsement' isn't really a common political term and much more ambiguous than 'formal endorsement'. I think the spirit of that bet was 'Will she explicitly support Trump?', which she did. Polymarket was a bit smarter here and used a political term 'formal endorsement' for this market. So the spirit of the bet is now 'Did Bernie Sanders make a clear and unambiguous endorsement for Kamala?" The burden of proof is on the Y side to argue it is clear an unambiguous. That there is any dissension AT ALL, let alone live interviewers ALL declaring Bernie has not formally endorse, shows that there has not been a formal endorsement. I'm not sweating a dispute at all lol..
Laura
9 months ago
Rest up, sweet prince.🀴 😴
Iverson
9 months ago
He has a nap scheduled at 4
Laura
9 months ago
Is anyone aware of any Bernie events today? I’m only aware of his Progressives for Harris appearance which is set for 8pm ET Monday.
Laura
9 months ago
I didn’t see that, thanks. In that case, yes was clearly the correct resolution.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/16/politics/nikki-haley-trump-rnc-speech/index.html β€œI’ll start by making one thing perfectly clear: Donald Trump has my strong endorsement, period,” Haley said Tuesday.
Laura
9 months ago
I reviewed the Nikki Haley market, and while I can see arguments for both sides on that, we have the luxury in this market of having it directly asserted to Bernie that he has not formally endorsed her, to which he did not disagree with or contradict in any way, forming implicit agreement. If the angle for yes holders was to have this clarified or disputed, their best opportunity to seek such a resolution has closed since that unambiguous evidence. Their best hope now is that he formally endorses within the next 34 hours without any ambiguity.
Laura
9 months ago
36 hours.
Laura
9 months ago
Sorry, Iverson*
Laura
9 months ago
Iversin, what’s frustrating is that that’s not even what’s relevant here. We can’t even agree on the facts, let alone what will actually resolve this market. We need to be prepared to fight for our case, which I believe has overwhelmingly evidence from the source himself. But it’s disappointing to have to go through that process unnecessarily.
Laura
9 months ago
Iversin, what’s frustrating is that that’s not even what’s relevant here. We can’t even agree on the facts, let alone what will actually resolve this market. We need to be prepared to fight for our case, which I believe has overwhelmingly evidence from the source himself. But it’s disappointing to have to go through that process unnecessarily.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Support doesn't equal formal endorsement. Bernie has made that clear himself many times over.
Laura
9 months ago
By not correcting such a serious misrepresentation, he’s agreeing with the premise.
aenews2
9 months ago
He definitely endorsed (See Haley). He definitely explicitly endorsed. But formal endorsement is arguable, higher bar that may or may not have been met. I think AOC resolved with a statement fairly similar to Bernie's. So I'm not sure what we are considering "formal endorsement". We won't have a prolonged fight over this anyways. Bernie likely will just endorse more strongly before official nomination, or if not, then Polymarket will clarify when disputed and save us time disagreeing.
Laura
9 months ago
Bob Kinzel: Senator, I wonder if you could clarify something for me. As you mentioned, last week, and you were campaigning in New Hampshire and Maine, you told the crowds that you supported Harris, but this was not a formal endorsement.
aenews2
9 months ago
He definitely endorsed (See Haley). He definitely explicitly endorsed. But formal endorsement is arguable, higher bar that may or may not have been met. I think AOC resolved with a statement fairly similar to Bernie's. So I'm not sure what we are considering "formal endorsement". We won't have a prolonged fight over this anyways. Bernie likely will just endorse more strongly before official nomination, or if not, then Polymarket will clarify when disputed and save us time disagreeing.
Laura
9 months ago
We don’t have to decide what a formal endorsement is, Bernie does. It’s been put to him a couple of days ago that he hasn’t formally endorsed her, and he didn’t disagree, which is an implicit agreement. You don’t formally endorse someone and then let someone suggest you haven’t without correcting them. What are we even doing here?
aenews2
9 months ago
He definitely endorsed (See Haley). He definitely explicitly endorsed. But formal endorsement is arguable, higher bar that may or may not have been met. I think AOC resolved with a statement fairly similar to Bernie's. So I'm not sure what we are considering "formal endorsement". We won't have a prolonged fight over this anyways. Bernie likely will just endorse more strongly before official nomination, or if not, then Polymarket will clarify when disputed and save us time disagreeing.
Laura
9 months ago
I am not saying that aenews will try to scam us, to be clear. I am simply saying to be cautious.
vote.fun
9 months ago
yeah really hard to disagree. bernie has been so obvious about his stance. Sad ae is like this. People will try to scam wherever they can
Laura
9 months ago
If they say to him β€œyou haven’t formally endorsed her yet”, wouldn’t he say β€œwell wait a minute, I certainly have and do endorse her”? Of course he would. But he doesn’t correct them over something that’s rather serious so he is implicitly agreeing.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yea. Why would every single news anchor keep asking him if he's ready to formally endorse harris if he's already done so? He has not endorsed her, and has said he's still looking for specific policy guarantees
Laura
9 months ago
The resolution source for this market is Bernie or his reps, so if he’s implicitly agreeing every time he’s asked with the preposition that he has not endorsed her, then this can only resolve to no. Bernie is the source, and not once has he corrected any reporters for misrepresenting what he’s said.
spacebike
9 months ago
FWIW, I was a "yes" holder who looked at the links people shared and realized I was wrong. I sold at a loss and then bought a bunch of "no." These markets only work if we're honest with each other. The links people have shared below show that Bernie has been asked point blank on a regular basis whether he formally endorses Harris. He has repeatedly declined to do so, and then suggested things that might change to earn his formal endorsement. (Such as Harris picking Walz as VP.) Even if folks can point to random definitions of "formal endorsement" that encompass the type of support Sanders is offering to Harris, it has to mean something that he's explicitly refusing to offer what he considers to be a "formal endorsement."
Laura
9 months ago
Search β€œaenews” on the Polymarket Discord server. Not a good look
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
It's just dishonest at this point. He's intentionally avoiding saying he's formally endorsing her like his life depends on it
Laura
9 months ago
Yes, but aenews picked them up and has already said they will dispute. I would advise caution when dealing with aenews.
vote.fun
9 months ago
libtrack selling yes oh no
Laura
9 months ago
(Make sure the link is on the official UMA website)
Laura
9 months ago
For the no holders, I predict that this will be disputed even without a formal endorsement by Bernie. Please take some time to familiarise yourself with the dispute process and join us on the UMA Discord server. Just search Google for the link.
Laura
9 months ago
For the no holders, I predict that this will be disputed even without a formal endorsement by Bernie. Please take some time to familiarise yourself with the dispute process and join us on the UMA Discord server. Just search Google for the link.
Laura
9 months ago
It’s very fickle
VibesGreaterRules
9 months ago
'you can use single quotes' but you cannot use double quotes
Laura
9 months ago
Less than 48 hours to go πŸ₯³πŸ₯³
Laura
9 months ago
I literally just bought another 1000 shares
Colorguesser
9 months ago
No holders start to dump their positions. They know they wont win this one
Laura
9 months ago
The yes holders in the comments repeatedly warping reality have made me somewhat resentful and bitter, but I'm starting to feel better suddenly πŸ€—
n/a
9 months ago
Why are you sweating so badly…relax if your No is guaranteed. Nobody thinks you’re kind.
Laura
9 months ago
Dear yes holders: https://i.insider.com/61088095c31de7001849e5ea?width=1000&format=jpeg&auto=webp
Laura
9 months ago
Partially because the bid price for 'no' is still relatively low. I've tied up pretty much as much as I'm willing to lose, but I did rebuy a few thousand over the past few days as I gained conviction as the clock ticks down. Not many other no holders doing the same, though
zyncet
9 months ago
I just don't get it why the Yes is still so high...
Laura
9 months ago
πŸ₯³πŸ₯³πŸ₯³ WE GOT THIS NO! This market is now officially: Will Bernie Sanders FORMALLY ENDORSE Kamala Harris within the next 52 hours? Answer: NO!
Laura
9 months ago
MINNESOTA: Bernie Sanders MAINTAINS his messaging that Trump MUST be defeated, that we must ELECT Kamala Harris, but he is WORRIED, CONCERNED, about WORKING AMERICANS being left behind. Still NO FORMAL ENDORSEMENT.
Laura
9 months ago
It cuts out now 😭
zyncet
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4C8KNgEkQc
Laura
9 months ago
I agree. Yes should be proposed.
vote.fun
9 months ago
spacebike literally bought 5 mins ago and is claiming yes should be proposed lmfaoooo
Laura
9 months ago
You say it's free money yet you aren't buying any of said free money. Curious.
Astoria
9 months ago
why is this so low??? free money??? obviously he’s going to endorse
Laura
9 months ago
☺️🀐
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Oh so you're saying the quote already exists but no one posted it here?
Laura
9 months ago
I agree but there is still a particular quote that is the strongest case that he hasn’t formally endorsed her.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
he gets asked point blank in over 7 interviews I've linked if he endorses her, and hasn't said yes once. It's clear and obvious
Laura
9 months ago
For the β€˜no’ holders: I still haven’t seen any of you post the quote that is the smoking gun to put this β€˜debate’ to rest. I’m saving it for evidence if disputed ☺️
Laura
9 months ago
It's quite telling that people are switching from 'yes' to 'no' but no one is switching from 'no' to 'yes'.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
In one interview Bernie says the VP pick will impact if he endorses. Kamala isn't releasing the pick until after she accepts the official nom on monday. This couldn't be more over
Laura
9 months ago
They're delusional. Absolutely unhinged.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx5f0wvZvqg He only got asked about 15 times if he is endorsing kamala, which he avoided every single time. if your argument is he already endorsed, you are [redacted]
Laura
9 months ago
I, too, came from that opinion. I started out as a yes holder from the Portland rally. But, like yourself and many others, I came to realise that his support hasn't met the rules criteria of a formal endorsement, which has been clarified many times.
Truthy
9 months ago
Considering Bernie will make an announcement directly AFTER the official nomination, the chances of him endorsing before then should only be about 1-3%, I was a yes holder before. But there is still a chance to cut your losses and make it back by switching to no. https://x.com/Progs4Harris/status/1819479936886833657
Laura
9 months ago
It's their money but I've seen some pretty wild mental gymnastics performed by some people in these comments.
n/a
9 months ago
Thank you for the advice
Laura
9 months ago
Some of them would rather have their shares go to zero than to admit they were wrong.
Truthy
9 months ago
Considering Bernie will make an announcement directly AFTER the official nomination, the chances of him endorsing before then should only be about 1-3%, I was a yes holder before. But there is still a chance to cut your losses and make it back by switching to no. https://x.com/Progs4Harris/status/1819479936886833657
Laura
9 months ago
Yes holders in the comments: 😑😑😑 | Yes holders when it comes to proposing a resolution: πŸ˜‡πŸ˜‡πŸ™…β€β™€οΈπŸ™…β€β™€οΈ
Laura
9 months ago
No holders literally cannot stop yes holders from proposing a resolution. It can be proposed yes by anyone at any time.
Justifax
9 months ago
What a scam. Bernie Sanders says the difference between supporting and endorsing is a 'media creation'. Bob Kinzel: So is there a difference between supporting her and endorsing her? Bernie Sanders: You know, this is, I think, a media creation here. https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-08-01/bernie-sanders-supports-vice-president-kamala-harris-presidential-bid
Laura
9 months ago
Lol it's a politician answering strategically. He knows full well what constitutes a formal endorsement, as he formally endorsed Clinton and Biden in 2016 and 2020 respectively, and he's gone to great lengths to avoid saying he endorses her.
Laura
9 months ago
β€œ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️
Laura
9 months ago
I would be very surprised if someone actually disputed a 'no' resolution come Monday. It's just posturing. Bernie has been asked many times about a lack of a formal endorsement and each time he said he's waiting to see her policies. But I will be happy to take half of the disputers bond if they do actually challenge it. 😌
Laura
9 months ago
β€œ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️
Laura
9 months ago
Congrats to those who picked up the cheap β€˜no’ shares, including β€˜yes’ champion aenews2, who now appears to be flipping? 😯
Laura
9 months ago
β€œ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️
Laura
9 months ago
Once again, Bernie staying strong and consistent on his messaging of support without formally endorsing. 🀭
Laura
9 months ago
β€œ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️
Laura
9 months ago
β€œ Let me thank the 600 people in Mankato, MN who attended our town meeting. There was great energy as we work together to defeat Trump, elect Kamala Harris, and create a government that represents all Americans, not just the few. Tomorrow, we’re in Minneapolis with Ilhan Omar.”
Laura
9 months ago
β€œ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️
Laura
9 months ago
β€œ The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.” ☺️☺️☺️
Laura
9 months ago
You need to be able to connect a wallet. Press the β€œpropose resolution” button, connect your wallet on the UMA site, choose the proposed resolution, and submit your $750 bond. If it’s not disputed, it will resolve how you selected. If it is disputed, the loser of the dispute will lose their bond and the winner will take half of the loser’s bond.
Colorguesser
9 months ago
is there a guide on how to propose a resolution? Can i propose it with my Polymarket wallet or is a 2nd wallet required?
Laura
9 months ago
It’s fine. If it’s disputed, taking half of their bond is the cherry on top.
vote.fun
9 months ago
if you think hes endorsed already, youve lost all credibility to argue yes by not proposing it yet.
Laura
9 months ago
Nah I think he's set himself up really well to support her in defeating Trump while not associating himself with the big donor class influencing the DNC, drowning out the working American.
aenews2
9 months ago
I still think Bernie will issue another stronger endorsement before Harris becomes the nominee.
Laura
9 months ago
Propose your resolution or shut up.
Colorguesser
9 months ago
We have a clear formal of Harris by Sanders. ---- 1. The Rules do not require that Sanders uses the word "endorsemen" they require that he endorses the candidate. Which he has done and which is described and depicted in the comments in detail. ---- 2. He has clearly stated that he is supporting her to the fullest and will do anything he can to get her elected. ---- 3. He clarified that he does not accept any distinction between his support and a formal endorsement and especially the term "endorsement". Therefore, since he rejects any difference, he is, in fact, endorsing her. ---- 4. This clearly constitutes an endorsement according to the Cambridge dictionary, as well as a "political endorsement" according to the Quarterly Journal of Political Science.
Laura
9 months ago
It's different wording on that market to this one. I feel like 'yes' holders got screwed over by 'formal endorsement' and 'no' holders got screwed over by 'officially nominates' lol. There's only 76 hours to go though and then we can win this cleanly
Laura
9 months ago
The official position: https://x.com/TheDemocrats/status/1819427216201019854
Laura
9 months ago
I have the money but I don't really know how strong an argument that is.
Iverson
9 months ago
"Kamala Harris officially secures Democratic nomination for president" She secured the nomination. On Monday she ACCEPTS it.
Laura
9 months ago
The bond is 3k for that one, not 100k lol
aenews2
9 months ago
Woah! Big news, man. Now try taking 100K to propose the nominee markets. Looks like free money!
Laura
9 months ago
My best interpretation of that part for the 'no' side is that the voting is the process of officially nominating the candidate, and through that process she has received enough votes to become the official candidate.
Iverson
9 months ago
I believe this is now resolved. The Democratic Party has officially through its delegate polling nominated Kamala. On Monday she will officially ACCEPT the nomination. The Democratic Party though has already officially nominated her.
Laura
9 months ago
I thought that too but I'm really not too sure. You could propose a 'no' resolution now but I imagine it would be disputed
Iverson
9 months ago
I believe this is now resolved. The Democratic Party has officially through its delegate polling nominated Kamala. On Monday she will officially ACCEPT the nomination. The Democratic Party though has already officially nominated her.
Laura
9 months ago
Sad. Oh well. Just 4 more days. She still hasn't released policies or announced a VP pick. Bernie will stay strong.
Laura
9 months ago
The official position: https://x.com/TheDemocrats/status/1819427216201019854
Laura
9 months ago
The official position: https://x.com/TheDemocrats/status/1819427216201019854
Laura
9 months ago
A girl can dream
aenews2
9 months ago
Well yes, which was always the case lol
Laura
9 months ago
Yep, fair is fair we have to wait per the rules. Are you still convinced he's going to suddenly flip and formally endorse?
aenews2
9 months ago
https://x.com/kylegriffin1/status/1819424186797846726
Laura
9 months ago
The DNC chair worded it a bit differently. Let's await more confirmations.
diogenes
9 months ago
This says she is the official nominee now? https://twitter.com/HarrisWarRoom/status/1819422054439137314
Laura
9 months ago
Voting to close. They could change their stance
diogenes
9 months ago
why? what are they waiting for?
Laura
9 months ago
Bleh. She's secured the votes, but the DNC chair has said she won't officially be the nominee until next week.
Laura
9 months ago
It's not aimed at you.
MalikNabers
9 months ago
Dude I was agreeing with you below lol get yourself together.
Laura
9 months ago
Just to confirm: you do understand you can sell your shares before they’re worthless, right? You don’t have to go down with the ship.
Colorguesser
9 months ago
Because you guys are holding the majority of the bets volume and are stubborn
Laura
9 months ago
BREAKING: DELUSIONAL ’yes’ holders start to PANIC as their shares become increasingly worthless by the minute. - Reported by WMTW news.
Laura
9 months ago
The voting is the process in which they officially nominate their candidate. If she has secured enough votes then she is officially the candidate.
PokerBrat
9 months ago
when everyone is sure that he is not going to endorse her and the percentage is still at 43% you know you have some big fish insiders that know he is posting soon... Same thing happenend with Obama
Laura
9 months ago
I’ve never seen a market so resistant to reality.
Laura
9 months ago
Why is 'yes' still trading at 43c? lmao It's so fucking over.
Laura
9 months ago
Why is 'yes' still trading at 43c? lmao It's so fucking over.
Laura
9 months ago
And to add, the only outlets reporting he formally endorsed her are relying on his tweet and Portland rally. They did not interview him themselves. EVERY outlet, from national to local, that interviewed him themselves, asked him regarding his formal endorsement and each time he explained why he hasn't provided it. He's had every opportunity to clarify that he has, in fact, FORMALLY ENDORSED her, but at no point has that been the case.
vote.fun
9 months ago
he as asked about this twice YESTERDAY AGAIN. BERNIE HIMSELF says his support is not an endorsement not once but TWO times https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-08-01/bernie-sanders-supports-vice-president-kamala-harris-presidential-bid
Laura
9 months ago
If they announce she's secured enough votes to become the official candidate, then this can resolve immediately.
Iverson
9 months ago
News reporting that Kamala already has enough delegates for the nomination. Will announce nomination today rather than Monday.
Laura
9 months ago
I have argued that those markets should not have resolved to β€˜yes’. However, I had no stake in those markets, and a very small amount was bet, with a disproportionately small amount bet on the β€˜no’ side. This particular market however has over $300,000 bet, and is appropriately being taken seriously.
BigBetsBonanza
9 months ago
For all the holders, thank you for your comments because I am new to the platform and regardless this has been useful for me to understand the nuances to resolution here. As I’ve said I don’t have anything substantial at stake so it’s not a big deal for me either way, but it has been a surprise to me how down to the letter these forecasts can be. So honestly thanks for the discussion. I do think that Bernie has endorsed her at this stage given his latest statements, but I appreciate why people would claim this isn’t β€˜formal’ enough. So, let’s see what happens!
Laura
9 months ago
It’s clear that many yes holders are displaying a… fundamental misunderstanding of the rules. Heh heh
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
I actually agree you don't have to use the words "endorse". I think before these interviews, "No" was in a worse position (but probably still right). But after the interviews where it shows that 2 informed reporters did not think he formally endorsed and Bernie implicitly agreed by not rejecting that position, it's clear he has not formally endorsed yet.
Laura
9 months ago
Yep. You can go to a dinner or you can go to a formal dinner. You’ll be eating dinner in both scenarios so they’re the same thing, right?
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
I actually agree you don't have to use the words "endorse". I think before these interviews, "No" was in a worse position (but probably still right). But after the interviews where it shows that 2 informed reporters did not think he formally endorsed and Bernie implicitly agreed by not rejecting that position, it's clear he has not formally endorsed yet.
Laura
9 months ago
I feel the rules for this market are sufficiently clear. If he said the word β€œendorse” in regards to his support for Harris’ campaign, I would most likely accept that. I think the issue here is that many yes holders didn’t bother reading the rules or have purposely misinterpreted them as it becomes clearer and clearer that he will not be formally endorsing her before the deadline.
mr.ozi
9 months ago
In fact, I believe the rules on Polymarket should be in general made bullet-proof clear. It creates unnecssary ambiguity. It would be easier if the rule stated that he needs to say the worse "endorse" or respond with a 'Yes' to a question whether he endorses her. There are many bets around where people argue what outcome is the correct one.
Laura
9 months ago
For no holders, I know that Kamala is the official candidate. You know she is. Everyone knows she will be the official candidate. There’s no contenders. She has full support from her delegates. So we should resolve this as β€˜no’ now, right? Well, no, because we have to await the formal, official process in order to meet the criteria the rules require.
Laura
9 months ago
To do things formally is to do them a certain way. To formally endorse someone, you must use the word endorse, as Bernie did in 2016 and 2020. Beyond that, as has been pointed out, he has been asked explicitly about the lack of a formal endorsement and at no point has he corrected them saying that he has.
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
I actually agree you don't have to use the words "endorse". I think before these interviews, "No" was in a worse position (but probably still right). But after the interviews where it shows that 2 informed reporters did not think he formally endorsed and Bernie implicitly agreed by not rejecting that position, it's clear he has not formally endorsed yet.
Laura
9 months ago
The requirements are a formal endorsement. Put up your bond money to propose a resolution! πŸ˜ƒ
Colorguesser
9 months ago
Officially pledging an active effort to get someone elected is an endorsement in any metric. Close the market
Laura
9 months ago
Yes holders are cooked!
Laura
9 months ago
How many times does he need to be asked why he hasn’t formally endorsed Harris, while continuing to NOT formally endorse her, before it sinks in for yes holders that he is nowhere close to formally endorsing her. In fact, he’s acting like this is a β€œmedia creation”.
Laura
9 months ago
How many times does he need to be asked why he hasn’t formally endorsed Harris, while continuing to NOT formally endorse her, before it sinks in for yes holders that he is nowhere close to formally endorsing her. In fact, he’s acting like this is a β€œmedia creation”.
Laura
9 months ago
Hahahaha no!!! It’s the opposite! In his mind, he’s pledge to support VP Harris however he can. As I’ve been saying, you can’t formally endorse someone and then turn around and criticise them. You won’t find any examples of this happening from someone who has endorsed Harris. This way, Bernie can give her his support while being freed up to push for more progressive policies. He’s probably not going to endorse her at any point now.
BigBetsBonanza
9 months ago
From https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-08-01/bernie-sanders-supports-vice-president-kamala-harris-presidential-bid Bob Kinzel: So is there a difference between supporting her and endorsing her? Bernie Sanders: You know, this is, I think, a media creation here. I'm doing everything I can to see that she gets elected. But I think it's very important for this country that we start focusing on the issues that are impacting the working class." If Bernie Sanders himself says that the difference between supporting a candidate and 'formally' endorsing a candidate is a quote 'media creation', then he is by extension saying that by "doing everything [I] can to get her elected" he is endorsing her.
Laura
9 months ago
Additionally, can you provide me a single criticism of Kamala Harris or her campaign from a single person or group since they've endorsed her? I'll wait.
BigBetsBonanza
9 months ago
Yes you can. endorsements don’t mean β€˜I have exactly the same beliefs as this person’
Laura
9 months ago
An endorsement is approval or support. Harris is taking money from billionaires, will not seek to ban fracking, and she no longer supports a single-payer health care system. These are all things Bernie supports and approves of, and he'll never stop fighting for the interests of working class Americans!
BigBetsBonanza
9 months ago
Yes you can. endorsements don’t mean β€˜I have exactly the same beliefs as this person’
Laura
9 months ago
I think we’ve got this, guys. You can’t endorse someone while simultaneously voicing concerns about their donors. That’s not how endorsements work.
Laura
9 months ago
Kamala has Bernie saying do not fire Lina Khan and I will give you my endorsement. At the same time, BILLIONAIRE Reid Hoffman is giving her COLD HARD CASH and telling her to fire Lina Khan. What will win - the single ENDORSEMENT (has already secured support) or the COLD HARD CASH πŸ€‘πŸ€‘πŸ€‘
vote.fun
9 months ago
no chance he formally endorses let go!
Laura
9 months ago
https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1819107252168740967 Bernie Sanders CONDEMNS the Democrats for taking BILLIONAIRE big donations.
Laura
9 months ago
Securing profits at a slight discount πŸ€‘πŸ’°
Colorguesser
9 months ago
This market will stay open untill voting is closed and untill the official announcement is placed thereafter.
Laura
9 months ago
Either way, I think it's a pretty bad sign for yes holders that he hasn't endorsed before voting opened.
Colorguesser
9 months ago
This market will stay open untill voting is closed and untill the official announcement is placed thereafter.
Laura
9 months ago
It's just until "...before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election.". So if they make an announcement saying she's their official candidate (e.g. announcing she has secured enough votes to officially be the candidate), it would meet the criteria. But we might have to wait until Monday.
Colorguesser
9 months ago
This market will stay open untill voting is closed and untill the official announcement is placed thereafter.
Laura
9 months ago
Matt Damon
zecwuguto
9 months ago
Kamala Harris
Laura
9 months ago
⏰⏰⏰ It's 9am ET - VOTING HAS STARTED! I wonder which candidate will win!? πŸ€”πŸ€”πŸ€” Bernie at this time HAS NOT endorsed Kamala Harris for president. πŸ™…β€β™‚οΈπŸ™…β€β™‚οΈπŸ™…β€β™‚οΈ
Laura
9 months ago
Even if it does, the fact that he hasn't endorsed her before voting begins suggests he's probably not going to any time soon. He's said all along he's seeking assurances, and Harris hasn't put out any policies or picked a VP yet.
vote.fun
9 months ago
people still think it will actually take until the 5th to end
Laura
9 months ago
You can get an LLM to agree or disagree with anything you say depending on how you word things.
Coram_Deo
9 months ago
Just asked perplexity AI or Chatgpt - answer: Yes, Bernie Sanders officially endorsed Kamala Harris as the Democratic presidential nominee. On Saturday, July 27, 2024, Sanders announced his endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris at a rally in Portland, Maine.
Laura
9 months ago
That's how we make money.
Wallonie4Congress
9 months ago
97.4 is a crazy steal. She is legitimately the only eligible party, and will become the nominee tomorrow.
Laura
9 months ago
I'm not sure. But an interim announcement from the DNC saying Kamala has secured the votes will probably meet the criteria
GeneralDavidPatraeus.eth
9 months ago
Do we think it will start and end on the 1st? Looking at this: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/dnc-virtual-roll-call-2024-how-it-works/ "Party leaders announced Tuesday night that delegates will be able to vote electronically beginning at 9 a.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 1. The voting will conclude at 6 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 5."
Laura
9 months ago
Lol yep
Wallonie4Congress
9 months ago
97.4 is a crazy steal. She is legitimately the only eligible party, and will become the nominee tomorrow.
Laura
9 months ago
It’s 6pm ET/Bernie time and still no formal endorsement 😒 Voting commences at 9am ET tomorrow. It will all be over soon.
Laura
9 months ago
Ayyyyy!
Nostradumbass
9 months ago
I’ve finally come around lol
Laura
9 months ago
https://x.com/JulieNBCNews/status/1818058826836296003
homosexual
9 months ago
What's the most recent communication? Planning to repurchase shares after another market closes
Laura
9 months ago
lol sorry for pumping the price πŸ˜… The odds of this market have really defied reason, though
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
This whole discussion is against my interest too because unlike Laura, I'm not hedging and I'm not done buying.
Laura
9 months ago
I'm concerned that he might come out of nowhere with an endorsement at the last minute, but I think it's unlikely. This market has been really stressful for me lol, so I wanted to make sure I got something out of it.
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
me too lol. to the point where I can do a decent Bernie impression now
Laura
9 months ago
And by the way, I've laid out all my reasoning on here for anyone to pick apart. And yet I have not seen a single 'yes' argument that I've believed to be credible whatsoever. I held yes. I lost money on it. I held no. I lost a lot of money on it. It took me an embarrassing amount of time to get where I am currently, but it has served me very well. I am also pleased that I not only was able to save some yes holders money, but make them a profit as well, as they self-described that they ended up agreeing with me and 'flipped'.
Laura
9 months ago
I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.
Laura
9 months ago
No one on here is being unfair. No one is stopping you from proposing a resolution. However, if you do prematurely propose a resolution, I am saying that I will submit that (and more) evidence in my own dispute.
Laura
9 months ago
I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.
Laura
9 months ago
Here he is again endorsing Biden in 2020 as reported by NBC News: "Today I am asking all Americans, I'm asking every Democrat, I'm asking every independent, I'm asking a lot of Republicans to come together in this campaign to support your candidacy, which I endorse," Sanders said, "to make certain that we defeat somebody who I believe, and I'm speaking just for myself, now is the most dangerous president in the modern history of this country." Source: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/bernie-sanders-endorses-joe-biden-president-we-need-you-white-n1182861
Laura
9 months ago
I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.
Laura
9 months ago
Here is Bernie endorsing Clinton in 2016 reported by CNN: β€œI have come here to make it as clear as possible why I am endorsing Hillary Clinton and why she must become our next president,” Sanders said at a joint rally here. β€œSecretary Clinton has won the Democratic nomination and I congratulate her for that.” Source: https://edition.cnn.com/2016/07/11/politics/hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders/index.html
Laura
9 months ago
I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.
Laura
9 months ago
Note that that interview was 8 days ago. When he went onto MSNBC 4 days ago (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx5f0wvZvqg), Ali Velshi spends pretty much the entire interview trying to get out of Bernie what it would take to get his endorsement. Bernie's messaging is consistent the whole time, as it is up until the most recent brief NBC News interview where he once again remains consistent in why he has yet to endorse her.
Laura
9 months ago
I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.
Laura
9 months ago
I've been watching an unhealthy amount of recent Bernie interviews the past few days, making sure I didn't miss any nuance, and I noticed that Bernie said in his interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN the same thing he said in his tweet and Portland rally that many people have been taking for an endorsement: https://youtu.be/RVtX9ri5V7I?si=IfOwKPb-28bRpYQa&t=158 On responding to Cooper's question of what it would take for Bernie to endorse her, Bernie says, amongst other things: "When we talk about the future of the planet and climate change, **we have to make sure that we elect the Vice President.**" In his tweet he says "We must... ...elect VP @KamalaHarris". In ALL his interviews, he's asked about his lack of endorsement, and he explains his reasoning every time. Nothing has changed.
Laura
9 months ago
Bernie just tweeted 🫣 …that he’s fed up with working class families being exploited over their medical bills! But still no endorsement for Harris, who is beholden to her FAT CAT Democrat BIG DONORS.
Laura
9 months ago
I’ve said that I will propose β€˜no’ as soon as the conditions are met. I wholeheartedly encourage any party who disagrees to lodge a dispute, as I will do the same if I disagree with the proposed resolution. Have some conviction in what you say.
Coram_Deo
9 months ago
https://x.com/ABC/status/1817274758590853549
Laura
9 months ago
Yes holders have every incentive to resolve this as yes it they truly believe the conditions have been met! It’s very clear to me that yes holders aren’t thinking clearly, with their judgment clouded by large losses.
muusd
9 months ago
I agree with this. It is logical to resolve this to a yes but what I have leant is that Polymarket resolutions are not very reliable.
Laura
9 months ago
Yeah I investigated Newsom and I disagree it should have been resolved. However, only $5k was bet, and the only no buy I saw was for $30. But if you think you have a genuine case for resolving it, I encourage you to propose a resolution. 😌
Coram_Deo
9 months ago
https://x.com/ABC/status/1817274758590853549
Laura
9 months ago
Congratulations! You’re the 7th lucky yes holder who has ignored all the previous conversations. πŸ₯³πŸ₯³πŸ₯³ Here is your prize for not paying attention: πŸ“‰
Coram_Deo
9 months ago
https://x.com/ABC/status/1817274758590853549
Laura
9 months ago
In about 21 hours from now, voting opens up to officially nominate Harris as the UNCONTESTED Democrat presidential candidate!
Laura
9 months ago
It's 8am Bernie time - do you know what that means? It means another day fighting for working class Americans, and withholding your endorsement until you get reassurances! Keep fighting the good fight, Bernie! 🫑πŸ’ͺ
Laura
9 months ago
Doesn’t sound like someone who is going to endorse her today or tomorrow.
diogenes
9 months ago
Proof that Bernie hasn't endorsed Harris yet https://x.com/JulieNBCNews/status/1818058826836296003
Laura
9 months ago
Another thing to consider: Bernie has said he's withholding his endorsement until he can get certain assurances. As of today, Harris hasn't announced a full list of policies for her presidency campaign, largely due to how recently she became the new presumptive nominee. It's much more likely he will endorse her (if he does at all) after she announces her policies.
Laura
9 months ago
I've been reading the responses on social media of him supporting her and many Sanders and Harris supporters are quite pleased with his support. No one is pressing him further for a formal endorsement - at least online.
homosexual
9 months ago
At this point, he still has more of a spine than like 99% of Washington (low bar albeit). I thought he was going to endorse before nomination, but I've come to realize Kamala is likely getting nominated on Aug 1, and Aug 7 at the latest. I don't see him giving a formal endorsement right now if he's very clearly clarifying that he needs concessions before an actual endorsement, with the word "endorse." Kamala doesn't care at all about the issues Bernie ran on in 2016 and 2020, so if she makes any concessions, it will take at least a couple weeks. Bernie's endorsement also only matters for the general election, not the primary like this one is based on.
Laura
9 months ago
Bernie was a big deal in 2016 and 2020 because he was the runner up both times. He's definitely not a nobody in 2024, but his endorsement means a great deal less, and Kamala is already the golden child of the Democrat party right now. Bernie can safely offer his support without going as far as a formal endorsement while fighting for what he believes in. There's no downside for Kamala for not getting his endorsement, and there's no downside for Bernie.
homosexual
9 months ago
At this point, he still has more of a spine than like 99% of Washington (low bar albeit). I thought he was going to endorse before nomination, but I've come to realize Kamala is likely getting nominated on Aug 1, and Aug 7 at the latest. I don't see him giving a formal endorsement right now if he's very clearly clarifying that he needs concessions before an actual endorsement, with the word "endorse." Kamala doesn't care at all about the issues Bernie ran on in 2016 and 2020, so if she makes any concessions, it will take at least a couple weeks. Bernie's endorsement also only matters for the general election, not the primary like this one is based on.
Laura
9 months ago
To be honest, I feel like I'm a bit crazy when I look at the current prices. There's less than 2 days until Kamala is officially the candidate and yes is still at 61c? Ok... πŸ€ͺ
Paganheat
9 months ago
I only flipped when I saw his email yesterday combined with my limit order going through, minimizing losses on my Yes positions
Laura
9 months ago
Don't worry, homosexual. I first bought yes in reaction to his Portland rally, got confused and bought no, then panic sold when he put out his tweet. It wasn't until a day later when I carefully examined the rules and the situation broadly before I settled on my current position.
homosexual
9 months ago
you know what Laura, I doubted you, but I think you're right. Should have read the rules when I bought it LMAO
Laura
9 months ago
https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1818398596540084370 Bernie is standing up against corporate interests, which is why he hasn't endorsed Kamala Harris. The Democrat party is filled with ELITES taking BIG MONEY from BIG CORPORATIONS
Laura
9 months ago
Better to sell now than wait 'til they're worthless, I suppose.
muusd
9 months ago
https://vtdigger.org/2024/07/29/bernie-sanders-urges-kamala-harris-to-adopt-progressive-agenda/
Laura
9 months ago
"Over the weekend, Sanders held town halls in Maine to champion platforms for his progressive base and expressed support for Harris, stopping short of endorsing her but asking his supporters to vote for her."
Jettt
9 months ago
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060&ved=2ahUKEwjLn-PDzc-HAxXBFVkFHUcGE0sQvOMEKAB6BAgcEAE&usg=AOvVaw2ikHp-j20HysBWqgqiSXQj
Laura
9 months ago
Read and understand what the rules say, and not what you think they say.
Laura
9 months ago
People would do very well the very CAREFULLY read the rules for this market before making their predictions.
Laura
9 months ago
People would do very well the very CAREFULLY read the rules for this market before making their predictions.
Laura
9 months ago
πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈThey're referring to his Portland rally and tweet, which are not considered formal endorsements, and it was clarified by Sanders himself by NBC News yesterday. Dig up as many random news outlets interpretations of what he said all you like, but it's not what the rules of this market are based on.
muusd
9 months ago
https://vtdigger.org/2024/07/29/bernie-sanders-urges-kamala-harris-to-adopt-progressive-agenda/
Laura
9 months ago
Also note that this was AFTER she won the nomination. πŸ˜‰
Jettt
9 months ago
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/
Laura
9 months ago
This is what a clear, unambiguous endorsement sounds like, from Bernie himself: β€œI have come here to make it as clear as possible why I am endorsing Hillary Clinton and why she must become our next president,” Sanders said at a joint rally here. β€œSecretary Clinton has won the Democratic nomination and I congratulate her for that.”
Jettt
9 months ago
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/
Laura
9 months ago
That sounds like support to me, and not an endorsement. If he made a formal endorsement there would be no doubt.
Jettt
9 months ago
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/
Laura
9 months ago
In addition to what wetard said, the source of resolution isn't local news outlets, it's Bernie Sanders and/or his representatives. Sanders' endorsement is national news, and no major outlet is reporting it, because it hasn't happened. The two local news outlets reporting it have made the same mistake as many 'yes' holders have.
Jettt
9 months ago
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/
Laura
9 months ago
Lol the WMTW article again. Someone working at WMTW probably bought 'yes' shares.
Jettt
9 months ago
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060&ved=2ahUKEwjLn-PDzc-HAxXBFVkFHUcGE0sQvOMEKAB6BAgcEAE&usg=AOvVaw2ikHp-j20HysBWqgqiSXQj
Laura
9 months ago
I will try to be the first person to propose the no resolution as soon as there is confirmation Harris is the nominee. I doubt this will be disputed because no one has proposed yes, despite the comments saying he has. In the event that my proposal does get disputed, I am not at all concerned it won't resolve to 'no'.
muusd
9 months ago
See how the bitcoin reserve market is getting resolved. What he has said qualifies as an endorsement. This will resolve to Yes if someone proposes it
Laura
9 months ago
Whatever takes place at the DNC is cerimonial. The official nomination takes place from Aug 1.
Jettt
9 months ago
Laura it ends august 22. Not in 48 hours...
Laura
9 months ago
It ends when he hasn't formally endorsed her "before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election." Voting starts on Thursday, and will likely conclude then as well.
Jettt
9 months ago
Laura it ends august 22. Not in 48 hours...
Laura
9 months ago
I've been saying that for the past few days and no one has proposed 'yes' - because they know it hasn't happened.
muusd
9 months ago
That will get disputed. He has already endorsed Kamala
Laura
9 months ago
If a resolution hasn't been proposed then no one is going to dispute it. If people think he has formally endorsed her then they can literally propose a 'yes' resolution right now.
muusd
9 months ago
That will get disputed. He has already endorsed Kamala
Laura
9 months ago
No one is calling for Sanders' endorsement for Harris, seemingly content with the strong support he's shown. In about 48 hours from now, Harris will be the official candidate and this market will resolve 'NO'.
Laura
9 months ago
Every time Bernie tweets, my heart skips a beat πŸ˜… But he hasn't let me down yet. Keep fighting for working class Americans, Bernie! 🫑πŸ’ͺ
Laura
9 months ago
It will be Aug 1. Even Marianne ended her campaign yesterday.
vote.fun
9 months ago
Rollcall is the 1st, will be the 3rd if kamala has a challenger step up in the next day(no chance)... https://www.cbsnews.com/news/dnc-virtual-roll-call-2024-how-it-works/
Laura
9 months ago
There are no challengers.
vote.fun
9 months ago
Rollcall is the 1st, will be the 3rd if kamala has a challenger step up in the next day(no chance)... https://www.cbsnews.com/news/dnc-virtual-roll-call-2024-how-it-works/
Laura
9 months ago
Bernie is an independent though, so there isn't the same kind of pressure to endorse. There's also a handful of Dem house members who have yet to offer their endorsement, so this kind of thing isn't unusual at this stage.
Nostradumbass
9 months ago
Y’all are forgetting how politics works. He already gave support to Harris against Trump in the general. What does he have to leverage except his endorsement before the nomination?
Laura
9 months ago
Yeah sure but his endorsement at this stage doesn't change anything. She's going to be the official candidate with or without his endorsement, and she already has his support
Nostradumbass
9 months ago
Y’all are forgetting how politics works. He already gave support to Harris against Trump in the general. What does he have to leverage except his endorsement before the nomination?
Laura
9 months ago
Sanders' endorsement is a 'nice to have' but that's about it. He's already strongly supported her so he really has no pressure to offer his endorsement
Nostradumbass
9 months ago
Y’all are forgetting how politics works. He already gave support to Harris against Trump in the general. What does he have to leverage except his endorsement before the nomination?
Laura
9 months ago
Harris has been killing it, polling equal or better than Trump, raising record amounts of money. Sanders was a top contender in 2016 and 2020 but this time he didn't run, so his endorsement means less. Basically, he doesn't really have any leverage and Harris is going great with or without his endorsement.
Nostradumbass
9 months ago
Y’all are forgetting how politics works. He already gave support to Harris against Trump in the general. What does he have to leverage except his endorsement before the nomination?
Laura
9 months ago
She might like it, of course, but she's the presumptive nominee with no other contenders. Her securing the candidacy is a formality at this point, and will be resolved by Thursday. I'm sure he will endorse her, but he doesn't seem to be in a rush to do so.
BennyS
9 months ago
Those who are claiming that Kamala will be nominated on Thursday are wrong. The nomination will be in between Aug1 to Aug7. Slow down guys- Bernie has plenty of time to formally endorse Kamala
Laura
9 months ago
But even if it goes to Aug 7, there's just no reason to think Bernie is going to come out with his formal endorsement before he gets the reassurances he has repeatedly stated he's seeking.
BennyS
9 months ago
Those who are claiming that Kamala will be nominated on Thursday are wrong. The nomination will be in between Aug1 to Aug7. Slow down guys- Bernie has plenty of time to formally endorse Kamala
Laura
9 months ago
Technically you're correct but they're rushing her through, so I would be surprised if voting wasn't completed on Aug 1.
BennyS
9 months ago
Those who are claiming that Kamala will be nominated on Thursday are wrong. The nomination will be in between Aug1 to Aug7. Slow down guys- Bernie has plenty of time to formally endorse Kamala
Laura
9 months ago
I wanna hear what Ja Rule has to say
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
That's only nbc news though. We need to hear what WMTW has to say
Laura
9 months ago
lol I didn't either but wish I did. But I'm less adverse to buying higher now that it's almost a done deal. Kinda surprising to me that yes isn't a long shot at this point
vote.fun
9 months ago
fck @Laura has passed me, why didnt i have bids when that yes guy market bought :(
Laura
9 months ago
Definitely doesn't sound like he's going to suddenly endorse her before Thursday.
semi
9 months ago
sorry guys this is going no https://x.com/JulieNBCNews/status/1818058826836296003
Laura
9 months ago
Shoutout to Julie Tsirkin for putting this debate to rest!
semi
9 months ago
sorry guys this is going no https://x.com/JulieNBCNews/status/1818058826836296003
Laura
9 months ago
I'm Bernie Sanders and I approve this message.
vote.fun
9 months ago
tick tock tick tock
Laura
9 months ago
When you think about it there is great significance to the passage of time. ⏱️⏱️⏱️You think you just fell out of a coconut tree? πŸ₯₯🌴πŸ₯₯ You exist in the context of all in which you live and what came before you.
vote.fun
9 months ago
tick tock tick tock
Laura
9 months ago
The newsletter message lines up with everything else he's been saying. Virtually no chance he formally endorses by Thursday.
Paganheat
9 months ago
Alright, well, with such limited time left, I have indeed cashed out at .90 - and switched over to the No.
Laura
9 months ago
Ayyy welcome!
Paganheat
9 months ago
Alright, well, with such limited time left, I have indeed cashed out at .90 - and switched over to the No.
Laura
9 months ago
Alright, it's 5pm Bernie time, still no formal endorsement. Only Tuesday, Wednesday, and part of Thursday to go. Good luck! 😁
Laura
9 months ago
I'm probably going to load up more on Thursday
vote.fun
9 months ago
hey stop trying to pass me in bag size
Laura
9 months ago
Of course I will dispute (as I imagine other no holders would), but it's not me who gets to determine who is right or wrong.
Laura
9 months ago
Yes holders: He's formally endorsed her! Also yes holders: Don't propose resolution to back up their claims
Laura
9 months ago
So what are you waiting for?
Laura
9 months ago
Yes holders: He's formally endorsed her! Also yes holders: Don't propose resolution to back up their claims
Laura
9 months ago
Yes voters can propose a resolution as soon as he formally endorses Harris. No voters have to wait until Harris is the official candidate
Laura
9 months ago
Yes holders: He's formally endorsed her! Also yes holders: Don't propose resolution to back up their claims
Laura
9 months ago
Yeah he followed up with an interview and in that interview they reported he hasn't formally endorsed her but continued to say the supportive things he's been saying the past week.
Shayku
9 months ago
Yea he endorsed her in Portland during a speech, which he then followed up with an interview and a tweet, but the trolls here keep obfuscating.
Laura
9 months ago
This is a good illustration of the difference between informally making a claim (commenting) vs formally making a claim (putting up a bond to propose resolution) πŸ˜‚
Laura
9 months ago
Yes holders: He's formally endorsed her! Also yes holders: Don't propose resolution to back up their claims
Laura
9 months ago
Yes holders: He's formally endorsed her! Also yes holders: Don't propose resolution to back up their claims
Laura
9 months ago
If you think it's settled then propose the resolution! I want the opportunity to take your bond.
NewShack
9 months ago
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/
Laura
9 months ago
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.
NewShack
9 months ago
Several sources say Sanders endorsed Harris yesterday
Laura
9 months ago
https://wgme.com/news/local/sen-bernie-sanders-rallies-in-portland-urges-support-for-kamala-harris-against-trump
NewShack
9 months ago
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3101988/sanders-endorses-harris-for-president/
Laura
9 months ago
Yes holders waiting for Kamala to give Bernie the reassurances he needs for working class Americans before Thursday: https://media1.tenor.com/m/Fp0JJdxY6msAAAAC/yes-sweating.gif
Laura
9 months ago
They're doing an electronic vote on Aug 1 as reported by NPR: https://www.npr.org/2024/07/26/g-s1-13338/kamala-harris-joe-biden-dnc-democrat-nominee
n/a
9 months ago
This article calls it a formal endorsement: https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060
Laura
9 months ago
And lastly, once again (lol), the resolution source is NOT 'local Maine TV station WMTW', but, as per the rules: The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.
n/a
9 months ago
This article calls it a formal endorsement: https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060
Laura
9 months ago
3 more days, yes holders. You're cooked.
n/a
9 months ago
This article calls it a formal endorsement: https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060
Laura
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q2r5B_I_Igg CBS reports he made it clear it's not a formal endorsement. "He did not formally endorse Kamala Harris but told CBS 13 News this message: I'll be doing everything I can to urge people to come on out and to elect Kamala Harris as our next president."
n/a
9 months ago
This article calls it a formal endorsement: https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060
Laura
9 months ago
He's made it clear why he hasn't given her his formal endorsement. He's seeking certain reassurances for working class Americans. He's said that multiple times, while at the same time saying he will do everything he can to make Harris get elected.
muusd
9 months ago
The formal endorsement from Gavin Newsom which was resolved to a Yes also look similar to the one that Bernie Posted on X. I cant see how this wont be seen as a formal endorsement when a resolution is posted.
Laura
9 months ago
"Local Maine TV station makes a claim."
n/a
9 months ago
This article calls it a formal endorsement: https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060
Laura
9 months ago
Propose a resolution.
n/a
9 months ago
This article calls it a formal endorsement: https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060
Laura
9 months ago
I would have 100% disputed that if I was on the other side. But the market only had $5k bet so I guess no one bothered. I've said it before, but if anyone genuinely thinks Sanders has formally endorsed Harris per the rules, they can propose a resolution to this right now. So go on, propose it. It's your bond money.
muusd
9 months ago
The formal endorsement from Gavin Newsom which was resolved to a Yes also look similar to the one that Bernie Posted on X. I cant see how this wont be seen as a formal endorsement when a resolution is posted.
Laura
9 months ago
This is what a formal endorsement looks like, folks: https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2024/07/obama.png
Laura
9 months ago
It would serve many of you well to look at the example used as a definition of a formal endorsement:
Laura
9 months ago
Yep. I paid for my mistake and I've been legitimately trying to save other yes holders from the same mistakes I made. I've already got my no shares - they're not going to be worth more than 100c. I won't feel bad for the ones that held on as they rapidly depreciate over the next couple of days.
vote.fun
9 months ago
yeah its people who bought 95-98c trying to cover their asses. Most agree and have sold or flipped(@Laura). Only one left is @Shayku. who has posted the same thing 30-40 times
Laura
9 months ago
https://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/endorse
Laura
9 months ago
It would serve many of you well to look at the example used as a definition of a formal endorsement:
Laura
9 months ago
It would serve many of you well to look at the example used as a definition of a formal endorsement:
Laura
9 months ago
Yes holders are going to get screwed over by misinterpreting Bernie’s support and the explicit rules of this market imo
Laura
9 months ago
I don’t know if you’re deliberately being obtuse, but as I have pointed out many times, in the tweet posted by Barack Obama, there was an accompanying video where the Obamas were on the phone with Kamala and they specifically said they endorse her.
Shayku
9 months ago
Yea this is the tweet that these two refuse to see as an endorsement. It comes after he didn't endorse her, and is an endorsement, but the 'No' side argues it isn't, despite the fact that the Obama market resolved on something similar.
Laura
9 months ago
The tweet isn’t anything that he hasn’t said before.
Shayku
9 months ago
The endorsement tweet came after that video.
Laura
9 months ago
https://www.cnn.com/2016/07/11/politics/hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders On endorsing Hillary.
Laura
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FSanoug_B9E It's very unlikely he's going to change his language any time soon. In the video he says "I'm going to do everything I can to make sure that Kamala Harris is elected" while at the same time withholding his formal endorsement. Compare his endorsement for Hillary in 2016: "I have come here to make it as clear as possible why I am endorsing Hillary Clinton and why she must become our next president."
Laura
9 months ago
He's deliberately toeing the line between full support and a formal endorsement. He's a career politician, he knows what he's doing. This is his way to show that he's fighting for the working class, while giving Harris his strong support.
Laura
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FSanoug_B9E It's very unlikely he's going to change his language any time soon. In the video he says "I'm going to do everything I can to make sure that Kamala Harris is elected" while at the same time withholding his formal endorsement. Compare his endorsement for Hillary in 2016: "I have come here to make it as clear as possible why I am endorsing Hillary Clinton and why she must become our next president."
Laura
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FSanoug_B9E It's very unlikely he's going to change his language any time soon. In the video he says "I'm going to do everything I can to make sure that Kamala Harris is elected" while at the same time withholding his formal endorsement. Compare his endorsement for Hillary in 2016: "I have come here to make it as clear as possible why I am endorsing Hillary Clinton and why she must become our next president."
Laura
9 months ago
Ends in less than 4 days when delegates vote for Harris via electronic vote.
n/a
9 months ago
this ends after the DNC, what are you talking about?
Laura
9 months ago
Wow, you found something completely hidden that no one else has seen! Lol read the comments
homosexual
9 months ago
Bernie Sanders endorsed Kamala Harris: https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1817243928548319732
Laura
9 months ago
If you read the rules, he has to formally endorse her BEFORE she’s the official candidate. The process has been sped up and they will be voting for her on Aug 1 per reporting.
n/a
9 months ago
4 days for what? end date is after the DNC end of august.
Laura
9 months ago
Uh oh, less than four days to go. 🀭
Laura
9 months ago
That’s when they’re rushing through Kamala as their candidate.
Cetus
9 months ago
Why do people say it ends on the 1st when the contract says it ends on the 22nd?
Laura
9 months ago
Good luck guys 🫑
Paganheat
9 months ago
Your thesis is plausible, but here’s the reality - there are so many articles claiming that he’s endorsed her already and he’s inevitably going to be asked in the media or public this week whether those claims are true.
Laura
9 months ago
Yeah it’s in the video I’ve been linking, towards the end I think. Or it may have been the CNN interview. To be fair, I can see a case for yes, just not at the current price.
Nostradumbass
9 months ago
It doesn’t take more than a few minutes to give a formal endorsement
Laura
9 months ago
Yes, even I agree its an endorsement. Check out my history for this market. I had 7k yes and sold them at a loss. With Hillary and Biden, his endorsements were formal and without restrictions. But he has not pledged his formal endorsement for Harris at this time, and I obviously think it’s very unlikely he will within the next 4 days based on everything he’s said regarding what it would take to give his endorsement.
Nostradumbass
9 months ago
It doesn’t take more than a few minutes to give a formal endorsement
Laura
9 months ago
She hasn’t announced a running mate, and won’t up until the 7th, by which time this will resolve no. Bernie has said her choice of running mate will influence his endorsement. I’m trying to save you guys some money. Connect the dots lol
Nostradumbass
9 months ago
It doesn’t take more than a few minutes to give a formal endorsement
Laura
9 months ago
https://www.npr.org/2024/07/26/g-s1-13338/kamala-harris-joe-biden-dnc-democrat-nominee By the way, in case anyone doesn’t realise, they’re rushing through making her the candidate by Aug 1, in which case if Bernie hasn’t formally endorsed her, it’s over. Good luck to yes holders 🫑
Laura
9 months ago
"The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives."
Shayku
9 months ago
ABC reported that he endorsed her.
Laura
9 months ago
Maybe you're right. Maybe I'm right. But I wouldn't want to risk it all for a possible 5%-10% gain
Paganheat
9 months ago
He’s likely going to formally endorse her on Monday.
Laura
9 months ago
Yeah his bigger concern is defeating Trump. That defecto means support Harris but is not a formal endorsement. But I'm just repeating myself as he's made it clear he's not going as far as a formal endorsement without reassurances
diogenes
9 months ago
Bernie has till now only said that he will do everything to help Harris defeat Trump. That's not an endorsement.
Laura
9 months ago
Of course I do, but he uses the same supportive language in the video while saying he requires reassurances. He pledges his support at the rally but again says he needs more from her. He put out a NY Times opinion piece seeking the same reassurances today. If he was formally endorsing her he wouldn't be putting out such articles. Again, proposal a resolution if you think it's a done deal.
Shayku
9 months ago
As I've said, all my cash is placed for now and I'm not moving it. Maybe if some markets cash out I'll do it.
Laura
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx5f0wvZvqg Except he's used the same language while at the same time expressing he's holding off a formal endorsement, per the video and per the NY Times opinion piece.
muusd
9 months ago
https://www.mainepublic.org/news/2024-07-28/vermont-senator-bernie-sanders-endorses-vice-president-kamala-harris-at-portland-rally-saturdayVermont Senator Bernie Sanders drew hundreds of people to the State Theater in Portland on Saturday to announce his endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris for President this November. The progressive Democrat called on his supporters to not only vote for Harris but to volunteer to get out the vote. "This is, in fact, the most important election of our lifetimes. We have got to work double time and triple time to make sure that Trump is not elected and that the Vice President is," Sanders said.
Laura
9 months ago
He's an independent, not a Dem, and she's the presumptive nominee, so his formal endorsement at this stage changes nothing, but closer to the election it will help a lot.
Paganheat
9 months ago
He’s likely going to formally endorse her on Monday.
Laura
9 months ago
He's likely going to formally endorse her when he gets the reassurances for working class Americans he keeps expressing he requires. V unlikely it will happen that quickly, and he has strongly supported her so there's less pressure now for a formal endorsement.
Paganheat
9 months ago
He’s likely going to formally endorse her on Monday.
Laura
9 months ago
I agree it's bullshit. I've been through the same thing as I was a big yes holder. But it is what it is and I've adapted.
Justifax
9 months ago
Total BS. Obama didn't use the word endorse in his written statement and just tweeted. If you call using the word 'endorse' in some rando video of a call at 5am - 'formal' you are a truly a hypocrite.
Laura
9 months ago
https://x.com/BarackObama/status/1816760809193677069
Justifax
9 months ago
Total BS. Obama didn't use the word endorse in his written statement and just tweeted. If you call using the word 'endorse' in some rando video of a call at 5am - 'formal' you are a truly a hypocrite.
Laura
9 months ago
In the video with the tweet he specifically says he and Michelle endorse her.
Justifax
9 months ago
Total BS. Obama didn't use the word endorse in his written statement and just tweeted. If you call using the word 'endorse' in some rando video of a call at 5am - 'formal' you are a truly a hypocrite.
Laura
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx5f0wvZvqg
Paganheat
9 months ago
There’s still 4 days left and plenty of time for him to formally endorse
Laura
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx5f0wvZvqg If you want a clear example that he strongly supports her but made it clear he will not formally endorse her until he gets certain reassurances that he has repeatedly says he must get.
Laura
9 months ago
Guys, argue all you want, or propose a resolution. We've discussed this and in 24 hours no one has proposed a resolution for good reason. Propose or you have no claim (which you don't)
Laura
9 months ago
Guys, argue all you want, or propose a resolution. We've discussed this and in 24 hours no one has proposed a resolution for good reason. Propose or you have no claim (which you don't)
Laura
9 months ago
Of course there's a difference between formal and non-formal lol. I went to a dinner vs I went to a formal dinner.
BigMike11
9 months ago
I dunno, "I'm going to be doing everything I can ... to elect Kamala Harris as the next President" sounds to me like an endorsement.
Laura
9 months ago
I thought the same thing, and was the second highest ''yes" holder, but I carefully reevaluated and here I am. I get it, it sucks, your shares are quickly becoming worthless, but it is what it is and why I switched sides
n/a
9 months ago
It literally is
Laura
9 months ago
It is an endorsement, but the rules require a "formal endorsement".
BigMike11
9 months ago
I dunno, "I'm going to be doing everything I can ... to elect Kamala Harris as the next President" sounds to me like an endorsement.
Laura
9 months ago
We've been over this in the comments already. The rules require it to be a, quote, "formal endorsement". There is plenty of evidence, including a NY Times guest opinion piece by Sanders, that he has yet to provide his formal endorsement, as he is still demanding she provides assurances for working class Americans. With his strong support, there is no pressure for him to formally endorse her before the DNC in the next few days, and meanwhile he can claim he's supportive of her. No one is denying that he's endorsed her, but that doesn't meet the rules of this particular market.
muusd
9 months ago
https://www.mainepublic.org/news/2024-07-28/vermont-senator-bernie-sanders-endorses-vice-president-kamala-harris-at-portland-rally-saturdayVermont Senator Bernie Sanders drew hundreds of people to the State Theater in Portland on Saturday to announce his endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris for President this November. The progressive Democrat called on his supporters to not only vote for Harris but to volunteer to get out the vote. "This is, in fact, the most important election of our lifetimes. We have got to work double time and triple time to make sure that Trump is not elected and that the Vice President is," Sanders said.
Laura
9 months ago
For which the requirements are that she needs to come up with a plan for working class Americans. Not going to happen in that time. He's endorsed her already, so until she can give him that assurance, he's withholding a formal endorsement, which, per the rules, is what is required for this market.
BiggestBidenFan
9 months ago
So basically 3 days until Kamala formally nominated is the deadline to get his endorsement formally
Laura
9 months ago
lol take a moment to read the comments here from the past day
MyNameIsJohn
9 months ago
Here we have the endorsement. Easy 20% in 4 days. https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1817243928548319732
Laura
9 months ago
That's what I have come to believe as well, but I don't doubt he will fuck me over again lol (even though the only person fucking me over is myself πŸ˜”)
vote.fun
9 months ago
lmao nice, Bernies the dog to hold out tho. Hes always fighting against the grain, wants his supporters voice heard. Only way to do that is withhold
Laura
9 months ago
That no one has proposed resolution by now says you don't truly think that will happen
milize
9 months ago
Good luck convincing that to UMA bro, when they resolved I will vote for Trump as formal endorsement for trump
Laura
9 months ago
Wrong market
GMog
9 months ago
Shapero is one of the TOP picks for the VP role https://x.com/JoshShapero CA : 2hWBY3PfrJ2nP6rEUCWbmW5nDXPAuYpjASStA6Zepump
Laura
9 months ago
He's basically endorsed her without making it formal, so there really is no urgency and he gets to do his show of seeming tough etc
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
"urging folks to vote for Harris if she is the Democratic nominee". Yea, he's either (1) gonna get the same concessions he got from Biden and formally endorse, or (2) formally endorse after she is officially nominated as the Democratic nominee. Seems like #2 is getting more and more likely.
Laura
9 months ago
That's my reasoning for no the past couple of days. He's openly supporting her so there's less pressure for an imminent formal endorsement.
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
"urging folks to vote for Harris if she is the Democratic nominee". Yea, he's either (1) gonna get the same concessions he got from Biden and formally endorse, or (2) formally endorse after she is officially nominated as the Democratic nominee. Seems like #2 is getting more and more likely.
Laura
9 months ago
This is like my third flip lol. I panic sold my 3.7k NO for like $12 when I thought this was resolved lol. I'm either going to be down another $500 or profit. Fuck Bernie Sanders lol
vote.fun
9 months ago
ayeee love the flip welcome to the no squad
Laura
9 months ago
I'm basically just spewing money at this point
Laura
9 months ago
I think the best interpretation is that this could be considered an endorsement but not a formal one.
1PrecentRicher
9 months ago
All the previous endorsements, have the been reported by media outlets as an official endorsements. Bernie has already said he will support her to win trump but he won't endorse yet in every interview. So, this is not considered as an endorsement unless he explicitly mentioned the word.
Laura
9 months ago
His messaging is all over the place. What is he even doing
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
how is that an endorsement, but "I will do everything I can to make sure that she becomes President" from the msnbc interview (an interview where he said he has not endorsed Kamala yet) not an endorsement?
Laura
9 months ago
His mixed messaging really fucked me up with this one, but it's hard to interpret that tweet as anything other than an endorsement, despite what he's previously said. God damn I knew I'd regret getting into this market.
quackerandqj
9 months ago
That tweet is the same thing as his CNN interview where Sanders said that he would eventually endorse Harris but wanted to speak to her first. He’s been saying that she needs to be elected for almost a week now. There’s absolutely no way that tweet is an official endorsement and it would be a real shame if this market gets resolved to β€œYes” right now and Sanders releases a statement officially endorsing Harris after the nomination is decided.
Laura
9 months ago
That's what I thought!
quackerandqj
9 months ago
That tweet is the same thing as his CNN interview where Sanders said that he would eventually endorse Harris but wanted to speak to her first. He’s been saying that she needs to be elected for almost a week now. There’s absolutely no way that tweet is an official endorsement and it would be a real shame if this market gets resolved to β€œYes” right now and Sanders releases a statement officially endorsing Harris after the nomination is decided.
Laura
9 months ago
FML. I'm too fast for my own good.
aenews2
9 months ago
https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1817243928548319732?t=0EJTBLeRyOBoHaT2wchbIQ&s=19
Laura
9 months ago
I was the second top 'yes' holder 😭
aenews2
9 months ago
https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1817243928548319732?t=0EJTBLeRyOBoHaT2wchbIQ&s=19
Laura
9 months ago
My goodness. I bought a bunch more watching his speech but immediately after saying "we should support her" he went on to say he was waiting for commitments from her on certain things. Did I just burn money?
aenews2
9 months ago
https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1817243928548319732?t=0EJTBLeRyOBoHaT2wchbIQ&s=19
Laura
9 months ago
He said the same thing at the speech he just gave, but has not offered his formal endorsement.
aenews2
9 months ago
https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1817243928548319732?t=0EJTBLeRyOBoHaT2wchbIQ&s=19
Laura
9 months ago
He’s β€œindependent” but ran twice as a Dem. Is he going to endorse RFK or Trump? Lol get real
vote.fun
9 months ago
hes an independent not a dem, he doesnt have to fall in line, hes not in the party
Laura
9 months ago
Lol dw, I bought Michelle Obama at ~82c after there were articles saying the Obamas would endorse Harris soon.
muusd
9 months ago
Wow I am loosing my shirt here. I thought Bernie endorsing Kama is a given. He said it in an interview also. What's happening here
Laura
9 months ago
Everyone missing it is what makes this so profitable, just like they didn't think he would drop out
🀺JustPunched
9 months ago
And the warning to those who bought YES is that this guy has severe mental decline that is accelerating. In case you missed that!
Laura
9 months ago
Of course he's going to lol. He always falls in line. They all do.
homosexual
9 months ago
Cooper: "What's it going to take for you to endorse the vice president?" Sanders: "Well, I'm sure that I will. I want to just chat with her."
Laura
9 months ago
Thanks, Obama.
Laura
9 months ago
It’s a legitimate question to ask before potentially entering a market. I agree with your answer.
n/a
9 months ago
Temp transfer is an interruption. What else could it be? Since you don't have any shares here, what's it to you anyway?
Laura
9 months ago
Damn we actually agree on something for once
Car
9 months ago
CNN better not be lying!
Laura
9 months ago
I'm offering you $3 for them
BobSaget
9 months ago
quick, buy my NOs before they announce it was an imposter!
Laura
9 months ago
Hold the line 🎹🎹🎹🎹 Biden ain't always on time πŸ™…β€β™€οΈπŸ™…β€β™€οΈπŸ™…β€β™€οΈ
Nodar
9 months ago
I paid good money to see proof of life. So let's see it
Laura
9 months ago
✈️✈️✈️✈️✈️✈️ Here comes the airplane! ✈️✈️✈️✈️✈️✈️
Laura
9 months ago
That's just the price is was at because of, once again, anon1933 buying TWO MILLION SHARES
Arbguy
9 months ago
Amazing people put their hard earned funds at risk based on a Laura Loomer tweet....
Laura
9 months ago
Why do people keep saying that? The huge movement has been anon1933 buying TWO MILLION shares. The current price is still below the LL tweets, so it doesn't look like the price moved based on rumours in any significant way.
Arbguy
9 months ago
Amazing people put their hard earned funds at risk based on a Laura Loomer tweet....
Laura
9 months ago
I haven't learnt a thing!
Car
9 months ago
I hope you guys learned your lesson! Dont believe Twitter conspiracy theories!
Laura
9 months ago
#imwithoprah
OprahWinfrey
9 months ago
provide how you got that math and ill buy another $10k NOs
Laura
9 months ago
Hiden Biden at it again
n/a
9 months ago
Biden was just hiden πŸ˜†
Laura
9 months ago
Damn guys. Pump the brakes. I gotta buy back in. He’s not dead lol
Laura
9 months ago
This market doesn’t resolve to Jan 20. πŸ₯±
Car
9 months ago
Biden just called in to Harris campaign. Good luck with your NO shares!
Laura
9 months ago
Kamala raised $81 MILLION today πŸ€‘πŸ€‘πŸ€‘πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ With that kinda cash, is she the CHOSEN ONE? 😯😯😯 The icing on the cake will be Biden resigning and making Kamala captain of the ship. 🚒🚒🚒 America is EXCITED about President Harris, and OLD MAN πŸ§“πŸ»πŸ§“πŸ»πŸ§“πŸ» Bye-den needs to STEP ASIDE πŸ•ΊπŸ•ΊπŸ•Ί
Laura
9 months ago
Hiden Biden πŸ™ˆ
n/a
9 months ago
Is Biden hiden? 🀭
Laura
9 months ago
It’s not a conspiracy that the president is MIA to the American people πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ§‘β€πŸ¦―β€βž‘οΈ
Car
9 months ago
I love taking money from people that believe conspiracy theories on Twitter.
Laura
9 months ago
Lol he’s not dead
Car
9 months ago
If Biden is dead, explain this NO holders: https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/1815480927213998376
Laura
9 months ago
Nothing wrong with that!
Christooo
9 months ago
lol groceries with 211 shares? More like Wendy's Menu and a Coke Zero
Laura
9 months ago
Has anyone heard from Joe Biden? πŸ€”
Laura
10 months ago
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-22/pelosi-endorses-fellow-bay-area-californian-harris-for-president
Jaden101
10 months ago
where did pelosi say this
Laura
10 months ago
Everyone is endorsing Kamala, including Pelosi. It's a done deal, folks
Laura
10 months ago
Yeah I don't think the 25th will go anywhere either, but will show that the situation is serious for him
KevinW23
10 months ago
I don't think the 25th amendment resolution that is being proposed today will go anyway, but I do think the Republicans are going to try and pull out some obscure law to prevent Harris from getting on the ballot even though they have no legal leg to stand on due to there being no official Democratic nominee this no official ballot printed yet. There are rumors that Biden may resign when he addresses the nation later this week and that work is being done behind the scenes to have the transition in place why is why he isn't addressing the nation right away. We'll see what happens though.
Laura
10 months ago
I mean he's obviously resigned because you're mr.president. Time to resolve this imo
mr.president
10 months ago
Thanks to all the conspiracy theorists for the free money 😘
Laura
10 months ago
Anon1933 take my energy πŸ™ŒπŸ™ŒπŸ™Œ
Laura
10 months ago
This is an odd one because even if it was posted without consent, there's a good chance Biden just goes along with it at this stage
Laura
10 months ago
😎😎😎
Bink
10 months ago
Laura rebought lower, totally exonerated
Laura
10 months ago
😱
Car
10 months ago
Do NOT trust Laura!
Laura
10 months ago
???
sebsebseb2
10 months ago
laura shilled her bags and nuked, wow
Laura
10 months ago
No idea what you're talking about
Bink
10 months ago
Wow, Laura paper handed as soon as the whale wasnt giving cover anymore. So much for that essay
Laura
10 months ago
They are today, but it likely won't go anywhere. But it sends a message that you can resign the easy way or the humiliating way
kdaddy
10 months ago
They have to hit him with the 25th...no chance they're just going to give up on Wisconsin and Nevada ballots
Laura
10 months ago
Why do you think he's set up a 100k buy wall? lol
Laura
10 months ago
My thesis summary for 'no': 1) Biden's official schedule has been cleared out. 2) His brother said he believes he dropped out for health reasons. 3) Kamala is the obvious replacement, so resigning gives her legitimacy. 4) 25th amendment proposal introduced today. 5) Dropping out is an admission that he's too old for 4 more years, and suggests probably not fit now. 6) Have to stick with Kamala due to legal reasons for current campaign donations. Ripping the bandaid off and giving her presidency boosts her legitimacy immediately, gives incumbent boost, and cements Biden as president that paved the way for first woman president. 7) Still no official White House announcement regarding dropping out, so likely to follow up with resignation
Laura
10 months ago
Oh, and to clarify on 2, it's obvious his health has declined, so with rapidly accelerated ageing, things can go south very quickly. Note that the rules only require him continuing his role "without ANY interruption"
Laura
10 months ago
My thesis summary for 'no': 1) Biden's official schedule has been cleared out. 2) His brother said he believes he dropped out for health reasons. 3) Kamala is the obvious replacement, so resigning gives her legitimacy. 4) 25th amendment proposal introduced today. 5) Dropping out is an admission that he's too old for 4 more years, and suggests probably not fit now. 6) Have to stick with Kamala due to legal reasons for current campaign donations. Ripping the bandaid off and giving her presidency boosts her legitimacy immediately, gives incumbent boost, and cements Biden as president that paved the way for first woman president. 7) Still no official White House announcement regarding dropping out, so likely to follow up with resignation
Laura
10 months ago
My thesis summary for 'no': 1) Biden's official schedule has been cleared out. 2) His brother said he believes he dropped out for health reasons. 3) Kamala is the obvious replacement, so resigning gives her legitimacy. 4) 25th amendment proposal introduced today. 5) Dropping out is an admission that he's too old for 4 more years, and suggests probably not fit now. 6) Have to stick with Kamala due to legal reasons for current campaign donations. Ripping the bandaid off and giving her presidency boosts her legitimacy immediately, gives incumbent boost, and cements Biden as president that paved the way for first woman president. 7) Still no official White House announcement regarding dropping out, so likely to follow up with resignation
Laura
10 months ago
Still no official White House announcement from Joe regarding his dropping out. I suspect he's preparing his resignation (obviously)
Laura
10 months ago
My thesis summary: 1) Biden's official schedule has been cleared out. 2) His brother said he believes he dropped out for health reasons. 3) Kamala is the obvious replacement, so resigning gives her legitimacy. 4) 25th amendment proposal introduced today. 5) Dropping out is an admission that he's too old for 4 more years, and suggests probably not fit now. 6) Have to stick with Kamala due to legal reasons for current campaign donations. Ripping the bandaid off and giving her presidency boosts her legitimacy immediately, gives incumbent boost, and cements Biden as president that paved the way for first woman president
Laura
10 months ago
anon6969 predicted Biden dropping out to the tune of $350k. I'm with anon6969 on this one πŸ’ͺ
Oil-Baron
10 months ago
a whale named anon6969 is buying up a bunch of yes driving up the price
Laura
10 months ago
My thesis summary: 1) Biden's official schedule has been cleared out. 2) His brother said he believes he dropped out for health reasons. 3) Kamala is the obvious replacement, so resigning gives her legitimacy. 4) 25th amendment proposal introduced today. 5) Dropping out is an admission that he's too old for 4 more years, and suggests probably not fit now. 6) Have to stick with Kamala due to legal reasons for current campaign donations. Ripping the bandaid off and giving her presidency boosts her legitimacy immediately, gives incumbent boost, and cements Biden as president that paved the way for first woman president
Laura
10 months ago
It's not too late to become unburdened by what will be.
elputoamo
10 months ago
No voters at 37c are setting money on fire
Laura
10 months ago
There's nothing that can help to improve Kamala's chances of winning 2024 than Joe transferring her power, even for a short duration.
Laura
10 months ago
It's never been more Joever 😩😩😩
Laura
10 months ago
It's never been more Joever 😩😩😩
Laura
10 months ago
Vice President Trump
Laura
10 months ago
ABC News: Top Biden aide: Biden 'preparing to hit the campaign trail again next week'
Laura
10 months ago
As President Biden faces mounting calls from prominent Democrats to drop out of the race, a member of his inner circle flatly denied reports that the president is now more open to the idea of ending his campaign. "Anyone who has talked to Joe Biden in the last 24 hours can tell you that is not true," the senior White House official, who has spoken to Biden today, told ABC News.
Laura
10 months ago
ABC News: Top Biden aide: Biden 'preparing to hit the campaign trail again next week'
Laura
10 months ago
ABC News: Top Biden aide: Biden 'preparing to hit the campaign trail again next week'
Laura
10 months ago
Congrats on your $2.60 windfall profits. Perhaps you can visit your local Wendy's and buy some nugs with your profits.
n/a
10 months ago
Endorse*
Laura
10 months ago
Maybe there's a bug but I can't see that you've bought any 'no' shares.
n/a
10 months ago
Rfk will stay in the race he wont endorsed trump lol
Laura
10 months ago
My god this is horrible. If he doesn't resign they're invoking the 25th
Laura
10 months ago
The public pressure has turned from dropping out of running to resigning. This press conference is going to be another nail in the coffin.
Laura
10 months ago
He barely knows where he is and what's going on. It's such an embarrassment
lollololol
10 months ago
he just called Zelenskyy putin and i had to stop watching ...
Laura
10 months ago
This press conference is going to be an absolute blood bath for Biden.
Laura
10 months ago
Does it count if he slurs any of these words so badly it's obviously not what was spoken, but due to context we can assume it's what he was meaning to say? By the way, I'd just like to point out that I'm talking about the sitting president of the United States of America.
Laura
10 months ago
Even thought this is a long shot I still feel it's underrated. If he drops out of the race this month, it's also an indirect concession that he's not fit for the role now (he obviously isn't).
PressC
10 months ago
I think this is a decent yes bet. NATO meeting this week where the president is expected to speak and take questions. A flub next to a world leader reignites speculation and moves this market.
Laura
10 months ago
I like to live dangerously πŸΈπŸ•΅οΈβ€β™€οΈ
Car
10 months ago
it only happened once in the lifetime of the USA that a president resigned. Yet Polymarket traders think theres a 10% chance it happens again THIS MONTH πŸ˜‚
Laura
10 months ago
It looks like we're on opposite sides here as well πŸ˜…
Car
10 months ago
it only happened once in the lifetime of the USA that a president resigned. Yet Polymarket traders think theres a 10% chance it happens again THIS MONTH πŸ˜‚
Laura
10 months ago
Congrats to no voters! 🫑 I have once again overestimated the sanity of US politics.
Laura
10 months ago
Today's the day, Biden. Be a hero for your people. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ™Œ
Laura
10 months ago
He's going to withdraw and he's going to do it soon. The sharks are circling.
Laura
10 months ago
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-03/biden-debate-disaster-will-cost-them-house-and-senate-democrats-fear
Laura
10 months ago
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-03/biden-debate-disaster-will-cost-them-house-and-senate-democrats-fear
Laura
10 months ago
He can literally drop out at any time and there's a tonne of pressure right now from his own allies to do so.
paizon
10 months ago
Here is a comment from the NYT article "...The president, who the ally emphasized is still deeply in the fight for re-election, understands that his next few appearances heading into the holiday weekend β€” including an interview scheduled for Friday with George Stephanopoulos of ABC News and campaign stops in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin β€” must go well." He's not dropping before this weekend.