Michimax

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

1 month ago

Russia officially rolled in tanks on the 24th. Israel send ground troops on the 30th—

1

FamilyCapital

1 month ago

well you call it invasion since 24 february 2022, you don't call it as invasion on 22 or on 18 or weeks before right? Why here should be different.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

1 month ago

If that resolves as NO, then Russia also just did a „special military operation“

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

1 month ago

Oy vey!!

0

Secret14thKey

1 month ago

Anonymous sources have confirmed to me that the Polymarket user "chad" is in fact Lt. Col. "A" of the Israeli 98th division

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

1 month ago

You do realize that even if it was October in Israel, the market rules state until Septembe 30th Eastern TIme, meaning the time when israel invaded (1 October), it was still September 30th in the US. Do I seriously need to explain how time zones work....

0

sol44

1 month ago

he will win , because izrael did not invade , its october , we knew what happened in september

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

1 month ago

hahahaha

0

DopeFrancis

1 month ago

you'd make a good altar boy

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

1 month ago

I had a stroke reading that. Funny that you, who holds 2 Shares, talks about Free money...

2

sol44

1 month ago

today we have october , so we know that izrael did not invade to lebanon in september, so how come is possible still betting on NO option and grab free money ?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

cheapy cheapy YES shares I likey likey

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

The sudden sell of YES because of the people fearing the UMA votes. And yes, ultimately they did decreased the YES tendency.

0

Mr. House

2 months ago

I still dont trust fully the proces beacuse what happen yesterday in the night with the sudden sold of YES and bought of NO, but the fact is the is there are a lot of news and fact backend up the YES

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

They are just doing a meet and greet with Hezbollah

1

TheGoober

2 months ago

Don't worry guys! According to No Holders the IDF is just visiting to take a quick look around!! 😇

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Yes

1

mypieceofcake

2 months ago

Yo, I actually don’t care about losing my No shares, I’m new here and basically for fun. I’m not even sure that I understand correctly how everything works here. Let me get this straight. So, basically, if you hold enough UMA tokens - you can rig any market? Just voting for what you want?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

I am just mad that one guy is pumping the yes shares constantly

0

Secret14thKey

2 months ago

if you bet no you are on the side of ducks. if you vote yes you are anti-duck. choose wisely

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Ey, I have bulgarian roots ... :) Let's hope for the win

1

MAGA-TRUMP-MAGA

2 months ago

It's all over for the Yes's . They will be begging for Pennies for their shares on some Bulgarian street corner soon

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

https://discord.gg/uma

0

iwantam4

2 months ago

where can I see the votes?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

The Süddeutsche Zeitung is the most pro israeli newspaper hee in Germany

0

SelzerLiedKamBrosDied

2 months ago

https://www.sueddeutsche.de/meinung/israel-libanon-invasion-bodenangriffe-lexikon-lux.KXyNhfepMF34wABdvp35pT

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Source: I was there trust me bro

0

SelzerLiedKamBrosDied

2 months ago

The existence of a secondary market does not matter for the interpretation. 'Car' wanted it and got it. The 'Forces enter Lebanon' market should have been resolved to 'Yes' already on the morning of the 30th. It is a fake argument

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Stop spreading lies, you jewish hedge funded moneyed yid, go eat your kosherized food and collect the shekels because you are definately going to loose your 24.6K

3

Car

2 months ago

They already invaded earlier today

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

lets go

0

BarriausCatan

2 months ago

yup wanna join discord?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

I am quoting from Polymarkets AI tool: Israeli forces have conducted cross-border raids into Lebanon, gathering intelligence and targeting Hezbollah's tunnels and military infrastructure, ahead of a potential limited ground invasion. Despite intense airstrikes that have killed over 1,000 people and displaced millions, Israel has not yet launched a full-scale ground operation. However, reports indicate that such an invasion could be imminent, with Israeli officials and US sources suggesting preparations are underway.

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Again your source is worthless, Israel has conducted thousands of ground operations the past weeks, but not a single combat ground operation with troops.

3

cooker

2 months ago

Washington: The Israeli army is now carrying out limited operations inside Lebanese territory

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Source: trust me I saw it bro

3

cooker

2 months ago

Washington: The Israeli army is now carrying out limited operations inside Lebanese territory

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

So wouldn't it be smarter retrieving the money before an official resolution or?

0

RoseCharts

2 months ago

It ends 23:59 but the resolve will only happen later

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

50 pence just started with his homosexual buying streak like a desperate jew trying to justify the hook nose buisness

9

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

The shin bet part got me ;)

1

NothingEverHappens

2 months ago

If Israel does spec ops they won't claim it "The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." and what is credible reporting unless you are a shin bet operative with a go pro you can't prove anything.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Meaning I can hypothetically get all my earnings if it resolves to NO at 23:59ET?

0

Kavim

2 months ago

the resolution will be given by the rules - 23:59ET

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

So I am wondering. Does the bet end how it is supposed to at 23:59 ET or when the Dispute time 2d7h is over?

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

same here

0

Hamurabi

2 months ago

The truth is I am new to Polymarket and I haven't seen this kind of fukery.. lol

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

But not troops entering Lebanon

0

abdendriel

2 months ago

Legally combat operations includes even includes cyber https://www.lawinsider.com/dictionary/combat-operations

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Does that include ground troops enterning a different country?

1

abdendriel

2 months ago

In case anyone’s interested in Combat Operations jobs with the Canadian Armed Forces (there are desk jobs available) https://forces.ca/en/careers/combat

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Desperate boy. Should have not listened to the hook nose Pence.

2

abdendriel

2 months ago

US Marine Corps Combat Operations Centre (hint: they’re on laptops gathering and collating info) https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Sep4dLnm-fA

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Did you just rebuy?

0

Car

2 months ago

I didnt flip, im not a loser

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Pasting the definition over and over again won't help you unless Israel actually goes in.

0

abdendriel

2 months ago

Combat Operations : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phase_(combat)

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

True... Ima take a bath now to relax a bit haha

0

Kavim

2 months ago

not gonna sell my part, its surely a NO, just keep calm and take the whale money

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Alright. I am likely going to do the same just scared of some little piss claiming otherwise and completely change the outcome.. But yeah, if the situation remains as it is, I am also likely going to hold out.

0

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

2 months ago

I am the one who disputed the proposals so I will hold it out most likely. I am pretty confident in the No

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Asking the No buyers, will you likely sell shortly before the time ends on a good price or keep it until the market is resolved?

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Because at this point Israel is likely going to invade within the next weeks, so it might be very likely.

0

n/a

2 months ago

Why would you buy 86cent Yes here, and not https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727698765511 at 9 cents to capture most value?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Can you define air raids? And after that define "Ground combat operation of troops entering enemy territory for combat".

1

Car

2 months ago

US officials have confirmed that Israeli forces conducted special operations raids in Lebanese territory on Monday morning - CNN: https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk/index.html

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Generally yes, but in such markets it is not really "Who do I want to win", it is rather "Who do I think will win". An example would be buying excessively just like Pence did here.

0

Speculo

2 months ago

the sum of all people's speculation amounts to an opinion :)

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Well unfortunately the time is ET so it is actually 14 hours till midnight eastern time...

0

Porcoddio

2 months ago

Not really. It is just manipulated. The outcome is No, most likely (a few hours left).

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

What I never understood is that people take the market outcome percentage as a credible source or justification. Same goes for the US election. Just because the shares are the way they are doesnt mean thats the people's general opinion.

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Those are air rades, not ground forces entering Lebanon for combat purpose.

1

abdendriel

2 months ago

CNN reports that the special forces raids included damaging Hezbollah outposts in preparation for the invasion. Those are exactly the kind of combat operations special operations personnel would conduct.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Oy vey, yet the talmud loving heeb is still buying shares..

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

The hook nose Pence is very generous to us today, but let's still not see this as a guaranteed win as technically Israel has the capability of starting an invasive ground combat real soon.

1

crow

2 months ago

50 pence scammer still buy more yes shares

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Stop with your headline propaganda, why didnt you attach the second sentence of the article? "Israel’s ground operation in southern Lebanon will likely expand in the coming days, says source"

0

Sakuya

2 months ago

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israeli-troops-cross-into-lebanon-for-targeted-operations/

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Given that, the market would have been resolved to YES as early as September 18th if it agreed with the market rules.

0

abdendriel

2 months ago

“ At the strategic level, a phase continue for years. Not all phases of combat include fighting between armed forces. Phases can, and usually do overlap, and sometimes can be planned for parallel execution, often as part of deception planning. Phases typically found in offensive military operations are: Preparation Intelligence gathering phase[1] Operations planning phase Logistics management phase Deception and counterintelligence phase Assembly phase” https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phase_(combat)

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

I guess the hook nose Pence is paying for our kosherized dinner tonight, my fellow goys :)

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Did you just sell?

0

Car

2 months ago

Fuck it im dipping lmao

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Well the second statement is starting to hit rn actually which is great. But I am definately sure the first statement will also come out as correct.

1

Porcoddio

2 months ago

If there is any justice, at least one of two things will happen: 1) Market will be resolved as No. 2) People will realize the scam and start bidding No.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

We can see what you have placed. The site is very laggy sometimes, so it might need some time, what worked for me is trying a different browser.

0

Kavim

2 months ago

why i cant see my position?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Yes but not Ground troops entering lebanon as this market rule wants it

0

UnlimitedMarketAbuse

2 months ago

Intelligence raids can be considered combat operations depending on the context and the objectives of the raid. While their primary purpose is to gather information, they often involve direct action, which may include neutralizing threats, capturing high-value targets, or securing sensitive materials. In such cases, they can be classified as combat operations due to the potential for confrontation and the involvement of armed forces in a hostile environment.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Guys for real, if you say that Israel has already conducted operation, then this market would have closed with YES on September 18th. Israel is constantly doing operation and I think this exact market right here actually clearly points out that it means that combat actually begins..

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Exactly

1

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

2 months ago

So far, there was only preparation for combat operations. It’s not yet decided whether there will be a combat operation at all, it could change any minute, however.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Oh... here we go. The yes guys trying to make the Israeli infiltration mission of spies look like a ground combat operation... Well how many countries are on this planet? 195. I would say that at least in 100 of them Mossad agents have done missions. Were all of these considered ground combat operations?? I beg to differ.

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

The current livestream. The current action. And in which you can see, there is no ground action. And this comes from a pro israeli news report.

1

Car

2 months ago

you just shared a livestream with 12 hours of footage. What do you want us to look at?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Yes voters here is your ground combat operation hahaha: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y7RdZkU70fo Israel is not even finished bringing all the tanks onto the border as you can see from the convoy transports and the soldiers are making picnics on top of the tanks.

2

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Leave them, they are desperately trying to make air raids look like troop combat operation.

0

JJJAY

2 months ago

“According to the report, such operations have been carried out in the past few months as well as more recently, as part of Israel's attempt at striking the terror group embedded on its border with Lebanon. ” There is no indication as to this”operation happened between 18th to 30th of September.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Dear Yes and No voters, I would advocate to everyone to chill out a bit. The market is biased as hell so is the comment section. Everyone will tell you information or opinion which favour their outcome. I think it would be smarter for everyone to just wait and see what happens. You never know. At 23:50 Israel might start an invasion or ground combat and then Yes wins. Or maybe nothing happens and No wins. So please guys relax a bit, don't try to influence and buy up the whole market just as the jew Pence and wait for the outcome ffs.

6

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Show me a picture of Israeli soldiers commencing ground attacks in Lebanon

1

abdendriel

2 months ago

Both WSJ and Telegraph report troop incursions and raids

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

When Israeli soldiers enter Lebanon and start fighting, then you might call yourselves winners.

4

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Again even if, Air raids are not ground combat operation. "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat"

0

Illuminaughtyboi

2 months ago

is there any confirmation that the raids occurred AFTER Sept 18th?

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

To the "YES" voters desperately searching for evidence, an air raid or espionage is not Ground Combat Operation.

5

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Ask chatgpt

1

Car

2 months ago

https://www.lawinsider.com/dictionary/combat-operations

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

"A Lebanese army soldier was killed due to his injuries resulting from an Israeli raid that targeted an army checkpoint in Al-Wazzani, southern Lebanon." So Israel did an air raid an a dude got killed and you claim this is the definition of a "ground combat operation"?

0

HsB34sgg

2 months ago

https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/en/2024/30-september-a-lebanese-army-soldier-was-killed-due-to-his

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Well yes and if "No" voters would win, then that guy would face the consequences.

2

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

2 months ago

I think the truth is that both sides want to be right. But the truth also is that the whole market was moved up by a single actor on the Yes side. So clearly, there is some reality distortion here.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

"Israel Making Raids in Lebanon to Set Up Possible Invasion, Officials Say" Nice try.

0

SlaylorGiftFromGod

2 months ago

Confirmed by NYT

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Not just even that. Think of it, today is the last day, why would anyone start a ground combat operation in the day when Hezbollah even just stated that they were prepared. Just look at the News livestream how Israeli soldiers are making a picnic on top of their tanks. If this looks like "moments before a ground operation" to the Yes voters , then I don't know.

4

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

2 months ago

Realistically, even if Israel intends to invade, they won’t do it before countries like the UK evacuated. So while they may start actual combat operations on Lebanese soil in October, it’s highly unlikely in September.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Well this can be applied just as good to anyone on such markets. Everywhere there are people trying to up their bets or blatantly just not tell the truth for their win.

1

UnlimitedMarketAbuse

2 months ago

what the no buyers don't realize is likely they've been scammed a lot buy fake 'no' holders in this market and other players. It's very frustrating to watch

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Well yes but considering how nowadays people tend to deceive the public in their favour for their profit it is getting harder and harder. Anyways for those wondering, according to official definition of the term "combat operation", it is still a No. And that's it. You can get articles from Pence or anyone as you wish but facts are facts.

2

Porcoddio

2 months ago

If there is any justice, No buyers should win it.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

What do you think, how is it going to resolve? I ain't got much experience here and am quite shocked that people already see this as a done Yes outcome despite there having been any "Entering Lebanon for combat operation"

0

Hamurabi

2 months ago

Lol just the fact that it went 0-100 in an hour shows that it is manipulated.. I don't know what else proof you need

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Michimax

2 months ago

Also try another browser. I used to use Firefox but it really was delayed by a lot. I now use crhome and it seems better.

0

Foreseeable.

2 months ago

On another note: Do you guys have issues with the servers aswell? Sometimes my positions disappear and i got a heart attack because it says my portfolio shrunk by 2k :D Also, stock amount is sometimes off, or it doesnt show activity? Happens for me in multiple networks, from multiple devices etc.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Michimax

2 months ago

I've attached a video which shows Israel being in control of the Beirut Tower at the Airport to hinder flights landing there. This is another example of the upcoming invasion!

0

denizz

2 months ago

source?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Michimax

2 months ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ochEXOvHdVU

0

denizz

2 months ago

source?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Michimax

2 months ago

Several recent reports from a few minutes indicate movement of IDF troops at the Lebanese Border!

1

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

Michimax

2 months ago

I beg to differ that Israhell is the terrorist here

0

Dropper11

2 months ago

And we are trusting a terrorist organization instead of Israel? That doesnt seem good to me

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

Michimax

2 months ago

Nice profit.

0

DeucePapi

2 months ago

CNN is not a credible news source

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

Michimax

2 months ago

Nice profit

0

DeucePapi

2 months ago

CNN is not a credible news source

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?

Michimax

2 months ago

Ахмат Сила

6

Donkov

2 months ago

The bandits will be driven out inshallah

Democratic VP nominee on election day?

Michimax

2 months ago

Yes, basically. Nice profit btw

0

ProteinProsecco

2 months ago

someone just told me that walz has already been selected as the VP. is that true??