#504
Rank
136
Comments
37
Likes Received
73
Likes Given
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
This is going to be an interesting one, SOL is back up again!
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
maybe it hits 160$, we dont know, depends how bitcoin will do in the next 2 weeks
mojos
1 month ago
159.74 rip
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Read the article below, 9c is very underpriced...
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-824725
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
They wont strike next week, if they strike, then in 2 weeks or after the election.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
I get your point, but no. They have enough trouble intercepting attacks from Hezbollah...
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
I get your point, but no. They have enough trouble intercepting attacks from Hezbollah...
h00r11z11n2003
1 month ago
What now seems clear is that Israel will strike before the US election. But based on the logic underpinning that choice (not disturbing the election), we can also be reasonably confident they won't strike the WEEK of the election. As of an hour ago, CNN is reporting that the security cabinet's plans have been finalized. I just bought in for another 1k accordingly. I salute you no holders but I do not believe in your cause.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Severe trouble with Lebanon, that has to be solve first in order to strike Iran.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
i hope so man
Dnkci
1 month ago
we got 2 people that are detemined to make trump say crypto/bitcoin at the rally today
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Make peace, not war!
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Never they are gonna wait for the US election
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Yes way underpriced
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
what do you mean?
LangdonBonaparte
1 month ago
Iranian drone used in attack.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
https://x.com/Tscherkessien/status/1845402802186535406?t=IHOL1xpakXVxH6dUFlHfQg&s=19
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
was already known this weekend
youngy
1 month ago
THAAD transport & set-up might rule out Monday, but agreed; let's hope it's a weekday rather than the weekend
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
https://www.imdb.com/news/ni63682661/
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
why holding the ,,Yes“ shares then?
MAGA-TRUMP-MAGA
1 month ago
You can all go home now. Nothing is going to happen today or even for the entire week.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Can someone please fill my nos, thank you.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
already?
Erfank
1 month ago
Yesssss
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
no border today
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
i think Israel doesnt care about the election, but dont want to enter a full scale war yet.
Vitorbg2
1 month ago
It’s defined, Israel Will wait US Election
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
did they?
DonaldMusk
1 month ago
No one ever attack by announcing date of attack, thi
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
https://x.com/realTrumpNewsX/status/1844148965593448861 Guess why? Because they wont attack???
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Today or tomorrow https://x.com/faytuks/status/1844407004955279420
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
The possibility of Israels response is growing https://x.com/realTrumpNewsX/status/1844148965593448861 https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-824052
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
they cant wait
DonaldMusk
1 month ago
They are still deciding what to do, don't expect anything before US election
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-824052
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c70w1j0l488o just a matter of time, the glock is ticking.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Israeli Army Chief Herzi Halevi stated that the latest strikes on Lebanon are preparation for the "possible entry" of troops. This suggests that a ground incursion, including Bint Jbeil, is being actively planned.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Alexis is it leaked: https://x.com/BohemiaStable/status/1843773636370649416
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
https://imgur.com/a/cZWkYRJ nearly there, important strategic point for IDF
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
and fail or not that is the question
n/a
1 month ago
This market has pumped 3 times from "Leaks". Len Sassaman - Failed. Nick Szabo - Failed. And now Other/Multiple.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
if you are why dont bet on the right one?
WinstonChurchil
1 month ago
"Smart money" isn't the brother of an editor of the documentary...
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Moost likely Adam, only one face to face interview and cited in the production...
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
says the one holding elon
tomaz
1 month ago
The fact that the guy in the comments managed people to FOMO into Wei Dai all the way up to 2% is crazy
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
WEI DAI.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
hmm idk
Ylescaps
1 month ago
Clearly its a leak
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
BEfore an electiion, look at the chart
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
where is this from, nt the official trailer?
Ylescaps
1 month ago
https://x.com/DaveKleimanEth
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
0%
DeucePapi
1 month ago
What are the odds that the result will be disputed?
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
it seems crazy, but the chance is higher than this market thinks
Mallardshead
1 month ago
Wise betting Dei. Wise man.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
The doc will reveal that it probably wont be ,,Nick Szabo" he isnt even citied in it and they didnt do a ,, face to face" confrontation...
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
If one of them then the chinese one, how could they interview someone in prison. Furthermore there are evidence against the theory bc paul was doing something else in 2008-2009
Mallardshead
1 month ago
🤣 watching all these people throw money at Adam "I love fame" Back and Nick "goldbug" Szabo. It can only be Wei Dei or Paul la Roux. The ghost or the crime boss. That's it.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Wei Dai only asian that makes sense.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
mysterious right?
gun
1 month ago
doesnt make much sense why he would take all the credit for b money but not bitcoin
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
why so convinced of Adam?
goingsocial
1 month ago
I wish more markets were the plaything of memecoin pump-and-dumpers. Works for me. Though it would erode the idea of this place as a gauge of truth
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
rarely heard more shit than this
HouseAlwaysWins
1 month ago
lyk bruh he hacking the blackchain form heaven?? 🤣🤣🤣🤣
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
look at my message
ryunose
1 month ago
There's a "Winner-take-all" badge, so it's impossible.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
https://edition.cnn.com/videos/business/2014/04/01/orig-what-is-digital-currency-bitcoin-zain-asher.cnn
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
If the documentary is not released by October 15, this market will resolve to "No".
JakeAirdropFarm
1 month ago
is it possible that these all resolve to no? What if they point to no one?
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Only option is Len Sassaman!
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Its Len!!!
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
but wouldnt make sense because they say, they landed on a specific name...
Car
1 month ago
Wait, in the trailer they are talking about the government alot, so maybe they are going to conclude that Satoshi = the US government. That would also make sense because they said it would shock the US elections
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
hbo said they talked face-to-face with who they think satoshi is..
Car
1 month ago
Why is Len Sassaman even goin down? lol
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
which insiders are you talking about?
-Rocambole-
1 month ago
insiders buying OTHER/MULTIPLE but not buying satoshi revealed in 2024 at 10c so what does it mean? it means that documentary proves nothing https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-satoshis-identity-be-proven?tid=1728308851880
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
round abut 5hours a bit less
FamilyCapital
1 month ago
BTW, is voting stage closed? we waiting for reveal, or they still decide our destiny?
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
from where the news with UMA and PM?
Shayku
1 month ago
I would advise all No holders to go read the ER. The evidence is overwhelming on all fronts. There's still time for you to flip. You'll be greeted with food and shelter.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
just wait for the result, maybe UMA decides otherwise...
Shayku
1 month ago
I would advise all No holders to go read the ER. The evidence is overwhelming on all fronts. There's still time for you to flip. You'll be greeted with food and shelter.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
if you would open your eyes you would notice its not about an invasion, its about ,,taking control" and thats what they did
LangdonBonaparte
1 month ago
In the history books the start of invasions are always marked as when large conventional forces enter the territory. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im Small raids by special forces never count towards that. There were no clashes between Israeli forces and Hezbollah in September ET time and there were never any large conventional forces in Lebanon in September ET time.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
fr?
BibiNetanyahu
1 month ago
As someone who lived in northern Israel and has now been evacuated, I'll share my perspective, having experienced it firsthand. From the beginning, on October 8th, it was clear the intention was to capture southern Lebanon (up to the Litani River) and establish a buffer zone between us and Hezbollah terrorists. This was obvious from the start, but we couldn’t achieve it because most of our main forces were focused on Gaza. Now that Hamas is 90% dealt with, the focus has shifted to the northern front. And yet, some privileged person is trying to claim that Israel is there for fun? What a joke.
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
dont you have to put money in threre to vote?
thismaysoundcornybutloveistheanswer
1 month ago
Go vote https://vote.uma.xyz/
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Car is a scammer and will try to do anything to change in his favour hahahah
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
was an adam fan before, but now I see the case for Len, at this price you need to buy
MyLossIsYourGain
1 month ago
Adam Back is 8 cents? why buy others when you have Adam?
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Why the extreme change of odds?
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
we will see...
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
thank you for getting me a good entry for Len, I am sure people listen to a random guy on twitter with 1,533 Followers. On top of that he proofed that Len was close to his computer the whole time at the day of those posts, that made me even more convinced to bet on Len :)
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
yeah, thats right.
informed
1 month ago
yeah, get your argument it is definitely valid. Still I am suspicious of that first tweet and its semantics cause they said they do not want to influence the markets and with that tweet they are influencing Other multiple option. Let's see what happens, only degens would overexpose themselves here
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
not saying that you are wrong, but will be most likely one person according to CullenHoback
informed
1 month ago
Bitcoin is product of 40 years of accumulated work by various authors. Other/Multiple is definitely an option
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
it isnt in this case, because if you have read the article above, you could see taht the producers of HBO pointing on 1 person
informed
1 month ago
Bitcoin is product of 40 years of accumulated work by various authors. Other/Multiple is definitely an option
MartyMcFly
1 month ago
Other/Multiple isnt even a option, because https://x.com/CullenHoback/status/1842286135319691745 , so it will be most likely a name from this list. ,,Len Sassaman" isnt a valid option either: https://x.com/TheChaseWatts/status/1842287981983564192 .The rest is a gamble you should take...
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
cant see whats been voted? How is it for ,,YES"?
EastBoat
2 months ago
The facts are very clear, the problem is that yes holders do not have enough uma tokens to change the situation.https://vote.uma.xyz/
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
How is the ,,Len Sassaman" propability that high? He is dead how could they proof that he is the Bitcoin founder? He cant do any transcations, neither can he do a statement or am I missing something?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
we will see the final result in 2d 13h
denizz
2 months ago
What's the current voting schedule and procedure? There was already a vote that ended in "too early", right?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
we will see, if so sure, buy some shares
tsybka
2 months ago
lmao, dumbass)
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
All people not beliving, look at the uma vote. Why does nearly everyone voted for P4 and not for ,,YES"? Why should they change their decisions made 2 times before...
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
The next decision will be ,,YES", the dispute just gave you time to sell yourr ,,NO" shares. Why do you think it was ,,Yes" 2 times before???
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
,,YES" will win, so many sources point in this direction!!!
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
you explain it a bit wrong, but I agree to what you mean
Fredi9999WASP🐝
2 months ago
It does not matter if this is classfied as an Invasion. Rules requiring a millitary offensive.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
,,tended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon"
Fredi9999WASP🐝
2 months ago
It does not matter if this is classfied as an Invasion. Rules requiring a millitary offensive.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
just wait, we will see, thats why it has been ,,YES" two times before...
Ferguson,Turd
2 months ago
Just found out a few important things. And wow is it important! Turns out Israel, Lebanon, and the UN all said that these were raids not an invasion. Also after looking through polymarket I found an entirely separate market which was intended for these raids and incursions. Wild! Turns out this market was a NO all along. Would have been helpful if anyone mentioned this earlier and repeatedly
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
hahahahha why did you had ,,No" shares 2min ago
Foreseeable.
2 months ago
Sounds like an invasion "intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon" to me... “We are very determined to destroy this infrastructure and eliminate anyone present there. We will not allow Hezbollah to establish itself in these places,” the military chief said. https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-attack-war-lebanon-10-03-24-intl-hnk/index.html?t=1727985197086
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Who can prove it was a glitch? Its been voted as P4 (Too early) what do you think will haben after it? Exactly it will resolve ,,YES" like the last two times, nothing can change the event in the past...
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
who can prove that it was a clitch? It will resolve as ,,YES" like the last two times...
WilliamJPulteSuperFan
2 months ago
don'y buy any YES, the market is guaranteed to go NO at this point, because it was too ealry and then nothing happened in the last few hours to change that
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
@Tentaclar Sorry deleted my message
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
As far as I know there will be only 1 vote after this and that should be the last one. We will see whats right
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
new vote, so the next one will be the one which decides...
qlq413
2 months ago
what happen if it was too early?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
As far as I know there will be only 1 vote after this and that should be the last one. We will see whats right
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Looks like there is a chance for all ,,YES" holders.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
its an option, but very unlikely to happen imo#
Mr. House
2 months ago
This market can be close as 50/50?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
it gets to another round because UMA voted for P4 ,,too early"...
TheGoober
2 months ago
What does early request mean in the UMA vote?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
i am interested too
betyonko
2 months ago
where can i see the voting?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
why this extreme change of price, the final review isnt even done, right?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
why should i tell them that israel invaded lebanon if they didnt???
SelzerLiedKamBrosDied
2 months ago
Just out of curiosity, dear No holders, when you talk to friends or family about the war, do you also say: um, actually Israel didn't invade Lebanon or do you drop the bullshit?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
What does the decision p4 mean (too early), who wins or does everybody get the money back?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-09-30-2024-83ea5f243688f309754ec74850de4238
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
idk , thats why i am asking
Car
2 months ago
only erststimme counts, right.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Die Zweitstimme zählt, richtig?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
The lead shrunks...
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Its really going to be spiccyyy!!!
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
made our proofit its okay
CheerfulPessimist
2 months ago
we should have held on to those AfD NOs damn it..
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Where are the datas out, someone has a link?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
abwarten und tee trinken
SelzerLiedKamBrosDied
2 months ago
das hier ist kein teamsport jungs
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
agree.
TimeTraveler
2 months ago
Yeah, but it probably will be very close, so there will be much tension while the count is going on.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
At 6p.m (in 44min the forecast will be published.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
I took the polls into my decision, but i need to say that the election is very impacted from the recent in the east. Thats why I could imagine people changing there minds. Lets just see
CheerfulPessimist
2 months ago
@start, yup agree. That's why I bought Afd No in the beginning, but at ~55 I'd favour Afd thoigh. Happy to lose money though
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
will be a close one forboth parties
CheerfulPessimist
2 months ago
Seems like the current odds are more reflective than the ones before. Swithed from Afd No to Yes though.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
hahha if you are sure place a bet. See you later after the election.
JonJonesMMA
2 months ago
Average comment of a gambling addict who’s tryna justify their bet by thinking they’re educated on the issue (they read obe New York Times article about it).
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
That are not the election of the east mate...
Trading
2 months ago
AfD will win. For outsiders it may seem like a close race, but if you're actually involved in German politics you know that the Landtag election of Brandenburg is only a smaller part of the change that is going on in this country right now.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Surveys close to even. SPD managing since reunification 1989/1990, big part of the voters are elders (55years + , wont change parties they voted for the last decades). Many people are even slightly happy with the government now. SPD shares definitely underpriced. This will be a close one, but I do think SPD will do it.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
I do agree, will be a close one, but SPD is underpriced.
Austragar
2 months ago
2 latest polls: AFD - 1 SPD - 1, I don't underestimate both but this looks to me at minimum a tossup idk why AFD was at 80%
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
how many minutes left? Didnt understand what 1273 meant
🪦🦁🪦
2 months ago
Germany will enjoy US cuts. 💯.and your economy needs it.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
When is the announcment exactly?1Hour?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
what is even retradio can someone explain?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Why should they buy more, they do have enough shares to get huge profit???
Kroll703
2 months ago
It's too funny... MILKY13 and other "Yes" could BUY A LOT of cheap shares, but THEY do not believe that the outcome should be "Yes"! :)
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
How to verify on uma?
Mountainman
2 months ago
If this turns to Yes (thanks to Milky) and I win this one as well, snapping victory from the jaws of defeat, the level of hate I will get will be off the charts. It may be worth it for UMA to vote "YES" simply for the entertainment value. hahaha
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Why do you even care when holding 4shares, buy more or stfu
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
I hope this doesn't get resolved without a chance for some further fact checking. A rush to P1 based on the gateway pundit being a rag would be unfortunate, imho. Odds are very good (8%, right) this won't pan out but it should be given a few days.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
You are a clown
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
I hope this doesn't get resolved without a chance for some further fact checking. A rush to P1 based on the gateway pundit being a rag would be unfortunate, imho. Odds are very good (8%, right) this won't pan out but it should be given a few days.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Then buy more and be quite if you are so sure.
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
I think it's fairly priced at 8c. So I'd wait for more info.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
don’t think so
scattering
2 months ago
free money i guess?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Bro you are the one fucking yapping hahah
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
If you have some hard links... share them, otherwise stop your fucking yapping
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
So now what, stays the same…
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
https://x.com/DocNetyoutube/status/1835346600559841465/photo/1
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Bro has 1fck share
Mountainman
2 months ago
Has just happened every single time so far, and will happen here again ;)
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Justifax is a retard, writing the same stuff over and over again!
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
just stfu we will see at 12.
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
like car people will sell to greater fools. read the affadivit - https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1835347010527822267/photo/2 nowhere does it say abc did anything wrong.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Yeah lot of bullshit on wikipedia
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
The Gateway Pundit is known as a source of viral falsehoods and hoaxes.[11][31][71] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Gateway_Pundit Someone else could verify this, don't get me wrong, but nobody will say gateway is credible.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
https: Benny Johnson 2m Followers //x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1835347010527822267 not credible?
Erasmus
2 months ago
If any of these twitter accounts qualify as "credible reporting" then I am suddenly very concerned about a lot of other markets' resolutions.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
link?
Lux001
2 months ago
The whistleblower report was just released
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
see it the same way.
DJDanas
2 months ago
idk a draw so i am gonna play save with southampton not winning
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Where can we see it?
ceasar
2 months ago
You're pissing away your money lmao. Such a clown. PM already announced how it will resolve.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Where can you see it?
MrNFT
2 months ago
Do you guys not know the UMA vote is already 100% to 0% lol
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Because it takes so long?
Andy0091
2 months ago
looks like there's a good chance it could resolve 50-50
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Doesn’t the pm team wrote that and UMA could rate otherwise?
NoNoiseKnifeOnly
2 months ago
0 chance. "Thus, this market should resolve to “Yes.”"
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
@Oldman but I thought this would be irrelevant,only the UMA vot counts?
Phoenix777
2 months ago
Because at first everybody betted on YES and it got disputed, and than the surprise outcome was no and it got disputed again, so now all the YES-man are keeping fingers crossed and they are holding on the YES
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
okay, but it was also decided ,,No" one time before, why is it that low?
Mike2025
2 months ago
It's been disputed. You need to wait for the final result. Obviously, it's expected to resolve to yes.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Why is ,,Yes" even on nearly 100%, is the decision already made (real question)?
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
Thanks for clarifying.
BlackSky123
2 months ago
Your 550 shares would be worth $275.
MartyMcFly
2 months ago
What would happen if it resolves to 50/50?