n/a | Polymarket Tracker

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Yesterday this mf said "anchors" instead of moderators

3

BlitzDaTweetGod

2 weeks ago

Bigger question is why TF is moderator at .17c lol

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

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2 weeks ago

Why is cats so lower than dogs?

1

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

What did that motherfucker say?

0

auto

2 weeks ago

noooo trump you're saying the wrong word

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

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3 weeks ago

Harris will literally destroy Trump in the debate

5

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

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1 month ago

Dump has never won the popular vote, and it was before January 6th

3

Pavel Durov released in August?

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1 month ago

These fuckers are so annoying

2

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

These people are so stupid

1

gun

1 month ago

whoever disputed, thank you for your donation

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Cope and seethe, no people

0

What will Kamala say during CNN interview?

n/a

1 month ago

And she will be the third person to beat Trump in the popular vote😂

10

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Liked by cockbrain, COSTCOGUY and 8 others

AugustoPinochet73

1 month ago

She was the first indian VP and now will be the first black women President. What a brave transformist 🤣

What will Kamala say during CNN interview?

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1 month ago

Trump is gonna lose by a landslide

0

n/a

1 month ago

Kamala sucks

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

Media reports are not a source for this market, and Kennedy spokesperson said that he did NOT endorse Trump

4

Tulsi Gabbard endorses Trump today?

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1 month ago

RFK one was scammed. The rules referred to a formal endorsement, and media was not considered a source. Yet, the outcome was resolved to yes on the basis of an additional context added AFTER many people had already betted

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

hope so

1

n/a

1 month ago

I can see that polymarket has acknowledged their mistake by making the tulsi gabbard endorses market rules more specific. Will this market's participants be refunded as they made bets on the rules set out in this market?

Tulsi Gabbard endorses Trump today?

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1 month ago

They'll scam it like they did with RFK

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

ah, I hadn't noticed that the event was "RFK endorses Trump".

3

Pony177

1 month ago

No holder tards, he's literally campaigning with Trump

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

you made 400 dollars betting over 18k... what a satisfaction

1

1 month ago

No holders tried to pull a fast one and failed! I'm rich! Thanks dumb scammers but I believe REUTERS!! https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

I hope someone takes them to Court

0

n/a

1 month ago

“Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump,” said spokesperson Stefanie Spear. https://apnews.com/article/trump-harris-vance-walz-election-dnc-93dc79917053d8c97db4bb9cd6b0130d

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

then why don't you put your money on Yes?

2

Pogpogpog

1 month ago

No voters coping for the third day in a row LMAO

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

RFK campaign said that he did NOT endorse Trump. It's simply unbelievable that this market can be resolved as yes

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

There has been no official endorsement, let alone a promise to VOTE for Trump, the proof being the fact that we have been debating this for three days. RFK issued no official statement

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

True

2

PeterNh

1 month ago

This market for "formally endorse" resolved to YES, but the market for him using the word "endorse" resolved to NO. So we have him giving a formal endorsement without using the word endorse. That is quite a feat.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Rfk did not endorse Trump

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

It was a scam. I hope someone takes them to the Court

0

scattering

1 month ago

feels so great to see the scammers digging their own grave. love u retards

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

It's a fraud. The additional context shouldn'y have any relevance whatsoever

1

PeterNh

1 month ago

I have learned a lot from this. Turns out UMA is not really very distributed. Two or three large voters control the outcome. For them, the relationship with PM is top. So they weighted the PM "Additional context" heavily.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

How the hell can this be resolved as yes, when Kennedy spokeperson specified that he did not endorse Trump?

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

There has been no formal endorsement

8

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

It's a scam

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

@empirepending but it will be resolved in 1 day and 1 hour, not in 1 hour, right? Thank you

0

432

1 month ago

these 60 mintues will be hot.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

What's happening?

0

432

1 month ago

these 60 mintues will be hot.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I'm sorry to tell you, but "he did not deny to endorse" doesn't suffice as a *formal* endorsement

3

scottilicious

1 month ago

lying sack of shit or subpar intelligence: the no commitments was in reference to a cabinet position not in reference to the endorsement which he did not deny... good luck shilling your bags clown

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

It's clear that RFK supports Trump in the swing states, but there has been no formal endorsement, nor Friday nor in the today's interview. In fact, Kennedy encourages his supporters to vote for him in most of the states. And guess what, Kennedy is from a safe state, and he'll be voting for himself, not for Trump

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

https://x.com/NicoleShanahan/status/1827020725309653431?t=-g6ukI75rNyWLBmu64QAug&s=19 how can this be considered a *formal* endorsement?

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Then why don't you buy yes shares?

6

Pogpogpog

1 month ago

So much NO cope 😂😂😂😂

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

Like "I endorse Trump".

0

milize

1 month ago

if that doesn't mean endorsement i doubt what means

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

Thanks for stating the facts

0

yeamon

1 month ago

the word "endorse" matters in campaign finance regulations and ballot access across many jurisdictions. this is why RKF intentionally refuses to use the word "endorse" and its why his own campaign has explicitly stated (twice now i think) that he has not endorsed anyone. P4 is the correct decision, a refund is the weak decision, a "Yes" resolution is theft.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Ehm... That's literally the point of the market?

2

DeboBets

1 month ago

All those No holders who are disputing because RFK didn’t say the word “endorse”

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

Do you have a source of the Kennedy campaign?

1

1 month ago

damn it's too bad the endorsement already happened

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

"It's should resolve to yes because I want so"

1

1 month ago

hey guys look, this market should resolve to "Yes."!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

"During his remarks at an October 29 Restore America rally, Bevin said "I say with all due respect to a lot of folks who might say otherwise, sometimes we might need to get over it and move on. We have new races to run and new decisions to make. There is too much at stake." Asked if the comment amounted to an endorsement of McConnell, Bevin told reporters, "You've got ears."". This was after the primary election for the Senate in Kentucky, 2014. Matt Bevin made a declaration of support for his former opponent, McConnell, and implied that he was gonna vote for him. Still, this was not considered an endorsement, definitely not a formal one.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

The relevance of the additional context should be zero, as it was issued after many people had already betted. Only the initial rules must count

4

AugustoPinochet73

1 month ago

The two walles are saying the'll be voting yes, and I think they'll do that because this time Polymarket has made a clarification. Also be carefull because probably first UMA votes will be NO so they can do some inside buying. But really polymarket, you should et ride of UMA, whats the point? Anyways after reading both arguments I'm neutral, just gonna play the "What UMA will decide" game.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

I'm surprised that this is even in doubt. It's very clear that there's no formal endorsement, just an informal political support. Also, additional context has no relevance whatsoever, since it was issued AFTER many many people had already betted millions of dollars.

8

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

Why are the no people selling?

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

There has been no formal endorsement. There is no case for this market to be resolved to yes

10

·

Liked by EmpirePend..., LMNOP and 8 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Then why don't you bet yes?

4

Justifax

1 month ago

When UMA votes YES, just remember it wasn't poly or uma that scammed you. It was the pumper and dumpers that sold at a profit that conned you into giving them your money.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

Kennedy 8 mins ago "time to support Trump". He's avoiding the word endorsing because he has NOT endorsed Trump. Definitely he did not endorse him formally

5

Virginia Presidential Election Winner

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1 month ago

Then why don't you bet?🤔

3

DanVMia

1 month ago

Virginia is the one state that could surprise and flip red-- value in betting GOP here

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

He literally asked his supporters to vote for him in most of the states. Plus, he lives in California, so he'll likely vote for himself, not for Trump

4

n/a

1 month ago

According to the criteria set by Polymarket, this is a definite no. I initially bet yet but switched against it as Kennedy's declarations are not formal endorsements (in fact, some of his stated support is every begrudging) and he has not said he will vote for Trump.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

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1 month ago

Trump is famous for telling the truth and being precise!

0

n/a

1 month ago

On trumps Instagram he says rfk endorsed him

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Nicole Shananan: "we are waiting for Trump to admit that Warp Speed was a failure before we give an endorsement". Indeed, there is no endorsement

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Well, it's a stupid note. A *formal* endorsement, by definition, implies that there is no debate around it

5

1 month ago

you might have missed 'this market should resolve to "Yes."'

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Where do you read "the media is a source"?

2

1 month ago

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

RFK "I'm not ending my campaign"

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

it's clear that RFK is unformally supporting Trump, but there is no formal endorsement. Unlike many endorsements market, in this one the media is not even an official source

1

n/a

1 month ago

There is literally no doubt about it. He formally threw his support. What’s there to context, other than not lose money?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

May someone please give me the link for Discord?

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

well, there is. Unlike in many endorsement markets, in this one the media is not considered as a source, and the focus is on the *formal* endorsement

1

n/a

1 month ago

There isn’t any debate. Accept it.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

You got the point. If there is debate, it's not formal

2

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The pure fact that there is this much debate about the resolution proves that it is not a formal endorsement. Formal definitively means that there is can be no debate, yet here we are debating.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

The media is not a source for this market

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Kennedy spokeperson "Mr Kennedy has not endorsed Trump"

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Moreover, Kennedy is from a safe state himself, thus he'll vote for himself and not for Trump

4

432

1 month ago

how can he vote when he is still running on majority of states?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Polymarket didn't fuck up, it was actually very clear: either RFK had to announce he'd be voting for Trump (he didn't) either a formal endorsment (he didn't)

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Sanders market was resolved to no

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Kennedy is from a safe state, California, and he said that his supporters who live in safe states should still vote for him. Thus, Kennedy himself won't even vote for Trump. This is not an endorsement

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Can someone please explain how the "dispute" thing works?

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Bernie Sanders market resolved to no, and it was the very same situation of Rfk towards Trump

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

He literally said that his supporters have to vote for him in safe states. This is not an endorsment

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

RFK asked to vote for him is safe states. How can this be considered an endorsement??

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

I panic sold my 13 shares at 12.96, now it'an open order. Lol

0

ppsp

1 month ago

I'm in shambles also lol I panic sold at 90, I'm new to polymarkets and didnt know there would be so much disagreement over the obvious

What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

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1 month ago

When can I buy?

0

MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner

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1 month ago

AIPAC didn't endorse Samuels

0

homosexual

1 month ago

I think 96% is too high of a likelihood given the millions AIPAC has spent this year to further entrench Zionism in the US political system. But even the Times of Israel says that a challenge is not realistic: https://www.timesofisrael.com/why-pro-israel-groups-arent-going-after-ilhan-omar-after-helping-oust-others-in-squad/. The polling that Samuels' campaign has done at best shows him losing by 3 points, with it being as bad as losing by 22 points. If AIPAC doesn't care, and he is way behind on fundraising, there is no path to victory for him. Election is in just a few days.

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

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3 months ago

why do a share of 35-40% cost 97c despite having 48% of chance??

0

Biden senile during the debate?

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3 months ago

When will it be decided?

0