#421
Rank
71
Comments
37
Likes Received
173
Likes Given
FrankA
9 months ago
or the Israel markets
iamhungry
9 months ago
Are we going to break the record of the most commented market of all time?
FrankA
10 months ago
Individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump
FrankA
10 months ago
Also its not "officially confirmed by some government employee, anonymous or not. But hey maybe trump does come out and officially appoints musk to his administration
Car
10 months ago
FrankA, maybe you should listen for once and not go on NO here. I am a kind person (sometimes) and want to warn you that NO is never going to win as it has been officially confirmed
FrankA
10 months ago
Kind person can you buy more yes then please? I made it my goal to give to the kind people of this world
Car
10 months ago
FrankA, maybe you should listen for once and not go on NO here. I am a kind person (sometimes) and want to warn you that NO is never going to win as it has been officially confirmed
FrankA
10 months ago
Dont know but if they want to keep it in the grey area like the article suggests I dont see it settling anytime soon, but lets see
FrankA
10 months ago
officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
FrankA
10 months ago
officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
FrankA
10 months ago
Yeah people act like the inauguration is only Oath taking ceremony, but even the Whitehouse says it is not like this
DarthPaul
10 months ago
When this was started, the inauguration was outside and accessible to everyone that was invited. Caitlyn was invited and was there. When the administration moved the swearing in ceremony indoors, it limited the amount of people that could attend. The chance of Caitlyn getting in were drastically reduced. Once that happened, it gave an unfair advantage to those wanting to bet no. She was at the inauguration events she could get into.
FrankA
10 months ago
So you would say a market that is "Will x attend ys wedding" Should settle no because x went to the reception and there are no pictures of y at the ceremony where they say "i do"?
FrankA
10 months ago
Three key features characterize nearly every presidential inauguration: the oath of office taken by the president at the Capitol, the inaugural parade, and the inaugural ball.
FrankA
10 months ago
yeah gg, one more scam in the book, lets just settle it for a lack of evidence and by adding some arbitray exclusions like "the INAUGURATION Ball" isnt part of the inauguration contrary to what the white house says
FrankA
10 months ago
not at all what it says but okay, good lie
MAGA.MUSK
10 months ago
"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez"market has an additional text explaining that the inauguration ceremony only counts as the swearing in ceremony, it seems that our new friend has not figured out the situation
FrankA
10 months ago
it is currently getting voted on by UMA
FrankA
10 months ago
Clear distinction between the oath of office ceremony and the inauguration, this market is designed to bet on the likelihood that the person is going to attend IN PERSON any part of the official inauguration, not whos in the room for the oath taking, that would have been a very different market after the announcement it was moved back inside
FrankA
10 months ago
Clear distinction between the oath of office ceremony and the inauguration, this market is designed to bet on the likelihood that the person is going to attend IN PERSON any part of the official inauguration, not whos in the room for the oath taking, that would have been a very different market after the announcement it was moved back inside
FrankA
10 months ago
News paper articles also agree saying very clearly that she attended trumps inauguration , who told u guys we needed a picture of her holding hands with trump at the taking of the oath?
FrankA
10 months ago
Three key features characterize nearly every presidential inauguration: the oath of office taken by the president at the Capitol, the inaugural parade, and the inaugural ball.
FrankA
10 months ago
White house disagrees
FrankA
10 months ago
https://www.whitehousehistory.org/inaugural-balls
FrankA
10 months ago
So people are claiming the inaugural ball is not part of the inauguration?
FrankA
10 months ago
https://www.whitehousehistory.org/inaugural-balls
FrankA
10 months ago
https://www.whitehousehistory.org/inaugural-balls
FrankA
11 months ago
Why not make a market "what price will gold hit in 2025" like the btc ones
FrankA
11 months ago
There is barely even 15 no holders, basically just denizz and car that think they control uma
FrankA
11 months ago
And to who? Car
lolboy4D
11 months ago
Greengasper sold
FrankA
11 months ago
No point is basically we already scammed uma into voting p4 + if it was only temporary it doesnt count
FrankA
11 months ago
So the argument is the word "removal" I suppose? Since the statement leaves the reason why they left vague?
FrankA
11 months ago
"Yes" if Hamas leader Khaled Mashal, is confirmed to have moved outside of Qatar
FrankA
11 months ago
On Tuesday, foreign ministry spokesman Majed al-Ansari confirmed at a media briefing that “the leaders of Hamas that are within the negotiating team are now not in Doha”.
FrankA
11 months ago
"Yes" if Hamas leader Khaled Mashal, is confirmed to have moved outside of Qatar
FrankA
11 months ago
"Yes" if Hamas leader Khaled Mashal, is confirmed to have moved outside of Qatar
FrankA
1 year ago
Funny how israel is still fighting hezbollah in syria and lebanon today
FrankA
1 year ago
imagine they confirmed the market "assad out of syria" with 0 confirmation hes even alive and now theres a 50% chance he werent appear till next year, fucking scam
FrankA
1 year ago
cant do class action sadly its in the terms and conditions, have to go 1 by 1 but if somebody finds a lawyer in panama that will take the case i am in
Gaet2get
1 year ago
If someone is filling a cas, can I join?
FrankA
1 year ago
with uma as a judge i aint betting on this shit, how are they going to count how many bodies they caught, polly is just going to add clarifications to get what ever bucket they choose to win anyway
FrankA
1 year ago
Yeah gg poly, this side and UMA are both centraized, dont bet on anything that is not 100% transparent and depends on UMA vote, I would rather die than cash this in, Claim it urself, make urself accountable poly, you will get sued if Israel clarifies that the ceasefire was with lebanon and not with hezbollah or vice versa
FrankA
1 year ago
Absolutely laughable wording if they had been honest I would have never bought a single no share
FrankA
1 year ago
This market should have been Lebanon Israel ceasefire that Hezbollah somewhat acknowledges and abides by some of the terms
FrankA
1 year ago
And where there is some media consensus that Hezbollah and israel are in part participating in some of the ceasefire in some of the theaters of war
FrankA
1 year ago
This market should have been Lebanon Israel ceasefire that Hezbollah somewhat acknowledges and abides by some of the terms
FrankA
1 year ago
This market should have been Lebanon Israel ceasefire that Hezbollah somewhat acknowledges and abides by some of the terms
FrankA
1 year ago
Why does the word officially not carry any meaning when it’s half the bet?
FrankA
1 year ago
How does this market say “if they announce officially” and now this market seems to only be about if there is media consensus or if a ceasefire goes into action. Thats like betting on if trump will announce he’s stepping down and then later arguing that it should resolve yes because he got impeached. Officially announce is a main part of the bet but doesn’t matter at all now?
FrankA
1 year ago
And acting like it’s fine if some Hezbollah member said okay we agree to it over a coffee is equal to an official announcement or deal
FrankA
1 year ago
How does this market say “if they announce officially” and now this market seems to only be about if there is media consensus or if a ceasefire goes into action. Thats like betting on if trump will announce he’s stepping down and then later arguing that it should resolve yes because he got impeached. Officially announce is a main part of the bet but doesn’t matter at all now?
FrankA
1 year ago
How does this market say “if they announce officially” and now this market seems to only be about if there is media consensus or if a ceasefire goes into action. Thats like betting on if trump will announce he’s stepping down and then later arguing that it should resolve yes because he got impeached. Officially announce is a main part of the bet but doesn’t matter at all now?
FrankA
1 year ago
Third language kid
FrankA
1 year ago
If Israel comes out in the next month and releases an official statment saying they had no deal with Hezbollah and only with Lebanon and that they hold Lebanon accountable for hezbollahs actions then we just shut down this shit site and all yes holders give money back?
FrankA
1 year ago
That weren’t happen and we have official election results. Israel is already saying exactly that today and threatening Lebanon and we have no official agreement or even statement from Hezbollah AND the fighting continues
FrankA
1 year ago
If Israel comes out in the next month and releases an official statment saying they had no deal with Hezbollah and only with Lebanon and that they hold Lebanon accountable for hezbollahs actions then we just shut down this shit site and all yes holders give money back?
FrankA
1 year ago
Worst part is we all know this is what will happen uma, yes holders, poly ceo, nobody in this entire week claimed there was an agreement between Israel and Hezbollah much less a ceasefire, only that there was one with Lebanon and that Hezbollah agreed to some of the terms with Lebanon under the condition that Israel withdraws
FrankA
1 year ago
If Israel comes out in the next month and releases an official statment saying they had no deal with Hezbollah and only with Lebanon and that they hold Lebanon accountable for hezbollahs actions then we just shut down this shit site and all yes holders give money back?
FrankA
1 year ago
Polymarket protected themselves nice, no class action law suit possible, we have to go 1 by 1
FrankA
1 year ago
If Israel comes out in the next month and releases an official statment saying they had no deal with Hezbollah and only with Lebanon and that they hold Lebanon accountable for hezbollahs actions then we just shut down this shit site and all yes holders give money back?
FrankA
1 year ago
If Israel comes out in the next month and releases an official statment saying they had no deal with Hezbollah and only with Lebanon and that they hold Lebanon accountable for hezbollahs actions then we just shut down this shit site and all yes holders give money back?
FrankA
1 year ago
“Funny” thing is that within the next month israel and its media agents are going to clarify themselves that the deal was with leabnon and that they will hold lebanon accountable for hezbollas actions. This is exactly what they wanted a way to simplify the war and to have the perfect reason to operate against the whole state of lebanon
FrankA
1 year ago
Next lets let UMA deicde if GOD is real, real fact machine
FrankA
1 year ago
they are the ones in bed with poly and poly whales
Casey2001
1 year ago
Lets get the creators of the UMA project involved. Let them know there is a vote being manipulated. Ask them to use their massive holding of UMA coins to flip the vote to the truth!
FrankA
1 year ago
are yes holders scared to buy at 99.9?
Pidor🐓
1 year ago
are no holders scared to buy a 0.2c?
FrankA
1 year ago
3 USD a vote and in this case you need 9.4m total to vote no
10201081
1 year ago
Can someone please exactly explain, how do you "buy" UMA votes and how much do they cost? Or how do you even get them?
FrankA
1 year ago
For insider whales, they will also screw you over when they make their back room deals if you are not in on it
ForeignSanny
1 year ago
https://x.com/UMAprotocol/status/1860140797905051949
FrankA
1 year ago
1.001^1460
mpoxmillionare
1 year ago
I have no stake in this really, but why are people taking 6 figure positions in at yes 99,9? surely risk to reward of blowing your account up isnt worth it?
FrankA
1 year ago
and the return is 330% anualized
mpoxmillionare
1 year ago
I have no stake in this really, but why are people taking 6 figure positions in at yes 99,9? surely risk to reward of blowing your account up isnt worth it?
FrankA
1 year ago
Polymarket already said this is confirmed "should resolve to YES" Polymarket will not stand up for the truth
FrankA
1 year ago
After the vote this is automatically over
FrankA
1 year ago
Only 6 hours left, at 0.1% interest for 6 hours this is an anualized compound interest of 330%!!! Free money laying at 99.9
FrankA
1 year ago
After the vote this is automatically over
FrankA
1 year ago
let them sell at .1 paper hands, ill buy an other 100k for 100 usd
n/a
1 year ago
Dear No holders please dont sell. Let see how yes holders book their profit. there is no liquidity
FrankA
1 year ago
But Andre vote NO 12.5M Andre Soza, UMA (OxW3G1....)
tsybka
1 year ago
Kevin vote YES 1.24M Kevin Chan, UMA (0xD2A7...)
FrankA
1 year ago
i wish i could bid .11 cents
FrankA
1 year ago
another 50k to make 100 usd, this guys is smart
FrankA
1 year ago
tsybka bought 50,000 Yes at 99.8 (49,900) 2m ago
FrankA
1 year ago
tsybka bought 50,000 Yes at 99.8 (49,900) 2m ago
FrankA
1 year ago
voters
n/a
1 year ago
who reveal the votes? UMA or voter?
FrankA
1 year ago
it should, but apparently Polymarket is a centralised market where the owner gets to decide with "additional context" how the market should close
MeisterEder
1 year ago
The ceasefire is between lebanon and israel. As Hezbollah is not part of the government this will resolve to no. And has to.
FrankA
1 year ago
what happens if there is a simple majority but no consensus?
FrankA
1 year ago
What is the rational for YES voters to not reveal their votes? Especially whales that could push it over 9.4m and end it? If there was YES whales left to announce surely they would do so! Is the rational that in the 40 there are 1.6m Yes votes distributed in small holders?
FrankA
1 year ago
No votes werent come till the last hours, question is if we will get the extra 1.8 m yes votes soon
ElFenomeno
1 year ago
Is still a chance! I saw now a movement and we increased from 1% to 2%… maybe the NO votes will come now.
FrankA
1 year ago
This is what the site told me, post clarifcation doesnt mean shit if its not to announce a rule change of the bet which would also be a disgrace
FrankA
1 year ago
Mandatory Arbitration of Disputes. We each agree that any dispute, claim or controversy arising out of or relating to these Terms or the breach, termination, enforcement, interpretation or validity thereof or the use of the Services (collectively, “Disputes”) will be resolved solely by binding, individual arbitration and not in a class, representative or consolidated action or proceeding. You and The Company agree that the Panama Arbitration Law governs the interpretation and enforcement of these Terms, and that you and The Company are each waiving the right to a trial by jury or to participate in a class action. This arbitration provision shall survive termination of these Terms.
FrankA
1 year ago
If only one party (e.g. only Israel, or only Hezbollah) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
FrankA
1 year ago
Mandatory Arbitration of Disputes. We each agree that any dispute, claim or controversy arising out of or relating to these Terms or the breach, termination, enforcement, interpretation or validity thereof or the use of the Services (collectively, “Disputes”) will be resolved solely by binding, individual arbitration and not in a class, representative or consolidated action or proceeding. You and The Company agree that the Panama Arbitration Law governs the interpretation and enforcement of these Terms, and that you and The Company are each waiving the right to a trial by jury or to participate in a class action. This arbitration provision shall survive termination of these Terms.
FrankA
1 year ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Israel and Hezbollah both officially announce an armistice
FrankA
1 year ago
Mandatory Arbitration of Disputes. We each agree that any dispute, claim or controversy arising out of or relating to these Terms or the breach, termination, enforcement, interpretation or validity thereof or the use of the Services (collectively, “Disputes”) will be resolved solely by binding, individual arbitration and not in a class, representative or consolidated action or proceeding. You and The Company agree that the Panama Arbitration Law governs the interpretation and enforcement of these Terms, and that you and The Company are each waiving the right to a trial by jury or to participate in a class action. This arbitration provision shall survive termination of these Terms.
FrankA
1 year ago
To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hezbollah military conflict, must pertain to all theaters of military conflict between the two countries, and be declared through official channels by both parties.
FrankA
1 year ago
Mandatory Arbitration of Disputes. We each agree that any dispute, claim or controversy arising out of or relating to these Terms or the breach, termination, enforcement, interpretation or validity thereof or the use of the Services (collectively, “Disputes”) will be resolved solely by binding, individual arbitration and not in a class, representative or consolidated action or proceeding. You and The Company agree that the Panama Arbitration Law governs the interpretation and enforcement of these Terms, and that you and The Company are each waiving the right to a trial by jury or to participate in a class action. This arbitration provision shall survive termination of these Terms.
FrankA
1 year ago
So we have to all sue individually in Panama, lets do it
FrankA
1 year ago
Mandatory Arbitration of Disputes. We each agree that any dispute, claim or controversy arising out of or relating to these Terms or the breach, termination, enforcement, interpretation or validity thereof or the use of the Services (collectively, “Disputes”) will be resolved solely by binding, individual arbitration and not in a class, representative or consolidated action or proceeding. You and The Company agree that the Panama Arbitration Law governs the interpretation and enforcement of these Terms, and that you and The Company are each waiving the right to a trial by jury or to participate in a class action. This arbitration provision shall survive termination of these Terms.
FrankA
1 year ago
Mandatory Arbitration of Disputes. We each agree that any dispute, claim or controversy arising out of or relating to these Terms or the breach, termination, enforcement, interpretation or validity thereof or the use of the Services (collectively, “Disputes”) will be resolved solely by binding, individual arbitration and not in a class, representative or consolidated action or proceeding. You and The Company agree that the Panama Arbitration Law governs the interpretation and enforcement of these Terms, and that you and The Company are each waiving the right to a trial by jury or to participate in a class action. This arbitration provision shall survive termination of these Terms.
FrankA
1 year ago
regardless the outcome, you investing 998 USD to potentially make 2 has to be stupid even in ur own mind
BlackSky123
1 year ago
The votes on vote.uma.xyz are all fake. Spread the word
FrankA
1 year ago
Whos the YES voter that isnt announcing? Why are they making us wait till last second if with 1.8m more YES votes this market is finally closed? Why the suspense?
FrankA
1 year ago
How can I short UMA and Polymarket?
FrankA
1 year ago
Get an Asian, on me
RememberAmalek
1 year ago
To those following the RememberAmalek spa fund I'd like to ask for inputs from the donation squad (N buyers) should I get hot stone, asian, swedish, should I get a mani & pedi, facial, etc all inputs will be considered